4* Major NBA Playoffs *Upset Alert* on Mavericks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Big 3 of the Spurs have been logging a lot of minutes, and I believe that will catch up with them tonight against the much deeper Mavericks. Dallas typically plays well in San Antonio and is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings there as a result. This is a revenge game and the Mavs are the best road team in the NBA so I really like their chances. The Mavs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog of 4.5 or less points. Take the Mavs.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* on Heat -3.5
Bottom Line: The Heat were absolutely embarrassed in Game 2, and I expect Dwayne Wade and company to save face with a convincing home win tonight. We can expect another sensational game from Wade, but the difference will be Beasley and O'Neal turning in much better efforts tonight. I would be absolutely shocked if O'Neal went 1 of 10 from the floor again. The key is that O'Neal had good looks. He just missed them. Those same shots figure to find the bottom of the net at home. Boston has struggled on the road in the playoffs in recent years, and I see no reason why those struggles won't continue. In addition, plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, are 30-11 ATS the last 3 seasons. Hammer the Heat.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Side of the Night on Lakers +3.5
Bottom Line: L.A. wants to end this series ASAP so that it can get some extra rest prior to the second round. I expect the Lakers to come out extremely focused and hungry tonight, especially since they were embarrassed 75-91 the last time they were in OKC. I love the fact that the Lakers are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog. In fact, the Lakers are 33-18 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons, only losing by an average of 0.5 points in these spots. With this is mind, we gotta take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Bulls UNDER 193
Bottom Line: Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CLEVELAND) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in April games, are 42-15 the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 3-0 this season. In addition, Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 25-4 the last 5 seasons, including 2-0 this season. The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and I expect this trend to continue tonight.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Side of the Night on Spurs +3.5
Bottom Line: I'll back the Spurs in this bounce back spot as history tells us they'll do a much better job on the defensive end tonight. In fact, the Spurs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The Spurs are also a strong 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss. The Mavericks are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points and 7-27-1 ATS in their last 35 games as a home favorite. Take the Spurs.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Bobcats/Magic UNDER 186
Bottom Line: Game 1 went over the 186.5-point total by a half point, largely because the Magic made 13 3-point shots. That's not going to happen again tonight and this one should finish well under the number as a result. The Under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings and 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Orlando. The Under is 7-0-1 in the Bobcats' last 8 games as a road underdog and 10-3-1 in the Magic's last 14 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Under is also 41-14-1 in the Magic's last 56 games following an ATS loss. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Side of the Night on Thunder +7
Bottom Line: The Lakers only beat the Thunder by 8 points in Game 1, and Kevin Durant didn't play well. I expect Durant to be much better tonight, and the Thunder should be able to take the Lakers right down to the wire as a result. The Thunder are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win. Take the Thunder.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 1st Round Total of the Year on Heat/Celtics OVER 179
Bottom Line: Without Garnett in the lineup, Boston is down one of its best defensive players and its emotional leader, and the Heat will take advantage. In fact, Miami is 8-0 OVER off an embarrassing road loss in which it scored less than 80 points under coach Spoelstra. The Heat have rebounded to score 105.4 points on average in these spots. In addition, Plays OVER on all teams where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points, after 1 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 ppg allowed), after 42+ games, are 20-4 the last 3 seasons. Bet the OVER!

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Monster Best Bet on Jazz +7
Bottom Line: The Jazz are down another starter with Okur going down, but Utah will cover the number with its defense tonight, and Okur is a weakness in that area. Utah is an impressive s 16-4 ATS off a road loss this season, bouncing back to win by an average score of 109.4 to 99.3. If that road loss was by 10 or more points, the Jazz are 8-1 ATS in the next game this season, winning by an average score of 112.8 to 99.2 points. Notice what the opponents have scored on average in these spots. Utah has held them under the century mark. Losses have motivated this team to get after it on the defensive end and I expect no less tonight. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Super System Power Play on Bulls +11
Bottom Line: Cleveland jumped on Chicago in the first quarter in Game 1, outscoring the Bulls by 14 points. After that quarter, the Bulls actually won the last three quarters by 1 point. Knowing they played the Cavs to a standstill for the majority of Game 1 will give Chicago a lot of confidence in tonight's game. The Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss. Plus, plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (CHICAGO) - revenging a road loss vs. an opponent, with a losing record, are 70-36 ATS the last 3 seasons and 12-4 ATS this season. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Bailout on Trail Blazers +8
Bottom Line: Not having Brandon Roy hurts, but Portland has proven that it can beat teams with its defense. The Suns, especially, have struggled against the physical defense of the Blazers. Look for Portland to keep this one within this generous number behind an inspired defensive effort tonight. The Trail Blazers are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers -7.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers were crushed by the Thunder the last time these two teams met last month. Look for the Lakers to return the favor here to take the wind out of Oklahoma City's sails early. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are an incredible 81-36 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Lakers are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Take the Lakers as they send a message in Game 1.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Bailout on Nuggets -5
Bottom Line: The Jazz are banged up. Boozer and Okur are both expected to go, but I don't expect either to be at full strength. The big loss is Andrei Kirilenko though. He is expected to miss more time with his calf injury. He is a guy that is long enough and athletic enough to slow down Carmelo Anthony. Without him in the lineup, Anthony will run wild. The Nuggets have been great at home all season, going 34-7 and winning by 9.0 ppg on average. The Jazz are 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Nuggets are 39-16-2 ATS in their last 57 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the Nuggets.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 1st Round Game of the Year on Hawks -8
Bottom Line: Without Bogut I don't give the Bucks a chance in this series against a Hawks team that is deeper, more talented, more athletic and more experienced. The Hawks enter the playoffs with plenty of momentum. Plus, they have played their best ball against the NBA's best teams. In fact, The Hawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record. The favorite is also 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Lay the points as the Hawks win this one by double digits.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pacers/Wizards UNDER 212.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout loss by 20 points or more, are 73-35 since 1996. Also, plays Under on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more, off a road loss, are 74-37 since 1996. Pound the Under.

4* Major NBA on TNT Winner on Nuggets +6
Bottom Line: The Nuggets were embarrassed in Phoenix last month and I don't see it happening again in their season finale. Denver can clinch the Northwest Division title with a win and that's what it will be gunning for. The Nuggets are 5-1-3 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 10-4-3 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Bulls -5.5
Bottom Line: Boston has nothing left to play for in the regular season while the Bulls must continue to win to get into the playoffs. With Boston now focused on resting and reducing the minutes of its starters, look for the motivated Bulls to roll at home tonight. The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win and I fully expect this trend to continue here tonight.

5* Wiseguy Monday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Rockets +2.5
Bottom Line: Houston fell by 3 points to the Kings last month while scoring a measly 81 points so I expect the Rockets to be after some revenge here. In fact, Houston is an impressive 18-6 ATS when revenging a loss where it scored less than 85 points over the last 3 seasons, winning by 6.2 points on average in these spots. We'll take the Rockets and the points.

4* Major on Raptors +2.5
Bottom Line: The Raptors are banged up, but so are the Pistons. This is a must-win game for the Raptors in that they must win to keep their playoff hopes alive, and I expect them to do just that. Detroit is just 3-12 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season, losing in these spots by an average score of 91.9 to 103.3. The motivated Raptors should have the edge here against a Pistons team that has played a lot of games in few days down the stretch.

4* Major Sunday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bulls -2
Bottom Line: The Bulls have struggled against the Raptors, but I look for them to break through here as Toronto will be without Bosh. The Raptors are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games and just 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Bulls are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Plus, plays against any team (TORONTO) off a road cover where they lost straight up as an underdog, against an opponent off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite, are 33-8 ATS since 1996, 14-3 ATS the last 5 seasons and a perfect 4-0 ATS this season. Bet the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics +2
Bottom Line: I know Boston hasn't been playing well, but this proud team was royally embarrassed last night. Look for the C's to show some competitive fire and bounce back strong in this one. The Bucks defeated Boston by 2 points in Milwaukee last month, but Andrew Bogut had a huge game in that win. Without Bogut in the lineup, Boston has the clear edge on the interior with KG and Perkins, and that will be the difference. The underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 0 days rest. Boston wins this one outright in impressive fashion.

4* Major Saturday Night Bargain Blowout on Hawks -6
Bottom Line: Big letdown spot for the Wizards after a huge win in Boston last night. Motivated spot for the Hawks as they look to keep that No. 3 seed in the East and snap a 6-game road losing streak. Washington is just is 3-12 ATS off an upset win as an underdog this season, losing in these spots by an average score of 95 to 105.9. Lay the points.

4* Major Friday Night NBA Bailout (NBA TV) on Mavs +4
Bottom Line: Look for the Mavs to finally get some revenge after losing this season's 3 previous meetings with the Blazers. Dallas is a strong 24-14 on the road this season. The Mavericks are an impressive 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games while the Blazers are only 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Look for the motivated Mavs to win this one straight up tonight as they go after the No. 2 seed in the West.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Year on Knicks/Magic UNDER 211
Bottom Line: The numbers really line up nicely in our favor tonight as plays Under on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ORLANDO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a terrible defensive team (>=47.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game), are 24-7 the last 5 seasons. In these situations, we are seeing an average posted total of 212.4 points, but we are only seeing 204 total points scored on average. NY may be an uptempo team, but Orlando has been able to hold those teams in check. In fact, Orlando is 22-6 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season, and we are only seeing 198.7 total points scored on average in these spots. It is an even stronger 12-1 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game in the 2nd half of the season this season, and we are only seeing 196.5 total points scored on average in these spots. Bet the Under tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Lakers +2
Bottom Line: The Lakers are well rested, having not played since Sunday, and they will be very motivated after getting crushed by the Spurs in that Sunday contest. The Lakers have struggled without Andrew Bynum, but they need to prove to themselves that they can win without him against a fellow championship contender in case he is not healthy in the playoffs. I expect them to do just that tonight. The Nuggets are at a big disadvantage here because they were pushed by the Thunder last night. The Nuggets have not performed well when playing back-to-back. In fact, the Nuggets are just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 0 day's rest. The Nuggets are also just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. The Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss of more than 10 points, and we'll pound them in this situation tonight.

4* Major (TNT) on Bulls -2.5
Bottom Line: The Cavs have nothing to play for as they have already locked up home court throughout the playoffs. As a result, Guards Delonte West and Daniel Gibson are likely to sit out and LeBron James could sit as well. At the very least, he will see his minutes reduced. The Bulls have everything to play for as they are fighting hard for the final playoff spot in the East. The Bulls are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss, and we'll take them in this situation tonight.

4* Major NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Suns -6.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs are going to have a tough time running and gunning with the Suns tonight after a tough one in Sacramento last night, especially with Tony Parker's minutes being limited. The Suns haven't played since the 3rd so they will be very fresh. The Suns are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) playing on back-to-back days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 71-32 ATS the last 5 seasons, and we are seeing the underdog lose by 10.3 points on average in these spots. Take the Suns.

5* Wiseguy NBA Letdown Game of the Year on Nets +8
Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for the Bucks tonight after clinching a playoff berth with a win against the Bulls last night. The Bucks were able to persevere in their first game without Bogut, but the second game will be much more difficult. With Bogut out, New Jersey's Brook Lopez will have a lot more room to operate on the offensive end. The Bucks are clearly being overvalued at this price. In fact, they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Nets are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 road games, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Fade the Bucks in this letdown spot.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Month on Kings +6.5
Bottom Line: Expect the Spurs to struggle tonight because of the injury to George Hill. Once Tony Parker went down, it took San Antonio a while to adjust. Now his replacement will miss time with an ankle injury. Not only can Hill score and create for others, but he is the guy that gets the Spurs into their offensive sets. I just don't see things going to smoothly for San Antonio tonight. The Spurs are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite. The Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Also, the Kings have either been victorious or have lost by 3 or fewer points in each of their last 5 home contests with the Spurs. San Antonio is overvalued in this spot. Take the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Warriors/Wizards UNDER 220
Bottom Line: Washington is 12-4 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season, and we are only seeing 200.1 points on average in these games. Washington is 16-4 UNDER in its last 20 games, and I expect this trend to continue tonight against a Warriors team expected to be without leading scorer Monta Ellis.

5* Wiseguy National TV Bomb on Spurs +6
Bottom Line: While the Lakers are 33-5 SU at home this season, they are just 16-21-1 ATS in those games as they are one of the more overvalued teams in the NBA because of how much betting attention they receive. They are especially overvalued following an ATS win. As a result, the Lakers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The Lakers are also just 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite. Look for a motivated Spurs team that is playing well to give the Lakers all they want and more this afternoon.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA Blowout on Blazers -6
Bottom Line: After an embarrassing loss to the Nuggets, look for the Blazers to take out their frustration on the lowly Kings tonight. The Blazers have won their past two games at Arco Arena by an average of 18.5 points and the last six matchups with the Kings by 14.0 per game! Also, plays on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are 37-9 ATS the last 5 seasons, including 9-1 ATS this season. Teams in this situation are winning by 10.9 points on average. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Year on LA Lakers -4.5
Bottom Line: It's gut check time of LA, just like it was for Denver last night, and I expect the Lakers to respond just like the Nuggets did. Right away I love the fact that the Lakers have won 13 straight at home against the Jazz and the Jazz are just 3-10 ATS in those games. After getting embarrassed by Atlanta, look for the Lakers to bounce back strong tonight. In fact, the Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. In addition, plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 62-26 ATS the last 5 seasons, 45-16 ATS the last 3 seasons and 8-1 ATS this season. And the underdog is losing by 10.2 points on average in this situation. Take the Lakers!

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Hawks/Cavs UNDER 195.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (ATLANTA) - playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. an opponent, if that opponent is off a win against a division rival, are 93-49 the last 5 seasons, 50-25 the last 3 seasons and 7-2 this season. We are only seeing 190.5 points scored in this situation on average. We'll bet the Under behind this strong system tonight.

4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Nuggets -5
Bottom Line: This game is absolutely huge for Denver in terms of its confidence after such a poor road trip, and I expect the Nuggets to respond in a big way. Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points playing on back-to-back days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 70-32 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are 76-36 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the points with the Nuggets tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month (TNT) on Magic -2
Bottom Line: I'll pound the well-rested Magic tonight against a Mavericks squad that needed overtime to beat Memphis last night. Plus, the Magic will be out for revenge after Dallas defeated them in Orlando the last time these two teams met in mid-February. The Mavericks are only 5-26-1 ATS in their last 32 home games. Plus, the Magic are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas. Lastly, the Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Take the Magic.

4* Major Wednesday Night NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Jazz -13
Bottom Line: Monta Ellis is listed as doubtful for tonight's game and I really don't think the Warriors have a chance of keeping this one within the number even if he is on the floor. The Jazz are 23-7-2 ATS in their last 32 games as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. They are playing for a division title and a No. 2 seed in the playoffs so they have no reason to take the night off. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Month on Heat/Pistons OVER 187
Bottom Line: Miami held Detroit to an atrocious 65 points when these two teams last met in late January. With that loss still leaving a very sour taste in the mouth of the Pistons, I expect them to try like hell to return the favor in this spot, carrying this one over the number as a result. Jermaine O'Neal is expected to be out and Richard Hamilton is listed as doubtful, but this actually plays to our benefit. It forces both teams to really open things up offensively, not relying on their sets as much. The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. The Over is 7-1 in the Pistons' last 8 games as an underdog and 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Bet the Over tonight.

4* Major NBA Total of the Night on Suns/Bulls OVER 215
Bottom Line: This line opened at 217.5 and has been bet down to 215 to create additional value in taking the Over. Phoenix is going to score points. In fact, it has scored 110 or more points in 10 of its last 14 games. The Suns should be particularly motivated to run up the score tonight against a Bulls team that has defeated them by double digits in 3 straight games. While Phoenix scores a lot or points, it also gives up a lot of points. The Suns have allowed 100 or more points in 11 of their last 14 games. Phoenix is 14-4 OVER in road games when revenging a home loss vs. an opponent over the last 3 seasons, and we are seeing 220.1 total points in these spots on average. Bet the Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Hornets UNDER 201.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams in New Orleans. The Under is 8-0-1 in the Hornets' last 9 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Under is 5-0 in the Lakers' last 5 games following a S.U. win and 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. New Orleans is 18-6 Under in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons and 8-1 Under when revenging a loss where its opponent scored 110 or more points this season. Bet the Under!

4* Major on Spurs/Nets UNDER 193
Bottom Line: It's going to be tough for the Spurs to get up for this one both Physically and emotionally after such a huge win in Boston Sunday. The Spurs are 12-2 Under when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing a total of 182.9 points in these spots. Bet the Under.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Spurs/Celtics UNDER 191.5
Bottom Line: Boston is a perfect 10-0 UNDER after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing 181.6 total points scored on average in these spots. With Tony Parker not in uniform to push the pace for the Spurs, they become a very, very slow paced offensive team. I expect to see a half court, defensive battle result in the Under here.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Hornets +3
Bottom Line: New Orleans is very good on its home court, and it will be even better down the stretch now that Chris Paul is back in the lineup. The Hornets have a good problem to have as they have two top notch point guards in Paul and Darren Collison. These guys will be the difference tonight. New Orleans has won 25 of its last 33 home games against the number when facing a team with a winning road record. We'll take the Hornets catching points at home tonight.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Kings/Celtics OVER 196.5
Bottom Line: The Kings will play much better tonight offensively after getting completely embarrassed by only scoring 79 points at New Jersey Wednesday. Boston should be motivated as well as a win will lock up the division title. The Kings leave a lot to be desired defensively, and when odds makers have them as a double digit dog, you know they think the Kings are going to give up some points. So it comes as no surprise that the Over is 4-1 in the Kings' last 5 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. The Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games as a home favorite. Boston is averaging nearly 106 ppg over its last 6, and I expect it to be able to best that mark tonight against a poor defensive team to push this one Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Mavs +3
Bottom Line: After losing the season's first two meetings to the Blazers, look for Dallas to have a little revenge tonight. This is a matchup that has been dominated by the underdog in recent meetings as the dog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6. The Mavericks are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Portland. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Trail Blazers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. I know the Blazers have had considerable rest, but they are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Take the Mavs.

4* Major NBA Side of the Night on T-Wolves +9.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Plus, the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. I think odds makers are asking too much of the Bobcats to post a double digit win at home tonight after an energy-consuming overtime win last night. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Wizards/Pacers UNDER 199.5
Bottom Line: I liked the Under here to begin with when you consider that Washington has been held under the century mark in 12 straight games. Now, I really like it since Andray Blatche, Washington's main scoring option, is not expected to play for disciplinary reasons. Washington is 18-5 UNDER in all games in the second half of the season this season, and we are only seeing 190.7 points scored in these games on average. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Clippers +9.5
Bottom Line: Both teams will be extremely motivated in this spot as they both look to get back in the win column so I'm giving the edge to the fresher team. The Mavs just played last night in New Orleans, and I think it's asking a lot for them to return home and defeat a Clippers team that has had a day to rest by double digits. The Mavericks are 3-26-1 ATS in their last 30 home games. They are also just 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. We'll take the Clippers and the points here tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Year on Grizzlies -2
Bottom Line: I know Memphis has struggled at Sacramento, but the Grizzlies have the clear advantage in terms of talent and motivation in this one. Tyreke Evans is banged up and may not even go for the Kings, and he won't be at 100% even if he does. So the Kings start Evans, Donte Greene, Carl Landry, Spencer Hawes and Francisco Garcia. The Grizzlies start Rudy Gay, Zach Randolph, Hasheem Thabeet (Marc Gasol doubtful), OJ Mayo and Mike Conley. Big edge to Memphis in terms of athleticism and talent. Plus, the Grizzlies still have an outside shot at the playoffs so they will be the more motivated side. The Kings are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. Take Memphis.

4* Major Sunday NBA Monster BEST BET on Pistons +12.5
Bottom Line: First off, the road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Secondly, the Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Detroit has kept the score within this number in all three prior meetings this season, and I expect it to do so again as it plays hard to avoid the season sweep. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Celtics +4
Bottom Line: This is a huge statement game for Boston to show the rest of the NBA that it WILL be a force come playoff time. With this in mind, I just can't see laying this many points with the Mavs. Right away, you don't mind taking the Celtics in this back-to-back spot because they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Plus, the Celtics are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 51-24-2 ATS in their last 77 games as a road underdog period. As for the Mavs, they are only 2-25-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite. Lastly, the Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Dallas. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night Game of the Month on Thunder -1.5
Bottom Line: I know the Raptors can be pretty tough north of the border, but I'll take the more talented Thunder in this bounce back spot. The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. The Raptors are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games. Thunder are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Lastly, the Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. We'll take OKC tonight.

4* Major NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Magic -2
Bottom Line: Miami may hang around for a while in this one, but expect it to be a blood bath when the final buzzer goes off. After losing the first two meetings of the season to the Heat, the Magic responded with a 16-point blowout last month and I expect them to roll by double digits again. Miami is 0-8 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of its last 7 against the spread this season, losing in these spots by 9.9 points on average. The Heat are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points while the Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or less. Plus, the Magic are 11-4-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. We'll lay the number.

5* Wiseguy 2010 NBA Underdog of the Year on LA Clippers +5.5
Bottom Line: First off, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Secondly, the Bucks are just 2-9-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and only 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Milwaukee has been a great team to ride of late, but now I think it's time to fade away as odds makers are really overvaluing the Bucks right now. The first evidence of this was Sunday when they were favored by 9.5 points against Indiana and only won by 4. The Clippers will be extremely motivated in this spot as they are rested and ready to end an 8-game skid. The Bucks are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Plus, the Clippers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take the points.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Spurs/Magic UNDER 193
Bottom Line: The Magic have played to the Under in 10 of their last 13, the Spurs in 5 of their last 7. Without Tony Parker in the lineup to push the pace, I expect a halfcourt affair tonight in Orlando. The Under is 7-0 in the Spurs' last 7 games as a road underdog. The Under is 22-6-1 in the Magic's last 29 games as a favorite and 15-5-1 in their last 21 home games. Expect a defensive battle tonight. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Kings UNDER 208
Bottom Line: The Under is 9-3 in the Lakers' last 12 road games, 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 5-0 in their last 5 games following an ATS defeat and 4-0 in their last 4 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Tuesday has been a flat night for the Kings over the course of the season, and the Under is 9-2-1 in their last 12 Tuesday games as a result. Plus, the Under is 7-1 in their last 8 vs. the NBA Pacific. After a physically taxing uptempo game at Golden State last night, look for the Lakers to control the tempo more tonight, slowing things down to take advantage of their size up front. Pound the Under.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Pistons/Celtics OVER 195
Bottom Line: While this matchup has been an Unders machine in the past, we have started to see things change with both of these teams as neither is the defensive powerhouse it once was. In fact, the last meeting between these teams totaled 205 points. And Boston has shown that it can score a lot of points in motivated spots. As a result, the Over is 5-0 in the Celtics' last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Plus, the Over is 22-5 in the Celtics' last 27 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Over is also 5-1 in the Pistons' last 6 games as an underdog. Take the Over.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night NBA Blowout on 76ers -3
Bottom Line: The public is all over the Knicks, and this line tells me the odds makers are confident the 76ers are going to win. NY looked like an unstoppable team Saturday against the Mavs, but that doesn't mean they'll get the job done tonight against a more motivated team. In fact, the Knicks are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a win. And NY just doesn't cover consecutive games. It is 9-19 ATS after a game where it covered the spread this season and 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following an ATS win. The Knicks are also just 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia. After a loss in Miami Sunday, and after suffering their first loss to the Knicks in 7 meetings in January, look for the 76ers to be extremely motivated tonight. We'll lay the points.

4* Major Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Jazz +2
Bottom Line: The Jazz are one of the best bounce back teams in the NBA, having not lost consecutive games in more than 2 months. In fact, the Jazz are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. loss. And they will be further motivated by 2 prior losses to OKC this season. The Jazz are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games, 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog and 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Plus, the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA National TV Game of the Month (ABC) on Celtics +7.5
Bottom Line: Boston is coming off a confidence-boosting blowout win over Indiana. It will use that momentum, as well as motivation from a 20-point home loss to Cleveland last month, to take care of business for us here today. Without Shaq, Boston has an edge on the interior. I expect this to be where the Celtics can really give Cleveland some problems. Plus, Boston has been figured out of the title race by many experts because of their recent struggles so I look for the Celtics to make a bold statement. The Celtics are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games while the Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Also, plays on road teams (BOSTON) in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG), after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game are 58-35 ATS the last 5 seasons. Considering the road team is playing the home squad to a dead heat at 95.6 points in this situation, I'd say Boston is showing some nice value. Take the points.

3* NBA SUREFIRE on Knicks +11
Bottom Line: The Knicks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. The Mavericks are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater and 2-23-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. With these things in mind, I just can't justify laying this many points, especially with the Knicks motivated by a 50-point loss to the Mavs the last time they met. Take the points.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Wizards +11.5
Bottom Line: This is Washington's 3rd game in as many days and because of that odds makers are giving the Wiz a generous amount of points on their home floor. After laying an egg in Detroit last night, they'll be fired up for one of the best teams in the East. Washington always seems to compete against the Magic. In fact, each of the last 4 meetings have been decided by 9 or fewer points and Washington has won both meetings this season. Plus, the Magic will be much more concerned about tomorrow night's game with Charlotte. Washington is on a 27-10 ATS run after 6 or more consecutive losses. The Wizards are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Bucks UNDER 196.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on any team (MILWAUKEE) in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less, are 76-38 the last 5 seasons, including 3-1 this season. And we are only seeing 181.9 points scored on average in this situation. It's also more than worth noting that Milwaukee is 7-0 Under after successfully covering the spread in 6 or more consecutive games this season, and we are only seeing an average of 178.3 points in these spots. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Month on Pacers +9.5
Bottom Line: With as much as the Celtics have been struggling, they don't deserve to be laying this many points to anyone. The Celtics are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite, 10-29 ATS in their last 39 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 15-37 ATS in their last 52 games as a home favorite. Plus, the Pacers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the underdog is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings. We'll take the points.

4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Warriors +5.5
Bottom Line: The Blazers have struggled at Golden State. In fact, Golden State has won nine straight at home against Portland by an average of 12.2 points. The Blazers prefer to play a half court game, as that is there strength, but that's something the Warriors haven't allowed them to do in Oakland. Plus, the Warriors should get a nice lift from leading scorer Monta Ellis, who is expected to return to the lineup tonight. After getting shut out on their 5-game road trip, the Warriors will be extremely motivated to get back in the win column this evening. The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest, 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 34-14-4 ATS in their last 52 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the Warriors.

5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge Game of the Month on Nets +11.5
Bottom Line: I feel very comfortable taking the points tonight against a Dallas team that is really banged up, especially since the Mavericks are only 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater, including 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. The Mavericks are also just 3-22-1 ATS in their last 26 home games. In addition, the Nets are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. With the Nets and Knicks up next, expect the shorthanded Mavs to use this opportunity to rest up and regain some health. In other words, I don't expect the Mavs to be world beaters tonight. We'll take the points.

3* Celtics/Bucks SUREFIRE on Celtics +1
Bottom Line: Yes, the Bucks have been rolling (mostly against poor teams), and they did just beat the Cavs (without LeBron James), but I'm not sold on this team. I expect them to find that they still have some work to do when they face the veteran Celtics this evening. The Celtics are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 51-23-1 ATS in their last 75 games as a road underdog period. Over the last 3 seasons, Boston has won 7 of the 8 meetings. Off a poor performance against the Wizards that they were lucky to win, I expect the Celtics to show up and play some ball tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Southeast Division Game of the Year on Heat +3.5
Bottom Line: Miami has won 3 in a row, including a pair of huge wins over the Lakers and Hawks, and I don't think we'll find the Heat in a more motivated spot this season. Miami was absolutely embarrassed to the tune of 104-65 the last time it faced the Bobcats and I fully expect the Heat to have their revenge tonight. Here's the key: plays on underdogs (MIAMI) revenging a road blowout loss of 30 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, are 23-4 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also like that the Bobcats are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and the Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Take Miami and the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/T-Wolves UNDER 207
Bottom Line: Right away I like the Under here when you consider that Dallas is 18-6 Under in road games where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons, and we have only seen an average of 199.1 points scored in these games. Plus, Dallas is 11-1 Under in road games after a game where it made 55% of its shots or better over the last 3 seasons, and we are only seeing 185.4 points scored in these spots. Also, the Under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams, including 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Bomb (ESPN) on Blazers +6.5
Bottom Line: Portland is playing well, having won 5 of its last 6 SU & ATS. We'll take Portland and the points tonight as this should be a heated division rivalry game. Portland is 20-10 ATS in all road games this season. The Trail Blazers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Nuggets are just 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite and 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. We also can't overlook the fact that Portland has had 3 full days to rest and prepare. We should see a very strong performance from the Blazers in this spot. Take the points.

4* Major National TV Total of the Week (ABC) on Lakers/Magic UNDER 195
Bottom Line: The Lakers will want this game badly after losing 2 in a row, but so will the Magic, who lost the season's first meeting and fell to LA in last year's NBA Finals. The result should be a game with extreme playoff intensity, catering to the Under. In the last 3 meetings between these two teams, we haven't seen more than 190 total points scored. And both of these teams have been Unders machines. First off, the Under is 20-5-2 in the Lakers' last 27 Sunday games and 20-8 in the Magic's last 28 Sunday games. The Under is 9-3 in the Lakers' last 12 overall, 8-1 in their last 9 games as a road underdog and 26-10 in their last 36 games following a SU loss. The Under is 20-6 in the Magic's last 26 games as a favorite, 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite and 6-0 in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. We'll bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA Blowout on Suns -12
Bottom Line: After playing an uptempo game in Denver last night, the Pacers won't have the legs to run and gun with a hungry Suns team that is coming off a loss to Utah and will be out to avenge a January loss to Indiana. Here's the key: Phoenix is 17-4 ATS versus poor teams outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, beating these teams by 15.7 points on average. Take the Suns.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Warriors/Bobcats UNDER 205.5
Bottom Line: Expect tired legs from the road-weary, short-handed Warriors tonight. As a result, Charlotte should really be able to put the clamps on defensively to keep this one well under. The Under is 5-1 in the Warriors' last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-1 in their last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Charlotte has played to the Under in 4 straight and we'll pound it here.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Year on Thunder -4.5
Bottom Line: Defense has been the calling card of the Thunder but it hasn't been there in their last 2 games. The Thunder were able to get past the Kings at home while allowing over 50% shooting, but they were absolutely crushed by the Nuggets when they allowed better than 50% shooting the next night. Expect to see the "D" return tonight and expect to see the Thunder very hungry after enduring their worst loss of the entire season last game. Here's the clincher: The Thunder are a perfect 7-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season, bouncing back to win by 13.1 points on average. With that in mind, I'd say we're getting some series line value here. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Central Division Game of the Month (ESPN) on Pistons +12
Bottom Line: I know the Pistons just got drilled by the Knicks, but I think we are getting some pretty good line value with them here when you consider that they are only losing by an average of 7.5 points on the road this season and Cleveland is only winning by an average of 9.9 points at home. Last Friday we cashed in on the Pistons as they got up to play the Nuggets on the road and only lost by 5 points as a 9.5-point dog. I expect a similar result tonight as they will be pumped to take on the best team in the NBA. Cleveland is on a 2-13 ATS slide after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games, actually losing in these spots by an average score of 95.7 to 103.1. Take the Pistons and the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Jazz +2
Bottom Line: The Jazz just don't lose consecutive games (haven't in 2 months), especially when they are fresh. Having not played since Monday, I'll pound them in this bounce back spot against a Suns team that just played last night. The Jazz are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 day's rest. Plus, the Jazz are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix in this matchup. Take Utah!

3* NBA on TNT Prime Time Total on Lakers/Heat UNDER 189.5
Bottom Line: The public is all over the Over tonight after watching both the Lakers and Heat play Over the total in their last game. But LA is 8-2 Under in its last 10 and Miami is 12-3-1 Under in its last 16. Plus, the last time these two teams met in Miami, we only saw 176 points put up on the board. The Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Miami, 5-0 in the Lakers' last 5 games as a road favorite and 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Under is also 5-0-1 in the Heat's last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. We'll take this 19-0 Totals Angle to the bank tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets -7
Bottom Line: Expect an offensive explosion from Denver tonight. The Nuggets should be extremely motivated following back-to-back losses to the Lakers and Suns and they will be further motivated by an embarrassing 101-84 loss at OKC in January. Plus, this is a tough spot for the Thunder playing a back-to-back. I also love the fact that plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points playing on back-to-back days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 57-25 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, Denver is 14-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 14.8 points. Lay the points.

4* Major on Bobcats +4.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings at Boston and 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings overall. The underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Celtics are only 6-20-1 ATS at home this season and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. Look for Charlotte, which has 2 embarrassing losses to Boston this season, to show up in a big way tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Kings/Thunder UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Sacramento is 10-0 UNDER when its scores just 87 to 92 points in a game this season and we are only seeing an average total score of 189.5 in these spots. Considering the Kings have been held to just 89 and 88 points respectively in their last 2 road games, the above angle has a lot of relevance in this spot. Plus, the last 3 matchups between these two teams have all gone UNDER and they didn't break the 200 total points barrier in any of those games. Bet the UNDER.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Heat -10
Bottom Line: The Warriors have an injury list 2 pages long and will be without leading scorer Monta Ellis and second leading scorer Corey Maggette tonight. Off 4 straight defeats, look for Miami to explode to victory at home tonight against the shorthanded Warriors. The Heat are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Lay the points with Miami tonight.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night NBA Blowout on Bobcats -1.5
Bottom Line: I'll take a rested Bobcats team that is 20-7 at home against a Mavs team that just played last night. Charlotte will be happy to be playing on its home floor again tonight after completing a 4-game road trip. Dallas has played a lot of games in few days and we really started to see it wear down in the second half last night. In fact, the Mavericks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. Also, the Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. We'll pound the much fresher Bobcats in this one.

5* Wiseguy NBA Bailout of the Month on Hornets +8.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Mavericks are 6-23 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite and 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Hornets are also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this matchup. Dallas has played well since the All-Star break but it has proven time and time again that it can't be trusted laying points. Take the Hornets.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Nuggets/Lakers UNDER 209
Bottom Line: The Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings between these two teams. The Under is 19-5-2 in the Lakers' last 26 Sunday games, 7-1 in their last 8 overall and 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The Under is 11-4 in the Nuggets' last 15 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 17-8 in their last 25 games as a road underdog. This one has the Under written all over it.

3* SUREFIRE on Lakers -6
Bottom Line: After a couple bad defeats to the Nuggets this season, expect the Lakers to send a message today that they aren't about to pass the torch. I love the fact that plays on home favorites (LA LAKERS) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 40-15 ATS the last 5 seasons. Plus, the Nuggets are just 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings in LA. The Lakers are also a solid 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Lay the number.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA Bailout on Warriors -3.5
Bottom Line: I'll take the rested Warriors laying a small number at home against a tired Detroit team that lost a tough one at Denver last night. It will be extremely tough for the Pistons to get up for this one after playing so hard last night only to come up short. The Pistons are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Pistons are just 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings at Golden State. Take the Warriors.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Pacers -3
Bottom Line: Joakim Noah doubtful. Bulls tired coming off an OT win last night. Pacers fresh with a day's rest. Pacers extremely motivated having lost 3 times to the Bulls already this season. Indiana has won 23 of L30 at home against Bulls. Need I say more? Just love this situation tonight. Pacers step up and paste the Bulls tonight.

4* Major NBA "Total" Bailout on 76ers/Lakers UNDER 198.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 6-1 Under their last 7. They allowed Dallas over the century mark Wednesday after 6 straight games of holding their opponents to 98 or fewer points. I expect the Lakers to really clamp down defensively tonight. The Under is 5-0 in the Lakers' last 5 games as a favorite and 24-10 in their last 34 games following a S.U. loss. The Under is 8-1 in the 76ers' last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy Friday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pistons +9.5
Bottom Line: We'll fade the Nuggets tonight as they will have a very difficult time getting up for this one after playing a late one last night at Golden State and with the Lakers on deck. The Pistons have covered 5 straight in this series. The Nuggets are a lousy 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite and just 12-23 ATS in their last 35 games after playing a game as a road favorite. The Nuggets are also just 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing with zero day's rest. We'll take the Pistons and the points tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Bulls -3
Bottom Line: The Blazers find themselves in a tough spot tonight playing their third road game in 4 days. Because of that, I'll lay the small number with the Bulls, which are 7-2 SU & ATS their last 9. The Bulls have been strong at home all season at 18-9 and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Year on Cavs -2
Bottom Line: Even if Paul Pierce was expected to play Thursday, which he is not, I love the Cavs laying this small number on the road tonight. If you remember, Cleveland lost 95-89 at home in the very first game of the season on TNT. I know the Cavs have not forgotten. We cashed in on the Celtics in that game, but I expect the Cavs to return the favor in Boston tonight. The Celtics have struggled against top notch competition this season, and as a result, they are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Celtics have lost to the Hawks 4 times this season. They have also dropped 3 of 4 to Orlando. Boston is just 16-9 SU and 6-18-1 ATS in home games this season. In fact, the Celtics are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. After just losing on the road to Orlando, the Cavs will be very hungry tonight. This one may be close for a while, but I expect the Cavs to pull away in the 4th. Lay the points.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Lakers/Mavs UNDER 195
Bottom Line: The Lakers are a perfect 7-0 UNDER as an underdog this season and we are only seeing an average of 187.2 total points scored in these games. The Lakers are also 10-1 UNDER off a road win by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons and the Mavs are 14-5 UNDER when revenging a loss vs. an opponent this season. Dallas has had this one circled since it lost by 5 at home to the Lakers last month. While I would lean toward Dallas getting the job done tonight, I feel the UNDER is the stronger play as the Mavs have been very good defensively in revenge games. Bet the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pacers/Bulls UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days against a tired opponent - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, are 19-5 the last 3 seasons, including a perfect 2-0 already this season. With Danny Granger not expected to play, points will likely he hard to come by for the Pacers tonight. We'll bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Total of the Year on Suns/Thunder UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHOENIX) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in February games are 42-9 the last 5 seasons, 30-6 the last 3 seasons and a perfect 8-0 this season. The average total posted in these games was 204 points and teams have only combined to score 196.2 on average. With Nash out, I just can't see the Suns scoring enough to push this one Over. Pound the Under.

3* NBA Side of the Night on Lakers -5
The Lakers are well rested having not played since the 18th, and they are also expected to have both Kobe Bryant and Andrew Bynum on the floor tonight. The Lakers started the month of February by losing in Memphis so they should have a little extra motivation to take it to the Grizz here. The fact that LA is coming off an upset loss to Boston actually puts us in nice position as plays on road favorites revenging a loss vs. an opponent, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 89-48 ATS since 1996, including 4-1 ATS this season. We'll lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pacers/Mavs UNDER 208.5
Bottom Line: Thanks to Dallas' new additions from Washington, it is a much better defensive team. In fact, Dallas' four opponents since the break are averaging only 93.0 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Indiana is 14-5 UNDER when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season and we are only seeing 198.6 points on average in these spots. Dallas is 19-9 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons and we are only seeing 196.9 points on average in these spots. Indiana really struggles on the road, scoring just 99 ppg away from home this season. So with Dallas' renewed defensive focus, I expect this one to finish under the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Northwest Division Game of the Year (ESPN) on Blazers +1
Bottom Line: Portland has lost all 3 prior meetings to Utah this season with all 3 of those losses coming by double digits. Plus, Portland is coming off one of its worst performances of the season, scoring only 76 points in a blowout loss to Boston last game. These things should add up to one of Portland's most inspired efforts of the season. The Trail Blazers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points so this is a strong bounce back team. The Trail Blazers are also 31-14 ATS in their last 45 games as a home underdog, which gives us another reason to take them seriously tonight. Lastly, the Jazz are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings at Portland. Bet the Blazers.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Hawks/Warriors UNDER 213.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ATLANTA) after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against an opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 28-6 since 1996. Plus, the Under is 7-3 in the Hawks' last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. We'll bet the Under here.

3* SUREFIRE on Suns -9.5
Bottom Line: The Kings are really struggling offensively after shipping out scorer Kevin Martin and I expect those struggles to continue in Phoenix this evening. The Kings are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Pacific. Phoenix is 17-5 ATS versus terrible defensive teams allowing 103+ points/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, beating these team by 11 points on average. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pacers +8
Bottom Line: I don't trust the Rockets laying this many points tonight, especially with all the new players that are expected to make their debut with the team. It's almost impossible for a team to operate smoothly after making so many changes and I just don't see it happening here. The Rockets are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games and the Pacers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. With these things in mind, the Pacers should not be catching this many points, even if they did play last night. Indiana keeps this one within the number.