Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-21-21 | Rangers v. Tigers -116 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Detroit Tigers -116 The Key: The Detroit Tigers have won 5 straight coming in and are one of the most underrated teams in the American League. They should not be nearly even money here against the Texas Rangers, who are 0-7 in their last 7 games and have scored a total of 4 runs in their last 6 losses. The Rangers are now 13-35 in road games this year. We'll go against Jordan Lyles, who is 5-6 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 18 starts for Texas this year. The Rangers are 16-54 in their last 70 road games. The Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 home games. Take Detroit. |
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07-20-21 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 222.5 | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
7* Suns/Bucks Game 6 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 222.5 The Key: The 3 matchups in Phoenix have gone OVER the total and the 2 matchups in Milwaukee have gone UNDER the total with 220 and 212 combined points. Oddsmakers closed with a 219.5-point total in Game 5 and it sailed over the number with 242 combined points. But it was an aberration with the Suns shooting 55.2% overall and 68.4% from 3 while the Bucks shot 57.5% overall and 50% from 3. Now they have set this total 3 points higher at 222.5, so I like the price we are getting with the UNDER knowing neither team is going to come close to matching their impressive shooting numbers in Game 5. It was the slowest-paced game of the series and this one should slow down even more in an elimination game. Take the UNDER. |
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07-19-21 | Rangers v. Tigers -102 | Top | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
7* AL Game of the Month on Detroit Tigers -102 The Key: The Detroit Tigers have won 3 straight coming in and are one of the most underrated teams in the American League. They should not be even money here against the Texas Rangers, who are 0-5 in their last 5 games and have scored a total of 3 runs in their last 4 losses. The Rangers are now 13-33 in road games this year. Casey Mize has been Detroit's best starter at 5-5 with a 3.59 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 17 starts this year. Kyle Gibson is 10-10 with a 5.53 ERA in 23 lifetime starts against the Tigers. He has yielded 18 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings in his last 4 starts against Detroit for a 7.48 ERA. The Rangers are 16-52 in their last 68 road games. The Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games. Take Detroit. |
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07-18-21 | Astros v. White Sox -124 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -124 The Key: The White Sox have a big edge on the rubber today over the Astros. Carlos Rodon is 7-3 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 15 starts this year. Rodon owns the Astros at 1-0 with a 1.83 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against them. Lefty Framber Valdez has faltered with a 7.00 ERA in his last 2 starts. The White Sox are 33-8 against left-handed starters over the last 2 years and should get after him today. Chicago is 48-19 in its last 67 home games. Take Chicago. |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns -3.5 | Top | 123-119 | Loss | -107 | 32 h 32 m | Show |
7* Bucks/Suns Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix -3.5 The Key: Home-court advantage has clearly been huge in this series. The home team is 4-0 with 3 wins by double-digits. Game 4 was close as the Suns were covering the entire way before the Bucks closed strong for a 109-103 victory. Now it's the Suns back at home in Game 5 here where they will be much more comfortable and should get a bounce back game from Chris Paul. The Suns scored 118 points and shot 46.6% in Game 1 and scored 118 points and shot 48.9% in Game 2 including 50% from 3-point range. They have been so good at home in these playoffs and this is a short number for them to be laying when you consider they were 5-point favorites in Game 1 and 4.5-point favorites in Game 2. They are now 35-11 at home this year. The Suns are also 36-16 ATS in their last 52 home games. The Bucks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as road underdogs. The Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as home favorite. Phoenix is 46-19-1 ATS in its last 66 games against a team with a winning record. The Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 trips to Phoenix. The Suns are 18-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this year. Take Phoenix. |
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07-16-21 | Astros v. White Sox +115 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
7* Astros/White Sox AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +115 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Chicago White Sox as home underdogs to the Houston Astros tonight. They will be hungry to avenge their 4-game sweep at the hands of the Astros in Houston in June. Chicago starter Dylan Cease has done his best work at home this year. Cease is 4-0 with a 1.81 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 8 home starts and the White Sox have gone 7-1 in those starts. Chicago is 47-18 in its last 65 home games. Take Chicago. |
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07-14-21 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 220.5 | Top | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
7* NBA Finals Total of the Year on Suns/Bucks UNDER 220.5 The Key: I think we see the lowest scoring game of the series between the Suns and Bucks tonight. They combined for 223 points in Game 1, 226 in Game 2 and 220 in Game 3. The pace will slow down as this series goes on because both teams get better at defending the other the more familiar they become with one another. There will be fewer and fewer fast break opportunities and more half court sets. And it's unlikely that both teams shoot as well as they did in Game 3 and that game still only produced 220 combined points. Take the UNDER. |
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07-11-21 | Suns v. Bucks -4 | Top | 100-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
7* NBA Finals Game of the Year on Milwaukee Bucks -4 The Key: It's now or never for the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 3 at home after falling down 2-0 in this series. I don't see the Suns shooting as well on the road as they did at home, especially in Game 2 when they cashed in a ridiculous 20 of 40 3-pointers. The Bucks should get much better performances from their role players after Giannis is really the only one that showed up offensively in Game 2 with over 40 points. The Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take Milwaukee. |
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07-10-21 | Blue Jays +111 v. Rays | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
7* Blue Jays/Rays AL East *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +111 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Toronto Blue Jays today. They will be hungry to bounce back from a Game 1 loss to the Rays. I like their chances with Ross Stripling taking the ball for Toronto. Stripling is 3-1 with a 2.77 ERA in his last 7 starts while yielding 2 earned runs or fewer in 6 of those. Ryan Yarbrough is 3-3 with a 4.42 ERA in 12 starts this year and 1-2 with a 4.77 ERA in 5 home starts. Stripling just faced the Rays on July 3rd and limited them to one earned run in 5 2/3 innings in 6-3 Toronto victory. Take Toronto. |
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07-09-21 | Yankees v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
7* AL Total of the Month on Yankees/Astros OVER 9 The Key: This total is too low for two of the best lineups in the American League. The Astros are the best offensive team in baseball hitting .272 and scoring 5.5 RPG. The Yankees have scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games overall and are starting to hit up to their talent level. Nestor Cortes faced the Astros last year and yielded 7 earned runs in 1/3 of an inning in a 1-11 loss. Jake Odorizzi is 0-2 with an 11.00 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Yankees yielding 11 earned runs and 3 HR's in 9 innings. Odorizzi is 0-2 with a 6.76 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 4 home starts this year. The OVER is 8-2-1 in Yankees last 11 games as road underdogs. The OVER is 3-0-1 in the last 4 matchups. The OVER is 14-6-1 in Astros last 21 games against a left-handed starter. Take the OVER. |
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07-08-21 | Bucks +5.5 v. Suns | Top | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 19 m | Show |
7* Bucks/Suns Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +5.5 The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks got Giannis back for Game 1 of this series and are back to basically full strength now for these finals. In no world should the Bucks be 5.5-point dogs to the Suns in Game 2 with their backs against the wall after losing Game 1. Giannis showed he was still his same old self with 20 points and 17 rebounds, but the Bucks couldn't overcome a huge game from Chris Paul. Jrue Holiday is one of the best perimeter defenders in the NBA and will accept the challenge of trying to limit Paul, who can't possibly be as effective as he was the past couple games. This has been a resilient Bucks team this season and that will show up here in Game 2 with the series basically on the line Thursday. Take Milwaukee. |
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07-07-21 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-127) The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays will be hungry for a win today after falling to the lowly Orioles yesterday. The Blue Jays have a huge edge on the rubber tonight as well. Ryu is 7-5 with a 3.65 ERA in 16 starts and 4-3 with a 3.35 ERA in 9 road starts. He is 3-0 with a 3.69 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against the Orioles. Matt Harvey is 0-7 with a 10.85 ERA in his last 10 starts this year. Harvey sports a 5.73 ERA in his 2 starts against the Blue Jays in 2021 while yielding 7 earned runs in 11 innings. The Blue Jays have gone 11-1 in their last 12 road games against a starting pitcher with a 5.90 ERA or higher in AL games. Take Toronto on the Run Line. |
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07-06-21 | Bucks +6 v. Suns | Top | 105-118 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
7* Bucks/Suns Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +6 The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks showed what they could do without Giannis by beating the Atlanta Hawks in Games 5 and 6. They won by 11 in Game 5 and again by 11 on the road in Game 6. They got big games from both Middleton and Holiday in each victory, and these two are better than they get credit for. There is still enough talent surrounding them to keep this series with Phoenix competitive until Giannis returns. We'll see that in Game 1 tonight as the Bucks are catching too many points against the Suns. Take Milwaukee. |
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07-05-21 | Phillies v. Cubs -125 | Top | 13-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
7* NL Game of the Week on Chicago Cubs -125 The Key: The Chicago Cubs are hungry to end their 9-game losing streak which has seem them lose 5 times by exactly one run. All 9 losses came on the road but they are back home here with a winnable game against the Philadelphia Phillies. The Cubs are 26-13 at home this year while the Phillies are 15-26 on the road. They should tee off on Matt Moore, who is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in his 4 starts this year for Philadelphia. Zach Davies is 3-2 with a 4.15 ERA in 8 home starts this year for the Cubs. Chicago is 9-1 at home against left-handed starters this season. The Phillies are 17-35 in their last 52 road games. The Cubs are 22-8 in their last 30 home games. Take Chicago. |
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07-04-21 | Red Sox v. A's UNDER 9 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
7* MLB Total of the Week on Red Sox/A's UNDER 9 The Key: I'll back the UNDER today between the Red Sox and A's considering how good both of these starting pitchers have been this season. James Kaprielian is 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 9 starts this year for the A's and 2-1 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 3 home starts. Nick Pivetta is 6-3 with a 4.43 ERA in 16 starts for the Red Sox and 3-2 with a 3.40 ERA in 7 road starts. Kaprielian held the Red Sox to one run in 5 innings of a 4-1 victory at Boston on May 12th. Take the UNDER. |
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07-03-21 | Bucks +2 v. Hawks | Top | 118-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
7* Bucks/Hawks Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +2 The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks are underdogs for the first time in this series in Game 6 tonight. They have been 8-point favorites or higher 3 times in their first 5 games, so I certainly like the price we are getting on them as dogs tonight. Middleton, Holiday, Lopez and Portis all had 22 or more points in Game 5 and combined for 106 points in a 123-112 victory over the Hawks in Game 5. I like their chances of closing out this series in Game 6, especially with Trae Young still questionable for the Hawks. Take Milwaukee. |
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07-02-21 | Astros -1.5 v. Indians | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
7* AL Game of the Week on Houston Astros -1.5 (-120) The Key: The Cleveland Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 games overall and their struggles will continue against the Houston Astros tonight. The Astros have a big edge on the rubber with Lance McCullers over Sam Hentges. McCullers is 5-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 12 starts this year. Hentges is 0-2 with a 7.77 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 6 starts. He already has 18 walks and 19 earned runs yielded in 22 innings this year. Take Houston on the Run Line. |
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07-01-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -2 | Top | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
7* Hawks/Bucks Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -2 The Key: The books and the betting public have moved this line too much for the injury to Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Bucks have won plenty of games without him this year and will have the advantage of playing at home in front of their fans without him tonight. And the Hawks could still be missing Trae Young and Clint Capela isn't 100% either. The Bucks will rally for one game here without their star. Consider that they favored by 8 and 8.5 points in their first 2 home games in this series. They were also favored by 5 and 8.5 points in their 2 road games in this series. Now they are only 2-point favorites at home in Game 5, so you can tell just how much the books have moved the line for the Giannis injury. The Bucks are 39-24 ATS in their last 63 games off an upset loss as a favorite. The Hawks are 23-43 ATS in their last 66 playoff road games. Take Milwaukee. |
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06-30-21 | Suns +1 v. Clippers | Top | 130-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
7* Suns/Clippers Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix +1 The Key: Paul George, Reggie Jackson and Marcus Morris combined to make 32 of their 50 field goal attempts in Game 5 to stave off elimination for at least one more game. They have to shoulder so much of the load for this team without Kawhi. But I don't think they'll be able to repeat that performance. And I like the price we are getting on the Suns as underdogs in Game 6 after they were 7.5-point favorites in Game 5. This is an 8.5-point adjustment for home court and it's too much. Take Phoenix. |
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06-29-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +7 | Top | 88-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
7* Bucks/Hawks Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta +7 The Key: The Atlanta Hawks are getting 2.5 more points than they were in Game 3. They were 4.5-point dogs in Game 3 and now 7-point dogs in Game 4. The price is right to back the Hawks in this situation. Atlanta is 51-23 ATS in its last 74 games after losing its last game by 10 points or more. The Hawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games. Take Atlanta. |
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06-28-21 | Clippers +5.5 v. Suns | Top | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
7* Clippers/Suns Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles +5.5 The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers have been a resilient bunch in these playoffs. They've come back from 0-2 down in each of their first 2 series to win. And they were down 0-2 in this series before winning Game 3 and only losing Game 4 by 4 points. I like the price with them in Game 5 tonight considering they have just one loss to the Suns by more than 4 points in this series. They won't go down without a fight. And there's a lot of pressure on the Suns trying to make their first NBA Finals since 1993 with a win. The Clippers are 13-2 ATS on the road with a total of 210 to 219.5 this year. Los Angeles is 45-22 ATS in its last 67 games off a loss. The Clippers are 16-7 ATS in the last 23 matchups. Take Los Angeles. |
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06-27-21 | Yankees -146 v. Red Sox | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -146 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
7* AL East Game of the Year on New York Yankees -146 The Key: No game report on vacation. |
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06-26-21 | Suns -107 v. Clippers | Top | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
7* Suns/Clippers Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix ML -107 The Key: Devin Booker and Chris Paul went a combined 10 for 40 (25%) in the Game 3 loss. That's not going to happen again and I expect the Suns to regain control of this series with a Game 4 victory tonight. Phoenix is 7-0 ATS when avenging a loss as a road favorite this season. The Suns are 8-1 ATS when avenging a road loss by 10 points or more this season. Take Phoenix. |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | Top | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
7* Hawks/Bucks Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -7.5 The Key: The Hawks are 0-2 SU & 0-2 ATS after winning Game 1 in these playoffs. They came back to lose by 9 to the Knicks and by 16 to the 76ers in Game 2. And the Bucks should put it on them tonight after only making 8 3-pointers and 11 free throws in Game 1. Those numbers won't be that low again in Game 2. Take Milwaukee. |
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06-24-21 | Suns v. Clippers +101 | Top | 92-106 | Win | 101 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
7* Suns/Clippers Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles ML +101 The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers were down 2 games to 0 against both the Mavericks and Jazz and not only came back to win Game 3 both times, but also to win the series both times. They have been here before and won't be phased. Now the Clippers will rely on their home-court advantage where they have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as home underdogs. Take Los Angeles. |
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06-23-21 | Hawks +8 v. Bucks | Top | 116-113 | Win | 101 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
7* Hawks/Bucks Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta +8 The Key: The Atlanta Hawks have done their best work on the road in these playoffs. They are 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS on the road this postseason including 3 outright wins at Philadelphia last series. This 8-point spread is too high for Game 1 of this series with the Bucks, who have been able to advantage but have been shaky in the process, especially offensively. The Hawks won their final matchup of the season with the Bucks outright as 6-point home dogs. And they have been a different team with Nate McMillan as head coach. They have a great chance to steal Game 1 tonight just as they did against both the Knicks and 76ers in their first two Game 1's. The Bucks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. The Hawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 matchups in Milwaukee. Take Atlanta. |
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06-22-21 | White Sox -158 v. Pirates | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -158 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -158 The Key: The Chicago White Sox feast on left-handed pitching as they have gone 33-5 against southpaw starters since the beginning of the 2020 season. They come in hungry for a win after dropping all 4 games to the Astros last series. And they take on a Pirates team they should handle in this series starting with Game 1 tonight. The Pirates have lost 11 of their last 13 games. Lefty Tyler Anderson sports a 4.89 ERA in his 13 starts this year. Lucas Giolito has been on his game for a couple months now with one run or fewer yielded in 5 of his last 9 starts. Take Chicago. |
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06-21-21 | Brewers -114 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
7* NL Game of the Week on Milwaukee Brewers -114 The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are 2-31 in their last 33 games and 0-17 in their last 17 games. They haven't won a game since June 1st. Yet they continue getting some respect from the books when they shouldn't be today. Arizona starter Merrill Kelly is 2-7 with a 5.40 ERA in 14 starts this year, 0-1 with a 7.07 ERA in his last 3 starts, and 0-1 with an 8.71 ERA in his last 2 starts against Milwaukee. Brett Anderson sports a decent 4.24 ERA in 11 starts for the Brewers this year. Take Milwaukee. |
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06-20-21 | Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 216 | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
7* Hawks/76ers Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* on UNDER 216 The Key: The UNDER definitely makes sense in Game 7 here. This has become an even lower scoring series as the games have gone one. They combined for 203 points in Game 4, 215 in Game 5 and 203 in Game 6. The Hawks are 16-1 UNDER in their last 17 playoff games when trying to close out the series. Take the UNDER. |
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06-19-21 | Bucks +2 v. Nets | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
7* Bucks/Nets Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +2 The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks have won 3 of the last 4 matchups in this series. They have essentially won 7 of 8 halves as well with the only exception being Kevin Durant going off in the 2nd half of Game 5 to bring the Nets back from 17 points down to win. The Nets just shouldn't be favored over the Bucks without Kyrie Irving and with a 50% James Harden. The Bucks get over the hump with a Game 7 victory tonight. Take Milwaukee. |
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06-18-21 | 76ers -2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
7* 76ers/Hawks Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia -2.5 The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers have let the Hawks off the hook in the last 2 games losing each by 3 points apiece. That includes a 26-point blown lead in Game 5. Now we will get their biggest effort of the year tonight to try and stave off elimination. And this young Hawks team isn't ready to win a huge close out game like this just yet. I like the price with the 76ers as they go from being 7-point favorites in Game 5 to just 2.5-point favorites in Game 6. Take Philadelphia. |
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06-17-21 | Nets v. Bucks -5.5 | Top | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
7* Nets/Bucks Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -5.5 The Key: Kevin Durant had a career game in Game 5 in leading the Nets back from 17 points down to pull the upset over the Bucks. Now Milwaukee is back home where they will be a lot more comfortable and I don't think Durant can shoulder the entire load again and keep the Nets competitive. Kyrie Irving is still out and it's clear James Harden is a shell of himself after going just 1-for-10 from the field in Game 5. Take Milwaukee. |
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06-16-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -7 | Top | 109-106 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
7* Hawks/76ers Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia -7 The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA. They are 33-8 at home this year and will win in this pivotal Game 5 tonight. Joel Embiid isn't going to have only 4 field goals and go 0 for 12 in the 2nd half again like he did in Game 4 when the 76ers still had a chance to win in closing seconds. He'll play better, and the role players will play better in front of their home fans tonight. Take Philadelphia. |
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06-15-21 | Bucks -4 v. Nets | Top | 108-114 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
7* Bucks/Nets Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -4 The Key: The Brooklyn Nets are in a world of hurt right now with the injuries to Harden and Irving. They now have to ask Kevin Durant to do too much. The Bucks are too good of a team to let one player like Durant beat them. And they are hungry to prove that they are NBA title contenders. That showed in their gutsy Game 3 win followed by an 11-point win in Game 4 with their backs against the wall. Now they will grab a stranglehold on this series with a Game 5 victory on the road. Take Milwaukee. |
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06-14-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3 | Top | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
7* 76ers/Hawks Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta +3 The Key: The price is right to back the Atlanta Hawks as 3-point home dogs tonight. They were just 1.5-point home dogs in Game 3 so there has been an adjustment here. The 76ers shot 58.2% from the floor and 47.6% from 3 in Game 3 and that is unlikely to happen again. It's also unlikely the Hawks shoot as poorly as they did in Game 3 as they made only 6 3-pointers at a 26.1% clip. Remember, they cashed 20 3's in Game 1. Philadelphia is 3-11 ATS off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite this year. The 76ers are 13-27-2 ATS in their last 42 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Hawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games. The Hawks are 50-23 ATS in their last 73 games off a double-digit home loss. Take Atlanta. |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2.5 | Top | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
7* Nets/Bucks Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +2.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Milwaukee Bucks as home underdogs in Game 4 after they were just 3.5-point favorites in Game 3 at home. They won by 3 and now this is a 6-point adjustment. The Bucks still haven't shot the ball to their capability in this series and it's coming sooner rather than later. Take Milwaukee. |
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06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 106-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
7* Jazz/Clippers Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles -4.5 The Key: The Clippers are in a must-win situation at home after losing the first 2 games in this series in Salt Laker City by a combined 9 points. Now they are back home and should give a big effort and cover this short number tonight. Take Los Angeles. |
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06-11-21 | 76ers -1 v. Hawks | Top | 127-111 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show |
7* 76ers/Hawks Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia -1 The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers are the better team in this series and have the best player in Joel Embiid. He is clearly healthy now after backing up his 39-point effort in Game 1 with a 40-point effort in Game 2. The Hawks have no answer for him, and the players around him are pretty damn good this season. The Hawks shot the lights out in Game 1 but came back down to reality in Game 2. It should be more of the same here in Game 3 as the 76ers take control of this series with a victory. Take Philadelphia. |
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06-10-21 | Clippers +3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 111-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
7* Clippers/Jazz Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles +3.5 The Key: The Clippers are now 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS on the road in these playoffs. They beat the Mavericks by 10, 25 and 7 points before losing by just 3 to the Jazz in Game 1. They will come back hungry in Game 2 and should get the outright victory, but we'll take the 3.5 points for some insurance. The Clippers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games off a loss by 6 points or less. Los Angeles is 32-16 ATS in its last 48 games off a road loss. The Clippers are 40-24 ATS in their last 64 games when avenging a same-season loss. Take Los Angeles. |
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06-09-21 | Mets -125 v. Orioles | Top | 14-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
7* Interleague Game of the Month on New York Mets -125 The Key: The New York Mets have a big edge on the rubber tonight over the Baltimore Orioles. Taijuan Walker is 4-2 with a 2.17 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 10 starts for the Mets. Matt Harvey is 3-6 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 12 starts for the Orioles. Harvey is 0-4 with a 12.96 ERA in his last 5 starts while yielding 24 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings. Take New York. |
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06-08-21 | Blue Jays v. White Sox -141 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
7* American League Game of the Month on Chicago White Sox -141 The Key: The Chicago White Sox are 28-4 against left-handed starters over the last 2 years. Their next victim will be lefty Robbie Ray and the Toronto Blue Jays tonight. Carlos Rodon goes for the White Sox and is 5-2 with a 1.98 ERA and 0.82 WHIP with 80 strikeouts in 54 2/3 innings this year. Rodon sports a 2.70 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against the Blue Jays. Take Chicago. |
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06-07-21 | Bucks +1.5 v. Nets | Top | 86-125 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
7* Bucks/Nets Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +1.5 The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks are 12-3 in their last 15 games overall. They are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games following a loss. They haven't lost 2 games in a row since April 17-19. They will bounce back following a bad loss in Game 1 in which James Harden went out early, but they only connected on 6 of 30 3-pointers for a 20% clip. Harden remains out for Game 2 and I fully expect the Bucks to take advantage and tie this series. Take Milwaukee. |
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06-06-21 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 210 | Top | 111-126 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
7* Mavs/Clippers Game 7 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 210 The Key: Game 7's always tend to be lower scoring because there is so much at stake and by that point both teams are very familiar with one another, which favors defense. The UNDER is 3-0 in the last 3 matchups in this series with combined scores of 187, 205 and 201 points. Take the UNDER. |
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06-05-21 | Bucks +4 v. Nets | Top | 107-115 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
7* Bucks/Nets Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +4 The Key: The Bucks just outscored the Heat by 82 points in 4 games in their sweep last series. The Heat are a much better team than the Boston Celtics, who the Nets just beat in 5 games. The Bucks have owned the Nets over the years and won 2 of 3 matchups this year with their lone loss coming by just 2 points. The Bucks are 29-11-1 ATS in the last 41 matchups and 16-4-1 ATS in the last 21 matchups in Brooklyn. Take Milwaukee. |
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06-04-21 | Clippers -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
7* Clippers/Mavs Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles -2.5 The Key: I like the Clippers to continue the trend of the road team in this series. The road team has won and covered all 5 games between the Clippers and Mavericks. Los Angeles is now 8-2 ATS in its last 10 trips to Dallas. Luka Doncic had a huge Game 5 and has had much bigger games on the road than at home. The Clippers have won their 2 road matchups with the Mavericks by a combined 35 points in this series. Take Los Angeles. |
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06-03-21 | Suns v. Lakers UNDER 207.5 | Top | 113-100 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
7* NBA 1st Round Total of the Year on Suns/Lakers UNDER 207.5 The Key: This has been a low-scoring series between the Suns and Lakers, who are 2 of the best defensive teams in the NBA. The Suns and Lakers have combined for 200, 192, 204, 211 and 189 points in their 5 games in this series thus far. Oddsmakers have set the number too high again here in Game 6 with a 207.5-point total. The UNDER is 4-0-1 in the last 5 matchups. The UNDER is 8-0-1 in Suns last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games. The UNDER is 16-4-2 in Lakers last 22 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER. |
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06-02-21 | Grizzlies +9.5 v. Jazz | Top | 110-126 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
7* Grizzlies/Jazz Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis +9.5 The Key: The Grizzlies are in a win-or-go-home game tonight against the Utah Jazz. They will give their best effort and it should be good enough to cover this 9.5-point spread. Take Memphis. |
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06-01-21 | Blazers +2 v. Nuggets | Top | 140-147 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
7* Blazers/Nuggets Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Portland +2 The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers have now won 12 of their last 16 games overall with 10 wins by double-digits. They are playing so well right now and should not be the underdogs to the Denver Nuggets in this pivotal Game 5. The Blazers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Take Portland. |
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05-31-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +6 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
7* Jazz/Grizzlies Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis +6 The Key: The Memphis Grizzlies will be hungry for a victory in Game 4 after blowing a late lead to the Utah Jazz in Game 3. They have shown they can play with the Jazz in this series, even with a healthy Donovan Mitchell. And the situation favors the Grizzlies tonight as they will be the hungrier team with their season basically on the line here. Take Memphis. |
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05-30-21 | Suns +6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 100-92 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
7* Suns/Lakers Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix +6.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Phoenix Suns in Game 4 tonight. The Suns are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games off a loss. Phoenix is 22-8 ATS in its last 30 games off an ATS loss. The Lakers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games off a win. Los Angeles is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games off a win by more than 10 points. Take Phoenix. |
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05-29-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers -4.5 | Top | 95-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
7* Nuggets/Blazers Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Portland -4.5 The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers will be hungry for a win at home in Game 4 to even this series. The Nuggets made 20 3-pointers and shot them at better than 50% in Game 3 and that's unlikely to happen again. The Blazers should get better performances from everyone outside Damian Lillard, who is playing as well as anyone in the playoffs. Take Portland. |
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05-28-21 | Clippers -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
7* NBA 1st Round Game of the Year on Los Angeles Clippers -2.5 The Key: The Clippers are in a must-win here in Game 3. They will be the hungrier team after getting upset in each of the first 2 games of this series at home. But the Mavericks couldn't have shot better in both games and that is unlikely to happen again given how good of a defensive team the Clippers are. The Clippers have also had great success on the road in this series going 6-2 ATS in the last 8 matchups in Dallas. Now we get them as only 2.5-point favorites in Game 3 after being 7-point favorites in Game 2. Take Dallas. |
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05-27-21 | Bucks v. Heat +2 | Top | 113-84 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
7* Bucks/Heat Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +2 The Key: It's do or die for the Miami Heat in Game 3 tonight after dropping the first 2 games of this series in Milwaukee. The Heat will have one of the best home-court advantages in these playoffs as they will have over 17,000 fans in attendance with the light restrictions in Miami. It will pay off as they play a great game here similar to Game 1. Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo and company won't go away quietly. The Heat are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home matchups with the Bucks. Take Miami. |
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05-26-21 | Wizards +8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 95-120 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
7* Wizards/76ers Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington +8.5 The Key: The Washington Wizards have only lost one game by more than 7 points in their last 23 games coming into this Game 2 showdown with the 76ers. They have faced the 76ers 4 times already this season and only once did they lose by more than 7 points. This is too many points for the Wizards tonight. Take Washington. |
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05-25-21 | Lakers -1.5 v. Suns | Top | 109-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
7* Lakers/Suns Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles -1.5 The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers will take Game 2 tonight to even this series with the Phoenix Suns. They did not play well at all in Game 1, especially Anthony Davis, and they are primed for a bounce back. The Lakers had won 6 straight prior to that defeat. They are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games off a loss. Take Los Angeles. |
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05-24-21 | Heat +4.5 v. Bucks | Top | 98-132 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
7* Heat/Bucks Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +4.5 The Key: The Miami Heat are 12-5 SU & 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They have been in playoff mode for over a month and are back to playing like they did last season when they made the run to the NBA Finals. They lost by 2 in OT to the Bucks in Game 1 and will be looking to avenge that defeat tonight. The Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 road games. Milwaukee is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games as a favorite. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Milwaukee. Take Miami. |
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05-23-21 | Grizzlies +9 v. Jazz | Top | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
7* Grizzlies/Jazz Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis +9 The Key: The Utah Jazz won't be hitting on all cylinders after having a week off and now trying to get used to playing with both Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley again. This line is simply too wide. The Grizzlies are in a rhythm right now and playing with confidence after disposing of the Spurs and Warriors in win-or-go-home situations. They are now 7-1 SU in their last 8 games and playing as well as they have all season, largely due to being healthy finally. Take Memphis. |
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05-22-21 | Blazers +1 v. Nuggets | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
7* Blazers/Nuggets Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Portland +1 The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 matchups with the Nuggets including their 132-116 win in the regular season finale. The Blazers are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games overall. They will beat the Nuggets without Jamal Murray and Will Barton. Take Portland. |
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05-21-21 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Warriors | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
7* Grizzlies/Warriors ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis +4.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Memphis Grizzlies tonight as this game should be lined closer to a pick 'em. The Grizzlies have gotten healthy down the stretch and are playing their best basketball of the season. They are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games overall. Now they will be looking to avenge that lone defeat, which came at Golden State in the regular season finale. The Warriors are missing several of their best players in Oubre Jr., Wiseman and Thompson. They simply rely too much on Curry. They suffered a heartbreaking loss to the Lakers and will have a hangover from that defeat, while the Grizzlies come in with a ton of confidence after a close win over the Spurs. The Grizzlies are 9-1 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders this season. The Grizzlies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as underdogs. Take Memphis. |
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05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards OVER 236.5 | Top | 115-142 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
7* Pacers/Wizards TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 236.5 The Key: The Pacers and Wizards have played in 3 shootouts this year. They have combined for 256, 295 and 265 points in their 3 matchups. So this 236.5-point total has not been set high enough. Indiana is 7-0 OVER when playing against a team that wins between 40% and 49% of their games this year. The OVER is 10-3 in Pacers last 13 games overall. The OVER is 19-7 in Pacers last 26 road games. The OVER is 11-1 in Wizards last 12 games against a team with a losing record. The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last 5 matchups. Take the OVER. |
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05-19-21 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 223.5 | Top | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
7* Spurs/Grizzlies ESPN *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 223.5 The Key: I'm taking the UNDER in this winner-take-all game between the Spurs and Grizzlies tonight. Both teams will be locked in defensively with their season on the line. And I expect the pressure to affect them both offensively as these are 2 teams not used to playoff pressure. Memphis is 12-1 UNDER in its last 13 home games when playing only its 2nd game in 5 days. The UNDER is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 games playing on 2 days' rest. The UNDER is 37-15 in Grizzlies last 52 home games. The UNDER is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 games overall. Take the UNDER. |
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05-18-21 | Hornets +3 v. Pacers | Top | 117-144 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
7* Hornets/Pacers NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Charlotte +3 The Key: The Charlotte Hornets come into this game catching points with the Pacers due to going 0-5 in their last 5 games overall. But they were close to winning 4 of those 5 games against great competition with all 4 losses either by 5 points or less or in OT to the Pelicans, Nuggets, Clippers, Knicks and Wizards. They are battle-tested now and as healthy as they have been for a long time entering the playoffs. The Pacers are far from healthy. Lamb, Turner and Warren are out while Sabonis, Brogdon, Holiday and Sumner are all questionable. The Hornets won 108-105 at home and 114-97 on the road in their final 2 matchups with the Pacers this year. Indiana is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 games as a home favorite. The Pacers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 playoff games. The Hornets are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 road games against a team with a losing home record. Take Charlotte. |
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05-17-21 | Giants v. Reds -130 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cincinnati Reds -130 The Key: The Cincinnati Reds have a big edge on the rubber tonight over the San Francisco Giants. Sonny Gray sports a 3.55 ERA in his 5 starts this year with 36 strikeouts in 25 1/3 innings. Gray has been at his best at home with a 1.59 ERA in 2 starts in Cincinnati. Logan Webb is 2-3 with a 4.86 ERA in 7 starts for the Giants. Webb has been at his worst on the road with a 7.58 ERA in 4 starts away from home. Gray is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against the Giants. The Reds are 9-2 in their last 11 home matchups with San Francisco. Take Cincinnati. |
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05-16-21 | Hornets v. Wizards -6 | Top | 110-115 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Washington Wizards -6 The Key: The Charlotte Hornets are a tired team right now. They will be playing their 10th game in 16 days in the month of May. They are coming off an OT loss to the Knicks last night in which several players played over 30 minutes, including two over 40 minutes. Now they will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day while the Washington Wizards had Saturday off. The Wizards are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games when playing with one day of rest in between games. Take Washington. |
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05-15-21 | Hornets +5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 109-118 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets +5.5 The Key: The Charlotte Hornets are still going hard to try and get the 8th seed instead of the 9th or 10th because there is a big advantage to doing so. They are battling it out with the Pacers and Wizards for that 8th spot right now. The Hornets are getting healthy just in time for the playoffs as well as they are only missing Hayward and Martin now. The Knicks don't have a ton to play for right now other than seeding as they are going to be the 4th, 5th or 6th which isn't a huge difference. The Hornets are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games off a loss by more than 10 points. Take Charlotte. |
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05-14-21 | Kings v. Grizzlies UNDER 226.5 | Top | 106-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Month on Kings/Grizzlies UNDER 226.5 The Key: The Kings and Grizzlies just played last night with Memphis winning 116-110 for 226 combined points. They are now familiar with each other and tired. They won't combine for more than 226 points in the rematch tonight. Take the UNDER. |
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05-13-21 | Spurs v. Knicks -5 | Top | 98-102 | Loss | -112 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on New York Knicks -5 The Key: The New York Knicks are 17-3 ATS in their last 20 games overall. They are coming off an overtime loss to the Lakers on Tuesday and had Wednesday off. They will bounce back tonight against a tired San Antonio Spurs team that will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after a tough 116-128 shootout loss to the Nets last night. The Spurs will also be playing their 5th game in 7 days and their 8th game in 12 days. Take New York. |
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05-12-21 | Blazers +2 v. Jazz | Top | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
7* Blazers/Jazz ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Portland +2 The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are 8-1 in their last 9 games with 7 wins by 10 points or more. Now they face a Utah Jazz team that will be without 2 of their best players in Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley. The wrong team is favored in this matchup. Take Portland. |
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05-11-21 | Mavs -1.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 104-133 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas Mavericks -1.5 The Key: The Mavericks have a lot to play for right now in terms of playoff positioning and it has shown here the last few weeks. They are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games overall. The Grizzlies are a tired team right now as they have not had 2 days off in a row since the All-Star Break. They just beat the Pelicans by 5 last night and will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day. It will be their 5th game in 7 days and their 11th game in 17 days. The Mavericks have won 3 straight matchups with the Grizzlies by an average of 12 PPG. Take Dallas. |
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05-10-21 | Bucks -6.5 v. Spurs | Top | 125-146 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee Bucks -6.5 The Key: The Bucks have won 5 straight games to get to within 0.5 games of the Brooklyn Nets for 2nd place in the East. Whoever gets the #2 seed will likely host the other team in the 2nd round, so it's a big deal. The Bucks are rested now coming in on 2 days' rest. They should make easy work of the Spurs, who are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games overall and will be playing their 6th game in 9 days. Milwaukee is 30-11 ATS in its last 41 games as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. The Spurs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take Milwaukee. |
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05-09-21 | Bulls -8.5 v. Pistons | Top | 108-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls -8.5 The Key: The Bulls just got back both Zach LaVine and Nikola Vucevic 2 games ago. It's no surprise they are coming off 2 of their best games of the season with a 120-99 win in Charlotte followed by a 121-99 home win over the Celtics on the 2nd of a back-to-back. Now the Bulls are rested having yesterday off and should make easy work of the Detroit Pistons, who will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after losing by 14 to the 76ers yesterday. It will also be the 5th game in 7 days for the Pistons. Detroit is missing so many key players right now due to injury as well. The Bulls are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games against a team with a losing record. Chicago is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 Sunday games. The Bulls are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 matchups. Take Chicago. |
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05-08-21 | Spurs v. Blazers -6 | Top | 102-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
7* Spurs/Blazers NBA *BAILOUT* on Portland -6 The Key: The Blazers have won 6 of their last 7 games by an average of 18.7 PPG. The Spurs have to fly to Portland tonight after beating the Kings in Sacramento last night. That was their first win in their last 6 games and the Kings were short-handed. Now they face a fully healthy Blazers team that should blow them out of the building. The Spurs haven't had consecutive days off since the All-Star Break. They are as tired as any team in the NBA right now and the Blazers will test those tired legs tonight. Take Portland. |
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05-07-21 | Wolves +6.5 v. Heat | Top | 112-121 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Minnesota Timberwolves +6.5 The Key: The Minnesota Timberwolves haven't lost any of their last 8 games by more than 4 points, which makes for an 8-0 angle backing them with this 6.5-point spread tonight. They are finishing the season strong and will continue to do so against the Miami Heat tonight. They just upset the Heat 119-111 at home as 7-point dogs on April 16. They may not have to face Jimmy Butler, who is questionable tonight with the flu. The Timberwolves are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games off a SU loss. The Heat are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games off a SU loss. The Timberwolves are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups. Take Minnesota. |
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05-06-21 | Nets v. Mavs +4 | Top | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
7* Nets/Mavericks TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas +4 The Key: The Brooklyn Nets are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last 4 games overall and should not be road favorites against the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games overall and coming off a 14-point win at Miami. The Mavericks beat the Nets 115-98 on the road in their first matchup this year. Brooklyn is 1-8 ATS in road games after scoring 105 points or more in 5 straight games this year. Take Dallas. |
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05-05-21 | Kings v. Pacers -6 | Top | 104-93 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Indiana Pacers -6 The Key: The Indiana Pacers are hungry to make the playoffs. They won't be taking the Sacramento Kings lightly today. And they are in the more favorable situation after having yesterday off, while the Kings just escaped with a 103-99 win at Oklahoma City yesterday. Now the Kings will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and their 7th game in 11 days. They will for sure be without their top 2 guards in Fox and Haliburton and could be without both Barnes and Metu. The Kings are 0-8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a losing record. The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as favorites. The Kings are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 trips to Indiana. Take Indiana. |
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05-04-21 | Warriors v. Pelicans -2 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans -2 The Key: The Pelicans will be seeking to avenge their 15-point loss to the Warriors last night. They made just 5 3-pointers for the entire game and shot them at 20%. They will improve on those numbers and it will be the difference in the rematch. The Warriors are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games when playing for a 2nd consecutive day. Take New Orleans. |
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05-03-21 | Knicks v. Grizzlies -2.5 | Top | 118-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Memphis Grizzlies. They will be hungry tonight after dropping 3 of their last 4 games. They will want to avenge their OT loss in early April to the Knocks on the road as well. The Knicks will be playing for the 2nd consecutive day after winning against the lowly Rockets in Houston last night. The Grizzlies are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games. Take Memphis. |
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05-02-21 | Kings +7 v. Mavs | Top | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +7 The Key: No game report Sunday. |
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05-01-21 | Raptors +7.5 v. Jazz | Top | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
7* Raptors/Jazz NBA *BAILOUT* on Toronto +7.5 The Key: The Toronto Raptors are hungry to make the playoffs and are 5-3 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games while making a late-season run. Their only 3 losses all came to contenders in the Nets, Nuggets and Knicks. The Jazz aren't a contender in their current state without Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley. The Jazz are 6-11 ATS in their last 17 games. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games with 2 of those coming as double-digit favorites to the Timberwolves. They also lost by 21 to the Suns last night and will now be playing for a 2nd consecutive day while the Raptors had yesterday off. The Jazz are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after trailing in their previous game by 15 points or more at halftime. Take Toronto. |
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04-30-21 | Jazz v. Suns -4 | Top | 100-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
7* Jazz/Suns Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix -4 The Key: The Utah Jazz are still without Donovan Mitchell and they are also without Mike Conley Jr. They just aren't as good without these 2 and certainly not good enough to hang with the Phoenix Suns tonight. The Suns are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 6 points or fewer. Phoenix is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. Utah is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 matchups with the Suns. Take Phoenix. |
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04-29-21 | Raptors +3 v. Nuggets | Top | 111-121 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Toronto Raptors +3 The Key: The situation is a bad one for the Denver Nuggets tonight. They will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and their 5th game in 7 days after Jokic, Porter Jr. and Campazzo all played more than 36 minutes last night in their 2-point victory over the Pelicans. The Raptors are 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and had yesterday off to rest. They are basically fully healthy while the Nuggets are missing Murray, Barton and Morris. Take Toronto. |
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04-28-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -8 | Top | 83-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia 76ers -8 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the 76ers who are at full strength now and coming off a 121-90 win over the Thunder. They had lost 4 straight to 3 of the best teams in the NBA in the Bucks (twice), Suns and Warriors prior to that win. And they should pick up another blowout victory over the short-handed Atlanta Hawks tonight. Atlanta will be playing without Young, Huerter, Hunter, Reddish and Snell tonight. The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 matchups int his head-to-head series. Take Philadelphia. |
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04-27-21 | Mavs v. Warriors -2.5 | Top | 133-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
7* Mavs/Warriors TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -2.5 The Key: The Dallas Mavericks will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and their 5th game in 7 days. They have all kinds of injuries right now too, and Luka Doncic played nearly 38 minutes last night. The situation really favors the Warriors, who had yesterday off and are playing their best ball of the season right now. The Warriors are 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 9 contests. Take Golden State. |
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04-26-21 | Lakers -10 v. Magic | Top | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Los Angeles Lakers -10 The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers are hungry for a win after losing 3 straight to Utah and Dallas (twice). Anthony Davis is back in the fold now and this team should improve rapidly here before the playoffs. They take on a team they should handle in the Orlando Magic, who are just 1-11 SU & 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall with 9 losses by double-digits. The Magic are coming off a 19-point home loss yesterday to the Pacers which followed up a 35-point home loss to the Pelicans. They will now be playing for a 2nd consecutive night and won't have much left in the tank as they have so many guys out due to injury already. The Lakers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as favorites. The Magic are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take Los Angeles. |
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04-25-21 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -4.5 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Portland Trail Blazers -4.5 The Key: The Blazers are just 1-6 SU in their last 7 games with 4 losses by 2 points or less. That includes their 128-130 home loss to the Grizzlies on Friday that they will want to avenge here Sunday. And they won't have to face Jaren Jackson Jr. who scored 23 points against them and is out for this game. We'll get a big effort from the Blazers tonight and it should be enough to avenge that defeat and cover this short number. The home team is 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in the last 8 matchups. Take Portland. |
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04-24-21 | Wolves +13.5 v. Jazz | Top | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Minnesota Timberwolves +13.5 The Key: The Utah Jazz cannot be 13.5-point favorites over the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight considering they are without their best player in Donovan Mitchell and his 26.4 PPG. The Timberwolves are as healthy as they have been all season and are starting to play much better with recent upset wins over the Heat and Kings. They are coming off a 3-point loss to the Kings in the 2nd game of a double-header, but that works in our favor here as the Timberwolves are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games off a loss. Bets against home favorites of 10 or more points who are off a blowout win by 15 points or more against an opponent that scored 55 points or more in the 1st half of 2 straight games are 39-12 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Minnesota. |
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04-23-21 | Heat -5 v. Hawks | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year on Miami Heat -5 The Key: Injuries aren't going to allow the Atlanta Hawks to be competitive tonight. They will be without Trae Young and his 25.3 PPG and 9.6 APG tonight. They will also be without Gallinari, Snell, Reddish and Hunter and Capela is questionable tonight. They take on a Heat team that is surging in winning 9 of their last 13 games, including their last 3 games by a combined 44 points. Atlanta is just 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against a team with a winning record and has failed time and time again when stepping up in competition. Take Miami. |
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04-22-21 | 76ers v. Bucks -5.5 | Top | 117-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
7* 76ers/Bucks TNT Game of the Year on Milwaukee -5.5 The Key: The situation really favors the Bucks tonight. They come in on 2 days' rest and hungry for a victory after dropping their last 2 games. They have a chance to gain on the 76ers in the Eastern Conference standings here. The 76ers will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and their 3rd game in 4 days after losing by 3 at home to the Suns last night. Now they have 4 of their best players questionable to play in this game in Embiid, Simmons, Harris and Curry. Even if everyone were to play for the 76ers I like the Bucks, so having any of them sit would be a bonus. The Bucks have won 9 of their last 13 matchups with the 76ers with 8 of those wins by 6 points or more. Take Milwaukee. |
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04-21-21 | Grizzlies +2 v. Clippers | Top | 105-117 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
7* Grizzlies/Clippers NBA TV *BAILOUT* on Memphis +2 The Key: This is an awful spot for the Los Angeles Clippers tonight. They will be playing for the 2nd consecutive day, their 5th game in 7 days and their 9th game in 14 days. They were already without Kawhi, Ibaka and Beverly and they aren't deep enough to overtime this tough situation. Now they face a very good Grizzlies team that is 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games and rested after having yesterday off. The Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs. Take Memphis. |
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04-20-21 | Clippers v. Blazers +8.5 | Top | 113-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
7* Clippers/Blazers TNT *BAILOUT* on Portland +8.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. They are now 8.5-point home dogs to the Los Angeles Clippers after going just 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. This is easily their largest home dog role of the season. The Blazers want to avenge their loss to the Clippers on April 6th just 2 weeks ago. Take Portland. |
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04-19-21 | Spurs -1 v. Pacers | Top | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs -1 The Key: The Indiana Pacers are in a tough situation tonight. They will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day. They will also be playing their 5th game in 7 days and their 9th game in 14 days. The Spurs want to avenge their overtime loss to the Pacers from earlier this month and are in a great situation to do so after having yesterday off. Take San Antonio. |
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04-18-21 | Nets v. Heat +4 | Top | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
7* Nets/Heat ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +4 The Key: The Miami Heat are hungry for a victory after losing 3 straight road games to the Suns, Nuggets and Timberwolves. They will be playing with a chip on their shoulder today, especially with the Brooklyn Nets coming to town. A motivated Heat team is a dangerous one. Bets on teams who are attempting to avenge a loss by 10 points or more and also off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 60-27 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Miami. |
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04-17-21 | Spurs v. Suns UNDER 227.5 | Top | 111-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Week on Spurs/Suns UNDER 227.5 The Key: Neither the Suns nor the Spurs prefer to play at fast paces. And the Spurs will be especially slow tonight after losing 106-107 to the Blazers last night, so they'll now be playing for a 2nd consecutive day. The Suns rank 25th in pace this year. These teams played a slow tempo game in their first and only matchup this year that finished with only 202 combined points. Take the UNDER. |
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04-16-21 | Knicks +5.5 v. Mavs | Top | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
7* Knicks/Mavs ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +5.5 The Key: The New York Knicks are now 5-2 SU & 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games with their only two losses both coming by exactly 2 points on the road to Boston and Brooklyn. They continue to get zero respect here as 5.5-point dogs to the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games with one of their wins coming on a buzzer-beater. The Knicks' last non-cover came at home in a loss to Dallas on April 2nd, so they'll be seeking to avenge that defeat. The Knicks are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games overall. The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 trips to Dallas. Take New York. |
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04-15-21 | Warriors v. Cavs +8 | Top | 119-101 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Cleveland Cavaliers +8 The Key: The situation favors the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight. They will be playing their 2nd game in 4 days and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall with 3 SU wins by 13 points or more. The Warriors will be playing for the 2nd consecutive day and their 5th game in 7 days. The Warriors are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games when playing for the 2nd consecutive day. Take Cleveland. |
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04-14-21 | Knicks +3 v. Pelicans | Top | 116-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on New York Knicks +3 The Key: The New York Knicks are 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall with their only 2 losses both coming by exactly 2 points to the Nets and Celtics. Wrong team favored here. The Knicks are as healthy as they have been all season which is why they are playing so well right now. The Pelicans are far from healthy as they are without Lonzo Ball, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Josh Hart and could be without James Johnson tonight. New York is 19-5 ATS in its lsat 24 games with a line of +3 to -3. The Knicks are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The Knicks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Knicks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 trips to New Orleans. Take New York. |
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04-13-21 | Lakers v. Hornets -1.5 | Top | 101-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets -1.5 The Key: The situation favors the Charlotte Hornets tonight. They will be playing just their 4th game in 9 days and will be a much fresher team than the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers will be playing their 7th consecutive road game and for a 2nd consecutive night after losing on the road to the Knicks last night. They are still without LeBron and AD and have gone just 5-8 SU without those 2 stars. They basically need to win this game SU to cover the spread tonight, so that's asking a lot given the tough situation. Take Charlotte. |
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04-12-21 | Kings +2.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 110-117 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +2.5 The Key: The New Orleans Pelicans are playing for a second consecutive day, their 5th game in 7 days and their 8th game in 12 days. They had to come back in the 4th quarter last night to beat the lowly Cleveland Cavaliers and they won't have much left in the tank for the Kings tonight. They Kings will be playing only their 3rd game in 7 days. Take Sacramento. |
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04-11-21 | Heat v. Blazers OVER 221.5 | Top | 107-98 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
7* Heat/Blazers NBA *BAILOUT* on OVER 221.5 The Key: The Blazers just beat the Heat 125-122 on March 25 in a game that saw 247 combined points. It should be more of the same as they matchup again here roughly 2 weeks later. Take the OVER. |
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04-10-21 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 216.5 | Top | 135-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Month on Raptors/Cavs OVER 216.5 The Key: The Raptors and Cavs don't have much to play for right now and this game should be a shootout because of it. There isn't much defense that will be played in this game. The Cavaliers have scored 125 and 129 points in their last 2 games. Offense hasn't been a problem for the Raptors this season, but they've taken a big step back defensively. The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with 5 of those games seeing these teams combine for at least 221 points. Take the OVER. |