Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-06-21 | Virginia Tech v. Louisville -4 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
7* ACC Game of the Week on Louisville -4 The Key: Virginia Tech is overrated due to its 8-1 record this season. This will actually be the Hokies' first true road game this season, and it comes against one of the best teams in the ACC in Louisville. The Cardinals are 7-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road at Wisconsin. They will make easy work of the Hokies, which has been a yearly tradition for them. Louisville has won 16 straight matchups with Virginia Tech, most recently a 68-52 home win in March of 2020. Virginia Tech hasn't beaten Louisville since 1991. The Hokies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Hokies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as underdogs. Take Louisville. |
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01-05-21 | Kansas -5.5 v. TCU | Top | 93-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
7* Kansas/TCU Big 12 *BAILOUT* on Kansas -5.5 The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks are coming off their worst home loss in program history to Texas. Their only other loss this season came to top-ranked Gonzaga. They will be fired up to bounce back here against an overrated TCU team that has won 5 straight against suspect competition coming in. The Jayhawks have won 16 of their last 17 matchups with the Horned Frogs. The Jayhawks are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 road games against a team with a winning record. Kansas is 9-0 ATS in its last 9 games off a loss by 20 points or more. Take Kansas. |
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01-04-21 | Maryland +5 v. Indiana | Top | 55-63 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
7* Maryland/Indiana Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Maryland +5 The Key: The Indiana Hoosiers are playing well enough since they opened Big Ten play to warrant being 5-point favorites over Maryland in this matchup. The Hoosiers are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games overall with their lone win coming in overtime over Penn State 87-85 as 6.5-point favorites. They were upset at home by Northwestern 67-74 as 9-point favorites and also failed to cover as 6.5-point underdogs at Illinois. Maryland is 2-1 ATS in its last 3 games. The Terrapins only lost by 3 as 6-point dogs at Purdue, upset Wisconsin 70-64 as 10-point dogs and lost to undefeated Michigan 73-84. Maryland is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in its last 3 matchups with Indiana. Take Maryland. |
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01-04-21 | Monmouth +3 v. Siena | 62-76 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Monmouth +3 The Key: The situation is a good one for Monmouth. The Hawks want to avenge their 77-78 loss at Siena as 2.5-point dogs yesterday. I expect them to win this game outright. Siena didn't get to play a single game all season until yesterday. I can't imagine their cardio will be very good playing for a 2nd straight day now. The Hawks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games off a SU loss. The road team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 matchups. Take Monmouth. |
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01-03-21 | Northwestern +9 v. Michigan | 66-85 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
6* Northwestern/Michigan Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +9 The Key: This is the ultimate time to sell high on the Michigan Wolverines. They are 8-0 this season and with that perfect record comes expectations that are hard to live up to. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. And they are coming off an 84-73 win at Maryland. But Northwestern is no pushover and will give them a run for their money. The Wildcats are 6-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in their 8 games this year with their only losses to Pitt by 1 and Iowa by 15. They are coming off that lost to a Top 10 Iowa team. So there's some line value here with them off that defeat. They also upset Michigan State, Indiana and Ohio State prior to that Iowa game so it was asking a lot of them to give their best effort. They will have a bounce back performance here and look for the Wolverines to relax a little. Take Northwestern. |
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01-02-21 | San Francisco +19 v. Gonzaga | 62-85 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
6* San Francisco/Gonzaga WCC *CA$H COW* on San Francisco +19 The Key: San Francisco has already proven it can play with the big boys with upset wins over Virginia and Nevada, as well as competitive efforts against 2 Pac-12 opponents in California and Oregon. And now they face a Gonzaga team that they gave fits last year. San Francisco faced Gonzaga 3 times last year and played them tough in all 3 matchups. They lost by 4, 4 and 17 points in the 3 matchups. And even in that 17-point loss they led by 9 at halftime before getting blown out after intermission. I love the price we are getting on the Dons today. The Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games off an ATS win. Take San Francisco. |
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01-02-21 | Marshall -1 v. Louisiana Tech | 80-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Marshall/LA Tech C-USA *CA$H COW* on Marshall -1 The Key: Marshall will avenge its 68-75 loss at Louisiana Tech yesterday. The Thundering Herd are the deeper team here as they returned 9 of their top 10 scorers from last year. So they are better equipped than most teams to handle these back-to-back situations that COVID-19 has brought us this college hoops season. They go deep into their bench and push the tempo for 40 minutes, so this is going to be a harder opponent to face than most for other teams in these situations. The Thundering Herd are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games off an ATS loss. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as home dogs. The Thundering Herd are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after 2 straight games with 9 or fewer offensive rebounds. Take Marshall. |
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01-02-21 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma -1.5 | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
6* WVU/Oklahoma Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma -1.5 The Key: The Oklahoma Sooners proved they could play with the best in the Big 12 when they only lost 67-69 to Texas Tech. Now they should beat a West Virginia team that lost to Kansas by 14 and only beat Iowa State by 5 as a 15-point favorite. And it's a West Virginia team that just lost one of its best players in Ocar Tshiebwe (11.2 PPG, 9.3 RPG), who is sitting out the rest of the season for personal reasons. The Sooners won both matchups with the Mountaineers last year 69-59 at home and 73-62 on the road. West Virginia is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after playing a home game. The Mountaineers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. Take Oklahoma. |
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01-01-21 | Marshall +2 v. Louisiana Tech | 68-75 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
6* Marshall/LA Tech Conference USA *CA$H COW* on Marshall +2 The Key: Marshall returned almost everyone from last year, including 9 of their top 10 scorers. Their experience and chemistry has shown early as they have opened 6-1 SU & 4-2-1 ATS. And now they will take down LA Tech, which has feasted on an easy schedule and was blown out by 31 points by LSU in their one game against a pretty good team. Marshall has won its last 2 matchups with LA Tech outright as dogs, and it will be a 3rd straight here as the Thundering Herd are dogs again in their first matchup for 2020-21. The Thundering Herd are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games off a non-conference game. The Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against good offensive teams that score 77 PPG or more. Take Marshall. |
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12-31-20 | Utah v. UCLA -7.5 | 70-72 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
6* Utah/UCLA Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on UCLA -7.5 The Key: The UCLA Bruins brought back all 5 starters this year and are a clear contender in the Pac-12. Their 2 losses came to Ohio State and San Diego State both on the road. They are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS at home this year and winning by 20.5 PPG. Now they host a Utah team that is 0-1 on the road with a 64-82 loss at BYU. Their 4 home wins all came against weak competition. This will be their toughest game yet and a big step up in class. UCLA beat Utah 73-57 at home and 69-58 on the road in their 2 matchups last year. The Utes are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games. The Bruins are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. The home team is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 matchups. Take UCLA. |
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12-30-20 | Penn State +5.5 v. Indiana | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
6* Penn State/Indiana Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Penn State +5.5 The Key: We'll get a hungry PennState squad today off 2 straight losses to open conference season against 2 of the best teams in the Big Ten in Michigan and Illinois. They have been competitive in every game this season outside of that loss to the Fighting Illini. And now this is a step down in competition for them against an Indiana team that is just 5-4 this season. The Hoosiers were upset at home by Indiana and failed to cover in a loss at Illinois in their last 2 games as well, so they aren't playing very good basketball. They also have a 22-point loss to Texas and a loss at Florida State this season. This line should be closer to a pick 'em. The Nittany Lions are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring 80 points or more last game. Indiana is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 home games after failing to cover 2 of its last 3 ATS coming in. The Nittany Lions are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as road underdogs. Take Penn State. |
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12-29-20 | Central Arkansas +34 v. Baylor | 56-93 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Central Arkansas +34 The Key: Central Arkansas' 1-6 record has them undervalued heading into this game with Baylor. But they have played a tougher schedule than Baylor has, and they have actually been very competitive. They didn't lose once by more than 25 points in road losses to Memphis (68-85), Arkansas-Little Rock (83-86), Saint Louis (65-88), Arkansas (75-100), Ole Miss (54-68) and Mississippi State (65-81). And they won't lose by 34-plus points here against a fat and happy Baylor squad that is 6-0 and ranked #2 in the country. The Bears have a game against Alcorn State on deck tomorrow, so they won't be looking to play their starters big minutes. That should help keep Central Arkansas within the number today. Central Arkansas is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games off a home game. Baylor is 10-22 ATS in its last 32 games off a cover as a double-digit favorites. Bets against home favorites of 10 or more points who have made at least 47% of their shots in 3 straight games while also allowing a shooting percentage of 33% or less in their last game are 26-5 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Central Arkansas. |
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12-28-20 | Colorado +3 v. Arizona | 74-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
6* Colorado/Arizona Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Colorado +3 The Key: The Colorado Buffaloes are a contender to win the Pac-12 this year. They are 6-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road to Tennessee, a Top 5 team. They are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in all other games with 6 wins by double-digits. They are outscoring the opposition by 20.5 PPG on the year. Arizona is also 6-1 SU, but just 2-5 ATS as the Wildcats have struggled to put away teams. They had to break in 5 new starters this year and are a work in progress. They won by 19 as a 30-point favorite over Grambling, by 3 as a 13-point favorite over Eastern Washington, by 8 as a 15.5-point favorite over UTEP and by 6 as a 15-point favorite over Montana. They are barely squeaking by, and they lost to the best opponent they played in Stanford. Now the wrong team is favored in this matchup. Arizona is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest. Take Colorado. |
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12-27-20 | Oakland v. Detroit -2.5 | 83-80 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit -2.5 The Key: I love the situation for Detroit today. They are coming off a 75-77 (OT) home loss as 3.5-point favorites over Oakland yesterday. Now they get to play the Golden Grizzlies in the 2nd of a back-to-back and will be hungry to avenge that defeat. Plus the line is better today with Detroit only a 2.5-point favorite. This is a 1-9 Oakland team who got their first victory of the season yesterday. They will exhale and probably won't even show up today. I'll gladly back the hungrier team here in the Titans. This is a Detroit team that only lost by 7 to Michigan State as a 27.5-point dog and by 8 to Notre Dame as a 12-point dog earlier this season to show what they are capable of. I think we get the best version of the Titans Sunday. Take Detroit. |
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12-25-20 | Maryland +6 v. Purdue | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
6* Maryland/Purdue Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Maryland +6 The Key: The Maryland Terrapins opened the season with 4 straight wins by 18 points or more. Then they ran into a couple of juggernauts and lost to both Clemson and Rutgers before rebounding with a win over La Salle. Now they want to taste their first Big Ten victory and I like the price we are getting with them here as 6-point dogs against Purdue. This clearly is a down Purdue team that already has 3 losses on the season to Clemson, Miami and Iowa with two of those by double-digits. They faced an injury-plagued Miami team and still lost. They took advantage of an injured Ohio State team and won. And they beat a bad Notre Dame team. They really haven't proven anything yet and were just put in their place with a 15-point loss to Iowa last time out. And they should not be this big of a favorite here. Purdue has beaten Maryland by more than 5 points just once in the last 9 matchups. That's an 8-1 angle backing the Terrapins today. The Terrapins are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after losing 4 of their last 5 ATS coming in. Take Maryland. |
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12-23-20 | Rutgers v. Ohio State -2.5 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
6* Rutgers/Ohio State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Ohio State -2.5 The Key: Ohio State suffered its first loss of the season against Purdue, but they were without E.J. Liddell for that game. He returned against UCLA and helped lead them to a 77-70 win. And now the Buckeyes are hungry to taste their first Big Ten win today and end Rutgers' perfect 6-0 start to the season. The Scarlet Knights will be without Clifford Omoruyi after he suffered an injury against Illinois last time out. The Buckeyes have won 8 of their last 10 matchups with Rutgers and are 5-0 in 5 home matchups during this span. The Buckeyes are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games, including 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as home favorites. Take Ohio State. |
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12-23-20 | Idaho State +9.5 v. Northern Colorado | 71-56 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Idaho State +9.5 The Key: I love the situation for Idaho State today. They are coming off a 64-69 loss to Northern Colorado as 10-point dogs yesterday. And now they get to face them again today in this back-to-back situation. And they are 9.5-point dogs in the rematch, so oddsmakers have barely adjusted for the revenge factor and the fact that Idaho State only lost by 5 yesterday. This is a great price on them. Idaho State is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 road games with a total of 130 to 139.5. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as home favorites. Take Idaho State. |
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12-22-20 | Bradley +11 v. Missouri | 53-54 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Bradley +11 The Key: The price is right to back the Bradley Braves today as double-digit underdogs to the Missouri Tigers. Bradley won the MVC in two consecutive seasons and is loaded again this season. They have opened 6-2 with their only losses coming to 2 very good teams in Xavier (50-51) and South Dakota State (84-88) by a combined 5 points. They should not be catching 11 points from Missouri. The Tigers are getting too much respect from oddsmakers after a 5-0 start. They are coming off a huge 81-78 win over rival Illinois in a game they play every year. They won't be nearly as hungry to face Bradley as they were Illinois. Plus this is a sandwich spot with a game against Top 10 Tennessee on deck in their SEC opener. The Braves are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games off an ATS loss. Take Bradley. |
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12-21-20 | Arkansas-Little Rock +1 v. Missouri State | 77-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Arkansas-Little Rock +1 The Key: Arkansas State brought back all 5 starters this year and has opened 4-2 with its only losses coming to Greensboro and Winthrop. They also upset Duquesne. They have played a tough schedule and are now battle-tested heading into this game with Missouri State. The Bears didn't get to play their first game of the season until December 16th and they struggled with a 73-64 win over William Jewell. Then they beat Northwestern State 94-67 on Saturday. Now they will be playing their 3rd game in 6 days here and just don't have much chemistry due to their lack of playing time. Arkansas-Little Rock is rested playing just its 2nd game in 15 days here. And they will be the fresher, sharper team tonight. Little Rock pulled the 67-66 upset as 12.5-point dogs over Missouri State last year. And while this will be considered an upset again, I don't agree as Little Rock should be the favorite given having all 5 starters back and the favorable schedule spot. The Trojans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing 60 points or less. Take Arkansas-Little Rock. |
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12-20-20 | Georgetown v. St. John's -4 | 83-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on St. John's -4 The Key: I love the situation for the St. John's Red Storm tonight. They just played Georgetown on December 13th exactly one week ago today. They blew a 7-point lead in the final 3 minutes of regulation and lost 94-97 in overtime. It's revenge time now for the Red Storm. The price is right to back them off 3 straight losses against a brutal schedule of Seton Hall, Georgetown and Creighton. They are desperate for their first Big East win here and we'll get a big effort from them because of it. The Red Storm are 40-23 ATS in their last 63 games off 3 or more consecutive ATS losses. The Hoyas are 1-7 ATS in their lsat 8 games off a win. The Hoyas are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. Take St. John's. |
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12-19-20 | St. Peter's +1 v. Monmouth | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on St. Peter's +1 The Key: I love the situation for St. Peter's today. They are coming off a 76-78 loss to Monmouth yesterday in a game that was lined at a pick 'em. Now they are 1-point dogs to Monmouth in the rematch. St. Peter's will be the hungrier team here today and will avenge that defeat with an outright win. And I don't even think it will be close. St. Peter's could easily be 6-1 this year as their 2 losses have come to St. John's and Monmouth by a combined 3 points. St. Peter's is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when revenging a road loss. The Peacocks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as road underdogs. The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 matchups. Take St. Peter's. |
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12-18-20 | St. Peter's -1 v. Monmouth | 76-78 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
6* Friday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on St. Peter's -1 The Key: St. Peter's is a good team. They are 4-2 this year with one of their losses coming by a single point to St. John's as an 11-point dog. Their only blowout loss came to a very good Maryland team on the road. They have 3 wins by double-digits. The key here is that they are sharp right now having played 6 games. The same cannot be said for Monmouth, which finally got to play its first game of the season on Tuesday, December 15th. They lost that game 88-96 to Hofstra as a 1.5-point dog. I'll gladly side with the sharper St. Peter's team, which went 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS against Monmouth last year, outscoring them by a total of 15 points in their 2 wins. The Peacocks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. St. Peter's is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 road games. Take St. Peter's. |
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12-18-20 | North Dakota +7.5 v. Southern Illinois | 50-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on North Dakota +7.5 The Key: I like the situation for North Dakota tonight. This is a crazy college basketball season, and as a result there are a lot of back-to-backs. North Dakota just lost to Southern Illinois last night. Now they will be the more hungry team here than the Salukis. And they are exactly the same 7.5-point dogs that they were last night. North Dakota has 3 losses by single-digits this year, including a 9-point loss at Minnesota. They have been competitive in every game outside of that game against Southern Illinois last night, and they will look to make amends here. The Fighting Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games off an ATS loss. North Dakota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games after playing 4 consecutive games as a dog. Take North Dakota. |
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12-17-20 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Wyoming -10.5 | 78-82 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Wyoming -10.5 The Key: Jeff Linder won 21-plus games in his final 3 seasons at Northern Colorado before getting hired by Wyoming in the offseason. Now he's already doing big things for the Cowboys, leading them to a 5-1 start this year with their only loss coming by 2 points. That includes an upset win at Oregon State as a 9-point dog. And 3 of their 5 wins have come by double-digits. Now they should crush a Nebraska-Omaha team in a terrible spot. Omaha just had to play at Colorado last night and lost 49-91. Now they will have to make the bus trip to Wyoming and play the 2nd of a back-to-back. Omaha is 2-6 this season with its 2 wins coming by a combined 3 points over Middle Tennessee (60-59) and SIU-Edwardsville (65-63). 5 of their 6 losses have come by 12 points or more. Omaha is getting outscored by 18.8 PPG on the season. Wyoming is outscoring opponents by 12.5 PPG on the year, so this is the perfect storm given the awful situation for Omaha. The Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Mavericks are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 against a team with a winning record. The Cowboys are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Take Wyoming. |
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12-16-20 | Northeastern v. Syracuse -17.5 | Top | 56-62 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
7* Northeastern/Syracuse NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Syracuse -17.5 The Key: Syracuse is 4-1 this year with 3 wins by 30 or more points. Their only loss came to Rutgers, which just beat Maryland by 14 on the road and is one of the better teams in the country. They rebounded with one of the best performances of any team this season with a 101-63 win over Boston College. And now they should make easy work of Northeastern. The Huskies brought back just 2 players who averaged more than 3.5 PPG last season. They are inexperienced and have just 2 games under their belts, a home-and-home with UMass. Syracuse is 7-0 all-time against Northeastern, including 3-0 ATS in the last 3 matchups with a 72-49 win in their most recent showdown in 2018. The Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games off a win. The Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games off an ATS win. Take Syracuse. |
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12-15-20 | Furman +6.5 v. Alabama | Top | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Furman +6.5 The Key: Furman is 5-1 this year and outscoring opponents by 24.1 PPG. They have picked up right where they left off. They won 23 games in Bob Richey’s first season, then proceeded to tie a school record with 25 wins each fo the last 2 seasons. They returned 4 starters and 3 double-digit scorers from last year’s team that went 25-7. And their only loss this season came on the road to a solid Cincinnati team by a final of 73-78. Alabama is just 3-2 with an 18-point loss to Stanford and an 8-point loss to Stanford. I think the Crimson Tide are getting too much respect from the books here against a Furman team that is very capable of winning this one outright. Plus the Crimson Tide are coming off that huge rivalry game against Clemson and have an even bigger game on deck this weekend against No. 6 Houston. This is a sandwich spot for the Crimson Tide. Alabama is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 home games. Furman is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 road games. The Paladins are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games off a home win where they scored 85 or more points. Take Furman. |
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12-13-20 | Ohio v. Marshall -3 | 67-81 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Marshall -3 The Key: The Marshall Thundering Herd had 10 players average at least 10 minutes per game last season. They had zero seniors on the roster last year. Nine of those are back as are 5 returning starters, so this team should be one of the most improved in the nation. The guard guy of Taeyion Kinsey and Jarrod West combined for 30.6 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 8.3 APG and 3.1 SPG last year. Marshall went 7-2 ATS in its final 9 games last year while scoring at least 80 points in each of its final four games in head coach Dan D’Antoni’s up-tempo system. They are off to a good start this year at 3-0 with a 14-point win over Arkansas State as a 14-point favorite, a 16-point win at Wright State as a 1-point favorite and a 12-point win at Charleston as a 7-point favorite. Ohio is 4-1 and off to a good start as well, but lost to the only good team they faced in Illinois. Their 4 wins came against Chicago State. North Carolina A&T, Cleveland State and Purdue NW. Ohio is 3-19 ATS in its last 22 road games off 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better. Marshall is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games off a win by 10 points or more. The situation favors the Thundering Herd as they will be playing just their 2nd game in 10 days. Ohio will be playing its 3rd game in 8 days. The Thundering Herd are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. Take Marshall. |
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12-12-20 | Dayton v. Mississippi State +4 | 85-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
6* Dayton/Mississippi State NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Mississippi State +4 The Key: The Mississippi State Bulldogs have bounced back from losses to Clemson and Liberty to open the season by going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall with wins by 17, 6 and 23 points. The Bulldogs are now 4-point dogs to a rebuilding Dayton team that is 2-1 SU but 0-3 ATS. The Flyers lost Obi Toppin to the NBA and have not been impressive at all. They were upset by SMU and only beat Eastern Illinois by 3 as 14-point favorites and Northern Kentucky by 6 as 11.5-point favorites. The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games off 2 consecutive home wins. Mississippi State is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games against good free throw shooting teams that make 72% or better. Take Mississippi State. |
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12-12-20 | Cincinnati v. Tennessee -6.5 | 56-65 | Win | 100 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
6* Cincinnati/Tennessee NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Tennessee -6.5 The Key: The Tennessee Vols are one of the best teams in the country this year with 4 starters back and ranked 12th. They just haven’t had a chance to show it, and I think they are being undervalued because of only playing one game. That one game was impressive with a 56-47 win over a very good Colorado team. And now they take on Cincinnati, which only beat Lipscomb by 12, Furman by 5 and lost to Xavier by 8. I think we can expect a 7-plus point victory from the Vols today in this matchup. The Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference road games. This will be their first road game this year. The Bearcats are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as road dogs. Cincinnati is 6-23 ATS in its last 29 games off a win. Take Tennessee. |
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12-11-20 | Iowa State v. Iowa -12.5 | 77-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Iowa State/Iowa NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Iowa -12.5 The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes brought back all 5 starters this year and have arguably the best player in the country in Luka Garza, who is averaging 29.5 PPG and 10.8 RPG this year. He is surrounded by shooters in Wieskamp (13.8 PPG, 57.9% 3-pointers), Fredrick (11.0 PPG, 58.8%) and Bohannon (8.8 PPG, 33.3%) to make Iowa one of the most dangerous teams in the country offensively. That was on display in their 93-80 win over UNC in which they made 17 3-pointers. Garza even had an off game with 6-of-20 from the floor and they still dominated. Now they face an Iowa State team that is rebuilding after losing Tyrese Haliburton to the NBA. The Cyclones struggled against Arkansas-Pine Bluff and actually trailed them at halftime. Then they got upset by South Dakota State. They won’t be able to hang with the Hawkeyes in this rivalry game. And Iowa has beaten Iowa State by exactly 14 points each of the last 2 years. The Hawkeyes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games off 2 consecutive non-conference games. The Hawkeyes are 7-0 ATS off 2 straight games committing 11 or fewer turnovers over the last 2 years. The Cyclones are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as underdogs. Take Iowa. |
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12-09-20 | Stephen F Austin +23.5 v. Baylor | Top | 52-83 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Stephen F. Austin +23.5 The Key: This is a bad spot for Baylor. They are disappointed they didn’t get to play Gonzaga over the weekend due to COVID. And they will have a hard time getting up emotionally to play Stephen F. Austin tonight. Especially since they have their Big 12 opener on deck this weekend against Texans. But the Lumberjacks aren’t a team to be taken lightly. They went 28-3 last year and won 27 or more games for the 6th time in 8 seasons. They returned 3 of their top 4 scorers from that 28-win team, too. And they are primed to give No. 2 Baylor a run for its money tonight. The Lumberjacks have handled their business at 3-0 with 3 wins by double-digits. Stephen F. Austin is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 against good teams that outscore their opponents by 4 PPG or more. The Lumberjacks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Take Stephen F. Austin. |
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12-09-20 | Marshall -5.5 v. College of Charleston | 84-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Marshall -5.5 The Key: The Marshall Thundering Herd had 10 players average at least 10 minutes per game last season. They had zero seniors on the roster last year. Nine of those are back as are 5 returning starters, so this team should be one of the most improved in the nation. The guard guy of Taeyion Kinsey and Jarrod West combined for 30.6 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 8.3 APG and 3.1 SPG last year. Marshall went 7-2 ATS in its final 9 games last year while scoring at least 80 points in each of its final four games in head coach Dan D’Antoni’s up-tempo system. They are off to a good start this year at 2-0 with a 14-point win over Arkansas State as a 14-point favorite and a 16-point win at Wright State as a 1-point favorite. And now they should crush Charleston, which lost by 24 to Furman and by 19 to North Carolina en route to a 1-2 start with their only win coming against lowly Limestone College. Charleston lost its leading scorer from last year, and Zep Jasper and Brevin Galloway are the only 2 players returning who averaged more than 4 PPG last year. They have just one starter back and are going through some growing pains early on. Marshall is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 non-conference road games. The Thundering Herd are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games off a win by 10 points or more. Charleston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games overall, and 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as a dog. Take Marshall. |
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12-09-20 | Furman +3.5 v. Cincinnati | 73-78 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on Furman +3.5 The Key: Furman is 4-0 this year and winning by 31.3 PPG. They have picked up right where they left off. They won 23 games in Bob Richey’s first season, then proceeded to tie a school record with 25 wins each fo the last 2 seasons. They returned 4 starters and 3 double-digit scorers from last year’s team that went 25-7. Cincinnati is off to a shaky start with a 67-55 win over Lipscomb as a 13.5-point favorite and a 69-77 loss to Xavier as a 3.5-point favorite. It’s always tough to get up for your next game after playing your biggest rival like Cincinnati just did. That may be even more true here in this sandwich spot with a game against ranked Tennessee on deck Saturday. The is a game the Paladins can win outright. Furman is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 road games. The Bearcats are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. Cincinnati is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games with a total of 140 to 149.5. Take Furman. |
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12-08-20 | Boston College +7 v. Minnesota | 80-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston College +7 The Key: The Boston College Eagles played 3 competitive games against Villanova, Rhode Island and Seton Hall that were all decided by single-digits to start the season. Then they lost by 20 to Florida. They have faced one of the toughest schedules in all of college basketball thus far, and there will be value with them moving forward because of it. The same cannot be said for Minnesota, which has faced one of the easiest schedules. They played Loyola-Marymount twice, North Dakota and Wisconsin-Green Bay. And they only beat Loyola by 15 and 3 points and North Dakota by 9. They aren’t as good as their 4-0 record suggests, and they will get exposed tonight by Boston College. The Eagles have 5 players scoring in double figures this year with a very balanced attack and a veteran bunch. Take Boston College. |
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12-08-20 | Purdue -2 v. Miami-FL | 54-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
6* Purdue/Miami ESPN 2 *CA$H COW* on Purdue -2 The Key: The Miami Hurricanes have some key injuries that could hold them back here against Purdue. All-ACC Preseason selection Chris Dykes suffered an ankle injury in Friday’s win over Stetson. He finished with a game-high 20 points and 5 assists, and he is the catalyst of this team at the point guard position. He didn’t practice on Monday and is questionable to play. The Hurricanes were already without guard Earl Timberlake (ankle) for three to five weeks, and then forward Matt Cross left the Stetson game with four minutes to go with a foot injury. Purdue shoots 43.6% from 3-point range this season and will present a tough challenge for Miami’s thin backcourt. The Boilermakers have great balance with 6 players averaging in double figures scoring. Miami is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games against teams that score 77 PPG or more. Jim Larranaga is 1-8 ATS in home games off 2 straight wins by 15 points or more as the coach of the Hurricanes. Take Purdue. |
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12-04-20 | Detroit +26.5 v. Michigan State | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit +26.5 The Key: Mike Davis is a great recruiter and is doing his best to turn around this Detroit program right away. And he has the benefit of returning Antoine Davis, whose 24.3 PPG last year were the fifth-most in D-1. He also averaged 4.5 APG and made 90.1% of his free throws. The Titans bring in transfers Noah Waterman of Niagara and Taurean Thompson of Seton Hall and Syracuse to help in the post. Marquell Fraser is a transfer from Idaho and Bul Kuol is a transfer from Cal Baptist that give the Titans versatility on the win. Chris Brandon is back after leading the Titans with 8.1 RPG last year. The 6-7 Kuol was a 47.5% 3-point shooter last year and the 6-11 Waterman was a 42.9% 3-point shooter, so the Titans finally have size and outside shooters to compliment Davis. This is a huge letdown spot for Michigan State after upsetting Duke 75-69 on Tuesday. The Spartans won’t be nearly as hungry to face Detroit tonight, and that’s a big reason why I think the Titans hang around for 40 minutes and cover this lofty number. The Titans are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a dog. The Spartans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Take Detroit. |
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12-03-20 | Marshall -1 v. Wright State | 80-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Marshall -1 The Key: The Marshall Thundering Herd had 10 players average at least 10 minutes per game last season. They had zero seniors on the roster last year. Nine of those are back as are 5 returning starters, so this team should be one of the most improved in the nation. The guard guy of Taeyion Kinsey and Jarrod West combined for 30.6 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 8.3 APG and 3.1 SPG last year. Marshall went 7-2 ATS in its final 9 games last year while scoring at least 80 points in each of its final four games in head coach Dan D’Antoni’s up-tempo system. And the Thundering Herd got a game under their belts with a 70-56 win over Arkansas State as a 14-point favorite. That’s more than Wright State can say as they will be playing their first game of the season tonight. I think Marshall will be the sharper team as a result and I love their experience early in the season. The Raiders have to replace 2 double-digit scorers from last year. The Thundering Herd are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference road games. Take Marshall. |
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12-02-20 | Arkansas State v. Memphis -20 | 54-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Memphis -20 The Key: The Memphis Tigers were expected to be one of the best teams in the country this year with 4 starters back and one of the top recruiting classes under Penny Hardaway. But after a 1-2 start with losses to WKU and VCU, I think we are getting Memphis cheap here tonight. They also crushed St. Mary’s 73-56 and both WKU and VCU are two of the better mid-major teams in the land. Now they take a big step down in class here against Arkansas State, which is 0-2 with losses to Marshall by 14 as a 14-point dog and Morehead State by 8 as a favorite. Now this is a big step up in class for the Red Wolves. After playing 3 games in 3 days, now the Tigers have had 4 days off to practice and improve and should put their best foot forward tonight. The Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games. Hardaway is 11-2 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of Memphis. Take Memphis. |
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12-02-20 | Montana State +5.5 v. Pacific | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on Montana State +5.5 The Key: The Montana State Bobcats returned their entire front court this season with Jurbrile Belo and Devin Kirby combining for 12.1 RPG last year. They have Amin Adamu back after 11.7 PPG and 5.2 RPG last year. And they brought in UMKC transfer Xavier Bishop to run the show after averaging 15.4 PPG and shooting 35.3% from 3-point range in 2018-19. Bishop got off to a huge start with 22 points and 5 assists in an impressive 91-78 upset victory over UNLV as 12-point dogs. Belo had 14 points and 8 rebounds and Adamu added in 14 points in the win, so the key players are playing big roles already. Pacific barely got past awful UC-Riverside 66-60 and then lost 58-70 as 5.5-point dogs at Nevada. The Bobcats have a real shot to win this game outright over Pacific tonight. Montana State is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 road games after playing a road game. Take Montana State. |
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12-01-20 | UNLV v. Alabama -10 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
7* Tuesday NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -10 The Key: Head coach Nate Oats brings back 4 of his top 6 scorers from last year led by John Petty Jr. and Jaden Shackelford, who combined for 30 PPG and 11 RPG last year. After crushing Jacksonville State 81-57 as 20.5-point favorites, the Crimson Tide fell apart against Stanford yesterday with a 64-82 loss. They shot terrible at 35.8% from the field and gave up 51.7%. But their defense has been good at forcing turnovers as they have forced 42 in the first 2 games. And they will be looking to bounce back in a big way today against a UNLV team that is terrible. UNLV lost 78-91 as a 12.5-point favorite to Montana State in their opener and were routed 51-78 as a 13-point dog to North Carolina yesterday. They lost basically everyone other than Bryce Hamilton from last season. They have committed 35 turnovers in 2 games, so they are sure to not handle the pressure of Alabama very well. Once UNC turned up the pressure yesterday they crumbled. The Rebels are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. The Crimson Tide are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games off a double-digit home loss. Take Alabama. |
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11-30-20 | North Carolina -12 v. UNLV | 78-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
6* UNC/UNLV NCAAB *CA$H COW* on North Carolina -12 The Key: Big red flag on UNLV losing outright 78-91 as 12.5-point favorites over Montana State in their opener. They gave up 55.6% shooting in the loss. They lost basically everyone other than Bryce Hamilton from last season. And he even had 27 points and they still lost by 13. North Carolina won 79-60 over College of Charleston in the opener to cover as 17.5-point favorites. They have some stud freshmen guards in Love and Davis, who combined for 28 points in the win. And Roy Williams believes this Tar Heels team will be a much better shooting team than last year, although it didn’t show in the opener as they won by 19 despite shooting just 39.4% from the field and 4 for 18 (22.2%) from 3-point range. UNLV lost by 13 despite shooting 11 for 25 (44%) from 3-point range. Bets on neutral court teams who covered as a double-digit favorite and had a losing record last season are 29-9 ATS over the last 5 years. Take North Carolina. |
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11-29-20 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff +33.5 v. Iowa State | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Arkansas-Pine Bluff +33.5 The Key: I like that Arkansas-Pine Bluff already has 2 games under its belt while Iowa State will be playing its 1st game of the season here. Pine Bluff lost by 42 to Marquette but by just 34 to 7th-ranked Wisconsin last time. And now they are getting 33.5 points from an Iowa State team that went 12-20 last season and returns only 2 starters and one double-digit scorer in Rasir Bolton. The Cyclones lost their best player in Tyrese Haliburton, who was a lottery pick of the Sacramento Kings. They were that bad with him, and they are going to be even worse without him. Take Arkansas-Pine Bluff. |
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11-28-20 | LSU v. St. Louis -2.5 | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Saint Louis -2.5 The Key: The Saint Louis Billikens returned all 5 starters this year and each of their top 8 scorers from a team that won 23 games last year. Senior Jordan Goodwin averaged 15.4 PPG and 10.4 RPG as a junior last season. Javonte Perkins averaged 15 PPG. And the Billikens got off to a great start this year with an 89-52 win over SIU-Edwardsville as 24.5-point favorites. That gives them a common opponent with rebuilding LSU. LSU only beat SIU-Edwardsville 94-81 as a 30-point favorite. So Saint Louis beat the same team by 37 points that LSU only beat by 13. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off a win. The Billikens are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games against a team with a winning record. The Billikens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games. Take Saint Louis. |