Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-01-21 | Dayton v. St Bonaventure -7 | 55-52 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Dayton/St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 *CA$H COW* on St. Bonaventure -7 The Key: St. Bonaventure is 8-0 at home this season and winning by 19.0 PPG. Now it's Senior Night here and they should win in blowout fashion over a Dayton team that is 1-3 SU in its last 4 games overall and coming off a 13-point loss at St. Joe's as a 7.5-point favorite. St. Bonaventure has won all 8 of its home games this season by 8 points or more including an 11-point win over Davidson, a 17-point win over George Mason, a 16-point win over VCU and a 14-point win over Duquesne. They make it 9 in a row here by 8 points or more to send their seniors out the right way and potentially grab a spot in the NCAA Tournament in the process. Take St. Bonaventure. |
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02-28-21 | Nevada +8 v. Utah State | 66-87 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
6* Nevada/Utah State Mountain West *CA$H COW* on Nevada +8 The Key: Nevada showed a little rust early from its COVID break in its loss to Utah State on Friday. But the Wolf Pack made a big comeback in the 2nd half and only lost 72-75 as 9-point dogs. Now the Wolf Pack are 8-point dogs and will be looking to avenge that defeat. At the very least they should stay within this number. The Wolf Pack have been one of the most underrated teams in the country this season. Nevada is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games overall, including 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games. The Wolf Pack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs. Nevada is 21-8 ATS in its last 29 games against a team with a winning record. Utah State is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games against teams that win more than 60% of their games. The Wolf Pack are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after playing their last game on the road. The Wolf Pack are 10-1 ATS against good teams that outscore their opponents by 4 PPG or more this season. Take Nevada. |
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02-28-21 | Iowa v. Ohio State -3.5 | 73-57 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
6* Iowa/Ohio State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Ohio State -3.5 The Key: The Ohio State Buckeyes are 10-2 at home this season and will bounce back from 2 straight losses to Michigan and Michigan State tonight. They take on an Iowa team that they already beat on the road in their first matchup this year. And it's a Hawkeyes team that has been exposed of late in going just 5-5 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. Now the Hawkeyes just lost their best bench player in Jack Nunge to a season-ending injury in their 57-79 loss at Michigan on Thursday. The Buckeyes have won and covered each of their last 3 home matchups with Iowa, winning those games by a combined 42 points. The Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games off a loss. The Buckeyes are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as home favorites, including 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as home favorite of 6 points or fewer. Take Ohio State. |
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02-27-21 | Florida State v. North Carolina +2.5 | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
6* FSU/UNC ACC *CA$H COW* on North Carolina +2.5 The Key: The Florida State Seminoles are just 3-2 SU in true road games this year. They have feasted on a home-heavy schedule. They should not be road favorites over the North Carolina Tar Heels. The Tar Heels are 8-1 at home this year. The one loss? An upset loss to Marquette last time out as they stepped out of conference and didn't really care about that game. Now they will be refocused today and get back to playing how they were prior to that home defeat. They were last seen crushing Louisville 99-54 at home. Take North Carolina. |
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02-27-21 | Kansas State +14.5 v. West Virginia | 43-65 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Kansas State +14.5 The Key: West Virginia has its biggest game of the season on deck against Baylor March 2nd. The Mountaineers will be overlooking the Kansas State Wildcats today because of it and won't cover this 14.5-point spread. That's especially the case after already beating Kansas State by 22 in their first matchup this year. They will think they just have to show up to win. But the Wildcats have been one of the most improved teams in the country in the 2nd half of the season. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall including outright upsets over TCU as 7-point road dogs and Oklahoma as 10-point home dogs in their last 2 games. They also only lost to Texas by 3 as 14-point dogs, Oklahoma State by 7 as 13.5-point dogs and Texas Tech by 11 as 15.5-point dogs. Their only loss by more than this spread was an 18-point loss to Kansas. The Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as road underdogs. The Mountaineers are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games against a team with a losing record. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups. Take Kansas State. |
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02-27-21 | Boise State +6.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Boise State +6.5 The Key: The Boise State Broncos will be hungry to avenge their overtime defeat to the San Diego State Aztecs in their first matchup on February 27. I can't believe the books have come back with the same line here as they were 6.5-point dogs in that first matchup as well. Boise State isn't going to shoot as poorly as they did in that first matchup as they shot just 36.4% and still forced OT. The Broncos are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games off a loss. Take Boise State. |
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02-27-21 | Miami-FL +13 v. Clemson | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Miami/Clemson ACC *CA$H COW* on Miami +13 The Key: The Miami Hurricanes will be looking to avenge their 65-66 home loss to Clemson as 4.5-point underdogs in their first matchup this season. Now the Hurricanes are 13-point dogs in with an 8.5-point adjustment in the line. This is too much, especially for a rusty Clemson team that just came back from a 2-week COVID pause. Clemson is 0-6 ATS when the total is 129.5 or less this season. The Tigers are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. The Hurricanes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record. The underdog is 16-7-1 ATS in the last 24 matchups. Take Miami. |
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02-26-21 | Southern Illinois +20 v. Loyola-Chicago | 52-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Missouri Valley *CA$H COW* on Southern Illinois +20 The Key: Loyola-Chicago is just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games overall. It failed to cover the 3 games it was an 18-point favorite or higher against Evansville (twice) and Valparaiso. The Ramblers didn't win any of those games by more than 13 points, and I have a hard time seeing them beating Southern Illinois by 20-plus tonight. The Salukis have only lost by more than 18 points twice all season. The Ramblers play at such a slow tempo that it makes it tough for them to cover these big numbers. The Salukis are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 road games off a home win by 3 points or fewer. Take Southern Illinois. |
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02-25-21 | Boise State +6.5 v. San Diego State | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
6* Boise/SDSU Mountain West *CA$H COW* on Boise State +6.5 The Key: San Diego State is getting too much respect from the books now after going 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Those 8 games came against the bottom of the Mountain West Conference with 2 victories each over Air Force, Wyoming, San Jose State and Fresno State. Now the Aztecs are laying 6.5 points to a Boise State team that owns the best record in the conference. The Bulldogs are 17-4 this season and just swept Utah State. San Diego State was swept by Utah State in its 2 games prior to this 8-game winning streak. The Broncos are 8-1 ATS against good shooting teams that make 45% or better this year. Boise State is 6-0 ATS against good rebounding teams with a +4 RPG margin or better this year. The Broncos are a tall, lanky athletic team that will give the Aztecs troubles in both areas. Take Boise State. |
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02-25-21 | Western Kentucky +11.5 v. Houston | 57-81 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Western Kentucky +11.5 The Key: Western Kentucky is one of the best mid major teams in the country. They are 15-4 this season with a win over Alabama and a narrow loss to West Virginia. They have what it takes to hang with Houston and thrive in the underdog role. The Hilltoppers are 25-8 ATS in their last 33 games as underdogs. Houston could easily take them lightly as they step out of conference here in this rare non-conference game this late in the season. After all, the Cougars did just lose outright as 16.5-point favorites to East Carolina and outright to Wichita State as 7.5-point favorites. Take Western Kentucky. |
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02-25-21 | Washington +9.5 v. Arizona State | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
6* Washington/Arizona State Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Washington +9.5 The Key: Washington fell flat in its 64-97 road loss at Arizona State on Tuesday. Now the Huskies get a chance to avenge that defeat and have been pretty good in this situation recently. They bounced back from an earlier loss to Cal with a 62-51 win the game prior to Arizona State. They bounced back from a 15-point loss to Washington State with an upset road win over the Cougars. They lost by 23 to Colorado and won the rematch outright as home underdogs. That was a rare cover for the Sun Devils, who are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall. Arizona State is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 home games. The Sun Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a losing road record. The road team is 22-10 ATS in the last 32 matchups. The Sun Devils are missing several key players due to injury. Take Washington. |
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02-24-21 | Xavier v. Providence +2 | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
6* Xavier/Providence Big East *CA$H COW* on Providence +2 The Key: Providence lost at the buzzer 73-74 on the road to Xavier in their first matchup this season. They will be looking to avenge that defeat and I expect them to win outright as home underdogs tonight. The Friars are 6-3 SU at home this year while Xavier is just 2-2 in true road games. The Musketeers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as road favorites. The Friars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a .500 or better road record. The Friars are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games when avenging a same-season loss. Take Providence. |
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02-24-21 | Tulane +10.5 v. Memphis | 46-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
6* Tulane/Memphis AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulane +10.5 The Key: Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall and hasn't lost any of those games by more than 7 points. Now the Green Wave are catching double-digits against a Memphis team that will be rusty after having the last 16 days off due to COVID. They have only recently been able to start practicing again. Memphis only won 80-74 in its first matchup with Tulane this year. The Green Wave are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when lined as a +6.5 to +12 dog. The Green Wave are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring at least 80 points in their previous game. Take Tulane. |
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02-23-21 | Washington +9.5 v. Arizona State | 64-97 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Washington +9.5 The Key: Arizona State led the entire way against UCLA until the final seconds and lost 79-80 over the weekend. I don't think they'll be able to get back up off the mat following that defeat. At least not enough to put away Washington by double-digits, which is what it is going to take to cover this lofty number. This is a bad Arizona State team, plain and simple, and it has been reflected by the fact that they've gone just 4-14 ATS on the season. The Sun Devils haven't won a single Pac-12 game by more than 4 points, and they have just one win all season by more than 8 points, and that came in a 23-point win over Houston Baptist as a 37-point favorite. Washington keeps fighting down the stretch going 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games overall including an upset win over California 62-51 in their last contest. The Sun Devils are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record. Arizona State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games as a home favorite. The road team is 22-10 ATS in the last 32 matchups. Take Washington. |
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02-23-21 | Iowa State +23.5 v. Baylor | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Iowa State +23.5 The Key: The Baylor Bears have had the last 3 weeks off and just won't be hitting on all cylinders in their first game back. I really like the price on the Cyclones catching 23.5 points given the awful situation for the Bears. Iowa State only lost by 11 to Baylor in their first matchup this year as 15.5-point dogs. So there's no reason they should be 23.5-point dogs with the books adjusting 8 points for home-court advantage. This line should be much closer to the line from the first matchup this season. Take Iowa State. |
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02-23-21 | LSU v. Georgia +5 | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday SEC *CA$H COW* on Georgia +5 The Key: The Georgia Bulldogs will be looking to avenge their 92-94 (OT) loss at LSU in their first matchup this season. Now the Bulldogs are 5-point home dogs in a game they can win outright. The Bulldogs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games including upset wins over Kentucky, Ole Miss and Missouri. They are 11-3 SU at home this year. The home team is 7-2 SU in the last 9 matchups. LSU is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games off 2 consecutive home games. The Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games off a win by more than 20 points. The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games. Georgia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games as an underdog. The underdog is 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups. Take Georgia. |
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02-22-21 | Oregon +4 v. USC | 58-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
6* Oregon/USC Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Oregon +4 The Key: The Oregon Ducks had some COVID breaks that interrupted their season at the start of Pac-12 play. But they have found a rhythm now and have won 5 straight games to improve to 14-4 on the season. They always seem to be the best team in the Pac-12 every year, at least the most consistent. And this is a great opportunity to back them as a dog against the perceived best team in the conference in USC. But the Trojans showed their vulnerabilities in a 72-81 loss to Arizona on Saturday. They have weak guard play, and rely too much on their post players. Oregon is 25-9 ATS in its last 34 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games. The Ducks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as road dogs. The Ducks are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 trips to USC. The Trojans are 17-34 ATS in their last 51 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. The Ducks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against good teams that outscore their foes by 8 PPG or more after 15 or more games. Take Oregon. |
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02-22-21 | Valparaiso v. Southern Illinois -1.5 | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Southern Illinois -1.5 The Key: Southern Illinois lost a heartbreaker to Valparaiso by a single point 65-66 on Sunday. Look for the Salukis to avenge that defeat and continue being great in this situation. The Salukis are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games after losing the first game of the double-header in MVC play. They have come back to win all 3 games and were short favorites or underdogs in all 3 against Northern Iowa, Bradley and Illinois State. Valparaiso is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games after winning its last game outright as an underdog. Take Southern Illinois. |
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02-21-21 | Cincinnati +13.5 v. Houston | 52-90 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
6* Cincinnati/Houston AAC *CA$H COW* on Cincinnati +13.5 The Key: The Houston Cougars have recent upset losses to ECU 73-82 as 16.5-point favorites and Wichita State 63-68 as 7.5-point favorites. They should not be laying 13.5 points to Cincinnati today. I like the price we are getting on a Bearcats team that has won 4 straight and just doesn't get blown out. They have only lost one game all season by double-digits. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 matchups. Take Cincinnati. |
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02-20-21 | San Diego State v. Fresno State +14 | 75-57 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Fresno State +14 The Key: I like the price we are getting on Fresno State here in this rematch with San Diego State. The Bulldogs lost 53-67 at home to the Aztecs as 13.5-point dogs and are now 14-point dogs this time around. They will be the hungrier team and they aren't likely to shoot as poorly as they did in the 1st matchup. They shot just 33.3% while the Aztecs shot 48.1%. The price is getting steep to back the Aztecs now that they are ranked in the Top 25 after going 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The price is right to back the Bulldogs after going 4-5 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games off a double-digit home loss. The underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 matchups. The Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games off a home conference loss. Take Fresno State. |
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02-20-21 | Auburn v. LSU -4 | 80-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
6* Auburn/LSU SEC *CA$H COW* on LSU -4 The Key: The Auburn Tigers know they won't be going to the NCAA Tournament and they are having a hard time just playing for pride of late. They are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games overall with their only win coming over lowly Vanderbilt by 6 points. That includes upset home losses to both Ole Miss and Georgia. Now they hit the road to take on a very good LSU team that is trying to cement itself in the NCAA Tournament. The Tigers are 9-2 at home this year and coming off 2 straight blowout wins over Tennessee by 13 at home and Mississippi State by 14 on the road. They were underdogs in both games. I like the price here as only 4-point home favorites. Take LSU. |
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02-19-21 | Utah State +1.5 v. Boise State | 77-81 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
6* Utah State/Boise State Mountain West *BAILOUT* on Utah State +1.5 The Key: The Utah State Aggies will be looking to avenge their 70-79 road loss at Boise State on Wednesday. The Aggies made just 3 3-pointers and shot them at 18% in that game. They shoot over 34% on the season, so it was an aberration. Utah State is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 road games. The road team is 10-3 ATS in the last 14 matchups. Take Utah State. |
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02-18-21 | Colorado v. Oregon -3 | Top | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on Oregon -3 The Key: The Oregon Ducks have won 3 straight coming in with double-digit wins over Washington and ASU as well as an upset road win at Arizona. They are playing their best basketball of the season now that they are 4 games removed from their last COVID pause. And now they have their sights set on avenging a 72-79 loss at Colorado in their first matchup. The Buffaloes are just 17-43 ATS in their last 60 road games. The home team is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 matchups. The favorite is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups. The Ducks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home matchups with the Buffaloes. Take Oregon. |
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02-18-21 | St. Mary's +20.5 v. Gonzaga | 65-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
6* St. Mary's/Gonzaga WCC *CA$H COW* on St. Mary's +20.5 The Key: St. Mary's only lost 59-73 in its first matchup with Gonzaga as a 16.5-point dog earlier this season. Now the Gaels are 20.5-point dogs in their 2nd matchup and it's just too much. The Gaels are the one team in the WCC that has proven to give the Bulldogs some trouble over the years. They can make a game of this with their ability to slow the tempo and play great defense. They give up only 61.8 PPG this year. The Gaels are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games. St. Mary's is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 road games against a team with a winning home record. The road team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 matchups. The Bulldogs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games off an ATS win. Take St. Mary's. |
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02-17-21 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Indiana | 72-82 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Minnesota/Indiana Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Minnesota +6.5 The Key: Everyone is jumping on Indiana today seeing that Minnesota is 0-7 SU & 1-6 ATS on the road this season. But those 7 road losses all came to better teams than Indiana with the exception of Maryland. This is an 11-9 Indiana team that has lost 3 of its last 4 home games with its only win coming by 2 points. The Hoosiers should not be laying 6.5 points here to the Golden Gophers. I actually think Minnesota is the better team, so home-court advantage is not worth 6.5 points. The price is right to back the Gophers, who are 10-1 ATS int heir last 11 games off a loss in which they scored less than 60 points. The Hoosiers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as home favorites. The underdog is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 matchups. Take Minnesota. |
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02-17-21 | Valparaiso +20.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 52-54 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Valparaiso +20.5 The Key: Valparaiso recently outscored Drake by 14 points in 2 matchups with them. They lost by 3 in OT in the first matchup and won by 17 in the 2nd matchup. Given they've shown they can play with Drake, they will have the confidence to play with Loyola-Chicago tonight as well. They did get blown out by the Ramblers earlier this season, but they have been a much better team since. And they were 11-point dogs in that first matchup and are now 20.5-point dogs in the 2nd matchup. That 9.5-point difference shows that the price is right to back the Crusaders here tonight. Loyola-Chicago could be primed for a letdown after playing Drake twice over the weekend as well. They won't be nearly as hungry to face this Valpo team that they've already blown out once. Bets on dogs of 10 or more points who went under the total by 24 or more points in their last 3 games against an opponent that went under the total by 42 or more points in their last 7 games are 71-32 ATS over the last 5 years. Loyola-Chicago plays at a snails' pace which makes it difficult for them to cover these big numbers. Take Valparaiso. |
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02-17-21 | Evansville +6.5 v. Indiana State | 73-87 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Evansville/Indiana State MVC *CA$H COW* on Evansville +6.5 The Key: Evansville wants to avenge its 70-76 home loss to Indiana State on February 14 as 3-point underdogs. The Purple Aces come back as 6.5-point dogs at Indiana State just 3 days later here. To give up 59.6% shooting to the Sycamores and only lost by 6 is actually impressive. The Sycamores won't shoot nearly as well in the rematch. They shoot just 43.4% as a team this season. The Purple Aces are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as dogs. Take Evansville. |
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02-16-21 | Xavier v. St. John's -1 | 84-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
6* Xavier/St. John's Big East *CA$H COW* on St. John's -1 The Key: St. John's is 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games overall. The Red Storm's only losses during this stretch came by 2 points to Marquette and by 3 at Butler in OT after they blew a 16-point lead. They have upset wins over Providence, Villanova, Marquette and Connecticut during this run. Now they want to avenge their 61-69 road loss at Xavier on January 6th. The Musketeers have only played 2 games since January 10 due to COVID pauses. They are rusty right now and taking on a completely different Red Storm team than the first time they met. The Red Storm are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take St. John's. |
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02-15-21 | Washington +8 v. Washington State | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington +8 The Key: I really like the price we are getting with Washington in this rivalry game. Washington State beat Washington by 15 points in their first matchup this year. But that was a letdown spot for the Huskies as they were coming off 2 straight upset wins over Colorado and Utah. The price is right to back them in the rematch when you consider they were 1.5-point favorites in that first matchup and now are 8-point dogs in the 2nd matchup. The books have adjusted this line a whopping 9.5 points. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups. Take Washington. |
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02-14-21 | Bradley v. Missouri State -10 | 57-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
6* Missouri Valley *CA$H COW* on Missouri State -10 The Key: Bradley played without 4 of its best players yesterday in a 58-80 road loss to Missouri State. It should be more of the same here as the Braves are without these guys until Wednesday. They are missing Childs (14.2 PPG, 8.3 RPG), Henry (10.7 PPG, 4.7 RPG), Nolan Jr. (11.2 PPG, 3.3 APG) and Kingsby (4.0 PPG) due to suspension. That's their Top 3 scorers plus a key bench guy. Missouri State is 8-0 ATS as a favorite this season. The Bears are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games off a blowout home win by 20 points or more. Take Missouri State. |
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02-14-21 | Tulane +5 v. South Florida | 62-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
6* American Athletic *CA$H COW* on Tulane +5 The Key: Tulane is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games overall. It has lost just once by more than 4 points during this stretch, which was an 8-point loss at Wichita State as as 12-point dogs. The Green Wave shouldn't be catching 5 points against a South Florida team that is rusty due to a COVID break. The Bulls didn't play for an entire month then had to come back and play Houston, and it wasn't pretty in a 17-point loss. They were gassed in the 2nd half. They won't be much better today in their 2nd game back and this is a game I expect the Green Wave to win outright. Tulane is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 road games off 3 straight games as an underdog. The Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Take Tulane. |
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02-13-21 | UNLV +9.5 v. Boise State | 59-61 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on UNLV +9.5 The Key: UNLV will be hungry to avenge its 66-78 road loss at Boise State on Thursday. Now the Rebels are 9.5-point dogs here Saturday and will be the hungrier team. The Rebels are 32-12 ATS in their last 44 road games when playing with one or less days' rest. The Rebels are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games. We're getting them cheap here Saturday because they have failed to cover 6 in a row coming in. The Broncos have dropped 3 of their last 5 games overall after finally stepping up in competition after padding their 14-4 record in the first half of the season. Take UNLV. |
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02-13-21 | Iowa v. Michigan State +5 | Top | 88-58 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
7* Big Ten Game of the Year on Michigan State +5 The Key: The Michigan State Spartans have won 2 in a row and are making a push to make the NCAA Tournament. Now it's time for them to avenge their 78-84 road loss at Iowa last week. The Spartans come back as 5-point home dogs here. That's significant when you consider Michigan State is 17-1 SU in its last 18 home matchups with the Hawkeyes. This line is way off for a Hawkeyes team that has dropped 4 of its last 6 games coming in. The Spartans should be the favorites in this matchup and don't be afraid to bet a percentage of your wager on the money line as well. Take Michigan State. |
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02-12-21 | Temple +6.5 v. Cincinnati | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Temple +6.5 The Key: Temple will be hungry to avenge its 63-60 home loss to Cincinnati as 3-point dogs on February 4th. Now the Owls are 6.5-point dogs in the rematch just 8 days later with the only difference being the change of venue. I love the price we are getting with the Owls here tonight catching 3.5 more points than they were in the first matchup. Cincinnati has won just one of its last 11 games by more than 5 points. That was a 7-point win over SMU. The Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Bearcats are 16-38 ATS in their last 54 games overall. Cincinnati is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 home games. The Bearcats are 16-35 ATS in their last 51 games as favorites, including 1-7 ATS as favorites this season. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups. Take Temple. |
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02-11-21 | Iowa State +15.5 v. Kansas | 64-97 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
6* Iowa State/Kansas Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Iowa State +15.5 The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones keep fighting hard for their first Big 12 victory. They are 0-9 SU in Big 12 games but 6-3 ATS in conference play. They are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games with a 4-point loss to West Virginia as an 11.5-point dog, a 7-point loss at Oklahoma as a 14-point dog and a 3-point loss at TCU as a 4.5-point dog. They can certainly stay within 15.5 points of a Kansas team that is the worst Kansas team we have seen in years. The Jayhawks are just 13-7 SU & 8-11 ATS this season. They have won just one of their last 9 games by more than 12 points. They just aren't blowing teams out this season. The Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against teams that win more than 60% of their home games. The Jayhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off a win. The road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 matchups. The Cyclones are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points. Take Iowa State. |
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02-11-21 | Purdue v. Minnesota -3 | 68-71 | Push | 0 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
6* Purdue/Minnesota Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Minnesota -3 The Key: Minnesota will be hungry to avenge a 62-81 road loss at Purdue on January 30th. I like their chances considering the Golden Gophers are 12-1 SU & 8-4-1 ATS at home this year. Purdue is just 3-5 SU in true road games this year. The home team is 5-0 SU in the last 5 matchups in this series. The Golden Gophers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take Minnesota. |
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02-10-21 | Houston -12.5 v. South Florida | 82-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Houston -12.5 The Key: South Florida has been off since January 9 due to COVID. Now they return almost exactly one month later and face the worst possible team they could in the American Athletic. They have to go up against a Top 10 team in Houston here, which is 16-2 on the season with 14 of those wins by double-digits. Rust will be a factor for the Bulls, and the Cougars will take advantage and stomp on them early and hold them off late for a win and cover. The Cougars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups. The Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take Houston. |
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02-10-21 | Tulane +7.5 v. Tulsa | 58-48 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
6* Tulane/Tulsa AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulane +7.5 The Key: Tulane has covered 3 straight coming in with an upset win at Temple, an 8-point loss at Wichita State and a 3-point home loss to Cincinnati. The Green Wave are playing well, while the Tulsa Golden Hurricane are not. Tulsa has lost 4 of its last 5 games overall with 2 straight home losses to SMU and UCF. The road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 matchups in this series. In its last 5 trips to Tulsa, Tulane hasn't once lost by more than 8 points. The Green Wave are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road dog between 6.5 and 12 points. The Green Wave are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games overall. Take Tulane. |
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02-09-21 | Iowa State +6.5 v. TCU | 76-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
6* Iowa State/TCU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Iowa State +6.5 The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones are 0-8 SU in Big 12 play but 5-3 ATS. They have been competitive against some great teams as they covered in losses to Oklahoma by 7 and WVU by 4 in their last 2 games coming in. They are hungry for their first Big 12 victory and their best chance of the season comes tonight against the TCU Horned Frogs. This is a TCU team that is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games with its lone victory coming by 3 points. TCU is 1-7 ATS in its 8 home games this year. The Horned Frogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as home favorites. TCU is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record. The Horned Frogs are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a losing record. Take Iowa State. |
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02-09-21 | St. John's v. Butler -1 | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Butler -1 The Key: The price is getting steep to back a St. John's team that has won 6 straight and covered 8 in a row coming in. That includes their 69-57 home win over Butler back on January 12. Now the Bulldogs will be hungry to avenge that defeat and put an end to this winning streak. The Bulldogs are as healthy as they've been all season now and are starting to play up to their potential. They have won 3 of their last 6 including and upset home win over Creighton. They also beat DePaul by 10 at home last time out and are in the more favorable situation playing just their 2nd game in 7 days. The Red Storm will be playing their 5th game in 14 days and their 4th road game during this stretch. The Bulldogs are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games when the line is +3 to -3. The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games when avenging a loss. The home team is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups. Take Butler. |
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02-08-21 | Oregon State +12.5 v. Colorado | 49-78 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
6* Oregon State/Colorado Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Oregon State +12.5 The Key: The Oregon State Beavers are playing too well right now to be catching this many points from Colorado. The Beavers are 5-2 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Their only losses both came on the road to 2 of the best teams in the Pac-12 in USC by 13 and UCLA by 5. They also upset Oregon by 11 as 9-point road dogs and upset USC as 10-point home dogs. Colorado hasn't won any of its last 5 games by more than 12 points. They lost outright as a 7.5-point home favorite to Utah and outright as a 13-point road favorite at Washington. That's the same Washington team that Oregon State beat by 20 at home two games ago. The road team is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups with the Beavers pulling the outright upset in each of their last 2 trips to Colorado. The Buffaloes are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games off a win. The Beavers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams that attempt 18 or fewer FT per game. Take Oregon State. |
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02-07-21 | Southern Illinois +8 v. Bradley | 69-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Southern Illinois +8 The Key: Southern Illinois was covering the entire way yesterday until fouls in the final second led to them losing 66-74 at Bradley, pushing as 8-point underdogs. Now the Salukis are identical 8-point road dogs to the Braves today. I expect them to improve upon that result and stay within the number this time and possibly pull the upset. It's a struggling Bradley team that is just 1-6 SU & 0-5-2 ATS in its last 7 games overall. The Salukis are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups. Take Southern Illinois. |
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02-07-21 | Drake v. Valparaiso +13 | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Missouri Valley *CA$H COW* on Valparaiso +13 The Key: We were right on Valpo +13 yesterday and the price is right to back the Crusaders again at home as identical 13-point dogs to Drake again today. They nearly handed Drake their first loss of the season, losing just 77-80 yesterday. So even held an 8-point lead at halftime. They can stay within 13 here and possibly pull off the upset. The pressure is mounting with each passing game for the Bulldogs to try and remain unbeaten. At some point they will slip up and it's going to be hard for them to keep covering these double-digit spread. These 2 road games against Valpo are the first time all season that Drake has been a double-digit road favorite. The Crusaders are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as home dogs. Bets on home teams off a home cover where they lost straight up as an underdog against an opponent after a road game where both team scored 75 points or more are 34-7 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Valparaiso. |
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02-06-21 | Colorado State v. Wyoming +7.5 | Top | 68-59 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Wyoming +7.5 The Key: Wyoming will be looking to avenge its 72-74 home loss to Colorado State as identical 7.5-point dogs on Thursday. The Cowboys blew a 38-32 halftime lead in that contest and allowed the Rams to shoot 55.1% while they shot 42.6% themselves. Just a slight improvement will have them covering this spread again and possibly winning outright. The Cowboys are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games when avenging a same-season loss. The Cowboys are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as underdogs. The underdog is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 matchups. Take Wyoming. |
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02-06-21 | Washington +12.5 v. Oregon | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
6* Washington/Oregon Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Washington +12.5 The Key: The Oregon Ducks can't catch a break. They had to pause their program for 2 weeks on 2 separate occasions lately. The results have been awful. They were upset 64-75 as 9-point home favorites by Oregon State in their first game back from their first break. And then they were upset 71-74 as 11.5-point favorites against Washington State on Thursday in their first game back from their 2nd break. Not to mention, they lost their best player in Chris Duarte (17.8 PPG) to a serious ankle injury in that loss to the Cougars. Now they won't have him against Washington tonight. The Huskies are good enough to stay within this 12.5-point spread given all the difficulties surrounding Oregon's program right now. The Ducks are just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games off 2 consecutive home losses. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups. Take Washington. |
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02-06-21 | Syracuse +3.5 v. Clemson | 61-78 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
6* Syracuse/Clemson ACC *CA$H COW* on Syracuse +3.5 The Key: The Syracuse Orange have won 3 of their last 4 games with their only loss coming on the road to Virginia. Clemson is 2-4 SU & 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games overall. The situation favors the Orange as they have been off since January 31st while Clemson is coming off an upset win over UNC on February 2nd. That makes this a potential letdown spot for the Tigers as well. It's a bad matchup for Clemson. They shoot just 30.9% from 3-point range this year, one of the worst percentages in the country. Teams need to be able to make the 3 ball against Syracuse's 2-3 zone defense. I don't foresee the Tigers having much success in that department as the Orange allow just 29.5% shooting from 3 on the season. Clemson is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games against teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game. Syracuse is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 road games with a total of 130 to 139.5. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 matchups. Take Syracuse. |
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02-06-21 | Drake v. Valparaiso +13 | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
6* Drake/Valparaiso MVC *CA$H COW* on Valpo +13 The Key: The price is right to back Valpo at home today as they come in hungry to hand Drake its first loss of the season. The pressure is mounting with each passing game for the Bulldogs to try and remain unbeaten. At some point they will slip up, and at the very least it will be difficult for them to cover this double-digit spread in the road. It's the first time all season they have been a double-digit road favorite. The Crusaders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when coming off 2 consecutive road games. The Crusaders are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as home dogs. Take Valparaiso. |
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02-05-21 | Boise State v. Nevada +4.5 | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
6* Boise State/Nevada Mountain West *CA$H COW* on Nevada +4.5 The Key: The Boise State Broncos have padded their record against an easy Mountain West schedule. They finally had to face a decent team in Colorado State and split their 2 games with the Rams last time out, but got outscored by a combined 14 points in those 2 games. Now they face an even better team here in Nevada in my opinion. It's a Nevada team that has gone 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games overall and hasn't lost any of its last 13 games by more than 7 points. That includes road losses to San Diego State by 5 and 2 points in a back-to-back situation. If they can hang with the Aztecs on the road, they can beat Boise State at home. After all, the Wolf Pack have won 8 of their last 9 matchups with Boise State outright. Take Nevada. |
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02-04-21 | Washington State +11.5 v. Oregon | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
6* Washington State/Oregon Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Washington State +11.5 The Key: The Oregon Ducks should not be double-digit favorites over Washington State tonight given the status of their program. The Ducks will be playing for just the 2nd time since January 9th. They came back from a 2-week break on January 23rd and were upset 64-75 by a bad Oregon State team as a 9-point home favorite. They have since had to take another nearly 2 week break and return to action tonight against the Cougars. There will be some rust with the Ducks that won't allow them to cover this big number. Washington State is one of the most improved teams in the country this year. The Cougars only have one loss all season by more than 15 points. Washington State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 road games, and 5-1 ATS in its last 6 road games against a team that wins more than 60% of its home games. The Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games off a game with 9 or fewer assists. Take Washington State. |
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02-04-21 | Cincinnati v. Temple -1.5 | 63-60 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Temple -1.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting on Temple tonight in a home game where they basically just have to win to cover. We are getting them cheap because they weren't mentally in the game against Tulane in their 17-point home loss due to the death of former head coach John Chaney. But they should come back more focused tonight. The Owls are still 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games even with that loss to Tulane. And now they host a Cincinnati team that has been off since January 10th. It's safe to say there will be rust involved with the Bearcats because they've barely even been able to practice, and there's talk that some walk ons might have to play. Cincinnati hasn't been very good as it is in going 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games. The Bearcats are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games after going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. The Bearcats are 15-37 ATS in their last 52 games overall. Take Temple. |
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02-03-21 | Tulane +11.5 v. Wichita State | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
6* Tulane/Wichita State AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulane +11.5 The Key: Wichita State is laying too many points here against Tulane. The Shockers have won just one of their last 6 games by more than 6 points. They needed OT to beat UCF last time out. Tulane just won 81-64 outright at Temple last time out and is starting to play well. They are undervalued due to 2 recent blowout losses to Houston, which is blowing everyone out. Houston is the only team to beat Tulane by more than 10 points all season. Wichita State only has 3 wins by double-digits all season and 2 of them came against Emporia State and Newman. The Green Wave are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games against good teams that win 60% to 80% of their games. The Green Wave are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games. Take Tulane. |
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02-03-21 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +4.5 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
6* Virginia Tech/Pittsburgh ACC *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh +4.5 The Key: The Virginia Tech Hokies are primed for a letdown tonight after upsetting Virginia at home in their last game. The Hokies only have 2 road wins all season and they came against ACC bottom feeders Notre Dame and Wake Forest. Pittsburgh is a hungry team off 3 straight losses and we should get a big effort from the Panthers tonight because of it. The Hokies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Panthers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games off 2 straight home losses. Take Pittsburgh. |