10-01-11 |
Michigan State v. Ohio State -3 |
Top |
10-7 |
Loss |
-113 |
68 h 37 m |
Show
|
The Buckeyes are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 home games and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite. The Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall as an underdog. Also, the Spartans are only 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Ohio State. Ohio State showed they're not as lifeless as many think last week and I look for Braxton Miller to play even better this week after getting his first career start out of the way last Saturday. Ohio State has beaten Michigan State in 7 straight games by an average of 18 ppg with only one game being decided by single digits. The Bucks, at home, deserve more respect than the 3 points we need to cover this week.
|
09-24-11 |
Florida -19.5 v. Kentucky |
Top |
48-10 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 23 m |
Show
|
Florida has covered 4 straight against the Wildcats and they're 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings at Kentucky. Florida has beaten Kentucky 11 straight times in Lexington and overall they've won the last 24 meetings with the Wildcats! Over the last 3 years, the Gators have an average margin of victory of 42 ppg and over the last 10 years the margin has been 24 ppg! The Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite and they're 14-5 ATS in their last 19 overall road games. Also, the Gators are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite of 10.5 points or greater.
|
09-24-11 |
Colorado v. Ohio State -16.5 |
Top |
17-37 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 55 m |
Show
|
The Buckeyes are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. the Pac-12 and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. The Buffaloes, on the other hand, have a road record of 0-6 since 2005 against non-conference BCS opponents. Their average margin of defeat in those games has been just under 3 TD's. The Buckeyes are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite and they're 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games overall. Again, the Buffs have proven inept away from home going 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games. After a bad loss to Miami last week, Ohio State gets back on track in a big way this weekend!
|
09-17-11 |
Oklahoma -3 v. Florida State |
Top |
23-13 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 17 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma has won 5 straight games against Florida State including last years' blowout in Norman. While they have to head to Tallahassee this year, the Sooners are 10-3 in their last 13 road openers. As they showed last year, Florida State has not had success facing the top teams in the nation. The 'Noles are just 5-12 over their last 17 games against top 10 rated teams. Oklahoma has had two weeks to prepare for the Seminoles and get ready for their long road trip east. I see no reason to believe OU can handle the 'Noles by a couple TD's again this season.
|
09-17-11 |
Michigan State +5 v. Notre Dame |
Top |
13-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
45 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is always a close rivalry game. In the series, 9 of the last 11 have been decided by single digits and 4 of the last 6 have been within a FG. Also, the Spartans have won 7 straight ATS at Notre Dame and are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 overall meetings. Another important trend in our matchup is the fact that the road team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games in the series! Notre Dame needs a big home win after starting 0-2 but I just don't see it happening. Besides all of their miscues and leading the NCAA in turnovers this year, the Irish are just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 3.5-10 points and only 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
|
01-10-11 |
Oregon v. Auburn -2 |
Top |
19-22 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 45 m |
Show
|
The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-3 points. The Tigers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record while the Ducks are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Auburn plays big games week in and week out in the SEC and managed to stay undefeated through them all. Every time they step on the field they are playing against some of the best talent in the country, offensively and defensively. In the PAC-10, Oregon didn't face near as many tests along the way this year, especially with perenial power USC in a down year. Look for the difference maker in this game to come with Auburn's defense, most notably the Tigers' front four. Oregon hasn't seen any defense as fast and physical as they'll face Monday night and their high-powered offense will suffer because of that.
|
01-07-11 |
Texas A&M +2.5 v. LSU |
Top |
24-41 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
The Aggies finished the season off as one of the hottest teams in the nation winning 6 straight and covering the spread in all 6 as well. A&M won those 6 games by beating the likes of Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Nebraska and Texas and did so by an average of 15 ppg! The Aggies strength is their versatile offensive attack but they also boast a very good defense giving up just over 20 ppg, good for a top 25 ranking on the year. LSU has a very solid defense but their offense isn't capable of moving the ball against A&M's D. In the end, I look for a low scoring game in which the Aggies make enough plays to pull out the win.
|
01-03-11 |
Virginia Tech v. Stanford -3.5 |
Top |
12-40 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 9 m |
Show
|
Stanford's physical style and excellent defense gives them the edge over Virginia Tech. Stanford has shown the ability to stop some of the best offenses in the country while playing in the PAC-10. The Cardinal gave up less than 18 ppg (11th in the NCAA) and over their last 5 games they posted two shutots and allowed less than 9 ppg! With a future #1 draft pick at QB, Stanford has no problem moving the ball when they have the ball as well. The Cardinal averaged over 40 ppg (9th in the NCAA) and they were consistent in doing so as they scored at least 31 points in all but 1 game this year.
|
01-01-11 |
Michigan v. Mississippi State -4 |
Top |
14-52 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 59 m |
Show
|
Mississippi State is another case of playing such good competition in the SEC they are overlooked by most across the nation. The Bulldogs had 4 losses this year and they all came to teams ranked in the top 15 in the nation, teams with combined records of 42-7! No shame in losing those games, especially a 3 point loss to the #1 team in the nation. Mississippi State has run for nearly 220 ypg this season and the Michigan defense gives up over 170 ypg on the ground. The Wolverines have one of the worst defenses in the nation giving up over 430 ypg and nearly 34 ppg! The Bulldogs don't put up a gawdy number of points but they are efficient and that is more than enough to move the ball against the pourous Michigain defense. Michigan will put some points on the board but the Mississippi defense is very good and they will make enough stops to win this game going away. Their specialty is stopping the run and that will be the deciding factor as the Wolverines can't maintain drives when they have to resort to throwing the ball.
|
12-31-10 |
Florida State v. South Carolina -3 |
Top |
26-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
24 h 53 m |
Show
|
The Gamecocks have improved every year under Steve Spurrier with this year being the best yet. The Gamecocks have won their last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-3 points and South Carolina is also 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Behind RB Marcus Lattimore, Spurrier has his most balanced team ever and the Gamecocks are very tough for a defense to stop. Florida State gave up over 187 ypg on the ground over their last three games and that is surely to be exploited some more on Friday evening. South Carolina is a top 10-15 team in the nation but with two losses to #1 Auburn and another to Sugar Bowl participant Arkansas, their season record looks much worse than it's really been.
|
12-04-10 |
Florida State v. Virginia Tech -3.5 |
Top |
33-44 |
Win
|
100 |
73 h 43 m |
Show
|
The Hokies are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall and also 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. Virginia Tech has won 10 straight games, by an average of 21 ppg. Just two of those 10 wins were not double digit wins, one by a TD and one by 9 points. The Hokies have surged their way back into Orange Bowl contention after starting with 2 disappointing losses to start the season. Look for them to finish off another great season at the hands of their stellar defense and always strong running game.
|
11-26-10 |
Boise State -13.5 v. Nevada |
Top |
31-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
57 h 5 m |
Show
|
The Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. Overall, Boise State is 8-2 ATS this year and a perfect 4-0 on the road. Also, the Broncos have owned Nevada going 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings including taking 4 straight ATS on the Wolf Pack's home turf. The Broncos know they have way too much riding on this game and they have always stepped up to the big challenge under Chris Petersen. They will coming firing on all cylinders and step up to play their best football of the year.
|
11-25-10 |
Texas A&M -3.5 v. Texas |
Top |
24-17 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 18 m |
Show
|
The Aggies are 5-2 ATS on the road this year and they're on a 5 game win streak against the books. Also, Texas A&M has won 4 of the last 5 ATS vs. Texas. The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and just 2-9 ATS over their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. The 'Horns are giving up over 26 ppg in conference play this year and scoring less than 20 ppg. The Aggies have scored 35 or more in 5 of 7 conference games and against this Texas defense they will do the same Thursday night as they get a double digit win.
|
11-20-10 |
Wisconsin -4 v. Michigan |
Top |
48-28 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 21 m |
Show
|
As much as I normally love a home dog in this spot Michigan just doesn't fit the bill. The Wolverines' defense is far too poor to stop Wisconsin's running game and play action pass attack. Michigan has given up 34 points or more in 6 of 10 games this season, including 5 of 6 Big Ten games. Wisconsin ranks among the nation's best defenses with top 25 rankings in yards allowed and points allowed. They have the physical defense that has negated Denard Robinson throughout the Big Ten conference slate. The Badgers win by double digits and continue their dominance over Michigan as they carry a 6-1-1 streak ATS coming into Saturday's matchup.
|
11-13-10 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys -5 v. Texas |
Top |
33-16 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 4 m |
Show
|
The Cowboys are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a road favorite. Also, the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the Longhorns are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Texas just doesn't have the makeup of a good team. They've been beaten by far less quality teams that what Oklahoma State will bring at them this week. The Longhorns have lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 while giving up at least 28 points in each. The Cowboys are scoring 46 ppg. Here's to saying they continue that streak the 'Horns are allowing as they win going away!
|
11-13-10 |
Utah -5.5 v. Notre Dame |
Top |
3-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
68 h 54 m |
Show
|
The Utes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Utah doesn't just sneak up on road opponents and come up with back door covers, they have had success on the road as a favorite winning 4 of they're last 5 ATS. Notre Dame is just 2-5-2 ATS this year and has yet to cash in on their home turf. In fact, the Irish are only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10 points and just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
|
11-06-10 |
Alabama Crimson Tide -6.5 v. Louisiana St Tigers |
Top |
21-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
68 h 16 m |
Show
|
The Crimson Tide are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games overall. Alabama also boasts a 6-1 record ATS in their last 7 meetings in Baton Rouge as the road team has continually cashed in this series with a mark of 11-2-1 ATS over the last 14 games. In fact, LSU is just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 home games and only 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 conference games. Both teams have great defenses so the offensive advantage 'Bama has over the Tigers becomes the difference. LSU has escaped defeat many times garnering their first loss last week but while Alabama has been dominant all year other than one slip up. Easy win for the Tide as they work towards a chance to get back into the BCS tite game.
|
11-06-10 |
Illinois Fighting Illini +3 v. Michigan Wolverines |
Top |
65-67 |
Win
|
100 |
65 h 24 m |
Show
|
Illinois is another talented offensive team that will expose Michigan's pourous defense. The Illini are scoring 27 ppg and against Michigan they will get closer to the 32 points they have averaged over the last 4 games. The Illini are 6-2 ATS this season and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. The Wolverines are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Also, Michigan is just 7-20 ATS in their last 27 conference games.
|
10-23-10 |
Oklahoma Sooners -3 v. Missouri Tigers |
Top |
27-36 |
Loss |
-105 |
73 h 31 m |
Show
|
Bob Stoops has owned the Tigers with the Sooners showing a 7-0 record over Missouri, by an average of 21 ppg, since Stoops has been at OU and Missouri hasn't seen anything like Oklahoma's defense yet this year. The Sooners are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-3 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3 points. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games. Also, the Tigers are only 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
|
10-23-10 |
Louisiana St Tigers v. Auburn Tigers -6 |
Top |
17-24 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 40 m |
Show
|
LSU has played no one and is the weakest of the remaining undefeated teams. In this series, the home team has won 9 of 10 with an average margin of victory of 13 ppg. The diverity of Auburn's offense along with the big game experience they've already been through with quality wins over Clemson, South Carolina and Arkansas.
|
10-09-10 |
Pittsburgh U +6.5 v. Notre Dame |
Top |
17-23 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 16 m |
Show
|
Five of the last six games in this series have been single digit margins and the road team/underdog has won 5 straight ATS. As in most years, Notre Dame gets far more credit than they deserve from bettors with their large national following and longtime history. The Fighting Irish are only 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and just 16-35 ATS in their last 51 home games. Pitt is well rested and has the better talent here. This is a game the Panthers should win SU.
|
09-25-10 |
Ball State +28 v. Iowa |
Top |
0-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
42 h 19 m |
Show
|
Ball State has no shot to win this game but they will keep it close. Iowa is coming off a disappointing loss and suffered numerous injuries. The Cardinals are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 road games and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Also, the Cardinals are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater while the Hawkeyes are only 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Looks like a perfect storm for Ball State to cash for us Saturday morning!
|
09-18-10 |
Iowa Hawkeyes -1 v. Arizona Wildcats |
Top |
27-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
98 h 27 m |
Show
|
Tough spot for the Hawkeyes in what figures to be one of the biggest games of the weekend. Iowa has proven their worth here, though, as they show a 12-3 record ATS vs. a team with a winning record and they're 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Out of conference Arizona has been a loser, just a 1-4 record ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and the Wildcats are only 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big Ten opponents. Take the Hawks on the road in this one with a veteran group that won't struggle in a hostile environment.
|
09-11-10 |
Iowa State +14 v. Iowa |
Top |
7-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
70 h 31 m |
Show
|
The Cyclones are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Big Ten and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. Also, the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series with Iowa State owning a 6 game win streak in Iowa City. Not only have the Cyclones gotten it done on the road, Iowa State is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings overall with the Hawkeyes. Too large of a spread for the home team to cover against an improving Iowa State team.
|
09-04-10 |
Northwestern -5.5 v. Vanderbilt |
Top |
23-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
97 h 39 m |
Show
|
Vanderbilt was 0-5 ATS at home last season. It won't get any easier this year as they open up against an ever improving Northwestern team coming off a great '09 and returning plenty of talent. The Wildcats were also an impressive 5-1 ATS on the road last year. Vanderbilt has an anemic offense and Northwestern has made it's name by being solid defensively under coach Pat Fitzgerald.
|
01-05-10 |
Iowa +5.5 v. Georgia Tech |
Top |
24-14 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 37 m |
Show
|
The Hawkeyes are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 10-3 ATS over their last 13 against teams with a winning record. This one will be won in the trenches. Iowa's front seven is far too good for Georgia Tech to run as effectively as they have all season long. They will contain the Yellow Jackets option attack and they also have a great secondary to shut down the occassional pass to big time WR Demaryius Thomas. Defensively, Georgia Tech has been atrocious allowing over 350 ypg and 25 points per contest. Those numbers were given up to teams far more inept than what the Hawkeyes will roll into the Orange Bowl. Not sure what oddsmakers are seeing here as I see Iowa not only winning but winning big. Iowa 31, Ga Tech 17
|
01-01-10 |
Florida State v. West Virginia -2.5 |
Top |
33-21 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 60 m |
Show
|
Florida State is near the bottom in the nation when it comes to total defense, with their biggest weakness coming against the run. Well, we all know the Mountaineers are going to run and run some more which will spell disaster for the 'Noles. The only thing Florida State has going in their favor is the emotion of it being Bobby Bowden's last game. Look for them to come out hot but don't fret, the emotion will fade and the better team will rise to the top. West Virginia wins by 10.
|
12-31-09 |
Iowa State +3 v. Minnesota |
Top |
14-13 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 10 m |
Show
|
Minnesota really struggled down the stretch after losing star WR Eric Decker. They were shutout against Iowa and scored no offensive TD's in beating D-1AA South Dakota State 16-13. Minnesota's weakness on defense also matches up against the strength of the Iowa State Cyclones. The Cyclones like to run the ball and open up the short passing game. Minnesota is allowing nearly 150 rushing ypg so they will allow Iowa State to move the ball and open up their offense the way they like to. Iowa State also wins this game in the coaching/emotional category. Iowa State will be much more prepared, focused and excited to playing in their first bowl in some time.
|
12-31-09 |
Air Force +5 v. Houston |
Top |
47-20 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 35 m |
Show
|
Air Force will run against Houston without much problem at all. Houston is one of the worst teams against the run in the nation giving up over 210 ypg. Against the #3 rushing offense in the nation that number may double! The Falcons will control the clock and keep the explosive passing attack of Houston off the field. When Case Keenum and his cast of WR's are on the field they'll be going up against one of the saltiest groups anyhow. Air Force is tops in the nation allowing under 150 yards through the air each game.
|
12-26-09 |
North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -2 |
Top |
17-19 |
Push |
0 |
53 h 33 m |
Show
|
Pitt has the higher quality team and had a much better season against better competition. Remember, Pitt was ranked in the top 10 with just two games to play before losing those last two against very good opponents. Pitt has a young team and it's my belief they just tired down through the guantlet of the season. After a few weeks off, I look for the Panthers to roar back and polish off UNC in the bowl game.
|
12-05-09 |
Houston -2.5 v. East Carolina |
Top |
32-38 |
Loss |
-108 |
88 h 53 m |
Show
|
The Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. East Carolina's passing defense is among the worst in the nation giving up 240 ypg through the air. We all know what kind of QB Chase Keenum is and what he will do to that secondary! East Carolina is just 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and we'll look for that downward slide to continue this week.
|
11-28-09 |
Clemson -3 v. South Carolina |
Top |
17-34 |
Loss |
-101 |
66 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
11-27-09 |
Pittsburgh +1 v. West Virginia |
Top |
16-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
49 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
11-21-09 |
Wisconsin v. Northwestern +7 |
Top |
31-33 |
Win
|
100 |
92 h 44 m |
Show
|
In recent history, the home team has won 4 straight ATS and the underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Northwestern has won 5 straight home meetings ATS vs. Wisconsin and 7 of the last 10 ATS overall. Also, the Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 3.5-10 points. The Badgers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games.
|
11-21-09 |
Minnesota v. Iowa -9.5 |
Top |
0-12 |
Win
|
100 |
88 h 27 m |
Show
|
The Hawkeyes are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10 points and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Golden Gophers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Also, Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Iowa City and just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings overall.
|
11-14-09 |
Northwestern +5 v. Illinois |
Top |
21-16 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 47 m |
Show
|
The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10. Northwestern also shows a 7-2 record ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Illini included 5 of the last 7 in Champaign. The Fighting Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 3.5-10 points.
|
11-07-09 |
Oklahoma -4 v. Nebraska |
Top |
3-10 |
Loss |
-104 |
26 h 55 m |
Show
|
The Sooners are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games. Heading into Lincoln to face a struggling Nebraska team (1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games) will allow OU to improve upon the favorite's 4-1 record ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series.
|
11-07-09 |
LSU +8 v. Alabama |
Top |
15-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
65 h 48 m |
Show
|
LSU has played great all season long losing only to #1 Florida. The Tigers have a better chance to win this one SU than they do to get beat by a TD. The Tigers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Alabama and overall the road team is 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
|
10-31-09 |
Southern Mississippi v. Houston -6 |
Top |
43-50 |
Win
|
100 |
89 h 22 m |
Show
|
Cougars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. In this series, the favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the home team is 8-2 ATS over the last 10 meetings. Houston at home covers a TD easily.
|
10-31-09 |
Purdue v. Wisconsin -6.5 |
Top |
0-37 |
Win
|
100 |
89 h 58 m |
Show
|
Wisconsin will be well rested coming off a bye last Saturday. Also, the Badgers are 5-1-1 ATS over the last 7 games vs. Purdue. The Boilers are due for a let down after getting two big wins at home the last two weeks. The key there is at home. Purdue hits the road this week and has a 1-6 record ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points to answer to. Wisconsin rolls in this one.
|
10-17-09 |
Iowa +3 v. Wisconsin |
Top |
20-10 |
Win
|
100 |
113 h 15 m |
Show
|
The Iowa Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Iowa has also fared well against Wisconsin's style of play and the schemes they employ showing a 6-1 record ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Badgers. This will figure to be a deciding factor in the Big Ten race with these two teams nearly umblemished and sitting atop the conference standings. With that said, the Badgers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record while the Hawkeyes have stepped up in the big games, showing a 7-1 record ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
|
10-10-09 |
Alabama v. Mississippi +5.5 |
Top |
22-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
45 h 53 m |
Show
|
Bama probably wins this one with a late score but they won't cover this number on the road. The Crimson Tide are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Mississippi and overall the home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 in this series. Also, Ole Miss is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and a very profitable 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games overall, including 4 straight wins ATS vs. Alabama.
|
10-10-09 |
Oregon Ducks -3.5 v. UCLA Bruins |
Top |
24-10 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 29 m |
Show
|
Oregon has been unstoppable since stubbing their toe in the season opener at Boise. The Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. I have won twice on UCLA this year as overall they have looked solid. Despite this, they haven't shown me enough to prove they can hang with the caliber of team coming to town this weekend. The Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in UCLA and the Bruins are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10. Lay the points!
|
09-26-09 |
Iowa +10 v. Penn St. |
Top |
21-10 |
Win
|
100 |
126 h 59 m |
Show
|
The Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Hawkeyes are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog of 3.5-10 points. Iowa also shows a 4-1 record ATS in their last 5 meetings at Penn State. As good as Iowa has been as a road dog Penn State has struggled at home. The Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10 and 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10 points overall.
|
09-26-09 |
Miami (Florida) v. Virginia Tech +3 |
Top |
7-31 |
Win
|
100 |
92 h 31 m |
Show
|
The public is hot on Miami and their great start which puts us in a perfect spot to steal one with the Hokies! The Hokies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall as an underdog. The Hurricanes are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite and a staggering 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Virginia Tech. Don't let a 2-0 start by the Canes fool you away from the historic facts. The Hokies will continue their domination of Miami and win this game at home.
|
09-19-09 |
Nebraska v. Virginia Tech -3.5 |
Top |
15-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
116 h 29 m |
Show
|
After winning in Lincoln last year, Virginia Tech gets Nebraska on their home turf this season. The Hokies are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Nebraska on the other hand is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. The home crowd helps will Va Tech to a double digit win at home this Saturday!
|
09-19-09 |
Arizona v. Iowa -5 |
Top |
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
114 h 41 m |
Show
|
The Hawks have been cash money at home sporting a 36-17 record ATS in their last 53 games as a home favorite. Overall, Iowa is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and have won 9 of 11 as a home favorite of 3.5-10 points. Arizona is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Ten. The Wildcats also struggle on the road showing a 1-4 record ATS in their last 5 road games.
|
09-12-09 |
Air Force Falcons +4 v. Minnesota Golden Gophers |
Top |
13-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
96 h 16 m |
Show
|
Minnesota definitely isn't known for their defense and they won't be able to stop the disciplined rushing attack Air Force will bring at them Saturday. The Gophers had trouble stopping lowly Syracuse last week in their opener which convinces me they'll be no match in this contest. The Falcons are known for starting hot going 28-11-1 ATS in their last 40 games in September. Also, the Falcons are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall. Look for them to continue their hot streak and get the cover against the struggling Big Ten and lowly Minnesota Golden Gophers.
|
09-12-09 |
Houston v. Oklahoma State -14.5 |
Top |
45-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
93 h 27 m |
Show
|
The high scoring Cowboys are one of the most dangerous teams in the nation and will blow out the inferior Cougars at home. The Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite and 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Houston, on the other hand, is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games and just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
|
09-05-09 |
Buffalo Bulls +9.5 v. UTEP Miners |
Top |
23-17 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 44 m |
Show
|
Coach Turner Gill and his staff really are among the best in the nation. They may be missing some key players off of last years great season but I look for Buffalo to continue to win games. The system and smart, talented coaching is what makes a program successful. The Bulls are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. This puts them in a perfect spot in their season opener on the road against UTEP. The Bulls also will have help as the Miners of El Paso have not been cashing at all! As a favorite of 3.5-10.0, the Miners are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games! Overall, the Miners are just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite and only show a 2-5 record ATS in their last 7 home games. Buffalo will have this game much closer than the nearly double digits they are being spotted this Saturday.
|
01-08-09 |
Florida -4 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
24-14 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 18 m |
Show
|
The SEC has looked much stronger than the Big 12 this bowl season which initially lent me to think the Gators would be my play here. After reviewing the facts, numbers and trends of the matchups my thought was backed up. The Gators are 15-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Also, the Gators are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games while the Sooners are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. SEC and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Oklahoma has a history of losing big games and without a defense capable of stopping the speedy Gators that trend will continue as Florida wins their 2nd title in 3 years.
|
01-02-09 |
Mississippi +5 v. Texas Tech |
Top |
47-34 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 12 m |
Show
|
Mississippi finished the season very strong winning their last 6 SU and their last 4 ATS. Also, the Rebels are 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog! Take the stronger team out of the SEC as their defense will shut down the wild passing attack of the Red Raiders.
|
12-29-08 |
Northwestern +13 v. Missouri |
Top |
23-30 |
Win
|
100 |
80 h 44 m |
Show
|
We all know Missouri is going to get their share of points but the Northwestern defense is underrated. They have similar styles of offense so the Wildcat defense will be well prepared and know what to do to stop the big play. Because the Tigers will still get theirs on offense, Northwestern will need to be able to keep pace with Missouri when they have the ball. Luckily for us they have a very capable offense that will only be enhanced by a Missouri defense that gives up 30 points per game. Besides big time playmaker, RB Tyrell Sutton, the Wildcats will employ two QB's to wreak havoc on Missouri's defense in differnt ways. Northwestern has a lot to prove in this game and they will come out firing!
|
12-06-08 |
Missouri v. Oklahoma -16.5 |
Top |
21-62 |
Win
|
100 |
59 h 24 m |
Show
|
The most controverisal team and game of the weekend but also the best team in the nation! Oklahoma would have covered this spread without the motivation of proving Texas and all their naysayers wrong. Look for the Sooners to roll all over Mizzou just as they have everyone else lately. OU has beaten opponents by an average of 29 points a game since the mid-season loss to Texas. The Sooners are also 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
|
12-06-08 |
Alabama v. Florida -9.5 |
Top |
20-31 |
Win
|
100 |
55 h 25 m |
Show
|
Alabama is one of the most overrated teams in the nation. They are a good team and I do give them credit for their undefeated record, they just aren't deserving of being called the top team in the land. They have squeaked out games all season long and will not be able to match the speed and ability of Florida. The Gators have played nearly flawless after their loss to Mississippi, averaging 52 points per game and only once scoring under 40! They have shreaded good defenses such as South Carolina, Georgia and Florida State and will have earned their spot in the BCS Championship after this game on Saturday.
|