Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin +16.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 21-34 | Win | 100 | 102 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #119 Wisconsin Badgers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Big 10 Championship Game, 8p.m., Saturday, December 7 FOX) Sooner or later Ohio State is going to have a competitive game. They clobbered Michigan last week, but Wisconsin did the same thing to the Wolverines as well this season. The line opened at -18 but has bet down a little since 12/1/19 and I still think Wisconsin gives them a game and easily covers this spread. Penn State and Wisconsin both had to play in Columbus and getting to face them in Indianapolis will be a much different atmosphere. The underdog has covered the spread in 5 of the last 8 meetings (1 push). Wisconsin is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-06-19 | Oregon +7 v. Utah | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 78 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #103 Oregon Ducks over Utah Utes (Pac-12 Championship Game, 8p.m., Friday, December 6 ABC) Utah has the better coach but I just believe Oregon has the better team. The Ducks are catching a lot of points and I think they will thrive under the spoiler role in this situation. Oregon is 2-0 in this game and they have not played many complete games this year, but this would be a great time for that to occur. Oregon is 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games being played on grass. Expect this game to go down to the wire and we will come out on top with whoever wins this game by a field goal. |
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12-02-19 | Vikings v. Seahawks -2.5 | Top | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 147 h 7 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #476 Seattle Seahawks over Minnesota Vikings (8:15p.m., Monday, December 2 ESPN) The Seahawks have not played at home since November 3 and they have been outstanding of late winning 4 straight games. Minnesota is a quiet 8-3 but I still do not trust QB Cousins to win big primetime games in December. These two teams met in Seattle on Monday Night Football last year and the Seahawks dominated that game winning by 14 points. The Seahawks have won 6 straight games against NFC teams. Minnesota is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Monday Night games. Seattle is 10-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 Monday Night games. |
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12-01-19 | Chargers v. Broncos +3 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 119 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #470 Denver Broncos over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 1 CBS) Neither one of these teams is going anywhere and I just do not believe QB Rivers has much left in the tank. Both teams have shown some signs of life at certain points of the season and Denver is always a tough team to beat in the Mile-High City. Los Angeles is 3-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 12 games. Denver is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Week 13 of the NFL season. |
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12-01-19 | Packers -6 v. Giants | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 116 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #451 Green Bay Packers over New York Giants (1p.m., Sunday, December 1 FOX) This is a get-well game for the Packers, as they struggled for a second time this season in the state of California. Danny Dimes is struggling like any rookie quarterback would with a lack of talent around him. Green Bay is better on both sides of the football and will be able to win this game by double digits. The favorite in this match-up has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 games (1 push). Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. New York is 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 home games. |
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12-01-19 | Browns v. Steelers +2.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 116 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Pittsburgh Steelers over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, December 1 CBS) Pittsburgh wants this game badly. They have the better coach and should not be the underdog in this game. Pittsburgh got back on track last week against Cincinnati and they have dominated this series since the Browns were allowed back into the league. Pittsburgh is 12-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 home games when they are an underdog. Cleveland is 6-21 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 29 games against with winning records. The home team is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 6 match-ups between Cleveland and Pittsburgh. |
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11-30-19 | Arizona +13.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 101 h 58 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #419 Arizona Wildcats over Arizona State Sun Devils (10p.m., Saturday, November 30 ESPN) Arizona State is coming off a huge win against Oregon last Saturday, but now we have an inflated line in a rivalry game. The Wildcats are playing their final game of the season Saturday night and expect them to be competitive for 60 minutes. Arizona State has lost 4 of their last 5 games and they have home losses to USC and Colorado. Arizona State has only beaten 1 team all season (Kent State) by over tonight’s posted number. The Territorial Cup will remain with the Sun Devils but they win by just 7-10 points. The underdog is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games between Arizona and Arizona State. |
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11-30-19 | Navy -7.5 v. Houston | 56-41 | Win | 100 | 98 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #363 Navy Midshipmen over Houston Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, November 30 ESPN2) Just do not think Houston is very good this season and they have a coach that is completely full of himself. The Cougars ended a three-game losing streak last week winning at Tulsa, but did not dominate that game whatsoever. Navy does not have a bad loss on the season and should be able to reach 10 wins by winning their last two games against teams they will be favored against. Houston is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Houston got destroyed last year against a triple option team in Army and will lose this game by double digits. |
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11-30-19 | UAB -3 v. North Texas | 26-21 | Win | 100 | 95 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #421 UAB Blazers over North Texas Mean Green (4p.m., Saturday, November 30 Stadium) The Blazers are not the same team away from Birmingham, but they have a lot of play for in this game. IF UAB win they play next week in the Conference USA Championship Game and should get Tyler Johnston III back for this game. The Mean Green are coming off a bad loss to Rice last time out and I do not see things getting better for them on Senior Day. They have yet to beat a quality team this year. UAB is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against North Texas. |
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11-30-19 | Alabama -3.5 v. Auburn | 45-48 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #397 Alabama Crimson Tide over Auburn Tigers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 30 CBS) With Oregon going down last week, the Tide still have a lot of play for in this game and I expect them to make a statement in their last regular season game of the 2019 season. Auburn has not been able to hold up against the top teams in the SEC and this game should be no different. They still have a true freshman quarterback and that does not bode well against a Nick Saban defense. Rarely do you see a line this low in an Alabama game and that is basically because of their quarterback Tua Tagovailoa not playing in this game. Alabama still has the better roster and expect Coach Saban to thrive in a situation like this similar to what Coach Meyer did with QB Cardale Jones. |
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11-30-19 | Wisconsin -2 v. Minnesota | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 94 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #371 Wisconsin Badgers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 30 ABC) A lot is on the line in this game as the winner gets to play Ohio State next week in the Big 10 Championship Game. The road team has been the play of late, as they have covered the spread 4 times in the last 5 years (1 push). Wisconsin has shocked last year and that is one of the worst losses under Coach Paul Chryst at Wisconsin. The Badgers will be far and away the best defense the Gophers have faced this season. Wisconsin is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. Just do not believe Minnesota is ready to win a game like this. They are improved but their schedule has been soft all season long and this is the game where that will show up in a big way. Wisconsin pulls away late to win this game by 10 points. |
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11-29-19 | Iowa v. Nebraska +6 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 70 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #328 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Iowa Hawkeyes (2:30p.m., Friday, November 29 BTN) This is a game Nebraska needs more for a variety of reasons. A win by the Cornhuskers will get them bowl eligible and that extra month of practice would be vital in year 2 under Scott Frost. Iowa is just in all aspects, but they are not explosive and thus I do not like to lay points with them when the spread is over a field goal. Nebraska got back on against Maryland last week and should be able to take this game down to the wire. Nebraska is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played in the month of November. |
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11-29-19 | Virginia Tech -2.5 v. Virginia | 30-39 | Loss | -117 | 67 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #315 Virginia Tech Hokies over Virginia Cavaliers (12p.m., Friday, November 29 ABC) Virginia Tech has dominated this series winning 15 straight games against Virginia. Both teams have a lot on the line as the winner gets the Coastal Championship and a date with Clemson next Saturday. The Hokies have at a quiet 8-3 record and nobody is talking about them whatsoever. Virginia is banged up on defense, especially in the secondary and expect Virginia Tech to move the football at will through the air. Virginia is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on Friday. Virginia Tech has covered the spread in 5 straight games. |
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11-28-19 | Bills v. Cowboys -6.5 | 26-15 | Loss | -109 | 48 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #308 Dallas Cowboys over Buffalo Bills (4:30p.m., Thursday, November 28 CBS) People are overacting to the Cowboys losing a game in Foxboro to New England. The Cowboys are still in good shape to win their division and make the playoffs. Buffalo has been the beneficiary of a soft schedule to amass their 8-3 record and they are not anywhere near that good. Dallas is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of November. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on Thursday. Dallas pull away late to win this much needed game by more than a touchdown. |
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11-24-19 | Cowboys v. Patriots -6 | 9-13 | Loss | -115 | 121 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #270 New England Patriots over Dallas Cowboys (1:25p.m, Sunday, November 24 FOX) Anytime you can get the Patriots at home laying less than a touchdown it is a play. The Patriots have not been that impressive on offense of late, but they still have one of the best defenses in the NFL. Dallas had trouble stopping Jeff Driskel last week and I am not sure if QB Prescott can win this game with New England taking away his best option. Dallas is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. New England is 47-20 ATS in their last 67 games. |
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11-24-19 | Raiders v. Jets +3 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 118 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #260 New York Jets over Oakland Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, November 24 CBS) Just not sold on the Raiders, especially when they must give points on the road. The Jets have been playing better of late winning 2 straight games against bad teams to gain some much-needed confidence. 1 p.m. games are always tough for west coast teams and Oakland has not handled prosperity well in recent years. The Raiders have won just 2 road games in the second Jon Gruden Era. Oakland is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a victory in their previous game. |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks v. Eagles | 17-9 | Loss | -122 | 118 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #274 Philadelphia Eagles over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, November 24 FOX) The Eagles must win this game to keep their slim chances of a playoff berth alive. This game was flexed out of Sunday Night Football and now the Seahawks must play a 1 p.m. eastern time game. The Hawks defense had not been great, as QB Winston picked them apart and most of the Hawks success falls on QB Wilson. Seattle is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Philadelphia is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning road record. Both trends hold true, as the Eagles get the victory and also easily cover the spread. |
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11-23-19 | Nevada +14 v. Fresno State | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 104 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #163 Nevada Wolf Pack over Fresno State (10:30p.m., Saturday, November 23 ESPN2) Nevada is starting to play more ball control and that should keep the score low and thus be able to cover this big number. Fresno State is not very good this season and have lost 3 of their last 4 games including to San Diego State, a team Nevada beat last time out. The Bulldogs are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Nevada is 12-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 games played in November. Fresno State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in November. |
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11-23-19 | Syracuse +10 v. Louisville | 34-56 | Loss | -109 | 97 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #191 Syracuse Orange over Louisville Cardinals (4p.m., Saturday, November 23 ACCN) Syracuse needs to win out to become bowl eligible and firing their defensive coordinator gave this team some life last week. Syracuse clobbered Duke by a score of 49-6 last Saturday. Syracuse beat Louisville last year, 54-23 and many of the players that played in that game will play in this game. Louisville has overachieved a little this season and playing as a favorite if much different than sneaking up on teams. Louisville is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-23-19 | Central Florida v. Tulane +6 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 93 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #180 Tulane Green Wave over UCF Golden Knights (12p.m., Saturday, November 23 CBSSN) UCF is coming back to reality and I am not sold on Josh Heupel as a head coach. He piggy backed off of Scott Frost’s players last year and they are nowhere near as good in 2019. Throw in the fact everyone wants to beat them this year for how cocky they have been the last two years and I could see them suffering 5 losses this season. Tulane has been losing of late as well, but they made a nice comeback to fall short last week against Temple when they were down big early in that game. Tulane is undefeated at home this season and they should be able to take this game down to the wire. UCF is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. Tulane is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +4 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 146 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #476 Los Angeles Chargers over Kansas City Chiefs (8:15p.m., Monday, November 18 ESPN) The NFL is back in Mexico City and this game should go off as planned unlike the 2018 version. Kansas City has been exposed of late with a suspect defense and thus QB Mahomes and company are going to have to score points in order to win this game. We will grab the points and expect QB Rivers and company to win this game straight-up. The Chargers have the better defense and should be able to get pressure on QB Mahomes. The Chiefs have just not been the same team of late, having lost 4 of their last 6 games. The Chargers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of November. Kansas City is 2-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played during the month of November. |
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11-17-19 | Cardinals +11.5 v. 49ers | 26-36 | Win | 100 | 118 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #467 Arizona Cardinals over San Francisco 49ers (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 17 FOX) The line has creeped down after San Francisco suffered their first loss of the season on Monday Night Football against Seattle. Now they face another divisional rival and we will grab the double-digit points in this match-up. Jimmy G seems prone to mistakes and if the Cardinals can capitalize on a couple of them, they should be able to keep this a one score game. Arizona has had good success in San Francisco going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Santa Clara. The 49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Arizona is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. |
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11-17-19 | Cowboys -5.5 v. Lions | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 115 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #451 Dallas Cowboys over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 17 FOX) We went against the Lions last week and got a gift when QB Stafford was scratched Sunday morning. Hard to know if he will play in this game but either way, we will take the Cowboys. Dallas laid an egg against Minnesota last week and they must start better on Sunday at Ford Field. The Lions have fallen out of playoff consideration by losing 5 of their last 6 games. They just find ways to lose and today will be no different. The road team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games between Dallas and Detroit. |
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11-17-19 | Texans v. Ravens -4 | 7-41 | Win | 100 | 115 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #466 Baltimore Ravens over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, November 17 CBS) This is an intriguing match-up between two young superstar quarterbacks in Deshaun Watson and Lamar Jackson. QB Watson may be the better thrower of the football but I just believe the Ravens have a better supporting cast than do the Texans. Houston is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning home record. This will not be a blowout, but I see the magical run of the Ravens continuing wit a 7-10 point victory. |
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11-16-19 | USC -6.5 v. California | Top | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 101 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #361 Southern Cal Trojans over California Golden Bears (11p.m., Saturday, November 16 FS1) The Golden Bears have not been the same team as they were at the start of the season. They did beat Washington State last time out, but I do not see them winning another game when they are an underdog. USC has played a brutal schedule in 2019 and they have a chance for 8 wins should they win out. Clay Helton still has the respect of his players and expect them to go all out for him in the remaining two games. USC has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games in Berkeley. Cal is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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11-16-19 | New Mexico v. Boise State -27.5 | 9-42 | Win | 100 | 100 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #348 Boise State Broncos over New Mexico Lobos (10:15p.m., Saturday, November 16 ESPN2) Boise has been shaky covering of late but no bet against New Mexico is a bad bet. The Lobos have a terrible defense, and this should allow the Broncos to score points as will in this game. The Broncos still have a chance for a New Year’s Six Bowl and must earn some style points along with winning all their remaining games. New Mexico is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games. Boise State is 6-1 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record. |
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11-16-19 | Cincinnati -14 v. South Florida | 20-17 | Loss | -104 | 97 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #327 Cincinnati Bearcats over USF Bulls (7p.m., Saturday, November 16 CBSSN) The Bulls are a fraud and Charlie Strong does not have this team heading in the right direction whatsoever. They lost by double-digits at home last time out and they will lose this game by 20+ points. The Bearcats have won 7 straight games and they have a chance to earn a New Year’s Six Bowl should they win out. USF was outplayed last year in this match-up, but the cold weather and some fluke plays allowed them to cover despite losing by 12 points. USF is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. Lay the wood in this game. |
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11-16-19 | Minnesota +3 v. Iowa | 19-23 | Loss | -105 | 94 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #335 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Iowa Hawkeyes (4p.m., Saturday, November 16 FOX) Minnesota is just a better all-around team than Iowa is. We used them last week as a top play and that cover was never in doubt for the entire 60 minutes against Penn State. Iowa is coming off a poor offensive performance against Wisconsin where it took them 3 quarters to finally get some yards in that game. The visitor has covered 5 of the last 6 games between the Gophers and Hawkeyes. Minnesota has covered the spread in 7 straight conference games. Iowa is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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11-10-19 | Vikings v. Cowboys -3 | 28-24 | Loss | -100 | 126 h 10 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #272 Dallas Cowboys over Minnesota Vikings (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 10 NBC) The Vikings are coming off a bad loss to the Chiefs last week and now head to a primetime game against the Cowboys. QB Cousins does not usually shine during primetime games and expect that to be the case once again on Sunday Night Football. Dallas turned it on in the second half last time out against the Giants and they should be healthier this week on defense. Minnesota is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. Dallas has covered the spread 5 straight times during games played in November. The favorite is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between Minnesota and Dallas. |
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11-10-19 | Panthers v. Packers -4.5 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 122 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #264 Green Bay Packers over Carolina Panthers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 10 FOX) This game got flexed to the late afternoon and it features two teams with winning records. The Packers came out flat last week in Los Angeles but expect them to play much better this week at home against Carolina. Because of that performance, we now have a line under 7 points and Green Bay should be able to attack this inexperienced quarterback in Kyle Allen. Green Bay has a bye on deck and needs to keep winning with a trip to Minnesota looming down the road. The home team has covered the spread in 4 straight meetings between Carolina and Green Bay. |
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11-10-19 | Bills +3 v. Browns | 16-19 | Push | 0 | 119 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #253 Buffalo Bills over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 CBS) People are not getting off the Browns bandwagon and it only took them going 2-6 to open the 2019 season. Buffalo has feasted on bad teams this season to produce a 6-2 record and win No. 7 will come this week against Cleveland. The Browns are 0-3 this season at home and they are in dysfunction with a head coach that appears to be in over his head and a quarterback that appears to be overrated. Getting points is just icing on the cake in this game. Cleveland is 5-21 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. |
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11-10-19 | Lions v. Bears -2.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 119 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #266 Take Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 FOX) Both teams are on life support but I just do not see the Chicago Bears losing 4 home games this season in their first 5 home games. Chicago usually plays well as a home favorite covering the spread in 8 of the 11 games in this situation. Detroit will be one dimensional in this game and expect QB Stafford to post yards in this game but not enough points to keep pace. Chicago is 8-1 ATS in their lasts 9 games against NFC North teams. The favorite is 3-0 ATS in the last 4 games between Detroit and Chicago. The Lions are 13-27 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 42 road games against teams with a losing home record. |
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11-09-19 | Tennessee +1 v. Kentucky | Top | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 102 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #179 Tennessee Volunteers over Kentucky Wildcats (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 9 SECN) This is an important game for both team as the winner will likely reach bowl eligibility and the loser will struggle to win 6 games. Tennessee is 20-2 in their last 22 games against Kentucky (17-5 ATS). Tennessee will enter having won 2 straight games and covered the spread in 4 straight games. Kentucky is terrible on offense and I do not believe they can be one-dimensional in this game and beat Tennessee. The Volunteers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Lexington. Kentucky is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games played during the month of November. |
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11-09-19 | Appalachian State v. South Carolina -4.5 | 20-15 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #140 South Carolina Gamecocks over Appalachian State Mountaineers (7p.m., Saturday, November 9 ESPN2) The Mountaineers were riding high before they suffered a setback last week to Georgia Southern and basically saw their chances for a New Year’s Six Bowl Game vanish. Now they are on the road in a pay game against a team that is desperate for a victory to keep their slim chances of making a bowl game alive. This line is below a touchdown and we will use the team with better athletes. Will Muschamp is a so-so coach, but he did beat Georgia in Athens this season. South Carolina is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Sun Belt teams. |
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11-09-19 | Penn State v. Minnesota +7 | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 94 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #142 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Penn State Nittany Lions (12p.m., Saturday, November 9 ABC) I just believe that most people are overvaluing this Penn State team and undervaluing this Minnesota team. Both teams are undefeated, and Penn State will be playing their second straight road game. Minnesota will be the best offense Penn State has faced all season long and this is the biggest home game in decades for Gophers. Just do not see them getting blown out in a 11 am local time start. Penn State struggled against Iowa and Michigan this year and I see this won going down to the wire and we will take the points. The home team is 3-1 ATS (2 pushes) in the last 6 meetings between Penn State and Minnesota. The Golden Gophers are 33-16 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 51 games played during the month of November. |
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11-09-19 | Purdue +2.5 v. Northwestern | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 94 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #145 Purdue Boilermakers over Northwestern Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, November 9 BTN) This play basically comes down to Northwestern, and no bet against the Wildcats is a bad bet. Surprised Northwestern opened as the favorite, as they may be the worst offensive team in the country this season. We have had success with Purdue this year, using them as our Big 10 Top Play against Iowa and feel they will win this game by double-digits. Northwestern will never quit under Coach Fitzgerald, but reality has set in and they will be lucky to win 2 more games this season. The Wildcats have scored 6 total points in their last 3 games. Enough said! |
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11-03-19 | Patriots -3 v. Ravens | 20-37 | Loss | -130 | 128 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #473 New England Patriots over Baltimore Ravens (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 3 NBC) An undefeated season seems like the only thing left for QB Brady and Coach Belickick to accomplish in their illustrious careers. The Patriots have a 189-point differential this season and should be able to cover this number tonight. QB Jackson will face the best defense he has ever seen in his young career and I do not believe the Patriots will allow him to beat them with his legs. New England is 46-19 ATS in their last 65 games. The road team is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in the 8 meetings between New England and Baltimore. Baltimore is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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11-03-19 | Packers -3 v. Chargers | 11-26 | Loss | -124 | 124 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #471 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 3 CBS) This is a home game in name only for the Chargers, as the Packers will occupy most of the stands. LA is 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games when they are a home underdog. Still do not believe the Chargers can run the football against this Packer defense to open up the passing game for QB Rivers. Green Bay is 14-0 ATS in their last 14 games when playing their second straight road game against a non-divisional opponent under .500. QB Rodgers are getting better and that is scary for the Chargers and the rest of the league. |
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11-03-19 | Bucs +7 v. Seahawks | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 124 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #467 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 3 FOX) Despite poor play from QB Jameis Winston the Buccaneers seem to play competitive games and we will grab the points in this game. Seattle has already lost 2 home games this season and they seem to play better on the road (undefeated). Seattle likes to run the football and that should play into the strength of the Buccaneers defense. Tampa Bay has covered the spread 4 straight times against Seattle. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. |
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11-03-19 | Vikings v. Chiefs -2.5 | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 75 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Kansas City Chiefs over Minnesota Vikings (1 p.m., Sunday, November 3 FOX) Just do not trust Kirk Cousins to consistently win big games as a starting quarterback. The Chiefs are desperate to win this game, having lost 3 home games already this season. The Vikings are 0-12 (1 push) outdoors against an opponent with a winning record. Minnesota is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. The home team is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 meetings between Minnesota and Kansas City. |
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11-02-19 | Northwestern v. Indiana -11 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 102 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #326 Take Indiana Hoosiers over Northwestern Wildcats (7p.m., Saturday, November 2 FS1) The Wildcats are having a miserable season and they just cannot move the football and score points on offense whatsoever. Indiana is quietly 6-2 on the season and they have a chance to win 8 games on the season. Northwestern has only been competitive in 1 game of late and if Indiana can score in the 30s they should be able to cover this spread as well. The home team has covered the spread in this series 5 of the last 7 meetings. Indiana has done well against bad teams going 5-1 in their last 6 home games against teams with a losing road record. |
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11-02-19 | Georgia v. Florida +6.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -106 | 98 h 10 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #372 Florida Gators over Georgia Bulldogs (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 2 CBS) Florida always has a big location advantage in this game since Jacksonville in much closer to Gainesville than is Athens. Georgia has not been playing well on offense of late and this is the best defense they will face to this point of the season. Florida has played well in all of their games this season and I do not see them getting blown out in this game. The Gators are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a bye week. Florida is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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11-02-19 | Marshall -10.5 v. Rice | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 98 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #355 Marshall Thundering Herd over Rice Owls (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 2 Stadium) I though Rice was improving and, on their way, to recording a couple of wins this season but they just cannot get over the hump. Marshall controls their own destiny to winning the CUSA East and cannot afford a letup in this game. Rice is terrible on offense averaging 4.2 yards per play (125th in FBS). Marshall has won three straight games and generally beats the bottom feeder teams in the league. Rice is 5-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 home games. |
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11-02-19 | Arkansas State -1.5 v. UL-Monroe | 48-41 | Win | 100 | 98 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #385 Arkansas State Red Wolves over ULM Warhawks (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 2 ESPNU) The Red Wolves have dominated this match-up winning 9 straight games against the Warhawks (9-0 ATS). Both teams have been giving up yards on defense and expect Arkansas State to be able to move the football at will through the air. ULM is 7-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 home games. Arkansas State is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games played during the month of November. |
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11-02-19 | Michigan -20.5 v. Maryland | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 95 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #323 Michigan Wolverines over Indiana Hoosiers (12p.m., Saturday, November 2 ABC) Many teams in the Big 10 have thrown in the towel on the 2019 season and Maryland is one of those teams. They have just a win against Rutgers in their last 6 games and when they lose they tend to lose big. Michigan has beaten Maryland 4 straight times (4-0 ATS) winning the games by an average of 33 points. Michigan can relax now and should be able to run the table in their 3 games before they face Ohio State. Maryland is 7-17 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. This line opened at -17 and continues to rise but it is not enough. |
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10-27-19 | Panthers +6 v. 49ers | Top | 13-51 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #269 Carolina Panthers over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) Carolina has made the wise decision to continue to ride QB Kyle Allen, as he is 4-0 in starts this season (4-0 ATS). Carolina has beaten San Francisco 6 straight games (6-0 ATS) and they need this game more in order to keep pace with the New Orleans Saints in their division. Still not sold on the 49ers offense and if Carolina does not beat themselves, they should be able to take this game down to the wire. The Panthers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games in San Francisco and 14-3 in the last 17 meetings. These trends just cannot be ignored especially when they are getting this many points. |
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10-27-19 | Bucs v. Titans -2.5 | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 120 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #254 Tennessee Titans over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) Both of these teams are hard to predict, but we won with Tennessee last week in miraculous fashion and will ride them again on Sunday for a second straight week. The Titans played well behind QB Tannehill and they have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games against NFC teams. QB Winston was terrible last time out with 6 turnovers. He will play better on Sunday, but Tennessee has some mojo at the moment. Tampa Bay is 1-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played in the month of October. Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Tampa Bay. |
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10-27-19 | Eagles +2.5 v. Bills | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 120 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #261 Philadelphia Eagles over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) The stats do not point toward Philadelphia in this game, but I believe they will play well in an effort to save their season. Buffalo did not play well against the worst team in the league last Sunday and now they face a much more talented team. The Eagles are 14-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games against the AFC. If the Eagles can stabilize the game early, they should be able to win it straight-up. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo has played an easy schedule thus far and Philadelphia is desperate for a victory in upstate New York. |
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10-27-19 | Broncos v. Colts -5.5 | 13-15 | Loss | -109 | 120 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Indianapolis Colts over Denver Broncos (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 CBS) No bet against Denver is a bad bet. Denver played terrible at home last time out against a back-up quarterback. QB Joe Flacco is washed up and the Denver defense is not what is once was. Indianapolis has covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games. Denver has covered the spread in just 2 of their last 11 games. The Colts will jump on the Broncos early and expect Denver to then just throw in the towel if things to not go their way early. Denver is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss in their previous games. Indianapolis is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against AFC teams. |
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10-26-19 | Utah State +4 v. Air Force | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #145 Utah State Aggies over Air Force Falcons (10:15p.m., Saturday, October 26 ESPN2) Utah State has better talent than Air Force on both sides of the football. If QB Jordan Love could have play to his potential, this is a team that can do damage and possible win the MWC. The Aggies are 4-2 on the season with both of their losses coming against Power 5 teams in the deep south. Air Force is not as strong as their record would indicate, as their schedule has yet to really test them. They should not be favored in this game against a defensive minded coach that will be able to stop the triple option. Air Force is 7-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 MWC games. Utah State is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games. |
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10-26-19 | Notre Dame +1.5 v. Michigan | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #207 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Michigan Wolverines (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 26 ABC) Still cannot believe that Michigan opened as the favorite in this game. The Wolverines do not win games against top 10 teams and they are not great on either side of the football. Notre Dame still has a chance to make the College Football Playoff if they can win out and they should be able to win in Ann Arbor against a team that lacks confidence. The fan base will turn on Michigan if things do not go well early. If just seems that Coach Harbaugh cannot win these type of games. Notre Dame 7-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Michigan is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. The underdog is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 games between the Fighting Irish and the Wolverines. |
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10-26-19 | Memphis v. Tulsa +11 | 42-41 | Win | 100 | 102 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #118 Tulsa Golden Hurricane over Memphis Tigers (7p.m., Saturday, October 26 CBSSN) This is a classic look ahead game for the Tigers, as they have undefeated SMU on deck. The Golden Hurricane have played better than what they record would indicate. They were competitive against SMU and Cincinnati, the top teams in the AAC. Tulsa is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. Expect them to keep this game in single digits and we will collect with the underdog. |
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10-26-19 | Texas +1 v. TCU | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #187 Texas Longhorns over TCU Horned Frogs (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 26 FOX) Just do not believe TCU has the talent to complete and outscore Texas in this game. The Frogs have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are just 3-3 on the season despite an easy schedule that gets much tougher. Texas did not play well last week against Kansas, but it is easy to just go through the motions against a bottom feeder team. That performance gave us value in this game with. Texas is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during the month of October. TCU is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games. The Gary Patterson magic has faded and he is still getting too much respect for the oddsmakers. |
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10-26-19 | Iowa v. Northwestern +10.5 | 20-0 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #132 Northwestern Wildcats over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Saturday, October 26 ESPN2) Northwestern does not have the team speed to stay with Ohio State, but they can take this game down to the wire in Evanston against Iowa. Northwestern is 3-0 straight-up (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 games against Iowa. The underdog in Wildcat games is 16-4 ATS (1 push) in the last 21 games. We went against Iowa as our Big 10 Top Play last week and we fade them again expecting another victory. Northwestern is 22-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 31 Big 10 games. Iowa is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games played on grass. |
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10-20-19 | Chargers v. Titans -1.5 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 123 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Tennessee Titans over Los Angeles Chargers (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 20 CBS) We went against both of these teams last week and easily won both games. That being said the Chargers have no offensive line and were destroyed by a free agent quarterback last week in Devlin Hodges. Having no home field advantage is starting to take its toll on this team. It does not matter who starts for Tennessee at quarterback in this game, the Titans defense should dominate and win this game. Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games overall. The favorite is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 9 games between the Chargers and Titans. |
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10-20-19 | Cardinals v. Giants -2.5 | 27-21 | Loss | -130 | 120 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #452 New York Giants over Arizona Cardinals (1p.m., Sunday, October 20 FOX) This is a match-up of the top two quarterbacks taken in the 2019 NFL Draft. The Cardinals do not play well when traveling east, as they are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games in the eastern time zone. The Giants defense have been playing better of late and this will be the weakest offensive team they have faced in their last 3 games. QB Jones should come out better with extra rest for this home game against a weak defense. The Giants are 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Arizona is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games played during Week 7 of the regular season. |
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10-20-19 | Raiders v. Packers -5.5 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 120 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Green Bay Packers over Oakland Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, October 20 CBS) The Packers did not start out fast last time out but still won the game (with some help from the officials). Expect them to play a much more complete game for 60 minutes in this game against the Raiders. Just do not trust QB Derek Carr to consistently win games. They nearly fell apart last game against Chicago when a botched handoff completely turned that game around. The Raiders are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games against NFC teams. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in this series and the Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Raiders. |
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10-20-19 | 49ers -9.5 v. Redskins | 9-0 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 San Francisco 49ers over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, October 20 FOX) The Redskins beat a team worse than them last week in the Dolphins, but now must face the best team in the NFC. Washington has now home field advantage and Kyle Shanahan may have an ax to grind, as he was a coach under Washington for his father Mike Shanahan. Washington is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. This one could get ugly early and expect the 49ers to win this game going away. |
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10-19-19 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan +9.5 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 102 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #348 Eastern Michigan Eagles over Western Michigan Broncos (7p.m., Saturday, October 19 ESPN+) The Eagles have not beaten the Broncos is recent years but they are 2-0 (1 push) in the last 3 meetings against the spread. The Eagles must win this game to make a bowl game and expect them to go all out at home against an in-state rival. Western Michigan is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Eastern Michigan is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games against teams with a winning record. |
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10-19-19 | Rice -3.5 v. UTSA | 27-31 | Loss | -116 | 101 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #415 Rice Owls over UTSA Road Runners (6p.m., Saturday, October 19 ESPN3) An 0-6 teams being favored on the road against a 2-4 team tells you all you need to know about this game. Rice played well in a marathon game against UAB two weeks ago (two weather delays) and they will notch their first win of the season tonight in San Antonio. If Rice can prevent the big plays and make UTSA drive the length of the field they will be in good shape. UTSA is 2-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 home games. Rice is 21-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 30 games against teams with a losing record. |
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10-19-19 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +3.5 | 41-43 | Win | 100 | 98 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #398 Virginia Tech Hokies over North Carolina Tar Heels (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 19 ACCNX) Just do not believe North Carolina should be favored in this game on the road. Virginia Tech has won two straight games and beaten North Carolina 3 straight times. The Tar Heels played well against Clemson, but they enter having lost 3 of their last 4 games and they will struggle to become bowl eligible this season. Virginia Tech is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against North Carolina. |
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10-19-19 | Purdue +18 v. Iowa | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 95 h 48 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Purdue Boilermakers over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Saturday, October 19 ESPN2) BIG 10 TOP PLAY These two teams are heading in opposite directions and I just do not believe Iowa should be this big of a favorite. Purdue has righted the ship after losing their quarterback and they dominated Maryland last week in impressive fashion. Purdue has beaten Iowa two straight games and the visitor has dominated this series going 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Iowa is not explosive on offense and Purdue has played well in their last 7 quarters (last 3 against Penn State). Purdue was shell shocked early by Penn State but held their own after the first quarter and got a pass rush against them. Iowa is coming off back-to-back losses and have seen their hopes for a Big 10 Title Game appearance all but vanish. Iowa is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games. Purdue is 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games. |
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10-14-19 | Lions v. Packers -4.5 | Top | 22-23 | Loss | -100 | 149 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #276 Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (8:15p.m., Monday, October 14 ESPN) This line is short, and we will ride the Packers at home playing a team that they hardly lose against. Detroit has won 4 straight games in this series, but Green Bay has still won 28 of the last 38 meetings. Detroit has played well this season, but I just believe Green Bay is better on both sides of the football. Detroit is 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. The favorite is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings between the Lions and Packers. |
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10-13-19 | Steelers +7 v. Chargers | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 125 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #273 Pittsburgh Steelers over Los Angeles Chargers (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 13 NBC) The Steelers continue to battle despite having quarterback injuries and I see them taking this game down to the wire as well. The Chargers just cannot be trusted as a favorite, as they played poorly last week at home losing to the winless Broncos. Pittsburgh will have revenge on their minds in this game, as they blew a big lead to Los Angeles last year. They AFC North is still up for grabs and Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games when they are an underdog. Los Angeles is just 11-28 ATS (1 push) in their last 40 home games. |
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10-13-19 | Titans v. Broncos -2 | 0-16 | Win | 100 | 121 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Denver Broncos over Tennessee Titans (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 1 CBS) Tennessee has been a tough team to figure out this season, as they have won both games when they are an underdog and lost all three games when they are favored. Denver could be 3-2 this season but they are 1-4. I do not see them losing three straight home games to open the season. The fans have soured on QB Mariota and I believe he will be replaced as a starter at some point this season. If they Denver defense can ever play up to its standards, this will be a tough that can be a tough out for AFC West teams. Denver has covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games against Tennessee. The Titans are 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 road games against teams with a losing home record. |
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10-13-19 | Seahawks v. Browns +1.5 | 32-28 | Loss | -105 | 118 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #256 Cleveland Browns over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 1 FOX) The line has really swung as the Browns failed to show up against San Francisco on Monday Night Football. Instead of being a favorite, they are now an underdog and I expect them to bounce back in a big way at home against the Seahawks. The home team has covered 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 pushes). Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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10-12-19 | Washington v. Arizona +6.5 | Top | 51-27 | Loss | -109 | 104 h 3 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #152 Arizona Wildcats over Washington Huskies (11p.m., Saturday, October 12 FS1) The Huskies are overvalued this season and oddsmakers have yet to catch up with their current talent on the roster. The match-up has been dominated by the home team, as they have won 8 of the last 10 games (8-2 ATS). Washington has two bad losses on the season and Arizona will enter this game having won 4 straight games. Washington is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Arizona is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 home games. Both trends hold true tonight as Arizona wins this game straight-up. |
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10-12-19 | Army -4 v. Western Kentucky | 8-17 | Loss | -112 | 100 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #191 Army Black Knights over Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7p.m., Saturday, October 12 Stadium) The results of each team last week have given us value with Army. The Black Knights lost at Tulane and WKU beat Old Dominion. It is always hard to prepare for a triple option team with just a week of prep and I expect Army to dominate on the road and rack up over 300 yards rushing. Army is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. WKU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of October. |
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10-12-19 | San Jose State v. Nevada -1.5 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 97 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #182 Nevada Wolf Pack over San Jose State Spartans (4p.m., Saturday, October 12 ATTSN) The fans in Reno will get their wish with Malik Henry (Last Chance U) starting under center for the first time this season. This line has dropped early in the week and I believe San Jose State is getting too much respect. Nevada has won 14 of the last 16 games and the bye week came at a perfect time since they were blown out last time out against Hawaii. The Spartans will be playing their third road game in the last four game and that will doom in them. When the Spartans lose, they lose big and that is how I see this game going as well. Nevada is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against San Jose State when the game is in Reno. |
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10-12-19 | Cincinnati -7 v. Houston | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 97 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #171 Cincinnati Bearcats over Houston Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 12 ESPN2) The line continues to move up. I bet it early (Sunday night), as these two teams are heading in opposite directions. Houston has thrown in the towel on the 2019 football season and Cincinnati has beaten them 5 of the last 7 meetings. Houston played well last week against North Texas but will get a major step-up in talent this week against Cincinnati. The Bearcats are 4-1 on the season with their only loss coming against Ohio State. They have covered this number in 3 of their 4 victories. Houston is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The road team is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 4 games between Cincinnati and Houston. |
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10-06-19 | Packers +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 118 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #473 Green Bay Packers over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 6 FOX) Green Bay has dominated this series in recent years covering the spread in 6 of the last 8 games against Dallas. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. QB Aaron Rodgers put up big numbers last week against Philadelphia but had trouble inside the 5 yard line and that bite them late in that game. Expect them to correct that this week and be able to take this game down to the wire. Dallas played an easy schedule to open the season and did not look well last week against New Orleans. Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. The Packers win this game straight-up giving us another victory with an underdog. |
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10-06-19 | Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 114 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #452 Take Pittsburgh Steelers over Baltimore Ravens (1p.m., Sunday, October 6 CBS) Nobody is great in the AFC North and thus we will grab the points with the home team coming off a win on Monday Night Football. Pittsburgh is 11-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 home games when they are an underdog. The Ravens defense was been exposed and I just do not believe QB Lamar Jackson can make enough plays through the air to beat them. The Underdog has covered the spread in 7 of the last 9 meetings (1 push). Pittsburgh is 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 games played during the month of October. |
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10-06-19 | Bears v. Raiders +5 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 114 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #454 Take Oakland Raiders over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 6 FOX) The Bears are without their starting quarterback and I feel QB Chase Daniel can perform well again. The Raiders are coming off an impressive win at Indianapolis and we will grab the points with them in this London game. If Oakland can take care of the football and not allow the Bear’s defense to score points, they should be able to take this one down to the wire. LB Khalil Mack might be overhyped for this game against his former team and I just do not believe there is this much talent discrepancy. Expect a field goal game and we will collect with whoever comes out on top. |
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10-06-19 | Vikings v. Giants +6 | 28-10 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 New York Giants over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, October 6 FOX) We will ride the Daniel Jones train again for a second straight week. We used the Giants last week against the Redskins and that game was never in doubt and I expect them to perform well this week. The entire city has gotten behind this quarterback and that is a stark contrast to how Minnesota fans feel about Kirk Cousins. The Vikings were lifeless last week in Chicago and I do not see things getting any better this week in East Rutherford. The home team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. |
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10-05-19 | Tulsa +13.5 v. SMU | 37-43 | Win | 100 | 97 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #353 Tulsa Golden Hurricanes over SMU Mustangs (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 5 ESPN U) The Mustangs are riding high at the moment and are ranked for the first time since the 1980s. They are overvalued at the moment and we will take the points in this game. Tulsa has won 4 of the last 5 meetings. The Golden Hurricanes are 2-2 and they do not have a bad loss this season losing just to Oklahoma State and Michigan State. Tulsa is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 road games. The Underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings. |
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10-05-19 | Texas -10.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 42-31 | Win | 100 | 93 h 3 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #317 Texas Longhorns over West Virginia Mountaineers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 5 ABC) Just do not believe much in West Virginia this year. They have a new coach and system and will struggle to win any of their remaining games in the Big 12. For Texas to become elite again these are the type of games they must dominate. Texas lost at the buzzer last year to West Virginia and that revenge will allow them to win this game big. QB Kelly Bryant took apart this team winning 38-7 and I expect QB Sam Ehlinger to do the same. West Virginia is 7-22 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 31 home games against teams with a winning road record. |
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10-05-19 | Purdue v. Penn State -27.5 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 90 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #320 Penn State Nittany Lions over Purdue Boilermakers (12p.m., Saturday, October 5 ESPN) This line is inflated with the results of last week, but Purdue is really banged up at the moment and they will not be able to overcome those injuries to keep this game under 30 points. Penn State exploded last week against Maryland and they have a coach that does not mind running up the score. Coach Jeff Brohm has got to be upset that he stayed at Purdue instead of taking the Maryland job. This Boilermaker team is going nowhere fast. Purdue is 3-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 meetings with Penn State. Purdue is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. Penn State is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games. |
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10-05-19 | Iowa v. Michigan -3 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 90 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #356 Take Michigan Wolverines over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Saturday, October 5 FOX) Everyone is off the Michigan bandwagon after how they have played early in the season. But they got right last week against Rutgers and will be able to beat Iowa by double-digits. Michigan has covered the spread in 5 of the last 8 games against Iowa. The Hawkeyes have played a weak schedule thus far and are not battle tested to win on the road against top teams in the conference. Iowa is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning home record. |
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09-29-19 | Vikings v. Bears -1 | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 116 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Chicago Bears over Minnesota Vikings (4:25pm., Sunday, September 29 CBS) Just do not trust QB Kirk Cousins in big games. The Bears swept the Vikings last years and Minnesota is 0-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games when playing outdoors against teams with a winning record. Chicago got healthy and confident last week against Washington and they will win this game by 7-10 points. |
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09-29-19 | Seahawks -4.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 116 h 6 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #269 Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 29 FOX) The Seahawks came out flat last time out against a desperate Saints team. Now they face a much less talented Cardinals team that has an unproven coach and quarterback. Arizona got torched last week against Carolina and a back-up quarterback and now must face a pro bowler in Russell Wilson. Seattle is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games in Arizona. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Seattle is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Kliff Kingsbury appears to be in over his head, as he could not win consistently in college and will struggle to survive as a head coach in the NFL. |
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09-29-19 | Patriots -7 v. Bills | 16-10 | Loss | -101 | 113 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #263 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, September 29 CBS) QB Tom Brady is 30-3 in his last 33 games against Buffalo. Not much else needs to be said, but I just do not believe the Bills are ready to challenge the Patriots in the AFC East. Buffalo is improved but New England is still better on both sides of the football. |
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09-29-19 | Redskins v. Giants -2.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 113 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #256 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, September 29 FOX) The Giants have life and Washington is dead man walking. The Redskins have a lame duck coach and not much talent on either side of the football. The football Giants found a spark last week with Daniel Jones at quarterback and expect them to ride this out for the next couple of weeks. Not having RB Barkley will hurt, but there is just too much momentum going on with the Giants to not take them this week. New York is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. Washington is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against NFC teams. |
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09-28-19 | Washington State v. Utah -4.5 | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 98 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #146 Utah Utes over Washington State Cougars (10p.m., Saturday, September 28 FS1) Both teams lost last week but I just feel Utah is a better all-around team compared to Washington State. Any team that cannot hold a 32-point lead is not worth a damn and I never believe in Mike Leach teams. The Utes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss. Utah was predicted to win the PAC-12 South and they get back on track with a double-digit win at home tonight. |
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09-28-19 | Kentucky +3 v. South Carolina | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -106 | 95 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #157 Kentucky Wildcats over South Carolina Gamecocks (7:30p.m., Saturday, September 28 SECN) The Will Muschamp Era is on life support. USC has yet to defeat a FBS team this year and they have been blown out in their 2 SEC games this year. Kentucky collapsed against Florida two weeks ago and there was a residual effect last week against Mississippi State. Expect them to bounce back in a big way on Saturday against a team they have dominated in recent years (6-0 ATS last 6 meetings). Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played during September. |
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09-28-19 | Cincinnati -3.5 v. Marshall | 52-14 | Win | 100 | 93 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #177 Cincinnati Bearcats over Marshall Thundering Herd (5p.m., Saturday, September 28 Facebook) Marshall has trouble stopping the run and Cincinnati is more battle tested. The Bearcats come from the AAC and they play much better competition that what Marshall sees from Conference USA. Marshall is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games. Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of September. |
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09-28-19 | Georgia Tech v. Temple -7.5 | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 91 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #126 Temple Owls over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 28 CBSSN) Nice setup here for a blowout despite Georgia Tech coming from a power conference. Georgia Tech is a mess this year with players that are not used to running this offensive system. Temple gets to face their former coach and they will want to put it to him if they have the opportunity. Both teams laid an egg last time out with Temple losing to Buffalo and Georgia Tech losing to The Citadel. Temple is 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a loss in their previous game. Georgia Tech is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games. |
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09-26-19 | Eagles v. Packers -195 | 34-27 | Loss | -195 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #102 Green Bay Packers (-200 Money Line) over Philadelphia Eagles (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 26 FOX) Everyone is expecting the Eagles to put forth a good effort in this game since they do not want to fall to 1-3 on the season. I just believe Green Bay is better on both sides of the football and they do not lose at home very often when they are healthy. |
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09-22-19 | Rams v. Browns +3 | 20-13 | Loss | -105 | 120 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #488 Cleveland Browns over Los Angeles Rams (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 21 NBC) Many pundits are ready to jump on Cleveland whenever they fail, but they have talent and should not be an underdog in this game. The Rams will have to play 2 of their first 3 games in the eastern time zone and that travel will take its toll on them in this game. The Rams karma may catch up with them in this game, as they were the beneficiary of another blown call last week against the Saints. The Browns fans will be up for this prime time game and expect them to take care of business at home and move to 2-1 on the season. The Rams are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Week 3 games. |
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09-22-19 | Panthers v. Cardinals +2.5 | 38-20 | Loss | -100 | 116 h 3 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #480 Arizona Cardinals over Carolina Panthers (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 21 FOX) The Panthers are not very good, and they should not be favored by anyone on the road. QB Kyler Murray has held his own through two games this season and expect him to be able to move the football and put up points in this game as well. Carolina is 2-8 in their last 10 games overall and Cam Newton just does not look right. Arizona is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against NFC teams. Take the points in this game. |
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09-22-19 | Falcons v. Colts | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 113 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #470 Indianapolis Colts over Atlanta Falcons (1p.m., Sunday, September 21 CBS) This is the first home game for the Colts this season. Indianapolis is 1-1 and could have won both of their first two games in they did not have kicking issues. Atlanta has failed to cover the spread in 10 straight games against AFC teams. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The favorite has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between Atlanta and Indianapolis. QB Brissett threw 3 touchdowns last week and expect another solid performance from him today. |
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09-22-19 | Lions +6 v. Eagles | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 74 h 33 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Detroit Lions over Philadelphia Eagles (1 p.m., Sunday, September 21 FOX) The Eagles are reeling now with a ton of injuries and did not have enough healthy bodies to practice on Wednesday. The Eagles have yet to look impressive this year, and now they face another solid quarterback that should be able to move the football on them. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Philadelphia. The Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take the points in this game as it will go down to the wire and be decided by a field goal. |
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09-21-19 | Colorado +7.5 v. Arizona State | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 98 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #351 Colorado Buffaloes over Arizona State Sun Devils (10p.m., Saturday, September 21 PAC-12N) The Sun Devils are on cloud 9 now off a victory against Michigan State last Saturday. That being said they are not a strong team that can be laying this many points in conference games. Arizona State scored just 10 points in that victory and that will not consistently win games against decent competition. The Sun Devils beat the Spartans last year as well and then went on to lose two straight games. Colorado has played a tough schedule this far with all three games coming against rivals (Colorado State, Air Force, & Nebraska). They are 2-1 thus far with the lone loss coming against Air Force, a team that is tough to prepare for. They are determined to make a bowl game this year and they must show they can be competitive in these types of games and be able to take it down to the wire. Colorado beat Arizona State last year by 7 points. Arizona State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. |
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09-21-19 | Nebraska -13 v. Illinois | 42-38 | Loss | -105 | 96 h 5 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #323 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Illinois Fighting Illini (8p.m., Saturday, September 21 BTN) Illinois is bottom feeder program in the Big 10 and Lovie Smith was a bad hire for a college coaching job. The bubble has burst after an impressive opening game against Akron. They barely beat UCONN and lost at home to Eastern Michigan. Nebraska is coming off their most impressive performance on the season and I feel this team will make some noise in the Big Ten West all season long. Illinois is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. Nebraska is 6-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 Big 10 games. |
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09-21-19 | SMU +9.5 v. TCU | Top | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 52 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #379 SMU Mustangs over TCU Horned Frogs (3:30 p.m., Saturday, September 21 FS1) The Frogs are coming off a dominating performance last week against Purdue, but they will not have the good fortune of playing a back-up quarterback in this game. SMU can put up points this year, and TCU will have trouble keeping up with them. SMU needs to contain the running game of TCU and force them to beat them through the air. The road team has covered 5 straight games in this matchup. TCU is 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games. |
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09-21-19 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -3 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 88 h 59 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #344 Wisconsin over Michigan (12p.m., Saturday, September 21 FOX) Jim Harbaugh just has not proven he can consistently win big game in the conference, especially on the road. Wisconsin is back after getting rid of their quarterback from last year that seemed to be a cancer for the entire team. Wisconsin has revenge on their minds after a bad showing in Ann Arbor last year but they are much different team when playing at home. 68% of the money is coming in on Wisconsin and the line is also moving in that direction as well. Wisconsin is 9-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games against Michigan. The Wolverines have not covered a spread in their last 6 games. |
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09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos +3 | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 100 h 20 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take Denver Broncos over Chicago Bears (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 15 FOX) We are getting some value in this spread after the line moved when Denver did not look good against Oakland. That being said the Broncos are always a tough team to beat at home in the month of September. The Broncos have some ex-Bear coaches on their staff and that should bode well for them in this game. The Underdog is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between Chicago and Denver. Chicago is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played during Week 2 of the regular season. |
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09-15-19 | Patriots v. Dolphins +20.5 | 43-0 | Loss | -130 | 97 h 56 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #270 Miami Dolphins over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, September 15 CBS) Hard to say anything good about the Dolphins after they way the played last week but they are still a professional team. Getting this many points at home is too good to pass up, as pride usually sets in the next week following an embarrassing performance in Week 1. New England always has trouble in Miami, losing 5 of the last 6 years (1-5 ATS). Look for a 13-16 point victory for the Patriots. |
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09-15-19 | Vikings +3 v. Packers | 16-21 | Loss | -107 | 97 h 56 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #279 Minnesota Vikings over Green Bay Packers (1p.m., Sunday, September 15 FOX) The Green Bay defense looked impressive last Thursday against Chicago but they will face a team with much better offensive weapons on Sunday. Just do not believe the Packers can beat the Bears and Vikings in successive weeks. Minnesota looks good against Atlanta last Sunday and have beaten Green Bay 3 times in the last 2 years (1 tie). Green Bay is 1-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Minnesota is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played in the month of September. Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games against Green Bay. |
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09-14-19 | Texas Tech v. Arizona +2.5 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 82 h 28 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #198 Arizona Wildcats over Texas Tech Red Raiders (10:30p.m., Saturday, September 15 ESPN) Arizona has not played up to their ability in two games this season but they have talent and should be able to defeat a rebuilding Texas Tech team at home. The Red Raiders have played two terrible teams to open the season and they just are not ready for the step-up in competition against a Power 5 teams. Both teams will put up points in this game but Arizona will get a much needed win at home. Arizona has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against FBS teams. |
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09-14-19 | Florida v. Kentucky +8 | 29-21 | Push | 0 | 79 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #175 Kentucky Wildcats over Florida Gators (7p.m., Saturday, September 14 ESPN) The Wildcats still have a strong defense and I just do not believe Florida can blow them out on the road. The Gators did not look that impressive against the Hurricanes in Week 0 and Kentucky ended their long losing streak to Florida last year. The back-up quarterback for Kentucky played well last game and I do not expect a huge drop-off in this game. Kentucky is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. |