10 Unit Play. Take #109 Kansas City Chiefs over Philadelphia Eagles (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 9 FOX) Not going to go into much detail, but the fact is I just cannot bet my money against Patrick Mahomes. It has worked well in the last two Super Bowls, and he just does whatever is needed to win the game in front of him. I like the Chiefs’ defense especially their pas rush and they proved against Buffalo that they could stop the tush push. Until we are proven otherwise, we will bet our many with the two win defending champions.

10 Unit Play. Take #104 Kansas City Chiefs over Buffalo Bills (6:30p.m., Sunday, January 26 CBS) Buffalo has the momentum but Kansas City is the back-to-back champions, and they are playing this game at home. They also have the best playoff quarterback still playing and a great defense that can get to the quarterback, especially in the fourth quarter. We have ridden Kansas City the last few years and see no reason to stop using them with this low number. The Bills defense thrives on turnovers and if the Chiefs can take care of the football, they will grind out this victory. Buffalo beat Kansas City earlier this season, but Baltimore beat Buffalo earlier and we saw how the rematch went last Sunday night. The Chiefs have won 3 straight playoff games against the Bills. Just cannot in good faith put money going against QB Patrick Mahomes in the playoffs.  

10 Unit Play. Take #394 Buffalo Bills over Baltimore Ravens (6:30p.m., Sunday, January 19 CBS) This is far and away the most anticipated matchup of the year. This is also a rematch from a meeting earlier this season and I expect the Bills to even up this series at one game apiece. Just do not believe Baltimore will be able to run through Buffalo like they did last week and in the first meetings this season. Buffalo has got to key on stopping the run and the Ravens will not have a healthy Zay Flowers for this game (he may play) but I do not see him being a factor. The weather and stadium favor the Bills greatly in this game. QB Jackson does not like the cold weather and was wearing a stocking cap in the first meeting despite it being in the low 60s. Tonight it will be in the single digits. Buffalo is 9-0 this season at home and now is the time for QB Allen and company to break through and advance to the AFC Championship Game. The Ravens defense has shown improvement but they have not faced anyone like Josh Allen during the later half of the season. Baltimore was 1-2 and Buffalo was 3-0 when they first met on September 29, meaning Baltimore needed that game more. That is not the case today, and the Bills Mafia will allow them to break through and win this game. Home underdog is too good to pass up.

2 Unit Play. Take #388 Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 over Houston Texans (4:30p.m., Saturday, January 18 ABC) The Texans have had success in the wild card round, but they have not had much success in the divisional round. Kansas City has won 6 straight playoff games (6-0 ATS). Patrick Mahomes is 15-3 straight up and 13-5 ATS in the playoffs. Houston was not very good this season and Kansas City is getting healthy on defense. This will be a double-digit victory for the home team.

2 Unit Play. Take #381 Green Bay Packers over Philadelphia Eagles (4:30p.m., Sunday, January 11 FOX) The fans are really down on the Packers for losing basically a meaningless game last week to the Bears. Green Bay was not really trying to win that game in the second half and expect they will be ready to go Sunday against an NFC East team. Last year the Packers pounded Dallas in the Wild Card and I expect them to put forth a good showing in this game as well. QB Hurts has not played in weeks and I do expect him to be rusty in this game. Both teams are dealing with injuries and the last time these two teams met in the playoffs, the Packers won in Philadelphia, 21-16. This is just too many points for a game I expect to go down to the wire.

4 Unit Play. Take #377 Over in Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens (8p.m., Saturday, January 11 Prime) Everyone is down on the Steelers at the moment and I just do not see them going down with trying to improve their lackluster offense. Baltimore did not have a good year on defense and their should be opportunities for Pittsburgh to throw over the top in this game. The Ravens are firing on all cylinders at the moment and enter this game having won their last 4 games. 51 points were scored the last time these two teams met and weather should not be a factor for this night game.

7 Unit Play. Take #364 Detroit Lions over Minnesota Vikings (8:20p.m., Sunday, January 5 NBC) This is the final regular season game of the 2024 NFL season and the winner will be the No. 1 seed and the loser will be the No. 5 seed. Detroit has already beaten Minnesota this season at US Bank Stadium. I just trust Goff more than Donald and feel the Lions have been the best team in the NFC all season long. They will finish it off at home and be the team to beat in the playoffs.

2 Unit Play. Take #341 Miami Dolphins over New York Jets (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 5 FOX) The Aaron Rodgers era in New York will drag out longer on Sunday afternoon instead of a 1 p.m. start. That is due to the fact that the Dolphins have a slim chance of making the playoffs and need to play opposite the Broncos. The Jets are terrible and cannot wait for this season to end. Tua is questionable for this game, or I would go higher, but this is a straight fade against the Jets.

2 Unit Play. Take #336 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, January 5 FOX) The Buccaneers have everything to play for in this game, as a win gets them the division and a playoff home game next week. New Orleans is banged up on both sides, terrible on both sides and should not put up much of a fight in this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #355 Cincinnati Bengals over Pittsburgh Steelers (8p.m., Saturday, January 4 ESPN) More than likely Baltimore will win the early game and thus Pittsburgh cannot win the division. Cincinnati needs this game to have any chance to make the playoffs and expect them to get it. QB Burrow is playing outstanding and has great weapons. If he gets any help from his defense, the Bengals should be able to win this game by double-digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #426 Minnesota Vikings over Green Bay Packers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 29 FOX) I am still not sold on the Vikings, but they have a lot more to play for in this game compared to the Packers. Green Bay cannot win the division, earn a bye, or host a game during first two rounds and thus I feel they will try and get healthy over the next two weeks. If Minnesota wins out they will be the No. 1 seed and I expect them to do that and set up a winner take all game next week at Detroit. Minnesota just finds way to win, and they are getting the Packers on a short week with possible injuries to the wide receiving group.

4 Unit Play. Take #403 Baltimore Ravens over Houston Texans (4:30p.m., Wednesday, December 25 Netflix) The Texans have clinched the AFC South and will be the fourth seed come the 2025 playoffs next month. They do not have much to play for these next two weeks and suffered a bad injury to Tank Dell last Saturday. Baltimore still has a chance to win the division, and they likely will if they can win out. Baltimore has won 4 straight games against Houston (4-0 ATS) and they are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite of 6 points or less. Look for Lamar and company to come out strong in this game, especially if the results of the early game go their way.

5 Unit Play. Take #122 Seattle Seahawks +3 over Minnesota Vikings (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 22 FOX) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK Minnesota is coming off a short week and Seattle will be desperate to not drop two straight home games to NFC North teams. The Vikings have lost 5 straight Week 15 games (0-5 ATS as well). Seattle has beaten Minnesota 7 of the last 8 meetings. They are the more desperate team and all signs point to QB Smith playing in this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #478 Arizona Cardinals over New England Patriots (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 15 CBS) It is no or never for QB Murray. He laid an egg last week against Seattle and now gets an easier home game against New England. The Patriots are coming off a bye and will enter having lost 3 straight games. I do not see them getting much from their offense in this game and if Kyler can take care of the football, the Red Birds should win this game by double digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #452 San Francisco 49ers over Los Angeles Rams (8:15p.m., Thursday, December 12 Prime) Just do not trust the Rams defense and feel that the only way they can win games is in a shootout. San Francisco is coming off their best game of the season and they still have a chance in the NFL West if they can win this game. The Rams have beaten the 49ers the last two games, but SF has won 7 of the last 190 matchups. All 3 of the Rams wins were by 3 points of less and I do not see them being able to stay in this game for 60 minutes. The home team has a great edge in Thursday Night Football games and look for Brock Prudy to put up big numbers in this game.

7 Unit Play. Take #136 Arizona Cardinals -2.5 over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, Sunday, 8 CBS) The Cardinals need this game if they have visions of making the playoffs. Nobody in the NFC West has been able to separate all season long and thus I do not see Seattle winning this game and pulling away from the field. Seattle still cannot run the football, and they will struggle to do that against this strong Arizona rush defense. QB Smith had an emotional game last week against New York (former team) and playing their second straight road game will doom them in for this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #134 Maimi Dolphins over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, December 8 CBS) The Jets are just playing out the string for the rest of the season and QB Rodgers is likely down in New York should he want to play next season. Miami has held 3 of their last 4 opponents under 20 points and if they do that today they should win this game big. Miami has won 5 of their last 6 home games against New York. The Jets will have some moments in this game, they will just find a way to lose, something they have done most of this season.

10 Unit Play. Take #466 Under in Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals (1p.m., Sunday, December 1 CBS) I always like to take the under in Pittsburgh games, as their offense is a run first style, and they have one of the better defenses in the league. The Bengals are all but out of the playoffs picture and I see them trying to threaten this defense but question if their offensive line can hold up. We will play the under for the second time in three weeks with Pittsburgh (cashed Baltimore – Pittsburgh on 11/17).

10 Unit Play. Take #270 Green Bay Packers over San Francisco 49ers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 24 FOX) The 49ers are leaking oil this entire season and they are not the same team that they have been the last couple of years. The are really banged up on both sides of the football and their players that have returned (CMC) have yet to produce much this season. Now QB Purdy is on the injury report and Nick Bosa left the game last week and their defense fell apart without him. Green Bay is coming off an emotional win last week against Chicago and look for them to carry that momentum into this game (they should have lost to the Bears). The Packers have already lost two home games this season and a neutral site game and they do not want to suffer all of 3 loses at Lambeau Field this season.

10 Unit Play. Take #458 Under in Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers (1p.m., Sunday, November 17 CBS) We will go back to this play against after a tough beat on Thursday Night Football with Baltimore – Cincinnati. This game will be played at a different pace and Pittsburgh has one of the better defenses in the league. Still not sold that the Steelers have figured things out on offense and the Ravens defense needs to step up and not allow big plays. That is what bit them against the Bengals and if they clean that up this game should stay under. Sooner or later the under will hit with Baltimore and my guess is that it comes this Sunday in the Steel City.

4 Unit Play. Take #282 Arizona Cardinals over New York Jets (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 10 CBS) The Cardinals have been sneaky good this season and currently sit atop the standing in the NFL West. We have had a great feel for the Jets this season and feel that they cannot handle prosperity and will suffer a defeat after beating the Texans last week on Thursday Night Football. QB Rodgers is the main issue, as he cannot move around anymore and just dumps of the ball quickly to avoid being sacked. QB Murray is very streaky but has a good coach and will enter this game having won 3 straight games, with two of those teams having better records than the Jets. This play comes down to everyone overvaluing the Jets and we will take the home team in this close to pick’em game. The Jets are not going anywhere this season, and this loss will be more of the same for them in 2024.  

10 Unit Play. Take #110 Under in Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens (8:15p.m., Thursday, November 7 Prime) Both of these teams have been hitting the over with ease this season and I look for a course correction on Thursday night. This line has jumped over 4 points and now the value clearly lies with this under. The Ravens defense played well against the Broncos last Sunday and Cincinnati has a strong coordinator and defensive line that has seen QB Jackson a bunch. 3 of the last 4 games have gone under tonight’s posted number between these two teams. Sooner or later an under will hit and the law of averages says it will be Thursday Night.

10 Unit Play. Take #462 Over in Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens (1p.m., Sunday, November 3 CBS) We will go to the well again with the over in a Baltimore Ravens game. The Ravens have a terrible defense, especially in the defensive passing stats and they only win game by outscoring their opponents. Baltimore has gone over the posted number in this game in all 8 games that they have played this season. QB Bo Nix is improving and should be able to score close to 20 points in this game playing against this Ravens defense. Everyone still believes that the Ravens have this great defense but that is a thing of the past. Baltimore games also see high scoring in the fourth quarter (15-5 over the number in the fourth) and that should allow this game total to reach the fifties.

4 Unit Play. Take #291 New York Giants over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:15p.m., Monday, October 28 ABC) Was shocked Pittsburgh was a home underdog last week against New York, now they face the other New York team and are close to a touchdown favorite. That seems too big of a swing in line movement off of the results of last week and expect Pittsburgh to be in a hard fought battle that goes down to the wire. The Giants looked terrible last week, but expect a bounce back this week as is often the case in professional sports. Can George Pickens catch all those well-covered moon balls this week from Russell Wilson? I am betting against that happening.

2 Unit Play. Take #475 Baltimore Ravens over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8:15p.m., Monday, October 21 ABC) Just play QB Lamar Jackson blind against NFC teams. He is 22-3 straight-up in his career when facing NFC teams. Tampa is benefiting from a weak division and I do not believe they are the same caliber team that Baltimore is.

4 Unit Play. Take #474 Pittsburgh Steelers over New York Jets (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 20 NBC) The Jets made a big trade this week, but I do not see them beating a well-coached Pittsburgh team at Acrisure Stadium. The Jets are 2-4 on the season and the Steelers are 4-2. Pittsburgh has made a living beating bad teams during the Mike Tomlin tenure and tonight should be no different. I do think it matters who Pittsburgh starts at quarterback, the defense, running game, and special teams will be enough for the home team to win this game by close to double digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #279 Pittsburgh Steelers over Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 13 CBS) For a second straight week, this is a straight fade against the Raiders. We easily collected last week and now they have quarterback issues for a third straight year. Pittsburgh got letdown by their defense last Sunday Night, but Dak is not playing in this game. Coach Tomlin has a knack for winning these type of games and I fully expect a bounce back from his team on Sunday. The Raiders are at a disadvantage all over the field and on the sideline. We faded them laying around a field goal last week and we will do the same again in what will feel like a Pittsburgh home game.

4 Unit Play. Take #474 Pittsburgh Steelers over Dallas Cowboys (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 6 NBC) Pittsburgh being favored against a public team in Dallas tells me just how far the talent level has fallen with the visitor. Dallas is dealing with injuries on the defensive side of the football and Pittsburgh should be able to bounce back at home. The Steelers want to run the football, and the Cowboys have been bad at stopping the run this season. Coach Tomlin always seems to win these games and I look for the Steelers to take care of business on Sunday Night Football.

5 Unit Play. Take #288 Baltimore Ravens -2 over Buffalo Bills (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 29 NBC) This is a battle of two of the top teams in the AFC. When good teams play, I always like to side with the team that needs it more. Baltimore would be that team, as they are currently 1-2 on the season. Baltimore is 3-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Buffalo (1 push). Josh Allen has feasted on bad teams thus far, but he will be in for a rude awakening on Sunday Night Football.

2 Unit Play. Take #265 Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5 over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, September 25 CBS) Pittsburgh has had an easy schedule thus far, and playing Indianapolis will not change their strength of schedule much. The Steelers have beaten the Colts 8 of the last 9 games, and I just do not believe Anthony Richardson can pick apart this defense. Justin Field is playing well and not beating himself. And with that defense, that is all he has to do. Pittsburgh has won 5 straight road games (5-0 ATS as well).

4 Unit Play. Take #472 Dallas Cowboys over Baltimore Ravens (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 22 FOX) Both teams need this game badly, as Dallas does not want to fall to 1-2 on the season and Baltimore cannot afford to go 0-3. Dallas laid an egg last week against New Orleans, but I believe they will bounce back on Sunday. Baltimore seems to have major issues on the offensive side of the football, and I do believe Derek Henry is the right fit for this shotgun offense. Dallas did not lose a home game during the regular season in 2023, and I find it hard to believe they will lose two straight home games in 2024. Getting them at this number is too good to pass up.

4 Unit Play. Take #466 Las Vegas Raiders over Carolina Panthers (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 22 CBS) This is the home opener for the Raiders, and they are coming off an impressive win over the Ravens last Sunday. The Panthers have been the worst team in the league, and I do not believe Andy Dalton will be able to rectify all of their issues. The Raiders scored on their final four possessions last week and look for that to carryover into this week. Las Vegas is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games when they are the favorite.

10 Unit Play. Take #286 Kansas City Chiefs over Cincinnati Bengals (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 15 CBS) Don’t want to overreact to Week 1 of the regular season and Cincinnati has been known to lay eggs under Zac Taylor in the opening game. The Chiefs are the two-time defending champions and are coming off extra rest and I feel they will win this game by double digits. The Bengals have a lot of issues with their wide receivers and Joe Burrow played a terrible game last week. Cincinnati has been Kansas City’s nemesis for years and thus I feel the Chiefs will make to avenge those losses. Look for the Chiefs to get a lead in this game and use their fourth quarter pass rush to put away the Bengals.

3 Unit Play. Take #274 Jacksonville Jaguars -3 over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, September CBS) No bet against DeShaun Watson is a bad bet these days. He was the worst contract in sports history with no end in sight. It appears he cannot play anymore. And if they cannot run the football effectively, they will lose this game by double-digits. Jacksonville led Miami 17-7 early and then struggled on offense and lost by a field goal. Jacksonville held Miami to just 20 points, and the Dolphins are a much better offensive team than is Cleveland. Jacksonville is 3-1 against Cleveland, and the Browns were just 3-6 in road games in 2024. Cleveland will need to win this game in other aspects besides their offense, and I do not see Jacksonville giving the game away in that fashion.

3 Unit Play. Take #449 Los Angeles Rams over Detroit Lions (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 8 NBC) The Rams were sneaky good last season and should be even better in 2024. They have nailed the draft the last couple of years and that has allowed to get on the right side of the cap. They won 10 games last season, and I see them taking this game right down to the wire. Detroit is loaded as well, but I do not trust their coach in close games. Week One is always unpredictable with upsets and I feel this could be one of those games.

7 Unit Play. Take #465 Tennessee Titans +4 over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, September 8 FOX) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEKEND The Bears are just not a team you can trust as a favorite when they are expected to perform. Tennessee has great wide out and if they get any type of quarterback play, they will likely win this game straight-up. Will Levis has a year of experience on Caleb Williams and that is a big factor that we will not overlook. Finally, Chicago is 2-8 outright in their last 10 opening games the last decade.

10 Unit Play. Take #102 Kansas City Chiefs over San Francisco 49ers (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 11 CBS) You can make a case for either team in this game, but we will side with the team that has the better defense along with the best quarterback in the league. Kyle Shannon has a tendency to freeze up in big games and I am just not sure Brody Purdy can carry him over the finish line. The Chiefs have had a great defense all season long with Chris Jones able to make plays and get to the quarterback. The 49ers will have their moments, but in the end the Chiefs will prevail and win their third Super Bowl in the last 5 years.

10 Unit Play. Take #319 Kansas City Chiefs over Baltimore Ravens (3p.m., Sunday, January 28 CBS) The Ravens have the better all-around team, but the Chiefs have the best player on the field, and we will gladly back Mahomes and the points in this game. The Kansas City offense played their best game of the season last time out against Buffalo and I look for that to continue in this game as well. Baltimore has all the pressure on them, as QB Jackson will win his second straight MVP and need a Super Bowl to validate his outstanding career. The Chiefs have a strong defense that can cause issues for QB Jackson with their blitz schemes, and I look for them to take this one down to the wire. KC seems to have a knack for winning close games and Sunday should be no different.

10 Unit Play. Take #316 Detroit Lions over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3p.m., Sunday, January 21 NBC) NFL Playoff Game of the Year. The Buccaneers are a team that nobody wants to advance except for those in Florida and I see their season coming to an end on Sunday. Tampa Bay played well against Philadelphia last time out, but the two games prior they struggled against teams that did not even make the playoffs. Detroit will be rocking again for this game, as the Lions look to reach the conference championship round for the first time in over 30 years. The Lions have the more balanced offense this season and can beat you on the ground or through the air. Tampa Bay is reliant on the passing game and torching Philadelphia is one thing, but Detroit has a much better defense. These teams already met earlier this season with Detroit winning by a score of 20-6 at Raymond James Stadium. Detroit has been a story all season long in the NFL and that will continue with a double-digit victory at home. The Lions knocked off a hot team last week and will knock off another hot team on Sunday. This is the toughest ticket in the divisional round and the 12th man will also be a factor, as will the experience of Jared Goff (super bowl quarterback).

10 Unit Play. Take #144 Kansas City Chiefs over Miami Dolphins (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 13 Peacock) The Dolphins lost the division on Sunday Night Football and now must travel to play a night game against the Chiefs in chilly conditions. The temperature for this game will be around zero degrees and that will give the Chiefs a great advantage for this game. Miami is also banged up on defense with numerous injuries and I just do not see them coming away with a victory. These two teams met earlier this season with the Chiefs winning in London to make to 4 straight against the Dolphins. Kansas City has won 3 of their last 4 games and Miami just does not beat very many top tier teams. The Chiefs have their problems on offense, but they have a strong defense and a great home field advantage. Lay the points, as the Chiefs will win this game by double-digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #476 Las Vegas Raiders over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 7 FOX) I feel that the Raiders want to win this game more than the Broncos. The Raiders have an interim coach that wants the job, and the Broncos benched their starting quarterback because they signed him to a terrible contract. Las Vegas has beaten Denver 7 straight games including week 1 of the 2023 regular season. Denver is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Denver wants a better draft pick and we do not see them winning this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #465 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 7 CBS) The Packers find themselves in a similar situation to 2022, where they close out the season at home with a win and you’re in game. They will not make the same mistake as last year and dominate the Bears and win this game by double digits. Green Bay has beaten Chicago 9 straight times (9-0 ATS as well). Just do not trust Justin Fields to win consistently in this league and the Packers played much better on defense last week. Look for that to continue Sunday, as the Packers make the playoffs!

4 Unit Play. Take #473 Jacksonville Jaguars over Tennessee Titans (1p.m., Sunday, January 7 CBS) The Jaguars did not finish the season on a high note, losing 4 straight games but are fortunate to close out the 2023 season against to terrible teams. They pounded Carolina last week with their backup quarterback and now get to face an equally bad Tennessee team. Jacksonville already beat them this season by 20 points and see this game following a similar path. The Titans will enter this game off 3 straight losses including a 23 point to Houston last Sunday. Jacksonville has won 3 straight games against Tennessee and has too much to play for to take this game lightly. If they win, they clinch the division and get to host a playoff game next weekend!

4 Unit Play. Take #125 Pittsburgh Steelers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, January 31 FOX) Pittsburgh got some life last week by starting Mason Rudolph and I just feel they can keep the coaching streak of Mike Tomlin alive. He has never had a losing record and will need to win one of his last two games to finish 9-8. It might not happen this week, but I feel that they can take this one down to the wire. Pittsburgh is 9-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 road games.

4 Unit Play. Take #122 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, January 31 FOX) These two teams are heading in opposite directions, as the Saints have lost 4 of their last 6 games. Tampa Bay has won 4 straight games and can almost lock up the division with a victory on Sunday at home. Baker Mayfield has been reborn of late, and he clearly is the better quarterback in this game. New Orleans is 2-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 divisional games.

4 Unit Play. Take #116 Jacksonville Jaguars over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, January 31 CBS) Despite losing 4 straight games, the Jaguars are still in good shape to win the division and host a playoff game. Despite the Panthers rallying late against the Packers last week, they are still a bad team with a lame duck coach and a terrible roster. Just too much on the line for Jacksonville to play poorly again and expect the home team to win this one by double digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #482 San Francisco 49ers over Baltimore Ravens (8:15p.m., Monday, December 25 ABC) The 49ers are clearly the team to beat when it comes to the Super Bowl and now get a chance to prove it on the field against the best teams the AFC has to offer. The 49ers are just better on both sides of the football and they want to make a statement in this game. Baltimore will be playing their second straight road game and must fly cross-country for this game. San Francisco has covered the spread in 13 of their last 17 home games when they are the favorite.

4 Unit Play. Take #472 Miami Dolphins over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m, Sunday, December 24 FOX) Dallas looked terrible last week against another AFC East team and expect Miami to use the same blueprint that Buffalo did. Dallas is just not the same team on the road compared to when playing at home. Dallas is likely going to be the No. 5 seed since the Eagles have a very easy schedule to close out the regular season. Miami takes this one.

4 Unit Play. Take #469 Jacksonville Jaguars over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 24 CBS) Just feel that Tampa Bay overachieved last week against a terrible Green Bay defense and will find it much harder to move the football this week against Jacksonville. The Jaguars gagged last week at home against the Ravens, producing zero points in the first half despite moving the football up and down the field. Jacksonville has covered the spread in 9 of their last 10 road games (London game included). Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against AFC teams. Jacksonville is desperate and needs this game in the worst way.

4 Unit Play. Take #454 Pittsburgh Steelers over Cincinnati Bengals (4:30p.m., Saturday, December 23 NBC) Just feel the Steelers have one more game in them. Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season as head coach of the Steelers, but 2023 will test that theory. Pittsburgh won the first meeting this season and have gone 10-4 divisional home games played in the Steel City. Cincinnati has not won a divisional game this season (0-4) and I look for that to continue on Saturday.

6 Unit Play. Take #327 Over in Philadelphia Eagles @ Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Monday, December 18 ABC) The Seahawks are reeling at the moment and will enter this game in the Emerald City having lost 4 straight games. Philadelphia has lost their last two games and many people do not realize how bad their defense has been this year. Seattle has allowed at least 25 points in 5 of their last 6 games. We will not worry about which desperate team wins this game and instead just collect with the Over.  

4 Unit Play. Take #330 Jacksonville Jaguars over Baltimore Ravens (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 17 NBC) Getting a desperate Jaguars team at home on Sunday Night Football is too good to pass up. This is the Jaguars third straight game against the AFC North and they lost the first two in heartbreaking fashion. Trevor Lawrence played last week despite a bad ankle injury the week prior, but he struggled throwing 3 picks and was sacked 4 times. Jacksonville is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against Baltimore. The Ravens are 5-10 in their last 15 non division road games when they are the favorite. Trevor will play better on Sunday and we will collect in the process, as this is too many points for an 8-5 team to be getting at home.

4 Unit Play. Take #126 Kansas City Chiefs over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 10 CBS) The Chiefs do not lose two games in a row under Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes and look for that trend to continue this week as well. Buffalo continues to be overvalued and their roster and coach is not as good as the public thinks it is. Kansas City has covered the spread in 7 of their last 11 games. Buffalo finds ways to lose close games all season long and look for that to continue on Sunday. The Chiefs need this game to stay in contention for the No. 1 seed in the AFC and they will get it by close to double-digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #124 Los Angeles Chargers over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 10 CBS) The Broncos came back to reality last week and Russell Wilson could not rally them late despite having a first and goal to win this game. He threw 3 interceptions in that game and now must face a more talented Charger team in their second straight road game. Los Angeles has covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 divisional home games. The last time Denver visited Sofi Stadium they lost 51-14 and the Chargers always seem to rally late in the season to get back into playoff contention.

4 Unit Play. Take #458 Pittsburgh Steelers over Arizona Cardinals (1p.m., Sunday, December 3 CBS) The Cardinals are not very good, and I believe that the Steelers were rejuvenated last week with a road win and a new offensive coordinator. This will be a tough task for Arizona to win a road game in the northeast in December when it will be cold outside. Pittsburgh has beaten Arizona four straight times (4-0 ATS) including in the super bowl. The Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Pittsburgh is due for a blowout win and it will come on Sunday by double digits.

2 Unit Play. Take #268 Philadelphia Eagles over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 26 CBS) The Bills are still a public team and thus get overvalued for the talent they have. They pounded the Jets, but now must face the best team in the league, the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles do not lose games at home, and they are better on both sides of the ball. We will lay the field goal in this game.

10 Unit Play. Take #251 Jacksonville Jaguars over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, November 26 CBS) TOP FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEKEND Houston should have lost last week to Arizona, as CJ Stroud played his worst game as a professional. Now they face the divisional leader Jaguars, a team that just destroyed the Titans last time out. Just feel the Texans will hit a wall in the later portion of the season. The Jaguars have won 8 straight games playing outside of Jacksonville (8-0 ATS as well). Houston is not ready for primetime, and Trevor Lawrence and company will lock up the division with a victory today.

4 Unit Play. Take #107 Washington Commanders over Dallas Cowboys (4:30p.m., Thursday, November 23 CBS) We will grab the double-digits in this divisional matchup in a short week for both teams. Washington is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games as an underdog. Dallas has blown out bad teams all season long, but that just cannot continue to happen for a 17-game season. QB Sam Howell has some ability and if he can play a clean game Washington should be able to keep this game in single digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #476 Kansas City Chiefs over Philadelphia Eagles (8:15p.m., Monday, November 20 ABC) This is a rematch of Super Bowl 57 and I look for the Chiefs to win this game again. Philadelphia has been winning ugly much of the season and it will catch up to them in this game. Andy Reid is 27-4 in his career following a bye week. Kansas City is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against NFC teams. Coach Reid will enjoy beating his former team for the second time in less than a year.

4 Unit Play. Take #456 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Chargers (1p.m., Sunday, November 19 FOX) The Chargers got lit up by the Lions last Sunday at home and I feel this game will do down to the wire at Lambeau Field. The Chargers are close to making a coaching change and look for the Packers to win their second straight game at home on Sunday. Green Bay has covered 3 straight home games when they are on an underdog. This game will be close and I just feel the Chargers will find a way to lose it, something they have done through most of Brandon Staley’s tenure.

4 Unit Play. Take #460 Jacksonville Jaguars over Tennessee Titans (1p.m., Sunday, November 19 CBS) The Jaguars laid an egg last week against the 49ers but should find things much easier against the Titans on Sunday at home. Tennessee is pot committed to Will Levis and he is a risk taker and that will bite him in this game. The Titans are 1-4 in their last 5 games and will lose this one by double digits. They are playing their third straight road game and the Jags have won 5 of their last 6 games. Jacksonville swept Tennessee in 2022 and they will bounce back and force the Titans to beat them through the air.

4 Unit Play. Take #248 Jacksonville Jaguars over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, November 12 FOX) Both teams are coming off a bye, with the Jaguars red hot and the 49ers ice cold. Injuries are taking its toll on the team from the bay area, as San Francisco is realizing that Brock Prudy cannot carry this team without a bunch of talent around him. Jacksonville is on a 5-0 straight-up and 5-0 ATS run. San Francisco is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye. The Jaguars are 5-1 in their last 6 home games when they are an underdog. Trevor Lawrence and Doug Pederson are a strong combination and will only get better as the season and years go on.

10 Unit Play. Take #269 New York Giants over Las Vegas Raiders (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 5 FOX) NFL GAME OF THE YEAR The Raiders are a mess, and we liked this play even before they fired their coach, offensive coordinator, and General Manager. Throw in they are starting a rookie at quarterback in Aiden O’Connell, and I see them really struggling on offense this entire game. Las Vegas is coming off back-to-back double-digit losses, and one of those was against the Bears. Finally, the Raiders have no home field advantage playing in Las Vegas, and expect a lot of Giants fans in attendance for this game.

The Giants did everything they could to lose a game that had over a 95% chance of winning last week. They could not muster any passing game, yet their defense played the best game of the year. The Jets offense is a lot like the Raiders offense, and I see another strong game from the Giants on Sunday. Danny Dimes is back, and that gives the Giants a much better chance to move the football via the air. He can run or pass, and he will need to utilize both in this game. The Giants are 17-8 in their last 25 games as a road underdog, including 9-0 during this streak when facing losing teams. They are 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against AFC teams. New York is also 4-1 ATS when facing foes coming off a Monday Night Football game. The Giants win this game, and we collect in the process as well.

4 Unit Play. Take #456 Baltimore Ravens over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, November 5 CBS) Lamar Jackson dominates the NFC and look for that to continue on Sunday. He is 16-1 in his career straight up when facing NFC teams. The Ravens have led at halftime in 7 of their 8 games this season and their defense is one of the top units in the league. Seattle did not look that impressive last week at home against Cleveland and they played poorly when they traveled to Cincinnati last month, especially on offense.

4 Unit Play. Take #253 Jacksonville Jaguars over Pittsburgh Steelers (1p.m., Sunday, October 29 CBS) The Jaguars are on a roll and will enter this game having won 4 straight games. They have taken control of the AFC South and I feel they are farther along with their offense and quarterback compared to the Steelers. Pittsburgh is not a top team in the league and I see them being around a .500 team, which has been normal of late for Mike Tomlin. Jacksonville has extra rest for this game and being the favorite on the road leads me to believe the books what to take a bunch of Steelers money.

10 Unit Play. Take #472 Philadelphia Eagles over Miami Dolphins (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 17 NBC) The Eagles suffered their first loss of the season on Sunday against the Jets. Expect them to bounce back in a big way tonight at home against the Dolphins, a team that has been beating up on bad team this season. Miami laid an egg against the only tough team they played this season in Buffalo, losing by 28 points on the road. The Eagles will be the best defense that they have faced in 2023 and look for them to go on another long winning streak similar to what they did in 2022. After the Eagles lost their first game of the season to the Commanders last October, they went onto win their next 5 games. The weather will be cold and not pristine conditions like Miami likes. Philadelphia is 10-1 in their last 11 games against AFC teams that won in their previous week. The Eagles get back on track, take care of the football and win this game by double-digits.

3 Unit Play. Take New Orleans Saints -130 money line over Jacksonville Jaguars (8:15p.m., Thursday, October 19 Prime) We have nailed 3 straight winners with Jacksonville the last 3 weeks, but feel the tide will turn in this game. New Orleans is desperate for a victory and has not been playing well on offense. New Orleans has won 4 straight games against Jacksonville (4-0 ATS). Jacksonville is 8-32 ATS in their last 40 games against NFC teams. QB Lawrence will likely play but I do not expect him to be close to 100% for this affair.

4 Unit Play. Take #275 New York Giants over Buffalo Bills (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 15 NBC) Buffalo is at home by they played in London last Sunday and thus I expect New York to keep this game in single digits. The Bills are really banged up on defense with injuries seemingly at every position. The Giants made some plays on defense against Miami and if they do that again they should be able to keep this game close. Sooner or later the Giants coaching staff will figure out a plan to move the football with Danny Jones.

4 Unit Play. Take #258 Cincinnati Bengals over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 15 FOX) Cincinnati put together a complete game last week and look for them to even up their record with a home win against Seattle on Sunday. I am not still sold on the Seahawks being a top team in the NFC and feel the offensive weapons for Cincinnati are much greater than that of Seattle. The Bengals are 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 home games and 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against NFC teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #264 Jacksonville Jaguars over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, October 15 CBS) The Colts put their quarterback on IR on Wednesday and look for Jacksonville to take advantage of one of their few home games to open the season. Jacksonville already lost to the Texans at home this season and cannot afford another home loss to an AFC South team. Jacksonville won earlier this season in Indianapolis and look for them to take control of the division with a win on Sunday.

10 Unit Play. Take #475 Green Bay Packers over Las Vegas Raiders (8:15p.m., Monday, October 9 ESPN) Just not a fan of the Raiders this season with their coach/quarterback combination. They are coming off 3 straight defeats and the last two were against teams that might not even make the playoffs. Green Bay is a better team that what their 2-2 record indicates and do not want to fall below .500 with this young quarterback. The Packers will have a huge crowd in Las Vegas for this game and expect no home field advantage for the Raiders. Josh McDaniels can only beat the Broncos, as they struggled against every other team. The Packers have beaten the Raiders 8 straight games.

4 Unit Play. Take #474 San Francisco 49ers over Dallas Cowboys (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 8 NBC) Dallas just does not beat San Francisco and we will lay the points with the home team on Sunday Night Football. San Francisco is 12-1 in their last 13 home games when they are the favorite. The 49ers have also won 14 regular season games in a row. If San Francisco does not beat themselves in this game, they will win it by double digits. Dallas has some great flashes, but under Coach McCarthy they cannot be trusted in big games against better teams.

4 Unit Play. Take #451 Jacksonville Jaguars over Buffalo Bills (9:30a.m., Sunday, October 8 NFLN) Always like backing the Jaguars in London. Buffalo is coming off a dominating game against a division opponent and look for there to be a letdown for them in this game. They are the home team and that will frustrate their rapid fan base and allow Jacksonville to cover the spread. Sooner or later, Trevor Lawrence is going to have a breakout game and I look for it to come on Sunday. Jacksonville takes this game down to the wire and we collect with whoever comes out on top.

4 Unit Play. Take #280 New York Giants over Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Monday, October 2 ABC) The Giants are back from their west coast road trip with extra rest for this Monday Night Football game against the Seahawks. New York has been behind double-digits in each of their 3 games and that needs to change on Monday. They must start better and a 12-2 record when coming off a Thursday night is a positive sign. The Giants need this game with Buffalo and Miami on deck and they will get it in a grind out fashion.  

2 Unit Play. Take #263 Los Angeles Rams over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, October 1 FOX) The Colts are coming off a fortunate win at Baltimore last week, and I just do not believe they can handle prosperity. They will likely have quarterback issues all season long, and the Rams are the more stable team with recent success. The Colts have lost 3 straight games to the Rams. Los Angeles has weapons to utilize this season, and this is an important win for them to avoid falling too far behind San Francisco in the standings. The Marshall Faulk bowl will go the way of the Rams.

3 Unit Play. Take #252 Jacksonville Jaguars over Atlanta Falcons (9:30a.m., Sunday, October 1 ESPN+) I believe this line gives you a clue as to how the oddsmakers want you to bet. We will go the opposite way and take the 1-2 Jaguars as a favorite on the money line. Jacksonville is coming off a bad loss to Houston where they trailed the whole game and just could not get back on track. Sometimes those losses are easier to bounce back from. Jacksonville is much better at quarterback. And with Buffalo on deck, this is a game they need to grind out and win.

4 Unit Play. Take #102 Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (8:15p.m., Thursday, September 27 Prime) The Packers are getting healthy and Jordan love should have many more weapons available for this game than he has had in the first 3 weeks. Green Bay does not lose to Detroit often at Lambeau Field, but they did last year and thus we kept out of the playoffs. Green Bay played well in the second half against a better defense than what they will face on Thursday in Detroit. Getting points with the Packers is too good to pass up and we will side with the home team.

4 Unit Play. Take #460 Green Bay Packers over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, September 24 FOX) Just not a fan of Coach Dennis Allen and the New Orleans Saints. The Packers should get some offensive lineman back for this game and this is their first home game of the season. The Saints are off a short week and will be playing back-to-back road games. Coach LaFleur is 5-0 in his career when playing against undefeated teams. Green Bay is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 home openers. When good teams play in the NFL the team that needs it more generally gets it and the Packers certainly need it more.

4 Unit Play. Take #547 New England Patriots over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, September 24 CBS) The Patriots are just not the same team without Tom Brady, but they can still beat the Jets. New England has dominated this matchup, winning 14 straight games and going 10-4 ATS during this span. Their average margin of victory is 18 points in the last 14 wins they have had against New York. The Patriots lost two home games to open the 2023 season, but they were competitive in both games with a chance late. They will dominate this game for 60 minutes.

4 Unit Play. Take #286 Denver Broncos over Washington Commanders (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 17 CBS) The Broncos cannot afford to lose two straight games at home to open up the 2023 season. The Commanders did not look much better beating an Arizona team at home by just 4 points. That is a Cardinal team many people believe is tanking this season. The home team is this matchup has won 5 straight games and gone 4-1 ATS. QB Wilson is better than QB Howell and Denver will dig deep to win this game by double digits.

2 Unit Play. Take #103 Minnesota Vikings over Philadelphia Eagles (8:15p.m., Thursday, September 14 Prime) Everyone expected regression from the Vikings this season, as they won a ton of close games in 2022. We only need a close game tonight to win money and do not expect a blowout. Philadelphia did not look good last week and losing both coordinators from their Super Bowl team in 2022 may have caught up with them.

4 Unit Play. Take #480 New York Giants over Dallas Cowboys (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 10 NBC) The Giants have been terrible in the division of late, but I feel Dallas is once again overvalued and we will grab the points. New York finished last season strong covering the spread in 6 of their final 7 games. The Giants had a good draft on paper and Dallas lost their offensive coordinator from last season. Just do not believe Dallas is going to come into MetLife Stadium on Sunday Night Football and blowout the home team.

4 Unit Play. Take #466 Pittsburgh Steelers over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, September 10 FOX) Mike Tomlin just wins games and I will ride him in the opener against a suspect team in San Francisco. I am not sold on the 49ers quarterback situation and actually feel Pittsburgh is in better shape with Kenny Pickett under center. The Steelers went 4-1 ATS against NFC teams in 2022. Nick Bosa is still unsigned and I am not expecting much from him if he decides to show up. That is a major loss for the 49ers defense and they are just not the same team without him. Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games as a home underdog.

10 Unit Play. Take #101 Kansas City Chiefs over Philadelphia Eagles (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 12 FOX) All the talk is about the Eagles dominate run to reach the Super Bowl, but the odds makers are having no part of that. They have kept this game as a pick’em and I believe that the books wants Philadelphia money in this game. I believe that the difference in this game will come down to experience, something Kansas City has a major edge in at the quarterback and head coaching positions. Jalen Hurts did not throw the ball well in the conference championship and if the Chiefs can contain the rushing attack and make him beat them they should be in a good shape. Philadelphia has had a cake walk to reach the Super Bowl and just are not as battle tested as Kansas City is. Philadelphia is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Andy Reid earns his second Super Bowl victory, and this is one bittersweet coming against his former team. 

10 Unit Play. Take #323 Cincinnati Bengals over Kansas City Chiefs (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 29 CBS) Everyone is on the Bengals, which is sometimes a scary proposition, but as the games dwindle down, the public usually gets the big games correct. The Chiefs opened up as a favorite, but the wise guys and public were having no part of that. Cincinnati is now favored and the line during the week keeps going up. Joe Burrow has beaten Kansas City all three times in his career including earlier this season. The Chiefs are 1-8 (ATS) 1 push in their last 10 home games. The Bengals have won 10 straight games and will earn another trip to the Super Bowl on Sunday. Cincinnati has offensive line issues, but that was not a factor last week in Buffalo. Kansas City has quarterback issues with Patrick Mahomes suffering a high ankle sprain against Jacksonville last time out. He will play but I expect the injury to be worse this week compared to last week. Cincinnati is 13-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Joe Cool advances as we ride the public and the hot hand.

10 Unit Play. Take #318 San Francisco 49ers over Dallas Cowboys (6:30p.m., Sunday, January 22 FOX) The Cowboys played great last week against the Buccaneers, but I just do not believe they can follow that up with a second straight road victory. San Francisco has won 11 games in a row and have two extra days to prepare for this game. They have also covered the spread in 12 of their last 14 home games. Brock Purdy has been up to the challenge thus far and feel he will be playing with a lead most of this game. QB Prescott just had not been very consistent this season and playing his fourth straight road game will be too much to overcome. Dallas is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played in January. San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 divisional playoff games.

4 Unit Play. Take #303 New York Giants over Philadelphia Eagles (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 21 FOX) The Giants got a lot of confidence last week playing against the Vikings and look for that to carryover into this game. They also have momentum and Philadelphia has not looked the same since Jalen Hurts when down with an injury. New York has covered the spread in 14 of their last 18 games this year and our 10 of 12 ATS when they are an underdog (6 straight-up wins). This is a divisional game and I expect it to go down to the wire. We will come out on top with whoever wins this close game by taking the Giants.

10 Unit Play. Take #152 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Dallas Cowboys (8:15p.m., Monday, January 16 ABC) Do not trust either coach in this game, but I do trust the greatest quarterback of all time. Dallas has not played well on offense of later, struggling to run the football and turning over the ball at an alarming clip. Tom Brady is 7-0 in his career against Dallas. Tampa Bay won the first meeting this season by a score of 19-3 and that was in Dallas. The Cowboys do not play well on grass and it showed last week in Washington and will show this week in Tampa.

4 Unit Play. Take #147 New York Giants over Minnesota Vikings (4:40p.m., Sunday, January 15 FOX) The Vikings metrics do not align with their 13-4 record. This team has been very fortunate in close games all season long and I look for that even out in this game. Minnesota is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games this season. Minnesota has a bad defense and look for New York to be able to move the football through the air and ground in this game. The Vikings have had only two double digit victories this season and I don’t really count the last one taking place last week against the Bears. The road team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 games between New York and Minnesota. The Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. Take #460 Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (8:20p.m., Sunday, January 8 NBC) This line may change depending on the results of the Seahawks game taking place earlier in the day. Either way, I expect the Lions to play to win, but that is not something they have done very often at Lambeau Field over the last 4 decades. Detroit has won only 3 times at Green Bay since 1992. The Packers know that they just have to win, and they will earn the No. 7 seed in the playoffs and a likely trip to the Bay Area next week. The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 games between Green Bay and Detroit. The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games.

10 Unit Play. Take #470 Denver Broncos over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 8 CBS) Denver has gotten clarity on their coaching situation and they played better last week. The Chargers do not have much to play for in this game and would not be surprised if they rest a few of their starters. Denver has won 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams and all 4 of those victories came as an underdog. The Broncos are 3-0 straight-up (3-0 ATS) as well in the last 3 games against the Chargers played in Denver. QB Wilson wants to finish the season on a high note and look for that to occur on Sunday.

10 Unit Play. Take #128 Green Bay over Minnesota (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 1 CBS) The Packers continue to win games of late. We expect them to run the table and make the playoffs. Minnesota has already clinched the division and they luck in one score games continues to be impressive. When they lose, they seem to lose big and that is what we are looking for on Sunday afternoon. Minnesota is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings between Minnesota and Green Bay.

4 Unit Play. Take #124 Seattle Seahawks over New York Jets (4:05p.m., Sunday, January 1 FOX) The bettors continue to pound the Jets and it has not been paying any dividends of late. This team is terrible on offense, and I do not believe Mike White will be able to save them in this game. Seattle is in freefall as well, but they have been going up against some good teams and I feel they are better than their recent play indicates. The Jets had their chance last Thursday, when they were favored at home against Jacksonville with weather playing a role. Seattle is 10-0 ATS in their last 10 home games when coming off back-to-back underdog losses. Seattle has won 4 straight games against New York (4-0 ATS as well). Geno Smith gets revenge as the Hawks get a much-needed victory at home.  

4 Unit Play. Take #118 New England Patriots over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, January 1 CBS) Teddy Bridgewater is back trying to resurrect the struggling Dolphins. I do not see them playing well in this cold weather game in Foxboro on Sunday. Miami has lost 4 straight games, and this will be their 4th road game in their last 5 games. The Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.

4 Unit Play. Take #475 Green Bay Packers over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 25 CBS) These two teams seem to be heading in opposite directions. The Dolphins have lost three straight games and the Packers have won two straight games. Both teams do their damage against bad teams in the league, but the Packers offense is coming alive of late. Green Bay has won 4 of the last 5 games against Miami including a 19-point victory the last time these two teams met. The young wide receivers of the Packers are starting to make plays and Rodgers seems intent on running the table to finish out the regular season. Green Bay is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games played on grass. Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games against the Dolphins.

10 Unit Play. Take #473 Las Vegas Raiders over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:15p.m., Saturday, December 24 NFLN) The Mike Tomlin consecutive winning seasons will come to an end in 2022. The Raiders are the much more talented team on offense, and they will win this game straight-up. Just do not believe the Steelers have the weapons to exploit this suspect Raiders defense. The Raiders went into Pittsburgh last season and won by 9 points and expect a similar performance in this game. Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Pittsburgh. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Raiders and Steelers.

4 Unit Play. Take #459 Cincinnati Bengals over New England Patriots (1p.m., Saturday, December 24 CBS) Just too many weapons that Cincinnati has compared to New England. The Patriots do not have much confidence in Mac Jones, and he will be without his starting center for this game. Cincinnati dominated the second half against Tampa Bay last week and they will dominate some portion of this game as well. Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in December. New England is 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games played on Saturday. The fans have given up on the Patriots after their debacle last week and I do not see them being competitive in this game.

10 Unit Play. Take #328 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Cincinnati Bengals (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 18 CBS) Hard to take Tampa Bay after their showing last week in San Francisco, but this team is desperate and needs to win their remaining home games. The Bengals have been a covering machine this season, but now they are the hunted and giving points on the road is never easy. I still like the Tampa Bay defense better than the Cincinnati defense. The Bengals struggle to handle prosperity and the law of averages will bite them in this game. Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games against Cincinnati. The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between the Bengals and Bucs.

4 Unit Play. Take #321 Dallas Cowboys over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday, December 18 FOX) The Cowboys did not play well last week at home against Houston, but that gives us the value we need to make this a strong play. Jacksonville has lost 20 straight games against NFC teams. Dallas won the last meeting by a score of 40-7 and they will enter this game having won 4 straight games. The Cowboys are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games. Jacksonville is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games played in the month of December. Expect a big Dallas crowd for this game and they will see a double-digit victory for their team.

4 Unit Play. Take #127 New England Patriots over Arizona Cardinals (8:15p.m., Monday, December 12 ESPN) This is a coaching mismatch and I feel New England does just enough this season to finish 9-8. In order to do that they must win this game, as Arizona is a sinking ship at the moment. The Patriots have beaten the Cardinals in 7 of the last 8 games. Arizona has lost 4 of their last 5 games and 10 of their last 11 home games. It might not be pretty, but the Patriots will find a way to win this game. New England is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home. Finally, the Cardinals are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Monday games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports