10 Unit Play. Take #102 Kansas City Chiefs over San Francisco 49ers (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 2 FOX) The line on this game is low and you can make a case for both sides. In the end I just feel it is the Chiefs time especially for their Coach Andy Reid, a sentimental favorite of most people to finally win a Super Bowl. Coach Reid is outstanding coming off a bye and he also has the better quarterback behind center in this game. Two straight weeks the Chiefs have gotten behind early only to have the lead by halftime and control the game in the second half. The 49ers have not faced any adversity in the playoffs this season and I am not sure how they will react if the Chiefs can force them to throw the football in obvious passing situations. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against San Francisco. The 49ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 14 points in their previous game. Kansas City is 7-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #312 San Francisco 49ers over Green Bay Packers (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 19 FOX) The 49ers dominated the regular season meeting. This game will be closer, but I just believe San Francisco is better in all 3 phases plus have a better coaching staff to boot. San Francisco has covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Green Bay. San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. This has a feel of the NFC Championship from 3 years ago when Green Bay went to Atlanta and just could not compete losing 44-21.

10 Unit Play. Take #313 Tennessee Titans over Kansas City Chiefs (3:05p.m., Sunday, January 19 CBS) Everyone just assumes the Kansas City will cruise to the Super Bowl after having their scare early in the divisional round against Houston. But one must remember Andy Reid has really struggled in this round winning just 1 time in 6 tires. Tennessee appears destined to run the gauntlet of New England, Baltimore, and now Kansas City. The Titans are much better coached than are the Texans and if they get a lead in this game, they may not give it up. Tennessee is 7-3 straight-up in their 10 road games this season (7-3 ATS). The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between Tennessee and Kansas City. The Chiefs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games. The Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #308 Green Bay Packers over Seattle Seahawks (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 12 FOX) Green Bay still gets no respect for being 13-3 and many believe Seattle will just walk into Lambeau Field and win this game. Green Bay was 7-1 this season at home and has dominated Seattle in Wisconsin going 5-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 meetings. The Packers are a much healthier team than are the Seahawks and I just do not believe QB Wilson has enough weapons around him to win this game. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 divisional round games. Green Bay is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Packers use their home field advantage to rise to the occasion and win this game by close to 10 points.

10 Unit Play. Take #302 San Francisco 49ers over Minnesota Vikings (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 11 CBS) The Vikings are coming off an impressive victory, but this team has not handled prosperity well and now must travel to the west coast to face the best team in the conference. San Francisco is 4-1 straight-up against Minnesota in the playoffs. San Francisco has a great play caller in Kyle Shanahan, and they are better than Minnesota on both sides of the football. Minnesota is 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games against teams with a winning record. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between the Vikings and 49ers. Minnesota cannot backup their performance from last week and thus San Francisco wins this game by double digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #148 Philadelphia Eagles over Seattle Seahawks (4:40p.m., Sunday, January 5 NBC) The Seahawks are reeling at the moment having lost two straight home games and injuries have taken its toll on this team. Philadelphia is heading in the right direction and I do not believe they will lose twice to Seattle in the city of Brotherly Love. Seattle defense is not close to what it once was and all the pressure of QB Wilson having to do everything is finally catching up with this team. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. Philadelphia is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of January.

4 Unit Play. Take #144 New England Patriots over Tennessee Titans (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 4 CBS) Everyone is ready to bury the Patriots, but I am not one of them. Tennessee has not been playing great down the stretch either losing two of their last three games before Houston laid down last week letting them cruise to a victory. New England beat Tennessee is the playoffs two years ago by 21 points. I see them winning this game by 7-10 points. QB Tannehill has looked good but I just do not trust him, especially with so much on the line in the playoffs. Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Tennessee and New England. Tennessee is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played on Saturday. New England is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of January. Just believe the Patriots have too much pride to go out in the Wild Card round and they will find a way to get it down on Saturday.

3 Unit Play. Take #102 Houston Texans over Tennessee Titans (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 29 CBS) Nothing seems predictable in the AFC South. This game obviously means more to the Titans, as a victory will guarantee them a spot in the playoffs. Houston just beat this team earlier in the season and feel they can keep this game close at home despite resting some key personal. Tennessee is 4-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games against Houston.

3 Unit Play. Take #131 Oakland Raiders over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 29 CBS) We will grab the points in this game, as the Raiders still have an outside chance to make the playoffs. Raiders played one of their best games of the season last week against the Chargers, a better team than they will face on Sunday. Oakland won the first meeting by 8 points and I do not see them getting blown out in this game. Denver had trouble putting away the Lions last week and just should not be favored by this many points against anyone in the league. Oakland has covered the spread 4 straight games against Denver. The Broncos are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games against AFC West teams.

3 Unit Play. Take #126 Kansas City Chiefs over Los Angeles Chargers (1p.m., Sunday, December 29 CBS) The Phillip Rivers era as the starting quarterback of the Chargers will likely come to an end on Sunday. The Chargers have been one of the most disappointing teams in the league this season and will finish out the season losing 6 of their last 7 games. Kansas City has dominated this series winning 10 of the last 11 games against Los Angeles (8-3 ATS). The Chiefs still have a chance to earn a first round bye and thus their will be no let-up in this game from start to finish.

3 Unit Play. Take #481 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (8:15p.m., Monday, December 23 ESPN) The final Monday Night Football game of the season is an NFC North rivalry. This game actually means more to Green Bay, as they have visions of the No. 2 seed and a bye. Even if Minnesota wins this game, they still will likely be a wildcard and thus I do not see them blowing out the Packers in this contest. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Minnesota is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. Expect a field goal game and we will collect with whoever comes out on top.

3 Unit Play. Take #475 Dallas Cowboys over Philadelphia Eagles (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 22 FOX) This is likely a winner take all game! If Dallas wins, they clinch the NFC East and will host a home game on wild card weekend. The Eagles have won two straight games, but they struggle to put away the Giants and Redskins. The Cowboys played their best game of the season last time out and they just have much more talent on offense than the Eagles do. Dallas blew out Philadelphia by 27 points earlier this season. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 matchups. Philadelphia is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.

3 Unit Play. Take #465 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, December 22 FOX) Both teams played well last week with the Giants winning their game and the Redskins nearly knocking off Philadelphia. New York played their best game of the season against Washington back in September and I expect them to win this game as well straight-up regardless of who plays for them under center. New York is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against Washington. The Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

3 Unit Play. Take #472 Indianapolis Colts over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, December 22 FOX) Carolina backdoor covered last week against Seattle and despite that late rally they have decided to bench their quarterback in Kyle Allen. The Colts will not be the playoffs either, but they have not quit like the Panthers have and expect them to go all out with a chance of finishing the season at 8-8. Indianapolis is 12-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 games against NFC teams. Carolina is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record.

3 Unit Play. Take #454 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (4:30p.m., Saturday, December 21 NFLN) This game appears big on paper but in reality that is not the case for the Bills. Even if Buffalo wins this game, New England still controls its own destiny to win the NFC East and would just have to beat the Dolphins in Week 17 at Foxboro. But the Patriots need a bye if they have any plans of doing damage in the playoffs this year. New England has beaten Buffalo 15 of the last 17 games at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots got well last week against the Bengals and will win this game by close to 10 points. New England is 42-19 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 63 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #322 Pittsburgh Steelers over Buffalo Bills (8:25p.m., Sunday, December 15 NBC) Just not sold on the Buffalo Bills and feel their record is mostly a byproduct of their schedule. Buffalo has struggled against the AFC North this season losing to the Browns and Ravens and only beating the Bengals by 4 points. This is the final home game for the Steelers, and it is a must win if they have visions of making the playoffs this season. Buffalo does not get many primetime games and I do not believe they will be up for the challenge in this game. Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #329 Los Angeles Rams over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 15 FOX) This line opened at -3.5 (Dallas) and has been bet down all week long and still is not where it should be. Dallas is terrible and is only being talked about because they play in the NFC East. This game does not mean much for the Cowboys and it will likely come down to them beating the Eagles on 12/22 to determine their playoff fate. We used the Rams are our top play last week and won easily against the Seahawks and now they face a much more dysfunctional team. The Rams are 8-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. Dallas is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record.

4 Unit Play. Take #310 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, December 15 FOX) The Packers are not getting much respect of late and thus we will take them on Sunday against a team they have already beaten once this season. Just do not trust QB Trubisky to win games on a consistent basis. Green Bay knows they need this game in order to win the division and they will get it by 7-10 points. Chicago is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The Bears are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games against the Packers.

4 Unit Play. Take #158 Los Angeles Rams over the Seattle Seahawks (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 8 NBC) The Rams appeared to get it last week and they must win games to keep their chances of a wild card berth alive. Seattle can afford to drop this game, since their chances of winning the division lie with their December 21st game against the 49ers. The Rams played the Seahawks tough earlier this season in Seattle and should be able to emerge victorious with this game being played at the Coliseum. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played in Los Angeles. The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against NFC teams.  

4 Unit Play. Take #152 New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 8 CBS) Everyone is ready to put the nail in the coffin for Patriots, but I am not one of them. The Patriots have not lost at home this season and they should be able to get their offense back on track against this suspect Chiefs defense. This is strength vs strength, as the Chiefs offense is their best unit and they will have to go against the Patriots defense, which is their best unit. New England is 42-18 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 62 home games. Kansas City is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. It may not be pretty, but the Patriots will pull out this game by 7-10 points.

4 Unit Play. Take #138 New Orleans Saints over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, December 8 FOX) This is a bad situational game for the 49ers, as they are playing their second straight 1 p.m. road game (10 am local). The 49ers gave the Ravens all that they can handle last week and now must face a team with an even greater home field advantage. QB Garoppolo continues to turnover the football each game and thus may be the best defense he will face this season. I believe the 49ers are deflated knowing they could end up as the No. 5 seed in the NFC and thus I would expect them to drop at least 2 of their remaining 4 games. San Francisco is 6-13 ATS (1 push) in their last 20 games against NFC teams. New Orleans is 51-25 ATS (1 push) in their last 77 games against teams with a winning record.

10 Unit Play. Take #476 Seattle Seahawks over Minnesota Vikings (8:15p.m., Monday, December 2 ESPN) The Seahawks have not played at home since November 3 and they have been outstanding of late winning 4 straight games. Minnesota is a quiet 8-3 but I still do not trust QB Cousins to win big primetime games in December. These two teams met in Seattle on Monday Night Football last year and the Seahawks dominated that game winning by 14 points. The Seahawks have won 6 straight games against NFC teams. Minnesota is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Monday Night games. Seattle is 10-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 Monday Night games.

4 Unit Play. Take #470 Denver Broncos over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 1 CBS) Neither one of these teams is going anywhere and I just do not believe QB Rivers has much left in the tank. Both teams have shown some signs of life at certain points of the season and Denver is always a tough team to beat in the Mile-High City. Los Angeles is 3-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 12 games. Denver is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Week 13 of the NFL season.

4 Unit Play. Take #451 Green Bay Packers over New York Giants (1p.m., Sunday, December 1 FOX) This is a get-well game for the Packers, as they struggled for a second time this season in the state of California. Danny Dimes is struggling like any rookie quarterback would with a lack of talent around him. Green Bay is better on both sides of the football and will be able to win this game by double digits. The favorite in this match-up has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 games (1 push). Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. New York is 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #472 Pittsburgh Steelers over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, December 1 CBS) Pittsburgh wants this game badly. They have the better coach and should not be the underdog in this game. Pittsburgh got back on track last week against Cincinnati and they have dominated this series since the Browns were allowed back into the league. Pittsburgh is 12-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 home games when they are an underdog. Cleveland is 6-21 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 29 games against with winning records. The home team is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 6 match-ups between Cleveland and Pittsburgh.

4 Unit Play. Take #308 Dallas Cowboys over Buffalo Bills (4:30p.m., Thursday, November 28 CBS) People are overacting to the Cowboys losing a game in Foxboro to New England. The Cowboys are still in good shape to win their division and make the playoffs. Buffalo has been the beneficiary of a soft schedule to amass their 8-3 record and they are not anywhere near that good. Dallas is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of November. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on Thursday. Dallas pull away late to win this much needed game by more than a touchdown.

4 Unit Play. Take #270 New England Patriots over Dallas Cowboys (1:25p.m, Sunday, November 24 FOX) Anytime you can get the Patriots at home laying less than a touchdown it is a play. The Patriots have not been that impressive on offense of late, but they still have one of the best defenses in the NFL. Dallas had trouble stopping Jeff Driskel last week and I am not sure if QB Prescott can win this game with New England taking away his best option. Dallas is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. New England is 47-20 ATS in their last 67 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #260 New York Jets over Oakland Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, November 24 CBS) Just not sold on the Raiders, especially when they must give points on the road. The Jets have been playing better of late winning 2 straight games against bad teams to gain some much-needed confidence. 1 p.m. games are always tough for west coast teams and Oakland has not handled prosperity well in recent years. The Raiders have won just 2 road games in the second Jon Gruden Era. Oakland is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a victory in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. Take #274 Philadelphia Eagles over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, November 24 FOX) The Eagles must win this game to keep their slim chances of a playoff berth alive. This game was flexed out of Sunday Night Football and now the Seahawks must play a 1 p.m. eastern time game. The Hawks defense had not been great, as QB Winston picked them apart and most of the Hawks success falls on QB Wilson. Seattle is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Philadelphia is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning road record. Both trends hold true, as the Eagles get the victory and also easily cover the spread.

10 Unit Play. Take #476 Los Angeles Chargers over Kansas City Chiefs (8:15p.m., Monday, November 18 ESPN) The NFL is back in Mexico City and this game should go off as planned unlike the 2018 version. Kansas City has been exposed of late with a suspect defense and thus QB Mahomes and company are going to have to score points in order to win this game. We will grab the points and expect QB Rivers and company to win this game straight-up. The Chargers have the better defense and should be able to get pressure on QB Mahomes. The Chiefs have just not been the same team of late, having lost 4 of their last 6 games. The Chargers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of November. Kansas City is 2-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played during the month of November.

4 Unit Play. Take #467 Arizona Cardinals over San Francisco 49ers (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 17 FOX) The line has creeped down after San Francisco suffered their first loss of the season on Monday Night Football against Seattle. Now they face another divisional rival and we will grab the double-digit points in this match-up. Jimmy G seems prone to mistakes and if the Cardinals can capitalize on a couple of them, they should be able to keep this a one score game. Arizona has had good success in San Francisco going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Santa Clara. The 49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Arizona is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

4 Unit Play. Take #451 Dallas Cowboys over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 17 FOX) We went against the Lions last week and got a gift when QB Stafford was scratched Sunday morning. Hard to know if he will play in this game but either way, we will take the Cowboys. Dallas laid an egg against Minnesota last week and they must start better on Sunday at Ford Field. The Lions have fallen out of playoff consideration by losing 5 of their last 6 games. They just find ways to lose and today will be no different. The road team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games between Dallas and Detroit.

4 Unit Play. Take #466 Baltimore Ravens over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, November 17 CBS) This is an intriguing match-up between two young superstar quarterbacks in Deshaun Watson and Lamar Jackson. QB Watson may be the better thrower of the football but I just believe the Ravens have a better supporting cast than do the Texans. Houston is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning home record. This will not be a blowout, but I see the magical run of the Ravens continuing wit a 7-10 point victory.

10 Unit Play. Take #272 Dallas Cowboys over Minnesota Vikings (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 10 NBC) The Vikings are coming off a bad loss to the Chiefs last week and now head to a primetime game against the Cowboys. QB Cousins does not usually shine during primetime games and expect that to be the case once again on Sunday Night Football. Dallas turned it on in the second half last time out against the Giants and they should be healthier this week on defense. Minnesota is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. Dallas has covered the spread 5 straight times during games played in November. The favorite is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between Minnesota and Dallas.

4 Unit Play. Take #264 Green Bay Packers over Carolina Panthers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 10 FOX) This game got flexed to the late afternoon and it features two teams with winning records. The Packers came out flat last week in Los Angeles but expect them to play much better this week at home against Carolina. Because of that performance, we now have a line under 7 points and Green Bay should be able to attack this inexperienced quarterback in Kyle Allen. Green Bay has a bye on deck and needs to keep winning with a trip to Minnesota looming down the road. The home team has covered the spread in 4 straight meetings between Carolina and Green Bay.

4 Unit Play. Take #253 Buffalo Bills over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 CBS) People are not getting off the Browns bandwagon and it only took them going 2-6 to open the 2019 season. Buffalo has feasted on bad teams this season to produce a 6-2 record and win No. 7 will come this week against Cleveland. The Browns are 0-3 this season at home and they are in dysfunction with a head coach that appears to be in over his head and a quarterback that appears to be overrated. Getting points is just icing on the cake in this game. Cleveland is 5-21 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

4 Unit Play. #266 Take Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 FOX) Both teams are on life support but I just do not see the Chicago Bears losing 4 home games this season in their first 5 home games. Chicago usually plays well as a home favorite covering the spread in 8 of the 11 games in this situation. Detroit will be one dimensional in this game and expect QB Stafford to post yards in this game but not enough points to keep pace. Chicago is 8-1 ATS in their lasts 9 games against NFC North teams. The favorite is 3-0 ATS in the last 4 games between Detroit and Chicago. The Lions are 13-27 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 42 road games against teams with a losing home record.

4 Unit Play. Take #473 New England Patriots over Baltimore Ravens (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 3 NBC) An undefeated season seems like the only thing left for QB Brady and Coach Belickick to accomplish in their illustrious careers. The Patriots have a 189-point differential this season and should be able to cover this number tonight. QB Jackson will face the best defense he has ever seen in his young career and I do not believe the Patriots will allow him to beat them with his legs. New England is 46-19 ATS in their last 65 games. The road team is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in the 8 meetings between New England and Baltimore. Baltimore is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #471 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 3 CBS) This is a home game in name only for the Chargers, as the Packers will occupy most of the stands. LA is 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games when they are a home underdog. Still do not believe the Chargers can run the football against this Packer defense to open up the passing game for QB Rivers. Green Bay is 14-0 ATS in their last 14 games when playing their second straight road game against a non-divisional opponent under .500. QB Rodgers are getting better and that is scary for the Chargers and the rest of the league.

4 Unit Play. Take #467 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 3 FOX) Despite poor play from QB Jameis Winston the Buccaneers seem to play competitive games and we will grab the points in this game. Seattle has already lost 2 home games this season and they seem to play better on the road (undefeated). Seattle likes to run the football and that should play into the strength of the Buccaneers defense. Tampa Bay has covered the spread 4 straight times against Seattle. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #460 Kansas City Chiefs over Minnesota Vikings (1 p.m., Sunday, November 3 FOX) Just do not trust Kirk Cousins to consistently win big games as a starting quarterback. The Chiefs are desperate to win this game, having lost 3 home games already this season. The Vikings are 0-12 (1 push) outdoors against an opponent with a winning record. Minnesota is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. The home team is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 meetings between Minnesota and Kansas City.

10 Unit Play. Take #269 Carolina Panthers over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) Carolina has made the wise decision to continue to ride QB Kyle Allen, as he is 4-0 in starts this season (4-0 ATS). Carolina has beaten San Francisco 6 straight games (6-0 ATS) and they need this game more in order to keep pace with the New Orleans Saints in their division. Still not sold on the 49ers offense and if Carolina does not beat themselves, they should be able to take this game down to the wire. The Panthers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games in San Francisco and 14-3 in the last 17 meetings. These trends just cannot be ignored especially when they are getting this many points.

4 Unit Play. Take #254 Tennessee Titans over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) Both of these teams are hard to predict, but we won with Tennessee last week in miraculous fashion and will ride them again on Sunday for a second straight week. The Titans played well behind QB Tannehill and they have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games against NFC teams. QB Winston was terrible last time out with 6 turnovers. He will play better on Sunday, but Tennessee has some mojo at the moment. Tampa Bay is 1-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played in the month of October. Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Tampa Bay.

4 Unit Play. Take #261 Philadelphia Eagles over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) The stats do not point toward Philadelphia in this game, but I believe they will play well in an effort to save their season. Buffalo did not play well against the worst team in the league last Sunday and now they face a much more talented team. The Eagles are 14-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games against the AFC. If the Eagles can stabilize the game early, they should be able to win it straight-up. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo has played an easy schedule thus far and Philadelphia is desperate for a victory in upstate New York.

4 Unit Play. Take #272 Indianapolis Colts over Denver Broncos (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 CBS) No bet against Denver is a bad bet. Denver played terrible at home last time out against a back-up quarterback. QB Joe Flacco is washed up and the Denver defense is not what is once was. Indianapolis has covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games. Denver has covered the spread in just 2 of their last 11 games. The Colts will jump on the Broncos early and expect Denver to then just throw in the towel if things to not go their way early. Denver is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss in their previous games. Indianapolis is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against AFC teams.

10 Unit Play. Take Tennessee Titans over Los Angeles Chargers (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 20 CBS) We went against both of these teams last week and easily won both games. That being said the Chargers have no offensive line and were destroyed by a free agent quarterback last week in Devlin Hodges. Having no home field advantage is starting to take its toll on this team. It does not matter who starts for Tennessee at quarterback in this game, the Titans defense should dominate and win this game. Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games overall. The favorite is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 9 games between the Chargers and Titans.

4 Unit Play. Take #452 New York Giants over Arizona Cardinals (1p.m., Sunday, October 20 FOX) This is a match-up of the top two quarterbacks taken in the 2019 NFL Draft. The Cardinals do not play well when traveling east, as they are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games in the eastern time zone. The Giants defense have been playing better of late and this will be the weakest offensive team they have faced in their last 3 games. QB Jones should come out better with extra rest for this home game against a weak defense. The Giants are 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Arizona is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games played during Week 7 of the regular season.

4 Unit Play. Take #460 Green Bay Packers over Oakland Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, October 20 CBS) The Packers did not start out fast last time out but still won the game (with some help from the officials). Expect them to play a much more complete game for 60 minutes in this game against the Raiders. Just do not trust QB Derek Carr to consistently win games. They nearly fell apart last game against Chicago when a botched handoff completely turned that game around. The Raiders are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games against NFC teams. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in this series and the Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Raiders.

4 Unit Play. Take #465 San Francisco 49ers over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, October 20 FOX) The Redskins beat a team worse than them last week in the Dolphins, but now must face the best team in the NFC. Washington has now home field advantage and Kyle Shanahan may have an ax to grind, as he was a coach under Washington for his father Mike Shanahan. Washington is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. This one could get ugly early and expect the 49ers to win this game going away.

10 Unit Play. Take #276 Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (8:15p.m., Monday, October 14 ESPN) This line is short, and we will ride the Packers at home playing a team that they hardly lose against. Detroit has won 4 straight games in this series, but Green Bay has still won 28 of the last 38 meetings. Detroit has played well this season, but I just believe Green Bay is better on both sides of the football. Detroit is 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. The favorite is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings between the Lions and Packers.

4 Unit Play. Take #273 Pittsburgh Steelers over Los Angeles Chargers (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 13 NBC) The Steelers continue to battle despite having quarterback injuries and I see them taking this game down to the wire as well. The Chargers just cannot be trusted as a favorite, as they played poorly last week at home losing to the winless Broncos. Pittsburgh will have revenge on their minds in this game, as they blew a big lead to Los Angeles last year. They AFC North is still up for grabs and Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games when they are an underdog. Los Angeles is just 11-28 ATS (1 push) in their last 40 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #272 Denver Broncos over Tennessee Titans (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 1 CBS) Tennessee has been a tough team to figure out this season, as they have won both games when they are an underdog and lost all three games when they are favored. Denver could be 3-2 this season but they are 1-4. I do not see them losing three straight home games to open the season. The fans have soured on QB Mariota and I believe he will be replaced as a starter at some point this season. If they Denver defense can ever play up to its standards, this will be a tough that can be a tough out for AFC West teams. Denver has covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games against Tennessee. The Titans are 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 road games against teams with a losing home record.

4 Unit Play. Take #256 Cleveland Browns over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 1 FOX) The line has really swung as the Browns failed to show up against San Francisco on Monday Night Football. Instead of being a favorite, they are now an underdog and I expect them to bounce back in a big way at home against the Seahawks. The home team has covered 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 pushes). Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss in their previous game.

10 Unit Play. Take #473 Green Bay Packers over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 6 FOX) Green Bay has dominated this series in recent years covering the spread in 6 of the last 8 games against Dallas. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. QB Aaron Rodgers put up big numbers last week against Philadelphia but had trouble inside the 5 yard line and that bite them late in that game. Expect them to correct that this week and be able to take this game down to the wire. Dallas played an easy schedule to open the season and did not look well last week against New Orleans. Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. The Packers win this game straight-up giving us another victory with an underdog.

4 Unit Play. #452 Take Pittsburgh Steelers over Baltimore Ravens (1p.m., Sunday, October 6 CBS) Nobody is great in the AFC North and thus we will grab the points with the home team coming off a win on Monday Night Football. Pittsburgh is 11-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 home games when they are an underdog. The Ravens defense was been exposed and I just do not believe QB Lamar Jackson can make enough plays through the air to beat them. The Underdog has covered the spread in 7 of the last 9 meetings (1 push). Pittsburgh is 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 games played during the month of October.

4 Unit Play. #454 Take Oakland Raiders over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 6 FOX) The Bears are without their starting quarterback and I feel QB Chase Daniel can perform well again. The Raiders are coming off an impressive win at Indianapolis and we will grab the points with them in this London game. If Oakland can take care of the football and not allow the Bear’s defense to score points, they should be able to take this one down to the wire. LB Khalil Mack might be overhyped for this game against his former team and I just do not believe there is this much talent discrepancy. Expect a field goal game and we will collect with whoever comes out on top.

4 Unit Play. Take #460 New York Giants over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, October 6 FOX) We will ride the Daniel Jones train again for a second straight week. We used the Giants last week against the Redskins and that game was never in doubt and I expect them to perform well this week. The entire city has gotten behind this quarterback and that is a stark contrast to how Minnesota fans feel about Kirk Cousins. The Vikings were lifeless last week in Chicago and I do not see things getting any better this week in East Rutherford. The home team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings.

4 Unit Play. Take #272 Chicago Bears over Minnesota Vikings (4:25pm., Sunday, September 29 CBS) Just do not trust QB Kirk Cousins in big games. The Bears swept the Vikings last years and Minnesota is 0-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games when playing outdoors against teams with a winning record. Chicago got healthy and confident last week against Washington and they will win this game by 7-10 points.

10 Unit Play. Take #269 Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 29 FOX) The Seahawks came out flat last time out against a desperate Saints team. Now they face a much less talented Cardinals team that has an unproven coach and quarterback. Arizona got torched last week against Carolina and a back-up quarterback and now must face a pro bowler in Russell Wilson. Seattle is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games in Arizona. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Seattle is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Kliff Kingsbury appears to be in over his head, as he could not win consistently in college and will struggle to survive as a head coach in the NFL.

4 Unit Play. Take #263 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, September 29 CBS) QB Tom Brady is 30-3 in his last 33 games against Buffalo. Not much else needs to be said, but I just do not believe the Bills are ready to challenge the Patriots in the AFC East. Buffalo is improved but New England is still better on both sides of the football.

4 Unit Play. Take #256 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, September 29 FOX) The Giants have life and Washington is dead man walking. The Redskins have a lame duck coach and not much talent on either side of the football. The football Giants found a spark last week with Daniel Jones at quarterback and expect them to ride this out for the next couple of weeks. Not having RB Barkley will hurt, but there is just too much momentum going on with the Giants to not take them this week. New York is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. Washington is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against NFC teams.

2 Unit Play. Take #102 Green Bay Packers (-200 Money Line) over Philadelphia Eagles (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 26 FOX) Everyone is expecting the Eagles to put forth a good effort in this game since they do not want to fall to 1-3 on the season. I just believe Green Bay is better on both sides of the football and they do not lose at home very often when they are healthy.

4 Unit Play. Take #488 Cleveland Browns over Los Angeles Rams (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 21 NBC) Many pundits are ready to jump on Cleveland whenever they fail, but they have talent and should not be an underdog in this game. The Rams will have to play 2 of their first 3 games in the eastern time zone and that travel will take its toll on them in this game. The Rams karma may catch up with them in this game, as they were the beneficiary of another blown call last week against the Saints. The Browns fans will be up for this prime time game and expect them to take care of business at home and move to 2-1 on the season. The Rams are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Week 3 games.

3 Unit Play. Take #480 Arizona Cardinals over Carolina Panthers (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 21 FOX) The Panthers are not very good, and they should not be favored by anyone on the road. QB Kyler Murray has held his own through two games this season and expect him to be able to move the football and put up points in this game as well. Carolina is 2-8 in their last 10 games overall and Cam Newton just does not look right. Arizona is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against NFC teams. Take the points in this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #470 Indianapolis Colts over Atlanta Falcons (1p.m., Sunday, September 21 CBS) This is the first home game for the Colts this season. Indianapolis is 1-1 and could have won both of their first two games in they did not have kicking issues. Atlanta has failed to cover the spread in 10 straight games against AFC teams. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The favorite has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between Atlanta and Indianapolis. QB Brissett threw 3 touchdowns last week and expect another solid performance from him today.

10 Unit Play. Take Detroit Lions over Philadelphia Eagles (1 p.m., Sunday, September 21 FOX) The Eagles are reeling now with a ton of injuries and did not have enough healthy bodies to practice on Wednesday. The Eagles have yet to look impressive this year, and now they face another solid quarterback that should be able to move the football on them. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Philadelphia. The Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take the points in this game as it will go down to the wire and be decided by a field goal.

3 Unit Play. Take Denver Broncos over Chicago Bears (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 15 FOX) We are getting some value in this spread after the line moved when Denver did not look good against Oakland. That being said the Broncos are always a tough team to beat at home in the month of September. The Broncos have some ex-Bear coaches on their staff and that should bode well for them in this game. The Underdog is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between Chicago and Denver. Chicago is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played during Week 2 of the regular season.

3 Unit Play. Take #270 Miami Dolphins over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, September 15 CBS) Hard to say anything good about the Dolphins after they way the played last week but they are still a professional team. Getting this many points at home is too good to pass up, as pride usually sets in the next week following an embarrassing performance in Week 1. New England always has trouble in Miami, losing 5 of the last 6 years (1-5 ATS). Look for a 13-16 point victory for the Patriots.

3 Unit Play. Take #279 Minnesota Vikings over Green Bay Packers (1p.m., Sunday, September 15 FOX) The Green Bay defense looked impressive last Thursday against Chicago but they will face a team with much better offensive weapons on Sunday. Just do not believe the Packers can beat the Bears and Vikings in successive weeks. Minnesota looks good against Atlanta last Sunday and have beaten Green Bay 3 times in the last 2 years (1 tie). Green Bay is 1-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Minnesota is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played in the month of September. Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games against Green Bay.

3 Unit Play. Take #102 Under in Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 12 NFLN) We used the Panthers under last week and it was the proper play. A late flurry got that game over the 50 point total but I just do not see that happening again this week. QB Jameis Winston looked terrible last week and I just do not believe he can put up points on a consistent basis. He needs to not turn over the football (three 2 pick-6’s last week) and we should be able to collect with the under. Tampa Bay has gone under the posted total in 6 of their last 7 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #481 Denver Broncos over Oakland Raiders (10:15p.m., Monday, September 9 ESPN) The Broncos always seem to get out of the gate well and Oakland is still dysfunctional. Denver needs to play better on the road and this is a very winnable game that can get them off on the right foot. Denver has not suffered an ATS defeat in Week 1 since 2014. The Raiders are 9-19 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 39 games. The Raiders are never a good better as a home favorite going 4-11 in their last 15 home games against divisional teams (LAC, KC, Den).

4 Unit Play. Take #478 New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 8 NBC) Pittsburgh is a trendy pick this year despite losing their top wide receiver and running back. But I just cannot go against New England at home when the spread is less than 7 points. New England is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Bill Belichick is a much better coach than Mike Tomlin and Pittsburgh has never defeated New England in Foxboro. New England is 27-12 ATS in their last 39 games against AFC teams. Pittsburgh is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 openers.

4 Unit Play. Take #461 San Francisco 49ers over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 8 FOX) Just feel that Jameis Winston is a lost cause at quarterback and even Bruce Arians cannot fix him. Jimmy Garoppolo is back healthy and despite not playing well in practice and preseason game he always seems to turn it on when the lights are on. San Francisco is 6-2 when Garoppolo is under center and score over 27 points per game. Tampa Bay is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 opening games.

4 Unit Play. Take #468 Carolina Panthers over Los Angeles Rams (1p.m., Sunday, September 8 FOX) Carolina was unstoppable at home when Cam Newton is healthy, and they quietly got better on both sides of the football. Los Angeles will suffer a super bowl hangover as the loser in that game is just 3-16 ATS in Week 1 during this century. We will grab the points with the home underdog and expect the Panthers to win this game straight-up. Los Angeles is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 Week 1 games.

3 Unit Play. Take #451 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 5 NBC) Green Bay is healthy and has a much better quarterback than Chicago does. QB Rodgers is 16-5 ATS against the Bears in his career and has a 45-10 touchdown to interception ratio in those games. Green Bay has won 13 of the last 17 match-ups with Chicago. Expect this game to go down to the wire and we will grab the points in this game.

3 Unit Play. Take #101 New England Patriots over Los Angeles Rams (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 3 CBS Super Bowl 53) Just cannot put my money going against QB Tom Brady and Coach Bill Belickick. We saw two weeks ago how New England was able to slow down the high-powered Chiefs for the entire first half and I expect them to have similar success against the Rams. The Patriots have an outstanding offensive line and Tom Brady has not been hit in two playoff games. The Rams are fortunate to be here, and I just do not believe it is there time yet. New England has beaten Los Angeles five straight times (4-1 ATS) dating back to the time they met in the Super Bowl. Expect this to be a double-digit win for the Patriots although they may give up a late score to put it in single digits. The Rams opened as the favorite in this game, but all the early money swing the line to New England. The Rams are 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games after accumulating for than 350 yards in their previous game. Very few people outside of New England want the Patriots to win this game but they will earn their sixth Super Bowl Championship and we will collect in the process as well.

4 Unit Play. Take #313 New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 20 CBS) The Chiefs have all of the pressure on them in this game and I have not sure they will be able to rise to the occasion and win this game. Coach Andy Reid does not have much success in this championship weekend winning just 1 time in 5 tries. QB Brady is used to playing in the elements unlike QB Luck last week and the cold weather will not affect him. Both teams will give up yards in this game but I do not believe the Chiefs defense will be able to rise to the level they played last week again this week. Despite the win last week, Kansas City is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home playoff games. New England already won at Chicago this year and they are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 road games.

4 Unit Play. Take #312 New Orleans Saints over Los Angeles Rams (3:05p.m., Sunday, January 20 FOX) The Saints were rusty to start last week against Philadelphia, but they dominated the second half and I do not expect them to look back and dominate this game for 60 minutes. Despite being a slight underdog, the Saints won the first meeting this season by double digits and expect a similar result in this game as well. The Rams are just 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The home team has covered 7 straight games in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. I still believe the Saints are due for a breakout game offensively and there is no better time for that to occur than Sunday in the Superdome in front of their fans.

10 Unit Play. Take #306 New England Patriots over Los Angeles Chargers (1:05p.m., Sunday, January 13 CBS) The Chargers have been on a roll but playing their third straight road games against a rested team will doom them in. The Patriots are a much better team at home and they are the only team that did not lose a home game this season. Los Angeles still seems to be banged up at the skill positions and I am not sure that their wide receivers can stretch the field against New England. QB Rivers is 1-5 in his career against New England and is 0-2 in the playoffs. New England is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against New England. Everyone is doubting the Patriots at this moment, but they still are the Patriots with the best coach/quarterback combo of all time. New England dominates for 60 minutes and wins this game by double digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #301 Indianapolis Colts over Kansas City Chiefs (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 12 NBC) The Colts are the offense to tear apart this Chiefs defense and I see them winning this game straight-up on Saturday afternoon. Kansas City has lost 6 straight home playoff games and if they hit adversity early in this game expect their crowd and players to panic. Indianapolis put forth a dominating performance last week on defense and shutdown Houston for much of that game. Indianapolis is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Kansas City. The Chiefs are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. The Colts are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record.

4 Unit Play. Take #104 Dallas Cowboys over Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 5 FOX) The Seahawks closed out the regular season with back-to-back home games, but they are just not the same team on the road. Seattle beat Dallas earlier this season, but this game will be in the State of Texas. Dallas has they pass rushers to sack QB Wilson, something that happened 51 times this season. Dallas has won 7 of their last 8 games. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games. The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

4 Unit Play. Take #102 Houston Texans over Indianapolis Colts (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 5 ABC) Everyone is one the Colts bandwagon, but I just do not believe that can beat the Texans twice in one season in Houston. The Texans are 11-2 in their last 13 games and they have the pass rushers to get to QB Luck early and often. Beating Blaine Gabbert is not the same as beating DeShaun Watson on the road and Houston will advance to play New England. Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road playoff games. Houston is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #321 Indianapolis Colts over Tennessee Titans (8:20p.m., December 30 NBC) This is a winner take all game on Sunday Night Football. Not much needs to be said about this game except for this one stat: QB Andrew Luck is 10-0 lifetime against the Titans. Tennessee has QB issues but regardless we are taking Indianapolis.

4 Unit Play. Take #331 San Francisco 49ers over Los Angeles Rams (4:25p.m., December 30 FOX) The 49ers appear to be on a carbon copy of their performance last season. They started off terrible only to play much better down the stretch. Most people are off of the Rams bandwagon and I do not see this game being a blowout. LA is 3-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in Week 17 over the last 5 years. The 49ers are pesky and that will be the case again on Sunday.

4 Unit Play. Take #320 Buffalo Bills over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 30 CBS) Miami is not the same team on the road especially playing in the cold. Miami may have major changes come Monday and I just do not see their motivation for winning this game. The Dolphins have been outgained 9 consecutive games. Buffalo has a good defense and if they can take care of the football, they should win the game by at least a touchdown. Miami is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Week 17 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #130 Seattle Seahawks over Kansas City Chiefs (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 23 NBC) Seattle let one get away last week in Santa Clara and still need to win 1 of their final 2 games to ensure a wild card berth. Kansas City has a terrible defense QB Mahomes will struggle to pick apart this defense especially in a night game on the road. Seattle is 23-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 34 games played during December. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #114 Philadelphia Eagles over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, December 23 CBS) The Eagles rekindled the magic last week with Nick Foles that they had in 2017 and we will use them again in a must win situation playing at home. Houston has a lot to play for as well, as they can claim the No. 2 seed in the AFC if they win out. But the Texans just cannot be trusted, and they never seem to handle prosperity well under Coach Bill O’Brien. Houston has running back issues and I just cannot see them closing out the season winning 12 of their last 13 games. The line has already moved a lot since the Sunday Night Football game and I just feel that Philadelphia is going to make the playoffs as a wild card team. Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a winning road record. Houston is 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games played in December.

4 Unit Play. Take #104 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, December 23 CBS) This is a get-well game for the Patriots. If they win their final two games against two terrible teams, they will likely earn the No. 2 seed and a first round bye. New England already beat Buffalo by 19 points this season in upstate New York and they are on a 4-0 ATS run in this matchup. Buffalo will not be able to score enough points to keep this deficit under double-digits. New England is 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games. Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Just too much on the line for the Patriots to take this game lightly.

4 Unit Play. Take #123 Baltimore Ravens over Los Angeles Chargers (8:20p.m., Saturday, December 22 FOX) The Chargers may be the best team in the NFL at the moment, but in order to avoid the No. 5 seed they must win their final two games. Injuries are still a major factor for them on offense and they are facing the best defense in the AFC tonight. Baltimore just has a spark since Lamar Jackson took over as the starting quarterback and I see them taking this game down to the wire. The Chargers do not have a home field edge and they are coming off an emotional win last week against Kansas City. Expect a slight letdown in this game. LA has failed to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 home games (lost to Denver straight-up). The underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 match-ups.

10 Unit Play. Take #327 New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) Both teams need to turn the page quickly after bad losses last Sunday. The Patriots seldom lose two games in a row and they are playing a team in disarray at the moment. Pittsburgh has not beaten New England since 2011 and the Patriots are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss in their previous game. Over this winning streak, the Patriots average margin of victory is 11 points against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of December. New England is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played in December.

4 Unit Play. Take #326 San Francisco 49ers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) The 49ers are coming off an impressive win against the Broncos and we will use them again this week against Seattle. Their game last month was closer than what the score would indicate, and Seattle was not that impressive last week on offense against Minnesota especially in the passing game. San Francisco took the foot of the gas last week and thus the final score was not reflected in how they dominated (led 20-0 at half).  Seattle does not need to win this game to make the playoffs and I just do not see a blowout by the visitor. The 49ers performed well down the stretch last season after a terrible start and it would not surprise me if history repeats itself in 2018 as well.

4 Unit Play. Take #308 Minnesota Vikings over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) A see a lot of comparisons to how Green Bay performed last week. Miami is coming off an unthinkable win last week against New England, but they now must travel north to take on a team desperate for a win. Minnesota played well on defense last week against Seattle and they just fired their offensive coordinator and expect to see a spark on the offensive side of the football this week. Miami is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games when they are an underdog. Remember last year when Minnesota had a remarkable win against New Orleans and then laid an egg the next week against Philadelphia? Expect that to happen to Miami this week, as they will lose by double digits. Minnesota is 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games following a loss in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. Take #317 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 FOX) The Packers played much better last Sunday after firing their head coach. Do not see them getting blown out in this game and thus expect them to take it down to the wire decided by only a field goal. QB Rodgers is 17-4 against Chicago and had a remarkable comeback on one leg to beat them in the first game of the season. The Bears have all but clinched the NFC North (need 1 win or 1 Minnesota lost) and thus they have a margin of error in this game. Green Bay is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Chicago. The Bears are 14-40 ATS (1 push) in their last 55 games after accumulating over 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

2 Unit Play. Take #312 Baltimore Ravens over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 FOX) Both of these plays feature a shady home favorite against a terrible team. This is the time of year teams tend to mail it in and I expect Tampa Bay to fire their coach and Arizona just does not have enough weapons to hurt Atlanta. Expect double digit wins by each of these home teams. 

3 Unit Play. Take #310 Cincinnati Bengals over Oakland Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) Somebody must win this game between two terrible teams. It has been 17 games since the Raiders have won two games on the road. Both teams have bad defenses but look for the Bengals to score some points and I just do not believe the Raiders can keep pace with them. Oakland is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Cincinnati. The Bengals are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games played in December.

4 Unit Play. Take #306 Denver Broncos over Cleveland Browns (5:20p.m., Saturday, December 15 NFLN) The Broncos laid an egg last week against San Francisco but expect them to bounce back in a big way at home against Cleveland. The Browns dominated the NFC South covering every game against those 4 teams, but they are playing a team desperate for a win on Sunday. Denver now has a week to adjust to key injuries on both sides of the football and expect them to be much better on Saturday. Cleveland is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a losing record. Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Cleveland.

10 Unit Play. Take #129 Philadelphia Eagles over Dallas Cowboys (1:25p.m., Sunday, December 9 FOX) Everyone has just given the Cowboys the NFC East and disregarded the defending Super Bowl Champions. We will gladly take the points in this game and look for Philadelphia to come out strong in this must win game for them. The Eagles are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road divisional games when they are an underdog. The Cowboys are 9-18 ATS in their last 27 home divisional games when they are a favorite. The road team has covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 match-ups. 

7 Unit Play. Take #124 San Francisco 49ers +4 over Denver Broncos (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK The Broncos have made a rally of late winning three straight games to take some pressure off of Head Coach Vance Joseph. But I just do not trust them to win four straight games with three of those four games coming on the road. Losing Chris Harris Jr and Emmanuel Sanders will be too much for this team to overcome within a week. The Broncos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played in December. Denver does not have an explosive offense that can attack this San Francisco defense and if Nick Mullens can take care of the football, they should win this game straight-up.

4 Unit Play. Take #121 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 FOX) The Giants get to face a back-up quarterback for the second straight week but this time it will be Mark Sanchez who was just signed a couple of weeks ago after Alex Smith went down. New York dominated Chicago for most of the game last Sunday before the Bears made a late rally to send it into overtime. If the Giants can stop the run, they should win this game by double digits. Washington is 6-6 and that is truly amazing consider their 52-man roster is terrible. I could see them not winning another game all season. New York is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Washington is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 divisional games. The will be a big public play but I still see the Giants winning this game easily.

4 Unit Play. Take #117 New England Patriots over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) The Patriots are a tough team to beat come November – December. Miami has played well at home this year, but New England cannot afford to take them lightly if they hope to secure a first round bye this season. The Patriots have been playing much better on defense and if their offense can repeat their past performances from years past this will be the team to beat in the AFC come January. New England has covered the spread in 5 straight divisional games. Miami is 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games in December.