Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-06-20 | BYU v. Boise State +4 | 51-17 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOISE. Needless to say, the Cougars have been playing great. That said, I don't believe that they've faced a defense this good yet. Asking them to lay points at this venue, where they're 0-5, is asking a lot. While the Cougars won last year, that was at BYU and they won by just three points. The Broncos won the previous three. Three of the last four have been decided by five or fewer points. As mentioned, BYU has never won in this stadium. While they haven't have a chance to face one for awhile, the Broncos are 4-0 their last four against top 10 teams. No. 7 Oklahoma in the 2007 Fiesta Bowl (43-42, OT), No. 4 TCU in the 2010 Fiesta Bowl (17-10), No. 10 Virginia Tech in 2010 (33-30) and No. 10 Arizona in the 2014 Fiesta Bowl (38-30). BYU's last visit here was decided in the final seconds, as the Broncos kept the driving Cougars out of the end zone. In what figures to be another close one, I'm grabbing the points. |
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11-06-20 | Miami-FL v. NC State +11 | 44-41 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NC STATE. Both teams had last week off. That figures to help the Wolfpack more, as they were dealing with some injuries and the extra time allowed them to get healthier. Also, NC State has been better off a bye than the Hurricanes have. In fact, if including the extra time before a bowl, the Canes are 0-7 since Sept. 2017 when coming off a bye. Miami receiver Mike Harley had this to say: ''Yes, the records are there: we always lose after a bye week.'' While the Canes do have the better athletes, I don't feel that the gap between the teams is as wide as the double-digit spread suggests. Not for a game here at Raleigh. The Pack are already 2-0 here, most recently recording a double-digit win over Duke. They've won 16 of their last 20 here and are going to be fully fired up to host a big name team. Miami coach Manny Diaz had this to say about NC State: "They've always been challenging. Their entire program. They're a very strong program, they're a very tough program. You can just see when they hit people. On contact, people go backwards.'' Grab the points. |
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11-04-20 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State -6 | 23-27 | Loss | -109 | 57 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on KENT STATE. The Golden Flashes got off to a slow start last season, in what looked to be a rebuilding year. With a month to go, they were 3-6 and about to fall to 3-7. They avoided that seventh loss though, thanks to a big fourth quarter rally against Buffalo. I had a big play on the underdog Flashes in that one; they scored 24 in the final eight minutes to win 30-27! Momentum in their corner, that was followed by wins over Ball State and these same Eastern Michigan Eagles, which led to a 6-6 record and a date in the Frisco Bowl. Once there, they beat Utah State by double-digits. Naturally, there's pleny of excitement and optimism surrounding this year's team. Sean Lewis, now in his third year, has his best team yet. Note that the Flashes are 4-2 ATS (5-1 SU) as favorites under Lewis. QB Dustin Crum, last year's leader, is back and he's got his leading receiver. The Eagles arguably lost much more. Crum was 17 of 23 in last year's game, while also adding more than 50 yards with his feet. While the road team has had some recent success in the series, expect the home team to come away with the win and cover in this one. |
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11-02-20 | Bucs v. Giants +11 | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 176 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on NYG. I like how this one sets up for the Giants. While they came up short, the Giants played well (and covered) against the Eagles. They easily could have won that game. Now, they play with extra rest - another Nationally televised game with a chance to show the world that they're not as bad as their record suggests. Also, remember, with the NFC East having such a down year, the Giants are still very much alive in the race for the division. That said, they really need this one. The Bucs, on the other hand, are off a big game at Vegas. Before that, Brady had the 1-on-1 showdown vs. Rodgers and the Packers. Next up, he's got a date with Brees and the Saints. That said, it may be natural for the Bucs to have a slight letdown and/or already be looking past the lowly Giants. The Giants have now seen three straight games decided by three or fewer points and each of their past four games has been decided by single digits. While I respect the Bucs, I believe they're getting a bit over-valued and I'm grabbing the points with what I expect to be a highly motivated home underdog. |
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11-01-20 | Saints v. Bears +4.5 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. Everyone is suddenly down on Chicago. Yes, the Bears are dealing with a few injuries. But which team isn't? I actually successfully played against the Bears in their last game. However, that was at LA, against a talented and angry Rams team. While the Saints are also tough, the Bears are now back home. I now feel that they're the team offering value. I backed them in their last game here and they rewarded me with a 1-point win over Brady and the Bucs. Speaking of close games, New Orleans has been winning. But not by much. Only one of the Saints' past five games resulted in a win by more than three points and that came by just six. Expect another close one and grab the points. |
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11-01-20 | 49ers v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 104 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on SEATTLE. Despite still dealing with major injuries, the 49'ers have managed to win big, each of the past two weeks. However, this week, they're at the wrong place, at the wrong time. After blowing last week's game at Arizona, Wilson and the Seahawks are going to be in an angry mood. Note that Seattle is 5-1 SU And 3-1-2 ATS the past couple of seasons, when off a division loss. The 49ers, 4-9-1 ATS their past 14 divisional games, played on the East Coast last week and are now playing the second of b2b road games. With an O/U line in the 50s, note that SF is 3-6 ATS its last nine, when the O/U line was 49.5 or greater. During that span, Seattle was 7-2 ATS when playing a game with an O/U line of 49.5 or greater. While both teams are very well-coached, Wilson has been playing at a different level this season. Off a loss, he'll bounce back and make the difference. |
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10-31-20 | Texas +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 126 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on TEXAS. The Cowboys are favored because they are at home and because have the higher ranking. However, I don't believe that they're the better team. Indeed, the Cowboys haven't faced a team with the talent that Texas has. If the Longhorns want any hope of keeping open a chance at the Big 12 title, they absolutely need to win this game. The Longhorns, though loaded with talent, had to learn new systems this year. They've had a chance to do so now though and I really liked the way that they put the early struggles behind them and took care of business against Baylor. Coach Herman had this to say after the Baylor win: "... I'm really proud of our guys for accomplishing a lot of the things that we had set out to accomplish. Heading into the bye week and to go out there and execute them in a game was important for us and our growth and in our development ... and really happy and proud that we got a opportunity to win at home and thank our fans, both here in the stadium and all across the world. And, you know, stayed relatively healthy....we made a lot of strides in that bye week leading up to Baylor. And, you know, I expect to to continue on our trajectory north of improvement and development and hopefully give Oklahoma State our best shot. And if we give them our best shot and we don't beat ourselves much like we did not beat ourselves on Saturday against Baylor, then we'll have a chance to get a big time win..." While the Cowboys eked out a 3-point win last week, they're just 2-6-1 ATS the past nine times that they were favorites in the -3.5 to -9.5 point range. Speaking of close games, Texas won by six when these teams met last season after the Cowboys and the previous two meetings had both been decided by a field goal. Grab the points. |
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10-31-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Georgia State +4 | 51-0 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on GEORGIA STATE. While the Chanticleers have gotten off to a great start, I expect them to have their hands full on Saturday afternoon. The Panthers are an opponent which can absolutely trade points with them. While Coastal Carolina averages 38 ppg, Georgia State averages 42. With the exception of a 49-29 blowout win over ECU, all Georgia State's games have been close. I like the way that the Panthers found a way to win (39-37) against Troy last week. The Panthers are going to be absolutely fired up. This is a chance to defeat a ranked opponent. The Panthers have seen the video of Coastal Carolina, which has been going viral, celebrating after last week's win - and they do NOT intend to be another victim. Georgia State brought back a lot of starters from the team which won 31-21, at Coastal Carolina, last season. The previous season, the game here was decided by just three. Expect AT LEAST a cover from the upset-minded home underdog. |
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10-29-20 | Falcons +3 v. Panthers | Top | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 84 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on ATLANTA. The Panthers won when these teams played earlier. In what figures to be a close game, I like getting points with revenge-minded Atlanta in Thursday's rematch. While the Falcons may not be winning, they're sure not quitting. They lost their last game by a single point, after beating Minnesota by a 40-23 score the previous week. Five of their six losses came by a TD or less, three of those came by just six combined points. Likewise, Carolina has also been playing close games. The Panthers lost by three last week. That marked their third straight game decided by seven or fewer points. Five of their seven games overall have been decided by a TD or less. While all the talk will be about whether or not McCaffrey will come back, Carolina's problems are on the other side of the ball. The Panthers' defense was young and thin to begin with and has now suffered several key injuries. I absolutely expect the Atlanta offense to take advantage. The Falcons won 29-3 here last season and 24-10 the season before that. I'll take the points but I expect another outright win for the visitors. |
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10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams -5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 170 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. I successfully played against the Rams last week. However, that wasn't due to lack of respect for the Rams. I just really expected to see a desperate SF team and we did. The Rams are at home now and they didn't have to travel far to get here. Off a loss, they're going to be angry. The Bears, on the other hand, are playing their second straight on the road. Off b2b wins, they may be slightly complacent. Regardless, this is not an easy place to play. The Rams have won both their games here this season and are 15-4 (SU) their last 19 here. Eight of their last nine victories here have come by a minimum of seven points. Having just been embarrassed on National TV, this is an immediate opportunity for them to make amends and show the world that they're better than that. I believe that they are. The Rams are 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS their last five, as home favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. Expect them to make a statement, in improving on those numbers on Monday night. |
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10-25-20 | 49ers v. Patriots -2 | Top | 33-6 | Loss | -110 | 126 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW ENGLAND. I backed the 49'ers in their win last week, vs. LA. They played an inspired game and knocked off a strong Rams team. Still, lets not forget that their previous game resulted in a 43-17 loss against Miami. While the 49'ers have some key pieces back, this is still a team which is decimated by injuries. Traveling across the country to take on a hostile Patriots team, those injuries will catch up with them. The Pats weren't able to practice properly due to Covid-related issues and that was clearly one of the factors that led to their loss against Denver. Their previous game had resulted in a loss to KC. So, off b2b losses, don't expect them to show their banged-up guests any sympathy. Note that New England is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS the past couple of seasons, off b2b losses. Even with this season's setbacks, the Pats are also still 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS their last 10 October games. This is typically been their time of year and they aren't about to lose three in a row. Not with their former QB (Brady) coming off such a huge game and not with another former QB (Jimmy G) coming to town. Indeed, Belichick is going to be extremely motivated to win this one and he'll make sure that his team feels the same way. While I respect the 49ers, they're at the wrong place, at the wrong time. |
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10-24-20 | Maryland v. Northwestern -10.5 | Top | 3-43 | Win | 100 | 81 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on NORTHWESTERN. Maryland has a recent history of winning its season opener. That changes in a big way on Saturday. Indeed, there's a significant difference in experience between these teams. Northwestern brought most of its team back. Maryland did not. As if things weren't bad enough for the Terps, QB Josh Jackson opted out, along with a handful of others. Jackson was one of six players who chose not to play due to pandemic-related issues. Not good for a team which was already lacking depth and experience. The Wildcats are stingy defensively and their veteran defensive unit is going to be tough to score on. Last year, this unit ranked 25th in the country in total defense. On the other side of the ball, new coordinator Mike Bajakian will have the offense playing with more pace and we should see an improvement on that side of the ball. These teams last met in 2017. The Wildcats won by 16. Expect another double-digit victory for the more experienced Wilcats Saturday. |
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10-24-20 | Tulane v. Central Florida -19.5 | 34-51 | Loss | -103 | 56 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on UCF. I won with the Green Wave in their last game, a cover vs. SMU. However, this week, they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Knights come off b2b losses, something they aren't used to. They're going to be in an angry mood and they'll be looking to keep the pedal to the metal the entire way. That's going to result in a long day for Tulane's porous defense. Indeed, UCF throws for an average of 439 yards per game, the most passing yards in the entire country. Tulane, meanwhile, allows 307.8 passing yards per game, the 123rd (out of 131) worst mark in the country. UCF won 37-6 the last time that Tulane visited here. While this one figures to have more points, it will result in another one-sided affair. |
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10-23-20 | Tulsa v. South Florida +11 | 42-13 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on USF. Tulsa hasn't played in a few weeks. The extra long layoff may bring some rust. The Bulls haven't been winning but they've continued to fight. They gave Temple everything that the Owls could handle last week. While the Bulls ultimately suffered a 39-37 defeat, they showed a lot. South Florida coach Jeff Scott agreed, noting the following: "I was so proud of our guys and how they played at Temple. We came in 1-3, we're on the road and a 13-point underdog and we had put everything into it all week long, and then before you even look up you're behind 10-0 with eight minutes to go in the first quarter. If you pause that and you let that play at a lot of different places, it's a 45-3 game at the end. But our guys continued to play all game long and even after our three turnovers, which really put us in a bad, bad spot, the same offense that put the ball on the ground three times drove it all the way down the field to give us a chance to tie at the end of the game ..." Scott continued with: "The easy thing to do is say 'Here we go again' and all that, but I haven't really seen that from our guys. They're a good group that made some huge strides Saturday..." While Tulsa seems to have UCF's number, the Golden Hurricane are still just 8-18 overall the past few seasons. The last meeting between these teams was decided by a single point. In fact, all three meetings since 2014 were decided by eight or fewer points, USF winning all three. Grab the generous points. |
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10-22-20 | Arkansas State v. Appalachian State -10 | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 79 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on APPALACHIAN STATE. I won with the Red Wolves last week. However, Appalachian State is in a much different class than Georgia State. The Mountaineers were shut down due to contact tracing for awhile but they're back and good to go. Playing their first conference game, doing so on National TV and in front of some (2100 tickets allowed) fans, they're going to be absolutely fired up to return to the field. Indeed, they'll be looking to make a statement that just because they haven't been playing, they're not to be forgotten about. While they did manage the win last week, the Red Wolves defense was dismal. The Mountaineers will absolutely put up a big number. While the Red Wolves may be able to trade points for awhile, ultimately they won't be able to keep up. Note that the Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS (6-0 SU) when off a bye. Also, note that App. State won last year's game 35-9 and that was at Arkansas State. Expect the superior team to pull away for a double-digit win. |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys +1 | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. Prescott was playing at a very high level. His injury does hurt the Cowboys. That said, the Cowboy offense will still be good with Dalton running the show. The veteran is very capable and has much to work with. Remember, if Prescott was playing, the Cowboys would have been laying points. So, the injury has been worked into the line. Yes, the Murray/Hopkins combo will present some problems. However, I'm of the opinion that the Dallas defense is a bit better than most would have you believe. I like the way that the Cowboys took care of business against the Giants last game and I expect them to dig deep and find a way to earn another "W" tonight. |
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10-19-20 | Chiefs v. Bills +5.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO for the first half. Both these teams started the season with perfect 4-0 records. Both stumbled in Week 5. Most have grown so accustomed to seeing the Chiefs win that they think that they can't possibly lose twice in a row. They can, particularly against a dangerous and highly motivated Buffalo team. The perception that the Chiefs can't possibly lose two in a row has helped create plenty of value, particularly in my opinion, for the first half. This is a huge game for the Bills. They're going to be extremely fired up and I expect them to come out flying. Grab the points for the first half and don't be surprised when Buffalo takes a lead into the locker room. |
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10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs +2.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 148 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA. I successfully played against the Bucs in their last game, a loss at Chicago. However, I like how this one sets up much better. Last game, the Bucs were playing on the road, on a short week. They were also laying more than a field goal. This game sets up much differently. This time, the Bucs are getting points. This time, they're at home. This time, they're playing with extra rest. I also like that Brady was embarrassed in losing. He's going to be determined to bounce back with a big effort and I expect him to do exactly that. (Obviously, both QBs want to beat the other. They're 1-1 in h2h matchups, each winning on his homefield.) Both teams want it, too. Still, this game arguably means more to Brady, Arians and the Bucs. Off their only previous loss, the Bucs responded with a double-digit win. I expect them to bounce back once again, handing the Pack their first loss of the season. |
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10-17-20 | Marshall v. Louisiana Tech +14 | 35-17 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA TECH. The Herd have gotten off to a great start. While they're clearly playing well, this is a very big number and I don't believe that they're good enough to be laying this many points here. Note that the Herd, who are playing their second straight road game, are just 7-13 ATS the last 20 times that they were favored. Entering the season, some might of thought this would be a rebuilding year for the Bulldogs. However, this is a well-coached team which is always competitive. Coming into this season, LA Tech has recorded six consecutive winning records and has earned a bowl trip each year in that span. This season, the Bulldogs are already 3-1 including a win at Southern Miss. The lone loss came at BYU. Nobody is talking about rebuilding any more. I say this one proves close. Grab the points. |
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10-17-20 | Virginia -2.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 23-40 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on VIRGINIA. There are some early similarities between the Demon Deacons and the Cavs. Both have 1-2 SU records. Both are 2-1 ATS. These teams already have a couple of common opponents. Both have played Clemson. Both have played NC State. Each team went 0-2 in those games. Virginia's win was arugably more impressive though. The Cavs hammered Duke. Wake Forest's victory, though lopsided, was against lowly Campbell. (The Deacons were -34.5 point favorites.) So, the Deacons have yet to defeat a "real" team. While the Cavs may be without QB Brennan Armstrong, backup Lindell Stone completed 30 passes and threw three TDs last week. Coach Bronco Mendenhall noted: "Lindell did not have many practice reps at all with our offense. He was really working with our defense and helping us in that regard, and just that he came in and was effective and moved the football team, I was encouraged by that." Regardless of who is behind center, he'll be working behind an experienced offensive line and I expect the Cavs to get off to a faster start, something Mendenhall has been emphasizing. Mendehall also has an experienced and capable defense. Look for his team to emerge victorious, covering the small number along the way. |
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10-16-20 | SMU v. Tulane +7 | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TULANE. I like how this one sets up for the Green Wave. Note that Tulane is 8-4 ATS its last 12 home lined games. Also, off its loss against Houston, note that the Green Wave are 6-3 ATS their last nine, when off a conference loss. SMU is just 2-5 ATS the past seven times it was a road favorite. Also, off their 30-27 win against Memphis, note that the Mustangs are just 2-8 ATS their last 10, when off a conference victory. Speaking of 3-point games, three of the last four meetings between these teams have been decided by four point or less. Also, Tulane has already seen two of its games, including its lone home game, decided by just a field goal. Expect another close one and grab the points. |
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10-14-20 | Coastal Carolina v. UL-Lafayette -6.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -124 | 56 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on UL-LAFAYETTE. This game got postponed and these teams had agreed to play in Conway, SC, if the game couldn't be played here at Cajun Field, due to damage caused by Hurricane Delta. They're finally good to go here though, which I expect to benefit the now #21 ranked Ragin' Cajuns. They'll 5000+ fans and this will be the first game at this stadium in which they'll be selling alchohol. While both teams are 3-0, the Cajuns' record included a 31-14 win at Iowa State, a far more impressive feat than anything accomplished by the Chanticleers. Last year's game wasn't even close. The Cajuns won 48-7. Levi Lewis, who became the first Cajun to throw for more than 3000 yards last season, threw three TD passes and ran one in for another. Overall, he'd finish the seaon with 26 TD's against just four INTs, completing more than 64% of his passes. He's off to another great start this season, too. While Lewis isn't a big QB, expect him to have another big game, en route to a win and cover. |
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10-13-20 | Bills v. Titans +3.5 | 16-42 | Win | 100 | 30 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TENNESSEE. The Titans are getting points here, in part due to the fact that they're down some players and practice time, having been dealing with being shutdown from the virus. Obviously, that's not ideal. That said, I believe that the Titans to be able to overcome it and I expect them to be good to go. Buffalo has gotten off to a great start but I believe that this will prove to be a tough spot. The Bills started the season with b2b divisional games. Next, they played a game against the Rams, when both teams were undefeated at the time. Last time out, they played in the new stadium, at Vegas. Next up, they host the world champion Chiefs, on Monday night. If that's not a reason to "look ahead," there isn't one. Having played all those "big" games and with the champs on deck, even though the Titans are 3-0 themselves, I believe it's going to be a little hard for the Bills to "get up" for a Tuesday game, at Tennessee. Note that the Bills are dealing with some key injuries themselves and that they're giving up 25 ppg. The Titans are going to be extremely fired up to get back on the field, as this is absolutely a "big game" for them. Note that they're 8-4 ATS their last 12, as underdogs in the 3.5 to 9.5 range. Tennessee safety Byard had this to say: "At the end of the day, we’re not going to make any excuses man. We're going to come in here and focus on what we need to focus on, and that's winning the ballgame." I expect that to be the case and I'm grabbing the points. |
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10-12-20 | Chargers v. Saints -7 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW ORLEANS. The Saints have a lot going for them, in my opinion. In addition to being very tough to beat at home, they're arguably better on both sides of the ball. Sean Payton gives them an edge in the coaching department. They're still very much alive in the playoff race. The Chargers are not. Of course, there's also a little score to settle. This will likely be the last time that Brees gets to face the Chargers. It may seem like he's been a Saint forever but it was the Chargers who drafted him and then essentially let him go. Brees recently noted: "When I was drafted by the Chargers back in ’01, it was my hope, my plan, to be the franchise quarterback there for my whole career." Note that Brees and the Saints are a perfect 3-0 against the Chargers. While he won't have Thomas to throw to, I say that Brees continues to haunt his old team one final time, the Saints picking up the cover along the way. |
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10-11-20 | Raiders +13 v. Chiefs | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 74 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LAS VEGAS. Obviously, the Chiefs are really good. They've had their way with the Raiders and the rest of the AFC West, too. That said, I like how this one sets up for the Raiders. The Raiders know that the Chiefs are 4-0. The other teams in the division are both 1-3. Sitting at 2-2 themselves, the Raiders know that they need a win here, or the Chiefs are going to leave them in their dust. While the Chargers and Broncos have only scored 82 and 83 points, respectively, the Raiders have scored 111. Thats not far at all behind Kansas City's 117. Indeed, the Raiders are one of the few teams in the league which may be able to trade points with the champs. They've scored at least 20 in every game, averaging 27.8. The Chiefs are off b2b Monday Night games and they've got a Thursday game on deck. Grab the generous points and don't be surprised when they have their hands full against what is going to be a very determined Raider team. |
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10-11-20 | Eagles +7.5 v. Steelers | Top | 29-38 | Loss | -118 | 123 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Eagles earned a hard-fought win at SF, their first victory of the season. While the Steelers represent a different type of challenge, monkey off their back, I expect the Eagles to carry the positive momentum forward. Just like that, the Eagles are in first place in the NFC East. Really, they're a better team than their record indicates. Due to that record, the Eagles find themselves as a similar sized underdog as last week, a role they thrived in. Its also a lot of points to ask the Steelers to win by. Consider that Philadelphia's last two games have been decided by a combined five points and that Pittsburgh's last two games were both decided by seven points or less. The Steelers have been nothing special (16-22 ATS) over the years, when coming off a bye. While they haven't met since 2016, the Eagles have won two of the last three meetings between these instate rivals and the lone loss (16-14 in 2012) was by just two points. Grab the points and expect another close one. |
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10-10-20 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -14.5 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 123 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on CLEMSON. The Tigers have won by "only" 24, 49 and 18 points. Thats led to a poor start at the betting window and some to question how good this year's team is. I expect a visit from Miami to "get them going." The Canes are their toughest test yet, which is why the Tigers aren't favored by quite as much as they were in previous games. Note that they're 6-2 ATS the past couple of seasons, as favorites in the -10.5 to -21 point range. During that span, they've gone 6-1 ATS in October, 14-4 ATS against winning teams and 15-5 ATS in conference play overall. The Canes are off a bye but that hasn't too helpful in recent seasons. They're 0-5 SU/ATS the past five times that they were in that situation. During that span, Miami was 4-9 ATS against teams with a winning record. While the Canes have indeed looked good, Clemson is the first winning team which Miami has faced this season. While Miami does have some great athletes, Clemson is still better on both sides of the ball. Expect the Tigers to silence their critics while providing Miami with a rude reality check. |
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10-09-20 | Louisville -4 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 27-46 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on LOUISVILLE. Both teams will be anxious to get back on track here. The Cardinals are more talented on both sides of the ball; I expect them to be the team which does so. In addition to giving up fewer points per game, the Cardinals average 29.7 ppg on offense, while GT averages just 19.3. After back-to-back games in the underdog role, Louisville finds itself favored again. The only previous time that the Cardinals were favored, they took care of business agianst Western Kentucky, a 35-21 win on 9/12. Meanwhile, this isn't a good look for the Yellow-Jackets. They're 0-5 ATS the last five times that they were listed as underdogs in the 3.5 to 10 point range, most recently losing by 28 (49-21 on 9/19) in that role earlier this season. Before slowing down at Pittsburgh, the Cardinals had racked up more than 500 yards against Miami. I expect them to have a big day against this defense and don't feel that the Jackets will be able to keep up. |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears +6 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 57 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. While I succesfully played against the Bears on Sunday, I like their chances of bouncing back Thursday night. Last week, the Bears were dealing with a Colts defense which ranks #1 in the league in points allowed and #1 in the league in terms of yards allowed. The Bucs haven't been as stingy. While the Colts allow 14 ppg, the Bucs allow 23. The Bears, themselves, allow just 20.3. I like that the Bears are playing at home for the second straight week. Even if the distance isn't that great, traveling while playing on a short week, in 2020, is less than ideal. Prior to Sunday's loss, the Bears had seen all three of their games decided by less than five points. Don't be surprised when this one also comes down to the wire, the Bears with an excellent shot at the outright win. |
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10-05-20 | Patriots +11.5 v. Chiefs | 10-26 | Loss | -116 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW ENGLAND. With Cam Newton out, we're getting a handful of extra points with the Pats. While I obviously respect the champs, I feel thats providing us with excellent value on the visitors. Hoyer is expected to go instead of Newton. While the veteran can't do all the things that Newton can do, he arguably knows the Patriots system better than Newton does; he served as Brady's backup for a number of years, in separate stints. While I'm aware his recent record as a starter isn't pretty, Belichick wouldn't have kept him around if he wasn't still capable. The Pats are playing well; they're 2-1 with the lone loss coming by five, at Seattle. They haven't lost a game by more than seven points since last November. Speaking of close games, the last three meetings between these teams have all been decided by seven or less. Don't be surprised when this one also proves closer than many will be expecting. |
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10-04-20 | Eagles +7 v. 49ers | Top | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 128 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. As you may have heard, the 49ers have been hit extremely hard by injuries. They were able to overcome those injury issues against the Giants and Jets. However, now they're facing a winless and desperate Eagle team, one which comes in badly in need of a victory. Yes, Philadelphia is also dealing with some injuries. However, those injuries aren't as bad or as numerous as SF's injuries. Keep in mind that the 49ers played without 10 starters last week. While they may have other areas of concern, the Eagles' defensive line is excellent. They were all over Burrow (8 sacks, 18 QB hits) last week and will be all over the QB again here. On the other side of the ball, turnovers have hurt. I expect them to clean that up here. The 49ers were fortunate to face the two NY teams when they did. Expect them to have their hands full Sunday night. |
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10-03-20 | Virginia v. Clemson -28 | 23-41 | Loss | -115 | 133 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CLEMSON. This is obviously a mismatch. While the line may appear steep, I feel that it could easily be even higher. Keep in mind that the Tigers handed the Cavs a 62-17 loss in the ACC Championship Game last season.The Tigers had last week off. That works in their favor as they had a number of bumps and bruises and the extra time should allow a number of players time to get healthy. Also, note that Clemson is a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS its last five, when coming off a bye. While the Tigers may have failed to cover vs. Wake Forest, they're still a dominant 15-4 ATS in Conference play, the past few seasons. Clemson had more than 600 yards of offense in the ACC Championship Game last season, Virginia had less than 400. Lawrence threw for more than 300 yards and four TDs. Etienne ran for 114 yards and a score. Expect another big day for the offense with the Cavs, ulimately, being unable to keep up. |
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10-03-20 | TCU v. Texas -13 | 33-31 | Loss | -108 | 114 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TEXAS. After rallying to beat the Red Raiders last week, scoring 63 points in the process, the Longhorns bring both momentum and confidence into Saturday's showdown with TCU. The Longhorns were down 56-41 late in the fourth last week. Texas coach Tom Herman said: 'Our quarterback looked at me and said, `They left us too much time. We're going to tie this thing up and win in overtime,'' ''And I believed him.'' Off that comeback, Texas believes it can do anything and with Oklahoma having lost last week, the Longhorns are thinking big. Indeed, this team is loaded. This is a game that the Longhorns have had circled. The Frogs beat them by 10 (at TCU) last season and have had their way with the Longhorns in recent years. Its time for some payback. Note that Texas won by 15 the last time that it was the home team in this rivalry. I expect an even bigger margin of victory here. Texas rolls. |
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10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech v. BYU -23.5 | Top | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 124 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on BYU. This figures to be a one-sided blowout. The Cougars have crushed both opponents which they have faced. They beat Navy 55-3 and they beat Troy 48-7. They should be able to do the same to an LA Tech team which is essentially in rebuilding mode on defense. Yes, the Bulldogs are 2-0. However, they've given up 30 or more points in both games. Last game, Houston Baptist scored 38 against them. Indeed, BYU will have no trouble scoring. This hasn't been a kind role for the Bulldogs over the years; they're 6-14 ATS (1-19 SU) the past 20 times that they were underdogs in the 21.5 to 31.5 point range. I say the Cougars, 8-3 ATS their last 11 against CUSA opponents, put up a big number with the overmatched Bulldogs being unable to keep up. |
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10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets +3 | 37-28 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY. After the last two primetime games featured Brees/Rodgers and Jackson/Mahomes, Thursday features a pair of winless teams in the Broncos and Jets. Obviously, both will be hungry for their first win. While the Jets have indeed been pretty bad, I feel that they're catching the Broncos at the right time. As Denver coach Vic Fangio noted: ''We have sustained a lot of injuries, there's no denying that ..." The short week doesn't figure to help a banged-up Bronco team which didn't even announcing its starting QB until Tuesday. (*Rypien eneded up getting named the starter, as expected.) Feeling the heat from their poor start, more so than their guests, Gase and the Jets are going to be desperate. Look for the injuries to take a toll on Denver, as the Jets dig deep and find a way to come away with the "W." |
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09-27-20 | Bengals v. Eagles -5 | Top | 23-23 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Both teams are 0-2. Both will be hungry for a win. I expect the Eagles to be a little more desperate though and I believe that they bring more to the table. Obviously, Burrow and the Bengals want their first win. Expectations are pretty low in Cincinnati though. Nobody will be too upset if it takes a couple of years for Burrow and the new look team to start winning. Thats not the case for the Eagles though; this is a team which expects to win now. They're going to come in angry and I expect Burrow and co. to suffer the consequences. While they're highly motivated, the Eagles aren't pushing the panic button. Wentz had this to say: "We're not panicking. The sky is not falling. We have the potential with the pieces we have on this offense to be elite, to be great and we're excited to come out (next week) and start showing it.'' The Eagles are a resilient team, having dealt with a lot in recent seasons. Sanders noted: "...it's a long season and we're going to have opportunities. It takes resiliency and that's the type of team we have.'' Expect the resilient Eagles to bounce back, securing their first win and picking up the cover along the way. |
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09-26-20 | UTEP v. UL-Monroe -9 | Top | 31-6 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on LOUISIANA MONROE. Off to an 0-2 start, the Warhawks will be happy to step down in class and into the favorite role. They're also going to be highly motivated to get that first win. As tight end Josh Pederson noted: "The guys are hungry for that first win. Obviously we’re not happy about the last two weeks, but this game is an opportunity for us to get on track and I definitely think this is a must-win week." Note that Louisiana Monroe faces a UTEP team which is just 7-14-1 ATS (0-22 SU!) the past few seasons, when listed as an underdog. Indeed, the Miners are among the worst teams in the country. They do have two wins this season but those came against FCS teams. They haven't beaten an FBS opponent or won on the road since 2018. Playing in a "must win week," I say the Warhawks pull away for a double-digit win. |
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09-26-20 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma State -6.5 | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OKLAHOMA STATE. While there are still some questions about the OSU QB (Gundy noted this Monday: “We’ve got three guys available and we’ll have to make that decision based on practice reps.”) situation, there's no question about their ground game. Expect Chuba Howard (2093 yards, 21 TDs LY) to do his thing. Meanwhile, the Cowboy defense also comes in on a high. Last time out, they allowed just 278 yards on 59 plays and limited Tulsa to 0-for-12 on third down conversions. As Gundy mentioned: "The defense was fabulous. Zero-for-12 on third down and one-for-four on fourth down is really the story of the game.” Expect that defense to give the WVU offense trouble on Saturday afternoon. Remember, WVU had the worst offense in the Big-12 last year. While they failed to cover in the win over Tulsa, Gundy's Cowboy's typically thrive in September. Expect them to pull away for a double-digit win. |
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09-25-20 | Middle Tennessee State +7 v. UTSA | Top | 35-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
I'm taking the points with MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE. After back-to-back ugly losses to start the season, the Blue Raiders are going to be hungry to show everyone that they're better than those results indicate. Yes, they've struggled but this is a team they match up well against and they're coming in expecting to win. The Roadrunners are off to an impressive 2-0 start. However, keep in mind that one of those wins came by three points in double-OT and that the other came against lowly ranked Stephen F. Austin. After failing to cover in that game against Stephen Austin, the Roadrunners are just 4-9 ATS in home games the past couple of seasons, 1-3 ATS as favorites. Expect them to have their hands full once again. |
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09-24-20 | UAB -6 v. South Alabama | Top | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 81 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on UAB. The Blazers lost QB Tyler Johnston to injury. That's not ideal. However, its been factored into the line and we're getting UAB at a bit better price as a result. Importantly, backup Bryson Lucero has played in both games and with the Blazers off last weekend, he's had plenty of time to prepare for the starting role. I believe that the Blazers, who started the season a 10-point win before losing at Miami, have a talent advantage in this one. Keep in mind that this is an extremely experienced UAB team, one which feels capable of winning the rest of its games. Indeed, UAB returned 18 starters. The Blazers are 14-6-1 ATS in recent seasons when laying points and they're 4-1 ATS when coming off a bye. Look for the Blazers, who rarely lose in their home state, to improve on those stats, delivering a statement win over their "instate rival." |
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09-20-20 | Ravens v. Texans +7 | Top | 33-16 | Loss | -120 | 163 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on HOUSTON. I like how this one sets up for the Texans and believe that they're offering plenty of value. Everyone just saw the Texans get beaten up by the Chiefs. Meanwhile, the Ravens just blew out the Browns. So, many are down on the Texans and high on the Ravens. Thats led to generous points with the Texans as a home underdog. Yes, the Ravens are good. But, its important not to over-react to one game. The Texans are better than they showed. They generated some momentum towards the end of the KC game and I expect them to carry it into this one. I really like that they've had an extra couple of days, due to having played on Thursday. This early in the season, after not having had a preseason, I believe that extra rest and preparation time will prove significant. While not having Hopkins hurts, Watson still has some weapons including Fuller who caught 8 of 10 for more than 100 yards. David Johnson showed promise out of the backfield (more than 100 total yards and a TD) and figures to be a big upgrade at running back. The Texans haven't forgotten that the Ravens hammered them last season, at Baltimore. They're coming in highly motivated. While I absolutely like their chances of the outright win, I expect their best effort to lead to AT LEAST a cover on Sunday afternoon. |
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09-19-20 | Louisiana Tech v. Southern Miss -5 | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on SOUTHERN MISS. The Bulldogs are off a good season and they've got a 'big name' coach. This is a unique 'pandemic situation' though. LA Tech didnt play its first game due to Covid issues. It wasnt just a few players either. Nearly the entire roster has been out; more than 50 players were unavailable for the Baylor game. They've been dealing with extensive testing and stress and have been unable to properly practice or prepare. Hurricane season doesn't help matters. Remember, the Bulldogs lost a lot from last year's defense, too. Meanwhile, Southern Miss already has a game under its belt and now they've had a chance to work out some of their issues. The fact that the Golden Eagles lost that one should add to their determination here. The South Alabama loss notwithstanding, the Golden Eagles are typically pretty tough at home. Expect them to show no sympathy for their guests in this one. |
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09-19-20 | South Florida v. Notre Dame -25 | 0-52 | Win | 100 | 95 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ND. The Irish took a bit to get going against Duke and it cost them the cover. This is a very powerful team though. Now with a game under its belt and stepping down in class to take on lowly South Florida, I expect the Irish to go out and deliver a blowout. This is a moment that Brian Kelly and Irish fans have waited for. Payback. Flashback to the 2011 season, the second year that Kelly was coach. The Irish had a great season in Kelly's first year, one which culminated with a blowout of Miami in the Sun Bowl. Naturally, expectations were high the next season. The first opponent? South Florida. Yes, the Bulls scored the upset in that one and that kick-started what would be a very disappointing season for a loaded Irish team. They'd go on to start 1-4. That was a far better USF team though and the Bulls have regressed since that time. That won't stop Kelly from letting his current players know what happend roughly nine years ago. While the Bulls are worse than they were back then, the Irish are arguably even better. Expect Kelly to keep the pedal to the metal the entire way, avenging the 2011 loss in blowout fashion while delivering a statment on just how far he's taken this team. |
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09-19-20 | Liberty v. Western Kentucky -13 | 30-24 | Loss | -108 | 138 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WESTERN KENTUCKY. I believe that this one sets up nicely for the home team. The Hilltoppers already have a game under their belts, as they played a tough opponent in Louisville. Now, they take a big step down in class to take on a Liberty team which has yet to play. WKU QB Tyrrell Pigrome figures to cause the Flames fits. Liberty defensive coordinator Scott Symons acknowledged as much: "I think it’s going to be a really big test for us. This will be the most athletic quarterback we have seen since we have been here, as far as making guys miss in space and those sorts of things. Big time challenge, big time athlete, appears that he’s a tough competitor, as well." Of course, a Liberty defense which returns only four starters is also going to have its hands full against the WKU rushing attack. Symons noted: "This will be the best backfield we have seen since we’ve been here, definitely at the Group of Five level." Look for the Hilltoppers, who will benefit from having already played, to put up a big number and for the Flames to be unable to keep up. |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns -6 | Top | 30-35 | Loss | -104 | 59 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on CLEVELAND. I really like how this one sets up for the Browns. Both teams lost their opener. However, the Browns were crushed by Baltimore while Cincy lost a close one vs. the Chargers. That may have many thinking that the Bengals played better. However, the fashion that they lost that one (outscored 10-0 in 4th) figures to be harder to bounce back from (more deflating) than the Browns' blowout loss. Indeed, the Browns were embarrassed and they will be absolutely determined to bounce back and prove to the world that they aren't a joke. Remember, this is a team which has been stockpiling talent on both sides of the ball for years now. As Baker Mayfield noted: "Sometimes a wake-up call is good for everybody. A punch in the mouth and that’s how we should take it." Also, keep in mind that the Browns were on the road against a very tough Baltimore team last week while the Bengals played at home. Note that the Bengals are just 2-13 SU their last 15 on the road. The Browns have had success on Thursdays, going 8-4 ATS their last 12 and 2-0 SU/ATS the past couple of seasons. That includes a 21-7 win over the Steelers last season. Expect them to bounce back with an important win and cover. |
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09-14-20 | Steelers -3.5 v. Giants | Top | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 242 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. With quite a few years in the Patriots' organization and coming highly recommended from Belichick, its entirely possible that Joe Judge will go on to have a successful head coaching career. However, before that ever happens, I expect him to receive an unfriendly welcome to the head coaching fraternity by Mike Tomlin and the Steelers. Over the past few months, Judge has had to do a lot of things for the first time. He and the Giants very likely would have benefitted from the chance to get to know each other better over a few preseason games. Tomlin, on the other hand, knows his team well. They got horrible QB play last year and were still competitive. Now, the Steelers get Rothlisberger back and he'll surely be an improvement. Meanwhile, the defense is expected to rank among the league's best. Despite no preseason games, NY still managed to lose some starters to injury. The Giants' secondary was already thin and they lost Xavier McKinney. Though a rookie, he was expected to be their starting free safety. Meanwhile, linebacker David Mayo (143 tackles last year) also went down. While the Giants are projected to win six games this season, the Steelers O/U line is 9.5. Expect Tomlin's team to get the first of those Monday night, covering the relatively small number along the way. |
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09-13-20 | Packers v. Vikings -2.5 | Top | 43-34 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. This is the first time in the Vikings' 60-year history that they will open a season at home, against Green Bay. These teams have won 10 of the past 12 division titles and 14 of the past 18. If projected win totals mean anything, it'll likely be one or the other, once again. In other words, this is a big game. The Packers took both last season's meetings and went on to win the division title. The Vikings know they can't afford to let that happen again; I expect them to have the edge in Sunday afternoon's season opener. While Rodgers has been an elite QB for a long time, he's nearly 37 and can only do so much with a fairly limited supporting cast. The Vikings do have some new faces but the key contributors are back. While he doesn't have the big name of Rodgers, Cousins is off a strong year, finishing with a 107.4 passer rating. He threw for 3600+ yards with 26 TDs against six INTs. Dalvin Cook will play a prominent role and he's reportedly looked great in camp. I believe Minnesota has a slight edge on defense. While it should be a good game, I say the Vikes get the win and cover. |
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09-12-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 38-23 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on KANSAS. Last year, here at Memorial Stadium in Lawrence, Coastal Carolina beat Kansas by a score of 12-7. It was the first time that the Chanticleers had EVER beaten a 'Power 5' school. Needless to say, Les Miles and co. haven't forgotten. While the Jayhawks are young, they're still the more talented team here. The fact that they don't have to travel more than 1000 miles during a pandemic also works in their favor. Coastal Carolina coach Chadwell acknowledged that travel presents challenges: "They know we can lose somebody today to quarantine or whatever it may be. Until we get on that plane, there is going to be some apprehension ..." Addtionally, Coastal Carolina had to relocate due to Hurricane Dorian. (The Chanticleers stayed and training in South Carolina's Upstate region.) Les Miles knows his team needs to beat the likes of the Chanticleers. He'll have his team ready; I say its "payback time." |
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09-12-20 | Duke v. Notre Dame -19.5 | Top | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 197 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on ND. The Irish hammered the Blue Devils 38-7 last season. That kicked off a stretch which saw the Irish close out their season by winning each of their final five games by 21 or more points. Expectations are very high this season and I look for the Irish, now part of the ACC, to make a statement in this one. While Duke is capable defensively, it won't be capable enough to stop this Irish attack. Indeed, ND brings back eight starters including QB Ian Book, who had 34 TDs against just six INTs last season. Speaking of Book, he was outstanding against the Blue Devils last season and that was at Duke. He threw for four TDs while gaining 139 yards on the ground. In fact, in that game, he became the first ND QB to throw for three or more TDs and run for more than 100 yards. Things were already bad on the offensive side of the ball for Blue Devils but losing starting center Wohlabaugh to a knew injury was a major blow. Of the chance to play in the ACC, Brian Kelly noted: "...Our players are excited though, quite honestly, that they get a chance to play for a championship - an ACC championship.'' Expect a blowout. |
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09-10-20 | UAB +14.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on UAB. Obviously, the Canes have the bigger name and hail from the bigger conference. They get to recruit the better players. That said, the Blazers have a lot working in their favor here. They've already got a game under their belts and put up 45 points in the process. They arguably played better than the 45-35 score indicates, too. Central Arkansas got a few scores off turnovers; UAB had a 459-293 edge in total yards, including a 233-100 rushing advantage. Having worked out a few kinks will help them here. Keep in mind that UAB went 9-5 last season and won a bowl game. While the Blazers return a number of key starters, the Canes lost a lot of them. Miami has struggled as a favorite in recent seasons and will have its hands full here. Grab the generous points. |
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01-19-20 | Titans v. Chiefs -7 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 143 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on KC. The Titans have certainly been impressive. First, they knocked off New England, a top defensive team. Next, they crushed Baltimore, a top offensive team. Obviously, Henry has been an absolute beast. I believe that the Chiefs are a different animal though. Mahomes has been here before and he's peaking at the right time. The Chiefs fell behind 24-0 out of the gate last week and they didn't even bat an eye. By halftime, they were up by four. By the end of the game, they won by 20. Yes, they ended the game on a 51-7 run. Thats absolutely dominant. The Titans haven't fallen behind. So, thats allowed them to keep running Henry the entire game. However, when the Chiefs get up double-digits, as I expect them to do, its going to be a lot harder for the Titans to stick with the running game. While both teams played last week, the Chiefs played at home, while the Titans were on the road. The previous week, the Chiefs had a much-needed bye while the Titans were again on the road. That extra rest and not having to play on the road will help the Chiefs here. Indeed, this is the Titans fourth road game in four weeks. That can and will take a toll. KC hasn't been on the road since before Christmas. The Titans are 0-2 ATS when off a double-digit win as an underdog. Going back further finds them at 6-17-3 ATS in that situation. The Chiefs are 5-2 ATS as home favorites. Yes, the Titans beat them earlier. But the Chiefs are also 3-0 SU/ATS their last three in the revenge role, 7-3 SU/ATS their last 10. They're 15-5-1 ATS off a double-digit win. Expect another double-digit victory. |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers -3.5 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 125 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on GREEN BAY. I have a lot of respect for Russell Wilson. Pete Carroll, too. However, I expect their season to come to an end on Sunday. The Hawks lost a heartbreaker vs the 49ers two weeks ago, a game that came down to the final play. Last week, they left in all on the field, at Philly. Playing back-to-back road games can be tough. While they were giving it everything they had, the Pack were resting. That extra rest, combined with homefield advantage, will prove the difference here. The Pack were 7-1 at home (5-0 L5) this season and six of those seven wins, including each of the past four, came by more than four points. The Hawks defense came up big last week, holding the Eagles (minus Carson Wentz for most of it) to nine points. They're only 4-8 ATS the past dozen times that they allowed 14 or fewer points in their previous game though. The Pack are 9-4 ATS (12-1 SU) the past 13 times that they were home favorites of seven or less. Expect them to improve on those stats Sunday. |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks -1 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 77 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on SEATTLE. The Eagles went on a nice run to get here. However, the fact is that they're still a 9-7 team which got four of its wins against the Giants and Redskins, a pair of teams with a combined 7-25 record. While their known for having a strong homefield advantage, the Seahawks have been excellent on the road. They know they can win here, too. In fact, they did so back in October. Including that 17-9 victory, the Hawks are a dominant 10-1 SU and 8-1-2 ATS the past 11 times that they played a road game with an O/U line ranging from 45.5 to 49. They're also 6-1 ATS their last seven against teams from the NFC East and 8-1 SU their last nine as a road favorite. Off the tough loss to SF in their reg. season finale, note that the Hawks are 5-1-2 ATS (6-2 SU) the past eight time that they were off a home loss. Expect Wilson to lead them to another victory on Sunday afternoon. |