Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-23-17 | Mavs v. Hawks OVER 201 | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
-Dallas is in good current form; they’ve scored 211 total points in their last two games -Atlanta has given up 102 points or more in 14 of their last 15 games; in terrible current form 9* Play OVER the total. |
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12-22-17 | Hawks +10.5 v. Thunder | 117-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
-Atlanta 60% ATS on road this season with average loss by just -5.8 points per game -Oklahoma City off a 28-point blowout win; they shot 51.9% (40-77) from the field; will regress |
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12-21-17 | Celtics v. Knicks +3 | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
-Boston hits the road after losing at home last night; 3rd game in 4 nights; bad scheduling spot -New York has had two full days of rest to prepare for this game; off a loss, expect a strong effort 9* Play KNICKS (+). |
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12-18-17 | Heat v. Hawks +3 | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
-Miami will hit the road once again for the 5th time in their last 7 games; bad scheduling spot -Atlanta has had two full days of rest to prepare for this game; off a loss, expect a strong effort 10* Play HAWKS (+). |
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12-15-17 | Hawks v. Grizzlies -6 | 94-96 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
-Atlanta is playing their 5th game in 7 nights on a back-to-back set; terrible scheduling spot -Memphis returns home off a road loss; they had last night off, so expect a strong effort tonight 10* Play GRIZZLIES (-). |
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12-13-17 | Nuggets v. Celtics -6.5 | 118-124 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
-Denver is playing their 6th game of a road trip, 3rd in 4 nights on a back-to-back set; bad spot -Boston returns home off 23-point road blowout loss; with Kyrie Irving back, expect big effort 10* Play CELTICS (-). |
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12-12-17 | Spurs v. Mavs +6 | 89-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
-San Antonio is on an 8-1 SU run, but with 2 days off (first time in 17 days), rhythm disrupted -Dallas returns home off a 3-game road losing streak; with last night off, expect a big effort 9* Play MAVERICKS (+). |
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12-12-17 | Lakers v. Knicks OVER 212 | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
-Los Angeles is in good current form; they’ve won back-to-back games while scoring 217 points -New York has scored 312 points in their last 3 games; went Over the total in 3 of last 4 games 10* Play OVER the total. |
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12-11-17 | Raptors v. Clippers +5.5 | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
-Toronto is playing their 3rd game in 4 nights; off a big comeback win and bad shooting; letdown -Los Angeles will be playing their 3rd consecutive home game; big scheduling advantage tonight 9* Play CLIPPERS (+). |
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12-08-17 | Raptors v. Grizzlies +6.5 | 116-107 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
-Toronto has won 4 straight games, but with 2 days off, their rhythm has been disrupted -Memphis returns home off a road loss, and with last night off, expect a big effort tonight 10* Play GRIZZLIES (+). |
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12-06-17 | Warriors v. Hornets +5.5 | 101-87 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
-Golden State will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, and their 4th game in 6 nights, tough spot -Charlotte is 4-1 SU over their last five home games, and with last night off, expect a big effort |
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12-04-17 | Magic v. Hornets OVER 218 | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
-Orlando has scored 103 points or more in seven straight games; expect more of the same tonight -Charlotte has scored 100 points or more in seven of their last nine games; good current form 9* Play OVER the total. |
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12-01-17 | Spurs v. Grizzlies +4.5 | 95-79 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
-San Antonio travels to Memphis after beating them on Wednesday night by 9 points at home -Memphis returns home, and since they also lost their last home game, strong performance here 10* Play GRIZZLIES (+). |
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12-01-17 | Pistons v. Wizards +1.5 | 91-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
-Detroit hits the road again after after back-to-back road upsets and a blowout, pit-stop home win -Washington returns home off a road loss; they also lost their previous home game; big effort 9* Play WIZARDS (+). |
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11-29-17 | Suns +11.5 v. Pistons | 107-131 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
-Phoenix comes in off a win in Chicago last night; positive momentum carries over here -Detroit returns home after back-to-back road upsets of Oklahoma City and Boston; flat spot here 10* Play SUNS (+). |
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11-27-17 | Nets +17 v. Rockets | 103-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
-Brooklyn is 4-6 over their last 10 games, but all 6 of those losses have come by 10 points or less -Houston has won four straight games by 15 points or more, but expect major regression tonight 10* Play NETS (+). |
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11-27-17 | Pistons +7 v. Celtics | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
-Detroit comes into this game with two full days of rest; ready for a strong performance tonight -Boston returns home after playing five of their last seven games on the road; flat spot here 9* Play PISTONS (+). |
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11-25-17 | Magic +6.5 v. 76ers | 111-130 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
-Orlando comes in off a 15-point loss in Boston last night; expect big bounce back effort tonight -Philadelphia was hot, but the recent two days off disrupted their rhythm; Ben Simmons is out 9* Play MAGIC (+). |
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11-24-17 | Pistons +8 v. Thunder | 99-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
-Detroit comes in off a 28-point home loss to Cleveland; 3 full days to prepare; expect big effort -Oklahoma City comes in off their big spotlight win over Golden State; natural letdown spot here 9* Play PISTONS (+). |
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11-22-17 | Nets +11 v. Cavs | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
-Brooklyn is 3-4 over their last 7 games, but all 4 of those losses have come by 8 points or less -Cleveland has 10 wins on the year, but only 2 of those wins have come by more than 10 points
10* Play NETS (+). |
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11-20-17 | Hawks +9.5 v. Spurs | 85-96 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
-Atlanta hits the road off an 11-point home loss to Boston; expect strong performance tonight -San Antonio comes in off a big second-half comeback win over Oklahoma City; letdown here 9* Play HAWKS (+). |
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11-20-17 | Jazz +6.5 v. 76ers | 86-107 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
-Utah comes in off a 40-point win in their last game; expect that momentum to carry over here -Philadelphia is off a 24-point blown lead at home vs. Golden State on Saturday; letdown spot 9* Play JAZZ (+). |
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11-19-17 | Bulls +3 v. Suns | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
-Chicago hits the road after a 123-120 home win on Friday night; expect momentum to carry -Phoenix is not in good current form; the Suns are just 2-7 SU over their last nine games 9* Play BULLS (+). |
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11-18-17 | Kings +12 v. Blazers | 90-102 | Push | 0 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
-Sacramento beat Portland 86-82 last night, so there’s no reason the spread should be this high -Portland is not in good current form; the Trail Blazers are just 2-3 SU over their last 5 games 9* Play KINGS (+). |
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11-15-17 | Pacers +3.5 v. Grizzlies | 116-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
-Indiana hits the road off a 23-point blowout home loss; expect strong performance tonight -Memphis returns home off a long road trip in poor current form; 2-5 SU over their last 7 games 9* Play PACERS (+). |
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11-15-17 | Jazz +4.5 v. Knicks | 101-106 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
-Utah hits the road off an ugly home loss to the Timberwolves; expect strong bounce back here -New York is off a 23-point blown lead in a spotlight home game versus Cleveland on Monday 10* Play JAZZ (+). |
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11-13-17 | Magic +13 v. Warriors | 100-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
-Orlando comes into this game off an 18-point blowout loss; expect strong bounce back effort -Golden State off back-to-back blowout wins; expect regression and Steph Curry is questionable 9* Play MAGIC (+). |
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11-13-17 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 229 | 100-93 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
-Los Angeles comes off three poor offensive games; drop in class, so expect scoring outburst -Phoenix has scored 112 points or more in their last 3 games; expect more of the same tonight 9* Play OVER the total. |
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11-12-17 | Mavs +12.5 v. Thunder | 99-112 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
-Dallas played at home last night; they had 3 days of rest going in, so this is an easy back-2-back -Oklahoma City is not in good current form; the Thunder are just 1-4 SU over their last 5 games 9* Play MAVERICKS (+). |
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11-11-17 | Nets +9 v. Jazz | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
-Brooklyn comes into this game off a win in Portland last night; momentum and good form -Utah is not in good form; the Jazz have lost 4 straight games and are just 3-6 their last 9 games 9* Play NETS (+). |
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11-11-17 | Hawks v. Wizards OVER 217.5 | 94-113 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
-Atlanta has scored 100 points or more in seven straight games; expect more of the same tonight -Washington has scored 107 points or more in six of their last seven games overall 9* Play OVER the total. |
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11-10-17 | Nets +8.5 v. Blazers | 101-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
-Brooklyn comes into this game off a loss, but they’ve had two full days to get ready for tonight -Portland is not in good current form; the Trail Blazers are just 2-3 SU over their last five games 9* Play NETS (+). |
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11-10-17 | Hawks +9 v. Pistons | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
-Atlanta comes into this game fully rested as they’ve had three full days off to get ready -Detroit has played three straight perfect games, so expect major regression tonight 9* Play HAWKS (+). |
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11-09-17 | Lakers +10.5 v. Wizards | 95-111 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
-Los Angeles is 3-2 SU over their last five games with one of those losses coming by 3 points -Washington is not in good current form; the Wizards are just 2-5 SU over their last seven games 10* Play LAKERS (+). |
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11-07-17 | Bulls +11 v. Raptors | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
-Chicago comes into this game fully rested as they’ve had two full days off to get ready -Toronto is not in good current form; the Raptors are just 3-4 SU over their last seven games 10* Play BULLS (+). |
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11-06-17 | Heat +15.5 v. Warriors | 80-97 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
-Miami is 2-1 SU over their last three games; last three SU losses have come by 10 total points -Golden State returns home off 3 road games; offense scored 380 total points; regression tonight 10* Play HEAT (+). |
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11-03-17 | Raptors +1.5 v. Jazz | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
-Toronto off an ugly 18-point loss on Wednesday night; expect strong bounce back effort tonight -Utah has won three straight games, but their last was a draining overtime win; expect regression |
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11-03-17 | Rockets v. Hawks OVER 213.5 | 119-104 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
-Houston has scored 105 points or more in four of their last five games; expect lots of points -Atlanta has played six of their eight games on the road, so expect strong performance here |
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11-02-17 | Lakers +6.5 v. Blazers | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
-Los Angeles has played five of their seven games at home, so this is an easy travel spot tonight -Portland returns home off a 112-103 overtime loss in Utah last night; bad scheduling spot here 10* Play LAKERS (+). |
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11-01-17 | Raptors v. Nuggets OVER 216 | 111-129 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
-Toronto is off back-to-back strong defensive efforts, but expect major regression tonight -Denver returns home off a 4-game road trip; last home game was a loss, so strong effort here 10* Play OVER the total. |
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11-01-17 | Bucks +3.5 v. Hornets | 121-126 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
-Milwaukee off an ugly 19-point home loss last night; expect strong bounce back effort tonight -Charlotte lost 103-94 in Milwaukee earlier this season; expect more of the same tonight 9* Play BUCKS (+). |
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10-30-17 | 76ers v. Rockets -6.5 | 115-107 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
-Philadelphia in a bad scheduling spot; fourth road game in their last five games -Houston returns home off a road loss; bounce back as they also lost their previous home game 9* Play ROCKETS (-). |
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10-28-17 | Lakers v. Jazz -10 | 81-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
-Los Angeles in a bad scheduling spot; third game in four days on a back-to-back set in altitude -Utah returns home off back-to-back road losses; bounce back since they’ve had two days off 9* Play JAZZ (-). |
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10-27-17 | Thunder -2 v. Wolves | 116-119 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
-Oklahoma City’s lone home loss came by 2 points to Minnesota; quick turnaround revenge spot -Minnesota comes into this game in bad current form; back-to-back losses by 23 and 21 points 10* Play THUNDER (-). |
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10-26-17 | Mavs v. Grizzlies -7.5 | 91-96 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
-Dallas got their first win of the season last night in their 103-94 home win over Memphis -Memphis comes home off an ugly road loss in Dallas last night; quick turnaround revenge spot 10* Play GRIZZLIES (-). |
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10-25-17 | Wizards v. Lakers OVER 226.5 | 99-102 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
-Washington is a perfect 3-0 on the season; they’ve scored a total of 344 points in those games -Los Angeles has gone Over the total in their last two games; expect more of the same tonight 9* Play OVER the total. |
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10-25-17 | Jazz -6.5 v. Suns | 88-97 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
-Utah off a 102-84 loss in Los Angeles last night; bounce back, especially on offense -Phoenix is just 1-3 SU on the season, and they are off a 117-115 win over Sacramento 10* Play JAZZ (-). |
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10-24-17 | Pelicans v. Blazers -4.5 | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
-New Orleans will play their fourth game of the season, and this will be their third road game -Portland comes home off a road loss, and with this being their home opener, expect strong effort 9* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (-). |
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10-23-17 | Hawks v. Heat OVER 205 | 93-104 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
-Atlanta will play their 4th straight road game of the season; defensive struggles will continue -Miami has gone Over the total in both of their games this season; expect more of the same here 9* Play OVER the total. |
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10-21-17 | Magic +11.5 v. Cavs | 114-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
-Orlando off a 126-121 road loss in Brooklyn last night; bounce back, especially on defense -Cleveland will be playing their third game in five days with a travel spot in between 9* Play MAGIC (+). |
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10-20-17 | Hawks v. Hornets -5 | 91-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
-Atlanta will play their second consecutive road game to open up the season -Charlotte returns home off a 102-90 road loss in Detroit on Wednesday; expect strong effort 9* Play HORNETS (-). |
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10-18-17 | Rockets -7.5 v. Kings | 105-100 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
-Houston off big win in Golden State last night, so expect momentum to carry over tonight -Sacramento will play their season opener tonight, but it’s a disadvantage versus Houston 9* Play ROCKETS (-). |
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10-18-17 | Bucks v. Celtics -2.5 | 108-100 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
-Milwaukee will play their season opener tonight; disadvantage since Boston played last night -Boston returns home off 3-point loss in Cleveland; expect emotional effort after Hayward injury 9* Play CELTICS (-). |
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06-12-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -8.5 | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
Cleveland returns to Golden State after salvaging Game 4 at home on Friday night. The Cavaliers didn't just win that game; they won in a blowout. Cleveland beat Golden State by 21 points (137-116), and the game wasn’t even that close. The Cavaliers’ offense was on another level in Game 4 as they shot an incredible 52.9% (46-for-87) from the field and 53.3% (24-for-45) from three-point land. Four of Cleveland’s five starters scored 109 of the 137 total points on 52.1% (38-for-73) shooting from the field, including 56.8% (21-for-37) shooting from three-point land. Cleveland played complete team basketball in Game 4, and they shot way above their normal percentages from both the field and from three-point land. In fact, in their first three games of this series, Cleveland shot just 29.8% (31-for-104) from three-point land. Golden State’s defense has allowed just 32.6% shooting from three-point land in all games this season, versus opponents that average 36.0% shooting overall. The Warriors allow just 31.2% shooting from three-point land at home, so Cleveland’s offense will regress sharply in Game 5 tonight. 10* Play WARRIORS (-). |
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06-09-17 | Warriors -5.5 v. Cavs | 116-137 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Golden State was in for a tough Game 3 as expected, and the Warriors were on the ropes late. But they closed the game on an 11-0 run to win by 5 points (118-113). The Warriors are now a perfect 15-0 SU and 11-4 ATS in the playoffs. It’s clearly evident that Cleveland’s defense cannot stop Golden State’s offense. The Warriors have scored 113 points or more in all three games of the Finals, and there’s nothing to suggest they won’t eclipse that total once again tonight, especially since they are in excellent current form. Over their last five games, Golden State’s offense has averaged 122.4 points per game on 50.2% shooting from the field and 40.6% shooting from three-point land at home. That matches up perfectly against Cleveland’s defense which has given up 112.8 points per game on 45.8% shooting from the field and 39.4% shooting from three-point land over their last five games. 9* Play WARRIORS (-). |
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06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs +4 | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Golden State is now 2-0 SU and ATS against Cleveland after winning the first two games of the NBA Finals in easy fashion. The Warriors had little trouble in those games; they won Game 1 by 22 points (113-91) and Game 2 by 19 points (132-113). Because of their last two blowout wins, tonight’s pointspread presents some excellent value in playing against Golden State. In fact, prior to the series starting, some sports books had a look-ahead line of Cleveland -2 for Game 3. The Cavaliers returned home in the same situation last year, down 0-2 in the series, and Cleveland was a -1.5 favorite in Game 3 which they won by 30 points (120-90). The Warriors shot 51.7% (46-for-89) from the field and 41.9% (18-for-43) from three-point land in Game 2. Six players scored double digits, and eleven players scored overall. That was a complete team effort by Golden State, but off such a complete performance, and now on the road, we expect some regression by the Warriors in Game 3. 9* Play CAVALIERS (+). |
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06-04-17 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 220.5 | 113-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Cleveland and Golden State will play Game 2 of the NBA Finals on Sunday night. The Cavaliers lost to the Warriors by 22 points (113-91) in Game 1 because their offense was terrible in that game. Cleveland only shot 34.9% (30-for-86) from the field and 35.5% (11-for-31) from three-point land. Cleveland’s only offensive contributions came from their best two scorers as LeBron James and Kyrie Irving combined to score 52 of their 91 total points. Cleveland’s defense has been terrible all season, especially on the road. And they were terrible in Game 1 once again. Overall, Cleveland gives up 108.5 points per game on 46.4% shooting from the field and 35.8% shooting from three-point land on the road this season. The Cavaliers have given up 102 points or more in eleven of their fourteen playoff games, and those games came against inferior offenses when compared to the Warriors’ offense which is the best in the league. 9* Play OVER the total. |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7 | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Cleveland and Golden State will begin the NBA Finals on Thursday night. The teams will meet for the third consecutive year; the Cavaliers won last year while the Warriors won in 2015. The Cavaliers are 12-1 SU and 8-4-1 ATS in the playoffs so far. The Warriors are a perfect 12-0 SU and 8-4 ATS in the playoffs. So both teams have been dominating, and they faced similar paths to the Finals. Cleveland’s defense has been terrible all season, especially on the road. And it’s been mediocre at best in the playoffs. Overall, Cleveland gives up 108.4 points per game on 46.5% shooting from the field and 35.8% shooting from three-point land on the road this season. The Cavaliers gave up 102 points or more in ten of their thirteen playoff games, and those games came against much lesser offenses than what they’ll face in this series. Cleveland’s defense has no chance in slowing down the Warriors’ offense. 9* Play WARRIORS (-). |
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05-25-17 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 216 | 135-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Cleveland and Boston match up well for a high-scoring game on Thursday night. The Cavaliers are on the brink of eliminating the Celtics, and they do not want to extend this series any longer, especially with Golden State resting and waiting. Cleveland wins games with their offense, so we expect a concentrated effort on that end of the court tonight. The Cavaliers have been scoring at will on Boston’s defense, and that is not going to change tonight. Cleveland has scored 111 points or more in all four games of this series; the Cavaliers have averaged 117.5 points per game against the Celtics this season. Boston’s defense has given up 101 points or more in ten of their last eleven playoff games while giving up an average of 114 points per game in those ten games. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics +6.5 | 130-86 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Cleveland continued on their playoffs rampage in Game 1 in Boston on Wednesday night. The Cavaliers are now a perfect 9-0 SU and 6-2-1 ATS in the playoffs after beating the Celtics 117-104. The game was never close as Cleveland dominated from the opening tip. Cleveland’s offense was extremely efficient despite being off for nine days prior to Game 1. The Cavaliers shot 48.1% (39-81) from the field and 35.5% (11-31) from three-point land. Cleveland also hit 80% (28-35) from the free throw line. In fact, Cleveland got an extremely favorable whistle as they made ten more free throws than the Celtics even attempted. Three of Cleveland’s five starters scored 20 points or more after shooting a combined 63.8% (30-47) from the field, including 46.7% (7-15) from three-point land. Off that surprising performance, we expect regression from Cleveland in Game 2, especially since they played so well off their extended layoff. Boston was thoroughly embarrassed on their home court in Game 1. But the Celtics were in a poor situational spot after playing a grueling 7-game series against Washington. Off their poor performance, we expect a peak effort by Boston for the full 48 minutes tonight, especially since the Celtics are 35-14 SU at home. Boston’s offense is averaging 110 points per game on 46% shooting from the field and 37.5% shooting from three-point land at home. The Celtics’ offense will face a Cleveland team that owns a -0.5 point differential on the road where they are giving up 109 points per game on 46.7% shooting from the field and 35.9% shooting from three-point land. This is a terrific spot for Boston, so we’ll take the points with the Celtics in Game 2 on Friday night. 10* Play CELTICS (+). |
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05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -5 | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Washington was extremely fortunate to win Game 6 on their strong home court. The Wizards overcame a deficit late in the fourth quarter to win on a made 3-pointer in the closing seconds of the game. Washington will now hit the road for Game 7, and their home/road splits in the playoffs indicate tonight’s game will be very difficult for them to win. The Wizards are 6-0 SU at home in the playoffs, but they are just 1-5 SU on the road in playoff games. Washington's five road losses have all been by 10 points or more with their average loss coming by -14.4 points per game. The Wizards have lost the three games in Boston by 12, 10 and 22 point margins, so we expect more of the same tonight. 10* Play CELTICS (-). |
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05-12-17 | Celtics v. Wizards -5 | 91-92 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Boston bounced back strong as expected in Game 5 at home on Wednesday night. The Celtics were off back-to-back losses in Washington, so their peak performance in the last game was quite predictable. The Celtics scored 123 points en route to a 22-point blowout win over the Wizards. Boston’s offense shot a fantastic 52.9% (46-for-87) from the field and 48.5% (16-for-33) from three-point land. The Celtics also had four of their five starters score 18 points or more while ten players overall scored at least 3 points or more. Off that performance, we expect regression from Boston tonight, especially since they’ll have to play this game on the road. 10* Play WIZARDS (-). |
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05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
Washington won back-to-back home games after losing the first two games of this series in Boston. The Wizards are now 5-0 SU at home in the playoffs, but they are just 1-4 SU on the road in playoff games. Washington’s offense scored 121 points in Game 4; their highest point total over their previous seventeen games. Washington shot a fantastic 52.4% (44-84) from the field and 42.9% (9-21) from three-point land. The Wizards also hit 88.9% (24-27) from the free throw line. Off that performance, we expect Washington’s offense to regress, especially since they’ve played much worse on the road in the playoffs. Boston returns home off back-to-back losses with their last being a blown 12-point lead. The Celtics also gave up an embarrassing 26-0 run to Washington in the third quarter which turned the game around. Off that poor performance, we expect a peak effort by Boston tonight, especially since the Celtics are 33-13 SU at home, including three straight double digit wins by 11, 12, 10 points in the playoffs. Boston’s offense is averaging 109.8 points per game on 45.7% shooting from the field and 37.3% shooting from three-point land at home. The Celtics had no trouble scoring on Washington’s defense in the first two games (123 and 129 points), so that will continue tonight on their strong home court. We’ll lay the points with Boston in Game 5 on Wednesday night. 10* Play CELTICS (-). |
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05-09-17 | Rockets v. Spurs -5 | 107-110 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Houston bounced back with a strong performance in Game 4 after losing back-to-back games versus San Antonio. The Rockets dominated the Spurs from start to finish in Game 4 on Sunday night. The Rockets won by 21 points (125-104) on their home court. There was nothing phony about that blowout win, and the game was never really close. However, Houston played to their max level, and they are unlikely to come anywhere close to repeating that performance tonight. Houston scored 125 points on 52.6% (50-for-95) shooting from the field and 44.2% (19-for-43) shooting from three-point land. The Rockets got a complete team effort as four of their five starters scored 10 points or more while eight different players scored at least 8 points or more. Off that peak performance, we expect regression from Houston’s offense tonight, especially on the road against the #1 defense in the NBA. 10* Play SPURS (-). |
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05-07-17 | Celtics +4.5 v. Wizards | 102-121 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Boston was in a terrible spot for Game 3 on Thursday, and their blowout loss wasn’t a surprise at all. The Celtics lost 116-89 to the Wizards after having an awful offensive game. Boston shot just 35.1% (27-for-77) from the field and 31.2% (10-for-32) from three-point land. Boston’s best offensive player, Isaiah Thomas, scored just 13 points on 37.5% (3-for-8) shooting from the field, including 0-2 from three-point land, after he scored 53 points in Game 2. Washington held a 22-point lead (39-17) after the first quarter as the Celtics looked out of sync and the game snowballed. Despite the poor performance in Game 3, Boston’s offense has been in excellent current form. Over their last five games, the Celtics have still averaged 110.8 points per game on 46.1% shooting from the field and 36% shooting from three-point land, so they are likely to bounce back with a solid effort tonight. 10* Play CELTICS (+). |
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05-05-17 | Cavs v. Raptors +4.5 | 115-94 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Cleveland has taken a 2-0 series lead over Toronto after back-to-back blowout wins on their home court. The Cavaliers did the same thing in last year’s playoffs before losing Game 3 and Game 4 in Toronto. There’s a very good chance that history can repeat itself this year. Cleveland’s offense was outstanding in the first two games while scoring 241 total points on 50% (80-for-160) shooting from the field and 41.2% (32-for-67) shooting from three-point land. Cleveland also made 77.8% (49-for-63) of their free throw attempts. Off those back-to-back strong offensive performances, the Cavaliers’ offense figures to regress tonight, especially with this game being on the road. Cleveland’s defense continues to be poor, and they’ve been bad on the road all season. The Cavaliers give up 109.7 points per game on 46.7% shooting from the field and 36.4% shooting from three-point land on the road. 9* Play RAPTORS (+). |
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05-04-17 | Celtics v. Wizards -4.5 | 89-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Boston has now won six consecutive games since losing the first two games of their previous series against the Chicago Bulls. The Celtics appeared to max out in their win over Washington in Game 1 when they scored 123 points; their highest point total over their previous sixteen games. Boston shot a fantastic 51.1% (46-for-90) from the field and 48.7% (19-for-39) from three-point land. The Celtics also hit 80% (12-for-15) from the free throw line. Off that performance, Boston somehow responded by scoring 129 points on 51.1% (45-for-88) shooting from the field in Game 2. However, the Celtics rallied from 14 points down to win Game 2 in overtime, and off that draining performance, we expect regression on the road tonight in Game 3. 9* Play WIZARDS (-). |
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05-03-17 | Rockets v. Spurs -5 | 96-121 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show | |
Houston dominated San Antonio from start to finish in Game 1 on Monday night. The Rockets beat the Spurs by 27 points (126-99) on San Antonio’s strong home court. There was nothing phony about that blowout win, and the game was never close. However, Houston played to their max level, and they are unlikely to repeat that performance tonight. Houston scored 126 points which was their highest point total over their last eight games. The Rockets shot 46% (40-for-87) from the field and 44% (22-for-50) from three-point land. Houston also hit 88.9% (24-for-27) from the free throw line. The Rockets got a complete team effort as four of their five starters scored 14 points or more while eight guys scored at least 7 points or more. Off that peak performance, we expect major regression from Houston’s offense tonight, especially against the #1 defense in the NBA. San Antonio was thoroughly embarrassed at home in Game 1, and off that ugly loss, we expect a peak performance by the Spurs tonight. San Antonio is 34-11 SU on their strong home court, so we are certain to get their best effort this evening. San Antonio’s offense was atrocious in Game 1 as they only shot 36.9% (31-for-84) from the field and 31% (9-for-29) from three-point land. Three of their five starters scored 8 points or less, and overall, San Antonio’s starters only scored 48 total points on a combined 31% (13-for-42) shooting from the field, including 33.3% (6-for-18) shooting from three-point land. San Antonio’s offense averages 105.6 points per game on 47.3% shooting from the field and 40.5% shooting from three-point land at home, so expect a strong offensive performance tonight. We’ll lay the points with San Antonio in Game 2 on Wednesday night. 10* Play SPURS (-). |
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05-03-17 | Raptors +7.5 v. Cavs | 103-125 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 41 m | Show | |
Toronto continued their baffling streak in Game 1 of a playoff series; the Raptors are now just 1-12 SU all-time in the opening game after losing 116-105 to Cleveland on Monday night. If history repeats itself, we expect a strong bounce back effort from the Raptors in Game 2 tonight. Toronto lost by 14 points to Milwaukee in Game 1 of the last round, and then they won Game 2 106-100. Toronto is now just 1-4 SU in five meetings versus Cleveland this season, but the Raptors only lost those games by an average of 4.4 points per game. Toronto’s defense has also done a good job while holding the Cavaliers to just 106 points per game in those five games. The Raptors come into this game in excellent defensive form as they’ve allowed just 95.6 points per game on 45.5% shooting from the field over their last five games. Cleveland finally had a breakout game on Monday night. The Cavaliers slogged their way thru the four games against Indiana before getting a complete team effort in Game 1 against Toronto. The Cavaliers shot 45.9% from the field (39-85) and 41.2% (14-34) from three-point land. Cleveland also made 82.8% (24-29) of their free throw attempts. The Cavaliers had four of their five starters score 11 points or more while nine players overall scored 4 points or more. Cleveland’s defense was not good once again, and over their last five games, the Cavaliers have given up 108 points per game on 46% shooting from the field and 39% shooting from three-point land. We expect a much closer Game 2 tonight, so we’ll take Toronto plus the points. 9* Play RAPTORS (+). |
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05-02-17 | Wizards +5.5 v. Celtics | 119-129 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Washington was not in a good spot for Game 1, and the Wizards got blown out by the Celtics. Boston won by 12 points (123-111), and that was after Washington led by 14 points (38-24) after the first quarter. Over the final three quarters of the game, the Wizards got out-scored 99-73 by the Celtics. Washington’s offense actually played a very good game as they shot 50.6% (44-87) from the field and 43.5% (10-23) from three-point land. The Wizards were atrocious from the free throw line though as they only shot 59.1% (13-22) from the stripe. So despite the poor spot and the poor free throw shooting, there were positive signs for Washington in Game 1. And those signs point to a strong bounce performance in Game 2. Boston has now won five consecutive games since losing the first two games of their series against the Chicago Bulls. However, the Celtics maxed out in their win over Washington in Game 1. Boston scored 123 points which was their highest point total over their last sixteen games. The Celtics shot a fantastic 51.1% (46-90) from the field and 48.7% (19-39) from three-point land. Boston also hit 80% (12-15) from the free throw line. The Celtics got a complete team effort as four of their five starters scored 18 points or more while eight guys scored at least 4 points or more. Off that peak performance, we expect major regression from Boston’s offense tonight. We expect a close game throughout, so we’ll take Washington plus the points in Game 2 on Tuesday night. 9* Play WIZARDS (+). |
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05-01-17 | Raptors +7 v. Cavs | 105-116 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Toronto started their series with Milwaukee by playing sluggish basketball, but once the Raptors got into their rhythm, they took control. Toronto will play Game 1 in Cleveland on three days rest, so they are still on a normal season schedule. That’s the exact opposite of the Cavaliers who will come into this game on a full 7 days of rest. The scheduling edge definitely goes to Toronto because basketball is a routine and rhythm game. Toronto also matches-up extremely well versus Cleveland. Despite going just 1-3 SU in the four regular season meetings, the Raptors only lost those games by 3, 4, and 4 points. Toronto’s defense did a good job while holding the Cavaliers to just 103.5 points per game. The Raptors come into this game in excellent defensive form as they’ve allowed just 92.4 points per game on 44.4% shooting from the field over their last five games. 9* Play RAPTORS (+). |
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04-30-17 | Jazz v. Clippers -3.5 | 104-91 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
Utah was on the verge of advancing, and they couldn’t have asked for anything more than hosting Los Angeles in Game 6. The Jazz came up empty though, and the Clippers cruised to an easy win; much easier than the 98-93 final score indicates. Utah has to slow this game way down to win, but we don't see that happening on the Clippers home court. Even when the Jazz were able to control the pace, they were unable to separate from the Clippers. The Jazz only won Game 4 by 7 points (105-98) at home, and they only won Game 5 by 4 points (96-92). Today’s posted pointspread is clearly too low simply based on the previous results. Los Angeles was a 5.5-point home favorite in Game 1, but now they are laying 2 points less in Game 7. While it’s true that Blake Griffin is not playing, Utah’s Rudy Gobert injured his ankle in Game 6, and he will not be at full strength in this game. Los Angeles played a terrific game on Friday night in Utah. The Clippers got a complete team effort as five players scored 12 points or more while nine players overall scored at least 2 points. Los Angeles scored 98 points after shooting 49.3% (37-75) from the field and 42.9% (9-21) from three-point land. The Clippers’ offense has yet to really breakout, but if they can force the pace today, there’s a very good chance they’ll win this game quite easily. Los Angeles is a team that needs to play fast to be at their best, so we fully expect the Clippers to make a concerted effort to speed things way up. We’ll lay the points with Los Angeles in Game 7 on Sunday afternoon. 10* Play CLIPPERS (-). |
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04-28-17 | Clippers +6.5 v. Jazz | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Los Angeles is on the brink of elimination as they head to Utah for Game 6 on Friday night. The Clippers were up 2-1 in this series, but they’ve lost the last two games thanks in part to their offense failing to play up to their normal level. Los Angeles has only scored a total of 190 points in their last two games after shooting a combined 43.1% (62-for-144) from the field and 38.2% (21-for-55) from three-point land. The Clippers really need to force the pace tonight because taking just 69 shots like they did on their home court in Game 5 is not going to win them many games. Los Angeles is a team that needs to play fast to be at their best, and off back-to-back slow-paced games, we fully expect the Clippers to make a concerted effort to speed tonight’s game way up. 10* Play CLIPPERS (+). |
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04-27-17 | Raptors v. Bucks -1.5 | 92-89 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Toronto and Milwaukee alternated wins and losses during the first four games of this series. But the Raptors have now won back-to-back games to take a 3-2 series lead. Toronto played their best game of the series on Monday night when they beat Milwaukee by 25 points (118-93). The Raptors scored the most points they have over their last thirteen games. Toronto shot a terrific 57.7% (41-for-71) from the field, 44.4% (12-for-27) from three-point land, and 92.3% (24-for-26) from the free throw line. Toronto had all five starters score 12 points or more while the second unit contributed 28 points on 47.6% (10-for-21) shooting from the field. The Raptors got a complete team effort at home in Game 5, but we expect regression tonight, especially on the road. Point guard Kyle Lowry is expected to play tonight, but he is dealing with stiffness in his back. Lowry leads in the team in assists (7.0 apg) and steals (1.5 spg) and is second in scoring (22.4 ppg) while shooting 41% from three-point range. 10* Play BUCKS. |
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04-26-17 | Bulls +8 v. Celtics | 97-108 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Chicago won the first two games of this series in Boston, but the Bulls were terrible in their two home games. Chicago lost Game 3 by 17 points (104-87), and they lost Game 4 by 9 points (104-95). The Bulls looked to be in control of this series, but unfortunately for them, they lost point guard Rajon Rondo to a thumb injury. His absence was clearly evident in the Bulls last two games, but with this being their third game without him, we expect a much better team effort from Chicago tonight. Chicago’s offense was awful in their last two games as they only scored a total of 182 points on 40.6% (65-for-160) shooting from the field and 24.4% (11-for-45) shooting from three-point land. Prior to those two games, the Bulls had scored 106 points or more in six consecutive games, and in seven of their previous eight games overall. 10* Play BULLS (+). |
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04-26-17 | Hawks v. Wizards -6 | 99-103 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Atlanta started down 0-2 in this series against Washington, but the Hawks got back on track by winning two games on their home court. The home team is now 4-0 SU/ATS in this playoff series and 7-1 SU in all meetings this season. It is not a surprise since both squads have exhibited strong home/road dichotomies over the years. Atlanta will now head back to Washington for this pivotal Game 5, and we expect the Hawks to regress off their last two games. In their two games at home, the Hawks scored a total of 227 points on 46.9% (84-for-179) shooting from the field and 37.5% (21-for-56) shooting from three-point land. Compare those numbers to the ones they put up in Washington in the first two games, and you can see a difference. In the first two games, the Hawks scored a total of 208 points on 42.0% (66-for-157) shooting from the field and 24.4% (11-for-45) shooting from three-point land. Atlanta will revert back to their two performances in Washington, and that makes them quite vulnerable in Game 5. 9* Play WIZARDS (-). |
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04-25-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -10 | 103-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Memphis started 0-2 in this series against San Antonio, and the Grizzlies looked well on their way to getting swept. But they completely reversed their play at home, and Memphis won both games to tie the series up at 2 games apiece. Memphis will head back to San Antonio for this pivotal Game 5, and we expect the Grizzlies to regress sharply off their last two games. In their two games at home, the Grizzlies scored a total of 215 points on 48.4% (77-for-159) shooting from the field, 42.9% (21-for-49) shooting from three-point land, and 90.9% (40-for-44) shooting from the free throw line. Compare those numbers to the ones they put up in San Antonio in the first two games, and you can see a major difference. In the first two games, the Grizzlies scored a total of just 164 points on 38.5% (62-for-161) shooting from the field, 29.8% (14-for-47) shooting from three-point land, and 81.3% (26-for-32) shooting from the free throw line. 10* Play SPURS (-). |
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04-24-17 | Warriors v. Blazers UNDER 219.5 | 128-103 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Golden State took a commanding 3-0 series lead with their come from behind win over Portland on Saturday night. The Warriors trailed by as many as 17 points before out-scoring the Trail Blazers 65-46 in the second half to win 119-113. Golden State’s offense scored 30 points or more in three of the four quarters while Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson scored a combined 58 points on just 39.1% (18-46) shooting from the field, including 39.1% (9-23) shooting from three-point land. Overall, the Warriors shot just 44% (40-91) from the field and 33.3% (12-36) from three-point land. Golden State also scored 27 points from the free throw line, so the 119 points scored was not from stellar offensive play. Over their last five games, the Warriors’ offense has averaged 111.6 points per game on 46.9% shooting from the field and 34.6% shooting from three-point land. Portland played their best offensive game of the series in Game 3, and that still wasn’t enough to beat Golden State. The Trail Blazers played an exceptional half of basketball as they scored 67 points over the first 24 minutes. However, Portland couldn’t do anything in the second half when they only scored 46 points. Portland’s best two offensive players, Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum, scored a combined 63 points on 43.5% (20-46) shooting from the field and 45.5% (10-22) shooting from three-point land. Portland can’t expect both guys to play their ‘A’ game once again tonight, so their offense will likely regress in Game 4. Over their last five games, Portland’s offense has only averaged 100.4 points per game on 41.8% shooting from the field and 36.6% shooting from three-point land. We expect a low-scoring game between the Warriors and Trail Blazers on Monday night. 10* Play UNDER the total. |
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04-23-17 | Clippers v. Jazz -2.5 | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Los Angeles is quite fortunate to be up 2-1 over Utah in this series. The Clippers lost Game 1 at home, and despite playing a shorthanded Jazz team in Game 2, Los Angeles could only win by 8 points (99-91). In Game 3 in Utah on Friday night, the Clippers got blitzed in the first quarter (34-21), and they lost Blake Griffin to an injury in the second quarter. Despite that, the Clippers somehow came back and beat the Jazz 111-106. Chris Paul took over as he scored 34 points on 54.5% (12-22) shooting from the field. Overall, the Clippers shot 54.7% (41-77) from the field, and they got to the free throw line 33 times on Utah’s home court. The Clippers are at their best in fast-paced games, and for some reason, Utah was willing to run with them in Game 3. That’s not how Utah is going to beat Los Angeles, so we expect them to revert back to their slow-paced style of Game 1 which they won 97-95. Los Angeles is just 7-15 SU this season when held to less than 100 points. Utah went 51-31 during the regular season; the same record of the Clippers. These teams are just about equal across the board, and off a home loss, we expect a strong bounce back performance by the Jazz tonight. Utah is 29-13 SU at home, and they play a perfect half-court style of basketball that is conducive to NBA post-season success. But they got away from that in Game 3, and it cost them a win. Utah’s defense only gives up 95.2 points per game on 45.3% shooting from the field and 36.6% shooting from three-point land at home. Their defense is tremendous by efficiency metrics as they only give up 102.7 points per 100 possessions which ranks them third overall in the NBA. Utah’s offense is in good current form as they’ve shot 48.1% from the field and 39.6% from three-point land over their last five games. We’ll lay the points with Utah in Game 4 on Sunday night. 10* Play JAZZ (-). |
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04-22-17 | Warriors v. Blazers +6.5 | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Golden State slogged thru the first three quarters in Game 1, and the game was tied heading into the fourth quarter. The Warriors decided to flip the switch over the final 12 minutes en route to their 121-109 win. Golden State then played Game 2 without Kevin Durant (calf), and they waxed Portland by 29 points (110-81). Golden State’s offense wasn't all that good in Game 2, so their margin of victory is quite misleading, making tonight’s posted spread a bit inflated. The Warriors only shot 44% (40-for-91) from the field and 31.2% (10-for-32) from three-point land. Now they are laying points on the road against a desperate team that plays much better basketball on their home court, and that makes Golden State a vulnerable team in Game 3. 10* Play TRAIL BLAZERS (+). |
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04-21-17 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 197.5 | 111-106 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
Los Angeles heads to Utah for Game 3 on Friday night. The series is tied at one game apiece after the Clippers bounced back strong in their 99-91 win in Game 2. Los Angeles has been unable to force their style of play on Utah in the first two games, and we don’t expect that to change, especially with this game being played in Utah. The Clippers’ defense has been in excellent current form as of late. In fact, Los Angeles has held five of their last six opponents to 97 points or less. Over their last five games, the Clippers’ defense has given up just 93.2 points per game on 44.9% shooting from the field and 34.2% shooting from three-point land. Utah played exceptional basketball this season. The Jazz went 51-31 during the regular season; the same record of the Clippers. Utah plays a perfect half-court style of basketball that is conducive to NBA post-season success. And the Jazz did exactly that in Game 1 when they beat the Clippers 97-95. Utah’s defense only gives up 96.8 points per game on 44.4% shooting from the field and 35.7% shooting from three-point land. Their defense is tremendous by efficiency metrics as they only give up 102.7 points per 100 possessions which ranks them third overall in the NBA. We expect a low-scoring game between the Clippers and Jazz on Friday night. 9* Play UNDER the total. |
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04-20-17 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 187 | 94-105 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
San Antonio heads into Game 3 in Memphis with a 2-0 series lead. The Spurs have dominated the first two games of the series while winning by 14 and 29 points. San Antonio’s defense has been outstanding while holding the Grizzlies to just 82 points in each game. That’s been the case all season as the Spurs have held Memphis to 90 points or less in five of their six meetings this season. San Antonio had the #1 defense in the NBA based on efficiency metrics this season. The Spurs held their opponents to just 100.9 points per 100 possessions. It’s not a surprise that Memphis cannot score on San Antonio considering the Grizzlies ranked 19th in the NBA in scoring efficiency while only averaging 104.7 points per 100 possessions. Over their last five games, San Antonio’s defense has given up just 92.4 points per game on 43.8% shooting from the field and 34.4% shooting from three-point land. Memphis is a team built upon their defense. The Grizzlies had the 7th best defense in the NBA this season while allowing 104.5 points per 100 possessions. Memphis played terrible defense in Game 1 when they gave up 111 points on 53.9% (41-76) shooting from the field and 52.6% (10-19) shooting from three-point land. The Grizzlies played much better in Game 2 when they held San Antonio to 96 points on 45.9% (28-61) shooting from the field and 39.1% (9-23) shooting from three-point land. Memphis knows their only chance of winning is to play exceptional defense, and they’ve done that at home all season. The Grizzlies give up 97.1 points per game on 45.7% shooting from the field and 34.5% shooting from three-point land at home. We expect a low-scoring game between the Spurs and Grizzlies on Thursday night. 10* Play UNDER the total. |
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04-20-17 | Cavs v. Pacers +2.5 | 119-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Cleveland has a 2-0 series lead heading into Game 3 in Indiana on Thursday night. The Cavaliers won both games by a combined 7 points, and that’s not a good sign, especially since Cleveland played much better basketball at home than on the road this season. In fact, the Cavaliers were +10.6 points per 100 possessions at home while they were -2.4 points per 100 possessions on the road this season. Cleveland’s offense was excellent in the first two games of this series as they shot a combined 54.5% (84-154) from the field and 40.7% (24-59) from three-point land. Cleveland put those numbers up on their home court where they’ve been a much better team, but they couldn’t beat Indiana by more than 6 points. Now they are laying points on the road where their offense will not match the efficient production of the first two games, and that makes them a vulnerable team in Game 3. Indiana has been a much better team at home than on the road this season. In fact, Indiana went 29-12 SU at home during the regular season while being +10.6 points per 100 possessions. On the road, the Pacers went just 13-28 SU in the regular season while being -5.4 points per 100 possessions. Indiana had no business of staying close in the two games in Cleveland, but the Pacers did, and that’s a very good sign for tonight’s game on their strong home court. Overall, Indiana averages 106.9 points per game on 47.3% shooting from the field and 38.1% shooting from three-point land at home. Cleveland owns a -1.9 point differential on the road where their defense gives up 109.8 points per game on 47% shooting from the field and 36.4% shooting from three-point land. We’ll back Indiana in Game 3 on Thursday night. 9* Play PACERS (+). |
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04-19-17 | Thunder +8 v. Rockets | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City hung tough for the first half in Game 1 in Houston on Sunday night. The Thunder trailed 59-54 at the half before imploding over the final 24 minutes of the game. Oklahoma City was atrocious in the second half while getting out-scored 59-33 by the Rockets. Russell Westbrook was terrible as he only scored 22 points on 26.1% (6-23) shooting from the field, including 27.3% (3-11) shooting from three-point land. Overall, the Thunder scored just 87 total points after shooting a woeful 37% (30-81) from the field and just 31% (9-29) from three-point land. Oklahoma City’s starting five was atrocious as they combined to score just 57 total points. The 87 points scored by Oklahoma City was their fourth lowest scoring output of the season. In the three games following their lowest point totals, Oklahoma City’s offense averaged 110.7 points per game with Westbrook recording a triple-double in two of those three games; the Thunder went 33-9 SU this season when Westbrook recorded a triple-double. Oklahoma City’s offense scored a lot of easy baskets this season as they averaged a league-best 49.9 points per game inside the paint. The Thunder scored a total of 206 points inside the paint against Houston this season, but in Game 1, the Rockets somehow out-scored Oklahoma City 62-38 inside the paint. Houston closed the regular season by going 5-5 SU over their last ten games, so their complete team effort in Game 1 sets them up to regress sharply tonight. The Rockets played five playoff teams during that stretch, and they went just 1-4 SU in those games, so that’s also a sign that they will fail to match their production from Game 1. Houston scored 118 points in Game 1 after five players had 11 points or more, including two players off the bench. Overall, the Rockets’ offense shot 49.5% (45-91) from the field. The bench shot a terrific 45.2% (14-31) from the field with Nene scoring 15 points on an incredible 87.5% (7-8) shooting from the field. Houston’s bench will not repeat that production, especially Nene who only averages about 17 minutes per game. Oklahoma City out-scored their opponents by 2.8 points per 100 possessions in the first and fourth quarters this season, so the complete collapse over the final 12 minutes was an anomaly. This game will be close throughout, so we’ll take the points with Oklahoma City in Game 2 on Wednesday night. 10* Play THUNDER (+). |
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04-18-17 | Bucks v. Raptors -7.5 | 100-106 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Milwaukee was one of three teams in the Eastern Conference to make the playoffs despite having a negative point differential on the season. The Bucks beat the Raptors 97-83 in Game 1 on Saturday night. Milwaukee did not play nearly as well as their 14-point win would indicate. The Bucks shot just 44.7% (38-85) from the field and 39.1% (9-23) from three-point land. Milwaukee has had little success this season when scoring less than 100 points in a game. In fact, the Bucks are just 9-23 SU when held to less than 100 points this season. So winning Game 1 while only scoring 97 points was a fortunate outcome for Milwaukee. But they won’t be so fortunate tonight, especially if Toronto’s defense holds them to less than 100 points just like they have in four of five meetings this season. Toronto has a history of underperforming in Game 1’s of the playoffs. Under head coach Dwane Casey, the Raptors are now 0-6 SU in those games. Last season, Toronto lost Game 1 on their home court in their first two playoff series, but they bounced back strong and won both Game 2’s after holding their opponents to just 87 and 92 points. That trend will continue tonight, especially since Toronto’s defense has given up just 94.6 points per game on 43.7% shooting from the field and 32.6% shooting from three-point land over their last five games. Toronto’s offense was horrendous in Game 1 while shooting just 36% (27-75) shooting from the field and 21.7% (5-23) shooting from three-point land. The Raptors’ offense will bounce back strong, so we’ll lay the points with Toronto in Game 2 on Tuesday night. 10* Play RAPTORS (-). |
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04-17-17 | Pacers v. Cavs -8.5 | 111-117 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Indiana was one of three teams in the Eastern Conference to make the playoffs despite having a negative point differential on the season. The Pacers were also a much better team at home than they were on the road this season. In fact, Indiana went 29-12 SU at home while being +10.6 points per 100 possessions. On the road, the Pacers went 13-28 SU while being -5.4 points per 100 possessions. Indiana also has the third worst bench in the NBA based on efficiency metrics, and their bench ranks dead last of any team in the playoffs. The Pacers were also terrible in the fourth quarter this season while ranking third worst in the league with a -4.5 net point differential based on 100 possessions. Indiana reversed their seasonal long tendencies in their 109-108 loss in Game 1 on Saturday afternoon. The Pacers’ bench out-scored Cleveland’s bench 34-23, and Indiana won the fourth quarter 24-17. Over the first three quarters, the Pacers were out-scored 92-84, so their anomaly of the final 12 minutes made the game closer than it actually was. Indiana will revert back to their seasonal tendencies tonight, and they’ll be non-competitive. 9* Play CAVALIERS (-). |
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04-16-17 | Thunder +7 v. Rockets | 87-118 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City went 47-35 SU during the regular season. There is no question the Thunder were carried by Russell Westbrook’s amazing season in which he averaged a triple-double; a feat that was last done 55 years ago by Oscar Robertson. Oklahoma City went 33-9 SU when Westbrook recorded a triple-double, and most of those came in fast-paced games against poor defensive teams. That’s exactly the type of opponent the Thunder will face in this series, so expect Westbrook to put-up some big numbers. Oklahoma City’s offense scored a lot of easy baskets this season as they averaged a league-best 49.9 points per game inside the paint. The Thunder scored a total of 206 points inside the paint in their four meetings against Houston this season. While the Thunder went just 1-3 SU in those games, their three losses only came by an average of -5.7 points per game. 10* Play THUNDER (+). |
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04-15-17 | Jazz +6 v. Clippers | 97-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Utah played exceptional basketball this season. The Jazz went 51-31 SU during the regular season; the same record as the Clippers. Utah plays a perfect half-court style of basketball that is conducive to NBA post-season success. Utah’s defense only gives up 96.8 points per game on 44.3% shooting from the field and 35.8% shooting from three-point land. Their defense is tremendous by efficiency metrics as they only give up 102.7 points per 100 possessions which ranks them third overall in the NBA. Utah’s offense closed the regular season in terrific form as the Jazz averaged 103.6 points per game on 49.2% shooting from the field and 43.8% shooting from three-point land during their last five games. |
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04-09-17 | Cavs -3 v. Hawks | 125-126 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Cleveland played a 4-game stretch of unbelievable basketball, and it was only a matter of time before they threw in a clunker. The Cavaliers scored 122, 135, 122, and 114 in four consecutive wins over the 76ers, Pacers, Magic, and Celtics. Putting up those numbers was unsustainable, and the Cavaliers got embarrassed at home by Atlanta on Friday night. The Hawks beat the Cavaliers 114-100 despite playing that game with their backups. But we’re willing to draw a line thru that ugly loss because Cleveland was overdue for a terrible effort. Off that defeat, we expect Cleveland to bounce back strong, especially with this being quick, turnaround revenge against Atlanta. The Cavaliers are only half a game up on Boston for the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference, so that will ensure a good effort in this game. Atlanta is dealing with some injuries which has caused them to shuffle their rotation. The Hawks are without Thabo Sefolosha (groin), and Dennis Schroder (foot) missed the last game; he’s questionable for today’s game. Kent Bazemore (knee) and Paul Millsap (knee) also missed the last game; both are questionable for this game. The Hawks cannot improve their playoff positioning, but there’s a chance they could slide down a spot or two. However, that’s a slim possibility with their remaining schedule after this game, so Atlanta may be extra cautious with their star players in this game. We’ll back Cleveland in this game on Sunday afternoon. 9* Play CAVALIERS (-). |
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04-06-17 | Wizards -5.5 v. Knicks | 106-103 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Washington hits the road again after beating Charlotte 118-111 at home on Tuesday night. The Wizards just played a 5-game road trip where they went just 2-3 SU after beginning the trip with back-to-back wins. Washington has a short trip to New York tonight, and since they’ve lost their last three road games, we expect a peak performance tonight. The Wizards’ offense is in good current form as they’ve averaged 112.8 points per game on 47.8% shooting from the field and 37.8% shooting from three-point land over their last five games. Washington’s offense has also been good on the road where they are averaging 108.2 points per game on 46.6% shooting from the field. Washington will now face a New York defense that gives up 106.2 points per game on 45.5% shooting from the field at home. |
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04-05-17 | Cavs v. Celtics -4 | 114-91 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Cleveland has won three consecutive games, including last night’s 122-102 comeback win over Orlando. The Magic led at the half, but the Cavaliers out-scored Orlando 43-20 in the third quarter to take control of that game. Cleveland will now hit the road for tonight’s game in Boston. This is a terrible situational and scheduling spot for the Cavaliers. Cleveland will be playing their third game in four nights, their fourth game in six nights, and their fifth game in seven nights. Cleveland’s offense has scored 379 total points in their last three games while shooting 51.8% (141-272) from the field and 45.8% (49-107) from three-point land. The Cavaliers will also be without starting center Tristan Thompson; he hurt his thumb in last night’s game. Boston returns home off an easy 110-94 road win over the Knicks on Sunday afternoon. The Celtics have had the last two nights off to get ready and prepare for Cleveland, so we expect a peak performance tonight. Boston’s offense comes into this game in excellent current form; the Celtics have scored 100 points or more in seven straight games. Over their last five games, Boston has averaged 113.8 points per game on 47.7% shooting from the field. Cleveland owns a -2.4 point differential on the road this season, and since the Cavaliers’ offense is set to regress sharply tonight, we’ll lay the points with Boston in this game on Wednesday night. 9* Play CELTICS (-). |
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04-04-17 | Magic +9.5 v. Cavs | 102-122 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Orlando will play their third and final game of this current 3-game road trip tonight in Cleveland. The Magic were competitive at Boston in a 117-116 loss last Friday night before losing the next night in Brooklyn by 10 points (121-111). Orlando has had the last two days off to get ready for tonight’s game against the Cavaliers, so we expect a peak performance this evening. Orlando’s offense comes into this game in good current form; the Magic have scored 100 points or more in eight straight games, and in ten of their last eleven games overall. Over their last five games, Orlando has averaged 112 points per game on 46% shooting from the field and 35.9% shooting from three-point land. |
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04-02-17 | Pacers v. Cavs OVER 214 | 130-135 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Indiana and Cleveland match-up well for a high-scoring game on Sunday night. The Pacers and Cavaliers have played three times this season, and the last two meetings had 249 and 217 points scored. Indiana’s offense comes into this game in good current form. The Pacers have scored 100 points or more in six of their last seven games while averaging 107 points per game. Over their last five games, Indiana is shooting 45.5% from the field and 41.8% from three-point land. The Pacers will now face a Cleveland defense that is in total disarray. The Cavaliers just gave up 105 points to a depleted Philadelphia offense in their last game. Over their last five games, the Cavaliers have given up 107.8 points per game on 47.9% shooting from the field, so the Pacers will score easy points in this game. Cleveland has been in a state of flux for quite some time. The Cavaliers have been dealing with nagging injuries all season, and it has been difficult for them to get into any kind of rhythm lately. Their poor play on the court finally hit rock bottom in their 103-74 loss at San Antonio three games ago. After that embarrassing loss, there was a team meeting that reportedly got this team headed in the right direction. Cleveland’s last two games back that claim up as the Cavaliers played with great effort. In their last game, the Cavaliers scored 122 points on 52.6% (50-95) shooting from the field and 44.8% (13-29) shooting from three-point land. Cleveland’s offense will continue their scoring ways tonight against an Indiana defense that has given up 100 points or more in seven of their last eight games. Over their last five games, the Pacers’ defense has given up 111 points per game on 45.2% shooting from the field and 38.1% shooting from three-point land. We expect a high-scoring game between the Pacers and Cavaliers on Sunday night. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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03-31-17 | Spurs -2 v. Thunder | 100-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
San Antonio hits the road after playing a 4-game home stand with their last being a 110-98 loss to Golden State. The Spurs blew a 22-point lead in that game after their offense went ice cold after the first quarter. Overall, San Antonio shot just 41% (34-83) from the field and 37.5% (9-24) from three-point land. San Antonio’s best player, Kawhi Leonard, had his worst game in quite some time as he only scored 19 points on 35% (7-20) shooting from the field; he also missed all five of his 3-point attempts. The Spurs had a bad team performance, and off that ugly loss with a day off, we expect a peak performance tonight. San Antonio’s offense has been good on the road this season; the Spurs are averaging 105.7 points per game on 46.8% shooting from the field and 38% shooting from three-point land. Oklahoma City is in a terrible situational spot for tonight’s home game against San Antonio. The Thunder return home off a 3-game road trip where they went 2-1 SU. After losing their first game of the trip in Houston, the Thunder were on their way to another loss in Dallas as they trailed by 13 points with just over 3 minutes left to play. Oklahoma City scored the last 14 points of that game to win 92-91. In their last game in Orlando, the Thunder once again overcame another 13-point fourth quarter deficit to beat the Magic in overtime. Off those back-to-back fortunate wins, we expect major regression from Oklahoma City tonight, especially since they are taking a major step-up in class against the Spurs. Oklahoma City’s defense is in poor current form; the Thunder have given up 108.4 points per game on 46.7% shooting from the field and 39.7% shooting from three-point land over their last five games. We’ll back San Antonio in this game on Friday night. 10* Play SPURS (-). |
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03-29-17 | Bucks v. Celtics -8 | 103-100 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is in a terrible scheduling and situational spot for tonight’s game in Boston against the Celtics. The Bucks played last night in Charlotte and they beat the Hornets 118-108 in an impressive performance. Milwaukee shot an incredible 62.2% (46-74) from the field and 46.7% (14-30) from three-point land in that game. However, Milwaukee had four starters play 29 minutes or more, including two starters logging 34 minutes or more. Overall, the Bucks had six players log 23 minutes or more in that game. Milwaukee will now play on a back-to-back road set with this also being their third game in four nights, and their tenth game over the last seventeen days while playing eight of those ten games on the road. Boston comes into this game in excellent current form; the Celtics are on a 4-game winning streak and they’ve won seven of their last eight games overall. Boston has had two full days off to rest and get ready for this game, so that gives them a huge scheduling edge over Milwaukee in this game. Boston’s offense is averaging 112 points per game on 46.8% shooting from the field over their last five games. Their offense will have success tonight against a Milwaukee defense that gives up 104.4 points per game on 46% shooting from the field and 36% shooting from three-point land on the road. We’ll lay the points with Boston in this game on Wednesday night. 10* Play CELTICS (-). |
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03-28-17 | Wizards v. Lakers +10 | 119-108 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
Washington is in a terrible scheduling and situational spot for tonight’s game in Los Angeles against the Lakers. The Wizards’ offense has scored 256 total points in their last two games. Washington shot 54.7% (98-179) from the field, 40.9% (18-44) from three-point land, and 87.5% (42-48) from the free throw line in those games. However, Washington has been off for the last two days, and they had to travel across the country for tonight’s game after playing in Cleveland on Saturday night. The Wizards are set to regress tonight, especially since they will be taking a major step-down in class against the Lakers after beating the Cavaliers as 6-point underdogs in their last game. Los Angeles will play their sixth and final game of their current home stand before leaving town to play three of their next four games on the road. The Lakers have gone just 1-4 SU in their last five home games with their last being an ugly 97-81 loss to Portland. Los Angeles’ offense was embarrassingly bad in that game as they shot just 39.3% (33-84) from the field and 23.8% (5-21) from three-point land. Off that poor effort, and with this being their last home game for awhile, we expect a peak performance tonight. Prior to the 81 points they scored in their last game, the Lakers’ offense had scored 100 points or more in nine consecutive games, so they’ll snap back with a strong effort tonight. We’ll take Los Angeles plus the points in this game on Tuesday night. 9* Play LAKERS (+). |
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03-28-17 | 76ers v. Nets OVER 224 | 106-101 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Philadelphia and Brooklyn match-up well for a high-scoring game on Tuesday night. The 76ers and Nets have averaged 220 total points scored in their last three meetings, and that has been with terrible shooting between the two teams. Philadelphia scored 327 total points while shooting just 43% (116-270) from the field and 36.5% (31-85) from three-point land. The 76ers’ offense is in good current form as they’ve averaged 104.4 points per game on 44.2% shooting from the field over their last five games. At home, the Nets allow their opponents to average 110.9 points per game on 47.1% shooting from the field, so the 76ers will score easy points in this game. Brooklyn has been at their best this season when allowed to play at a fast pace. The Nets will certainly get that opportunity tonight against the 76ers. Brooklyn’s defense has been horrendous all season; they give up 113.3 points per game on 46.1% shooting from the field and 36.6% shooting from three-point land. The Nets have to out-score their opponents to win, so that means they have to have as many possessions as possible. Brooklyn’s offense has averaged 108.6 points per game on 45.6% shooting from the field. They will face a Philadelphia defense that gives up 110.1 points per game on 46.9% shooting from the field and 37.7% shooting from three-point land this season. We expect a high-scoring game between the 76ers and Nets on Tuesday night. 10* Play OVER the total. |
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03-28-17 | 76ers +3 v. Nets | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Philadelphia will play their fifth and final game of their current road trip tonight in Brooklyn against the Nets. The 76ers are just 1-3 SU so far on the trip, but two of their losses came against superior teams. Philadelphia lost in overtime to the Magic, and they beat the Bulls, and both of those opponents are on the 76ers’ level. Brooklyn is certainly on the same level of Philadelphia, so the 76ers are not out-classed in this game. Philadelphia’s offense is in good current form as they’ve averaged 104.4 points per game on 44.2% shooting from the field over their last five games. At home, the Nets allow their opponents to average 110.9 points per game on 47.1% shooting from the field, so the 76ers will score easy points in this game. Brooklyn is in a terrible scheduling and situational spot for tonight’s home game against Philadelphia. The Nets are returning home off a 107-92 win as 6.5-point road underdogs at Atlanta. Brooklyn won that game despite their offense only shooting 44.2% (38-86) from the field and just 27.3% (6-22) from three-point land. The Nets will now lay points off a misleading win, so they are quite vulnerable in this spot. Brooklyn’s defense has been horrendous all season; they give up 113.3 points per game on 46.1% shooting from the field and 36.6% shooting from three-point land. This is a flat spot for Brooklyn, so we’ll take the points with Philadelphia in this game on Tuesday night. 9* Play 76ERS (+). |
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03-27-17 | Thunder v. Mavs +2 | 92-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City is in a terrible scheduling and situational spot for tonight’s game in Dallas against the Mavericks. The Thunder played yesterday afternoon in Houston, and they lost 137-125. Oklahoma City played a terrific offensive game as they shot 50% (47-94) from the field while also making eleven three’s in that game. But they lost, and that’s a demoralizing defeat that will leave them with a hangover for tonight’s game, especially since they’ll be playing on a back-to-back set. Oklahoma City’s offense has scored 247 total points on 52.2% (95-182) shooting from the field in their last two games, so they are set to regress tonight, especially since they will be taking a major step-up in defensive class against the Mavericks. Dallas will play their fourth and final game of their current home stand before leaving town for a 5-game road trip. The Mavericks have gone just 1-2 SU in their last three home games with their last being an ugly 94-86 loss to Toronto. Dallas’ offense was embarrassingly bad in that game as they shot just 37.8% (31-82) from the field and 25% (7-28) from three-point land. Off that poor effort, and with this being their last home game until April 7th, we expect a peak performance tonight. Dallas’ defense has been good at home this season; the Mavericks are only giving up 97.6 points per game on 48.7% shooting from the field and 35% shooting from three-point land. Their defense is plenty capable of slowing down the Thunder’s offense, especially since they are expected to regress. We’ll back Dallas in this game on Monday night. 10* Play MAVERICKS (+). |
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03-26-17 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Nuggets | 115-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
New Orleans had their 3-game winning streak snapped in Houston after losing 117-107 to the Rockets on Friday night. Despite that loss, the Pelicans are playing their best basketball of the second half of the season. New Orleans is 5-2 SU over their last seven games, and they’ve bounced back with a win after each of their last two losses. The Pelicans had last night off, and off a loss, we expect a peak performance tonight. New Orleans’ offense is in excellent current form as they’ve averaged 113 points per game on 48.1% shooting from the field and 37.9% shooting from three-point land over their last five games. Their offense will have success tonight against a Denver defense that has given up an average of 115.6 points per game on 50% shooting from the field and 42.6% shooting from three-point land over their last five games. Denver is in a terrible scheduling and situational spot for tonight’s home game against New Orleans. The Nuggets return home after a 125-117 win as 1.5-point road underdogs at Indiana on Friday night. Denver had a massive 43-11 free throw attempts edge in that game while out-scoring the Pacers 40-8 from the line, and they only won that game by 8 points. The Nuggets were underdogs in their last three games which all resulted in wins. Now they are laying more than a handful of points into a team in terrific current form. Denver’s offense has scored 375 total points on 50.8% (134-264) shooting from the field, 36.6% (30-82) shooting from three-point land, and 93.9% (77-82) shooting from the free throw line in their last three games. Denver’s offense is likely to regress in this game, so we’ll take New Orleans plus the points on Sunday night. 10* Play PELICANS (+). |