The Rutgers Scarlet Knights will look to remain undefeated in home games when they take on the Purdue Boilermakers tonight. They had to scratch and claw their way to their 14th consecutive home win in their defeat of the Nebraska Cornhuskers. The Knights puked a 14-point lead early in the second half and trailed by six points with less than three minutes remaining in the game. Once again, their conference-leading scoring defense clamped down and did not allow a point the remainder of the game while the Knights scored the final nine points to earn the win.

The opponent tonight is second in the Big-Ten in scoring defense and they are going to put up a much bigger test than Nebraska provided. Purdie’s head coach Matt Painter called his team out prior to their dominating win over the Wisconsin Badgers in which they outrebounded them 42-16 and had a massive 19-2 advantage in second chance points. I belevie the Boilermakers will play another overwhelming game and leave Piscataway, NJ with the outright win.

From the predictive side of things, the Knights are 34-80 ATS in games in which they have shot under 30% form beyond the arc; 26-52 ATS when they have made 65 to 70% of their free throw shots.

Purdue is 37-5 SU (88%) and winning the game by an average of 22.2 points in games in which they held the opponent to less than 30% shooting and had 40 or more rebounds and had more rebounds than the opponent; 35-4 SU since 2010; 6-2 SUATS when on the road.

Villanova vs St. Johns
7:00 PM EST, January 28, 2020
7-Star Bet on the Villanova Wildcats

Wildcats legendary head coach Jay Wright has a Final-4 potential and his teams always begin to peak at this time of the season. The Wildcats are 14-1 straight-up (SU) and 10-5 against-the-spread (ATS) over the last two seasons. Coach Wright will not have to think long for motivational material tonight as his Wildcats blew a 17-point first-half lead and were shocked by the Red Storm 71-65, which marked the first home win against the Wildcats for the Red Storm in 17 seasons.

·        The Wildcats are 22-11 ATS when facing winning teams that are outscoring their opponents by four or more points-per-game after 15 or games have been played over the last three seasons.

·        The Wildcats are 33-15 ATS after having won eight or more of their last 10 games spanning the last three seasons.

·        The Wildcats are 13-3 ATS coming off a road win spanning the last three seasons.

The NCAA Basketball Best Bet: Villanova Wildcats -3.5 (-110)

No. 3 Kansas vs Oklahoma State
9:00 PM EST, Monday, January 27, 2020
NCAAM Basketball: 7-Star Oklahoma State

The Big-12 Conference ranks as second strongest in my rankings as a conference and have four teams in the Top-25 of the polls with several more teams capable of adding themselves to the list of ranked teams. One of these teams is in a difficult road matchup in which it will take a well-played game for them to leave with the win.

The Kansas Jayhawks will look to add to their current four-game win streak and chase down the Baylor Bears, who are atop the Big-12 Conference standings at 6-0. The Jayhawks last loss was to the Bears, who will have to stumble for the Jayhawks to win the Conference regular season title.

The Cowboys are coming off a 73-62 win at College Station and the Texas A&M Aggies that ended a 6-game conference losing streak. Their defense played well allowing the Aggies just 30% shooting from the field and they must bring that defensive mindset to this matchup if the have any intensions of defeating the Jayhawks.

There are many team-specific trends that support the Cowboys and an upset bid.

·        The Jayhawks are 6-15 ATS after having won 12 of their last 15 games in games played over the last three seasons.

·        Under Bill Self, the Jayhawks are just 34-43 ATS after playing four consecutive games in which they had 14 or fewer turnovers in each game.

·        The Cowboys are 16-10 against the money line making $1,200 per $100 wager in home games after having lost four of their last five games.

NCAAB Upset Alert: The Oklahoma State Cowboys +7 (-110) that is offered at the Heritage Sportsbook. I recommend making a combination bet consisting of 85% of your average bet size on the line and 15% on the money line.

I will get right to the team-specific trends and betting systems that support and reinforce the projections from the machine learning toolbox.

This situational power-query has 48-18 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games and are facing a team that has covered four or five of their last six games against the spread.

From the predictive side of things, the Nets are 85-9-2 ATS for 90% winning bets when they have scored 115 or more points and had the better assist-to-turnover ratio.

San Diego State vs UNLV
4:00 PM EST, Sunday, January 26, 2020

NCAAM 7-Star Upset Alert on the UNLV Rebels

For the season the Rebels have earned an 11-10 SU mark, 11-10 ATS, and the ‘OVER’ is 11-10. In MWC action the Rebels are a solid 6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS, and the ‘OVER’ has recorded a 5-2 winning record. As a host the Rebels are 9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS, and the ‘UNDER’ is 7-6 for the season.

In their last game, the Rebels lost to the Nevada Wolfpack 86-72 as a 4-point road underdog Wednesday. They shot just 36% from the field and their defense forced only six Wolfpack turnovers.

The Rebels have a balanced scoring attack led by four players averaging at least 11 points-per-game. Their scoring leader is junior guard Amauri Hardy, who is averaging 15.1 points-per-game. Sophomore guard Bryce Hamilton is second on the team in scoring averaging 13.5 points-per-game and was ranked as the 95th best High School player in the country last year. He has been the sixth man coming off the bench and has played well in that role averaging 27 minutes-per-game, shooting 51% on 2-point shots and 31% on three-point shots.

In their loss at Nevada Hamilton had a team-high 26 points on 10-for-23 shooting and in the second to last game against New Mexico he had a team and career-high 35 points on 14-for-19 shooting. He and Hardy must have their best on the court if they are to take down the Aztecs.

This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 63-28 ATS record for 69% winning NCAAM picks over the last five seasons. The system requires us to bet on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who have a win percentage between 51 and 60% on the season and is now facing an elite team winning 80% or more of their games on the season and are coming off a home win over a conference rival.

Rebels head coach Otzelberger is 14-2 ATS in home games and facing an elite shooting team that is making at least 47% of their shots and with the game taking place in the second half of the season (after Game 15). I do believe that the Rebels can hang around long enough to have a chance at the end to get the headliner upset win today.

Michigan State vs Minnesota
3:00 PM EST, January 26, 2020
7-Star Bet on the Michigan State Spartans

Here are a few bullets underscoring the machine learning grading on MSU.

MSU is 24-6-1 ATS when facing teams, who like to shoot the ‘three’ and average 21 or more of them per game in games played over the past two seasons.
MSU is 12-1 ATS when facing a solid defensive team that allowed opponents 42% or lower shooting from the field in games played over the past two seasons.

From the predictive side of things, MSU is 113-3 SU winning by an average of 24 points-per-game and 80-21-2 ATS for 79% and covering the spread by an average of 7 points-per-game since 2006; 40-10 ATS for 80% winners since 2015; 5-1 ATS this season.

I will get right to the team-specific trends and betting systems that support and reinforce the projections from the machine learning toolbox.

 This situational power-query has 44-18-1 ATS record for 72% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams that are struggling three-point shooting teams making 32% or fewer of those shot attempts and are coming off two consecutive games allowing a shootng percentage of 38% or lower and now facing a decent team that is making between 32 and 37% of their 3-point shot attempts.

 From the predictive side of things, the Bulls are 14-4-1 ATS (78%) when they have shot at least 30% from beyond the arc, at least 40% overall from the field, and at least 65% form the free throw line as double-digit underdogs.

I will get right to the team-specific trends and betting systems that support and reinforce the projections from the machine learning toolbox.

This situational power-query has 26-12 ATS record for 70% winning NBA bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on home dogs with a win percentage of 60% and higher, who are facing a tired road warrior, who is playing their third game in four days and have a win percentage of 65% and higher.

From the predictive side of things, the Lakers are 10-25 ATS in road games where they attempt 81 to 88 shots in a game over the last three seasons. Lakers are 6-16 ATS when they mae 33 to 37.5% of their 3-point shot attempts over the last three seasons.

The 76ers are a solid 17-4 ATS when they allow between 106-112 points over the last two seasons. The Lakers are a miserable 5-17 ATS when they have scored between 106 and 112 points over the last two seasons.

The 76ers are 46-6 SU winning by an average of 12 points and 39-12-1 ATS covering by an average of 7 points when they have scored at least 111 points and have had the better assists-to-turnover ratio in game splayed over the last two seasons.

Here is a consistent winning betting system that serves to support the machine learning grading for this betting opportunity. It has earned a 90-44 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on favorites that are averaging between 68-75 points-per-game and playing an opponent with an above average defense allowing 65 or fewer points-per-game and with both teams coming off games in which they both scored 65 or fewer points.

From the predictive side of things, the Red Raiders are 25-10 ATS for 71% winners when they have made at least seven 3-point shot attempt, show 35% or better from beyond the arc, and made at least 80% of their free throw attempts since 2006 including 10-0 ATS and covering by an average of 12 points over the last three seasons.

BYU vs San Francisco
5:00 PM EST, January 25, 2020
7-Star Bet on the San Francisco Dons

From the predictive side of things, the BYU Cougars are 18-61-1 ATS when have made 75% or less of their free throw attempts and allowing at least 77 points in game dating back to 2006 including 2-14 ATS over the last three seasons.

The SF Dons are a solid 58-20-2 ATS when they have scored 77 or more points and their opponents failed to shoot better than 75% from the foul line in games played since 2006

Belmont vs Austin Peay
4:30 PM EST, January 25, 2020
7-Star Bet on Austin Peay

This situational power query betting system has earned an outstanding 80-36 ATS for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on all teams that have a betting line with 3.5 points on either side of pick-em  and after leading their last three games by at least five points at the half and is now facing an opponent that has scored 75 or mor epoints in each of their last three games.

From the predictive side of things, Austin Peay is 12-2 ATS when they have made 79% or more of their free throw attempts in game splayed over the last two season. They are 9-2 ATS in games in which they had 10 to 13 turnovers in games played over the last two seasons.

I will get right to the team-specific trends for this game.

From the predictive side of things, the Texas Longhorns are 25-6 straighht-up (SU) and 20-9-1 against-the spread (ATS) when making 40% or more of their 3-point shots and containing an opponent to63 to 70 points in game splayed since 2006.

LSU is a horrid 2-21 SU and 2-21 ATS when they have allowed an opponent to make 40% or more of their 3-point shot attempts and scored between 64 and 70 points in game splayed since 2006.

No 21 Illinois vs Michigan
12:00 PM EST, Saturday, January 25, 2020

NCAAM 7-Star Upset Alert on the Illinois Fighting Illini

The pressure of being a head coach in a Big Five Conference is weighing more and more on the broad shoulders of Michigan head coach Juwan Howard. He is not on the hot seat and is given the benefit of the doubt as having been a member of the legendary Michigan Fab-5 team and having had a solid NBA career. However, his team has lost four of their last five games and the last three straight-up (SU) and against-the spread (ATS).

The Michigan defense has been the problem as they have allowed 48% or higher shooting four of the last five opponents. Only their 84-78 win over Purdue - the only one of the last five – they did hold the Boilermakers to 41% shooting. Problem there is that it was Purdue missing wide open shots especially in the paint area.

The Wolverine offense has been a steady meltdown over the last stretch of games. In their shocking loss to Penn State (We had Penn State in this matchup) they shot a horrid 35% from the field while Penn State was able to light it up from beyond the arc and also in the paint areas to shoot 48% form the field.

Coach Howard appears to be stubborn in focusing on defending the perimeter and 3-point shooters, which they have done well. However, this stretches his defense and allows opposing big men to get the fall in open space against one defender.

In this matchup. Illinois likes to get a high-percentage shot as close to the rim as possible. They rank 316th of the 353 Division-1 programs in the country attempting an average of 17.5 3-point-shots-per-game. The Illini rank 69th making 52% of their 2-point shot attempts. So, it is still a pick your poison situation for the Wolverines. If they pack the paint, Illinois will adjust and look for shots near the 3-point shot line and not necessarily beyond it if the Wolverines pack the paint in a zone defense.

Even though the Illini have struggled from beyond the arc, they have talented shooters than can bury open shots from that range.

Illinois head coach Underwood is a perfect 8-0 ATS in road games and is coming off two consecutive wins against conference rivals.

Illinois is 58-11-3 ATS for 84% winning bets when they have made at least 45% of their shot attempts and had at least five more rebounds then the opponent in game splayed since 2006.

LA Clippers vs Miami
8:05 PM EST, January 24, 2020
7-Star Bet on the LA Clippers

This situational power query betting system has earned an outstanding 23-3 ATS for 89% winning bets over the winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on road teams that went under the posted total by at least 30 points an dis now facing a non-conference host that went OVER the total by at least 18 points in their last game.

From the predictive side of things, The Clippers are 19-7 ATS when they can play fast and attempt at least 88 or more shots this season; 30-14-1 ATS when their opponent has shot between 40 and 45% from the field spanning the last two seasons; 102-22-3 for 82% winners when they scored 115 or more points and had 14 or fewer turnovers in games played since 2000.

Niagara vs Monmouth

7:00 PM EST, Thursday, January 24, 2020

NCAAM 7-Star Titan Bet on the Monmouth Hawks

I will get right to the team-specific trends for this game. 

The Hawks are 10-2 against-the-spread in home games and facing a struggling team that is winning between 20 and 40% of their games in game splayed over the last three seasons. All of these games returned by the database occurred in the second-half (after Game 15) of each season. 

From the predictive side of things, the Hawks are projected to shoot between 40 and 45% from beyond the arc. The Purple Eagles are just 18-32-2 ATS when they have allowed an opponent to make between 40 and 45% of their 3-point shots in games played since 2006. 

The Hakws are 26-11 ATS for 70% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and maek at least 40% of their 3’s. 

The Purple Eagles are a miserable 17-69-2 ATS for 20% when they have allowed 75 points and 40% and higher shooting from beyond the arc in game splayed since 2006 and even worse 12-57-1 ATS for 17% in games played since 2010.

Dallas vs Portland
10:35 PM EST, January 23, 2020
7-Star Bet on the Portland Trailblazers

This situational power query betting system has earned an outstanding 48-17 for 74% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play on underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games and are facing an opponent that has covered the spread in four of their last five games.

From the predictive side of things, Portland is projected to score 111 or more points and commit fewer than 12 turnovers.  In past games in which Portland achieved these performance measures they have gone on to a 136-39-3 ATS record for 78% winning bets since 1995 and

This is a significant Colonial Athletic Association matchup of two teams trying to keep pace with the conference-leading William & Mary Tribe. Obviously, the research I have uncovered overwhelmingly supports Northeastern and a projected 11 or more point home win tonight.

This situational power-query betting system has earned a stout 49-24 against-the-spread (ATS) record  for 67% winners spanning the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play on home teams, who are facing an opponent coming off three or more consecutive wins and with both teams sporting win percentages between 51 and 60% on the season.

When the game identified pits two conference foes against each other the record soars to 42-15-1 ATS and 74% winning bets including a 39-12 ATS subset for 77% winning bets when the team is a conference matchup as a favorite.

The Drexel Dragons are a money-burning 2-11 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog spanning the last three seasons.

The Huskies are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS after playing two consecutive road games spanning the last two seasons.

Dragons head coach is a miserable 3-20 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog.

From the predictive side of things, the Huskies are projected to shoot 50% or better from the field and score a minimum of 80 points. In past games where the Huskies have met or exceeded these performance measures has earned them a 43-2 SU record winning the games by an average of 12. 4 points and a 32-8-1 ATS record good for 80% winners and has covered the spread by an average of 9 points.

Fresno State vs Colorado State
9:00 PM EST, January 22, 2020
7-Star Bet on Fresno State

 Let us take a look at some specific bullet points form the trustworthy database that support the bet on Fresno State that was produced by the machine learning tools.

From the predictive side of things, all these outcomes match the projections for this game and for Fresno State to be an easy winning bet tonight.
FSU is 11-3 ATS in games I which they have made between 73 and 79% of their free throws attempts in games played over the past two seasons.

FSU is 9-1 ATS in road games where they forced 10 to 13 turnovers in game splayed over the past two seasons.

CSU is 4-18 ATS when they have made 64 to 70% of their free-throw attempts in a game played over the last three seasons.

CSU is 5-17 ATS in games in which they score between 67 and 75 points over the last three seasons.

The Louisville Cardinals will look to extend their current four-game win streak against ACC conference foe Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at the KFC Yum! Center tonight. The Cardinals are also coming off a huge 79-73 road win over the Duke Blue Devils that catapulted them into a tie with the Florida State Seminoles for first place in the conference standings.

The Yellow Jackets are looking to end a two-game skid and earn an unlikely upset with against the Cardinals, but they are catching them in a prime letdown situation coming off their win at Duke. They have outshot their last three opponents handily but committed too many turnovers in their pair of losses. They must take care of the ball and keep the turnovers 14 or fewer for them to have a solid opportunity to win the game.

The Yellow Jackets are 8-10 straight-up (SU) and have earned an 11-7 against-the-spread (ATS) record. Teams that have losing records but have a winning ATS mark reflects that the team is outperforming the public’s expectations for the team. In this matchup though, the public will be betting the ranked team coming off a huge win and will disregard the losing record opponent as not relevant. So, we are getting at least four extra points in taking the Yellow Jackets.

The Yellow Jackets are 15-5 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons; 11-3 ATS in road games when facing very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points-per-game over the last two seasons.

Penn State vs Michigan
7:00 PM EST, January 202, 2020
NCAAM 7-Star Best Bet on the Penn State Nittany Lions

Hard to believe the misfortune for the Penn State Nittany Lions being voted out of the Top-25 after their huge 90-76 home win over an Ohio State team that earlier in the season had been ranked No. 1in the polls. Such is life in the extraordinarily deep 14-team conference that has the potential to set the record for teams being invited to the NCAA Tournament this season.

I do believe the Lions will have a bit of a bad taste in their mouth and will want to send a message to the voters never to underestimate them again this season. Head Coach Patrick Chambers is doing a masterful job leading his team that ranks 41st of the 353 Division-1 basketball programs in the country in scoring offense averaging 78 points-per-game and 153rd in scoring defense allowing 68 points-per-game on the season.

The Lions play at a slightly faster pace than the Wolverines, which will benefit the Lions in transition off missed Wolverine shots. The Wolverines defense has been shredded over the last 10 games because head coach Juwan Howard is refusing to change his scheme, which is all about defending the perimeter. The Wolverines do an excellent job defending the perimeter, but this has set up the opponent’s big men in the paint against man defense with little chance of getting help to prevent easy looks at the rim.

The Lions have two big men, who will expose the defense in Senior forward Lamar Stevens, who is averaging a team-high 16.6 points-per-game and Senior forward Mike Watkins, who is third on the team averaging 10.1 points-per-game. Watkins will be the go-to guy in the paint as he is making 61% of his shot attempts and rare will launch a 3-point shot.  

Here is a situational betting system that has earned a solid 195-122 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The query instructs us to bet on any team in a matchup of excellent teams with both outscoring their opponents by at least 8 points-per-game and with the opponent allowing 75 or more points in each of their last three games.  

Let us take a look at an outstanding NBA betting system that has earned a 58-23-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record for 71.3% winning bets over the last five seasons. The power system instructs is play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and are facing an opponent that is coming off a game in which the final score went OVER by 20 or more points and has a win percentage between 60 and 75%. An if this game went over the total by 30 or more points the system goes to 26-6 ATS for 81% winning NBA bets.

From the predictive side of things, the Mavs are projected to score at least 114 points and out-rebound the Clippers by at least five boards and hold the Clippers to between 43 and 47% shooting from the field.
The Mavs are 65-18-3 ATS when scoring 114 or more points in a game over the last five seasons and 19-5 ATS for 79% winners this season.

The Mavs are 24-2 ATS when scoring 114 or more points and out rebounding their opponent by at least 5 boards since 2015 and a perfect 8-0 ATS this season covering the spread by an average of 21.4 points.

Rice vs North Texas
8:00 PM EST, January 20, 2020
NCAAM Basketball Odds: North Texas -12.5 (-110)
The Bet is 7-Star on the Rice Owls

95% on the line and 15% on the money line.

I will admit upfront that it will take a huge effort for the Rice Owls to defeat the North Texas Mean Green tonight, but I do think this will be a single-digit game that may come down to the final minutes with the Owls still in the game.

The Owls are catching the Mean Green at the right time for the upset. The Mean Green have won five consecutive games straight-up and against the spread (ATS) and will be thinking this game is a ‘win’ before the game even starts. This is how a team gets caught not being fully prepared for a losing record opponent.

Let is take a close look at this supporting NCAAM betting system that has earned a 70-30 against-the-spread (ATS) record since 2006. The requirements for a bet are to bet on underdogs of 10 or more points after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games and are now facing an opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games.

The Owls allowed 81 points in their most recent loss at Southern Mississippi and this turns out to be good news for the Owls today. Head coach Pera is 17-6-1 ATS in games following one in which his team allowed 80 or more points in his three-year tenure at Rice.

The Texas Longhorns and West Virginia Mountaineers will look to bounce back from a loss in their previous game when they meet tonight at the WVU Coliseum in Morgantown, WV. The Mountaineers are 14-3 straight-up (SU) and 11-6 against-the-spread (ATS) on the season. Under head coach Bob Huggins, who has always had fierce defensive teams the ‘UNDER’ has earned a 12-5 record on the season.

The Longhorns are 12-5 SU, 6-11 ATS, and the ‘UNDER’ has earned a 9-8 record on the season. They are 2-3 SU and in 7th place in the 10-team Big-12 Conference and cannot afford another loss if they are to contend down the stretch.

The Kansas Jayhawks were in Austin, TX Saturday and had to fight hard to get out of town with a 66-57 win over the Longhorns. The Mountaineers forgot how to play defense in their 84-68 road loss to Kansas State on Saturday and failed to cover the spread as a 6-point favorite. The loss was by far the worst one of the seasons and makes it difficult for them or any team to turn things around with only a day of rest between games.

Since 2013, the Longhorns are 7-9 SU and 4-11-1 ATS when facing the Mountaineers. The ‘UNDER’ has earned a 10-6 record in these meetings. Texas has shot 45% from the field and averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds while the Mountaineers have struggled shooting 39% from the field and have been outscored on average in each half against the Longhorns.

I will start with the Longhorn defense, who ranks 25th-best of the 353 Division-1 basketball programs allowing 61.2 points-per-game and is better than the Mountaineers scoring defense.

I believe you will see sophomore guard Andrew Jones, who attended MacArthur High School in Irving, TX, have a break-out type game tonight.

WVU is a money-burning 2-10 ATS when facing below average foul drawing teams attempting fewer than 18 free throws-per-game after 15 or more games have been played in each of the last three seasons.

Head coach Bob Huggins is 13-29 ATS after covering five or six of their last seven games against the spread as the coach of the Mountaineers.

This situational betting system has earned a consistent 70-37-3 ATS record for 65.4% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The system instructs us to bet on home favorites between -3.5 and -9.5 that have made at least nine 3-point shots in two consecutive games and are now facing an opponent that has allowed each of their last two opponents 50% or better shooting.

Miami is coming off a poor performance Sunday and are 10-1 ATS  and covering the spread by an average of 7 points in home games after playing a road game this season. Plus, they are 18-1 straight-up (SU)  and 14-5 ATS at home this season.

Loyola-Illinois vs Illinois State
4:00 PM EST, Sunday, January 19, 2020
7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Illinois State Redbirds

This situational betting system has earned a solid 46-27-2 against-the-spread (ATS) record since 2010 and requires us to bet on an underdog that is coming off a 10 or more point loss to a conference rival and is now facing an opponent that is coming off two consecutive dominating games covering the spread as a double-digit favorite in each game.

Loyola is a money-burning 8-21 ATS after playing two consecutive games as a favorite spanning games played over the last two seasons.

Illinois State does not shoot well from the free throw line, but they do shoot well from beyond the arc ranking 58th in the nation consisting of 353 Division-1 programs with a 36% 3-point shooting percentage. From the predictive side of my tools note that Loyola is 2-10 ATS for 17% when their opponent has made between 38% and 45% of their 3-point shot attempts.

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

3:05 PM ESTPM EST, January 19, 2020
NFL: 7-Star Best Bet on the Tennessee Titans

The Chiefs are in a classic Catch-22 situation. Should they choose to attempt to contain Henry they will expose themselves to the passing arm of Ryan Tannehill, who was atop the NFL with a 135 quarterback Passer Rating Index and net yards-power-pass-attempt. It has been a long time since a quarterback led the league in both categories since throwing down field will logically cause more incomplete passes and potential interceptions.

Tannehill has not had to win games with his arm so far in the playoffs, which gives little scouting intelligence for the Chiefs to prepare for in this game. The Chiefs know that play action pass will be part of the TItans offensive scheme since they led the NFL with a total of 1,568 passing yards using play action.

The Chiefs will be at their most vulnerable in second and shorter than five yards. If the Titans use play action and the Chiefs are playing run stop it will leave every receiver on the field in man coverage with no safety help. Tannehill has been incredibly accurate with throws of any length and he will exploit any man-coverage situation downfield.

If the Chiefs show blitz and back out and the Titans are running the ball behind Henry the result will be a first down. Henry is gaining chunk yards meaning big gains that are rarely seen from run plays and more common from pass receptions and yards after the catch.

Tannehill and the Titan receivers led the NFL in average yards gained using play action by a wide margin. They used play action 124 times, which ranked 15th most in the NFL, but gained the most passing yards.

This situational betting system has earned a solid 79-44-2 against-the-spread (ATS) record spanning the last 10 seasons. The system instructs us to be on road dogs of 3.5 to 10 points that has a defense that allows an average of between 335 and 370 yards-per-game on the season and is facing an elite team that is gaining an average of 370 yards-per-game on the season.

From the predictive side of things, there is high probability that the Titans gain 100 or more rushing yards and teams in past Championship games that have attained this measure are a stout 24-13 SU and 24-13 ATS since 2000 including road warriors sporting a 7-8 SU record and an eye-popping 12-3 ATS mark good for 80% winning NFL picks.

Davidson vs Fordham
12:00 PM EST, Sunday, January 19, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Fordham Rams

Let us start with a situational betting system that has earned a consistent 74-33-3 ATS the record over the last five seasons. The requirements are to play on struggling underdogs that are averaging 63 or fewer points-per-game on the season and are facing an opponent that is an average offensive team scoring between 67 and 75 points-per-game on the season and are coming off two or more consecutive ‘OVER’s games.

 Davidson is just 2-10 ATS when facing teams that average 14 or fewer turnovers this season and 2-9 ATS after a game in which they failed to cover the spread this season. 

Virginia vs Georgia Tech
8:00 PM EST, Saturday, January 18, 2020
7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Virginia Cavaliers

The Cavaliers have uncharacteristically lost three consecutive games and need to right the ship now. From the predictive side of things, G-Tech is a miserable 6-39 straight-up (SU) and 13-32 against-the-spread (ATS) when their opponent has committed the same number or fewer turnovers, shot 43% or better, and made at least 75% of their free throw attempts including 2-29 SU and 11-20 ATS against conference foes.

Virginia is 67-6 SU and 54-13-1 ATS when they committed the same number or fewer turnovers, shot 43% or better, and made at least 75% of their free throw attempts including 35-4 SU and 32-6-1 ATS against conference foes.

Nevada vs No. 6 San Diego State
8:00 PM EST, January 18, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Nevada Wolfpack

San Diego State earned the title of Last Team Standing after Auburn lost 83-64 at Alabama on Wednesday. That left the Aztecs as the lone remaining unbeaten team among 353 Division I college basketball squads. With the great success comes the public betting enthusiasm that creates an over valued price in the market for this game.

The 68-67 victory over the Wyoming Cowboys was the 598th in 29 seasons for head coach Steve Alford who needs two more to become the 16th active NCAA Division I head coach with 600 career wins. Jalen Harris, a 6-5 transfer from Louisiana Tech and Duncanville High School, leads the team in scoring averaging 18.4 points-per-game, which ranks second in the Mountain West, and rebounding averaging 6.2 rebounds-per-game and twice has scored 31 points in a game. Senior guards Jazz Johnson (17.1 PPG) and Lindsey Drew (12.1 PPG) also are averaging in double figures with Drew also averaging a team-best 4.5 assists. This group can play against the Aztecs and I do believe this game will be a single-digit nail-biter type.

The Wolfpack is 28-15-1 ATS when committing between 10 and 15 turnovers and shooting at least 40% form the field.

This situational betting system has earned a consistent 139-92-7 ATS record for 60% winning bets over the last five seasons. The system instructs us to bet on any team (in this case Toledo) after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games and are now facing an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games.

Where this gets quite tasty is when the team to bet on is facing an opponent that allowed a shooting percentage of 25% or lower, the record then goes to 11-4 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2013.

No. 2 Baylor vs. Oklahoma State
12:00 PM EST, Saturday, January 18, 2020
10-Star Best Bet on the Oklahoma State Cowboys

Today’s reports are shorter than usual due to the size of today’s NCAAM betting card. This is the first of many plays that will be released over the next several hours so be sure to check back for them as well.

From the predictive side of things, the following results match the summary projections produced by the machine learning tools. The Cowboys are 79-9 straight-up (SU) and 61-11-4 against-the-spread (ATS) for 85% winning bets when they have had the same number or fewer turnovers as their opponent, shot 43% of better from the field, and shot better than 75% from the free throw line. Baylor is 12-34 SU and 12-30-1 ATS for 29% when they have allowed the trio of aforementioned performance measures.

Here is a supporting betting system that has earned a 43-16 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on any underdog after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points in total spanning their last five games and are facing an opponent that has gone over the total by at least 54 points spanning their last 10 games.

Atlanta vs San Antonio
8:35 PM EST, Friday, January 17, 2020
7-Star Best Bet Titan on the San Antonio Spurs

Hawks are 7-15 against-the-spread (ATS) when facing a team that attempts an average of 18 or more 3-point shot attempts per game and 7-15 ATS when facing teams who make an average of six 3-pointers-per-game this season.

Hawks are 4-11 ATS when facing solid offensive teasm scoring 106 or more points-per-game this season; 3-11 ATS after having lost five or six of their last seven games this season.

From the predictive side of things, the Hawks are 1-8 ATS and failing to cover the spread by an average of 9.4 points when their opponent has shot between 47 and 51% form the field.

The St. Louis Billikins are a solid ball handling team, but guess what? Dayton is 8-1 ATS when facing an excellent ball handling team that is averaging 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game this season. The Dayton Flyers are also 9-2 ATS when facing an opponent that is outscoring their opponents by an average of at least four points-per-game this season.

The Billikens are just 16-43 ATS after a game where they made 20% of their 3-point shots or worse since 1997.

From the predictive side of things, the Billikens are 1-9 ATS when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game over the last three seasons. Davidson is 28-5-1 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 8.6 points-per-game when scoring more than 75 points and shooting between 50 and 53% from the field in games played since 2006

Colorado vs Arizona State
9:00 PM EST, January 15, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Arizona State Sun Devils

 The Arizona State Sun Devils will look to avenge a loss to their Conference foe Colorado Buffalos form the first game of the year and one that does not ocunt in the PAC-12 Conference standings. The game was played in Shanghai, China on November 8 and was part of the PAC-12 China initiative program. This game will count and it will count big.

·        The Buffalos are just 2-12 against-the-spread (ATS) in road games and facing an opponent, who loves the 3-point shot and averages 21 or more 3-point shot attempts per game in game splayed over the last two seasons.

·        The Sun Devils are a near-perfect 9-1 ATS when facing an outstanding rebounding team that has averaged 7 or more rebounds-per-game than the opponent in games played over the last three seasons.

·        Buffalos are 5-19 ATS in road games after one or more consecutive wins in games played over the last three seasons.

 From the predictive side of things, the Buffalos are 1-11 SU and 0-12 ATS when getting 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game played over the past three seasons.

Two losing record teams square off in this matchup and I like the home team in the Eastern Illinois Panthers tonight. The Panthers have lost five straight games straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS) and teams that are in this situation have earned a solid 57-29 SU and 49-35-2 ATS record good for 58% winning bets in home games and not favored by more than seven points in games played since 2006. If the team is facing a conference foe the record improves to 53-27 SU and 46-32-2 ATS for 59% winners since 2006 including a robust 23-10-2 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2014.

From the predictive side of things, The Panthers are expected to have at least four fewer turnovers and will shoot at least 45% from the field. They are 23-2 ATS in home games when they have achieved this pair of performance measures dating back to the 2006 season.

Let us start with an NBA situational betting system that has earned a 61-23-3 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements ate to bet on struggling teas that have a win percentage between 20 and 40% on the season and are facing a strong opponent that ahs won between 60 and 75% of their games and are coming off back-to-back ATS wins as a favorite.

From the predictive side of things, the Pelicans are 75-26-1 ATS when scoring between 115 and 125 points in games played spanning the last five seasons. The Jazz are 13-29-1 ATS in games in which they allowed the opponent to score between 115 and 125 points in games played since 2015 including 8-20-1 ATS when on the road.

The 76ers miss a player from last year’s roster, who was not an All-Star player, and was not anywhere close to a shooting phenom like Clay Thompson or Steph Curry. They miss J.J. Reddick, who had the ability to step up in crunch time and drain 3-point shots and played the pick-and-roll with Joel Embid to near-perfection.

The term crunch time is often overused and even more over valued since the first possession and all possessions are as important as the last one. As fans we always remember the last thing that happened that resulted in the win or loss. A missed wide-open, shot, a botched ground ball, a dropped ball for a touchdown, or not getting a hot off before the shot clock ticked zero.

The latter is the biggest problem for the 76ers, and they need, and will, address this problem at the NBA trade deadline. The 76ers rank poorly in the average time left on the clock when they finally attempt a shot. More than 19 possession-per-game result in a shot attempt with less than seven seconds left on the shot clock, which leads the NBA.  By comparison, the Milwaukee Bucks, who have the best record in the NBA average a league-best 11 possessions resulting in a shot attempt with seven or fewer seconds left on the shot clock.

Fortunate for the 76ers they are facing a losing record team in the Nets, but who would be the eighth and final seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs right now. Like the 76ers, they have been going through a losing stretch and have lost eight of their last 10 games. The 76ers play their best in the Wells Fargo Center have the second-best home record at 18-2 SU and 10-9-1 ATS. Only the league-best Milwaukee Bucks have a better record at 19-2.

This situational betting system has earned a robust 50-14 ATS record for 78% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on a home favorite, who is revenging a loss to the current opponent of 10 or more points and are coming off back-to-back road losses.

Tennessee vs Georgia
7:00 PM EST, January 15, 2020
NCAAM Betting Odds: Georgia -2.5 (-110)

The Tennessee Volunteers will look to extend their win streak to three games when they visit the Georgia Bulldogs in this SEC Conference matchup. The Bulldogs are playing horrific defense allowing both the Kentucky Wildcats and the Auburn Tigers to shoot over 50% form the field and both games resulted in losses. The Volunteers will look to bounce back from a terrible shooting game against the South Carolina Gamecocks, in which they shot 26% form the field.

·        The Volunteers are 74-42 against-the-spread (ATS) when facing elite scoring offensive teams that have averaged 77 or more points-per-game since the 2000 season.

·        The Volunteers are 30-14 ATS after a game in which their opponent was called for 27 or more fouls in games played since 2000.

Kentucky vs South Carolina
6:30 PM EST, January 15, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the South Carolina Gamecocks

The South Carolina Gamecocks are going to have their hands full if they want to end their three-game losing skid with a win over the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats in this SEC matchup. The Wildcats are riding a four-game win streak but are going to have to play their best against a conference foe that is desperate for a win.

The Wildcats are 3-0 straight-up (SU) and atop the SEC Conference standings. They are led by four players in freshman guard Tyrese Maxey, sophomore guard Ashton Hagans, junior forward Nick Richards, and sophomore guard Immanuel Quickley that are averaging 13 or 14 points per game this season. This has given head coach John Calipari a rare season in which he had balanced scoring and did not rely on one or two future lottery picks to score points and win games.

I have been impressed with the progress made by Hagans, who was one assist and one rebound shy of a triple-double in the 76-67 home win over Alabama this past Saturday. His inexperience does show in games as evidenced by committing a team-high four turnovers and is averaging a team-high of 3.3 turnovers-per-game. So, you can count on the Gamecocks looking to exploit that weakness and create turnovers, which can then lead to high percentage fast break attacks to the rim.

The Gamecocks will win this game with their defense and cannot afford to get into a shooting match with the Wildcats. They have five players averaging nine or more points-per-game and led by sophomore guard A.J. Lawson, who is averaging a team-high 14.5 points-per-game. Senior forward Maik Kotsar is coming off a terrific game scoring 17 points in their loss to the Tennessee Volunteers. He has the physicality at 6-11 and 265 lbs. to dominate the Wildcat defenders. Look for him to score 17 or more points tonight.

Here is a betting system that has earned a stout 45-17 ATS mark for 71% winners spanning the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a close loss by three or fewer points to a conference rival and now facing an opponent off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite.

From the predictive side of things, the Wildcats are 8-39-1 for 17% ATS in games in which they allowed between 67 and 75 points and they shot 45% or lower in the game.

What I like about this match-up is that the Rebels are the better ball handling team and they are the more consistent playing team. I did not say the better team, but when playing on a double-digit dog, performance variances increase in meaning. So, with the Rebels getting 11 points and perhaps more as game time approaches they are the better team.

 The Rebels rank 72nd in the nation of the 353 Division-1 programs with a 1.093 assist-to-turnover ratio (ATR) while the Gators rank 172nd with a 0.951 ratio. An ATR below 1.000 means that the team commits more turnovers than assists and above 1.000 the opposite with the team getting more assists than committing turnovers.

Here is an excellent betting system that has earned a 45-23-1 for 65% ATS winning bets since 2007. Play on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points that have gone UNDER the total by 24 or more points over their last three games and are facing an opponent that is coming off a game that they failed by to cover by at least 18 points.

Gators are 1-9 ATS in home games when facing good ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game in game splayed spanning the last two seasons.   

From the predictive side, the Rebels are 44-12 ATS for 79% winning bets in games played in which they attempted between 55 and 60 shots and shot at least 45% from the field.

The Defense Wins Championship adage has not been present at the College Football Playoff era and it is unlikely to show up tonight. Clemson has the expereince of the bright lights playing in the National Championship game for the four time in the past five years. The LSU Tigers, or Bayou Bengals, are battle-tested and will not wilt under the heat of the bright lights. Head coach Orgeron has his players respect and trust to the fullest and has Heisman winner Joe Burrows under center, who passed for 5,208 passing yards including 55 touchdowns and just six interceptions.

Clemson’s secondary was the best in the nation, but they have not faced the likes of what LSU brings to this game. LSU scored the most points with 684 or 48.9 points-per-game of the 130 D-1 programs in the nation and they did it in the SEC, which is the toughest conference in the country. Their defense did not suffer because of the offensive scoring machine. They ranked 29th ins coring defense allowing 303 total points or 21.6 points-per-game.

Burrows ranked best in the nation completing an insane 77.6% of his  pass attempts, touchdowns with 55, and overall passing efficiency rating of 204.6 for the season.  By comparison Trevor Lawrence passed for 3,431 yards, completed 67.6% of his pass attempts including 36 touchdowns and eight interceptions, and a 173.2 quarterback efficiency rating. That is an excellent season, but is nowhere close to the level that Burrows has played at consistently for the entire season.

The Bengals have two extraordinarily gited wide receivers in Fred Biletnikoff award winner JaMarr Chase and Justin Jefferson, who both caught 19 touchdown passes this season. Jefferson would have been a deserving winner of the award for best wide receiver in the country.

Let us get to some team trends from the trusted database. This situational betting system has earned a 43-16-3 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be on a team that has won at least 75% of their games in the current season and are facing an opponent that has won at least 80% of their game sin the current seasons and have beaten the spread by at least 49 points spanning their last five games. This record zooms to 25-6 ATS for 81% winning bets when out team has won 85% or more their games and to 13-3-2 ATS for 81.2% when they have not lost a game on the season.

This betting system has posted a 21-10-1 ‘OVER’ record when our team has won 85% or more of their game son the season.

From the predictive side, the Bengals are 41-2 SU, 28-13-2 ATS for 68% and the ‘Over’ has won the money with a 32-9-2 record when they have scored 35 or more points and passed for at least 9.5 yards-per-pass-attempt. They are 9-2 ATS when scoring 28 or more points this season.

So, play a 10-Star amount on the LSU Tigers (Bayou Bengals) on the line and a 7-Star amount on the ‘OVER’. No need to play the parlay, but if you cannot resist, play no more than a 3-Star amount on the parlay.

Oklahoma City vs Minnesota

8:05 PM EST, January 13, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet on the Oklahoma City Thunder

Here are few tip-ins that support the machine learning summary projections. OKC is 20-9 ATS after playing two consecutive home games over the last two seasons. Timberwolves are a money-burning  2-12 ATS after scoring 105 or more points in three consecutive games this season; 13-26 ATS after a combined score of 235 points or more over the last two seasons.

 From the predictive side, the Timberwolves are just 6-14 ATS when both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season. The Timberwolves are 0-24 ATS as a dog and coming off of a road defeat of at least 12 points and is now facing a team that averages 10.1 or fewer offensive rebounds on the season. This situation covers the spread by an average of 8 points.

Miami Heat vs NY Knicks
3:35 PM EST, January 12, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet on the Miami Heat

This NBA situational betting system has earned a solid 169-91-5 against-the-spread (ATS) record  good for 65% winning bets since 2006. Play on road favorites of 3 to 10 points that have a win percentage of 64% and higher after game number 16 has been played in the regular season, is outscoring their opponents by an average of at least 3 points-per-game and have scored 104 or more points in 3 consecutive games, and have less than two days rest from their previous game.

 From the predictive side, the Heat are projected to score at least 112 points. The Heat are 15-4 ATS when scoring 112 or more points this season and the Knicks are just 4-17 ATS when they have allowed 112 or more points this season.

Two of the below average MAAC teams square off this afternoon and the Iona Gales are projected to win the game by double digits over the Niagara Purple Eagles.
From the predictive side Iona is 16-1-3 ATS when they have outrebounded their opponent nine or more boards, scored 75 or more points, and made at least 80% of their free throws.

 This situational betting system has won 58% ATS over the last five seasons producing a 185-137-8 ATS record. Bet on a team after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games and is facing an opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points in total spanning their two games.

 If the opponent has had two consecutive games where they and their opponent played under the total by 12 or more points in each game the record moves to 68-39-3 ATS and 64% winning tickets. If our team is playing a home game against a conference foe the system zooms to a 29-11-1 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. 

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens
M&T Bank Stadium
8:15 PM EST
NFL Betting Odds: Ravens -10 (-110)

The line for this Divisional Playoff game opened with the Baltimore Ravens as a 10-point favorite and there has been a steady flow of bets on the Tennessee Titans that have pushed the line lower to 9.5 points across the marketplace as shown on the SBR NFL odds board. The Heritage Sportsbook has already moved the line to 9-points with only -105 juice.

When ever the public sentiment is squarely on one team in the NFL it will result in the that team failing to cover the spread far more often than cover it. It is even worse for them when the ‘Joes’ are backing an underdog. The Titans win over the Patriots was terrific for the team and franchise, but this will make the third week in a row they have had to travel and now they face the best team in the NFL, who had the week off resting.

I get it that the Titans are the darlings of the NFL having knocked off Darth Vader and the Evile Empire and that Derrick Henry looks like a run away unstoppable freight train. I will predict with a high degree of certainty that he will not rush for over 100 yards in this game.

The most surprising situation in the Titans win last week was that the Patriots head coach Bill Bellichick did not anticipate the Titans commitment to the run game. The adjustments that the defense did make failed to contain their ground attack.

To stop any power running back like Henry there is one simple truth. A defense must get penetration and pressure into the backfield to prevent Henry from accelerating through the A or B gaps. The Titans were not doing anything fancy or tricky and they executed the most basic fundamental set of riun plays to perfection. However, the Ravens defense does have the players to pressure the gaps and not allow Henry to get a head of steam before getting to the second level of defenders. It sounds odd, but the Ravens defense will force the Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill, who is top-ranked in quarterback efficiency this season, to defeat them with his arm.

This situational betting system has been around for along time and it has earned an outstanding 18-6 against-the-spread (ATS) record. The system requires us to bet against a road underdog of 4 to 11 points and is coming two consecutive road wins including a 17-5 ATS mark when the road warrior has a winning record.

·        The Ravens are 7-0 ATS when facing a defense that has allowed 61% or higher pass completions in the second half of this season.

Harbaugh is 25-12 ATS following a game in which his team had 150 or fewer passing yards.

New Orleans vs Boston
7:05 PM EST, January 11, 2020
7-Star Bet on the New Orleans Pelicans

 Here is an NBA situational betting system that has earned a 38-14-2 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 73% winning bets since 2015. Play on road underdogs of at least six points that has a win percentage between 25 and 38% on the season and is coming off a road win and are now facing a team with a winning record.

 From the predictive e side, the Pelicans are 91-24-1 ATS for 79% wins when they have scored at least 105 points and forced the opponent to have between 13 and 17 turnovers since 1995 and 51-14 ATS for 79% wins since 2010.

Washington State vs Stanford
6:00 PM EST
NCAAM 7-Star Titan Bet on the Stanford Cardinal

This situational betting query has earned a solid 82-42-3 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 65% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet on favorites that are consistent offensive teams scoring between 67 and 74 points-per-game and after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less and are now facing an opponent with a good defensive team allowing between 63 and 67 points-per-game.

The WSU Cougars are 4-14 ATS when facing solid shooting teams making at least 45% of their shots over the last two seasons.

From the predictive side, the Cardinal is 19-8 ATS when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game and 10-2 ATS when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last three seasons.

Binghamton vs UMASS-Lowell
5:30 PM EST
NCAAM: 7-Star Bet on Binghamton

This situational betting system has earned a 76-34-5 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 69% winning bets since 2006. Place bets on underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points that have gone over the total by 33 or more points in their last five games and in a game between two teams with win percentages between 40 and 49.99% on the season.

I like dogs that are the more consistent team even if the matchup features two teams that rank in the bottom half of the national rankings of 353 Division-1 Basketball programs. Binghamton ranks 199th as compared to a 300th ranking in team consistency. I know what I am getting with Binghamton and I am getting points too.

UMASS-Lowell is  1-8 ATS when facing lower pressure defensive teams forcing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game this season; 5-13 ATS after playing a home game over the last two seasons.

Texas A&M vs Vanderbilt
3:30 PM EST, January 11, 2020
SEC 7-Star Best Bet on the Texas A&M Aggies

This NCAAM situational betting system has earned a solid 42-25-2 against-the-spread (ATS) record  good for 63% winning bets since 2006. Bet on underdogs that have gone under the posted totals by 36 or more total points in their last five games and facing an opponent that went over the total by at least six points in each of their last four games.

 Commodores have been a money-burning 9-25 ATS when facing good defensive teams like A&M, who are are allowing opponents to shoot less than 42% from the field in games played over the last three seasons.

Milwaukee vs Sacremento

10:05 PM EST, January 10, 2020

NBA 7-Star Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks

This NBA situational betting system has earned a solid 36-17-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record  good for 68% winning bets since 1997. Bet on road favorites between 4.5 and 10 points that are facing an opponent with a win percentage between 20 and 40% and is coming off a double-digit road win as a 6 or greater points underdog.  

Budenholzer is 40-18 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last two seasons and 11-5 ATS this season.

Bucks are 79-16-1 ATS covering by an average of 8.7 points when scoring at least 112 points and making 48% or more of their shot attempts since 1996 and 38-12-1 ATS for 76% and covering by an average of 7.7 points.

This is the first release posted to the site today and there will be more plays released throughout the afternoon.

The Buffalo Bulls are the better team, especially in the rebounding part of the game. When playing on the road against a tough opponent defensive rebounding becomes a significant driver if the road team is to the win the game. The Bulls will be able to minimize the Red Hawks second chance scoring opportunities and this will be a dominant reason for a double digit win.

The Bulls rank third in the nation averaging 12.6 offensive rebounds contributing second chance scores to their scoring offense that ranks 36th averaging 77.3 points-per-game.

From the predictive side, Buffalo is 18-5-3 against-the-spread (ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 9.0 points when they have had 45 or more rebounds in a game played since 2006. The Red Hawks are 9-15-1 ATS in faster paced style of games in which they attempt between 62 and 69 shot attempts since 2015.

Iona vs Rider
7:00 PM EST
NCAAM Basketball Odds: Rider -7.5 (-110)

The Iona Gaels have won only two games on the season, but this may be a matchup where they catch the Rider Broncs knapping and earn a surprising road win. The Gaels are 2-7 SU and 0-8 ATS with one game against Kennesaw State not being lined on the NCAAM odds board.

The Rider Broncs are off to an 8-5 SU record and have covered the spread in six of these games. They have lost three of their last four games and are 2-1 SU in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference.

The Broncs have four players averaging more than 13 points-per-game, but their bench depth is quite weak with the fifth and sixth highest scores on the team average six points-per-game. So, 54 of the teams 73.8 average points-per-game or 73% come from those four starters.

The lack of depth has made it difficult for the Broncs to play consistently and you will see it tonight in this game., The Broncs rank 331st in team consistency rating while the Gaels rank a much better 115th of the 353 Division-1 basketball programs in the country. The Gaels are a bad team, but their game-to-game play is far more consistent than the Broncs and for that reason they have a great shot at the road upset win tonight.

 Rider is 2-10 ATS when facing teams who average 33 or less rebounds-per-game on the season over the last two seasons; 55-78 ATS when facing a good free throw shooting team making at least 72% of their free throw attempts.

Canisius vs Monmouth
7:00 PM EST
NCAAM 7-Star Titan Bet on Monmouth Hawks

Monmouth is an excellent situation to get a double-digit win in this matchup against Canisius. Monmouth is 11-2 when making at east 80% of their free throw attempts, attempt more free throws than their opponent and hold the opponent to fewer than 70 points.

Canisius has lost five consecutive games and shot a horrid 28% from the field in their most recent loss to Fairfield. Monmouth has won five of their last six games and have been far more consistent than Canisius.

Washington State vs California
10:30 PM EST, January 9, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on Washington State

California Golden Bears are a money-burning 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 0-6 ATS when facing good free throw shooting teams like the WSU Cougars that are making 72% or more of their free throws attempts this season; 1-7 ATS when facing good teams that are outscoring their opponents by 4 or more points-per-game this season. Moreover, they are a horrid 3-11 ATS when facing excellent ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game over the last three seasons.

Houston vs Oklahoma City
9:30 PM EST, January 9, 2020
NBA 7-Star Best Bet on the Houston Rockets

Russell Westbrook will have an emotional experience prior to the start of the game against his former team. He was loved by the fans and was seven time All-=Star and the 2016 MVP in a season he set the NBA record with 42 triple-doubles. The Thunder will honor him with a video tribute, which is the first tike the franchise has ever done for a departed player.

The Rockets are playing back-to-back road games, but Westbrook was held out of last night’s win over the Atlanta Hawks for rest purposes. So, he will be more than ready to go against his former teammates, some of which remain his best friends off the court.

This NBA situational betting system has earned a solid 166-90-5 against-the-spread (ATS) record since 1995. Play on road favorites of 3 to 10 points that have a win percentage of 64% and higher after game number 16, is outscoring their opponents by an average of at least 3 points-per-game and have scored 104 or more points in 3 consecutive games, and have less than two days rest from their previous game.

This is the first release posted to the site today and there will be more plays released throughout the afternoon.

This play is reinforced by a system that has gone 16-4 ATS for 80% winning bets going back to the start of the 2006 season. The requirements are to play on a underdog including pick-em that has covered their last two games as a favorite and are now facing an opponent that has lost at least three consecutive games on the road.

Bet the Missouri – KC Roos over the TRGV Vaqueros as a 7-Star Titan Bet

Denver vs. Dallas
7:35 PM EST, January 8, 2020
NBA 7-Star Bet on the Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets Barton is coming off a great game scoring a season-high 28 points on 12-of-20 shooting and collecting nine rebounds to complement Jokic's big outing.  Barton was just 12-of-36 shooting over the previous three games before the solid effort against the Hawks that included three 3-pointers.

The Nuggets shooting guard Gary Harris is just 5-of-24 shooting over the past two games, but I fully expect him to play an excellent game tonight in Dallas.

·        Denver is in a great situation tonight knowing that underdogs that Are off a road win and are now revenging a home loss to the current opponent have earned a 158-100 ATS mark for 62% winning bets over the last five seasons.  

This is am upset alert edition of the 7-Star Titan. So, consider making an alternative combination using 80% of your regular size bet on the line and then 20% using the money line. Betting a 7-Star amount on just the line is a solid bet too.

The Panthers are coming off a 69-65 home loss to rival Wake Forest. The news is good for this game as they have earned a 17-5 against-the-spread record (ATS) following a loss to a conference rival as a 6-point or greater favorite.

From the predictive side of things, the Panthers are a solid 22-4 ATS for 85% when they have shot 40% or better from the field, shot 30% or better from beyond the arc, and had a higher field goal percentage than the opponent.

Bet the Pittsburgh Panthers as a 7-Star Titan Bet

Fresno Staste vs New Mexico
11:00 PM EST, January 7, 2020
10-Star Best Bet on Fresno State

The 13-3 New Mexico Lobos have played a far softer schedule than the 5-10 Fresno State Bulldogs. My metrics rank the Lobos as having played the 224th easiest schedule of the 353 Division-1 programs in the nation. They play offense in a fast paced style and rank 26th in the nation averaging 81 points-per-game. What the Bulldogs play well is defense and I strongly believe they will control the pace of the game, minimize the Lobos second chance scoring opportunities by rebounding well and will have fewer turnovers (based on the machine learning summary)

The Bulldogs have four players averaging 12 points-per-game and they rank second in the Mountain West Conference in 3-point shooting making 40 shots in total for the season. They also have six players exceeding 50% in true shooting percentage, which is an efficiency measure that takes into account 2-points, 3-points, and free throw percentages.

From the predictive side, the Bulldogs are projected to have a 0.7 edge in the assist-to-turnover metric and  they are 53-13-1 ATS for 80% winning bets when they have Achieved or exceeded this edge. The assist-to-turnover ration is assists/turnovers and is an excellent measure of a team’s offensive efficiency. A good solid result is to have 2.0 and higher, which is twice as many assists as turnovers.

 
The Raptors are dealing with many injuries to key players and their recent lay on the court reflects that fact. In back to back games, they played their worst and best offensive games in quite a while. In the 84-76 loss at Miami they shot a horrifying 6-for-42 from beyond the arc and then in their last game, they exploded for 73 points in the second half win over the Brooklyn Nets.

In the previous win, Kyle Lowry made five 3-point shots, but that is not good news for tonight. The Raptors are 1-9 ATS as a home favorite following a road game in which Lowry made five or more 3-point shots.

This NBA Basketball betting system has earned a solid 47-25-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record for 65% winning picks. The requirements are to play on struggling teams that have a win percentage between 24 and 44 and are facing an opponent that has a WP between 60 and 75% and the opponent has exceeded the implied vegas line by 30 or more points over their last five games.  DM me on Twitter @JohnRyanSports1 to further explanation of dps and dpa (implied vegas scores) parameters.

Bet the Portland Trailblazers as a 7-Star Titan Bet

Miami (Ohio) vs Bowling Green
7:00 PM EST, January 7, 2020
NCAAM 7-Star Bet on Miami (Ohio)

The Bowling Green Falcons will host their conference foe Miami Red Hawks and someone will end their losing ways and win a game and cover the spread. I strongly believe that the Red hawks will cover the spread and have the potential to earn the upset road victory. So, as an alternative wager consider betting 80% of your normal bet size on the line and then 20% using the money line.

A hundred dollar bettor would bet $80 getting eight points and $20 on the money line, which is currently at +300. If the Red Hawks win the game the bettor will profit $80 from the line bet and $60 for the money line bet. If the Red Hawks co er the spread but lose the game then the bettor would profit $80 from line bet, but lose $20 on the money line bet fvor a net profit of $60. I have found that over the course of the season if these dogs win striaght-up (SU) about 33% or more of the game played the money line bets will add significantly to the return-on-investment (ROI).

·        Miami (Ohio) is 83-47 against-the-spread (ATS) after failing to cover four or five of their last six games since 2006.

·        Bowling Green is an imperfect 0-8 ATS after playing three consecutive games as a favorite the last two seasons.

From the predictive side of things, The Red Hawks are 102-32 SU for 76% wins and 88-25-3 ATS for 78% winning bets since 2006 in games played in which they made at least 42% of their shot attempts and had the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio including 23-1 SU and 15-3 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2017.

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans
8:00 PM EST, January 6, 2020
NBA 7-Star Bet on the Pelicans

The Pelicans are coming into this game on a hot streak with wins in six of the last eight games In their previous game JJ Redick's tie-breaking layup in the final seconds lifted them to a 117-115 win at Sacramento on Saturday. The Pelicans are finding its own balance on offense and had six players score in double figures while getting double-doubles from Derrick Favors and Lonzo Ball against the Kings. So, even though they have an ugly record they are playing well enough to get back to 0.500 over the next month.

Ball is averaging 24.7 points, 8.3 assists and six rebounds over the last three contests and scored at least 20 points in each after reaching that mark once in his first 25 games. Favors recorded a double-double in each of the last four games and hauled in double-digit rebounds in each of the last eight contests.

This situational betting query has earned an outstanding 58-21-1 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play on a team with a win percentage between 20 and 40% on the season and is facing an opponent that has a solid win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season and is coming off two consecutive against-the-spread wins as a favorite.

When this team has been dressed as a home dog the record zooms to 29-7-2 ATS for 81% winning bets.

 
The Morgan State Bears have won three of their last four games and will look to extend their winning ways when they host fellow MEAC member the South Carolina State Bulldogs tonight. The Bulldogs have won two consecutive games and four of their last six games and are coming off an impressive 79-75 win at Coppin State as a 4.5-point underdog.

The Bears are led by Senior guard Stanley Davis, who attended STEM Academy in Chester, PA, and is averaging team-highs with 13.8 points-per-game and 5.8 rebounds-per-game. Sophomore guard Sheryn Devonish-Prince, Jr is second on the team in scoring averaging 11.1 points-per-game including 3.4 rebounds-per-game. They have solid depth coming off the bench and have 69% of the minutes played and 76% of the points scored back on this year’s team.

The Bulldogs are led by a group of Senior players starting with forward Damani Applewhite, who is averaging a team-highs with 13.2 points-per-game and 6.7 rebounds-per-game. He is averaging 30 minutes-per-game and shooting 51% from the field all of which occur in or close to it. They have six other players averaging seven or more points-per-game and rank 4th in the conference averaging 12 assists-per-game. I like how they move the ball on the offense and work to get the best shot possible in each possession.

This NCAA Basketball betting system has earned a solid 76-33-5 against-the-spread (ATS) record for 70% winning NCAAM picks since 2006. The requirements are to bet on underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points that have gone over the total by 33 or more points in their last five games and in a game between two teams with win percentages between 40 and 49.99% on the season.

Bet the South Carolina State as a 7-Star Titan Bet

Boston vs Washington
8:00 PM EST, January 5, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Boston Celtics

Let us start with a situational betting system that has earned an outstanding 36-16-1 ATS 69% winning record  over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on a road favorites between 4 and 10 points that has a winning record on the team and is now facing an opponent that has a win perce3ntage between 20 and 40% on the season and is coming off a shocking double digit win as a six or greater underdog.

The Celtics are 23-5 ATS when winning their last game as an underdog in games played over the last three seasons.

Detroit Pistons vs LA Lakers
10:00 PM EST
7-Star on the Pistons

Let us begin with a terrific betting system that has earned a solid 52-21 against-the-spread (ATS) record producing 72% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams off a road win that have been a struggling team posting a win percentage between 25% and 40% and now playing a team with a winning record.

Detroit has been a stellar 8-0 ATS in road games after playing three consecutive road games in game splayed spanning the last three seasons.

Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles
4:30 PM EST, January 5, 2020
NFL 7-Star Bet on the Eagles

I can sum this game up with a few words and they are Home Dog and terrific defensive line. The Eagles defensive line has played fantastic football over the last four weeks and I think they are going to play at that level again in this matchup. The Seahawks and Eagles resemble M.A.S.H. units more than an NFL team given their page filling list of names on the injured list. The Seahawks to do not have a running back – at least one that is even 90% healthy or not unretired (love the poor grammar) as Marshawn Lynch is labeled. The Eagles defensive game plan will not include putting massive heat on Wilson, but rather massive containment and forcing to make throws instead of using his legs to extend plays.

Even the massive mismatches of the Seahawk wide recievers against the Eagles secondary will be minimized if the defensive line and stop the run and contain Wilson.

From the predictive side fo this game the Eagles will out gain the Seahawks by at least 80 yards in total offense and will have fewer turnovers. When the Eagles have attained this in previous home games they have gone on to a jaw-dropping 39-0 straight-up and 38-1 against-the-spread (ATS) and covered the spread by an average of 16 points!

St. Johns vs Xavier
4:00 PM EST, January 5, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Xavier Musketeers

Here are a few tip-ins:
Xavier is a solid 20-4 ATS in home games facing teams who average 40 or more rebounds-per-game on the season spanning the last 10 seasons.

Xavier is 23-10 ATS 23-10 ATS in home games when facing stout defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage defense of 39% or less.

St. Johns is just 15-31 ATS in road games after a game committing eight or fewer turnovers.

From the predictive side St. Johns is 1-8 ATS in road games when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last three seasons.

  
Here is a big-time NFL situational betting system that has earned a solid 26-7 against-the-spread (ATS) record over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to play on a road team after week 8 of the regular including the playoffs that has a winning record and facing an opponent with a winning record of at least 73% and is coming off a road divisional win.

Some quick Hitters:
Saints are a winless 0-7 ATS in home games off a division game spanning the last three seasons.

Saints are 17-34 ATS in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.

From the predictive side of things the Vikings are 30-15-1 ATS as a road dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and gain more rushing yards than their opponent including a 22-2 ATS record when scoring at least 22 or more points.

Bet the Minnesota Vikings as a 7-Star Titan Bet

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots
8:15 PM EST
10-Star New England Patriots

The public sentiment is that the Brady-Belichick era is OVER and the gold-plated wheel chair has been ordered for both of them by the Kraft family. Ha Ha. But seriously, how many times over the past 20 seasons have we herd the demise and that this is the year the Patriots are not the Patriots. Granted, this will be the biggest test of coaching genius for Belichick, but he has one of the best passing defenses in the NFL. 

I have drawn upon the connection to and the similarity of being bullish on a stock to being bullish on a sports team. A stock like Apple that has been in a bullish uptrend for several months and reached all-time highs in today’s price action will have pullbacks and corrections of the major gains made this year. These price declines do not indicate that the positive trend in prices has ended, but that price levels had become too expensive and reflected too much positive optimism for the future earnings of the company. 

The New England Patriots are the sports team version of Apple. There have been many times over the years where negative news caused a severe price correction in Apple stock. Those price declines proved to be awesome buying opportunities in the face of highly negative sentiment. This is exactly where the Patriots are right now. 

In the NFL when a double-digit underdog pulls off the upset it is always shocking news to most. However, the Dolphins had gone 5-4 in their last nine games and won their last two of three games. So, it was not the same Dolphins that were shutout in the first meeting between these two teams. 

Vegas did not tell us that the Patriots would win by the point spread of 17-points last week. What the line does tell us is where the lines makers believe there will be equal action on both sides of the ledger. Sol the 17-point NFL betting line seen on the NFL odds boards reflected human betting behavior and the lines maker anticipating a ton of bets being placed on the Patriots if they released a line that was in the 14.5-point area. 

So, now the betting public has shifted gears and thrown the baby out with the bath water – no, I am not calling Tommy a baby – and the line now is cheaply priced and offers us an after Christmas deal of the year to get on the Patriots. 

Take the Focus off 42-year-old Tom Brady
Head Coach Belichick has done one thing well in every game he has prepared for in his Hall-of-Fame-like career. That one task is to create a defensive scheme that takes away the opponent’s most significant strength. Last week’s loss was an exception that he did not see coming or one that was identified, and the execution of the scheme was poor. Whatever the case, I strongly belevie that Belichick will have the scheme that will make it extraordinarily difficult for a Ryan Tannehill-led offense to move the chains and score touchdowns in the red zone. 

Let us face facts that Brady has had one of the weakest wide receiver corps of his career. In 2018 receivers dropped 25 balls for a 4.;6% drop rate and in 2019 receivers dropped 34 balls for a 5.9% drop rate. He leads the league with 40 throw-away balls as compared to just 22 last season. 

The media says that it is a combination of the offensive line, wide receivers, and a diminished skill set of a 42-year old quarterback. Well, then I ask of these brilliant minds why has the offensive line given Brady an average of 2.5 seconds of pocket time as compared to 2.4 seconds in 2018. A tenth of a second is an hour for an NFL quarterback and often the difference between a sack and a completed pass play. 

At the end of this game the Patriots will have won because of their defense. 

·       The Patriots are 20-9 against-the-spread (ATS)  and covered these games by an average of 6.53 points-per-game in games taking place in the second-half of the season and the playoffs when facing a team with a modest win percentage between 51 and 60% since 2001. 

Here is an awesome betting system that does well using the money line and against the spread and has earned a 32-4 SU record for 89% winning bets using the money line over the past 10 seasons. Play on favorites after Week 8 using the money line that are coming a off one or more consecutive ‘over’ games and is a strong defensive team allowing between 14 and 18 points-per-game and are facing an average defensive team allowing between 18 and 23 points-per-game. 

  
Some quick Hitters:
Texas is 9-2 against-the-spread in road games and are coming off a game in which they covered the spread in games played over the last two seasons. 

Baylor is just 2- 9 against-the-spread in a home game in which the total was between 130 and 139.5 in games played over the last two seasons.

Baylor head coach Drew is 2-12 ATS in home games after leading their last three games by five or more points at the half; 0-6 ATS in home games after playing four consecutive games as favorite. 

Based on the predictive summary from the machine learning tools Texas is 29-5 straight-up and 20-7 ATS in games in which they scored 70 or more points, had twice as many assists as turnovers and had the better assist-to-turnover ratio.  

Iowa State vs TCU
6:00 PM EST, January 4, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Iowa State Cyclones

 Here are a few tip-ins:
TCU is just 20-41 ATS after allowing 55 or fewer points in their previous game; 8-21 ATS for 28% when at home. 

Iowa State is a solid 7-3 ATS after winning game in which they allowed the opponent a shooting percentage in excess of 50% since 2010. 

Iowa State head coach Prohm is 27-14 ATS when facing teams who are called for 17 or less fouls-per-game.

From the predictive side Iowa State is 54-16-3 ATS in games in which they shot 45% or better from the field and made at least 75% of their free throw attempts.  

San Diego vs Santa Clara
5:00 PM EST, January 4, 2020
NCAAM Basketball 7-Star Bet on Santa Clara

Here is a situational betting query that has earned an outstanding 135-103 against-the-spread (ATS) record producing 61% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be on favorites of 3.5 to 7.5 points that are outscoring their opponents by 12 or more points-per-game and after scoring 45 points or more in the first half of their last game.

If we slice the data to include just home favorites the results improve to a solid 60-35-1 ATS for 63% winning bets. 

·       Santa Clara is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS after playing three consecutive home games spanning the last two seasons.

o   6-0 ATS when playing at home. 

·       Santa Clara head coach Sendek is 10-2 ATS after scoring 75 or more points in two straight games. 

Take Santa Clara and bet them as a 7-Star Titan

Iowa vs Penn State
2:00 PM EST, January 4, 2020
7-Star Titan on Penn State

This situational query has earned a solid 78-46-3 ATS record good for 63% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on neutral  and home court favorites between 2.5 and 8.5 points that have been dominating their recent opponents having won their previous game by 24 or more points and the next to last game by at least 18 points. If the team scored 90 or more points in their last game the combined system moves to 44-24-2 ATS for 65% winners since 2015.

Two teams that have opened some fellow Big Ten opponents’ eyes with their surprising success early in the season return to conference play when 25th-ranked Iowa visits No. 21 Penn State at the historic Palestra in Philadelphia. The Nittany Lions started their current four-game winning streak with an upset of then-No. 4 Maryland for their first Big Ten victory of the season. They concluded non-conference action with a 90-59 demolition of Cornell on Sunday and held a team under 60 points for the fifth time this season.

Senior Mike Watkins will provide a stiff challenge for Iowa’s Garza, who is leading the Big Ten in scoring averaging 21.6 points-per-game. The Nittany Lions' big man is coming off his fifth double-double of the season with 19 points and 10 rebounds Sunday. "He definitely is enjoying playing the game of basketball," coach Patrick Chambers told reporters of Watkins, who is 13-of-14 from the floor over his last two games and leads all Big Ten players with 3.5 blocks per game.

Senior forward Lamar Stevens leads the team in scoring (16.4) and ranks second to Watkins on the glass (7.2)

Take Penn State as a 7-Star Titan.

Georgia vs Memphis
1:00 PM EST

7-Star Bet on the Georgia Bulldogs

Let us begin with a terrific betting system that has earned a solid 37-13 against-the-spread (ATS) record producing 74% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams as an underdog including ‘pick’ after a game in which they allowed their opponent a 33% or wore shooting percentage and are now facing a home team that has been scorching from the field posting three consecutive games making at least 47% of their shot attempts from the field.

This system has earned a 64-31-1 ATS record over the past 10 seasons.

From the predictive summaries Georgia is 7-2 ATS and 10-0 SU in games in which they score 70 or more points and get 48 or more total rebounds.

Bet the Georgia Bulldogs for a 7-Star Titan Upset Alert

Let us begin with a situational betting system that has earned a solid and consistent 32-15 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 68.1% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on an underdog after being beaten by the spread by a combined total of 42 or more points over their last five games and is facing an opponent that has gone under the posted total by a combined total of 55 or more points over their last five games.

·        The Hoosiers are 15-5 ATS after two consecutive games in which the ‘UNDER’ bet won in games played over the last three seasons.

·        The Terrapins are just 4-13 AZTS after a game in which they shot 78% or better from the charity stripe in games played over the last two seasons.

Hoosier freshman phenom Trayce Jackson-Davis scored 16 of his team-high 20 points in the first half and pulled down six rebounds in the 71-64 loss to Arkansas. Devonte Green knocked down four 3-pointers en route to 14 points while Joey Brunk finished with eight points and a game-high 11 rebounds against the Razorbacks.  Look for these two players to have big games and lead the Hoosiers to an easy ATS win and potential upset win over the Terrapins.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets
8:00 PM EST, January 3, 2020
10-Star Best Bet on the 76ers

Let us start the research with an outstanding system that has earned a remarkable 36-9 against-the-spread (ATS) 80% winning betting system spanning the last five seasons. The requirements for a validated bet is that we are backing an underdog of 3 to 10 points in a non-conference game and that the team has lost three consecutive road games.

So, the 76ers have lost three road games on this four-game road trip having lost first to the Orlando Magic, then the Miami Heat, and then most recently on New Year’s Even to the Indiana Pacers.

The machine learning tools project that the 76ers wills core at least 111 points and will have the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. The 76ers are 26-5 ATS for 84% winning bets when they have met or achieved these performance measures in games played since 2015.

Wisconsin vs No. 8 Ohio State
7:00 PM EST, January 3, 2020

This is a matchup that I believe has ‘Upset Alert’ written all over and I recommend betting this game with 90% of your bet on the line and 10% on the money line. 

The story line in this matchup is on Wisconsin Badger and Ohio State transfer Micah Potter. He is a junior forward that has the size and length to contain the Buckeyes power in the post and paint areas. I think he will outplay junior forward Kaleb Wesson and be a big part of the upset win. 

Wesson will have to step up and fill the gap left by junior forward Kyle Young, who is out after having surgery to remove his appendix. Amazingly, he played well, but was extremely sick in the Buckeyes loss to No. 17 West Virginia. 

The Badgers may be just 8-5 SU on the season, but they have put together a solid streak winning four of their last five games with impressive wins over the Indiana Hoosiers and Tennessee Volunteers. They have also played the 11thmost difficult schedule of the 353 Division-1 basketball programs. Their defense is among the best in the nation ranking 26th and allowing 60.5 points-per-game on the season. 

The Badgers are led by junior forward Nate Reuvers, who is averaging a team-high 14.7 points-per-game and 5-4 rebounds-per-game. The Badgers have excellent depth and experience with 70% of the minutes played and 62% of the scoring returning from last year’s roster. 

·       The Badgers are 20-9 ATS in games following back-to-back 20 or more points wins. 

·       The Badgers are 8-4 ATS after having cover the spread in four or five of their last six games in games played over the last three seasons.

This situational query has earned a respectable 32-11 ATS record good for 74.4% winners over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on a road team that is an average offensive team that is averaging between 67 and 75 points-per-game on the season and after allowing 65 or fewer points in each of their last three games and is now facing an opponent that has a stout defense allowing an average of 63 or fewer points-per-game on the season.

No.4 Oregon vs Colorado
9:00 PM EST

This is a terrific PAC-12 Conference matchup and reflects the depth the conference does have this season. The Oregon Ducks are ranked No. 4 in the country and are a slight favorite to the unranked Colorado Buffalos.

The Buffalos have earned a great start to their season posting 11 wins in 13 games. However, they have done well against-the-spread (ATS) posting a 4-7-1 ATS record for 36% winning bets. Their two losses occurred in back-to-back games against Kansas losing 72-14 and failing to cover as 10.5-point underdogs and next against Northern Iowa by a 79-76 score and were favored by 9.5-points. They are on a current four-game win streak and have covered the spread in three of the last four games.

The Buffalos know how to defeat the Ducks having dominated them 73-51 on February 2 and have earned a 23-6 striaght-up (SU) record since that pivotal win. Although the Ducks have played terrific basketball including a perfect 5-0 SU record in December this is going to be a tough game for them to win.

·        The Buffalos are an outstanding 11-2-1 ATS when hosting an opponent that is averaging 77 or more points-per-game on the season.

·        The Buffalos are 17-9 ATS for 65% when dressed as a home dog since 2006.

o   9-3 ATS since 2010.

·        The Buffalos are 12-3 SU and 10-4-1 ATS in home games after having won four or five of their last six games since 2017.

 
 Ket us begin with a situational betting system that has earned a solid and consistent 105-58- 4 against-the-spread record good for 64.4% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on solid rushing teams averaging 4.8 rushing yards-per-attempt and are coming off a game in which they outgained their opponent by at least 125 rushing yards and now facing a team that averages between 4.3 to 4.8 rushing yards-per-attempt.

This betting system has earned a 20-11 STS record good for 64.5% winning bets in the 2019 season.

BC is 42-25 ATS when facing an opponent with a 75% or higher win percentage since 2000 including 16-2 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 12 points-per-game when scoring 28 or more points.

Creighton vs Marquette
9:00 PM EST, January 1, 2020
7-Star Titan on the Creighton

This situational query has earned a solid 77-40-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets Play on dominating elite performing home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are outscoring their opponents by 10 or more PPG and are coming off a game in which they led by 20 or more points at the half.

Creighton is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS in home games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last three seasons. 

Sophomore guard Marcus Zegarowski was right on his team-leading scoring mark of 18.5 points by finishing with 19 in the win over Midland. Junior guard Ty-Shon Alexander also scored 19 to bounce back from a season-low five-point performance in a win at Arizona State, and he averages 16.5 points while making 34-of-78 from 3-point range. Junior guard Denzel Mahoney, a transfer who averaged 19.3 points for Southeast Missouri State two seasons ago, is averaging 12.7 points since making his debut for the Bluejays three games ago.

Baylor vs Georgia
Sugar Bowl., Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New Orleans, LA
8:45 PM EST

The bet is Georgia as a 7-Star Titan bet and the ‘UNDER’ for a 7-Star Bet. The optional plays for consideration are to bet a no more than a 3-Star amount using the reverse parlay strategy that pays 4:1. If you want the detailed info on how a reverse parlay works please contact me on Twitter at @johnRyanSports1. The other alternative is to bet a 7-Star amount on the 7-point teaser lines that would make Georgia a 3-point underdog and raise the total to 48 points – but both sides must win for the teaser bet to win.

The Georgia Bulldogs are a solid 33-17 against-the-spread (ATS) in road games when facing good rushing teams that are averaging at least 4.75 rushing yards-per-attempt; 11-2 ATS in road games after a game where they forced one or zero turnovers in games played spanning the last three seasons.

Georgia head coach Rhule is 10-1 ‘UNDER’ when facing stromg ball control teams that are averaging at least 32 minutes-per-game in all games he has coached.

 
The Auburn Tigers had a great season under the leadership of highly critiqued head coach Gus Malzahn. Perhaps their signature win over state-rival Alabama will stop the unnecessary criticism of Malzahn moving forward, which would be nice to see for the program. The Tigers lost three games and all against top seven teams in the final coaches’ poll by a combined total of 21 points. They finished the regular season with a 48-45 victory over No. 9 Alabama in the Iron Bowl to reach nine wins, which was two more than they had earned in 2018.

Auburn freshman quarterback Bo Nix made incredible progress and learned the playbook quickly in his first season. His season stats are not that impressive, but he steadily improved each week. He did not throw an interception over his last four games and only one in the last six games since throwing three interceptions against Florida. The Tigers are a young team and will only be better next season. Sophomore wide receiver Seth Williams is the top target for Nix with 55 catches for 801 yards and eight touchdowns while sophomore JaTarvious Whitlow (739 yards, nine touchdowns) and freshman D.J. Williams (387, two) , who also leads the ground attack.

From the predictive side of things, the Tigers have a high probability of scoring 28 or more points in this matchup. The Tigers are 48-22-3 Against the spread (ATS) when they have scored 28 or more points since 2010; 10-2 ATS last two season; 8-3 ATS in Bowl Games.

The Gophers are just 21-35-2 ATS when allowing an opponent to score 28 or more points since 2010; 3-6-1 ATS the last two seasons; 2-5 ATS in Bowl Games.

Plus, teams playing in bowl games that are favored by seven or more points and are ranked 10 or worse and facing an opponent that is ranked lower (greater than 10) are 6-2 ATS for 75% winning bets.

No. 11 Butler vs St. Johns
7:30 PM EST, December 31, 2019
Carnesecca Arena, Queens, NY
7-Star Titan on the Butler Bulldogs

The Red Storm will look to push the ball on offense and will look to create many fast break scoring opportunities. The Red Storm ranks 42nd in the nation of the 353 Division-1 basketball programs in scoring offense averaging 80 points-per-game and rank 140th in scoring defense allowing an average of 66.8 points-per-game.

The Bulldogs will look to control the pace of play and keep the Red Storm from getting in sync on the offensive end. Head Coach LaVall Jordan trains his team to think defense first and they have suffocated a team’s offensive power in many of their games. They rank 4th in the country in scoring defense allowing just 53.6 points-per-game. The pace of play is slow as reflected in their 244th ranking in scoring offense averaging 69.2 points-per-game. So, something must give.

The Bulldogs are a veteran-led team that has 67% of the minutes played and 65% of the scoring returning this season from the 2018-19 season. The Red Storm returns 36% of the minutes played and 40% of the scoring from last season. Before conference play begins expereince can play a huge role in games and think the Bulldogs have a huge edge in this matchup.

·        The Bulldogs are a solid 18-7-1 ATS (72%) after a game in which they held their opponent to 33% or worse shooting in games played since 2010.

o   14-5-1 ATS (74%) following a game they were favored and held the opponent to 33% or worse shooting.

Denver vs Houston
7:00 PM EST, December 31, 2019
7-Star Best Bet on the Houston Rockets

This situational query has earned a terrific 55-23-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 70% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The requirements are to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and are facing an opponent that is coming off a game in which the final score went OVER by 20 or more points and has a win percentage between 60 and 75%.

If we change the ou margin to >=30 the system goes to 26-6 ATS! 

10-Star Wager on the Kansas State Wildcats

The line for this game opened with the Kansas State Wildcats as a 2-point favorite on December 8. The ‘Pros and Joes’ immediately jumped on Navy and their bets pushed the line to ‘pick’ within the first 24 hours. Within the next day the line was moved another 2-points to its’ current price tag of Navy favored by 2.5 points on the NCAA Football odds board.

Every Bowl season there are few lines that are just not good ones that are put out by the lines makers and this was on eof them this year. The failure was incorrectly anticipating the public consensus for both teams. The betting public does not place bets on the armed forces teams when facing a Major

The books will lose money on this game. The smart money that got Navy as a 2-point dog are now buying back their bets getting the Wildcats as 2.5-point underdogs and giving them a juicy 4.5-point window to win both of their bets. The second problem for the books is that the betting consensus has now shifted in favor of the Wildcats with 53% of the bets on them and 47% on the Midshipmen. So, the books are holding most betting tickets being Navy between a 2-point dog and ‘pick’ and the Wildcats between ‘pick and 2.5 points underdogs.

The Wildcats have the edge over Navy with true freshman Joshua Youngblood, who earned Big-12 Special Teams Player of the Year and has had three returns for touchdowns in his last four games. There is a great chance he will do it again in this game so if you can fid a prop bet that he returns a kick for a touchdown bet on it.

The Wildcats defense is another game breaker as the rank best in the country in third down situations allowing opponent to convert just 25% of the third downs. The unit will look to keep Navy in third and long situations to put even more pressure on Perry to keep the chains moving.

·        The Wildcats head coach Klieman is 6-0 against-the-spread (ATS) after playing a home game.

·        The Midshipmen’s head coach Niumatalolo is 4-13 ATS after outgaining the previous opponent by 225 or more yards.

This money line system has earned a remarkable 77% winning record of 37-11 and has made the $1,000 bettor a huge $31,250 profit over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet against all teams after Week 7 with a money line of +135 to -155 (NAVY in this matchup) that are excellent rushing teams averaging 230 or more rushing-yards-per-game and is now facing an average rushing defense allowing between 140 and 190 rushing yards-per-game, and after outrushing opponent by at least 125 or more yards I their previous game.

Tulane vs No. 9 Memphis
9:00 PM EST, December 30, 2019
NCAAM: 10-Star on Memphis

This is the opening game for both teams in the AAC Conference schedule.
This situational betting system has earned a solid 51-26 against-the-spread record good for66% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements are to bet on home teams that are scoring an average of 77 points-per-game and have held four consecytuve opponents to 60 or fewer points including 35-19-1 ATS for 65% winning bets when the home team is a double digit favorite.

Take Memphis and lay the paints!

Texas-Rio Grande Valley vs Oklahoma
7:00 PM EST, December 30, 2019
7-Star Best Bet on the TRGV Vaqueros

This is the first time in my life I am betting on the Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros. You may not have even heard of them, but they have run a collegiate-level basketball program for 52 seasons, are a current member of the WAC, and have been members of the Great West Conference (GWC), Sun Belt, American South Conference (ASC), Trans American Athletic Conference (TAAC) and is now known as the Atlantic Sun Conference, and as an independent. They simply have not played in games that have been put on the NCAA odds boards, but with the advances in technology it is easier for sportsbooks to provide these games.

What I like most about the Vaqueros is their ball handling and how they work the ball in the half-court sets looking to get the best possible shot in each possession. They average 14.2 assists-per-game, which is solid and ranks 133th in the country.

They are a team that will be bet on more than just this one time. They have several promising freshman on this roster that are making steady progress and with increasing contributions. They are led by Senior guard Jordan Jackson, who is averaging 14.7 points-per-game and Senior forward Lesly Varner, Jr, who is averaging 12.1 points-per-game. This Senior leadership is invaluable to the freshman and will help the team reach their season potential. I am not suggesting that will be a Tournament team this year, but I do think the program is on the right track to someday accomplishing that for the first time in their program history.

This situational query has earned a terrific 25-12-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 68% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of at least 20 points that have a losing record on the season and are now facing an opponent, who is coming off a close home win of three or fewer points.

The system has earned a 75% ATS record of 15-5 over the last five seasons. It is 2-3 ATS this season, 5-0 ATS for 2018, 3-1 ATS in 2017, 2-1 ATS in 2016, and 3-0 ATS in 2015.

Illinois vs California
4:00 PM EST, December 30, 2019
7-Star bet on Illinois

This situational betting system has earned a solid 35-30 using the Money Line good for 50% winning bets and has made the $100 bettor a robust profit of $4,120 over the last 10 seasons. The system requires us to bet on neutral field underdogs that are facing an opponent that has won two out of their last three games in a non-conference matchup. The betting system improves to  18-12 and making $3,380 for the $100 bettor when both teams are from the Power-5 Conferences.

From the predictive side of things, California is a momey-losing 9-24 straight-up (SU) and losing $3,000 per $100 bet when they have been held to between 300 and 350 total yards; 1-6 SU when they gained between 150 and 200 net passing yards  in game splayed over the last two seasons.

Oklahoma City vs Toronto
6:00 PM EST
7-Star bet on the Thunder

This situational betting system has earned a solid 42-14 against-the-spread record good for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. The system requires us to bet on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a non-conference matchup with the host coming off a road upset win installed as an underdog.

 From the predictive side of things, the Thunder are 63-11 ATS for 85% winning bets and have covered the spread by an average of 11 points-per-game when they have shot 46% or better from the field and had the better, more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in road games.

UC Santa Barbara vs LA-Lafayette
6:00 PM EST, December 29, 2019
7-Star Best Bet on the UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos

This is a tried-and-true betting system on the NCAA Hardwood that has been a perennial winner for the past 15 seasons. The system has earned a 94-54-4 against-the-spread (ATS) record for 64% winning bets and requires us to play on road teams that are favored including ‘pick’ that are coming off a game in which they covered the spread as a double-digit favorite and have had five or six days of rest .

Philadelphia vs NY Giants
4:25 PM EST
7-Star bet on the NY Giants

Wentz is coming off a monster game against the Cowboys where he did put the team on his back and carried to the victory. He threw for 319 passing yards and completed an outstanding 31 of his 40 pass attempts for an insane 77.5% complete percentage. He earned the second-highest average passing yards-per-attempt on the season at 8.48 and only the 9.56 he earned in Week1 against Washington was higher.

In a season in which he had few reliable receivers he completed 64.4% of his pass attempts for 3,750 passing yards, 26 touchdowns, and seven interceptions.

The biggest problems that Wentz and the Eagles offense faced each week was the inability to establish a significant ground attack that then would open up the play-action pass plays where Wentz would have extra time to survey the field knowing he had man-coverages. The Eagles rank 15th gaining 902 passing yards on play-action routes this season.

The Eagles running back Jordan Howard will be back in action to provide much-needed running yards. However, the Eagles took a big blow last week when Zack Ertz suffered a fractured rib. He did not practice Christmas Day and he is going to be a possible game-time decision. Anyone, who has had bruised ribs knows how painful it is to even take a breath so, I believe he will not be in action for this game.

Ertz leads the team with 135 targets, 88 receptions, and 916 receiving yards and then there is a huge drop-off to the second-best statistical receiver. So, without Ertz, Wentz now has no trusted receiver in the lineup. The Giants defense will be able to bring the safeties up to the box and attack the ground game and look to put pressure on Wentz to force throws.

This betting system is simple to use and understand. It has earned a 23-3-1 ATS record good for 89% winning bets since 1989. Play on any losing record team after Week 8 and is playing an opponent off an upset win as a home underdog and has a win percentage between 51 and 60% on the season.

This betting system has earned an incredible 10-1 ATS record that has covered the spread by 10.7 points-per-game since 2010.

Dallas vs Washington
4:25 PM EST, December 29, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on the Dallas Cowboys
 
This situational betting system has earned a 20-7 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on home favorites after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season and with the game taking place in the second half of the season.

Dallas suffered its fourth loss in their last five games with another brainless performance in a 17-9 setback at Philadelphia last weekend to fall a game behind the Eagles for first place in the NFC East. Even during their hapless stretch in the second-half of the season they remained in control of their playoff destiny due to the fact they play in the NFC Least Division. Now they need to win this game and get help from the Giants to upset the Eagles – which just might happen.

Not that he will be thinking about this, but Prescott needs 305 passing yards to surpass the single-season record held by Tony Romo, who had 4,903 passing yards. Facing the Redskins defense he just might due to as long as his ailing shoulder holds up in this game. So, look for him to get the ball out fast on quick-hitters and using the slant routes many times.

From the predictive side of things, the Cowboys are 15-5-1 ATS and have covered the spread by an average of eight points when they have scored more than 28 points as a home favorite of at least 7.5 points and had fewer turnovers than the opponent.  

NY Jets vs Buffalo Bills
1:00 PM EST, December 29, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on the NY Jets
 
This situational betting system has earned a 46-23 ATS mark good for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on road teams in the month of December after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games.

The Jets have won five of their last seven games but a poor start to the season was too much to overcome and sealed a ninth straight season. The league's seventh-ranked defense allowing 324.1 yards allowed per game helped the Jets to a 16-10 win over Pittsburgh last week to hurt the Steelers' playoff chances. So, the Jets have been playing to win over the second-half of the season and will do the same today.

Despite the Bills starters seeing the majority of snaps I believe that the Jets will win this game. The Bills know they are either playing at Kansas City or at Houston next week and it will be very difficult for them to to focus on today’s game sine it is truly meaningless.

New England vs Miami
1:00 PM EST, December 29, 2019
7-Star Best Bet on the New England Patriots

This situational betting system has earned a solid 35-13 against-the-spread mark (ATS) good for 65% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on home team that scored at least 35 points in the previous same-season matchup and with the foe coming off a home win.

From the predictive side of things, Patriots are 9-1 ATS when their defense has allowed 200 or fewer net passing yards in games played over the last three seasons. They are 51-14-2 ATS in home games in which they allowed not more than 75 rushing yards.

The Patriots are 35-3 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 15 points when they have allowed 75 or fewer rushing yards and outgained them by more than 150 total yards.

Pepperdine vs San Jose State
10-Star bet on Pepperdine

Here is a Terrific Betting System
This situational betting system has earned a solid 81-43-2 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 65.3% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and is 32-17 ATS for 65% over the last five seasons. The ‘UNDER’ has earned a 31-18 record good for 63.3% winning bets since 2015.

Bet on road favorites including pick after four or more consecutive wins and has earned a winning record with a win percentage between 51% to 60% and is now playing a losing record team.

San Jose State is an imperfect 0-8 ATS after three or more consecutive ‘overs; in games played over the last two seasons.

As an optional wager consider betting the ‘UNDER” and Pepperdine for not more than a 3-Star Parlay Wager. This would be in addition to the 10-Star amount placed on Pepperdine using the line.

Cal Poly-SLO vs San Diego State

7:00 PM EST, December 28, 2019

7-Star Best bet on Cal Poly-SLO

Undefeated and No. 15-ranked San Diego State wraps up its non-conference slate on Saturday, hosting Cal Poly at Viejas Arena. SDST is one of three remaining undefeated teams in the nation and will remain undefeated after this game, but this si just far too many points to give to even a struggling program like Cal Poly-SLO. 

This situational betting system for games played in December has earned a solid 70-44-5 against-the-spread mark (ATS) good for 61% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 13 or more points in games played in the month of December after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game. 

From the predictive side of things CALPO is a solid 11-3-1 ATS when installed as a 15 or more point underdog and making at least 38% of their shot attempts. 

CS-Fullerton vs UCLA
5:00 PM EST, December 28, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on CS-Fullerton
 
This situational betting system has earned a 62-30 ATS mark good for 67.4% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on underdogs of 10 or more points after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games in total and is now facing an opponent that has gone under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games.

UCLA is just 9-20 ATS when facing ball handling teams committing an average of no more than 14 turnovers-per-game over the last two seasons; 5-13 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last two seasons.

Predictive metric: CSFUL is 44-20-1 ATS when they have made 42% or better of their shots, 35% or better of their 3-point attempts, and had not more than 12 turnovers.

Iowa State vs Notre Dame
12:00 PM EST, December 28, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on Iowa State
 
This is an upset alert special situation. So, if you wager $100 per 7-Star bet that I release. I highly recommend betting $70 on the line and $30 on the money line.

The Cyclones are 9-1 against-the-spread (ATS) when the have played an elite level team sporting a win percentage at 75% or higher on the season in games played over the last three seasons; 12-3 ATS when facing a teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more points-per-game on the season over the last three seasons.

Notre Dame has been a money-burning 8-20 ATS in road games after having won eight or more of their last 10 games in games played since 1992.

Cyclones head coach Campbell is a solid 15-3 ATS facing teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more points-per-game.

No. 10 Penn State vs No. 17 Memphis
12:00 PM EST, December 28, 2019
7-Star Best bet on Penn State

Memphis had its’ best season in program history winning 12 games, but their success attracted the eyes of the Florida State program and lured head coach Mike Lovell away from Memphis. PSU had another solid season losing only two games and both on the road against then-undefeated teams.

PSU has felt spited as the Rose Bowl selected Wisconsin over PSU despite having three losses and two of them to Ohio State. So, the Nittany Lions will be playing with a purpose to finish the season in the Top-10 rankings and send a message to the Rose Bowl committee.

Here is a great betting system that has earned a solid 40-12 ‘Over’ record for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons. The instructions are to play ‘OVER’ after Week 7 of the regular season including bowl games and playoffs in a game between two teams that are not in the same conference and that are outgaining their opponents by 0.6 to 1.2 yards-per-play on the season.

Memphis quarterback White struggled in the AAC title game completing a season-low 45 percent of his passes. He has thrown five of his nine interceptions over the past four games and will be facing the toughest defense by far in the PSU Nittany Lions unit. Senior wide receiver Antonio Gibson, who caught the decisive TD pass in the last win, has been utilized more as a runner as the season progressed and rushed 11 times for 130 yards. Junior Damonte Coxie is White's favorite target with 68 catches for 1,144 yards, but will face the toughest corners by far and will have trouble getting separation from them.

The Lions defense is anchored by Parsons had a team-high 95 tackles and junior defensive end Yetur Gross-Matos, who declared for the NFL draft, but will suit up for the Cotton Bowl and had 8.5 sacks this season.

Lions are a perfect 7-0 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite over the last two seasons.

From the predictive toolbox the Lions are expected to score at least 28 points and gain more than six yards-per-play. The Lions are 46-10-3 ATS in games in which they scored 28 or mor epoints and gained at least six yards-per-play over the last 10 seasons.

Washington State vs Air Force
Cheez-It Bowl – Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
10:15 PM EST, December 27, 2019
7-Star Titan Bet on Washington State
 
Washington State and No. 24 Air Force will meet in a battle of contrasting offensive schemes. The Cougars led the nation in passing offense (444.3) and their quarterback Anthony Gordon became the first Pac-12 quarterback to throw for over 5,000 yards in Mike Leach's Air Raid offensive system. The Air Force Falcons finished third nationally averaging 292.5 yards-per-game under Troy Calhoun's triple-option attack. The Cougars efficiency through the air was offset by a defense that se[pnt too many minutes on the field. This season the game plans did not translate into wins as they finished with their lowest amount of victories since 2014.

The Falcons ended the regular season with their third-highest win total in program history and a program that was largely ignored by the media this season.

The Cougar’s Gorden may have extra motivation after being selected to the ALL-PAC-12 second-team despite being the 16th NCAA quarterback to throw for over 5,000 passing yards, the sith-highest in NCAA history with 5,228 passing yards, and the first since some guy named Patrick Mahomes did it in 2016 at Texas Tech.

Both teams cannot replicate the other’s offensive scheme, but I think the Cougars Air-Raid attack scheme is far more difficult for any team to face than a team that runs the triple-option. So, I think the Cougars have a huge edge in that department and they have the superior athleticism with their playmakers over the Falcons defensive unit.

The ‘UNDER’ opened at 67 and the “Pros and Joes” have been steadily pushing the total up to higher levels with 70 points now appearing at several sportsbooks. However, I lean as a contrarian and would make a bet on the ‘UNDER’ at a price tag of 71-points. And if it hits that level I would recommend a bet of no higher than 3-star using the money line on Washington State and the ‘UNDER’ 71-points or higher.

The Falcons are 9-25 against-the-spread facing terrible defensive teams allowing 450 or more yards-per-game in the current season. Cougars are 9-1 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70 in games played over the last three seasons; 11-2 ATS after gaining 100 or fewer rushing yards in two consecutive games over the last three seasons; 32-12 ATS 32-12 ATS in road games after allowing 14 points or less last game.

From the predictive side, the machine learning summaries calls for the Cougars to score 31 or more points. IN past games when they did score 31 or mor epoints they went 123-44-1 ATS for 74% winning bets and 38-19 ATS under head coach Mike Leach.