Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-22-21 | Syracuse v. Duke -5.5 | Top | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
Syracuse vs Duke Syracuse is coming off a historic win over Notre Dame in a game they trailed by 20 points marking the largest comeback since 2005. Duke is coming off a huge and much-needed win over No. 7 UVA. Betting on home teams after game number 15 of the regular season, that are shooting at least 45% from the field, and have shot 50% or better in their last three games has earned a solid 145-80-5 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Duke is 10-2 ATS when facing excellent ball-handling teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game spanning the last two seasons. |
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02-22-21 | Pepperdine +5.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 1 h 17 m | Show |
Pepperdine vs St. Mary’s 6:00 PM EST, Fenbruary 22, 2021 4% Best Bet on Oregon +5.5 points and a sprinkle on the money line. From the machine learning applications, Pepperdine is an outstanding 9-0 ATS when getting at least 37 rebounds and outrebounding their oppoment in games played over the last three seasons. Further, they are 30-15-1 ATS for 67% winning bets in games played over the last five seasons when they have scored 71 or more points and had fewer turnovers than their opponent. |
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02-21-21 | 76ers -3 v. Raptors | Top | 103-110 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Toronto 7:00 PM EST, February 21, 2021 4% Best Bet on the 76ers -3.5 points The 76ers ended their 3-game losing streak with two solid wins. They defeated Chicago 112-105 and were led by Joel Embiid’s career-best 50-point game and has played eight games scoring 30 or more points and get 10 or more rebounds this season. The 76ers played without Ben Simmons, who was suffering from the stomach flu. He scored a career-best 42 points, including 12 assists, and nine rebounds, in the loss to the Utah Jazz Monday. So, the 76ers are emerging as a powerful force to be reckoned with in the NBA’s Eastern Conference. Toronto’s defense will not hold up against the 76ers attack. Toronto is 10-24 ATS in home games (even this game is in Tampa) with a total between 220 and 229.5 spanning the last three seasons. This season, the 76ers are 11-2-1 ATS after having won two of their last three games. Toronto is also 73-118 ATS in home games in which both they and their opponent score 105 or more points. From the machine learning applications, we will be expecting the 76ers to score at least 111 points and attempt at least 88 shots. In past games installed as a favorite, the 76ers are 63-7 SU and 50-18-2 ATS for 74% winning bets when they met or exceeded those performance measures. |
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02-21-21 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +6 | Top | 68-51 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Wisconsin vs Northwestern 7:00 PM EST, February 21, 2021 4% Best bet on Northwestern +7 points and sprinkle a bit more using the money line. Despite the different and opposite season-long records, these two teams are much more equal in performance levels and reflect how good the Big Ten Conference is this season. Wisconsin is the better team on paper, but has played their worst games on the road and is vulnerable to an upset loss. Both teams are excellent ball-handling ones. Wisconsin ranks 11th sporting a 1.457 assist-to-turnover ratio and Northwestern ranks 27th with a 1.311 assist-to-turnover ratio. Northwestern has the better and more efficient offense while Wisconsin has an elite and efficient defense. The Northwestern defense matches up well against Wisconsin’s offense that ranks about equal to the average D-1 program. Northwestern ranks 50th in defensive field goal percentage. In addition, Wisconsin has not been a threat on their offensive glass and ranks 285th converting second-chance scoring opportunities into points. Northwestern is solid in rebounding on the defensive end and will minimize Wisconsin’s second-chance scoring opportunities. Wisconsin has not played their worst games by many measures at home and Northwestern, despite, a losing record, is one of the more consistent teams in the nation. There you have it, Bet Northwestern plus the points. |
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02-21-21 | Penn State +11.5 v. Iowa | Top | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Penn State vs Iowa Let’s start with a betting system that ahs earned a 70-22-3 ATS record for 76% winning bets over the last five season. The requirements are to bet on double-digit underdogs up to an including 19.5 points that has gone UNDER the total by at least 24 points in their last three games and now facing an opponent that has gone UNDER the total by 44 or mor epoints spanning their last seven games. Betting on double digit underdogs after game number 15 that are averaging 68 to 75 PPG and now facing an opponent coming off three straight UNDER games and averages at least 78 PPG on the season has earned a 77-38-2 ATS record good for 67% winning bets. PSU has played their bets games away from Happy Valley and Iowa has played by far their worst at home this season. The advantage that PSU has against the Iowa defense is that they take great care of the ball, despite ranking 13th nationally in field goal attempt rate, and are extremely good ranking 25th in potential quick points off of steals. PSU is 15-3-1 ATS coming off a game in which 155 or more points were scored spanning the last three seasons. |
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02-21-21 | Michigan v. Ohio State +1.5 | Top | 92-87 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
No 3 Michigan vs No 4 Ohio State This matchup pits two heavyweights in the Big Ten Conference and the winner of this game is almost guaranteed a No 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Despite being ranked No 3 in the nation, Michigan has been largely inconsistent and have played poorly in road games that they won. Turnovers will determine the winner of this game and that definitely favors OSU, who rank 11th committing just 10.4 turnovers-per-game on the season. OSU ranks 10th-best posting a 13.3% turnovers-per-play percentage and 15th averaging just 4.8 opponent steals-per-game. Neither team’s defense looks to generate turnovers and instead play fundamentally sound defense. Michigan ranks 338th averaging just 10.8 opponent turnovers-per-game and OSU ranks 328th averaging 10.7 opponent turnovers-per-game. Free throws will also be an integral part of an OSU win noting they rank 4th making an average of 17.5 free throws-per-game and 22nd in free throw attempts averaging 22.7 per-game. Michigan ranks 172 averaging 13.0 free throws-pergame and a horrid 234th averaging 17 free-throw-attempts-per-game. So, in an even matchup of giants, every possession matters more and the critical scoring opportunity possessions favor OSU. |
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02-20-21 | Heat +4 v. Lakers | Top | 96-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Miami vs LA Lakers For starters, the Lakers are a money-losing 12-3-3 ATS facing struggling teams that are getting outscored by 3 or more-PPG spanning the last three seasons. Plus, they are a miserable22-46-1 ATS in non-conference games over the last three seasons. Miami is 22-8-1 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in four or more of their last six games spanning the last three seasons. The betting line of -3.5 and a total of 208 points implies a final score of 106-102 Lakers win. The machine learning applications predict that Miami will score at least 101 points and will make at least 14 3-point shots. When Miami has mewt or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned an outstanding 31-13-1 ATS in road games spanning the last five seasons. |
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02-20-21 | Connecticut v. Villanova -6.5 | Top | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
Connecticut vs No 10 Villanova Finneran Pavilion, Villanova, PA 1:00 PM EST, February 20, 2021 4% Best Bet on Villanova -6.5 points and sprinkle a bit more on the Villanova team total at 70.5 points. This team total bet is valid up to and including 75-points. The line for this game opened with Villanova installed as a 7.5-point favorite and the [public betting community jumped on UCONN forcing the price down to the current -6.5-point level. The betting behavior is a classic example of recency bias based on the last few games played by both teams. The bias certainly does not reflect the true strength of each team and the result is that we get an exceptionally cheap price to bet Villanova. In their last game, Villanova lost on the road to then-No 19 Creighton 86-70. Creighton shot an incredible 59.3% from the field and could have made shots with their eyes closed. Villanova struggled shooting just 37.5% and 31.3% from beyond the arc. However, they had just seven turnovers and shot 12-for-13 from the charity stripe for 92.3%. Villanova is 11-2 ATS after a game in which they made 88% or more of their free throws and 32-16-1 ATS after back-to-back games allowing nine or fewer offensive rebounds. |
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02-19-21 | Nuggets v. Cavs +8.5 | Top | 120-103 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, Cleveland, Ohio 7:00 PM EST, February 19, 2021 10-UNIT Best Bet on Cleveland +8.5 points Let’s start with an outstanding betting system that supports the predictions from my machine learning applications. Betting on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a losing record, that are coming off three consecutive road losses, and now facing a non-conference foe has earned an outstanding 36-12-2 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the last seven seasons. These dogs have also earned a highly profitable 29-21 SU record good for 58% winning money line wagers. So, I suggest betting this game by placing 80% of your 5% bet amont using the line and 20% of your 5% bet amount using the money line. Drummond has left the Cleveland team and ends a highly toxic situation in the locker room. That is good news and so is the fact that Five-time All Star Kevin Love returned to practice Thursday, but is not likely to play tonight. Despite a 10-19 record overall, they are 7-7 in home games, and have the seventh-best fast break averaging 13.4 PPG. Two players have stepped up for Cleveland over the last 10 games. Cedi Osman is taking more 3’s and is averaging 11.5 PPG amnd making 34% from beyomd the arc. Jarrett Allen is shooting 61.5% and averaging 13.7 PPG in his last 10 games. He will be a formidable presence in the paint tonight knowing that Cleveland ranks best in the NBA averaging 54.5 PPG in the paint. The Cleveland defense ranks 3rd averaging 15.7 forced opponent turnovers-per-game and this too will be a huge factor in getting the upset win. From the machine learning applications, we learn that Cleveland is 11-9 SU and 14-6 ATS for 70% winning bets as a home dog, scoring at least 50 points in the paint, and having scored more points-in-the-paint than their vistor in home games over the last five seasons. In addition, Cleveland is 22-5 SUATS in home games in which they scored 50 or more points-in-the-paint and got a minimum of 50 rebounds in games played over the last five seasons. Thank you for your purchase! Good Luck to us and May all the Wins be yours! |
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02-18-21 | Heat +1 v. Kings | Top | 118-110 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Miami vs Sacramento 10:00 PM EST, February 18, 2021 Betting on any team that is on a 3 or more-game ROAD losing streak and playing on back-to-back nights has earned an outstanding 34-9-1 ATS for 79.1% winning bets over the last five seasons. And when the team involved is playing another road game, the record soars to 22-5 ATS for 82% winning bets. For this research and the predictive analytics, Goran Dragic is listed as out. He has an ankle injurty and very unlikely he will play despite being listed as questionable. From the predictive applications, we learn that the Heat are an outstanding 14-5 SU and 17-2 ATS in road games installed as a dog, scoring 111 or more points and having the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last three seasons. |
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02-18-21 | Rutgers +9 v. Michigan | Top | 64-71 | Win | 102 | 3 h 30 m | Show |
No 3 Michigan vs Rutgers Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI 9:00 PM EST, February 18, 2021 4% Best Bet on Rutgers +9 points Michigan may be the No 3 ranked rteam in the country, but they have been incredibly inconsistent for an elite team. The erractic performances have been masked by outstanding defensive efforts and with that said Rutgers will need to shoot well from the perimeter. Michigan does play aggressively on the defensive end and forces the opponent into a perimeter shot. They rank 325th averaging just 10.8 turnovers-per-game, which will give Rutgers the opportunity to have many open shots. Rutgers is 9-1 ATS facing solid rebounding teams that are outrebounding their opponents by at least four boards-per-game, and after the 15th game of the season. They are also 21-10 ATS when playing against an opponent that has a strong defense allowing 43% or lower shooting in games played over the last two seasons. |
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02-18-21 | Jacksonville State +12 v. Belmont | Top | 59-63 | Win | 100 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
Miami vs Sacramento 10:00 PM EST, February 18, 2021 Betting on any team that is on a 3 or more-game ROAD losing streak and playing on back-to-back nights has earned an outstanding 34-9-1 ATS for 79.1% winning bets over the last five seasons. And when the team involved is playing another road game, the record soars to 22-5 ATS for 82% winning bets. For this research and the predictive analytics, Goran Dragic is listed as out. He has an ankle injurty and very unlikely he will play despite being listed as questionable. From the predictive applications, we learn that the Heat are an outstanding 14-5 SU and 17-2 ATS in road games installed as a dog, scoring 111 or more points and having the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last three seasons. |
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02-18-21 | Ohio State -4.5 v. Penn State | Top | 92-82 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show |
No 4 Ohio State vs Penn State 4% Best Bet on Penn State +4.5 points and sprinkle a bit more on the momey line. This is a must-win for Penn State and defeating a highly ranked conference foe would really brighten their resume. They have played the toughest schediule in the nation, but with a win tonight, they have an excellent opportunity to win-out. PSU has a losing record, but do not let that fool you for one second. They are vastly better than record reflects. PSU is a solid 77=36-1 when facing teams that attempt a minimum of 21 3-point shots in gajes played after the 15th game of the regular season. They are 13-4 ATS when facing outstanding ball-handling teams that average 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. PSU has shot miserably in their last three games and are likely to exceed their season shooting averages tonight according to my machine learning applications. Note that PSU is a perfect 8-0 ATS in home games when scoring at least 75 points in games played over the last two seasons. |
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02-17-21 | Jazz v. Clippers +4 | Top | 114-96 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs LA Clippers Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA 10:05 PM EST, February 17, 2021 4% NBA Best Bet on the LA Clippers This is one of the best matchups of the season so far. Three weeks ago, this game would have been lined with the Clippers dressed as a 7-point home favorite and now, because of the tremendous and historic win streak by the Jazz, the Clippers find themselves installed as a home underdogs of 2 to 3 points. Moreover, the Jazz have covered the spread in 18 of their last 20 games. Now, Utah was just 4-4 through January 6 and then something happened to the entire team. They have won 19 of the last 20 games and covered the spread in a miraculous 18 games losing to the spread just twice. So, having worked on Wall Street for 18 years (last position was a Chief Currency Strategist), betting against Utah is akin to catching a falling knife. The saying originated in bear market conditions where many quality stocks get hit hard with immense selling pressure and trying to determine a bottom is like trying to catch a falling knife, like a large butcher knife. And so it is in sportsbetting. My intuition has made me want to go against Utah simply because they were playing at such a high level that regression was going to hit them. That was ten games ago. Remember too, in the 2001 MLB season the Oakland A’s, who were truly a couracopia of players, won 20 consecutive games from Tuesday August 13th through Wednesday, September 4, setting the all-time modern day American League win streak record. So, fading that streak after a 10-game streak would hav been disasterous to any bankroll and shows it is not a smart decision no matter how you look at it. My machine learning applications are screaming to bet the Clippers and why this is a 4% Best Bet. Betting on home teams sporting a winning record on the season and hosting another team with a winning record that is coming off three consecutive games covering the spread as favorites in each one, has earned a 39-18 record for 68% winning bets using the money line in games played over the last five season. |
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02-15-21 | Cavs +9 v. Warriors | Top | 98-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
Cleveland vs Golden State Let’s start with one of the best and highly profitable NBA Betting systems IO among m, more than 2000 that I have developed over many years of work. This one has earned a 34-8-1 ATS for 81% winning bets over the last five seasons and instructs us to be on teams playing on back-to-back nights and are coming off three consecutive road losses. Cleveland played yesterday (Sunday) and lost 128-111 as 9-point road underdogs to the LA Clippers. They have lost 10 consecutive games to the spread and 7 straight in a straight-up fashion. So, this is an example of a contrarian bet based on a market price that has now oversold the value of the Cavaliers. There are times in the NBA, that present an opportunity to get a poor and struggling team at a major discount and I believe this is one of those opportunities. In case you were wondering, teams that have lost 10 or more games to the spread are 14-7 ATS for 67% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. 8-3 SATS for 67% ATS if playing on the road., and 4-1 ATS if playing on back-to-back nights. |
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02-14-21 | Pittsburgh +4.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 65-71 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech 4% Best Bet on Pittsburgh + 4.5 points and sprinkle a bit more on the money line. I take 85% of the amount of my 4% Bet and bet the game using the spread. Then the money line is used to be the remaining 20% amount. Betting on road teams coming off an ATS win, but lost the game and now playing in a matchup of teams sporting win percentages between 50.1 and 60% on the season has earned a highly profitable 36-9-1 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons. G-Tech’s head coach Pastner is a money-burning 7-18-1 ATS when playing their third in a game. |
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02-14-21 | Nebraska v. Penn State -11.5 | Top | 62-61 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Nebraska vs Penn State Bryce-Jordan Center, University Park, PA 3:00 PM EST, February 14, 2021 4% Best Bet on Penn State -11 points Do not be misled by Penn State’s losing overall and conference record. They have played the toughest strength-of-schedule in the nation and now begin a stretch that could see them win out. If they advanced to the Final-4 of the B-10 Tournament, they could earn a spot in the dance. They have the talent and team chemistry is quite good. Nebraska has played their worst games on the road this season and ranks 342nd when playing away from Lincoln. Penn State looks to run and score within ten seconds off of missed shots and rank 31st in this category. Nebraska has been terrible defending an opponent’s fast break off of their missed shots ranking 223rd. PSU averages 25 3-point shot attempts per game and Nebraska averages 24. Nebraska is 6-22-2 ATS when facing a team averaging 21 or more 3-point shot attempts in games played after the 15th game of the season and spanning the last three seasons. PSU is 70-32 ATS when facing teams, who are averaging at least 21 3-points shot attempts, after the 15th game of the seasons spanning the last ten seasons. From the machine learning applications, PSU is 14-2 ATS for 88% winning bets when scoring 75 to 81 points and making at least 78% of their free-throw attempts in games played over the last two seasons. |
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02-14-21 | Michigan v. Wisconsin | Top | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
No 3. Michigan vs No 21 Wisconsin Kohl Center, Madison, WI 1:00 PM EST, February 14, 2021 4% Best Bet on Michigan -1 point. The money line bet may be a solid alternative to the -1 point, but only if it is priced at -114 or lower. Anything above -115 has minimal value and is too expensive and increases the risk amount too. I was surprised when this line opened with Wisconsin as a -2-point home favorite, but that lasted about 30 minutes as money did come in on Michigan. A few books have Michigan priced as -1.5 point road favorites and this is the level where the market is balanced. The reason I was surprised by the opening line is that Michigan ranks 1st in overall positive team momentum while Wisconsin has been inconsistent and ranks 290th in momentum. Wisconsin has played their best and most efficient games at home, so that may be a supportive reason for the opening line. Still, Michigan is the better team right now, but this will be a grinding and defensive-minded game. The big difference between these two teams is that Michigan has a more efficient offense than Wisconsin. Michigan ranks 6th nationally with a 58.1% 2-point shooting percentage and ranks 5th making 50.9% of all shot attempts. Overall, Michigan ranks 5th with a 57.6% effective FG percentage. By comparison, Wisconsin ranks 155th with a 50.5% effective FG percentage, 235th with a 48.1% 2-point FG percentage, and 196th with an overall 43.2% shooting percentage. Both defenses are among the best in the nation, but Michigan has a modest edge at this end of the court as well. Michigan is 7-0 ATS facing strong defensive teams allowing 42% or lower opponent shooting in games played this season. |
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02-08-21 | Oklahoma State +5.5 v. Kansas | Top | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
Oklahoma State vs No 23 Kansas Allen Fieldhouse, Lawrence, KS 9:00 PM EST, February 8, 2021 4% Best Bet on Oklahoma State +4.5-points and sprinkle a bit more using the money line. Kansas has uncharacteristically struggled against teams with a winning record of 60% and higher sporting a horrible 0-6 ATS record this season. OSU has a major advantage in terms of their positive recent play and the momentum they carry into this game. They have won 3-of-4 and 6-of-8 games and covered the spread at the same clip. In their last game, they shot a terrible 35.3% against then-No 5 Texas and still scored 75 points in their 75-67 win Saturday. They defeated Kansas earlier this year at home 75-70 as a 3.5-point underdog. OSU has been a far more consistent team ranking 22nd nationally and Kansas’s root problem is consistency in which they rank 322nd. So, OSU is more consistent and is playing some of their best basketball of the season. When I see strong momentum and consistency levels I immediately target that team as a potential betting opportunity. Kansas has had problems with their bench play and contributions. Their most recent 91-79 loss at West Virginia saw all five starters score in double-digits, but the bench scored just four points. OSU has seven players averaging at least 20 minutes and that depth will serve them well in their attempt to sweep Kansas in the season series. |
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02-08-21 | Warriors v. Spurs -1.5 | Top | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Golden State vs San Antonio AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX 8:30 PM EST, February 8, 2021 8-UNIT Best Bet on the San Antonio Spurs Betting a team playing between their fifth and 41st game of the season with a team that has lost to the spread by an average of 12 to 25 points over their last four games and now installed as an underdog has earned a 161-94-6 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 2000. Betting on favorites off an upset win installed as an underdog and has won 51 to 60% of their games in the current season and facing an opponmen that has a winning record on their season has earned a 40-16-1 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. From the machine learning applications we learn that San Antonio is 74-23 SU and 66-29-2 ATS for 70% winning bets when scoring 111 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last five seasons. |
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02-08-21 | Austin Peay v. Tenn-Martin +12.5 | Top | 75-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Austin Peay at Tennessee-Martinsville 7:00 PM EST, February 8, 2021 4% Best Bet on Tennessee-Martinsville +12.5 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line. The machine learning applications predict that this game will be much closer than the 11.5 point betting line indicates. Both of these teams play at the lower-end of the pace-of-play stats with Austin Peay ranking 299th and UT-Martin ranking 285th in possessions-per-forty-minutes. That suggests that Auston Peay will not run away from UT-Martin and the game will remain within single digits. Plus, UT-Martin has played their best games at home this season and this is a huge advantage for them. Needless to state, UT-Martin shoots horribly poor form the field and rank 351st in overall field goal percentage. However, Austin Peay’s defense can make any struggling offense resemble a Gonzaga unit. Austin Peay ranks 348th in defensive field goal percentage. UT-Martin is capable of shooting better than 45% from the field and if they do just might pull off the big-time upset win. |
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02-06-21 | Grizzlies +1.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 109-118 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Memphis vs New Orleans 9:00 PM EST, February 6, 2021 4% Best Bet on the Memphis Grillies +1.5 points. Only sprinkle the money line if the spread hits 3.5-points. Let’s start with a proven betting system that has earned a 100-55-1 ATS record good for 64.5% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The system requirements are to be on road teams in a game lined within three points on either side of pick-em and facing a host that is allowing at least 103 PPG and coming off a win by three or fewer points. From the machine learning applications, we learn that Memphis is 97-47 SU and 103-36-5 ATS in road games in which they scored at least 105 points and shot 47% or better from the field in games played over the last ten seasons. |
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02-06-21 | Nets v. 76ers -3.5 | Top | 108-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers 8:00 PM EST, February 6, 2021 4% Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers This matchup could be a preview of the Eastern Conference finals later this season. However, the Nets will be without Kevin Durant. In a game last night that the Nets eventually lost 123-117 to the Toronto Raptors, Durant was held out at the start of the game due to coronavirus contact tracing. Someone he was in contact with earlier in the day had an inconclusive COVID-19 test. Durant entered the game in the first quarter before being pulled in the third for the rest of the game due to health and safety protocols after his colleague's test came back positive. I am not making this bet because Durant is not playing, and who knows, he still might be cleared to play. It is rumored that he did not travel with the team last night. Betting on home teams that are revenging a double-digit road loss and are coming off a dismal game losing by 15 or more points as a favorite has earned a highly profitable 71-41-2 ATS record for 63.4% winning bets over twenty seasons. Plus, 13-6 ATS if the game is a matchup of divisional foes. From the machine learning applications we learn that the 76ers are 49-7 SU and 39-16-1 ATS for 71% winning bets in home games, scoring 111 or more points, and committing 14 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last five seasons. |
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02-06-21 | Washington +12.5 v. Oregon | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Washington vs Oregon 4:00 PM EST, February 6, 2021 4% Best Bet on Washington +13.5 points Let’s start with a proven betting system that has earned a 47-18-2 ATS record good for 72% winning bets over the last twenty seasons. The system requirements are to bet on road dogs with a win percentage of 20% or lower on the season and facing a host that has won 60 to 80% of their games on the season and has gone OVER the total by 30 or more points spanning theie last five games. Oregon is a money-burning 5-18-1 ATS in a home game and coming off two comsecutive home losses. Further, Oregon guard Chris Duarte is downgraded to OUT for this game with an ankle injury. Bet Washington as a 4% Best Bet. |
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02-06-21 | Wisconsin v. Illinois -3.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
No 19 Wisconsin vs No 12 Illinois 2:30 PM EST, February 6, 2021 4% Best Bet on Illinois -4.5 points No 19 Wisconsin vs No 12 Illinois 2:30 PM EST, February 6, 2021 4% Best Bet on Illinois -4.5 points The Big-Ten Conference is head and should the best conference in the nation and where the road team has an enormous challenge to get a win. Home team dominance has endured in the Big Ten for the past three seasons and it reflects the remarkable depth of the conference that may send nine and possibly ten teams to the Dance. Wisconsin has been largely inconsistent on the season and has played their worst games on the road. Illinois has been a far more consistent team and has played their best at home this season. Illinois ranks 12th nationally with a 56.6% effective field goal percentage and 9th making 50.1% of all shot attempts. What is remarkable about Illinois is that they do not take many 3-point shots ranking 275th, but rank 130th in made- 3-pointers, and 9th making 39.7% of their 3-point shots. Head coach Underwood is 28-12-1 ATS facing an excellent ball-handling team averaging 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game. From the machine learning applications, Illinois is expected to score between 76 and 81 points in this game, and in past games in which they scored within this range has produced an 80-42 ATS result. Wisconsin is 11-28 ATS for 72% winning bets in games in which they allowed 76 to 81 points. |
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02-06-21 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo -8 | Top | 64-88 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Miami (Ohio) vs Buffalo 5:00 PM EST, February 6, 2021 4% Best Bet on Buffalo -7.5-points This Mid-American matchup features two complete opposite and extreme style of basketball. Starting with pace-of-play metrics, Buffalo plays fast and 10th nationally averaging 75.5 possessions-per-game. Miami (Ohio) ranks 313th averaging a plodding 65 possesions-per-game. Buffalo has ranked consistently between 90 and 105 nationally in my power ratings while Miami (Ohio) is further back in the rankings at 170th and has not been below 150 this season. Buffalo has a big advantage when they have the ball. They rank 140th in overall offensive efficiency while Miami (Ohio) ranks 259th in overall defensive efficiency. Turnovers are expected to be below average for Buffalo given that Miami )Ohio) ranks 315th in steals-per-game. Buffalo is on an 8-1 ATS run when facing a weak defensive team that is allowing 45% or better shooting in games played over the last three seasons. From the predicytive side of things, Buffalo is 16-4 ATS in games played in which they got a minimum of 45 rebounds in games played over the last three seasons. |
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02-06-21 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma -14 | Top | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
Iowa State vs Oklahoma 12:00 PM EST, February 6, 2021 4% Best Bet on the Oklahoma Sooners -16-points Here are some quick hitters. Oklahoma is 19-6-1 ATS when facing a team that is allowing 77 or more points-per-game on the season. ISU is a money-burning 2-11 ATS in road games facing a defensive team averaging 14 or fewer forced turnovers-per-game on the season. ISU is 4-17 ATS when on the road and installed as an underdog for the fifth consecutive game. Oklahoma is 11-2 ATS in home games with a totasl between 140 and 149.5 in games played over the last three seasons. From the ,machine learning applications we learn that Oklahoma is 15-3 ATS when they score 80 or more points in games played over the last three seasons. |
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02-04-21 | Warriors v. Mavs -3.5 | Top | 147-116 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
Golden State vs Dallas 7:35 PM EST, February 4, 2021 4% Best Bet on Dallas -3 points Golden State starts a COVID-19 road trip that will see them play the next four games on the road and have to visit only two cities. Tonight and Saturday night they will play Dallas and then February 8 and 9, they play on back-to-back nights against the Spurs. Doesn’t sound all that equitable for the Warriors. Dallas is 8-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in three of their last four games in games played over the last three games. From the machine learning applications we learn that Golden State is 17-207 SU and 37-181-6 ATS for 17% in road games shooting less than 47% from the field and allowing 111 or more points. |
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02-04-21 | Ohio State v. Iowa -5.5 | Top | 89-85 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
No 7 Ohio State vs No 8 Iowa Carver-Hawkeye Arena, Iowa City, IA 7:00 PM EST, February 4, 2021 10-Unit Best Bet on the Iowa Hawkeyes -5.5 points Iowa stopped a two-game losing streak with an 84-78 win over Michigan State Tuesday. They have not covered the spread in their last three games, which is a season-high. Prior to this tough 3-game stretch, the betting flows gravitated to Iowa, but now the market has discounted Iowa far too much and today’s game offers a terrific betting opportunity. Ohio State has caught fire winning six of their last seven games and covered the spread in five of them. Ohio State has largely outperformed expectations and is playing at unsustainable levels. They now take to the road to play the best and most efficient offense in the nation that can overwhelm any opponent at any time. Iowa ranks no 1 in the nation in ball handling sporting a 2.097 assist-to-turnover ratio and will be facing an Ohio State defense that has posted a below-average 1.135 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio that ranks 269th nationally. Iowa moves the ball well, especially in the half-court set, and will not be met with a pressing style of defense from Ohio State. When Iowa moves the ball on offense they become even better at finding the best possible shot in each possession. Iowa looks to get the ball to Garza, of course, but the entire team is focused on getting the shot closest to the rim. Ohio State ranks 201st in allowed dunks, layups, and tip-ins. Betting on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points in a matchup involving two teams that are outscoring their opponents by eight or more points-per-game, and with the home team coming off a game in which they scored 45 or more points has earned a 75-40 ATS record good for 65.5% winning bets in games played over the last five seasons. Iowa is an outstanding 11-2 ATS in home games facing a team, like Ohio State, who is averaging at least 21 3-point shot attempts in games played over the last two seasons. They are also 12-2 ATS in games following two consecutive games having 14 or fewer turnovers in each game. From the machine learning applications, we learn that Ohio State is 9-37-2 ATS 80.4% when they have allowed 81 to 87 points and 12-53-2 ATS 81.5% when allowing 81 or more points. |
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02-03-21 | Clippers -7.5 v. Cavs | Top | 121-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
LA Clippers vs Cleveland Betting on road favorites between -5 and -12 pts playing on one day of rest of on back-to-back nights is outscoring their opponents by at least 3 points-per-game (PPG), have scored at least 105 points in three straight games, and is game number eight or more of the season has earned a 130-71-7 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. When the road favorite is playing on B2B nights, they are 31-15-1 ATS for 67.4% winning bets over the last 15 seasons and 14-7 ATS for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. From the machine learning applications, we learn that the Clippers are 51-2 SU, and 47-6 ATS for 89% winning bets when scoring a minimum of 111 points and making 40% or more of their 3-point shot attempts. |
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02-03-21 | Pacers v. Bucks -8 | Top | 110-130 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Indiana I had Milwaukee as a 4% Best bet winner in their last game over Portland. The market has discounted the value of the Bucks too much given their recent struggles, but they are entering a stretch of games that they will cover the spread in many of them and starting with this one tonight. Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points, are coming off an ATS win, have a win percentage greater than 50%, but less than 60% on the season, and facing an opponent with a win percentage within the same range has earned an outstanding 77-31-2 ATS for 71.3 % winning bets over the last seven seasons. From the machine learning applications, Milwaukee is a solid 70-6 SU and 64-11-1 ATS, when they have scored at least 111 points, and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio, has earned a highly profitable 85.2% ATS record in games played over the last three seasons. |
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02-03-21 | Elon v. James Madison -8.5 | Top | 57-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
ELON vs James Madison 4:00 PM EST, February 3, 2021 8-Unit Best Bet on James Madison -8.5 points Betting on home teams that are hosting a foe coming off a loss of six or fewer points, has more starters that returned from the previous season than the opponent, and the game taking place in first 15 games of the regular season has earned an outstanding 65-27-1 ATS record good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. From the machine learning applications, we learn that JMU is 46-24-1 ATS when scoring 75 to 81 points. ELON is a money-burning 30-58-2 ATS when the have failed to score more than 65 points. |
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02-02-21 | Baylor v. Texas +5.5 | Top | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
No 2 Baylor vs No. 6 Texas 7:00 PM EST, February 2, 2021 4% Best Bet on Texas +5.5 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line. A few quick Hitters: Texas is an amazing 25-2 SU using the momey line in home games, afdter the fifth game of the regular season, and facing an opponent that is making anaverage of eight 3-point shots Texas is also a solid 24-9 ATS in home games and have covered just one game among their previous five games. |
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02-01-21 | Oklahoma +7 v. Texas Tech | Top | 52-57 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
No 24 Oklahoma vs No 10 Texas Tech United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, TX 8-Unit Best Bet on Oklahoma +7 points Oklahoma will be looking to end a six-game losing streak to Texas tech and build more momentum opff their upset win against then-No-11 ranked Alabama this past Saturday. Oklahoma is the better ball-handling team and shoots more efficiently from the field than Texas Tech. Oklahoma ranks 21st nationally with a 1.392 assist-to-turnover ratio cpompared to a much weaker 1.144 ATR ratio for Texas Tech. Oklahoma has earned a 51% effective-field-goal percentage ranking 127th nationally. TT ranks 198th in effective-FG-percentage at 49.3%. Oklahoma has also improved significantly and has increased the number of assisted-field-golas made over the last three games. 47% of their scoring shots were by assist. TT ranks 6th forcing an opponent to commit a turnover on 22.1% of their possessions. That measure may look good until you note that TT plays at the slowest pace in the Big-12 and that Oklahoma is a terrific ball-handling team averaging just 10.5 turnovers-per-game. Oklahoma head coach Kruger is 31-12 ASTS for 72% winning bets in games that had a total between 130 and 139.5 for his coaching career. From the machine learning applications, Oklahoma is 19-5 SU and 21-2-1 ATS for 90.5% winning bets over the past 15 seasons in road games where they scored 77 or more points and held their opponent to less than 45% shooting. |
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02-01-21 | Blazers v. Bucks -9 | Top | 106-134 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Portland vs Milwaukee 8:00 PM EST, Fenruary 1, 2021 4% Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks -10 points. Betting on favorites facing a host off an upset road win and with both the team and opponent sporting win percentages between 51 and 60% on the season has earned a highly profitable 29-18-1 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Portland is on an 0-8 ATS streak coming off a road upset win and then installed as an underdog in the following game. From the machine learning applications, the Bucks are 42-3 SU and 32-10-3 ATS for 76.2% winning bets in home games spanning the last three seasons. |
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01-31-21 | Rutgers -3.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 64-56 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
Rutgers vs Northwestern 7:30 PM EST, January 31, 2021 4% Best Bet on Rutgers – 4 points The edge in this matchup is on the improving Rutgers defense of late. Six games ago, Rutgers was allowing a 54.6% effective field goal percentage based on a 5-game moving average and marking the season worse. Entering this conmtest, the 5-game moving average as improved to a solid 48.1% allowed effective FG% and is markedly better than Northwestern. Northwestern enters this game with a five game average of 58.7% effective FG% allowed and just off their season low of 60.4% made two games ago. Rutgers has chosen to slow down their pace of play over the last 14 games from a five-game average of 75 possessions per game to the current and season-low 67.2 possessions-per-game. The slower pace has augmented their offensive efficiencies and will find it easy to move the ball in thehalf-court set against a NW defense than ranks 328th nationally with a horrible 1.327 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. Betting on road favorites that are coming off a home win against a conference foe, sporting a win percentage between 50 and 60% on the season and facing a team with a losing record has earned a solid 110-63-3 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. |
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01-31-21 | 76ers -1.5 v. Pacers | Top | 119-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Indiana 7:00 PM EST, January 31, 2021 4% Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers -1.5 points. Betting on road favorites that are coming off a 20 or more point win and now facing a host, who scored and allowed 100 or more [points in each of their last three games has earned a 52-24-2 ATS record good for 68% winning bets since 1995 and 40-18-2 ATS for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. Joel Embiid is listed as questionable and my research and bet is based on him NOT playing tonight. From the machine learning applications, the 76ers are 59-8 SU and 50-16-1 ATS in road games, scoring 111 or more points, and having the better, more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last three seasons. |
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01-30-21 | Stanford v. Arizona State -1.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
Stanford vs Arizona State 8:00 PM EST, January 30, 2021 10-Unit Best Bet on Arizona State -1.5 points The ASU offense has been inconsistent over their first 13 games of the season, but in recent games, they are starting to find their way and playing more efficiently. They are 1-11-1 ATS for the season and the market has steadily discounted them in search of a betting numbers equilibrium. However, now the market has them priced very cheap and is offering us a great contrarian bet. Despite a losing record, ASU has a solid 1.154 assist-to-turnover ratio that ranks 73rd nationally of the 357 Division-1 basketball programs. Stanford, despite a winning record, is a horrible ball handling team sporting a 0.826 assist-to-turnover ratio that ranks 255th nationally. Moreover, Stanford is a horrible 3-point shooting team ranking 248th making just 31% on the season. Stanford is 4-14-1 ATS in road games following a streak where they won four or more of their last six games and are 1-10-1 ATS in road games after winning five or more of their last seven games in games played over the last three seasons. Stanford head coach Haase is a money-burning 10-26-1 ATS in road games facing a host that averages at least 21 3-point shot attempts. Bet Arizona State -1.5 points. I do not expect the line to move much at all from the current price. If anything, the market make move toward pick-em. |
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01-30-21 | Florida +5.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 85-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Florida vs No 11 West Virginia 8-Unit Upset Alert Best Bet on the Florida Gators and sprinkle a bit on the money line. Florida has won three straight games since losing 72-69 at Mississippi State where they shot just 41% from the field. During ths 3-game win streak they have shot 49.1% in a 75-49 win over Tennessee, 56.9% in a 92-84 win at Georgia, and lastly, 51.9% in a 78-71 win overVanderbilt. Moreover, they are averaging an outstandsing 1.15 points-per-possession. The reason for their improved shooting is that they have taken far more shots at or near the rim than at any other point of the season. With Florida looking to get to the rim on every possession is going to put immense pressure on the West Virginia defense. Sophomore Scottie Lewis will return to action, who is averaging 10.9 PPG and will add even more points from close range. WVU head coach Huggins has not done well when facing SEC popponents. He is a money-burning 4-16 SATS when facing an SEC foe as the coach of WVU. |
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01-27-21 | Penn State +8 v. Ohio State | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
Penn State vs No 13 Ohio State I believe this line could rise in our favor as the day wears on and led by the public seeing a 13th ranked team playing at home and facing a team with two conference wins and a 5-6 overall record. These stats are extremely misleading for many reasons. Penn State (PSU) has played the toughest schedule to date in the Big Ten Conference and significantly more difficult schedule than Ohio State (OSU). PSU has faced ACC-member Virginia Tech, Michigan, Indiana, Purdue, and Illinois all on the road, Not that home court has near the advantage this season than in previous ones, but that is a tough road schedule no matter the season. Ohio State’s remaining schedule includes trips to No 5 Iowa, Penn State, and Michigan State. They must then play Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Indiana, and Michigan State in home tilts. So, Ohio State has had the softer schedule and will begin a gauntlet of road and home tests that would be a success if they play even on-game over 0.500. OSU ranks 6th in the Big Ten averaging 23.2 three-point-attempts-per-game, but are making only an average of 8.0 made-three-point-shots-per-game. PSU is 16-5-1 ATS in road games facing a host that is averaging a minimum of 21 3-point-attempts-per-game in games played over the last three seasons. Penn State won their previous game at home 81-78 over Northwestern. PSU is a 15-4 ATS following a game scoring 80 or more points in games played over the last three seasons. They are also 13-2-1 ATS following a game in which 155 or more points were scored in games played over the last three seasons. OSU installed as a home favorite and facing an opponent that scored 80 or more points in their previous game is a money-burning 16-32 ATS in games played over the last ten seasons. PSU enjoys playing at a faster-then-average pace and is 12-3-1 ATS when they had 63 to 70 shot attempts in games played over the last two seasons. PSU is 14-3-1 ATS when scoring 75 or more points in games played over the last two seasons. Bet Penn State as a 10-Unit top-rated Best Bet. To have success in sports betting, always remember to be disciplined, and resist the temptation to ‘go-for-it’. Make no mistake about it, the sports betting process is a marathon. Betting the same amounts for your 3,4, and 5% (6,8,10 Unit) bets, every day, will pave the way to highly profitable bottom lines at the end of the season. Thank you for making this purchase and best of luck to us! |
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01-23-21 | Rockets +9.5 v. Mavs | Top | 133-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Betting on road teams that priced as underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points with a losing record on the season and now facing a host that has played six or more games in the past ten days has earned an outstanding 40-14 ATS record good for 73% winning bets spanning the last five seasons. From the machine learning applications we learn that Houston is a solid 120-21 SU and 117-19-5 ATS for 86% winning bets when scoring 111 or more points in a road game and also had the better assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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01-23-21 | 76ers -6.5 v. Pistons | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Detroit 8:00 PM EST, January 23, 2021 4% Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers I have been on the 76ers this season and have not bet against them. In fact, I find them as one of the most under priced NBZA teams of the past five seasons. Now, they take to the road on back-to-back nights to take on the worst team in the NBA, the Detroit Pistons. 76ers effective filed goal percentage sits at 54.7% ands ranks 11th in the NBA. Detroit ranks 28th in the NBA shooting a dismal 49.7% from the field. They are 30th shooting 2-points at a 47.6% clip and the 76ers vastly better ranking 8th and making 54.8%. The 76ers are third-best rebounding team in the league. Detroit is 9-28 ATS when facing elite rebounding teams that out rebound their opponents by an average of three or more boards-per-game in games played over the last three seasons. |
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01-11-21 | 76ers +6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 94-112 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Atlanta 4% Best Bet on the 76ers + 6.5-points and sprinkle a bit on the money line too. Bonus 3% Best Bet OVER 222-points. Yes, I do know that Ben Simmons is out for tonight’s game and the 76ers are very short in the guard department. However, Embiid comes back tonight and the 76ers are 24-13 ATS for 65% winning bets in games that Embiid played in and Ben Simmons did not. The machine learning applications inform us that even with Simmons, the 76ers in road games are 103-42 SU, and 113-29-3 ATS for 80% winning bets when they have scored 111 or more points. The OVER has gone 127-18 for 88% winning points. So, the consider an optional parlay using the 76ers +6.5 points and the OVER 222-points. |
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12-29-20 | Celtics -1 v. Pacers | Top | 116-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Boston vs Indiana 7:05 PM EST, December 29, 2020 4% Best Bet on the Boston Celtics +1-point. The NBA schedule maker was not kind to the Celtics having to open with Milwaukee, then Brooklyn, and now back-to-back games against the Pacers. This is the second of two away-away situations, which are aimed to help mitigate the COVID-19. Celtics did lose 108-107 this past Sunday and failed to cover the spread as 3-point road favorites. Betting on favorites during the first eight games of the regular season using the money line, which is off a home win, closed out the previous season with at least four consecutive losses has earned a highly profitable 69-19 record for 78% winning bets and has made the $100 bettor a profit of more than $3,600. since 2000. Betting on teams that made a minimum of 76% of their free throws in the previous seasons and are coming off three consecutive games allowing 47% or better opponent shooting has earned a highly profitable 18-8 rcord for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons and has made over $2,000 in profits for the $100 bettor. The machine learning models show us that Boston playing on the road is an outstanding 39-12 SU for 77% wins, 38-11-2 ATS for 78% winning bets since 2015, when their opponent commits 16 or more turnovers and shoots less than 37.5% from beyond the arc. |
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12-25-20 | Warriors +10.5 v. Bucks | Top | 99-138 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Golden State vs Milwaukee 2:30 PM EST, Christmas Day 4% NBA Best Bet on the Colden State Warriors +10 points. Both teams lost their opening game to the season. Milwaukee lost 122-121 to the Boston Celtics and the Warriors lost at Brooklynn 125-99. From the machine learning model, the Bucks are projected to have at least 20 turnovers and have more turnovers than the Warriors. In past Bucks games in which they committed 20 or more turnovers and had more turnovers than their opponent has earned a terrible 7-14 ATS record for 33% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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12-23-20 | Providence v. Butler +1.5 | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Providence vs Butler 4% Best Bet on Butler Just four games into the season, Butler finds themselves in an urgent situation to win a game. With a 1-3 record, Butler is off to their worst start since the 1998-99 season, and must play better against a 7-2 Providence and Big East foe toight. Providence is led by two scorers. Junior and preseason All-Big East First Team selection David Duke and senior and preseason All-Big East Second Team selection Nate Wilson are averageing 19.4 and 19.3 PPG, respectively. The tandem creates a strong inside-outside game, especially with Duke hitting a scorching 47% from beyond the arc. Both teams play at a relatively slow pace and this increases the need for strong defensive rebounding by Butler to minimize second-chance scoring chances for Providence. Through four games, itler is allowing an outstanding 4.5 offensive rebounds-per-game. Bryce Nze is coming off back-to-back games getting 10 or more rebounds in each game. Butler is 8-0 ATS in games line within 3-points on either side of pick in games played over the last three seasons. Butler head coach Jordan is 13-4-1 ATS in home games coming off a game allowing five or fewer offensive rebouds and 9-2 ATS in home games facing solid ball-handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game. |
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12-21-20 | Texas State v. Northern Arizona +9.5 | Top | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
Texas State vs Northern Arizona 3:00 PM EST, December 21, 2020 4% Best Bet on Northern Arizona +9 points and sprinkle some on the money line NAU will be seeking their first win of the season after losing the first four games to start their season. TST is off to a 5-3 record and are coming off a70-68 win at Denver, but failed to cover the spread as 7 point favorites. NAU has lost all four games ATS and have not shot better than 37% from thw field in any of these games. However, they have faced much tougher competition than has Texas State and this ‘seasoning’ is going to pay-off this afternoon. TST is 4-12 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in games played over the last two seasons; 3-12 ATS when facing a team that struggles on the defensive end allowing 45% or high shooting in games played over the last three seasons. This is momey line system is one that you definitley want to record and track. It has earned a 39-44 SU record for 47% winning bets since 2000, but has made the $100 bettor a $4,710 profit over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on any team using the money line that is allowing a terrible 52% shooting from the field and are getting out rebounded by seven or more boards-per-game. |
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12-21-20 | Wofford v. Texas A&M -6.5 | Top | 52-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
Wofford vs Texas A&M 1:00 PM EST, December 21, 2020 4% Best Bet on Texas A&M -5.5 points Here is a great betting system that has earned a 59-29 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on a home team that is favored including pick, after being beaten by 33 or more points to the spread over their last five games and sports a win percentage of at least 80% on the season. Wofford is 0-6 ATS after covering the spread in two of their last three games in games played over the last two seasons. Texas A&M head coach Williams is 25-6 ATS after a game where his Aggies had two or fewer steals. J |
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12-11-20 | Villanova -11.5 v. Georgetown | Top | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
No 9 Villanova vs Georgetown McDonough Arena 5% Best Bet on Villanova -11.5 points. The betting line opened with Villanova installed as -10-point road favorites and quickly moved to the current price of -11.5 points. The machine learning summary predicts Villanova will win this game by at least 18 points, so any further increase in the betting line will in no way disqualify this betting opportunity. The machine learning tools predict that Villanova will score 80 or more points, shoot 40% or better from the beyond the arc, and commit 5 or fewer turnovers than Georgetown. In past games in which Villanova met or exceeded all three of these performance measures has led to an impressive 23-0 SU record and 18-3 ATS record good for 86% winning bets that covered the spread by an average of 11.8 points. |
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12-09-20 | Santa Clara v. Cal Poly +10 | Top | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
Santa Clara vs Cal Poly I always like asking people when Caly Poly comes up in a hoopes discussion (Or machine learning discussion) what the SLO stands for. You may know the answer, but if you do not the answer is San Luis Obispo (SLO). And is one of California’s oldest European founded Communities. Plus, one heck of a technology school too. I did wait to release this play today having great confidence that the line was going to climb higher as the day wore on. This betting system supports the bet on Cal Poly SLO and has earned a 43-22-2 ATS record good for 71% ATS winning bets over the last five seasons. The system requires us to bet on home teamsa during the first 6 games of the regular seasons after losing 8 or more of their last 10 games of the previous season to earn a poor win percentage of 20 to 40% and now facing a team that had a winning record last season. Cal Poly SLO has earned a 9-2 ATS record installed as a double-digit underdog in games played over the last two seasons. |
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12-04-20 | North Texas +3.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 63-69 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
North Texas vs. Mississippi State 8:00 PM EST, December 4, 2020 4% Best Bet on North Texas plus 3.5-points. If the line drops to +2.5 or lower, then consider using the money line for this bet. Miss State is just 7-17-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed a 33% or lower shooting percentage in games played since 2006. North Texas is 55-28 ATS for 67% winning bets in non-home games (road or neutral) installed as a 5.5-point or less underdog in games played since 2006. Head Coach McCasland has three returning starters from last season and a 1-starter edge of Miss State skipper Howland, who returns two starters. Experience at the beginning of the season is a premium asset. McCasland is a solid 23-9-1 ATS when facing strong defensive teams allowing 42% or lower opponent shooting. From the machine learning ranks, the model projects that North Texas will hold MSST to 45% or worse shooting, commit 13 or fewer turnovers, and make 80% of their free throws. In past games, in which North Texas, met or exceeded these performance measures has earned their backers a 19-5 SU record good for 79% wins and 17-5-1 ATS for 77% winning bets in games played since 2006. |
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11-26-20 | Nevada v. Nebraska -4.5 | Top | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Nebraska Cornhuskers Nebraska had their struggles with a 7-25 SU record in 2019, but will be much better in 2020. They did get off a great starte defeating McNeese State 102-55 yesterday, shooting 50% form the field, 45 total rebounds, and just 10 turnovers. I have a betting system that supports Nebraska and has earned an incredible 48-17 ATS record over the last five seasons. The system requires us to be on home teams for the first five games of the regular season after losing eight of their last ten games of the previous season and won between 20% and 40% of their games last seasons and facing a team that did have a winning record last season. From the machine learning model, Bengraska is projected to shoot at least 44% from the field and have fewer than 14 turnovers in this m,atchup. In past games, in which Nebraska met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them earn a profitable 24-12-1 ATS road record good for 67% winning bets and 15-2 ATS for 88% winning bets at neutral sites. Take the Nebraska Cornhuskers as a 4% Best Bet
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10-11-20 | Lakers v. Heat +5 | Top | 106-93 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs LA Lakers The machine learning stools and models are on the Heat again. LeBron has been here before, but not many of the other teammates. LeBron knows the pressure well and it has gone bad more times than not. Butler is playing at an amazing level and the leadership has been immense to the rest of the team this entire playoff season. The following results match the projections produced by the models. The Lakers are 6-18 ATS when shooting between 43 and 47% form the field this season; 15-29-2 ATS for 34% when the opponent has shot 35% or better from beyond the arc. Lakers are 9-24-2 ATS when allowing 107 or more points and allowing 35% or better 3-point shooting this season. Heat are 43-11 SU and 35-17 ATS for 67% when scoring 107 or more points and making 35% or more of their 3-point shots this season; 10-2 SU and 10-1-1 ATS in this year’s playoffs. |
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10-06-20 | Lakers v. Heat +8 | Top | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat Game 4 takes place in the NBA Finals and oh how the results of Game 3 have changed the look and feel of this series. The Lakers were out to a 2-0 series lead and Miami was without two of their best players in Games 2 and 3. Yet, the Heat’s strong forward, Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 19.9 points-per-game, 6.7 rebounds-per-game, and 10.2 assist-per-game for the series, found a way to lead his team to a huge Game 3 win Tuesday Night. I went on record stating on Twitter and linked to the Game 3 NBA article found here on Odds, that there was never a better time to bet aggressively on a team that was down 0-2 to the NBA Finals than right now with the Heat. Currently, the Lakers are favored by 7.5-points at all the major sportsbooks with MGM offering the Heat at +7.5 +105 vig. For the series you can get the Heat at +850 and +1100 for Jimmy Butler to win the MVP at MGM as the screenshot below shows. Why Am I So Bullish on the Heat?That is a great question and the answer consists of two parts. The first part is the fact that there has been three NBA Champions that had three different high scorers in each of the first three playoff rounds. The Miami Heat have become the fourth team and strongly believe they are a real team with a great floor general in Butler and the vastly better coaching in Spoelstra. I was completely sold when near the end of Game 3 Butler was seen saying “They know they are in trouble” repeatedly as he walked off the court toward his teammates during a timeout. A Solid Money Line Betting System Supports the HeatThis money line betting system has earned a solid 104-89 betting record good for 55% winning bets and has made the Dime player a profit of $37,200 over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be on any team using the money line in a game involving two teams that are allowing opponents to shoot between 43.5 and 46% from the field, and is a good ball handling team averaging 14.5 or fewer turnovers-per-game and is facing a team that forces an average of 14 to 16 turnovers per game in games played after the 41st one has been completed and including the playoff rounds. What Does the Machine Learning Tools Tell Us?The machine learning models confirm the bet on the Heat tonight and with the win would bring this series to an even two wins apiece and reduce the Finals to a best-of-three match. The day off until Game 5 give the Heat a chance to get Goran Dragic back into the lineup. He is listed as doubtful for tonight’s game and I do not expect him top play. However, I would not be surprised to see the Heat center Bam Adebayo get some minutes tonight. So, these projections do not include either player in the game tonight just as they did for last night’s game. The Heat are projected to shoot above 45% form the field, make at least 14 3-point shots, and make more 3-point shots than the Lakers. In past games in which the Heat met or exceeded these projections they went on to earn a 59-16 straight-up record and 56-15-4 against the spread (ATS) record good for 79% winning bets since 1995 and 35-10 SU for 78% wins and 31-10-4 ATS for 77% winning bets over the last three seasons. The Lakers are a money losing 12-57 SU for 17% wins and 9-59-1 ATS for a miserable 13% winning bets that failed to cover by an average of 11.5 points since 1995 and 8-24 SU for 25% wins and 7-25 ATS for 22% winning bets that failed to cover by an average of 9 points since 2017 when they have allowed an opponent to meet or exceed those performance measures. All playoff teams that allowed their opponents to meet or exceed those performance measures are 15-64 SU for 19% wins losing by an average of 13 points and 14-63-2 ATS for 18% winning bets that failed to cover the spread by an average of 10 pints. Take the Miami Heat as a Best Bet NBA in Game 4 of the NBA Finals |
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10-04-20 | Lakers v. Heat +9.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs LA Lakers 8:30 PM EST, October 4, 2020 7-Star Best Bet on the Miami Heat In the history of the playoffs a team that had a different high-scorer in each of the last three playoff rounds are 3-0 in the Championship Finals. The Heat accomplished that feat and if there was ever a time to roll the dice and get an incredibly great price for futures prop in the NBA Finals it would be right now. I love the Heat on a futures bet to win the Finals. Yes, it is a long shot, but we are getting paid to assume that risk and one that I doi think is quite possible. The machine learning reveals that the Heat are 134-17 SU and 120-27-4 ATS 82% when they score at least 107 points and shoot at least 45% from the field and will make more 3-point shots than the opponent. |
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09-30-20 | Heat v. Lakers -5 | Top | 98-116 | Win | 100 | 35 h 7 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs LA Lakers 9:00 PM EST, September 30, 2020 7-Star Best Bet on the LA Lakers This is a great betting system that has earned a 79-20 SU record for 80% wins and a 67-31-1 ATS mark for 68.4% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are to bet on favorites with a winning record on the season and facing an opponent that has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season and is coming off a game in which the combined score went over the posted total by 20 or more points. The record is 15-5 SU for 75% wins and 13-7 ATS for 65% winning bets in playoff games. Plus, a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in the NBA Finals since 2015. The machine learning reveals that the Lakers are 21-6 ATS for 78% winning bets when scoring at least 105 points and having 40% of their points scored from made 3-pointers. 8-0 SU and ATS since the start of the 2018 season. |
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09-26-20 | Nuggets +5 v. Lakers | Top | 107-117 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs LA Lakers I also like the first-half bet on Denver plus the points and this betting system supports that opportunity. The system has earned a solid 63-32 ATS record for 67% winning bets and instructs us to bet on 3-seed underdogs using the first-half line when trailing in a playoff series. The machine learning models project that the Nuggets will make at least 48% of their shot attempts, 33% of their 3-point shot attempts, and score at least 107 points. The Nuggets are 181-33 SU and 169-39-6 ATS for 81% winning bets that have covered the spread by an average of 9 points. |
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09-24-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6 | Top | 114-108 | Push | 0 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 LA Lakers vs Denver Nuggets 9:00 PM EST, September 24, 2020
The machine learning tools project that the Nuggets will shot at least 48% from the field, will make at least 35% of their 3-point shots and score at least 105 points. In past games in which the Nuggets met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 107-19 SU record and 104-20-2 ATS for 84% winning bets that covered the number by 9.5 points in games played over the last 7 seasons; 43-8 SU and 38-12-1 ATS for 76% winning bets over the last two seasons; 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS for 91% winning bets that covered the spread by 8.9 points over the last two playoff seasons. Take the Denver Nuggets as a 7-Star Best Bet tonight.
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09-23-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics 8:30 PM EST, September 23, 2020
The machine learning tools project that the Heat will make at least 78% of their free throw attempts and will shoot at least 44% form the field and have the better ands more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the Heat met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 145-13 SU record and 129-27 ATS for 83% winning bets that covered the number by 9.2 points. Take the Miami Heat as a 7-Star Best Bet tonight.
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09-22-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +7 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 LA Lakers vs Denver Nuggets 9:00 PM EST, September 22, 2020
Only Murry played more minutes (44) than Jokic (39) in Game 2 and this duo knows their performance is key to getting a Game 3 win tonight. Over his last four games against the Lakers Jokic has averaged 31 minutes, shot 49% from the field,94% form the charity stripe, and averaging 16.3 points-per-game (PPG). Over his last 10 playoff games, he is averaging 31minutes, 60% field goal percentage, 84% free-throw-percentage, 17.8 PPG and includes 10 boards-per-game, and 6.6 assist-per-game. The Nuggets are 18-6 SU for 75% wins and 15-8-1 against-the-spread (ATS) for 65% winning bets following a loss in which Jokic scored 26 or more points. In games in which Jokic had more assists than rebounds, his team is 20-10 SU and 18-10-2 ATS for 64% winning bets. Jamal Murray and Jokic Working TogetherPG Murray is playing at an elevated level and has averaged 34 minutes, shot 48% form the field, averaging 5.8 assists, and scoring 18.5 PPG over his last four games against the Lakers. Now, it is not up to Murray and Dojik to take it upon themselves to win this game. It is the opposite for the Nuggets team. In games when Dojik and Murray scored at least 50 points and then had a total of four more players scoring in double-digits the Nuggets record is 9-3 SU and ATS and when a total of seven Nuggets scored in double-digits they are 4-1 SU and a perfect 5-0 ATS. Minutes played is a valuable parameter and underscores the need for Murray and Jokic to remain out of foul trouble tonight. The Nuggets are 12-7 ATS for 63% winning bets when Murray logged 40 or more minutes. When both Murray and Dojik have logged 40 or more minutes in the same game the Nuggets are 25-19 SU and 27-17 ATS for 61.4% winning bets. Will Anthony Davis be the Conference Finals MVP?No argument is needed that AD is the leader by a wide margin for the Western Conference Finals MVP award. He has had more than 30 points scored in each of the first two games of this series and the offensive game plan designed by head coach Vogel is centered on him. In case you wanted to know, the Lakers are 18-7 SU and 12-13 ATS in games played following back-to-back games where AD scored 30 or more points. What is eye-opening is that the ‘UNDER’ in these games has earned am 18-7 ‘UNDER’ record for 72% winning bets. The ‘UNDER’ is also supported by a combined Lebron James and AD scoring metric. The ‘UNDER’ is 25-14 for 65% winning bets when James and Davis have combined for 50 or more points in Laker games. The Lakers are 29-10 SU and 10-20 ATS in these games. What Does the Machine Learning Models Tell Us?The machine learning tools confirm a bet on the Nuggets and a lean towards the ‘UNDER’ The projections call for the Nuggets to have the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio, have more points scored in the paint and will have more made 3-point shots than the Lakers have fast break points scored. So, in past games where the Nuggets have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 101-12 SU record and an 88-23-2 ATS record good for cashing 79% of the bets made and has covered the spread by an average of 9.4 points. When these games have been in the playoffs the Nuggets have earned a 6-3 SU and ATS record good for 67% winning bets. Take the Denver Nuggets as a 7-Star Best Bet tonight.
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09-18-20 | Nuggets +7 v. Lakers | Top | 114-126 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Denver Nuggets vs LA Lakers 9:00 PM EST, September 18, 2020
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09-17-20 | Heat +2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
iami Heat vs Boston Celtics September 17, 2020, 7:00 PM EST
Here is a solid betting system that supports the Heat and has earned a 73-40 SU record using the Money Line over the last five seasons. This system instructs us to be on any team in a game where they and the opponent have won 60 to 75% of their games on the season and with the opponent coming off a game where the total went ‘OVER’ by 18 or more points. The machine learning models project that the Heat will make 77% or more of their free throw attempts, score at least 105 points, and make at least 10 3-point shots. In past games when installed as a dog and meeting or exceeding these performance measures the Heat have earned a 21-8 ATS record for 72% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 9 points. |
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09-15-20 | Nuggets +7.5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-89 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Game 7 is Just Another Game
Denver Center and super star Nikola Jokic stated after their come from behind win that “To us, Game 7 is just another game”. That simple statement is completely accurate with the Nuggets having the confidence that they have what it takes to defeat the Clippers. Jokic had 34 pints, 14 boards, and seven assists in their 111-98 win that featured 11 straight defensive stops at one point in the second half. So, I did a simple query of my vast NBA database and learned that the Nuggets are 7-3 straight-up (SU) and 8-2 against-the-spread (ATS) in games following one in which Jokic scored 25 or more points and had at least 10 boards in a win installed as an underdog. The Clippers Have Never Been to the West FinalsThe Clippers were founded in 1970 and played as the Buffalo Braves and then moved to San Diego in 1978. Team owner Irv Levin sold the franchise to real estate developer David Sterling for $12.5 million. Sterling moved the team to Los Angeles in 1984 and then was forced to sell the franchise to former Microsoft founder Steve Balmer, who finally brought winning ways to the franchise for the first time. Still, the Clippers have never advanced to the Western Conference Finals sporting an 0-7 record in previous chances. Will Paul George Have Another Monster Game?The Clippers have strong support in winning Game 7 from the fact that they are 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS for 73% winning bets following a game in which Paul George had 30 or more points; 3-0 ATS in the next game if coming off a loss installed as a favorite. Moreover, Clippers are 6-0 SU and 6-0 ATS following game in which Paul George had a plus-minus rating of -10 or worse. So, you can see how team and player trends can many times work against one another when handicapping a game, but there is far more analysis yet to be seen. What About Teams that Lost Game 6?Not too much to sink our teeth into here, but it is an excellent question. Teams that were 3-1 and forced into a game 7 are 0-4 SU and ATS since 2014. The last series in which this occurred was the Nuggets coming back to defeat the Utah Jazz in Round 1. A 75% Betting System Supports the NuggetsNo team in NBA history has won back-to-back series are being down in the series 3-1. This NBA betting system has earned a 20-7-1 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons and instructs us to play on teams that were losing at the half by 5 or more points in each of their last three games. In playoffs games, this system has earned a 12-5-1 ATS record for 71% winning bets since 2013. Denver trailed by 16 points at the half in Game 6 and playoff teams, who then came from behind to win those games are 14-9 ATS for 61% in the next game. Teams that had at least a 16-point lead in a closeout playoff game are 1-4 ATS with the ‘UNDER’ going a perfect 5-0 in the next playoffs game. Now we are getting somewhere with the analysis. What Does the Machine Learning Have to Say?The machine learning tools project that the Nuggets will have a higher shooting percentage from the field than the Clippers, will shoot at least 39% from beyond the arc and make at least 12 shots from long range. Since 1995, the Nuggets are a remarkable 113-9 SU for 93% wins and 105-14-3 ATS for 88% winning bets when they have met or exceeded these performance measures. The Nuggets also sport a 46-4 SU anmd 40-8-2 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2017. Moreover, teams that have met or exceeded these performance measures in Games 6 or 7 are 9-3 SU for 75% wins and 10-2 ATS for 83% winning bets. Take the Nuggets plus the points and for them to be the first-ever NBA team to win back-to-back payoff series after trailing 3-1 in each of them. |
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09-12-20 | Rockets +6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 96-119 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
ouston Rockets vs LA Lakers September 12, 2020, 8:00 PM EST The Rockets are a 6.5-point underdog and the projections do show a decent probability that they may win this game. So, as a suggestion, I like splitting this 10-star amount into two parts consisting of a 7-star amount using the line and then a 3-Star amount using the money line. This strategy will provide significant additions to the bottom line over the course of a season. I know this is a bold call, but it is based on the ‘Math’ and the ML models. The Rockets find themselves in a great spot for this game and a shocking – to the media and public at least – win over the Lakers. They are 11-2 ATS after two consecutive games in which they were outrebounded by 10 or more boards this season. The machine learning projections also show that playoffs teams that were out rebounded by 8 or more boards in a previous game loss and average at least 115 points on the season are 11-5 ATS for 71% winning bets. The projections also call for the Rockets top score at least 115 points and will make at least 40% from 3-point land. Playoff teams coming off a loss and then scoring 115 or more points and shooting 40% or better from beyond the arc are an amazing 86-9 ATS for 91% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. |
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09-11-20 | Celtics -2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 92-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors 9:00 PM EST, September 11, 2020
From the machine learning tools and models the Celtics are projected to have the better assists-to-turnover ratio, will make 79% or more of their free throw attempts, and score at least 105 points. In past playoff games in which the Celtics met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 9-1 SU and ATS record and covering the spread by an average of 9 points. |
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09-09-20 | Raptors +4 v. Celtics | Top | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Toronto Raptors bs Boston Celtics 6:30 PM EST, September 9, 2020
The Raptors are also 28-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last six games in games played over the last two seasons. From the machine learning tools the Raptors are projected to score a minimum of 111 points and get 12 to 16 offensive rebounds, and have a TO differential of not more or less than 3 of the opponent. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone to earn a 60-14 straight-up (SU) record and 52-21-1 ASTS mark for 721.2% winning bets and the ‘OVER’ is 64-10 for 87% winning bets. So, play a 7-Star amount on Toronto plus the points and a 5-Star amount on the ‘OVER’. Then as an optional consideration place a reverse action parlay Toronto with the points and the ‘OVER’ which pays 4:1. |
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09-08-20 | Heat -4 v. Bucks | Top | 103-94 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 6:30 PM EST, September 8, 2020
The Bucks are just 6-15 ATS in games facing good shooting teams making >=46% of their shots this season. From the machine learning tools the Heat are 133-24 ATS for 85% winning bets when scoring 106 or more points, making 78% or more of their free throw attempts and have had the better assists-to-turnover ratio. So, watch for these metrics in tonight’s game. |
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09-02-20 | Thunder +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets
9:00 PM EST, September 2, 2020
Here is a money line betting system that has earned a strong 48-24 record for 67% winning bets and instructs to play on teams using the money line in a playoff game that with a win closes out the series and is a team winning between 60 and 75% of their games on the season. From the machine learning tools the Thunder are 35-18 ATS for 67% winning bets and 38-15 SU when they have scored 111 or more points and had 13 to 17 turnovers in games played since 2017; perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in playoff games. Moreover, the Thunder are 33-5 SU and 27-11 ATS for 71% winning bets when shooting between 45 and 48% form the field and have had the better assists-to-turnover ratio. |
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09-01-20 | Jazz +1 v. Nuggets | Top | 78-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
8:30 PM EST, September 1, 2020
The Nuggets are just 5-18 ATS after a win by 10 or more points in games played over the last two seasons. From the machine learning tools the Jazz are projected to make at least 48% of all of their shot attempts and make 15 or more free throws, and score at least 111 points. IN past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a robust 202-51-11 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2004; 44-13-5 ATS for 78% winning bets over the last three seasons; 9-2 ATS in playoffs games since 2008 and covering the spread by an average of 11 points. |
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08-31-20 | Heat v. Bucks -5 | Top | 115-104 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks August 31, 2020 6:30 Game 1, Round 2 Eastern Conference Here is a betting system that has earned a 37-12-1ATS record for 76% winning over the last 5 seasons. The system instructs us to be on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points facing an opponent that has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games and has a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season. The record is 12-3 ATS for 80% winners when the game is in the playoffs; 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets in all rounds after the first round since 2011. From the machine learning tools and projections the Bucks are 39-5-1 ATS when the have scored 111 or more points, made 79% or more of their free throw attempts, and held their opponent to less than 38% 3-point shooting since 2015. Over the last 10 seasons, no. 1 seeds that have met or exceeded these performance measures have earned a 161-42-3 ATS record covering the spread by an average of 9 points for 79% winning bets. |
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08-29-20 | Thunder +5 v. Rockets | Top | 80-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets
9:00 PM EST, 08-29-20 (Saturday)
The Thunder are 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games attempting 10 or more free throws than opponent this season. The Rockets averaged just a fraction more 3-point shot attempts then 2-point shot attempts this season. Their 2-point to 3-point shot attempt ratio has gone even further into extreme levels in this matchup. They are averaging 90 shot attempts per game, which is right on their regular season average, but are averaging an incredible 54 3-point shot attempts and just 36.8 2-point shot attempts. Since 2018, the Rockets are just 1-7 ATS for 12.5% and losing to the spread by an average of 12.2 points when they have attempted more 3’s than 2’s and the opponent made 8 or more free throws. |
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08-25-20 | Jazz -2.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 107-117 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets
6:30 PM EST, 08-25-20 (Tuesday)
Denver is just 13-25 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last two seasons. From the machine learning tools, the Jazz are 50-9 ATS for 85% winners when scoring 112 or more points and having the better, more efficient ATS ratio in regular season and playoff games since 2017; 4-0 ATS and covering by an average of 20 points in playoff games since 2017. Take the Utah Jazz as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet, 5-Star bets Bet ‘UNDER’ and 3-star reverse parlay on the Jazz and ‘UNDER’. |
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08-24-20 | Rockets -2.5 v. Thunder | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs. OKC Thunder
4:00 PM EST, 08-24-20 (Monday)
The Rockets need to and are expected to improve their 3-point shooting. If they do not then this series will be won by the Thunder and this bet may prove to be a losing one. The Rockets in the playoffs are attempting an average of 53 3-point shots per game and making just 18 of them for a 34% rate. The Rockets, though, are making 57% of their 2-point shots, but are attempting an average of 28 shots per game. Narrowing the spread between 3-point and 2-point attempts will go a long way to seeing the Rockets win this game. Combined with the fact that they are taking much better care of the ball sporting a 2.0 assist-to-turnover ratio as compared to the Thunder’s 1.26 ATS will more than offset any anomalies by the Thunder. From the machine learning tools, the Rockets are 191-45-7 for 81% winners when scoring 114 or more points and having the better, more efficient ATS ratio in regular season and playoff games; 10-1 ATS for 91% and covering by an average of 14 points in playoff games. Take the Houston Rockets as as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-23-20 | Raptors -12.5 v. Nets | Top | 150-122 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets
6:30 PM EST, 08-23-20
From the machine learning tools the Raptors are projected to score at least 111 points and have fewer turnovers. In ast games when the Raptors have accomplished or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 152-69 ATS amrk good for 69% ATS winners. In playoffs games the Raptors have earned a near-perfect 9-1 ATS mark and have covered the spread by an average of 12.8 points. Take the Toronto Raptors as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-23-20 | Celtics v. 76ers +8 | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
hiladelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics August 23, 1:00 PM EST The NBA database queries reveal several supporting situational betting systems that have all earned high winning percentages. This one has earned a 63-32 ATS mark good for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to bet on underdogs that have a winning record on the season and playing an opponent with a higher win percentage, that the opponent has been favored in their last three games and have won all three of these games ATS spanning games played since 2015. The 76ers have been a resilient team in 2019 and have earned a solid 31-18 ATS mark after habving lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games ATS; 20-7 ATS for 74% while sporting a 3-game or more ATS losing streak spanning games played over the last three seasons. The 76ers shot 29.5% from the field and were 2-points behind the Celtics with under 1:45 left in the game. The public is all over the Celtics and is a logical choice to bet, but logic many times does not translate to ATS winning bet. Rumors are swirling that the ‘Trust the Process’ is a broken model and this team will be broken up starting with the firing of head coach Brett Brown. I ask you this. Would the team played with the heart and ‘guts’ they did in Game-3 and if they did not like their head coach? Would they have actually shown improvement on both ends of the court (Tatem in Game-3 was minimized) if they hated their head coach? 76ers are 14-6 ATS when coming off a game where they shot 33% or less form the field. |
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08-22-20 | Rockets v. Thunder +3 | Top | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs OKC Thunder 6:00 PM EST, August 22, 2020 The conversations surrounding this matchup have centered on several shooting stats from the regular season and specifically how the Rockets shot just 23% from beyond the arc against the Thunder and that Harden and Eroc Gorden combined for a horrid 14% in those games. However, the first two games have had no similarities to the regular season results as Houston shot 39% from 3-point area and Harden and Gorden shot 42% combined. Then in Game-2 the Rockets shot just 33% from distance and Harden/Gorden went 2-21 for 10% makes and the Rockets still found a way to win the game. So, the Rockets have earned their way to a 2-0 series lead and have put the Thunder’s back against the wall. The Thunder are a stout 22-9 ATS for 71% in games lined between -3 and +3 this season. Thunder are 18-9 ATS for 67% installed as a DOG and having lost 3 or 4 of their last 4 games ATS in games played since 2016; 4-0 ATS when a playoffs game. The machine learning tools project the Thunder to score at least 114 points and are 7-1 ATS this season when doing so. The Thunder are 16-3 ATS for 84% winning bets when scoring at least 114 points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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08-22-20 | Bucks v. Magic +12.5 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic August 21, 1:30 PM EST No.1 seeds in the NBA playoffs tied at 1-game each in Round-1 are just 2-6 SU and 2-6 ATS. Magic are coming off their worst shooting game of the 2019 season hitting just 34% from the field and they are projected to bounce back with a great effort this afternoon. The Magic have nothing to lose and are ‘supposed to lose’ and matched the Bucks point-for-point in the second-half of Game-2. From the machine learning tools the Magic are an amazing 123-14 ATS for 90% winning bets when they have scored at least 112 points and shot at least 49% from the field and at least 39% from beyond the arc; 8-0 ATS in playoff games covering the spread by an average of 17 points! |
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08-20-20 | Blazers +6 v. Lakers | Top | 88-111 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 49 m | Show |
Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers Lakers have lost six straight to the number and in case you were wanting to know, No-1 seeds that have lost at least 6 consecutive games to the spread are a money burning 18-25 ATS for 42%. Most amateur bettors will presume that a team as ‘good as the Lakers’ will bounce back with a monster effort and easy ATS winning ticket. I mentioned in the Game-1 winner on Portland that the Lakers would be in a flux having not played any of the eight bubble games with any starting lineups and a mish mash of personnel. The Trailblazers are an excellent ball handling team and the Lakers are just 2-13 ATS when facing a solid ball handling team averaging no more than 14 TOPG this season. From the machine learning tools the Trailblazers are an amazing 102-17-6 ATS for 86% winning bets when they have scored at least 111 points and shot at least 49% from the field and at least 39% from beyond the arc; 188-39-4 ATS in playoff games for the No-8 seed! |
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08-20-20 | Magic v. Bucks -13 | Top | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
Orladno Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks
6:00 PM EST, 08-20-20
Bucks are 52-34 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record since the start of the 2018 season. The Magic are 6-29 SU and 12-23 ATS when playing against a winning record team this season; 6-12 ATS facing a winning record team and coming off a straight-up win. No-1 seeds coming a game shotting 44% or worse from the field and allowed previous opponent to shoot at least 49% and had at least 16 TO are an impressive 39-20 ATS for 67%. From the machine learning tools the Bucks are 140-51-3 ATS for 73% wins when they have scored at least 111 points and had 13 to 17 turnovers; No-1 seeds are 101-37 ATS for 73% winners when scoring at least 111 points and having between 13 and 17 TO. Take the Milwaukee Bucks as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-19-20 | 76ers +5 v. Celtics | Top | 101-128 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics 6:30 PM EST, August 19, 2020 I will get right to the machine learning projections. The 76ers are 111-37-2 ATS for 75% winners in games in which they made at least 78% of their free-throw attempts and scored at least 111 points; and 3-0 ATS covering by an average of 15 points when it has been a playoff game. The Celtics are just 1-12 SU and ATS for 8% winning bets when their playoff opponent has scored 111 or more points and made at least 78% of their free throw attempts. Consider splitting the wager into two parts consisting of a 5* amount using the line and a 2* amount using the money line. |
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08-19-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 124-105 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets Here is a betting system that has earned a a solid 66-27-1 ATS record for 71% and 12-3 ATS for 80% wins in playoff games since 2015. Then betting system query instructs us to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and facing an opponent that played a game in which the combined score was 20 or more points over the posted total line and has a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season. The Nuggets are projected to score at least 111 points and are 15-4 ATS for 79% in playoff games and 11-2 ATS when installed as a favorite in playoff games. |
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08-18-20 | Blazers +5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 100-93 | Win | 102 | 53 h 6 m | Show |
Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers 9:00 PM EST, August 18, 2020 Let us start with a listing of meaningful team situational trends for this matchup. The Blazers are 16-2 ATS after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less. Lakers are 1-7 ATS in the bubble and have lost four of their last five games. They did rest their stars quite a bit down the stretch, but LeBron had rest since March 10th and playing eight games would not wear down a physical specimen like he is. So, fundamentally, I believe the lack of playing time with the entire roster is going to hurt the Lakers for the first part of this series. This is an unprecedented atmosphere and life-style for these players that certainly negates home court advantage and possibly give an edge to the pseudo road team going into the first round games. Do not under estimate the loss of Rondo to a fractured thumb and Avery Bradley, who opted out, and was definitley the best defensive player on the team. Here is time-tested betting system query from the database that has earned a 34-17 ATS record for 67% winning bets and also is 31-19 ‘OVER’ for 62% winners over the last five seasons. When the opponent is coming off a game where 216 or more points were scored the system improves to 24-11 ATS for 69% winners and a 21-14 ‘OVER’ mark for 60%. Finally, when the opponent is coming off a game in which 221 or more points were scored, the record improves significantly to a very impressive 21-6 ATS mark and 78% winning bets. The base query instructs us to play on underdogs of 3 to 9 points and coming of back-to-back wins of seven or fewer points and facig an opponent coming off a game where 206 or more points were scored. |
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08-18-20 | Magic v. Bucks -13 | Top | 122-110 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks
1:30 PM EST, 08-18-20
In addition, underdogs of 12 or more points that possess a higher ATR by at least 0.15 and in game with a total of 220 or more are a miserable 0-13 SU losing the game by an average of 21 points and 1-12 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 7.7 PPG. Also, underdogs of 8 to 9.5 points that score an average of 9 or more points fewer than their opponent are just 5-14 ATS for 27% in the playoffs. Take the Bucks for a 7* Best Bet Titan |
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08-17-20 | Nets v. Raptors -10 | Top | 110-134 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors I do not think Raptors head coach Nick Nurse gets the credit he deserves. He won the World Championship with Leonard and now is looking to repeat without the Superstar. Many of the team metrics, especially defensive ones, are even better than last season. Focus has been there (unlike the Lakers, for instance) going 7-1 in the Bubble and fully prepared to go for the back-to-back Championships. Raptors have won three of the four meetings this season against the Nets and all four games occurred before the stoppage. Teams that have defeated the current playoff opponent in 3 of the last 4 meetings and are installed as 9.5 favorites or more are 70-6 SU for 92%. So, this is not a recommendation to use the money line, but a dominant set of situations showing why the Raptors will come up in dominating form right from the opening tip. Teams that sport a 70% or higher win percentage (Raptors 73%) and facing a team with a losing record have earned a 40-24 ATS mark good for 63% winning bets and when favored by at least 9.5 points have earned a 20-11 ATS mark for 65% winners. Despite already having the NBA-best overall defense, they are also best averaging 19 fast break points per game. They also rank 11th-best allowing opponents to score an average eof 12.7 fast break points per game. The machine learning tools project that the Raptors will score at least 111 points and shoot at least 50% from the field. Playoff teams that are favored by at least 9.5 points and have met or exceeded these measures are 35-1 SU and 27-9 ATS for 75% winning bets. In addition, the ‘OVER’ is 14-1 for 93% since 2016. Take the Raptors for a 7-Star Best Bet Titan, 5-Star Bet ’Over’ the total and no more than a 3-Star reverse parlay using the Raptors and the ‘OVER’. |
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08-14-20 | Nuggets +4 v. Raptors | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors
1:30 PM EST, 08-14-20
Coach Malone is 42-25-1 ATS after his Nuggets have lost 3 of their last 4 games. Machine learning projects that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and have the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games where the Nuggets have achieved or exceeded these measures they have earned an outstanding 281-61-6 ATS mark good for 82% winning bets since 1995 and 71-17-3 ATS since 2016, and 28-6 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2018. |
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08-12-20 | Raptors v. 76ers +6.5 | Top | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Toronto vs Philadelphia
6:30 PM EST, 08-12-20
Consider splitting this opportunity into a 4.5* amount using the point spread and a 2.5* amount using the money line. This type of optimization will augment your bottom line over the course of the season – and yes, even if the games are played in a ‘bubble’. This is not a play because Embiid has been cleared to play just to be clear.
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08-10-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5 | Top | 121-124 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Denver vs Lakers 9:00 PM EST, 08-10-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-9 ATS record for 79% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and are facing an opponent with a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season and coming off a game that the combined score eclipsed the posted total by at least 30 points. The Lakers have done well against low-pressure intensity style of defenses and are 22-9 ATS when facing a team like the Nuggets, who force an opponent into less than 14 turnovers per game this season.
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08-10-20 | Mavs +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz The machine learning toolshed projects that the Mavs will shoot at least 43% form the field and at least 35% from three-point territory, and score at least 111 points. In past games where the Mavs have met these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 283-62-9 ATS record good for 82% winning bets since 2000; 23-7 ATS in the current season. Take the Mavs. |
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08-09-20 | Nets +13 v. Clippers | Top | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs LA Clippers
9:00 PM EST, 08-09-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 66-29 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on underdogs of 10 or more points in a non-conference matchup and is a well-rested team playing six or fewer games in the past 14 days of action.
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08-08-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 132-134 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
3:30 PM EST, 08-08-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 68-20 ATS record for 77% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs off an ATS win installed as an underdog and are now in a game with both teams winning between 60% to 75% of their games on the season. Machine learning projects that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and In past games in which the Nuggets met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 237-56-4 ATS for 81% winning bets. |
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08-07-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -1 | Top | 122-100 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics
9:00 PM EST, 08-07-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-8 ATS record for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game and is a solid team winning between 60% to 75% of their games and playing a team with a winning record. Machine learning projects that the Raptors will score 111 or more points and have at least 14 offensive rebounds. In past games in which the Raptors met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 61-27 ATS record for 69% winning bets. |
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08-03-20 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 99-109 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Memphis vs New Orleans The machine learning toolshed projects that the Grizzlies will have at least 53 boards and score at least 111 points. In past games, they are 17-5 ATS when achieving this pair of KPIs. The Pelicans are a money-burning 14-33-3 ATS when allowing 111 or more points and allowing 53 or more rebounds and 7-24-2 ATS for 23% spanning games played over the last five seasons. Here is a nice betting system that underscores the strength of the bet on the Memphis Grizzlies and has earned a 49-20 ATS result good for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons. Play on any team revenging a road loss to the current opponent of at least 10 points and with both teams sporting win percentages between 40 and 49.9% on the season. Take the Memphis Grizzlies. |
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08-02-20 | Bucks -4.5 v. Rockets | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Houston
8:30 PM EST, 08-02-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 48-14 ATS record good for 76% winning bets over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play against underdogs that are playing a gme that went over the posted total by 24 or more points and is a team that has earned a win percentage between 60 and 75% and facing a team with a winning record. The machine learning tool shed projects that Milwaukee’s defense will be feared tonight by the Rockets. Overall, and dating back to 1990 teams that have allowed a 3-point shooting percentage of 33% or lower and a field-goal % lower than 42% are 8,364-2268 ATS for 79% winning bets. The Bucks are 69-18 ATS covering the spread by an average of 8.8 points for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bucks are projected to score at least 115 points. So, the Rockets are a miserable 1-21-1 ATS when shooting 42% or less and 33% or less from beyond the arc and allowing 115 or more points in games played since 2015. |
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08-02-20 | Kings +2.5 v. Magic | Top | 116-132 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Sacramento vs Orlando The machine learning toolshed projects that the Kings will have fewer turnovers than the Magic and that they will shoot at least 48% form the field. In past games in which the Kings did achieve these performance KPI they are an amazing 234-56-5 ATS for 81% winning bets and 50-10-3 ATS since 2015. Take the Sacramento Kings. |
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08-01-20 | 76ers v. Pacers +6 | Top | 121-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers I like the 76ers once we get into the playoffs. I like the fact that Ben Simmons has accepted his new role as power forward and you will definitley see more bulk and muscle on this budding superstar. Yet, there are a few things that the 76ers need to figure out before heading into the payoffs and they will. The Pacers will push the ball tonight and make the game fast at both ends. The 76ers have not had good results in high-paced games. They are just 3-35 SU and 4-34 ATS in games played where they allowed an opponent 50% or better shooting and allowed 90 or more shot attempts. Just 1-16 SU and 3-14 ATS spanning the last five seasons. Take the Pacers. |
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07-30-20 | Clippers +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
7-Star NBA Best Bet Titan on the LA Clippers
The Clippers will take on the Lakers in a 2020 opening season game that many ‘talking heads’ see as a preview to the Western Finals. I do disagree with that prognostication and see the Clippers as the team by the West by a wide margin. That’s a story for another time. The line opened with the Lakers installed as 1-point favorites weeks ago and the line has steadily risen to its’ current price of Lakers favored by 4.5-points. Consider making this a combination wager consisting of a 5-star bet getting the points and a 2-star amount using the money line. Purely optional, but this betting design has served to add significantly to bottom line profits spanning an entire season. Take the Clippers and expect the SU win. |
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03-11-20 | Iowa State +7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
Iowa State vs Oklahoma State 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Iowa State Cyclones This is an upset in the making based on the projections and situations these teams find themselves in for this matchup. OSU is a money-burning 4-15 ATS after having won four or five of their last six games in games played over the last three seasons; 1-10 ATS after having won four of their last five games in game splayed over the last three seasons. ISU has been horrid on the roads this season cover just tow games, but this is not a road game. It is a neutral court site and is being played in the month of March during conference and NCAA Tournament time. ISU is 63-35-1 ATS in all March games spanning the last 20 seasons. From the predictive side of things, ISU is a solid 45-18-1 for 71% winners when making at least 80% of their shot attempts and making at least 42% of their FGA. If they make over 45% from the floor and 80%+ of their free throws their record zooms to 36-9 for 80% winners; 8-1 ATS at a neutral site and covering the spread by an average of nine points. |
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03-11-20 | St. Joe's +5.5 v. George Mason | Top | 70-77 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
St. Joes vs George Mason St. Joes is not a strong 3-point shooting team. However, George Mason is an imperfect 0-7 ATS when facing a team that is making 31% or fewer from beyond the arc in games played after the 15th game in each of the last two seasons. St. Joes may not shoot well, but they do not add to the pain by turning the ball over. George Mason is 14-28 ATS against good handling teams that are committing no more than 14 turnovers-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. George Mason Head Coach Paulsen is just 3-13 ATS off a road win against a conference foe. From the predictive side of things, St. Joes is a solid 57-33 -2 ATS when they have made 71 to 77% of their free-throw attempts. GMU is a money-losing 3-15 ATS when they have allowed 67 to 74 points in game splayed over the last two seasons. |
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03-11-20 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Clemson | Top | 64-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
Miami vs Clemson
10 PM EST, March 11, 2020 Clemson has not done well when facing teams that are not all that aggressive on the defensive end. The Tigers are just 4-12 ATS when facing teams that are forcing an average of 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game and 4-14 ATS after the 15th game of th season spanning the last two seasons. Head Coach Larranaga is 58-38 ATS off a home win as the coach of the Hurricanes and 20-10 ATS after playing two consecutive home games. From the predictive side fo things, the Hurricanes are 68-36-5 ATS in games that they made at least 79% of their free-throw attempts; 20-9 ATS for 70% in road games when they made at least 79% of their free-throw attempts and scored at least 67 points including 9-3 ATS in neutral site games since 2005. |
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03-09-20 | Raptors v. Jazz -4.5 | Top | 101-92 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
Toronto vs Utah 9:05 PM EST, March 9, 2020 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Utah Jazz Let’s get right to it as the Jazz are 32-14 ATS for 70% winning bets when they are coming off back-to-back wins of six or fewer points and 22-10 ATS when favored on these spots. This situational query has earned a solid 60-25-2 ATS record for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons and requires us to be on teams that are lined within four points on either side of ‘pick’ and are coming off three consecutive games in which they and their respective opponents each scored 100 or more points om each of the three games and are now facing an elite opponent that is outscoring their opponents by an average of at least six points. From the predictive side of things, Utah is projected to score at least 111 points and have the better and more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio. When they have met or exceeded this pairing of performance measures they have earned an outstanding 127-27-5 ATS mark good for 83% winning bets and 26-6-2 ATS for 81% winning bets over the last three seasons. |