Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks
8-Unit Best Bet on the Bulls if they are a double-digit underdog

Bet on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record has earned a 28-99 SU mark and 77-48-2 ATS for 62%. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, the record soars to 71-39-2 ATS for 65% winning bets.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets
8-Unit bet on the Heat minus the four points and is good up to 5.5 points.

Betting on road favorites of 3.5 or more points coming off two straight games in which they allowed 100 or more points in each game and now facing a foe that is coming off a narrow by three or fewer points has earned a 102-34 SU record and 81-52-3 ATS for 61% winning bets. If the total is 225 or fewer points, this algorithm has gone 85-25 SU and 71-37-2 ATS for 65.7% winning bets.

Pacific vs Fresno State
7 ET
8-Unit best bet on Pacific plus the 14 points and is valid if they remain a double-digit underdog. 

Bet on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are outscored by eight or more PPG and have allowed 75 or more points in each of their last two games has earned a 155-96-2 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Milwaukee vs Cal Davis
5:00 EST
8-Unit best bet on Milwaukee plus 9.5 points and is valid down to 6.5 points.

Bet on dogs that have lose to the spread by a total of 42 or more points over their last five games  and now facing an opponent that has seen their last five games play Under the total by 55 or more points has earned a 41-24-2 ATS mark for 63% winning bets over the past 7 seasons and if the total in these games have been 145 or more points, these dogs have soared to a 14-4 ATS record good for 78% winning bets.

Towson State vs UMBC
1:00 EST
8-Unit best bet on UMBC plus the points and is a valid bet if they remain the underdog.

Bet on dogs that have lose to the spread by a total of 42 or more points over their last five games  and now facing an opponent that has seen their last five games play Under the total by 55 or more points has earned a 41-24-2 ATS mark for 63% winning bets over the past 7 seasons and if the total in these games have been 145 or more points, these dogs have soared to a 14-4 ATS record good for 78% winning bets.

Nebraska vs Minnesota

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on Nebraska -2 or fewer points.

Betting on road favorites including pick-em following a game in which they lost to the spread by 18 or more points and facing a host that has seen total play OVER by 24 or more points over their previous three games has earned a highly profitable 27-15 ATS for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our road favorite show less than 40% from the field in their previous game, they have then gone 17-7 SUATS for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Longwood vs Morgan State
8-Unit On Longwood minus the 10 points and is valid up to 11.5 points.

From the predictive model, we learn that Longwood is 10-2 Ats when scoring 75 to 80 points and MS is just 1-8 ASTS when allowing 75 to 80 points over the last three seasons.

Betting on favorites between -4.5 and -11.5 points that have won each of their last three games by double-digits and facing a foe that has trailed in each of their last three games at the half by 5 or more points has produced a 21-2 SU record and 16-6-1 ATS mark for 73% winning bets over the past 15 seasons.

Illinois vs Rutgers
8-Unit bet on Rutgers using the money line if the spread is less than 2.5 point favorite.

Betting on teams priced between the 3’s that have led at the half by six or more points in each of their past three games and facing a foe that scored 75 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a 78-47-3 ATS record for 62.4% winners since 2015.

Detroit vs Cleveland State
8-Unit bet on winless Detroit getting 12 points and is valid as long as they remain a double-digit underdog.

Betting on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are getting outscored by 12 or more points per game and is coming off a game in which there was 115 or fewer combined points scored has earned an 84-37 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics
8-Unit Best Bet on the 76ers plus the points, currently priced as 6.5-point underdogs.

Betting on teams revenging a loss to the current opponent and is coming off an upset loss has gone 67-41 SU and 69-37-2 ATS good for 65% winning bets. If we drill down into the data a bit deeper we find out that if the game is a divisional matchup and our dog is priced more than 7 points, they have gone 6-2 ATS for 75% winning bets.

Houston vs Xavier
8-Unit best bet on Houston minus the points, currently priced at 8.5 points.

Betting on road favorites that are coming off an ATS win priced as a double-digit favorite and playing with 5 or 6 days of rest has gone 76-20 SU and 56-38-2 ATS for 60% winning bets. If our team made three or more three pointers than their foe did in the previous game, their record soars to a highly profitable 33-5 SU and 27-9-2 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Portland Trailblazers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
8-Unit best bet on the Trail Blazers plus the 11.5 points and is valid if they remain a double-digit underdog.

Betting on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record after the 15th game of the regular season has been played has earned a 78-45-2 ATS for 65% winning bets. If the total in the game is 220 or fewer points our double-digit dog has gone 26-10 for 72% winning bets.

Texas Tech vs Butler
8-Unit bet on Texas Tech using the money line.

From the predictive model we are looking for Akron to score 78 or more points and make at least 48% of their shots. In past games when Akron scored 78+ points and/or shot 48% from the field they went 23-3 ATS for 89% winning bets. If they scored 78+ points and made 80% or more of their free throws they went 36-2 SU and 16-8-2 ATS for 67% winning bets.
let’s put 8-Units on Akron.

Akron vs UNLV
8-Unit bet on Akron plus the 3.5 points and is valid down to 2.5 points.

From the predictive model we are looking for Akron to score 78 or more points and make at least 48% of their shots. In past games when Akron scored 78+ points and/or shot 48% from the field they went 23-3 ATS for 89% winning bets. If they scored 78+ points and made 80% or more of their free throws they went 36-2 SU and 16-8-2 ATS for 67% winning bets.
let’s put 8-Units on Akron.

Miami vs Kentucky
8-Unit Bet on Kentucky minus the 6 points and is goo up to 7.5

Betting on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are outscoring their foes by 10 or more PPG and led at the half by 20 or more points in their previous game has produced a solid 147-112 ATS mark good for 57% winning bets since 2015. If the game has a total of 160 or more points our favorites have gone 55-22 ATS for 71% winning bets.

From the predictive model we learn that when Kentucky has scored 81 or more points they have gone an impressive 19-0 SU and 15-4 ATS over the past five seasons. Miami is just 2-16 SU and 3-15 ATS when allowing 81 or more points in games played over the past five seasons.

Sun vs Knicks

8-UNIT Best Bet on the Knicks minus the 3-points.

Betting on winning record home teams that are facing a winning record foe that has covered the spread in their last three games priced as a favorite has produced a 89-48 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 2015 and if priced as a favorite has produced a 41-19 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets. Let’s bet on the Knicks

Yale vs Rhode Island
8-Unit bet on Rhode Island plus the 6 points and is valid down to 4.5 points.

The betting flows are favoring more action on Yale and the line could get to 6.5 points later today ahead of the tip.

Betting on home teams as an underdog including pick-em that is shooting 48% or better from the field and is out rebounding their foes by at least 7 per game has gone 28-6 ATS for 82% winning bets over the past five seasons and is an amazing 15-1 ATS over the past three seasons for 94% winners.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz

8-UNIT Best Bet on the Pelicans using the money line and they must not be favored.

Betting on away dogs that are playing with revenge from previous loss of three or fewer points and with that foe coming off an upset loss has earned a 43-18 ATS record good for 71% winners since 2016 and our dog is priced at 4.5 or fewer points they soar to a 15-5 ATS mark for 75% winners.

NJIT vs Wagner
8-Unit bet on NJIT plus the points, currently priced as 8.5 point dogs.

Betting on road dogs of three or more points that average between 65 and 75 PPG and have allowed 75 or more points in each of their last three games and facing a foe is averaging 64 or fewer PPG has earned a solid 28-16-1 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Alabama vs Ohio State
8-Unit Best bet on Alabama minus the 6.5 points and is valid up to 7.5 points.

Betting on home or neutral court favorites between 2.5 and 7 points that are coming off a win by 24 or more points and scored 90+ points in that win and now playing in a game with a total of 155 or fewer points has produced a 52-10 SU record and 41-19-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons.

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic
2:30 PM EST NBA TV Friday

8-Unit Bet on the Celtics minus the 6 points and is valid up to and including 6.5 points.

Betting on road favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are revenging a previous loss to the current foe, who scored 100 or more points in that loss, the foe is also coming off a home win where they scored 115 or more points has earned a solid 47-25-3 ATS for 65% winning bets.

UNCA vs Lipscome
8-Unit best Bet on UNCA minus the 3.5 points and is valid up to -4.5 points.

Betting on home or neutral court favorites between 2.5 and 7 points that are coming off a win by 24 or more points and scored 90+ points in that win and now playing in a game with a total of 155 or fewer points has produced a 52-10 SU record and 41-19-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 7 seasons.

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Lakers
10:30 PM EST

8-Unit Bet on Dallas minus the 2.5 points and is valid up to 3.5 points.

Betting on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 103 PPG, and are coming off a game in which they lead by 20 or more points at the half has earned a 49-25 ATS record good for 66.2% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. If a conference matchup these favorites soar to 33-12 ATS for 73% winning bets.

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic
7 ET

8-Unit Bet on the Nuggets minus the 3.5 points

Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 95 points that are revenging loss in which the opponent scored at least 100 points and that opponent is coming off a home win scoring at least 115 points has earned a 47-24-3 ATS or 66% winners.

Cavaliers vs 76ers
8-Unit Best Bet on the 76ers -7.5 points and is valid up to 9.5 points

Betting on favorites between 6.5 and 9.5 points that are coming off back-to-back double-digit win and are outscoring their opponents by 8 or more PPG and with a win percentage at least 10 percentages higher than the current foe has produced a 41-7 SU record and 33-16-1 ATS for 67.3% winning bets since 2016.

Teams that are coming off a 20+ point win and are outscoring their foes by 9 or more PPG and are priced between a 3.5 and 9.5-ppoint favorite has gone 128-76 ATS since 1996.

76ers vs Nets
8-Unit best bet on the Nets +3.5 points and is good down to 2.5 points. Betting on teams in a game pricing them between a 4-point dog to 4-point favorite that is facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by at least 7.5 PPG and with that foe seeing their last three games have at least 220 points scored in each one has earned a 27-12 ATS record for 69% winning bets since 2018.

Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz

10:00 PM EST
10-Unit Best Bet on the Suns minus the 5.5 points and is valid up to 6.5 points.

Betting on road favorites between -3.5 and -9.5 points that saw their previous game play over the total by 18 or more points and has seen their last 10 games play over by a combined 48 or more points has earned a 56-15 SU record and 45-25-1 ATS for 64.3% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the host is playing on two days of rest exact, our road favorites have gone a perfect 7-0 SUATS.

From the predictive models, we are expecting the Suns to score at least 117 points and have the better assist-turnover ratio. In past games in which they met these performance measures has seen them go on to a 47-7 SU record and 42-12 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets over the past three seasons.

Bet the Suns.

Iowa vs Arkansas State
8:00 ET
8-Unit best bet on Iowa minus the 20.5 points and is valid up to and including -21.5 points

Betting on home favorites that have scored 80 or more points in each of their two previous games and facing a foe that scored 85 or more points in their previous game has earned a 115-70 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the total in these games is 160 or more points our favorites have earned a solid 14-6 ATS record for 70% winning bets.

Same system applies to betting on Eastern Kentucky.

Tennessee Martin vs Eastern Kentucky
7:00 EST
8-Unit best Bet on the EKU minus the 8 points and is valid up to -9 points.

Betting on home favorites that have scored 80 or more points in each of their two previous games and facing a foe that scored 85 or more points in their previous game has earned a 115-70 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the total in these games is 160 or more points our favorites have earned a solid 14-6 ATS record for 70% winning bets.

Cleveland vs Portland

Moda Center, Portland, OR
10:00 ET

8-Unit Best bet on Portland if they are a double-digit underdog

Betting on teams playing on back-to-back nights and are coming of three consecutive road losses has gone 36-42 SU and 53-23-2 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2016. If they are playing at home, their record improves to 17-16 SU and 22-10-1 ATS for 69% winning bets and if priced as a 7 or more-point underdog has produced a terrific 24-9-1 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets.

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Wells Fargo Arena, Philadelphia

7:05 ET

8-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the 4.5 points

Betting on any team that is facing a foe that is coming off back-to-back double-digit wins over divisional foes and has won at least 75% of their games on the season has earned a solid 31-26 SU record and 53-23 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets since 1996. If our team is the host and it is a divisional matchup has seem them go 11-2 ATS for 85% winning bets since 1996.

Merrimack vs Ohio State

7 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on Ohio State minus the 23.5 points and is valid up to and including 26 points.

Betting on double-digit favorites that are taking on a non-conference foe that had a winning record last season and is coming off a road upset win has earned a solid and consistent 75-5 SU and 51-25-4 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total in these games is not greater than 140 points, these favorites produce big profits going 31-1 SU and 21-7-4 ATS for 75% winning bets. Bet Ohio State and lay the wood.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors
10 PM | Chase Center, San Francisco
8-Unit best Bet on the Warriors minus the 1.5 points and is valid up to and including 3.5 points.

Betting on teams that have lost their last two games priced as the favorite and facing a foe that they lost to in their previous meeting and are priced between a 3.5-point favorite or underdog has earned a 49-28 SU record and 50-27 ATS mark for 65% winning bets since 2016. If the home team they have gone 25-11 SU and 26-10 ATS for 72.2% winning bets.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog and favorite that are facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by 7.5 or more PPG and have seen their last three games play over 200 points in each one has earned a highly profitable 28-11 SUATS for 72% winning bets since 2014. The clincher is if the game is priced with a total of 221 or fewer points, these home teams have gone 11-1 SUATS for 92% winning bets since 2014.

No.1 Kansas vs. No. 17 Kentucky
9:30 PM | Champions Classic, Chicago, IL
United Center
10-Unit Best Bet on Kansas minus the 6.5 points and is valid up to and including -7.5 points. I do believe if there is any market movement, the price will get cheaper to bet Kansas. So, look for -6 or lower throughout the day.

Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points in the first 10 games of the regular season, both teams won at least 60% of their games last season, and our favorite has 3 or more returning starters than their foe has earned a 36-12-1 ATS record for 75% winners and 44-5 SU mark. So, consider betting 80% of your normal bet size preflop and then look to get on Kansas with the remaining 20% at -2.5 or even pick-em knowing this system has gone 44-5 SU!

Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 8.5 points playing on a neutral court that are coming off back-to-back wins by 20 or more points and scored at least 90 points in their last game have gone 31-18-1 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past 15 seasons.

Ranked teams that made 15 more field than their previous two foes are 60-8 SU and 38-19-2 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2006. If they are favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points have gone to a remarkable 20-2 SU and 18-3-1 ATS for 86% winning bets since 2006.

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans
8 PM | Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
8-Unit Best Bet on the Pelicans plus the 3.5 points and is valid if the Pelicans remain the underdog.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog and favorite that are facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG and have seen their last three games play over 200 points in each one has earned a highly profitable 55-21 ATS for 72.4% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing at home as the dog, they have gone to a 23-9 SU record and 25-7 ATS mark for 78% winning bets since 2018. If the game has a total of 230 or more points, these home dogs have gone 9-1 ATS and SU for 90% winning bets.

Florida International vs Miami (Fla)
Watsco Center, Coral Gables
7 PM
8-UNit best bet on FIU at 20 or more points

Miami is the 13th ranked team in the nation, but the models are suggesting this is just too many points to be giving FIU. This line opened at -20 and has quickly risen to 23 and even 23.5 at some books currently. I suggest betting 50% now and add the remaining 50% amount within the last hour till the tipoff.

Betting on double-digit road dogs that are coming off a horrid game losing by 15 or more points and were priced as the favorites has produced an 22-176 SU record, but a 138-58-2 ATS result for 70.4% winning bets.

Michigan vs St. Johns
6:30 PM | Madison Square Garden
8-Unit best Bet on Michigan +2.5 points and is valid down to pick-em.

This is part of the Gavitt Tipoff games. Betting on teams priced between the 3’s in the first 10 games of the regular season after leading their previous two games by at least 10 or more points at the half and have only two returning starters has produced a 120-64 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

St. Johns is just 1-7 ATS in home games after playing a game priced as the favorite; 3-10 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home favorite; 1-10 ATS in home games after one or more wins.

Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors

8:30 PM, Chase Center
8-Unit best bet on the Warriors minus the 1.5 or money line, whichever is cheaper at your book.

Bet on teasms that are facing a foe that is coming off three straight games in which 220 or more points were scored in each one, that foe is outscoring their opponents by at least 6 PPG and the line is priced between a 3.5 point favorite and a 3.5 point underdog has gone 55-20 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing at home the record soars to 37-13 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing on no more than a single day of rest, they get even better producing a 29-9 ATS mark good for 76% winning bets since 2018.

Take the Warriors today.

UAB vs Maryland
8-Unit Best bet on Maryland minus the points, currently priced at -5 and is good up -7.5 points.

Bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who have three or more returning starters than the foe and with both teams having won 60 to 80% of their games in the previous season has earned a 33-10 record good for 77% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Howard vs Georgia Tech
McCamish Pavilion, Atlanta, GA
7:30 PM ESPN+/ACCNX
8-Unit Best Bet on Howard plus the 10.5 points

Betting on dogs from 10 to 19.5 points in the first seven games of the season that are facing a non-tournament team form last season, who won four or more of their last games in the previous season, and who won between 45 and 55% of their games in the previous season have gone 38-13-1 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

From the predictive model we learn that Howard is 11-4 ATS for 73% winning bets in games that they scored 75 or more points and had more rebounds than their foes.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver, CO
10 PM EST
8-Unit best bet on the Warriors plus the 2.5 points

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point favorite and dog and facing a foe that has seen their last three games see 220 or more points scored and are outscoring their foes by at least 8 PPG on the season has earned a 21-9 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the total in these games is 225 or mor points, the record has been 12-5 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

This matchup could easily be a preview of a showdown in the playoffs and even the conference finals and has significant meaning despite being so early in the 82-game season schedule. Warriors are 12-2 ATS when facing a foe that has won at least 70% of their games in each of the past three seasons.

Arizona State vs Mississippi State
WinTrust Arena, Chicago, Ill
9:30 PM EST
8-Unit best bet on Miss. State minus the points

Returning starters and their production from the previous season a huge advantage in the early part of the season in college basketball. Miss State head coach Chris Jans has five returning starters while ASU head coach Bobby Hurley has just one.

Betting on teams that are the favorite by 3 to 9.5 points, with 3 or more returning starters than their foe and in a game involving two teams that won 60 to 80% of their games in the previous season, and with the current game occurring within the first 10 games of the season has earned a solid 30-8-1 ATS record good for 80% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

LA Clippers vs Brooklyn Nets

Barclays Center
7:30 PM EST
8-Unit best Bet on the Nets plus the 4.5 points

Betting on teams that have posted three straight games with a solid assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.5 or higher and is facing a foe that has posted a season-to-date assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.0 or lower on the season, and with a total between 226 and 240 points has earned a solid 35-18-1 ATS record for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

The Nets are playing pretty darn good basketball to start their season and the fans will be welcoming back James Harden with their version of the Bronx cheer. The fan base will be into this game simply because they want to see their team defeat any team that harden will ever be a member of and for good reason.

The Nets are sharing the ball and passing the ball with speed and accuracy in the half court sets. They rank 11th in the Association averaging 27 APG and third bets committing an average of 12 turnovers per game. The Clippers do not move the ball well in the half court and rank 28th committing 16.3 TPG. The Nets mistake-free play will go a long way to seeing them pull off the upset win. 

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Arena, Philadelphia, PA
7:10 PM EST
8-Unit Best Bet on the 76ers plus the points

It is early in the season yet these two divisional rivals are at the top of the Eastern Conference standings as expected both with 5-1 records. The Philadelphia fans will be loud and supportive for their franchise and their dislike of the foe and that will be a factor.

76ers are 19-1 SUATS with revenge and facing that foe, who is averaging 13.5 or more turnovers per game over the past two seasons. They are 10-1 SU and 11-0 ATS in home games playing with revenge and with a posted total of 227 or more points over the past five seasons.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 point favorite and dog and facing a foe that has seen their last three games see 220 or more points scored and are outscoring their foes by at least 6 PPG on the season has earned a 54-20 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Looking at the standard deviations of scoring by quarters so far this season, the Celtics have been one of the most inconsistent first quarter scoring teams in the league. In fact, they rank third with a STD of 7.34 points scored in the first quarter. The Philadelphia defense has been quite good so far and no reason to expect otherwise tonight, especially at the start of the game.

Celtics vs Timberwolves
Monday, November 6

8-Unit Best Bet on the Timberwolves

Betting on home teams that allowed 105 or fewer points in each of their last two games and facing a foe that scored 120 or more points has gone 86-35 SU and 79-39-3 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Georgia Southern vs Georgia Tech
Opening College Hoops
8-Unit best Bet on Georgia Southern plus the points

Betting on road underdogs of 10 or more points in the first seven games of the regular season and are facing a foe that was not in the NCAA tournament and had a win percentage between 45 and 55% last season has earned an outstanding 37-7 ATS mark good for 84% winning bets.

Mavericks vs Magic
8-Unit Best Bet on the Mavericks plus 4.5 points

Betting on teams that are outscoring their foes by 6 or more PPG, priced between 3.5-point dog and favorite and facing a foe that saw their last three games go over 220 points has earned a highly profitable 51-20 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2018.

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs
8-Unit best bet on the Raptors -4 points

Bet on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 103 PPG, and are coming off a game in which they lead by 20 or more points at the half has earned a highly profitable 48-24 ATS record good for 67% winning bets.

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets
8-Unit Bet on the Celtics minus the 9.5 points

Bet on road favorites of at least three points that have allowed between 100 and 110 points in each of their two previous game and facing a foe that is coming off a win by three or fewer points has produced an outstanding 24-9 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

If our road team is playing this game with more rest than the host, their record has been 7-2 ATS for 78% winning bets.

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

10 PM, Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

8-Unit Best bet on the Warriors -7 points.

Betting on teams that have allowed 105 or fewer points in each of their last two games and now facing a foe that scored 120 or more points in their previous game have gone 132-103 SU (56%) and 134-97-4 ATS for 58% winning bets over the past five seasons.

In the 2022 season this system went 29-14-1 ATS (67.4%), 2021 season it went 42-31-5 ATS (58%), 2020 it went 28-28-1 ATS (50%), 2019 it went 33-23 ATS (59%). So, only the shortened COVID-19 season did not make significant profits.

Now, if our team is playing at home, then five-season record went 84-35 SU and 78-38-5 ATS (67.2%). If playing at home and favored by not more than 8 points has produced a 39-8 SU record and a 32-13-2 ATS mark for 71% winning bets.

For Live Betting consider betting 6-units preflop and then look for the Kings to get out in front early and add the remaining 2-units at -2.5 or fewer points. Noting that these teams are 39-8 SU, consider a money line bet for the remaining 2-Units if the line does get to -2.5 or lower during the first half of action. If the Kings score 10 or more unanswered points in the first half of action would also be an attractive point to add the 2-units.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz
9:00 PM, Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT
8-Unit Best bet on the Grizzlies plus 2 points or consider the money line.

Memphis is 9-0 ATS coming off a loss to a divisional foe over the past three seasons. Utah is on a 2-11 ATS losing streak as a home favorite of six or fewer points spanning the past two seasons.

Memphis head coach Jenkins is 14-3-1 ATS in road games when coming off a loss of 15 or more points.

Betting on a road team that has shot 43% from the field over its’ last three games and is on a two-game losing streak, has lost to the spread by 18 or more points in total over their last three games and with the game occurring in the first 41 games of the season has earned a 15-14 record and 20-9 ATS mark for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs NY Knicks

Madison Square Garden

7:30 PM

8-Unit best bet on the Cavaliers plus the 6.5 points

Betting on teams in the second of back-to-back games against the same foe having lost at home by double digits has earned a solid 17-7 ATS record good for 71% winning bets. If the total is 220 or fewer points, the record has been 17-6 ATS for 74% winning bets. This algorithm has yet to have back-to-back ATS losses and is coming of an ATS loss.

Bet on underdogs that are coming off a loss and have lost four or more of their last five games during the first six games of the season if they were a playoff team in the previous season has produced a 14-6 ATS record good for 70% winning bets since 2004 (20 seasons).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks

7:30 PM, October 30, 2023

State Farm Arena

Atlanta, Georgia

8-Unit Best Bet on the Wolves -2 points or if you prefer the money line. This bet is good up to and including 3.5 points.

This graded betting opportunity is reinforced by the following betting system that has earned an outstanding 42-12 SU record for 78% winners and 35-19 ATS for 65% winning bets since 1995.

Bet on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 105 PPG and are coming off a game in which they led by 20 or more points at the half. That’s all there is to it.

If our road favorite is involved in a game with a posted total of 235 or fewer points, they have gone to a 40-8 SU record (83%) and 33-15 ASTS for 69% winning bets since 1996.

Golden State vs Houston
7:00 PM EST
8-Unit best bet on the Rockets plus the 5.5 points.

Betting on dogs priced between 2.5 and 6.5 points that had a losing record last season and facing a team off a road win in which they scored 125 or fewer points and had a winning record last season and the current game has a total of at least 224 points has earned a highly profitable 60-38-2 ATS for 62% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If in a non-divisional matchup and with our dog having one-day of rest improves their record to 38-19 ATS for 67% winning bets.

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

8:00 PM EST
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX

8-Unit Best Bet on the Houston Rockets plus the points

ü  Bet on road teams (Rockets)

ü  Road team scored

76ers vs Bucks

7:30 PM

8-Unit bet on the 76ers plus the 6.5 points

I would not be making this bet regardless of the model grading if James Harden had joined the team in Milwaukee. The 76ers front office has done the right thing in preventing him from joining the team. The fact that the line has not moved since the news was released clearly shows he has made himself a meaningless piece of the 76ers squad and they are going to play far better without him on the court.

From the predictive mode, the 76ers are 154-21 SU and 148-27 ATS for 85% winning bets when shooting at least 48 or better from the field, making at least 38% of their 3-pointers and having fewer turnovers than their foe.

Cleveland vs Brooklyn

7:30 EST
8-Unit best bet on the Nets plus the 2.5 points.

Opening Night in Brooklyn and with hopes and aspirations and expectations run high. The wild card this year is focused on Ben Simmons and if the practice sessions during this preseason will translate to the regular season games. Let’s not forget the fact that Simmons ranks 13th ion the all-time triple-double list with 33 such games. Granted, that is a million light years behind all-time leader Westbrook with 133 games or Oscar Robinson with 181 games, but he has always had the skillset to reach 100 career triple-doubles. Now, he is not the reason for this bet, but if his play is anywhere close to his peak performances with the 76ers (had game with 42 points), the Nets will have little difficulty winning this game.

Cavaliers are just 33-65 ATS in games with a posted total between 220 and 229.5 points; 42-64 ATS in road games with a total of at least 220 points. Cavs head coach Bickerstaff is just 45-73 ATS in road games for his career.

From the predictive mode, we are expecting the Nets to score at least 111 points and have the better assists-to-turnover ratio. In past games, the Nets are 95-18 SU and 81-32 ATS for 72% winning bets in home games and scoring >=111 points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio since 2019.

Miami vs Boston  
8-Unit best bet on the Heat plus the points 
The Boston Celtics fell apart again, this time in Game 1 holding a 12-point lead early in the third quarter only to squander the lead and fall 12 points behind at the end of the stanza. Marcus Smart had 10 assists in the first quarter, none in the second, just one in the third, and mome in the fourth. Celtics head coach failed to even call a timeout during the third quarter collapse and his inexperience really showed against one of the best veteran head coaches in the NBA in Spoelstra. Jimmy Butler is not going to let his team think they accomplished what they set out do by earning a split in the first two games.  

From the predictive model, we are expecting Miami to shoot better than Boston and to have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past road games in which Miami met these performance measures has earned them a 63-11 SU record, 64-10 ATS mark (87%) winning bets in road games played in the past five seasons. In road playoff games, the Heat have gone 20-0 SU and 18-2 ATS for 90%. In playoff games, the Celtics are 1-11 SUATS when not shooting better than their foe and having the worse assist-to-turnover ratio spanning the past five seasons. 

 
Player Props for no more than 1-Unit Pizza money sized bets unless otherwise noted 
Max Strus Over 2.5 made 3-pointers –123 at BetMGM 
Jimmy Butler to record a double-double +390 at DraftKings 
Al Horford to commit at least 1 turnover –125 at BetMGM 

Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers 
8-Unit Best Bet on the Warriors plus the points. My LIVE I-game strategy is to bet 60% preflop and then look to add 20% more at Warriors +6.5 and the remaining 20% at Warriors +9.5 points during the first half of action. I do like the Under for a 5-Unit amount too.  
  LeBron is 15-0 in games that close out a series, but this is the reigning world champion Warriors that still has Steph, Klay and Draymond in it. I have stated that I thought this series woud go 7 games despite the Warriors being down 3 games to 1. The Warriors have played 28 consecutive playoff series attaining at least one road win in every series.  
  The 7 seeds are 59-164 SU (27%), 85-135-3 ATS (39%) in the playoffs since 2002. A 7-seed has not made it to the Conference Finals since at least 2002. In a series in which the 7-seed was leading or was tied, they have gone 31-80 SU and 44-64-3 ATS for 41% and the Under has been solid at 63-45-3 for 58% winning tickets. From game-5 on, these 7-seeds are just 3-24 SU and 8-19 ATS. The Under is 18-5 for 78% winning tickets when favored.  

Since 2013, the Warriors are 9-3 SU (75%) and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners when facing elimination.  
 
 

Knicks vs Heat 
8-Unit Best Bet on the Heat minus the points. My in-game LIVE strategy is to bet 75% on the Heat preflop and then look to add 25% more on the Heat at pick-em or better.  
 
From my predictive models, we are expecting the Heat to shoot 48% or better from the field and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past home games, in which the Heat met these performance measures has earned an outstanding 50-5 SU record and 45-10 ATS record for 82% winning bets over the past five seasons. 

LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors 

8-Unit best bet on the Warriors minus the points. I like the strategy of betting 60% preflop at the current price and then looking to add 20% more at Warriors – 4.5 and Warriors –1.5 points. 

Betting on any team off a loss of three or fewer points to a divisional foe and with that foe having covered the spread in their last two games priced as a favorite has earned an outstanding 21-6 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 27 seasons.  

Betting on any playoff team trailing in the series 3 games to one, coming off a heart-breaking loss by three or fewer points and is now the favorite up to and including -9.5 points has earned a perfect 7-0 SUATS record.  
 
Take the Warriors 
 

Boston vs Philadelphia Game-3 
8-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the points, currently priced at +2 points.  
For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the 76ers at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the 76ers at +5.5 points and 15% more at +7.5 points during the first half of action only. You are betting the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It’s like trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. 

Philadelphia is 12-2 ATS revenging a road loss in games played this season, and 15-5 ATS when revenging a loss in which the foe scored 110 or more points this season. 
 

From the predictive models, we are looking for the 76ers to score 114 or more points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the 76ers met these performance measures have led them to post a 116-13 SU (90%) record and 97-31-1 ATS mark good for 76% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the 76ers are 34-3 SU and 28-8-1 ATS. The Celtics have posted a money-losing 6-17 SU and 6-15-2 ATS record (29%) when allowing 114 or more points and the lower assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons.  
Bet on the 76ers and always bet with your head and not over it and may all the wins be yours! 

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics 
8-Unit best bet on the 76ers minus the points, currently priced at –9.5 points.  
(Repeat from yesterday) For those new to the service, thank you for trusting me and my 28 years of pro experience and looking to build strong long-lasting relationships with all of you. The 8-unit bet is your normal bet size, but I do highly recommend you make it 4% of your total bankroll. The 8-Unit best bet is the most common and is the foundation of my betting methods and strategies. The sacle for sides and totals ranges from 5 to 10-Units with 10-Units being akin to other’s Games of the month or Games of the Year. Even though the 10-Unit best bets have hit at 68.4% across all major sports and spanning more than 3 calendar years you must be disciplined and resist the temptation to bet more than what a 10-Unit betting amount is for you. So, if you bet $100 per unit, the 8-unit is $800 and the 10-unit $1000. Note, that there is a 25% increase in the amount wagered between the 8 and 10-unit bets. So, if you bet $100 per 8-unit wager, the 10-unit would be $125.00 and never more than $150 no matter what.  

     Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet. 

     Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. (end of repeat intro) 

Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we?  

For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the 76ers at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the 76ers at 14.5 points and 15% more at 17.5 points during the first half of action only. You are betting the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It’s like trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second-half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. 

From the predictive models, we are looking for the 76ers to score 110 points and have a better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the 76ers met these performance measures have led them to post a 57-7 SU record (89%) and 48-16 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the 76ers are 24-1 SU and 19-6 ATS. The Celtics have posted a money-losing 25-31 SU and 20-36 ATS record (36%) when allowing 110 or more points and the lower assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons.  
Bet on the 76ers and always bet with your head and not over it and may all the wins be yours! 

Miami Heat vs NY Knicks 
8-Unit best bet on the Knicks minus the points, currently priced at –6.5 points. For those new to the service, thank you for trusting me and my 28 years of pro experience and looking to build strong long-lasting relationships with all of you. The 8-unit bet is your normal bet size, but I do highly recommend you make it 4% of your total bankroll. The 8-Unit best bet is the most common and is the foundation of my betting methods and strategies. The sacle for sides and totals ranges from 5 to 10-Units with 10-Units being akin to other’s Games of the month or Games of the Year. Even though the 10-Unit best bets have hit at 68.4% across all major sports and spanning more than 3 calendar years you must be disciplined and resist the temptation to bet more than what a 10-Unit betting amount is for you. So, if you bet $100 per unit, the 8-unit is $800 and the 10-unit $1000. Note, that there is a 25% increase in the amount wagered between the 8 and 10-unit bets. So, if you bet $100 per 8-unit wager, the 10-unit would be $125.00 and never more than $150 no matter what.  

Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet. 

Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. 

Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we? In the second round of the NBA playoffs teams that lost Game-1 and are the lower seed (better regular season record) and are favored between 5 and 10 points in Game-2 have gone 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets. This obviousy supports the bet on the Knicks. 

For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the Knicks at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the Knicks at –2.5 points and 15% more at pick-em during the first half of action only. You are bettig the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It Islike trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. 

From the predictive models, we are looking for the Knicks to score 114 or more points and shoot 49% or better from the field. In past games in which the Knicks met these performance measures has led them to post a 36-9 SU record (80%) and 33-11-1 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the Kicks are 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. Miami has posted a money-losing 11-35 SU and 10-36 ATS record (22%) when allowing 115 or more points and allowing a shooting percentage 49% or higher in games played over the past three seasons. If after the break and including playoffs 1-3 SU and ATS. 
 
Bet on the Miami Heat and always bet with your head and not over it and may all the wins be yours! 

Boston vs Atlanta 
Game-4 
8-Unit Best bet on the Boston Celtics minus the 6 points 
Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who lost the last time they played this opponent and that opponent scored 100 or more points. The host is coming off a home win in which they scored 120 or more points and has earned an outstanding 34-8 SU 81% record and 29-13 ATS mark for 69% winning bets. This situational betting system has not had a losing season since 2004. If the game is taking place in the playoffs, our favorite is 7-2 ATS. 

Cleveland vs Knicks 
8-Unit best bet on the Knicks minus the points 
 
Betting on home teams in the same playoff round that are priced between a 3.5 dog and 3.5 favorite that defeated their foe in the previous game and with that foe shooting a horrid 25% from beyond the arc have gone 24-8 ATS for 75% since 2006. If our host is a favorite from pick-em to –3.5 points has earned an even better 18-4 ATS mark for 82% winners. 

From my predictive models, we learn that the Cavs are just 1-20 SU and 3-17-1 ATS for 15% when allowing 111 or more points and getting outrebounded by 10 or more boards in games played over the past three seasons. The Knicks are 26-8 SU and 27-7 ATS for 79% winning bets when outrebounding their foes by 10 or more boards and scoring 111 or more points in games played over the past three seasons. 

Nets vs 76ers 

8-Unit bets bet on the 76ers minus the points, currently priced at 10. 

The Nets had a game plan to double-team Joel Embiid and force the other 76ers on the floor to make perimeter shots and they sure came through with a franchise record 21 made 3-pointers. So, now that the Nets went all-in with that game plan and it failed, the alternative to not double-team Embiid could lead to an even worse outcome for the Nets.  

Over the past five playoff seasons, teams that have won between 45 and 55% of their games during the regular season and are trailing in the series are just 7-30 ATS for 19%. Playing on the home teams in Game-2 of an NBA Round 1 playoff series regardless if they are priced as a dog or favorite has gone 16-6 ATS for 73% winners over the past five seasons. Double digit favorites in the playoffs are 23-4 SU and 18-7-2 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past five seasons. 

From my predictive models, we are expecting the 76ers to score 115 or more points and shoot 48% or better from the field. In past home games in which the 76ers met or exceeded those performance measures, has led them to a 45-1 SU record and 34-12 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons.  

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers (April 15) 
10-Unit best bet on the Cavaliers minus the points 
 

The top-4 seeds in the first two games of a playoff round are favored by 6 to 10 points and have the higher effective field goal percentage is 38-17-1 ATS for 69% of winners since 2017. Drilling down a bit further, if the total is between 205 and 215, these home teams have gone a quite impressive 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2017.  

From the predictive models, we are expecting the Cavaliers to score 111 or more points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the Cavs have met or exceeded these measures in home games has led to a highly profitable 27-6-1 ATS for 82% winning bets over the past three seasons. The Knicks in road games are just 12-24-2 ATS for 33% in the same scenarios.  
 

Nets vs Sixers Game-1 Round 1 (April 15)  
8-Unit best bet on the Sixers minus the points 
 
Betting on home teams in the playoffs facing a 6th seed or higher seed that has the lower opponent effective field goal percentage during the regular season are 11-5-1 ATS for 69% winning bets. Also, seeds 1 through 4 in the first two games of a playoff series that have the better season-to-date effective field goal percentage are 72-51-1 ATS for 59% winners since 2017. Moreover, the top-4 seeds in the first two games of a playoff round are favored by 6 to 10 points and have the higher effective field goal percentage is 38-17-1 ATS for 69% winners since 2017.  
The 76ers had the third-highest scoring fourth-quarter scoring differential in the NBA this season. Playoff home favorites that outscored their foes by an average of 1.75 or more PPG in the fourth stanza are 87-58-2 ATS for 60% winners. Overall, the 76ers went 54-28 SU and an impressive 48-34 ATS for 59% winning bets and in home games went 29-12 SU and 25-16 ATS for 61% winning bets this season.  

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat 
8-Unit Best Bet on the Chicago Bulls plus the points. I lik betting this matchup with a 70% bet preflop on the Bulls plus the current points available. Then during the first half of action only, look to add 15% more at 7.5 and 16% more at 9.5 points. 
 
From my predictive models, we are looking for the Bulls to score 111 or more points and to have the same or fewer turnovers than the Heat. In past games in which the Bulls met or exceeded these performance measures has led to a 17-9 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons. When Miami has been home they are 4-20 ATS for 17% when having more turnovers and allowing 111 or more points in games played over the past five seasons.  
 

Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors 
8-Unit best bet on the Bulls plus the 5.5 points 
 
Live In-Game Strategy 
Bet 80% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the Bulls preflop, then add 15% more at 8.5 points preflop and then 5% on the money line if the in=game betting line moves to +10 or higher during the first half of action only.  
 
Situational Betting System 

The following betting system has produced exceptional and consistent results for many seasons sporting a 16-10 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons Betting on any team that has held their last three opponents to more than 30 points below the opponents’ team total and has win percentage between 40 and 49% in games played in the last 20 games of the season and playoffs.  

Toronto won their last game of the regular season 121-105 over the Milwaukee Bucks, who were resting starters and really had no interest in the game. However, this trend does get my attention knowing that Raptors Nick Nurse is just 19-36 ATS in home games following a double-digit win.  

Player Prop Best Bet 

Tyler Hero Over 29.5 -112 at FanDuel Points, Assists, Rebounds 

NCAA 2023 Championship Best Bet 
8-Unit Best bet on San Diego State plus the 7.5 points and do believe you will see 8 and 8.5 potentially prior to the tip off.  
LIVE Betting Strategy 
We have reached the final 40 minutes of the NCAA Tournament and two unlikely programs have navigated the March madness maze to reach this distinguished event set to start at 9:20 PM EST at the NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. The Aztecs know they can come from behind and were down 14 points in the second half to FAU before rallying for the first-ever buzzer beater shot that was scored with the team trailing and not tied. In the third game of the season, Stanford was up 10 points and the Aztecs won by 12. They were down 13 points to Coastal Carolina before winning by six points. They were down 11 to the College of Charleston in the first round of the Tournament before rallying for a 6-point win. So, I like betting 70% preflop at +7.5 points and then adding 15% at 9.5 points and 15% at 11.5 points during the first half of action only. 
 
Although unlikely prior to the tournament, these two teams are the two best teams right now in the nation by many measures. They both prefer a slow, grinding, and physically tough style of game with UCONN ranking 252nd nationally averaging 66.7 possessions per game and SDST ranking 254th averaging 65.7 possessions per game.  

The Aztecs are the best defensive team in the nation overall and have been incredibly consistent at negating the three-point shot from an opponents’ scoring arsenal. For the season they allowed 26.50% 3-point shooting and were suffocating the best in the nation during the tournament. The Aztecs allowed 41% shooting from beyond the arc in their buzzer-beating win over FDU, who is the only team to have had success from beyond the arc. Prior to that Creighton shot a horrid 11.8%, No.1 seed Alabama shot 11.11%, Furman shot 23%, and College of Charlestown shot 20.83% from beyond the arc. Including FAU, only six teams managed to shoot 35% or better from beyond the arc against the sensational Aztec perimeter defense this season. The Aztecs held 29 opponent s to 35% or lower 3-point shooting of their 38 games played. Tennessee also matched that defensive feat and both teams ranked number 1 in the nation in this category. UCONN ranked third with 28 opponents under 35% shooting from 3-point territory, but based on SOS rankings was against significantly easier foes.  
  Teams playing in the Finals that have the lower defensive 3-point shooting percentage are 4-1 ATS for 80%. Teams like the Aztecs that three of their five previous opponents led by three or more points are 8-4 ATS for 67% in the Championship game. The Aztecs are 12-1 ATS when facing a foe that makes 8 or more 3-point shot attempts per game this season.  
 
1-UNIT Player Props 
Darrion Trammell Under 9.5 points 

Andre Jackson Under 7.5 points 
Matt Bradley Over 12.5 points 
 

76ers vs Bucks 
10-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the points 

LIVE Betting Strategy 
If you will be watching this game, then the following strategy is recommended. Place 50% of your 10-Unit bet preflop and then look to add 25% more at Sixers plus 7.5 points and 25% more at Sixers plus 10.5 points.  
 
Betting on winning record underdogs that are facing a winning record host that is fresh off a 20 or more-point loss priced as the favorite has earned a highly profitable 18-10 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons and a 40-22 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 15 seasons.  
In Thursday's 41-point home loss, Giannis Antetokounmpo posted a -32 plus-minus, his worst in any game of his career. Prior to this game, Antetokounmpo posted a -30 or worse plus-minus twice with a -31 against the Indiana Pacers on December 12, 2018, and a -31 against the LA Clippers March 29, 2021.  

The 76ers have won two straight games, covered the spread in three consecutive games. The Bucks are on a 4-game Over streak. Bucks are 13-25 when facing a team that has won 60 to 70% of their gamers on the season in games played over the past three seasons; 5-17 ATS when facing a team that has outscored their opponents by at least an average 3 PPG in games played in the second half of each of the past two seasons.  

From the predictive model, the 765ers are 31-4 SU and 24-10-1 ATS for 71% winning bets in road games, scoring 117 or more points, and making 35% or more of their 3-point shots spanning the past three seasons.  
 

Miami (FLA) vs UCONN 

10-Unit best bet on Miami plus the 5.5 points. Miami (29-7) will face UConn (29-8) in the second national semifinal on Saturday at NRG Stadium in Houston. It has been a banner season for the Hurricanes, who entered the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament as the top seed for the second time in program history. 

Miami has been led by senior guard Isaiah Wong, third-year sophomore forward NorchadOmier and fifth-year senior transfer guard Jordan Miller. Miller produced 27 points on perfect shooting to lead the Hurricanes to the 88-81 victory over the Longhorns on Sunday. 

The Miami/Ft. Lauderdale area has always been a perennial hot bed for football and baseball and may of their players had terrific careers in the pros. Both programs are making their first appearance in the Final Four, so add basketball as the third sport.  
 
Live Betting Strategy: This is a game that is going to a much faster pace than the first semifinal game. Betting 70% preflop on Miami at +5.5 and then add 30% more at +9.5 points during the first half of action. There will be scoring streaks by both teams. Overall, I do like Miami to pull off the uspet win here and move on the Finals – against FAU if everything works out there for us too. As a precursor I believe the line will be very close to pick-em if Miami and FAU meet in the Finals.  
 
Head coach Hurley is just 9-18 ATS in games away from the UCONN campus after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Miami head coach Larranaga is 28-14 ATS away from home after scoring 80 or more points in two consecutive games. 
 
 
Player Prop Bets: 1-UNIT MAX each recommended 
San Diego State’s Matt Bradley Over 12.5 points 
Miami’s Nigel Pack Over 13.5 points –110 
Miami’s NorchardOmier Over 22.5 points, assists, rebounds –110 
UCONN’s Andre Jackson Under 5.5 assists –110 
UCONN’s Alex Karaban Under 4.5 rebounds +100 
 
 

Florida Atlantic vs San Diego State 
8-Unit best bet on Florida Atlantic plus the points. 
3-Unit Parlay on FAU and Miami (FLA) money lines 
5-Unit Best bet OVER the posted total 
 
This matchup is the first game of the two NCAA Tournament semifinals taking place at the NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. First, I do not see the backdrops and backgrounds hindering shooting performances in either of these semifinals as we had seen in recent games taking place in Indianapolis, for instance. The first national semifinal of the Final Four at NRG Stadium in Houston on Saturday will feature a pair of first-time participants: Florida Atlantic (35-3) and San Diego State (31-6). And while the Owls and Aztecs made surprising runs to Houston, their season-long success belies the notion that their appearances are an aberration. The Owls are currently riding an 11-game winning streak that isn't even their longest of this season. FAU had its 20-game win streak snapped by an 86-77 road loss to UAB on Feb. 2. 

To many, the Owls might seem to be a bunch of unknowns. However, FAU leads the nation in victories and is ranked 15th in efficiency ratings. The Owls are no Cinderella and from a SDST perspective more akin to that evil stepsister.  

 
FAU uses their bench better than any other program and no player is averaging more than 30 minutes per game. At 13.1 points per game, Martin is one of three Owls averaging double figures in points with five-plus rebounds alongside fellow sophomores Johnell Davis and Vladislav Goldin. 

FAU has thrived via collective effort, and white-knuckle tournament victories over Memphis, Fairleigh Dickinson, Tennessee and Kansas State validated the Owls' egalitarian approach to success. 

FAU is 14-3 when facing defensive teams averaging 14 forced turnovers PPG this season and 25-11 ATS when facing teams that are called for 17 or more fouls per game in games played over the past two seasons. FAU is 23-9 after covering the spread in two of their last three games spanning the past three seasons.  

 
Betting the Over in any Tournament semifinal game (NCAA, NIT, or CBI) with a total between 130 and 139.5 points and with one of the teams coming into the game on a 7 or more-game win streak has earned a 53-32-2 Over record over the past 25 years. 

NBA 10-Unit 5% Max Bet of the Month 
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns 
10-Unit best bet on the Phoenix Suns –5.5 points.  
5-Unit bet Over the posted total, currently priced at 235 points. An alternative wager is to bet 70% of your 5-unit amount at the current price preflop and then look to add 30% more at 226.5 points during the first half only. The higher the total, the greater the potential scoring volatility can be in an NBA game. I do not recommend a parlay unless you do it with pizza money amounts. 
 
The Suns are 19-6 ATS for 76% winning bets coming off a game shooting less than 43% from the field and facing a foe that is coming off a sharp shooting game hitting more than 50% from the field over the past five seasons.  

Betting on favorites that are taking on a foe that is ocming off two road upset wins and has won 50 to 60% of their games on the season has gone 69-33-2 ATS for 68% winning bets since 1996. This system has had just one losing season, going 3-2 ATS in 1999. 

Betting the Over with a home team that has posted an excellent 2.5 or higher assists-to-turnover ratio in each of their last three games and facing a foe that has trouble moving the ball and taking care of it as reflected by an assist-to-turnover ratio under 2 for the season has earned a 28-13-1 Over record good for 68.3% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the home team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record has earned a 20-7-1 mark for 74% winning bets. If the road team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record soars to 20-6-1 record for 77% winning bets. 

Magic vs Grizzlies
8-Unit bet on the Grizzlies minus the 7 points
Betting on home teams that are on a five or more-game win streak and defeated the current opponent in their previous same-season meeting, has won between 60 and 70% of their games on the season and facing a foe that has won betw3een 40 and 50% of their games on the season has earned a solid 11-5 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons and 38-17-3 ATS for 69% winning bets since 1996.

From the predictive model, Memphis is 90-21-1 ATS when scoring at least 115 points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played since 2018. The Magic are 24-76 ATS for 24% when allowing 115 or more points and with the foe having the better assist-to-turnover ratio since 2018.

Heat vs Raptors
8-Unit best bet on the Miami Heat plus the 3.5 points
Betting on road teams that are coming off a double-digit home loss and lost to the current foe in their previous same-season meeting have gone a solid 162-100-3 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past 7 seasons and 107-64-2 ATS over their past five seasons. This set of parameters has produced profits for nine consecutive seasons.

From the predictive model, the Heat are 44-5 ATS for 90% winning bets when scoring 110 or more points and holding their opponent to 46% or lower shooting in games played over the past five seasons.

Celtics vs Wizards
8-Unit bet on the Celtics minus the 11.5 points
Betting on road favorites that are coming off a 20 or more-point win and facing a foe that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a solid 79-42-2 ATS for 65.3 % winning bets since 2015. If the game is taking place after the all-star break the record has gone 34-18 ATS for 65.4% winning bets and if after the break and priced as double-digit favorites 7-3 ATS for 70% winning bets. 

From the predictive model the Celtics are 80-18-2 ATS for 82% winners when scoring 117 or more points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons.

Houston Rockets vs NY Knicks
8-Unit bet on the Rockets plus the 12.5 points

Betting on teams that have lost their last three games all on the road and playing on back-to-back nights has gone 52-22-1 ATS for 70.3% winners over the past 7 seasons. If our weary team is facing a team with a winning record, they soar to 24-8 ATS for 75% winning bets. 

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers
8-Unit best bet on the Mavericks +1 point or the money line whichever is cheaper for you.
Betting on teams that are coming off back-to-back losses priced as the favorite and facing a foe that that lost to in the previous same-season meeting, priced between the 3’s and with a total between 225 and 235 points have gone 13-5 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2017. 

Chicago vs Portland 
8-Unit best bet on the Bulls minus 2 points 
Betting on losing record favorites after going under the total by 30 or more points in total spanning their last three games, facing a losing record foe, and with the game occurring in the second half of the season has earned a 62-30-1 ASTS record for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our losing record favorite is on the road, the record goes to 23-7-1 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past five seasons.  

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings 
8-Unit best bet on the Suns plus 4.5 points 
Betting on teams that have failed to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, has a winning record and taking on a winning record opponent has produced a 189-125-6 ATS record good for 60% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the total is 235 or more points, our team improves to 15-6 ATS for 75% winning bets.  
 

Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz 
8-Unit best bet on the Bucks minus the 9 points 
 

Betting on road favorites coming off a 20 or more-point win and facing a foe that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has produced a 92-28 SU record and 76-42-2 ATS mark good for 64.4% winning bets since 2015. If the foe has scored and allowed 105 or more points in each of their last three games, the record improves to 37-18 ATS for 67% winning bets. If the total is priced at 230 or more points, our favorites have gone 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets.  

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz 
8-Unit best bet on the Trail Blazers plus the 5 points 

Check out this amazing betting algorithm that has earned a highly profitable 33-6 ATS record for 85% winning bets over the past five seasons. This algorithm has gone 4-1 ATS this season, 17-2 ATS in 2021-22 season, 7-2 ATS in the 2020-21 season, 1-0 ATS in the 2019-20 season, and 4-1 ATS in the 2018-19 season. One of the main reasons this system has done so well relates directly to the steady increase in NBA scoring over the past five seasons.  
 

Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls 
8-Unit best bet on the 76ers minus the points, currently at 3.5 points. 
Betting on road favorites that lost the previous meeting against the current opponent and are coming off a hoe loss, playing with one day of rest exact has earned a 45-24 ATS record for 65.2% winning bets since 2015. If the previous loss is the same opponent (home-away) then the record soars to 22-10 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2015. If the game takes place after the all-star break, the record is 18-7 ATS for 72% winning bets. If our bet is a favorite of no more than 6.5 points they have gone 15-5 ATS for 75% winning bets since 2015. 
 
The Bulls are just 4-13-1 ATS when facing a top-rated opponent that has won between 60 and 80% of their games with the game taking place in the second half of the season.  
 

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies 
8-Unit best bet on the Rockets plus the 13.5 points 
Betting on road teams that lost their last meeting to the current opponent and are coming off a double-digit home loss have earned a 106-64-2 ATS record good for 62.4% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our game is taking place after the all-star break the record improves to 48-24-1 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2018. If our dog has won 30% or fewer of their games on the season, the record moves higher to 11-4 ATS for 73% winning bets 

San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks  
8-Unit best bet on the Bucks –17.5 points 
Betting on home favorites playing on two or more days of rest, coming off a win in which 40% or more of their points came from made 3-pointers, and hosting a foe that is playing on back-to-back nights has earned a 24-11 ATS record good for 69% winning bets. If the game occurs after the all-star break the record soars to 7-1 ATS for 88% winning bets.  
 

Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards 
8-Unit best bet on the Nuggets minus 7 points. 
Bettig on favorites between 3.5 and 7.5 points, has seen their last three games play Under by a combined total of 30 or more points, and the game is taking place in the second half of the season has earned a 125-73-6 ATS record for 63% wining bets over the past five seasons. Drilling down a bit further, if the total is 225 or more points and our team is playing on at least one day of rest, the record becomes quite impressive at 48-23-1 ATS for 68% winning bets. 

Tuesday March 21, 2023 
Pistons vs Hawks 
8-Unit best bet on Pistons plus the points, currently 12.5 

Betting on road teams, who lost the previous meeting to the current opponent and are coming off a double-digit home loss have gone 73-101 SU (42%) and 108-64-2 ATS (63%) since 2018 (last five seasons). If the game is taking place after the all-star break, the record improves to 48-23-1 for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. The P-Value for this set of parameters is outstanding at 0.000062. The closer the P-Value gets to absolute zero the stronger the correlation the listed parameters relate to ATS wins.  

TCU vs Gonzaga 
8-Unit best bet on TCU plus the 4.5 points 

Here again, you can opt to bet 70% preflop plus the points and then look to add 30% money line at any price of +300 or better during the first half only.  

TCU has shot poorly recently and have played Under their team total by more than 20 points over their last 5 games. They are facing a team in Gonzaga that has struggled defensively this season and has also played Over their team totals by 15 points over their last five games. In the NCAA Tournament, teams that have played Under their team total by 20 or more points over their last five games and facing a foe that has played Over their team total by 15 or more points has seen the team, in this case, TCU, go 29-12 SU and 27-13-1 ATS for 68% winning bets. If it is a Round of 32 matchup, our team has gone 10-4 ATS for 71% winners and 3-0 ATS if priced as the underdog. 
Gonzaga ranks 357th of the 363 teams in consistency ratings and this makes Gonzaga extremely vulnerable to a significant regression after shooting 50% from the field in each of their past two games. We have a team in TCU that ranks 11th in second chance scoring in the nation matched up against Gonzaga, who ranks 105th nationally in this category defensively.  

From the predictive model, TCU is 40-12 ATS for 77% winners when getting 10 or more offensive rebounds and shooting at least 48% from the field and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners if priced as a dog of 6.5 or fewer points.  

Indiana vs Miami (FLA) 

8-Unit bet on Indiana using the money line 
Miami head coach Larranaga is just 12-25 ATS when playing their second road game in three days.  
From the predictive model, Indiana is 19-2 SU (91%) and 15-4-1 ATS in games scoring 75 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past three seasons. Miami is 14-17 SU and 11-19-1 ATS for 37% when allowing 75 or more points and having the same or more turnovers in games played over the past three seasons.  

Florida Atlantic vs FDU 
8-Unit best bet on FAU minus 15.5 points 
4-Unit bet UNDER the total currently at 149 points. 
I suggest not betting this total preflop and instead look to get 50% of your 4-Unit amount at 154.5 points and another 25% at 147.5 points and the remaining 25% at 159.5 points during the first half of action only. The probability is quite high that the 154.5 price tag will be made available during the first half of the action given FAU’s outstanding offense that ranks 25th nationally averaging 78 PPG and 22nd nationally with a 55% effective field goal percentage. FAU is the best nationally sporting a 0.635 assist-to-turnover defensive ratio, but FDU does their scoring without significant ball movement as they rank 150th nationally with a 0.515 assist-to-field goal made ratio.  
I would stay away from any parlay bet. 

In the NCAA Tournament, a matchup of teams that has have beaten the spread by 55 or more points over their last 10 games have gone 18-8 ATS for 69% winning bets and 16-8-2 Under for 67% winning bets.  

St. Mary’s vs UCONN 
8-Unit Best Bet on ST. Mary’s +3.5 points 
STM is 15-7 ATS when facing teams that are attempting 21 or more 3-point shots per game. STM is 22-12-1 ATS in games with a posted total of 129.5 or fewer points in games played over the past three seasons. UCONN head coach Hurley is just 7-19 ATS away from home and has won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.  
From the predictive model, STM is 28-2 SU and 22-6 ATS in games in which they scored 72 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past three seasons. 

Maryland vs Alabama  
8-Unit bet on Maryland plus the 8.5 points, which could move to 9 points by the time I am done writing this research. From the predictive model, Maryland is 18-4 ATS for 82% winning bets when shooting at least 44% from the field, getting 38 or more rebounds and committing 11 or fewer turnovers in games played over the past 10 seasons. In the NCAA Tournament any team that meets or exceeds these performance measures has earned a 62-13-2 ATS record good for 83% winning bets over the past 15 tournaments and 20-4 ATS for 83% winners in the last three Tournaments. 

Auburn vs Houston 

8-Unit Bet on Auburn plus 5.5 points and sprinkle the money line if at any point Auburn is trailing by double-digits during the first half of action. 
Auburn is a solid 25-11 ATS when facing a foe that averages 21 or more 3-point shot attempts in games played over the past two seasons and 20-10 ATS when facing a solid shooting foe making 45% or more of their shots on the season over the past two seasons. From the predictive model, Auburn is 59-25-4 ATS for 70% winning bets when scoring 70 or more points and having the better more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio in games splayed over the past five seasons. 
 
Northwestern vs UCLA 
8-Unit bet OVER the posted total currently priced at 126.5 points. 
Betting over in a neutral court setting with a total between 120 and 129.5 points, with one of the teams, Northwestern coming off two consecutive games committing 11 or fewer turnovers and facing a foe that has committed 11 or fewer turnovers in three consecutive games has earned a highly profitable 70-39-4 Over record good for 64% winning bets.  

UCLA shot 54% from the field and allowed 37% shooting in their 86-53 win over UNC-Ashville. Teams that had a FG% differential of 15% or more in their last NCAA Tournament game have seen the OVER go 15-8-1 ATS for 65% winning bets.  

From the predictive model, UCLA is 11-5 Over the total when getting 42 or more rebounds, shooting 47% or better form the field, and committing 11 or fewer turnovers.  

Auburn vs Houston 
8-Unit Bet on Auburn plus 5.5 points and sprinkle the money line if at any point Auburn is trailing by double-digits during the first half of action. 
Auburn is a solid 25-11 ATS when facing a foe that averages 21 or more 3-point shot attempts in games played over the past two seasons and 20-10 ATS when facing a solid shooting foe making 45% or more of their shots on the season over the past two seasons. From the predictive model, Auburn is 59-25-4 ATS for 70% winning bets when scoring 70 or more points and having the better more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio in games splayed over the past five seasons. 

Arkansas vs Kansas 

8-Unit bet on Penn Arkansas plus the points, currently at 3.5 points. I suggest sprinkling the money line if Arkansas gets down double-digits in the first half of action.  
First, doesn’t this line look a bit curious with a No.1 seed Kansas squad favored by just 3.4 points against an Arkansas squad sporting a 21-13 overall record? Dogs of 5 or fewer points facing the No.1 seed in the Region from the Round of 32 on out to the Final Four have earned a 27-14 ATS record for 67% winning bets.  
Dogs of 2.5 to 7.5 points playing in the Round of 32, has achieved an excellent free throwsattempted to field goals attempted of at least .35 and facing a foe that has won at least three more games for the season has gone 12-5-1 ATS for 71% winning bets.  
Arkansas is 16-7 ATS following a double-digit win after game number 20 of the regular season over the past five seasons and if a dog, 6-1 ATS. 

From the predictive model, Arkansas is 17-4 ATS for 81% winning bets over the past five seasons when shooting 47% or better from the field and getting 34 to 39 rebounds.