Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-04-20 | North Texas +3.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 63-69 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
North Texas vs. Mississippi State 8:00 PM EST, December 4, 2020 4% Best Bet on North Texas plus 3.5-points. If the line drops to +2.5 or lower, then consider using the money line for this bet. Miss State is just 7-17-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed a 33% or lower shooting percentage in games played since 2006. North Texas is 55-28 ATS for 67% winning bets in non-home games (road or neutral) installed as a 5.5-point or less underdog in games played since 2006. Head Coach McCasland has three returning starters from last season and a 1-starter edge of Miss State skipper Howland, who returns two starters. Experience at the beginning of the season is a premium asset. McCasland is a solid 23-9-1 ATS when facing strong defensive teams allowing 42% or lower opponent shooting. From the machine learning ranks, the model projects that North Texas will hold MSST to 45% or worse shooting, commit 13 or fewer turnovers, and make 80% of their free throws. In past games, in which North Texas, met or exceeded these performance measures has earned their backers a 19-5 SU record good for 79% wins and 17-5-1 ATS for 77% winning bets in games played since 2006. |
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11-26-20 | Nevada v. Nebraska -4.5 | Top | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Nebraska Cornhuskers Nebraska had their struggles with a 7-25 SU record in 2019, but will be much better in 2020. They did get off a great starte defeating McNeese State 102-55 yesterday, shooting 50% form the field, 45 total rebounds, and just 10 turnovers. I have a betting system that supports Nebraska and has earned an incredible 48-17 ATS record over the last five seasons. The system requires us to be on home teams for the first five games of the regular season after losing eight of their last ten games of the previous season and won between 20% and 40% of their games last seasons and facing a team that did have a winning record last season. From the machine learning model, Bengraska is projected to shoot at least 44% from the field and have fewer than 14 turnovers in this m,atchup. In past games, in which Nebraska met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them earn a profitable 24-12-1 ATS road record good for 67% winning bets and 15-2 ATS for 88% winning bets at neutral sites. Take the Nebraska Cornhuskers as a 4% Best Bet
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10-11-20 | Lakers v. Heat +5 | Top | 106-93 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs LA Lakers The machine learning stools and models are on the Heat again. LeBron has been here before, but not many of the other teammates. LeBron knows the pressure well and it has gone bad more times than not. Butler is playing at an amazing level and the leadership has been immense to the rest of the team this entire playoff season. The following results match the projections produced by the models. The Lakers are 6-18 ATS when shooting between 43 and 47% form the field this season; 15-29-2 ATS for 34% when the opponent has shot 35% or better from beyond the arc. Lakers are 9-24-2 ATS when allowing 107 or more points and allowing 35% or better 3-point shooting this season. Heat are 43-11 SU and 35-17 ATS for 67% when scoring 107 or more points and making 35% or more of their 3-point shots this season; 10-2 SU and 10-1-1 ATS in this year’s playoffs. |
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10-06-20 | Lakers v. Heat +8 | Top | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat Game 4 takes place in the NBA Finals and oh how the results of Game 3 have changed the look and feel of this series. The Lakers were out to a 2-0 series lead and Miami was without two of their best players in Games 2 and 3. Yet, the Heat’s strong forward, Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 19.9 points-per-game, 6.7 rebounds-per-game, and 10.2 assist-per-game for the series, found a way to lead his team to a huge Game 3 win Tuesday Night. I went on record stating on Twitter and linked to the Game 3 NBA article found here on Odds, that there was never a better time to bet aggressively on a team that was down 0-2 to the NBA Finals than right now with the Heat. Currently, the Lakers are favored by 7.5-points at all the major sportsbooks with MGM offering the Heat at +7.5 +105 vig. For the series you can get the Heat at +850 and +1100 for Jimmy Butler to win the MVP at MGM as the screenshot below shows. Why Am I So Bullish on the Heat?That is a great question and the answer consists of two parts. The first part is the fact that there has been three NBA Champions that had three different high scorers in each of the first three playoff rounds. The Miami Heat have become the fourth team and strongly believe they are a real team with a great floor general in Butler and the vastly better coaching in Spoelstra. I was completely sold when near the end of Game 3 Butler was seen saying “They know they are in trouble” repeatedly as he walked off the court toward his teammates during a timeout. A Solid Money Line Betting System Supports the HeatThis money line betting system has earned a solid 104-89 betting record good for 55% winning bets and has made the Dime player a profit of $37,200 over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be on any team using the money line in a game involving two teams that are allowing opponents to shoot between 43.5 and 46% from the field, and is a good ball handling team averaging 14.5 or fewer turnovers-per-game and is facing a team that forces an average of 14 to 16 turnovers per game in games played after the 41st one has been completed and including the playoff rounds. What Does the Machine Learning Tools Tell Us?The machine learning models confirm the bet on the Heat tonight and with the win would bring this series to an even two wins apiece and reduce the Finals to a best-of-three match. The day off until Game 5 give the Heat a chance to get Goran Dragic back into the lineup. He is listed as doubtful for tonight’s game and I do not expect him top play. However, I would not be surprised to see the Heat center Bam Adebayo get some minutes tonight. So, these projections do not include either player in the game tonight just as they did for last night’s game. The Heat are projected to shoot above 45% form the field, make at least 14 3-point shots, and make more 3-point shots than the Lakers. In past games in which the Heat met or exceeded these projections they went on to earn a 59-16 straight-up record and 56-15-4 against the spread (ATS) record good for 79% winning bets since 1995 and 35-10 SU for 78% wins and 31-10-4 ATS for 77% winning bets over the last three seasons. The Lakers are a money losing 12-57 SU for 17% wins and 9-59-1 ATS for a miserable 13% winning bets that failed to cover by an average of 11.5 points since 1995 and 8-24 SU for 25% wins and 7-25 ATS for 22% winning bets that failed to cover by an average of 9 points since 2017 when they have allowed an opponent to meet or exceed those performance measures. All playoff teams that allowed their opponents to meet or exceed those performance measures are 15-64 SU for 19% wins losing by an average of 13 points and 14-63-2 ATS for 18% winning bets that failed to cover the spread by an average of 10 pints. Take the Miami Heat as a Best Bet NBA in Game 4 of the NBA Finals |
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10-04-20 | Lakers v. Heat +9.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs LA Lakers 8:30 PM EST, October 4, 2020 7-Star Best Bet on the Miami Heat In the history of the playoffs a team that had a different high-scorer in each of the last three playoff rounds are 3-0 in the Championship Finals. The Heat accomplished that feat and if there was ever a time to roll the dice and get an incredibly great price for futures prop in the NBA Finals it would be right now. I love the Heat on a futures bet to win the Finals. Yes, it is a long shot, but we are getting paid to assume that risk and one that I doi think is quite possible. The machine learning reveals that the Heat are 134-17 SU and 120-27-4 ATS 82% when they score at least 107 points and shoot at least 45% from the field and will make more 3-point shots than the opponent. |
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09-30-20 | Heat v. Lakers -5 | Top | 98-116 | Win | 100 | 35 h 7 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs LA Lakers 9:00 PM EST, September 30, 2020 7-Star Best Bet on the LA Lakers This is a great betting system that has earned a 79-20 SU record for 80% wins and a 67-31-1 ATS mark for 68.4% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are to bet on favorites with a winning record on the season and facing an opponent that has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season and is coming off a game in which the combined score went over the posted total by 20 or more points. The record is 15-5 SU for 75% wins and 13-7 ATS for 65% winning bets in playoff games. Plus, a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in the NBA Finals since 2015. The machine learning reveals that the Lakers are 21-6 ATS for 78% winning bets when scoring at least 105 points and having 40% of their points scored from made 3-pointers. 8-0 SU and ATS since the start of the 2018 season. |
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09-26-20 | Nuggets +5 v. Lakers | Top | 107-117 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs LA Lakers I also like the first-half bet on Denver plus the points and this betting system supports that opportunity. The system has earned a solid 63-32 ATS record for 67% winning bets and instructs us to bet on 3-seed underdogs using the first-half line when trailing in a playoff series. The machine learning models project that the Nuggets will make at least 48% of their shot attempts, 33% of their 3-point shot attempts, and score at least 107 points. The Nuggets are 181-33 SU and 169-39-6 ATS for 81% winning bets that have covered the spread by an average of 9 points. |
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09-24-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6 | Top | 114-108 | Push | 0 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 LA Lakers vs Denver Nuggets 9:00 PM EST, September 24, 2020
The machine learning tools project that the Nuggets will shot at least 48% from the field, will make at least 35% of their 3-point shots and score at least 105 points. In past games in which the Nuggets met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 107-19 SU record and 104-20-2 ATS for 84% winning bets that covered the number by 9.5 points in games played over the last 7 seasons; 43-8 SU and 38-12-1 ATS for 76% winning bets over the last two seasons; 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS for 91% winning bets that covered the spread by 8.9 points over the last two playoff seasons. Take the Denver Nuggets as a 7-Star Best Bet tonight.
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09-23-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics 8:30 PM EST, September 23, 2020
The machine learning tools project that the Heat will make at least 78% of their free throw attempts and will shoot at least 44% form the field and have the better ands more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the Heat met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 145-13 SU record and 129-27 ATS for 83% winning bets that covered the number by 9.2 points. Take the Miami Heat as a 7-Star Best Bet tonight.
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09-22-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +7 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 LA Lakers vs Denver Nuggets 9:00 PM EST, September 22, 2020
Only Murry played more minutes (44) than Jokic (39) in Game 2 and this duo knows their performance is key to getting a Game 3 win tonight. Over his last four games against the Lakers Jokic has averaged 31 minutes, shot 49% from the field,94% form the charity stripe, and averaging 16.3 points-per-game (PPG). Over his last 10 playoff games, he is averaging 31minutes, 60% field goal percentage, 84% free-throw-percentage, 17.8 PPG and includes 10 boards-per-game, and 6.6 assist-per-game. The Nuggets are 18-6 SU for 75% wins and 15-8-1 against-the-spread (ATS) for 65% winning bets following a loss in which Jokic scored 26 or more points. In games in which Jokic had more assists than rebounds, his team is 20-10 SU and 18-10-2 ATS for 64% winning bets. Jamal Murray and Jokic Working TogetherPG Murray is playing at an elevated level and has averaged 34 minutes, shot 48% form the field, averaging 5.8 assists, and scoring 18.5 PPG over his last four games against the Lakers. Now, it is not up to Murray and Dojik to take it upon themselves to win this game. It is the opposite for the Nuggets team. In games when Dojik and Murray scored at least 50 points and then had a total of four more players scoring in double-digits the Nuggets record is 9-3 SU and ATS and when a total of seven Nuggets scored in double-digits they are 4-1 SU and a perfect 5-0 ATS. Minutes played is a valuable parameter and underscores the need for Murray and Jokic to remain out of foul trouble tonight. The Nuggets are 12-7 ATS for 63% winning bets when Murray logged 40 or more minutes. When both Murray and Dojik have logged 40 or more minutes in the same game the Nuggets are 25-19 SU and 27-17 ATS for 61.4% winning bets. Will Anthony Davis be the Conference Finals MVP?No argument is needed that AD is the leader by a wide margin for the Western Conference Finals MVP award. He has had more than 30 points scored in each of the first two games of this series and the offensive game plan designed by head coach Vogel is centered on him. In case you wanted to know, the Lakers are 18-7 SU and 12-13 ATS in games played following back-to-back games where AD scored 30 or more points. What is eye-opening is that the ‘UNDER’ in these games has earned am 18-7 ‘UNDER’ record for 72% winning bets. The ‘UNDER’ is also supported by a combined Lebron James and AD scoring metric. The ‘UNDER’ is 25-14 for 65% winning bets when James and Davis have combined for 50 or more points in Laker games. The Lakers are 29-10 SU and 10-20 ATS in these games. What Does the Machine Learning Models Tell Us?The machine learning tools confirm a bet on the Nuggets and a lean towards the ‘UNDER’ The projections call for the Nuggets to have the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio, have more points scored in the paint and will have more made 3-point shots than the Lakers have fast break points scored. So, in past games where the Nuggets have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 101-12 SU record and an 88-23-2 ATS record good for cashing 79% of the bets made and has covered the spread by an average of 9.4 points. When these games have been in the playoffs the Nuggets have earned a 6-3 SU and ATS record good for 67% winning bets. Take the Denver Nuggets as a 7-Star Best Bet tonight.
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09-18-20 | Nuggets +7 v. Lakers | Top | 114-126 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Denver Nuggets vs LA Lakers 9:00 PM EST, September 18, 2020
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09-17-20 | Heat +2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
iami Heat vs Boston Celtics September 17, 2020, 7:00 PM EST
Here is a solid betting system that supports the Heat and has earned a 73-40 SU record using the Money Line over the last five seasons. This system instructs us to be on any team in a game where they and the opponent have won 60 to 75% of their games on the season and with the opponent coming off a game where the total went ‘OVER’ by 18 or more points. The machine learning models project that the Heat will make 77% or more of their free throw attempts, score at least 105 points, and make at least 10 3-point shots. In past games when installed as a dog and meeting or exceeding these performance measures the Heat have earned a 21-8 ATS record for 72% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 9 points. |
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09-15-20 | Nuggets +7.5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-89 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Game 7 is Just Another Game
Denver Center and super star Nikola Jokic stated after their come from behind win that “To us, Game 7 is just another game”. That simple statement is completely accurate with the Nuggets having the confidence that they have what it takes to defeat the Clippers. Jokic had 34 pints, 14 boards, and seven assists in their 111-98 win that featured 11 straight defensive stops at one point in the second half. So, I did a simple query of my vast NBA database and learned that the Nuggets are 7-3 straight-up (SU) and 8-2 against-the-spread (ATS) in games following one in which Jokic scored 25 or more points and had at least 10 boards in a win installed as an underdog. The Clippers Have Never Been to the West FinalsThe Clippers were founded in 1970 and played as the Buffalo Braves and then moved to San Diego in 1978. Team owner Irv Levin sold the franchise to real estate developer David Sterling for $12.5 million. Sterling moved the team to Los Angeles in 1984 and then was forced to sell the franchise to former Microsoft founder Steve Balmer, who finally brought winning ways to the franchise for the first time. Still, the Clippers have never advanced to the Western Conference Finals sporting an 0-7 record in previous chances. Will Paul George Have Another Monster Game?The Clippers have strong support in winning Game 7 from the fact that they are 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS for 73% winning bets following a game in which Paul George had 30 or more points; 3-0 ATS in the next game if coming off a loss installed as a favorite. Moreover, Clippers are 6-0 SU and 6-0 ATS following game in which Paul George had a plus-minus rating of -10 or worse. So, you can see how team and player trends can many times work against one another when handicapping a game, but there is far more analysis yet to be seen. What About Teams that Lost Game 6?Not too much to sink our teeth into here, but it is an excellent question. Teams that were 3-1 and forced into a game 7 are 0-4 SU and ATS since 2014. The last series in which this occurred was the Nuggets coming back to defeat the Utah Jazz in Round 1. A 75% Betting System Supports the NuggetsNo team in NBA history has won back-to-back series are being down in the series 3-1. This NBA betting system has earned a 20-7-1 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons and instructs us to play on teams that were losing at the half by 5 or more points in each of their last three games. In playoffs games, this system has earned a 12-5-1 ATS record for 71% winning bets since 2013. Denver trailed by 16 points at the half in Game 6 and playoff teams, who then came from behind to win those games are 14-9 ATS for 61% in the next game. Teams that had at least a 16-point lead in a closeout playoff game are 1-4 ATS with the ‘UNDER’ going a perfect 5-0 in the next playoffs game. Now we are getting somewhere with the analysis. What Does the Machine Learning Have to Say?The machine learning tools project that the Nuggets will have a higher shooting percentage from the field than the Clippers, will shoot at least 39% from beyond the arc and make at least 12 shots from long range. Since 1995, the Nuggets are a remarkable 113-9 SU for 93% wins and 105-14-3 ATS for 88% winning bets when they have met or exceeded these performance measures. The Nuggets also sport a 46-4 SU anmd 40-8-2 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2017. Moreover, teams that have met or exceeded these performance measures in Games 6 or 7 are 9-3 SU for 75% wins and 10-2 ATS for 83% winning bets. Take the Nuggets plus the points and for them to be the first-ever NBA team to win back-to-back payoff series after trailing 3-1 in each of them. |
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09-12-20 | Rockets +6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 96-119 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
ouston Rockets vs LA Lakers September 12, 2020, 8:00 PM EST The Rockets are a 6.5-point underdog and the projections do show a decent probability that they may win this game. So, as a suggestion, I like splitting this 10-star amount into two parts consisting of a 7-star amount using the line and then a 3-Star amount using the money line. This strategy will provide significant additions to the bottom line over the course of a season. I know this is a bold call, but it is based on the ‘Math’ and the ML models. The Rockets find themselves in a great spot for this game and a shocking – to the media and public at least – win over the Lakers. They are 11-2 ATS after two consecutive games in which they were outrebounded by 10 or more boards this season. The machine learning projections also show that playoffs teams that were out rebounded by 8 or more boards in a previous game loss and average at least 115 points on the season are 11-5 ATS for 71% winning bets. The projections also call for the Rockets top score at least 115 points and will make at least 40% from 3-point land. Playoff teams coming off a loss and then scoring 115 or more points and shooting 40% or better from beyond the arc are an amazing 86-9 ATS for 91% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. |
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09-11-20 | Celtics -2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 92-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors 9:00 PM EST, September 11, 2020
From the machine learning tools and models the Celtics are projected to have the better assists-to-turnover ratio, will make 79% or more of their free throw attempts, and score at least 105 points. In past playoff games in which the Celtics met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 9-1 SU and ATS record and covering the spread by an average of 9 points. |
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09-09-20 | Raptors +4 v. Celtics | Top | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Toronto Raptors bs Boston Celtics 6:30 PM EST, September 9, 2020
The Raptors are also 28-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last six games in games played over the last two seasons. From the machine learning tools the Raptors are projected to score a minimum of 111 points and get 12 to 16 offensive rebounds, and have a TO differential of not more or less than 3 of the opponent. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone to earn a 60-14 straight-up (SU) record and 52-21-1 ASTS mark for 721.2% winning bets and the ‘OVER’ is 64-10 for 87% winning bets. So, play a 7-Star amount on Toronto plus the points and a 5-Star amount on the ‘OVER’. Then as an optional consideration place a reverse action parlay Toronto with the points and the ‘OVER’ which pays 4:1. |
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09-08-20 | Heat -4 v. Bucks | Top | 103-94 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 6:30 PM EST, September 8, 2020
The Bucks are just 6-15 ATS in games facing good shooting teams making >=46% of their shots this season. From the machine learning tools the Heat are 133-24 ATS for 85% winning bets when scoring 106 or more points, making 78% or more of their free throw attempts and have had the better assists-to-turnover ratio. So, watch for these metrics in tonight’s game. |
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09-02-20 | Thunder +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets
9:00 PM EST, September 2, 2020
Here is a money line betting system that has earned a strong 48-24 record for 67% winning bets and instructs to play on teams using the money line in a playoff game that with a win closes out the series and is a team winning between 60 and 75% of their games on the season. From the machine learning tools the Thunder are 35-18 ATS for 67% winning bets and 38-15 SU when they have scored 111 or more points and had 13 to 17 turnovers in games played since 2017; perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in playoff games. Moreover, the Thunder are 33-5 SU and 27-11 ATS for 71% winning bets when shooting between 45 and 48% form the field and have had the better assists-to-turnover ratio. |
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09-01-20 | Jazz +1 v. Nuggets | Top | 78-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
8:30 PM EST, September 1, 2020
The Nuggets are just 5-18 ATS after a win by 10 or more points in games played over the last two seasons. From the machine learning tools the Jazz are projected to make at least 48% of all of their shot attempts and make 15 or more free throws, and score at least 111 points. IN past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a robust 202-51-11 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2004; 44-13-5 ATS for 78% winning bets over the last three seasons; 9-2 ATS in playoffs games since 2008 and covering the spread by an average of 11 points. |
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08-31-20 | Heat v. Bucks -5 | Top | 115-104 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks August 31, 2020 6:30 Game 1, Round 2 Eastern Conference Here is a betting system that has earned a 37-12-1ATS record for 76% winning over the last 5 seasons. The system instructs us to be on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points facing an opponent that has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games and has a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season. The record is 12-3 ATS for 80% winners when the game is in the playoffs; 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets in all rounds after the first round since 2011. From the machine learning tools and projections the Bucks are 39-5-1 ATS when the have scored 111 or more points, made 79% or more of their free throw attempts, and held their opponent to less than 38% 3-point shooting since 2015. Over the last 10 seasons, no. 1 seeds that have met or exceeded these performance measures have earned a 161-42-3 ATS record covering the spread by an average of 9 points for 79% winning bets. |
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08-29-20 | Thunder +5 v. Rockets | Top | 80-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets
9:00 PM EST, 08-29-20 (Saturday)
The Thunder are 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games attempting 10 or more free throws than opponent this season. The Rockets averaged just a fraction more 3-point shot attempts then 2-point shot attempts this season. Their 2-point to 3-point shot attempt ratio has gone even further into extreme levels in this matchup. They are averaging 90 shot attempts per game, which is right on their regular season average, but are averaging an incredible 54 3-point shot attempts and just 36.8 2-point shot attempts. Since 2018, the Rockets are just 1-7 ATS for 12.5% and losing to the spread by an average of 12.2 points when they have attempted more 3’s than 2’s and the opponent made 8 or more free throws. |
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08-25-20 | Jazz -2.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 107-117 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets
6:30 PM EST, 08-25-20 (Tuesday)
Denver is just 13-25 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last two seasons. From the machine learning tools, the Jazz are 50-9 ATS for 85% winners when scoring 112 or more points and having the better, more efficient ATS ratio in regular season and playoff games since 2017; 4-0 ATS and covering by an average of 20 points in playoff games since 2017. Take the Utah Jazz as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet, 5-Star bets Bet ‘UNDER’ and 3-star reverse parlay on the Jazz and ‘UNDER’. |
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08-24-20 | Rockets -2.5 v. Thunder | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs. OKC Thunder
4:00 PM EST, 08-24-20 (Monday)
The Rockets need to and are expected to improve their 3-point shooting. If they do not then this series will be won by the Thunder and this bet may prove to be a losing one. The Rockets in the playoffs are attempting an average of 53 3-point shots per game and making just 18 of them for a 34% rate. The Rockets, though, are making 57% of their 2-point shots, but are attempting an average of 28 shots per game. Narrowing the spread between 3-point and 2-point attempts will go a long way to seeing the Rockets win this game. Combined with the fact that they are taking much better care of the ball sporting a 2.0 assist-to-turnover ratio as compared to the Thunder’s 1.26 ATS will more than offset any anomalies by the Thunder. From the machine learning tools, the Rockets are 191-45-7 for 81% winners when scoring 114 or more points and having the better, more efficient ATS ratio in regular season and playoff games; 10-1 ATS for 91% and covering by an average of 14 points in playoff games. Take the Houston Rockets as as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-23-20 | Raptors -12.5 v. Nets | Top | 150-122 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets
6:30 PM EST, 08-23-20
From the machine learning tools the Raptors are projected to score at least 111 points and have fewer turnovers. In ast games when the Raptors have accomplished or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 152-69 ATS amrk good for 69% ATS winners. In playoffs games the Raptors have earned a near-perfect 9-1 ATS mark and have covered the spread by an average of 12.8 points. Take the Toronto Raptors as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-23-20 | Celtics v. 76ers +8 | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
hiladelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics August 23, 1:00 PM EST The NBA database queries reveal several supporting situational betting systems that have all earned high winning percentages. This one has earned a 63-32 ATS mark good for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to bet on underdogs that have a winning record on the season and playing an opponent with a higher win percentage, that the opponent has been favored in their last three games and have won all three of these games ATS spanning games played since 2015. The 76ers have been a resilient team in 2019 and have earned a solid 31-18 ATS mark after habving lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games ATS; 20-7 ATS for 74% while sporting a 3-game or more ATS losing streak spanning games played over the last three seasons. The 76ers shot 29.5% from the field and were 2-points behind the Celtics with under 1:45 left in the game. The public is all over the Celtics and is a logical choice to bet, but logic many times does not translate to ATS winning bet. Rumors are swirling that the ‘Trust the Process’ is a broken model and this team will be broken up starting with the firing of head coach Brett Brown. I ask you this. Would the team played with the heart and ‘guts’ they did in Game-3 and if they did not like their head coach? Would they have actually shown improvement on both ends of the court (Tatem in Game-3 was minimized) if they hated their head coach? 76ers are 14-6 ATS when coming off a game where they shot 33% or less form the field. |
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08-22-20 | Rockets v. Thunder +3 | Top | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs OKC Thunder 6:00 PM EST, August 22, 2020 The conversations surrounding this matchup have centered on several shooting stats from the regular season and specifically how the Rockets shot just 23% from beyond the arc against the Thunder and that Harden and Eroc Gorden combined for a horrid 14% in those games. However, the first two games have had no similarities to the regular season results as Houston shot 39% from 3-point area and Harden and Gorden shot 42% combined. Then in Game-2 the Rockets shot just 33% from distance and Harden/Gorden went 2-21 for 10% makes and the Rockets still found a way to win the game. So, the Rockets have earned their way to a 2-0 series lead and have put the Thunder’s back against the wall. The Thunder are a stout 22-9 ATS for 71% in games lined between -3 and +3 this season. Thunder are 18-9 ATS for 67% installed as a DOG and having lost 3 or 4 of their last 4 games ATS in games played since 2016; 4-0 ATS when a playoffs game. The machine learning tools project the Thunder to score at least 114 points and are 7-1 ATS this season when doing so. The Thunder are 16-3 ATS for 84% winning bets when scoring at least 114 points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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08-22-20 | Bucks v. Magic +12.5 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic August 21, 1:30 PM EST No.1 seeds in the NBA playoffs tied at 1-game each in Round-1 are just 2-6 SU and 2-6 ATS. Magic are coming off their worst shooting game of the 2019 season hitting just 34% from the field and they are projected to bounce back with a great effort this afternoon. The Magic have nothing to lose and are ‘supposed to lose’ and matched the Bucks point-for-point in the second-half of Game-2. From the machine learning tools the Magic are an amazing 123-14 ATS for 90% winning bets when they have scored at least 112 points and shot at least 49% from the field and at least 39% from beyond the arc; 8-0 ATS in playoff games covering the spread by an average of 17 points! |
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08-20-20 | Blazers +6 v. Lakers | Top | 88-111 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 49 m | Show |
Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers Lakers have lost six straight to the number and in case you were wanting to know, No-1 seeds that have lost at least 6 consecutive games to the spread are a money burning 18-25 ATS for 42%. Most amateur bettors will presume that a team as ‘good as the Lakers’ will bounce back with a monster effort and easy ATS winning ticket. I mentioned in the Game-1 winner on Portland that the Lakers would be in a flux having not played any of the eight bubble games with any starting lineups and a mish mash of personnel. The Trailblazers are an excellent ball handling team and the Lakers are just 2-13 ATS when facing a solid ball handling team averaging no more than 14 TOPG this season. From the machine learning tools the Trailblazers are an amazing 102-17-6 ATS for 86% winning bets when they have scored at least 111 points and shot at least 49% from the field and at least 39% from beyond the arc; 188-39-4 ATS in playoff games for the No-8 seed! |
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08-20-20 | Magic v. Bucks -13 | Top | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
Orladno Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks
6:00 PM EST, 08-20-20
Bucks are 52-34 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record since the start of the 2018 season. The Magic are 6-29 SU and 12-23 ATS when playing against a winning record team this season; 6-12 ATS facing a winning record team and coming off a straight-up win. No-1 seeds coming a game shotting 44% or worse from the field and allowed previous opponent to shoot at least 49% and had at least 16 TO are an impressive 39-20 ATS for 67%. From the machine learning tools the Bucks are 140-51-3 ATS for 73% wins when they have scored at least 111 points and had 13 to 17 turnovers; No-1 seeds are 101-37 ATS for 73% winners when scoring at least 111 points and having between 13 and 17 TO. Take the Milwaukee Bucks as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-19-20 | 76ers +5 v. Celtics | Top | 101-128 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics 6:30 PM EST, August 19, 2020 I will get right to the machine learning projections. The 76ers are 111-37-2 ATS for 75% winners in games in which they made at least 78% of their free-throw attempts and scored at least 111 points; and 3-0 ATS covering by an average of 15 points when it has been a playoff game. The Celtics are just 1-12 SU and ATS for 8% winning bets when their playoff opponent has scored 111 or more points and made at least 78% of their free throw attempts. Consider splitting the wager into two parts consisting of a 5* amount using the line and a 2* amount using the money line. |
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08-19-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 124-105 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets Here is a betting system that has earned a a solid 66-27-1 ATS record for 71% and 12-3 ATS for 80% wins in playoff games since 2015. Then betting system query instructs us to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and facing an opponent that played a game in which the combined score was 20 or more points over the posted total line and has a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season. The Nuggets are projected to score at least 111 points and are 15-4 ATS for 79% in playoff games and 11-2 ATS when installed as a favorite in playoff games. |
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08-18-20 | Blazers +5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 100-93 | Win | 102 | 53 h 6 m | Show |
Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers 9:00 PM EST, August 18, 2020 Let us start with a listing of meaningful team situational trends for this matchup. The Blazers are 16-2 ATS after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less. Lakers are 1-7 ATS in the bubble and have lost four of their last five games. They did rest their stars quite a bit down the stretch, but LeBron had rest since March 10th and playing eight games would not wear down a physical specimen like he is. So, fundamentally, I believe the lack of playing time with the entire roster is going to hurt the Lakers for the first part of this series. This is an unprecedented atmosphere and life-style for these players that certainly negates home court advantage and possibly give an edge to the pseudo road team going into the first round games. Do not under estimate the loss of Rondo to a fractured thumb and Avery Bradley, who opted out, and was definitley the best defensive player on the team. Here is time-tested betting system query from the database that has earned a 34-17 ATS record for 67% winning bets and also is 31-19 ‘OVER’ for 62% winners over the last five seasons. When the opponent is coming off a game where 216 or more points were scored the system improves to 24-11 ATS for 69% winners and a 21-14 ‘OVER’ mark for 60%. Finally, when the opponent is coming off a game in which 221 or more points were scored, the record improves significantly to a very impressive 21-6 ATS mark and 78% winning bets. The base query instructs us to play on underdogs of 3 to 9 points and coming of back-to-back wins of seven or fewer points and facig an opponent coming off a game where 206 or more points were scored. |
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08-18-20 | Magic v. Bucks -13 | Top | 122-110 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks
1:30 PM EST, 08-18-20
In addition, underdogs of 12 or more points that possess a higher ATR by at least 0.15 and in game with a total of 220 or more are a miserable 0-13 SU losing the game by an average of 21 points and 1-12 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 7.7 PPG. Also, underdogs of 8 to 9.5 points that score an average of 9 or more points fewer than their opponent are just 5-14 ATS for 27% in the playoffs. Take the Bucks for a 7* Best Bet Titan |
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08-17-20 | Nets v. Raptors -10 | Top | 110-134 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors I do not think Raptors head coach Nick Nurse gets the credit he deserves. He won the World Championship with Leonard and now is looking to repeat without the Superstar. Many of the team metrics, especially defensive ones, are even better than last season. Focus has been there (unlike the Lakers, for instance) going 7-1 in the Bubble and fully prepared to go for the back-to-back Championships. Raptors have won three of the four meetings this season against the Nets and all four games occurred before the stoppage. Teams that have defeated the current playoff opponent in 3 of the last 4 meetings and are installed as 9.5 favorites or more are 70-6 SU for 92%. So, this is not a recommendation to use the money line, but a dominant set of situations showing why the Raptors will come up in dominating form right from the opening tip. Teams that sport a 70% or higher win percentage (Raptors 73%) and facing a team with a losing record have earned a 40-24 ATS mark good for 63% winning bets and when favored by at least 9.5 points have earned a 20-11 ATS mark for 65% winners. Despite already having the NBA-best overall defense, they are also best averaging 19 fast break points per game. They also rank 11th-best allowing opponents to score an average eof 12.7 fast break points per game. The machine learning tools project that the Raptors will score at least 111 points and shoot at least 50% from the field. Playoff teams that are favored by at least 9.5 points and have met or exceeded these measures are 35-1 SU and 27-9 ATS for 75% winning bets. In addition, the ‘OVER’ is 14-1 for 93% since 2016. Take the Raptors for a 7-Star Best Bet Titan, 5-Star Bet ’Over’ the total and no more than a 3-Star reverse parlay using the Raptors and the ‘OVER’. |
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08-14-20 | Nuggets +4 v. Raptors | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors
1:30 PM EST, 08-14-20
Coach Malone is 42-25-1 ATS after his Nuggets have lost 3 of their last 4 games. Machine learning projects that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and have the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games where the Nuggets have achieved or exceeded these measures they have earned an outstanding 281-61-6 ATS mark good for 82% winning bets since 1995 and 71-17-3 ATS since 2016, and 28-6 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2018. |
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08-12-20 | Raptors v. 76ers +6.5 | Top | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Toronto vs Philadelphia
6:30 PM EST, 08-12-20
Consider splitting this opportunity into a 4.5* amount using the point spread and a 2.5* amount using the money line. This type of optimization will augment your bottom line over the course of the season – and yes, even if the games are played in a ‘bubble’. This is not a play because Embiid has been cleared to play just to be clear.
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08-10-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5 | Top | 121-124 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Denver vs Lakers 9:00 PM EST, 08-10-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-9 ATS record for 79% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and are facing an opponent with a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season and coming off a game that the combined score eclipsed the posted total by at least 30 points. The Lakers have done well against low-pressure intensity style of defenses and are 22-9 ATS when facing a team like the Nuggets, who force an opponent into less than 14 turnovers per game this season.
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08-10-20 | Mavs +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz The machine learning toolshed projects that the Mavs will shoot at least 43% form the field and at least 35% from three-point territory, and score at least 111 points. In past games where the Mavs have met these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 283-62-9 ATS record good for 82% winning bets since 2000; 23-7 ATS in the current season. Take the Mavs. |
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08-09-20 | Nets +13 v. Clippers | Top | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs LA Clippers
9:00 PM EST, 08-09-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 66-29 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on underdogs of 10 or more points in a non-conference matchup and is a well-rested team playing six or fewer games in the past 14 days of action.
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08-08-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 132-134 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
3:30 PM EST, 08-08-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 68-20 ATS record for 77% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs off an ATS win installed as an underdog and are now in a game with both teams winning between 60% to 75% of their games on the season. Machine learning projects that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and In past games in which the Nuggets met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 237-56-4 ATS for 81% winning bets. |
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08-07-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -1 | Top | 122-100 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics
9:00 PM EST, 08-07-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-8 ATS record for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game and is a solid team winning between 60% to 75% of their games and playing a team with a winning record. Machine learning projects that the Raptors will score 111 or more points and have at least 14 offensive rebounds. In past games in which the Raptors met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 61-27 ATS record for 69% winning bets. |
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08-03-20 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 99-109 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Memphis vs New Orleans The machine learning toolshed projects that the Grizzlies will have at least 53 boards and score at least 111 points. In past games, they are 17-5 ATS when achieving this pair of KPIs. The Pelicans are a money-burning 14-33-3 ATS when allowing 111 or more points and allowing 53 or more rebounds and 7-24-2 ATS for 23% spanning games played over the last five seasons. Here is a nice betting system that underscores the strength of the bet on the Memphis Grizzlies and has earned a 49-20 ATS result good for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons. Play on any team revenging a road loss to the current opponent of at least 10 points and with both teams sporting win percentages between 40 and 49.9% on the season. Take the Memphis Grizzlies. |
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08-02-20 | Bucks -4.5 v. Rockets | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Houston
8:30 PM EST, 08-02-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 48-14 ATS record good for 76% winning bets over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play against underdogs that are playing a gme that went over the posted total by 24 or more points and is a team that has earned a win percentage between 60 and 75% and facing a team with a winning record. The machine learning tool shed projects that Milwaukee’s defense will be feared tonight by the Rockets. Overall, and dating back to 1990 teams that have allowed a 3-point shooting percentage of 33% or lower and a field-goal % lower than 42% are 8,364-2268 ATS for 79% winning bets. The Bucks are 69-18 ATS covering the spread by an average of 8.8 points for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bucks are projected to score at least 115 points. So, the Rockets are a miserable 1-21-1 ATS when shooting 42% or less and 33% or less from beyond the arc and allowing 115 or more points in games played since 2015. |
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08-02-20 | Kings +2.5 v. Magic | Top | 116-132 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Sacramento vs Orlando The machine learning toolshed projects that the Kings will have fewer turnovers than the Magic and that they will shoot at least 48% form the field. In past games in which the Kings did achieve these performance KPI they are an amazing 234-56-5 ATS for 81% winning bets and 50-10-3 ATS since 2015. Take the Sacramento Kings. |
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08-01-20 | 76ers v. Pacers +6 | Top | 121-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers I like the 76ers once we get into the playoffs. I like the fact that Ben Simmons has accepted his new role as power forward and you will definitley see more bulk and muscle on this budding superstar. Yet, there are a few things that the 76ers need to figure out before heading into the payoffs and they will. The Pacers will push the ball tonight and make the game fast at both ends. The 76ers have not had good results in high-paced games. They are just 3-35 SU and 4-34 ATS in games played where they allowed an opponent 50% or better shooting and allowed 90 or more shot attempts. Just 1-16 SU and 3-14 ATS spanning the last five seasons. Take the Pacers. |
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07-30-20 | Clippers +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
7-Star NBA Best Bet Titan on the LA Clippers
The Clippers will take on the Lakers in a 2020 opening season game that many ‘talking heads’ see as a preview to the Western Finals. I do disagree with that prognostication and see the Clippers as the team by the West by a wide margin. That’s a story for another time. The line opened with the Lakers installed as 1-point favorites weeks ago and the line has steadily risen to its’ current price of Lakers favored by 4.5-points. Consider making this a combination wager consisting of a 5-star bet getting the points and a 2-star amount using the money line. Purely optional, but this betting design has served to add significantly to bottom line profits spanning an entire season. Take the Clippers and expect the SU win. |
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03-11-20 | Iowa State +7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
Iowa State vs Oklahoma State 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Iowa State Cyclones This is an upset in the making based on the projections and situations these teams find themselves in for this matchup. OSU is a money-burning 4-15 ATS after having won four or five of their last six games in games played over the last three seasons; 1-10 ATS after having won four of their last five games in game splayed over the last three seasons. ISU has been horrid on the roads this season cover just tow games, but this is not a road game. It is a neutral court site and is being played in the month of March during conference and NCAA Tournament time. ISU is 63-35-1 ATS in all March games spanning the last 20 seasons. From the predictive side of things, ISU is a solid 45-18-1 for 71% winners when making at least 80% of their shot attempts and making at least 42% of their FGA. If they make over 45% from the floor and 80%+ of their free throws their record zooms to 36-9 for 80% winners; 8-1 ATS at a neutral site and covering the spread by an average of nine points. |
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03-11-20 | St. Joe's +5.5 v. George Mason | Top | 70-77 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
St. Joes vs George Mason St. Joes is not a strong 3-point shooting team. However, George Mason is an imperfect 0-7 ATS when facing a team that is making 31% or fewer from beyond the arc in games played after the 15th game in each of the last two seasons. St. Joes may not shoot well, but they do not add to the pain by turning the ball over. George Mason is 14-28 ATS against good handling teams that are committing no more than 14 turnovers-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. George Mason Head Coach Paulsen is just 3-13 ATS off a road win against a conference foe. From the predictive side of things, St. Joes is a solid 57-33 -2 ATS when they have made 71 to 77% of their free-throw attempts. GMU is a money-losing 3-15 ATS when they have allowed 67 to 74 points in game splayed over the last two seasons. |
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03-11-20 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Clemson | Top | 64-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
Miami vs Clemson
10 PM EST, March 11, 2020 Clemson has not done well when facing teams that are not all that aggressive on the defensive end. The Tigers are just 4-12 ATS when facing teams that are forcing an average of 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game and 4-14 ATS after the 15th game of th season spanning the last two seasons. Head Coach Larranaga is 58-38 ATS off a home win as the coach of the Hurricanes and 20-10 ATS after playing two consecutive home games. From the predictive side fo things, the Hurricanes are 68-36-5 ATS in games that they made at least 79% of their free-throw attempts; 20-9 ATS for 70% in road games when they made at least 79% of their free-throw attempts and scored at least 67 points including 9-3 ATS in neutral site games since 2005. |
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03-09-20 | Raptors v. Jazz -4.5 | Top | 101-92 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
Toronto vs Utah 9:05 PM EST, March 9, 2020 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Utah Jazz Let’s get right to it as the Jazz are 32-14 ATS for 70% winning bets when they are coming off back-to-back wins of six or fewer points and 22-10 ATS when favored on these spots. This situational query has earned a solid 60-25-2 ATS record for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons and requires us to be on teams that are lined within four points on either side of ‘pick’ and are coming off three consecutive games in which they and their respective opponents each scored 100 or more points om each of the three games and are now facing an elite opponent that is outscoring their opponents by an average of at least six points. From the predictive side of things, Utah is projected to score at least 111 points and have the better and more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio. When they have met or exceeded this pairing of performance measures they have earned an outstanding 127-27-5 ATS mark good for 83% winning bets and 26-6-2 ATS for 81% winning bets over the last three seasons. |
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03-09-20 | Elon v. Northeastern -8.5 | Top | 60-68 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Elon vs Northeastern 8:30 PM EST, March 9, 2020 Colonial Conference Tournament 7-Star Best bet Titan on the Northeastern Huskies This game is taking place on a neutral court in Washington DC. Elon is coming off a shocking upset win over 2-seed William & Mary by a 68-62 score, but now find themselves installed as an 8.5 to 9-point underdog. The Huskies re off an upset win based on seeding by defeating Towson State 72-62, but covered the spread installed as a 3.5-point favorite. Elon is not in a god situation for this game noting they are just 2-13 ATS after two consecutive ‘UNDERS’ in game splayed over the last three seasons. They are 10-25 ATS coming off one or more wins in games played over the last three seasons. From the predictive side of things, ELON is just 9-23 ATS in road games, 0-16 ATS in home games, and 0-3 ATS at neutral sites when they have shot 40 to 45% from the field and their opponent shot greater than 47% from the field. |
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03-09-20 | Miami-OH +9 v. Buffalo | Top | 85-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
Miami (Ohio) vs Buffalo This is a 12-5 pairing of the 12 teams in the MAC Conference Championship with the Miami Redhawks the 12-seed and the Buffalo Bulls the 5-seed. The winner will then face the 4-seed Northern Illinois, who along with top-seed Akron, 3-seed Ball State, and 2-seed Bowling Green have Byes. The Bulls are in a tough situation and matchup to cover the spread in this matchup. First, they are a money-burning 7-16 for 35% against-the-spread (ATS) in home games that had a posted total between 150 and 155 since 2010. The Bulls are coming off an upset 88-84 win at Bowling Green as two-point underdogs. However, head coach, Whitesell is 9-24 ATS coming off an upset win as an underdog in his career. From the predictive side of things, the RedHawks are 13-4 ATS in games they have scored between 67 and 74 points in game splayed over the last two seasons. Further, the RedHawks are 15-5 ATS for 75% winning bets when they have been road dogs and made more 3-pointers than the opponent and had 11 or fewer turnovers. |
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03-08-20 | Ohio State +7 v. Michigan State | Top | 69-80 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
No. 19 Ohio State vs No. 16 Michigan State 3-Star Reverse Parlay Bet using OSU and the ‘UNDER’ When playing against Michigan State, everyone on the team has to rebound well. Ohio State freshman forward E.J. Liddell may be first man off the bench. He had a great performance against Illinois on Thursday, where he matched his career high with 17 points on 7-of-9 shooting from the floor, but he also grabbed 11 rebounds, setting a new career standard and earning his first career double-double. Lidell also had 17 points just five games ago against Iowa, grabbing eight rebounds in that contest, as he continues to progress and is getting more minutes in head coach Chris Holtmann's rotation. From the predictive side of things, Ohio State ius 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS and 13-1-1 ‘UNDER’ when they have played on the road and had 10 or fewer turnovers and held the opponent to 40% or worse shooting. |
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03-08-20 | Connecticut v. Tulane +6.5 | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Connecticut vs Tulane Let’s take a quick look at few supporting team trends for Tulane and ones that work against UCONN. Tulane is 18-6 ATS when playing against a good team posting a win percentage of 60% to 80% over the last two seasons. Tulane is 8-0 ATS following a game in which they made at least 78% of their free throws in game splayed this season. UCONN is 43-69 ATS after a game with nine or less assists in all games played spanning the last 20 seasons. They are 0-6 after having won six or seven of their last eight games in games played spanning the last three seasons. Huskies are an imperfect 0-9 ATS in road games after scoring 75 or more points in five consecutive games spanning the last 20 seasons. From the predictive side of things UCONN is 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS in road games in which the host shot between 30 and 37.5% from beyond the arc. |
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03-08-20 | Tulsa +7.5 v. Wichita State | Top | 57-79 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Tulsa vs Wichita State 7-Star Best bet Titan on Tulsa The dominant trend supporting Tulsa is the fact that they are a perfect 7-0 ATS coming off a win against a conference foe and held that foe to 55 or fewer points in game splayed over the last 10 seasons. Tulsa is 54-29 ATS after two consecutive games getting nine or fewer offensive rebounds in games played over the last two seasons. From the predictive side of things, Tulsa is a solid 14-5 ATS in games that had nine or fewer offensive rebounds in this season and 12-3 ATS for 80% in games in which they had 33 to 40 rebounds. A win will give Tulsa the AAC regular-season conference championship. Take Tulsa. |
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03-07-20 | Long Beach State +5.5 v. CS-Fullerton | Top | 69-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Long Beach State vs Cal State Fullerton 10:30 PM EST, March 3, 2020
I am jumping right the meat and potatoes of this betting opportunity only due to time. From the predictive side of things, the 49ers are a solid 16-4 ATS for 80% winning bets when scoring between 65 and 75 points in game splayed over the last three seasons; CSF Titans are just 4-16 ATS for 20% in games in which they did not shoot about 46% from the field in game splayed over the last two seasons; 0-7 ATS when they score less than 75 points in games played over the last two seasons. |
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03-07-20 | Charlotte +8.5 v. Louisiana Tech | Top | 43-66 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Charlotte vs Louisiana Tech 7:00 PM EST 03-07-20
Here is a situational betting system that has earned a solid 69-34 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on road dogs including ‘pick’ that are coming off a poor shooting game making no more than 33% of their shot attempts and is facing a hot shooting team posting three consecutive games making at least 47% in each one. |
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03-07-20 | Rockets -8 v. Hornets | Top | 99-108 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
Houston vs Charlotte 5:05 PM EST, 3-07-2020 This betting system has earned a terrific 60-22 -1 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play on road favorites of 3 to 9.5 points after allowing 105 or more points in four consecutive games and are facing a struggling host that has been outscored by their opponents by six or more points-per-game. From the predictive side of things, the Rockets are 9-1 ATS when they have allowed fewer than 105 points in games played this season; 74-22 ATS for 77% winning bets when they have scored at least 117 points and had the better and more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in games played since 2015. |
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03-07-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +3.5 | Top | 66-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
No. 1 Kansas vs Texas Tech
2:00 PM EST, 03-07-20 Let us start with a situational vetting system that supports the Red Raiders and has earned a solid 30-7-1 ATS mark good for 81% winning bets. The system requires us to play on home teams in a game lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ that is solid a defensive team allowing 40 to 43% shooting and is an average rebounding team posting a differential between -3 and +3 and are facing an excellent defensive teams allowing less than 40% shooting on the season and has outrebounded their opponents by six or boards-per-game on the season. Texas Tech is 11-3 ATS when facing very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points-per-game after 15 or more games over the last two seasons. From the predictive aside of things, TT is 22-3 SU and 19-6 ATS for 76% winning tickets and covering the number by 10.4 points-per-game in games in which they attempted 54 to 60 shots. |
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03-06-20 | Bucks +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Lakers 10:35 PM EST 03-06-20 Let us run through a few situational trends that support the bet on Milwaukee. They are an amazing 15-5 ATS and tops in the NBA when facing a solid opponent that is outscoring their opponents by six or more points-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. Here is a situational betting system that follows the theme above and has earned a solid 39-13 ATS mark good for 75% winners over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on all teams in games lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and is facing an opponent that is an elite NBA team outscoring their opponents by six or more points-per-game and with the opponent coming off three consecutive games allowing 105 or more points in each game; 33-8 ATS for an amazing 81% winning bets over the last five seasons! From the predictive side of things, The Bucks are 30-7 ATS for 81% winning bets in game sin which they have attempted at least 88 shots, made at least 33% of their shots from beyond the arc, and had the better, more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last two seasons. |
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03-06-20 | VMI -2.5 v. Samford | Top | 96-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
Samford vs VMI
6:00 PM EST, 03-06-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on VMI minus the points. This is a first-round matchup in the Southern Conference with VMI sporting double revenge from to losses to Samford this season. Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 47-18 ATS 72% record over the last 15 seasons and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. The system requires us to bet on all teams where the line is within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and revenging a straight up loss to the opponent as a road favorite and is a struggling team that has won 20% to 40% of their games on the season and is now playing a team with a losing record. Teams that have had same season double revenge and are favored by at least 3 points in the third game of the season are a decent 34-22-2 ATS for 61% winning bets since 2006, but 17-5 ATS for 77% winners over the last three seasons. From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that Samford is just 12-28 for 30% when they have shot 40 to 45% from the field and shot under 35% from beyond the arc. VMI is 4-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9.4 points when holding an opponent to 40 to 45% shooting and not allowing more than 35% shooting from beyond the arc. |
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03-05-20 | Wyoming v. Nevada -10 | Top | 74-71 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Wyoming vs Nevada
11:30 PM EST, 03-05-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on the Nevada Wolfpack minus the points. Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 61-29 ATS 68% record over the last five seasons and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. The system requires us to bet on neutral court games betting on the favorite including pick and after two or more consecutive ‘OVERS’ and in a game where both teams are decent defensive ones that allow an average between 65 and 75 points on the season. From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that Nevada is an outstanding 19-4 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and gotten at least 45 rebounds. They are also 47-18-2 ATS for 72% when scoring 75 or more points and purebounding their opponent by at least 11 boards over the last 15 seasons; 12-1 ATS for 82% wins over the last three seasons. |
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03-05-20 | Stanford +1.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 65-68 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
Stanford vs Oregon State 9:00 PM EST, March 5, 2020
From the predictive side of things, Stanford is 91-13 SU and 78-19-1 ATS for 81% winners when they have shot at least 48% form the field and at least 50% form beyond the arc in games played since 2006. |
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03-05-20 | Clippers v. Rockets +1.5 | Top | 120-105 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
Clippers vs Rockets 7-Star Best Bet on the Houston Rockets Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 69-33-2 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. the system requires us to bet on home teams that are lined within 3.5 points on either side of ‘pick’ and is coming off an upset loss installed as a favorite and with both teaqms playing well postig win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season. From the predictive side of things, the Rockets are 162-15 SU and 138-37-2 ATS for 79% winning bets in home games when they have shot at least 42% from beyond the arc and had the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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03-05-20 | Illinois v. Ohio State -5.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
Illinois vs Ohio State 7:00 PM EST 03-02-20 Here is a situational betting system that has earned a solid 100-66ATS mark good for 62% winners over the last five seasons. The requirements re to bet on home teams lined as favorites of 3 to 9 points and are coming off a double-digit win over a conference foe and with both teams in the game sporting solid win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season including a tightener that soars to 28-10 ATS for 74% winning bets when the team is ranked. From the predictive side of things, Ohio State ius 65-2 SU aqnd 47-10 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and made at least 42% of their three-point shots in games played since 2006. |
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03-04-20 | Georgetown v. Creighton -12.5 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show |
Georgetown vs Creighton 8:00 PM EST, 3-04-2020 From the predictive side, the Bluejays are a solid 94-5 SU winning the games by an average of 19 points and 62-25 ATS for 70% wins when they have shot at least 49% from the field and 39% from beyond the arc. Adding in that the Bluejays had the better assists-to-field-goal-made (A-FGM) and their record soars to a 101-5 SU mark and 71-24 ATS mark good for 75% winning tickets since 2006. |
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03-04-20 | Jazz -8 v. Knicks | Top | 112-104 | Push | 0 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
Utah vs New York NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Utah Jazz Here is a situational betting system that has earned a 144-78-3 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 20seasons and requires us to bet road favorites that are facing a host that is coming off a close home win by a margin of three or fewer points and has a losing record on the season. Here is a second betting system that has earned an outstanding 40-8 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and requires us to bet on road favorites against an opponent that is seeking revenge from a previous road blowout loss of 20 or more points and are coming off a close home win by three or fewer points. |
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03-04-20 | St. Louis v. George Mason +3 | 69-57 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
St. Louis vs George Mason
7:00 PM EST, 03-04-20 Patriots head coach Dave Paulson will look to end a two-game losing skid when they take on the St. Louis Billikens, who have won three straight in this A-10 matchup. The conference has been dominated by the No. 3 ranked Dayton Flyers, who are 27-2 SU, 16-0 in conference play, and lead the Richmond Spiders and Rhode Island rams by four games. The Billikens sit in fourth place tied with the Duquesne Dukes and St. Bonaventure Bonnies at 10-6 and the Patriots are in 12th place in the 14-team conference. The danger for bubble teams is that if Dayton stumbles and fails to win the conference tournament, the winner will advance along with the Flyers. Anyway. Let us take a look at this situational betting query that has earned a 44-20-1 ATS record since 2000. The requirements are to bet on home teams with a line within three points on either side of ‘pick’ that is an average defensive team allowing 42.5 to 45% opponent shooting and is facing an opponent that is shooting between 45 and 47.5% on the season and has shot 49% or better in four consecutive games. The system looks to exploit teams that have been red hot hooting teams, but so hot that is nots sustainable and are prone to a below average shooting game on the road. From the predictive aside of things, the Patriots are projected to score at least 68 points and have the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. When they have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 111-13 SU record and 79-30-4 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2006; 7-1 ATS as a home dog. |
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03-04-20 | Texas A&M v. Auburn -12 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
Texas A&M vs Auburn 7:00 PM EST 3-04-20
The Tigers are coming off a 73-66 loss to the Kentucky Wildcats, who are ranked No. 6 and sit at 14-3 in the conference standings. The Tigers shot 36% form the field, but they will shoot much better tonight. The Tigers are 22-12-2 ATS for 65% in home games following a game in which they lost, failed to cover the spread, and shot not better than 37.5% from the field; 6-0 ATS if favored by double digits. From the predictive side of things, the Tigers are 46-15 ATS for 75.4% winning bets when they have held an opponent to less than 40% shooting and less than 30% shooting from beyond the arc; 31-9 ATS for 78% winning tickets when the game is at home. |
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03-03-20 | Purdue +5.5 v. Iowa | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
Purdue vs Iowa 9:00 PM EST 03-02-20 Purdue is the best near 0.500 team, in the country and are as good as many teams with 18-10 records. They are a dangerous team and they are in desperation mode now knowing that they need to win their final two games and then get to the seminfinals to catch the attention of the selection committee. It is difficult to bet against Iowa, who has lost just twice at home this season. They are largely inconsistent though, but when they play poorly, they are not Tournament-worth and when they play well, they are Final Four well. This is a great spot for Purdue though and I think they are capable of pulling off the upset. Consider playing this game as a combination bet comprised of 80% of your normal 7-Star bet size using the line and then place the remaining 20% using the money line. Over the ocurse of a season, these types of bets add significantly to the ROI of the season. Purdue is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9 points after game where they allowed a shooting percentage of 33% or less over the last three seasons. Iowa is a money-burning 23-42 ATS after covering four of their last five against the spread since 2000; 7-15 ATS since 2015. From the predictive side of things,. Purdue is 34-3 SU for 92% outright wins and 26-8 ATS in games in which they get at least 38 rebounds and have no more than 11 turnovers; 13-3 SU and 12-4 ATS for 75% against a conference foe. |
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03-03-20 | Nets +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs Boston 7-Star Best Bet on the Brooklyn Nets Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 36-16 ATS mark for 69% wins over the last five seasons. The system requires us to bet on any team that has lost at least three consecutive road games and is taking on an opponent that is off an upset loss as a favorite. From the predictive side of things, the Nets are an outstanding 74-17-3 ATS good for 81% winning bets when they have made 77% or more of their free throw attempts, had the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio, and made 45 to 48% of their shot attempts. |
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03-03-20 | Michigan State v. Penn State +2 | Top | 79-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
Michigan State vs Penn State
7:00 PM EST, 03-03-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on the Penn State Nittany Lions plus the points. Coming up with late-season wins in the Big Ten is always a challenge, and Penn State knows it's a matter of executing and giving maximum effort. The Spartans have won three striaght games and will be looking to win their third consecutive game over a ranked opponent. Penn State appears to be sputtering down the stretch, but already defeated the Spartans February 5th in East Lansing 75-70. The Spartans are in a terrible situation for this matchup. Big-Ten teams playing their third consecutive game against a ranked opponent and won the previous two games and are now playing on the road are an imperfect 0-6 straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS). Penn State has a pair of seniors playing in their final home game in this one that lead the way in Lamar Stevens (17.7 points, 6.9 rebounds) and Mike Watkins (9.6 points, 7.6 boards, 2.3 blocks). The Lions did get a significant lift in their last game with the return of guard Myreon Jones (13.7 points, 52 3-pointers) after he missed six games with an illness. This adds depth to the bench as well. Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding record and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. This system has posted a 29-6-1 ATS record for 83% winners and requires us to bet on home teams that are lined with three points on either side of ‘pick’ and is an average rebounding team posting a rebounding differential of between -3 and +3 per-game and is hosting an opponent that is an excellent defensive team allowing 40% or less shooting and has posted a rebounding differential of 6 or more rebounds-per-game From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that PSU is 45-15 SU winning the games by an average of 11 points and 36-13-3 ATS when they have had fewer turnovers than the opponent and made at least nine three-point shots; 10-2 ATS for 83% wins in game splayed over the last three seasons. PSU made nine 3-point shots in their win over MSU previously. |
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03-03-20 | Jacksonville +8 v. North Florida | Top | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
Jacksonville vs North Florida 7:30 PM EST, March 3, 2020
This is a Roud-1 matchup in the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament. The North Florida Ospreys tied with the Liberty Flames atop the conference standings with 13-3 records and splitting their season matchups with one win each. This is too many points to be giving a team, like the Dolphins, who know a loss means they turn in their sneakers to the equipment manager tomorrow.
Jacksonville is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS in road games after three straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers this season. From the predictive side of things, the Dolphins are 12-4 ATS for 75% wins when they have made 27 or more field goals and made at least 42% of their field goal attempts and had at least three more rebounds than the opponent. |
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03-02-20 | Texas Tech +7.5 v. Baylor | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs Baylor
9:00 PM EST, 03-02-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on Texas Tech plus the points. Let us start with a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding record and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. This system has posted a 48-19-5 ATS record for 72% winners and requires us to bet on road teams as an underdog or pick (Red Raiders in this matchup)revenging a straight up loss to the current opponent as a home favorite and are off two consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals. The Red Raiders are coming off back-to-back dominating losses. They first lost 65-51 to No.1 Kansas and failed to cover as 1.5-poit favorites. They shot a season-low 33% in that game. In their most recent game they lost at home to the Texas Longhorns 68-58 and failed to cover the spread as 11.5-point favorites. So, this is an exemplary contrarian play to be sure. Here si the good news. The Red Raiders are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after the 15th game of the regular season when facing excellent teams that are outscoring their opponents by at least 8 points-per-game in games played over last 2 seasons. From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show a final score result within a range of Baylor winning by four points to Texas Tech winning by four points. Consider making a combination wager on this dog bet using 80% of your normal 7-Star wager amount and then add the remaining 20% using the money line. Texas Tech is 53-11 SU for 83% wins and 33-15 ATS for 69% winning bets in home games where they have attempted at least 55 shot attempts, made at least 24 field goals, and had 12 or fewer turnovers in games played since 2006. Take the Texas Tech Red Raiders and Look for the Upset Win |
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03-02-20 | Pacers -2 v. Spurs | Top | 116-111 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
Indiana vs San Antonio 8:00 PM EST 03-01-20 Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 79-40 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on away favorites in a non-conference game and facing an opponent coming off a home win of three points or less. Spurs are a money-burning 1-11 ATS in home games after one or more consecutive wins this season. From the predictive side of things, the Spurs are 1-12 ATS when the opponent has made between 48 and 52% of their shot attempts this season. |
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03-01-20 | Michigan v. Ohio State -3.5 | Top | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
Michigan vs Ohio State 4:00 PM EST 03-01-20 Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 33-11 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after an ATS win as a double-digit favorite and is now facing an opponent off an upset loss installed as a favorite. The Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more this season. From the predictive side of things, the Buckeyes are 72-1 SU and 44-13-1 ATS for 77% winning bets when they scored 75 or more points and had nine or more offensive rebounds since 2007 and 19-0 SU and 14-3-1 ATS for 82% winning bets if the game was at home facing a conference foe. |
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03-01-20 | Towson v. Northeastern -5 | Top | 75-72 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
Towson vs Northeastern 4:00 PM EST, February 29, 2020
Northeastern will have themselves prepared for this game as the conclude the regular season and look to begin a strong run in the Colonia Athletic Conference Tournament starting this week.
Towson State is just 2-11 ATS after a game in which they were outrebounded by 20 or boards. |
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03-01-20 | Mavs v. Wolves +7.5 | Top | 111-91 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
Dallas vs Minnesota 7-Star Best Bet on the Minnesota Timberwolves Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 25-11 ATS for 69% wins over the last five seasons. The system requires us to bet on underdogs that has been struggling and failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread. Timberwolves are 123-55-2 ATS for 69% wins when they have scored 111 or more points in home games since 2000. |
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03-01-20 | Creighton -4.5 v. St. John's | Top | 71-91 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Creighton vs St. Johns
12:00 PM EST, 03-01-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on Creighton minus the points. Let us start with a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding record and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. This system has posted a 40-15-2 ATS record for 72% winners and requires us to bet on road favorites of 4 to 11 points that have covered at least four consecutive games to the spread and is playing with five or 6 days of rest. This system has earned a 16-5 ATS mark for 76% winning bets since 2010 and 5-1 ATS over the last three seasons. From the predictive side of things, the Creighton Bluejays are 26-7-1 in road games when they have scored 80 or more points, 20-5 ATS for 80% winners in road conference games and scoring 80 or more points, and 1 3-0 SU winning the games by an average of 18 points and 12-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11.1 points when favored on the road against a conference foe and scoring 80 or more points. Ryan’s Big East 7-Star Best Bet Titan Ryan went 5-2 ATS for the Saturday card and looks to add on to the winning weekend with this Big east matchup. The research supporting this play is awesome and features a betting syste that has hit 76% ATS over the last 10 seasons and a predictive team metric that has earned a 12-1 ATS record and has covered the spread by an average 11.1 points. Oklahoma vs West Virginia 4:00 PM EST 2-29-20 Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 28-5 ATS record for 86% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs that are coming off an double-digit upset win and is facing an opponent coming off a humiliating double-digit loss as a five or greater favorite. WVU lost 67-57 on he road at Texas and were installed as 6-point favorites. The Sooners ended a 3-game losing skid with an outstanding 65-51 home win as a 1.5-point underdog over Texas Tech. From the predictive side of things, the Sooners are 34-3 SU and 25-8 ATS for 76% winning bets when shooting 45% or lower, shooting better than the opponent, and making more 3-point shots than the opponent. |
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02-29-20 | Rockets +2 v. Celtics | Top | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Houston vs Boston 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Houston Rockets
Here is a terrific situational query produced from the database that has earned a 41-15 record good for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on any team that is lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and is facing an outstanding opponent that has outscored their opponents by at least 6-points-per-game and after scoring and allowing at least 100 points in three consecutive games. From the predictive side of things, the Rockets are 110-32-4 ATS for 78% winning bets when they have scored 111 points and attempted 84 or more shots in road games. |
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02-29-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +5.5 | Top | 83-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
San Diego State vs Nevada 7-Star Upset Alert Titan Bet on the Nevada Wolfpack. So, consider an alternative wager consisting of 80% of your 7-star betting amount on the line getting the points and the remaining 20% on the money line to optimize this bettig opportunity on a DOG that I think will the game outright. This is just one game, but I can tell you first hand that applying this combination bet to all of the dogs I release adds a significant amount to the total profits over the course of the season Nevada is 33-15 ATS in home games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game; 12-5 ATS after one or more consecutive wins this season. Nevada Head Coach Alford is 40-21 ATS when playing against a top-level team winning at least 80% of their games, and with the game taking place after 15 or more games of the regular season. From the predictive side of things, the Wolfpack is 76-12 SU winning the games by 12 points on average and 64-13-3 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have shot 44% or better from the field and had 10 to 13 turnovers including 32-5 ATS for 84% in home games. |
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02-29-20 | USC Upstate +7 v. Hampton | Top | 90-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
USC-Upstate vs Hampton 7-Star Best Bet on USC-Upstate Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 143-110 using the Money Line and making $9.100 for the $100 bettor over just the past five seasons. Play on any team (USC UPSTATE) after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games and is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. So, consider an alternative wager consisting of 80% of your 7-star betting amount on the line getting the points and the remaining 20% on the money line to optimize this betting opportunity on a DOG that I think will the game outright. This is just one game, but I can tell you first hand that applying this combination bet to all of the dogs I release adds a significant amount to the total profits over the course of the season |
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02-29-20 | Oklahoma +8.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Oklahoma vs West Virginia 4:00 PM EST 2-29-20 Let us start with a supporting power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 28-5 ATS record for 86% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs that are coming off an double-digit upset win and is facing an opponent coming off a humiliating double-digit loss as a five or greater favorite. WVU lost 67-57 on he road at Texas and were installed as 6-point favorites. The Sooners ended a 3-game losing skid with an outstanding 65-51 home win as a 1.5-point underdog over Texas Tech. From the predictive side of things, the Sooners are 34-3 SU and 25-8 ATS for 76% winning bets when shooting 45% or lower, shooting better than the opponent, and making more 3-point shots than the opponent. R |
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02-29-20 | Florida v. Tennessee +1 | Top | 58-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
Florida vs Tennessee 2:00 PM EST, February 29, 2020
On the predictive side of things, the Gators are 5-15 ATS when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last two seasons; 10-22 ATS when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last three seasons. |
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02-29-20 | Penn State +4.5 v. Iowa | Top | 68-77 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
No. 16 Penn State vs No 16 Iowa
12:00 PM EST, 02-29-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on Penn State plus the points. As I have mentioned on my Podcast and in several published articles this week the Big Ten Conference will send nine and possibly 10 teams to the NCAA Tournaments. These two teams are in the Dance, but they are now fighting for the coveted double byes in the conference tournament and for a better seed in the Dance. Based on the ‘math’ PSU wins this game outright. So consider an alternative wager using 80% of your normal size bet for the 7-star wager using the line and the remaining 20% on the money line. I am not in the least suggesting this will be an easy blowout win for PSU. The Lions will have to end a 13-game home win streak that the Hawkeyes have intact right now and have won two of the last six games at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. This Penn State team is different than any other in the past decade – at least and they are well-coached by Chambers. Izaiah Brockington scored a game-high 16 points and had five rebounds to help the Nittany Lions to earn their most conference wins since finishing with 12 in the 1995-96 season. Myles Dread added 11 points, including the go-ahead 3-pointer with under 30 seconds remaining in the game after the Lions had blown an 18-point halftime lead. Lamar Stevens was limited to nine points to see his streak of games scoring in double figures end at 41 in a row, but he still became the program’s all-time leading scorer in Big Ten play with 1,217 points overtaking Talor Battle, who had 1,209 points. PSU is 9-1 ATS in road games facing teams who attempt 21 or more 3-point shots-per-game on the season after 15 games have been played in games played over the last two seasons. From the predictive side of things, the Lions are 45-12-5 ATS covering the number by an average of 8.1 points when scoring 75 or more points and shooting a minimum of 45% from the field; 20-4-2 ATS for 80% winning bets over the last three seasons |
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02-28-20 | Washington State v. Washington -9 | Top | 78-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Washington State vs Washington
9:00 pm est, 02-28-20 NCAAM 7-star best bet titan on the Washington Huskies The Huskies have three regular-season games remaining, starting with tonight’s at home matchup against a Washington State team that has been outscored by an average of 12.3 points during its current four-game losing streak. Washington sits in last place in the pac-12 standings, but the huskies could still be a dangerous opponent that none of the teams atop the standings wants to face in the conference tournament. The Huskies head into Friday’s game looking to build on their dominating performance from last Saturday, when they snapped a nine-game losing streak with an 87-52 win over California. Coach Mike Hopkins remains optimistic about his squad, which boasts two of the top freshmen in the country in Isaiah Stewart and Jaden McDaniels. However, the pair have been unable to step up and have gone 2-11 since point guard quade green was ruled academically ineligible. Forward 6-9, 250-pound stewart averages 16.9 points, 8.5 rebounds while shooting 56.2 percent from the field to lead the team. Stewart owns the school freshman records for blocks (61) and rebounds (239). The washington defense was stifling holding cal to 11 field goals and 24 percent shooting. The Washington freshman class includes guard Marcus Tsohonis, who made three 3-pointers and scored 11 points against California and has averaged 9.8 points and 2.3 assists in his last six games. Here are a few tip-ins. WSU is a near-imperfect 1-9 ats in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last two seasons; 0-6 ats in road games off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last two seasons; 3-14 ats (-12.4 units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers over the last two seasons; 1-10 ats after four straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers over the last two seasons. From the predictive side things, the following historical precedents match the overall summarized projections produced by the machine learning tools. WSU is 1-10 ats in games in which they shot 42% or lower and the gasme tempo was on the fast side in which WSU shot 65 to 70 field goals attempts. R |
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02-28-20 | Mavs v. Heat -4 | Top | 118-126 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
Dallas vs Miami 8:05 PM EST 2-28-20
From the predictive side of things, the Heat are 78-10-0 ATS for 89% winning bets and have covered the spread by an average of 11.6 points when they have scored 111 points, had five or more double-digit scorers, and had a better assist-to-turnover ratio by a margin of at least 0.5; 16-2 ATS last two seasons for 89% winning bets. |
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02-28-20 | Davidson v. Dayton -10.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
Davidson vs Dayton 7:00 PM EST, February 28, 2020
The Flyers are an outstanding 12-2 ATS when facing fundamentally sound ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game over the last two seasons. On the predictive side of things, the Flyers are 24-1 SU and 18-5 ATS in games in which they shot between 49 and 54% form the field and scored at least 73 points in games played over the last five seasons. |
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02-27-20 | Oregon State +10 v. Oregon | Top | 54-69 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Oregon State vs No. 14 Oregon 11:00 PM EST 2-27-20
Oregon is just 2-9 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons; 2-10 ATS in home games off a close road win of three or fewer points. From the predictive e side of things, the Beavers are 12-4 ATS for 75% winning bets in road games when they have shot 45% or better form the field and had the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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02-27-20 | Lakers v. Warriors +10 | Top | 116-86 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Lakers vs Golden State 10:35 PM EST, February 27, 2020
Plus, Lebron scored 40 points in their win over the Pelicans and their star Zion. Lebron’s team is just 1-12-1 ATS in games following one in which he scored 40 or more points and is now facing an opponent that has won fewer than 35% of their games on the season. |
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02-27-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan -6 | Top | 81-74 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
Wisconsin vs Michigan
7:00 PM EST, 02-27-20
A huge matchup in the Big Ten Conference for both teams. The Wolverines started out scoring hot winning their first seven games in dominating fashion then went through a significant amount of adversity and now have responded with five consecutive wins and covered in all five games. They were ranked No. 4 in the country in the December 2 AP poll and were not ranked in the January 20th poll. After four weeks of not appearing in the Top-25, they earned the 19th ranked slot in this week’s poll. Teams that have won four out five ATS and are ranked, but were not ranked the previous week and installed as a conference favorite are 21-14-2 ATS for 60% and more important for Michigan is that those teams have gone 32-5 SU winning the games by an average of 10 points. Here is a situational betting system that supports the Wolverines in this matchup and has earned a 75-38-2 ATS for 65% ATS winners last five seasons and has an excellent ‘p’ value. Send me a direct message @JohnRyanSports1 if you are interested in learning what and how the ‘p value is used in combinatorial algorithms. Make bets on home favorites of 3 to 9.5 points that are coming off an upset win over a conference foe and in a game involving both teams with win percentages between 60 and 80% on the season. From the predictive side things, the following historical precedents match the overall summarized projections produced by the machine learning tools. Michigan is 53-0 SU and 34-7-1 ATS covering by an average of 9 points in home games in which they held their opponent to less than 40% shooting and they made 25 or more field goals in games played since 2007. |
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02-26-20 | Celtics v. Jazz -5 | Top | 114-103 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Boston vs Utah 10:35 PM EST, February 26, 2020
The Jazz is 172-23-4 ATS for 88% winning bets in games in which they shot 50% or better form the field and scored at least 111 points and had the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. Ryan’s NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan John Ryan has a 7-Star Titan release in the NBA that is backed by a power-query betting system that has earned a terrific 83% winning record and a predictive metric that us 172-23-4 ATS for 88% winning bets. |
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02-26-20 | CS-Northridge +1.5 v. Long Beach State | Top | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
CS-Northridge vs Long Beach State 10:00 PM EST 2-25-20
The Matadors are a vastly better ball-handling team and rank 55th in the country with a 1.155 assist-to-turnover ratio while LBST ranks 344th with a terrible 0.653 ATR ratio. From the predictive side of things, the Matadors are 20-8 ATS for 71.4% wins when they have forced an opponent into 15 or more turnovers and had the better, more efficient, assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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02-26-20 | Furman +4 v. NC-Greensboro | Top | 81-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
Furman vs UNC-Greensboro
7:00 PM EST, 02-26-20
Huge matchup in the Southern Conference tonight when the Furman Paladins travel to take on the UNC-Greensboro Spartans. The Paladins are 13-3 in conference play and trail conference-leading East Tennessee State Buccaneers by one-game. The Spartans are tied in the conference standings with the Paladins in a three-team race down the stretch to win the regular season conference championship. ICYMI: Paladins refers to the knights of Charlemagne's Court who were men of courage and daring, persons of "outstanding worth or quality who are firm in support of some cause or objective. Not bad for a sports team. The Spartans have been scorching hot winning their last six games and 11 of their last 12 games. However, they have shot poorly in the last three games making just 37% of their shots in a 67-55 win at Mercer and 36.4% shooting in their last game where they defeated VMI 71-68 and failed to cover the spread as 9.5 point road favorites. The Paladins have been equally as hot winning seven of their last eight games with the loss occurring on the road against conference-leading E-Tenn-State. Here is a situational betting system that supports the Paladins in this matchup and has earned a solid 52-25-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record for 67% wins since 2006 and 24-9-1 ATS for 73% wins since 2015. So, the requirements are to play on road underdogs including ‘pick’ that are revenging a home loss and with the opponent coming off two close wins of five or fewer points against conference rivals. From the predictive side things, the following historical precedents match the overall summarized projections produced by the machine learning tools. Furman is 27-17 ATS for 61.4 wins in games in which they took between 54 and 62 shots; 7-3 ATS for 70% when they have allowed 64 to 74 points in games played over the last three seasons; 22-6 ATS for 79% winning bets in road games in which they had the better, more efficient, assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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02-25-20 | Bucks v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Toronto 7:35 PM EST, February 24, 2020
The Raptors have won 17 of their past 18 games and the Bucks have won 17 of their last 19 games. The Bucks though are playing their third game in four days and that is a huge disadvantage for them as visitors tonight. The Raptors are 39-22-1 ATS for 64%, which is the best record in the NBA, when playing against good passing teams that are averaging 23 or more assists-per-game in games played over the past two seasons. They are also a solid 25-13 ATS for 65.8% winners. Which is also best in the NBA, playing against teams that average 23 or more APG and are making 46% or more of their field goal attempts in games played over the last two seasons. Toronto is also coming off their largest margin of victory in franchise history (46) with their drubbing of the Indiana Pacers 127-81 this past Sunday. This puts them into an excellent betting system that has earned a solid 36-17 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on home teams that are lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and are coming off a game in which they allowed 85 or fewer points. If we add the tightener to return games from the database that had lines within two points of ‘pick’ the record increases to 20-7 for 74% winning bets. |
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02-25-20 | Dayton v. George Mason +12 | Top | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
Dayton vs George Mason 7:00 PM EST 2-25-20
The Patriots are a solid 25-12 ATS when facing elite shooting teams making at least 48% of their shots on the season. Dayton is just 6-18 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last three seasons; 11-22 ATS after three straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last three seasons. Patriots are a terrific 10-2 ATS after two straight games where they attempted 12 or free throws |
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02-25-20 | Iowa +8.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
Iowa vs Michigan State
7:00 PM EST, 02-25-20 This is a matchup that has been dominated by the Michigan State Spartans, who have won four consecutive games and 13 of the last 15 dating back to the 2011 season. That translates into an 11-2 straight-up (SU) mark and 9-4 against-the-spread (ATS) in favor of the Spartans. The last time the Hawkeyes defeated the Spartans was a road victory in East Lansing by the final score of 76-59 and with the Hawkeyes covering the spread by 26 points as a 9-point underdog. This will mark the third game that both teams were ranked in the Top-25 AP poll and the last two games were both won and covered by the Spartans. In the first meeting this season the Spartans defeated Iowa on the road 82-67 and covered the spread as 5-point favorites and the score stayed ‘UNDER’ the posted total of 156 points. Prior to that game, the Spartans defeated the Hawkeyes at home 90-68 and covered the spread as 11-point favorites on December 3, 2018. Note that when ranked teams are playing each other in conference matchups and the team that is ranked higher (better) in the polls is an underdog of at least 7.5 points they have sported a terrible 12-48 SU mark for 20%, but have earned a solid 37-23 ATS record for 38% winning tickets since 2006. Adding on this data theme, the Spartans are coming off a big 86-65 dominating win over Nebraska and shot51.6% from the field. So, take the aforementioned string of parameters and add the favored team, Spartans, coming off a game in which they shot better than 50% form the field and they turn into a money-burning 5-13 ATS for just 28% winning bets. Now, Iowa has won back-to-back games and shot 56% from the field in their demolition of Ohio State by an 85-76 final score. If we take the aforementioned parameters and substitute the opponent, Iowa, shooting over 50% in their last game, the result is that the favored team goes 1-6 ATS. It gets worse for Michigan State too. I’ll summarize the parameters that we have been working on to make sure the final team-specific trend is crystal clear for all of us. Favorites of at least 7.5 points that are playing an opponent that is ranked higher than them in the most recent AP poll and the opponent is coming off a win are an imperfect 0-12 ATS and failing to cover the spread by an average of 14.6 points. So, I think I will be on Iowa tonight. I also recommend splitting this wager into two parts consisting of 80% of your 7-Star betting amount placed using the line and the remaining 20% placed using the money line.
The money line is priced at about +300 and with the 80/20 rule in place serves to optimize the total rate of return for this betting opportunity. For example if you bet $100-per-star then 80% of $700 is $560, which is placed on the line and then 20% of $700 is $140 using the +300 money line. So, if Iowa loses by less than eight points you win the ATS wager, but lose the money line wager for a net gain of $420. If Michigan wins by nine or more points, you will lose both bets and a total of $700 just as you would have betting all $700 on the line. If Iowa does pull off the upset, you win the ATS wager of $560 and win the money line wager of $420 (3*$140) for a grand total of $980.
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02-24-20 | Oklahoma State +14.5 v. Kansas | Top | 58-83 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
Oklahoma State vs kansas
9:00 PM EST, 02-24-20 Kansas is coming off a huge win over then=No.1 ranked and conference rival Baylor Bears and the letdown factor is in play here. Teams that have defeated the No 1 ranked team in the nation on their court and then return home are 5-15 ATS including 1-8 ATS for 12% when installed as double-digit favorites. From the predictive side of things, the Cowboys are 7-3 ATS as an underdog and making at least 77% of their free throw attempts and getting a minimum of 36 rebounds. The Cowboys are 7-0 ATS installed as double digit dogs and scoring 75 or more points. |
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02-24-20 | Wolves +13.5 v. Mavs | Top | 123-139 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Dallas 8:35 PM EST, February 24, 2020
From the predictive side, the Timberwolves are 31-9 ATS as a double-digit road underdog and making 45% of their shot attempts and 37.5% of their 3-point shot attempts. |
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02-24-20 | Louisville +3 v. Florida State | Top | 67-82 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
Louisville vs Florida State
7:00 PM EST 2-24-20
A matchup of two ranked teams with the home team ranked higher and both teams ranked in the Top-10 in the polls and favored by less than three points are 5-12 ATS for 29% wins. From the predictive side of things, Louisville is 19-2 SU and 17-4 ATS for 81% wins covering the spread by an average of 11 points in road games when they have made at least 43% of their shots from beyond the arc and made at least 27 field goals. |