|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|01-28-20||Purdue +3.5 v. Rutgers||Top||63-70||Loss||-115||7 h 26 m||Show|
Purdue vs Rutgers
8:00 PM EST, Tuesday, January 28, 2020
NCAAM 10-Star Titan Bet on the Purdue Boilermakers
The opponent tonight is second in the Big-Ten in scoring defense and they are going to put up a much bigger test than Nebraska provided. Purdie’s head coach Matt Painter called his team out prior to their dominating win over the Wisconsin Badgers in which they outrebounded them 42-16 and had a massive 19-2 advantage in second chance points. I belevie the Boilermakers will play another overwhelming game and leave Piscataway, NJ with the outright win.
From the predictive side of things, the Knights are 34-80 ATS in games in which they have shot under 30% form beyond the arc; 26-52 ATS when they have made 65 to 70% of their free throw shots.
Purdue is 37-5 SU (88%) and winning the game by an average of 22.2 points in games in which they held the opponent to less than 30% shooting and had 40 or more rebounds and had more rebounds than the opponent; 35-4 SU since 2010; 6-2 SUATS when on the road.
|01-28-20||Villanova -3 v. St. John's||Top||79-59||Win||100||2 h 41 m||Show|
Villanova vs St. Johns
A Few Tip-Ins
· The Wildcats are 22-11 ATS when facing winning teams that are outscoring their opponents by four or more points-per-game after 15 or games have been played over the last three seasons.
· The Wildcats are 33-15 ATS after having won eight or more of their last 10 games spanning the last three seasons.
· The Wildcats are 13-3 ATS coming off a road win spanning the last three seasons.
The NCAA Basketball Best Bet: Villanova Wildcats -3.5 (-110)
|01-26-20||San Diego State v. UNLV +7||Top||71-67||Win||100||4 h 39 m||Show|
San Diego State vs UNLV
NCAAM 7-Star Upset Alert on the UNLV Rebels
For the season the Rebels have earned an 11-10 SU mark, 11-10 ATS, and the ‘OVER’ is 11-10. In MWC action the Rebels are a solid 6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS, and the ‘OVER’ has recorded a 5-2 winning record. As a host the Rebels are 9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS, and the ‘UNDER’ is 7-6 for the season.
In their last game, the Rebels lost to the Nevada Wolfpack 86-72 as a 4-point road underdog Wednesday. They shot just 36% from the field and their defense forced only six Wolfpack turnovers.
The Rebels have a balanced scoring attack led by four players averaging at least 11 points-per-game. Their scoring leader is junior guard Amauri Hardy, who is averaging 15.1 points-per-game. Sophomore guard Bryce Hamilton is second on the team in scoring averaging 13.5 points-per-game and was ranked as the 95th best High School player in the country last year. He has been the sixth man coming off the bench and has played well in that role averaging 27 minutes-per-game, shooting 51% on 2-point shots and 31% on three-point shots.
In their loss at Nevada Hamilton had a team-high 26 points on 10-for-23 shooting and in the second to last game against New Mexico he had a team and career-high 35 points on 14-for-19 shooting. He and Hardy must have their best on the court if they are to take down the Aztecs.Are There Any Great Betting Systems?
This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 63-28 ATS record for 69% winning NCAAM picks over the last five seasons. The system requires us to bet on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who have a win percentage between 51 and 60% on the season and is now facing an elite team winning 80% or more of their games on the season and are coming off a home win over a conference rival.
Rebels head coach Otzelberger is 14-2 ATS in home games and facing an elite shooting team that is making at least 47% of their shots and with the game taking place in the second half of the season (after Game 15). I do believe that the Rebels can hang around long enough to have a chance at the end to get the headliner upset win today.
|01-26-20||Michigan State -3 v. Minnesota||Top||70-52||Win||100||3 h 46 m||Show|
Michigan State vs Minnesota
MSU is 24-6-1 ATS when facing teams, who like to shoot the ‘three’ and average 21 or more of them per game in games played over the past two seasons.
From the predictive side of things, MSU is 113-3 SU winning by an average of 24 points-per-game and 80-21-2 ATS for 79% and covering the spread by an average of 7 points-per-game since 2006; 40-10 ATS for 80% winners since 2015; 5-1 ATS this season.
|01-26-20||South Florida +13 v. Houston||Top||49-68||Loss||-110||2 h 8 m||Show|
South Florida vs Houston
2:00 PM EST, Sunday, January 26, 2020
NCAAM 7-Star Titan Bet on the Sputh Florida Bulls
This situational power-query has 44-18-1 ATS record for 72% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams that are struggling three-point shooting teams making 32% or fewer of those shot attempts and are coming off two consecutive games allowing a shootng percentage of 38% or lower and now facing a decent team that is making between 32 and 37% of their 3-point shot attempts.
From the predictive side of things, the Bulls are 14-4-1 ATS (78%) when they have shot at least 30% from beyond the arc, at least 40% overall from the field, and at least 65% form the free throw line as double-digit underdogs.
|01-25-20||Kentucky v. Texas Tech -3.5||Top||76-74||Loss||-107||5 h 28 m||Show|
Kentucky vs Texas Tech
6:00 PM EST, Saturday, January 25, 2020
NCAAM 7-Star Titan Bet on the Texas Tech Red Raiders
From the predictive side of things, the Red Raiders are 25-10 ATS for 71% winners when they have made at least seven 3-point shot attempt, show 35% or better from beyond the arc, and made at least 80% of their free throw attempts since 2006 including 10-0 ATS and covering by an average of 12 points over the last three seasons.
|01-25-20||BYU v. San Francisco +3||Top||82-83||Win||100||4 h 11 m||Show|
BYU vs San Francisco
The SF Dons are a solid 58-20-2 ATS when they have scored 77 or more points and their opponents failed to shoot better than 75% from the foul line in games played since 2006
|01-25-20||Belmont v. Austin Peay +1.5||Top||78-86||Win||100||6 h 55 m||Show|
Belmont vs Austin Peay
From the predictive side of things, Austin Peay is 12-2 ATS when they have made 79% or more of their free throw attempts in game splayed over the last two season. They are 9-2 ATS in games in which they had 10 to 13 turnovers in games played over the last two seasons.
|01-25-20||LSU v. Texas +1.5||Top||69-67||Loss||-105||3 h 21 m||Show|
LSU vs Texas
2:00 PM EST, Saturday, January 25, 2020
NCAAM 7-Star Titan Bet on the Texas Longhorns
From the predictive side of things, the Texas Longhorns are 25-6 straighht-up (SU) and 20-9-1 against-the spread (ATS) when making 40% or more of their 3-point shots and containing an opponent to63 to 70 points in game splayed since 2006.
LSU is a horrid 2-21 SU and 2-21 ATS when they have allowed an opponent to make 40% or more of their 3-point shot attempts and scored between 64 and 70 points in game splayed since 2006.
|01-25-20||Illinois +4 v. Michigan||Top||64-62||Win||100||1 h 49 m||Show|
No 21 Illinois vs Michigan
NCAAM 7-Star Upset Alert on the Illinois Fighting Illini
The pressure of being a head coach in a Big Five Conference is weighing more and more on the broad shoulders of Michigan head coach Juwan Howard. He is not on the hot seat and is given the benefit of the doubt as having been a member of the legendary Michigan Fab-5 team and having had a solid NBA career. However, his team has lost four of their last five games and the last three straight-up (SU) and against-the spread (ATS).
The Michigan defense has been the problem as they have allowed 48% or higher shooting four of the last five opponents. Only their 84-78 win over Purdue - the only one of the last five – they did hold the Boilermakers to 41% shooting. Problem there is that it was Purdue missing wide open shots especially in the paint area.
The Wolverine offense has been a steady meltdown over the last stretch of games. In their shocking loss to Penn State (We had Penn State in this matchup) they shot a horrid 35% from the field while Penn State was able to light it up from beyond the arc and also in the paint areas to shoot 48% form the field.
Coach Howard appears to be stubborn in focusing on defending the perimeter and 3-point shooters, which they have done well. However, this stretches his defense and allows opposing big men to get the fall in open space against one defender.
In this matchup. Illinois likes to get a high-percentage shot as close to the rim as possible. They rank 316th of the 353 Division-1 programs in the country attempting an average of 17.5 3-point-shots-per-game. The Illini rank 69th making 52% of their 2-point shot attempts. So, it is still a pick your poison situation for the Wolverines. If they pack the paint, Illinois will adjust and look for shots near the 3-point shot line and not necessarily beyond it if the Wolverines pack the paint in a zone defense.
Even though the Illini have struggled from beyond the arc, they have talented shooters than can bury open shots from that range.
Illinois head coach Underwood is a perfect 8-0 ATS in road games and is coming off two consecutive wins against conference rivals.
Illinois is 58-11-3 ATS for 84% winning bets when they have made at least 45% of their shot attempts and had at least five more rebounds then the opponent in game splayed since 2006.
|01-24-20||Niagara v. Monmouth -7.5||Top||71-82||Win||100||3 h 41 m||Show|
Niagara vs Monmouth
7:00 PM EST, Thursday, January 24, 2020
NCAAM 7-Star Titan Bet on the Monmouth Hawks
I will get right to the team-specific trends for this game.
The Hawks are 10-2 against-the-spread in home games and facing a struggling team that is winning between 20 and 40% of their games in game splayed over the last three seasons. All of these games returned by the database occurred in the second-half (after Game 15) of each season.
From the predictive side of things, the Hawks are projected to shoot between 40 and 45% from beyond the arc. The Purple Eagles are just 18-32-2 ATS when they have allowed an opponent to make between 40 and 45% of their 3-point shots in games played since 2006.
The Hakws are 26-11 ATS for 70% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and maek at least 40% of their 3’s.
The Purple Eagles are a miserable 17-69-2 ATS for 20% when they have allowed 75 points and 40% and higher shooting from beyond the arc in game splayed since 2006 and even worse 12-57-1 ATS for 17% in games played since 2010.
|01-23-20||Drexel v. Northeastern -7.5||Top||52-85||Win||100||8 h 9 m||Show|
Drexel vs Northeastern
7:00 PM EST, Thursday, January 23, 2020
NCAAM 10-Star Titan Bet on the Northeastern Huskies
This situational power-query betting system has earned a stout 49-24 against-the-spread (ATS) record for 67% winners spanning the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play on home teams, who are facing an opponent coming off three or more consecutive wins and with both teams sporting win percentages between 51 and 60% on the season.
When the game identified pits two conference foes against each other the record soars to 42-15-1 ATS and 74% winning bets including a 39-12 ATS subset for 77% winning bets when the team is a conference matchup as a favorite.
The Drexel Dragons are a money-burning 2-11 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog spanning the last three seasons.
The Huskies are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS after playing two consecutive road games spanning the last two seasons.
Dragons head coach is a miserable 3-20 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog.
From the predictive side of things, the Huskies are projected to shoot 50% or better from the field and score a minimum of 80 points. In past games where the Huskies have met or exceeded these performance measures has earned them a 43-2 SU record winning the games by an average of 12. 4 points and a 32-8-1 ATS record good for 80% winners and has covered the spread by an average of 9 points.
|01-22-20||Fresno State +5 v. Colorado State||Top||68-86||Loss||-105||3 h 2 m||Show|
Fresno State vs Colorado State
From the predictive side of things, all these outcomes match the projections for this game and for Fresno State to be an easy winning bet tonight.
FSU is 9-1 ATS in road games where they forced 10 to 13 turnovers in game splayed over the past two seasons.
CSU is 4-18 ATS when they have made 64 to 70% of their free-throw attempts in a game played over the last three seasons.
CSU is 5-17 ATS in games in which they score between 67 and 75 points over the last three seasons.
|01-22-20||Georgia Tech +13.5 v. Louisville||Top||64-68||Win||100||2 h 30 m||Show|
Georgia Tech vs No. 6 Louisville
7:00 PM EST, Wednesday, January 22, 2020
NCAAM 7-Star Titan Bet on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
The Yellow Jackets are looking to end a two-game skid and earn an unlikely upset with against the Cardinals, but they are catching them in a prime letdown situation coming off their win at Duke. They have outshot their last three opponents handily but committed too many turnovers in their pair of losses. They must take care of the ball and keep the turnovers 14 or fewer for them to have a solid opportunity to win the game.
The Yellow Jackets are 8-10 straight-up (SU) and have earned an 11-7 against-the-spread (ATS) record. Teams that have losing records but have a winning ATS mark reflects that the team is outperforming the public’s expectations for the team. In this matchup though, the public will be betting the ranked team coming off a huge win and will disregard the losing record opponent as not relevant. So, we are getting at least four extra points in taking the Yellow Jackets.
The Yellow Jackets are 15-5 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons; 11-3 ATS in road games when facing very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points-per-game over the last two seasons.
|01-22-20||Penn State +5 v. Michigan||Top||72-63||Win||100||1 h 52 m||Show|
Penn State vs Michigan
Hard to believe the misfortune for the Penn State Nittany Lions being voted out of the Top-25 after their huge 90-76 home win over an Ohio State team that earlier in the season had been ranked No. 1in the polls. Such is life in the extraordinarily deep 14-team conference that has the potential to set the record for teams being invited to the NCAA Tournament this season.
I do believe the Lions will have a bit of a bad taste in their mouth and will want to send a message to the voters never to underestimate them again this season. Head Coach Patrick Chambers is doing a masterful job leading his team that ranks 41st of the 353 Division-1 basketball programs in the country in scoring offense averaging 78 points-per-game and 153rd in scoring defense allowing 68 points-per-game on the season.
The Lions play at a slightly faster pace than the Wolverines, which will benefit the Lions in transition off missed Wolverine shots. The Wolverines defense has been shredded over the last 10 games because head coach Juwan Howard is refusing to change his scheme, which is all about defending the perimeter. The Wolverines do an excellent job defending the perimeter, but this has set up the opponent’s big men in the paint against man defense with little chance of getting help to prevent easy looks at the rim.
The Lions have two big men, who will expose the defense in Senior forward Lamar Stevens, who is averaging a team-high 16.6 points-per-game and Senior forward Mike Watkins, who is third on the team averaging 10.1 points-per-game. Watkins will be the go-to guy in the paint as he is making 61% of his shot attempts and rare will launch a 3-point shot.
Here is a situational betting system that has earned a solid 195-122 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The query instructs us to bet on any team in a matchup of excellent teams with both outscoring their opponents by at least 8 points-per-game and with the opponent allowing 75 or more points in each of their last three games.
|01-21-20||Miami-FL v. Duke OVER 149||Top||59-89||Loss||-107||5 h 0 m||Show|
Miami (FLA) vs Duke
Duke is 10-2 ‘OVER’ when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 8-1 ‘OVER’ when facing a good shooting team that is making 45% or more of their shots this season; 7-1 ‘OVER’ when facing good ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game this season; 8-1 OVER after playing four consecutive games as a favorite this season.
From the predictive side of things, all these outcomes match the projections for this game and for the ‘OVER’ to be an easy winning bet tonight.
Miami is 53-6 ‘OVER’ when they allow 80 or more points in a game over since 2007.
Miami is 23-1 ‘OVER’ when they allow 87 or more points in a game since 2007.
DUKE is 83-29 ‘OVER’ when they score 87 or more points in a game since 2007
|01-20-20||Rice +13 v. North Texas||Top||59-79||Loss||-106||7 h 9 m||Show|
Rice vs North Texas
95% on the line and 15% on the money line.
The Owls are catching the Mean Green at the right time for the upset. The Mean Green have won five consecutive games straight-up and against the spread (ATS) and will be thinking this game is a ‘win’ before the game even starts. This is how a team gets caught not being fully prepared for a losing record opponent.
Let is take a close look at this supporting NCAAM betting system that has earned a 70-30 against-the-spread (ATS) record since 2006. The requirements for a bet are to bet on underdogs of 10 or more points after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games and are now facing an opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games.
The Owls allowed 81 points in their most recent loss at Southern Mississippi and this turns out to be good news for the Owls today. Head coach Pera is 17-6-1 ATS in games following one in which his team allowed 80 or more points in his three-year tenure at Rice.
|01-20-20||Texas +9 v. West Virginia||Top||59-97||Loss||-110||6 h 18 m||Show|
Texas vs No 12 West Virginia
7:00 PM EST, Sunday, January 2, 2020
NCAA Basketball Odds: West Virginia -9 (-110)
The Longhorns are 12-5 SU, 6-11 ATS, and the ‘UNDER’ has earned a 9-8 record on the season. They are 2-3 SU and in 7th place in the 10-team Big-12 Conference and cannot afford another loss if they are to contend down the stretch.
The Kansas Jayhawks were in Austin, TX Saturday and had to fight hard to get out of town with a 66-57 win over the Longhorns. The Mountaineers forgot how to play defense in their 84-68 road loss to Kansas State on Saturday and failed to cover the spread as a 6-point favorite. The loss was by far the worst one of the seasons and makes it difficult for them or any team to turn things around with only a day of rest between games.How have These Teams Done H2H?
Since 2013, the Longhorns are 7-9 SU and 4-11-1 ATS when facing the Mountaineers. The ‘UNDER’ has earned a 10-6 record in these meetings. Texas has shot 45% from the field and averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds while the Mountaineers have struggled shooting 39% from the field and have been outscored on average in each half against the Longhorns.Who Will Have the Big game for the Longhorns?
I will start with the Longhorn defense, who ranks 25th-best of the 353 Division-1 basketball programs allowing 61.2 points-per-game and is better than the Mountaineers scoring defense.
I believe you will see sophomore guard Andrew Jones, who attended MacArthur High School in Irving, TX, have a break-out type game tonight.
WVU is a money-burning 2-10 ATS when facing below average foul drawing teams attempting fewer than 18 free throws-per-game after 15 or more games have been played in each of the last three seasons.
Head coach Bob Huggins is 13-29 ATS after covering five or six of their last seven games against the spread as the coach of the Mountaineers.
|01-19-20||Loyola-Chicago v. Illinois State +4||Top||62-50||Loss||-110||7 h 2 m||Show|
Loyola-Illinois vs Illinois State
Loyola is a money-burning 8-21 ATS after playing two consecutive games as a favorite spanning games played over the last two seasons.
Illinois State does not shoot well from the free throw line, but they do shoot well from beyond the arc ranking 58th in the nation consisting of 353 Division-1 programs with a 36% 3-point shooting percentage. From the predictive side of my tools note that Loyola is 2-10 ATS for 17% when their opponent has made between 38% and 45% of their 3-point shot attempts.
|01-19-20||Davidson v. Fordham +8.5||Top||74-62||Loss||-105||4 h 39 m||Show|
Davidson vs Fordham
Davidson is just 2-10 ATS when facing teams that average 14 or fewer turnovers this season and 2-9 ATS after a game in which they failed to cover the spread this season.
|01-18-20||Virginia v. Georgia Tech||Top||63-58||Win||100||11 h 14 m||Show|
Virginia vs Georgia Tech
The Cavaliers have uncharacteristically lost three consecutive games and need to right the ship now. From the predictive side of things, G-Tech is a miserable 6-39 straight-up (SU) and 13-32 against-the-spread (ATS) when their opponent has committed the same number or fewer turnovers, shot 43% or better, and made at least 75% of their free throw attempts including 2-29 SU and 11-20 ATS against conference foes.
Virginia is 67-6 SU and 54-13-1 ATS when they committed the same number or fewer turnovers, shot 43% or better, and made at least 75% of their free throw attempts including 35-4 SU and 32-6-1 ATS against conference foes.
|01-18-20||Nevada +13 v. San Diego State||Top||55-68||Push||0||10 h 30 m||Show|
Nevada vs No. 6 San Diego State
The 68-67 victory over the Wyoming Cowboys was the 598th in 29 seasons for head coach Steve Alford who needs two more to become the 16th active NCAA Division I head coach with 600 career wins. Jalen Harris, a 6-5 transfer from Louisiana Tech and Duncanville High School, leads the team in scoring averaging 18.4 points-per-game, which ranks second in the Mountain West, and rebounding averaging 6.2 rebounds-per-game and twice has scored 31 points in a game. Senior guards Jazz Johnson (17.1 PPG) and Lindsey Drew (12.1 PPG) also are averaging in double figures with Drew also averaging a team-best 4.5 assists. This group can play against the Aztecs and I do believe this game will be a single-digit nail-biter type.
The Wolfpack is 28-15-1 ATS when committing between 10 and 15 turnovers and shooting at least 40% form the field.
|01-18-20||Toledo +6 v. Akron||Top||99-89||Win||100||5 h 53 m||Show|
Toledo vs Akron
2:00 PM EST, Friday, January 18, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Toledo Rockets
This situational betting system has earned a consistent 139-92-7 ATS record for 60% winning bets over the last five seasons. The system instructs us to bet on any team (in this case Toledo) after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games and are now facing an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games.
Where this gets quite tasty is when the team to bet on is facing an opponent that allowed a shooting percentage of 25% or lower, the record then goes to 11-4 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2013.
|01-18-20||Baylor v. Oklahoma State +6.5||Top||75-68||Loss||-110||4 h 32 m||Show|
No. 2 Baylor vs. Oklahoma State
From the predictive side of things, the following results match the summary projections produced by the machine learning tools. The Cowboys are 79-9 straight-up (SU) and 61-11-4 against-the-spread (ATS) for 85% winning bets when they have had the same number or fewer turnovers as their opponent, shot 43% of better from the field, and shot better than 75% from the free throw line. Baylor is 12-34 SU and 12-30-1 ATS for 29% when they have allowed the trio of aforementioned performance measures.
Here is a supporting betting system that has earned a 43-16 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on any underdog after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points in total spanning their last five games and are facing an opponent that has gone over the total by at least 54 points spanning their last 10 games.
|01-17-20||Dayton -6.5 v. St. Louis||Top||78-76||Loss||-110||2 h 30 m||Show|
Dayton vs St. Louis
7:00 PM EST, Friday, January 17, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Dayton Flyers
The St. Louis Billikins are a solid ball handling team, but guess what? Dayton is 8-1 ATS when facing an excellent ball handling team that is averaging 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game this season. The Dayton Flyers are also 9-2 ATS when facing an opponent that is outscoring their opponents by an average of at least four points-per-game this season.
The Billikens are just 16-43 ATS after a game where they made 20% of their 3-point shots or worse since 1997.
From the predictive side of things, the Billikens are 1-9 ATS when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game over the last three seasons. Davidson is 28-5-1 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 8.6 points-per-game when scoring more than 75 points and shooting between 50 and 53% from the field in games played since 2006
|01-16-20||Colorado v. Arizona State +1.5||Top||68-61||Loss||-110||5 h 5 m||Show|
Colorado vs Arizona State
The Arizona State Sun Devils will look to avenge a loss to their Conference foe Colorado Buffalos form the first game of the year and one that does not ocunt in the PAC-12 Conference standings. The game was played in Shanghai, China on November 8 and was part of the PAC-12 China initiative program. This game will count and it will count big.Here are a few Tip Ins
· The Buffalos are just 2-12 against-the-spread (ATS) in road games and facing an opponent, who loves the 3-point shot and averages 21 or more 3-point shot attempts per game in game splayed over the last two seasons.
· The Sun Devils are a near-perfect 9-1 ATS when facing an outstanding rebounding team that has averaged 7 or more rebounds-per-game than the opponent in games played over the last three seasons.
· Buffalos are 5-19 ATS in road games after one or more consecutive wins in games played over the last three seasons.
From the predictive side of things, the Buffalos are 1-11 SU and 0-12 ATS when getting 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game played over the past three seasons.
|01-16-20||Jacksonville State v. Eastern Illinois -4.5||Top||69-70||Loss||-109||8 h 42 m||Show|
Jacksonville State vs Eastern Illinois
8:30 PM EST, Wednesday, January 16, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Eastern Illinois Panthers
Two losing record teams square off in this matchup and I like the home team in the Eastern Illinois Panthers tonight. The Panthers have lost five straight games straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS) and teams that are in this situation have earned a solid 57-29 SU and 49-35-2 ATS record good for 58% winning bets in home games and not favored by more than seven points in games played since 2006. If the team is facing a conference foe the record improves to 53-27 SU and 46-32-2 ATS for 59% winners since 2006 including a robust 23-10-2 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2014.
From the predictive side of things, The Panthers are expected to have at least four fewer turnovers and will shoot at least 45% from the field. They are 23-2 ATS in home games when they have achieved this pair of performance measures dating back to the 2006 season.
|01-15-20||Kentucky v. South Carolina +6||Top||78-81||Win||100||2 h 47 m||Show|
Kentucky vs South Carolina
The South Carolina Gamecocks are going to have their hands full if they want to end their three-game losing skid with a win over the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats in this SEC matchup. The Wildcats are riding a four-game win streak but are going to have to play their best against a conference foe that is desperate for a win.
The Wildcats are 3-0 straight-up (SU) and atop the SEC Conference standings. They are led by four players in freshman guard Tyrese Maxey, sophomore guard Ashton Hagans, junior forward Nick Richards, and sophomore guard Immanuel Quickley that are averaging 13 or 14 points per game this season. This has given head coach John Calipari a rare season in which he had balanced scoring and did not rely on one or two future lottery picks to score points and win games.
I have been impressed with the progress made by Hagans, who was one assist and one rebound shy of a triple-double in the 76-67 home win over Alabama this past Saturday. His inexperience does show in games as evidenced by committing a team-high four turnovers and is averaging a team-high of 3.3 turnovers-per-game. So, you can count on the Gamecocks looking to exploit that weakness and create turnovers, which can then lead to high percentage fast break attacks to the rim.
The Gamecocks will win this game with their defense and cannot afford to get into a shooting match with the Wildcats. They have five players averaging nine or more points-per-game and led by sophomore guard A.J. Lawson, who is averaging a team-high 14.5 points-per-game. Senior forward Maik Kotsar is coming off a terrific game scoring 17 points in their loss to the Tennessee Volunteers. He has the physicality at 6-11 and 265 lbs. to dominate the Wildcat defenders. Look for him to score 17 or more points tonight.
Here is a betting system that has earned a stout 45-17 ATS mark for 71% winners spanning the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a close loss by three or fewer points to a conference rival and now facing an opponent off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite.
From the predictive side of things, the Wildcats are 8-39-1 for 17% ATS in games in which they allowed between 67 and 75 points and they shot 45% or lower in the game.
|01-14-20||TCU v. West Virginia UNDER 127.5||Top||49-81||Loss||-110||4 h 7 m||Show|
TCU vs West Virginia
9:00 PM EST, January 13, 2020
WVU is a near-perfect 10-1 UNDER when facing a good defensive team sporting a shooting percentage defense of 42% or lower in games played this season. Also, 11-1 UNDER when facing winning opponents that are out scorig their opposition by 4 or more points-per-game this season. Not to mention that WVU is a perfect 9-0 UNDER when playing only their second game in a week in games played this season.
|01-14-20||Ole Miss +11.5 v. Florida||Top||55-71||Loss||-108||3 h 35 m||Show|
Ole Miss vs Florida
7:00 PM EST, Tuesday, January 14, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Mississippi Rebels
What I like about this match-up is that the Rebels are the better ball handling team and they are the more consistent playing team. I did not say the better team, but when playing on a double-digit dog, performance variances increase in meaning. So, with the Rebels getting 11 points and perhaps more as game time approaches they are the better team.
The Rebels rank 72nd in the nation of the 353 Division-1 programs with a 1.093 assist-to-turnover ratio (ATR) while the Gators rank 172nd with a 0.951 ratio. An ATR below 1.000 means that the team commits more turnovers than assists and above 1.000 the opposite with the team getting more assists than committing turnovers.
Here is an excellent betting system that has earned a 45-23-1 for 65% ATS winning bets since 2007. Play on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points that have gone UNDER the total by 24 or more points over their last three games and are facing an opponent that is coming off a game that they failed by to cover by at least 18 points.
Gators are 1-9 ATS in home games when facing good ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game in game splayed spanning the last two seasons.
From the predictive side, the Rebels are 44-12 ATS for 79% winning bets in games played in which they attempted between 55 and 60 shots and shot at least 45% from the field.
|01-12-20||Niagara v. Iona -8||Top||70-69||Loss||-119||1 h 56 m||Show|
Niagara vs Iona
1:00 PM EST, Sunday, January 12, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Iona Gaels
Two of the below average MAAC teams square off this afternoon and the Iona Gales are projected to win the game by double digits over the Niagara Purple Eagles.
This situational betting system has won 58% ATS over the last five seasons producing a 185-137-8 ATS record. Bet on a team after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games and is facing an opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points in total spanning their two games.
If the opponent has had two consecutive games where they and their opponent played under the total by 12 or more points in each game the record moves to 68-39-3 ATS and 64% winning tickets. If our team is playing a home game against a conference foe the system zooms to a 29-11-1 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons.
|01-11-20||Washington State v. Stanford -9.5||Top||62-88||Win||100||4 h 50 m||Show|
Washington State vs Stanford
This situational betting query has earned a solid 82-42-3 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 65% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet on favorites that are consistent offensive teams scoring between 67 and 74 points-per-game and after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less and are now facing an opponent with a good defensive team allowing between 63 and 67 points-per-game.
The WSU Cougars are 4-14 ATS when facing solid shooting teams making at least 45% of their shots over the last two seasons.
From the predictive side, the Cardinal is 19-8 ATS when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game and 10-2 ATS when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last three seasons.
|01-11-20||Binghamton +7.5 v. UMass Lowell||Top||66-85||Loss||-108||3 h 18 m||Show|
Binghamton vs UMASS-Lowell
This situational betting system has earned a 76-34-5 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 69% winning bets since 2006. Place bets on underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points that have gone over the total by 33 or more points in their last five games and in a game between two teams with win percentages between 40 and 49.99% on the season.
I like dogs that are the more consistent team even if the matchup features two teams that rank in the bottom half of the national rankings of 353 Division-1 Basketball programs. Binghamton ranks 199th as compared to a 300th ranking in team consistency. I know what I am getting with Binghamton and I am getting points too.
UMASS-Lowell is 1-8 ATS when facing lower pressure defensive teams forcing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game this season; 5-13 ATS after playing a home game over the last two seasons.
|01-11-20||Texas A&M +4 v. Vanderbilt||Top||69-50||Win||100||3 h 51 m||Show|
Texas A&M vs Vanderbilt
This NCAAM situational betting system has earned a solid 42-25-2 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 63% winning bets since 2006. Bet on underdogs that have gone under the posted totals by 36 or more total points in their last five games and facing an opponent that went over the total by at least six points in each of their last four games.
Commodores have been a money-burning 9-25 ATS when facing good defensive teams like A&M, who are are allowing opponents to shoot less than 42% from the field in games played over the last three seasons.
|01-10-20||Buffalo -1 v. Miami-OH||Top||83-78||Win||100||8 h 9 m||Show|
Buffalo vs Miami (Ohio)
7:00 PM EST, Friday, January 10, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Buffalo Bulls
This is the first release posted to the site today and there will be more plays released throughout the afternoon.
The Bulls rank third in the nation averaging 12.6 offensive rebounds contributing second chance scores to their scoring offense that ranks 36th averaging 77.3 points-per-game.
From the predictive side, Buffalo is 18-5-3 against-the-spread (ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 9.0 points when they have had 45 or more rebounds in a game played since 2006. The Red Hawks are 9-15-1 ATS in faster paced style of games in which they attempt between 62 and 69 shot attempts since 2015.
|01-10-20||Iona +6.5 v. Rider||Top||69-66||Win||100||6 h 10 m||Show|
Iona vs Rider
The Iona Gaels have won only two games on the season, but this may be a matchup where they catch the Rider Broncs knapping and earn a surprising road win. The Gaels are 2-7 SU and 0-8 ATS with one game against Kennesaw State not being lined on the NCAAM odds board.
The Rider Broncs are off to an 8-5 SU record and have covered the spread in six of these games. They have lost three of their last four games and are 2-1 SU in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference.
The Broncs have four players averaging more than 13 points-per-game, but their bench depth is quite weak with the fifth and sixth highest scores on the team average six points-per-game. So, 54 of the teams 73.8 average points-per-game or 73% come from those four starters.
The lack of depth has made it difficult for the Broncs to play consistently and you will see it tonight in this game., The Broncs rank 331st in team consistency rating while the Gaels rank a much better 115th of the 353 Division-1 basketball programs in the country. The Gaels are a bad team, but their game-to-game play is far more consistent than the Broncs and for that reason they have a great shot at the road upset win tonight.
Rider is 2-10 ATS when facing teams who average 33 or less rebounds-per-game on the season over the last two seasons; 55-78 ATS when facing a good free throw shooting team making at least 72% of their free throw attempts.
|01-10-20||Canisius v. Monmouth -4||Top||65-84||Win||100||5 h 50 m||Show|
Canisius vs Monmouth
Monmouth is an excellent situation to get a double-digit win in this matchup against Canisius. Monmouth is 11-2 when making at east 80% of their free throw attempts, attempt more free throws than their opponent and hold the opponent to fewer than 70 points.
Canisius has lost five consecutive games and shot a horrid 28% from the field in their most recent loss to Fairfield. Monmouth has won five of their last six games and have been far more consistent than Canisius.
|01-09-20||Washington State +2 v. California||Top||66-73||Loss||-105||5 h 4 m||Show|
Washington State vs California
California Golden Bears are a money-burning 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 0-6 ATS when facing good free throw shooting teams like the WSU Cougars that are making 72% or more of their free throws attempts this season; 1-7 ATS when facing good teams that are outscoring their opponents by 4 or more points-per-game this season. Moreover, they are a horrid 3-11 ATS when facing excellent ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game over the last three seasons.
|01-09-20||UMKC +2 v. UT-Rio Grande Valley||Top||64-76||Loss||-109||8 h 40 m||Show|
Missouri – Kansas City vs Texas Rio Grande Valley
8:00 PM EST, Thursday, January 9, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on Missouri KC
This is the first release posted to the site today and there will be more plays released throughout the afternoon.
This play is reinforced by a system that has gone 16-4 ATS for 80% winning bets going back to the start of the 2006 season. The requirements are to play on a underdog including pick-em that has covered their last two games as a favorite and are now facing an opponent that has lost at least three consecutive games on the road.
Bet the Missouri – KC Roos over the TRGV Vaqueros as a 7-Star Titan Bet
|01-08-20||Pittsburgh +4.5 v. North Carolina||Top||73-65||Win||100||2 h 50 m||Show|
Pittsburgh vs North Carolina
7:00 PM EST, Wednesday, January 8, 2020
7-Star Best Bet on the Pittsburgh Panthers
This is am upset alert edition of the 7-Star Titan. So, consider making an alternative combination using 80% of your regular size bet on the line and then 20% using the money line. Betting a 7-Star amount on just the line is a solid bet too.
The Panthers are coming off a 69-65 home loss to rival Wake Forest. The news is good for this game as they have earned a 17-5 against-the-spread record (ATS) following a loss to a conference rival as a 6-point or greater favorite.
From the predictive side of things, the Panthers are a solid 22-4 ATS for 85% when they have shot 40% or better from the field, shot 30% or better from beyond the arc, and had a higher field goal percentage than the opponent.
Bet the Pittsburgh Panthers as a 7-Star Titan Bet
|01-07-20||Fresno State +7 v. New Mexico||Top||64-78||Loss||-115||6 h 1 m||Show|
Fresno Staste vs New Mexico
The 13-3 New Mexico Lobos have played a far softer schedule than the 5-10 Fresno State Bulldogs. My metrics rank the Lobos as having played the 224th easiest schedule of the 353 Division-1 programs in the nation. They play offense in a fast paced style and rank 26th in the nation averaging 81 points-per-game. What the Bulldogs play well is defense and I strongly believe they will control the pace of the game, minimize the Lobos second chance scoring opportunities by rebounding well and will have fewer turnovers (based on the machine learning summary)
The Bulldogs have four players averaging 12 points-per-game and they rank second in the Mountain West Conference in 3-point shooting making 40 shots in total for the season. They also have six players exceeding 50% in true shooting percentage, which is an efficiency measure that takes into account 2-points, 3-points, and free throw percentages.
From the predictive side, the Bulldogs are projected to have a 0.7 edge in the assist-to-turnover metric and they are 53-13-1 ATS for 80% winning bets when they have Achieved or exceeded this edge. The assist-to-turnover ration is assists/turnovers and is an excellent measure of a team’s offensive efficiency. A good solid result is to have 2.0 and higher, which is twice as many assists as turnovers.
|01-07-20||Miami-OH +8 v. Bowling Green||Top||76-78||Win||100||3 h 57 m||Show|
Miami (Ohio) vs Bowling Green
A hundred dollar bettor would bet $80 getting eight points and $20 on the money line, which is currently at +300. If the Red Hawks win the game the bettor will profit $80 from the line bet and $60 for the money line bet. If the Red Hawks co er the spread but lose the game then the bettor would profit $80 from line bet, but lose $20 on the money line bet fvor a net profit of $60. I have found that over the course of the season if these dogs win striaght-up (SU) about 33% or more of the game played the money line bets will add significantly to the return-on-investment (ROI).A Few Buzzer Beaters
· Miami (Ohio) is 83-47 against-the-spread (ATS) after failing to cover four or five of their last six games since 2006.
· Bowling Green is an imperfect 0-8 ATS after playing three consecutive games as a favorite the last two seasons.
From the predictive side of things, The Red Hawks are 102-32 SU for 76% wins and 88-25-3 ATS for 78% winning bets since 2006 in games played in which they made at least 42% of their shot attempts and had the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio including 23-1 SU and 15-3 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2017.
|01-06-20||South Carolina State +5.5 v. Morgan State||Top||63-77||Loss||-101||7 h 4 m||Show|
South Carolina State vs Morgan State
7:30 PM EST, Saturday, January 5, 2020
7-Star Wager on the Bulldogs of South Carolina State
The Bears are led by Senior guard Stanley Davis, who attended STEM Academy in Chester, PA, and is averaging team-highs with 13.8 points-per-game and 5.8 rebounds-per-game. Sophomore guard Sheryn Devonish-Prince, Jr is second on the team in scoring averaging 11.1 points-per-game including 3.4 rebounds-per-game. They have solid depth coming off the bench and have 69% of the minutes played and 76% of the points scored back on this year’s team.
The Bulldogs are led by a group of Senior players starting with forward Damani Applewhite, who is averaging a team-highs with 13.2 points-per-game and 6.7 rebounds-per-game. He is averaging 30 minutes-per-game and shooting 51% from the field all of which occur in or close to it. They have six other players averaging seven or more points-per-game and rank 4th in the conference averaging 12 assists-per-game. I like how they move the ball on the offense and work to get the best shot possible in each possession.Here is a Terrific Betting System
This NCAA Basketball betting system has earned a solid 76-33-5 against-the-spread (ATS) record for 70% winning NCAAM picks since 2006. The requirements are to bet on underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points that have gone over the total by 33 or more points in their last five games and in a game between two teams with win percentages between 40 and 49.99% on the season.
Bet the South Carolina State as a 7-Star Titan Bet
|01-05-20||St. John's v. Xavier -8||Top||67-75||Push||0||4 h 24 m||Show|
St. Johns vs Xavier
Here are a few tip-ins:
Xavier is 23-10 ATS 23-10 ATS in home games when facing stout defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage defense of 39% or less.
St. Johns is just 15-31 ATS in road games after a game committing eight or fewer turnovers.
From the predictive side St. Johns is 1-8 ATS in road games when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last three seasons.
|01-04-20||Texas +9 v. Baylor||Top||44-59||Loss||-110||7 h 56 m||Show|
Texas vs Baylor
NCAAM 8:00 PM EST, Saturday, January 4, 2020
7-Star Wager on the Texas Longhorns
Baylor is just 2- 9 against-the-spread in a home game in which the total was between 130 and 139.5 in games played over the last two seasons.
Baylor head coach Drew is 2-12 ATS in home games after leading their last three games by five or more points at the half; 0-6 ATS in home games after playing four consecutive games as favorite.
Based on the predictive summary from the machine learning tools Texas is 29-5 straight-up and 20-7 ATS in games in which they scored 70 or more points, had twice as many assists as turnovers and had the better assist-to-turnover ratio.
|01-04-20||Iowa State +4 v. TCU||Top||79-81||Win||100||5 h 55 m||Show|
Iowa State vs TCU
Here are a few tip-ins:
Iowa State is a solid 7-3 ATS after winning game in which they allowed the opponent a shooting percentage in excess of 50% since 2010.
Iowa State head coach Prohm is 27-14 ATS when facing teams who are called for 17 or less fouls-per-game.
From the predictive side Iowa State is 54-16-3 ATS in games in which they shot 45% or better from the field and made at least 75% of their free throw attempts.
|01-04-20||San Diego v. Santa Clara -6||Top||63-80||Win||100||4 h 56 m||Show|
San Diego vs Santa Clara
If we slice the data to include just home favorites the results improve to a solid 60-35-1 ATS for 63% winning bets.Overtime Buzzer Beaters
· Santa Clara is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS after playing three consecutive home games spanning the last two seasons.
o 6-0 ATS when playing at home.
· Santa Clara head coach Sendek is 10-2 ATS after scoring 75 or more points in two straight games.
Take Santa Clara and bet them as a 7-Star Titan
|01-04-20||Iowa v. Penn State -2.5||Top||86-89||Win||100||5 h 4 m||Show|
Iowa vs Penn State
This situational query has earned a solid 78-46-3 ATS record good for 63% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on neutral and home court favorites between 2.5 and 8.5 points that have been dominating their recent opponents having won their previous game by 24 or more points and the next to last game by at least 18 points. If the team scored 90 or more points in their last game the combined system moves to 44-24-2 ATS for 65% winners since 2015.
Two teams that have opened some fellow Big Ten opponents’ eyes with their surprising success early in the season return to conference play when 25th-ranked Iowa visits No. 21 Penn State at the historic Palestra in Philadelphia. The Nittany Lions started their current four-game winning streak with an upset of then-No. 4 Maryland for their first Big Ten victory of the season. They concluded non-conference action with a 90-59 demolition of Cornell on Sunday and held a team under 60 points for the fifth time this season.
Senior Mike Watkins will provide a stiff challenge for Iowa’s Garza, who is leading the Big Ten in scoring averaging 21.6 points-per-game. The Nittany Lions' big man is coming off his fifth double-double of the season with 19 points and 10 rebounds Sunday. "He definitely is enjoying playing the game of basketball," coach Patrick Chambers told reporters of Watkins, who is 13-of-14 from the floor over his last two games and leads all Big Ten players with 3.5 blocks per game.
Senior forward Lamar Stevens leads the team in scoring (16.4) and ranks second to Watkins on the glass (7.2)
Take Penn State as a 7-Star Titan.
|01-04-20||Georgia +8.5 v. Memphis||Top||65-62||Win||100||5 h 12 m||Show|
Georgia vs Memphis
7-Star Bet on the Georgia Bulldogs
Let us begin with a terrific betting system that has earned a solid 37-13 against-the-spread (ATS) record producing 74% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams as an underdog including ‘pick’ after a game in which they allowed their opponent a 33% or wore shooting percentage and are now facing a home team that has been scorching from the field posting three consecutive games making at least 47% of their shot attempts from the field.
This system has earned a 64-31-1 ATS record over the past 10 seasons.
From the predictive summaries Georgia is 7-2 ATS and 10-0 SU in games in which they score 70 or more points and get 48 or more total rebounds.
Bet the Georgia Bulldogs for a 7-Star Titan Upset Alert
|01-04-20||Indiana +7 v. Maryland||Top||59-75||Loss||-105||5 h 47 m||Show|
Indiana vs Maryland
12:00 PM EST, Saturday, January 4, 2020
7-Star Wager on the Indiana Hoosiers
Let us begin with a situational betting system that has earned a solid and consistent 32-15 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 68.1% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on an underdog after being beaten by the spread by a combined total of 42 or more points over their last five games and is facing an opponent that has gone under the posted total by a combined total of 55 or more points over their last five games.A Few Slam Dunks
· The Hoosiers are 15-5 ATS after two consecutive games in which the ‘UNDER’ bet won in games played over the last three seasons.
· The Terrapins are just 4-13 AZTS after a game in which they shot 78% or better from the charity stripe in games played over the last two seasons.
Hoosier freshman phenom Trayce Jackson-Davis scored 16 of his team-high 20 points in the first half and pulled down six rebounds in the 71-64 loss to Arkansas. Devonte Green knocked down four 3-pointers en route to 14 points while Joey Brunk finished with eight points and a game-high 11 rebounds against the Razorbacks. Look for these two players to have big games and lead the Hoosiers to an easy ATS win and potential upset win over the Terrapins.
|01-03-20||Wisconsin +7.5 v. Ohio State||Top||61-57||Win||100||2 h 8 m||Show|
Wisconsin vs No. 8 Ohio State
The story line in this matchup is on Wisconsin Badger and Ohio State transfer Micah Potter. He is a junior forward that has the size and length to contain the Buckeyes power in the post and paint areas. I think he will outplay junior forward Kaleb Wesson and be a big part of the upset win.
Wesson will have to step up and fill the gap left by junior forward Kyle Young, who is out after having surgery to remove his appendix. Amazingly, he played well, but was extremely sick in the Buckeyes loss to No. 17 West Virginia.
The Badgers may be just 8-5 SU on the season, but they have put together a solid streak winning four of their last five games with impressive wins over the Indiana Hoosiers and Tennessee Volunteers. They have also played the 11thmost difficult schedule of the 353 Division-1 basketball programs. Their defense is among the best in the nation ranking 26th and allowing 60.5 points-per-game on the season.
The Badgers are led by junior forward Nate Reuvers, who is averaging a team-high 14.7 points-per-game and 5-4 rebounds-per-game. The Badgers have excellent depth and experience with 70% of the minutes played and 62% of the scoring returning from last year’s roster.Overtime Buzzer Beaters
· The Badgers are 20-9 ATS in games following back-to-back 20 or more points wins.
· The Badgers are 8-4 ATS after having cover the spread in four or five of their last six games in games played over the last three seasons.
This situational query has earned a respectable 32-11 ATS record good for 74.4% winners over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on a road team that is an average offensive team that is averaging between 67 and 75 points-per-game on the season and after allowing 65 or fewer points in each of their last three games and is now facing an opponent that has a stout defense allowing an average of 63 or fewer points-per-game on the season.
|01-02-20||Oregon v. Colorado||Top||65-74||Win||100||4 h 38 m||Show|
No.4 Oregon vs Colorado
This is a terrific PAC-12 Conference matchup and reflects the depth the conference does have this season. The Oregon Ducks are ranked No. 4 in the country and are a slight favorite to the unranked Colorado Buffalos.
The Buffalos have earned a great start to their season posting 11 wins in 13 games. However, they have done well against-the-spread (ATS) posting a 4-7-1 ATS record for 36% winning bets. Their two losses occurred in back-to-back games against Kansas losing 72-14 and failing to cover as 10.5-point underdogs and next against Northern Iowa by a 79-76 score and were favored by 9.5-points. They are on a current four-game win streak and have covered the spread in three of the last four games.
The Buffalos know how to defeat the Ducks having dominated them 73-51 on February 2 and have earned a 23-6 striaght-up (SU) record since that pivotal win. Although the Ducks have played terrific basketball including a perfect 5-0 SU record in December this is going to be a tough game for them to win.A Few Slam Dunks
· The Buffalos are an outstanding 11-2-1 ATS when hosting an opponent that is averaging 77 or more points-per-game on the season.
· The Buffalos are 17-9 ATS for 65% when dressed as a home dog since 2006.
o 9-3 ATS since 2010.
· The Buffalos are 12-3 SU and 10-4-1 ATS in home games after having won four or five of their last six games since 2017.
|01-01-20||Marquette v. Creighton -3||Top||75-92||Win||100||9 h 58 m||Show|
Creighton vs Marquette
This situational query has earned a solid 77-40-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets Play on dominating elite performing home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are outscoring their opponents by 10 or more PPG and are coming off a game in which they led by 20 or more points at the half.
Creighton is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS in home games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last three seasons.
Sophomore guard Marcus Zegarowski was right on his team-leading scoring mark of 18.5 points by finishing with 19 in the win over Midland. Junior guard Ty-Shon Alexander also scored 19 to bounce back from a season-low five-point performance in a win at Arizona State, and he averages 16.5 points while making 34-of-78 from 3-point range. Junior guard Denzel Mahoney, a transfer who averaged 19.3 points for Southeast Missouri State two seasons ago, is averaging 12.7 points since making his debut for the Bluejays three games ago.
|12-31-19||Butler -4 v. St. John's||Top||60-58||Loss||-111||7 h 36 m||Show|
No. 11 Butler vs St. Johns
The Red Storm will look to push the ball on offense and will look to create many fast break scoring opportunities. The Red Storm ranks 42nd in the nation of the 353 Division-1 basketball programs in scoring offense averaging 80 points-per-game and rank 140th in scoring defense allowing an average of 66.8 points-per-game.
The Bulldogs will look to control the pace of play and keep the Red Storm from getting in sync on the offensive end. Head Coach LaVall Jordan trains his team to think defense first and they have suffocated a team’s offensive power in many of their games. They rank 4th in the country in scoring defense allowing just 53.6 points-per-game. The pace of play is slow as reflected in their 244th ranking in scoring offense averaging 69.2 points-per-game. So, something must give.Team Experience Will Be a Deciding Factor
The Bulldogs are a veteran-led team that has 67% of the minutes played and 65% of the scoring returning this season from the 2018-19 season. The Red Storm returns 36% of the minutes played and 40% of the scoring from last season. Before conference play begins expereince can play a huge role in games and think the Bulldogs have a huge edge in this matchup.Some Tip-Ins
· The Bulldogs are a solid 18-7-1 ATS (72%) after a game in which they held their opponent to 33% or worse shooting in games played since 2010.
o 14-5-1 ATS (74%) following a game they were favored and held the opponent to 33% or worse shooting.
|12-30-19||Tulane v. Memphis -14||Top||73-84||Loss||-110||5 h 52 m||Show|
Tulane vs No. 9 Memphis
This is the opening game for both teams in the AAC Conference schedule.
Take Memphis and lay the paints!
|12-30-19||UT Rio Grand Valley +20 v. Oklahoma||Top||72-91||Win||100||8 h 33 m||Show|
Texas-Rio Grande Valley vs Oklahoma
This is the first time in my life I am betting on the Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros. You may not have even heard of them, but they have run a collegiate-level basketball program for 52 seasons, are a current member of the WAC, and have been members of the Great West Conference (GWC), Sun Belt, American South Conference (ASC), Trans American Athletic Conference (TAAC) and is now known as the Atlantic Sun Conference, and as an independent. They simply have not played in games that have been put on the NCAA odds boards, but with the advances in technology it is easier for sportsbooks to provide these games.
What I like most about the Vaqueros is their ball handling and how they work the ball in the half-court sets looking to get the best possible shot in each possession. They average 14.2 assists-per-game, which is solid and ranks 133th in the country.
They are a team that will be bet on more than just this one time. They have several promising freshman on this roster that are making steady progress and with increasing contributions. They are led by Senior guard Jordan Jackson, who is averaging 14.7 points-per-game and Senior forward Lesly Varner, Jr, who is averaging 12.1 points-per-game. This Senior leadership is invaluable to the freshman and will help the team reach their season potential. I am not suggesting that will be a Tournament team this year, but I do think the program is on the right track to someday accomplishing that for the first time in their program history.
This situational query has earned a terrific 25-12-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record good for 68% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of at least 20 points that have a losing record on the season and are now facing an opponent, who is coming off a close home win of three or fewer points.
The system has earned a 75% ATS record of 15-5 over the last five seasons. It is 2-3 ATS this season, 5-0 ATS for 2018, 3-1 ATS in 2017, 2-1 ATS in 2016, and 3-0 ATS in 2015.
|12-29-19||UC-Santa Barbara -2.5 v. UL - Lafayette||Top||85-77||Win||100||3 h 5 m||Show|
UC Santa Barbara vs LA-Lafayette
This is a tried-and-true betting system on the NCAA Hardwood that has been a perennial winner for the past 15 seasons. The system has earned a 94-54-4 against-the-spread (ATS) record for 64% winning bets and requires us to play on road teams that are favored including ‘pick’ that are coming off a game in which they covered the spread as a double-digit favorite and have had five or six days of rest .
|12-28-19||Cal Poly +25.5 v. San Diego State||Top||57-73||Win||100||5 h 22 m||Show|
Cal Poly-SLO vs San Diego State
7:00 PM EST, December 28, 2019
7-Star Best bet on Cal Poly-SLO
Undefeated and No. 15-ranked San Diego State wraps up its non-conference slate on Saturday, hosting Cal Poly at Viejas Arena. SDST is one of three remaining undefeated teams in the nation and will remain undefeated after this game, but this si just far too many points to give to even a struggling program like Cal Poly-SLO.
This situational betting system for games played in December has earned a solid 70-44-5 against-the-spread mark (ATS) good for 61% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 13 or more points in games played in the month of December after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game.
From the predictive side of things CALPO is a solid 11-3-1 ATS when installed as a 15 or more point underdog and making at least 38% of their shot attempts.
|12-28-19||CS-Fullerton +15 v. UCLA||Top||77-74||Win||100||4 h 20 m||Show|
CS-Fullerton vs UCLA
UCLA is just 9-20 ATS when facing ball handling teams committing an average of no more than 14 turnovers-per-game over the last two seasons; 5-13 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last two seasons.
Predictive metric: CSFUL is 44-20-1 ATS when they have made 42% or better of their shots, 35% or better of their 3-point attempts, and had not more than 12 turnovers.
|12-23-19||Georgia State +9 v. SMU||Top||76-85||Push||0||2 h 0 m||Show|
Georgia State vs SMU
Here is a Terrific Betting System
|12-22-19||Xavier +2.5 v. TCU||Top||67-59||Win||100||5 h 24 m||Show|
Xavier vs Texas Christian
The Big-12 Conference Xavier Musketeers have started their 2019-20 campaign in fine fashion posting a 10-2 SU record but have not well against the spread sporting a college fund draining 3-9 ATS mark.
The Big-12 Conference TCU Horned Frogs have started 8-2 SU but have not well against the spread posting a 3-6 ATS record.
The Musketeers Quentin Goodin is coming off a fantastic game scoring 25 points on 9-for-11 shooting in a 74-61 win over Western Carolina University. This is a break-out game for Goodin, who is averaging 8.4 points-per-game on the season.
The Musketeers are led by Junior forward Naji Marshall, who has a team-high 17 points-per-game including 6 rebounds-per-game. They have excellent depth and experience given that 61% of the minutes played and 65% of the points scored from last season are on this roster.A Solid Betting System
This betting system has earned a solid 40-15 ATS record spanning the last 15 seasons. The system requires us to bet on road teams that are facing an average 3-point shooting team making between 32 and 37% and are a struggling 3-point shooting team making less than 32% and after the host has had two consecutive games allowing a shooting percentage of 37% or less.
|12-21-19||Creighton +3 v. Arizona State||Top||67-60||Win||100||8 h 47 m||Show|
Creighton vs Arizona State
A Few Predictive Tip Ins
· Creighton is 18-3 straight-up (SU) and 15-6 ARS for 71.4% when holding their opponents to 40 to 46% shooting over the last three seasons.
· Creighton is 25-6 SU and 23-6 ATS for 79% wins when they hold their opponent to 30% or lower 3-point shooting over the last three seasons.
o 22-4 SU and 20-4 ATS when attaining both of the performance measures above.
|12-21-19||Kentucky v. Ohio State -3||Top||65-71||Win||100||5 h 42 m||Show|
Ohio State vs Kentucky
This is marquee matchup of two of the best teams in the nation competing at a neutral site. Both teams have been upset, though, in the past week, but I believe both teams will bounce back with solid efforts in a game that will be enjoyable to watch.
How Good Are the Buckeyes?
The Buckeyes bounced back against a weak opponent with an 80-48 win over Southeast Missouri State and covered the spread by three points. However, they looked sloppy as evidenced by their 21 turnovers and must take care of the ball against a strong Kentucky Wildcats defense.How Good are the Wildcats?
The Wildcats are off to an 8-2 SU start to their season and have posted a 4-6 ATS record with the ‘UNDER’ bet sporting a 7-3 record. They have had a pair of three-point losses to Evansville back on November 12 and in their last game facing Utah this past Tuesday.
This year’s edition of the Wildcats is a power team and do not look to shoot the three-point shot. They rank 343rd of the 353 Division-1 programs averaging 15.3 3-point shot attempts-per-game and 334th making an average of just 27.5% of those 3-point shot attempts. This lack of perimeter shooting is more than offset by their ability draw fouls and get to the charity stripe. The Wildcats rank fifth averaging 18.2 free-throws-per-game and seventh with a 79.5% free-throw-percentage.
The Buckeyes will look to stretch the Wildcat defense with their elite sharp shooting from beyond the arc, which in turn will open the paint are for post-ups and drives to the rim. They rank 18th with a 49% overall shooting percentage and fifth making an average of 41.6% of their three-point-shot-attempts.
The Buckeyes are the better rebounding team and I fully expect them to minimize the Wildcats second chance scoring opportunities.
The Buckeyes are led by Junior forward Kaleb Wesson, who is averaging a team-high 14.3 points-per-game, and 9.0 rebounds-per-game. The Buckeyes have great depth with eight players averaging at least eight points-per-game on the season. If the Wildcats, try to take away Wesson there will be a host of Buckeyes that can step up and score points.
Here is a Terrific Betting System
Here is a final Tip-In that shows the Best Bet NCAA Basketball Pick should be on the Buckeyes as they are a solid 13-3 ATS when facing a team that averages six or more free throw-attempts-per-game then their opponents.
|12-20-19||Bowling Green v. Norfolk State +10||Top||67-72||Win||100||6 h 25 m||Show|
Bowling Green vs Norfolk State
BG is a money burning 2-10 against the spread (ATS) in road games following a stretch of three games in which they led ta the half by five or more points. NFST is a perfect 6-0 ATS following a dismal shooting game in which they scored 60 or fewer points and 6-0 ATS following a game in which they scored 25 or fewer points in the first half. NFST Head Coach Jones is 14-3 ATS coming off a game in which they lost by double digits.
|12-19-19||Portland State +3.5 v. Loyola Marymount||Top||76-66||Win||100||10 h 34 m||Show|
Portland State vs Loyola Marymount
Let us start with a situational betting system that has hit 69% ATS for a 72-28-5 ATS record since 2007 and 32-12-1 ATS for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. Ther requirements are to play on underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points that have gone over the total by 33 or more points in their last five games and in a game between two teams with win percentages between 40 and 49.99% on the season.
LM is just 13-21 straight-up and 10-22 against the spread (ATS) in home games and have failed to cover the spread in a minimuk of two consecutive games. 5-13 ATS following a game in which they had five or fewer offensive rebounds.
These team trends match the machine learning projections. LM is 27-44 ATS when allowing 65 to 75 points in a home game; 5-10 ATS over the last three seasons. LM is 12-29 ATS when committing between 15 and 20 turnovers in home games since 2006. LM is 5-15 ATS when making less than 70% of their free throws and committing 15 to 20 turnovers in home games since 2006.
|12-18-19||Utah Valley -2 v. Wyoming||Top||69-67||Push||0||6 h 30 m||Show|
Utah Valley State vs Wyoming
From the predictive toolshed the Wolverines are expected to shoot 47% or higher from the field, hold the Wyoming Cowboys to between 55 and 65 points, and will have at least four more offensive rebounds.
In past Cowboy games in which they allowed these performance measures or worse they have gone 2-11 ATS for 85% winning bets.
|12-18-19||Utah State v. South Florida +8.5||Top||76-74||Win||100||4 h 16 m||Show|
Utah State vs South Florida
So, we have the Aggies on a downward performance stretch and the Bulls playing increasingly better and is why I like the underdog Bulls in this matchup.A Few Tip Ins
· The Bulls are 11-1 ATS when facing excellent offensive teams that are averaging 77 or more points-per-game in games played over the last two seasons.
· The Bulls are 18-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.
Ryan’s NCAAM 7-Star Best Bet Titan
This Titan is backed by several team-specific trends with one sporting a near-perfect 11-1 ATS record good for 92% winning bets. John Ryan is currently 40-19-1 (68%) over his last 60 basketball picks this season and 229-167 (58%) over his last 406 basketball picks with $1,000/game bettors have made $49,310 since 2-21-18 by following his advice!
|12-18-19||East Tennessee State +9.5 v. LSU||Top||74-63||Win||100||4 h 3 m||Show|
Eastern Tennessee State vs LSU
just as their pullbacks in a bullish chart picture of Apple Computer. Any questions send me a direct message to me @JohnRyanSports1
Let us start with a situational betting system that has hit 75% ATS for a 36-12 ATS record since 2006. Play on road dogs of 4.5 or more points that held their previous opponent to less than 30% shooting and is now facing an opponent that has made 47% or more of their shots in each of their last three games.
ETST is a solid 17-5-2 ATS for 77% in road games facing good free throw shooting teams making 72% or more of their attempts over the past 15 seasons; 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets since 2015.
|12-17-19||Nebraska-Omaha v. Eastern Washington -6.5||Top||56-97||Win||100||5 h 31 m||Show|
Nebraska-Omaha vs Eastern Washington
7-Star Best Bet on Eastern Washington
This situational betting system has earned an outstanding 52-14 against the spread (ATS) for 79% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are to play on home favorites of 3 to 10 points and are a dominant team outscoring their opponents by 12 or more points-per-game and after leading in their last game by 20 or more points at the half.
EWU is also a solid 10-2 ATS facing poor foul drawing teams that are attempting 18 or fewer free throws-per-game over the last three seasons.
|12-17-19||Northeastern +2 v. Eastern Michigan||Top||55-60||Loss||-110||3 h 53 m||Show|
John Ryan Sports
NORTHEASTERN VS EASTERN MICHIGAN
7:00 PM EST, DECEMBER 17, 2019
7-STAR TITAN BET ON THE NORTHEASTERN HUSKIES
Due to available time during the holidays these reports are shorter than normal. It does not in any way diminish the strength of the play identified. If you are one of the many new clients welcome on board. To refresh, a 7-Star graded play is recommended to be your normal bet size. A 5-Star is recommended to be 30% less than your 7-Star amount, and 10-Star is 30% more than your 7-Star normal bet size. The key is discipline and having a longer-term view knowing that the profits will come and it is a grind over the course of that season or calendar year. Remember that as documented by Sports Capping ( not me), Dime Players are up over $45,000 for the 2019 calendar year and there are bullbacks in the profits made just as their pullbacks in a bullish chart picture of Apple Computer. Any questions send me a direct message to me @JohnRyanSports1
EMU is 5-16 ATS when facing excellent 3 point shooting teams that are making44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins; 41% or more of their attempts; 22-42 ATS after playing two consecutive games as favorite; 44-68 ATS after two or more consecutive wins.
EMU head coach Murphy is 4-15 ATS when facing very good shooting teams making a minimum of 48% of their shots as the coach of EMU.
NE has played a vastly more difficult schedule than what EMU has faced to date and that ‘seasoning’ will benefit the Huskies greatly in this matchup.
|12-16-19||Marist +15 v. Rider||Top||64-74||Win||100||3 h 44 m||Show|
Marist vs Rider
7-Star Best Bet on Marist Red Foxes
The Marist Red Foxes travel to New Jersey to take on the Rider Broncos in a MAAC Conference matchup. This is just too many points to be giving the one-win Red Foxes and there is significant value in betting on them tonight. I am looking at the final score being a Rider win, but by single digits.
This betting system is a solid one having earned a 59-26 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The requirements that need to be met are that we are betting in underdog between 10 and 20 points after they have gone under the posted total by a combined 25 or more total points in their last three games, has a win percentage of 20% or lower, and is playing a team with a win percentage of at least 65% on the season.
Rider is just 5-14 ATS against conference opponents in game splayed over the last 2 two seasons.
|12-15-19||NC State v. NC-Greensboro +2.5||Top||80-77||Loss||-110||6 h 0 m||Show|
NC State vs UNC Greensboro
This betting system has earned a 36-10 ATS record good for 78% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play against a favorite (NC STATE) after going over the total by more than six points in four consecutive games and is facing an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.
The UNC Greensboro Spartans have an excellent under rated defense and they are facing a NC State Wolfpack team that may be playing without their best offensive player. Jericole Hellems suffered a concussion from a sever crash to the floor and based on published reports will be a game-time decision. I do not think he will play given that the Wolfpack rank 18th nationally in scoring offense averaging 82.8 PPG and have solid bench players to fill in for Hellems.
It will be the Spartans defense and rebounding though that will win this game. The Spartans are 7-0 when outrebounding their opponent this season. They also rank 23rd in the nation averaging 5.5 blocks per game with Kyrin Galloway and James Dickey each averaging more than 2.0 blocks-per-game.
|12-14-19||Evansville v. Green Bay -2||Top||72-62||Loss||-112||6 h 13 m||Show|
7-Star Wisconsin-Green Bay
NCAAB Hardwood: Evansville vs Wisconsin - GB
7:00 PM EST, December 14, 2019
This is a matchup of Horizon Conference teams and two extremely good players that are coming off excellent games. WGB Phoenix Amari Davis shot 12-for-14 from the field and scored 25 points over 32 minutes including two assists, four rebounds, and tw0 blocked shots. Evansville Purple Aces Deandre Williams scored 37 points on 17-for-18 shooting and scored 37 points in 34 minutes including three assists, 10 rebounds, and three blocked shots. So, this will be an entertaining game to watch.
The Phoenix play faster than the Purple Aces and shoot a higher percentage. The Phoenix average 65 shot attempts per game and are making 46% of those shots. The Purple Aces average 58 shot attempts-per-game and are hitting 45% of the shots. So the shooting percentages are close, but the Phoenix attempt more of them.
The Phoenix have superior ball movement as well. They rank 11th in the nation averaging 17.1 assist-per-game. The Purple Aces rank 277th averaging just 13.8 assists-per-game and reflects too many isolation possessions with the play clocking winding down.Here Are a Few Additional Tip-Ins
· The Phoenix are 8-1 ATS in home games facing good ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game in games played over the last two seasons.
· Darner is 10-2 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games.
|12-14-19||Memphis v. Tennessee -6.5||Top||51-47||Loss||-102||3 h 29 m||Show|
John Ryan Sports
Memphis vs Tennessee
This game will be won by Tennessee on the glass. The Tigers remain one of the best rebounding teams in the nation, but have been out-boarded in four of their last five games. Losing their stud James Wiseman and his 11 rebounds-per-game have hurt them significantly. The Vols have been out rebounded once in a game they won over Washington, but lost the boards 42-32. For the season, the Vols are outrebounding their opponents by an average 11 rebounds-per-game.
The Vols rank 14th-best in the nation allowing opponents to reboubd just 22% of their offensive missed shots. The Tigers thrive on the offensive glass getting second chance scoring opportunities on 34% of their possessions, but again without the presence of Wiseman, this stat has been on the decline. So, I strongly believe that the Vols will limit the Tiger’s second chance scoring opportunities and that will go a long way to the Vols winning this game by double digits.
You will see the Tigers looking to play extremely fast in this game given that they rank 11th in the nation with an average possession time of only 14.8 seconds. They rank 10th in the nation in adjusted tempo, which takes the number of possessions per game divided by the minutes and adjusted by the preferred pace of play of their opponent and when the game was played.
The Tigers pace of play will work against them against a fundamentally solid Vols defense. Further, the Vols rank 303rd out of 353 Division-1 programs and 256th with a an average possession time of 18 seconds. The Tigers have played two teams that rank lower than the Vols in adjusted tempo. They lost to Oregon 82-74, failed to cover the spread as a four-point underdog, and hot a miserable 37.7% from the field. In the second game, which was their last game, they defeated UAB 65-57 and pushed the spread as an eight-point favorite, and shot 37.9% from the field. Bit of a trend there in the matchups I would say.
This situational betting system reinforces the bet on the Volunteers and has earned a 52-12 (81%) against the spread (ATS) record over the last five seasons and requires us to bet on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are top caliber teams outscoring their opponents by 12 or more points-per-game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half.The 7-Star Best Bet is on the Volunteers
|12-13-19||Colorado -6 v. Colorado State||Top||56-48||Win||100||8 h 27 m||Show|
7-Star Colorado Buffalos
NCAA Hardwood: Colorado vs Colorado State
8:00 PM EST, December 13, 2019
The No. 24 ranked Buffalos will take on their state rival Rams at Moby Arena in Fort Collins tonight. The game will be televised on CBSSN.
The Buffalos won their first seven games of the season and then hit abrupt wall in the form the Kansas Jayhawks losing 72-58, and failed to cover the spread by 3.5-points. In their last game, the sting of that loss was still wearing on the Buffalos as they played poorly in a 79-76 loss to Northern Iowa. So, you can trust that head coach TAD Boyle will have his team fully prepared for this game.
The Buffalos have terrific depth on their return. They have returned 94% of the minutes played and 95% of the scoring from last season’s team.
They are led by Junior guard Tyler Bey, who is averaging 13.0 points-per-game (PPG) and 13 reboubnds-per-game (RPG). They play a three guard lineup most of the time with Junior guard McKinley Wright IV averaging 12.3 PPG, 4.4 RPG, and 3.8 assists-per-game (APG) and Junior guard D’Shawn Schwartz adding 10.3 PPG, 2./7 RPG, and 1.8 APG). This trio is going to be difficult for the Rams to defend for the entire game.
A Few Extra Points:
· Buffalos are 78-48 against the spread (ATS) after two or more consecutive losses over the last 20 seasons.
o They went a perfect 5-0 ATS last season in this role.
· The Rams are a money-burning 6-17 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last three seasons.
· Buffalos are a perfect 13-0 ATS having lost their last two or more games and have failed to cover the spread in their previous three or more games.
|12-11-19||Yale v. Massachusetts +5||Top||83-80||Win||100||3 h 38 m||Show|
John Ryan Sports
Yale vs UMASS
|12-10-19||Maryland v. Penn State +1||Top||69-76||Win||100||3 h 28 m||Show|
This is a Big Ten Conference matchup that will be highly competitive and will provide plenty of entertainment. This is Penn State’s shot at knocking off on eof the best teams in the conference and the nation and get their name noticed as a contender.
Penn State is off to a surprising 7-2 start to their season and have earned a 5-3 ATS record with one the game against Wagner not having a betting line. They were hammered by Ohio State in their last game by the final score of 106-74, but the first half was competitive.Here Are a Few Additional Tip-Ins
· PSU is a rock solid 13-2 ATS after two consecutive games with 12 or fewer assists over the last three seasons.
· PSU is 10-2 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more over the last three seasons.
· PSU is 20-9 ATS after playing a game as an underdog over the last three seasons.
|12-09-19||Alabama State +14 v. South Dakota||Top||59-73||Push||0||5 h 55 m||Show|
John Ryan Sports
7-Star Best Bet on Alabama State
This situational betting system (query) has earned a solid 58-27 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet against home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points that are average defensive teams allowing between 67 and 74 PPG and are now facing a struggling defensive team allowing between 74 and 78 PPG and are coming off a win by 15 points or more.
SDST is just 8-19 ATS facing a struggling 3 point shooting team that is making 31% or less of their attempts.
|12-07-19||Siena v. Cal Poly +6.5||Top||66-70||Win||100||5 h 59 m||Show|
7-Star bet on Cal Poly Slo
From the predictive side Siena is an imperfect 0-6 ATS in road games when they grab four to nine more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last three seasons.
|12-07-19||Missouri +3 v. Temple||Top||64-54||Win||100||3 h 45 m||Show|
7-Star On Missouri
NCAA Hoops: Missouri vs Temple
7:30 PM EST, December 8, 2019
Some quick Hitters:
Temple is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
The betting system has earned 72% winning bets on a 50-19 ATS record and instructs us to play on An underdog (MISSOURI) after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games.
|12-06-19||CS-Northridge +7.5 v. Portland State||Top||67-73||Win||100||6 h 47 m||Show|
7-Star On Cal-State Northridge
NCAAM: CSN vs Portland State
10:30 PM EST, December 6, 2019
CSN is 18-5 ATS when facing a good ball handling team committing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game over the last two seasons.
Portland State is just 1-10 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in eight days over the last two seasons.
From the predictive side that we get from the machine learning summary we see that PS is just 8-1 ATS when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last two seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons.
|12-04-19||Ohio State +3.5 v. North Carolina||Top||74-49||Win||100||10 h 44 m||Show|
No.6 Ohio State vs No. 2 North Carolina
Even though we are barely a month into the NCAA basketball season there have been some great matchups involving the best teams in the nation. This is another one to be sure and there will be more coming this weekend. Ohio State will open their Big Ten Conference schedule hosting Penn State this Saturday and UNC will be a guest of the National Champion Virginia Cavaliers.
The Buckeyes are off to a 7-0 start and have covered the spread in six of these games. Their defense has been incredible as they have held every opponent to less than 37.5% shooting. They are an excellent ball handling team as well and have not had more than 15 turnovers in any game and have had four games committing 11 or fewer turnovers.
UNC is off to a 6-1 start but have covered only two games to the spread. They have a solid defense that has held every opponent, but one, to 38% or worse shooting from the field. They are a perennial leader in rebounding and this season is no different. They have had problems with turnovers, however, and this will be a significant reason OSU can win this game.Here are a few additional Tip-Ins
· OSU is 8-1 ATS coming off two or more consecutive home wins in games played over the last two seasons.
· OSU is 12-3 ATS facing team that are called for three or fewer fouls-per-game than their opponents in games played over the last three seasons.
|12-02-19||Miami-FL v. Illinois -8||Top||81-79||Loss||-110||4 h 7 m||Show|
Miami vs Illinois
7-Star Bet on the Fightin’ Illini
7:00 PM EST
WHAT DOES THE MACHINE HAVE FOR US?
This situational query has earned an outstanding 59-13 ATS record for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ILLINOIS in this matchup) that are elite caliber teams outscoring their opponents by 10 or more points-per-game and after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half.
A few more Extra Points:
Miami is just 5-18 ATS when facing good teams outscoring their opponents by 4 or more points-per-game over the last two seasons.
Miami is just 3-13 ATS when facing solid offensive teams scoring 77+ points-per-game over the last two seasons.
Illini are a strong 30-12 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points.
Illini are 17-5 ATS in home games after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game
|12-01-19||San Diego v. St Bonaventure -3.5||Top||61-70||Win||100||7 h 25 m||Show|
San Diego vs St. Bonaventure
This is a matchup of two teams struggling to play sound fundamental basketball. The St. Bonaventure Bonnies are 2-4 and have earned a 2-3-1 ATS record. The San Diego Toreros are 3-5 and have posted a 4-3-1 ATS record.
I am a bit surprised that San Diego is favored in this game. I had expected the Bonnies to be favored because they possess the much better defense. The Bonnies are allowing 65 points-per-game that ranks 117th best in the nation. The problem has been on the offensive end where they rank 324th of 353 Division-1 programs averaging 61.7 points-per-game and 333rd making just 38% of their field goal attempts.
I do see them shooting much better against a Toreros defense that allows 71 points-per-game that ranks 223rd in the nation. The Bonnies will get to the free throw line more than the Toreros and they make 80% of those free throw attempts that ranks 16th-best in the nation.Here Are a Few Additional Tip-Ins
· The Bonnies are 43-25 ATS in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread.
· The Bonnies are 39-19 ATS after two consecutive games with 12 or fewer assists.
· The Bonnies are 36-20 ATS in low scoring games where both teams do not score more than 65 points.
|11-27-19||Portland State v. UC-Santa Barbara -8||Top||70-81||Win||100||7 h 6 m||Show|
Portland State vs US-Santa Barbara
This situational betting system has earned a solid 75-38 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points and is an explosive team averaging 76 or more PPG on the season, and after scorig 75 or more points in three consecutive games and now facing a decent offensive team scoring between 74 and 76 PPG on the season.
The machine learning summary projections match the following precedents.
UCSB is 59-28 ATS (+28.2 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game.
|11-27-19||Norfolk State v. Monmouth -4.5||Top||71-75||Loss||-110||6 h 9 m||Show|
Norfolk State vs Monmouth
7-Star on the Monmouth Hawks
|11-23-19||Mercer v. Illinois-Chicago -4||Top||72-68||Loss||-103||5 h 58 m||Show|
Illinois Chicago vs Mercer
7-Star Bet on Illinois-Chicago
5:00 PM ESTWhat Does the Machine Have for Us?
This situational query has earned an outstanding 23-4 ATS record for 85% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The requirements are to bet on home favorites that are struggling from beyond the arc, hitting just 32% or less and are now facing a team that is a poor defender of the ‘three’ allowing 37% shooting from beyond the arc and both teams are average ball handling and passing teams averaging between 14 and 17 turnovers-per-game.
Illinois-Chicago is 29-14 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.
|11-22-19||Kennesaw State v. Monmouth -7.5||Top||40-71||Win||100||5 h 20 m||Show|
Kennesaw State vs Monmouth
7-Star Bet on Monmouth
8:30 PM ESTWhat Does the Machine Have for Us?
This situational query has earned an outstanding 70-33 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that is a team from a mid-major Division-1 conference and is facing a team from a weak conference and the team is coming off a ats win, but lost the game.
KS is just 1-8 ATS in games played in November over the last two seasons.
KS is 3-12 ATS in a non-conference matchup.
Monmouth is 21-9 ATS following a game in which both teams scored 65 or fewer points.
|11-22-19||Gardner-Webb +15.5 v. South Carolina||Top||69-74||Win||100||4 h 18 m||Show|
Gardner-Webb vs South Carolina
This situational betting system has earned a 44-22-1 ATS record good for 67% winning NCAA Hoops bets over the last 13 seasons. The requirements are to play on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points that have gone UNDER the total by 24 or more points over their last three games and are facing an opponent that is coming off a game that they failed by to cover by at least 18 points.
|11-16-19||Ohio v. Villanova OVER 131||Top||54-78||Win||100||1 h 24 m||Show|
Ohio University vs Villanova
This situational betting system has earned a 33-10 record good for 77% winning College Hoops bets over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet over the posted total with a team that is off an upset win as a road underdog and had a win percentage of 40 to 49% last season.
Ohio University is 68-36 OVER following a game in which they scored 80 or more points.
Villanova is 15-4 OVER in games in which they allowed 67 to 75 points.
|11-06-19||Notre Dame v. North Carolina -9||Top||65-76||Win||100||2 h 35 m||Show|
7-Star on North Carolina over Notre Dame 7:00 PM EST
November 6, 2019
UNC is going to have another strong team that will also have an offense that will opponents off the court. I expect them, to score 80 or more points and if they do it is very good news for us based on past games. UNC is a solid 164-88-8 ATS for 65% winning bets since 2004 when scoring 81 points; 30-12 ATS since 2017.
ND is just 25-46 ATS when having allowed 81 or more points since 2004 and 2-13 ATS for 13% since 2017.
|11-05-19||Virginia Tech v. Clemson -7||Top||67-60||Loss||-109||1 h 14 m||Show|
7-Star Clemson Tigers over the Virginia Tech Hokies 7:00 PM EST
November 5, 2019
This situational query has earned an outstanding 82-35 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play against road dogs of 3.5 to 10 points that were good 3-point shooting teams last season making 37% or better. Simple, straight-forward and time tested.
Clemson is 9-1 ATS in home games when they shoot between 40 and 46% from the field and that is whgat my machine learning tools are confirming for tonight’s game.
|04-08-19||Texas Tech v. Virginia OVER 118.5||Top||77-85||Win||100||4 h 20 m||Show|
John Ryan Sports
10-STAR WAGER ON THE ‘OVER’ IN THE NCAA TOURNAMENT CHAMPIONSHIP GAME BETWEEN UVA AND TEXAS TECH SET TO START AT 9:20 PM EST
This database situational query has earned a solid 40-11 against the total record for 78.4% wins since 2014 and instructs us to play ‘Over’ with neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (VIRGINIA) after 4 straight games forcing opponents to commit 11 or fewer turnovers in each game.
Texas Tech is a perfect 7-0 OVER after a game committing 8 or fewer turnovers this season.
Texas Tech is projected to score a minimum of 71 points and has the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio in this Championship game. The ‘OVER’ is an amazing 82-30-3 for 73% and Texas Tech is 85-34-1 ATS for 71% when they have achieved these performance measures.
So, play a 10-Star wager on the ‘OVER’ and add an optional 3-Star Parlay using the Texas Tech on the money line and the ‘OVER’.
|04-06-19||Auburn +6 v. Virginia||Top||62-63||Win||100||8 h 51 m||Show|
John Ryan Sports
10-STAR WAGER ON THE AUBURN TIGERS
Auburn is currently a 6-point dog facing UVA in the Final Four and the machine learning tools have a top-rated 10-Star grade on them. I also like creating a combination wager using a 7-Star wager mount using the line and a 3-Star wager amount using the money line, which is currently lined at +245.
The SIM projections call for Auburn to shoot at least 44% from the field, will shoot 40% or better from three-point range and will make 80% of their free throws. In addition, the Tigers will make at least 4 more three-point shots than UVA. The Tigers are 26-5 SU winning the game by an average of 18 points and 26-3 ATS covering the spread by an average of 11.7 points when they have made 4 or more 3-points shots than their opponent and made at least 44% of their total shots from the field.
|04-04-19||Lipscomb +1.5 v. Texas||Top||66-81||Loss||-110||12 h 26 m||Show|
John Ryan Sports
10-STAR WAGER ON LIPSCOMB (272) IN THE NIT CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
The Lipscomb Bison will be taking on the Texas Longhorns in the NIT Championship game set to start at 7:00 PM EST.
Texas is not an aggressive team that gets a high number of foul shots. Lipscomb is a perfect 7-0 ATS in road games when facing poor foul drawing teams that are attempting 18 or fewer free throws-per-game this season. Texas is a solid ball handling team, but Lipscomb is a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games facing teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers-per-game this season.
The machine learning summary shows that Lipscomb will shoot at least 48% from the field, make at least 40% of their 3-point shots and at least 80% of their free throw attempts. In past games when the Bison have shot 48% or better and 40% or better from the 3-point range they have earned a 9-3 AS record and covered the spread by an average of 9-points./ If we slice the data to also include games shooting 80% from the charity stripe sees them a perfect 3-0 ATS. Texas is just 1-7 ATS failing to cover by an average of 8 points when allowing a minimum shooting percentage of 48%, a minimum 3-point percentage of 50% and a minimum 80% from the free throw line.
|03-31-19||Auburn +4.5 v. Kentucky||Top||77-71||Win||100||3 h 3 m||Show|
John Ryan Sports
10-STAR WAGER ON THE AUBURN TIGERS
The Auburn Tigers are all set to square off against the Kentucky Wildcats in the Midwest Regional Finals set to start at 2:20 PM EST.
In addition to the 10-Star wager consider making an alternative combination wager using a 7-Star amount on the line and a 3-Star amount on the money line to take advantage of Auburn’s potential to win this game and advance to the Final Four.
This database situational query has earned a 59-22 ATS record for 73% wins since 1996 and instructs to play on a road team (Auburn) in the month of March that is coming off a 15-point upset win installed as a dog.
Auburn is the 2nd best 3-point shooting team in the nation averaging 11.6 made 3-point shots per game 63rd with a solid 1.220 assist-to-turnover ratio (ATR). Kentucky ranks 324th making just 5.8 3-point shots per game and rank 128th with a 1.077 ATR. The machine learning summary projections call for Auburn to make at least 40% of their 3-point shots and will have the better, more efficient. ATR. In past games when Auburn has met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 56-7 SU record for 89% wins and winning the game outright by an average of 14.4 points and 43-9-2 ATS for 83% wins and has covered the spread by an average of 9-points. Slicing the dataset a bit furth to include only road/neutral games, Auburn's record improves to a 16-3 SU and 17-2 ATS for 90% wins and has covered by an average of 12.1 points.
|03-29-19||Virginia Tech v. Duke OVER 142||Top||73-75||Win||100||4 h 16 m||Show|
John Ryan Sports
10-STAR WAGER ‘OVER’ IN THE V-TECH DUKE EAST SEMIFINAL
The machine learning summary projections call for both teams to score 75 or more points, both teams shoot a minimum of 48% from the field, and combine for 18 made 3-point shots. Duke has gone 26-10 ‘OVERR” when they have scored 75 or more points, combined with the opponent for 18 made 3-pointers and shot better than 48%. V-Tech in the same scenario has earned a 27-5 ‘OVER’ record for 84.4% winners. When V-Tech and their opponent have both scored 75 or more points, the ‘OVER’ is a remarkable 67-3 for 96% winners.
|03-29-19||LSU v. Michigan State -6||Top||63-80||Win||100||3 h 4 m||Show|
John Ryan Sports
7-STAR WAGER ON THE LSU TIGERS
The LSU Tigers are all set to square off against the Michigan State Spartans in the East Regional Semifinals set to start at 7:09 PM EST.
IN addition to the 7-Star wager consider making an alternative combination wager using a 5-Star amount on the line and a 2-Star amount on the money line to take advantage of the LSU potential to win this game.
Michigan State is 2-12 ATS in a road and neutral court games after a game forcing the opponent to commit 8 or fewer turnovers over the last 2 seasons. LSU is 11-4 ATS after two straight games getting 12 or fewer assists over the last two seasons.
LSU is projected to make at least 80% of their free throws and will have the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games when LSU has met these two performance measures their record stands at 35-11 SU winning by an average of 9.9 points and 27-12-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 5 points. When installed as a DOG, they are 10-3 ATS covering by an average of 9 points.
|03-28-19||Florida State v. Gonzaga -7||Top||58-72||Win||100||1 h 11 m||Show|
John Ryan Sports
7-STAR WAGER ON THE GONZAGA BULLDOGS
The Bulldogs are all set to square off against the FSU Seminoles at 7:07 PM EST and will look to avenge last year’s defeat to them in the Tournament.
Gonzaga is projected to win this game by 14 points and will score 81 or more points and shoot at least 50% from the field. In past games where Gonzaga has met or exceeded these performance measures, they have gone 164-4 SU winning by an average of 25 points and 111-33-4 ATS for 77% wins and covered by an average of 8.7 points.
FSU has been a money-burning 42-83 ATS (-49.3 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.
|03-26-19||Charleston Southern +1.5 v. Hampton||Top||67-73||Loss||-105||8 h 35 m||Show|
John Ryan Sports
10-STAR WAGER ON CHARLESTON SOUTHERN (631)
Charleston Southern is currently a 1.5-point road dog facing Hampton in the second round of the College Insider Tournament set to start at 7:00 PM EST, Tuesday, March 26. This is a 10-Star wager that is based on a 5-Star to 10-Star grading index and is the strongest possible grade that can be released and is akin to Game of the Year status.
Charleston is an excellent team sporting a 7-1 ATS record when facing teams that average 21 or more 3-point shots and are on a 6-0 ATS streak when on the road facing a high scoring team averaging 77 or more PPG after game number 15 has been played.
Charleston is projected to have 10 to 13 turnovers and score at least 78 points. They have earned a perfect 9-0 ATS mark covering by an average of 10.1 points when they have met or exceeded these performance measures.