Golden State Valkyries.

Game 619.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

Las Vegas was already struggling before they took a big hit when A’ja Wilson went down. She's not just the back-to-back reigning MVP, she is the team’s leading scorer. She went down on June 8 on the road at the New York Liberty, playing just 14 minutes, and contributing just two-points. They lost that game 87-78. Then the team took another loss on the road at the Washington Mystics on June 10, 70-68. This offense was struggling to begin with, ranking ninth in the league, averaging just 79.6 points per game. Now they must go up against the WNBA's second-best scoring defense in the Golden State Valkyries. Granted, Golden State leaves a lot to be desired on the offensive side of the ball. But this team is starting to heat up. Not only that, but they are one of the best in the league at covering the spread, going 12-7 ATS this season. They took down Las Vegas in the only meeting of 2025, about five weeks ago at home, 95-68. I doubt very much you'll see a different outcome here. Take the Valkyries. Thank you.

Atlanta Dream.

MONEYMAKER.

Game 613.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

The Atlanta dream has had their way with the Indiana Fever this season, winning and covering two of three meetings with them, one at home and one on the road. This is a team that's played some very good basketball, tallying a 12-7 overall record, covering 11 of those 19 outings. They enter this matchup winning two of their last three games, both straight up and against the spread, while Indiana is on a two-game loss and no cover slide. They should've won both of those games at home against Los Angeles, and Golden State. They were favored in both, and lost outright in both. I feel the Dream is coming in here a little hotter, and have a psychological edge knowing they have handled this rivalry very well. I think giving them points is a mistake. Take Atlanta. Thank you.

Golden State Valkyries.

Game 613.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

There is no question the Minnesota Lynx are currently the best team in the WNBA. But remember folks, sports betting isn't about who wins, it is about who covers. Yes, they are also good against the spread. But the Golden State Valkyries are 11-5 ATS this season, covering seven of their last nine outings. They enter todays contest a little better rested, having not taken the court since June 29, as opposed to Minnesota, who played two games since, including a matchup just two nights ago. The Valkyries covered six of their last seven games played as an underdog. They are being undervalued for sure. I believe today's matchup is once again a mistake made by the oddsmakers. I feel Golden State is undervalued. Take the Valkyrie plus the points. Thank you.

Minnesota Lynx.

NO LIMIT.

Game 632.

5:00 PM PST/8:00PM EST.

While Indiana is scratching to stay at .500 (8-8), they have won six of their last 10 games straight up. But when it comes to facing Minnesota, most teams in the WNBA fall short. This includes the Fever. The Lynx took the two most recent meetings between these two teams, back in August and September of last season, each by 10-points. By the way, they covered both of those games as well. This season, Minnesota possesses the best overall record in the WNBA at 14-2, which includes a perfect home mark of 8-0. As a matter of fact, they have covered five straight contests at the Target Center. They own the league’s second-best scoring offense, and its best scoring defense. This is a team that could frustrate any opponent defensively, yielding just 74.2-points per game. Minnesota will get another win, and for us, another cover. Take the Lynx. Thank you.

New York Yankees on the RUN LINE.

HOME RUN PLAY.

Game 912.

10:35 AM PST/1:35 PM EST.

As you know, just about every team in the American League has dominated the Athletics. Moreover, the Yankees, who have taken eight of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry, including three of four this season. New York's offense is starting to break out again, and their pitching has been solid for most of the season. The same cannot be said for the Athletics. They rank 24th in runs scored, and 29th in team ERA. They have dropped seven of their last 10, and no matter how you look at it, whether it be at the plate or on the mound, their numbers are horrible. JP Sears and Clark Schmidt are scheduled here. Schmidt has been more consistent, and overall, the Yankees pitching staff still ranks 5th in baseball, with a team of 3.41. I look for the combination of the Yankees bats and their stellar pitching staff to allow them to steamroll here. Take New York on the run line. Thank you.

Minnesota Lynx on the ML.

NO LIMIT PLAY.

Game 609.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

I feel the oddsmakers are making mistake in the line in this matchup. Yes, Minnesota will once again be without their leading scorer, Napheesa Collier. But this team is stacked with talent. They also possess the WNBA’s top defense. They come off a loss. The last time they suffered a defeat they rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. Meanwhile Atlanta has failed to cover three straight, losing two of their last four outings. The Lynx have dominated this rivalry, taking five in a row, both straight up and against the spread. I feel making them an underdog is a mistake. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Minnesota Lynx.

Game 610.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

With the best record in the WNBA at 11-1, the Minnesota Lynx are proving they are a very good basketball team. Sometimes losing a game makes you even better. They suffered their only defeat back on June 11. But have since gone 2-0, both straight up, and against the spread, covering numbers of 11.5, and 13.0. They covered numbers of 12.5, and 12.5 prior to the loss. They are on a mission to prove to everybody in the league they are the best team. They have taken nine of the last 10 meetings with Los Angeles, including wins and covers in both matchups this season, winning by 14-points in the mid-May, and by 23-points just seven days ago. Speaking of the Sparks, they have lost seven of their last 10, both straight up, and against the spread, being crushed in most of their contests. They are being outscored by 5.2 PPG, and have one of the worst defenses in the league. They are allowing a whopping 94.2 PPG. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard in this matchup. Lay the points with Minnesota. Thank you.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers.

Game 723.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Winnipeg has already dispatched of BC, nine days ago on the road, 34-20. That was their third consecutive win, and eighth in the last 10 matchups with their rival. Not only do they win, they cover as well, covering eight of those last 10 meetings to boot. History sometimes repeat itself, and I believe that is the case here again today. Take the Blue Bombers. Thank you.

Calgary Stampeders.

Game 722.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

Maybe Ottawa has taken the last three meetings with Calgary. But these are two very different teams this season. The Redblack’s enter today's matchup failing to win or cover in both of their outings this season. Meanwhile, Calgary has won and covered both of their contests thus far in the campaign. Ottawa has allowed a whopping 70 points so far. This does not bode well as Calgary is averaging 33.5 PPG while their defense is allowing just 27.5 PPG. Take Calgary, and take your bookmaker's money. Thank you.

Phoenix Mercury.

Game 607.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Normally, I don't like to lay big numbers on the road in any sport. But there's something very different about the WNBA. Trust me when I tell you, Phoenix is no stranger laying big numbers, whether they are at home or on the road. They have taken four in a row over Chicago straight up, covering three of the four. Granted, this is a bigger number than they normally lay. But they enter this matchup today on fire, winning their last four games straight up, covering three of the four, which does include SU wins in all three road games and covers int wo of the three games played on the road during that span. Meanwhile Chicago is a trainwreck. They are just 1-3 overall at home this season SU, and enter today's game losing four of their five, both straight up, and against the spread. It doesn't matter the number, this team just can't cover. They have problems scoring to begin with, ranking 12th in the league in scoring, and playing one of the most frustrating defenses in the WNBA, is going to prove to be fatal. Take the Mercury. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers.

Game 5 Winner.

Game 509.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Oklahoma City certainly deserves to be in the NBA Finals. For most of this season, the Thunder proved to be a true force to be reckoned with. No one gave the Indiana Pacers too much thought coming into this series. But here we are in Game 5, as the series is all tied up, 2-2. The Pacer style of play seems to be frustrating their opponent here. They match up very well. Giving them nearly double-digits, in my opinion, is a big mistake made by the oddsmakers. I know OKC is playing at home at the Paycom Center, where they are 44-8 SU this season. Even if Oklahoma City comes in here and plays their best game and wins, I still feel this is way too many points to give Indiana. I don't see the Pacers letting their foot off the gas at all, and once again being extremely competitive in Game 5. By the way, this playoff campaign, after each loss, they came back to win and cover (5-0 ATS in that situation). Taking Indiana plus the points. Thank you.

Montreal Alouettes.

Touchdown play.

Game 711.

4:30 PM PST 7:30 PM EST.

There is a reason why the Montreal Alouettes finished as the top team in the East division a season ago. This is a very good squad. They started off this season's campaign doing what they do, winning. They took down the Toronto Argonauts in their season-opener, on the road, 28-10. Last season they owned one of the best defenses in the CFL. Meanwhile, the Ottawa Redblacks have continued in their losing ways. They finished last season losing seven of their final nine games. They started this season with a road loss at the hands of the Saskatchewan Roughriders, 31-26. A season ago their defense got absolutely steamrolled. They just don't have the same balance Montreal possesses. I look for the Alouettes to get another win, and more importantly another cover. Take Montreal. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder.

BEST BET.

Game 505.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Dropping the first game of the Finals brought the Thunder back down to Earth. They got back to business in Game 2, and proved that they are the best team in the NBA. Playing on the road at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse doesn't change a thing as far as the outcome. But the oddsmakers put a short line out to try to trap you. We will not fall for it. OKC took care of business in the last matchup, and will do the same here tonight. They will take no chances, especially being on the road. They will once again prove why they are the best team in basketball. Take the Thunder. Thank you.

Indiana Fever.

HI ROLLER.

Game 621.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Indiana is proving they can win without Caitlin Clark on the floor. They enter this matchup winning back-to-back games at home against Washington, and on the road against Chicago. They have faced Atlanta twice this season, once at home, and once on the road, and have taken both meetings straight up, the earlier by one-point, and the later, by five-points. Speaking of the Dream, they come off their first loss following a four-game win and cover streak, in which they were embarrassed on the road at the Sun, 84-76, as an 11.0-point favorite. I don't see them in bounce back mode here. I do see the Fever, who seem to have the Dream’s number, competing, and keeping this game a lot closer than the pointspread. Taking Indiana. Thank you.

Toronto Argonauts.

Season Kickoff Winner.

Game 703.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

I expect Toronto to begin this season the way they finished last season, and that is, winning. They ended the 2024 campaign winning seven of their final nine games straight up, and covering all nine of those contests. They have had their way in this rivalry, winning and covering the last three meetings with a Montreal, which finished last season losing their final three games, straight up. They were also pointspread poison, only covering three of their final nine outings last year. Making the Argonauts and underdog is a mistake. Take Toronto. Thank you.

Phoenix Mercury

Game 629.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

It's true, the Minnesota Lynx are only one of two undefeated teams in the WNBA this season. However, they are pointspread poison, being overvalued by oddsmakers. Minnesota has failed to cover five consecutive games. As a matter of fact, they have yet to cover a game as a double-digit favorite. Meanwhile, the Phoenix Mercury are a darn good team sitting in second place in the Western Conference at 5-2, two-games behind the Lynx. This is a team that has covered three of their last four games, and did cover the five-point spread against Minnesota on May 30 at home. I just don't feel being at the Target Center warrants the Lynx to be 11.5-point favorites. Way too many points. Take the Mercury. Thank you.

Washington Mystics.

Game 627.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Without Caitlin Clark on the floor, the Indiana Fever lose an enormous amount of their firepower. The last two games in which they were favored in both, they lost by six and two-points to lesser opponents. One of those teams was the Washington Mystics. The Fever have had their way in this rivalry, taking three straight going back to July of last year. This offers the Mystics a huge revenge factor as well. Take Washington plus the points. Thank you.

Phoenix Mercury.

Slam Dunk play.

Game 634.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

This off-season saw more changes to WNBA rosters than in any I can remember. But one thing doesn't change for me, and that is riding a good team, and fading a bad one. Phoenix enters this matchup winning three of four this season, while Chicago has yet to earn a victory, going 0-3. As a matter of fact, the Sky have lost eight straight games going back to a season ago. They have also failed to cover eight consecutive contests. To make matters worse, the Mercury have had their number, winning and covering the three most recent meetings by 20, 18, and five-points. Take the Phoenix. Thank you.

Seattle Storm.

Bookie Buster play.

Game 629.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

I know it's very early in the WNBA regular season, but both the Seattle Storm and the Minnesota Lynx are looking like solid representatives. Seattle enters this matchup winning and covering three straight, and did take the last matchup with Minnesota 10 months ago at home, 91-63. While the Lynx are a good team, they have yet to cover a game played at the Target Center. To be quite honest they have failed to impress me in the last two outings, eking by with a four-point win over the Wings and a six-point win over the Sun, which both have yet to win a game this season, combining for an 0-8 record. I just feel this is way too many points. Take this Storm. Thank you.

I set make my assault on the WNBA today with my first releases of the campaign: WNBA SLAM DUNK PLAY.

Atlanta Dream.

Game 616.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

The Dallas Wings are on pace to be one of the worst teams in the WNBA again this season. While the Atlanta Dream has just one victory so far, they did play some tough teams, and certainly don't want to be the first team to lose to an opponent that has not won a contest since August of last year. At home at the Gateway Center in front of their fans, the Dream will crush the Wings. Take Atlanta. Thank you.

I set make my assault on the WNBA today with my first releases of the campaign: WNBA TOP TIER PLAY

New York Liberty.

Game 613.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

New York has had their way with Indiana, taking nine of the last 10 meetings straight up, and covering seven of those 10 meetings. The Liberty enter this matchup un defeated, going 2-0 straight up, and have also covered both games this season thus far. The Fever have talent, no doubt about that. But they're not deep enough to compete in this matchup. Take New York. Thank you.

***61.1% NBA RUN (22-16-1). Today, we CRUSH THE BOOKS on the hardwood with my PACERS/KNICKS GAME 2 WINNER.

New York Knicks.

Game 2 Winner.

Game 540.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

As of posting this play very early in the a.m., most of the money has come on the Indiana Pacers. But I am here to tell you once again, the general public is wrong. Yes, New York held a 14-point lead within three minutes left in regulation in the series opener. And yes, they let the game slip away. But head coach Tom Thibodeau and his team know that they cannot fall behind 2-0, and then take this series on the road. New York is a very good team, loaded with playmakers. It is true Indiana has played them tough over recent seasons. But something further motivates them here, and that is Tyrese Haliburton's actions in Wednesday’s contest. Halliburton made a choke sign towards the Knicks bench, and their crowd. Trust me when I tell you this did not sit well with anyone in the building. New York still built up that tremendous lead before they let it slip away. They have the ability to do so again here, and will not fall back in the series. They will tie the series up, and make a statement for Halliburton and Indiana team that they are a superior squad. Take the Knicks. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

GAME 1 WINNER.

Game 527.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Sports betting isn't about who wins. Sports betting is about who covers. The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered three of four meetings with the Oklahoma City Thunder this season. Going back a little further, they have covered seven of the last 10 matchups. They also enter this round, a little hotter, and certainly better-rested. They have won and covered eighth of 10 playoff games this season. They also dispatched of the Golden State Warriors four days before the Thunder needed seven games to send the Denver Nuggets home. They are better rested, have more momentum, and have their opponents number. Speaking of their opponent, Oklahoma City is a darn good team. But I don't feel they warrant being this high of a favorite in Game 1 of this round. They are dangerous at both ends of the court. But I think we can all agree, their defense has shown signs of cracking, while they're offense can be stalled. This is way too many points. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Philadelphia Phillies on the run line.

MVP PLAY.

Game 952.

3:05 PM PST/6:05 PM EST.

Philadelphia is making a run at the top spot in the National League East. The Phillies currently sit one-game back of the Mets in the competitive division. They have won seven of their last 10 games, which does include yesterday’s series opener with the Pirates, 8-4. They average more than a run and a half per game than Pittsburgh, offensively, and allow quite a bit less per game with a pitching staff that is starting to find its rhythm, ranking 14th, with a team ERA of 3.90. Speaking of pitching, today Zack Wheeler and Carmen Mlodzinski are slated. The Philadelphia right-hander is 4-1 with a 2.95 ERA this season, and over his career in eight starts against Pittsburgh, he is 4-1 with a 2.68 ERA. The Pittsburgh right-hander is 1-3, with a whopping ERA of 5.20 on the campaign. While he has made five career appearances against Philadelphia, he has yet to make a start against them. There is a big difference between coming in for short term than starting a game against the surging Phillies lineup. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

MONEYMAKER PLAY.

Game 581.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

As good as the Oklahoma City Thunder are, the Denver Nuggets cover against them. Remember my friends, sports betting isn't about who wins, it’s about who covers. The Nuggets have covered five of seven meetings with the Thunder this season. Folks, this is a lot of points. I am aware the Thunder possesses the fourth-ranked scoring offense, and the second-ranked scoring defense in the NBA. But they are just not crushing it like they were in the regular season. A lot of people forget the Nuggets own the second-ranked scoring conference, top the league in field-goal percentage, rank fifth in three-point percentage, and fourth on the offensive glass. Denver’s regular season and postseason leading scorer, Nikola Jokic has struggled the last three games. He is just 21-of-63 from the field, which is just 33.3%, and just 18.2% from downtown, shooting 4-of-22. Moreover, he has average only 5.0 assists per contest over the last three games. This is a superstar that shot less than 40% just once in the regular season, but hasn't reached that percentage since the series-opener. I feel he will step up here, and have his best numbers this series. Obviously both teams want this win. No matter what the final score, I do believe it will be a lot closer than this point spread. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

MONEYMAKER PLAY.

Game 581.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

As good as the Oklahoma City Thunder are, the Denver Nuggets cover against them. Remember my friends, sports betting isn't about who wins, it’s about who covers. The Nuggets have covered five of seven meetings with the Thunder this season. Folks, this is a lot of points. I am aware the Thunder possesses the fourth-ranked scoring offense, and the second-ranked scoring defense in the NBA. But they are just not crushing it like they were in the regular season. A lot of people forget the Nuggets own the second-ranked scoring conference, top the league in field-goal percentage, rank fifth in three-point percentage, and fourth on the offensive glass. Denver’s regular season and postseason leading scorer, Nikola Jokic has struggled the last three games. He is just 21-of-63 from the field, which is just 33.3%, and just 18.2% from downtown, shooting 4-of-22. Moreover, he has average only 5.0 assists per contest over the last three games. This is a superstar that shot less than 40% just once in the regular season, but hasn't reached that percentage since the series-opener. I feel he will step up here, and have his best numbers this series. Obviously both teams want this win. No matter what the final score, I do believe it will be a lot closer than this point spread. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

BEST BET.

Game 573.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

The Cavaliers, the #1 team in the East ran through the Miami Heat in the first round of the playoffs sweeping them, 4-0. They then entered round two, the conference semifinals, and took losses in the first two games at home. They certainly remedied their situation by shredding the Indiana Pacers in Game 3 on the road, 126-104. People forget how good the Cavaliers really are. This is a team that has won and covered all three road games this postseason. Going back a little further, Cleveland has won and covered five consecutive games played as a visitor. This team is money on the road. Their defense stifled the Pacers in the last matchup, and will give them another heavy dose of defense here. No matter how you slice it, the Indiana defense ranked 20th during the regular season, yielding a whopping 116.6 points per game. This does not bode well when you're facing the NBA’s top-scoring offense. Cleveland is also better at both ends of the court overall on the boards. They will even the series here, and get another win and cover. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you.

Toronto Maple Leafs on the PUCK LINE +1.5.

TOP TIER PLAY.

Game 73.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

As of posting this play, general public money has been coming on the home team here. And I love fading the general public. Toronto has taken two of three meetings this series, and going back a little further,r five of the last 10 overall matchups. Yes, I am aware that the two victories the Maple Leafs had in this series came at home. But you cannot ignore these two teams play each other very competitively. All three meetings in this series have been separated by one goal. Please understand, that even before the postseason, the Panthers were erratic. They have split their last 10 overall games. Meanwhile, Toronto has won seven of their last 10. While on paper, the Maple Leafs score almost a half a goal more, both defensive/goaltending numbers yield the same. Take Toronto plus a goal and a half and take your bookmaker’s money. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

SLAM DUNK.

Game 569.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

This series is now tied 1-1. Minnesota took Game 2 with authority, 117-93, in the absence of Steph Curry. Golden State is a very good team. But without one of the most seasoned and savvy players in the NBA, it looks like they are just sitting ducks. Curry is their leading scorer, and one of the best three-point shooters in the history of the NBA. We know the Warriors heavily rely upon their outside shooting. In the last outing, without the guard, they shot just 28% from beyond the arc, a dismal 9-for-32. Not only does the absence of their leader affect their shooting, it also affects their defense, and whatever they do in transition. The Timberwolves are a darn good team. They enter this matchup winning eight of their last 10, and covering seven of those 10, which does include ATS covers in three of four on the road. They possess one of the best outside shooting teams in the NBA, and a truly frustrating defense. While I'm never crazy about laying points on the road in pro hoops, this game is a winner. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 565.

7:00 PM PST/10;00 PM EST.

After losing the series-opener at home, a heartbreaking two-point loss, the Oklahoma City Thunder came out in Game 2 to rout the Denver Nuggets, 149-106. I feel they ride that momentum here into Game 3 on the road, where they are a very small favorite. This is one of the best overall teams in the NBA, and one of the best road teams in the NBA as well. The Thunder are 34-8 away from home this season, and have also covered 11 of their last 14 games played as a visitor. They know they cannot allow the Nuggets to go up 2-1 in this series. They will come out here riding the momentum from the last matchup, and devour the home team in this matchup. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you.

Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5.

SLAPSHOT PLAY.

Game 63.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

The Maple Leafs took Games 1 and 2 of the series at home, and now come into Game 3 a big underdog. I guess the oddsmakers are thinking the Florida Panthers are due for a win at home. However, the Toronto is a very competitive team, and a very good team on the road where they are 27-13-4 this season. I doubt very much they're going to take this away matchup lightly. They will come in here competitive as always and either take the game or keep it very close. Take the Maple Leafs plus the goal and a half. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

SLAM DUNK PLAY.

Game 557.

6:30 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Traditionally, when a heavy favorite in a series opener at home loses Game 1, you would look to side with them in Game 2. But that's not the case here as the Nuggets face the Thunder at the Paycom Center in the second game of this round. Denver has been a thorn in Oklahoma City’s side, winning three of the last four meetings, both straight up and against the spread. Going back a little further, they have also covered four of the last five matchups played at the Paycom Center. Obviously OKC cannot afford to lose another game at home. After this the next few games are played in Denver. I am aware the Thunder have only lost back-to-back games twice during the regular season, and are of the best home teams in the NBA. But the Nuggets match up well with them. People forget Denver possesses one of the best offenses in the league, ranking second in scoring, first in field goal percentage, fifth in three-point percentage, and fourth on the offensive boards. To make matters worse for opponents, they're also a top-10 team on the defensive side of the court on the boards as well. It's true, the Oklahoma City Thunder defense ranks second in basketball. But they're outclassed on the boards here. That is a big factor, and a huge edge for the visiting team in this matchup. I think this is way too many points. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

SLAM DUNK PLAY.

Game 587.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

A lot of people like the Minnesota Timberwolves in this series because they have younger legs. With all respect to them, they are a very good team. However, experience plays a huge part, come the postseason. One thing the Golden State Warriors have, is a seasoned squad come playoff time. They showed what they are made of in Game 7 in the first round series with the Houston Rockets. This is a team that doesn't get rattled, and knows how and when to turn it up. Giving them this many points is a huge mistake. Especially because they won and covered the last three meetings in this rivalry, going back to December 2024. My friends, that includes both meetings played on the road. This is a team that has had success away from home this season, going 26-19 as a visitor. Yes, Minnesota has had four extra days to rest and prepare for this series. But I do feel with their lack of playoff experience, they are going to come in here rusty. I am aware they have won and covered their last three games. But this is a whole different monster here. Golden State possesses very similar numbers on offense, and their defense can be very frustrating. They are also a little stronger on the offensive boards, which will give them a lot of second-chance opportunities. I mentioned earlier this is way too many points. I feel the Warriors can win this game outright. But I'll take the points. By the way, if you're worried about being in a big underdog here, don't be. I think we learned a lesson from the Pacers, Knicks, and Nuggets already. Take the Warriors. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 521.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

The Nuggets can close out the series tonight. They certainly don't want the Clippers to even it up here, at all. This is a team that was very successful when they traveled this season, going 25-18 away from home. While Los Angeles has struggled over the last two games, I am well aware they ran hot for a bit prior to that. However, I feel the oddsmakers are giving them way too much credit in this situation because they are faced with elimination, and are playing at home. Those two reasons do not justify this high of a number. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

SLAM DUNK PLAY.

Game 519.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

After taking back-to-back contests in this series in Games 3 and 4, New York lost a heartbreaker the other night at home, 106-103. Outside of the series opener in which the Knicks prevailed, 123-112, every matchup since has been a close one. New York must not allow Detroit to even up this series. They must win tonight, or at the very least, keep this game extremely competitive. Please understand Detroit enters this matchup losing and failing to cover seven of their last 10 games, which does include five of their last six played on their own home court. I feel, on both sides of the court, NY has a little too much, and they're certainly better coached. Take the Knicks. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Slam Dunk.

Game 430.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

The Golden State Warriors, and their extensive playoff experience is showing what it takes to win this time of year. They have the opportunity to finish out this series, and get some well-needed rest before the next round. This is a good road team, possessing an overall away record of 25-18 this season. They have covered six of their last seven games played as a visitor as well. With all respect to the Houston Rockets, they have now dropped six of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread. They have a ton of talent, folks. But they don't have the playoff experience to contend with their counterpart here. Take the Warriors. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

SLAM DUNK.

Game 561.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Game 3's can sometimes be tricky in the NBA. Especially when a team goes on the road after winning the first two of the series. But I don't see anything tricky about the Cavaliers/Heat matchup. Cleveland has dominated Miami, taking four in a row, all in 2025. There are an excellent road team, sporting a 30-11 away record this season. They enter this matchup winning seven of their last 10 straight, up and four of the last six against the spread. This does include ATS covers in the last two games played on the road at the Knicks, and the Pacers. Meanwhile, the Heat are struggling, dropping six of their last 10 straight up, which does include three of their last four played at home. I just don't see them deep enough, or talented enough to compete in this matchup. I also don't see the Cavaliers letting their foot off the gas here. There is no way they're gonna’ allow Miami to get back in this series. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

OKC THUNDER.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 545.

6:30 M ST930 PM EST.

The first two games of this series were played at the Paycom Center, in which the Thunder were favorites of 13.0 and 14.0 points. They covered both of those games. As a matter of fact, they've taken 10 in a row over the Grizzlies, covering nine of the 10, which does include all six meetings this season. In the six matchups this campaign, they have won by 24, 13, 17, 21, 51, and 19 points. There is no question they outclass the Memphis. They enter this matchup covering six consecutive games, and eight of their last overall 10 contests. They are one of the best road teams in the NBA, going 32-8 away from home this season. They're also, overall, on the campaign, 57-24-4 against the spread. They will not allow their opponent to gain any ground here. Once again, their high-flying offense will light up the scoreboard against one of the poorest defenses in basketball. Take OKC. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 541.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

With the Golden State Warriors at full strength, this is a time of year this team specifically, will shine. They have several players with a ton of playoff experience. While the Houston Rockets are a good team, they lack postseason seasoning. That was evident in Game 1 of this series in which the Warriors, on the road took down the Rockets, 95-85. Houston pulled down 22 offensive rebounds to just six offensive boards for Golden State. But yet their advantage in second-chance opportunities was absolutely horrible Steph Curry took the game on his shoulders. The one-two punch of him and Jimmy Butler, is phenomenal. Yes, the Warriors let a very large lead dwindle. But they still took the game at the end, and did what they had to do. That is because of the experience they possess in playoff games. Making them this much of an underdog is a mistake. They know they must not allow their opponent to even up this series before going home for the next two matchups. Take Golden State. Thank you.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS.

LATE BAILOUT.

Game 515.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

Sports fans, I understand why the line is what it is. But I do feel the oddsmakers are looking to put you in a bear trap here. Golden State is a deep team, a talented team, and is a very good road team. They face a Houston opponent that is a very good team, too. However, they did lose and fail to cover their final three regular season games. They face a very frustrating defense here. They did take the most recent meeting about two weeks ago at Golden State, as the team limited Steph Curry to just three-points. As one of the best players in the history of this league, and one of the most experience players as well, I see Curry coming back here with a vengeance, making a statement, and bringing a victory to his team. Take the Warriors. Thank you.

OKC THUNDER.

FAST BREAK.

Game 514.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Don't think for a single second that this is a lot of points. Oklahoma City is one of the best home teams in the NBA, at 35-6 at the Paycom Center. They are also 55-24-4 ATS this season. They have dominated Memphis, taking nine consecutive games straight up, covering eight of the nine. They have won and covered all four a matchups this season by 24 points, 13 points, 17 points, and 21 points. I just don't see the Grizzlies competing defensively against a top-five offense in every major category. Let's not forget the Thunder also possess the league’s second-best defense as well. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 507.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

I know this game is being played in L.A. But Minnesota has given Los Angeles some headaches over recent seasons. I feel the Lakers are being overvalued here, for sure. The Timberwolves enter this matchup winning eight of their last nine games straight up, and covering six of those nine, which does include three or five on the road. Let's face it, the Lakers have some high-profile players. But their numbers are middle of the road. Minnesota scores more on offense, allows less on defense, is better from downtown, both offensively and defensively, is better from the free-throw line, is better at both of the court on the boards, and owns better numbers defensively. For the life of me, I feel the oddsmakers are putting this number out so high because they know LeBron James and company is going to get money wagered on them. In all sincerity, I think this game should be closer to a Pick ‘em. So. I'll take the points and take the Timberwolves. Thank you.

Detroit Pistons.

LVSM.

Game 501.

3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST.

I don't know if you're aware of this, but I am a born and raised New York Knicks fan. And yet, I think they're significantly overvalued in this matchup. Yes, they are playing at home where they're 27-14 straight up this season. But this team struggled a bit down the stretch, dropping four of their last seven games straight up. They also had a lot of problems with the Detroit Pistons, losing and failing to cover the three most recent matchups in December, January, and April. By the way, two of those three matchups were played at Madison Square Garden. Speaking of the Pistons, Cade Cunningham is going to be back on the court (check status). They were very successful on the road this season, possessing a 22-19 away record. New York puts up solid statistics at both ends of the court. But I just don't think they should be this high of a favorite in this matchup, particularly against a Detroit defense that is top-five on the defensive glass. They will take away a lot of second-chance opportunities for the Knicks, and give themselves more opportunities in transition. Take the points with the Pistons. Thank you.

Milwaukee Bucks.

Slam Dunk.

Game 503.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Bucks really have something to prove in this matchup. They come into the Gainbridge Fieldhouse to face a Pacers team they have dominated of late, taking four of the last six meetings straight up, covering five of those six games, which does include four consecutive ATS covers, and yet, they are heavy underdog. They also enter this game one of the hottest teams in the NBA, winning eight in a row straight up, and covering seven of those eight outings. This does include ATS covers in three of their last four on the road. This team certainly is more successful when Damian Lillard is on the floor. Latest news (check status) is he will be missing Game 1, for sure. I feel Milwaukee still has a lot of fire power. If you have kept up with Lillard’s injury, he hasn't taken the court since March 18. This is a team that puts up some solid numbers at both ends of the court, tops the NBA in three-point shooting, and it's definitely frustrating on defense, where they rank in the top-10 in most categories. Indiana can score. But their defense is deplorable. They themselves, have some players that are either out, questionable, or not back at full strength. I feel that you'll see Giannis Antetokounmpo light up the scoreboard, and put up some of his best postseason numbers ever. This is way too many points to give the Bucks. Take Milwaukee. Thank you.

Duke Blue Devil's.

Game 680.

545 PM PST/8:45 PM EST.

There is no question both Houston and Duke have earned the right to be in the Final Four. They sported two of the best records in college basketball this season, and from their season-openers straight on through to the postseason, and into this Tournament they have dominated just about all comers. I think the big difference here would be depth and coaching. I give an edge in both of those categories to the Blue Devils. Yes, they also score a few more points on offense, are more accurate overall from the floor, and are better from the free-throw line as well. They're also a little bit stronger on the offensive glass, folks. I feel second-chance opportunities is going to be huge in this specific matchup. We all know how good the Cougars defense is, ranking No. 1 in the nation. But the Blue Devils “D” is just as frustrating. They're also just as tough on the defensive glass. Please understand, while I think Houston is one of the best teams in the nation, they've only been made an underdog once this entire season. That's got a weigh on them psychologically here. Oh, by the way, not only has Duke only lost one game since the end of November, they've also been covering quite a bit as well, as they finished their regular season covering seven straight games, and have covered four of their last five in the playoffs/postseason. Take Duke. Thank You.

Boise State Broncos.

Game 670.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, the seat CBC is proving to be an exciting Tournament, and today in the Butler/Boise State matchup, I think we're gonna’ see another good game. Butler just took down Utah on Monday, 86-84, as a 3.5-point underdog. That was only their second win and cover over their last seven games. Boise State took down George Washington on Monday with authority, crushing them by 30, 89-59 as an 8.5-point favorite. That was their eighth straight up victory over their last 10 outings, and their seventh cover during that span. I know the Bulldogs play in a more physical conference, and have three very strong forwards upfront. But the Broncos defense is stifling, yielding just 66.3-points per game, and when they have stepped out of their conference, they’ve held nonconference opponents scores very low. By the way, they also have a very strong front court of three starting forwards, and rotate in a few others. Believe it or not, they are also better on the offensive side in the scoring, shoot better from the free-throw line, are better from the three-point line, and superior at both ends of the court on the boards. Take Boise State here. Thank you.

Auburn Tigers.

Crusher Play.

Game 646.

2:05 PM PM PST/5:05 PM EST.

While Michigan State has played some very solid basketball recently, yesterday’s matchup against Mississippi blue-printed a way to actually beat them. And that way is tailor-made for Auburn to take advantage. It is by no accident the Tigers are the No. 1 seed in the south. This is a team that owns an overall record of 31-5, and has covered 20 of their 36 lined games this season. Both defenses can be frustrating. But the Auburn offense is more explosive, far superior, far more accurate, and better from downtown. They have a little bit more muscle upfront as well. I think that'll be a big difference here in this matchup take the Tigers. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers.

Hight Roller.

Game 647.

11:20 AM PST/2:20 PM EST.

Odds makers don't have to make a line sharp. They just have to make it enticing to take wagers on both sides of the game. That is the case in this matchup. While Houston deserves to be a small favorite here, Tennessee matches up with them very well. There is no question the Cougars are a fan favorite, thus compelling odds makers to inflate their numbers. They had some problems against Gonzaga and Purdue in this tournament. Meanwhile Tennessee absolutely devoured both UCLA and Kentucky in the Big Dance. Both teams score about the same. And yes, the Houston defense tops the nation. However, the Volunteers "D" isn't far behind them. They are just as frustrating, and just as good on the glass. This game is gonna’ come down to the final possessions. I think the line is a little bit off. Take Tennessee. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 641.

5:45 PM PST/8:45 PM EST.

Without question, Duke is a very talented basketball team, and are playing incredibly right now. But very simply, this is way too many points to give a very talented Alabama opponent. For starters, if they win here, this will be the first Final Four appearance for the Blue Devils since Coach K was at the helm. However, the Crimson Tide made it to the Final Four last season. At both ends of the court Duke possesses great numbers, particularly on the defensive side. However, they match up here against the No. 1 scoring offense in the nation, averaging over 91.1 points per game, along with the second-best college basketball offensive rebounding group out there. They are extremely accurate, and possess the big men upfront to give them the added muscle they need to content here. Both teams have talented back courts. But I really feel giving the Crimson Tide, and they're explosive offense this many points is a mistake. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Florida Gator.

Bookie Buster Play

Game 632.

4:35 PM PST/7:35 PM EST.

I wanna’ give a big shout out to the Maryland terrapins as they finished the regular season in second-place in the very competitive Big Ten Conference, and they’ve played very well in this tournament. Tallying a record of 27-8, we have watched them place in amazing basketball at times this season. But at times we have also watched them play some less than stellar basketball as well. I wouldn’t exactly classify them as inconsistent. But I really don't feel they’re in the class of their opponent they face here today. During the regular season there were an underdog against Purdue in early-December, losing and failing to cover. They were a ‘dog against Oregon at the beginning January, covering the number but losing outright. They did win and cover as a doggie at Illinois towards the end of January. But once again, the beginning of February as a ‘dog, they lost and failed to cover at Ohio State. I think we all watched back at the beginning of this month when they took down Michigan on the road as they're biggest victory this season. But they have not gone up against a team this postseason that they were not favored over. Yes, they beat Illinois in their conference tournament opener. But then lost to Michigan. In this tournament, they played Grand Canyon and Colorado State, teams they were favored by 9.5 and 8.5-points. I just don't see this team facing the level of competition and stepping up that they're going to face and need to step up to today. By the way they're also just 19-16 against the spread this season. The Florida Gators are the No. 1 seed in the West regional. They are 32-4 overall, and have covered 26 of their 36 outings. They enter this matchup taking no prisoners. This is a monster team, folks. They've only dropped four games this season, as I mentioned a moment ago. They've also covered 20 of their final 25 regular season games. Then they went through the postseason, crushing everybody in their way. The Terrapins can score, and have a good defense. But they're going up against a team with a better offense, a deeper team, a superior rebounding core, and a more frustrating defense as well. I just don't see them competing in the matchup at all. I think this line should be at least 8 to 10-points. So, I will take Florida. Thank you.

Orlando Magic.

LVSM PLAY.

Game 565.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

The Orlando Magic are currently sitting in the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference. They certainly can use some victories right now. They enter tonight’s contest winning two in a row, and five of their last eight straight up, covering six of those eight outings. During that span, they have covered five of six games played on the road. They have dominated the Charlotte Hornets, taking eight of the last nine matchups, both straight up and against the spread. This does include wins and covers in all three meetings this season. Speaking of the Hornets, they are really struggling, and my opinion, they're not playing for anything, and they've thrown in the towel on the season already. They have dropped six of their last 10 straight up, and have failed to cover five of their last seven against the spread. I just don't see them putting up too much of a fight here, at all. This is one of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference, let alone the entire NBA. The Magic needs a game, and will get it. Take Orlando. Thank you.

Boston Celtics.

Fast Break Winner.

Game 561.

7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST.

Boston is a phenomenal squad, and they are heading back to the playoffs once again this season. The Celtics are currently surging, winning nine of their last 10 straight up, and covering six of those 10 outings. Meanwhile, Sacramento is struggling, dropping seven of the last nine SU, and five of their last seven ATS. The reason why I like the Celtics so much here is because in the only matchup with the Kings this season, back in the second week of January at home, they were embarrassed, 114-97. They have an opportunity to give a little payback, and exact some revenge in this contest. I just see this game getting truly out of hand. Take Boston. Thank you.

Chicago Bulls.

LVSM.

Game 557.

6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST.

Currently, Chicago is sitting in the ninth spot in the Eastern Conference, at 31-40. They need to put some victories on their record. They enter this matchup striding, winning seven of their last nine straight up, and eight of those nine against the spread. They face a Denver opponent tonight they have taken down in the only meeting this season, back at the January at home, 129-121. The Nuggets are a good team, no doubt about that. They are also a very good team when playing at the Ball Arena. But they have been overvalued, only covering three of their last nine overall. Going back a bit, they have failed to cover seven consecutive contests played on their own court. Take the Bulls. Thank you.

Well folks, the janitor of the Sportsbetting industry, yours truly, swept the board again last night in college basketball, going 3-0 in tournament play: UConn, Duke, and Alabama all got us paid. Overall, I am riding a 25-10 college basketball run. But the winning just doesn't stop there. I've won seven of my last 10 in NBA, and I am on a 62.5% NHL hot streak. No matter how you slice it, if you follow me, you will get you paid. I've got three big premium releases in the NBA going off tonight: my Slam Dunk, which are on a 5-1 run, my Las Vegas Strip Move, and my Fast Break Winner. Get all three and go 3-0.

For Todays Free Play winner: Toronto Raptors.

Game 547.

4:10 PM PST/ 7:10 PM EST.

Normally my friends, I don't come in with teams that aren’t playing for anything this late in the season. And it's true, both the Wizards and the Raptors are going to be two lottery-bound teams. But I think the situation here heavily favors the visitor. Giving them points I feel as a mistake. To say the Toronto has dominated the Washington would be an understatement. They have taken seven of the last nine meetings in this rivalry, both straight up and against the spread. This does include two of three this season. They enter this matchup ice-cold, dropping four in a row. But don't be concerned about that as the home team has also dropped four in a row coming into tonight. The big difference for us, Toronto has been covering. They have covered seven of their last 10, which does include four of their last five as a visitor. Washington has dropped three straight on their own home court. I just feel the Raptors have a little more pride, are a little deeper with talent, and have the Wizards number. I feel the visitor should be a favorite. So, I will take advantage of the odds makers mistake here. I will take the Raptors. Thank you.

Los Angeles Lakers.

Slam Dunk.

Game 549.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Going to keep this break down very short and very sweet, just like me LOL. Los Angeles took their worst defensive beating this season in their last outing, allowing Chicago to decimate them for 146-points, in a 31-point loss. I look for the Lakers to come back tonight, and make a statement here. Yes, Orlando is a good team, and yes, they have been covering. But the Lakers are prideful team, and let's face it, they are full of ego. After their last outing, getting shredded, looking bad, and being embarrassed, they will come out here with something to prove. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

No Limit.

Game 862.

3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST.

Playing in the SEC, and averaging over 91.1-points per game offensively, in my opinion trumps playing in the WCC, and allowing just 60.8-points per game. Here we see the nations top-scoring offense go up against a top-five defense. But on a regular basis the Crimson Tide certainly face better opponents than the Gaels. They're also the second-best team in college basketball on the offensive glass, giving them a lot of second-chance opportunities. They shoot better from the free-throw line, and hit over 48.3% overall from the floor. This is an accurate team. I think this game might be competitive for a little bit. But Alabama has way too much talent. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you.

Duke Blue Devils.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 858.

11:40 AM PST/2:40 PM EST.

Duke is taking no prisoners this season, accumulating an overall record of 35-3 and covering 21 of the 31 lined games, and playing in their own backyard here, will give the team a boost. They have laid double-digits 27 times this season, covering 19 of the 27. On both sides of the court, they are spectacular. They are significantly better from beyond the arc as well as a free-throw lines, and I just don't see Baylor competing on the boards here. If you're concerned about the number, don't be. The Bears have lost by double-digits six times this season: Gonzaga crushed by 38, Tennessee wins by 15, Iowa State routed by 19, Arizona wins by 11, Texas Tech dumped them by 14, and Houston dumped them by 11 as well. I also expect the Blue Devils to come in here with fresher legs as they had a much easier time in their last outing, decimating the Mountaineers by 44, while the Bears had a tough outing, squeaking by the Bulldogs by three. By the way, Duke has covered nine of their last 11, while Baylor has failed to cover 13 of their last 16. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you.

UConn Huskies.

Crusher Play.

Game 859.

9:10 PM PST/12:10 PM EST.

This is way too many points to give a Huskies squad with a stifling defense, and a monster core of rebounders. They also hit almost 80% from the line. Big edge there. Tale Connecticut. Thank you

Tennessee Volunteers.

Game 822.

6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST.

I'm going to keep this breakdown just like me, short and sweet LOL. UCLA is a good team. But they struggled this season in Big Ten play when facing top conference opponents, and physical opponents as well. I just don't see them matching up in anyway with Tennessee. The Volunteers are a monster team That have no problem beating down opponents. It's true, once December arrived, they were erratic against the spread, and towards the end of the regular season, they were just downright crushing anybody who bet on them. But the odds makers were inflating their lines, my friends. Don't fall for that trap here. Their defense is stifling. That rank 11th on the defensive side in points allowed, third in field goal percentage allowed, first in three-point percentage allowed, and 18th on the defensive boards, and they went up against some very tough offenses this season. The Bruins just don't have the offense to measure up here. Yes, they have a pretty good defense themselves. But not enough to contain the Volunteers for double-digit scorers. This is a team that's just as talented upfront as they are in the backcourt. I think this game gets ugly. Take Tennessee. Thank you.

Creighton Blue Jays.

Game 819.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Sportsbetting isn't about who wins. It is about who covers. Let's face it, we're not in this for fun. We're in this to make money. And I'm here to tell you Auburn is giving way too many points to Creighton in this matchup. While the Tigers are a very good team, I feel the odds makers are overvaluing them as they have failed to cover five straight, and seven of the last nine outings. Creighton enters this matchup covering five of their last seven, and playing some very competitive basketball. Ryan Kalkbrenner is going to be a major factor here. The 7’1”, 270-lb, center is a force to be reckoned with in the paint. Auburn relies heavily on their team playing physical basketball down low. Let's face it, both defenses allow about the same. Yes, the Tigers do score more. But the Blue Jays are just as accurate, and just about as good from both the free-throw, and three-point areas. Both teams are solid on the boards. I think this game is a lot more evenly matched up than what the line is reflecting. This is way too many points. Take Creighton. Thank you.

Drake Bulldogs.

Game 825.

3:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

This matchup is being played in Wichita, Kansas. The Drake Bulldogs didn't just take the regular season and tournament crowns in the Missouri Valley, they also amassed a record of 31-3 overall this season. As a road team, they were excellent, winning nine of their 10 as a visitor. This is a team that took down Miami, Florida Atlantic, Vanderbilt, and Kansas State during the regular season. And you saw what they did to Missouri just two days ago. By the way, they are red-hot, winning 19 of their last 20 games played straight up. They've also covered three of four matchups in the playoffs/ postseason. They have a great back court, and an offense overall that ranks 20th, hitting over 48.6% from the floor. That would be enough for me to raise an eyebrow here. But they rank second nationally on defense, yielding just 59.2-points per game, and they are the top defensive rebounding core in the nation. Yes, Texas Tech deserves to be here. But I feel because they are mediocre on the boards at both ends of the court, they're going get a lot of second-chance opportunities taken away from them. They will also give their opponent a lot of second-chance opportunities as well. They do shoot pretty well from outside. But they face a very frustrating “D” from downtown. This is way too many points. Take Drake. Thank you.

Michigan State.

Game 788.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

After seeing a couple of very close games in yesterday’s Rd. 1 matchups, and of course McNeese State besting Clemson, I doubt very much Michigan State will take this game lightly. I am aware most of the money is coming in on Bryant. But this team has only stepped up in class twice this season, and got crushed in both outings. They faced Saint John's in mid-December, and lost by 22, and two weeks later faced Grand Canyon, and lost by 46. Those are the only two teams they had to worry about, and they lost badly in both contests. The Spartans crushed everybody in their way this season, particularly in their own conference against some very, very strong teams. Bryant is all about the offense, averaging over 82.1-points per game. They're also pretty good on the offensive glass as well. But that's where their strengths end. They go up against one of the most frustrating defenses in the country, that also ranks as one of the best on the defensive boards. That would be enough for me to raise an eyebrow here. However, the Spartans put up almost 80 PPG themselves, hit over 78% from the free-throw line, and are one of the best in the nation, ranking 11th on the offensive glass. Right now, neither of these teams know who they will play in the next round as the winner will go up against the Marquette/New Mexico winner. So, I don't see MSU looking ahead here either. I think they come out, take no prisoners, and send Bryant home very early. Take the Spartans. Thank you.

Connecticut Huskies.

Game 784.

6:25 PM PST/9:25 PM EST.

Both Connecticut and Oklahoma will have their hands full in this matchup, and I doubt very much either will be in a look ahead mode with a probable matchup in the next round vs. Florida. The Huskies are 14-4 in Big Dance games under Dan Hurley. The coach brought them two National Titles over the last two seasons. This is familiar territory for the team. While Oklahoma is a formidable foe, they really hit a snag in the second half of their season. They began the regular season winning their first 13 contests. However, they finished the regular season dropping 12 of their final 18 outings. While they played well in the playoffs taking down Georgia and losing a one-point heartbreaker at the hands of Kentucky, this team just doesn't measure up here. Yes, they have covered their last seven outings. But this is a whole different monster facing the very physical UConn squad. The Huskies played well out of the conference, taking down such notables as the Baylor Bears, Texas Longhorns, and Gonzaga Bulldogs. They also held their own finishing third in the very competitive, Big East conference. They finished their regular season winning four in a row straight up, and covering their final three games. They devoured Villanova in the postseason, only to be embarrassed taking a nine-point loss as a four-point favorite in their last game against Creighton. I feel they bounce back here strong, and get back on track to compete for another National Title. Both teams have been running with three big men, and two guards as a starting lineup in the playoffs. This will be a big advantage for the Huskies. While both teams average about the same and scoring offensively, Oklahoma has a slight edge, both from downtown, and from the free-throw line. However, Connecticut possesses a swarming, and frustrating defense that allows a mere, 68.0-points per game, and rank second nationally on the defensive boards. They will take away a lot of their opponents second-chance opportunities here. They're also monsters on the offensive glass as well, giving themselves more second-chance opportunities. They’re are way too big, and way too strong in this matchup. BTW, this game is being played in Raleigh, North Carolina, you will see quite a few more Connecticut fans. BTW, they are also a better road team going 7-4 away from home compared to Okie, who went 2-7 on the road. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

Saint Mary’s.

Game 790.

12:15 PM PST/3:15 PM EST.

They say offense gets the glory, but defense gets the win. St. Mary's possesses one of the best defenses in college basketball today, ranking fifth in the nation, yielding just 60.8-points per game. They allow just 40.8% overall from the floor, 31.6% from downtown, and rank fourth in the nation on the defensive boards. When it comes to defense, Vanderbilt has none. They're absolutely deplorable at the stop end of the court. They rely solely upon their offense, which does account for over 79.7-points per game. However, they are not very good overall in shooting percentage from the floor, three-point percentage, or even from the free-throw line. They're also atrocious on the offensive boards. They do have three double-digits scorers. But so does the Gaels. This is also a team that disposed of opponents like Nebraska, USC, and Utah in nonconference competition this regular season. Remarkably, they haven't allowed a single opponent in their 33 games played, to post better than 75 points. They have too much defensively. Not to forget, a very experienced team, and a very experienced coach. Take Saint Mary's. Thank you.

Memphis Tigers.

Game 806.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

How about the No. 5 seed getting points against the No. 12 seed? It puzzles me as well, my friends. While Colorado State is getting most of the money from the general public, and does come in here red-hot, winning and covering 10 straight games, Memphis has been playing well themselves. They have won 16 of their last 17 straight up. Granted, they are not very good against the number. But this team has a lot of talent. Maybe many out there have forgotten that during the regular season they took down Missouri, UNLV, San Francisco, Connecticut, Michigan State, Clemson, Virginia, and Mississippi. They are no strangers to stepping up in big game situations. By the way, Colorado state got embarrassed by Mississippi in a mid-November matchup. Not only that, but they also lost to some other teams they should've played well against. Both teams play in competitive conferences, and both finished pretty well in their perspective conferences. While the Rams account for 75.3-points per game, and only allow 67.1-points per game, the Tigers post over 80.0-points per game, and allow just 73.0-points per game. They are much better at both ends of the court on the boards as well, with a bigger, and stronger front court. Oh, by the way, they're also monsters from downtown. I think the wrong team is favored here. They are also 10-2 as a visitor this season. Take Memphis. Thank you.

St. John's Red Storm.

Game 752.

6:45 PM PST/9:45 PM EST.

The Red Storm is in the Big Dance for the first time since 2019. They have a coach who has been to the Final Four seven times, and has walked away with two National Titles. They play in one of the most competitive, and most physical conferences in college basketball, and they finished with both, the regular season, and Conference Tournament Crowns. This is a team that has won nine straight games, covering all three in the postseason. They are no strangers to laying big numbers. I mean, they've covered double-digits against Fordham, Quinnipiac, Virginia, Kansas State, Bryant, DePaul, Seton Hall twice, and Butler. They have no problems crushing lesser opponents. Meanwhile, with all respect to the Summit League’s top-team, the Omaha Mavericks have failed miserably when they step up in class. Yes, they covered against Minnesota and UNLV early on this season. But they got crushed by Northern Iowa and Iowa State. Let's face it, they also took a bad beating by Abilene Christian as well. They have won and covered all three of their playoff matchups, too. But playing an opponent like they're going to see in the opening round, who has lost just one game in 2025, is going to be fatal for this team. The Red Storm will have to play either the Razorbacks or the Jayhawks in the next round. I believe they'll come out here to make a statement, not just to their next opponent, but to the entire West Regional. I feel coach Rick Pitino is going to take no prisoners here. Take St. John's. Thank you.

Drake Bulldogs.

Game 765.

4:35 PM PST/7:35 PM EST.

Of all the Thursday games, I feel this just might be the one in which the line is most off. Yes, I am aware Missouri plays in the SEC, and owns an overall record of 22-11. But they really struggled down the road. They dropped their final three regular season games, and got humiliated by Florida in their last outing. They have failed to cover four of their last five overall matchups. Yes, they started the campaign off on fire. But then the end of December came, and they started struggling. Granted, the Missouri Valley isn't the SEC. But the Drake Bulldogs took the regular season crown, and the Conference Tournament Title as well. They finished with an overall record of 30-3. Something that I checked, and rechecked was Drake stepping up in class four times this regular season. All four times they won outright. They took down Miami by 11, FAU by 12, Vanderbilt by 11, and Kansas State by three. By the way, they kept all four of those opponents to 70-points or less. You may not realize this, but this team possesses the No. 2 overall defense in the nation, allowing just 59.2-points per game. They are also monsters at defending the arc, and own the No. 1 defensive rebounding core in college basketball. Yes, Missouri possesses as a top-10 offense, accounting for over 84.5-points per game. But their defense leaves a lot to be desired, and they really do rely upon their outside shooting. Not only that, but the Tigers are absolutely horrible on the offensive boards. That is where this game will be won, as their opponent will take away a lot of second-chance opportunities. I think this line should be a lot lower. Take Drake. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers.

Game 760.

3:50 PM PST/6:50 PM EST.

Wofford and Tennessee met in November of 2023, as the Volunteers prevailed 82-61. The Terriers are a good team. Let's face it, they have won and covered all three of their postseason games thus far. But looking at their regular season schedule, they've only stepped up in class twice. They got decimated in mid-November by the Duke Blue Devils, 86-35. They did get an outright three-point victory over the St. Louis Billikens a month later. But I think we can all agree, the Billikens not really a formidable foe. I think we can also all agree the Southern Conference cannot compare in any way to the Southeastern Conference. Wofford finished 10-8 in conference play this season, and sported an overall record of 19-15. Tennessee finished fourth in the SEC, going 12-6 in league play, enroute to an overall record of 27-7. When this team played lesser opponents earlier on in the schedule, they devoured them. They took down Webber by 16, Montana by 35, Austin Peay by 35, Tennessee Martin by 43, Western Carolina by 48, Middle Tennessee by 18, and Norfolk by 15. They are not afraid to run up the score. They are also no strangers to covering double-digits point spreads. Please remember they took down some great teams this season with authority as well. The list is so long, I'll save you the death toll. Losing to the Gators in their last outing is going to further motivate this team. They will send a message to the rest of the Midwest representatives here. They possess one of the most frustrating defenses in the nation, allowing just 63.1-points per game, on 38.2% shooting overall from the floor, and just 27.8% from beyond the arc. They will also dominate the boards as well. They will crush it. Take Tennessee. Thank you.

Dayton Flyers.

Game 717.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, there is no way the Flyers should be underdog here or even a Pickem. They should definitely be at least a basket or two favorite. This is a very good basketball team. They enter this matchup winning seven of their last 10 straight up, and two of their last three against the spread. Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic comes in here dropping five of their last eight straight up, and only covering two of their last 10 overall. Dayton has taken down such notables this season as Northwestern, Connecticut, Marquette, UNLV, Saint Louis, and Virginia Commonwealth. They also hung in tight dropping a late-November matchup on a neutral site against North Carolina, covering but losing 92-90. Not to mention they lost by five getting double-digits against Iowa State the next day. When this team steps up, they play very strong. Meanwhile, FAU lost early to Central Florida, College of Charleston, Drake, Seton Hall, and even Florida Gulf Coast. They took beatings from Michigan State, Memphis twice, North Texas twice Wichita, and UAB. They have been point spread poison this season, covering just 12 of 32 overall contests. Their defense has been getting steamrolled. I just don't see them competing on the boards in this match up either. The Flyers have kept some solid opponents at bay on the scoreboard. I feel they'll do the same here. This line is off. Take Dayton. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers.

Game 613.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

I feel the line here should be at most a basket or so. Especially because it is being played in Nashville. These two SEC powerhouses are both monster teams. As you know, Auburn took the regular season crown, going 15-3 in conference play, while Tennessee was a very respectable, 12-6 against SEC opponents this season. Yes, the Tigers took the only meeting this season over the Volunteers, 53-51 at home back at the end of January. But Tennessee has won three of the last five meetings SU and covered three of the last five ATS, which includes ATS covers in the last two most recent matchups. They also enter this game a lot hotter, winning nine of their last 11 SU, while Auburn dropped two of their last three SU. Yes, it's true, neither team has been consistent against the number recently. However, the Tigers have failed to cover three in a row, and five of their last seven games. Overall, we have got one of the best offenses in the country going against one of the best defenses. The Tigers account for over 85.2-points per game. But defensively they give up a lot of points. Meanwhile, the Volunteers have a solid offense, for sure. But it is their defense which has brought them success this season ranking seventh in the nation, and allowing a mere 62.0-points per game, also ranking first in field goal percentage allowed, and second in three-point percentage allowed. By the way, they're also better on the defensive boards, which will give their opponent less second-chance opportunities. One more item folks: Tennessee had a much easier time yesterday taking down Texas, 83-72. A game in which they had in hand from the opening tip off. Meanwhile, Auburn had a very tough time with the pesky Mississippi opponent, eking out of five-point victory. But once again failing to cover. Take the points with the Volunteers. Thank you.

Florida Gators.

Game 838.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

I'm not a big fan of laying big numbers, especially in these conference tournaments. But Florida comes in here well rested, winning and covering, and looking for a little revenge. The Gators have not taken the court since March 8. They are also on a great run, going 9-1 both straight up and against the spread their last 10 games. Not only that, but this is a team that hasn't suffered too many losses this season. One of those losses was against the Tigers at home in their only matchup this season back in mid-January. It was a heartbreaker in which they lost 83-82 late in the game. Florida has been money to sports bettor’s most of the season, covering 23 of their 31 outings. Not only that, but this is a team that covers big numbers. They have covered 12 of their last 14 games played being favored of 8.5 for more points. Don't get me wrong, Missouri can play. But playing back-to-back days against a team like they're going to face today is going to be tough for them. Remember, this is a team that lost four of their last six, both straight up and against the number. While they do have a strong, deep team, they just don't have the defense. Both teams rank in the top-10 in scoring, and both are pretty good from downtown. But Florida’s defense allows a mere 68.2 points per game on 39.5% shooting, and ranks in the top-10 at defending the three. I'll take the Gators here. Thank you.

St. John's Red Storm.

Game 850.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

My friends, St. John's took both meetings against Marquette this season, straight up and against the spread. Granted, the early-February matchup they took by four-points, and the early-March matchup they took in overtime by two-points. However, the Golden Eagles have been point spread poison, failing to cover three in a row, and seven of their last 10, while the Red Storm have covered five of their last six. Both teams played yesterday as Marquette went to the mat in a tough, physical two-point victory over Xavier. Meanwhile, St. John's had a much easier time crushing Butler by 21-points. In both meetings this season the Red Storm outrebounded the Golden Eagles. They are much stronger on the offensive boards, giving them more second-chance opportunities, and their defense is certainly more frustrating. One more item folks: St. John’s is perfect at home this season at 18-0, and playing at home this season at Carnesecca Arena. Playing in Madison Square Garden is their second-home. Take SJU. Thank you.

Colorado State Rams.

Game 782.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

I think the line is way off in this matchup. I understand Nevada is playing in their home state. But here in Las Vegas, they despise the Wolfpack. They enter this matchup losing three in a row, and seven of the last 10 matchups with the Rams. They have lost and failed to cover the last three, including both this season. This is a team that does not travel well, and has not played well at all against conference opponents. Meanwhile CSU is on fire, winning and covering seven straight, and eight of their last nine overall games. I must tell you, this line is way short. The Rams account for more points on offense, give up less points on defense, are much better on the boards, and significantly stronger from the line. I see them winning by about double-digits. Take CSU. Thank you.

Xavier Musketeers.

Game 740.

11:30 AM PST/2:30 PM EST.

Both Marquette and Xavier last played on March 8, and should come in here with fresh legs. The Musketeers took the most recent meeting between these two conference rivals back in mid-January on the road, 59-57. As a matter of fact, both matchups this season were settled by two-points. The Golden Eagles haven't been so golden, losing and failing to cover their last two outings. Meanwhile, Xavier is red-hot, winning seven in a row, and covering five of those seven contests. The difference here is the stellar outside, and far better free-throw shooting by the Musketeers. Thanks Xavier plus the points. Thank you.

Arkansas Razorbacks.

Game 769.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Arkansas enters this matchup coming off a big, 72-68 win against South Carolina yesterday, while Mississippi hasn't stepped on the court since March 8, a road defeat at the hands of Florida, 90-71. That loss was their fourth over their last six games straight up, and there seventh over their last eight games against the spread. They did take down the Razorbacks in the only matchup this season back at the beginning of January on the road, 73-66. But Arkansas enters this match up hotter, winning five of their last six straight up, and five of their last seven against the number. Yes, the Rebels possess six double-digit scorers. But only account for 1.0 more PPG than their opponent. I do see a mismatch on the boards here. The Razorbacks come in here hotter, and ride momentum from yesterday's win. By the way, the game wasn't as close as the score against the Gamecocks. They had a 20-point lead at one point, and just started pulling their starters to keep them fresh for today's contest. Take the points with the Razorbacks. Thank you.

Syracuse Orange

Game 653.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

I'd like to discuss a late game being played in the Atlantic Coast Conference tonight as Syracuse and SMU face off at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. These two teams met once this season, just eight days ago where the Mustangs were a 13.0-point favorite at home, and eked out a two-point victory, 77-75. I know there's a big difference between their records as Syracuse is 14-18 overall, and SMU, is a very respectable, 22-9 on the campaign. But the Orange enter this matchup, winning their last two, covering three in a row, and six of their last seven. Meanwhile, I think it would be safe to say the Mustangs are point spread poison, failing to cover six of their last seven outings. Syracuse has a very big, very strong frontcourt, and they really do run with four big men most of the time. SMU just doesn't have the muscle down low to cover this number in this matchup. Yes, statistically they put up better numbers on both sides of the court, and hit 38% from downtown. But I just think this is way too many points to give a team like the Orange who, let's face it are a scrappy squad. Too many points here. Play the doggie here. (Woof Woof). Take ‘Cuse and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Kansas State Wildcats.

Game 659

4:00 PM PST 11:00 PM EST.

These teams met only once this season as Baylor took a home meeting back in the third week of January, 70-62. But not only did Kansas State cover that matchup, they also won the three previous meetings, and covered all three of those as well. One thing for sure about the Bears, they have been overvalued by oddsmakers this season, only covering one of their last 10, and three of their last 17 overall contests. Yes, on paper they put up some better numbers. But I do feel Baylor is being overvalued by the oddsmakers again. Take Kansas State. Thank you.

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 Tuesday’s FREE WINNER: Los Angeles Clippers.

Game 563.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

 This is a game if the line will be a little bit lower would've probably been a premium release for me. As of posting this play, the Clippers are lying about six-points. They enter this matchup looking to better their situation in the Western Conference. They currently sit in the eighth spot at 35-29 overall, winning three in a row. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are dwelling in the 14th spot in the West, at 17-48, and are riding a four-game straight up losing streak. They lost a heartbreaker last night at home against Memphis. While they did cover the game (their first ATS cover in their last six outings), I just don't think they have what it takes to bounce back in this situation. I think they got the wind knocked out of them last night, and it's going to sting for a few days. The Clippers took the only meeting this season against the Pelicans back at the end of December on the road, 116-113. Obviously, New Orleans has been hit by the injury bug pretty badly. Plus, it looks like (check status) some of their starting playmakers might be out resting this evening. While their defense is one of the worst in the NBA, ranking 26th, and getting plowed over 119.1 points per game, they are also horrible in most major defensive categories. The rank 29th in field goal percentage allowed, and 29th on the defensive boards. That would be bad enough. But their offense is absolutely atrocious. Granted, Los Angeles is struggling offensively, too. However, their defense ranks fourth in basketball, allowing just 108.7 points per game, and also ranks in the top-10 in most defensive categories. Oh, they are also one of the best in the league on the defensive glass. They will take away any second-chance opportunities their opponent has this evening. As I mentioned earlier, if this line was a little lower, I would've put out the Clippers as a premium play. But I still put a lean on them. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats.

Game 909.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Kentucky still has a lot of prove to both the pollsters as well as themselves, and must finish out the regular season on a high note. This is the team that's covered five of their last eight overall outings. I am aware Missouri is 18-1 at home this season. But they are showing signs of cracking, as have dropped three of the last four, both straight up and against the number. The Wildcats, even without guard Robinson (sidelined due to injury for several weeks), possess five double-digit scorers. They also have a big inside presence, and are monsters that both ends of the court on the boards. Both teams can score, that's for sure. The big difference here is the fact Kentucky is both better from the free-throw line, and much stronger at defending the arc. I feel that will be the difference in this match up, and giving them this many points is a mistake. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Michigan State.

Game 767.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

The No. 8 Michigan State squad clinched a share of the Big Ten regular season championship on Wednesday without even playing a game. They can win it outright tonight with a victory over Iowa. Michigan took a home loss last night to Maryland to ensure the Spartans at least a piece of their first conference title since the 2019/2020 season. A loss tonight by MSU would give Michigan a chance to share the regular season crown. To add to the drama, the in-state rivals meet on Sunday in their regular season finale. Having said that, the Spartans are riding a five-game win streak, both straight up and against the spread, in which their defense has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 66-points on the scoreboard. Not only that, but during that span, they have won and covered all three games played as a visitor. On the other hand, Iowa has struggled, dropping seven of their last nine straight up, and only covering one of their last 13 outings. They have been absolute point spread poison, folks. Just going backwards in their recent losses, they lost by 11 to Northwestern, 20 to Illinois, two to Oregon, 26 to Maryland, 11 to Wisconsin, nine to Purdue, 17 to Ohio State, five to Minnesota, 16 to UCLA, and 10 to USC. Yes, the Hawkeyes had a very solid frontcourt of Freeman and Sandfort, combining for 32.8 points per game and 12.9 rebounds per game this season. But they lost Freeman back on January 27, coincidentally, when the team started sliding. Their trio of starting guards are outclassed here as well. While both teams score about the same, the Spartans defense allows only 66.6 points per game, and overall, this squad are monsters at both ends of the court on the boards. Oh, by the way, there's also a double revenge factor as Iowa took the last two meetings in this rivalry. I look for Michigan State to win with authority here. Thank you.

Liberty Flames.

Game 759.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

I've said it before, and I will say it again; it doesn't have to be a major conference in college basketball for you to make money in it. Today I want to talk about a Conference USA matchup between the second and third best teams in the league, as the Liberty Flames and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders square off against one another. Both teams are sitting at 11-5 in conference play this season. But the Flames did take the only meeting back in the beginning of January at home, 73-63. They are an excellent road team, going in 7-2 as a visitor, while Middle Tennessee State is 10-3 at the Murphy Center on the campaign. The Flames come off a loss following a six-game straight up win streak, while the Blue Raiders enter this matchup riding a three-game straight up hot streak. Both offenses are loaded with talent. Both have talented back courts, and strong front courts. Both possess four double-digit scorers. The difference you're going to see here is on the defensive side of the court, where Liberty ranks in the top-10 nationally, yielding just 61.7 points per game, allowing a mere 40% shooting from the floor, and are the No. 1 team in college basketball from the arc, allowing just 27.7% from downtown. To make matters worse on the opposite side of the court, there're a top-25 three-point shooting team themselves. That's going to be be the big difference in this contest. This is a big game for them. They could, at the very least solidify a No. 2 spot for sure. But if they win out their last two regular season games, and the top team in the division, Jacksonville State runs into any issues with Kennesaw State two days from now, because they took down the Gamecocks already, they would win the tiebreaker, and take over the No. 1 seed in the Conference USA. I put a lean on the Flames here to burn the Blue Raiders. Thank you.

BYU Cougars.

Game 649.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Two teams that are looking to better their situation in the Big 12 face each other this evening in the Iowa State/BYU matchup. The national rankings currently have the Cyclones ranked 10th in the nation, while the Cougars are 23rd. I am aware BYU is just 5-5 on the road, while Iowa State is 15-1 at home. But I do feel the Cyclones are overvalued by the oddsmakers as they have covered just four their last 10 overall outings, which does include just two of five played at the James H. Hilton Coliseum. Meanwhile BYU is not just winning, they are covering as they are on a six-game SU/ATS hot streak. They have also covered four of their last five as a visitor. Last March's matchup saw the home team, Cyclones prevail 68-63. I feel this is way too many points to give the Cougars as they do match up pretty well on both sides of the court here. Take BYU. Thank you.

New Mexico Lobos.

Game 655.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

New Mexico is perched atop the Mountain West at 15-3 in conference play. Just behind them at 14-4 sits Colorado State, followed by Utah State at 14-5, and then tied at 13-5 is San Diego State and Boise state. They need to keep their foot on the gas if they want to finish the regular season the top team in the MWC. They have this matchup tonight on the road at Nevada then finish up the regular season at home in a few days against UNLV. They can easily take both of these opponents. Granted, they haven't covered too many games lately, failing to cover their last five straight. But this is a team that knows how to win when they need to. Let's face it, they're 23-6 overall on the campaign, winning nine of their last 11 games straight up. They have also taken the last three meetings against Nevada straight up, covering two of the three. Speaking of the Wolfpack, they come here struggling, going 1-3 both SU and ATS their last four contests. I don't see their mediocre offense, which averages mere 72.9 points per game competing on the scoreboard with the Lobos four double-digit scorers which contribute to their 18th ranked, 82.7 points per game average. At a Pickem, this game is a gift. Take New Mexico. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Game 519.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Granted, the Warriors have been playing a lot of road games lately. But they've also been winning and covering. Entering this matchup, they are on an 8-2 run, both SU and ATS. While the Knicks have had an extra day to rest for this matchup, and are riding a three-game straight up win streak, they are being seriously overvalued as they have only covered three of their last 10 overall outing. By the way, they are on a six-game ATS no cover slide, their last six games played at Madison Square Garden. Take Golden State. Thank you.

Wisconsin Badgers.

Game 817.

10:30 AM PST/1:30 PM EST.

Both Wisconsin and Michigan State enter this mashup running hot. The Badgers have won seven of their last nine straight up, and eight of their last 10 against the spread, while the Spartans have won and covered four in a row. This is the first time this season these two will face one another. However, Wisconsin has taken the last two meetings both SU/ATS, a season ago. They are also 7-1 ATS their last eight games played on the road, while Michigan State is just 4-4 ATS their last eight games played at home. Both teams have impressive statistics. Both can score, and both have solid defenses. While the Spartans are a little bit better on the boards, the Badgers are certainly better from both, downtown and from the free-throw line. I believe this game is going to get physical, which will definitely benefit the visitor here. Please understand Wiscy has a little bit easier regular season remaining. After this they play on the road at Minnesota, and then at home against Penn State. MSU plays at Iowa next, then finishes their regular season at home against Michigan. This is a very big game for the Badgers, and I think it's going to be a lot closer than the point spread. Take Wisconsin. Thank you.

Arizona Wildcats.

Game 779.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Arizona sits in second-place in the conference, and wants to keep it that way. After tonight's matchup, they play at home against Arizona State, and then take it on the road to finish the regular season at Kansas. They can certainly win out the rest of their games. They enter this matchup with confidence, knowing they took the only meeting this season with Iowa State, back at the end of January at home, 86-75. In that matchup they dominated the boards, and shot better from the free-throw, and three-point lines, as well as shooting far better overall from the floor. Let's not forget they've also covered four of their last five on the road, while the Cyclones have failed to cover three of their last four at home. I know Iowa State is 14-1 straight up at home this season. But they have lost their last two games straight up, and failed to cover three of their last four overall. By the way, they failed to cover the last two at home. This is way too many points. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Creighton Blue Jays.

Game 697.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

Both Creighton and Xavier need victories here. The Blue Jays want to stay one-game ahead of the third-place Golden Eagles. Mathematically, they have a chance of catching the conference’s top team, the Red Storm. But they would have to win their final three games while St. John's would need to lose their final two to tie for a regular season title. Xavier sits in the fifth spot in the Big East. They also need some victories. However, Creighton has taken the last three meetings in this rivalry, covering the last two, which includes a win and cover in the only matchup this season at home back at the end of January, 86-77. They are red-hot winning eight of their last 10 straight up, and covering seven of those 10. By the way, they have also covered seven straight games played on the road. This is huge this time of year. It's true the Musketeers are on a win streak right now. But overall, their last 10 games they have only covering half of those outings, going 5-5 against the number. I believe making them this high of a favorite is a mistake made by the odd makers. Creighton has a little tighter of a defense, and is a little better on the boards. They also possess the best player on the court in center Ryan Kalkbrenner. Take the Blue Jays. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

Game 533.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

The Cleveland Cavaliers don't just own the best record in the East at 48-10, they possess the best overall record in the NBA. Just behind them in the conference sits the Boston Celtics. These two teams have met three times this season as Boston took the first meeting back in mid-November at home by three-points, Cleveland took the second meeting back in the beginning of December at home by four-points, and in the most recent meeting 24 days ago on the road, Boston prevailed 112-105. Since that defeat, the Cavaliers have rattled off eight consecutive victories, covering their last six contests. They come in here with an extra day to rest and heal, and face an opponent which happens to be a mediocre, 18-10 at home this season. Boston does come off a road loss, and embarrassing road loss two days ago at the hands of Detroit. I don't see them in a big bounce back mode here. I look at this game is more of not just a revenge factor, but the Cavaliers coming in here and proving they can beat the Celtics at the TD Garden to gain back a psychological edge for a definite postseason showdown. Please don't forget Cleveland is also the best road team in the NBA at 21-6 straight up as a visitor this season. I feel giving them points as a huge mistake. I like them outright. But I'll take the points with the Cavaliers. BTW, Boston has Denver up next and might be saving some gas in the tank for the Nuggets. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Game 519

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Golden State is starting to stride again, and at just the right time. The Warriors currently sit in the eighth spot in the Western Conference at 31-27. They have won and covered four in a row, and six of their last seven outings. They are playing pretty darn good basketball. They have covered four of their last five as a visitor. They are relatively healthy, and enter this matchup with confidence knowing they have won, and for our purposes, they have also covered the last three meeting with the Orlando Magic. Golden State, during their six victories over their last seven games have averaged over 124.6 points per game, while allowing just 103.6 points per game. Yes, Orlando is playing some decent basketball against the number, covering four their last five games. But this team has been very erratic. They've only split out their last 10 contests straight up and against the spread. They come off an embarrassing 40-point loss at home two nights ago at the hands of Cleveland. I feel this is an ideal situation for the Warriors, who really need to continue to stride to better their situation in the Western Conference. Take Golden State. Thank you.

BYU Cougars.

Game 745.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

Currently sitting in fifth place in the Big 12 at 10-6 in conference play, BYU can certainly finish in the top-four. After tonight, they have games against West Virginia, Iowa State, and Utah. They can certainly without question win at least three of these contests. That would put them in a good position, or at least in the mix of the top-four. They have won and covered the last three meetings in this rivalry. The two most recent, a 28-point blowout in November 2023, and a 20-point blowout in December 2024. They enter this matchup winning a covering their last four outings, while Arizona State has dropped six of their last seven straight up, and five of those seven against the number. As a matter of fact, the Cougars have won and covered four of their last five as a visitor. This is a team deep with talent, and I just don't see the Sun Devils competing on the scoreboard here. Take BYU. Thank you.

Villanova Wildcats.

Game 725.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

The Big East is a very physical, and extremely competitive conference. Villanova wasn't expected to do much this season, and yet they are on the right side of a winning record in conference play. They also have an opportunity to finish in the top-four in the Big East. Granted, this is a lot of points to lay, especially on the road in college basketball. But the Wildcats have had their way with the Pirates, taking nine of the last 10 meetings straight up, and seven of those 10 against the spread. This does include the only matchup this season back in mid-December at home, 79-67. One thing for sure, Villanova has been money recently, covering five of their last six contests. Meanwhile, Seton Hall is just dismal, dwelling near the cellar in the Big East at 2-14 in conference play, possessing an overall record of 7-20. They have lost 11 of their last 12 SU, and failing to cover seven of their last 10. This is certainly a game the Wildcat need to win. As a matter of fact, after this matchup tonight, their remaining games are at home against the Bulldogs, before finishing the regular season off on the road at the Hoyas. They can certainly win out the rest of their games. This would certainly put them in the mix for a top-four finish. It is a slim chance. But still a chance for them. I feel they stay competitive here, and beat up on an inferior Seton Hall opponent. Look for them to dominate on the defensive glass, and absolutely pick apart the 320th ranked three-point defense of Seton Hall with their second-ranked three-point shooting offense. Oh, by the way, they're also one of the best free throw shooting teams in the nation. Take Villanova. Thank you.

Kansas State Wildcats.

Game 703.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Both Kansas State and Central Florida need a miracle to get an invite to the Big Dance. Stranger things have happened. But it looks like both are on course for the NIT. Following a six-game winning streak, Kansas State has now dropped three in a row, both SU and ATS. By the way, that hot streak they were on was SU, and also were riding a nine-game cover streak. As far as Central Florida goes, I see them in letdown situation here. They got a win cover in their last outing at home against Utah. That followed a seven-game SU slide, and a six-game ATS no cover run. The Wildcats have a chance at a winning record in the Big 12, as they sit right now at 7-9. Their remaining games are tonight at the Knights, followed by a home game against the Buffaloes, a road game at the Bearcats, then finish the regular season at home against the Cyclones. Only one of those teams currently possess a winning record in conference play. They can certainly finish with a winning record, or at least at .500 mark. Overall, they have a better defense, and are a little stronger at the stop end of the court…quite a bit stronger. Giving them points as a mistake. Take Kansas State. I feel theyw3 in outright. But take the points anyway. Thank you.

Florida Gators.

Oddsmaker's Mistake.

Game 625

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

In my opinion, this line should be closer to or just above double-digits. The gators are looking for the 13th straight win in this series over the Bulldogs. As a matter fact, they haven't lost to their conference rival since March of 2019. This team is rolling right now, winning six in a row, and nine of their last 10. They have also been money, covering eight of those last 10 outings. After this matchup, Florida then plays Texas A&M, Alabama, and Mississippi to finish the regular season. All three of those teams possess winning records in SEC play. Georgia is just 4-10 in conference play this season. Let's face it, Florida has a chance at taking the regular season crown. Not only that, but if they finish with a big showing, they could probably lock up a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. They cannot be in a look ahead situation here, and must keep their foot on the gas. To be honest, the Bulldogs are not a very good team. They've dropped eight of their last 10 straight up, and have only covered three of their last nine. They were shellacked in the first meeting against the Gators back at the end of January on the road, 89-59. Speaking of Florida, during their current six-game win streak, their average margin of victory is 16.0 PPG. Take the Gators. Thank you.

Xavier.

Big East Money Maker.

Game 839.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

Xavier is striding at the perfect time. The Musketeers have won three in a row, as well as covering all three. Overall, they are 7-3 their L10 games SU, covering six of those 10 outings. They currently sit in fifth-place in the Big East, and finish out their season with games against Seton Hall, Creighton, Butler, and Providence. In all sincerity, the only formable foe there would be on deck at home against the Blue Jays. This is a team that must continue to win to finish the regular season to earn a top-four spot in the conference. They already took down Seton Hall back at the end of December at home, 94-72. That victory marked their fourth over the last five meetings with their conference rival. As a matter of fact, the last three wins over the Pirates have all been by 20 or more points. The Musketeers possess four double-digit scorers, are a top-20 three-point and free-throw shooting team as well. They will also dominate the glass here. Take Xavier. Thank you.

Purdue.

Sunday Smash.

Game 819.

10:30 AM PST/1:30 PM EST.

Purdue is currently in a tie for fourth-place in the conference. We all know finishing in the top-four gives a team several key advantages. With games remaining against Indiana here, then UCLA, Rutgers, and Illinois, this team needs to finish the regular season strong. They have won each of the last three meetings within Indiana straight up, including an 81-76 victory at home at the end of January. As a matter of fact, the average margin of victory over the last three meetings with their conference rival have come by an average of 15.3 PPG. They enter this matchup losing three in a row, and must bounce back here with authority. The Hoosiers are just 6-9 in conference play, and have dropped eight of their last 10 SU. While this team does have solid big men, they lack quite a bit on the offensive side of the court, and are giving up a lot of points on the defensive side. They're going to have a lot of trouble with the accuracy of the Boilermaker's offense, which shoots 49.4% overall from the floor, and 37.7% from beyond the arc. Take Purdue. Thank you.

Duke Blue Devils.

Game 770.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Well, my friends, Duke appears to be on course for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. This week, they are ranked third in the nation, and lead the ACC with a 15-1 record. They have games remaining in the regular season with Illinois here at MSG, on the road at Miami, at home at Florida State and Wake Forest, and finish the regular season on the road at North Carolina. They definitely need a couple more wins to ensure the top-seed and the regular season crown in the conference. But they cannot afford a slip up, especially against an opponent like Illinois. The "not so” Fighting Illini are struggling, dropping six of their last 10 straight up, and seven of those 10 against the spread. They have failed to cover four of their last five on the road. Granted, this game is not a true road game. But it's still being played at Madison Square Garden where they have to travel. This team does not travel well. There will be a ton of Blue Devils fans in attendance. You'll see a lot of blue shirts for sure. This is a team on a mission. If you are worried about the number here, don't be. Going backwards, they have won their last several outings by 18, 36, 21, 29, 17, and 10-points. They are healthier, hungrier, are great at both sides of the court on the boards, possess a defense that allows you to 60.8 points per game, and shoot lights out from downtown. This is a big mismatch. Take Duke. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats.

Game 733

3:00 PM PST 6:00 PM EST.

With all respect to the fourth-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide, I just don't see them playing good enough basketball right now to be laying double-digits against any formidable foe. They are coming off back-to-back straight up losses; at home against Auburn and on the road at Missouri. They have also failed to cover those two games, and four of their last seven contests. They did take down Kentucky back in mid-January at home, 102-97. Speaking of the Wildcats, they are starting to surge. They have won three of their last four straight up, and have covered four in a row. There is certainly a lot more pressure on the Crimson Tide, which by the way, after this game have four remaining games in the regular season, three of which against some top teams. After this contest they face Mississippi State at home, before going on the road to face Tennessee, then returning home to face Florida, then finish the regular season on the road at Auburn. I really think they'll be looking ahead in this contest. They've been double-digits favorites 14 times this season, going 7-7 ATS. Yes, Alabama possesses the top-ranked scoring offense in college basketball, and are monsters on the offensive boards. However, their defense is absolutely deplorable, ranking 349th, and getting plowed for over 80.3-points per game. They're also atrocious on the defensive boards. Kentucky can score, accounting for over 85.8-points per game, which ranks third in the nation, hitting 48.6% overall from the floor, 38.0% from beyond the arc, and are they themselves pretty good on the offensive boards. They are also a bit better on the defensive side of the court. They have a lot more to play for here, have less pressure on them, and have been money against the spread. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Wake Forest.

Game 623

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

In my opinion, the line is way too short here. Yes, Cameron Hildreth missed Saturday's game at SMU with a foot injury. However, even without him the Demon Deacons took down the Mustangs, 77-66 on the road as a 6.5-point underdog. They are deep at the guard position. Right now, he is listed as questionable. This is a team that is tied for fourth-place in the ACC, and holds the tiebreaker with SMU, which is also in fourth-place. They also hold tiebreakers with the current sixth, seventh, and eighth-place teams in terms of the ACC tournament pecking order. Of their five remaining regular season games, only one is against a winning team in conference play. They can certainly better their situation with a couple of victories. They enter this matchup winning four of their last five, and seven of their last 10 straight up, covering seven of those last 10 games. They have taken down and NC State in the last two matchups, which does include a 77-59 win and cover at home back at the beginning of January. The Wolfpack are one of the worst teams in the conference at 3-12 in ACC play. They've dropped nine of the last 10 straight up, and eight of those 10 against the number. Take Wake Forest. Thank you.

Mississippi State.

Game 619.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

I feel the line is way off here. Mississippi State has five games remaining on their regular season schedule, with four of those five games against teams with losing records in the conference. Yes, they have Alabama on deck. But I don't feel they'll be in a lookahead situation here. They know what they have to do here to better their situation. They enter this matchup winning and covering three of their last four games, which does include both away outings. Meanwhile, Oklahoma enters this game ice cold, losing and failing to cover five straight. I see the Bulldogs dominating at both ends of the court. Take Mississippi State. Thank you.

Tennessee.

Game 601.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

These two teams are battling for a top four-spot in the SEC. Texas A&M is tied in fourth place with Missouri in the conference, while Tennessee is just behind them in fifth place also tied with ‘Ole Miss. The Volunteers come in here a little fresher having a midweek bye, and certainly looked better in the last outing than did the Aggie's in their last contest. Having said that, Tennessee certainly has an easier end of the season schedule than Texas A&M, which might get caught in a look ahead situation. Both offenses match up pretty well with one another. But defensively, the Volunteers are certainly more frustrating and more explosive. Take the points with Tennessee. Thank you.