Alabama.

NCAAF CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER.

Game 500.

5:00 pm pst.

With the National Championship game upon us, for the first time in a long time there are no arguments, no debates, and no protests as to why other teams are more deserving to be here. The last two undefeated ranked teams in the nation square off in the matchup everyone was hoping for.

 I made the line here between -8 and -10 points depending on injury/illness. When it officially came out making Alabama a seven-point favorite, the public immediately bet it up to -8 and it is now floating between -7 and -8.  

 For many years the favorite won and covered in the Title game. Then the tide (no pun intended) flowed in the opposite direction with the underdogs not just covering but winning a few contests outright as well.

 For me personally, I am torn. When I was a kid in the early ‘70’s, my father, a respected horse player and sports bettor, turned on the tube one Saturday morning to watch a game he had wagered on. I took one look at Paul “Bear” Bryant on the sideline, arms folded with that stoic look on his face, and that patented houndstooth fedora and I immediately fell in love with Alabama football. But there are two places your heart doesn’t belong, in love and in sports betting.

 Growing up now, the handicapper in me instantly leaned on the underdog here with all those points. Especially after last week’s dismantling of a Trevor Lawrence-led Clemson team in the Sugar Bowl. Many out there felt (including me) that Ohio State did not belong in the CFP. Prior to last week’s CFP semifinal, I did not feel the Buckeyes would be so dominating on both sides of the ball. They showed how good they are by overcoming a seven-point deficit to then outscore the Tigers 42-14. However, there are no more cards up OSU’s sleeve, the cat is out of the bag now. ‘Bama has seen all they can do. And there are very few coaches as good at preparing a squad for a big game as Nick Saban. And a big no-no in betting is not judging a team solely from their last performance.

 Saban and Alabama does have their work cut out for them. Ohio State has a well-balanced offense and Justin Fields has taken his game to another level. This is a unit that ranks 42nd in passing, 5th in rushing, and 8th in scoring. Take note, that this “O” revolves around Fields and last week he got banged up a bit against Brent Venables “D”. He will play but those ribs might still be tender here and that may be a factor. Speaking of injuries, the Buckeyes injured list is so long it rivals a Bill Belichick Patriots list (check status). Something the Crimson Tide doesn’t have to worry about, being just about full strength.

 Head coach Ryan Day must be concerned with the vastly improved defense of Alabama. Outside of the shootout with Florida in the SEC Title game, Pete Golding’s stop-unit have held every opponent to 24 or less since early-October.

 On the opposite side of the ball, Mac Jones and the explosive Crimson Tide offensive juggernaut, which accounts for 49.7 PPG, the Buckeyes will not have the same success defensively as last week in getting their foe off the field. Bama’s big three, Mac Jones, Najee Harris, and DeVonta Smith will control the clock and keep the OSU defense on the field and more importantly, their offense off of it. Mac Jones is smart and savvy and has the luxury being protected by one of the biggest and stoutest offensive lines in the nation.  

 Ryan Day is a sharp guy and his team is loaded with talent but they are not impervious to perhaps being in a letdown situation here either. That game last week vs. the Tigers was a matchup the Buckeyes were dreaming of since being ousted from last year’s CFP semifinal by Clemson. Maybe the wind just might be out of their sails a bit here.

 Ohio State is 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS win and 1-4 ATS the last five vs. teams with a winning record. Alabama is 7-1 ATS the last eight following an ATS loss and 7-1 ATS the last eight vs. the Big Ten.

 Being that this line is around a hot number, listen to Smokey Robinson’s mama, and shop around and get the best number you can. Lay the points and roll with the Tide. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Iowa State.

Fiesta Bowl Winner.

Game 496.

1:00 pm pst.

On both sides of the ball, we can expect the well-balanced and more battel-tested Cyclones to dominate here. The 2020/2021 Ducks are not as explosive as past squads. Look for one of the nation’s best 1-2 punches of QB, Brock Purdy (2,594 YP, 66.4% CR, 18/9) and RB, Breece Hall (1,436 YR, 19 TD’s) to control the tempo and the clock while the ISU stop-unit (21.8 PPG allowed) contains the Oregon offense. The Ducks are 7-15 ATS L22 following an ATS win and 5-11-1 ATS L17 nonconference games. Iowa State is 5-1 ATS L6 as a favorite and 16-7 ATS L23 following a SU loss. Take the Cyclones. Thank you.

Indiana.

Outback Bowl Winner.

Game 494.

9:30 am pst.

Things are going to get ugly for the Mississippi offense here. Their two best receivers, Elijah Moore and Kenny Yeboah opted out prior to the LSU matchup (53-48 loss and no cover). The duo caught 55% of the passes this season and 50% of the TD’s. Without the tandem on the field, Indiana and their 19th ranked defense can key on the ground game. But things get even uglier as the Hoosiers offense (30.1 PPG) line up against just about the worst defense in college football (127th vs. the pass, 104th vs. the rush, 122nd in scoring). Backup quarterback, Jack Tuttle believe it or not owns a better QBR than did starter, Michael Penix Jr. Indiana is 7-0 ATS in 2020, 4-1 ATS last five vs. losers, and 4-1 ATS last five nonconference games.Take the Hoosiers. Thank you.

Clemson.

BOWL GOY/SUGAR BOWL WINNER.

Game 334.

5:45 pm pst.

Many people in and out of the college football arena feel that Ohio State does not belong in the CFP. I will leave the debating to those who DO NOT bet on games. I say they do belong here for the sole purpose of them being outclassed gets us paid in this matchup. Just over the past month, the Buckeyes have struggled with the Scarlett Knights, Hoosiers, and Wildcats. And folks, you can combine those three teams and still wouldn’t be close to the talent level that Tigers possess. They have gotten burned for 260.3 yards per game in the air in 2020.

I have two words for you, Trevor Lawrence. He is always superb but since returning to action from covid protocol he has been stellar. Don’t forget, he personally took down Ohio State in the 2019 Fiesta Bowl when the Buckeyes were a more talented team than the current squad. Not only will he shred them in the air but the uncharitable Clemson defense (27th vs. the pass, 9th vs. the run, 11th in scoring) will shut them down offensively. The Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS the last six vs. the ACC and 0-4 ATS the last four vs. winners. The Tigers are 10-2 ATS the last 12 Bowls and 17-4 ATS the last 21 on neutral sites. Take Clemson. Thank you.

NORTHWESTERN.

Citrus Bowl WINNER.

Game 330.

10:00 am pst.

In a peculiar Bowl season this game actually puts together two teams that should be Bowling. Both are six-win teams from Power-five conferences. For those of you who enjoy nostalgia, eleven years to the day after facing off in a thrilling bowl game, these two teams meet again on New Year's Day in the Citrus Bowl at Orlando, Florida. The teams played in the 2010 Outback Bowl, with the Tigers pulling out a 38-35 overtime victory. Current Kansas City Chiefs quarterbacks coach Mike Kafka completed 47 of 78 passes for 532 yards with four touchdowns and five interceptions for the Wildcats. Wow, how’s that for eerie?

 Both teams are in different places mentally. The Tigers have since fired head coach, Gus Malzahn and hired Boise State boss, Bryan Harsin. On the flip side, the Wildcats might be the most harmonious team in action right now. As a matter of fact, the game will be the last in the career of Northwestern's defensive coordinator Mike Hankwitz, who would reach 400 career wins if the Wildcats win here. Trust me, the team will go all out for their DC here. While neither team possesses a very exciting or explosive offense, the big disparity here is on the defensive side of the ball. Northwestern owns the nation’s 5th ranked stop-unit, yielding only 15.5 PPG. This is a squad that is equally strong against the pass and the run. In recent years it seems that teams have abandoned the basics, but not the Wildcats. And that will be the difference in this matchup. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS L5 vs. the Big Ten, 0-4 ATS L4 vs. winners, and 0-4 ATS L4 in January. Take Northwestern. Thank you.

Cincinnati.

Peach Bowl WINNER.

Game 327.

9:00 am pst.

 There are those out there that will automatically take the SEC team in a matchup over the AAC representative. Well, that may have worked in the past, but 2020 is full of surprises. And if we have learned anything, it’s that we must expect the unexpected. With all respect to head coach Kirby Smart and the Bulldogs, they are not unbeatable. They were picked apart by quarterbacks Mac Jones and Kyle Trask. Sports fans, Desmond Riddler (2,090 yards passing, 66.4% completion rate, 17/6) may not be as popular as the previously mentioned, but he is darn good and has an arsenal of receivers to dissect the 90th ranked pass defense of Georgia. Then there is the way we look at the Bulldogs when they are on offense. They have very pedestrian numbers. Sure, they can smash lesser defenses like that of the Razorbacks, Gamecocks, and Tigers (Missouri) but this defense they face here, is not a lesser one. And don’t think for a moment that the Bearcats ”D”, which ranks 8th nationally (16.0 PPG) can be intimidated here. Cincy is 4-1 ATS the last five nonconference games and 4-0 ATS the last four games played as an underdog. Take the points with Cincy here and watch an AAC rep gets you paid over the mighty SEC. Take the Bearcats. Thank you.

San Jose State.

Arizona Bowl WINNER.

Game 322.

11:00 am pst.

 Ball State vs. San Jose State -9.5: If ever a team was in “let down” mode it is Ball State following their 38-28 victory over Buffalo in the MAC Title game nearly two weeks ago. This is the matchup they will sorely miss their top running back, Caleb Huntley (opted out). Playing in the MAC, the Cardinals have not faced a defense as well-balanced or as ferocious as the Spartans (13th, 17.9 PPG allowed). On the other side of the ball, look for quarterback, Nick Starkel (1,906 yards passing, 65.1% completion rate, 16/4) and the top-20 SJ State passing attack to put up the best numbers of 2020 against the 119th ranked pass defense of Ball State. The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS the last four Bowl games. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS the last six in the month of December. Take San Jose State. Thank you.  

Tulsa.

Armed Forces Bowl Winner.

Game 318.

9:00 am pst.

It’s just not a good situation for Mike Leach and his Mississippi State Bulldogs. In a “normal” season, this 3-7 team wouldn’t be able to play in a Bowl. Several players have opted out. The few wins they had were far from convincing. They account for a dismal, 20.7 PPG. And they are one of the nation’s worst at turning the ball over.

 Just the opposite for the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. They are money, covering seven of eight outings in 2020. Their only losses came at the hands of notables Oklahoma State and Cincinnati. And they are stacked with talent on both sides of the ball. Particularly on the “D” side where they allow just 20.8 PPG. Tulsa is 6-1 ATS the last seven Bowls. Take the Golden Hurricane. Thank you.

Oklahoma.

Game 316.

4:15 pm pst.

Early season losses kept Oklahoma from a CFP spot. But it didn’t stop them from being motivated to win. Both teams will be able to pass the ball but Florida is without their biggest playmaker and Kyle Trask’s “go to” guy, TE, Kyle Pitts (opted out). This will make it tougher for the Gators. The Sooners defense improved as the season progressed and kept quite a few solid offenses in check. Florida is 2-8 ATS L10 on field turf and 1-3-1 ATS L5 overall. Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS L7 vs. the SEC and 6-1 ATS L7 overall. Take the Sooners. Thank you.  

Liberty.

Game 283.

4:30 pm pst.

Things changed for Cinderella at midnight. And the same will happen for Coastal Carolina here. Liberty’s sole defeat was a 15-14 cover against NC State. Superstar, Malik Willis (2,040 yards passing 20/4 in the air, 807 yards rushing 10 TD’s on the ground) has the offensive personnel to control the clock and keep the Coastal Carolina offense off the gridiron.
 When the Chanticleers do have the ball, they will be threatened by one of the best and most well-balanced (10th vs. the pass, 26th vs. the run) in the nation.

 The Flames are 21-7 ATS the last 28 as an underdog, 5-1 ATS the last six vs. the Sun Belt, and 7-0 ATS the last seven overall.Take Liberty as the carriage turns into a pumpkin here. Take Liberty. Thank you.

UTSA.

Game 286.

12:30 pm pst.

This is way too many points for a Ragin’ Cajuns team to lay against the competitive and feisty Roadrunners squad. UTSA covered big numbers against such notables as BYU and UAB. They have the ground game to keep this one close.

 ULL is 2-5 ATS the last seven vs. winners and 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS win. UTSA is 5-1 ATS the last six vs. winners and 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. nonconference opponents.Take the Roadrunners. Thank you.

Buffalo.

Game 280.

10:30 am pst.

Teams have figured out how to shut down the Marshall offense (13 total points scored the last two games) thus resulting in their defense spending way too much time on the field.

 Well, no team in the nation can keep a defense busy and on the field like the No.1 rushing unit of Buffalo. The Bulls come in here looking for vengeance following their first loss of the season.

 They are 6-2 ATS the last eight vs. C-USA, 4-0 ATS the last four following a SU loss, and 11-3 ATS the last 14 overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you.  

Memphis.

Game 275.

4:00 pm pst.

Memphis owns an explosive, well-balanced offense (31.6 PPG). This is a unit that can burn you both on the ground as well as in the air. Granted, the FAU “D” is one of the best in the nation (16.5 PPG allowed). But what good is having a strong defense if your offense can’t move the chains at all and just about every time you have the ball it’s a three-an-out? Their offense is so bad (20.0 PPG) it just doesn’t eat up any clock to give their stop-unit and rest. By the second half, the Owls defense will be gasping for air in this matchup.

 Tigers Quarterback, Brady White (3,096 yards passing 28/9) and running back, Rodrigues Clark (563 yards rushing) will put up career stats here.

 Memphis is 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. C-USA. FAU is 1-4 ATS the last five overall. Take Memphis. Thank you.

Nevada.

Game 270.

12:30 pm pst.

Tulane is making a 1,900-mile trip to play in freezing cold weather here. The Green Wave are a one-dimensional offense relying solely upon the run. That’s going to be a problem as the Wolfpack own the nation’s 30th ranked rush defense. On the flipside, Nevada and their seasoned and savvy QB, Carson Strong (2,587 YP, 69.4% CR, 22/4) will carve up the Tulane 115th ranked passing defense with their top-10 passing unit. The Wolfpack are used to playing in this weather and more importantly, in this stadium. Nevada is 5-0 ATS L5 as an underdog, 4-1-1 ATS L6 Bowl games, 7-2-1 ATS L10 in December, and 9-4 ATS L13 overall. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you.

UCLA.

VJP.

Game 222.

5:00 pm pst.

UCLA possesses a backfield of outstanding runners. Felton, Brown, and yes, even Thompson-Robinson have combined for 1,252 yards rushing and 12 TD’s on the ground giving the Bruins the 16th ranked rushing offense in the nation. Well, the Cardinal have gotten steamrolled by the run ranking 102nd. The ground game will allow QB, DTR, who comes off his highest passer rating of 2020, to open up the passing attack. Stanford is 0-4 ATS L4 on grass, 2-7-1 ATS L10 on the road, and 2-6-1 ATS L9 overall. Take UCLA. Thank you.

San Jose State.

MWC GOY.

Game 242.

1:15 pm pst.

San Jose State isn’t just undefeated (6-0), they are also one of college football’s best teams against the spread (5-0-1). With all respect to Boise State, I think we would all agree that the Broncos just aren’t the same team when not playing on their blue carpet. Point in fact, they did not cover either of their last two outings, both on the road at Hawaii and Wyoming. Which are two lesser foes.

 Boise State had problems with the BYU defense in their 51-17 drubbing at the hands of the Cougars. Don’t look now but San Jose State owns a very stingy “D” (13th) that yields a mere 17.5 PPG. The Spartans have held both good passing and good rushing units to some of their lowest performances this season. The Broncos are in for a long day.

San Jose State is 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 as a ‘dog, 18-7-3 ATS the last 28 in conference play, and 5-0 ATS the last five in December. Take San Jose State. Thank you.

Minnesota.

GI.

Game 211.

1:00 pm pst.

To say Wisconsin has had a disappointing season is truly an understatement. Granted, the Badgers have been impacted by Covid-19 about as bad as any team in the country. But, their once potent offense is no more. After opening the campaign with decisive wins over Illinois and Michigan, Wisconsin has now dropped three in a row (both SU and ATS) to opponents that were all favored by. During their current slide, the offense has mustered a total of 20 points.

Minnesota has trudged through 2020 quite nicely, winning and covering three of their last four outings. Veteran quarterback, Tanner Morgan has a stellar ballcarrier at his disposal in Mohamed Ibrahim (925 yards rushing, 15 touchdowns) to keep the Wiscy defense honest and this game closer than the point spread.

 The Golden Gophers are 4-1-1 ATS the last six at the Badgers, 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 on the road, and 11-5 ATS the last 16 overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Oklahoma.

Game 231.

9:00 am pst.

Both teams have had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare. Iowa State deserves all their praise as the Cyclones have played solid football all season long. But Oklahoma is red-hot, winning six in a row SU and going 5-1 ATS. On both sides of the ball, I see the Sooners outclassing their counterpart here.

ISU’s weakness is stopping the pass. Spencer Rattler (2,512 yards passing, 68.5% completion rate, 24/7) will carve up the Cyclones secondary like a holiday dinner. Defensively, Oklahoma owns the best rush defense that Iowa State has faced in 2020. The Cyclones are a run-oriented offense. Well, the Sooners have stuffed every ground attack during their hot streak with the nation’s 4th ranked run defense.

 ISU is 0-5 ATS the last five on neutral sites, 0-4 ATS the last four as a ‘dog, and 2-6 ATS the last eight in December. Take Oklahoma. Thank you.

Rutgers.

TD play.

Game 207.

1:00 pm pst.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights. The line is currently Nebraska -6.5. After finally sporting a victory at Purdue, Nebraska then plummeted back to Earth last week losing to Minnesota by seven as a nine-point favorite. Rutgers quarterback, Noah Vedral is questionable here (check status). But if doesn’t go, no worries because three-year play-caller, Artur Sitkowski has got what it takes to lead (67.2% completion rate, 311 yards passing, 3/0). Nebraska has several key players out and their star wideout has opted out for the season, seeing the writing on the wall. The Cornhuskers are 1-6 ATS the last seven games as a favorite. Take the points with the Scarlet Knights. Thank you.

BYU.

TD.

Game 432.

7:00 pm pst.  

While I don’t exclusively look at betting angles, I do put some stock in them when deciding on games. This contest has several. For starters, BYU got their perfect season broken up last week against an opponent that was virtually unknown prior to 2020. Look for their very talented team (7th offensively, 4th defensively) to bounce back here against a well-known and respected team, and make a statement.

 Next, I don’t fall into the trap of judging a team solely on their previous performance. Many will look at last week’s San Diego State victory over Colorado State and play them here because of it.

 Lastly, the revenge factor. After dominating this series winning six in a row SU, the Cougars got shut down last season, 13-3. These are very different squads this season and BYU will exact some revenge here.

The Aztecs are 1-4 ATS the last five on the road and 2-5 ATS the last seven following a SU win. The Cougars are 9-3 ATS the last 12 vs. the MWC and 10-4 ATS the last 14 following a SU loss.Take BYU. Thank you.

Virginia.

GI GOY.

Game 421.

5:00 pm pst.

My friends,the odds makers make mistakes too. Trust me when I tell you, they have made a huge error in the line in this matchup. I honestly feel the wrong team is favored. Virginia should be at least a 1.5-2.5 favorite here. The once-feared Virginia Tech defense has fallen from grace to become a doormat, ranking 96th and getting plowed for over 33.8 PPG, resulting in the teams four-game slide both SU and ATS.

 On the other sideline, Virginia is red-hot, winning four in a row SU and their last five ATS. Cavaliers dual-threat quarterback, Brennan Armstrong has matured nicely. He has racked up over 1,858 yards passing and 529 yards rushing. Believe me when I tell you he will star in his own highlight reel here.

 Not only does UVA get bragging rights here but they also get to stop their rival from a Bowl invite for the first time since 1992 and aid in a probable departure for head coach, Justin Fuente.

 The underdog is 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. The Hokies are 1-4 ATS the last five vs. winners and 1-4 ATS the last five as a fav. The Cavs are 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 on grass and 4-1 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Don’t be so “Cavalier” and take the underdog all the way to the bank here folks. Take Virginia. Thank you.

CC.

HR.

Game 119.

12:00 pm pst.

At 10-0 SU, Coastal Carolina has become the most popular team in college football. More importantly, to us bettors, they are money at 8-1-1 ATS. With their victory over the Cougars the Chanticleers have done away with any naysayers. In this health-conscious season, this team is at full force, listing zero players on their injury report (as of deadline). Offensively, they put up over 37.0 PPG on the arm of Grayson McCall (1,832 yards passing, 67.2% completion rate, 20/1) and the legs of a backfield that would make NFL teams envious (227.9 yards per game). Defensively, (11th, 16.8 PPG allowed) they have not allowed any opponent to shake them.

 Don’t put any stock in the performance Troy showed last week in their shutout of the 4-7 South Alabama. This is a team that is outclassed on both sides of the ball here.

 They are 0-5 ATS the last five vs. winners, 1-4 ATS the last five at home, and 1-4 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Coastal Carolina is 4-0 ATS the last four in December, 16-5 ATS the last 21 on the road, and 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 overall. Take the Chanticleers. Thank you.

Colorado.

Wiseguy Move.

Game 258.

9:00 am pst.

Very quietly, Colorado has a 4-0 record (both SU and ATS. While Utah needed to face an Oregon State team with a QB making his first career start to get a win. The Buffaloes have a monster ballcarrier in Jake Broussard (733 yards rushing, 3 TD’s). he and QB, Sam Noyer (179 yards rushing, 5 TD’s) will control the clock and keep the Utah defense om the field. Not that the Utah offense is anything to worry about (22.7 PPG). Colorado is 5-0 ATS L5 at home and 4-1 ATS L5 as a ‘dog. Take the Buffaloes. Thank you.

Pitt.

TD.

Game 111.

4:00 pm pst.

Pitt enters this matchup sporting a 5-5 record and would love to finish the season better than .500. The Panthers, which have won and covered the last two meetings with the Yellow Jackets, own a defense that yields just 25.0 PPG and ranks 12th in the nation with 12 takeaways. G tech are a one-dimensional offense, that solely relies upon the rush. They don’t match up well here facing the No. 5 run defense in college football. Gt also ranks 124th with 11 turnovers. I smell trouble here folks. On the flipside, Kenny Pickett’s numbers (outside of their meetings with Clemson) are getting better and better. Look for the QB to exploit the lax 114th ranked pass “D” of Tech here. The Panthers are 4-0 ATS L4 following a bye week. The Yellow Jackets are 0-6 ATSA L6 following an ATS win. Take Pitt. Thank you.

Oregon State.

Wiseguy Move.

Game 379.

7:30 pm pst.

Oregon State has four games under their belt this season, going 3-1 ATS. Utah has played only two games in which they got blown out by USC and then gave up a 21-point lead to Washington en route to an 0-2 start. The Beavers have monster playmaker on offense. Tristan Gebbia and Jermar Jefferson are going to light up a Utes “D” that has gotten plowed for over 78 points thus far. Offensively, Utah is missing all their playmakers from the last few seasons. Their two QB’s have tossed a combined 2 TD’s against 5 INT’s. Way too many points here to give a very tough and confident Oregon State squad. The Beavers are 6-0 ATS L6 as an underdog and 8-0 ATS L8 on the road. Take Oregon State. Thank you.

Clemson

Game 343.

4:30 pm pst.

In his first game back following a five-week hiatus, Trevor Lawrence put up 403 yards passing and two touchdowns against a highly-regarded Pitt defense. This is the final outing of the regular season for the quarterback and his third-ranked team. It is the last opportunity for both Lawrence to make a push for the Heisman and his team to solidify their place in the CFP. As much as the future No.1 draft pick shined, it was Brent Venables defense that stole the show, with four INT’s.

 The Tigers “D” will go thru the Hokies offensive line (allowed eight sacks last two games) and put pressure on Hendon Hooker. The quarterback has only accounted for 190.2 yards per game in 2020. Virginia Tech, which is riding a three-game loss and no cover streak is in real trouble on both sides of the ball here. Dabo Swinney took no mercy on Pitt in last week’s 52-17 rout and won’t show any this week.

Clemson is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 11-1 ATS the last 12 in December, and 11-3 ATS the last 14 as a road favorite. Take the Tigers. Thank you.

Colorado.

GI.

Game 381.

4:00 pm pst.

There’s a new sheriff in the Pac-12 and their name is Colorado. Along with USC and Washington, they are the only other undefeated team. They are also getting bettors paid at 3-0 ATS. Just to show you how good the Buffaloes are this season, they decisively bested the Aztecs last week in a last-minute matchup.

 Arizona (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) was last victories mid-October, riding an 11-game SU skid. The Wildcats defense, or lack thereof, is getting burned for 35.0 PPG. Things will go from bad to worse here as the very confident and talented Buffaloes offense will shred them both in the air and on the ground. Look for the 1-2 punch of Noyer (650 yards passing 4/2, 112 yards rushing three touchdowns on the ground) and Broussard (432 yards rushing three touchdowns) to light up the scoreboard here in a mismatch. On an added note, Colorado has revenge on their mind, dropping the last three meetings with Arizona.

 The road team is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. The Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS the last five on grass and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. The Wildcats are 0-4 ATS the last four in December and 2-8 ATS the last 10 overall. Take Colorado. Thank you.

FAU.

HR.

Game 361.

3:00 pm pst.

The 5-1 Owls (11-1 SU going back to last season) possess a monster defense that ranks No. 2 nationally, will shut down the Eagles offense. The only weapon Georgia Southern has is there ground game and their only true threat, Shai Werts has slipped a bit lately. Oh, by the way, FAU is exceptional when facing good opposition and even better in big games. The Owls are 7-0 ATS L7 vs. winners, 25-8 ATS L33 as a road underdog, 5-2 ATS L7 vs. the Sun belt, and 9-4 ATS L13 overall. Take FAU. Thank you.

Florida.

NL.

Game377.

12:30 pm pst.

Want to make money? Keep going against Tennessee. The Volunteers are on a five-game slide both SU and ATS, never coming within double-digits. And they won’t here. Dan Mullen enjoys crushing Jeremy Pruitt. Since arriving in Gainesville, he has won and covered both meetings by a combined, 81-24.

 UF has just two games remaining on their schedule in which to make a case for a CFP spot. This matchup and their regular season finale in The Swamp against LSU. Add into the mix Kyle Trask and the nation’s No. 2 passing attack face one of the worst secondaries in the SEC, giving the star quarterback an ideal opportunity to boost his Heisman votes.

The Gators are 5-1 ATS the last six in Knoxville. The Vols are 3-9 ATS the last 12 as a home ‘dog. Take Florida. Thank you.

CMU.

LVSM.

Game 366.

11:00 am pst.

Jim McElwain has outclassed and outcoached just about everyone since taking the reins at CMU. His offense has put up 27 or more on every opponent going back over a year. The Chippewas are 7-2 ATS L9 vs. winners. Cardinals are 8-20 ATS L28 as a favorite. Take CMU. Thank you.

TCU.

TD.

Game 394.

9:00 am pst.

A home ‘dog getting points is always on the radar, but the Horned Frogs have played their best football of 2020 over the last month going 3-1 both SU and ATS against some decent foes. The once-feared Cowboys “D” has gotten lit up. They have allowed three of their last four opponents to put up no less than 41 points. Take TCU. Thank you.

 I have seen this line move a bit in Duke’s direction. That is because they should be a favorite here. The oddsmakers are looking to trap you. We’re not falling for it, folks. Statistically, the Blue Devils are better on both sides of the ball and have taken five of the last six meetings SU and more importantly, all six ATS. The combination of quarterbacks, Brice and Holmberg are starting to click, while running back, Durant (651 yards rushing, 6 TD’s) has barreled for three 100 plus yards performances over the last four games. He is going to run amok over the Yellow Jackets lax run defense (97th).

 Duke’s ball-hawking “D” (7 takeaways) will get to Georgia Tech’s mistake-prone quarterback, Jeff Sims (10 INT’s in only 177 pass attempts this season) and create turnovers.

 The Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS the last five at the Yellow Jackets and 9-2 ATS the last 11 following a bye week. The Yellow Jackets are 3-13 ATS the last 16 at home and 6-16 ATS the last 22 overall. Take Duke. Thank you.

Move over Archie Miller, there’s a new sheriff in town. Tom Allen has his Hoosiers 4-1 and ranked 12th in the nation. After suffering their first defeat of 2020 (6-0 ATS) to Ohio State, Indiana will floor it here against a stale Maryland team that hasn’t played since a November 7 win at a winless Penn State.

 The other Tagovailoa will come in here rusty and overconfident. He is exciting but does not have the experience to compete in this matchup and is certainly not in the class of his counterpart, Penix Jr. The IU quarterback (1,564 yards passing, 14/4) has running back, Scott (373 yards rushing, 5 TD’s) and a quartet of incredible wideouts including superstar, Fryfogle (642 yards receiving, 7 TD’s).

The Terrapins are awful defensively and will have no answer for the Hoosiers either on the ground or in the air. This is a “D” that got burned for over 43 points by the Wildcats and 44 points by the Golden Gophers. This just might be one of the biggest mismatches on the board this week.

 The home team is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings. Maryland is 3-9 ATS the last 12 on the road and 5-11 ATS the last 16 as a ‘dog. Indiana is 5-1 ATS the last six at home, and 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. winners. Take the Hoosiers. Thank you.

Take Iowa.

This is my LVSM.

Game 148.

10:00 am pst.

Iowa seem tot be getting better as the season progresses. Over the last three weeks, the Hawkeyes are 3-0 both SU and ATS, winning by an average margin of 30.3 PPG. The offense is rolling behind QB, Petras and the tandem of RB’s, Goodson and Sargent (762 YR, 12TD’s combined). Nebraska owns a very poor defense, particularly against the rush (115th). Offensively, the Cornhuskers only threat is on the ground. But the 14th ranked rush “D” of the Hawkeyes will contain the run. Overall, Iowa allows only 16.0 PPG. Nebraska is 1-7 ATS L8 vs. winners, 1-6 ATS L7 on the road, and 3-10 ATS L13 in conference play. Iowa is 7-3 ATS L10 vs. losers, 3-1-1 ATS L5 at home, and 3-0-1 ATS L4 in conference play. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

Take ISU.

This is my NL.

Game 143.

9:00 am pst.

Last years meeting was won by Iowa State. The Cyclones own the Big 12’s top-spot at 6-1 in conference play. They have the Mountaineers on deck, a team they easily handled last season. So, I wouldn’t worry about a look-ahead situation here. Brock Purdy will be able to pass the ball with ease against the 111th ranked pass defense of Texas. They have Breece hall to keep the Longhorns “D” honest. The running back has amassed over 1,169 yards rushing and 15 TD’s. They will keep Sam Ehlinger in check with a very nasty stop-unit that ranks 30th, yielding a mere, 23.4 PPG. Not too shabby for the Big 12. The Longhorns are 1-3-1 ATS L5 following a bye week, 1-6 ATS L7 on Friday, and 1-4-1 ATS L6 inn conference play. Take the Cyclones. Thank you.

Auburn.

SEC GOM.

Game 416.

4:00 pm pst

Both teams were on a streak prior to a small Covid-19 hiatus. Tennessee is on a four-game loss and no cover streak while Auburn won and covered their last two outings. I would be remiss if I didn’t mention that those four Vols losses were all by double-digits (11, 21, 24, 23 points).

 Bo Nix has led the Tigers offense with confidence making zero miscues the last several outings. The quarterback can rely on running back, Tank Bigsby (114.2 yards per game the last four) to keep the UT defense honest and allow him to open up the passing game. The Volunteers have had trouble scoring (20.7 PPG) against just about every opponent, especially when facing the tougher SEC foes. And the Tigers own a tough “D”. The last time these two teams met, Tennessee prevailed, 30-24 as a 14.5-point underdog. Auburn hasn’t forgotten that stinging loss and will exact their revenge here.

 The Tigers are 5-1 ATS the last six following a bye week, 10-3 ATS the last 13 as a home favorite, and 20-8 ATS the last 28 vs. teams with a losing record. Take Auburn. Thank you.

Oregon.

10 STAR WINNER

Game 332.

7:30 pm pst.

Chip Kelly returns to the stadium and the team he helped build. As the head coach of the Oregon Ducks, he racked up a 46-7 record, won the Pac-12 a few times, went to two Rose Bowls, a National Championship game, and a Fiesta Bowl. After a short stint in the NFL with the Philadelphia Eagles and the San Francisco 49ers, he went back to the college football ranks to coach the UCLA Bruins. The team is just 1-1 this season and if you ask me, the offense relies a bit too much on their mediocre quarterback, Dorian Thompson-Robinson. He’s got some talent but makes a lot of mistakes. It seems that once again, the Bruins can not defend the run at all. Well sports fans, in comes the juggernaut which is the Oregon Ducks ground assault. Through just two outings already, Oregon ranks 6th in the nation in rushing, donning three 100+ yard ballcarriers. Quarterback, Tyler Shough is the next big name in the Pac-12. This kid is a stud, folks. Both in the air and on the ground, this dual-threat play-caller can do it all. He will be his own highlight reel in this matchup. UCLA will not have an answer for him. Oregon has taken the last eight meetings in this series SU, going 5-3 ATS. The Bruins are 2-5 ATS the last seven following a SU loss, 1-4 ATS the last five in conference play, and 1-3-1 ATS the last five on the road. The Ducks are 5-1 ATS the last six following a SU win, 5-2 ATS the last seven in conference play, and 4-1 ATS the last five at home. I figured this game to be around a three touchdown or more blowout guys. My advice is to start working your arms out now because come Saturday you are going to do so many pushups, you won’t be able to count your winnings. QUACK QUACK. Take the Ducks and win. Thank you.

Nevada.

GI.

Game 388.

12:30 pm pst.

Dillon Gabriel is putting up numbers not seen in Reno since Colin Kaepernick reined. Playing on their home field is a big edge for any MWC team. Not only that but SDSU is a one-dimensional offense and Nevada matches up very well on the stop side of the ball and will contain the Aztecs offense. The Wolfpack are 6-2 ATS the last eight in conference play. Take Nevada. Thank you.

Cincinnati.

EIM.

Game 343.

12:30 pm pst.

This is one of the most exciting games on the board this week and certainly one of the most anticipated in the AAC this season. I have won with the Bearcats four or five times in this column in 2020 and I’m going to ride that train again here.

 Cincy ranks 7th nationally and must stay undefeated to have a chance at the CFP. Not only are they winning games, they are covering too, riding a four game ATS streak.

 Central Florida does score a bit more behind college football’s top-ranked passing units and also owns the top “O” in total yards. Their two losses happened in two shootouts with Tulsa and Memphis. They have yet to face a defense as ferocious and well-balanced as they will here.

 The Bearcats stop-unit allows a mere 12.4 PPG and has snagged 12 turnovers. The defense will contain the UCF offense. Expect Cincinnati havoc-wreaker, DE Myjai Sanders (five sacks) to get to UCF quarterback, Dillon Gabriel and force mistakes.

The Knights are 1-5 ATS the last six in conference play and 1-6 ATS the last seven at home. Under a TD is a gift.Take Cincinnati. Thank you.

Indiana.

TD play.

Game 357.

9:00 am pst.

Giving a team that is 4-0 both SU and ATS with wins over Penn State, Rutgers, Michigan, and Michigan State, nearly three touchdowns astounds me. Yes, Ohio State is one of the most-well-balanced teams in the nation. But, they, knowing how good Indiana is playing, will come in here with a conservative game plan as not to make mistakes. The Hoosiers have momentum and are 7-2 ATS the last nine meetings with the Buckeyes. Take Indiana. Thank you.

CMU.

WWW.

Game 314.

4:00 pm pst.

Jim McElwain and his Chippewas team are looking a bit sharper at this point in the season, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. The Broncos are 2-7 ATS L9 on the road and 4-17 ATS L21 following an ATS win. The Chippewas are 7-1 ATS L8 at home and 5-1 ATS L6 in conference play. Take Central Michigan. Thank you.

Take SMU.

AAC GOM.
Game 207.

4:00 pm pst.

SMU’s sole defeat this season came against the AAC’s top team and the 7th ranked team in the nation, Cincinnati. Yet again this season, the Mustangs own an explosive offense posting over 40.5 PPG. There are NFL teams that would be envious of their backfield. Quarterback, Shane Buechele (2,581 yards passing, 66.8% completion rate, 20/3) and running back Ulysses Bentley IV (774 yards rushing, 10 touchdowns) are one of the most exciting and talented 1-2 punches in college football. That would be impressive enough for anyone to side with them here. But they are also joined by one of college football’s top receiving corps (13th). The quartet of Rice, Granson, Page, and Gray (126 receptions, 1,801 yards receiving, 14 touchdowns combined) will give the Tulsa secondary nightmares for years to come.

The Golden Hurricane is no slouch. But in all reality, they just don’t have the firepower to keep pace offensively here. You can count on Tulsa’s mistake-prone quarterback, Zach Smith to continue his INT streak (he has tossed at least one pick in every game thus far).

The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. SMU is 5-2 ATS the last seven at Tulsa and 5-2 ATS the last seven overall. Tulsa is 0-4 ATS the last four as a home fav and 4-9 ATS the last 13 overall as a favorite. Take the Mustangs. Thank you.

Take Wake Forest.

EIM.

Game 149.

9:00 am pst.

 You’d be hard-pressed to find a team that is more Jekyll and Hyde than the Tar Heels. Consistency is important in both football and in sports betting. And, one thing for sure, the Demon Deacons have been a consistent moneymaker, covering five of six outings this season. Wake Forest has been competitive in every contest on the campaign, including an opening-season loss, which they covered to Clemson.

 Smart and savvy Wake quarterback, Sam Hartman (1,253 yards passing, 62% completion rate, 4/0) doesn’t make mistakes, nor does the rest of the offensive unit (one turnover through six games). As a matter of fact, the team is +14 in turnover margin. Not bad for a squad that puts up over 37.0 PPG.

Giving a clever head coach like Dave Clawson two touchdowns is a mistake. The Demon Deacons are 11-4 ATS the last 15 as a road ‘dog. The Tar Heels are 2-5 ATS the lasts seven following an ATS win. Take Wake Forest. Thank you.

Take Tulane.

TD.

Game 204.

9:00 am pst.

We have all heard the saying “Looks can be deceiving.”The Black Knights 6-1 record is impressive. But being impressive on paper and impressive on the field are two totally separate things. On paper, it’s all about statistics. On the field, it’s about who you have played. Let me shed some light on the subject, sports fans. They beat Middle Tennessee State, Louisiana Monroe, Abilene Christian, The Citadel, Texas San Antonio, and Mercer. They weren’t an underdog in any of those matchups. As a matter of fact, the disparity in the opposition was so vast, they were a fav of 24-31 points in four of those outings. Army stepped up in class just once this season and got smoked by Cincinnati, 24-10. And guys, the game wasn’t nearly as close as the score made it look.

 Tulane has gotten bettors paid, covering five of the last six games coming in to this meeting. Not only that, but they have gone up against much stronger adversaries. Head coach, Willie Fritz has won and covered the last three meetings in this series. He has outcoached and outclassed the BK’s head coach, Jeff Monken. Defensively, once again, the Green Wave owns a tough stop-unit against the run. They rank 35th nationally, yielding only 128.0 yards per game on the ground. Quarterback, Michael Pratt and his tandem of 500-yards rushers, Stephon Huderson and Cameron Carroll possess the firepower to light up the scoreboard here. As importantly, they have the ground game to control the pace, keep the Black Knights defense on the field, and their offense off of it.

 Army is 1-3-1 ATS the last five vs. the AAC, 2-5 ATS the last seven on the road, and 1-4 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Tulane is 4-0 ATS the last four vs. INDEP, 17-5 ATS the last 22 at home, and 11-3 ATS the last 14 as a fav. Take the Green Wave. Thank you.

Take Miami-Florida.

GI.

Game 155.

9:00 am pst.

9th-ranked Miami comes in here red-hot and brimming with confidence winning three straight and six of seven overall in 2020. Virginia Tech is banged-up and comes off a loss to Liberty as a 17-point favorite. Dual-threat quarterback, D’Eriq King (1,828 yards passing 16/4 in the air, 406 yards rushing two TD’s on the ground) will decimate the Hokies cardboard defense. On the flipside, V Tech is a one-dimensional offense, solely relying on the run. The ‘Canes have held some solid rushing attacks and will contain this one here. The Hokies are 6-13 ARS L19 as a favorite. Take Miami. Thank you.

CMU

Game 155.

5:00 pm pst.

CMU thrashed Ball State last year, 48-10 to give the team their sixth consecutive ATS cover over their conference rival. NIU starts five freshmen on defense. Chippewas head coach, Jim McElwain is one of the sharpest minds in college football today and will exploit the inexperienced stop-unit here. CMU is 19-6-2 ATS L27 as a road favorite, 5-1 ATS L6 overall as a favorite, 4-1 ATS L5 in conference play, and 7-3 ATS L10 overall. Take CMU. Thank you.

EMU.

Game 117.

4:00 pm pst.

Too many points to lay for a BSU team that can’t lay wood, especially at home where they are 6-15 ATS the L21 in the role as a home fav. As a matter of fact, the Cardinals are a dismal, 12-25 ATS L27 overall when playing host. EMU is a very game team, covering four of the L5 coming in to this matchup and outside of last season’s six-point loss, they took the previous three meetings in this series both SU and ATS. The Eagles are 5-1 ATS L6 at the Cardinals and 23-7 ATS L30 as an underdog. Take EMU. Thank you.

Take Oregon State.

This is my Pac-12 Payday.

Game 362.

7:30 pm pst.

Oregon State is a moneymaker, riding a 9-2 ATS streak. Washington State lost their QB and their three top receivers from a unit that ranked No.1 in the nation in passing a season ago. They really don’t seem to have the tools to come near duplicating those stats. The Beavers have a good defense, and a very good rushing attack. Oregon State is 4-1 ATS L5 in November and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take the Beavers. Thank you.

Take FAU.

This is my BB play.

Game 396.

3:00 pm pst.

Western Kentucky covered just one game by a half-point since last November. The Hilltoppers now rank towards the bottom in every major offensive category (106th total yards, 101st passing yards, 91st rushing yards, 105th scoring, 115th turnovers). Things will go from bad to worse facing an Owls defense that allows a mere, 13.3 PPG. They have also won and covered the last three meetings in this series and are 5-1 ARS L6 at home, 6-2 ATS L8 in November, and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take FAU. Thank you.

We cashed in with the Bearcats last week here in the and once again this week, we will do it again. Cincinnati is a perfect, 5-0 in 2020. For the next month, this team faces four AAC creampuffs until their season-finale against the other undefeated conference rep, Tulsa. They must keep their engine revved for both style points and as not to get stale. They catch an overrated Houston team here that has stepped up in class three times this season, and as a result went 0-3 both SU and ATS (Navy, BYU, UCF). The Cougar defense is getting burned for over 34.8 PPG. In comes Desmond Ridder and the high-flying Bearcats “O” (39.6 PPG). That would be enough. But the Houston offense is going to get stuffed by the nation’s 7th raked stop unit of Cincy (12.0 PPG allowed). The Cougars are 1-4 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Take the Bearcats. Thank you.

Take Fresno State.

This is my NL.

Game 363.

12:30 pm pst.

 This just might be the worst UNLV squad I have seen in decades. They have already suffered two beatings at the hands of San Diego State and Nevada. They really don’t possess and physicality and are once again going to be manhandled here.

 Fresno State, which has won and covered the last two meetings in this series, showed an enormous amount of heart, as they bounced back from an opening-season loss to Hawaii, to shellack Colorado State last week. With very little threat of a pass rush and a lax secondary, look for improved Bulldogs quarterback Jake Haener to have a career day here against the Rebels.

Fresno State is 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 on the road, 23-11-1 ATS the last 35 in conference play, and 33-16-2 the last 51 overall. Take Fresno State. Thank you.

Take Oklahoma.

This is my GI play.

Game 372.

12:30 pm pst.

Without an undefeated team and because two of the one-loss reps are facing each other this week, Oklahoma has a real chance to rise in the conference standings. They need victories, big victories. Facing a team that accounts for just 16.2 PPG while yielding 46.2 PPG can also give the Sooners the well-needed style points they need. The 0-6 ATS Jayhawks just can’t get withing a slew of TD’s against any foe. FYI, this team started to look like the team they are known to be last week when a few key players returned to their offensive unit. The home team is 7-2 ATS L9 meetings. Take Oklahoma. Thank you.

Take NW.

This is my ETVGW.

Game 380.

9;00 am pst.

Northwestern isn’t just a good football team, they are also believing they are a good football team. The thumped Maryland 43-3 then came from a 17-point deficit to beat Iowa in Iowa last week. The Nebraska team is shaky, particularly on defense. Well, NW possesses a very well-balanced offense that will steamroll here. The Cornhuskers are 2-6-1 ATS L9 meetings in this series, 15 ATS L6 on the road, and 2-8 ATS L10 overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.