Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns -2.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
Cleveland Browns. Angle Play. Game 456. 10:00 AM PST 1:00 PM EST. Since Deshaun Watson took over the reins, the Browns are 2-1. Overall, Cleveland has won and cover three of the last four outings coming into this matchup. And now they see the return of Nick Chubb to spearhead the NFL’s fifth ranked rushing attack. Trust me when I tell you they are going to steamroll the very lax 23rd ranked New Orleans run defense. The Saints are going to be missing several key players. But even if they were at full strength, I still don’t see them even competing in this matchup. They are 0-5 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win and 1-5 ATS the last six games played on grass. Take Cleveland. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Bengals -3 v. Patriots | 22-18 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Bengals. No Limit. Game 459. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Sports fans, very few teams can come back from the devastating loss like the Patriots suffered last week in Las Vegas. Trust me when I tell you this is not the Bill Belichick New England squad that we are so used to seeing over the last two decades. Just over the last four weeks they are on a 1-3 run, both straight up and against the spread. And things aren’t looking too good for them as they face a team a arguably with the most momentum going into this weeks games. Cincinnati Bengals are running red-hot, winning and covering six consecutive outings. Joe Burrow and the Bengals top-10 offense are salivating just knowing they get to line up across from the leaky Patriots defense. Sure, overall, on the season the New England “D” has impressive stats. However, over the last four weeks they have allowed a combined 99-points. By the way the Patriots have lost the last five as home underdogs without Tom Brady, going 1-4 against the spread. Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS the last five games played in December, 35-17 ATS the last 52 games played on the road, and 20-7 ATS the last 27 versus the AFC. Take the Bengals. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Seahawks +10 v. Chiefs | 10-24 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
Seattle Seahawks. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 465. 10:00 AM PST,1:00 PM EST. Both teams need to win here this week. Kansas City is looking to claim the AFC‘s number one seed. And Seattle is just looking to add to their chances of making the postseason. Folks I’m here to tell you that there is no way that the Chief should be a double-digit favorite against any opponent in the NFL. Especially one that matches up this well with them. Kansas City is absolute point spread poison folks. To be honest with you they have covered just one game since mid-October. I think we can all agree the odds makers tend to overvalue them because they know the general public likes to bet them. However, they’re making a huge mistake here. Seattle is on an 0-5 ATS slide themselves. But they have not been given this many points. The Chiefs defense has allowed 27, 28, 24-points over the last three outings. And to be honest with you, a couple of those foes possess lower-tier offenses. Seattle will be able to pass the ball with ease against the 22nd ranked pass defense of Kansas City. Granted the Chiefs will do what they do and put points up. But the lack of a major rushing game will not allow them to eat up a lot of clock in the process. There are also 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home, 1-10-1 the last 12 games played following a straight up win, and 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games overall. Take the Seahawks. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Lions -140 v. Panthers | Top | 23-37 | Loss | -140 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
Detroit Lions on the moneyline. NFL Game of the Month. Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Momentum means a lot in the NFL in the month of December. The Detroit Lions have momentum. They enter Saturday’s matchup winning six of the last seven straight up and as far as us bettors are concerned; they have covered seven straight outings. This is a team that has not been to the playoffs in over six years. Head coach, Dan Campbell has them believing not only that they can get to, but they could win in the postseason as well. But they have to get there first. Standing in their way this week is the Carolina Panthers. Granted this team has covered six of the last eight games. But they are banged up, depleted, and fatigued. I know the Lions defense leaves a lot to be desired. But I doubt they’re going to be in too much hot water here this week against one of the worst offenses in the league. On the opposite side of the ball, Detroit has become a monster scoring machine. They face a Carolina defense that over the last few weeks has been outmuscled and steamrolled for a combined 48 points. Detroit is 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus the NFC, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played on the road, 5-0 ATS the last five games played in December, and 7-0 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up win. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-19-22 | Rams v. Packers -7 | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 37 h 33 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. MNF WINNER. Game 332. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Let’s go to Lambeau Field as the Rams take on the Packers. There is no question that both Los Angeles and Green Bay have fallen way short of expectations this season. I mean the Rams are just 4-9 following up their Super Bowl season. In all fairness a lot of their woes are due to injuries. But in all sincerity, a lot is also due to inconsistent play. They finally got a win last week, their first since October 16, as they faced the lowly Raiders. Baker Mayfield, who just joined the team two days earlier, rallied his team back from a 16-3 deficit late in the fourth quarter to steal a 17-16 win. The Packers will be a much, much different opponent here this week. First of all, Green Bay has dominated this series, winning seven of the last eight straight up, and all eight against the spread. Next, to say that Los Angeles is running on fumes would be an understatement. Their injured list is longer than Deshaun Watson plaintive list LOL. They already rank 25th in passing, 30th in rushing, and 29th in points scored. Oh, by the way, they also rank 28th in turnovers committing 20 miscues on the campaign. Green Bay got a big December 4 win over division rival Chicago, 28-19. What will certainly benefit this team is coming off that win and then having a bye week to rest, heal, and prepare for this week’s matchup. In rookie wide receiver, Christian Watson, Aaron Rodgers finally has a go to receiver to complement wideout Allen Lazard. On the ground, the Packers are pretty stable as Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon have combined for nearly 1,500 yards rushing and five TDs. The offense is now well-balanced and will certainly exploit the depleted, Los Angeles defense. It’s true, the Packers have lost three straight as a home favorite this season. But, in all sincerity, two of those games were earlier on, and before Rodgers started connecting with Watson. Throw into the mix that the biggest defensive threat Los Angeles has, Aaron Donald is unlikely to play here and I will tell you that I do feel Green Bay is going to light up the scoreboard. Oh, by the way, they also had a while to prepare for Mayfield at the helm. The Rams are 1-4 ATS their last five games played following a straight up win and 1-3-1 ATS their last five games played versus NFC opponents. I see the Packers making a push late in the season, and it starts here. Lay the TD with Green Bay, folks. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-18-22 | Cowboys -3.5 v. Jaguars | 34-40 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. Angle Play. Game 321. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. If there is one team in the NFL that you could actually say is “Jekyll and Hyde“, it’s the Jacksonville Jaguars. However, one trend you cannot ignore is the fact that since they started winning, they alternate weeks winning and losing. November 6 was a win and cover against Las Vegas, November 13 was a loss and no cover against Kansas City, November 27 was a win and cover at home against Baltimore, December 4 was a loss and no cover on the road at Detroit, and December 11 was a win and cover away from home at Tennessee. They are alternating wins and losses. Well, I think you’re going see the trend continue for them again here this week. The Jaguars are running into the NFL’s second ranked defense of the Dallas Cowboys, which is allowing just 17.6-points per game. The Cowboys are winning. Let’s face it they’ve won for in a row and six of their last seven straight up en route to an overall record of 10-3. During their current four-game hot streak, they are accounting for over 37.2-points per game. Not only that, but I do see them moving the chains with their well-balanced unit against the Jacksonville defense that last played a well-balanced unit and gave a 40-points to Detroit. The tandem of Pollard and Elliott have teamed up for over 1,600 yards rushing and 18 TDs this season. They will control the pace of this game, move the chains, and open up the passing game for Dak Prescott. One more item that is very important folks, the Cowboys are one of the most bankable teams in the NFL. They are 8-1 ATS their last nine games played in the month of December, 13-3 ATS their last 16 games played versus teams with a losing record, and 11-3 ATS their last 14 games played on the road. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -7 | Top | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 27 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. AFC EAST GOM. Game 310. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Following four consecutive straight up victories, Buffalo needs a win this week to earn an AFC playoff spot and bring them one step closer to an AFC East title. The Bills dominated the Dolphins, taking seven consecutive meetings in this division rivalry prior to the very strange September 25 “Butt punt“ game resulting in a 21-19 loss on the road. Revenge plays a big factor in this contest this week. But so does Buffalo trying to further widen their lead in the AFC East. They face a Miami team that has lost back-to-back games the last several weeks. The Dolphins offense has sputtered, tallying a combined 34-points in losses and no covers to the 49ers and the Chargers both on the road. This is their third straight outing away from home. Miami is not known to play well in cold-weather places and their record In Orchard Park, New York is not very good, as they are just 2-7-1 ATS the last 10 meetings there. The Dolphins have one of the worst rushing attacks in the NFL. As a matter fact, they rank 29th in the league, averaging just 89.8 yards per game on the ground. Being that they are no threat on the ground, the Buffalo defense, which ranks second overall in the league, allowing at 17.0-points per game, can key on their passing attack. They have had success in the air. However, the last few weeks, their aerial assault has crash-landed, producing almost as many interceptions as touchdowns. The Bills have a very well-balanced offensive attack, averaging sixth in the air and eighth on the ground. Overall, they are fourth in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.2-points per game. Their ground assault will keep the Dolphins defense honest while Josh Allen opens up the sixth ranked passing game against the 23rd ranked pass defense in the league, and work his magic. Temperatures are expected to be in the 20’s and wind gusts of over 35 miles per hour for this game. And possible chance of snow. All things that work in Buffalo’s favor. One more item folks. The Bills in their only other attempt this season facing a team that has beaten them previously, crushed the Jets last week 20-12. They are very good when seeking revenge. Miami is 0-4 ATS their last four games played following a straight up loss, 1-5 ATS their last six games played on the road, and 3-7 ATS their last 10 games played overall. Buffalo is 5-1 ATS their last six games played in Week 15, 9-3-2 ATS their last 14 games played following an ATS loss, and 7-3 ATS their last 10 games played in the month of December. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-11-22 | Bucs v. 49ers -3 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. Angle Play. Game 124. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. The number is short here due to the QB situation. Brock Purdy has the luxury of stepping in to a monster offensive unit. San Fran is loaded with playmakers on the “O”. They also possess one of the NFL’S best stop-units, ranking in the Top-10 in just about every major category. They are 13-3 ATS their last 16 games played versus the NFC and 8-2 ATS their last 10 games played at home. Take the 49ERS. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions OVER 51.5 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
OVER in the VIKINGS/LIONS matchup. NFC NORTH TOM. Games 105/106. 10:00 AM PST/1:00PM EST. The over went money in four of the last five meetings in this division rivalry, including the September 25 matchup which tallied 52 points. Take the over. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-11-22 | Browns v. Bengals -3.5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
Bengals. AFC NORTH GOM. Game 114. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Cincy is 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS this season and is looking for some revenge here after a late-October humiliating loss to Cleveland. The Bengals are playing solid ball, and making bettors money, covering nine of their last 10 outings. They have also covered 12 of their last 16 meetings with the Browns. Cincinnati is healthier, is at home, and is rolling. Take the Bengals. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-04-22 | Jets +3 v. Vikings | 22-27 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
New York Jets. No Limit. Game 451. Ready 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. For those of you who remember Rodney Dangerfield, his catchphrase was “I get no respect“. Meanwhile he was one of the most successful comedians that ever lived. I kind of think the New York Jets feel the same way. No matter what this team does, they just can’t earn any respect. No respect from the league. No respect from the media. And no respect from the odds makers. Well, we can’t do too much about the league or the media. But we can certainly take advantage of the odds makers. Not only does the team own one of the best records in the AFC at 7-4. But they’re also 7-4 against the spread in 2022. As far as the Minnesota Vikings go, I have been saying for quite a while now that this team is one of the luckiest in the NFL. Guys, I cannot argue the fact they have won nine-games. But they got a little luck in winning those nine-games. One thing for sure, you can’t bet on them because they’re just 5-5-1 against the spread this season. This tells me that the odds makers know the general public is going to bet on them and they inflate the line because of it. And once again here in this weeks match up, they’re doing that exact thing. Ya’ know they rank 32nd in the NFL in passing defense. The way Mike White looked last week passing for over 315 yards and three touchdowns, and most importantly, no interceptions, tells me he’s going to have another successful performance this week. On the flipside, very quietly New York possesses the fifth ranked defense in the NFL, yielding a mere 17.8-points per game. And being that Minny has no rushing attack to speak of, the Jets defense can key on the passing game, pressure Kirk Cousins, and force mistakes. New York has been money on the road this season covering four of five as a visitor. Oh, by the way this is usually the time of year when Minnesota starts to fold like a cheap suit, only covering twice over the last eight in the month of December. I like the Jets outright. But I’ll take the points here with Gang Green. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-04-22 | Titans +4.5 v. Eagles | 10-35 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans. High Roller. Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. There is no questioning the fact that the Philadelphia Eagles are a very good football team. However over recent weeks we seen teams play them a lot tougher. They could not cover the point spread in Houston at the beginning of November. They lost outright at home against Washington. They eked out a one-point victory at Indianapolis. And then they got a little lucky with a seven -point victory over the struggling Green Bay team at home. Over the last month, each of their opponents have come to realize they can exploit the Eagles weakness. That is when adversaries control the clock and the time in possession. By running the football each of those opponents have made it very difficult for Philly and their office to get an any rhythm on the field. Well, this week they have to go up against one of the best running backs in the NFL in Derrick Henry. The stellar ball-carrier already has over 1,048 yards rushing and 10 touchdowns on the ground. You’re going to see a heavy dose of him running the ball and pounding the Eagles defense play after play. This will keep the Philly “D” honest and on the field. And most importantly Jalen Hurts and their offense off it. By the way, last weeks 20-16 loss to Cincinnati was Tennessee’s first no-cover since mid-September. They are 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road, 4-1 ATS the last five games played following a straight up loss, and 8-1 ATS the last nine games played overall. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-04-22 | Jaguars v. Lions | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. Angle Play. Game 460. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM PST. You know guys, sports betting isn’t about who wins. It’s about who covers. And right now, no team is running as hot against the spread as the Detroit Lions. Detroit has covered four consecutive contests. Meanwhile they’ve also won three of their last four and to be honest, had the Buffalo Bills on the ropes the entire game last week. The Lions are without question, a much-improved team right now from the start of the season. And they are getting better with each passing week. And you know what folks, they’re getting healthier too. They should see the return of some key cogs in the wheel on both the offensive and the defensive squads this week. Lots of the headlines surrounding the Jaguars are about Trevor Lawrence orchestrating a game-winning drive last week against the Ravens. But in all sincerity, their defense was steamrolled the entire game. And I think we would all agree Lamar Jackson and Baltimore has been known to give up quite a few leads this season. I know both defenses here rank among the worst in the NFL. However, running back Jamaal Williams has very quietly tallied over 13 touchdowns on the ground. And wide receiver D’Andre Swift looks to be 100% healthy again. Having both of these guys full throttle this week will allow quarterback Jared Goff some time to do what he used to do… and that’s pick defenses apart. Let’s not forget Detroit had an extra few days to rest, heal, and prepare. And Dan Campbell has proven to be a pretty sharp guy. Jacksonville is 1-1-7 ATS the last nine games played on the road, 0-7 ATS the last seven games played in the month of December, 2-7 ATS the last nine games played versus teams with a losing record, and 5-13-1 ATS the last 19 games played overall. Detroit is 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played at home, 5-1 ATS the last six games played following in against the spread win, 5-2 ATS the last seven home games played versus teams with a losing road record, and 15-7 ATS the last 22 games played on field turf. Take the Lions as my best bet this week and take your bookmakers money. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots +3.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Guys I am all over the NFL LEADERBOARDS. My pro football has been HOT, HOT, HOT. And going into Conference Championships and Bowl Season the upcoming weeks in college football, I will crush every sports book on the planet. I have been documented at as much as 90% during this time of year in NCAA FOOTBALL. I have had Bowl campaigns in which I brought you nearly perfect Bowl seasons. This I the time of year you MUST follow a winning capper and I am one of the mot successful cappers in December and January in the history of this business. Grab a discount and ensure yourself a winning season. I also posted my two strongest college hoops releases thus far this short campaign today: 52-15 NCAAB LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE which are 1-0 this season already and my PAC-12 GAME OF THE WEEK. I have them posted individually and in a DISCOUNTED 2-PACK. Thursday’s FREE WINNER: New England Patriots. Game 302. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Do you know what I hear out of the Buffalo camp? I hear that travel has been an issue for this team, short weeks has recently been an issue for this team, and weather has been an issue for this team. You know what I don’t hear? Anybody taking responsibility for any of their issues. Guys, I’m not looking to put down the Buffalo Bills or their fans. But I will tell you looking closely at their record so far this season, this team is only a couple of unlucky plays away from being a sub .500 team. Yes, guys they will make the playoffs. But this isn’t the powerhouse many out there believe they are. First of all, Josh Allen is a good quarterback. But he’s not a genius guys. He is far from it. He still doesn’t know when to tuck the ball and take a sack or throw it out of bounds. Their offense has over 19 turnovers already. And they all fall on the shoulders of Josh Allen. This doesn’t bode well when you’re facing a defense like the Patriots possess. Not only did they allow just 18.4 points per game, but they’ve also snagged 16 turnovers already. They are equally good against the pass as they are the rush. Granted their offense leaves a lot to be desired. But to be very honest with you, the Buffalo defense is overworked and tired. Their last three outings, they’ve allowed 81 points to Minnesota, Cleveland, and Detroit. Every week their defense is leaking a little more and more. My friends, I feel this is the week that running back Rhamondre Stevenson will really break out against an overworked and tired Buffalo defense. This will allow Mac Jones to open up their passing game a bit. I also think you might catch the Bills maybe looking ahead a bit. Between this game and the next two contests, they are facing three division rivals in the Patriots, the Jets, and the Dolphins. The next three weeks will decide who takes the AFC East my friends. And right now, it isn’t looking like Buffalo. By the way, I think of all the players that are injured this week, linebacker Von Miller’s absence will be the most significant. Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on the road and 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, New England is 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played at home and 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus AFC opponents. I really like the line on this game. So, I am siding with the Patriots. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-27-22 | Falcons v. Commanders -3.5 | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Washington Commanders. 95% ANGLE PLAY. Game 256. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Ron Rivera has the Washington Commanders not just believing they can win, he has them winning. This is a team that has won five of the last six straight up and is just a half-point away from covering six in a row. It seems that they are progressing with each game. If they were going to drop a game, it would’ve been last week in a letdown mode following the thumping of the Eagles a few weeks back. However, they came out strong a week ago and took down the Texans with authority. I don’t see the team slowing down. They have a very good chance of the postseason. Believe it or not they are still in the running for the Division. With teams like the Eagles and the Cowboys looking mortal, and the Giants, well being the Giants, the Commanders have a mathematical chance of taking the competitive NFC East. And what better team to face the Atlanta Falcons. Talk about a “Jekyll and Hyde” team. This team is not just struggling, they are also failing to get bettors paid covering just once since mid-October. The once high-flying aerial assault of their offense is currently ranked 31st, passing for just 154 yards per game. This offense solely relies upon the run. Well, that does not bode too well as Washington enters this matchup with the sixth ranked run defense. Overall, they allow just 20.3 points per game. I know their offense, statistically leaves a lot to be desired. But you can’t ignore the fact that they put up 55-points the last two weeks. One thing the Commanders string together is paydays for those who bet on them. They are 18-7-1 ATS 26 following a straight up win. Take Washington. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-24-22 | Patriots +2.5 v. Vikings | 26-33 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 29 m | Show | |
New England Patriots. NO LIMIT PLAY. Game 109. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. Sports fans, I have been saying for months that I feel Minnesota is a very lucky team. Yes, I am noy going to argue the fact that they have won eight games. But I feel that scheduling and may be a little bit of luck has gone their way this season. If you look at the teams they’ve beaten, only one really good team did they get the better of and that was a few weeks ago at Buffalo, winning 33-30 in overtime. Let’s talk truth, they had a few things go their way for them to earn that victory. Other than that, they have played only two decent teams, and lost both of those contests in Philadelphia and against Dallas. In last weeks 40-3 embarrassing rout at the hands of the Cowboys, the Vikings weaknesses were exposed. One thing head coach Bill Belichick can do is exploit weaknesses. Put a pin in that we’re going to come back around to it. Very quietly, the Patriots are winning. They have won five of the last six straight up and six of their last seven against the spread. The Minnesota offensive line got flattened last week, allowing seven sacks. Like I said Belichick and his very smart coaching staff will exploit this weakness. Not only is the Vikings offensive line in for a long day here, but overall, their offense is going to have a tough time moving to chains whether it be on the ground or in the air against the top-10 Patriots “D”. In every category the stop-unit of New England is extremely strong. To add insult to injury, they only allow 16.9 points per game. Oh yeah, Minny has also lost one of their better receivers and a starting cornerback. Look for the New England offense to spring back to life here and further beat up on an overworked and overrated Vikings defense. The Patriots are 7-0 ATS the last seven in November, 3-0-1 ATS the last four on the road, and 3-0-1 ATS the last for versus teams with winning record. Take New England. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-24-22 | Bills v. Lions +9.5 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. ANGLE PLAY. Game 106. 9:30 AM PST/12:30 PM EST. Guys, I know how good the Buffalo Bills are. But this long and arduous season seems to be taking its toll on the team. And I think that we can all agree that over the last several weeks not only have they looked beatable, they have been beatable. This is a team that has dropped two of their last three and has failed to cover three of the last four. Their defense in the month of November has allowed 20, 33, and 23-points. Well, in comes the Detroit Lions, which have won and covered three straight. A victory here would put them in the NFC wildcard race. There is very little pressure on this them and they are starting to roll. Offensively, they account for over 25-points per game with a squad that is very well-balanced, having success both in the air and on the ground. It is through the air in which they will exploit the 20th ranked pass defense of Buffalo. Because they run the ball also with success, they can eat up the clock and keep the Bills defense on the field, and Josh Allen and their offense off it. I understand how poor the Lions defensive statistics are. But the Bills are looking mortal these days. Not only that, but their turnover ratio is now -3 over the last eight games. They’ve also only covered one of their last four as a visitor this season. Oh, by the way, they failed to cover the little last two as a double-digit favorite as well. Detroit is 6-0 ATS the last six in November, 7-2 ATS the last nine at home, 6-2 the last eight versus teams with a winning record, and 13-6 ATS the last 19 overall. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-20-22 | Chiefs -5 v. Chargers | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 10 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC WEST GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 469. 5:25 PM PST/8:25 PM EST. Injuries are really starting to pile up for Los Angeles, despite covering their last two outings. On both sides of the ball, the list of injured players is too long to even name. Kansas City has their own health issues. But I think we would all agree the Chiefs are much deeper and more talented than the Chargers. Looking at the L.A.’s five victories this season, not one has come against an opponent currently owning a winning record. Meanwhile K.C. is starting to stride, Patrick Mahomes is about to surpass 3,000 yards passing and as long as he has Travis Kelce at his disposal, the Chargers can not trade scores with the Chiefs. Kansas City is posting over 30.0 points per game while their “D” has held their last two foes to just 17.0 points per game. To make matters worse for Los Angeles, they have failed to cover the last three at SoFi Stadium. The Chiefs are 8-1 ATS the last nine in Los Angeles and 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-20-22 | Commanders -3 v. Texans | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
Washington Commanders. 91% ANGLE PLAY. Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. You know sports fans, with the Eagles looking mortal and the Cowboys…well looking like the Cowboys, the Commanders certainly have a chance at possibly competing for the NFC East crown. Moreover, sitting at 5-5 right now and a lot of NFC mid-level squads like the Seahawks, Cowboys, and Falcons all dropping games a week ago, this team has a very, very good chance at making the postseason. Taylor Heinicke will remain the starting QB, and why not? He’s been adequate and will be under center for his fifth start this season. Chase Young is expected to make his return. While it was released and he will be on “pitch count“, he will still have an impact on this game. Washington enters this matchup motivated and rolling. Let’s face it, they’re a half-point away from covering five straight and a little better than a field goal away from winning five straight. This is a team that is playing with momentum, enthusiasm, and optimism. No, they’re not flashy, but they do play good solid football. It seems that with each passing week, they are getting better and better. Their defense is holding teams to just over 21-points per game. And as I mentioned, their offense is improving with each outing. As a matter fact, the 32-points they put up, throwing a monkey wrench into Philly’s perfect season was the most they’ve accounted for in any outing thus far. On the other hand, the Houston Texans own the worst record in the NFL at 1-7-1. This is a team with very little talent, playing with no motivation, and let’s be honest, a head coach who hasn’t led a winning team in over a decade. They pose almost no threat offensively. And I feel things are going to get worse for this team. There are rumors that the Texans might have a quarterback change very soon. But it really doesn’t matter who is at the helm here, this team has very little talent. And because their offense is so weak, their defense is overworked. The Commanders are 15-6-1 ATS the last 22 games played following a straight up win, 4-1-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a losing record, 6-0-1 ATS the last seven games played in November, and 4-0-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Take Washington here. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-20-22 | Lions v. Giants -3 | Top | 31-18 | Loss | -120 | 124 h 14 m | Show |
New York Giants. High Roller Play Sunday, November 20, 2022. Game 462. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. -3. Consensus. The New York Giants are sitting in second place in the competitive NFC East, just one-game behind the Philadelphia Eagles. Many people out there feel that the Eagles schedule wasn’t the toughest so far this season. And judging from their performance on Monday night against the Washington Commanders, I think we all can visibly see they have some weaknesses that can be exploited. Just FYI my friends, they have trouble against teams that can run the ball and control the time of possession. And over the following few weeks, they are facing opponents that have strong rushing attacks. My point being, New York has a very good opportunity to win this division. But they can only do so if they keep their foot on the gas. They face a Detroit Lions team here that ranks 32nd in the league defensively. That’s right, they are dead-last in points allowed, getting steamrolled for over 29.3-points per game. To be quite honest, every major defensive category they rank amongst the worst in the NFL. But the one that truly stands out to me in this game, is their 31st ranking against the rush. Let’s put a pin in that and come back around to it. Detroit had only one straight up victory up until the last few weeks. They did beat Green Bay at home and Chicago on the road this month. But let’s talk turkey (so close to Thanksgiving LOL). Neither the Packers nor the Bears have any sort of offense. We all know that Aaron Rodgers is struggling as the team possesses the poorest record and some of their worst statistics in as far back as we can remember. As far as Chicago goes, no one expected them to do too much this season, and yet they’re still underachieving. By the way folks, these are two teams that Detroit knows very well and see several times each season, sharing the same division. Going back to New York, following their first loss of the 2022/2023 campaign in late-September, they then rattled off four consecutive wins and covers. They did lose a few weeks ago in Seattle. But last week they absolutely decimated Houston at home. This tells me they will start rolling again. Now offensively the Giants possess the third-ranked rushing attack in football. Saquon Barkley has accumulated over one 931 yards rushing and six touchdowns on the ground. You’re going to see a heavy dose of him this week. Not only that but he also has 29 receptions. He will star in his own highlight reel here in this matchup. He will keep the Lions defense honest, move the chains, and cross the goal line at will. His presence will also allow Daniel Jones to open up the passing game. The quarterback has very quietly passed for just under 1,600 yards on a 65.8% completion rate, with eight touchdowns and only two interceptions. He doesn’t make many mistakes. He’s not flashy. But he doesn’t have to be in this offense. This is also a unit that makes very little mistakes altogether, only committing three turnovers thus far this season. With the running attack New York possesses, they will control the time of possession, keep the Detroit defense on the field, and most importantly, Jared Goff and the Lions offense off it. When Goff and the “O” is on the field, they will have a tough time against a Giants “D” that is holding opponents to under 20-points per game (19.6 PPG). The Giants are 20-8-1 ATS the last 29 games played versus teams with a losing record, 4-1 ATS the last five games played at home, 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played in the month of November, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take New York. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-17-22 | Titans +3.5 v. Packers | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans. Game 311. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Very quietly the Tennessee Titans have covered seven consecutive contests, winning six of those seven outings straight up. Keep in mind they didn’t have Ryan Tannehill under center for a few of those games. The quarterback returned to lead this team from a 10–0 deficit to a 17-10 victory last week against the Denver Broncos. Granted, the Green Bay Packers did end a five-game losing streak themselves by rallying from a 28-14 deficit to force overtime and take a 31-28 decision over the Dallas Cowboys last week. But pump the brakes on that game my friends. I think we can all agree that Cowboys head coach, Mike McCarthy may have contributed to that. His decision making all season once again has been suspect. But in that specific game, I believe he caused Dallas to lose. Now we know that Aaron Rodgers’ numbers have fallen significantly this season. A lot of people are saying it’s because his receiving core is gone or injured. That is true. But at the same token, he can’t make plays like he used to. So, the Packers offense is leaning heavily on the running game. But this week they have to face the NFL’s second-ranked rush defense in the Titans. Tennessee only allows 85.1 yards per game on the ground this season. They will have some success in the air here. But overall, I think quarterback in real trouble. I don’t see this offense lighting up the scoreboard here. Let’s remember they only account for 18.5-points per game to begin with. On the flipside, Tennessee is going to give Green Bay a heavy dose of Derrick Henry on the ground. Especially because this is a place where Green Bay has gotten steamrolled defensively, ranking 26th and allowing over 140.6 yards per game to the rush. Green Bay has dropped three straight the season laying points at home. They are not reliable as chalk even if it is in Lambeau Field. Tennessee is 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 5-0 ATS the last five games played versus teams with a losing record, and 5-0 ATS the last five games played on grass. Take the Titans. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-14-22 | Commanders +11 v. Eagles | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Washington Commanders. Game 265. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. My friends, the Philadelphia Eagles certainly deserve all their accolades. I mean let’s face it, we are just past halfway through the season, and they are sitting at 8-0. They are a good football team. But I do feel that the odds makers are overvaluing them, especially here on Monday Night. Making them more than double-digit favorites against a very game division opponent like the Washington Commanders is a mistake. Washington enters this match up winning three of their last four straight up and are just a half-point away from covering all four of those outings. This is a team that’s getting better as the season progresses. They’re not as flashy and they don’t have as many big names on this team as the Eagles, but this team can play football. No, their offense isn’t breaking any records. But their defense is pretty darn good. And head coach Ron Rivera has them believing they can win. You know Philadelphia as I mentioned is a very good football team. But I think a little bit of luck and good situations have helped them a little bit to stay undefeated. I feel there’s a lot of pressure on this team to win at this point. However, Washington does not have any pressure on them. Every victory they get is just a bonus for them at this point. And the fact that they are 4-5 right now they still have a chance of making the playoffs. I just feel the Eagles come in here a little overconfident. And I believe is in a huge letdown mode. You know they haven’t played the strongest opponents yet this season. Outside of one or two games, most of their matchups have been against subpar teams. The Commanders are 8-3-2 ATS the last 13 games on grass, 5-0-1 ATS the last six games in November, and 3-0-1 ATS the last four games overall. Take Washington. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Cowboys -4 v. Packers | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 42 m | Show |
Dallas Cowboys. NFC GAME OF THE WEEK. Game 261. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Without question, Aaron Rodgers is a first ballot Hall of Famer. Also, without question he is one of the most successful quarterbacks of this generation. What is questionable is the fact that some think the Green Bay Packers can turn things around the season. Well sports fans, we are more than halfway through the regular season and they are just 3-6 both straight up and against the spread. They have dropped five in a row straight up and five of the last six against the number. The offense ranks 27th, accounting for a dismal 17.1-points per game. Yes, the defense has been more than adequate. They rank second against the pass and only allow 20.9-points per game. But they are tired and overworked. There was a high-hopes for this team as a true NFC competitor. They took a season-opening loss at Minnesota. Then they followed that up with three straight up victories. But since October 2, the Packers have failed to win a single contest. There once explosive offense has mustered just 15.8-points per game during their current slide. Because of this, their fatigued stop-unit is starting to spring leaks. I am well aware of the fact that they have taken three in a row against the Cowboys, both straight up and against the spread. But these aren’t the same two squads that have met in recent years. Dallas comes into this matchup winning six of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread. And had an extra week to rest, heal, and prepare. The Cowboys offense is adequate. But what makes them so good is they make so few mistakes. It has been their defense that has very quietly been one of the league’s best, holding opponents to just 16.6-points per game, ranking third in that category, fourth in passing yards allowed, 10th in total yards allowed, and fifth in takeaways, snagging 14 turnovers. This is particularly a place where the Packers have struggled, committing 13 turnovers thus far. The road team has covered the last four meetings in this NFC rivalry. Meanwhile the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played on the road, 19-7 ATS the last 26 games played versus NFC opponents, and 22-8 ATS the last 30 games played overall. The Packers are 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home, 2-6 ATS the last eight games played versus the NFC, and 1-5 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Colts +4.5 v. Raiders | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 38 h 23 m | Show | |
Indianapolis Colts. AFC GOW. Game 257. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Sports fans, it’s not an often occurrence that a team gets a second-chance during the regular season. I’m here to tell you the Indianapolis Colts have just that, a second-chance this season. This is a team which has had their offensive line break down, affecting their running game, and even a change at the quarterback position. And most recently, the firing of their head coach. However interim head coach former center, Jeff Saturday is very well-liked by the front office, the fans, and most importantly, the players. He will bring a fresh new look, attitude, and optimism to this team this week. And what better opponent the face than the struggling Las Vegas Raiders. My friends I know the Raiders team very well. I live here in southern Nevada. I know the coaching staff. I know the players. I even watch practices. This team is not a very good team. Their head coach is one of the worst I have seen in recent memory making in-game decisions. And their quarterback is absolutely horrible. Guys this is not Fresno State. And Carr is not a big-game NFL quarterback. They enter this weeks matchup losing and failing to cover the last two games against teams that on paper, they were better than. Listen, the rumor mill around Vegas is there is a lot of dissension in the locker room. And things are going to get worse for this team before they even show a glimpse of getting better. As of this post, Sam Ehlinger is to remain the starting quarterback for Indy. And I believe he will have huge success in the year against the 26th-ranked pass defense of Vegas. On the flipside, please understand that the Colts possess a very strong, well-balanced defense. They rank 13th in the league allowing just 20.3-points per game. They rank sixth against the pass, 11th against the rush, and 5th overall in yards allowed. While the Raiders do have talent. I’m not gonna’ argue that. They just can’t get their act together. And forget about the quicksand factor. If anything goes wrong with this team during the game, things get significantly worse thereafter. They just don’t have real leadership, a smart coach, or a quarterback that can take them down the field with authority. The road team has covered four consecutive meetings in this series. Indianapolis is 18-7-1 ATS the last 26 road games versus teams with a losing home record. And guys Las Vegas is just 1-5 ATS the last six games played in November. They tend to fold like a cheap suit later on in the season. Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Texans v. Giants -4.5 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 20 m | Show | |
New York Giants. 89% Angle. Game 246. 10:00 AM PST 1:00 PM EST. My friends, the New York Giants are not pretty, they’re not flashy, and heck they’re not a very exciting football team. But what they are is successful this season. This is a team that was touted to be the poorest in the NFC East. But nearly halfway through the regular season, they are tied for second place at 6-2. What is astounding to me is the fact the 1-6-1 Houston Texans are only a 4.5-point underdog here. New York comes off a bye week following their first loss since September. It was also their first no cover since September. Look for them to bounce back strong here as they will steamroll the worst rush defense in the NFL with their fourth-ranked rushing offense. Let’s face it, Houston is just horrible. Offensively, defensively, their numbers are dismal. But as far as their offense goes, they rank 28th in scoring averaging a laughable 16.6-points per game. They have to line up against a New York Giants stop-unit, ranking ninth in the NFL, yielding just 19.6-points per game. The Giants had two weeks to stew over their first loss in quite a while, rest, heal, and prepare for this next contest. I look for them to not just come out here win and cover, but make a true statement. Going back a way, New York has won and covered four straight in this series. They are also 19-8-1 ATS the last 28 versus teams with a losing record, 7-2 ATS the last nine in November, and 4-1 ATS the last five overall. They may not do it pretty, but they do, do it. Take New York. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Vikings v. Bills -3.5 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 28 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. NO LIMIT GOM. Game 254. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. My friends, let’s face it the line in the Vikings/Bills matchup should be closer to eight or nine-points. It is this low due to the fact that we are uncertain as to the status of Josh Allen as of this point. If he goes, this line will skyrocket. If he doesn’t, then it looks like backup quarterback Case Keenum will be at the helm. And people are all nervous about this. With all respect, I could step up and take the helm and guide this team to victory. They rank third in the league in scoring, lighting up scoreboards for over 27.5-points per game. Now they do own the third-ranked passing attack in the NFL. Even if Allen does not go and Keenum is under center, please remember he is a 10-year veteran of the NFL. And he has put up some solid numbers on a couple of different teams. He has a receiving corps so good and so deep that trust me when I tell you, he can put up good numbers in the air here. But overall let’s not forget the fact that this team is one of the better rushing teams in the league. So, they can crutch on their ground game to open up the passing game. And that is all moot because they own the top-ranked defense in the NFL. They have been shutting down offenses all season long, allowing just 14.8-points per game. I mean they rank in the top-10 in every single defensive category. Now let’s talk about the Minnesota Vikings. In my opinion they are the luckiest team in the NFL. They are certainly not nearly as good as their 7-1 record. I think they’ve gotten darn lucky folks. I mean they needed the final two-minutes to beat the Commanders by just three-points, they beat Kyler Murray after he admittedly spent the night before without sleep playing Call of Duty (true story), they beat the Dolphins with a third-string quarterback, they beat the Bears by seven when they were really struggling, they needed a missed field goal to beat Andy Dalton and the Saints, they did beat the Lions, which are own one of the worst defenses in the league, they lost to the Eagles badly and beat the what now we have come to realize, a very overrated Packers. Like I said, they’re a very lucky team. No matter what they do offensively, they have to line up against a ferocious defense that knows they may have to compensate for a backup quarterback on offense. Plus, guys this team is horrible at defending the pass. As I said if Josh Allen plays this line is going to soar. And he’s gonna’ light them up in the air. And if he doesn’t, Case Keenum is good enough to light them up too. No, he’s not is flashy as Allen or as successful, but in this system against this pass defense, he could put up some good numbers. To add insult to injury, the Bills come off their first loss since September. And they are 6-1-2 ATS the last nine following a straight up loss, 5-1-1 ATS the last seven at home, and 11-4-1 the last 16 in the month of November. Take Buffalo no matter who is at the helm here. But get it in early just in case Allen does start on this line skyrockets. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-07-22 | Ravens -130 v. Saints | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 56 h 54 m | Show | |
Baltimore Ravens. MNF WINNER. Game 473. 5:15 PM PST/8: PM EST. There are a few certainties in the NFL. One such certainty is if the Baltimore Ravens start winning, watch out they’re gonna’ continue to win. This is a team that has won consecutive games for the first time in the 2022 campaign. Behind Lamar Jackson, they own the fifth-ranked scoring unit in the NFL, averaging over 26=points per game. And once again, their defense is extremely strong, allowing just 22.9-points per game. One word that can certainly describe the New Orleans Saints is “inconsistent.“ Overall, their numbers are decent offensively. However, I don’t see them moving the ball with any success on the ground against one of the toughest rush defenses in the league. And if they can’t move the ball on the ground, they will have trouble in the air. Since mid-September, this team has mustard just two victories. There’s a reason for that. They’re not a very good team. While there is talent on the Saints, there’s no true leadership and as I mentioned, they lack of consistency. While their offense can score some points, when facing aggressive defenses, they seem to sputter. And there’s no debate that prior to last weeks blanking of Las Vegas, New Orleans defense has been a doormat. They rank 28th in the NFL, allowing over 25-points per game. They are also 1-4 ATS the last five following a straight up win, 0-4 ATS the last four at home versus teams with a winning road record, and 0-4 ATS the last four on Monday Night Football. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-06-22 | Titans +12.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 48 h 52 m | Show |
Tennessee Titans. AFC GOW. Game 471. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. My friends, I’m not looking to ruffle any feathers here. I know the Kansas City Chiefs are one of the best teams in the NFL. But who the heck are they to be laying this type of wood against the Tennessee Titans? I get it, the Titans are having some quarterback issues. But no matter who is under center, the Tennessee offense is not a passing offense. This is a team that has accumulated a 5-2 straight up record, and for our purposes also a 5-2 ATS record, with the 31st ranked passing attack. So, I’m not going to let the odds makers trap me into thinking that if Tannehill can’t go and it’s Willis, that the Titans aren’t still the play here. This is a team that relies upon the rush. I know the Chiefs are good against defending the run. But they have yet to face a ground attack like the caliber of this one. Not only will Tennessee give them a heavy dose of Derrick Henry, who by the way is going to play sports fans, not only will they get a heavy dose of Henry, but Tennessee will also have the luxury of eating up a lot of clock, keeping the Chiefs defense on the field. Let’s not forget, no matter who is at the helm, KC ranks 30th in the league defending the pass. Defensively, I know the Titans are going to give up some yardage in the air to Patrick Mahomes. But I doubt that the Chiefs are going to have any success on the ground here at all against one of the stingiest run defenses in the league. The Titans have won five of the last six meetings in this series, both straight up and against the spread. This includes last years, 27-3 drubbing. They have also covered five straight coming into this matchup, are 4-0 ATS the last four versus the AFC, 5-2 ATS the last seven on grass, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Just in case you’re keeping count, the Chiefs are 0-4 ATS the last four following a straight up win, 0-5 ATS the last five versus AFC opponents, and 0-4 ATS the last four in Arrowhead. Take Tennessee folks. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-06-22 | Panthers v. Bengals -7 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Bengals. No Limit. Game 464. 10:00 AM PST 1:00 PM EST. Following a 4-1 straight up run, in which Cincinnati covered all five games, last week in Cleveland they were humiliated, 32-13. I look for them to bounce back strong here as on both sides of the ball they are significantly stronger than Carolina. It’s no secret the Panthers are one of the worst teams in the NFL. And after last weeks 37-34 near miss in overtime in Atlanta, I just feel this team is going to throw the white flag up on the season this week. As of this point, the Carolina starting quarterback has not been determined. But whether it’s Walker, Donald, or Mayfield, they are going to have to line up against a Cincinnati defense that did not allow a second-half touchdown prior to Monday. They will come here angry and looking for redemption. When the Bengals have the ball, their sixth-ranked passing offense will dissect one of the worst pass defenses in the league. And things will go better from bad to worse the Carolina here as they will be without starting safety, Justion Burris and have a banged-up cornerback Donte Jackson in the secondary. The Panthers are 1–6 ATS the last seven on the road, 0-4 ATS the last four versus teams with the winning record, 2-9 ATS the last 11 following a straight up loss, and 5-17 ATS the last 22 overall. The Bengals are 6-1 ATS the last seven at home, 4-1 ATS the lats four following a SU loss, 7-3 ATS the last 10 at home versus teams with a losing road record, and 13-3 ATS the last 16 overall. Take the Bengals. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Giants +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 13-27 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 49 m | Show |
New York Giants. NFC GOW. Game 269. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.
|
|||||||
10-30-22 | 49ers -110 v. Rams | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 43 h 44 m | Show |
San Francisco 49ers on the moneyline. NFL GOM. Game 273. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. A lot of people thought that when San Francisco brought in Christian McCaffrey, that their woes would be behind them. Well, they came back down to reality last week in a devastating 44-23 loss at home against the Kansas City Chiefs. However, I think this is the week you’re going to see Christian McCaffrey have a very successful game and Jimmy Garoppolo, most likely have one of his best performances thus far this season. McCaffrey only had two days to acclimate himself with his new playbook and get in sync with Jimmy G. I look for him to have a very good game this week. Take note Deebo Samuel is out. But, coming off that embarrassing loss a week ago will really motivate the 49ers here. Please understand that the Los Angeles offense is one of the worst in football. They rank at or near the bottom in just about every major offensive category, including the most important one, which is scoring. The average just 17.3 points per game. They must now face one of the most ferociously stop-units in the NFL, coming in here angry and looking for redemption following last weeks loss. The San Fran “D” allows just 19-points per game. They are equally good against the pass as well as the rush. I don’t see the Rams having any success offensively in this matchup. I feel you’re going to see a lot of three-and-outs and multiple turnovers, thus resulting in the Los Angeles defense spending a lot of time on the field. Eventually by the second half they will tire-out and get exploited. Let’s not forget the 49ers have beaten the Rams seven consecutive regular season meetings. They’ve also covered the last six overall meetings in a row. They are also 4-0 ATS the last four versus the NFC West, while the Rams are 1-4 ATS the last five at home. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Titans -140 v. Texans | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 43 h 35 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans on the moneyline. NO LIMIT. Game 267. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. After starting the campaign 0-2, Tennessee has rattled off four consecutive wins and covers. Derrick Henry has tallied over 536 yards rushing and five TDs on the ground. It seems as though each week the stand out ball-carrier gets better and better. Now he goes up against the 32nd ranked Houston rush defense here. There is no doubt he will have the best performance of the season. During their current hot streak, the Titans defense has gotten better and better with each week, yielding just 16.5 points per game. I just don’t see the Texans 28th ranked offense moving the chains at all here, let alone getting into the end zone. Tennessee is 7-0 ATS the last seven games played in October, 4-1 ATS the last five games following an ATS win, and 6-2 ATS the last eight versus the AFC South. Take the Titans. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Patriots v. Jets +3 | 22-17 | Loss | -120 | 40 h 37 m | Show | |
New York Jets. Late Info Move. Game 266. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST My friends, the worm has turned in the AFC East. For decades we have watched the New England Patriots reign supreme. And we have also watched as the New York Jets have been the division doormat. While currently New England sits in last place in the division, New York has taken over the second-spot just behind Buffalo. After big road victories playing in tough places like Lambeau and Mile High, the Jets return to East Rutherford in front of their home crowd here. With the news that Mac Jones will be returning this week under center, the general public is playing New England. Come on folks. I like Jones. But let’s be honest. He has two touchdowns and six interceptions. And now he has to face the very stout New York “D”. You may not realize this but the Jets are not only yielding just 19.6 points per game, but they have also snagged 11 turnovers. The Patriots are one of the worst teams in the league committing turnovers, already coughing up the ball 15 times. In my opinion Bill Belichick and his team has an enormous amount of pressure on them. A lot more pressure than Robert Saleh and his boys. Actually, if you think about it, New York has almost no pressure on them because nobody expected them to win. Every victory they get is a bonus for the team at this point. Things will go from bad to worse for New England, while New York get another “W” here. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS the last four versus the AFC East. The Jets are 5-0 ATS the last five in October. The wrong team is favored here. But I will take the points with the Gang Green here, folks. Take New York. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-27-22 | Ravens +2 v. Bucs | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Baltimore Ravens. Thursday Night Football Winner. Game 101. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Funny thing, the Baltimore Ravens are just a couple of plays away from being 7-0 instead of being 4-3. Coming in here needing some victories, I feel the Ravens are much hungrier for sure. Not only that, but I just don’t see the Buccaneers defense compensating for their lack of offense anymore. I mean let’s face it, this is a team that has dropped four of the last five straight up and all five of those against the spread. The Tampa Bay offense is so deplorable, that their defense has become overworked and fatigued. I just don’t see Tom Brady getting out of his funk. Nor do I see this team coming back in what we call the “do for “ factor. I understand the Bucs have quite a few injuries that has contributed to their current downfall. But this team is just not playing with any emotion. And they certainly have no momentum whatsoever. Look for quarterback Lamar Jackson to work his magic on the ground, keeping the Tampa Bay defense honest, which will open up the Baltimore passing game. As I mentioned, the Bucs defense is fatigued and overworked. There is no way they could content in this matchup. The road team is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in the series. The Ravens are 23-11-1 ATS the last 35 games played on grass. The Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Chiefs -116 v. 49ers | Top | 44-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs on the moneyline. BEST BET. Game 469. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. With the news of Christian McCaffrey being traded to San Francisco, the line dropped in this game. At the beginning of the week this is a game I circled because it stood out to me. Getting Kansas City off that tough heartbreaking loss at home in front of their loyal fans against Buffalo last week seem the right way to go. Since the news of the McCaffrey trade, the line has dropped. I have to tell you I like it even more now. McCaffrey certainly will bolster the offense. But understand that the Falcons exploited the 49ers weaknesses last week in the 28-14 dismantling of San Francisco. I’m not going to argue the fact that injuries have hurt San Francisco. This is the reason why they sputtered a week ago. Nothing has changed on that front. Key cogs in the wheel are still out. And Kansas City isn’t a team that you want to face coming off a loss. They are now tied with Los Angeles in the AFC West and need a big win here to build up a little bit of confidence and give them some momentum. I know the Chiefs are dealing with their own injuries in their secondary. Guys, I just don’t see the lackluster 49ers offense keeping pace with the mighty Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes score-for-score. Let’s not forget Kansas City is pretty damn good at stopping the run. And that is where San Francisco’s strength comes offensively. Under a field goal is a gift to here. Take Kansas City and take your bookmakers money. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Jets -123 v. Broncos | 16-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
New York Jets on the moneyline. AFC Game of the Week. Game 465. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. If we would go back in time to just before the season began, none of us would have predicted that after nearly two months into the regular season, New York would be 4-2, while Denver would be 2-4 at this point. Believe it or not, the Jets are a perfect 3-0 both straight up and against the spread on the road this season. Going into places like Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Green Bay and coming away with victories is no small task. Now the team goes into Denver to face a Broncos squad that is riding a three-game SU slide. Sure, Denver possesses a very solid defense. However, when your offense ranks dead last in the NFL in scoring, no matter how strong your stop-unit is, you cannot compensate. That’s right, the Broncos are averaging a laughable 15.2 points per game and are absolutely crushing bettors, going 3-11 against the spread the last 14 versus the AFC, 0-5 against the spread the last five following an ATS win, and 3-7 against the spread the last 10 overall. Take the Jets. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Giants +3.5 v. Jaguars | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
New York Giants. No Limit. Game 453. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I know a lot of people out there are waiting for a shoe to drop on the New York Giants. But I’m here to tell you folks, that their carriage is no way turning into a pumpkin. At least not this Sunday. At this time last year, they lost five of their first six games. What an improvement! You may not realize this, but they own one of the three best records in the NFC. And one of the four best records in all of football. Believe it or not, I think this team is going to actually get better because they welcome back a couple of key defenders last week. And what can we say about quarterback Daniel Jones? He seems to be more and more comfortable with each passing week in this system. Love them or hate them, this team is for real. If you don’t believe me, just look at last weeks win over the Ravens. They were down 20-10 in the fourth quarter and then they came back to take down Lamar Jackson and the mighty Baltimore team. On the flipside you got a Jacksonville Jaguars team that is riding a three-game loss and no cover streak. I get it, they should have lost in Philadelphia back at the beginning of the month. But no way should they have taken defeats at the hands of Houston at home or even in Indianapolis last week. They are going to have a tough time trying to move the chains against the feisty seventh-ranked New York defense. And I do feel you are going to see Daniel Jones and workhorse running back Saquon Barkley, who by the way is listed as questionable with the soldier issue but reports are that he will play…I believe we going to see these two have their best performances so far this season. I have New York being a two-point favorite in my power ratings line. Take the Giants and take them to the bank. Cinderella continues in that dress, in that carriage, and goes to another ball. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Browns v. Ravens -6 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Baltimore Ravens. AFC North Game of the Month. Game 460. 10:00 AM PST /1:00 PM EST. The Ravens return home this week following another disappointing loss in which they blew another lead. They sit at 3-3 and are tied for the top spot in the division. In their three defeats this season, the Baltimore was ahead in all three, only to give up late leads. The Browns are absolutely horrible, failing to win or cover their last three outings. They possess one of the weakest defenses in the NFL, ranking 30th and yielding 27.2 points per game. Look for Lamar Jackson and company to bounce back here and take over the AFC North against their division rival. They have covered the last five meetings in this series. And are 5-1 ATS the last six games played following an ATS loss. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Packers -4.5 v. Commanders | 21-23 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. Bookie Buster. Game 463. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Aaron Rodgers has his lowest QB rating of his career. The team has dropped their last two games and sit in second place in their division at 3-3. There is no way the Packers will let another poor opponent get the best of them. The Commanders are down to Taylor Heinicke at the helm. The team got a win last week over the Bears breaking their four-game slide (both SU and ATS). Their offense is non-existent, ranking 29th in the league, averaging a dismal, 17.0 points per game. They just won’t be able to content with an angry Rodgers and the Green Bay “O”. The Packers are 11-5 ATS the last 16 vs. the NFC. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |