Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-23-25 | Oregon +3.5 v. Arizona | Top | 83-87 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
The No. 4 seed Arizona Wildcats (23-12) are set to face the No. 5 seed Oregon Ducks (25-9) in the second round of the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament on Sunday, March 23, 2025. The game will tip off at 6:40 PM PT at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington, and will be broadcast on TBS. The Wildcats advanced with a dominant 93-65 victory over Akron. They are averaging 82.1 points per game, ranking 12th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. Arizona leads the Big 12 in rebounding, averaging 36.6 boards per game. However, their season-long three-point shooting percentage stands at 32.9%, though they've improved to 42.2% over the last six games. The Ducks secured their spot with an 81-52 win over Liberty, shooting 54.4% from the field. They have won nine of their last ten games, with a defense that has surged over the past month. Oregon averages 76.4 points per game and allows 70.4 points per game. Two old PAC-12 teams meet again but for the first time in the NCAA Tournament. I'm taking Oregon here on Sunday as my NCAA 2nd Round Game of the Year. |
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03-21-25 | Grand Canyon +10.5 v. Maryland | Top | 49-81 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
The NCAA Tournament's West Region features an intriguing first-round matchup between the No. 4 seed Maryland Terrapins and the No. 13 seed Grand Canyon Antelopes on Friday, March 21, 2025, at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. Maryland Terrapins (25-8, 14-6 Big Ten) are under head coach Kevin Willard, Maryland has showcased a dynamic offense, averaging 81.7 points per game, while maintaining a solid defense, allowing 67.0 points per game. Freshman center Derik Queen leads the team with 16.3 points and 9.0 rebounds per game, earning him Big Ten Freshman of the Year honors. The backcourt is bolstered by Ja'Kobi Gillespie, who contributes 14.7 points and 5.0 assists per game. Grand Canyon Antelopes (26-7, 13-3 WAC) are coached by Bryce Drew. Grand Canyon secured its third consecutive NCAA Tournament appearance by winning the WAC Tournament. The Antelopes average 79.2 points per game and allow 69.1 points per game. Senior forward JaKobe Coles leads the team with 14.8 points and 5.7 rebounds per game, earning the WAC Tournament's Most Outstanding Player award. Graduate guard Tyon Grant-Foster, a key player in last year's tournament run, adds experience and averages 14.5 points and 6.0 rebounds per game. Grand Canyon's roster boasts significant postseason experience, with players like Grant-Foster and Harrison returning for a fifth year. In contrast, Maryland relies on the talent of freshman Derik Queen, making his tournament debut. This matchup pits Maryland's youthful talent against Grand Canyon's seasoned experience. I like the experience Grand Canyon brings to this game and that has a recipe for an upset. But I'll take the points with Grand Canyon. |
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03-16-25 | Cornell +5.5 v. Yale | Top | 84-90 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
The Ivy League Men's Basketball Championship is set for Sunday, March 16, 2025, featuring the top-seeded Yale Bulldogs (21-7, 13-1 Ivy) against the second-seeded Cornell Big Red (18-10, 9-5 Ivy). The game will tip off at 12 p.m. ET at the Pizzitola Sports Center in Providence, Rhode Island, with television coverage on ESPN2. Yale has been the dominant force in the Ivy League this season, boasting a stellar 13-1 conference record. Their success is built on a foundation of strong defense and efficient offense. The Bulldogs rank 24th nationally in points scored per game (81.4) and 91st in points allowed (69.2). They also excel in field goal percentage, shooting 49.0% (11th nationally), while holding opponents to 40.1% (17th nationally). Key players include John Poulakidas, averaging 19.0 points per game, and Nick Townsend, contributing 7.3 rebounds per game. Cornell's high-octane offense has been a highlight this season, ranking 6th nationally with an average of 85.1 points per game. Their defense, however, has been less formidable, allowing 77.1 points per game (315th nationally). The Big Red lead the nation in effective field goal percentage, thanks to their emphasis on three-point shooting and fast-paced play. Senior guard Nazir Williams leads the team with 14.7 points per game, while forward Guy Ragland Jr. averages 5.3 rebounds. The two teams have faced each other twice this season, with Yale emerging victorious in both encounters. The most recent matchup on February 21, 2025, was a high-scoring affair, with Yale narrowly defeating Cornell 92-88. In that game, Yale's Nick Townsend recorded a double-double with 24 points and 11 rebounds, while Cornell's AK Okereke had a standout performance with 30 points and seven assists. Both teams rely heavily on the three-point shot. Cornell's strategy emphasizes high-volume three-point attempts, while Yale boasts efficient perimeter shooting. The team that finds its rhythm from beyond the arc could gain a significant advantage. The Ivy League Championship promises an exciting matchup between Yale's balanced, disciplined approach and Cornell's high-scoring offense. For me I'm going to take the points in this game with this high scoring Cornell club. |
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03-14-25 | Arizona v. Texas Tech -1.5 | Top | 86-80 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
The Arizona Wildcats and Texas Tech Red Raiders are set to clash in the Big 12 Tournament semifinals on Friday, March 14, 2025, at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. EDT. Arizona has experienced fluctuations in form recently, with five of their 11 losses occurring in the last 11 games. However, they showcased resilience by defeating Kansas 88-77 in the quarterfinals. The Wildcats average 82.0 points per game, shooting 47.1% from the field, and allow 72.1 points per game. Key players include Caleb Love, averaging 16.4 points and 3.5 assists, and Jaden Bradley, contributing 11.9 points and 3.4 rebounds per game. The Red Raiders have been in strong form, winning 14 of their last 17 games. They narrowly edged out Baylor 76-74 in the quarterfinals. Texas Tech averages 81.1 points per game on 47.4% shooting and holds opponents to 66.8 points per game. Standout players include JT Toppin, with 18.1 points and 9.3 rebounds per game, and Chance McMillian, averaging 14.7 points and 4.2 rebounds. This season, the teams have split their meetings. Texas Tech secured a 70-54 victory in January, while Arizona responded with an 82-73 win in February. The Red Raiders' robust defense has been a cornerstone of their success, and limiting Arizona's offensive rhythm will be a priority. I'm going to be taking Texas Tech here on Friday as my Big 12 Conference Tournament Game of the Year. |
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03-13-25 | North Carolina -5.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 68-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
The North Carolina Tar Heels (21-12, 12-8 ACC) are set to face the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (21-10, 13-7 ACC) in the ACC Tournament quarterfinals on Thursday, March 13, 2025, at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina, with tip-off scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET. The Tar Heels have found their stride recently, winning seven of their last eight games. Their offense has been particularly potent, averaging 82.2 points per game over the last ten contests. A significant factor in their success has been improved three-point shooting, rising from 40th nationally to second over the past two months. The Demon Deacons started strong but have faced challenges lately, losing six of their last twelve games. They secured the No. 4 seed in the ACC Tournament after concluding the regular season at 21-10 overall and 13-7 in conference play. Hunter Sallis leads Wake Forest, averaging 18 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 2.8 assists per game. The teams last met on January 21, 2025, with Wake Forest edging out a narrow 67-66 victory over North Carolina. North Carolina has emphasized offensive rebounding in their recent games, improving their offensive rebounding percentage significantly. This could be a decisive factor, especially considering Wake Forest's struggles with defensive rebounding, where they rank 317th nationally. Both teams are on the NCAA Tournament bubble, making this game crucial for their postseason aspirations. A victory would significantly enhance their chances of securing a tournament berth. The Heels have been the hot team here and I like that as they come into this tournament. Take North Carolina. |
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03-12-25 | Texas v. Vanderbilt -2.5 | Top | 79-72 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
The Texas Longhorns (17-14, 6-12 SEC) are set to face the Vanderbilt Commodores (20-11, 8-10 SEC) in the first round of the Southeastern Conference (SEC) Men's Basketball Tournament on Wednesday, March 12, 2025. The game will tip off at approximately 3:30 p.m. ET at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee, and will be broadcast on the SEC Network. Texas has experienced a challenging inaugural season in the SEC, finishing with a 6-12 conference record. The Longhorns have struggled recently, losing seven of their last nine games, including a 76-72 defeat to Oklahoma in their regular-season finale. Despite these setbacks, Texas boasts five Quad 1 victories and aims to bolster its NCAA Tournament resume with a strong performance in the SEC Tournament. Vanderbilt concluded the regular season with a 20-11 overall record and an 8-10 mark in SEC play. The Commodores have been competitive throughout the season and are considered by some analysts to be on the fringe of the NCAA Tournament conversation. However, they enter the tournament on a two-game losing streak, having fallen to Georgia and Arkansas in their final regular-season games. The two teams met earlier this season on February 8, with Vanderbilt securing an 86-78 victory at Memorial Gymnasium in Nashville. In that contest, the Commodores overcame a 10-point second-half deficit, largely due to their dominance on the offensive glass, securing 17 offensive rebounds. Both teams shot around 42% from the field, combining for 164 points despite the modest shooting percentages. Offensively, both teams have been productive, with Texas averaging 78.1 points per game and Vanderbilt 79.9 points per game. The Longhorns' reliance on mid-range shots and isolation plays, primarily through Johnson, has been a double-edged sword, leading to both high-scoring games and inconsistent offensive performances. I like Vandy in this matchup for Wednesday. |
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03-11-25 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's +3.5 | Top | 58-51 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
The Gonzaga Bulldogs (24-8, 14-4 WCC) are set to face the Saint Mary's Gaels (28-4, 17-1 WCC) in the West Coast Conference (WCC) Championship game on Tuesday, March 11, 2025. The matchup will take place at Orleans Arena in Paradise, Nevada, with tip-off scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET (6:00 p.m. PT). The Bulldogs, under head coach Mark Few, finished second in the WCC regular season standings. They advanced to the championship game after defeating San Francisco 85-76 in the semifinals. Led by head coach Randy Bennett, the Gaels secured the top seed in the WCC with a stellar conference record. They reached the championship by overcoming Pepperdine with a decisive 74-59 victory in the semifinals. Gonzaga Bulldogs are led by Ryan Nembhard. The sophomore guard has been instrumental in Gonzaga's offense, showcasing exceptional playmaking abilities throughout the season. Saint Mary's Gaels is led by Augustas Marciulionis. The two-time WCC Player of the Year leads the Gaels with consistent scoring and leadership on the court. Saint Mary's has had the upper hand this season, winning both regular-season encounters against Gonzaga: January 18, 2025: Saint Mary's 62, Gonzaga 58 (at Saint Mary's). February 15, 2025: Saint Mary's 74, Gonzaga 67 (at Gonzaga). Saint Mary's methodical style and strong defense have been effective against Gonzaga's high-paced offense this season. The Gaels lead the nation in rebounding percentage (57.4%) and excel at controlling the game's tempo. Both teams will make the NCAA tourney, but St Mary's will take the conference tourney tonight. Play St Mary's. |
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03-08-25 | UMass Lowell +1.5 v. Maine | Top | 64-72 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
The No. 3 seed Maine Black Bears (18-13, 10-6 America East) will host the No. 6 seed UMass Lowell River Hawks (17-14, 6-10 America East) in the America East Tournament quarterfinals on Saturday, March 8, 2025. The game is scheduled for 6:00 PM ET at The Pit in Memorial Gymnasium, Orono, Maine, and will be broadcast on ESPN+. Maine has achieved its highest seed since the 2010-2011 season, marking significant progress under head coach Chris Markwood. The Black Bears boast the second-best scoring defense in the conference, allowing just 66.5 points per game. Offensively, they average 71.6 points per game, with a scoring margin of +5.1. The River Hawks have experienced a season of close contests, reflected in their 6-10 conference record. They possess a potent offense, averaging 80 points per game, ranking 46th nationally. However, their defense has been less robust, conceding 74.2 points per game. Maine is led by Kellen Tynes. The senior guard earned his third consecutive America East Defensive Player of the Year award, leading the nation with 97 steals this season. He also contributes 12.7 points and 4.6 assists per game. UMass Lowell is led by Quinton Mincey: The junior forward leads the River Hawks with 16.6 points and 6.4 rebounds per game, earning Third-Team All-Conference honors. Maine and UMass Lowell have faced each other twice this season, with both games decided by a single point: Should be another great, close game. I'll take the points in what should come down to the wire. |
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03-07-25 | Longwood v. Winthrop -2.5 | Top | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
The Big South Conference Men's Basketball Tournament will feature a quarterfinal matchup between the No. 3 seed Winthrop Eagles (21-10, 11-5 Big South) and the No. 6 seed Longwood Lancers (18-13, 7-9 Big South) on Friday, March 7, 2025. The game is scheduled to tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET at the Freedom Hall Civic Center in Johnson City, Tennessee. Winthrop enters the tournament with a potent offense, averaging 85.0 points per game, which ranks them among the top 10 nationally. They have been efficient from the field, shooting 47.4%, and have held opponents to a 44.2% shooting percentage. The Eagles are led by Kelton Talford, who averages 15.8 points and 7.7 rebounds per game, making him one of the top players in the Big South Conference. Winthrop has momentum, having won four of their last five games, including a notable 103-90 victory over UNC Asheville on March 1. The defending Big South champions, Longwood, have had an up-and-down season but possess the experience of performing well in tournament settings. They average 78.2 points per game with a field goal percentage of 46.6%. Michael Christmas leads the Lancers in scoring, averaging 12.1 points per game, and is a key contributor from beyond the arc, making 2.1 three-pointers per game. Longwood has shown resilience, bouncing back from a loss to Winthrop on February 27 with a convincing 83-66 win over South Carolina Upstate on March 1. Winthrop and Longwood faced each other twice during the regular season, with Winthrop winning both encounters. The most recent matchup on February 27 resulted in a decisive 85-59 victory for the Eagles at Longwood's home court. The winner of this quarterfinal game will advance to the semifinals to face the winner of the matchup between No. 2 seed UNC Asheville and No. 7 seed Charleston Southern. Take Winthrop here on Friday with their potent offense and dominance against Longwood this season. |
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02-26-25 | Texas v. Arkansas -4 | Top | 81-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
The Arkansas Razorbacks (16-11, 5-9 SEC) are set to host the Texas Longhorns (16-11, 5-9 SEC) on Wednesday, February 26, 2025 at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Arkansas. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they aim to strengthen their NCAA Tournament prospects, with each currently positioned on the tournament bubble. Earlier this month, Arkansas secured a 78-70 victory over Texas in Austin. The Razorbacks built a substantial lead, extending to 23 points in the second half, before withstanding a late Longhorns rally. Guard Johnell Davis led Arkansas with 24 points in that contest. The Razorbacks are coming off a significant 92-85 win over No. 16 Missouri, showcasing their offensive capabilities. Johnell Davis (G): Averaging 15.0 points per game over the last eight games, Davis has been pivotal in Arkansas's recent performances. Adou Thiero (G): Leading the team with 15.7 points and 6.0 rebounds per game. Arkansas averages 76.1 points per game and allows 69.4 points per game. The Longhorns have faced challenges recently, losing four of their last five games, including a surprising 84-69 defeat to South Carolina. Tre Johnson (G): Leading the SEC with 20.2 points per game, Johnson has been a consistent offensive force, averaging 28.3 points over the last three games. Texas averages 78.3 points per game and allows 69.8 points per game. Both teams share identical overall and conference records, intensifying the stakes of this contest. Arkansas's home-court advantage at Bud Walton Arena, combined with their recent victory over a ranked opponent looks to be the difference. I'll take the home team here tonight with Arkansas. |
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02-19-25 | Alabama v. Missouri -1.5 | Top | 98-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
The No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide are set to face the No. 15 Missouri Tigers in a pivotal SEC matchup tonight at Mizzou Arena in Columbia, Missouri. Holding a 21-4 overall record and a 10-2 mark in SEC play, Alabama aims to rebound from a recent 94-85 home loss to top-ranked Auburn. With a 19-6 overall record and 8-4 in conference games, Missouri seeks to extend its momentum following consecutive double-digit victories over Oklahoma and Georgia. Alabama boasts the nation's highest-scoring offense, averaging 90.3 points per game, while Missouri ranks 12th, contributing 82.6 points per game. Alabama allows 79.1 points per game, whereas Missouri concedes 84.2 points per game at home, positioning them among the lower tiers defensively in high-major programs. Both teams favor an up-tempo style, with Alabama leading the nation in adjusted tempo and Missouri ranking 66th in average possession length. Alabama senior guard Mark Sears leads the team with 17.8 points and 4.8 assists per game, while forward Grant Nelson contributes 12.6 points and 8.3 rebounds per game. The Tigers' offense is powered by Caleb Grill, Tamar Bates, and Mark Mitchell, each averaging over 12 points per game. Grill stands out with a 46.7% three-point shooting accuracy. This contest features two of the nation's most dynamic offenses but I will be on the home team here tonight. Play Missouri. |
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02-18-25 | Illinois v. Wisconsin -3.5 | Top | 74-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
The Illinois Fighting Illini are set to face the No. 11 Wisconsin Badgers in a pivotal Big Ten Conference matchup on Tuesday, February 18, 2025, at the Kohl Center in Madison, Wisconsin. Entering the contest with a 17-9 overall record and 9-7 in Big Ten play, the Illini are looking to rebound from a recent 79-65 loss to Michigan State. In that game, guard Kasparas Jakucionis and forward Morez Johnson Jr. each contributed 17 points. The Badgers boast a 20-5 overall record and a 10-4 mark in conference play. They are riding high after a significant 94-84 victory over Purdue, where guard John Tonje delivered an impressive 32 points, along with six rebounds and three assists. Illinois faces a setback with forward Morez Johnson Jr. sidelined indefinitely due to a broken left wrist sustained during the Michigan State game. Johnson had been a consistent contributor, averaging 7.2 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 1.1 blocked shots per game. In Johnson's absence, head coach Brad Underwood expects forward Tre White to step up. White had a standout performance in the previous matchup against Wisconsin, scoring 23 points and grabbing eight rebounds. After dealing with health issues and limited playing time, White is anticipated to make a significant impact in this game. Wisconsin's offense has been formidable, averaging 81.5 points per game, ranking them 28th nationally. Their offensive efficiency is further highlighted by leading the Big Ten in effective field goal percentage. Wisconsin aims to break a prolonged losing streak against Illinois and capitalize on their home-court advantage, while Illinois seeks to overcome injury challenges and maintain their dominance in the series. I'll take Wisconsin at home here tonight. |
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02-16-25 | Manhattan -2.5 v. Fairfield | Top | 80-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
The Manhattan Jaspers (12-10, 7-6 MAAC) take on the Fairfield Stags (9-16, 5-9 MAAC) this Sunday, February 16, 2025, at Leo D. Mahoney Arena in Fairfield, Connecticut. Manhattan comes in riding a two-game winning streak, fresh off a 79-75 victory over Merrimack, where Will Sydnor dominated with 18 points and 10 rebounds. Over their last 10 games, the Jaspers are 6-4 straight up and 7-3 against the spread (ATS). Meanwhile, Fairfield is looking to snap a two-game skid after a 65-52 loss to Saint Peter’s. Kyle Jenkins led the Stags in that matchup, scoring 12 points off the bench. Over their last 10 outings, Fairfield has struggled with a 3-7 record (4-6 ATS). These two teams met earlier this season, with Fairfield pulling out an 87-84 overtime win. Turnovers were a key issue for Manhattan, as Fairfield converted their mistakes into 16 points. Statistically, Manhattan holds the edge offensively, averaging 76.1 PPG on 43.6% shooting, while Fairfield lags behind with 67.6 PPG on just 39.5% from the field. Defensively, Manhattan allows 75.9 PPG, slightly higher than Fairfield’s 73.5 PPG. With momentum on their side and an offensive advantage, I like the Jaspers to get their revenge and take this one on the road. Play Manhattan. |
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02-15-25 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Robert Morris -2 | Top | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
The Robert Morris Colonials (14-12, 9-6 Horizon League) are set to host the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (18-9, 11-5 Horizon League) on Saturday, February 15, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET at the UPMC Events Center in Moon Township, Pennsylvania. Robert Morris enters the matchup on a three-game winning streak, most recently securing a 61-58 victory over IUPUI on February 14. The Colonials have demonstrated resilience, particularly in close games, and will look to leverage their home-court advantage. Purdue Fort Wayne is coming off a 93-71 loss to Youngstown State on February 12, a game in which guard Rasheed Bello led the team with 21 points. Despite the setback, the Mastodons have been strong offensively, averaging over 80 points in their last three wins prior to the loss. For Robert Morris, senior forward Kahliel Spear has been a consistent contributor, averaging 15.2 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. His presence in the paint will be crucial for the Colonials. Purdue Fort Wayne's offense is spearheaded by guard Rasheed Bello, who not only leads the team in scoring but also contributes significantly in assists and steals. His performance will be pivotal in dictating the pace of the game. The two teams last met on February 1, 2025, where Purdue Fort Wayne secured a 63-54 victory over Robert Morris. In that contest, the Mastodons' defense limited the Colonials' scoring opportunities, a strategy they will likely aim to replicate. This matchup is significant for both teams as they jockey for position in the Horizon League standings. Robert Morris will aim to capitalize on their recent momentum and home-court advantage to avenge their earlier loss to the Mastodons. Take Robert Morris |
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02-08-25 | Alabama v. Arkansas +5.5 | Top | 85-81 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
The No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide (19-3, 8-1 SEC) will take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (14-8, 3-6 SEC) on Saturday, February 8, 2025, at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Arkansas, with the game set to air on ESPN. Alabama enters this matchup on a five-game winning streak, including key victories over LSU (80-73), No. 14 Mississippi State (88-84), and Georgia (90-69). The Crimson Tide lead the nation in scoring, averaging 90.2 points per game, and rank second nationally in rebounding with 40.9 boards per game. However, their high-powered offense is offset by a defense that allows 78.3 points per game, ranking 330th in the country. Arkansas has turned a corner after a tough start to SEC play, securing back-to-back road wins against No. 12 Kentucky (89-79) and Texas (78-70). The Razorbacks average 76.8 points per game with a +8.1 scoring differential, showing improvement and gaining momentum as the season progresses. Key Players to Watch for Alabama are Mark Sears – The senior guard led the team with 20 points and 6 assists in the win over Georgia and continues to be a key factor in Alabama’s offensive success. Arkansas has Johnell Davis – A transfer from Florida Atlantic’s 2023 Final Four squad, Davis has been on fire, averaging 20.0 points per game over his last three outings, giving the Razorbacks a major boost offensively. The Alabama Offense: Leads the nation with 90.2 PPG and their rebouding is 40.9 RPG (2nd nationally). The Arkansas Offense: 76.8 PPG, gaining momentum while the Arkansas Defense is showing improvement after key road wins. This SEC showdown presents a clash of styles, with Alabama’s elite offense and rebounding against an improving Arkansas squad that has found its rhythm. Playing at home, Arkansas is in a great spot to keep this game competitive. I’ll take the points with the Razorbacks, and an outright upset wouldn’t be shocking. Play Arkansas. |
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02-05-25 | Cincinnati v. UCF -3 | Top | 93-83 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
The UCF Knights (13-8, 4-6 Big 12) will host the Cincinnati Bearcats (12-9, 2-8 Big 12) on Wednesday, February 5, 2025, at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, Florida. UCF aims to bounce back after consecutive losses, including an 81-75 defeat to BYU. Despite the setbacks, the Knights have been dominant at home this season with a 10-3 record at Addition Financial Arena. Cincinnati enters the matchup on a four-game losing streak, most recently falling 63-50 to West Virginia. The Bearcats have struggled offensively during this skid, averaging just 70 points per game, which ranks 283rd nationally. For UCF, Keyshawn Hall leads the way with 18.1 points and 6.8 rebounds per game, while Darius Johnson adds 14.7 points and a team-best 4.0 assists per game. Cincinnati is led by Simas Lukosius, who averages 12.0 points per contest, while Dillon Mitchell contributes 10.2 points and leads the team with 6.6 rebounds per game. UCF holds a clear scoring advantage, averaging 79.6 points per game (61st nationally) compared to Cincinnati’s 70.0. Defensively, Cincinnati allows just 63.0 points per game, ranking 14th nationally, while UCF concedes 78.8 points, placing them 336th. However, with UCF’s strong home performance and Cincinnati’s ongoing offensive struggles, the Knights have the edge in this matchup and should come away with a win and cover. |
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01-28-25 | Baylor v. BYU -3.5 | Top | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
The BYU Cougars are set to host the Baylor Bears on Tuesday at the Marriott Center in Provo, Utah. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 PM EST, with the game broadcast on ESPN2. BYU Cougars: 13-6 overall, 4-4 in Big 12 play. Baylor Bears: 13-6 overall, 5-3 in Big 12 play. BYU has shown resilience in recent games, winning three of their last four matchups. Their only loss in this span was an overtime defeat to Utah. Notably, they secured a dominant 80-52 victory against Cincinnati in their most recent outing. Baylor, on the other hand, is coming off a strong performance against Utah, where they led by double digits for most of the game, culminating in a 76-61 win. This victory was achieved despite a shortened rotation due to injuries to guards Langston Love and Jeremy Roach. BYU Cougars: Egor Demin, the Russian point forward has been pivotal for the Cougars, leading the Big 12 in assist rate. In the game against Cincinnati, he contributed 15 points, five rebounds, and seven assists. Richie Saunders and Trevin Knell: Both are formidable perimeter shooters, with Saunders also showcasing an improved ability to drive to the basket. Baylor Bears: VJ Edgecombe, the freshman guard has emerged as a significant offensive threat, averaging 25.5 points over his last two games. Norchad Omier and Josh Ojianwuna: Both players are active on the glass and efficient finishers around the rim, providing a strong presence in the frontcourt. Given BYU's recent defensive improvements and home-court advantage I like the Cougars here tonight. Lay the points with BYU. |
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01-25-25 | Santa Clara v. Oregon State -2.5 | Top | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
The Oregon State Beavers are set to host the Santa Clara Broncos on Saturday at Gill Coliseum in Corvallis, Oregon with live coverage available on ESPN+. The Beavers enter the matchup with a 10-8 overall record. They are coming off an impressive 83-63 victory over Pepperdine on January 23, where they shot 60.7% from the field and matched a season-high with 11 three-pointers. The Broncos hold a 12-6 overall record. In their recent game against Washington State on January 23, they secured a 93-65 win, showcasing a balanced offensive attack. Oregon State: Forward Michael Rataj led the Beavers with 22 points on 9-for-12 shooting, including a perfect 4-for-4 from three-point range, in their win over Pepperdine. Guard Damarco Minor contributed 13 points and nine assists, while Nate Kingz added 20 points, hitting four three-pointers. Santa Clara: Guard Johnny O'Neil was a standout in the victory over Washington State, contributing significantly to the team's performance. Oregon State averages 75.0 points per game, while Santa Clara averages 78.5 points per game. The Beavers allow 68.0 points per game, whereas the Broncos concede 70.2 points per game. I'll take Oregon State as my West Coast Conference Game of the Year here on Saturday. |
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01-22-25 | Miami-FL v. Stanford -10.5 | Top | 51-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
The Stanford Cardinal (11-6, 3-3 ACC) are set to host the Miami Hurricanes (4-13, 0-6 ACC) on Wednesday at Maples Pavilion in Stanford, California. The Cardinal are led by center Maxime Raynaud, who averages 21.4 points and 11.8 rebounds per game, showcasing his dominance in the paint. Guard Jaylen Blakes contributes significantly with 15.3 points and 5.3 assists per game, facilitating the team's offensive flow. Stanford emphasizes a balanced defensive approach, aiming to contain opponents' scoring opportunities. The Hurricanes have faced challenges this season, reflected in their 4-13 record. They are striving to find consistency in their offensive play to improve their standing in the conference. Miami's defense has been tested throughout the season, and they will need to tighten their defensive strategies to contend with Stanford's key players. Stanford enters the matchup with a stronger record and the advantage of playing on their home court. The performance of Maxime Raynaud and Jaylen Blakes will be crucial for the Cardinal. Miami will need to elevate their play on both ends of the court to challenge Stanford effectively. The game is scheduled to tip off at 8:00 PM PT and will be broadcast on ESPNU. I look for Stanford to blowout Miami who is making the long trip from the East Coast to the West coast for this contest. Play Stanford as your ACC Game of the Year. |
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01-20-25 | Hampton -2.5 v. North Carolina A&T | Top | 74-73 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
The Hampton Pirates (9-9, 1-2 CAA) are set to face the North Carolina A&T Aggies (4-15, 0-6 CAA) on Monday at Corbett Sports Center in Greensboro, North Carolina. Averaging 73.4 points per game, the Pirates are led by guard Noah Farrakhan, who contributes 13.2 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game. Forward Kyrese Mullen adds a strong presence in the paint with 7.3 rebounds per game. The Aggies average 74.9 points per game, with guard Ryan Forrest leading the charge at 19.1 points and 3.7 rebounds per game. Forward Nikolaos Chitikoudis anchors the defense with 9.2 rebounds per game. Hampton has experienced a mix of outcomes in their recent games, including a narrow 67-64 loss to William & Mary on January 16, 2025. North Carolina A&T is on a five-game losing streak, with their latest defeat being a 72-63 loss to Monmouth on January 16, 2025. In their last meeting on December 3, 2024, Hampton secured an 82-71 victory over North Carolina A&T. The Aggies will aim to leverage their home-court advantage to even the season series. Lay the points here on Monday with Hampton. |
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01-17-25 | DePaul v. Georgetown -9 | Top | 73-68 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
The DePaul Blue Demons (9-9, 0-7 Big East) are set to face the Georgetown Hoyas (12-5, 3-3 Big East) on Friday at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. Under head coach Chris Holtmann, DePaul began the season with a promising 9-2 record. However, they have struggled in conference play, currently on a seven-game losing streak within the Big East. The Blue Demons average 77.3 points per game but have faced challenges defensively, allowing 74.1 points per game. Led by head coach Ed Cooley, the Hoyas have demonstrated a balanced approach this season. They average 73.1 points per game while maintaining a strong defense, conceding only 63.9 points per game. Georgetown's defense is ranked 19th nationally in defensive rating, highlighting their ability to limit opponents' scoring. The Blue Demons are seeking to break their conference losing streak. Their recent games have highlighted the need for improved defensive consistency and offensive execution. The Hoyas aim to build on their solid conference performance. Their defense has been a cornerstone of their success, and they will look to continue this trend against DePaul. I like teams at home with strong defenses. Take Georgetown. |
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01-15-25 | Indiana State v. Bradley -8 | Top | 65-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
The Indiana State Sycamores are set to face the Bradley Braves on January 15, 2025, at Carver Arena in Peoria, Illinois. Holding a 14-3 overall record, the Braves are currently leading the Missouri Valley Conference. With a 9-8 overall record, the Sycamores are positioned sixth in the conference. The Braves have demonstrated strong form, winning 13 of their last 14 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents. The Sycamores have been inconsistent, with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. Bradley Braves are led by Duke Deen with an average of 15.2 points per game, shooting 44.6% from the field and 44.2% from beyond the arc. Indiana State is led by Samage Teel, averaging 17.6 points per game, leading the Sycamores' offense. This game presents an opportunity for Bradley to reinforce their position atop the conference standings, while Indiana State aims to disrupt the Braves' momentum and improve their own standing. Bradley is the best of this conference and at home I don't seeing them being beat. Play Bradley. |
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01-09-25 | Drexel -6 v. Stony Brook | Top | 67-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
The Drexel Dragons (9-6, 1-1 CAA) are set to face the Stony Brook Seawolves (4-11, 0-2 CAA) on Thursday at Island Federal Credit Union Arena in Stony Brook, New York. The Dragons Offense averages 70.1 points per game over their last ten games, with a shooting percentage of 47.0% while allowing an average of 68.0 points per game in the same span. Stony Brook averages 65.8 points per game over their last ten games, shooting 40.0% from the field while allowing an average of 73.8 points per game in the same period. Drexel has won six of its last ten games, showcasing a balanced offense and defense. Stony Brook has lost eight of their last ten games, struggling on both ends of the court. I'll lay the points with Drexel here on Thursday |
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01-08-25 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma -2.5 | Top | 80-78 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
The No. 17 Oklahoma Sooners are set to host the No. 10 Texas A&M Aggies on Wednesday at Lloyd Noble Center in Norman, Oklahoma. Boasting a 13-1 overall record, the Sooners are ranked No. 17 nationally. They are coming off their first loss of the season, a 107-79 defeat to No. 5 Alabama in their SEC opener. With a 12-2 overall record, the Aggies hold the No. 10 spot in national rankings. They are riding an eight-game winning streak, including a recent 80-60 victory over rival Texas. The Sooners are led by Jeremiah Fears a freshman guard who averages 17.9 points and 4.6 assists per game. Fears will be instrumental in orchestrating the Sooners' offense against a formidable Aggies defense. Jalon Moore averages 17.9 points and 6.3 rebounds per game, Moore provides a significant scoring threat and presence on the boards. The Aggies are led by Wade Taylor IV with 15.7 points and 4.8 assists per game, Taylor is a dynamic playmaker who can impact the game both scoring and facilitating. Henry Coleman III contributes 8.7 points and 4.9 rebounds per game, Coleman adds depth to the Aggies' frontcourt and will be key in the rebounding battle. Oklahoma will look to rebound from their recent loss by focusing on improving their performance on the glass, having been outrebounded 51-26 against Alabama. I look for the Sooners to rebound here at home. Take Oklahoma. |
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12-31-24 | Boise State v. Wyoming +7 | Top | 67-58 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
The Wyoming Cowboys are set to host the Boise State Broncos in a Mountain West Conference matchup on Tuesday at the Arena-Auditorium in Laramie, Wyoming. The Cowboys have been averaging 73.1 points per game this season, with a field goal percentage of 47.2% and a three-point shooting percentage of 35.6%. Their free-throw percentage stands at 68.0%. Defensively, Wyoming allows 70.8 points per game, with opponents shooting 42.9% from the field and 31.0% from beyond the arc. They average 33.8 rebounds per game, indicating a solid presence on the boards. Sophomore guard Noah Reynolds leads the team with an average of 15.5 points per game, showcasing his scoring ability and leadership on the court. The Broncos average 79.4 points per game, with a field goal percentage of 47.5% and a three-point shooting percentage of 35.5%. They excel at the free-throw line, shooting 75.6%. Boise State allows 67.6 points per game, with opponents shooting 41.2% from the field and 29.8% from three-point range. They are strong on the glass, averaging 36.8 rebounds per game. Junior forward Tyson Degenhart leads the team with 17.6 points per game, contributing significantly to the Broncos' offensive efforts. Boise State comes into this game with a strong offensive presence, averaging over 79 points per game, and a solid defense that limits opponents to under 68 points. Wyoming, while slightly behind in both offensive and defensive statistics, has the advantage of playing on their home court, which could play a significant role in their performance. I'll take Wyoming at home here tonight at this nice dog price. |
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12-03-24 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -3 | Top | 67-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
The Michigan Wolverines (6-1) will face the Wisconsin Badgers (8-0) on Tuesday at the Kohl Center in Madison, Wisconsin. This game marks the Big Ten opener for both teams, each seeking to establish early conference dominance, each having had a fine non-conference schedule. Under new head coach Dusty May, Michigan has started the season strong with a 6-1 record. Their offense averages 81.3 points per game, while the defense allows 61.3 points per game. Notable performances include a decisive 78-53 victory over No. 22 Xavier, where forward Danny Wolf scored a season-high 20 points and grabbed 14 rebounds. The Badgers have been impressive, maintaining an undefeated 8-0 record. They have secured significant wins against teams like Arizona, UCF, and Pittsburgh, contributing to their rise in national rankings. Their defense has been particularly strong, holding opponents to an average of 60.5 points per game. Michigan forward is averaging 15.2 points and 8.6 rebounds per game, Wolf has been a consistent contributor on both ends of the court. Wisconsin guard John Tonje is leading the team in scoring, Tonje recently posted a 22-point game, showcasing his offensive capabilities. I like the Wisconsin defense to dominate this contest today. With the Badgers at home, undefeated and with that excellent defense, I'll take them tonight. Play Wisconsin. |
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11-30-24 | Oakland v. Toledo -7.5 | Top | 85-52 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 30 m | Show |
The Oakland Golden Grizzlies (1-4) are set to face the Toledo Rockets (3-1) on Saturday at Savage Arena in Toledo, Ohio. Oakland has struggled with just one win while Toledo can improve to a nifty 4-1 on the season. Oakland began the season with a victory over Defiance College but has since encountered challenges, including losses to Boise State, Illinois, Kansas, and Eastern Michigan. Their offense has struggled, averaging 57.0 points per game, while the defense has allowed 80.2 points per game. Notably, they faced a 78-57 defeat against top-ranked Kansas, where Allen David Mukeba led the team with 19 points. The Rockets have demonstrated a strong start, securing wins against Marshall, Wright State, and Detroit Mercy, with a sole loss to Troy. Their offense has been prolific, averaging 83.0 points per game, while the defense has conceded 77.0 points per game. Toledo has historically performed well against Oakland, leading the series 13-7 and winning six of the last seven meetings. The Rockets have the better offense and that will guide them here today as Oakland has struggled with scoring. I don't mind laying these points to a club that struggles to score points. Play Toledo. |
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04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut -6.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show |
NCAA Men's Championship here today from Phoenix Arizona has Purdue taking on Connecticut for the crown. Both teams were No 1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament. Purdue (34-4) got here with their victory over NC State, 63-50. Connecticut beat No 4 Alabama, 86-72. Both teams covering their final four matchups. Purdue has been on a journey to forget last year's loss to a No 16 seed in the tournament. The Boilermakers played stifling defense against NC State, holding the Wolfpack to just 36.8% shooting and 21 points over the last 20 minutes of the game. Purdue averages 82.9 ppg this year and 48.9% shooting. U Conn looking to defend its 2023 title and they have rolled over the competition in the NCAA tournament. The Huskies have covered every game in the NCAA tourney and in fact have covered 11 of the last 12 games. They shot 53.1% vs the Crimson Tide and hit 10 three-pointers. U Conn averaged 81.6 ppg this year and shot 49.8% from the field. They also allowed just 63.3 ppg this year. I have been impressed with the way Connecticut has been on a mission to repeat this year and doing it by thrashing its opponents. Purdue is very good, but I believe this is the year for the Huskies. I'll take U Conn here on Monday. |
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04-04-24 | Indiana State v. Seton Hall +3 | Top | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show |
The NIT Championship Game here on Thursday has the Seton Hall Pirates taking on the Indiana State Sycamores. This game being played at the Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN. The Seton Hall Pirates are 24-12 with one more game to go in their season. They have won four straight games, including their last one to get to this final over Georgia, 84-67, as a 5.5-point favorite. The Pirates have won six of their last seven and covered their last three games. They are now 4-3 S/U and 3-4 ATS in their seven tourney games this season, though all four wins coming in the postseason. The defense has been very good for Seton Hall, holding opponents to just 66.3 ppg in the NIT. Indiana State goes for its 33rd win of the season and could have easily received a NCAA bid. After losing to Drake in their conference tourney, they have gone on to win four straight in the NIT, covering three of those. That includes last game over Utah, 100-90, as a 4-point favorite. The Sycamores are now 9-1 S/U and 7-3 ATS in their 10 tourney games this year. This game comes down to the defense of Seton Hall vs the offense of Indiana State. The Hall also likes to slow the pace while Indiana State likes to press the pace. Seton Hall the small dog here on Thursday. I'll take the Pirates plus the points in what should be a great game. Play Seton Hall. |
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03-31-24 | NC State +7.5 v. Duke | Top | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Elite 8 South Regional Final from Dallas Texas has two old foes matching up as NC State takes on Duke. 11th-seed NC State Wolfpack won the ACC conference tournament over North Carolina, 84-76, as a 10-point dog. The Pack has now won eight straight games and covered six of the last eight. That includes NCAA tourney wins over Texas Tech, 80-67, then Oakland, 79-73, and last game over Marquette, 67-58, as a 7.5-point dog. They are now 9-1 S/U and 6-4 ATS in their 10 tourney games this year. They also average 76.3 ppg while allowing 72.2 ppg. Duke looks to return to the Final Four after their three wins in the NCAA tournament. They opened with a win over Vermont, 64-47, then beat James Madison, 93-55, and last game over Houston, 54-51, as a 4-point dog. Duke lost to NC State in the ACC conference tournament, 69-74, as a 11-point favorite. Still, the Blue Devils have won 11 of the last 14 games. They are also 11-3 ATS during that stretch. The Blue Devils are 6-1 S/U and 4-3 ATS in their seven tourney games this year. They average 79 ppg while allowing 66 ppg. NC State has been on an incredible run. I look for that to continue here today. Play NC State. |
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03-30-24 | Illinois v. Connecticut -8.5 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
Elite 8 action here on Saturday has the 3-seed Illinois taking on 1-seed Connecticut for the right to go to the Final Four. Illinois coming off their Sweet 16 win over Iowa State, 72-69, as a 1-point dog. Connecticut cruised into the Elite 8 round with a blowout win over San Diego State, 82-52, as a 11.5-point favorite. Illinois ranks 10th in the Kenpom rankings and are 2nd in offensive efficiency but 84th in defensive efficiency. U Conn Huskies are the odds on favorite right now to win it all and we can see why the way they are rolling over opponents. They beat Stetson by 39 points, Northwestern by 17 and then San Diego State by 30 points. U Conn is also the top ranked team in the Kenpom rankings, they are 1st in offensive efficiency and 6th in defensive. They are a much slower paced team though then Illinois, ranking 319th in the nation by pace. I'm not sure that there is a number too high at this point on U Conn. This looks like a big number but the way they are playing I'm not afraid to lay this amount. Play Connecticut. |
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03-29-24 | Creighton +3 v. Tennessee | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
Midwest Regional Semifinals from Detroit, Michigan has No 3 Seed Creighton taking on No 2 Seeded Tennessee. Creighton lost in their conference tourney to Providence, 73-78, as a 8.5-point favorite. They rebounded with a win in the NCAA 1st round over Akron, 77-60, as a 12-point favorite and then over Oregon in the 2nd round, 86-73, as a 4-point favorite. The Blue Jays have now won 9-2 S/U and ATS over their last 11 games. The average 80.6 ppg while allowing 69.5 ppg. The Jays also are 3-3 S/U and ATS in their six tourney games this year. Creighton had to come back from a six-point deficit to the 11th seeded Oregon Ducks to win. This Creighton team is a slow paced team, 227th in pace in the country. However, they are 11th in offensive efficiency and 23rd in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Tennessee is ranked 8th overall by Kenpom and 29th in offensive efficiency and 3rd in defensive efficiency. They also play a faster pace then Creighton, ranked 78th in the nation. Creighton matches up well in this game and in fact has three top scorers that Tennessee will have trouble guarding. I like the balance of this Creighton offense and they are the bigger team. All pluses that put me on Creighton in this game. |
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03-28-24 | Clemson +7.5 v. Arizona | Top | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show |
West Regional Semifinals from Los Angeles, CA has Clemson taking on Arizona. Clemson has won both NCAA games with wins over New Mexico, 77-56, as a 2-point dog and then Sunday over Baylor, 72-64, as a 4.5-point dog. Those two wins snapped a two-game losing streak by the Tigers. Clemson is now 23-11 S/U and 19-14-1 overall on the season. They average 77.2 ppg while allowing 70.6 ppg. The Tigers won both NCAA games holding their opponents to just 29.7% and 38.9% from the field. Against New Mexico they held the Lobos to just 13% from the 3-point arc. The Tigers are now 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS in their five tourney games this year. The Arizona Wildcats improved to 27-8 on the season with a pair of NCAA tourney wins. They beat Long Beach State, 85-65 in their first round as a 20-point favorite. Then they won in the 2nd round over Dayton, 78-68, as a 8.5-point favorite. These wins coming on the heel of their PAC-12 conference tourney loss to Oregon, 58-67. The Wildcats average 87.6 ppg while allowing 71.9 ppg. They are also 3-1 S/U and 2-1-1 ATS in their four tourney games this year. Clemson getting around 7-points in this matchup. I like the dog and will take those points with Clemson. |
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03-23-24 | Oregon +5.5 v. Creighton | Top | 73-86 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
NCAA Second round action has Oregon taking on Creighton from Pittsburgh, PA. The Oregon Ducks improved to 24-11 with their first round win over South Carolina, 87-73, as a 2.5-poing dog. The Ducks shot a blistering 59.6% from the field and 43.8% from the 3-point arc. That makes five straight wins for the Ducks and three straight covers. They also are now 5-2 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS in tournament games this year. The Creighton Blue Jays improved to 24-9 with their first round win over Akron, 77-60, as a 12-point favorite. They are 3-1 both S/U and ATS their last four games. The Jays are now 2-3 S/U and ATS their last four games. Oregon getting some decent points here on Saturday. I'll take the dog in this one. Play Oregon. |
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03-22-24 | College of Charleston +9.5 v. Alabama | Top | 96-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
The College of Charleston Cougars are 27-7 on the season and won their conference tournament with a win over Stony Brook, 82-79 as a 10-point favorite. The Cougars come into this game with a 12 game winning streak. They are 6-5-1 ATS during that span. The Cougars are 5-3 S/U and 2-6 ATS in tournament play this year. They have also been a dog just five times, going 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. Alabama is 21-11 and lost in the SEC tournament to Florida, 88-102, as a 4.5-point favorite. They limp into this NCAA tourney losing three of their last four and failing to cover all four. The Crimson Tide are 2-2 in season tournaments and 1-2-1 ATS. Charleston comes in hot, winning 12 straight games while Alabama limps into this game. I'll take the generous points in this game. Play Charleston. |
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03-20-24 | Appalachian State +7.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 76-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
The App State Mountaineers travel to North Carolina to take on Wake Forest in NIT 1st Round action. The Mountaineers are 27-6 on the season and suffered a loss in their conference tournament to Arkansas State, 65-67, as a 4-point favorite. That loss snapped a eight game win streak. In addition, the club is 6-2 ATS their last eight games. They are 8-4 S/U and 7-5 ATS on the road with a +3.9 point differential. Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 20-13 and lost to Pitt in their conference tourney game, 69-81, as a 2-point favorite. That made them 2-4 S/U and ATS their last six games. The Deacons have been excellent at home with a 16-1 S/U record and 13-4 spread mark. Should be a great game, but App State is going to possibly pull the straight-up upset here tonight. Take the points with App State. |
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03-19-24 | North Texas +3 v. LSU | Top | 84-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
NIT action here on Tuesday has North Texas playing at LSU. The North Texas Mean Green are 18-14 thus far and coming off a loss to Florida Atlantic in their conference tourney, 71-77, as a 5.5-point dog. They are 4-2 S/U and ATS in their last six games. The Mean Green have done well on the road this season, going 6-3-1 ATS in their 10 games. The LSU Tigers are 17-15 and lost to Mississippi State in the first round of the SEC tournament, 60-70, as a 5-point dog. The Tigers are 5-6 S/U and 4-7 ATS their last 11 games. Moreover, they are just 6-11 ATS at home this season. I like the road dog here tonight. Play North Texas. |
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03-16-24 | Cornell +2.5 v. Yale | Top | 57-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
Ivy league conference semifinal action here on Saturday from New York, NY has Cornell taking on Yale. These teams both tied for 2nd in the Ivy league with 11-3 records. Cornell was a bit better overall with a 22-6 mark and Yale had a 20-9 record. Cornell finished regular season with a win last Saturday over Columbia, 98-76, as a 6-point favorite. The Big Red was 5-2 S/U and ATS their last seven games. Cornell was 2-0 both S/U and ATS in regular season tournaments. Yale lost their last game last Saturday, 81-84, to Brown as a 11-point favorite. The Bulldogs won three of their last four games both S/U and ATS. They are 2-1 S/U and 1-2 in regular season tournament games. These clubs last met on Feb 10 at Yale, with Columbia losing that game by a 78-80 score as a 7.5-point dog. I'm taking the points here today with Cornell. |
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03-14-24 | Fresno State v. Utah State -12 | Top | 75-87 | Push | 0 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
Mountain West Quarterfinals from Las Vegas, NV has Fresno State taking on Utah State. Fresno State won its first round game last night over Wyoming, 77-73, pulling the upset as a 5-point dog. The Bulldogs shot 53.2% from the field and 33.3% from the 3-point arc while holding Wyoming to 41.1% from the field. That win actually snapped a seven game losing streak and 3-4 ATS run. One of those losses came at home to this Utah State club on Feb 27th, 73-77, as they covered the 10.5 point dog line. However, the outcome wasn't so good at Utah State back on Jan 20 where they lost 62-83 as a 13-point dog. Utah State should make the NCAA no matter what happens in this tournament with their 26-5 record. They had the bye in the first round and bring a 5-game win streak into today's contest. They are also, 7-1 S/U their last eight and 3-4-1 ATS. The Aggies have played four games on the neutral site this year and are 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. I'm laying the points in this one as I see a Utah State blowout. |
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03-12-24 | Wisc-Milwaukee +4.5 v. Oakland | Top | 76-83 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Horizon League Championship Game here on Tuesday with Wisconsin Milwaukee taking on Oakland for the automatic NCAA bid. Wisconsin Milwaukee played last night and beat Northern Kentucky, 82-75, as a 1.5-point dog. The Panthers shot 45.9% from the field and 33.3% from the 3-point arc. They held N.Ky to just 391% from the field shooting. That makes six straight winners for the Panthers. They are also 3-1 ATS their last four games. The Oakland Golden Grizzlies are 22-11 now on the season after beating Cleveland State last night, 74-71, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Grizzlies have won three straight games and seven of their last eight. They are also 5-3 ATS in their last eight games. Even though they won last night, they were outshot 41.3% to 38.7%. What helped them was holding Cleveland State to just 18.8% from the 3-point arc. Even match here today for the Championship. I like the points in these kind of games and my own number has this game closer to a pick contest. Take Wisconsin Milwaukee. |
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03-11-24 | East Tennessee State +10 v. Samford | Top | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
It's the SoCon Tournament Championship here tonight as East Tennessee State takes on Samford for that bid to the big dance. East Tenn St Buccaneers got here just barely with a win over Chattanooga on Sunday, 85-84. This will be the team's fourth game in row with wins over VMI, UNC Greensboro and then Chat. They are also 5-0 S/U and ATS in their last five games having covered vs Chat as a 5-point dog. The Samford Bulldogs got here with a win over Furman, 84-77. The Dogs got wins over Mercer and Furman to get here. They are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS their last three games. Samford is 2-0 this season vs E.Tenn State winning the last game at home vs the Bucs, 87-71 as a 10.5-point favorite. Samford a huge 9.5-point favorite in this Championship game. I realize they have beaten E.Tenn two times this year, but beating a team three times in a row is tough. Plus E.Tenn has been hot winning five in a row. Samford likely to win this game, but E.Tenn has been playing with each team in the tourney thus far. I look for a much closer game then the odds are showing us here tonight. Take E.Tennessee State. |
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03-10-24 | Drake v. Indiana State -2.5 | Top | 84-80 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 4 m | Show |
Missouri Valley Championship Game from St Louis, MO has Indiana State taking on Drake for the Tourney Title and automatic NCAA bid. The Drake Bulldogs are 2-0 in the tourney thus far with wins over Evansville, 79-58 and then last game over Bradley yesterday, 72-67, as a 2-point favorite. That makes the Dogs on a four game win streak and 3-1 ATS streak. They are a combined 11-6 S/U and 8-9 ATS on the road and on neutral sites this year. The Indiana State Sycamores having a great season at 28-5 now after their two tourney wins over Missouri State, 75-59, and then last game yesterday over Northern Iowa, 94-72, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Sycamores are now 6-0 S/U and 4-1-1 ATS over their last six games. These teams have split the season matchups, with Indiana State winning at home on Feb 3, 75-67, and losing at Drake on Jan 10, 78-89. Now it's the rubber game but I like Indiana State in this one. Play Indiana State. |
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03-09-24 | Kentucky +7.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 85-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
SEC action here today as we get ready to head to the conference tournament. No 15 Kentucky is tied for second at 12-5 with South Carolina and Auburn. No 4 Tennessee holds the top spot in the conference at 14-3 overall. Kentucky has won four straight games and six of the last seven as they look to improve in the conference seeding. They are coming off a thumping of Vandy on their home court, 93-77. Tennessee has high hopes this postseason. HC Rick Barnes has been to the Final Four with Texas in 2003. However, at Tennessee has never gotten past the Sweet 16. The Vols bring a seven game win streak into today's contest, including their last game with a win over South Carolina, 66-59. This game will be the fast paced Kentucky team against a very good defensive Tennessee club. The first matchup between these clubs in Knoxville was a real shootout with Tennessee taking that game, 103-92. Kentucky needs this game to improve their seed while Tennessee already has the top spot in next week's tourney locked-up. For me, motivation looks to be on the visitor's side today. I'll take Kentucky plus the points. |
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03-02-24 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's -2 | Top | 70-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
The top two teams in the West Coast conference will face off tonight as top seeded St Mary's will face Gonzaga. St Mary's is a perfect 15-0 in conference play and 24-6 overall. They hold a two-game lead over Gonzaga which is 13-2 in conference and 23-6 overall. St Mary's is 16-13 ATS while Gonzaga is 13-5 ATS. Gonzaga has won seven straight games and 12 of their last 13. They're only lose coming against today's opponent, St Mary's. They lost to St Mary's back on February 3rd 62-64 as a 4 and 1/2 point favorite. St Mary's comes into this game on a 16-game winning streak. The Gaels have also covered six of their last seven and 10 of their last 13 overall games. St Mary's is 14-3 straight up at home and 9-7 against the spread. While Gonzaga has a little revenge factor on their side here tonight I'm still going to side with the home team in this one and take St Mary's. |
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02-29-24 | USC v. Washington State -7 | Top | 72-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
PAC-12 clash here today has 2nd place Washington State taking on USC which is at the bottom of the conference. Washington State is 12-5 in conference and a half game back of Arizona. The Cougars are 21-7 overall and 15-12-1 ATS on the season. USC is 5-11 in the PAC-12 with a 11-16 overall record and 12-15 ATS mark. The Trojans coming off a win over their intercity rivals, UCLA, 62-56 as a 4.5-point dog. That was only their third win in their last 12 games. They are also 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. USC is 2-8 S/U and 4-6 ATS on the road with a -9.1 point differential. Washington State looks to rebound after their loss at Arizona State, 61-73, as a 5-point favorite. They had a bit of a letdown in that game after a big win at Arizona two days earlier, 77-74. Still, the Cougars are 8-1 S/U and 7-2 ATS their last nine games. Washington State is 13-1 S/U and 8-6 ATS at home with a +16.1 point differential. Cougars won't let down here tonight. First they will want to rebound from that costly loss last game and second they are just a half game back for the PAC-12 regular season crown and top seed. Take Washington State tonight. |
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02-28-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Wright State -5.5 | Top | 79-77 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Horizon League action here tonight has Wright State hosting IPFW. Wright State is 3rd in the conference with a 12-6 mark, overall record of 17-12 and a 13-14 spread record. IP-Fort Wayne is 9-9 and near the bottom of the conference standings. They are also 18-11 overall and 14-12-1 ATS. The Fort Wayne Mastodons are coming off a loss at Wisc-Milwaukee, 88-96, as a 1-point dog. They are 4-4 S/U and ATS their last eight games. The Mastodons are 7-6 S/U and 7-5-1 ATS on the road this year. They are 4-5 S/U and 4-4-1 ATS as a road dog. The Wright State Raiders are coming off a big win over Oakland, 96-75, as a 4.5-poing road dog. That makes three straight wins both S/U and ATS for the Raiders. Moreover, they have scored at least 93 points in each of those three blowout wins. Wright State is also 8-2 S/U and 6-4 ATS their last 10 games. The Raiders flexing their offensive might the last three games, ranking them 5th nationally in scoring with a 86.2 average. They also lead the Horizon league in field goal percentage and are very good from the free throw line. I don't believe that IPFW will be able to contain this excellent offensive Wright State attack tonight. Play Wright State. |
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02-25-24 | Xavier v. Marquette -10 | Top | 64-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
Big East Action here today has Xavier taking on Marquette. Marquette is 2nd in the conference with a 11-4 mark and 20-6 overall record. They are also 15-11 ATS. Xavier is in the latter half of the conference standings with a 7-8 Big East mark and 13-13 overall record with a 14-11-1 ATS record. The Xavier Musketeers bring a three game losing streak both S/U and ATS into today's contest. They are coming off a loss to Providence, 75-79, as a 5-point home favorite. They are 2-6 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the road this year. The Marquette Golden Eagles are coming off a win vs Depaul, 105-71, as a 27.5-point favorite. They have now won nine of their last 10 games and are 7-2 ATS during that span. The Eagles are 12-1 S/U and 9-4 ATS at home with a +18.3 point differential. The Eagles should have little issue today as these last few regular season games are big if they want to be the best of the Big East. Play Marquette. |
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02-24-24 | Missouri State v. Belmont -6.5 | Top | 78-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Missouri Valley Conference clash here today has Belmont hosting Missouri State. Missouri State is 7-10 in conference play and 15-13 overall with a 14-13-1 ATS mark. Belmont is 9-8 in conference, 16-12 overall and 12-15 ATS. The Missouri State Bears are 1-4 S/U and ATS in their last five games after losing last game at home to Bradley, 62-86, as a 3-point dog. They are 4-8 S/U and 4-7-1 ATS on the road with a -5.7 point differential. The Belmont Bruins had their four game win streak snapped last game at Drake, 69-84, as a 9.5-point dog. They are also 4-1 ATS their last five and 6-2 ATS their last eight games. The Bruins are 10-2 S/U and 6-5 ATS at home this year with a +7.5 point differential. Neither team will win the regular season conference crown but both look to improve their seeding heading into the conference tournament. I'll take Belmont to repay their earlier loss to Missouri State this month. Play Belmont. This will be the second meeting between these teams with Missouri State winning on its home court back on Feb 3, 87-80, as a 6-point favorite. |
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02-23-24 | Fairfield v. Quinnipiac -2.5 | Top | 85-81 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Metro Atlantic conference clash here today has the top team in the conference, Quinnipiac, taking on 2nd place Fairfield. Fairfield Stags are 10-5 in conference and 16-10 overall. They trail Quinnipiac by 1.5-games right now. They are also 11-14 ATS on the season. Quinnipiac is 11-3 in conference and 19-6 overall and 14-8-2 vs the spread. The Stags are coming off a win over Mount St Mary's, 94-80, as a 4.5-point favorite. That makes them 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS in their last five games. Moreover, they are just 2-6 ATS their last eight games. The Stags have been decent on the road with a 8-5 S/U and 6-7 ATS mark. Quinnipiac Bobcats look to snap a 2-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a home loss to Niagara, 66-80, as a 8-point favorite. After two straight poor performances, you can expect the Bobcats to be prepared for a rebound game here on Friday. They are 11-2 at home S/U and 7-4-1 ATS and outscore visitors by a 11-point differential. These teams met back on Jan 28th in Fairfield with Quinnipiac winning 66-64 as a 1.5-point favorite. I look for Quinnipiac to get back to their winning ways as the top team in the conference. |
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02-22-24 | Ohio State v. Minnesota -3.5 | Top | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
Big 10 action here on Thursday has Ohio State taking on Minnesota. The Ohio State Buckeyes are next to last in the conference with a 5-10 record and 15-11 overall mark. The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 7-7 in conference and 16-9 overall. They sit right in the middle of the Big 10 standings. Ohio State is coming off a win at home over Purdue, 73-69, as a 8-point dog. That makes them 4-1 ATS in their last five games. Still, they are 3-9 S/U mark their last 12 and 5-10 ATS mark their last 15. They are also horrible on the road with a 0-7 S/U and 2-5 ATS mark and -9.4 point differential. Minnesota snapped a 2-game losing streak with a home win over Rutgers, 81-70, as 5.5-point favorite. The Golden Gophers have been great for bettors, going 8-0 ATS their last eight games. They have been amazing at home with a 14-3 S/U and 16-1 ATS record. I like the Gophers at home where they dominate and against the Buckeyes where they have yet to win on the road. Play Minnesota. |
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02-17-24 | Kentucky v. Auburn -8.5 | Top | 70-59 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
SEC Action here today in college hoops has Auburn hosting Kentucky. Auburn is tied for 2nd in the conference, just a half game back of leader Alabama. The Tigers are 9-3 in conference and 20-5 overall. They are 13-0 at home and 16-9 ATS overall. Kentucky is 7-4 in conference play and 17-7 overall. The Wildcats are 6-3 on the road and 13-10-1 ATS overall. Kentucky is coming off a win at home vs Ole Miss, 75-63, as a 8.5-point favorite. They are 5-5 S/U and 3-6-1 ATS their last 10 games. Auburn is coming off a win at home vs South Carolina, 101-61, as a 11.5-point favorite. They shot great, hitting 60% from both the field and 3-point line. That made them 4-1 S/U and ATS in their last five games. The Tigers are a perfect 13-0 at home this year and 9-4 vs the number. They have a +22.1 point differential on their home court. I look for Auburn to easily win and cover today's contest. Play Auburn. |
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02-14-24 | Massachusetts v. Richmond -3.5 | Top | 69-59 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
The Massachusetts Minutemen (15-8, 6-5 A-10) will face the Richmond Spiders (17-6, 9-1 A-10) on Wednesday, February 14th, at 7:00 PM EST at the Robins Center. The Minutemen are coming off a thrilling 81-79 win over Rhode Island on Sunday, thanks to a clutch three-pointer by freshman guard Rahsool Diggins with 2.3 seconds left. UMass is averaging 80.3 points per game, the second-highest in the A-10, behind a balanced offense that features five players scoring in double figures. The Spiders are hot, winning 12 of the last 13 games, after defeating La Salle 82-65 on Saturday. The are also hot vs the spread, going 10-1 ATS their last 11 games. Richmond is leading the A-10 with a 9-1 record, thanks to its efficient offense that ranks 25th in the nation in effective field goal percentage (56.4%) and 10th in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.58). This will be the first meeting between the two teams this season. The Spiders have dominated the series in recent years, winning nine of the last 11 games. They are also unbeaten at home this season, with an impressive 12-0 ATS record and 11-1 Spread mark. The game will feature a contrast of styles, as UMass likes to play fast and score in transition, while Richmond prefers to control the tempo and execute in the half-court. The Spiders also have more depth, as they get 24.3 points per game from their reserves, while the Minutemen get only 16.5. The Minutemen are 14-9 ATS and 14-9 O/U, while the Spiders are 17-5-1 ATS and 12-10-1 O/U. The Minutemen are 1-5 SU and 3-3 ATS in their six road games, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a win, and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against Richmond. I look for Richmond to take this game tonight and cover the spread. Play Richmond. |
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02-10-24 | Arizona v. Colorado -1.5 | Top | 99-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
PAC-12 Game here on Saturday night. This is one of the later games on the schedule at 7pm PT and 10 pm ET. Arizona leads the conference with a 9-3 record and overall mark of 18-5. They are also 15-8 vs the spread. However, despite a 12-0 home record, the Wildcats are just 6-5 on the road. Colorado comes in 7-5 in conference and in 3rd place. They are 16-7 overall and 10-12-1 ATS. The Wildcats have won five straight games and have gone 3-2 ATS during that span. They are coming off a win at Utah, 105-99, just covering the 5.5-point line. They have been all that good away from home with a 6-5 mark in both pure and neutral site games. They also have just over a +2 road point differential. Colorado snapped a two-game losing streak with a win last time out vs Arizona State, 82-70, as a 14.5-point favorite. The Buffs are 5-2 S/U and 3-4 ATS in their last seven games. They are a perfect 13-0 S/U at home with a +19.2 point differential. Colorado a very small home favorite here tonight at -1 to -2 points. All we really need is a straight-up win with a 13-0 home team. Colorado also looking for some revenge here tonight after the beating they took in Tucson back on Jan 4th, 97-50. Play Colorado. |
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02-09-24 | San Diego State v. Nevada -2 | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
The No. 24 San Diego State Aztecs will play the Nevada Wolf Pack on Friday, February 9, 2024, at 5 p.m. PST in Reno. The game will be on ESPN. The Aztecs are tied for first in the Mountain West Conference, while the Wolf Pack are fourth. The Aztecs have the advantage in 3-point shooting and turnovers, while the Wolf Pack have the edge in rebounding. The Aztecs won the first meeting 71-59 in San Diego on January 17, 2024. San Diego State has won two straight games and three of their last four. They are coming off a win at Air Force, 77-64, as a 9.5-point favorite. While the Aztecs are 11-0 at home this year, they are just 4-5 S/U and 2-7 ATS on the road with a -1.7 point differential. Nevada has also won two straight games and three of the last four. They are coming off the big upset win last game at Utah State, 77-63, as a 5.5-point dog. The Wolfpack are 11-1 S/U and 7-4 ATS at home with a +18.4 point differential. I like Nevada here tonight on their home court. |
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02-06-24 | Charlotte v. South Florida -2 | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
The Charlotte 49ers (14-7, 8-1 AAC) will face the South Florida Bulls (15-5, 8-1 AAC) in a clash of the conference leaders at the Yuengling Center in Tampa. Both teams are riding impressive winning streaks and have identical records in the American Athletic Conference. The winner of this game will have a clear advantage in the race for the regular season title and the top seed in the conference tournament. Charlotte is coming off a 67-52 win over East Carolina on Saturday, extending its winning streak to eight games and covering its fourth game in a row. The 49ers have been dominant on defense, holding opponents to 64.1 points per game, which ranks 19th in the nation. Charlotte also boasts a balanced offense, with four players averaging double figures in scoring. Charlotte is 13-6-1 overall vs the spread. They are 3-4 S/U and 2-4-1 ATS on the road with a -4.9 point differential. South Florida is also on a roll, having won seven consecutive games, including a 60-55 victory over North Texas on Saturday as a 6.-5 point dog. The Bulls have been efficient on offense, shooting 43.8% from the field and 35.3% from three-point range, while averaging 75.6 points per game. South Florida has two dynamic scorers in Chris Youngblood and Selton Miguel, who both average 14.6 points per game. The Bulls will try to use their speed and shooting to overcome Charlotte's defense and maintain their home-court advantage, as they are 10-2 at home S/U and 8-3-1 ATS on the season with a +10.3 point differential. This should be an excellent game, but I'll be on the home team here today. Take South Florida. |
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02-04-24 | Youngstown State -4.5 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 78-82 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
Horizon League game here on Sunday has Youngtown State taking on IP Fort Wayne. Youngstown State is 9-3 in conference play and in 2nd place, just a half game back of Green Bay. They are 17-6 overall on the season and 12-7 vs the spread. Fort Wayne is 5-6 in conference and in 5th place. The Mastodons are 14-8 overall and 10-9-1 ATS. The Youngstown State Penguins have won four straight and seven of their last eight games. They have also covered seven straight games. They are 6-5 S/U and 7-4 ATS on the road with a +4.5 point differential. The Mastodons have been struggling, going 1-6 S/U and ATS in their last seven games. That includes last time out losing at home to Milwaukee, 65-68, as a 3-point favorite. They are 8-3 S/U and 4-5 ATS at home this season. Two teams headed in opposite directions. I'll be on the road team here today. Play Youngstown State. |
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02-02-24 | Quinnipiac -6.5 v. Manhattan | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
Metro Atlantic Conference clash here today has the conference leader, Quinnipiac, taking on Manhattan. Quinnipiac is first with a 8-1 conference record and 16-4 overall mark. Manhattan is tied for last in the conference with a 2-7 mark and 5-13 overall record. The Quinnipiac Bobcats have been excellent, winning seven straight games, including their first game at home vs Manhattan, 76-59. The Cats have also gone 6-0-1 vs the spread their last seven games. They have been good on the road too, going 7-3 SU and ATS with a +1.3 point differential. The Manhattan Jaspers snapped a 10 game losing streak last time out with a win at Niagara, 84-78, as a 9-point dog. They are also 3-8 ATS their last 11 games. The Jaspers are 2-5 S/U and 2-4 ATS at home with a -5.4 point differential. It's the penthouse vs the outhouse today in the Metro Atlantic and for me, I like being in the penthouse. Take Quinnipiac. |
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12-28-23 | USC v. Oregon -2.5 | Top | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
The USC Trojans travel to Oregon to face the Ducks tonight, not a place they have had much success. The Trojans have won just 2 of their last 12 trips at Oregon. The Trojans are 6-5 S/U this season and 5-6 ATS. They are 1-1 on the road both S/U and ATS. They just snapped a 3-game losing streak with a win over Alabama State, 79-59, as a 18-point favorite. USC could be without a key player tonight in guard Boogie Ellis, who is questionable with a hip injury. Oregon is 8-3 S/U and 6-4-1 ATS on the season. The Ducks have won four of their last five games both S/U and ATS. That includes last game at home over Kent State, 84-70 as a 7-point favorite. The Ducks again are very good at home, posting a 6-0 S/U and 5-1 ATS record this season. Considering their dominance over the Trojans at home and success this year at home, I'll be on the Ducks tonight. |
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12-12-23 | Western Kentucky +5.5 v. Wright State | Top | 91-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are 7-3 S/U and 4-3 ATS on the season. They average 81 ppg and allow 72.9 ppg on the season for a +8.1 differential. They have a 2-1 S/U and ATS mark on the road and still outscore opponents by a 76.3 to 72.3 mark. The Hilltoppers have won three straight games including last time out at Buffalo, 82-65, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Wright State Raiders struggling out of the game to a 4-5 S/U and 4-4 ATS record. They have scored well with 81.3 ppg average while allowing 78.8 ppg. The Raiders coming off a win over Bethel College, 81-62 with no line. That following a loss a Davidson, 73-82, as a 3.5-point dog. Western Ky getting 5 or more points looks good to me as I think they have a good chance at the straight up win. Play Western Kentucky. |
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12-06-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne -6.5 v. Southern Indiana | Top | 70-57 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
The IPFW Mastodons are off to a great start this year at 8-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS. They are coming off a win at Oakland, 98-77, as a 5.5-point dog. This team can score too, hitting 86 or more points in six of their nine games. They hit a blistering 66.7% from the field vs Oakland and 65.4% from the 3-point arc. This team is prolific at 3-pointers too, hitting 40% or more in five of their nine games. Now they hit the road to Southern Indiana. The Screaming Eagles are just 2-7 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season. The Eagles are coming off a loss to Bowling Green, 52-54, but covered the 5.5-point dog line. They have just two wins and those cam over East-West University and Tiffin, not exactly schools that will pad the resume. Today the Eagles have to play this hot shooting IPFW squad and I believe that will go badly for them. I'll lay the points with IPFW. |
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11-17-23 | Denver +5 v. South Alabama | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
The Denver Pioneers hit the road here on Friday to face South Alabama. The Pioneers are 2-2 on the season. They opened with a loss to Cal San Diego in their opener, 87-95, as a 7-point dog. They then beat Cal Poly, 97-76 as a 10-point favorite and Nicholls State, 91-85, as a 1-point dog. They are coming off a loss to SIU Edwardsville, 74-77, pushing the 3-point dog line. This team can score as 74 points have been their fewest this season. They have done well from 3-point arc too, hitting at least 31% in every game thus far. The South Alabama Jaguars are just 1-3 to start their season with losses to Mobile U, 74-83, Alabama, 46-102 and last game to Nicholls State, 97-102. Their only win coming at Buffalo, 70-56. That has also been their only cover too against a pair of spread losses. Losing to Mobile really stands out to me as they hit just 35.5% against this team and allowed a whopping 60% shooting ad 41.7% from the 3-point arc. They also got lit up by Alabama which hit 61.8% from the field and 52.2% from 3-point. The Jags have given up back-to-back 102 point games and now face a very fast paced and high scoring Denver team. I'll take Denver in this one. |
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11-07-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne +11.5 v. DePaul | Top | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
First game of the season for both the IPFW Mastodons and the DePaul Blue Demons. IPFW won 17 games last year as they play their 10th season under HC Jon Coffman. DePaul won only 10 games last season. The Blue Demons lost three of their four double-digit scorers from last season. They have a number of transfers coming in this year but it might take a few games for the new players to gel. I believe DePaul will be better this year but not in this first game. Don't believe that they should be laying double digits to this IPFW squad. Play the road dog here today. Take IPFW. |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut -7 | Top | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
San Diego State was fortunate to get away with a win vs Florida Atlantic on Saturday, as they trailed by double digits for most of the 2nd half. It took a shot with no time left on the clock for the Aztecs to pull out the win and advance. Now they run into the hottest team in the tournament, Connecticut. U Conn has had no trouble in any of it's games thus far. They have won by 24 over Iona, 15 over St Mary's, 23 over Arkansas, 28 over Gonzaga and then yesterday went wire to wire over Miami, 72-59. This is the team in form to win it all. San Diego State has had some luck while U Conn has just been very good and dominating. I'm going to stick with the hot team here tonight. Play Connecticut. |
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03-28-23 | Wisconsin v. North Texas -1.5 | Top | 54-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
NIT Semifinal action here on Tuesday has Wisconsin taking on North Texas from Las Vegas, NV. Wisconsin was an early exit from the Big 10 tourney when they lost to Ohio State, 57-65 as a 2.5-point dog. They have three straight in the NIT though, at home over Bradley, 81-62, then at home over Liberty, 75-71, and last game over Oregon, 61-58, as a 1.5-point dog. The Badgers are 3-3-1 ATS in their last seven games. In addition, they are 7-15-2 ATS their last 24 overall games. North Texas lost in the Conference USA tourney to UAB, 69-76. They have gone on in the NIT to beat Alcorn State, 69-53, Sam Houston, 75-55 and then in OT last game they beat Oklahoma State, 65-59, as a 4-point dog. That makes them 11-3 ATS their last 14 games. They are also 14-6 ATS in their last 20 on a neutral site. Really just need to pick the winner here tonight and for me, that's North Texas. |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4 v. Texas | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
Elite 8 action continues here on Sunday as Miami and Texas face off in the Midwest Regional Final from Kansas City, MO. After losing to Duke in the ACC tourney, Miami has won three straight NCAA games over Drake, Indiana and last game upending the top seed Houston, 89-75. None of their games have been close, as they have won by 7, 16 and 14 points. The Hurricanes are now 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA tournament games. They are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs a team with a winning record. Texas won the Big 12 tournament and now has three wins in the NCAA, making their win streak at seven games. They have also covered six of their last seven games. They are coming off a win over Xavier, 83-71, as a 4.5-point favorite. The one knock against this Texas team is that they are just 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 NCAA tourney games. I'm sticking with the dog here on Sunday. Play Miami Florida. |
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03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic +2.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic's fairy tale story continues as they enter the Elite 8 of the NCAA tourney. The Owls beat Tennessee in the Sweet 16, 62-55, as a 4.5-point dog. That makes the Owls 10-0 in their last 10 games and 7-3 ATS. They are also 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games vs a team with a win percentage of 60% or better. Kansas State making up for their early exit in the Big 12 tourney when they lost to TCU, 67-80. Now they have won three straight including their OT win over Michigan State in the Sweet 16, 98-93, as a 1-point favorite. Kansas State is 7-2 ATS in their last nine games. With all the players that transfer each year, we are seeing more parity in the big schools and smaller ones. Thus, Florida Atlantic making such a big splash this year. I'm taking the points with the Owls here on Saturday. |
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03-22-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. Charlotte -5.5 | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
CBI Championship Game here early on Wednesday has Eastern Kentucky taking on NC Charlotte. Strange even for Eastern KY is that they are playing their 4th game in four nights. But that's not enough, they have played overtime in all three of their CBI games and double OT in last night's win over Southern Utah, 108-106. Wow, that's crazy. And then here they don't even play later in the evening, they play at 2pm PT, 5 pm ET. Charlotte has cruised through their CBI games, beating Western Carolina by nine points, Wisconsin Milwaukee by 11-points and then last night over Radford, 63-56, covering all three. In fact, Charlotte is 8-1-1 ATS over their last 10 games. I have to take Charlotte here tonight as I can't see Eastern having much left in the tank. Play Charlotte. |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke | Top | 51-74 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
Oral Roberts won the Summit League Tournament with a resounding win over North Dakota State, 92-58, as a 10.5-point favorite. ORU finished the season on a great run, winning 17 straight games. They were 7-9-1 ATS the last 17. Tonight, they are a dog to Duke, so don't need to worry about covering any favorite line. Duke won the ACC tournament with a win over Virginia, 59-49. The Blue Devils finished on a 9 game winning streak and covered five of their last six games. Duke laying about six-points tonight. Both my numbers have this game much less, one number closer to Duke -2 points. Oral Roberts is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Duke is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games. I'll take the points here tonight with Oral Roberts. |
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03-15-23 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
NIT first round action here on Wednesday has Virginia Tech playing at Cincinnati. Virginia Tech made an early exit in their ACC conference tournament, losing to North Carolina State 77-97 as a 3- point dog. That made the Hokies 3-3 over their last six games and 2-4 ATS. They are just 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. Cincinnati lost it's 2nd round conference tourney game to Houston, 48-69, as a 10-point dog. That made them 4-2 S/U and ATS their final six games. The Bearcats are 11-0 ATS their last 11 games following a spread loss. They are also 19-8 ATS their last 27 games overall and 16-5 ATS their last 21 home games. This is a home game for Cincinnati and look for them to win this one going away. Play Cincinnati. |
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03-11-23 | Utah State -2 v. Boise State | Top | 72-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
Very late action here on Friday that looks to even carry over on Saturday in the Mountain West Conference Tourney as Utah State takes on Boise State. The Utah State Aggies opened tourney play last night with a convincing win over New Mexico, 91-76, as a 3-point favorite. That makes the Aggies 6-0 S/U and ATS their last six games. That included a win over this Boise State team last Saturday, 86-73, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Aggies have also done well on a neutral court, going 6-1 ATS their last seven tries. Boise State had to go to Overtime last night to take care of UNLV, 87-76, as a 4-point favorite. The Broncos extra play could make them a bit tired as they come back vs a very good Utah State team tonight. Boise is just 2-2 S/U their last four games. They are also 2-7-1 ATS their last 10 games. I like Utah State again here tonight. |
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03-09-23 | DePaul v. Xavier -12 | Top | 84-89 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
Big East Conference action here on Thursday has Depaul taking on Xavier in this Quarterfinal matchup from New York. Depaul pulled the upset in their opening tourney game last night with their win over Seton Hall, 66-65 as a 5.5-point dog. That win actually snapped a 12-game losing streak by Depaul. They are also 3-10 ATS their last 13 games. In addition, the Blue Demons are just 8-24 ATS in their last 32 games on a neutral site. While Depaul has to play in a back-to-back spot here tonight, Xavier has had four days of rest to prepare for the tourney. The Musketeers finished the regular season with a 3-game winning streak. They are also 4-2 ATS their last six games. Xavier played Depaul back on Feb 18th and won 82-68, covering the 13.5-point favorite line. Don't see Xavier having much trouble tonight either in what should be another blowout win. Play Xavier. |
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03-07-23 | St. Peter's v. Fairfield -2.5 | Top | 70-52 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Metro Atlantic Conference First round action here today from Atlantic City, NJ. St Peters finished the regular season with a win over Siena, 73-72 in OT as a 4.5 point home dog. They were 2-4 S/U and ATS their last six games. The Peacocks are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. Fairfield ended the regular season with a win over Quinnipiac, 92-82, as a 2.5-point dog. That made them 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS in their last six games. Fairfield has done well on the road of late, covering six of their last nine away games. The Stags are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games. I'll take the Stags here tonight. Play Fairfield. |
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03-06-23 | NC-Wilmington v. Hofstra -7.5 | Top | 79-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Colonial Tournament Semifinals have North Carolina Wilmington taking on Hofstra at Washington, DC. Wilmington opened this tourney on Sunday with a win over Drexel, 73-68, as a 2-point favorite. That cover was just their first in the last five games and 4th in their last 14 games. Hofstra had little issues with William & Mary on Sunday, winning 94-46 as a 14.5-point favorite. That was the teams 2nd cover in a row and they are now 11-1 AT in their last 12 games. They have also won 12 games in a row S/u. Hofstra has been a red-hot team and it has carried over to the tourney too. I'll take Hofstra here today. |
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03-02-23 | UC-Santa Barbara v. UC-Davis +2.5 | Top | 89-86 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
Reason: UC Davis, UC Riverside and UC Santa Barbara are in a 3-way tie at 13-5 for the Big West Conference lead. UC Davis is 6th right now with a 10-7 record. The Santa Barbara Gauchos are 22-7 overall and have won two straight games. They are coming off a win at Cal San Diego, 87-71, as a 5.5-point favorite. Still, that makes them just 2-3 both S/U and ATS the last five games. The Cal Davis Aggies are 17-12 overall and have won two straight games including last time out at Cal Poly, 58-52, as a 6-point favorite. Santa Barbara averages just 68.1 ppg on the road while UC Davis averages 78.2 ppg at home. The home team is 5-2 ATS the last seven in this series. I'll take the home dog here tonight. Play UC Davis. |
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02-28-23 | Texas Tech +9.5 v. Kansas | Top | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Big 12 Action here as we enter the closing days of the regular season. Kansas is 12-4 in conference and in 1st place, one game ahead of Texas and 1.5-games ahead of Baylor. Texas Tech next to last in the conference with a 5-11 record. Texas Tech is 16-13 overall and saw its four game win streak snapped in the last game against TCU, 82-83, as a 2-point favorite. Kansas is 24-5 overall and has won six straight games, covering five of those. Their last loss was on Feb 4 at Iowa State, 53-68, as a 1.5-point favorite. While the Jayhawks are 14-1 S/U at home, they are just 6-9 vs the spread. These teams met way back on Jan 3 in Texas Tech with Kansas winning 75-72, as a 1.5-point favorite. I'll take the points here tonight with the road team. Play Texas Tech. |
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02-26-23 | Wichita State +6.5 v. Tulane | Top | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
American Athletic Conference clash here on Sunday has 6th place Wichita State (7-8) taking on 3rd place Tulane (10-4). Wichita State looks to stay above the .500 mark today as they play at Tulane. The Shockers are 14-13 overall on the season and had their two game win streak snapped last game by Memphis, 78-83, as a 3-point dog. Wichita State has been a great road team, going 6-3 S/U and 7-0-2 vs the spread. They have outscored their hosts 68.9 to 66.1 this year on the road too. Tulane is 17-8 overall and had their five game win streak snapped last game at Houston, 58-89 as a 15-point dog. Tulane could shoot just 38% in that loss while allowing Houston to shoot 47%. The dog has done well in this series, covering four of the last five. So has the road team, covering four of the last five. I'll take the road dog here today. Play Wichita State. |
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02-25-23 | TCU v. Texas Tech -1.5 | Top | 83-82 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 6 m | Show |
Big 12 action here early on Saturday. TCU is in 6th place with a 7-8 record and overall 18-10 mark. Texas Tech is 9th in the Big 12 with a 5-10 record and 16-12 overall mark. TCU has struggled of late, going 1-5 S/U and ATS their last six games. They are coming off a loss at home to Kansas, 58-63, as a 3-point favorite. Texas Tech looks to extend its winning streak to five games here today. They have also covered five straight games. That includes last time out at Oklahoma, 74-63, as a 2.5-point dog. The Red Raiders are 7-1-1 ATS their last nine games following a straight-up win. The home team is also 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these teams. I'll take Texas Tech here today. |
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02-21-23 | Texas Tech +3 v. Oklahoma | Top | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Big 12 action here tonight has Texas Tech taking on Oklahoma. Tech is 9th in the conference with a 4-10 record and 15-12 overall mark. Oklahoma is right behind them with a 3-11 conference mark and 13-14 overall record. Texas Tech Red Raiders have won three straight games including last time over West Virginia, 78-72, as a 6-point dog. They have also covered four straight and six of their last seven games. Oklahoma can climb back to the .500 mark with a win tonight. They have won just twice in their last 10 games. They are also 4-7 ATS in their last 11 games. The dog has covered seven of the last eight meetings between these teams. I'll take the dog tonight. Play Texas Tech. |
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02-20-23 | UC San Diego +9.5 v. UC-Davis | Top | 66-76 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Big West action here on Monday has UC Davis hosting UC San Diego. Davis is 8-7 in conference play and that's good for 7th place. San Diego is 4-11 in conference and that is good for 9th place. San Diego is 9-18 overall and snapped a five game losing streak with their last game win over Cal Northridge, 75-62, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Tritons have done well on the road, going 5-8 S/U and 9-4 vs the spread. They have also covered their last four road games. Meanwhile, Davis is 15-12 overall and coming off a loss at UC Irvine, 76-78, as a 7-point dog. That makes them 1-3 S/U and ATS in their last four games. In addition, the Aggies have covered just three of their nine home games this year. They are also 2-7 ATS their last nine following a straight-up loss. I'm going to take the points here tonight with the visitor. Play UC San Diego. |
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02-19-23 | East Carolina +7 v. SMU | Top | 70-86 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
American Athletic Association play here on Sunday has East Carolina taking on SMU. ECU 4-8 in conference and in 8th place. SMU is 4-10 in conference and tied for 9th place with South Florida. ECU is 13-12 overall on the season and has two straight wins. The Pirates beat SMU and then last game over Cincinnati, winning 75-71, as a 9.5-point dog. The Pirates are now 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games vs a home team with a losing record. SMU is 9-18 overall and has lost its last two games. They are 1-4 S/U their last five games and 3-2 ATS. The Mustangs are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games vs a team with a winning record. East Carolina getting around 6.5-points. I have them getting much less than that. I'll take the points with ECU. |
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02-18-23 | Duke v. Syracuse +1.5 | Top | 77-55 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
ACC Action here on Saturday has Duke taking on Syracuse. The ACC is one of the toughest conferences in basketball with six teams having at least 18 wins. One of those teams is Duke, which is 9-6 in conference play, good for 6th place overall. Syracuse is tied with Duke at 9-6 in the conference. The Blue Devils are 18-8 overall and snapped a two game losing streak last game with a win over Notre Dame, 68-64. However, they have failed to cover their last three games. In addition, the Blue Devils are just 2-10 ATS their last 12 games overall and 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs a team with a winning home record. A win today could bolster the Orange resume for the postseason. At 16-10 they need wins down the stretch. The Orange have won and covered their last three games including last game vs NC State, 75-72, as a 2-point favorite. Syracuse getting 1 or 1 1/2 points here today. I'll take the Oranges as they look for a big win. |
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02-16-23 | Wichita State +5 v. Temple | Top | 79-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
American Athletic conference clash today has Wichita State taking on Temple. Temple is fourth in the conference with a 8-5 record and 14-12 overall mark. Wichita State comes in at 7th with a 6-7 record and 13-12 overall mark. Wichita State Shockers are coming off a win over SMU, 91-89, as a 6.5-point favorite. They are 6-4 S/U and 5-4-1 ATS their last 10 games. The Shockers have been very good to bettors on the road, going 6-0-2 ATS their last eight games and getting outscored by just 1.3 ppg. Temple looks to snap a three-game losing streak here tonight at home. The Owls are coming off a loss to Memphis, 77-86, as a 8.5-point dog. They have also failed to cover any of their last three games. The dog has covered the last seven games in this series and the road teams is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings. I'll be on the road dog here today. Take Wichita State. |
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02-14-23 | Nebraska v. Rutgers -12.5 | Top | 82-72 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
Rutgers along with Maryland and Iowa all tied in the Big 10 for fifth place with 8-6 records. The Scarlet Knights are 16-9 overall. Nebraska, they 12th in the conference with a 5-10 record and overall 12-14 mark. The Huskers have won two of their last three games including last time out vs Wisconsin, 73-63, as a 3-point dog. While they have covered two of the last three, they are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 overall games. In addition, the Huskers are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games. Rutgers returns home after two tough road games which saw them lose at Indiana, 60-66, and last game at Illinois, 60-69, failing to cover both. Home has been good to the Knights though, as they are 13-2 S/U and 12-3 vs the spread. I look for Rutgers to take out some of that road frustration here against Nebraska tonight. Take Rutgers. |
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02-10-23 | Akron v. Ohio +1.5 | Top | 81-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
MAC action here on Friday has Akron taking on Ohio. Akron is tied with Kent and Toledo in the MAC at 9-2 in conference play and Akron is 17-7 overall. Ohio is 7th in the MAC with a 5-6 record and 13-11 overall mark. The Zips had their eight game win streak snapped last time with a loss at home to Toledo, 74-84, as a 2-point favorite. They are 4-3 S/U and 3-4 ATS on the road this season. In addition, the Zips are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games. The Ohio Bobcats are looking to extend their win streak to three games here tonight. They have recent wins over Miami-Ohio and las game over Northern Illinois, 82-76, as a 5-point favorite. Ohio is now 10-1 S/U and 6-3-1 ATS at home this season. Ohio is a small home dog and the dog is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between these teams. I'll take Ohio here tonight. |
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02-08-23 | Creighton v. Seton Hall +4.5 | Top | 75-62 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
The Big East is filled with quality teams and two of those go head to head tonight. This game could make the difference between a NCAA bid and a NIT or lower conference big. Creighton is tied for fourth in the conference with a 9-3 record. Right behind them is Seton Hall with a 8-5 record. Creighton has won six straight games after their win over Villanova, 66-61, as a 10-point favorite. They are just 3-5 ATS their last eight games. The Bluejays have faltered on the road though, going 2-4 S/U and ATS in their six away games. Seton Hall has won three straight games and seven of their last eight. They are also 5-2-1 ATS their last eight games. These teams met back on Jan 3rd at Creighton with the Bluejays taking that game 61-83, as a 8.5-point favorite. This has been a home series with the host covering 10 of the last 14 games. Seton Hall getting points at home here tonight. I'll take those points. Play Seton Hall. |
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02-07-23 | Rutgers +4.5 v. Indiana | Top | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
Big 10 action here on Tuesday has Rutgers taking on Indiana. Indiana is third in the Big 10 with a 7-5 conference record and 16-7 overall mark. Rutgers is 2nd in the Big 10 with a 8-4 record and 16-7 overall record. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights have won two straight games since their loss to Iowa on Jan 28th. They are coming off a win over Michigan State, 61-55, as a 5-point favorite. They have also covered three of the last four and 10 of the last 13 games. Indiana rebounded from their last on Jan 31 to Maryland with a win over top ranked Purdue, 79-74 last game. That huge win could be an issue here today if the Hoosiers find themselves in a bit of a letdown spot following that win over the top ranked team in the nation. I'm going to take the points here today. Rutgers is good enough to pull out the straight-up win and I'm not convinced that win over Purdue won't have a lasting effect on Indiana here. Take Rutgers. |
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02-04-23 | Alabama -11 v. LSU | Top | 79-69 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
SEC action today has to the conference leader Alabama (9-0) taking on LSU (1-8). Alabama has a strong hold on the conference right now with no losses and and overall record of 19-3. The take on a struggling LSU team that has won just one of their nine ACC contests. The Crimson Tide is coming off a win over Vandy, 101-44, as a 15-point favorite. They hit a whooping 59% from the field and 46.3% from the 3-point stripe. That make them 10-1 S/U and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games. The LSU Tigers have been in free fall, losing nine straight games and failing to cover their last eight games. They are coming off a loss at Missouri, 77-87, as a 9-point dog. home hasn't been very kind either, toing 2-11 ATS in their 13 home games. Big number, but I'll lay it with the Tide on Saturday. Play Alabama. |
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01-25-23 | Xavier +6.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
Xavier looks to keep hold of their top spot in the Big East Conference. Xavier is 16-4 overall on the season and 8-1 in conference. Meanwhile, Connecticut is 16-5 overall and 5-5 in conference and in 5th place. Xavier rebounded from a loss on last Wednesday to Depaul, 72-73 as a 8-point road favorite with a home win over Georgetown, 95-82, but failed to cover the 17-point line. Still, they are 5-2 ATS their last seven games and have lost straight up just one time in their last 13 games. They have also been good on the road, going 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS their five away games, outscoring the home teams by an average of 85.2 to 79.6 points. Xavier has also been a very good over team with a 15-5 O/U record on the season. That makes them 19-7-1 O/U their last 27 overall games. In addition, they are 5-2 O/U their last seven road games. The U Conn Huskies came into conference play with a 11-0 record. However, the Big East hasn't been kind as they have gone 5-5 since. In fact, they are just 2-5 S/U their last seven games and 2-7 ATS their last nine games. They have been a decent over team too, going 3-1 O/U their last four and 6-3 O/U their last nine. They have also gone 36-17 O/U in their last 53 overall home games. I like Xavier here as they look to be the team to beat in the Big East this year. Play Xavier. |
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01-24-23 | Oklahoma +5.5 v. TCU | Top | 52-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Big 12 is a very competitive conference, as usual. Kansas State leads the conference right now. Oklahoma is 2-5 in conference and sits 8th right now. They are also 11-8 overall on the season and 10-9 vs the spread. The Sooners have lost two straight games, coming off a setback to Baylor, 60-62, but just covering the 2.5-point dog line. The Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 7-3 ATS overall their last 10 road games. TCU is 15-4 overall and 4-3 in conference. The Horned Frogs are 6th in conference. They are coming off a big road win at Kansas, 83-60, as a 7-point dog. That makes them 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS their last five games. They are 12-7 ATS overall on the season. The dog has covered eight of the last 10 in this series and that's what I'm sticking with here today. Take Oklahoma. |
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01-17-23 | Texas v. Iowa State -2.5 | Top | 67-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
Great matchup here tonight between a pair of ranked teams as 7th ranked Texas travels to Iowa State to take on the 12th ranked Cyclones. Texas is 15-2 S/U and 6-11 ATS on the season. The Longhorns have won three straight games after only their second loss of the season to Kansas State back on Jan 3, 103-116, as a 8.5-point favorite. While Texas has a great S/U record they have struggled vs the spread covering just one of their last six games and three of their last 12 games. Iowa State is 13-3 S/U and 11-5 ATS on the season. The 12th ranked Cyclones lost just their third game of the season at Kansas last game, 60-62, as a 7.5-point dog. They have covered five straight games and four of their last five home games. The home team has covered five of the last seven in this series and I will be on that home team here tonight. Play Iowa State. |
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01-10-23 | Dayton v. Fordham +7.5 | Top | 82-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Atlantic 10 matchup here has the 11-5 Dayton Flyers taking on the surprising 13-3 Fordham Rams tonight. Dayton is 3-0 in conference play after their win over St Joseph's, 75-56, as a 14-point favorite. They have also covered six straight games since their crushing loss at Virginia Tech on Dec 7, 49-77, as a 6.5-point dog. Meanwhile, Fordham is coming off a win over St Joe's, 66-54, as a 4-point favorite. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Rams which included losses to Rhode Island and Davidson. Dayton shoots pretty poorly on the raod at just 36.4% and average just 56.7 ppg. Difficult to cover mid-size spread when you don't shoot well or score well on the road. I'll take the points here at home with Fordham. |
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01-05-23 | Bryant +3.5 v. Vermont | Top | 64-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Extra board action today has the Bryant Bulldogs looking to improve to 11 wins tonight. The Dogs are 10-4 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games and four of their last five including last time out over Binghamton, 82-78 as a 13-point favorite. The Bulldogs return just one starter to a team that was 22-10 last season and 16-2 in the Northeast division. The won the Northeast and then lost in the opening round of the NCAA tournament. The Vermont Catamounts are 7-8 and looking to get back to the .500 mark tonight. The Catamounts are 7-7 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over MD Balt County, 74-61, as a 2-point favorite. They are also 5-1 S/U and 4-1 ATS their last six games. Vermont also returned just one starter to a team that was 28-6 last season and finished first in the America East Conference. Like Bryant, they lost in the NCAA first round. Vermont is 3-13 ATS their last 16 games as at home vs a team with a winning road record. My own numbers had this closer to pick or even Bryant a small favorite. But I will gladly take the 3-points or thereabout that the oddsmaker is giving me. Take Bryant. |
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01-04-23 | Auburn v. Georgia +7.5 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Two SEC powerhouses meet tonight as 11-2 Auburn takes on 10-3 Georgia. The Auburn Tigers are 11-2 S/U and 5-8 ATS on the season. They have played just two away games and are 1-1 S/U and ATS, but getting outscored by 10 points on the road. They have won two straight games, including last time out vs Florida, 61-58, as a 5.5-point favorite. Georgia looks to extend their win streak to four games here this evening. The Bulldogs are coming off a win over Rider, 79-72, as a 10-point favorite. The Dogs have also been perfect at home, going 8-0 S/U, but covering just three of those games. They have yet to be a home dog and here tonight they will be getting around 7 points. I'll take that with a team that hasn't lost on their home court yet. Take Georgia. |
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01-03-23 | Marquette v. St. John's +2.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
A pair of teams with identical 11-4 records meet here today as St Johns hosts Marquette. The Marquette Golden Eagles returned two starters to a team that was 19-13 last year overall and 11-8 in the Big East. The Eagles made the NCAA tournament last year but lost in the first round. They have started well with those 11 wins this year and are also 9-5-1 ATS. They have won two straight games both S/U and ATS and four of the last five games. They are coming off a win at Villanova, 68-66 as a 2.5-point dog. They have played four road games and are just 2-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS away from home. They have also been outscored by 1.8 ppg on the road. Yet, here they are a favorite at another 11-win team. St Johns returned three starters to a team that was 17-15 overall last year and 8-11 in the Big East. The Red Storm looks to break a three game losing streak here today. They have also lost three streak vs the spread. They are coming off a road loss to Seton Hall, 66-88, as a 3-point dog. They have been good at home, going 8-1 S/U but only 3-6 vs the spread and outscoring visitors by a 82.6 to 67.1 margin. Don't really care about the spread record at home since the Storm as a dog here today. I'll take them to just win the game tonight. Play St Johns. |
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12-21-22 | St. John's +5.5 v. Villanova | Top | 63-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
The St John's Red Storm having an excellent season as they are off to a 11-1 S/U mark and 6-6 spread record. The Red Storm only loss coming at Iowa State on Dec 4, 60-71, as a 6-point dog. St John's is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Red Storm returned three starters to a team that went 17-15 last year and 8-11 in the Big East. This team has a bitter taste after last season where they lost six of their final seven games, missed out on the NCAA and didn't even get a NIT invitation. Villanova was a preseason top 25 team, but has not lived up to their expectations. The Wildcats return three starters to a team that was 30-8 last year and lost in the NCAA Final Four. They have struggled to a 6-5 S/U and 3-8 ATS mark so far this season. They have won four straight games, but covered just two of those including last game at St Joe's, 71-64, as a 13-point favorite. Villanova laying around five-points here today. I'm taking the points with a very good St John's team that has something to prove and is doing just that. Take St John's. |
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12-20-22 | Air Force +3 v. Northern Colorado | Top | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
The Air Force Falcons are 8-4 S/U and ATS on the Season. The Falcons started the season 1-3 both S/U and ATS and since have gone on a 7-1 streak both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a win over Tarleton State, 81-67, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Falcons also outscoring their opponents 70.3 to 61.2. The Falcons returned three starters to a team that was 11-18 last year and just 4-13 in the Mountain West. Air Force utilizes the Princeton offense which has been likened to facing a knuckleball pitcher or the Triple option in football. It seems to be working for Air Force this season. The Northern Colorado Bears return just two starters to a team that was 22-16 last year and 13-7 in the Big Sky. The went to the CBI tournament and lost in the semifinals. The strength of this team is their backcourt, considered the best in the Big Sky conference and again will be relied on heavily this season. Thus far its been a tough season for the Bears who are 5-6 S/U and 5-4 ATS. They are coming off a loss to Colorado, 77-88 as a 15.5-point dog, covering their third in a row and fifth of the last six. One loss that stands out big this year was a loss at home to Colorado Christian College, 69-70, with no spread. They have improved since that loss, but it will be a tough task here today against a very good Air Force team. I'll take the points in this matchup. Play Air Force. |
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12-13-22 | Memphis +8 v. Alabama | Top | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
The Memphis Tigers returned two starters to a team this year that went 22-11 overall and 13-5 in the AAC last year. The Tigers thought they were underated last year and maybe they were. So this season they have come out of the gate with a 8-2 S/U and 6-4 ATS marks. The Tigers have won six straight games and covered four of those. They are coming off a home win over Auburn, 82-73, as a 1-point dog. Alabama also off to a good start at 8-1 on the season with a 6-3 spread record. The Crimson Tide only loss coming against U Conn, 67-82, as a 2-point favoirte. They are coming off a win over highly ranked Houston, 71-65, as a 8.5-point dog. That is their biggest win of the season though they could be in for a letdown here today after that upset. The Tide returned three starters to a team that was 19-14 last year and lost in the first round of the NCAA tournament. Memphis is 13-4 ATS their last 17 vs a team with a win percentage greater than 60%. They are also 18-7 ATS their last 25 games overall. Alabama is only 5-15-1 ATS their last 21 games at home. I'll take the Tigers here tonight plus the points. |
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11-29-22 | Wake Forest +6.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
ACC vs Big 10 action here tonight has Wake Forest traveling to Wisconsin to take on the Badgers. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 6-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. Their lone loss coming at home to Loyola Marymount, 75-77, as a 6-point favorite. The Deacons have been installed as the favorite in all seven of their games this season. The last two 20+ favorites as they covered both. The will be the first big test and first real road game for Wake here tonight. Wake averages 81.7 ppg and allows 68.4 ppg. Wisconsin is 5-1 both S/U and ATS with their lone loss coming to No 3 Kansas in OT, 68-69, as a 7-point dog. The Badgers don't score a lot, with just 68 their highest output in their last five games. They average just 62.7 ppg but allows just 54 ppg. Should be interesting to see if the high scoring Deacons can dent the very good defense of Wisconsin. However, the 6-points or thereabout that the Badgers have to lay look to a be a bit high. I'll take Wake here tonight as a road dog. |
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11-26-22 | East Carolina +4.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 50-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
The East Carolina Pirates out of the gate with a good 5-1 S/U and ATS start. The Pirate are coming off a win over Texas Arlington, 79-65, as a 6-point favorite. Their most impressive win was a 86-75 win over Toledo as a 12-point underdog. The Old Dominion Monarchs are 3-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss to Davidson, 61-66, as a 3.5-point dog. The Pirates offense is hitting well, averaging 79.3 ppg this season. East Carolina is led by Javon Small who averages over 20 ppg on the season. I like the scoring ability of East Carolina, especially as a dog here today. Take East Carolina. |
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11-22-22 | Creighton -1 v. Arkansas | Top | 90-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Maui Invitational Second Round action here tonight has Creighton taking on Arkansas. Both teams are undefeated with Creighton at 5-0 and Arkansas at 4-0 on the season. Creighton won their opener in this tourney last night with a 76-65 win over Texas Tech as a 3-point favorite. They hit 55.1% from the field in the win. In fact, their last four wins the team has hit at least 51.4% from the field. They also hit 45% from 3-point line last night, their high on the season. The BlueJays are 3-2 vs the spread thus far. Creighton is now 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games dating back to last year. Moreover, they are 7-0 ATS in their last seven on a neutral court. Arkansas improved to 4-0 with their win over Louisville last night, 80-54 as a 14.5-point favorite. The Razorbacks had a season high 56.9% from the field. The Hogs are 2-1-1 ATS on the season. Great matchup here tonight, but I'm really impressed with the overall shooting of this BlueJays team overall on the season. I'll take Creighton here tonight. |