Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-02-22 | Utah v. USC -2.5 | Top | 47-24 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
Lots on the line for this PAC-12 Championship game from Allegiant field in Las Vegas. The USC Trojans have their eye set on a playoff bid and they need to get by last year's PAC-12 Champion Utah Utes here tonight. Also, USC QB Caleb Williams has a great shot at the Heisman Trophy award and another great performance here tonight could really help that cause too. This is a rematch of the game from October 15th when the Utes came from behind at home to beat USC, 42-43 as a 3-point dog. The USC offense is ranked 5th overall in the country and they have a 80% red zone efficiency mark with 51 Touchdowns in 67 redzone trips, tops in the nation. Utah isn't too far back, ranked 20th in offense and a rezone efficiency of 76.6%. On the defensive side of the ball Utah much better with the 17th ranked unit compared to the Trojans' 90th ranked defense. USC hasn't won a PAC-12 Championship since 2017, but I think this is the year. The price is right on this game as USC lays 2 1/2 points. Take the Trojans here today. |
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11-26-22 | Kansas v. Kansas State -11.5 | 27-47 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
A nice rivalry game here as Kansas State hosts Kansas on Saturday. The Kansas Jayhawks started the season 4-0, but since then have lost five of six games. The Jayhawks are 6-5 and could fall to .500 to finish the season. The Jayhawks are coming off a loss at home to Texas last week, 14-55, as a 9-point dog. In fact, you have to go back week four for the last time the Hawks were installed as a favorite in a game. Kansas has a good offense, ranked 35th overall in the nation. However, it's the defense that has been bad this year, ranked 119th. Kansas hasn't beaten Kansas State in this rivalry in over 10 years. Kansas State is second in the division at 6-2 and looks to need a win here to play TCU for the Big 12 Championship. The Wildcats have won two straight games including last week at West Virginia, 40-31, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Cats are also 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games and 5-2 ATS their last seven at home. They are also 10-3 ATS their last 13 meetings with Kansas. The Favorite is 9-3 ATS the last 12 meetings. I look for a Kansas State win here on Saturday. |
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11-26-22 | Kent State v. Buffalo -4 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
This is a MAC makeup game after last week's game was cancelled in Buffalo due to the snow storms. Kent State will finish their season here on Saturday as they are just 4-7 and won't be going to a bowl. Buffalo is 5-5 and needs a win to get bowl eligible. Have to wonder what motivation Kent State has here today with nothing on the line. Kent State should have been done last week, but Mother Nature made them go this week instead. The Golden Flashes have not been good on the road, going 5-11 ATS their last 16 games. They are also 1-6 ATS their last seven overall games and 1-7 ATS in their last eight conference games. Buffalo put in this must win situation because they have lost two straight games to Ohio and Central Michigan. This is senior day at Buffalo who sport the 48th ranked offense and 57th best defense. This game is all about motivation, Buffalo has it all today and Kent State just looking to go home and begin their vacation. Take Buffalo. |
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11-25-22 | Arkansas v. Missouri +3.5 | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
SEC Action here today between 2-5,5-6 Missouri and Arkansas (3-4, 6-5). Missouri can get to that six win mark and make themselves Bowl eligible here today. A loss and they go home. Arkansas snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a win over Ole Miss, 42-27, as a 2.5-point dog. The Hogs offense ranks 19th in the nation, the defense though ranks at 117th. The Missouri Tigers are coming off a win over New Mexico State, 45-14. The Tigers have covered four of the last five against Arkansas in Missouri. In addition, the home team has covered nine of the last 10 times in this series. I'll take Missouri here today as the game means little to Arkansas. |
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11-25-22 | Arizona State v. Arizona -4 | 35-38 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Rivalry game here today between Arizona State and Arizona. Arizona State playing its last game of the season today as they sit at 2-6 in conference and just 3-8 overall. Same goes for Arizona who is one spot higher at 2-6 in conference and 4-7 overall. So this is both these teams respective Bowl game and the excitement will be just as high when these two schools clash. Arizona State has lost three straight games after last week's loss at home to Oregon State, 7-31. ASU had just 276 total yards to Oregon State's 443. The offense ranks 79th in the country. Arizona had a huge upset win two weeks ago as they beat UCLA on the road, 34-28 as a 19.5-point dog. Then came back last week and lost at home to Washington State, 20-31 as a 4-point dog. The offense ranks 20th in the country. Arizona State is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games. The home team has covered seven of the last nine meetings. I'll stick with the home team here today. Play Arizona U. |
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11-24-22 | Mississippi State +2.5 v. Ole Miss | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
20th ranked Ole Miss will host their rivals here on Thanksgiving evening, the Bulldogs of Mississippi State. Ole Miss is 4-3 in the SEC West and 8-3 overall and headed to bowl after this game. They won't play for the SEC title as that will fall to either LSU or Alabama. The Bulldogs are 3-4 in the West and 7-4 overall and also headed to a bowl game. Ole Miss has lost two straight games to Alabama and then last week to Arkansas, 27-42, as a 2.5-point favorite. Meanwhile, Miss State had a softball thrown their way in that of East Tennessee State, which they had little trouble with in a 56-7 win. That rebounded them from their 19-45 loss to Georgia the week before. Ole Miss is jut 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five conference games. The road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven in this series. I'm going to take the small points with the Bulldogs here today. Play Mississippi State. |
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11-22-22 | Bowling Green +7.5 v. Ohio | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Mid-week MAC action tonight has Bowling Green taking on Ohio in their final regular season games. The Ohio Bobcats are 1st in the East Division and can clinch with a win tonight that sends them to Detroit for the MAC title game. However, a loss by Ohio tonight and we'll have to wait for Saturday's game between Kent State and Buffalo. Bowling Green has seen great improvement this year. This is a team that was 7-22 the last three years and now they are already bowl eligible with six wins. A win tonight and they pull into a tie with the Bobcats for place in the East. They have won four of their last five games and are 3-0 in the MAC on the road this year. Ohio is led by QB Kuris Rourke and he's questionable tonight with a knee injury. If Rourke doesn't go, then that is bad news for the Cats. With his status in question I'll have to take the points with the Falcons who are a very good team. Play Bowling Green. |
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11-22-22 | Ball State +3 v. Miami-OH | 17-18 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Ball State closing out their regular season here tonight at Miami Ohio. This is a huge game for the Cardinals since a win and they remain Bowl eligible. Ball State is 5-6 overall and needs this week to get to six wins. Ball State lost at home last week to Ohio, which hurt their chances for the bowl season. Also looking to get bowl eligible is Miami Ohio, which is also 5-6 on the season. They need a win here tonight also after setting up this game with last week's win over Northern Illinois, 29-23 on the road. Both teams in must win as the winner is bowl eligible and the loser is done for the season. I'm taking the small points in this contest tonight with Ball State and looking for the Cardinals to win outright. |
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11-19-22 | UNLV v. Hawaii +11.5 | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
Late and last game on the board here on Saturday has a Mountain West clash with UNLV playing at Hawaii. UNLV started the season 3-0 and since has gone 1-6. They need to win out their last two games tonight at Hawaii and then at home vs Nevada to be 6-6 on the season and maybe a shot at a bowl game. Hawaii coming off a loss last week at home to Utah State, 34-41, covering the 11.5-point dog line. The Rainbow Warriors have covered five of their last six games, though they are just 3-8 S/U mark. The Warriors will close out their season next week at San Jose State. The Rebels have done well covering spreads, going 10-4 ATS their last 14 games and 4-1 ATS their last five on the road. The problem I have here is that UNLV laying 11-points. They are not the type of team to cover big spreads as a favorite and Hawaii has done well vs the number, especially at home. I'll take a shot here with Hawaii plus the double digit points. |
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11-19-22 | USC v. UCLA +2.5 | 48-45 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
Huge rivalry game here as No 7 USC travels the short distance across town to take on UCLA at the Rose Bowl. USC is in 1st in the PAC-12 standings with a 7-1 conference record and 9-1 overall mark. No 16 UCLA is 5-2 in PAC-12 play and 8-2 overall. USC enters those final two games of the season that always including UCLA and then Notre Dame, so no easy games for the Trojans. USC's only loss this season coming bac, on Oct 15 as Utah came from behind to nip the Trojans, 43-42. UCLA coming off a loss last week at home against Arizona, 28-34, as a huge 19.5-point favorite. It's obvious that the Bruins looked past Arizona to this game this week. They close out the regular season at Cal next week. UCLA beat USC last year in big fashion, 62-33 as a 5-point road dog. That makes UCLA 3-2 ATS the last five meetings. USC is just 6-14-2 ATS their last 22 road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven road games overall. UCLA is 8-2 ATS their last 10 conference games and 5-2 ATS their last seven overall. UCLA a small home dog here but I look for them to win this game outright before a packed house of rabid fans at the Rose Bowl. Take UCLA. |
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11-19-22 | Iowa +3 v. Minnesota | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
The Big 10 West is wide open for a winner between four teams and two of them meet here today as 4-3 Iowa takes on 4-3 Minnesota. Both teams heading to bowls no matter what happens. Iowa has the third best defense in college football. It's the offense that has had troubles this season as they rank only 129th. Iowa has won three straight since losing to Ohio State, that includes last week over Wisconsin, 24-10, as a 1.5-point dog. Minnesota has won three straight games, including last week over Northwestern, 31-3. After Iowa they close out at Wisconsin the final week. Iowa is 5-0-1 ATS their last six meetings with Minnesota. They are also 4-1 ATS their last five games at Minnesota. I like this defense of Iowa and as a dog here today they should be right in it until the end. Play Iowa. |
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11-19-22 | Western Kentucky +5.5 v. Auburn | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky down to its final two games of the regular season. The Hilltoppers are 6-5 and looking to make it to a bowl with a win in one of the two final games. After Auburn this week they will travel to Florida Atlantic for their final regular season game. Auburn having an off season likely isn't going anywhere this bowl season. The Tigers are just 2-5 in the SEC West and 4-6 overall. They are coming off a narrow win last week at home over Texas A&M, 13-10, as a 2-point home favorite. The Auburn defense ranks only 74th overall this season while Western Ky is 60th. Meanwhile, W.Ky has one of the better offenses in the country, ranked 14th. Western is 7-1 ATS their last eight vs a team with a losing record and 19-7-1 ATS their last 27 road games. Auburn is 2-6 ATS their last eight road games and 0-6 ATS their last six vs a non-conference team. I'm taking Western Kentucky here on Saturday as they still have a bowl berth to play for. |
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11-19-22 | Texas v. Kansas +9.5 | Top | 55-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Big 12 action here on Saturday has Texas (6-4, 4-3) taking on Kansas (6-4, 3-4). TCU has the conference wrapped-up at 7-0, but after that only one game separates the next four teams. Texas coming off a loss at home to TCU last week, 10-17, as a 7-point favorite. The Longhorns finish up at home next week vs Baylor. Kansas lost at Texas Tech last week, 28-43 as a 4-point dog. The Jayhawks will finish up at Kansas State next week. Texas just 4-10 ATS their last 14 games in the Big 12. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven road games. Kansas 5-0-1 ATS their last six home games and 10-2-1 ATS their last 13 overall games. Kansas has also covered the last five vs Texas. The dog is also 5-0 ATS the last five meetings. Kansas getting almost 10 points looks like a gift to me. I'll take Kansas plus the points. |
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11-19-22 | Illinois +17.5 v. Michigan | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Big 10 clash here on Saturday between two of the best defenses in the nation. Illinois is 2nd in the nation in overall defense, right behind No 1 Michigan. Both teams also have excellent redzone efficiency levels of less than 60%. Illinois is 7-3 overall on the season. The Illini are tied for 1st with Purdue, Iow and Minnesota in the Big 10 West, all with 4-3 conference records. Michigan and Ohio State are tied at 7-0 in the Big 10 East and meet next week in the final regular season game to likely determine the winner of the East and trip to the Big 10 Championship. Have to wonder if the Wolverines have their eyes set to next week on Ohio State. Yes, Illinois is very good, but the aren't quite in the league of Michigan. Michigan coming off an easy win last week over Nebraska, 34-3. Illinois is 9-4 ATS their last 13 games and 8-2-1 ATS their last 11 vs a team with a winning record. The Wolverines are good though, going 12-3-1 ATS their last 16 conference games. The Fighting Illini are 5-2 ATS their last seven games against Michigan and the dog is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings. I have to believe that Michigan looking to next week vs the Buckeyes. I'll take the big points here with a very good defensive Illinois team. |
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11-16-22 | Eastern Michigan +7.5 v. Kent State | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
With Toledo losing last night, Eastern Michigan still can't take the AMC West because they still trail the Rockets by two games and lost to them a few weeks ago. Toledo is 5-2 and Eastern is right behind at 3-3. Eastern Michigan finishes with Central Michigan next week. Still, looks like Eastern can make a bowl game as they really only need one win in these last two weeks. Eastern beat Akron last week, 34-28, as a 7-point road favorite. Kent State beat Bowling Green last week, 40-6 and after tonight they finish at Buffalo. The Golden Flashes are in 4th in the MAC East with a 3-3 record and 4-6 overall record. Doesn't look good for the flashes to make a bowl game this year either. Still, not sure how they are a TD favorite here tonight against an equal or better Eastern Michigan team. More on the line for Eastern here tonight so I'll take the points. Play Eastern Michigan. |
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11-15-22 | Bowling Green +17 v. Toledo | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Bowling Green still with a chance to be Bowl eligible at 5-5 overall on the season. They are also 3-6-1 ATS. The Falcons are coming off a loss at home to Kent State, 6-40. The Falcons gave up 201 yards rushing and 214 yards passing. Toledo leads the MAC West with a 7-3 record. The are coming off a win last week over Ball State, 28-21, failing to cover the 13.5 point spread. Bowling Green is just 7-15 ATS their last 22 conference games and 1-3-1 ATS their last five road games. They have also not played well in November, going 2-10 ATS their last 12 in this month. Toledo is 7-3-1 ATS their las 11 vs Bowling Green. I'll take the Rockets here tonight as they look to win the West |
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11-12-22 | Louisville +7 v. Clemson | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
A pair of ACC Atlantic teams meet here on Saturday as Clemson hosts Louisville. Clemson is ranked 10th in the nation and is 6-0 and will win the ACC Atlantic with a date for the Conference Championship game. Louisville is 3-3 and in 5th in the Atlantic. The Cardinals have won four straight games both S/U and ATS, including last week over James Madison, 34-10 as a 7.5-point favorite. They are ranked 44th in offense and 29th in defense. Clemson is 8-1 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. The Tigers Have Miami Fl and South Carolina left after today. Clemson has the 61st ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Tigers coming off that loss last week at Notre Dame, 14-35 to break-up their undefeated season. Clemson is just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games. I'm taking the points here today with Louisville. |
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11-12-22 | Rutgers +10.5 v. Michigan State | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here has Rutgers traveling to Lansing, MI to play the Spartans of Michigan State. Rutgers has lost two straight games, including last week at home to Michigan, 17-52, as a 26-point dog. Rutgers is 4-5 and if they hope to go to a bowl game they have a hill to climb with their remaining games at Michigan State and Maryland and a home game vs Penn State. Meanwhile Michigan State coming off a home win last week over Auburn, 39-33. That snapped a two-game losing skid for the Spartans. Michigan State could be in a look ahead situation here on Saturday. They have no desire to play Rutgers. Instead they have their sights set on next week's showdown at home with Georgia. Rutgers could sneak in under the spread here today if they can catch this Spartans team flatfooted. Take Rutgers |
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11-12-22 | Notre Dame v. Navy +17 | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
We all know that Notre Dame is the far better team here on Saturday then Navy. Notre Dame has won three straight games, including last week's big win over previously undefeated Clemson, 25-14. However, it's that last week game that I believe will be their undoing this week. The Irish won that emotional game and now have to go to Baltimore to face the Middies. Navy is 5-0 ATS in their last five vs a team with a winning record. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall and 22-8 ATS in their last 30 in November. I feel the Irish are in for a big letdown here today. I think they will squeak by but can't cover this big line. Play Navy. |
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11-12-22 | LSU v. Arkansas +4 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The SEC once again the class conference in college football with four teams in the top 10. One of those, the 10th ranked LSU Tigers hope to be in the SEC Championship game as they sit in 1st place in the West division with a 5-1 conference record and 7-2 overall mark. Arkansas is 5th in the West with a 2-3 conference record and 5-4 overall mark. These teams met last year in LSU with the Razorbacks winning the game 16-13. LSU ranked 31st on offense and 42 on defense. Arkansas is 10-4-1 ATS the lst 15 overall meetings between these teams and 5-2 ATS the last seven in Arkansas. I'll take the home team here, play Arkansas. |
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11-11-22 | East Carolina +5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
East Carolina looks for the upset here on Friday night and also to extend their win streak to five games. ECU Pirates are 6-3 overall and 3-2 in the AAC. They had last week off after beating BYU the previous week, 27-24. Cincinnati struggled against Navy last week but came away with the 20-10 win, improving their record to 7-2 overall and 4-1 in conference. The Pirates looking for a good bowl game berth has been competitive all season long, even in their losses. The Bearcats of Cincinnati has the 64th ranked rushing attack with 141 yards per game. I'm looking for the upset here tonight with Cincinnati. |
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11-10-22 | Tulsa +7 v. Memphis | 10-26 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Tulsa not going to any bowls this year as they sit 3-6 overall on the season and near the bottom of the AAC with a 1-4 record. Memphis not much better at 2-4 in conference and 4-5 overall. The Tigers do have a shot at a postseason shot. Memphis looking to snap a two game losing streak including last week's loss at home to Central Florida, 28-35. The Memphis offense is good, ranked 45th overall in the FBS. Tulsa right behind them at 50th in the country. Both teams close on defense too, with Tulsa at 90th and Memphis at 97th. Tulsa also looking to snap a two-game losing streak including last week's home loss to Tulane, 13-27. Tulsa is 35-16 ATS in their last 51 road games and 7-1 ATS in their last eight November games. Memphis is 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games and 0-4 ATS in their last four November games. They are also 3-9 ATS in their last 12 overall games. The Road team has covered seven of the last 10 in this series and the Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Memphis. I'll take the points here tonight with Tulsa. |
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11-09-22 | Buffalo v. Central Michigan -2.5 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Buffalo in the thick of things in the MAC East division as they trail first place Ohio by just one game at 4-1 and are tied with Bowling Green who also plays tonight. The Bulls are comijng off a loss to that first place Ohio team last week, 24-45 as a 3-point favorite.That loss last week was their only loss vs the spread versus seven spread wins. The Bulls have the 77th ranked offense and 88th ranked defense in the country. Central Michigan is fourth in thee MAC West with a 2-3 record an 3-6 overall mark. They are coming off a nice win last week at Northern Illinois, 35-22, as a 4-point dog. Just three games left on the schedule with Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan left to go. The Chippewas have the 50th ranked defense and the 68th ranked offense. Central really likes playing these early week games, going 14-1-1 ATS their last 16 games on Wednesday. They are also 5-1 ATS vs a team with a winning record. Central Michigan is a small favorite here tonight and the favorite has covered the last four in this series. I'll take Central tonight. |
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11-08-22 | Ball State +11.5 v. Toledo | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Ball State and Toledo are 1-2 in the MAC West as they battle it out for the right to go to the MAC Championship. Ball State is one game back of Toledo and a win here tonight by the Cardinals would put them in a tie for the MAC West. Ball State beat Kent State last week, 27-20 as a 7-point road dog. Ball State has the nation's 67th ranked offense and the 87th ranked defense. The Cardinals are now 10-4 ATS their last 14 games on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Toledo is coming off a road win two weeks at Eastern Michigan, 27-24, as a 7.5-point favorite. After Ball State tonight, the Rockets have a home game vs Bowling Green and then close out the regular season vs Western Michigan. The Rockets had last week off and they are 5-17 ATS their last 22 times they are coming off a bye week. Ball State has covered seven of the last eight meetings in Toledo and the road team has covered 11 of the last 14 overall meetings. I'll take Ball State here tonight. |
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11-05-22 | Clemson -3.5 v. Notre Dame | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
No 4 Clemson heads to South Bend to take on the Fighting Irish here on Saturday evening. The Clemson Tigers have been a good road team to bettors, going 20-8 ATS in their last 28 away games. Clemson is coming off a home win over Syracuse, 27-21, but failed to cover the 13-point line. The Tigers are 8-0 S/U and 4-3 ATS on the season. Notre Dame is coming off a win over Syracuse, 41-24, covering the 2.5-point dog line. The Irish are now 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. With Navy, BC and USC left on the schedule, the Irish should only need to two games to head to another bowl game. Clemson has the 47th ranked offense and the 26th ranked defense. Notre Dame has the 78th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Irish are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Might be one of the best games on Saturday and I will be laying the points on the road with the Tigers. Take Clemson. |
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11-05-22 | Texas -2.5 v. Kansas State | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here today has No 24 Texas taking on No 13 Kansas State. The Texas Longhorns are 5-3 S/U and ATS this season. They had last week off to prepare for today's contest. They lost the week before at Oklahoma State, 34-41 as a 3.5-point dog. The Texas offense is very good, ranked 30-th overall with the defense coming in at 62nd. Texas has won and covered the last two seasons in this series, including last year at home, 22-17 as a 2.5-point favorite. Kansas State had a huge shut-out win last week at home over Oklahoma State, 48-0. The Wildcats held Ok State to just 217 total yards and forced three turnovers. K State is now 6-2 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. They finish the season at Baylor and West Virginia before closing out at home vs Kansas. Should be a good matchup here on Saturday, but I'll take the visitors in this one with Texas. |
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11-05-22 | BYU v. Boise State -8 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 33 m | Show |
BYU looked pretty good as the season got underway, starting out at 4-1. However, a week six loss to Notre Dame, 20-28, seemed to start a downhill slide that has seen the Cougars lose four straight games to now be 4-5 and possibly losing a bowl bid. They only have three games left and two are tough road games at Boise today and their final at Stanford. They do have a softball against Dixie State in between. The Cougars rank 64th on offense and 103rd on defense. Meanwhile, Boise State is 6-2 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season. The Broncos have won four straight games and covered those four also. They are coming off a big win over Colorado State, 49-10. The offense ranks 94th while the defense is 2nd in the nation. I don't see this lackluster BYU offense being able to put up much against the Boise State 2nd ranked defense today. BYU hasn't covered any of their last seven games and 0-5 ATS their last five non-conference games. I'll take Boise here today to hand BYU their bowl berth death sentence. Take Boise State. |
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11-05-22 | Michigan State v. Illinois -16 | 23-15 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
Big 10 game here on Saturday has Michigan State taking on the fighting Illini at Illinois. The Spartans are coming off two straight losses in which they were outscored 23-57. The Spartans had been producing big up until these last two games, scoring 39 or more points in five of their six games and going 5-1 S/U and ATS. The Michigan State offense, despite all those points, still ranks just 110th overall and the defense at 107th. They are 1-5 ATS their last six games and 1-4 ATS their last five Big 10 games. They also have not covered any of their last five road games. Now they face the nation's top ranked defense in Illinois. In addition, the Illini have one of the best redzone efficiency ratings at just 42.9% on defense. The defense has allowed just three TD's all season in the redzone. They have also held seven of their eight opponents to 14 points or fewer and five of their eight to nine points or fewer. They are coming off a win at Nebraska, 26-9, as a 7-point favorite. Illinois is 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games. The favorite has covered seven of the last 10 in this matchup and I don't see the Spartans offense getting many points at all here today. Take Illinois. |
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11-05-22 | Tennessee +9.5 v. Georgia | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
We get to see a preview of what could be a playoff matchup here as AP No 2 Tennessee takes on AP No 1 Georgia on Saturday. One of these teams will fall from the undefeated here on Saturday as both sit at 8-0. In the College playoff Rankings Tennessee is No 1 and Georgia No 3. This likely is the last hurdle for Tennessee with Missouri, South Carolina and Vandy remaining on the regular season schedule. Georgia still has to get by a couple of tough road games in Mississippi State and Kentucky. These are the top two offenses in the nation with Tennessee ranked first and Georgia ranked second. Georgia has the better defense, ranked 4th while Tennessee is ranked 82nd. You can really make a case for either team here on Saturday. What sways my decision is that Tennessee gets over a TD here today at around +8 or +8.5 points. That's too much for me to pass on with this top ranked offense. Take Tennessee. |
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11-05-22 | North Carolina -7 v. Virginia | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
The North Carolina Tar Heels once again a force to be reckoned with on offense as they have scored at least 27 points in all eight games this season. They are coming off a home win over Pitt last week, 42-24, covering the 3.5-point line. The Pitt offense ranks 61st overall in the nation with the defense ranked 38th. The Tar Heels are 7-1 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS on the season. Virginia has had offensive struggles of late, not scoring more than 17 points in each of their last four games. During that span they are 0-4 S/U and 1-3 ATS. Overall, the Cavaliers are 2-6 S/U and 2-5-1 ATS overall on the season. The Cavs would have to win out to have a shot at a bowl game and that will be tough with NCS in their path today. The Virginia offense is 92nd in the country with the defense at 30th. Virginia is also 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. The favorite has covered five of the last six in this series and I look for NCU to have little trouble with the Cavaliers today. Play North Carolina. |
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10-29-22 | Kentucky +12.5 v. Tennessee | 6-44 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 49 m | Show | |
Tennessee had a softball tossed to them last week in the manner of Tennessee-Martin and the Vols had little issue in a 65-24 win. That was coming after the biggest win in maybe Tennessee history when they beat Alabama two weeks ago, 52-49. The Vols are now 7-0 S/U and 6-1 ATS on the season. They have also scored at least 34 points in every game this year and rank 1st in the nation in total offense. Kentucky started the season 4-0 before dropping their fifth game at Ole Miss, 19-22 and then dropping the next game vs South Carolina, 14-24. The Wildcats did rebound last week at home over Mississippi State, 27-17, covering the 7-point favorite line. The offense is ranked just 82nd while the defense is very good at 12th. The Wildcats are 20-5-2 ATS in their last 27 games vs a team with a winning record. They are also 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 overall games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games. As good as Tennessee has been, they are just 9-24 ATS their last 33 home games vs a team with a winning road record. The road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven in this series and the dog is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series. Lots of points here on Kentucky. I'll take a shot with the Wildcats and see if their very good defense can get them the cover. Play Kentucky. |
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10-29-22 | Missouri +4 v. South Carolina | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 39 h 43 m | Show | |
Missouri snapped a 3-game losing skid last week at home against Vanderbilt, 17-14, failing to cover the 14.5-point favorite spread. Missouri is 3-4 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. The Tigers looking to get back to bowl eligible with five games left on the schedule. South Carolina has won three straight after last week's win over Texas A&M, 30-24 as a 3.5-point home dog. USC had just 286 totals yards in the win and allowed 398 to Texas A&M. Both teams had two turnovers and the Aggies had 10 more first downs and 15 more plays. The Gamecocks are 4-2 S/U and ATS on the season. South Carolina is ranked 81st in offense and 51st on defense. Missouri is 92 on offense and 21st on defense. Missouri has won and covered the last three years in this matchup, including last year's 31-28 home win. Missouri has covered six of their last eight conference games. South Carolina is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 conference games. Missouri is getting about a field goal here on Saturday. I'll take the points in this matchup. |
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10-29-22 | Illinois -7.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 26-9 | Win | 100 | 53 h 15 m | Show |
Who has the best defensive overall unit in the FBS? If you said Illinois you would be correct. The Illini allow a paltry 221 total yards per game and have an outstanding red zone efficiency rating of just 42.9% on the season. In fact, the Big 10 is the defensive conference this year with four teams in the top six defensive units in the country. Alas, Nebraska is not one of them as the Huskers rank 122nd in the nation. Illinois had last week off to rest up for today's contest. The Illini coming off a 26-14 win over Minnesota, covering the 7-point dog line. They have now allowed 14 points or fewer in all but one game this season and that was their only loss of the year back on Sept 2 at Indiana, 20-23. Nebraska has struggled to a 4-4 record but can still go to a bowl if they can get by the Big 10's best teams in the coming five weeks. The problem is this team's defense that gives up a lot of yards and points. Illinois has won and covered the last two seasons vs Nebraska, including last year's 30-22 win at home as a 6.5-point dog. Illinois is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Nebraska is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. Illinois has covered five of the last seven in this series and I fully expect their defense to shut down Nebraska today and get the cover. |
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10-29-22 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State +1.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 39 m | Show | |
Oklahoma rebounded from their embarrassing 0-49 loss to Texas with a big win two weeks ago over Kansas, 52-42 as a 7-point favorite. The Sooners had last week off as they head into the final five games of the regular season. The offense has been very good, ranked 22nd overall in the FBS. It's the defense that has been bad, ranked 115th in the country in total defense. Iowa State looks to snap a four-game losing streak here today. The Cyclones started the season 3-0, but have fallen on hard time recently. They are coming off a very good game at Texas, losing a close one 21-24 as a 16.5-point road dog. The Cyclones have been pretty good to bettors with a 5-2 ATS record this year. The offense has been struggling, ranked 86th overall. However, it's their defense that has been getting them these spread covers as the unit is ranked 10th in the country. The Sooners are just 0-4-1 ATS in their last five conference games and 2-6 ATS their last eight vs a team with a losing home record. Iowa State normally does very well in October, going 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games this month. Iowa State is also 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings with the Sooners. Iowa State a small home dog here and the dog is 5-2 ATS the last seven in this series. I'm taking Iowa State with their very good defense today. |
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10-22-22 | Utah State +5 v. Wyoming | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
Utah State Aggies are 3-4 after winning their last two games over Air Force and Colorado State. The latter as a 10.5 point favorite, failing to cover the 17-13 S/U win. That also makes them 2-4 ATS on the season. Utah State had 390 yards of offense last week to Colorado State's 262 yards. They had 10 more first downs and a +1 turnover ratio. Wyoming snapped their two game losing streak with a win at New Mexico last week, 27-14 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Cowboys are now 4-3 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. The Cowboys offense is not that good, ranked just 120th in the country with a poor 64.7 Red Zone efficiency mark. Utah State has a 89th ranked offense. The Aggies are 69th in defense with Wyoming coming in at 78th. Utah State has covered six of their last eight games and are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games. Wyoming is 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs a team with a losing record. Your free play is on Utah State. |
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10-22-22 | Kansas State +3.5 v. TCU | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 23 m | Show | |
TCU sits atop of the Big 12 Conference with a 3-0 conference record and 6-0 over record this season. Kansas State is right behind them with a 3-0 conference mark and 5-1 overall mark. Winner of this game takes over sole possession of the Big 12 Conference. A bit surprising that the TCU defense is ranked 89th in the country and the K State defense is 44th. TCU does have the third ranked offense in the country with K State coming in at 64th. The Wild Cats have covered the lst four meetings in this series, including a 31-12 win at K State last week. K State is 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 road games and 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games on grass. TCU has not done well at home, going 14-30-1 ATS their last 45 home games. Should be a very good battle for the top conference spot, I'll take the points with Kansas State. |
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10-22-22 | Texas A&M v. South Carolina +3.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 66 h 54 m | Show | |
East vs West in the SEC here today as Texas A&M of the West takes on the East's South Carolina. A&M is 1-2 in conference play and just 3-3 overall. South Carolina is also 1-2 in conference play and 4-2 overall. Neither took looks to be contenders in the SEC title, but both are looking to improve their bowl chances. The Aggies lost a close game two weeks ago to one of the best in the country in Alabama, 20-24 as a 24.5-point dog. They had last week off to ponder that loss as they prepare to hit the road today. South Carolina beat a very good Kentucky team two weeks ago on the road, 24-14. They also had last week off to prepare for this game. A&M doesn't have a very good offense, ranked 110th in the nation and a poor red zone efficiency of just 65.5%. South Carolina is 77th in offense and 42nd in defense. A&M is ranked 54th in defense. The Aggies are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 8-21 ATS in their last 29 coming off a bye week. I'll take the home dog here today and that's South Carolina. |
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10-22-22 | Boise State +3.5 v. Air Force | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 65 h 24 m | Show | |
The Mountain West conference is split into the West and Mountain divisions. The Mountain being the much stronger one with both Boise State and Air Force among the list. Boise Leads right now in the Mountain division with a 3-0 conference record and 4-2 overall mark. Air Force is 2-2 in conference play with a 5-2 overall mark. Air Force went to UNLV last week and trounced the Rebels, 42-7 as a 9.5-point favorite. The Falcons had four take aways that all led to points and an easy win. Boise State had last week off after beating Fresno the week before, 40-20 as a 7.5-point home favorite. Air Force took the game last year in Boise, 24-17, breaking a four game Boise streak of winning and covering. The Broncos are 7-2-2 ATS their last 11 games on grass. The strength of this Boise team is their 2nd ranked national defense that has held opponents to just 236 yards per game. Air Force is no slouch though, ranked 9th in the nation. Air Force has the 39th ranked offense which is led by their top ranked rushing attack which averages 360 yards a game. This one really comes down to the Boise defense being able to contain that Air Force rushing attack. I'm going to take the small points here today with Boise. |
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10-22-22 | UCLA +6.5 v. Oregon | Top | 30-45 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 55 m | Show |
UCLA and Oregon face off today in Eugene for the PAC 12. UCLA is 3-0 in conference play and 6-0 overall. Oregon is 3-0 in conference play and 5-1 overall. UCLA had last week off to prepare for today's contest. They are coming off a home win over Utah, 42-32. The Bruins have scored at least 32 in all six games and 40 or more in five games. Oregon also had last week off after demolishing Arizona the previous week, 49-22. The Ducks have scored 41 or more points in every game since their opening week loss at Georgia where they scored just three points. Oregon has the 7th ranked offense in the country and UCLA has the 11th ranked offense. UCLA's defense ranks 33rd overall while Oregon comes in at 60th. UCLA has now covered seven of their last eight road games and are 7-2 ATS overall their last nine games. Oregon is 3-8 ATS their last 11 games following a ATS win. UCLA around a 6-point dog here today. I won't be surprised one bit with a UCLA straight up win. I'll take the points. |
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10-22-22 | Toledo v. Buffalo +7.5 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 59 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a MAC Conference matchup that might be for the conference championship as the MAC East leader, Buffalo, takes on MAC-West leader Toledo. Both teams undefeated in conference play at 3-0. Toledo came into MAC play just 2-2 S/U and 1-2 ATS. But three straight conference wins and covers have changed things. The Rockets have scored 52 points in each of their last two games and 142 so far in three conference games. Buffalo may only be 5-3 S/U overall, but they have a perfect 6-0 ATS mark. Their defense has been excellent, holding their last two MAC opponents to just seven points each. Moreover, they have allowed just 34 total points in three MAC games. Their non conference games though still have them at 73rd overall on defense, though they have risen in the past three weeks. Toledo has the 48th ranked defense and 67th ranked offense. Toledo has covered eight of the last 11 road games. Buffalo is 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 vs a team with a winning record. Clash of first place teams here today, but I'll be on Buffalo as they get at least a TD at home in this contest. |
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10-21-22 | UAB v. Western Kentucky -1.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
Conference USA matchup here on Thursday has the 4-2 UAB Blazers taking on the 4-3 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Both teams are 2-1 in the conference and trail both North Texas and UTSA who are 3-0. UAB is coming off a home win over Charlotte last week, 34-20, though they failed to cover the 23-point spread. The Blazers piled-up 510 yards of offense in the game. Western Kentucky won on the road at Middle Tennessee State last week, 35-17, cover the 7-point favorite line. They held Mid-Tenn to just 291 yards while gaining 443 yards. These teams have met just twice in the last five years with UAB taking the game in 2020, 37-14 and W.Ky taking the 2019 contest, 20-13. Western has the 15th ranked offense in the country with 144 yards rushing and 344 yards passing. UAB comes in at 34th. UAB has the slightly better defense as they are 19th in the nation with Western at 52nd. Western has covered seven of their last 10 home games and are 8-1 ATS in their last nine conference games. I'll take the home team here tonight. Play Western Kentucky. |
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10-15-22 | Mississippi State -4 v. Kentucky | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 39 m | Show | |
Mississippi State has been on a offensive explosion of late, scoring 40 points or more in its last three games and 39 or more points in five of its six games. No wonder the offense ranks 26th in the country with one of the best red-zone efficiency marks of 92.5%. The Bulldogs are coming off a blowout win over Arkansas last week, 40-17, easily covering the 8-point spread. They had 568 yards of offense last week vs the Hogs with a +2 turnover ratio. The Dogs are 5-1 S/U and ATS with their only loss coming to LSU back on Sept 17, 16-31. Kentucky lost its second straight game of the season last week to South Carolina, 14-24, failing to cover the -10.5 point line. That coming on the heals of their loss at Ole Miss the week before, 19-22. The losses dropped the team to 4-2 S/U and 3-2 ATS. Miss State beat Kentucky last year, 31-17, doubling them in yards and having a +4 turnover ratio. Miss State is 4-1-1 ATS their last six games and 6-1 ATS their last seven vs a team with a winning record. They have also covered five of their last seven on the road. I'm not happy with the way Kentucky has performed the last two weeks. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs look to be firing on all cylinders. I'll take the visitor in this one on Miss State. |
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10-15-22 | Wisconsin -7.5 v. Michigan State | 28-34 | Loss | -105 | 66 h 7 m | Show | |
The Wisconsin Badgers rebounded from their 10-34 loss to Illinois two weeks ago with a road win at Northwestern last week, 42-7. The Badgers are now 3-3 S/U and ATS on the season. A tough Big 10 schedule follows the next six games if they hope to get bowl eligible. Wisconsin had 515 yards of offense last week at Northwestern and a +3 turnover ratio. Michigan State is coming off a loss last week at home to Ohio State, 20-49. The Spartans had just 202 total yards of offense in the loss while allowing 614 yards. The Spartans have now lost four straight games and are 2-4 overall on the season. Wisconsin has covered six of their last seven conference games and 4-0 ATS their last four overall. Michigan State might be the worst team in the Big 10. Their offense is not good, their defense is not good and they don't score many points. I'll stick with the Badgers here today as they need wins against teams like this. Play Wisconsin. |
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10-15-22 | Alabama v. Tennessee +7.5 | 49-52 | Win | 100 | 66 h 48 m | Show | |
Tennessee has their biggest game of the season here this week as they welcome Alabama to town. The Vols are 5-0 S/U and having one of their best seasons. They have also covered four of their five games this year. They are coming off a decisive road win last week at LSU, 40-13, as a -2.5-point favorite. The Vols can go all out in this one as they have Tennessee-Martin up next. Alabama just did get by Texas A&M last week at home, 24-20, not coming close to covering the 24.5 point favorite line. The Tide still are a perfect 6-0 on the season and 4-2 vs the number. Alabama won this game last year in Tennessee, 52-24, covering the 24-point line. This year different story as they are just a 7.5-point road favorite. Alabama is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games vs a team with a winning record. History is on the side of the Tide in this one. But you Tennessee will be rocking on Saturday as the faithful look for a huge upset win of the top ranked Tide. I'm taking the points in this one as I expect Tennessee to be there at the end. Play Tennessee. |
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10-15-22 | Oklahoma State +4 v. TCU | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 66 h 36 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State hits the road this week after a home win last week over Texas Tech, 41-31, as a 9-point favorite. The Cowboys are now 5-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. The offense has been clicking, now ranked 20th in the nation and having a red-zone efficiency of 81.5%. The defense isn't quite as good, coming in at 104th. TCU got by Kansas last week in the whining moments of the game, 38-31, pushing the 7-point spread. The Horned Frogs are now 5-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Their offense ranks 3rd in the nation with a 81.2% red zone efficiency. The defense comes in at 93rd. Ok State won last year's matchup with TCU, 63-17, covering the 11.5-points spread. Ok State is now 9-0 ATS in their last nine road games against a winning home team. They are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games and 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 road games. TCU is 2-6-1 in their last nine conference games and 14-29-1 ATS in their last 44 home games. The dog has covered six of the last seven in this series and that's what I look for here today. Play Oklahoma State. |
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10-15-22 | Iowa State +17 v. Texas | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 62 h 10 m | Show | |
Texas looks like the read deal this year as they rolled past Oklahoma last week, 49-0. That made them 4-2 S/U and 5-1 ATS. Their only losses came to Alabama in the final seconds of that game, 19-20 and then lost to Texas Tech, 34-37. Texas ranks 35th overall on offense and 33rd in defense. Iowa State looks to snap a three-game losing streak here today. The Cyclones lost last week to Kansas State, 9-10 and the previous week to Kansas, 11-14. That makes them 3-3 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. Iowa State has covered against Texas the last two years, last year winning 30-7 at home and the previous year winning 23-20 at Texas. Texas is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games. Texas has their big intra-state rivalry game next week at Oklahoma State. They might have their eyes set on that game and not on this one. Big points here with the dog and I'll take a shot with them. Play Iowa State. |
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10-15-22 | Penn State +7 v. Michigan | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 8 m | Show | |
Tough Big 10 matchup here today as Penn State travels to Michigan to take on the Wolverines. The Nittany Lions are coming off a win two weeks ago at home over Northwestern, 17-7, but failed to cover the 25.5-point lines. The Lions are now 5-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Michigan beat Indiana last week, 31-10, but just missed covered the 21.5 point line. The Wolverines improved to 6-0 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Michigan offense ranks 27th in the country with Penn State coming in at 37th. The Michigan defense ranks 4th in the country, making it three of the top four defenses coming from the Big 10. The Penn State defense isn't bad though, ranking 37th overall. Penn State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. Michigan is just 4-9 ATS their last 13 games against a team with a winning record. Looks like a good defensive battle here today. I'll take the points in this one and see if the Lions can get in under the line. Play Penn State. |
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10-15-22 | Minnesota v. Illinois +6.5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 62 h 7 m | Show | |
The Illinois Illini are coming off a hard fought home win over defensive Iowa last week, 9-6, though they didn't cover the 3.-5 point line. That makes them 5-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Illinois managed just 316 yards of offense in that game and had a -2 turnover ratio. They did rush for 200 yards though against the 8th ranked Iowa defense. Minnesota came up short last week at home against Purdue, losing 10-20 as a 12.5-point favorite. That makes the Gophers 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS. The loss was their first of the year and the most points they have allowed this year. The Gophers defense still ranks as the best in the nation, allowing just 222 yards per game and with just three TD's allowed in the red zone this year. Illinois though ranks second in the nation in defense and has a 30.2% red zone efficiency on defense, allowing just one red zone TD. Illinois has covered four of their last five home games and is 7-2 ATS their last nine games. This looks to be a great defensive battle between the top two rated defenses in the country. I'll take Illinois though in this one. |
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10-15-22 | Kansas +9 v. Oklahoma | 42-52 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 46 m | Show | |
Kansas saw its undefeated 5-0 mark come to an end last week with a loss to TCU, 31-38. Kansas QB Jalon Daniels left that game with a shoulder injury and is out this week. Jason Bean came in and performed well in the loss. Bean completed 16 of 24 passes for 262 yards and four TD's in relief. Meanwhile Oklahoma got demolished at the Cotton Bowl by Texas last week, 0-49. That was the team's third loss in a row. That dropped the Sooners to 3-3 on the season. The Sooners were outgained by Texas, 195-585 yards. OU QB Dillon Gabriel was injured in that game, but unlike Kansas, the Sooners had no one to replace him at QB. At least quality QB. That Sooners loss was the largest in school history. The Sooners also have lost three straight for the first time since 1998. Not Kansas gets a struggling OU team. Looks like Bean will once again be at the helm for Kansas. The Run game should do well though, as Oklahoma ranks last in the Big 12 and 122nd in the nation in run defense. This game really looks to be a question of whether Oklahoma will show up and it looks like they will do so maybe without their staring QB who is questionable with a concussion. Not sure how the line is OU -9 or thereabouts. I look for a straight up Kansas win, but I'll gladly take the generous points in this one. Play Kansas. |
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10-13-22 | Temple v. Central Florida -23 | Top | 13-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Temple looking to get back to 3-3 today with a win at UCF. The Owls are 2-3 after losing two weeks ago at Memphis, 3-24, as a 20-point dog. Temple has a good defense, 11th in the country. However, you have to take that with a grain of salt when you realize they have played Lafayette, Rutgers, U Mass and Duke, none of which are offensive powerhouses. The offense is not good, ranking 124th in the country. They were shutout by Duke and scored just three points against Memphis. Meanwhile, Central Florida looks to improve to 5-1 with a win tonight. UCF only loss coming against Louisville, 14-20 back on Sept 9th. They are coming off a win over SMU back on Oct 5, 41-19. The UCF offense ranks 17th in the nation with the defense at 40th. Temple is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 conference games and 0-6 ATS in their last six road games. UCF has covered four of the last five in this series and the favorite is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. UCF has too much offense and defense for the Owls here tonight. Lay the points with Central Florida. |
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10-08-22 | Washington State +13 v. USC | 14-30 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 12 m | Show | |
USC definitely the team in the PAC-12 as the favorite to win the conference. The Trojans really improved with the transfer portal and bringing in a new head coach. The difference has resulted in a 5-0 S/U start and 3-2 ATS mark. The Trojans have failed to cover the last two weeks though as the oddsmaker has really adjusted this team up. I believe they have over corrected and made them bigger favorites then they should be. That's the case here this week as they host Washington State. The Cougars are 4-1 S/U and ATS on the season and coming off a win over Cal last week, 28-9 as a 4-point favorite. The Cougars held cal to just 311 totals yards and had a +2 turnover ratio in the game. The defense ranks 68th overall while the offense is 94th. USC ranks 19th on offense and 55th on defense. Washington State is 20-6 ATS their last 26 games in October, 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games and 4-0 ATS in their last four PAC-12 games. USC is just 1-7 ATS in their last eight conference games and 2-5 ATS vs a team with a winning record. The road team is 7-2 ATS the last nine meetings in this series. I think 12.5 points is too many for the Trojans to be laying to a very good Washington State team. I'll take the points in this one. |
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10-08-22 | Army v. Wake Forest -16.5 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 50 h 11 m | Show | |
Wake Forest rebounded last week from their loss the week before to Clemson, 45-51. They beat Florida State last week, 31-21, as a 7-point dog. The win makes the Deamon Decons now 4-1 S/U and ATS on the season. Army coming off a loss last week at home to Georgia State, 14-31. The Black Knights dropped to 1-3 S/U and 0-3 ATS on the season. Their only win coming against FCS Villanova two weeks ago, 49-10. Army gave up 456 yards to Ga State despite having 19 more plays and four more first downs. It was their three turnovers that contributed to the loss. Army was trounced last year at Wake, giving up 638 yards and 70-points in the 56-70 shootout loss. Army has now covered just one of their last six games overall. Wake is 9-3-1 ATS their last 13 games against a losing team. I look for another Wake blowout this week against an overmanned Army squad. Take Wake Forest. |
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10-08-22 | Iowa v. Illinois -3 | Top | 6-9 | Push | 0 | 50 h 12 m | Show |
Big 10 action here today as Illinois hosts Iowa. Iowa fell behind early last week at home against Michigan and couldn't quite rebound in their loss to the Wolverines, 14-27, as a 10.5-point dog. The Iowa offense just not good enough to come from behind like that. Iowa has the 129th ranked offense in the country and really has to rely on their 6th ranked defense to keep them in games. Illinois went to Wisconsin last week and put a big-time whipping on the Badgers, 34-10, as a 7-point dog. Take makes the Illini 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. Illinois has the nation's 54th ranked offense and 2nd ranked defense. Iowa is now 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 October games. Illinois is 7-1 ATS int heir last eight overall games and 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. Despite both teams have top 10 defenses, I give the nod here to Illinois. And with the Illini offense much better than Iowa, I'll be on the home team here today. Play Illinois. |
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10-08-22 | TCU v. Kansas +7 | 38-31 | Push | 0 | 43 h 41 m | Show | |
TCU coming off a big win over Oklahoma last week. The Horned Frogs were a 7-point dog at home but demolished the Sooners, 55-24. TCU had 668 yards of offense in the win, 361 on the ground and 307 through the air while holding the potent OK offense to just 355 yards. Kansas plays its third home game in a row this week vs the Horned Frogs. The Jayhawks are coming off a win last week at home over Iowa State, 14-11, as a 3-point dog. That makes them 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS on the season. Kansas covered last year's contest in TCU, 28-31, as a 21-point dog. TCU has the nation's 2nd ranked offense while Kansas comes in at 59th. TCU is ranked 64th on defense with Kansas at 78th. TCU is just 4-9 ATS their last 13 on field turf. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight conference games. Kansas has covered their last eight games and is 5-0 ATS in their last five conference games. Not only has the dog covered seven of the last 10 in this series, but the Jayhawks have covered seven of the last 10 at home in this series. I'll take the points here with Kansas. |
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10-01-22 | NC State +7 v. Clemson | 20-30 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
NC State 4-0 to start their season will play their toughest game here on Saturday as they take on Clemson on the road. The Wolfpack beat Connecticut last week, 41-10, but couldn't quite cover the 39-point favorite line. Their toughest game thus far happened two weeks ago when they beat Texas Tech, 27-14. Clemson also 4-0, but they were pushed to the bring last week at Wake Forest, winning 51-45 but not covering the 7-point line. That makes them 1-2 ATS on the season. NC State got the upset last year at home, beating Clemson 27-21 as a 10.5-point dog. NC State is now 11-5 in their last 16 conference games. Meanwhile, Clemson is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 4-19 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. Take NC State plus the points in this one as they stay close to Clemson. |
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10-01-22 | Georgia Southern v. Coastal Carolina -9.5 | 30-34 | Loss | -107 | 42 h 21 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern looks to improve to 4-1 S/U after a win last week at home over Ball State, 34-23. The Eagles are also 3-1 ATS. Southern was actually out gained in yardage last week by the Cardinals, 474-481 and had two fewer plays. Still the Eagles were able to cover the 9.5 point favorite line. Coastal Carolina off to a 4-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS start. Coastal has scored at least 31 points in each game. They handled Georgia State easily last week, 41-24. They had 540 yards to just 309 by Ga State. They also had 25 more plays and 11 more first downs. Ga Southern does have one of the better offenses this year, ranked 10th overall in the country. Coastal coming in at 37th in the nation. Defensively Coastal holds the edge, ranked 65th to Southern's 109th. Coastal has the edge of late in this series, covering four of the last five. Should be a good offensive show here on Saturday. I'm taking Coastal Carolina on their home turf. |
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10-01-22 | Alabama v. Arkansas +17.5 | 49-26 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 13 m | Show | |
Alabama continues its dominance of the FBS with a 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS record Their one close call was a late win at Texas on Sept 10, 20-19 as a 20-point favorite. Since that close loss they beat LA Monroe, 63-7 and last week Vandy, 55-3. The Tide had 628 yards last week to Vandy's 129. They also had 34 first downs to nine and 77 plays to 52. Arkansas had the tough loss last week to Texas A&M in Arlington, Tx, 21-23, but did cover the 2.5-point spread. The Razorbacks had more yards (415-343), more first downs (24-16) and more plays (73-55) than the Aggies. Arkansas is now 3-1 S/U and ATS on the season. Alabama has the nation's 6th ranked offense with Arkansas coming in a 27th. Alabama has the 2nd ranked defense with Arkansas at 89th. Arkansas covered last year in their game at Alabama, losing 35-42 as a 20.5-point dog. Alabama has covered just one of their last five road games and are 1-6 ATS on the road their last seven against a team with a winning home record. Arkansas has covered four of their last five at home. The Hogs getting 17-points at home here on Saturday. I'll take that with a very good Arkansas team. |
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10-01-22 | Michigan v. Iowa +10.5 | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
Michigan puts its 4-0 record on the line as they travel to Iowa to take on the Hawkeyes. The Wolverines have scored 50 points or more in three of their four games. However, that does include Connecticut and Hawaii. They are coming off a home win over Maryland, 34-27, though they failed to cover the 17-point favorite line. The offense ranks 19th overall and will get their first real test against the 5th ranked Iowa defense. Iowa's offense has struggled, in fact they are ranked last in the FBS. Though the offense has scored 27 points in each of their last two games, including their win last week over Rutgers, 27-10. The defense, ranked 5th, has allowed a total of 23 points in four games. Iowa will be looking for some payback after losing at Michigan last year, 3-42. Michigan is just 3-8 ATS their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. If the Iowa defense continues like it has and the offense can get some points, the Hawkeyes can pull the upset here on Saturday. I'll take the points at home with Iowa. |
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10-01-22 | Kentucky +7 v. Ole Miss | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
Kentucky brings a 4-0 record into today's contest at Ole Miss. The Wild Cats are coming off a win over Northern Illinois, 31-23, though they failed to cover the 25.5 point favorite line. They are also 2-1 ATS on the season. Kentucky had 406 yards of offense last week, while holding NIU to 327 yards. The Cats are 87th nationally in offense. The defense does better at 16th nationally. Mississippi also is 4-0 after beating Tulsa last week, 35-27. But, like Kentucky, they couldn't cover the big favorite line of 20.5 points. The Rebels have the 28th ranked defense and 20th ranked offense. Kentucky is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games and 23-7-2 ATS their last 32 games vs a team with a winning record. They are also 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 games in conference play. Ole Miss is just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 2-5 ATS their last seven when having more than 450 yards offense their last game. Both teams have decent defenses and I'll take the points with Kentucky in this one. |
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09-30-22 | UTSA -4 v. Middle Tennessee State | 45-30 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
Texas San Antonio is 2-2 S/U and 2-1 ATS after four games. The Roadrunners are coming off a easy win over Texas Southern last week, 52-24. They lost their opening game in a shootout with Houston, 35-37 and then beat Army, 41-38 and lost to Texas, 20-41. Middle Tennessee State is 3-1 and beat a Top 25 opponent for the first time every last Saturday with a win over No 25 Miami. The Blue Raiders had 507 yards of offense in that win as they won 45-31. UTSA has won three straight in this series, including last year, 27-13. UTSA is led by QB Frank Harris. Harris and the offense lead the Conf-USA in passing yards and are 6th nationally (351.5 ypg). They also rank 2nd in the conference in total offense with 478.5 ypg and 37 ppg. Both these teams have potent offenses, but I look for one defense to make a big play in this game and likely the difference. I like Harris at QB as I believe he will also make a huge difference in this conference game. I'm going to lay the points on the road with UTSA. |
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09-30-22 | Tulane +2.5 v. Houston | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 41 m | Show | |
Tulane lost its first game of the season last week, dropping the Green Wave to 3-1 on the season S/U and 2-1 ATS. Tulane lost at home to Southern Miss, 27-27, as a 13-point favorite. On paper, it looked like a Tulane easy win as they had 451 yards to So.Miss 253 yards. They also had double the first downs (26-13) and ran 24 more plays. The Green Wave did have one turnover to Southern Miss's no turnovers. Houston has scored at least 30 points in each of its first four games. They are 2-2 S/U and 0-3-1 ATS though. The problem is the defense that is ranked 113th in the nation. They did beat Rice at home last week, but did not cover as they won 34-27 as a 17.5-point favorite. Despite their good scoring offense, the unit ranks only 81st overall in he nation with 393 yards per game. Meanwhile, Tulane has the 59th ranked offense in the nation. The Green Wave are now 5-1 ATS in their last five games and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games on turf. Houston is only 2-5 ATS their last seven games and 2-6 ATS vs a team with a winning record. I'm going to take the points tonight with Tulane. |
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09-24-22 | Utah -15 v. Arizona State | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 58 h 25 m | Show | |
Utah coming off a big win last week at home over San Diego State, 35-7, as a 21.5-point favorite. Utah held the Aztecs to just 173 total yards and just 60-yards passing. They also had 22 first downs to just nine for Sdg St. Meanwhile, Arizona State might have been the biggest favorite to get upset last week. The Sun Devils hosted Eastern Michigan and lost at home 21-30 as a 19.5-point favorite. The Devils allowed 458 yards to just 352 yards of their own. They also allowed 305 yards rushing to E.Mich. That's not good since Utah had 174 yards on the ground last week. Utah has covered the last two in this series, winning last year at home, 35-21. Utah is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 PAC-12 games. They are also 12-5 ATS in their last 17 following an ATS win. The Utes have covered six of the last eight in this series and I look for a Utah win and cover here on Saturday. |
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09-24-22 | Arkansas +2.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 69 h 29 m | Show |
A pair of top 25 SEC teams battle today as No 10 Arkansas takes on No 23 Texas A&M from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Tx. Arkansas will be looking for its second straight 4-0 start to the season today. Arkansas moved into the FCS last week to take on Missouri State and came away with the win, 38-27. That makes wins over Cincinnati, South Carolina and Missouri State to start the season. Texas A&M beat Miami Florida last week, 17-9. The Aggies were 5-point favorites and were outgained in total yards, 264-393 by the Hurricanes. A&M also had only 16 First downs to 27 by Miami. Arkansas is ranked 18th overall in offense with A&M coming in at 109th. A&M does hold the defensive edge, coming in at 30th with Arkansas at 103rd. Arkansas is 5-1-1 ATS their last seven games and 4-0 ATS in their last four in neutral site. Arkansas has covered the last four in this series and I look for the hogs to do just that again here today. Take Arkansas. |
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09-24-22 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina -1 | 45-32 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 0 m | Show | |
Notre Dame will have to travel to NCU this Saturday and do so without their QB Tyler Buchner. Buchner was injured last week and will miss the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. That's not good for a Notre Dame team that started this season 1-2. The Irish did get their first win of the season last week with a home win over Cal Bears, 24-17. They failed to cover the 10-point spread however. And, neither team really did much as the Irish held a small yardage lead, 297-296. Cal had one more first down and four more offensive plays. On paper the game was dead even. North Carolina got last week off to prepare for this game. The Tar Heals are 3-0 S/U and 1-1-1 ATS on the season. They beat Georgia State the week prior, 35-38, pushing the 7-point chalk line. North Carolina has the nation's 5th ranked overall offense and an impressive 91% red zone efficiency rating. They have scored 10 TD's in their 11 redzone trips this year. Notre Dame is 113th in offense. With Notre Dame working in a new QB and the Tar Heel having last week off to prepare, I'll lay the very small line with North Carolina. |
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09-24-22 | Clemson v. Wake Forest +7.5 | 51-45 | Win | 100 | 62 h 30 m | Show | |
Two ranked ACC teams battle this week as Clemson hits the road for the first time to take on Wake Forest. Clemson won easily last week over Louisiana Tech, 48-20, but failed to cover the 34-point line. The Tigers had 521 total yards to just 317 by Tech. The Tigers were also a +3 in the turnover battle. Clemson's tough defense held Tech to just six yards rushing on the day, though they did give up 311 yards through the air. Clemson ranks 34th in total defense and 63rd in total offense. Wake Forest took on Liberty last week and just did escape with the win, 37-36 as a 16.5-point favorite. The Demon Deacons were out-gained 346-437, but were +2 in the turnovers. Wake might have had their sights set on this game today and not on Liberty last week. Clemson won last year's battle at home over Wake, 48-27. Clemson has not done well to open seasons, at least vs the spread. The Tigers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 September games. They are also 2-7 ATS their last nine times following an ATS loss. Meanwhile, Wake has covered four of their last five games in September and are 4-0 ATS their last four times following an ATS loss. Getting a TD at home with Wake is too much for me to pass on today. I'll take Wake and won't be surprised if they shock the Tigers with a straight up win. |
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09-23-22 | Boise State -15 v. UTEP | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 10 m | Show | |
Boise State went down to the FCS last week to play Tennessee-Martin and walked away with an easy win, 30-7. That makes them 2-1 since their opening week loss to Oregon State, 17-34. UTEP went to New Mexico last week and lost to the Lobos, 10-27. The Miners had SEVEN turnovers in the loss though they did have more yards than then Lobos, 353-299. Overcoming seven turnovers is nearly impossible. These teams have only met once in the last 5-years with Boise winning at home in 2021, 54-13. Boise is 9-3-2 ATS their last 14 games vs a team with a losing record. They are also 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games. UTEP is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games and 6-15-1 ATS their last 22 games against a winning team. I'll lay the points on the road with Boise in this one. |
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09-17-22 | UTSA +12.5 v. Texas | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 36 m | Show | |
Texas came oh so close to pulling the big upset last week over No 1 Alabama. Bama had to kick a last second field to pull out the win. Texas had to give their all in that game and wonder what effect that will have on them here this week. They have to have a letdown after that close upset of the Tide. Texas had trouble with the Bama rushing attack that gained 161 yards and 6.7 yards per attempt. The UTSA Roadrunners have a high powered offense. They are Ranked 31st in the nation after two weeks. They average 129 yards rushing and 348 yards passing thus far. They basically picked up where they left off last year as they averaged 36.9 ppg in 2021 which tied them for 11th in the nation. They are led by senior QB Harris who was great last year with 3177 yards and 27 TD's. He should give Texas plenty of problems this week. Add to that the letdown week for Texas and this is a perfect spot for UTSA. |
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09-17-22 | Penn State v. Auburn +3 | 41-12 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 6 m | Show | |
It's a Big-10 vs SEC matchup today as Penn State heads South to take on the Auburn Tigers. Auburn beat San Jose State last week at home, 24-16 as a 22.5 point favorite. The Tigers had 379 total yards with 211 of those coming on the ground. Auburn ranked 56th in the country in offense after two weeks, averaging 438 total yards per game. The defense comes in at 38th and allows 300 yards per game. Penn State played host to Ohio U last week and had little trouble in a 46-10 win as a 24.5-point favorite. The Nittany Lions had 234 yards rushing and 338 yards passing in the win. Penn State ranked 24th in the country in offense after two weeks, averaging 489 total yards. The defense not quite as good, ranked 64th and allowing 345 yard per game. These clubs met last year at Happy Valley and the Nittany Lions won 28-20 as a 4-point home favorite. Auburn had 367 yards in that game while Penn State had 392. Auburn a small home dog here on Saturday. I'll take the points in this one. |
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09-17-22 | BYU +3.5 v. Oregon | Top | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 31 m | Show |
BYU was in a battle last week with Baylor, but came out on top in the end, 26-20, as a 3.5-point home favorite. The Cougars and Bears were pretty even statistically and neither team had a turnover. BYU had 283 yards passing compared to just 137 by Baylor. Oregon got thumped in week one at Georgia, 3-49 as a 16-point road dog. They licked their wounds last week with a win over FCS team Eastern Washington, 70-14. But really what does that tell us? Nothing. They beat up on a team they should have. That beating though by Georgia does loom big to me. Now they are hosting a very good BYU squad. Until I see more out of Oregon I'll have to be on the BYU side here on Saturday. |
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09-17-22 | Oklahoma v. Nebraska +11 | 49-14 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 6 m | Show | |
The 2-0 Oklahoma Sooners travel to Norman to take on the 1-2 Nebraska Cornhuskers this week. The Huskers begin a new era as gone is HC Scott Frost and Mickey Joseph takes over as interim coach. For the players, they can look to turn around a bad start to the season. Oklahoma is playing under a rookie head coach in Brent Venabales. The Sooners are off to a fast 2-0 start and play their first road game of the season here today. Oklahoma has a high powered offense, but it didn't look like it last week as they led Kent State by just a 7-3 halftime score. They did eventually pull away in the 2nd half to beat the Golden Flashes, 33-3 as a 32-point favorite. I believe the coaching change at Nebraska will give some new life to the Huskers this week. Oklahoma has shown they are maybe not as good as expected so this could be a Nebraska upset this week. I'll still take the points with Nebraska. |
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09-17-22 | Western Kentucky +6.5 v. Indiana | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 45 h 2 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky had the Week off to prepare for Indiana this week. They played in week 1 at Hawaii and walked away with an easy win and cover, 49-17, as a 16.5-point favorite. The Hilltoppers are now 2-0 on the season after winning in week 0 over Austin Peay, 38-37. Indiana ranks 71st overall in offense with Western Kentucky right on their heels at 72nd. Western ranks 61st on defense with Indiana coming in at 86th. One big difference is red-zone efficiency. Indiana is just 49%, scoring TD's in three of their seven red zone ventures. Meanwhile, Western is much better at 74%, scoring TD's on seven of their 10 tries. This is the first meeting in the last five years between these teams. I have to take the dog here today as both teams very even and I even give the edge to Western. So Indiana laying nearly a TD is way too much. Play Western Kentucky. |
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09-10-22 | Baylor +3.5 v. BYU | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 17 m | Show | |
Baylor had a softball tossed to them in the form of Albany last week and had little trouble with a easy win, 69-10. The Bears rolled-up 573 total yards with 259 of those coming on the ground. They held Albany to just 237 total yards. BYU had a little more difficult opponent, playing at South Florida, but with the same outcome. The Cougars easily beat SFU 50-21 as 11-point favorites. BYU had 573 total yards and allowed just 279. BYU returns a very good QB in Jaren Hall and in front of him one of the best offensive lines in college football. Baylor and BYU met last season in Waco, with the Bears coming out on top 38-24. Looks to be another wild game here in Provo. I'm sticking with the road dog in Baylor. |
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09-10-22 | Houston +3.5 v. Texas Tech | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 66 h 2 m | Show | |
This one looks to be a game mostly through the air as both teams lack much of a rushing attack, but both have excellent passing games. Houston escaped last week with a win over UTSA, 37-35, in OT on a two-point conversion. The Cougars will stay on the road this week as they travel to Texas Tech. Texas Tech also won their opening game against Murray State last week, 63-10. The only issue was the loss of QB Tyler Shough, who hurt his shoulder in the game. They will return to the player who started their last game of last season in QB, Donovan Smith. Smith should be fine back in the starting role and both teams should put up plenty of offense here today. I'll take the points with the road dog in this one. Play Houston. |
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09-10-22 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Iowa | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 54 h 2 m | Show |
It's always a great game when these two intrastate rivals clash. Both teams opened with wins in week one. Iowa State Cyclones had little issue at home with SE Missouri State, 42-10. They accumulated 569 total yards with 293 of those through the air. Iowa struggled though in week one, just getting by South Dakota State at home, 7-3. They had a measly 166 totals yards and held SDST to just 120 yards in what surely was a exciting game. The Cyclones have had their way in this series, covering seven of the last 10 in Iowa. I'm taking the visitor as I need to see more out of Iowa before I can lay points with them. Play Iowa State. |
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09-05-22 | Clemson -21 v. Georgia Tech | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 339 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clemson Tigers let down a lot of bettors last year. While they were good on defense, the offense just didn't generate enough to cover big numbers. The Tigers made some moves in the offseason to improve the offense and we should see much improvement in that area. Georgia Tech might have a very long day in this one as their defense and in particular the DL, is not very good. Clemson should wear them down on the ground which will also open the passing attack. Meanwhile, the Clemson defense will show how good they are as they stifle this Yellow Jacket offense. Three touchdowns plus seems like a hill to climb, but not for the Clemson team against GT. I'll gladly lay the lumber in this one. Play Clemson. |
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09-03-22 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 10-21 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
Marquee matchup here on the Week 1 Saturday college football schedule. Notre Dame's head coach Marcus Freeman is a alum of Ohio State so he will have his own sort of homecoming here tonight. Freeman took over for Brian Kelly last season and took them to the Feista Bowl last season where they lost to Oklahoma State, 35-37. Ohio State was 11-2 last season and won the Rose Bowl. Was this a down season for them? For many, yes it was. They had high expectations of making the playoff four, but missed out. They also lost to rivals Michigan and lost in the Big 10 Championship. However, this year should be different with 11 starters returning. This game today has No 2 Ohio State and No 5 Notre Dame. However, with the oddsmaker posting a 17-point line on the underdog Irish we have to wonder if they are telling us right off the bat that this Irish team isn't a No 5 ranked club. These teams have met six times with Ohio State holding a 4-2 edge. Moreover, all four OSU wins have come by at least 13-points. I believe that OSU has too much firepower for this Notre Dame. In my rankings I have Notre Dame closer to No 20 and not No 5. There is a huge difference between these teams and it will show here on Saturday. I'm taking Ohio State in a blowout win. |
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09-03-22 | Florida Atlantic -4 v. Ohio | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 53 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic plays their second game of the young season here today after a thorough trouncing of Charlotte last week, 43-13, as a 7-point favorite. FAU had 223 yards rushing and 264 yards passing while holding Charlotte to just 283 total yards. Ohio plays its first game of the season today and looks to improve on a poor 22.6 ppg average last season. The defense is not good, allowing 30 ppg and 431 yards last season. Ohio is just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last six non-conference games. With FAU having that game under their belt, I like their offense to get plenty of points here today. Ill take Florida Atlantic. |
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09-03-22 | Texas State +1 v. Nevada | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas State making their 2022 debut here in week 1, while Nevada saw action last week. Nevada Wolfpack played at New Mexico State and came away with the 23-12 win and covered the 7-point spread. However, the Nevada offense was pretty pathetic, gaining 257 total yards against a pretty bad team. They also had just 78 total passing yards in the win. The difference were the five turnovers the Wolfpacked forced last week. Texas State looks to bolster their passing attack this season with transfer QB Layne Hatcher who comes over from Arkansas State. But the bigger problem for this team is its defense, which allowed 33 points per game and 430 yards. Texas State might push the running game here today as New Mexico State highlighted a poor Nevada rush defense that gave up 218 yards on the ground. Nevada has typically started slowly, going just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 September games. Nevada was fortunate last week that they got five turnovers and played offensively weak New Mexico State team. You would have thought a much larger margin of victory given the turnovers. Now they face a much more balanced offense in Texas State. Both teams should get their share of points today but I'll take the visitors in this one. Play Texas State. |
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09-03-22 | North Carolina v. Appalachian State +1 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 54 m | Show | |
North Carolina opened its season last week vs Florida A&M. While the Tar Heels won 56-24, they failed to cover the 43.5-point spread. This is the first time NCU will play at Boone, though the teams did meet in Chapel Hill back in 2019 with App State beating NCU, 34-31. NCU started a freshman QB last week in Drake Maye, who was very good, though it was against a poor Florida A&M squad. Now he will face a App State team that was 33rd in total defense last year. App State returns QB Chase Brice who threw for 3,337 yards and 27 TD's last season. They also had a rushing attack that averaged just under 200 yards per game. Add to the fact that this offensive line returns four starters and they have high expectations for the offense this year. I look for a high scoring game here today especially with App State against a poor NCU defense. I'll take App State today. |
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09-01-22 | Central Michigan +22 v. Oklahoma State | 44-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Central Michigan has a lot to be looking forward to this season after a 6-2 record in the MAC last season. They just missed the MAC Championship game, losing a wild contest to Northern Illinois, 38-39. Oklahoma State must have a bad taste in its mouth after just missing out on a College Football Playoff berth last year. The Cowboys missed beating Baylor in the Big 12 Championship by just two yards, failing to score a TD on four shots from the two. I expect Central Michigan to cover this big spread today as the Cowboys will be slow out of the gate this season. Play Central Michigan. |
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08-27-22 | Duquesne +42 v. Florida State | 7-47 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Florida State enters this 2022 campaign having four straight losing seasons. HC Mike Norvell will begin his third season at the helm and the pressure is likely on his now to turn this team around. The Seminoles did close out last season winning five of their final eight games after an 0-4 start to the season. The Noles did lose to an FCS school last year to Jacksonville State, their first ever to a FCS team. FSU looks to start the season with a win for the first time since 2016. Duquesne beat TCU last year, so they know how to beat FBS schools. The Dukes finished last year at 7-3. Good news for the team, they return their leading rusher and passer from last year. While 42 points is lot to lay, is should be close in this one. I'm taking the points with Duke as they likely will have to pass quite a bit here today. Take the points as they appear to be just a mountain too tall for this FSU team to lay today. |
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08-27-22 | Northwestern +13 v. Nebraska | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 4 m | Show | |
This game takes place all the way over in Dublin. No, not as in Dublin, Ohio but it's Dublin Ireland. This looks to be the best game of the opening days even though Nebraska coming off a 3-9 2021 season. HC Scott Frost will be on the hot seat as Husker fans will expect wins and early. Northwestern was also 3-9 last season so should be a good matchup of teams in rebuilding modes. Northwestern was also 3-9 ATS last season. Northwestern returns RB Evan Hull who rushed for over 1,000 yards last year. They also have four starters back on the OL, which will help Hull again. So why is Nebraska a 13-point favorite here on a neutral field? I have no idea. I see these teams at most a TD difference and really less than that. They are equally matched and while Nebraska has the pressure on it to win, I'm taking these generous points with the WildCats. Play Northwestern. |
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01-10-22 | Georgia v. Alabama +3 | Top | 33-18 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
Lets face it, you can make a argument for either side here in this Championship game. Both teams demolished their opening round opponents with Alabama crushing Cincinnati and Georgia easily handling Michigan. Both sides are loaded with great players and both teams have potent offenses and great defenses. Alabama leads this all-time series with Georgia and has won the last seven times against the Bulldogs. Yet, here we are the Tide are a small dog tonight. These teams met for the National Championship back in 2017 with Alabama winning 26-23 in a come from behind victory. Alabama won last year's championship by easily defeating Ohio State, 52-24. Alabama HC Nick Sabin has won seven national championships while Georgia hasn't won since 1980. This one is all about the Georgia defense vs the Alabama offense. I'm sticking with the team that has history on its side. Take Alabama. |
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01-04-22 | LSU v. Kansas State -7 | Top | 20-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
Next to last Bowl game of the season here on Tuesday in the Texas Bowl as LSU takes on Kansas State. In some of these games you can throw away numbers and look for motivation as your deciding factor. LSU became bowl eligible by winning it's last two games of the season over Texas A&M and UL Monroe. LSU has a myriad of issues as their coach Ed Orgeron was fired, they have transfer issues, injury issues and this team right now has only 40 scholarship players. This was a LSU defense that struggled at full strength at the beginning of the season let alone all the issues they have now. Kansas State returns QB Skylar Thompson who last played on Nov 20 and suffered an ankle injury. I don't see this LSU roster of straglers doing much here today and really looks only for the Bowl payday and lets go home. Take Kansas State. |
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01-01-22 | Utah +4 v. Ohio State | Top | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
Ohio State has had some time now to stew about their big loss to Michigan on Nov 27th, 27-42. The Buckeyes finished the season at 10-2 S/ and 7-5 ATS. Meanwhile, Utah brings a six game win streak into today's Rose Bowl at Pasadena. The Utes also won the PAC-12 Championship with a decisive win over Oregon. Have to believe the Buckeyes might not have their heads in this game. If they had beaten Michigan they would have likely played in the National Championship final four. Instead, they play Utah in the Rose Bowl. This game means a lot more to this Utah team. They can beat a big time football powerhouse in this storied event. For Utah, this is their game to show they belong and their own National Championship. Throw out any numbers in this one, I'm looking for motivation and for me it all falls to Utah. |
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01-01-22 | Oklahoma State v. Notre Dame | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
Fiesta Bowl from Glendale, AZ today has Oklahoma State taking on Notre Dame. The OK State Cowboys finished the regular season with a 11-2 S/U and 9-4 ATS record. They averaged 30.6 ppg while allowing 16.8 ppg. Notre Dame finished 11-1 S/U and 9-3 vs the spread. The Irish averaged 35.2 ppg while allowing 18.2 ppg. Notre Dame had an average offense overall, but was top 20 in FBS Scoring. Both teams have played well at times. Notre Dame's level of play has been more consistent while Ok State has had some big ups and a few downs. I don't expect a high scoring game here today, but should be fairly close. Notre Dame has been more consistent plus they have averaged better points on the Year. Play Notre Dame. |
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12-31-21 | Georgia v. Michigan +7.5 | 34-11 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
The second half of the National Championship playoffs will be decided here tonight and we'll know who will play for the overall Championship. Georgia take on Michigan in what looks to be a great defensive battle. Georgia has the 2nd ranked overall defense in the country and Michigan has the 12th overall rated defense. Georgia allowed just 9.5 ppg this season while the Wolverines allowed 16.1 ppg. The Wolverines had the better spread record with a 11-2 mark compared to Georgia's 8-5 mark. I fully expect points to be at a premium here today and with that I take the dogs plus a TD or more. Play Michigan. |
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12-31-21 | Cincinnati +13.5 v. Alabama | 6-27 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Cotton Bowl here today has Cincinnati taking on Alabama for the right to move on to the NCAA FB Championship game. Cincinnati a big dog here today of 13 to 14 points. The Bearcats finished the season with a perfect 13-0 record and 8-5 ATS spread mark. They had a terrific defense, allowing just 16.1 ppg this year while scoring an average of 39.2 ppg. They scored at least 35 points in each of their last four games. Meanwhile the Alabama Crimson Tide finished the season at 12-1 S/U and 7-6 ATS. Their lone blemish coming back on October 9th at Texas A&M, 38-41. This team not as good defensively as we've seen in the past as they allow just over 20 ppg this season. I really won't be shocked if the Bearcats pull off the straight-up win here today. Still, I'll take all the points in this one. Play Cincinnati |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh v. Michigan State -3 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
Peach Bowl from Atlanta Georgia has Pittsburgh taking on Michigan State. The Pitt Panthers come into today's contest with a 11-2 overall record and 10-3 ATS spread mark. The Panthers bring a five game win streak into the game and have covered four of their last five games. The Panthers will be without their starting QB in Kenny Pickett who is out with personal issues. QB Nick Patti looks to start here today with just 14 attempts on the season. This will be a big blow to the Panthers team that afveraged over 350 yards through the air this year. Michigan State finished 2nd in the Big 10 East with a 10-2 S/U and 9-3 ATS record. I'm going to take Michigan State here today as I don't see Pitt doing a lot with their backup QB at the helm. Play Michigan State |
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12-29-21 | Maryland -4 v. Virginia Tech | 54-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
PinStripe Bowl today from Yankee Stadium has Maryland taking on Virginia Tech. Maryland finished the regular season with a 6-6 record and just became Bowl eligible. They are also 4-8 vs the number this season. The Terps had to win their last game to get this bowl and they did with a 40-16 win over Rutgers on the road. That snapped a 3-game losing skid. Virginia Tech also just became bowl eligible with a 6-6 record. They finished way down in the ACC standings, tie for 5th with four other teams. The Hokies were 4-8 ATS on the season and outscored opponents by a 24.89 to 22.9 margin. Tech is just 1-5 ATS in their last six non-conference games. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The favorite has covered four of the last five in this series and that's who I'm taking today. Play Maryland. |
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12-28-21 | Texas Tech v. Mississippi State -9.5 | Top | 34-7 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Texas Tech just did become Bowl eligible at 6-6 S/U and they were 6-5-1 vs the spread. The Red Raiders were outscored on the season 30-32.1 and finished 6th in the Big 12. The Raiders limped into the postseason, losing two straight games and f0our of their last five games. Their only win coming against Iowa State, 41-38. They were 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the road, outscored by a 28.8 to 36.5 ppg average. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 7-5 S/U and ATS on the season. They outscored opponents by a 30.9 to 25.2 margin this year. The Dogs did lose their final game of the regular season to Ole Miss, 21-31 as a 2-point favorite. However, they did cover five of their last six overall. Miss State the better team here and has been playing better football down the stretch. Play Mississippi Sate. |
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12-28-21 | Louisville +1.5 v. Air Force | 28-31 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
First Responder Bowl action here on Tuesday has Louisville taking on Air Force from Dallas, Tx. The Louisville Cardinals finished the regular season just bowl eligible at 6-6 S/U and 5-7 ATS. They averaged 31.9 ppg while allowing 27 ppg. They are coming off a loss to Kentucky, 21-52 in their last game as a 3-point favorite. That snapped a two-game win streak for the Cardinals. The Air Force Falcons bring a 8-4 S/U and 5-7 ATS record into today's contest. They averaged 31 ppg and allowed 19.1 ppg on the season. Louisville looks to be the more balanced team, averaging 211 yards rushing and 218 passing per game. The Falcons are still predominately a run team with 341 yards per game and just 82 passing per game. Should be a lot of ground and pound in this game. While Air Force does have the rushing edge, I like the balanced offense of Louisville here today. Play Louisville. |
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12-27-21 | Western Michigan -6.5 v. Nevada | Top | 52-24 | Win | 100 | 1 h 45 m | Show |
Quick Lane Bowl here today from Detoit, MI has Western Michigan takin on Nevada. Have to believe Nevada has no interest in playing in this game. Their three best players, including QB Carson Strong, have opted out to get ready for the NFL draft. Plus at least 15 players have entered the transfer portal to follow their coach Jay Norvell to his new job at Colorado State. That's all bad news for the Nevada team that will be very short handed. Add to that the Wolves make the long trip from West to East and W.Michigan playing in their own backyard and this looks to be a Western Michigan blowout today. Play Western Michigan. |
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12-23-21 | Central Florida +7 v. Florida | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Battle of two Sunshine State teams here today in the Gasparilla Bowl as Central Florida takes on Florida. UCF Golden Knights finished 8-4 S/U and 4-8 ATS on the season. The Knights averaged 32.2 ppg and allowed 25.2 ppg. UCF has won two straight games and four of their last five games. The Florida Gators finished at 6-6 S/U and 3-9 ATS on the season. They average 31.8 ppg while allowing 26.6 ppg. The Gators limped into the Bowls, losing three of their last five games and failing to cover any of those contests. Gators will have big issues today with this UCF offense. I'll take the Knights in this one. Play Central Florida. |
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12-23-21 | Miami-OH v. North Texas +2.5 | 27-14 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Frisco Bowl here in the early game of the day from Frisco, Tx has Miami Ohio taking on North Texas. Miami finished just bowl eligible at 6-6 overall and 5-7 vs the spread. The Hawks were a perfect 5-0 at home, but just 1-6 when playing on the road. They will play a North Texas team that also just got to the bowls with a 6-6 record and a 9-3 ats mark. Both these teams finished in the middle of their respective conferences. North Texas has the advantage of playing in their own State and for me that makes a difference against a poor road team like Miami. I'll take North Texas in this one. |
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12-22-21 | Missouri v. Army -6.5 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Armed forces bowl has Missouri taking on Army. Missouri just did get bowl eligible at 6-6 S/U on the season. They were just 3-9 ATS overall this year. They are coming off a loss at Arkansas, 17-34 as a 14.5-point dog. The Tigers were outscored overall on the season 29.7 ppg to 34.7 ppg. Now they face an Army team that averaged 302 yards per game on the ground this year. Why is that significant? Missouri has the 110th ranked defense and they allowed 229 yards per game on the ground. Looks to be a long day here for the Tigers who will be fed a steady streak of Army rushing. Play Army. |
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12-21-21 | San Diego State -2.5 v. UTSA | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Frisco Bowl is the late game today from Frisco, TX and has San Diego State taking on UTSA. Both these teams had excellent seasons. San Diego State Aztecs were 11-2 S/U and 6-6-1 ATS on the season. The Aztecs were once again a great defensive team, allowing just 19.5 ppg this season. They did come off a loss in the Mountain West Championship to Utah State, 13-46. The UTSA Roadrunners were 12-1 S/U and 9-4 ATS on the season. They average 37.8 ppg while allowing 23.6 ppg. UTSA beat Western Kentucky in the Conference USA Championship, 49-41 as a 3-point dog. Both teams are excellent defensive units, but I have to give the edge to the Aztecs here today. Play San Diego State. |
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12-21-21 | Wyoming -3.5 v. Kent State | 52-38 | Win | 101 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
The Potato Bowl here on Tuesday from Boise, ID has Wyoming taking on Kent State. Wyoming finished 6-6 and was just bowl eligible. The Cowboys averaged 23.2 ppg while allowing just 22.5 ppg. Wyoming's last game was a Nov 27th loss against Hawaii, 14-38. Kent State finished first in the MAC East standings with a 7-6 record and 6-7 ATS mark. The Golden Flashes lost to Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship, 23-41 as a 3.5-point favorite. This game isn't about numbers, it's more about which team will show up here today. Good news for Cowboys is that All American Linebacker Chad Muma decided to play and not opt out for the NFL draft. With Mum playing here today I look for that to give a boost to this Cowboys team today. Take Wyoming. |
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12-20-21 | Tulsa v. Old Dominion +9 | 30-17 | Loss | -113 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
Myrtle Beach Bowl here on Monday is the lone bowl action as Tulsa takes on Old Dominion. Both teams just did become bowl eligible with identical 6-6 records. Tulsa was 7-5 against the spread while ODU was 8-3-1. Tulsa averaged 26.1 ppg while allowing 27.4 ppg. The Golden Hurricane is coming off a three game win streak including last game at SMU, 34-31. ODU Monarchs averaged 28.5 ppg while allowing 27.6 ppg. The Monarchs bring a five game win and cover streak into today's contest. They are coming off a win over Charlotte, 56-34. This team can score and getting nearly 10 points is a lot to give a high scoring team. I'll take the dog here. Play Old Dominion |
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12-18-21 | Marshall +5.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 21-36 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 3 m | Show | |
New Orleans bowl action here today has local favorite UL Lafayette playing in their back yard against Marshall on Saturday. Marshall finished the season with a 7-5 S/U and 6-6 spread record on the season. Marshall had a very good offense, averaging 34 ppg and 471 yards per game this season. They held opponents to just 22.7 ppg and 388.3 ypg average. The Thundering Herd are coming off a loss to Western Kentucky, 21-53 as a 1.5-point dog. UL Lafayette was 12-1 S/U and 6-7 ATS on the season. The Ragin' Cajuns averaged 30.7 ppg while allowing 18.3 ppg. The Cajuns are just 2-5 their last seven games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last four bowl games. Conversely, Marshall is 7-2 ATS in their last nine bowl games. I like Marshall here on Saturday. |