Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-09-25 | Chiefs v. Eagles OVER 49 | 22-40 | Win | 100 | 275 h 36 m | Show | |
Super Bowl LIX on February 9, 2025, features a compelling rematch between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles, echoing their thrilling encounter in Super Bowl LVII two years prior, where the Chiefs narrowly triumphed 38-35. The Chiefs, under the seasoned leadership of Head Coach Andy Reid, concluded the regular season with an impressive 15-2 record, tying for the league's best. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes, while not reaching his usual statistical heights, demonstrated exceptional clutch performance, orchestrating seven game-winning drives-tying for the second-most in NFL history. Tight end Travis Kelce remained a pivotal offensive weapon, leading the team with 823 receiving yards. A mid-season acquisition of wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins bolstered the receiving corps, adding 437 yards and four touchdowns in five starts. Defensively, the Chiefs maintained a top-four ranking for the second consecutive year, anchored by All-Pro defensive tackle Chris Jones and standout cornerback Trent McDuffie. The Eagles, guided by Head Coach Nick Sirianni, improved to a 14-3 record. Quarterback Jalen Hurts achieved career highs in several passing metrics, complemented by the stellar performance of running back Saquon Barkley, who became the ninth player in NFL history to surpass 2,000 rushing yards in a season. The receiving unit, featuring All-Pro A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, provided robust support. The offensive line's excellence was recognized with multiple Pro Bowl and All-Pro selections. Defensively, under coordinator Vic Fangio, the Eagles secured the league's second-ranked defense, highlighted by linebacker Zack Baun's 151 tackles and defensive tackle Jalen Carter's disruptive presence. Mahomes and Hurts, both dynamic playmakers, will be central to their teams' offensive success. Mahomes' experience and late-game heroics contrast with Hurts' dual-threat capabilities, setting the stage for an intriguing battle. Barkley's record-breaking season poses a significant challenge to the Chiefs' defense. The effectiveness of the Eagles' ground attack against the Chiefs' defensive front, led by Chris Jones, could be a determining factor. This matchup marks only the second time in Super Bowl history that two teams have met twice within three years. The Chiefs aim to become the first NFL team to secure three consecutive Super Bowl victories, a testament to their sustained excellence. Conversely, the Eagles seek redemption from their narrow loss two years ago, driven by a potent offense and a formidable defense. Both these teams have dynamic offenses and both teams should get plenty of points here in the Super Bowl. I'll take the OVER as one of my plays. |
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01-26-25 | Bills v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | 29-32 | Loss | -105 | 115 h 22 m | Show | |
The highly anticipated AFC Championship Game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills is set for Sunday, January 26, 2025, at 3:30 PM PST at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. The Chiefs secured their seventh consecutive AFC Championship appearance by defeating the Houston Texans 23-14 in the Divisional Round. Led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City aims for a historic third straight Super Bowl appearance. Tight end Travis Kelce continues to be a pivotal offensive weapon, recently surpassing Jerry Rice's record for most 100-yard postseason games. The Bills advanced by edging out the Baltimore Ravens 27-25 in a snowy thriller. Quarterback Josh Allen has been instrumental in Buffalo's success, leading a dynamic offense seeking its first Super Bowl appearance since 1994. The Bills' defense, known for forcing turnovers, will be tested against a Chiefs offense that hasn't committed a turnover in eight games. The duel between quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen is central to this matchup. Both have a history of high-stakes performances, including the memorable 2021 Divisional Round game where the Chiefs won 42-36 in overtime. The Chiefs' offense, bolstered by Kelce's record-setting performances, will face a Bills defense adept at creating turnovers. Conversely, the Bills' offense must contend with a Chiefs defense that has shown vulnerability, allowing significant plays this season. This marks the seventh playoff meeting between these teams, with the Chiefs leading the series 4-2. Notably, Kansas City has won the last three postseason encounters, including the 2023 Divisional Round where they triumphed 27-24. The Bills, however, secured a 30-21 victory in their regular-season meeting this past November. With both teams boasting explosive offenses and strategic defenses, fans can anticipate a thrilling game. The outcome may hinge on each team's ability to protect the football and execute under pressure. The winner will advance to face either the Philadelphia Eagles or the Washington Commanders in Super Bowl LIX. The days of the Chiefs running away with high scoring games seems to be in the past. The Bills games have also been more controlled of late though they did get 52 in the Ravens contest. Still, the Chiefs can't get into a scoring affair here today. Take the UNDER. |
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01-26-25 | Commanders v. Eagles OVER 47.5 | Top | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 113 h 43 m | Show |
The NFC Championship Game between the Washington Commanders and the Philadelphia Eagles is scheduled for Sunday, January 26, 2025, at 3:00 PM ET at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. Led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, the Commanders have made a remarkable playoff run, including a 45-31 victory over the top-seeded Detroit Lions in the Divisional Round. Daniels has demonstrated poise and leadership, throwing for 567 yards and four touchdowns in the playoffs, and is a strong candidate for Offensive Rookie of the Year. However, the team faces challenges due to injuries, notably the loss of key offensive lineman Sam Cosmi to a torn ACL, which could impact their offensive line's effectiveness against the Eagles' formidable defense. The Eagles secured their spot in the NFC Championship by defeating the Los Angeles Rams 28-22, with running back Saquon Barkley rushing for 205 yards and two touchdowns. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has been managing a knee injury, which may affect his mobility, but the team's dynamic run game remains a strength. The Eagles' defense, led by standout performances from players like Jalen Carter, will look to capitalize on the Commanders' weakened offensive line. The teams split their regular-season meetings. In Week 11, the Eagles won 26-18, with Barkley contributing significantly. In Week 16, the Commanders secured a 36-33 victory, overcoming five turnovers and showcasing Daniels' resilience. The Eagles' potent rushing offense, highlighted by Barkley's recent performances, will face a Commanders' run defense that has struggled in recent games, ranking among the bottom six in the league over their past six games. These two teams should be putting up plenty of points as we have already seen them do in their previous meetings this year. I'm going to be on the OVER here on Sunday. |
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01-20-25 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame UNDER 45.5 | 34-23 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
The 2025 College Football Playoff National Championship features a compelling matchup between the Ohio State Buckeyes and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, set to kick off on Monday, January 20, at 7:30 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. Ohio State Buckeyes (13-2) were 10-2 during the regular season, with losses to Oregon and Michigan. The Buckeyes secured the eighth seed in the playoff. They showcased resilience by defeating Tennessee (42-17), avenging their earlier loss to Oregon (41-21), and overcoming Texas (28-14) to earn their spot in the championship game. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (14-1) began their season with a shocking loss to Northern Illinois but rebounded impressively with a 13-game winning streak. Entering the playoff as the seventh seed, they triumphed over Indiana (27-17), upset Georgia (23-10), and edged out Penn State (27-24) to reach the title game. Notre Dame averages 210.8 rushing yards per game, led by quarterback Riley Leonard and running backs Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price. Ohio State's defense, however, ranks third nationally against the run, allowing just 89.9 yards per game. The battle in the trenches will be pivotal. Both quarterbacks transferred to their respective programs and have been instrumental in their teams' successes. Leonard, formerly of Duke, brings dual-threat capabilities, while Howard, from Kansas State, has set career highs in passing metrics. Their performances under pressure will significantly influence the game's outcome. Notre Dame's head coach, Marcus Freeman, a former Ohio State player, seeks to lead the Fighting Irish to their first national title since 1988. His intimate knowledge of the Buckeyes adds an intriguing layer to the coaching dynamics of this championship game. Ohio State enters the game as an 8.5-point favorite. The Buckeyes boast the nation's top defense, allowing just 12.2 points per game, while Notre Dame's defense ranks second, conceding 14.3 points per game. Both teams have demonstrated offensive prowess, with Ohio State averaging 35.8 points per game and Notre Dame averaging 37. The matchup is expected to be a closely contested battle between two storied programs. With the two best defensive teams in the nation, I'll be on the UNDER here on Monday. |
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01-19-25 | Ravens v. Bills OVER 51 | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens are set to face the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Divisional Round on Sunday at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. The Ravens concluded the regular season with a 12-5 record, securing the AFC North title for the second consecutive year. They advanced to the Divisional Round after a 28-14 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers in the Wild Card round. The Bills finished the regular season at 13-4, clinching the AFC East title. They progressed by defeating the Denver Broncos 31-7 in the Wild Card round, with quarterback Josh Allen contributing 272 passing yards and two touchdowns. These teams previously met in Week 4, where the Ravens secured a 35-10 victory at M&T Bank Stadium. In that matchup, running back Derrick Henry delivered a standout performance with 199 rushing yards, including an 87-yard touchdown run on the Ravens' first offensive snap. Both teams feature dynamic quarterbacks in Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, who are among the leading contenders for the NFL MVP award this season. Jackson amassed 4,172 passing yards with 41 touchdowns and added 1,206 rushing yards, while Allen recorded 3,731 passing yards with 28 touchdowns and 706 rushing yards. Their performances will significantly influence the game's outcome. Another East game where we have to take a look at the weather conditions. The forecast in Orchard Park predicts flurries with temperatures around 15°F. These conditions could affect gameplay, particularly for the Ravens, who are less accustomed to severe cold. Ball security and handling will be crucial factors under these circumstances. You can make a case for either side here today, but for me the x-factor has to be Henry and his ability to take over games. The Bills don't have an equal to Henry. So expect the Bills to use Allen much more in his own run ablity. Despite the conditions, I'm looking for a high scoring game. Play the OVER. |
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01-18-25 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 42 | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 39 h 47 m | Show | |
The Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) host the Houston Texans (11-7) in a highly anticipated AFC Divisional Round matchup. While the Chiefs enter as heavy favorites, this game has the potential to be more defensive than anticipated, making a compelling case for betting on the under for the point totals. Both teams feature defensive units capable of dictating the pace of the game. The Chiefs' defense has been one of their biggest strengths this season, allowing only 18.2 points per game (5th in the league). Chris Jones anchors a strong pass rush that thrives in high-pressure moments, while the secondary, led by L'Jarius Sneed and Trent McDuffie, has been efficient at shutting down top receivers. Houston's defensive front, spearheaded by Denico Autry, has shown the ability to exploit weak offensive lines. This could be pivotal against the Chiefs' inconsistent protection on Patrick Mahomes' blindside. Houston allowed only 21 points in their Wild Card win over the Chargers, showcasing their ability to contain explosive offenses. Kansas City, despite its offensive firepower, has leaned on longer, sustained drives this season, averaging fewer explosive plays compared to previous years. This controlled pace aligns with head coach Andy Reid’s playoff philosophy of limiting turnovers and managing the clock. January football in Kansas City often brings cold and windy conditions. Early forecasts for Saturday suggest temperatures in the mid-30s with a chance of wind gusts exceeding 15 mph. Such conditions could hinder downfield passing, leading to more conservative play calling and reduced scoring opportunities. I expect the Chiefs to hold down this Texans offense and the game to go UNDER. |
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01-12-25 | Commanders v. Bucs OVER 50 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
The Washington Commanders (12-5) are set to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-7) in the NFC Wild Card round on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. Under head coach Dan Quinn, Washington has transformed into a formidable contender, finishing the regular season with a 12-5 record—their best since 1991. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been instrumental, leading an offense that ranks among the top five in total yards, rushing yards, and points per game. The defense has been equally impressive, ranking third in passing yards allowed and excelling in quarterback pressure. Tampa Bay clinched their fourth consecutive NFC South title with a 10-7 record. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has revitalized the offense, throwing for 4,500 yards and 41 touchdowns during the regular season. The Buccaneers' offense ranks third in the NFL, averaging 399.5 total yards per game, while the defense ranks 18th, allowing 341.8 yards per game. These teams met in Week 1 of the season, with the Buccaneers securing a 37-20 victory at Raymond James Stadium. In that game, Mayfield threw for four touchdowns, while Daniels, making his NFL debut, showcased his dual-threat capabilities with two rushing touchdowns. Jayden Daniels the Commanders rookie quarterback has demonstrated poise and playmaking ability, both through the air and on the ground. His performance will be crucial against Tampa Bay's defense. Terry McLaurin is Daniels primary receiving threat, McLaurin's ability to create separation and make contested catches will be vital for Washington's passing game. Baker Mayfield's leadership and playmaking have been pivotal for Tampa Bay's offense. His experience will be a key factor in the postseason. Mike Evans has been his primary deep threat, Evans has recorded over 1,000 receiving yards for the 11th consecutive season, tying an NFL record. This game has two very good offenses and I look for both teams to be able to move the ball with ease and score at will. I'm taking the OVER here today. |
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01-12-25 | Packers v. Eagles UNDER 45.5 | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers (11-6) are set to face the Philadelphia Eagles (14-3) in the NFC Wild Card round on Sunday at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. Philadelphia secured the NFC East title with a 14-3 record, tying a franchise record for wins in a season. Their offense, led by running back Saquon Barkley, ranks seventh in the league, averaging 27.2 points per game. Defensively, they are formidable, allowing just 17.8 points per game, the second-best in the NFL. Green Bay enters the playoffs as the seventh seed with an 11-6 record. Their offense is potent, averaging 27.1 points per game (eighth in the NFL), while their defense allows 19.9 points per game, ranking sixth. These teams met in Week 1 of the season in Sao Paulo, Brazil, where the Eagles emerged victorious with a 34-29 win. In that game, Barkley was instrumental, scoring three touchdowns and rushing for 109 yards. Wide receiver A.J. Brown added five receptions for 119 yards and a touchdown. Saquon Barkley – A dynamic playmaker, Barkley surpassed 2,000 rushing yards this season and is central to the Eagles' offensive strategy. Jalen Hurts – The Eagles quarterback has cleared concussion protocol and is expected to start, bringing mobility and leadership to the offense. Packers: Jordan Love - The quarterback has been efficient, throwing for 3,389 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions this season. Defense - Green Bay's defense has been effective against the run, which will be crucial in containing Barkley. I like the Packers defense to keep this game close on Sunday and as such I'm taking the UNDER. |
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01-12-25 | Broncos v. Bills OVER 47.5 | 7-31 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos (10-7) are set to face the Buffalo Bills (13-4) in an AFC Wild Card matchup on Sunday at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. Buffalo clinched the AFC East title with a 13-4 record, showcasing a potent offense that averaged 30.9 points per game. Quarterback Josh Allen led the team with 3,731 passing yards, 28 touchdowns, and only six interceptions. Running back James Cook contributed significantly with 1,009 rushing yards and 17 total touchdowns. The Bills' defense allowed 21.6 points per game, ranking in the top half of the league. Denver secured a playoff spot with a 10-7 record, finishing third in the AFC West. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix impressed with 3,775 passing yards, 29 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. Wide receiver Courtland Sutton was his primary target, amassing 1,081 receiving yards and eight touchdowns. The Broncos' defense was formidable, allowing just 18.3 points per game, among the best in the league. Josh Allen is a likely MVP winners and a dual-threat quarterback known for his strong arm and mobility, Allen's performance will be crucial against Denver's stout defense. James Cook has over 1,000 rushing yards, Cook's ability to establish the run game can open up play-action opportunities for the Bills. Denver's QB Bo Nix has had a great rookie season but faces a significant test in his playoff debut against a seasoned Bills defense. Both these teams should be able to put up points here on Sunday. I'm looking to play the OVER. |
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01-11-25 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 43.5 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers are set to face the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Wild Card round on Saturday at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The Ravens, finishing the regular season with a 12-5 record, are favored by 9.5 points, with the over/under set at 43.5 points. Offense: The Ravens have been prolific, averaging 30.5 points per game, ranking third in the league. Quarterback Lamar Jackson has been exceptional, throwing for 4,172 yards, 41 touchdowns, and only four interceptions. Additionally, Jackson has contributed 915 rushing yards. Running back Derrick Henry led the league with 1,921 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns. Defense: Baltimore's defense has been solid, allowing 21.2 points per game, ranking ninth in the league. They've been particularly effective against the run, allowing just 80.1 rushing yards per game, the best in the NFL. The Steelers have faced challenges, especially in the latter part of the season, averaging 18.1 points per game, which is among the lower tiers in the league. Quarterback Russell Wilson has thrown for 2,482 yards, 16 touchdowns, and five interceptions over 11 games. Running back Najee Harris has been a bright spot, rushing for 1,043 yards and six touchdowns. Pittsburgh's defense has been commendable, allowing 21.5 points per game, ranking 10th in the league. They've recorded 40 sacks and 17 interceptions this season. Historically, matchups between the Steelers and Ravens have been low-scoring affairs. Eight of their last nine meetings have gone under the total points line. The Steelers can't let this game get into a offensive battle, they just don't have the weapons to keep up. The Steelers need to use their defense to stay in this game. I'll take the UNDER. |
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01-11-25 | Chargers v. Texans UNDER 42 | 12-32 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Chargers are set to face the Houston Texans in the AFC Wild Card round on Saturday at NRG Stadium in Houston. Under head coach Jim Harbaugh, the Chargers finished the regular season with an 11-6 record, securing the No. 5 seed in the AFC. They enter the playoffs on a three-game winning streak, highlighted by a 34-20 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 18. Quarterback Justin Herbert has been instrumental, amassing 3,870 passing yards, 23 touchdowns, and only three interceptions this season. Running back J.K. Dobbins has also been a key contributor, rushing for 905 yards and nine touchdowns. The Texans, led by rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, clinched the AFC South with a 10-7 record. However, they have faced challenges recently, losing two of their last three games and dealing with significant injuries in their receiving corps, including Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell on injured reserve. Despite these setbacks, wide receiver Nico Collins remains a reliable target for Stroud. Defensively, the Chargers boast a formidable unit, leading the league in points allowed per game (17.7) and excelling in third-down conversion rate. Linebacker Daiyan Henley has been a standout performer, contributing significantly to their defensive success. The Texans' defense, while resilient, will need to elevate their performance to contain Herbert and the Chargers' offense. The matchup features a surging Chargers team against a Texans squad grappling with injuries. Key factors include Herbert's performance, the effectiveness of the Chargers' defense, and how well Stroud adapts to the playoff atmosphere. Given the defensive strengths and offensive uncertainties, a lower-scoring game could be anticipated, aligning with the Chargers and the UNDER. |
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01-09-25 | Notre Dame v. Penn State UNDER 45.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
The College Football Playoff semifinal between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Penn State Nittany Lions is set for Thursday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. This Orange Bowl matchup features two storied programs vying for a spot in the national championship game. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (13-1) is under head coach Marcus Freeman, Notre Dame has showcased a balanced attack, averaging 38.8 points per game while allowing just 13.8 points per game, ranking them second in scoring defense nationally. Quarterback Riley Leonard's dual-threat capability has been pivotal, complemented by a strong running game led by Jeremiyah Love, who has amassed 1,057 rushing yards this season. The defense, coordinated by Al Golden-a Penn State alumnus-has been formidable, particularly in pass defense, allowing only 167.4 passing yards per game. Penn State Nittany Lions (13-2) under head coach James Franklin has been impressive, scoring 33.7 points per game and conceding 15.8 points per game. Quarterback Drew Allar leads the offense, supported by a potent rushing duo: Kaytron Allen (1,026 rushing yards) and Nicholas Singleton. Tight end Tyler Warren has been a key receiving target, with 1,158 receiving yards. Defensively, the Nittany Lions excel in creating pressure and have been effective in limiting opponents' rushing attacks. This game marks the 20th meeting between the two programs, with the series tied at 9-9-1. Their most recent encounter was in 2007, where Penn State secured a 31-10 victory. Notably, this Orange Bowl is the first College Football Playoff semifinal to feature two Black head coaches, adding a historic dimension to the matchup. I look for a tough battle here on Thursday with the defenses being the prime units on display. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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01-05-25 | Vikings v. Lions OVER 56 | 9-31 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
The NFC's top seeds collide in a showdown with playoff implications and fireworks written all over it. Both the Vikings and Lions come into this game with identical 14-2 records, high-powered offenses, and a history of delivering thrilling contests. With the over/under set at a lofty 54.5 points, bettors are eyeing the over play, and there are several reasons to believe this game could be a high-scoring affair. In their Week 12 meeting, Detroit edged out Minnesota in a 38-35 thriller, a game that soared over the 50-point total. Over their last five games, the Vikings and Lions have combined for an average of 62.8 points per contest. Both teams are peaking offensively, with the Lions averaging 32.4 points over the last four weeks and the Vikings posting 33.1 during the same stretch. I expect this contest to be one of the highest scoring affairs of the year and should easily eclipse 60 points. Take the OVER. |
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01-05-25 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 44.5 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints (5-11) are set to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7) on Sunday, January 5, 2025, at Raymond James Stadium. The Buccaneers are heavily favored, with a 14-point spread, and the over/under is set at 44.5 points. The Buccaneers are coming off a dominant 48-14 victory over the Carolina Panthers. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has been impressive this season, throwing for 4,279 yards and 39 touchdowns. Wide receiver Mike Evans is on the verge of extending his NFL record with an 11th consecutive 1,000-yard receiving season; he needs just 85 yards to reach this milestone. The Saints have had a challenging season, marked by a three-game losing streak and significant injuries, including to quarterbacks Derek Carr and Taysom Hill. Their offense has struggled, averaging 20.6 points per game, ranking 22nd in the league. Defensively, they allow 23.1 points per game, placing them 16th. The over/under for this game is set at 44.5 points. The Buccaneers have been prolific offensively, averaging 29.6 points per game, which ranks 5th in the NFL. Given the Saints' defensive vulnerabilities and Tampa Bay's potent offense, there's potential for a high-scoring game. I'll take the OVER here as the Bucs should have little issues scoring in this game. |
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01-05-25 | Panthers v. Falcons OVER 48 | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons (8-8) are set to host the Carolina Panthers (4-12) on Sunday, January 5, 2025, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This Week 18 matchup carries significant implications for the Falcons, who are vying for a playoff spot, while the Panthers aim to conclude a challenging season on a positive note. The Falcons have shown resilience this season, particularly after transitioning to rookie quarterback Michael Penix Jr. Penix has demonstrated potential, leading the team to a decisive victory over the New York Giants and narrowly missing a win against the Washington Commanders in overtime. Running back Bijan Robinson has been a standout performer, accumulating 1,286 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns this season. Given the Panthers' vulnerabilities in run defense, Robinson is expected to play a pivotal role in Atlanta's offensive strategy. The Panthers have faced a tumultuous season, marked by a seven-game losing streak and significant injuries, including six starters on injured reserve. Despite these setbacks, rookie quarterback Bryce Young has shown development, accounting for multiple touchdowns in four of his last five starts. However, the team's defense has struggled, particularly against the run, allowing an average of 206.3 rushing yards per game over the past three contests. I don't see the Panthers stopping the Falcons here on Sunday and that means Carolina will have to pass more to stay even. I'm taking the OVER. |
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01-04-25 | Buffalo v. Liberty OVER 50.5 | 26-7 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The upcoming Bahamas Bowl on January 4, 2025, features the Buffalo Bulls (8-4) facing the Liberty Flames (8-3) in Nassau. The Bulls average 29.1 points per game, ranking 59th nationally. Their rushing attack contributes 166.6 yards per game (72nd), while the passing game adds 190.4 yards per game (133rd). Quarterback CJ Ogbonna has thrown for 2,244 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions this season. Running Back Al-Jay Henderson leads the ground game with 959 rushing yards. Buffalo allows 28.0 points per game (104th nationally), with opponents averaging 272.8 passing yards and 145.3 rushing yards per game. The Flames score 30.7 points per game, ranking 44th nationally. Their offense is heavily run-oriented, averaging 260.7 rushing yards per game (5th), with a less prominent passing game at 175.8 yards per game (150th). Quarterback Kaidon Salter has passed for 1,886 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. RB Quinton Cooley leads the rushing attack with 1,254 yards. Buffalo is 7-5-0 ATS this season while Liberty is just 3-8-0 ATS this season. Buffalo has gone over in 7 of its 12 games while Liberty is 5-6 Over/Under. I expect a high scoring game here on Saturday as both teams should little trouble scoring points. |
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01-02-25 | Notre Dame v. Georgia UNDER 45.5 | Top | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
: The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-1) are set to face the Georgia Bulldogs (11-2) in the Allstate Sugar Bowl, a College Football Playoff (CFP) quarterfinal, on January 1, 2025, at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Quarterback Riley Leonard leads the Irish with over 1,900 passing yards and 700 rushing yards this season, making him one of the top dual-threat quarterbacks in the nation. His 15 rushing touchdowns rank fifth among quarterbacks nationally. Notre Dame's defense has been formidable, allowing just 17.5 points per game. The unit excels in limiting opponents' passing efficiency and has been effective in generating turnovers. The Bulldogs average 33.1 points per game, accumulating over 415 total yards per contest. With starting quarterback Carson Beck sidelined due to injury, backup Gunner Stockton is expected to make his first career start in the Sugar Bowl. Georgia's defense allows 20.3 points per game, showcasing strength in both pass and rush defense. The unit has been adept at pressuring quarterbacks and disrupting offensive rhythms. With limited collegiate experience, Stockton faces a stern test against a disciplined Notre Dame defense. His performance under pressure will be pivotal for Georgia's offensive success. This Sugar Bowl matchup features two storied programs with rich histories. Notre Dame enters the game with momentum, riding an 11-game winning streak and led by Dodd Coach of the Year, Marcus Freeman. Georgia, despite the setback of losing their starting quarterback, boasts a resilient defense and a strong running game. I don't see this game scoring a lot of points with Beck out for Georgia and an unexperienced QB making his first start. I look for this game to go UNDER. |
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01-01-25 | Ohio State v. Oregon UNDER 56 | 41-21 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
The Ohio State Buckeyes (11-2) are set to face the Oregon Ducks (13-0) in the Rose Bowl, a College Football Playoff (CFP) quarterfinal, on January 1, 2025, at the Rose Bowl Stadium in Pasadena, California. The Buckeyes boast a high-powered offense, averaging 42.3 points per game. Quarterback Will Howard leads the passing attack, complemented by a strong rushing duo in TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins. Ohio State's defense allows an average of 20.8 points per game. The unit has shown vulnerability against efficient rushing attacks, which could be a focal point against Oregon's balanced offense. Led by quarterback Dillon Gabriel, the Ducks average 38.7 points per game. Gabriel's experience and leadership have been pivotal in orchestrating Oregon's offense, which effectively balances the run and pass.Oregon's defense is formidable, allowing just 17.5 points per game. The unit excels in pass defense, holding opponents to a 54.2% completion rate, and has been effective in generating turnovers. Earlier this season, on October 12, Oregon edged out Ohio State in a nail-biting, down-to-the-wire thriller, securing a 32-31 victory at Autzen Stadium. It marked Oregon's first Big Ten matchup of the season and was a historic win for the Ducks, who had been 0-19 against top-2 ranked opponents heading into the game. This Rose Bowl matchup features two powerhouse programs with dynamic offenses and resilient defenses. Ohio State seeks to avenge their narrow regular-season loss to Oregon, while the Ducks aim to maintain their undefeated record and advance in the CFP. Both offenses should get plenty of scoring chances here on Wednesday. As such, I'll take the over and look for a repeat of the first meeting. |
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12-29-24 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 48.5 | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings (13-2) are set to host the Green Bay Packers (11-4) on Sunday at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Vikings are currently leading the NFC North with a 13-2 record, riding an impressive eight-game winning streak. Their defense has been formidable, ranking first in the NFL in interceptions and several other defensive metrics. Offensively, they have scored in 19 consecutive quarters, showcasing consistent productivity. The Packers hold an 11-4 record, placing them third in the NFC North and sixth in the NFC overall. They are vying for the NFC's #5 seed, with their playoff seeding hinging on the outcomes of their remaining games against the Vikings and the Chicago Bears. Sam Darnold (QB) has revitalized his career in Minnesota, throwing for 3,776 yards and 32 touchdowns this season. Jordan Love (QB) has thrown for 24 touchdowns this season, leading the Packers' offense with a passer rating of 97.8. Vikings averaging 25 points per game, with a balanced attack that has been effective both in the air and on the ground. Packers averaging 24 points per game, showcasing a potent offense capable of explosive plays. This NFC North showdown carries significant playoff implications for both teams. The Vikings, having already secured a playoff berth, aim to maintain momentum and potentially secure the top seed in the conference. The Packers are fighting to improve their playoff positioning, with the possibility of securing the #5 seed with favorable outcomes in their remaining games. I'll be on the OVER in what should be a great offensive battle Sunday. |
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12-29-24 | Panthers v. Bucs OVER 47.5 | 14-48 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7) are set to host the Carolina Panthers (4-11) on Sunday, at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. The Buccaneers are currently second in the NFC South with an 8-7 record. They are coming off a narrow 26-24 loss to the Dallas Cowboys, which has impacted their playoff positioning. The Panthers hold a 4-11 record, placing them at the bottom of the NFC South. However, they are coming off a morale-boosting 36-30 overtime victory against the Arizona Cardinals, showcasing resilience and offensive potential. Baker Mayfield has been leading the Buccaneers' offense with notable performances throughout the season. In the recent game against the Cowboys, he contributed significantly, although the team fell short. Bryce Young (QB) the rookie quarterback has shown growth, passing for 1,949 yards with 10 touchdowns and 9 interceptions this season for the Panthers. In the win against the Cardinals, Young completed 17 of 26 passes for 158 yards and two touchdowns, displaying poise under pressure. Chuba Hubbard (RB) has been a key component of the Panthers' ground game. However, he was recently placed on injured reserve due to a calf injury, which could impact the Panthers' rushing attack. The Buccaneers rank third in the league, averaging 389.7 yards per game, with a balanced attack that can exploit defensive weaknesses. The Panthers rank 25th, averaging 18.9 points per game, indicating struggles in sustaining drives and scoring. The Buccaneers, aiming to rebound from their recent loss, will look to capitalize on the Panthers' defensive struggles. Baker Mayfield's leadership and the offensive unit's efficiency will be crucial in establishing an early lead. The Panthers, despite their record, have shown the ability to compete, as evidenced by their recent overtime victory. Bryce Young's development and adaptability will be tested against a Buccaneers defense seeking redemption. In their previous meeting on December 1, 2024, the Buccaneers edged out the Panthers 26-23 in overtime, indicating a competitive rivalry. I like this game to go OVER here on Sunday. |
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12-28-24 | Broncos v. Bengals OVER 50 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos (9-6) are set to face the Cincinnati Bengals (7-8) in a pivotal Week 17 matchup on Saturday at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. This game carries significant playoff implications for both teams, with the Broncos aiming to secure a postseason berth and the Bengals striving to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Broncos are coming off a 34-27 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers, a game in which quarterback Bo Nix completed 29 of 40 passes for 263 yards and two touchdowns. Bo Nix (Quarterback) has beeen efficient under center, contributing to the team's offensive efforts. The Bengals have won three consecutive games, including a 24-6 victory over the Cleveland Browns, where quarterback Joe Burrow threw for 252 yards and three touchdowns. Joe Burrow (Quarterback) has been exceptional, with 384 completions on 557 attempts for 4,229 yards and 39 touchdowns this season. Ja'Marr Chase (Wide Receiver) leeds the receivers recording 108 receptions for 1,510 yards and 16 touchdowns. The Bengals' offense, led by Burrow and Chase, has been prolific, particularly in the passing game. The Broncos' defense will need to contain this duo to limit big plays. With playoff implications abound, I look for a high scoring contest here today. Play the OVER. |
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12-28-24 | Chargers v. Patriots OVER 42 | 40-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Chargers (9-6) are set to face the New England Patriots (3-12) in a Week 17 matchup on Saturday at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. The Chargers are aiming to secure a playoff berth, while the Patriots look to end a five-game losing streak. The Chargers are coming off a 34-27 victory over the Denver Broncos. Quarterback Justin Herbert completed 23 of 31 passes for 284 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception in that game. Herbert has thrown for 3,243 yards, 18 touchdowns, and three interceptions this season, completing 64.7% of his passes. The Patriots suffered a 24-21 loss to the Buffalo Bills in their last outing. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye completed 22 of 36 passes for 261 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception in that game. The Chargers' offense, led by Herbert, ranks 18th in points scored, averaging 21.9 points per game. They will face a Patriots' defense that has been vulnerable, allowing 24 or more points in several games this season. The Patriots' offense, under rookie quarterback Maye, has struggled to find consistency and will be tested by a Chargers' defense that has been opportunistic, particularly in creating turnovers. Take the OVER here on Saturday as the Chargers should have little difficulty scoring. Take OVER |
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12-25-24 | Chiefs v. Steelers UNDER 44 | 29-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
The Kansas City Chiefs (14-1) are set to face the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5) on Wednesday, December 25, 2024, at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. This Christmas Day matchup features two teams with playoff aspirations: the Chiefs aim to secure the AFC's top seed, while the Steelers are fighting to maintain their postseason position. With a 14-1 record, the Chiefs lead the AFC West and are riding a five-game winning streak. Their most recent victory was a 27-19 win over the Houston Texans, showcasing a balanced offensive attack and a resilient defense. The Steelers hold a 10-5 record, placing them second in the AFC North. They are coming off a 34-17 loss to the Baltimore Ravens, a game in which the offense struggled to find rhythm, and the defense allowed significant yardage. Patrick Mahomes (Quarterback) has been instrumental in the Chiefs' success, passing for 3,608 yards, 23 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions this season. His leadership and playmaking abilities continue to drive Kansas City's high-powered offense. Russell Wilson (Quarterback) has thrown for 3,150 yards, 15 touchdowns, and four interceptions this season. Despite the team's recent struggles, his experience and decision-making are crucial for Pittsburgh's offensive prospects. Good news for the Steelers will be the return of WR George Pickens. After missing the last three games due to a hamstring injury, Pickens is expected to return, aiming to boost the team's recently struggling passing game. What concerns me most are all the Chiefs injuries. Chris Jones (DT) and Jawaan Taylor (OT) are questionable whereas, Jack Cochrane (LB) is doubtful. Coming off a short week these key injuries will be tough on the Chiefs. I will take the Steelers here today plus the points at home. |
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12-23-24 | Saints v. Packers UNDER 43.5 | 0-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints (5-9) are set to face the Green Bay Packers (10-4) on Monday Night Football at Lambeau Field. The New Orleans Saints are third in the NFC South while the Green Bay Packers are third in the NFC North. Rookie, Spencer Rattler (QB) is expected to start in place of the injured Derek Carr for the Saints. In the previous game against the Washington Commanders, Rattler completed 10 of 21 passes for 135 yards and one touchdown. The Saints could also be without star running back Alvin Kamara (groin). and will be replaced by Kendre Miller who has shown potential in limited action his season. Jordan Love has been efficient at QB, leading the Packers' offense with poise. In the recent win over the Seattle Seahawks, he completed 20 of 27 passes for 229 yards and two touchdowns. But it's Josh Jacobs (RB) who is the star of this offense. Jacobs has been a key component of Green Bay's ground game, contributing significantly to their balanced offensive attack. How many points can the Saints score here tonight against a very good Packers' defense when they are starting a new QB and likely without their star running back? They got 19 vs the Commanders but I don't see them getting that many here tonight. Expect to see a lot of the Packers run game here tonight and a defense that will keep the Saints bottled up. I can't lay two or more touchdowns but I will play the UNDER. |
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12-22-24 | Bucs v. Cowboys OVER 47.5 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-6) are set to face the Dallas Cowboys (6-8) on Sunday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. This Sunday Night Football matchup carries significant implications, particularly for the Buccaneers, who are leading the NFC South and aiming to secure a playoff berth. With an 8-6 record, the Buccaneers top the NFC South. They are on a four-game winning streak, including a dominant 40-17 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 15, where the offense amassed 506 total yards. The Cowboys hold a 6-8 record, placing them third in the NFC East. They have won three of their last four games, most recently defeating the Carolina Panthers 30-14 in Week 15. Backup quarterback Cooper Rush has been leading the offense in the absence of Dak Prescott. Baker Mayfield (Quarterback) has been instrumental in the Buccaneers' recent success, throwing for 288 yards and four touchdowns against the Chargers. He has set a career high with 32 touchdown passes this season. Cooper Rush (Quarterback) filling in for the injured Dak Prescott, Rush threw for three touchdowns with no interceptions against the Panthers, managing the offense efficiently. The Bucs offense has been great under Mayfield and they should have little issue scoring points here against a depleted Cowboys defense. Dallas will have to play fast paced to stay with the Bucs today. I'm looking for a high scoring game. Take the OVER. |
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12-22-24 | Giants v. Falcons UNDER 43 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
The New York Giants (2-12) are set to face the Atlanta Falcons (7-7) on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. This Week 16 matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons: the Giants are enduring a challenging year, while the Falcons are vying for a playoff spot in the NFC South. With a 2-12 record, the Giants are at the bottom of the NFC East and are currently on a nine-game losing streak. A loss in this game would set a franchise record for consecutive defeats. The Falcons hold a 7-7 record, placing them second in the NFC South. They are in pursuit of the division-leading Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-6) and have made a strategic quarterback change to bolster their playoff chances. Michael Penix Jr. will take over from Kirk Cousins at quarterback. The rookie is set to make his first NFL start. Penix Jr. was selected eighth overall in the 2024 draft and is known for his athleticism and mobility. Both teams could see finding the endzone a bit tough here on Sunday. The Giants have very little on offense while we have to see how the Falcons use Penix Jr. I'm going to take the UNDER here today. |
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12-21-24 | Tennessee v. Ohio State UNDER 46.5 | 17-42 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
The No. 8 Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2) are set to host the No. 9 Tennessee Volunteers (10-2) in the first round of the College Football Playoff on Saturday at Ohio Stadium in Columbus, Ohio. The Buckeyes concluded the regular season with a 10-2 record, with notable victories over several Big Ten opponents. However, they suffered a significant loss to Michigan, which has intensified scrutiny on head coach Ryan Day. The Volunteers also finished the season at 10-2, showcasing a high-powered offense under head coach Josh Heupel. Their performance has earned them the No. 9 seed in the inaugural 12-team College Football Playoff. This matchup features two potent offenses, with Ohio State's balanced attack facing Tennessee's up-tempo style. The Buckeyes' defense, known for its resilience, will be tested by the Volunteers' quick-strike capabilities. Conversely, Ohio State's offensive line will need to protect Howard against Tennessee's defensive front. While both teams have excellent offenses, they also have top defenses and I look for the defenses to stand out here on Saturday. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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12-21-24 | Clemson v. Texas UNDER 50.5 | 24-38 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
The No. 5 Texas Longhorns (11-2) are set to host the No. 12 Clemson Tigers (10-3) in the first round of the College Football Playoff on Saturday at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas. The Longhorns finished the regular season with an 11-2 record, earning the No. 5 seed in the College Football Playoff. The Tigers secured a 10-3 record, clinching the ACC Championship with a narrow victory over SMU. QB Quinn Ewers has been instrumental in leading the Longhorns' offense, demonstrating both passing precision and mobility. Clemson QB Cade Klubnik, a dual-threat quarterback, has been pivotal in orchestrating Clemson's offense, showcasing his ability to make plays both in the air and on the ground. Both teams have excellent defenses and at this point I look for those defenses to control the game. As such, I'll take the UNDER. |
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12-21-24 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 42 | 19-27 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
The Kansas City Chiefs (13-1) are set to host the Houston Texans (9-5) in a pivotal AFC matchup on Saturday at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Boasting a 13-1 record, the Chiefs are on a four-game winning streak. Their latest victory was a 21-7 win over the Cleveland Browns. The Texans hold a 9-5 record, leading the AFC South. They secured a 20-12 victory against the Miami Dolphins in their most recent game. Patrick Mahomes has been practicing fully despite an ankle sprain and is expected to start. In the win against the Browns, he completed 19 of 38 passes for 159 yards, with two touchdowns and no interceptions. Marquise "Hollywood" Brown is set to make his season debut after recovering from a sternoclavicular injury, Brown's return adds depth to the Chiefs' receiving corps. C.J. Stroud has experienced a sophomore slump but remains a key component of the Texans' offense. In the recent win over the Dolphins, he went 18-for-26 for 131 yards, with two touchdowns and no interceptions. Joe Mixon leads the Texans' rushing attack with 910 yards and 11 touchdowns, averaging 82.7 yards per game and 4.2 yards per carry. He will have a tough day here on Saturday against one of the better rushing defenses in the NFL The Chiefs, aiming to secure the AFC's No. 1 seed. I look for the Chiefs defense to come out strong here on Saturday and a hobbled Mahomes to take it easy with short passes. Take the UNDER. |
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12-19-24 | Broncos v. Chargers UNDER 41.5 | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
The Denver Broncos (9-5) are set to face the Los Angeles Chargers (8-6) in a pivotal AFC West matchup on Thursday at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. With a 9-5 record, the Broncos are riding a four-game winning streak. Their recent 31-13 victory over the Indianapolis Colts has propelled them into the AFC's No. 6 seed, enhancing their playoff prospects. The Chargers stand at 8-6, currently holding the AFC's No. 7 seed. However, they are coming off a 40-17 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, marking their third defeat in the past four games. Bo Nix (Quarterback), the rookie QB for Denver has improved with each week. He threw three interceptions in the recent win against the Colts. Justin Herbert, QB for the Chargers, has had to play through injuries including his hand and ankle. He has been the cornerstone of the Chargers' offense, though he was limited to 195 passing yards with two touchdowns and one interception in the loss to the Buccaneers. This matchup carries significant playoff implications for both teams. The Broncos can clinch their first playoff berth since winning Super Bowl 50 with a victory, while the Chargers are looking to rebound and strengthen their postseason chances. Both teams boast excellent defenses and the Chargers looking to redeem themselves after a bad outing vs the Bucs last week. The Broncos defense is one of the best too. Add to that the issues the Chargers have at RB with JK Dobbins out and both backups not performing well, and I look for points to be at a premium here tonight. I'll take the UNDER. |
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12-16-24 | Falcons v. Raiders UNDER 44.5 | 15-9 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons (6-7) will face the Las Vegas Raiders (2-11) on Monday at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada. Both teams are looking to end their respective losing streaks, with the Falcons having lost four consecutive games and the Raiders on a nine-game skid. Despite their recent struggles, the Falcons are favored by 5.5 points in this matchup. Their offense ranks 8th overall, with a particularly strong passing game ranked 2nd in the league. However, their defense has been less effective, ranking 23rd overall. The Raiders have faced significant challenges this season, with a 2-11 record and a nine-game losing streak. Their offense ranks 25th overall, while their defense has been slightly better, ranking 20th. One big loss for the Raiders is that of DE Maxx Crosby, who is out the remainder of the season with an ankle injury. He's not only their best defensive player but a huge leader on this team. QB Aidan O'Connell (knee) did not practice this week and his status is doubtful while the other QB, Gardner Minshew is out. Former Falcons QB Desmond Ridder looks to be the starter for the Raiders on Monday. This looks like it will be a grind as I don't expect either team to get a lot of points. Take the UNDER. |
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12-15-24 | Bills v. Lions OVER 54 | 48-42 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills (10-3) are set to face the Detroit Lions (12-1) on Sunday at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. This matchup features two of the NFL's top teams, both leading their respective divisions and riding significant winning streaks. Led by quarterback Josh Allen, the Bills have showcased a potent offense, averaging 30.5 points per game. Their defense has been formidable, allowing 20.6 points per game. The Bills had their seven game win streak snapped in their last game at the LA Rams, 42-44. QB Josh Allen became the first player in NFL History to pass for three TD's and rush for three TD's in a single game. Under head coach Dan Campbell, the Lions lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 32.1 points per game, while their defense allows 18 points per game. They are on an 11-game winning streak, with their latest win being a 34-31 triumph over the Green Bay Packers last Thursday. Allen an MVP candidate, Allen has thrown 23 touchdown passes and rushed for nine touchdowns this season. James Cook (RB) is averaging 60.3 rushing yards per game. Lions QB Goff has been efficient, leading an offense that ranks second in total yards per game. What stands out for me in this game is the rushing of the Lions. They have two of the best backs in the NFL in J.Gibbs and D.Montgomery. This game features two of the best offenses in the NFL and play makers on both sides. I'm taking the over here on Sunday. |
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12-15-24 | Dolphins v. Texans OVER 45 | 12-20 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
The Miami Dolphins (6-7) will face the Houston Texans (8-5) on Sunday NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. Coming off a 32-26 overtime victory against the New York Jets, the Dolphins aim to maintain their playoff hopes. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa led the offense with 331 passing yards and two touchdowns in the previous game. Wide receiver Tyreek Hill contributed significantly with 115 receiving yards and a touchdown. The Texans secured a 23-20 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars in their last outing. Quarterback C.J. Stroud threw for 242 yards and a touchdown, while running back Joe Mixon rushed for 101 yards and a touchdown. Historically, the Texans have dominated this matchup, winning 8 of the 11 meetings, including a perfect 5-0 record at home against the Dolphins. This game carries significant playoff implications for both teams. The Dolphins need a win to stay in the wild card race, while the Texans aim to solidify their lead in the AFC South. Miami's offense, led by Tagovailoa and Hill, will challenge Houston's defense. Conversely, the Texans' balanced attack, featuring Stroud and Mixon, will test the Dolphins' defensive resilience. I look for this game to be high scoring. And as such, I'll be on the OVER here today. |
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12-14-24 | Navy v. Army UNDER 39 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
The 125th Army-Navy Game is set for Saturday, December 14, 2024, at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland. This historic rivalry not only concludes the college football regular season but also determines the winner of the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy, as both teams have previously defeated Air Force this season. Ranked No. 22 nationally, Army boasts an 11-1 overall record and an 8-0 mark in the American Athletic Conference (AAC). Their season includes clinching the AAC Championship in their inaugural year in the league. Navy enters the game with an 8-3 overall record and a 6-2 standing in the AAC. The Midshipmen have shown significant improvement since their loss to Army in 2023 and aim to reclaim the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy for the first time since 2019. Army QB Bryson Daily is the AAC Offensive Player of the Year. Daily has rushed for 1,480 yards-fourth in the FBS-and is tied for first with 29 rushing touchdowns. He has set Army's single-season records for touchdowns responsible for, rushing touchdowns, and rushing touchdowns in a single game. Navy is led by RB Kanye Udoh a pivotal component of Navy's offense. The winner secures the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy, awarded annually to the service academy with the best record against the others. Army aims for its third consecutive victory over Navy, while the Midshipmen seek their first outright claim to the trophy since 2019. Usually you can throw out records in this historic rivalry, but Army just too good this year. Both teams boast excellent defenses and this series usually is low scoring with each score being beneficial. I skipping a side here today and takin the UNDER. |
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12-09-24 | Bengals v. Cowboys OVER 49.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 35 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals (4-8) will face the Dallas Cowboys (5-7) on Monday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Bengals' offense has been productive, averaging 33 points per game over their last three contests. Quarterback Joe Burrow leads the league with 30 passing touchdowns, and wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase has been a consistent playmaker. Defensively, Cincinnati has struggled, allowing an average of 37.7 points per game in their last three games, indicating potential for high-scoring affairs. The Cowboys' offense has been inconsistent, ranking 29th in the NFL in EPA per play and 27th in success rate. However, they have shown improvement, averaging 27 points in their recent victory over the New York Giants. Dallas' defense has been vulnerable, allowing significant yardage and points, which could contribute to a higher combined score. The over has hit in five consecutive Bengals games, reflecting their recent high-scoring trends. The Bengals have a potent offense, but they also have a poor defense. Despite Dallas playing without Dak Prescott at QB, I look for these teams to exchange points back and forth on Monday. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-08-24 | Chargers v. Chiefs UNDER 43 | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Chargers (8-4) will face the Kansas City Chiefs (11-1) on Sunday at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The Chiefs lead the AFC West with an 11-1 record and have secured a playoff spot. Their success is attributed to a league-leading third-down conversion rate of 50%, resulting in 11 touchdowns and only two turnovers in these situations. The Chargers, holding an 8-4 record, are second in the AFC West. They recently achieved a 17-13 victory over the Atlanta Falcons, with their defense dominating Kirk Cousins' offense. However, they are 3.5-point underdogs for the upcoming game against the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes continues to be a pivotal figure in the Chiefs' offense, leading the team with his exceptional playmaking abilities. Justin Herbert (Quarterback): Herbert leads the Chargers' offense and will be crucial in challenging the Chiefs' defense. Ladd McConkey (Wide Receiver) is listed on the injury report; his status could impact the Chargers' passing game. McConkey is a huge part of this Chargers passing game and without him that will take a key weapon away on Sunday. I'm taking the Chiefs and the UNDER. |
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12-08-24 | Seahawks v. Cardinals UNDER 44.5 | 30-18 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks (7-5) are set to face the Arizona Cardinals (6-6) on Sunday, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Currently leading the NFC West, the Seahawks are on a three-game winning streak, including a recent 16-6 victory over the Cardinals on November 24. The Cardinals are aiming to break a two-game losing streak, with their most recent game being a last-second loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Seattle QB Geno Smith has thrown for 3,241 yards this season, with 13 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Zach Charbonnet (Running Back) will step back into the starting role on Sunday with Kenneth Walker III ruled out due to a calf injury. The Cardinals are led by QB Kyler Murray who has accumulated 2,603 passing yards, 13 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions this season. James Conner leads the Cardinals with 773 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. A lot on the line for all the teams in the NFC West as they are bunched together. This game went way under just a few weeks ago and I don't see that changing here on Sunday. I'm sticking with the UNDER. |
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12-08-24 | Raiders v. Bucs OVER 46.5 | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
The Las Vegas Raiders (2-10) are set to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6) on Sunday, December 8, 2024, at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. The Raiders are enduring a challenging season, currently on an eight-game losing streak. Their most recent game was a narrow 19-17 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. The Raiders fell to the Chiefs curse though as their winning drive was thwarted by a miscue on the snap and penalty. The Buccaneers have shown resilience, securing back-to-back victories, including a 26-23 win over the Carolina Panthers. Aidan O'Connell has done well for the Raiders at QB, in the recent game against the Chiefs, O'Connell completed 23 of 35 passes for 340 yards and two touchdowns, showcasing his potential as a reliable signal-caller. Brock Bowers has been a consistent target in the passing game, leading the team with 884 receiving yards this season. Tampa Bay QB Baker Mayfield has been effective under center, amassing 3,034 passing yards with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions this season. Tampa WR Mike Evans practiced fully on Friday and is expected to play. This game looks to be a shootout on Sunday as the Bucs can go up and down the field and should have little issues vs this Raiders defense. Take the OVER. |
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12-08-24 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 43.5 | 14-27 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns (3-9) are set to face the Pittsburgh Steelers (9-3) on Sunday at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The Browns are looking to rebound after a 41-32 loss to the Denver Broncos. Despite their record, they have shown resilience, notably defeating the Steelers 24-19 in Week 12. Quarterback Jameis Winston has stepped up in Deshaun Watson's absence, leading the team with determination. The Steeler aiming to avenge their recent loss to the Browns. Quarterback Russell Wilson has been effective, supported by a strong defense. However, recent injuries could impact their performance. Jameis Winston since taking over as starter at QB, has shown leadership, including a notable performance in the Week 12 victory over Pittsburgh. George Pickens (WR) leads the Steelers team with 55 receptions for 850 yards and three touchdowns, Pickens' status is questionable due to a hamstring injury. The Steelers offense has been very upgraded since Russell Wilson took over at QB and I look for that to continue against a Browns defense that is not good. Take the OVER. |
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12-05-24 | Packers v. Lions OVER 51.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
Week 14 begins here on Thursday as the the Green Bay Packers (9-3) and the Detroit Lions (11-1) face off from Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions are on a remarkable 10-game winning streak, leading the NFC North. Their offense averages 31.9 points per game, the highest in the NFL, while their defense has allowed an average of 13.75 points over the last four games. The Packers have won seven of their last eight games, including a recent 30-17 victory over the Miami Dolphins. Quarterback Jordan Love has been efficient, completing 21 of 28 passes for 278 yards in the latest win. In their earlier encounter on November 3, 2024, the Lions defeated the Packers 24-14 at Lambeau Field. Safety Kerby Joseph contributed significantly with a 27-yard interception return for a touchdown. Both teams have lengthy injury reports which isn't odd this time of year. This will be a duel of QB's with the Lions Jared Goff facing Jordan Love of the Packers. This is a big divisional contest and I will be taking the Packers here on Thursday. I also like the over to go along with this side. Both teams will put up plenty of points here on Thursday. Should be an excellent contest as I take the Packers and the OVER. |
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12-01-24 | Titans v. Commanders OVER 44.5 | 19-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans (3-8) will face the Washington Commanders (7-5) on Sunday at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland. This Week 13 matchup features two teams with contrasting trajectories, as the Titans aim to build on recent success, while the Commanders seek to halt a three-game losing streak. The Titans are coming off a significant 32-27 road victory against the Houston Texans, marking their third win of the season. Under head coach Brian Callahan, the team has shown resilience despite a challenging season. Quarterback Will Levis has gained increased support from fans, with 48% believing he should remain the starter moving forward. The Commanders have encountered difficulties recently, enduring a three-game losing streak, including a 26-34 loss to the Dallas Cowboys. Despite these setbacks, they maintain a 7-5 record, positioning them second in the NFC East. Fan confidence has waned, dropping to 57%, reflecting concerns over the team's current form. Titans' QB Will Levis has shown promise, leading the Titans to a recent victory and earning increased confidence. Washington QB Jayden Daniels has been a key contributor, but the offense has struggled with consistency during the losing streak. Both teams have been in some recent high scoring games and I look for the offenses to be on target again this Sunday. I'm taking the OVER here between these teams. |
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11-28-24 | Dolphins v. Packers UNDER 48.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 32 h 3 m | Show | |
The Miami Dolphins (5-6) are set to face the Green Bay Packers (8-3) on Thursday at Lambeau Field in Green Bay. This is the late game on Thanksgiving day and with the last start time could be bitter cold in Green Bay. The Dolphins currently hold a 5-6 record, placing them second in the AFC East. They are coming off a 34-15 victory over the New England Patriots, showcasing a strong offensive performance in a blowout win. The Packers boast an 8-3 record, positioning them third in the NFC North. They recently secured a dominant 38-10 victory over the San Francisco 49ers, highlighting their offensive prowess. The big addition to this team was thatt of RB Josh Jacobs who scored three TD's on Sunday and helps set up the passing game with his prolific running. Dolphins' quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been instrumental in their recent victories after missing many games with the concussion protocol. Packers' quarterback Jordan Love has led the team to an impressive 8-3 record with Jacobs leading the way on the ground. This gives the Packers a strong pass/run attack. The Packers' defense held the 49ers to just 10 points in their recent matchup, showcasing their ability to limit opposing offenses. One thing to keep in mind is the weather. Green Bay can not only be bitter cold, but snow also a possibility. Miami historically has never done well in cold weather and this could prove a tough spot for Tua and the passing attack. With the cold weather possible and the ground game of the Packers, I'll look for this game to go UNDER the Total. |
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11-28-24 | Bears v. Lions OVER 48 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 23 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears (4-7) are set to face the Detroit Lions (10-1) on Thursday at Ford Field in Detroit. This Thanksgiving Day matchup features two NFC North rivals with contrasting seasons. The Bears began the season with a 4-2 record but have since lost five consecutive games, bringing their record to 4-7. Despite significant offseason acquisitions, including quarterback Caleb Williams, wide receiver Rome Odunze, and running back D'Andre Swift, the offense has struggled, averaging only 14.5 points per game during this losing streak. The Lions are enjoying their best start in franchise history with a 10-1 record, currently on a nine-game winning streak. Their offense has been potent. However, they have not won on Thanksgiving since 2016 and want nothing more than to turn this around for the home crowd on this holiday. How will the Bears offense be able to keep up with this prolific Lions offense? Not sure, as they have struggled a lot, especially during their losing streak. The Bears' running back D'Andre Swift has been dealing with a groin injury but is expected to be active for the game. The Lions have faced injuries to key players, including David Montgomery, who sustained a shoulder injury in their game last Sunday but is probable for Thursday's contest. The Lions have been pretty much unstoppable on offense and I don't see that changing here on Thursday. That means the Bears will have to ramp up the offense just to stay close. I'm taking the OVER as my 20-Star Hi-Roller Total on Thursday. |
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11-24-24 | Patriots v. Dolphins OVER 46 | 15-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots (3-7) are set to face the Miami Dolphins (3-6) on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida in an AFC East battle. The Patriots have encountered challenges this season, holding a 3-7 record. Their recent 28-22 loss to the Los Angeles Rams highlighted both offensive potential and defensive vulnerabilities. Quarterback Matthew Stafford threw four touchdown passes, benefiting from excellent offensive line protection that allowed no sacks. Top receivers Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp both surpassed 100 yards receiving, with Kupp scoring two touchdowns. Defensive end Braden Fiske contributed significantly with two sacks and a forced fumble, while defensive back Kamren Kinchens grabbed a game-sealing interception. The Dolphins stand at 3-6, recently securing a 34-19 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders. I see the Dolphins putting up big points here on Sunday as the Pats have to try and keep up. I'll take the OVER. |
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11-18-24 | Texans v. Cowboys UNDER 41 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
It's Monday Night Footgall as the Houston Texans (6-4) are set to face the Dallas Cowboys (3-6) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Texans have experienced a solid season, holding a 6-4 record. However, they've encountered recent challenges, including a narrow 26-23 loss to the Detroit Lions after leading big in the first half, 23-7, but failing to score in the 2nd half. Quarterback C.J. Stroud has been pivotal, amassing 2,371 passing yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. Running back Joe Mixon has contributed 655 rushing yards and seven touchdowns. The return of wide receiver Nico Collins, who leads the team with 567 receiving yards and three touchdowns, is expected to bolster the offense. The Cowboys have struggled this season, currently at 3-6 and enduring a four-game losing streak. Their most recent defeat was a 34-6 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. The team faces significant challenges, including the absence of quarterback Dak Prescott due to a hamstring injury. Cooper Rush will now be under center for Dallas. The Cowboys' numerous injuries, particularly in the secondary and at quarterback, could significantly affect their performance. The Cowboys are already struggling running the ball and now with Rush as the QB I don't see them scoring much here tonight. I'll take the UNDER. |
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11-17-24 | Bengals v. Chargers OVER 47 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 105 h 38 m | Show | |
AFC matchup here on Sunday has the Cincinnati Bengals and the Los Angeles Chargers facing off from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. The Cincinnati Bengals currently hold a 4-6 record, placing them third in the AFC North and ninth in the AFC. Their offense has been productive, averaging 27 points per game, with quarterback Joe Burrow leading the league in passing yards at 2,672. However, their defense has been inconsistent, allowing an average of 26.2 points per game. The Los Angeles Chargers boast a 6-3 record, positioning them second in the AFC West and holding the seventh seed in the playoff standings. Their defense has been formidable, allowing a league-low 13 points per game, and excelling in areas such as third-down defense and red zone performance. Offensively, quarterback Justin Herbert has been efficient, supported by a balanced attack that includes rookie receiver Ladd McConkey. The Bengals Joe Burrow is leading the league in passing yards, Burrow's performance is crucial for the Bengals' offensive success. He had over 400 yards last week in a high scoring affair with his main target being Da'Marr Chase who has 981 receiving yards. This matchup features a high-powered Bengals offense against a stout Chargers defense. The Bengals will aim to exploit any weaknesses in the Chargers' secondary, while the Chargers will look to pressure Burrow and disrupt the Bengals' passing game. No one seems to stop the Bengals freight train of an offense right now. Problem is the Bengals defense isn't any good. Look for a back-and-forth contest here as these teams score at will. I'm taking the OVER. |
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11-17-24 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 40.5 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 97 h 17 m | Show | |
NFC North matchup here on Sunday has the Green Bay Packers taking on the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. The Green Bay Packers hold a 6-3 record, placing them third in the NFC North. Their offense averages 25.6 points per game, with quarterback Jordan Love leading the team with 1,820 passing yards and 15 touchdowns. Defensively, they allow 21.6 points per game. The Chicago Bears have a 4-5 record, placing them fourth in the NFC North. Their offense averages 19.4 points per game, with rookie quarterback Caleb Williams contributing 1,785 passing yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, they allow 18.6 points per game. The Bears have recently fired offensive coordinator Shane Waldron after a series of underwhelming offensive performances, including a 19-3 loss to the New England Patriots. Thomas Brown has been promoted to offensive coordinator. Head coach Matt Eberflus has confirmed that Caleb Williams will remain the starting quarterback despite recent struggles. Green Bay Packers QB Jordan Love leads the team with 1,820 passing yards and 15 touchdowns. Josh Jacobs (RB) is contributing 762 rushing yards. Both teams offenses have struggled of late and with that I'll be on the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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11-17-24 | Browns v. Saints OVER 44.5 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 97 h 16 m | Show | |
The Interconference matchup here on Sunday has the Cleveland Browns taking on the New Orleans Saints from the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. The Cleveland Browns hold a 2-7 record, placing them fourth in the AFC North. Their offense has struggled, averaging 17.3 points per game, while the defense has allowed 23.3 points per game. Quarterback Jameis Winston has contributed 652 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions this season after Watson went down with a season ending Achillie's injury a few weeks ago. The New Orleans Saints have a 3-7 record, placing them third in the NFC South. Their offense averages 17.7 points per game, while the defense allows 18.0 points per game. Running back Alvin Kamara has been a key contributor, recently becoming the franchise's all-time leading rusher. The Saints recently fired head coach Dennis Allen after a seven-game losing streak, appointing special teams coordinator Darren Rizzi as interim head coach. This coaching change may influence team dynamics and performance in the upcoming game. Jameis Winston (QB) performance will be crucial in revitalizing the Browns' offense. Nick Chubb (RB) ability to establish the run game can provide balance to the offense. Alvin Kamara (RB) has dual-threat capability as a runner and receiver makes him a focal point of the Saints' offense. Taysom Hill (TE/QB) versatility can create matchup challenges for the Browns' defense. With the Saints change in coaching we might see them open it up a bit more and not play so conservative. The Browns with Winson have shown they can score points too. I'm looking for this matchup to go over the total on Sunday. |
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11-09-24 | Georgia v. Ole Miss UNDER 55 | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
The Georgia Bulldogs and the Ole Miss Rebels face off on Saturday at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, Mississippi. The Bulldogs hold a 7-1 overall record and a 5-1 mark in SEC play, positioning them at the top of the SEC East division. They are ranked No. 2 in the AP Top 25 poll. Georgia's offense averages 33.1 points per game, while their defense allows 17.2 points per game, indicating a balanced and effective team. The Rebels have a 7-2 overall record and are 3-2 in SEC play, placing them third in the SEC West division. They are ranked No. 16 in the AP Top 25 poll. Ole Miss's offense averages 42.1 points per game, ranking fourth nationally, while their defense concedes 13.2 points per game, ranking sixth nationally, reflecting a high-powered offense complemented by a stout defense. Georgia Quarterback Carson Beck has been instrumental, delivering consistent performances throughout the season. Running back Trevor Etienne and wide receiver Arian Smith have also been significant contributors to the Bulldogs' offensive success. Ole Miss Quarterback Jaxson Dart leads the Rebels' high-powered offense, with running back Henry Parrish Jr. and wide receiver Jordan Watkins providing key support. Dart's ability to extend plays and his connection with Watkins have been pivotal in Ole Miss's offensive production. The Bulldogs are coming off a 34-20 victory over Florida on November 2, 2024. The Rebels are riding a two-game winning streak, including a commanding 63-31 victory over Arkansas on November 2 where Dart threw for 311 yards and five touchdowns. I look for the defenses of both teams to be on display here on Saturday. I'm taking this game under. |
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11-07-24 | Bengals v. Ravens OVER 53 | 34-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
Week 10 of the NFL kicks off here on Thursday as the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens meet in a pivotal AFC North clash. The Ravens hold a 6-3 record, positioning them second in the AFC North. The Bengals are at 4-5, placing them third in the division. Baltimore's offense has been formidable, averaging 31.4 points per game, the highest in the league. Quarterback Lamar Jackson has thrown for 1,810 yards and 15 touchdowns, while running back Derrick Henry leads the NFL with 873 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. Cincinnati's offense has shown potential, with quarterback Joe Burrow leading the NFL in passing yards. Wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase has been a standout, recording 620 receiving yards and six touchdowns. Baltimore's defense has been solid against the run, allowing only 75.7 rushing yards per game, ranking first in the league. However, they've struggled against the pass, conceding 280.9 passing yards per game, which is the highest in the NFL. The Ravens and Bengals met earlier this season on October 6, with Baltimore securing a 41-38 overtime victory. The game was a high-scoring affair, featuring standout performances from both quarterbacks. Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry have been instrumental in Baltimore's offensive success. Henry, in particular, has been a force in the running game, leading the league in rushing yards. Joe Burrow's connection with Ja'Marr Chase has been a highlight for Cincinnati's offense, with Chase leading the league in receiving yards. Two offenses that have been explosive meet tonight. I look for a repeat of their first meeting with the Bengals possibly pulling the upset win. Take the Bengals and the OVER. |
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11-03-24 | Colts v. Vikings OVER 46.5 | 13-21 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
Week 9 of the NFL in full swing here on Sunday as the Indianapolis Colts (4-4) will face the Minnesota Vikings (5-2) at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The Colts have experienced an inconsistent season, highlighted by a recent 30-23 loss to the Houston Texans. Following this defeat, the team benched second-year quarterback Anthony Richardson in favor of veteran Joe Flacco. This decision aims to stabilize the offense, which has struggled with a 63% Drive Success Rate, ranking 20th percentile for the season. The Colts' defense has allowed an average of 21.5 points per game, placing them in the middle tier of the league. The Vikings began the season with a strong 5-0 start but have since suffered two consecutive losses to the Detroit Lions and Los Angeles Rams. Despite these setbacks, they maintain a solid defensive unit, ranking 5th in points per drive allowed and excelling in both pass and rush defense metrics. Offensively, the Vikings have been productive, with key contributions from wide receiver Justin Jefferson, who leads the team with 646 receiving yards and six touchdowns. Joe Flacco's experience brings a new dynamic to the Colts' offense. His ability to manage the game and avoid turnovers will be crucial against a formidable Vikings defense. The Colts have had success with Flacco at the helm as he looks like his young days again. With Flacco in this game I'm taking the Colts and the OVER in this game on Sunday Night. |
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11-03-24 | Bears v. Cardinals OVER 44.5 | 9-29 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
Week 9 NFL Matchup has the NFC showcase between the Chicago Bears (4-3) and the Arizona Cardinals (4-4) at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Both teams are seeking to rebound from recent losses and strengthen their playoff prospects. The Bears are coming off a narrow 18-15 loss to the Washington Commanders, highlighted by a last-second Hail Mary touchdown. Rookie quarterback Caleb Williams has shown promise, completing 65% of his passes for 1,800 yards, 12 touchdowns, and six interceptions. Wide receiver Darnell Mooney leads the team with 45 receptions for 600 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, the Bears have been stout against the pass, ranking 5th in the league, but have struggled against the run, allowing 120 rushing yards per game. The Cardinals secured a 28-27 victory over the Miami Dolphins in Week 8, showcasing resilience. Quarterback Kyler Murray has passed for 1,638 yards, 10 touchdowns, and four interceptions, adding 300 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Tight end Trey McBride leads with 446 receiving yards and three touchdowns. The Cardinals' defense has been vulnerable, allowing 25.6 points per game, ranking 26th in the league. The Bears are dealing with injuries in their secondary, which could impact their pass defense. Both teams have QB's that can run and pass well so this game should be a great showcase of young talent. I'm looking for this game to go OVER the total. |
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11-03-24 | Commanders v. Giants OVER 44 | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
Week 9 NFL action has a key NFC East matchup here on Sunday as the Washington Commanders (6-2) will face the New York Giants (2-6) at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Commanders have emerged as a formidable force, leading the NFC East. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been instrumental, completing 71.8% of his passes for 1,736 yards, seven touchdowns, and two interceptions. He's also contributed 424 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Wide receiver Terry McLaurin leads the team with 40 receptions for 579 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, the Commanders have improved, now ranking 13th in yards allowed and 10th in points allowed. The Giants have struggled, particularly on offense, averaging 14.6 points per game, ranking 31st in the league. Quarterback Daniel Jones has thrown for 1,706 yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions. Running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. has been a bright spot, rushing for 376 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, the Giants allow 21.9 points per game, ranking 14th. Jayden Daniels' dual-threat capability has added a dynamic element to Washington's offense, contrasting with Daniel Jones' inconsistent performance. I look for Washington to score on most of their offensive possessions. The question mark is will New York be able to counter. I'm counting on it to some degree, so I'll be on the OVER here on Sunday. |
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11-03-24 | Broncos v. Ravens OVER 46 | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
Key AFC battle here on Sunday week 9 of the NFL as the Denver Broncos (5-3) are set to face the Baltimore Ravens (5-3) at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. Both teams have rebounded from 0-2 starts, making this Week 9 matchup crucial for their playoff aspirations. After a shaky start, the Broncos have won five of their last six games, including a 28-14 victory over the Carolina Panthers in Week 8. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix has been instrumental, throwing for 1,850 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions. Running back Javonte Williams has contributed 650 rushing yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, the Broncos rank 10th in points allowed per game (20.5) and have recorded 25 sacks this season. The Ravens also started 0-2 but have since found their rhythm. Despite a recent 29-24 loss to the Cleveland Browns, they remain competitive in the AFC North. Quarterback Lamar Jackson has passed for 2,100 yards, 15 touchdowns, and six interceptions, adding 500 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Wide receiver Diontae Johnson, acquired mid-season, has quickly become a key target, amassing 300 receiving yards and three touchdowns in four games. The Ravens' defense ranks 12th in points allowed per game (21.0) and has forced 15 turnovers this season. Bo Nix's poise as a rookie will be tested against a Ravens defense known for its blitz packages. Lamar Jackson's dual-threat ability poses a significant challenge for the Broncos' defense. The Ravens have been putting up plenty of points this year. Will Denver be able to keep up? I think they will against a Ravens defense that gave up 29 points last week to a Jameis Winston led Browns offense. I'll take the OVER here on Sunday. |
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11-02-24 | Wisconsin v. Iowa OVER 41.5 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show | |
Big Ten Clash here on Saturday between the Iowa Hawkeyes and the Wisconsin Badgers on at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City is set to be a pivotal contest, with both teams holding identical records of 5-3 overall and 3-2 in conference play. The Hawkeyes are coming off a commanding 40-14 victory over Northwestern, showcasing a balanced offensive attack and a staunch defense. Running back Kaleb Johnson led the ground game with 109 yards and three touchdowns, while quarterback Brendan Sullivan, stepping in for the injured Cade McNamara, contributed both through the air and on the ground. The Badgers faced a setback in their recent outing, falling 28-13 to Penn State. Quarterback Braedyn Locke completed 22 of 42 passes for 217 yards but was unable to find the end zone, throwing one interception. The offense struggled to establish momentum against a formidable Penn State defense. The Hawkeyes have demonstrated a potent rushing attack, with Kaleb Johnson leading the Big Ten in rushing yards (1,144) and touchdowns (16). Sullivan's mobility adds a dual-threat dimension to the offense. Iowa's defense has been resilient, allowing an average of 18.9 points per game, ranking 24th nationally. They have been effective in limiting opponents' rushing yards and forcing turnovers. The Badgers have averaged 27.0 points per game, with a balanced offensive approach. However, recent performances have shown inconsistencies, particularly in the passing game. Both of these teams have proven they can put points on the board. I'm looking at taking the OVER here on Saturday. |
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11-02-24 | Ohio State v. Penn State UNDER 48 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Reason: The Marquee Matchup of the day on Saturday has no 4 Ohio State taking on No 3 Penn State. Ohio State Buckeyes holding a 6-1 record, the Buckeyes are ranked 4th in the AP poll. Their sole loss this season was a narrow defeat to top-ranked Oregon. Penn State Nittany Lions come into this contest undefeated at 7-0, the Nittany Lions are ranked 3rd nationally. Their most recent victory was a 28-13 win over Wisconsin. The Buckeyes have averaged 40.3 points per game, ranking 11th nationally. Quarterback Will Howard has been instrumental, though the offensive line has faced challenges, particularly with injuries affecting key positions. The Buckeyes allow just 11.9 points per game, Ohio State's defense ranks 4th nationally, demonstrating a robust ability to limit opponents' scoring opportunities. The Nittany Lions have shown versatility, with a strong rushing attack led by juniors Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton, who have combined for nearly 1,000 rushing yards this season. Quarterback Drew Allar's status is uncertain due to a lower-body injury sustained in the game against Wisconsin. Note, Allar's current status was upgraded to Probable. Penn State's defense is formidable, ranking 11th in points allowed per drive. They excel in creating disruptions and limiting explosive plays by opponents. This is a clash of top tier defensive units and I expect a low scoring affair. Penn State's home-field advantage, undefeated record and the fact that Allar should play today make them the play for me. I'll take Penn State and the UNDER. |
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10-31-24 | Texans v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Week 9 of the NFL kicks off from the Meadowlands here on Thursday as the Houston Texans take on the NY Jets. The Jets have struggled this year, even with the fully healthy Aaron Rodgers and the new addition of his old Packers' WR D'Vante Adams. The Jets are known for their solid defense, especially against the run, they have consistently held opponents to low scores in recent games. This strength often results in lower-scoring games, as they can control the tempo. Houston's defense has been more variable, with occasional lapses, especially against the pass. However, they have also shown an ability to tighten up, particularly in the red zone, which limits scoring opportunities. The Houston offense was dealt another huge blow last week as WR Diggs went down with a season ending injury. Add to that another week with star WR Nico Collins and they will be without two of their explosive deep threats on offense. Both teams have been involved in relatively low-scoring games recently, with neither team consistently surpassing the league average in points per game. The Jets, in particular, have a pattern of hitting the under in their games, largely due to their defense and slower offensive pace. Based on the defensive strength and both teams tendencies toward lower-scoring, controlled games, I like the UNDER here tonight. |
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10-27-24 | Cowboys v. 49ers UNDER 47 | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
Sunday Night football will close out the day as the Dallas Cowboys visit the San Francisco 49ers. In what normally would be a marquee matchup, both teams have struggled. The Cowboys (3-3) have struggled to find consistency, particularly after a heavy 47-9 loss to the Detroit Lions, with quarterback Dak Prescott logging 1,602 passing yards, 8 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions so far. Despite their strong pass game, Dallas' run game has lagged, and they've allowed opponents an average of 28 points per game, putting pressure on their defense to improve. The 49ers (3-4), have been hit big time by the injury bug. They lost WR Ayuik for the season last week and Deebo Samual had to be hospitalize with pneumonia. Purdy led has 1,841 passing yards, 9 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions, and will be looking to capitalize on their ground game led by Jordan Mason and their robust defensive front featuring Nick Bosa. RB Christrian McCaffrey could return in week 10 and give a bolster to this 49er's offense, but that remains to be seen. The 49ers' pass rush will be pivotal in containing Prescott. With all the 49ers injuries I have to take the Cowboys here on Sunday and the UNDER as I don't see the 49ers putting up a lot of points. |
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10-27-24 | Saints v. Chargers OVER 41 | 8-26 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints will face the Los Angeles Chargers in a key Week 8 matchup on Sunday at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. Both teams have struggled this season and are looking to rebound, with the Chargers at 2-4 and the Saints at 2-5. Saints Quarterback Derek Carr has had a mixed season, recording 989 passing yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. The Saints have averaged 196.6 passing yards and 116.3 rushing yards per game, with Alvin Kamara as their leading rusher. However, the defense has allowed 25.7 points per game, which could be a concern against an offense like the Chargers. Despite a skilled secondary led by Marshon Lattimore, they've struggled to stop the run, allowing nearly 147 rushing yards per game. Chargers QB Justin Herbert has managed 1,164 passing yards with 6 touchdowns and just one interception. The Chargers' defense has been inconsistent, particularly in the secondary, which has struggled with injuries. Their pass rush, however, remains a strength, led by Khalil Mack and Joey Bosa. Offensively, the Chargers have shown potential but are averaging only 20 points per game and have not always been able to close out games. Both teams have the offensive power players to get big points on the board here on Sunday. I will take the OVER in this one. |
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10-21-24 | Ravens v. Bucs OVER 50 | Top | 41-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
It's Monday Night Football and we get TWO games on the schedule for tonight. We will look at the game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Both teams come into this inter-conference matchup with 4-2 records. The Ravens, led by quarterback Lamar Jackson, boast the NFL's top rushing attack, averaging over 205 rushing yards per game, with Derrick Henry contributing a league-leading 704 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. Jackson has also been efficient through the air, completing 67% of his passes for 1,529 yards and 10 touchdowns. Baltimore's offense is complemented by a solid defense, led by Roquan Smith and Kyle Van Noy, that allows 24.8 points per game. On the other side, the Buccaneers, helmed by Baker Mayfield, have been impressive as well, with Mayfield completing nearly 71% of his passes and throwing for 15 touchdowns. The offense, powered by stars like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, is one of the top-scoring units in the league, averaging 29.7 points per game. Tampa Bay's defense has been solid but vulnerable, allowing 23.5 points per game. Tampa Bay has a history of performing well as home underdogs, particularly early in games. The Bucs have covered the spread in six consecutive games following a division matchup, and their defense is getting healthier. The Ravens' rushing attack and Tampa's opportunistic offense will likely dictate the flow of the game. This one could be a back and forth contest with the last team holding the ball having a shot to win. Or we could even see OT in this game. Either way, I expect to see the offenses dictate the pace in this game. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-20-24 | Panthers v. Commanders OVER 51.5 | 7-40 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
The Week 7 NFL matchup between the Carolina Panthers and Washington Commanders on Sunday, October 20, 2024, presents a challenging test for the struggling Panthers. The Panthers, sitting at 1-5, have been poor defensively, giving up over 30 points per game in their last three matchups. Their run defense, ranked 30th in the league, will face a significant challenge against the Commanders' strong rushing attack, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels and running back Brian Robinson Jr. The Panthers also face injury concerns, particularly with key players like Diontae Johnson. The Washington Commanders (4-2) have been effective on offense, averaging 29.7 points per game, and they are expected to exploit Carolina's defensive weaknesses. Daniels has been consistent both in the air and on the ground, and Washington's rushing attack ranks 5th in the league. The Commanders score on most of their drives of late and I don't see the Panthers stopping them here today. Carolina will be forced to play catch up and that means possibly a high scoring game here on Sunday. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-20-24 | Texans v. Packers OVER 48 | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
The upcoming NFL matchup between the Houston Texans (5-1) and Green Bay Packers (4-2) on Sunday, October 20, 2024, at Lambeau Field is expected to be a tightly contested game. Both teams are in good form, with Houston riding high on a four-game winning streak and Green Bay coming off a dominant win against Arizona. The Texans have been one of the league's most balanced teams, ranking 5th in total offense, averaging 364 yards per game. C.J. Stroud has been impressive, throwing for 1,577 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Defensively, Houston has been stout, particularly against the pass, allowing only 182 passing yards per game, the 3rd-best mark in the league. Houston's defense has been especially effective in the red zone, ranking 1st in red zone efficiency. The Packers, meanwhile, boast a strong offense led by Jordan Love, who has thrown for 1,131 yards and 12 touchdowns. Green Bay has averaged 27 points per game this season. However, their pass defense has been a weak spot, ranking near the bottom of the league, allowing over 250 passing yards per game. This could be a problem against Houston's dynamic passing attack. Two of the more dynamic young QB's in the league face off here on Sunday and both can put up points. I look for this game to go OVER the total. |
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10-20-24 | Seahawks v. Falcons OVER 51.5 | 34-14 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
The Week 7 NFL matchup between the Seattle Seahawks (3-3) and the Atlanta Falcons (4-2) on Sunday, October 20, 2024, is expected to be a close contest. The Falcons are slight favorites, favored by 3 points, largely due to their strong offense, which ranks 4th in the NFL, averaging 369 yards per game. Led by their passing attack, which ranks 6th in the league, quarterback Kirk Cousins and the Falcons' offense will look to exploit Seattle's defense, which has struggled against the run, allowing 5.43 yards per carry, one of the worst in the league. Seattle, however, brings a potent passing game to the table, ranking 1st in the NFL with 291 passing yards per game. Quarterback Geno Smith will aim to keep the Seahawks competitive by targeting his key weapons, including DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Despite their offensive success, the Seahawks' defense has struggled, particularly against the run, and this could be an area the Falcons exploit. I look for a high scoring game with the Seahawks passing attack and poor defense. Take the OVER here on Sunday. |
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10-19-24 | Miami-FL v. Louisville OVER 59.5 | 52-45 | Win | 100 | 30 h 55 m | Show | |
The matchup between Miami (FL) and Louisville on October 19, 2024, promises to be an exciting contest as both teams are navigating pivotal points in their seasons. Miami enters the game undefeated at 6-0, largely thanks to their high-powered offense led by quarterback Cam Ward. The Hurricanes have been averaging an impressive 47.7 points per game this season, but they've also shown some defensive vulnerabilities, allowing an average of 36 points in their last two games. Despite escaping with victories in those contests, Miami's defense will need to tighten up if they want to remain unbeaten. Their offense, however, has been electric, producing 583.8 yards per game. Louisville, on the other hand, is 4-2 and faces a must-win situation to stay in contention for an ACC title. Their offense has not been nearly as explosive, averaging just 19.7 points per game. However, with Miami's defensive lapses in recent weeks, the Cardinals have an opportunity to exploit weaknesses and put up some big points. I expect a high-scoring affair, with this game going over the total on early Saturday. |
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10-14-24 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 41 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
The Monday night showdown on October 14, 2024, between the Buffalo Bills (3-2) and the New York Jets (2-3) is set to be a closely contested AFC East matchup. Both teams are eager to bounce back, as they enter the game on two-game losing streaks. The Bills, led by Josh Allen, have been productive offensively, averaging 28.4 points per game, while Allen has thrown for 945 yards and 8 touchdowns this season. Buffalo's rushing attack, featuring James Cook, has also been effective, with Cook adding 309 rushing yards and 4 TDs. The Jets, on the other hand, have struggled with consistency, particularly in the run game, ranking last in the league with only 80.4 rushing yards per game. However, their defense has been impressive, allowing just 17 points per game and ranking 2nd in passing yards allowed (136.6 per game). Aaron Rodgers will need to limit mistakes, as he has thrown 4 interceptions so far this season. The Jets also fired head coach Robert Saley after their loss to the Vikings. Interim HC Jeff Ulbrich has taken the play calling away from Todd Downing and will take over those duties. So lots of changes going on in New York. The Jets have a stout defense and that won't change. They also are a home dog, which I do like. I think the offensive problems the Jets have had might just find new life here in week six. I'm still not convinced that the new coaching on offense will pay dividends right away. I'll stick with the UNDER here tonight. |
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10-13-24 | Bengals v. Giants OVER 46.5 | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
In the Week 6 NFL matchup on Sunday, October 13, 2024, the Cincinnati Bengals (1-4) will face off against the New York Giants (2-3) in a game that both teams need to win. The Bengals have struggled despite high expectations, particularly with their defense, which ranks near the bottom of the league, allowing an average of 29 points per game. Joe Burrow has been a bright spot for Cincinnati, throwing for over 1,300 yards and leading the league with 12 passing touchdowns. Ja'Marr Chase has been a major factor in the passing game, ranking second in the NFL with 493 receiving yards and five touchdowns. However, the Bengals' lack of a strong rushing attack (96 yards per game) and defensive issues, especially against the run (30th in the league), have led to their disappointing start. The Giants, on the other hand, are coming off an upset win against Seattle and will be looking to keep their momentum going. Quarterback Daniel Jones has been solid but unspectacular, with 1,138 passing yards and six touchdowns this season. His key target, Malik Nabers, has been productive, leading the NFL with 35 receptions. However, there are concerns about the Giants' offensive line and Nabers potentially missing this game due to a concussion. Despite the Bengals being favored by 3.5 points, this game is expected to be competitive. The Giants' defense, which recorded seven sacks last week, could exploit Cincinnati's weak offensive line, ranked 24th in the league. I like both teams to score here on Sunday so I'll on the OVER in this game. |
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10-13-24 | Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 36 | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
The upcoming NFL Week 6 matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) and the Denver Broncos (3-2) on Sunday, October 13, 2024, promises to be a defensive battle. Both teams have been defined by strong defensive performances this season. The Chargers are allowing the fewest points per game in the league, averaging just 12.5 points allowed per contest. Their defense is top-tier in both rushing and passing defense, making them a formidable opponent. However, their offense, led by Justin Herbert, has been inconsistent, especially in the passing game, ranking near the bottom of the league. The Broncos, coming off a three-game winning streak, also rely heavily on their defense, which ranks second in points allowed (14.6 per game) and fifth in passing yards allowed. Denver's offense, led by rookie quarterback Bo Nix, has been less reliable, particularly in the passing game, but their defense continues to keep them in games. Given the strengths of both defenses and the struggles of their respective offenses, this game is expected to be low-scoring, with the total points likely staying under 35.5. Play the UNDER. |
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10-13-24 | Commanders v. Ravens OVER 51.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
The NFL Week 6 matchup between the Washington Commanders (4-1) and the Baltimore Ravens (3-2) on Sunday, October 13, 2024, promises to be an exciting clash between two teams riding winning streaks. The Commanders, led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, have been on fire, winning four straight games. Daniels has impressed with his dual-threat abilities, throwing for over 1,100 yards and four touchdowns, while adding 300 rushing yards and four rushing scores. Terry McLaurin has been his favorite target, and with Baltimore's struggling pass defense, ranked 31st in the league, McLaurin is expected to have another big game. Washington's balanced offense, which ranks second in both rushing yards and points scored, should continue to find success on the ground with Brian Robinson Jr. and Austin Ekeler contributing. On the other side, Baltimore's offense, powered by Lamar Jackson, is equally dangerous. The Ravens lead the NFL in rushing yards and are third in points scored. Jackson has been a dual-threat force, with over 1,200 passing yards and 363 rushing yards. That's been enhanced this season with the addition of Derrick Henry who has been an amazing rusher, opening up more chances for Jackson. However, Baltimore's weakness lies in their pass defense, which could be exploited by Daniels and McLaurin. The Ravens' defense has allowed 280 passing yards per game, which ranks near the bottom of the league. Overall, this game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with both teams boasting strong offenses but vulnerable defenses. Take the OVER today. |
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10-13-24 | Colts v. Titans OVER 43 | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
In the upcoming NFL Week 6 matchup on Sunday, October 13, 2024, the Indianapolis Colts will visit the Tennessee Titans in a divisional clash. Both teams are navigating key issues, particularly at the quarterback position. The Colts (2-3) are managing injuries to quarterback Anthony Richardson, and Joe Flacco might start again, as Richardson recovers. Flacco has performed well in his appearances, throwing for 527 yards and five touchdowns over two games. However, the Colts' defense has struggled, ranking near the bottom of the league in passing and rushing defense. If Indianapolis can establish its ground game with Jonathan Taylor (who may miss the game), they will have a good chance to win, especially since Tennessee's secondary is strong but their offense has been inconsistent. The Titans (1-3), coming off a bye week, also have quarterback concerns, with Will Levis dealing with injury issues. Levis has had a rough start, throwing six interceptions to only four touchdowns, which has hindered the Titans' offensive flow. Tennessee's offense will likely lean on its run game, featuring Tony Pollard, but they face a Colts defense that has been vulnerable to both the run and the pass. Flacco has been more than a good fill-in for QB Richardson, he's been excellent in the role. I expect him to have another good day and the Titans will need to keep pace. I'll take OVER. |
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10-13-24 | Jaguars v. Bears OVER 44.5 | 16-35 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
The NFL Week 6 contest between the Chicago Bears (3-2) and Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4), held at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Bears, led by rookie quarterback Caleb Williams, are coming off solid performances, winning three of their last four games. Williams has thrown for 1,091 yards with five touchdowns and four interceptions, supported by D.J. Moore's strong receiving (294 yards, 3 TDs) and a defense that ranks fifth in points allowed per game (17.0). The Jaguars, meanwhile, have had a disappointing start to the season but secured their first win last week against the Colts. Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 1,100 yards and six touchdowns, though the Jaguars have struggled defensively, ranking 30th in points allowed (28.6 per game) and last in pass defense. Chicago's defense, particularly its ability to pressure the quarterback, could be a deciding factor, with Jaquan Brisker and Gervon Dexter performing well. The Jaguars will need Travis Etienne and Tank Bigsby to establish the run, as Jacksonville's rushing attack ranks 11th in the league. Bigsby appears to have taken over the starting spot as Etienne has struggled in that role. This could be a game for Williams to shine against a struggling Jagaurs defense. I look for this game to go OVER the total on early Sunday morning. |
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10-10-24 | 49ers v. Seahawks OVER 49 | 36-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
Week 6 Action kicks off on Thursday Night as the San Francisco 49ers (2-3) ttake on the Seattle Seahawks (3-2) in a NFC West clash. The Seahawks lead the division by one game over Arizona and San Francisco. The Hawks started the season 3-0 but have dropped their last two games after a upset loss at home last week to the New York Giants. The 49ers did something they haven't done in a long time, lose a game after leading by 10-points or more starting the 4th quarter. They led the Arizona Cardinals by 10 points but couldn't hold on and lost to the Cardinals, 23-24. One reason they lost was that placekicker Jake Moody left the game in the 1st half with a injury and didn't return. That impacted their decision to go for a 1st down in the 4th quarter when a field goal was the right option. They have since had to sing Matthew Wright to replace Moody. Tonight's contest holds a lot of weight in the division for the Niners as they are 0-2 in the NFC West and 0-3 in the NFC, which means they realize this NFC West game has huge impacts on tiebreakers and such if they want to make the postseason. The 49ers hold a strong recent record against Seattle, winning their last five matchups and outscoring them by 76 points in those games. San Francisco's offense, led by quarterback Brock Purdy (1,374 passing yards), has been effective, especially with Jordan Mason averaging 107 rushing yards per game. On the other side, Geno Smith's Seahawks have shown offensive firepower, ranking third in the NFL with 270.8 passing yards per game, but their run defense has been shaky, allowing 128 yards per game. Both teams will look to capitalize on their strengths, their offenses. Both teams have had shaky performances from their defenses of late and with that I'm going with the OVER here on Thursday Night. |
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10-06-24 | Browns v. Commanders OVER 43.5 | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
In the upcoming matchup between the Cleveland Browns (1-3) and the Washington Commanders (3-1) on October 6, 2024, the Commanders are riding a wave of momentum, having won three straight games. Led by rookie QB Jayden Daniels, Washington's offense has been highly effective, averaging 30.3 points per game, ranking them third in the league. The Commanders have also been efficient on the ground, ranking third in rushing yards per game, with Brian Robinson Jr. leading their ground attack. However, Daniels' mobility has also been a significant factor, as he's rushed for over 200 yards this season. The Browns, on the other hand, have struggled offensively, averaging just 16.5 points per game, which ranks near the bottom of the league. Deshaun Watson and the offense have been plagued by inconsistency and turnovers. However, Cleveland's defense has been one of the stronger units, ranking 11th in total yards allowed and excelling against the pass. Key injuries on both sides may impact the game, with the Commanders potentially missing key players like Robinson and Austin Ekeler, while the Browns are dealing with injuries to their offensive line and defensive stars like Myles Garrett. I like Daniels a lot as he's looked the best thus far of the 2024 QB class. They have scored on just about every drive they have had and Cleveland will need to up their offense to stay with the Commanders. I'll take the OVER on Sunday. |
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10-06-24 | Ravens v. Bengals OVER 48.5 | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
In the AFC North clash between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens on October 6, 2024, both teams will be looking to make important statements as they jockey for position in the division. The Ravens enter the game with a 2-2 record and are coming off a dominant 35-10 win over the Buffalo Bills. They have found success with the addition of running back Derrick Henry, who posted 199 rushing yards in the win against Buffalo. Lamar Jackson has been efficient, contributing both with his legs and through the air, but the Ravens' defense remains a concern, especially in the secondary, as they've allowed 22 points per game this season. Baltimore's ability to run the ball and control the clock will be crucial, especially with offensive lineman Ronnie Stanley questionable due to injury. On the other side, the Bengals (1-3) finally got their first win of the season last week, defeating the Carolina Panthers 34-24. Joe Burrow looked more comfortable, throwing for 232 yards and two touchdowns, while running back Chase Brown added 80 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. However, Cincinnati's defense has been vulnerable, allowing 26 points per game, and they rank 27th in total defense. This game represents a must-win for the Bengals if they want to avoid falling deeper into the standings. With the pressure on, I expect the Bengals best performance her on Sunday. As such I don't see either team able to stop the other. I'm taking the OVER. |
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10-06-24 | Bills v. Texans OVER 47 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills are positioned as slight favorites in their Week 5 matchup against the Houston Texans on October 6, 2024. Both teams come into this contest with a 3-1 record, but their performances this season show distinct trends. The Bills are looking for a bounce-back win after a tough loss to the Baltimore Ravens in Week 4, where they were dominated on both sides of the ball. Before that, Buffalo had been strong offensively, averaging 30.5 points per game, which ranks them third in the NFL. Their ability to score will be key in this game, especially against a Texans defense that allows 23.5 points per game. Josh Allen has been effective, with 814 passing yards, seven touchdowns, and no interceptions so far this season, and he'll be pivotal against Houston's secondary, which has been solid but vulnerable under pressure. Houston, led by quarterback C.J. Stroud, has relied on its passing game, with Stroud throwing for over 1,000 yards already this season. However, their offensive line has struggled to protect him, allowing 14 sacks, which could play into Buffalo's hands as the Bills will likely pressure him heavily. Houston's rushing attack has been lackluster, and their injury issues at running back further complicate their ability to exploit Buffalo's weaknesses in run defense. Buffalo's defense has shown strength against the pass but struggles against the run, ranking 30th in rushing yards allowed. If Houston cannot capitalize on that, it will put more pressure on Stroud, and the Bills could take control. Offensively, Buffalo is expected to rely on James Cook and Josh Allen's rushing abilities, as Houston's defense ranks poorly against the run, allowing 4.7 yards per carry. Overall, Buffalo seems well-positioned to cover the spread and bounce back from their Week 4 loss, especially with their offensive firepower and Houston's vulnerabilities in protection and on the ground. I expect to see lots of points in this game today. I'm taking the OVER. |
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09-30-24 | Seahawks v. Lions OVER 46.5 | 29-42 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
Week 4 wraps up here on Monday night with a pair of games and I'll be looking at the contest between the Seattle Seahawks and Detroit Lions. The Lions come in as slight favorites, likely benefiting from home-field advantage at Ford Field. Detroit is 2-1 this season, while the Seahawks remain unbeaten at 3-0. Seattle's defense has been one of the strongest in the league, allowing just 14.3 points per game and leading the NFL in passing defense, giving up only 132.3 passing yards per game. Offensively, quarterback Geno Smith has been efficient, completing nearly 75% of his passes for 787 yards and three touchdowns. However, their rushing attack has struggled, ranking 23rd in the NFL, which could put more pressure on Smith to perform in the passing game. On the other hand, the Lions have shown a well-balanced offensive attack. Jared Goff has thrown for 723 yards and three touchdowns, while their ground game, led by David Montgomery and rookie Jahmyr Gibbs, has been strong, ranking 4th in the league. Look for the Seahawks to exploit Detroit's secondary through their passing game. The Seahawks will have RB Kenneth Walker back as the starter after he missed the last few weeks with an abdominal injury. That should help the Seahawks ground game and in turn their passing. I look for this game to go over the total on Monday Night. |
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09-29-24 | Commanders v. Cardinals OVER 49 | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals welcome the Washington Commanders to Phoenix here on Sunday as the heat will be on with temps well into the 100's. The Washington Commanders, currently at 2-1, are coming off an impressive win against the Cincinnati Bengals, defeating them 38-33. Jayden Daniels has been a standout at quarterback, completing over 80% of his passes and totaling 664 yards this season. Washington's offense has been efficient, scoring on nearly every possession in their last two games, and they have shown a strong run game led by Brian Robinson Jr. However, their defense has been vulnerable, allowing an average of 29.3 points per game, which could be problematic against Arizona. On the other hand, the Arizona Cardinals hold a 1-2 record, having struggled offensively in their recent 20-13 loss to the Detroit Lions. Kyler Murray, despite the loss, has performed well overall this season, throwing for 635 yards and five touchdowns, while James Conner will be looking to rebound after a poor rushing performance against Detroit. Arizona's defense has also had difficulties, especially with injuries depleting their lineup. Key players like defensive tackle Justin Jones and linebacker BJ Ojulari are out, which may weaken their pass rush. This game is expected to be a high-scoring affair given both teams' defensive struggles and potent offenses. I don't see either defense performing all that well here today. I'll take the OVER. |
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09-29-24 | Saints v. Falcons UNDER 41 | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
The Week 4 matchup between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons on Sunday features two NFC South rivals with varying performances so far this season. The Saints come into this game with a 2-1 record, having started the season on fire offensively but stumbling in a narrow 15-12 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 3. New Orleans has averaged 34.3 points per game this season, led by quarterback Derek Carr and a potent rushing attack spearheaded by Alvin Kamara, who has rushed for 285 yards and four touchdowns. The Saints are expected to focus on their ground game against a Falcons defense that has struggled to stop the run, allowing 150.3 rushing yards per game. The Falcons, at 1-2, are looking to recover after a tough 22-17 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 3. Quarterback Kirk Cousins has been solid but inconsistent, throwing for 626 yards and four touchdowns this season. However, Atlanta's offense has struggled to convert yards into points, averaging just 16.3 points per game. The Falcons' defense, particularly against the run, has been a weak spot, which could be a problem against the Saints' powerful rushing attack. Key to this game will be the Saints' ability to pressure Cousins. New Orleans has been one of the top pass-rushing teams in the league with 11 sacks in three games, and with Atlanta's offensive line issues, this could lead to a difficult afternoon for Cousins. I expect the Saints to smother the Falcons here on Sunday and give Cousins all kinds of issues. I look for the UNDER as the Saints control the ball on the ground. Play UNDER. |
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09-22-24 | Lions v. Cardinals OVER 51.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -109 | 87 h 47 m | Show | |
The upcoming NFL contest between the Detroit Lions and the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday, September 22, 2024, sets the stage for a high-scoring affair. Both teams have demonstrated offensive firepower in recent games, and several key factors point towards the over being a strong betting angle for this matchup. The Lions, led by Jared Goff, have shown the ability to move the ball effectively. In their Week 1 overtime win against the Los Angeles Rams, Detroit tallied 26 points, followed by a 16-point outing in Week 2. Despite the Week 2 loss to the Buccaneers, Goff put up 307 passing yards, and Amon-Ra St. Brown continues to be a reliable target, hauling in 11 receptions for 119 yards. With Detroit's offense clicking and a capable ground game led by David Montgomery, the Lions are poised to score consistently. On the Cardinals' side, QB Kyler Murray and company bounced back in Week 2 with an impressive 41-10 victory over the Rams. Murray threw for 266 yards and three touchdowns and had a perfect QB rating, while James Conner added 122 rushing yards. Arizona has a history of high-scoring games, especially at home, eight of their last nine games at State Farm Stadium have gone over the total. Additionally, with Marvin Harrison Jr. emerging as a deep threat, the Cardinals are well-positioned to contribute heavily to the point total. Both defenses have vulnerabilities. The Lions have allowed an average of 20 points over two games, and Arizona's defense, while strong in Week 2, gave up 34 points to the Buffalo Bills in Week 1. Both teams can score in bunches, and with favorable weather conditions in Arizona, this game has all the makings of a shootout. Take the OVER. |
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09-22-24 | Eagles v. Saints OVER 49 | 15-12 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) head to New Orleans to face the unbeaten Saints (2-0) in Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season. Both teams come into this matchup with different trajectories, as the Saints have been dominant early in the season, while the Eagles are still finding their footing. The Saints' offense has been explosive through the first two games, leading the league in scoring with an impressive 45.5 points per game. Quarterback Derek Carr has been efficient, completing 30 of 39 passes for 441 yards, five touchdowns, and only one interception. The Saints have also leaned on their dynamic rushing attack, with Alvin Kamara already tallying 198 rushing yards and four touchdowns. The Eagles have had a shaky start offensively, particularly struggling to score early in games—they are yet to record any first-quarter points this season. Jalen Hurts will need to ignite the offense early to keep pace with the high-scoring Saints. The Eagles' ground game, led by Hurts and Saquon Barkley, could be key to slowing down the game and keeping the Saints' offense off the field. The Eagles' defense has struggled significantly, ranking 30th in defensive EPA in close-game situations since last season. They've been particularly vulnerable against the run, giving up over 300 rushing yards across the first two games of the season. This bodes poorly against a Saints team that thrives on the ground. I look for both teams to get their share of points in this contest. I'm taking the OVER. |
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09-22-24 | Chargers v. Steelers UNDER 35 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
The Week 3 NFL matchup on Sunday, September 22, 2024, between the LA Chargers and Pittsburgh Steelers is shaping up to be a tightly contested battle between two undefeated teams. The Chargers have started the season strong with a 2-0 record, largely due to a dominant rushing attack and stout defense. Running back J.K. Dobbins has been key, already racking up over 260 rushing yards in the first two games. Justin Herbert, while dealing with an ankle injury, is still expected to start, but the Chargers may lean heavily on their ground game given his limited mobility. Defensively, the Chargers have been one of the best units in the league, allowing just 6.5 points per game and ranking first in multiple defensive categories. The Steelers have also surprised many with their 2-0 start. Despite struggling offensively, averaging just 15.5 points per game, their defense has been elite. Led by T.J. Watt and a dominant front seven, Pittsburgh is allowing only 8 points per game, the second-lowest in the league. Quarterback Justin Fields, who was recently acquired by Pittsburgh, has been efficient in avoiding turnovers but has struggled with consistency, especially in the second half of games. If Herbert's ankle limits his passing game, Pittsburgh's ability to pressure him could swing the game in their favor. Both teams have relied on their defenses to carry them, so a low-scoring game is anticipated, with the Over/Under line currently set at just 34.5 points. I'll take the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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09-19-24 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 38.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
Thursday Night NFL Action kicks off week 3 of the NFL as the New England Patriots travel to the Meadowlands to take on the New York Jets. Both teams come into the game with a 1-1 record, and this divisional battle could have significant early-season implications. For the Jets, quarterback Aaron Rodgers is still shaking off the rust after coming back from an Achilles injury last season. Though he's yet to light up the stat sheet, Rodgers will look to take advantage of a banged-up Patriots defense, which is dealing with several key injuries, including the loss of linebacker Ja'Whaun Bentley for the season. The Jets' offense, led by the dynamic Breece Hall, will also aim to exploit the Patriots' vulnerable defense, especially with the ground game. On the Patriots' side, their offensive struggles, particularly in pass protection, are a major concern. Their offensive line has allowed significant pressure despite few blitzes from opponents. With all five offensive linemen appearing on the injury report, protecting quarterback Jacoby Brissett (filling in for Mac Jones) will be a tough task. Tight end Hunter Henry is expected to be a primary target again, especially under duress?. Defensively, the Jets could also be dealing with injury issues. Pro Bowl linebacker C.J. Mosley and cornerbacks D.J. Reed and Michael Carter II have all been listed on the injury report, and their availability could be crucial in limiting the Patriots' already limited passing game. I fully expect a low-scoring affair, with the Jets dominant defense taking charge in this game. Play the UNDER. |
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09-16-24 | Falcons v. Eagles UNDER 47.5 | 22-21 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show | |
The Monday Night Football matchup on September 16, 2024, between the Atlanta Falcons and the Philadelphia Eagles promises to be an exciting one, with both teams coming into the game with something to prove. The Eagles, fresh off a 34-29 victory over the Packers in Brazil, are looking to start their season 2-0 for the third straight year. Jalen Hurts will be key, having thrown for 278 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions in Week 1. The Eagles' ground game, led by Saquon Barkley (109 yards and two touchdowns), is also a focal point, especially given the Falcons' defense gave up 155 passing yards in a disappointing Week 1 loss to the Steelers. The Falcons, on the other hand, will need a much better performance from new quarterback Kirk Cousins, who struggled in his Atlanta debut with two interceptions and only one touchdown. Cousins acknowledged that the offense wasn't "clean and crisp" in Week 1, and he will need to elevate his play to avoid another sluggish start. The team will look to its running back duo of Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier to exploit the Eagles' defense, which gave up 163 rushing yards to the Packers. Both teams will look to establish the running game here on Monday night. I'll be looking at the UNDER in this game. Take the Falcons/Eagles UNDER. Plus your bonus Prop play is to take Bijan Robinson OVER 28.5 receiving yards. |
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09-15-24 | Chargers v. Panthers UNDER 39 | 26-3 | Win | 100 | 114 h 38 m | Show | |
Week 2 NFL action has the LA Chargers travelling to Carolina to take on the Panthers from the Bank of America Stadium. Both teams are coming off mixed results in Week 1 and will look to establish momentum early in the season. One aspect of this game that stands out is the potential for a lower-scoring contest, making the under an intriguing angle for this matchup. The Chargers' high-powered offense, led by Justin Herbert, has the potential to put up points in bunches. However, they'll be facing a Panthers defense that, despite some inconsistencies, has shown flashes of being able to disrupt passing attacks. Carolina's young secondary, could limit big plays down the field, forcing Herbert to rely on short, methodical drives. The Chargers' offense is known for having stretches of inconsistency. The Panthers' offense is still finding its identity under quarterback Bryce Young. The rookie signal-caller has shown promise but has been up and down, and the Chargers' defense will look to exploit any weaknesses in the Panthers' offensive line. The Panthers offense garnered only 10 points last week in their loss at New Orleans, 10-47. If the Panthers' game plan is to control the clock and keep the ball out of Herbert's hands, this could further shorten the game and keep the score low. Look for a more conservative approach from Carolina, particularly if they want to avoid putting too much pressure on their young quarterback. Carolina's best bet for competing in this game may be to play a ball-control style, limiting the number of possessions for both teams and keeping the game relatively low-scoring. The likelihood of a lower-scoring affair is high. The Chargers' offensive talent may be somewhat neutralized by Carolina's defensive schemes, while the Panthers' conservative, run-heavy approach could keep the clock moving and limit scoring opportunities. As a result, the under looks like a solid angle for this contest. |
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09-15-24 | Bucs v. Lions OVER 51.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 38 m | Show | |
Week 2 NFL action has the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Detroit Lions facing off as both teams come off week 1 wins. The Bucs beat the Washington Commanders in week 1, 37-20. The Bucs spoiled the debut of Commanders QB Jaylen Daniels. Baker Mayfield threw for 289 yards and four TD's to lead the Bucs to the win. The Detroit Lions needed to go to OT to beat the LA Rams on Sunday night, 26-20. David Montgomery rushed for 91 yards and scored the winning TD in OT. Tampa's offense continues to lean on its reliable veteran wide receivers, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Evans, one of the most consistent receivers in NFL history, remains Mayfield's primary target, while Godwin provides a valuable option in the slot. The Bucs are also hoping to get more production out of their ground game with running back Rachaad White looking to establish himself as a true lead back. On defense, Tampa Bay will rely on its experienced core, led by linebacker Lavonte David and defensive tackle Vita Vea, to control the game. Defensive coordinator Kacy Rodgers will likely employ an aggressive approach, looking to get after Lions quarterback Jared Goff and disrupt the timing of Detroit's high-powered offense. Head coach Dan Campbell has instilled a tough, gritty culture that has won over fans and helped Detroit become one of the most exciting up-and-coming teams in the league. Led by quarterback Jared Goff, the Lions' offense has become a balanced, versatile unit that can attack defenses in multiple ways. Aidan Hutchinson will lead Detroit's defensive front in an effort to disrupt Mayfield and force the Buccaneers' offense into mistakes. Mayfield's ability to handle pressure will be critical, as his decision-making will be put to the test. Both teams can put up points with lots of offensive weapons on both sides. I'm taking the OVER here in the game on Sunday. |
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09-15-24 | Saints v. Cowboys OVER 46.5 | 44-19 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
The Week 2 NFL matchup on September 15, 2024, between the New Orleans Saints and Dallas Cowboys is shaping up to be an exciting contest between two teams that dominated their openers. Both teams come in with 1-0 records after convincing victories—New Orleans routed Carolina 47-10, while Dallas handled Cleveland 33-17. Offensively, Dak Prescott was efficient in Week 1, but the Cowboys will need to clean up penalties and improve on third downs, where they went just 4-for-14. Look for wide receiver CeeDee Lamb and running back Ezekiel Elliott to be pivotal to the Dallas attack, as both players are expected to play major roles. The Saints are coming off a dominant performance in which Derek Carr threw for 200 yards and three touchdowns, and their defense stifled the Panthers' run game, allowing just 36 rushing yards. With a balanced offensive approach and the potential return of Alvin Kamara from suspension, the Saints could exploit a Cowboys team that, while solid defensively, has been susceptible to strong running games. The game is expected to be close, with Dallas having a slight edge at home?. Expect a hard-fought, closely contested game with potential for fireworks on both sides of the ball. I'm taking the OVER here on Sunday. |
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09-14-24 | Utah v. Utah State UNDER 43.5 | 38-21 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 11 m | Show | |
In-State rivalry here on Saturday between Utah Utes and the Utah State Aggies. The Utes, currently ranked No. 12, come into this game with a perfect 2-0 record, while Utah State is 1-1. Utah has dominated the series in recent years, and the Utes are heavy favorites again. Utah's defense has been outstanding this season, allowing just 6 points per game (7th in the nation), while Utah State has struggled offensively, averaging only 18 points per game. The Utes' defensive front, led by Van Fillinger and Connor O'Toole, has been disruptive, and they rank among the nation's leaders in sack rate. This pressure could cause issues for Utah State's quarterback, Bryson Barnes, especially considering Utah State's inconsistent pass protection. On offense, Utah will look to exploit Utah State's weaknesses in defending tight ends. The Aggies have allowed significant production to opposing tight ends through two games, making Utah's Brant Kuithe a key target?. The Utes' run game, while improving, will also be crucial. They face an Aggies defense that allowed 249 rushing yards against USC last week?. For Utah State, wide receiver Jalen Royals is the focal point of their passing game. However, Utah's secondary has been stingy, allowing just 93 passing yards per game, which could limit his impact?. Overall, Utah is expected to control the game with its stout defense as Utah State likely won't crack double digits in this contest. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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09-08-24 | Rams v. Lions OVER 52 | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
The Sunday Night Football matchup features the Los Angeles Rams visiting the Detroit Lions at Ford Field to kick off the season. This game is highly anticipated, given both teams' recent histories and rising expectations. The Detroit Lions are coming off a successful 12-5 season and have become serious NFC contenders under head coach Dan Campbell. Quarterback Jared Goff, who threw for over 4,500 yards and 30 touchdowns last year, leads an explosive offense, complemented by standout wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown and a solid rushing attack from David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs. Detroit's defense is also strong against the run, anchored by Aidan Hutchinson, but their secondary could be a weak point the Rams may look to exploit. On the other side, the Rams are eager for a bounce-back season after struggling in 2023. Led by veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford, they will rely on playmakers like Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua in the passing game. The Rams' defense, although young and in transition, showed promise in the preseason, with improved tackling and play from their secondary. Both these teams are known for their explosive offenses and I expect this game to be a high scoring affair. Take the OVER. |
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09-08-24 | Jaguars v. Dolphins OVER 49 | 17-20 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars will face the Miami Dolphins on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, kicking off their 2024 NFL season. Both teams are eager to start the season strong after mixed results in 2023. The Jaguars, led by quarterback Trevor Lawrence, have revamped their offense with new additions like wide receiver Gabe Davis and rookie Brian Thomas Jr., hoping to build on last year's 9-8 finish. Jacksonville's defense, under new coordinator Ryan Nielsen, will be challenged by Miami's high-octane offense, featuring stars like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Miami, led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, is slightly favored in this matchup, thanks to home-field advantage and their explosive offensive potential. However, the Dolphins need to improve defensively after struggling to close out games last season. Both teams will look to capitalize on each other's weaknesses, with Miami's defense aiming to contain Jacksonville's revamped passing attack. I expect both teams to score at will in this contest and as such I'll be taking the OVER in this matchup on Sunday. |
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09-08-24 | Steelers v. Falcons UNDER 42 | 18-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The Steelers come into the season after a 10-7 campaign in 2023, where they secured a Wild Card spot but were eliminated in the first round by the Buffalo Bills. The offseason saw some significant changes for Pittsburgh, including the acquisition of Russell Wilson at quarterback, hoping to stabilize their offense. On the other hand, the Falcons are looking to bounce back from a disappointing 7-10 season, which led to the firing of head coach Arthur Smith. With new leadership and Kirk Cousins now leading their offense. Atlanta hopes to turn things around, particularly on the offensive side, where they aim to be more dynamic. This game is expected to be closely contested. The Falcons are slight favorites at home. Key players to watch include Falcons' rookie RB Bijan Robinson, who is projected to make a significant impact, and Steelers' RB Najee Harris, who has been a consistent performer against NFC opponents. Reports now have QB Wilson for the Steelers having issues with the same calf that kept him out of practice earlier this week. If he can't go then Justin Fields will replace him and either way I don't expect to see the Pittsburgh QB's put into a lot of passing spots. I expect more ground game here in this contest and as such I'll take the UNDER. |
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09-06-24 | Packers v. Eagles OVER 49 | 29-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
NFL On Friday Night and it's the first time the NFL will play in Brasil. However, there is some controversy with the riots and unrest in the area the NFL has come under attack for playing this game at this location. Still, they are on and the Packers and Eagles both looking to get that first win of the season. These first games of the season are almost like preseason game since most of these players never play in the actual preseason so this is their first real game situations they have had. The Packers enter their 2nd season under QB Jordan Love after the departure of Aaron Rodgers for the NY Jets. The Packers offensive line's ability to protect Love and open up lanes for the running backs will be crucial especially on first and second downs. The Packers defense will need to create pressure on Jalen Hurts and contain the Eagles' dynamic rushing attack that now features Saquon Barkley. The Eagles come into this game with one of the most explosive offenses in the league, led by quarterback Jalen Hurts and now one of the best running backs in Barkley. Their offense revolves around Hurts' dual-threat ability, combined with a top-tier offensive line and a dynamic receiving duo in A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. The Eagles' running game got a huge upgrade with Barkley coming over from the Giants. If he can remain healthy he will give defenses lots issues as they have to now content with him and Hurts scrambling ability too. Philadelphia's defense is led by an elite defensive front that thrives on disrupting opposing quarterbacks. Packers' Offensive Line vs. Eagles' Defensive Line will be a critical battle in the trenches. The Packers must protect Love and establish the run against Philadelphia's ferocious pass rush and strong run defense. This neutral site contest holds the promise of lots of points with the new look for Philly and Love leading the Packers attack. I look for the OVER here tonight. |
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09-05-24 | Ravens v. Chiefs OVER 46.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs are set to kick off the 2024 NFL season with a huge matchup between defending Super Bowl Champion KC and powerhouse Baltimore. Both teams enter the game with high expectations this season as the Chiefs try for an unprecedented third straight Super Bowl Title. The Ravens, led by quarterback Lamar Jackson, will look to capitalize on a retooled offense under new offensive coordinator Todd Monken. Jackson, a dual-threat QB, will showcase his improved passing game, supported by a strong running attack featuring J.K. Dobbins and Derick Henry. He has great targets too in including Odell Beckham Jr. and rookie Zay Flowers. Baltimore's defense, anchored by veteran linebacker Roquan Smith and cornerback Marlon Humphrey, will be tasked with containing one of the league's most explosive offenses. On the other side, the Kansas City Chiefs, reigning Super Bowl champions, are spearheaded by superstar quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Coming off another MVP season, Mahomes will be looking to continue his dominance, with Travis Kelce as his top target. Despite losing some key pieces in the offseason, the Chiefs' offense remains potent, with emerging wide receivers Skyy Moore and Kadarius Toney expected to step up. Defensively, Chris Jones and the Kansas City front will aim to disrupt Baltimore's offensive rhythm, while their secondary focuses on limiting Jackson's ability to exploit deep plays. This primetime showdown between two elite AFC squads promises to deliver excitement as both teams seek an early statement win. The matchup of Mahomes vs. Jackson will be a major storyline, and fans can expect a high-energy, fast-paced game at Arrowhead Stadium. For me, I'm taking the over as I expect both these QB's to lead their teams to points and a lot of them. Take OVER. |
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08-31-24 | Kent State v. Pittsburgh OVER 55 | 24-55 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
The 2024 college football season kicks off with a non-conference matchup between the Kent State Golden Flashes and the Pittsburgh Panthers. Both teams are looking to start their campaigns on a high note, but they come into this game from very different perspectives. Pittsburgh, a member of the ACC, has aspirations of contending in their conference, while Kent State, representing the MAC, is aiming to make a statement against a Power Five opponent. Pittsburgh had a strong 2023 campaign, where they finished with a respectable record in the ACC. Head Coach Pat Narduzzi has built a reputation for tough, physical teams, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. The Panther offense, led by a new quarterback under center, aims to find its rhythm. On offense, Pittsburgh will look to establish the run game early, with a strong offensive line paving the way for their dynamic backfield. The Panthers' passing game, although in a bit of transition, has plenty of potential with talented receivers who can stretch the field. Kent State, on the other hand, is in a bit of a rebuilding phase under new Head Coach Kenni Burns. The Golden Flashes are coming off a challenging 2023 season and face the daunting task of competing against a higher-caliber opponent in Pittsburgh. However, Kent State has historically been a team that plays fast and tries to spread defenses out, which could pose challenges for the Panthers. The key for Kent State will be their ability to execute on offense and take advantage of any opportunities that come their way. They'll need a big performance from their quarterback, who must be poised against a relentless Pittsburgh pass rush. The most intriguing matchup to watch will be Pittsburgh’s defensive front against Kent State's offensive line. If the Golden Flashes can provide their quarterback with enough protection and open lanes for their running backs, they might be able to move the ball effectively. I look for this game to be higher scoring with the Pitt offense and a Kent State that needs to score a lot to win games this year. Let's take the over here on Saturday. |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers OVER 50.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers will host the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Divisional playoffs. The 49ers got the bye last week after finishing the season 12-5 S/U and 9-8 ATS. Green Bay pulled off one of the biggest upsets last week when they went to Dallas and beat the Cowboys handily. They jumped out to a 27-0 lead on the Cowboys. The Offense finished the year 12th in scoring with a 22.5 ppg average. They were much better down the stretch, scoring 33 or more points in three of their last four games. They also went over in four of their last five games and have a 11-7 O/U record on the season. The 49ers were 12-5 S/U and 9-7 ATS with an over/under of 9-7-1. They averaged 28.9 ppg while allowing 17.5 ppg. The 49ers lost their final game, 20-21 to the Rams and went over in three of their last four games. They were 5-3 O/U at home this year. The Packers offense has been outstanding of late and the 49ers we know can score. I'll take the OVER today. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs UNDER 43 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Eagles limp into the playoffs. After what looked like a sure thing for them to win the NFC East, they lost it to the Dallas Cowboys because of a 1-5 s/u stretch to finish the season. That culminating in a loss at the NY Giants, 10-27, as a 5-point favorite in the final game. They are also 0-6 ATS to finish the season. The once very good defense allowed at least 20 points in each of those last six games and over 30 in three of those games. QB Jalen Hurts comes into this game banged up with a injured finger on his throwing hand and his top target, AJ Brown is questionable with a knee injury. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay comes into this Wildcard game with momentum. They Bucs have won five of their last six and covered four of the last five. The defense has been very good, allowing just 19.1 ppg on the season. QB Baker Mayfield is also banged-up as he has a bad ankle. That's not good for an offense that ranked just 20th in scoring. They also finished last in rushing so Mayfield needs to be on his game today if they hope to win. Too many question marks on both these offenses today. I'm taking the under in this one. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys OVER 50.5 | Top | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
The NFL Super Wildcard playoffs continue here on Sunday as the Dallas Cowboys welcome the Green Bay Packers to town. The Packers are the 7th seed in the NFC with a 9-8 record. The Cowboys finished with the #2 Seed in the NFC and won the NFC East. Jordan Love led the Packers with over 4,000 yards passing and 32 TD's. Love has lots of targets on the offense including a pair of tight ends. The Packers are young and inexperienced though with the youngest roster in the NFL. They are 12th ranked in the NFL in points scored and 9th in rushing offense. Aaron Jones return to the lineup has greatly improved the rushing attack. The Packers also have the top scoring offense in the third quarter of games this year. The defense will have its hands full on Sunday with the high flying Dallas offense. Dallas is 8-0 at home this year with a 21.5 point scoring differential. Dak Prescot leads the offense with over 4,500 passing yards and a league best 36 touchdowns. Ceedee Lamb set a Cowboys team record in receptions and yards. The Cowboys have the top ranked scoring offense in the NFL and at home average 37 points per game. Love should get his shots too and I expect this game to go OVER the total on Sunday. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs UNDER 43.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Miami had a chance to play at home in nice weather, but a loss to the Bills last week thrust them into this wild card slot and a trip to frigid Kansas City today. Preliminary weather has bitter cold at -10 degrees at kickoff and a potential wind chill around -30 degrees with winds 10-20 and gusting higher. Not a great door prize for Miami losing last week. That makes this game more about mental mindset then stats or physical. Chiefs HC Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are 4-2 vs the spread in playoff games since 2021. They also have the experience of two Super Bowls. Miami comes in with inexperience in postseason and a 1-3 ATS as road dogs this year. The weather will be the great neutralizer to the Dolphins speed and will keep the score from getting out of hand. With blustery snow, high winds and that freezing wind chill this all lends toward a lower scoring game. I'm taking the under as both teams should have issues moving the ball and scoring with further impacts on the field goal lengths also. Play UNDER. |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts OVER 47.5 | 23-19 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
Last week of the NFL regular season begins here on Saturday. We have to be careful of which teams have nothing to play for and might sit players. This game today has Houston Texans playing at the Indianapolis Colts. While this is the last week of the regular season, this game on Saturday is like a playoff game. The winner is in, the loser is out. Houston lost to the Colts back in week 2 and looks to avenge that loss and propel themselves into the playoffs today. Rookie QB CJ Stroud has led the Texans to the brink of the playoffs. The Texans are fourth in passing and average 22.1 ppg this season. The defense, which gave up 31 points to the Colts in the first meeting, is ranked 13th in scoring with an average of 20.9 ppg allowed. The Texans main issue is passing defense where they rank 30th. Meanwhile, the Colts average 23.6 ppg which is good for 10th and at home they average 26.5 ppg. The Colts have scored at least 21 points in every home game. Like the Texans, the issue for this Colts team is on defense, where they are 27th in points allowed (24.5 ppg). At home that number goes up to 25.8 ppg allowed. This game looks to me to be a real shoot out. Both teams will pull out all the plays from the playbook for this one. I love the over here today. PLAY OVER. |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 46 | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 59 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers just got by the Carolina Panthers last week, winning 33-30 on the road as a 3.5-point favorite. That makes five straight games the Packers have gone OVER the total. The Packers average 22.2 ppg and allow 22.1 ppg. They also average 331.4 ypg and allow 352.9 ypg. However, over the last five their low score was 20 points and they had 27 or more in three games. The defense also hasn't been good. In addition to the 30 points the lowly Panthers sored, that is 64 points allowed over the last two weeks. The Vikings lost a tough back and forth game last week at home to Detroit, 24-30, as a 2.5-point dog. The game went over for the second straight week. The Vikings and Packers are now both tied for 2nd place in the NFC North at 7-8. They average 20.9 ppg and allow 19.9 ppg. Both teams have been over achieving lately on offense while their defenses have not played well. I expect plenty of points in this one today. Take the OVER. |
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12-31-23 | Rams v. Giants OVER 43.5 | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are 8-7 and tied for 2nd place in the NFC West. The Rams are the No6 Seed right now in the NFC. The Rams greatly improve their playoff chances with a win here today at the NY Giants. They have won five of their last six games to breath life back into their playoff hopes. The Rams average 23.8 ppg and allow 22.1 ppg. However, if you just look at their last five games, they have scored at least 28 points in every game. Their one loss that OT loss at Baltimore, 31-37. The Giants have nothing to play for as they sit 5-10 with the Rams today and the Eagles next week. The can play the role of spoiler though. They are coming off a loss at Philly last week, 25-33, covering the 14-point dog line. They have gone over inf three of their last five games. If the Rams continue their recent play then they should be able to score a lot of points here on Sunday. I'll take the OVER in this one. |
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12-26-23 | Kansas v. UNLV OVER 67 | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
The Guaranteed Rate Bowl from Phoenix AZ has Kansas taking on Mountain West runner up UNLV. Kansas finished the season 8-4 S/U and 7-5 ATS with a 6-6 ov/un mark. The Jayhawks were 4th in the Big 12. They averaged 33.6 ppg and allowed 25.7 ppg on the season. The finished with a big win over Cincinnati, 49-16, as a 7.5-point road favorite. The Hawks had 562 total yards in that win. Kansas might be licking their chops at the prospect of facing this UNLV defense. UNLV lost in the Mountain West Championship to Boise State, 20-44. The Rebels lost their last two games of the season, allowing 81 points. They have also gone over in four of their last five games. The Rebs had their best season since the Randal Cunningham days of the 1980's as they finished 9-4 overall and 10-3 vs the spread. The Rebels have a potent offense, averaging 34.3 ppg and 416.2 ypg. However, they give up a lot too, allowing 27 ppg and 403.9 ypg. This one looks to be a shootout as I doubt the Rebels can contain this high scoring Kansas offense. I'll take the OVER in this one. |