Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-11-22 | Bucs v. Cowboys UNDER 51 | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 94 h 24 m | Show | |
As we begin this new season there will be lots of eyes on QB Tom Brady. Not only is he 45 years old, but he had supposedly retired at the end of last season. He's also missed significant practice time during the preseason due to personal reasons. Will he be ready for the season? Tom is the oldest QB and has offensive line issues at left guard. He's not very mobile and maybe pressured a lot this year. Also gone is his old friend Gronk at TE. The Cowboys were 2-1 in the preseason, playing mainly without their starters. Gone from the Cowboys are WR Amari Cooker and Cedrick Wilson Jr. Michael Gallup will likely miss game one this week. Those three were 40% of the Dallas receiving yards last season. I look for rust to show here on Sunday night with Brady and the Cowboys will have to find a way to replace all that offense. I'll take the UNDER. |
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09-11-22 | Packers v. Vikings +1.5 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 90 h 28 m | Show | |
The Packers took care of their own controversy when QB Aaron Rodgers signed a new contract. However, his to target in Davante Adams, arguably one of the best in the league. The Packers finished the preseason at 1-2, though that has little effect on what happens here in the regular season. The offense just feels different without Adams. Now they face an offense in Minnesota that is likely better then theirs with Justin Jefferson, Adam Theilen and Dalvin Cook leading the way. With the offensive power of this Vikings team and the issues the Packers will face with Adams departure, I'm taking the points at home with Minnesota in what I expect is a straight up win. These clubs have split their last six games. |
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09-11-22 | Raiders v. Chargers OVER 52 | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 30 m | Show |
The Las Vegas Raiders were a perfect 4-0 in the preseason under first year coach Josh McDaniels. The Raiders had the highest points differential in preseason at +41. Right away this Raiders team will be tried by the LA Chargers and Justin Herbert. We can think back to the last game of the regular season when the winner of the Raiders vs Chargers game went on to the playoffs. The game could have easily ended in an OT tie had the Chargers not called that controversial timeout, but instead it allowed the Raiders to setup the winning field goal. Besides McDaniels taking over in Vegas, is the highly anticipated debut of Davante Adams, arguably the best receiver in the NFL. Even though the Chargers are much improved on defense, I expect to see a lot of points in this game with these two offenses. I'm going to take the OVER. |
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09-11-22 | Colts v. Texans OVER 45.5 | 20-20 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 4 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts begin the NFL season in a AFC South Clash here on Sunday. The Texans were a perfect 3-0 in the preseason while the Colts where 1-2. Colts HC Frank Reich begins his fifth season as Colts head coach and while his resume is pretty good, he's yet to win an opening day game. Not only are they 0-4 Straight up, but also 0-4 vs the number. We can take that even beyond Reich as they are 1-11 ATS their last 12 season openers. The Texans might have been 3-0 in preseason, but they have the lowest projected wins of any team this year. The Colts have a new QB in 14-year veteran Matt Ryan. I like the upgrade in QB for the Colts this year and expect that to produce more points here today. I'll take the OVER in this opening game. |
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09-11-22 | 49ers v. Bears UNDER 40.5 | 10-19 | Win | 100 | 87 h 3 m | Show | |
The SF 49ers will start the QB they have wanted to since last season, Trey Lance. Lance takes over for Jimmy Garopplo who resigned with the Niners, but for a much smaller amount then he likely wanted. One has to wonder though how much faith the 49ers have in Lance as they wanted to sign Garoppolo again. Will Lance be able to take this team past the NFC Championship game they made last year? The Bears also go with a 2nd year QB in Justin Fields. Fields had a very good preseason but the question remains if the offensive line will be able to afford him the protection and time need to be efficient. Fields was the highest graded QB in the preseason with no turnovers and a 8.1 yards per attempt. Both these teams were good under plays last year and I don't see that changing. Neither has an explosive offense and in these early games I'll be looking at the under. Take UNDER here in game one. |
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09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams +2.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
The LA Rams begin defense of their 2021 NFL Championship here on Thursday against one of the best teams in the AFC, Buffalo Bills. The Bills still have that finish from last year in the playoffs against the Chiefs where both teams went back and forth in one of the best finishes in NFL history. Josh Allen drove the team down the field in 49 seconds for the go ahead score, only to have the Chiefs go for the tying score in just 13 seconds to force OT. The Chiefs won the toss in OT and scored the TD for the win without the Bills and Allen even getting to take the field. The Good news for the Rams is that Matthew Stafford will play after nagging injuries all preseason. Gone are WR's Robert Woods and Odell Beckham Jr. The Rams have the 2nd toughest schedule in the NFL and this is their first big test. The Bills are hungry to get that bad taste from their mouth in their playoff loss to the Chiefs. The Rams getting 2 1/2 points at home. With their defense they should be in this game until the end. I'll take the Rams plus the points. |
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09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams OVER 52 | 31-10 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 25 m | Show | |
The LA Rams begin defense of their 2021 NFL Championship here on Thursday against one of the best teams in the AFC, Buffalo Bills. The Bills still have that finish from last year in the playoffs against the Chiefs where both teams went back and forth in one of the best finishes in NFL history. Josh Allen drove the team down the field in 49 seconds for the go ahead score, only to have the Chiefs go for the tying score in just 13 seconds to force OT. The Chiefs won the toss in OT and scored the TD for the win without the Bills and Allen even getting to take the field. The Good news for the Rams is that Matthew Stafford will play after nagging injuries all preseason. Gone are WR's Robert Woods and Odell Beckham Jr. The Rams have the 2nd toughest schedule in the NFL and this is their first big test. The Bills are hungry to get that bad taste from their mouth in their playoff loss to the Chiefs. Should be plenty of points in this game with Stafford back at the helm. Play the OVER. |
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02-13-22 | Rams -185 v. Bengals | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
Rams Money Line: Let's face it, you can write paragraphs backing one side or another in this game. And really for me I'm taking the money line since these games have been so close in the playoffs and seem to come down to field goal one way or the other. The Rams laying 4 or 4 1/2 might be a tad more than I want to lay though I do like the Rams. Their defense has been rising to the occasion with Donald and Von Miller pressing QB's. Stafford has been very good and Kupp, well he's just amazing. The Bengals offense is loaded too with Burrows and his College connection Chase. Then you have Higgins and Joe Mixon providing the rushing. The Rams are at home in So-Fi Stadium though I'm sure there will be plenty of Bengals fans there. I'm taking the Money line with the Rams even though it's around 1.85 to 1.95. |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals UNDER 49 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Let's face it, you can write paragraphs backing one side or another in this game. And really for me I'm taking the money line since these games have been so close in the playoffs and seem to come down to field goal one way or the other. The Rams laying 4 or 4 1/2 might be a tad more than I want to lay though I do like the Rams. Their defense has been rising to the occasion with Donald and Von Miller pressing QB's. Stafford has been very good and Kupp, well he's just amazing. The Bengals offense is loaded too with Burrows and his College connection Chase. Then you have Higgins and Joe Mixon providing the rushing. But for me it's the defense that will likely make the difference here today. The Rams have really stepped it up in the playoffs and the Bengals have a very good rush defense. I'm going to take the UNDER today. |
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01-30-22 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 64 h 20 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers hope their recent success against the LA Rams carries over into today's contest as these two teams play for the right to go to the Super Bowl. The 49ers have beaten the Rams six straight games. The dog has also covered this matchup the last six straight games. The 49ers got to this game with a win last week at Green Bay, 13-10. The 49ers offense wasn't very good in the extreme cold with just 106 yards rushing and 212 total yards. However, special teams made the difference with a blocked punt for a touchdown. Despite not having an offensive TD, the 49ers were good enough on defense and special teams. The Niners also blocked a Mason Crosby field goal. The Rams got here with a win at top seeded Tampa Bay last week, 30-27. The Rams looked like they would run away with this game, leading 27-3 at the half. But Tom Brady has a knack of bringing back teams and he did it again as they tied the game at 27 all. But Matthew Stafford did his own Brady impersonation and led the Rams to a field goal with just 42 seconds left on the clock. Stafford threw for 36 yards and two TD's. As for today's contest. I can't overlook the hold the 49ers have on the Rams of late. Plus I get 3 or 3 1/2 points. I'll take the points here with the 49ers. |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs OVER 54 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 125 h 46 m | Show | |
Cincinnati pulled off one of the two big upsets over the last weekend as they upended the top seed in the AFC, Tennessee by a 19-16 margin. Tennessee looked to be moving toward the game winning score late in the 4th when QB Tannehill threw an interception around mid-field. The Bengals moved the ball into field goal position and scored the game winning field goal. The Bengals held the Titans to just 353 total yards in the game despite the return of Derrek Henry. Now the Bengals have only the Chiefs in their way if they want to get to the Super Bowl. What can you say about the Chiefs win over the Bills, 42-36 other then Wow! Both teams combined for over 20 points and four lead changes in the final two minutes of the game. The Chiefs had to go over 40 yards in 10 seconds of regulation just to get the tying field goal and force the OT. Personally, the Bills might have had the worst coaching I've seen at the end of a game I've seen by allowing that to happen. That aside, both teams were amazing on offense. That was the Chiefs 7th straight over as they have scored at more than 30 points in six of those games. The Bengals have lots of offense and in this game I look for another high scoring match. I'll take the OVER here today in the AFC Championship game. |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs -7 | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
Cincinnati pulled off one of the two big upsets over the last weekend as they upended the top seed in the AFC, Tennessee by a 19-16 margin. Tennessee looked to be moving toward the game winning score late in the 4th when QB Tannehill threw an interception around mid-field. The Bengals moved the ball into field goal position and scored the game winning field goal. The Bengals held the Titans to just 353 total yards in the game despite the return of Derrek Henry. Now the Bengals have only the Chiefs in their way if they want to get to the Super Bowl. What can you say about the Chiefs win over the Bills, 42-36 other then Wow! Both teams combined for over 20 points and four lead changes in the final two minutes of the game. The Chiefs had to go over 40 yards in 10 seconds of regulation just to get the tying field goal and force the OT. Personally, the Bills might have had the worst coaching I've seen at the end of a game I've seen by allowing that to happen. Hard to go against the Cheifs at home in the playoffs as they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven in that role. They have also covered eight of their last 10 games overall. I just don't have the faith in Burrows and the Bengals who haven't been in this position for over 30 years. Meanwhile we have Mahomes and the Chiefs who have won big games like this. I'll take the experience here today with the Chiefs. |
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01-23-22 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 54.5 | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 124 h 31 m | Show | |
Both of these teams advanced to the divisional game here on Sunday with blowout wins in the Wild Card round. The Bills had no trouble at all with the New England Patriots, jumping out a big lead and never looking back, 47-17. QB Josh Allen had over 300 yards passing and the team rushed for another 174 yards, all while the defense held the Pats to just 305 total yards. The Kansas City Chiefs fell behind 0-7 but then blew the game open in the 2nd quarter en route to a 42-21 win over the Steelers. The Chiefs had 106 yards rushing and 372 yards passing and held the Steelers to just 257 total yards. Now these locomotives clash here on Sunday. Two of the best throwing QB's in the NFL and both can run the ball. I don't see any reason this shouldn't be a very high scoring game and that's what I'm sticking with on Sunday. Play the OVER. |
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01-23-22 | Bills v. Chiefs -1.5 | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 44 h 43 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills advanced to the divisional round with little difficulty last week in the Wild Card round. The Bills blew out the Patriots, 47-17 as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bills had 174 yards rushing and 308 passing in a very balanced attack. They held the Pats to just 89 yards rushing and 216 yards passing. That makes five wins in a row for the Bills and a 4-0-1 Spread mark. Kansas City fell behind to Pittsburgh 0-7 early but rallied for 42-14 score the rest of the way en route to their win over the Steelers, 42-21 as a 12.5 point favorite. That makes nine wins in their last 10 games and a spread mark of 7-2 their last nine games. The Chiefs have covered five of the last seven games in this series with the Bills. With the line right around 1 1/2 or 2-points on the Chiefs, we need to likely just pick the winner here. I'll lay the 1 1/2 with the Chiefs at home. |
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01-23-22 | Rams +3 v. Bucs | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 113 h 7 m | Show |
The LA Rams dominated the Arizona Cardinals in the Wildcard round, winning easily, 34-11 as a 3-point favorite. The Rams defense completely dominated Arizona, especially in the 1st half and caused Kyler Murray to make many mistakes including a pick-six. The Rams held Arizona to just 61 yards rushing and 122 yards passing for just 183 total yards. Now they will take on the ageless wonder in Tom Brady. Brady and the Bucs also won easily in the WildCard round over the Philadelphia Eagles, 31-15 as a 7-point favorite. Problem though is that the Bucs offensive line is a total mess and they will be missing key cogs this week. That will allow the Rams to do what they did last week and pressure Brady into mistakes. One knock against Brady is that he doesn't like to take a hit and will make mistakes when pressured. With his OL hurting and WR's Antonio Brown and Chris Godwin both gone, like will be tough on Brady this week. I'm taking the field goal with the Rams. |
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01-22-22 | 49ers +6 v. Packers | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 32 h 41 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers went into Dallas in the Wild Card round and shocked the Cowboys and sent their fans home mad with a lopsided win, 23-17. The 49ers did get a scare at the end of the game when the Cowboys last seconds drive ended around the 30 yard line as time ran out on Dallas. That was the team's third win in a row both S/U and ATS. Now they have to head to Wisconsin to take on the Green Bay Packers. The Packers got the lone NFC buy in round one and have plenty of time before this game. They did lose their last game of the regular season to the Lions, 30-37, however most of the regulars only played about a quarter of this game. The Packers opened this game a 4.5-point favorite and that has moved to 5.5-points now. The weather will be cold in Green Bay, in the 20's and dropping during the game, However, there doesn't look to be any precipitation and the winds will be somewhat calm around 10 mph. The 49ers have been winning big games of late and while the Packers have been the best in the NFC, I'll take the points here and see if the Niners can keep this game to within a field goal. Play San Francisco. |
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01-22-22 | Bengals v. Titans OVER 47.5 | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans got the lone AFC bye last week in the Wild Card round. Now they look to return with something they haven't had in months, RB Derrick Henry. Henry was the league's leading running back when he went down with a foot injury. That changed the dynamic of this Titans team, though they did manage to finish with the best record in the AFC. Now, Henry is back and should be well healed. The Titans won their last three games of the season and went 2-1 vs the spread. Though they did suffer a 1-3 run in late November and early December when Henry was gone. The Cincinnati Bengals survived a last second tying TD by the LV Raiders to advance this week, 26-19. The offense was fair, with 308 total yards and 83 rushing yards. The last four games in this series have all gone over the total. With Henry back and the Bengals having lots of weapons, I look for a higher scoring game here today. Play OVER. |
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01-22-22 | Bengals v. Titans -185 | 19-16 | Loss | -185 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans got the lone AFC bye last week in the Wild Card round. Now they look to return with something they haven't had in months, RB Derrick Henry. Henry was the league's leading running back when he went down with a foot injury. That changed the dynamic of this Titans team, though they did manage to finish with the best record in the AFC. Now, Henry is back and should be well healed. The Titans won their last three games of the season and went 2-1 vs the spread. Though they did suffer a 1-3 run in late November and early December when Henry was gone. The Cincinnati Bengals survived a last second tying TD by the LV Raiders to advance this week, 26-19. The offense was fair, with 308 total yards and 83 rushing yards. The Bengals have not done well in the playoffs, going 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight. They are also 0-4-1 ATS in their last five as a dog. I expect the return of Henry to provide a spark to this Titans team. I'll take them here this week. Play Tennessee. |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals v. Rams UNDER 50 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
Two NFC West teams that are well acquainted meet here on Wild Card Monday as the Rams host the Cardinals at So-Fi Stadium. The Rams won the NFC West, despite their loss in their last game to the San Francisco 49ers, 24-27. That loss snapped a five game win streak by the Rams and a 4-1 spread win streak. That opened the door for Arizona to win the division but they also lost their last game to Seattle, 30-38. The Cardinals slumped badly down the stretch, going 1-4 S/U and ATS in their last five games. I'm looking at this game under tonight. The Cards don't play all that well on field turf, going 3-13 O/U in their last 16 games. They are also 3-14 O/U in their last 17 road games. The Rams have gone under in four of their last five home games and 5-17 O/U in their last 22 as a home favorite. I am sticking with the UNDER here on Monday Night. |
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01-16-22 | Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 46.5 | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 7 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers slid their way into this postseason thanks to the LV Raiders deciding to go for the win instead of the tie in their OT with the Chargers. Big Ben lives to play another game, though this looks to be the last of his luxurious career. And, you get two of the elder statesmen in coaches with the Steelers Tomlin and Chiefs Reid. That being said, I don't see the Chiefs running away with this game. Reid won't want to embarrass Ben on what is likely his last game. I look for the Steelers to play ball control and do their best to keep the Chiefs potent offense off the field. I look for a lower scoring game here on Sunday. I'll play the UNDER. |
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01-16-22 | 49ers +3 v. Cowboys | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 159 h 26 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers showed a lot of guts in week 18 at the Rams. Down 0-17 they clawed their way back to tie the game in the 4th quarter and had a chance to take the lead before Rams CB Ramsey made a circus interception at the same time the refs missed a roughing on the QB. The Rams took over the ball and marched the field to score the go ahead TD. After a SF punt and defensive stand, they Niners got the ball back with not much time on the clock and no time outs. QB Jimmy Garappolo marched the Niners the length of the field for the TD and forced OT where they kicked a field goal. The Rams threw an INT on the subsequent possession and SFO goes to the playoffs. Look for the Niners to run the ball down the Cowboys throats and use a physical defense to win this game. I like the 49ers a lot in this matchup. |
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01-16-22 | 49ers v. Cowboys UNDER 51 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 40 h 21 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers showed a lot of guts in week 18 at the Rams. Down 0-17 they clawed their way back to tie the game in the 4th quarter and had a chance to take the lead before Rams CB Ramsey made a circus interception at the same time the refs missed a roughing on the QB. The Rams took over the ball and marched the field to score the go ahead TD. After a SF punt and defensive stand, they Niners got the ball back with not much time on the clock and no time outs. QB Jimmy Garappolo marched the Niners the length of the field for the TD and forced OT where they kicked a field goal. The Rams threw an INT on the subsequent possession and SFO goes to the playoffs. Look for the Niners to run the ball a lot here today. As such, if they can keep the Cowboys off the field a bit more then this should be a lower scoring game. I'll take the UNDER |
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01-16-22 | Eagles v. Bucs -9 | 15-31 | Win | 100 | 156 h 55 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Eagles got into the playoffs but no thanks to their last regular season game. The Eagles lost last Saturday at home to the Dallas Cowboys, 26-51. Tampa Bay had little trouble with the Carolina Panthers, winning at home 41-17. I see the key to this game as the running game for the Eagles. The Eagles need to run effectively in order to win games. Problem is they are playing one of the best run defenses in the league in the Tampa Bay Bucs. The Bucs look to start defense of their NFL Championship with Tom Brady and a patchwork of receivers. They lost Antonio Brown when he stormed off the field. The already have lost Chris Goodwin to a season-ending injury. Now they have lost Cyril Grayson who was injured in the Panthers win. But, Brady still seems to find the right receivers at the right time. I'll lay the points at home here with the Bucs as their defense comes up big in this game. |
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01-16-22 | Eagles v. Bucs UNDER 47 | 15-31 | Win | 100 | 98 h 52 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Eagles got into the playoffs but no thanks to their last regular season game. The Eagles lost last Saturday at home to the Dallas Cowboys, 26-51. Tampa Bay had little trouble with the Carolina Panthers, winning at home 41-17. I see the key to this game as the running game for the Eagles. The Eagles need to run effectively in order to win games. Problem is they are playing one of the best run defenses in the league in the Tampa Bay Bucs. The Bucs look to start defense of their NFL Championship with Tom Brady and a patchwork of receivers. They lost Antonio Brown when he stormed off the field. The already have lost Chris Goodwin to a season-ending injury. Now they have lost Cyril Grayson who was injured in the Panthers win. But, Brady still seems to find the right receivers at the right time. There looks to be some big Thunderstorms headed the way of this game on Sunday and that will make it even tougher on Philly. I look for a lower scoring game, especially out of the Eagles. Play UNDER |
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01-15-22 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 44 | 17-47 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
Ok, we know Buffalo can be cold, but it's going to be insanely cold in this game. The temp is going to be in the single digits and if you figure in the wind chill, how about minus 10-15 degrees. This will be one of the coldest games in NFL history on Saturday. That being said, I expect to see the ball run a lot here on Saturday night. I don't expect to see a lot of long passes in this game. I'm going to play this game under solely on the teams and their ability to run the ball. Take the UNDER. |
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01-15-22 | Raiders +5.5 v. Bengals | 19-26 | Loss | -108 | 77 h 22 m | Show | |
The Raiders had to win down the stretch to get here and they did it with an interim coach, something not done in 60-years. They also had a chance to tie and send the Chargers to the playoffs too, but they were able to get into Field goal range late in OT and get the win. The weather looks to be cold here on Sunday with a 50% chance of snow, something Vegas isn't used to playing in. The lowest temp Vegas has played this year was 40 degrees and that was a Vegas win at Cleveland, 16-14. The Bengals will host their first playoff game since 2015. I don't think any team has gone through as much controversy this year as the Raiders have. Yet, they seem to be able to come out all right. I like playing dogs in the playoffs and the Raiders look to have a excellent shot of winning this game today. Play the Raiders. |
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01-15-22 | Raiders v. Bengals UNDER 48.5 | 19-26 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
The Raiders had to win down the stretch to get here and they did it with an interim coach, something not done in 60-years. They also had a chance to tie and send the Chargers to the playoffs too, but they were able to get into Field goal range late in OT and get the win. The weather looks to be cold here on Sunday with a 50% chance of snow, something Vegas isn't used to playing in. The lowest temp Vegas has played this year was 40 degrees and that was a Vegas win at Cleveland, 16-14. The Bengals will host their first playoff game since 2015. I don't think any team has gone through as much controversy this year as the Raiders have. Yet, they seem to be able to come out all right. The weather is going to be somewhat of a factor here. While the snow should hold off until after the game, it will be below freezing for the entire game. Vegas hasn't played below 40 degrees this year and as such I'm expecting a lower scoring game here today. Play UNDER. |
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01-09-22 | Chargers v. Raiders +3 | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 81 h 60 m | Show | |
The game with the most importance to both teams was moved to Sunday night as the Raiders host the Chargers. The winner of this game will get into the playoffs while the loser goes home. The Chargers coming off a win last week vs Denver, 34-13, snapped a two-game losing streak. Las Vegas has won three straight to keep their playoff hopes alive, though they do need that fourth here today. They beat the Colts last week on the road, 23-20 with Carlson hitting the game winning field goal as time expired. The good news for the Raiders is that they might get back TE Darren Waller here today who has missed time with both injury and Covid protocols. In fact, the Raiders have a number of players they might get back Sunday coming off their Covid protocols. This is a call either way, but for me I'll take Vegas as a home dog since I look for them to win this game. Play the Raiders. |
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01-09-22 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
The game with the most importance to both teams was moved to Sunday night as the Raiders host the Chargers. The winner of this game will get into the playoffs while the loser goes home. The Chargers coming off a win last week vs Denver, 34-13, snapped a two-game losing streak. Las Vegas has won three straight to keep their playoff hopes alive, though they do need that fourth here today. They beat the Colts last week on the road, 23-20 with Carlson hitting the game winning field goal as time expired. The good news for the Raiders is that they might get back TE Darren Waller here today who has missed time with both injury and Covid protocols. In fact, the Raiders have a number of players they might get back Sunday coming off their Covid protocols. With players coming back and neither team exactly defensive juggernauts, I look for a high scoring game on Sunday Night. Take the OVER. |
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01-09-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals UNDER 48 | 38-30 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
The LA Rams can win the NFC West title with a victory here today over the SF 49ers. The Rams can win with a loss if Arizona also loses today against Seattle. The 49ers are currently the sixth seed in the NFC and can clinch a playoff spot with a win. The Rams bring a 5-game win streak into today's contest after a come from behind win last week at Baltimore, 20-19. It's still unclear if 49er's QB Jimmy Garoppolo will play today as he's still suffering from a thumb injury. Trey Lance would once again be in line to start this game. Both teams have excellent defenses and this looks to be a tight game. I don't expect this game to eclipse 40 points and with the total at 44.5, I'll take the UNDER here today. |
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01-09-22 | Seahawks +5.5 v. Cardinals | 38-30 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
Seattle won't be going to the postseason but they hope to finish their season on a positive note with a win here today at Arizona. The Seahawks are coming off a big home win last week over Detroit, 51-29. Arizona finally got back to the win column last week with a victory over Dallas, 25-22. I don't believe records will come into play here today. The Hawks have a lot of players looking to change their fortunes for next season and they won't mail this one in. The Cardinals win the NFC title with a win here today but they also need the Rams to lose. I expect a lot closer game than most in this one. I'll take the points with Seattle. |
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01-09-22 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 44.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
The LA Rams can win the NFC West title with a victory here today over the SF 49ers. The Rams can win with a loss if Arizona also loses today against Seattle. The 49ers are currently the sixth seed in the NFC and can clinch a playoff spot with a win. The Rams bring a 5-game win streak into today's contest after a come from behind win last week at Baltimore, 20-19. It's still unclear if 49er's QB Jimmy Garoppolo will play today as he's still suffering from a thumb injury. Trey Lance would once again be in line to start this game. Both teams have excellent defenses and this looks to be a tight game. I don't expect this game to eclipse 40 points and with the total at 44.5, I'll take the UNDER here today. |
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01-09-22 | Bengals v. Browns -5 | 16-21 | Push | 0 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals lost their slim chances at the AFC No 1 seed when the Chiefs beat Denver on Saturday. That means this game has no meaning other than the rivalry that these two Ohio teams have. The Browns won the last meeting between these teams back on week nine, 41-16 at Cincinnati. The Browns won't be going to the postseason after a 7-9 mark thus far, but this game could help those sour feelings a bit. Now that Cincinnati has nothing to play for, QB Joe Burrow won't play today. That leaves Brandon Allen to do the signal calling duties for the Bengals. Baker Mayfield will also sit out this game for the Browns with a shoulder injury. I like Case Keenum, the backup for the Browns here today. Nothing to play for, I'll take the Browns who want their season to end in a win. |
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01-08-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles +4 | 51-26 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
Both the Cowboys and Eagles have clinched a spot in the postseason. Dallas is 11-5 on the season and the NFC East champion. They will be the No 4 seed and can improve to No 2 with some additional help. The Eagles are 9-7 and the No 7 seed. The Eagles could actually lose today and still move up in the seeding. The Eagles are 6-1 in their last seven games and look to avenge a 41-21 loss to the Cowboys earlier this season. Both teams likely will be without some players today. The snow looks to have moved on here tonight, but it's going to be cold night in Philly with the low around 20 degrees. I will take the home team here and look for some revenge for that loss earlier in the season. Play Philadelphia. |
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01-03-22 | Browns v. Steelers -145 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Steelers. Looks like tonight's MNF contest will mark the last home start for Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger. All signs point to this is his final season. The Steelers still have a slim shot at a wild card spot. They have to beat Cleveland tonight and then the Ravens in the finale. The Browns were eliminated from playoff contention yesterday. The Browns QB Baker Mayfield has had one strange year. He's received death threats, his wife has gone public considering her husband. With the Browns season over will they put up any fight tonight? I doubt it. The Steelers, even with a slight playoff chance, will want to send Big Ben out on a high note in his last home NFL game. I'll throw out the numbers in this one and go strictly on my feelings about the atmosphere here tonight. Play Pittsburgh. |
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01-02-22 | Lions +8.5 v. Seahawks | 29-51 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Reason: It's a season that the Seattle Seahawks would love to forget. They will miss the postseason with a 5-10 S/U record this season. They have averaged just 20.4 ppg with a very good QB and receivers. The running game has been suspect all year, but looked better in recent weeks with Penny back. The defense has been last or near the bottom of the NFL all year long. The Hawks have lost two straight, two weeks ago to the Rams, 10-20 and then last week at home to the Chicago Bears, 24-25 as a 7-point favorite. The Seahawks are just 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs a losing team. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five as a home favorite. They face a scappy Detroit Lions team today. Despite going 0-9-1 in their first 11 games, they have won two games since against Minnesota and a blowout win over Arizona. They have also covered two straight and six of their last seven games. Two teams that have nothing to play for here today, but the Lions look to be the team with life in each game. I'll take the points and won't be surprised by another outright Lions win. Play Detroit. |
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01-02-22 | Cardinals +6.5 v. Cowboys | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Arizona has fallen into 2nd place in the NFC West standings, one game back of the LA Rams. The Cardinals look to snap a 3-game losing streak here today at Dallas. The Cards are coming off a loss to the Colts, 16-22. That was on the heals of a loss at Detroit the previous week, 12-30. The Dallas Cowboys will be the NFC West Champion with an 11-4 record and a 3-game lead over the Eagles. The Cowboys have won four straight games both S/U and ATS. Dallas still trails Green Bay in the overall best NFC record. Plus the Bucs have an identical 11-4 record. The Cardinals have been very good on the road, evidenced by their 18-7-2 ATS record their last 27 games. The Cardinals have covered five of the last six games in this series and the dog is also 5-1 ATS. I'll take the dog Cardinals here today. Play Arizona. |
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01-02-22 | Dolphins v. Titans UNDER 41 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
Miami has been amazing after starting the season with a 1-7 record. They really turned things around with seven straight wins and put themselves in the playoff hunt. They have two tough games to go, today against Tennessee then against the Patriots to close out the regular season. Miami's defense has been very good, allowing 17 points or fewer in four of their last five games. They are coming off an impressive win at New Orleans, 20-3 as a 3.5-point favorite. Despite losing Derek Henry to a foot injury, the Tennessee Titans are still one game ahead of Indianapolis for the AFC South lead. The Titans are 10-5 on the season, they average 23.8 ppg while allowing 21.7 ppg. The Titans haven't been hit too hard with the Covid bug, with just three players out today. The Titans are coming off that Thursday night win over the 49ers, 20-17, a game which they trailed 0-10. The Titans have allowed just 36 total points over their last three games. Looks to be a good defensive battle today. I'll take the UNDER. |
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01-02-22 | Giants v. Bears UNDER 36.5 | 3-29 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
These two teams not going anywhere this post season and it looks like a miserable day for a game. The weather at Soldier Field in Chicago is expect to be cold, in the 20's with winds around 15-20, so that will make it eve colder. With both teams not going anywhere and the offenses both less than stellar, might make for a sloppy day on the field. The Giants average just 16.5 ppg this season and have scored more than 13 points just once in the last five games. They are 0-4 S/U and ATS in their last four games. The Giants are also 5-15-1 O/U in their last 21 games as a dog. Chicago isn't much better, averaging just 17.7 ppg this season. They did manage a win last week at Seattle, but against one of the worst defenses in the NFL,m 25-24. At home they are just 2-5 S/U and ATS along with going under in five of those seven games. The Bears have gone under in six of their last seven games as a home favorite and 19 of their last 26 overall at home. With the weather and both teams dead teams walking, I'll take the UNDER. |
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12-27-21 | Dolphins v. Saints UNDER 38 | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins have been hot, winning six straight games and covering five of those. They have also gone under in five of their last seven games, thanks in big part to a stingy defense that has allowed more than 17 points just one time in their last six games. The Miami defense has also climbed to 18th overall in the NFL after being near bottom back in November. The New Orleans Saints defense has been solid, ranked 13th overall and 5th vs the run. The Saints have won two straight games including their big shutout win at Tampa Bay last time out, 9-0. They held the high powered Bucs offense to just 302 totals yards and frustrated Tom Brady the entire game. The problem with the Saints is at QB. They will not have Trevor Siemian today and Tayson Hill is doubtful with Covid protocols. That leaves starting duties to Ian Book. Book is the only QB left on the Saints roster and will make his first every NFL start tonight. That with the wild card on the line for the Saints. Book was a fourth-round 2021 draft choice out of Notre Dame. With Book starting and the Miami defense playing great, I'll take this game UNDER tonight. |
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12-26-21 | Broncos v. Raiders | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
The LA Raiders kept their playoff chances alive with a win at the Cleveland Browns last week, 16-14. That snapped a two game losing streak for the Raiders. They also got some good news today as two of their inured secondary will return today. The other good news is they face a Denver team they have handled quite easily in recent times. They are 7-1 ATS vs the Broncos their last eight meetings and 5-0 ATS on their home turf vs the Broncos. The Broncos will be without QB Teddy Bridewater who was carted off the field with a concussion. That leaves the signal calling duties to Drew Lock. Denver also still have a wild card shot as they sit a 7-7. For me, without Bridgwater this Broncos team is not nearly as good. The Raiders have some confidence after last week and know they can and will handle these Broncos today. Play Las Vegas. |
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12-26-21 | Rams v. Vikings OVER 48.5 | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
The Rams can take over sole 1st place in the NFC West with a win today over the Vikings. The Cardinals loss last night to the Colts opened that door for the Rams. They will take on the 2nd place team in the NFC North, the Vikings. Minnesota is 7-7 and can't overtake Green Bay for 1st place but still has a chance with a win for a wild card slot. The Rams have won three straight games after their two-game losing skid. They are coming off a win over Seattle, 20-10. The Rams do good vs the NFC, going 27-12-1 their last 40 games vs the spread. The Vikings have won two straight games after a 2-game losing skid. They have wins over Pittsburgh and then last week over Chicago, 17-9. The Vikes are only 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. I'm looking at the OVER here today. The Rams are 6-2-1 O/U in their last nine road games. The Vikings have gone over in four of their last five overall. I look for plenty of points in this one today. Play OVER. |
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12-25-21 | Colts v. Cardinals UNDER 48.5 | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals have to be one of the strangest teams in the NFL this year. They are 10-4 and tied for first place in the NFC West. However, last week they go to Detroit and were never in the game with a blowout loss, 12-30. Their offense could manage just just 13 points and 36 points over the last two weeks. It won't get any easier today against the 15th ranked defense in the Colts. The Colts have the most take aways this year. The Colts are +14 in turnover ratio, tops in the league. The Colts beat the red-hot Patriots last week, 27-17 with two more turnovers in that game. They have won four of their last five games and gone under in their last two games. The Colts also have the top running back in the league in Jonathon Taylor, so they should be able to control the ball on the ground today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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12-25-21 | Browns v. Packers UNDER 46.5 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
This game does have playoff implications as the Packers have clinched a postseason spot, but the Browns are still battling. The Browns are in last in the AFC North at 7-7, one game back of the Bengals. They are 12th in the Wild Card race tied with three other teams. If the Browns lose today, they will be eliminated if the Ravens and Steelers both win. The Packers are 11-3 and have the best record in the NFL. While they can't clinch the No 1 seed this week, a win goes a long way toward that goal. I look at the Browns as the desperate team here today. They will look to control the ball on the ground with Chubb and keep Aaron Rodgers offense off the field as long as they can. That being said, I don't believe the Browns can get into a scoring match here today with the Packers. They need to keep this score lower and that means rushing the ball. I'm taking the UNDER here today. |
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12-23-21 | 49ers v. Titans OVER 44 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
The San Francisco 49ers are in one of the toughest division in football, the NFC West. Even though they have a 8-6 record, they trail the Rams and Cardinals by 2-games. However, they do have the best Wild Card record at this point, so they need to keep winning. The 49ers have won two straight games over Cincinnati, 26-23 and then last week over Atlanta, 31-13. Now they have the short week turnaround as they travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans. The Titans are coming off a loss at Pittsburgh, 13-19 as a 1-point dog. That makes them 1-3 S/U and ATS over their last four games. The 49ers are ranked 12th overall in offense, 7th in rushing. The Titans have dropped to 17th since the loss of Derek Henry. The 49ers are 7-3-1 O/U in their last 11 games as a road favorite. The Titans are 6-2 O/U in their last eight home games. These teams have gone over in their last four meetings and that's what I look for again here today. Play OVER. |
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12-21-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles UNDER 41 | 17-27 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Washington and Philly are tied at 6-7 in the NFC East. Neither team will catch the 1st place Cowboys at 10-4, but both still are alive in the NFC Wild Card. Loser here will be done in the race. This game got moved from Sunday due to severe Covid outbreak with Washington, including starting QB Taylor Heinicke among many others. Most are questionable pending their Covid test today, including Heinike. Ryan Fitzpatrick looks to return to and should start at QB if Heinicke can't go. Washington has seen its last four game go under and eight of last nine go under. This is due in part to a 20th ranked offense and a 17th ranked defense. Washington coming off a loss last week to Dallas, 20-27 as a 6.5-point dog. Philadelphia is coming off a win over the Jets, 33-18. They have gone under in two of their last three and three of the last five. I don't look for this to be a high scoring game. I'll take UNDER. |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks v. Rams OVER 46.5 | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Seattle has rebounded nicely after a three game stretch where the offense really struggled. They are coming off wins over the 49ers, 30-23 and then last week over Houston, 33-13. The Seattle offense ranks only 28th overall. The defense still ranks last overall in the NFL. Now they have to face a LA Rams team fighting for a playoff spot. The Rams have won two straight games after their loss to the Packers back on Nov 28th. They beat Jacksonville, 37-7 and then last week beat Arizona, 30-23. Both teams have been scoring and I will take the OVER in this matchup today. |
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12-20-21 | Raiders -2.5 v. Browns | 16-14 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
This game was a victim of the Covid Protocols. Originally slated to be played on Saturday, December 18, they moved this game to tonight in hopes players could get off the Covid lists and play. Well, that didn't happen. The Browns have been hit hard and even with the two day delay, those players on protocol are ALL out. That includes Baker Mayfield and a slew of offensive and defensive starters. There are a few players that look like they will play, but were' talking a lot of backups here. That's why the line has gone from Browns as favorites to the Raiders at 2 or 3 favorites. As for the Raiders, who are 100% vaccinated, they have no players out with Covid. Throw out the numbers here today, play the healthier Raiders in this one. |
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12-19-21 | Titans v. Steelers -1 | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers are in a must win situation here on Sunday. They are in last in the AFC North with a 6-6-1 record. They sit a half game back of both the Bengals and Browns and 1 1/2 games back of division leading Baltimore. Meanwhile the Tennessee Titans can extend their lead in the AFC South to two games over the Colts with a win here today. Neither defense is up to previous standards, with the Titans ranking 14th and the Steelers at 26th. Tennessee has dropped to 17th in offense since then leading rusher Derek Henry went down with an injury. The Steelers come in at 21st overall and 30th in rushing. The Titans are coming off a win at home over Jacksonville, 20-0. That snapped a two game losing streak for the Titans. The Steelers overcame a horrid first half last week at Minnesota and almost pulled off the huge comeback, but fell short at the end of the game in a 28-36 loss. This game really more important to the Steelers and I will be on that side here today. Play Pittsburgh. |
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12-19-21 | Jets v. Dolphins -10 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
The NY Jets have lost two straight games as they head South to take on the Miami Dolphins today. The jets are coming off a pair of lopsided losses, both at home. They lost to Philly two weeks ago, 18-33 and then last week to the Saints, 9-30. The offense garnered only 256 yards vs the Saints and 281 against the Eagles. Won't get much easier against a much improved Dolphins team today. The Dolphins have won and covered five straight games. They are coming off a win over the Giants, 20-9. Their defense has really stepped it up, holding each of the last five opponents to 17 or fewer points. Four of those games were 10 or fewer points. I'll take the Dolphins here today as the Jets likely won't hit double digits on the score board. Play Miami. |
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12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts OVER 45 | 17-27 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots have opened up a 2-game lead in the AFC East over the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots are not only 6-0 away from home this year but are on a 7-game win streak. They head to Indianapolis tonight to face the Colts. The Colts trail the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South by two games. After that, the Wild Card at this point is surely Wild and up for a number a teams to take. The Colts have the leagues 11th ranked overall offense and 2nd ranked rushing attack. New England has the leagues 16th ranked offense. The Colts have the 12th ranked defense and the Patriots have the 3rd ranked defense. As for the total, the Colts have gone over in five of their last seven overall games. They are also 13-3 O/U in their last 16 games vs a team with a winning record. This series has also been a good over bet with 16 of the last 21 meetings going over and seven of the last nine at Indianapolis going OVER. Play OVER today. |
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12-18-21 | Patriots +2.5 v. Colts | 17-27 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots have opened up a 2-game lead in the AFC East over the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots are not only 6-0 away from home this year but are on a 7-game win streak. They head to Indianapolis tonight to face the Colts. The Colts trail the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South by two games. After that, the Wild Card at this point is surely Wild and up for a number a teams to take. The Colts have the leagues 11th ranked overall offense and 2nd ranked rushing attack. New England has the leagues 16th ranked offense. The Colts have the 12th ranked defense and the Patriots have the 3rd ranked defense. This should be a excellent game here tonight. The Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. I'll take the hot team with the great road record. Play New England. |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs v. Chargers +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Kansas City and the LA Chargers play a key divisional game here on Thursday. The 9-4 Chiefs lead the 8-5 Chargers by just one game. A win tonight by the Chargers and they pull into a divisional tie. A loss and they can let the Broncos tie them with a win on Sunday. The Chiefs have the league's third best overall offense, 17th in rushing and 6th in passing. The Chargers are right behind them ranked 5th overall. Defensively, the Chargers rank a bit better at 15th compared to the Chiefs 23rd. The Chiefs have won five straight and covered four in row after last week's easy win over the Raiders, 48-9. The Chargers have won and covered two in a row after their win last week over the Giants, 37-21. Short turnaround here tonight. The Chargers also get back Keenan Allen who missed last week under Covid protocols. I like the home dog here tonight. Play the Chargers. |
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12-13-21 | Rams v. Cardinals -2.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals can take sole possession of the NFC standings with a win here tonight over the LA Rams. The Cardinals are 10-2 this season with the 10-3 Packers and Bucs on their heals. The Rams sit at 8-4 and right now looking for one of the those NFC Wild Card slots. The Rams are 5-7 ATS on the season and coming off a win and cover over Jacksonville, 37-7. That snapped a four-game spread losing streak. Arizona is 9-3 ATS and coming off a win and cover over Chicago, 33-22. The Rams are now just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. The Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. The favorite has been the play in this series, going 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 meetings. That's just the side I will be on here tonight. Play Arizona. |
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12-13-21 | Rams v. Cardinals UNDER 51 | 30-23 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals can take sole possession of the NFC standings with a win here tonight over the LA Rams. The Cardinals are 10-2 this season with the 10-3 Packers and Bucs on their heals. The Rams sit at 8-4 and right now looking for one of the those NFC Wild Card slots. The Rams are 5-7 ATS on the season and coming off a win and cover over Jacksonville, 37-7. That snapped a four-game spread losing streak. Arizona is 9-3 ATS and coming off a win and cover over Chicago, 33-22. The Rams have a 2-5-1 O/U record in their last eight road games. They are also 3-7 O/U in their last 10 vs the NFC West. Arizona is 9-19 O/U in their last 28 games as a home favorite. I will take the UNDER here tonight. |
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12-12-21 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 44 | 30-45 | Loss | -110 | 126 h 40 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears travel to chilly Green Bay to take on the Packers here in week 14. The Bears are 4-8 S/U and ATS with a 4-8 O/U record. They average just 16.7 ppg this season while allowing 23.9 ppg. The Bears offense has now fallen to 31st in the NFL with the only team worse being Houston. The Bears do have the worst passing average in the NFL with just 173.8 yards per game. QB Justin Field missed last week's game with a rib injury and is questionable to play this Sunday. That means Andy Dalton will likely get the start again. The Packers improved to 9-3 with a win two week's ago at home over the Rams, 36-28. They Packers had last week off and they needed it. QB Aaron Rodgers has been nursing a toe injury and used the extra time off to heal. Both these teams have been good under plays this year with both having identical 4-8 O/U records. The Bears have also gone under in eight of their last 11 overall and are 12-28 O/U in their last 40-games on grass. Cold weather, wind and maybe even some rain/snow likely all play a part this week. The Bears already can't score much, add weather and they get even worse. I'll take the UNDER. |
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12-12-21 | Bills v. Bucs -3 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 122 h 42 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills coming off that wind-swept loss last week to the NE Patriots, 10-14. The Bills had two straight trips into the red-zone late in the 4th quarter and came away with no points. The loss dropped the Bills to 7-5 overall and two-games back of the Patriots in the AFC East. Now the Bills face the real prospect of having to fight for a AFC Wild Card slot. The Bills have lost three of their last five games and scored 15 points or fewer in those three losses. It won't get any easier this week as the Bills have to travel to Tampa to face the NFL defending Champion Bucs. Tampa Bay improved to 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS with their win last week at Atlanta, 30-17. It was the team's third straight win after having two losses in a row. Tampa Bay also has the league's third best overall offense and top rated passing attack. Buffalo operating on a short week here today and against the Bucs that can only hurt. I'll lay the field goal with the Bucs today. |
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12-12-21 | Bills v. Bucs OVER 52 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 116 h 54 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills coming off that wind-swept loss last week to the NE Patriots, 10-14. The Bills had two straight trips into the red-zone late in the 4th quarter and came away with no points. The loss dropped the Bills to 7-5 overall and two-games back of the Patriots in the AFC East. Now the Bills face the real prospect of having to fight for a AFC Wild Card slot. The Bills have lost three of their last five games and scored 15 points or fewer in those three losses. It won't get any easier this week as the Bills have to travel to Tampa to face the NFL defending Champion Bucs. Tampa Bay improved to 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS with their win last week at Atlanta, 30-17. It was the team's third straight win after having two losses in a row. Tampa Bay also has the league's third best overall offense and top rated passing attack. These are two very good offenses and I look for this game to fly OVER the total. |
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12-12-21 | Ravens v. Browns -2 | 22-24 | Push | 0 | 118 h 18 m | Show | |
Reason: Baltimore is 8-4 S/U and 5-7 ATS after losing on Sunday to the Pittsburgh Steelers, 19-20. That snapped a two game winning streak. The Ravens have also now gone under in three straight games. The Ravens defense is ranked 20th in the NFL overall, but 2nd vs the rush and 32 nd vs the pass. The offense is 4th overall, 2nd rushing and 13th passing. The Browns had last week off after losing to the Ravens back on Nov 28th, 10-16. The Browns offense is ranked 16th and while their rushing is ranked 3rd they had only 40 yards on the ground in their loss to the Ravens two weeks ago. Weather can also wreck havoc in Cleveland and right now it doesn't look too bad, but that can change quickly. I look for the Browns to use that extra time off to be fully prepared for this game on Sunday. I'll take the home team here. |
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12-12-21 | Cowboys v. Washington Football Team +4 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 18 m | Show | |
Key NFC West matchup here on Sunday, especially for the Washington Football team. The Dallas Cowboys lead the NFC East with a 8-4 record and the Washington Football team is in 2nd with a 6-6 record. While Washington is in the thick of the Wild Card race, they could use a big win here on Sunday in this divisional matchup. Washington is hot, winning four straight games including a last seconds win last week at Las Vegas, 17-15. The defense has played much better, allowing 21 points or fewer in each of their last four games. Dallas snapped a two game losing streak last week with a win at New Orleans, 27-17. They got a pick-six late from the defense to make the final look better than it was. The Cowboys were outgained in that win with the Saints, 379-405. That's three straight week the Cowboys out lost in the yardage total. Getting four points or more looks great to me here today when I believe that Washington can win this game outright. Play Washington. |
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12-12-21 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 42.5 | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 18 m | Show | |
Baltimore is 8-4 S/U and 5-7 ATS after losing on Sunday to the Pittsburgh Steelers, 19-20. That snapped a two game winning streak. The Ravens have also now gone under in three straight games. The Ravens defense is ranked 20th in the NFL overall, but 2nd vs the rush and 32 nd vs the pass. The offense is 4th overall, 2nd rushing and 13th passing. The Browns had last week off after losing to the Ravens back on Nov 28th, 10-16. The Browns offense is ranked 16th and while their rushing is ranked 3rd they had only 40 yards on the ground in their loss to the Ravens two weeks ago. Weather can also wreck havoc in Cleveland and right now it doesn't look too bad, but that can change quickly. I look for a repeat of their game two weeks ago, a low scoring affair. Take UNDER. |
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12-09-21 | Steelers +3.5 v. Vikings | 28-36 | Loss | -117 | 54 h 37 m | Show | |
Tonight, it's the Steelers at the Vikings in this Inter-Conference matchup. The injury report isn't good for the Vikings in this one as their star RB Dalvin Cook is questionable with a shoulder injury. At first it looked like a season ending injury, but turned out to just be dislocated. Still, without Cook this Vikings team is not the same. The Vikings have the dubious distinction of being the first team to lose to the Detroit Lions this year after last week's 27-29 setback at Detroit. That makes two straight losses for the Vikings. They will have to face a Steelers team that is playing with lots of confidence after coming from behind last week to beat Baltimore, 20-19. That improved the Steelers to 6-5-1 on the season. While the Steelers are still 3rd in the AFC North, they kept their playoff hopes alive. Getting 3.5 points here today with the Steelers looks, well like a steal since they can win this game outright very easily. Play Pittsburgh. |
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12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings UNDER 44.5 | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Tonight, it's the Steelers at the Vikings in this Inter-Conference matchup. The injury report isn't good for the Vikings in this one as their star RB Dalvin Cook is questionable with a shoulder injury. At first it looked like a season ending injury, but turned out to just be dislocated. Still, without Cook this Vikings team is not the same. The Vikings have the dubious distinction of being the first team to lose to the Detroit Lions this year after last week's 27-29 setback at Detroit. That makes two straight losses for the Vikings. They will have to face a Steelers team that is playing with lots of confidence after coming from behind last week to beat Baltimore, 20-19. That improved the Steelers to 6-5-1 on the season. While the Steelers are still 3rd in the AFC North, they kept their playoff hopes alive. Minnesota will also be without their star wide receiver in Adam Thielen who has an ankle injury. Even with Cook playing tonight, they will still be missing a key cog tonight and I look for this game to go UNDER. |
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12-06-21 | Patriots +3 v. Bills | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Looks like a typical late fall early winter night in Buffalo as the weather is going to be around freezing with rain that will turn to snow with very high winds that can be upwards of 30 mph. This will make for a very interesting night between the Pats and the Bills. The Patriots have been rolling too, winning six straight games. their defense has also been great, allowing 18 points or fewers in five of those games. They have also covered all six. The Bills have been hit and miss of late, going 2-2 S/U and ATS their last four games. The defense, with the exception of the 41 points allowed to Indianapolis two weeks ago has also been very good, allowing 17 or fewer in four of their last five games. I like the Patriots a lot here tonight and will take the points in what should be a game with not many scoring opportunities. |
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12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 41.5 | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Looks like a typical late fall early winter night in Buffalo as the weather is going to be around freezing with rain that will turn to snow with very high winds that can be upwards of 30 mph. This will make for a very interesting night between the Pats and the Bills. The Patriots have been rolling too, winning six straight games. their defense has also been great, allowing 18 points or fewer in five of those games. They have also covered all six. The Bills have been hit and miss of late, going 2-2 S/U and ATS their last four games. The defense, with the exception of the 41 points allowed to Indianapolis two weeks ago has also been very good, allowing 17 or fewer in four of their last five games. Considering the weather, points will be at a premium tonight. I'll take the UNDER. |
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12-05-21 | Jaguars v. Rams OVER 47.5 | 7-37 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 2-9 on the season and tied for last in the NFC overall standings. While they won't be going to the postseason, they can make life rougher on the Rams chances here today. The Jags are 4-7 ATS and average 15.7 ppg while allowing 25.7 ppg. The Jags defense is ranked 19th overall in the NFL while their offense is 23rd. The Jags have lost three straight games. The Rams need to stop their free fall if they hope to make the playoffs. They have lost three straight games including last week at Green Bay, 28-36. They have also failed to cover their last five games. The Rams return home where they are 3-2 S/U and 2-3 ATS. Neither team all that good defensively, despite the big name defensive players on the Rams. I expect the Rams offense to get back on track today and if we can get a few TD's out of the Jags we'll get the OVER. Play OVER. |
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12-05-21 | Washington Football Team v. Raiders -1 | 17-15 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
The Washington Football Team is 5-6 on the season and trails first place Dallas by 2.5 games. Washington trails San Francisco by one game for a Wild Card spot. Washington is 4-7 ATS on the season. They average 20.8 ppg while allowing 25.6 ppg. They have won three straight both S/U and ATS including last week at home over Seattle, 17-15. The Raiders are in the thick of it for both the AFC West and the Wildcard. While their changes are low, they still need every win. Vegas broke a three-game losing streak last week with a big win at Dallas, 36-33. Now they return home where they are just 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. A loss here today by the Raiders and they likely take themselves out of playoff contention. I'll take Las Vegas. |
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12-05-21 | Cardinals v. Bears UNDER 43 | 33-22 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears have had some extra time off before today's game with their last coming on Thanksgiving Day in their win at Detroit in the last seconds, 16-14. The Bears are 4-7 on the season and out of the playoffs. But they can still put a bump in the Cardinals playoff run. Arizona QB Kyler Murray is questionable today with his ongoing ankle injury. With or without Murray, this game looks to be one that the weather could have an impact on. This will be the first time the Cardinals will have to deal with cold weather. There is a near 50% chance of rain and while it will be in the 40 degree range, the winds will be pushing 20 mph and that not only makes the wind chill much less but the rain that much colder. I believe the weather will play a factor here today, especially if Murray doesn't play for the Cardinals. Take the UNDER today in chilly Chicago. |
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12-05-21 | Cardinals v. Bears +7.5 | 33-22 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears have had some extra time off before today's game with their last coming on Thanksgiving Day in their win at Detroit in the last seconds, 16-14. The Bears are 4-7 on the season and out of the playoffs. But they can still put a bump in the Cardinals playoff run. Arizona QB Kyler Murray is questionable today with his ongoing ankle injury. With or without Murray, this game looks to be one that the weather could have an impact on. This will be the first time the Cardinals will have to deal with cold weather. There is a near 50% chance of rain and while it will be in the 40 degree range, the winds will be pushing 20 mph and that not only makes the wind chill much less but the rain that much colder. I believe the weather will play a factor here today, especially if Murray doesn't play for the Cardinals. I'll take the points in chilly Chicago today. Play the Bears. |
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12-05-21 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 47 | 27-29 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions still looking for their first win of the season. They have had plenty of time off, last playing on Thanksgiving Day and losing to Chicago in the last seconds, 14-16. It's their third straight game decided by 3-points or fewer. Bad news is that they have scored 16 points or fewer in each of their last four games. Detroit has the 28th ranked defense and the 29th ranked offense. They face a Vikings team ranked 9th in offense and 30th in defense. The Vikings lost last week at San Francisco, 26-34 as a 4-point dog. The Vikings are 8th overall in the NFC. I don't expect the Lions to get many points here today. I'll take the UNDER and see if Detroit can keep it close. Play UNDER. |
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12-05-21 | Giants v. Dolphins -6 | Top | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
The NY Giants are in last in the NFC East with a 4-7 S/U record. The Giants are 6-5 ATS and 3-7-1 O/U on the year. Won't be any better here today at Miami as the Giants will be starting QB Daniel Jones who has a neck injury. Mike Glennon looks to be the starter on Sunday. The Dolphins did have the worst defense in the NFL, but after last week have moved up to 24th in defense. The Giants beat the Eagles last week, 13-7 and had just 264 total yards of offense. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have won four straight games and their defense has allowed 17 points or fewer in each of those games. Don't look for the Giants to get much today against an improving Dolphins defense and with a backup QB. Play Miami. |
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12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints UNDER 47.5 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys look to get back on the winning track tonight as they play under the dome in New Orleans. The Cowboys have lost two straight games, including last week's OT home loss to the Raiders, 33-36. Despite the losing streak, Dallas still has the NFL's top overall offense, ranked 7th in rushing and 3rd in passing. They will face a New Orleans team that has had lots of issues on offense since QB Jameis Winston went down with an injury. The Saints are now 28th overall on offense. The good news is that they have a solid defense, that ranks 12th overall and 3rd against the rush. The Saints have lost four straight games, including last week at home to the Bills, 6-31. The offense had just 190 total yards in the loss. Four of the last five in this series at New Orleans has gone UNDER and I don't expect a lot of points out of the Saints tonight. They have very few big offensive weapons and little help with the few they do have. Take UNDER. |
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11-29-21 | Seahawks v. Washington Football Team +1 | 15-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
NFC clash here on Monday Night football has two teams in desperate need of a win. The Washington Football team is 3rd in the NFC East at 4-6 and trail 2nd place Philly by one game and division leading Dallas by 2.5-games. Seattle is in an unfamiliar position, last in the NFC West at 3-7. They have lost two straight games and really are out of the race as the Cardinals sit at 9-2. Seattle has lost four of their last five games, even with the return of QB Russell Wilson from a thumb injury. They are coming off a loss at home to Arizona, 13-23 as a 5.5-point dog. The Seahawks hit the road where they are 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS. Washington brings a two game win streak into tonight's contest. They are off a win at Carolina last week, 27-21 and beat the Bucs the previous week at home, 29-19. The defense has not allowed 300 yards or more in four straight games. Seattle is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. Seattle makes the long West to East coast trip and that's always hard on the West team. I'll take Washington here tonight. |
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11-28-21 | Steelers +4 v. Bengals | 10-41 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
It's a very tight AFC North Division with Baltimore leading with a 7-3 record, one game back are the Bengals at 6-4 and then comes the Steelers, 5-4-1. That makes this a key AFC North battle today. The Steelers look to avenge their loss at home back on Sept 26 to the Bengals, 10-24. They lost to Cincinnati despite having 302 yards to 268 yards. The Steelers are coming off a loss at the LA Chargers last week, 37-41 and at home to Detroit the week before that, 16-16. Cincinnati got back into the win column last week with a win at Las Vegas, 32-13. That snapped a two-game losing streak for the Bengals. I like the dog here today and that's the Steelers. |
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11-28-21 | Bucs v. Colts OVER 53 | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs got off to a hot start, winning six of their first seven games. Since then they have lost back-to-back games to New Orleans and Washington before rebounding with a win at home last week over the Giants, 30-10. They have covered just three of their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Indianapolis Colts are one of the hottest teams in the NFL winning three straight games and now back in the playoff picture. They went into Buffalo last week as a 7-point dog and blew out the Bills, 41-15. Jonathon Taylor had five touchdowns in that win. The Bucs have gone over in 28 of their last 41 road games. They have also gone over in seven of the last 10 on fieldturf. The Colts have gone over in 11 of the last 12 vs a team with a winning record. They are also 4-0 in their last four as a dog. The teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings and that's what i look for today. Play OVER. |
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11-28-21 | Bucs v. Colts +3 | 38-31 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs got off to a hot start, winning six of their first seven games. Since then they have lost back-to-back games to New Orleans and Washington before rebounding with a win at home last week over the Giants, 30-10. They have covered just three of their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Indianapolis Colts are one of the hottest teams in the NFL winning three straight games and now back in the playoff picture. They went into Buffalo last week as a 7-point dog and blew out the Bills, 41-15. Jonathon Taylor had five touchdowns in that win. Now the Colts are a dog at home. Yes the Bucs are defending NFL Champions, but they haven't looked all that great the last three weeks. I'll take the points here today with the home team. Play Indianapolis. |
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11-28-21 | Titans v. Patriots -6.5 | Top | 13-36 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
Lots of side action in this key AFC clash. Both teams are in first place in their respective AFC divisions. The Pats are tied with the Bills for first place while Tennessee has a 2-game lead over the Colts. This will also pit mentor against mentee as Bill Belichick takes on his one time assistant in Mike Vrabel. Not sure what happened to the Titans last week as they lost ugly at home to lowly Houston, 13-22. That loss snapped a six game win streak. The Patriots have been red hot, winning five straight games as QB Mac Jones looks better and better with each game. The defense has been amazing, allowing just 10 points per game during their five-game win streak. The Titans have looked bad offensively without Derick Henry. QB Ryan Tannehill has thrown five interceptions in the last three games. I look for the Titans to struggle again on offense against one of the best defensive teams. With Jones playing well for the Pats I look for another New England win and cover today. |
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11-25-21 | Bills v. Saints +6.5 | 31-6 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
Who would have expected the Indianapolis Colts to return to HC Frank Reich's old stomping grounds and put a hurting on the 1st place Hills? But they did. The Colts behind FIVE Jonathon Taylor TD's manhandled the Bills, 41-15. The Colts have four takeaways and no turnovers in the win. Now the Bills have to hit the road for a game at the Saints. Two of their last three games have not been good, beginning three weeks again in Jacksonville where they lost 6-9. Sure they rebounded an blew out the NY Jets, 45-17, but that's the Jets we are talking about. The Saints also got blown out last week, despite a mad fourth quarter rally against Philadelphia, 29-40. The Saints have the 10th ranked defense in the league, 3rd against the rush and 21st vs the pass. The Bills still have the leagues top defense, despite the blowout last week. The Bills are 8th vs the rush and 2nd vs the pass. QB Josh Allen can't do everything himself. There appears to be something wrong with this Bills offense of late and until I see more consistency, I'll take the points with the home dog here today. Play New Orleans. |
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11-25-21 | Bills v. Saints UNDER 45.5 | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show |
Who would have expected the Indianapolis Colts to return to HC Frank Reich's old stomping grounds and put a hurting on the 1st place Hills? But they did. The Colts behind FIVE Jonathon Taylor TD's manhandled the Bills, 41-15. The Colts have four takeaways and no turnovers in the win. Now the Bills have to hit the road for a game at the Saints. Two of their last three games have not been good, beginning three weeks again in Jacksonville where they lost 6-9. Sure they rebounded an blew out the NY Jets, 45-17, but that's the Jets we are talking about. The Saints also got blown out last week, despite a mad fourth quarter rally against Philadelphia, 29-40. The Saints have the 10th ranked defense in the league, 3rd against the rush and 21st vs the pass. The Bills still have the leagues top defense, despite the blowout last week. The Bills are 8th vs the rush and 2nd vs the pass. I look for this game to go under today with weather not playing any issue as it did last week in Buffalo. Play UNDER |
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11-25-21 | Raiders v. Cowboys UNDER 51.5 | 36-33 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
The Raiders have been a team in disarray every since news broke about Jon Gruden and he was forced to resign. Since then they have lost WR Henry Ruggs and a starting defensive back - both to off field issues. And since then they are just 1-3, including last week's loss at home to Cincinnati, 13-32. The once top ranked offense now looks out of sorts and has not cracked 300 yards in the last two game (both at home). The Dallas Cowboys ran into a buzz saw last week in Kansas City and could only manage nine points in the loss, 9-19. The offense had just 276 total yards for a team that is ranked 1st in the NFL in offense. I don't expect the Raiders to get it together in this short week, but I do expect the Cowboys will. Take the UNDER as Vegas has all kinds of problems on offense. |
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11-25-21 | Raiders v. Cowboys -7.5 | 36-33 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
The Raiders have been a team in disarray every since news broke about Jon Gruden and he was forced to resign. Since then they have lost WR Henry Ruggs and a starting defensive back - both to off field issues. And since then they are just 1-3, including last week's loss at home to Cincinnati, 13-32. The once top ranked offense now looks out of sorts and has not cracked 300 yards in the last two game (both at home). The Dallas Cowboys ran into a buzz saw last week in Kansas City and could only manage nine points in the loss, 9-19. The offense had just 276 total yards for a team that is ranked 1st in the NFL in offense. I don't expect the Raiders to get it together in this short week, but I do expect the Cowboys will. Take Dallas. |
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11-22-21 | Giants +11 v. Bucs | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
The Giants had last week off to prepare for tonight's game at Tampa Bay. The Giants are coming off a win at Las Vegas, 23-16 as a 3-point dog. The defense has played much better of late, allowing 20 points or fewer in each of their last three games, though the defense still ranks just 24th. The offense is ranked 21st overall. The Tampa Bay Bucs are coming off a road loss to Washington, 19-29 as a 9.5-point favorite. It was the worst offensive output of the season for the Bucs with just 273 total yards and Brady being intercepted twice. The Giants have been very good on the road, evidenced by their 21-6 ATS mark over their last 27 away games. The road team is 6-1-1 ATS the last eight in this series and the Giants are 5-0-1 ATS the last six trips to Tampa Bay. I'll take the points here tonight with the Giants. |
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11-21-21 | Cowboys v. Chiefs OVER 56 | 9-19 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
The marquee game of the day has two of the best offenses in the NFL facing off here today as the Dallas Cowboys face the Kansas City Chiefs. The Cowboys rebounded from the loss two weeks ago to Denver, 16-30, with a win last week over Atlanta, 43-3. Dallas is the league's TOP offense with 434 yards per game. They are also very balanced, 4th in rushing and 4th in passing. Kansas City has the league's 3rd ranked offense, 18th rushing and 3rd passing. The Chiefs had a couple of off weeks in regards to offense, but that was because of QB Patrick Mahomes hurting. They beat the Aaron Rodger less Packers two weeks ago, 13-7 and then rebounded with a more Chiefs like performance last week in Vegas, 41-14. The offense had over 500 yards. This one should pan out to be a back-and-forth battle of offenses and as such I'll take the OVER. |
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11-21-21 | Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 47.5 | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
Arizona has had to play without QB Kyler Murray for a few weeks now. They looked great in their first week without him and then terrible in the next. Right now Murray is listed as questionable with his ankle injury for today's contest. His backup, Colt McCoy is also questionable with a pectoral muscle issue. Arizona is 8-2 S/U and 7-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off that loss at Carolina last week, 10-34. That makes them 1-2 S/U and ATS the last three weeks. The Seahawks have QB Russell Wilson back, but that didn't help last week at Green Bay in which they got shutout, 0-17. The offense had just 208 total yards in the loss. Both offenses have had issues in recent weeks and even if Murray is back this week, he won't be as active as normal with his ankle likely still hurting. Play the UNDER. |
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11-21-21 | Bengals v. Raiders OVER 50.5 | 32-13 | Loss | -104 | 17 h 39 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals started the season 3-1 and then 5-2 to top the division. However, since then they are 0-2 S/U and ATS after losing to instate rival Cleveland last week, 16-41. The Bengals have the league's 14th ranked offense. Las Vegas Raiders also started the season strong at 3-0. Since then they are 2-4 and have to go through a lot of off-field issues that could have played part in their recent losses. They are coming off a home loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, 14-41. They allowed a season high 422 passing yards to the Chiefs. The Raiders still have the 8th ranked offense overall, 28th rushing and 2nd passing. This looks to be a game fill with passing yards and points. I'll take the OVER today. |
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11-21-21 | Ravens v. Bears UNDER 44 | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
A few factors going on here in this game today from Solider Field in Chicago. The Baltimore Ravens could have a sick QB in Lamar Jackson. He's been battle some form of illness and then after participating in Wednesday and Thursday practices was pronounced ready to play. However, since then he's gotten worse and while he did make the trip with the team his status is up in the air. He's listed as probable, but I have to wonder if that will change before game time. Baltimore has the league's 2nd ranked offense thanks to Jackson and his contribution to a 2nd ranked rushing offense. The Bears have the league's 31st ranked offense, 5th rushing and last in passing. The other issue is the wind factor. Winds can be over 23 mph sustained here on Sunday and that will hurt passing attacks. With a ill Jackson and the wind, I am going to stick with the UNDER today. |
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11-21-21 | Lions v. Browns UNDER 43 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions are still looking for that first win of the year at 0-8-1. They gave the Steelers all they could handle last week, but the teams came away with a 16-16 tie after no team scored in the OT. The offense wasn't good, at least passing where they got just 77 yards. The rushing game was excellent with 229 yards on the ground. The Lions have now gone under in six of their last seven games. The Cleveland Browns look to rebound from a poor performance last week at New England, 7-45. The offense was dismal with just 217 total yards. The weather has me concerned this week in Cleveland. There will be showers for most of the game with winds that could sustain up to 20 mph. Cleveland is notorious for bad weather games and I have to take this one under with the Lions involved. |
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11-21-21 | Colts +7.5 v. Bills | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
The Indianapolis Colts started the season 1-4, but have since won four of their last five games. They are coming off a win at home vs the Jacksonville Jaguars, 23-17, but failed to cover the 10.5-point line. The offense did sputter a bit though, with just 295 total yards to the Jags 331 yards. The Colts offense has been good, ranked 12th overall and 6th in rushing with Jonathon Taylor carrying the load. The Buffalo Bills rebounded nicely last week with a 45-17 win at the NY Jets as a 13-point favorite. They lost the previous week at Jacksonville, 6-9. The Bills can climb back into a first way tie with the Patriots with a win here today at 7-4. A loss and they drop to 6-4 and 2nd place in the division. I like the way the Colts have been playing in recent weeks and getting a TD or bit more looks very good today. Play Indianapolis. |
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11-18-21 | Patriots v. Falcons OVER 47 | 25-0 | Loss | -101 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
The Patriots are hitting on both offensive and defensive cylinders of late. They won last week at home over Cleveland, 45-7 and the week before at Carolina, 24-6. The Patriots now have the league's 7th best defense overall and are tops in QB sacks this year (17). The Falcons had their worst offensive show of the season last week at Dallas in a 3-43 loss. They had just 214 total yards. The Patriots offense has been very balanced, with 140 or more yards rushing in each of the last four weeks and 211 or more yards passing in three of the four weeks. I look for the Patriots to control this game again and keep producing their high point totals. Take the OVER. |
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11-15-21 | Rams -3.5 v. 49ers | 10-31 | Loss | -101 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
The LA Rams can tie the Cardinals for first place in the NFC West with a win here at San Francisco on Monday night. The 49ers are just 3-5 and have yet to win a home game this year. The Rams had last week off to contemplate their loss the previous week at home to the Tennessee Titans, 16-28. The Titans played without RB Derek Henry for the first time since he was injured. If you looked at just the stats you would swear the Rams would have won the game. They held Tennessee to 69 yards rushing and 125 passing yards for just 194 total yards. The loss dropped the Rams to 7-2 S/U and 4-5 ATS. The Rams defense is ranked 12th overall, 8th vs the rush and 18th vs the pass. The 49ers are also coming off a loss, losing at home to the Cardinals last week, 17-31. The 49ers have covered just two of their eight games this year. The 49ers have the 8th ranked defense, 26th vs the rush and 6th vs the pass. Both teams had horrible losses, but the Rams are the better team and I expect a rebound from them here tonight. Play LA Rams. |
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11-14-21 | Chiefs v. Raiders +2.5 | 41-14 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Two AFC West teams that really have struggled with both on field and off field problems of late. Not sure what is going on with the Chiefs, as QB Patrick Mahomes having his worst stretch as a pro. The Chiefs barely got by a Packers team last week that had on Aaron Rodgers playing at QB. The Chiefs won, but just barely at 13-7. They rushed for just 77 yards and Mahomes passed for 160, that's 237 total yards. As for the Raiders, they lost HC Jon Gruden a few weeks ago when he resigned. Then WR Henry Ruggs got into a alleged DUI accident and was arrested and later released by the Raiders. Then another first round pick in defensive back Damon Arnette was released last week when controversial video of him was released. The Raiders can only hope that bad things come in threes with half the season left to play. The Raiders lost at NY Giants last week, 16-23. They are 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. The offense did sign WR DeSean Jackson and he's questionable to see action here on Sunday. Both teams having issues, but the Raiders are more off field while the Chiefs are more on field. I'll take the Raiders at home plus the few points. |
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11-14-21 | Vikings v. Chargers OVER 53 | 27-20 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a OT loss last week at Baltimore, 31-34. The Vikings looked to have that game in control but let Lamar Jackson get the Ravens back into the game in the 2nd half. Good news for the Vikings, it was their 2nd time in the last three games that the offense scored more than 30 points. They had 500 yards of offense against the Ravens. That moved the offense to 10th overall in the NFL. The Chargers went to Philly last week and came away with the win, 27-24. QB Herbet had 356 yards passing in the win. The Chargers have the 9th ranked offense, 5th passing and 20th rushing. The Chargers should get plenty of points today against a Vikings defense ranked 27th.I look for this game to go OVER today. |
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11-14-21 | Panthers v. Cardinals -9.5 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 31 m | Show |
The Arizona Cardinals had to play without QB Kyler Murray last week at San Francisco. However, that didn't bother them as backup Colt McCoy came in and and passed for 274 yards and the rushing game got another 163 yards in a win, 31-17. It was the team's 7th win against the spread in nine games this year. The Panthers played another lackluster effort last week, losing at home to the Patriots, 6-24. The Panthers have scored just 28 total points over their last three games. They have also covered the spread just one time in their six games. RB Christian McCaffrey is back, but QB Sam Darnold will miss today's contest. QB PJ Walker looks to get the start today. Walker will have to face a Cardinals team ranked 4th overall in the NFL on defense. More bad news for the Panthers, Murray will be back at QB for the Cardinals today. Panthers are a team going South and fast while the Cardinals continue to fly high. Play Arizona. |
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11-14-21 | Saints +3 v. Titans | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints lost last week at home to the Atlanta Falcons, 25-27. The rushing defense remains the best in the NFL, allowing just 74 yards per game. It's the passing defense that isn't very good, allowing 273 yards (27th). Today they face a Tennessee team that has no Henry at RB. The Titans beat the Rams last week, 28-16. However, if you look at the stats you would swear they lost. The Titans had just 69 yards rushing without Henry and 125 passing yards. Less than 200 yards of offensive production. They can't do that again here today if they hope to win. The Saints defense won't give up much on the ground so it will up to the passing game if the Titans hope to win this one. For me, the Henry loss really hits them today as they struggle to score. Play New Orleans. |
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11-14-21 | Falcons v. Cowboys OVER 54.5 | 3-43 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys have the best overall offense in the NFL, ranked 3rd rushing and 4th passing. Last week that offense didn't click in their loss to the Broncos, 16-30. The Cowboys were never in that game, down 0-30. My feeling is the offense had just 290 yards because of Dak Prescot. Dak missed the prior week with that injury and he just was off a bit last week, likely due to some rust. But I fully expect to see Dak and the rest of the offense back at in full this week. They face an Atlanta team that is ranked 18th overall in defense. The Falcons won at New Orleans last week, 27-25, going over the 43-point line. It was the team's fourth over in their last five games. Look for Dak and the Cowboys to be hitting on all cylinders today and take the OVER. |
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11-08-21 | Bears v. Steelers UNDER 39 | 27-29 | Loss | -103 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears have lost three games in a row, both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a loss at home to the 49ers, 22-33 as a 4.5-point dog. That was also the team's first over after six straight under games. The Bears offense ranks last in the NFL with only 264 yards per game. However, the rushing game is excellent, ranked 5th overall with an average of 137 yards per game. One huge problem for these Bears is that they allow the most sacks in the NFL (30). That is probably a good reason the passing game ranks last in the NFL. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won three in a row. They are coming off a win last week at Cleveland, 15-10. The offense is not very good, ranked just 24th overall in the NFL. They have scored fewer than 20 points in four of their seven games. They are also 1-5-1 O/U on the season. The Bears have gone under in four of their last five road games. They are also 5-16 O/U in their last 21 road games vs a team with a winning home record. My play tonight is on the UNDER. |
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11-07-21 | Cardinals v. 49ers -3 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
The Arizona Cardinals lost last week for the first time season as they saw their 7-0 record drop to 7-1 after losing to Green Bay, 21-24. The offense had their lowest rushing performance of the year, just 74 yards and 334 total yards and three turnovers to Green Bay's no turnovers. QB Kyler Murray injured his ankle in that game and while he is probable today, you have to wonder how this will hinder his ability to scramble and run. WR DeAndre Hopkins missed the Green Bay game and is questionable here today. With WR A.J Green out due to Covid, this could leave the receiving core very limited. With a healthy QB and WR's this Arizona team is arguably the best in the NFL. WIth them hurting, I'll have to take the 49ers here on Sunday. Play San Francisco. |
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11-07-21 | Chargers v. Eagles OVER 49 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Chargers looking to rebound from back-to-back losses. They lost to the Ravens three weeks ago, 6-34, had a bye week and then lost last week to the Patriots, 24-27. They just did get over the 50.5 point total last week. The offense is 12th in the league, 7th in passing. They take on a Philly team that is 18th in offense, though 6th in rushing. Philly is coming off their best offensive outing last week at Detroit, scoring 44 points and 236 yards rushing. I look for that to continue here today against this Chargers' defense. Play the OVER. |
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11-07-21 | Patriots -3.5 v. Panthers | 24-6 | Win | 102 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots have quietly strung together four straight wins after last week's road win at the Chargers, 27-24. The Pats offense has been fair, nothing great but they get the job done. They rank 15th in the league, 22nd rushing and 13th passing. The defense ranks a bit better, 13th overall. The will face the league's 2nd ranked defense in the Carolina Panthers. Carolina has the 13th defense vs the rush and 2nd vs the pass. The offense is not so good, ranked just 25th overall. The Patriots have been a good under team on grass, going 6-20 O/U their last 26. They are also 2-5 O/U in their last seven road games. The Panthers are 2-9 O/U in their last 11 overall games and 1-4 O/U in their last five home games. Both RB Christian McCaffrey (hamstring) and QB Sam Darnold (shoulder) are both listed as questionable for today's contest. Either way, I'm looking at a low scoring game. Play under. |
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11-07-21 | Vikings v. Ravens OVER 50 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a loss to the Dallas Cowboys, 16-20. This loss came despite the Cowboys playing without QB Dak Prescott who was on the sidelines with an injury. The Minnesota offense still ranks good though, 7th overall in the league. The defense does have issues, ranked 20th overall. The 78 yards allowed to the Cowboys on the ground were the fewest they have allowed this season. In fact, every other team they have played have rushed for least 100 yards. The Baltimore Ravens also coming off a loss two weeks ago at home to Cincinnati, 17-41. They had last week off to stew over that home loss. The Ravens are the third best offense in the NFL, 3rd rushing and 9th passing. The last four meetings between these teams have all gone over. For me, I see two very good offenses with one of having a week rest. I'll take the OVER in what could be a shootout. Play over. |