4* Money Maker NY KNICKS 

4* Money Maker FRESNO

8* Sure Shot CAL IRVINE

4* Money Maker MONTANTA GRIZZLIES

5* Best Bet UAB

5* Best Bet CAL IRVINE 

4* Money Maker ST PETERS

4* Money Maker LOUISIANA TECH

4* Money Maker MOREHEAD STATE

Taking MINNESOTA. Rutgers 1-5 away from the RAC. 10-1 in home games. Off a big win over Iowa. Last 2 Big 10 road games. Penn State abuses them 66-49, then they beat Maryland off that loss 70-59. Add in losses to Seton Hall 77-63 and Illinois 86-56. Not ready folks. Lost at UMass 85-83. Lost at DePaul 73-70. Nothing Golden about the Gophers as they enter on a 4 game slide. Just lost at home to Iowa 81-71 (Rutgers 48-46 winners). Before that dropped a 71-69 at Michigan State and 73-60 at Indiana. Illinois got them here 76-53. These guys beat solid Mid Majors Princeton and Western Kentucky on neutrals. They beat Michigan and Mississippi State on the road. I look for them to get back in the Win Column with good showing today. 5* Best  Bet MINNESOTA 

5* Best Bet GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS 

Taking SOUTHERN UTAH. Nearly a year to the day, Southern Utah went into Utah Valley and beat these guys 81-71. I think we get the same result tonight. Look. The Wolverines of Utah Valley are off to a great start. 7-1. They have a monster in the middle in Aimaq who honestly, will be a problem tonight. If the Thunderbirds are weak for us, that is going to be the issue. So we have our guys back home with a 4 game win streak in place. But hello Valley who after dropping their opening night game by 20 at Boise, have reeled off 7 straight. Very impressive. But the last two is why I am leaning more home team in this spot. Back to back OT wins. Wins over Denver, then, they knocked off BYU. Now, knocking off a team ranked in the Top 15 is a big deal. When that team is an in-state rival. Well. Nowhere to go but down. Southern Utah is an experienced bunch, real experienced. As in 7 of their first 8 guys playing are all seniors -their top 2 guys, All Big Sky 1st teamers. Bad spot for UV, good spot for SUU. In off a ho-hum win when they had their eyes on this matchup - they have a cupcake on deck. Thunderbirds by double digits. 5* Best Bet SOUTHERN  UTAH 

Taking NEW MEXICO STATE. Revenge game first week of December. Just a couple days ago we rolled in with New Mexico at +10. That was a wild 101-94 game. Now. I guess we give credit for Richard Pitino trying to be Richard and not Little Ricky. I like him as a coach. Didn't work out in Minny. But I think New Mexico is a Mountain West team he can build on the family name. Lobos a 2 headed monster of Mashburn and House. That being said, Aggies always a solid club, top team in the WAC. These games are always battles. But back to their last game. I think that gives us a little extra motivation here. 5* Best Bet NEW MEXICO ST

Taking the THUNDER. Yeah. You lose 152-79, and you sit for 3 days waiting to get back on the court. Then you get points from Detroit who is much better covering when they are getting double digits, not laying points. I don't come out with a ton of NBA regular season plays - but there is no way I am passing up a chance to back a team off a 73 point loss. They lost by almost the same amount points they scored! Last I checked, the Thunder are still an NBA team team. Right. Right? 8* Sure Shot OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER 

Taking MISSISSIPPI STATE. If these guys don't win by 20, I will be shocked. Detroit is giving up 80 to Toledo and Wyoming on the road. We have seen 86 and 75 out of these guys already to go along with Mississippi State allowing only 49 in both contest. More of the same to fatten up that record. 5* Best Bet MISSISSIPPI STATE

Taking FULLERTON. Like this little Big West bunch. Good spot for them too. Home. They played first 2 on the road. Santa Clara and San Jose are still in Cali. GW is in their 3rd straight away from D.C. A little bit of a haul. A win at home. Then a loss at Maryland. Hope a flight to San Diego to get trucked by 20 in a 2pt dog roll. And here they are again in the same spot. This is the schedule spot for a Titans win after 2 on the road. 5* Best Bet CS FULLERTON 

Taking JACKSONVILLE STATE. Another one of the small schools we like. I think they give Liberty a run in the ASUN this year. They are tough. This is solid small school. They gave Wichita all they could handle. Troy a bottom tier Sun Belt team that was bad last year. Maybe they improve. But this number is short enough where the Gamecocks take care of business. 8* Sure Shot JACKSONVILLE STATE 

4* Money Maker SMU

4* Money Maker BAYLOR

4* Money Maker MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE

Taking NEW MEXICO. Trying to figure out how FAU is favored. I know New Mexico had a terrible end to their season last year. Haven't played here in 'The Pit' since February. The fans will be fired up. Not just to see their, but a new coach too boot. With a basketball name like Pitino attached to it. I like some the transfer pieces. Lobos get it done here as home dogs. Outright winner on tap. 5* Best Bet NEW MEXICO LOBOS 

Taking GONZAGA. Not going to overreact to Saturday games. Baylor rolls. Gonzaga survives OT. Look. First time Bears are a dog all season. We can say how we should take them. 2 losses on the year. One, to Kansas when they were just getting their legs back after their Covid break. And in the Big 12 tourney where they shot under 40 from the field and 20% from 3. You won't be any good teams like that. And then the Zags laying the shortest number for them this year since opening -4 vs Kansas and winning 102-90. I couldn't believe the way UCLA was keeping up with these guys and shooting nearly 60% for the game. That won't get you a title and undefeated season. This line has dropped a full point since coming out. I think the people are forgetting the entire season for the Zags. Size inside a big edge for Gonzaga. Bears will be firing away from 3 all night. Should be a wild one. That said, let's look at Gonzaga vs 'Big Time Conferences' -After taking care of UCLA, Zags now 14-1 vs 'power' conference teams last 15 games. Team and Win Margin - UCLA (3), USC (19), Creighton (18), Oklahoma (16), Virginia (22), Iowa (11), West Virginia (5), Auburn (23) and Kansas (12) this season. Oh, the shortened Covid Season? - Wins at Arizona, Washington and Texas A&M. Home win over North Carolina. Neutral win over Oregon, loss against Michigan. Let's add in a  71-65 loser to North Carolina in the 2017 National Championship. A game tied 65-65 with 1.40 remaining, Mark Few knows how to handle the pressure. 5* Best Bet GONZAGA BULLDOGS 

Taking BAYLOR. This is a tough one since we have been so high on Houston since their AAC Tourney run and Championship win. I have said how good on both sides of the ball these guys are. But, always a but, as we just saw in them giving away a monster lead the other night - the offense can go missing. I mean, hats off for shooting 32% from the field and still, nearly cover. We have seen 3 crisp games from them lately. Over Cincy in the AAC Championship, running roughshod over Cleveland State, and the Syracuse game. We saw the Orange shooting regression coming and cashed. We didn't see the Oregon State let's not play for 17 minutes coming from our side. Rutgers game I toss up to a clunker. You can't take off 3 minutes against Baylor. This team will be all over you. I said at the start of the NCAAs this Bears team is very good. They have unfinished business from last year to attend to. It seems like Gonzaga/Baylor was what we have been expecting since December. As I write this Tuesday morning we don't even know who the other 2 Final Four teams are. Cougars are 28-3. This is by far, the best team they have seen all season. We can talk about the seeds they faced to get here. Overall schedule is no contest. Baylor, battle tested. I am not sure how Houston responds to a huge step-up in opponent today. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS 

Taking GONZAGA. We had USC last game. But this team has been really playing over it's head lately. Let's start vs Kanas. We had USC there also. But, 11-18 on 3s, 32-56 FG good for 59%. Over Oregon. 10-17 3pts, 57%! Another 31-54 57% FG game. 10-12 from FT line. Are you kidding me? They are a 64% FT team on the season, 34% from deep. I said way back I would lay 15-20 with the Zags vs really anyone but Baylor, Michigan, Illinois. And I stand by that. USC has had a nice run, and a nice season. But Gonzaga has too many bodies, to much talent for the Trojans. Zags by double digits, probably by 13+. 5* Best Bet GONZAGA 

Taking ALABAMA. Time for CinderFella to exit the ball. UCLA has treated us very nicely this tournament. The clock is ready to strike 12, or 7pm on Sunday night. Tide will win this one going away. It would be great if it goes like our last 10* Money Bomb when Alabama rolled the Terps on Monday night. Although almost hitting 100 points might be out of the question, Tide pull away in the 2nd half. UCLA really got a nice break in Round 2 vs Abilene and not Texas. I can't see them keeping up today. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA 

Taking FLORIDA STATE. I thought that Michigan would get picked off last game. They are a talented bunch. But I am on the 'Noles. I thought these guys have been a solid unit all season. I do have a Final Four future on them. As they say, hedging is for gardeners. I thought they were good enough to get to start the tournament. My thoughts have not changed. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA STATE 

Taking ARKANSAS. It does hurt going against our squad. We have been on this bunch since their Summit League Conference tournament. We said to grab them as a dog to win it. And they delivered cash hand over fist. They have delivered again here in the NCAAs. But this bank account is about to run dry. Time to find a new source of income. One - rebounding. Oral can't compete vs the Hogs. These guys played in December. Rebounding edge 54-25. Oh, Oral did sport a nice 40-30 half-time lead on the road. 57-36 in the second half and Oral did pull out a cover. They have managed to pull off not 1, but 2 big upsets while being out rebounded 68-50. You can't keep shooting 11-35 and 10-30 from 3 and expect to win or lose by 3 every game. You will meet a team that will run you out of the building. Especially when your 2 top guys have played every minute of your 2 games, 1 being an OT game. Shots will be short - Arkansas rebounds, off to the races. Razorbacks by 20. After beating SEC buddy Florida, the 2 seed Buckeyes, and, holding a 10pt road lead over them, not a chance that Arkansas takes this team lightly. 8* Sure Shot ARKANSAS

Taking BAYLOR. Again all in on these guys. What have we seen out of Nova. A win over Winthrop that was tight. And them throttling North Texas. Bears by double digits and it won't be close. 10* Money Bomb BAYLOR BEARS 

5* Best Bet MEMPHIS 

 Taking ALABAMA. Maybe this is the too good to be true, low hanging fruit line. I just think Bama is better. Probably 7-10 points better. This team is 21-6, lost to 1 bad team in Stanford early in the year. Top dogs in the SEC. And the Terps lost to Penn State twice! 9th in the Big 10. If I go down, I'll go down. But I would be shocked if the Tide don't pull away by double digits here. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA

Taking LSU. So these guys hurt us the other day, but we will dust off a loss and move on. Michigan will feel the loss of Livers here. As I said before, LSU a bit of up and down team. While Wolverines have been steady the entire season. When you're missing a guy like this though, when the talent level rises each additional game, that loss is tough to overcome. For as bad as LSU started, you have to be impressed with the way the still put up the points they did. I didn't think Michigan would make it to the Final Four. This is their first challenge. Tigers can win this one outright. Will sprinkle some ML also on this one. 5* Best Bet LSU 

Taking OREGON. Give me the Ducks here. I think is too many points for Iowa to give. Granted, these guys can score. But Oregon has been a solid team all year. We see a few PAC 12 teams showing up in the second round. I think the conference gets a bad knock because these guys have some wins under their belts. We saw Ohio State go down, and as I write this my Illini future is ready to be used as toilet paper as they trail Loy Chi by 9 with 3 to go. Inflated line to me for some odd reason. 5* Best Bet OREGON

Taking HOUSTON. Now. I do love some Rutgers. It's my home state. This team is a pretty decent squad. But, always a but, talent level not ready for a Sweet 16 run. We have Michigan State, the Boilermakers, and Ohio State all take dives early this tournament. I was wrong on Wiscy. Thought that NC would flip that final score on them. Not going to be wrong here. Rutgers at home in the RAC. A different game. They gave the Illini and Michigan some tough games. But this Cougar team is really rolling right now. Toss out grinders vs Memphis and we are staring at 20 and 30pt wins. This defense is humming. The offense is rolling. If Houston doesn't win by 12, I would be shocked. 8* Sure Shot HOUSTON COUGARS 

Taking TEXAS TECH. We liked this defense and team most of the season. Not going to get off them here. Big 12 better at the top than SEC. A couple bottom feeders in each. But give me the overall body of work here on both teams. And I am all over the Red Raiders. 5* Best Bet TEXAS TECH

Taking BAYLOR. Absolutely no way that Wiscy shoots 50% from 3 or 51% from the field the entire game. Not happening. Baylor is tough team. Lots of length. Better D than Carolina. I didn't think Wiscy should have even made the tourney. We have seen Ohio State go down. Purdue losing in OT. Michigan State bounced. Baylor should run these guys out of the state today. 10* Money Bomb BAYLOR BEARS

5* Best Bet OHIO

Taking the BONNIES. Not buying LSU. Don't be fooled by a last second loss. This team is soft and gives up points. Zero respect for the A10 here. Bonnies crash the glass and can rebound. They play solid defense. Give me the A10 Champs. 10* Money Bomb ST BONAVENTURE 

Taking COLORADO. Everyone loving the Hoyas. And why not. Big East Champs. Upsets galore. Killed us by blowing out Creighton. But I think reality strikes. No glass slipper for CinderFella here. Ewing totally overachieving right now. Team picked last for Big East. And here we are - 13-12 Conference Champs. I think PAC 12 was a little under-rated this year. Give me the Buffs. 5* Best Bet COLORADO BUFFALOS

8* Sure Shot LOYOLA CHICAGO 

5* Best Bet WESTERN KENTUCKY

Taking NORTH CAROLINA. Think people are under valuing this Tarheels team. Don't be fooled by the losses. Texas, Iowa, Florida State, Virginia. These are good teams. Georgia Tech has proven to be a pretty decent team also. The Marquette loss was sandwiched between a win over FSU and Duke. NC will crash the boards and should be able to extend to a double digit lead early. ND in off a game, really a miracle win. Wake, if they were any decent, would have found a way to win that one. No chance they are shooting 50+ % from the floor tonight vs the Tarheels. NC shot terribly when they beat the Irish in their lone meeting. If you are winning shooting 35% from the field, you will will going away when you get over 40%. Inside game they key here. 8* Sure Shot NORTH CAROLINA 

5* Best Bet IONA

5* Best Bet CLEMSON TIGERS

5* Best Bet CS NORTHRIDGE 

Taking TENNESSEE. Florida absolutely ambushed these guys back in January, 75-49. Vols couldn't find water if they dropped basketballs off a boat in that game. 29% FG, 3 of 18 from 3 good for 17%. 48% from the charity stripe. Just an awful performance. Now the Gators are in off a total heartbreaker losing on a last second layup at home to Missouri. Tennessee also in off a road loss. But time to get right on your home court. Payback time. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSE VOLUNTEERS. 

5* Best Bet HOFSTRA 

5* Best Bet OHIO ST

5* Best Bet SOUTHERN UTAH

5* Best Bet EAST TENN ST

5* Best Bet ARLINGTON 

5* Best Bet SOUTH ALABAMA

4* Money Maker GARDNER WEBB

4* Money Maker NICHOLLS 

8* Sure Shot FLORIDA ST

4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE

5* Best Bet UCLA

5* Best Bet NORTHEASTERN 

Taking SOUTH DAKOTA STATE. Coming in off loss to the top seed, So Dak St will lay a double digit beating on Fort Wayne. Jackrabbits won both regular season games. They shoot the lights out. IPFW not a great shooting team, especially from the charity stripe and deep. 5* Best Bet SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 

Taking MISSOURI STATE. Nice win last night. Looking for this to continue with this squad. Said yesterday not to overlook them. Here we are. Again, this team was suppose to be the top dogs of the MVC. Time to shine. It is wide open now with the 1&2 seeds gone. In their split this year, home team winners of both games. Riding the Bears. 5* Best Bet MISSOURI STATE 

Taking BRADLEY. Nice little run by Drake, but I will be backing the Braves this afternoon. I thought Bradley would be possibly the first team to knock off Northern Iowa. But here we are. Drake got some red hot shooting of their own coupled with the NIU not being able to connect from anywhere. That is a nice combination to have during a game. These 2 split out both winning on their home courts. Drake is feeling the slippers - Bradley won't overlook them. 5* Best Bet BRADLEY 

Taking MISSOURI STATE. The 6 seed a slight fave over the 3 seed. Now. In another smaller conference, we actually went against a 9 laying 4 to an 8 based on the 8 winning 10 straight in the series. Here. We see Missouri State, a team picked to win the conference, falter a bit. We see these 2 split the season series - Both winning in convincing fashion on the others home court. 71-58 Missouri State 3 weeks ago. Indiana State 78-68 at MSU in January. The public will be all over the Sycamores when they look at records and seeding. Maybe the line gets to pick. I am seeing some 1.5 pop up so the early money appears to be on our Bears. 8* Sure Shot MISSOURI STATE 

Taking MICHIGAN. This is a different team with Livers in the line-up. We have seen that first hand. Won't be shocked at an outright win this afternoon. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking FLORIDA STATE. - Before I get to this, if you are in NY-NJ-PA area, be sure to come down to Bally's AC on Thursday March 19. Like the Super Bowl, I will have a Fan Cave - Plenty of food + drink and gifts! Stop by. -- So we are grabbing FSU here. Also, will be grabbing these guys as a National Champion Future. Can't dispute the record. 24-4, sitting atop the ACC. Lose at Duke. Ok, no shame. Loss at National Champ Virginia. OK, not bad. But how do you drop a 2pt game to Pitt to start the year on the road? You bounce back trucking Florida on their home court though. All we hear is Duke, San Diego State, Gonzaga, Baylor, Kansas. Nothing about the Noles. Notre Dame on deck so nothing much of a look ahead. Then closing out to BC. Again. This should be a 7 game win streak heading into the ACC tournament. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA STATE 

Taking the NUGGETS. These guys won 5 of the last 6 vs the Clippers. Also. And I have said this before about LAC, and other teams. You just can't turn it on. Morris and Jackson new in town for 6 and 3 games. They need to learn the flow. Paul George has been struggling. The load management/ injury things hurt the overall game play. Getting a nice amount of points. Easy play backing the road team. 8* Sure Shot DENVER NUGGETS

Taking WRIGHT STATE. Battle for the  Horizon here. Raiders sitting on top right now at 14-3, NKU 13-4. Wright took it Norse back on Jan 24 laying a whipping on them 95-63. What really leads me to Wright though is this. Looking over the season I see 6 losses.  Losses by 1 - 2 - 7 (OT) - 4 - 3 - and the what the heck, 18 to Youngstown. They are just more battled tested in these close games. Let us not forget that last year these guys split out, only for NKU to win the rubber match and go dancing, while Wright State hit the NIT. That still lingers. 5* Best Bet WRIGHT STATE 

5* Best Bet WESTERN KENTUCKY 

Taking DAYTON. The beat goes on as the Flyers are at 16 in row. Zero losses in regulation - 25-2 with a pair of neutral court losses in OT to Colorado by 2 and Kansas by 6. Mason with its 2nd win in last 8 won't put up much a fight. Get on those Dayton futures yesterday because this team at a minimum, should be Elite Eight bound. 8* Sure Shot DAYTON FLYERS 

5* Best Bet BROOKLYN NETS

Taking INDIANA STATE. 5 straight wins for the Sycamores in the series, including 23 point blow-outs the last two. 65-42 back on January 14th and 85-62 last February. That Evansville 3pt win over Kentucky way back in Game 2 seems like years ago. 15 straight losses and counting. 5* Best Bet INDIANA STATE 

5* Best Bet INDIANA PACERS 

8* Sure Shot TORONTO RAPTORS 

Taking PRINCETON. Bit of an odd number here. One, we see Harvard sitting at 16-7 and Princeton at 11-10. So you think, ok, number is pretty normal. Then we dig a bit. Wait a second - The Tigers are 6-2 in Ivy play and sits a game ahead of Harvard's 5-3? Princeton also pulled out a 1pt win back on February 1st. Previously, Harvard had won 4 straight in the series. But back to this number. All the Crimson have done is play close games lately. Lets just look at the point differentials -4 (OT, laying 14) 22 (laying 12.5) 1,3,1,3 (OT), 4,5,4,3 (OT). Close games, wins and losses. If Aiken was here, different story. This is probably a Top 20 team. But I have to grab the points here with the dog. We are either winning this baby outright or a dog-fight. I can't see a home win approaching double digits. 5* Best Bet PRINCETON 

Taking BYU, and yes, laying the big number even though Gonzaga lurks on deck. Best 3pt shooting in the land and #3 in overall FG% at 50+. They hit their FTs also. Clara can push it, yet are still monster-dogs. I'm not buying it. This is a tough home court, and Clara hasn't traveled well all year. 5* Best Bet BYU 

Taking AUBURN. Going with the low hanging fruit here. Tigers really need to get their road woes straightened out. 12pt loss at Missouri last time out. That goes with them getting routed by Alabama (we had the Tide) 83-64 and then 69-47 at Florida in the next game. A little road pattern develops here. Then again, I tend to let this one slide a bit based on the fact Auburn had played 3 straight overtime games, and 4 OT games in their last 5. All 5 games were wins by the way. But I can't put Georgia on, or even near the level of these 3 teams. 2-10 in SEC play. 4 straight losses. Tom Crean not a guy a love. While Bruce Pearl, though disliked by many, is someone I have had success backing. 5* Best Bet AUBURN TIGERS

Taking COLORADO STATE. CSU on a 8-2 SU run with those losses both coming to Utah State. They took care of the Runnin' Rebels 95-77 back on February 1st, and nothing has changed since then. UNLV 2-2 since then. With a 1pt win, a 5pt win and loss, and an OT loss. That is what they are. A .500 team.  13-14 on the year, 8-6 in conference. Maybe I am a little high on Colorado State. They have a bunch of scorers. All but 1 regular hits his FTs. Dog and road team on a nice 3-1-1 ATS run. We'll grab some of that tonight. 5* Best Bet COLORADO STATE 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. All you need to do is look at this line. Maryland, a 'Top 10' team getting a handful of buckets on the road from a barely 'ranked' Spartans team. You know I love these kinds of games. Lets not forget that to start the year, Michigan State was THE #1 team in those rankings. Sometimes it takes a while to get things going. Never count out Sparty. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN STATE 

Taking AKRON. I know CMU likes to push it, but I think the Zips keep pace. Chips defense a little less than to be desired. Akron needs to keep pace with BG atop the MAC East. CMU 2 back in the west of Northern Illinios. Both of these guys have over achieved in my eyes. They were for me, more a middle pack grouping. But here we are. That is why they play the games. 5* Best Bet AKRON ZIPS 

Taking SOUTH CAROLINA. Give me the Frank Martin team here. Tom Crean with a near barren cabinet. Has a one and done guy. That's it. And that isn't going to help him rebuild this Georgia team. Carolina has won 4 of 5 and 6 of their last 8. Bulldogs have dropped 6 of 7 and 8 of 10. 2-8 in SEC Play. Don't be fooled by 10 home wins. A&M and Tennessee in SEC action. Other than that, we have some smaller schools coming in for a payday. ML this puppy as the Gamecocks get it done for us. 5* Best Bet SOUTH CAROLINA 

Taking BOWLING GREEN. I thought BG or maybe Buffalo would be the top dogs here in MAC East. Well, I am looking good with BG sitting at 9-2 in conference play. Akron, next, at 7-3. The dog is on a 5-1 ATS run in the series. Maybe this line is a little too good to be true. Does seem a bit high to me. 8 straight and 9 wins in 10 games is enough for us to back the hot visitors. 5* Best Bet BOWLING GREEN 

Taking NORTH TEXAS. Mean Green trying to keep pace with La Tech in CUSA action. Taking on last place Mid Ten State and laying anything short of 10 looks solid based on my number having this game at 11. 13-3 ATS run helps the cause also. 5* Best Bet NORTH TEXAS

Taking WEST VIRGINIA. Just like the way these guys are playing. You know they will bringing the defense here at home. Not a spot to look ahead to here at home, next up Sooners on the road. But we should look there as Kansas looms. Tonight though, Iowa State and their 0-6 road record will have to keep searching for their first victory. 5* Best Bet WEST VIRGINIA 

5* Best Bet NORTHERN ILLINOIS 

5* Best Bet AKRON ZIPS 

5* Best Bet AKRON 

10* Money Bomb LOUISIANA TECH 

4* Money Maker CHARLESTON 

5* Best Bet ST FRANCIS PA

10* Money Bomb BOISE STATE 

10* Money Bomb  ST MARYS -- Cal is brutal. They got a rare win last game. Won't be close tonight. 

8* Sure Shot COLORADO 

Taking SEATTLE, again. These guys forgot they had a game last time out. What a disaster. But, new day. We are back on them. Seattle won last year by 20, and 19 in 2017. I'm looking for them to bring the defense after getting hammered by 30 the other night. Eastern Washington comes in off a huge 107-25 win! That wasn't on XBox. That was against something called Portland Bible College. Folks, that is just some bad mojo beating a school with Bible in it's name like that. 5* Best Bet SEATTLE 

5* Best Bet CAL BAKERSFIELD 

Taking BAYLOR. I have no idea where this line is coming from. I would think the Bears by at least 20. I think with everything around Kansas, maybe, MAYBE, the Jayhawks finally give up the Big 12 crowns. Now, I do like Central Arkansas. This is strong Southland team. But not laying points. I see nothing about Baylor missing 7 guys. So we are taking the low hanging fruit out of the gate. BAYLOR BEARS 

Taking the BULLS as a Best Bet to start the season. Like this young Chicago team. A lot of good young guys. Everyone healthy. Charlotte a lot of rebuilding going on. Lose their leader in Kemba. Who is stepping up in a close game? I think Bulls surprise some teams this season. LaVine, Markkannan, Dunn, Porter, Carter Jr. Some solid pieces. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BULLS 

Taking the NETS. Where is the motivation for the Heat? Wade's last home game last night. A big night for him. Team wins but is knocked out of the playoffs. Now on the road. I don't think even being locked into the playoffs that Brooklyn will take things for granted. This franchise has been down and I think finishing above .500 is better than 41-41. 10* Money Bomb BROOKLYN NETS

Taking VIRGINIA. So we had both of these guys last weekend - Will go with VA to get it done. Look. I said in our Auburn write up last week that was the spot to move on them. Off a loss of key player, vs a conference foe. Double revenge on the season. Everything lined up. Now, not so much. I get that these guys have been great in this tournament. Really just a couple hiccup spots of poor play. But I said all season I believed Virginia looked a bit different. They are 2 wins away from getting away from last years epic loss. I think that is a huge motivation factor for them. They have been tested and responded. I think Auburn has peaked and this is a double digit loss for them  5* Best Bet VIRGINIA 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA. I really want to jump in with a larger play, nearly a Top 10* Money Bomb here. I just think - As much as Auburn wants to run with these guys, they just don't have the horses to last. NC is scoring 80, at a minimum tonight. If Auburn wants to push the tempo this game, I think they are getting run out of the building like 93-75 territory. As great as the Tigers have looked, they will need another SEC Championship Game performance to knock off the Tarheels. 5* Best Bet NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Death, Taxes, and Izzo's first Sweet 16 since 2015. I think he will have these guys primed tonight. So. I managed a back-door cover with Yale over LSU. Then LSU cost me by a half-point. My first fade was based on what will get with everything going on with the coaching situation. They hung tough enough to get to the second round. Where, they let a double digit slip away against a pretty average, at best Big 10 team. Michigan State doesn't play those childish games. They are going to maul you on both ends. They just crushed Minnesota, a common foe they see on a regular by 20. As I said. First Sweet 16 since 2015 for Izzo and friends. Not a chance they are losing focus vs these guys. LSU, I don't know. They have been playing with fire in the first two rounds. Think this is a 10pt win for Sparty. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN STATE. 

Taking VIRGINIA. Love that everyone is on Oregon. Holy cow people - First. Let's talk about the gift that the Ducks received. First. They were not even dancing until the knocked off Washington in the PAC 12 championship. Which, I think would have been unfair if Arizona State was in the play-in and not Oregon. So they run the table. Then they get a middle Big 10 team. Hot team prevails. They get Irvine - who I had over K-State. But still a 13 seed. Hitting 13 3s at a 52% clip helps to crush a small mid-major. Arizona State got run out of the building by Buffalo. Washington beaten by NC. And what do we have here -Well, hello Virginia. Good luck Oregon. Another ACC team to take a PAC 12 team behind the woodshed. Said it in their win over Oklahoma, and will say it again here. Virginia has 3 losses on the year. 2 of them to another 1 Seed in Duke. There was no let down before or after those Duke games. A 23 pt win over Wake isn't all that impressive. But how about a 6 point road win at North Carolina after a 10pt Duke loss - VA, on a mission. This game will be around 6-10 then its 15 and honestly, I don't Oregon scoring 60 in this game. Cavs should have 70+. 10* Money Bomb VIRGINIA CAVALIERS

Taking GONZAGA. So this line I see ticking up to 7.5 after an opening number of 6.5 I see a lot more money on Florida State. And I get it. FSU looking good in the NCAA. ACC battle tested. But are they? Say we throw out 2 bad road losses to Pitt, losing by 13 and losing at BC by 5. We have a 10pt loss to Duke in the ACC tournament - I see a 18pt loss at NC - losing by 13 at Virginia. Then 2 pt home loss to Duke and a 6pt neutral loss to Nova. Man- I see 1-4 vs the Top teams and losing all by double digits. We can say all we want about the Zags playing the WCC and ACC better top to bottom. Taking away that no-show game in WCC Championship we see 2 losses. 3 on a neutral to the Vols and 13 their next game at NC. That is a tough 2 step coming from the Northwest. I'm buying the Zags based on the reverse line move. 5* Best Bet GONZAGA