Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-24-19 | Washington v. North Carolina -11.5 | Top | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show |
Taking NORTH CAROLINA. Losses to Duke, Virginia, Kentucky and Michigan for NC. Plus a puzzling loss to Texas and a loss to Louisville. That's it. Washington put up 48 points vs Oregon in the PAC 12 Championship Game. That was after losing the regular season finale to them 55-47. They lost to an 8-23 Cal team. I can't see them sniffing staying within double digits. I think NC is going to outboard them on both ends of the court. I cashed Huskies ML in Round 1. But this is a terrible match-up for them. Can't see them keeping pace with Heels. This should be a 20pt win for NC along the 85-65 range. After a slow start in Round 1. I expect NC to be 100% ready to come for the PAC 12 regular season Champs. 10* Money Bomb NORTH CAROLINA |
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03-24-19 | Iowa v. Tennessee -8 | Top | 77-83 | Loss | -106 | 39 h 37 m | Show |
Taking TENNESSEE. Not worried at this price with the Vols. So they took a close game vs Colgate. That doesn't shock me too much. Let's look at their season. Lost on a neutral to 'good' Kansas by 6 in OT. Auburn got them twice. I mean, who was beating Auburn in that SEC Championship Game? Nobody. They were in, as they say, 'the zone.' Lost by 2 in OT at LSU. And got run out of Kentucky by 17. They did their revenge at home winning by 19 over Kentucky though. Who is comparable to this Iowa team they played? Louisville, who they beat by 11? Mississippi State 17? Florida 12? How about Gonzaga? Beat them by 3 on a neutral. Iowa came into the Big 10 tournament dropped 4 straight and 4 of 5. They needed OT to beat a slumping Indiana team. They beat Rutgers by 2 and Northwestern by 1 in back to back games. You know how they do vs tourney teams. Losses to Michigan by 21 and 15. Michigan State 22 and 15. 20 at Wiscy, 20 at OSU. Vols too talented. This should be at least a 15 point win for Tennessee. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE |
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03-23-19 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -10 | Top | 50-70 | Win | 100 | 46 h 46 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN STATE. One team in off a super impressive win that they controlled basically from start to finish. The other guys, a huge fave in a dog fight most of the afternoon, Will side with an angry Izzo who will have his guys more than ready for Minny. Sparty beat these guys by 24 already this year. Last years bunch 30 points better. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN STATE |
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03-23-19 | Lipscomb v. NC-Greensboro | Top | 86-69 | Win | 100 | 44 h 48 m | Show |
Taking LIPSCOMB. Think these guys played a little better schedule and are a little better overall. We had both teams in Round 1, and unfortunately, they face each other here. Just another tournament putting mid-majors against each other so they don't beat Power 5 middling schools. Lipscomb lost 2 tough games to Belmont. They beat SMU, TCU. Really beat up a good Vermont team. Beat other middies Morehead State and Midd Tenn State. Lost at Louisville and Clemson. Shame they aren't in the NCAAs with who they played. NCG lost to LSU and Kentucky but were crushed by Wofford. I put Lipscomb obviously closer to Wofford than Kentucky. But fact remains NCG didn't step up when it needed to. 5* Best Bet LIPSCOMB |
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03-22-19 | St. Louis v. Virginia Tech -9 | Top | 52-66 | Win | 100 | 107 h 27 m | Show |
Taking VIRGINIA TECH. So I think we saw STL really shoot the moon in the A-10 tournament. Would love to see them make a run here. But I can't see that happening. This VT team is very good. You hear about Virginia, Duke and NC out of the ACC, but don't sleep on the Hokies. 8* Sure Shot VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES |
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03-22-19 | UCF -1 v. VCU | Top | 73-58 | Win | 100 | 83 h 48 m | Show |
Taking UCF. Just think that they have too much size for VCU. Rams coming in off tough loss in A10 Championship game. They lose a key piece in Evans. Maybe he plays -No clue as I write this on Tuesday, but zero chance he will be close to 100% if he gets on the floor. UCF a tough team. Beat Houston on the road and Cincy in back to back to spots- then dropped a tough roadie at Temple who always brings it. Obviously they have to get by VCU first, but I will be interested in them vs Duke in the next round. 8* Sure Shot UCF |
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03-22-19 | Cal-Irvine +5.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 70-64 | Win | 100 | 99 h 22 m | Show |
Taking IRVINE. So, Wade plays and is 100%, I think this line is higher. But if he's out or plays in a limited fashion, have to still side with Irvine. Right off the bat - this game is in San Jose. I don't know California, but I know Irivine does play here. It isn't like their fans are flying in from Kansas. They will have the crowd behind them. And in an early game like this, it will be noticeable. You beat a team in your conference tournament championship by 30, that interests me. That is a team that you play twice a year and knows your ins and outs over the years. 16 straight wins and 19 of 20. 5* Best Bet CAL IRVINE |
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03-21-19 | Old Dominion +12.5 v. Purdue | Top | 48-61 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 43 m | Show |
Taking OLD DOMINION. This team won't mind playing a slow, banging pace. And the double digits are just a bonus. I think OD wins this outright. Really. If this game isn't withing 10 I would be shocked. CUSA always shows up in the NCAAs.. Last year Marshall 13 seed won first round. Year before, 12 seed Middle Tenn State wins 1st round. Before that - 15 Mid Tenn over #2 Michigan State. 14 UAB over 3 seed Iowa before that. We have to go back to 2013-2014 to find CUSA not getting bounced in the first round. 10* Money Bomb OLD DOMINION |
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03-20-19 | Central Michigan +5 v. DePaul | Top | 86-100 | Loss | -108 | 33 h 13 m | Show |
Taking CENTRAL MICHIGAN. Will gladly grab a MAC dog vs an average, at best Big East team. 4-6 run for DePaul and 7-3 for CMU. I always feel the smaller conference has the edge. The line is a bonus. I think we win outright. 10-0-1 ATS run for them last 11 games and 16-4-1 ATS last 21 overall. 5* Best Bet CENTRAL MICHIGAN |
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03-20-19 | Wichita State +10 v. Furman | Top | 76-70 | Win | 100 | 54 h 8 m | Show |
Taking WICHITA. I love me some Furman, but this is too many points for me to pass up. I think this line is probably double what it should be. 4* Money Maker WICHITA STATE |
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03-20-19 | Toledo +5 v. Xavier | Top | 64-78 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 17 m | Show |
Taking TOLEDO. I am going to jump on some +190 ML also. Big brother/ little brother in state battle. You know the Rockets want to come hard at these guys. MAC trying to get some street cred. Starts with knocking out a bigger name program - this one, an in state rival. Creighton - what team is showing up? The one that lost 6 straight? The one that won 6 straight? They are 4-10 ATS in their 14 games going off as a fave. Toledo much more consistent on the year. Buffalo only team to really run them out of a game. 8* Sure Shot TOLEDO ROCKETS |
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03-15-19 | Oregon -2 v. Arizona State | Top | 79-75 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
Taking OREGON. These guys playing very well right now. Won't be shocked when they win PAC 12 - and maybe make a Sweet 16 run. A perfect 6-0 ATS/ SU run for Ducks. Beat ASU by 28 a couple weeks ago. Get your ticket and get out of the way of the Ducks. Simply rolling right now. 8* Sure Shot OREGON DUCKS |
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03-14-19 | Marshall v. Southern Miss -3.5 | Top | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
Taking SOUTHERN MISS. 101-51 was the score back in January. Marshall comes in hot with 5 straight win, and that big revenge spot. Think this could be the best team in CUSA. 8* Sure Shot SOUTHERN MISS |
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03-14-19 | North Texas v. Western Kentucky -2.5 | Top | 51-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Taking WESTERN KENTUCKY. Had NT yesterday in a nice easy win, but not today. WKU is pretty talented. Won't be shocked to see them cut down the nets. 5* Best Bet WESTERN KENTUCKY |
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03-14-19 | USC v. Washington -5 | Top | 75-78 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Taking WASHINGTON. You win a crap conference by a full 3 games, you better take care of a bad USC team. You take care of business, win this by a dozen and move on. 5* Best Bet WASHINGTON HUSKIES |
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03-14-19 | NC State v. Virginia -10.5 | Top | 56-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
Taking VIRGINIA. Time for the long road back. We know what happened in the NCAAs last year. So does the team. They look a little different to me this season. I think they easily dispatch NCST this afternoon. Should be a 15-20pt win for VA. 10* Money Bomb VIRGINIA |
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03-13-19 | Houston Baptist v. Lamar -4 | Top | 79-81 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
Taking LAMAR. These guys might be the 5 seed, but I think they are top in Southland Conference. These 2 split, Lamar rolling 110-75 end of February, and Houston Baptist scoring a 88-82 OT win to begin the year. Lamar with 8 straight wins and 10 in their last 11. 5* Best Bet LAMAR |
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03-13-19 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech -7.5 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
Taking VIRGINIA TECH. Not high on Miami. They didn't impress me yesterday. I think VT crashes the semis on Friday and will face Top Seed Virginia. That was Miami's first win on the road since what, before Thanksgiving! Hokies win this by 10+. 8* Sure Shot VIRGINIA TECH |
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03-12-19 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -13.5 | Top | 60-47 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Taking GONZAGA. Had these guys last night, will do it again. As I said in yesterday's write up. 34-28-48-30-30-59-23-31-43-35-45-61-34-42-23-37-41 -- How about those margins of victory for Gonzaga? We can dd last nights 26 point winner to that list. Again. Beat Mary's already by 16 and 38. This is 15-20 win. 5* Best Bet GONAZAGA |
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03-11-19 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Nebraska-Omaha +1 | Top | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
Taking OMAHA. I have these guys favored and we are getting points. I know that most times I am on a higher seed that is favored. But this line is so short that I toss that aside. Omaha with a 74-71 home win back in February and 85-79 OT win on the road in January. Coming hot winning 8 of 9 while FT Wayne resounding win over South Dak snapped a 4 game losing streak. Omaha was 14-3 in conference play with 2 losses to Oral Roberts and one to the ousted 1 seed South Dakota State Jackrabbits. Since 2010, teams trying to get that 3rd game revenge have failed at a 72% clip. I liked these guys at +600 before the Tourney so I am not shying away now. Ne-Om on a 10-3 ATS run in Summit Play. 10* Money Bomb NEBRASKA OMAHA MAVERICKS |
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03-11-19 | NC-Greensboro v. Wofford -6.5 | Top | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
Taking WOFFORD. Tough to knock on NCG who we made some coin on this season. But Wofford a beast. 20-0 in conference play. Beat these guys by 30 and 29 already this year. Greenboro 17-3 in conference play with those blowouts hanging over their head. I know you think they will come out strong in revenge and, get that taste of their mouth type game. But I don't see it. These are more than convincing wins. Greenboro off a dog-fight win over 'money earning' Furman. So Con Champs 5* Best Bet WOFFORD TERRIERS |
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03-11-19 | Delaware v. Hofstra -10.5 | Top | 74-78 | Loss | -117 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
Taking HOFSTRA. Faded Delaware yesterday and was looking good until they hit 8 straight 3's and 9 in 10 shots to turn a deficit into a nice lead. Not a chance they get hot like that again. Not happening. Pride went 16-3 in CAA play and destroyed these guys already this year - 92-70 on the road and 91-46 at home. Blue Hens 2-9-1 ATS run. Blowout. 10* Money Bomb HOFSTRA PRIDE |
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03-10-19 | Houston v. Cincinnati -2 | Top | 85-69 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
Taking CINCINNATI. Can't take anything away from Houston 28-2 on the year with a 5 point loss to UCF and 4 point road loss at Temple. 15-2 atop AAC. Cincy 14-3. Big game for them in home finale. I'm going with the home team and better defense. Unders have gone 9-1 last 10 in this series so we know defense prevails. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BEARCATS |
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02-20-19 | Florida v. LSU -7 | Top | 82-77 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Taking LSU. I am sick to my stomach seeing that Florida is a possible NCAA bubble team. Is that a joke? Please, give me some one out of the SoCon - Sun Belt- ASun - Ohio Valley instead. Give me CAA and CUSA. Liberty, Wofford, Greensboro, Lipscomb, Radford, Northeastern, North Texas, Furman. I can go on and on. Oh, Indiana. As a 10. Stop. LSU for the love of all that is holy, destroy this Gators team please. (there is my Tourney Rant for now) -- Florida on a 1-7 ATS run through SEC play while LSU enjoys a 9-3 ATS run in conference action. LSU on a 14-1 run with their lone by a point. 7-7 run over last 14 for Gators. Fave 4-0-1 ATS last 5 in the series. Home team 3-1-1 ATS last 5 in the series. LSU 5-2 ATS last 7 at home vs Florida. 8* Sure Shot LSU |
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02-14-19 | BYU v. San Diego -3 | Top | 88-82 | Loss | -113 | 24 h 15 m | Show |
Taking SAN DIEGO. Home team on a 8-1 ATS run in the series which adds to our BYU run of 3-11 ATS last 14 on the road. BYU 8-3 in conference while SD 5-5. That doesn't matter to me - I think this team is on par with SF and St Mary's, who, dealt BYU road losses of 19 and 22. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO |
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02-11-19 | Virginia v. North Carolina +2 | Top | 69-61 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Taking NORTH CAROLINA. No way Virginia losses 2 in a row right? I mean, 2 losses to Duke and that's it. NC quietly sitting at 9-1 in the ACC. I know that VA dictates the pace in this series. But that being said, I am just not sold on the Cavaliers. Roy Williams is a bit over-rated in my eyes. I think he just lets his talent take over on the court and not really 'coach.' Back to the pace. Even with NC scoring over 70 just once the last 6 meetings, I am backing the home dog. 5* Best Bet NORTH CAROLINA |
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01-28-19 | Baylor +6.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 77-47 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show |
Taking BAYLOR. Like the way these guys have playing. Crashing the offense glass and hitting 3s. Raise your hand if you had these guys at 4-2 in Big 12 play ending January? A new guy seems to step up every game. That is how you win with balanced offensive efficiency. Just too many points to give a hot team with a balanced attack. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS |
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01-08-19 | Purdue v. Michigan State -8.5 | Top | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 23 h 45 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Like this team a lot. Forget about Purdue rolling a 'ranked' team as a 10pt faves. Sparty is a totally different animal. This is a complete Final Four team. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN STATE |
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01-08-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Ball State -11.5 | Top | 84-82 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
Taking BALL STATE. Now. Everyone knows Buffalo as the MAC darlings. But this is a sneaky good team. 4 top scorers back from last year. Every year getting better. They are the #1 team out of the West. EMU is a poor shooting team. When your top 2 scorers are 37 and 38% from the field and 36 and 27% from 3, you are going to have problems keeping pace with the Cardinals putting up nearly 85ppg. Last year, 58-41 EMU as Ball State shot 27%. Payback in big fashion. 8* Sure Shot BALL STATE |
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01-05-19 | Georgia v. Tennessee -14 | Top | 50-96 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
Taking TENNESSEE . This isn't football in January. Georgia beat these guys last year 73-62 at home, and hung tough 66-61 on the road blowing a nice half-time lead. Well. You caught them off a close game with Florida on deck. Then you got them off a pair of b2b road games. No such luck as this is a Vols team rested. This team is good. Georgia in a rebuild with a new HC. Vols can name their score, and I am thinking it should be 20. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSEE |
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01-05-19 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech -11 | Top | 57-63 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
TEXAS TECH gets the call as our Top Rated 10* MONEY BOMB Game of the Week. Red Raiders crushed these guys last year 66-47 on the road and 74-58 at home. Kansas State down 2 key contributors. I get it. The next guy steps up. But good luck vs Texas Tech who brings the D. I don't think K-State gets more than 50 today. If Tech doesn't win by 20 I will be disappointed. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS TECH |
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12-19-18 | Cal-Irvine -2.5 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 52-48 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
Taking IRVINE. This is a good little Big West team. They should about 25 games this year. That is nearly double of what this EMU team will put up. Don't be fooled by EMU 5-1 home record. Rochester College - Goshen - Central State for 3 wins. Drexel, who is a bad CAA team. And the Boston Terriers. This is a step up in competition. Should be a 10pt win. 5* Best Bet CAL IRVINE |
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12-15-18 | Villanova v. Kansas -7 | Top | 71-74 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
Taking KANSAS. As we said when we had Penn the other night. This is not last years Villanova team. Jayhawks by double digits. 5* Best Bet KANSAS NFL and Bowl Games will be added today |
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11-28-18 | Georgia State -3.5 v. Tulane | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
Taking GEORGIA STATE. I have GaSt as a Top 20 mid-major program. And as we have seen other times this year, no better time to take these guys vs a 'bigger' school. Always with a chip on their shoulder, you know you will get their 'A' game. These guys will win the Sun Belt and are led by conference POY. They just knocked off Georgia, and have beaten the Bonnies. I would put Tulane below those 2 programs right now. Tulane will most likely be pulling up the rear of the AAC. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA STATE |
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11-17-18 | St. Louis +6 v. Seton Hall | Top | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
Taking ST LOUIS. Like this bunch. A lot of good talent. If HC Ford can piece it together, this is an NCAA team. Transfers. Isabell from Drexel 21ppg 7boards -- Wiley from Maryland 6ppg . That doesn't include returnees, Goodwin 11ppg 7boards , Bess 13/7, French 9/7, Forman 7ppg, Welmer 8/5. These guys are deep. On the flip side - Seton Hall lost nearly 60% of it's scoring. STL is ready to take a big step. Nearly played them +210 on the ML here on the sites. Pirates with Powell scoring 27 and Nzei 12. After that, it is a loose ball crap shoot of where the points are coming from. Billikens get the call. 10* Money Bomb STL BILLIKENS |
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11-16-18 | Connecticut v. Iowa -3.5 | Top | 72-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Taking IOWA. Although pegged for a middle tier Big 10 team, I like Iowa in this spot. Everyone real contributor back for them. They beat a pretty good Ducks team last night. Let-down. Nah. Then we would have to say let-down for UConn. Huskies ceiling was about basement level. But with a new HC, they took down old Big East rival Syracuse last night. Think size and experience wins out tonight. 5* Best Bet IOWA |
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11-16-18 | Syracuse v. Oregon +1 | Top | 65-80 | Win | 101 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
Taking OREGON. Both of these guys were probably thinking they were going to be playing in the 2K Classic Championship Game. Look. This is like a home game for 'Cuse. I think they are ok. I mean -middle of the road ACC team. Will be ranked, and go dancing. I have Ducks pegged for the top of the PAC 12. I like Dana Altman. I think this team is pretty good. And I will grab them this afternoon. 5* Best Bet OREGON DUCKS |
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11-09-18 | Arkansas v. Texas -6.5 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS. I have these guys as a near Top 15 team. Arkansas - not so much. Further down the run in the 60s. Clear rebuild going on for the Razorbacks. Arkansas will be in store for a long year. Longhorns should really name their score tonight. 8* Sure Shot TEXAS LONGHORNS |
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11-06-18 | Tennessee Tech v. Memphis -14 | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show |
Taking MEMPHIS. Normally I don't like coming out swinging dropping a huge 10* Money Bomb play on opening. This just feels like proverbial 'perfect storm.' Tenn Tech comes in as probably the worse team in the OVC. Have to replace all their top scorers. New HC Penny Hardaway takes over for Tubby Smith and the hype is off the charts. He has a few seniors that will be more than happy to whatever the NBA All-Star has to say. The kids on Tenn Tech will probably be star struck looking for autographs instead of playing their assignments. 10* Money Bomb MEMPHIS |
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11-01-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 119-132 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
Taking the BLAZERS. Nice spot for Portland. Well, coming back from a road trip isn't ideal, but what makes this so appealing is New Orleans off Golden State. Every team, especially a team that is trying to show it will be a playoff team, will bring the proverbial 'A' game against the Warriors. There will always be a let down when a good team plays GS, then is on the court the very next day. Then we add in that the Trailblazers are also a team that plays with the old disrespected chip on it's' shoulder. Siding with the home faves here. 4* Money Maker PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan -5 | Top | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN. We had Loy-Chi to start Round 1 in game winning fashion. But the time has gone for Cinderella to go home from the dance. Looking back on huge runs like this (VCU + George Mason), I can't compare them to Butler who had an NBA head coach and NBA players Mack + Hayward. I can see this playing out ala G-Mason style, who Florida beat 73-58. Hoping Wolverines hit some FTs down the stretch and not cost us like they did vs Florida State. Might be close for a half. I just think the size and talent eventually make this a comfortable double digit game. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN |
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03-23-18 | Syracuse v. Duke -11.5 | Top | 65-69 | Loss | -104 | 97 h 13 m | Show |
Taking DUKE tonight. First. Just because we are having a GOM doesn't me bet the house. We rate the plays. So adding a Game of the Week, Month, Year to it just means to play it for an extra unit or 2. We aren't like some cappers who when they lose a few games in a row and are down 400 Dimes or whatever, we don't say. only time this year we put out a 1000 Dime play. It wins. Capper fake math has him up 600 dimes, but he's 1-7 or some crap. So we are on the BLUE DEVILS. What a crap game by Sparty and Izzo. Not what I wanted or hoped for playing on them Sunday. If anytime is going to exploit this zone and short bench, it will be Duke. Already with a 60-44 win under the belts over the Orange. Hats off to them for winning 3 games in 5 days. But the PAC 12 was garbage. I thought TCU would knock them off, but we didn't have an official play. As for that Michigan State game. Holy cow. Offensive rebounds 26-4! 8-37 from 3. Take it to the rack already! They had a walk-on play 6 minutes last game. Zero depth. I said it last game with MSU, and I will say it here. This should be a 15-20 point game. Duke isn't going to shoot 26% from the floor. Sparty may have been too young to take advantage of Syracuse. Blue Devils won't make that mistake. Duke was upended last year by 7 seed South Carolina who went an improbable Final Four run. 2012 lost to Lehigh in First Round, next year Elite 8. 2014 lost to Mercer First Round, next year National Champs. So, off an early exit, I expect the Final Four run. They know this team. They know their zone defense. They will exploit the Orange weaknesses. 10* Money Bomb DUKE BLUE DEVILS |
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03-17-18 | Seton Hall v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -106 | 32 h 50 m | Show |
Taking KANSAS. Ok. Maybe this is a huge square play. I know that Kansas has had some bad let-downs before. But they have been to the Elite 8 the last 2 years. They were knocked off by Wichita, who, at 30-4 was pretty good under-seeded team in 2015. The loss in 2014 to Stanford is bad, I get it. -But It isn't like we are laying a huge number here. I get you wanting to back the Hall. This line looks a bit short to me, but that is also based on the name on the uniforms. Seton Hall beat UL on the road, over Texas Tech at MSG. People remember them playing Nova to a 69-68 OT loss a couple weeks ago. Lost by 12 at Xavier. They lost to Butler in the Big East tournament, but had beaten them in the final game of the regular season a few days before. They had a nice game vs NC State. But I see some chinks in the armor. As I said. A 12 point road loss to X, 16pt loss at Nova. Lost by 17 at Creighton. Lost by 20 at Marquette. The lost by 6 at Rutgers! You can say. Hey they won 4 of 5 heading into the BE Tourney. Well, we move the bar and we see a 4 game losing streak before 3 wins and you have 5-6 heading into NC State, 6-6 now. Kansas had won 5 straight before dropping their regular season finale. Then they win by 14, 16 and 11 in the Big 12 tournament. I don't think they take half the first half off here like the Penn game. But they did manage to win by 16. If we get a full game of Azubuike, I think we win by double digits going away. But I like him sitting out the B12 Tourney and only playing 3 minutes in Round 1. Shows the other guys they can win without a key player. The last 2 years in Round 2, Kansas beat 9 seed Michigan State 90-70 and 9 seed Uconn 73-61. 5* Best Bet KANSAS JAYHAWKS |
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03-17-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Tennessee -5 | Top | 63-62 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
Taking the VOLS today. So, I have these guys in my Final Four. I think they are that good. I will say that we got lucky cashing our Loy-Chi in Round 1. Not sure they get every break in this spot. We also cashed Tennessee on Thursday. Steady effort all around. The rough grind of the Miami game might wear down the Ramblers. Look. I like these guys. But I think that Tenn is going to just be too much for them. I get it is tough not to like a team shooting 50% from the field. And we look back at the win over the Gators fondly. A bad seed for them, probably should have been an 8. But they lack the sexy name. Vols should control the defensive glass. I think people forget that Tenn beat the Boilermakers early. Lost a tough to Nova, up 12 at half. Maybe the OT win over Purdue the day before caught up with them (Nassau). They lost a tough one at home to NC. I think this is the best team the Ramblers have faced. But this is not the best team Tennessee has faced. It's going to be close. But I think we pull away for the 10pt win. 8* Sure Shot TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS |
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03-16-18 | Providence v. Texas A&M -3.5 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 50 h 51 m | Show |
Taking A&M. I think people forget how good this team was to start the year. Opened the year with that big win over West Va. I see their non-con littered with wins over March Tournament teams (NIT,CBI,CIT + NCAA) Oklahoma State - Penn State - Rio Grande Valley - Northern Kentucky - Buffalo. Bama, Auburn, Kentucky, Arkansas, Missouri. Not that I am a huge SEC fan. But I think as great as Providence was in the Big East tourney, knocking off Xavier, giving Villanova a good battle, I just think that A&M gets it done. 4* Money Maker TEXAS A&M |
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03-13-18 | Northern Kentucky +7.5 v. Louisville | Top | 58-66 | Loss | -121 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
Taking NORTHERN KENTUCKY. An absolute 'no-brainer' play for me. We have the little brother ready to face one of his older siblings. The Norse upset in the Horizon. But oh what a prize they get in the NIT. They get Louisville, who, according to The Courier Journal voted before the ACC Tournament not to play if they missed the NCAAs. Problem is nobody relayed the message to the bosses who signed off on the paperwork. When told they have to forfeit, they said they will play. Oh, we get the, we have to play hard for the city and locals and fans. But these guys are done. We won't get into the off the court things. We all know what they are. Getting a TD in a game I think we are winning outright. Are we all of a sudden getting a focused UL team that is coming out to win the NIT Championship? This reminds me of Robert Morris coming into Kentucky 2013 and winning outright. Opened the season ranked 3 that year. 5* Best Bet NORTHERN KENTUCKY |
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03-10-18 | USC v. Arizona -1.5 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
Taking ARIZONA. Ok. So a lot going on here at the school. We won't get into the off-court stuff, but it appears they have circled the wagons. They had a brief hiccup in early February. But have no run off 4 straight Ws after going 11-0 in OT yesterday. USC just as hot winning 6 of their last 7. Probably played themselves into a spot or at least close to one in the NCAAs. But I think people forget how good this Arizona team is. Have to with them at this short price. 5* Best Bet ARIZONA |
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03-08-18 | Akron v. Eastern Michigan -5.5 | Top | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 31 h 48 m | Show |
Taking EASTERN MICHIGAN tonight. Last year in the MAC Quarters, Akron smashed these guys 79-62. Well. Time for a little tournament revenge. They played just once at EMU, and the Eagles laid a 63-49 loss on the Zips. Expecting more of the same here. EMU comes in red-hot winners of 6 straight and 8 of 9. The lone loss, in OT on the road. Akron on a 3-6 run before upsetting Western Michigan by a point. Zips dangerous. Of course you have to look at a team in the conference tournament championship game the year before as a threat. But it is also a team you don't overlook. 5* Best Bet EASTERN MICHIGAN |
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03-01-18 | Valparaiso v. Missouri State -1 | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
Taking MISSOURI STATE. Now. I am down on this group. I was expecting them to be a top tier MVC team this season. Yet, here we are in the play-in round. Missouri State won both games this year. Crushing Valpo on the road by 17. A game they were nearly up 30. And at home by 7, having to nip and claw their way to the win. I think Alize Johnson is a beast that Valpo can't contain. 24-17 last game vs them. 15 and 11 averages on the season. We aren't laying any huge number here. I'm on the Bears. 4* Money Maker MISSOURI STATE |
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02-10-18 | Tennessee State +7 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 65-47 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Taking TENN STATE. So these guys have won 3 of the last 5 in the series including a 7 point home win last month. Their 2 losses, by 6 and 7 points. The Tigers 9-2 ATS last 11 in the series. They are 8-5 in Ohio Valley play, Jax State at 9-4. Not much difference between the 2 clubs. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE STATE |
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02-10-18 | Purdue v. Michigan State -3 | Top | 65-68 | Push | 0 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Big payback on tap this afternoon for Sparty. Lost by 20 at Purdue and 11 at home to the Boilermakers last year. Purdue picked off by Ohio State, so they will be chippy coming in. But I like bruising Sparty. These guys crash the boards like nobodies business. That is going to be the difference today. The ugly hustle points. 10* Money Bomb GOW MICHIGAN STATE |
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01-20-18 | George Washington v. VCU -8 | Top | 63-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
Taking VCU. Now. Rams not at the top of the A10, but still a top tier team in conference. Can't say the same for GW who I have tagged for the bottom. I am looking for a big bounce-back game here from VCU. Off a pair of losses, their last one a 67-52 home loss to Richmond. 34% shooting will contribute to 50 point games. For a team that scores over 75ppg, that is a huge drop-off. GW scored 53-55 in last years two games. VCU is going to want to get out and push it. GW is one of the slowest tempo teams in the land. Nothing good will happen for them when they try to keep pace. 5* Best Bet VCU |
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01-16-18 | Mavs v. Nuggets -6 | Top | 102-105 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
Taking the NUGGETS. Denver rolled last game vs Spurs. Look for a pride beat-down of the Mavericks. 5* Best Bet DENVER NUGGETS |
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01-10-18 | Mercer -6 v. Western Carolina | Top | 56-58 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Taking MERCER. These guys one of the monsters of the So Con. And they are facing a mouse from the bottom of the conference. This is it for them though. Off to an 0-2 start in conference play as they have dropped both game to the other top teams, Furman and East Tenn. So this the the old 'circle the wagons game.' Must win in every sense of the word. They beat Western by 15 at home, and 20 on this court. They need more of the same tonight. 8* Sure Shot MERCER |
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01-06-18 | UTEP v. Louisiana Tech -10 | Top | 88-97 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Taking LA TECH. Where are the UTEP heads? The coach resigns. Are they going to stay after this year? New AD means a new HC. La Tech is looking to battle for the CUSA crown. I think they roll by 20. 5* Best Bet LOUISIANA TECH |
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01-04-18 | Troy State v. Texas-Arlington -6.5 | Top | 76-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
Taking ARLINGTON tonight. Have these guys as the top dogs in the Sun Belt. Well, not the start they wanted as they dropped 2 straight on the road to open conference play. Basically for me, this is a 'must' win for the Mavericks. I'm expecting a focused game. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS ARLINGTON |
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12-29-17 | UL-Lafayette -10 v. Arkansas-Little Rock | Top | 77-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Taking ULL. Had these guys in a loss at Clemson. I think they beat these guys by 15-20 tonight. As I have said. I think these guys can be Sun Belt Champs and get fitted for dancing shows. Ark-LR is the gang that can't shoot straight. 38% from the field. 25% from 3, 64% FT. Getting outscored by about 10 a game. 5* Best Bet UL LAFAYETTE |
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12-29-17 | Idaho State -2.5 v. North Dakota | Top | 74-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Taking IDAHO. Look. I have these guys winning the Big Sky. To do that. You need to prove yourselves. What better way than to get some revenge. North Dakota won both games last year. Doing it by taking out last year's Big Sky Champs is what is needed tonight. 10* Money Bomb IDAHO |
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12-28-17 | San Francisco v. San Diego -2.5 | Top | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
Taking SAN DIEGO tonight. Easy to look at SF. I like the Dons. Off a big win over Nevada. Swept SD last year including a 60-43 blowout on this court. Payback for the Toreros. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO |
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12-16-17 | Illinois State v. Ole Miss -8.5 | Top | 101-97 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Taking MISSISSIPPI today. Alright. Ole Miss needs some Ws. Sitting in a 5 game home stretch of the winnable non-con part of schedule, the time is now. I was an Ill State backer last year. But that team lost 4 starters. They have Ill-Chi on deck. Maybe a bigger game in their eyes. They lost to BYU by a dozen on the road. Nevada crushed them by 30. They lost to Charleston Southern, at home by a bucket. 4 losses in their last 5 games. They are 4-6, and 2 of those wins are over Tulsa. I think the the guard play of Ole Miss keeps the tempo here. Over 80ppg. Not sure if the Redbirds keep the pace. 5* Best Bet OLE MISS |
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12-12-17 | Michigan v. Texas -6 | Top | 59-52 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 13 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS tonight. So I cashed, somehow, Michigan -4.5 in OT over UCLA. That line was moved up to 7 in spots. We get a gift missed layup for late buyers. But let's look at that a game. A game Michigan had no right to win. What do they have in the tank here? Oh yeah. You will hear, let's build off that great comeback. Blah, blah, blah. These guys are off that OT UCLA game which was after b2b Big 10 games, on the heels of North Carolina. Now they face the Shaka Smart Longhorns who will bring the defense and rebounding. Both teams with cupcakes coming up. Again. I can see this being a game for a half. Then the affects of the OT comeback win will rear their ugly faces as Texas pulls away for a 10pt win. 5* Best Bet TEXAS LONGHORNS |
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12-09-17 | Cincinnati -1 v. Florida | Top | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
Taking CINCY here. Florida is in trouble right now. Losing to Loy-Chi. Blowing a double digit lead? Live by the 3, die by the 3. Coach calls his kids soft all the time. Well if they are really marshmallows we will find out in a quick hurry. Angry Bearcats in off loss to X. I think Cincy is a Final 8 team. I think they are just going to man handle the Gators. If I lose this with Florida connecting on 20 3s so be it. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BEARCATS |
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12-09-17 | Wichita State -5.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show |
Taking WICHITA today. Cowboys came to town, unranked, and dropped 93 on the Shockers last December. I had to go back to the final regular season loss of 2013 to find the last time Wichita gave up 90 points. They got behind 13 in the second half to South Dak State last game and still won by 10. I think they were looking ahead to this trip. Payback time. If Shockers don't win this one by at least 10 I'll be shocked. 10* Money Bomb WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS - even though this is a GOM play as an 11 or 12 unit game. -- We don't bet the house but will put a little more on this game then our usual 10* |
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12-06-17 | Washington State v. Idaho -3 | Top | 64-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Taking IDAHO. Love seeing a Big Sky team favored over the PAC 12! As I have said in a previous winning write up with Idaho. This is a deep Vandels team. Should win their conference. Cougars beat them by 13 last year. Time for a little revenge. This is a huge game for the team this year. If they think they are as good as they are suppose to be this season. This is a 'must win' or a 'circled' game or whatever you want to call it. WSU 6-1 and getting points from a smaller school. Love Idaho here. 5* Best Bet IDAHO |
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11-18-17 | Oakland -1 v. Toledo | Top | 74-87 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Taking OAKLAND. These guys should win the Horizon, and I have the Rockets as mid MAC team. Toledo also replacing some of their better players. Easy early edge on the Grizzlies even in a tough venue. 5* Best Bet OAKLAND GOLDEN GRIZZLIES |
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11-16-17 | Xavier +1 v. Wisconsin | Top | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 0 m | Show |
Taking XAVIER. Like this bunch. They should be a deep tournament team. These guys will fight Nova for the Big East Title. Now Wiscy. These guys are always a solid bunch. But I don't think they are a Top 3 team in the Big 10. Just think X is the better team and it will show. 8* Sure Shot XAVIER |
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11-14-17 | Kansas -4.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 65-61 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
Taking KANSAS here. Look. Both of these teams are very talented. But with Kentucky, they just roll out like 7 new guys every year. It takes a bit of time to gel. These are still young kids. As much as Kansas gets new talent, they just seem to a plug a guy in who seems to have been there for 2-3 years. I just think Self does a good job with the young (one) and dones and having experience returning. Coach Cal always seems to be bringing in 5-6 star freshman to replace some top 10 draft picks. That being said. I am going with the albeit not that all much more experienced team at this price. 8* Sure Shot KANSAS JAYHAWKS |
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11-10-17 | Georgia Southern +10.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 85-83 | Win | 100 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
5* Best Bet GEORGIA SOUTHERN |
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11-09-17 | Lakers v. Wizards -10 | Top | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
Taking the WIZARDS tonight. One. Washington off a home loss to Dallas as double digit faves. You know they want to redeem themselves from that mess. Plus. They have revenge as the Lakers beat them out in LA. You know they want to humiliate Ball. Can you imagine the trash talk as his brother is going to be locked up China for at least a few weeks! - Look. Wizards have struggled out the gate. Their bench hasn't helped much. This is b2b to LAL who played Boston last night, while the the homies rested and planned their revenge. 8* Sure Shot WASHINGTON WIZARDS |
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10-24-17 | Jazz v. Clippers -4 | Top | 84-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
Taking the CLIPPERS here. So Utah ran them out of the playoffs last year. But both teams lost a big star in the off-season. That being said, I just like the LAC roster more. So, they beat up the Lakers and then rolled Suns. Now they get to really put it together against a 'better' team. And what better way to open up things and get see how good you are than by beating a team that has success against you. Just think Clips have something to prove here. 8* Sure Shot LA CLIPPERS |
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04-01-17 | South Carolina v. Gonzaga -6.5 | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 29 m | Show |
Taking GONZAGA here. I can't knock South Carolina one bit. What a run. Knocking off Baylor, Duke and Florida. Great job. But I just think Gonzaga team is playing old, we are getting no respect card here. Let's be honest. As much as everyone is shocked South Carolina here. Everyone also thought that the Zags might be caught sleeping against Mike Daum and South Dakota State. Then it was Vandy who would knock them off in Round 2. Alas, Northwestern was not up to the challenge. But oh that Press Virginia. They will beat this over-rated WCC team. This is a tough squad. Gamecocks playing with house money for sure. But this Zags bunch is very good, and I believe under-rated since they are the WCC. They are that 'mid-major' that people don't realize aren't a mid-major anymore. These guys needed a deep run for all their early departures lately, and they got it. I think Few will have the troops ready. These guys took care of business all year. In conference, and out. Do we forget them beating Arizona, Florida and Iowa State? Best teams SC beat were Michigan and Florida all year before the NCAAs. They beat a Duke team with no PG. Baylor, who underachieves like that is their championship game. And Florida again. Please. Marquette went 19-13 this year. Not a special club at all. I think Zags win this one going away. 5* Best Bet GONZAGA |
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03-30-17 | Georgia Tech v. TCU -4 | Top | 56-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Taking TCU here. Yep. Lost both semis taking dogs. But I will grab TCU here. Just think they are the better team. They were looking at an NCAA spot before a late fade. But they have handled themselves beating what I believe are better teams. Fact is that heading into Mississippi, Tech had won 2 road games all year. Not sold on them after getting Indiana in a defacto home game. Who didn't want anything to do with the NIT and opted to play on the road. And fired their coach after the loss. Luck into Belmont at home. They did win at Mississippi. And took care of a hot WAC team in Bakersfield. Frogs do everything just a tad bit better in my eyes. 5* Best Bet TCU HORNED FROGS |
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03-24-17 | South Carolina v. Baylor -3.5 | Top | 70-50 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 57 m | Show |
Taking BAYLOR here. I get Baylor was on a 5-5 run heading into the Big 12 Tourney and promptly lost to Kansas State. But that was then. They notched an easy win over New Mexico State. Then had to battle USC to the wire. I mean. I clearly remember these guys the #1 team in the land when I unload on West Virginia giving them 5 when the Bears came to visit. (we won that big play $) - The guys lost to tournament teams Kansas, Kansas State, West Virginia and Oklahoma State. Their worse loss was a 6 point road game at TCU. Which doesn't look all that bad since TCU is at MSG for the NIT quarter-finals. I am not anywhere near sold on South Carolina. So they beat Duke. I had Duke! - But prior to beating the NCAAs, want to know how many tournament teams they beat. 3 - Vermont - Michigan, in November, Wolverines shot 19% from the field, 7% from 3! - and Florida off an OT game. All at home. South Carolina playing with house money for sure. But I can only see them coming down after that win over Duke. The coach was crying after the game! A 2nd round game!! Give me the Bears. 10* Money Bomb BAYLOR BEARS |
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03-21-17 | Georgia Tech v. Ole Miss -5.5 | Top | 74-66 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
Taking MISSISSIPPI here. We had Georgia Tech as a nice home puppy when the knocked off Indiana. But we will fade away here. GT after beating the Hoosiers who then fired their coach, were obviously a team in turmoil. They then beat Belmont, who were probably riding high from knocking out Georgia. Now they go on the road, a place where they are 2-10 this year, to face SEC Ole Miss. The same Mississippi team that went into Syracuse and beat the Orange 85-80, while GT ended their regular season in the Dome getting trucked 90-61. The closest road losses - a 4pt loss at ND and 1pt loss at VT. Tech won by 3 in OT at VCU and beat NC State (another team that fired its coach). I can't trust them to hang here. Rebels beat Sweet 16 South Carolina to end their season. Beat MizzU in the SEC Tourney. Lost a 1pt game to Arkansas. Went on the road and beat a decent Monmouth and the aforementioned Syracuse squads. GT a middle of a road team at best, that plays poorly on the road. I look for Ole Miss to pack their bags for MSG. 5* Best Bet MISSISSIPPI |
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03-18-17 | St. Mary's v. Arizona -4.5 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
Taking ARIZONA here. I am trying to figure out why this line isn't closer to double digits. Who did Mary's beat that makes you think they hang here? They lost at home to Texas Arlington by 14. (we did cash that NIT winner as dog out-right over BYU). Back to Mary's. Lost to Zaga by 10, when somehow the line was down to 4. Lost at the Zags by 23. And lost to them by 18 in the conference tournament. So. How could was that WCC this year? Do we give them credit for wins over Dayton and Nevada? Stanford? I know how good the PAC 12 is. Arizona, Oregon and UCLA are top seeds here. If we look at the Zags 7pt win over Arizona earlier this year, we see 'Cats leading scorer didn't see the floor at all. What I do know is that Mary's lost to every good team it has faced. While Arizona, even with a 5pt loss to UCLA and 27pt loss to Oregon, redeemed themselves. Beating UCLA 96-85 on the road before their home loss to them. And after that home loss, getting sweat revenge when it counted with a 9pt win over the Bruins in the PAC 12 tourney, and winning the crown by knocking off the Ducks by 3. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA WILDCATS |
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03-18-17 | Xavier v. Florida State -6 | Top | 91-66 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
Taking FLORIDA STATE here. I am not sold on Xavier. I did cash them in the Big East tournament +4 vs Creighton after they knocked off Butler and DePaul in the rounds before. But that was a desperate team that needed a win to get to the NCAAs. They had lost 6 straight before beating DePaul twice. Once to end their season, and then to open the Big East tourney. Look. They gutted out a pair of 2pt win over the Hall after their assist leader Sumner went down. But fact is, they won 3 games over DePaul and a desperation win over Butler that was tied with a minute to go. No way I trust them again a very good Seminoles team. Let's see Winthrop, Minnesota, Florida, Wake, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Duke, Notre Dame, Louisville, Miami.. Just the NCAA teams they knocked off this year. Xavier lost to Baylor, Lost Butler twice. Lost to Nova twice. Lost to Creighton twice. - I mean, you can't even compare, especially with the injury last month. Give me the Noles big. 8* Sure Shot FLORIDA STATE |
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03-18-17 | Northwestern v. Gonzaga -10 | Top | 73-79 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
Taking GONZAGA here. I get that Northwestern is a nice story. But this is where dreams come to die. Zaga overcame a terrible first half and put away SD State by 20 without breaking a sweat. Rest assured, there will be no adjustment period here. HC Few knows he needs to make some noise. These guys aren't a little Cinderella bunch anymore. They were a dominate team all year and have the 1 seed. Northwestern was given a gift foul that they delivered on. And, it probably should have been more seeing how Seton Hall had a flagrant called against them today that totally blew the spread and any chance of a win. These guys took care of Florida, Arizona and Iowa State all on neutral floors. I think those teams are better than Northwestern. Sorry ESPN Greeny, your boys are in for a rude awakening this afternoon. 5* Best Bet GONZAGA |
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03-17-17 | Wichita State -6 v. Dayton | Top | 64-58 | Push | 0 | 102 h 7 m | Show |
Taking WICHITA STATE here. What a complete joke? What the heck does the committee have against the Shockers? They screwed them in their undefeated year putting them in the Kentucky bracket and here as a 10 seed they get Kentucky again as a 2 seed. I do like Dayton. But the Shockers have been running roughshod over teams.. Try these margin of victories on for size - 20,15,26,19,26,29,19,17,18,41, .8. 15,42,26,17 - you get the picture yet. Forge the 8pt win. That is an anomaly. Minimum 15 points. So double what they are laying here. If you don't think they will be motivated to crush the Flyers you are sorely mistaken. 5* Best Bet WICHITA STATE |
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03-17-17 | USC v. SMU -6.5 | Top | 66-65 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Taking SMU here. 16 straight wins for the 30 victory Mustangs. People talk about seeds, but man. How about the way that the AAC is looked at. Terrible seeds by SMU and Cincy. No respect. If Connecticut made the dance, they would be on a 5 line based on their name. So USC in off a huge comeback win. They might feel good about themselves. They beat SMU back in November 78-73. In fact SMU lost to Michigan, USC and Boise all away from home back in November. But even with those non-conference losses, Vegas still sees theses guys as a decent size favorite. Let's roll the dice on the fave here. 8* Sure Shot SMU MUSTANGS |
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03-17-17 | Seton Hall +1 v. Arkansas | Top | 71-77 | Loss | -105 | 62 h 56 m | Show |
Taking SETON HALL here. Not getting fancy in my thinking here. Both teams lost in the conference championship games. No harm in that. But this really rests on the Hall defense getting the job done. And the fact that they are in their 2nd straight tournament. They went to Gonzaga last year. And that is a great growing experience. Arkansas is a 25 win program. Clearly not a push-over. Just think the experience factor is high here. 10* Money Bomb SETON HALL |
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03-16-17 | Nevada +6 v. Iowa State | Top | 73-84 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 50 m | Show |
Taking NEVADA here. What team is going to play the disrespected card more than the Wolfpack? They weren't going to be invited unless they won the MWC. This is a 29 win team. They are pretty good. I get people normally see San Diego State out here. But this bunch has something to really prove here. I had Iowa State through the Big 12 and even at +475 to start the tournament there. Not a surprise as they have won this tournament a few times over the last couple years. Just think they might be counting their chickens before they hatch here. 10* Money Bomb NEVADA WOLFPACK |
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03-16-17 | Virginia Tech +5.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 74-84 | Loss | -105 | 47 h 42 m | Show |
Taking VIRGINIA TECH here. Almost put this out on the sites ML +200. VT had reeled off wins in 4 of 5 before Florida State beat them in the ACC tournament. I just can't trust Wiscy. Yeah, they some Final Four hold-over guys. But before their season finale win over Minny, and 2 tourney Ws, they had lost 5 of 6. So what team is showing up? The one that run out of the building Sunday? The one that beat Indiana, who we faded and cashed with Georgia Tech as a nice dog with? ACC was much better than the Big 10 this year. Va Tech went into Michigan and beat the Wolverines. And also beat Nebraska on the road. They beat Duke, Virginia, Miami. These guys play for Buzz. Wiscy was 21-3 in early February. I make it a habit of not backing teams on a slide. Especially come tourney time. And ones that are laying points to boot. Live dog here. 5* Best Bet VIRGINIA TECH |
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03-15-17 | Texas-Arlington +5.5 v. BYU | Top | 105-89 | Win | 100 | 33 h 9 m | Show |
Taking UT ARLINGTON here. Also might sprinkle some ML +185 on this. Not sure of the status of Jalen Jones otherwise this could have been possibly a Top 10* Look. I had UT to win the Sun Belt. Make no mistake, this is a good team. As I have said before, road wins at Texas and St Mary's shows us these guys can play. Now they head to a tough BYU court. Most teams getting NIT bids feel snubbed from the NCAAs and fail to show up. Arlington is one of those teams that has to win their conference tournament to get a bid. So they will be especially ready tonight to take care of a 'bigger' named school. 5* Best Bet UT ARLINGTON |
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03-14-17 | Indiana v. Georgia Tech +3 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
Taking GEORGIA TECH here. So Indiana gives up the home court because they wouldn't have a crowd? Maybe they are just upset about this underachieving team they have. Look. Hoosiers are very talented, that is why they are favored on the road. But I have to question the motivation for them. Yellowjacks beat ND and Florida State here b2b and also knocked off North Carolina and NIT 2 seed Clemson at home. You know they are pumped just to be playing and they get a big name like Indiana on their court. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA TECH |
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03-14-17 | College of Charleston v. Colorado State -3.5 | Top | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
Taking COLORADO STATE here. These guys 9-2 SU last 11 with Nevada the only ones to knock them off. What a year from this group! Who would have thought they would be here after their January. These guys have been playing with 7 scholarship players. Can't under estimate the elevation either. Charleston not accustomed to it that's for sure. Rams were upset 2 years ago here as a NIT 1 Seed by South Dakota State. Can't see them failing after the run they had this year. 8* Sure Shot COLORADO STATE |
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03-11-17 | Iowa State +3.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
Going IOWA STATE here. Had these guys on my Big 12 Tournament Talk video at +475 so why would I not take them now. ML +135 would have been what I put on the site, but slumping, so I just need some wins to get us back on the right path. Like I said the other 2 days taking this team. Veteran team. Have own this before. Focused. West Va pressure defense in b2b2b won't be as effective. They shot what 26% last night. Forced nary a TO. But they are a good time so they won. But they won't be able to pull that with these group. 10* Money Bomb IOWA STATE |
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03-10-17 | George Washington +3 v. Richmond | Top | 67-70 | Push | 0 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Taking GEORGE WASHINGTON again! Yes, we lost a terrible 10* on them last night. But they can't be any worse than that. They had 13 points at half-time and didn't cover by a bucket putting up 40 in the 2nd half. Richmond beat them already this year. But as I said, this team has some solid pieces. Said yesterday they won last years NIT. They won't back down from the Spiders. Underdog 12-4 ATS last 16 helps a little. 5* Best Bet GEORGE WASHINGTON -- Be Sure to Check Back after 2pm for any Night Game Additions |
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03-10-17 | Duke v. North Carolina -3 | Top | 93-83 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
Taking NORTH CAROLINA here. Time slot is a boon for Duke after that tough affair with UL. These guys split their games this year. NC put in a workman like game over Miami and just drubbed The U to death by 25. It was a nice way to start the day as we went 3-0 at noon. Duke had to battle back, and if it was for horrible FT shooting, UL would be in this game. Forget the gambling aspect. I can't understand how these kids today can chuck the ball from 30FT, but can't hit a FT with nary a soul guarding you. All I do is teach my kids basketball team FT shooting! They are FREE THROWS - ok, back to this game. These guys have played 2 high scoring games already. But it's tourney time. I expect a bit of a slow down. Especially with Duke off that kind of game. I think NC is the team to beat. 10* Money Bomb NORTH CAROLINA |
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03-10-17 | TCU v. Iowa State -4 | Top | 63-84 | Win | 100 | 21 h 44 m | Show |
Taking IOWA STATE here. How am I not taking these guys? Cashed them yesterday. Said on my Big 12 Tournament Talk video that these guys +700 were our dark-horse play. And now they get TCU off a huge upset. Now, regular season and opening rounds of tournament, I will fade away on a line I think is short. TCU had dropped 7 straight coming into the Big 12 Tournament. Now they have 2 wins under their belt. You have 14-15 losses, I don't there is any way you should be in the NCAAs. Stop with this 6-7-8th team in these big conferences. Give me the Belmonts and Monmouths, mid-major madness. I think the bell tolls for Cinder-Fella tonight. Cyclones the better team. So the Horned Frogs won 2 straight. Iowa State won this thing in 2014 as a 4 seed and 2015 as a 2 seed. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE |
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03-10-17 | Michigan v. Purdue -3 | Top | 74-70 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
Taking PURDUE today. Michigan rolled these guys by 12 handing them their only loss since the end of January. Wolverines with a lot of emotion spent in yesterday win crushing Illinois. The plane crash thing is one thing. But they you had them super pumped about the Illini calling them soft and that Illinois is tough. You knew something extra special was coming from Michigan. Well I think that here. Boilermakers with something to prove again a team that their worse defeat of the year. 5* Best Bet PURDUE |
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03-09-17 | Kent State v. Buffalo -2 | Top | 68-65 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
Taking BUFFALO here. I got these guys to win the conference tourney, so you know I will be on them here. I guess you can go ML -135 if you want. But I think the Bulls are too talented and focused to let Kent linger. They both won on each others courts, Kent winning by 8 at the end of February and Buffalo by 13 in January. Bulls 9-1 ATS last 10 in this series. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BULLS |
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03-09-17 | St. Louis v. George Washington -8 | Top | 46-53 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
- ALWAYS Check Back, Lines come up late with these conference tournaments ! -- Taking GEORGE WASHINGTON here. We had the Dukes as a free play last night and they collapsed down the stretch vs STL. But we can't forget the Billikens were a dog to the 14 seed. A terrible road record. GW won this year by 8 already. They won the NIT last year. They need a run to the championship to even think of getting into NCAAs. I also like their 2 big guys inside. 10* Money Bomb GEORGE WASHINGTON |
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03-09-17 | New Mexico +2 v. Fresno State | Top | 60-65 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show |
Taking NEW MEXICO here. Fresno won this tournament last year, so they are battle tested. These guys split their 2 games. But in the Fresno win, Tim Williams did not play. Well he is back. New Mexico has a great 1-2 punch, they get to the line, and hit their FTs. In what should be a tough battle, have to go with the better FT shooting team. 8* Sure Shot NEW MEXICO |
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03-09-17 | Duke v. Louisville -1 | Top | 81-77 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
Taking LOUISVILLE here. I don't know. Call me crazy. But something tells me that Pitino will have these guys primed up this afternoon. I know they have already beat Duke at home this year. And you can say, oh revenge for Duke. But this Blue Devils bunch was up and down all year. UL brings the defense every night. This ins't a game in North Carolina. We are in Brooklyn. UL played Big East Tournaments up here. I think that these guys will be ready to roll. Last year, they had a self imposed tournament ban on themselves. They are hungry. 5* Best Bet LOUISVILLE |
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03-08-17 | Lehigh +5 v. Bucknell | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
Taking LEHIGH here. No ML or we would be on that here. Lehigh has beaten these guys twice already and I don't think that changes here. This just isn't a good matchup for the Bison. I liked the Mountain Hawks to win the conference back in November, and nothing had changed. Lehigh 15-2 ATS last 17 as road underdogs! 5* Best Bet LEHIGH MOUNTAIN HAWKS |
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03-08-17 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. UL-Lafayette -5.5 | Top | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show |
Taking ULL here. Like these guys to make a little noise down in Katy, Texas and not just because my brother in law lives there! Laffy beat these guys twice this season. They won 69-52 on the road and 88-82 at home. Don't be fooled by that close score. Cajuns were up 20 at the half and 20 with under 4 minutes to go. I see ULL winning this one comfortably. 10* Money Bomb UL LAFAYETTE |
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03-07-17 | South Dakota State -1.5 v. Nebraska-Omaha | Top | 79-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
Taking SOUTH DAKOTA STATE here. Cashed these guys as a free pick on my video last night and as a service play the day before. Will go back to the well tonight. Can't knock Omaha. They are on a 12-3-1 ATS run vs Summit teams. The offense is clicking. But the Jackrabbits can score. And what I liked most last night was they never quit and the defense. Daum is a best inside and out. He is the guy that can carry teams in these tournaments. These guys split shoot-outs this year. But I have to give the edge to SoDak and the defense. Rabbits 5-2 ATS last 7 in the series. 8* Sure Shot SOUTH DAKOTA STATE |
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03-06-17 | Albany NY -1 v. Stony Brook | Top | 63-56 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
Taking ALBANY here. Stony won both meetings this year. Heck, they beat Albany while the Danes were shooting 56% from the floor and rallied from being down 37-24 at home before winning 72-70. Then Stony went on the road and won 72-65. Yet, the #2 seed is still a dog to the #3 seed. 5* Best Bet ALBANY |
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03-06-17 | East Tennessee State v. NC-Greensboro +6 | Top | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Taking GREENSBORO here. Have these guys at the start of the tournament at +600 as the 1 seed. Obviously, East Tenn State was the favorite regardless of tie-breakers. But NCG beat these guys on the road by 4. And finished up the regular season with a 72-66 win. The dog has covered 4 straight in the series so that's a plus for us. Might sprinkle some +190 ML on this also. 5* Best Bet NC GREENSBORO |
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03-05-17 | Illinois-Chicago v. Green Bay -6 | Top | 79-70 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
Taking GREEN BAY here. Going to go with the Phoenix. And why not. I put them out in my on my Horizon League Tournament Preview Video at +550. As I said, they had beaten both Valpo and Oakland, the 2 top dogs in league play. Now both are eliminated and our GB team should stand out here. We have cashed a few times with Ill-Chi on the year. But the time has come to fade away and lock in Phoenix. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY |