Same write up from Sunday -- Same write up as Thanksgiving when I had Pitt -2 . Taking the STEELERS. I sorta liked Titans on Sunday but stayed away. Not sure why. Everything I thought about the Ravens seems to be coming true. The Greg Roman offense is not a surprise to league defenses anymore. We saw Kap dominate and then be terrible. We saw Lamar dominate, and now he is not terrible, but the play has dropped off. Now they face the Steelers who just seem to grind away every week. Short home fave on a short week. Ravens in off a real physical loss to Tennessee. A Titans team you know they wanted to beat for playoff revenge from last season. Now they are staring at Pitt team that may be eyeing an undefeated season. 4* Money Maker PITT STEELERS  * Added. If the Steelers don't come out and not injury Ravens players on purpose, I will be shocked. They are going to take out every bit of frustration on these saps. You don't think they feel like this a personal attack on them. And they get screwed playing Tuesday while Baltimore gets Monday. Another short week? Oh heck no. If this game isn't a 20+ point win I will be shocked. *

Taking SEATTLE. Extra rest off their Thursday night victory, we will fade Philly. We were on Eagles last week. I have no clue why. I am sitting on Browns HC of Year tickets so why am backing Philly, who, since their Super Bowl win (behind Nick Foles, Not Carson Wentz) 22-22-1 SU! Seattle beat these guys twice last year and 8 of the last 9 times they played, 0-6 ATS in recent meeting. If we are saying Wilson is playing 'bad' lately 7 INTs - what is Wentz playing? 40 sacks - 14 INTs - 9 lost fumbles. Philly has yet to score 30 this season 1-4-1 SU when not playing the NFC East. If this was a normal home-dog where a bunch of Philly fans were acting the fool, maybe we can rally around the home team. Not a chance in this atmosphere. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the PACKERS. This should be an easy double digit win. We have GB in off OT loss to Colts. Bad enough to lose on a fumble to start the OT. But blowing a double digit lead is also bad. Full focus A-Aron tonight in Prime Time. Packers the #3 scoring offense while Bears can't score 16ppg. I don't care who is QBing tonight, it won't matter for Chicago. 5-5 with 5 straight losses. They could be 0-10! Final possession games vs Carolina and Giants. Rallied from double digit deficits against the Lions and Falcons. And the Tampa Bay Thursday night game. This team is an absolute fraud. Saints at 8-2. Rams and Seattle at 7-3. Tampa at 7-4, Arizona 6-4. GB needs to continue winning for playoff implications. 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS 

Taking the CHIEFS. I will put what I put in my write up last Sunday vs the Raiders - well, minus the bye week stats. This was heading into that Sunday Night game. Andy Reid is 17-1 SU 15-3 ATS run when Andy has Mahomes under center. This is being written before that game ends, and before Tampa takes the field Monday night. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS 

4* Money Maker NO SAINTS

4* Money Maker NY GIANTS 

Taking the BILLS. Chargers a nice story with their rookie QB. But their HC has got to go. Why I really like this game. A couple reason. Right off the bat, early start on East Coast. Poor HC who makes terrible in game adjusts. Weather could be a factor. LA, Buffalo. Totally different elements end of November. Buffalo has a pretty good defense. The offense is pretty darn good too. I can't believe we are getting this at less than a touchdown. Maybe its too good to be true. We will rate it a best bet instead of money bomb, but in the end, we are still collecting. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS 

Taking the FALCONS. These guys let us down last weekend for sure. But I expect a bounce back here as home dogs. HC Quinn gone - we saw them go 6-2 the 2nd half of last season. They already have been playing much better under Morris. So the Falcons lost to a division rival. But the Raiders really had their hearts ripped out in their division showdown. They were home, in prime time, and collapsed late. Tough to get up off the mat after that one. Now cross country for an early start game. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking ARIZONA. This will probably be a square play by the time Sunday rolls around. But you have to feel good about the Cards. We got extra rest. We have Murray healing up a bit. We know they have been in all their games. Zero quit. I know we are at a disadvantage in the HC department. NE 4-6, but could be 6-4. Well, Arizona is 6-4, they could be 8-2. If Cam gets in vs Seattle and if they don't fumble. If Arizona scored in this spot, but its a FG by Detroit. Look. All teams have coulda, woulda, shouldas. I know one thing. Arizona has scored 30 in 6 straight before losing 28-21 on Thursday. I can't see NE slowing them down enough to remain in striking distance. They couldn't do it last week vs Texans. Running up the field against the Jets, does that count? Give me the upstarts. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the TITANS. Man I wanted to take these guys last week. Not sure why I backed off. Left a lot of money on the table. We will grab them here though. We had Colts Thursday night when they first met, we will take the road team again. Both teams in off OT wins. Colts defense is a tough unit. Rivals know each other well. This is a huge game as Indy can take a 2 game lead in division, or Titans knot it up again. Indy 20-4 SU last 24 in the series, 16-8 ATS. I just think this screams FG goal game by whoever has ball last. 4* Money Maker TENN TITANS 

Taking A&M. Tigers blasted these guys LY putting up a 50 spot, 50-7. Jimbo and friends will beat a team they are suppose to beat. And make no mistake about it - They will beat LSU pretty good. 4* Money Maker TEXAS A&M

Taking ALABAMA. So Nick has Covid, again. It won't matter. This line continues to climb. You that high on Bo Picks, I mean Nix? Guy has 10 TD passes on the year 6 in two games, 3 vs LSU + Kentucky. You impressed by that? The same LSU that gave up 44 to Miss Statea and 45 to Missouri? Or Kentucky who just lost 63-3 to this Alabama team? How about that offensive explosion of 6 points vs Georgia? Alabama will put up about 50 today. They should win by about 30. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA 

4* Money Maker SMU

Taking DALLAS. We had the Cowboys on Sunday and will come back with them here on Thanksgiving. As bad as this season has gone for Dallas, I still think it has talent. The defense is bad, no argument. But I don't think Washington is capable of really exploiting it. On the flip side, we will be jumping on the under here as well. I have always like the Redskins defense and their HC. But at this price, we will grab the home team. A little momentum off a road win. Short week helps them even though it is a division rival. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

4* Money Maker TB BUCS

Taking the CHIEFS. I will be honest. I was thinking, yeah, I'll grab the Raiders here as a nice home dog. But then reality smacked me in my giant head. Hello. Andy Reid off bye week where he is 25-6 SU and 21-10 ATS. Not too shabby. Let's add a tidy 17-1 SU 15-3 ATS run when Andy has Mahomes under center. Add a dash of revenge from a 40-32 home loss as the icing on this winning ticket. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS

Taking the COWBOYS. Grabbing the ugliness. I don't care who is starting for Dallas. This is more a fade of Minny. I am not sold on this team at all. It is Cook and that's it. Short week off a big win over the Bears. Give me a rested bunch really desperate for something good to happen. Too much talent on the offense not to keep this game close. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS 

Taking the FALCONS. Oh Atlanta. 2nd year in a row you know I had these guys to win the South and Matty Ryan MVP tickets. 2nd year in a row up in flames a month into the season. But the silver lining is they finally canned their HC! yippie. Since that coaching change, the Falcons are a Gurley slide away from a perfect 4-0 record. In this spot, the line has come down with the Brees injury. I will tell you this. I would have been on the Falcons anyway. Off their bye week, they won here last year 26-9. Atlanta a nice 7-1 ATS run as dogs their last 8. Nearly went ML +170 here. Side note. I like Winston. I think this will be a nice fit for him cause I can't see Brees coming back. But do we really trust him in this spot? 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

4* Money Maker PHILLY EAGLES 

4* Money Maker NC STATE 

4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE

Taking OREGON. Will lay the big number here. Not scared of UCLA. Yeah, nice little game last week beating up on Cal. But I will take that one with a grain of salt. I think Ducks roll here. Oregon is -5 in turnovers and still 2-0 on the year. They haven't played a crisp game yet and are still averaging nearly 40ppg. Short rest for UCLA who again, beat Cal early on Sunday. 10* Money Bomb OREGON DUCKS   

Taking NORTHWESTERN. Why do I feel this will end up being a big public dog and we get buried in this spot? Well. Let's roll the dice baby. We have 4 games under our belts. We have played some close ones and pulled out wins. We have a solid, experienced QB on our side. Wiscy comes in with a freshman QB vs a tough defense. Only 2 games played so far for the Badgers. OK. 94-18 in their 2 wins. But Illinois was just listed as a road dog to Rutgers. Michigan looks to be in the bad to awful range this season. What can you tell from those games? I can tell you right off the bat - inflated line, for one. So that helps as NW has covered 3 straight in the series. 15-9-1 ATS run for the dogs here with 11 outright wins. Let's go 'Cats. 4* Money Maker NORTHWESTERN

Taking PENN STATE. I am not buying PSU is dead in the water. If this team was quitting, it would have been last week when down 3 TDs at half-time. Down 27-6 they ended up losing 30-23. That 2nd half rally included a missed a FG and twice turning it over on downs inside the red-zone. Give me the angry, winless home team playing for some pride. 4* Money Maker PENN STATE 

4* Money Maker OHIO STATE

Taking FLORIDA. Had these guys last week, will do it again and look for another huge offensive output. And why not. Yes we are in on Trask Heisman futures. You know that already from the other games we backed the Gators. You know we are Florida to win the SEC in our futures. Look. Vandy is not sniffing a win here short of something catastrophic occurring. Trask will throw 6 TDs by half time. This total is 68 for a reason - Gators will be approaching 60 themselves. No time to let up in this season. The team knows it. The coach and QB know it. Every game matters. Every stat matters. If you don't think the HC QB and this team knows it has the Heisman leader right now, you are crazy. No taking the foot off the pedal for Florida. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA GATORS 

4* Money Maker PURDUE BOILERMAKERS 

Taking SEATTLE. Now. You know I haven't been buying the Seahawks at all this season. We cashed our 10* last week on the Rams. We did have the Over in the Arizona game. Speaking of the Cards, you know we have an Arizona NFC West future along with a Murray MVP future. Also a Seattle to win the NFC so there's the disclaimers. But in this game, we go desperate home team. Off a division loss. Cards come in riding high off miracle Hail-Mary win. Short week, young QB and coach. Probably some points to be scored. The Over will be our Free Pick Video here on Thursday. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking KENT. I will keep the fade going on Akron. They hung tough last week, but that just saves us from a 30pt line and we lay 25. Kent in off demolishing Bowling Green 62-24. I think we something along the same lines tonight. One, the Zips haven't scored more than 17 points in their last 9 games. They have now dropped 19 in a row. Flashes should approach 50 tonight and Akron will continue struggle to put points on the board. 4* Money Maker KENT STATE 

Taking BUFFALO. Yeah. I will lay 30. Bowling Green could be the worse team in NCAAF this year. Them and UMass battling for that title. Bulls are MAC faves and have been playing like it. 49-30 on the road over Northern Illinois. 42-10 over last year MAC champs Miami O. There is no reason to think that they get to 45 in their sleep tonight. BG outscored so far 100-27 in their first 2 games. I am no math major, but 50-13/14 seems like a cover to me. And I would be shocked if BG gets to double digits. How about these defensive numbers from last year. Bowling Green ranked 126th out of 130 FBS teams in scoring (38.6 ppg), 129th in yards allowed per play (7.03), and 117th in total defense (467.2 ypg), including 242.8 rushing yards per game, which ranked 126th. Well 2020 has to be better right? Wrong -  BG has allowed an FBS-worst 50.0 points per game, 595.5 ypg. and 302.5 rushing yards per game. Time to pad these stats Bulls. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BULLS 

Taking BALTIMORE here. We had the Ravens last week, and will ride them again here on the road. Ravens crushed a better NE team last year 37-20. We saw how bad the Patriots looked on MNF. Now a short week to face an always tough Baltimore team. Forget it. Cam. Holy cow. If I hear one thing about how he is some kind of the next Kap when he isn't on a NFL roster next season. As much as 25-5 last 30 games with Lamar looks, 3-13 as a team when Cam is your QB is not a good look. 2 TDs 7 INTs on the year, he does have 8 rushing TDs to his credit. Patriots offense with the most turnovers in the league. That isn't a good club. It isn't going to flip a switch sitting at 3-5 and reel of a bunch of wins. The defense is showing its lack of depth with the opt outs. The offense is showing that there are not any kind of playmakers. Yeah. It is a big number. And we will hear all about The Hoodie being an underdog. I don't even think we have to worry about the back door. Ravens still looking up at undefeated Steelers and KC looms. They cannot lose a game if they want to make up any ground and wish to host a home playoff game. 8* Sure Shot BALTIMORE RAVENS 

4* Money Maker CINCINATTI BENGALS 

Taking the BROWNS. Off bye. Rested. Better team. Better defense. Better coach. The coach is the difference maker here. Not your same old Cleveland club. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS

Taking the EAGLES. Will grab Philly here off their bye week. And it is huge because the Giants have now played 10 straight games! Hats to off on a 5-1 ATS run NYG, but what is left in the tank after 5 straight games decided by 3,2,1,1 and 3 points. I know we are laying a FG, but Philly 8 straight wins in the series and 21-4 SU last 25. Just as aside to how the Giants on a whole have been. I saw read this little nugget online - Since Week 14 of 2018, New York Giants are 5-0 vs Washington, 2-22 vs the rest of the NFL! wow. We'll lay it and look for Wentz to have a crisp game with the return of several starters. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 

Taking FLORIDA, again. We have been high on Gators all year. Not getting off them now. I know people will say hey, Arkansas can put up some points. The defense will pick of Trask. Frank wants revenge on his old team. Whatever to that that. One. Where is the Trask Heisman love? Am I biased sitting on my tickets with him having 22TDs 3 INTs. This team is good. Obviously they have to run the table before getting to Bama in the SEC Title Game. But they can play for sure. I think they know their ability. They won't be in any kind of let down spot after taking care of Georgia. Razorbacks I guess a nice story at 3-3. But their 3 wins vs bottom feeders in West in Mississippi and Mississippi State, and anther 2-4 team in West Tennessee. I don't think they hang - this game is 10-20 points at half, and Gators add to it in 2nd half. Should be a 20+ point win for the home team. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS 

4* Money Maker OREGON

Taking FRESNO STATE. Does Utah State get a bump from canning their HC? Line has dropped. I'm not buying it. I could be wrong. It was obvious that Aggies have had trouble scoring points 9.7ppg while also obvious they had trouble keeping teams out of the end-zone 38ppg allowed. Does that change with the coach leaving? 114-29 the last 3 weeks for Utah State. Fresno has at least put together a couple wins after opening with a loss to Hawaii. Bulldogs a healthy 22-6 in 2017/18. Last year a bit of rebuild with replacing some experienced players. Jeff Tedford left some talent after resigning for health reasons. Kalen DeBoer was OC under Tedford in 17+18. He ran the Indiana offense last year that ranked #2 in the Big 10. He knows the players. The system. Slow in Game 1. Picking up steam in Games 2+3. Should really exploit a reeling club here in Game 4. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE 

Taking WAKE FOREST. 

Taking MIAMI. Canes getting better with King under center. Va Tech The U sitting at 6-1 with their lone Clemson loss. Hokies have now lost 2 of 3. We saw them get exposed by Liberty. Hurricanes will take a page from that playbook to make King more of a weapon. 4* Money Maker MIAMI HURRICANES 

Taking CENTRAL MICHIGAN 

Taking BUFFALO. Time for a little revenge. Miami O won this last year 34-29. We see the fave on a 9-2-1 ATS run in the series. We saw the Bulls put up a tidy 49 in their first game. The defense, shaky a bit. But that being said, I don't think MiamiO will be able to keep up. I don't think the backdoor will come into play. Buffalo should jump out to an early lead and then pile on as the game progresses. I will also be on the OVER here. Buffalo should be good for 40 and if we get 20 from the enemy, we will be sitting pretty with this total by the 3rd quarter. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO 

Taking OHIO. Oh man. Zips look to be picking up where they left off last season. That was a 52-3 loss to these same Bobcats. And 58-13 out of the gates last week appears it will be a long season for the Zips. Ohio was picked to be the #2 team in the MAC but lost to a tough Central Michigan squad in their opener. Time to take out the frustrations of that 30-27 loss on  still rebuilding Akron. Best chance for a Zips W on the schedule looks to be down the road against Bowling Green. 4* Money Maker OHIO BOBCATS 

Taking TAMPA. Look. I know the NO trends with Peyton here. 10-3 ATS division road dog. But this offense is missing a couple vital pieces. We had Saints in Week 1. The world on Brady and the Bucs. Now, Brady is settled in. He knows the players. Everyone in a groove. Forgot about the Giants game. Clear lookahead. Rest, no rest. TB12 will take it personal that he lost to Brees. Don't think Saints have the weapons to hang here. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCS

Taking ARIZONA. Grabbing these guys off their bye week. Look. This is really just fading Tua. I had Miami last week. And somehow, we pulled out a huge win. And I say somehow - because, hello - Tua led Miami to a whopping 145 yards of offense. 12-22 93 through the air. 4  turnovers will make you look good. Not getting that vs this bunch. Miami was laying in wait for the Rams to come east. Now Arizona will return the favor. 3 straight wins for them by 17ppg. If the Dolphins defense forces 2+ turnovers, well, hats off to them. I just don't see that being the case. 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS 

Taking the FALCONS. Uh. These guys kill me every year. Another NFC South future ticket down the drain. Another Matt Ryan MVP ticket to be used as kindling to a fire. On the bright side, no more Dan Quinn. Woo Hoo. Atlanta should be 3-0 under Morris except for that stupid final play vs the Lions. Denver comes in as a nice win for last week, albeit that was vs the Chargers and Anthony Lynn another HC who costs backers thousands. Falcons playing better ball right now. 27 Turnovers for Lock in 10 games is probably a favorable thing for the Atlanta defense. I mean, can't hurt when you are given 2 turnovers at some point during the game. 15 turnovers for Denver on the season - and that my friends is why I am calling for a double digit win here by the home team. 8* Sure Shot ATLANTA FALCONS 

4* Money Maker HAWAII 

4* Money Maker SOUTH CAROLINA 

Taking FLORIDA. So I am high on Trask as I am sitting on some Heisman, plus Gators to win the SEC. Obviously waited a bit long as this line is down from 5. Should have jumped on this Sunday. Either way, we are here. Points at a premium so getting anything is a big plus. I think Gators are better by far offensively. Not high on the Bulldogs QB to keep them in the fight. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BEARCATS 

Taking MICHIGAN. We liked these guys over Minny when everyone loved the Gophers - we will like them today when people will want to back the small home dogs. Look. Harbaugh can't beat good teams. Ohio States Michigan States Penn States. Indiana is not a team like that. Just like Minny isn't. And oh. How about that Indiana win last week. We had the Hoosiers. But that was really me thinking that Rutgers wasn't going to someone muster 7 turnovers from another Big 10 team. And, we probably should have grabbed Sparty based on the horrible game vs Rutgers. Total overreaction. And that is what we see here. Oh, Michigan is bad. Indiana 2-0, beat Penn State. We had the Hoosiers that game also. Were totally outplayed there. Nearly blew a cover last week. I think Indiana is a little full of themselves right now thinking they will catch the Wolverines licking their wounds. I think the total opposite. Talent level not close. The vultures might be circling above the HC. I expect a big game from Michigan. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

4* Money Maker ARIZONA STATE 

Taking IOWA. Grabbing an 0-2 home team. And why not. We get Michigan State flying sky-high after a huge upset of Michigan. Thinking back, maybe we should have grabbed them as big dogs in that spot. Not expecting 7 turnovers like that Rutgers game. But Iowa is still a tough club. Two losses by 5 points. Blowing leads. I understand if you think the backdoor can  be open in this spot. But something tells me that Sparty comes down to Earth, while the planets line up correctly for Iowa. 4* Money Maker IOWA 

Taking BOISE. Give me the home dogs here. Broncs always tough, especially on the Smurf Turf. I know everyone is high on BYU. Oh look, BYU ranked in the Top 10. What cupcake that they have beaten up on the last 7 days is as good as this team? It's not there. Boise has won 3 straight in the series before last years 28-25 loss. Revenge time. 4* Money Maker BOISE 

4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS 

4* Money Maker BALL STATE 

4* Money Maker EASTERN MICHIGAN

4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS

4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS 

4* Money Maker LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

4*  Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS

4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS

4* Money Maker TENNESSEE

4* Money Maker GB PACKERS

4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS 

4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO STATE

4* Money Maker OHIO STATE 

4* Money Maker CHARLOTTE

4* Money Maker INDIANA

4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE

4* Money Maker PURDUE

4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BEARCATS 

Taking MINNESOTA. We had a freebie on Michigan while a whole lotta people loved Minny last week. Well - We will get our Gopher fill tonight. Off that beat-down, they get to face an absolutely terrible Maryland bunch. 49-3 to Northwestern. I don't see how tonight isn't more of the same. I would be comfortable laying nearly 30. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA 

4* Money Maker COLORADO STATE 

4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS 

Taking the BEARS, and also like the Under. Rams have looked good beating the NFC East. Giants and Washington, Eagles and Cowboys. So we know they can handle average and below offenses. While the Bears do have an inept offense, the defense is what keeps them in games and has pushed them to 5-1. Rams can get flustered vs good defenses. We saw that last week while we counted our money on San Fran. Chicago keeps this close in a low scoring Monday nighter. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking SEATTLE. So, we lost with Dallas on MNF to these guys. Man. Getting +3, line moves to -1 and our team doesn't even show up. Well. We will fade away on Arizona. Coming home after 3 straight on the road and a short week? Seahawks in off bye. Not even a thought in my mind where we are playing this afternoon. It is tough ignoring Arizona's trends vs Seattle. But this is a real bad schedule spot for them. I understand how brutal the Seattle defense has been. We just need any kind of improvement out of the bye with a team thankful to be home. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Taking the RAIDERS. Easy to say oh yeah Tampa. Tom Brady is the GOAT. They reeled off 38 straight vs Rodgers and the Packers. Ho-hum. Extra rest off a game where their HOF QB didn't know what down it was an embarrassed on national TV. Now they fly cross country to a team off their bye week. A team that just held a pretty good KC to 8 points after half-time. A team that has a RB that will run right at your defensive weak spot. Raiders not a bad bunch. Went on the road an beat a decent Carolina team. Beat the Saints here. Lost a tough one to the Bills turning the ball over 4 times. Beat the Chiefs on the road as double digit dogs. Lost to NE after that MNF Saints win. Let's not sell them short. Won't be shocked if we steal this one outright. 5* Best Bet LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 

Taking DALLAS. I will never say 'bad pick' when I have a team +3 and it goes to -1. No way. But, Hello 2020. Plenty of time we have been ahead of lines and totals only to be beat. It is a tough grind. I can't believe how poorly things played out Monday night. But there is zero shot that I think that Washington is a good team. I do like their defense though. We are also on the UNDER in this game. And why not. Redskins now with 5 straight games of 20 or less points. I have faith in Andy. The playmakers are there for him to make plays. Dallas isn't laying anything this afternoon. Any early number of them laying is long gone. That's fine. Washington has been down double digits in EVERY game this season. Dallas 15-4 ATS last 19 in division games. I'll tell you this. Dallas loses here, there should be a HC change coming. There is way too much talent here going to waste even before Dak was injured. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYS 

4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS 

Taking BOSIE STATE. 35pt win last year when Utah State had some Jordan Love at QB. Boise always a monster. Aggies look to have taken a step back under their HC. Want to get on the over 52 here. Just worried Utah State can't contribute and Boise scores a 40-7 win. 4* Money Maker BOSIE STATE 

4* Money Maker ALABAMA 

Taking INDIANA. Everyone going to say, oh, Penn State just has to win by a touchdown. Easy money. And yeah. PSU with some nice offensive talent. But the questions are on defense where they have just 4 returning starters. Hoosiers a bit better shape on that side of the ball. A lot of hype on Indiana as I see some 'top 25' mentions which I hate since that means the cat will be out of the bag soon enough if things go well. This is a pretty good team. They have held spring practices, PSU had none. Home dog gets it done. 5* Best Bet INDIANA HOOSIERS 

Taking IOWA STATE. Team ranked 6 giving the ole 3.5 - Now, you know that normally when I see that 3.5 or 7.5 I am riding the fave. But in this case, I am going against my usual thinking. Because 1, I don't believe one iota that the OkSt is a Top 10 team. The defense is alright. But really. They needed a huge 13-0 4th quarter not to lose outright at home to Tulsa. I remember, I was laying 24 with them! They were out yarded. 14pt win at West Virginia (I was on WVa). Another phantom win and cover as they got a fumble return TD and scored with a little over a minute left to open things up. Time for a little revenge as the Cyclones lost at home as 11pt faves to Cowboys. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE 

Taking MARSHALL. Man. Gotta feel bad for some of these schools this Covid season. Poor Willie Taggart. Guy turns a 10-2 season at South Florida (24-25.. Hello, 16-20 at WKU prior) into the Oregon Ducks - goes 7-5, losing to Washington, Stanford and UCLA, plus Boise in a bowl. Goes to Florida State, 9-12. I'm 46. So I am Bobby Bowden raised in late 80/90s. 12 losses! That's like a decade of Noles losses in my mind. In fact his first year was their first losing year since Bowden's first year in 1976!. Now he's at Florida Atlantic. Following the Lane Train. Kiffen as bad as Jimbo with his antics. Why so much about Taggart. #1 - The guy is a bad coach. The records don't lie. It is there. and 2, he is picking programs in a down turn. #3. We saw at Oregon him getting outcoached and beat by better teams. Make no mistake, Marshall is the MUCH better team. Giving up less than 10ppg. LaTech, WKU, App State, EKU - I get it. It isn't some SEC/Big 10 non-conference schedule. But Florida Atlantic is, maybe, in the area of the teams they have dominated. 4* Money Maker MARSHALL 

Taking KANSAS STATE. Wildcats 11-0 SU 8-3 ATS last 11 winning by nearly 26ppg. Off a bye week. Kansas in back to back roadies after losing last week at West Virginia 38x2 47x2 - Points Kansas is allowing in their 4 games. They've scored 17 more than once. Rivalry, ok. Will we be shocked when the score is 38-10 like last year? 4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE 

Taking TCU. Not high on Oklahoma at all this season. Yet oddsmakers still laying the wood with these guys thinking Baker, Murray and Hurts are behind center. Sooners 2-2 coming off that Texas win (we had the Longhorns). They need 4 OTs to pull that off or they would be sitting at 1-3 season. Give me some home dog love here. Plus +195 ML will get some action. Last year was 28-24 Sooners as 18pt faves. Patterson 14-4 ATS at home with rest. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet TCU

Taking the ILLINI. Will grab Illinois as the big dogs. Yes - You will hear all about REVENGE GAME for Wisconsin. Ok. So they win. Are they winning by 20? I don't know about that. Their RB from last year is in the NFL. Their best WR is gone. Their starting QB is out injured. They will have a hot prospect behind center. Meanwhile, Illini bring back their QB and 4 of his 5 top WRs. Back door wide open here as the Big 10 kicks off their season finally. 4* Money Maker ILLINOIS 

4* Money Maker TULSA 

Taking the COWBOYS. Ok. No Dak. I get it- huge loss. Guy has been throwing for 400 yards and 4 TDs a game. But, let's be honest. The turnovers have killed them early in games. The defense is like a wet paper bag trying to hold 20 tuna cans. Not going to hold. Give me some Andy Dalton. Do people forget this guy took Cincy to the playoffs? Have you see the offensive playmakers on this Dallas roster? The WR corp is possibly the best in the league. And, they RB is, I dunno, pretty good in his own right. Home dogs. I'll take the points and grab the ML. This team will be 100% improved based on the QB change. Why? Cause they will feed Zeke like a fat guy at a buffet. Then Andy will pick apart an Arizona defense playing their 3rd straight road game. Make no mistake people. The Cowboys offense isn't the NY Jets, Panthers or Washington Redskins. And it isn't the Niners or Lions either. And Dalton is probably a lot less likely to toss INTs then Dak.  No way you can lay points with Arizona in this spot. Murray may run all over the place. But the Cowboys are winning this one outright. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS

Taking the CHIEFS. I am high on the Bills. We had the over on Tuesday, but all in all, I do like the club. Like the HC. Like the defense. Like the run game. QB a bit of a question mark. It shows at time. But look. How the heck are we getting in front of Andy Reid here. This is like a bye week for him. Extra rest for his guys - Extra prep. Off a loss on top of that where they played poorly. And the Bills. Ok, at home. Short week after a Tuesday game. I have taken my fair share of home dogs this season. We can run down those losers if we really wanted to. Not doing it. Give me the reigning champs, angry, with extra prep + rest. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS 

Taking SAN FRAN. Oh my. Gucci Garoppolo gets benched. Wasn't this team THISCLOSE to winning the Super Bowl in February? Good news is Jimmy G is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS.  So, we faded the Rams last week in Washington and grabbed Miami here. We have SF at home for the 3rd straight catching a full FG when the early line was them minus the same -3. Rams remember - wild game out in Buffalo. Home to grind one with the Giants. Off to the East coast to face the Redskins. Now back in Cali. That's a lot of back and forth. Now, have I jumped on SF to NOT make the playoffs before last weeks game -yes. But that doesn't mean I don't think they can steal one here. After the Rams won both games in 2018, SF returned the sweep favor in 2019. Something though tells me that the Niners still have some fight in them. 4* Money Maker SF NINERS 

Taking the BROWNS. Look. I know the Steelers have owned these guys. But, Cleveland looks like it has taken a step in the right direction. Clearly a huge upgrade at HC. Hoping for a playoff appearance so I can cash some Coach of the Year tickets here! - They aren't shooting themselves in the foot. They are +8 in turnovers. Baker is playing more under control. No Chubb, but the OL is still good and Hunt is a pretty decent runner. The TE is solid. A pair of WRs in Odell and Landry that can do somethings. This is the team people thought they were going to get last year. Enter Pitt. Another comfy home game for them. But come on. Giants, Philly, Denver and a Bill O'Brian led Texans squad. Hello 3-15-1 opponents record. This game will probably be a shoot out. We are already locked in the OVER 50. Give me any and all points. Won't be shocked if the Browns are in position to steal this outright though. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Taking the BEARS. Uh. You know we have been on the Teddy B show this season - but not today. Nice taking him as a dog. Doubt we get CMC here. Now a face. Granted, it is down to next to nothing. The Chicago hate is strong. We are in off extra rest. A nice win. And a defense that is a beast. Limited rush attach for Panthers means I get a Mack Attack coming for Teddy. This team has given up 4 touch-down passes in 5 games this season. Let me say that again. 4 passing TDs in 5 games. Do you watch the NFL? Russell Wilson has 5,5,4 TDs in 3 games himself.  Buying the Bears here. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS 

Taking the TEXANS. How many people pouring money on Titans after that Tuesday night blowout of the Bills? Texans got rid of their garbage HC. Huge upgrade. Two things about that clown. He started Tom Savage over Watson and gave Brock Osweiler, what 90 million? Good riddance. Back to Tennessee. So 3 TOs and you have a blow-out on your hands and 4 straight wins. I see those 3 prior wins and see 31-30 over the Vikings where you were down 24-12. I see 33-30 over the Jags (I had you Tenn!) where your defense couldn't hold a 30-17 lead. I see opening night MNF where I had you at a PK and you couldn't hit a FG and eked out a 16-14 win. How the heck are you laying any kind of points vs an offense that can score? And the Texans can. No shame losing to KC, Baltimore and Pitt 3 straight weeks. What do you have in the tank for Minny? Not much, a loss and mercifully your HC is let go. Then a big win 30-14 over the Jags and you feel reborn. Short week, favorite role. Give me the live dog. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS 

Taking ALABAMA. Covid for Nick. Ok. I still have Sark on the sidelines. Who has more to prove than this guy? Hot shot OC. HC in Washington. Back to USC. Drinks way out of job. Gets gig in Bama. Leaves for NFL. Comes back to college. Look. It's a Wednesday night. Who knows where Nick will be on Saturday night. What I do know is that the defense will be up ready to eat glass after giving up 48 last week. Georgia defense a tough one to crack. But my money is on the Tide and their NFL ready skill position players. I would have been on this game at 6/6.5/7. I will be on it at 3.5/4. I just can't see this Georgia team putting up enough points to pull this thing out. And the line is short enough for me to think the defense will close any back door. Who has given the Tide hard times over the years? Cam. Tebow. Burrow. DeShaun and Trevor. Johnny Manziel. I'm not trying to knock Steson, but I can't put him in that kind of category. Bama defense with a bruised ego. Home game. Sark looking to show he can coach and maybe find another HC gig. Plus Saban doing whatever. Tide by 10. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

4* Money Maker GEORGIA SOUTHERN 

Taking TEXA A&M. Yes. Normally you know I am fading away on A&M here off that last second win over Florida. But what we saw out of them in Alabama and in Florida - I have the faith they don't fall here. Jimbo needs to win some games. 9-4, 8-5 his 2 years College Station. I get wanting to grab the home dog here. 2 points last week! New HC Mike Leach talking about getting rid of 'malcontents' and kicking them off team. But hey, this team won what, 4 games last year. It will take a bit to get this roster to where he wants to be. Jimbo at least has a steady QB who can put the ball in the end-zone ( 7/1). 9 INTs for Leach's guy won't get it done. 6 TD seem to make it look good until you see 5 in one game vs LSU. We see where that LSU defense is right? The other QB has checked in with 2 INTs in his brief time under center. Aggies should peel away by double digits this afternoon. 4* Money Maker TEXAS A&M 

4* Money Maker NC STATE

4* Money Maker UTSA

4* Money Maker SOUTH CAROLINA