Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers +3.5 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 51 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking SAN FRAN. Oh my. Gucci Garoppolo gets benched. Wasn't this team THISCLOSE to winning the Super Bowl in February? Good news is Jimmy G is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS. So, we faded the Rams last week in Washington and grabbed Miami here. We have SF at home for the 3rd straight catching a full FG when the early line was them minus the same -3. Rams remember - wild game out in Buffalo. Home to grind one with the Giants. Off to the East coast to face the Redskins. Now back in Cali. That's a lot of back and forth. Now, have I jumped on SF to NOT make the playoffs before last weeks game -yes. But that doesn't mean I don't think they can steal one here. After the Rams won both games in 2018, SF returned the sweep favor in 2019. Something though tells me that the Niners still have some fight in them. 4* Money Maker SF NINERS |
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10-18-20 | Browns +3.5 v. Steelers | 7-38 | Loss | -120 | 89 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. Look. I know the Steelers have owned these guys. But, Cleveland looks like it has taken a step in the right direction. Clearly a huge upgrade at HC. Hoping for a playoff appearance so I can cash some Coach of the Year tickets here! - They aren't shooting themselves in the foot. They are +8 in turnovers. Baker is playing more under control. No Chubb, but the OL is still good and Hunt is a pretty decent runner. The TE is solid. A pair of WRs in Odell and Landry that can do somethings. This is the team people thought they were going to get last year. Enter Pitt. Another comfy home game for them. But come on. Giants, Philly, Denver and a Bill O'Brian led Texans squad. Hello 3-15-1 opponents record. This game will probably be a shoot out. We are already locked in the OVER 50. Give me any and all points. Won't be shocked if the Browns are in position to steal this outright though. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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10-18-20 | Bears +1.5 v. Panthers | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 45 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. Uh. You know we have been on the Teddy B show this season - but not today. Nice taking him as a dog. Doubt we get CMC here. Now a face. Granted, it is down to next to nothing. The Chicago hate is strong. We are in off extra rest. A nice win. And a defense that is a beast. Limited rush attach for Panthers means I get a Mack Attack coming for Teddy. This team has given up 4 touch-down passes in 5 games this season. Let me say that again. 4 passing TDs in 5 games. Do you watch the NFL? Russell Wilson has 5,5,4 TDs in 3 games himself. Buying the Bears here. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
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10-18-20 | Texans +3.5 v. Titans | 36-42 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking the TEXANS. How many people pouring money on Titans after that Tuesday night blowout of the Bills? Texans got rid of their garbage HC. Huge upgrade. Two things about that clown. He started Tom Savage over Watson and gave Brock Osweiler, what 90 million? Good riddance. Back to Tennessee. So 3 TOs and you have a blow-out on your hands and 4 straight wins. I see those 3 prior wins and see 31-30 over the Vikings where you were down 24-12. I see 33-30 over the Jags (I had you Tenn!) where your defense couldn't hold a 30-17 lead. I see opening night MNF where I had you at a PK and you couldn't hit a FG and eked out a 16-14 win. How the heck are you laying any kind of points vs an offense that can score? And the Texans can. No shame losing to KC, Baltimore and Pitt 3 straight weeks. What do you have in the tank for Minny? Not much, a loss and mercifully your HC is let go. Then a big win 30-14 over the Jags and you feel reborn. Short week, favorite role. Give me the live dog. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS |
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10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama -3.5 | Top | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 72 h 55 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. Covid for Nick. Ok. I still have Sark on the sidelines. Who has more to prove than this guy? Hot shot OC. HC in Washington. Back to USC. Drinks way out of job. Gets gig in Bama. Leaves for NFL. Comes back to college. Look. It's a Wednesday night. Who knows where Nick will be on Saturday night. What I do know is that the defense will be up ready to eat glass after giving up 48 last week. Georgia defense a tough one to crack. But my money is on the Tide and their NFL ready skill position players. I would have been on this game at 6/6.5/7. I will be on it at 3.5/4. I just can't see this Georgia team putting up enough points to pull this thing out. And the line is short enough for me to think the defense will close any back door. Who has given the Tide hard times over the years? Cam. Tebow. Burrow. DeShaun and Trevor. Johnny Manziel. I'm not trying to knock Steson, but I can't put him in that kind of category. Bama defense with a bruised ego. Home game. Sark looking to show he can coach and maybe find another HC gig. Plus Saban doing whatever. Tide by 10. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA |
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10-17-20 | UMass v. Georgia Southern -31 | 0-41 | Win | 100 | 67 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker GEORGIA SOUTHERN |
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10-17-20 | Texas A&M -4.5 v. Mississippi State | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 43 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking TEXA A&M. Yes. Normally you know I am fading away on A&M here off that last second win over Florida. But what we saw out of them in Alabama and in Florida - I have the faith they don't fall here. Jimbo needs to win some games. 9-4, 8-5 his 2 years College Station. I get wanting to grab the home dog here. 2 points last week! New HC Mike Leach talking about getting rid of 'malcontents' and kicking them off team. But hey, this team won what, 4 games last year. It will take a bit to get this roster to where he wants to be. Jimbo at least has a steady QB who can put the ball in the end-zone ( 7/1). 9 INTs for Leach's guy won't get it done. 6 TD seem to make it look good until you see 5 in one game vs LSU. We see where that LSU defense is right? The other QB has checked in with 2 INTs in his brief time under center. Aggies should peel away by double digits this afternoon. 4* Money Maker TEXAS A&M |
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10-17-20 | Duke v. NC State -4 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 66 h 43 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker NC STATE |
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10-17-20 | Army v. UTSA +7.5 | 28-16 | Loss | -109 | 64 h 37 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker UTSA |
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10-17-20 | Auburn v. South Carolina +3.5 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 64 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker SOUTH CAROLINA |
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10-17-20 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -6 | Top | 34-7 | Loss | -107 | 39 h 37 m | Show |
Taking TENNESSEE. Grabbing the Vols here. And what am I missing? Is this the low hanging fruit game and I am not seeing the obvious? They won a tough one on the road against South Carolina. They handled MizzU 35-12, which looks better now as LSU was a 14pt road fave and lost 45-41. And led Georgia 21-17 at the half on the road. Kentucky defense is not near the Georgia defense. So - Wildcats in off a 24-2 win where they put 157 yards, allowed zero points defensively and got 6 INTs. Can you get past Kentucky was 4-14 on 3rd down and averaged about 3 yards a play? Vols 33-2 SU 26-9 ATS in this series and 7-1 ATS last 8. Tennessee off that loss - well. Let's go Pruitt. Bama on deck. If you have any hope of being over .500 you need to win this by double digits. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS |
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10-11-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. Seahawks | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. I know Cousins is brutal in Prime Time games. But both these defenses leave something to be desired. We will also be on the OVER. I think worse case, we have a shot at coming in through the back-door. Best case we win this outright as the Seattle defense just seems to lose a player every other down. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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10-11-20 | Giants v. Cowboys -9.5 | 34-37 | Loss | -109 | 92 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Yes. I am a Dallas fan. But that isn't why we are taking the 'Boys here. Giants offense is putrid. I know the Dallas defense is far from a Doomsday version. As bad as it is, I can't see NYG putting up more than 24 points. Cowboys offense should put up a 40 spot without blinking. It is that good. Expect another 400+ 4 TDs from Dak and Zeke should pile up 150 and a couple TDs. This is the game where all the frustration comes out. Dallas on a 6-0 ATS run in the series. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-11-20 | Dolphins +9 v. 49ers | 43-17 | Win | 100 | 92 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. Lost with these guys last week. It was a doggy slaughter. 5 FGs. Come on. You couldn't get one TD out of those? Killing me! Look SF will be angry off that loss to Philly. Maybe Jimmy G is behind center. Will it matter? The defense is a mess. This is a bunch of points. You will hear how SF has to win to make the playoffs since their next 6-7 games are tough. One game at a time. We will grab the points and FitzMagic. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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10-11-20 | Raiders +12 v. Chiefs | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 145 h 24 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker LAS VEGAS RAIDERS |
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10-11-20 | Rams v. Washington Football Team +7.5 | 30-10 | Loss | -115 | 89 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. Will grab the dogs here. No homefield. I get it. But Rams out on the east coast again. Wild game vs the Bills. Then a street fight vs the Giants in LA. Now back out here again. Washington making a QB change. Not really shocking. Not really line moving. But, we get a QB with experience in the HC's offense. Allen should be an improvement. We know the Washington defense is not a terrible unit. How about an outright win this afternoon? Would not shock me in the least. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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10-11-20 | Bengals +13 v. Ravens | 3-27 | Loss | -103 | 89 h 20 m | Show | |
Taking CINCY. If you can't beat 'em, join 'em. Bengals have been burning my bankroll all September. Will jump on the Cover Cats with a backdoor that should be open getting nearly 2 TDs. 4* Money Maker CINCINATTI BENGALS |
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10-10-20 | Kansas State +9 v. TCU | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 69 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE |
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10-10-20 | Texas Tech +12.5 v. Iowa State | 15-31 | Loss | -109 | 88 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking TEXAS TECH. So we faded these guy last week after that wild game against Texas. Well, Kansas State came through like champs and we scored a nice Sure Shot Winner. We also see a pair of missed FGs, a blocked punt, and INT and the starting QB go down for the Red Raiders. Buying the big dog today. Hello Iowa State in off a huge win over Oklahoma. We like Iowa State as a dog (19-9-1 ATS run). But as a home fave, 2-5 ATS last 7, not so much. Points and won't be shocked if we have a shot to steal this late. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH |
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10-10-20 | Florida v. Texas A&M +7 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 85 h 49 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker TEXAS A&M |
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10-10-20 | Virginia Tech +5.5 v. North Carolina | 45-56 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking VIRGINIA TECH. Hokies on a 13-3 SU run in the series. Will gladly take any points. NC sloppy last week vs BC, but somehow stayed under as we cashed that total. Here though - Hokies getting healthy. I think a pretty even matched game. Will side with the points. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA TECH |
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10-10-20 | Oklahoma v. Texas +2.5 | 53-45 | Loss | -102 | 65 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking TEXAS. Well. Both teams come in to this games off losses. Both teams looking a game ahead and paid the price. I think the B12 has written themselves out of any major bowl action the way they have been playing. Real easy to think Sooners win this one. No way they lose 3 games in a season right? I know it isn't much - but Herman as a dog (16-5 ATS L21) has been a great play. Texas on a 7-1 ATS run in the series. +115 ML. Why not. 4* Money Maker TEXAS LONGHORNS |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears +4 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers -7 | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 70 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. How are you getting in front of this freight train. And, the team coming in, the Falcons, find ways to lose. And not just lose. But give up 20+ point leads. Falcons with some WR issues also. Look. I may as well burn my Matty Ice MVP and Falcons NFC South tickets. How are these guys stopping Rodgers. Dome team outside on grass. Good luck. GB should win this by 20. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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10-04-20 | Colts v. Bears +3 | 19-11 | Loss | -130 | 117 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. Give me the Foles show here. Look. I get it. Uh. Bears shouldn't be 3-0. Got lucky vs Falcons. Barely beat the Giants. Needed a Lions drop in end-zone to win. Blah blah blah. We saw Mitch and Foles lead some comebacks. The defense held when it had to. I like the Colts. Have an over win ticket on them. But I am trusting Rivers on the road, laying points too. Guy has 32 INTs/Fumbles since the start of last year. Forget it. No fans, but Bears as a home dog - sign me up. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
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10-04-20 | Giants v. Rams -9.5 | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 164 h 32 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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10-04-20 | Seahawks v. Dolphins +6 | 31-23 | Loss | -112 | 39 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. Here I am waiting for this game to hit 7 as I think the public will come in MVP Wilson and I see 5.5 in some spots. The Seattle defense is as bad as Wilson is great at QB this season. Not only do I think the backdoor is open for a cover, we may possibly steal a win. Seattle off NE and Dallas. Now they get a Dolphins team with extra prep to exploit a defense giving up what seems like 800 yards a game (about 500) and has forced a grand total of 5 punts. Fitz-Magic delivers. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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10-04-20 | Saints v. Lions +3.5 | 35-29 | Loss | -121 | 39 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. Maybe they come in extra pumped up snapping their losing streak. They should be pumped up because Drew Brees looks like Father Time is setting in. Off a couple prime time losses, it is easy to say NO bounces back with the lowly Lions. I dunno. Not saying anything I haven't said before about Brees right now. Kamara is the threat cause he is going to catch 10+ balls a game and they will run him into the ground. Stafford should be able to put points on the board vs a Saints defense that isn't that good. 34+ 37 points to the Raiders and Packers. Defense getting pushed around as the game progresses. 17-7 to the Raiders, 24-13 to GB. Gladly take the points and should be grabbing some ML as well. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
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10-04-20 | Ravens -14 v. Washington Football Team | 31-17 | Push | 0 | 38 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Had them on MNF. Loser. Well. That will help the focus here. Washington in off loss to Browns. A game they led going into the 4th. But, you turn the ball over 5 times, you're in trouble. Expect a huge bounce-back from Ravens. Redskins 3-8 ATS last 11 at home, Baltimore, 10-2 ATS last 12 with Lamar on the road. Big number yes -but, double digit road faves on a 18-0 SU run and, 16-2 ATS. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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10-03-20 | Southern Miss v. North Texas -1 | 41-31 | Loss | -105 | 144 h 29 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker NORTH TEXAS |
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10-03-20 | Tulsa v. Central Florida -20.5 | 34-26 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 18 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker UCF |
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10-03-20 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -17 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 141 h 30 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker ALABAMA |
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10-03-20 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -2.5 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 67 h 31 m | Show |
Taking KANSAS STATE. Oh, you think we are in let-down mode? Not a chance. The real let down will be coming from the Red Raiders. What is left in their tank? You have a 15pt lead with 3+ minutes to go. You give that up, and lose in OT - vs a hated rival. Puh-Leaze. Nowhere to go but down as they hit the road. KST is 7-2 ATS last 9 in the series and have won the last 4 outright. 8* Sure Shot KANSAS STATE |
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10-03-20 | Baylor v. West Virginia +3 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 63 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking WEST VIRGINIA. We had both of these guys with mixed results. Bears in a blow-out. 'Neers in a loser. But as home dogs, we are biting. Last year, West Va lost by 3 to these guys - a team that had 11 wins and went to the Sugar Bowl. Now they have a new HC taking his troops on the road after basically a walk-through game vs Kansas. Not trusting on the road as a fave right now. I think we get an outright win this afternoon. 4* Money Maker WEST VIRGINIA |
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10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets +2.5 | 37-28 | Loss | -115 | 52 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. Not sure what New Jersey HC will be canned first - You would think Dan Quinn down in Atlanta, but these Meadowlands Morons have to be 1b 1c after Quinn 1a. If NYJ can't take care of Broncos on a short week, cut Gase loose now. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs v. Ravens -3 | 34-20 | Loss | -140 | 52 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Double revenge here in Baltimore. KC winning the last 2 meetings. Interesting line to say the least. No fans, yet we get a home field 3 here. KC has won 11 straight. Mahomes hasn't thrown an interception in September (28 TDs). But something tells me the world will be on the Chiefs tonight. I mean, come on. Super Bowl champs getting a FG+. I'm saying Baltimore by at least a TD. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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09-27-20 | Packers +4.5 v. Saints | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 152 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. GB offense absolutely humming. Jones + Rodgers combo looks really good right now. Piling up points. Saints will be in off MNF. Now. I faded both of these last week for different reasons. Aaron Rodgers just looks possessed right now. Guy playing with a chip or maybe cheese wheel the size of Wisconsin on his shoulder. Could be a wild high scoring affair. I'll take whatever points I can get. 4* Money Maker GB PACKERS |
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09-27-20 | Cowboys +5 v. Seahawks | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -109 | 66 h 17 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Going to sprinkle some ML in on these guys also. We have seen that both of these teams can score. And both can give up some points. We are already on the over. Something just tells me Dallas really shows up this week. I mean, Ok. Wilson with 9 TDs in his 2 games. But, Seahawks have been outgained (970 yards) in their two games. Dak and Dallas overcame multiple 15 point holes. Seattle is 3-7 ATS last 10 and that was with a great home-field edge. Dallas as a fave, eh, I'm leery. As a dog, I will bite - just like this live dog this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS |
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09-27-20 | Panthers +7 v. Chargers | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 116 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking the PANTHERS. So - we faded both of these last week with mixed results. I will gladly take Carolina even with no CMC here. Chargers already said Taylor the starter if healthy. Herbert was more than solid in spot start vs KC. And lets talk about that game for a second. LAC goes toe to toe before the bumbling HC makes another dumb call to punt in OT - like hey, KC hasn't scored that much today, we can hold Mahomes down. 58 yard FGs like chip shots. What a demoralizing loss. Tough to get off that matt after that one. Tough loss. Bad coach. Give me the points. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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09-27-20 | Bengals +6.5 v. Eagles | 23-23 | Win | 100 | 114 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. So - Cincy has cost me the last 2 weeks of NFL. I will now jump on the back-door kids. And honestly, I think they win this one outright. Fact is, Philly basically a .500 club since winning the Super Bowl. And their Super Bowl MVP is on the bench in Chicago. Cashed a Best Bet on Rams last week. We will fade Philly for the 3rd consecutive week. Give me the points. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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09-27-20 | Titans -2.5 v. Vikings | 31-30 | Loss | -109 | 96 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. We are Tenny again. 3 in a row on these guys. Look. I have a under future on Minny. Obviously, I thought they would be just ok. But this offense has been brutal. I say that even after they put up those points vs GB. This is a team in flux. The defense, a ZImmer staple, is bad. Colts should have scored 40+. I think Stefanski leaving the OC and heading to HC Browns is a problem. Diggs gone is a problem. No fans, a huge problem. Titans just grind out games and win. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
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09-27-20 | Raiders v. Patriots -6 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 114 h 32 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. We have the Hoodie vs Gruden. No contest. We cashed Vegas on MNF while riding the Over in our free pick video Sunday. Nice emotional win for the Raiders in their new stadium. Now they face the best HC and a QB who looks like he is healthy and back in Super Bowl Season form. Tough one for sure the way it ended Sunday night. But this is a team that just goes about its business. Let's flash back to when we had the Panthers in Week 1 over Vegas. That should have been a win for us. This coach won't make those mistakes to cost a team the win. Especially coming up a yard short last week. 2-0 and off a big win over the Saints. Nowhere to go but down for the Silver and Black. 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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09-27-20 | 49ers v. Giants +4.5 | Top | 36-9 | Loss | -115 | 96 h 15 m | Show |
Taking the GIANTS. I get it. Higgs. How the F are we taking another crap dog! You are killing us with the Browns and Giants in Week 1 - Lions + Jets Week 2. Oh the pain. This line is coming down for a reason. SF is pretty banged up. Giants are in desperation mode. I get no Barkley. But that might actually help NYG since they will realize this is a passing league and they have some weapons. Won't be shocked at an outright win here. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS |
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09-26-20 | Kansas v. Baylor -17 | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 51 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking BAYLOR. Taking a team that has yet to play laying nearly 20. Count me in! Especially against Kansas. Man this program is down. Les Miles really has his work cut out for him. Bears with a new HC. But he's a defensive guy so I expect them to control Kansas here. I mean really - we had Coastal Carolina as a dog outright over these guys a couple weeks ago. Bears put up a 61 spot last year. That would be nice. But I am thinking something like 45-10. 4* Money Maker BAYLOR BEARS |
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09-26-20 | Army +13.5 v. Cincinnati | 10-24 | Loss | -105 | 74 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking ARMY. Had these guys way back to start the season. Will grab them getting the nice points here. Any time I can get a team like Army, triple-option control the clock, vs a team like Cincy that thinks it can move the ball at will, I'll grab them. And look at this total, 45. So they think low scoring game. Army is going to score this game. Cincy hasn't seen the triple option in 2 years. This has one possession game written all over it. 4* Money Maker ARMY |
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09-26-20 | West Virginia +7 v. Oklahoma State | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker WEST VIRGINIA |
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09-26-20 | Iowa State -2.5 v. TCU | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 41 h 23 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker IOWA STATE |
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09-26-20 | Louisville +3 v. Pittsburgh | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 71 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking LOUISVILLE. Grabbing ML +130 also. Obviously I like the Cards. Had them as they lost to Miami. But Pitt isn't bringing speed or talent to the field. This is a team that can't run the ball vs Syracuse or Austin Peay. And, giving the Canes 3 TOs doesn't help the cause either. Big game for UL here. Think the offense carries them this aftenroon. 4* Money Maker LOUISVILLE CARDINALS |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins v. Jaguars -2.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -123 | 55 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. So, this guys bit me in the ass the last 2 weeks. Miami another team I backed last week. Look. We are already on this over at 46 and 46.5. I think we see some points. I just don't know if Miami keeps up. FitzMagic as I said is a yo-yo. Good, bad, great, horrible. Playing the Bills tough is one thing. They are division rivals. Always a tough one. Now they out of division vs a team playing way better than anyone though. Minshew Mania is real. Guy is off to a nice start. Obviously, I was wrong out of the gate on these guys. I thought dejected franchise. But, never quit vs Colts. And the Titans, who mauled them last year, they gave them all they could handle. I'll lay the short price on a short week. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +5.5 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 72 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS. Faded these guys and nearly pulled it on with some ML magic on Carolina. I will gladly take them here as a nice home dog. As much as we liked the Saints and cashed them on the Free Pick Video, Brees was ok, nothing special. And he loses his #1 WR target. They still have weapons though. That being said, I think we pound them with Jacobs on the ground. Saints got 3 TOs including a nice pick 6. Upset in Sin City. 4* Money Maker LAS VEGAS RAIDERS |
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09-20-20 | Ravens -7 v. Texans | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 45 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Huge edge at HC - and that is where these games are won. Ravens wasting no time making up for their playoff last year by blasting the Browns. Now they get a rested Texans team. 41-7 last year Baltimore. Houston looked great for us opening night. A nice TD on the opening drive. Then, nothing. Remember. the 41-7 game was 0-0 after the first quarter ended. After that 7-0 lead on KC in the first quarter, 31 straight before Texans scored with 7 minutes left in the 4th. Do we have to even go back to the playoffs. It was 21-0 Texans in KC after the 1st quarter and 24-0 before KC scored with 10 minutes left in the 2nd. Hello 28-24 KC at half and 41-24 before Texans score again. Ravens by double digits and off to the races. HC opening ahead in Houston. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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09-20-20 | Chiefs -8.5 v. Chargers | 23-20 | Loss | -105 | 45 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. How many times have the Chargers screwed me over. Over the last few years, holy cow. I am doing my best to get away! Look. They had chances to cover that number vs Cincy. Cincy though looks like a good back-door team as they are 2-2 after the Thursday game. That being said. Center out. Still learning offense QB who I actually like. A HC that should be shown the door at seasons end. Andy Reid basically on a bye with this extra rest. I think its something around 20-3. But who needs that when you are on a 10-0 ATS/SU run anyway? KC can dictate the score here. Double digits should not be a problem. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
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09-20-20 | Washington Football Team +7 v. Cardinals | 15-30 | Loss | -118 | 139 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. Had both of these dogs last week. One undefeated will fall from the ranks today! - Look. I know everyone is down on Washington. But. I like the HC. Instant respect from the players. The offense is what it is. The defense though. Always tough. Like I said last week. It is a unit that gets overlooked. Make no mistake, they will get after Murray. And you know I like this kid and have high hopes for the Cards this season. Washington gets after the QB, and will force some mistakes and bad throws. If you can find a 7 great. Either way, I think this one plays close. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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09-20-20 | Panthers v. Bucs -9 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 94 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking the BUCS. Uh. You know I hate big faves like this. That being said, think we are in a good spot this afternoon. We get Tampa off loss at Saints and Brady not looking good. Panthers come in off wild one vs Raiders. Now. If you are in that kind of shoot-out with Vegas, you are in trouble vs Tampa. Rhule has to adjust to NFL defenses and realize this isn't Big 12 football. Joe Brady is the wonder OC from LSU. Well, that offense that made a Heisman winner for Burrow was just so adapted from his time as a Saints offensive assistant. The same offense they played last week. And same offense they play twice a year, every year. I don't think Carolina scores 20 today. And my numbers show 31+ for Tampa. 4* Money Maker TB BUCCANEERS |
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09-20-20 | 49ers v. Jets +7.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -135 | 42 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. Going to be an ugly one this week. Grabbing NY here. Look. They looked terrible against the Bills. Couldn't get anything going early. 4 punts and a pick first 5 drives while giving up TDs on 3 of the Bills first 4 drives. SF losing last week not shocking. We had Arizona. And as I said then - Cards play SF tough. Now the Niners are flying east for an early start. Everyone expecting a blow out. No Bell, No Problem. Gore is ageless! Would you really be shocked to see him work over a team he played with for a decade? Everyone looking one way, we are going opposite. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
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09-20-20 | Bills v. Dolphins +6 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 42 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the DOLPHINS. Yes we will go with another ugly home dog today. The sports world penciling the Bills in for the playoffs. Bills Mafia booking Super Bowl reservations. Me, I'm grabbing Fitz-Magic off a bad game. Guy is a yo yo. Double revenge spot as Bills won both last year. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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09-20-20 | Jaguars v. Titans -7.5 | 30-33 | Loss | -100 | 42 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. Faded the Jags last week and they bit me right in my fat butt. Had Titans at a PK so I was happy. But really, that is a loss. FG kicking becoming something of a novelty I guess- a dozen misses last week? Look. We are getting great value here. This line should easily be double digits. But Minshew Mania is in full effect. FG kicking worries for the home team off a nail-biter. 42-20 last year here, 30-9 the year before. Safe to say Tennessee handles Jax at home. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
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09-20-20 | Lions +7 v. Packers | 21-42 | Loss | -140 | 42 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. Ooh. This is a tough pill to swallow for sure. We were all over Rodgers and the Pack last week like white on rice. It would be easy to say, oh course GB will win this by a touchdown. I don't know folks. If things were that easy would there be billion dollar hotels in the middle of a desert? Lions already in mid-season form. They blew 7 4th quarter leads last year and are jumping into that deep end of the pool right out of the gate allowing the Bears to run off 23 and lose. I will say now that I think Matt Patricia is out of Detroit after this season, 100%. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
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09-19-20 | Miami-FL v. Louisville -2.5 | 47-34 | Loss | -104 | 77 h 23 m | Show | |
Taking LOUISVILLE. Time for a little revenge. 52-27 Canes last year. But - things change. New QB under center for Miami. King comes over from Houston. He had a solid 12-82 on the ground and 15/23 in the air for 141. That was against UAB. UL brings back 8 starters on offense and defense. Home team delivers. 4* Money Maker LOUISVILLE CARDINALS |
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09-19-20 | Appalachian State -4.5 v. Marshall | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking APP STATE. Slow starting out of the gate vs the 49ers last week. But, we take a 97 yard KO return and this score looks different. Heck. They booted a 49 yard FG also. The defense looks pretty good. Yeah, the Herd blasted EKU 57-0. That was a glorified scrimmage. No practices and a tune up vs a bad team. Appy controlled a bowl team and made it look easy going away. No slow start vs Marshall who has to replace 7 defensive starters from last year. 4* Money Maker APPALACHIAN STATE |
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09-19-20 | South Florida v. Notre Dame -25 | 0-52 | Win | 100 | 46 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME |
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09-19-20 | Tulsa v. Oklahoma State -23 | 7-16 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. Time to release the Chuba. Hubbard ran wild on Tulsa last season going for 256. That 90th rank defense brings back 4 starters. So, safe to say they aren't loading up on 4 star recruits to fill the void. Cowboys always explosive on offense. 18 starters back for OSU including aforementioned RB and their QB Sanders along with his top 3 WRs. 10 starters back on defense should be able to corral Tulsa. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA STATE |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns -6 | Top | 30-35 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 1 m | Show |
Taking the BROWNS. Had these guys and watched them get demolished on Sunday. Also faded Cincy and had to hold for dear life just to earn a push with the Chargers. So - First drive for Cleveland INT and 8 plays later a TD. Next possession. Run a fake punt and fumble the ball. FG. 10-0 just like that. But. We did come right back for a TD. Missed the PAT, and that should have told us we are going to be in for a long day. And it was. A 99 yard drive for a TD. We miss a FG - 70 yards in about 40 seconds, its 24-6 and we are done. Hunt and Chubb went for 130 combined which is nice. I don't see them playing catch-up vs Cincy. Ah the Bengals. I can't even write the Chargers HC name since he is so terrible. Maybe I should have said, he's a crap HC, and just stayed away. But Taylor was a winning QB for the Bills. Plenty of weapons. And, Chargers do what they do. Shoot themselves in the foot, time and time again. Last week Cleveland saw an MVP performance from opposing QB completing 20/25 3 TDs. Burrow led a great drive to put them in position to win or tie the game. But overall. Come on. 23-36. Pretty sure he was 8-12 on the last drive. All short stuff. 5 yards a pass. Short week for a rookie QB, on the road. Fans or not, it is a tough task. I think we have a great play here. Everyone down on the Browns saying same ol' Cleveland. While everyone saying, wow, Burrow nearly had a last minute TD drive negated by an OPI. That game was ugly because the players played ugly. Browns in a blow-out. 8* Sure Shot CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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09-14-20 | Steelers v. Giants +6.5 | 26-16 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking GIANTS -- First.. A quick Sunday recap on some games. I know some of you follow me on twitter if you don't you should real underscore higgs. Saw a couple of you passing through AC yesterday. I'll be back this Sunday the 20th at Bally's Wild West Fan Cave -That is why we have a late update. Computer down! - Carolina. I thought we were going to win outright. I think we should have. Real tough losing that one. Colts. Hey. I had the Jags all wrong. I thought their were a team in chaos. Not so. Bad play by me. The Browns. Looking back maybe I should have stayed a way. First year HC with a team historically know for being terrible. I like the HC when he was OC in Minny. That is why I am holding Coach of Year tickets and thought it would translate to Baker Comeback POY tickets. We did hit other games to make it just a loser in juice. But not the start I wanted - So - the GIANTS. At 3/3.5 I could make a case for Pitt. 5.5/6 - I am taking the added value here. Big Ben hasn't played ball in over a year basically. We saw some sloppy play yesterday. The guy is no spring chicken. Giants offense can score. At least they should with the guys they have. This is more fading of Big Ben and getting nearly double the points in one week after a number sat for months. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS |
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09-13-20 | Cardinals +7.5 v. 49ers | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 115 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. I think Murray was pretty good last year. Not too shabby for a rookie. Arizona plays San Fran tough. No way around. Go look at the scores for the last 5 years. 10 pretty good games. I like Drake in the backfield. You have HOF Larry Fitzgerald still lead the young QB. And some other guy they grabbed named Hopkins is a pretty good receiver in his own right. Again, he gets even better with a HOFer to learn from and gives the young QB more help. Plus. I can't leave out Kirk. San Fran comes in off a Super Bowl loss. Hi, we cashed KC and it was great in the Fan Cave at Bally's AC. But, they are now the hunted. Let's see how they respond and in the meantime, I'll grab the points. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
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09-13-20 | Chargers -3 v. Bengals | 16-13 | Push | 0 | 68 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. So Rivers is in Indy. I like Tyrod. Guy is 24-21-1 as a starter. And that is 3 full season as the Bills starter. He is 31, but I think people forget that for 4 years, he collected dust in Baltimore. Plenty of weapons. Hunter, Ekler, Allan, Williams. Got a rookie taking the field under center with zero pre-season reps. Yeah, good luck with that. Don't care how great in college he was. Bosa and Ingram will welcome him with open arms to the NFL. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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09-13-20 | Packers +3.5 v. Vikings | 43-34 | Win | 100 | 384 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. I do like Minny. Was high on them last year. But, we do have an Under 9 Future ticket in hand this season. So, no fans. That for me is big. This is a place where Minny is 24-9 SU and 21-9-3 ATS (70%)! - No easy task I get it. But no fans. We must take that into consideration when getting points from road teams this season. Also - GB. I get everyone thinks they are down. But Rodgers is gonna Rodgers. 4-2 last 6 vs Vikes, and, they swept Minny last season. New OC, New DC, No Diggs for Minny. Dog outright in sight. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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09-13-20 | Browns +9 v. Ravens | 6-38 | Loss | -120 | 112 h 0 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. I know everyone will be on Baltimore. Ready to redeem themselves. Well. I am a Cleveland believer. I have Comeback POY on Baker. I have Coach of Year on Stefanski. Look. 4 HCs in 3 years. How do you even fault Baker? This year though- new pieces on the OL. Gets a solid TE in Hooper - add him to Chubb and Hunt in the backfield. Landry and that fecal freak ODB. Back to the TE and OL. So they drafted a TE and still have 1st rounder Njoku and 2nd year guy Carlson. Stefanski had Case Keenum toss 21 TDs. He improved the Minny offense. I suspect the run game and short passing attack will play heavy here. I can't say anything bad about Baltimore except I think this is a lot of points to be laying out of the gate to a talented team. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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09-13-20 | Raiders v. Panthers +3.5 | 34-30 | Loss | -120 | 112 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the CAROLINA PANTHERS. Almost wrote Hurricanes! - Haa.. So we have the Raiders as road faves. Come on. I know Carolina is starting over. But please. What have the Raiders done to show they should be favored on the East coast? I think its safe to say we have the best player on the field in CMC out of the backfield. Teddy isn't a terrible QB when healthy. And DJ Moore had over 1100 yards receiving last year. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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09-13-20 | Seahawks v. Falcons +2.5 | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 112 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Have these guys to win the South and a MVP ticket on Matty Ice. I think the offense will be as good as any in the league. Could have the best WR duo - Gurley, I know, I bad mouthed this guy all last year. But I think we see a rotation out of RB and he can contribute in limited carries. This is a passing team. Ah Seattle. Another team I have a future ticket on. Man. Wilson is a good QB. Guy is terrific. But I think the defense is suspect - and against Jones and Ridley they could be over matched. I will also be on OVER 49. On a side not, I think Dan Quinn is on the hottest of hot seats. Lost the Super Bowl in year 2. Lost to Philly in playoffs next year. Back to back 7-9 season. Win or hit the road coach. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
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09-13-20 | Colts -7.5 v. Jaguars | 20-27 | Loss | -107 | 111 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. I'm a believer. Have these guys to win the South and Over their win total. The talent is there. I like the coach. And across the field is absolute chaos. If you can find odds on who is going to have the worse record in the league, throw a little change on the Jags. I guess this is kind of a square play. Lord knows that I have been on Jax after that AFC Championship run which seems like decades ago. Let the rebuild commence. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
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09-13-20 | Eagles v. Washington Football Team +7 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 65 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. This line on the way down. On a Thursday no-less. So, lots o' changes in Washington underway obviously. RBs out HC out Front Office out Name out - But I do like the Ron Rivera hiring. I think people forget that the defense here is pretty solid. It just got over-looked by how bad the offense was. Now they have a real coach and I think Haskins will be better. Eagles are always littered with injuries. I think the back 7 can be exploited by a smarter coach. Remember, last year a worse Redskins unit held a lead on these guys on the road and Philly need a miracle rally to pull out a 5pt win. 20-7 and 14-10 half-time leads in both games last year. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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09-12-20 | Coastal Carolina +7 v. Kansas | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 79 h 56 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker COASTAL CAROLINA |
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09-12-20 | UTEP +43.5 v. Texas | 3-59 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker UTEP |
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09-12-20 | UTSA v. Texas State -7.5 | 51-48 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 10 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker TEXAS STATE |
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09-12-20 | UL-Monroe v. Army -21.5 | 7-37 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker ARMY |
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09-12-20 | Arkansas State +11 v. Kansas State | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 87 h 23 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker ARKANSAS STATE |
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09-10-20 | UAB +14 v. Miami-FL | 14-31 | Loss | -102 | 48 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking UAB. I am a Canes fan - but I think this is a bit high for them. Yes, I love King. Loved him doing his thing at Houston. But, Blazers with a game under their belt. Big when you teams haven't been in a routine like a normal season. So 45-35 over Central Arkansas. Don't read much into those 35 points and think if Central Ark can put up 35, the Hurricanes will put up 60. This game was 45-21 with under 6 minutes to play. And 1 of the TD was a fumble recovery. So, 45-14. Blazers were a solid team last year and will be pumped playing a big name school. The U is bringing in a new QB and OC. Game speed different than practices. UAB will want to run the ball and that will keep Miami's best weapon off the field. I might sprinkle some ML +430 on this doggy. 4* Money Maker UAB |
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09-05-20 | Arkansas State +19 v. Memphis | 24-37 | Win | 100 | 54 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker ARKANSAS STATE |
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09-03-20 | South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker SOUTH ALABAMA |
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08-29-20 | Austin Peay State v. Central Arkansas -5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker CENTRAL ARKANSAS |
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01-19-20 | Packers +7.5 v. 49ers | 20-37 | Loss | -130 | 149 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. I had GB way back in November when San Fran totally ran them right out of the building on Sunday Night. I couldn't even get the over as the cheese melted so fast that Rodgers took to the bench. I get SF is cruising. Making it look easy over Minny last week dominating the clock with their run game with Jimmy G completing just 11 passes. But here comes an MVP in his own right. A guy with a monster chip on his shoulder over his last game in this stadium. Also - he is exercising the demons of his old coach. Make no mistake about it - Rodgers is the one calling the shots here. He will gladly gamble and take shots. And as we saw last week, won't be shy about handing the ball off when need be. GB can get pressure on the QB themselves. This might like simple. But I just have to take Rodgers here getting this amount of points. Especially off an embarrassing game. Rodgers had 26 TDs and just 4 INTs this year. Aaron Jones rushed in for 16 TDs. Say we take 6 of those away and the conversation about Rodgers changes to oh, 32-34 TDs, just 4 INTs .. over 4000 yards. So efficient. Putting my faith in a HOF QB to keep us in the battle. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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01-19-20 | Titans v. Chiefs -7 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 146 h 46 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS. Gotta say this is a tough one as we have had Tennessee plenty of times this season. Cashed them vs Patriots in Round 1, lost with Ravens in Round 2. Now, the AFC Championship. 3 straight playoff road games. 4 straight road games overall. We have seen Henry be a beast. We have seen trick plays. We have seen defense. I like their HC. Think the defense is a bend don't break unit. But KC sees the door ajar. They lost here to New England last year. Off an epic comeback - it's one for the record books. Records were set. They look pretty focused. They didn't get away from what they did all year when down 24-0. The Ravens folded up like a tent. KC also with revenge from a Week 10 35-32 loss at Tennessee. They led 29-20 going into the 4th quarter. 29-27, 32-27 and then 35-32 as Tannehill completed a 23 yard pass with 23 seconds left to pull out the win. That was Mahomes first game back from injury. Titans a different team with Tannehill under center and what could have been if he played the entire season. I am not going to knock his 2 playoff games this year with 88 and 72 yards passing - Henry for 195 and 182 show what kind of team this is. That being said - I think KC is in the zone. They let it slip away last year. Heck- Go back to January of 2018 and Mariotta was beating Alex Smith here 22-21 after KC led 21-0 at half! Those 2 teams are eons ago. They were a 3pt home fave last year over the Patriots. Down 14-0 at half, 17-7 entering the 4th. Do you remember this game? Under betters haven't forgotten. A 21-17 lead at the 7 minute mark. Down 24-21 with 3 + to play. Up 28-24 with 2 minutes left. Down 31-28 with 30 seconds left. Tied - OT - Brady Magic 36-31. They have battled back when needed. Twice in the playoffs. They have faced the adversity. I am not saying the Titans aren't a great story. Holy Cow Tannehill coming back to Miami to be the starting QB in a Super Bowl is Kurt Warner story-book time. Maybe a slight, albeit by the tiniest margin, an edge at HC. But this Tennessee team is really cooking. I just think in the end - what KC has been through in their last playoff games adds a big edge to them. Titans with the house money, but with that you don't get a lot of urgency. The World wanted Chiefs / Saints last year. KC holds up their end of the deal here. 5* Best Bet KANSAS CITY CHIEFS |
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01-13-20 | Clemson +6.5 v. LSU | Top | 25-42 | Loss | -115 | 369 h 49 m | Show |
Taking CLEMSON. Also, grab some of this ML. We cashed both these guys in the Playoffs. LSU looked really good putting up a zillion points. Which is why we get this inflated line. Clemson a tough team. Probably the best defense LSU will face. For me though, edge to defending champs. Nobody talking repeat. Just the Joe Burrow Heisman show. Dabo will have this team ready to go. 5* Best Bet CLEMSON |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers -3.5 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 166 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the PACKERS here. Rodgers at home. Short number. They will know if they are playing division rival Minny, or heading to SF to face the Niners for some payback. This line will only rise. Seattle banged up. They didn't look that impressive vs a very depleted Philly team. Granted, on the road, but still - not impressed. I get Seattle has HOF in Wilson and Carrol. Rookie HC for us. But - this is why they have a rookie. HC. Mike McCarthy terrible play calling. Rodgers playing with that chip on his shoulder. Raise your hand if you had either of these teams getting to the NFC Championship Game before the season started! - 10* Money Bomb GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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01-12-20 | Texans v. Chiefs -8.5 | Top | 31-51 | Win | 100 | 162 h 0 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS. One. Have to back Andy Reid off a bye week. 18-3 in his career and 5-2 here with KC. This year vs the Raiders, 40-9. I know the Texans aren't the Raiders. But their HC drinks from the same fountain as fellow former State of Texas HC, Dallas Cowboy Jason Garrett. How do you have faith backing this team? Even getting this big number- Can't do it. Watson should have been picked at least twice. Bills collapse and we get Houston here in Kansas City. Not buying this team at all. Texans have been slow starters their last 2 playoff games. That won't fly here vs Reid's bunch. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens -9 | 28-12 | Loss | -109 | 104 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Have the UNDER here also. My thinking is this. Titans going to want to run, run and run some more. Baltimore defense I think is better than the Patriots. Also, not that we look at the last game and think, hey, Tannehill threw for 80 yards or whatever (72 yards!). But, say the Ravens bottle up Henry, and instead of going for 182, he goes for 92 - do you have faith in Tannehill to exploit the Ravens secondary? Because I don't. And I was big on the Tennessee most of the year. This is a 2nd back to back playoff game vs a better team. If these guys were playing the Chiefs, I would be more inclined to grab the points in that spot. This is just not the match-up for them. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. 49ers | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -115 | 140 h 38 m | Show |
Taking MINNY. Smacking myself for last week. I have been on the Vikes so many times this season. Had a NFC North future on these guys. And I got so annoyed the last time I bet them (vs GB), that I was blinded against New Orleans. And my bankroll paid the price. I get SF is rested. And they need it. They are a pretty banged up team. But Minny is healthy. This is a talented team on both sides of the ball. Won't be surprised if this turns into a bit of a shoot-out. That being said, SKOL! 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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01-06-20 | Miami-OH +14 v. UL-Lafayette | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 501 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI OHIO. I get the MAC was bad. But this total disrespect. MAC Champs getting 2 TDs. The underdog has covered 4 straight in the bowl including 3 outright wins. Sun Belt teams have won the last 4 games over MAC teams for what that is worth. I know ULL can score. But in the last game before National Championship, I am expecting some defense from the MAC Champ to get us a cover. 4* Money Maker MIAMI OHIO |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles +2.5 | 17-9 | Loss | -105 | 79 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES here. The team nobody is giving a shot. I get all the Seattle trends. But I am not buying. I was in the Fan Cave at Bally's (where I will be Super Bowl Sunday for those in the area) watching this slop game back in November. 3 TOs for Philly sealed that 20-9 win. How about just 2 Seahawks wins by more than 7. Dogs live in all their games. I don't think Seattle has improved much from then. But I have seen a lot of improvement from Philly. And, not by beating the Giants who they own, or a bad Redskins team. Heck, I will toss out the win over a talented Dallas team. Those 4 wins are very nice. But more importantly to me is the play of the players. Improving every game. That is huge when you have dealt with the losses Philly has. And, with all that, Philly has still outscored and outyarded their opponents on the year! Finally- tough spot for Seattle travel wise. A win late last Sunday and they are home. Instead, they can't knock off San Fran and take a 3000 journey for a short week game. At least NFL gave them the last slot. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
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01-05-20 | Vikings v. Saints -7.5 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 32 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Now. You know I like my Vikings. Had them plenty of times this season. Cost me a NFC North future ticket. But that isn't why I am fading them here. Believe it or not, it's their defense - or lack of it. Tough to say as a big Zimmer fan. But this will be a problem here. Tough place to play here vs Brees and Payton. This offense is really explosive. Air or ground, NO can do it both. Kimara and Murray are a 1-2 beast out of the backfield. Best WR in the league right now in Thomas. Vikes come limping in to say the least. Saints, after a slow Week 1&2 go 11-3 ATS to finish the year. Outscoring teams by +117. 3rd straight year these guys are getting together. We remember the Minnesota Miracle in 2017. Saints with revenge last year 30-20. (then they get hosed at home with that PI call). Now, time for a 13-3 Wild Card to lay it to the visitor who is 1-4 vs teams with winning record this year. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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01-04-20 | Titans +5 v. Patriots | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 59 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS here. I know it is tough going against this QB + HC combo at home. Especially when not laying a TD. I guess people think it looks real easy for New England. I don't know. What I know is that Patriots not the same in Wild Card round as they are with a bye week. First time since 2009 no bye. And, no Super Bowl runs when in a Wild Card round for NE. Defense is very good for NE. But this offense is a step back. Titans will ride Henry like a mad-man here. Also - Tannehill. 30ppg with him under center (7-3 SU/ATS). Tennessee was at 16 with Mariota. Let's not forget Titans beat the Pats last year 34-10. Ex-Pats coach Vrabel will have his team focused. Might sprinkle some ML here. Also on the Under. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
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01-04-20 | Bills +2.5 v. Texans | 19-22 | Loss | -100 | 55 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Not a fan of OBrian for the Texans. This guy does almost as much less with more than his State of Texas counterpart Jason Garrett. Give me Buffalo all day here. Better defense. Better rush game. Bills not a sexy team, especially in the day and age of QBs airing it out. They win with their D. #3 in yards allowed and #2 in ppg. Texans as a 10 win team have been outscored on the year. We have the better coach. Catching points. Hungry team. Also lean Under. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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01-02-20 | Boston College v. Cincinnati -7 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 137 h 9 m | Show |
Taking CINCY. What an absolute disgrace Bearcats here facing a 6-6 BC team. I know some teams will lack motivation for Bowl Games. I don't see that with Cincy though. Even in a lesser bowl like this. These guys can still get 11 wins on the year. That is a big number in College Football. And this BC team. Shouldn't even be bowling. - Fired their HC. Their best offensive player (RB) sitting out. On a back up QB. Their OC left. Their new HC is the DC at Ohio State and he was slightly busy the weekend before this bowl game. Cincy all day and will also be on the UNDER. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BEARCATS |
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01-01-20 | Baylor +7.5 v. Georgia | Top | 14-26 | Loss | -110 | 561 h 8 m | Show |
Taking BAYLOR. Look. I am getting down here on the Bears because I saw last year Georgia didn't show up for the Sugar Bowl as they lost to Texas 28-21. 13.5 pt faves in that spot and it was 28-7 Texas with 11 minutes left in the 4th. So color me sketchy they are all in here. Under Kirby Smart, 2-2 in Bowls. Won Liberty Bowl 31-23 over TCU and Rose Bowl over Penn State 54-48 in 2017 before losing to Alabama 26-23 in National Championship Game. That was a brutal loss. Now they face Baylor. Bears only losses to Oklahoma on the year. Now. is Georgia pumped up for this Sugar Bowl? A win, they are in the Playoffs. But they get routed and back to back Sugars. We know Baylor will be pumped to be here. I am sure they will bring fans. This is huge season for this Waco bunch. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS |
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01-01-20 | Michigan v. Alabama -7 | Top | 16-35 | Win | 100 | 111 h 16 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. No playoffs. No problems. Motivation? How about facing Michigan and that HC? You think Saint Nick wants to lose here? They lost some shootouts. This QB has A LOT to prove. You don't think he is motivated? All his NFL bound WRs will be playing for what I have seen right now. Tua will be going in mid NFL rounds, or sitting out a year rehabbing. Bama needs to see this QB more and get him into the system. They aren't taking New Years Day off. And Michigan - When was the last time they beat a ranked team. Heck a good team. Tide arguably would be favored over some of these Final Four Playoff teams. What will the lines be if it was Michigan? Also on the OVER here as Tide will get near 40 themselves. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA |
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12-31-19 | Georgia State v. Wyoming -7 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 91 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker WYOMING COWBOYS |
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12-30-19 | Virginia v. Florida -14 | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 190 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking FLORIDA. Last we saw Virginia they were getting blitzed by Clemson 62-17 in the ACC Championship Game. A 9-4 season, but this is a one man team. QB Bryce Perkins is the cog that makes them go. I expect the Gators defense to contain him. 14ppg less than 300 yards allow, Florida defense will come to play. 11 wins is a nice season. They rolled Michigan in their bowl game last year 41-15 - I can see something similar here. Mullen in back to back bowls and I expect another big win. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS |
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12-29-19 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3 | 26-21 | Loss | -110 | 167 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. Got to love Wilson as a home dog. I know these guys are banged up. But I will roll the dice as dogs. I have mentioned numerous times their home issues. Losses to Saints, Cards, Ravens, near loss to Bucs in OT, Bengals in Week 1, Rams missed FG. But all as faves. SF back end of the schedule real tough. Cracks appearing as we saw in that crazy Falcons loss. Live dog here with this HOF coach and quarterback. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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12-29-19 | Titans -4 v. Texans | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 164 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS, again. Hurt me last week. Win and in. Texans assured of their home field. Won't risk any injuries. Letting it fly on Tannehill and friends. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |