Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-25-16 | Bears +6.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 16 m | Show |
487 Chicago at Dallas The injury to Jay Cutler is a positive as Brian Hoyer is equal or better than the troubled Bears starter. In fact, his teammates have never been a fan of Cutler so we should see an added focus for Hoyer. Dallas has been a very poor team at home posting a 1-8 straight up mark at the Jerry Dome. Underdogs in Cowboys games have been golden the past few seasons as points seem to be at a premium. Dallas is a public team, and after the terrible Monday Night Football performances from the Bears, value is on Chicago. PLAY CHICAGO |
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09-24-16 | Miami (OH) +17 v. Cincinnati | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 50 h 19 m | Show |
375 Miami Ohio at Cincinnati Terrible scheduling situation for the host who played Houston on National Television last week and have major revenge against South Florida on deck. USF led Cincy 51-3 at halftime in what would become an embarrassing 65-27 loss. The Bearcats have dominated this one way rivalry series winning ten straight. We can’t see them getting up to play this lesser MAC team. Miami on the other hand is much improved this year and has already faced the likes of Iowa and Western Kentucky, two spread covering contests. While conference action starts next week as the Redhawks host Ohio, this game has more meaning to the players. A win over their close rival would build major confidence heading into MAC action. Under Chuck Martin Miami is 9-4 ATS as a road underdog and they have enough talent to take this one to the wire. PLAY MIAMI OHIO |
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09-19-16 | Eagles v. Bears -3 | Top | 29-14 | Loss | -120 | 81 h 4 m | Show |
290 Philadelphia at ChicagoFirst road start for rookie Carson Wentz who was fortunate to play the weak Cleveland defense opening week. We have the Eagles as one of the four worst teams in the NFL and it will be proven out on Monday Night.The Bears were right in that game last week until late, and we feel this team is being underrated. Already off a loss and with this being a very winnable game we will back the host here. Chicago is a much better team and the current line is very short.PLAY CHICAGO |
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09-18-16 | Ravens v. Browns +6.5 | Top | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 49 m | Show |
268 Baltimore at Cleveland Major overreaction here as the Browns likely will be a better offense with McCown behind center. This team has the receivers to stretch the field and keep this team competitive. We simply can’t trust Joe Flacco in the role of sizable road favorite here. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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09-17-16 | Akron +17.5 v. Marshall | Top | 65-38 | Win | 100 | 66 h 23 m | Show |
165 Akron at Marshall Classic overreaction here as the Zips were heavily bet last week only to be blown out at Wisconsin. The line went from +25 to +21 1/2 at close and the Zips were never in the game. But Terry Bowden and the Zips are always a dangerous road dog and because of last week this line is highly inflated. Akron has won 6 of its last 7 games dating back to last year. Bowden always brings in high quality transfers, so despite bringing back only 7 starters this year the team has talent. As opposed to the Zips, Marshall has played just one game this year, a blowout of Morgan State. The team has back to back huge recruiting rivalry games on deck against Louisville and Pittsburgh. Because of last week’s results this line is at least 4 points higher than it should be, the lookahead for the Thundering Herd adds to our advantage. PLAY AKRON |
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09-15-16 | Houston v. Cincinnati +7 | Top | 40-16 | Loss | -101 | 77 h 54 m | Show |
104 Houston at Cincinnati The Cougars shocked Oklahoma in the opener 33-23 and made a major jump up in the standings. Last week without injured QB Greg Ward the team beat Lamar in a non-covering victory. While we agree this is talented team, there is no way this team should be a touchdown favorite here. First off in the win vs Oklahoma the Sooners won the yards per play battle 6.0 to 5.0. This is a team traveling on a short week to play on ESPN against a divisional rival. The last three years Houston won at home by 3, lost at Cincinnati by 7 and lost at home to Cincinnati by 7. The Cougars were a combined 29-11 the last three years but just 1-2 vs the Bearcats. Cincinnati dominated a Big 10 team on the road last week winning by 18 over Purdue. In the last decade this team is 8-2 ATS as a home dog, winning outright the past two occurrences. This is the biggest game of the season for the host. The fans will be primed and we expect this game to come down to the wire. PLAY CINCINNATI |
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09-11-16 | Bears +6 v. Texans | Top | 14-23 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
467 Chicago at Houston We love to go against public perception in the opening week and in this contest we attack it on two fronts. First off we have heard nothing but poor reviews for this Bears team this season. Keep in mind the Bears offense faced the 2nd toughest ranking of defenses last year. The team has finished 28th and 27th in the league in games lost to injury the past two seasons. Those negative expectations help us here as the pointspread doesn’t relate to the true levels of these programs. Houston made a terrible money call in signing the questionable Brock Osweiler to a $72 million deal. He struggles passing the ball long and is exactly the same type of quarterback the Texans have had the past few seasons. Spending all that money on a mediocre QB leaves the rest of the team without depth. Houston had positive ratios in turnovers and sacks last year. But keep in mind that the first two seasons in Houston Bill O’Brien’s teams went just 9-7 and 9-7. This despite playing in the weakest division in the league. PLAY CHICAGO |
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09-10-16 | Akron +24 v. Wisconsin | Top | 10-54 | Loss | -106 | 75 h 4 m | Show |
329 Akron at Wisconsin You couldn’t ask for a better spot for Akron to take on the Badgers. Not only was Wisconsin looking to avenge a season opening loss to LSU from two years ago. But the game was a historic contest played in Lambeau Field. Even before the game was actual played you could see the excitement in the faces of the Wisconsin players who would step on this historic field to play a football game. After pulling the upset the players celebrated as if winning the national championship. Now with Akron and Georgia State on deck before the Big 10 season gets underway, do we really expect the Badgers to show the same type of emotion? Akron was the top MAC school last year against the run, allowing just 2.9 yards per carry on the season. Even when stepping up in class against Oklahoma the team managed just 3.0 ypc, Pittsburgh was more of the same at 2.8 ypc. Terry Bowden always brings in a lot of transfers which is why this team is always so goo on the lines. We expect the Zips to give the Badgers all it cab handle on Saturday. PLAY AKRON |
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09-10-16 | Central Michigan +21 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 113 h 32 m | Show |
327 Central Michigan at Oklahoma State The Chippewas are going to make us money this year and our first chance to cash is on Saturday. The John Bonamego era started last year with a 7-6 mark and he brings back 16 returning starters after just 9 a season ago. While this isn’t the best team in the MAC it’s the most balanced as the Chips are solid on both sides of the ball and has a possible NFL QB in Cooper Rush behind center. This team is 6-1 as a road dog the last two years and covered by 12 1/2 points last year hosting these Cowboys in the opener. The 24 points Oklahoma scored in last years meeting was just a point more than the 23 it scored against Oklahoma last year, a season low for the Cowboys. Oklahoma State crushed SE Louisiana last week but turnovers were the key. The Cowboys average starting field position was its 46 yard line. Oklahoma State has lost 3 of its last 4 games played including the Sugar Bowl loss to Mississippi. This team doesn’t deserve to be a 3 touchdown favorite here against a solid Central Michigan squad. PLAY CENTRAL MICHIGAN |
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09-01-16 | South Carolina +4.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
141 South Carolina at Vanderbilt Because of off field concerns Steve Spurrier lost interest in the game the last few years on his tenure. In comes a hungry Will Muschamp to pick up the pieces and bring this program back to previous levels. After seven straight winning seasons the Gamecocks managed a 3-9 record a year ago. We expect a rebound season from South Carolina despite only 9 returning starters.To go from beating Vanderbilt 7 straight games by double figures to now being a dog is just a huge overreaction in our eyes. Vanderbilt has won just 7 total games in the last two years under Derek Mason. The team is 4-7 straight up at home vs FBS programs, with two of those victories coming against Old Dominion and Massachusetts. Under Mason the Commodores have averaged 15.2 and 17.2 points. Hard to lay over a field goal with teams that can’t score. PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA |