Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-09-23 | Nuggets v. Heat OVER 211.5 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
03-09-23 | Villanova v. Creighton UNDER 134.5 | Top | 74-87 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
12-24-22 | Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 47 | Top | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
Philadelphia/Dallas 4:25: This series has gone 'over' 4 straight and 5 of the last 7 in Dallas. Philadelphia offense shouldn't slow down with Minshew at the helm. He would most likely be a starting QB on at least 3 NFL teams this season. And he's got a lot of skill weaponry at his disposal, including TE Goedert back for this one. Cowboys have injuries on the back end of their defense, and with Dallas LB Vander Esch out, Eagles run game won't miss a beat with arguably the best offensive line in the league leading the way. Cowboys' run stop unit 24th in the league vulnerable. On the other hand, Eagles only soft spot is their run stop unit. They're in the lower echelon of the league stopping the run (19th). And Dallas can run the football when they're devoted to it. With heavy "over" trends for these teams in December, we'll go "over" here. |
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12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions OVER 51 | Top | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
Minnesota/Detroit 1:00: Both of these teams have heavy "over" trends. And this series has gone 4-1 O/U in its last 5 meetings and 4-1 O/U in Detroit. Lions on a 10-4 O/U overall run. Not a surprise considering their defense allows 27 PPG (last in the league). But Goff and company have been machine-like this season averaging 26.3 PPG. OC Ben Johnson has done an outstanding job working with Goff and the offense. They should be able to frequent the end zone against the worst pass defense in the NFL that allows 283.6 YPG. We'll go "over" here. |
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11-06-22 | Panthers v. Bengals OVER 42.5 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
Panthers/Bengals 1:00: Both secondaries have thinned out with injuries. Carolina has S Burris (concussion) out and C Donte Jackson laboring with a sprained ankle. Bengals' QB Burrow should bounce back strong today despite the loss of Chase (hip). He still has Boyd, Higgins, TE Hurst and RB Mixon to go to. Bengals' ground game not good but could start cooking today vs the mediocre run-stop-unit of Panthers (23rd). On the other hand, Carolina will stay with P.J. Walker as their QB. And they should! He's in rhythm with receivers and putting points on the board; moreover, RB D'onta Foreman filling the RB void for McCaffrey (SF). He's running the rock hard and opening up the passing game. Bengals' secondary thinning with Awuzie (knee), Flowers (hamstring), Hilton (finger) all laboring. And the run stop unit of Cincy leaves much to be desired (21st). We got about 3 points of value with this total and I'm going "over". |
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12-19-21 | Bengals v. Broncos UNDER 45 | Top | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
Bengals/Broncos 4:05: This series has gone 1-3 O/U in its last 4 meetings. Denver is a team with a middle of the road offense (#20 scoring) with a well-disciplined defense (#2 scoring defense). Consequently, Denver on a 1-6 O/U run. We'll ride that here. Bengals' offensive line has issues which don't allow Burrow and Mixon to do what they're capable of doing. The Bengals' defense, however, capable of holding their own here. Bengals are 1-4 O/U off a SU loss and 5-14-2 O/U as a road dog. Denver is 4-20 O/U when the OU line is 45 or more. "Under" the call. |
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12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | Top | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
Broncos/Chiefs 8:20: Both of these teams turning up the heat defensively. Love how the Broncos held the potent Chargers' offense to 13 points last week. Broncos have the #3 scoring defense in the NFL allowing just 17.8 PPG. Chiefs are actually turning it up defensively holding their last 4 foes to 17, 7, 14 and 9 points, respectively. Broncos have a more conservative ball control offense and will be without RB Melvin Gordon. This series has gone "under" in 3 of the last 4 games. Denver is 3-15 O/U when the 'total' is set at above 45 vs a conference opponent. Broncos are also 4-14 O/U vs the AFC West. Chiefs are coming off a bye week and 3-11-1 O/U in that role. These teams are a combined 14-30 O/U in December. We'll stay "under". |
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10-17-21 | Raiders v. Broncos UNDER 44 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
Raiders/Broncos 4:25: Raiders hot start has fizzled with Gruden's exit. Raiders are producing just 19 PPG and can't generate a run game (78 rush yards per game). Denver's defense in good hands under defensive mastermind Fangio. On the other hand, Denver's offense struggling on 3rd down. And having their top 2 receivers - Jeudy and Hamilton out won't help matters. Raiders play the pass well (#3 in NFL). Heavy "under" trends by Denver, including 6-21-1 O/U after allowing 350 yards through the air, and they're 8-17 O/U at home. Raiders 2-7 O/U as a road dog. This series is historically low scoring at 1-8 O/U and 1-5 O/U in Denver. Fangio determined to avenge last year's season sweep and should deliver. He's 0-5 O/U with revenge vs division. "Under" the call. |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga OVER 159 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
Baylor/Gonzaga 9:20: Gonzaga, the #1 scoring team in the nation (91.6 PPG), has yet to be contained this season. And as good as Baylor's defense is, they will not contain them either; however, Bears are no slouch offensively, dropping 82 PPG (#4 nationally) and sporting the #1 three point shooting % in the nation at a near 43% clip. Baylor surely will not attempt to slow the game down and make it a half court game. Bears and Zags both thrive on turnovers leading to transition and have the personnel to finish at the basket. Timme is a matchup nightmare, and Suggs is big time prime time player along with the other future NBA baller -Kispert. Throw in Ayayi and defensive answers become nearly non-existent. On the other hand, Baylor is equipped with great talent too and they're in great rhythm. Gonzaga may be a step slow after their epic OT clash with UCLA Saturday. Gonzaga a ridiculous 40-18 O/U in their last 58 games. Baylor 14-3 O/U run. It's in the character of these teams to turn it up and with both offenses in great rhythm, we'll stay "over"! |
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11-29-20 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 44.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
49ers/Rams 4:05: October 18th, the 49ers outdueled the Rams 24-16 in San Francisco. Garoppolo was sharp in that game but he won't play today. Nick Mullins will get the nod and surely won't instill fear in the #1 defense (in terms of yards allowed) in the NFL. Rams ball hawking secondary should keep SF offense quiet. On the other hand, SF's DC Saleh has done a great job vs McVay over the last 3 games. And having CB Richard Sherman back in action will surely help the SF secondary containing Woods and Kupp. Heavy "under" trends on SF including 2-5 O/U as a road dog. Rams are on a 1-6 O/U run and 7-19 O/U as a home favorite. Rams look to work methodically down the field with run game, boot and play action off it. SF has the defense to counter effectively. SF offense not explosive enough to gash this year's Rams' defense. "Under" the call. |
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11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 50.5 | Top | 38-3 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
Saints/Bucs 8:20: Thought this total would be set higher considering the trends and personnel. New Orleans has gone 7-0 O/U this season. Bucs are 6-0 O/U as a home favorite. This series has gone 5-1 O/U. The first game was a disappointment for Brady and TB; however, they've found their offensive rhythm since. Brady now connecting with his wealth of riches including Evans, Miller, Jones II, Gronk and Godwin could be available. Moreover, if that's not enough, all time vertical threat Antonio Brown is ready and that's not good news for a New Orleans' secondary that's given up an abundance of explosive plays (7 plays of 48+ yards). And the #1 TB defense looked ordinary Monday night vs the pedestrian Giants' offense, Brees will have his favorite target back - Michael Thomas to add to a solid stable of skill personnel. Both Brees (558) and Brady (559) will be competing for the all time TD mark on prime time TV. Bombs away. Over the call. |
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08-14-20 | Indians v. Tigers UNDER 9 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -118 | 1 h 1 m | Show |
Indians/Tigers 7:10: Indians' bats (30th ranked) not delivering the wins for Cleveland; however, pitching and defense (#1 ranked) is for them. Aaron Civale, who's looking sharp thus far, dominated the Tigers to the tune 3 ER over 20 2/3 IP last season. On the other hand, Ivan Nova for Detroit, has some juice left and should hurl a decent game against the struggling Indians' lineup. Nova sports a 4.24 ERA in 7 starts vs Cleveland. Both teams experiencing heavy "under" trends including this series which has gone "under" in 5 straight and 1-3-1 O/U in Detroit. "Under" it is. |
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08-13-20 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-11 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Padres/Dodgers 9:40: Two pretty good starters take the mound tonight. Paddack sports a 3.18 ERA and did a good job on August 3rd vs Los Angeles allowing 3 runs over 6 innings to capture the win. His counterpart, Julio Urias controls a 2.40 ERA on the year and a 1.76 ERA vs San Diego. Dodgers' bats have cooled off a bit since that early season surge but their defense remains spot on which accounts for heavy "under" trends this season. SD not consistent in scoring but does have a better than normal lineup. Urias and that LA bullpen tough to get runs on especially in this pitchers' park. Series is 1-4 O/U and 2-10 O/U in the last 12 in Los Angeles. "Under" it is. |
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07-31-20 | Indians v. Twins UNDER 9 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
Indians/Twins 8:10: Indians winning games on defense (#2) on a 1-6 O/U run. Clevinger looked sharp in his debut and should fluster the Twins' lineup. He's 2-1 with a 2.39 ERA in his last 4 starts vs Minnesota. He faces a Twins' lineup that's turning in runs but batting .225 as a team. Twins counter with Dobnak who also looked good in his debut. He sports a 2.45 ERA in 3 starts - all last season - vs Cleveland. With this series at an amazing 18-40-2 O/U in its last 60 games, "under" it is. |
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12-15-19 | Dolphins v. Giants OVER 45 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 102 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
Dolphins/Giants 1:00: Offense should be at a discount today in East Rutherford. With a reasonable December forecast in the offing, gunslingers Fitzpatrick and Manning should be airing it out vs vulnerable secondaries. Fitzpatrick will have Parker and Wilson - both cleared - to operate with against a Giants' secondary - now missing CB Jenkins (released) - that's been torched repeatedly. Giants defense ranks in the bottom tier in yards and points allowed. And Eli Manning still has some juice with a healthy Barkley, Golden Tate and newfound weapon Darius Slayton helping him out. Should find plenty of green grass leading to the end zone vs a Dolphins' defense dead last in points allowed. Giants 5-1 O/U after scoring less than 15 points. These teams are a combined 15-5 O/U off a SU loss. "Over" easy. |
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12-04-19 | South Carolina v. Massachusetts UNDER 141 | Top | 84-80 | Loss | -114 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
South Carolina/U Mass 7:00: Both of these teams are offensively challenged to a degree. SC struggles to put up points against winning teams and relies on sound defense, forcing turnovers to manufacture points. Frank Martin doesn't have that gifted go-to scorer. Lawson is the Gamecocks' leading scorer and Kotsar has recently shown promise. The Minutemen rely mostly on G T.J. Weeks to generate points. Both teams guard the 3 point line well at around 27%, yet don't have that pin point accurate 3 point shooter to do any damage in the first place. SC is 2-6 O/U vs the Atlantic 10 and this total is slightly higher than it should be. "Under" the call. |
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09-21-19 | Central Florida v. Pittsburgh UNDER 61 | Top | 34-35 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
UCF/Pittsburgh 3:30: UCF is rolling coming in to Pittsburgh knowing they're undefeated and with the thought of a 45-14 waxing last year of Pitt in Florida. UCF posting 600+ yards a game with freshman QB Gabriel at helm as everything is going their way. But hold everything. Pittsburgh's HC Narduzzi is one of the great defensive minds in college football and very dangerous with revenge; as a matter of fact, 7-1 ATS in revenge mode vs opponent off SU/ATS win. He's also 2-10-1 O/U off a SU loss. And for all the points UCF puts up, they're 2-7 O/U after scoring 40+. Moreover, they're heavily tilted towards "under" because of their strong defense as well. Pitt should play them tough here in a lower scoring game. Big play on "under" and even tread lightly on Pitt (+11). |
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09-16-19 | Browns v. Jets UNDER 45.5 | Top | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
Browns/Jets 8:15: Both defenses respectable and should stall out offenses that are searching for game. Former Browns' DC Gregg Williams who is now the Jets' DC is still bitter in not being retained as Browns' HC and not a fan of current Browns' HC Kitchens who released him. We'll look for Williams to dial up successful schemes to limit the Browns' struggling offense. Browns are 1-9 O/U off a double-digit loss at home. On the other side of the ball, Jets' QB Darnold (mono) is out and replacement is former Denver QB Trevor Siemian who never put up big numbers while in Denver. Gase should take a conservative approach with him. "Under" it is. |
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07-04-19 | Angels v. Rangers UNDER 10.5 | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Angels/Rangers 8:05: Angels' bats came alive the last few games after the death of their teammate Skaggs; however, Lance Lynn may be a bit more difficult to hit on. Lynn sports a commanding 2/25 walk/strikeout ratio over his last few starts and controls a respectable 2.84 ERA in two starts vs the Angels this season. Lynn has a history of strength at home in July (12-2 record). On the other hand, the Angels counter with underrated Griffin Canning who's been a steady addition in the rotation. He gives them 6 decent innings with a good WHIP (.99 on season)! Rangers are struggling to drive in runs now; as a matter of fact, just 3.1 RPG over their last 7. Rangers are 1-7-1 O/U last nine games. This series tilts towards the "under" at 8-21 O/U in the last 29 meetings. Value with "under". |
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05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 212.5 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
05-06-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 221.5 | Top | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 21 h 25 m | Show |
Warriors/Rockets 9:35: Up until Saturday, this series in its last four at Houston averaged roughly 197 combined points. Saturday, buckets were landing with both teams shooting over 40% from the floor and 3 point range. Not only that, these teams stepped up to the charity stripe a combined 55 times. Had it not gone into OT, it would have been a sweat but "over" was the definitive call of the night. Tonight, look for more of what the history of these teams at this location has materialized: lower scoring. 8-20 O/U in Houston! |
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05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 221 | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Warriors/Rockets 8:35: Surprised this total is set this high at this venue. Over the last 4 games in this series at Houston, the combined point output average is 197 with the high end of the range at 210. This series has gone 2-9 O/U in its last 11 and 7-20 O/U in its last 27 played in Houston. Game 2 should have gone "under" 221 with strange sequences developing in final seconds. We'll press the "under" hard here. |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints OVER 51 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -122 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
Eagles/Saints 4:40: On November 18th, the Eagles had no answer for stopping Brees and company. The Eagles pass rush was non-existent as Brees set quickly and fired missiles compiling 363 yards and 4 TD passes to four different receivers (Kamara, Carr, Williams, Smith). Today, Brees has an additional vertical threat who's back in the fray over the last few games - Ted Ginn Jr. Eagles' secondary playing better but still no match at this location. Eagles' offense is gelling behind Nick Foles. Foles should be able to help manufacture points against a sliding Saints' defense that's allowed 28 and 33 points over their last two games, respectively. Eagles are 22-8 O/U as a traveler. Saints are 21-9-1 O/U in their last 31 home tilts and 6-0 O/U at home in the playoffs. This series had recent high numbers and I expected the number to be set around 53 or 54. I'll take the value here and make this a Top Play with Over 51. |
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07-13-18 | Yankees v. Indians OVER 9 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
06-05-18 | Rays v. Nationals UNDER 7 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 1 h 45 m | Show |
Rays/Nationals 7:05: "Under" trends heavy here. These teams are collectively 3-17 O/U in each of their last 10 games. TB is 1-7-1 O/U in its last 9 on the road; meanwhile, Washington is coming off an extended road trip and back at home with one of their most dominant starters in Max Scherzer who is in great form. Washington is 3-13 O/U in its last 16 interleague games including 0-8 O/U at home. TB is struggling to hit the ball now and that struggle should continue tonight. The Rays counter with Nathan Eovaldi who has successfully rehabbed for yet another elbow surgery. He did a nice job at Oakland last Wednesday and capable of throwing six strong innings here before the respectable Rays' bullpen steps in. "Under" the call. |
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04-23-18 | Nationals v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
04-06-18 | Cavs v. 76ers UNDER 224 | Top | 130-132 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
Cavaliers/76ers 7:05: Both teams playing well down the stretch but should run out of gas on the scoring end tonight; after all, Cleveland, which made a dramatic double-digit deficit comeback late last night, is 1-11 O/U in the second of back to back games. Philadelphia, which has won 12 straight, is 2-10 O/U against teams above .500 and 1-5 O/U on Fridays. Despite the loss of Embiid, Philadelphia bench producing on both ends of the floor. This series is 5-16 O/U and 2-8 O/U in Philadelphia. These teams are jockeying for that #3 playoff seeding in the East and should put force a solid defensive effort. Lots of value on "under". |
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04-04-18 | Mariners v. Giants UNDER 8 | Top | 1-10 | Loss | -120 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
Mariners/Giants 7:15: Pitchers' park and two opposing pitchers strong in the roles they're given tonight. Felix Hernandez, still one of MLB's best, is coming off a strong season debut and when he's on, quite simply hard to hit. Such be the case tonight against the light hitting Giants who have driven in a measly 1.15 RPG vs righties thus far. Hernandez sports a 1.86 ERA in 4 outings vs SF and he should go deep into the innings tonight before a solid Mariners bullpen (2.84 ERA) takes over. On the other hand, Johnny Cueto showed good stuff in his season debut and when he's on, he's electric. Cueto sports a 2.89 ERA vs the Mariners and he's shown good stuff in interleague play (2.50 ERA over 21 starts). SF bullpen pretty solid as well with a 3.31 ERA. SF is collectively 6-14 O/U in their last 20 games and 3-7 O/U in their last 10 at AT&T Park. Under the call. |
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02-05-18 | Syracuse v. Louisville OVER 131.5 | Top | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
06-24-17 | Blue Jays v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
Toronto/Kansas City 2:15: Both of these pitchers have done very well in daytime action: Vargas controls a 1.82 ERA in 4 games. Estrada, although beaten like a drum over his last 4 starts, has had quality work in the daytime (3.44 ERA). Estrada is 1-10 O/U vs ALC and 0-4 O/U vs KC. KC is not a big run producer against righties and sports a 5-12-1 O/U against them. Toronto, which struggles against lefties, is 8-20-4 O/U against lefties. Heavy "under" trends on Vargas, and at home he's 2-9 O/U. Value on "under". |
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06-11-17 | Twins v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-13 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
Twins/Giants 4:05: Twins are 8-17-1 O/U on the road vs righty starters and should have quiet bats at this ball park. They'll be facing Matt Cain who they've never faced before. Cain sports a stellar 1.32 ERA in 6 starts at AT&T Park. Minnesota counters with Nik Turley who finally got the call to the big leagues after 10 years in the minors. He sported a 2.05 ERA with an 85/15 strike out/walk ratio. He recorded 15 strike outs in about 6 innings in his last AA start before the call to the big leagues for today's start. He is replacing Hector Santiago who landed on the DL. Turley will probably throw some quality innings against the light hitting Giants who drive in just 3.14 RPG on a .231 BA vs lefties. Giants are 0-4 O/U in interleague play. We'll stay "under" here. |
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06-08-17 | Orioles v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
Orioles/Nationals 7:05: Both of tonight's starters are struggling to find their rhythm and should open the door for a high scoring affair. Alan Asher, a converted reliever, was lit up at Houston in his last road start; of course, Houston has been lighting up a lot of pitchers of late. Nevertheless, Asher doesn't have the duration to go more than six innings at Washington where the Nationals are averaging a healthy 5.62 RPG against righties. The Nationals counter with Joe Ross whom is in danger of losing his starting spot in the rotation. He's been torched for 11 ER over his last 7 IP, including 5 ER on 12 hits in just 4 innings at home to light hitting SD. And the Washington bullpen is near a bloated 5:00 ERA this season. Orioles are 5-0 O/U in their last 5 Interleague matchups against righties. Washington is 6-1 O/U in Interleague matchups against righties. This series has gone 4-1 O/U in its last 5. And Washington is a sweet 17-5 O/U off an extended road trip of 7+ days. We'll go "Over". |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 226 | Top | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 51 h 18 m | Show |
Cleveland/Golden State 9:00: Inflated total based on a few important factors. This series at Golden State has gone 1-8-2 O/U; moreover, looking at the history of those scores reveals an average of about 198 with the only top heavy number of 217 coming in its January 16th matchup. I do realize Cleveland's defense not what it was a year ago and, of course, Durant is added offensive weaponry to what was already a potent Warriors' team; nevertheless, 226 is slightly over-adjusted. The Warriors are 7-20 O/U vs Eastern Conference foes while Cleveland has been slightly on the "over" side against Western Conference foes at 16-14 O/U. But considering the magnitude of this game, the amount of time off for prep, and how important it plays in determining control of the series, I'm going to anticipate better tactical defensive schemes, and maximum defensive effort. History has it that Game 1 of the NBA Finals is 3-9-1 O/U since 2004. We'll stay with that trend Thursday. |
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05-26-17 | Braves v. Giants UNDER 8 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
Braves/Giants 10:15: Braves are knocking in some runs but now go to a predominant pitching park to face home strong pitcher Matt Cain. Cain 3-0 with a 1.19 ERA in 4 starts at AT&T Ball Park. He controls a respectable 3.42 ERA in 8 starts vs Atlanta. And the Giants' bullpen has been solid at home. On the other hand, road poor Jaime Garcia does have success in minimizing runs against SF; after all, he sports a solid 2.88 ERA in 8 career starts vs them. And SF has driven in just under 3 RPG vs lefties this season. With SF 6-15 O/U in their last 21 home games, we'll stay "under" here. |
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05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 209.5 | Top | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
Wizards/Celtics 8:00: Heavy "over" trends in Boston and I'm not jumping off here. Baskets were tempered on Friday as both benches gave little offensive production. Line over-adjusted to the lowest total in years in this series! This series has gone 4-1 O/U at Boston with an average of 227 PPG and a range of 212 to 248 (OT). Both of these teams have their share of defensive liabilities. And each team healthy, well rested (2 days) and equipped with speed and good transition; consequently, a good balance for high scoring in a tightly contested G7. And because of that, I'll look for heavy fouling to put points on the board when the clock is not running. Boston is 6-1 O/U off a SU loss and 4-0 O/U last 4 homeys. Washington 35-16 O/U traveling. Over it is! |
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04-22-17 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 217 | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
Golden State/Portland 10:30: This series has gone 19-7 O/U in the last 27 meetings, including 6-1 O/U in Portland. Tonight, I see more points for Portland as they adjust to ways of creating more offense in their comfortable confines. The last four in this series at Portland produced 228, 257 (OT), 231 and 224, respectively. And surely Durant's absence won't inhibit the explosive Golden State offense against the defenseless Blazers -- ranked 25th in the NBA in defense. We'll look for Lillard and McCollum to get more offensive support on this floor and trade buckets effectively. "Over" the call. |
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04-20-17 | Cavs v. Pacers OVER 211.5 | Top | 119-114 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
Cavs/Pacers 7:00: The Cavaliers have continually stressed improving defensive assignments but fall short. Cavs on an 8-2 O/U run and no defensive improvement in sight. They're also 19-7-1 O/U after allowing 100+. The Pacers are in a nice offensive rhythm averaging 111 PPG over their last 10 games. And I don't believe the Pacers' defense has the wherewithal to stop Cleveland's big three. This series is 4-1 O/U in its last 5 and still see value with the "over" here. |
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04-15-17 | Pacers v. Cavs OVER 209 | Top | 108-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
03-24-17 | UCLA v. Kentucky UNDER 165.5 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show |
12-25-16 | Broncos v. Chiefs OVER 37 | Top | 10-33 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Broncos/Chiefs 8:30: Most are pounding the "under" tonight based on the series history and the defensive prowess of these teams; however, at a closer glance, these teams at Arrowhead combined for 63 (2013), 45 (2014) and 55 points last season. Furthermore, 45-21-3 O/U off a SU loss and 7-3 O/U off a double digit SU loss. And this is the lowest total set at Arrowhead all season. The weather is a non factor with unseasonably warm temperatures, light winds and no precipitation projected. KC is an amazing 10-2 O/U at home when the O/U line is less than 40. With key defensive injuries on both sides of ball, we'll look for a prime time surplus in scoring. |
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06-01-16 | Rays v. Royals OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 111 | 5 h 16 m | Show |