01-09-17 |
Clemson +7 v. Alabama |
Top |
35-31 |
Win
|
100 |
107 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
12-30-16 |
Florida State v. Michigan -7 |
Top |
33-32 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
12-17-16 |
Arkansas State v. Central Florida -6 |
Top |
31-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 24 m |
Show
|
Arkansas State/Central Florida: Not sold on Arkansas State's 7-1 run down the stretch in which was attained against mediocre Sun Belt Conference foes. When the Red Wolves have gone outside of conference, they flopped at 0-6 ATS. On the other hand, UCF, which went winless last season, did well this season under Scott Frost. The former Nebraska QB brought to the Knights' veteran offensive personnel a playbook out of Chip Kelly's offense. Frost served as Kelly's OC in the Mariotta and Vernon Adams years. The Knights have responded well going 8-4 ATS and posses a strong defensive unit with a ball hawking secondary. UCF turned in some strong road wins including an outright at Houston! And with this game practically in UCF's backyard in Orlando, we'll ride the Knights here.
|
10-29-16 |
Nebraska v. Wisconsin -9 |
Top |
17-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-16 |
Ole Miss +7.5 v. LSU |
Top |
21-38 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
10-15-16 |
Wake Forest +23 v. Florida State |
Top |
6-17 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-16 |
Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette +10 |
Top |
24-0 |
Loss |
-106 |
35 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
10-08-16 |
Colorado +6 v. USC |
Top |
17-21 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
10-01-16 |
Ohio v. Miami (OH) +3 |
Top |
17-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 40 m |
Show
|
Ohio U/Miami OH: The Redhawks have been competitive the last two years under Martin and have solid mid-major talent with experience. They've faced a tough schedule this season and despite 0-4 SU are 3-1 ATS. The 'Hawk talent is poised to break out here in triple revenge mode. Dog is 3-1-1 ATS in series and MOU is 6-1-1 ATS off SU loss. Ohio U in trouble spot at 1-8 as as fav after scoring 35+. Miami OH gets first win.
|
09-24-16 |
LSU v. Auburn +3.5 |
Top |
13-18 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
09-17-16 |
Florida Atlantic v. Kansas State -25.5 |
Top |
7-63 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
09-03-16 |
USC v. Alabama -12 |
Top |
6-52 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
01-11-16 |
Alabama -6.5 v. Clemson |
Top |
45-40 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 17 m |
Show
|
Alabama/Clemson 8:30: Tried to build a case for going with #1 Clemson as the near TD favorite; after all, they've covered 4 of their last 5 in the dog role including winning four straight bowl games -- all as a dog. And then there is QB Watson who has given fits to opposing defenses all season; furthermore, there that formidable defense that stalled out a very potent Oklahoma offense; however Alabama is a whole different animal and they got a chip still on their shoulder from losing last year's semi-final to Ohio State. Worth note that Alabama took on the 5th strongest schedule and went a strong 7-3 ATS whereas Clemson took on the 47th strongest and went a mediocre 5-5 ATS. Alabama's defense has adapted to no-huddle offenses with great depth -- especially on their defensive line. Don't believe Clemson's offensive line can put a dent in it and they can rush the passer and corral the elusive Watson. On the other hand, Alabama's QB Coker gained confidence against Michigan State after Heisman RB Henry was held in check early. Despite Clemson having a ball hawking secondary including a great safety, Alabama's Ridley is the long ball threat that OC Kiffin can put in a position to succeed in play action. Bottom line, Alabama's line on both sides of the ball is better and should control the line of scrimmage and cover the number. Alabama should go to 5-0 ATS vs the ACC.
|
01-02-16 |
Penn State +6.5 v. Georgia |
Top |
17-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
Penn State/Georgia Noon: Not a fan of bowl teams in transition. Georgia will have the interim HC tag on McClendon until after this game when Alabama's DC Smart takes over. Georgia had trouble running their offense for most of the season under OC Schottenheimer who stepped down. Penn State brings a formidable defense to the field and capable of limiting the pedestrian Bulldogs' attack. On the other hand, I like the change for Penn State. HC Franklin fired his OC and assumes the OC role in which he feels comfortable in. He has an underachieving QB Hackenberg (53%) who needs a monster game to have any chance of getting NFL drafted this year. We'll look for him to rise to the occasion and ride RB Barkley who pounded the rock for 6.4 YPC this season. Scoring should be at a premium today with two pedestrian offenses with stingy defenses. We'll look for the more stable team in Penn State to grind out a close one.
|
01-01-16 |
Ole Miss v. Oklahoma State +8 |
Top |
48-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 34 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma State/Mississippi 8:30: Ole Miss eager to atone for their bowl flop last year against TCU. And there is no question the Rebels are improved from a year ago with wins at Alabama and Mississippi State; however, disturbing losses at Memphis, blown out at Florida and underachieving at home against Arkansas give us hope in Oklahoma State covering here. If you can score points, you have a chance against Ole Miss and the Cowboys can score. Oklahoma State's QB Rudolph (foot) is good to go and he has a strong supporting cast of skill players and a stable O-Line. And the Rebels will not have NFL bound Nkemdiche to harass the Cowboys' ball carriers, which is a big loss. On the other hand, the Ole Miss offense is surely not intimidated by the yielding Cowboys' defense; however, Okie State has a ball hawking secondary in an opportunistic defense which forced 27 turnovers; moreover, they can rush the passer -- averaging 3.17 sacks per game which is 4th in the nation. Rebels' HC Freeze is just 1-3 ATS against the Big 12, and when giving more than 7.5 points this season, he's come up empty at 0-3 ATS. Cowboys the call.
|
12-31-15 |
Michigan State v. Alabama -10 |
Top |
0-38 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
12-28-15 |
Pittsburgh +3 v. Navy |
Top |
28-44 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh/Navy 2:30: Navy's triple option is as potent as it has ever been in its history with Keenan Reynolds at the helm; however, Pittsburgh's veteran defensive minded HC Narduzzi has his solid defense well disciplined to play assignment football over the extended time off. We'll look for the Panthers to stall them out. On the other hand, Pittsburgh's offensive skill trio of QB Peterson, RB Ollison and WR Boyd should be too much for the Navy defense to contain. Panthers strong December football at 6-0 ATS and 23-10-1 off SU loss. Pitt the call.
|
12-26-15 |
Miami (Fla) v. Washington State -2.5 |
Top |
14-20 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
12-05-15 |
North Carolina +5 v. Clemson |
Top |
37-45 |
Loss |
-105 |
54 h 34 m |
Show
|
North Carolina/Clemson 8:00: Clemson surely deserving of their ranking among BCS heavyweights; however, there are flaws to their system and NC is playing well enough now to exploit it. DC Chizik has made a difference in the Tar Heels' defense this year despite the yielding of much yardage. NC is 10th nationally in turnover-margin with a +11 differential. And Clemson, which is -3 differential has put the ball on the carpet or in opposition hands too often for championship caliber football. The Tigers are on an 0-4 ATS slide and showing signs of sloppiness. NC is seeking revenge from last year's 50-35 beat-down and this year bring a more mature and polished group into Clemson. We'll take the points and look for the upset.
|
11-28-15 |
Duke -3 v. Wake Forest |
Top |
27-21 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
Duke/Wake Forest 12:30: Tough matchup for WF, which can't get it together on the offensive end, which makes it difficult for their respectable defense. They've gone 0-4 ATS in this series and face a bowl eligible Duke team trying to get their mojo back. Duke, after enduring a disastrous final play referee debacle against Miami U on Oct 31st, has spiraled downhill unable to recover; Cutcliffe dismissed players and tough times ensued; however, they showed promise last week with a great come from behind effort at Virginia. We'll look for a follow up good showing against a beatable WF team. Duke is a sweet 9-1 ATS on the road against a team with a losing home record. Duke's defense remains solid and we'll look for a more polished offensive performance from the Blue Devils here.
|
11-21-15 |
Louisville +1 v. Pittsburgh |
Top |
34-45 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
11-14-15 |
Washington State +10 v. UCLA |
Top |
31-27 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
11-07-15 |
Florida State +10.5 v. Clemson |
Top |
13-23 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 54 m |
Show
|
Florida State/Clemson 3:30: Florida State has beaten Clemson 4 of the last 5 years under Fisher and we'll take the points here. The Seminoles get back RB Cook (ankle) and QB Golson (back) and that will help significantly fuel their dynamic offense. And remember, last year's back up QB McQuire, who filled in admirably for Golson last week, threw for 304 yards against Clemson filling in for suspended Winston. The Florida State offensive system continues to roll. Moreover, FS has the 14th ranked scoring defense and capable of limiting Watson and company. Florida State has never been a double digit dog in the Fisher era and the Seminoles aren't worthy of it here. Road team 4-1 ATS in this series. Clemson 1-4 ATS in their last 5 November tilts. Florida State the call.
|
10-31-15 |
Georgia v. Florida -2 |
Top |
3-27 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 15 m |
Show
|
Georgia/Florida 3:30: Gators are 5-2 ATS in this series and I'm staying on them here. Both teams enter this game off a bye-week. Florida sports a 9-2 ATS mark off extended rest while the Bulldogs are a money burning 1-9 ATS following a bye. Georgia's OC Schottenheimer is as predictable as he was in the NFL and it should be evident here. Florida's run defense is 21st nationally and should slow down RB Michel; moreover, the inconsistency at QB for Georgia should be the difference. QB Greyson Lambert, who had a respectable game vs Missouri despite no touchdown passes, struggled in his first two starts against the class of the SEC. We'll look for him to struggle once again in a big game with much on the line. On the other hand, Florida's Treon Harris should rise to the occasion; after all, he did well in his first career start last season against Georgia in leading the 38-20 victory. Gators are 4-1 ATS off a loss and should deliver.
|
10-17-15 |
West Virginia v. Baylor -20 |
Top |
38-62 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
WV/Baylor 12:00: The Bears sport the nation's top offense with QB Seth Russell already throwing 22 TD passes and should be able to frequent the end zone today. It isn't because the WV defense is bad -- actually pretty good -- but the Mounties have turned the ball over 9 times in the last two games alone. Baylor has an aggressive defense and they should be able to put WV in compromising field position. And Baylor has extra incentive from last year's 41-27 October loss which ultimately sealed their fate of making the BCS Playoffs. WV is a mere 2-9 ATS in October and 1-4 ATS off a SU loss. Baylor a sweet 25-6 ATS at home and should deliver.
|
10-16-15 |
Boise State v. Utah State +9.5 |
Top |
26-52 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
10-10-15 |
Duke -12.5 v. Army |
Top |
44-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 0 m |
Show
|
Duke/Army 12:00: Duke defense is disciplined in playing option football as exhibited against arguably the best option team in the nation -- Georgia Tech. Duke defense allows a solid 3.9 yards per play and it will be difficult for Army's triple-option to dent it. Army has played pretty good football thus far but should wear down over the course of this game against the Blue Devils. Duke is 7-1 ATS against less than .500 opponents and a sweet 17-5 ATS in October. Moreover, they're 4-0 ATS on the road vs a less than .500 team at home. Army is just 3-7 ATS in October and we'll jump on Duke here.
|
10-03-15 |
Hawaii v. Boise State -25 |
Top |
0-55 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 18 m |
Show
|
Hawaii/Boise State 10:15: Going to be difficult for Hawaii to go into this dominant venue and cover. Hawaii a mere 1-7 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games. We'll jump on Boise which boasts a much more potent offense and a much stingier defense. Hawaii usually struggles in October at 2-10 ATS. And with the favorite in this series at 4-1 ATS, we'll side with the much better program -- Boise.
|
10-03-15 |
Alabama +1.5 v. Georgia |
Top |
38-10 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
Alabama/Georgia 3:30: 'Tide hasn't been a dog since 2009 when they where getting 5 points in the SEC Playoffs against Florida. They proceeded to smother the Gators 32-13. This season, Alabama has already taken on two Top 25 teams whereas Georgia has not; however, Alabama still has better defensive numbers and that speaks volumes. Georgia has a strong run game behind RB Chubb but a Brian Schottenheimer can be predictable and I do believe the 'Tide will force QB Lambert, who has been sensational but against sketchy defenses, into mistakes. On the other hand, Alabama's offense is productive behind QB Jake Coker and he has solid support in the run game. 'Tide usually rolls in October at 12-4 ATS. Georgia has been stagnant in this spot at 6-13-1 ATS off a SU win and 6-14 ATS at home against a road team .500 or greater. And with the Bulldogs at 0-6-1 ATS in their 3rd straight home game, we'll sit on Alabama here.
|
09-19-15 |
Stanford +10 v. USC |
Top |
41-31 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 55 m |
Show
|
Stanford/USC 8:00: Stanford has been very competitive in this series at 3-1-1 ATS and has the revenge motive going after last year's 13-10 home loss. Stanford remains a top 20 defense and has the wherewithal to limit the Trojans' offensive attack which faced two lightweight defenses in Arkansas State and Idaho. On the other hand, Stanford's offense is of concern. They do not have the bruising and feared run game of a few years ago; as a matter of fact, there has been a gradual deterioration of that and 3.2 yards per carry is not going to cut it. But QB Hogan has emerged as a pretty good leader and the upperclassman has an experienced front line to ward off the aggressive USC defense. The Cardinal has covered 7 of their last 10 road games, 9-1 ATS before Oregon State and 17-8 in September football. USC is 1-4 ATS off a win of 20 or more points. We'll back the Cardinal.
|
09-12-15 |
Minnesota -4.5 v. Colorado State |
Top |
23-20 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
09-05-15 |
UNLV v. Northern Illinois -21.5 |
Top |
30-38 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
01-12-15 |
Ohio State +7 v. Oregon |
Top |
42-20 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 37 m |
Show
|
OSU/Oregon 8:30: Competitive matchup and will take the points here. Sure, Mariota is a great QB and has a strong supporting cast. But Oregon does have a few suspensions to key skill personnel that will hurt an offense that goes at break neck pace. The Buckeyes' defense shows big play ability and although yielding, rises to the occasion when needed. Offensively, the Buckeyes are explosive as well, and surely don't fall off much with QB Jones. He has a super supporting cast with big game/big play RB Elliot and receiver Smith. The Buckeyes are capable of trading points in this one and always well prepared under HC Meyer. We'll take the TD as the Buckeyes should go 8-3 ATS on a neutral field.
|
01-01-15 |
Ohio State +10 v. Alabama |
Top |
42-35 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
01-01-15 |
Michigan State v. Baylor -2.5 |
Top |
42-41 |
Loss |
-109 |
14 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
12-31-14 |
Georgia Tech +6 v. Mississippi State |
Top |
49-34 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
Miss State/Georgia Tech 8:00: GT getting no respect here, even after going on a nice run down the stretch knocking off two of three nationally ranked teams and almost upsetting incumbent national champ Florida State. Sure, Miss State turned in a strong season and deserves to be a slight favorite here; however, the Bulldogs underachieved down the stretch on a 2-4 ATS slide. And the Alabama loss wasn't nearly as competitive as the final score indicated. Dak Prescott didn't shine when he needed most and although he is a prime time player, he has his flaws reading defenses. GT has a sound defensive secondary and plays the run well. Offensively, GT's triple option is run like a well oiled machine and very hard to simulate going against that speed and precision in practice despite the extended layoff. And Miss State DC Collins was publicly insulted by HC Mullen after the Egg Bowl loss; consequently, Collins is off to Florida after this one. His mindset is surely affected and that trickles down to the players. I'm grabbing the points here with a dangerous and undervalued Yellow Jackets.
|
12-27-14 |
Nebraska v. USC -7 |
Top |
42-45 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
12-26-14 |
North Carolina State v. Central Florida -2.5 |
Top |
34-27 |
Loss |
-111 |
19 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
12-06-14 |
Florida State v. Georgia Tech +4 |
Top |
37-35 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
12-06-14 |
Temple -2.5 v. Tulane |
Top |
10-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
11-27-14 |
LSU -3 v. Texas A&M |
Top |
23-17 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
11-22-14 |
USC +4.5 v. UCLA |
Top |
20-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
43 h 25 m |
Show
|
USC/UCLA 8:00: Like the discipline of USC under HC Sarkisian as opposed to UCLA under Mora Jr. As statistics show, the Trojans take better care of the football, more opportunistic defensively (+9 turnover margin), better defensively in total defense and scoring defense, less penalties, and better special teams; consequently, USC is 6-4 ATS whereas the Bruins are an underachieving 3-7 ATS. Sure, Hundley is a very good QB and a playmaker but the Trojans are more well rounded in their talent. USC lost three close games and could easily be 9-1 SU going into this one with a few breaks going their way. The Trojans are seeking double revenge including the 35-14 loss at home last season. UCLA in a spot they're not comfortable in with a 1-7 ATS mark at home vs an opponent with revenge. USC the call!
|
11-20-14 |
Kansas State +2.5 v. West Virginia |
Top |
26-20 |
Win
|
105 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
Kansas State/West Virginia 7:00: West Virginia has shown improvement defensively under DC Tony Gibson; however, the Mounties couldn't get any worse after Holgorsen fired the previous three in four years. Gibson's defense is getting gutted on the ground to the tune of 181 yards per game but the Mounties have been fortunate to narrowly escape with wins this season on account of offensive efficiency -- a commonality in HC Holgorsen's game. Tonight, I don't think WV will be so fortunate. The Mounties, off back-to-back losses, did have an extra week to rest and sharpen some areas of weakness; however, history has it that WV has not been able to show results following a bye with a money burning 0-7 ATS mark in that department. On the other hand, the well disciplined Wildcats have shown success of bye weeks under Snyder with an impressive 6-0 ATS mark. Furthermore, K State is a sweet 15-3 ATS off a SU loss and 22-7 ATS off a SU loss of 20+. Sure, WV is looking to avenge last year's 35-12 loss in Manhattan but the Mounties are a mere 3-13 ATS at home vs an opponent off a double-digit SU loss. And with ranked K State getting points, I'll gladly jump on the Wildcats who sport an impressive 5-0 ATS mark as a dog of less than 7 points off a double-digit loss. And yes, the 'Cats can play on the road with a 15-5-1 ATS mark as a traveler against teams with winning records at home. K State the call.
|
11-15-14 |
Mississippi State +10 v. Alabama |
Top |
20-25 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 0 m |
Show
|
Miss State/Alabama 3:30: The Crimson Tide has bullied Miss State for some time, especially in Tuscaloosa where they last lost in 2006; however, the Bulldogs offense has gelled this season with QB Prescott having a Heisman season. He has a very good offensive line and supporting skill player RB Robinson. I realize the 'Tide defense is #1 in the nation but they're going to be challenged today. Alabama is coming off a bruising OT battle with LSU while Miss State rolled in a scrimmage-like game vs Tenn Martin. Alabama's offense is starting to roll up rushing yards but not the formidable O of a few seasons ago. We'll look for Miss State to hang tough here.
|
11-08-14 |
Ohio State +4 v. Michigan State |
Top |
49-37 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
|