Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-01-21 | Pelicans v. Wolves +3.5 | 140-136 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
Pelicans/Wolves 8:10: New Orleans working for that Play-In game while Minnesota merely playing for pride. Thursday night, the Pelicans battled back from a double-deficit to finish off a depleted OKC team; meanwhile, T-Wolves decided they weren't going to fold to bolster their lottery leverage and dispatched the Warriors. T-Wolves on a 4-0 run and playing their best stretch of basketball. Russell, Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns clicking together; moreover, now Rubio is stepping up his game with 26 on Thursday. Don't like the inconsistency of the Pelicans. Talented but can't count on NBA vagabond Van Gundy to pull his team together in crunch time. Pelicans 2-5 ATS off a SU win and 3-10 ATS in this series. And remember, Karl-Anthony Towns and Russell did not play back in January when the Wolves won. And the Wolves followed that up on March 11th in a 135-105 throttling to end their nine game losing streak. We'll take the points again with the resurging Wolves. |
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04-30-21 | Bucks -1 v. Bulls | 108-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Bucks/Bulls 9:10: Bucks lost Giannis (ankle) last night early and it surely disrupted their play in Houston. Tonight, we'll look for them to battle back. Bucks have more than enough talent surrounding Holiday and Middleton to carry them here vs Lavine -less Bulls. Tread lightly however, Bucks not a great team unrested; however, they do play well in Chicago (8-0 ATS). |
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04-30-21 | Spurs +4.5 v. Celtics | 140-143 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Spurs/Celtics 7:40: Boston cooling off a bit after a hot run. The Celtics are on a 1-3 ATS slide and will be without two key players - Walker (oblique) and energy guy on both ends of the floor - Smart (suspension). Spurs desperate to hang on to Play-In positioning. Spurs are coming off a loss to Miami and control a 4-1 ATS mark off a SU loss and 15-5-1 ATS as a road dog. Sure, White is out but Spurs have good depth at point with Murray and Mills. And surely DeRozan can run the show. Spurs the call. |
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04-29-21 | Bucks -12.5 v. Rockets | 136-143 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
Bucks/Rockets 8:10: Bucks bolstering their defensive presence with the addition of P.J. Tucker. Most of the Bucks' playoff roster set and they're still capable of grabbing that #1 seed with a strong finish and some falling off from Brooklyn and Philadelphia. As for Houston, they're playing out the season with a makeshift lineup. Bucks 5-1 ATS vs team under .400. We'll look for the the #1 offense in the NBA to roll tonight. |
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04-28-21 | Spurs +5 v. Heat | 111-116 | Push | 0 | 19 h 6 m | Show | |
Spurs/Heat 8:10: Heat dealing with some injuries and continuing inconsistent play, are welcoming revenge minded Spurs to Miami tonight. Spurs got blown out by Miami April 21st only to follow it up with a 3 game win streak. Popovich has them playing well and finishing. We'll take the points with the playoff minded Spurs. |
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04-28-21 | Lakers v. Wizards +3 | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 19 h 0 m | Show | |
Lakers/Wizards 7:40: Now that A.D. is back in the fray and LeBron days away from making his appearance again, pundits believe all is well in La La Land. Not buying it yet and value with the Wizards here. Wizards coming off a tough overtime loss Monday in their 2nd night of a back to back vs a surging Spurs team. They should bounce back here. Wizards defense, which allows 118.2 PPG during the regular season, whittled that number down to 110.9 during their win streak. Spurs ran them wild in that OT loss. We'll look for the Wizards legs to recover tonight. They're 9-1 ATS on 1 day of rest; moreover, back on February 15th, Washington came back from a 17 point deficit to whip Lakers (LeBron James present) 123-112. Lakers lost a pair of game to Dallas with Anthony Davis back with limited minutes and came back to win vs lightweight Orlando Monday. Lakers still not in great rhythm as major sparkplug Schroder (probable) battling a sprained ankle. We'll look for Westbrook and Beal to go off tonight. |
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04-28-21 | Bulls v. Knicks -5 | 94-113 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
Bulls/Knicks 7:40: Knicks let a double-digit lead elapse vs Phoenix on Monday. It was their first loss in 10 games. Randle finally went cold and the Knicks ran out of gas late. Nevertheless, we'll look for NY to bounce back strong here. HC Thibodeaux and former MVP Rose, two former Bulls, want to stick it to their old club. Bulls just 2-8 ATS at MSG. Knicks 12-3 ATS off a SU loss and a strong 20-6 ATS vs teams under .500. NY the call. |
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04-26-21 | Suns v. Knicks +2 | 118-110 | Loss | -114 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
Suns/Knicks 7:40: Knicks are the hottest team in the NBA with 12 straight covers and 9 consecutive SU wins. We'll grab a bucket here with them at MSG. Randle has been consistently hot and his supporting cast is one of the reasons. When Derrick Rose is on the floor, Knicks are running a smooth offense. Thibodeaux may consider increasing his minutes in place of struggling Payton. Bullock, Barrett continue to be great in supporting roles. Suns appear to be running out of gas - as exhibited yesterday at Brooklyn. Suns miss Crowder's high energy. He's still questionable with a bad ankle. Suns just 1-4 ATS unrested and we'll stay on red hot Knicks. |
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04-25-21 | Suns +1.5 v. Nets | 119-128 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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04-24-21 | Spurs +2.5 v. Pelicans | 110-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
Spurs/Pelicans 8:10: Spurs are in a position to claim one of the final two Western Conference Playoff-Play-In games and I believe they'll be at full throttle tonight and deliver. Spurs were shorthanded Thursday with DeRozan (bruised quad), Murray and Mills getting rest in their second of back-to-backs. Spurs rallied and cruised by the Pistons. Gay (back issues) should be good to go tonight. Stakes are high tonight if a tie-breaker comes into play as the regular season wraps. Each team won a game on its home court this season. New Orleans coming off a blowout over lightweight Orlando; however, look for veteran championship winning Popovich to outcoach NBA retread Van Gundy. Pelicans still have major defensive lapses during critical moments of meaningful games. Pelicans need this game more than San Antonio but won't get it. Spurs have covered 4 straight in this series and I'm looking for them to cover a fifth tonight. |
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04-23-21 | Grizzlies +3.5 v. Blazers | 130-128 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show | |
Grizzlies/Blazers 10:10: Grizzlies still in the playoff hunt and getting back Jaren Jackson Jr. will help. Jackson did well in his first game of the season earlier this week and we'll bet he helps Morant and company work the Blazers. Portland is reeling down the stretch on a 1-5 SU slide and even with Lillard back, Blazers' HC Stott finds ways of losing the close ones. Grizzlies a dangerous road team having covered 9 of their last 12 road tilts (losing one cover in MSG in OT). Memphis is a sweet 4-0 ATS off a SU loss of more than 10 points. We'll look for Grizzlies to take it to the wire here. |
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04-22-21 | Suns -1 v. Celtics | 86-99 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Suns/Celtics 7:10: Going to stay on Suns which are unrested yet rolling with momentum off big relief win at Philadelphia last night. Suns are healthy and well in to contention for NBA Western Conference #1 seed. This line opened with Suns a 6' to 7 point favorite on news of uncertainty of Boston's Tatum and Walker; however, dwindled down to -1 now that both are listed as "available". Nevertheless, Celtics won't have big man Williams III to keep Ayton off the glass, nor will they have Jaylen Brown (shoulder) who contributes 24.5 PPG. I will remain cautious because Suns have taken their foot off the throttle before against a banged up or inferior team - San Antonio April 17th blowout loss comes to mind; however, Suns know what's at stake and want that #1 seed, control a 10-2-1 ATS road run, 4-0 ATS at Boston, and 10-4 ATS unrested. And they get to rest a few days after this with Brooklyn on deck Sunday. Phoenix the call. |
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04-21-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -1.5 | 127-137 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
Hawks/Knicks 8:10: Knicks with 7 straight wins, 10 straight covers. NY took out Atlanta back on February 15th 123-112. Randle went off for 44 points in that one. He and the Knicks are still cooking with gas. Knicks still boast #1 defense in the NBA, making key stops down the stretch and hitting clutch shots. Atlanta playing a great stretch of basketball themselves. Ever since McMillan took over running the team, Atlanta has been rolling. Both teams playing unrested but like the Knicks depth and how Thibodeaux uses his bench. Knicks 5-0 ATS unrested and 5-0-1 ATS in series. Roll with the Knicks. |
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04-20-21 | Wolves v. Kings -3 | 134-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Wolves/Kings 10:10: Kings showed there is a glimmer of hope remaining for a potential Playoff-Play-In after dispatching the Mavericks Sunday. They need a serious winning run to go on and lightweight Minnesota is surely a winnable game. T-Wolves aren't seeing the playoffs and playing into revenge here. They got the best of Sacramento April 5th and the Kings should be ready tonight. Whiteside is back in the fray to add the needed depth while Barnes, Davis, Wright adding solid scoring. T-Wolves' defensive lapses are notable and should allow the Kings to deliver down the stretch. Home team 6-2 ATS in this series and we'll roll with Sacramento. |
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04-19-21 | Suns +3 v. Bucks | 128-127 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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04-18-21 | Kings +9 v. Mavs | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Kings/Mavericks 7:40: Dallas most likely due for Playoff-Play-In while Sacramento on the verge of elimination from post season play altogether; as a matter of fact, Kings need to go on a 14-2 SU run to reach .500. Sacramento has lost 9 straight games yet showed promise at Phoenix in 122-114 (+12'). Dallas, on the other hand, is on an 0-4 ATS slide. Mavericks allow teams back in games on account of consistent defensive lapses; consequently, they're a money burning 5-11 ATS home favorite. Kings, 5-1 ATS in Dallas, have some scorers (Fox, Hield, Barnes) who can keep them in this one. Take the points. |
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04-17-21 | Jazz v. Lakers +8 | 115-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
Jazz/Lakers 4:40: Jazz' superstar Donovan Mitchell left last night's game with a sprained ankle. I doubt he'll be a go here. Should give the Lakers an opportunity to be competitive here. Lakers got blown out by the Jazz back on February 24th -114-89. A.D. was out that game. Lakers are holding the fort down till him and Lebron James are back. Drummond, should be a go Saturday, gives the Lakers a low post threat to help with Gobert. Lakers have alternated wins and losses over last 10 games. They're coming off a loss to the Celtics Thursday and need to improve seeding as the season winds down. Jazz 1-5 ATS in Los Angeles and may be slightly out of rhythm unrested here without their top gun (Mitchell). We'll grab the points here. |
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04-16-21 | Knicks +5 v. Mavs | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Knicks/Mavericks 9:40: Knicks on a roll (7-0 ATS run) and we're staying on them here. Randle is getting great support from his surrounding cast as someone - Burks, Rose, Barrett - is consistently stepping up off the bench or in the supporting role. Thibodeaux has his men playing great defense (#1 in NBA) and they're hitting shots. Dallas coming off an amazing last second win at Memphis as basketball magician Doncic sank an off balance 3 pointer at the buzzer. We'll look for them to be over-celebrated here. Knicks hungry and 6-1 ATS in Dallas. New York the call. |
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04-16-21 | Pelicans v. Wizards +2 | 115-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
Pelicans/Wizards 7:10: Pelicans looked sluggish against NY on Wednesday and we'll look for a carry over effect tonight vs the heating up Wizards. Pelicans' perimeter game sluggish as their top perimeter guns are out. And they're not defending the perimeter too well either. That doesn't bode well against the electric backcourt of Washington. Beal and Westbrook playing a great stretch of ball leading a well synchronized attack. Brooks has the Wizards looking at closing in on the Playoff Play-In and need a win here. Wizards are streaky at 5-0 ATS off a 10+ point win and 5-0 ATS on 1 day rest. They're also looking to avenge earlier season 124-106 loss at New Orleans. They got them in The Verizon Center tonight. Home team in this series is 6-1 ATS. Washington the call. |
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04-15-21 | Kings v. Suns -12 | 114-122 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Kings/Suns 10:10: Going to be tough for struggling Kings to trade buckets with the red hot Suns. Kings are in the bottom tier of the NBA - defensively - allowing nearly 119 PPG. They're on an 8 game losing streak (1-7 ATS) after another disappointment last night vs Washington. They're a money burning 8-23 ATS off a SU loss and going nowhere fast. Suns, in a top playoff seed hunt, have it together and healthy. Booker, Paul and Ayton just too much for the Kings. |
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04-15-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +4.5 | 120-109 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Bucks/Hawks 7:40: Hawks are playing great ever since McMillan stepped in as interim coach following the Pierce firing. Hawks are on a 16-5 SU run and into playoff talk. Hawks had to play without leading scorer - Trae Young (calf) the last few games; however, it was a seamless transition as Goodwin filled in nicely scoring 17 and 18 points, respectively. Bogdanovic has been great and Capela has been great defensively. Hawks got the swagger and, fortunately, the bench is producing. I think it will hold up here. Bucks will not have Giannis (knee) again. Bucks got by lightweights Orlando and then Minnesota last night to keep it rolling. Middleton and Holiday are keeping it together there; however, McMillan has Atlanta playing defense and it won't be easy for the Bucks like last night's blowout. We'll take the points. |
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04-14-21 | Knicks +3 v. Pelicans | 116-106 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
Pelicans/Knicks 8:10: Pelicans playing a pretty good stretch. Williamson and Ingram are a dangerous duo but depth a bit thin. Don't like the fact they were up 23 at halftime on lightweight Sacramento only to have the Kings battle within 4 late. 8 games this month starting to have an effect on them. Knicks are a bit deeper and playing a really good stretch (6-0 ATS run). Pelicans, whoever, are inconsistent (1-4 ATS off an ATS win) and 0-5 ATS on Wednesdays. Knicks have covered 7 of their last 8 road tilts. They're 8-3 ATS in New Orleans. Thibodeau has the Knicks playing great defense (#1 in NBA) and will find a way to slow Zion down and outcoach Van Gundy. Take the points. |
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04-13-21 | Celtics +1.5 v. Blazers | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
Celtics/Portland 10:10: Celtics picking up their game at the right time. They're on a 5-1 SU run capped by a strong comeback Sunday in Denver. Boston pulled another late comeback win battling back from 14 down to finish on a 40-8 run in a 105-87 whitewash. Tatum has been on fire and he's getting good support from a healthy and confident supporting cast. Portland, on the other hand, on a 2-4 SU slide. Lillard is struggling and they're not playing well against winning opponents as they're 0-6 ATS mark vs teams above .500 attests to that. Boston has had success in Portland winning 3 of the last 4 there. Boston the call. |
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04-12-21 | Lakers v. Knicks -3 | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
Lakers/Knicks 7:40: Give credit to the Lakers, which ambushed the Nets Saturday. Drummond is turning out to be a huge pickup for them. However, Nets were not at full capacity with both Durant and Irving on limited minutes. And Lakers have not won back to back games SU since the 26th and 28th of March. Knicks playing a good stretch of hoops now - 5-0 ATS run as Randle and Barrett are working it. Knicks are MONEY as a favorite at 20-8 ATS. They're also 4-0 ATS unrested and covered 8 of last 8 as home chalk. Lakers have had trouble in NY 2-7 ATS and not good on Mondays (2-5 ATS). I don't believe the Lakers will sneak up on the Knicks tonight. |
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04-11-21 | Spurs +6 v. Mavs | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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04-10-21 | Rockets v. Warriors -9 | 109-125 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
Rockets/Warriors 10:10: Both teams coming off losing efforts yesterday. Warriors at some point are going to have to step up their level of play - particularly on the defensive end - if they want to make the post-season. They currently sit outside on the fringe in qualifying for a playoff spot and need to blow out makeshift, limited talent teams like Houston. Warriors are relatively healthy with Curry, Green, Wiggins - are you kidding me? - underachieving. Warriors do deliver vs teams under .400 on the road playing at Golden State at 8-2 ATS. With a major talent and coaching disparity, look for Golden State to blow this one open. |
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04-08-21 | Suns v. Clippers -6 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Suns/Clippers 10:10: I was on the Suns (+2) last night and they delivered in OT. Tonight, I'm fading them off that emotional win. Clippers are coming on strong (2-0 SU/ATS) after an expected slip up vs Denver. Leonard and George establishing a nice rhythm while Beverly is back in the fray to solidify a solid lineup. Suns just 1-8 ATS in Los Angeles while the Clippers have covered 8 of their last 10 at home. Suns just don't have the recovery time (mentally and physically) to recharge for tonight. Clippers nipping at the heels of the Suns in the Pacific and need to secure a win here to move up a game in the division. Lay the points. |
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04-07-21 | Jazz v. Suns +2 | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
Jazz/Suns 10:10: Both of these teams at the top of the tier in standings and ATS. However, Jazz slipping into a 1-3 ATS funk. Coming off a poor shooting perimeter game in Dallas on Monday where Jazz went 12 of 44. Jazz just 8-18-2 ATS following a SU loss. Phoenix Big 3 - Booker, Paul and Ayton in great rhythm now. The Suns sport a 5-2 ATS mark as a home dog and covered the last 3 in this series. We'll roll with Phoenix. |
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04-06-21 | 76ers v. Celtics +1 | 106-96 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
76ers/Celtics 7:40: Celtics starting to play better, coming off two solid outings as Tatum, Smart, Walker, Brown and even center Williams stepping up his play; moreover, newly acquired Fournier, after a rough start, came on strong last two games off the bench as a big contributor. Celtics eager to avenge a pair of mid January defeats at Philadelphia. Boston, 19-7 ATS as a home dog, catching the Sixers' Embiid in not his greatest form. Embiid dominated in those January games; however, he's working his way back after an extended injury and limited in floor time. Celtics the call. |
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04-02-21 | Thunder v. Suns -12.5 | 103-140 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
OKC/Phoenix 10:10: OKC coming off a big win over struggling Toronto on Wednesday. Thunder 4-10 ATS after scoring 100+ and 1-5 ATS on 1 day rest. The Thunder are able to beat lightweights or a depleted heavyweight occasionally; as a matter of fact, they dispatched the Suns in Phoenix back on January 27th. It should be duly noted though that the Suns were without their top gun Devin Booker that night. When Chris Paul is forced to be the go-to-scorer, the Suns struggle. Paul is a facilitator and Booker is the natural scorer. Throw in Ayton down low and energy driven wily veteran Crowder and the Suns are a legitimate contender. Suns 13-5 ATS at home, 5-0 ATS on Friday and can close as a favorite (19-7 ATS). Suns the call. |
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04-01-21 | Nuggets -1.5 v. Clippers | 101-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Nuggets/Clippers 10:10: Both teams rolling but Clippers dealing with injuries. George, Beverly, Ibaka, Morris (calf), and the inability to get Rondo (thigh) on floor will make it difficult to compete four quarters with a determined Nuggets team that's eager to avenge its Christmas day -121-108 loss. Lue's depleted bench showed Tuesday vs lightweight Orlando - allowing them to roll in the second half. Nuggets are healthy, Jokic playing at an MVP level, Murray - hitting stride, and when Porter is on his game - currently is- Nuggets hard to stop. In addition, Nuggets feeling good going forward with addition of Gordon and McGee which will add versatility to their defense. Nuggets nipping at the heels of the Clippers in the standings and need this one. Nuggets covered 5 of the last 7 in this series and I'm riding them here. Nuggets the call. |