Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-21-21 | Utah v. Washington State +3 | Top | 71-56 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Utah @ Washington State 10:00 PM ET Game# 773-774 Play On: Washington State +3.0 (10*) Public perception would indicate that bettors are betting this game based on Utah being a traditional winning team and Washington State the opposite. Nevertheless, Washington State has gone 8-1 at home this season and their only loss came by 4 to Arizona in a game they covered as an 8.0-point underdog. Utah has lost 5 of their last 6 and that includes going 0-3 SU&ATS during away games. Furthermore, Utah is coming off a 72-63 home loss to California in a game they closed as a sizable 12.0-point favorite. That was a Cal team that entered that contest with a dismal 1-7 conference record. Since the start of last season, the Utes are a dismal 0-8 ATS on the road following a conference loss and were outscored by a decisive margin of 17.5 points per game. Bet on Washington State plus the points for a 10* wager. |
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01-20-21 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin -11.5 | 52-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Northwestern @ Wisconsin 8:00 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Wisconsin -11.5 (5*) Northwestern started the season 6-1 including 3 upset wins over Michigan State, Indiana, and Ohio State to begin their Big 10 schedule. However, they have rapidly gone on a downward spiral of last while going 0-5 SU&ATS during their previous 5 contests and lost by a decisive margin of 18.4 points per game. Wisconsin has enjoyed on the best home court advantages in college basketball over the past couple of decades. They are 8-1 in Madison this season and have outscored their opponents by an average of 17.3 points per game. Bet on Wisconsin minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-20-21 | Celtics v. 76ers -4.5 | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Celtics @ 76ers 7:05 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: 76ers -4.5 (5*) Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has been superb at home while going 36-3 in those contests. This will be the first meeting of the season between these 2 teams in Philadelphia. They met twice in Philadelphia last season and the 76ers went 2-0 SU&ATS with an average winning margin of 12.5 points per game. Boston is coming off a dismal 105-75 home loss to the Knicks in their previous game which snapped a 5-game Celtics winning streak. Boston will continue to be without the services of starter Jayson Tatum who is sidelined after testing positive for COVID-19 last week. Tatum has averaged 26.9 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 2.8 assists per game this season. Bet on the 76ers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-19-21 | Pelicans v. Jazz -5.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Utah 9:05 PM ET Game# 569-570 Play On: Utah -5.5 (5*) New Orleans will enter today’s game having gone 1-4 in their last 5 games while allowing opponents to average 115.0 points per contest and they shot an alarmingly high 40.3% from 3-point territory. Conversely, Utah is an unscathed 5-0 SU&ATS during their previous 5 contests and won by a decisive average of 16.2 points per game. During that successful stretch, the Jazz held opponents to a mere 97.6 points scored per game, 39.8% shooting, and just 27.8% from 3-point land. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-18-21 | Kansas v. Baylor -8.5 | Top | 69-77 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Kansas @ Baylor 9:00 PM ET Game# 879-880 Play On: Baylor -8.5 (10*) I am labeling this as the sucker game of the night. We have the #6 Kansas Jayhawks as a sizable underdog against #2 Baylor. Then there’s the reputation and brand of Kansas basketball that will surely entice public betting to side with them at this heavy a number. However, we must look inside the numbers to get a clearer picture. Kansas is coming off a 75-70 loss at unranked Oklahoma State. They were also hammered at home by 25 versus Texas. Additionally, 5 of the Jayhawks 10 wins have come by 4 points or fewer. Baylor is 12-0 and has covered in 10 of those 12 contests. They are coming off a 68-60 win at Texas Tech in a game they covered as a 4.5-point favorite. It marked the first time this season that Baylor failed to win by a double-digit margin. As a matter of fact, Baylor has outscored their 12 opponents this season by an average of 26.1 points per game. The Bears are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games which all were against Big 12 Conference opponents, and they held those teams to 56.7 points per contest and an abysmal 35.1% shooting. Baylor has also forced 20 turnovers of more in the 3 of their last 4 and 5 of its previous 7 games which speaks to their superb length and athleticism on the defensive end. Baylor has made a terrific 42.3% of its 3-point shot attempts this season. Conversely, during their previous 5 games Kansas opponents have shot a combined 39.4% from beyond the 3-point line. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-18-21 | Rockets v. Bulls +2 | 120-125 | Win | 102 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Rockets @ Bulls 8:05 PM ET Game# 565-566 Play On: Bulls +2.0 (5*) The Rockets team chemistry is a mess. The trade of leading scorer James Harden to Brooklyn has magnified that issue even more. The Rockets are a poor 1-4 in away games this season. Chicago is 3-4 straight up in their last 7 games. However, their 4 losses have come by a combined 11 points. With a bit of luck, they easily could be riding a 7-game win streak. I love the way Chicago is competing on a nightly basis of late. Bet on the Bulls for a 5* wager. |
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01-17-21 | Bucs v. Saints -3 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -103 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
Buccaneers @ Saints 6:40 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Saints -3.0 (10*) Since 2017, Tampa Bay is a lousy 2-9-2 ATS as an away underdog of 6.0 or less. Moreover, the Bucs are a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS during its last 5 games versus New Orleans, and that includes 0-2 SU&ATS this season. Tampa was outscored in those 2 losses by 72-26. New Orleans has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a home favorite and won by an average of 15.0 points per contest. Furthermore, since last season, New Orleans is a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS as a favorite of 6.5 or less and won by 11.0 points per game. If you are wondering how a playoff home favorite of 6.5 or less does against a division opponent that have beaten twice during regular season action. Well, you came to the right place. This situation has occurred only 6 times since 1983 with Sunday’s game being the 7th. So, it’s rare indeed. However, it’s important to note, the previous 6 have seen the home favorite of 6.5 or less going 6-0 SU&ATS, and with a decisive average victory margin of 16.0 points per game. Bet on the Saints minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-17-21 | Browns +10.5 v. Chiefs | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
Browns @ Chiefs 3:00 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Browns +10.5 (5*) Kansas City has gone 1-7 ATS during their previous 8 games. Nonetheless, they still went 7-1 straight up during that stretch. However, all 7 of those wins came by 6 points or fewer. Conversely, Cleveland is 5-1 straight up in their last 6 road games. Their only loss in that sequence came shockingly enough against the Jets (2-14). However, it must be noted, the Browns were without their top 4 receivers in that lone defeat due to COVID-19 protocols deeming them as unavailable. I love the Browns running back tandem of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Cleveland will run the ball with success and that will be a key component in keeping them competitive for 60 minutes or more if needed. Additionally, Kansas City is a -5 in the turnover department over its last 4 games. On the other hand, Cleveland is a stellar +10 in turnover margin this season. Bet on the Browns plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-16-21 | Ravens v. Bills -2.5 | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 21 h 1 m | Show | |
Ravens @ Bills 8:15 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Bills -2.5 (5*) Listening to all the experts on the airwaves this week and you would have thought Baltimore was the 14-3 team and it was Buffalo that was 12-5. While it’s quite the contrary. Yes, Baltimore has won 6 straight heading into the AFC Divisional Round contest. Nevertheless, Buffalo has won 7 straight and 9 of its last 10. Their only loss in that stretch was 32-30 at Arizona when Kyler Murray hit Deandre Hopkins with a Hail Mary pass with less than 10 seconds to play for the winning score. Otherwise, Buffalo would be riding a 10-game win streak. The big question marks being raised against Buffalo is how they will they be able to contain Lamar Jackson and the Ravens dynamic running game. Honestly, I really don’t know. But my retort would be, how is Baltimore going to stop Josh Allen and his outstanding group of receivers? It’s been a long time since such a meaningful game has been played in Orchard Park. The Bills have faced teams this season that currently have or finished with a winning record on 8 separate occasions, and they went a terrific 6-2 in those contests. Their only home loss came against defending world champion Kansas City, and then preceded to win 6 straight in Orchard Park since. By the way, Baltimore has also faced teams with winning records 8 times, but they were just 4-4 in those contests. The Bills are battle tested and will be up to the challenge against rough and tumble Baltimore on Saturday night. Bet on Buffalo for a 5* wager. |
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01-16-21 | Rams +7 v. Packers | 18-32 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
Rams @ Packers 4:35 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Rams +7.0 (5*) I am of the opinion this game goes right down to the wire. Additionally, I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see the Rams pull off an outright upset in this contest. Nonetheless, I won’t get greedy and neither should you so take the points. The combination of an effective Rams running game and their stout defense to keep this game competitive throughout. Bet on the Rams plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-14-21 | Pacers v. Blazers -3 | 111-87 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Portland 10:05 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: Portland -3.0 (5*) This isn’t a favorable matchup for the Pacers. They will be facing a Portland team which has connected on an impressive 39.1% of its 3-point shot attempts this season, and that includes 40.8% over their previous 5 games. Conversely, Indiana has struggled to defend their opponents 3-point shooting thus far and have allowed them to make 39.7% of those long distance tries. Today will be the Pacers 3rd road game in 4 days. Portland enters this game on a 4-game win streak and covered on 3 of those occasions. Portland has scored 105 points or more in each of their previous 5 contests. Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA campaign, Portland is 32-14 ATS after scoring 105 points or more in 5 straight games, and that includes 3-1 ATS in their last 4 in that role this season. Portland is also a perfect 11-0 in their last 11 at home against Indiana and that includes 9-2 ATS in those contests. Bet on Portland minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-14-21 | Washington v. USC -13 | 68-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Washington @ USC 9:30 PM ET Game# 763-764 Play On: USC -13.0 (5*) Washington is enduring a brutal season thus far. They are 1-9 with their only win coming against Seattle. They have also lost to teams such as UC-Riverside by 15 and Montana by 8. The Huskies are 0-5 SU&ATS in their previous 5 while losing by an average of 16.0 points per game. Furthermore, they’ve gone 0-6 SU&ATS in away and neutral site games. USC has won 4 in a row. That win streak began by going 3-0 SU&ATS against Utah, Arizona, and Arizona State with a decisive average victory margin of 13.7 points per game. Then in their last game they were a bit flat in a 5-point home win over UC-Riverside. Now it’s back to conference play tonight and I look for the Trojans to turn in a strong performance. USC is a tremendous defensive team that allows just 63.5 points per game and opponents have shot a dismal 36.0% against them. USC will also have a huge advantage on the boards against a Washington team that is at a -10 rebound per game differential while the Trojans are at +8 per contest. Bet on USC minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-14-21 | San Diego State v. Utah State -1.5 | Top | 45-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
San Diego State @ Utah State 9:00 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: Utah State -1.5 (10*) Utah State began the season by losing 3 of its first 4 games. Since that time, they have reeled off 8 wins in a row and won by an enormous 29.9 points per game. That includes 6-0 SU&ATS in Mountain West Conference action. During those conference games they held opponents to 49.8 scored per contest and a miserable 32.2% shooting. The Aggies have been a favorite of 11.5 or greater all 6 of their conference wins and covers. San Diego State is coming off a 69-67 win over Nevada in a game they failed to cover as a 10.5-point favorite. This sets up a very profitable college basketball betting angle shown below. Any home team that is coming off 3 consecutive covers as a favorite of 7.0 or greater, and they are facing an opponent (San Diego State) that is coming off a straight up win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those home teams going 34-4 (89.5%) straight up since 1997, and the home teams outscored the visitors in those 38 contests by 15.7 points per game. The straight up betting angle takes on added significance when considering what the current point-spread is. Bet on Utah State for a 10* Top Play wager. |