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Big Al McMordie ALL Sports Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
06-28-25 BC v. Saskatchewan UNDER 50 Top 18-37 Loss -124 16 h 6 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the British Columbia Lions and Saskatchewan Roughriders to go UNDER the total.  The Roughriders enter this game with a 3-0 SU/ATS record, and have scored 31, 28 and 39 in their first three games.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game this evening, as CFL teams have gone 56% UNDER following a three-game stretch where they tallied 90+ points.  Even worse, if our high-scoring team was off back to back wins, and playing at home, then our 56% stat zooms to 61%, including 8-0 UNDER the last eight.  In this series, these two teams have gone 13-5-2 UNDER here at Regina, including both meetings last season.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-27-25 Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 49.5 Top 17-35 Loss -115 15 h 33 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Montreal/Hamilton game.  These two teams have played unders in 10 of the last 13 meetings.  And that's the way we will look on this Friday.  It's true that Montreal has scored 69 points in its last two games, combined, with each going over the total.  But the Alouettes are 85-55-3 UNDER off an Over, and 19-9 UNDER after scoring more than 30 points in back to back games.  And the Tiger-Cats are 56-35 UNDER vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-19-25 Thunder v. Pacers UNDER 223 Top 91-108 Win 100 2 h 24 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, in Game 6 of the NBA Finals, our selection is on the Pacers and Thunder to go UNDER the total.  The Pacers find themselves with their backs against the wall tonight.  They lost Game 5 to fall behind 3-games-to-2, and now face elimination.  It's also the very first time in Indiana's four Playoff series that it has even trailed by a single game.  Then, to add to the pressure tonight, its best player, Tyrese Haliburton, is dealing with a calf strain.  Haliburton will play tonight but the conditions are far from ideal.  Teams (like Indiana) off a loss in Game 5 of the NBA Finals, and facing elimination in Game 6 have gone UNDER the total 67% since 1990.  The Pacers are also 10-6 UNDER when facing elimination, while OKC is 5-3 UNDER when attempting to close out a series.  We'll take Game 6 UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-14-25 Calgary v. Toronto UNDER 51.5 Top 29-19 Win 100 9 h 15 m Show

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Toronto/Calgary game to go UNDER the total.  The Over/Under in this game has been installed north of 50 points.  And these two teams have gone UNDER the total in 12 of the last 16 meetings when the O/U line was 50+ points.  Last week Calgary blew out Hamilton, 38-26, while Toronto lost to Montreal, 28-10.  Teams off high-scoring wins, in which they tallied 38+ points have gone 57% UNDER over the last 20 years.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-11-25 Thunder v. Pacers UNDER 228.5 Top 107-116 Win 100 10 h 37 m Show

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on Game 3 between Indiana and Oklahoma City to go UNDER the total.  The Oddsmakers have installed a relatively-high over/under line for this series so far.  Game 2 squeaked over the total of 228 when OKC won, 123-107.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game tonight, as NBA teams have gone 23-6 UNDER the total in games with O/U lines north of 223, following a Playoff defeat in which they gave up 122+ points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

06-05-25 Pacers v. Thunder UNDER 231 Top 111-110 Win 100 115 h 7 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 1 between Oklahoma City and Indiana.  The Thunder come into this game off back to back high-scoring wins to eliminate the Timberwolves:  128-126 and 124-94.  Off those two offensive outputs, we'll look for a relatively low-scoring game on Thursday.  Indeed, NBA teams have gone UNDER 65.6% since 1990 following back to back games where they tallied 124+ points.  OKC has gone 21-14 UNDER its last 35 home playoff games.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-31-25 Knicks v. Pacers UNDER 220 Top 108-125 Loss -110 30 h 20 m Show

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Under in Game 6 between Indiana and New York.  Game 5 was won by New York, 111-94, and went under the total of 222.5 by 17.5 points.  The Pacers have now gone 27-17 Under the total when attempting to close out a playoff series, while the Knicks are 52-36-5 Under as a road underdog in the Playoffs.  Additionally, Game 6s in the Conference Finals, with O/U lines north of 206, have gone Under 61%.  We'll look for another low-scoring game on Saturday.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-27-25 Knicks v. Pacers UNDER 221.5 Top 121-130 Loss -108 32 h 17 m Show

At 8 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 4 between New York and Indiana.  We played on the Knicks in Game 3, and they rewarded us with a 106-100 upset win.  That game stayed under the total of 223.5 by 17.5 points.  The oddsmakers have moved this number south of 223.5, but it's not enough of an adjustment.  The Knicks are 19-11-2 Under on the road in the playoffs, while the Pacers are 11-3 Under in the Playoffs following an upset loss.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-18-25 Panthers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 Top 6-1 Loss -143 43 h 33 m Show
At 7:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs 'under' the total.  After a blow-out with seven total goals on Wednesday night, these two played a totally different kind of game last night in South Florida, with the Maple Leafs throwing some water on the Florida fire.  Toronto shut out the Panthers, 2-0 (their second straight victory in this series by that score), setting up this Game 7 at Scotiabank Arena.  So, will this be another offensive explosion like we saw in Game 5 or a taut, defensive battle similar to Friday when the two teams went scoreless for the first 46 minutes, and just a total of just 39 shots were fired on the goaltenders?  We're banking on it being the latter.  Neither team is going to want to fall behind in this one, so look for some tight play with plenty of fore-checking in the early going.  The under is 15-10 in the last 25 meetings of these two clubs and also 6-0 in the last six games in which the Maple Leafs were facing elimination from a playoff series.  Take the 'under.'  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
05-15-25 Thunder v. Nuggets UNDER 219.5 Top 107-119 Loss -110 40 h 40 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 6 between Denver and Oklahoma City.  We played on the UNDERS in Game 3 (our NBA Total of the Year) and Game 5, and got the $$$ in each.  And we will come right back with the Under in this Game 6.  The first two games of this series were very high-scoring, as they combined for 240 and 255 points. But all three games since have gone Under the total.  Game 3 only went for 217 -- and that game also went into Overtime.  Next, Game 4 saw the two teams manage just 179 points, and went under the total of 228 by 49.  Then, on Tuesday, the Under covered by 4.5 points, as OKC won, 112-105.  We'll look for the UNDER to come in for a 4th straight game on Thursday, as these two teams have now gone Under in 10 of the last 14 meetings.  And the Nuggets are also 9-2 UNDER in the Playoffs following a loss, while the Thunder are 24-9 UNDER in the Playoffs following a win. Take the UNDER in Game 6.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-13-25 Nuggets v. Thunder UNDER 221.5 Top 105-112 Win 100 46 h 5 m Show

On Tuesday, at 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Oklahoma City/Denver game.  The first two games of this series went for 240 and 255 points.  We then had our NBA Total of the Year in Game 3, and that game only went for 217 -- in OVERTIME!  Then, Game 4 was even lower scoring, with just 179 points tallied.  So, it went under the total of 228 by a whopping 49 points.  We'll look for the UNDER to come in for a 3rd straight game on Tuesday, as these two teams have played 9 of their last 13 games UNDER the total.  And the Nuggets are 8-2 UNDER in the Playoffs following a loss, while the Thunder are 23-9 UNDER in the Playoffs following a win.  Take the UNDER.

05-12-25 Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 209.5 Top 113-121 Loss -110 20 h 57 m Show

At 7:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Boston/New York game.  By all rights, all three of these games so far in this 7-game series should have gone UNDER the total.  Game 1 did not, but that was only due to an overtime session which allowed it to push the closing line of 213.  The game was tied at 100 at the end of regulation, so it was a bad beat for under bettors.  Games 2 + 3 DID go under the total.  And that's the way we'll look for this Game 4.  Indeed, Boston and New York are 35-23-1 UNDER the total in their last 59 meetings.  Additionally, the Celtics are 12-4 UNDER when they've trailed in a Playoff series, while the Knicks are 35-15 UNDER when they've led in a Playoff series.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-09-25 Thunder v. Nuggets UNDER 233.5 Top 104-113 Win 100 22 h 14 m Show

At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 3 between Oklahoma City and Denver.  The Thunder put up 149 points in a 43-point blowout win on Wednesday.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game on Friday, as teams off 148+ point games have gone 15-6 UNDER their last 21.  Likewise, teams off 148+ point games have gone 83% UNDER in the Playoffs since 1990.  Denver has gone 13-5 UNDER its last 18 home playoff games (compared to 25-14 OVER on the road), while OKC has gone UNDER 16 of its last 24 road playoff games.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-09-25 Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 229.5 Top 126-104 Loss -108 20 h 42 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cleveland/Indiana game.  The Pacers have won 4 straight games, by scores of 129-103, 119-118, 121-112 and 120-119.  And all four games went OVER the total.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game on Friday evening, as NBA Playoff games have gone UNDER 62% since 1990 if a team has scored 119+ points in its four previous games.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

05-04-25 Blues v. Jets UNDER 5.5 Top 3-4 Loss -150 40 h 59 m Show

At 7 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the St. Louis/Winnipeg game.  The Blues tallied 5 goals on Friday, and I expect Connor Hellebuyck (who allowed those 5 goals on just 23 shots) to bounce back on Sunday.  Rather than focus on these last six games, where Hellebuyck has gone 3-3 with a 4.42 GAA and .815 save percentage, I prefer to look at the big picture.  This is still the same goalie who won the Vezina Trophy last season (and is a finalist this year, after going 47-12-3 with a 2.00 GAA and eight shutouts in the regular season).  The Jets have gone 139-104 UNDER their last 243.  And the Blues are 19-13 UNDER off 3+ overs.  Take the Blues/Jets UNDER the total.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

05-03-25 Avalanche v. Stars UNDER 5.5 Top 2-4 Loss -108 17 h 50 m Show
At 8:00 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars 'under' the total.  Like the Jets-Blues series, this Western Conference playoff round is going to a seventh and deciding game after the Avalanche blasted the Stars in Game 6, 7-4, in Denver.  Tonight the series switches back to Dallas.  And when Colorado scores a bunch of goals, its offense is often a bit muted in the next game as the under is 7-3 in the Avs' last 10 games immediately after scoring six or more goals in their previous game.  In addition, the under is 10-5 in the Avs' last 15 games when they are coming off a home blowout win by three or more goals (4-1 under on the road).  Finally, the under is 18-9 in the Avalanche's last 27 games coming off a home victory (8-2 in their last 10 on the road).  Take the 'under.'  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
05-01-25 Knicks v. Pistons UNDER 214.5 Top 116-113 Loss -110 10 h 4 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Knicks/Pistons game.  First Round Game 6s, with Over/Under lines of 210 (or more), have gone under 61.1% since 1990.  We'll take the under.

04-29-25 Clippers v. Nuggets UNDER 208.5 Top 115-131 Loss -110 19 h 53 m Show

At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Clippers/Nuggets Game 5.  We had our NBA Total of the Month on the UNDER in Game 3, and also played on the UNDER in Game 4.  Those two games went under, as did Games 1 and 2.  Indeed, these two teams have now gone 59-25-4 UNDER in the last 88 meetings.  If it ain't broke, don't fix it.  We'll take the UNDER once again, here, in Game 5, as the Nuggets have now played 20 of their last 27 playoff games under, while the Clippers are 26-16-2 under in their last 44 playoff games.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-28-25 Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 199.5 Top 106-109 Loss -108 17 h 23 m Show

At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Golden State/Houston game.  We played on the UNDER in Game 3, and got the $$$ in a 104-93 Golden State win.  That was the 7th straight game between these teams that has gone UNDER the total.  And the UNDER is also 50-26 the last 76 meetings.  Meanwhile, the Rockets are 6-0 UNDER their last six (and 25-10 UNDER their last 35) NBA Playoff games.  We'll ride with the UNDER yet again in Game 4.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-26-25 Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 203 Top 93-104 Win 100 65 h 44 m Show

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors to go UNDER the total.  We played against Golden State in Game 2 and got the $$$ in a 15-point Rockets victory.  Off that loss by the Warriors, we're going to take the UNDER in Game 3.  Over the last 13 seasons, the Warriors have gone 33-12 UNDER off a playoff defeat, including 9-0 UNDER when the line was 207 (or less) points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-26-25 Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 212.5 Top 101-99 Win 100 15 h 22 m Show

At 6 pm, our selection is on the under in the Denver/Los Angeles Clippers game.  We cashed our NBA Total of the Month on the under in Game 3 of this series.  And that under moved this Clippers/Nuggets series' record to 58-25-4 UNDER the total in the last 87 meetings.  We will look for yet another low-scoring game this evening in Game 4, as the Nuggets have played 19 of their last 26 playoff games under, while the Clippers have gone 25-16-2 UNDER in their last 43 playoff games..  Take the under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-26-25 Cavs v. Heat UNDER 215.5 Top 124-87 Win 100 57 h 5 m Show

At 1 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat to go UNDER the total.  The Cavs have scored 121 points in back-to-back wins to open this series.  But off those two high-scoring games at home, we'll look for a lower-scoring affair on Saturday in Game 3.  Indeed, NBA teams have gone 65% under since 1990 in road playoff games after back-to-back home playoff games where they scored more than 120 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-25-25 Lakers v. Wolves UNDER 206.5 Top 104-116 Loss -108 54 h 53 m Show

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Minnesota/Los Angeles game.  These two teams played unders in Games 1 and 2, and they've now played six straight unders this season.  Even better:  19 of the last 25 meetings between these teams have gone UNDER the total.  We'll look for that to continue in Game 3.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-24-25 Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 214.5 Top 83-117 Win 100 30 h 6 m Show

At 10 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Denver Nuggets/Los Angeles Clippers game.  The first two games of this series went under the total, and that's also the way we will look for Game 3.  Indeed, these two teams have largely played low-scoring games when they've gotten together, as the UNDER is now 57-25-4 the last 86 meetings!  Additionally, the Nuggets have played 18 of their last 25 playoff games under, while the Clippers have gone 24-16-2 UNDER in their last 42 playoff games.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-07-25 Florida v. Houston UNDER 142 Top 65-63 Win 100 36 h 23 m Show

At 8:50 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Under in the Houston/Florida game.  The Cougars have been installed as a small underdog on the opening line.  And the Coogs are 23-9 UNDER the total when the O/U line was greater than 130, and they were an underdog/Pk.  Even better:  when the O/U line was priced from 137 to 146, Houston's gone UNDER in 45 of 58, including 7-0 UNDER their last seven when not favored by 5+ points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-06-25 UCF v. Nebraska UNDER 159 Top 66-77 Win 100 9 h 4 m Show

At 5:30 pm, on Sunday, in the Crown Tourney championship game, our selection is on Nebraska/Central Florida UNDER the total.  The Knights come into this game off back-to-back high-scoring victories over Cincinnati (88-80) and Villanova (104-98).  Off those two wins, we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Sunday, as NCAA teams have gone 63.8% UNDER in games with O/U lines of 145+ points, after scoring a combined 182+ points in back-to-back post-season games that each Over the total.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

04-05-25 Florida v. Auburn UNDER 160.5 Top 79-73 Win 100 104 h 59 m Show

At 6:05 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Florida/Auburn game.  We have a relatively-high over/under line for this Final Four game between #1-seeded teams.  And games between teams seeded #4 (or better) have gone 73% UNDER when the O/U line has been greater than 144 points, including 9-2 UNDER at the Elite Eight round, forward.  Additionally, teams (like Florida) that average 84.5 (or more) points on offense have gone UNDER 70% in the NCAA Tournament if their previous NCAA Tourney game went Over the total.  With Florida, indeed, coming off a high-scoring, 84-79 win over Texas Tech (which went Over the total of 159.5), we'll take the Florida/Auburn game UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

03-28-25 Purdue v. Houston UNDER 132.5 Top 60-62 Win 100 62 h 0 m Show

At 10:05 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the UNDER in the Houston/Purdue game.  Matt Painter's men typically play low-scoring games in this Tournament, as their last six (and nine of their last 10) have sailed UNDER the number.  The UNDER falls into 68-36 and 15-4 Totals systems of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

03-28-25 Kentucky v. Tennessee UNDER 145 Top 65-78 Win 100 59 h 13 m Show

At 7:35 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats and Tennessee Volunteers to go UNDER the total.  This is the 3rd meeting this season between these SEC Rivals.  And 6 of the last 8 meetings have gone UNDER the total.  Even better:  14 of the Wildcats' last 19 NCAA Tourney games have gone UNDER, while the Volunteers have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 9 NCAA Tourney games.  Take the UNDER.

03-28-25 Ole Miss v. Michigan State UNDER 144 Top 70-73 Win 100 59 h 43 m Show

At 7:05 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels and Michigan State Spartans to go UNDER the total.  The Spartans are 24-11 UNDER this season, including 3-1 UNDER in the post-season.  And the Spartans are 23-16 UNDER their last 39 post-season games.  Take the UNDER.

03-26-25 UAB  v. Cal-Irvine UNDER 160 Top 77-81 Win 100 12 h 29 m Show

At 9 pm, on Wednesday, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cal Irvine/UAB game.  Both of these teams come into tonight's game off a string of unders.  UAB is 3-0-1 UNDER its last four, while Cal Irvine is 3-0 UNDER its last three.  I like this game to follow the short-term trend of these teams, as the Anteaters are also 19-10 UNDER this season with O/U lines greater than 135.  And NIT Tourney games priced between 155 and 165 point are 21-13 UNDER their last 44.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

03-21-25 Robert Morris v. Alabama UNDER 166 Top 81-90 Loss -108 75 h 52 m Show

At 12:40 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the UNDER in the Alabama/Robert Morris game.  I like playing on Unders in the tournament when both the point spread and the over/under line are high.  Indeed, NCAA Tourney games have gone 21-7 UNDER their last 28 when the O/U line was greater than 151, and the point spread was 11 (or higher).  Additionally, the UNDER falls into a 43-16 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

03-15-25 Mt. St. Mary's v. Iona UNDER 135.5 Top 63-49 Win 100 10 h 0 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on Iona and Mount St. Mary's to go UNDER the total.  This will be the 3rd meeting of the season between these teams, and the first two went UNDER the total.  The Mountaineers also come into this game off four straight unders, as well as unders in 15 of their last 21 games.  And their last three games have sailed under by an average of 13.3 ppg.  Finally, Metro Atlantic Tourney games have gone under 37-16 since 2020.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

03-14-25 UC-Santa Barbara v. UC San Diego UNDER 142 Top 51-69 Win 100 12 h 58 m Show

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UC San Diego Tritons and Cal-Santa Barbara to go UNDER the total.  The Gauchos have played 11 of their last 13 post-season games UNDER the total when the O/U line was greater than 134 points.  That bodes well for a low-scoring game tonight.  As does the fact that the Tritons have played 5 of their last six games UNDER.  I'll look for a low-scoring game tonight.

03-14-25 North Carolina v. Duke UNDER 154 Top 71-74 Win 100 10 h 57 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Duke/North Carolina game.  The Tar Heels have played their last 3 games UNDER the total, including a match-up in Chapel Hill against these Blue Devils.  That prior meeting went UNDER by 9.5 point, while their next two games went under by 13 and 19.5 points, respectively.  We'll look for another low-scoring game on Friday.  Take the UNDER.

03-12-25 Montana v. Northern Colorado UNDER 148.5 Top 91-83 Loss -105 14 h 43 m Show

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Northern Colorado/Montana game.  The Bears have played their last 3 games under the total.  And each has gone under by wide margins (20.5, 18.5 and 28.5 points).  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

03-11-25 Youngstown State v. Robert Morris UNDER 139 Top 78-89 Loss -110 10 h 51 m Show

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Youngstown State/Robert Morris game.  These two teams met twice earlier this season.  And both games went UNDER the total.  The first meeting produced just 130 points, and sailed under by 10.5 points.  Then, the 2nd meeting went under by 3.5 points.  Overall, six of the last nine meetings between these teams have gone UNDER.  The Penguins have played 9 of their last 13 post-season games UNDER the total, including the first two games in this Tourney.  And those two flew under by 15 and 28.5 points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

03-09-25 VMI v. Wofford UNDER 138 Top 65-85 Loss -110 9 h 55 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the VMI/Wofford game.  VMI has played each of its tourney games under, and they've gone under by an average of 10.75 ppg.  This will be the 3rd meeting this season between these teams and the first two went under by an average of 9 ppg.  Take the under.

03-09-25 Bradley v. Drake UNDER 119 Top 48-63 Win 100 4 h 7 m Show

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Bradley/Drake game.  Drake has played 5 of 7 under, including its first two games in this Missouri Valley Tourney.  And those two games went under by an average of 14.25 ppg.  Bradley has played four straight unders.  And 6 of the last 7 meetings between these teams have sailed under, including both this season.  Take the Under.

01-19-25 Ravens v. Bills OVER 51 Top 25-27 Win 100 64 h 15 m Show

At 6:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the OVER in the Baltimore/Buffalo game.  This is a great match-up, as they're two of the 4 best scoring margin teams in the league (along with the Lions and Eagles).  The Ravens are outscoring their opponents by 9.50 ppg, while Buffalo has outscored its foes by 10.05 ppg.  I like playing on match-ups between elite teams Over the total, and especially when the O/U line projects the game to be relatively high-scoring, with a line of greater than 50 points.  Buffalo's home playoff games have gone OVER 13 of 17 since 1991.  Additionally, over the last 45 years, the Ravens have gone OVER in 60% of their games with O/U lines greater than 50, while the Bills have gone OVER in 57% of their games with O/U lines greater than 50.  Take the Over.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

01-19-25 Rams v. Eagles OVER 43.5 Top 22-28 Win 100 102 h 54 m Show

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles and Los Angeles Rams to go OVER the total.  The Eagles come into this game off back-to-back low-scoring affairs.  They defeated the New York Giants, 20-13, to end the regular season.  And, then, they took care of business last week with a 22-10 win over Green Bay.  But off those two relatively low-scoring games, we'll look for a much higher-scoring game on Sunday.  Indeed, Philadelphia is 11-4 OVER the total its last 15 after going Under in two straight games.  And five of the last six meetings between these teams have gone OVER the total, including Philly's 37-20 triumph over the Rams back in November.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

01-05-25 Vikings v. Lions UNDER 56 Top 9-31 Win 100 76 h 59 m Show

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Minnesota/Detroit game.  The Lions have played their last 4 games OVER the total.  But off that string of high-scoring games, we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Sunday night.  Indeed, NFL teams off EXACTLY 4 Overs have gone 136-72-5 Under the total in division games with O/U lines greater than 36 points.  Take the Lions and Vikings UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

01-05-25 Jaguars v. Colts UNDER 44 Top 23-26 Loss -110 69 h 38 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Indianapolis/Jacksonville game.  Indianapolis' division home games are 72-43-1 UNDER the total since 1990.  I look for another low-scoring game on this Sunday.  Take the Under.

01-05-25 Giants v. Eagles UNDER 37.5 Top 13-20 Win 100 69 h 37 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Philadelphia/New York game.  Last week, the Eagles put up 41 points vs. Dallas.  But off that offensive explosion, I expect Philly's offense to take a holiday on Sunday -- especially since their key personnel will be on the sidelines.  The Eagles are 21-8-1 Under after scoring 40+ points.  Even better:  the Giants are 53-26-1 UNDER in their last 80 games.  I won't fade those stats, and look for a very low-scoring game in Philadelphia on Sunday.  Take the Under.

01-05-25 Panthers v. Falcons UNDER 48 Top 44-38 Loss -110 69 h 37 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Carolina/Atlanta game.  This series has largely favored the Under, as the Under has gone 36-19-3 the last 58 meetings.  That bodes well for a low-scoring game on Sunday.  Also, the Under falls into a Totals system of mine which is 346-240-12.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

01-04-25 Bengals v. Steelers UNDER 48 Top 19-17 Win 100 59 h 16 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers to go Under the total.  Pittsburgh has played 19 of its last 28 home games Under the total, including 9-0 UNDER when the O/U line was greater than 41 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

01-04-25 Browns v. Ravens OVER 41 Top 10-35 Win 100 56 h 46 m Show

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Baltimore/Cleveland game.  The Ravens are 9-4-1 OVER their last 14 home games, while Cleveland is 13-5 Over their last 18 road games.  I look for another high-scoring game on Saturday.  Take the Over.

01-02-25 Duke v. Ole Miss OVER 50 Top 20-52 Win 100 5 h 60 m Show

At 8 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Ole Miss/Duke game.  The O/U line in this Gator Bowl opened at 53.5.  But it's a couple of points lower today, and the current O/U line has triggered two Bowl Totals systems of mine, with records of 46-23 and 95-59.  Twelve of the last 16 Bowl match-ups between the SEC and ACC Conferences have sailed OVER the total.  And we'll look for a high-scoring game in this Gator Bowl on Thursday.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

12-30-24 Lions v. 49ers UNDER 50.5 Top 40-34 Loss -110 9 h 18 m Show

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the 49ers/Lions game.  Detroit enters this Monday night tilt off 3 straight high-scoring affairs, in which they scored 34, 42 and 34 points.  Off those 3 high scores, we'll look for the Lions + Niners to go UNDER, as Monday Night Football games have gone 70.5% Under if a team scored more than 30 points in each of its 3 previous games.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

12-29-24 Titans v. Jaguars OVER 39.5 Top 13-20 Loss -109 79 h 16 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Tennessee/Jacksonville game.  These two teams played a low-scoring game in the season's first meeting, with the Jaguars prevailing, 10-6.  I'll look for a relatively high-scoring game on Sunday, as NFL games have gone over the total 58.2% if the previous meeting totaled less than 35 points.  Take the Over.

12-26-24 Seahawks v. Bears UNDER 42.5 Top 6-3 Win 100 17 h 25 m Show

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears and Seattle Seahawks to go UNDER the total.  The Bears have been installed as a home dog in this game.  And Chicago has gone 38-22 UNDER when installed as a home dog, if the O/U line was between 41 and 48 points.  Additionally, the Seahawks are 68-51-1 UNDER as a road favorite.  I'll look for a low-scoring game on Thursday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

12-22-24 Patriots v. Bills UNDER 46.5 Top 21-24 Win 100 10 h 26 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Buffalo/New England game.  The Bills come into this game off back to back high-scoring affairs vs. the Rams and Lions.  And Buffalo allowed 44 points to L.A. and 42 to Detroit.  I'll take the UNDER in this game, as NFL teams have gone 157-116 UNDER in games with O/U lines between 42.5 and 56, if they gave up more than 33 points in each of their two previous games.  Take New England + Buffalo Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

12-22-24 Lions v. Bears UNDER 47.5 Top 34-17 Loss -110 7 h 4 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Detroit/Chicago game.  The Lions come into this game off back to back Overs vs. the Packers (34-31) and Bills (48-42).  Off those two high-scoring games, we'll take the UNDER, as NFL teams have gone 43-26 UNDER following two games where 65+ points were scored in each.  Take the Under.

12-22-24 Rams v. Jets UNDER 47 Top 19-9 Win 100 2 h 34 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jets/Rams to go UNDER the total.  The line in this game has ticked up to 47, and that's all I need to pull the trigger on the Under, since it now falls into a super 334-238-12 Totals system of mine.  Additionally, the Rams are 42-22-4 Under vs. foes off 3+ Overs, including 11-0 Under their last 11 (and 20-3-3 Under their last 26) if the O/U line was greater than 46 points.  Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

12-21-24 Texans v. Chiefs OVER 41.5 Top 19-27 Win 100 52 h 53 m Show

At 1 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans to go OVER the total.  The Chiefs have played their last 3 games under the total, but they are 29-18-1 OVER off 3+ unders.  Likewise, the Texans have gone under in their last two games.  But Houston is 40-24 OVER following back-to-back unders.  The last 5 meetings between these clubs have sailed OVER the total, and I look for a relatively high-scoring game on Saturday.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

12-09-24 Bengals v. Cowboys UNDER 49.5 Top 27-20 Win 100 14 h 27 m Show

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati/Dallas game to go UNDER the total.  The Bengals gave up 44 points last week to the Pittsburgh Steelers.  But off that defensive debacle, we'll look for a much better defensive effort tonight.  Indeed, Cincy has gone 65-45 UNDER the total following a game where they gave up 33+ points, including 39-17 UNDER on the road.  And Monday Night Football games, where the home team was installed as an underdog, have gone 44-20-2 UNDER (compared to 53-46 OVER when the home team was favored), including 30-7-2 UNDER when the O/U line was between 43 and 50 points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

12-08-24 Browns v. Steelers UNDER 43.5 Top 14-27 Win 100 73 h 23 m Show

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Pittsburgh Steelers/Cleveland Browns game.  These two teams played very high-scoring games last week.  The Steelers won, 44-38, while the Browns lost at Denver, 41-32.  Over the last 45 years, games between teams that each played a high-scoring game the previous week that totaled more than 72 points have gone UNDER the total 75% of the time.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

12-01-24 Steelers v. Bengals UNDER 48 Top 44-38 Loss -110 51 h 1 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Pittsburgh/Cincinnati game.  The Bengals have gone Over in eight of their last 10, and their games are averaging 53.9 ppg this season.  But the Steelers are one of four teams whose defensive ppg is less than 17 points.  And only one of Pittsburgh's games had an O/U line this high.  That was its game vs. the Ravens -- another team playing high-scoring games.  Baltimore's games were averaging 57.1 ppg, but its game vs. Pittsburgh finished 18-16.  The Steelers are 47-26 UNDER the total in games with O/U lines at 47+ points.  Take the Under.

12-01-24 Chargers v. Falcons UNDER 48 Top 17-13 Win 100 6 h 11 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Los Angeles Chargers/Atlanta Falcons game.  Both of these teams have largely played unders this season.  The Chargers are 7-4 to the Under while Atlanta is also 7-4 under.  And the Falcons are 29-10 UNDER in non-division home games, including 5-0 UNDER the last five.  Take the Under.

11-17-24 Bengals v. Chargers UNDER 48.5 Top 27-34 Loss -110 26 h 27 m Show

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Los Angeles Chargers/Cincinnati Bengals game.  The Chargers have played seven of their nine games Under the total this season, and this is the highest Over/Under line for Jim Harbaugh's men this season.  And L.A.'s two games that went over (23-16 vs. Denver; 27-17 vs. Tennessee) only did so with somewhat meaningless, last-second scores.  In last week's game, Tennessee was down 17 when it scored a TD with just 54 seconds left to send that game Over its 40.5-point total.  And Denver scored a FG with just 64 seconds left, to send that game Over its 37.5-point total.  So just 118 seconds have separated the Chargers from being 9-0 Under this season.  Additionally, the Bengals have gone 37-11 Under when playing away from home, if the O/U line was greater than 46 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

11-17-24 Packers v. Bears OVER 40 Top 20-19 Loss -115 19 h 8 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Green Bay/Chicago game.  The Bears fired offensive coordinator, Shane Waldron, on Tuesday, as they were unhappy with Chicago ranking #24 in offensive efficiency, and dead last in yardage.  Thomas Brown, who was serving as the passing game coordinator, will take over.  I think the coaching change will provide a spark to the Bears' offense.  I like the Over, as the Packers have been a team which tends to go Under at home, but Over the total away from Lambeau Field.  Indeed, dating back to 2012, they're 64-40 Over the total on the road, including 36-15 Over when the O/U line was 47 or less.  Additionally, the Packers are 68-37 Over the total after not scoring 17+ points in their previous game.  Take the Over.

11-17-24 Ravens v. Steelers UNDER 48.5 Top 16-18 Win 100 19 h 8 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Baltimore/Pittsburgh game.  This is one of the fiercest rivalries in the NFL.  It's generally favored the underdog, and has been low-scoring.  The Under has now cashed 7 straight in the series.  And when the O/U line was 39+ points, the Under has gone 28-14-2.  Take the Under.

11-14-24 East Carolina v. Tulsa UNDER 63.5 Top 38-31 Loss -110 9 h 8 m Show

At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Tulsa/East Carolina game.  The Pirates have been installed as a road favorite of more than 2 touchdowns.  And they've gone 9-2 Under when priced from -14 to -27.5 points.  Likewise, the Golden Hurricane have gone 15-3 Under when priced from +14 to +27.5 points, including 5-0 Under at home.  The Pirates have played their last 4 games Over the total, and that has led to what I believe is an inflated over/under line for this game, as the O/U line opened significantly lower than where it sits today. We'll look for a relatively low-scoring game, as the Under falls into a 72.7% Totals system of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-11-24 Dolphins v. Rams UNDER 49 Top 23-15 Win 100 11 h 12 m Show

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Rams to go UNDER the total.  Miami has had a disappointing season, as it's 2-6, while the Rams enter with a 4-4 record.  The Dolphins have gone 56-41 Under the total on the road when they were a losing team, including 28-9 Under if the O/U line was greater than 44 points.  Meanwhile, the Rams have gone 29-16 Under the total in their last 45 home games, including 9-0 their last 9 (and 15-2 their last 17) when the O/U line was greater than 47 points.  And, regardless of home/away venue, when the O/U line was 49+ points, and the Rams have played a team without a winning record, the Rams have gone 11-0 Under the total.  The Rams also have played their last 4 Monday Night Football games Under the total, as well as Unders their last four games against the Dolphins.  Finally, the Under falls into a Totals system of mine which is 340-237.  Take tonight's game Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-10-24 49ers v. Bucs UNDER 50.5 Top 23-20 Win 100 9 h 59 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers and Tampa Bay Bucs to go UNDER the total.  The Buccaneers have played 6 straight Overs and have given up 30, 31, and 41 points in their last three games.  I'll look for a much lower-scoring game on Sunday, as NFL teams that gave up 30+ points in each of their two previous games have gone UNDER the total 58% when the O/U line was 50+ points.  Additionally, since Kyle Shanahan took over as head coach, the 49ers are 9-1-1 UNDER off a bye week, while the Bucs are 5-0 UNDER their last 5 when playing with a week off.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-09-24 Toronto v. Montreal UNDER 52 Top 30-28 Loss -110 6 h 39 m Show

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Montreal Alouettes and Toronto Argonauts to go UNDER the total.  Last week, the Argonauts erupted for a season-high 58 points, which was 19 points greater than their second-best offensive performance of the season.  Off that extremely high-scoring game, we'll look for a lower-scoring game in this CFL Playoff game.  Indeed, the Argos have gone 12-1 UNDER in competitively-priced games with point spreads of 3 or less, after scoring more than 35 points in their previous game.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-07-24 Bengals v. Ravens UNDER 53.5 Top 34-35 Loss -115 11 h 12 m Show

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Cincinnati/Baltimore game.  Both of these teams tallied 41 points lasts week.  The Bengals blew out Las Vegas, 41-24, while the Ravens routed Denver, 41-10.  I'll look for a much lower-scoring game tonite, as NFL games have gone UNDER the total 60.4% since 1980 if both teams scored 38+ points in their previous game, and the O/U line was 54 points or less.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-03-24 Lions v. Packers UNDER 47.5 Top 24-14 Win 100 9 h 3 m Show

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Detroit/Green Bay game.  The Lions have played their last 4 games OVER the total, including a 52-14 blowout of Tennessee last week.  I will look for a lower-scoring game this afternoon, as road teams off 4+ Overs have gone Under 60.2% since 1980 vs. division rivals, including 73.9% Under if they scored 40+ points in their previous game.  Moreover, there is rain in the forecast today, with winds at 15 to 25 mph.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-03-24 Cowboys v. Falcons UNDER 52 Top 21-27 Win 100 40 h 0 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Dallas Cowboys/Atlanta Falcons game.  The Cowboys enter this game off back to back Overs, as they were blown out, 47-9, by Detroit, and lost to San Francisco, 30-24.  I will take this game UNDER, as Dallas is 29-17 Under the total off back-to-back Overs, while Atlanta is 33-21 Under vs. an opponent off back-to-back Overs.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-03-24 Saints v. Panthers UNDER 43.5 Top 22-23 Loss -105 40 h 60 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers to go UNDER the total.  The first meeting between these two NFC South division rivals was in Week 1, and the Saints blew out the Panthers, 47-10.  That game went over the total of 41.5 by 15.5 points.  But prior to that meeting, these two teams had gone Under in 7 straight games.  I'll look for a reversion to the norm on Sunday, as the Under falls into a 339-255 Totals system of mine, as well as another 145-87 system.  Take the Under.

11-03-24 Patriots v. Titans UNDER 38 Top 17-20 Win 100 40 h 59 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Tennessee Titans to go UNDER the total.  Both of these teams come into this game off a string of Overs.  The Pats have gone Over in 3 straight, while the Titans have gone Over in 2 straight, including last week's 52-14 blowout loss to the Detroit Lions.  I'll look for a lower-scoring game on Sunday, as teams off back-to-back Overs that gave up more than 38 points in their previous game have gone Under 58.6% vs. foes off 3+ Overs.  Take the Pats/Titans game to go UNDER.

11-03-24 Chargers v. Browns OVER 42 Top 27-10 Loss -110 40 h 55 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns and Los Angeles Chargers to go OVER the total.  The Chargers went under the total of 41.5 last week vs. New Orleans, as they won, 26-8.  And that was L.A.'s 6th under in their 7 games.  A lot of bettors might look to play the under in this game, especially because the Browns are 5-3 under, themselves.  I'm going to look for a relatively high-scoring game, as the Over falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 59.2% of the time.  Additionally, the Chargers tend to go Under at home in non-division games (101-53 Under), but Over on the road outside the division (114-93 Over).  Take the Browns/Chargers game Over the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

11-02-24 Ottawa v. Toronto UNDER 51.5 Top 38-58 Loss -105 16 h 13 m Show

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Ottawa/Toronto game.  These two teams met two games ago (also here, in Toronto), and the Argonauts won a high-scoring game, 38-31.  Then, Toronto ended its regular season with another high-scoring game -- a 31-30 loss at Edmonton.  CFL Playoff teams have gone UNDER 64% if they tallied 30+ points in each of their two previous games.  Also, this season, the Argos were 5-0 UNDER off back-to-back OVERS.  Take Toronto and Ottawa UNDER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-28-24 Giants v. Steelers OVER 36 Top 18-26 Win 100 92 h 32 m Show

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Pittsburgh/New York Giants game.  Last week, in Russell Wilson's debut for the Steelers, Mike Tomlin's men racked up 37 points in a 22-point win over the Jets.  And that was the most points that the Steelers scored in a win since October 18, 2020, when they blew out Cleveland, 38-7.  I expect a relatively high-scoring game on Monday, and will take the OVER, as Pittsburgh has gone 75-51-2 OVER the total when the O/U line was less than 40 points, including 30-8-2 OVER when the Steelers were favored between -3.5 and -8.5 points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-27-24 Panthers v. Broncos UNDER 41.5 Top 14-28 Loss -110 64 h 45 m Show

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Carolina/Denver game.  The Panthers' defense is giving up 34.7 ppg this season.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for their games to go Over the total.  But consider that NFL teams with horrid defenses that give up more than 34 ppg, have gone 160-106 UNDER the total.  We played on Carolina/Washington UNDER last week, and got the $$$ in the Commanders' 40-7 win.  We'll take the UNDER once again, as it falls into a 112-55 totals system of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-27-24 Saints v. Chargers UNDER 41 Top 8-26 Win 100 63 h 29 m Show

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Under in the New Orleans/LA Chargers game.  The Chargers are 5-1 Under this season.  And their one game which went Over -- their 23-16 win at Denver -- only did so when the Broncos kicked a FG with 1:03 left in the game.  For those who follow coach Jim Harbaugh, this isn't a surprise, as the 49ers went 21-13 Under his last 2 seasons with them, as head coach.  I'll look for another low-scoring Chargers game on this Sunday.

10-27-24 Falcons v. Bucs UNDER 46 Top 31-26 Loss -115 60 h 26 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Atlanta/Tampa Bay game.  The Bucs lost their top 2 receivers when Chris Godwin and Mike Evans went down with injuries in Monday's loss to Baltimore.  QB Baker Mayfield will now have to rely on rookie Jalen McMillan, ex-NY Giant, Sterling Shepard, and 2nd year-pro, Trey Palmer.  Although the Buccaneers have played their last four games Over the total, including a 36-30 overtime loss at Atlanta three games ago, I expect their offense to take a major step backwards on Sunday.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-27-24 Cardinals v. Dolphins OVER 45.5 Top 28-27 Win 100 60 h 25 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Arizona/Miami game.  Tua Tagovailoa is set to return from the injured reserve this week, and I'll pull the trigger on the Dolphins and Cards to go Over the total.  Without their star QB under center, the Dolphins' offense has sputtered in their last four games, and averaged just 10 points.  Three of those four games went Under the total.  For the season, Miami is averaging just 11.66 ppg.  And NFL teams that average 11.66 (or less) points, and have gone Under their previous two games, have proceeded to play OVERS in their next game 66% of the time.  Take the Over.

10-23-24 Middle Tennessee State v. Jacksonville State UNDER 64.5 Top 20-42 Win 100 12 h 1 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Jacksonville State/Middle Tennessee State game.  The Gamecocks come into this game off 3 straight blowout wins over Southern Miss (44-7), Kennesaw State (63-24) and New Mexico State (54-13).  The Gamecocks have played five of their six games Over the total this season, but we'll look for a much lower-scoring game tonight.  Indeed, NCAA teams off back to back games where they topped 50 points have gone Under 56%.  Additionally, the Under falls into 126-61 and 141-73 Totals systems of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-21-24 Ravens v. Bucs UNDER 50 Top 41-31 Loss -110 16 h 3 m Show

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the game between the Baltimore Ravens and Tampa Bay Bucs.  Each of these two teams comes into back to back high-scoring games that went over the total.  The Ravens' last two games totaled 53 and 79, while the Bucs' previous two games went for 78 and 66.  We'll look for a much lower-scoring game on Monday night, as Baltimore is 32-13 UNDER the total off back-to-back overs, including 23-6 UNDER its last 29 when the O/U line was 42+ points.  Even better:  NFL Monday games have gone Under 67.6% the last 41 years if both teams were off back to back overs, and each team's previous two games combined for more than 100 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-20-24 Panthers v. Commanders UNDER 51.5 Top 7-40 Win 100 36 h 24 m Show

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Washington/Carolina game. Each of these two teams has played five of their six games Over the total. Of course, the reasons for this are vastly different. The Commanders' games have been going over due to an offense which has averaged 29.66 ppg, while the Panthers' games have been going over due to a defense which has given up 33.83 ppg. But teams with horrible defenses that give up more than 31 ppg tend to go under the total (371-297 UNDER), as do match-ups between teams that average 29+ points and teams that give up 29+ points. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-20-24 Seahawks v. Falcons UNDER 51.5 Top 34-14 Win 100 36 h 15 m Show

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the under in the Atlanta/Seattle game. Both of these teams come into this game off 3 straight overs. And their games last week were very high-scoring, as Seattle’s game went over the total by 11 points, while Atlanta’s game went over by 12 points. Dating back to 1980, NFL games have tended to go under the total when each team was off 3 overs, and especially if they both went over the total by 10+ points in their previous game. In that situation, the under has cashed 69 percent over the last 45 seasons. We’ll take the UNDER in Seattle/Atlanta.

10-13-24 Bengals v. Giants UNDER 47 Top 17-7 Win 100 31 h 21 m Show

At 8:20 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/New York game.  I'll look for a relatively low-scoring game on Sunday night, as the Giants have gone 68-45 Under the total when the O/U line was greater than 46 points, while the Bengals are 37-10 Under on the road when the O/U line was greater than 46 points.  Additionally, the Under falls into a 336-233-12 Totals system of mine.  Take the Giants and Bengals Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-12-24 Edmonton Elks v. Calgary UNDER 51.5 Top 23-18 Win 100 35 h 46 m Show

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Calgary Stampeders and Edmonton Elks to go UNDER the total. The defenses of these two teams are both surrendering a lot of points. The Elks' defense is giving up 28.25 ppg, while the Stampeders' defense is allowing 30.0 ppg. The upshot is that each team has tended to play high-scoring games that have gone over the total. The Elks have gone 10-5-1 over the total, including each of its last two games, while the Stampeders have gone 9-6 over. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game, here. But we will run the other way, and look for this game to go under the total, as Edmonton is 7-0-1 UNDER following back-to-back overs. Additionally, the first two meetings between these teams went over the total. However, CFL games have gone UNDER 60% if the season's two prior meetings both went over. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-12-24 Tigers v. Guardians OVER 6 Top 3-7 Win 101 10 h 3 m Show

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians 'over' the total.  Pretty much everything that can be said about Tarik Skubal's pitching has been said.  The presumed AL Cy Young winner was brilliant this season going 18-4 with a league-leading 2.39 ERA and 228 strikeouts.  But what may not be as well-known is how the Tigers support their 27-year-old southpaw ace at the plate.  In fact, in Skubal's last 12 regular season starts, the Tigers scored six or more runs six times.  With everything on the line today, Cleveland will go with its own lefthander in Matthew Boyd.  The 33-year-old has been very good since joining the Guardians in June but he's heading into uncharted waters today in this winner-take-all matchup.  The over is 11-6 in Skubal's last 17 starts as a road favorite.  Take the 'over.'  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

10-11-24 Toronto v. Winnipeg UNDER 50 Top 14-11 Win 100 37 h 43 m Show

At 8:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Toronto Argonauts to go Under the total.  We played on the Under in Winnipeg's game vs. Hamilton last week, and were rewarded with a low-scoring 31-10 win by the Blue Bombers.  That moved Winnipeg's O/U record this season to 13-3 Under the total.  These two teams met in Toronto earlier this season, and the Argos won a very low-scoring game, 16-14.  Winnipeg is 93-62-4 Under the total when playing with revenge, including 75-38 when the O/U line was 49+ points.  Take Winnipeg + Toronto Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

10-10-24 Yankees v. Royals UNDER 7.5 Top 3-1 Win 100 12 h 23 m Show
At 8:08 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees and Kansas City Royals 'under' the total.  For Game 4 of this ALDS series, the Yanks and Royals will reset to their Game 1 starters with New York sending out ace RH Gerrit Cole and Kansas City going back to RH Michael Wacha.  While we are very familiar with Cole and how dominant he can be, Wacha is a bit of an enigma.  The 32-year-old was inconsistent in his seven seasons in St. Louis and since then he has been with five different teams in five seasons (2020-2024).  The first two in New York (Mets) and Tampa were bad but they were also affected by injury.  The last three however have seen Wacha thrive in Boston, San Diego, and now KC.  In each of those three seasons, Wacha has posted a winning record with an ERA under 3.5 runs and a WHIP under 1.2.  If he and Cole are each on their game tonight in spacious Kauffman Stadium, runs could be scarce.  Wacha posted a 2.69 ERA in his home starts this season and the Under was 4-1 in his last five starts of the regular season.  Even better:  the Royals are 24-7-1 Under their last 32 games, while the Yankees are 14-9-2 Under their last 25.  Take the 'under.'  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
10-07-24 Royals v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 Top 4-2 Win 100 15 h 28 m Show

At 7:38 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Royals and New York Yankees 'under' the total.  Game 1 of the ALDS was a back-and-forth affair with five lead changes before the Yankees finally prevailed, 6-5.  Game 2 is tonight, back in the Bronx, and it will feature a pair of southpaw starters who have been pretty stingy lately.  Carlos Rodon finished the season with a career-high 16 wins.  And although his overall ERA of 3.96 in 32 starts doesn't jump off the page at you, the 31-year-old really turned it up in the second half.  In 12 starts after the break, Rodon went 7-2 with a 2.91 ERA.  He also flourished at home this season, going 9-2 with a 3.11 ERA in 14 starts here at Yankee Stadium.  LH Cole Ragans of the Royals broke out in a big way this season, going 11-9 with a 3.14 ERA in 32 starts with 223 strikeouts in 186 1/3 innings.  He shut down the Orioles in Game 1 of the Wild Card series, throwing six innings of shutout, four-hit ball with eight strikeouts in a 1-0 victory.  The under was 13-2 in Ragans' 15 road starts during the regular season.  And the under has also cashed his last 7 starts, overall.  Take Game 2 under the total.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

10-06-24 Ravens v. Bengals UNDER 49.5 Top 41-38 Loss -110 37 h 45 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/Baltimore game.  The Ravens have been installed as a small road favorite at Cincinnati.  And when the Ravens are a road favorite, they've gone UNDER the total 50-31-2.  That bodes well for a low-scoring game on Sunday.  As does the fact that division games that are competitively-priced with point spreads of 3 or less, have gone 211-156 (57.4%) UNDER when the O/U line was 45 (or more) points.  Take the Ravens + Bengals Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-05-24 Pittsburgh v. North Carolina UNDER 64 Top 34-24 Win 100 12 h 57 m Show

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the North Carolina/Pittsburgh game.  The Panthers rolled up 73 points in their last game.  But that was against Youngstown St., an FCS division school.  Pitt will find the sledding a lot more difficult Saturday at North Carolina, and I look for a relatively low-scoring game.  Indeed, road favorites have gone UNDER 68% in FBS games following an FCS win, in which they scored more than 50 points, if the O/U line was > 59 points.  And North Carolina has gone 27-16 UNDER as a home underdog, and also 67% UNDER vs. foes that topped 50 points in their previous game.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

10-04-24 Winnipeg v. Hamilton UNDER 50.5 Top 31-10 Win 100 35 h 55 m Show

At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Hamilton/Winnipeg game.  Last week, Winnipeg erupted for 55 points in a 55-27 blowout of Edmonton.  But prior to that offensive explosion, the Blue Bombers had averaged just 23 ppg.  And they had gone UNDER the total in 12 of their previous 14 games!  Winnipeg has also gone UNDER in 24 of the last 34 meetings with Hamilton.  We'll look for Winnipeg to revert to form on Friday, and take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

09-30-24 Titans v. Dolphins OVER 37 Top 31-12 Win 100 17 h 39 m Show

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Tennessee/Miami game.  The Dolphins come into this game off an outing where they scored just 3 points (a 24-3 loss to the Seahawks).  And Miami has played each of its first three games Under the total.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here, especially with backup QB Tyler Huntley getting the start.  But NFL teams tend to go OVER the total in Week 4 after commencing a season with 3 straight Unders, and especially when the O/U line is in the 35 to 42.5-point range (42-22-1 OVER).  Indeed, yesterday, the Falcons, Steelers, Vikings and Bears all went Over the total after starting the season with 3 Unders (only the Chargers went Under on Sunday after starting with 3 Unders).  Take the Titans/Dolphins OVER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-29-24 Steelers v. Colts OVER 40 Top 24-27 Win 100 104 h 56 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Pittsburgh/Indianapolis game.  The Steelers have the best defense in the league, as they’re giving up just 8.66 points per game. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a low-scoring game here. But consider that great defensive teams with scoring averages of less than 11.6 points per game, have gone OVER the total 130-99 since 1980, at Game 4 forward.  I’ll take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-29-24 Bengals v. Panthers UNDER 48.5 Top 34-24 Loss -105 104 h 53 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/Carolina game.  The Panthers have been installed as a home underdog.  And they've gone 16-4 UNDER when they were a home dog.  Even better:  the Bengals have gone 37-9 UNDER away from home when the O/U line was greater than 46 points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-28-24 South Alabama v. LSU UNDER 65.5 Top 10-42 Win 100 13 h 23 m Show

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the LSU/South Alabama game.  The Over/Under number for this game has been installed in the mid-60s.  I look for a relatively low-scoring game, as the UNDER falls into a 70-23 Totals system of mine.  Moreover, the Jaguars have gone 41-23-3 UNDER when the O/U line was greater than 54 points.  Take LSU and South Alabama UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-28-24 Ottawa v. Saskatchewan UNDER 51.5 Top 9-26 Win 100 59 h 39 m Show

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Saskatchewan/Ottawa game.  The O/U line for this game has been installed at 51.5.  We'll take the UNDER, as the Redblacks have gone 13-5 UNDER on the road when the O/U line was north of 51 points.  Likewise, the Roughriders are 18-8 UNDER at home when the O/U line was greater than 51 points.  These two teams met in Ottawa last month, and that game finished in a 22-22 tie -- easily going UNDER the total of 48.5 -- as it was tied at 13 at the end of regulation.  The number for this game is considerably higher, and I think the value is squarely on the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-27-24 Hamilton v. BC UNDER 53.5 Top 32-29 Loss -110 65 h 28 m Show

At 10:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and British Columbia Lions to go UNDER the total.  The Ti-Cats have gone 'over' the total each of their last 3 games, including a 33-31 victory at Toronto last week, which went over the total of 52.5 by 11.5 points.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here, especially because the previous meeting between these teams this season was a 44-28 win by BC.  But Hamilton has gone 20-9 UNDER its last 29 road games where the O/U line was 47+ points.  And CFL games have also gone 77-56-1 UNDER when a team played its previous three games Over the total, and went Over by 7+ points in its previous game.  Take the Lions & Tiger-Cats UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

09-22-24 Chargers v. Steelers OVER 35.5 Top 10-20 Loss -110 59 h 59 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Pittsburgh Steelers/Los Angeles Chargers game.  Both the Chargers and Steelers come into this game playing great defense.  Los Angeles held the Raiders to 10 and the Panthers to 3, while the Steelers held Atlanta to 10, and Denver to 6.  Teams that opened the season with 2 strong defensive games, and held each of their two opponents to 15 (or less) points, have gone OVER the total 71% since 2007.  Take the Steelers/Chargers OVER.

09-22-24 Packers v. Titans OVER 38 Top 30-14 Win 100 59 h 59 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Green Bay/Tennessee game.  Last Sunday, the Packers upset the Indianapolis Colts, 16-10, as a 2-point home underdog.  This week, Green Bay will travel to Nashville to play a Titans team which lost its first two games by the identical score of 24-17.  Green Bay is 65-37 OVER the total after not scoring 17+ points in its previous game, while Tennessee is 59-41 OVER the total off a point spread loss.  Take the OVER.

09-22-24 Giants v. Browns OVER 38 Top 21-15 Loss -112 20 h 39 m Show

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New York Giants/Cleveland Browns game.  The defenses of these two teams have not played well thus far.  The Browns' defense is allowing 23 ppg (ranking #23), and gave up 33 to Dallas (which only scored 19 vs. New Orleans).  Meanwhile, the Giants are allowing 24.5 ppg (ranking #26).  By my math, this Over/Under line is too low, and the value is on the OVER.  Additionally, the Browns are 9-3 OVER the total off a win, and the OVER also falls into 82-35 and 60-18 Totals system of mine.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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