Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-20-23 | Warriors -9.5 v. Rockets | Top | 121-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Houston. The Warriors' road losing streak is now 11 straight following their 133-119 loss at Memphis, on Saturday. The good news for Golden State tonight is that it will be playing an opponent with the 2nd worst NBA record on the season. The 18-53 Rockets are also 28-41-2 ATS, including 4-13 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses. Golden State has won 9 straight in this series (6-2-1 ATS). This season, the Warriors are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS with the average win by 13.67 points. And since 2001, the Warriors' average victory in their nine games vs. Houston has been by 14 points. I expect more of the same, here. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-20-23 | Radford +6.5 v. San Jose State | Top | 67-57 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Radford Highlanders + the points over San Jose State. The Spartans blew out Southern Indiana, 77-52, on Saturday. We'll fade the Spartans off that big win, as they're 0-7 ATS their last seven (and 2-11 ATS their last 13) off a 25-point win. And Radford is 7-0 ATS its last 7 as an underdog of +4 (or more) points. Take the Highlanders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-20-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. Indiana State -6 | Top | 89-88 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores minus the points over Eastern Kentucky. We played against the Sycamores as a double-digit favorite on Saturday, and got the $$$ with South Carolina Upstate. The tariff is lower today, and we'll lay the smaller number vs. the Colonels. Eastern Kentucky won yesterday, 91-75, vs. Cleveland State. Unfortunately, the Colonels are 10-30 ATS off a 14-point SU/ATS win, if they were not getting 10+ points. Take Indiana State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-23 | Utah Valley v. Colorado -4 | Top | 81-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Utah Valley St. This is the Buffaloes' second straight home game, while the Wolverines are playing their second straight road game following their 83-69 upset at New Mexico. Colorado is 67% ATS at home when playing the 2nd of back to back home games against a foe playing the second of back to back road games. And teams (like Utah Valley) off upset wins in the opening round of the NIT Tourney have covered just 38.3% vs. foes not off an upset NIT Tourney win. Lay the points with the Buffaloes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-23 | Michigan State +3 v. Marquette | Top | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans + the points over Marquette. The Spartans blew out Southern Cal, 72-62, as a 2.5-point favorite, and have been installed as a small underdog vs. the Big East Champion Golden Eagles, who crushed Vermont, 78-61. We'll grab the points with the Spartans, as Tom Izzo's men have gone 24-10 ATS in the NCAA Tournament in competitively-priced games with point spreads less than 5 points, including 11-1 ATS off an 8-point (or greater) win, and 5-0 ATS in the Tourney's 2nd round. Even better: teams (like Marquette) riding 10-game (or longer) win streaks, have covered just 36.1% in the NCAA Tourney's 2nd Round off a double-digit SU/ATS win in Round 1. Take Michigan State + the points. |
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03-19-23 | Suns v. Thunder -1 | Top | 120-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Phoenix. The Thunder are in 9th place in the tightly bunched Western Conference, but are just 2 games behind Phoenix, which sits in 4th place. So, if OKC can get hot down the stretch, it can surely reach that all-important #4 seed. Today's game is critical for that objective. These teams met earlier this season, and the Suns blew out OKC by 31 points. We'll take the Thunder in the rematch, as favorites have covered 56% when playing with revenge from a 30-point (or worse) defeat. Additionally, OKC is 62-42 ATS as a revenge-minded home favorite. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-23 | Eastern Washington v. Oklahoma State -11 | Top | 60-71 | Push | 0 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
At 2 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Oklahoma St Cowboys minus the points over Eastern Washington. The Cowboys have covered 60.3% since 1990 in non-conference home games when favored by 12 or less points, while the Eagles are 26-37 ATS as a road underdog in non-conference games. Lay the points. |
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03-19-23 | Rice v. Duquesne -5 | Top | 84-78 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 27 m | Show |
At 1:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes minus the points over Rice. The Dukes come into this CBI Tournament game off back to back blowout losses to La Salle (81-70) and Fordham (87-60). But we'll lay the points with Duquesne on Sunday, as .600 (or better) Atlantic 10 Conference teams have gone 11-0 ATS in the tourneys against non-conference foes not off back to back losses. And Conference USA underdogs, priced from +3.5 to +7 points, have been a wallet-busting 15-39 ATS in the post-season vs. non-conference foes. Take Duquesne minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-23 | Pittsburgh v. Xavier -5 | Top | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers minus the points over Pittsburgh. The Panthers upset the Cyclones, 59-41, on Friday, which was their second straight upset win in this Tournament (they also upset Mississippi St in the 'play-in' round). Unfortunately for Jeff Capel's men, NCAA teams seeded #6 or worse, have cashed just 35% since 1990 off a win by 15+ points, if they were an underdog of 6 or less points in their current game. And teams off back to back upset wins in the NCAA tourney have covered just 31% since 1990 vs. foes off a point spread loss. Lay the points with the Musketeers. |
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03-18-23 | Heat -3.5 v. Bulls | Top | 99-113 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Chicago. The Heat will be the beneficiaries of a favorable schedule tonight, as it will be Miami's 3rd game in 7 days, but Chicago's 3rd game in 4 days. Even worse for Chicago: Miami had the last two nights off, while the Bulls played last night, and had to go into double-overtime in their 139-131 victory over the Timberwolves. All of this is reason enough to fade the Bulls. But we also get the added benefit of the Heat playing with revenge from not 1, but 2 home losses. Lay the points with the Heat. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-18-23 | Penn State +5.5 v. Texas | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Texas. There were a lot of impressive performances in the opening round. But most were not as impressive as the Nittany Lions' upset blowout win over a very good Texas A&M squad. Penn State was a 2.5-point underdog, but destroyed the Aggies, 76-59. The Nittany Lions held A&M to just 33.9% FG shooting. And that was PSU's 6th straight cover. Even more astounding: the Nittany Lions are now 15-0-2 ATS their last 17 neutral court games (and 31-7-4 ATS their last 42). Take the Nittany Lions + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-18-23 | Auburn v. Houston -5 | Top | 64-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Auburn. The Coogs come into this game vs. Auburn off back to back ATS losses. But the good news is that Houston is 10-0 ATS off back to back point spread defeats, when priced from -5 to -20. Lay the points with the #1-seeded Cougars. |
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03-18-23 | Princeton v. Missouri -6 | Top | 78-63 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over the Princeton Tigers. Princeton had a huge win on Thursday when it eliminated the #2-seeded Arizona Wildcats, 59-55. Unfortunately, underdogs of +7 or less points have gone 0-9 ATS following a upset tourney win as a double-digit dog. Take Missouri. |
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03-18-23 | Duke v. Tennessee +4 | Top | 52-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
At 2:40 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers + the points over Duke. The Blue Devils have won their last 2 games by double-digits, including a 23-point blowout of Oral Roberts on Thursday. Unfortunately, the Dukies are an awful 1-11 ATS off back to back double-digit wins. And Tennessee is 33-19 ATS as an underdog in non-conference games. Take the Volunteers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-18-23 | Hofstra v. Cincinnati -1.5 | Top | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
At 2 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Hofstra. The Bearcats are 13-2 ATS their last 15 as a home favorite, and we'll lay the small number on this Saturday afternoon, as they fall into a Tourney system of mine which is 94-45 ATS. Take the Bearcats. |
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03-18-23 | Michigan v. Vanderbilt -1 | Top | 65-66 | Push | 0 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over Michigan. We played on both of these teams in their opening round games, and cashed with Michigan over Toledo, and Vanderbilt over Yale. The Commodores are on a red-hot 11-2 SU/ATS run, and I won't step in front of them here, at home. Moreover, the Wolverines had their 2nd best shooting game of the season vs. Toledo, as they converted 58.2% of their attempts. But Michigan is 1-8 ATS following a 55% (or better) shooting performance. Take Vanderbilt. |
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03-18-23 | USC Upstate +10 v. Indiana State | Top | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 101 h 56 m | Show |
At 11 am, on Saturday, our selection is on the South Carolina Upstate Spartans + the points over Indiana St. This CBI Tournament game will be played at a neutral site, in Daytona Beach, Florida. The Sycamores have been installed as a big favorite. But they're an ugly 13-25 ATS in non-conference games when favored by more than 7 points. Meanwhile, USC Upstate is 40-21 ATS its last 61 when not favored by more than 1 point. Finally, the Big South Conference has been extremely strong in the minor post-season tournaments, as its teams have gone 17-6 ATS, while the Missouri Valley Conference is 22-31 ATS its last 53 minor tournament games. Grab the points with the Spartans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-23 | Kent State v. Indiana -4.5 | Top | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show |
At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Kent St. The Golden Flashes won the Mid-American Conference with a 93-78 win over Toledo. Toledo then went to play Michigan in the NIT Tournament, and we had our NIT Game of the Year on Michigan, which won 90-80. Here, we have another MAC Conference vs. Big 10 Conference match-up. As I highlighted three days ago in our Michigan/Toledo write-up, the MAC has not performed well vs. the Big 10, as it's 114-148 ATS, including 0-8 ATS its last eight (and 20-41 ATS its last 61) when priced from -2 to +8 points. Indiana, in particular, has done great against MAC teams, with a 26-1 SU and 19-8 ATS record. Kent St, meanwhile, is 3-11 SU and 4-10 ATS vs. Big 10 foes. Finally, one of my favorite systems, which is 59-25 ATS applies to Indiana, while a negative 113-224 ATS system goes against Kent St. We'll lay the points with the Hoosiers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-23 | Montana State v. Kansas State -7.5 | Top | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 31 h 26 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Montana St. The Wildcats lost their last two games to end their season. But they were underdogs in each game. K-State is favored by a healthy margin tonight, and it's 14-4 ATS as a favorite this season, including 7-0 ATS its last seven. Even better: off back to back ATS losses, the Wildcats are 8-1 ATS their last nine. Meanwhile, the Bobcats are a poor 2-9 ATS as a dog of 2+ points off back to back conference wins. And they're 13-27 ATS off back to back wins when matched up against a foe off back to back losses. Lay the points with Kansas State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Memphis -1.5 | Top | 66-65 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 13 m | Show |
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Florida Atlantic. The Tigers smashed #1-ranked Houston in the AAC Tourney, 75-65, as a 5.5-point dog. They'll now take on a 31-3 Owls squad which ran roughshod through a comparatively-week Conference USA. We'll take Memphis, as the Tigers are 54-17-5 ATS vs. .555 (or better) Conference USA foes when not favored by more than 5 points. And the Tigers are also 40-17-2 ATS off an upset win, including 9-0-1 ATS when not favored by more the 5 points. Take the Tigers. |
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03-17-23 | NC State +5.5 v. Creighton | Top | 63-72 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 27 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Creighton. The Wolfpack were blown out by Clemson, 80-54, in the ACC Tourney. Off that loss, we'll back The Pack, as NC State is 7-1-1 ATS off a loss this season. And .720 (or worse) ACC Conference teams are 95-53 ATS as underdogs off a 25-point loss, when playing a winning foe. Take the Wolfpack. |
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03-17-23 | VCU v. St. Mary's -4 | Top | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 31 h 22 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the St. Mary's Gaels minus the points over VCU. The Gaels lost, 77-51, to their nemesis, Gonzaga, in last week's West Coast Conference title game. But off that loss, we'll take Randy Bennett's men to bounce back in a big way on Friday afternoon. The Gaels are an awesome 12-1 ATS off a loss the past two seasons. And, dating back 15 seasons, St Mary's is 44-20 ATS in non-conference games off a point spread defeat. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-23 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Baylor -10.5 | Top | 56-74 | Win | 100 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Cal-Santa Barbara. The Bears lost back-to-back games to Iowa State to end its Big 12 Conference season. The good news for the Bears is that they're 51-18 ATS off back to back losses when facing a .555 (or better) opponent. Additionally, Big 12 Conference teams have cashed 64% in the NCAA Tournament off back to back SU/ATS losses. Finally, Big West Conference underdogs of more than 4 points are a soft 16-31 ATS in the post-season vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss. Take Baylor. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-23 | Kennesaw State v. Xavier -12.5 | Top | 67-72 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
At 12:40 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers minus the points over Kennesaw St. The Owls were seeded #1 in the Atlantic Sun Tournament, and defeated Queens U., Lipscomb, and Liberty en route to the conference championship. But all three games were played in Kennesaw's home arena. And its home court advantage was a big reason why it won its tournament, as it won two of those three games by a single point, each. I am not a fan of playing on such teams -- that win their conference tournament on their home court -- here in the NCAA Tournament. It's a different story altogether when you're playing on a neutral court. The Musketeers have excelled in post-season, neutral court games vs. non-conference foes, as they're 31-14-4 ATS. Lay the points with Xavier. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-23 | Penn State v. Texas A&M -2.5 | Top | 76-59 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Penn State. Penn State was 4-0 ATS in the Big 10 Tournament, but fell to Purdue in the title game, 67-65, as a 7.5-point underdog. Meanwhile, the Aggies were blown out by the SEC's #1 team, Alabama, 82-63, on Sunday. But off that loss, we'll take Texas A&M to bounce back tonight. The Aggies are 61-34 ATS away from home off a loss, including 27-7 ATS as a favorite. And .625 (or better) Big 10 Underdogs, on a 4-game (or better) ATS win streak, have gone 11-28 ATS in non-conference games. Take Texas A&M. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-23 | UL - Lafayette v. Tennessee -11 | Top | 55-58 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette. The Rajin' Cajuns 17-9-2 ATS their last 27 as a favorite, but are 1-8 ATS their last nine as an underdog, including 0-6 ATS their last six. That doesn't inspire confidence in them tonight against a Tennessee team looking to bounce back from an upset loss to Missouri. The Vols are 20-10 ATS off an away upset loss, and 36-18 ATS in non-conference games off an 8-point (or worse) defeat. Meanwhile, the Sun Belt Conference has been horrible vs. the SEC Conference when playing at home, or on neutral courts, as the Sun Belt teams have gone 17-40-3 ATS. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-23 | Kings v. Nets -2 | Top | 101-96 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Sacramento Kings. Brooklyn was blown out, 153-121, when these two teams met earlier this season, in California. And that was the 2nd most points the Nets have given up in a game over the past 33 seasons. We'll take Brooklyn to avenge that loss, as NBA teams have gone 19-6 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss in which they surrendered 150+ points, including a perfect 6-0 ATS as a favorite. Take Brooklyn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi +24.5 v. Alabama | Top | 75-96 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders + the points over Alabama. The Crimson Tide come into this game off an 82-63 win in the SEC Conference Championship game. But off that blowout win, we'll fade Nate Oats men this afternoon. Indeed, Alabama is an awful 13-49-1 ATS when favored by more than 10 points after scoring 75+ points in winning its previous game. Take Corpus Christi. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-23 | Howard v. Kansas -21.5 | Top | 68-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Howard. Kansas will look to rebound off its 76-56 loss to Texas in the Big 12 Tourney. The Jayhawks tend to get off to a good start in this tournament, as they're 19-11 ATS in the opening round, including 16-6 when not favored by 23.5 (or more) points. And they also do well off blowout losses, as they're 27-3-1 ATS following a defeat by 12+ points. Take the Jayhawks. |
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03-16-23 | Utah State -1 v. Missouri | Top | 65-76 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
At 1:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Missouri. The Tigers have been installed as a small underdog this afternoon. Unfortuately, Missouri is an awful 37-75 ATS as an underdog (or PK) away from home, if its W/L percentage was between .500 and .875. That doesn't bode well for Missouri, here. Nor does the fact that Utah State is 47-23 ATS as a favorite, including 7-0 ATS its last seven. Lay the points. |
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03-15-23 | Cal-Irvine v. Oregon -7 | Top | 58-84 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Cal Irvine. This will be the 2nd meeting between these two teams this season. In Round 1, Irvine came into Eugene and stunned the Ducks, 69-56, as a 15.5-point road underdog. The point spread is significantly lower tonight, and we'll lay the points with the homestanding Ducks as they're 8-0-1 ATS when playing with revenge in the post-season, when priced from +1 to -11 points. Take the Ducks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-15-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves | Top | 104-102 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Minnesota. The Celts lost to the woeful Houston Rockets, 111-109, on Monday. Off that embarrassing defeat, we'll take Boston to bounce back tonight, as it's 11-4 ATS on the road off exactly 1 loss. And Minnesota is a wallet-busting 17-47 ATS as a home dog of more than 4 points vs. a foe off an upset loss. Take Boston. |
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03-15-23 | Lakers v. Rockets +2.5 | Top | 110-114 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over the Los Angeles Lakers. Neither LeBron James nor Anthony Davis will play tonight vs. the Rockets. We'll go against the Lakers, who are 42-66-1 ATS as a road favorite when not playing with revenge. Grab the points with Houston. |
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03-15-23 | 76ers v. Cavs +2.5 | Top | 118-109 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Philadelphia. The Cavs won last night, notwithstanding the absence of G Donovan Mitchell. But he'll play tonight, which is all we need to pull the trigger on the homestanding Cavaliers. The Sixers are 0-16-1 ATS off back to back wins, when installed as a road favorite vs. a foe off a SU win. Take the Cavaliers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-15-23 | UCF v. Florida -2 | Top | 67-49 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Central Florida. The Gators lost, 69-68, to Mississippi St. last Thursday. But they covered the 5-point spread, which was their 3rd straight ATS win. We'll lay the points with Florida, as it's 44-27-1 ATS as a favorite in the post-season, and 8-1 ATS its last nine as a favorite vs. foes off a SU loss. Meanwhile, the Knights are a poor 13-25-2 ATS as a post-season underdog. Take Florida. |
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03-14-23 | Yale v. Vanderbilt -3 | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over Yale. On the heels of a dreadful first half, in which it was outscored 49-25, the Commodores lost to a very good Texas A&M team in the SEC Tournament. But they had won 10 of 11 games prior to that defeat (9-2 ATS). And they made a nice showing in the 2nd half, where they outscored the Aggies, 50-38. We'll take Vandy to bounce back tonight, as it's 32-19 ATS off a loss, and 9-2 ATS its last 11 post-season games. And it's a sensational 44-21-4 ATS when not laying 8+ points. Take the Commodores. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-14-23 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Raptors | Top | 110-125 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Toronto Raptors. The Nuggets enter tonight on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. But Mike Malone's men are 31-12-2 ATS off 3 ATS losses when playing a .400 (or better) opponent, including 9-1-1 ATS on the Eastern Conference road. Take the Nuggets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-14-23 | Pistons v. Wizards -13 | Top | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over the Detroit Pistons. Last night, the Pistons snapped their 11-game losing streak with a 117-97 blowout win over the Indiana Pacers. Unfortunately, Isaiah Livers sustained a hip injury, and will be in street clothes with several other Pistons, including Jaden Ivey, Bojan Bogdanovic, and Alec Burks. Meanwhile, Cory Joseph - who led the way last night with 22 points in 32 minutes - is 'questionable' to play. Likewise, the Wizards will be without Kyle Kuzma, but their depth is significantly better than Detroit's. The Pistons are an awful 10-34-3 ATS off a win by more than 7 points. Take Washington. |
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03-14-23 | Toledo v. Michigan -6 | Top | 80-90 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Toledo. The Wolverines fizzled-out in the Big 10 Tourney, as they were blown out, 62-50, by Rutgers. The good news for Michigan here is that it's been terrific off a straight-up loss, as it's 86-50-2 ATS. Even better: the Big 10 Conference has been very profitable in the NIT Tournament, with a 84-61-2 ATS record, while the MAC Conference is under water with a 26-32-2 ATS record. This will be Toledo's first post-season meeting vs. a Big 10 foe. But in its regular season meetings, it's gone 2-11 SU and 5-8 ATS, including 0-4 ATS when not getting 9+ points. And that dovetails with the Mid-American Conference's poor record, overall, vs. the Big 10, as the MAC is 114-147 ATS, including 0-7 ATS its last seven (and 20-40 ATS its last 60) when priced from -2 to +8 points. These two teams last met two seasons ago, and the Wolves won, 91-71, with center Hunter Dickinson scoring 18 points, with 7 rebounds and 4 blocks. Toledo has no one in its starting 5 who can effectively defend Dickinson. Take the Wolverines to blow out the Rockets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-13-23 | Suns v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix. We played on the Warriors Saturday night vs. Milwaukee, and were rewarded with a 9-point overtime win. We also played against Phoenix that night, and won that, as well, when the Sacramento Kings upset the Suns, 128-119. Almost unbelievably, the defending champion Warriors are just 35-33 on the season. The reason, of course, is that they've been unable to win on the road all year. They have a road record of 7-26, which is the exact same record as the worst team in basketball -- the 15-53 Detroit Pistons! Of course, the opposite has been true for Golden State at home. The Warriors are 28-7 in San Francisco, which ranks up there with Memphis (28-5), Denver (30-6), and Milwaukee (28-6). For the season, the Warriors' point spread differential between their home and road games is 9.36, which is the 2nd biggest positive differential at this point in the season since 1990 (and 3rd biggest differential, whether positive or negative). Last season, the Warriors were also better at home, but the point spread differential was "only" 4.32. And Golden State was 32-19-2 ATS in its 53 home games last season (compared to 22-27-2 ATS on the road). This season, the Warriors are an ugly 9-23-1 ATS on the road, but 23-11-1 ATS at home, including 7-0 ATS their last seven. I won't fade these numbers. Take Golden State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-12-23 | Thunder v. Spurs +3.5 | Top | 102-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Oklahoma City. This is the season's 3rd meeting between these Western Conference foes. And OKC won Rounds 1 + 2, by scores of 119-111 and 130-114. We'll take the revenge-minded Spurs, as they're 42-29-1 ATS in the regular season at home when playing with revenge. Last night, the Thunder won at New Orleans, 110-96, while the Spurs had Saturday off after upsetting the Nuggets, 128-120, as a 12-point dog. More good news for San Antonio: it's 109-84-3 ATS vs. unrested foes. Take the Spurs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-12-23 | Nets v. Nuggets -8.5 | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Brooklyn. The Nuggets pulled a clunker in their last game when they lost to the woeful San Antonio Spurs, 128-120. Meanwhile, the Nets won on Friday in Minnesota, as a 4.5-point underdog, 124-123. And that was Brooklyn's 5th straight ATS win. I think its win streak will get snapped today, as it will be playing its 3rd game in 4 days. And road teams have covered just 35% in Denver since 1990, if they were playing their 3rd game in 4 nights (and Denver wasn't), and both teams were rested. That bodes well for the Nuggets this afternoon. As does the fact that Denver is 31-11 ATS on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak when playing .400 (or better) foes. Finally, the Nuggets fall into 40-12, 109-61 and 150-93 ATS systems of mine based on their upset loss. Take Denver. |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -4 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Texas A&M. We cashed our SEC Game of the Month on the Aggies last weekend over Alabama, as A&M won, 67-61, as a 1.5-point home favorite. We'll take Alabama in this rematch, as it's 28-18 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 11-4 ATS in the post-season. And Texas A&M is a soft 10-19-1 ATS as an underdog of +3 (or more) points vs. a revenge-minded foe the Aggies defeated in each of the season's prior meetings. Take Alabama. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-12-23 | Princeton +4 v. Yale | Top | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers + the points over Yale. Both of these teams come into this championship game on SU/ATS win streaks. The Tigers have won their last 3 games SU/ATS, while Yale has won its last 4 games SU/ATS. This Ivy League title game will be played at Jadwin Gymnasium, the home of Princeton. And that's a big advantage, as Princeton has covered 71% as a home dog in Ivy League games since 1990, if it was off a SU/ATS win. Even better: home teams have covered 58% in conference tourney title games since 1990 if they were on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak. Take Princeton. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-11-23 | CS-Fullerton v. UC-Santa Barbara -2 | Top | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UCSB Gauchos minus the points over Cal State Fullerton. The Gauchos erupted for 92 points in last night's 5-point win over Cal Riverside to reach the championship game of the Big West Tournament. We'll lay the points with UCSB tonight, as tourney teams that scored 90+ points in their semifinal game have gone 56-33 ATS in the Title game, provided they weren't getting 4+ points. UCSB is 27-15-1 ATS its last 43, including 9-0 ATS in 'win situation' games when the line was less than 3 points. Take the Gauchos. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-11-23 | Kings +3.5 v. Suns | Top | 128-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Phoenix. No Kevin Durant? No problem, as Phoenix blew out Oklahoma City, 132-101, on Wednesday for its 4th straight win and cover. But we'll fade the Suns tonight, as they're 26-54-1 ATS at home off a win by 18+ points, if they were playing a rested foe. Take the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-11-23 | Bucks v. Warriors -3 | Top | 116-125 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix. The Bucks have announced Giannis Antetokounmpo won't play tonight, so that's all we need to pull the trigger on Golden State. The Bucks are a miserable 0-17 ATS since May 19, 2019 when they've owned a .650 (or better) win percentage, and have been installed as an underdog of +1.5 (or more) points. And they're 126-182 ATS off 3 (or more) wins. Lay the points with the Warriors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-11-23 | Heat v. Magic +1.5 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Miami. The Magic are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, while Miami comes into tonight's game off a big win over Cleveland. Unfortunately for the Heat, they're 11-26-1 ATS off a win. And Orlando's a solid 24-12 ATS off 3 ATS losses, including 6-0 ATS its last six. Take the Magic as a home dog tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-11-23 | Coyotes v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -165 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche minus 1.5 goals over the Arizona Coyotes. Colorado's loss to L.A. on Thursday puts it in a precarious position. With the Jets only one point behind them entering today's play and the Flames knocking on the Wild Card door, the Avs have to be careful they don't become one of a handful of teams who miss the playoffs the season after they won the Stanley Cup. This is a veteran team that knows what it needs to do and a home match-up with the Coyotes may be just what the doctored ordered. As if Arizona's overall record of 23-32-10 wasn't bad enough, the Coyotes are an amazingly awful 7-21-7 away from home this season. That's the worst travel record in the league and it's not likely to get any better after they cleaned house a bit at the trade deadline. And the Coyote's recent ledger in Denver pretty much mirrors their road record this season as they are 2-10 in their last 12 here. The Avs are 20-8 in their last 28 against Division foes and Arizona is 6-20 in its last 26 after its opponent allows five or more goals in its last. Take Colorado minus 1.5 goals. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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03-11-23 | Tulane v. Memphis -6 | Top | 54-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Tulane. The Tigers play this AAC semi-final game with revenge from a 90-89 upset home loss to the Green Wave. We'll lay the points today, as Tulane is a woeful 9-27-1 ATS when it's matched up against a revenge-minded foe which Tulane defeated on the road earlier in the season. And Memphis is 44-29-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a home loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-10-23 | Arizona State v. Arizona -7.5 | Top | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Arizona State. The Sun Devils shocked the Wildcats in Tucson, 89-88, as a 12-point road underdog last month. And they upset the USC Trojans yesterday, 77-72, as a 4-point dog. We'll take Arizona to avenge its loss to ASU, as it's 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS its last six when playing with revenge. And unrested underdogs have gone 22-39-2 ATS in the Pac-12 Tournament. Take Arizona minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-10-23 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky -6.5 | Top | 80-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Vanderbilt. We played on Vandy last night, and got the $$$ with a 9-point win over LSU. We'll switch gears and fade the Commodores tonight, as they'll be facing a revenge-minded Wildcats squad which Vandy upset just nine days ago. That game was played in Lexington, and the Commodores won, 68-66, as a 9.5-point road underdog. We'll lay the points, as Kentucky is 15-0 ATS in the post-season when favored by more than 3 points, and playing with revenge. Take the Wildcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-10-23 | Maryland v. Indiana | Top | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Maryland. We played on the Terrapins earlier this season at home vs. Indiana, and were rewarded with a 66-55 victory. But we'll take Indiana in this rematch, as revenge-minded teams have gone 152-114 ATS in the Big 10 Tournament. And Indiana also falls into a 319-227 ATS tourney system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams. Take the Hoosiers. |
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03-10-23 | Middle Tennessee +8 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders + the points over Florida Atlantic. The Owls are 29-3 this season, but one of those three losses was to this Blue Raiders team, on Feb. 16. The Blue Raiders pulled off another upset yesterday, when they ousted Charlotte from the Tourney. Middle Tenn has won 15 of the last 20 games vs. Florida Atlantic, and is 13-7 ATS in those games. We'll take the points with the underdog Blue Raiders in this semi-final game, as Florida Atlantic falls into a negative 88-170 ATS system of mine. Take MTSU. |
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03-10-23 | Rutgers v. Purdue -6 | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Rutgers. Purdue ended its regular season with a 76-71 win over Illinois, but failed to cover the spread, as it was favored by 6.5. Meanwhile, Rutgers comes into this game off an upset win over Michigan yesterday. The Scarlet Knights also upset the Boilers in West Lafayette, 65-64, earlier this season. We'll take Purdue to avenge that defeat, as it's cashed 71% over the last 33 years as a 4-point (or greater) favorite when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, if Purdue was off an ATS loss in its previous game. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-09-23 | LSU v. Vanderbilt -4.5 | Top | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over LSU. The Tigers are a woeful 1-15 straight-up, and 3-13 ATS as an underdog since early January. We'll take Vanderbilt, as it's 7-1 ATS its last 8 post-season games. |
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03-09-23 | Alabama A&M v. Southern -4 | Top | 77-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern U. Jaguars minus the points over Alabama A&M. These two teams met 5 days ago, and the Bulldogs got the better of the Jaguars, 68-65. We'll take Southern to avenge that defeat, as the Bulldogs are a poor 8-16 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes. Take Southern. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-09-23 | Villanova v. Creighton -4.5 | Top | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays minus the points over Villanova. Creighton lost by 12 points at Villanova less than two weeks ago. We'll take the revenge-minded Blue Jays today, as they're 37-18 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge from an upset defeat. Take Creighton. |
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03-09-23 | UNLV v. Boise State -5 | Top | 76-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Boise St Broncos minus the points over UNLV. The Broncos will look to extend their win streak vs. the Rebels to 8 games this evening. It's true that UNLV will be playing this game on their home court. Unfortunately, they're a soft 20-37-2 ATS at home if they won their previous game. Lay the points with Boise St. |
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03-09-23 | Stanford v. Arizona -9.5 | Top | 84-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
At 9:00 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Stanford. The Cardinal upset Arizona, 88-79, as a 7.5-point home dog last month. We'll take Arizona to avenge that loss, as it's 36-25 ATS in conference games when playing with revenge from an upset road loss. Lay the points. |
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03-09-23 | Coppin State v. Norfolk State -10.5 | Top | 56-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Norfolk St Spartans minus the points over Coppin St. The Eagles have been horrid against the point spread this season, including 0-11 ATS when priced from +4.5 to +14.5 points. That doesn't bode well for Coppin St. tonight. Lay the points with the Spartans. |
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03-09-23 | Tulsa +16.5 v. Wichita State | Top | 63-81 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Wichita St. The Shockers blew out South Florida, 69-49, to end its regular season. They now will take on Tulsa, which they defeated twice this season (by an average of 7.5 points). The Shockers are favored by double-digits tonight, and we'll happily take the points, as the Shockers are a poor 6-18 ATS off a win, including 1-11 ATS off a victory by more than 10 points. Take Tulsa. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-09-23 | San Jose State v. Nevada -5 | Top | 81-77 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack minus the points over San Jose St. The Wolf Pack were upset by rival UNLV, 69-67, at home this past Saturday. We'll take Nevada to bounce back as it's 47-26 ATS off a home loss. Take the Wolf Pack minus the points. |
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03-09-23 | Grand Canyon -2.5 v. Seattle University | Top | 84-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Grand Canyon Antelopes minus the points over Seattle. The Redhawks are a horrid 18-32 ATS as an underdog (compared to 33-15 ATS as a favorite). Here, Seattle has been installed as an underdog. Let's lay the points with Grand Canyon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-09-23 | St. Joe's v. Dayton -10 | Top | 54-60 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers minus the points over St. Joseph's. The Hawks blew out George Washington yesterday, 87-76. Meanwhile, the Flyers fell at St. Louis last Friday, 65-61. But they're 19-4-2 ATS off a conference loss, including 10-0 ATS vs. a foe off a win. Take Dayton. |
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03-09-23 | West Virginia v. Kansas -4 | Top | 61-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over West Virginia. The Mountaineers have covered five straight. But we'll fade them today, as Kansas is 55-28 ATS when favored by 3.5 to 13.5 points vs. foes on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak. Take the Jayhawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-09-23 | Providence +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars + the points over Connecticut. The Friars come into this game off back to back upset losses to Xavier and Seton Hall. We'll look for Ed Cooley's men to bounce back this afternoon, as they're 25-11 ATS as an underdog, including 10-0 ATS when playing with revenge. Take Providence. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-09-23 | Pittsburgh v. Duke -5.5 | Top | 69-96 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Pitt. The Blue Devils upset North Carolina last Saturday, 62-57. We'll lay the points with Duke this afternoon, as it's 23-12 ATS in the post-season off an ATS win. And it's also 7-3 ATS in the ACC Tourney when not favored by 9+ points. Take the Blue Devils. |
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03-09-23 | Mississippi State -5 v. Florida | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 49 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi St minus the points over Florida. The Bulldogs were edged by 2 points at home by Florida in the season's lone meeting. We'll take the revenge-minded Bulldogs this afternoon, as they're 50-22 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss, including 14-1 ATS when favored by less than 5 points. Take Miss State |
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03-09-23 | Iowa State v. Baylor -4.5 | Top | 78-72 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 20 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Iowa St. This is a rematch of a game played five days ago, won by the Cyclones, 73-58. We'll take Baylor today, as it's 14-5 ATS when it lost the previous meeting by double-digits. Lay the points. |
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03-08-23 | Northern Arizona v. Montana State -6.5 | Top | 78-85 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Montana St. Bobcats minus the points over Northern Arizona. The Lumberjacks come into this championship game off back to back upset wins over Eastern Washington and Montana. We'll take the Bobcats to end Northern Arizona's streak, as Montana St. has won each of the last 9 meetings vs. the Lumberjacks. Additionally, favorites have covered 72% in the Big Sky tournament the past 10 years vs. foes off an upset win. Take Montana St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-08-23 | Texas Southern +2.5 v. Alcorn State | Top | 66-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers + the points over Alcorn St. The Braves are 3-10-2 ATS their last 15 Southwestern Athletic Conference tourney games, while the Tigers are 18-3-2 ATS their last 23 post-season contests. Take Texas Southern. |
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03-08-23 | Texas-San Antonio v. Rice -6.5 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls minus the points over Texas-San Antonio. The Owls come into this game on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, and will seek to avenge a 5-point loss to the Roadrunners last month. We'll take Rice, as Conference USA teams have cashed 70.8% in the tournament when playing with revenge, if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses. Lay the points with Rice. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-08-23 | Georgetown +11.5 v. Villanova | Top | 48-80 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas + the points over Villanova. The Hoyas surrendered 99 points to Creighton in their final regular season game, and lost by 40 points, 99-59. We'll take Patrick Ewing's men to bounce back, as Big East teams have gone 26-8 ATS off a loss by 30+ points. Take Georgetown. |
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03-08-23 | La Salle v. Duquesne -6.5 | Top | 81-70 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes minus the points over La Salle. Duquesne was "Pk'em" in its last regular season game, at Fordham, and lost, 87-60, so it will look to bounce back this evening vs. La Salle. Meanwhile, the Explorers pulled off an upset last night, 73-56, vs. Rhode Island. We'll take Duquesne tonight, as Atlantic 10 tourney favorites have gone 9-1 ATS off a loss as a PK/favorite, if they were playing an opponent off an upset win. Take Duquesne minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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03-08-23 | Ole Miss -6 v. South Carolina | Top | 67-61 | Push | 0 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over South Carolina. The Rebels lost, 64-61, in the previous meeting. And they're also off back to back losses to Texas A&M and Missouri to end their regular season. We'll take Mississippi to avenge that 3-point loss to the Gamecocks, as revenge-minded favorites off back to back losses have gone 9-1 ATS in the SEC Tournament. Take Ole Miss. |
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03-08-23 | UTEP v. Western Kentucky -1 | Top | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers over Texas-El Paso. The Hilltoppers managed to score just 33 points in their final regular season game. We'll take Western Kentucky to bounce back tonight, as NCAA teams have covered 63.8% since 1990 after scoring less than 35 points in their previous game, provided they weren't getting 10+ points in their current game. Take the Hilltoppers. |
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03-07-23 | Weber State v. Montana State -5 | Top | 58-60 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Montana St. Bobcats minus the points over Weber St. The Bobcats were upset, 73-63, as a 4-point favorite in the previous meeting by the Wildcats. We'll lay the points tonight, as revenge-minded favorites of -5+ points have covered 59% in the post-season since 1990 if they were upset by 10+ points as a 4-point (or greater) favorite in the previous meeting. Take Montana St. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-07-23 | Sharks v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche minus 1.5 goals over the San Jose Sharks. The Sharks will be going for their second big road upset in a row tonight after knocking of the Jets in Winnipeg on Monday, 3-2, in overtime. This, despite being completely out-played and out-shot by a lopsided 46 to 24 margin. But doing that in Winnipeg against the struggling Jets (now 3-11 in their last 14) and doing it in Colorado against the defending Cup champions are two very different things. Sure, the Avs have lost three straight, but those have come against the likes of the Kraken, Stars and Devils. So, they will no doubt look forward to stepping down in class tonight to take on the 18-33-12 Sharks -- a team they've dominated recently. The Sharks are just 1-7 in the last eight meetings with the Avs and 5-16 in the last 21 here in Denver. And even if it weren't the Avs they were facing, this is not a situation that does the Sharks any favors are they are 16-35 in their last 51 games playing without rest. Finally, the favorite is 40-12 in the last 52 meetings of these two clubs. Take Colorado minus 1.5 goals. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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03-07-23 | North Dakota State v. Oral Roberts -10.5 | Top | 58-92 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles minus the points over North Dakota St. The Bison lost the 2 regular season meetings vs. the Golden Eagles. But that was no different than any Summit League team, as Oral Roberts was undefeated in league play this season. Overall, the Golden Eagles have won 16 straight games. We'll lay the points tonight, as ORU is 17-8 ATS as a favorite of less than 12 points, while North Dakota St. is 10-17 ATS as an underdog of less than 12 points. Take the Golden Eagles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-07-23 | CS-Northridge v. CS Bakersfield -1.5 | Top | 47-51 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners minus the points over Cal State Northridge. The Roadrunners have covered 7 of their last 11 games, including its final regular season game this past Saturday, while Northridge is 5-6 ATS its last 11. Even worse: the Matadors are a horrid 5-23 ATS their last 28 Big West conference games when installed as an underdog of less than 13 points, including 0-12 ATS vs. a foe off a point spread win. With Bakersfield in off an ATS win at Cal Irvine on Saturday, we'll lay the points with the Roadrunners on Tuesday night. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-07-23 | New Orleans v. Northwestern State -7.5 | Top | 70-74 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern St. Demons minus the points over New Orleans. The Privateers upset SE Louisiana, 82-78, as a 5.5-point underdog last night. New Orleans is an underdog again tonight, and we'll fade New Orleans, as Southland Conference tourney underdogs have covered just 35.7% off an upset win. Take Northwestern St. |
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03-07-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Merrimack -3.5 | Top | 66-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Merrimack Warriors minus the points over Fairleigh-Dickinson. We played on FDU in its last game, and were rewarded with a 20-point blowout win over St. Francis (PA). But that game was in Hackensack, NJ; tonight's game is in North Andover, MA. And FDU has won just once in its last five meetings at Merrimack (2-3 ATS), with its average margin of victory -6.4 ppg. Admittedly, the Knights won both regular season meetings this year. But double-revenging favorites have cashed 63% in the tourneys since 1990 vs. foes off a win by 14+ points. Take Merrimack. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-07-23 | NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston -9 | Top | 58-63 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charleston College Cougars minus the points over NC Wilmington. We played on the Seahawks last night as our Colonial Athletic Ass'n Tourney Game of the Year, and were rewarded with an outright win over #1-seeded Hofstra. But off that upset win, we'll fade Wilmington tonight, as single-digit underdogs have gone 13-30 ATS in the Colonial Athletic tourney off an upset win. Take Charleston minus the points. |
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03-07-23 | Notre Dame +7.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish + the points over Virginia Tech. The Hokies come into this ACC tourney off a blowout win, 82-60, over Florida St. Meanwhile, the Irish were blown out, 87-64, by Clemson, on Saturday. We'll grab the points with Notre Dame, as ACC teams off a loss by 15+ points have covered 66% in the post-season since 1990 vs. foes off a win by 15+ points. Take Notre Dame. |
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03-07-23 | McNeese State v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi -9 | Top | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Corpus Christi Islanders minus the points over McNeese St. The Cowboys upset Nicholls St., 77-71, last night. And that was McNeese's 2nd straight upset win. Unfortunately, the Cowboys now have to take on the #1-seeded Islanders tonight. And Corpus Christi already defeated McNeese twice in the regular season. In the Conference Tourneys, since 1992, double-revenge-minded teams off back to back upset wins have covered just 39% vs. #1-seeded foes since 1992. Take Corpus Christi. |
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03-07-23 | Abilene Christian -1.5 v. California Baptist | Top | 62-69 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Abilene Christian Wildcats minus the points over California Baptist. The Wildcats have dropped their last 5 games -- both SU and ATS. Indeed, they haven't won since facing this same Cal Baptist squad back on February 4. Abilene won that game in blowout fashion, 87-71, as a 4.5-point road underdog. And they also won the only meeting last season, 77-68, as an 8-point home favorite. The tariff is lower here this afternoon, and I think they'll cover the shorter number. Abilene is a solid 31-14 ATS as a favorite of 14 or less points, including 5-1 ATS when the line is 2 points or less. Meanwhile, the Lancers are 2-9 ATS their last 11 when the point spread was 3 points or less. And they're 4-10 ATS their last 14 when playing with revenge. Take Abilene Christian minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-06-23 | Cleveland State -2.5 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | Top | 93-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland St. Vikings minus the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee. The Panthers were 15-3 SU and 9-5-1 ATS at home this season, and they covered the spread by 5.1 ppg in those lined home games. But away from home, the Panthers were 6-7 SU/ATS, and failed to cover the spread by 1.46 ppg. And as underdogs of less than 5 points, they were 0-3 SU/ATS away from home, and lost by an average of 16.3 ppg. Take the Vikings minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-06-23 | BYU v. St. Mary's -7 | Top | 69-76 | Push | 0 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels minus the points over BYU. The Cougars are a dreadful 16-42 ATS as an underdog at home, or on neutral courts. That doesn't bode well for BYU tonight. Nor does the fact that West Coast Conference tourney favorites of less than 13 points have gone 87-55 ATS. Take St. Mary's minus the points. |
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03-06-23 | Towson v. College of Charleston -5 | Top | 72-77 | Push | 0 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Charleston College Cougars minus the points over Towson. The Cougars roll into this semifinal game on an 8-game win streak, including back to back blowout wins of 22 and 40 points. Charleston has a solid 37-24 ATS record in the post season, while Towson is riding a 2-12 ATS record in the post-season. And the Tigers have lost six straight semi-final matchups. Lay the points with Charleston. |
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03-06-23 | South Alabama v. UL - Lafayette | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin Cajuns over South Alabama. The 8th-seeded Jaguars upset James Madison on Sunday to advance to the Sun Belt Championship game. We'll fade South Alabama on Monday, as teams off upset wins in the Sun Belt Semi-Finals have gone 2-10 ATS vs. foes not off an upset win. Take the Cajuns. |
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03-06-23 | NC-Wilmington +7.5 v. Hofstra | Top | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the NC Wilmington Seahawks + the points over Hofstra. The Pride have won 12 straight games entering this semi-final matchup vs. the Seahawks. And they won their quarterfinal game by 48 points vs William & Mary, 94-46, as a 14.5-point favorite. But off that blowout win, we will fade the Pride, as NCAA favorites have covered just 20% in the semifinal round of the Conference Tourneys since 1990 off a game where they covered by 30+ points. Additionally, Wilmington is 41-23-6 ATS in the post-season, including 5-0 ATS its last five. Take NC Wilmington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-06-23 | McNeese State v. Nicholls State -5.5 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Nicholls St Colonels minus the points over McNeese St. The Cowboys come into this quarterfinal game off an upset win over Texas A&M Commerce yesterday. Unfortunately, in the Southland Conference Tourney, underdogs off an upset tourney win have covered just 30.7%. Take Nicholls St. to blow out the Cowboys. |
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03-05-23 | Knicks v. Celtics -5 | Top | 131-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the New York Knicks. Six days ago, the Knicks upset Boston, 109-94, as a 2-point underdog. And that was the 2nd straight upset win by New York in this series. We'll lay the points with Boston this evening, as the Celtics are a solid 58-24-1 ATS when playing with double-revenge from two losses earlier in the season, if they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in the previous meeting. Take Boston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-05-23 | Northern Arizona v. Eastern Washington -6.5 | Top | 81-80 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Washington Eagles minus the points over Northern Arizona. The Eagles come into this game off back to back upset losses. But before their 2-game losing streak, they had won 18 straight. And they had also gone 17-3-1 ATS in their previous 21 games. We'll take the Eagles to get back on the winning track tonight, as they're 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS when favored by 4+ points in the post season against a foe off a SU win. Take Eastern Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-05-23 | St. Thomas -3.5 v. Western Illinois | Top | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the St Thomas Tommies minus the points over Western Illinois. The Tommies are favored in this quarterfinal game, and they're an awesome 16-2 ATS their last 18 as a favorite. That bodes well for St. Thomas this evening. As does the fact that the Leathernecks are 56-87 ATS off a conference loss. Lay the points with St. Thomas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-05-23 | South Alabama v. James Madison | Top | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes over South Alabama. The Jaguars are 16-27 ATS their last 43 post-season games, while the Dukes are 11-6 ATS in the post-season. And in the Sun Belt tourney, underdogs off back to back covers as a dog, have gone 6-16 ATS. Take the Dukes minus the points. |
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03-05-23 | Liberty -4.5 v. Kennesaw State | Top | 66-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over Kennesaw St. These two teams met here, on Kennesaw's campus, last month in a battle for 1st place. The Owls were down by 11 points with 7:35 to play, but stormed back with a 29-11 run to close the game, and win, 88-81. We'll take Liberty in this Championship game, as it's 8-2 ATS as a revenge-minded favorite. And the road team has gone 7-2 ATS in the Atlantic Sun Conference title game when it wasn't getting 11+ points. Take Liberty. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-05-23 | Drexel v. NC-Wilmington -1.5 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the NC Wilmington Seahawks minus the points over Drexel. The Dragons lost the lone meeting vs. the Seahawks this season, 72-71. Drexel is a dismal 15-25 ATS in the post season, including 1-5-1 ATS if it lost each of the season's previous meetings to its opponent. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are 40-23-6 ATS in the post season, including 20-9-2 ATS its last 31 as a favorite. Take NC Wilmington. |
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03-05-23 | Nebraska v. Iowa -11 | Top | 81-77 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Nebraska. The 'Huskers upset Iowa, 66-50, earlier this season. We'll take Iowa this afternoon, as it's 13-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge from an upset loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |