At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Toledo.  The Rockets lost SU/ATS in their last game, as they fell 95-94 to Akron.  And that ended an 8-game win streak (and 7-game ATS win streak).  Toledo is a poor 1-8 ATS at home off a loss, while the Chips are 28-16 ATS their last 44 MAC Conference games.  Central Michigan also falls into a 424-244 ATS system of mine.  Take CMU + the points.  Good luck...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos + the points over UNLV.  We were 7-1 in basketball over the weekend.  Our one losing selection was on these Lobos against this same UNLV team when they played on Saturday here, at Thomas & Mack Center.  The Rebels blew out the Lobos by 23 in that game but, at the risk of being stubborn, we'll come right back with New Mexico today.  Notwithstanding its SU/ATS win on Saturday, UNLV is still a wallet-breaking 2-11 ATS its last 13, and 39-71-3 ATS its last 113 at home vs. conference foes, if the Rebels were favored by more than 8 points.  And if the Rebels were priced from -10 to -14.5 points vs. .500 (or worse) conference foes, then they've gone 2-19 ATS.  Additionally, so far in 2021, NCAA road underdogs off exactly one loss, that lost earlier in the season to their opponent, and failed to cover in that previous defeat by more than 12 points, have gone 14-5 ATS, including 7-0 ATS when priced from +3 to +17 points.  Finally, home favorites of 12+ points, off back to back wins, have covered just 59 of 167 vs. Mountain West foes.  Take New Mexico.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wright State Raiders minus the points over Cleveland State.  These two teams met yesterday here, in Dayton, and the Raiders were upset by the Vikings, 66-64, as a 9.5-point favorite.  We'll play on the Raiders to bounce back this evening, as they're 5-0 ATS at home when playing with revenge from an upset home loss, and they're 17-6 ATS off an upset loss when playing a foe off back to back wins.  Finally, the Raiders fall into a 320-188 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites off upset defeats.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos plus the points over UNLV.  For years, the UNLV Rebels have been one of the worst-performing point spread teams at home.  And that's much to the chagrin of their fans who have lost a lot of money betting on them at the local casinos.  Today, the Rebels have been installed as a double-digit favorite, notwithstanding the fact they've yet to win a Mountain West Conference game.  We'll take New Mexico + the points, as UNLV is a dismal 1-11 ATS their last 12, and 38-71-3 ATS their last 112 at home vs. conference foes, if the Rebels were favored by more than 8 points.  And if the Rebels were priced from -10 to -14.5 points vs. .500 (or worse) conference foes, then they've gone 1-19 ATS.  Take New Mexico plus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over UCLA.  The Bruins are undefeated in Pac-12 play with a 6-0 record (and 5-1 ATS), while Washington is bringing up the rear at 0-7 SU (and 1-6 ATS).  We'll grab the points as NCAA teams have cashed 66.4% away from home , if they were off 4 SU/ATS losses, and were matched up against a .733 (or better) conference foe off at ATS win.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over UAB.  Yesterday, the Blazers were embarrassed at home, 61-37, by Alabama-Birmingham.  And Charlotte was actually favored in that game by 2 points.  The oddsmakers have made an adjustment for this afternoon's game, so Charlotte is now the home underdog.  And we will happily take the points with the 49ers in the rematch, as home teams off 8-point upset home losses have cashed 62.2% over the last 31 years when playing with revenge against a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Even better:  the 49ers are 10-1 ATS their last 11 as a home underdog.  And they're 6-0-2 ATS their last eight off an upset defeat.  Take the 49ers + the points to bounce back this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets minus the points over The Citadel.  The Bulldogs are 7-1 SU and 5-0 ATS this season, while VMI is 5-6, but a more-than-respectable 6-3 ATS.  We'll go against The Citadel this afternoon, as .875 (or better) underdogs of more than 4 points (at Game 9 forward) have cashed just 65 of 165 games away from home, if they were on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak.  Additionally, VMI is 21-10 ATS vs. .770 (or better) opponents.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Colgate Raiders minus the points over Holy Cross.  We played on Holy Cross last Sunday as a double-digit underdog at Army, and were rewarded with an outright win by the Crusaders.  But we will go against them this afternoon, as they're 0-11 ATS off a win.  Even better:  the Raiders are off a momentum-building 89-45 road win over Boston U., as a 5-point favorite.  And NCAA teams that covered the spread by more than 38 points on the road in their previous game have gone 71% ATS since 1990.  Lay the points with Colgate.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans minus the points over Wisconsin-Green Bay.  The Titans have gotten off to a miserable 0-4 start in Horizon League play, while Green Bay is 3-5 after winning its last three league games.  We'll lay the points with Detroit tonight, as home favorites have cashed 59% since 1990 vs. conference foes off back to back wins, if our home team was 0-4 (or worse) in conference play.  Take Detroit.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Appalachian State.  On the surface, these two teams are going in opposite directions.  The Jaguars are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, while the Mountaineers have won and covered 3 straight.  But NCAA favorites on 3-game SU/ATS losing streaks have covered 60% over the last 31 years vs. foes off 3-game SU/ATS winning streaks, including 68.4% if our favorite was off a double-digit loss in its previous game.  With the Jaguars in off an 83-69 loss at Coastal Carolina, our 68.4% tightener is satisfied.  Take South Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers over UAB.  This is the front-end of a 2-game series played here in Charlotte, and we'll take the homestanding 49ers.  Charlotte is 5-5 this season after dropping its last game, 75-72, to Belmont Abbey, while UAB is 9-1.  But the Blazers have lost each of their last three games ATS, which is not a positive signal for this game tonight.  Inded, dating back to 1992, .895 (or better) College teams (at Game 8 forward) off back to back ATS defeats, have covered just 32 percent away from home against an opponent which wasn't a winning team, including 20% ATS if they weren't favored by 8+ points.  Take Charlotte.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over NC Asheville.  The coronavirus has greatly impacted the schedules this college basketball season.  Many leagues have gone to a format of two teams playing back to back games at a single venue.  The Big South Conference is one of those.  These two teams played here, in Asheville, yesterday, and the Bulldogs blew out the Buccaneers, 92-54.  We'll take the underdog in this rematch, as Charleston Southern falls into 99-51, 422-236 and 153-101 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off blowout losses.  Additionally, this season, in these back to back games, teams that failed to cover the spread by more than 20 points have covered 63%, while teams off straight-up losses by 25+ points have covered 67%.  Take the Buccaneers + the points.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over the Southern Cal Trojans.  It's true that these two teams are going in opposite directions.  Washington has lost its last six games (including 0-5 ATS its last 5), while USC is on a 4-game win streak.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the homestanding Trjoans, and lay the points.  But consider that Washington is a solid 27-12 ATS off 3+ losses when playing an opponent off back to back wins.  And road underdogs of +12 (or more) points, off 4 SU/ATS losses, have gone 123-59 ATS vs. .760 (or better) conference foes.  Take the Huskies + the large number.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Purdue. This Hoosier State rivalry has been one-sided of late, with the Boilermakers taking each of the last seven meetings.  But this game sets up well for an Indiana victory.  The Boilermakers pulled a big upset in their last game when they went into East Lansing, and defeated Michigan State, 55-54, as a 6-point underdog.  Unfortunately, they're an awful 3-11 ATS off an upset win.  And they're also a wallet-breaking 31-59-6 ATS as single-digit road underdogs.  Meanwhile, Indiana is a terrific 65-38-2 ATS at home when not favored by more than 4 points, while Purdue has covered just 3 of 13 vs. double-revenge-minded foes it defeated twice the previous season.  Take Indiana.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over The Citadel.  The Bulldogs come into this game with a spotless 8-0 record (and a 4-0 ATS record).  But the fact that they've had five non-lined games reveals the schedule has been filled with non-Division I foes.  So, half of The Citadel's wins have come against the likes of Piedmont, Toccoa Falls, Columbia International, and Carver Bible, while the other half were versus NC A&T, Longwood, Presbyterian and UT-Chattanooga.  Furman, on the other hand, is 8-3, but its three losses were road games against Cincinnati, Alabama and Winthrop.  We'll go against the undefeated Bulldogs, as .850 (or better) double-digit home underdogs have covered just 31% over the past 25 seasons.  Moreover, the pace of the game will play into the hands of the Paladins.  One thing is certain about this afternoon's game:  it will be high-scoring.  Unlike, say, the "Runnin' Bulldogs" of Gardner-Webb, whose games "only" average 146 points, the Bulldogs of The Citadel REALLY LOVE to run, as their games, on average, total 162.50, while Furman's games average 153.54.  Historically, Furman's been great in this point spread role, as the Paladins are a powerful 26-5 ATS as road favorites of -6+ points.  Lay the big number.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Alabama.  After an uncharacteristic 1-6 start to the 2020-21 season, the Wildcats have righted themselves in SEC Conference play with 3 straight wins to start the SEC schedule.  And Saturday's win in Gainesville was their most impressive, as they upset Florida, 76-58, as a 5.5-point road underdog.  The Wildcats are back home tonight to take on an Alabama team which has gotten off to a 4-0 SEC start.  We'll take the home team, as Kentucky is a reliable 67-31-2 ATS at home when not favored by more than 14 points, if its opponent was off back to back wins!  Meanwhile, Alabama falls into a negative 34% ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off 5+ wins.  And the Crimson Tide are a poor 19-40 ATS off 5+ wins.  Take Kentucky.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Army.  These two Patriot League rivals met yesterday in Worcester, Mass. and the Black Knights got the better of Holy Cross, with a 15-point road win, 83-68, as a 5.5-point favorite.  That lowered Holy Cross' season point spread record to 2-1 ATS.  But unlike many conferences this season, which are having their teams play two straight games against an opponent in the same location, the Patriot League has scheduled its back to back meetings in the traditional manner, with one home, and one away game.  So, this game will be played at Army.  We'll take the Crusaders in this afternoon's rematch, as they've covered 34 of 59 road games, and also fall into an 87-41 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road underdogs off SU/ATS losses.  Even better:  since 1991, teams off a loss in the first meeting of a "back-to-back" have covered the spread in the 2nd meeting 59% of the time, if they owned a winning ATS record on the season, including 10-1 ATS in 2021 if they failed to cover the spread in the first meeting by more than 8 points.  Take Holy Cross.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over Southern Utah.  The Thunderbirds have won eight straight, while the Vandals have lost eight straight after Thursday night's game between these two teams, won by Southern Utah, 85-80, as a 14.5-point favorite.  Still, Idaho easily covered the double-digit spread.  But these two teams' divergent won/loss streaks have worked to create point spread value for the underdog.  And we'll happily step in and take the points with Idaho, as it's 64-35 ATS on the road off a road loss, including 23-6 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Meanwhile, Southern Utah is a horrid 14-36 ATS at home off an ATS defeat.  I look for the Vandals to easily cover the spread here again this afternoon.  Take Idaho + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks + the points over Oral Roberts.  The Eagles have been installed as a double-digit home favorite following their back to back wins (and covers) at Nebraska-Omaha last weekend.  But they're an awful 15-36 ATS when favored by more than 5 points, and 24-46 ATS off back to back wins.  Grab the points with North Dakota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tarleton St. Texans + the points over Grand Canyon.  The Antelopes have gotten out to a 6-0 ATS start this season.  But they're now favored by a significant amount on the road and, by my numbers, the line is inflated.  And, even more important, is the fact that Grand Canyon has only covered the point spread by, on average, 4.83 ppg.  And that number is exceptionally low for a team which has started a season with at least 6 ATS wins.  Indeed, there have been 221 events where a team was 6-0 (or better) against the spread.  And a 4.83 average line differential ranks 210th of the 221.  That low number indicates that the Antelopes 6-0 ATS record is due more to randomness than their superior play.  Not surprisingly, teams that start the season with a 6-0 ATS (or better) record have gone 8-24 ATS if their average line differential wasn't greater than 6.10.  Take Tarleton St. + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Central Connecticut State Blue Devils + the points over Bryant.  This is a rematch of a game played yesterday, won by Bryant, 93-68.  But off that loss, we'll take the Blue Devils in the rematch.  This season, because of COVID-19, it's commonplace for conferences to schedule back-to-back meetings between schools.  And the team which lost the first meeting has covered the second 62 of 113 (55%).  Even better:  double-digit road underdogs are 146-109 ATS in the 2nd meeting when playing with revenge from a 25-point loss in the first meeting of the season.  Take Central Connecticut St.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over SMU.  The Bearcats lost at home, 70-66, to Tulsa this past Saturday.  And that was Cincy's fifth straight defeat (and fourth straight as a favorite).  Tonight, the Bearcats will be in Dallas to play an SMU team off a home loss to Houston (after starting the season with six straight wins).  We'll grab the points with Cincinnati, as it's 23-10 ATS as an underdog off back to back losses.  Even better:  NCAA Basketball teams off 4+ upset losses have cashed 73.9% over the last 31 years.  Grab the points with John Brannen's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays minus the points over Seton Hall.  The Blue Jays have won their last four games, and are 8-2 SU on the season, though they failed to cover each of their last 3 games.  Meanwhile, the Pirates are 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS after winning their last 3 games SU/ATS.  We'll take Creighton to snap its ATS losing streak tonight as .800 (or better) home teams, at Game 11 forward, off 3+ wins, but 3+ ATS losses, have covered 69% since 1990 vs foes off an ATS win.  And the Blue Jays are also 30-15 ATS at home off back to back ATS defeats, if they weren't favored by more than 12 points.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over Ohio.  The Bobcats' Jason Preston (16.8 ppg, 7.4 assists) won't play today due to a lower body injury, and that's enough for me to pull the trigger on the double-digit underdog Huskies.  Northern Illinois is a fantastic 55-30 ATS as road underdogs of +8 (or more) points.  Take the Huskies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs minus the points over Campbell.  These two teams met here, in Boiling Springs, yesterday.  And the Fighting Camels came away with a 70-61 upset win.  Off that loss, we'll lay the points with the home team, as the Runnin' Bulldogs are 39-24 ATS their last 63.  And they also fall into a 153-101 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain home (or neutral-sited) teams that were upset by their opponent previously in the season.  Take Gardner-Webb.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over Winthrop.  The Eagles won Round 1 yesterday, 85-69, and covered by a point.  We'll take Charleston Southern this afternoon in this rematch, as the Eagles have covered just 30.7% vs. foes off SU/ATS losses.  And Winthrop also falls into a negative 41-84 ATS system of mine which goes against certain road teams vs. foes off SU/ATS losses.  Take Charleston Southern + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over Wyoming.  This is a rematch of a game played here on Saturday.  The Cowboys upset the Bulldogs, 78-74, in that one, as a 2-point underdog.  We'll play on the home team tonight, as Fresno is 10-0 ATS its last 10 conference games off a home loss, while Wyoming is a wallet-busting 29-66 ATS off a win away from home, if their opponent is off a straight-up loss.  Take the Bulldogs minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Illinois Salukis + the points over Drake.  The Salukis lost here yesterday, 73-55, so they will get a 2nd opportunity this evening to hand the Bulldogs their first loss of the season.  We'll grab the points with the road underdog, as Missouri Valley Conference teams have gone 137-87 ATS when playing with revenge from an 18-point conference loss, provided they weren't favored by more than 3 points.  Take Southern Illinois + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over Winthrop.  The Eagles are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS, while the Bucs are 1-5 SU and 0-5 ATS on the season after being upset twice by Hampton in their last two games.  But off those two upset losses, we'll grab the points with the Bucs, as home teams off back to back upset losses are 107-77 ATS, including 20-9 ATS as an underdog.  Take the Bucs.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over Bowling Green.  The Huskies are at home this evening where they hope to get off the schneid "in Vegas," as they're a woeful 0-7 ATS.  They'll host the Falcons, who upset Ohio as a 6-point underdog on Thursday.  By my numbers, their poor performance has led to us getting value in this point spread, and we'll grab the points.  For technical support, notwithstanding their 7-game ATS losing streak, consider that the Huskies are 35-22 ATS long-term off back to back ATS losses, when installed as an underdog in Mid-American conference games.  And NCAA teams have gone 10-0 ATS at home, if they started the season on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, and their opponent was off an upset win.  Take Northern Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers minus the points over George Mason.  The Patriots are off a 93-92 upset win over UMass, while the Flyers were upset by La Salle, 67-65, as an 11.5-point favorite.  We'll fade George Mason this afternoon, as it's a horrid 7-23-1 ATS off an upset win over a conference foe, while Dayton is 20-12 ATS off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Dayton.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Tulsa.  Cincy has lost its last four games, with the last three coming in the favorite role.  The good news for the Bearcats is that NCAA favorites off an upset road loss, and 3 upset losses overall, have cashed 60% over the past 20 years.  Take the Bearcats to blow out Tulsa.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos minus the points over Cal State Fullerton.  The Gauchos will be playing their seventh game of the season, while Fullerton has played just once thus far (a game against non-Division I San Diego Christian).  So, Fullerton may be a bit "behind" UCSB when it comes to execution tonight.  And in this COVID environment, where some programs have gotten late starts, they've been poor ATS when playing away from home, if it was one of their first three games, while their opponent has played at least six games.  Our "less experienced" schools have covered just five of 19 games thus far (including 0-7 ATS when priced from +7.5 to +21 points).  Even worse for Fullerton:  UCSB has started its Big West Conference schedule with two upset losses at Cal Irvine.  But NCAA home teams have covered 70% over the last 31 years off back to back upset road losses to start a conference schedule.  With the Gauchos 8-1 ATS vs. the Titans when laying 6+ points, we'll back the home team on New Year's Day.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Minnesota.  The Gophers are 9-1 this season, with their lone loss coming on the road, at Illinois.  At home, Minnesota is 9-0, with a 7-2 ATS record.  Unfortunately, this game on Thursday afternoon is on the road.  We played against Minnesota in that earlier game at Illinois, and got the $$$ with a 92-65 blowout win.  And we'll play against Minnesota again today in this road game.  Indeed, the Gophers are a wallet-busting 20-58 ATS on the Big 10 road when priced from -1 to +11 points!  Yikes!  And Wisky is 37-18 ATS vs. .810 (or better) Big 10 foes here, in Madison.  Take the Badgers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders + the points over Davidson.  The Spiders were upset at home in their last game, 76-71, by Hofstra.  And Richmond was a 12-point favorite in that ballgame.  But off that defeat, we'll take Richmond to bounce back on the road this evening, as it's 11-1 ATS in conference games off an upset loss, if it failed to cover by 9+ points in that defeat.  And Richmond also falls into a great 70-29 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams in conference games off upset losses.  Take Richmond.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Alcorn State Braves + the points over Baylor.  The Bears are undefeated -- both SU and ATS -- and ranked #2 in the country behind Gonzaga.  That's good news for us, as Baylor was my preseason pick (at 12-1 odds) to win this year's NCAA Championship.  But we will go against the Bears today, and take the points with Alcorn State.  The Braves will have an advantage this afternoon, as Baylor had to play less than 24 hours ago vs. Central Arkansas -- a game Baylor won by 37.  Additionally, the Bears fall into a negative 38-82 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off back to back ATS wins, while the Braves fall into a 92-44 ATS system which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Grab the double-digits with Alcorn State.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Chattanooga.  The Moccasins are 9-0 on the season, but they should taste defeat for the first time this afternoon.  Last year, the Paladins swept the season series, 2-games-to-none, and they've won the last 7, by an average of 12.4 ppg.  Moreover, unbeaten, revenge-minded teams, like Chattanooga, with a 9-0 (or better) record, are a horrid 5-24-1 ATS their last 30, including 0-12-1 ATS their last 13, when getting more than 4 points.  Take Furman.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas St Wildcats minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha.  The Wildcats played their best game of the season their last time out -- a 70-46 blowout of the Jacksonville Dolphins, as a 12-point favorite.  In that game, the Wildcats outshot Jacksonville, 45% to 34%, and outrebounded the Dolphins, 45-22.  We'll take Kansas State tonight, as it falls into a 'momentum' system of mine which is 411-305 ATS, which plays on certain home teams off wins by 22+ points when not favored in their current game by more than 13 points.  Even better:  the Wildcats are a dominant 34-14 ATS at home when favored by less than 24 points, if they won their previous game by double-digits.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wofford Terriers + the points over Mercer.  Last year, the Bears upset Wofford not once, but twice, en route to a 12-6 Southern Conference record.  But you know what they say about "paybacks."  And Wofford falls into a 68.1% ATS 'revenge' system of mine which plays on certain teams that were upset by their opponent in their previous meeting.  Additionally, notwithstanding its loss at Mercer last season, the Terriers are still 22-6 ATS their last 28 games away from home vs. Southern Conference rivals.  Take Wofford.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Purdue.  This is a horrible spot for the Boilermakers, who have to travel to Piscataway to face the #14-ranked Scarlet Knights immediately after they fell to Ohio State.  That game snapped Rutgers' 6-game win streak (and 3-game ATS win streak).  And the Knights are an awesome 16-1 ATS at home when priced from -9 to +8.5 points.  Meanwhile, the Boilermakers are a woeful 30-58 ATS as single-digit road underdogs.  Take Rutgers minus the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Indiana St. Sycamores + the points over Drake.  The Bulldogs were the first team to reach 10 wins this season after they downed the Sycamores on Sunday, 81-63, here, in Terre Haute.  But we will fade Drake on this Monday afternoon, as revenge-minded Missouri Valley Conference teams have gone 137-85 ATS if they lost the meeting earlier in the season by 18+ points, and are not favored by more than 3 points in the current game.  Even better:  NCAA home underdogs off a SU/ATS loss have covered 71% against undefeated teams with an 8-0 (or better) record that both won and covered their previous game by 7+ points.  Take Indiana State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Jose State Spartans + the points over Utah State.  In our current COVID-19 environment, many conferences have adapted by scheduling back-to-back games between the same teams, on the same court.  So, after the Aggies blew out the Spartans, 107-62, here on Monday night, they'll face off again today.  And we'll take the Spartans + the double-digits tonight, as teams playing with revenge from a 40-point loss earlier in the season are 89-64-4 ATS their last 157.  And Mountain West Conference underdogs of more than 13 points have gone 109-61 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take the Spartans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Billikens minus the points over Kansas City.  After going 6-0 SU/ATS to start the season (all six games were at home), the Billikens were upset on the road by Minnesota, 90-82, on Sunday.  But St. Louis is back home tonight.  And it has always been a strong home team, not just to start this season.  Indeed, the Billikens are 41-19-1 ATS their last 61 at home, and 217-164-4 ATS their last 385.  Additionally, the Kangaroos have covered just 38% as underdogs over the last 30 seasons off back to back wins.  Take St. Louis.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves minus the points over Cal Bakersfield.  The Waves were upset, 75-63, as a 2.5-point home favorite on Saturday by UCSB.  But off that loss, we'll take the Waves to blow out the Roadrunners, as Pepperdine falls into a 64% "bounce-back" system of mine.  Even better:  over the last 20 seasons, the Waves have cashed 69% at home off a home upset loss, while the Roadrunners have covered just 20% vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Pepperdine minus the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over East Tennessee State.  Nate Oats' men were upset here, at Coleman Coliseum, on Saturday by Western Kentucky.  The Tide were favored by 4.5 points, but lost 73-71 on the heels of a goaltending call which provided the final margin of victory.  But off that home loss, we'll lay the big number tonight with the Crimson Tide.  Alabama's a fantastic 29-13 ATS off a home upset loss, while Southern Conference teams have covered just 38% vs. SEC teams off an upset loss.  And Alabama also falls into a 63% ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the NC Greensboro Spartans minus the points over NC A&T.  The 3-8 Aggies have been installed as a double-digit underdog this evening against their crosstown rivals in this 21st edition of the "Battle for the Boro."  But they're a dismal 0-14 SU and 3-10-1 ATS their last 14 when getting 11 or more points.  And the Aggies also were blown out by the Spartans last season, 83-50.  Even worse for NC A&T:  it may be without leading scorer (and the NCAA's top assist man last season), Kam Langley, tonight, as he's questionable to play.  Regardless of Langley's availability, we're going to fade the Aggies, as they fall into a negative 42-97 ATS system of mine.  Take the Spartans minus the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over Tennessee-Martin.  After starting the season with 4 straight victories, the Rebels were upset, 65-62, at Dayton on Saturday.  And it was the first time the Rebels gave up more than 58 points in a game.  This afternoon, Ole Miss is back home at The Pavilion, where it will welcome a Skyhawks team which is also coming off its first loss of the season.  Tennessee-Martin fell, 81-63, at Western Illinois, as the Leathernecks shot 50% for the game.  Ole Miss is a solid 21-8 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off an upset loss, while the Skyhawks are a horrid 5-21 ATS their last 26 (and 15-36 their last 51) as a road underdog, including 1-12 ATS when they owned a winning record.  Lay the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors + the points over Murray State.  The Racers were favored by 3 points at home less than two weeks ago against Austin Peay, and won by 30, 87-57.  By my math, the oddsmakers have made too much of an adjustment to set the point spread at roughly the same price on the road.  And especially since Murray State is 4-0 at home, with an average margin of 40 ppg, but 0-2 on the road with a negative scoring margin of -10.5 ppg.  The Governors also fall into a revenge system of mine which is 149-99 ATS.  That angle plays on certain underdogs that have revenge from 20-point (or worse) defeats.  Finally, Murray State is 0-7 ATS its last seven road games off a home win.  Take Austin Peay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears minus the points over Arkansas-Little Rock.  The Trojans upset Missouri State here last season, 67-66, as a 12.5-point road underdog.  But you know what they say about 'paybacks!'  And the Bears fall into a super 172-119 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as a 70-32 ATS system which plays on certain home teams, not favored by 3+ points, off back to back wins.  Even better:  the Trojans are a woeful 4-13 ATS when facing a revenge-minded non-conference foe.  Take Missouri State.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Gardner-Webb.  The Runnin' Bulldogs have lost all three of their road games this season, and now have the misfortune of playing the Seminoles, who just dropped their first game of the season -- as a 14.5-point home favorite -- to Central Florida.  But I love FSU to rebound off that upset defeat, as it falls into a 70-37 ATS 'bounce-back' system of mine which plays on certain home favorites after upset losses.  Additionally, ACC Conference teams have covered 62.6% as non-conference favorites of -20 (or more) points off a SU loss (and 76.4% ATS at home if they failed to cover by 10+ in their previous game).  Take the Seminoles.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over South Carolina State.  The Bulldogs are 0-9 SU this season (though they did cover their previous game at Presbyterian), and will be in for a tough task this afternoon in Greenville.  And that's because Furman was upset by Winthrop on Saturday, 87-71, as a 2.5-point road favorite.  That was also the 2nd straight loss for Furman (who were 25-7 last season), so Bob Richey's men will no doubt be happy to see the Bulldogs today so they can take out their frustration.  Furman has excelled in favorite role, and especially when laying a big number, as it is 45-18 ATS when laying more than 8, including 37-10 ATS if Furman owned a winning record, and its opponent had a losing record (and, then, 10-0 ATS in that set if its opponent was off an ATS win).  Take the Paladins minus the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Jacksonville.  The Wildcats have had an unusually poor start to their season, as they're 3-5, including a 31-point loss (100-69) to #2-ranked Baylor on Saturday.  Their nadir, thus far, was of course their loss to Division II Fort Hays State.  Tonight, they'll face off against the Jacksonville Dolphins, who are 6-3 on the season.  We'll lay the points with K-State, as Big 12 Conference teams are 42-19 ATS as home favorites of more than 9 points after failing to cover the spread by 9+ in their previous game.  And the Wildcats are also 8-0 SU and 6-0 ATS at home after giving up more than 95 points in their previous game.  Lay it.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles + the points over Xavier.  The Musketeers are undefeated after winning back to back upsets over crosstown rival Cincinnati, 77-69, and the Oklahoma Sooners, 99-77.  Unfortunately, undefeated teams have covered just 36.6% since 1990 as a single-digit home favorite off an upset win by more than 10 points.  Even worse, .850 (or better) teams, not favored by more than 13 points, have covered just 34.8% since 1990 at home off back to back upset wins.  Marquette has won and covered the last four games in this series, and plays this afternoon's game off an upset loss at home to Seton Hall.  And Marquette's a solid 43-27 ATS on the conference road off a SU loss when Marquette wasn't favored by more than 5 points.  Take Marquette + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Manhattan Jaspers minus the points over Marist.  In their last game, the Jaspers upset Rider, 87-77, as a 1-point home underdog.  Off that win, we'll play on Manhattan this afternoon, as home teams, off double-digit upset home conference wins, have cashed 58% of conference games since 1990 (212-155 ATS) when not favored by more than 3 points.  That bodes well for the Jaspers today.  As does the fact that it's cashed 64.7% over the last 31 years at home off an upset win, if it was favored against a conference foe.  Finally, the Red Foxes have covered just 14 of 41 games off a SU win.  Lay the small number with the homestanding Jaspers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats + the points over Rhode Island.  The Rams come into this game off back to back road losses at Wisconsin and at Western Kentucky (though they covered each in defeat to extend their ATS win streak to 4 games).  Meanwhile, Davidson was upset, 63-52, as a 10.5-point home favorite in its last game.  But off that upset loss, we'll back the Wildcats in this underdog role tonight, as teams off double-digit losses, as double-digit favorites have covered 64% since 1990 vs. foes off back to back defeats.  Additionally, Bob McKillop's men are 24-11-1 ATS off a SU loss when not getting more than 3 points in a conference game.  And they're 21-10-1 ATS in competitively-priced conference games with a point spread of 3 points or less.  Meanwhile, the Rams are a poor 5-9 ATS as a home favorite vs. conference foes off upset losses.  And Rhode Island also falls into a negative 13-45 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off 4+ ATS wins.  Take Davidson + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds minus the points over Dixie State.  These two Beehive State schools are located less than an hour apart from each other, and should begin to play with more regularity now that Dixie State has made the jump to Division 1 this season.  Both teams have gotten off to good starts this season.  Dixie is 3-0 SU and 2-0 ATS.  The Trailblazers pulled off an upset win in their last game, as they won, 73-70, at Denver, as a 2-point underdog.  But that upset victory has triggered a negative 39% ATS system of mine which goes against certain .818 (or better) teams off upset wins, if they're on the road vs. opponents also off a win.  Like Dixie State, the Thunderbirds have yet to lose against the spread this season, as they're 4-0 ATS.  And they've also cashed 62% at home vs. foes off upset wins.  Even better:  .720 (or better) Big Sky conference teams have cashed 67% of non-conference games (and 71% of games vs. foes off a SU win).  Lay the points with Southern Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Notre Dame.  In their last game, the Irish upset Kentucky, 64-63, as a 7.5-point road underdog.  Can Mike Brey's men make it two-in-a-row?  It's not likely, as Mike Krzyzewski's men fall into one of their best situations tonight.  The Blue Devils come into this game on an 0-4 ATS run, including an 83-68 blowout upset loss at the hands of Illinois eight days ago.  But the Dukies are a spectacular 26-8-1 ATS in the regular season when they were on a 3-game ATS losing streak, including 18-3 ATS as a favorite vs. ACC schools.  The Blue Devils are also 6-0 SU/ATS vs. the Irish since 2017, and 18-5 ATS off a double-digit upset defeat.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Texas San Antonio.  Wayne Tinkle's Beavers have gotten off to a rough start this season, as they've lost their last three games -- all of the upset variety.  That streak should end this afternoon, as home favorites of more than 6 points -- off exactly 3 losses -- have covered 65% since 2000 if they were favored in each of those three defeats.  Even better:  Texas San Antonio has covered just 10 of its last 33 away from home when installed as an underdog.  Take Oregon State to blow out the Roadrunners.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over Charlotte.  In this Mecklenburg County battle, we'll side with the homestanding Wildcats against the 49ers.  Even though Davidson's just 20 miles from Charlotte, this still counts as a road game for the 49ers.  And it will be Charlotte's first road game of the season.  Unfortunately, the road has not been kind to Charlotte, as it has gone 13-45 SU and 18-39 ATS since January 2016.  But that's not the worst part.  When the 49ers have been installed as a dog of more than 8 points, they've gone 1-19 SU and 2-18 ATS on the road!  Lay the double-digits with Davidson.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Minnesota.  The Golden Gophers are unbeaten, at 6-0, as they enter Big 10 Conference play.  But the Gophers were double-digit favorites in five of those six games, so the reality is that they're really not been tested.  Here, they're installed as a mid-sized road underdog against a 4-2 Illinois team ranked #13 in the country.  Over the last 20 years, teams that were undefeated in their non-conference games prior to starting conference play have covered just 41% as underdogs of more than 5 points in their first conference game.  Even worse for Richard Pitino's troops:  they're a dreadful 12-34 ATS their last 46 Big 10 conference road games when installed as a single-digit underdog (or PK).  And they're 16-36 ATS their last 52 vs. Illinois (including 0-11 ATS when priced from +3.5 to +9.5 points).  Take the Illini minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls minus the points over Houston Baptist.  The Owls were upset here, at home, 72-61, on Sunday by New Mexico.  But off that double-digit upset defeat, the Owls now fall into several of my better bounce-back systems, including one with a 58-21 ATS record.  It's true that these two teams met a week-and-a-half ago -- a game which Rice won by 22, 86-64, as a 9.5-point favorite.  And it's also true that I will often take teams to avenge such blowout losses.  But it's hard to make a case for the Huskies this afternoon.  After all, they've lost their three road games this season by 24, 23, and 25 points.  And the fact that they come into this game off a SU win, while Rice checks in off an upset loss is enough for me to ignore the revenge angle.  Finally, the Owls have cashed 63% as a home favorite of -7 (or more) points off an upset home loss.  Lay the points with Rice.

At 7 pm, on the CBS Sports Network, our selection is on the George Washington Colonials minus the points over William & Mary.  GW comes into this game off back to back upset losses at UMBC and at Delaware, while William & Mary also comes into tonight's game off a loss at Old Dominion.  We'll lay the points with the Colonials, as home teams have cashed 62.3% since 1990 in non-conference games after being upset in two straight games.  And George Washington is a super 32-16 ATS off a loss when priced from -6.5 to -16.5 points, if their opponent is also off a defeat.  Take George Washington minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls minus the points over New Mexico.  Rice is off to a perfect 4-0 start this season, and is 2-0 ATS in their two lined games.  Meanwhile, this will be the Lobos first game of the season, as COVID has greatly impacted their program.  Even worse, the state of New Mexico has issued an order which prohibits the team from practicing or playing games within the state.  So, UNM has created a "home away from home" in West Texas, and has been scrimmaging non-division I opponents like South Plains College and Lubbock Christian University.  Whether such scrimmages will have prepared the Lobos for their first Division I game of the season this afternoon remains to be seen, but we will bet against it.  One reason is that the Lobos have been dreadful on the road over the last few seasons, even without the COVID-related distractions.  Dating back to 2015, New Mexico is 26-60 SU away from home, and 31-52 ATS, including 16-40 ATS vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss.  And Rice is 27-15 ATS as a single-digit favorite vs. non-conference foes.  Take Rice minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on North Carolina-Greensboro minus the points over Norfolk State.  In its last game, NC Greensboro was upset, 85-80, by Coppin St, as a 21.5-point road favorite!  That was the biggest upset loss sustained on an opponent's home court in the last 31 seasons.  And that was also the 3rd straight loss (both SU and ATS) suffered by NC Greensboro.  We'll lay the points this afternoon, as this is a great bounce-back spot vs. Norfolk St., which won and covered last Monday vs. Hampton.  For technical support, consider that home teams have covered 64% since 1990 off an upset loss as a double-digit favorite away from home when matched up against a non-conference opponent off a straight-up win.  Take NC Greensboro.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fairfield Stags + the points over Iona.  These two teams played last night, and the result was not pretty for the Stags, as they shot just 27% for the game, and were annihilated 70-42.  Last night, Fairfield was a 4-point home underdog; tonight, the line has been adjusted upwards by a few points to better reflect last night's score.  For some, it won't be enough of an adjustment, but for me it is, as I believe Fairfield will play a much better ballgame tonight.  For technical support, the Stags fall into a 90% 'bounce-back' system of mine which plays on certain teams off 20-point (or worse) losses.  And they also fall into a 63.5% revenge system of mine which plays on certain underdogs of +3 (or more) points that suffered a bad loss to its opponent earlier in the season.  Take the Stags + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Gardner-Webb.  The Panthers are off to a solid 3-1 start after coming back from an early 10-point deficit to upset Northwestern, 71-70, in Evanston, on Wednesday.  The Panthers showed a lot of moxie and competitive spirit on the road, as they trailed for all but the last 5.6 seconds of the game, before Justin Champagnie's game-winning dunk gave them the final margin of victory.  The key for Pitt was its tough defense, as it held the explosive Wildcats to more than 31 points below their scoring average.  And they're getting terrific offensive production across the board, as they're the only ACC school with three players ranked among the ACC's Top 10 in scoring.  Those players are Au'Diese Toney (18.3 ppg), Xavier Johnson (18.0) and Champagnie (18.3).  And Champagnie is also the only ACC player who is averaging a double-double, as he has pulled down 11 rebounds a game to lead the entire conference.  This afternoon, Jeff Capel's men will welcome the Bulldogs to the Steel City, and the Bulldogs played two ACC member schools last season, and lost by 16 (N. Carolina) and 27 (Virginia Tech) points.  We'll lay the points with Pitt, as I believe the momentum gathered from Wednesday's game will carry the Panthers forward at home today against an overmatched Big South conference school.  Take Pitt.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over the Milwaukee Panthers.  In its last game, Kansas State was stunned by Division II member Fort Hays State, 81-68.  And, to make the loss even more ignominious, the Tigers were 0-3 this season prior to the win, and became the first Division 11 team to defeat a major conference opponent on the road in 20 years!  The last team to pull off such a feat was Texas A&M Corpus Christi, when it bested Texas Tech, 86-80, on Dec. 18, 2000.  Of course, after that embarrassing loss, the Red Raiders bounced back to win their next game, and they also covered the point spread in their next four subsequent lined games.  I expect Kansas State to also bounce back tonight.  They'll have the distinct advantage of playing a Panthers squad which hasn't taken the court yet this season.  And Milwaukee ended last season on an 0-7 ATS run, and is 6-19-1 ATS its last 26.  Meanwhile, K-State is 9-5 ATS its last 14 at home off a home loss.  Lay the points with the Wildcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Gardner Webb.  The Runnin' Bulldogs are playing their first game of the 2020 season tonight, and will travel to Bowling Green, KY to take on the Hilltoppers, who are 3-2 SU but 2-3 ATS after dropping their 3rd straight game to the spread on Saturday (96-69, as a 42.5-point favorite).  The Bulldogs return just two starters from last season, so they'll be at a disadvantage tonight vs. a Hilltoppers squad which returned all five starters, and will be playing its sixth game of the season.  So, we'll play on Western Kentucky to get the $$$ tonight, as they're 28-1 SU and 20-9 ATS as a double-digit favorite following a game where they failed to cover by 6+ points.  Meanwhile, Gardner-Webb is a horrible 0-7 ATS as an underdog of more than 12 points in the regular season vs. a foe off an ATS loss.  Lay the points with the Hilltoppers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over San Diego.  The Toreros have had a late start to this 2020 campaign, as their early games -- in the Husky Classic -- were cancelled due to the coronavirus.  That will place San Diego at a disadvantage tonight, given this will be UCLA's 5th game of the season.  Even worse for Sam Scholl's troops:  they return just two starters, while UCLA returned all five starters.  The Bruins had a rough start to the season, as they lost, 73-58, at San Diego St. in their first game.  And then they needed triple overtime to get by Pepperdine in Game #2.  But they've gelled over their last two games -- 20+ point blowout wins over Seattle and California.  I look for UCLA to make it three BLOWOUTS in a row on this Wednesday, as Pac-12 teams off back to back SU/ATS wins have cashed 69% vs. West Coast Conference foes.  Lay the points with the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights minus the points over Central Connecticut.  These two teams played yesterday here, and the Blue Devils upset the Knights, 94-87, as a 9-point road underdog.  That was the Northeast Conference opener for both teams, and we'll take the homestanding Knights in the rematch this afternoon.  Dating back to 1990, home favorites have covered 56% off an upset home loss, if they were playing an opponent off an upset road win.  And the Knights also fall into a 146-95 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Syracuse.  To say that Rutgers has revenge would be an understatement.  After all, Syracuse has won the last 13 meetings (dating back to when both teams were Big East schools).  The good news for Rutgers -- at least for tonight's game -- is that teams have cashed 60.9% in non-conference games over the past 31 years if they had lost the last 7 games in the series, and were not getting 6+ points in the current game.  Take Rutgers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Billikens minus the points over Central Arkansas.  St. Louis is 3-0 SU/ATS this season, and has covered the spread by 11.5 ppg.  And they won their previous game by 53 points!  Over the last 31 years, favorites of more than 7 points off 3 SU/ATS wins to start the season have cashed 60% of the time.  Additionally, the Billikens are 34-13 ATS at home off back to back point spread wins.  Take St. Louis.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Tennessee State.  This is the Ohio Valley Conference opener for both teams.  But a key difference is that it's also Tennessee State's season opener, while Belmont has already played four games.  And these extra games in hand have enabled teams to cover the spread 60% of the time over the last 31 years when playing an opponent which was playing its first game.  So, that bodes well for the Bruins tonight.  As does the fact that the Tigers have covered just four of its last 18 conference games.  Lay the points with Belmont.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Eastern Washington.  We played on Oregon in its last game, and easily got the $$$ with an 83-70 win over Seton Hall.  That moved the 21st-ranked Ducks to 1-1 this season, and they'll play their home opener this evening against Big Sky Conference-member Eastern Washington.  The Eagles have been competitive this season, but have yet to crack into the win column.  They're 0-2 SU after two 3-point losses at Pac-12-member schools Washington St. and Arizona.  We'll go against the Eagles tonight, as teams off back to back losses have covered just 34.4% since 1990 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win that were playing their home opener.  That bodes well for Oregon.  As does the fact that Oregon is 30-12 ATS its last 42 games, as well as 58-36-1 ATS at home its last 95 games vs. non-conference foes, provided the Ducks won their previous game.  Lay the points with Dana Altman's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Seton Hall.  The Ducks were upset in their first game by Missouri, 83-75.  But I love Dana Altman's men to bounce back tonight, as they're 12-3 ATS their last 15 off an upset loss, including 3-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  And they're also 16-4 ATS their last 20 vs. non-conference opposition.  Finally, the Ducks fall into a 74.3% ATS bounce-back system of mine which plays on certain team after being upset as a favorite in their previous game.  Take the Ducks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Kent State.  The Golden Flashes opened their season with a 90-41 blowout of Point Park.  They held the Pioneers to just 28% shooting, and outrebounded them 55-28.  But Kent now must now step up in class to face the defending (2019) national champion Cavaliers.  Virginia is 2-1 on the young season, as it sandwiched a loss to San Francisco in between victories over Towson and St. Francis.  The Cavaliers are 36-22 ATS in the regular season vs. non-conference foes, including 16-3 ATS when favored by 18+ points.  And Kent falls into a negative 82-155 ATS system of mine which goes against certain double-digit underdogs off blowout wins.  Lay the points with Virginia.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Cal Baptist Lancers minus the points over Southeastern Louisiana.  These two teams actually met here just two days ago, and the Lions came away with an 81-80 upset win, as a 9-point road underdog.  If there was a silver lining for Rick Croy's men, it's that they actually led by 14 points in the 2nd half prior to collapsing.  And off that home upset loss, we'll lay the points with Cal Baptist, as they're 7-3 ATS off a loss (including 3-0 ATS off an upset loss), while the Lions are 1-5 ATS as an underdog vs. a foe off a SU loss.  And the Lancers also fall into a super 88% ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Niagara.  In its season opener, Syracuse defeated the Bryant Bulldogs, 85-84, which didn't enamor it to Las Vegas residents, as Syracuse was favored by 22.5 points in that game.  Still, a win is a win, and Syracuse will now welcome cross-state rival Niagara to the Carrier Dome.  The Purple Eagles haven't defeated the Orange in any of the last nine meetings, including a 71-57 loss last season.  And this will be Niagara's first game of the season.  We'll lay the points with Syracuse, as 14-point (or greater) favorites have covered 72% since 1990 after failing to cover the spread by more than 5 points, if they were now matched up against an opponent playing its first game of the season.  Even better:  Syracuse is a perfect 11-0 ATS as favorites of -4 (or more) points after failing to cover by 9+ in its previous game, while Niagara is 2-8 ATS its last 10 when getting 7+ points.  Take the Orange.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Incarnate Word.  The Cardinals rebounded off their season-opening home loss to Rice to defeat Our Lady of the Lake, 84-71.  They'll now play their first road game this season in Wyoming, which is 1-1 after getting upset by Texas Southern, 76-74, on Monday.  The Cowboys were favored in that game by 10.5 points.  But off that loss, we'll lay the double-digits with them tonight, as double-digit favorites have cashed 69% since 1990, if they were upset at home as a double-digit favorite in their previous game, and are now playing a non-conference foe off a double-digit home win.  Take the Cowboys to blow out Incarnate Word.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Tigers come home off back to back upset losses, and have been installed as double-digit favorites vs. an 0-2 Red Wolves team which also suffered an upset defeat its last time out.  We'll lay the points with Memphis at home, as home teams, off back to back upset defeats, are 180-130 ATS vs. losing teams.  And the Tigers are 36-16 ATS off 2+ losses, including 8-0-1 ATS its last nine if it was upset in its previous game.  Take Memphis minus the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Houston Baptist.  SMU comes into this game off back to back 30+ wins at home, while the Huskies check in off back to back 23+ point losses on the road.  Since 1990, NCAA teams, off back to back home wins to start the season, that have a scoring margin of +30 (or more points), have covered 70% at home vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take SMU to blow out Houston Baptist.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Hartford.  The Wildcats were favored by 9.5 points, but were upset, 81-73, by Virginia Tech in their last game.  But off that upset defeat, I love Jay Wright's men to come out extremely focused this afternoon, and expect them to blow out the Hawks.  Indeed, Villanova's an awesome 41-18-1 ATS off a game where they failed to cover the point spread by 4+ points, including a perfect 14-0 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss that have an ATS win percentage greater than .455.  And College Basketball teams have cashed 72.3% off an upset loss as a 9-point (or greater) favorite, if they were favored by 17+ points against an opponent off an ATS win.  Lay the points with the Wildcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers over St. Francis (PA).  The Red Flash upset Pittsburgh, 80-70, as a 16-point road underdog on Thursday.  They return home this afternoon, and will welcome the UMBC Retrievers to DeGol Arena.  We'll play against St. Francis today, as non-ACC teams off double-digit upset wins over ACC Conference schools have had letdowns in the next game, when playing at home, or on a neutral court, and favored (or PK).  They've cashed just 14 of 50 since 1990.  Take Maryland Baltimore County.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over VMI.  The Keydets won, 90-63, at home to open their 2020 campaign.  But we'll fade them in Happy Valley this afternoon, as double-digit road underdogs have cashed just 39% off a 25-point home win to open a seasons, if they scored 85+ in that home victory.  And Big 10 teams have gone 47-17 ATS in their season openers at home when favored by 14+ points.  Take the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Illinois State Redbirds over the Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks.  UMass Lowell upset San Francisco, 76-68, to open its season.  But the River Hawks now fall into a negative 45-85 ATS "letdown" system of mine based on that upset win.  And the River Hawks are also a poor 7-16 ATS their last 23 off an ATS win.  Take Illinois State.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Drexel.  The Panthers stubbed their toe in their home opener when they lost to St. Francis (PA), 80-70, as a 16-point home favorite.  But off that defeat, we'll play on Pitt to rebound at home on this Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, NCAA teams off a double-digit loss as a favorite of 14+ points have cashed 17 of 18 at home, or on neutral courts, if their opponent wasn't off an upset loss, itself.  Additionally, Drexel is 0-8-1 ATS its last nine away from home when priced from +4 to +12 points.  Take the Panthers minus the points over the Dragons.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Hartford.  UConn rolled in its first game, a 102-75 win over Central Connecticut St.  And they'll try to make it two-in-a-row vs. in-state rivals on this Friday.  This will be the first meeting between these schools since 2008.  We'll lay the points with UConn, as it's 14-7-1 ATS its last 22 home games.  Also, double-digit home favorites off a 25-point (or greater) win in their opener have cashed 63% vs. opponents playing their first game of the season.  Finally, Hartford falls into a negative 82-159 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams in their season opener.  Lay the points with Connecticut.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Boise State.  The Cougars were without their star player -- Caleb Mills -- on Wednesday, yet didn't need him in an 89-45 blowout of Lamar.  The good news is that he'll be back on the court this afternoon.  We'll take the Cougars minus the points, as they fall into a 93-33 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off double-digit wins.  And Houston's also 31-13 ATS at home off a double-digit home win.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over South Dakota State.  Utah State lost its first game of this Crossover Classic in Sioux Falls, SD.  But we'll take the Aggies to bounce back on Sunday, as they've cashed 70% over the last 31 seasons when they were playing back to back games away from home, and were upset in the first game, and now playing an opponent also off a loss.  They're also 10-5-1 ATS as a favorite off an upset defeat.  Take the Aggies to blow out the Jackrabbits.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Towson.  Both of these teams come into this afternoon's game off a loss yesterday at the Mohegan Sun Bubbleville Tournament.  Towson was blown out by 35 points by Virginia, while the Dons were surprised, 76-68, by the UMass-Lowell River Hawks.  San Francisco was favored by double-digits in that game.  And teams that were upset in their season opener as double-digit favorites have rebounded to cover 62.2% over the last 31 seasons.  Lay the points with San Francisco.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Nevada.  The Huskers are hosting this Golden Window Classic, and they got their 2020 campaign off to a great start last night with a 47-point blowout of McNeese State.  One of the things I love to do in early season college hoops is play on home teams when they host a tournament, when they're off a SU/ATS win in their home opener, and they're favored in Game 2 against an opponent which was also off a SU/ATS win the day before.  Our home teams have cashed 75% since 1990 in these games.  Lay the points with Nebraska.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange over North Carolina.  The Tar Heels blew out Virginia Tech yesterday to advance to this 2nd round game vs. Syracuse on Wednesday night.  Unfortunately, the Tar Heels will be at a significant disadvantage tonight since the Orange will be well-rested, as they have not played since Saturday.  And rested ACC Conference teams have gone 34-18 ATS vs. unrested foes in the ACC Tournament, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if they were playing with revenge, and not favored by 9+ points.  Take Syracuse to blow out North Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Appalachian St.  These two Sun Belt Conference rivals met twice earlier this season, with each team winning SU/ATS on its own home court.  This Quarterfinals match-up will be played in San Marcos, so the Bobcats will have the advantage -- especially given that they blew out the Mountaineers, 82-57, here, earlier this year.  The Bobcats fall into one of my favorite Tourney systems, which is 47-14 ATS since 1990.  That angle plays on certain home teams in conference tourney games vs. foes off wins.  And the Bobcats also fall into 96-47, 160-114 and 76-47 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off defeats to end their regular season.  Lay the points with Texas State.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Washington.  These two teams met last weekend in Tucson, and the Huskies upset Arizona, 69-63.  That also was Washington's 2nd straight upset win on the road.  We'll fade the Huskies in this Pac-12 Tourney game, as teams off two road upset wins have cashed just 38% in the Conference Tourneys over the past 30 years, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Arizona minus the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the George Washington Colonials minus the points over Fordham.  In this Opening Round match-up in the Atlantic 10 Tournament, we have two teams that are not playing very good basketball.  The Rams have lost 11 of 12 since their 59-54 victory over George Washington, on January 22.  And George Washington hasn't played much better, as it's 4-8 SU and 5-7 ATS over its last 12 games.  We'll lay the points with George Washington, as it falls into a 41-13 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as 44-9 and 60-18 ATS Tourney systems of mine that play on certain teams off losses.  Additionally, Atlantic 10 Conference favorites of less than 13 points have gone 169-104 ATS in the A-10 Tournament since 1992, including 37-19 ATS if it lost all the season's previous meetings vs. its opponent.  Take George Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over St. Mary's.  The West Coast Conference should just give the Bulldogs a bye into the final game.  After all, this is the 20th season in a row that Gonzaga has reached the title game.  And the Bulldogs have gone 15-5 in those games (but 15-3 straight-up and 12-6 ATS if one eliminates the two title games played on their opponent's home court).  The Gaels, once again, had a great regular season.  But they've never done well in the post-season, and especially not when matched-up against the better teams.  Indeed, St. Mary's is 1-12 ATS as an underdog of 5+ points in the post-season.  Likewise, the Gaels are 12-28 ATS vs. foes that have a scoring margin of 5+ points.  Finally, the Bulldogs fall into 41-6, 102-51 and 18-2 ATS systems of mine.  Take Gonzaga.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stony Brook Seawolves minus the points over Hartford.  The Hawks took both meetings vs. the Seawolves this season, including a double-digit win here, in February.  But Stony Brook falls into a 397-275 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as a 2nd system which is 81-28 that plays against certain teams off wins.  Even better:  America East Conference teams have gone 42-21 ATS in the Tournament when playing with revenge, including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home when playing with double revenge.  Take Stony Brook.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over Hofstra.  These two teams will meet in the Colonial Athletic Association title game this evening, in Washington, D.C.  They met twice earlier this season, and the Pride took both meetings.  But each of those two regular season games went down to the wire, as Hofstra won the first game, 74-72, at Northeastern, and the second game, at home, 75-71.  I look for the 3rd time to be the charm for the Huskies, as College teams have cashed 65% of Conference Championship games over the last 20 years when playing with revenge from 2 narrow regular season losses by 5 or less points.  Take the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Manhattan Jaspers minus the points over Fairfield.  The Jaspers come into this Metro Atlantic Tourney game off three straight double-digit losses, yet have been installed as a favorite against an opponent which handed it two defeats this season.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to go against the Jaspers, but we'll step in and lay the small number, as favorites have covered 60% in the post-season since 1990 off back to back double-digit losses, if their opponent was off a SU win.  Take Manhattan.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Wake Forest.  The Panthers lost at home to Wake Forest as a 6.5-point favorite earlier in the season, and have dropped all four meetings since 2017.  Notwithstanding this history, the Panthers have been installed as the favorite in this opening round game of the ACC Tournament.  We'll lay the points, as ACC Conference teams have cashed 67% since 1990 in the post-season, if playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, and not favored in the tournament game by 3+ points.  Take the Panthers.