Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 38-20 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
Buffalo at Kansas City 8:20 ET Chiefs (-) over Bills- I believe there has been an over-reaction to Buffalo and the 'public' will be loading up on the Bills in this one. Granted they have been far more impressive than Kansas City as Patrick Mahomes has thrown four interceptions with the Chiefs committing seven turnovers while the Bills lead the NFL with 11 takeaways and have the NFL's No. 1 defense allowing just 216.8 YPG. Of course they have played four of the worst offensive team in the league in Pittsburgh, Washington, Houston and Miami. Things will look different to them this week. Take KANSAS CITY! |
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10-09-21 | Michigan v. Nebraska +3 | Top | 32-29 | Push | 0 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
Michigan at Nebraska 7:30 ET Cornhuskers (+) over Wolverines- Both of these head coaches are under the gun this season as Michigan's Jim Harbaugh and Nebraska's Scott Frost have been disappointments are being pressured by alumni who are not happy with current state their programs. The Wolverines look much improved this season (5-0, 4-1 ATS) while then Cornhuskers (3-3, 4-1-1 ATS) have made positive strides although they have just split their first six games but are a positive 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as underdogs. Michigan meanwhile is just 1-6 ATS in their last seven Big Ten matchups while the Huskers are 3-0-1 ATS against teams with winning records. Take NEBRASKA! |
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10-09-21 | Michigan State v. Rutgers +4.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
Big Ten Vegas Hotline winner Michigan State at Rutgers 12:00 ET Scarlet Knights (+) over Spartans- After a disappointing season last year Michigan State is 5-0 and 3-0-2 ATS and spirits are high in Lansing. But, looking close at the competition that they have played we can note that they have yet to win against a team with a winning record and in the past two weeks with wins over Nebraska and Western Kentucky they were out gained by 186 yards and 41 yards with the Hilltoppers matting 560 yards against them. Rutgers who is much improved under Greg Schiano was waylay-ed by Ohio State last week and will bounce back with a strong home performance here. Note that the Spartans are 5-15-1 in their last 21 conference game. Take RUTGERS! |
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10-08-21 | Stanford v. Arizona State -12.5 | Top | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
Stanford at Arizona State 10:30 ET Sun Devils (-) over Cardinal- After defeating No. 3 Oregon last week 31-24 in overtime a huge PAC-12 upset the oddsmakers must believe that Stanford left in all on the field last week as they are almost two touchdown underdogs at Arizona State. The Sun Devils are looking for the third straight conference win and are averaging 444 YPG while holding opponents to 289 YPG and just 17.4 PPG while Stanford allows 406 yards and 26.8 points. This price is way out of whack as it appears the 'Bookies' are making it easy to take Stanford as they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven road games and the Sun Devils are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as favorites. Lay it with ARIZONA STATE! |
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10-07-21 | Rams v. Seahawks +2.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
L.A. Rams and Seattle 8:20 ET Seahawks (+) over Rams- The 3-1 Rams are coming off a 37-20 home loss against Arizona as their top rated defense surrendered 465 yards to the Kyler Murray led Cardinals offense. Seattle now 2-2 rebounded after a pair of losses to beat the Niners 28-21 in San Francisco despite being out gained by 223 yards. Under Pete Carroll Seattle is 10-1 (8-1-2 ATS) on Thursday Nights including winning their last nine straight-up. The last time these two met Seattle lost to Los Angeles 30-20 in a home wild-card playoff loss at home. The Rams are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss and are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings against the Hawks but Seattle is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as home underdogs but, just 2-9 ATS after a SU win. A tough call as the trends are a wash but take SEATTLE! |
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10-04-21 | Raiders v. Chargers -3 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
Las Vegas at L.A. Chargers 8:15 ET Raiders over Chargers- There is just one undefeated AFC team remaining and it is the rejuvenated 3-0 Las Vegas Raiders who bring the NFL passing leader Derek Carr into SoFi Stadium for this MNF encounter. The Raiders rank No. 1 in total offense averaging 471 YPG lead by Carr's 379.7 passing YPG as he was name AFC Offensive Player of the Month for September. Justin Herbert the Chargers second year QB set a rookie record for TD passes last season with 31 and had four scoring throws last week against Kansas City. That being said the underdog is 18-6 ATS in the last 24 meetings and the Raiders are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Los Angeles. And as far as these offensive numbers are concerned these two team play polar opposites as the under is 16-4-1 in the last 21 meetings overall. Take CHARGERS! |
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10-03-21 | Steelers +6 v. Packers | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 38 m | Show |
Pittsburgh at Green Bay 4:25 ET Steelers (+) over Packers- So, I guess this is the beginning of the end of Ben Roethlisberger which he actually showed signs of in the final five games of 2020 as the Steelers are 3-7 in their last 10 games overall. Aaron Rodgers of course is considered the best 'passer' of the day and has recovered from a horrible opening week 38-3 loss to New Orleans and is back in top form. These two QB's met in Super Bowl XLV when Rogers won his only NFL Championship and named MVP. Despite what we've seen Big Ben is completing 64% of his passes and he will have the return of his top receiver Diontae Johnson and will be aided Najee Harris running the ball for the bottom ranked rushing team in the NFL. The Steelers are 24-8-2 ATS as dogs and 18-7-1 ATS as road dogs and the road team is 4-1 in the last five meetings. Take PITTSBURGH! |
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10-03-21 | Ravens v. Broncos +1 | Top | 23-7 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
Baltimore at Denver 4:25 ET Broncos (+) over Ravens- Yes the Broncos are 3-0 but as so many have pointed out none of their three opponents have yet to win a game and are 0-10. Baltimore is 2-1 losing their opener against the Raiders after blowing a 14-0 lead. The dueling quarterbacks here are of contrasting styles as the Ravens Lamar Jackson and Denver's Teddy Bridgewater get the jobs done differently. The Broncos defense is No. 2 allowing just 221.7 YPG while Baltimore rep for a stout dense has taken a hit surrendering 394 YPG having played against the NFL top offense in the Raiders. Although the Ravens are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight. Take DENVER! |
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10-02-21 | Oregon v. Stanford +8 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
Oregon at Stanford 3:30 ET Cardinal (+) over Ducks- To my surprise this week I see that Oregon is the No. 3 ranked team in the country as the Ducks have reeled off four straight wins but maybe it is because they are just 1-3 ATS that they snuck up on the rankings or maybe it is because or the most part the PAC-12 is not highly regarded. Stanford (2-2) has been inconsistent losing to UCLA last week and Kansas State in their opener while defeating USC in LA and lowly Vanderbilt on the road. The Ducks have 13 takeaways and lead the nation including five interceptions last week against Arizona. I must note that the Ducks are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as favorites and 7-16-1 ATS after scoring 40 or more points in their previous game. The Cardinal are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six PAC-12 games and 5-2-1 ATS overall in their last eight. Take STANFORD! |
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10-01-21 | Iowa v. Maryland +3.5 | Top | 51-14 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
Iowa at Maryland 8:00 ET Terrapins (+) over Hawkeyes- The best quarterback in the Tagovailoa family will be on display tonight as Tau II takes the field as the Big Tens leading passer with 1,340 yards and a 75.5 completion percentage. No. 5 Iowa has caught most of the conference attention as they have the No.3 best scoring defense in the country allowing just 11 PPG and lead the Big Ten with six interceptions. So, the strengths of both clubs will clash here and and Taulia will get the best of it as he has 10 TD passes and only one INT. The Terrapins are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games and the Hawkeyes play great in September but when conference play starts in October they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven. Take MARYLAND! |
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09-27-21 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 21-41 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Philadelphia at Dallas 8:20 ET Eagles (+) over Cowboys- Something has got to give here as Dallas leads the NFL in takeaways after two week with six and the Eagles have yet to turn the ball over. The Cowboys offense is averaging 435 YPG as Dak Prescott leading the way throwing for 306 YPG but their defense is ranked 29th allowing 420 YPG. Philadelphia's defense has been one of the toughest holding opponents to 283 YPG. Seven Eagles have been grounded with injuries or COVID issues and that won't help them on either side of the ball. The home team and favorites have dominated this series of late but Dallas is 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as favorites. Take the EAGLES! |
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09-26-21 | Bucs v. Rams +1.5 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Tampa Bay at L.A. Rams 4:25 ET Rams over Buccaneers- The game of the day has the two NFC favorites going at it in LA where Tom Brady will play for the first time in his career. Hollywood is just a deep pass away and that will probably be the GOAT's next stop but now before that the Rams will butt him around here. Tampa has a pair of home wins and will face a fierce Rams rush in their first road game along with a passing offense behind Matt Stafford averaging 291 passing yards. Take the RAMS! |
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09-26-21 | Dolphins +4 v. Raiders | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Miami at Las Vegas 4:05 ET Dolphins (+) over Raiders- How 'bout dem Raiders' opening the season 2-0 with impressive wins over the Ravens and Steelers and are enjoying the limelight. Miami can't play much worse than last weeks 35-0 blowout loss to the Bills and will be without their injury prone QB Tagovailoa and will start journeyman Jacob Brissett who is 12-20 as an NFL starter. The 'price' here seems awful cheap and this leads me to believing the Dolphins will play tough and LV maybe caught napping. Take MIAMI! |
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09-26-21 | Ravens v. Lions +7.5 | Top | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Baltimore at Detroit 1:05 ET Lions (+) over Ravens- The Ravens pulled off an unexpected upset win over KCSunday night with Lamar Jackson showing he is one of the best running backs in the NFL. The Lions hung tough in the first half against Green Bay showing they can more the ball. With the Ravens still banged-up and riding high on their victory I expect a small letdown and as the Lions roar at home. Take DETROIT! |
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09-25-21 | Nebraska +5 v. Michigan State | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 32 h 57 m | Show |
Nebraska at Michigan State 7:00 ET Cornhuskers (+) over Spartans- I saw the Spartans up front and personal last week at Miami in their 38-17 beatdown of the Hurricanes. Yes that seem impressive and they played a swell game but the Canes just can't compete against better competition. Nebraska is led at quarterback by fifth year senior Adrian Martinez who for the most part has been a disappointment for the Cornhuskers but is coming off a maturing game against the Sooners going 19-25 for 289 yards. Huskers are 5-0 ATS after a straight-up loss and 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games on grass and are 9-4-1 ATS as road underdogs. Spartans are 5-15n ATS in last 20 conference games and 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games as hosts. Add that MSU is 1-101- ATS in last 12 as home favorites and Huskers are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take NEBRASKA! |
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09-19-21 | Rams v. Colts +4 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
L.A. Rams at Indianapolis 1:00 ET Colts (+) over Rams- The Rams entered the season with the NFL's No. 1 defense and during the off season they added (as we all are aware) one of the league best passers in Matthew Stafford. Last week we all saw what they are capable of by outclassing the Bears on Sunday night dominating on both sides of the ball. Indianapolis wasn't as impressive with their 'new' quarterback as they only produced 336 yards on offense scoring only one touchdown when the game was competitive. The Rams are just 1-4 ATS against teams with losing records while the Colts are 9-1-1 ATS after a double digit home loss and Indy is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games against teams with winning records. Take INDIANAPOLIS! |
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09-18-21 | Alabama v. Florida +15 | Top | 31-29 | Win | 100 | 22 h 29 m | Show |
Alabama at Florida 3:30 ET Gators (+) over Crimson Tide- Can anyone play with Alabama? I'm serious about this, they look to be the most physical team (Maybe Georgia) that I've seen this season. Florida always has talent at the skilled positions and speed to boot. The Tide lost two linebackers last week and that might give the Gators an opening they hadn't thought of prior to their injuries. Florida coach Dan Mullen is 0-10 lifetime against Nick Saban coached teams but got the money last season in a 52-46 loss to the Tide. This is Alabama's first trip to Gainesville since 2011 and they are 1-4 ATS on the road against teams with winning records and the gators are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after an ATS loss. Take FLORIDA! |
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09-12-21 | Cardinals +3 v. Titans | Top | 38-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
Arizona at Tennessee 1:00 ET Cardinals (+) over Titans- I think the oddsmaker is giving the Cardinals a great deal of respect. Tennessee was 11-5 last season before falling in the playoffs while Arizona struggled to reach 8-8 and failed to make the playoffs. The Titans added A.J. Green and Julio Jones to offset their powerful running game with Derrick Henry and yet they are favorite by just the home-field margin of -3. It looks like Kyler Murray will have his way against the Titans' Achilles heel...their defense. Arizona leads the all-time series 7-4 and are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Take ARIZONA! |
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09-11-21 | Washington +7 v. Michigan | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -116 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
Washington at Michigan 7:30 Huskies (+) mover Wolverines- Many are calling it the 'worst loss in school history' as the Huskies dropped their opener 13-7 to FCS Montana. Could the then ranked No. 20 Washington have been looking ahead to this Big Ten matchup...we shall see. Michigan posted a 47-14 win over Western Michigan but lost their start wide receiver and kick returner to season ending injuries. Jim Harbaugh is under the gun to produce this season but has struggled against the Pac-12 going 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Huskies 4-1 ATS after SU bounce back here. Take WASHINGTON! |
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09-05-21 | Notre Dame v. Florida State +7 | Top | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
Notre Dame at Florida State 7:30 Seminoles (+) over Fighting Irish- Notre Dame is once again ranked in the Top-10 although many doubt their ability to truly contend with the 'elites' in college football. The Fighting Irish have an experienced quarterback in Jack Coan who was beat out at Wisconsin by Graham Mertz after an early season injury. If any of you saw Mertz for the Badgers Saturday I have to wonder if this guy Mertz can win the job from Coan that Jack has a long way to go. Florida State was 3-6 last season with just two wins over FBS schools and are looking for a fresh start in coach Mike Norvell's second season. Take FLORIDA STATE! |
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09-04-21 | Alabama v. Miami-FL +19.5 | Top | 44-13 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
A-Play Megabucks Alabama vs. Miami-FL 3:30 ET Hurricanes (+) over Crimson Tide- Okay here's the gig...Alabama will be starting a Million-dollar quarterback that has yet to throw a pass at the NCAA level. The formidable Crimson Tide lost six offensive players in the first round and now matter what kind of system you have that is a lot of talent to replace. Miami who is 'Up and Coming' will have D'Eriq King back leading the attack and the 6th year senior has recovered from a torn ACL. Alabama is Big and Bad but that doesn't mean they would face some competition that stands up to them.Take MIAMI! |
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09-03-21 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +6 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
North Carolina at Virginia Tech 6:00 ET Hokies (+) over Tar Heels- North Carolina has received plenty of 'hype' this year and for good reason as they return a prolific offense that put up 56 points against Virginia Tech last season. The Tar Heels with have three year starting quarterback Sam Howell leading the charge but they have to replace a pair of stellar running backs. The Hokies at 5-6 last season ending a 27-year bowl streak but the home team have won the past four meetings and VT is 6-3 at home in the series. Take VIRGINIA TECH! |
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09-02-21 | Ohio State v. Minnesota +14 | Top | 45-31 | Push | 0 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
Ohio State at Minnesota 8:00 ET Golden Gophers (+) over Buckeyes- I'm willing to take my possible lumps if I have to, but I can in no-way pass on the Golden Gophers here. To start with even after suffering a 52-24 beating by Alabama 'The Ohio State' will always be overrated especially starting the season and are always a popular public choice. Minnesota is in a great spot with many returning starters including a fourth year senior at quarterback and the Big Ten Running Back of the Year last season. Take the GOLDEN GOPHERS! |
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08-29-21 | Patriots v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 22-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
New England at New York Giants 6:00 ET Giants (+) over Patriots- New England is 2-0 in this year's preseason games while the Giants are 0-2 entering the final tune-up game before the records really count. This New York/Boston rivalry doesn't match the Yankees and Red Sox intensity but for some reason the Giants have always given the Patriots a difficult time winning five straight matchups ATS until their last meeting in 2019. Bill Belichick is pleased with the Pats play this preseason and now is looking toward their opener against the Dolphins in two weeks. Take NEW YORK! |
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08-29-21 | Jaguars -4 v. Cowboys | Top | 34-14 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Jacksonville at Dallas 1:00 ET Jaguars (-) over Cowboys- Both of these clubs are winless in the preseason and neither are looking like playoff teams at this time. Through the years Dallas has been one of the worst preseason bets as they are 21-41 as favorites and 26-38 as underdogs in these meaningless games. Jacksonville is going with Trevor Lawrence for sure as they traded Gardner Minshew to the Eagles just days ago and will have veteran CJ Beathard in reserve. Jaguars coach Urban Meyer is looking for his first win as an NFL coach even if it is the preseason and will not be shy here while the Cowboys will sit at least 30 payers according to coach Mike McCarthy. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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08-27-21 | Steelers v. Panthers -3.5 | Top | 9-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
Pittsburgh at Carolina 7:30 ET Panthers (-) over Steelers- The Steelers who faltered down the stretch last season are off to a 3-0 preseason and will rest key players in their final preseason clash with Carolina. Pittsburgh will sit quarterbacks Ben Roethlisberger and Mason Rudolph as well as running back Najee Harris but will go with their starting offensive line for a good portion of the game. Carolina is 0-2 in the preseason and coach Matt Rhule is looking to close on a positive note and will get the most out of running back Chuba Hubbard and Sam Darnold as well as newly signed WR Robby Anderson. Take the PANTHERS! |
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08-23-21 | Jaguars +4 v. Saints | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
Jacksonville at New Orleans 8:00 ET Jaguars (+) over Saints- The coaching change in Jacksonville by bringing Urban Meyer to take over the reins may help, but even with Meyer at the helm the Jaguars lost their fifth straight pre-season game last week to Cleveland 22-13 opening as the favorite and are 0-5 ATS in those losses. New Orleans had quite a day in their opener as begun the post-Drew Brees era by committing six turnovers in their 19-16 loss to Baltimore with each quarterback throwing an interception while getting penalized 10 times. But, the true reason I like the Jags here is coaching. I just believe that Meyer will look to establish a positive mantra with his 'new' club here. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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07-20-21 | Suns v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
Phoenix at Milwaukee 9:00 ET Bucks (-) over Suns- Well, well, well...it took a real 'pressure' game for the true Chris Paul to show up like the CP we are used to seeing when it counts. Phoenix had the best road record in the NBA going 24-12 SU during the regular season but they are facing a Bucks team that is 9-1 at home during the Playoffs. From what I've seen the 'Greek Freak' has just taken over the in side game both offensively and defensively and he is just too strong inside when he has the ball and manages to dish the ball off for teammates easy buckets. Always a danger of the desperate Suns coming in under the 'number' but I don't believe this one will even be that close. Take MILWAUKEE! |
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07-17-21 | Bucks +4 v. Suns | Top | 123-119 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
Milwaukee at Phoenix 9:00 ET Suns (+) over Bucks- Milwaukee was once again down 0-2 in a playoff series as they were against Brooklyn and Atlanta are now facing the Suns who have lost two straight for the first time in the playoffs. for the first time since 1993 and are on the brink of their first NBA Championship. The Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo is back in action but hasn't received the support from his mates on the road that are needed to win. The home team has dominated this series and a tight game is in the cards. Take MILWAUKEE! |
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07-08-21 | Bucks +5.5 v. Suns | Top | 108-118 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
Milwaukee at Phoenix 9:00 ET Bucks (+) over Suns- Okay, guys and gals, many of my peers were taken back when I released Phoenix in Game 1 as I am for the most part looking for an underdog that can win the game. Now, when I post the Bucks in Game two I will hear 'Oh, the zig-sag', well it might seem that way and it works often enough but Milwaukee has responded throughout the playoffs this far when you would least expect it. I still can't figure out how a player can be named MVP twice in consecutive seasons and yet is a liability during crunch time in the biggest games. Defense yes, rebounding yes, and assists yes, but 3-point and free throw shooting are a terrible no-no. Still, an MVP responds here. Take MILWAUKEE! |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
Milwaukee at Phoenix 9:00 ET Suns (-) over Bucks- Milwaukee defied the odds at Atlanta ion Game 6 with the 'Freak' but are up against them again Tuesday as they are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as underdogs and 13-27-1 in their last 41 as playoff underdogs. The 'number' behind the Suns are almost too good...almost. But, they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 overall and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 as playoff favorites. I'm not worried about matchup or who's on the court really what I like is that the Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings at home. Take PHOENIX! |
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06-30-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1 | Top | 130-103 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
Phoenix at LA Clippers 9:00 ET Clippers (+) over Suns- here we go again with the Clippers who have become so predictable I can't wait for their next game and only wish that his was a Best of 21 series. It's simple, go down 0-2 and then make a series out of it it's what they do! L.A.'s Paul 'Playoff P' George finally had a game that counted going 15-of-20 from the floor with 13 rebounds as the Suns just couldn't keep pace. Phoenix still has plenty of room only having to win one of the next two but they are some are only 2-10 ATS at LA with one of those 'covers' coming in Game 4 their 84-40 victory! I look for the Clippers to extend the series to seven games and expect an easy win here. Tale LOS ANGELES! |
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06-29-21 | Bucks -6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 88-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
Milwaukee at Atlanta 8:30 ET Bucks (-) over Hawks- I've been led to believe that in the long run the 'cream will rise to the top' and I'm thinking that is what is happening in this series. Atlanta jumped out to a 1-0 lead by catching the Bucks unprepared for the Hawks high flying offense but have made the necessary adjustments in Games 2 and 3 holding Atlanta to 25 points less in Game 2 than in Game 1 and 14 points below that number in Atlanta in Game 3. I stated half jokingly that after the way Brooklyn blew out Milwaukee in the first two games of that series that I wouldn't be surprised if the Bucks came back and won it...and they did and 'we' did cash-in. Trae Young is questionable and that may be the death nil for the Hawks. Take MILWAUKEE! |
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06-28-21 | Clippers +5.5 v. Suns | Top | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
LA Clippers at Phoenix 9:00 ET Clippers over Suns- Chris Paul is on the brink of playing in his first NBA Finals after 15 frustrating years of falling short as Phoenix needs but one more win to enter their first Championship round since 1993. Los Angeles is still without 2-time Finals MVP Kawhi Leonard and Paul 'Playoff P' George depicts the adage 'Statistics never lie but they can be very misleading.' Although leading the Clippers with 23 points last time out he was 5-of-20 from the floor and 1-of-9 from 3-point range before fouling out and was also charged with a technical foul. In Game 3 he once again was LA's leading scorer but was 9-of-26 with six turnovers. But, with the Clippers on the edge of elimination they will scrape and claw until the final horn. Take LOS ANGELES! |
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06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +5 | Top | 113-102 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Milwaukee at Atlanta 8:30 ET As Trae Young goes so go the Hawks as his performance has pretty much dictated the outcome of Games 1 and 2 scoring 48 in the Game 1 win and just 16 in the game 2 loss. So, Young is averaging 29.4 points in the playoffs with the next teammate in scoring is John Collins with just 14.4 ppg. Milwaukee of course has leading scorer, rebounder and assist man Giannis Antetokounmpo at 28.9 points with Khris Middleton next at 22.0 ppg and he is followed by Jrue Holiday (17.1). The Bucks are 2-0 in Game 3 of their playoffs series with the last a win over Brooklyn when down 0-2. But, here's the lowdown...Atlanta is 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall and the Bucks are just 2-5 ATS as road favorites and only 1-5 ATS in their last six Conference Finals. Plus I am always looking to take a team off a 34-point loss to rebound! Take ATLANTA! |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | Top | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
Atlanta at Milwaukee 8:30 ET Bucks (-) over Hawks- The high-flying Hawks swooped down on the Bucks in Game 1 and are fearless and playing with the utmost confidence. Milwaukee on the other hand continues to put themselves in jeopardy as they once again fall behind in a playoff series. Game 2 of a NBA Playoff series provides us with some interesting facts. To start with when a home team favored by 7-or-more points and loses Game 1 outright they are than an amazing 18-2 ATS in Game 2. Atlanta has had the best of Milwaukee going 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings but will have to overcome this unbelievable trend. Look for then Bucks to rebound here. Take MILWAUKEE! |
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06-23-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | Top | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
Atlanta at Milwaukee 8:30 ET Bucks (-) over Hawks- Atlanta has certainly shown that they belong as they have won two playoff series against the Knicks and the 76ers. Milwaukee pulled off the biggest surprise in the playoffs to date coming back from and 0-2 deficit after losing Game 2 by 49 points to Brooklyn before rallying for a win in Game 7 over a depleted Nets squad. This line appears to be very high and inviting if you like Atlanta especially when we see that the Hawks are 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings at Milwaukee. After two years of having the best record in the NBA and failing early in the playoffs the Bucks can advance to the Finals will a win over Atlanta and they are looking to atone for past failures just to get there. Take MILWAUKEE! |
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06-22-21 | Clippers v. Suns -4.5 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
L.A. Clippers at Phoenix 9:00 ET Suns over Clippers- There seems to be a patten with these Clippers as they go down early in these playoff series and then make an epic comeback and advance with or without 2-time Finals MVP Kawhi Leonard. The Suns with also be without one of their prime time players in Chris Paul whose absence has been overcome by Devin Booker's play. Both starts Paul and Leonard again will be sidelined. Phoenix is 8-0 in their last eight games overall sort of the way they closed last season in the 'Bubble' and they are 23-9 as home favorites. Take the SUNS! |
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06-20-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -7 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
Atlanta at Philadelphia 8:00 ET 76ers (-) over Hawks- It was a great run for Atlanta who has surprised the entire NBA in the progress they have made in the past season but as the Beatles said...It's all over now! The 76ers did what they had to do in their winning when facing elimination and that is something the Hawks will face for the first time. They would have to continue their torrid shooting and that's Trae Young's department while the rest of the crew struggles as they missed 11 of 24 free throws last time out. Atlanta will be without DeAndre hunter and most likely without Bogdan Bogdanovic and they just don't have the depth of the Sixers. Atlanta is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and are only 1-4 ATS in their last five games in Philly. Take PHILADELPHIA! |
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06-19-21 | Bucks +2 v. Nets | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
Milwaukee at Brooklyn 8:30 ET Bucks over Nets- Let me start by saying at at Pick-em or close enough that you will just have to pick the winner to win the bet. Now, here's the deal, NBA home teams own a 109-31 record in Games 7 and Milwaukee is 2-8 in their playoff Game 7's. Now, we are concerned as to who will actually play for the injured Nets as Irving is most likely out and Harden hasn't been the same and Durant is on another planet while playing at home. Here's a crazy stat, the Bucks are 31-15-1 ATS in the last 47 meetings but Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS at home. This line is just too inviting with all those home team stats so I must go the other way. Take MILWAUKEE! |
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06-18-21 | Jazz v. Clippers +2 | Top | 119-131 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
Utah at L.A. Clippers 10:10 ET Clippers (+) over Jazz- Utah the No. 1 seed in the West grabbed a 2-0 series lead with a pair of wins at home but now have dropped three straight for the first time this season and are on the brink of elimination against a wounded but 'game' opponent on the Clippers. Los Angeles will be without two-time Finals MVP Kawhi Leonard and Serge Ibaka who is out of the playoffs because of back surgery. Utah's Donovan Mitchell says that his sore right ankle that keep him out for 18 games has worsened during this series. Utah is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 at LA against the Clippers and are 4-0 ATS as road favorites while the Clips are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games...Take the CLIPPERS! |
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06-17-21 | Nets v. Bucks -5.5 | Top | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
Brooklyn at Milwaukee 8:30 ET Bucks (-) over Nets- My first impression of Game 6 is that the oddsmaker is giving Milwaukee plenty of room to win and not 'cover' in this the highest point-spread in this series. This is what bothers me, yes I understand Irving is out but Harden is back and even at 80% he's good enough to be an asset and this 'price' makes me think the Bucks are more than likely going to run away from the Nets here. The 'number' is just too inviting and Brooklyn is 3-7 ATS as playoff dogs and 0-4 ATS in their last four games when underdogs. Take MILWAUKEE! |
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06-16-21 | Clippers +3 v. Jazz | Top | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
L.A. Clippers at Utah 10:00 ET Clippers (+) over Jazz- It's like they're playing with 'us' the way los Angeles hangs the fruit out to their opponents and then snatches it away before the befuddled pray. Aside from that this is a No. 1 seed at home with the line under a long range field goal and we aren't even in the conference finals yet. Just saying it looks way short to me and after a pair of blow out home wins the Clippers are really cocky and usually I don't favor that but LA is loving their role and brimming confidence. Meanwhile, the Jazz have to be shaken to their core as the were totally dominated in the last two and being the No. 1 seed brings a different pressure and attitude and their karma seems shot. The lone tells the tale...Take the L.A. CLIPPERS! |
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06-15-21 | Bucks v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
Milwaukee at Brooklyn 8:30 ET Nets (+) over Bucks- Confused? I am! When Brooklyn went up 2-0 I whispered 'The Bucks look so bad they might win the series' but, was I half joking or completely joking. Either way with Irving going down and Durant the last man standing among the Big-3 can the Nets regroup as a home underdog. Milwaukee is just punk enough to get beat or win under the number while they don't shoot well on the road and Durant had his two poor shooting nights in Milwaukee. Tough call but my gut says take the injured party...play BROOKLYN! |
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06-14-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3.5 | Top | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Philadelphia at Atlanta 7:30 ET Hawks (+) over 76ers- The Hawks were flying high after running past the Knicks and jumping out to a huge early lead in Game 1 at Philadelphia posting an easy win. Well, nothing has come easy since the third quarter of Game 1 as the 76ers have decided to play like men and Atlanta hasn't been up to the task. The Sixers broke the Hawks 13-game home winning streak and now it's time for the Hawks to re-establish the home court swagger and they are good enough to show it. Take ATLANTA! |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2 | Top | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
Brooklyn at Milwaukee 3:00 ET Bucks (+) over Nets- There is 1:20 left in Game 3 with the Nets holding a 3-point lead after a Kevin Durant bomb and I'm thinking same old story with Milwaukee. Here they've blown a 21-point lead and they about to go down 0-3 and then the 'phone rang!' The Bucks come-back win was due largely because neither Durant nor Irving saw the ball again as Bruce Brown took over for the Nets and missed three shots and the beat-goes-on. There is no question Brooklyn is the superior team but maybe the 'Greek' can make a 3-pointer or two because he has no chance at the Free Throw line. Still, 'Karma' is a freaky thing and right now it sits with the Bucks. Take MILWAUKEE! |
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06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 106-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
Utah at L.A. Clippers 8:30 ET Clippers (-) over Jazz- We have seen this scenario before and the question is...will we see the same result? The Clippers are once again down 0-2 in a Best-of-7 series having dropped a pair in Utah, with the difference being that this time they at least return home down 0-2 for a Game 3. In their series against Dallas they had to deal with Luca Doncic and things haven't gotten any easier as Donovan Mitchell is averaging 41 points in the series with six 3-pointers in each game. The Jazz have always given the Clips fits as they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 visits to LA and 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. But, even the Clippers don't believe that they can come back if the fall down 0-3. So, they win, but by how many...is this like the Bucks win, a non-cover or a trouncing, but it's true is Utah is a better team but they fall short here. Take CLIPPERS! |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 127-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
Philadelphia at Atlanta 7:03 ET Hawks over 76ers- After shooting the lights-out in Game 1 the Hawks returned to Earth and fell in Game 2 to Philadelphia as Joel Embiid dominated play. The series switches to Atlanta where the Hawks have won 13 straight since April 15 including six straight over the 76ers. The Sixers who have struggled on the road are 6-18-2 away from home against teams with winning records and are 7-15 ATS in the last 22 meetings overall while the hawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games. Take ATLANTA. |
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06-10-21 | Clippers +3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 111-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
L.A. Clippers at Utah 10:00 ET Clippers (+) over Jazz- The Clippers managed to blow a 13-point lead in Game 1 but still got the money as the points came into play. Donovan Mitchell was the key to the Utah come-from-behind win as he scored 32 of his 45 points in the second half. Los Angeles has always had problems against the Jazz as they are just 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings and 8-21-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings in Utah. But, this Clippers squad is motivated and will prevail here. Take the CLIPPERS! |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks -3.5 | Top | 83-86 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Brooklyn at Milwaukee 7:30 ET Bucks over Nets- I've seen plenty of NBA playoff games in my time and I seen teams get routed by superior clubs but I don't ever recall a team no matter how high or low a seed is ranked dominate a team the way Brooklyn abused in the first two games of this series. Game 1 was never as close as the scored indicated and the Nets just won for fun as we would say. Milwaukee lost by 20-points four different times this season and they responded with a win by an average 18.8 points after each loss. Brooklyn is 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games and the Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five as playoff favorites. Take MILWAUKEE! |
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06-08-21 | Clippers +4 v. Jazz | Top | 109-112 | Win | 101 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
Los Angeles Clippers at Utah 10:00 ET Clippers (+) over Jazz- I kind of like this side as the Clippers enter this series as the underdog up against Utah the No.1 seed. LA laid down the final weekend in order to face Dallas yes, but they also knew it would be Utah next. They got what the wanted and took the Mavericks down as the cream rose to the top and now they play a Utah team that has never been in this position as they were always positioned behind at least the Lakers and more. The Jazz had that incredible run that pushed them so far ahead they were just on cruise control the final eight weeks. There is one tiny little thing...the Clippers just get hammer by Utah year after year as they are not only 3-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings but in Utah they are 8-20-1 ATS in last 29 meetings in Salt Lake. Sooo, we DO have a chance! It's times like these I have to remember that 'the future doesn't equal the past' or something like that! Personally, I can say that I am 'playing' this game. Take the CLIPPERS! |
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06-07-21 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Suns | Top | 105-122 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
Denver at Phoenix 10:00 ET Nuggets (+) over Suns- The 'long guns' have made their mark early in the NBA playoffs as Devin Booker along with Trae Young are bombing away from ridiculous lengths and dominating the score board. Both clubs held service in their opening round matchups as the No. 2 seeded Suns upended the Lakers in five games and No. 3 Denver jettisoned upstart Portland in six games. The Nuggets seem like the most 'unlikely' side of the day as they enter the injured party with Jamal Murray sidelined. The Mile-High club has more playoff experience and are 12-51- ATS in their last 18 games as playoff underdogs. Although Phoenix took it outright to the Lakers from start to finish but, they have always struggled against the Nuggets. The Suns have gone 6-14 ATS in the last 20 meetings overall and 3-7 ATS at home. Take DENVER! |
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06-06-21 | Hawks +3 v. 76ers | Top | 128-124 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Atlanta at Philadelphia 1:00 ET Hawks (+) over 76ers- Philadelphia's Joel Embiid status for this game is up in the air as suffered a meniscus tear in his right knee and his availability is in doubt. Even if he plays I question just how effective he will be. Embiid missed 21 of the 72 games played this season and the 76ers were 10-11 without him and won Game 5 against the Wizards in the playoffs. Atlanta like Philly need just five games to advance against New York and are playing their best basketball going 27-11 since Nate McMillan took over on March 1. Atlanta is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings and they could take this outright on the floor. Take the high flying HAWKS! |
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06-05-21 | Bucks +4 v. Nets | Top | 107-115 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
Milwaukee at Brooklyn 7:30 ET Bucks (+) over Nets- A great match-up of the two top scoring teams in the NBA with the Bucks the leader at 120.1 per contest and Brooklyn a tad behind averaging 118.6. In actuality the nets probably have more offensive potential as their number were accomplished with the Big-3 (Durant, Irving and Harden) playing only 11 game together. But, I seem to believe that after the way Milwaukee was jettisoned from the playoffs early the past two years that they are on a playoff mission this season. Although the Bucks are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games as underdogs they are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Brooklyn and the nets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 as home favorites. Take no attention to any of that stuff. Just take MILWAUKEE! |
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06-04-21 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 104-97 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
L.A. Clippers at Dallas 9:00 ET Mavericks (+) over Clippers- It appears to me that there has been a 'changing of the guard' so to speak as LeBron James fades in the twilight of his career Luka Doncic has emerges as the most dominate big game in the game and he needn't play near the basket. Limited by a neck strain Doncic had 42 points and 14 assists last time out and the Clippers can not find a way to slow him down. Dallas has won four of the last five meetings and are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs. The Clippers are 2-6 in their last eight road games and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as favorites. Take DALLAS! |
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06-02-21 | Hawks +1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 103-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Atlanta at New York 7:30 ET Hawks (+) over Knicks- After winning the opening game of this series with Atlanta I have stubbed my toe since and this one 'kills' me personally as the Knicks seem to have lost their confidence and it has a lot to do with Julius Randle's struggles which are being cause by the hounding dog-it Hawks defense. It seems New York coach Tom Thibodeau knows this team over-achieved this season and can't find the answers. A handicapper I respect told me you have to 'take the Knicks because you can only lose once' and I responded 'I would rather WIN'! It pains me but...take ATLANTA! |
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06-01-21 | Blazers +2 v. Nuggets | Top | 140-147 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
Portland at Denver 9:00 ET Trailblazers (+) over Nuggets- This Best-of-7 series is tied at two wins apiece after Portland was able to get even at 2-2 after posting a 20-point home win last time out. Denver now has the home court advantage and yet the high seed is just a 1.5-point favorite at home. That sends a message to me that the Trailblazers are the play as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games and 6-2 ATS as underdogs in their last eight in that role. They are also 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings in Denver and I believe that they win this one easy...take PORTLAND! |
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05-31-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
Utah at Memphis 9:30 ET Grizzlies (+) over Jazz- Utah who had a great 3-point run earlier in the season when the 'covered' 19 of 21 games while having four players shooting over 40% at the season's mid-point. The Jazz ended up shooting 38.9% as a team from 3-point range but ended up fourth in the league. Utah won Game 3 easily and are 26-12 ATS after an ATS win while Memphis is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 as underdogs including 5-1 ATS as home dogs. Take MEMPHIS! |
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05-30-21 | Knicks +5 v. Hawks | Top | 96-113 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
New York at Atlanta 1:00 ET Knicks (+) over Hawks- This series was set up as a match between a pair of scoring leaders in Atlanta's Trae Young and the Knicks Julius Randle. The face-off has been failure for Randle as he has gone from averaging 37.3 points against the Hawks to 14.7 points in this series and is shooting 24% in the playoffs and his assists are down from 6.7 to 3.3 per game. Atlanta is young (HA) and hungry as are the Knicks but have struggled against New York when playing as hosts. The Knicks are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings including 18-7-1 ATS in Atlanta and they are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games and 9-3 ATS as road underdogs. Take NEW YORK! |
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05-29-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 121-111 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
Utah at Memphis 9:30 ET Grizzlies (+) over Jazz- Okay, Utah's Donovan Mitchell has returned and made an impact in Game 2 of this series scoring 25 points including five long range shots which help the Jazz to even the series at 1-1. These two met once in Memphis this season and Utah won 111-107 as a 4.5-point favorite and were without Mitchell and now with him in the lineup they are only five-point favorites. Memphis is the ninth seed and the Jazz are No.1 and this line seems way short to me. Take the GRIZZLIES |
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05-28-21 | Nets v. Celtics +8 | Top | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
Brooklyn at Boston 8:30 ET Celtics (+) over Nets- This appears to be the biggest mismatch of the playoffs so far as Brooklyn is at full strength with their Big-3 of Durant, Irving and Harden. The Nets have been hit with one injury since the post season started as forward Jeff Green will be out the rest of this series. Boston's star Jayson Tatum is expected to play despite a swollen right eye injured by Durant in the third quarter in Game 2. This contest marks to return of Kyrie Irving to Boston and the fan reaction will not be pleasant. Look for the Celtics to squeeze out a win here and get the money. Take BOSTON! |
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05-27-21 | Bucks v. Heat +2 | Top | 113-84 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Milwaukee at Miami 7:30 ET Heat (+) over Bucks- The defending Eastern Conference Champions are stuck 0-2 in this series and they return home after the worst loss in Heat playoff history. Miami was never in Game 2 after a narrow loss in Game 1 and Jimmy Butler has yet to show up to play scoring just 27 total points in both games. Miami felt that the pressure to win at home was on Milwaukee and that's what they did and now it's the Heats' turn to get hot at home. Take MIAMI! |
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05-26-21 | Hawks +2 v. Knicks | Top | 92-101 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Atlanta at New York 7:30 ET Hawks (+) over Knicks- I would love to have the Knicks here and win but I just don't believe that is going to happen. It has been a breakout year for New York and Julius Randle who just won the NBA's Most Improved Player award. The Knicks who led the NBA in defense are now realizing in the playoffs that they need a bit more on offense as their off-guard position has been their biggest problem. Madison Square Garden will be packed with the starving for a playoff win Knicks fans but they most likely will go home disappointed. Dating back to the olden days New York is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games as favorites and I believe this line after a home loss is too inviting. Take ATLANTA! |
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05-24-21 | Blazers +1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-128 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
Portland at Denver 10:00 ET Trailblazers (+) over Nuggets- Of all players that I least expect to deliver in the clutch was the difference in Game 1 as Megabucks winner Portland used the experience and scoring capabilities of Carmelo Anthony. Injected in the game late in the 1st quarter Anthony provided the offensive spark needed to propel the Trailblazers past the Nuggets. For Denver Michael Porter replaced Jamal Murray and for the most part the Nuggets never missed a step as they closed the season 12-4 without Murray. But, Portland is 24-13 SU on the road have depth to win again. Take PORTLAND! |
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05-22-21 | Heat +5 v. Bucks | Top | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Miami at Milwaukee 2:00 ET Heat (+) over Bucks- There are a number of reasons that I really like Miami here and I'm start with recent history. These two met a week ago in Milwaukee an important game for both with the Bucks prevailing 120-103 for their only 'cover' in their last eight games (1-7, L-8) while the Heat have won 12 of their last 16 SU with the return of a healthy Jimmy Butler and Doran Dragic. The Bucks are the NBA's leading scoring team but they have been here before more than once and every time it's the same scenario they play like a deer caught in the headlights. Take team with true grit. MIAMI! |
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05-21-21 | Grizzlies +5 v. Warriors | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Memphis at Golden State 9:00 ET Grizzlies (+) over Warriors- These two met each five days ago both each with 38-33 records and the Warriors (-3) won 113-103 and that is why this game is being played at Golden State. Memphis has been a tough out on the road going 22-14 ATS and are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 as underdogs and 6-2 ATS in their last eight as road underdogs. But, what makes this a difficult call is that Curry belongs in the next higher league and the Warriors are following his cue and are 6-0 ATS in their last six overall. Everyone understands that the NBA and fans as well want to see Golden State advance here and the money has been pouring in on the Warriors as expected but it is exceptionally heavy and I have to fade that kind of action. Still, there is room for the 'gaff' a win and non-cover by the favorite. Take MEMPHIS! |
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05-19-21 | Spurs +4 v. Grizzlies | Top | 96-100 | Push | 0 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
San Antonio at Memphis 7:30 ET Spurs (+) over Grizzlies- San Antonio has staggered to the finish line as they have dropped their last four and 10 of their last 12 straight up and are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games as underdogs. But, there is a key factor in their favor and that is their road record where they are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games away from the Alamo. Memphis is 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 0-4 ATS in their last four games as home favorites. Take SAN ANTONIO! |
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05-18-21 | Hornets +3 v. Pacers | Top | 117-144 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Charlotte at Indiana 6:30 ET Hornets (+) over Pacers- The Hornets have lost five straight after blowing an 11-point fourth quarter lead against Washington Sunday while Indiana posted a road win at Toronto. That was the Pacers 21 win on the road (21-15) whereas they have won just 13 of 36 at home with an ATS record of 13-23 as hosts. That to me is important as the Hornets are 21-7-1 ATS on the road against teams with losing home records. Losers of 15 of their last 21 games overall the Hornets have struggled since Gordon Hayward went down on April 2 and he is not expected to play tonight. The slack with him being sidelined is being picked up by Rookie-of-the-Year candidate La Melo Ball (believe it or not). Take CHARLOTTE! |
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05-16-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers -10.5 | Top | 116-132 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
Denver at Portland 9:00 ET Trailblazers (-) over Nuggets- Portland 'just' needs to win here or see a loss by the Lakers to clinch a coveted top-six position for the playoffs. The Blazers own the tie-breaker edge with L.A. and will be focused for this encounter as they rebound from a 118-117 loss at Phoenix. Denver has won both meetings this season and yet now Portland opened as an 8.5-point favorite and they have not been favored by more than 3.5-points in the last 10 meetings. Take the TRAILBLAZERS! |
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05-14-21 | Pelicans +2 v. Warriors | Top | 122-125 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
New Orleans at Golden State 9:30 ET Pelicans (+) over Warriors- Really now, the Steph Curry led Warriors opened less than a 3-point favorite at home against the Williamson-less Pelicans. This price stands out because of how 'hot' Golden State is having won four straight and six of their last seven games overall while New Orleans has dropped their last two without their 'big stud' but they are still 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games and 5-1 ATS after a SU loss. But, the main factor is that this game means nothing to the Warriors their final game Sunday against Memphis will determine their seeding. Take NEW ORLEANS! |
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05-13-21 | Nuggets v. Wolves +6 | Top | 114-103 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
Denver at Minnesota 8:00 ET T'wolves (+) over Nuggets- Denver has been winning and winning without leading scorer Jamal Murray and are seeded fourth one-game behind the Clippers. Minnesota has won back-to-back games and six of the last nine and are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings with Denver. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games and 2-6 ATS against teams with losing records. The timberwolves are playing their best ball of the season (now that's it's ending) and are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Take MINNESOTA! |
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05-12-21 | Blazers +2.5 v. Jazz | Top | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Portland at Utah 9:30 ET Trailblazers (+) over Jazz- Utah still have a chance for the No. 1 spot in the West with a two-game lead in the loss column over Phoenix with three games remaining. Portland is seeded No. 7 but with wins in 2-of-their-3 final games will move them into the sixth seed. The Blazers have won four straight and eight of nine but have lost both meetings with the Jazz by an average of 19.5 points and are 5-1 ATS in their lat six road games. Utah has been great at home going 31-4 SU and 23-12 ATS but fall short here. Take PORTLAND! |
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05-11-21 | Mavs v. Grizzlies +1.5 | Top | 104-133 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Dallas at Memphis 8:00 ET Grizzlies (+) over Mavericks- Dallas is currently the no. 5 seed in the West and are on a 4-game in streak and have won 10 of their last 12. This has given them a chance to clinch a spot in the top-6 with a combination of two wins or losses by the Lakers. Memphis is seeded ninth and have at least clinched a spot for the 'play-ins' and are playing tough as underdogs going 8-1 ATS in that role the nine times. The Grizzlies are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games and get the cash here. Take MEMPHIS! |
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05-10-21 | Wizards v. Hawks -7.5 | Top | 124-125 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
Washington at Atlanta 7:03 ET Hawks (-) over Wizards- 'Outrageous!' That's right this 'line' is OUTRAGEOUS! Here is Washington, on a two-game winning streak and one of the hottest teams in the NBA since the All-Star game an 8-point underdog at Atlanta. The Wizards are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall and are 6-1 ATS as road underdogs after a win over Indiana while the Hawks are off a loss to the Pacers. Atlanta is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games and 13-4 Ats as favorites! Take ATLANTA! |
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05-09-21 | Heat +1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 130-124 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
Miami at Boston 1:00 ET Heat (+) over Celtics- There is no doubt how much stronger the Heat are with Jimmy Butler in the lineup as with him back they have won their last 4-of-5 and eight of 11 while Boston has lost six of their past 10 games. This is a rematch of the 2020 Eastern Conference Finals when Miami got the best of the Celtics in six games. They have met once this season with Boston winning at Miami 107-105 and this time it's the Heats turn. Miami is 7-2 ATS in their last nine games in Boston while the Celtics are 2-5-1 ATS as home favorites. Take MIAMI! |
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05-08-21 | Spurs +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 102-124 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
San Antonio at Portland 10:00 ET Spurs (+) over Trailblazers- The Spurs just broke a 5-game losing streak with a 113-104 win at Sacramento last night and play in Portland against the hot Blazers who have won six of their last seven games. In a turn-around from the past two seasons San Antonio has played better on the road going 22-10-1 ATS with 19 outright wins. Despite the losing record the Spurs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games overall showing great effort and they are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 road games. Trouble here are as Portland is 0-5 ATS in their last five as home favorites and 8-20-2 ATS against teams with winning road records. Take the SPURS! |
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05-07-21 | Celtics v. Bulls +4.5 | Top | 99-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Boston at Chicago 7:30 ET Bulls (+) over Celtics- For the first time in over a year there will be fans inside the Unites Center in Chicago as the Bulls host the Boston Celtics. Boston is struggling to stay in the top-6 for the NBA playoffs and are 3-4 SU in their last seven games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall. Chicago is off a 120-99 Megabucks win last night at Charlotte and are 13-6 ATS at home against teams with losing road records. Boston is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 following an ATS win and are 0-4 ATS after a SU win. Take CHICAGO! |
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05-06-21 | Bulls -3.5 v. Hornets | Top | 120-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Chicago at Charlotte 7:00 ET Bulls (-) over Hornets- Okay, let me get this straight the Chicago Bulls are 26-39 on the season and the home Hornets are 32-33 and fighting for a playoff seed. Chicago has dropped their last four while and 11 of 15 and yet the odds-maker has deemed they the favorite on the road here and they are 5-2 ATS as road favorites. Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games as underdogs. Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last six trips at Charlotte and are the dog herfe. This one smells. Take CHICAGO! |
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05-05-21 | Suns v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 103-135 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Phoenix at Atlanta 8:00 ET Hawks (+) over Suns- How is this for an improbable overtime win and cover by the Suns last night in Cleveland. As a 12.5-point favorite Phoenix was forced to go overtime against the lowly Cavaliers and then went on a 15-0 run in OT to both win and cover 134-118 and that win pushed them into a tie for the top spot in the West with Utah. Atlanta is getting healthier with Bogdan Bogdanovic returning to action and they have won their last two. I don't see how the Suns will rise here after last night overtime game as they are 2-8 ATS after a SU win and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six as road favorites. Take ATLANTA! |
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05-03-21 | Blazers v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 114-123 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
Portland at Atlanta 8:00 ET Hawks over Trailblazers- Portland has been one of the NBA's best when on the road and are 20-12 both SU and ATS and currently 4-0 on their six-game road trip coming off a 119-109 win at Boston Sunday. Atlanta just ended a 3-game losing streak with a win over Chicago Saturday and clinched them at least the 10th seed while they currently sit fifth. Trae Young is back for Atlanta after missing four games and Kevin Hunter returned yesterday with Bogan Bogdanovic returning tonight. The hawks fly high tonight...take ATLANTA! |
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05-02-21 | Nets +2 v. Bucks | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
Brooklyn at Milwaukee 3:30 ET Nets over Bucks- A pair of the NBA's top contenders face-off with clubs that look like that have already been to battle. Brooklyn was without Kevin Durant, Bruce Brown, Nic Clayton and of course James Harden while the Bucks have been without Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Nets are no longer the league top scoring team with harden out for the past month as the Bucks now have that honor averaging 119.3 PPG. Brooklyn is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in Milwaukee and the Bucks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as home favorites. Take BROOKLYN! |
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05-01-21 | Nuggets v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 110-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
Denver at LA Clippers 10:00 ET Clippers (-) over Nuggets- These two are about as close as you can get as they both have 21 losses with the Clippers having 43 wins and Denver 42. With nine games to go both clubs realize this is just one-game and they both will be without the leading scorers. Jamal Murray is out for the Nuggets and Kawhi Leonard has missed the last three weeks. Denver is 8-1 without Murray and have won four straight and are meeting the Clippers who have lost their last two on the road and return home to host a conference rival and the Clippers are 6-1 ATS in last seven as home favorites. Take LOS ANGELES |
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04-27-21 | Mavs +2.5 v. Warriors | Top | 133-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Dallas at Golden State 9:30 ET Mavericks (+) over Warriors- When these two clubs matchup points abound, in their last four meetings they have averaged 137 for the winner and 121 for the loser with Dallas winning 3-of-4. Golden State has won their last four at home but has been blown-out by the Mavericks twice 147-116 and 141-121 at home. The Mavs are 5-2 on the road against team with winning home records and they are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. Take DALLAS! |
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04-26-21 | Clippers v. Pelicans +2 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
L.A. Clippers at New Orleans 8:00 ET Pelicans (+) over Clippers- Despite injuries the Clippers keep rolling and have won four straight and 11 of their last 12 games while the Pelicans have dropped 5-of-6 and with 12 games left to play. New Orleans is off tough 2-point loss to the Spurs but have had their highest scoring total of the season against the Clips scoring 135 in a victory over LA in March. For whatever reason the Pelicans give the Clippers fits as they are 21-7 ATS in the last 28 meetings. Take NEW ORLEANS! |
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04-25-21 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Blazers | Top | 120-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Memphis at Portland 4:00 ET Grizzlies (+) over Trailblazers- This is 2nd of back-to-back meetings as the Grizzlies posted a 130-128 win over the Blazers on Friday winning a Power Play. Memphis is now 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs and Portland is 0-4 ATS in their last four games as favorites. The Griz are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games and 35-17 ATS overall in their last 52 games while Portland is 2-7 ATS against teams with winning records. Take MEMPHIS! |
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04-24-21 | Spurs +3 v. Pelicans | Top | 110-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
San Antonio at New Orleans 8:00 ET Spurs (+) over Pelicans- San Antonio has been a bit of a mystery this season as they are 13-19 SU at home and 16-10 SU and 18-8 ATS which is total turn-around from last season. The Spurs holds a 3.5-game lead over the Pelicans and this game will be the tie-breaker if it comes down to that at season's end. New Orleans I off their biggest margin of victory this season defeating Orlando 135-100 on Thursday and I expect a drop off in performance here. San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in their last six road games while New Orleans is 4-9 ATS at home against teams with winning records. Take SAN ANTONIO! |
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04-23-21 | Cavs +2 v. Hornets | Top | 102-108 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
Cleveland at Charlotte 8:00 ET Cavaliers (+) over Hornets- Although Charlotte has a better record by 7-games than the Cavaliers they are a virtual pick-em at home as they have lost six of their last seven games and are off a beatdown at Chicago. Cleveland has won the previous two meetings this season and are 7-2 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with losing SU records. Surprisingly enough the Cavaliers are 14-6-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings and 6-1 ATS at Charlotte. Take CLEVELAND! |
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04-22-21 | Suns -5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 86-99 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Phoenix at Boston 7:00 ET Suns (-) over Celtics- These 'prices' on NBA games have had so many anomalies because of the virus and this is one of them. Phoenix is vastly improved this year but so much so that they are this strong a favorite non the road against the Eastern Conference leader. The Suns have won 13-of-15 including an outright win over the 76ers last night and are 10-4 ATS playing with no rest. The Celtics are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five home games and are only 5-17 ATS in the last 22 meetings including 0-4 ATS at home. Take PHOENIX! |
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04-21-21 | Warriors v. Wizards +2.5 | Top | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
Golden State at Washington 7:00 ET Wizards over Warriors- The NBA's two top scorers will face off in Washington where Bradley Beal will try and recapture the top scoring spot from a red-hot Stephen Curry who scorched the 76ers with 49-points and has shot 55% from 3-point range while leading the Warriors to wins in 3-of-4. But, the Wizards have won five in-a-row and 7-of-8 including a 110-107 win at Golden State while the Warriors are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings in Washington. Take the WIZARDS! |
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04-20-21 | Nets v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 134-129 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Brooklyn at New Orleans 7:30 ET Pelicans over Nets- Bot these clubs blew late leads in their last contests one good Nets blowing to Miami and one bad Pelicans falling in OT at New York. So now, New Orleans is the host and somehow become the favorite. Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs and the Pelicans are just 6-13 ATS as home favorites. Tell me how this makes any sense as the Nets are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. As a matter of fact this is now my 'Don't Make Sense' game of the day. Take NEW ORLEANS! |
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04-18-21 | Nets v. Heat +4 | Top | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
Brooklyn at Miami 3:30 ET Heat (+) over Nets- Jimmy Butler is pissed! Miami dropped their third straight game Friday night to lowly Minnesota and he says that his teammates 'take too much for granted.' Well, they would be able to take anything for granted today as the Nets come to South Beach. The Heat after winning the East last season find themselves currently a seventh seed as injuries and virus protocols have hindered their season. Brooklyn must be a Saturday night 'party' team as thy are 1-7 ATS on Sunday's and 4-10 in their last 14 games as favorites. Take MIAMI! |
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04-17-21 | Cavs +2 v. Bulls | Top | 96-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
Cleveland at Chicago 8:00 ET Cavaliers (+) over Bulls- Chicago is reeling having lost five straight and 11 of 14 and will be without Zach LaVine who is in the NBA health and safety protocol. Cleveland as expected hasn't seem much better losing 3-of-4 and eight of 11 and will be missing two back court players as well. Good news (maybe) for Cleveland is that Kevin Love has returned to action and should help (?). Although the Cavs are just 6-14 ATS in the last 20 meetings they are 4-1 ATS in Chicago. Take CLEVELAND! |
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04-16-21 | Blazers v. Spurs +2.5 | Top | 107-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
Portland at San Antonio 8:30 ET Spurs (+) over Trailblazers- Portland who was playing well when CJ McCollum returned to action are struggling now and have lost four of five and are 2-8 SU since the ALL-Star break. The Spurs are off a loss at Toronto where the short-handed Raptors had four players missing due to injuries. Despite going 1-4 ATS in their last five home games the Spurs coach Gregg Popovich insists that they will rebound better after getting killed on the board by Toronto. If 'Pop' sez it it must be true. Take SAN ANTONIO! |
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04-14-21 | Mavs v. Grizzlies +2 | Top | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
Dallas at Memphis 9:30 ET Grizzlies (+) over Mavericks- The Mavericks players are so concerned with the playoff format so much that they would rather bitch and complain then actually play basketball. So, it looks like Dallas has a mind set that they will finish 7, 8, 9 or 10th will have to deal with the silly playoff scheduling. Memphis has struggled against Dallas at home as they are just 1-5 ATS hosting the Mavs but are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last five games as underdogs. Take MEMPHIS! |
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04-13-21 | Celtics +1.5 v. Blazers | Top | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
Boston at Portland 10:00 ET Celtics (+) over Trailblazers- I don't know what it is with the Trailblazers but they opening a dog at home against Miami and were never in it as the Heat led from start to finish. Now, Portland comes up a virtual pick'em against a Boston team that is 11-6 on the road while the 31-22 Blazers are 16-11 at home. What makes this even more intriguing is that Portland is 11-4 ATS at home against teams with losing road records. One thing though, the Celtics are 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetIngs. Take BOSTON! |
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04-12-21 | Kings +2.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 110-117 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Sacramento at New Orleans 9:00 ET Kings (+) over Pelicans- This looks like a very short line to me as New Orleans who has a 2-game lead over the Kings for the final playoff spot and have won their last two are less than a long shot favorite. Sacramento has dropped six straight and are 8-21 ATS after a SU loss and yet this price is so low. But, the Pelicans are 5-12 ATS as home favorites and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. Take SACRAMENTO! |
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04-11-21 | Heat +1 v. Blazers | Top | 107-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Miami at Portland 10:00 ET Heat over Trailblazers- Oh how the NBA line-makers taught and tease us. Here is Portland 10-games over .500 and off a 118-103 win over the Pistons and they open a dog at home against Miami who is barely over .500 and will be without guard Victor Oladipo. The Trailblazers on the other hand now with the return of CJ McCollum have one of the best guard tandems in the NBA. Miami who is off a narrow win over the Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games and the Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last five against teams with winning records. Take MIAMI! |
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04-10-21 | Raptors -2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 135-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Toronto at Cleveland 7:30 ET Raptors (-) over Cavaliers- These two are practically mirror images of each other although it may not seem that way. Toronto is 20-32 SU and 21-31 ATS on the season and the Cavaliers are 19-32 SU and 21-30 ATS. Cleveland returns home after winning their last two on the road by 24 and 27 points and they are an underdog to the reeling Raptors who have lost their last two and 6-of-8. What makes this 'line' even more questionable is that Toronto is just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 meetings in Cleveland. This one stinks...take the RAPTORS! |
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04-09-21 | Bulls +2 v. Hawks | Top | 108-120 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Chicago at Atlanta 8:10 ET Bulls (+) over Hawks- Chicago has matched their season high winning streak with three straight victories and bring it to Atlanta where the Hawks just had a 4-game winning streak of their own ended by (Megabucks winner) Memphis. Bulls look to avenge a 124-104 loss in the first meeting back in late December and are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings including 5-0 ATS in the last five in Atlanta. Chicago is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games including 11-4 ATS as road dogs. Take CHICAGO! |
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04-07-21 | Grizzlies +3 v. Hawks | Top | 131-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
Memphis at Atlanta 8:00 ET Grizzlies (+) over Hawks- This could be a good one as these two clubs are pretty evenly matched. Atlanta has won 13 of their last 17 and are coming off a record setting performance against New Orleans where they made 11 straight 3-point shots. Memphis has won their last three and are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall. Although the Hawks are flying high and are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games the line is short and they are just 2-5 ATS at home against a team with winning road record. Take MEMPHIS! |