Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-09-16 | Bengals -1.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
50* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month (Bengals -1.5) Dallas was able to overcome their injuries and get a win on the road against the 49ers last week, but that's nothing to get excited about. San Francisco is one of the worst teams in the league and we just saw them lose at home to the Cardinals without Carson Palmer. The Cowboys have really benefited from an easy schedule to start the season and are taking a big step up in competition here with a motivated Bengals team that is coming in with extra rest. Cincinnati knows this is a game they have to have. Dallas is missing key pieces all over the field, including their top playmaker at receiver (Dez Bryant) and top corner (Orlando Scandrick). Not to mention some big injuries on that potent offensive line. Cincinnati wins at the line of scrimmage on both sides and wins this game. Give me the Bengals -1.5! |
|||||||
10-09-16 | Jets +7.5 v. Steelers | 13-31 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NFL Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Jets +7.5) I think we are seeing a big overreaction here with these two teams. The Jets come in off back-to-back double-digit losses, while Pittsburgh is off that impressive blowout win at home against the Chiefs. The Jets aren't as bad as their last two games and Pittsburgh isn't as good as their big win over KC. With New York sitting at 1-3, this is a must-win game and we can bank on them giving everything they got in this contest. As for the Steelers, we could see a bit of a letdown, like we did a couple weeks back against the Eagles. The Jets have a defense that can at least slow down the Pittsburgh offense and their offense is more than capable of moving the ball and putting up enough points to keep this within in a touchdown. Give me the Jets +7.5! |
|||||||
10-09-16 | Redskins v. Ravens -3.5 | 16-10 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NFL No Doubt ATS Knockout (Ravens -3.5) This line is begging for you to take the Redskins, but I think the value is clearly with the Ravens. Washington is not as good as people think, but are getting some love from the books after winning two straight. Baltimore is 3-1, but just aren't getting any respect, despite some solid numbers showing they are legit team. The Ravens have won the yardage battle in 3 of their 4 games, including a massive 412 to 261 advantage last week against a Raiders team that everyone loves. This Baltimore defense is the real deal and the offense is improving with each game. Washington is a pass-happy team that can't run the football and don't play much defense. That's far from a recipe for success on the road in the NFL. I think the Ravens bounce back in a big way after suffering their first loss of the season. Give me Baltimore -3.5! |
|||||||
10-06-16 | Cardinals -3.5 v. 49ers | 33-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NFL No Doubt ATS Blowout (Cardinals -3.5) Not having Carson Palmer is a big blow, but luckily for the Cardinals they are facing the 49ers. San Francisco's defense wasn't good to start with and now it's about to get worse, as they lost their most important player in linebacker NaVarro Bowman. The rest of the defense feeds off his energy on the field and he's in just about every running play. Even with Bowman playing at a very high level, the 49ers are allowing 140 ypg and 4.3 yards/carry against the run o the season and that's them only giving up 65 yards against the Rams in Week 1. Arizona is going to be able to establish the run and that's going to make life a lot easier on backup quarterback Drew Stanton. I'm also expecting a dominant defensive performance here by the Cardinals in a game they simply can't afford to lose. Give me Arizona -3.5! |
|||||||
10-03-16 | Giants v. Vikings UNDER 43 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 43) This game has a defense battle written all over it. Minnesota is 3-0 due in large part to the play of their defense. They come in averaging 21.3 ppg, but part of that is a result of some defensive scores. Offensively they are averaging just 265 yards/play. With that limited offense and great defense, Minnesota wants to grind out possessions and limit the opponents chances. The Giants defense didn't perform well last week against Washington, high-powered passing attack, but in their two previous games played really well. I see New York's stop unit playing really well against the limited Vikings offense. As long we don't get a bunch of turnovers that lead to immediate scores, I just don't see enough offense here to eclipse this total. Give me the UNDER 43! |
|||||||
10-02-16 | Chiefs v. Steelers OVER 47 | 14-43 | Win | 100 | 46 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NFL Chiefs/Steelers SNF No Brainer (Over 47) I think the books have missed the mark in this one. Pittsburgh's offense is no where near as bad as they looked last week against the Eagles on the road and the Chiefs defense is no where as good as they looked at home last week against the Jets, at least not until Justin Houston returns from injury. Pittsburgh simply didn't show up coming off the emotional letdown after that big win over division rival Cincinnati. I look for their offense to come to life at home in primetime, especially with the return of Le'Veon Bell to the lineup. New York actually moved the ball well against Kansas City's defense last week, but just had a turnover meltdown. Let's also not forget Week 1, when Philip Rivers carved up the Chiefs defense until his star wide out Keenan Allen went down with an injury. As for Kansas City's offense it has yet to play up to it's potential and should have no problem moving the chains against Pittsburgh's defense, which is basically just dropping everyone in coverage and forcing teams to drive the field with short underneath passes. Exactly what this Chiefs offense is built to do with Alex Smith. Give me the OVER! |
|||||||
10-02-16 | Titans +4.5 v. Texans | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NFL Situational Dog of the Week (Titans +4.5) just think the Texans are one of the most overrated teams in the NFL. It’s a big reason why I jumped all over the Patriots last week even with Jacoby Brissett starting at quarterback. I really think Houston made a mistake bringing in Brock Osweiler and counting on him to be a difference maker. I wasn’t impressed with Osweiler in Denver, he just got a lot of hype because he played better than Peyton Manning. Still it was the defense that was the deciding factor in all his wins with the Broncos. In my opinion, he’s a slightly better quarterback than what they had last year. As for the Titans, I think they are one of the more underrated teams in the NFL. Tennessee outgained both the Vikings and Raiders in their two losses and went on the road and beat a pretty decent Lions team. The offense is a bit limited, but the defense is better than people think. The Titans defense has allowed 42 points in 3 games if you take away the two turnovers by the offense that were returned for touchdowns against the Vikings and the safety in the game against Detroit. That comes out to a mere 14 ppg. I think the offense comes to life without Watt on the field and does enough to either win outright or keep this within a field goal. |
|||||||
10-02-16 | Panthers -3 v. Falcons | Top | 33-48 | Loss | -115 | 38 h 1 m | Show |
50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Panthers -3) I really like the Panthers in this spot. They hype surrounding Carolina coming into the season has taken a big hit after their 1-2 start and ugly loss at home lost week to a Vikings team the public thought they would dominate at home. Atlanta on the other hand has gained some respect from their 2-1 start, but those two wins have come against two overrated teams in the Saints and Raiders. Both of which are not good on the defensive side of the ball. it's allowed the Falcons to cover up what has been a pretty bad defense of their own. The Panthers have the playmakers on defense to make life miserable for Matt Ryan an Atlanta's offense and their offense should do as they please here. This also has the feel of a must win game for Carolina, who desperately don't want to fall to 1-3. Give me the Panthers -3! |
|||||||
09-29-16 | Dolphins v. Bengals UNDER 45 | Top | 7-22 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 45) Two desperate teams take the field on Thursday, as the Bengals and Dolphins are both going to play their hearts out to avoid starting the season 1-3. Both teams have plenty of reason to still believe they can turn things around after their 1-2 starts. Miami's two losses have come against the Seahawks and Patriots, while Cincinnati's two defeats have come to Pittsburgh and Denver. Bengals defense hasn't been great the first 3 weeks, but they get back the heart and soul of their defense in linebacker Vontaze Burfict, who was suspended the first 3 games. We also have both teams missing key players offensively. Cincinnati remains without tight end Tyler Eifert. Miami is minus starting running back Arian Foster and tight end Jordan Cameron, not mention are banged up on the offensive line. Bengals offensive line has also struggled early on, as they are only averaging 82 ypg on the ground and have seen Dalton sacked 12 times in 3 games. Miami comes in having recorded 9 sacks in 3 games, which is tied for 7th in the league. Give me the UNDER 45! |
|||||||
09-26-16 | Falcons v. Saints OVER 53.5 | Top | 45-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 53.5) I'm expecting a lot of fireworks offensively for both teams, which should have this one going well over the total here. Both of these teams are expected to finish in the Top 10 in total offense. Atlanta is definitely on their way, as they are averaging 29.5 ppg and 451 ypg over their first two contests. They go up against a Saints defense that isn't anything to write home about. New Orleans did manage to score just 13 points last week at the Giants, but that's just what they do. The Saints score a ton of points at home and struggle to generate offense on the road. They should have no problem getting the offense going, as the Falcons are getting torched through the air so far this season, playing right into the hands of the Saints high-powered passing attack. Atlanta is giving up 7.4 yards/pass attempt and allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 73.1% of their attempts. Give me the OVER 53.5! |
|||||||
09-25-16 | Vikings v. Panthers -7 | 22-10 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NFL Blockbuster Bookie Annihilator (Panthers -7) The Vikings have been decimated with injuries and will be going on the road against a hungry Carolina team that will be highly motivated to leave here with a win. Minnesota surprised a lot of people with how well they played against the Packers last week (everyone was on GB), but that was at home against a division opponent in their first game inside their new stadium. This is a major letdown spot and they are playing without Adrian Peterson and left tackle Matt Kalil. The defense can only get you so far and this Carolina offense is the real deal. I just don't think the Vikings are going to be able to produce enough offense to keep this one within a touchdown. Give me the Panthers -7! |
|||||||
09-25-16 | Lions v. Packers OVER 47.5 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NFL Situational Total No Brainer (Over 47.5) All we are hearing about is how much the Packers offense is struggling and I believe that has created some value here on the total in Sunday's NFC North clash with the Lions. We have already seen Detroit's defense exposed by Andrew Luck and the Colts struggling offense in Week 1 and I look for Rodgers and company to do the same here. Keep in mind that Green Bay has played each of their first two on the road. The first against an inspired Jaguars team in some serious heat in Jacksonville and last week against the Vikings elite stop unit in their home opener in a new stadium on Sunday Night Football. I think Green Bay scores 30+ in this one and the Lions are more than capable of putting up some points of their own to push this over the mark. OVER is 41-22 in the Packers last 63 after scoring 14 or less and 16-5 in their last 21 off a road loss by 3 points or less. Give me the OVER 47.5! |
|||||||
09-25-16 | Browns v. Dolphins -9 | Top | 24-30 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 35 m | Show |
50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Dolphins -9) I have no problem laying this big number on the Dolphins at home against the Browns. Miami is a better team than they get credit for, but just aren't getting a ton of respect at 0-2. Everyone was on Baltimore last week and they saw the Browns jump out 20-0 on the Ravens before eventually losing. That was at home and with an experienced quarterback. Now Cleveland goes on the road with rookie Cody Kessler making his first NFL start. He does so without talented rookie wide out Corey Coleman, who played a big part in them being competitive against Baltimore with 5 catches for 104 yards and 2 scores. Miami isn't going to overlook the Browns at 0-2 and I look for them to make a statement here and easily win this one by double-digits. Give me Cleveland -9! |
|||||||
09-22-16 | Texans v. Patriots -1 | Top | 0-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Patriots -1) I know the Patriots might be without Garoppolo, but I still think they are the better team and will find a way to win at home. Keep in mind, there's still a shot Garoppolo plays. So much attention is being made to that injury, people are overlooking the other factors here. Like the advantage the Patriots have on a short week of prep with Bill Belichick or that New England's defense is every bit as good as the Texans and the Houston offense is nothing to write home about. Whenever this team is doubted, like they are here, they always seem to find a way to prove people wrong. Whether it's Brissett or Garoppolo, I expect the Patriots offense to be able to move the ball and the defense to make enough stops to win this game. It's also worth mentioning, I'm not that high on the Texans and feel they are overrated right now after the 2-0 start. They beat an awful Bears team at home, which they trailed in the 4th quarter and the Chiefs in a huge revenge spot from last year's ugly playoff loss. Give me the Patriots -1! |
|||||||
09-19-16 | Eagles v. Bears -3 | Top | 29-14 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bears -3) I think we are catching a good number here with Chicago as a field goal favorite at home on Monday Night Football. The Bears are going to come out desperate to avoid the dreaded 0-2 start to the season and I believe this is a better team than people think. Chicago went into Houston and had a lead going into the 4th quarter. The Eagles won at home against a Browns team that could struggle to win a game this season. I think facing Cleveland has upped the hype on rookie Carson Wentz, who will be making his first NFL road start on the biggest stage of the week. It's also worth noting that rookie quarterbacks haven't faired well in Chicago. Since 2002, rookies are 1-6 with the only win coming in overtime with Russell Wilson and the Seahawks. Another factor here is the Eagles are missing a key player on both sides of the ball. Offensively they will be without tight end Zach Ertz, who was one of Wentz's favorite targets in Week 1 and on defense they are going to be missing top corner Leodis McKelvin, which is a big loss going up against Chicago talented duo of Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White. Give me the Bears -3! |
|||||||
09-18-16 | Colts v. Broncos -6 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NFL Sunday Afternoon ATS Knockout (Broncos -6) The betting public is going to see this line and jump all over Indy. I actually think the value here is with Denver laying less than a touchdown. Denver’s offense should be able to do whatever they want here against a injury depleted Colts defense that wasn’t going to be that good if they were healthy. Indy gave up a staggering 448 total yards at home last week to the Lions. Matthew Stafford threw for 340 yards with only 8 incompletions on 39 attempts. With the talent the Broncos have on defense and this being a home game, I just don’t see the Colts being able to do enough offensively to keep this game close. Indianapolis doesn’t have a running game to keep Denver’s defense honest and the offense line is one of the worst in the league. Von Miller and the Broncos pass rush is going to have a field day in this one. Give me the Broncos -6! |
|||||||
09-18-16 | Jaguars v. Chargers OVER 47 | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 31 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NFL Over/Under Total Dominator (Jaguars/Chargers Over 47) I look for a lot of points to be scored on Sunday between the Jaguars and Chargers. This is a tough spot for Jacksonville's defense, after they laid it all on the line at home last week against the Packers. Not to mention they had to travel across the country. Even without Keenan Allen, San Diego's offense is capable of putting up a big number. As for Jacksonville's offense, I believe it's the real deal and will be one of the higher scoring teams this season. I think these two easily combine for 50 or more on Sunday. Give me the OVER 47! |
|||||||
09-18-16 | Seahawks v. Rams +7 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
50* NFC West Game of the Month (Rams +7) I know the Rams couldn't have looked any worse in their opener against the 49ers, but I'm confident that's not the team we are going to see the rest of the year. Keep in mind the Vikings got owned by San Fran in Week 1 last year on Monday Night Football and they went on to win 11 games. This is a much better matchup for LA, especially on defense, where their defensive line should be able to overpower a weak Seahawks offensive line. This is also a big bounce back spot after getting embarrassed in the spotlight of MNF. On top of that, it's the first home game in LA in over two decades. Seattle has started out slow in the past and they certainly didn't look good in Week 1, as they were fortunate to beat Miami at home. Give me the Rams +7! |
|||||||
09-18-16 | 49ers v. Panthers -13.5 | 27-46 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NFL Blockbuster Bookie ATS Blowout (Panthers -13.5) I'm not one to lay double-digits in the NFL with regularity, but this is one spot where I'm willing to gamble. This is almost an identical spot that we saw with the 49ers last year. They opened up with a dominant Week 1 win at home against the Vikings on Monday Night Football. They then had to go on the road and face a Pittsburgh team that was coming off a loss on Thursday Night Football against the defending champs. They went out and got destroyed by the Steelers 43-18. Exactly what we have here with SF off that big win over the Rams and the Panthers losing at Denver. The Rams lack of a passing threat made the 49ers defense look a lot better than it actually is. Carolina's balanced attack is going to have a much easier time moving the ball and I still think the 49ers offense is garbage. Panthers could have this one covered by the half and I don't see them letting off the gas after losing their opener. Give me Carolina -13.5! |
|||||||
09-18-16 | Cowboys v. Redskins -2.5 | Top | 27-23 | Loss | -125 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
50* NFC East Game of the Month (Redskins -2.5) Dallas is one of the biggest publicly backed teams in the NFL and while they lost their opener at home against the Giants, they played well enough for the public to back them here. Especially after watching the Redskins getting embarrassed at home by the Steelers on Monday Night Football. I don't think Washington is anywhere close to as bad as that final looked against Pittsburgh. I look for a big bounce back here offensively, as they simply have too many weapons to only put up 16 points. They should have no problem doing that against a soft Dallas defense that will be exposed on multiple occasions this season. Give me the Redskins -2.5! |
|||||||
09-15-16 | Jets -1 v. Bills | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NFL Thursday Night Football ATS Knockout (Jets -1) We have seen this line move quite a bit in favor of the Jets and I believe it's for good reason. Buffalo couldn't have looked much worse offensively in Week 1 and it's hard to imagine their offense just clicking coming off a short week of preparation, especially against a Jets defense that I think is one of the Top 5 best units in the league. When Buffalo can run the ball their offense struggles to move the chains. They only had 65 yards rushing last week against the Ravens. It's going to be even harder moving the ball on the ground against this Jets defense, which will be getting back Sheldon Richardson from a suspension. Buffalo's best weapon on the outside is Sammy Watkins and he's less than 100%. Starting left tackle Cordy Glenn is out and that's only going to make it that much harder. The Bills also have several key players out on defense. It's also worth noting Buffalo's homefield advantage isn't as strong early in the year, it's a bigger factor when the conditions get worse. Give me the Jets -1! |
|||||||
09-12-16 | Rams -3 v. 49ers | Top | 0-28 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Rams -3) I'm more than willing to lay a field goal on the road with LA against the 49ers. San Francisco is right there with Cleveland in terms of the worst rosters in the league. I don't like the decision to bring in Chip Kelly, as the last thing this team needs is to speed up the tempo on offense and have their defense on the field the majority of the game. The Rams certainly have the talent to breakout this season and I think Case Keenum is better than people give him credit for. The defensive front of the Rams will make life miserable for the 49ers Blaine Gabbert, who is simply the starter by default. SF surprised in Week 1 last year on Monday Night Football and I think that's keeping this line low. I don't see it happening again. Give me Rams -3! |
|||||||
09-11-16 | Giants v. Cowboys OVER 46 | 20-19 | Loss | -102 | 30 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NFL No Doubt Over/Under Knockout (Giants/Cowboys Over 46) I want to take Dallas here, but I feel the real value is with the over on the total. All the talk now is about how Dak Prescott isn't going to be able to match his success in the preseason. I know you can't overreact to what you see in the preseason, but how many other quarterbacks put up numbers similar to what he did against those vanilla defenses. I love the confidence Prescott plays with and his mobility in the pocket. He's got the best offensive line in the league in front of him and I believe opposing teams are going to have to load the box to try and stop their rushing attack. I know the Giants spent a lot of money on defense, but that doesn't mean they are going to be an elite unit. It's hard to play great defense when you can't get to the quarterback. On the flip side of things, Dallas' defense has no one that can put pressure on the quarterback and that's going to lead to a huge day for Eli Manning and the Giants offense. I see a shootout at AT&T Stadium on Sunday. Give me the OVER 46! |
|||||||
09-11-16 | Raiders v. Saints OVER 51.5 | 35-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NFL Blockbuster Total No Brainer (Raiders/Saints Over 51.5) I'm expecting a lot of offensive fireworks in this one. I think we have two of the better offenses in the league going up against one another and I don't see either defense putting up much resistance. There's been plenty of talk about how Oakland is improved on defense, but I still have my concerns. Plus, better defenses have went into the Superdome and failed miserably trying to slow down Drew Brees and the Saints high-powered offense. As for the New Orleans defense, it looks to be every bit as bad as it was a year ago. The Saints aren't going to let their foot off the gas and that should lead to a shootout. Give me the OVER 51.5! |
|||||||
09-11-16 | Vikings -2.5 v. Titans | Top | 25-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Vikings -2.5) No Teddy Bridgewater, no problem for the Vikings in Week 1. The injury is being blown out of proportion with how it's going to hurt this team. I'm not saying Bridgewater isn't a good player, but this team isn't built around the passing game. It's all about Adrian Peterson and the defense. Both of which should be very good here against the Titans. Tennessee wants to run the football down your throat and that's just not going to work against a well-coached and very talented Minnesota defense. I also think the Vikings are going to come out with a chip on their shoulder, as they want to prove to all the skeptics that they are still a legit Super Bowl contender this season. Give me the Vikings -2.5! |
|||||||
09-08-16 | Panthers v. Broncos UNDER 41.5 | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Panthers/Broncos Under 41.5) These two teams combined for just 34 points when they faced off in last year's Super Bowl and I think they were fortunate to get there. Denver's 24-points came primarily off turnovers. They had a fumbled returned for a touchdown and another fumble recovery that resulted in a 3 play 4-yard drive (2-pt conversion. When forced to actually put a drive together the Broncos managed just two field goals. Carolina's offense only put up 10 points, as they simply had no answer for Denver's pass rush. Given that the Panthers didn't do anything to improve the tackle position, I don't see that being any different in this one. If anything it's going to be even harder with the game being played in Denver. I see a low-scoring defensive battle that comes down to the wire. Give me the UNDER 41.5! |
|||||||
02-07-16 | Panthers v. Broncos +5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 50 h 39 m | Show |
50* NFL --Super Bowl 50 MAX BET-- (Broncos +5.5) The betting public is all over the Panthers for Super Bowl 50, yet oddsmakers have kept this number under a touchdown for a reason. Carolina is not going to turn this into a blowout like the Seahawks did to them a couple years back. In fact, I think the Broncos win this game outright. Like they have all year, Denver is going to rely on their defense and they have the talent and scheme to keep Cam Newton in check. I also think Peyton Manning is going to play exceptionally well. Note he hasn't thrown an interception in 78 attempts since returning in Week 17. He would have even more yards and touchdowns if it wasn't for the timing being off just a little. I look for him to get back on the same page as his receivers with the two week layoff prior to the game. Give me the Broncos +5.5! |
|||||||
01-24-16 | Cardinals v. Panthers UNDER 47.5 | Top | 15-49 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 38 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Panthers/Cardinals UNDER 47.5) So much attention is being paid to Cam Newtown and Carson Palmer with these two high-powered offenses, but I believe it will be the defenses that take over this game. Keep in mind these are two of the best defenses the NFL has to offer. Arizona ranks 7th in scoring defense (19.6 ppg) and 5th in total defense (321.7) ypg). Carolina is 6th in scoring defense (19.3 ppg) and 6th in total defense (322.9 ypg). The pressure of knowing that a trip to the Super Bowl is on the line will likely have both offenses a bit jittery early in this one and keep in mind that conditions are going to be less than ideal. UNDER is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 against a team with a winning record and 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me the UNDER 47.5! |
|||||||
01-17-16 | Seahawks v. Panthers UNDER 44 | 24-31 | Loss | -108 | 43 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Playoffs Situational Total Crusher-- (UNDER 44) These are two of the best defenses in the league. Seattle finished the season 1st in scoring defense, allowing just 17.3 ppg and Carolina was 6th at 19.3 ppg. You also have to factor that the Seahawks defense was better on the road (14.6 ppg), while the Panthers defense was better at home (17.0 ppg). I know these two teams combined for 50-points in their regular season game, but neither could stop the opposing tight end. This time around Seattle is without Jimmy Graham and the Seahawks will have Bobby Wagner (didn't play in earlier meeting), who is their top linebacker at covering tight ends. Points are going to be hard to come by for both teams and it wouldn't surprise me at all if these two combined to score 20 or less. Give me the UNDER 44! |
|||||||
01-16-16 | Chiefs +5 v. Patriots | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 19 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Chiefs +5) Most are going to just assume that the Patriots are going to go right back to the team that started out the season 10-0 due to getting a few guys back from injury. At the same time, no one wants to buy into the Chiefs and what they are doing, having won 11 straight. Kansas City matches up extremely well with New England on both sides of the ball and I believe they have something special going on right now. Let's not forget what this Chiefs team did to the Patriots in a 41-14 win over the Patriots on Monday Night Football last year. This Kansas City defense is for real and I look for a banged up Patriots offense to struggle to move the ball and wouldn't be shocked if KC pulled off the unthinkable upset on the road in New England in the postseason. Give me the Chiefs +5! |
|||||||
01-10-16 | Seahawks -4 v. Vikings | 10-9 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Seahawks -4) Seattle finished the regular season going 8-2 over their last 10 games and their performance against the Cardinals in Week 17 really says a lot about where this team is right now compared to just a month ago. The Seahawks did what they had to in the regular season and are now poised to make another deep playoff run. It starts with an easy first round matchup against the Vikings, who they completely dominated back in Week 13 with a ridiculous 308 yard advantage in total yards and 25-9 edge in first downs. Minnesota's offense is too easy for Seattle to defend and their defense will struggle to keep this game close. Give me the Seahawks -4! |
|||||||
01-09-16 | Chiefs -3 v. Texans | Top | 30-0 | Win | 100 | 48 h 26 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Chiefs -3) Kansas City is not getting near the respect the should be going into the playoffs. The Chiefs closed out the regular season on a 10-game winning streak and have the perfect recipe for success in the postseason. Kansas City doesn't turn the ball over on offense and creates takeaways on defense, they can run the football and are playing as well as anyone on defense. Houston is in the playoffs by default, as the AFC East was awful. The Texans took advantage of an easy schedule and struggled against playoff caliber teams. The only thing Houston has going for them in this game, is they are playing at home, but I don't think that's a big enough factor here. Give me the Chiefs -3! |
|||||||
01-03-16 | Jaguars v. Texans -6 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Texans -6) While the Texans are all but a sure thing to win the AFC South, I don't expect Houston to leave their fate in the hands of someone else. I look for the Texans to come out and take care of business at home against the Jaguars. Jacksonville has come a long way this season, but this is still not a great team and one that I don't think is going to be overly excited about winning the last game of the season. Houston's defense should be the difference in this one and with Hoyer back under center the offense should score enough to win here by at least a touchdown. Give me the Texans -6! |
|||||||
12-28-15 | Bengals v. Broncos -3.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Broncos -3.5) The Broncos are being way undervalued here at home against the Bengals. It would be one thing if Cincinnati had Andy Dalton at quarterback, but they are going up against one of the best defenses in the NFL on the road with A.J. McCarron at quarterback. The Bengal's offense is going to have a difficult time getting first downs, let alone score enough points here to keep this game close enough to cover. Give me the Broncos -3.5! |
|||||||
12-27-15 | Rams +13 v. Seahawks | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Rams +13) Seattle comes into this game having won 5 straight and each of the last 3 have come by at least 17 points. I believe that has the Seahawks way overvalued in this one. Seattle has clearly turned a corner, but there's nothing left for this team to gain over the final two weeks of the season. Seattle has already secured a Wild Card spot and can't win their division. St Louis has showed no signs of quitting on the season and come in off two of their better performances with back-to-back wins over the Lions and Buccaneers. They have had 3 extra days to prepare for this matchup and have a history of playing the Seahawks close. St Louis has won 2 of the last 3 meetings and I look for them to give it everything they have in this matchup. I don't expect another outright win in Seattle, but I do think they keep it close enough to cover. Give me the Rams +13! |
|||||||
12-27-15 | Cowboys v. Bills OVER 42 | 6-16 | Loss | -102 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Situational Total Crusher-- (OVER 42) With both of these teams out of the playoff picture and just playing out the season, I look for this to be a high scoring game that easily goes over the total posted here. I was really impressed with what I saw last week from Kellen Moore against a stingy Jets defense and look for the Cowboys offense to get going against a Bills defense that has struggled of late. Buffalo has allowed at least 20 points in 5 straight games and I expect that trend to continue. Dallas' defense played hard last week against New York, but the Cowboys still had an outside shot at the NFC East division. With Dallas no longer in the mix, I think the Bills are going to have their way with Dallas' defense. Buffalo has been moving the ball well the last few weeks. They have had at least 390 total yards in 3 straight games with over 400 in each of the last 2. OVER is a perfect 6-0 in the Cowboys last 6 non-conference games and 5-0 in the Bills' last 5 following a SU loss. Give me the OVER 42! |
|||||||
12-27-15 | Texans -3 v. Titans | 34-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NFL --No Doubt ATS Smash-- (Texans -3) Houston is in a must-win situation here, as they have just 1-game lead over the Colts for the AFC South title. Tennessee on the other hand is completely out of the playoff picture and also without starting quarterback Marcus Mariota. Titans have been dominated in their last two games, losing by 22 at the Jets and 17 at the Patriots. That's the sign of a team that is just going through the motions to finish up the season. Houston has won 4 of the last 5 in the series, including a 14-poitn win at home earlier this season. Tennessee simply doesn't have the offensive fire-power to put up enough points against a stingy Texans defense to keep this game competitive. Titans are just 2-12 ATS over the last 2 seasons in the 2nd half and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 25 or more points in 2 straight games. Give me the Texans -3! |
|||||||
12-26-15 | Redskins v. Eagles -3 | 38-24 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Eagles -3) I think we are seeing an inflated line here due to how these two teams played last week. Philadelphia lost 17-40 at home to the Cardinals, while the Redskins won 35-25 at home against the Bills. Washington is getting way too much respect here, as they are just 1-5 on the road this season and were a 3-point dog at home earlier this year. Based on that earlier line, we should be seeing the Eagles closer to a 6 to 6.5 point favorite. While the Redskins won that first matchup at home, the home team has won 4 straight in the series. Philadelphia is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games after giving up 35 or more points in their previous game and 16-6 ATS in their last 22 when revenging a loss by 3-points or less. Give me the Eagles -3! |
|||||||
12-24-15 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 46 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Thursday Night Total Crusher-- (Over 46) Normally I like to look to take the UNDER in division games, as they tend to be lower scoring than expected. However, I don't think that's going to be the case tonight. Both of these teams are out of playoff contention and can't exactly be thrilled about having to play on Christmas Eve. To top it off, they have had a short week of rest to work with. I don't see the intensity being there on the defensive side of the ball in meaningless game, and these two offenses are more than capable of putting up points. Chargers have struggled to score of late, but this is a good matchup with Philip Rivers going up against a horrible Oakland secondary. Keep in mind these two teams combined for 66 points and over 800 combined yards of offense earlier this season. Give me the OVER 46! |
|||||||
12-21-15 | Lions v. Saints OVER 51.5 | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 51.5) Both of these teams are eliminated from playoff contention and that's going to take away from of the edge defensively for both teams. At the same time, it should have both teams taking a lot more chances than they normally would, would should lead to a lot of big plays. The Saints last 4 home games have been extremely high scoring, with all 4 seeing 52 or more combined points, including a 79 point outburst against the Panthers and 101 points against the Giants. Look for a lot of offensive fire-works in this one, as the OVER is 18-6 in the Saints last 24 home games against teams who struggle to run the ball (90 or less yards/game). Give me the OVER 51.5! |
|||||||
12-20-15 | Cardinals -3.5 v. Eagles | Top | 40-17 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
50* NFL --SNF Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Cardinals -3.5) This is a great price to back the Cardinals in a prime-time game against the Eagles. Philadelphia comes into this game off back-to-back wins, which has forced the books to set a smaller line what this should actually be. Arizona is the far superior team in this matchup and have a big advantage here with 3 extra days of preparation following their game on Thursday Night Football. While the Eagles are fighting for their playoff lives in the race for the NFC East title, Arizona is a team on a mission to secure the NFC West and they can do that with a win in this matchup. Cardinals gave up over 300 yards passing last week to the Vikings, but are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after allowing that many yards through the air. Arizona is also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in December and 12-1 ATS in their last 13 road games against a team with a losing home record. Give me the Cardinals -3.5! |
|||||||
12-20-15 | Bears +5.5 v. Vikings | 17-38 | Loss | -104 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Dog of the Day-- (Bears +5.5) Chicago is worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Vikings. While the Bears have lost 2 straight, they have been competitive in both defeats, losing in overtime against the 49ers and by 3-points to the Redskins. Chicago has quietly been playing solid football and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when listed as an underdog. The Bears gave the Vikings all they could handle in a 20-23 home loss back on 11/1 and this time Minnesota comes in dealing with a bunch of injuries, several of which are on the defensive side of the ball. This is a game the Bears will enjoy playing the role of spoiler, as the Vikings are a division opponent. I think Chicago has a great shot at winning this game outright. Give me the Bears +5.5! |
|||||||
12-20-15 | Panthers v. Giants +4 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Giants +4) I believe the Panthers perfect season is going to come to an end on Sunday against the Giants. Tom Coughlin and Eli Manning always seem to deliver in these types of games, especially when playing at home. The Giants should have been the ones that ended the Patriots perfect season earlier this year, but some missed opportunities and outstanding quarterback play by Brady ended up in a 1-point loss. The Panthers are 6-0 on the road, but have had an extremely easy schedule with road games against the Jaguars, Buccaneers, Titans, Cowboys (w/o Romo) and Saints. The only quality win came at Seattle, but that was back when they weren't playing well and Carolina was fortunate to win, as they erased a 7-20 2nd half deficit. Give me the Giants +4! |
|||||||
12-19-15 | Jets -3 v. Cowboys | 19-16 | Push | 0 | 51 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Jets/Cowboys ATS Knockout-- (Jets -3) You have to pick and choose your spots when to take road chalk in the NFL and I believe the Jets are worthy of backing on the road against the Cowboys. Say what you want about Dallas still having a chance in the NFC East, the Cowboys season was lost in last week's 7-28 defeat at Green Bay. They aren't going to make up a 2-game difference on 3 teams in 3 weeks, especially not without Romo. The players know this and I think Dallas struggles to show up for this game. The Jets on the other hand are a team we can bank on showing up for this game, as this is a must-win game for them, as they can't afford to slip up here with a showdown against the Patriots on deck. New York's defense will limit the Cowboys rushing attack and in turn shut down their offense. Give me the Jets -3! |
|||||||
12-17-15 | Bucs +3 v. Rams | 23-31 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NFL -- TNF ATS Winner-- (Bucs +3) I know this may be the Rams last home game in St Louis, but I'm not buying that being a bigger motivator than the Bucs fighting for a playoff spot. Tampa Bay has been on the biggest surprises this season and have shown great resolve coming off bad showing like they had last week against New Orleans. Tampa Bay is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 off a game where they didn't cover the number and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a SU loss. St Louis is the exact opposite off a win, as they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 both off a SU win and game where they covered the number. The biggest thing here is the Rams have no passing attack and Tampa Bay's defense is built to stop the run. Points will be easier to come by the road team and that makes them an easily play here for me. Give me the Bucs +3! |
|||||||
12-17-15 | Bucs v. Rams UNDER 41 | 23-31 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NFL --TNF Over/Under Winner-- (Under 41) I don't see a lot of offensive fire works taking place in this one. Tampa Bay has scored 23 or less in 6 of their last 7 games and the Rams are only giving up 19.0 ppg at home. On the flip side of this, St Louis' offense is dreadful right now. The Rams had scored 18 or fewer in 6 straight before scoring 21 last week agains the Lions and 7 of those points came on a defensive touchdown. On the season St Louis is scoring just 16.2 ppg and will struggle to move the ball here with Tampa Bay being stout against the run and the Rams not having any threat of a passing attack. UNDER is 10-1 in St Louis' last 11 games in December and 12-3 in the Bucs' last 15 in the 2nd half of the season. Give me the UNDER 41! |
|||||||
12-14-15 | Giants +1 v. Dolphins | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NFL --MNF ATS Winner-- (Giants +1) Both of these teams come into this game with an overall record of 5-7, which has a lot to do with this line hovering around a pick'em. However, the Giants are the much better team and has a lot more to play for at this point in the season. New York needs a win here to keep pace in the NFC East, while the Dolphins are all but eliminated from playoff contention in the AFC. Despite their losing record, the Giants are outscoring their opponents 25.6 to 24.7. Miami on the other hand is getting outscored 20.0 to 25.0. It's even worse for the Dolphins of late, as they are getting outscored 16.3 to 25.0 over their last 3. Dolphins are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 against the NFC East, 5-17 ATS in their last 22 at home off a win by 3 points or less and 0-6 ATS in last 6 games played in December. Give me the Giants +1! |
|||||||
12-14-15 | Giants v. Dolphins OVER 47 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NFL -- MNF Over/Under Winner-- (Over 47) I'm expecting a high-scoring game tonight between these two teams. As we have two defenses that are struggling. The Dolphins are giving up 26.0 ppg at home, while New York is allowing 25.7 ppg on the road. We are simply seeing some good value here due to the fact that the Giants have gone under the total in 2 straight, while the under is 3-1 in Miami's last 4. OVER is 29-14 in Giants last 43 road games off 2 or more consecutive unders, 4-1 in Giants last 5 road games against a team with a losing home record and 5-2 in Miami's last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 47! |
|||||||
12-13-15 | Redskins +3.5 v. Bears | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 42 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Dog of the Day-- (Redskins +3.5) While both of these teams come into this game off heartbreaking losses in Week 13, I believe it will be a lot easier for the Redskins to pick themselves up and bounce back with a strong effort. A big reason for that, is Washington has so much more to play for, even though both teams have identical 5-7 records. The Redskins are tied on top the NFC East and simply can't afford to lose this game with their remaining schedule (BUF, @PHI, @ DAL). The Bears are all but out of the playoff race and I could see them coming out flat and looking ahead to next week's big showdown against division rival Minnesota. I know Washington is 0-5 on the road, but I think that's playing into the value with this line and at the same time the Bears are just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games. Give me the Redskins +3.5! |
|||||||
12-13-15 | Bills +1 v. Eagles | 20-23 | Loss | -102 | 42 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Bills +1) This is as much of a play on the Bills as it is against the Eagles. Philadelphia is coming in way overvalued after last week's 35-28 win at New England as a 10-point underdog. That was a very fortunate win for the Eagles, who trailed 14-0 and had 3 non-offensive touchdowns. It reminds me a lot of their win over the Jets earlier this season, which they scored 2 non-offensive touchdowns in a 24-17 win. The next week they were a 3-point road favorite at Washington and lost outright 20-23. I look for McCoy to have a huge game here against his former team, not only from a motivational standpoint, but because the Eagles are awful agains the run (27th). Give me the Bills +1! |
|||||||
12-13-15 | Falcons +9 v. Panthers | Top | 0-38 | Loss | -115 | 42 h 8 m | Show |
50* NFL --NFC South Game of the Month-- (Falcons +9) I absolutely love the value we are getting with the Falcons as a near double-digit dog against the Panthers. Carolina is clearly better than everyone thought coming into the season, but they are being way overvalued by the books due to their 12-0 start. Atlanta has really struggled to get back on track after a 5-0 start, but they have been in every game they have played. Only 2 losses all season by more than the spread listed for this game and both of those were 10-point defeats. Carolina is due for a dud and these division games have a way of being closer than expected, just look at the Panthers came last week against the Saints, which they could have easily lost. Give me the Falcons +9! |
|||||||
12-10-15 | Vikings v. Cardinals OVER 45.5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (OVER 45.5) Arizona has one of the most well-rounded offenses in the NFL. The Cardinals lead the league in both total offense (419.5 ypg) and scoring offense (31.8 ppg). I look for Arizona to put up a big number here against a Vikings defense that has been hit hard with injuries. Minnesota won't have starting defensive tackle Linval Joseph, linebacker Anthony Barr and safeties Harrison Smith and Antone Exum. They also are without backup safety Andrew Sendejo and backup safety Robert Blanton is questionable. Inexperience in the defensive backfield is going to result in a lot of big plays for Arizona and I see no reason why they don't eclipse their season average in this one. Vikings should be able to score enough (may not be till garbage time) to push this well over the mark. Give me the OVER 45.5! |
|||||||
12-07-15 | Cowboys v. Redskins -3 | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Redskins -3) I'll gladly take my chances with the Redskins laying just a field goal at home on Monday Night Football. While Dallas is technically still alive in the NFC East race, this is not a legit playoff contender without Romo. Dallas is 0-7 when Romo doesn't start and I don't see that changing on the road against a Washington team that is playing some of their best football right now. The Redskins are also a dominant 5-1 at home this season, riding a 5-game home winning streak. Dallas simply doesn't have the offensive fire-power to keep this one close. Give me the Redskins -3! |
|||||||
12-06-15 | Bengals v. Browns OVER 43.5 | 37-3 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (OVER 43.5) These two teams combined for 46 points in Cleveland a few weeks back and that was with Manziel starting at quarterback for the Browns. This time it will be Austin Davis under center and I think it's a big upgrade for Cleveland and give them a chance to keep this game competitive. Davis came in for McCown against the Ravens and completed 7 of 10 for 77 yards with a touchdown. He should be able to lead at least a few scoring drives and get the Browns right around the 20 point mark. On the flip side of this, Cincinnati's offense should have it's way once again against Cleveland, especially playing at home, where they are averaging 28.4 ppg. The Browns give up an average of 26.8 ppg on the road and have allowed 30+ in each of their last 4 games. Give me the OVER 43.5. |
|||||||
12-06-15 | 49ers v. Bears -7 | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Bears -7) The Bears haven't been a favorite all season and that's going to draw attention to the 49ers. I believe that's exactly what the books want, as this is an awful spot for San Francisco. The 49ers have nothing to play for right now at 3-8 and are simply going to pick and choose when they decide to give a full effort. I believe they laid it all on the line last week at home against the Cardinals and are now primed for a letdown against the Bears. Keep in mind San Francisco has to travel east for an early start time, which only makes it that much harder for them to get up for this game. Chicago is playing their best football of the season right now and have a big advantage here with 3 extra days of rest, plus they are still in the Wild Card race. I think this gets ugly in a hurry for the 49ers, who are 0-5 on the road with 4 of the 5 losses coming by 16 or more points. Give me the Bears -7! |
|||||||
12-06-15 | Ravens v. Dolphins -3.5 | Top | 13-15 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 47 m | Show |
50* NFL --AFC Game of the Month-- (Dolphins -3.5) I know it hasn't been good for Miami of late, but this is a spot where I think the Dolphins show up and get an easy win. Baltimore needed a blocked field goal at the end of regulation to escape with a win over the Browns and are simply getting too much respect for winning back-to-back games against bad teams. The thing to keep in mind about Miami's 1-4 stretch is that 3 of the 4 losses came on the road against quality teams in the Patriots, Bills and Jets, while the other came at home against the Cowboys with Tony Romo at quarterback. Ryan Tannehill should have a field day here against a horrible Raven's secondary and I just don't see Baltimore being able to keep pace offensively with Schaub guiding the offense. Give me the Dolphins -3.5! |
|||||||
12-03-15 | Packers v. Lions +3 | 27-23 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Gridiron ATS Knockout-- (Lions +3) The books are begging for you to take Green Bay in this game and the betting public has taken the bait with over 62% of the action coming in on the Packers. I see these two teams headed in different direction down the stretch run and the perception from the public is that Green Bay will just all the sudden snap out of their funk. Detroit was clearly not playing well early in the year, but it wasn't for a lack of talent. The Lions seem to have figured it out and I look for them to win their 3rd straight at home over the Packers. Give me Detroit +3! |
|||||||
11-30-15 | Ravens +4.5 v. Browns | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Monday Night Football Money Maker-- (Ravens +4.5) We have seen this line go from the Browns -2.5 to the Browns -4.5 and I just don't think there's enough to justify this kind of swing. Cleveland is not a team that's familiar with the roll of the favorite and have lost 5 straight. Baltimore may have lost both Flacco and Forsett, but are not a team that's going to lay down, especially in a prime time game against a division rival they lost to at home earlier this season 30-33. Underdogs are 169-107 (61%) ATS since 1983 in games where you have two average offensive teams (18-23 ppg), when the underdog comes in having allowed 14 or less points in their last game. Give me the Ravens +4.5! |
|||||||
11-29-15 | Patriots v. Broncos +3 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
50* NFL --AFC Game of the Month-- (Broncos +3) I believe the Patriots perfect season is going to come crashing to an end this week against the Broncos, much like it did for Green Bay when they visited Denver for a prime time Sunday Night Football matchup a few weeks back. As good as Tom Brady has been and he's been very good, the injuries to the skill positions are going to be too much for even him to overcome against an elite Denver defense. I'm also a big fan of Osweiler and what he brings to the table. He's not going to put up huge numbers, but I think he's smart with the football and won't turn it over. Given how Manning was playing, he's not a downgrade like so many people think and I wouldn't be surprised at all if he shined in this game. Give me the Broncos +3! |
|||||||
11-29-15 | Saints +3 v. Texans | 6-24 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 0 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Situational Underdog Knockout-- (Saints +3) The Texans are getting some love after winning 3 straight games, but I'm not buying this team being a serious threat going forward. I know the defense has played well of late, but their whole body of work suggests they are due for a letdown on that side of the ball. I think it comes this week against Drew Brees and the Saints, who have a big advantage here coming off their bye. I know the defense for New Orleans has not been good, but I think they surprise here in their first game with new defensive coordinator Dennis Allen. Keep in mind the switch up makes it very difficult for the Texans to prepare and Houston is not a great offensive team to start with. I'll take my chances with Brees against Hoyer given this situation every time. Give me the Saints +3! |
|||||||
11-29-15 | Giants -2.5 v. Redskins | 14-20 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NFL ---Vegas ATS Line Mistake-- (Giants -2.5) The Giants should be at least a field goal favorite in this game, but Washington is a team that a lot of people want to think is better than their record indicates. I'm not buying it for one second. Outside of a blowout win against the Saints, who were a complete mess at the time, especially on defense, this team has not been impressive. The big key here is that the Giants are coming off a bye and playing with a lot of confidence after coming painfully close to upsetting the Patriots at home. Eli Manning has won all 3 starts against the Redskins since Gruden took over as coach and the Giants have won these games by an average score of 33.7 to 16.0 ppg. They ended up only winning the previous matchup this season 32-21, but had a commanding 25-6 lead in the 4th quarter. Give me the Giants -2.5! |
|||||||
11-26-15 | Panthers v. Cowboys +1 | Top | 33-14 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
50* NFL --Thanksgiving Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Cowboys +1) It's highly unlikely the Panthers are going to finish the season undefeated and I believe their perfect run comes to an end on Thanksgiving Day in Dallas. The Cowboys snapped a 7-game losing streak with a 24-14 win at Miami, which to no surprise came with the return of Tony Romo at quarterback. I firmly believe that if Romo had not got injured, we would be talking about Dallas being one of the elite teams in the NFC right now. The Cowboys should be at a minimum a 3-point home favorite against the Panthers. Carolina has played an easy schedule and most of their tough games have come at home. Now they get a huge road test on a short week of rest. I look for Romo and the Cowboys talented offensive line to have more than enough success here to come away with a win, as their defense is poised to make life miserable for Cam Newton and the Panthers offense. Give me the Cowboys +1! |
|||||||
11-23-15 | Bills +7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Bills +7.5) I know the Patriots had their way against the Bills in Buffalo earlier this season, but this is a much different New England offense this time around. The Patriots have lost two huge pieces of their passing game in wide out Julian Edelman and running back Dion Lewis. They are also dealing with some injuries up front on the offensive line. I look for this to be a low-scoring defensive battle, which makes the 7.5-points that much more valuable. Rex Ryan knows a thing or two about how to slow down Tom Brady and given the current state of the Patriots I think the Bills have an excellent shot at winning this game outright. Give me Buffalo +7.5! |
|||||||
11-22-15 | Rams +3 v. Ravens | 13-16 | Push | 0 | 23 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Dog of the Day-- (Rams +3) This is not only a play on the Rams, but a huge fade of the Ravens. Baltimore came out of their bye week looking to turn their season around with a win against the Jaguars at home. While the refs played a part, the Ravens lost that game 20-22. I just see this team having a hard time emotionally coming back from that loss. St Louis on the other hand is going to come out extremely motivated off back-to-back losses and are getting some value here with Keenum starting in place of Foles. Given how Foles was playing this was not a downgrade like some people think, in fact in make provide a spark offensively in the passing game. Give me the Rams +3! |
|||||||
11-22-15 | Cowboys -1 v. Dolphins | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Situational Vegas Line Mistake-- (Cowboys -1) I love the Cowboys in this spot. With Dallas coming off 7 straight losses, the hype around the Cowboys has cooled off considerably. With Tony Romo returning to the lineup, now is the time to bounce on Dallas, as I'm confident when I say this would be a 7-2 or 6-3 team had he not got injured. Miami is the perfect opponent for the Cowboys to get back on track. The Dolphins got a win gift-wrapped to them last week against the Eagles, but that won't happen here against Dallas. Don't be Miami throws in the towel early and this one turns into a blowout. Give me the Cowboys -1! |
|||||||
11-22-15 | Broncos -1 v. Bears | Top | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Broncos -1) I think we are seeing a huge overreaction here with the Broncos coming off that ugly loss to the Chiefs at home, which saw Peyton Manning end the game on the sideline. People are acting like the Broncos lost an elite quarterback, but in reality Manning was one of the worst in the league this year. Brock Osweiler is a much better fit for Kubiak's offense and I look for him to surprise against a soft Bears defense. Speaking of defense, Denver has the best stop unit in the league and they are going to come out extremely motivated after last week's poor performance. I think Denver wins here convincingly against an overrated Bears team that has been playing better of late but against bad teams. Give me the Broncos -1! |
|||||||
11-16-15 | Texans +11 v. Bengals | Top | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron MNF Top Play-- (Texans +11) The Bengals are way overvalued right now and I look for them to struggle to put away the Texans on Monday Night Football. Houston has a big advantage here coming off their bye and I look for them to play one of their best games of the season tonight. Cincinnati struggled to put away the Browns with Manziel at quarterback in Week 9 and have been fortunate to start out 7-0-1 ATS. Houston's defense has played well against the pass and that's been the strength of the Bengals offense in 2015. Defensively, Cincinnati isn't as good as you would think. They are giving up 4.9 yards/carry and allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 65.1% of their attempts. Give me the Texans +11! |
|||||||
11-15-15 | Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 44.5 | Top | 39-32 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 2 m | Show |
50* NFL --SNF Total of the Month-- (UNDER 44.5) I don't see a whole lot of value here with the spread, but I absolutely love the value we are getting with this total set at 44.5. I think there's a ton of value here with the UNDER. While Seattle's offense has struggled, their defense has been very good since Kam Chancellor returned to the lineup. I expect the Seahawks stop unit to deliver a big time performance here at home in a nationally televised game. At the same time, I don't think Seattle's offense snaps out of their funk against the Cardinals. These two division rivals have a history of low-scoring games when playing in Seattle. In fact, 6 of the last 7 have gone UNDER the total and the last two have seen combined scores of 27 and 22 points. It only adds value here that both teams are coming off a bye. Give me the UNDER 44.5! |
|||||||
11-15-15 | Chiefs +6 v. Broncos | 29-13 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Situational ATS Knockout-- (Chiefs +6) Kansas City should have beat the Broncos at home back in Week 2 and you can bet the Chiefs are going to come out looking to get their revenge against Denver in Week 10. Kansas City is coming off a bye and will be returning with a lot of confidence following back-to-back win over the Steelers and Lions. Getting his team to deliver off a bye has been a staple of Andy Reid in his time with the Eagles and Chiefs. Forget the spread, he's 14-2 SU, which makes KC an easy play here as 6-point dog. It's also worth noting the Broncos will be missing two key pieces on defense in Talib and Ware, plus Manning is coming in at less than 100%. Give me the Chiefs +6 in a potential outright win! |
|||||||
11-15-15 | Saints v. Redskins +1.5 | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 24 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Dog of the Day-- (Redskins +1.5) While the Redskins ended up losing by 17-points at New England off their bye last week as a 14-point dog, there were some positives to take from that game. The biggest being the play of their defense, which held Tom Brady and the Patriots to a season-low 27 points. I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the Redskins as a home dog. New Orleans isn't a good road team and are just 1-3 SU away from home this season. The Saints also play no defense and you just can't win on the road when you can't stop the opponent from moving the chains at will. I think Washington wins here rather comfortably. Give me the Redskins +1.5! |
|||||||
11-15-15 | Browns +6 v. Steelers | 9-30 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NFL --ATS Shocker of the Week-- (Browns +6) I think the Browns are going to surprise some people with how well they play against the Steelers on the road Sunday. Cleveland will once again turn to Johnny Manziel, which is being viewed as a big negative for this team. I'll take my chances with Manziel and the Browns on a few extra days of rest against a Steelers team that has lost star running back Le'Veon Bell to a season-ending injury and will not have Ben Roethlisberger. I think Pittsburgh's offense struggles in this one and Manziel makes enough big plays with his scrambling to keep this game close and potentially lead Cleveland to the outright win. Give me the Browns +6! |
|||||||
11-15-15 | Bears v. Rams -6.5 | Top | 37-13 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Rams -6.5) St Louis lost in overtime last week at Minnesota 18-21, while the Bears pulled off the upset at San Diego on Monday Night Football. Chicago has covered 4 of their last 5 and may appear to be an attractive team to back catching almost a touchdown. I don't think that will be the case at all. I look for the Bears to come out flat playing on short rest and the offense to really struggle here against a Rams defense that is allowing just 13.7 ppg at home. Chicago's defense is allowing 4.8 yards/carry against the run on the road and 7.2 yards per pass attempt. The Bears will have no answer for Gurley and that's going to open up some opportunities for Nick Foles to take advantage of a weak Chicago secondary. Give me the Rams -6.5! |
|||||||
11-12-15 | Bills v. Jets -2.5 | 22-17 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Bills/Jets ATS Knockout-- (Jets -2.5) This is simply too good a line to pass on the Jets at home against a division rival in a prime time game. New York has the best run defense in the league and that's critical here, as the success of the Bills offense relies heavily on their ability to run the ball. The Jets haven't covered in each of their last two and the Bills off a blowout win against Miami has provided this great spot. I'll take my chances with Ryan Fitzpatrick out playing Tyrod Taylor with this game in New York. Give me the Jets -2.5! |
|||||||
11-09-15 | Bears v. Chargers UNDER 49.5 | Top | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
50* NFL --MNF Gridiron Total Top Play-- (UNDER 49.5) This would be an okay total if both teams were coming into this game at 100%, but that's not the case at all. Each is missing star players. Chicago will be without running back Matt Forte, who is not only their leading rusher but a huge part of the passing game. San Diego will be without wide out Keenan Allen, who has been Rivers' go-to guy. I look for these injuries to play a big role in the red zone, as I look for both teams to have to settle for field goals. Give me the UNDER 49.5! |
|||||||
11-08-15 | Eagles -3 v. Cowboys | 33-27 | Win | 108 | 33 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Sunday Night ATS Knockout-- (Eagles -3) The Cowboys won 20-10 at Philadelphia earlier this season, which marked the 5th straight time the road team has won in this series. With the distractions that have come with the recent release of Hardy's photos and Dallas still missing Tony Romo, I look for the Eagles to keep the road streak alive an win here without much problem. Keep in mind Philadelphia will be returning from their bye, which is a big advantage this late in the season. I think the extra week will have their offense in much better form and I just don't see the Cowboys being able to keep pace offensively with Cassel at quarterback. Give me the Eagles -3! |
|||||||
11-08-15 | Rams +2 v. Vikings | 18-21 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Situational ATS Blowout-- (Rams +2) Most would view these teams as equals and some might actually think Minnesota is the better team. I'm don't see it that way at all. I believe St Louis has become a legit contender in the NFC with the addition of Gurley. Minnesota hasn't really beat anybody that's any good and have not been great against the run. I see St Louis having the much easier time moving the ball and wouldn't be shocked if they won here comfortably. Give me the Rams +2! |
|||||||
11-08-15 | Raiders v. Steelers -4.5 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
50* NFL --AFC Game of the Year-- (Steelers -4.5) Not only do I think the Steelers are the much stronger team, but we find Oakland in a really bad spot here. The Raiders will be hitting the road for a long trip out east for an early start time and are primed for a letdown after back-to-back blowout wins over the Chargers and Jets. Pittsburgh on the other hand will be extremely motivated off back-to-back losses. Steelers offense should have no problem moving the ball here against a Raiders defense that will be lagging behind and Pittsburgh's defense should be able to keep Oakland's offense in check. Underdogs who are giving up 24 or more points/game after scoring 25 or more in 2 straight are 11-34 (24%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Give me the Steelers -4.5! |
|||||||
11-05-15 | Browns v. Bengals OVER 45.5 | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
50* NFL --Browns/Bengals Total Crusher-- (Over 45.5) The perception here is the Browns won't be able to score with Manziel at quarterback, but I don't think there's as big a drop off from McCown to Manziel as most people think. I look for Cleveland to provide their fair share of points in this one and that should have this game flying over the total. Cincinnati's offense is loaded with weapons at the skill positions and the Browns are awful defensively. They can't stop the run and their secondary is depleted with injuries to corner Joe Haden and safety Donte Whitner. It's not out of the question the Bengals cover this total on their own. Give me the OVER 45.5! |
|||||||
11-02-15 | Colts +7 v. Panthers | Top | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Colts +7) While Carolina has got off to a surprising 7-0 starts, the Panthers have played one of the easiest schedules of any team in the league. Not a single one of their 6 wins have come against a team that currently has a winning record. I know the Colts are sitting at 3-4 right now, but this team is clearly capable of more and have a top level quarterback in Andrew Luck, who will be the best signal caller Carolina has faced in terms of his ability to throw the football. We saw the Colts play extremely well against the Patriots in a prime time game a couple weeks ago and I expect this team to show up and at worst keep this game close. Give me the Colts +7! |
|||||||
11-01-15 | Jets v. Raiders UNDER 44 | 20-34 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Sharp Money Total Knockout-- (Under 44) These two teams combined for just 33 points last year at New York and I'm expecting another low-scoring game here with both teams coming off big division road games. The Jets defense has played exceptional well outside of last week's game against the Patriots and matchup well with the Raiders offense, which relies on it's passing game. New York ranks 4th in the league against the pass, allowing just 211.7 ypg. The Jets offensively need their running game to be effective and that plays into the strength of the Raiders defense, which ranks 3rd in the league against the run, allowing 84.3 ypg. Both offenses will be taken out of their comfort zone and this should lead to a lot of empty possessions and struggles when they do find the redone. Give me the UNDER 44! |
|||||||
11-01-15 | Bengals v. Steelers OVER 48 | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NFL --No Doubt Total Dominator-- (Over 48) These two teams combined for just 44 points in their last meeting, but that came in Week 17 last year with both teams dealing with some nagging injuries on offense. In the previous meeting that season they combined for 63 points and the time before that they combined for 50. With Roethlisberger back from injury, I look for Pittsburgh to have their way with an overrated Cincinnati defense that is giving up 4.9 yards/carry and allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 68.6% of their pass attempts. At the same time, I look for the Bengals to have a lot of success offensively in this one. Cincinnati's offense is the real deal and they will be well prepared for this game coming off their bye. Give me the OVER 48 in a what should be an AFC North shootout! |
|||||||
11-01-15 | Giants v. Saints OVER 49 | Top | 49-52 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
50* NFL --NFC Total of the Month-- (Over 49) I look for both offenses to have a lot of success in this one, as we have two of the better quarterbacks in the league going up against two defenses that are not playing well inside the perfect conditions of the Superdome. The Giants are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 66.7% of their passes, which is a nightmare scenario against Drew Brees and the Saints are giving up 4.9 yards/carry and 7.9 yards/pass attempt. Over is 6-2 in the Giants last 8 against the NFC, 6-2-1 in the Saints last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 3-0 in the last 3 meetings with the lowest combined score during this stretch being 73 points. Give me the OVER 49! |
|||||||
10-29-15 | Dolphins v. Patriots -8 | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Thursday Night ATS Smash-- (Patriots -8) I think we are seeing an overreaction here on Miami based on their last two performances. The Dolphins finally started to give some effort under interim head coach Dan Campbell, but I'm not expecting that renewed success to carry over on the road with a short week of rest against the Patriots. Tom Brady lives for these types of games where he gets to play in front of a national audience and I look for the Patriots to pick apart a Miami defense that really hasn't been all that impressive. The Dolphins rank 21st in total defense at 369.8 ypg and that's concerning given their schedule, which has consisted of a bunch of average to below-average offensive teams in the Redskins, Jaguars, Bills, Jets, Titans and Texans. Just think about the level of talent they have played at the quarterback position. Cousins, Bortles, Taylor, Fitzpatrick, Mariota (hurt) and Hoyer. New England will be all business at home against a division opponent and motivated off a not so great game last week against the Jets. Give me the Patriots -8! |
|||||||
10-26-15 | Baltimore Ravens v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 48.5 | Top | 18-26 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
50* NFL --MNF Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 48.5) I don't think the books have set the mark high enough for this matchup. The Ravens come into this one with the 9th ranked offense and are 10th in the league in passing at 258.3 ypg. Arizona has the 4th ranked offense and 6th ranked passing attack at 284.2 ypg. Both teams will be looking to throw the ball early and often, which should lead to a lot of big plays and quick scoring drives. It also figures to lead some turnovers, which should also lead to some quick scores. Baltimore's defense has allowed at least 25 or more points in 4 of their last 5, while Arizona has scored 40+ points 3 times this season and are averaging 33.3 ppg at home. OVER is 9-3-1 in Ravens last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record and 4-1 in the Cardinals last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 48.5! |
|||||||
10-25-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. NY Giants UNDER 46 | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
50* NFL --NFC East Total of the Month-- (UNDER 46) These two teams combined for 53 points in the Cowboys 27-26 miracle win at home in Week 1. The total for that game was 52 and now we see these two teams facing off in the rematch at New York with a total of 46. I don't believe 6 points is a big enough adjustment, given what Dallas has lost offensively and what they have gained defensively. At the same time, we can expect max effort here from the Giants defense coming off that ugly loss to Philadelphia and wanting revenge from the game they gave away at AT&T Stadium earlier this year. You also have to factor in playing outdoors compared to playing in the dome in Dallas. I think these two teams will be lucky to score 20 points a piece. Give me the UNDER 46! |
|||||||
10-25-15 | Oakland Raiders v. San Diego Chargers -3.5 | Top | 37-29 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
50* NFL --AFC West Game of the Month-- (Chargers -3.5) The Chargers are a much better team than their 2-4 record would indicate and could very easily be 5-1 or at least 4-2 if a couple plays go their way. Two of their 4 losses have come against the undefeated Bengals and Packers and they were right there against both of those teams. Philip Rivers and the offense is as good as it's been in years and the defense is better than what we saw last week against Green Bay. With the perception that Oakland is much improved and the fact they are coming off a bye, I believe it's created some great value here on the much better San Diego team. Give me the Chargers -3.5! |
|||||||
10-25-15 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 v. Washington Redskins | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Sharp Money ATS Knockout-- (Bucs +3.5) Tampa Bay went into their bye week with a solid 38-31 home win over the Jaguars and I think this is a team that is going to get better as the season progresses and should be in prime form with 2 weeks to prepare for a Redskins team that looks to be on the verge of throwing in the towel on their season. Coming off a couple big games on the road against the Falcons and Jets and with another big road game on deck against the Patriots, I have a hard time seeing Washington get up for this game. I like Tampa Bay to win, making this an easy play here. Give me the Buccaneers +3.5! |
|||||||
10-25-15 | New Orleans Saints v. Indianapolis Colts -4 | 27-21 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NFL --ATS Bookie Crusher-- (Colts -4) I think we are seeing some exceptional value here with the Colts. Indianapolis played better than almost anyone expected them to last week against the Patriots, as they were in that game in the 4th quarter. The layoff to get his shoulder back to form seems to have paid off for Andrew Luck and I think he and this Colts offense are going to be something to watch the rest of the way. At the same time, I'm not a believer at all in this Saints team and think they are primed for a letdown after giving it all they had at home last week against undefeated and division rival Atlanta. Give me the Colts -4! |
|||||||
10-25-15 | Atlanta Falcons -6 v. Tennessee Titans | 10-7 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Big Money ATS Blowout-- (Falcons -6) The Falcons are coming off their first loss of the season in a surprising 10-point defeat on the road against the Saints on Thursday Night Football. That game looks bad given the Saints aren't a great team, but Atlanta beat themselves and were in a bad spot playing on the road against a division rival with short rest. The Falcons committed 3 turnovers and had a punt blocked and returned for a touchdown. This is the perfect bounce back spot for Atlanta going up against a Tennessee team that is reeling and will be without starting quarterback Marcus Mariota. Give me the Falcons -6! |
|||||||
10-22-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 42 | Top | 20-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Annihilator-- (Under 42) In previous seasons this matchup would have me looking to back the under, but these are not the same two dominant defenses from years past. The 49ers are clearly not the same with all the players they lost in the offseason, to go along with the departure of head coach Jim Harbaugh. Seattle's still got a lot of the same players on defense, but I think they are really missing the guidance of former defensive coordinator Dan Quinn. We have already seen the 49ers give up 30+ points in 3 games this season and Seattle's offense is certainly capable of putting up a big number here. The Seahawks defense just allowed 27 points at home to the Panthers and aren't typically as strong on this side of the ball on the road. I also expect Seattle to take advantage of Kaepernick's poor decision making and create some turnovers that lead to quick scores. I see this being a 27-17 type of game with the potential to creep up towards 50. Give me the OVER 42! |
|||||||
10-19-15 | NY Giants v. Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 | Top | 7-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Eagles -4.5) The Giants are dealing with numerous injuries on both sides of the ball and I look for them to have a difficult time keeping pace with the Eagles on the road. Philadelphia got their offense going in the right direction in last week's 39-17 blowout win at home over the Saints and I look for that to carry over the rest of the season. Philadelphia won both meetings last year against New York, including a 27-0 home win and 34-26 win at New York. It was the 3rd time in the last 4 meetings the Eagles scored 27+ points against the Giants. With New York's lack of a pass rush, I look for Bradford to have a big day throwing the ball and Philadelphia's tempo should wear down the defense and let the running game take over in the 2nd half. Give me the Eagles -4.5! |
|||||||
10-18-15 | Carolina Panthers v. Seattle Seahawks -7 | 27-23 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NFL --No Doubt ATS Knockout-- (Seahawks -7) I look for the Seahawks to come away with a statement win at home against the Panthers on Sunday. Seattle is going to be extremely motivated playing at home off that heartbreaking overtime loss to Cincinnati last week, where they gave up a 17-point 4th quarter lead. Getting back Marshawn Lynch only makes this play that much stronger, but the real key here is the Panthers are not as good as their 4-0 record would indicate. Carolina's first 4 games have come against the Jaguars, Texans, Saints and Buccaneers, who are a combined 5-15. The Panthers simply don't have the playmakers offensively to put up enough points here against a great Seattle defense to keep this one close. Give me the Seahawks -7! |
|||||||
10-18-15 | Denver Broncos v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 42.5 | 26-23 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Sharp Money Total Crusher-- (Broncos/Browns U42.5) I don't see a lot of points being scored in this one. Denver's offense hasn't looked good at all this season. Their 5-0 start is a direct result of their defense. I expect more of the same here from the Broncos with the defense carrying them on the road against the Browns. Cleveland's defense hasn't been great, but they matchup well with Denver's offense, which can't run the ball. The Browns offense looked good last week against the Ravens, but I don't see that carrying over against this Denver defense. Give me the UNDER 42.5! |
|||||||
10-18-15 | Chicago Bears v. Detroit Lions -3 | Top | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
50* NFL --NFC North Game of the Month-- (Lions -3) Detroit comes into this game as the only winless team in the league at 0-5, but this is far from the worst team in the league. The Lions had an absolutely brutal schedule to start the year. They opened with back-to-back road games against Sand Diego and Minnesota, had to host Peyton Manning and the Broncos in a nationally televised game, lost a heartbreaker on the road at Seattle on MNF and then had to play a motivated Arizona team coming off a loss on short rest. I don't think there's any doubt they are undervalued at home as a mere 3-point favorite against the Bears. Chicago has looked better the last couple of weeks, but that was against the Raiders and Chiefs. I actually think the Bears are the much worse team here and could just as easily be 0-5 themselves. Give me the Lions -3! |
|||||||
10-15-15 | Atlanta Falcons v. New Orleans Saints +4 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron ATS Annihilator-- (Saints +4) The Falcons have started out an impressive 5-0 to open the season, but I just don't trust this team on the road playing with short rest. Atlanta has had to overcome 4th quarter deficits in 4 of their 5 wins. No other team in NFL history has started 5-0 having to come from behind in the 4th quarter 4 times. The Saints are clearly not as good as people had anticipated, but have been competitive in 3 of their 4 losses. They were embarrassed last time out at Philadelphia, which is going to have them extremely motivated here at home in a prime time game. Brees and the offense will be able to pick apart an overrated Atlanta defense and with Julio Jones not at 100% the Saints defense should be able to make enough stops here to keep it close enough to cover and potentially win outright. Give me New Orleans +4! |
|||||||
10-12-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 46 | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
50* NFL -MNF Gridiron Top Play-- (Under 46) The Steelers are trying to make do offensively with Michael Vick right now. While he's capable of keeping Pittsburgh in the playoff hunt, this will not be the same explosive high-powered offense that it was with Roethlisberger. The Steelers are going to rely more on their running game and defense to win games until Big Ben is back and have been playing much better defensively than they get credit for. They should have no problem keeping a injury-deplete San Diego offense in check. This is simply too many points given the circumstances both offenses are facing. Give me the Under 46! |
|||||||
10-11-15 | Chicago Bears v. Kansas City Chiefs -9 | 18-17 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NFL --No Doubt ATS Knockout-- (Chiefs -9) Kansas City has lost 3 straight and are listed as a 9-point favorite against the Bears, who are coming off a win at home against the Raiders and have got back starting QB Jay Cutler. That right there is really all you need to know, as the books are absolutely begging for money on Chicago here. I'm not taking the bait and will happily lay the 9-points in what I expect to be a blowout win for the Chiefs at home. This is make or break for Kansas City at 1-3 and this team is much better than their record would indicate, as all 3 losses have come against teams who are sitting at 4-0. The Chiefs defense will finally show it's true colors and the offense will have it's way with a bad Bears defense. Kansas City gets back on track with an easy win at home. Give me the Chiefs -9! |
|||||||
10-11-15 | Seattle Seahawks +3 v. Cincinnati Bengals | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Situational Play of the Day-- (Seahawks +3) No surprise here that the Seahawks have won two straight since getting back Kam Chancellor on defense (haven't allowed an offensive touchdown since he returned). Seattle wasn't as impressive as people were expecting in a close win over the Lions, yet are only a 3-point dog on the road against Cincinnati, who is 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS. The books are begging you take to the Bengals here! I know Dalton has played well to this point, but he's went up against some bad secondaries in Oakland, San Diego, Baltimore and Kansas City. With the spotlight on this game and Seattle's secondary the best in the game, I look for Dalton to lay an egg here against the Seahawks. Defensively the Bengals aren't that good and even with Lynch out, Seattle will be able to move the ball. Give me the Seahawks +3! |
|||||||
10-11-15 | St Louis Rams +10 v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -123 | 20 h 59 m | Show |
50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Rams +10) The Packers are right there with the Patriots as the biggest public bet team in the NFL and with them being 4-0 ATS the books have no choice here but to inflate this line to where they feel confidence the Rams can cover. I certainly think St Louis can keep this within double-digits. The Rams are a better team now than they were just a couple weeks ago, as they have added a whole new dynamic to their offense with Todd Gurley. He played a huge part in their win on the road against a very good Arizona team last week and I expect him to have another big day here against the Packers. I just don't see the Packers matching the Rams intensity in this one, as Green Bay is coming off 3 straight big games. They played Seattle on SNF in Week 2, Kansas City on MNF in Week 3 and had a huge revenge game last week at SF (long travel). I don't think an upset is out of the question, but I fully expect a 4 quarter game. Give me St Louis +10! |
|||||||
10-08-15 | Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans OVER 40.5 | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
50* NFL --Colts/Texans Total No Brainer-- (Over 40.5) It's been made official that Luck will not be playing against the Texans and as a result the total has dropped 3-points, I believe it's created some great value here on the OVER, as I still think the Colts offense will be able to move the ball against the Texans. Houston's defense hasn't been very good and Indy has a savy veteran backup in Matt Hasselbeck, who showed he still has something left in the tank. Hasselbeck went 30 of 47 for 282 yards against the Jaguars. Houston's offense hasn't been great to start the year, but that's a direct result of the injury to star running back Arian Foster. He returned last week and should get a much bigger workload here. Colts defense is decimated with injuries and just gave up 431 yards last week to a below average Jacksonville offense. These two teams also have a history of high-scoring games when they face off in Houston, with each of the last 10 meetings seeing at least 41 points. Give me the OVER 40.5! |