The Braves up 3-1 in this series are ready to bring the hammer down today .

Braves starter FRIED is 19-3  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 27-6 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 24-8  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Braves are 5-1 in their last six playoff games and 8-3 in their last 11 road games. 

Play on Atlanta to win

Houston exploded for seven runs in the ninth inning on their way to a 9-2 win in Game 4 of this series, leveling the best-of-seven American League Championship Series at two games apiece and Im betting on the Astros momentum to continue into this tilt behind starter Valdez who has posted a respectable 3-1 record with a 3.19 ERA in six career postseason games (five starts). In regular-season outings against Boston, the southpaw is 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA in four total appearances including two starts). Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Meanwhile, the flip side,the BoSox starter In nine career playoff games (six starts),  has gone just 1-2 with a 6.91 ERA. Needless to say the top tier hurler, does not perform well under the limelight of post season play and is fade material here in this spot play.Astros are 11-5 in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog.

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

Boston will start game 3 of this series  with left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez (0-1, 5.40 ERA). The hurler went winless in two playoff starts against Tampa Bay in the ALDS and is 0-1 with a 7.02 ERA in 10 career postseason games (three starts) RODRIGUEZ is 1-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 8.52 and a WHIP of 1.894. Rodriguez was smashed by the Astros in two regular-season starts going  0-1 with an 11.57 ERA in 9 1/3 innings. According to my power ranking pitcher vs batting order rankings the Astros matchup well vs Rodriguez. 

Urquidy went 8-3 with a 3.62 ERA over 20 starts in the regular season. In his postseason career, he is 1-1 with a 2.81 ERA in eight appearances (four starts).URQUIDY is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667.

Boston look the last game played in this series 9-5 but the Astros have proved resilient in the recent past off a loss winning 4 straight redemption situations. 

Astros are 9-4 in their last 13 playoff road games.

Astros are 11-5 in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog.

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

Atlantas starting pitcher ANDERSON is 10-0   against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) Anderson is currently in top form and on a 3-0 run along with garnering a 1.50 ERA and a 0.667 WHIP. Needless to say from my perspective at least he matches up well against Dodgers top tier hurler Scherzer. 

ATLANTA is 21-6 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season.

Dodgers are 7-15 in their last 22 League Championship road games.

Braves are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a win.Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 playoff home games.ATLANTA is 21-6 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season.

MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest 109-47 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win  

The rested  Braves will go against a Dodgers team off an a hard fought emotional victory vs the SF giants in game of their play off series. Now the Dodgers are  in a classic emotional letdown situation after using a big portion of their pitching staff in that game ,  and now Im betting they are at a disadvantage in game 1 of this series vs the Braves

The Braves will go with Fried  who is 1-0 this postseason, pitching six scoreless innings in a 3-0 victory over the Brewers on Oct. 9. FRIED is 18-3 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 32-10  against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League West.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ATLANTA) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 33-18 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate.

Play on the Atlanta Braves

AMERICAN League Playoffs - LCS - Best Of 7 - Game 1

Astros starter Valdez has permitted two runs and struck out 18 batters in 14 1/3 innings en route to posting a 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA in two starts versus Boston this season. Meanwhile, Bostons starter Sale, is struggling  was beaten on  last Friday, allowing five runs on four hits in one inning of a no-decision against Tampa Bay. In his L/3 starts he owns a 10.39 ERA and on the road this season has recorded a 0-1 record in four trips to the hill along with a bloated 7.37 ERA. Needless to say Sale is fade material here today vs a potent Houston offensive attack. 

SALE is 4-8 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)   SALE is 1-7 (-9.4 Units) against the money line with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) since 1997. (Team's Record)

BAKER is 21-6  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. 

Play on Houston to win 

Starting pitcher WEBB is 10-0  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 13-0  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 16-2 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 13-0 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) Dodgers pitcher Urias is a strong hurler but my pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest Webb and his bullpen when needed have the edge. 

 Giants are 22-5 in their last 27 games following an off day.  Giants are 13-4 in their last 17 playoff home games.

LA DODGERS are 19-33  L/52 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) in the second half of the season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 43-16 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Dodgers are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.

Play on the SF Giants to win 

AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 4

White Sox starter RODON is 10-1 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record) RODON is 15-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season . (Team's Record)

CHI WHITE SOX are 21-5  against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 13-4 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 155-282 L/24 seasons for a go against  65% conversion rate.

Play on Chicago White Sox to win 

AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 3

White Sox starter CEASE is 1-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) CEASE is 0-7  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. (Team's Record) CEASE is 0-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 6.60 and a WHIP of 1.600. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings give the Astros a big edge here today. The Astros have the edge tp clinch the best-of-five series behind right-hander Luis Garcia, who was 11-8 with a 3.30 ERA in 30 appearances in the regular season, including 28 starts.

White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff games.

White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff games.

Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff games.Astros are 11-4 in their last 15 playoff games as an underdog.

HOUSTON is 7-2  against CHI WHITE SOX this season.

Play on the Astros to win 

AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 3

Rays starter Rasmussen, who will make his first career postseason start, was 1-0 with a 2.30 ERA in five games (three starts) against Boston this season and gets my support here today in a bounce back game for the Rays who lost 14-6 on Friday night. 

BOSTON is 8-20  against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 24-10  against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher against opponent off a loss by 8 runs or more to a division rival are 12-27 L/24 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - good offensive team (5.1 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 33-17 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

Play on the TB Rays to win 

NATIONAL League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 2

SF starter GAUSMAN is 12-3  against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)

LA DODGERS are 6-14 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.


SAN FRANCISCO is 41-14  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.



MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with an excellent SLG (.440 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 71-24 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on San Francisco to win 

NATIONAL League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 2

Brewers starter WOODRUFF is 4-9 (against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 4-10  against the money line in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)

Braves starter FRIED is 25-6 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

ATLANTA is 23-8  against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case in a 2-1 loss in game 1 of this series.

MLB  team (ATLANTA) - team with a good SLG (.430 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 103-59 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

NATIONAL League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 1

Logan Webb is  7-0 in 16 starts with a 2.71 ERA and just 5 home runs allowed in  just under 97  innings of top tier work  and deserves respect here even against Buehler and the dodgers who are in an emotional letdown spot after that big game against the Cards that got them here last time out. 

LA DODGERS are 9-16  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. 

Giants are 12-3 in their last 15 playoff home games.

Dodgers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring 10 runs or more are 23-9 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on San Francisco to win 

The Cards got here by winning 17 -in  a row in September including victories in 11 straight road games and no matter who their opponent is seem to find ways to win and Im betting that continues here this evening in LA vs the Dodgers. We have two top tier hurlers on the hill for both sides with Scherzer going to the hill for LA and the veteran Wainwright stepping up for the Cards. But what is interesting to note, is that Scherzer was smacked around in his final two starts of the 2021 season at Coors Field against Colorado and than vs the  San Diego Padres. He allowed 10 runs in those two starts and his ERA took a direct hit because of it. So he comes in here maybe not feeling as confident as he was prior to those tilts vs a side that seemingly finds way to win on a very consistent basis no matter what the venue and the opponent is. Chemistry and confidence are great attributes to bet into especially on a value line.WAINWRIGHT is 11-1  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)

Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.Cardinals are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on St.Louis to win 

The Yankees played an emotionally draining game yesterday and garnering a 1-0 win. Now in a huge letdown situation Im betting the Red sox have the edge behind their starter Eovaldi who has a   career year and emerged as the ace of the Boston rotation. 

Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog.

CORA is 14-3 against the money line in October games in all games he has managed since 1997. 

BOSTON is 90-64  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. BOSTON is 60-39 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.

NY YANKEES are 10-17  against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 18-51 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 12-36 L/5 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win

Tampa Bay (100-61) is 7-2 this year in New York and must not be underestimated here even though the Yankees need a win, for various play off implications to take fold. The Rays are also 51-24 against AL East teams this year, including a 26-6 clip since July 29 and wont have any problems trying to make the Yankees lives miserable. The Rays play a merciless hell bent brand of baseball and get the nod here today as value line underdogs.  Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

The Rays continue their postseason practice and will now attempt to prevent the Yankees from clinching Saturday afternoon when the American League East rivals meet. 

Rookie Shane Baz (2-0, 1.69 ERA), the sixth pitcher in team history to win his first two starts, takes the hill for Tampa Bay. He last pitched Sunday against the Miami Marlins when he retired the first nine hitters, allowed three hits and struck out nine in 5 2/3 scoreless innings. He went 3-0 with a 1.76 ERA in 10 starts for Triple-A Durham before joining the Rays and is ranked by Baseball America as the 11th-best overall prospect and gets my support here today against the Yankees.

TAMPA BAY is 8-3 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season.TAMPA BAY is 40-19  against the money line in day games this season.

Rays are 23-11 in the last 34 meetings. Rays are 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in New York.

Play on Rays to win 

 Twins starter Gant has lost seven of his last eight decisions and Im betting against him here today. Lets ride Royals super star Salvador Perez, who leads the majors in home runs (48) and RBIs (121) to be the key contributor. MINNESOTA is 21-41 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.

Both these teams lost last time out but KC has proven resilient  after a loss lately going 5-0 after a defeat. 

Play on the KC Royals to win 

Astros starter MCCULLERS JR. is 10-20  against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in his career( Team Record) MCCULLERS JR. is 13-27  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MCCULLERS JR. is 4-12  against the money line in September games . (Team's Record)

TB starter MCHUGH is 40-18 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record)

Note: Left-hander Ryan Yarbrough (9-6, 5.09 ERA) will be the bulk pitcher for the Rays in the series finale on Thursday. He is expected to follow starter Collin McHugh (6-1, 1.60). Im betting TBS pitching will do just fine vs a Astros side thats suddenly finds itself in a funk having scored  just 12 runs in six games. 

TAMPA BAY is 8-2  against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season.  

TAMPA BAY is 19-3  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less  SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.

MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - good offensive team ( 5.1 or more  runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 45-16 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on TB Rays to win 

Fried (13-7, 3.12 ERA) will face Philadelphia's Aaron Nola (9-8, 4.64) on Wednesday.

Atlantas starter FRIED is 28-8  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 37-13   against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 16-4 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 24-6   against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 14-2   against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Phillies righty  starter NOLA is 11-21 against the money line in September games in his career. (Team's Record) 

Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Phillies are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.

MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better  over his last 10 games are 18-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Atlanta to win 

Halos starter Naughton (0-3, 5.23 ERA), a lefty, is not in good form and fade material here vs the Rangers tonight. Meanwhile, Rangers starter Alexy (2-1, 5.00 ERA) has shown flashes of brilliance as he  began his career by becoming the first pitcher in modern MLB history to pitch at least five shutout innings as a starter. Hes got the stuff needed to go long and strong today and help us garner a win.

From a motivational standpoint- Texas first baseman Nathaniel Lowe said he'd like to end the season on a high note.quote:

"We've got a week left, and we can't quit for one inning, regardless of who we're playing, whether it's a 100-win Giants team or a 100-loss Baltimore team," he said. End Quote

TEXAS is 20-14 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 26-44  against the money line against division opponents this season.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team are 9-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 35-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on Texas to win 

Seattle starter LEXEN is 14-3 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record)FLEXEN is 15-3 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record)FLEXEN is 9-1 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 10-1 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, As starter IRVIN is 0-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 7.56 and a WHIP of 2.160 and is fade material here vs a Mariners team that has beaten the As in 9 of their L/10 meetings and overall are running hot having won 7 of their L/8 overall.

 Play on the Mariners to win 

Motowns starter PERALTA is 13-2   against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)

Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. like KCs starter Bubic. Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.

DETROIT is 49-46 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. DETROIT is 10-3 against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .393 or better over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record are 32-72 L/5 seasons for a 69%  go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to win 

White Sox right-hander Lance Lynn (10-5, 2.47 ERA) will look for his first win in two months on Saturday so Im betting he will stretch out and be ready to perform.

CLEVELAND is 2-12  against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.

MLB Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 36-5 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on White Sox to win 

Padres starter VELASQUEZ is 6-0  against the money line vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage of .430 or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) He may not be considered a top tier hurler but he is obviously motivated when going agains strong opponent. 

SAN DIEGO is 19-3  against the money line in home games revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 3 seasons.SAN DIEGO is 20-6 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) -NL, in September games are 52-84 L/24 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Diego Padres to win 

Boston has won five straight after sweeping the Baltimore Orioles over the past  weekend and bring [positive momentum into this tilt vs the Mets. 

Red Sox starter RODRIGUEZ is 17-3  against the money line in an inter-league game in his career. (Team's Record) NY METS are 9-21 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

CORA is 18-4  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better in all games he has managed since 1997. ( Stroman of the Mets qualifies)

MLB team (BOSTON) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 43-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Red Sox to win 

Right-hander Kyle Gibson (10-7, 3.49 ERA) is slated to take the mound for the Phillies against left-hander Rich Hill (6-7, 3.88).

The Mets have lost 5 straight games and are trying to avoid being swept by the visiting Phillies. But Im betting they wont be successful in stopping the Phillies momentum. NY METS are 1-9  against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent this season. 

The Phillies are in hot pursuit for a play off spot and will have plenty of motivation to be merciless here in NY. 

Phillies are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.

Play on Phillies to win

Charlie Morton will go to the hill for the  Braves on Saturday. He has been in top tier  form, and has garnered a  13-5 record this season along  with an ERA of 3.49, a WHIP of 1.05  including 192 Ks. He brings enough quality form into this tilt to give credence to me backing him as an underdog. Meanwhile, Alex Wood goes for the Giants, and despite of being a viable hurler, will be in deep here vs a Atlanta side that has feasted on lefty hurlers this season, as is evident by averaging 5.8 rpg of output. 

The Braves lost yesterday in the first game of this series by a 6-5 count, but they have proven resilient in the past after a defeat  going 24-9 in their last 33 games following a loss.

Braves are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.Braves are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Francisco.

ATLANTA is 21-8  against the money line in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

Seattle's starter FLEXEN is 8-0  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 13-3 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 12-3 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 16-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 8-1 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record)

MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 10-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Seattle to win 

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 6-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Colorado has won five of its past six road games, improving to 13-17 away from home since the All-Star break and have won 9 of their L/10 games here in Atlanta. Tonight behind starter Senzatela,  who has quality starts in each of his last six trips to the hill,  along with garnering a solid  has a 2.54 ERA  in 39 innings during that span, the Rockies look to be the right side on a value line. Senzatela has made four career appearances and three starts against the Braves, going 2-0 with a 3.66 ERA and gets my support here. Braves are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win 

St.Louis is running hot right now having won 6 of their L/7 games, and setting their sites on post season, ball will have them ready to compete tonight in NY where Im betting they will complete a 3 game sweep of the up and down Mets. Cards starter Lester is 8-1 with a 3.18 ERA in 11 regular season starts against the Mets and  while pitching for Washington on June 19, he threw six-plus innings of two-run ball agains them. Rinse and repeat.LESTER is 63-31 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)NY METS are 17-29  against the money line against left-handed starters this season.

Play on St.Louis to win 

Rockies starter GRAY  in 6 career starts is 3-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.221. He made his return from a stint on the 10-day injured list with right forearm tightness against San Francisco last Wednesday and allowed three runs and struck out eight. Im betting he is much stronger in this spot play. Meanwhile, Atlanta's  Toussaint's last two starts, has seen him allowed seven runs, five earned, in six combined innings of sub par work, an is fade material in his current form. 

Rockies are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Atlanta.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win

Peralta vs Peralta The Tigers have won three of their last four games and are viable underdogs here today vs their National league opponents the Milwaukee Brewers behind  right-hander Wily Peralta (3-3, 3.60 ERA) who gave up a run on six hits in four innings at Pittsburgh last Tuesday in his most recent start. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Freddy Peralta (9-4, 2.69 ERA) will start on Tuesday. Peralta has been on an innings limit  and has not exceeded more than 3 2/3 innings in any of his last three starts . This tells me they are saving him for post season play or he is  showing signs of fatigue or both an is vulnerable to getting blasted by a sometimes explosive Detroit offense.  

Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 games following an off day.

Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. 

DETROIT is 8-4  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season.

MILWAUKEE is 49-100 L/149 against the money line in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs .MILWAUKEE is 10-17 against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win 

Sunday's series finale is scheduled to feature a matchup of left-handers in Arizona's Tyler Gilbert (1-2, 3.12 ERA) against Seattle's Yusei Kikuchi (7-8, 4.32). My power rankings give the edge to the Mariners in a bounce back situation after yesterdays flat loss. 

ARIZONA is 2-14 against the money line against AL West opponents this season.

SERVAIS is 9-16 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of SEATTLE.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) are 61-20 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on the Seattle to win 

Cards starter  HAPP is 20-9  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season. (Team's Record)

Reds starter GRAY is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.471.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), in September games are 27-12 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Road teams (CINCINNATI) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) -NL, in September games are  50-81 L/24 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate.

Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.

Play on the Cardinals to win 

Mariners starter FLEXEN is 7-0  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 16-3  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)

Mariners are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

ARIZONA is 1-13  against the money line against AL West opponents this season.ARIZONA is 33-82 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.

Diamondbacks are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 0-8 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Diamondbacks are 8-45 in their last 53 road games.

Play on Seattle to win 

Cleveland's Zach Plesac (10-4, 4.53 ERA) goes to the hill Saturday vs the Milwaukee Brewers. Plesac, is 4-0 in his past five outings on Sunday after yielding three runs in five innings of an 11-5 victory over the Boston Red Sox. Meanwhile, right-hander Corbin Burnes (9-4, 2.38 ERA), takes the ball for the Brewers. He is also in good form going  7-0 with a 2.40 ERA in his past 16 trips to the mound . With two strong hurlers on the hill, the advantage according to my power rankings goes to the home side, on a value moneyline offering. I know Cleveland is struggling to score, but they matchup well vs /Burnes according to my pitcher vs batter power rankings. 

FRANCONA is 102-60 against the money line after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games as the manager of CLEVELAND

MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 41-68 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indians to win 

Twins right handed starter Jax has lost two of his last three starts and when he  faced the Royals in his first major league start, on July 3 in Kansas City,  he  took the loss while allowing six runs on eight hits over five innings and is once again fade material here on a value money-line offering. 

MINNESOTA is 15-31   against the money line against left-handed starters this season and Lynch currently in decent form has an edge here. Twins are 5-12 in their last 17 vs. a team with a losing record.

Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.

Play on the KC Royals to win 

The Red Sox (80-62) seized the pole position Wednesday with a win over the Tampa Bay Rays coupled with a New York Yankees loss. The Yankees dropped their sixth straight Thursday to up idle Boston's lead for the top spot to one game and now we have a BoSox side with confidence and a big chance at a play off spot. Motivation is key at this juncture in the season, and we have that in spades backing this underdog today. I know the White Sox are a stud team, but they have had problems scoring lately with consistency, making them vulnerable. Meanwhile, Red sox hurler Houck was nearly flawless over five scoreless innings against the Cleveland Indians last time out, allowing just three hits and striking out seven and also has momentum. Ride the wave here with Boston. 

RODON is 0-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.240 and his team has lost all 4 of his starts vs the BoSox. BOSTON is 29-22 (+10.2 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like Rodon. 

BOSTON is 17-4  against the money line when playing on Friday this season. Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League Central. Red Sox are 15-7 in their last 22 during game 1 of a series

Play on Boston Red Sox to win 

Indians rookie right-hander Eli Morgan is off a strong effort last time out as is Houser of Milwaukee. But according to my projections and power rankings the Indians have an edge, at home and must be respected as underdogs in this spot play. (Milwaukee is up big in their race for a secured play off spot and its never easy keeping an edge in a long season when you are at such lofty heights. 

Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games.

COUNSELL is 47-59  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season as the manager of MILWAUKEE. Brewers are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games. Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.MILWAUKEE is 2-7  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. MILWAUKEE is 5-10  against the money line against AL Central opponents this season.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are just 64-64  and spilling a boatload full of juice. 

Brewers are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.

Brewers are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.

Play on Cleveland to win 

Royals starter HERNANDEZ is 11-5  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher in his career. (Team's Record) note: BALTIMORE is 4-17  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season like Hernandez.  .... Hernandez (5-1, 3.57 ERA) has been one of the majors' surprise starters. He joined the Royals' rotation in mid-July and is 4-0 with a 2.21 ERA in his past six starts.In two road starts this season, Hernandez is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA, having beaten the Chicago White Sox and the Chicago Cubs last month. 

Orioles lefty starter MEANS is 0-6 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record)MEANS is 0-10   against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Royals are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Royals are 9-4 in their last 13 road games.Royals are 15-7 in their last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter. 

Orioles are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a home favorite.

Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.

Play on the Royals to win 

MLB Road teams (NY METS) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) -NL, in September games are 50-80 L/24 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

White Sox starter  Reynaldo Lopez (3-1, 2.08 ERA). has been in top form in four career starts against the A's, going 2-1 along with a minuscule   0.77 ERA.One of those starts was Aug. 17 at home against the Athletics , when  he went  five innings in a  9-0 shutout win. I know Manaea is a top strong hurler, but the Pale Hose have been hard on left handed pitching producing an average of 5.3 rpg and  are 19-7 in their last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Washington left-hander Sean Nolin (0-2, 5.71) on Wednesday. The Braves will counter with right-hander Touki Toussaint (3-2, 4.19). 

Nationals are 7-19 in their last 26 games as a road underdog.Nationals are 8-22 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.Nationals are 7-19 in their last 26 games as a road underdog.Nationals are 8-22 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record. Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.  Nationals are 6-21 in their last 27 road games. Nationals are 5-24 in their last 29 vs. National League East.

WASHINGTON is 6-23  against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.WASHINGTON is 12-26  against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season.

MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG  .255 to .269) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 4-29 L/5 seasons for a  go against 88% conversion rate.

Nationals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.

Nationals are 10-26 in the last 36 meetings.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

 In the series finale, Detroit right-hander Matt Manning (3-6, 6.29 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Pittsburgh right-hander Mitch Keller (4-10, 6.23). Edge goes to Manning and the Tigers. 

Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games as an underdog.

Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

Tigers are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

MLB team (DETROIT) - AL team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less ) against a terrible NL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.650 or more ), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 30-7 L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play on the Tigers to win 

Tyler Anderson goes to the mound for the Mariners . He has been a viable hurler for the Mariners as is evident by having won four of his last five starts, including a 6-3 victory at Houston.After pitching to a 4.35 ERA in Pittsburgh, Anderson has a 3.38 ERA in his seven starts since joining the Mariners.He has completed at least five innings in each of his starts this season and 27 straight starts dating back to last season and gets the nod here on a a value line. 

ANDERSON is 7-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

DBcks starter GALLEN is 1-11 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record

Diamondbacks are 0-8 in their last 8 inter-league home games. ARIZONA is 1-11  against the money line against AL West opponents this season. ARIZONA is 8-31  against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. 

MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off 2 straight upset wins over division rivals as a road underdog are 31-10 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on the Texas Rangers 

 TB is running hot and yesterday they came back from a 6 run deficit at. one point to win a 11-10 battle. BOSTON is 10-17against the money line in home games after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. TB looked a like a team possessed yesterday and Im betting they continue their aggression into todays tilt against a shell shocked Red Sox team that is reeling at the worst time of the year. 

TAMPA BAY is 23-9  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. TAMPA BAY is 21-9  against the money line off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game are 34-16 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play on the TB Rays to win 

The blue Jays blew out the Yanks yesterday by a 8-0 count and now the Yankees will be primed for a bounce back  and redemption. 

NYY starter COLE is 5-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 0.880.

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (NY YANKEES) - after a game without an extra base hit are 57-6 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (NY YANKEES) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 58-10 L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Yankees to win 

Civale (10-2, 3.32 ERA) went 3-0 over four June starts and threw 4 2/3 innings of scoreless ball against the Chicago Cubs on June 21. However, three days later he was placed on the injured list due to a sprained right middle finger. He's not been active since, but following a third rehab start last week, hes proclaimed himself 100% healthy and ready to hit the hill with confidence. Meanwhile, his Minnesota pitching opponent John Gant (4-9, 3.98 ERA) has lost 3 straight starts and six  consecutive decisions and is fade material in his current form. 

Indians starter CIVALE is 12-3 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)

CLEVELAND is 26-8  against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season. Twins are 9-21 in their last 30 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.CLEVELAND is 40-13 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.

FRANCONA is 111-45  against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of CLEVELAND.

Play on Cleveland to win 

Giants starter GAUSMAN is 0-5 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Rockies starter FREELAND is 9-1  against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 9-0 against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 16-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Rockies to win 

 The Red Sox currently have 11 players on the covid list and Im betting that has them in a uneasy situation as far as team chemistry and energy goes.At 39-17, the Tampa Bay Rays have the best record in baseball since July 1 and must be respected in the underdog role. I know  Red Sox starter Chris Sale is 3-0 with a 2.53 ERA since returning from injury, but the Rays are seeing the ball well, and their starter today Yarbrough is a viable pitching option, and is backed the best bullpen in the league. Note: This season TB is a perfect 7-0 on the road as an underdog of +130 or more on the opening line . Im betting that mark stays perfect after todays tilt ends.

SALE is 14-21 against the money line in September games in his career. (Team's Record)

Play on the TB Rays to win 

White Sox starter CEASE is 15-2  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record) CEASE is 3-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.68 and a WHIP of 1.168 and 3-0 in his L/3 vs the Royals. 

MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 6-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the White Sox to win 

The Phillies' two biggest offensive weapons  ... Bryce Harper and  r Marlin J.T. Realmuto  have suddenly gone silent after a explosive run  . Harper is just 1-for-8 with a single. Realmuto is 2-for-8 with two singles, and neither player has scored a run or recorded and RBI. Today vs a solid right-hander Elieser Hernandez (1-1, 3.62 ERA) more offensive ineptness will be on todays agenda.  Note:Hernandez is 3-0 with a 3.93 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) versus the Phillies and gets my support in the underdog role here in this spot play.

Lefty Daniel Lynch (4-3, 4.47 ERA), one of the most promising of Kansas City's youthful starters, will get the ball against right-hander Reynaldo Lopez (3-1, 1.54).

Royals starter LYNCH is 6-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) LYNCH is 6-1 against the money line in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) Since returning from the minors July 25, LYNCH has been exceptional: going 4-1 with a 2.23 ERA in seven starts. The Royals won six of those games.

KANSAS CITY is 14-7 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.

White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.White Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

White Sox manager  La Russa has the advantage of a 9 1/2-game cushion in the AL Central standings and is not playing his team hard right now, as they all but have this thing wrapped up and staying healthy and strong, is more important right now, which gives the Royals who won the first game of this series, an edge in my humble opinion on a value line.

Play on KC Royals to win 

 The Astros (78-55) are coming off back-to-back shutout losses against the Seattle Mariners while seeing their division lead fall to 4 1/2 games over the Oakland Athletics and they will now be primed and hungry for a bounce back effort.

Padres starter ARRIETA is 1-10  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record)

Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 35-5 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Astros to win 

Brewers are off a big series with the Giants winning 3 of 4 and could now easily be in a letdown jet lagged spot as they travel back home off their West coast road trip . 

Cards starter WAINWRIGHT is 21-8 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 12-2 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) which was the case last time out. 

MLB home teams (MILWAUKEE) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 16-36 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on St.Louis to win 

Brett Anderson has seen his L/4  four consecutive trips to the hill end in  Milwaukee defeats and tonight Im betting that streak continues. Meanwhile, Giants starter  Gausman (12-5, 2.49 ERA),  has gone unbeaten in August, running up a 3-0 record and 3.16 ERA in five starts and looks to be the right side of this bet tonight as he he is backed by one on MLBs top bullpens. GAUSMAN is 10-3  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

SAN FRANCISCO is 21-4   against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons

 MILWAUKEE is 9-15 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season.

MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or better  over his last 10 games are 14-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the SF Giants to win 

OAKLAND is 40-17  against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season.OAKLAND is 44-16 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. Athletics are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a losing record. Athletics are 74-24 in their last 98 vs. American League Central.

DETROIT is 10-29  against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons.

Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog.Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. Tigers are 37-82 in their last 119 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Tigers are 26-59 in their last 85 vs. American League West.Tigers are 64-148 in their last 212 vs. a team with a winning record.Tigers are 24-64 in their last 88 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

OAKLAND is 11-1 against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Oakland to win 

The Brewers send right-hander Brandon Woodruff (8-7, 2.38 ERA). The veteran hurler is coming off  one of his best outings of the season. He struck out 10 and scattered four hits in six shutout innings in a 4-1 win over the Cincinnati Reds in a 4-1 win and has momentum on his side.He has never pitched in San Francisco and is 0-0 with a 1.42 ERA in his two lifetime appearances against the Giants.  WOODRUFF is 21-6 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MILWAUKEE is 11-1  against the money line in road games after allowing 1 run or less this season which was the case yesterday in a 3-1 win in game 1 of this series.

MILWAUKEE is 18-3  against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6  or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season.

 MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or less) -NL, with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games are 29-60 L/5 seasons for a go against  68% conversion rate. 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win 

The Marlins are 0-9 L/9  Elieser Hernandez starts when they won in his last start.

Brewers starter Burnes (8-4, 2.30 ERA) will start in the  series opener. He will be opposed by veteran right-hander Johnny Cueto (7-6, 3.73), who started the finale of the previous series. Burnes was in top form in his previous start against the Giants, allowing just one run in seven innings. He didn't get a decision in the win, but he did extend his unbeaten streak, which stands at 14 games. Rinse and repeat. MILWAUKEE is 16-4  against the money line in road games after a win by 4 runs or more this seasons which was the case last time out. 

The Giants won the last two meetings in this series back in Milwaukee in August. Note"  COUNSELL is 22-3 against the money line revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite as the manager of MILWAUKEE.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - NL team with a high slugging percentage (.430 or better ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less ), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 30-12 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win 

Rockies starter MARQUEZ is 19-4   against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)The Rockies are 9-0 L/9 vs German Marquez starts as a favorite after he gave up no walks in his last start which was the case. 

Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.

TEXAS is 9-26  against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.

The Rangers upset the Astros yesterday and now Im expecting a letdown expeirence to derail them.

Play on Colorado to win 

Bostons starter PIVETTA is 9-1 against the money line when playing on Mondays in his career. (Team's Record) In the series opener, Boston's Nick Pivetta (9-6, 4.57 ERA) will make his third career start against the Rays - all this season.The right-hander is 1-1 with a 1.65 ERA overall and 0-1 with a 2.38 ERA in two starts in the Sunshine State and gets my support to hold down the fort against the red hot Rays. 

CORA is 25-16 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 in all game. 

MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or worse) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 35-70 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the Boston Red Sox 

Phillies starter Wheeler is 0-3 with a 6.53 ERA in his last three starts and in his current form is fade material. His young pitching opponent from the Nationals Gray has worked at least five innings and allowed more than three runs only once in five starts in the month of August.

PHILADELPHIA is 16-22  against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts are 29-14 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on The Washington Nationals to win 

Cincinnati's grasp on the National League's second wild-card slot is not a strong one and they need to get going here or fall by the way side as the post season stretch continues. With that said, Im expecting a big effort from the Reds here at home where they play their best baseball ( averaging 5.5 rpg in offense). 

The Cardinals are 0-19 L/19  as a road dog of more than +130 when facing a starter they lost to in their last same-season meeting. Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Reds are 24-7 in their last 31 games as a home favorite.

CINCINNATI is 36-22 against the money line against division opponents this season.

Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win

Yankees left-hander Jordan Montgomery (5-5, 3.69) and A's righty Paul Blackburn (0-1, 4.09) are the scheduled starters in the season-series finale. Yesterday the As snapped the NY Yankees 13 game win streak, and Im betting they find a way tonight to spilt this series with a victory. 

Note: NYY starter Montgomery  is over rated  according to my power rankings and has problems vs  righty batters  (.306 wOBA), and his career statistics  provide the same metrics of comparison( .310 vs. righties- vs.246 vs Lefty hitters). Considering the Athletics have been one of the most successful offenses in baseball against southpaw hurlers over the last few seasons we have some value here with the As.

Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.

MLB Home teams (OAKLAND) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 99-60 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the AS to win 

 Tigers starting hurler Boyd (3-6, 3.44 ERA) completed a rehab assignment with Triple-A Toledo on Tuesday, and despite of being deemed healthy will have a short leash here because of what could end up being a rusty return to the hill vs a dangerous Blue Jays offence. Boyd  is 0-2 with a 4.46 ERA in six career starts against Toronto . BOYD is 5-19  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

The Blue Jays are 10-0 L/10 on the ML as a road favorite off a road game in which they scored 3 runs or less and won.

MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or better ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season are 98-198 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Blue Jays to win 

Philadelphia is off a 7-0 2in vs Arizona yesterday but this has not been a profitable situation form  Phillies supporters in follow up game. Note; The Phillies are 0-10  L/10 as a favorite off a home win by 5+ runs. With that said, I like the pitching matchup here enough for me tp grab the value with the underdog. 

Phillies starter Suarez is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in his career against the Diamondbacks.

Madison Bumgarner (7-8, 4.17 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Diamondbacks. Bumgarner is 6-3 with a 2.89 ERA in 12 career starts against the Phillies.

Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East. Diamondbacks are 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Philadelphia.

PHILADELPHIA is 3-9 against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. of 28% or less) 

Play on the Arizona DBacks to win 

Cards starter KIM is 18-9  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KIM is 11-3   against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

PITTSBURGH is 11-31 against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 3-16 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent this seasons.

ST LOUIS is 19-3   against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons in Penn. 

Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent, off a loss by 10 runs or more to a division rival are 5-36  L/24 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cards to win

Astros starter Valdez (8-4, 2.94 ERA) ,  is currently in top form posting a 1.83 ERA with six total walks in  his last three outings and gets the nod here tonight vs a inconsistent Texas side . 

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Astros to win 

Tigers starter URENA is 9-26  against the money line in home games in night games in his career. (Team's Record) TORONTO is 13-1  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 20% over the last 3 seasons. TORONTO is 13-2  against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Urena (2-8, 6.19 ERA) has not pitched for the Tigers since July 17 due to a groin injury and Im betting his rust will be evident in this spot. 

Tigers are 24-61 in their last 85 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Blue Jays are 23-9 in their last 32 vs. a team with a losing record.

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.

Play on the Blue Jays to win 

Cleveland  righty starter QUANTRILL is 3-17  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CORA is 101-57  against the money line in road games against right-handed starters in all games he has managed in his career. 

Meanwhile, Boston right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (10-8, 3.72 ERA) is in form strong and gets my support in this spot ( Eovaldi owns a 1.42 ERA in his L/3 starts)

 Indians are 9-23 in their last 32 vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 8-23 in their last 31 games as a home underdog.

MLB team (BOSTON) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 45-74 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate.

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win 

The White Sox are 15-0 L/15 on the ML as a home favorite after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game.

The Braves are 16-0 L/16 on the ML when Max Fried starts in August.  FRIED is 25-7 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  Fried has a 0.67 ERA in his four starts in August. In three career appearances, two starts, against San Francisco, he is 2-0 with 2.03 ERA.

Giants starter GAUSMAN is 17-33  against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 in his career. (Team's Record)

The Braves lost two games to the New York Yankees this week after nine consecutive victories  and have the edge according to my projections in this spot. 

Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 games as a favorite.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win 

The Royals are scheduled to start right-hander Brad Keller (8-12, 5.43 ERA) in the series opener against left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (7-7, 4.22), the Mariners' lone All-Star representative. My projections giver the edge to Kikuchi. 

 The Mariners are 16-0 L/16 on the ML as a favorite of more than -130 off a road game when they won their last two games and their opponent has lost their last two games.

SEATTLE is 10-3   against the money line in home games after a win by 4 runs or more this season which was the case last time out. 

Royals are 24-64 in their last 88 vs. American League West.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 33-89 L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate.

Royals are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

NYY starter TAILLON is 14-4 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Taillon  is  7-0 with a 3.21 ERA in his past 14 starts. 

The Yankees are streaking having won 11 straight games  and are  finding new ways to win on a consistent basis . This is a team on a mission and they must be respected on a short offering here even on the road . 

Play on the Yankees to win 

Right-hander Carlos Carrasco (0-2, 8.82 ERA) is slated to start for the Mets against Giants left-hander Alex Wood (10-4, 4.11 ERA). The edge goes to wood according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Thus Im betting the Giants get the sweep here. The Giants,  own  the best record in baseball at 82-44 and are 2 1/2 games ahead of the Los Angeles Dodgers and keep rolling into September. 

AN FRANCISCO is 33-12  against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season

The Mets are 0-11 L/11  past the first game of a series after they allowed 0-1 walks last game.

MLB Home teams (NY METS) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 21-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the SF giants to win

Left-hander Jake Latz will make his major-league debut on Wednesday. Latz, recorded a 1-1 record with a 4.69 ERA in 15 appearances (13 starts) with Double-A Frisco and 0-0 mark with a 7.00 ERA in two starts with Triple-A Round Rock and according to my investigation of this kid Ive come to the conclusion he needs to faded here in a unfriendly road environment. I know the Rangers won yesterday, but Im betting they don't get the job done tonight. The Rangers are 0-20  L/20 on the ML as a road underdog of more than +165 after they held a multiple-run lead last game.

Rangers are 11-40 in their last 51 road games vs. a right-handed starter. 

CLEVELAND is 13-1 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season.

TEXAS is 7-31  against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 15-42 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 39-81 L/5 seasons for a 74% go against conversion rate.

Play on Cleveland to win 

Rays starter YARBROUGH is 13-3 against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Wheeler.

TAMPA BAY is 34-16 (+15.6 Units) against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season which was time case last time out.  ]

Tampa Bay has won the L/6 meetings in this series. Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Play on the Rays to win 

Right-hander Tylor Megill (1-2, 3.21 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Mets against left-hander Sammy Long (1-1, 5.72 ERA) in a battle of rookies. Giants extended their lead over the Dodgers in the National League West to 2 1/2 games by edging the host Oakland Athletics, 2-1 and Im betting they keep their legs and bats going as they look to clinch a play off spot.

Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series. NY METS are 5-16  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse over the last 3 seasons.

Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.Giants are 21-8 in their last 29 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 38-15 in their last 53 games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog.Giants are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.Giants are 25-10 in their last 35 during game 1 of a series.

Giants are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

MLB team (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games 97-51 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

Play on the SF Giants to win 

The Orioles have lost 18 straight games, the most since the Kansas City Royals dropped 19 in a row in 2005 and Im betting on that run continuing tonight. 

HYDE is 31-91  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of BALTIMORE like Dylan Bundy the Angles starter.

The Orioles are 0-12 L/12 as a dog off a home game. BALTIMORE is 1-19  against the money line in August games this season.

BALTIMORE is 0-9  against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 15-39 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on the LAA to win 

The Yankees have now erupted and are in top form and are on a extensive  winning streak at 9 wins . New York has also won 10 of its last 11 games and is 31-11 record since winning the second game of a doubleheader on July 4. With that said Im backing Montgomery who is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA in one career start against the Braves, which came last season to deliver us the cash.

The Yankees are 12-0 L/12 on the ML after a game as a home favorite in which they held a multiple-run lead.

MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 120-78 L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate.

Play on the NY Yankees to win

NYM starter STROMAN is 2-9  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

NY METS are 13-24  against the money line against left-handed starters this season like the Dodgers Price.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 15-100 L/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Dodgers are 5-0 this season vs the Mets. 

Play on the Dodgers to win

.

Kansas City won the series opener 6-2 and followed with a 4-2 victory on Saturday. The Royals are looking for their first sweep since July 23-25 against the Detroit Tigers and Im betting they get it vs a tanking Cubs team have lost 14 of 16 games .  CHICAGO CUBS are 4-21  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. Note:  KC starter HERNANDEZ is 3-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.99. 

Play on the Royals to win

The Padres are struggling mightily at this time and yesterday they  stranded 12 runners while losing for the eighth time in nine games.The Padres are batting .213 over that nine-game span, during which they've been held to three or fewer runs on six occasions. In their current form they are fade material. Note:The Phillies  expect t Rhys Hoskins back from a groin injury tonight.  Hoskins, who leads Philadelphia with 24 homers and 68 RBIs, is batting .394 (13-for-33) over his past 10 games, with three homers and 11 RBIs will add to the value here on backing the Phillies in this spot play. 

PHILADELPHIA is 17-9 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season.Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.

Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a favorite.

Phillies are 38-17 in the last 55 meetings in San Diego.

Play on the Phillies to win 

Astros starter ODORIZZI is 0-6   against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SEATTLE is 31-18  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Seattle starter GILBERT is 8-3  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 6-1   against the money line in road games this season. GILBERT is 7-1  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record) Mariners starters had allowed no more than three runs in 17 of 18 outings before Kikuchi surrendered seven runs on seven hits and three walks over just 2 2/3 innings in the series opener.(Im betting on a Bounce back in this spot)

SEATTLE is 47-38 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season

MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SEATTLE) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 8 runs or more, off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival are 33-16 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. (Astros won 12-3 last night in game 1 of this series)

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

 Giants starter GAUSMAN is 18-36   against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)GAUSMAN is 17-33  against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 in his career. (Team's Record

Athletics starter MANAEA is 10-0 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

OAKLAND is 15-2  against the money line in home games in August games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or more home runs last outing are 32-12 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the As to win

Jays starter RYU is 54-17  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in his career. (Team's Record)

MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 10-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (DETROIT) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 2-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate for bettors.

Jays to win

 Today I expect the Halos to get a win behind Kikuchi .SEATTLE is also 22-8 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season like Mccullers. Note:McCullers has posted consecutive losing decisions, allowing six runs on 14 hits and four walks  over 10 1/3 innings with a .903 OPS allowed against the Twins and Angels.SEATTLE is also 31-17   against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.SEATTLE is 37-28  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. 

Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play on the Mariners to win 

The Halos have proven resilient this season, after allowing big run outputs. Yesterday they beat  the Tigers by a 13-10 count and now a strong situation is at hand, Note:LA ANGELS are 8-0  against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more this season.

S.Hentges the Indians starter tonight was clobbered by the Angels on May 17, permitting six runs on five hits -- including a three-run homer to Ohtani -- with three walks in 1 2/3 innings of a 7-4 loss. He does not matchup well here and could easily find himself on the bench early on today. 

LA ANGELS are 13-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Play on the LAA to win 

Chicago WS starter GIOLITO is 10-0   against the money line in road games in August games since 1997. (Team's Record) and  is 17-4  against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GIOLITO is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.02 and a WHIP of 0.862.

The White Sox are 11-0 L/11 on the ML after a loss as a home favorite in which they held the lead.

Rays starter Michael Wacha (2-4, 5.91 ERA),  is bad form of late going  0-2 with an 11.57 ERA  -- over his last three starts. Opposition hitters have crushed  the 30-year-old Wacha with a .435 average and a 1.176 OPS. He is fade material at the moment.

Play on the White Sox to win

The Braves are 15-0 L/15 on the ML when Max Fried starts in August games.

BALTIMORE is 9-37 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

MLB team (ATLANTA) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 42-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Braves to win

Mariners starter FLEXEN is 7-0   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 11-3 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record)  FLEXEN is 13-2   against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 4-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.040.

The Mariners are 10-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a favorite after a win as a road favorite in which they never trailed.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

Astros starter GREINKE is 69-26  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 121-43 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more in his career (Team's Record)

KANSAS CITY is 1-14  against the money line with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 4-17  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season.

HOUSTON is 34-16  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

Astros are 66-32 in their last 98 vs. American League Central.

MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60, WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 32-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Houston Astros to win 

Seattle starter GONZALES is 21-12   against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Gonzales has recently looked very effective and owns a miniscule 0.83 ERA in his L/3 starts and looks like a viable option here to back vs the Rangers. 

Texas starter  Foltynewicz,  is 0-5 with a 5.03 ERA in eight career appearances against the Mariners, with three of those losses coming this season and is fade material once again tonight. note: Foltynewicz has allowed a major-league-high 33 home runs this season.

MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 5-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win 

As starter BASSITT is 15-4  against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 3-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 1.174. In his past 15 outings, Bassitt is 9-1 with a 2.61 ERA. He is coming off a Thursday victory at Cleveland, where he scattered three hits, two walks and six strikeouts in six shutout innings and he gets my support here tonight vs the White Sox. Note: Bassitt (12-3, 3.06 ERA) has fanned 153 batters in an American League-leading 150 innings this season.

Athletics are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter like Lopez.Athletics are 53-16 in their last 69 vs. American League Central. 

Athletics are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago.

Athletics are 17-6 in the last 23 meetings.

 White Sox are 8-24 in their last 32 games as an underdog.

MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) are 30-16 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oakland to win