I was appalled how badly the Bulls played at home last night vs a Charlotte team that they should have handled. There is some deep seeded issues that must be dealt with in the off season with the Bulls. I know playing without  without Lauri Markkanen, Denzel Valentine, Kris Dunn, Otto Porter Jr. and Wendell Carter Jr.  are hurting them but the rest of the team should have been able to pick up the slack. Now  Im taking this chance to fade the Bulls on a short line vs a Suns team that has shown alot more fight,  and off a decent effort vs the defending champion Toronto Raptors last night. The Suns are 20-2 ATS /21-1 SU as a road favorite off a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field.

CHICAGO is 3-12 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 4-16 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

The Bulls are 1-19 ATS /SU as a home dog with rest facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s.The Bulls are 0-11-1 ATS /0-12 SU at home off a home game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA

Teams like the Bulls are 0-11 ATS/SU L/11 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss as a home favorite after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. 

Play on Phoenix to cover 

The Kings are coming off a 129-125 victory over the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday and Im betting they come right at the Clippers here this afternoon in a tilt I have projected to go over the set total. Note: The Kings blew out the Clippers 124-103 in their last meeting in Los Angeles on Jan. 30. 

The Clippers are 13-1 OVER with rest off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 247.1 ppg scored. 

NBATeams like the Clippers are 19-2 OVER as a home favorite off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. 

The Kings are 9-0-1 OVER L/10 as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average score of 236.8 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

The new look Wolves will send out the down town trio D’Angelo Russell, Omari Spellman and Malik Beasley to the court today in a home game that will see this team ready to turn a corner. With Boston taking on the  LA Lakers this weekend , Im betting they may not be fully focused here in this spot, giving us value with the. home dog. 

NBA Teams like the Celtics are 1-15 ATS /SU on the road with rest off a win after scoring 15+ points more than Vegas projected.The Celtics are 1-11 ATS/SU on the road off a win as a favorite in which they had overtime.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The new look Wolves will send out the down town trio D’Angelo Russell, Omari Spellman and Malik Beasley to the court today in a home game and Im betting they will force a capable Celtics team into a old fashion run and gun affair that eclipses this total. Both are fresh and rested and both should will be prepared to make this into a track meet. 

MINNESOTA is 24-9 OVER  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. 

The Timberwolves are 17-0 OVER L/17 after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with every game in the subset eclipsing this total -average combined score in those tilts rings in at 236.5 ppg. 

NBA 

Teams like the Wolves are 19-2 OVER L/21 with rest off a loss as a home favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers with a. combined average score of 236 ppg going on the board. 

Play OVER 

DeAndre Ayton is upgraded to probable Friday vs Toronto ( Ankle ) which will be a big boost for the Suns in this game vs the defending champs. I know the Suns have been highly inconsistent this season, but with Toronto expected to be without Norman Powell and Marc Gasol their short handed and vulnerable. 

The Suns are 15-0 ATS L/15 on the road with rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

The Raptors are 0-12 ATS L/12 off a loss as a road favorite after being outscored in the paint by double digit

Phoenix is 12-0 ATS L/12 games in this series.  

Suns HC Williams is 104-69 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points in all games he has coached since 1996. 

Play on Phoenix to cover 

Indiana's successes and failures on predicated on  their defensive play, as they rank only 21st in the NBA in offensive output, and 9th in ppg allowed, behind a slower grinding type of play that has them ranked 25th in pace. Meanwhile, NYK ranks 28 in offensive output and 21st in pace . Considering both sides modus operandi  my projections make this total one possession off the mark, which has me leaning strongly  to the under. 

The Pacers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 182.2  ppg scored. 

 The Knicks are 3-18-1 UNDER L/22 as a home dog off a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored. 

 INDIANA is 21-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. 

NEW YORK is 10-2 UNDER as a home underdog of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 209. 6 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Knicks are 0-12-1 UNDER L/13  with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss as a home favorite after a game with 8+ lead changes with a combined average of 209 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

 NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 44-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW YORK) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games are 51-19 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 Washington ranks 6th in the NBA in offensive ppg output, and rank dead last at 30th in the league in defense , behind the 6th ranked pace. Its obvious when the Wizards go on the court, you better be prepared to run and score non stop or be blown off the court. With the Wizards fresh after the all star break you can bet they will come out of the gates , like their hairs on fire and will force Cleveland to reciprocate with offensive fireworks of their own.

NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a road dog off a 10+ win as a dog in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 243.3 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Wizards  are 14-0-1 OVER  L/15 off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game with a combined average of 242.4 ppg scored.

The Wizards are 18-1 OVER at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 238.2 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

I know Chicago lost 6 straight entering the All Star break, but thats makes them all the more hungry, and now  Im betting they are more than capable of taking out a inconsistent Charlotte side that has lost 20 of their 30 road games this season, with average overall diff clicking in at -8.9 ppg. 

The Hornets are 0-12 ATS /SU L/12 on the road with rest off a game as a dog after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.

The Hornets are 1-16 ATS /0-17 SU as a road dog off a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 33-0 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 ppg which qualifies under the perimeters of this side wager. 

NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 28-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago 

Chicago was   playing alot of offensive back and forth affairs before the all star break, but Charlotte does not have the fire power to take part in that type of affair ranking 30th in the league in offence, and will look to slow this game down behind the 30th ranked pace in the NBA . This Im betting has a direct effect on this total to the under. 

The Bulls are 0-17-1 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a 10+ loss in a road game when they are off two losses as dogs with a combined average of 184.2 ppg scored with non of the tilts in the subset going over this total. 

The Hornets are 1-13 UNDER L/14 on the road after a game as a road dog in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average of 192.9 ppg .NBA Teams like the Hornets are 0-13 UNDER L/13  with more than two days of rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with the combined average score of 208 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 analysis to follow- thank you for your patience 

The Milwaukee Bucks key players Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton took part in the all star game and Im betting will be a bit of an emotional letdown situation on the road today vs a stumbling Motown side Im sure their overlooking. The Bucks have had a propensity to play down to their opponents this season, and with Philadelphia on board for this weekend in a key eastern conference battle, they could easily just go through the motions here, while Detroit will look at this as a big time redemption game , and an opportunity to get some pride and momentum back after a nasty first half of the season. 

 Casey is 18-6 ATS  in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached .

NBA Teams like the Pistons are 19-3-1 ATS at home with more than two days of rest off a loss as a road dog in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points. 

NBA Home underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 27-7 ATS L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

Because of rule changes -my projections estimate that LeBron and company will have the edge entering the 4th quarter. Note:  The fourth quarter will be untimed and the teams will play to a final target score. The final target score is determined by taking the team that is  leading after  three quarters and adding 24 points ( in honor of Kobe Bryant.)   The team that is behind need to score 29 points before the leading team scored 24 points in order to win the All-Star Game. I know its alot to take in, but my mathematical projections estimate  LeBron gets it done. 

Play on LEBRON to cover 

After watching the World vs USA rising stars tilt on Friday night when 282 total points went on the board, it became obvious to me that this is also going to be  another no defence affair that easily flies over the total, thanks in part the 24 added points the Kobe Bryant output gives to this total score. The NBA wants their all star game to be as entertaining as possible so they are going facilitate 

Play OVER 

Team USA is packed full of explosive star power, with guys like  Ja Morant/Jaren Jackson / Trae Young/ Miles Bridges and Devonte Graham out to prove to the world on a international stage how over powering they are. With team Worlds super star Luka Doncic banged up they just don't seem as formidable and Im betting they get stomped on tonight. 

Play on Team USA to cover 

This is the final game for both teams before the All-Star Break. The Thunder have lost two straight after a 114-106 home loss to San Antonio on Tuesday. Oklahoma City had won nine of 10 games before that and now finally look tired after  all out grueling run that saw them play strong start to finish basketball. The way the Thunder have played is hard on a team, and tonight Im betting it will come back to bite them here in the bayou vs Zion Williamson and company. 

It must be noted that Pelicans were getting clobbered by what was a red hot Portland side in their last tilt , before embarking on a comeback. Note:

The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS/SU L/10 as a favorite after a win in which they trailed by 15. 

The Pelicans are 10-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent.

New Orleans to cover 

This is the fifth game in the Heats Western road trip and they are now on tired legs and wont have their usual jump here tonight in the high altitude of Utah which Im betting directly effects their  offensive output tonight which favors an under wager . 

The Heat are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a road dog with rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 189.5 ppg scored.The Heat are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a dog off a win facing an opponent that has a season-to-date average points per FGA of better than 1.3 with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored.

The Jazz are 0-18 UNDER L/18 as a home favorite off a road game in which they had fewer than 4 times as many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 189.7 ppg scored. 

Snyder in his L/49 in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of UTAH has seen a combined average of 203.3 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 30-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Grizzlies enter with seven victories in their past nine games, including a 106-99 road win over the Washington Wizards on Sunday, while Portland is off a loss last night in New Orleans in a tilt where they look exhausted in the 2nd half losing by a DDs. Now on back to back games and their 5th game in 8 days, Im betting the Blazers are a big disadvantage vs a Grizzlies side on 3 days rest after playing 3 straight on the road. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season.

The Grizzlies are 18-2 ATS/SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS /SU as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

The Trailblazers are 2-19 ATS/SU with no rest off a loss as a road dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.

Play on Memphis to cover 

The Raptors are on a 15 game win streak, with one of those wins coming against Brooklyn by just one point. Some teams no matter what the metrics suggest matchup well against what might seem like superior opponents and Brooklyn is one of those teams when considering this matchup vs the Raptors. With that said, Im taking the points here with the home team. BROOKLYN is 14-3 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Teams like the Raptors  are 0-11 ATS /1-10 SU off a 10+ win in which they shot over 55% from the field with the one SU win in the subset coming by just 1 points. 

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 8-33 SU L/23 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 5-24 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

The media has suddenly fell in love with how well the Knicks are playing recently, but Washington is also up-trending winning four of their L/6 overall and matchup well vs the Knicks and get my support here tonight .I know the Wizards played last night but they are on the of the leagues better conditioned teams, as is evident by a    17-4 ATS record when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

 Wizards are 12-0 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a win as a home favorite in which they shot over 50% from the field.

The Knicks are 0-15-1 ATS /0-16 SU off a loss after scoring 15+ points more than Vegas projected. 

Play on Washington to cover 

Detroit has really looked bad of late, but Im betting after some embarrassing efforts will be able to muster some energy and here and keep this game competitive vs a Orlando side that might be getting just a bit to much respect from linesmakers. Look for Center John Henson and point guard Brandon Knight, the players acquired from the Cavaliers in the Drummond deal, to get things rolling in the right direction before the all star break. 

The Magic are 1-15 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls per game.The Magic are 0-11 ATS /2-9 SU at home with less than two days rest off a win in a home game after a game with 8+ lead changes.

NBA Home teams (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 

Boston enters this game fully healthy and will be primed to play top tier defence here behind the 17th ranked pace and  2nd ranked ppg D in the league. Meanwhile, Houston since changing over to a predominant small ball lineup have shown mixed results with the most troubling aspect seeing difficulties from beyond the arc which Im betting will effect output here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. 

The Rockets are 9-35-5 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with rest with a combine average of 217.3 ppg scored.

The Celtics are 0-11-1 UNDER l/12 on the road with rest off a win in which they had at least a 10 percent higher BAP than their opponent with a a combined average of 200.9 ppg scored. 

BOSTON is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg. 

HOUSTON is 23-10 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

Portland Super star Lillard has scored 30 or more points in 25 games this season, but he had one of his worst shooting games the last time Portland faced New Orleans. He shot just 6 of 21 from the field and missed all 10 of his 3-pointers while scoring just 18 points in the visiting Pelicans' 102-94 win Dec. 23 and Im betting his bauyou voodoo will come out to haunt him here again tonight as Zion Williamson and company outshine the visitors. 

Trail Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Trail Blazers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in New Orleans.

The Trailblazers are 4-22-1 ATS/ 3-23 SU as a road dog off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 15 turnovers per game.The Trailblazers are 2-17 ATS /SU as a road dog off a win as a home favorite in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. 

Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.

Pelicans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.

Pelicans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

With Andrew Wiggins now in the fold after the Warriors pulled off a trade with the Timberwolves, Im betting on more offensive continuity and more output going forward. Meanwhile, Miami after playing all out top tier hoops for much of the first part of the season, have now suddenly hit a speed bump, and are slumping as they embark on their 4th road game in 6 days in a back to back situation after playing last night against Portland in a loss where they look exhausted and were out worked on the boards. Advantage: Golden State 

OLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more this season. MIAMI is 0-9 ATS  in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season.

Teams like the Heat are 1-15 ATS /SU on the road off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5

The Warriors are 13-1 ATS L/14 as a dog with rest off a home game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

NBA team (MIAMI) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) 22-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover

We all know the Bucks go at full throttle most nights behind the no1 pace and no 1 offence in the league, but their D continues to get better and is now ranked 7th in ppg allowed and ranked 1st in defensive rating. Note: DRating - Defensive Rating for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions. Because of slightly bloated lines the Bucks have seen 6 of their L/9 stay under the total, and tonight Im betting there is more value to the under on board according to my projections which are a full possession under this number at 224. I know might seem like . small edge, but any edge against very accurate overall totals is a contrarian go signal situation for me. 

The Bucks are 1-20 UNDER L/21 off a 10+ win in a road game after a win in which they never trailed with a combined average score of 195.1 ppg scored with only 1  game in the 21 sub set going over this set total. The Bucks are 0-13 UNDER L/13  as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a road favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average 0f 202 ppg going on the board with none of the games eclipsing this posted total. 

NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 51-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play UNDER 

Things are not good for both these franchises. However, it seems at the time of this game, that the Hornets are the lesser of these two evils. Detroit has absolutely no continuity, and looked extremely weak, last time out, as they were out rebounded by a 47-28 in a 95-92 loss Saturday to the New York Knicks. I feel strongly that trading veteran Andre   Drummond to Cleveland  will wreak temporary havoc on the flow of this team making them fade material in their curret form. Overall, Charlotte has defeated Detroit nine consecutive times and Im betting they get us the cover here tonight. DETROIT is 0-8 ATS when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent this season. The Pistons are 1-16 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent. 

'NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 53-25 ATS L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Charlotte to cover 

The Jazz are 1-18 L/19 with rest off a win in a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times with a combined average of 201 ppg scored with the highest combined score during the 19 game run clicking in at 227. 

The Jazz are 1-17-2 UNDER L/20 off a win in a home game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score clicking in at 191.7 ppg with none of the 20 games going over this set total. 

The Rockets are 1-16-1 UNDER L/18 as a home favorite off a loss as a road favorite after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 206.7 ppg going on the board. 

HOUSTON is 31-16 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.8 ppg. HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. HOUSTON is 23-12 UNDER  against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 32-7 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Memphis  has been uptrending for a while now but are off a hard fought loos last night in Philadelphia and are now on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 night. Meanwhile, Washington has shown signs of life of late, as they play hard and show great work ethic , while winning 3 of their L/4 while covering 6 of their L/9. Tonight vs the Grizzlies I expect more consistent work, and some extra motivation in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Grizzlies in Memphis on Dec 14th . 

WASHINGTON is 22-11 ATS  in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 12-3 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more  this season.

The Grizzlies are 1-15-1 ATS /0-17 SU off a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 0-14 ATS /SU on the road off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

Play on Washington to cover 

This will be the second time Atlanta and New York have played. The Knicks won the first contest 143-120 on Dec. 17 and now Im betting they come at each other with same energy here today and get us an over winner. 

ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Knicks  are 15-0 OVER L/15 after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Hawks are 15-0-1 OVER L/16 as a favorite with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game with the average combined score clicking in at 231.4 ppg.

Play on the OVER 

Phoenix blasted the Houston Rockets on the first leg of a back to back Friday, 127-91, snapping a four-game losing skid. However, the Suns have proven highly inconsistent and Im betting they fall flat here tonight vs a Denver Nuggets team that went into Utah and pulled off an upset last time out. NBA Road favorites (DENVER) - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 33-8 L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

The Nuggets are 15-0 ATS /14-1 SU when the line is within 3 of pick when they are off two games in which they allowed fewer than 100 points.

NBA  teams like the Suns are 0-19 ATS /0-19 SU as a home dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Orlando owns the best ppg defence in the NBA and ranks 29th in offence, behind the 28th ranked pace, so its obvious to see the type of game plan they implement. Mean while, ee all know Milwaukee can light the board up quickly behind the No.1 offence  so Orlando will take special care here and try to drag this game down to a speed that takes the Bucks out of their flow. Note: Milwaukee also ranks 9th in ppg D, in the league so the Magics pedestrian O is really going to have trouble tonight with output. Advantage to the under.

The Magic are 0-15 L/15 as a dog with rest off a loss in a road game in which they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average with a combined average of 181.5 ppg going on the board. 

The Magic are 0-17 UNDER L/17 at home off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 200 ppg scored. 

ORLANDO is 12-2 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.8 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER 

Utah looked asleep at the wheel vs a short handed Denver side the other night and suffered a 3 point loss at home as 9 point favorites. It was embarrassing to say the least, for a team that prides itself on hardcore blue collar work ethic. Now looking for redemption Im betting they get it vs a exhausted Portland team that played last night in as come from behind win  and now playing their 4th game in week . UTAH is 13-3 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 2 season. Note: The Trailblazers are 0-10 ATS/SU L/10 as a dog after a win in which they trailed after the third with the average ppg diff registering at -13.6 ppg. 

PORTLAND is 4-12 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

The Jazz are 13-1 ATS /SU as a favorite off a loss after a game with 8+ lead changes.

The Jazz are 11-0 ATS/SU off a loss in a home game facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.3 ppg.

The Jazz are 19-3-1 ATS /21-2 SU at home with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 ppg.

NBA Teams like the Jazz are 11-0 ATS /SU L/14 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which their opponent shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20.9 ppg.

Play on Utah to cover 

The new look Rockets, on tired legs  get set to play the second of a road back-to-back set Friday night against the   Phoenix Suns .  Im betting some of their trades screw with the offensive flow of the team at least for tonight, and because of their uptempo win vs the Lakers last night will now be in an emotional letdown spot in regression stage. This    Im betting will effect the total to the low side here this evening. 

The Suns are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a dog with rest off a loss as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 187.6 ppg scored. 

The Rockets are 0-16-2 UNDER L/18 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with a combined average of 213.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA Teams like the Suns are 1-17-1 UNDER L/19 as a home dog with rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 212.9 ppg going on the board. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (HOUSTON) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 42-13 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Toronto Raptors recorded an impressive victory for their franchise-best 12-game winning streak by come from behind and erasing a  19-point deficit to upend the Indiana Pacers. This Raptors team is confident and is never out of a game because of their consistency at both ends of the court. Im betting they will be pushed tonight, but in the end will find a way to notch a 2nd straight victory in this series. Note:The Raptors are 10-0 ATS /9-1 SU with less than two days rest off a win in a home game after a win in which they trailed by 15. Teams like the Pacers are 0-10 ATS /SU L/10 at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game after a loss in which they led by 15. 

NBA Teams like the Raptors are 11-0 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a home game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses. 

NBA  team vs the money line (INDIANA) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 11-30 SU L/5 seasons and 0-5 this season! 

NBA team (INDIANA) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 46-105 ATS L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto to cover 

Dallas does its best work against teams like Washington. DALLAS is 12-2 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%or better  of their attempts this season and have excelled as road chalk going  13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an away favorite. Also when Dallas comes off a home game and then playing on the road they are  19-0 ATS   L/19 overall. I know the Mavericks are with super star Donic and possibly Kristaps Porzingis but from a depth standpoint still have the guns needed to take down a defensively deficient opponent.DALLAS is 15-6 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season.

The Mavericks are 15-0 ATS and have won 13 straight SU/ATS on the road with rest off a home game in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

NBA teams  like the Mavericks are 25-2-1 ATS /26-2 SU as a road favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they had a shooting percentage at least 10 lower than their opponent. 

NBA Home underdogs (WASHINGTON) - excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games are 17-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

San Antonio operates a medium speed ranking 15th in the NBA pace, and own the 12 ranked offensive rating with the average combined score of their road games clicking in at 228.4 ppg a full possession under this offered total and tonight Im betting their output and pace will slow even more as this is their 3rd road game in 4 nights . Meanwhile, Portland owns the 11th ranked pace, and are in a regression state after their star Damian Lillard went on a historic points run .  Both circumstances Im betting combine to see a score that stays on the low side of this number. 

The Trailblazers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 198.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams like the Spurs are 0-10 UNDER L/10 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in a road game in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average score of 210.5 ppg. 

Utah has dominated this series at home  winning 9 straight here  and are  7-2-1 ATS  and Im betting they have a distinct edge tonight vs a Utah side that played hard last night from start to finish vs Portland which was their 3rd game in 4days. Now in a letdown spot on tired legs the host has the edge.The Denver Nuggets could also find themselves with a short bench for their Wednesday road game against the Utah Jazz after reportedly pulling off a four-team trade Tuesday night. This will effect their flow.  DENVER is 1-9 ATS  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.

The Jazz are 19-2-1 ATS /21-1 SU at home with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. 

Play on Utah to cover 

 Doncic's second sprained ankle this season has him on the sidelines again, and while the Mavericks  has adapted without him Im seeing flow issues with the offense especially on the perimeter. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are talking about playing better defence, and last time out scored just 96 points but held the Pistons to just 82 points and Im betting more stringent D, will once again be on tonight s . agenda in Dallas which will help keep this score on the low side of the total. 

MEMPHIS is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg. MEMPHIS is 18-8 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217 ppg scored.

The Grizzlies are 0-14 UNDER L/14 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.8 ppg. 

The Mavericks are 4-20-1UNDER L/25 with rest off a win in a road game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with a combined average of 197.9 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams are 3-24 UNDER L/27 as a home favorite off a game as a dog when their last four games are LLWW with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Halting   a season-long 12-game losing streak when they return home to host the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday Im betting will not be as easy as the line indicates, even though the Hawks are short handed. Nothing comes easy to the Wolves, especially winning. 

MINNESOTA is 0-7 ATS  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. The Timberwolves are 2-17 ATS  at home facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc. 

The Timberwolves are 0-14 ATS /1-13 SU at home when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

The Spurs fell 108-105 to the Clippers last night in have looked competitive for a while now and up-trending in my power rankings. Its not an easy task playing on consecutive nights in the NBA and especially not here in LA where two top tier teams are located, but San Antonio is one of the leagues better conditioned teams, and are going to be motivated to get revenge for a 114-104 loss  at home in this series back in late November. SAN ANTONIO is 31-7 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

Also teams playing  the 2nd of back to back in LA are actually a long term good bets, going 82-65-1 ATS for a 56% conversion rate. ( just the opposite of what you might expect) 

SAN ANTONIO is 32-18 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons

The Lakers are 1-18 ATS  as a home 8+ favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter.

The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /9-3 SU  as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with all 3 losses ins trends subset coming by exactly 2 points. 

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 23-6 L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Blazers enter this game on a red hot  4 game win streak behind the blazing efforts of super star Damian Lillard. The Trail Blazers guard is on a historic run—one that could shape the West’s 8-seed race and Portland’s plans at the trade deadline. Tonight behind Lillard Im betting on the Blazers making life tough on the Nuggets and getting us the cover in revenge mode, for the two losses they have suffered to the Nuggets this season home and away. 

Note: Denver is off an OT win vs the Pistons last time out on Sunday, and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot. NBA Teams like the Nuggets  are 2-17 ATS 6-13 SU L/19 as a favorite after they had overtime. NBA Teams like the Blazers are 18-0 ATS as a dog with rest after playing as a home dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.The Trailblazers are 21-3-1 ATS  on the road after playing as a home dog.The Trailblazers are also 14-1 ATS  off a win as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

The Nuggets are 1-16 ATS L/17 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. 

Play on Portland to cover 

Milwaukee bounced back from a 127-115 home loss to the Denver Nuggets on Friday to close their three-game homestand with a 129-108 victory over the Phoenix Suns on Sunday and roll into the Bayou to play the up trending Pelicans. You can bet because of the hype of Zion Williamson that the powerful Bucks will be in the mood to to make a statement here and give the kid  and his team something to think about. Meanwhile, the Pelicans were humbled last time out vs Houston after imploding late, and giving up a boat load full of points thanks to a massive amount of turnovers. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after a game committing 13+ more turnovers than opponents are 26-66 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

he Bucks are 23-3 ATS /24-2 SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they scored a least 18 fast break points with the L/19 wins coming by 7 ppg or more and the overall ppg diff clicking in at +12.4 ppg. 

The Pelicans are 0-9-1 ATS/0-10 SU  at home off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff registering in at 11 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Pelicans  are 0-17-1 ATS /0-18 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17.2 ppg. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

The Clippers have won two of three against the Spurs, including a 134-109 victory the last time they met on Dec. 21 in San Antonio. However, it must be noted that SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS  revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Clippers are 4-24-1 ATS L/29 as a home favorite off a home game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. 

NBA Teams like the Clippers are 0-16 ATS  as a 8+ favorite after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint. 

The Spurs are 12-0 ATS L/12 as a dog off a home game in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP.

NBA  Favorites of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

The Minnesota Timberwolves are mired in an 11-game losing streak for the second time this season and are fade material in their current form.

The Timberwolves are 0-18 ATS/SU  as a dog after Karl Anthony Towns was their high scorer by double digits last game.

The Kings are 11-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.

NBA Teams like the Kings are 18-0 SU/ 17-1 ATS as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 118-33 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

The Grizzlies enter this game having won 11 of their L/14 and despite of loss are capable home favorites vs a team that continues to play with out their top player Griffin and will now be without  point guard Derrick Rose who is unlikely to play Monday due to a groin injury suffered during the first half of Sunday's game.

The Pistons are 1-18 ATS /SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA Teams like the Pistons  are 0-9-1 ATS/0-10 SU L/10 as a road dog off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at - 13.3 ppg. 

The Grizzlies are 11-0-1 ATS/12-0 SU as a home favorite after a game as a road dog in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 worse than their season-to-date average with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 18-2 ATS /19-1 SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss in a road game in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP with the average ppg diff registering at +13.9 ppg. 

Play on the Grizzlies to cover 

The Atlanta Hawks will have trouble finding enough healthy players to compete on Monday when they host the Boston Celtics.. The Hawks lost two more starters on Saturday and could be without leading scorer Trae Young when they return home to meet the Celtics. If young plays he may see limited time because of nagging minor injuries. 

The Hawks are 1-19 ATS/SU as a home dog off a road game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

NBA Teams like the Hawks  are 0-15-1 ATS /0-16 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

Play on Celtics to cover 

The Atlanta Hawks will have trouble finding enough healthy players to compete on Monday when they host the Boston Celtics.. The Hawks lost two more starters on Saturday and could be without leading scorer Trae Young when they return home to meet the Celtics. If young plays he may see limited time because of nagging minor injuries. With thaqt said, Im betting the Hawks offensive flow will be curtailed as will be their offensive output in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total.

The Celtics are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a road 8+ favorite with rest coming off a win with a combined average of 196.8 ppg scored.

HC Stevens is 25-9 UNDER  as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of BOSTON with the combined average score of those tilts clikcing in at 205.6 ppg.

The Hawks are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a 8+ dog off a loss in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before with a combined averag of 198.2 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The Hornets have lost 10 of their last 11 games, including two on the road since pulling off Tuesday night's home victory against in the New York Knicks.The Magic are in a five-game losing streak, coming off Saturday night's 102-89 home loss to the Miami Heat. both have conistently been in the loss column However, I see more promise from the Magic and give them by support here tonight.Prior to last week, the Hornets lost six consecutive home games. In the last seven home outings, they've failed to score more than 107 points in regulation in any of those. Advantage : Orlando. ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.7 ppg. When Orlando visited here on Jan 20th they won by a 106-83 count and a rinse and repeat effort is my projection. 

NBA Teams like the Magic are 14-0 ATS/SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a 10+ loss facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the average ppg diff registering at + 11 ppg. 

Play on Orlando to cover

Thanks to Torontos current 10 game win streak there is a slightly bloated line attached to this tilt involving the Chicago Bulls. When these teams played earlier this season, the Raptors pulled out a 93-92 squeaker, and Im betting on another close tilt here with the Bulls getting my support. Note: From a SRS perspective: Chicago owns a -2.97 marker, while Toronto a 5.72 , which roughly evens out into a -9 true line according to those projections. So we have a one possession edge which qualifies for me to back the Bulls here getting points. SRS =Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

TORONTO is 14-29 ATS  after 6 or more consecutive wins. 

The Bulls are 14-0-1 ATS  on the road facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff clicking in at 1.2 ppg. 

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (TORONTO) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game are 4-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  85% conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

The Pelicans have an adrenalin rush and momentum entering this game as Zion Williamson makes his presence felt. New Orleans has won 3 straight, and will not be easily defeated by the Rockets here today. 

The Pelicans are 11-0 ATS/SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a favorite when they shot better than 50 percent from the field their last two tilts.

NBA  team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 26-3 L/23 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home win are 36-13 L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Milwaukee came out last time out asleep at the proverbial wheel, and lost as DD favorites  to a short handed Denver team by a 127- . Now a little embarrassed Im expecting a concerted effort  to make sure they don't have  a repeat performance and to make sure they have  a much better defensive effort. 

Teams like the Bucks  are 7-27-1 UNDER as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 200.9 ppg. Teams like Bucks are 1-13-1 UNDER L/15  with rest after playing as a home favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 210.5 ppg. 

The Suns are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road off a loss in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 207.4 ppg. 

The Suns are 1-13 UNDER  as a dog off a loss as a dog in which their assists decreased by at least 10 from the game before with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. 

PHOENIX is 15-4 UNDER in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons are 213.6 ppg. 

Play UNDER 

Milwaukee came out last time out asleep at the proverbial wheel, and lost as DD favorites to a short handed Denver team by a 127-115 . Now a little embarrassed Im expecting a concerted effort to make sure they don't have a repeat performance and to make sure they have a much better defensive effort in what should be a start to finish effort.
The Bucks are 10-0 ATS/SU L/10 as a favorite with rest off a loss in a home game. The Suns are 0-12 ATS/SU as a dog off a loss in a home game in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover

The Blazers are off a huge emotional upset vs the Lakers last night in LA, for Kobe Bryants memorial celebration last night where Lilliard went off for 48 points. The Trailblazers are 0-12 ATS /SU with no rest after a game as a road dog in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at  -8.9.   

The Jazz are 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with the average ppg diff registering at +18.9 ppg. 

The Lakers payed tribute to former superstar Kobe Bryant  before their Friday home game against the Portland Trail Blazers, but then they couldn't  get a win  and were punished by Damian Lillard's 48-point Kobe like  explosion in a 127-119 defeat. Now a little embarrassed Im betting they come out here and take their frustration out on the Kings in a start to finish effort. Note: The Lakers are 6-0  SU on second nights, including 4-0 on the road.

The Kings are 0-17 ATS/0-17 SU as a home dog off a win as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -16 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Kings  are 0-18 ATS /SU as a home dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes (Which was the case for the Kings in a upset win vs the Clippers last time out) 

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

Kemba Walker is a 50 /50 bet to play tonight for the Celtics which would slightly adjust my projections but not enough not to lay three with a deep home team in an important eastern conference matchup. 

 The Celtics are 19-0-2 ATS /21-0 SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with none of the L/20 games in this subset coming by less than 5 points a game.

NBA Home favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 55-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Teams like the Sixers  are 1-14 SU/2-13 ATS as a dog off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.

Play on Boston to cover 

The Wizards allow an average of 121 points per game, the worst figure in the NBA by a large margin, and because they rank 3rd in offensive output we   we are getting a bloated public line to bet into. Add to that a couple of back forth performances by the Nets in high scoring games and we now have what Im betting is two possession value to the under.  Nets are 0-14 OU with no rest when the line is within 3 of pick with the combined average score of 204.4 ppg going on the board. The Wizards are 0-11 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 209.5 ppg. The Nets are 2-23 UNDER with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when the total is at least 15 points more than their last game with a combined average of 191.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The Orlando Magic, losers of four straight games, have been off since their 113-92 loss at the Miami Heat on Monday. That rest may hinder them rather than help them vs a Heat team that is well conditioned and in a flow despite of some recent losses. The Heat are 19-1 ATS with more than one day of rest off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game. Mimai beat Orlando at home in their last meetings, but it must be noted that  ORLANDO is 1-14 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. 

 MIAMI is 11-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.

Teams like Heat are 18-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - off a road loss against a division rival, playing with 3 or more days rest are 11-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miami Heat to cover

In the teams' first meeting, Dec. 20 in Oklahoma City, the Thunder pulled out a 126-108 victory and Im betting on the Thunders domination last time to continue here. The Thunder come into Friday's game having won six consecutive on the road to tie the second-longest streak in Oklahoma City history. The Thunder have won 11 of their last 12 on the road.

The Suns are 0-14 ATS/SU with more than one day of rest after they shot over 50% from the field.The Suns are 0-14-1 ATS /0-15 SU off a win as a road dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

The Thunder are 14-0-1 ATS L/15 on the road with less than two days rest.The Thunder are 13-0-1 ATS L/14  on the road with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s all from this season and have won their L/6 SU . 

Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 

Memphis has come a long way and New Orleans is just getting started on the road to bigger and better things as along as Zion Williamson stays healthy. Tonight backing  home court advantage for teams that play similar styles is my recommendation.  The Pelicans are 14-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a win in a road game in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with the ppg diff clicking in at 15.9 ppg. 

NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game) after 42+ games, red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Teams like Memphis are 0-16-1 ATS /1-16 SU L/17  as a dog with less than two days rest off a win . 

Play on New Orleans to cover 

Both these teams can light it up offensively and because of this the linemakers are setting what Im betting is a public leaning line that offers value for sharp under bettors. 

The Grizzlies are 2-19-1 UNDER L/22 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.7 ppg scored.

NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 29-11 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/ NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 41-10 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

The Raptors defeated the Pistons 125-113 on Oct. 30 and 112-99 on Dec. 18 and   matchup well vs the Griffin less Pistons who are experiencing alot of inconsistencies with the lineup they have been putting on the floor. DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16  or more turnovers/game this season with the average ppg diff registering a -9.6 ppg. 

NBA Teams like the Pistons  are 0-14-1 ATS/0-15 SU L/15 as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.3 ppg. 

The Pistons are 0-13-1 ATS /0-14 SU L/14 as a dog with rest off a road game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of - 14.1 ppg diff.

 The Raptors are 23-4 ATS /25-2 SU L/27 with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 ppg including 15 wins and 14 of 15 covers. 

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

LAC Key starters George  and  Patrick Beverley are listed as probable and Kawhi Leonard also expected to play . Note:  In his last eight games, Leonard is averaging 35 points, 7.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists on 51.8 percent shooting which  makes for a perilous matchup for a Sacramento Kings team that the Clippers have owned in recent matchups from a ATS perspective as is evident by a perfect 8-0 ATS L/8 mark in this series.In their last meeting on Dec. 31, the Clippers earned a 105-87 victory. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight and a Clipper cover.

Clippers have covered 5 straight at home vs opposition playing 2nd of back to back like the Kings ( Kings lost by 20 to Oklahoma City on the road last night and looked exhausted which does not bode well against a now healthy Clippers side)

The Clippers are 20-0 SU/ 18-2 ATS  as a home favorite off a road game when they won 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18.7 ppg.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

The defending NBA champion Raptors are rolling right now,as is evident by a current 8 game win streak. Now because of their run, Im betting we have a slightly bloated line to bet in to here with the home underdog Cleveland Cavaliers. I know the Cavs have looked asleep at the wheel, for most of this season, but if there was ever a time to wake up , it would be at home against the defending NBA champs. Note: Cleveland is 5-1 SU/ATS L/6 at home in this series.

NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 17-0 ATS L/17  as a dog with rest after playing as a home dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at -1.9 ppg. NBA Teams like the Cavs are 15-0 ATS L/15 as a 8+ dog off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with the average ppg diff 0f -0.7 ppg.

NBA Teams  like the Raptors are 0-14 ATS L/14 as a 8+ favorite after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at +1.9 ppg.The Raptors are 0-11 ATS /3-8 SU L/11 on the road with rest off a win in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP.

NBA team (TORONTO) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 17-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Toronto has been firing on all cylinders of late averaging more than 117 ppg on offence, with the combined average of  226.1 ppg scored in those tilts. On the season Cleveland has average 113.5  +ppg while allowing 114.1 ppg behind the 29th ranked defensive rating. Everything points to those numbers projecting a total combined score that will breach this total.

TORONTO is 8-1 OVER  versus struggling  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 233.1 ppg scored. 

The Raptors are 12-1 OVER L/13 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average score of 234.9 ppg going on the board.

NBA teams like the Raptors  are 22-2 OVER L/24  as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 237.9 ppg scored. 

The Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 232.5 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Both these teams played last night with the Grizzlies winning and the Knicks losing after holding an early DD lead, which is a confidence buster. Note:  The Knicks are 0-12 ATS SU/ATS  after a game as a road dog after a loss in which they led by double digits after the first.

NY is up trending but Memphis has shown more consistent flow for a longer period of time and have the explosive offensive guns to get the win here on the road. The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS /SU  with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they had 30+ assists.The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.The Knicks are 0-13 ATS SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field. 

Play on Memphis Grizzlies to cover 

Denver has been dealing with injuries all season and is down three of its top rotation players. Power forward Paul Millsap (left knee contusion) will miss his 10th straight game, point guard Jamal Murray (left ankle sprain) will sit for the seventh straight and big man Mason Plumlee (right foot injury) has missed three games and Im betting they will be pushed here tonight in Memphis by an explosive Grizzlies team that has revenge on board for two losses in this series this season.

The Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS /SU L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.The Grizzlies are 11-0-1 ATS /12-0 SU L/12 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest after playing as a home favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

The Nuggets are 2-17 ATS  on the road off a win as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds. The Nuggets are 0-9-1 ATS/1-9 SU on the road off a win when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

MEMPHIS is 12-4 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season. DENVER is 0-9 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Memphis to cover

Milwaukee has been playing some excellent defence of late, and as a result of this have gone under the set total in 5 of their L/6 trips to the hardwood. We all know Washington loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon but after a huge back and forth tilt last time out vs Atlanta ( 133-152) regression to the mean is expected which puts this tilt closer to the 234 range, which according to my own projections gives us value on an under. 

MILWAUKEE is 24-13 UNDER versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.6 ppg scored.

The Bucks are 0-15-1 UNDER L/16 at home with rest off a 10+ win in a road game in which they shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 194.2 ppg with none of the games in this subset going over this total. 

NBA Teams like the Wizards are 5-25 UNDER L/30 as a road 8+ dog with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which a game in which their points per field goal attempt was better than 1.5 with a combined average of 195.5 ppg going on the board.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 50-19 UNDER  L/23 seasons seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

According to ESPN's Tim MacMahon, Harden is unlikely to play on Monday despite being listed questionable. The Rockets are already without Russell Westbrook, who is resting in the second leg of a back-to-back, while Clint Capela (heel) is doubtful. Utah Im betting takes advantage of this tonight and shows very little mercy in this spot play side action.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games are 1-40 L/23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.3 ppg.

Play on Utah to cover

The Cleveland Cavaliers enter this Motown tilt having lost seven straight games. All but two of those defeats were decided by double digits, including the past three. I know the Pistons may not inspire bettors but they have shown some progression and are an under rated team that can get the job done vs a side that looks  like its going through the motions.

CLEVELAND is 7-18 ATS  after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (-7 or less PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 30-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.3 ppg.

Play on Detroit to cover

The Knicks played a hard fought game vs the league champs last time losing a  118-112  tilt and will be in an emotional letdown spot today vs a desperate Nets side with revenge on board for a loss to the Knicks back in Brooklyn on Dec 26th  by a 94-82 score.That was truly and ugly performance from the Nets and now redemption is at hand. BROOKLYN is 17-4 ATS  in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. NYK is 0-8 /ATS L/8 after facing the Raptors.

NBA Underdogs (BROOKLYN) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread are 48-18 ATS L/23 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover 

The Suns have double revenge on board here for two losses in this series this season and have the talent and capability all be it inconsistent to be competitive and pull off an upset here in Memphis. 

The Suns are 5-0 ATS L/5 as a road dog.PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.Williams is 10-1 ATS   in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points as the coach of PHOENIX. 

NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 165-103 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rare for bettors. 

Play on Phoenix to cover

The Boston Celtics are playing better despite being short-handed while the New Orleans Pelicans have struggled since getting healthy.

The Celtics seek their fourth consecutive victory Sunday when they visit the Pelicans, who are 0-2 since rookie Zion Williamson joined the lineup and Im betting things dont bet much better for the Pelicans here vs a more experienced team. 

BOSTON is 16-3 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out .

Play on Boston to cover 

Toronto ranks sixth in points per game by an opponent, averaging 106. The Spurs give up an ugly 114.5, 24th in the NBA. Both teams are top-level three-point shooting squads with Toronto shooting t 37.6% to the Spurs’ 36.7%. The Raptors come in having won six in a row while the Spurs had won three consecutive until Phoenix abruptly  the  with a  win in San Antonio. Toronto has won six straight games on the road, the third longest streak in team history and today Im betting they end a long losing streak of 10 games here in San Antonio. 

SAN ANTONIO is 7-16 ATS  in home games this season.

 NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 32-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.  

 The Spurs give up an ugly 114.5 ppg, 24th in the NBA and the Raptors average more than 112 ppg overall this season despite of being short handed with injuries for much of this season, but are healthy entering this game vs the Spurs . Both teams are top-level three-point shooting squads with Toronto shooting  37.6% to the Spurs’ 36.7%. With that said, Im betting on a big time shoot out here today in the Alamo. 

TORONTO is 12-2 OVER in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored.

SAN ANTONIO is 20-9 OVER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 33-9 OVER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Philadelphia 76ers will be searching for their 21st victory in 23 games at home when they host the  exhausted Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday and Im betting if they lose tonight it wont be a walk in the park for the Lakers, with the home team covering. Note: The Lakers wil be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and are on tired legs.LA LAKERS are 3-12 ATS   when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons and are 3-12 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Brown is 29-14 ATS  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover

This line is set on public perceptions and media attention towards super star Doncic. My own projections make Utah, a 6 point home favorite here .With that said, Im betting we have value with the home team, vs a defensively deficient Mavericks side, allowing an average of 111.2 ppg.

NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 24-3 L/23 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 ppg on the road this season.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games 24-5 ATS L/23 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover

 Miami,   has won its last two home games in overtime and could easily find themselves on tired legs here tonight in a game that Im betting will be slow paced as compared to some of their more recent efforts. 

The Clippers their opponents tonight  are 8-23 UNDER  since Nov 08, 2018 as a road dog and have recently gone under 4 straight times as road dogs with the  combined average score of 209.7 ppg scored. 

LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 UNDER  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season

The Heat  0-7-2 UNDER  L9 vs the LA Clippers. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-9 L 23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102  or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 23-5 L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Knicks were smashed by the Raptors on Nov. 27, when the defending NBA champions earned a 126-98 victory in Canada. With the Raptors now fairly healthy they are once again going to be a difficult force to deal with here tonight for a NY team that is in an emotional letdown spot after battling the LA Lakers and leaving everything on the court  last time out (100-92).Knicks are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Raptors 9-2 away in a 1/1 rest situation. 

Play on the Toronto Raptors 

Charlotte was obliterated by the powerful Milwaukee Bucks earlier this season, by a 137-96 count  and Im betting they overlook the Hornets here tonight on the road, as they Im betting they  look at this as a unscheduled rest day at an exhausting point in the season. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%), after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 30-10 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Charlotte is 3-0 ATS L/3 at home in this series.

Charlotte to cover 

Portland is off a huge their super star Damian  Lillards  franchise records of 61 points and 11 3-pointers and now Im expecting a huge letdown performance vs the Dallas Mavs tonight . 

The Mavericks are 16-0 ATS L/16 and 11-0- SU/ATS L/11 on the road off a home game. ( Lost to Clippers 110-107 count last time out)

NBA Home underdogs (PORTLAND) - excellent offensive team (102 or more  PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102  or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games are 14-36 ATS L/5 seasons for ago against 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Dallas to cover 

The Lakers defence rebounded nicely from allowing 139 points on Monday in a blowout loss at Boston by recording a 100-92 road victory over the New York Knicks on Wednesday. Im betting on more of the same hardcore defensive action tonight against the Brooklyn Nets in a game I have projected to stay under this slightly bloated total. Quote:"They're an elite defense," Nets coach Kenny Atkinson said of the Lakers. "(JaVale) McGee and (Dwight) Howard are absolutely playing, really protecting the rim. They obviously have elite perimeter defenders with LeBron and Danny Green and all those guys.END QUOTE.

 The Lakers have gone under 10 of 11 games as favs with no rest.  The Nets have gone under 8 of their L/10 times at home vs a side playing the 2nd of back to backs. 

Play UNDER 

Indiana got clobbered last time out but it was a bad scheduling loss in my opinion against a red hot  Utah side that had revenge on board form multiple losses to the Pacers. The Pacers had played in Denver the night before in a high altitude game and were on tired legs, which is not the case here tonight as Indiana looks to bounce back behind a tenacious work ethic . With that said the Pacers  get my support vs a Suns here tonight in Phoenix.  Pacers: 5-0 L5 vs Phoenix and get the nod again.Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Pacers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite.

Play on Indiana Pacers to cover 

The Miami Heat, who have the best home record in the NBA at 19-1, will play host to the Washington Wizards on Wednesday night. Now with revenge on board for a  a 123-105 loss the Heat suffered in DC to  Washington as 11-point road favorites  three weeks ago will have them in merciless over drive here tonight.WASHINGTON is 4-16 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons with the a average ppg diff clicking in at -13.1 ppg. MIAMI is 8-1 ATS in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of +14.2 ppg.MIAMI is 8-1 ATS  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season with a  the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.4 ppg. . 

Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdogHeat are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

Heat are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Heat are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Play on Miami to cover 

The Celtics enter off a 139-107 rout of the Western Conference-leading Los Angeles Lakers on Monday vs an explosive Memphis side with a less than average defence. Thanks to this we have a bloated total to bet into here favoring the under.  Memphis thanks to bloated total lines involcving them have seen 4 straight games stay under the total. Stevens in the L/21 games after a combined score of 245 points or more as the coach of BOSTON has seen a combined average of 217.9 ppg scored. 

MEMPHIS is 11-3 UNDER after allowing 120 points or more this season which waws the case last time out. ( the combined average score of these games was 219.3 ppg.

NBA MEMPHIS is 23-8 UNDER in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 40-9 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Heading into Wednesday's meeting in Orlando, both the Magic and Oklahoma City Thunder are coming off perhaps their most impressive victories of the season and are currently in top form. However, from a metrics standpoint the superior side is the Thunder.Oklahoma City won the first meeting, 102-94, at home on Nov. 5 in a game and matchup well vs the Magic and get my support here tonight.  Note:  ORLANDO is 1-12 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.

The Thunder 7-1 away vs Southeast division opposition while the  Magic are 3-12 home vs Northwest  Division opposition.OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS as a road underdog this season.

Play on Oklahoma city to cover 

  Luca Doncic and company continue to impress and very much look like viable investment options to win and cover at home tonight vs the LA Clippers. Yes, I know the Mavs struggle with their D, at times but their offence is a tangible force .  This team also just does not turn the ball over very often and ranks No.1 in that category to this point in the season. Yes, the Clippers are looked at more favorably than the Mavericks by the pundits thanks to having Kawhi Leonard and Paul George in the lineup, but when this team go up against above .500 foes they are just 9-9 SU and just 4-8 ATS vs Western Conference opposition and are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. When these teams met earlier this season the Mavs had the wind knocked out of them here on their home home floor, and now Im betting on a revenge factor to be in play here and a very motivated effort from the home side.  . Dallas is 9-3 ATS with same-season revenge in this series. Note : injury update Paul George is out for this tilt. NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 

 
Playing in the high altitudes of Denver last night will have the Pacers on tired legs here tonight in Utah in another high altitude game  vs what is the leagues hottest team ( 17-2 SU L/19.  Note: Pacers: 3-17 SU away on no rest .With the Jazz falling twice at the hands of the Pacers last season before losing another  121-102 decision at Indiana in November earlier this season you can bet the Jazz will be ready to take down Indiana tonight. Considering how explosive the Jsazz are at the moment and Indiana's travel situation it will not be a hard decision to lay the points here with the home side. 

INDIANA is 4-13 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

Utah is 15-6 ATS at home with a .500 or better record when seeking triple revenge   versus .600 or greater opposition like Indiana.

NBA Underdogs (INDIANA) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game) after 42+ games, red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more  of their shots are 4-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover 

The Rockets are fresh off their big game with the Lakers in Saturday night a tilt which they lost , and Im betting the Thunder catch them in a letdown spot. The Thunder are 10-1-1 ATS in their L/12 as road underdogs and have covered 14 of their L/16 overall so the linemakers are constantly under rating them .Houston has dropped four of its past five games, thanks in part in to an ugly defensive stance and work ethic and in thier current form are fade material.Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

Play on Oklahoma City Thunder 

The Hornets completed a winless four-game road trip Wednesday night in Denver and have lost 6 straight overall and 11 of their L/13 and are fade material in their current form. Meanwhile, Orlando despite of their inconsistencies have been money in the bank against sub par opposition. Note:ORLANDO is 18-3 ATS  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12+ ppg. 

Play on Orlando to cover 

The Nuggets will be without Harris, Jamal Murray (ankle), and Paul Millsap (knee) on Sunday. That directly puts the Nuggets at a disadvantage and has me taking the points with a hard working Indiana  team on a 4 game win streak  that deserves our respect. 

NBA  team vs the money line (DENVER) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

The two teams played Wednesday in Miami, with the Heat producing a 106-100 victory. However, Im betting on a much faster pace being set here as the Spurs on their own home floor will play at fast out of transition. Last time out the Spurs took part in a 121-120 loss to Atlanta, and in the recent past SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 OVER  after a loss by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 235.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 OVER  in non-conference games this season with the average combined score of 230.9 ppg. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-7 OVER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 234.1 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Utah had a 10 game win streak end in OT last time out, and now Im betting they bounce back at home in a big way vs a Sacramento Kings team that they would love to throttle in revenge mode for a 102-101 loss they suffered earlier this season in California's capital. 

UTAH is 8-0 ATS  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 18.6 ppg. 

 NBA Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 36-4 L/5 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 11.7 ppg. 

Play on Utah to cover 

Utah's 10-game winning streak ended Thursday when the Jazz suffered a 138-132 overtime loss to the host New Orleans Pelicans. Their defence was the culprit last time out, but now in rebound mode Im looking for the Jazz to go into shut down mode which will see a score that fails to eclipse this total. 

SACRAMENTO is 8-0 UNDER  in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 215.4 ppg going on the board. 

NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 plus PPG), after scoring 130 points or more are 70-40 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the under 

The Blazers are off a loss last night and now  playing  a back-to-back, will be on tired legs this evening vs Oklahoma City.  Things would be worse without the production from point guard Damian Lillard who as usual even in a loss lead the way for the Blazers Note:The Blazers are 0-18 UNDER as a road dog off a loss as a road dog in which Lilliard scored 30 points or more which was the case last night.

Donovan is 15-4 UNDER in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 39-13 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Hawks (9-32) head to the Alamo City off a rare 123-110 win at home over Phoenix on Tuesday that snapped a four-game losing streak. Atlanta has now won just three of its past 18 games and Im betting they fall here again, vs a up trending San Antonio spurs team that has revenge on board for a lack luster loss on the road  to the Hawks earlier this season.The Spurs' own a  current 21-game home winning streak against Atlanta  and get my support to cover here in their 22nd straight win at home in this series.

ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.1 ppg.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

While the Heat are 28-12 and second in the Eastern Conference, they have struggled away from home.The Heat are just 10-11 on the road, scoring 7.5 points per game fewer away from AmericanAirlines Arena scoring  an average of 108 ppg behind the 25th ranked pace. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City rank 19th in ppg, behind the 24th ranked pace, entering this game after a wild game against the Raptors last time out (130-121), Im expecting an offensive regression and a return to their usual staunch defensive ways.Donovan is 70-39 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. Spoelstra is 84-53 UNDER  in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days as the coach of MIAMI with a combined average of 193.2 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

The Raptors have won six consecutive meetings with the Wizards, including a 122-118 verdict Dec. 20. Toronto is 20-4 against Washington dating back into the 2013-14 season but only one of the last 6 meetings has beaten this spread. Im not suggesting the Wizards can upset the Raptors, even though anything is possibility, I do believe they can be competitive and get us a cover here as DD dogs. You have to remember the Wizards snatched victories against Denver and Boston recently and with John Beal healthy and in the lineup are and can be dangerous adversaries. Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 

The Magic have won 4 of their L/5 games and have covered 7 of their L/8 as they are playing their best hoops of the season at the moment as they come off a victory vs Lakers last night. This will be the Magics 2nd straight game in  LA as they now face the mighty Clippers in a back to back situation. I know it might seem like the Magic are at a huge disadvantage , but they are very well conditioned , and will not easily run out of fuel here down the stretch vs a far more talented team, which gives credence to a competitive effort and if need be a back door cover. . Note: Teams playing on back to back nights in LA are a profitable bet , going 82-64-1 ATS  L/147 for a 56% conversion rate for bettors in their escape from LA game. 

ORLANDO is 14-4 ATS  after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

The Magic are 14-1 ATS L/15 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win as a road dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. 

NBA Teams like the Magic  are 40-11 ATS L/51 as a road dog off a win as a road dog when they lost 4 straight vs current opponent. 

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 54-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Orlando to cover 

New Orleans is hosting a Jazz team that has won 10 games in a row and currently playing their best hoops of the season.  With Pelicans key contributors Brandon Ingram (knee), Jrue Holiday (elbow), JJ Redick (hamstring) and Derrick Favors (hamstring), all   day to day and less than 100% the home side is at a disadvantage. Note: Utah has won and covered their L/4 trips to the Bayou and get Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation in this spot.

The Pelicans are 0-12-1 ATS /0-13 SU L/13 at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. 

NBA Teams like the Pelicans  are 0-11 ATS /SU as a home dog with more than one day of rest off a win as a road dog.

NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (UTAH) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 32-1 L/23 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by +9 ppg which qualifies on a ATS parameter. 

Play on Utah to cover 

The Bucks took 128-102 win against the New York Knicks on Tuesday with the comfortable margin of victory allowing them to limit the minutes of their starters. Im betting they will be very fresh here and ready to really bring some heat on the Celtics offensively . That in part is why the books laid such a big side number on this game, also factoring in the Celtics fatigue factor with this being a back to back situation for them, and also taking into consideration that HC Stevens left alot of the starters in for more minutes than expected. While the side, is to inflated to have me on the Bucks I do expect their motivation to really see them show no mercy tonight and for the proud Celtics to fire back with some offensive  fire works of their own in chase mode which Im betting sees a score that eclipses this total. 

Teams like the Celtics  are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a dog with no rest after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with the combined average score clicking in at 236.7 ppg.

he Bucks are 9-0 OVER L/9  as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 234.3 ppg scored. 

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 31-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Houston played a tough run and gun game vs Memphis last night and lost. Now despite of wanting to bounce back Im betting their tired legs may hinder them vs a Blazers team itching to get revenge for an embarrassing 132-108 loss  back in November. PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and is 8-0 ATS  revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Teams like Houston  are 0-11-1 ATS L/12 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss as a road favorite in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field. 

Play on Portland to cover