The Milwaukee Bucks  have caught my attention lately as they bring a season-high four-game winning streak to BMO Harris Bradley Center on Friday night vs the Indiana Pacers.  Positive chemistry is one of the reasons for the Bucks surprising play, and despite some previous misgivings about them, because of injuries I now feel they are a solid team to back at home as short favorites. The Bucks took the first two meetings of the season, winning by an average of 17 points, and obviously matchup well vs the Pacers, and are my choice again tonight.INDIANA is 5-15 ATS L/20 in road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent dating back to last season.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Houston Rockets will be exhausted as they just played back to back grueling games against San Antonio and Utah, losing both. There is some concern from their coach D'Antoni QUOTE: We just have to get our stuff together," D'Antoni told the Houston Chronicle. Meanwhile,  the Bulls need wins to procure a play of spot and will be motivated to pull of the upset here as home dogs tonight, a place where they have beat the Rockets in their L/2 visits.The Rockets outlasted the Bulls 121-117 in overtime in the first matchup Feb. 3, and  from watching some of that game, it was obvious to me that the Bulls matched up well against them. I know the Bulls have lost 3 straight , but  CHICAGO is 13-3 ATS L/16 after 3 or more consecutive losses 24-10 ATS L/34 versus top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.HOUSTON is 21-37 ATS L/58 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back to last season.

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Tonight we have two teams playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum as the Spurs visit the Thunder. The Spurs are off a   114-104 win for their 9th straight victory in Sacramento vs the Kings on Wednesday in which two key players  LaMarcus Aldridge (rest) and  Leonard (rest)  did not play. Tonight , however, both are expected to be in the lineup , and very fresh which makes the Spurs a very  dangerous foe in this spot even though the team as a whole has played 8 games in the L/14 days. Meanwhile, the Thunder have lost 4 straight, and have failed to cover all 4 in what must only looked at as a downward spiral. Considering both teams current form, I am recommending we back the Spurs to cover as road chalk.Spurs beat the Thunder 108-94 back on Jan 31 of this season, and a repeat type performance will not come as a surprise.SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS L/52 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. SAN ANTONIO is 17-4 ATS versus good offensive teams like Oklahoma City - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Grizzlies have been in a slump and have lost 5 of their L/7 overall, including a loss on Monday vs lowly Brooklyn  that was described by their coach, as the lowest point of their season. Now with a few days of rest to contemplate their current state, I expect the feisty Grizzlies to come out on fire tonight vs a Clippers side, that cannot find their stride, even though they are fully healthy. After watching the Clippers struggle last night vs the Minnesota Timberwolves in a loss, its become obvious to me  that there are underlying systematic problems surrounding the Clippers, that must be resolved. Until those issues are successfully addressed  their fade material in spots like this, where the team is exhausted as they play their 8th game in 14 days. LA CLIPPERS are 8-18 ATS  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days.MEMPHIS is 21-9 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover  1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs enter this tilt against the Sacramento Kings having  won eight straight games, including Monday's 112-110 victory over Houston in San Antonio. That game against Rockets was hard fought, and followed up another exhausting affair vs the Minnesota Timberwolves, a contest that saw the Spurs come from behind in win in OT. Now still tired , and in an emotional letdown situation I expect the Spurs to not be as aggressive tonight, and I also won't be surprised if HC Popovich rests his stars during long stretches of this game, which gives the Kings an edge covering here vs a huge DD line. Yes, I know Sacramento has lost 5 straight, but after a lengthy adjustment period, playing without DeMarucs Cousins , this team Im betting will look a little more cohesive vs  a Spurs side that despite of being one of the best in the league, have failed to cover 4 straight games.. Also the Kings have had some ATS success of late, when in a tail spin, as is evident by a 14-4 ATS mark  after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread and are  4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Kings are also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.

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New Orleans despite of the addition of DeMarcus Cousins continues to struggle, losing 5 of their L/7 games. For at the least the moment, Cousins and the Pelicans other star Anthony Davis are not showing any chemistry, and if anything look even less cohesive as  a team. In my humble opinion, Cousins despite of his vast talents, rarely has made a team better in his  travels around the league, and if anything has made them into inconsistent opponents for all comers. Cousins has become famous for not being a team player, and his circus like outbursts on and off the court. This kind of unwanted attention, makes for a bad atmosphere, and definitely not a winning one. With that said, I am recommending we back a hard working, Raptors side, that has won 5 of their L/7 and recently took out one of the leagues better teams the Washington Wizards on their own home floor.Toronto has won 11 of the last 14 meetings between the teams and the three most recent meetings and are my choice again.

TORONTO is 19-7 ATS L/26  vs. poor rebounding teams like the Pelicans  - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game.

Toronto to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Timberwolves are 6-4 in their past 10 games and are a team on the rise. However, tonight against a talented and experienced foe the LA Clippers, looking for pay back for a 104-101 loss at home earlier this season  Im betting they are at a disadvantage. The Clippers are of two straight wins vs the Bulls and Celtics and are now back into top form with a lineup that is finally fully healthy.

Road team is 24-7-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings.Clippers are 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Minnesota.Favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.MINNESOTA is 7-15 ATS L/22 in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

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The Hawks enter into this game in a slump and  have lost three in a row and six of their past eight games, and are far from solid favorites , even against the visiting Brooklyn Nets. Meanwhile, the Brooklyn Nets are currently playing some of their best, basketball of the season, winning 2 of their L/4 road games, and showing some nastiness and grit along the way, which makes them hard to deal with, because of their nothing to lose attitude. With Atlanta extremely tired playing their 8th game in 14 nights, I expect a rejuvenated looking Brooklyn team, to get us a cover.

ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season.Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection

Orlando is  making a habit of blowing leads. Orlando lost 113-105 at the Amway Center on Monday after a DD lead to the NY Knicks. This is truly a doctor jekyll and mr hyde, team , with a lack of closing abilities. I don;t know if its a lack confidence or coaching inefficiencies , but what ever it is, they are a side that  are on my late season fade list, especially in games the  lines-makers expect to be a close. Meanwhile, the Bulls, despite of faltering of late, and also blowing leads still have some big time players like Butler that can stand tall in key situations and deliver key shots and stops. The Bulls beat Orlando 100-92 here in the not so Magic Kingdom, back on Jan 24, and now Im betting on similar result tonight. Vogel is 2-11 ATS L/13 at home when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of the Magic.ORLANDO is 10-20 ATS  in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season

 NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 Orlando  - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival are 6-30 ATS L/36. 

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The postseason is something the young  Lakers are not even thinking about , as they enter this game against their hosts Dallas with a 19-44  SU record and are  on a current seven-game losing streak. Things don't look to get much better tonight, against a Dallas Mavericks franchise that has beaten them 13 straight times, and is currently playing their best basketball of the season, and have clobbered teams the Lakers of late as is evident by a  7-0 ATS L/7 record in home games when playing against a team with a losing record , winning SU by an average of 18 ppg. DALLAS is also 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games versus lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season, winning SU by an average of 20.8 ppg. Back on Jan 22 the Mavericks crushed the Lakers 122-73 and despite of the Lakers wanting revenge, I ll end this with a Rolling Stones rip, " You Don't Always get what you want". 

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Tonight's Texas Showdown between the Houston Rockets and San Antonio Spurs will see a more physical , Im betting will see a more defensive type game than the pundits might expect. The Rockets play a fire house brand of basketball, that features an explosive offense. Meanwhile, the Spurs  ranked No.1 in the league in D rating,despite of being able to run and gun with the best of teams , base their successes and failures on playing strong two way basketball based on solid defensive fundamentals, behind a pace that ranks 26th in the league. Tonight Im betting the home team, show cases this , and controls the pace of this tilt, which will in turn help keep the total combined score of this game on the low side of the number.

   From a league wide data base is must be noted that  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Rockets/Spurs - in a game involving 2 top tier teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 32-6 UNDER for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Also NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Spurs - after 7 or more consecutive wins, in March games are 23-4 under for a 85% conversion rate for bettors following this league wide trend that dates back 5 seasons.

HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER L/21 vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or more of their attempts with a combined average of 204.7 ppg getting scored. SAN ANTONIO is 11-2 UNDER   in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 193.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 road games.Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 11-3 in Rockets last 14 vs. NBA Southwest.Under is 11-4 in Rockets last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games.Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-1 in Spurs last 11 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

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 The Detroit Pistons are in position to qualify for the Eastern Conference playoffs if they get some key victories down the stretch. With that said, the Pistons chances of a post season appearance become much stronger if they can procure victories during the next two games. The first and obviously most important game comes tonight vs the Chicago Bulls a team that lost to the  Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday night while scoring just 30 points in the second half. With revenge on board for a 113-82 loss to the Bulls back in December I expect the Pistons to be very focused. It must be noted that Motown has won and covered 4 straight with revenge for a 30 point or more loss.

Bulls are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.Bulls are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 1-4 SU/ATS L/5 at Detroit. 

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The Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat just played each other Saturday with the Heat winning by a lopsided 120-92 beat-down. Cleveland was without LeBron James and Kyrie Irving as well as J.R. Smith and Kevin Love who are still recovering from injuries. In that above mentioned game, alot of feelings got hurt in a physical affair, and tempers flared and now many are expecting the Cavaliers to be out looking for pay back, behind super star LeBron James. Because of the obvious scenario that is expected to play out, I now feel the line is bloated, and have faith in the Heats ability to not go down without a fight , and make a game of this. 

MIAMI is 12-3 ATS off a home win this season.MIAMI is 17-4 ATS L/24 versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game and is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good shooting teams like Cleveland - making 46% or more of their shots.

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The Suns are off two consecutive top tier performances  , thanks to a reserve group that has performed at a hight level. The Suns smashed the Charlotte Hornets 120-103 and the  Oklahoma City Thunder 118-111 on Thursday and Friday. Now with the momentum of those wins behind them, I expect they will be confident enough to play a talented Celtics crew very tough tonight in the desert. Yes, the Celtics are off two straight wins, with the first one coming at home vs the Cleveland Cavaliers. The second win came on the road after the team flew West to the west coast to play the Lakers, as they were still feeling good after their above mentioned win vs the Cavs. But as alot of us know, jet lag has a delay effect, and now I expect the Celtics to be on tired legs in this spot and susceptible to being upset. I know the Suns are also a little tired playing, their 3rd game in 4 nights, but they are one of the leagues better conditioned teams as is evident by HC Watson Suns  going  17-6 ATS L/23 when playing their 3rd game in 4 days . PHOENIX is  also 15-6 ATS  in non-conference games this season.

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Todays combatants Atlanta and Indiana are coming off close hard fought losses to a couple of the NBAs best teams. Atlanta after a ferocious 4th quarter comeback lost 135-130 heart breaker to Cleveland on Friday, while the Pacers lost 100-99 to San Antonio on Wednesday.
Atlanta in the above mentioned loss were down by 25 points in the second half against the Cavaliers but came back to trim the margin to a point late in the game it showed how talented they were , but also highlighted a lack of consistency, something that has plagued this team this season. However, their opponents this afternoon the Pacers are even more volatile and inconsistent losing 8 of their L/10 overall and especially fragile on the road were they own a sub par 10-20 road record and are just 12-18 ATS. With that said, I expect home court advantage to be golden in this spot. 
Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Hawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Central.Hawks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Pacers are 7-16 ATS in the last 23 meetings in Atlanta.
ATLANTA is 27-13 ATS L/40 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) dating back to last season.

Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Rockets pounded the Grizzlies 119-95 in their last meeting. The Rockets played a take no prisoners game  as they dealt with the  frustration of two earlier series losses . In those previous match-ups Houston gave up a nine-point first-half lead in a 115-109 loss at Memphis on Dec. 23 and than gave up a 15-point second-half lead in a 110-105 home loss on Jan. 13, to a tenacious never say die Memphis side that must not be underestimated .Memphis, played last night and lost in Dallas,  but are 10-3 SU in the second half of back-to-backs and  is 12-2 ATS L/14 off a road loss this season and from my own player to players matchup systems/matchup very well against the Rockets. With that said, and future play off implications on the line I expect a spirited affair here tonight with the points eventually proving golden.

MEMPHIS is 12-4 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46%  or more this season. Memphis has won 3 of the L/5 meetings in Houston.

Memphis to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs return home with little rest after a late night and a later flight after beating New Orleans 101-98 in overtime on Friday and will be no mood to run and gun and instead will focus on their top tier defense to slow down the young rested Minnesota Wolves. Note: The Spurs have not allowed 11 of their L/13 opponents to not eclipse the 99 point plateau. I also will not be surprised if Spurs HC  Popovich does not rest Aldridge, Green and Gasol for parts of his game after all three played big minutes in last nights exhausting tilt, which in turn will mute the Spurs sometimes explosive offense. Meanwhile Minnesota, looks like they have turned a corner with some impressive defensive performances of late, allowing 4 of their L/5 opponents 99 or less points and 3 of those opponents to not eclipse the 88 point plateau. They are off a upset win last time out vs Utah by a 107-80 count but have seen their L/11 games off a win vs a division rival see a combined score of 199.9 ppg go on the scoreboard in their follow up tilt and if off a upset win as a underdog of 6 or more points vs a division rival the follow up game has seen them and their opponents average just 194.1 ppg, over a 21 game span.

MINNESOTA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games after a game where they covered the spread this season, with just under 200 combined ppg getting scored. SAN ANTONIO is 15-4 UNDER L/19 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots with the average combined score clicking in at 193.4 ppg and 11-2 UNDER  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game   with the combined score of 193.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play UNDER  1 unit reg selection 

This is a game for causal fans that could be considered perplexing, because of both sides current form.   One side the struggling Clippers  have lost 4 of their L/5 , including last night as favorites, and now go against another side the Chicago Bulls who are in top form and off a surprising upset win vs the leagues top team the Golden State Warriors. One side the Clippers, are desperate for a win, and the other , the Bulls are in an emotional let down scenario, after the above mentioned upset. So despite of current form, Im going to recommend we back the desperate road side, as Im betting  they will take advantage of a emotionally drained opponent. The Clippers won the first game 102-95 on Nov. 19 at Staples Center behind a double-double from Griffin and Im betting he will be one of the key catalysts again in a Clippers cover.

NBA Home underdogs Chicago Bulls - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 9-31 ATS L/40.

CHICAGO is 0-10 ATS  in home games after allowing 90 points dating back to last season which happened in the 94-87 upset of Golden State. HC Rivers of the Clippers is 41-22 ATS L/63 in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games in all games.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Both the Bucks and the Raptors played last night and both posted wins. Toronto impressed with a 114-106 win vs one of the NBAs best teams the Washington Wizards. Meanwhile. Milwaukee surprised with a win vs the visiting Clippers last night  and despite of some younger players taking advantage of their opportunities to excel ,   Im betting the Bucks, who are on tired legs playing their 5th game in 7 nights, to finally succumb to key injuries ie Jabari Parker, and Mike Beasley in this spot vs a rejuvenated looking Raptors side. Note: NBA Home underdogs like the Bucks - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are just 79-134 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 63% for bettors.

MILWAUKEE is 1-11 ATS L/12 against Atlantic division opponents this season and  is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games versus poor passing teams, like the Raptors averaging 20 or less assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.MILWAUKEE is 6-14 ATS L/20  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game this season. The Raptors have won and covered 4 straight trips to Milwaukee and have won 9 of the L/10 meetings in this series.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Bucks are dealing with injury problems will be short-handed this Friday night vs the now healthy LA Clippers , at the Bradley Center (Khris Middelton still less than 100%,- Jabari Parker out for season, and M.Beasely still dealing with a hyper extended knee). Milwaukee has dropped three of its past four games while allowing opponents to score 100 points in each of those tilts. Meanwhile, the LA Clippers despite of losing 3 of their L/4, are a team to be reckoned with as stars Chris Paul and Blake Griffin are now back in the lineup. It must also be noted that those three losses, mentioned above by the Clippers, came vs the Golden State Warriors, the San Antonio Spurs and Houston. Despite of Bucks being a decent team, they are not of the level of those opponents, and in their current banged up state will not offer up the same resistance. MILWAUKEE is 5-14 ATS this season versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game like the Clippers.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Cleveland Cavaliers after a hard fought  103-99 loss to the Boston Celtics on Wednesday night will now be primed for a bounce back effort. With LeBron James now healthier after a bout of strep throat, I expect to see him at his best. Remember James, has a huge ego boosted by super human talent, and he hates to lose and has revenge on board for  Nov. 8 loss, when the Hawks prevailed 110-106 in Cleveland.

ATLANTA is 15-24 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.

Cleveland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Orlando Magic come into this game, against their instate rivals the Miami Heat, playing doctor jeckyll and mr.hyde basketball since the all star break. Despite of their inconsistencies, this small ball group is scrappy, speedy and getting better defensively.The Magic gave up 100 points per 100 possessions in the three games since the All-Star Break and despite of 101-90 loss  to the New York Knicks last time out , the Magic still only allowed 41 points in the second half. To me that was impressive and if it continues, their future as underdogs looks bright. Tonight against one of the leagues top Ds, the Magics new found brand of basketball will aid them well, especially with Heat star Hassan Whiteside dealing with a illness/injury , and at less than 100%. The underdog has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oklahoma City enters this game in good form having won three straight since the all star break. However, all three came at home, and two came against the lowly Lakers and Pelicans, with the third coming by 3 points (109-106) vs an exhausted and road weary Utah Jazz that had played 3 away games in 4 nights. Im not trying to slight the Thunders recent run, but just shine a light  on part of the reasoning behind  why Im taking the Blazers a team that has  lost seven of its last nine games. Despite of both teams current records, Portland still has a chance at a play off appearance, and will be very prepared to perform here at home and must not be underestimated, as is obvious by the lines-makers opening line on this tilt. Portland has won 5 straight meetings here in Oregon in this series  and a 6th I'm betting comes this evening. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-18 ATS L/23  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220.OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS L/18 in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game .HC Donovan of the Thunder  is 5-16 ATS L/21 in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games.

Play on Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Chicago Bulls enter this game against the Golden State Warriors in good form and the healthiest they have been all season. The last time the Bulls played the Warriors they were spanked conclusively, 123-92 but their healthier than they were in the first meeting, while the Warriors are not, as they have to endure the rest of the season without star Kevin Durant ( injury) in the lineup. QUOTE: "We have a different roster and we haven't been without (Durant) but one game this year," Curry told reporters in Washington after the loss. "So it will be an adjustment." END QUOTE: I know Chicago was roughed up vs Denver last time out in a DD loss, but I expect they will bounce back with a big effort her vs a Warriors side on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 days, and are off a hard fought loss to Washington last time out, in a game they exerted alot of energy.  CHICAGO is 21-9 ATS  in home games after a loss by 10 points or more.GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.

GOLDEN STATE has also not done well against teams with defensive deficiencies in the recent past going   4-16 ATS L/20 versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing a shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Boston Celtics go head to head with the defending NBA champion the Cleveland Cavaliers this Wednesday night. You can bet they will be primed and ready to perform , especially here at home at the TD Garden in front of their home town fans.  I know the Celtics looked bad in a lopsided 114-98 loss to the Hawks last time out, but that is all the more reason for a concerted bounce back effort here. With Cleveland super star LeBron James, still feeling the effects of a recent strep throat infection, the Cavs could be at a bit of disadvantage, especailly with Kevin Love injured and on the side lines.Cleveland did defeat Boston 124-118 at home back on Dec 29, but now with revenge on board I feel we will see the best of a Celtics side, that looked good and matched up well vs the Cavaliers despite of losing the above mentioned meeting. It must also be noted NBA Home underdogs like the Celtics - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 50-19 ATS dating back 21 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS  in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games this season, which they just did. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The NY Knicks enter into this game against the Orlando Magic off a hard fought , heart breaking 92-91  loss last night to the Toronto Raptors. The Knicks had led by as many as 17 points before falling apart as the game progressed. However despite of their deflating effort,  NYK still had a chance to win it with a wide open buzzer beater from C Anthony, that he missed. Now in an emotional letdown situation, and on tired legs I expect their hosts the Orlando Magic have the edge . The Magic are a side that has looked rejuvenated since the All-Star break, easily  running down  the Hawks 105-86 in the team's last game Saturday. With the Knicks still trying to figure out which direction the team will take going forward, they look, at least to me like fade material in spots like this vs a Orlando team that matched up well against them in a recent meeting in January in NY winning by  a 115-103 count as road dogs.

 Knicks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Knicks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall..

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Chicago Bulls roll into this contest having won four straight games, behind an offense that has suddenly come to life, scoring 105,104,128, and 117 points in those games via a more aggressive attack and uptick in pace.  Meanwhile, Denver despite of struggling of late, continue to score in bunches on most nights, averaging 110.6 ppg on the season, behind the 7th ranked pace. Their biggest issue comes via their defense, which has allowed a whopping 111.7 ppg this season, and 112 ppg in road tilts, ranking dead last in defensive rating in the league. Considering the Bulls current form, and the Nuggets propensity to run and gun, Im betting we will see a high scoring affair tonight that eclipses this number. My owns numbers suggest that both these teams  will score in 110 range . DENVER is 30-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with the combined score of 234.8 ppg, going on the scoreboard , and the Nuggets are  also  22-1 OVER  when they score 112 or more points in a game this season, with a combined average of 239.2 ppg getting scored. 

DENVER is 11-1 OVER L/12 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season, with a combined average of 233.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. DENVER is 10-0 OVER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 dating back to last season, with a combined average of 225.8 ppg getting scored. Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 vs. NBA Central.Over is 11-5 in Nuggets last 16 road games.Over is 9-1-1 in Nuggets last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Sixers lost 110-109 heart breaker on Saturday night to the New York Knicks, as Carmelo Anthony nailed a baseline jumper with three-tenths of a second remaining . The Sixers despite of key injuries to leading scorer Joel Embiid, have won 4 of their L/6 and have looked competitive, with the core of the team looking cohesive and showing positive chemistry. Meanwhile, Golden State with a 49-9 SU record, and a front runner for the NBA championship, come into the City of Brotherly love installed a almost 14 point road favorites. With that said, I know its not easy betting against the Warriors, but they are not infallible vs the spread, as is evident by a overall 28-28 ATS record a sub .500 -13-15 away ATS record. With the young Sixers playing with pride, and a trend that dates back to last season showing they are 12-0 ATS L/12 vs explosive offensive teams scoring 106+ ppg , in the second half of the season , Im recommending we take the points here. 

Philly has covered the L/2 meetings in this series at home.

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Celtics after a bad fourth quarter lost 107-97  at Toronto on Friday , and will now be prepared to bounce back vs a Detroit side they matchup well against. Meanwhile, Detroit won its first game after the All-Star break, rallying from an 18-point, second-half deficit to defeat a a lowly Charlotte side by 114-108 count  in overtime on Thursday. Boston took a 113 -109 win on Jan 30th at home and Im betting they have the edge again here on the road.

BOSTON is 16-5 ATS L/21 in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) and s 10-2 ATS  as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season.

All teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pistons  - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival are just 19-51 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors .

Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Washington Wizards entered the all star break as the  Eastern Conference's hottest team , but had their flow interrupted in their  first game after the All-Star break as they lost, allowing 120 points to the 26th- ranked scoring offense in the NBA. Meanwhile, The Jazz had a good game, by winning  Friday in Milwaukee thanks to their pick-and-roll scheme, which Im betting will give the Wizards alot of problems this Sunday. Washington got some big headaches coming as they face the stingiest defense in the league. Utah allows 95.7 points per game which I am betting will be the catalyst behind a Jazz cover. 

Wizards are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The young Lakers are big underdog here at home today vs the visiting San Antonio Spurs. Yes, the Spurs are obviously the superior side, but from a matchup standpoint Im betting they are being under rated , vs a HC Popovich coached side, that is notorious for resting starters , during a game. This gives credence to a multitude of covering situations and furthermore from a mathematical standpoint we have value taking points. 

LA LAKERS are 17-4 ATS L/21  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more - in the  2nd half of the season over the last few seasons and 17-6 ATS L/23 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Pelicans enter into this game with the newly acquired DeMarcus Cousins on the roster, but  things did not pan out as expected in his first trip to the hardwood for Bayou crew, in a lopsided loss to the Rockets . From my perspective there seems to be no chemistry between himself and Anthony Davis, at least for now ,which makes the Pelicans fade material for me here tonight in Dallas. Meanwhile, the Mavericks, have steadily improved this season after a slow start, and have now covered 13 of their 18 entering the all star break, and have covered 7 of 8 games when favored overall this season.

From a league wide NBA trends database:  NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Mavericks - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG diff.) after 42+ games are 71-39 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for betting backers. 

 Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Mavericks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.DALLAS is 8-1 ATS L/8 in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game like the Pelicans. DALLAS is 12-2 ATS L/14 in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season and is 8-0 ATS L/8 in home games versus lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game under the same game and time perimeters. 

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

My own numbers make the Total of this tilt closer to 210.5 to 211 and Im betting we have value taking an over wager here. Yesterday, Miami scored 108 points, in its first game back off the all star break, while their opponents tonight the Pacers popped 102 points on the board. Both played last night, and will now be in rhythm heading into this game, which will lead to a run and gun affair. MIAMI in 16 games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average 212.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 like the Pacers - revenging a road loss vs opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days have gone over 31 of the L/39 times this trend has been in play dating back 21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for betting backers. Also NBA teams like Miami  - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team have gone over 49 of the the 66 times for a 74% conversion rate for betting backers.

  MIAMI is 8-1 OVER  on Saturday games this season with a combined average of 212.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games playing  with no rest.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Atlanta Hawks are ranked fairly high on my power rankings lists  compared to many others I have seen, and  I feel we have great value backing them tonight vs a young and less than cohesive Orlando Magic side that  recently traded away top tier talent Serge Ibaka. I know the Hawks looked horrid last night vs the Miami Heat in  108-90 setback, but after that ugly loss, you can bet this group will now be motivated for redemption against a side the Hawks have demolished in recent battles,  winning the  last two meetings by a combined 46 points.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Hawks - off an upset loss as a home favorite, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are a bankroll expanding 43-19 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a close to 70% conversion rate for betting backers. 

ORLANDO is 2-10 ATS L/12 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season losing SU by an average of 13.9 ppg.  ORLANDO is 2-10 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season losing SU by an average of 8.7 pppg.  Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games playing with no rest. Magic are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Magic are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 home games.Hawks are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Orlando.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

With the  return of Chris Paul expected tonight, the Los Angeles Clippers expect to be very competitive and  to get back on the winning track when the play the San Antonio Spurs on Friday night at Staples Center. Even if Paul does not play I like the Clippers chances at covering with the personnel they now have avaliable. Although the Spurs remain one of the league's top tier clubs, they have encountered problems with the Clippers as is evident by San Antonio having lost both of this season's previous meetings against Los Angeles. In the most recent confrontation  on Dec. 18, the Spurs were handed a 106-101 road defeat . The Clippers also pounded the Spurs 116-92 on Nov. 5 at San Antonio.

Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Underdog is 18-6 ATS in the last 24 meetings.Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Serge Ibaka will make his Toronto Raptors debut Friday night vs the  Boston Celtics at the Air Canada Centre.  The Raptors after losing , 11 of their last 16 games  needed to make a change.

Toronto also expects forward Patrick Patterson to return Friday from a bruised left knee, a player that is a important cog in their teams future and current chemistry.Toronto has won two of three games between the teams this season with the lone loss coming in OT, and matchup well against the Celtics. There is no doubt in my mind that the Raptors are a top tier team despite of their struggles and must be respected here on their own home court. TORONTO is 7-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season and is 10-2 ATS  vs. division opponents this season.Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.Celtics are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Despite losing forward Jabari Parker to a season-ending ACL injury the Bucks still finished the first half in top form and must not be underestimated, as was evident by  winning three in a row entering the all star break and look like a viable choice here tonight, vs the visiting Utah Jazz. Meanwhile, Utah had lost three in a row before wrapping up the first half with a 111-88 victory and looked a little rattled/ragged overall before the break, with cohesive issues being at the center of their problems.

Jazz are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.Jazz are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games overall.NBA teams like   Milwaukee - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season, hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are  32-11 ATS dating back 20 seasons. 

Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Golden State Warriors matchup very well against the LA Clippers, as has been evident by 3 straight wins in this series during the current campaign, with the victories coming by an average of 25.3 ppg. With the core of the Warriors both rested and not rusty after play off game action, I expect they come out here , and run over the Clippers for a lopsided win. Golden State   smashed the Clippers in a  46-point humiliation on Jan. 28  here in Oakland and another lopsided finish is what Im expecting tonight. 

GOLDEN STATE in 20 games this season  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts are 14-6 ATS with the average margin SU win coming by 18 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS L/10 in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season, dating back to the previous campaign, winning SU by an average of 16.3 ppg. 

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I am going to start off by saying I am not a big DeMarcus Cousins fan. It is not that the Pelicans new acquisition Cousins isn't extremely talented, but that he has problems with harnessing his ego and the so called proverbial  demons that haunt him. He has proven my theory in spades during his tumultuous  NBA career . But now despite of that I expect he will for at least tonight Cousins come out on fire with his new  teammate NBA  all star Anthony Davis and leave everything on the floor for what I expect will be a Pelicans cover .  Note: New Orleans also have a revenge on board for a 122-100 beat down at Houston earlier this season, which is favorable from a trends perspective that shows, as the Pelicans are 10-0-1 ATS in 11 previous same season revenge scenarios for a 20 point loss or more vs an opponent with a .666 win % or better like the Rockets.

Houston is 1-7 ATS L/8 as road chalk in this series.NEW ORLEANS is 23-9 ATS L/32 in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.

Cousins is expected to play tonight.

Play on New Orleans Pelcians to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Celtics have been in top form since late January and have won  12 of their L/13 SU.  But this is a precarious spot for the Beantown hoops crew, as they will be playing their 5th road game in their L/6 and are on tired legs after playing last night in Philadelphia. Meanwhile, the Bulls looked good in their last trip to the hardwood a win vs the Raptors and should be well rested as they play their 2nd game in a row at home after enduring a grueling 6 game road trip to start February. In both meetings this season, the home team has prevailed and from a long term perspective the Bulls are 11-2 SU as a host in this series and 6-1 SU with revenge. Advantage goes to the hosts.

BOSTON is 1-13 ATS L/14 after 4 or more consecutive wins dating back to last season.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Clippers strong defensive play of late has sparked them to three straight wins. The Clippers always base their successes and failures on their ability to defend. Meanwhile, the visiting Hawks their opponents tonight,   earned a hard fought 109-104 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday night, and are now playing their third straight and final road game on a west coast swing that will have them on tired legs. The Clippers look good against the Hawks in Atlanta in their lone meeting this season winning by a 115-105  count, and are my choice again here on home court.

LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 ATS L/12 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.Clippers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Hawks - off an upset win as a road underdog are a long-term bad betting going just 124-185 ATS for go g against conversion rate of 60% for bettors.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

The Nuggets tied an NBA record with 24 made 3-pointers and blew out Golden State, 132-110 last time out and now Im betting they use the momentum of that win to take out the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.The Nuggets face a Timberwolves team coming off a 116-108 home defeat to defending champion Cleveland on Tuesday night and will now be in a letdown state after leaving it all on the court and still not winning.Also the injury of Wolves leading scorer Zach LaVine who had surgery on his left knee will effect this young team, and that is evident by  having already lost 4 of the 6 games he has not played.  Denver had won 5 straight in this series until losing the last meeting between these two teams, and will be out for revenge.

Timberwolves are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Denver to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Cleveland played last night, and took out the Minnesota Timberwolves on the road and now the media is making a big deal about the loss of Kevin Love's loss to the Cavs after arthroscopic surgery. After the disappointing news LeBron James was quoted as saying: "I'll rest when I retire. As long as I'm in the lineup, we've got a chance," James said. "We good. Kev is out for an extended period of time. J.R. (Smith) has been out, but I'm in the lineup. I'll be suiting up, we've got a chance against anybody. I ain't worried." END QUOTE: I couldn't agree more with the future hall of famers words, and will be backing him and his team on home court tonight against a up and down Indiana Pacers that  followed up a seven-game win streak with a four-game losing streak.CLEVELAND is 20-8 ATS L/28 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season.

The Toronto Raptors are struggling and last time out, against Detroit blew a big DD lead going in the the fourth quarter before losing in OT by a 102-101 count. Now downtrodden and lacking confidence they  travel to Chicago, where they favored by 7 points on the opening line. QUOTE: "I'm starting to get worried, yeah,"  Toronto stay Lowry told reporters, according to the Globe and Mail. "It's not going the way we're supposed to be going and things aren't changing. So yeah, I'm starting to get worried."Meanwhile, despite of Chicago's recent ugly outings,  and possibly playing short handed , I like their chances at making Toronto work hard for a win, and for the Bulls to possibly spring the out right upset as they matchup well in  head to head scenarios. It must be noted that the Raptors lost 123-118 at Chicago back on Jan 7th and are just  6-18 ATS L/24 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite . 

CHICAGO is 21-10 ATS L/31 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game .  Chicago is 9-0 SUA/ATS L/9 meetings and 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Toronto and Chicago are two teams struggling on defense at the moment, with the Raptors allowing 102+ ppg in  7 of their L/8 games, and the Bulls following suit allowing 9 straight opponents to eclipse the 100 point plateau. Considering both sides current form I expect both to eclipse the 100 point level again. When these teams played back on Jan 7 ,241 total points went on the board. TORONTO is 21-7 OVER L/28 revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points dating back to last season, with a combined average of 208.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is 18-5 OVER  where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season, with a combined average score of 217 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

I know the Bulls are short handed tonight, with Wade and Butler missing  but I expect the backups who are far more healthy to be alot more cohesive than a couple of banged up players who are currently slowing this team down, and making them less cohesive.

CHICAGO is 9-1 OVER L/10 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 216 ppg on the board and  is 18-8 OVER L/26 against Atlantic division opponents with a combined average of .  210.3 ppg getting registered. Bulls/Raptors have gone over 5 straight meetings in Chciago.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Minnesota enters this game off a beatdown of the Chicago Bulls last time out by DDs(117-89) But today against a Cleveland side that  dominated Minnesota the last time these teams met back on  Feb 1 winning by a 125-97 count the Wolves look like fade material. According to my own numbers the defending league champs once again look like solid bets laying 5 points or less in the rematch. 

MINNESOTA is 0-9 ATS L/9 after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last couple of seasons losing SU by an average of 8.9 ppg. 

 This from a league wide ATS data base: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Wolves - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 13-39 ATS dating back 5 seasons 

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Warriors are coming off two tough games, including Kevin Durant's first game back in Oklahoma City and will be on tired legs vs an   opponent the Denver Nuggets that is almost never easy to deal with when playing here in the high altitude of the Mile High City. 

GOLDEN STATE is 8-17 ATS L/25 when playing against a team with a losing record this season.GOLDEN STATE is 3-14 ATS L/17 versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season . GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS L/15 after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season.

Denver to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Pistons come to town off a high energy come from behind victory last night. They rallied from a 16-point deficit to force overtime and took a 102-101 decision Sunday at Toronto, and will now be in an emotional letdown state and on tired legs as they play back to back games. Despite of the Bucks , not playing at the same level as the Pistons, I like their chances at underdogs vs a side that could easily be playing on an empty tank. 

NBA teams like the Bucks - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread are a long term bankroll expanding 72-36 ATS for a 68% conversion rate for their betting backers. DETROIT is 12-23 ATS L/35 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread.

Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Heat had their 13-game win streak which was  the longest in the NBA this season and the longest in league history for a sub-.500 team abruptly come to end on Saturday night in a loss at the Philadelphia 76ers. Miami's streak of 100 point games did stay intact however, and now stands at 13 games. Now ready for a bounce back effort and a higher energy performance I expect the Heat to be ready to put points up on the board in bunches vs a Orlando defense allowing a average of 109 ppg as visitors this season and that has allowed 113,128,112, and 112 points in their L/4 trips to the hardwood. Tonight I expect the Heat to score at least 112+ points and for the Magic to be forced to keep up in what I am betting will be a combined score that eclipses the total. Note: ORLANDO is 22-2 OVER where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 226.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.  NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are a bankroll expanding 31-9 for over bettors dating back 21 seasons.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

 Two teams the visiting San Antonio Spurs and their hosts the Indiana Pacers are both coming off losses and  will now meet this Monday night. The Pacers  have lost three straight games after winning seven in a row.Meanwhile, the Spurs  suffered a surprising 94-90 loss to the New York Knicks on Sunday afternoon in Madison Square Garden. The Spurs looked disinterested and lethargic and key catalyst LaMarcus Aldridge continued a recent funk. The Spurs after playing at such a high level for so long, may have now hit a wall, and the all star break could not come at a better time. 

The Pacers have compiled a 20-8 home record this season at Bankers Life Fieldhouse and defeated the Spurs here last season, and once again in my humble opinion look like solid underdog picks.

INDIANA is 19-8 ATS L/27 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 19-31 ATS L/50 versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last  season.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The New Orleans Pelicans and the Sacramento Kings are two inconsistent teams. The Pelicans in part depend to much on Anthony Davis , while the Kings seem to do better  when their temperamental  super star DeMarcus Cousins is on the sidelines. When the Kings star has been in the lineup he has not looked cohesive with his teammates of late. QUOTE: "I'm fighting my demons right now," Cousins said after his last  game, before later adding, "I don't know how to be myself anymore. It's something I'm going to have to figure out." END QUOTE. Cousins is talented, but he's an emotional wreck and wreaks havoc on his teams flow , more often than not. He is expected to be in the lineup tonight. Yes, I know the Kings have won two straight (both at home), but from a matchup, standpoint some teams matchup well against certain opponents, according to my own data, and the Pelicans matchup very well against the Kings from a systems and player to player standpoint. HC Joerger of the Kings  is 7-20 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive home wins in all games SACRAMENTO is 0-9 ATS L/9 after scoring 105 points or more 4 straight games .  .

Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Kings are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on the New Orleams Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Toronto Raptors have looked exhausted of late , but I am betting a 3 day layoff and  their  return home can get them headed in the right direction again, beginning with a matchup against the visiting Detroit Pistons this Sunday. Note: Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Meanwhile, the Pistons despite of playing some good hoops of late,  they are off a hard fought loss to San Antonio last time out, and will be in a let down state vs a well rested and  hungry team. DETROIT is 3-11 ATS  in road games after a non-conference game this season.

Toronto entered Saturday tied for fourth in the NBA in foul shooting (80.6 percent) and Detroit was 27th (73.6) .It must be noted that when laying points with a team in this league,  these types  of inequalities can be a key to cashing a ticket. Also TORONTO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.

Pistons are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pistons are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 vs. Eastern Conference.

Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Bulls in their last tilt got back the services of Jimmy Butler and Dwyane Wade  but still lost 115-97 at Phoenix, which has the second-worst record in the NBA. That was embarrassing, for the Bulls, and pros do not like to be embarrassed ,especially all star future hall of famers like Dwayne Wade. QUOTE: "Awful, awful ... they out-competed us in every category," Chicago coach Fred Hoiberg said. "Rebounding, loose balls, 19-6 in transition. That tells you all you need to know. END QUOTE: With that said, I expect the veteran core of the Bulls to stand up today, and take advantage of another very inconsistent team the Minnesota Timberwolves that is now playing without the services of key cog Zach LaVine, who will miss the rest of the season and looked  bad without. in a lopsided loss to New Orleans last time out. There is also payback on the agenda for the Bulls as the Wolves upset them 103-110 at home earlier this season. 

Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Timberwolves are 16-37-1 ATS in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.Bulls are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota.

 NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Bulls - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are a bankroll expanding 63-22 for their betting backers dating back 21 seasons. 

Play on the Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Oklahoma City took on the defending NBA champion Cleveland Cavaliers in their last trip to the hardwood, and upset them as underdogs which has them entering this tilt against mighty Golden State  riding a four-game win streak. I know most of us view the Dubs , as virtually invincible, because of their SU record, but the truth is they are  barely a .500 team ATS this season, because in part because of the premium lines placed on their games by bookmakers. Tonight , with Durant visiting his old diggs, and the home team motivated to get revenge for ugly losses in the two first meetings ( both at Oakland) Im expecting a much better effort from Westbrook and company in front of their own fans in what promises to be an emotionally charged affair. I must also be noted that the Warriors played last night, in a hard fought game at Memphis, and will now be on tired legs. With that said, I'm taking the points with the motivated and fresher hosts. GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS L/15 in road games on Saturday games.OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-8 ATS  in home games this season and  8-1 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season and a longer term 25-9 L/34 ATS with revenge.

Oklahoma City to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami played last night so they are on tired legs going i to their 4th straight road tilt, and now go against a Philadelphia team missing offensive catalyst Joel Emblid ( knee injury).   Considering these factors, and a few more I will list, this game has value for bettors with a under wager. 

The Sixers rank 30th in offensive rating in the league, and a a average but not so bad 15th ranked defensive rating . Meanwhile, Miami ranks 22nd in pace, 26th in offensive rating, and a stellar 6th in defensive rating. The Heat have not allowed more than 99 points in 5 of their L/8 games and despite of their current hot hand , still base their successes and failures on playing a strong defensive brand of hoops. With that said, look for the Heat to be more direct and methodical in their approach tonight, and for the Sixers offense to be muted after a run a gun affair in their last trip to the hardwood. Sixers HC Brown is 14-3 UNDER L/17 in home games after scoring 110 points with a combined average of 199.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. (Philly beat Orlando last time out 112-111).

MIAMI is 23-10 UNDER L/33 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

The New Orleans Hornets enter into this game well prepared to play a good but inconsistent young Minnesota Wolves group. The Hornets may not always inspire alot of nba pundits, but they are a tight crew, that play hard together. With one of the NBAs best players healthy and  in their lineup ( Anthony Davis)  the Pelicans can be a menace, especially against a deficient defensive team like the Wolves that have allowed 100 or more points in 12 straight games. It must be noted that Davis had a rare down game last time out, potting just 12 points, and will be very ready for a huge bounce back performance in this spot.From a player to player matchup standpoint, the Pelicans actally matchup well vs the Wolves, and I'm betting they make life difficult for their hosts tonight and get us the cover. 

MINNESOTA is 8-17 ATS L//25 as a favorite this season.MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS L/21 in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 36-23 ATS  versus top tier offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game dating back to last season. Pelicans have won 3 of their L/4 visits to Minneapolis. 

Play on New Orleans to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami is the league's hottest team and takes a 12-game winning streak into Friday's visit with the Nets In Brooklyn.The Heat are averaging 109.4 points, shooting 49.4 percent and making 42.8 percent of its 3-pointers during the streak. Now going against the lowly Brooklyn Nets,  some pundits might expect the Heat , to over look their opponents. I however, am betting this will not be the case tonight. A little over two weeks ago, the Miami Heat visited the Brooklyn Nets and had to stage a ferocious comeback to net a 109-106 victory, and than in the rematch took a 104-96 victory in South Florida.  So tonight I expect the Heat to be even more focused. Meanwhile, Brooklyn is off an exhausting matchup vs the Washington Wizards last time out losing a heart breaker in OT. Now in an emotional letdown scenario and on tired legs, I expect the visitors will take advantage of them, in what could easily be a lopsided victory. It must be noted that  the Nets have lost 11 straight, allowing 109.8 points/per game while average margin of defeat is 9.2 ppg.

MIAMI is 11-0 ATS L/11 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season and 11-0 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with the average margin of victory coming by 11.2 ppg.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Boston Celtics are a team with alot of chemistry. Add to that they consistently play hard and  find ways to win , even  when they have had a multitude of walking wounded. The Celtics  have won 7 of their L/8 games overall, and just had a 7 game win streak end , against Sacramento last time out. as they began a 4 game road trip. The Celtics looked a little fatigued as they adjusted to a west coast time zone last night, but will be better prepared to play tonight.  Meanwhile, Portland is coming off a last second win against Dallas last time out, 114-113, but that was after blowing  a substantial lead, something that has haunted them consistently this season. I expect the Blazers will be in an emotional letdown situation here after that energy filled victory. 

Considering the Celtics have revenge on board for a 127-123 loss at home to the Blazers back on  Jan 21, I expect a motivated pay back effort must be expected by the men from Beantown. 

HC Stevens is 31-17 ATS L/48 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite. BOSTON is 32-15 ATS L/47 when playing on back-to-back days. BOSTON is 7-0 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.PORTLAND is 7-15 ATS L/22 after 1 or more consecutive wins this season . This also from a NBA league wide archive: NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Celtics - off a road loss against opponent like Portland off a road win by 3 points or less are a bankroll expanding 26-7 ATS dating back to the 2011 campaign for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection 

I did not like what I saw from the NY Knicks last time out, in a lopsided loss to the visiting LA Lakers, a team that had lost 13 straight road games. With NYK HC Jeff Hornacek frustrated and his teams negative body language while on the court , I'm going against them here. I don't know whats going on in the dressing room, but I personally think all the talk of the Melo Anthony trade, and the teams overall lack of character in key situations has finally taken its toll  over the entire teams mind set. Its a old cliche, in sports, but I'll say it again. This Knicks team has chemistry issues and management and ownership know it. I know their opponents tonight the LA Clippers are also struggling, but they are still a strong side, that will find this game much easier than the last 4 they have lost ( two vs Golden State , Boston, and Toronto). With that said, Clippers get the nod.

NEW YORK is 14-27 ATS L/41 as a home underdog of 6 points or less and 3-14 ATS after trailing their last two games by 10 or more points at the half, which happened in the the first two games of their current home stand.Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New York.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Atlanta after a ugly effort against Utah last time out, losing by DDs,will be ready to bounce back here vs a improving Denver team.Its interesting to note the Atlanta Hawks have won 15 of their past 21 games, but they've alternated good and bad performances since starting the stretch with seven straight victories. I'm not saying that because they were out played last time out that they will systematically play better here, but I do believe they have enough good coaching and quality player personnel to right their ship quickly. Yes,  this young Denver side  has played some very good ball of late, and won their last game at home despite of having three key players out, but now I expect the injury of their top scorer Gallinari to be issue here on the road, where their defense has been atrocious as is evident by allowing 110.7 ppg this season. The Hawks won 109-108 in Denver on Nov. 23 and have beaten the Nuggets at home each of the last four seasons and are 15-3 SU L/18 meetings overall. 

ATLANTA is 27-13 ATS L/40 in home games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season winning SU by 9.2 ppg. Hawks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss and are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection 

In one of the best games in recent NBA history the Wizards fell short in a 140-135 overtime thriller to Cleveland, and will now be in an emotional let down state vs a lowly Brooklyn team I'm sure they are over looking. The last time Washington visited the  Brooklyn Nets ,   they  trailed by 16 in the first half in an eventual come from behind 118-113 victory Dec. 5, and another similar affair may not be out of the question. I know backing Brooklyn under any circumstances can be a death defying feat, but in my usual contrarian fashion, Im recommending we just close our eyes, plug our noses and some how find the guts to pull the trigger and  back the Nets here in a advantageous situation vs a side that I expect will lack the energy needed to cover the spread. (Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.)

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover

The Dallas Mavericks are off a sleepy performance last night in the Mile High City. Lack of oxygen or just a down game, are to blame for getting beat by DDs by the Nuggets. Dallas had a four-game winning streak end abruptly, but had won nine of its last 13 and are still looking more and more like a possible play off team. Now after being embarrassed I expect they come home and put forth a focused bounce back effort vs a inconsistent Portland side  currently on a two game losing run.Dallas has won two of the three meetings with the Blazers this season and ar my choice again.

DALLAS is 21-8 ATS  vs. good free throw shooting teams like Portland - making 76% or more  of their attempts this season.Stotts is 7-21 ATS L/28  after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more.

Mavericks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.Trail Blazers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.

Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Atlanta Hawks, will be out to avenge lopsided loss at Utah back on Nov 25 by a 95-68 count, and will be out to take down the Jazz for the eighth time in the past 10 home meetings on Monday night. Meanwhile, the Jazz have been playing well, but are coming off a game on Saturday at home against Charlotte, rallying to win 105-98 and will now be on tired legs, as they travel west to east in a time zone jet lag situation.
UTAH is 7-17 ATS L/24 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record and 11-23 ATS L/34 in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game.UTAH is 1-10 ATS as a road underdog this season and 0-7 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.Utah head coach Quin Snyder is 4-14 SUATS away versus opponents with revenge from a loss of 16 or more points.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Lakers have lost 13 straight road games and have not procured a victory on the road since taking down the Philadelphia 76ers 100-89 on Dec. 16. They have allowed at least 100 points in 12 of those games and rank 27th, giving up 110.3 points a night. Meanwhile, despite of Knicks also struggling, I feel they have the advantage tonight, vs the Lakers side that is 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The Knicks last time out lost to the Cavaliers 111-104 as dogs, but are are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS loss and are 10-1 ATS  after playing a game as a home underdog this season. Advantage to the Knicks.

New York has won 5 straight in this series and took the first meeting this season 118-112 at Los Angeles on Dec. 11. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Clippers enter this tilt against their hosts the Boston Celtics having lost  3 of their L/4, but two of those losses came to the leagues most explosive team the Golden State Warriors. The Clippers usually stable D, has been their biggest issue, of late , but are more than capable of righting that ship against a tired Boston side, that is off a hard fought win last time out by a 113-107 count vs the Lakers.  From a league wide trends archive it must be noted that NBA Road underdogs  like the LA Clippers- - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less or 35-4 L/39  ATS dating back 5 seasons. I know the Celtics are on a 6 game winning streak,but the Clovers are just  1-11 ATS L/12 after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last couple seasons. BOSTON is also 1-8 ATS L/9 in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season.  From a matchup perspective the Clippers HC Rivers is 16-4 ATS L/20 in road games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached in his career. 

Clippers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.Clippers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Boston.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Minnesota and Memphis enter this game  both off losses yesterday.Memphis  had a three-game winning streak snapped at Oklahoma City, while the Wolves 1-6 ATS L/7  lost in Detroit for their second straight defeat . In head to head meetings Minnesota  struggled against Memphis last time out losing 93-71 on nov 19  this season and Im betting the matchup scenarios remain the same, with the Grizzlies having the edge. MEMPHIS is 10-2 ATS off a road loss this season.Grizzlies are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games playing on 0 days rest.

NBA Home underdogs like the Wolves - after playing 2 consecutive road games, playing on back-to-back days are just 41-76 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 65%.

MINNESOTA is 0-12 ATS L/12 in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points this season.

Play on Memphis to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two teams coming off hard fought games have go head to head on back-to-backs on Saturday night when the Milwaukee Bucks visit the Phoenix Suns. The Suns took a big 105-103 win in Sacramento as 5 point dogs snapping a 5 game losing streak and the Bucks lost a close affair against the Denver Nuggets 121-117 as 3.5 point pups for their 5th straight loss. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Suns - off an upset win as a road underdog, a lower tier  team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are just 12-33 ATS L/45 follow ups, dating back to the 2012 season. Also NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Bucks  - off a road loss against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 25-7 ATS L/33 also dating back 5 seasons. 

I expect the Bucks hold the advantage here according to my own stats and Im betting they get the cover. 

PHOENIX is 3-12 ATS L/15 after a win by 6 points or less . MILWAUKEE is 41-23 ATS L/ 64 after 5 or more consecutive losses.

Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Phoenix Suns come in there in struggling form, after 5 straight losses ,but I'm betting they right their ship and stay very competitive in this spot, vs a Sacramento team that they matchup well against. The Suns will present a problem with their backcourt tandem because Sacramento labors to guard the perimeter. Suns guard Eric Bledsoe scored at least 40 points in three of his L/6 games, and  Booker scored at least 20 in 14 straight tilts and will be the catalysts for a Suns cover.

NBA teams like the Kings - average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) like the Suns, after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse, 9-29 ATS L/38.

Suns are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS loss.Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Sacramento Kings are 0-14 ATS L/14 at home before facing Golden State. ( I call this the look ahead syndrome)

Phoenix to cover 1 unit reg selection

Oklahoma City enters this home game against Memphis off three straight losses. The first two defeats came against defending champions Cleveland and  contenders San Antonio, and the third was in let down mode vs the Bulls after exerting alot of energy in the first two losses to top tier sides. Now with a day to rest, I expect the Thunder will be primed to bounce back. It must be noted that OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS L/10 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season and are 5-1 ATS in their L/6 at home. Meanwhile, MEMPHIS is 3-15 ATS L/18 in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) losing SU by an average of 8.4 ppg.

.Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.Home team is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The Celtics enter this home game against the LA Lakers  in top form having won 5 straight games, but it must be noted that  BOSTON is  just 1-10 ATS L/11 after 4 or more consecutive wins dating back to last season. Meanwhile, the LA Lakers, with 24 more hrs to acclimate to a east coast time zone, after playing last night in Washington will be ready to compete here tonight, much like they did late in last nights games vs a solid Wizards team covering as 10.5 point dogs in a 116-108 loss. The Lakers are a solid 5-1 ATS in their L/6 and are once again being under rated by the pundits. 

LA LAKERS are 15-4 ATS L/19 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons.Lakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.Lakers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Golden State Warriors off a DD win vs Charlotte last night 126-111 look head and shoulder above every other team in this league and once again look like viable bets here against the LA Clippers tonight in the Staples Center. The Warriors have taken eight straight victories vs the Clippers, including the last four meetings in LA.. The Dubs average margin of victory has come by more than 13 points in the past eight contests against the Clippers, while  averaging 117.5 points per game and shooting 49.9 percent.In their last meeting Golden State smashed LA 144-98 on Jan 28th. This sets up this trend perfectly-

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Clippers- revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 4-28 ATS L/32.

GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 ATS L/16 versus good 3 point shooting teams  like the Clippers- making 36% or more of their attempts this season with the average margin of victory coming by just under 22 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 40-22 ATS L/62 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back to last season winning SU by an average of 9.5 ppg. 

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Golden State off a hard fought 113-11 win vs Portland on Sunday  now takes on a usually feisty and under rated Charlotte Hornets squad off a 115-98 loss last night in Portland.   I know the Hornets have struggled recently, losing 5 straight and 10 of their last 13 games, but because of the Warriors extreme superiority in this league and the Hornets current struggles, a premium favorite line has been installed by lines-makers, giving us value with the dog. 

NBA Road underdogs like the Hornets - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent like the Dubs after a win by 6 points or less are 35-4 ATS L/39 dating back 5 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-25 ATS L/33 after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent which happened last time out vs Portland. 

Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Golden State.

Play on Charlotte to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This Totals investment option centers almost totally on past trends, and mathematical truths and both sides current form. 

Oklahoma City are ranked 7th in Defensive rating in the league and 18th in offensive rating. Chicago ranks 23 in offense and 5th in defense. With that said, I expect the Thunders under rated D, to hold the Bulls struggling offense, to a lower out put than expected, while the Bulls solid D, does the same to the Thunder. Im betting on a grinding physical affair.

CHICAGO is 17-8 UNDER L/25 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 201.3 ppg going on the board.CHICAGO is 25-15 UNDER L/40 versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 204.3 ppg and is 23-14 UNDER L/37 versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season with a combined average of 204.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is 13-4 UNDER L/17 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 this season with a combined average of 202.9 ppg getting put on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is also 8-0UNDER L/9 after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points this season with a combined average 

with a combined average of 196.2 ppg getting scored. CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER L/11 after a combined score of 215 points or more this season with the following game seeing a combined sore of 196.6 ppg. OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-10 UNDER L/31` in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.5 ppg going on the board.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 UNDER L/8 after 4 straight games with 55 or more rebounds this season with a combined average of 203.6 ppg going on the scoreboard, 13-0 UNDER  after 3 straight games with 55 or more rebounds this season with a combined average of 201.1 ppg clicking in.

According to the data above, this tilt between Oklahoma City and Chicago favors a Total that should be closer to 202 to 204 , thus giving us value on this number being offered via a under bet.

Under is 10-3 in Bulls last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 23-7-2 in Bulls last 32 road games.Under is 23-9-1 in Thunder last 33 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 vs. NBA Central.Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.

Play UNDER  1 unit reg selection

The NY Knicks enter this game against lowly Brooklyn off getting clobbered by the Washington Wizards last night, and now are in an emotional letdown state and on tired legs, and also in a look ahead mode, as the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers are on deck. Meanwhile, the Nets, while not inspiring many bettors are looking forward to getting some revenge, against a Knicks side that cruised to a 110-96 victory in a earlier meeting this season. It must be noted that the Knicks are just are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 0-5 ATS L/5 against a side with a below .500 home record.

Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings and I am betting on the host side covering again. Brooklyn has win 4 straight SU at home in this series,

Injury update - NYK Knicks Derrick Rose expected to miss (injury)

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Lakers expect to have guard D'Angelo Russell the catalyst of their offense back on the floor tonight vs the visiting Denver Nuggets. His presence and flow will aid the Lakers into what Im betting will be a strong offensive showing vs a weak Nuggets defense ranked 28th in defensive rating in the league. Meanwhile, Denver is currently playing a top tier brand of basketball, that is producing a scorching offensive out put that has been highlighted with six 123+ point out explosions in their L/10 games .With that said I expect Nuggets have a big night again vs a Lakers D, .that is allowing an average of 110.1 ppg on the season and among the leagues bottom feeders and ranked 29th in defensive rating. DENVER is 21-4 OVER vs  lower tier defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game this season with a combined average of 230.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. These teams played in a 127-121 scorcher here back on Jan 17 and another back and forth affair is a high probability again. ( LAL ranks 7th in pace in the league- Denver ranks 5th in pace)

Over is 5-0-1 in Lakers last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 29-11-2 in Lakers last 42 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.Over is 13-2-1 in Nuggets last 16 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Lakers- revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-19 L/66 OVER.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

The Portland Trailblazers enter this game playing some very good basketball, having won 3 of their L/4 games with their only loss coming last time out, by 2 points to the explosive Golden State Warriors 113-111. Now in top form they face a Charlotte side playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, and have lost four straight. 

From a head to head perspective the host Blazers , also match-up well according to my own player to player and matchup stats, especially considering the Hornets are expected to play tonight's game without the services of starting center Cody Zeller. It must be noted that Charlotte is just 1-9 SU without Zeller in the lineup this season. Also from a defensive perspective the Blazers have gotten better as the season has progressed, and have come a long way since being ranked dead last in the league entering January. Since than the Blazers in 14 games have allowed 107.1 ppg and have allowed more than 120 points just three times with only 5 teams shooting better than 48% against them. While those numbers may not be championship calibre stats, they are still showing me this team is correcting earlier mistakes , and now on a upward trend and very under rated.

CHARLOTTE is 6-23 ATS L/29 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts this season.CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS L/14 when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season. Portland is 10-2 L/12 SU in this series. 

Portland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Phoenix Suns have lost three straight after, back to back series losses to the Denver Nuggets, and will now be primed for a bounce back effort vs the up and down Memphis Grizzlies, a side that is 4-5 SU and just 3-6 ATS in their L/9 games. Both sides may not inspire bettors at the moment, but the Suns here on their own home court have the match-up edge according to my proprietary programs and overall data .

PHOENIX is 31-17 ATS L/50 after a loss by 10 points or more PHOENIX is also 8-0 ATS L/8 in home games after a game where they were called for 30 or more fouls, which happened in a 123-112 loss the Denver Nuggets last time out. Suns are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS loss.Memphis  is 8-19 ATS L/27 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 .Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Phoenix to cover 1 unit reg selection   

Dallas comes off a invigorating win vs the San Antonio Spurs last night , and will now be in a emotional letdown state and on tired legs, vs a Cleveland Cavaliers team, that has something to prove , as many believe they cannot remain champions.  The Cavaliers matchup very well against the Mavs, as was evident in a 128-90 win back on Nov 25 at home. It must be noted that NBA  Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Mavericks - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are just 5-29 ATS L/34 dating back to the 2010/11 season. . (Cleveland smashed Oklahoma City by a 107-91 count last time out ) Dallas HC Carlisle is just is 10-22 ATS in home games revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more.

Cleveland to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 The road team took each of the first two meetings this season, with the Pistons taking a 121-114 win at Boston on Nov. 3 and Im betting the visitor once again has the edge taking points. The Celtics are short handed and despite of   winning the last two games without key performers Al Horford and Avery Bradley at  less than 100% or on the sidelines, Im betting the pride of Boston basketball cannot consistently play top tier hoops.  I also know the Pistons have struggled of late, and looked bad converting just four treys against Miami last time out, in ugly loss,  but now a bounce back performance must be expected. Look for the Pistons big man Andre Drummond to dominate in the paint and for him to be the catalyst behind a competitive Motown performance. Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Detroit to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Minnesota has scored 114,104,111,112,103, and 129 points on offense in their L/6 games , and at the same time, allowed 122,101, 108,111,109, and 109 points in back forth take no prisoners style games. Meanwhile, Orlando's porous D, has allowed 100 or more points in 16 of their L/17 games. Meanwhile, the Magic vs swiss cheese  defenses, can do damage as was the case vs the Raptors last time out when they put 114 points on the board, and will be primed to run and gun again in this spot with same season revenge on board. My own projections estimate that Minnesota will score 110 or more points. Which brings this trend into play. ORLANDO is 16-4 OVER  when they allow 110 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 224.9 ppg going on the board .ORLANDO is 12-4 OVER L/16 revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season ( Minnesota beat Orlando 127-107 back Nov 11.)

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Minnesota smashed Orlando by a 123-107, back in November in the Magic Kingdom, and now the Magic have revenge on board tonight. Orlando is 6-1 L/7 as visitors in this series and 7-1 SU/ATS wit same season revenge in this series. Orlando is also 9-2 ATS as 7 point or more rod dogs this season. With that said, I'll be recommending we take the dog here tonight. 

ORLANDO is 12-2 ATS L/14 in road games against Northwest division opponents. MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS L/21 after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 0-8 ATS L/8 after a blowout win by 15 or more points.)Minny whipped Brooklyn last time out by a 129-109 count.

Orlando to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Miami is in top form after 7 straight wins and in top form, but because of this I'm betting they may over look their opponents. Meanwhile, Brooklyn's horrendous season consistently makes them big underdogs. The lines makers are even now throwing in a premium point or 2 price tag when fading them.  I know the Nets throw alot of clunkers out there, and may not inspire many bettors, but at the moment I am stubbornly sticking to my guns, because of mathematics,  and recommending we back the Nets on a slightly bloated line . Heat are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Mighty Golden State Warriors come into the Moda Center tonight in Portland off a blowout win last night. However, it must be noted that the Dubs are just 1-6 ATS on the road without rest this season. Meanwhile, the Blazers, with revenge on their minds for three straight losses in this series, look like viable underdog bets after  having won three straight games and look to be in a upward momentum trend. 

From a league wide league data base : NBA Road favorites of 10 or more points like the Warriors - a dominant team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game are just 27-66 ATS dating back 21 seasons.

Play on Portland to cover 1 unit reg selection

Philadelphia (17-28) has recently playing some good basketball but is coming off a 123-118 loss at home Friday to the Houston Rockets, and won't have their catalyst and  star center Joel Embiid in the lineup tonight, which puts them at a disadvantage. Meanwhile, the Bulls (23-25) have struggled mightily in their past two games and began to criticize each other in postgame interviews and social media accounts.  Bulls HC Hoiberg then benched stars Wade and Butler, and the team lost 100-88 to Miami. Pros do not like to be embarrassed and Needless to say, they have now ignited a fire under their proverbial butts, and Im betting they come out here on fire and get us the cover. 

PHILADELPHIA is 9-21 ATS L/30 in road games after playing a home game. Chicago is a perfect 8-0 SU L/8 meetings. 

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Houston Rockets enter this tilt vs their hosts Indiana  looking very much like the right side here today according to my own power rankings and team and player to player matchup stats. Look for the Rockets high powered offense to get the best of a Indiana defense that allowed more than 106 ppg this season. I know the Rockets D, is nothing to brag about either, but he difference maker will come via the superior offense, which belongs to the Rockets (114.5 ppg).

HOUSTON is 28-19 ATS  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season and 24-13 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season,INDIANA is 18-31 ATS L/49 in non-conference games dating back to last season.

Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Brooklyn's horrendous season consistently makes them big underdogs. The lines makers are even now throwing in a premium point or 2 price tag when fading them. Meanwhile, Minnesota is a fine young team , but are hardly a top tier side,  , just yet. However, despite of that , the Wolves are being made double digit favorites here tonight vs a side that actually matches up fairly well against them, as was the case on Nov 8 when the Nets beat the Wolves 119-110 on home court as 4 point dogs. Hey guys I know that the Nets are without Booker and Lopez,  but they look better in my opinion with Justin Hamilton at center, Bogdanovic and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson at forward and guards Spencer Dinwiddie and Randy Foye,in the lineup and scored 43 points in the fourth quarter in a loss vs the Cleveland Cavaliers last time out.MINNESOTA is  9-21 ATS L/30   in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent and is 19-34 ATS L/53 as a favorite.MINNESOTA is also 19-36 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record dating back to last season and s 9-22 ATS  lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game.

Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Nuggets standout center Nikola Jokic suffered hip injury in his last outing and will miss this game vs the Phoenix Suns. Immediate advantage now goes to the Suns in this matchup in the desert tonight. Jokic won't be easy to replace. The Nuggets star is just  one five players -- along with Russell Westbrook, DeMarcus Cousins, Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Davis -- to be averaging at least 20 points and 10 rebounds in January. The Nuggets have lost 17 of 26 when he does not start compared to 11-8 SU when hes in the lineup. 

Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Milwaukee's enter this road game against the Celtics having  problems with their  defensive play.  The  Bucks after leading the league earlier this season are now  15th in FG D (48.9 percent) and are 11th in points allowed, giving up 104.5 per game.Meanwhile, the Celtics are running on cylinders offensively, scoring more than 106 points 19 straight times  and will make the Bucks run with them today , or be blown of the court. This scenario I am betting leads toa high scoring affair that eclipses the number.

BOSTON is 9-1 OVER  after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average od 223.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. MILWAUKEE is 10-2 OVER L/12 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average score of 222.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. MILWAUKEE is 17-4 OVER after playing a road game this season.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Grizzlies have been playing mediocre basketball this month losing 6 of 11 games, and are not looking as consistently tenacious as they did  last season. Do not get me wrong their still a hard working group with good chemistry, but tonight  they are fade material against a Portland side , that is  in an upward momentum trend after two straight wins, against the Celtics on the road and Lakers at home. It must also be noted that in their two meetings this year the Blazers matched up well against the Grizz, losing a close affair 88-86 in December, and defeated  them 100-92 in the first meeting back in November.with both games coming on the road . Now with home court advantage, the Blazers look very much like the right side in this spot. 

Blazers HC Stotts is 32-18 ATS L/50 versus poor shooting teams like the Grizzlies- making 43% or less of their shots.MEMPHIS is 10-21 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days dating back to last season.PORTLAND is 16-6 ATS L/22 in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days dating back to last season.Grizzlies are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two teams playing exceptional ball at the moment, clash to -night in Atlanta as the Hawks host the Washington Wizards. The difference maker  is in how each team has performed in the visitors role and as hosts. Washington has struggled on the road, going 6-14 SU away from the Verizon Center , while Atlanta is 13-9 SU at Philips Arena.This is the third meeting of the season between the two clubs. Atlanta won the first game 114-99 and Washington hung on in a  95-92 victory in the rematch, with each team winning at home.The difference maker tonight comes via home court advantage again. 

ATLANTA is 27-12 ATS L/39 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%)

Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Charlotte enters this game having gone under in 7 straight games, thanks to some bloated Totals, and decent defensive efforts. Charlotte a team that ranks 16th in offense in the league enters this game off a hard fought loss to Golden State last time out 113-103, and could easily start a little slowly in an emotional let down state , which will impact their offensive output over the entire game. Meanwhile, the NY Knicks a side that ranks 15th in offensive output, have gone under the Total in 3 straight games, and last time out in Dallas put just 95 points on the board in exhausted looking fashion. Now still on tired legs, playing their 8th game in 12 days, I expect the Knicks offense to be muted again, for a Charlotte side that can play a strong brand of defensive ball. (Charlotte ranks 6th in the NBA in Defensive rating)

NEW YORK is 13-1 UNDER L/14 versus strong offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 200.7 ppg games.CHARLOTTE is 18-4 UNDER L/22 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76%  or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average  of 200.4 ppg getting scored.

 From a league wide NBA data base, it must be noted that teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like NYK - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 50-16 under going back 5 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection  

Minnesota has won three straight games, and getting accolades from the NBA pundits. However, despite of their current  short term success, Im still not sold on them, and feel like they still have a long way to go. In the Wolves last trip to the hardwood, they got a buzzer beater to upend the Suns on the road, by 1 point (112-111) and despite of their hard work were lucky to get that win and will now be in an emotional letdown state . It must be noted the Wolves are,  2-11 ATS  in home games off a road win and a long term 19-44 ATS  off a road win by 3 points or less . Meanwhile, the visiting Indiana Pacers are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the spectrum losing three straight, but according to my own numbers and player to players matchup statistics offer value taking points here.

MINNESOTA is 19-33 ATS L/52 as a favorite . INDIANA is 18-8 ATS L/26 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games.MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS L/32  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game  and 8-17 ATS L/25 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts this season.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Mavericks  smashed the Los Angeles Lakers by 49 points on Sunday, and bring momentum in to game  against a NY Knicks side that is exhausted, as they play their 9th game in 14 days. The Knicks did win last time out over Indiana , but they have not won two in a row since Dec 22 of this season.Meanwhile, the Mavericks have won four of their last six and split their last 18 games overall, and are healthy and currently in top form, and my choice tonight as short favorites on  home  court tonight. The Mavs are 16-3 SU L/19 at home in this series. DALLAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts this season.Knicks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Houston enters into this game against their hosts Boston losing 5 of their L/8 games, and are not playing at the same level that they did earlier this season. Meanwhile, the Celtics despite of a current 3 game losing streak, are a capable home side, with enough offensive guns ,  as is evident by scoring 103 or more points in 17 straight games,  to keep pace here and get us the cover. I do know that the Celtics played last night but they are one of leagues better conditioned side, as is also evident by a  30-15 ATS when playing on back-to-back days.HOUSTON is  just 19-32 ATS L/51 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection 

This is my Ugly Betty wager of the week. On the surface its a selection that has negatives attached to it, but  my data base, and matchup stats are telling me the home team actually has an edge on this line as underdogs.  I know the Heat take a season-high four-game winning streak into to play the lowly  Brooklyn Nets on Wednesday night, but in contrarian fashion I'll take the home dog, as Im betting on the Heat being in a emotional let down spot after upsetting Golden State last time out 105-102..MIAMI is 0-8 ATS L8 in road games after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots, which happened last time out vs the Warriors. 

Play on Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Timberwolves beat the Suns 98-85 in Phoenix in November, and then won 115-108 in Minneapolis last month. However, despite of these results I now expect a rejuvenated looking Suns side to get some payback.Phoenix has gone 5-5 SU this month, including wins over two division leaders -- San Antonio and Toronto and must not be underestimated at the moment. Yes, I do know that the Suns are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, but they are one of the better conditioned teams in the NBA and have covered 13 of their L/17 under those perimeters. 

MINNESOTA is 0-9 ATS L/9 off a win against a division rival, which happened against Denver last time out (111-108)

Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Suns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Two Eastern Conference rivals the Washington Wizards and Boston Celtics prepare to do battle tonight . These teams have no real love for each other, with Boston getting the upper hand in the most recent conflict winning 117-108 and also won the first meeting . Washington has been red hot, having won 8 of their L/10 and 13 straight at home. Meanwhile, the Celtics had won won 7 of 8 before dropping their two most recent games, but are rested and ready to go after a few days off. The bottom line here from a betting perspective ,  the Celtics current lineup  matchup very well vs  the Wizards according to a head to head system I created 9 years ago, which factors in fatigue, which Washington should be experiencing at the moment, with this being their 6th game in 8 days. WASHINGTON is 9-21 ATS L/30 in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days.

Celtics are 21-6 ATS L/27 in road games versus upper tier offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game and 12-4 ATS  in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season. Boston is a perfect 7-0 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less this season.

Boston Celtics to cover  1 unit reg selection 

The Raptors are in a slump right now and will play without their leading scorer DeMar Rozen tonight, but still have the depth needed to make a game of this tilt vs San Antonio. After all its not like, the Spurs are completely healthy at the moment, as Kawhi Leonard, Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker and Paul Gasol are all banged up and doubtful to play tonight and if they do play, they will be less than 100%. Look for the Raptors in their current desperate state to come out on fire tonight, and give the visiting Spurs more than they bargained for.

SAN ANTONIO is 4-13 ATS L/17 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season. 

Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Bulls and the Magic are both struggling. Both have obvious weaknesses, but my own matchup data suggests that Orlando has the advantage here at home. 

Bulls are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Orlando.

CHICAGO is 7-15 ATS L/22 when playing against a team with a losing record this season. CHICAGO is 7-21 ATS L/28 against Southeast division opponents.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection

Utah enters this home tilt vs Oklahoma City ranked first points allowed, and 30th in pace in the NBA, with a  defense first  and methodical physical system being their cornerstone to success or failure. Meanwhile, the Thunder despite of their reputation are ranked just 16th in offensive rating this season, and a decent 12th in defensive rating and play better defense than many give them credit for. With that said, I expect a lower scoring game then the linesmakers expect, based on their hard data. My own numbers suggest that  based on the above mentioned matchup variables t that we have value being under bettors in this spot, 

The Thunder enter this game going under in 11 straight games with rest, and have gone under in 11 of their L/13 with a line of 211 or less. Meanwhile,  the Jazz have gone under 6 straight times,  as favorites vs .550 opponents or less like the Thunder and have gone under in 8 of the L/9 vs Oklahoma City. Under is 8-1 in Thunder last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 14-4 in Thunder last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Utah.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Thunder - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) after 42+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5  or lessTO's) are 35-11 UNDER dating back 21 seasons.  NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 liek the Jazz - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are 22-4 UNDER dating back 5 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection