Atlanta ranks 7th in ppg offense and 23rd in ppg defense, as they push forward with wreck-less run and gun action.  Considering the Thunders attention to defense has dropped off a cliff as the season has progressed as is evident by allowing 12 of their L/17 opponents to breach the 120 point plateau and 7 those 12 games have seen 130 or more points go on the board, its an easy decision to back a higher scoring tilt taking place. 

Over is 7-2 in Hawks last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 OVER  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 230 (ATLANTA) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 230 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a road win against a division rival are 29-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City.

Play OVER 

Kings play their best hoops vs lower tier sides as is evident by a recent  4-0 ATS run  in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile ,the Rockets are just  8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. With Davion Mitchell in top form for the Kings averaging ,   21.6 points and 7.2 assists  in his L/5 games with increased minutes the visitors seem to be inspired of late.

Silas is 19-39 ATS  as a home underdog as the coach of HOUSTON

Gentry is 58-34 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached

NBA  team vs the money line (HOUSTON) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 9-36 L/5 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Sacramento to cover 

The Raptors seem to always bring their A game for games against strong sides and Im betting they have the edge here tonight. 

MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS  after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher over the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 15-7 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

TORONTO is 9-1 ATS  versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. TORONTO is 26-14 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Raptors are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 68 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after a close win by 3 points or less are 50-17 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

TORONTO is 21-4 L/25 SU straight up against MINNESOTA .

Play on the Toronto to cover 

The Knicks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record like Charlotte and have an edge here tonight.

Knicks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. 

NEW YORK is 35-14 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 23-7 ATS  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 10-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

Mavs had had some cover issues on the road of late failing in their L/4 attempts to deliver the cash to their betting backers. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and  are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog and according to my own numbers have an edge. 

DALLAS is 4-13 ATS  in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 22-12 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 11-38 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 

The Sixers rank 26th in pace and 8th in ppg defense in the NBA and tonight, Im betting they try to grind this game down to a snails pace in an attempt to be competitive vs an explosive offensive side in the Bucks. At this time of the season, top tier teams like these two sides prepare for the play offs by paying alot more attention to defensive play especially in transition, and Im betting thats what we see tonight with these Eastern Conference rivals.Note:   Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games as a home favorite.

MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 223.5 ppg going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 14-5 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored. 

PHILADELPHIA is 22-11 UNDER  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots this season with a combined average of 214.2 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 115-47 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

A month ago I would have laid the lumber with the Bulls , but in their current form they do not deserve the favorite role especially on the road .  I know the Wizards may not inspire bettors but they have shown an ability to competitive of late winning 3 of their L/5 straight up and have covered 4 of their L/6. Note: Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

CHICAGO is 1-9 ATS in road games in March games this season.CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.CHICAGO is 3-11 ATS   in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.

Play on Washington to cover 

The Grizzlies offense has been hitting on cylinders of late scoring eclipsing the 122 point plateau 7 of 9 times and scoring more than 130 points 4 times during that explosive 9 game run. Considering the Golden State Warriors current sub par defensive performances allowing 121 and 123 points in their L/2 games Im betting the Grizzlies unload again and score more than 122 points here according to my projections with the Warriors chasing and hitting at least +101 points in a tilt that very much favors an over wager.  Note: Memphis ranks 3rd in ppg offense and 3rd in pace and will dictate the speed of this game here tonight.MEMPHIS is 23-13 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 227.3 ppg, GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 OVER   in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season with the combined average of 225.7 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 15-2 OVER  versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233.3 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Boston took out Minnesota last night in start to finish action. the Celtics put forward alot of energy which followed uo win vs Utah and previous to that a west coast road swing. So now on tired legs in a back to back situation and this being their 7th game in 12 days Im betting the fresher Raptors have an edge. Note: Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.  Raptors are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

BOSTON is 0-10 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (TORONTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 30-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Toronto to cover 

Both sides have key players banged up and not playing, and it's down to  which side  has more bench strength. I know the prevailing opinion would be the Warriors are deeper, but Warriors have shown glitches without their super star Curry in the lineup and without him on the floor their cohesiveness is consistently questioned. With that said, I will take the points with the home side.  Golden State is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.Warriors are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

 GOLDEN STATE is 18-30 ATS  in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons. Kerr is 23-39 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, in March games are 35-12 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

Play on Washington to cover 

Minnesota beat Boston at home back in December of this season, and according to my matchup power rankings matchup well here vs the Celtics. BOSTON is 11-26 ATS   revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Also from a SRS matchup perspective the Wolves rank 7th in the league with 3.42 mark while the Celtics rank 2nd with a 6.20 average. So with home court advantage, thrown in we have value with the line that should be closer to -5 to -5.5 . Advantage taking points. 

Celtics are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

MINNESOTA is 23-10 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season.

NBA Home favorites (BOSTON) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 11-28 ATS L/.5 seasons for a go against  71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

When these teams played back in December the Wolves took a 108-103 win and Im betting on a similar style of play here and a combined score that has rinse and repeat written all over it. Note: Celtics rank No.1 in the NBA in ppg allowed and defensive efficiency behind the 24th ranked pace. Here at home they will dictate the speed of this game. 

BOSTON is 26-17 UNDER  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored. BOSTON is 25-11 UNDER   as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 208.4 ppg scored. Under is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 33-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 37-14 L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

My own numbers suggest this total should be closer to 229 giving us value on a under wager with a full possession advantage. Under is 4-1-1 in Rockets last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Under is 8-1 in Trail Blazers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 14-2 in Trail Blazers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Portland has seen their L/ 5 straight games go under the set total and Im betting this number is  hefty enough to go under the set total. HOUSTON is 18-7 UNDER  after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 27-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

The Bucks beat the Grizzlies back in January at home, and now the Grizzlies are primed and motivated to return the favor. MEMPHIS is 18-4 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. With Khriss Middleton playing with a nagging wrist injury, Jrue Holiday expected to miss, and almost alwys banged up super star Giannis Antetokounmpo less than 100% the home side has the edge. 

Budenholzer is 18-33 ATS L/51 on the road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MILWAUKEE.

MILWAUKEE is 7-20 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS  against Central division opponents this season. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - after allowing 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 11-35 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate. 

Play on Memphis to cover 

My numbers have made this Total closer to 232 , thus giving us value to the under by more than a full possession.

Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Rockets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .4

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 26-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate.

Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

Play UNDER 

The Heat were short handed last time out, and did not play. a consistent game and ended up on the wrong side off a DD loss to Golden State . Im betting however, that the Heat are deep enough to bounce back here even if Butler does not play and get us the cover here at home vs an inconsistent loss . Note: Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-31 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.1 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

Knicks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.Knicks are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

I know key cogs Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton are out for the Bucks, but Im betting they still have enough firepower to dispose of a up and down side like the Wizards who have lost 7 of their L/8 games overall and just lost to a very young Houston side last time out by DDs. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 8-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover

Cleveland has not been very inconsistent lately especially on defense, and are vulnerable road dogs here vs a Toronto side, that has won 6 of their L/8 . The Raps did lose last time out to a revenge minded Chicago side, but Im betting  this well rested home side will be ready to bounce back here  vs a CLEVELAND side that  is 0-8 ATS  in road games after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 2 seasons. Note: Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.

CLEVELAND is 17-33 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. 

TORONTO is 25-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.   Raptors are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.

Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.

Play on Toronto Raptors to cover 

Minnesota lost a closely contested battle vs Dallas last time out 110-108 and will be ready for a bounce back here vs another top tier side ( Suns). The Wolves also have the extra motivation in  revenge mode on board for a 134-124 loss at Phoenix back on Jan 28th. Note: MINNESOTA is 17-4 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.

MINNESOTA is 11-0 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.MINNESOTA is 10-1 ATS  in March games this season.

MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS ( in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. MINNESOTA is 23-9 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or better  of their shots are 4-24 ATS/SU  L/26 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

These teams just a met a couple of days ago in Orlando with the Magic taking a 90-85 victory.Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight from a offensive output perspective. 

Under is 11-4 in Magic last 15 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 30-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 26-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Denver has lost 2 straight and the Clippers have lost 3 straight and both sides will now be playing with a sense of urgency as they look to avert another loss. What Im betting on here is a hard core battle, that makes getting points a viable investment opportunity. The last 3 meetings in this series have been decided by 2,2,3 points. 

Clippers are 23-6-1 ATS in their last 30 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Clippers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.

Lue is 25-11 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 as the coach of LA CLIPPERS.

DENVER is 1-8 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts this season.DENVER is 2-11 ATS   in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less  free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

The two meetings in this series this season, between visiting Chicago and their hosts tonight Milwaukee has resulted in 6 and 4 points margins of victory,  for the Bucks  and Im betting on another closely contested battle that makes taking points a viable betting option.   MILWAUKEE is 1-11 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.MILWAUKEE is 2-11 ATS in home games after a non-conference game this season.( This is the Bucks 1st home game, after 4 straight western conference road games) Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and being well rested has not been a complement to the Bucks ATS record as they are also just 2-6 ATS L/8 on 2 days rest. 

Bucks are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Budenholzer is 10-25 ATS  after playing 4 consecutive road games in all games he has coached since 1996.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 130 points or more are 16-37 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

Bucks key cog Middleton is expected out tonight vs the Bulls and Giannis Antetokounmpo is also less than 100% with some knee issues and is expected to play but Im betting the Bucks may not be as cohesive as usual , which will effect their output. Meanwhile, the Bulls are going under the set totals of their tilts consistently of late, with 7 of their L/8 going under as the lines-makers are over estimating the combined outputs. Im betting their number is once again off base and should be closer to 229, giving us more than a full possession of value to the under. 

 .Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 3-1-1 in Bulls last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 road games.

Under is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Donovan is 20-8 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season as the coach of CHICAGO with a combined average of 220 ppg scored.CHICAGO is 18-7 UNDER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-11 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 33-10 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

NY has been showing some late seasons signs of cohesiveness and have have covered 7 of their L/9 and against a  ATLANTA side that  is 1-9 ATS  in road games in the second half of the season this season once again have an edge on their own home floor. Hawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.

Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

ATLANTA is 8-20 ATS  in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS  in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 39-16 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 33-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NEW YORK is 6-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons at home.Hawks are 4-10-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings.

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Both these teams played last night, but the Celtics played in the exhausting High altitudes of the Mile High city , and could easily find themselves on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state  tonight as this is their 3rd road game in nights . Also I doubt very much the Celtics will be as motivated as possible vs a non play off side that has been highly inconsistent all season long.  Note: BOSTON is 1-13 ATS  vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season. BOSTON is 0-9 ATS  after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Daigneault is 8-0 ATS  after a combined score of 185 points or less as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. (Oklahoma city lost to Orlando on the road last night by a 90-85 score. )

OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-7 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 3-23 SU/ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

Two struggling teams Washington and Houston go head to head tonight in a game that Im betting is significantly closer than the linesmakers might expect , thus according to my projections giving us value with this very ugly home dog.HOUSTON is 19-4 L/23 straight up against WASHINGTON at home  and have covered the L/4 meetings here. 

Wizards are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Wizards are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.

Wizards are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite.

Unseld Jr is 6-20 ATS  in non-conference games as the coach of WASHINGTON.

Play on Houston to cover 

 The Chicago Bulls will be out to end a three-game losing streak and preserve their playoff seeding Monday night when they play the visiting Toronto Raptors and will be further motivated to get revenge for a loss they suffered a 127-120 loss at Toronto earlier this season. 

 Donovan is 23-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of CHICAGO.

CHICAGO is 14-2 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 27-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.7 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Chicago to cover

Brooklyn has been playing some strong hoops of late and have won 5 of their L/6 overall and have the added motivation of getting revenge for a DD loss at Utah back in early Feb of this season. However despite of the redemption they have in mind it must be noted that  BROOKLYN is  just 1-10 ATS   in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season and is 1-8 ATS   in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season. Also from a matchup perspective the Jazz matchup very well here vs the Nets as they rank 2nd in the league in SRS with a 6.26 rating while the Nets rank 17th with a0.24 mark. Advantage Utah Jazz. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

BROOKLYN is 0-10 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season. BROOKLYN is 4-17 ATS  in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less  points/game this season. 

NBA Road underdogs (UTAH) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 27-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 31-6 L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Utah to cover 

There is no such thing as tanking teams, or is there? Well it makes not matter, as Detroit cannot be trusted to be this big favorite no matter how competitive they have been of late, and or  how badly the Blazers have played. I know the Pistons have covered 13 of their L/14 and have been an absolute ATM machine for their backers, but all those games were played as dogs. Note: Trail Blazers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.PORTLAND is 17-5 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. PORTLAND is 34-17 ATS  L/51 in road games sub .500  teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season .

Pistons are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite.

Pistons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA Road underdogs (PORTLAND) - average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%) after 42+ games, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 27-8 ATS L/26 seasons for  a76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Portland to cover 

San Antonio enter their final 11 games 2 1/2 back of the 10th-place New Orleans Pelican and are in desperate needs of wins and will Im betting leave everything on the floor tonight making them viable dogs vs a up and down  Golden state side off a ugly DD loss to Boston Celtics last time out and now without Steph Curry. Spurs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Spurs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

SAN ANTONIO is 20-9 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 20-8 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of more  of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

NBA  team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 34-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Boston has been playing some very good hoops for a while now, but this is  third straight Western conference  road game, in 4 days, and being on tired legs in the high latitudes of the Mile High city is generally never a good recipe for success. DENVER is  also 15-2 ATS L/17 in home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. Look for the hot shooting Nuggets to have an advantage taking points.  

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after allowing 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 115 points or more 2 straight games are 5-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 18-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover 

The Pelicans, , played their sixth straight game without leading scorer Brandon Ingram when they pounded the host San Antonio Spurs 124-91 on Friday night. The Pelicans however, have only won 4 of the 20 games that Ingram has missed overall , and have not played well in the past off a DD win vs a division rival and are fade material here vs a side that Im betting matches up well against them. Note:NEW ORLEANS is 9-27 ATS L/36  in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival . Pelicans are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

Hawks are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Hawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games.

Hawks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 16-83 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.1. 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in March games. are 60-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 

Oklahoma City finally ha a side they matchup well against in Orlando and Im betting they have an edge taking points. Note:Thunder are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games as a road underdog. Magic are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-4 ATS  versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less  points/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-9 ATS versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season. OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-1 ATS  in road games in non-conference games this season. Daigneault is 20-8 ATS  in road games in non-conference games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 130 points or more are 15-37 L/26 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 52-22 L/5 seasons for a 52-22 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder 

Both these sides have been running and gunning with wreck-less abandon of late, but from a matchup perspective my totals number comes in short of this offering giving us value with an under wager. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-4 UNDER after 5 or more consecutive overs and in 25 non conference games this season the average combined score has clicked in at 217.3 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 25-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 7 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) are 37-13  UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play on Orlando to cover 

Both these sides can light up the board with consistency and frequency, but at this time in the season, when top tier sides face each other their is a tendency for both sides to play a more physical  deliberate type of hoops, that often results in much lower combined scores than some current dichotomies may assert through data coverage.  Advantage to the UNDER. 

Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Minnesota.

MILWAUKEE is 8-0 UNDER versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored.MILWAUKEE is 7-0 UNDER  versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 220.3 ppg scored. 

MILWAUKEE is 10-2 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. with a combined average of 220.4 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 13-5 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 this season with the combined average score of those tilts ringing in at 219.7 ppg. 

MINNESOTA in 9 games  versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season have seen a combined average of 229.4 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 51-17 UNDER  L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, in March games are 44-14 UNDER  L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA/MILWAUKEE ) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, in March games. are 68-24 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Neither one of these sides will inspire bettors, but my own data suggests the young Rockets matchup well here especially on their own home floor. INDIANA is 21-33 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Carlisle is 54-79 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) in all games he has coached since 1996. Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA team vs the money line (HOUSTON) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 18-9 L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Play on Houston to cover 

From a SRS perspective the Grizzlies are being over rated here tonight on the road as favs. Memphis ranks 5th in the league with a 4.78 mark while the Hawks rank 14th with a 0.83 mark. When factoring in home court advantage the Hawks getting this many points look to be an advantage players delight. Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival are 6-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road favorites (MEMPHIS) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 2 days rest are 29-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

Atlanta Hawks to cover 

This is Denvers 3rd road game in 4 days and Im betting they are on tired legs and in a offensive letdown spot after putting 127 points on the board in a DD win last time out. Note: DENVER is 6-16 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Nuggets are  also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.Meanwhile, the Cavs have shown them selves very competitive against .500 or better teams at home cashing 10 of their 12 opportunities.  

CLEVELAND is also  21-10 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season and are an ATM machine going against horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season cashing 20 of 29 times.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less  PPG), after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 16-52 L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Orlando ranks 28th in the NBA in offensive overall output and 29th in offensive efficiency while, Motown ranks 29th in offensive output and 28th in offensive rating . Its obvious prduction numbers are low, and Im betting nothing changes tonight. 

ORLANDO is 15-6 UNDER  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 208.9 ppg scored.Under is 4-0 in Magic last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.Under is 5-1-1 in Magic last 7 games as a favorite.

Under is 6-1 in Pistons last 7 overall.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 29-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ORLANDO) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 27-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against a horrible offensive team (104 or less PPG) after 42+ games, after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 34-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

Pistons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and  are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall and are continuing to uptrend in my power rankings. from a betting perspective . The linesmakers in my opinion are weighting to much on home floor advantage considering the Pistons ATS data. Advantage Detroit. 

NBA Road teams (DETROIT) - pathetic team - shooting 43% or less  with a defense of 46% or more on the season against opponent after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 34-10 ATS L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 

Utah is playing this game on tired legs as they play their 8th game in two weeks, and have recently been a night mare for their betting backers failing to cover 9 of their L/11 overall. I know the Bulls are also not in top form, but my power ranking suggest they matchup well vs the Jazz. UTAH is 3-11 ATS  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. Jazz are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.Jazz are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Jazz are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

UTAH is 1-8 ATS  against Central division opponents this season.

NBA  team vs the money line (UTAH) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 30-62 L/5 seasons for a go against  65% conversion rate.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

Phoenix will continue  without Chris Paul (thumb) and Cameron Johnson (quad) and despite of being a deep side, and tonight Im betting they may let up a bit and use this almost like a defacto night off as they try to stay fresh for the play offs. Also the Rockets always seem to display their best hoops vs top tier sides .Note: Rockets are   18-6 ATS L/24 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams (HOUSTON) - struggling defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season, after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 22-4 ATS L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. 

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (PHOENIX) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 8-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 

Philadelphia will be primed to bounce back here after losing 2 of their L/3 games. Both losses came at home where the Sixers generally play their best hoops. Alot of conversation has centered around a lack of  team chemistry, after the Sixers acquired Harden in a trade with the Nets, but Im not buying into that. With Jarret Allen still out for the Cavs Im betting they are at a disadvantage here vs a 76ers team on a mission. 

76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and   have won five of their last six road games overall. 

Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.

CLEVELAND is 16-31 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA  Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 31-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 

Detroit is  playing a very competitive brand of basketball behind star Cade Cunningham who is making a run at NBA Rookie of the Year. The young star is on a  current run of seven straight games of scoring at least 20 points and Im betting will be the catalyst behind a Pistons cover vs Miami tonight in South Florida. 

Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and  are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Pistons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.Pistons are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBA Road underdogs (DETROIT) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 35-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. 

DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Detroit Pistons to cover 

The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Clippers by DDs back at the beginning of the season, and matchup well vs this version of LAC. Note:LA CLIPPERS are 1-9 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season.

CLEVELAND is 20-10 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 32-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 . 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

The Suns have assured themselves a spot in the postseason and likely will enter the playoffs as the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference, so to some here it might seem they may not be motivated, but as we all know momentum is important and the Suns need to get things rolling and today thats what Im betting on. The Lakers are ninth in the West, which would mean having to win two games in the play-in event in order to claim the final Western playoff spot and a first-round matchup against the Suns. Desperation Im betting wont be enough to circumvent a loss here for the Lakers vs a side that needs to begin to ramp things up for post season play. The Suns  have won the L/4 meetings in this series by DDs.

LA LAKERS are 3-15 ATS  off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons . ( The Lakers woke up last time out 

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 51-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

Hawks are hefty favs here but for a good reason. Atlanta has easily won both meetings this season between these teams, and are fighting for a play off spot , and will be motivated to get another victory in this series tonight. Meanwhile, Indiana has no real play off hopes and are in a down mode, even though they surprised another inconsistent side the Spurs last time out. Considering the Pacers are 1-17 on the road in conference play this season , and seemingly have shown very little consistency or fight, Im betting they remain fade material in this spot play. The Atlanta Hawks in  straight-up wins, are 21-0 ATS the last 21.

Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover 

Pelicans have shown some life at times this season, but they are currently on a 0-4 ATS/SU run, and are not viable favs , in their current form. Advantage taking points resides with the Rockets. 

Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 27-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 55-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to cover 

Detroit has been playing very competitive ball of late behind a much more cohesive faster paced attack and today Im betting they drag the Clippers into a take. no prisoners offensive slugfest. Motown is playing with little or no pressure, as the play offs are but a dream for this young team , so playing with wreck-less abandon wont be an issue.  DETROIT is 10-2 OVER  in home games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 229.1 ppg scored. 

Over is 7-3 in Clippers last 10 games as a favorite.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS /DETROIT PISTONS) - in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (76-79%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 24-2 OVER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 250.2 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

As we enter the stretch drive towards the NBA play offs many top tier teams realize the importance of playing two way hoops and tonight Im betting on some pre post season action, as defensive ball will be on full display. Note: Golden State ranks first in the NBA in defensive rating . 

MILWAUKEE is 24-7 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.3 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 18-7 UNDER  versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored. Budenholzer is 34-18 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MILWAUKEE are 219.5 ppg scored.  GOLDEN STATE is 32-18 UNDER  after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the a combined average 221 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER 

The Lakers are in free fall and have lost 9 of their L/11 and are not viable favs in their current form not even at home vs a sub par Washington Wizards side. Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

LA LAKERS are 12-23 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 29-45 ATS  in home games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after scoring 125 points or more are 14-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Washington to cover 

The Suns rank first in the NBA in SRS at 7.34 while, the Raptors  rank 13th with a 1.20 score. Add in home court advantage and a fav line of -9 may be more appropriate , thus giving us value laying the lumber here with the home side. Note: PHOENIX is 24-6 ATS   as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 19-8 ATS   versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 32-1 L/26 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Raptors are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

After three straight upsets as underdogs Im now betting the Knicks will not catch this opponent over looking them. Instead Im betting the Memphis Grizzlies will be wide awake and well prepared to play hard  knowing how well their formerly slumping opponent is suddenly playing. Also with this being the Knicks 6th straight road game since March 2nd we can be guaranteed they will be winded here in this psot playing making them vulnerable to a DD beatdown. MEMPHIS is 16-7 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season.

Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 24-56 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

 NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are 1-36 L/5 seasons for a go against  97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.7 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Memphis to cover 

The Magic have been playing fairly competitive ball of late, but that will work to a disadvantage for them as their opponents will be well aware of their improved play and well prepared to play hard for the win. Minnesota has won 6 straight games with 5 of those coming by DDs  and will want to keep that momentum alive as we enter the stretch drive of the NBA regular season. Im betting there will be no letdown from the Wolves as they continue their dominance here again tonight in the Magic kingdom. 

MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS  off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival this season.

ORLANDO is 0-10 ATS  after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.

ORLANDO is 4-15 ATS  versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 8-21 ATS  in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.Mosley is 6-19 ATS  as a home underdog as the coach of ORLANDO.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 51-19 ATS L/26 seasons for a73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Minnesota wolves to cover 

Brooklyn ended a 4 game losing streak against charlotte last time out with a 132-121 win, but momentum has been an issue for the Nets all season long as is evident by their   0-8 ATS  record off a road win by 10 points or more this season. From a matchup perspective the Sixers have the edge at home and deserve their favorite status on this line. Advantage 76ers. 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

Nets are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

PHILADELPHIA is 21-10 ATS in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 130 points or more are 11-57 L/26 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 84% with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.1 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

Denver has been playing some very strong hoops of late, but the Kings have shown some surprising fight of late, and have covered 4 of their L/6 including a close 115-110 loss in the Mile high City on Feb 26th and with home court advantage will continue to be competitive here against a team they seem to matchup well against. The Kings did suffer a ugly DD loss to NYK last time out, but  are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

NBA team (DENVER) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG differential), after scoring 115 points or more 3 straight games are 13-34 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against  71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

The well rested Raptors have lost 3 straight games and are now very hungry for a win, and fortunately for them they go against a  Spurs side that my power rankings suggest they matchup well against. Note: Toronto smashed the Spurs 129-104 back in Jan 4th.  The Raptors are 13th in SRS  at +0.97 and the Spurs rank 16th as -0.23. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.

Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.

SAN ANTONIO is 8-26 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.  Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (TORONTO) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 46-6 L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

The Knicks after a 7 game losing streak suddenly came to life in their L/2 games against teams that probably took them for granted. That wont happen here tonight against a Mavericks side that has revenge on board for a loss to the Knicks earlier this season. DALLAS is 14-2 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.

NEW YORK is 0-7 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season this season.

NBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 26-53 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two sub par offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 12-37 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion for bettors. 

Play on Mavs to cover 

The Bucks took out the Thunder. by DDs last time out on the road which is not a good omen considering the following trend. Note:MILWAUKEE is 1-11 ATS  in home games after a non-conference game this season. I know the Hawks embarrassed themselves last time out vs the Pistons in Motown losing as favs in OT, but now Im betting they will be primed for redemption vs the defending champs. McMillan is 61-36 ATS   in road games off a upset loss as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1996.

Budenholzer is 18-34 ATS  after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more as the coach of MILWAUKEE. 

NBA Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50%  or better of their shots are 52-101 L/153  for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on The Atlanta Hawks to cover 

When these teams played in Boston earlier this season they combined for 220 points in a Celtics 113-017 win. My numbers suggest a similar output here as my estimates configure at reaching the low 220s giving us a solid under advantage based on those projections. Note: Boston Ranks 3rd in defense ppg and 2nd in defensive rating  and 24th in pace, and have the ability to control this tempo even in a road environment on rested legs as they have not played since the 6th of March. 

Under is 16-5 in Hornets last 21 games as an underdog.

BOSTON is 22-10 UNDER  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 208 ppg scored. 

CHARLOTTE is 14-5 UNDER  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average 220.8 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 8-1 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 217.1 ppg scored. CHARLOTTE is 11-1 UNDER  versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less  points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 211.8 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHARLOTTE) - with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season, in March games are 42-29 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER 

Desperation is now permeating around the Warriors, and tonight as they look to end a 5 game losing streak and losses in 7 of their L/8, Im betting we see this talented but slumping team shift gears and put forward a motivated effort that results in a win and more importantly a cover. 

GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS  in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 3-13 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 33-3 L/26 seasons for a 96% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff registering in at +10.2. 

Play on Golden State to cover 

The Grizzlies will be ready for a bounce back performance here vs the New Orleans Pelicans after a surprising  123-111 upset  loss to the young Houston Rockets last time out.  Note: MEMPHIS is 7-0 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more this season. Meanwhile, despite of the Pelicans playing very good hoops at the moment , they are in a letdown situation after a Mile High City OT loss, that Im sure sapped alot of their energy  making them vulnerable in this spot situation. 

MEMPHIS is 15-7 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off a road loss against a division rival are 7-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -7.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more, in March games are 34-5 L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover

The Suns after a close win vs the Knicks 115-114 were taken down by the Bucks last time out by a 132-122 count as they looked tired at the end of that game. Now rejuvenated and ready to bounce back Im betting on a top tier  redemption effort from this top tier side, vs a over matched Magic squad that was pummeled by the Grizzlies 124-96 in their last trip to the hardwood. Note: Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

ORLANDO is 0-7 ATS in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more this season.ORLANDO is 3-11 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.ORLANDO is 7-21 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Magic are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Magic are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

The Cavaliers seem to play their best hoops against top tier squads, but against struggling sides CLEVELAND is just  8-20 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons and are are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Cavaliers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.

Meanwhile, the Pacers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game which was the case last time out vs the Wizards in a 133-122 loss .Pacers are  also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 47-16 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Pacers to cover 

The Knicks ended a 7 game losing streak last night in a win vs the Lakers. Previous to that tilt the Knicks who look suddenly awake, lost by just one point to the explosive Suns. Now with positive momentum on their sides Im betting they give the Kings all they can handle. Note: Knicks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games playing  with no  rest. The Kings are 0-4 ATS L/4 at home as favs vs unrested non conference opposition. 

NEW YORK is 37-21 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better  over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 35-14 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%) against an terrible defensive team (47.5% or more ) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a poor pressure defense (14.5  or less TO's) after 42+ games are 23-8 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 83-40 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Knicks are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Sacramento.

Play on the NYK to cover

The Lakers have momentum entering this game after a comeback victory vs the Golden State Warriors last time out, and with play off seeding and post season appearance still at stake their  desperation makes them viable underdogs vs a San Antonio side that they have beaten in their L/5 trips to Texas. Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Lakers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Lakers are 9-3 ATS L/12 VS southeast division as road dogs. 

SAN ANTONIO is 8-20 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), after 4 straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 24-6 L/26 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. 

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

Hawks have not played all that well on the road this season , but according to my power rankings matchup very well vs the Pistons style of play. as was evident early this season when the Hawks took a 122-104 victory  as home favs. ATLANTA is 33-16 ATS L/49 in road games versus lower tier teams - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or worse. I know the young men from Motown won last time out at home, and have played very competitive hoops of  late cashing tickets for their backers 7 straight times, but it still must be noted that they are just   9-22 ATS L/31 off a home win over the last 3 seasons. All good things must eventually come to and end and tonight Im betting the Pistons positive ATS swan song hits the proverbial wall. 

Another interesting and viable trend shows us the  Atlanta Hawks  21-0 ATS in their last 21 SU wins.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Both these teams are playing at a top tier level at the moment with the Nuggets having notched victories in 7 of their L8 while the Pelicans have won 4 straight. I know the Pelicans downed the Jazz  by DDs last time out a big road dogs, but now Im expecting them to be in an emotional letdown spot in the Mile High city where its never easy to catch your wind. 

NEW ORLEANS is 12-30 ATS L/42 in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog . 

Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 7-51  L/26 seasons for a go against  86% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -.8.6 which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Denver to cover 

Both these sides are off DD wins and now Im expecting a reversion to the mean in what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair. Im especially looking for a more muted effort from the Pelicans who played in Utah last time out and notched a DD victory in a game that they played hard in and exerted alot of effort right until the very end. 

Under is 7-0 in Pelicans last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-1-1 in Pelicans last 11 road games.Under is 6-1-1 in Pelicans last 8 games following a straight up win.

NEW ORLEANS is 10-0 UNDER  as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 209. 2 ppg going on the score board. NEW ORLEANS is 20-6 UNDER  as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 211.1 ppg scored. 

NEW ORLEANS is 10-2 UNDER  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 212.1 ppg scored. 

Under is 3-0-1 in Nuggets last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 9-1 in Nuggets last 10 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 3-1-1 in Nuggets last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Over is 9-3-2 in Nuggets last 14 home games.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 72-26 UNDER  L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

The last 4 meetings here in Denver have gone under the total. 

Play on the UNDER 

The Raptors were mercilessly abused by the Cavaliers when they met here on Christmas day by a  144-99 count. Now very motivated and in revenge mode Im betting on the Raptors to come out here with a redemption goal in mind. They may or not get their revenge, but Im betting they get us the cover. Nurse is 8-0 ATS  in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of TORONTO.

TORONTO is 21-11 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record this season. TORONTO is 8-1 ATS  in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season. TORONTO is 10-1 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and  are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

NBA Road teams (TORONTO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 36-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

My matchup and power rating statistics favor the Wizards vs the very inconsistent Pacers. Washington has won and covered the L/4 meetings here in DC and nothing changes today in a rinse in repeat bet. 

INDIANA is 3-11 ATS against Southeast division opponents this season. Pacers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 51-10 L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.4. 

Play on Washington to cover 

Phoenix and Milwaukee are explosive offensive sides. The Suns rank 3rd in offensive rating in the league behind the 9th ranked pace.  Suns have takes part in 6 straight games with 230 or more combined points scored. Meanwhile, the Bucks rank 4th in offensive output in the NBA behind the 8th ranked offense. 

Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600The Suns are 6-0 OVER  L6 vs .500 or better  opposition and 5-0 OVER L/5 after a 3 or more game home stand  Meanwhile, the Bucks have gone over in 8 straight non conference  tilts and have gone over in 5 straight vs the Suns with a combined average of  (250.0)  ppg going on the scoreboard and have gone over in 10 of their L/11 vs Pacific division sides with a total of 225 or more.

Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 home games.Over is 9-2 in Bucks last 11 overall.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 55-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play OVER 

Two teams struggling to hold position in the Western Conference playoff race do battle at Staples Center tonight . Im expecting a real battle here today despite of Golden State holding a big road fav stance here. Im not willing to pull the trigger on the side, but this total looks vulnerable. The Lakers lost to the Warriors 121-114 at home in the season opener and a similar type score is not out of the question. Over is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 games as an underdog. Note: The Lakers are ranked 4th in pace and 26th in ppg allowed and tonight with James expected in the lineup Im betting on a aggressive Lakers side to show up and show some life vs a equally aggressive side that is expected to ratchet up their attack in desperation mode. 

Golden State has seen 7 of their L/8 games eclipse the total. 

Over is 6-0-1 in Warriors last 7 games following a ATS loss.Over is 5-0-1 in Warriors last 6 games following a straight up loss.Over is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 3-0-1 in Warriors last 4 road games.

GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 OVER  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 228.8 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 130 points or more are 33-8 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with the combined average of 236.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-9 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 232.9 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Back on Dec 15  of this season the Hornets went into San Antonio and  beat up on the Spurs in DD fashion and now the Spurs have revenge on the board and are viable underdogs . Note: San Antonio have won their L/2 visits here.  Hornets are just 1-9 SU  L/10 at home. 

SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 31-18 ATS  in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 41-27 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 9-19 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.   

NBA Road teams (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 53-22 ATS L/5 seasons for s 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Minnesota crushed the Thunder 135-105 in their L/visit here Jan 7th and a rinse and repeat type final score is not out of the question and a viable betting option. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-19 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.4 . 

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more are 35-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.8 which qualifies on this offered ATS line. 

Play on Minnesota to cover 

When these teams went head to head back in late January a final score recorded as 94-90  and while I expect a higher scoring affair this time around my projections still estimate a combined score that fails to eclipse this offered number. Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games.

MILWAUKEE is 23-10 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. 

CHICAGO is 18-7 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.6 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 32-3 L/26 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against a good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

When Cleveland visited Philadelphia back on Feb 12 they were beaten by a 103-92 count and did not look like their system matched up well vs the Sixers style of play. With Cleveland off a DD loss last time vs Charlotte and  slumping having lost 5 of their L/6 while failing to cover all 6 of those tilts, this is not a spot for them to pull off the upset, and quite honestly the way the Cavs are playing another DD loss is more likely. 

CLEVELAND is 7-23 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 3-18 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 8-18 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite are 14-83 L/26 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.6 , which qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

Golden State after a take no prisoners early and mid season run have slowed lately and quite honestly looked exhausted at times. Tonight however, Im betting for them to be out looking for redemption and to be energized in their quest for revenge after the Mavs beat them at home last week 107-101 . Kerr is 13-3 ATS off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.

Also Dallas is vulnerable to a letdown performance after 5 straight road games against a group of strong opponents. Let's put it this way , it takes time to get used to home cooking again and Im betting the Warriors take advantage of this situation . 

DALLAS is 4-15 ATS in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons. DALLAS is 8-19 ATS in home games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Golden State to cover 

The Spurs haven't played a home game since Feb. 4. but have had time to adjust to home cooking as they have been off since Feb 28 and should be comfortable after a few days of home court practice. Playing here in front of their home town fans should invigorate them further which has me recommending we lay a little lumber here with the home fav. Note: The teams have split their two meeting this season, with each winning on its home floor. Rinse and repeat. 

Spurs are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.SAN ANTONIO is 18-5 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Spurs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Spurs are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Kings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog.Kings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after 1 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games are 45-7 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on San Antonio. to cover 

Memphis is a solid team, but being favored on the road against a equally solid Boston Celtics side has me recommending we take the points. Note: Celtics are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games as a home underdog.

BOSTON is 8-1 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104  or less PPG), after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 16-51 L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Grizzlies are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Play on Boston to cover 

Miami enters this game in top form having won 9 of their L/10 and must be respected as road dogs tonight in Milwaukee. Heat are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and have failed to cover 5 of their L/6.  Also from a SRS perspective the  Heat rank 6th at 4.42 while the Bucks rank 10th at 2.83. Advantage Heat. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

MILWAUKEE is 7-17 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. 

MIAMI is 11-1 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. MIAMI is 12-4 ATS   as an underdog this season.

NBA  team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 24-52 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Miami to cover 

This young Rockets side seems to leave its best efforts for top tier sides, and here at home Im betting they have enough juice to get us the cover .HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Rockets also have the incentive of getting some revenge for a 135-101 loss to the Jazz a couple of weeks ago in Salt Lake city. HOUSTON is 25-9 ATS  L/34 revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games are 91-31 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Houston to cover 

The Pacers took it on the chin from the Magic when they played Monday night, but now Im betting that red faced Indiana now comes storming back and puts forward a strong effort in revenge mode. I know Orlando has been cashing ATS tickets of late, but it must be noted,  ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS  after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season. 

ORLANDO is 8-19 ATS in home games this season.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 33-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 705 conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 

Minnesota is a fine young team and well prepared to take on a top tier opponent in Golden State tonight. Yes, the Wolves played last night, but they are still fresh after the all star break and also rank as one of the best conditioned teams in the league. With the Warriors currently in a funk, as is evident by their  1-7-1 ATS record  in their last 9 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Warriors are also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

Golden State beat the Wolves back in late January 124-117 and now have the motivation of revenge on board.
MINNESOTA is 14-4 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.

 MINNESOTA is 18-9 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - after 1 or more consecutive unders, an excellent defensive team (104 or less  PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games are 2-25 L/5 seasons for a go against  93% conversion rate. 

Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover 

The Raptors score 133 points last night in a DD win vs Brooklyn and Im betting they continue to attack tonight and for the revenge minded Nets to fire  back with some explosive offense of their own. The Raptors have gone over in 8 of their L/9 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here. BROOKLYN is 14-4 OVER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 226.1 ppg scored.

TORONTO is 9-1 OVER  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season with a combined average of 224.2 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 130 points or more are 42-15 OVER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate with the average of 231.1 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (TORONTO) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 35-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate with a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Celtics have won 11 of their L/13 games, but are off a underdog loss vs the Pacers last time out. Thanks to that slap in the face Im betting the Celtics  will be primed for a strong  bounce back effort vs a  Hawks side that is  1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 

BOSTON is 22-8 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 10-21 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.ATLANTA is 26-45 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.McMillan is 11-25 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of ATLANTA.

NBA Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 6-50 L/26 seasons for a go against  89% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.3 which qualifies on this ATS line.

NB ARoad underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 5-40 L/26 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate with a combined average of +10 which once against qualifies on this ATS offering. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

The Chicago Bulls will host  the Miami Heat  this Monday night in a clash of the two top teams in the Eastern Conference. Miami has won both meetings in this series, but now in double revenge mode Im expecting the Bulls to really push here tonight and get us the cover. From a matchup perspective according to my own data, the Bulls matchup well vs the Heat and deserve respect getting points .Bulls are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Miami. Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

CHICAGO is 14-4 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%or better  of their attempts this season. CHICAGO is 19-4 ATS  after a non-conference game this season. CHICAGO is 16-6 ATS  after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MIAMI) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 255 points or more are 12-29 L/26 seasons for a go against  71% conversion rate. 

Play on Chicago Bulls to cover 

Orlando overcame a 17-point third-quarter deficit en route to a 119-118 victory at Indiana on Feb. 2 and despite of the Pacers having new faces in the lineup my rankings and matchup data shows me that Orlando once again matches up well here. 

Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Pacers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.INDIANA is 2-10 ATS against Southeast division opponents this season.

Road underdogs vs. the money line (INDIANA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-29 L/5 seasons for a go against  97% conversion rate for bettors.

Pacers are 3-7 ATS L/10 meetings in this series.

Play on Orlando to cover 

Minnesota is a fine young team but now the lines-makers are beginning to over estimate their overall abilities , and I can see irrational exuberance starting to take over the publics mindset. The Wolves have lost 4 of their L/7, and despite of their accolades still have alot of room for improvement. As far as tonight goes Im betting they are once again slightly over rated vs a  Cleveland Cavs side that beat the Wolves by DDs on the road earlier this season and have a tendency to play their best ball against above .500 sides as is evident by their  18-7 ATS  record  when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Cavaliers is also  4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog

Timberwolves are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

The Pelicans are off a big DD victory vs Phoenix last time out and will now be in an emotional letdown scenario after playing a complete game that can be best described as tenacious but definitely exhausting. Now in a vulnerable position, against a Lakers side desperate for wins I like the the home sides chances for victory.

NEW ORLEANS is 1-11 ATS (L/12) in road games off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more . 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

 Pelicans are 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

The 76ers have double revenge for two losses to the Knicks already this season and they are going to be motivated to get some redemption, vs a side that has lost 13 of 16 and could easily be tanking. With Harden in the lineup Im expecting a big output by the 76ers and as usual top tier defensive play in a lopsided victory, Note:The Philadelphia 76ers are 33-0 ATS in straight up in  away wins when they are  seeking revenge for a pair of same-season losses.

NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS  in February games this season. NEW YORK is 2-11 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.76ers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road game.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - off a home loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 24-60 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors. (Miami blasted NYK 115-110 on Friday night in the Big Apple)

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

Being a defending champion, has made covering a difficult proposition since Bucks backers have to lay a premium with them especially when they play at home as is evident by Milwaukee's  10-20 ATS L/30 home games record and their  3-13 ATS mark against above .500 sides. Also MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.

NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - struggling team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 3 of their last 4 games are 73-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

These teams are obviously trending towards what would be estimated to be a higher scoring affair , but according to my personal matchup indicators this game will not cross the offered totals  number. My projections estimate a combined score of 232. Giving us a full possession plus advantage. 

MEMPHIS is 13-3 UNDER  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better  of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg scored.

CHICAGO is 13-4 UNDER  in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO/MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Under is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Miami played last night, but that is not a concern for me because according to my power rankings they are the best conditioned team in the the league.MIAMI is 15-3 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Heat beat the Spurs by 16 as short road favs earlier this season, and here at home a rinse and repeat situation is a distinct above average possibility . 

Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, in February game are 200-134 L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

Two teams playing in a home environment, is not always easy to handicap. But the need for wins by the Lakers tells me they are the more desperate team, and have a advantage based on that. Note: Before the all star break the Lakers showed life losing to Golden State in a heart breaker 117-115 but showed their resilience against another top tier squad betting Utah 106-101. Look for the Lakers to leave everything on the floor again and find a way to grab a much needed W vs in city rivals. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 37-9 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 27-62 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Lakers to win 

The Suns played last night, but Im betting they should still be fresh enough for tonights game against New Orleans after the long all star break lay off. Meanwhile, the Pelicans despite of being competitive of late have not faired well  against top tier sides going  0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Suns are also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Advantage Suns. 

NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS  after 2 consecutive division games over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.6. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games are 1-43 L/26 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS line offering. 

Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 

I know the Knicks do not inspire bettors , but as was the case recently they were motivated enough to take out Golden State, and seem to bring their A game to top tier opponents. With desperation being key here for the Knicks Im betting they are competitive and find a way to cover and possibly pull of the upset on fresh legs after an extended all star break rest. NEW YORK is 31-17 ATSin the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NBA  team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite are 33-12 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. ( NY lost to Miami in 110-96 on Jan 26th in Florida)

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Chicago had won 5 straight before the all star break, and Im betting they continue to uptrend here vs a generally  poor traveling Atlanta side, that is  1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and are just  1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better  of their attempts this season. CHICAGO is 40-19 ATS   when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 16-4 ATS (  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. CHICAGO is 18-4 ATS after a non-conference game this season.

Bulls are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.Bulls are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulls are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Bulls are 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 games as a favorite.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home win are 13-39 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago to cover 

Oklahoma City is outgunned here by the Suns, but they have proven themselves to be a competitive side cashing 8 of their L/10 against the spread and deserve respect at home as DD dogs. 

Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-11 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-6 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season.Daigneault is 14-4 ATS  when playing 4 or less games in 10 days as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

Suns are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Oklahoma City.

Play on Oklahoma city to cover 

Im betting these two well rested teams will play above their usual paces, and easily eclipse this number which I have projected to be 210+.  Over is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 games as a road favorite.

Over is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Bickerstaff is 11-1 OVER  in road games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached with a combined average of  221.1 ppg scored. 

Casey is 21-9 OVER in home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 217.2 ppg scored.Casey is 18-6 OVER   in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest in all games he has coached with a combined average of 209.9 ppg scored.Casey is 13-3 OVER  in home games off a road win as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored.DETROIT is 14-3 OVER  in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored. Over is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a terrible team (25% or less) are 45-22 OVER L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.

Play OVER