Cleveland has not been as dominant lately as they were earlier in the season and have now lost  6 of their L/10 and failed to cover 7 of their L/9 overall. Also Bickerstaff is 25-47 ATS   in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots in all games he has coached. Cavaliers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record like the Spurs. 

SAN ANTONIO is 31-19 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 235 points or more are 96-29 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 

The Pistons are playing a little better lately having won 2 of their L/3 and from a historical perspective for whatever the reason have had an edge in games playing the Raptors as is evident by a 4 game win streak in this series SU including a 127-121 win against the Raptors on Nov 11 of this season. I know the Raptors will be out looking for revenge but it must be noted this is a lofty to number for them to cover on as road favs. Note:TORONTO is 0-9 ATS  as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons. 

Play on Detroit to cover 

The Sixers had a 7 game win streak end against a top tier Charlotte squad last time out, and will now be prepared for a bounce back effort. I know the Celtics are doing well, and are on a 3 game win streak but they are at a disadvantage on the road here vs a side that matches up well against them. Note: The 76ers won the last meeting 108-103 back in Boston just  before Christmas and rinse and repeat situation looks like a viable option. BOSTON is 9-21 ATS  revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 18-31 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or last  turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 78-14 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. 

NBAHome favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 136-84 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight /ats  against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons at home. 

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

New Orleans took a 123-104 win vs the Clippers back in late November and Im betting a similar type of pace and a combined score that eclipses this offered total. New Orleans has scored more than 100 points in 12 straight games in 14 of their L/15 and Im betting that constant will once again come to fruition, and the Clippers in revenge mode, will have to up their pace or be blown off the court once again which will result in faster game than expected by the pundits .  

NEW ORLEANS is 14-2 OVER in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 237.9 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 15-4 OVER in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored.

NEW ORLEANS is 21-10 OVER (+10.0 Units) versus struggling  offensive teams - scoring 108  or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.2 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in January games are 52-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. ( New Orleans won 128-125 last time out).

Play OVER 

Golden State and Milwaukee are currently not operating at optimal levels entering this game. Both are struggling for W/L consistency , after both went though over powering runs. However, despite of that both are above average teams with a boatload full of talent and chemistry. From a matchup perspective  the defending  champs home court advantage Im betting will be a prime factor here in what will be a post season type affair. Note: Warriors are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Budenholzer is 42-23 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less  of their shots as the coach of MILWAUKEE.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 26-8 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 134-84 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

Atlanta after an exhausting 6 game road trip have had a few of days of rest, to recoup and will be prepared  and very motivated to get back some mojo as they  take on the visiting Miami Heat . With this being the Mavericks 6th straight road game they are on tired legs and at a disadvantage. Note: Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.ATLANTA is 15-5 ATS  in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 season. 

Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 4-22 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road underdogs (MIAMI) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 10-31 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Atlanta to cover 

Dallas is hot, having won 6 straight, but according to my power rankings the Knicks matchup well against them and deserve respect as home underdogs. Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Kidd is 15-31 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive wins in all games he has coached in his career. 

NEW YORK is 21-6 ATS at home when  the opening  line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 10-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 75% go against  conversion rate. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

 Despite of some injuries the Nuggets have still been able to win 5 of their L/7 overall. Meanwhile the Clippers after dealing well with the Kawhi Leonard injury started to have major cohesive problems without the injured Paul George in the lineup . From my perspective things wont get much better vs a Denver side that matches up well here at Staples where they have won their L/6 road games vs the Clippers. 

LA CLIPPERS are 2-13 ATS  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after allowing 95 points or less are 55-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 33-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover 

Neither one of these teams are operating optimally from a win/loss perspective but the one thing that stands out has been the young Thunders ability to be fairly competitive on a consistent basis as is evident by covering 11 of their L/14 overall. When these teams met on Nov 26 the visiting Wizards took a 101-99 decision and Im betting on a fairly close battle tonight as these sides take part in the DC rematch.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Wizards are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Wizards are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 35-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

My projections estimate that both these sides will not breach the 108 point plateau on offense. Note: OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-0 UNDER  where both teams score 108 or less points in a game this season with a combined average of 194.8 ppg going on the board. WASHINGTON is 11-0 UNDER  where both teams score 108 or less points in a game this season with a combined average of 194.8 ppg scored. 

Under is 9-2 in Wizards last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 UNDER   in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of those 24 games ringing in at 209.1 ppg. 

Under is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 games as an underdog.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-7 UNDER  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with a combined average of 207.9 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, on Tuesday nights are 34-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 37-13 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less ), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 46-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Both these teams are in a down mode lately, and both are exhausted. But the Cavaliers still possesses better chemistry and cohesiveness and are better conditioned. 

CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS  when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season.

SACRAMENTO is 8-20 ATS  in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. SACRAMENTO is 2-10 ATS   when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

 These two sides Philadelphia and Houston are operating at the proverbial opposite ends of the performance spectrum. However, according to my power rankings the Rockets have an edge here at home as DD underdogs. Yes, the Rockets played last night, but it's not conditioning that has been an issue lately, but chemistry. Meanwhile, the Sixers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite and could easily use this as a defect game off, and rest key starters as this tilt progresses giving us lots of room for a backdoor cover.

NBA Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 11-35 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (HOUSTON) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 36-13 ATS L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Rockets to cover 

This is the Spurs 7th straight road game, and are on back to back games after playing a hard fought game and close loss to the Brooklyn last night. Now exhausted and in an emotional letdown spot, Im betting there will not be alot left in the tank for tonights game against the New York Knicks. It must be noted that back in December the Knicks showed how well they matchup vs the Spurs in a DD road victory (121-109). This Im betting is a rinse and repeat situation. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 4-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a lower tier  team (25-40%) are 39-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

Memphis played last night and are on tired legs as this is their 5th game in 7 nights overall . I have alot of respect for the Grizzlies and they are showing alot of ferocity , consistency and chemistry. But despite of the super human numbers they have put up of late against top tier sides, they are most probably running on empty. With the LeBron James ego at stake you can bet the old super star will be wide awake here and ready to make headlines. With that said, Im betting on the Lakers rallying around him and taking down the Grizzlies . MEMPHIS is 16-32 ATS  L/48 in road games when playing their 5th game in 7 days . Lakers are 4-0 SU L/4 meetings at Staples Center. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-73 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Both these sides Dallas and Chicago are currently playing at a very high level with the Bulls on a 9 game win streak and their hosts the Mavs on a 5 game winning run! With that said,  Im betting home court advantage will be the difference maker here this evening. 

NBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game are 16-46 L/26 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate.

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 

Houston has shown flashes of brilliance this season, but recently they have fallen into a deep freeze. However, according to my power rankings the Rockets from a style of play perspective matchup well here and are viable home pups vs  a tired Wolves side playing their 5th road game in  their 6 overall trips to the hardwood. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a losing record are 76-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate.

Play on Houston to cover

Toronto is playing their best basketball of the season and are currently on a 5 game win streak and have been an ATM machine for their backers covering 10 of their L/11 overall. Meanwhile, New Orleans despite a few flashes of brilliance remain an inconsistent side, with chemistry issues which is hampering their flow. 

NEW ORLEANS is 6-14 ATS in road games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.2

NEW ORLEANS is 3-13 ATS  in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff -11.7. 

TORONTO is 7-0 ATS after 4 or more consecutive overs this season with the average of +11.7 ppg diff. 

NBA team (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 78-40 ATS L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto to cover 

The Atlanta Hawks are playing their 6th straight road game and are now on tired legs . I know the Clippers have not played cohesive basketball of late, but they are deep enough to compete here even with key cog George expected to miss. Yes, the Clippers played yesterday but after being humiliated by the Grizzlies by DDs, Im betting on a concerted effort fro a side that does not take well to being embarrassed. Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.  Clippers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. ATLANTA is 5-15 ATS   versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover 

This has been a long grueling road trip for Miami , but they have proven to me during this West coast tour is they are a deep team, that is extremely well conditioned and are more than capable of retaining a high level of stamina behind a deep bench. Note: Heat are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. and once again matchup well getting this many points. Yes, even against the Suns in a hostile road environment. Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Heat are 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Phoenix.

MIAMI is 10-2 ATS  as an underdog this season.

MIAMI is 11-1 ATS after 4 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 9-1 ATS in road games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 18-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

Orlando is not playing all that well from a W/L perspective and their opponents Detroit are the same form. I know the Pistons have won a couple of games recently and shocked the Bucks in one of those tilts, but according to my power rankings the Magic in desperation mode matchup well here and actually have an opportunity for a rare SU win. Magic are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - a terrible offensive team (104 or less  PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 6-25 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DETROIT) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 34-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Orlando to cover 

Indiana has lost 6 straight games, and things dont look like they will get much better for them here tonight vs a ferocious Jazz side that has won 14 of 18 road games this   season with the average margin of ppg diff clicking in at +10 . 

From a SRS perspective the Jazz rank 2nd in the league with a 8.53 mark while the Pacers rank 16th with a 0.04 mark.

SRS: Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. 

Even if Mitchell does not play tonight the Jazz are still the superior side. 

UTAH is 38-22 ATS   as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 8-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

NDIANA is 4-14 ATS  in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days are 63-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Jazz to cover 

Memphis is in top form having won 7 straight games, and the last time they played the Clippers back in Mid November the Clippers took a conclusive DD victory and deserse respect here as short road favs vs a side that is 4-8 SU L/12 overall. Note: LA CLIPPERS are 3-12 ATS  in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 season

Grizzlies are 14-5 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less  points/game this season. MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS  in road games after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more over the last 2 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 2-12 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. LA CLIPPERS are 2-12 ATS  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are  13-41 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 10-39 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Memphis to cover 

Chicago has won 8 straight games and according to my projections should be -7 or more  point favs here at home, even after taking into consideration who's missing from each line up tonight. Wizards are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

 Bulls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.Bulls are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite. 

Wizards are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings.

NBA team vs the money line (CHICAGO) - a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 28-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6.7 ppg. 

Play on Chicago to cover 

 With their star Giannis Antetokounmpo  upgraded to probable Friday vs Brooklyn Im recommending we take the points. Nets are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games.

BROOKLYN is 6-15 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. BROOKLYN is 3-14 ATS (  as a home favorite this season.

BROOKLYN is 4-12 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season.

NBA team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, on Friday nights are 46-10 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

The Sixers are ranked 27th in pace and 21st in offensive ppg output and are ranked 8th in ppg allowed which translates into a what must be considered a defensive style of play. Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 home games.

Meanwhile, San Antonio has seen just  4 of their L/17 games eclipse the total as a road underdog. 

Im expecting the home side to dictate the pace here and for this game to end up in a lower scoring affair. Note: SAN ANTONIO is 12-4 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored in those tilts .SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 213 ppg scored. 

Play on the UNDER 

The Clippers beat the Suns 111-95 at home back in December and now Im betting the Suns will be wide awake here today and push the action into a higher paced affair, in a game that Im betting will see these teams open up for a bigger than expected combined offensive output.  

Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games as a road underdog. Over is 5-1 in Suns last 6 home games.

PHOENIX is 11-2 OVER   in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 31-17 OVER   in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. . 

NBA  team (LA CLIPPERS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 100-47 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 227.4 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 90-40 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate with a combined average of 230 ppg scored. 

Play on OVER 

Golden State played last night and lost in Dallas, and despite of playing on back to back nights and this bering their 3rd game in 4 nights, Im now expecting a bounce back by this well conditioned side vs a host that is on a 3 game losing streak and just 7-11 at home this season. Note: GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. 

GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 ATS  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 46-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Golden State to cover 

The Long and Winding Road - the iconic song by the Beatles best describes the Heats woes entering this tilt vs their host the Portland Blazers. This is Miami's 4th straight West coast road trip game and overall their 8th road game in their L/12 tilts overall. This kind of schedule will take a toll on any team, especially with the problems associated with covid protocols. With Jimmy Butler downgraded to not starting tonight for the Heat, the short handed young men form South Florida look to be a disadvantage on tired legs as visitors in Oregon tonight. Note: The Heat are also off a hard fought battle vs the Golden state Warriors last time out they lost in will be in an emotional letdown spot. 

Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 40-3 L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover 

Denver had a three game losing streak end last time out, against Dallas . But that was the tail end of a grueling four game  road trip for a Nuggets side that was short handed because of injuries and covid issues.  Nuggets are however,  4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. I know their opponents the Jazz continue to run over opponents, but from a matchup perspective the Nuggets actually align well in this head to head battle especially with  Jazz key components less than 100%  as Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert playing with nagging injuries. 

Jazz are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - after a game committing 13+ more turnovers than opponents are 71-31 ATS L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Denver Nuggets 

After a brief flash of brilliance from this young Houston group back in late November early December the wheels have fallen off the proverbial wagon, as the rockets have suffered 10 losses in 11 games overall including 8 straight defeats, including 3 straight by DD deficits. Needless to say the Rockets look like weak dogs here vs a Washington side that has won 4 of their L/7 and covered 6 of their L/7 . Even if Christian Wood plays tonight for the Rockets they are at a disadvantage according to my projections making the Wizards my chosen side . 

HOUSTON is 9-21 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 4-17 ATS after 8 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after allowing 125 points or more are 4-31 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.1 which qualifies on the this ATS line offering. 

Play on the Wizards to cover 

We know who the superior side is here, the question is will the Suns be motivated and ready to romp to a big victory on the road? The answer is yes.  After losing 3 of 4 the Suns smashed Charlotte last time out by a 133-99 count and now look rejuvenated after an inevitable mini slump because of their high octane energy draining style of play. The last 4 meetings in this series have seen the Suns win each time by conclusive DD deficits and Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario here vs a inconsistent side that has lost two straight. note: PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS   in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.1. 

Williams is 15-5 ATS in road games against Southwest division opponents as the coach of PHOENIX with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.5 ppg. 

Play on the Suns to cover 

The Pacers have lost 4 straight  and 7 of their L/9 while their hosts the Knicks have lost two straight. However, from a overall performance spectrum and head to head matchup analysis the Knicks are the superior side at the moment  playing with home court advantage. 

Pacers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.

NEW YORK is 20-6 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. 

 Thibodeau is 33-17 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% as the coach of NEW YORK. 

Knicks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games.Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Knicks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (INDIANA) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 10-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 36-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Pacers are 6-14 ATS in the last 20 meetings in New York.

Play on NY Knicks to cover 

When these teams played on Nov 15 the Mavs took a 111-101 victory on home court and proved to me they matchup well vs the Nuggets.Note: DENVER is just  8-18 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Dallas is off a  strong defensive effort vs  Oklahoma city lat time out, and have momentum entering this tilt vs the Nuggets. 

DALLAS is 18-6 ATS after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

The Nuggets are playing well, recording three straight wins  but they have proven highly inconsistent or over rated when they are on a positive run as Malone is 16-30 ATS  in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins as the coach of DENVER.

Advantage Dallas.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11 ppg.

Play on Dallas to cover 

Minnesota enters this tilt against the LA Lakers having lost 4 of their L/5 games, while the Lakers have won 2 of their L/3 covering all 3 times including a DD beatdown at home vs Portland last time out. After watching parts of the game against Portland and reviewing the Lakers overall play and the fact the  team  is looking healthier now , Im betting they continue their  upward momentum, with a convincing win here on their own home court vs a Wolves side without key starter Karl Anthony Towns. Note: The Lakers also have the added incentive of having revenge on board for a loss to the Wolves back on Dec 17th in the Land o Lakes. 

MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS  in road games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 28-3 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.2 which qualifies on this ATS Line. 

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

Charlotte is very under rated and matchup well against explosive sides like the Suns. The Hornets rank 2nd in ppg offense in the NBA and are currently on a 3 game win streak where they have shown better defensive capabilities as well. Their current form will aid them well here, which makes them viable home court underdogs. Note: The Hornets are 11-2/ATS at home this season, while the Suns are 11-4 SU but have covered just 8 of those tilts. The Suns are also  0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

CHARLOTTE is 25-13 ATS  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24  or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 8-1 ATS   as a home underdog this season.  CHARLOTTE is 10-0 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 season. CHARLOTTE is 7-0 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. CHARLOTTE is 10-2 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.

Borrego is 20-8 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less  free throws/game as the coach of CHARLOTTE.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games are just 18-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a  go against 72% conversion rate.

Play on charlotte to cover 

Miami is on the road here and are short handed because of covid protocols and injuries, while Sacramento is unscathed and playing on the confines of their own home building. I know the Heat are deep and well coached which always makes them dangerous , but the Kings despite  of being highly inconsistent have shown flashes of brilliance and are viable underdogs with their team much healthier than their opponents .Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.Heat are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Play on Sacramento to cover 

 Utah enters this game having won 6 straight and 14 of their L/16 games, while the Golden State Warriors have won 6 of their L/8 overall, and are 11-4 in road games this season and are are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. like the Jazz including 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 

Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. 

The above trends give credence to an advantage taking points.

GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

UTAH is 2-13 ATS in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons

NBA Favorites (UTAH) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game are 17-44 L/25 seasons for a go against  72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 

Houston after showing some improvement about a month ago have now fallen back into a deep depression registering 6 straight losses, and 8 of their L/9. I know Denver is still dealing with injuries and covid protocol issues,  but according to my projections still have enough weapons to come out this with a convincing victory. 

Silas is 1-10 ATS   in home games off a home loss by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON. Silas is 8-23 ATS  in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of HOUSTON. HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after allowing 95 points or less are 49-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.9 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (DENVER) - playing with 3 or more days rest, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 37-4 L/25 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking at +9.1 ppg which once again qualifies on this ATS line. 

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or les PPG differential) are 33-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Denver to cover 

 Washington, meanwhile, welcomed Bradley Beal back from protocol in its 110-93 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday and must be respected as home dogs here vs the red hot but tired Chicago Bulls who play their 3rd game in 4 nights and off playing Indiana last night in a hard fought 108-106 win. Advantage with the home side. 

Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 13-39 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play on Washington to cover 

Milwaukee in their L/5 trips to the hardwood have averaged 121.6 ppg and Im betting their explosive offense continues to produce a boatload full of points vs a inconsistent Pelicans D. Meanwhile, New Orleans has recently shown some good chemistry on offense and have recorded, 105 or more points in 14 of their L/15 games. Im betting both sides take part in a high tempo tilt as Milwaukee will force the issue and the Pelicans will have no choice but to open up which Im betting will result in a higher scoring affair that eclipses this Total. 

NEW ORLEANS is 12-1 OVER  in January games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 232 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 14-3 OVER   after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 235 ppg scored. 

MILWAUKEE is 13-2 OVER  after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite with a combined average of 235.3 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in January games are 48-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 230.4 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 44-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Based on the style of play the Pelicans have settled into of late, I believe they are capable of hanging in against the explosive Bucks. New Orleans has won 5 of their L/6 and have momentum and confidence on their sides. With Milwaukee off a Florida vacation taking down Orlando in two straight they could easily start slowly here back in the chilly climes of Wisconsin as they get accustomed to home cooking again. 

MILWAUKEE is 2-12 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 3-12 ATS  against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW ORLEANS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in January games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 20-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Clippers  are short handed  because of injuries and covid but have some of the best chemistry in the entire NBA and bench depth and must be considered live dogs here vs a Toronto side that is a shell of itself at the moment because of covid protocols. 

LA CLIPPERS are 17-5 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 35-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 at Toronto. 

Take the points with the LA Clippers 

The Celtics have lost 3 straight games and are now in desperation mode and will prepared for a bounce back vs a top tier opponent . The Celtics also have the added motivation of revenging a loss to the Suns in the desert back on Dec 10th . Note: BOSTON is 11-1 ATS  after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 24-7 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

NBA team (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 97-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

NBA Underdogs (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 41-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on Boston Celtics to cover 

Both sides are expected to be short handed tonight because of covid protocols, but based on bench depth, G-league signings  and who is left to play, the Cavaliers are the superior side, which according to my projections makes getting points a advantageous situation. 

Wizards are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.

Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

CLEVELAND is 10-2 ATS  versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 points/game this season.CLEVELAND is 15-2 ATS   after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. 

NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 11-37  L/5 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate. 

NBA team (WASHINGTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 159-243 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Brooklyn has won 6 of its L/7 games overall, and have covered 4 of their L/5 meetings  the 76ers. Meanwhile, I know the Sixers have won 3 of their L/4 overall and have won 3 straight road games, but despite of the current positive traveling data, do not matchup well here vs what my projections say is the superior side. With Kevin Durant expected to play tonight for the Nets, laying a little lumber here is a solid investment option. 

Note: From a SRS perspective the Sixers own a 16th ranking in the league (0.17) while the Nets are ranked 7th with at (2.75). Advantage Sixers with home court edge added in. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average

BROOKLYN is 14-2 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS   off a road win this season.PHILADELPHIA is 12-25 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after scoring 120 points or more are 88-16 L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at.+9 ppg, which qualifies on this ATS Line. 

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

Dallas key component Luka Doncic is downgraded to OUT Wednesday vs Sacramento ( Quarantine ) and there are more players being added as I write this. Advantage goes to home side Sacramento. 

DALLAS is 7-17 ATS  when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 43-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Sacramento Kings to cover 

Key component for the Jazz Donovan Mitchell will be out tonight. I know their are missing bodies for the Blazers, but Im expecting a strong effort from the entire group in revenge mode for a DD  loss the team suffered back on Nov.29th .

NBA Underdogs (PORTLAND) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 34-8 L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play on Portland to cover 

The Grizzlies are off a hard fought 3 game road trip vs the Suns , Kings and Warriors and are now in a physical  and emotional  letdown situation here in their first game back home. After road trips like this it takes teams time to get use to home cooking again, and and jet lag will be have an effect on the Grizzlies over all performance. I know the Lakers played last night, but they looked like they have some swagger back  after a conclusive road win which will suit them well here in Memphis tonight. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 31-18 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 75-39 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

The Pelicans have been playing better ball of late and just had a 4 game win streak end. Their chances of pulling off an upset are not particularly strong here as they face a superior Cavaliers side, but getting us the cover is however, a strong ;possibility based on their current momentum and team chemistry. Ill also add to that that this is the NBA and upsets are not out of the norm.    NEW ORLEANS is 18-7 ATS   in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.

Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-37 SU L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Raptors have gone over in 4 straight games, as they are playing a more wide open type of hoops at the moment, and as a result the defensive efforts have looked ugly as was the case last time out as they allowed 144 points in a loss. The Raptors now rank 20th overall in defensive rating at (110.3) and Im betting that wont get much better tonight. Meanwhile, the Sixers despite of their lower offensive output averages, matchup well here vs the Dinos D that is in a down mode at the moment and Im expecting they hit above their season averages. With that said Im expecting a combined score  that eclipses this total. 

Over is 5-0-2 in 76ers last 7 games as a road favorite.Over is 4-1-1 in 76ers last 6 road games.

Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games as an underdog.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.1 ppg. 

Play OVER 

Memphis is on back to back games here tonight and Im betting they will be on tired legs and not ready to play hardcore defense against a Suns side that did not play well on Christmas day and will come out here spitting bullets in redemption mode. With that said, look for the Suns 4th best league offense, to explode in run and and gun style  behind the 6th fastest pace. This will force the  Grizzlies 5th ranked offense into having  to open up or be blown off the court which will result in a combined score that eclipses this offered total. 

Over is 8-3 in Grizzlies last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

MEMPHIS is 11-1 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.4 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 9-1 OVER in road games off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of  243.6 ppg scored. ( they smashed Sacramento last night by a 127-102 count)

PHOENIX is 28-14 OVER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 226.5 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

The Jazz have revenge on board for a home loss suffered to the Spurs back on Dec 17th by a  128-126 count and now Im expecting they get their redemption. Previous to the above mentioned defeat the Jazz had won the L/3 meetings in this series by DDs.  

UTAH is 37-20 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 1-12 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 4-18 ATS  in home games off a home win over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 7-23 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 12-25 ATS  against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 18-50 ATS L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. 

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-11 ATS L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 44-19  L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Jazz are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

Clippers are short handed because of injuries and covid protocols , but still have enough talent to put up a fight here vs the Nuggets and even possibly pull off the underdog victory SU. The Clippers are on three days rest and pulled off a victory as road pups at Sacramento before their rest and must not be underestimated. Note: Denver recently just lost to Oklahoma city and imploded against Charlotte last time out blowing a DD lead going into the final quarter and losing. 

Clippers are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Clippers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.

LA CLIPPERS are 47-33 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

Nuggets are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 41-89 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Clippers to cover 

Indiana is banged up with key players not playing or less than 100%, but still have enough bench strength to be aggressive offensively tonight vs a Chicago side that is also short handed because of covid protocols and a key injury to Zach Lavine. The Bulls are also still capable of attacking but what seems missing of late from the Bulls is their ability to defend as they have allowed 107 or more points in 8 of their L/9 games, including 115, 118, 110, 118 points in their L/4 overall. With that said my projections estimate this line should be closer to 220 giving us a full possession of value to the OVER. Over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games.Over is 10-4 in Pacers last 14 overall.

 CHICAGO is 26-13 OVER after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. Donovan is 113-79 OVER  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points in all games he has coached with a combined average of 218.7 ppg.

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (INDIANA) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 57-24 OVER L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 70-37 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

Play OVER

Sacramento enters this home game well rested and fresh after 3 days off from the hardwood and Im betting they will present some problems in revenge mode  for a Memphis side that has now lost three straight games. Note: Kings are 23-5 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Memphis put a beatdown, on a tired looking Kings team on the 17th of December which will have the Kings motivated for redemption .

Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Play on Sacramento Kings 

The 76ers are consistently weak favorites  as is evident by their    0-9 ATS mark  in their last 9 games as a favorite and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite. I know the Wizards maybe without Bradley Beal tonight, but the line justification is off according to me making getting points a viable investment option. 

PHILADELPHIA is 18-32 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 35-13 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Washington Wizards to cover 

Covid protocols and injuries will effect this game greatly especially from a offensive standpoint, which Im betting results in a much lower scoring affair than the linesmakers are estimating. Regardless of GLeague signings Im betting cohesiv-ness will be an issue. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 30-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA LAKERS) - being called for 21 or less fouls/game on the season, on Saturday games are 44-18 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Im betting on a hard fought play off type defensive affair tonight between two top tier opponents. The Suns are ranked 4th in ppg allowed defense, and the Warriors rank 1st in ppg defense in the league. Golden states road games have seen a combined average of 208.5 ppg scored while the Suns home tilts have seen a combined average of 216.1 ppg go on the board. Considering where this Totals line offering is at and basic math, a combined average score of 212 might be expected , which is what my projections have estimated. Of course its never easy estimating shooting efficiency and vise versa defensive efficiency , but usual average can be considered as well as the importance of the game from a one or more angles (seeding) and the types of systems both sides use. Both have been highly proficient at controlling offenses, and in a tilt that   you can bet will be physical to an extent. Note: Matchups with early start times (6 p.m. ET or before) for teams in the Pacific Division have gone 151-107-1 under  dating back to the 2005-2006 season for a 58% conversion rate. These teams have gone under in 8 of their L/9 meetings with the two most recent clashes seeing a combined average of 200 and 214 ppg go on the score board.

PHOENIX is 7-0 UNDER  vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 209.8 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 15-3 UNDER L/18 in home games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more with a combined average of 189.5 ppg scored. 

 GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 UNDER  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season with a combined average of 210.8 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER  after 1 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 208.7 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 10-0 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 12-0 UNDER  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game this season with a combined average of 209.5 ppg going on the board.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PP are 168-94 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

Boston has played Milwaukee tough in the recent past and covered 7 straight meetings including the L/3 here in Wisconsin.note: Celtics are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and despite of some key missing players (ie Horford and Williams) they still have enough bench strength to hang here and get us the. cover. Boston  grabbed  a 122-113 overtime win at home versus Milwaukee in the teams' first meeting on Nov. 12.

Take the points with the Celtics to cover

The Lakers have lost 3 straight games, and are short handed,  but with Russell Westbrook and LeBron James available to play tonight, Im betting  there is still enough talent to put forward a  desperate effort from the home side, and subsequent win. 

-NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are 4-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. (Lakers won both meetings this season home and away and the Spurs are off a 116-92 win vs the Clippers last time out, which has them qualifying on this long term trend) Note: The Spurs are 0-4 ATS L/5 off a ATS win. 

NBA Home favorites (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 326-223 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate. 

LA LAKERS is 7-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the LA Lakers to win 

Charlotte enters this game exhausted as this is their 6th straight road game. Now on tired legs and playing in the Mile High city I can see the Hornets high octane attack sputtering and their usual lack of defence imploding. Meanwhile,  Denver is off loss last time out, but this team under Malone does not take losing lightly as is evident by their  5-0 ATS mark in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Advantage Nuggets.

Hornets are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games as a road underdog. Hornets are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Hornets are 22-47 ATS in their last 69 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

CHARLOTTE is 30-54 ATS  in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.

DENVER is 54-31 ATS in home games against Southeast division opponents since 1996.

NBA team vs the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 10-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite are 22-55 ATS  L/25 seasons for a  go against 71% conversion rate.

Hornets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver.

NYK and Washington have put forward disappointing seasons so far and both are operating at a low level of consistency. However according to my power rankings the Wizards matchup well against a short handed Knicks side that is  0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.

as well as  0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.

NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS  when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season.

NBA Road teams (WASHINGTON) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Wizards are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in New York.

Play on the Washington Wizards to cover

The last time these teams met the Sixers took a 98-96 victory back on Dec 3rd and Im betting this tilt will also be fairly close as both play this game short handed because of COVID. Trae Young is expected back tonight for the Hawks, but even if he does not play this line still projects out to be slightly bloated. 

McMillan is 16-5 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite in all games he has coached.

PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS off a road win this season. PHILADELPHIA is 7-15 ATS  when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.

NBA Road teams (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 45-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. 

Play on Atlanta to cover

 Atlanta is expected to be without Trae Young, the second-leading scorer in the NBA (27.3 points) which will effect the Hawks offensive flow. Meanwhile, Orlando played with a short roster on Saturday in an upset victory vs the Brooklyn Nets, which had 10 players in COVID protocol. The Magic continue to be short handed , but have momentum coming into this tilt. If this contest is not cancelled Im betting this game is much closer than anticipated.

Hawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

Hawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games.

NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - struggling team - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or better  on the season against opponent after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 33-9 ATS L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 44-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Orlando to cover 

Jimmy Butler is out for Miami tonight, but the Heat according to my power rankings have enough depth to deal with a Pacers team that is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.

MIAMI is 11-2 ATS  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this seasons. Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 26-2 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover 

This is Charlottes 5th straight road game and are on back to back games after playing last night in Phoenix in a DD loss . However, the game yesterday seemed like a defacto game off for the run and gun Hornets, and tonight they could easily be more energized after their sleepy effort. Meanwhile, the Jazz have lost two straight, against Washington and San Antonio teams they should have beat. Hey every team slumps from time to time especially sides like the Jazz who go all out from start to finish. Watching exerts of their above mentioned losses you could see tired leg syndrome in full effect and tonight covering against the Hornets may not be an easy proposition with the points here looking golden. 

CHARLOTTE is 26-14 ATS  after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (UTAH) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 7-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Underdogs of 10 or more points (CHARLOTTE) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after allowing 63 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 35-12 ATS L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

The Suns are expected to have Devon Booker back in the lineup tonight for this tilt against the high energy run and gun Charlotte Hornets. From my betting perspective a team like Charlotte that is all offense and no defense, will have a problem with. a team like the Suns that can play a extremely strong  two way game ranking 6th in ppg offense and 4th in ppg defense. With this being the Hornets 4th straight road game, Im betting their tired legs will not support them in this spot play. 

Hornets are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games as a road underdog.Hornets are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games are 1-42 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12.1 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line.

Play on Phoenix Suns 

Bucks are expected to play without Rick Middleton (knee) and star forward  Giannis Antetokounmpo tonight vs Cleveland  because of covid protocol. The Bucks usually play top tier teams differently than lower tier sides, as they pay special attention to defense out of transition. With these star athletes out of the lineup tonight for the Bucks, their emphasis on a strong defensive game will become even more paramount. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers calling card all season long has been a strong brand of defensive hoops, ranking 2nd in ppg allowed and 3rd in overall defensive rating. 

**(If Middleton does play Im betting he will see limited action)**

The Bucks took out the Cavs a week ago by a 112-104 score. Note: Bickerstaff is 21-9 UNDER  in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points as the coach of CLEVELAND with a combined average of 209.3 ppg scored. Under is 7-1 in Cavaliers last 8 games as a favorite. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more.

MILWAUKEE is 19-5 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games as a home underdog.

CLEVELAND is 14-3 UNDER  after allowing 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 38-14 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Celtics worked hard to compete with the Warriors last night, after falling behind by DD in the first half, and now on tired legs and in a letdown spot  in a back to back situation are at a disadvantage vs a hungry Knicks side that has won 8 of 14 away games. 

Knicks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. BOSTON is 5-22 ATS  versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 6-17 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 30-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. 

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

 The Rockets are currently showing alot more upward momentum than a Pistons side that has lost 13 straight games. The Road team has won the L/3 meetings in this series. 

 Rockets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Rockets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Pistons are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.

NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (HOUSTON) - off a home loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road loss are 25-5 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Houston to cover 

The Nuggets have won 8 straight games and 7 of those tilts were by DD deficits. Now the lines-makers want us to lay hefty lumber again. Im not against taking big favs if the situation warrants, and this is one of those times as San Antonio D has looked very inconsistent of late allowing more than 117 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. Considering the  kind of groove the Jazz are in  and their No1 ranking in ppg offense in the league does warrant this DD line . Also from a SRS perspective: Utah ranks No.1 in the league with a 10.39 mark, while San Antonio  ranks 20th with a -1.31 mark. Which gives us a 11.5 point divergence without taking into consideration home court advantage. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 30-1 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at  +13.5 ppg.

Play on Utah Jazz to cover 

Golden State comes into this game with the  NBA's best record at 23-5 SU including 9-3 on the road. After holding New York to 36.1 % shooting (30 of 83), the Warriors are the only team that has not allowed an opponent to shoot 50 % or better from the floor this season and despite of being on the road in a hostile environment matchup very well vs the inconsistent shooting Celtics that have gone  down hill defensively of late. 

GOLDEN STATE is 11-1 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season.

 GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS   after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 44-5 L/25 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

Play on Golden State to cover 

Celtics have struggled defensively of late, allowing an average of 112.4 ppg in their L/5 overall, via a opposition 47% FG conversion rate. Thats not good from to be in vs a Golden State side that averages 111.8 ppg this season on offense while ranking 3rd overall in the league and 9th in pace. If Boston has any chance of victory here tonight, they will have to be aggressive offensively against a strong defensive side, which Im betting sees alot of action in transition  and speedier pace than expected. Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

 NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - a very good team (+7 or more  PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 34-9 OVER L/ 5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Washington Wizards are in a deep nose dive entering this game having lost 6 of their L/7 and and 11 of their L/15 overall including failing to cover 7 straight times. The Wizards also enter this tilt against Phoenix on tired legs as this is their 6th road game in their L/7 games spanning just  10 days. The Suns even without Devon Booker in the lineup Im betting will be primed to take down a  currently in-cohesive and road weary group here in conclusive fashion. 

Wizards are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.Wizards are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Wizards are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games are 1-41 L/25 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -12 ppg which qualifies here on this offered ATS line. 

Play on Phoenix to cover 

NYK has hypothetically  crashed burned having lost 7 of their L/8 games. The team as a whole has disappointed and are showing very little resiliency. Meanwhile, Houston has been mostly  competitive  and recently 7 straight games. The Rockets have cooled off a bit of late losing 3 of their L/4 but the losses came to Memphis Cleveland and Bucks . With that said, the Knicks are no where near the consistency of those sides and in no way shape or form should be this big favorite in their current form especially here on the road where the Rockets have won 6 of their L/7 games as hosts. Note:Knicks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Rockets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.

Play on Houston to cover 

The Sixers  who have lost 2 straight and not been able to breach the 96 point plateau on offense in 3 of their L/4 tilts may or may not have often injured or just exhausted - Joel Embiid in the lineup tonight . If the 76ers star  does play he may not get the minutes he usually gets or may not be as effective.  Meanwhile Harden is not expected to play for the Nets, but there is still more than enough depth here at home for them to take this tilt. The Nets won the most recent meeting back on Oct 22 this season.  PHILADELPHIA is 6-17 ATS  in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons

76ers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

.

NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 245 points or more are 38-3 L/25 seasons for a 93% conversion rate.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

Memphis is in top form as they look for their  ninth victory in 10 games without Jay  Morant. The Grizzlies are in a positive flow, while their hosts tonight the  Blazers have now lost 5 straight games at home and 6 overall and  are in free fall. Considering the Grizzlies have revenge on board for a 116-96 loss back in October here in Portland Im betting they will come in here wide awake and ready for revenge. 

PORTLAND is 1-8 ATS  as an underdog this season. 

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 35-5 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. 

Play on Memphis to cover 

The Spurs have been competitive of late, but from a matchup perspective I feel Charlotte has the edge on the spread. I know Charlotte has not exactly been looking cohesive of late, but they continue to be under rated by the lines-makers as they have 12-3-1 ATS L/15 overall behind the 2nd ranked ppg offense in the league. 

SAN ANTONIO is 4-20 ATS   in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 29-12 ATS L/39 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams (CHARLOTTE) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Lakers have been playing decently of late, but are  0-7 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. Consistency has been an issue, and tonight Im betting on the Mavs beating out the senior often injured and exhausted group of Davis and James.    LA LAKERS and   are 2-13 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons .

LA LAKERS are 4-16 ATS ( in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 61-19 L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 50-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Dallas to cover 

Houston is playing very competitive ball of late, but this is a young team, that Im betting will find the sledding tough vs a Cleveland team that is also playing at a high level, and well aware of how well their opponents have been performing. Look for a Cavaliers side that will not be caught napping to be in top form tonight vs a up-trending opponent. 

Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Cavaliers are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest. Cavaliers are 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games overall.

 CLEVELAND is 19-4 ATS  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. CLEVELAND is 12-1 ATS  after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS sub par poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game this season

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 29-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.3 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

Golden State had to work hard for a win last night in Indiana , and now on tired legs as they play back to back games and 3 games in 4nights on the road . With that said, Im betting the Warriors who have played all out for weeks now at a disadvantage in this  spot situation vs a desperate and underperforming side that will be looking for some quick fix redemption and momentum going forward. Note: Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win

NEW YORK is 18-7 ATS  in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.NEW YORK is 35-22 ATS   versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

Kerr is 29-46 ATS against Atlantic division opponents as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.

Play on NYK to cover

Washington is struggling having lost 4 of their L/5 games , with the one win coming by 3 points vs lowly Detroit. I know Denver has also been less than consistent, but its never easy for opponents to play in the Mile High city and home court advantage Im betting will be the difference maker tonight.

DENVER is 20-7 ATS L/27 after 3 straight games committing 4+ less turnovers than opponents.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are !6-43 ATS L/5 seasons for  go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

Philadelphia is off a big upset win vs Golden State last time out, and will now be in a emotional and energetic letdown spot vs a side that plays teams tough at home with or without Jay Morant. Memphis is a tight cohesive group that has won 7 of their L/8 games and deserve respect here at home getting points.  

76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. 76ers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win . 

Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. 

PHILADELPHIA is 3-14 ATS  in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Memphis to cover 

The Warriors are off a loss last time out vs Philadelphia as super star Curry struggled to convert from the field  and will now be primed for a bounce back effort this evening in Indiana. Warriors are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.

GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 ATS  as a favorite this season.

INDIANA is 3-13 ATS in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 38-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Warriors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.

Play on the Warriors to cover 

Cleveland has won 3 straight and 7 of their L/9 and are playing at a very  high level entering this game and deserve respect here as favs on this line vs a Heat side, that will be playing without Jimmy Butler .

CLEVELAND is 18-4 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. CLEVELAND is 11-1 ATS  after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.  CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS  after a win by 10 points or more this season.

NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (MIAMI) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are 1-35 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff -13.8 ppg which qualifies from ATS perspective. 

Play on Cleveland to cover 

 The Kings continue to have defensive problems  allowing a whopping 116.9 ppg on the road this season and those deficiencies will be their downfall tonight vs a Toronto team that has won 3 of their L/4 games, and defeated this Kings team by a 108-89 score back in mid November. 

TORONTO is 22-9 ATS  after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons . TORONTO is 15-5 ATS  after a combined score of 195 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites (TORONTO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing teamare 61-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Orlando played the LA Clippers tough yesterday and lost by a 108-106 score as 8.5 point dogs, and today Im betting they are being slightly under rated again and are viable underdogs on this DD offering. Meanwhile, the Lakers have had a habit of taking defacto nights off vs lower tier opponents like Orlando , and Im betting this is one of them. 

LA LAKERS are 1-10 ATS  versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 9-23 ATS   versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

LA LAKERS are 6-14 ATS as a favorite this season. LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread this season.

LA LAKERS are 2-15 ATS   after allowing 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

NBA team (ORLANDO) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

Philadelphia usually plays their best hoops at home, and tonight is an opportunity to up their game, and take down Western Conference power house Golden State. By pushing on their visiting opponents Im betting on a more aggressive game out of transition by both sides that will  then see the  combined score pushing upward past this offered  totals number.

PHILADELPHIA is 23-10 OVER  in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.5 ppg scored. 

 - NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games are 33-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 232.9 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

When these teams played a couple days ago here the Spurs came out on top and showed they matchup well vs the Nuggets. Rinse and repeat. 

DENVER is 6-18 ATS L/24  revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a losing record are 36-9 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Spurs to cover 

Houston ranks 27th in SRS: -7.09 and 22nd in ppg offense and 26th in ppg defense. Meanwhile, Memphis is ranked 9th in ppg offense and own a ranking of 12th in SRS at 0.63. Add in the edges for home court advantage and I will not be surprised by a DD victory for the home side. 

SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

HOUSTON is 13-24 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 37-2 L/25 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4 ppg which qualifies from a ATS perspective. 

NBA team (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 72-38 ATS L/25 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Memphis to cover 

The Magic have some offensive momentum coming into this tilt against the LA Clippers, scoring 130 points last time out which is a good omen for those of us who feel taking points here is a good opportunity for profit taking. Note: The Magic are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. I know the Magic will not inspire bettors and the Clippers are the superior side, but here in a very early afternoon game in LA the visitors Im betting have the edge, vs a side that could easily over looking them. Note: Lue is 7-19 ATS  when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) in all games he has coached since 1999. 

LA CLIPPERS are 0-8 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season.Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. 

Play on Orlando Magic to cover 

 The Wolves have lost 4 straight, but are still uptrending in my power rankings charts and deserve respect here when Karl-Anthony Towns  is in the lineup , which he is expected to be tonight. The Timberwolves' big man is averaging a team-high 24.2 points and 9.3 rebounds this season, and will be a handful for Cleveland D to defend against. Advantage Wolves. 

Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.

CLEVELAND is 9-28 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons and is 12-33 ATS  when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more are 8-32 L/25 seasons for a go against  84% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread are 146-91 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. 

Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

The Knicks are not living up to their hefty expectations to this point in the season, and have not won back to back games since Oct. The Knicks have lost 4 of their L/5 and are once again looking vulnerable vs a Toronto team that may not be of championship calibre anymore, but are a team to watch with a group of young players that have shown flashes of brilliance and cohesiveness this season. Note:Knicks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Knicks are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Toronto.

NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 35-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Toronto to cover 

 Denver won last time out, but have not won back to back games since Nov 14 and are fade material here vs a Spurs team that has lost two straight prior to a 4 game win streak. Denver took a 102 -96 win at home back in October, and in their current form I expect a  Popovich  lead group to that  is 30-15 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons to collect the money in this spot play. Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.

Malone is 48-66 ATS  against Southwest division opponents as the coach of DENVER. Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 56-26 L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Grizzlies looked  asleep at the proverbial wheel last night  as their  five-game winning streak ended  vs Dallas in an emotionless effort. After exerting very little effort last night Im betting they will have plenty of energy left in the tank for the second half of a back-to-back against the visiting Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Advantage Grizzlies. 

MEMPHIS is 17-6 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-1 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 5-13 ATS  as a favorite this season. LA LAKERS are 2-12 ATS  off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MEMPHIS) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 35-7 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams (MEMPHIS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 43-16 ATS L/15 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

The Lakers enter this road game against Memphis with the 4th best ppg offense the 28th ranked ppg defense behind the 2nd fastest pace in the NBA. Meanwhile, Memphis ranks 8th in ppg offense and 24th in ppg defense behind the 13th fast pace in the league. Tonight Im betting on an all out offensive slugfest behind two sides who attack and rarely play defensively well in transition which will result in a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers are expecting. 

Note:  Im expecting a fast pace and alot of shots here tonight by both sides:  MEMPHIS is 32-19 OVER  in up-tempo games where they attempt 93 or more shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. 

NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, first half of the season are 55-21 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Jazz are being over rated by the lines-makers on as visitors and are just  1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. This Im betting is the case here again in Minnesota tonight vs a Wolves side, that  are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 8-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite are 19-7 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 2 days rest are just 19-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Minnesota to cover

 .The Nuggets have lost eight of their past 10 games and are obviously in a major funk, with their conditioning looking like it could be an issue as 3rd quarter meltdowns have become the norm of late. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have shown some upward momentum lately,   having won four of their last seven games over the past two weeks and deserve enough respect here at home for me to take the points. 

Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.

Nuggets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.Nuggets are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.Nuggets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record 32-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Nuggets are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Play on New Orleans to cover 

The Grizzlies have  won and covered 5 straight games even without key cog Morant in the lineup and once again have a big edge vs the visiting Dallas Mavericks who are on tired legs after playing 4 games in 6 night and losing last night for their 3rd straight loss. Advantage Memphis.   

DALLAS is 2-11 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS is 11-2 ATS  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 19-7 ATS   when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - poor rebounding team - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game, after 3 straight games being out-rebounded by opponent by 10 or more are 4-23 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.3 ppg. 

NBA team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 21-6 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.4 ppg. 

Play on Grizzlies to cover