The Nets are playing their 5th game in 7 days and are also playing on back to back nights which Im betting has them on tired legs and in no way ready to run and gun here in the high altitudes of  Salt Lake City tonight. With this being the Jazz first home game after a 5 game road trip they may also be disorientated and take time to get use to home cooking which in conjunction with the Nets exhaustion should see a combine score that remains on the low side of the offered number. 

UTAH is 13-3 UNDER  in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (Brooklyn/UTAH) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 29-4 UNDER  L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) ARE 35-8 UNDER L/24 SEASONS for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Phoenix Suns have been racking up the road wins and are closing in on an impressive franchise record.Phoenix aims to stretch its road winning streak to eight games when it visits the Orlando Magic on Wednesday and Im betting they get it as well as the cover vs a Orlando team that looks to be in tank mode .ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.The Magic are 0-15 ATS /SU L/15  after allowing 50-plus points in the paint last game failing to cover by more than 14 ppg with every loss coming by DDs. 

Play on Phoenix to cover

Detroit has been extremely inconsistent this season , and after a couple wins put out a clunker last time out at home. However, my power rankings suggest they matchup well vs the Pacers who are also less than consistent. Thus making getting points here a viable betting opportunity. 

The Pacers are 2-11 ATS L/13 at home. INDIANA is 0-10 ATS  after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games this season.

DETROIT is 17-6 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season. DETROIT is 10-1 ATS off a home loss this season. The Pistons are 14-0-1 ATS   with more than one day of rest coming off a home game.

INDIANA is 3-12 ATS  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are just 7-28 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams (INDIANA) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 6-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

With Golden States Seth Curry and his brother at less than 100% if they play at all tonight Im betting the Sixers who are in top form have an edge.  PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 ATS  versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots this season.PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. Sixers are 7-1-1 ATS L/9 overall.76ers are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

NBA teams vs the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) - 42+ game are 8-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +4.5 ppg.

Play on Philadelphia to cover 

The Trail Blazers were a shaky 9 of 41 from 3-point range and the trio of Damian Lillard (seven attempts), CJ McCollum (five) and Carmelo Anthony (four) never saw one go through the net in their ugly DD loss Sunday to Dallas  and will now be ready to play much better defence in redemption mode.  The Blazers also on tired legs will want to slow down their speed orientated opponent which Im betting will lead to a lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers expect . QUOTE: "We really depend on our offense and making 3s and any time me, CJ and Melo go 0-for-16 from three, we're not going to have much of a chance," Lillard said;  eND QUOTE: 

BROOKLYN is 36-18 L/54 UNDER after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher.  Under is 5-2 in Nets last 7 games as an underdog. 

Under is 8-2 in Trail Blazers last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 26-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate.

Play the UNDER

The Pelicans enter this game ranked 5th in ppg offence in the league and 25th in ppg allowed defence. \Tonight New Orleans will be out looking to take down a Lakers side playing without James and Davis, and will have no mercy in the process which Im betting leads us into a higher scoring tilt that the public and linesmkaers might expect. NEW ORLEANS is 17-4 OVER   in home games this season with a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. 

NEW ORLEANS is 11-0 OVER  in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 243.8 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 OVER  in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season with a combined average of 242.1 ppg scored. 

NEW ORLEANS is 26-9 OVER   versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combine average of 233.6 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Rockets' are on a demoralizing 20-game skid and now face a hungry Toronto side, that is on a 8 game losing streak and desperate for a win. 

HOUSTON is 4-17 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season. HOUSTON is 3-17 ATS  in home games this season.HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS  in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS  as a home underdog this season.

Play on Toronto to cover

The Pacers shot just 38.8% yesterday and looked to be on tired legs in a grinding  109-106 OT win vs the Heat. Now playing on back to back days, Indiana could find themselves running on less than a full tank and susceptible to a down offensive effort vs the red hot Bucks . Note: The Pacers are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road after they shot under 40% from the field.Under is 9-3 in Pacers last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.Under is 5-2 in Bucks last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Play on the UNDER

The Pacers took part in a grinding 109-106 OT battle yesterday vs the Heat, and will now be on tired legs in back to back tilts and susceptible to down performance.  The Bucks are red hot having won 6 straight and have are 5-0 straight SU/ATS vs the Pacers L/5 at home in this series  and get my support again in a favorable situation here on home court.INDIANA is 4-17 ATS ( versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more of their attempts this season.INDIANA is 0-9 ATS  after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games this season.

Play on Milwaukee to cover

The Sacramento Kings conclude a six-game road swing through the Eastern Conference on Monday, facing the Cleveland Cavaliers. Needless to say Im sure their exhausted and susceptible to a down performance. Cleveland has won 2 of their L/3 and are showing signs of momentum.Bickerstaff is 22-9 ATS in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in all games he has coached .Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.

Play on Cleveland to cover

The Blazers are starting to heat up as CJ McCollum has shaken off the rust  after a explosive effort on Friday night  and now the Trail Blazers look like viable bets to beat the visiting Dallas Mavericks for the second time in three nights.

Note:The Trailblazers are 11-0 ATS/SU  L/11 off a home win in which they had assists on less than 40 percent of their made field goals.

DALLAS is 9-19 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. 

Stotts is 120-97 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PORTLAND.

Play on the Portland Blazers to cover

In the first meeting of this weekends series the Indiana Pacers pounded the Miami Heat 137-110 and now the Heat have revenge on board and will motivated here . MIAMI is 32-19 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

INDIANA is 1-9 ATS  after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games this season.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 33-9 ATS L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an embarrassing upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite are 26-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. 

Play on Miami to cover

Early afternoon starts can some time see teams starting slowly and playing with less energy . After Miami allowed 137 points in a DD loss to the Pacers in the first game of this weekend series, you can bet the Heat will be ready to pay attention to defense in transition and for the Pacers to regress offensively after shooting 58.4 % from the field and 55.6% from the land of the trey.The Heat are 0-12-1 UNDER  at home after their opponent shot 50% or better from beyond the arc last game with a combined average of 202 ppg.

INDIANA is 15-4 UNDER after scoring 130 points or more.

NBA team (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game are 25-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Charlotte Hornets aim to halt a 10-game road losing streak to the Los Angeles Clippers when the teams square off on Saturday night and despite of looking like non viable su winners, getting the cover is a viable option.CHARLOTTE is 19-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHARLOTTE is 10-2 ATS  when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.CHARLOTTE is 21-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Charlotte to cover

 The Sixers remain quite formidable at home, going 18-4 SU and deserve respect here as medium line price. The Kings are getting respect,  because of a couple of road wins as dogs. However, they are on tired legs with this being their 5th straight away game in a week,  Note: NBA  team (SACRAMENTO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, playing on back-to-back days are 53-94 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors.

PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. SACRAMENTO is 7-15 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season.

NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-24 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9+ ppg. 

Play on  Philadelphia to cover

The Lakers key to their successes and failures are based on a top tier brand of  defensive basketball that can easily take teams like the Hawks out of their offensive flow. The Lakers rank 6th in NBA in ppg allowed and are ranked 24th in pace in the league. Considering the Hawks have win 6 straight, you can bet the Lakers will be ready to play . It must also be noted that the Hawks own the 11th best ppg defense in the NBA and rank 22nd in pace, which is. a divergence to previous recent campaigns. With this being an afternoon game, Im also expecting energy levels to be somewhat subdued which Im betting will influence total input in this spot and keep the combined score below this posted total offering.  Four of the L/5 meetings in this series have stayed under the total.

Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600

LA LAKERS are 11-1 UNDER  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at. 215.7 ppg .LA LAKERS are 15-3 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 209.5 ppg.LA LAKERS are 13-3 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

Portland played last night and are now on tired legs as they play their 5th game in 7 nights, and are susceptible to a down effort vs a Dallas side that matches up well against them according to my power rankings and projections. According to SRS ratings the Mavs rank 11th in the league with a 1.10 SRS vs the Blazers who rank 22nd and 0.94 mark. i.e ( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average)

Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.Mavericks are 27-13-1 ATS in their last 41 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Mavericks are 21-9 ATS in the last 30 meetings. Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Portland.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 41-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.3  ppg. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  on the season, after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 13-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play on Dallas to cover

HC Nick Nurse and the Raptors are finally getting  completely healthy   heading into this contest vs the Jazz. Its been the Raptors problems with covid protocols that has derailed some of their previous positive momentum . However, now well rested and the Raptors should prove to be a formidable opponent for a Utah side that after being red hot have now lost 4 of their L/7 overall and looking very mortal. Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nurse is 17-4 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of TORONTO.Toronto is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series. 

Play on Toronto to cover

Brooklyn is 14-1 in its past 15 games and has won a franchise-record eight straight road games and six straight overall and are   are 12-0 OVER L/12  as a road favorite eclipsing  the the total  by more than 19 ppg.  Im betting on them continuing to run and gun in this spot vs a Orlando side on tired legs after playing last night . I know the Magic scored just 93 points last night in a one point loss to the Knicks, but now with very little left to lose after suffering their 9th straight ,loss Im betting we see a fairly wide open affair, as the Magic go into tank mode. Note: Orlando is also getting healthier and are expected to have Fournier , back in the lineup. 

BROOKLYN is 8-1 OVER  in road games versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 251.7 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 9-1 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 248.7 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 15-2 OVER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. 

Play OVER

Toronto has done well against the Jazz recently winning 4 straight meetings and must than be noted that the Jazz are 0-12-2 UNDER as a road favorite when they lost at least their last two meetings against this opponent.TORONTO is 24-10 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average score fo those tilts ringing in at 212.7 ppg. My projections also estimate a total closer to 227 which is more than a full possession edge. 

Play on the UNDER 

The Blazers took Tuesdays nights tilt by 1 point, and now Im betting on the Pelicans regrouping and getting the Portland split. Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

NBA  teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 40-14 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

PORTLAND is 12-23 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game over the last 2 seasons

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 16-41 L/5 seasons for a 72%  go against conversion rate for bettors, 

Play on New Orleans to cover

Atlanta has won 7 straight with alot of that success attributed to much better defensive performances, allowing  107, 82, 106 scores in their L/3 efforts  . Im betting on the Hawks D to continue to improve vs a Oklahoma City side, that ranks 26th in ppg offence in the league. With that said, Im betting on this combined score failing to eclipse the total.

The Thunder are 0-12 UNDER L/12 off a game as a dog in which they had more turnovers than assists. OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-18 UNDER  when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-7 UNDER L/26 in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 12-3 UNDER  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.

Play UNDER 

The Grizzlies will be primed to take down the red hot Miami Heat here tonight at home and get my support.The Heat are 0-13 ATS L/13 as a road favorite off a win where they allowed 50-plus points in the paint including 7 straight SU losses. MIAMI is 4-13 ATS  after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. 

Play on the Grizzlies to win 

These two top tier teams will test each other here this evening a what could be a dress rehearsal for a play off matchup. With that said, Im betting a on hard fought physical affair that stays on the low side of the number.  

PHILADELPHIA is 31-17 UNDER  when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 28-15 UNDER off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE/PHILADELPHIA ) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are  23-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE/PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

The Sixers are riding a season-best, six-game winning streak entering their matchup with the visiting Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday, and in their current form will not easily be disposed of making getting points a viable wagering opportunity.

MILWAUKEE is 7-22 ATS  in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 33-4 L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate.

Play on the 76ers to cover

The banged up Raptors have lost 4 straight, and considering their current form , and knowing nothing comes easy to them right now , it will be an easy decision to take the points with the home side,.  DETROIT is 17-8 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. DETROIT is 9-1 ATS off a home loss this season.

TORONTO is 3-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, playing with 2 days rest are 8-35 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover

 The Lakers are off their biggest offensive output in 15 games last time out scoring 128 points on 62.8% FG shooting. LA LAKERS are 11-1 UNDER after a game where they made 60% of their shots or better since 1996. Meanwhile the Wolves are off an upset win last time out.  MINNESOTA is 26-6 UNDER  in road games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog since 1996.

 LA LAKERS are 18-5 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. LA LAKERS are 16-2 UNDER  after playing a road game this season.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MINNESOTA) - off a win against a division rival, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 25-4 L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

The Trail Blazers will welcome standout shooting guard CJ McCollum back to the lineup after a two-month absence due to a fractured left foot. McCollum averaged 26.7 points and five assists in 13 games prior to the injury and this makes them a dangerous opponent vs a public side ( New Orleans) tonight. I know Zion Williamson is a super star in the making but this still does not make the Pelicans contenders , and tonight that will become evident. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover

My projections estimate both these sides will easily eclipse the 105 point plateau here this evening. OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-2 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average score of 234.4 ppg scored.  CHICAGO is 19-4 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 239.6 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 47-13 OVER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, in non-conference games are 35-11 OVER L/24 seasons for. a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER

The Knicks are in bounce back mode after a frustrating 117-112 road loss to the Brooklyn Nets on Monday in which they cut an 18-point deficit down to three in the final seconds. This team has shown me they are a never say die group and deserve respect as underdogs in this spot play. The Knicks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Also the Knicks have revenge on board for a loss earlier this season to the Sixers. NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.NEW YORK is 13-4 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. I know the 76ers are hot but they are just   3-15 ATS  after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons .NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.

Play on the Knicks to cover

The Lakers were off Sunday, having opened the second half with a defensive minded 105-101 home win over the Indiana Pacers on Friday, while, the  Warriors pulled off a run and gun upset last night by a 131-119 vs Utah and are now on tired legs. Note: The Warriors are 0-10 UNDER L/10 at home off a win as a dog in which they scored a least 18 fast break points  going under by 20 plus points. 

LA LAKERS are 11-2 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season.LA LAKERS are 17-4 UNDER  vs. horrible rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 10-2 UNDER   in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 64-33 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

 Denver behind the 29th ranked pace and 8th best ppg defense in the league, Im betting will be primed to control the flow of this game as they play on back to back nights vs a Indiana team that ranks 15th in ppg offense and 12th in defensive efficiency. With that said, Im betting on a current trend that has seen  the  Under cash  4- straight times in the  Nuggets last 4 games as a home favorite. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 26-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

These teams play opposite styles of hoops. NY Knicks are a defense first side, and Brooklyn is a run and gun side. But from my line projection estimates I feel the number should be closer to 220 this giving us a full possession advantage. 

BROOKLYN is 11-1 UNDER  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons.

NEW YORK is 9-1 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 90-35 L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate.

Play on the UNDER

The Sacramento Kings take on the  Charlotte Hornets,  in desperation mode as they need wins   to improve their chances of reaching the playoffs. Hornets defeated the Kings in Sacramento on the last day of February, 127-126 and one again Im betting on the Kings to keep pace here as underdogs. The Kings have rotated wins and losses of late and are off a loss last time out. This Kings side is much more talented than they are given credit for, and with more cohesive efforts are a dark horse in the 2nd half from a ATS perspective.

SACRAMENTO is 25-13 ATS  in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons.

Hornets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.

Hornets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

Play on Sacramento to cover

The Clippers rank 8th in the league in ppg allowed and 24th in pace, and the key to their successes and failures is predicated on playing. solid defense. Meanwhile, the Pelicans HC  Van Gundys philosophy has always been based on having a solid defensive system, something he preaches constantly. With that said, Im betting on a much lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect.  LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER  vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 season. LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 UNDER  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

Under is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 games following a ATS win.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS/NEW ORLEANS) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 58-16 UNDER L/24 seasons for a  79% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 39-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the UNDER

Clippers know how to take care of business vs a average to below sides like the Pelicans. LA CLIPPERS are 16-5 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 33-19 ATS  as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. I know New Orleans looked good in their first game back after the all star break bumping of Cleveland by a lopsided DD score , but in the recent past the Pelicans have not been a good bet after a big win. NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS  after scoring 115 points or more this season.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-9 L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rare for bettors.

NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 33-103 L/24 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

These teams are playing at the opposite end of the proverbial  performance spectrum. The Magic has lost 7 straight, and the Heat have have been victorious in 9 of their L/10 including a 111-103 win the last time these teams met before the all star break.   ORLANDO is 8-29 ATS  revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasonsORLANDO is 7-18 ATS  as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 40-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors with the a erage ppg diff clicking in at 12.3 ppg. 

NBA Favorites (MIAMI) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 32-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Miami to cover

 Utah has beaten Golden State five straight times, including 14- and 33-point victories in their only previous visits to the two-year-old Chase Center in San Francisco and considering the Warriors are in slumping for after 4 straight losses, a rinse and repeat situation looks like a viable betting opportunity laying points with the Jazz. UTAH is 22-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Play on Utah to cover

Dallas who rank 21st in pace, is playing a good brand of defensive hoops of late, allowing around 104 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Denver, who ranked 8th in the league in ppg against, and are 28th in pace has also played strong D, and  allowed 102 ppg in their L/5 games overall. Im betting on more of the same top tier defensive action again tonight. DALLAS is 8-1 UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 overall.

Play UNDER

Saddled with a nine-game losing streak at the All-Star break, the Timberwolves regrouped over the eight-day break and put together arguably their best effort of the season in a 135-105 shellacking of New Orleans on the road Thursday night, but now in letdown mode are susceptible to a down performance.MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS  after a huge blowout win by 30 or more since 1996. 

PORTLAND is 9-1 ATS  in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse this season.

NBA Underdogs vs the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more are 25-1 L/5 seasons with the average margin of victory clicking in at 7.5 ppg which qualifies under an ATS wagering situation.

 Detroit behind the 27th ranked pace, will do everything in their power to slow this contest down against an explosive opponent, which Im betting helps keep this combined score on the low side of the total. DETROIT is 18-4 UNDER L/22  in road games after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games with the average combined score clicking in at 200.9 ppg . 

Under is 5-0 in Pistons last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 home games.

NBA  Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BROOKLYN) - excellent 3 point shooting team - making 39% or better  of their attempts are 119-80 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Hornets  have now won  3 of their last  four games and  now with  momentum  play host to the Toronto Raptors on Saturday night in the second of a three-game homestand. The Raptors swept the Hornets in a back-to-back set in Tampa on Jan. 14 and 16, winning each game by three points and now its pay back time for Charlotte . Note: The Raptors are 4-11 SUATS with a .500 or less record versus opposition  seeking same-season double revenge-exact. Charlotte 17-2 ATS in this series when Toronto owns  a .500 or less record and they have a sub .500 record.  

Play on Charlotte to cover

Playing its first game in eight days, Denver is looking to conclude a five-game road swing that began on Feb. 27 a perfect 5-0. Im betting on a fresh group that is in top form to bring home the cash vs the home side tonight. 

DENVER is 11-3 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game this season.

 MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS when playing 5 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 5-40 L/24 seasons for a 89% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home underdogs (MEMPHIS) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are just 13-41 L/24 seasons for a go against  76% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (DENVER) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 41-4 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Denver to cover

The inconsistent  Pelicans who are on a 3 game SU/ATS losing streak do not deserve to be this big favorite vs a Cleveland side, that is getting healthier and playing at a higher level than earlier this season, as is evident by winning 4 of their L/5 .  The Pelicans are 0-19 ATS L/19 at home after they shot worse than 26% on threes last game. They did win 3 of those 19 games, with 2,3 and 4 point victories. ( They Pelicans looked miserable in a 135-105 loss in their first game after the all star break. 

NEW ORLEANS is 2-10 ATS  as a home favorite this season.

CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Home favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 19-46 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Cleveland to cover

The Warriors will take the court on a season-worst, three-game skid, coming up empty on a trip to Los Angeles to face the Lakers before falling at Portland and Phoenix. Im betting things dont get much better tonight against Clippers team ready to make a big 2nd half run and revenge mode for a loss to the Warriors earlier this season! Yes, I know the Clippers were slumping before the all star break but from a trends standpoint LAC has been money in the bank. Note: LA CLIPPERS are 16-4 ATS  after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons Home teams (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 23-5 ATS L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the LA  Clippers to cover 

Milwaukee has revenge on board for a 130-110 loss to the Knicks earlier this seasons, but this version of the Knicks matches up well vs the Bucks and this is just to many points according to my projections to pass up on with the the underdog.NEW YORK is 12-3 ATS   when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons and is 15-6 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - off a home win, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 27-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. 

Play on the Knicks to cover

Brooklyn really brought the hammer down on the Celtics in their first meeting winning by a 123-95 count, and now the well rested Celtics will be out ready to play a tough two way game to slow down their run and gun and opponent and this Im betting leads to a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. 

BOSTON is 19-8 UNDER  in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.7 ppg scored. 

BROOKLYN is 10-1 UNDER  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 211.3 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season are 51-19 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 72-27 UNDER  L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Charlotte matches up well vs the Detroit Pistons . The Hornets have relied on their perimeter shooting, making 38.5 percent of their 3-point attempts, sixth-best in the league and another rinse and repeat situation looks to be on tap tonight vs a inconsistent  Pistons side that  is 9-21 ATS L/30  as a road underdog of 6 points or less.  

CHARLOTTE is 7-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons CHARLOTTE is 8-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Charlotte to cover

The  Mavs have played well at home of late, covering 4 of their L/5 in Dallas  and once again show value on a short fav line, as hosts . The Mavs have also  won four of the past five regular-season meetings against the Spurs and get my support again,

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 39-2 L/5 seasons and a perfect 5-0 this season.

Play on Dallas to cover

Antetokounmpo,  will start with Curry, James, Luka Doncic and Nikola Jokic on Sunday. Just to much competitive minded talent for the Durant and company to handle. 

Play on All Star LeBron to cover

 Im betting the Warriors take advantage of up-trending Suns team that played lights out last time out vs the Lakers for a win, and now in an emotional letdown state. With revenge on board for a ,loss they suffered to the Suns the last time they played, there will be not lack of motivation. Warriors are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix.

GOLDEN STATE is 21-8 ATS  in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.Kerr is 37-22 ATS  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. 

NBA Home favorites (PHOENIX) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or less) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) are 23-62 ATS L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover

Thunder are on tired legs after play ing last night and now have to deal with a revenge mined San Antonio group that  they  upset in  San Antonio, 102-99, as a home dog 10 days ago.  Note : the  Spurs’ 7-0 SU / 6-1 ATS L/7 at home when   when they have  revenge on board  for a close loss (3  points or less) Thunder are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Thunder are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Indiana took a 114-111 win at Cleveland on Wednesday ended a four-game skid and stopped a string of nine losses in 12 games. Now with some confidence back and momentum from the above mentioned win Im recommending we take the points here vs a side that is in a regression situation after shooting more than 55%  last time out in a DD win.  

DENVER is 9-25 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. DENVER is 4-15 ATS  after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 11-0 ATS  after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons

The Pacers are 10-0 ATS L/10 at home with no rest after playing as a road favorite.

The Nuggets are 0-11-1 ATS L/11 on the road with rest when they shot better than 50 percent from the field in each of their last two games. 

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 12-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate.

Play on Pacers to cover

Portland and Golden State will seek to become 20-game winners Wednesday night when the Trail Blazers host the Warriors and Im betting on the Blazers to come out of this with the W.Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and  are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and are also  6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, playing with 2 days rest are 8-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Portland to cover

The young but talented Thunder have played their best hoops on the road against what is perceived to be superior competition and Im betting they are up to the challenge again vs a inconsistent Dallas side that continues to get to much respect based on what the public perceives as a super star laden side. ie ( Luka Doncic) 

DALLAS is 1-8 ATS  in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season

OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-3 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons

NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 9-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma city to cover

Harden comes home to Houston tonight in front of just 4500 fans. But that should be enough to give the Rockets an edge on this spread. Yes, I know how horrible they have played, but Im looking for a concerted effort here from a downtrodden side that should find inspiration in this spot play. 

NBA Underdogs (HOUSTON) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread are 75-28 ATS L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on Houston to cover 

Defence is ley to the Lakers success and failures and nothing will change tonight as Im betting they control the pace of this tilt. Note: The Lakers have gone under in 6 of their L/7 games. Meanwhile, the Suns are also playing a top tier brand of D, of late not allowing 3 of their L/5 opponents to breach the 99 point plateau. 

Lakers are 2nd in ppg allowed in the league and own the 17th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Suns, rank 4th in ppg allowed and 29th in pace. 

LA LAKERS are 11-1 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 210.2 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 13-2 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 209.8 ppg. LA LAKERS are 12-3 UNDER  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 31-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

My projections estimate a combined score of closer 231 which gives us a more than one possession edge. Note: The Nuggets in 10 of their L/13 road games have not eclipsed this total. 

Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record.are 89-35 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off a road win, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 71-31 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

The Knicks are playing a top tier brand of hoops at the moment as is evident by 3 straight wins. Tonight Im betting on that momentum to continue vs a inconsistent Spurs side .

NEW YORK is 11-3 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

NBA  team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 29-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on NY Knicks to cover

The Miami Heat, who play host to the Atlanta Hawks for a second straight game on Tuesday night, have not looked like a championship team for much of this season and despite of a nice run , they    are fade material in this pot vs a Atlanta side that is uptrending in my power rankings.Heat are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite.Heat are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Heat are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover

The Denver Nuggets had lost six of their last seven tilts on the road before they hit the road over the weekend to start a five-game away trip. They started their traveling adventures  with a impressive DD victory Saturday and  now they visit the Chicago Bulls. Note:  Nuggets are 0-14 ATS L/14 as a road favorite with rest coming off a 9+ point win. 

Orlando has looked bad lately, losing 3 straight, but in contrarian fashion, I still like the line value attached to this tilt considering how desperate this Magic team is for a win. Meanwhile,   Dallas has proven themselves inconsistent and over valued for most of the season, as is evident by failing to cash 12 of their L/17 overall . The Mavericks have also  had issues rising to the occasion vs sub standard opposition registering a bankroll depleting  0-4 ATS mark vs below .400 squads, which makes them fade material here in this spot play situation. 

NBA Underdogs (ORLANDO) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 70-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Orlando to cover

I know the Pacers are in a bit of funk losing 3 straight despite of remaining competitive, but they  must be respected here in revenge mode for a earlier loss this season vs the Sixers . Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Philadelphia is 8-25-1 ATS as a home favorite in this series, including 3-15-1 ATS L/19. 

NBA Home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), good rebounding team (+3 to +5.5 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 24-52 ATS L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indiana to cover

The key to the Lakers successes and failures are based around their defence, which ranks 2nd in ppg in the league. Nothing will change today, vs a Golden State team that wants to run , as they control the speed here behind the 17th ranked pace, in a tilt I have projected to stay on the low side of the number. 

GOLDEN STATE is 18-7 UNDER  as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 216.2 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 24-7 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored. 

LA LAKERS are 14-5 UNDER  when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

LA LAKERS are 10-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 210.3 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 12-2 UNDER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season with a combined average of 209.9 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 16-4 UNDER  vs. horrible rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 216.7 ppg. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 42-15 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.

Play on the UNDER 

Atlanta enters this game having gone over in 10 of the L/11 tilts  and Im betting they're usual run and gun speed will continue into this game behind the 9th ranked offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Miami after being dormant and unhealthy earlier in the season, have now seen 5 of their L/7 go over the total behind a offense that has generated 112 plus ppg, in their L/5 . In division games the Heat, have seen a combined average of 228.4 ppg scored. Everything points to this being a vulnerable total, for a over wager to cash.Over is 6-0 in Hawks last 6 games following a ATS loss.Over is 7-0 in Hawks last 7 games following a straight up loss. Over is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 games as a road underdog.

Play OVER 

The Celtics have revenge on board for a DD loss they suffered earlier this season to the Wizards and will now be ready and motivated to get some redemption. Boston  when looking for  same-season revenge for a  defeat of 13 plus  points under  HC Stevens are  11-1 ATS L/12, and 8-0 ATS L/8 overall. Boston is also 4-0 SU/ATS at home this season with revenge.  Sunday's meeting will be the last of three between the clubs this season. The Celtics were victorious 116-107 at home on Jan. 8.

Play on Boston to cover

Im betting on these two top tier teams taking part in a play off style game with alot of physicality. This will help keep this score on the low side of the number. Under is 15-7 in Bucks last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. LA CLIPPERS are 15-2 UNDER  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER

San Antonio has revenge on board for a 98-95 loss, in New Orleans back in December. Note : Popovich is 16-1 SU with revenge in this series at home  vs the Pelicans. Considering the Pelicans are just 5-11 away from home this season its not a hard decision to take the motivated home side in this spot play. 

Play on San Antonio to cover

The Jazz lost last time out, but will now be ready to bounce back in a big way vs the Magic, as they go for their 23 win in 26 tries against a  Orlando side that took a  ugly 129-92 road smack down  against the Nets on Thursday. UTAH is 15-1 ATS  after a non-conference game this season. The Magic are 0-13 ATS /SU failing to cover by more than 15 ppg after they allowed at least 50 points in the paint last game.

Both these teams offences are clicking on all cylinders entering this tilt. The Suns have averaged 127.4 ppg in their L/5 trips to the court, while, the Bulls have scored 120, 122 and 133 in their L/3 overall and rank 5th in ppg on offence this season, and rank 5th in pace. When projecting a combined score my number is closer to 231 which gives us a full possession edge according to calculations to the over.

The Suns have gone over in 8 of their L/9. 

PHOENIX is 11-1 OVER  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season with a combined average of 235.3 ppg. 

NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHICAGO) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 41-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 31-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

The Kings were smashed by the Knicks 140-121 on Thursday in New York and now on tired legs I expect them to play very little defence again, and just try to keep pace here in what Im betting will resemble an all star game shootout. Im also predicting that the Kings put  111 to 116  points on the board.  SACRAMENTO is 20-4 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 242.1 ppg scored.

Tonight my projections estimate that the Pistons will score upward of 112 to 116 points,DETROIT is 33-1 OVER  when they score 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO in 24 games   when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season have seen a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. 

Play OVER

The Clippers got clipped yesterday by the Grizzlies, in a ugly 122-94  DD beatdown where they were out converted by Memphis in the FG% category 54.3 to 40.5  -. Now after being thoroughly embarrassed, Im betting on a huge bounce back effort by LAC tonight in the rematch.  Note:The Clippers are 11-0 ATS L/11 on the road after they had a shooting percentage at least 10 percentage points lower than their opponent last game (covering by more than 14 ppg).  LA CLIPPERS are 27-10 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the LA Clippers to cover

The Bucks after a unprecedented 5 game losing streak under their current coach  have now bounced back with 3 straight wins and are now back in top form and ready to continue their run vs a Pelicans side that they have revenge against for a earlier loss this season. New Orleans is 0-17-1 ATS in its last 18 SU losses as an underdog against Eastern Conference opposition. NEW ORLEANS is also 1-9 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.3 ppg. MILWAUKEE is 33-19 ATS  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Milwaukee to cover 

 Washington has played a grueling schedule of late against top tier squads over a relatively short period of time, and will now be on tired legs here in the high altitudes of Denver, which is never a easy endeavor. Also when considering the Nuggets 28th ranked pace my projections looks for a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered total.

WASHINGTON is 10-1 UNDER  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.7 ppg scored. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 37-11 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

The red hot Nets bring the   NBA's longest active winning streak to eight games Thursday night when they host the Orlando Magic. Meanwhile, their opponents the Orlando Magic that despite of going 4 -2 in they're last 6 games, are an inconsistent side,  and just 18-30 ATS L/48 games vs a an above .500 opponent . The Nets beat the Magic earlier this season, and look like solid bets here laying points even though the Magic want revenge. Note: ORLANDO is 7-27 ATS   revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

 The Magic are 0-12 ATS/SU l/12 after allowing at least 50 points in the paint last game failing to cover by more than 14 ppg. NBA Home teams (BROOKLYN) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49% are 80-42 ATS L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover

 NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against a good shooting team (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 53-22 OVER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

My projections estimate that the Suns will score 112- 117 points here this evening vs the Charlotte Hornets. CHARLOTTE is 14-1 OVER   when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 235.5 ppg . PHOENIX is 11-2 OVER  when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 235,4 ppg scored.  PHOENIX is 10-0 OVER  when they score 117 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 240.3 ppg scored. I also project the Hornets to put at least 105 points on the board, which is also a good omen for a over wager to cash as CHARLOTTE is 16-3 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season.Over is 7-0 in Hornets last 7 games as a road underdog with a combined average of 232 ppg scored.

Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 overall.

Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 TO's or less ) are 67-30 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHOENIX) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 33-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHOENIX) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better  of their shots are 36-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Spurs won the first meeting between the teams, 112-102, in Oklahoma City on Jan. 12 and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation in the rematch.Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Spurs are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog.Spurs are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

The Bucks after a unprecedented  5 game losing streak have now won 2 in a row and are getting back into top form. With that said, Im betting that the 7-24 Wolves, will get gobbled up tonight vs a very strong and up-trending opponent.The Bucks are 14-0-1 ATS SU as a 7-17 point home favorite with less than two days rest.

Play on The Milwaukee Bucks to cover 

Golden State has lost two in a row and are very motivated to get back in winning form here tonight against the NY Knicks that despite of winning 4 of 5 are without top center Mitch Robinson. The Warriors are  4-0 SU this season when trying to snap a 2 game losing streak  which include away victories  over  teams like the Los Angeles Lakers and San Antonio  Spurs. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight in revenge mode for. a 119-104 home loss back in January to the Knicks.  Kerr is 32-16 ATS in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. GOLDEN STATE is 23-10 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Play on Golden State to cover

The Trail Blazers, who are beginning a three-game road trip, after Saturday's 118-111 home loss where they blew a DD lead to the Washington Wizards that suddenly ended a , six-game winning streak. That coincidently was the Wizards fourth straight win as underdogs. Now after taking the Wizards for granted the Blazers will be wide awake here and ready to pull off an upset of their own here in Arizona tonight. 

The Trailblazers are 14-0 ATS as a dog after a loss in which they led by double digits after the first quarter. PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.

The Suns are 0-9 ATS /SU  as a home favorite off a win in which they scored a least 18 fast break points which was the case last time out vs the  Grizzlies . 

Play on Portland to cover 

Dallas has gone over in 7 straight times and 8 of their L/9 games overall, while their opponents tonight the Grizzlies have gone over the total 11 of their L/13 overall. Over is 8-0 in Grizzlies last 8 games as an underdog including 6 straight on the road.Over is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 games as a home favorite. Over is 11-1 in Mavericks last 12 games as a favorite. These teams are trending towards high scoring back and forth affairs and have gone over in 4 of their L/5 meetings and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation tonight. 

Play OVER

Houston will play for the first time since Feb. 17 following consecutive postponements and Im betting will have plenty of energy after extended rest to turn this game into a fast paced affair that favors this tilt going over the set total according to my projections. Note: The Rockets rank 3rd in pace in the league. 

Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. 

Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 overall.Over is 11-5 in Rockets last 16 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Over is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Houston.

Play OVER

The Thunder are off an ugly effort last time out vs the Bucks , but will be primed for a bounce back effort vs a Cleveland team that have beaten 4 straight times over the last few seasons. Note: The Cavaliers are 0-15-1 ATS L/16 with less than two days rest when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.  Thunder are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. Thunder are also 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 

Cleveland is also off a DD (17 pt) loss to Denver last time out, and are just  0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and  are just  0-11 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 1 or more consecutive unders, a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) are 59-26 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Boston despite of a day off yesterday is on tired legs and Im betting  will want to slow this game down behind the 23rd ranked pace in the NBA including 6th ranked ppg defence. This Celtics team has been inconsistent offensively ranking 22nd in ppg offence so it will be imperitive they control the pace. This will lead to combined score that remains on the low side of the total. Note:  In the Celtics last six games,  they own the league’s sixth-highest Defensive Rating at 107.5 ppg. 
BOSTON is 10-1 UNDER  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

Play UNDER

Washington enters this game on tired legs as this is their 8th game in a 2 week period and are jet lagged after traveling from east to west and still adapting to a new time zone, which Im betting effects their offensive flow. This will have a direct effect on the total combined score of this tilt vs their host the Portland Blazers.  WASHINGTON is 9-0 UNDER  in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - in non-conference games, off a road win are 35-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Portland has won and covered 6 straight games and 8 of their L/9 overall and come into this game playing at a very high level and must be be respected here as short home chalk. I know that Wizards have been playing decent ball as well winning 3 straight as underdogs, but now after traveling form east to west will be a jet  lagged despite of not playing in a couple days and still adapting to a new time zone Note: Brooks is 7-22 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest as the coach of WASHINGTON. 

Wizards are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdogs and  are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games playing on 2 days rest.Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Play on Portland to cover

Milwaukee is in the midst of a five-game losing streak and now on tired legs after playing last night. HC Mike Budenholzer's now says the team has to get back to basics and pay attention to defense in transition , whichIm betting effects the combined score of this game.  

MILWAUKEE is 17-5  L/22 UNDER   in home games after failing to cover the spread in 5 or more consecutive games with a combined average of 189.4 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 29-16 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons for a combined average of 220.4 ppg scored. 

Atlanta continues to force teams into fast paced , all out run and gun affairs and nothing will change tonight vs the high powered  Boston Celtics .

Pierce is 13-2 OVER  when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days as the coach of ATLANTA with a combined average of 248.1 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 17-7 OVER  against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.8 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ATLANTA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 43-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 43-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.

Play OVER 

Denver is off a down  effort last time out, and a subsequent 129-98  loss . Note: DENVER is 10-2 OVER  after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 230.3 ppg. With that said, I look for  Denver to come out here with a big time run and gun start to finish effort and their hosts the Cleveland Cavs will have not choice but to keep up and to try to push forward with some offensive fireworks of their own which will push us towards a over wager. 

DENVER is 14-4 OVER versus struggling  defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 227.9 ppg and is  is 10-2 OVER  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more  this season with a combined average of 230.9 ppg scored. DENVER is 14-4 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored. 

NBA team (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 38-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 31-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the OVER 

After blowing a big lead last night and losing in embarrassing fashion Im betting the Heat will come out here tonight and start firing on all cylinders and hold nothing back and take nothing for granted  and keep pouring points down even if leading big late . Meanwhile the Kings will have no option but to fire back with some offensive fire works of their own or be blown off the court which Im betting results in a high scoring affair. 

SACRAMENTO is 22-8 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 236.1 ppg scored. 

 The Kings are 19-0 OVER as a dog with rest coming off a home game that had 8+ lead changes with the average combined score of 242 ppg scored.

Play on the Over 

NBA  team (MIAMI) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 35-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Before last nights  loss, Memphis hadn't given up more than 134 points in any game this season and the Grizzlies hadn't lost by more than 19. It was definitely embarrassing, and Im betting on this hard working well conditioned young group to now be ready to rebound in this spot vs Oklahoma City. MEMPHIS is 23-11 ATS  against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the Grizzlies to cover 

Phoenix is on a season-best six-game winning streak and has won nine of its last 10 games and now get to face a Brooklyn side on tired legs after playing last night. PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS in home games in non-conference games this season with average margin of victory clicking in at 9.9 ppg .  The Suns are 10-0 ATS/SU L/10 off a 10+ point win which is the case after a 109-90 win vs Orlando last time out. 

Play on The Suns to cover 

The Heat are getting healthy again, and are looking more like a eastern conference contender again and tonight they get my support getting points vs the Clippers. I know the Heat had a 4 game losing streak end against red hot Utah last time out, but according to my power rankings this is a much better matchup for them based on system vs system data.Heat are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Play on the Miami Heat to cover

Golden State is getting far to much respect here vs a well conditioned Cleveland side that must not be underestimated despite of an extended bad run and  having played last night. With veteran Andre Drummond expected back in the lineup tonight for the Cavs, Im expecting his presence to  keep this team focused vs a Warriors side that could easily be over looking their downtrodden opponent. 

Clippers are 1-10 ATS at home vs unrested opposition. 

 GOLDEN STATE is 17-34 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Underdogs (CLEVELAND) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 27-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - after allowing 110 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 8-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cleveland to cover