Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-23-20 | Pacers v. Raptors -4.5 | 81-127 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. I had the Raptors on Friday, and they beat the Phoenix Suns by double digits. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "the Raptors are defending NBA Champions, and their record this year isn't any different than it was this time last year. The media doesn't really believe in the Raptors, but then again they thought Toronto would get swept in the Finals last year." Toronto has now won 16 of their last 17 overall, and eight straight home games. They covered the spread in six of those eight home games, and they won by double digits in six of those eight games. The Pacers are 13-27 ATS in the last 40 meetings in Toronto. This line should be almost double what it is. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-20 | 76ers v. Bucks -8.5 | 98-119 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. After the Sixers rallied at home to beat the Nets, Joel Embiid told reporters that he was the best player in the world. Embiid is delusional, and so are Philly fans if they think this team is going anywhere in the playoffs. The Sixers can't win on the road, and that will mean that they aren't going to have home court advantage in the post-season. They are on the road tonight, facing the best team in the NBA. Philly has won four straight, but their last defeat was a double digit loss here in Wisconsin. The Sixers have failed to cover in four of their last five in Milwaukee, and I see no reason to "buck" that trend here tonight. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-20 | Grizzlies +11 v. Lakers | 105-117 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies lost a close game at Sacramento last night, and normally playing the second game of a back to back is considered to be a significant disadvantage. This might not be the case in this situation however though, with the Lakers playing their first game back from the All Star Break and the Grizzlies being a young team playing for just the second time in over a week. I lost my bet with the Grizzlies last night, but I was happy with their effort. The fact is that the Kings hit 19-of-39 three point attempts, making it almost impossible for the Grizzlies to keep up. The fact that they rallied to within a point in the final seven seconds says a lot about their character, and I hope to see them play the same way tonight in LA. The Lakers could be caught looking ahead to a marquee matchup versus the Celtics on Sunday. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-20 | Pelicans -169 v. Blazers | 128-115 | Win | 100 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. New Orleans went into the All Star break as one of the hotter teams in the league. They are finally healthy, and this young team is causing plenty of excitement around the league. They catch a break here on Friday, facing a Blazers team without Damian Lillard. The Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and they have won outright in three straight meetings. That includes a 102-94 win in their last game at the Rose Garden. Take NO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-20 | Suns v. Raptors -7.5 | 101-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Suns have covered the spread in 10 straight meetings versus Toronto, but this is one trend I don't think will hold. Let's be real about this.. the Raptors are defending NBA Champions, and their record this year isn't any different than it was this time last year. The media doesn't really believe in the Raptors, but then again they thought Toronto would get swept in the Finals last year. Toronto will be a 7.5 point favorite tonight, a smaller number than we saw in each of the last six meetings. The Suns have failed to cover in four straight road games and seven of their last eight overall. Toronto had won 15 straight before losing in Brooklyn in their final game before the break. They have covered in six straight coming off a loss. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-20 | Grizzlies +1 v. Kings | Top | 125-129 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. Memphis was one of the league's hottest teams heading into the All Star break, winning 15 of their last 19 games. They are an underdog on the road at Sacramento tonight, and the Kings are not really in the hunt for the playoffs this season. The Kings have a controversy brewing, as the rumors are that Buddy Hield wants out of Sacramento. He's unhappy with his role coming off the bench, and believes he is a starter in the league (guess he's not familiar with Lou Williams). We can expect the visitors to be more focused here as they continue their pursuit for the post season. Memphis has more road wins than the Kings have at home, and they are a tighter unit right now. "For some reason, we didn't feel the need to try to play much defense tonight," said coach Luke Walton after losing their last game. "We couldn't stop their top guys and when we did, it just didn't feel like we had the passion and desire that it takes to win, especially on the road, in this league." It looks like Walton isn't getting his players to buy in, and that is likely going to be an issue moving forward. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-20 | Thunder v. Pelicans -130 | 123-118 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. The Oklahoma City Thunder are nine games up on New Orleans in the standings, and they have a better road record than New Orleans has at home. Still the Pelicans are the favorite here, and I am jumping all over it. The Thunder are slumping, coming into tonight's game off back to back home losses. The Pelicans have won three straight and six of their last eight. Zion Williamson appears to be getting better with every game, and he's coming off a career high 31 points against the Blazers. The way this teams is playing, you really have to toss out all the numbers before Zion joined a healthy roster with Jrue Holliday, Brandon Ingram, Lonzo and J.J. Reddick. Take NO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-20 | Pistons v. Magic -7 | 112-116 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Orlando Magic. Orlando is still a playoff team in the Eastern Conference, while the Pistons right now might be driving a large metal vehicle on tracks (tank). The Pistons have lost three straight, and two of those losses came at home against teams with a losing record. With the All Star break coming up, we shouldn't expect a big effort from this Detroit team on the road tonight. The history between these teams favors the home team, which has won nine of the last 10. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Orlando. Take ORL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-20 | Wolves v. Raptors OVER 227 | 126-137 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@TOR to go Over the total. The Minnesota T-Wolves shook things up at the trade deadline, and their first game with a new look roster was dramatic indeed. They scored 142 points in a blowout win over the Clippers Saturday. They attempted 44 three-point shots in the game, making 26 of them. This is a team that needs to score to win games, because they rank 27th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing over 115 points per game. The Raptors scored 122 points in a double digit win at Minnesota earlier this year, and another high score should be expected here tonight. Toronto has won 13 straight overall, and the majority of those games were high scoring. Their last two home games have ended with the exact same score (119-118). The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, and the Raptors have gone over in four straight home games. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-20 | Heat v. Blazers -3 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers. Portland is making a run for the post-season, which really shouldn't surprise anyone. If you have been paying attention over the last several years, you should remember that this is a team that has started slow only to dominate in the second half of the season, and then they have made plenty of noise in the playoffs. It seems like Dame Time has arrived, as Damian Lillard has scored 40+ points in six of his last nine games. It's not surprising that the Blazers have won six of their last nine games. They take on a shorthanded Miami Heat team tonight. Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro are expected to sit out tonight. The Blazers have covered in four straight home games, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Miami. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-20 | Raptors v. Pacers -105 | 115-106 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pacers. This might be the mother of all let down spots for Toronto. The Raptors trailed by as many as 22 points, and were down double digits in the final 2.5 minutes at home versus Indiana on Wednesday, but rallied to win a franchise best 12th straight game. Now they face those same Pacers on the road in the second game of this home and home set. This sets up the big revenge angle for a tough Pacers team that is 18-7 on their home floor this season. History certainly favors the home team in this series, with the hosts winning nine of the last 10 straight up. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-20 | Grizzlies +6 v. 76ers | 107-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Sixers are really struggling, coming into tonight's game as losers of four straight. While they have struggled on the road, they are still 22-2 at home. This isn't an easy home game though, playing the second game of a back to back, facing a Memphis team that has won 13 of it's last 16. The Grizzlies have all the momentum, and they are getting a ton of points here all things considered. The Sixers have failed to cover in five of their last six when playing on no rest, and the starters logged plenty of minutes in Milwaukee last night. I have a tough time believing that a team that is playing so poorly can simply flip the switch just because they are back home. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-20 | Grizzlies +5 v. Mavs | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Mavs have already proved that they shouldn't be taken lightly just because Luka Doncic isn't in the lineup. They have won back to back games without him, and they are now 4-3 in their last seven when he doesn't play. They will face a particularly tough opponent tonight though, with the Grizzlies coming in as winners of 12 of their last 15 games. Dallas hasn't had a lot of success at home, with a record of just 14-12 on their home floor. The Mavericks are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. This looks like a good spot to take the points with a Grizzlies team that has plenty of momentum. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-20 | Pistons v. Grizzlies -8.5 | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizz are coming off a double digit road loss to New Orleans, but they had won 11 of their previous 13 games. They still hold the eighth and final playoff spot in the West, but Porland is now on their heels sitting a game and a half back. They host the Pistons tonight, and Detroit comes off an overtime win at home over Denver on Sunday. Derrick Rose left the game after suffering a groin injury in the first half, and he should look to rest here in the second game of a back to back. The Pistons had lost five straight (all by double digits) prior to Sunday. Detroit is just 1-5 ATS when playing the second game of a back to back, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus Memphis. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-20 | 76ers v. Heat -2 | 106-137 | Win | 100 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-01-20 | Wolves v. Clippers +4 | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
? |
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01-31-20 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans UNDER 242 | Top | 111-139 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@NO to go Under the total. The first thing that comes to mind when you see the Grizzlies playing the Pelicans might be that a high score is expected. That's fair enough, as both teams rank in the Top 10 in scoring, and the bottom 10 in defense. This hasn't been lost on the bookmakers, who have set the total for this game higher than 240. Neither of these two teams have reached that number since the last time they played each other. The Grizzlies have been a completely different team over their last 13 games, going 11-2 during that span. They are now in a position to make the playoffs, and an increased emphasis on defense should be expected. These two teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Grizzlies have gone under in seven of their last nine, and they have gone under in five straight versus New Orleans. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-20 | Grizzlies -139 v. Knicks | 127-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a Free NBA play on Memphis. |
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01-26-20 | Suns v. Grizzlies -2 | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have won eight of their last 10 overall, and four of their last five home games. They are just a small favorite here on Sunday versus Phoenix, and history doesn't favor the Suns here. The Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. Coming off a close win over an uninsprired Spurs team, they should be primed for a let down here against the grittier Grizzlies. The Grizzlies come in with the NBA's seventh-best 2-point field-goal average at 53.3 percent. Take Memphis. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-20 | Celtics v. Pelicans +103 | 108-123 | Win | 103 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on the New Orleans Pelicans. The Celtics come into New Orleans with Jason Tatum, Marcus Smart, Jalen Brown and Enes Kanter all on their most recent injury report. Kanter will not play on Sunday, and the status of the others remains in question. The Pelicans have lost back to back close games to San Antonio and Denver, but they have to be pleased with the effort from Zion Williamson. In just his third NBA game, he's still looking for his first win. New Orleans is finally healthy, and this team appears to primed for a big run. This looks like a let down spot for a banged up Boston team. The Pelicans are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Take NO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-20 | Suns v. Spurs -170 | 103-99 | Loss | -170 | 21 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs three game winning streak includes a road win over the Suns, and they have won six of their last seven home games against Phoenix. The Spurs hold the final playoff spot in the West, and they are showing signs of turning their season around. They have roughly the same squad they had a year ago, and that team had the best home record in the NBA. The Suns are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. San Antonio has won four straight home meetings against the Suns, and three of those four games were decided by double digits. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-20 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | 95-107 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Sixers come into Toronto as winners of four straight, and people are talking about how they haven't missed Joel Embiid. Let's put things in perspective though, they have won four games against teams with a losing record. The Raptors don't just have a winning record, they are defending NBA Champions. Despite being hit hard by injuries, they sit just a game back of second place Miami. Marc Gasol, Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam have all returned to the lineup, and Toronto has scored an average of 128.5 points during a four game winning streak. The 76ers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 2-7 ATS in the last nine meetings in Toronto. The play is on TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-20 | Spurs v. Suns OVER 228 | 120-118 | Win | 100 | 27 h 49 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-20-20 | Lakers -140 v. Celtics | 107-139 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Lakers. LeBron and company are rolling into Boston as winners of 10-of-11. Anthony Davis has been sidelined with a sore backside, but it hasn't really been much of a pain in the ass for the Lakers. The Celtics have lost six of their last eight, and show no signs of being ready to compete with the league's best teams. Both Kemba Walker and Anthony Davis are listed as questionable for Monday's game, but surely the Celtics would miss Walker more than the Lakers would miss Davis. Regardless, expect LeBron to put on a show here in such a high profile game. Take LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-20 | Pistons v. Celtics -10.5 | 116-103 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. Boston is coming off back to back double digit home wins, one of those a win over New Orleans by a whopping 35 points. The Pistons on the other hand come into the Garden as losers of 12 of their last 15 overall. Most recently they lost at home in overtime to the Pelicans, and New Orleans was without Brandon Igram, JJ Reddick, Derrick Favors and Jrue Holliday. The Pistons can't even beat one of the worst teams in the league with four starters out of the lineup on their home floor. It's hard to expect them to compete against a healthy Celtics team that is 16-3 at home. The Pistons are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 road games, and they have lost back to back visits to Boston by a combined 28 points. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-20 | Blazers -130 v. Wolves | 102-116 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Portland Blazers. |
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01-09-20 | Celtics +2.5 v. 76ers | 98-109 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics have lost back to back games, first in Washington without leading scorer Kemba Walker, and then again last night at home versus the Spurs. Walker returned to action last night but was ejected for the first time in his career after getting hit with a pair of technical fouls. After such an embarrassing home loss, you can expect to see the Celtics playing with purpose here in Philly just 24 hours later. The Sixers are reeling, coming into this game as losers of four of their last five. Making matters worse, Joel Embiid will not play after dislocating his finger against Oklahoma City. The Celtics have had plenty of success against Philly in recent seasons. They are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings, and they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in Philadelphia. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-20 | Spurs +6.5 v. Celtics | 129-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-07-20 | Thunder -125 v. Nets | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oklahoma City. |
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01-06-20 | Bucks v. Spurs +8 | 104-126 | Win | 100 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs host the Bucks in the second game of a home and home series after losing by nine in Milwaukee on Saturday. It seems reasonable to expect a much closer game here in San Antonio, where the Spurs are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. The Bucks have lost three of their last four at San Antonio, and the one game they won came by a seven point margin. The Spurs are 6-3 straight up om their last nine home games, and their last home loss came by just three points. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-20 | Blazers v. Heat UNDER 223 | Top | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@POR to go Under the total. The Miami Heat own the best home record in the NBA at 16-1. They host Portland on Sunday, and the bookmakers have the total listed sky high at 223. These teams haven't seen a total as high as 220 in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Only one of those games saw a total higher than 215. Both these teams come in cold, with Portland coming in as losers of five of six overall. They scored an average of 107 points in those losses, well below their season average of 112+ points per game. The Heat are coming off back to back games scoring fewer than 90 points. They scored 84 in a home win over Toronto, then followed up with just 85 points in a loss at Orlando. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-20 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 217.5 | Top | 121-102 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@BKN to go Under the total. The Raptors have been hit hard by injuries, playing without Marc Gasol, Norm Powell and leading scorer Pascal Siakam. They lost 84-76 at Miami in their last game, shooting just over 30 percent from the field. Siakam hasn't played since December 19th, and the Raptors have scored an average of 106.5 points in eight games since (well below their season average). They have also stepped up on defense during that span, and they have held opponents under 100 points in four straight games. The under is 5-1-1 in the Raptors last seven road games, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five in Brooklyn. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-20 | 76ers v. Rockets -175 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets and the Philadelphia 76ers have identical overall records (23-13). Both teams though have earned the majority of their wins at home. The Sixers are just 7-11 on the road, and the Rockets are 12-4 in Houston. The Sixers have lost three straight and are coming off a blowout loss at Indiana, while the Rockets just beat Denver by 20+ points. Eric Gordon is back in the lineup for the Rockets, and Houston is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 2 days rest. The 76ers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine road games. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-19 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 220 | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GS@SA to go Over the total. The Spurs have turned things around, winning five of their last seven home games. San Antonio is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging over 113 points per game. They would have a lot better record if they weren't allowing opponents to average over 115 points per game. The Warriors had won four straight, but then lost 141-121 at home to Dallas on Sunday. The over is 12-3 in the Spurs last 15 games as a home favorite, and they have gone over in four straight at home. The Spurs hit a season high 18 three-point shots in a win over Detroit on Saturday. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-19 | 76ers v. Pacers +1 | 97-115 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. The Pacers are one of the top home teams in the NBA, with a record of 14-3 at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The Sixers are also great at home, but they really struggle on the road with a record of just 7-10. The Pacers are just a game back in the overall Eastern Conference standings, and they look good as a home dog here versus Philly. Ben Simmons missed practice on Monday, and his status for tonight's game is in question. The 76ers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite, and they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-19 | Hornets v. Grizzlies OVER 217.5 | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-28-19 | Pistons v. Spurs -4.5 | 109-136 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. |
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12-26-19 | Spurs +7 v. Mavs | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs appear to have turned things around, coming into Dallas as winners of five of their last eight overall. The Mavs sit seven games clear of San Antonio in the standings, but they haven't been all that strong at home. In fact 11 of their 19 wins have come on the road. They are 2-2 since losing Luca Doncic to an ankle injury, and they have lost three of their last four home games. Doncic is questionable to return for tonight's game, but the Mavs would be wise to be extremely cautious with their young star. We saw LeBron come back to play on Christmas Day only to aggravate a nagging groin injury. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-19 | Clippers -130 v. Lakers | Top | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 32 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Clippers.
Here is what I said prior to the first meeting between these teams earlier this season: "The Clippers were a playoff team last year and the Lakers were not. The Lakers are expected to be dramatically better with Anthony Davis, and so are the Clippers with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. The Lakers though are old, I don't like their depth, and I think it's inevitable that LeBron loses a step. The Clippers are shorthanded without Paul George, but the Lakers won't have Kyle Kuzma. Anthony Davis isn't 100 percent either, and I think this Lakers team is going to really struggle to live up to all the hype. My money is on Kawhi to become the NEW .. King of LA." Now LeBron and AD are both banged up, and LA comes in off three straight losses. I think Kawhi has got this! Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-19 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 216 | 113-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DEN@PHX to go Over the total. The Nuggets come into Phoenix as winners of six straight, and they have scored an average of more than 114 points per game during that span. The Nuggets are the best defensive team in the NBA, but in this day and age it still doesn't mean they can hold opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game. They allow an average of roughly 102 points per game, and the Suns are far from an average opponent. Phoenix averages over 114 points per game, but they allow opponents to average even more than that. The over is 9-0 in the Suns last nine games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, and they have gone over in 11 of their last 14 home games. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-19 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 205.5 | 128-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DEN@LAL to go Over the total. The Nuggets are the best defensive team in the NBA, but in this day and age it still doesn't mean they can hold opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game. They allow an average of roughly 102 points per game, and the Lakers are far from an average opponent. Denver has won five straight, and all five of those games saw 209+ total points. We can see that these two teams have failed to go over the total in five straight meetings, but in four of those five games they combined to score 209+ points. Looks like this number should be a few points higher. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-19 | Nuggets +5.5 v. Lakers | 128-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets are the best defensive team in the NBA, but in this day and age it still doesn't mean they can hold opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game. They allow an average of roughly 102 points per game, and the Lakers are far from an average opponent. Denver has won five straight, and all five of those games saw 209+ total points. We can see that these two teams have failed to go over the total in five straight meetings, but in four of those five games they combined to score 209+ points. Looks like this number should be a few points higher, and Denver looks good getting points. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-19 | Nets v. Spurs -2.5 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. It's been a rough start to the season for the Spurs, but there is no denying that they are playing better basketball of late. They come into tonight's game off a 109-107 loss to Houston, in a game that they blew a 25-point lead. You could say the glass is half full, but the Spurs have won four of their last five home games, and that includes outright wins over the Clippers and the Rockets. History favors the home team here as the Nets are just 9-25-1 ATS in the last 35 head to head meetings. They have failed to cover in six of their last seven in San Antonio. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -9.5 | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Portland. The Blazers are rolling, and they will be a heavy favorite at home against a Warriors team that is just 3-13 on the road, and owns the NBA's worst overall record. The Warriors are coming off a particularly disturbing loss, forcing 29 turnovers in a 21-point home loss to Sacramento. The Warriors are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. We have every reason to expect the Warriors struggles to continue in Portland. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-19 | Magic v. Jazz -5.5 | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Orlando Magic don't win a lot of road games, and perhaps they shouldn't get too jacked up coming a double digit win in New Orleans, versus a Pelicans team that has lost 12 in a row. They face a far tougher task tonight in Utah, where the Jazz are 10-3 on the season. Utah has won three of four, and all three of those wins have come by 7+ points. The Magic get a boost with the return of Nikola Vucevi, cbut keep in mind they lost six of 10 before his injury. Last year he averaged 17.5 points in two games versus the Jazz, well below his season average of 20.8 points per game. Only three teams in the NBA held him to a lower average than Utah. The Jazz lost by a score of 106-93 in last year's visit to Utah. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-19 | Spurs +10.5 v. Rockets | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on San Antonio. The Spurs have played a record four straight overtime games, and the good news is that they have won three of those four games. They are 4-2 in their last six overall, and during that span they have wins over the Rockets and Clippers. The Rockets are coming off a home loss to the Detroit Pistons, and they have not been a good bet to cover a point spread. Houston have failed to cover in five of it's last six as a favorite, and the Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games versus a team with a losing straight up record. Four of the last five head to head meetings between these teams have been decided by fewer than 10 points. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-19 | Grizzlies v. Suns -7 | 115-108 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns. I had the Suns in their last game, a 125-109 home win over Minnesota. Here is what I said before the game: "The Suns return home after earning a 2-2 split during a four game road trip, and they will be just a small favorite tonight versus Minnesota. The T-Wolves have lost four straight, and they were hammered by a score of 142-125 at LA last night. This is a tough spot for the visitors, playing on back to back nights in a third game in four nights. They have not fared well in recent meetings versus Phoenix." Memphis comes to town off a win at Golden State, and the Grizzlies are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. Take PHX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-19 | Clippers v. Raptors UNDER 220 | 112-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC@TOR to go Under the total. |
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12-10-19 | Nuggets v. 76ers -169 | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Sixers and the Nuggets have a lot of similarities. Both these teams play strong defensively, ranking 1st and 3rd respectively in opponent's scoring average. Both teams are also far better at home than they are on the road. The Nuggets had the best home record in the league last year, and the Sixers are 12-0 at home so far this year. Denver has struggled to score lately, losing four of their last five and failing to score 100 points in three of those four losses. The Nuggets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus the Sixers. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-19 | Wolves v. Suns -170 | 109-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns return home after earning a 2-2 split during a four game road trip, and they will be just a small favorite tonight versus Minnesota. The T-Wolves have lost four straight, and they were hammered by a score of 142-125 at LA last night. This is a tough spot for the visitors, playing on back to back nights in a third game in four nights. They have not fared well in recent meetings versus Phoenix. The Timberwolves are 2-6-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. The Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a losing straight up record. Take PHX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-19 | Kings +12 v. Rockets | 119-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have lost six of their last 10 games overall, but only one of those six losses came by more than 11 points. The Rockets have won just four of their last eight overall, and only one of those four wins came by more than 11 points. The Kings appear to be a strong play getting a 12 point cushion here in Houston coming off an upset win over the Mavericks in Dallas. The Kings are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Take SAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Thunder v. Blazers -160 | 108-96 | Loss | -160 | 22 h 10 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +4.5 | 136-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Portland. The public is in love with the Lakers, and it's hard to blame them. They just keep winning (12 of their last 13) and they are coming off consecutive big wins at Denver and at Utah. Not all those games were blowouts though, recent wins over Memphis, New Orleans and Oklahoma City came by fewer than 4.5 points. They have had trouble in Portland over the years. The Lakers are 10-23 ATS in the last 33 meetings in Portland, and they are 20-45 ATS in the last 65 meetings. I'll take the home dog getting a handful of points. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-19 | Kings v. Spurs -183 | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs have been pretty bad this season overall, but they have been pretty good lately. Home wins over the Rockets and the Clippers might just be a sign that Pop has his house in order. The Sacramento Kings are in town tonight, and Sacramento is just 3-8 on the road. The Kings have lost four of five and they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. "A lot of what we built we built around having certain guys, and they haven't been with us," Kings coach Luke Walton said. "That's why I go back to giving our guys credit. They've adjusted, they've adapted, continued to work." The Kings are still a little banged up and I don't expect them to have much success against the Spurs in San Antonio. Take SPURS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors -125 | 119-109 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-19 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 210 | 121-96 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAL@UTAH to go Under the total. The Lakers are coming off a 105-96 win over the Nuggets last night, winning for the 11th time in their last 12 games. The Lakers are ranked as one of the top teams in the NBA in scoring defense, allowing an average of 103 points per game so far this season. They might have a tough time on the road on back to back nights against the Utah Jazz, who are another one of the league's top defensive teams. The Lakers have gone under in six straight, and the under is 5-1 in their last six games in Utah. The Jazz are coming off a 103-94 loss at Philly, and the under is 9-2 in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-19 | Magic v. Wizards -120 | 127-120 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. The Wizards poor defense has prevented them from winning more than a handful of games, and they are just 3-4 at home this season. That's still three times as many wins as the Orlando Magic have on the road. The Magic have really missed big man Nikola Vucevic, and they come into tonight's game averaging just 101 points per game (29th in the NBA). The Magic are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win. The Magic are 4-11-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Washington. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-19 | Bulls v. Kings UNDER 211 | 113-106 | Loss | -101 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CHI@SAC to go Under the total.
The Kings out-scored the Denver Nuggets 60-40 after halftime on Saturday, winning in overtime by a score of 100-97. They look to bring that momentum into tonight's home game against the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are 3-7 on the road, and they have failed to cover in four straight against the Kings. The Bulls are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Sacramento. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Kings rank 28th in the NBA in scoring, while the Bulls rank 25th. Chicago has failed to score 100 points in two of their last three overall, and they face a Kings defense that is playing fantastic defense of late. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-19 | Bulls v. Kings -5 | 113-106 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings out-scored the Denver Nuggets 60-40 after halftime on Saturday, winning in overtime by a score of 100-97. They look to bring that momentum into tonight's home game against the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are 3-7 on the road, and they have failed to cover in four straight against the Kings. The Bulls are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Sacramento. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. Take SAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-19 | Suns -170 v. Hornets | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Phoenix Suns. |
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11-29-19 | Mavs -120 v. Suns | Top | 120-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
10* |
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11-27-19 | Nets v. Celtics UNDER 225.5 | 110-121 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on BKN@BOS to go Under the total.
I had the under in the Celtics last game, and here is what I said prior to their 103-102 win over Sacramento: "The Celtics and the Kings are two teams that have been hit hard by injuries, and we should expect them to play a low scoring game here in Boston tonight. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in five straight, holding opponents to fewer than 98 points per game during that span. They have only won two of their last five games though, failing to average 100 points per game during that span. They will be playing a rematch in a home and home versus the Kings, after losing 100-99 in Sacramento last week. These two teams have gone under in five of the last seven head to head meetings, and the under is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings in Boston." Kemba might return tonight, but the number is a whopping 20 points higher than the closing total for the Sacramento game. I'll fade this inflated total. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-19 | Clippers -135 v. Mavs | 114-99 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LAC. At first glance, you look at the Mavericks at 11-5 getting points at home against the 12-5 Clippers and you might be tempted to take the points. As Lee Corso would say: "not so fast". The more significant numbers are perhaps that the Clippers are 10-2 when Kawhi Leonard plays, and 5-1 when Paul George plays. When both play, they are still undefeated. The Clippers duo is still figuring things out, but they need to keep winning if they want to keep up with the Lakers. This young Dallas team has won five straight, and their last game was an upset win over the Rockets in Houston. These are the spots where we often see young teams suffer a let down. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-19 | Raptors v. Hawks OVER 223.5 | 119-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@ATL to go Over the total. The Atlanta Hawks have gone over (223.5) in eight straight games overall, and they allowed 76 points in the first half of a 128-103 loss at Detroit in their last game. The Raptors come into tonight's game as winners of six of their last eight overall, and they will be a seven point favorite here tonight. Toronto has scored an average of 120 points in thier last six wins. The over is 6-0 in the Hawks last six games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. I think Toronto will be content to play a wide open game, as long as they know they will get the better of it. We should see plenty of scoring here. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-19 | Rockets v. Clippers UNDER 227 | 119-122 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on HOU@LAC to go Under the total. The Rockets are coming off a 105-95 loss at Denver, and they have another tough game tonight in LA. They beat the Clippers 102-93 at home just last week, and LA will be looking for revenge. The Clippers rank among the top defensive teams in the NBA, while Houston has allowed opponents to average over 113 points per game (20th in the NBA). The Rockets defense has been much better lately though, allowing just over 103 points per game in their last nine overall. The lowest score during that span was their game against the Clippers. LA has gone under in eight of their last 10 home games and nine of their last 13 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-19 | Pelicans +6 v. Suns | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on New Orleans. |
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11-20-19 | Magic v. Raptors -175 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-19 | Suns v. Kings -123 | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings. The Phoenix Suns really missed PG Ricky Rubio, scoring just 85 points on 40.2 percent shooting in a home loss to the Celtics last night. They play their second game of a back to back on the road at Sacramento tonight, and the Kings have won five of their last seven. Sacramento has really turned up the heat on defense, holding four of their last six opponents to fewer than 100 points. The home team has won eight of the last 10 head to head meetings, and the Kings are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take SAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-19 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 219.5 | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@UTAH to go Under the total. The Jazz rank 1st overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing just over 100 points per game. They have been even better at home, holding the Clippers, Bucks, Kings and Thunder to 100 points or less. Utah needs to play well defensively, because the Jazz only average 104.7 points per game (26th overall). The under is 8-1 in the Timberwolves last nine road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Jazz have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 15 overall, and the under is 6-2 in their last eight home games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-19 | Pelicans v. Heat -7 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. |
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11-15-19 | Jazz v. Grizzlies OVER 214.5 | 106-107 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@MEM to go Over the total. The Jazz are the top defensive team in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just 99.5 points per game this season. They have not been as sharp on the road, allowing over 100 points in each of their last three road games. The Grizzlies are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA, allowing over 118 points per game. They come into tonight's game as a home underdog looking for a third straight win. The over is 7-3 in Grizzlies last 10 home games, and I expect another high scoring game here tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-19 | Hawks v. Suns OVER 227 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@PHX to go Over the total. The Atlanta Hawks are feeling good about themselves coming into tonight's game at Phoenix, coming off a 125-121 win over the Nuggets in Denver. Tre Young scored 42 points on 13-of-21 shooting in the victory. It was however the third consecutive game that the Hawks allowed their opponent to score 120+ points. Tonight they face a Suns team that ranks among the top teams in the league in scoring, but the Suns are also allowing opponents to average more than 110 points per game this season. The history tells us that these two teams have gone under in five straight meetings, and nine of the last 10 meetings. That history might be keeping tonight's number artificially low, as the last two time these two teams played they score at least 230 combined points, but failed to reach a much higher total. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-19 | Clippers -1 v. Pelicans | 127-132 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a Free NBA play on the LAC. |
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11-13-19 | Clippers v. Rockets | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Clippers. Both the Clippers and the Rockets are 7-3 overall, and the two team meet in Houston tonight. While these teams have the same record, the number that really matters is the number of games that the Clippers have won when Kawhi Leonard has played. They are 7-0 when he plays, and 0-3 when he doesn't. You better believe he's playing tonight, and that's bad news for James Harden and the Rockets. Houston is the highest scoring team in the NBA averaging over 120 points per game. What has been problematic for the Rockets is that they have allowed opponents to average over 118 points per game. The Clippers have owned the Rockets, covering the spread in six of the last eight meetings. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five in Houston. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-19 | Raptors -130 v. Pelicans | 122-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 7* play on the Toronto Raptors.
I took Toronto in their home opener versus New Orleans, and this is what I said prior to tip off: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in a home opener against the short-handed Pelicans." The Raptors are 15-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings in New Orleans, and I have to like them to win this game outright. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-19 | Thunder v. Spurs -180 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Oklahoma City Thunder are 3-4, which is pretty solid for a team going through a rebuild. All three of those wins have come at home, and they are 0-2 on the road. The Spurs are 3-1 at home, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games versus the Thunder. The Thunder are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings, and the home team has covered in each of the last five meetings. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Pop isn't happy with the way the Spurs have played on defense, and he should have his troops well prepared for this game against an inferior opponent. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 211.5 | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on PHI@UTAH to go Under the total. The Sixers are coming off their first loss of the season, and they might have trouble scoring here in Utah tonight. The Jazz are undefeated at home this season, and they rank first overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. They have allowed just 95.6 points per game this season, and they have been even tougher at home. Opponents have averaged just 90.6 points in Utah. The under is 5-0 in Utah's last five home games, and the under is 5-0 the Jazz last five games coming off a loss. These two teams have gone under in five straight meetings in Salt Lake City. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-19 | Heat v. Nuggets -4.5 | 89-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Miami Heat come into Denver with a 5-1 record, sitting first in the Eastern Conference. They might be playing a little over their heads though, and it's important to point out that two of their five wins have come against the Atlanta Hawks. This is a tough spot for an Eastern Conference team, playing on the road at altitude in Denver. A lot of people might not realize that Denver had the best home record in the NBA last season, going 34-7 at the Pepsi Center. Denver has won four of the last five head to head meetings, and the Heat are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Denver. The Heat are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine versus the NBA Northwest. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-04-19 | Blazers -9.5 v. Warriors | 118-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
10* |
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11-02-19 | 76ers v. Blazers -119 | 129-128 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trailblazers. Philly comes into Portland with a perfect 4-0 record, thanks to what Brett Bown calls "bully ball defense" and "smashmouth offense". it's real," he said. "Every time we can, we like to point to an example, 'Yup, this is Philly hard. Yup, that thing had an edge.' This is real. There's a spirit amongst our team that's authentic. It is Philadelphia and life moves on. That's part of it." Joel Embiid has been a big part of Philly's success, averaging over 23 points and 10 rebounds per game. He's serving the first game of a two game suspension tonight, and his production will be missed. Portland has won six of the last nine meetings, and five straight at home during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-19 | Nuggets -175 v. Magic | 91-87 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. After losing at home to Dallas and then on the road at New Orleans, the Nuggets coach Mike Malone ripped his team. "We're a great talk team. We can talk before the season starts about all the things we want to accomplish, and we want to be a contending team," Malone said. "It's all bulls---. Don't tell me about it, show me. And right now we've got a lot of guys that aren't showing me much." This should be a focused team tonight in Orlando, and while the the Magic are able to compete with the majority of teams in the East, I don't fancy their chances against one of the best teams from the Western Conference. Denver is 6-0 straight up and 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings versus Orlando. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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10-28-19 | Magic v. Raptors -4.5 | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in tonight's game in Chicago with both teams playing the second game of a back to back. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-19 | Pelicans +11.5 v. Rockets | 123-126 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-26-19 | Raptors -142 v. Bulls | 108-84 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in tonight's game in Chicago with both teams playing the second game of a back to back. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-19 | Wizards v. Mavs -8.5 | 100-108 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-22-19 | Lakers v. Clippers +3.5 | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Clippers. The Clippers were a playoff team last year and the Lakers were not. The Lakers are expected to be dramatically better with Anthony Davis, and so are the Clippers with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. The Lakers though are old, I don't like their depth, and I think it's inevitable that LeBron loses a step. The Clippers are shorthanded without Paul George, but the Lakers won't have Kyle Kuzma. Anthony Davis isn't 100 percent either, and I think this Lakers team is going to really struggle to live up to all the hype. My money is on Kawhi to become the NEW .. King of LA. Take KAWHI over LEBRON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-19 | Pelicans v. Raptors -6.5 | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in a home opener against the short-handed Pelicans. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-13-19 | Raptors +127 v. Warriors | Top | 114-110 | Win | 127 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. I have been riding Toronto the whole way, with pending bets on the Raptors to win the series and Kawhi to win MVP. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series." Now KD is gone and isn't coming back. Cousins and Klay Thompson are banged up, and Looney is hurt. Toronto is the better team at this point. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors -118 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -118 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Toronto. For all but the first 5-6 minutes of the third quarter in Game 2, the Raptors have completely dominated this series versus the Warriors. They appear to be younger, healthier, and depth has been a huge advantage. The Warriors are hoping to get KD back in Game 5, but I am not sure that it will be enough. Surely if KD isn't 100 percent healthy he could actually be a defensive liability. I have been riding Toronto the whole way, with pending bets on the Raptors to win the series and Kawhi to win MVP. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series." Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-07-19 | Raptors +170 v. Warriors | 105-92 | Win | 170 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Toronto Raptors. For all but the first 5-6 minutes of the third quarter in Game 2, the Raptors have completely dominated this series versus the Warriors. They appear to be younger, healthier, and depth has been a huge advantage. The Warriors are hoping to get Klay Thompson back in Game 4, but I am not sure that it will be enough. Surely if Klay isn't 100 percent healthy he could actually be a defensive liability. I have been riding Toronto the whole way, with pending bets on the Raptors to win the series and Kawhi to win MVP. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series." Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-05-19 | Raptors +5.5 v. Warriors | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 59 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. Toronto heads to Oakland with the series tied 1-1, and they will be getting a handful of points as the underdog here in Game 3. The Raptors have been the better team, in all but six of minutes in the 3rd quarter of Game 2. They have dominated the first half of both the first two games so far, and I expect them to do it again in Oakland. The Warriors aren't a first half team, as they often wait until the third quarter before they really get going. They might struggle to do that tonight if Clay Thompson can't Play. Looney is out, and Cousins isn't 100 percent. Andre Iguodala has to he held together by duct tape. The 35 year old has battled injuries for the entire post-season, and he suffered an upper body injury in Game 2. Pascal Siakam should be better in Game 2, and as long as the Raptors stay out of foul trouble they should have a chance to win this game. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors -130 | 109-104 | Loss | -130 | 46 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on the Raptors. I had Toronto in Game 1, and I have pending futures on Toronto to win the series, lead after three games, and Kawhi to win MVP. After Game 1 I was tempted to come back with Golden State and hedge my bets in Game 2, but I am sticking with the Raptors. Here is what I said before the series started: "There is a good reason why the Golden State Warriors are a 3-1 favorite to win the series, but a slight underdog in Game 1 in Toronto. The Warriors have had nine days off, and they could be caught a little flat footed here in Game 1. The Raptors are an excellent home team, with a record of 40-11. The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series." Even after losing Gake 1, I still don't think Steve Kerr and the Warriors are taking Toronto seriously. I expect to see a confident Toronto team come out hard in Game 2. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors +1 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 78 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is a good reason why the Golden State Warriors are a 3-1 favorite to win the series, but a slight underdog in Game 1 in Toronto. The Warriors have had nine days off, and they could be caught a little flat footed here in Game 1. The Raptors are an excellent home team, with a record of 40-11. The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 213.5 | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 41 h 8 m | Show | |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -135 | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 41 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6.5 | 105-99 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Give the Raptors a ton of credit for grinding out back to back wins at home to tie this series heading back to Milwaukee for Game 5. Those wins came at a cost though, as Kawhi Leonard and Kyle Lowry are banged up. Lowry has a hand injury that has really been bothering him, and Kawhi was visibly limping in Game 4. The Bucks are back home with their backs against the wall, and they will be desperate to get off to a good start in Game 5. The books blew the doors off in the first half of Game 3, leading by a score of 64-39. I expect a similar result here in Game 5. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors +2.5 | 102-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
I had the Raptors in the first half of Game 3, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Raptors got off to a good start in Game 1, leading 59-51 at halftime. They fell apart in the fourth quarter, losing by a final score of 108-100. They return home down 0-2, and they face a must win game as they try to get back into this series. The Bucks come into Game 3 in complete control, and it's tough to see them matching Toronto's intensity here in the first half of this game. The game plan for Milwaukee is likely to weather the storm early, try to keep the game close and steal one late (similar to Game 1)." I expect Toronto to build on their momentum coming off a double-OT win. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-20-19 | Warriors -146 v. Blazers | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. So the Blazers are coming off a heartbreaking loss in Game 3, and now they could get swept here tonight in Game 4. The only thing you can tell me they are playing for at this point is their pride. So while they might earn a bit of respect by avoiding a sweep, the reward for a victory tonight would be to get on a plane and go to Oakland, where they will surely be blown out in Game 5. Damian Lillard would be forced to play another elimination game with a sore hamstring and separated ribs. No NBA team has ever come back from a 3-0 series deficit, and I can't see the Blazers having a lot left in the tank here tonight. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors -7.5 | 111-114 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Warriors. The Blazers had no answer for the Warriors in Game 1, especially Steph Curry. The two time MVP scored 36 points and hit nine three-pointers. Portland looked lost, and it appears the seven game series versus Denver took it's toll. Damian Lillard scored just 19 points on 4-of-12 shooting in Game 1, and he's now scored 22 or less in three of his last four games overall. He averaged less than 26 points per game during the regular season, but after a few heroic efforts in the first round versus Oklahoma City the bookmakers have set his points total at 26.5. The Blazers aren't saying anything about an apparent hamstring injury (he was seen grabbing the back of his leg and wincing in pain in Game 1) and I am sure he will continue to play through the pain. Kevin Durant might well be the most dominant scorer in the game, but the Warriors aren't bad without him. In fact in their last 29 games when Curry plays and Durant sits, the Warriors are a staggering 28-1. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule |