Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Orlando and Boston at 8:30 pm et on Tuesday.

While we did cash with the 'over' in Game 4 on Sunday, I'm expecting a return to a lower-scoring, grind-it-out style in this pivotal Game 5 matchup. Sunday’s game saw a somewhat inflated scoreline thanks to a better shooting performance from Boston and a looser game script with the Celtics in control for much of the night, not to mention plenty of late scoring thanks the Magic's desperation fouling. Now, with the series 3-1 in favor of Boston and the potential of Orlando's elimination, I expect both teams to tighten things up defensively.

This has been a slow-paced series overall, with Orlando in particular dragging games into half-court battles. The Magic have held Boston to 39 or fewer made field goals in each of the last four games — an incredible feat considering the Celtics’ potent offense. That’s largely due to Orlando’s ability to limit possessions and force Boston into long, contested shots.

Boston’s defense also deserves credit. Outside of a couple of brief stretches, they’ve consistently bottled up the Magic's offense, and now back at home, I anticipate the Celtics emphasizing a defensive-first approach as they look to finish off the series. Note that even with the 'over' hitting in Game 4, the Celtics still held the Magic to just 34 made field goals (they've limited Orlando to 37 or fewer made field goals in all four games) — nothing explosive.

Orlando hasn’t topped 98 points in three of the four games in this series, only reaching 100 points in the other contest. Given the stakes, expect long possessions, fewer transition opportunities, and plenty of physical half-court play.

Take the under. Projected score: Celtics 102, Magic 91.

Western Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Houston plus the points over Golden State at 10 pm et on Monday.

We'll fade the Warriors here after they leaned heavily on a vintage Steph Curry performance to grab a 2-1 series lead on Saturday night. While Golden State ultimately got the job done, it's worth noting that the Rockets have been competitive in this matchup, splitting the last six meetings straight-up, including an outright victory at this very venue on April 6th.

Consistency has been an issue for Golden State down the stretch. Since March 6th, the Warriors have managed to string together consecutive ATS victories only once — during a brief four-game run from March 30th to April 4th. Since that point, they’ve gone just 4-5 ATS. That suggests some natural regression could be in play here, especially with public sentiment likely backing Golden State following Saturday's win.

Meanwhile, Houston has proven it can travel well, posting a solid 23-19 SU and 22-20 ATS mark away from home this season. The Rockets should be fully motivated to bounce back in this critical Game 4 spot, and we know they have already demonstrated the ability to steal a game in San Francisco.

With the Warriors unlikely to shoot the lights out for a second straight game and the Rockets capable of matching up physically and athletically, we’ll grab all the points we can get with the road underdog on Monday night.

Take Houston.Projected score: Warriors 104, Rockets 103.

Eastern Conference First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Orlando at 7 pm et on Sunday.

While Game 3 saw both teams bogged down in a sluggish, low-scoring affair — combining for just 188 points — I’m expecting a bounce-back in scoring when the Celtics and Magic meet again for Game 4 on Sunday night.

Friday’s 95-93 Orlando win saw Boston limited to a season-low 74 field goal attempts, but it's important to note that Boston has historically responded well offensively after extended shooting slumps. The Celtics have now been held to 37 or fewer made field goals in four straight games, matching their longest drought of the season. The last time that happened, they exploded for 139 points against Brooklyn in mid-November. While I’m not projecting quite that type of eruption here against Orlando’s stout defense, it sets up nicely for Boston to find its rhythm and lift the scoring environment.

Orlando still faces heavy pressure trailing 2-1 in the series. In a similar spot in Game 2, we saw the Magic perform better offensively while chasing from behind, knocking down a series-high 39 field goals. If the Celtics take control again on Sunday, that could force Orlando to play a little faster and take more chances offensively, helping the 'over' cause.

It won’t take an out-of-control shootout to surpass this relatively modest number. With Boston likely to come out with more purpose offensively and Orlando capable of contributing enough, we should see a higher-scoring contest than we did on Friday.

Take the 'over'. Projected score: Celtics 107, Magic 102.

First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the over between Oklahoma City and Memphis at 9:30 pm ET on Thursday.

The total has dipped following back-to-back low-scoring games to open the series, creating value as we shift venues to Memphis for Game 3. Oklahoma City is playing with extreme offensive confidence right now, having made 45 or more field goals in five of its last six games. The Thunder's offensive pace remains relentless, taking 98 or more field goal attempts in four straight contests, including a staggering 104 attempts in their Game 2 win. Even with a strong defense, the Thunder allow their opponents plenty of opportunities—four straight opponents have reached 91 or more field goal attempts. That trend should continue here, especially with the Grizzlies returning home and likely to push tempo in a must-win spot.

While Memphis hasn’t cashed in offensively yet this series, they've generated volume—getting off 93 and 91 field goal attempts in the first two games. They simply haven’t converted at the level they were prior to the series when they made 40+ field goals in six straight games. That kind of regression is unlikely to last, especially back home where role players typically perform better. Overall, the Grizzlies have hoisted 90 or more field goal attempts in 27 of their last 32 games, a sign they’re doing enough offensively to contribute to a higher-scoring game when their shots begin to fall. With both teams continuing to play at a high tempo, expect this one to cruise over the posted number.

Take the over. Projected score: Thunder 123, Grizzlies 113.

Western Conference First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Houston minus the points over Golden State at 9:30 pm et on Wednesday.

While the Rockets came up short in Game 1, I expect a much more focused and efficient effort on Wednesday in a virtual must-win situation at home. Houston shot just 39.1% from the field in Sunday’s loss, connecting on only 34-of-87 attempts despite generating a reasonable number of looks. That kind of inefficiency is out of character for a Rockets team that had hit 45 or more field goals in five of their final six regular season games—even while resting key players. That stretch included a 45-for-93 shooting effort in a convincing 106-96 road win over this same Warriors squad on April 6th.

While Golden State did well to flip the script in Game 1, its offensive struggles continue to linger beneath the surface. The Warriors have now been held to fewer than 40 made field goals in six of their last nine games and 11 of their last 16 overall. Their defensive effort has kept them competitive, but we’ve seen lapses, like the April 13th loss to the Clippers when they allowed 48 made baskets, and of course, that earlier defeat against the Rockets when Houston's offense found its rhythm.

Golden State hasn’t been reliable from a betting perspective either, managing just a 9-12-1 ATS mark over their last 22 contests and stringing together an ATS winning streak (four games) only once since early March.

With their season potentially hanging in the balance should they fall into an 0-2 series hole, I like the Rockets to bring their best effort and snap a four-game slide both straight-up and against the number in this key spot at home.

Take Houston. Projected score: Rockets 109, Warriors 101.

Southeast Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Atlanta over Miami at 7 pm et on Friday.

We successfully backed the Heat in their emotionally charged win in Chicago on Wednesday, but now is the time to fade them. That game closed the book on a triple-revenge spot against the Bulls, and Miami delivered a defensive clinic to earn a trip to this winner-take-all play-in matchup. But with short rest and another road game on tap, this looks like a tough spot against an Atlanta squad that’s shown resilience in the face of adversity.

The Hawks have been effective playing at a slower pace recently, getting off 88 or fewer field goal attempts in four of their last five games — yet still managing to go 3-2 both straight-up and against the spread in that span. It’s not just the offense that has adjusted well; defensively, Atlanta has been solid, holding five straight opponents to 44 or fewer made field goals.

This sets up a battle of styles with the Heat, who have hit 44 or more field goals in four of their last five games. But keep in mind that Miami's strong recent showings have come against teams like the Bulls and Raptors — not exactly top-tier competition at this stage.

Revenge is also in play here. The Heat took the last two meetings against Atlanta, but both were in Miami. Back at State Farm Arena, it’s been a different story. The Hawks won both head-to-head matchups at home this season by double digits, and that’s the version of Atlanta I expect to show up in this one.

With a rested roster and some home-court history behind them, I like the Hawks to punch their ticket to the postseason.

Take Atlanta. Projected score: Hawks 111, Heat 104.

Pacific Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Sacramento minus the points over Phoenix at 3:40 pm et on Sunday.

We'll lay the points with the Kings as they wrap up their regular season at home against a Suns squad that's coming off a rare high point. Phoenix finally snapped its eight-game SU losing streak (and nine-game ATS skid) with a 117-98 win over the Spurs on Friday. That was a much-needed result, but it came against a bottom-tier opponent in a low-stakes spot.

This matchup is a different story. Sacramento returns home needing a bounce-back effort after dropping the first two games of this final three-game homestand. That includes a tight one-point loss to the Clippers on Friday.

The Kings will also be looking to avenge a 122-106 loss in Phoenix from just a few weeks ago (March 14th), which should give them added motivation. Unlike the Suns, Sacramento has played more consistently down the stretch and has a stronger overall foundation to rely on.

This is a good spot to sell high on a Phoenix team likely due for a letdown and back a focused Kings squad.

Take Sacramento. Projected score: Kings 126, Suns 105.

Non-Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Milwaukee at 8 pm et on Thursday.

This sets up as a sneaky good spot to back the Pelicans as underdogs. While New Orleans has lost four in a row straight-up and appears to be playing out the string, it's still been competitive, posting a 5-2-1 ATS mark over its last eight games. Tuesday’s loss and non-cover in Brooklyn wasn’t their sharpest showing, but I like the Pelicans’ chances to bounce back here, especially as they embrace a slower pace that could frustrate Milwaukee.

New Orleans has held three of its last four opponents to 83 or fewer field goal attempts and six of its last seven to 41 or fewer made field goals. That kind of pace control is key when trying to hang around against a superior opponent, particularly one coming off a potentially draining win. The Bucks just pulled off a high-energy home victory over the Timberwolves and could be ripe for a letdown, especially with a home-and-home against Detroit looming to end the regular season.

While Milwaukee has won five straight, its defense has shown cracks, allowing seven of its last eight opponents to hit 43 or more field goals. That’s not exactly the shutdown profile you want to see from a favorite asked to cover a healthy spread. Offensively, the Bucks have taken 87 or fewer field goal attempts in six of their last seven, limiting their margin for error in games where they’re laying significant points.

This is also a quick revenge spot for the Pelicans, who dropped a 111-107 decision at home on Sunday to a shorthanded Milwaukee squad. New Orleans certainly didn’t feel great about that result and should come out with purpose. All signs point to this being a grind-it-out, slower-paced contest that gives the underdog every opportunity to stay within the number.

Take New Orleans. Projected score: Bucks 114, Pelicans 108.

Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the under between Atlanta and Brooklyn at 7:30 pm et on Thursday.

While both teams come in on two-game ‘over’ streaks, this matchup sets up well for a return to a lower-scoring affair. Atlanta has quietly shifted into a more controlled pace recently, holding six of its last seven opponents to 87 or fewer field goal attempts, with five of those held to 84 or fewer. That’s a key trend for a Hawks squad that has seen its defensive numbers skewed by red-hot shooting performances from its last four opponents, all of whom shot 50% or better from the field. Brooklyn, however, has been struggling to finish plays and shouldn't be expected to maintain the same efficiency as Atlanta’s recent opponents.

The Nets have made good on 41 or fewer field goals in 11 consecutive games, and while they did shoot well last time out, that came against a Pelicans team that hasn’t exactly been stout defensively. Brooklyn has also leaned into a slower tempo, holding five of its last six opponents to 86 or fewer field goal attempts and 17 of its last 24 to fewer than 90.

These two teams met on March 16th and combined for 236 points, but that was a back-to-back spot for both, and each team got up 90 field goal attempts. That’s unlikely to be repeated here with both squads coming in rested and trending toward slower, more deliberate play.

This isn’t a spot where either team will need to push the pace for a full four quarters. Atlanta is a double-digit favorite, and a second-half slowdown is certainly in play if the game gets out of hand. With both teams quietly improving on the defensive end and limiting possessions, the setup points to a lower-scoring contest.

Take the under. Projected score: Hawks 117, Nets 106.

Eastern Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Boston at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday.

This sets up as a strong situational spot for the Magic, who are catching the Celtics at the tail-end of a three-games-in-four-nights stretch in three different cities. Boston needed late-game heroics to force overtime in Tuesday’s win at Madison Square Garden, and with a return home looming along with two games against the Hornets to close out the season, this feels like a natural letdown spot.

Orlando, on the other hand, is in the thick of the playoff hunt and has looked the part, winning seven of its last nine games and covering six times during that stretch. Even with last night's win over Atlanta, this is a relatively fresh Magic squad that hadn't played since last Thursday before that contest. They should still have plenty in the tank here.

Defensively, Orlando has been outstanding, holding 11 straight opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals. That figures to be a key edge against a Celtics team that hasn't exactly been ramping up tempo—attempting 87 or fewer shots in three of its last four games.

With superior defensive intensity, more rest, and a focused mindset as they fight for playoff seeding, the Magic are well-positioned to get the job done at home against a fatigued Boston team.

Take Orlando. Projected score: Magic 112, Celtics 102.

Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Oklahoma City minus the points over Los Angeles at 8 pm et on Tuesday.

This sets up as a revenge-fueled spot for the Thunder after they were embarrassed at home by the Lakers on Sunday, falling 126-99 in a game that saw OKC completely out of rhythm offensively. That defeat marked the second straight loss for the Thunder, who were also upset by Houston prior to that. But with Tuesday serving as Oklahoma City's final home game of the regular season, expect a focused, playoff-style effort.

The Lakers, meanwhile, have strung together consecutive dominant wins—both outright and ATS—but are in a clear lookahead/back-to-back situation with a road game in Dallas looming on Wednesday night. That's a far more winnable contest, and L.A. will likely be cautious with minutes and rotations as a result.

Look for the Thunder to play with urgency and intensity as they try to get right heading into a challenging final three-game road trip before the playoffs.

Take Oklahoma City. Projected score: Thunder 127, Lakers 106

Non-Conference Favorite of the Month. My selection is on Sacramento minus the points over Charlotte at 7 pm ET on Friday.

Sacramento is in a strong bounce-back position after suffering a shocking upset loss to Washington as a double-digit favorite two nights ago. That marked the Kings' third straight defeat, but they now get a prime opportunity to respond against a Hornets team that has been fortunate to cover the spread in back-to-back games.

Charlotte's recent success has been built on unsustainable shooting performances. The Hornets attempted just 80 and 78 field goals in their last two contests while allowing 96 and 95, respectively, yet still managed to shoot over 52% from the field in both games. That level of efficiency is unlikely to continue, especially against a Kings team that dominated the first meeting this season, rolling to a 42-point victory on February 24th.

Expect Sacramento to take control early and cruise to a comfortable win.

Take Sacramento. Projected score: Kings 122, Hornets 103.

Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Brooklyn at 7:30 pm ET on Thursday.

Both of these teams enter this matchup riding three-game 'over' streaks, but I expect that trend to reverse. The Timberwolves are coming off a hard-fought double-overtime win in Denver on Tuesday. Despite that extended contest, they still managed to hold the Nuggets to just 86 field goal attempts, highlighting their ability to dictate tempo with strong defense. Minnesota has limited two other opponents to just 79 and 68 field goal attempts since March 21st, showing a commitment to slowing the pace.

Brooklyn has been content to play at a methodical speed as well, with seven of its last eight opponents getting off 87 or fewer field goal attempts. On the offensive end, the Nets have struggled to generate consistent production, connecting on 40 or fewer field goals in eight consecutive games. With both teams emphasizing defense and controlling possessions, I expect points to come at a premium.

Take the 'under.' Projected score: Timberwolves 108, Nets 101.

Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Oklahoma City at 9:30 pm ET on Wednesday.

This is a rematch of a March 15th matchup in Detroit, where the Thunder won 113-107 while covering the spread. Oklahoma City has been a strong ATS team all season and enters this game on a four-game ATS winning streak. However, I expect the Pistons to put up a strong fight on Wednesday.

Detroit is coming off a 123-104 loss in Minnesota on Sunday, snapping its three-game SU and two-game ATS winning streaks. The Pistons struggled with their shooting in that game, hitting just 34 of 95 field goal attempts. That marked a stark contrast to their prior six games, where they had made 44 or more field goals each time. A bounce-back offensive performance is likely here.

Meanwhile, OKC is coming off a scorching 52-of-98 shooting night in a 145-117 rout of the Bulls on Monday, marking its third straight 20+ point win. That kind of offensive explosion is difficult to sustain, and I expect a much tighter game this time around.

Take Detroit. Projected score: Thunder 116, Pistons 111.

Northwest Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Denver minus the points over Minnesota at 10 pm ET on Tuesday.

The Nuggets will be eager for revenge after suffering a 115-95 home loss to the Timberwolves on March 12th. While Denver has had some trouble covering spreads recently, this is a great situational spot for the defending champions.

Denver is coming off back-to-back wins for the first time in nearly a month and looked dominant in a 129-93 rout of Utah last Friday. With three full days of rest and playing at home for the fourth straight game, the Nuggets should be primed for a strong performance.

Minnesota enters this matchup off consecutive wins and covers at home against Phoenix and Detroit. However, this is a tricky scheduling spot for the Timberwolves as they embark on a five-game road trip that will take them across the country. After playing seven of their last eight games at home, the shift to the road could present some early challenges.

Look for Denver to take advantage of this spot and pick up a comfortable win.

Take Denver. Projected score: Nuggets 118, Timberwolves 107.

Atlantic Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Philadelphia plus the points over New York at 7:30 pm ET on Tuesday.

The 76ers have been in freefall, losing eight straight games SU and seven in a row ATS. However, I believe that has led to an inflated line as they take on the Knicks in Manhattan.

New York could be caught looking ahead to a tougher test in Cleveland on Wednesday, making this a potential letdown spot after back-to-back impressive wins over Milwaukee and Portland. While the Knicks sit comfortably ahead of Philadelphia in the standings, their three previous meetings this season have been relatively competitive, with none decided by more than 12 points.

The most recent matchup between these two teams came on February 26th in New York, where the Knicks won by five points but failed to cover a double-digit spread. I expect a similar result here, with Philadelphia doing just enough to keep things close.

Take Philadelphia. Projected score: Knicks 112, 76ers 107.

Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Washington plus the points over Miami at 7 pm ET on Monday.

We'll grab all the points we can with the Wizards as they look to bounce back from consecutive home losses, including an 'upset' defeat against the Nets on Saturday. While Washington is firmly in the race for the top draft pick, I still expect it to play hard down the stretch. Here, we're getting an ample number of points in a double-revenge spot after dropping both previous meetings with Miami this season—neither of which took place in Washington.

The Heat have been rolling, winning four straight games SU and covering six in a row ATS. However, this is a potential letdown spot for them ahead of Wednesday’s matchup with the defending champion Celtics in Boston. Miami remains just 15-22 on the road this season and is only four games removed from a brutal 10-game losing streak. This feels like the right time to fade the Heat and take the points with the Wizards at home.

Take Washington. Projected score: Miami 113, Washington 110.

Western Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Houston minus the points over Utah at 9 pm ET on Thursday.

The Rockets are in a good spot to bounce back ATS after three straight non-covers, coming off a 121-114 home win over Atlanta on Tuesday. With two days off after this contest, expect Houston to bring full intensity as it looks to avenge a 124-115 loss in Salt Lake City back on February 22nd.

Utah, on the other hand, has been reeling, winning just once since the start of March. The Jazz enter this contest on a three-game SU and ATS skid, suffering blowout losses by 22, 29, and 37 points. With a grueling five-game road trip beginning tomorrow in Denver, their focus could be elsewhere.

Look for the Rockets to take care of business against a struggling Jazz squad.

Take Houston. Projected score: Rockets 124, Jazz 106.

Eastern Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Washington at 7 pm et on Wednesday.

Both teams enter this contest in the midst of prolonged losing streaks, with the Wizards dropping five straight both SU and ATS, while the 76ers have also lost five in a row outright and failed to cover in their last four contests. The difference is that Washington has every incentive to keep piling up losses as it looks to secure the league's worst record and improve its chances of landing highly touted prospect Cooper Flagg in the draft. That tanking mindset has been reflected in their recent offensive performances, as they've connected on fewer than 40 field goals in three straight and six of their last nine games. Philadelphia, on the other hand, has at least managed to slow the pace in recent contests, holding four straight and six of its last seven opponents to 90 or fewer field goal attempts.

While the Sixers' defense has struggled mightily, their offensive production has still been superior to Washington’s, as they’ve made 40 or more field goals in four of their last six games. The 76ers already handled the Wizards at home earlier this season, winning outright but failing to cover a double-digit spread. This time around, they’re laying a much more reasonable number, making this a prime opportunity for them to snap their losing skid. With Washington likely looking ahead to a five-game homestand starting Thursday, Philadelphia should take advantage and roll to a comfortable victory.

Take Philadelphia. Projected score: 76ers 118, Wizards 103.

Non-Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on New York minus the points over Dallas at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday.

We'll lay the points with the Knicks as this spot sets up well for them, having been idle since Saturday and looking for revenge after suffering a double-digit 'upset' loss in Dallas earlier this season. The Mavericks have won back-to-back games straight-up and three in a row against the spread. They've been shooting exceptionally well but have also benefited from a relatively soft schedule in terms of recent defensive opponents. That won’t be the case on Tuesday, as they face a Knicks squad that has held nine of its last 10 opponents to 43 or fewer made field goals and six of those foes to fewer than 40.

Dallas has essentially thrown defense out the window in recent weeks, and the Knicks appear primed to take advantage. New York has been playing at a slightly faster pace recently, hoisting up 90 or more field goal attempts in four straight contests. That increase in tempo, combined with the Mavericks' defensive shortcomings, should pave the way for a strong offensive performance from the Knicks. Look for them to control this game from start to finish and roll to a convincing double-digit victory.

Take New York. Projected score: Knicks 119, Mavericks 104.

Non-Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and New Orleans at 8 pm ET on Monday.

Both teams enter this contest in back-to-back situations, which could lead to a sluggish offensive performance on both ends. While Philadelphia has been involved in high-scoring affairs recently, its defensive issues may not be as glaring in this matchup given New Orleans’ inconsistency on offense. The Pelicans just put up 130 points in a loss to Detroit, but they haven’t strung together consecutive high-scoring performances in quite some time.

New Orleans has been playing at a slower pace, attempting fewer than 90 field goals in seven of its last eight games while also limiting opponents to the same threshold in six straight contests. The 76ers have also held five of their last six opponents to 90 or fewer field goal attempts. While the first meeting between these teams produced 238 total points, it was played at a faster pace than what we should expect in this one.

Take the under. Projected score: New Orleans 113, Philadelphia 108.

Western Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Oklahoma City and Los Angeles at 9 pm ET on Sunday.

This total is the highest we've seen in this matchup all season, which feels like an overcorrection given how these teams typically play against each other. Their highest previous posted total was 220.5, and that game ended with just 197 total points.

Both squads enter off hot shooting performances, but these are two of the better defensive teams in the league. The Clippers may have hit 132 and 128 points in their last two games, but they attempted just 84 and 78 field goals, indicating a reliance on unsustainable efficiency. Meanwhile, they've limited four of their last five opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals, while the Thunder have held three straight foes to 37 or fewer.

With both teams likely to settle into a more defensive-minded battle, I expect this game to stay under the total.

Take the 'under.' Projected score: Clippers 110, Thunder 107.

Eastern Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and New York at 8 pm ET on Saturday.

All three previous meetings between these teams this season have gone 'over' the total, and I expect another high-scoring affair here. The Wizards were trounced 120-105 at home against the Magic last night in a predictable flat spot following a long seven-game road trip. That marked the first time in nine games that Washington didn't attempt at least 90 field goals. I look for them to push the pace far more in this triple-revenge spot against the Knicks.

Defensively, the Wizards have struggled, allowing their last four opponents to connect on 48, 42, 50, and 46 field goals. Meanwhile, the Knicks are coming off an 'upset' loss in Charlotte in which they scored just 98 points. They have yet to be held under 100 points in consecutive games this season, making this a prime bounce-back opportunity against a Wizards team they've already torched for 134, 136, and 126 points in their three previous matchups.

Take the over. Projected score: New York 126, Washington 113.

Western Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over New Orleans at 8 pm ET on Friday.

We'll lay the points with the Timberwolves in a prime revenge spot after New Orleans pulled off a surprising upset in Minnesota as a double-digit underdog two nights ago. The Pelicans had an outlier shooting performance in that game, while the Wolves struggled offensively, attempting just 77 field goals in a sluggish effort. It's worth noting that Minnesota was coming off an overtime loss to Indiana prior to that game, potentially leading to a letdown. With a chance to close out their homestand on a high note before a short break, expect a much sharper performance from the Wolves.

New Orleans has struggled against the spread recently, covering just three of its last 11 games. Just one game removed from a disastrous 46-point home loss to Detroit, the Pelicans may already be looking ahead to a rematch with the Pistons on Sunday. Look for Minnesota to take advantage and roll to a convincing win.

Take Minnesota. Projected score: Minnesota 123, New Orleans 102.

Non-Conference Favorite of the Year. My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Los Angeles at 10:30 pm ET on Thursday.

The Bucks will be eager to bounce back from consecutive losses, both straight up and against the spread, including an upset defeat to the Warriors two nights ago. Prior to that, Milwaukee had been in solid form, winning back-to-back games both straight up and ATS, including a dominant 126-106 win over the Lakers at home. With the Bucks on a long five-game road trip, they’ll be highly motivated to avoid a third consecutive loss.

Los Angeles enters this matchup on a strong run, having won three straight games straight up and four in a row against the spread. This includes a 120-108 victory over a short-handed Nuggets team last night. However, prior to this streak, the Lakers had struggled with four consecutive losses. With the Bucks looking to get back on track after a disappointing defeat, we expect Milwaukee to cover the spread and come out strong in this game.

Take Milwaukee. Projected score: Milwaukee 118, Los Angeles 110.

Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami plus the points over Detroit at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday.

The Pistons have dominated this season series, going 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS against the Heat, including back-to-back outright 'upset' victories. However, the market has adjusted, and this time around, Detroit finds itself as a road favorite—a role that may be asking too much. The Pistons are coming off a blowout win in Utah, and I believe asking them to notch consecutive road victories is a tall order.

Miami enters this contest on an eight-game SU skid while failing to cover in its last six contests. That said, the Heat are rested and begin a five-game homestand here. This sets up as a prime bounce-back spot for Miami as it looks to turn its fortunes around in front of its home crowd.

Take Miami. Projected score: Miami 107, Detroit 103.

Atlantic Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Brooklyn and Boston at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday.

These teams just met on Saturday in a high-scoring affair, with the Celtics edging out a 115-113 victory. That game flew 'over' the total, as did Brooklyn's next contest, an upset win over Atlanta on Sunday. However, I anticipate a much lower-scoring matchup this time around. While the pace wasn’t overwhelming in Saturday’s meeting, Boston shot exceptionally well, and it's unlikely we see the same level of efficiency here, especially with the Celtics returning home from a short road trip and potentially looking ahead to a long six-game western swing starting Friday.

Defensively, Boston has been dominant, holding six straight opponents to 43 or fewer made field goals. Even in the lone game where it allowed 43 makes, the Celtics still held Utah to just 108 points. Notably, Boston has posted consecutive 'over' results only once since February 10th, further reinforcing the likelihood of a slower, more defensive-minded battle. Expect a lower-scoring affair at TD Garden.

Take the under. Projected score: Boston 110, Brooklyn 98.

Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Minnesota at 8:10 pm et on Monday.

The Pacers saw their two-game winning streak snapped in Milwaukee on Saturday, falling short against a motivated Bucks squad. That marked their second straight ATS loss, but I like their chances to bounce back as they take on a Timberwolves team that may be a little less focused in a back-to-back situation. Indiana has quietly done an excellent job of limiting opposing scoring opportunities, holding its last three opponents to just 84, 82, and 79 field goal attempts. If the Pacers can control the tempo on Monday, they should be well-positioned to stay within the number.

Minnesota enters this game riding an eight-game winning streak, having gone 6-2 ATS over that stretch. The Timberwolves are coming off a dominant 128-102 victory over Utah last night in a revenge spot, but this sets up as a potential letdown game. Feeling good about itself and perhaps looking past a banged-up opponent, I see Minnesota struggling to put Indiana away.

Take Indiana. Projected score: Minnesota 114, Indiana 112.

Atlantic Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Brooklyn plus the points over Boston at 6 pm et on Saturday.

We'll take the generous points with Brooklyn as the Nets look to bounce back from consecutive losses in a home game against the Celtics. Boston is coming off a win and cover in Miami last night and may have its focus shifted toward a couple of days off before their next matchup on Tuesday at home against this same Brooklyn team. Prior to last night's win, the Celtics had dropped the cash in consecutive games and are just 5-5 ATS over their last 10 games.

Brooklyn will be motivated to keep this divisional game closer than expected. With the Celtics potentially looking past this one, we like the Nets to cover the spread.

Take Brooklyn. Projected score: Boston 112, Brooklyn 108.

Central Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Indiana at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday.

Indiana enters this contest on a five-game 'under' streak, but that trend is unlikely to continue given the way both teams play. The Pacers pushed the pace in Monday's loss to Chicago, firing off 101 field goal attempts but struggling with their shooting. That kind of volume is encouraging for an 'over' play, as the scoring will likely bounce back sooner rather than later. Indiana has consistently created plenty of opportunities, hoisting at least 90 shots in three straight games while showing little commitment to defense, allowing at least 94 opponent field goal attempts in four consecutive contests.

Milwaukee should also be in an aggressive mindset after dropping back-to-back games over the weekend. The Bucks had been giving up plenty of high-percentage looks before Sunday's loss to Cleveland, having allowed five straight opponents to hit 42+ field goals. That should work in Indiana’s favor, as the Pacers have shown they’re willing to push the tempo regardless of their recent shooting struggles.

With two uptempo teams and both squads eager to get back on track, expect a high-scoring affair.

Take the over. Projected score: Milwaukee 127, Indiana 122.

Northwest Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Denver plus the points over Oklahoma City at 8 pm et on Monday.

I'll back the Nuggets as they seek immediate revenge for yesterday's lopsided loss in Oklahoma City. The teams have now met three times this season, with the Thunder taking two of those matchups, but Denver has an opportunity to respond in this quick turnaround spot. Prior to Sunday’s defeat, the Nuggets had won two straight games and covered back-to-back contests. Given their standing among the Western Conference elite, I expect a much stronger effort in this rematch.

Meanwhile, the Thunder are riding high with seven straight wins, including three consecutive covers. While they've been playing excellent basketball, this is a potential flat spot for OKC, as it looks ahead to a challenging three-game road trip starting in Boston on Wednesday. With the Nuggets eager to respond after a rare blowout loss, I'll take the points with the defending champs.

Take Denver. Projected score: Denver 119, Oklahoma City 118.

Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Minnesota at 7 pm et on Wednesday.

This is a tricky scheduling spot for Minnesota as it looks to secure a third straight win both straight-up and against the spread after a second consecutive double-digit victory last night over Philadelphia. Prior to that surge, the Timberwolves had dropped back-to-back games both SU and ATS and have struggled with consistency dating back to early February. With this being the second leg of a back-to-back and a potential letdown looming, I don’t expect the same level of intensity from Minnesota in this matchup.

Charlotte is in the midst of a rough stretch, having lost seven in a row while dropping its last two against the spread. That said, this is a favorable revenge spot for the Hornets after suffering a blowout loss in Minnesota earlier this season. Already 0-2 on their current homestand, they’ll be eager to turn things around before Cleveland arrives on Friday. Given the situation, I expect Charlotte to come out with energy and push Minnesota in what should be a closer game than anticipated.

Take Charlotte. Projected score: Minnesota 106, Charlotte 104.

Non-Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the under between Portland and Philadelphia at 7 pm ET on Monday.

Both teams are coming off 'over' results, with Portland cashing three straight, but the numbers suggest a lower-scoring contest here. The Blazers' game in Cleveland yesterday included overtime, yet both teams still only made 42 field goals each. Portland has quietly tightened up defensively, holding five of its last six opponents under 40 made field goals in regulation.

Philadelphia, meanwhile, snapped a long losing streak with an 'upset' win over Golden State on Saturday, thanks to an uncharacteristically hot shooting night. That type of offensive explosion has been rare for the 76ers, who have held six of their last seven opponents to fewer than 90 field goal attempts. Expect this matchup to settle into a slower-paced, defensive-oriented affair.

Take the under. Projected score: 76ers 108 Trail Blazers 102.

Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the over between the Clippers and Lakers at 9:30 pm ET on Sunday.

These teams just faced off on Friday in a defensive battle that ended in a 106-102 Lakers victory. However, I expect a faster pace and higher-scoring affair in this rematch.

The Lakers have now gone under the total in six consecutive games, matching their longest such streak of the season. That trend has likely caused oddsmakers to set the total a bit too low for Sunday’s contest. Meanwhile, the Clippers have been alternating between over and under results, having not played consecutive under games since mid-January. Given the offensive firepower on both sides, I expect this one to break the recent under trend.

Take the over. Projected score: Clippers 118, Lakers 113.

Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Dallas at 8:40 pm ET on Saturday.

While both teams enter this matchup riding 'under' streaks, the recent pace of play and defensive vulnerabilities point toward a higher-scoring affair. Milwaukee has seen back-to-back 'under' results, but those games weren’t due to a lack of opportunities—its opponents attempted 91 and 105 field goals, exposing some defensive weaknesses. On the offensive side, the Bucks found a rhythm in their recent win over Denver, putting up 90 field goal attempts, their most in seven games.

Dallas has cashed four straight 'under' tickets, but that has more to do with poor shooting efficiency than a lack of possessions. The Mavericks have attempted 98 and 97 field goals in their last two games, keeping the pace high. More importantly, their defense has been shaky, allowing seven of their last eight opponents to get off more than 90 shot attempts. If Milwaukee continues to push the tempo and Dallas struggles defensively, this total should be in play for an 'over.'

Take the 'over'. Projected score: Milwaukee 122, Dallas 118.

Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Chicago at 8 pm ET on Friday.

The Raptors are coming off a predictable 111-91 blowout loss in Indiana, where they ran into a highly motivated Pacers squad seeking revenge. Now, the script flips as Toronto will look to avenge two previous losses against Chicago this season, including an ‘upset’ defeat as a 4.5-point home favorite on January 31st.

Despite their ATS setback against the Pacers, the Raptors remain an impressive 13-7 ATS over their last 20 games. Meanwhile, the Bulls enter this contest on a four-game ATS winning streak but have won outright just once in their last eight outings. Chicago’s porous defense has been a glaring issue, as it has allowed nine of its last ten opponents to make at least 42 field goals.

Toronto is primed for a bounce-back effort offensively after shooting just 37-for-87 from the field in Indiana. Expect the Raptors to keep this one tight, if not pull off the outright win.

Take Toronto. Projected score: Toronto 115, Chicago 112.

Western Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the over between Sacramento and Utah at 9 pm ET on Wednesday.

Both teams are coming off 'under' results, but I expect a different outcome in this matchup. The Kings took advantage of a struggling Hornets squad two nights ago, holding them to just 30 made field goals in a blowout win. However, prior to that game, Sacramento had allowed at least 43 made field goals in 9 of its previous 10 and 12 of its last 14 contests.

Meanwhile, the Jazz are fresh off a poor shooting performance against Portland on Monday, but they've attempted 90 or more field goals in three straight games. They’ll have their chances to bounce back offensively here. On the defensive side, Utah has been highly permissive, allowing six straight and eight of its last nine opponents to attempt at least 92 field goals.

Sacramento has been efficient offensively, making 40+ field goals in six straight games and 25 of its last 26. This game has all the makings of a high-paced, high-scoring affair.

Take the over. Projected score: Kings 128, Jazz 122.

Revenge Game of the Year. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Toronto at 7 pm ET on Wednesday.

The Pacers were in a tough spot on Monday, playing the second leg of a back-to-back against a well-rested Denver squad eager to snap its losing skid. Indiana came up short both SU and ATS in that contest, but I expect a much stronger performance here.

With a day of rest, Indiana should be in prime position to bounce back against a Raptors team that just covered the spread in a hard-fought home game against Boston last night. This will be a tough scheduling spot for Toronto, playing its second game in as many nights and heading on the road against a motivated Pacers team.

Indiana has undoubtedly had this game circled after suffering two 'upset' losses in Toronto earlier this season. Look for the Pacers to take care of business at home.

Take Indiana. Projected score: Indiana 128, Toronto 111.

Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Milwaukee at 6:10 pm ET on Sunday.

The Bucks have embraced a more methodical approach in recent games, resulting in three straight victories and three consecutive 'under' cashes. They've attempted 82 or fewer field goals in three of their last four games, converting on fewer than 40 of those in all four contests. That trend aligns with a defensive emphasis that has seen Milwaukee hold each of its last four opponents to 41 or fewer made field goals.

Miami figures to present another tough defensive challenge. The Heat have limited four of their last six opponents to fewer than 40 made field goals. While they managed an efficient 46 field goals in Friday’s 120-111 win over Toronto, that came against a far weaker defensive opponent than the Bucks. Prior to that, Miami had been held to under 40 field goals in four straight games.

These two teams last met on January 23rd in a game that was played at a faster pace than expected yet still finished with just 221 total points. Given both teams' recent trends and defensive focus, I anticipate a lower-scoring affair.

Take the under. Projected score: Milwaukee 108, Miami 104.

Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Houston at 8:40 pm ET on Wednesday.

Both teams enter this contest on two-game 'under' streaks, but I expect a shift toward a higher-scoring affair. The Suns are coming off their second straight loss, falling 119-112 at home to the Grizzlies last night. A big reason for Phoenix’s struggles has been its porous defense, allowing four consecutive opponents to attempt at least 92 field goals. The Suns have also given up 40 or more made field goals in 16 of their last 18 games, with their last four foes connecting on 52, 48, 45, and 43 shots from the field.

That defensive vulnerability sets up a prime bounce-back spot for a rested and favored Houston squad. The Rockets struggled offensively in a sluggish 94-87 matinee victory over Toronto on Sunday, shooting just 31-for-86 from the field. However, they showed their ability to push the pace in their previous outing, hoisting up 100 shot attempts against the Mavericks. Two of Houston’s last three opponents have attempted 90 or more field goals, paving the way for an up-tempo battle on Wednesday.

Take the over. Projected score: Houston 118, Phoenix 114.

Atlantic Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Toronto at 7:10 pm ET on Tuesday.

We'll lay the points with the 76ers as they look to snap their three-game SU and four-game ATS losing streaks at home against their division rival. Philadelphia has been caught up in consecutive high-paced matchups on the road against Detroit and Milwaukee but should be able to dictate the tempo in this contest against an inferior Toronto squad.

The Raptors have dropped four straight games but have managed to cover the spread in their last two. However, that doesn’t mean they’re playing well—they’ve made fewer than 40 field goals in three straight contests, highlighting their offensive struggles. Expect Philadelphia to take control early and roll to a double-digit victory.

Take Philadelphia. Projected score: Philadelphia 119, Toronto 102.

Southwest Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Houston plus the points over Dallas at 3 pm ET on Saturday.

The Rockets have hit a rough patch, dropping five straight games, including back-to-back ATS losses. However, despite their current struggles, they remain a solid road team with a 17-11 SU and ATS record away from home. I expect them to show up here, motivated to snap their skid against a familiar division foe.

Dallas has responded well in the wake of the Luka Doncic trade, picking up consecutive ATS wins, including an impressive road victory in Boston on Thursday. However, this sets up as a potential letdown spot against a Houston squad that already proved it can win on this floor, having defeated the Mavs in Dallas on Halloween Night.

Look for the Rockets to keep this one tight.

Take Houston. Projected score: Houston 113, Dallas 110.

Non-Conference Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and Los Angeles at 10:30 pm ET on Thursday.

We'll call for a high-scoring affair as the Pacers look to bounce back from a shocking blowout loss in Portland, while the Clippers aim to avoid a third straight defeat after falling to the rival Lakers on Tuesday.

Despite the 'under' cashing in Indiana's last two games, the Pacers continue to push the tempo, allowing four straight and eight of their last nine opponents to attempt at least 89 field goals. They've also surrendered 40+ made field goals in three of their last four contests.

Meanwhile, the Clippers have struggled defensively, allowing four consecutive opponents to hit 42 or more shots from the field. Indiana’s offense should benefit in this spot after seeing its streak of six straight games making 43+ field goals halted against Portland in a tough back-to-back situation.

Expect plenty of scoring in this non-conference matchup.

Take the 'over'. Projected score: Indiana 121, Los Angeles 118.

Non-Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Sacramento at 10 pm ET on Wednesday.

Despite their recent struggles, I like the way this game sets up for the Magic. They've dropped four straight games both SU and ATS, but they've had a day off following a tough battle with the Warriors on Monday. With a looming back-to-back in Denver on Thursday, expect them to give everything they have in this spot.

Sacramento snapped a two-game skid with an 'upset' victory over Minnesota on Monday but has been inconsistent, going just 2-4 SU over its last six games and 2-5 ATS over its last seven. The Kings have also failed to post back-to-back ATS victories since mid-January, highlighting their inconsistency.

I look for Orlando to put together a complete effort and potentially steal this one outright.

Take Orlando. Projected score: Orlando 112, Sacramento 109.

Southeast Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Charlotte minus the points over Washington at 7:10 pm ET on Monday.

The Wizards managed a surprising upset win in Minnesota on Saturday, snapping a brutal losing streak that dated back to January 1st. However, winning isn't really in their best interest at this point, as they remain in full-on tank mode for a high draft pick. I expect them to revert to their losing ways on Monday as they head to Charlotte.

The Hornets are mired in a four-game losing streak but have shown signs of life, covering the spread in consecutive games. Despite dropping both previous meetings with Washington this season—both coming in a short span back in December—Charlotte is in a good position to respond at home here. Given their recent ATS performances and the Wizards' general lack of competitiveness, I'll lay the points with the Hornets.

Take Charlotte. Projected score: Charlotte 116, Washington 105.

Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Boston minus the points over Chicago at 7:30 pm ET on Wednesday.

We'll back the Celtics to bounce back after a tough last-second 114-112 home loss against Houston on Monday. Boston hasn't lost consecutive games since late December, and I expect a strong response in this favorable spot.

Chicago, meanwhile, is coming off an impressive upset win over Denver but has still gone just 2-7 SU and ATS over its last nine contests. Notably, the SU winner has covered the spread in 20 consecutive games involving the Bulls. With Boston eager to get back in the win column before embarking on a three-game road trip, look for the Celtics to dominate from start to finish.

Take Boston. Projected score: Boston 120, Chicago 102.

Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Boston at 7:30 pm ET on Monday.

Both teams come into this game off higher-scoring results on Saturday, but I expect the script to shift as they meet in Boston. This is the second and final regular season meeting between these teams, with the first matchup on January 3rd producing just 195 total points in a Celtics blowout victory in Houston. Notably, Boston shot exceptionally well in that game, hitting 39-of-77 from the field, a performance that may not repeat itself here.

The Rockets have regained their defensive edge recently, holding three of their last four opponents to 42 or fewer made field goals. Similarly, Boston has held opponents to 42 or fewer field goals in its last four games. Meanwhile, the Celtics have topped out at 44 made field goals in 11 of their last 12 games. Houston's offensive output has also dipped lately, as the Rockets have made just 37, 40, and 45 field goals over their last three contests after a stretch where they knocked down 48, 49, and 49.

Expect a slower pace and a focus on defense in this clash.

Take the 'under.' Projected score: Boston 110, Houston 103.

Non-Conference Favorite of the Month. My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Portland at 7 pm et on Thursday.

The Magic are in need of a bounce-back after dropping four straight SU and ATS, but this matchup against the Trail Blazers presents the perfect opportunity to get back on track. Despite their recent struggles, Orlando remains 23-22 on the season and has been competitive throughout. Returning home after a tough loss to a motivated Raptors squad, the Magic will be eager to capitalize on this winnable two-game homestand.

Portland has shown some life recently, recording back-to-back upset wins, but those victories followed a five-game SU losing streak and a four-game ATS skid. The Trail Blazers are just 15-28 overall and remain vulnerable, especially on the road against a team like Orlando that has shown it can dominate weaker opponents.

Take Orlando. Projected score: Magic 117, Trail Blazers 103.

Atlantic Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Brooklyn plus the points over New York at 7:30 pm ET on Tuesday.

The Knicks secured a win and cover yesterday afternoon against the Nets but have struggled with consistency, alternating wins and losses over their last six games while posting a 2-4 ATS mark during that stretch.

Brooklyn enters this matchup with double-revenge motivation after dropping two meetings in Manhattan earlier this season (going 1-1 ATS in those contests). While the Nets just wrapped up a tough 1-5 road trip, they managed to go 3-3 ATS and now return home, where they should perform better. Additionally, Brooklyn has faced one of the league's toughest schedules this season, a challenge far greater than what the Knicks have encountered.

While the Nets are on a back-to-back with a game against the Suns looming tomorrow, the Knicks may already be looking ahead to a favorable five-game homestand starting Saturday. With those dynamics in play, the Nets are well-positioned to keep this game close, if not secure an outright victory.

Take Brooklyn. Projected score: New York 109, Brooklyn 106.

Southwest Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Memphis and San Antonio at 9:40 pm ET on Friday.

While both teams are coming off high-scoring performances and have trended toward the 'over' in recent games, I anticipate a shift in pace and defensive intensity in this rematch. Memphis, despite its recent stretch of 'over' results, has shown defensive consistency by holding four of its last five opponents to 41 or fewer made field goals. That defensive capability will likely come into play here.

Additionally, San Antonio, which has struggled defensively in stretches, is capable of tightening up. The Spurs had held nine of their previous 11 opponents to 44 or fewer made field goals before Wednesday’s game. That poor showing defensively likely serves as a wake-up call as they aim to limit Memphis’ shooting efficiency, which was an unsustainable 51-for-103 in the last meeting.

Expect both teams to make adjustments and this game to trend lower-scoring compared to their recent clash.

Take the 'under.' Projected score: Memphis 115, San Antonio 106.

Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Denver at 9:40 pm ET on Tuesday.

The Mavericks find themselves in a quick rematch situation after dropping a 112-101 decision at home against the Nuggets on Sunday. While Denver is riding a three-game SU and ATS winning streak, it’s worth noting that its road form has been inconsistent this season, evidenced by a 9-10 ATS mark away from home. The Nuggets are due for some regression in what could be a flat spot after a strong stretch of performances.

Dallas, on the other hand, will be eager to respond and capitalize on its familiarity with Denver after Sunday’s game. The Mavs’ ability to adjust defensively and create better offensive opportunities will be key as they look to halt the Nuggets' momentum. Given the circumstances, I expect a strong effort from Dallas to keep this one tight and possibly steal the win.

Take Dallas. Projected score: Dallas 111, Denver 109.

Central Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Indiana at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday.

Both teams enter this contest having leaned toward lower-scoring games in recent outings, but the underlying dynamics point to a high-tempo, high-scoring affair. Chicago is coming off an 'under' result in an impressive 'upset' win over San Antonio on Monday. However, the Bulls have struggled defensively, allowing six consecutive opponents to convert on more than 40 field goals and three straight to make 44 or more. Adding to the defensive woes, Chicago has allowed 95+ field goal attempts in five straight games, signaling an inability—or unwillingness—to slow the pace.

Indiana has also recorded consecutive 'under' results, including a 113-99 victory over Brooklyn on Monday. Despite this, the Pacers' recent games have featured plenty of opportunities for opposing offenses. Five of Indiana’s last seven opponents have attempted at least 92 field goals, and six of those opponents have successfully converted more than 40 shots.

With both teams trending toward faster paces and allowing high shooting volumes, this matchup sets up as a potential track meet. Chicago's defensive struggles and Indiana's openness to high-volume games create the perfect storm for a high-scoring affair. Look for both offenses to capitalize on the lack of defensive resistance.

Take the over. Projected score: Indiana 127, Chicago 120.

Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami plus the points over Sacramento at 10:10 p.m. ET on Monday.

Miami comes into this game off a disappointing 1-2 homestand, including surprising losses to Indiana and Utah. Despite those setbacks, this matchup presents a strong opportunity for the Heat to bounce back, as they face a Sacramento team in a tricky scheduling spot. Miami’s experience and discipline make them a dangerous underdog, particularly in situations where the opponent may be less than fully focused.

Sacramento enters this game riding high after a dominant blowout win over Golden State in San Francisco on Sunday, extending their winning streak to four games. However, the Kings now face the challenge of playing the second of back-to-back nights with travel. Complicating matters, this is a one-game return home before they head back on the road for a tough three-game trip starting in Boston on Friday. The circumstances make this a potential letdown spot for Sacramento, especially against a motivated Heat squad.

Expect Miami to capitalize on the Kings’ tough scheduling spot and bring a more focused effort after their recent struggles. The Heat have the tools to keep this game competitive and could very well spring the outright upset.

Take Miami. Projected score: Miami 112, Sacramento 110.

Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Oklahoma City at 6:10 pm ET on Saturday.

We'll side with the struggling Hornets as they look to snap a six-game skid. Charlotte comes off a disappointing 'upset' loss in Washington on Thursday, but this matchup against Oklahoma City presents an opportunity for a much-needed bounce-back effort. While the Hornets have failed to cover in back-to-back games, they’ve shown the ability to keep contests close at home, particularly against teams on the second leg of a tough travel schedule.

The Thunder roll into town riding high on a four-game winning streak, most recently notching a hard-fought 120-114 victory in Indiana on Thursday. However, this game falls into a challenging scheduling spot, with Oklahoma City returning home tomorrow to start a five-game homestand against the Grizzlies—a potential look-ahead scenario.

Charlotte should be able to capitalize on the Thunder's lack of focus and hang within the number, buoyed by a home crowd eager to see its team end the losing streak.

Take Charlotte. Projected score: Oklahoma City 112, Charlotte 110.

Southeast Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Orlando at 7 pm ET on Thursday.

These two teams recently met in a surprisingly high-scoring affair, with the Magic pulling out a 121-114 victory on December 21st. However, I anticipate a much different outcome in this rematch, with a slower pace and stronger defensive play dictating the flow of the game.

Miami has excelled defensively of late, holding three straight opponents to 87 or fewer field goal attempts and seven of their last nine foes to 41 or fewer made field goals. On offense, the Heat have struggled to find rhythm, managing more than 41 made field goals only once in their last six games and being limited to exactly 36 in three straight contests.

Orlando has also leaned on its defense, holding four straight and seven of its last eight opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals. Offensively, the Magic have been kept to 41 or fewer made field goals in eight of their last 10 games, contributing to their consistent 'under' trends.

While the previous matchup saw an unusually high shooting percentage from both teams, I expect this rematch to be far more subdued, especially with both squads well-rested and emphasizing defense.

Take the 'under.' Projected score: Orlando 101, Miami 96.

Pacific Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Sacramento minus the points over Los Angeles at 10:10 pm ET on Thursday.

Sacramento enters this matchup looking to rebound from a frustrating one-point home loss to Denver on Monday. The Kings have been a force offensively, converting 49 or more field goals in three of their last four games while consistently pushing the pace with 90 or more field goal attempts in seven straight contests. This up-tempo style should put significant pressure on a Lakers team that thrives in slower-paced games but has struggled to control tempo recently, allowing 90 or more field goal attempts in three of its last five games.

Offensively, the Lakers have been inconsistent, failing to make 40 field goals in three straight games and in nine of their last 11 overall. While they are coming off an upset home win against Memphis, the matchup with Sacramento presents a much tougher challenge, particularly with the Kings eager to bounce back on their home court.

Expect Sacramento’s relentless pace and efficient scoring to prove too much for Los Angeles to handle in this spot.

Take Sacramento. Projected score: Sacramento 122, Los Angeles 110.

Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Charlotte at 7 pm ET on Monday.

This matchup features two teams trending toward lower-scoring outcomes, and I anticipate more of the same here. While their December 3rd meeting resulted in an 'over,' it required a late surge in scoring to get there—something unlikely to repeat in this rematch.

The 76ers' offense has been consistently limited, failing to reach 44 made field goals in any of their 23 games this season. While Philadelphia gave up 47 field goals in their most recent outing against Indiana, that was an exception. Over the last 12 games, the Sixers have held 10 opponents to 41 or fewer made field goals, showcasing their defensive strength.

Charlotte has struggled offensively, making 40 or fewer field goals in nine consecutive games. Despite their offensive woes, the Hornets have remained competitive defensively, holding 11 of their last 12 opponents to 42 or fewer field goals.

With both teams leaning on defense and showing significant limitations on offense, especially in terms of efficiency, this contest is likely to grind its way to a lower total than their previous meeting.

Take the under. Projected score: Philadelphia 106, Charlotte 98.

Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Memphis minus the points over Brooklyn at 8:10 pm ET on Friday.

Memphis has been an offensive juggernaut recently, consistently creating opportunities and converting at a high rate. The Grizzlies have hoisted 93 or more field goal attempts in six of their last seven games, knocking down 45 or more field goals in each of those six contests. This relentless pace will put tremendous pressure on a Brooklyn defense that has managed to limit opposing teams' field goals primarily due to slower game tempos rather than overwhelming defensive prowess. Brooklyn has struggled offensively, being held to 41 or fewer made field goals in five straight and eight of their last nine games, a trend unlikely to reverse against a Grizzlies defense that has limited its last eight opponents to 43 or fewer made field goals despite several of those games featuring high shot volumes.

The Grizzlies also have the motivational edge, as they look to avenge a narrow 106-104 loss to the Nets earlier this season. That defeat came despite Memphis being favored by 4.5 points, a spread that reflects their capability to dominate this matchup. Playing at home, where they thrive, Memphis should dictate the tempo and overwhelm a Brooklyn team that lacks the firepower and consistency to keep pace.

Take Memphis. Projected score: Memphis 119, Brooklyn 104.

Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Oklahoma City minus the points over Dallas at 9:30 pm ET on Tuesday.

Dallas enters this matchup riding a seven-game winning streak, but it hasn’t been as dominant as the streak suggests. The Mavericks are coming off an ATS loss to Toronto on Saturday, and their offensive efficiency has been inconsistent, with three of their last five opponents holding them to 41 or fewer made field goals. Defensively, Dallas has struggled to limit opposing opportunities, allowing seven of its last nine foes to attempt at least 90 field goals.

Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is in excellent form, having won and covered in three straight games. The Thunder’s defensive intensity has been a hallmark of their success, holding six consecutive opponents to 38 or fewer made field goals. Offensively, they’re clicking, connecting on 42 or more field goals in four straight contests. With a chance to avenge a narrow two-point home loss to the Mavericks last month, expect a focused effort from OKC on Tuesday night.

Take Oklahoma City. Projected score: Oklahoma City 119, Dallas 108.

Atlantic Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Toronto at 7:40 pm ET on Monday.

While the Knicks have seen their last three games go 'over' the total, those results were fueled more by efficient shooting than pace. New York has managed just 85, 76, and 79 field goal attempts in those contests, suggesting they haven't been pushing the tempo. On the defensive end, the Knicks have been steady, holding four of their last five opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals.

Toronto, meanwhile, has been solid defensively, allowing fewer than 40 made field goals in three of its last four and five of its last seven games. The Raptors' ability to force tough shots should help keep the scoring in check against a Knicks squad that has relied heavily on shooting efficiency to reach higher totals.

Take the 'under.' Projected score: New York 110, Toronto 106.

Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and Brooklyn at 7:40 pm et on Wednesday.

Indiana has been one of the most offense-oriented teams in the league, often turning games into high-scoring affairs, regardless of their opponents. The Pacers are fresh off a 122-111 loss in Toronto last night, marking their third straight defeat. Their defense has been consistently porous, allowing five consecutive opponents to connect on at least 44 field goals. Offensively, while Indiana fell short of its usual production last night, snapping a streak of 10 straight games with over 40 made field goals, the Pacers are primed for a bounce-back effort.

Brooklyn’s offensive struggles have been evident, but this matchup with Indiana provides a perfect opportunity for the Nets to find their rhythm. The Pacers' up-tempo style and defensive lapses should enable Brooklyn to put up points, especially considering the Nets have given up 40 or more made field goals in four of their last five contests.

This matchup sets up as a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

Take the 'over.' Projected score: Indiana 125, Brooklyn 119.

Pacific Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Sacramento minus the points over Los Angeles at 10:30 pm ET on Friday.

Sacramento heads into this matchup looking to rebound after a narrow 109-108 home loss to Atlanta earlier in the week. The Kings stand at 8-7 on the season, with a solid 4-3 record on the road, showing they can compete effectively away from home.

The Clippers, meanwhile, are riding a three-game winning streak, most recently defeating Orlando 104-93. Los Angeles claimed a 107-98 victory in the first meeting between these teams on November 8th, a game heavily influenced by Sacramento's uncharacteristically poor shooting from beyond the arc, where they went just 3-for-26. It's unlikely the Kings will struggle to that extent again, giving them a strong opportunity to turn the tables in this rematch.

Sacramento's ability to push the tempo and create scoring chances in transition could be a decisive factor, as the Clippers have shown vulnerability in such situations. Additionally, the Kings’ depth should provide them with an edge over Los Angeles, which relies heavily on its stars.

Take Sacramento. Projected score: Sacramento 112, Los Angeles 106.

Western Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Utah plus the points over San Antonio at 8 pm ET on Thursday.

While Utah has struggled this season, it already showed it can compete with San Antonio, winning a close 111-110 contest here earlier this month. The Jazz have lost three straight to start their current road trip, but they’ve faced tougher opponents during that stretch. This matchup presents a more favorable opportunity to remain competitive. San Antonio, while coming off an impressive upset over Oklahoma City, continues to struggle offensively, ranking tied for 24th in the league in points per game.

The Spurs’ lack of pace (tied for 19th) and inconsistent scoring make them a vulnerable favorite in this spot. Without a reliable edge in offensive production, it could be difficult for San Antonio to pull away. Utah’s familiarity with this opponent, combined with the likely tighter tempo, sets the stage for a close game where the points hold value.

Take Utah. Projected score: San Antonio 109, Utah 108.

Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Charlotte and Brooklyn at 7:30 pm ET on Tuesday.

Charlotte has been involved in high-scoring games recently, but their offensive production remains among the league's worst, ranking 25th in points per game and 24th in offensive rating. The Hornets' struggles to generate consistent offense make it difficult to sustain the elevated scoring pace seen in their last two games. Meanwhile, Brooklyn has been playing at one of the slowest paces in the NBA, tied for 28th in pace, which naturally limits possessions and opportunities for high scores. The Nets are also coming off a game in which they failed to crack 110 points, highlighting their offensive inconsistencies.

Historically, matchups between these teams haven’t featured much offensive fireworks, with their most recent meeting last March totaling only 209 points. Given both teams' tendencies and their recent form, this game is more likely to follow a methodical pace and struggle to exceed the posted total.

Take the 'under.' Projected score: Brooklyn 108, Charlotte 103.

Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Indiana at 7:30 pm ET on Monday.

Toronto enters this matchup on a seven-game losing streak, including a hard-fought 126-123 overtime loss to Boston on Saturday. While the Raptors are struggling, they’ve shown the ability to remain competitive against tough opponents, especially at home. Their defense has been better than their record suggests, and they’ll likely prioritize stopping Indiana’s fast-paced attack to keep this game close. The Raptors should also benefit from Indiana playing the second game of a back-to-back, potentially facing fatigue.

Indiana improved to 6-7 with a 119-110 win over Miami yesterday but has been inconsistent on the road, where they are just 2-5 this season. While the Pacers have had offensive success, especially in transition, the scheduling spot could make it difficult for them to sustain their scoring output. Toronto’s home-court energy and defensive focus give the Raptors a strong chance to break their losing streak or at least keep this one within the number.

Take Toronto. Projected score: Indiana 116, Toronto 114.

Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Denver at 8 pm ET on Friday.

New Orleans enters this game on a six-game losing streak, both SU and ATS, but this matchup presents an opportunity for a turnaround. While the Pelicans struggled offensively in their 106-88 loss to Oklahoma City on Wednesday, they’ve shown flashes of being competitive earlier in the season. Denver has been winning games, but its defensive performance has been less than stellar of late, allowing at least 119 points in four straight contests. That defensive vulnerability could give the Pelicans a chance to keep this one close, particularly if their offense finds any rhythm.

Denver has been idle since Sunday, when it edged Dallas 122-120 at home. While the Nuggets have shown their usual offensive firepower, their inability to put teams away on the defensive end leaves the door open for New Orleans to hang around. With Denver being such a significant favorite, this line may slightly overestimate their edge against a desperate Pelicans squad.

Take New Orleans plus the points. Projected score: Denver 112, New Orleans 110.

Northwest Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Portland at 10:10 pm et on Wednesday.

In an interesting scheduling quirk, this will be the third meeting between the Timberwolves and Trail Blazers this season. They won't match up again until February. Both previous matchups have been relatively high-scoring, producing 'over' results. That includes last night's 122-108 stunner in favor of the Blazers. I'm anticipating a lower-scoring affair in tonight's rematch. Note that the T'Wolves still rank top-10 in the league in defensive rating this season, not to mention 18th in pace. Portland is an identical 28th in the NBA in both points per game and offensive rating this season. The Blazers actually got off just 84 field goal attempts in last night's 122-point outburst. They quite simply shot the lights out in that game including a blistering 18-for-32 from beyond the arc. I'm not expecting anything close to a repeat performance on Wednesday. Take the under. Projected score: Minnesota 107, Portland 102.

Non-Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Washington plus the points over San Antonio at 8 pm ET on Wednesday.

The Wizards enter this matchup with a disappointing 2-7 record and are coming off a 107-92 loss in Houston. The silver lining is that Kyle Kuzma returned from injury in that game, providing a much-needed boost to their rotation. Washington will look to Kuzma to help elevate a struggling offense and keep pace with San Antonio, especially given their success in the last meeting, when they managed a 118-113 win over the Spurs last January.

San Antonio, meanwhile, is coming off an impressive 116-96 blowout win over Sacramento, showing their ability to step up defensively when needed. However, the Spurs have been inconsistent, sitting at 5-6 on the season, and could be vulnerable in a spot where they're expected to cover a larger spread. Washington's experience and Kuzma’s return should help them remain competitive here. Take Washington plus the points. Projected score: San Antonio 111, Washington 108.

Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Golden State at 10 pm ET on Tuesday.

Dallas enters this matchup following a high-scoring 122-120 loss in Denver, but the Mavericks typically play a more controlled, slower-paced game, ranking 18th in the league in pace. Defensively, they sit at 13th in the NBA in defensive rating, which has helped them keep games competitive even when their offense stalls. Against a Warriors team known for an explosive offense, Dallas will likely try to set a more deliberate tempo to limit transition opportunities for Golden State.

Golden State, meanwhile, has shown a consistent defensive effort this season, ranking in the top five in defensive rating. Although they’re coming off a high-scoring win over Oklahoma City, the Warriors are well-suited to locking down opponents, especially when playing at home. Expect both teams to focus on defense and see fewer possessions in what should be a relatively low-scoring affair.

Take the under. Projected score: Warriors 112, Mavericks 105.

Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Sacramento and Phoenix at 8:10 pm ET on Sunday.

The Suns have been playing a methodical style of basketball this season, ranking 23rd in the NBA in pace. While they’ve been highly effective in their 8-1 start, much of their success has come from a balanced defensive approach and controlling the tempo, which lends itself to lower-scoring games. Both teams are also solid defensively, with Sacramento ranking in the top half of the league in defensive rating. Despite having an offense capable of putting up points, the Kings have shown the ability to grind out games with a more controlled pace against teams like Phoenix.

The most recent matchup between these two teams was a tightly contested 108-107 game last April, which produced a relatively low total given the offensive potential of both squads. With Phoenix likely to slow the game down and Sacramento also focusing on defensive execution, the pace of this game should be slower than many expect, especially considering both teams' recent tendencies. With the total for this game set lower, it's reasonable to expect another lower-scoring affair.

Take the 'under'.

Score prediction: Phoenix 113, Sacramento 108.

Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Washington plus the points over Memphis at 8:10 pm ET on Friday.

Washington, though coming off consecutive losses, has had time to rest and prepare for this matchup since their last game on Monday. The Wizards are just 2-4, but they’ve shown flashes of competitive play and could take advantage of a Memphis team that may be looking ahead to an upcoming road trip. This game also marks the beginning of a five-game road trip for Washington, so they should be focused and motivated to get off to a strong start. The added rest could help Washington’s key players bring fresh energy, allowing them to keep this one closer than expected.

Memphis, sitting at 5-4, is coming off an impressive 131-114 win over the Lakers on Wednesday. However, with their own three-game road trip starting in Portland on Sunday, the Grizzlies could be in a prime letdown spot, especially with potential adjustments being made in light of recent injuries. Memphis has been solid at home, but with the focus potentially shifting toward the upcoming road games, they might not bring their sharpest intensity here. Washington’s rest advantage and Memphis’s possible shift in focus provide the Wizards with a solid opportunity to cover the spread.

Take Washington. Prediction: Memphis 114, Washington 111.

Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Orlando and Cleveland at 7:10 pm et on Friday.

We got the result we wanted from the Cavaliers most recent game as they lit up the scoreboard in a high-scoring 134-110 home win over the Lakers on Wednesday. Cleveland currently ranks second in the NBA in points per game this season but I do think some regression is in order. With that being said, the Magic are going to be in tough without their best offensive player in Paolo Banchero as he's sidelined with a torn oblique. Note that the Magic have already been held to 41 made field goals or fewer in each of their first five games this season and things don't figure to get better with Banchero out of the lineup. There is reason to believe Orlando can tread water, however, as it is an excellent defensive team. It ranks top-five in defensive rating this season and has allowed just one of five opponents to connect on more than 41 field goals. Take the under (10*).

Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Oklahoma City at 7:10 pm et on Sunday.

The Thunder were involved in a relatively low-scoring game in Chicago last night (by today's NBA standards anyway). I expect a different story to unfold as they return home to host the Hawks on Sunday. The pace was absolutely there for a much higher-scoring contest last night as the Thunder got off a whopping 107 field goal attempts while the Bulls hoisted up 92. The problem was, neither team shot well from the field (Thunder - 42% and Bulls - 35%). The Hawks may not be on the same level of the Thunder but they do have the offense to push them on Sunday. Note that while Oklahoma City was on the floor last night, Atlanta has been idle since Friday. The Hawks are off to a 2-0 start, scoring 120 and 125 points in those two contests. Of note, Atlanta allowed the Nets and Hornets to get off 91 and 96 field goal attempts, respectively. If it hands out scoring opportunities like that again on Sunday, the Thunder figure to go off. Take the over (10*).

Pacific Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Los Angeles at 10:40 pm et on Saturday.

This spot sets up beautifully for the Kings, who were idle last night following Thursday's narrow two-point home loss to the Timberwolves. Minnesota was in a bounce-back spot in that situation and came through. I expect Sacramento to do the same on Saturday. The Lakers rallied for a big win over the Suns on their home floor last night. They're off to a 2-0 start but I expect their success to be short-lived. Perception isn't reality in this case and I think the wrong team is being favored. Take Sacramento (10*).

Southwest Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Houston minus the points over Memphis at 8:10 pm et on Friday.

The Rockets, who entered the season with plenty of optimism, were stunned in their home opener on Wednesday, falling at the hands of the Hornets. I'm confident we'll see them rebound on Friday as they host division-rival Memphis, which recorded a narrow victory in Utah in its first game of the campaign. I'm willing to chalk up the Rockets season-opening defeat as an anomaly given that it hoisted up a whopping 103 field goal attempts (compared to the Hornets' 85) but could only knock down 38 of them. Houston was also just 13-for-43 (30%) from beyond the arc in that defeat. We should see a slingshot effect for the Rockets offense here against a Grizzlies squad that allowed Utah to shoot 40-of-85 (47%) from the field on Wednesday. Not only that, Memphis sent Utah to the free throw line 45 times in that victory. Take Houston (10*).

Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and Sacramento at 10:10 pm et on Thursday.

The Timberwolves suffered a 110-103 defeat in their season-opener against the Lakers. It was an ugly offensive effort from a Minnesota team that should be able to light up the scoreboard this season. The T'Wolves shot 41% from the field including 32% from beyond the arc. For their part, the Lakers shot just 44% but Minnesota did allow them to get off a whopping 95 field goal attempts. Of note, Los Angeles connected on just 5-of-30 (17%) three-point attempts so the end result could have been far more lopsided. We'll call for Minnesota to bounce back offensively in its second game of the season on Thursday. The Kings figure to be a willing dance partner in what projects as an up-tempo affair. Sacramento is loaded offensively with Demar Derozan joining an already impressive group. The only question is whether there will be enough shots to go around but on this night, I'm anticipating a high-scoring affair. Take the over (10*).

Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Boston at 8:30 pm et on Monday.

I like the way this play sets up on Monday. The oddsmakers have been steadily dropping the total throughout this series and so far it hasn't done a thing to change the result as all four games have stayed 'under' the total. I believe they've made too much of an adjustment in advance of Game 5, however.

Note that the 'over' is a perfect 8-0 in Mavericks games with the total set between 200 and 209.5 points this season. I do think the Mavs figured a few things out in their Game 4 blowout victory at home as they finally pushed the pace and were rewarded with their highest scoring performance since Game 5 of the opening round against the Clippers.

I do think we'll see a big response from the Celtics offense after they were held to a putrid 29 made field goals in Game 4. Note that the 'over' is 13-4 with Boston seeking revenge for a road loss against an opponent this season. The 'over' is also 3-0 with the Celtics coming off five straight 'under' results over the last three seasons, as is the case here.

Remember, the two regular season matchups between these two teams produced 229 and 248 total points. I still think this matchup can produce a track meet (where both teams participate) but we're obviously running out of runway in this series. Tonight is the night. Take the over (10*).

Game of the Week. My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Boston at 8:30 pm et on Friday.

The Mavericks certainly aren't going to rally to win this series but I do think we'll see them at least save face by avoiding the sweep on Friday night in Dallas.

We'll back the trends here, noting that the Mavs are 15-3 ATS when coming off an upset loss this season and 12-3 ATS when coming off three straight losses over the last three seasons, including a 4-0 ATS mark in that situation this season.

The Celtics are 3-5 ATS when coming off nine straight wins over the last three seasons, as is the case here, and just 21-21 ATS as a road favorite this season. Also note that Boston is a long-term 3-5 ATS when leading a playoff series 3-0. Take Dallas (10*).

NBA Finals Game of the Year. My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Boston at 8 pm et on Sunday.

Everything I've seen from the Mavericks in practice over the last couple of days points to this being a loose, confident group despite the blowout result in the Celtics favor in Game 1.

We won with Boston in the series opener, but did note that this figures to be a long series (both literally and figuratively).

Game 1 ultimately turned on a ridiculous stretch that saw the Celtics go unconscious from the field late in the second quarter, outscoring the Mavs 15-2. Now it's Dallas' turn to make the necessary adjustments, especially after seeing how Kristaps Porzingis would fit back in the rotation after missing an extended period of time.

While they say a series doesn't really begin until a team wins a game on the road, the Mavs have to display a sense of urgency here as they're highly unlikely to win four of the next five games against a team as good as the Celtics should they fall behind 2-0 in this series.

There's no reason for Dallas to push the panic button. After all, it has gone 32-19 SU and 34-17 ATS on the road this season and found itself in similar bounce-back spots in Game 2 against the Clippers and Thunder, winning on both occasions (I realize the Celtics are a more formidable opponent).

The Mavs are 10-2 ATS when seeking revenge for consecutive double-digit losses against an opponent over the last three seasons, as is the case here, including a 4-1 ATS mark in that situation this season.

While Boston is a winning team from an ATS perspective this season, it checks in just 13-13 ATS when coming off a double-digit home victory. The C's have also gone 3-6 ATS when leading in a playoff series. Take Dallas (10*).

Eastern Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Boston at 8 pm et on Monday.

While the Pacers aren't going to rally to win this series, they can at least gain some respectability by avoiding the sweep at home on Monday night. Indiana has been right there in two of the three games in this series, ultimately dropping all three contests. The Celtics remain a long-term losing bet when leading a playoff series having gone 9-11 ATS in that situation over the last three seasons including a 3-5 ATS mark this season. Interestingly, the C's are also 2-5 ATS when coming off a road win by three points or less over the last three seasons including an 0-2 ATS record this season. Indiana is a long-term 19-13 ATS when facing elimination in a playoff series including 2-0 ATS this season. They're an incredible 13-2 ATS when coming off a home defeat this season including 4-0 ATS when that loss came by three points or less. Take Indiana (10*).

Western Conference Finals Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Dallas at 8 pm et on Sunday.

The pace wasn't necessarily there in either game but both Games 1 and 2 made their way 'over' the total. I'll call for a different result as the scene shifts to Dallas for Game 3 on Sunday. The Mavericks completely stifled the Timberwolves offense in the first two games of this series. Here, it will be Minnesota's turn to rise to the occasion defensively as this is for all intents and purposes a must-win game. We know the T'Wolves are capable of taking their show on the road as they held the Nuggets to 35 or fewer made field goals in three of four games in Denver last round. I'm just not certain they can break through offensively against a Mavs squad that has now held nine of their last 10 opponents to 42 or fewer made field goals. Take the under (10*).

Eastern Conference Finals Game of the Year. My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Boston at 8:30 pm et on Saturday.

Bettors are certainly spooked when it comes to backing the Pacers after they were drilled in Game 2 AND lost Tyrese Haliburton to what appears to be a hamstring injury (he's questionable to play on Saturday at the time of writing). We won't shy away from backing Indiana here, however, as it knows this series is over if it can't muster a victory on its home floor on Saturday. The Celtics have looked like a team on a mission through the first two games of this series and remain favorites to win the NBA title, rightfully so. We also know that they're prone to letdowns in certain situations and this will mark the first time in these playoffs they enter Game 3 sporting a 2-0 series lead. We don't need the Pacers to win this game outright, only to keep things competitive, just as they did in the opener in Beantown. I like Indiana to at the very least take Boston down to the wire on Saturday, regardless whether Haliburton is able to go. Take Indiana (10*).

Eastern Conference Finals Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Indiana and Boston at 8 pm et on Thursday.

The Pacers have shot the lights out in three straight games, perhaps fuelled by adrenaline playing on just one day of rest following a seven-game series win over the Knicks in Game 1 of this series on Tuesday. I think we'll see Indiana's offensive surge grind to a halt here but with that being said, I also don't envision the Celtics pushing the pace as much as they did in Tuesday's series-opener. Note that the 'over' has now cashed in three straight meetings between these two teams. The 'over' hasn't come through in four straight matchups since 1999! The 'under' is 4-3 in the Pacers seven games when coming off three straight ATS victories this season. The 'under' is also 5-4 with the Celtics coming off three consecutive ATS defeats this season. Take the under (10*).

Northwest Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Denver at 10:30 pm et on Tuesday.

We've stayed on the sidelines from a totals perspective in this series so far, watching as most have gotten it wrong with the 'under' cashing in Games 1 and 2 in Denver and the 'over' coming through in Games 3 and 4 in Minnesota. I expect that trend to continue as the scene shifts back to Denver for a pivotal Game 5 matchup on Tuesday. Note that the 'under' is 18-8 with the Timberwolves seeking revenge for a loss in which their opponent scored 110 points or more this season, as is the case here. The 'under' is also a long-term 24-20 with Minnesota coming off an upset loss including a 9-7 mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 30-22 in the Nuggets last 52 contests as a home favorite of six points or less including a 10-5 record this season. When coming off consecutive road wins, Denver has seen the 'under' go 7-0 this season. Take the under (10*).

Eastern Conference Second Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and New York at 8 pm et on Tuesday.

This series has been a bit backwards as far as what most might have expected totals-wise. The two games played in New York sailed 'over' the total while the two contests in Indiana stayed 'under' the number. Here, I think we're seeing an over-adjustment to the total following those consecutive low-scoring affairs. The Pacers continue to push the tempo having gotten off 88 or more field goal attempts in all four games in this series. Meanwhile, the Knicks are quite simply coming off one of their worst offensive showings of the season, knocking down just 30-of-89 field goal attempts in a blowout loss in Game 4. Note that the 'over' is 84-69 in the Pacers last 153 games as an underdog including a 24-18 mark this season. The 'over' is also 20-14 in Indiana's last 34 games with the total set in the 210's, as is the case here, including a 4-2 record this season. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 11-4 with the Knicks playing at home with the total set in the 210's this season. They haven't seen three straight games stay 'under' the total since a five-game streak from March 8th to 16th. Take the over (10*).

Second Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Oklahoma City and Dallas at 3:30 pm et on Saturday.

This play sets up nicely after Game 2 of this series sailed 'over' the total with 229 points scored. Note that the Thunder have yet to post consecutive 'over' results in these playoffs (they last did so during a three-game streak from April 4th to 7th) while the Mavericks have posted a 4-4 o/u mark in the postseason. Both teams are in terrific defensive form with Oklahoma City having held 10 straight opponents to 42 or fewer made field goals and Dallas having limited eight straight and 22 of its last 26 foes to 43 or fewer made field goals. The 'under' is 24-16 in Oklahoma City's last 40 games as a road underdog of six points or less including an 8-3 record in that situation this season. Additionally, the 'under' is 35-27 over the last three seasons with the Thunder seeking revenge for a home loss against an opponent including a 7-4 mark this season. The Mavs have seen the 'under' go 54-46 as a home favorite over the last three seasons including a 19-13 record this season. Finally, the 'under' is 24-13 in Dallas' last 37 games following an upset win including an 11-1 mark in that spot this season. Take the under (10*).

Eastern Conference Second Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over New York at 7 pm et on Friday.

The Pacers return home facing an 2-0 series deficit and while they'll be hard-pressed to win four of the next five games and take this series, I do expect them to at least make things interesting back at home as they check in as considerable favorites in Game 3 on Friday. Note that Indiana is 29-11 ATS when coming off an ATS loss this season and 8-3 ATS when following consecutive SU defeats. Meanwhile, the Knicks are 0-3 ATS after scoring 130 points or more in their previous game this season not to mention 22-25 ATS when coming off an ATS victory and 10-11 ATS when checking in off three straight wins. New York has quite simply shot the lights out in the first two games in this series. It's not as if they've been playing with a large margin for error having gotten off 82 and 86 field goal attempts compared to the Pacers' 88 and 93 through the first two games in this series. This is a matchup where the pointspread hasn't factored in much with the SU winner going 17-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings. With that in mind, we'll lay the points with the Pacers. Take Indiana (10*).

Non-Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Oklahoma City at 9:30 pm et on Thursday.

The Thunder have now won four straight home meetings against the Mavericks with the closest margin of victory being seven points after drilling Dallas by a 117-95 score in Game 1 of this series. Note that Oklahoma City has now won three straight games against Dallas going back to the regular season. Keep in mind, the Thunder haven't defeated in the Mavs in four straight matchups since back in 2016-17. Dallas checks in 44-39 ATS in its last 83 games when seeking revenge for a loss in which its opponent scored 110 points or more including a 23-14 ATS mark in that situation this season. The Mavs are also 9-2 ATS when seeking revenge for consecutive double-digit losses against an opponent over the last three seasons including a 3-1 ATS record this season. The Thunder have now reeled off four straight ATS wins - matching their longest such winning streak since February. The last time they posted four consecutive ATS victories they went on to win their next game by only two points (as 8.5-point favorites) in Game 1 against the Pelicans last round. Take Dallas (10*).

Second Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Denver minus the points over Minnesota at 10 pm et on Monday.

The Timberwolves have reeled off five straight wins both SU and ATS but I look for those streaks to end here. Note that Minnesota is a long-term 18-33 ATS in its last 51 games following five consecutive ATS victories including a 3-7 ATS mark in that spot over the last three seasons and a 1-2 ATS record this season. The Nuggets have thrived when seeking revenge for a home loss against an opponent going 22-13 ATS in that situation over the last three seasons and 6-2 ATS this season. Additionally, Denver is a long-term 25-16 ATS when coming off an upset loss at home against a divisional opponent, as is the case here, including a 6-0 ATS mark in that spot over the last three seasons and 3-0 ATS this season. I certainly don't expect the defending champion Nuggets to go down 2-0 in this series and it's worth noting that the T'Wolves have failed to cover the spread in 14 of their last 15 straight-up losses. Take Denver (10*).

Game of the Week. My selection is on Cleveland minus the points over Orlando at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Magic rallied for a win (and cover) in Game 6 of this series on Friday. That's par for the course as the home team has won each and every game in this series so far. I look for that trend to continue in Game 7 on Sunday afternoon in Cleveland. Note that the Cavaliers are 58-51 ATS when seeking revenge for a loss in which their opponent scored 100 points or more over the last three seasons including an 18-14 ATS mark in that situation this season. They're 54-50 ATS when coming off a loss over the last three seasons including a 20-14 ATS record this season. The Magic have had a double-digit advantage in terms of free throw attempts in each of the last two games and that's ultimately proved to be the difference from a pointspread perspective. As is often the case, I expect the script to flip as the scene shifts to Cleveland for Game 7 on Sunday. Take Cleveland (10*).

Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Philadelphia at 9 pm et on Thursday.

This series has tightened up considerably in the last two games with just 189 and 194 points scored in regulation time (Game 5 went 'over' the total thanks to overtime). That's about what we would expect from two familiar, physical teams. Note that the 'under' is 18-13 in the Knicks last 31 games following an upset loss at home including a 5-1 mark in that situation this season. The 'under' is also 62-54 with New York seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent over the last three seasons including a 21-15 record this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 8-4 with the 76ers playing at home with the total set between 200 and 209.5 points over the last three seasons, which is the case here at the time of writing, including a 3-2 mark in that spot this season. Take the under (10*).

Eastern Conference First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Boston and Miami at 6 pm et on Saturday.

Game 2 of this series found its way 'over' the total as the Heat staged a massive double-digit upset win. I look for a much different story to unfold as the scene shifts to Miami on Saturday. The pace certainly wouldn't lead you to believe we would have seen an 'over' result in Game 2. Miami made the most of its 75 field goal attempts while holding Boston to just 80. Keep in mind, Game 1 was played at a slow pace as well with the Celtics hoisting up 82 and the Heat 81. Note that the 'under' is 36-29 in Boston's last 65 games following an upset loss including a 9-7 mark in that situation this season. The 'under' is 17-11 in Miami's last 28 games as a home underdog including a 6-4 record this season. Take the under (10*).

First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Dallas at 8 pm et on Friday.

The first two games in this series both stayed 'under' the total. In fact, neither contest came close to toppling the total and as a result we're working with a much lower number in Game 3 on Friday. I see a catalyst for change at work here as the scene shifts to Dallas. I certainly don't expect either team to shoot as poorly as they did in Games 1 and 2. Note that the 'over' is 26-23 in the Clippers last 49 games after giving up 100 points or less in their previous contest including an 8-6 mark in that situation this season. The 'over' is also 25-21 with the Clips coming off a game where they scored 100 points or less including a 5-3 record this season. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 45-37 in the Mavericks last 82 contests as a favorite of between 3.5 and 9.5 points including a 17-13 mark in that situation this season. The two regular season meetings between these two teams here in Dallas totalled 270 and 231 points. Take the over (10*).

Eastern Conference First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over New York at 7:30 pm et on Thursday.

The Knicks held serve at home, winning each of the first two games in this series to head to Philadelphia ahead 2-0. I still think the potential is there for this to be a long series and look for the 76ers to bounce back in Game 3. With that being said, it's worth noting that the Knicks have gone 1-17 ATS in their 18 road losses this season. New York is a long-term 39-54 ATS when coming off a home win by three points or less including a 3-6 ATS mark in that situation over the last three seasons and 1-2 ATS this season. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is 62-49 ATS in its last 111 contests as a home favorite including a 21-12 ATS record this season. The 76ers are also 31-23 ATS in their last 54 games following a road loss including a 13-6 ATS mark this season. Take Philadelphia (10*).

Western Conference First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Los Angeles at 10 pm et on Tuesday.

One record-setting poor shooting quarter effectively sunk the Mavericks in the opener of this series on Sunday. Dallas didn't get off to the start it had hoped for in that contest but still had hope after trailing by 12 points following the first quarter. From there it was a 22-8 second frame in favor of the Clippers and that was essentially that for Game 1. With that being said, the Mavs did show some fight, ultimately making the final score respectable thanks to a hot shooting second half. I do think we'll see them carry over some of the positive momentum from that strong second half in Game 2 on Tuesday. As indicated by the line, the Mavs are still the superior team in this matchup and check in 29-18 ATS in their last 47 games as a road favorite of six points or less including a 15-4 ATS mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the Clips are just 12-16 ATS in their last 28 contests as a home underdog including a 2-4 ATS record this season. Take Dallas (10*).

Play-in Tournament Game of the Year. My selection is on New Orleans over Los Angeles at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday.

While the Pelicans were there in body they certainly weren't in spirit in Sunday's regular season ending 124-108 loss to these same Lakers. I expect a different story to unfold in Tuesday's 7 vs. 8 play-in tournament matchup. Neither team's back is against the wall, so to speak, in this contest as the one that loses will live to fight another day, against the winner of the 9 vs. 10 matchup between the Warriors and Kings. The Pelicans have enjoyed a terrific season and prior to Sunday's loss to the Lakers, had reeled off four straight wins - all coming on the road. I certainly anticipate them bouncing back here, noting they've gone 20-11 ATS in their last 31 games when seeking revenge for a double-digit home loss against an opponent, as is the case here, including a 9-3 ATS mark in that situation this season. The Lakers are 21-39 ATS in their last 60 contests following consecutive wins including a 9-15 ATS mark in that spot this season. Take New Orleans (10*).

Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Orlando at 1:10 pm et on Sunday.

The Magic have been trending in the wrong direction defensively, allowing three straight and four of their last five opponents to connect on at least 42 field goals. They've also been playing faster down the stretch, hoisting up 90 or more field goal attempts in three of their last five contests. The Bucks can seemingly bait any opponent into an up-tempo affair, noting that they've allowed 89 or more field goal attempts in 10 of their last 12 games. Even without Giannis in the lineup, they've been clicking offensively, making good on 41 or more field goals in six of their last eight contests. The 'over' is 32-21 in the Bucks last 53 games following a road loss including a 10-8 mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 49-39 in Orlando's last 88 contests when seeking revenge for a double-digit loss against an opponent, as is the case here, including a 13-7 mark this season. Take the over (10*).

Northwest Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Denver at 10:10 pm et on Wednesday.

As is the case with many teams on Wednesday, both the Timberwolves and Nuggets are in a back-to-back spot here. I think this sets up as a relatively low-scoring affair between these Northwest Division rivals. Note that the Timberwolves have been the picture of consistency from a defensive standpoint this season. They're not getting run out of the gym by many opponents having held an incredible 17 straight opponents to 44 or fewer made field goals. Over that stretch, only two opponents made good on more than 42. It's a similar story for the Nuggets but with even more dominance. They've limited seven of their last eight foes to fewer than 40 made field goals. You would have to go back 15 games to find the last time they allowed an opponent to connect on more than 42. The 'under' is 13-10 in Minnesota's last 23 games after scoring 130 points or more in their previous contest, as is the case here, including a 1-0 mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 29-21 in the Nuggets last 15 contests as a home favorite of six points or less including a 9-4 record in that spot this season. Take the under (10*).

Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Phoenix at 10:10 pm et on Tuesday.

The 'under' has cashed in each of the Suns last three games and I look for a similar story to unfold on Tuesday. Phoenix has held six straight opponents to fewer than 90 field goal attempts and three in a row to 40 or fewer made field goals. On the flip side, you would have to go back eight games to find the last time the Suns connected on more than 44 field goals. Meanwhile, the Clippers have been limited to 43 or fewer made field goals in six of their last seven games. They've held four straight and six of their last seven foes to 43 or fewer made field goals. Note that the 'under' is 60-45 in the Clippers last 105 games with the total set in the 220's including a 19-12 mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 61-57 in the Suns last 118 contests as a home favorite including an 18-16 record this season. Take the under (10*).

Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Phoenix at 6:10 pm et on Sunday.

New Orleans is reeling right now having lost four straight games both SU and ATS. I look for the Pelicans to give the Suns all they can handle on Sunday, however. Note that New Orleans is trending in the right direction offensively having knocked down 42 or more field goals in two of its last three games. It has also held five straight and 10 of its last 12 opponents to 43 or fewer made field goals. The Suns while coming off three straight victories both SU and ATS have been held to 44 or fewer made field goals in six straight games. It's not as if they're blowing the doors off the opposition. Note that the Pelicans are 19-11 ATS in their last 30 games when seeking revenge for a double-digit home loss against an opponent, as is the case here, including an 8-3 ATS record in that situation this season. The Suns are 18-34 ATS in their last 52 contests following a double-digit home win including a 4-8 ATS mark in that spot this season. Take New Orleans (10*).