My selection is on Phoenix plus the points over Las Vegas at 8 pm et on Friday.

The common line of thinking here is that the Mercury are finished and while that may very well be the case from a series perspective, I do think they'll have a good chance of extending proceedings for at least one more game. With that being said, the line has flipped from Game 3, with the Mercury shifting from a favored to an underdog role. I think it's the wrong move. Save for perhaps Game 2, Phoenix has been right there in this series and I don't expect it to simply roll over and watch the Aces celebrate a WNBA championship on its home court. Look for the Mercury to hang tough and possibly win this game outright. Take Phoenix.

Finals Game of the Year. My selection is on Phoenix minus the points over Las Vegas at 8 pm et on Wednesday.

The Aces dominated the first two games of this WNBA Finals series on their home floor, capped by a double-digit blowout win on Sunday. While Las Vegas has looked nearly flawless to this point, I expect a strong response from the Mercury as the series shifts to Phoenix. With a couple of days to regroup and make adjustments, the Mercury are in a good position to build some positive momentum at home.

Phoenix showed it can compete with Las Vegas in the opener, falling by just three points, and the familiarity of its home court should allow it to establish rhythm early. The Mercury have too much pride — and too much offensive talent — to go quietly in this spot. This is a virtual must-win in the first-ever best-of-seven Finals format, and I look for Phoenix to deliver its best effort of the postseason.

While Las Vegas has been in dominant form, sustaining that level of play on the road is never easy, especially against a Phoenix team that feeds off the energy of its home crowd. Expect the Mercury to tighten things up defensively, control tempo, and use their experience to take advantage of a letdown opportunity for the Aces.

Take Phoenix minus the points.

My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Las Vegas at 3 pm et on Sunday.

The Fever find themselves in an elimination spot but I don’t think that means we’ll see them roll over. Game 3 was closer than the final margin suggested, with Indiana hanging around for three quarters before going ice-cold from the field. Shooting just 26-for-73 is unlikely to repeat itself, and with a bit more efficiency, the Fever should be able to keep this one competitive into the closing minutes.

From a betting standpoint, we’re also getting an even better number after Indiana dropped back-to-back SU and ATS results. History suggests that’s not a trend likely to extend much further – in fact, Indiana hasn’t lost three straight games against the spread since mid-July. That resilience should come into play here.

Las Vegas, meanwhile, hasn’t been the same dominant force away from home. The Aces are just 12-12 ATS on the road this season, and their scoring margin in those games is almost negligible at +0.3 points per contest. That makes them a much less reliable favorite in this spot, particularly against a desperate opponent.

Take Indiana plus the points.

My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Las Vegas at 7:30 pm et on Friday.

The Fever were humbled in Game 2, but that shouldn’t overshadow the fact that they’ve already proven they can go toe-to-toe with the favored Aces. Indiana’s Game 1 win in Las Vegas wasn’t a fluke—it was a reflection of the fight this team has shown all season, particularly at home where they’ve been a strong bet both straight-up and against the number.

Las Vegas leaned heavily on A’ja Wilson’s dominance in Game 2, and while she’s a matchup problem for anyone, Indiana has had time to regroup and adjust defensively. The Fever should also benefit from their supporting cast shooting better back on their home floor, where they’ve been far more comfortable.

The Aces have been beatable away from home, and Indiana has made a habit of playing close in front of its fans. With the series shifting and the Fever desperate to bounce back, this has the look of a tightly contested affair.

Take Indiana plus the points.

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Indiana at 9:30 pm et on Tuesday.

The Fever staged an ‘upset’ win in Game 1 of this series on Sunday. That came on the heels of Indiana’s improbable first round ‘upset’ victory in the closing seconds to advance to this round. Still missing a number of key contributors, I expect the Fever to fall short in Game 2 on Tuesday. The Aces saved their best basketball for the stretch run and I’m confident in their ability to bounce back on Tuesday at home. While this may look like a steep number at first glance, the SU winner has enjoyed mostly success from an ATS perspective as well in these playoffs. We’ll lay the points with confidence. Take Las Vegas (10*).

My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Indiana at 7:30 pm et on Thursday.

We'll lay the points with the Dream as they look to bounce back following an 'upset' loss in Game 2 of this series. It's worth noting that the straight-up winner has gone an incredible 41-3-1 against the spread in Atlanta's 45 games so far this season. We fully expect the Dream to prevail in this third-and-deciding game at home so we'll lay the points as the short-handed Fever run out of gas at the end of a long season. Take Atlanta (8*).

My selection is on Golden State plus the points over Minnesota at 10 pm et on Wednesday.

While Game 1 didn't go their way, it has certainly been a successful inaugural season for the expansion Valkyries. We'll grab all the points we can get as Golden State returns home for Game 2 on Wednesday. The Lynx quite simply shot the lights out in the opener of this series. They've now won back-to-back games both SU and ATS and that's worth noting as they haven't won more than two games in a row since a six-game streak in late July-early August and haven't reeled off three straight ATS victories since mid-July. The Valkyries have lost four games in a row, matching their longest losing skid of the season. The only other time they dropped four in a row they followed it up with an outright upset win as a double-digit home underdog against Las Vegas on June 7th. Take Golden State (8*).

First Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Phoenix plus the points over New York at 8 pm et on Wednesday.

The Mercury picked a bad time to turn in one of their worst shooting performances of the season in Game 1 of this series, connecting on just 25-of-77 field goal attempts in a 76-69 overtime loss at home. That marks four straight losses for Phoenix. In fact, it has dropped the cash in six straight contests. All is not lost, however, as the Mercury can extend this series with a win on Wednesday. I like their chances. Note that New York didn't shoot particularly well in Game 1 and that's been an ongoing theme. The Liberty have connected on fewer than 30 field goals in regulation time in eight of their last nine games. They haven't held consecutive opponents to fewer than 30 made field goals since August. While they do ride a four-game winning streak into this contest, they haven't won consecutive games ATS since July. Take Phoenix (10*).

My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Atlanta at 7 pm et on Wednesday.

This is a really difficult spot for the Dream to get up for as they've already defeated the Sun by 17 and 25-point margins in the last couple of weeks including a rout at home two nights ago. Atlanta has shifted its attention to the postseason at this point as it has wrapped up top spot in the Eastern Conference thanks to a late 6-1 surge. In fact, the Dream enter this game riding a four-game SU and ATS winning streak. Connecticut will finish in either second-last or tied for last place in the Eastern Conference but will play for pride here. The Sun are 1-4 ATS over their last five games but did 'upset' Phoenix as double-digit underdogs in their most recent home game on September 6th. Look for a spirited performance from Connecticut in its home finale on Wednesday. Take Connecticut (8*).

Eastern Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Washington plus the points over New York at 7 pm et on Tuesday.

I'm having a difficult time making much sense of this line. Yes, the Mystics have lost nine straight games, going 3-6 ATS over that stretch including a 26-point rout at the hands of these same Liberty in New York on August 28th. But the Liberty have been one of the league's worst bets for an extended period. They're just 2-5 ATS over their last seven contests. They did stage an 'upset' win on the road against Seattle last time out. However, the Liberty have connected on fewer than 30 field goals in six straight games. In fact, they've gotten off 58 or fewer field goal attempts in all six of those games as well. That's not a recipe for success when laying this many points, regardless the level of opposition they're facing. The Mystics are 2-1 ATS over their last three games including a narrow three-point loss on the road against the Sparks. We'll grab all the points we can get. Take Washington (10*).

My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Atlanta at 1 pm et on Monday.

Both of these teams had long ATS winning streaks snapped in their most recent game. In the case of Connecticut, it was drilled 94-70 at home against Minnesota. It will look to salvage the finale of this brief two-game homestand against Atlanta on Monday. The Dream dropped an 81-75 decision at home against the red hot Aces last time out. Atlanta has been one of the best best in the WNBA for the last month but I see this as a flat spot in an early start game on the road against a non-conference opponent. Of note, the Sun haven't lost consecutive games since a five-game slide from August 3rd to 11th. Take Connecticut (8*).

My selection is on Washington plus the points over New York at 7 pm et on Thursday.

The Liberty have taken both previous meetings in this series this season but those matchups were played in May and June, when New York was a far more dominant team. Here, the Liberty check in riding a three-game ATS losing streak and a woeful 3-11 ATS over their last 14 games. Washington has lost four games in a row but nearly snapped its skid in a narrow 84-82 ATS cover against Seattle last time out. The Liberty are laying a lot of points in this spot considering you would have to go back five games to find the last time they connected on more than 30 field goals and four games for the last time they limited an opponent to fewer than 30 field goals. They'll certainly have one eye on a difficult three-game western road trip that starts on Saturday in Phoenix. For Washington, it desperately needs to regain its footing as this is the start of its own three-game road trip where a losing streak can snowball in a hurry. We'll grab the generous helping of points and call for a competitive affair between these Eastern Conference foes. Take Washington (8*).

My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Connecticut at 8 pm et on Wednesday.

The Sun have thrived despite a tough schedule lately, playing every other day since August 17th and going 3-2 SU and 4-0-1 ATS over that stretch. I think it catches up with them here as they wrap up their three-game road trip in Dallas on Wednesday. The Wings have lost five games in a row including back-to-back contests ATS. Despite it being a down year for Dallas, its longest ATS losing streak has lasted only three games and that hasn't occurred since July 7th to 13th. This is a bit of a difficult matchup for the oddsmakers to get a handle on as the two teams haven't met since the middle of June. Note that the Wings have taken both previous meetings this season despite both of those contests being played in Connecticut. Take Dallas (8*).

My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Phoenix at 10 pm et on Tuesday.

This projects as a high-scoring affair with the total set in the 170's. I think that suits the Sparks better than the Mercury and we're catching a generous number of points with the home underdogs. Los Angeles has been idle for the last five days following a closer-than-expected 81-80 win over Dallas. The Sparks have now dropped the cash in four straight games, matching their longest ATS losing streak this season. Phoenix has had the last three days off following a win-and-cover at home against the offensively-challenged Valkyries. Note that the Mercury have connected on just 22 and 28 field goals in their last two games including an 83-61 blowout loss in their most recent road tilt against Las Vegas. Noting that the SU winner has also covered the spread in every Mercury game going all the way back to June 19th, a sprinkle on the Sparks moneyline could be considered here as well. Take Los Angeles (8*).

My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Las Vegas at 8 pm et on Monday.

This situation sets up nicely for the Sky catching a generous helping of points against the red hot Aces on Monday. Las Vegas has reeled off 10 straight wins including two in a row ATS. I do think some regression is in order for the Aces offense here, however, as they come off a game that saw them connect on 34 field goals and shoot better than 52% from the field on Saturday in Washington. The Sky are actually playing exceptionally well offensively right now, coming off three straight games in which they knocked down 30+ field goals. Not surprisingly, they went 2-1 ATS over that stretch but do check in off an 'upset' loss by double-digits at home against the Sun on Saturday. Keep in mind, they're just one game removed from stunning the Liberty outright as 14/15-point underdogs on the road. Take Chicago (8*).

My selection is on Washington plus the points over Las Vegas at 3 pm et on Saturday.

The Aces are the hottest team in the WNBA right now, riding a nine-game winning streak entering Saturday's matchup in Washington. I see this as a bit of a tough spot for Las Vegas, however, as it is just one day removed from an 83-61 blowout win at home against Phoenix and now travels across the country to face a Mystics squad that figures to be in a foul mood off consecutive 'upset' defeats against Connecticut. Washington had been playing well prior to that home-and-home against the Sun, having gone 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS over its previous five games. It has been putrid offensively over the last two contests but I'm confident we'll see a strong bounce-back performance at that end of the floor back home on Saturday. The early start doesn't figure to help the Aces cause laying this many points on the road in what has been a very competitive matchup this season with the first three meetings being decided by a grand total of 14 points (Washington won two of those three games). Take Washington (8*).

My selection is on Chicago plus the points over New York at 7 pm et on Thursday.

We won with the Liberty in their double-digit victory over the Lynx two nights ago. I won't hesitate to go the other way and fade New York as it hosts lowly Chicago on Thursday, however. The Sky have lost five straight and 13 of their last 14 games. We're not asking them to win outright on Thursday, though. Chicago did manage to cover the spread in a narrow 94-88 loss against Seattle two nights ago. I think that performance, particularly at the offensive end of the floor can give it some confidence entering this double-revenge spot against New York. Note that the first two meetings in this series this season were lopsided in favor of the Liberty. They came early in the season when New York was playing much better. The Liberty have gone just 5-7 SU and 3-8-1 ATS over their last 12 contests. They haven't posted consecutive ATS victories since a five-game streak from July 8th to 25th. Take Chicago (8*).

My selection is on Golden State plus the points over Phoenix at 10 pm et on Tuesday.

The Valkyries got stomped 79-63 at home against Atlanta two nights ago, snapping their four-game SU and five-game ATS winning streaks. I like their chances of bouncing back off that poor performance (they shot a miserable 21-for-60 in that loss) as they host Phoenix on Tuesday. The Mercury are coming off an 85-82 'upset' win in Seattle on Sunday, snapping their two-game SU and ATS slide. Note that while Phoenix's offense has held up well, it has allowed back-to-back opponents to knock down 30 or more field goals. I'm not convinced the Mercury's offensive success is sustainable as it plays its second road game in three nights against one of the league's best defensive teams. The Valkyries have been incredibly stingy at their own end of the floor, allowing 28 or fewer made field goals in two straight and eight of their last 10 games overall. Take Golden State (8*).

Non-Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on New York minus the points over Minnesota at 7 pm et on Tuesday.

The Lynx are red hot, riding a six-game SU and two-game ATS winning streak including an 86-80 win-and-cover against the Liberty at home on Saturday. We'll call for New York to get its revenge on Tuesday, however, as it returns home looking to snap its two-game skid. The Liberty got off to a terrific start this season but things have gone sour to be sure. I do think Saturday's game could have gone either way - the Liberty actually shot a respectable 32-for-71 from the field. Note that New York has now held six of its last eight opponents to fewer than 30 made field goals. Minnesota on the other hand has allowed three of its last four foes to knock down 30 or more field goals. Take New York (10*).

My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Connecticut at 1 pm et on Sunday.

We'll lay the points with the Fever as they look to bounce back following consecutive losses both SU and ATS. Indiana was favored heavily in both of those recent setbacks, at home no less. I do think the Fever are well-positioned to rebound here, however, given their current form offensively. The Sun remain one of the league's most offensively-challenged squads and I think they're in danger of getting overwhelmed by a Fever offense that has connected on 32 or more field goals in seven of their last nine games. The Sun do come off a win and cover but that was against the reeling Sky. Prior to that they had lost five games in a row going 2-3 ATS over that stretch. Take Indiana (8*).

My selection is on Phoenix minus the points over Las Vegas at 10 pm et on Friday.

The Aces are in a clear letdown spot on Friday as they check in off an win and cover at home against the Liberty on Wednesday. Las Vegas has now won five games in a row SU but interestingly hasn't covered the spread in consecutive games since July 27th and 29th. In fact, the Aces have only covered the spread in back-to-back games on three previous occasions this season - two games marks their longest ATS winning streak of the campaign. Phoenix had its three-game SU and ATS winning streak snapped in an 'upset' loss at home against Atlanta last time out. The Mercury have had four full days off to chew on that defeat and I expect them to bounce back on Friday. Take Phoenix (8*).

My selection is on Seattle plus the points over Atlanta at 10 pm et on Friday.

The Dream added to the Storm's misery two nights ago, rolling to an 85-75 win to hand Seattle its sixth straight defeat both SU and ATS. Atlanta is at the opposite end of the spectrum right now, riding a six-game winning streak including five straight ATS victories. I do think the Storm will show some fight on Friday as the scene shifts north to Vancouver for this contest on Canadian soil. Atlanta used a blistering shooting performance to secure the 'upset' victory two nights ago but now finds itself in a favored role. While the Dream have enjoyed plenty of success lately, most of it has come in underdog fashion. They're actually just 1-2 ATS in their last three games when laying points. Look for the Storm to take this one down to the wire at the very least. Take Seattle (8*).

Non-Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Seattle plus the points over Atlanta at 10 pm et on Wednesday.

The Storm inexplicably limp into this game having lost five straight contests both SU and ATS. I expect their slide to finally come to an end on Wednesday as they host the streaking Dream. Atlanta has won five games in a row including each of its last four ATS. I see this as a tough spot, however, as it looks to wrap up a perfect 3-0 road trip and comes off an 'upset' win in Phoenix last time out. The Dream have had two full days off since that most recent contest - in fact, they've played just once in the last five days and I think that could leave them a little flat-footed here. While Seattle has been struggling, each of its last five games could have gone either way with the margin of victory in all four contests four points or less. These two teams have split a pair of meetings this season with each team winning on its opponent's floor. This is certainly a key spot for the Storm as they'll head back on the road for a quick rematch with Atlanta on Friday. Seattle will actually play six of its next seven games on the road after tonight's contest. This isn't a must-win but it's close. Take Seattle (10*).

My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Indiana at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday.

The Wings enter this game riding a five-game losing streak and have dropped the cash in back-to-back games. They lost by 10 points as a home underdog against the Fever back on August 1st but I like their chances of keeping this one more competitive as the scene shifts to Indiana for Tuesday's rematch. Dallas shot a miserable 23-for-63 from the field in a 13-point 'upset' loss at home against Washington last time out. I like the fact that it gets a chance to get right back out there two nights later and catches Indiana off a terrific performance on Saturday, rolling to a 92-70 win over reeling Chicago. The Fever were the ones looking to bounce back in that contest as they were coming off an ugly 95-60 loss in Phoenix two nights earlier. This time around, I can't help but feel the Fever are in for a letdown playing at home against a team they just handled on the road earlier this month. Of note, despite their recent struggles overall, the Wings have managed to cover the spread in two of their last three road games. Take Dallas (8*).

My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Las Vegas at 9 pm et on Sunday.

The Sun will look to snap their three-game slide as they continue their four-game road trip in Las Vegas on Sunday. Connecticut did play better in its most recent game but still fell just short of the ATS cover in an 11-point loss in Los Angeles. Note that while the Sun have dropped the cash in back-to-back games, prolonged ATS losing streaks haven't been commonplace for them this season. In fact, they've yet to lose three games in a row ATS. Las Vegas is riding a season-high three-game winning streak, going 2-1 ATS over that stretch. The Aces remain vulnerable to cold streaks offensively. Note that they've been held to 27 or fewer made field goals in two of their last four games. They've also allowed 32 or more made field goals in two of their last four contests, potentially opening the door for the Sun to stick around in this one. Take Connecticut (8*).

My selection is on Golden State plus the points over Los Angeles at 8:30 pm et on Saturday.

The Sparks have reeled off three straight wins both SU and ATS but they're not playing with a great margin for error as they've displayed matador-like defense, allowing five straight opponents to connect on 33 or more field goals. The Valkyries on the other hand have lost consecutive games but have limited an incredible seven of their last nine opponents to 27 made field goals or less. Yes, Golden State's offense has sputtered but I do think it will be afforded a terrific bounce-back opportunity against the sieve-like Sparks on Saturday. Note that since losing its inaugural game in blowout fashion against Los Angeles, Golden State has taken the last two meetings in this series. Take Golden State (8*).

My selection is on Seattle plus the points over Las Vegas at 10 pm et on Friday.

I think we're getting the better team in an underdog role in this matchup on Friday night in Las Vegas. Seattle has struggled lately, dropping three straight games both SU and ATS, all at home no less. I think we see the Storm offense overwhelm the Aces on Friday, however. Seattle, while struggling to pick up wins, continues to thrive offensively having connected on 42, 40, 30 and 34 field goals over its last four games. Las Vegas has topped 27 made field goals just once in its last three games. The Aces do come off consecutive wins but have been anything but consistent this season, managing a three-game winning streak only once previously. Take Seattle (8*).

My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Phoenix at 10 pm et on Thursday.

Phoenix checks into this game off back-to-back wins and covers and will look to avenge a 107-101 loss suffered in Indiana on July 30th. I like the Fever's chances of at least taking this one down to the wire, however. Indiana has connected on 32 or more field goals in five straight games. While its defensive play has left a lot to be desired, the fact is the Sparks quite simply shot the lights out against it two nights ago. Phoenix has been held to fewer than 30 made field goals in two of its last three contests. Take Indiana (8*).

Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Golden State plus the points over Las Vegas at 10 pm et on Wednesday.

The Valkyries were a no-show in Sunday's game in Las Vegas, falling by a 101-77 score against the same Aces squad that they'll host in a quick rematch at home on Wednesday. I'm not going to knock the Valkyries for that poor performance as they entered that contest looking to complete a 4-1 road trip and fresh off three straight victories both SU and ATS. Las Vegas has been the picture of inconsistency this season. Note that the Aces lost by 53 points against the Lynx on Saturday before delivering that lopsided win on Sunday. We know that Golden State can hang with Las Vegas. After all, the Valkyries posted a 95-68 home win over the Aces back in early June before dropping a narrow two-point decision in a wild 104-102 affair in Las Vegas on July 12th. Look for Golden State to take this one down to the wire at the very least. Take Golden State (10*).

My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Phoenix at 10 pm et on Tuesday.

The Mercury probably breathed a sigh of relief after delivering a win-and-cover to wrap up their five-game road trip in Chicago on Sunday. That victory only served to snap a two-game SU and ATS slide. Phoenix remains just 2-5 ATS over its last seven games and hasn't posted consecutive victories since a three-game winning streak from July 7th to 14th. Connecticut enters this four-game road trip off back-to-back ATS wins against New York. The Sun staged a big 'upset' win in the front half of that two-game set before falling by nine points on Sunday. While one of the league's worst teams record-wise, Connecticut has actually been a terrific bet, certainly of late, going 7-2 ATS over its last nine games. Take Connecticut (8*).

My selection is on Golden State plus the points over Las Vegas at 6 pm et on Sunday.

The Valkyries have reeled off three straight victories as they look to wrap up their five-game road trip on a winning note in Las Vegas on Sunday. Golden State's offensive production hasn't been there over its last couple of games but it still managed to win and cover in Washington and Chicago. Defensively, the Valkyries have been outstanding, holding three straight and six of their last seven opponents to 27 made field goals or less. Las Vegas got drilled 111-58 at home against Minnesota yesterday. While the motivation will certainly be there to bounce back on Sunday, I'm not convinced the Aces match up all that well with the Valkyries. Note that Las Vegas has allowed 30+ made field goals in three of its last four contests. The last meeting between these two teams took place on July 12th with the Aces eking out a two-point win but non-cover at home. Take Golden State (8*).

My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Indiana at 7:30 pm et on Friday.

We won with the Fever in their most recent game - a 107-101 'upset' win over the Mercury at home. Here, we'll fade Indiana as it heads on the road riding a three-game SU and ATS winning streak. Dallas dropped an 88-85 decision at home against Atlanta two nights ago but did cover the spread for a second straight game. The Wings are 4-2 ATS over their last six contests. While Indiana comes off a red hot shooting performance last time out, Dallas has been pouring it in over an extended stretch, knocking down 30+ field goals in three straight and six of its last seven contests. Take Dallas (8*).

My selection is on Golden State plus the points over Washington at 7:30 pm et on Thursday.

We'll grab all the points we can get with the Valkyries on Thursday as they look to stage their second straight 'upset' win on this road trip. Golden State defeated Atlanta 77-75 two nights ago, marking its second win in its last three games, both SU and ATS. Also of note, the Valkyries have held four of their last five foes to 27 or fewer made field goals. Washington on the other hand has been lit up for 32+ field goals in four of its last five contests. The Mystics won and covered against Chicago two nights ago but have gone just 2-3 SU and ATS over their last five games. Take Golden State (8*).

Non-Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Phoenix at 7 pm et on Wednesday.

The Fever have regained their footing with back-to-back wins both SU and ATS and they seem to have found an offensive rhythm again having connected on 31, 29 and 33 field goals over their last three games. I look for them to turn in another strong effort on Wednesday as they host the Mercury in an underdog role. Phoenix continues its long road trip having split the first two games including a win and cover in Washington last time out. Now the Mercury have been idle for a couple of days and I think they'll have a difficult time stringing together a second straight victory. This will mark the first meeting between these non-conference foes this season and as we've seen time and time again this season, the lines in such situations tend to be a little out of whack. Take Indiana (10*).

My selection is on Golden State plus the points over Atlanta at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday.

The first matchup between these two teams went Atlanta's way but it was a competitive affair with the Dream winning by nine points. The Valkyries enter this contest off one of their worst performances of the season as they were blown out at home by the lowly Sun. I'm confident they can regroup and get back to playing competitive basketball on Tuesday. Atlanta is in an obvious letdown spot after posting 'upset' wins in Phoenix and Minnesota. The Dream are still just an even 3-3 ATS over their last six games. Take Golden State (8*).

My selection is on New York minus the points over Los Angeles at 7 pm et on Saturday.

Even on a night where the Liberty didn't bring their 'A' game, arguably at either end of the floor, they still ended up winning comfortably by 13 points last night against the Mercury. While Saturday's opponent, the Los Angeles Sparks, are red hot right now, I don't think they're as good as Phoenix and fully expect the Liberty to bring an end to their four-game SU and three-game ATS winning streaks. Los Angeles has been pouring it on offensively during its current streak but it has also faced some less than impressive opposition in the Sun and Mystics (it played each team twice over that stretch). The Liberty certainly present a much more difficult challenge as they enter this contest riding a five-game SU and ATS winning streak. New York already handled Los Angeles by double-digits here at home back on July 3rd and that was when the Liberty weren't playing nearly as well, entering that game on a seven-game ATS slide (they ended up 'pushing' as 10-point favorites). Take New York (8*).

My selection is on Golden State minus the points over Dallas at 10 pm et on Friday.

We'll fade the Wings as they check in off a big 'upset' win in Seattle earlier this week. That victory only served to snap Dallas' four-game losing streak (1-3 ATS) and the Wings remain a woeful 7-17 SU this season. Golden State will certainly be up for this game as it takes the floor for the first time since July 16th and looks to snap its three-game losing streak. The Valkyries have dropped the cash in back-to-back games but extended ATS losing streaks have been few and far between this season. In fact, their current two-game ATS slide matches their longest of the season (last time they responded with an outright 'upset' road win over the Fever on July 9th). Take Golden State (8*).

My selection is on Phoenix plus the points over New York at 7:30 pm et on Friday.

Phoenix was in a tough spot two nights ago as it played following a one-week layoff and ultimately lost outright at home against the Dream. Here, I look for the Mercury to bounce back and give the Liberty a run on Friday. Phoenix checks in off consecutive losses both SU and ATS but remains a solid 15-8 on the season. The shots simply haven't been falling for the Mercury but I do think they can bounce back in that regard here. New York comes off four straight wins both SU and ATS. In stark contrast to the Mercury, the shots have been falling for the Liberty. The fact that they rallied for a win and cover against the Fever last time out masked their poor defensively play as they allowed a short-handed Indiana squad to connect on 31 field goals. I expect this game to go down to the wire at the very least. Take Phoenix (8*).

My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Los Angeles at 7 pm et on Thursday.

While Connecticut has been one of the league's worst teams this season it has also proven to be a highly profitable bet going. back to mid-June. The Sun check in 8-4 ATS since June 17th and enter Thursday's matchup with Los Angeles riding a four-game ATS winning streak. That streak included a loss but cover against these same Sparks in Los Angeles on July 13th. The Sparks are riding a three-game winning streak - their longest of the season. Prior to their current stretch they hadn't strung together consecutive victories all season. Off an 'upset' win in Washington two nights ago, I look for them to have a difficult time winning by margin on Thursday. Note that the Sparks remain vulnerable defensively having allowed seven straight and 16 of their last 19 opponents to connect on 30+ field goals. Meanwhile, Connecticut has knocked down 30+ field goals in three of its last four contests. On the flip side, the Sun have held two of their last three foes to fewer than 30 made field goals. While the Sparks glance ahead at a more difficult matchup in New York on Saturday, Connecticut gets two days off before continuing its six-game homestand against Golden State on Sunday. We'll grab all the points we can get in this spot. Take Connecticut (8*).

Non-Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over Phoenix at 10 pm et on Wednesday.

We'll grab all the points we can get with the Dream as they look to avoid a second loss in as many nights following Tuesday's setback in Las Vegas. Atlanta remains a winning team on the season at 13-10. It didn't appear to expend too much of its energy last night, falling behind thanks to a poor second quarter effort and never really putting up much of a fight the rest of the way (Atlanta scored just 13 points in the fourth quarter). Chalk that up as a poor shooting performance from the Dream, particularly from short (two-point range). I'm confident we'll see Atlanta bounce back on Wednesday as it travels to Phoenix to face a Mercury squad that has been idle since last Wednesday and could display some rust in this contest. Note that Phoenix really struggled defending the perimeter leading up to the All-Star break and I think the Dream can take advantage and ultimately keep this game closer than expected. With this being the first meeting between these non-conference foes this season, I believe the oddsmakers have missed the mark. Take Atlanta (10*).

Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Las Vegas at 8 pm et on Wednesday.

The Aces haven't come close to living up to expectations this season, stumbling to a 10-11 SU and 8-13 ATS record through 21 games. They do check in off a 104-102 win over Golden State last time out but that was only thanks to a red hot shooting performance (34-of-62 from the field), something they're unlikely to duplicate on Wednesday. None that Las Vegas hasn't won consecutive games since June 22nd and 25th. Dallas will look to avoid a four-game losing streak heading into the All-Star break. While it does enter off three straight losses both SU and ATS, all three of those setbacks came on the road. The Wings are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five home games and will look to make the most of this spot before their next two contests come on the road against Seattle and Golden State following the break. Take Dallas (10*).

My selection is on New York minus the points over Indiana at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday.

We'll lay the points with the surging Liberty as they host the Fever on Wednesday. Indiana comes off three straight wins but failed to cover the spread in a closer-than-expected contest in Connecticut last night. New York has the clear rest advantage here. Not only has it not played since Sunday but it has been home for its last four games going back to the start of July. The Liberty went through a miserable stretch both SU and ATS but have come out of it, reeling off consecutive wins and covers against Las Vegas and Atlanta. Note that it won by seven against a good Dream squad on Sunday despite connecting on just 30-of-78 (38.5%) of its field goal attempts. The Liberty are certainly locked-in defensively right now having held three of their last four opponents to 27 or fewer made field goals and I'm confident they can cool off the red hot Fever offense here and ultimately win this game going away. Take New York (8*).

My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Chicago at 8 pm et on Monday.

We won with the Sky in the opener of this two-game set two days ago but I won't hesitate to go the other way in Monday's rematch. In fact, we've won twice with Chicago against Minnesota going back to July 6th. The Sky are riding an incredible ATS run having covered the spread in eight straight games. However, they're heading into uncharted territory here as they look to notch a third straight SU victory for the first time this season. The only other time they won two games in a row they followed that winning streak up with a 79-52 rout at home against Indiana. Minnesota has been a little uneven lately but is still one of the league's best teams at 18-5 on the campaign. The Lynx continue to thrive offensively having connected on 30 or more field goals in four straight games. They simply ran into a red hot shooting performance from the Sky on Saturday. Look for Minnesota to do a better job of clamping down defensively on Monday, noting they've held 18 of 23 opponents to fewer than 30 made field goals this season, never allowing consecutive foes to reach that number. Take Minnesota (8*).

My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Connecticut at 6 pm et on Sunday.

I think this is more of a mismatch than most realize based on current form. The Sun enter this game off a double-digit loss in Seattle on Friday. Their offense has been awful this season and certainly of late. Apart from an outlier performance in a stunning home upset of the Storm two games back, the Sun have been held to 24 or fewer made field goals in three of their last four and five of their last seven games overall. Meanwhile, prior to Friday's contest, in which they allowed Seattle to connect on 29 field goals, they had allowed 30+ made field goals in five straight games. The Sparks have quietly been one of the hottest offensive teams in the league lately, connecting on 29 or more field goals in five of their last six contests. While their defense leaves a lot to be desired, I'm not sure that the Sun, who are at a rest disadvantage, can take advantage here. With this being the first meeting between these non-conference foes this season, I think the oddsmakers are a little light on the Sparks. Take Los Angeles (8*).

My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Minnesota at 1 pm et on Saturday.

We won with the Sky plus the points in this same matchup in Minnesota last weekend and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them again in Saturday's rematch. This might be a tough matchup for the Lynx to get up for after they delivered a win and cover in Los Angeles on Thursday. That win avoided a losing streak - something Minnesota hasn't experienced all season. The Sky continue to deliver the cash having won seven straight games ATS. They were in a bit of a tough spot at home against Dallas last time out but still managed to pull away for an 11-point victory. The Sky have shown the ability to stay competitive by playing tough defense, holding five straight and eight of their last 10 opponents to 30 made field goals or fewer. Look for them to do the same on Saturday as they keep the Lynx within arm's reach. Take Chicago (8*).

My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Connecticut at 10 pm et on Friday.

The Storm were stunned 93-83 in the front half of this home-and-home set on Wednesday. Seattle led that game comfortably by eight points entering the fourth quarter before an epic collapse. Perhaps the letdown was to be expected as the Storm had an eye on returning home from what would have been a successful 3-1 road trip. Instead they'll head back to the Pacific Northwest off a 2-2 trip that did including an 'upset' win over the Liberty in New York. Connecticut had lost 10 games in a row prior to Wednesday's victory. That included a 16-point loss in Seattle back on June 27th. Of note, the Sun dropped that game by a sizeable margin despite shooting well above average, 48% from the field in that contest. With this being the start of a four-game homestand that will take the Storm through the All-Star break, we'll look for them to deliver a decisive revenge-fuelled victory on Friday. Take Seattle (8*).

Non-Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Chicago at 8 pm et on Wednesday.

The Sky dropped their second straight game yesterday, 81-79 on the road against the Mystics, but they remain on a red hot 6-0 ATS run. I look for that streak to end on Wednesday as they host the Wings in a difficult back-to-back situation. Dallas couldn't complete the home-and-home series sweep of Phoenix on Monday, dropping a lopsided 102-72 decision. The Wings are still a terrific 6-3 ATS over their last nine games. While they've won just six games this season, five of those victories have come since June 17th. Here, they'll be looking to avenge a pair of earlier losses against Chicago. Those two defeats came back in May, when the Wings were mired in a 2-5 ATS start to the season. Take Dallas (10*).

My selection is on New York minus the points over Las Vegas at 8 pm et on Tuesday.

The Liberty have fallen on hard times in recent weeks, going just 3-6 SU and 0-8-1 ATS over their last nine games including an 'upset' loss at home against Seattle on Sunday. I look for them to bounce back on Tuesday as they look to deliver a second win and cover in as many tries against Las Vegas this season. New York quite simply had an off shooting day against the Storm on Sunday. The opportunities were there, the Liberty just couldn't take advantage in a 79-70 loss. Las Vegas comes off an 86-68 rout of Connecticut on Sunday. Of note, the Aces have only managed to cover the spread in consecutive games on two occasions this season and are just 2-2 SU and ATS over their last four contests. They got off a whopping 82 field goal attempts back in their season opener against the Liberty but still lost by 14 points. This is a key spot for New York as it looks to get rolling again during its current six-game homestand. Take New York (8*).

My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Minnesota at 7 pm et on Sunday.

We'll grab the generous helping of points with the underdog Sky on Sunday as they look to deliver their fifth straight ATS victory. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season and I can't help but feel the line is out of whack. Yes, the Lynx have rebounded nicely with consecutive wins and covers since dropping the Commissioner's Cup Final in 'upset' fashion against Indiana last week. I see this as a bit of a letdown spot, however, against a steadily improving Sky squad that can hang with the best of them right now having connected on 30+ field goals in four of their last six contests. Take Chicago (8*).

My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Indiana at 7 pm et on Saturday.

We'll grab the points with the Sparks on Saturday as they look to put the Fever on 'upset alert'. Los Angeles has lost consecutive games and is of course mired in a disappointing 2025 campaign. I do like the way this spot sets up for the Sparks, however, as they just won a game here in Indiana less than two weeks ago and catch the Fever in a letdown spot off three straight wins both SU and ATS. Indiana's last two wins have come in 'upset' fashion in the Commissioner's Cup Final against Minnesota and then two nights later at home against Las Vegas. The Fever are still playing without Caitlin Clark and are in uncharted territory riding a three-game winning streak - their longest of the season to date. I expect a down-to-the-wire affair with the Sparks having every opportunity to steal another win in Indiana. Take Los Angeles (8*).

Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on New York minus the points over Los Angeles at 7 pm et on Thursday.

Liberty bettors are rightfully spooked following seven straight ATS losses. That's an inexplicable run after the defending champions started the campaign 6-3 ATS without suffering consecutive ATS defeats once along the way. Off back-to-back straight-up defeats, we'll call for the Liberty to bounce back on Thursday as they return home for the first time since June 19th. With this being the first matchup between these non-conference opponents this season and given the Liberty's recent struggles, I'm not sure the oddsmakers know exactly how to handle it. The Sparks have been one of the league's worst teams this season and check in 1-5 ATS over their last six contests. Take New York (10*).

My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Minnesota at 8 pm et on Tuesday.

This will be the first time we've seen this particular matchup this season and I think the line is out of whack with the Fever catching a generous helping of points. Indiana checks in playing well offensively having connected on more than 30 field goals in five of its last seven games. On the flip side, you would have go go back four games to find the last time Indiana allowed an opponent to knock down 30+ field goals. Minnesota has won back-to-back games including a 102-63 rout of the lowly Sun on Sunday. Still, the Lynx are just 1-1-1 ATS over their last three contests. They're giving up their share of scoring opportunities having yielded 64+ field goal attempts in five straight and 13 of their last 14 games. Look for the Fever to stick around and make things interesting on Tuesday. Take Indiana (8*).

My selection is on Golden State plus the points over Seattle at 8:30 pm et on Sunday.

The Valkyries have done nothing but impress over the course of their inaugural campaign. While they are coming off an ATS defeat, they won again, outlasting the Sky by five points on Friday. We'll call for them to give the Storm all they can handle on Sunday as well. Seattle checks in off a lopsided victory but that came at home against one of the league's worst teams in the Sun. Look for a down-to-the-wire affair on Sunday in San Francisco and we'll gladly grab all the points we can get with the underdog Valkyries. Take Golden State (8*).

My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Washington at 8 pm et on Saturday.

We'll grab the points with Dallas, even in a tough back-to-back situation on Saturday. The Wings dropped a close game against Indiana last night. That was a clear result of the Fever shooting the lights out. I don't expect Washington to do the same in this spot. Note that the Mystics have won a season-high three straight games SU and two in a row ATS. That includes an 'upset' victory in Las Vegas two nights ago. We'll call for a letdown here as the Wings avoid a second straight loss. Take Dallas (8*).

My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Golden State at 10 pm et on Friday.

This will be the first ever meeting between the Sky and Valkyries and I believe the line is out of whack. Yes, Golden State has reeled off three straight ATS victories and checks in 6-1 ATS over its last seven games. I'm just not convinced the Valkyries are well-suited to a 'favorite' role at this point. Chicago comes off an 'upset' win at home against Los Angeles on Tuesday. That marked the Sky's second straight ATS victory. They still have a long way to go as they work their way back to respectability but we have seen some positive signs lately as they've knocked down 30+ field goals in three of their last four games. I think they can hang with the Valkyries here. Take Chicago (8*).

My selection is on New York minus the points over Golden State at 10 pm et on Wednesday.

The Liberty opened their current road trip with an 89-79 loss in Seattle on Sunday, perhaps caught flat-footed after Sabrina Ionescu was a late scratch for that contest. That marked the Liberty's second straight defeat SU and fourth in a row ATS. I look for them to end their slide on Wednesday as they head to San Francisco to take on the Valkyries. Keep in mind, New York is already 2-0 against Golden State this season, winning back-to-back games at home back in late May. The Valkyries were competitive in the second of those contests but only after losing the first by 28 points. Golden State enters this game riding a two-game winning streak both SU and ATS. The opposition has shot incredibly poorly against the Valkyries but they'll undoubtedly have their hands full against one of the league's best offensive teams on Wednesday. Look for the Liberty to bounce back in convincing fashion. Take New York (8*).

Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana plus the points over Seattle at 10 pm et on Tuesday. 

The Fever have dropped their last two games SU and three in a row ATS entering Tuesday's contest in Seattle. We'll call for Indiana to bounce back in this spot after opening its current road trip with back-to-back defeats. Seattle is in a fairly obvious letdown situation after three straight wins and covers including an impressive 89-79 home win over the Liberty - arguably the league's best team - on Sunday. I like the fact that the Fever offense did get on track even in a losing effort in Las Vegas on Sunday (they shot 34-of-70 from the field). Here, it will be up to Indiana's defense to pick it up, noting that it comes off consecutive games in which it allowed 30+ made field goals. The last two times that has happened, the Fever have responded favorably in their next game, winning by 27 points in Chicago and 17 points at home against Connecticut. Seattle has made good on 30+ field goals in three straight games. The only other time that happened this season it went on to lose its next game 76-70 in 'upset' fashion at Golden State. Take Indiana (10*).

My selection is on Washington plus the points over Minnesota at 8 pm et on Tuesday.

We'll grab all the points we can get with the underdog Mystics at home against the Lynx on Tuesday. Minnesota comes off three straight wins both SU and ATS but all three of those victories came at home and two of them came against one of the league's most disappointing teams, the Los Angeles Sparks. While the Lynx have played well defensively, they do give up their share of opportunities and I'm confident Washington can take advantage. Note that the Mystics have been 'filling it up' lately, knocking down 28 or more field goals in six of their last seven games. They've been one of the league's better bets lately, going 4-2 ATS over their last six contests but do check in off an ATS loss (but SU victory) against Dallas on Sunday. Note that the Mystics have dropped the cash in consecutive games just once this season with that two-game ATS skid coming back in late May-early June. Meanwhile, Minnesota is entering uncharted territory as it rides a season-high three-game ATS winning streak. I think the Lynx are laying too many points in this spot. Take Washington (8*).

My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Connecticut at 7:30 pm et on Friday.

The Sun have done a nice job covering the spread in consecutive games against Indiana and Phoenix but I look for them to fall short against the Wings on Friday. Keep in mind, Dallas took the first meeting between these two teams this season by 22 points on this same floor back on May 27th. Dallas enters this contest playing well, off back-to-back ATS victories and having connected on 29 or more field goals in five of its last six games. That's a far cry from Connecticut which has made good on 26 or fewer field goals in four straight games. The Sun were fortunate that the Mercury had an off shooting night last time out but they still lost that game by eight points at home. You have to figure the Sun have one eye on a long road trip that begins on Sunday against Golden State. We'll lay the points with the visiting Wings. Take Dallas (8*).

My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Indiana at 7 pm et on Tuesday.

This is a tricky spot for the Fever as they come off a big revenge-fuelled 'upset' win at home against the Liberty on Saturday - in a game where they welcomed Caitlin Clark and Sophia Cunningham back to the lineup - and look ahead to a three-game road trip out west that begins on Thursday at Golden State. Connecticut is coming off an 'upset' defeat at home against Chicago on Sunday. The Sun had been playing better prior to their current two-game slide as they were 2-1 SU and ATS in their three previous contests including an outright win here in Indiana as double-digit underdogs on May 30th. Of note, while Indiana got a major boost offensively with the return of Clark on Saturday, the Fever have actually struggled defensively in recent games, allowing five of their last six opponents to knock down 30+ field goals. That opens the door for a closer-than-expected affair on Tuesday. Take Connecticut (8*).

My selection is on New York minus the points over Atlanta at 7 pm et on Tuesday.

The Liberty got caught flat-footed in the second half against the Fever on Saturday and paid the price in a 102-88 'upset' loss. We'll call for the defending champions to bounce back as they return home to host the red hot Dream on Tuesday. Atlanta has reeled off three straight wins both SU and ATS but those came at home against an Indiana team without Caitlin Clark, the lowly Chicago Sky and on the road against a reeling Mystics squad. Here, Atlanta makes the trip to New York for a 'measuring stick' game against one of, if not the league's best team. Despite the loss on Saturday, New York continues to perform well offensively, connecting on 30+ field goals in three of its last four games. Note that the Liberty had held six straight and eight of nine opponents this season to fewer than 30 made field goals before yielding 37 in Saturday's setback. Take New York (8*).

My selection is on Indiana plus the points over New York at 3 pm et on Saturday.

Indiana is expected to get a major boost with the return of both Caitlin Clark and Sophie Cunningham on Saturday. The Fever turned in one of their worst performances of the season last time out as they were blown out in Atlanta. That snapped a two-game SU and ATS winning streak. They'll play with revenge on Saturday after dropping a narrow two-point decision at home against New York back on May 24th. The Liberty are still undefeated on the season and check in off an easy 85-66 win at home against the lowly Sky earlier this week. Look for the Fever to give the Liberty all they can handle on Saturday afternoon. Take Indiana (8*).

My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Atlanta at 7:30 pm et on Friday.

We won with the Dream on Tuesday as they pulled away for a 19-point win over the Fever. We'll go the other way and fade Atlanta on Friday as it stays at home to host Chicago. The Sky check in off consecutive losses both SU and ATS. Their most recent defeat came against arguably the league's best team in New York on Tuesday. I look for them to rebound here as they catch the Dream glancing ahead at a two-game road trip that will take them to Washington and New York on Sunday and Tuesday. After allowing five straight opponents to connect on more than 30 field goals to open the campaign, the Sky have held two of their last three foes to exactly 27 made field goals. Meanwhile, the Dream have allowed three of their last four and seven of their nine opponents this season to knock down 30+ field goals. Take Chicago (8*).

My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Las Vegas at 10 pm et on Wednesday.

We'll grab all the points we can get with the reeling Sparks as they look to put the Aces on 'upset alert' on Wednesday night. Los Angeles has lost four of its last five games and checks in off an 'upset' defeat at home against Golden State on Monday. Oddly enough, Las Vegas is also off an 'upset' loss against the upstart Valkyries. While the Aces are a respectable 4-3 on the campaign, I'm concerned by the fact that their offense has yet to get rolling, knocking down fewer than 30 field goals in all but one of their games (that did come against the Sparks in an Aces win Los Angeles will look to avenge on Wednesday). On the flip side, Las Vegas has allowed its last four opponents to make good on 42, 31, 28 and 34 field goals. The Sparks are capable of hanging tough with an offense that has connected on 30 or more field goals in four of their last six games. Take Los Angeles (8*).

My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Indiana at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday.

The Fever are coming off back-to-back wins and covers including a 79-52 dismantling of the Sky in Chicago on Saturday. I still think Indiana is limited in what it can do offensively in the absence of Caitlin Clark. Note that the Fever have gotten off exactly 59 field goal attempts in three straight games. They've been fortunate to shoot exceptionally well in all three of those contests. While Atlanta has struggled defensively this season, I see this as a 'get right' spot at home off Friday's stunning 84-76 upset defeat in Connecticut. Prior to that loss the Dream had won four games in a row both SU and ATS. Of note, the straight-up winner has covered the spread in each of Atlanta's eight games to date this season. While Indiana has had to make the most of limited shot volume without Clark, Atlanta has hoisted up 68 or more field goal attempts in seven of eight games this season with a low-water mark of 64 (in a game it scored 88 points and won and covered in Los Angeles). Look for the Dream to overwhelm the Fever offensively and improve to 2-1 in this series this season on Tuesday. Take Atlanta (8*).

My selection is on Washington minus the points over Connecticut at 3 pm et on Sunday.

The Mystics have faced an absolutely brutal schedule this season and a result they check in 3-6 on the campaign. The schedule does star to ease up beginning with Sunday's matchup with 2-6 Connecticut. The Sun check in off a big upset win at home against Atlanta but that came on the heels of a 100-52 beatdown in New York. Note that the Sun shot a blistering 33-for-66 from the field last time out, a performance they're unlikely to duplicate here. Washington has yet to allow an opponent knock down more than 30 field goals in a game this season (only two of its nine opponents have connected on exactly 30). Off an ATS cover but eight-point loss at home against New York three nights ago, we'll call for the Mystics to bounce back in a big way on Sunday. Take Washington (8*).

Western Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Dallas at 9:30 pm et on Friday.

The Sparks have really struggled out of the gate so far this season, going 2-6 and currently ride a three-game SU and ATS losing streak. They had an excellent opportunity to stop their slide at home against Phoenix last Sunday but they simply couldn't make good on their scoring opportunities in a narrow defeat. In that game, the Sparks got off 71 field goal attempts compared to the Mercury's 64 but could only connect on 26 of them. Keep in mind, prior to that contest, Los Angeles had knocked down 30+ field goals in three straight games so we know its offense is capable. Dallas is just 1-7 on the season but does come off an ATS victory in Seattle earlier this week. This will mark Dallas' seventh games in as many cities going back to May 21st. You could argue that the Wings have faced the league's toughest schedule to this point travel-wise and I don't think it serves them well as they return home for this date with the rested Sparks on Friday. Note that the Wings are 0-3 SU and ATS at home this season, losing all three of those games by at least eight points. Take Los Angeles (10*).

My selection is on Phoenix minus the points over Golden State at 10 pm et on Thursday.

We successfully faded the Mercury in their 88-65 loss in Minnesota two nights ago but we'll go the other way and back Phoenix as it returns home to host reeling Golden State on Thursday. The expansion Valkyries have lost three games in a row following a surprising 2-1 start to the campaign. They're playing with very little margin for error as they've made good on fewer than 30 field goals in all six games to date this season. With their defense suddenly sagging (they've allowed two of their last three foes to knock down 30+ field goals), I look for them to fall well short against the Mercury on Thursday. Take Phoenix (8*).

My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Phoenix at 8 pm et on Tuesday.

We'll lay the points with the Lynx and fade the Mercury in this spot as Phoenix comes off its second win in as many tries against the Sparks on Sunday. Phoenix is off to a 5-2 start to the campaign and checks in off consecutive ATS victories but is actually just 2-3-1 ATS over its last six contests. The Lynx remain undefeated at 7-0 on the season. They're a miserable 0-4-1 ATS over their last five games but I'm anticipating a big performance here ahead of a four-day layoff that leads into a two-game road trip. The Mercury figure to have one eye on a return home to begin a three-game homestand on Thursday. Phoenix did cover the spread in a 74-71 loss in the first meeting between these teams this season. As we know, revenge is a dish best served at home but the Mercury won't have the benefit of hosting the Lynx here. Minnesota rolls. Take Minnesota (8*).

My selection is on Golden State plus the points over New York at 7 pm et on Thursday.

The Valkyries get a quick revenge spot against the Liberty on Thursday after they were drilled by 28 points two nights ago. While Golden State projects as one of the league's worst teams in its inaugural season, we have seen some positive flashes in the early going. For the Liberty, this is a fairly obvious flat spot before they head to Washington for a difficult back-to-back situation against the Mystics tomorrow night. Expect New York to save a little in reserve and for this game to ultimately be closer than most anticipate. Take Golden State (8*).

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Seattle at 6 pm et on Sunday.

Seattle opened the season with an ugly 22-point loss in Phoenix but has since rebounded with consecutive wins both SU and ATS, including most recently a successful revenge date with the Mercury. We'll call for a letdown from the Storm on Sunday as they host a Las Vegas team that has yet to play to its potential despite its 2-1 record. The Aces are just 1-2 ATS and check in off a scare at home against an upstart Mystics team on Friday. While the Storm will head on the road for a date with Minnesota on Tuesday, the Aces will be idle until they host the Sparks on Saturday. We'll lay the points with Las Vegas. Take Las Vegas (8*).

My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Golden State at 10 pm et on Friday.

The Valkyries are coming off their first-ever WNBA victory as they defeated the Mystics in upset fashion at home two nights ago. Keep in mind, they dropped their season-opener by 17 points against the same Sparks squad they'll face on Friday. Los Angeles figures to be in a foul mood coming off consecutive losses. The Sparks couldn't keep up with a red hot Mercury squad two nights ago as Phoenix improved to 2-0 with an 89-86 win at home. Los Angeles should find the going much easier against a Valkyries team that has knocked down just 36% and 32% of its field goal attempts over its first two contests. Take Los Angeles (8*).

Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Atlanta at 7:30 pm et on Thursday.

The Dream stunned the Fever 91-90 two nights ago at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indiana. We'll call for the Fever to return the favor as the scene shifts to Atlanta for a quick rematch between these Eastern Conference foes on Thursday. Atlanta played a perfect road game on Tuesday, jumping ahead early and forcing Indiana to expend a ton of energy trying to make the comeback in the second half. While the Fever ultimately fell short, the fact that they were even able to stay in the game and ultimately take it down to the wire was commendable. While Indiana is bubbling with potential this season, there are going to be flat spots on the schedule, and Tuesday's contest proved to be one of those after posting a runaway win over Chicago in its season-opener on the weekend. The Dream made plenty of offseason changes and early returns have been mixed (prior to Tuesday's upset win they dropped a 94-90 decision in their season-opener in Washington). I don't believe these two teams are on the same level, despite what we saw two nights ago. Take Indiana (10*).

My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Washington at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Mystics pulled off an 'upset' win at home against Atlanta to open its campaign on Friday. Washington shot a blistering 31-for-61 in that game. The Dream actually got off a whopping 74 field goal attempts but could only connect on 30 and that proved to be the difference in a narrow 94-90 Mystics win.

While expectations are extremely low for the rebuilding Sun this season, I do look for them to bring their 'A' game in their home opener, ahead of a more difficult matchup against Las Vegas on Tuesday. We'll grab all the points we can get. Take Connecticut (8*).

My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Dallas at 7:30 pm ET on Friday.

All eyes will be on the much-anticipated debut of top overall pick Paige Bueckers, but the reality is that her presence doesn’t patch up Dallas’ long-standing defensive shortcomings. The Wings were one of the worst defensive teams in the WNBA last season, and there's little to suggest that a rookie—no matter how talented—will transform them overnight. Dallas gave up 112 points in their only preseason game against Las Vegas, and that came with A’ja Wilson playing just 21 minutes and shooting a modest 7-for-17 from the floor. That poor showing underlines the lack of defensive cohesion that continues to plague this team.

Meanwhile, Minnesota comes into this season motivated, after pushing the Liberty to the brink in last year’s WNBA Finals. The Lynx return with a strong core and a well-balanced attack that should immediately take advantage of Dallas’ defensive lapses. This is a veteran group that thrives on execution and should expose the Wings' inexperience and issues on the defensive end from the opening tip. While the media hype might be centered on Bueckers, the on-court reality heavily favors the Lynx.

Take Minnesota.

My selection is on New York minus the points over Minnesota at 8 pm et on Sunday.

A convincing win is certainly well within the realm of possibility for the Liberty after we saw them deliver just that the last time they hosted the Lynx in Game 2 of this series. In that situation, New York was coming off a close loss, which is the case here as well. While these two teams have been involved in their share of tightly-contested battles all season with Minnesota gaining the upper hand at times, I still believe New York has the considerable talent edge and with home court on its side in this winner-take-all game, I'm willing to lay the points. Take New York (8*).

My selection is on New York plus the points over Las Vegas at 9:30 pm et on Friday.

New York has quite simply outclassed Las Vegas at every turn this season and certainly in the first two games of this series. Note that New York is 16-5 SU and 15-6 ATS on the road this season so there's no reason to expect any sort of let up on Friday. The Aces have taken plenty of money in the betting marketplace since this line opened and as a result we've afforded ourselves another point with the Liberty. I'm not sure that we'll need it as I look for New York to go on the road and take a commanding 3-0 series lead on Friday. Of note, the Aces are just 4-6 ATS at home against winning opponents this season. Take New York (8*).

Playoff Game of the Year. My selection is on Las Vegas plus the points over New York at 7:30 pm et on Tuesday.

The Aces are now 0-3 against the Liberty this season after Sunday's 10-point loss in New York. The opener of this series fizzled as New York extended a double-digit halftime lead and never looked back. I look for Las Vegas to answer back on Tuesday.

There's plenty of room for improvement from the Aces. They actually got off a whopping 67 field goal attempts including 25 from beyond the arc but shot poorly and didn't do a good enough job on the boards. Keep in mind, prior to that contest, the Aces had reeled off seven straight wins with 11 victories in their last 12 contests. I don't expect them to get rattled by Sunday's setback.

The Liberty aren't likely to shoot the lights out again the way they did on Sunday (30-for-60). Nor do I anticipate them having as decisive of an edge in terms of trips to the free throw line. We'll grab all the points we can get with Las Vegas but hopefully won't need them. Take Las Vegas (10*).

My selection is on Seattle plus the points over Las Vegas at 10:30 pm et on Tuesday.

The Storm let the Aces off the hook in the opener of this series on Sunday. They appeared poised to grab a 1-0 series lead entering the fourth quarter. That's when it all fell apart for Seattle as it scored just two, yes two, fourth quarter points in an eventual 11-point defeat. Now it will be up to the Storm to make the necessary adjustments prior to Game 2, noting that they allowed Las Vegas to shoot 44% from the field including 38% from three-point range in the series-opener. I liked the fact that Seattle was right there in terms of scoring opportunities in Game 1 and I'm expect it to be more efficient in Game 2 (it shot 37% from the field an a miserable 25% from three-point range on Sunday). The Aces have now won six games in a row but they've yet to notch seven consecutive victories this season (the last time they tried they were upset 98-93 by the Sparks on July 5th). Take Seattle (8*).

My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Connecticut at 10 pm et on Tuesday.

The Sparks are having a miserable season, posting just seven wins in 35 games. They enter Tuesday's rematch with the Sun (Connecticut won by 12 on Sunday) on the heels of four straight losses. We'll back Los Angeles in this spot, however, as I feel they're catching too many points against a Connecticut team that has won by double-digits just twice in its last 10 contests. Take Los Angeles (8*).

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Atlanta at 10 pm et on Friday.

This was already going to be an important return home for the Aces having sputtered since the Olympic break. It takes on added significance after they crumbled late in a loss in Dallas last time out.

At 10-20 overall including a 4-10 mark on the road, the Dream are a team that the Aces can and should take care of. I like the way the spot sets up for Las Vegas noting that Atlanta will be playing its third game in three different cities since Monday. While Atlanta has been playing competitive basketball lately, it still enters riding a three-game slide and I don't see this as the spot for it to rebound against an Aces squad that will surely be in an unforgiving mood. Take Las Vegas (8*).

Western Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Dallas at 8 pm et on Tuesday.

The Aces have fallen on hard times from a poinstpread perspective. At least they managed to snap their two-game slide with a buzzer-beating win in Chicago on Sunday. That did their backers no favors as they let a late double-digit lead slip away in that contest. They enter Tuesday's contest in Dallas riding a three-game ATS losing skid.

I like the way this game sets up for Las Vegas. After being frustrated most of the game against a steadily-improving Sky defense, the Aces should be able to get loose against an awful Wings defense on Tuesday. Dallas needed a 40-point fourth quarter eruption to outlast a bad Sparks squad by a 113-110 score on Sunday. That wasn't enough to earn the cover.

This hasn't been a good matchup for Dallas this season as Las Vegas has taken the first two meetings by 14 and 19 points. This is a key spot for the Aces as they look to secure a winning road trip before returning home to host Atlanta on Friday. When Las Vegas puts it all together it is one of the league's best teams - we simply haven't seen it much lately. I did like what I saw from the Aces in the fourth quarter in Chicago on Sunday - at least until the final three minutes. Look for Las Vegas to make a point to leave little doubt on Tuesday in Dallas. Take Las Vegas (10*).

My selection is on New York minus the points over Phoenix at 10 pm et on Monday.

The Liberty turned in one of their worst performances of the season in a 72-64 home loss against Connecticut on Saturday. I look for them to bounce back on Monday as they head out on the road to take on the Mercury in Phoenix.

Phoenix has been all over the map since returning from the Olympic break. The Mercury have played in four different cities and return home following a hard-fought split in a two-game set in Atlanta. Phoenix has managed to win three of five games since the break but those three victories came against two of the Eastern Conference's weaker teams in Chicago and Atlanta. The Mercury will face a much stiffer challenge against an elite Liberty squad coming off a loss.

This will be the rubber match in this series after the home side won each of the first two matchups. I like the advantage the Liberty have here as they travel for the first time in over a week. Take New York (8*).

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Chicago at 12 noon et on Sunday.

The Aces ran into the league's hottest team - the Lynx - over the last two games and enter Sunday's matinee affair in Chicago in the midst of a rare losing streak.

Chicago checks in having gone 1-3 since returning from the Olympic break.

The Sky actually upset the Aces in Las Vegas in the final game prior to the break so you can be sure this is a game Las Vegas has had circled on its calendar. Keep in mind, the Aces won the previous matchup here in Chicago by double-digits back in June. Take Las Vegas (8*).

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Minnesota at 9:30 pm et on Friday.

The Aces dropped their second straight meeting with the Lynx two nights ago in Las Vegas. The road team is now 3-0 in this series this season. I look for that trend to continue on Friday night in Minnesota.

Las Vegas has come out of the Olympic break misfiring but it remains in the thick of the Western Conference race, just 2.5 games behind the first-place Lynx. Note that the Aces have actually played better on the road compared to at home this season, going 8-3 in the visitors role but just 9-7 at home.

While the Aces have an off day on Saturday before continuing their road trip in Chicago on Sunday, the Lynx will be right back on the floor on Saturday, hosting Caitlin Clark and the Fever. I simply feel Las Vegas will want this one a little more. Take Las Vegas (8*).

My selection is on Dallas plus the points over New York at 7 pm et on Thursday.

New York has reeled off seven straight wins including a 94-74 rout of Dallas two nights ago. That game was essentially decided on a pair of Liberty runs, 16-5 in the first quarter and 14-0 in the fourth. There's obviously a wide talent gap between these two teams but that's being reflected in the line. I believe the Wings are catching too many points in this quick revenge spot.

For the Liberty, this game offers an opportunity to perhaps ease off the gas a little (and still earn a win) before a much tougher contest awaits on Saturday (home game against Connecticut). Meanwhile, the Wings will be looking to salvage something from their two-game stop in Brooklyn.

On a positive note for Dallas, it welcomed Satou Sabally to the lineup for the first time this season following the Olympic break and she hasn't disappointed, pouring in 44 points while adding 13 rebounds and 11 assists in two games. Look for the Wings to make a game of it on Thursday. Take Dallas (8*).

Western Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Minnesota at 9:30 pm et on Wednesday.

The Aces certainly haven't forgotten a 100-86 beatdown they suffered at the hands of the Lynx on this floor back in early June. Las Vegas has only managed to earn a split on its current homestand, upping the importance of this showdown with first-place Minnesota. The Lynx check in off consecutive wins coming out of the Olympic break but both of those victories came against the lowly Mystics.

Keep in mind, we know the Aces are capable of handling the Lynx. Las Vegas secured an 80-66 victory in the Twin Cities in the first meeting between these two teams this season. This will serve as the front-end of a home-and-home series.

I'm not sure I'm buying the Lynx as the best team in the West, especially when you consider how things have gone since the beginning of July. Minnesota is riding a three-game winning streak but just 5-4 SU over its last nine games. It seems that the Lynx have been getting tripped up every time they've stepped up in class lately, including losses to the Liberty, Sun and Storm. Yes, the Lynx did win the Commissioner's Cup earlier in the season thanks to an impressive Championship Game win over New York. All that's done is serve to put a bullseye on their back, however.

This will be one of only three home games for the Aces between now and September 13th. Look for them to make the most of the opportunity. Take Las Vegas (10*).

My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Washington at 7 pm et on Tuesday.

Off consecutive losses coming out of the Olympic break, this figures to be a 'leave it all on the floor' type of game for the Storm as they won't play again until next Monday (back at home against the same Mystics).

Washington has dropped four straight and eight of its last 10 games overall. The Mystics are going nowhere with a 6-21 record on the season. Home court advantage has been non-existent as they check in on a five-game losing streak as hosts, with their last four defeats coming by 16, 9, 12 and 11 points.

The most recent matchup between these two teams this season was no contest as Seattle rolled to a 101-69 victory in the Pacific Northwest. Of note, Karlie Samuelson led the Mystics in scoring on that night but she won't play on Tuesday after injuring her knee on Sunday. Take Seattle (8*).

My selection is on Connecticut minus the points over Atlanta at 3 pm et on Sunday.

Connecticut came storming out of the gates following the Olympic break, scoring 109 points in a rout of Dallas on Friday night. I look for the Sun to keep it rolling on Sunday as they draw another favorable road matchup against Atlanta on Sunday.

The Dream did stage an 83-81 upset win over Seattle two nights ago. Still, Atlanta is just 8-17 this season, including a 4-8 mark at home. While the Sun are one of the league's best defensive teams, the Dream rank 12th in the league in points per game. Look for Connecticut to roll. Take Connecticut (8*).

My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Indiana at 7:30 pm et on Wednesday.

Dallas let Los Angeles off the hook on Sunday as it blew a fourth quarter lead in an eventual 87-81 loss. If any team is in desperate need of a win prior to the Olympic break, it's the Wings as they're off to a miserable 5-19 start to the season.

Indiana checks in off consecutive wins but is still just 5-9 on the road this season. While the Fever have certainly been playing much better since getting off to a miserable 1-8 start this season, I'm not convinced they should be laying this many points on the road, especially in a clear letdown spot off Sunday's road win over the Lynx. Take Dallas (8*).

My selection is on Washington plus the points over Phoenix at 11:30 am et on Tuesday.

The Mystics have gone 6-6 over their last 12 games despite facing an absolutely brutal schedule. Their last seven contests have come at home against Connecticut and Las Vegas, on the road against Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Minnesota and Indiana in succession and then back at home against Las Vegas. The fact that they've hung in there (only one loss over that stretch was a true blowout) is a testament to their character.

Here, Washington has the opportunity to head into the Olympic break on a high note. Phoenix is coming off a 27-point rout at the hands of Connecticut on Sunday - its second straight loss to open this road trip. The Mercury are just 4-5 over their last nine games and those four wins came against two struggling opponents in the Wings and Sparks (two wins against each).

The last time these two teams met, Phoenix eked out a three-point victory at home back on May 23rd. We'll back the Mystics to gain an ounce of revenge in this early start matchup on Tuesday. Take Washington (8*).

My selection is on Connecticut minus the points over Phoenix at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Mercury are limping toward the Olympic break with Diana Taurasi and Britney Griner among those dealing with injuries. Regardless who is able to play on Sunday, I look for Connecticut to continue its dominance over Phoenix.

The Sun have taken both previous meetings between these two teams this season and neither game was particularly close.

Connecticut has been idle since Wednesday, when it dropped a hard-fought 71-68 decision at home against New York. That loss snapped a three-game winning streak. With this game, followed by a rematch with the Liberty on deck in Brooklyn on Tuesday to wrap up pre-Olympic break action, I look for the Sun to put their best foot forward on Sunday afternoon. Take Connecticut (8*).

My selection is on New York minus the points over Chicago at 7 pm et on Thursday.

Both of these teams came away victorious yesterday afternoon. I like New York's chances of keeping it rolling as it returns home to host Chicago on Thursday.

Angel Reese kept her double-double streak alive thanks to a foul in the closing seconds of yesterday's contest. She's been the story for the Sky so far this season and while they've been playing better lately, they're still just 9-12 overall.

New York has played with a chip on its shoulder all season long and certainly since losing the Commissioner's Cup against Minnesota back on June 25th. The Liberty are 10-1 at home this season, although Thursday's game will be played at Barclay's Center in Brooklyn. Regardless, I expect New York to improve to 13-2 against Eastern Conference foes with a decisive victory. Take New York (8*).

My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Minnesota at 10 pm et on Tuesday.

The Sparks will be looking to avenge a pair of earlier losses to the Lynx on Tuesday. I like their chances of staying inside the number against a Minnesota squad that has been sputtering since winning the Commissioner's Cup on June 25th.

The Lynx are 2-3 straight-up since that victory over the Liberty. They survived against the Mystics on Saturday, snapping a two-game skid in the process. Note that they're likely to be without Napheesa Collier - their best offensive player - for a second straight game on Tuesday. The last time they faced the Sparks on June 14th (at home) they won by five points on the strength of a 30-point performance from Collier.

Los Angeles dropped a six-point decision at home against Phoenix on Sunday. This is a big spot for the Sparks as they won't take the floor again until Saturday when they head to Dallas to face the Wings. In Sunday's defeat, Sparks guard Aari McDonald shot 1-for-10 from the field. Inconsistency has plagued her over the course of her WNBA career. Keep in mind, she poured in 23 points in a 98-93 upset win over Las Vegas just two games back. Take Los Angeles (8*).

Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Chicago at 6 pm et on Sunday.

The Sky took the opener of this two-game set in Seattle on Friday as rookie Angel Reese extended her double-double streak to 12 games. The win served as successful revenge for Chicago after it dropped an earlier matchup at home against the Storm.

For Seattle, the loss snapped a four-game winning streak (with all four of those wins coming by double-digits). I look for the Storm to answer back on Sunday, noting that Chicago was never really able to pull away on Friday despite Seattle clearly having an off night. This is a key spot for the Storm as their schedule will only get tougher with visits from Las Vegas and Minnesota on deck this coming week. Chicago on the other hand will have an eye on a return home, already feeling pretty good about itself after winning the first two games (both in upset fashion) of this road trip. Take Seattle (10*).

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Washington at 10 pm et on Thursday.

We won with the Aces laying the points two nights ago against the Fever and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play as they stay home to host the Mystics on Thursday.

Las Vegas is rolling right now having won five straight games but it still has its work cut out for it as it sits in third place in the West sporting an 11-6 record. We've seen that poise and focus we expected from the Aces earlier in the campaign in recent weeks and I don't expect them to take Thursday's matchup with the Mystics for granted keeping in mind these two teams were involved in what was perhaps a closer-than-expected 88-77 affair in favor of Las Vegas in Washington last Saturday.

The Mystics secured a narrow 82-80 win in Los Angeles two nights ago. Washington has been punching above its class lately but I don't like the spot here as it looks to builds on that rare road victory. Take Las Vegas (8*).

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Indiana at 9:30 pm et on Tuesday.

The Fever are coming off an upset win in Phoenix on Sunday afternoon as Caitlin Clark's captivating rookie campaign continued. Let's pump the brakes a little on Indiana's fortunes moving forward, however. That victory on Sunday only served to snap a two-game slide. It will be making its second stop in Las Vegas this season with its previous matchup on this floor resulting in a 19-point loss back in late-May. I like the Aces chances of delivering a similar result here.

Las Vegas has and extra day of rest advantage having not played since Saturday's 88-77 win over Washington. The Aces have reeled off four straight wins, all coming by double-digit margins. While the first meeting between these two teams this season was played at Michelob Ultra Arena, this one will be on a bigger stage at T-Mobile Arena. I expect the big game feel to serve as extra motivation for the hometown Aces as they look to upstage Clark and the Fever for a second time this season. Take Las Vegas (8*).

My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Minnesota at 1 pm et on Thursday.

If consecutive losses in Washington doesn't represent rock-bottom for the reeling Wings, I'm not sure what will.

Dallas has now dropped 11 straight games and finds itself as a considerable home underdog in a double-revenge spot against Minnesota on Thursday afternoon. I do like the way this situation sets up for the Wings as the Lynx left it all on the floor in a hard-fought, high-scoring win over the Liberty in Tuesday's Commissioner's Cup Championship Game.

Note that the Wings are 2-1 in three home games against the Lynx going back to the start of the 2022 season, with the lone loss coming by nine points.

I have this game projected to be slower-paced than most WNBA affairs and that also favors the home underdog catching so many points on Thursday afternoon. Take Dallas (8*).

Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Washington plus the points over Dallas at 3 pm et on Saturday.

Washington is a team on the rise right now having gone 4-1 ATS in its last four games with the lone pointspread defeat coming earlier this week in Indiana (in a game the Mystics were competitive in right down to the wire).

There's no such glimmer of hope for the Wings right now as they're mired in a nine-game losing streak including seven ATS losses in their last eight contests.

Dallas has allowed eight straight and 12 of its last 13 opponents to connect on at least 30 field goals. That should be music to the ears of the Mystics, who have cooled off over the last couple of games, making good on just 28 and 29 field goals.

Washington has settled into a nice identity at the defensive end of the floor, where it has held five straight opponents to 67 or fewer field goal attempts and 14 of 15 foes to 68 or less. Take Washington (10*).

My selection is on Las Vegas minus the points over Seattle at 10 pm et on Wednesday.

This is a prime bounce back spot for the Aces at home and seeking revenge for an earlier loss to Seattle.

Las Vegas has hit a speedbump lately, losing four of its last five games (five in a row ATS). With another difficult game on deck against Connecticut, the Aces desperately need to turn things around here and I like their chances of doing so.

Seattle has only managed to split its last four games with the two victory's coming against two of the West's weaker teams in Los Angeles and Dallas.

The Storm are playing incredibly fast right now but that plays right into the hands of the Aces, who continue to thrive offensively having knocked down 28 or more field goals in four straight and 10 of 12 games this season. Take Las Vegas (8*).