The set-up: San Diego has seen the total go "under" in six straight, but I expect that lop-sided trend to end here today. The Padres have plenty of key injuries, but they remain competitive. Texas is 3-3 and it'll be eager to bounce back after its 3-0 defeat in the opener of this series. Chris Paddack gets the start for the visitors after allowing three runs off four hits over four innings in a loss to Arizona last Sunday. 

The pick: Jordan Lyles gets the nod for the home side, he's 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA so far. The Rangers have been good at the plate as well, averaging .262 as a team, which ranks sixth in MLB. I don't trust either starter and these line-ups are primed to take advantage. Look for this one to fly "over" in the latter frames.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACHS CORNER on the OVER Padres/Rangers.

The set-up: Game 1 of this series is the only contest that has gone "under" the number. After playing to four straight "overs," though, I think this Game 6 sets up as more of a "duel." We have the Game 1 starting pitchers squaring off here and that's significant. Max Fried has a 2.65 ERA and 18 K's over 17 playoff innings of work so far, while Walker Buehler has gone 1-1 with a 2.43 ERA in 48 career playoff innings for the Dodgers. 

The pick: Note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six after allowing seven or more runs in a three runs or greater loss in its previous outing, while the Dodgers have seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 12 after playing to four or more consecutive "overs." This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER Braves/Dodgers.

The set-up: While the first five games of this series have gone "under" the number, I think that Game 6 is going to fly over the total sooner, rather than later. Both teams have struggled at the plate and each of these starters has been sharp so far in the playoffs. It would be "easy" to write a convincing argument for another "under," but the value has now swung the other way. 

The pick: As note that Houston has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to four or more straight "unders," while also coming off a victory in its previous outing, while Tampa has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 14 of its last 21 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Expect these offenses to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries.

This is a 10* PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Astros/Rays.

The set-up: The first three games of this series have fallen "under" the number, but all signs point to Game 4 going "over." The Astros have their backs against the wall, but I don't expect them to go down quietly in this series. The Rays are still averaging 4.2 RPG and hitting 1.9 home runs per contest in the playoffs. And that's bad news for Astros' veteran starter Zack Greinke, who is a pedestrian 3-6 with a 4.21 ERA in 18 playoff starts. Tyler Glasnow is 2-0 for the Rays in the playoffs, despite a 4.05 ERA. 

The pick: Note as well that Houston has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after three or more losses in a row. Expect these two talented offenses to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Rays/Astros.

The set-up: After yesterday's 10-5 win for the Astros, I expect much more of a duel here in Game 2. Framber Valdez (3-5, 3.57 ERA) gave up only lfive home runs over 70 2/3's innings of work in the regular season. He came in on relief of Zack Greinke during his team's 4-1 win over the Twins and delivered five scoreless frames. 

The pick: Sean Manaea comes in fresh for the A's, as he did not throw in the series win over the White Sox. Manaea only allowed seven home runs over 54 innings of work, while striking out 45 this year. Note as well that the A's have seen the total go "under" in ten of their last 15 after allowing ten or more runs in a loss in their previous outing. This number is a tad high, the play is the under.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Astros/Athletics.

The set-up: Gerrit Cole and Blake Snell are two of the top pitchers in the entire league. Each comes in off a decent season and both have performed well over their last five games. Despite that though, I think that these two powerful and hungry line-ups will combine to push this total over this low number once it's all said and done. The Rays dominated the regular season series 8-2, but that just adds big incentive for this now healthy Yankees slugging line-up to get revenge. In my opinion, this one definitely sets up as a "slug-fest" from a situational stand point. 

The pick: It also sets up great from an O/U ATS/stats stand-point as well, as note that New York has seen the total go "over" in six of its last seven on the road, while Tampa Bay has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 12 when playing with two or more days of rest. Expect this one to blast past the total in the middle frames!

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Yanks/Rays.

The set-up: The Dodgers enter this series with the best record in baseball at 38-16. LA has already clinched a playoff spot and so too has San Diego, which sits right behind it at 34-20. The Dodgers still haven't clinched the division though. Oakland has also clinched a playoff spot but it still hasn't earned the AL West crown yet at 33-20. Houston is at 27-26, so it's just a matter of time now before the A's earn that spot. But turning to this interesting interleague matchup...we have Frankie Montas of the A's going up against Dustin May of the Dodgers. Montas is just 3-4 with a 5.86 ERA, who returns from a stint on  the paternity list. Montas has lost four straight and he draws a tough matchup here, but he has the track record and pedigree to bounce back. He was 9-2 with a 2.63 ERA last season and he has this game and one more to get back on track before the playoffs start. May is 1-1 with a 2.68 ERA and he most recently worked five innings of relief in a 7-5 win over the Padres on Wednesday. May has an even better 2.57 ERA at home and I don't think there's any reason not to believe that he can't carry over his recent form into this one as well.

The pick: Instead of a slug-fest in the opener of this series, I think the stage is set for a pitchers duel. Expect these division leaders to battle to a lower-scoring "under" once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER A's/Dodgers.

The set-up: I had a play on the "over" in yesterday's 20-6 victory for the Yanks. In these team's previous series vs. each other in Buffalo two of three went "under" the number and I expect that after yesterday's big explosion, that we're going to see much more of a "duel" on Wednesday night. The visitors hand the ball to Tanner Roark (2-1, 5.60 ERA), who faced the Yanks last Wednesday and who allowed two runs over four innings. Overall Roark is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in three career starts vs. New York.

The pick: He'll be opposed by Yanks' ace Gerritt Cole (5-3, 3.20) who comes in off a complete game effort vs. the Orioles, halting a three-game losing streak, while going on to strike out nine. Finally note that New York has seen the total go "under" the number in 18 of its last 26 after scoring 20 or more runs in a victory vs. an opponent in its previous outing. I expect these starting pitchers to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries. 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Jays/Yanks.

The set-up: These teams have only met in one other series, just last week and the Jays took two of three. The Yanks won the final game of that series and they just finished beating the Orioles in four straight, including outscoring them 23-3 in the process. 

The pick: Taijuan Walker and Deivi Garcia have both been excellent for the most part in their limited time for their teams, but the problem is is that these talented hitting line-ups "saw" them just last week and I think that'll lead to trouble the second time around. While two of three fell "under" in their first series against each other, I believe that this first game in New York definitely sets up as a "slug-fest." 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Jays/Yankees.

The set-up: The Braves have been crushing the ball of late and while they've seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, including the first two of this series, I think Saturday's contest finally sets up as a lower-scoring "under." The visitors hand the ball to Ian Anderson (2-0, 2.40 ERA) who has been sharp in the time that he's been given, posting 18 strikeouts over 15 innings of work. 

The pick: The home side counters with Patrick Corbrin (2-4, 4.34 ERA), who is 9-3 with a 2.57 ERA in all of his games thrown in the Nation's capital. He faced the Braves last month and got rocked for five runs over five innings, only the second time in eight starts that he's allowed more than five runs. I like Corbin to bounce back here at home and I thikn that Andreson maintains his recent form as well. Additionally note that the Braves have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs." This number is a tad high.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAYBOOK on the UNDER Braves/Nationals.

The set-up: Both teams have been playing to some fairly high-scoring affairs of late, but I think that Friday's game sets up as more of a lower-scoring "under." The Braves go with Josh Tomlin (2-2, 3.77 ERA), who is 1-1 with a 3.80 ERA in ten career appearances vs. the Nationals. 

The pick: Erick Fedde (1-3, 5.29) gets the call for the home side and he's not fared as well against his opponent in the past. I'll point out though that the Nationals have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 home games after allowing seven or more runs in a home loss to an opponent in their previous outing. I think this one sneaks "under" once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Braves/Nats.

The set-up: The first two games of this series have flown "over," but I think that the finale will end in a lower-scoring "under." The visitors hand the ball to Dustin May (1-1, 2.88 ERA) who has been sharp for sure this season and who has faced the D-Backs one other time. May has a big opportunity to pad his stats here vs. a dejected Arizona side which has lost five in a row and is officially eliminated from playoff contention. 

The pick: The home side counters with Madison Bumgarner (0-4, 8.44) who makes his second start since returning from the ten-day DL. Bumgarner is obviously not happy at all with the way things have unfolded this year, the veteran though will look to personally close out strong as he prepares for next season. Bumgarner enters having gone 15-14 with a sharp 2.72 ERA in 35 career starts vs. the Dodgers. I think this is a great "situational" play.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Dodgers/D-Backs.

The set-up: While yesterday's game had 19 runs scored, I believe that Wednesday's contest sets up as more of a "duel." The visitors hand the ball to ace Clayton Kershaw (5-1, 1.50 ERA) who threw six scoreless vs. these very D-Backs just last week. Overall Kershaw is a spectacular 18-10 with a 2.69 ERA in 35 starts vs. Arizona. 

The pick: Taylor Clarke (1-0, 2.96) counters for the D-Backs and in six career appearances vs. the Dodgers he's a pedestrian 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA. I'll point out though that Arizona has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after allowing ten or more runs in a loss to an opponent in its previous outing. I think Arizona's issues at the plate once again come back to haunt it here. Expect these starting pitchers to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries.

The is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER Dodgers/D-Backs.

The set-up: While neither team has been plating a lot of runs of late, I think that Tuesday's contest definitely sets up as a "slug-fest" finally. Cleveland won 5-2 yesterday and it's out to keep the foot on the gas with less than three weeks to go in the regular season. KC hands the ball to Jakob Junis (0-1, 4.32 ERA), while the Tribe go with Triston McKenzie (2-0, 1.69). Junis lost to the Indians last Wednesday, allowing two runs over four innings. McKenzie threw six shutout frames throwing opposite Junis, but regression is imminent for both of these over-acheiving young hurlers in my opinion. 

The pick: Kansas City has also seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after scoring two or less runs and losing by three or more runs in its previous outing. I expect these starters to get chased early and I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. 

The is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER Royals/Indians.

The set-up: Considering the two gas cans on the mound this afternoon, I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. Both teams are coming off high-scoring contests on Sunday and each will be motivated to get back into the winners circle. The visitors hand the ball to Jose Urena (0-0, 0.00 ERA), who makes his first start of the year after a positive Covid 19 test. Urena will be a short leash today.

The pick: Ian Anderson (0-0, 2.25) has a 14:3 K:BB over his first 12 innings of work, but clearly the sample size is still much too small for the Braves' rookie. I'll point out as well that ATL has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 home games after scoring ten or more runs in a victory in its previous outing. I expect both pitchers to get the hook early and as such, all signs point to the "over" as the correct call here. 

The is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Marlins/Braves.

The set-up: Boston won 9-8 yesterday, but I think Sunday's total will sneak "under" once it's all said and done. The visitors hand the ball to Robbie Ray (1-4, 7.34 ERA), who gave up two runs (one earned) off four hits with four strikes over 3.1 innings in a 3-2 loss to the Marlins on Tuesday. 36 of his 48 pitches were thrown for a strike and I like Ray to continue his progression in this favorable matchup. 

The pick: The home side counters with Andrew Triggs (0-2, 16.20), who makes his first start for the Red Sox after being claimed off waivers from San Fran. Triggs has faced Toronto twice in his career and gone 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA over four innings of work. I'll point out as well that Boston has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 home games after scoring eight or more runs in a home victory in its last outing. This number is a tad high.

The is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Jays/Red Sox.

The set-up: Yesterday's contest snuck "over" the number late (I had the "under" unfortunately), but I think that Saturday's contest will indeed stay below the posted number once it's all said and done. The visitors hand the ball to Lucas Giolito (3-2, 3.14 ERA) who enters off an outing to forget vs. the Twins, allowing four runs (just two earned) while striking out eight over five innings. Note though that over his last three starts Giolito has allowed two earned runs while striking out 34 over 21 innings. 

The pick: Cris Bubic (0-4, 5.46) comes off his best start of the year, allowing two earned runs and striking out eight over 5.1 innings in an unfortunate no-decision vs. these very White Sox. Over 28 frames of work Bubic now sports a respectable 27:12 K:BB this season and I expect him to build off his last outing. With these two starters battling deep, this total goes "under" once it's all said and done.

The is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER White Sox/Royals.

The set-up: Yesterday's contest between these clubs flew well "over" the number in the ChiSox 11-6 victory, but I think that Friday's contest sets up as more of a "duel." The visitors go with Dane Dunning (0-0, 2.89 ERA) who faced these very Royals in his last outing, allowing one walk, no hits while striking out seven over five scoreless frames, unfortunate to receive a no-decision for his effort. Over two starts Dunning sas a 14:2 K:BB and I think he keeps the momentum rolling here. 

The pick: The home side counters with Brady Singer (1-3, 5.19), who allowed three runs with four strikeouts over five innings in a no-decision vs. these very White Sox last weekend. Dunning owns a decent 31:14 K:BB over 34.2 innings of work. I think these two young but hungry capable starters go into the latter frames and I believe that's going to help in driving this total "under" by the end of the night.

The is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER White Sox/Royals.

The set-up: Houston held on for a 2-1 win last night, but I think that the finale of this series sets up as more of a slug-fest. The visitors hand the ball to Lance Lynn (4-1, 1.93 ERA) who was shelled for four runs off five hits over six innings in a loss to the Dodgers on Saturday. Lynn has been sharp overall, but I don't think his early sparkling numbers are sustainable and regression is imminent again here in my opinion.

The pick: The home side counters with Zack Greinke (2-0, 2.68), who has been sharp in his limited time. I'll point out though that Houston has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last nine home games after allowing one or less runs in a victory in its previous outing. I think this number is low, play the over.

The is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the OVER Rangers/Astros.

The set-up: The first two games of this series stayed under the number, but I believe the third will find a way to fly over as it comes down the stretch. Charlie Morton (1-1, 5.40 ERA) gets the call after coming off the IL for the visitors tonight. Morton has been poor this year with a 1.50 WHIP and I think he'll get the hook early here as well vs. this determined home side. 

The pick: Jordan Montgomery (2-1, 4.66) gets the call for New York and he most recently allowed three runs off five hits while striking out six over five innings in a loss to the Mets on Friday. Note though that the Yankees have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last ten home games after playing to back-to-back "unders" at home. This number is a little low.

The is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Rays/Yanks.

The set-up: Yesterday's series opener flew over the number in the White Sox come from behind 8-5 win, but I expect a much lower-scoring "duel" here between White Sox' ace Dallas Keuchel (5-2, 2.70 ERA) and Michael Pineda (0-0, 0.00). Pineda finally makes his return after a 60 game suspension and he'll be given a full work load right out of the gates. Pineda threw a 70 pitch simulation recently and has been given the green light. Before his suspension he was one of the most consistent in the league and I think the time off for his arm will be huge moving forward. 

The pick: Keuchel gave up two runs over six innings while also striking out seven in a victory last time out and there's no reason not to believe that the southpaw won't carry that momentum over here. Finally note that Minnesota has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 11 home games after allowing eight or more runs in a home loss in its previous outing. This number is a little high.

The is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER WhiteSox/Twins.

The set-up: Yesterday's game flew well over the number in LA's 16-3 victory, but I expect this one to stay under once it's all said and done. Griffin Canning (0-3, 4.88 ERA) will be eager to notch his first victory of the year here for the home side. Note that Canning has to be feeling pretty confident here as well, as he was a sharp 4-2 with a 3.83 ERA at home last year.

The pick: Justin Dunn (2-1, 5.57) gets the nod for the home side and he enters off a gem vs. the Rangers on Sunday, allowing one hit and striking out six over six scoreless in the victory. Finally note that the M's have seen the total go under the number in 18 of their last 26 after allowing 15 or more runs in a loss in their previous outing. This number is high.

The is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Mariners/Angels.

The set-up: After yesterday's high-scoring affair, I'm expecting much more a duel in the finale of this interleague contest. The visitors hand the ball to Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 3.71 ERA) who gave up four runs off seven hits while striking out four over four innings in a setback to the Tigers on Sunday. Carrasco has a 35:15 K:BB and the veteran will look to bounce back here after a couple of pedestria outings. 

The pick: Joe Flaherty (2-0, 3.12) gets the nod for the hom eside and he most recently struck out three Royals over five scoreless to pick up his second win of the season on Monday. Last year Flaherty was 11-8 with a 2.75 ERA and now the hard-throwing right-hander has been given the green light to go deep into this contest. Finally note that St. Louis has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after allowing 13 or more runs in a loss in its previous outing. This one has "duel" written all over it. 

The is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Indians/Cardinals.

The set-up: Yesterday's game ended in a 10-3 win over the A's and I believe we'll see a similar final combined score here in the finale of this series on Wednesday night. The visitors hand the ball to Mike Fiers (3-1, 5.81 ERA) who earned a win over the Angels by allowing three runs over 5.1 innings. It was the third time Fiers had the advantage of facing the Angels this year and it was his first win over them. Fiers enters with a poor 5.81 ERA and ballooned 1.55 WHIP. 

The pick: The home side counters with the volatile Kolby Allard (0-2, 7.82) who allowed four runs off five hits in a loss to the Mariners on Friday, unable to even get out of the first inning. Previous to that he conceded six runs in three innings to the Rockies. Note as well that Texas has interestingly seen the total go over the number in seven of its last 11 after allowing ten or more runs in a loss in its previous outing. Look for these starters to get chased early and expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER A's/Rangers.

The set-up: While yesterday's game went "under" the number, all signs point to Tuesday's contest going well "over." The visitors hand the ball to the erratic German Marquez (2-4, 4.38) who allowed ten earned runs off ten hits  over five innings in a loss to the Astros on Thursday. That's his second straight loss. 

The pick: The home side counters with the volatile Alex Young (1-1, 4.50) who is in the rotation due to the injury to Madison Bumgarner. So far over 8.1 innings as a starter, Young has conceded three home runs. Note that Arizona has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 12 as well after scoring two runs or less in a loss at home in its previous outing. This number is a little low.

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Rockies/D-Backs.

The set-up: While yesterday's game "pushed" with the 9 total, I believe that Monday afternoon's game sets up as a "slug-fest." The visitors hand the ball to the erratic Tanner Roark (2-1, 4.76 ERA) who gave up two runs off nine hits over five innings in a victory over the lowly Orioles on Wednesday. Through four starts Roark enters with a pedestrian 15:10 K:BB and poor 1.71 WHIP. 

The pick: Blake Snell (2-0, 3.00) gets the nod for the home side and while he's been sharp early, I believe the southpaw is poised for regression. Note as well that Tampa has seen the total soar over the number in seven of its last ten after a one run victory and in which it scored five or more runs in. This number is a tad low.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Jays/Rays.

The set-up: I had a play on the Pirates in their upset yesterday and they went on to win in blowout fashion. Today though I think this contest will sneak "under" the number once it's all said and done. The visitors hand the ball to Corbin Burnes (0-0, 3.00 ERA) who went five innings vs. the Twins last time out, allowing one run off one hit and striking out five in the unfortunate no-decision. 

The pick: JT Brubaker (0-0, 4.91) conceded three runs off three hits over three innings vs. the hard-hitting Indians on Tuesday, also receiving a no-decision. So far the rookie has a 10:6 K:BB and I think he'll be able to keep the Brewers off balance here. Additionally note that the Pirates have seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 11 after scoring ten or more runs in their previous game. This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER Brewers/Pirates.

The set-up: Yesterday's game ended with an 8-5 win for Boston and I believe we'll see a similar final combined score here as well once the dust settles on Saturday night. The visitors hand the ball to Martin Perez (2-3, 4.07 ERA) who enters off a loss after allowing three runs over three innings vs. the Yanks on Monday. Perez enters with a 17:14 K:BB over 24.1 innings of work. NOte that he's 4-5 with a ballooned 5.19 ERA in ten starts vs. Baltimore as well.

The pick: Alex Cobb (1-2, 3.76) was shelled for five runs off eight hits over 6.2 innings in a loss to the Jays on Monday. After a nine-game losing streak though, the Red Sox are starting to "rake" and I think Cobb will once again have difficulties today vs. this team that's clearly seeing the ball really well right now. This one has "over" written all over it.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE SLUG-FEST on the OVER Red Sox/Orioles.

The set-up: These teams played to a lower-scoring under in the A's 4-1 win last night and I believe we'll see a similar final combined score here as well. The D-Backs hand the ball to Alex Young (1-0, 3.86 ERA) who gave up one run off four hits while striking out five in an unfortunate no-decision to the Padres on Saturday. With Mad-Bum still sidelined with inury, I like Young to continue to make the most of his opportunity. 

The pick: The home side counters with Sean Manaea (0-2, 7.65) who is slowly getting back into shape, coming off his best start of the year so far, allowing three runs (two earned) off three hits while striking out five in a no-decision to the Giants on Saturday. I like Manaea to also continue his progression here. I expect these two hungry starting pitchers to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries.  

This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER D-Backs/A's.

The set-up: Both teams are struggling to find consistency at the starting pitchers position, but after yesterday's 8-7 win for the Jays, I expect a much lower-scoring duel on Wednesday. These two starters won't be lacking for motivation. The Jays' Tanner Roark (1-1, 6.00 ERA) has struggled against the Orioles in the past. The same can be said of Tommy Milone (1-2, 4.00) and the Jays. Despite that though, a couple of very strong O/U trends leads me to believe this one will indeed fall "under." 

The pick: As note that Toronto has seen the total go under in eight of its last 11 after scoring eight or more runs in a victory in its previous outing, while the O's have seen the total dip under in seven of their last nine after posting 15 or more runs combined with a team in their previous outing. This number is a little high.

This is a 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the UNDER Jays/Orioles.

The set-up: These teams played a four-game series at the start of August and they split. Snell threw opposite Tanaka back on August 8th and he was under a pitch count at the time...he looked pretty good though, he went three scoreless, allowing no hits and two walks while striking out five. Snell is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA this year so far, posting his first win of the season last time out, allowing four hits and going five scoreless in Boston, striking out six and walking none. And so with that stellar performance, Snell has been cleared to return to normal starter activity tonight.

The pick: Tanaka was in a similar boat as Snell coming into the season...started on the IL because of concussion protocol after taking a come-back to the head in his final Spring tune-up. He threw 69 pitches opposite Snell and went five scoreless, allowing one hit, no walks and he also struck out five. And then in his last start Tanaka allowed two runs over four innings in a no-decision to the Braves. They weren't even close to 100% when they squared off on August 8th...they've both been cleared for full duties and they're each coming off a strong start. I think recent form is important. I think the UNDER is definitely the correct call in this one.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Rays/Yanks.

The set-up: Both games of yesterday's double-header went "under" the number. Double-headers this year only go seven innings, but despite that, I still think that the finale of this AL series sets up as a "slug-fest." Brady Singer (1-1, 4.50 ERA) earned a loss in his MLB debut by allowing four runs over five innings to the ChiSox, before then allowing two runs over five innings in a win over these very Twins last Friday. Now that Singer is on the road though, I think the rookie takes a predictable step back here, especially now that the Twins' have had a look at him. 

The pick: Randy Dobnak (3-1, 0.90) has so far been "lights out" for the Twins, most recently allowing one run in a win over Milwaukee. Are these numbers sustainable? Dobnak is throwing well right now, but regression also seems imminent to me and I expect that downward trend to start tonight. Additionally note that the Twins have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last 11 home games after two or more straight "unders." This number is a little low.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE SLUG-FEST on the OVER Royals/Twins.

The set-up: These two teams played to a lower-scoring "under" last night, with the Rangers coming out on top 3-2. While tonight's game could see a little more offense, I do still think that this number is much too high. Kyle Gibson (0-2, 4.11 ERA) gave up four runs off nine hits over 4.1 innings in a loss to the Mariners on Monday. In his previous start he struck out nine in an unfortunate setback. The veteran was 13-7 with respectable 4.14 ERA for the Twins in 2019. 

The pick: German Marquez (2-2, 2.08) gets the call for the home side and he allowed five runs (just two earned) over seven innings in a loss to the Mariners as well. Marquez still owns a sharp 27:6 K:BB and there's no reason not to think that he won't be able to carry over that progression here. I expect these two competent starting pitchers to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries.

This is a 10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the UNDER Rangers/Rockies.

The set-up: Both of these starting pitchers have a lot of talent and potential, but I think each will get the hook early on Wednesday night and I believe that'll lead to this total flying over the posted number sooner, rather than later. Jordan Yamamoto (0-0, 9.00 ERA) allowed four runs off six hits, including two dingers, in a fortunate no-decision vs. the O's on Thursday. Last year he was 4-5 with a 4.96 ERA and I think he'll struggle in this difficult matchup. 

The pick: Nate Pearson (0-0, 2.70) gets the call for the Jays and he most recently allowed three runs over five innings in a no-decision to the Braves on Thursday. Pearson has been decent over his first two MLB starts, but regression at some point does seem imminent. The sample size is simply too small still and I'm unconvinced Pearson can keep up these numbers for much longer. As stated off the top, I look for both pitchers to get the hook early and I look for that to help in seeing this total eclipse the posted number once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* ULTIMATE SLUG-FEST DESTRUCTION on the OVER Fish/Jays.

The set-up: Both of these starters has been decent and each of these clubs has struggled somewhat with offensive consistency. Despite that though, I think this one sets up as a classic "slug-fest." Jon Lester gets the call for Chicago (1-0, 0.82 ERA) and he's allowed just one run over two starts. If Lester had one weakness last season though it was definitely his play on the road, where he was only 5-6 with a 4.90 ERA. Regression seems imminent for the over-acheiving veteran hurler. 

The pick: The home side counters with Adam Plutko, who makes a spot start here in place of Clevinger, who is placed on the 14 Day Covid list for breaking protocol. Plutko allowed two runs over six innings in a win over the White Sox on Tuesday, but I think that being thrust into the spot-light here is not going to be conducive in registering a decent outing. When you add it up, this number is just a little low, as I look for these two hungry clubs to eclipse sooner, rather than later.

This is a 10* TOTAL SLUG-FEST on the OVER Cubs/Indians.

The set-up: Washington's game vs. the Orioles was suspended yesterday after the seventh innings, a 5-2 Baltimore win. The Mets were also involved in a very low-scoring affair yesterday, as they beat Miami 4-2 with their ace Jacob deGrom on the mound. While yesterday's games both went "under" for these teams, I think that Monday's contest sets up more as an offensive affair.

The pick: Patrick Corbin allowed three runs off eight hits over 5.2 innings in a win over these very Mets last Tuesday. Corbin was rock solid last year, but note he had a rather pedestrian 4.48 ERA on the road. He'll be opposed by confirmed "gas can" Steven Matz (0-1, 3.18) who was rocked for five runs off seven hits over three innings in a loss to these very Nationals last Tuesday. Additionally note that New York has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last ten after allowing two runs or less in a victory. This number is a little low in my opinion.

This is a 10* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER on the Nats/Mets.

The set-up: After yesterday's high-scoring 8-4 Yanks win, I'm expecting much more of a "duel" in the finale of this three game set. James Paxton (0-1, 13.50 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, who comes off a pair of poor starts to the 2020 campaign. Paxton had surgery in February and it's caused a decrease in velocity on his fast ball, which has led to a pair of poor outings. The veteran should improve with each outing though, as his track and pedigree definitely point to a comeback effort here sooner, rather than later. 

The pick: Charlie Morton (1-1, 8.00) gets the call for the visitors and he comes off his first win of the year, allowing one run off five hits with no walks and five K's over six innings vs. the Reds on Tuesday. After a shaky first outing, Morton definitely returned to the form which saw him go 16-6 with a 3.05 ERA last season. I'm banking on Morton continuing his progression and I absolutely expect Paxton to be much better here. With these two starters battling deep, look for this one to stay under once it's all said and done.

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER Yanks/Rays.

The set-up: A couple of confirmed "gas cans" go head to head in this NL matchup on Saturday night and suffice it to say, I'm expecting runs to be plentiful. Anthony DeSclafani (0-0, 0.00 ERA) went five scoreless in his debut vs. the toothless Tigers last Sunday. DeSclafani was only 3-5 with a 4.28 ERA on the road and I believe he'll struggle here as well in this difficult road venue. 

The pick: Brett Anderson (0-0, 6.00) goes for the Brewers and he most recently allowed two runs over three innings to the White Sox on Monday. So far Anderson has struggled with consistency in the early going and all signs point to this trend continuing here. I believe these starters get the hook early and that will ultimately help in contributing to this total flying over sooner, rather than later. 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Reds/Brewers.

The set-up: Yes, Blake Snell has struggled to start this season a bit, but he's always been at his best vs. the Yankees at home, going 2-1 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts opposed in friendly confines. The problem for Tampa here is that it's offense has been downright terrible, hitting a collective .211 with an on-base percentage of only .303. 

The pick: The Yanks Masahiro Tanaka is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA this year, but note that he's pretty much dominated the Rays throughout his career by going 10-4 with a 3.20 ERA in 18 starts opposed, including 4-2 with a 1.79 ERA in his last eight vvs. them. I look for these starting pitchers to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries. 

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Yanks/Rays.

The set-up: Two veteran pitchers who have been accustomed to success over their careers, but who have struggled somewhat to open this abbreviated season, collide in this AL matchup on Thursday afternoon and suffice it to say, I'm expecting this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. Mike Minor (0-2, 5.91 ERA) gets the nod for the Rangers and he most recently got rocked for six runs off nine hits in a loss to the Giants on Friday. Over 10.2 innings of work Minor now has a poor 1.41 WHIP.

The pick: The A's counter with Mike Fiers (0-0, 5.40) who allowed two runs off four hits and one walk over six frames in a no-decision vs. the soft-hitting Mariners on Saturday, also striking out three. Previous to that Fiers was rocked for four runs off seven hits over four innings in a fortunate no-decision vs. the Angels. These two pitchers have seen better days and I think they'll each "get the hook" early, which will ultimately help in pushing this total over the posted number as the game comes down the stretch.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Rangers/A's.

The set-up: This series shifts from Cincinnati to Cleveland for two more. Despite what happens on Tuesday in Cincinnati, I expect these two starting "studs" to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries. Luis Castillo (0-1, 4.50 ERA) has faced the Tigers twice already this year and in one game he was downright filthy and in the other he got shelled. Castillo was 15-8 with 3.40 ERA last year and he was especially dominant on the road by going 7-1 with a 3.88 ERA (also 12-3 with a 3.53 ERA in all "night" games.) 

The pick: Mike Clevinger (0-1, 4.91) is coming off back-to-back tough outings, which is uncharacteristic for the Indians' hard-throwing right-hander. Clevinger was 13-4 with a 2.71 ERA last year and he was particularly awesome at home by going 5-1 with a 1.79 ERA. With these two starters expected to throw deep, I look for this total to stay under.

This is a 10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Reds/Indians.

The set-up: Both teams have plenty of "pop" in their respective lineups, but I believe that these hungry starting pitchers will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries once it's all said and done. Matt Shoemaker (0-0, 1.50 ERA) who comes in extra rested after the Jays' series with the Phillies was postponed over the weekend. Shoemaker looked brilliant in his season debut, holding the Rays to one run off three hits over six frames, and I don't have any reason not to believe that the veteran won't carry that momentum over here as well.

The pick: Max Fried (1-0, 2.31) get the nod for the home side and he was even better than his counterpart in his opener, holding the Rays to one run off three hits while striking out seven over seven innings. These two pitchers already have a similar opponent and each looked brilliant (note as well that Fried was a sharp 9-3 with a 3.21 ERA at home last season as well.) This one has "duel" written all over it. Play the under.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Jays/Braves.

The set-up: The Rays "ace" continues to struggle. Blake Snell (0-0, 0.00 ERA) was 6-8 with a 4.29 ERA last year and he'd allow three hits and two walks while striking out five in a no-decision vs. the Jays on Sunday. Note that he was particularly ineffective on the road as well last season, going just 2-5 with a 5.82 ERA. 

The pick: Alex Cobb (1-0, 1.69) is a late fill in here and while he did well with a victory over the Red Sox on Saturday in his season debut, I still think the book is out on the veteran, who previously hadn't won a game since 2018. Cobb was 0-2 with a 10.95 ERA last year and I think that regression is definitely imminent in this difficult second matchup. I am anticipating that each starter will get chased early which will help tremendously in pushing this total over the number by the end of the night.

10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Rays/Orioles.

The set-up: The White Sox need to wake up and start living up to their expected potential and they'll be eager to bounce back after a listless 4-3 loss yesterday. While that game stayed "under" the number, all signs point to this one finally flying over as the game comes down the stretch in my opinion. Lucas Giolito (0-1, 17.18 ERA) was rocked for seven runs off six hits with three walks over three innings in an opening day loss to the Twins on Friday. Things certainly aren't going to get any easier for Giolito here eitehr facing this 

The pick: Zach Plesac (0-0, 0.00) gets the nod for the home side. Last year he was 8-6 with a 3.81 ERA. Plesac did enough in the short spring tune up to get a shot in the rotation, but note that he had a 4.56 ERA in all "night" contests a year ago. I look for these pitchers to get the hook early and I expect these line-ups to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries.

10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER White Sox/Indians.

The set-up: Despite what happens on Monday night between these two clubs, I'm fully expecting offensive fireworks on Tuesday night, as I'm not convinced either starter will last long before getting the hook. ATL turns to Kyle Wright, who was 0-3 with an 8.69 ERA last year and who enters having had a mediocre spring tune-up, in which he arrived to the team late. Note that he was particularly poor after the All Star Break last year as well, posting a 13.85 ERA.

The pick: The home side counters with Yonny Chrinos, who was 9-5 with a 3.85 ERA last year. Chirinos though also arrived to camp late due to a positive COVID-19 test. While he's been given the green light, clearly he'll be on a leash and yanked quickly if he starts to run out of gas. I look for these two "gas cans" to exit early and I expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE on the OVER Braves/Rays.

The set-up: The Rays evened up this series with a 4-1 victory last night, but neither side can be too happy yet with how it's performed at the plate in the early going. Tampa had just five hits for the second straight game yesterday. Tampa ace was 0-1 with a 2.51 ERA in three starts vs. the Jays last year.

The pick: Thomas Hatch is expected to make his debut for the Jays this afternoon. Toronto will then make a quick turn around for a series vs. the Washington Nationals. Note as well that Toronto has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last ten AL road games after losing and scoring one run or less in the process. Look for these two offenses to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries.

10* TOTAL COACH'S CORNER on the OVER Jays/Rays.

The set-up: Both of these AL teams are expected to compete and possibly make the playoffs this season. Each is loaded with talented hitters, but I think that these two studs on the mound will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries. Jose Berrios gets the nod for the Twins and he was 14-8 with a 3.68 ERA last year. Berrios had a great camp and there's no reason not to believe that he can't bring the smoke here on Opening night. 

The pick:Lucas Giolito was 14-9 with a 3.41 ERA last year. In 2018 he was 10-13 with a 6.13 ERA. That's a huge improvement and there's no doubt the White Sox expect him to continue to develop this year as well. Teams don't have the luxury to "get up to speed," everyone needs to hit the ground running and establish something early. I believe these two starting pitchers battle deep and as such, look for this one to stay well below the number once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Twins/White Sox.

The set-up: Two unbelievable pitchers face a couple of hard-hitting line-ups. Both Max Scherzer and Gerrit Cole have incredible seasonal numbers, in the playoffs and vs. their respective opponents. It wouldn't be difficult to write a play on the "under" based entirely around their stats/numbers. But I think these two starters can still "shine" in this contest, and this total can still eclipse this very low-number. 

The pick: Based primarily around the fact that Washington has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last ten when the total in the contest is set at 7 or lower, while Houston has seen the total soar over in 11 of its last 17 after allowing four runs or less in four straight games. With time to re-focus, I believe it'll be these hard-hitting line-ups which become the main story-lines in tomorrow's summaries. 

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Nationals/Astros.

The set-up: Houston lost 7-0 in Game 1, before then rebounding with a 3-2 extra innings effort in Game 2. With the shift in venue, I'm finally expecting a higher-scoring game here. The Astros were 47-26 on the road this year, but they lost both road games to the Rays. Clearly they'll be out to end that trend. Gerrit Cole gets the nod for the visitors, while Louis Severino toes the slab for the home side. 

The pitchers: Cole (20-5, 2.50 ERA) has been exceptional this season and so far in the playoffs, but I think he finally takes a step back here. Note that he's 1-0 with a 4.15 ERA in two starts vs. the Yanks. 

Severino (1-1, 1.50) is 1-2 with a 5.33 ERA in seven career postseason starts. 

The pick: Note as well that Houston has seen the total go "over" in 35 of its last 60 after two or more consecutive home games, while New York has seen the total go over the number in 14 of its last 21 after allowing three runs or less in four straight games. The Yanks have to be thrilled with the split they earned over the first two games and now they're in the drivers seat. I think this one creeps over this tiny number once it's all said and done.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Astros/Yankees.

The set-up: The winner of the AL Wildcard plays the Astros in Houston this weekend in the ALDS. Both of these starters come into this game “hot” and I expect each to throw deep. Charlie Morton gets the nod for the visitors, while the home side counters with Sean Manaea. 

The pitchers: Morton (16-6, 3.05 ERA) is 2-2 with a 4.60 ERA in seven postseason appearances. Morton appeared in the All Star Game this year. 

Manaea (0-0, 1.21) returned from a 12 month absence due to a torn labrum in September and since then he’s been nearly untouchable, winning both home starts with a 2.13 ERA. 

The pick: Note that Manaea is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA in three career starts vs. Tampa. Morton went 1-0 with a minuscule 0.68 ERA in two starts vs. the A’s this year (note that Morton owns a 1.65 ERA in three starts at Oakland in his career as well.) This one has “duel” written all over it in my opinion. 

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Rays/A’s.  

The set-up: Neither starter has done well this year and I believe each will struggle in this match-up as well. The visitors hand the ball to Pablo Lopez, while the home side goes with Vince Velasquez. 

The pitchers: Lopez (5-8, 4.96 ERA) is an atrocious 2-5 with a 7.27 ERA on the road this year. 

Velasquez (7-8, 4.76) was most recently shelled for four runs over four innings in a loss to the Indians on Sunday.

The pick: The Phillies are out of playoff contention and they’re now just 79-80 on the year. Philadelphia will be hungry to stop its six game slide and I expect a big day at the plate from both teams here, as Miami would love nothing more than to kick the home side while its down. Facing these two suspect starting pitchers, everything definitely points to these line-ups being the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Play the over.

10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Marlins/Phillies.

The set-up: I’m expecting a “duel” between these two hungry hurlers. Both Kyle Freeland and Tyler Beede have had poor campaigns, but each will be eager to try and pad their stats with a strong performance while they can. 

The pitchers: Freeland (3-11, 6.84 ERA) comes back from injury and he worked two innings vs. the Dodgers last Saturday. He’s 1-1 vs. San Fran this year and a sharp 6-3 with a 3.13 ERA in 11 starts for his career.

Beede (5-10, 5.23) has been roughed up twice by the Rockies this year, but note that he’s been at his best at home this season (3.99 ERA at home, compared to 6.28 on the road.) 

The pick: This series will conclude the Rockies road campaign. The Giants are paying respects to manager Bruce Bochy before he retires. Yesterday’s contest ended 2-1 and I anticipate another low-scoring affair here. 

10* TOTAL COACHS CORNER on the UNDER Rockies/Giants. 

The set-up: For a number of different reasons, I expect this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. The visitors go with Michael Wacha, while the home side goes with Merrill Kelly. 

The pitchers: Wacha (6-7, 4.63 ERA) has been decent of late, but note that he’s a terrible 4-6 with a 5.87 ERA on the road this season. 

Kelly (12-14, 4.31) has been decent of late as well, but he’s just 2-3 with a 5.66 ERA in his last five day home games.

The pick: While yesterday’s game went well under the number (3-2 D-Backs in extra frames), Wednesday afternoon’s contest definitely sets up as more of a slugfest in my opinion (note as well that St. Louis has seen the total go over the number in 23 of its last 38 on the road when the money line in the contest is set between -125 and +125, while Arizona has seen the total soar over the number in 18 of its last 28 vs. teams with winning records.) Everything points to a classic “slug-fest.” 

10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Cards/D-Backs.

The set-up: For a number of different reasons, I think this total will sneak above the posted number. The Marlins hand the ball to Sandy Alcantara, while the home side counters with Noah Syndergaard. Miami won 8-4 last night, pushing the Mets five games behind the Brewers in the wild card race. New York is playing for its playoff life, while the Fish are looking to deliver the final nail in the coffin. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe this sets up as a “slug-fest.” 

The pitchers: Alcantara (5-14, 4.00 ERA) most recently was rocked for five run over five innings in a loss to the D-Backs on Wednesday. 

Syndergaard (10-8, 4.22) was most recently shelled for four runs over 5 2/3’s innings vs. the Rockies on Wednesday. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Miami has seen the total go over the number in 17 of its last 27 as an underdog of +200 or higher, while New York has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 as a -200 favorite or higher. This number is low considering all of the above factors. 

10* TOTAL COACH’S CORNER on the OVER Marlins/Mets.

The set-up: Two competent starters who have had more difficult than expected seasons collide on Monday night and in my opinion, I believe each will work deep into this one. And as a result, I look for this total to sneak below the posted number once it’s all said and done. The visitors go with Jhoulys Chacin, while the home side counters with Blake Snell. 

The pitchers: Chacin (3-11, 5.66 ERA) has struggled vs. the Rays throughout his career, but he enters off a decent start and I look for the veteran to carry that momentum over here. 

Snell (6-7, 4.19) is 5-3 with a 3.02 ERA in nine career starts vs. Boston. 

The pick: The Red Sox have been eliminated from playoff contention, while the Rays are still in a fight for the Wild card. But in this contest, I believe it’ll be the starting pitchers who become the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. This number is a tad high. 

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Red Sox/Rays.

The set-up: A couple of competent veteran hurlers go head-to-head in this one and in my opinion, runs are going to be at a premium. The visitors hand the ball to Mike Minor, while the home side counters with Mike Fiers. 

The pitchers: Minor (13-9, 3.33 ERA) has pitched four times in Oakland in his career and he’s gone 1-2 with a 3.95 ERA. 

Fiers (14-4, 4.09) is 8-1 in Oakland this year, and 12-3 at the Coliseum for his career. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Texas has seen the total go under the number in 21 of 31 this year when on the road and the total in the contest is set at either 9 or 9.5, while Oakland has seen the total dip below the posted number in interestingly, 17 of 21 games that it’s played on a “Friday” this year (does that matter tonight? Well..it doesn’t hurt!) This number is indeed a bit high in my opinion, play the under.

10* TOTAL COACHS CORNER on the UNDER Rangers/As. 

The set-up: For a number of different reasons, I look for this total to fly over the number sooner, rather than later. The visitors go with Joey Lucchesi, while the home side goes with Jordan Lyles. The Padres broke a six-game losing streak with a 2-1 win last night, but the Brewers are still surging towards a wild card spot. Note that the loss was just the second in the Brewers last 13 games overall. 

The pitchers: Lucchesi (10-8, 4.22 ERA) was shelled for eight runs over 3 2/3’s innings in a 10-8 loss to the Rockies on Friday. 

Lyles (11-8, 4.25) is 3-4 with a 5.02 ERA in 13 career games vs. the Friars.

The pick: After yesterday’s “duel,” the conditions now definitely seem right for more of a “slug-fest” on Thursday afternoon. This number is a tad low in my opinion. 

10* TOTAL PLAYBOOK on the OVER Padres/Brewers.

The set-up: While neither starter instils a ton of confidence, I still think that this number is too high. These teams went “under” the number last night as well and all signs point to another lower-scoring affair on Wednesday afternoon in my opinion. The offensively challenged visitors hand the ball to Danny Duffy, while the home side goes with Homer Bailey.

The pitchers: Duffy (6-6, 4.55 ERA) enters throwing his best of the entire season, off back-to-back gems by allowing just two runs and six hits over 12 frames. 

Bailey (13-8, 4.76) started the season on the Royals roster, and since coming over to Oakland he’s gone 6-2 with a 4.70 ERA in 11 starts. He’s 1-0 with 4.50 ERA lifetime vs. KC. 

The pick: The A’s have a two game lead over Tampa and 2.5 game lead over Cleveland for the AL Wildcard. Expect these ex-teammates to go deep and for this total to stay well below the posted number.

10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the under KC/As.

The set-up: While neither starting pitchers instills much confidence, I still believe this number is too high. The visitors go with Marco Gonzales, while the home side counters with Mitch Keller. 

The pitchers: Gonzales (15-11, 4.30 ERA) gave up two runs over seven innings in a 5-3 win over the Reds on Wednesday.

Keller (1-4, 8.29) has clearly struggled in his rookie year, but there’s no question that he’s been much worse on the road (11.14 ERA), than at home (4.16.) 

The pick: Both teams have been playing to some high-scoring affairs of late, but the numbers point otherwise in this particular interleague contest, as note that Seattle has in fact seen the total dip under in nine of 15 interleague games this season, while Pittsburgh’s seen the total go under in four of five after allowing eight runs or more in two straight games. This number is a tad high.

*10* TOTAL PLAYBOOK on the UNDER M’s/Pirates.

The set-up: Both teams played to higher-scoring slug-feats on Sunday, but I believe that the opener of this series sets up as more of a “duel.” The visitors go with Reynaldo Lopez, while the home side counters with Jose Berrios. 

The pitchers: Lopez (9-13, 5.35 ERA) is 1-3 with a 5.30 ERA in six career starts vs. the Twins.

Berrios (12-8, 3.63) is the difference maker for me here, as he’s 10-2 with a 2.40 ERA in 13 career starts vs. the White Sox, including 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA in four outings this year. 

The pick: Minnesota took two of three from the Indians and with a sweep of the Sox on its final home stand, it can wrap up the division title. I have a hard time seeing Chicago putting many runs on the board today and as a result, look for this total to stay well under the number.

10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under White Sox/Twins.

The set-up: Two hungry teams collide in this AL contest on Sunday afternoon and I believe that runs will be plentiful. The visitors go with Randy Dobnak, while the home side goes with Shane Bieber.

The pitchers: Dobnak (0-1, 2.25 ERA) makes a spot start here for Jose Berrios. He’s done decently already vs. the Indians on two occasions this year, but that was then and this is now. I think the rookie takes a predictable step back today in this pressure filled afternoon contest. 

Bieber (14-7, 3.17) is 3-0 with a 3.83 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Twins. It’s difficult to say anything negative about Bieber, so I won’t bother. I simply feel that he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time.

The pick: Cleveland lost both games of yesterday’s double-header and its bid for a fourth consecutive AL Central title is in jeopardy. The Twins on the other hand are inching closer to their first division title since 2010. In my opinion, this one sets up as a high-scoring “slug-fest” on Sunday afternoon.

10* TOTAL PLAYBOOK on the over Twins/Tribe.

The set-up: For a number of different reasons, I think this number is a shade low. The visitors go with Robert Dugger, while the home side goes with Madison Bumgarner. 

The pitchers: Dugger (0-2, 4.29 ERA) has been more “miss” than “hit” this year, having allowed 11 walks in 21 frames of work thus far. 

Bumgarner (9-8, 3.77) most recently allowed two runs over six innings in a 4-2 loss to Miami earlier in the year. 

The pick: The Giants won 1-0 last night, but I expect much more of a “slug-fest” on Saturday (note as well that the numbers back us up, as Miami has seen the total go over the number in 21 of 35 vs. southpaws this season already, while SF has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of its last six after shutting out it opponent in its last game. This number is low.

10* TOTAL PLAYBOOK on on the over Marlins/Giants.

The set-up: I had a play on the Astros in their complete destruction of the Rays last night and I expect another high-scoring affair tonight. Perhaps not so lop-sided this time around though. The visitors hand the ball to Ryan Yarbrough, while the home side counters with Gerrit Cole.

The pitchers: Yarbrough (11-3, 3.29 ERA) has been sharp of late, going 1-0 with a 0.47 ERA over his last three starts. It’s difficult to say anything negative about Yarbrough, I simply feel that he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time here.

Cole (15-5, 2.75) has been brilliant over the last couple of months, going 11-0 with a 1.84 ERA. It’s VERY interesting to note though that he’s 0-2 with a 3.84 ERA in three career starts vs. Tampa Bay. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Tampa has seen the total go over the number in 12 of 19 already this year on the road when the total in the contest is set at either 8 or 8.5, while Houston has seen the total go over in four of its last five after a win by five or more runs. This number is a little low.

Houston Astros/Tampa Bay Rays OVER 10* play

The set-up: True that Padres starter Eric Lauer is 4-0 with a 1.72 ERA in six career starts vs. the Dodgers, but I think he’ll finally have his hands full tonight. The visitors hand the ball to Dustin May.

The pitchers: May (1-2, 4.26) faced the Padres on August 2nd at Dodger Stadium and he was shelled for four runs off nine hits over five innings. 

Lauer (6-8, 4.47 ERA) is 8-15 with a 5.47 ERA career record vs. the rest of the league. Suffice it to say, I believe this lop-sided trend of domination vs. the Dodgers comes to a predictable end here. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Dodgers have seen the total go over the number in 15 of 19 this year on the road when the total is between 8 and 8.5, while the Padres have seen the total fly over in 21 of 18 this season at home with a total in the 8 or 8.5 range. This number is low, play the over.

LA Dodgers/San Diego Padres OVER 10* play

The set-up: The Yanks won the opener 10-2, but the Dodgers took the second game 2-1. I believe we’ll see a similar final combined score as what we saw last night though once it’s all said and done with the Yankees’ Domingo German facing the Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw. 

The pitchers: German (16-3, 4.15 ERA) enters off a rare poor performance, allowing six runs over six innings to the A’s. German though has been the model of consistency and clearly there’s no need to hit the panic button after one lousy outing.

Kershaw (13-2, 2.71) owns a 0.90 ERA over 20 innings faced vs. the Yanks (although he doesn’t have a decision yet.) So far all 22 of his starts have been six innings or more, with 19 of them as quality (and note that he hasn’t thrown more than 101 pitches in any outing.) 

The pick: I think German bounces back and there’s also no reason not to think that Kershaw can continue his resurgent season in friendly confines. When you add it all up, it makes this total a little high in my opinion. 

NY Yankees/LA Dodgers UNDER 10* play

The set-up: While neither of these starters instills a ton of confidence, I still think that this number is high. After the Marlins’ 19-11 slug-fest victory yesterday, I think the stage is set for more of a “duel” on Saturday night. The visitors hand the ball to Zach Eflin, while the home side counters with Jordan Yamamoto.

The pitchers: Efin (7-11, 4.57 ERA) is 3-2 with a 4.37 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Marlins.

Yamamoto (4-4, 4.31) struck out a career-high nine batters over six innings in a no-decision to the Rockies on Sunday and he’s 1-0 with a 3.99 ERA in two starts vs. the Phillies this year. 

The pick: Note that Philly slugger Bryce Harper remains out of the line-up, as he’s expecting a new child. I think these hungry starters throw deep and I look for this total to indeed sneak under once it’s all said and done.

Miami Marlins/Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 10* play

The set-up: While Ivan Nova hasn’t had a great overall season for the White Sox, he’s been a bit better of late. Kyle Gibson though is a big reason why his team will be in the postseason this year. Admittedly neither of these starting pitchers instills a ton of confidence, but I still believe this number is high.

The pitchers: Nova (8-9, 4.51 ERA) has actually won four of his last five stars and he enters off a 4-1 complete-game effort over the hard-hitting Astros on Tuesday, allowing four hits and one unearned run. Over his last two starts Nova has conceded nine hits, three walks and an unearned run. 

Gibson (11-5, 4.28) gave up three runs over five innings in a no-decision to the Brewers on Wednesday. 

The pick: Note that Nova is 3-2 with a 3.45 ERA in six career appearances vs. the Twins as well, while Gibson is 9-4 with a 2.74 ERA in 16 career starts vs. the White Sox. Expect these two hungry starters to battle deep.

10* TOTAL OF WEEK on under White Sox/Twins.

The set-up: Two hungry teams face off against two hungry starters and in my opinion, it’s going to be these capable hurlers who become the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Marcus Stroman gets the nod for the visitors, while the home side goes with Julio Teheran.

The pitchers: Stroman (6-11, 3.20 ERA) has faced the Braves twice and he’s gone 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA. He most recently allowed four runs and struck out nine over seven innings in a no-decision to the Nationals on Friday.

Teheran (7-7, 3.35) enters on top form, going 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA over his last seven starts. 

The pick: Atlanta has won the first two games of this series and all signs point to a battle in the finale as well. This number is high, play the under.

Atlanta Braves/NY Mets UNDER 10* play

The set-up: Considering the talent level between the starting pitchers this evening, I believe that runs are going to be at a premium. Boston goes with ace Chris Sale, while Cleveland hands the ball to Mike Clevinger. 

The pitchers: Sale (6-11, 4.41 ERA) enters on top form, having struck out 13 over eight scoreless in a win over the Angels on Thursday. 

Clevinger (7-2, 3.02) most recently allowed two runs over seven innings in a win over the hard-hitting Twins on Thursday.

The pick: Boston will essentially have to run the table now at any shot of defending its crown. One game at a time I guess. But after last night’s 6-5 Indians win, I do definitely believe that the stage is set for a “duel” this evening. This number is a little high. 

Boston Red Sox/Cleveland Indians UNDER 10* play

The set-up: Cincinnati lost 6-3 to the Reds on Sunday afternoon, while Washington pulled away for a 7-4 victory at the Mets. For a number of different reasons though, I think that the opener of this series sets up as more of a “duel.” The Reds turn to Anthony DeSclafani, while the home side goes with Erik Fedde.

The pitchers: DeSclafani (7-6, 4.20 ERA) gave up four runs over six innings in a win over the Angels on Tuesday. Previous to that start though he’d allowed three or fewer earned runs over a seven outing stretch (note that he’s a solid 4-2 with a 3.42 ERA in all night games.) 

Fedde (2-2, 4.20) comes in off a dominant outing vs. the Giants last Monday and I don’t think there’s any reason not to think that he can’t carry that momentum over here, going six scoreless vs. the Giants. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Reds have seen the total go under the number in eight of their last 11 National League road games in which the total is set between 10 and 10.5, while the Nationals have seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of their last ten home games when the total falls in the same range. This number is high.

Cincinnati Reds/Washington Nationals UNDER 10* play

The set-up: This is the rubber match of a three-game series and I believe that because of the level of competency on the mound between the starting pitchers tonight, that runs are going to be at a premium. The visitors hand the ball to Chris Bassitt, while the home side counters with Lucas Giolito. 

The pitchers: Bassitt (7-5, 3.80 ERA) has posted back-to-back quality starts, but has earned a no-decision each time for his effort. Clearly Bassitt won’t be lacking for motivation here. 

Giolito (12-5, 3.44) snapped a five start winless skid with a quality start and victory over Detroit on Monday. 

The pick: Note that in three career starts vs. the White Sox, Bassitt has walked five and struck out 15 spanning 17 innings. Giolito earned a win over the A’s in his only start vs. them, allowing four runs over eight innings. With each of these competent hurlers fighting deep into the latter frames, look for this total to stay well below the posted number. 

Oakland A's/Chi White Sox UNDER 10* play

The set-up: Mike Soroka is putting together a fantastic rookie campaign for the Braves, as he’s played a big part in the team’s success this year. Sandy Alcantara has been more “miss” than “hit” for the Fish this season and I believe he’ll have his hands full here vs. the hard-hitting visiting side. When you add it all up, I believe this number is a little low. 

The pitchers: Soroka (10-2, 2.45 ERA) most recently gave up three runs over seven innings in a no-decision to the Twins on Monday. It’s difficult to say anything negative about Soroka, other than his low strikeout numbers (97 K’s in 121 frames).

Alcantara (4-10, 4.50) enters off a decent start vs. the Mets on Monday, allowing two runs over five innings in a no-decision. Despite the effort though, note that Alcantara still has a poor 7.21 ERA since the All-Star break. 

The pick: Also note that Alcantara is just 2-8 with a 5.94 ERA in all “night” games this year. Take it for what you will as well, but ATL has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last ten National League road games with a total set at either 8 or 8.5 and as a -125 to -175 favorite. Everything points to a “slug-fest.” 

Atlanta Braves/Miami Marlins OVER 10* play

The set-up: Jon Gray has been solid for the Rockies this year, but I still think that he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one. Eric Lauer for the most part has struggled for the Padres this year and I think he’s going to get the hook early here as well. 

The pitchers: Gray (10-7, 4.03 ERA) has enjoyed success vs. the Padres throughout his career, but he comes in off a terrible outing vs. the Giants on Saturday, giving up four runs off nine hits and a walk over four innings. 

Lauer (6-8, 4.43) is 0-3 with a 12.51 ERA and 2.488 WHIP and .364 OBA in four career starts. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Colorado has seen the total go over the number in ten of its last 15 on the road when the total in the contest is set at either 8 or 8.5, while SD has seen the total soar over the number in 14 of 21 at home this year when the total is set at either 8 or 8.5. Expect this one to fly over sooner, rather than later.

Colorado Rockies/San Diego Padres OVER 10* play

The set-up: Neither of these starting pitchers instills much confidence. The visitors hand the ball to Jordan Yamamoto, while the home side goes with Steven Matz. 

The pitchers: Yamamoto (4-2, 3.94 ERA) was blasted for four runs over five innings in a no-decision vs. the Twins in his last outing.

Matz (6-7, 4.60) was shelled for five runs over three innings in an 8-4 loss to the Bucs in his last start. 

The pick: New York is on a mission now as it looks to complete the four-game sweep. Clearly the Marlins won’t be going down without a fight. Considering the starting pitchers and the above situational/motivational factors, I think this one flys over the posted number sooner, rather than later. 

NY Mets/Miami Marlins OVER 10* play

The set-up: Two veteran hurlers with chips on their shoulders go head-to-head in this interesting NL matchup on Saturday night and in my professional opinion, runs are definitely going to be at a premium. The Reds’ trot out the newly acquired Trevor Bauer, while the home side goes with Dallas Keuchel. 

The pitchers: Bauer (9-8, 3.79 ERA) scuffled in his last start for his old team, giving up a career high seven runs over four innings, but terrible performances like that have truly been few and far between for the big right-hander. Note that Bauer has a 1.21 WHIP and 185:63 K:BB through 156.2 innings this year. 

Keuchel (3-4, 3.86) enters off a loss vs. the Nationals on Monday, allowing four runs over six innings. Keuchel though has been at his best at home this year, so far posting a solid 2.66 ERA to this point. 

The pick: I believe the stage is set for a “duel.” This number is high, play the under.

10* NL 2ND HALF TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST on the under Reds/Braves.

The set-up: While the first two games of this series have gone under the number, I think that these two hungry clubs (tied for the lead in the NL Central) will post plenty of runs in the rubber match. The visitors hand the ball to Jon Lester, while the home side goes with Joe Flaherty. 

The pitchers: Lester (9-6, 3.63 ERA) is coming off a strong start and he’s had plenty of success vs. the Cards in the past, but I think he’s in the wrong place at the wrong time here (note that the Cards are 30-23 at home, while the Cubs are only 21-32 on the road this season.) 

Flaherty (4-6, 4.17) has been very hot of late, but he’s struggled mightily vs. the Cubs throughout his career, going 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in six match ups.

The pick: Note that the Cubs are expected to welcome slugger Nicholas Castellanos on Thursday night as well, acquired from the Tigers at the trade deadline. Expect these starters to get chased early and look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

Chicago Cubs/St Louis Cards OVER 10* play

The set-up: A couple of competent hurlers go head to head in this one and I believe that runs are going to be at a premium. The visitors hand the ball to Dario Agrazal, while the home side counters with ace Luis Castillo.

The pitchers: Agrazal (2-1, 3.24 ERA) also comes in off the worst start of his career. Agrazal gave up five runs over six innings in a 6-3 loss to the Mets on Friday, but previous to that he’d not allowed more than two earned runs over his first five starts of his career. Expect a return to the norm here.

Castillo (9-4, 2.71) comes in off his worst start of the year, allowing six runs off eight hits over five innings vs. the Rockies on Friday. Starts like that have been few and far between for Castillo though, who has to be feeling confident as he’s 5-3 with a tiny 2.28 ERA at home.

The pick: After yesterday’s 11-4 Pittsburgh victory, one which ended a nine-game losing streak and which featured a wild benches-clearing brawl, I believe this contest sets up nicely as much more of a “duel.” 

Pittsburgh Pirates/Cincinnati Reds UNDER 10* play

The set-up: No need to overthink this one. Two pitchers who are struggling down the stretch collide in this American League contest on Tuesday night and suffice it to say, I believe that runs are going to be plentiful. The visitors hand the ball to Drew VerHagen, while the home side goes with Griffin Canning. 

The pitchers: VerHagen (1-1, 14.40 ERA) gave up seven runs off six hits with four walks in a loss to the Mariners after getting called up last week.

Canning (3-6, 5.15) was most recently shelled for five runs off five hits while striking out two over two innings. Over his last five outings Canning has given up 18 runs combined.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Detroit has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five as a road dog of +200 or higher, while LA has seen the total go over the number in three of four this year as a home favorite of -200 or higher. Look for these starters to get the hook early and play the over.

10* TOTAL COACH’S CORNER on the over Tigers/Angels.

The set-up: After yesterday’s back and forth “slug-fest,” I’m expecting a much more of a “duel” in the finale of this three-game set. The visitors hand the ball to Yonny Chirinos, while the home side counters with Aaron Sanchez. 

The pitchers: Chirinos (8-5, 3.29 ERA) has gone at least five frames in all 15 of his starts this year and he’s 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA in four career outings vs. the Jays.

Sanchez (3-14, 6.06) comes in off his best start of the year, giving up one run off five hits while striking out six and walking no one in an unfortunate no-decision to the hard-hitting Indians.

The pick: Note as well that Sanchez owns a tiny 2.03 ERA in 16 career games vs. the Rays. As mentioned off the top, after yesterday’s 10-9 Blue jays win in 12 innings, I think this one sets up nicely as a lower-scoring “under.” 

10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the under Rays/Jays.

The set-up: Two suspect hurlers go head-to-head in this one and I believe that runs are going to be plentiful. The visitors hand the ball to Adrian Sampson, while the home side goes with Homer Bailey.

The pitchers: Sampson (6-7, 5.19 ERA) while Sampson is 1-0 vs. the A’s in four career starts, he sports an unremarkable 5.51 ERA over that span.

Bailey (8-7, 5.42) beat the Mariners 10-2 at home in his debut for his new club, before then predictably falling back down to Earth in an 11-1 loss at Houston in his second. 

The pick: Note as well that Bailey has faced the Rangers twice already this year while with KC, losing both starts (16-2, 6-2) and posting a 10.13 ERA in the process. This one has “slugfest” written all over it. Play the over.

10* TOTAL COACH’S CORNER on the over Rangers/A’s.

The set-up: Yesterday’s total blasted well past the posted number, but all signs point to more of a “duel” here in my opinion. The home side turns to Walker Buehler to try and complete the three-game sweep of the impotent Fish, while the visitors counter with rookie Jordan Yamamoto.

The pitchers: Yamomoto (4-0, 1.59 ERA) has not conceded more than two earned runs in any of his outing since he debuted in mid June.

Buehler (8-1, 3.44) has 120 K’s over 110 innings this year and he owns a 3.60 ERA over two career starts vs. Miami. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Miami has seen the total go under the number in nine of 14 already this season as an underdog of +200 or higher, while LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in 26 of 42 vs. clubs with losing records. For all the reasons listed above, play the under.

10* TOTAL DOMINATION under.

The set-up: Jacob deGrom has been his usual dominant self for the Mets of late, but Tyler Beede has for the most part struggled for the Giants this season. These are two hungry teams and I believe this total will sneak over this low number once it’s all said and done.

The pitchers: deGrom (5-7, 3.21 ERA) hasn’t given up more than three runs in any of his past ten starts, going 2-2 with a 2.57 ERA in the process.

Beede (3-3, 5.44) comes in off a strong performance vs. the Brewers on Sunday, allowing three runs off seven hits over seven innings, but as mentioned off the top, overall he’s struggled this year, especially at home where he’s 0-1 with a poor 5.11 ERA. 

The pick: Take it for what you will, but New York has seen the total go over the number in ten of 13 this year as a road favorite of -125 or higher already, while San Francisco has seen the total go over in 16 of 22 this year as an underdog of +150 or higher. This number is a little low.

10* TOTAL COACH’S CLINIC on the over Mets/Giants.

The set-up: A couple of hungry veteran hurlers square off against each other in the final game on Thursay night and in my opinion, runs are going to be at a premium. The visitors hand the ball to Noah Syndergaard, while the home side counters with Madison Bumgarner. 

The pitchers: Syndergaard (7-4, 4.55 ERA) is 3-2 with a 3.05 ERA in six career starts vs. San Francisco. 

Bumgarner (5-7, 3.86) is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA over his last four starts and he’s never lost to the Mets in his career, going 6-0 with a 2.00 ERA over eight times opposed, including 5-0 with a 1.26 ERA in five starts in New York.

The pick: Both teams come in off double-digit victories in their previous outings, with the Mets beating Minnesota 14-4 and the Giants getting the better of Colorado 11-8. The opener of this one though has duel written all over it my opinion. This number is high, play the under. 

9* PITCHERS DUEL

The set-up: Chase Anderson of the Brewers squares off against Joe Musgrove of the Pirates in the final game before the Mid-Summer Classic. Both have looked brilliant at times this season and very pedestrian in others. For a number of different reasons though, I believe each will get chased early and because of that, I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. 

The pitchers: Anderson (4-2, 4.31 ERA) is 8-4 with a 3.56 ERA in 16 career outings vs. Pittsburgh. 

Musgrove (6-7, 4.13) is 0-1 with a 7.13 ERA in three career starts vs. the Brewers. 

The pick: Take it for what  you will as well, but Milwaukee has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 29 of its last 49 vs. right-handed starters, while Pittsburgh has seen the total sail over in 30 of 49 this year vs. clubs with winning records. Both teams are hungry for the series victory and everything points to a classic “slug-fest.” Play the over. 

Milwaukee Brewers/Pittsburgh Pirates OVER

10* play

The set-up: Both teams come in highly motivated in the opener of this series. Colorado comes to town off a 2-4 home stand. Arizona has lost eight straight in this series and would clearly love nothing more than to break that string of futility. The hungry visiting side sends Antonio Senzatela to the hill, while the home side counters with Zack Greinke.

The pitchers: Senzatela (7-5, 4.83 ERA) is 2-4 with a 4.93 ERA in ten career appearances vs. Arizona spanning 42 innings of work. 

Greinke (5-3, 2.90) is 0-1 with a 4.26 ERA in three starts vs. Colorado this year, allowing 21 hits and striking out 12 over 19 frames of work. 

The pick: Take it or what you will as well, but Colorado has seen the total go over in 27 of 48 vs. right-handed starters this season and in 22 of 36 vs. the division, while Arizona has seen the total go over in nine of 12 already this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite. I think the writing is on the wall and a high-scoring “slug-fest” is in the cards. 

Colorado Rockies/Arizona DBacks OVER

10* play

The set-up: The White Sox swept a double-header yesterday. The visitors turn to Matt Boyd, while the home side goes with Robin Lopez in the series finale Thursday afternoon. 

The pitchers: Boyd (5-6, 3.72 ERA) comes in off a gem vs. the Rangers on Wednesday, striking out 11. So far he’s 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA in one start vs. the White Sox this year. 

Lopez (4-7, 6.12) is 2-2 with a 2.86 ERA in nine career starts vs. Detroit. Note that Lopez has been particularly effective vs. the Tigers this season, going 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA while striking out 22 over 12 innings. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Detroit has seen the total go under the number in all three games it’s played in this year on the road when the money line is between -100 and -150, while Chicago has seen the total dip under in 21 of 34 vs. the division. I think these two battle deep and this one stays well below the posted number.

Detroit Tigers/Chi. White Sox UNDER

10* play

The set-up: Trevor Bauer has been decent of late for the Indians, but Matt Boyd has taken a step back tho season after a strong 2018. For a number of different reasons, I think this number is too low. 

The pitchers: Boyd (5-5, 3.35 ERA) comes in off his worst start of the year, getting shelled for five runs over four innings in a 7-3 loss to the impotent Royals.

Bauer (5-6, 3.41) comes in off his first complete-game shutout of his career over these very Tigers last Sunday. Clearly the visitors will be out to atone for that setback (note that Bauer hadn’t been credited with a win before that since April 30th.) Note as well that Bauer owns a 5.17 ERA lifetime vs. the Tigers in 18 career appearances still. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Detroit has seen the total go over the number in 17 of its last 27 as a road dog of +150 or higher, while Cleveland has seen the total soar over in eight of its last ten as a favorite in the -175 to -250 range. This number is a little low.

10* TOTAL COACH’S CLINIC over Tigers/Indians

The set-up: The Marlins go with right-hander Jordan Yamamoto who makes his MLB debut tonight, while the visitors go with the struggling Miles Mikolas. Miami will be desperate to break out of its funk here after losing six straight and scoring just ten runs in that span. 

The pitchers: Yamamoto was 3-5 with a 3.58 ERA in 12 starts in Double A.

Mikolas (4-6, 4.54) has had plenty of success vs. the Fish in the past, but that was then and this is now. Mikolas is just 1-3 with a 7.52 ERA on the road this year and he’s allowed 13 homers in 13 starts after allowing just 16 in total last year. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but St. Louis has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last ten after allowing three runs of press in two straight games, while Miami has seen the total go over in six of eight this season in trying to revenge two straight home loss vs. an opponent. This number is a little low.

STL Cards/Miami Marlins OVER

10* play

The set-up: The sub-way series was postponed a day due to inclement weather. Now the Mets and Yanks will play a double-header, with Zack Wheeler and Masahiro Tanaka getting the call in Game 1 and then Jason Vargas and James Paxton going in the second. This is a play on the “over” in Game 2. The Mets come into the day having won 12 of their last 20. The Yanks won’t be lacking for motivation after going 2-5 in their last seven. 

The pitchers: Vargas (2-3, 3.57 ERA) has been exceptional of late, but regression seems imminent in my opinion. Note as well that he’s a terrible 0-7 with a 6.84 ERA in 11 appearances vs. the Yankees. 

Paxton (3-2, 2.11) is making his third start since coming off the IL after missing three weeks with a knee injury. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Mets have seen the total soar over the number in three of four interleague games already, while the Yanks have seen the total eclipse the posted number in nine of its last 14 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. All signs point to a slugfest in the night game.

NY Yankees/NY Mets OVER

10* play

The set-up: Boston will be desperate to avoid the three-game series sweep. New York continues to get production at the plate despite several key injuries to its sluggers. While David Price has historically struggled vs. New York, he comes into this contest “firing on all cylinders” and I expect him to carry that momentum over here. CC Sabathia has enjoyed plenty of success vs. Boston and I think the veteran will also have a big night Sunday.

The pitchers: Price (2-2 2.83 ERA) is 1-0 with a 1.53 ERA over his last four starts. 

Sabathia (3-1, 3.48) is 6-0 with a 2.09 ERA over his last eight starts vs. the Red Sox.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boston has seen the total go under the number in 12 of 20 this year vs. teams with winning records, while New York has seen the total dip under in seven of its last ten vs. left-handed starters. I think this number is slightly high.

Red Sox/Yanks under

10* COACH’S CLINIC

The set-up: Two veteran hurlers who have seen better days go head to head in this one and when the smoke clears at the end of the night, I expect this total to easily eclipse the posted number. The visitors hand the ball to Homer Bailey, while the home side counters with Lance Lynn. 

The pitchers: Decent starts have been few and far between for Bailey (4-5, 5.79 ERA) over the last couple of years, who finished 1-14 with a 6.09 ERA last season. It’s difficult to point out any positives about Bailey as he continues to struggle with consistency from game-to-game. Note that he’s 2-2 with a 6.16 ERA on the road. 

Lynn (6-4, 4.66) like his count part has looked decent one game, only to struggle in the next. Note that he has a terrible 6.01 ERA at home so far this year. 

The pick: Lynn’s been decent over the last month, including vs. the Royals, but overall he still owns a rather poor 5.01 ERA over eight career starts vs. them. The Rangers evened this series with yesterday’s lower-scoring 6-2 win, so with each team pressing for the series victory, I expect these volatile starters to get the hook early and I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.

10* KC/Tex Over

The set-up: A couple of competent veteran hurlers go head-to-head in this interleague matchup on Monday night and in my opinion, I think runs are going to be at a premium. The visitors hand the ball to Cole Hamels, while the home side counters with Gerritt Cole. 

The pitchers: Hamels (4-0, 3.38 ERA) is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 16 K’s over his last 16 innings of work. 

Cole (4-5, 4.11) hasn’t been at his best over the last weeks, but he still leads the majors in strikeouts with 100 and in strikeout rate at 37.7 percent. He is also 9-3 with a 2.50 ERA in 14 career starts vs. the Cubs. 

The pick: Many Astros’ sluggers are on the IL right now, including Aledmys Diaz, Jose Altuve, George Springer and Max Stassi. I think the stage is set for these starters to “steal the show.” This number is high.

Chicago Cubs/Houston Astros UNDER

10* play

The set-up: The Diamondbacks broke out of their slump in a big way last night by destroying the Giants 18-2. Clearly the last thing Arizona can do is sit back and relax though as it’ll now look to carry that momentum over into another favorable matchup. The Giants can’t be happy after getting shellacked either. Two confirmed “gas cans” go head to head in this one and in my opinion, this one has “slug-fest” written all over it. The visitors hand the ball to Taylor Clarke, while the home side counters with Andrew Suarez. 

The pitchers: Clarke (0-1, 2.00 ERA) gave up two runs over six innings in a loss to the Rays on Tuesday. This will be his second start of his career. 

Suarez (0-1, 4.50) gave up three runs and four hits over six innings in a loss to the Braves on Monday. This is his second start of the season as well.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Arizona has seen the total go over in 13 of 20 vs. the division already this season, while San Fran has seen the total fly over in seven of ten already this year after a loss by four runs or more. This number is much to low in my opinion.

Arizona Dbacks/San Francisco Giants OVER

10* play

The set-up: Both teams are struggling offensively, but New York now has an opportunity to sweep this four game series after its 6-1 win last night, scoring all six runs in the eighth inning. Washington is now 11 games under .500. Washington last won a game when tonight’s starter Stephen Strasburg was last on the hill, while the home side counters with Stephen Matz.

The pitchers: Strasburg (4-3, 3.32 ERA) gave up two runs over eight innings in a 5-2 win over the Cubs last weekend. Note that he’s pitched at least six frames in nine of his ten trips to the mound this season.

Matz (3-3, 3.96) returned from the DL to give up two runs over four innings in a 2-0 loss to the Marlins on Saturday. While just 1-5 vs. the Nats in 11 career starts, Matz owns a very respectable 3.60 ERA. 

The pick: Note as well that Strasburg is 9-5 with a 2.83 ERA in 19 career starts vs. New York. The Nationals’ bullpen has been atrocious, but I expect these competent starters to battle deep. This number is high.

Washington Nationals/NY Mets UNDER

10* play

The set-up: Oakland destroyed the Tigers 17-3 yesterday. I’m expecting a much lower-scoring “duel” in the second game. The home side sends Daniel Norris to the bump to atone for yesterday’s disappointing effort, while the visitors counter with Frankie Montas. 

The pitchers: Montas (4-2, 2.78 ERA) held the hard-hitting Indians to two runs over six innings last Friday, after holding the Pirates to one run over six frames of work. Montas hasn’t given up a home run in his last five starts and I believe he carries over that momentum here. 

Norris (2-1, 3.63) gave up two runs while striking out five over seven innings vs. the hard-hitting Twins on Sunday. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Oakland has seen the total go under in 15 of its last 23 then the total 9 or higher, while Detroit has seen the total dip under in ten of 13 this year as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range. After yesterday’s slug-fest, expect these competent hurlers to be the main story-lines in tomorrow’s summaries.

Oakland A's/Detroit Tigers UNDER

10* play

The set-up: Two pitchers on top form collide in this National League contest on Thursday night and in my opinion, runs are going to be at a premium here. The Reds came out on top 6-5 in ten innings yesterday, but everything points to more of a “duel” between the Cubs Jose Quintana and the Reds Luis Castillo on Thursday. 

The pitchers: Quintana (4-2, 3.50 ERA) had a four game win streak snapped in last Friday’s setback to the Brewers, allowing three runs over seven innings. He’s 3-2 with a 3.69 ERA in six career starts vs. Cincinnati. 

Castillo (4-1, 1.76) has won four straight, most recently posting a season-best 11 K’s over six shutout innings in a victory over San Francisco last weekend. He’s 2-1 with a 3.82 ERA in six career starts vs. Chicago.

The pick: Note that Chicago has seen the total go under in 9 of 14 vs. division opponents already this year, while Cincinnati has seen the total go under in ten of 16 at home. This number is high.

Chicago Cubs/Cincinnati Red UNDER

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The set-up: Both games in yesterday’s double-header flew over the number, with the Tribe taking an 8-4 win in the first game and the Braves rallying late for an 8-7 win in the second. I like the Indians to bounce back in the rubber match tonight (as stated in my free play). So far Atlanta pitcher Max Fried has been exemplary, but I think he runs into a buzz saw here vs. this red hot Indians’ offense. He’ll also have his hands full with vs. his counterpart Shane Bieber.

The pitchers: Fried, who is 2-0 with a 0.92 ERA who has so far thrown three straight strong outings, faces a difficult task throwing opposite Bieber, who is 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA. Bieber most recently gave up one run over six innings in a win over he M’s on Tuesday.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Atlanta has seen the total go over the number in five of its last seven on the road, while Cleveland has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of its last six vs. southpaws. Despite these pitchers getting out to respective “hot” starts, I think these offenses continue to shine.

Braves/Indians OVER

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The set-up: The Cards come in off a 4-1 home win over the Padres, while the Dodgers rolled to an impressive 12-6 win at Colorado. While Hyun-Jin Ryu has been excellent to start the year, his counterpart Miles Mikolas has been a train wreck. 

The pitchers: The Dodgers go with Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-0, 2.08 ERA) who gave up two runs off six hits with five strikeouts and no walks over seven innings in a win over the Giants on Tuesday. Over his first two starts he has 13 punch outs. 

The home side counters with Miles Mikolas (0-1, 7.20) who has uncharacteristically struggled to open the season. Over two starts he’s given up eight runs off 12 hits. Last year Mikolas was 18-4 with a 2.83 ERA, so clearly he’s struggling with command issues or something else right now.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA has seen the total go “over” in three of four vs. right-handed starters this year, while St. Louis has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last nine home games after holding its previous opponent to one or less runs in a victory. This number is low.

Dodgers/Cards OVER

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The set-up: Two teams not known for their offensive fire-power go head to head on Thursday afternoon. A couple of confirmed “gas cans” also square off on the mound though. I believe that Jake Junis and Spencer Turnbull get chased early and I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. 

The pitchers: The Royals’ Junis (1-0, 4.76 ERA) earned a win despite not being at his best vs. the White Sox on Saturday, allowing three runs off six hits over five innings of work. Junis is in his third year and he finished 9-12 with a 4.37 ERA last season.

The Tigers’ Turnbull (0-1, 5.40) gave up three runs off five hits and two walks over five innings in a loss to the Jays on Saturday. Last year he was 0-2 with a 6.06 ERA for the Tigers, including 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA at home.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but KC has seen the total go over in four of five vs. the division already this season, while Detroit has seen the total fly over in 16 of its last 25 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. This number is a little low, play the “over.”

Royals/Tigers OVER

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The set-up: Two competent starters square off here, but I’m expecting a much more competitive game today after the Rays’ 7-1 victory on Monday. That was Tampa’s fourth straight win. 

The pitchers: The home side turns to Blake Snell (0-1, 7.50 ERA), who was rocked for six hits, including three homers over six innings in a 5-1 loss to the Astros in his 2019 opener. 

Colorado counters with Kyle Freeland (1-0, 1.29), who looked good in his first start after putting together a very solid 2018 as well. 

The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Colorado has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five on the road, while Tampa’s seen the total go over in seven of its last nine home games after holding its previous opponent to one or less runs in a victory. This number is low, play the “over.”

Rockies/Rays OVER

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