Ricky's 10* play on the Over.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in the Super Bowl it's the Chiefs suspect defense and their high powered offense that are the key.

Key Trends:

- The over is 4-1-1 in the 49ers last six games overall.

- The over is 7-2 in the Chiefs last nine versus a team with a winning record.

- Mahomes has thrown for eight TDs and no INTs in two playoff games this season.

The verdict: look for this game to go over as the scoring picks up in the second half.

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Packers/49ers.

If you're betting on this game, then I don't need to break down the strengths and weaknesses of each team. We all know the story lines here. 

These teams are similar. Each team has a better than average offense and defense. Both have dynamic, play-making QB's and explosive offensive weapons. Each is well coached. Special teams numbers are also close. 

The 49ers shut down Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in their regular season victory, but I believe that Green Bay will have to lean on Rodgers from start to finish if it has any shot at winning this game. If the veteran can put pressure on Garropolo, then perhaps the inexperienced pivot will have a letdown here.

Regardless, I expect the visitors to air this one out early and often on offense.

Key Trends:

- Green Bay has interestingly already seen the total go over the number in three of four this year after a win by six points or less.

- San Francisco has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten as a favorite.

The verdict: When it's all said and done, look for these two gun-slinging QB's to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Clemson/LSU.

Clemson had its hands full in its bowl win over Ohio State. The Buckeyes had a 16-0 lead at one point, but poise, veteran experience, talent and great coaching saw the Tigers then pull away for the hard-fought 29-23 victory. LSU steamrolled Oklahoma 63-28 to advance. 

I think it's interesting to note that Clemson' QB Trevor Lawrence had the biggest rushing game of his career vs. the stingy Buckeyes with 107 yards on the ground with one score. 

I can't see Joe Burrow duplicating his monster offensive performance in his previous game. Decimating the Sooners is one thing, but this Clemson defense is an entirely different animal. 

Key Trends:

- Clemson has seen the total go under in its last three "dome" games.

- LSU has seen the total dip under the numbber in three of its last four after a cover as a double-digit favorite.

The verdict: Despite the offensive talent on the field, I envision this one as more of a "chess match" than a wide open "shootout." This number is indeed a little high; play the under!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Hawks/Packers.

It may be cold and wintery at Lambeau today, but I expect these two teams to easily combine to push this total over the posted number once it's all said and done. Seattle comes in off the 17-9 win at Philly in the Wild Card round. 

Green Bay ranks 23rd against the rush, so Travis Homer and Marshawn Lynch will have their opportunities today, which will also in turn open things up for Russell Wilson to operate.

The Packers have had a week off to game-plan and heal up. The Hawks got "lucky" that Eagles' QB Carson Wentz went down with injury early, but I believe they'll have their hands full with Aaron Rodgers in this spot. Rogers and the offense finished sixth in the league in Red Zone efficiency as well.

Key Trends:

- Seattle has already seen both games it's played in this year go "over" the number after allowing 14 points or less in its previous outing.

- The Packers have seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of their last eight as a home favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range.

The verdict: I think the Hawks "break the mold" this week. Seattle can't wait for Green Bay to make the first mistake here and with the visitors pushing from the "get go," I do indeed expect this one to soar well over the number once it's finished; play the over!

My 10* PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on the OVER Titans/Ravens.

Both offenses are firing on all cylinders as we head into the Divisional Round. Ryan Tannehill and the Titans had their hands full with New England's defense last weekend. It was RB Derrick Henry who posted a monster day and he will also be leaned upon heavily here as well. Tannehill had a monster second half for the Titans and while he was relatively quiet in New England last weekend, I think he'll be the focal point of the visitors offense today. 

And what more can be said about LaMar Jackson which hasn't been said a millions times at this point by all the talking heads out there. Jackson's innate need to constantly be the best and to win, is likely the best asset he possesses as well. 

Key Trends:

- Tennessee has seen the total go over the number in three of four already this season as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range.

- Baltimore has seen the total soar over the number in five of its last six after two straight wins by ten points or more.

The verdict: After last week's lower-scoring matches in the Wild Card round, I'm expecting some fireworks in the Divisional. Especially in this highly anticipated contest; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Miami Ohio/Louisiana Lafayette.

I'm expecting a shootout here. Miami Ohio is led by Brett Gabbert, who had 2,163 passing yards, along with 11 TD's and eight INT's. Gabbert and company have their work cut out for them today as they'll look to keep pace with one of the highest scoring teams in the nation.

UL Lafayette averages 38.8 points and 501.3 yards per game this year. That ranks it 14th and 11th respectively. QB Levi Lewis has 24 TD's and four INT's. 

Key Trends:

- Miami has seen the total go over in nine of its last 14 when the total in the contest is set between 49.5 and 56 points.

- UL Lafayette has seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of its last 11 non-conference contests.

The verdict: The Ragin Cajuns do not have a good defense. Look for these two teams to open up the playbook and to put on an offensive show for the nation tonight; play the over!

My 10* TOP TOTAL is on the OVER Vikes/Saints.

Minnesota posted the "The Minneapolis Miracle" vs. the Saints in 2018, which sent the Vikes to the NFC Championship Game, so now New Orelans has an opportunity to avenge that setback. The Vikes are expected to have Dalvin Cook back in the line-up this week, but I still don't think it'll matter in this difficult road venue.

The Vikes' Kirk Cousins finished with 26 TD's and six INT's, while Saints' veteran Drew Brees finished with 27 TD's this season, despite missing several games with an injury. 

How does New Orleans gets its revenge today? Certainly not by playing conservatively or letting the Vikes dictate the tempo of play. If Brees is going to get the monkey off his back and earn another SB, he's going to have to put the pedal down from start to finish. Situationally I believe this one definitely sets up as a "shootout." 

Key Trends:

- Minnesota has seen the total go over the number in five of eight on the road this year.

- New Orleans has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten when playing the role of favorite.

The verdict: I believe these two veteran QB's in their primes will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER in the Potato Bowl.

Key Trends:

Analysis posted shortly.

My 10* BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Baylor/Georgia.

11-2. That's the record of both teams in the Sugar Bowl this year. Baylor's 11 wins ties the most in program history. Overall the Bears average 35.2 PPG, led by dual threat QB Charlie Brewer, who had 30 TD's and six INT's. Defensively though is where Baylor made the biggest strides this season, it enters conceding just 19.3 PPG, led by LB Terrel Bernard, who has at least ten tackles in four of his last six games.

Georiga was throttled by LSU in the SEC Championship Game, so it'l be plenty eager to bounce back here. Overall Jake Fromm had 22 TD's and five INT's. The Bulldogs average 31.2 PPG, but their strength this year has been on the defensive side, as they concede only 12.5 PPG. LSU was the only team to eclipse the 20 points plateu on them. 

Key Trends:

- Baylor has seen the total go under in three of its las four as a neutral field underdog.

- Georgia has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four following a SU loss.

The verdict: Both teams concede less than 4.7 YPG and I believe these elite defensive units will become the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under!

My 10* play is on the OVER in the Music City Bowl.

Mississippi State had to win three of its final four to become eligible at 6-6, while Louisville was 7-5. The Cards love to run the ball, averaging 214.1 YPG, but that plays directly into the strength of the Bulldogs' defense. 

Instead though Louisville will turn to Micale Cunningham, who will test a porous Mississippi State secondary which concedes 241.2 YPG. 

The Bulldogs should have a balanced attack here as well. Mississippi State runs the ball as well, averaging 226.9 YPG and note that the Cardinals are terrible vs. the run, conceding 211.0 yards epr game on the ground. Louisville is also allowing 235.3 YPG through the air, so Bulldogs' QB Garrett Shrader will have his opportunities.

Key Trends:

- Mississippi State has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five as a favorite.

- Louisville has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight following a loss by 21 points or more.

The verdict: Yes both teams like to run, but each knows how to move the football. I see weaknesses on defense and strengths on offense. This one has "shootout" written all over it in my opinion; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Clemson/OSU.

A couple of 13-0 teams collide in the Fiesta Bowl and the winner will be headed to the Championship Game. It's going to go one of two ways obviously, either a low-scoring defensive battle, or a high-scoring shootout. And in my opinion, obviously it's going to be the latter. Both teams rank among the best of the best in the country on both sides of the ball, but I've been most impressed by each team's offense.

Note that Clemson has averaged 54.2 PPG over its last six games.

Note that Ohio State is the No. 1 ranked offensive team in the nation by averaging 48.7 PPG.

Key Trends:

- The Tigers have interestingly seen the total go over the number in three of their last four after two straight covers as the favorite.

- The Buckeyes have seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of their last 15 when the total in the contest is set between 56.5 and 63. 

The verdict: They say defense wins championships, and while that may be true, to reach the championship game, I expect these two teams to open up the playbook and push the pace from the opening kickoff, until the final whistle; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER WSU/Air Force.

Yes the Cougars stumbled in their final game of the year vs. Washington, managing just 13 points in the setback, but I think that Anthony Gordon and this "Air Raid" offense take out their frustrations on the Falcons today. Gordon had 5,228 passing yards with 45 TDs and just 16 INTs. 

Air Force's defense is ranked better than its offense (20th and 40th respectively). The Falcons are the No. 1 ranked rushing offense in the nation with 292.5 YPG. WSU has a weak defensive front and I expect the Cougars to be "on their heels" from start to finish. 

Key Trends: 

- WSU has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after a two weeks or longer break.

- Air Force has seen the total go over in six of its last eight as the favorite.

The verdict: With WSU throwing the ball to the cows come home and with Air Force exploiting this weak Cougars' defense, look for this total to soar over sooner, rather than later!

My 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH is on the OVER Packers/Vikings.

Green Bay travels to Minnesota in a pivotal matchup on Monday night. The Packers can wrap up the division tonight with a victory. The Vikings though have earned a playoff spot already with the 49ers' victory over the Rams, but they still have a shot at earning the division crown as well. As long as they win tonight. 

These teams feature two dynamic QB's and when the dust does finally settle at the end of this one, I think they'll have "stolen the show." Note that Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers has a sharp 24:2 TD:INT, while Vikings' pivot Kirk Cousins has a 25:5 TD:INT. 

Key Trends:

- Green Bay has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last seven after completing a two-game home stand (including both such instances this season.)

- Minnesota has seen the total soar over in four of five already this year vs. clubs with winning records.

The verdict: The Vikes play with revenge here. Cousins plays with a chip on his shoulder as he's 0-8 on Monday Night games in his career. The first game of this series went "under" the number, but the numbers and the overall situation each team finds itself in coming into this contest all point to the "over" as the savvy call tonight!

My 10* TOTAL BONANZA is on the OVER Marshall/UCF.

I'm expecting a complete shootout from start to finish between the 8-4 Marshall Thundering Herd and the 9-3 UCF Golden Knights this afternoon. 

Note these two teams had a similar opponent this year, as Marshall lost 42-17 to Cincinnati and the Knights fell 27-24 to the Bearcats. 

The Herd average 24.8 PPG and I think they're going to have to open things up here to keep pace with the high-flying Knights, who average 43 PPG.

Key Trends:

- Marshall has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 13 as an underdog (including in two of three this season.)

- UCF has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten when the total falls between 56.5 and 63 points (including in three of four this season.) 

The verdict: I think these defensive units take a back seat to these capable offenses; play the over!

My 10* SLAUGHTER-FEST is on the OVER Chiefs/Bears.

Kansas City has clinched the division, but home field advantage in the playoffs is still up for grabs. The Bears are now out of playoff contention though and are just playing for pride and to play "spoiler" here.

Bears' QB Mitchell Trubisky though will be plenty motivated here to try and finish out the season on a high note after struggling to start it. 

The Chiefs though will be looking to deliver the knock out blow on the National stage, note that they come in averaging the fourth most points in the NFL at 28.1 per contest. 

Key Trends:

- Kansas City has seen the total go over the number in three of four already this year as a road favorite of seven points or less.

- Chicago has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten after having won two out of its last three games SU.

The verdict: I believe Mahomes and Trubisky will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL BEATDOWN is on the UNDER WSU/Boise State.

These are two mediocre offenses and two very good defenses going head to head. When you add it all up, I think this number is too high. Washington beat Washington State 31-13 in its regular season finale. Note though that Huskies' QB Jacob Eason had just two TD passes over his last three games. Boise State is led by Jaylon Henderson, who became the starter in mid November and who finished with 1,032 yards and 11 TD's.  

But as stated off the top, it's been each team's defense which has been its strength, with the Broncos allowing only 20.6 PPG and leading the MWC with 37 sacks, while the Huskies concede 20.4 PPG, most recently holding the Cougars air raid offense to 308 yards.

Key Trends:

- Washington has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 13 off a win by ten points or more over a conference rival.

- Boise State has seen the total dip below the posted number in its last four games when the line in the contest is set between +3 and -3. 

The verdict: Look for these defensive units to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under!

My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER Bills/Patriots.

Buffalo plays with revenge here after falling at home to the Patriots earlier in the season. The Bills though come in off a big win over the Steelers and they now have ten victories in a season for the first time in two decades. Early on it was Buffalo's stifiling defense which "stole the show," but over the last month it's also been the improved play from QB Josh Allen and the offense. With nothing to lose today, I look for Buffalo to open up the playbook.

The Patriots are 11-3, but many have doubts about the play of QB Tom Brady. New England's defense has shown some cracks in the armor of late and I believe it'll be pushed here by this hungry visiting side. Brady plays with a chip on his shoulder as well today as he tries to guide his team to two more victories and a final 13-3 record. 

Key Trends:

- Buffalo has seen the total go over in six of its last eight after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games.

- NE has seen the total go over the number in three of four already this season after covering as a double digit favorite.

The verdict: The overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into this one, combined with the above strong O/U ATS stats, does indeed make the "over" the correct call in this one in my opinion!

My 10* TOTAL is on the OVER Bears/Packers.

Two teams that are very familiar with each other collide in the frigid confines of Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon and in my opinion, this one has "shootout" written all over it. The Packers have been stalling of late, but they still have a chance for the No. 1 seed in the NFC at 10-3. The Bears though are 7-6 and they need to win this one to keep pace for a wildcard spot. Chicago though has won three in a row now, including probably its most impressive performance of the year in last week's 31-24 win over Dallas. More than anything, it's QB Mitchell Trubisky who has finally started to perform at a much higher level (244 passing yards and three TD's.) Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers has 23 TD's and only two INT's this season. 

Key Trends:

- Green Bay has seen the total go over in 11 of its last 14 off a home victory.

- The Packers have seen the total go over in eight of their last 12 as a home favorite of seven points or less. 

The verdict: Despite the conditions, I think it'll be these two competent QB's which become the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Army/Navy.

Army got destroyed 52-31 at Hawaii in its regular season finale to finish the year 5-7. The Black Knights will be laying everything they have on the field of play today as they look to pull off the big upset and to erase the frustrations from a poor overall campaign. Navy finished 9-2 and it ended the regular season on a two-game win streak. 

Both teams run the triple option. Both teams have been decent on both sides of the ball, but especially on the offensive side. The Golden Knights average 30.3 PPG and they concede 22.3, while the Midshipmen average 39.3 PPG and concede 24.2. 

Key Trends:

- Army has seen the total go over the number in five of its last six when playing with two weeks rest.

- Navy has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last ten vs. teams with losing records.

The verdict: Malcom Perry is one of the most dynamic QB's in the nation and I expect the Navy veteran to push the pace. Both teams know how to move the ball on offense and I look for that to translate into production on the field of play today; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Hawks/Rams.

What's the first thing you think about when you look at these two teams? Clearly it has to start with each side's QB. LA turns to Jared Goff, who took the Rams to the Super Bowl last year and who will need to have a big day if his team is to win here. The Hawks turn to Russell Wilson, who has won a Super Bowl and is one of the favorites to win the MVP this season. 

Each team has an underrated defense though. The Rams allow 245 passing yards per game and 104 rushing. The Hawks allow 281 passing yards and 99 rushing yards per contest. 

Key Trends:

- Seattle has interestingly seen the total go under the number in three of its last four after playing on Monday Night Football.

- LA has seen the total go under in its last five games in revenging a loss where an opponent scored 28 or more points.

The verdict: This is a big game for both teams. If Seattle wins, it clinches the division. The Rams HAVE to win to stay alive. I think each team tries to control the tempo of this one and put an added emphasis on ball control. These styles of contests invariably lead to lower-scoring games and that's exactly what I expect here; play the under!

My 10* play is on the Ravens/Bills under.

The Ravens have won eight in a row behind the great play of QB Lamar Jackson and a steadily improving defense. The Bills are also putting together an exceptional season, behind a stellar defense and an improving offense. There are many story lines to this contest, but I think that in the end, this one will fall below the posted number. 

Key Trends:

- The Ravens rank fifth in the league in points allowed with just 18.2.

- Buffalo has given up just 38 points over its last three games.

The verdict: Both teams depend on the run to score, with Baltimore ranked No. 1 and Buffalo ranked No. 5. Five of these team's last seven in the series have fallen under the number and everything points to another low-scoring battle on Sunday; play the under!

My 10* play is on Cincinnati/Memphis UNDER.

The 10-2 Bearcats meet the 11-1 Tigers for the AAC Championship and in my opinion, this one sets up as more of a "chess match" than a "shootout." Note that the Tigers actually defeated the Bearcats 34-24 in these team's respective regular season finales. The victory earned Memphis the right to host this game. 

Bearcats' starting QB Desmond Ridder was held back in that loss because of an injured shoulder and if he does get the call today, one has to wonder about his health/form obviously? His backup Ben Bryant struggled for 229 passing yards and two INT's, while also getting sacked five times. Look for the Bearcats to once again run the offense through RB Michael Warren II.

Memphis' QB Brady White has 3,307 passing yards this season with 32 TD's and eight INT's. But with the visitors looking to control the clock while they have the ball, I think today's re-match definitely sets up as much more of a defensive affair. 

Key Trends:

- Cincinnati has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 15 as an underdog.

- Memphis has seen the total dip under in three of its last four after scoring 31 points or more in five straight games.

The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under!

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Oregon/Utah.

How will Justin Herbert and the Ducks upset the defensive minded Utes in the Pac 12 Championship Game? Definitely not by playing it safe and hoping for Tyler Huntley and company to make the first mistake. That'd be a recipie for disaster for Oregon. Instead, with the underdog airing it out from start to finish, I'm expecting a faster-paced affair overall and I ultimately believe this will then lead to a high-scoring "shootout" once it's all said and done. 

Key Trends:

- The Ducks have seen the total go over the number in three of their last four vs. schools with winning records.

- The Utes have seen the total soar over in four of its last five after two straight covers as a double-digit favorite.

The verdict: Faster paced = more points in my opinion. This number is low, play the over!

My 10* play is on the OVER Rams/Cardinals.

The Rams are coming off a terrible blowout loss at home to the Ravens. Baltimore has been playing incredibly tough defense of late though and I think that Jared Goff and company can rebound here vs. the porous Cardinals' defense. 

Arizona has lost four straight, but it comes out of its bye week and with nothing to lose (except another game), I look for Kyler Murray and company open up the playbook as they look to deal their divisional opponent another blow.

From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a "shootout" in my opinion.

Key Trends:

- The Rams have seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of their last five following a home loss.

- The Cards have seen the total go over the number in four of five at home already.

The verdict: A repeat performance to the Super Bowl is now out of the question for St. Louis, but Goff is playing for his career and pride for the rest of the season. The Cards are rested and focussed and in my opinion when taking into account all of the above information, everything does indeed point to the "over" as the correct call in this one!

My 10* play on the UNDER Oklahoma/OK State.

The Cowboys have only beaten the Sooners twice since 2010. Oklahoma has won ten of 11 games so far. Overall Oklahoma averages 45.3 PPG, led by Jalen Hurts, while allowing only 25.5 PPG. 

OKS has won eight of 11 games. The Cowboys average 35 PPG and they concede 26.5, led by Hawaii transfer Dru Brown, who makes his second start of the season in placed of the injured Spencer Sanders.

Key Trends:

- Oklahoma has already seen the total go under in three of four this season when the total is set between 63.5 and 70.

- OKS has seen the total stay under in both games that it's played as an underdog this year already.

The verdict: I think these under-rated defensive units become the mian story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under!

My 10* PLAY is on the UNDER VT/UVA.

Both teams enter enter this rivarly game at 8-3. Each enters on a three game win streak as well. VT has won this matchup 15 times in a row, including a higher-scoring 34-31 win in last year's matchup. I think the overall situation that each finds itself in, coming into this contest will see a much more defensive affair this time around. This is a big game, as the winner take the ACC Coastal Division crown and will be in the ACC Championship game. VT's defense though is on top form, having posted back-to-back shutouts, including 28-0 over Pittsburgh last weekend. Tech QB Hendon Hooker has 1,134 passing yards, ten TD's and no INT's, along with 262 rushing yards and four rushing TD's. 

UVA beat Liberty 55-27 last weekend, but it was the first time since 2005 that the Cavs have eclipsed the 50 points plateau. 

Key Trends:

- Virginia Tech has seen the total go under the number in its last three after three straight victories over conference rivals.

- UVA has seen the total go under in four of its last five as a home dog.

The verdict: While these teams have played to many high-scoring games in the past vs. each other, the overall situation and numbers/trends all point to the "under" as the correct call this year; play the under!

My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the over Bills/Cowboys.

This is a big game for both teams. Buffalo has been riding its red hot defensive play all year, as the Bills concede just 288.6 YPG, behind only the 49ers and Patriots. But of late it's been the more confident play of QB Josh Allen which has stuck out to me; Allen now has 2,360 yards passing with 15 TD's and eight INT's. 

Dallas is coming off a heart-breaking loss to the Patriots and at 6-5, this has essentially become a must win game. The Cowboys clearly can't sit back and hope that Buffalo makes the first mistake. 

I absolutely think this one sets up as a high-scoring game, rather than a defensive war.

Key Trends:

- Dallas has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 as a favorite.

- The Cowboys have seen the total soar over in interestingly six of their last seven after a loss by six points or less.

The verdict: I think Rosen can match pace with Dak Prescott and the home side this afternoon. In what I expect to be a faster-paced game, I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later!

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Ravens/Rams.

The Ravens are in the midst of a five-game win streak and they come to the West Coast with an 8-2 record. A prime-time game on the West Coast after such an extended run of stellar play could be viewed by some as a classic "trap" game. 

The Rams have won three of their last five, most recently holding on for a 17-7 win over the Bears. Clearly the last thing these Rams can do is get into a "shootout" with Lamar Jackson and company. With the home side trying to limit mistakes and control the ball on offense, all signs point to a lower-scoring under in my opinion. 

Key Trends:

- Baltimore has seen the total go under the number in interestingly ten of its last 14 after allowing 14 points or less in its previous contest.

- LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of four at home already this season.

The verdict: I expect a hard-fought, lower-scoring UNDER once it's all said and done!

My 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT OF THE NIGHT is on the K-State/Texas Tech OVER.

K-State is 6-4. The Wildcats have beaten heavyweights Oklahoma and Mississippi State, but lost to Texas and West Virginia. Texas Tech is 4-6 and it needs to win out to become eligible. 

K-State though will look to stop the two-game slide this week vs. an atrocious Red Raiders' defense. The Wildcats have a balanced attack with Skylar Thompson under center, so far he has a 10:3 TD/INT ratio, while the run game produces 192.9 YPG. 

Texas Tech QB Jeff Duffey has only played in six games and he already has 2,100 passing yards and 14:3 TD:INT. Overall the Red Raiders put up 470.2 YPG on offense ranked 17th in the country. Defensively though TT allows 480 yards per game, including 309.8 per game through the air.

Key Trends:

- The over is 5-1-1 in the Raiders last seven conference contests.

- The over is 9-3-1 in TT's last 13 at home.

The verdict: I look for a faster-paced, wide open shootout between these two hungry schools; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Colorado State/Wyoming.

Key Trends:

Analysis posted shortly.

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Colts/Texans.

I expect a shootout. The Colts are coming off a convincing win at home over the Jaguars and they have Jacoby Brissett back under center. True RB Marlon Mack is out, but fortunately the Colts still have capable RB's in Nyheim Hines, Jordan Wilkins, and Jonathan Williams. Indianapolis' defense has been stout of late, but I think the unit will definitely get tested here on the short week and vs. a Texans team which was embarrassed 41-7 last week by Baltimore.

Yes Houston hasn't looked the same since losing JJ Watt to injury, but this has essentially become a "must win" for DeShaun Watson and company. The Texans also play with "in season revenge" after falling by 7 in Indy earlier in the campaign. 

Key Trends:

- The Colts have seen the total go over in three of their last four after a home win by ten or more points.

- The Texans have seen the total soar over in eight of their last ten vs. clubs with winning records.

The verdict: Both teams are 6-4. To say this is a crucial matchup would be an understatement. I think the offenses "steal the show" on Thursday night; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER NC State/Georgia Tech.

Georgia Tech is coming off a terrible 45-0 road shutout loss at Virginia Tech and it's now just 2-8 on the year. Tech is only averaging 16.5 PPG this year, but it'll do its best to play the role of spoiler here, as 4-6 NC State has to win out for eligibility. This is it for the Wolfpack, who limp in having lost four straight. Both teams struggle offensively, but I think we'll have a shootout on our hands once it's all said and done tonight.

Key Trends:

- NC State has seen the total go over the number in six of its last eight after a loss by ten points or more vs. a conference rival.

- GT has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49.

The verdict: I think the home side opens up the playbook here to try and pull off the upset. And with the Wolfpack also laying everything on the line to keep their playoff hopes alive, I look for this one to indeed sneak above the posted number sooner, rather than later!

My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the OVER Bills/Dolphins.

Miami has won two in a row and it'll now look to build and to try and give the Bills a second straight loss in a row. For Buffalo, it's blazing start to the season is going to be in the rear view mirror if it can't start putting some production on the board. When these teams met earlier in the year though, it was Buffalo that laid the hammer down in the 31-21 victory and I believe a similar final combined score is on deck here as well. 

Key Trends:

- The Bills have seen the total go over the number in six of their last eight after a loss by six points or less.

- The Fish have seen the total soar over in nine of their last 12 as a home dog.

The verdict: Buffalo's pissed about its last second loss in Cleveland last weekend and knows it has to get out and push the pace here. The Dolphins are riding high after a two-game win streak and Ryan Fitzpatrick and company won't be backing down either. This one could go OVER by half time!

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Arizona/Oregon.

Arizona is 4-5 and it's running out of time to qualify for a berth. The magic number is of course six and winning on the road vs. the 8-1 Ducks likely isn't going to happen. Clearly though the only way that the Wildcats could pull off a monumental upset in this one would be to try and control the pace of this game. And that means keeping the ball out of Oregon's hands as much as possible. Arizona needs two more victories. After this its Utah and Arizona State. The Ducks are led by QB Justin Herbert, who has a 24:2 TD:INT. 

Key Trends:

- Arizona has seen the total go under in three of four already this year after playing a game at home.

- Oregon has seen the total go under in ten of its last 15 when the total is greater than or equal to 63. 

The verdict: Neither team plays great defensively, but I think the overall situation each finds itself coming in, combined with the above trends, do indeed make the "under" as the correct call here!

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Vikes/Boys.

I think this is a great "situational spot bet" on the total. These two teams absolutely dominate in stopping the run, so as such I'm fully expecting this to be a "shootout" at the OK Corral on Sunday night! The Vikes enter off a 26-23 loss to Kansas City and they can't afford to take the foot off the gas obviously. Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins was a bright spot in defeat, going for three TD's and 222 passing yards. The Cowboys are rolling right now though and there's no reason not to think that they can't keep the momentum trending in that direction. In last week's 37-18 win over the Giants, Dallas' QB Dak Prescott had three TD's. 

Key Trends:

- Minnesota has seen the total go over the number in its last two after two or more straight losses vs. the spread.

- Dallas has seen the total eclipse the posted number in nine of its last 12 home games as the favorite.

The verdict: With each offense focussed on airing it out, I do indeed expect this one to fly over sooner, rather than later!

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Nevada/SDSU.

SDSU is 7-1 and it comes in with plenty of momentum after having won four straight. Nevada won't be rolling over here though at 5-4 as it tries to pull off the upset and gain eligibility at the same time. Nevada beat New Mexico 21-10 last weekend, with Carson Strong going for 305 yards and two TD's. Overall Nevada averages only 19.3 PPG though, while conceding an awful 34.6. Last year the Aztecs won this game 28-24 and I expect a similar high-scoring affair here. SDSU is also rested out of its bye week. 

Key Trends:

- Nevada has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of its last six after a home victory.

- SDSU has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four as a home favorite in teh 14.5 to 21 points range.

The verdict: I look for this total to fly well over the number, perhaps even before half time. This number is much too low, play the over!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Washington/Oregon State.

Washington is 5-4 and it's looking to snap a two-game slide. The Huskies come off consecutive losses to Oregon and Utah, so while the Beavers won't be afraid to open up the playbook, the Huskies clearly catch a break in the overall level of competition this weekend. I think the Huskies defense steps up here vs. Beavers' QB Jake Luton. Washington has already posted 20 sacks this year and the Beavers have conceded 16 thus far. Oregon State allows 176 rushing yards per game, so expect to see the visitors hand off to Salvon Ahmed early and often, to take off some of the pressure on QB Jacob Eason, who has been sacked 12 times this year, but who faces a Beavers unit which has produced 25 sacks this season.

Key Trends:

- Washington has seen the total go under in its last three as a road favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range.

- Oregon State has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four off an upset win as a road dog.

The verdict: I don't think the Huskies take many risks here. Instead I look for the visiting side to try and control this contest as to limit the time the Beavers have the ball on offense. This number is high, play the under!

My 10* MAC TOTAL BLOWOUT is on the UNDER Kent State/Toledo.

Kent STate is 3-5 and in dire need of some victories if its going to go "Bowling." The Golden Flashes though have faced some incredibly tough competition this season in Arizona State, Auburn and Wisconsin. Kent State is led by QB Dustin Crum, who has ten TD's and one INT. Toledo though has a good pass defense, but a poor rush defense. That works well for Kent State, as it's run game is solid, led by the versatile dual-threat Crum. Toledo needs just one more win to become eligible and it did just enough to score a victory over EMU in OT last week. So far the Rockets have won five of seven games by six points or less. Toledo is also down to third string QB Eli Peters, who was an unremarkable nine of 18 for 138 yards last weekend. 

Key Trends:

- Kent State has seen the total go under the number in five of its last six road games when the total is set between 56.5 and 63 points.

- Toledo has seen the total go under in its last three off an extremely close win at home by 3 points or less.

The verdict: Look for these two hungry teams to fight tooth and nail and for this total to fall "under" once it's all said and done!

My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Cowboys/Giants.

The Giants are 2-6, but Daniel Jones and the home side won't be rolling over this weekend after falling 31-26 to the Lions in their last game. Dallas destroyed the Eagles 37-10 in Week 7 and they've had their bye week off to prepare for this matchup. 

Key Trends:

- The Giants have allowed 121 points so far this year.

- Dallas has seen the total go over in its last two following its bye week.

The verdict: In Week 1 the Cowboys crushed New York 35-17. Look for the home side to play with pride and to make Dallas work for this "W." When you take into account all of the above factors, I'm playing the over!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Lions/Raiders.

Oakland is 3-4 and it's lost two straight. Oakland catches a break here though this weekend facing this "on again, off again" Lions offense. Detroit broke a three-game slide with a 31-26 win over the Giants. The Lions defense has been shaky the last few weeks as well, but the unit also catches a break facing this Raiders' offense which averages just 21 PPG (the Lions average 25.7). 

Key Trends:

- Detroit has seen the total go under in its last two after playing a two-game home stand.

- Oakland has seen the total dip below the posted number in nine of its last 11 when the total is greater than or equal to 49.5.

The verdict: The conditions, the situation and the trends/numbers are all point to the "under" as the correct call here in my opinion!

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is the over UVA/UNC.

This is a big game for both teams and because of that, I think this total will go over the number sooner, rather than never. The Cavs are 5-3 and hungry for that sixth victory so that they can become bowl eligible. The UNC Tar Heels are 4-4 and they're also looking for a couple more victories. Virginia averages 30 PPG and it concedes 20.8. UNC averages 27.5 PPG and it allows 25.8. 

Key Trends:

- UVA has seen the total go over the number in six of its last eight as a road dog.

- UNC has seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of its last four off a victory vs. a conference rival. 

The verdict: UVA has won two straight in this series, including a 31-21 win last season. I expect an even higher-scoring affair here; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL BEATDOWN is on Navy/UConn OVER.

UConn broke a six-game losing streak with a 56-53 win over UMass and I look for it to keep the foot on the gas here as well as it looks to pull off bac-to-back victories. Navy is 6-1 after holding on for a 41-38 win over Tulane and it'll also be out for another victory here, feeling confident after having won six straight in this series. Navy QB Malcom Perry has 18 TD's already this year and last week the Midshipmen had 453 total yards of offense. Overall Navy averages 37.9 PPG and it allows 19.7. The Huskies had 539 yards of offense vs. the Minutemen last weekend. 

Key Trends:

- The Huskies have allowed at least 35 points in four of their last six matchups.

- The Midshipmen have four 40-point games this year, including in two of their last three.

The verdict: The overall situation and the numbers both point to a "shootout" in my opinion; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under 49ers/Cards.

Arizona enters off a tough loss against the Saints and it's now 3-4. San Francisco is 7-0 and it'll be trying to not get caught looking past the Cards to its big matchup vs. the Seahawks next weekend. Arizona had won three straight until last week's setback. Cards' rookie Kyler Murray though is going to now face the NFC's top defensive unit on a short week and I believe he'll struggle. The 49ers have been blowing teams out this year, but I also think that the short amount of time to prepare will be detrimental to the visitors offense as well. 

Key Trends:

- San Fran has seen the total go under in ten of its last 15 after playing a game at home (including in both such instances this year.)

- Arizona has seen the total dip under in 19 of its last 30 vs. the conference.

The verdict: Look for this divisional battle to fall well below the posted number once it's all said and done!

My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER WVU/Baylor.

Baylor averages 38.9 PPG, which ranks it 12th in the country. The Bears have a balanced offense, which I believe will concentrate on the run today vs. a WVU team that's lost three straight, but which will also try to keep the Bears offense off the field of play today by controlling the ball while on offense. Baylor only allows 19.1 PPG and I think the Mountaineers have a difficult time mounting much of an offensive attack tonight (WVU is predictable and one-dimensional on offense with a run game which averages only 89 PPG.) 

Key Trends:

- WVU has seen the total dip under in four of its last five following its bye week.

- Baylor has seen the total dip under in five of its last six after scoring 37 points or more in its last game.

The verdict: I expect more of a "chess match," than a "shootout;" play the under!

My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the OVER Browns/Pats.

This is a big game for the Browns. Not so much for the undefeated defending champs. The Patriots love beating up on the Browns whenever they can, but Cleveland is in dire need of a victory and it enters off its bye week. I simply can't see the Browns sitting back and looking for the Pats to make the first mistake. Cleveland has to be aggressive from start to finish in this one if it has any hopes of pulling of an upset. Both teams sport awesome defenses, but the overall situation in my opinion points more to a "shootout," than a "chess match." 

Key Trends:

- The Browns have seen the total eclipse the posted number in their last three after having lost three of their last four games.

- The Patriots have seen the total go over the number in six of their last nine as a home favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. 

The verdict: Taking into account the situational and trend based factors above, I'm definitely on the over in this one!

My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the OVER SDSU/UNLV.

SDSU is bowl eligible and 6-1 overall after beating San Jose State 27-17 last weekend. So far the Aztecs have been exceptional defensively, but I think the visitors unit will be tested here today. The Rebels lost to Boise State, but then bounced back with a win over Vanderbilt. Overall the Rebels average 25.4 PPG and they concede 36.1. 

Key Trends:

- SDSU has in fact seen the total go over in interestingly four of its last five after a win of ten points or more over a conference rival.

- UNLV has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight off a road loss.

The verdict: UNLV will be airing it from start to finish and it's defense has been terrible. Look for the Owls to take some rare shots down field as well today. This number is a shade low, play the over!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Skins/Vikings.

Washington isn't going to be playing in the postseason after its terrible start. It's looked better since firing Jay Gruden though, earning a win over the hapless Dolphins, before then going down to the wire in an extremely defensive affair, but eventual loss to the 49ers last weekend. On the short week, I think it'll be the Redskins' defensive unit which is once again the main story line for Washington this week (note that the Skins will be extra motivated defensively as well here facing ex teammate Kirk Cousins.) The Vikes are surging and should have no problem controlling this contest in all facets. And with upcoming tough road games in at KC and Dallas, there's no reason to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish either. 

Key Trends:

- Washington has seen the total go under the number in 12 of its last 18 following a loss.

- Minnesota has seen the total dip under in three of its last four after scoring 30 points or more in its last game.

The verdict: This one has defensive battle written all over it; play the under!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER SMU/Houston.

The Mustangs are 7-0 and they trounced Temple 45-21 last time out. The Cougars are 3-4 and they're going to be hungry for a victory here as time is running out to become eligible. Houston's offense is simply not good enough to score many points here. The best strategy that the home side can employ here is to control the ball while on offense. 

Key Trends:

- SMU has seen the total dip under the number in nine of its last 13 after playing a conference game.

- Houston has seen the total go under the number in its last four off a no-cover where it won as the favorite.

The verdict: The Cougars do come in off the 24-17 win over UConn and they definitely won't be going down without a fight today. I'm expecting a lower-scoring defensive war; play the under!

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is the under Eagles/Cowboys.

They say defense wins championships. These teams are both filled with plenty of offensive talent, but it's going to be the one which gets the job done defensively today that wins this one in my opinion. It could not get any bigger for these 3-3 divisional foes. Neither will want to make a mistake here and I expect each to "control" the ball while on offense. 

Key Trends:

- Philadelphia has seen the total go under the number in its last three road games when the total is greater than or equal to 49.

- Dallas has seen the total dip under the number in six of its last eight off a non-conference contest.

The verdict: This one has defensive, low-scoring battle written all over it; play the under!

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Nevada/Utah State.

This is a big Mountain West Conference game. Nevada is 4-2 after a 41-38 shootout win over San Jose State, while Utah State is now 3-2 after a 42-6 loss to No. 2 LSU. Nevada was blown out by Hawaii two weeks ago, so it made a change at QB last weekend and the move paid immediate dividends with Malik Henry going for 352 yards and two TD's. Clearly Utah State will be looking to bounce back after last week's frustrating setback. Previous to that the Aggies had won three straight

Key Trends:

"We are coming off a bye week, so we've had a little more time to evaluate them,” said Utah State coach Gary Anderson. “They are a very tough-minded team, overall, that has dealt with some ups and downs, which this crazy game of football and this conference will give you. They have been resilient, they've been tough-minded and they've battled through everything that has come their way. They started a new quarterback last game and he did a nice job.”

The verdict: Utah State averages 32 PPG and it has a dynamic QB in Jordan Love. Nevada's new QB Henry isn't afraid to air it out either. I look for this one to sneak over the number sooner, rather than later!

My 10* play is on Ohio State/Northwestern OVER.

Will Northwestern be able to put up any points vs. an OSU defense that allows only 8.8 PPG on average? Ohio State is 6-0 and it'll be cautious here to not look past its opponent. The Buckeyes will indeed look to go up early and then maintain the rest of the way. The Wildcats though come out of their bye week with nothing to lose. NW needs to string wins together if it has any hopes of going bowling and it won't be holding anything back on the offense side of things as it tries to keep pace with its juggernaut opponent tonight. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a "shootout" in my opinion. 

Key Trends:

- Ohio State has seen the total go over in five of its last six as a road favorite of 14.5 points or more.

- NW has seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of its last five after having lost three of its last four games.

The verdict: Ohio State is also the No. 2 ranked team in the nation as far as scoring. Look for this one to fly over sooner, rather than later!

My 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT is on the under Chiefs/Broncos.

Kansas City has dropped back to back home games, suddenly looking poor on both sides of the ball. The defense has been especially atrocious, but the unit catches a break here facing Joe Flacco and the Broncos' run first offense. Flacco has been better of Denver's last two games (both Broncos wins after starting the year 0-3), but it's been the Denver defense which has been the reason for the big turnaround. Mahomes is dealing with an injured ankle right now and he's getting little support from his run game, which is averaging only 87 YPG. KC has to establish the run in the thin air of Denver tonight to alleviate the pressure of Mahomes as well. This one has lower-scoring "under" written all over it in my opinion. 

Key Trends:

- The Chiefs have seen the total dip under the number in six of their last seven after having lost two of their last three games.

- The Broncos have seen the total dip under in three of their last four home games as an underdog of three points or less.

The verdict: On the short week, I believe the defenses become the main story line in tomorrow's summaries; play the under!

My 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT is on the over South Alabama/Troy.

South Alabama has faced some stiff competition in Nebraska and Memphis early, which is definitely a big reason why its just 1-5. Troy though has been terrible, especially defensively this year and I think it'll have its hands full with this hungry underdog and QB Cephus Johnson, who has shown signficiant strides with each outing. Both teams have had a week off to prepare as well. But as mentioned off the top, the Trojans secondary has been downright terrible, ranked 124th out out 130 FBS teams by conceding 10.22 yards per attempt. 

Key Trends:

- South Alabama has interestingly seen the total go over the number in three of its last four off a cover where it lost as an underdog.

- Troy has seen the total go over the number in five of its last six following its bye week.

The verdict: With the Jaguars pushing the pace and airing it from start to finish and with the home side having to match pace, I look for this total to soar over sooner, rather than later; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL MASSACRE is on the under Lions/Packers.

Detroit is 2-1-1 and it's been its lights out defensive play which has been the difference for it so far this year. Lions' QB Matt Stafford and the offense has been acceptable, but clearly it's been Detroit's defense which has been the difference maker for the team in the early going. The Lions have already faced some eltie QB's this year, including Philip Rivers, Carson Wentz and Patrick Mahomes and they've for the most part shut down all three (including holding Mahomes to no TD's.) Green Bay's offense has been decent as well, but it's been the Packers' defense which has "stolen the show" as well this season. 

Key Trends:

- WR Davantae Adams is out for the Packers.

- Detroit has seen the total go under the number in six of its last eight after allowing 30 points or more in its last game.

The verdict: I look for these top rated defenses to take over this one; this number is high, play the under!

My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Saints/Jags.

This is a big contest and I believe it'll be the defensive units which become the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries. Teddy Bridgewater has done a great job filling in for Drew Brees, winning three straight, but I think he'll have his hands full here in this difficult road venue. Garnder Minshew has also filled in admirably in a backups role for the Jags, winning two of his first four starts. 

Key Trends:

- The Saints average and concede 23 PPG.

- The Jags average 22 points and they allow 23.

The verdict: I can't see the home side wanting to turn this one into a "shootout" with the high-flying Saints. Instead, I look for the home side to try and control this one and limit mistakes while on offense. This one has low-scoring "under" written all over it!

My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the over Arkansas/Kentucky.

This is a big game for both of these 2-3 teams. Kentucky has had a week off to absorb three straight losses and it comes into this one focused and motivated to get off the schneid. Arkansas also enters off its bye week rested and ready to try and pull off an upset here. Led by Nick Starkel, the Razorbacks aren't going to be afraid to air this one out (Starkel so far has 1000 passing yards and 11 TD's.) Kentucky averages 23.4 PPG and it concedes 24.4. Something has got to give here. 

Key Trends:

- Arkansas has interestingly seen the total go over the number in five of its last six off a cover where it lost SU as a dog.

- Kentucky has seen the total soar over the number in seven of its last nine as a home favorite.

The verdict: Both rested teams will push from start to finish and I expect that to translate into production on the offensive side of the ball; this number is low, play the over!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Giant's Patriots.

The Patriots' defense leads the league in almost every statistical category, but New England has yet to face a top tier offensive unit yet. And once again, it won't have to on Thursday night either, as New York comes to town off a listless 28-10 home loss to Minnesota. New York QB Daniel Jones has 760 yards passing with four TD's and three INT's. Jones and company had won two straight previous to that and clearly the rookie will be given the "green light" to try and pull off the upset today. The Giants defense has been decent to this point, but clearly this is a difficult task matching up against Tom Brady in peak form and on his own field. 

Key Trends:

- New York has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last ten after scroing 14 points or less in its previous game.

- New England has seen the total soar over in interestingly three of its last four off a road blowout win by 21 points or more.

The verdict: So far the Pats have seen the O/U go 1-4 this year. The Giants have seen the O/U go 2-3, but with both "overs" occurring on the road. With nothing to lose, I believe the visitors push the pace from start to finish; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the over Syracuse/NC State.

From both a "situational" stand point and also when looking at it from a trend based angle, I believe this one definitely sets up as a "shootout," rather than a low-scoring battle. Both teams are 3-2, but 0-1 in ACC play. Both teams also come out of their bye-weeks. The Orange offense is firing on all cylinders with QB Tommy DeVito, who already has 1,230 passing yards and 11 TD's (eight in his last two games.) The Orange defense has forced 12 turnovers, but it's still middle of the road. NC State is desperate as it turns to a new QB today in Bailey Hockman. The WolfPack have injuries on both sides of the ball, so the bye week could not have come at a better time for NC State. This is a big Conference game and I'm expecting a shootout on Prime Time. 

Key Trends:

- Syracuse has seen the total eclipse the posted number in its last three as a road dog of seven points or less.

- NC State has seen the total go over the number in six of eight this year as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range.

The verdict: I believe the stage is set for a sprint from start to finish; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Browns/49ers

Cleveland started off the year with a blowout loss at home to the Titans. The Browns offense was out of sync and it had to play from behind the whole game. They also committed well over 100 yards in penalties. Last week Baker Mayfield and company destroyed the Ravens 40-25 though and now the Browns' offense is starting to fire on all cylinders. RB Nick Chubb had three rushing TD's and Mayfield had over 350 yards passing. The 49ers enter at 3-0 after having last week off. Previous to that they destroyed the Steelers at home. Jimmy Garoppolo and the San Fran offense is also firing on all cylinders. From a situational stand point, I do absolutely believe that this one sets up as a high-scoring "shootout." 

Key Trends:

- Cleveland has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four off an upset win as an underdog.

- San Francisco has seen the total soar over in four of its last five as a home favorite of seven points or less.

The verdict: I do expect these two young QB's to push the pace from start to finish. This is a big game for both teams and I'm expecting a classic "shootout" on PRIME TIME!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the over Pats/Skins.

Yes New England has the best defense in the league. Statistically speaking anyways. The Patriots haven’t been truly tested by a great offense yet this year though and once again they won’t be this weekend either. That said, the 0-4 Redskins have nothing to lose here and will be given the green light to open up the offense from start to finish. This will of course give ample opportunity for this talented and opportunistic Pats’ defense to score as well. Washington has been poor on both sides of the ball this year, but especially defensively. Note that the Redskins’ defense ranks last in the NFL in third-down conversion prevention. Also note that Washington’s best player Josh Norman is questionable for this one. 

Key Trends:

- NE has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games.

- Washington has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after failing to cover the spread in three out of its last four games.

The verdict: Colt McCoy broke his leg on the first play of the National Championship game while he was in College. The Texas alum will be looking to break a leg here as well as he tries to pull of the monumental upset. Tom Brady continues to shine for the Patriots and I expect the veteran to take full advantage of this suspect Skins’ secondary. When you add it all up, this one has high-scoring shootout written all over it; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER SDSU/Colorado State.

SDSU is 3-1 and Colorado State is 1-4. The Aztecs enter focused and hungry after suffering their first loss of the season last week, falling against Utah State. Colorado State’s season lies in the balance after three straight losses. This team needs to start winning immediately, as another loss will be the nail in the coffin for any bowl aspirations. The Aztecs have been impressive defensively early, but I think the team opens up the playbook today as it looks to jump-start an offense which is averaging only 19 PPG. The Rams are averaging 32 PPG, led by QB Collin Hill, who has 837 passing yards and eight TD’s. Defensively though the Rams are conceding 40 PPG. 

Key Trends:

- SDSU has seen the total go over the number in three of its last six vs. teams with losing records.

- CSU has seen the total soar over in three of its last four as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range.

The verdict: SDSU has the perfect opponent today to get its offense untracked. The home side has nothing to lose and I expect it to push the pace from start to finish. This number is a little low, play the over!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER UCF/Cincinnati.

UCF is 4-1, while Cincinnati is 3-1. The Knights are already 1-0 in Conference play, but this is the Bearcats vs. league game. After last week’s 56-21 home smoke job of UConn, I think the high-powered visiting side plays a bit more conservatively in this difficult AAC road venue. Cincinnati returns home after smashing Marshall 52-14 last week. While each sides’ opponent featured a weak defense last weekend, that’s not the case this Friday night, as note that the Bearcats allow only 130.6 rushing yards and 167 passing yards per game and they’ve already posted ten sacks and two INT’s (an average of only 20.8 PPG). UCF concedes just 324.8 total YPG and it’s recorded 11 sacks, four INT’s and one pick six. 

Key Trends:

- UCF has seen the total go under the number in six of its last seven off a home blowout win by 28 points or more

- Cincinnati has seen the total dip under in nine of its last 13 as an underdog.

The verdict: Yes it’s true that both sides can score at a prodigious rate, but I think it’s the under-rated and under the radar defensive units which will ultimately be the main story line’s in tomorrow’s summaries; play the under!

My 10* play is on the over Vikes/Bears.

Two hungry division rivals collide on Saturday afternoon and I think that points are going to be plentiful. Chicago is 2-1 and the Vikes are 1-2. Both division rivals are equally as “hungry” for a victory here and I think it’s that sense of enormous focus and competition which will ultimately help in pushing this total above this very low number. 

Key Trends:

- Minnesota is averaging 193.7 rushing yards per game, which is second in the league. 

- Chicago’s offense finally got untracked last week in the 31-15 road victory in the nation’s capital.

The verdict: I think the Bears’ offense continues to progress and I believe the Vikes are going to be forced to match the pace of the home side tonight. This one has “shootout” written all over it in my opinion; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the over Northwestern/Wisconsin.

Northwestern is hungry here sitting at 1-2 and it knows it’ll have its hands full trying to hang with 3-0 Wisconsin. Northwestern was humbled by Michigan State last week, but it’ll have to keep the foot on the gas if it has any hope to keep up with surging Wisconsin, which just upset Michigan last week. Hunter Johnson has struggled under center for the Wildcats and his ineptitude has put added pressure on an already overtaxed Wildcats defense. And that’s bad news facing the Badgers, who won their first two games by a combined score of 110-0. 

Key Trends:

- Northwestern has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last nine on the road.

- The Wildcats have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 as a dog.

- The Badgers have seen the total go over the number in eight of their last ten when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points. 

The verdict: I expect a wide-open affair from start to finish; this number is a little low, play the over!

My 10* play on the under Penn State/Maryland.

I think Penn State comes out a bit flat to open after its bye week and because of that, I look for this total to sneak below the number once it’s all said and done. Back on Sept. 14th the Nittany Lions escaped a low-scoring 17-10 battle with Pitt and while this one might produce a bit more offense, I’m not expecting by much. And that’s because Maryland ALSO comes out of its bye week and it’s looking to rebound though after it fell 20-17 to Temple. The home side will also be out to avenge a 38-3 loss to the Nittany Lions last year. When I make my pick on a total (in all sports), I like to look at the overall “situation” that each team finds itself in coming into that contest and in my opinion, from a situational stand point I believe this one definitely sets up as more of a “chess match,” than a wide-open shootout. 

Key Trends:

- Penn State has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 14 vs. the conference.

- Maryland has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range.

The verdict: Penn State contained Maryland’ RB Anthony McFarland Jr. last season and I predict a duplicate performance here as well. This number is just a shade high, play the under!

My 10* NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on the over Eagles/Packers.

So far every Thursday night NFL game has fallen well below the posted number. That includes on Opening Night as well when the Packers played. But I believe that trend finally changes this week, as I believe the desperate 1-2 Philadelphia Eagles will be out to push the pace from start to finish. Yes Green Bay’s defense has been fantastic to this point (allowing just 11.7 PPG thus far) and yes the Eagles have injuries on the offensive side of the ball, but I still don’t think that’s going to matter. Philadelphia’s season is on the line tonight and I expect Carson Wentz to open things up early and often. Of course, Green Bay has also looked fantastic on the offensive side of the ball this year and I think it’s balanced attack is going to run roughshod over this suspect Eagles’ defense. 

Key Trends:

- Philly has seen the total go over the number in five of its last six road game when the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. 

- Green Bay has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four off a home victory by ten points or more.

The verdict: Green Bay is desperate to move to 4-0 and the Eagles are desperate to avoid a 1-3 hole. This one has “shootout” written all over it!

My 10* NCAAF TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the over Navy/Memphis.

After scuffling the last couple of season, the Midshipmen are out to prove the doubters wrong this year. Navy is averaging nearly 380 yards per game on the ground and while the defense has looked good early, that’s mainly due to the level of competition. Memphis has also looked good on the defensive side of things, but once again that’s been because of early competition in my opinion. Now that AAC play is here, I think these defensive units have a much more difficult time. Each has looked good on the offensive end in the early going and there’s no reason not to think that won’t carry over in my opinion either. 

Key Trends:

- Navy has seen the total go over the number in 13 of 19 this year as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range.

- Memphis has seen the total go over the number in 11 of its last 16 at home.

- The Tigers have seen the total soar over in four of their last five off a road victory.

The verdict: A great situational play as I’m expecting a wide-open affair from start to finish; play the over!

My 10* play is on the OVER Broncos/Packers.

From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up beautifully as a higher-scoring “shootout.” Denver is 0-2 and it’s defense has looked suspect. The offense has struggled as well. Joe Flacco and company won’t be holding anything back here though as they try to salvage their season and avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole to open the season (no team in NFL history has won the Super Bowl after starting 0-3.) Green Bay has looked impressive on the defensive side of the ball during its 2-0 start, but I think the unit gets tested today by this now desperate Broncos team. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers and company appear to be firing on all cylinders offensively early as well. As stated off the top, from a situational stand point, this one has high-scoring shootout written all over it.

Key Trends:

- Denver has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four after scoring 14 points or less in its last game.

- GB has seen the total soar over in its last four home games as a favorite in the 3.5 to 7 points range.

The verdict: Expect a wide open affair from start to finish in this one; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Colorado/ASU.

Both teams are hungry for a victory and I believe each is going to push the pace from start to finish. ASU is fresh of a monumental upset for the Spartans and it has to be feeling confident here as well as the last time these team’s met in Tempe, ASU picked up the 41-30 victory. That said, Colorado posted the seven point victory in this matchup last year at home, with three passing TD’s from its QB Steven Montez. Colorado won’t be lacking for motivation here either after coming up short to Air Force last time out. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe that this one sets up as a high-scoring “shootout,” rather than a low-scoring “chess match.” 

Key Trends:

- Colorado has seen the total go over the number in 12 of its last 15 off an upset loss as a home favorite.

- ASU has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 11 of its last 17 off an upset win as a road underdog.

The verdict: The opener of Pac 12 play for both and I expect some fireworks; play the over!

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the over Air Force/Boise State.

These are two teams “firing on all cylinders” to open the season and I look for that momentum to translate into offensive production on the field of play this evening. Both teams are undefeated with victories over Power 5 programs already on their resumes. These are two very productive offenses, but each gets the job done differently. The Broncos are going to have a hard time slowing down the Falcons’ rushing attack, which ranks second in the country at 353.5 YPG (it has 22 runs of ten or more yards.) Boise State QB Hank Bachmeier has a stiff task tonight facing this revamped Air Force defense, but he has a pair of solid backs in Robert Mahone and George Holani to keep the visitors honest. I see both sides pushing the pace and from a situational stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up as more of a high-scoring “shootout,” than a low-scoring “chess-match.” 

Key Trends:

- The Falcons have seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of their last six as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range.

- The Broncos have seen the total go over the number in six of their last eight off a SU home victory.

The verdict: As mentioned off the top, I expect a wide open pace from start to finish; play the over!

Ricky’s 10* play on the under Browns/Jets.

Cleveland played terribly in Week 1. It’s first drive of the game looked brilliant, but then a penalty cost it a TD and the Browns settled for the FG to open things up. And after that it was all downhill, as several penalties resulted in 187 yards lost. At that point, Baker Mayfield and company were forced to play from behind and the dynamic back threw three picks. I don’t think that the Titans offense is as good as it looked in Week 1 and I don’t think that the Browns defense is as bad as it looked either. What we do know is that the Jets blew a 16 point lead late to the Bills and lost in Week 1. They also lost starting QB Sam Darnold to mono. These are two teams looking to limit mistakes and control the tempo. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe that this one sets up as a lower-scoring battle. 

Key Trends:

- Cleveland has seen the total go under in its last four after allowing 35 points or more in its previous outing.

- New York has seen the total go under in its last two off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite.

The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, I expect this one to stay well below the posted number; play the under!

Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the under Alabama/South Carolina.

Alabama comes to town off wins over Duke and New Mexico State, while South Carolina was shocked in a 24-20 loss to UNC in its opener, before then annihilating FCS opponent Charleston Southern 72-10. Alabama will be out to establish the run early and often vs. its first SEC opponent this year, so far it’s ranked 31st in the country in that department. But South Carolina has looked much better on the defensive side of the ball this year, especially up front. Imposing their will in the trenches is the trademark of the Tide and I look for offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian to stick to the run throughout, despite having mobile QB Tua Tagovailoa. 

Key Trends:

- UNC gouged USC for 238 rushing yards, so as mentioned off the top, look for the visitors to try and establish the run game while on offense from start to finish.

- South Carolina lost its QB Jake Bentley in the loss to UNC. Ryan Hilinski was 24 of 30 for 282 yards and two TD’s in last week’s blowout win, but obviously he’s being thrown to the Wolves here vs. the best potential defense in the conference.

The verdict: How can the Gamecocks help their backup QB today? Clearly by protecting him and by running the ball effectively. And so with both teams firmly committed to establishing the run and assert itself in the trenches, all signs do indeed point to the under as the correct call here!

Ricky’s 10* play on the under UNC/Wake Forest.

After starting 2-0, the Tar Heels will be looking to carry that momentum over here. Most recently Mack Brown’s guys beat Coastal rival Miami. The Demon Deacons enter off victories over Utah State and Rice. UNC has gotten better than expected QB play from Sam Howell, but the offense still revolves around the run game and Javonte Williams, who has 178 rushing yards thus far. Wake has gotten exceptional play from its dual threat QB as well in Jamie Newman, who has six TD’s and no INT’s so far. 

Key Trends:

- Despite struggling against the pass in the early going, the Deacs do already have five sacks this season.

- Look for Wake Forest to utilize the run game tonight, as UNC just gave up 179 yards on the ground to Miami.

The verdict: This is a big game and on the short week, I believe these under-rated defensive units become the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries; play the under!

Ricky’s 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Falcons/Vikings.

It’s a big game for both teams right out of the gate. Minnesota has a 19-11 all time lead in this series, which includes back-to-back victories, including 14-9 win in 2017. Both teams took big steps backwards last year, but each has big expectations heading into this season. While the offense stalled for Minnesota last year, the Vikings return ten starters on the defensive side of the ball to a unit which is once again expected to be one of the bed tin the league. Atlanta was plagued by injury last year. The Falcons’ offense isn’t in question ever with Matt Ryan running the show, but Atlanta’s success in 2019/20 will once again be decided on what its defense is capable of doing. 

Key Trends:

- Atlanta has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 16 on the road.

- Minnesota has seen the total go under in nine of its last 12 as a home favorite.

The verdict: I can’t see the Vikes turning this into a “shootout” with Ryan and company, so I believe we’ll see a much more methodical pace from the home side. When you add up all of the above factors I believe that the under is definitely the correct call!

Ricky’s 10* play on the over Rutgers/Iowa.

Rutgers got 340 passing yards and two TD’s from McLane Carter in its blowout win over UMass last weekend. He did however also throw three picks. Iowa only allowed 14 points in its victory last week, but it got 252 yards and three TD’s from QB Nate Stanley and the team would also go on to post 213 rushing yards. 

Key Trends:

- The Scarlet Knights were horrible on third-down defense vs. the lowly Minutemen last week, allowing seven third-down conversions out of 16 attempts. 

- Iowa had the nation’s best third-down offense last week, converting nine of 14 attempts. 

The verdict: Rutgers has seen the total go over in six of its last seven when the total in the contest is set between 42. and 49 points. This one has “shootout” written all over it in my opinion; play the over!

Ricky’s 10* play on the under Marshall/Boise State.

Marshall cruised to victory with a blowout win over FCS opponent VMI. No big surprise there. Boise State though roared out to an early lead vs. FSU and then it continued to hold on for the eventual upset victory. Can anyone say “letdown” spot? For both teams! I think Marshall struggles in this difficult road venue and I believe the Broncos take a step back after last weekend’s emotional victory. This is a big game for both teams though, with a run at the Group of 5’s top spot in the New Year’s Six. Marshall is going to see a much stiffer test this time around, as Boise State registered four sacks last week vs. the Seminoles.  

Key Trends:

- Marshall has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 14 when playing with six or less days rest.

- Boise State has seen the total dip under in four of its last five as a home favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range.

The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under!

Ricky’s 10* BLOOD-BATH on the under Notre Dame/Louisville.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Ian Book put up big numbers after taking the reins in Week 4 for the Irish last year and he’s expected to take another big step forward this season. Book’s team this year though looks different from last year’s squad and I think he’ll have some difficulties with chemistry coming out of the gate. The Notre Dame defense also lost many key players, but its top pass rushing duo in Khalid Kareem and Julian Okwara are poised to give Jawon Pass fits for the Cardinals tonight. Pass will obviously be improved from a decent season a year ago, but he’ll be leaning heavily on his other players for support tonight in this difficult matchup. 

Key Trends:

- Notre Dame has seen the total go under in three of its last four as a road favorite in the 17.5 to 21 points range.

- Louisville has seen the total go under in six of its last seven non-conference contests.

The verdict: Turnover for both teams on both sides of the ball leads to this total staying well below the posted number in Week 1; play the under!

Ricky’s 10* TOTAL CASH-BOMB on the under Houston/Oklahoma.

Both teams enter the 2019 campaign looking vastly different than they did a year ago. Both have new coaches and each has lost significant talent (Kyler Murray is now the starting QB in Arizona and Ed Oliver has gone to the NFL as well.) The Sooners went out and got defensive guru Alex Grinch to try and bring back some respectability to that side of the ball this season. Houston has D’Eriq King back under center after he suffered a knee injury last year. Oklahoma has a talented QB transfer in Jalen Hurts this season and while he has plenty of weapons around him, I think chemistry will be an issue to start (note as well that Hurts loves running the ball, is big and can take a beating no problem.) 

Key Trends:

- Houston has seen the total go under in six of its last ten on the road.

- Oklahoma has seen the total dip under in four of its last six non-conference games.

The verdict: I expect these teams to come out a little “flat” to open the game and that “lull” will help in keeping this total under this sky high number; play the under!

Ricky’s 10* total of the month on the over Rice/Army.

Every team has “big” expectations coming into a new season and these two are no different. The Army Golden Knights though come in off a historic 2018 campaign, one which was capped by a 70-14 win over Houston in the Armed Forces Bowl (11-2 overall for the Cadets last year.) The Owls will be eager to prove themselves against the up-tempo Knights. Rice finished its season with a 27-13 upset victory over Old Dominion though (just 2-11 overall though.) Rice turns to Wiley Green, who was the QB in the ODU victory and who had 621 passing yards and three TD’s, to go along with 34 rushing yards and two more scores in four appearances last year. The Army offense welcomes back seven starters, including senior QB Kelvin Hopkins Jr.

Key Trends:

- Rice has seen the total go over in eight of its last nine non-conference games.

- Army has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 as a favorite.

The verdict: Rice has to open up the playbook here if it has any shot at pulling off the upset; look for this one to fly over early!

Ricky’s 10* play on the over Florida/Miami Florida.

Key Trends:

- It’s interesting to note that UF finished with a 1-3 record last year when it scored less than 20 points, but it was 9-0 when scoring over 20. 

- Also note that the Hurricanes were 0-5 last year when scoring less than 20 points, while going 7-1 when eclipsing the 20 points plateau. 

The verdict: Florida was 10-3 last year under Dan Mullen’s first year as head coach and I believe it has a chance to duplicate that record. The home side won’t be going down without a fight though under Miami first year head coach Manny Diaz. When you add it all up, I think this one flies over the number sooner, rather than later!

Ricky's 10* play on the “under” in the Super Bowl.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Underrated defensive units. With so much offensive fire-power, it’s easy to forget how well each team played defensively down the stretch in the playoffs. The Pats enter off a 37-31 win over KC, holding Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes to just 16 of 31 and sacking him four times. The Rams were forced by the Saints for 45 points in the first meeting between the clubs, but last week LA looked great defensively in its eventual 26-23 OT victory.

Key Trends:

- New England has seen the total go under the number in 11 of 17 as a favorite this year.

- LA has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four off an upset win as a road dog.

The verdict: Look for the two week lay off to benefit the defensive units and play the under in the Super Bowl!

Ricky's 10* play on the under Rams/Saints.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Improved defensive play from each team. The Rams beat a dangerous Cowboys team 30-22 last week. I’d argue that the LA defense “stole the show” in that one though. The Saints overcame a 14 point hole in the first quarter to edge past the Eagles last weekend. Drew Brees had 301 yards and two TD’s, but after the slow start, it was the Saints’ defense which “brought that one home” for the home side. The Rams will be committed to the run offensively after posting 273 rushing yards in last week’s win. Known for the high-flying offensive play in the regular season, this one has

Key Trends:

- LA has seen the total go under the number in six of eight on the road already this year.

- The Rams have seen the total dip under the number in four of their last five in revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 28 or more points (lost in Week 9 to the Saints.)

- New Orleans has seen the total go under the number in nine of 14 as the favorite this year.

- The Saints have seen the total go under in four of five already this year after allowing 14 points or less last game.

The verdict: While the first matchup between these clubs flew over, this one has all the makings of a lower-scoring defensive battle this time around. Play the under!

Ricky's 10* play on the under.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Two of the top defensive teams in the country going head to head. Last year Alabama dominated 24-6 and I expect a similar hard-fought, lower-scoring war here as well. Clemson plays with revenge and it’s backed by one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing just 12.9 PPG. The Tide are second in the nation in scoring, but clearly this is Alabama’s stiffest test to date. The Crimson Tide are now slouches defensively either though, ranked among the nation’s leaders in most categories, including being ranked 12th in yards allowed (308.7).

Key Trends:

- Alabama has seen the total go under the number in four of its last five as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. 

- Clemson has seen the total go under in 20 of its last 29 following two or more SU victories.

The verdict: The recent history between these clubs, combined with their nation leading defensive units make the under the correct move!

Ricky's 10* play on the under Chargers/Ravens.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Ravens game-plan. With Melvin Gordon III injured for LA (if he does suit up, clearly he won’t be at 100% form), LA’s offensive game-plan becomes one-dimensional. The Ravens were among the league leaders in most defensive categories. They record a sack about once every eight plays and also have the fifth best opponents’ passer rating at 73.15. Baltimore also has as many INT’s as TD passes allowed (6). Baltimore will be looking to “manage” the game with LaMar Jackson while on offense, so as to limit Philip Rivers tie on the field of play. 

Key Trends:

- LA has seen the total go under in ten of its last 12 following a road victory.

- Baltimore has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 11 following a divisional contest.

The verdict: The situation and numbers point to the under as the correct call!

Ricky's 10* play on the under Cinncy/VT.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Long lay off. I think the longer layoff throws a money wrench into the chemistry of each sides offense. The Bearcats got the job done with their elite defense (allowing only 16.1 PPG), which led to their 10-2 record. VT was just 6-6 and while it features some talent, the Hokies are just glad to be here. This one screams “under.”

Key Trends:

- The Hokies have seen the total go under the number in six of their last eight after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games. 

- The Bearcats have seen the total dip under in nine of their last 14 as a favorite.

- Cincinnati has seen the total go under in its last three when playing with two weeks or more of rest.

The verdict: Conditions and numbers point to a lower-scoring under.

Ricky's 10* play on the over Cowboys/Giants.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Manning’s last hurrah? If this is Eli Manning’s final game as QB for New York, he’s going to want to put on a show for the home side fans. Manning is also out to avenge a 20-13 road loss to Dallas in Week 2. With the Cowboys expected to rest most of their starters with nothing to win or lose here, I’m expecting the legendary New York pivot to air it out early and often.

Key Trends:

- New York has seen the total go over in both games already this year in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent.

- The Giants have seen the total go over in five of their last seven as a home favorite.

The verdict: The situation and trends are pointing to a shootout. Play the over.

Ricky's 8* play on the under in the Birmingham Bowl.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Significant injuries to key offensive players for both teams. Wake Forest is likely to be without Greg Dortch, who led the ACC with 1,750 all purpose yards and who had injured his hand in a win over Duke in the reg. season finale (if he does suit up, clearly he won’t be at 100% form.) Memphis will be without RB and All American Darrell Henderson (2,328 all purpose yards and 25 TDs), who is leaving to the NFL. This is my “key angle” for this contest.

Key Trends:

- Wake has seen the total go under the number in six of its last eight after having won two of its last three

- Wake has seen the total go under in four of its last six after allowing 14 points or less in its last game.

- Memphis has seen the total go under in three of its last four after allowing 50 points or more in its last game.

The verdict: This number is high, play the under.

Ricky's 10* play on the under.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Above average defenses and backup QB’s. Both teams have their back-ups in here, forced to make switches for different reasons half way through the campaign. BYU allows only 21.7 PPG, while WMU gives up just 33.3. The Broncos though struggled with offensive consistency after starting QB Jon Wassink went down with inury and backup Kaleb Eleby only went 1-3 in his limited time.

Key Trends:

- BYU has seen the total go under the number in five of seven as a favorite this season.

- WMU has seen the total go under the number in its last two neutral site affairs.

The verdict: The conditions and trends point to a defensive affair. Play the under.

Ricky's 10* play on the over Dolphins/Vikings.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Desperation. Both teams still have a shot at their respective Wild Card spots. It’s now or never as neither can take the foot off the gas at this point. I expect each to push the pace and this becomes my “key angle” for this contest.

Key Trends:

- Miami has seen the total go over in nine of 14 off a division game.

- The Dolphins have seen the total go over in four of their last five off an upset win as a home underdog.

- Minnesota has seen the total go over in three of its last four after a loss by 14 points or more.

The verdict: Miami comes in off a thrilling last second win over the Patriots and I expect that offensive momentum to get carried over here. Play the over.

Ricky's 10* play on the under.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Game significance. Both teams currently hold the NFC wild card spot and each will be desperate for a victory here to hold onto that position. On the short week, this one has the feel of a classic lower-scoring “chess match” on Thursday night.

Key Trends:

- Minnesota has seen the total go under the number in 10 of its last 15 as an underdog.

- Seattle has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 25 as a favorite.

The verdict: Take the under.

Ricky's 10* play on the under.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Recent history. These two teams like to the run the ball. Almost every game they’ve played over the last ten years has been competitive (was a 14-13 Army win last year). Navy’s stumbled this year, while Army is on the verge of posting back-to-back ten-win seasons. Look for this trend of low-scoring “chess matches” to continue on Saturday afternoon.

Key Trends:

- Navy has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range.

- The Midshipmen have seen the total go under the number in eight of their last 11 off a road loss (including in four of five this year).

- Army has seen the total go under in four of its last five when playing with two or more weeks of rest.

The verdict: Play the under.

Ricky's 10* play on the under.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Common sense and recent history. These teams struggle with offensive consistency most weeks. Last week Jacksonville beat the Colts 6-0, while the Titans rallied for a 26-22 win over the Jets. When these teams played in Jacksonville earlier in the year, the Titans scored the low-scoring 9-6 victory. Expect these strong under trends to continue on the short week and on the National stage. 

Key Trends:

- Jacksonville has seen the total go under the number in nine of 14 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range.

- Tennessee has seen the total go dip under the number in all four games that it’s played in this year, after playing a home game. 

The verdict: Everything points to another battle. Play the under.

Ricky's 10* play on the over.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- It’s “do or die.” Motivation is the “key angle” for this play. An important divisional match-up sees both teams desperate for a win to keep its small playoff hopes alive. This one has “shootout” written all over it.

Key Trends:

- Washington has seen the total go over the number in 17 of its last 27 when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points.

- Philadelphia has seen the the total go over the number in ten of its last 15 vs. the division.

- The Eagles have seen the total go over in nine of their last 15 following a home victory.

The verdict: Play the over.

Ricky's 10* play on the under Chargers/Steelers.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- It’s a big game for both teams, with playoff positioning on the line. I believe the overall situation lends itself to a lower-scoring defensive battle and it’s my “key angle” for this selection.

Key Trends:

- LA has seen the total go under in ten of its last 11 after having won four or five out of its last six games.

- The Chargers have seen the total go under in seven of their last eight after a win by 14 points or more.

- The Steelers have seen the total go under in nine of their last 14 vs. teams with winning records.

The verdict: Play the under.

Ricky's 10* play on the under in the BIG TEN Champ game.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. 

- Defesne, defense, defense! That’s my key angle for this game. The Wildcats allow 134.7 rushing YPG and 238 passing yards, while Ohio State’s only weakness has been against the run, allowing 161.9 YPG. The pass defense of the Buckeyes is on point though, which doesn’t look good for a Northwestern team averaging a pedestrian 351.1 YPG.

Key Trends:

- Northwestern has seen the total go under in nine of its last 14 as an underdog.

- The Wildcats have seen the total go under in its last two neutral site games.

- The Buckeyes have seen the total go under in their last three as a neutral field favorite.

The verdict: Play the under.

Ricky's 10* play on the over.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant.

Key Trends:

- KC has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last 11 non-conference road games as an underdog in the 2.5 to 5.5 points range.

- The Rams have seen the total go “over” in 15 of their last 25 non-conference home games as a favorite in the 2.5 to 5.5 points range.

The verdict: These teams feature the two most explosive offenses from their respective conferences and neither can play a lick of defense. Play the over.

Ricky’s 10* play on the under.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant.

Key Trends:

- Minnesota has seen the total go under in nine of its last 13 as an underdog.

- The Vikings have seen the total go under in eight of their last 12 following a divisional contest.

- The Bears have seen the total go under in 12 of their last 20 at home. 

The verdict: This is an important game for both teams and the numbers and the overall situation point to the under as the correct move.

Ricky's 10* play on the under.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant.

Key Trends:

- Tampa Bay has seen the total go under the number in 11 of its last 15 following two or more SU losses.

- New York has seen the total go under in eight of its last 13 vs. teams with losing records.

- The Giants have seen the total go under in 13 of their last 20 at home.

The verdict: Take the under.

Ricky’s 10* play on the over WMU/Ball State.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the history between these two teams is particularly significant.

Key Trends:

- As note that WMU has seen the total go over in its last two Tuesday night contests

- Note that the Broncos have also seen the total go over in five of eight as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range.

- Additionally note that Ball State has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 10 of its last 16 at home.

The verdict: Even without their starting QB’s, I’m expecting a more “up-tempo” pace. Play the over.

Ricky's 8* play on the Over 52:

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. In today's game there is no doubt that the Vikings defense is particularly significant. The Vikes ranked 2nd in the NFL versus the pass last year, and they rank 21st in the league coming into tonight's game versus the Saints.

Key Trends:

- The Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

- The Over is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 versus a team with a winning record.

- The Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota.

Verdict: Take OVER