|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|07-15-18||Croatia v. France -105||Top||2-4||Win||100||72 h 50 m||Show|
My 10* LEGEND is on France to win in regulation (11:00 AM EST).
I had a play on France in its victory over Belgium and I think it’s going to find a way to take the finale in regulation as well.
Croatia has been a great story to this point, but I think it’s outclassed across the board in this one.
Note that the Croatians have been taken to extra-time in all three knock-out matches so far.
France is the deeper, more talented and experienced team as well, having also reached the 2016 Euro Final most recently.
The French come in at full strength. Keep your eyes on Antoine Griezmann, who has a knack for the “big moments,” having been involved in 20 goals (12 scored, eight assists) in his last 20 France appearances. You’ll also want to track Kylian Mbappe, who has scored three goals over his last two games.
The French have been on an entirely different level since the knock-out stages began. Note that France is now unbeaten in its last ten matches, winning eight outright.
Croatia comes into this one pretty much fit as well. Luke Modric is one of three Croatians with two goals. Mario Mandzukic scored the winner against England.
But France has improved with each game of this 2018 World Cup and it’s had to navigate the much more difficult route. The Croatian’s come in exhausted after three straight extra time victories.
Play on France to win in regulation.
|07-10-18||Belgium v. France +153||Top||0-1||Win||153||28 h 24 m||Show|
My 10* SOCCER GAME OF THE YEAR is on France to win in regulation over Belgium (2:00 EST).
Belgium comes in off a big win over tournament favorite Brazil, but I think it’ll stumble here against this surging French team.
France comes in off a convincing 2-0 win over Uruguay in its last round.
Good news for the French is that Blaise Matuidi is back from suspension after having to sit out the quarter-final. And that means that France comes in at full strength to this one.
Keep your eyes on speedster Kylian Mbappe, who has scored three goals in the tournament, two of which came against Argentina. You’ll also want to track Antoine Griezmann for the French, who managed his third goal of the Tourney against Uruguay.
Note that France comes in having won seven and drawn two of its last nine matches.
Belgium will be missing the services of Thomas Meunier after he picked up his second yellow card against Brazil. The Belgians are led by Romelu Lukaku, who has four goals so far in the tournament. Lukaku scored four times over the first two group stage games, but he’s been quiet since.
Clearly it’s not going to be easy for the French, as Belgium comes in unbeaten since August 2016, including having won all five of its games outright so far in the Tournament.
But France has kept three clean sheets in its last four matches and I ultimately believe that Belgium will finally meet its match defensively in this one.
The French are finally firing on all cylinders at both ends of the field and I like them to punch their ticket to the final game.
Play on France.
|07-06-18||France v. Uruguay OVER 2||Top||2-0||Push||0||73 h 4 m||Show|
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is the over France/Uruguay (10:00 AM EST).
I’m expecting these two capable countries to put some balls in the back of the net.
Uruguay comes in off a win over Portugal, while France took care of business over Argentina to advance to the Quarters.
Uruguay will be looking for others to step up here with the news that Edinson Cavani is likely to sit this one out with a leg injury. That means that Cristhian Stuani will be paired with Luis Suarez up front in this one. Keep your eyes on Suarez though, who scored two goals in the group round to move to 53 on the international stage.
Antoine Griezmann won the 2016 Euro Golden Boot and he’d notch another one in the most recent victory as well for France. The French would win 4-3 over Argentina and in my opinion, everything points to another high-scoring thriller here as well.
France has history working against it this afternoon, as it’s won just one of its last seven matches against Uruguay. Kylian Mbappe has four goals in his last five appearances for the French though and I think he’ll have a productive match here as well.
When you add it all up, this one the feel of a wide open “shootout,” rather than a tightly-checked “chess match.” Play the over.
|06-28-18||Belgium +190 v. England||Top||1-0||Win||190||29 h 11 m||Show|
My 10* WINNER is on Belgium (2:00 EST).
These two sides have found the back of the net at a prolific rate to open the 2018 World Cup, but to this point neither has really been challenged.
That’s about to change on Thursday though. Belgium comes in on a 21 match unbeaten streak dating to 2016, while England is on a 12-game unbeaten run.
Belgium most recently beat Tunisia 5-2, while England got the better of Panama 6-1. Top spot is up for grabs in Group G, but for a number of different reasons, I think the Belgians have the advantage.
Harry Kane had two goals for the Three Lions in their opening win against Tunisia and then he notched a hat-trick against Panama. Kane though will figure to have a much more difficult time against the Belgians World class backend Thursday afternoon.
England has a notorious history of struggling in the “big games,” and it also has had difficulty against other European nations, as the last Euro team it played it would draw 1-1 with Italy at Wembley in March.
Romelu Lukaku is rolling for Belgium as well, as he netted two goals against both Panama and Tunisia. Over his last seven appearances for the Belgians he’s posted ten goals.
As good as England has looked, I think it’s going to falter against this other European heavyweight. Belgium has won six of its last seven matches and it hasn’t lost since 2016.
Belgium took care of Tunisia much easier than England did as well, as the Three Lions needed an extra time goal from Kane to secure the victory.
The “step up” in competition proves to be too much for England in my opinion this time around. The Three Lions have already moved onto the next round, but Belgium is out to send a message on Thursday.