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Frank Sawyer NCAA-B Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
04-07-25 Florida v. Houston UNDER 141.5 Top 65-63 Win 100 4 h 16 m Show

At 8:50 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida Gators (701) and the Houston Cougars (679) in the National Championship Game of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Florida (35-4) has won 11 games in a row after their 79-73 victory against Auburn as a 2-point favorite in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday. Houston (34-4) has won 18 games in a row after their 70-67 upset victory against Duke in their Final Four game on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: We were on Duke against the Cougars on Saturday — and despite getting that call wrong, much of my concern about this Houston team played out as  I expected. As I wrote for that Report: “Houston’s offense can still go cold because of their inefficiency inside the arc.” Sure enough, the Cougars only made 13 of their 39 shots from inside the arc for a rough 33.3% shooting percentage. Houston ranks 292nd by making only 48.0% of their shots inside the arc — and that mark drops to a 46.1% clip on the road which ranks 283rd. They are scoring -2.7 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. But the Cougars are one of head coach Kelvin Sampson’s best scoring teams because they lead the nation by nailing 39.9% of their shots from behind the arc — and they nailed 10 of their 22 shots from behind the arc against the Blue Devils at a 45.5% clip. Can they come close to that tonight? The Gators rank sixth in the nation by holding their opponents to 29.5% shooting from behind the arc. The other area where Houston dominated was on the offensive glass as they pulled down 18 offensive rebounds on a remarkable 46.2% of their missed shots — despite Duke’s significant size edge. Credit goes to box-out fundamentals this team has been taught —  but the Cougars once again are at a size disadvantage since the Gators have four players in their forward rotation that are taller than 6’8 which is how big Houston gets on their front line from their regulars. Florida ranks 133rd in the nation with their opponents rebounding 29.0% of their missed shots — but that number is reflective of head coach Todd Golden’s desire to play at a fast pace and get up-and-down in transition from their opponent's missed shots. Given what the Cougars did to Duke, Golden may have his team focus more on limiting second-chance opportunities. They limited Auburn to pulling down only 25% of their missed shots despite the Tigers ranking 50th in the nation in offensive rebounding (34.2%). In the SEC Tournament Championship Game, they held Tennessee to rebounding only 17.4% of their missed shots despite the Volunteers ranking 23rd in offensive rebounding (35.6%). Clearly, Florida can frustrate great offensive rebounding teams if they want to — but the choice to do it requires them to slow the pace of the game down. Houston’s scoring can dry up if their 3s are not falling and they are not getting second-chance looks. In their regular season loss to Auburn, they made only 41.4% of their shots which resulted in 69 points. In their last overtime loss against the Crimson Tide who play at the fastest pace in the nation, they only made 36.9% of their shots. In their loss to San Diego State, they only made 37.1% of their shots. In their narrow 62-60 victory against Purdue in the Sweet 16, they only made 37.7% of their shots. A theme is emerging: if Houston is missing their shots, they can be beaten — and they did not make more than 42.1% of their shots in 11 of their games this season after only making 37.7% of their shots against Duke. On the road, the Cougars' 3-point shooting drops to a 38.0% clip which ranks 15th in the nation (still great, but no longer the best). To compound matters, they do not make things easier for themselves by getting to the free throw line — they rank 327th in the nation in getting to the free throw line. Just not enough easy shots spell trouble — and they were fortunate to get past the Blue Devils with some fortunate whistles late in the game. But Houston stole that game because they held Duke to only eight points in the final eight minutes of the game and just 39.6% shooting (and 67 points) despite the Blue Devils leading the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Cougars lead the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Houston has played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. They have also played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who are winning 80% or more of their games. Florida allowed the Tigers to make 43.9% of their shots which was the highest opponents’ field goal percentage in their last three contests. The Gators' offense does take a step back if they get stuck in a half-court slog. They rank second in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they drop to 24th with their effective field goal percentage of 55.1% while ranking no higher in 29th in their 2-point/3-point shooting splits. The half-court offense does not create enough catch-and-shoot scoring opportunities which is critical when facing this Cougars defense. They only had 11 of those catch-and-shoot chances against Auburn and missed eight of those shots. But Florida’s half-court defense remains elite. They rank ninth in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rank fifth with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 45.6% while ranking in the top 22 in both 2-point/3-point defensive shooting splits. The Gators can get caught in slogs. There were only 64 possessions in their 64-44 loss to Tennessee on February 1st. South Carolina slowed them down in conference play as well in a 70-69 victory for Florida with only 65 mutual possessions.

FINAL TAKE: Sampson wants to slow this game down to a crawl — and I think he will win the tempo battle. The Cougars rank 350th by averaging 19.7 seconds per possession — and they rank 360th with their games averaging 61.7 possessions per game. The Gators hold their opponents to 40.1% shooting — and Houston has played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total against teams who hold their opponents to no higher than 42% shooting including eight of those 12 games played on the road. 25* College Basketball Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Florida Gators (701) and the Houston Cougars (679). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-05-25 Florida v. Auburn OVER 158.5 Top 79-73 Loss -110 2 h 37 m Show

At 6:09 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Florida Gators (681) and the Auburn Tigers (682) in the Semifinals of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Florida (34-4) has won ten straight games after their 84-79 victory against Texas Tech as a 7-point favorite in their Elite Eight game last Saturday. Auburn (32-5) has won four games in a row after their 70-64 victory against Michigan State in their Elite Eight game in the Big Dance last Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Gators only shot 43.9% from the field against the Red Raiders which was the worst shooting effort in their last four contests. That they still managed 84 points because head coach Todd Golden’s team emphasizes shot volume when they have the basketball. They rank 59th in the nation by only turning the ball over in 15.5% of their possessions — and they rank fifth in the nation by pulling down 38.9% of their missed shots. Florida also plays at a very fast pace — they average 16.3 seconds per possession and their games average 69.8 possessions per game with those marks ranking 43rd and 59th in the nation. Overall, the Gators rank second in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. In their 12 games played on a neutral court, they are scoring +4.3 more adjusted points per 100 possessions than at home or true road games. But when playing away from home, they are also surrendering +5.3 more adjusted points per 100 possessions than at home. Florida has played 14 of their last 22 games on the road Over the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games on the road Over the Total when favored. The Tigers hold their opponents to 40.6% shooting — and the Gators have played 15 of their last 23 games Over the Total against teams who hold their opponents to no higher than 42% shooting. Auburn outrebounds their opponents by +6.0 Rebounds-Per-Game — and Florida has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams who outrebound their opponents by +4.0 or more RPG. The Gators are outscoring their opponents by +14.0 Points-Per-Game — and Florida has played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total against opponents who are outscoring their opponents by +8.0 or more PPG including 12 of those 17 games played on the road. They have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral court. Auburn held the Spartans to 34.4% shooting which was their best defensive effort in their last 15 contests. The Tigers have played 12 of their last 19 road games Over the Total after winning their previous game. They have also played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row including nine of those 13 games played on the road. On the road, they are scoring +5.8 more adjusted points per 100 possessions — but they are also surrendering +5.3 more adjusted points per 100 possessions in those games. They rank third in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and Johni Broome claims he is 100% for this contest after injuring his wrist late in the game on Sunday. Florida takes 63 shots per game — and Auburn has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams who generate 62 or more shots per game. The Tigers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as an underdog. They have also played 10 of their 13 games Over the Total on a neutral court as an underdog of up to six points or as a pick ‘em with Bruce Pearl as their head coach. And while the Gators are outscoring their opponents by +15.7 PPG, Auburn has played 14 of their last 22 games Over the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +8.0 or more PPG.

FINAL TAKE: The Tigers want to avenge a 90-81 loss to the Gators playing at home as an 11-point favorite on February 8th — and they have played 12 of their 17 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss with Pearl as their head coach. 25* CBB SEC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Florida Gators (681) and the Auburn Tigers (682). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-03-25 Chattanooga v. Cal-Irvine UNDER 148 Top 85-84 Loss -110 4 h 36 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chattanooga Mocs (673) and the UC-Irvine Anteaters (674) in the Championship Game of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Chattanooga (28-9) has won 16 of their last 17 games after their 80-73 upset victory against Loyola-Chicago as a 2.5-point underdog in the Semifinals of the NIT on Tuesday. UC-Irvine (32-6) has won 10 of their last 11 games after their 69-67 upset victory against North Texas a 1-point underdog in their semifinal match in this tournament on Monday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana.  

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Anteaters made 49.0% of their shots in their upset victory against the Mean Green which was the best shooting effort in their last three games. UC-Irvine ranks just 169th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and they are making only 45.4% of their shots on the season. The Anteaters have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. They have also played 14 of their last 21 games on the road Under the Total against teams outside the Big West Conference. They are holding their opponents to -4.7 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road which is the 46th biggest drop off in the nation. In their six games played on a neutral court, they are holding their opponents to -6.4 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions which is the 12th biggest drop in the nation. Led by 7’1 rim protector Bent Leuchten, UC-Irvine ranks 21st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rise to 14th in that metric when playing on the road. The Anteaters thrive with their half-court defense by ranking seventh in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 45.8% — and they rank second in the nation by holding their opponents to a 42.8% shooting percentage inside the arc. This contest will be strength-versus-strength since Chattanooga is an outstanding pure-shooting defense that ranks 10th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.6% — and they rank ninth in the nation with a 57.9% mark inside the arc. Leuchten’s presence down low should frustrate much of what the Mocs want to do on offense. Chattanooga’s scoring attack is led by two small guards, Trey Bonham and Honor Hoff, who draw out defenders because they shoot a ton of 3s. This opens up space for Bash Wieland to freely slash to the basket — but Leuchten will be waiting for him tonight. The Mocs rank 44th in the nation by making 36.7% of their shots from behind the arc — but that mark drops to 34.9% when they are on the road which ranks 92nd in the nation. Chattanooga ranks 54th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they do score -5.0 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. They rank 73rd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency on the road — and their net drop off in offensive efficiency is the 291st worst in the nation. But the Mocs so play better defense on the road. They rank 262nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency overall — but they improve to 154th in that category on the road by surrendering -11.8 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions which is the fifth-best improvement in the nation. The Anteaters are outscoring their opponents by +9.2 Points-Per-Game — and Chattanooga has played 5 of their last 7 games on the road Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +8.0 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: UC-Irvine has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games in tournament settings Under the Total. 25* CBB NIT Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Chattanooga Mocs (673) and the UC-Irvine Anteaters (674). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-30-25 Tennessee v. Houston UNDER 124.5 Top 50-69 Win 100 13 h 44 m Show

At 2:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Volunteers (647) and the Houston Cougars (648) in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Tennessee (30-7) has won six of their last seven games after their 78-65 victory against Kentucky as a 4.5-point favorite in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. Houston (33-4) rides a 16-game winning streak after their 62-60 victory against Purdue as an 8-point favorite in their second-round game in the Big Dance. This game is being played on a neutral court at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Tennessee allowed the Wildcats to make 49% of their shots in that game which was the worst opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 12 games. But head coach Rick Barnes had his team hyper-focused on taking away Kentucky’s 3-point shooting which had burned them in their two previous losses against them this season. The Volunteers limited the Wildcats to a season-low 15 shots from behind the arc which mitigated the power of their 40% shooting percentage on those shots. Tennessee also made 50.9% of their shots in that double-revenge game which was the best shooting effort in their last six contests. The Volunteers have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after winning three or more games in a row which includes six of their eight games played on the road. Tennessee is once again an elite defensive team that ranks third in the nation on the road in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They also rank fourth on the road with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 45.6.%. They present a very tough matchup for the Cougars. Head coach Kelvin Sampson’s team is outstanding at making 3s — they lead the nation by making 39.8% of their shots from behind the arc. That mark does decline to a 37.8% clip when playing away from home, ranking 17th. The Volunteers have an elite perimeter defense that ranks second in the nation on the road by holding their opponents to 28.7% shooting from deep. Tennessee also ranks 24th in the nation by limiting their opponents to 47.4% shooting inside the arc — and this is an area of vulnerability for the Cougars. Houston ranks 289th in the nation by only making 46.7% of their shots inside the arc — and they are scoring -3.8 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. The Volunteers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams who are making 37% or more of their shots from behind the arc. They have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams outside the SEC — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total on a neutral court. They have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams winning 80% or more of their games including five of those seven games on the road. Houston holds their opponents to 38.4% shooting — and Tennessee has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who are not making more than 42% of their shots. The Cougars make 45.5% of their shots — and the Volunteers have played 11 of their last 16 games on the road Under the Total against teams who are shooting at least 45% from the field. Houston only made 37.7% of their shots from the field in their two-point win against the Boilermakers. That effort continues a disturbing trend as they are only making 42.0% of their shots in their last five contests. J’Wan Roberts may not be close to 100% since returning from injury — he only scored 5 points against Purdue on Friday from 2 of 5 shooting. The Cougars have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. They remain the number one team in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, although they are “only” second in that metric when playing on the road. They rank 22nd in the nation on the road with their opponents making only 46.9% of their shots inside the arc — and they rank second by holding their opponents to 29.6% shooting from behind the arc. They are holding their opponents to 38.4% shooting which is resulting in just 58.4 Points-Per-Game. Tennessee has only one reliable 3-point shooter in Chaz Lanier — but if Sampson can draw up a scheme to take him away, the Volunteers are likely in trouble to score baskets. Houston also has an advantage in crashing the offensive glass by ranking 11th in the nation by pulling down 36.6% of their missed shots — and getting second-chance scoring opportunities lowers the number of overall possessions in the game, especially when considering Houston’s slow pace of play (more on that below). The Volunteers rank 199th in the nation in defensive rebounding with their opponents pulling down 30.0% of their misses — but that number does speak to Barnes’ stylistic preference to eschew protecting the defensive glass for fast break opportunities. There have been times this season when he commits to stop the opponent’s offensive rebounding. but those numbers also reflect head coach Rick Barnes’ preference to sacrifice defensive rebounding for being aggressive for getting out on the fast break when they pull down the basketball 70% of the time. Tennessee held Auburn — and a comparable offensive rebounding team to Houston— to pulling down only 26.5% of their missed shots in the SEC tournament. Longer offensive possessions for the Cougars or fewer fast break chances for the Volunteers — either way, it helps the Under. Houston has played 22 of their last 35 games Under the Total when favored. They have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams outside the Big 12. And in their last 20 games against teams who hold their opponents to no better than 42% shooting, they have played 13 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: If styles make fights, then this game could quickly devolve into a rock fight since both teams play at such a slow pace. Tennessee ranks 280th in the nation by averaging 18.4 seconds per possession — and they rank 280th with their games averaging 63.6 adjusted possessions. Houston ranks 345th by averaging only 19.6 seconds per possession — and they rank 360th with their games averaging just 61.6 adjusted possessions per game. But the money stat regards their opponent’s average length of possession since it tends to reflect their opponent’s frustration for settling for a bad shot. The Volunteers and Cougars rank 351st and 354th with their opponents averaging 18.7 seconds per possession. 25* CBB Elite Eight Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Volunteers (647) and the Houston Cougars (648). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-28-25 Purdue v. Houston UNDER 134 Top 60-62 Win 100 8 h 59 m Show

At 10:09 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Purdue Boilermakers (637) and the Houston Cougars (638) in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Purdue (24-11) has won three of their last four games after their 76-62 victory against McNeese State as a 6.5-point favorite last Saturday in the Round of 32 in the NCAA Tournament. Houston (32-4) rides a 15-game winning streak after their 81-76 victory against Gonzaga as a 5-point favorite on Saturday in their second-round game in the Big Dance. This game is being played on a neutral court at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cougars made 46.8% of their shots against the Bulldogs which was the best shooting effort in their last four games. More surprisingly, they saw Gonzaga make 50% of their shots against them which was the worst defensive effort in their last 12 contests — and just the fourth time all season that an opponent made 50% or more of their shots against them. Houston remains the number one team in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They rank fourth in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 45.0%. They rank fifth in the nation with their opponents making only 44.3% of their shots inside the arc — and they rank 23rd by holding their opponents to 30.6% shooting from behind the arc. They are holding their opponents to 38.4% shooting which is resulting in just 58.4 Points-Per-Game. On the road, they are surrendering -2.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions. But they are also scoring -4.3 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road. The Boilermakers are a tough matchup for the Cougars’ scoring attack. The teams that give Purdue trouble can pound them inside given their lack of size. The Boilermakers rank 341st in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 56.2% of their shots inside the arc. But Houston does not have a regular rotation of players taller than 6’8 — and they rank 272nd in the nation by making only 48.8% of their shots inside the arc. On the road, they only make 47.2% of their 2-pointers which ranks 271st in the nation. Head coach Kelvin Sampson’s team is outstanding at making 3s — they lead the nation by making 39.8% of their shots from behind the arc. That mark does decline to a 37.7% clip when playing away from home, ranking 19th. Purdue has a very good perimeter defense that ranks 33rd in the nation by holding their opponents to 31.0% shooting from deep. The Cougars also crash the offensive glass by ranking 11th in the nation by pulling down 36.6% of their missed shots — and getting second-chance scoring opportunities lowers the number of overall possessions in the game, especially when considering Houston’s slow pace of play (more on that below). The Cougars have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total when the total is set in the 130s including playing eight of those nine games played on the road. They have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total on the road against teams winning 60-80% of their games. Purdue has played 6 of their last 9 games on the road Under the Total when playing for just the second time in eight days. Of concern in the Boilermakers’ win against McNeese State was that All-American point guard Braden Smith committed eight turnovers against the Cowboys’ pressure defense. He is turning the ball over in 18.5% of his touches. Now here comes a Houston defense that ranks 18th in the nation by forcing turnovers in 21.5% of their opponent’s possessions. They are as aggressive as any team in the country in trapping the ball-handler on ball screens with double-teams — and that will force Smith to execute at a high level in getting the ball to Trey Kaufman-Renn. Purdue does rank eighth in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they are scoring -6.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road. Their 48.8% shooting percentage drops to 45.5% on the road which is resulting in 71.5 PPG which is -6.2 PPG below their season average. The biggest drop-off comes from their 3-point shooting. While they rank sixth in the nation by making 41.7% of their shots from behind the arc when playing at home, they only make 35.5% of their 3s on the road which ranks 66th in the nation. The Cougars make 45.7% of their shots — and the Boilermakers have played 10 of their last 14 road games Under the Total against teams who are making at least 45% of their shots. They have played 7 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total against teams winning  80% or more of their games.

FINAL TAKE: This game could quickly devolve into a rock fight since both teams play at such a slow pace. Purdue ranks 304th by averaging 18.8 seconds per possession — and they rank 299th with their games averaging 65.1 adjusted possessions. The Cougars rank 345th by averaging only 19.5 seconds per possession — and they rank 360th with their games averaging just 61.6 adjusted possessions per game. 25* CBB Sweet 16 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Purdue Boilermakers (637) and the Houston Cougars (638). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-26-25 Kent State v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 145 Top 62-72 Win 100 17 h 7 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kent State Golden Flashes (619) and the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (620) in the Quarterfinals of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Kent State (24-11) has won five of their last six games after their 77-75 upset victory at Stanford as a 7.5-point underdog on Sunday. Loyola-Chicago (24-11) has won five of their last six contests after their 77-76 upset victory at San Francisco as a 5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Flashes allowed the Cardinal to make 45.0% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. Kent State led the Mid-American Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Golden Flashes had not played since Tuesday of last week before Sunday’s game — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in eight days. Kent State is an excellent offensive rebounding team — they rank 24th in the nation by pulling down 35.6% of their missed shots. Their second-chance opportunities reset the shot clock — and longer possessions are a great recipe for Unders. They also defend the perimeter by ranking 49th in the nation by holding their opponents to 31.3% shooting from behind the arc — and the Ramblers led the Missouri Valley Conference by hitting 36.7% of their 3s. The Golden Flashes amp up their play on defense when playing on the where they hold their opponents to 39.4% shooting which is resulting in 65.9 Points-Per-Game — and they are holding their opponents to a whopping -14.0 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. They rank 16th in the nation on the road in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They rank 24th by limiting their opponents to 47.2% shooting inside the arc — and they rise to seventh in the nation on the road with their opponents making just 29.0% of their shots from behind the arc. But they are only scoring 41.3% of their shots on the road which is resulting in 69.4 PPG. They rank 223rd in the nation on the road in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring -6.3 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions away from home. Kent State has played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em. Loyola-Chicago makes 45.7% of their shots from the field — but the Golden Flashes have played 7 of their last 8 games on the road Under the Total against teams who make 45% or more of their shots. And while the Ramblers hold their opponents to 41.7% shooting, Kent State has played 5 straight Unders on the road against teams with an opponent’s field goal percentage no higher than 42%. Loyola-Chicago has played 13 of their last 20 games at home Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Ramblers only made 40% of their shots on Sunday which continues a disturbing trend as they are only making 41.7% of their shots in their last five games. But they held the Dons to 37.5% shooting — and their last five opponents have made only 36.9% of their shots resulting in 64.6 PPG. Loyola-Chicago returns home where they are surrendering -3.5 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions. The Ramblers have played 17 of their last 27 home games Under the Total when favored or a pick ‘em. They have also played 13 of their last 19 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s. And in their last 8 home games against teams winning 60-80% of their games, they have played 6 of those games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Loyola-Chicago has played 10 of their last 14 home games Under the Total against teams outside the Missouri Valley Conference — and the Golden Flashes have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams outside the MAC. 25* CBB NIT Quarterfinals Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Kent State Golden Flashes (619) and the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (620). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-23-25 New Mexico v. Michigan State UNDER 149 63-71 Win 100 1 h 40 m Show

At 8:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (863) and the Michigan State Spartans (864) in the Round of 32 of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: New Mexico (27-7) has won five of their last six games after their 75-66 upset victory against Marquette as a 4.5-point underdog in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday. Michigan State (28-6) has won nine of their last ten games after their 87-62 victory against Bryant as a 17-point favorite in their first game in the Big Dance on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Rocket Mortgage Field House in Cleveland, Ohio.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lobos made 47.3% of their shots on Friday which was the best shooting effort in their last three games. But New Mexico ranks just 81st in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on the road — and they are scoring -1.9 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when on the road than at home. The Lobos have played 11 of their last 15 games on the road Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road when playing for the second time in eight days. This team ranks 11th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on the road where they are surrendering -3.9 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions. New Mexico has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total on the road. They have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog. Michigan State makes 46.1% of their shots — and the Lobos have played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams who make 45% or more of their shots. The Spartans outscore their opponents by +11.3 Points-Per-Game — and New Mexico has played 5 of their last 6 games on the road Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +8.0 or more PPG. Michigan State has played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by 15 or more points. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game. And in their last 15 games when playing for just the second time in eight days, they have played 10 of these games Under the Total. Michigan State ranks sixth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. On the road, they are surrendering -1.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions — but they are also scoring -1.3 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road. The Lobos make 46% of their shots — and the Spartans have played 10 of their last 14 road games Under the Total against teams who make at least 45% of their shots. New Mexico is outscoring their opponents by +10.5 PPG — and Sparty has played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total against opponents who outscore their opponents by +8.0 or more PPG. The Lobos also outrebound their opponents by +4.0 Rebounds Per-Game — and Michigan State has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams who outrebound their opponents by +4.0 or more RPG.

FINAL TAKE: The Lobos have played 7 straight Unders on the road with the Total set in the 140s — and the Spartans have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s. 25* CBB Round of 32 NCAA Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (863) and the Michigan State Spartans (864). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-21-25 Liberty v. Oregon OVER 137.5 Top 52-81 Loss -110 3 h 27 m Show

At 10:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Liberty Flames (801) and the Oregon Ducks (802) in the Round of 64 in the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Liberty (28-6) has won five games in a row after their 79-67 victory against Jacksonville State as a 5.5-point favorite in the Conference USA Tournament Championship Game last Saturday. Oregon (24-9) had their eight-game winning streak snapped in a 74-64 loss to Michigan State as a 6-point underdog in the Quarterfinals of the Big Ten Conference Tournament last Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Flames nailed 60% of their shots against the Gamecocks to claim that title — and it was the fifth straight game where they made at least 50.9% of their shots. Liberty has made 55.1% of their shots in their last five games resulting in 83.4 Points-Per-Game. They are one of the best shooting teams in the nation. They are second in the country with an effective field goal percentage of 58.4% — and they rank 11th or better in the nation in both 3-point and 2-point shooting. What is striking about this Liberty squad is that their shooting numbers go up when playing away from home. They lead the nation on the road with a 59.8% effective field goal percentage. They rank third in the nation on the road by making 40.3% of their shots from behind the arc and 59.2% of their shots inside the arc respectively. While they rank 68th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency overall, they rise to a rank of 36th in that metric when playing on the road — and they are scoring +10.6 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when on the road. Their 50.3% field goal percentage on the road is resulting in 75.5 PPG. On defense, the Flames rank 42nd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency with their opponents making 40.1% of their shots which is resulting in 62.9 PPG — but their last five opponents are scoring 69.6 PPG against them. Liberty surrenders +4.1 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road than at home. The Flames have played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total on the road. They have also played 6 straight games Over the Total in March. And in their last 8 games played on a neutral court, Liberty has played 6 of those games Over the Total. Oregon has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after losing their last game. The Ducks rank 52nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency with a generic style of play where they do not thrive in any one area — but they are above average in all the key categories. Head coach Dana Altman has a significant matchup advantage in this contest that he is likely to continually exploit. At 7’0, Nate Bittle is scoring more than 14 PPG — and he should be able to score at will against the Flames’ center Owen Aquino who is only 6’8. On the road, Oregon improves their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency ranking to 40th in the nation while scoring +1.6 more adjusted points per 100 possessions. They also surrender +1.0 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. The Ducks have played 4 straight Overs when the Total is set in the 130s. They have also played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total against teams who hold their opponents to no better than 42% shooting — and they have played 6 straight Overs against teams who do not allow more than 64.0 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: In Altman’s tenure at Oregon, the Ducks have played 22 of their 30 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral court with the Total set in the 130s. They have also played 12 of their last 17 games in the first round of a tournament Over the Total with Altman as their head coach — including 5 of their 7 Round of 64 games in the NCAA Tournament. 25* CBB Round of 64 NCAA Tournament Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Liberty Flames (801) and the Oregon Ducks (802). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-19-25 Furman v. North Texas OVER 130.5 Top 64-75 Win 100 2 h 31 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Furman Paladins (719) and the North Texas Mean Green (720) in the first round of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Furman (25-9) had won six games in a row before their 92-85 loss against Wofford as a 1-point favorite in the Southern Conference Tournament on March 10th. North Texas (24-8) has lost two of their last three games after their 66-56 loss to UAB as a 2.5-point favorite in the American Athletic Conference Tournament.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Paladins have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing 85 or more points in their last contest. They have also played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss including 5 of their 7 games this season. They travel to Denton for this opening round game — and they rank 208th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road where they are surrendering +2.6 more adjusted points per 100 possessions. They are also scoring +5.6 more adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road based on very good shooting. They rank 17th in the nation in effective field goal percentage on the road with a 55.6% mark. They rank in the top 43 on the road in both 2-point and 3-point shooting including a rank of 26th by making 37.2% of their shots from behind the arc. Furman has played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total on the road. They have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total on the road as an underdog including six of those nine games this season. Additionally, they have played 8 of their last 10 games on the road Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. The Paladins come into this game hot with their shooting — they have made 50.4% of their shots in their last five games which has resulted in 84.6 Points-Per-Game. Furman has played 7 straight Overs in March going back to last season. And while the Mean Green holds their opponents to 41.0% shooting, the Paladins have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road against teams who do not allow their opponents to shoot better than 42%. North Texas only made 32.3% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last 28 games. The Mean Green has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. They earned the right to host this game with a two-seed in the NIT. They are scoring 48.0% on their home court which has resulted in 71.8 PPG — and they are scoring +7.4 adjusted points per 100 possessions on their home court. While they rank 47th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, they plummet to 130th in that metric when playing on their home court — and they are surrendering +9.0 more adjusted points per 100 possessions at home. North Texas has played 18 of their last 27 games at home — and they have played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 130s. They have played 7 of 10 their last 10 home games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. And while the Paladins make 45.7% of their shots, the Mean Green has played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total against teams who are making 45% or more of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: North Texas has played 6 straight Overs at home when favored by 6.5 to 12 points. 25* CBB NIT First Round Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Furman Paladins (719) and the North Texas Mean Green (720). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-18-25 North Carolina v. San Diego State OVER 142 Top 95-68 Win 100 3 h 47 m Show

At 9:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (671) and the San Diego State Aztecs (672) in the First Four of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: North Carolina (22-13) saw their two-game losing streak snapped in a 74-71 loss against Duke in the Semifinals of the ACC Tournament as a 7-point underdog on Friday. San Diego State (21-9) has lost two of their last three games after their 62-52 loss to Boise State as a 1.5-point underdog in the Quarterfinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament on Thursday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the University of Dayton Arena in Dayton, Ohio.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: San Diego State is a very good defensive team — but this game should go Over the Total for two primary reasons: North Carolina plays at a very fast pace and they can’t play defense. The Tar Heels average 70.4 adjusted possessions per game while averaging 16.3 seconds per possession — those marks rank 34th and 40th in the nation. And they are an elite offensive team that is playing its best basketball on that end of the court right now. They score 80.8 Points-Per-Game and rank 22nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rise to 12th in the metric in their last ten games. In their last nine regular season games, they ranked ninth in the nation in effective field goal percentage — they made 42.6% of their shots from behind the arc and 55.3% of their shots inside the arc. But in the last month of the regular season, North Carolina ranked 262nd in opponent effective field goal percentage with those foes making 39.3% of their shots from behind the arc which ranks 338th in the nation. They also play the 20th-worst defense in terms of Points-Per-Possession against the ball handler coming off screens in the pick-and-roll. The Tar Heels rank 70th in the nation on the road in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they surrender +1.8 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing away from home. The Aztecs do hold their opponents to 37.8% shooting — but North Carolina has played 7 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against teams who do not allow their opponents to make more than 42% of their shots. They have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Additionally, they have played 26 of their last 36 games Over the Total against teams outside the ACC including 18 of those 22 games played on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games this season against non-conference opponents Over the Total including six of those seven games played on the road. San Diego State mostly played teams in the Mountain West Conference that played at slow paces — only Fresno State and New Mexico averaged 69.2 or more possessions per game. In those four games, the Aztecs scored 75.5. PPG. They only made 38.3% of their shots in their loss to the Broncos which was the worst shooting effort in their last nine contests. San Diego State has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss including four of those five games played on the road. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after losing to fellow Mountain West Conference opponents including all three of those games played on the road. They have also played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total when playing for the second time in eight days. This Aztecs’ team is not as good defensively as some of head coach Brian Dutcher’s recent squads. They rank 290th in putting their opponents on the free throw line — and I like Overs in games when a team will score their share of points when the clock is stopped. And while the national average for 3-point shot attempts per field goal attempt is 39.0%, they rank 354th in the nation with their opponents launching 47.3% of their shots from behind the arc. San Diego State’s strong interior defense may compel the Tar Heels to rely on their good outside shooting. The Aztecs also rank 347th when playing on the road by allowing their opponents to pull down 35.6% of their missed shots. They are surrendering +3.3 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. But they are also scoring +2.3 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing away from home.

FINAL TAKE: Despite their good defenses under Dutcher, San Diego State has played 8 of their last 13 games in tournament play Over the Total. North Carolina has played 16 of their last 24 games on a neutral court Over the Total as a favorite or pick ‘em — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games on a neutral court when favored by up to six points or as a pick ‘em. The Tar Heels have also played 6 of their last 9 games in the Big Dance Over the Total. 25* CBB First Four NCAA Tournament Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (671) and the San Diego State Aztecs (672). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-15-25 Cal-Irvine v. UC San Diego UNDER 137.5 Top 61-75 Win 100 1 h 19 m Show

At 9:40 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UC-Irvine Anteaters (635) and the UC-San Diego Tritons (636) in the Championship Game of the Big West Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: UC-Irvine (28-5) has won six games in a row after their 96-78 victory against Cal-Poly as a 10.5-point favorite in the semifinals of this tournament last night. UC-San Diego (29-4) has won 14 games in a row after their 69-51 win against UC-Santa Barbara as an 11-point favorite last night. This game is being played on a neutral court at Lee’s Family Forum in Henderson, Nevada.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Anteaters nailed 55.7% of their shots last night which was actually their worst shooting effort in their last three games — but now they face a Tritons team that had held them to just 38.8% and 38.2% shooting in their two previous meetings this season. UC-Irvine has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing with one day or less of rest with seven of the eight games played on the road finished Under the Total. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing on the road for the second time in three days or less. The Anteaters rank just 152nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — so those 96 points last night were an outlier despite them playing at a fast pace. UC-Irvine is one of the best defensive teams in the nation as they rank 16th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They rank second in the country by holding their opponents to just 43.0% shooting inside the arc. They also rank fourth in the nation in defensive free throw rate. On the road, they improve their ranking to tenth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are surrendering -6.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road rather than at home. They rank third in the nation on the road by holding their opponents to 44.3% shooting inside the arc — and they also rank eighth by limiting their opponents to pulling down 24.2% of their missed shots. UC-Irvine has played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total on the road. We were on UC-San Diego last night — and they rewarded us by holding the Gauchos to just 26.7% shooting in a 69-51 victory. The Tritons rank 31st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — but they led the Big West Conference in that metric in the regular season which was even better than the Anteaters’ mark. They held conference opponents to just 39.3% shooting — and they have held their last five opponents to 35.9% shooting which has resulted in only 59.4 Points-Per-Game. UC-San Diego combines this outstanding half-court defense with elite ball-hawking skills to limit their opponents’ scoring opportunities as they rank second in the nation by forcing turnovers in 23.5% of their opponents’ possessions — and they lead the nation by forcing turnovers in 23.5% of their opponents’ possessions when playing on the road. On the road, they are surrendering -2.4 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. They also score -0.7 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road. The Tritons have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games on the road Under the Total when favored. UC-Irvine does make 45.8% of their shots — but UC-San Diego has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams who make 45% or more of their shots. The Tritons shoot 46.5% from the field while holding their opponents to 39.7% shooting overall this season. The Anteaters have played 6 of their last 8 games on the road Under the Total against opponents who hold their opponents to no better than 42% shooting — and they have played 4 straight games on the road Under the Total against teams who shoot 45% or better and hold their opponents to 42% or worse shooting.

FINAL TAKE: I mentioned above about UC-Irvine’s struggles to make baskets in their two previous games against UC-San Diego. The Tritons enjoyed an outlier shooting effort by making 53.7% of their baskets in an 85-67 victory against the Anteaters on February 8th — but they only made 31.1% of their shots in a 60-52 loss against them on January 11th. UC-San Diego ranks 271st in the nation by averaging only 65.7 possessions per game — and they have been successful in winning the pace battle against UC-Irvine who did not score than 67 points in either game. Lastly, the Tritons have played 4 straight games Under the Total on a neutral court. 25* CBB Big West Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the UC-Irvine Anteaters (635) and the UC-San Diego Tritons (636). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-14-25 St. Joe's v. Dayton OVER 140.5 Top 73-68 Win 100 2 h 43 m Show

At 7:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Saint Joseph’s Hawks (811) and the Dayton Flyers (812) in the Quarterfinals of the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Saint Joseph’s (21-11) has won six of their last seven games after their 75-70 victory against LaSalle as a 12.5.-favorite yesterday in this tournament. Dayton (22-9) has won four straight contests after their 79-76 upset victory at VCU as a 10-point underdog last Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Hawks only made 37.5% of their shots yesterday which was the worst shooting effort in their last 10 contests. For that matter, they held the Explorers to just 41.9% shooting which was the best defensive performance in their last three contests. Saint Joseph’s has played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up win against a conference rival. They rank second in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Even after yesterday’s subpar shooting effort, they are still scoring 81.0 Points-Per-Game in their last five contests — but they are also giving up 73.0 PPG in that span. On the road, they are scoring +3.6 more adjusted points per 100 possessions than at home — but they are also surrendering +1.7 more adjusted points per 100 possessions in those games. The Hawks have played 7 of their last 10 games on the road Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. They have also played 4 straight Overs when playing in March. They should find plenty of success scoring close to the basket against the Flyers. Saint Joseph’s ranks second in the Atlantic 10 by making 53.8% of their shots inside the arc. This is an area of vulnerability for Dayton — they rank 244th in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 52.3% of their 2-point shots. The Flyers have been even worse in conference play with their A-10 rivals making 54.2% of their shots inside the arc against them, ranking 13th in the conference. Dayton has played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up win against a fellow conference opponent. This is their second game since last Tuesday — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in eight days including all five games Over the Total that were played on the road. The Flyers rank 42nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rise to 18th in that metric when playing on the road. They rank 17th in the nation by making 37.8% of their shots from behind the arc when playing on the road. They are scoring +7.0 more adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. Dayton ranks 136th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they drop to a ranking of 175th in that category when playing on the road. They are surrendering +3.4 more adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road. Their interior defense is the main culprit as they are allowing their opponents to make 56.3% of their shots inside the arc when playing on the road which ranks 316th in the nation. The Flyers have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played six of those seven games on the road Over the Total. They have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games including five of those seven games played on the road. They have also played  15 of their last 21 games Over the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Dayton won the lone meeting between these two teams back on January 24th by a 77-72 score — and Saint Joseph’s has played 9 of their last 10 revenge opportunities Over the Total. 25* CBB Atlantic 10 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Saint Joseph’s Hawks (811) and the Dayton Flyers (812). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-14-25 George Washington v. George Mason UNDER 130.5 65-80 Loss -110 1 h 40 m Show

At 5:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the George Washington Revolutionaries (809) and the George Mason Patriots (810) in the Quarterfinals of the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: George Washington (21-11) has won three games in a row after their 88-81 victory against Fordham as a 6.5-point favorite in this tournament yesterday. George Mason (24-7) has won three of their last four contests after their 64-60 victory at Richmond as a 6.5-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Revolutionaries made 51.8% of their shots against the Rams which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. And even Fordham’s 44.8% shooting clip was the worst defensive effort for George Washington in their last three contests. The Revolutionaries rank third in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — but they also rank 111th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. George Washington has played 6 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Under the Total after beating a fellow Atlantic 10 rival. On the road, they drop to 172nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring -2.7 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. The Revolutionaries have played  8 of their last 13 games Under the Total on the road. They play at a slow pace which should mean fewer possessions in this game — they rank 210th in the nation with 66.9 adjusted possessions per contest. George Washington has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in March. And while the Patriots shoot 45.4% from the field, the Revolutionaries have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who are making at least 45% of their shots. George Mason has played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road after winning their last game. This is their second game since last Wednesday — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in eight or more days. The Patriots have not covered the point spread in six straight contests — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not covering the point spread in three or more games. This is a team that also plays at a slow pace — they rank 322nd in the nation by averaging 64.6 adjusted possessions per game. George Mason ranks 21st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But they also rank 216th in the nation and 10th in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. On the road, they are making only 41.9% of their shots from the field resulting in 64.1 Points-Per-Game which is -6.7 PPG below their season average. They are often their worst enemy on the road given a turnover rate of 21.5% of their possessions which ranks 347th in the nation. But they rank 12th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on the road while giving up -1.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions. The Patriots have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games — and they have played four of these five games on the road Under the Total. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in March.

FINAL TAKE: George Washington wants to avenge a 53-50 loss at home against George Mason on February 5th. The Revolutionaries have played 10 of their last 14 opportunities for revenge Under the Total — and they have played six of those seven games on the road Under the Total. They have also played 5 straight Unders when playing with revenge from a loss at home to their opponent. 10* CBB Friday Afternoon O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the George Washington Revolutionaries (809) and the George Mason Patriots (810). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-13-25 Davidson v. St. Louis UNDER 142 75-83 Loss -110 0 h 11 m Show

At 2:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Davidson Wildcats (723) and the Saint Louis Billikens (724) in the second round of the Atlantic-10 Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Davidson (17-15) snapped their four-game losing streak with their 69-65 victory against Richmond as a 6-point favorite in the opening round of this tournament yesterday. Saint Louis (18-13) has won four of their last five games after their 90-88 victory against Duquesne as a 6.5-point favorite last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats nailed 47.9% of their shots yesterday which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. But they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win against a fellow Atlantic-10 rival. They have also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total as an underdog. Davidson is scoring -0.3 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road — and they are surrendering -0.6 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when on the road. Saint Louis made 59.3% of their shots to close out their regular season last week which was the best shooting effort in their last 17 contests. But they also allowed Duquesne to make 50% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 20 contests. The Billikens have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win against a fellow Atlantic-10 rival. This is their second game since last Tuesday — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in eight days. On the road, Saint Louis is scoring -7.9 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions. The Billikens have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road with the Total set in the 140s. Furthermore, they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on February 25th in the Billikens’ 57-56 upset victory as a 1.5-point underdog — and the Wildcats have played 8 of their last 13 opportunities Under the Total. 10* CBB Davidson-Saint Louis USA Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Davidson Wildcats (723) and the Saint Louis Billikens (724). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-12-25 Florida International v. Jacksonville State UNDER 132.5 56-65 Win 100 0 h 22 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida International Panthers (697) and the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (698) in the Quarterfinals of the Conference USA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Florida International (10-22) snapped a three-game losing streak with a 64-61 upset win against Western Kentucky as a 5-point underdog in the opening round of this tournament yesterday. Jacksonville State (20-11) has lost two of their last three games after their 74-70 upset loss as a 4-point favorite last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the von Braun Center in Huntsville, Alabama.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Panthers only made 31.6% of their shots yesterday but eked out the win by holding the Hilltoppers to a 35.9% shooting percentage. FIU is only making 37.8% of their shots in their last five games — but they have held their last five opponents to just 40.5% shooting in those contests. They rank 354th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. On the road, they are only making 42.1% of their shots — and they are scoring -6.1 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. They also rank 352nd in the nation on the road by making only 24.9% of their shots from behind the arc. The Gamecocks hold their opponents to 40.9% shooting — and the Panthers have played 8 of their last 9 games on the road Under the Total against opponents with an opponents field goal percentage no higher than 42%. FIU has also played 13 of their last 15 games on the road Under the Total as an underdog. Additionally, they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road against teams who are winning 60-80% of their games. Jacksonville State plays for just the second time since March 1st — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in eight days. They are making only 37.7% of their shots in their last five games resulting in just 66.8 Points-Per-Game. They rank eighth in Conference USA in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on the road. The Gamecocks have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: The Panthers want to avenge an 84-79 loss to Jacksonville State as a 3-point underdog on March 1st — and FIU has played 5 straight Unders on the road when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Wednesday Night O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Florida International Panthers (697) and the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (698). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-11-25 Idaho v. Montana OVER 147 Top 55-78 Loss -108 1 h 27 m Show

At 11:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Idaho Vandals (631) and the Montana Grizzlies (632) in the Semifinals of the Big Sky Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Idaho (14-18) has won two of their last three games after their 80-70 upset victory against Portland State as a 4-point underdog in their Quarterfinals of this tournament yesterday. Montana (23-9) has won 12 of their last 13 games after their 74-65 victory against Northern Arizona as a 5.5-point favorite on Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Idaho Central Arena in Boise, Idaho.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Vandals held the Vikings to just 37.5% shooting yesterday in what was their best defensive effort of the season. But Idaho has played 4 straight Overs on the road after pulling off an upset win in their last game. That was an outlier performance for a team that ranks 347th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they maintain that ranking when playing on the road. Their opponents are making 48.1% of their shots on the road this season which is resulting in 77.8 Points-Per-Game — and they are surrendering +4.4 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. The biggest problem is their interior defense as they rank 289th in the nation on the road by allowing their opponents to make 55.2% of their shots inside the arc. But they also are scoring +5.8 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. They rank 82nd in the nation on the road by making 35.2% of their 3-pointers — and the Grizzlies rank 344th in the nation on the road with their opponents making 38.7% of their shots from behind the arc. Idaho has played 11 of their last 17 games on the road Over the Total as an underdog. They have also played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. Montana held the Lumberjacks to 38.7% shooting on Sunday which was their best defensive performance in their last three games. They still rank 256th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Grizzlies have played 14 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games away from home Over the Total after winning their last game. They have also played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a win against a fellow Big Sky Conference rival. On the road, they are allowing their opponents to make 48.2% of their shots which results in 79.2 PPG. They drop to 278th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are surrendering +10.9 more adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. But they also make 49.0% of their shots on the road while ranking 12th in the nation on the road with an effective field goal percentage of 55.3%. Montana ranks ninth in the nation on the road by making 57.1% of their shots inside the arc — and they also rank 26th in the nation on the road in getting to the free throw line (and I like investing in Overs when a team scores points when the clock is not running). They are making 50.8% of their shots in their last five games — and they are making 51.5% of their shots in conference plays. Furthermore, the Grizzlies have played 11 of their last 18 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s.

FINAL TAKE: Idaho wants to avenge a 72-67 loss on the road to Montana as a 5-point underdog on January 20th — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games on the road Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Big Sky Conference Total of the Year is with Over the Total in the game between the Idaho Vandals (631) and the Montana Grizzlies (632). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-08-25 Old Dominion v. Troy State UNDER 131.5 Top 59-75 Loss -112 2 h 59 m Show

 At 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Old Dominion Monarchs (757) and the Troy Trojans (758) in the Quarterfinals of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Old Dominion (15-19) has won four games in a row after their 61-56 upset victory against Appalachian State as a 7.5-point underdog on Friday. Troy (20-10) has won three games in a row after their 70-58 victory at Southern Mississippi as a 9.5-point favorite last Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, Florida.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Monarchs have stepped things up significantly on the defensive end of the court recently. They held the Mountaineers to 34.6% shooting last night. After allowing Marshall to shoot 57.7% from the field against them on February 25th, Old Dominion has not allowed their last four opponents to make more than 37.1% of their shots including in the last three days of this tournament. The Monarchs have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. But Old Dominion can’t shoot. They have only made more than 40% of their shots once in their last six games. For the season, they rank 359th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 44.4%. They only make 45.2% of their shots inside the arc and 28.6% of their shots from behind the arc — those marks rank 346th and 350th in the nation respectively. On the road, they are scoring -1.4 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions than at home. They are giving up -5.4 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road as well. The Trojans hold their opponents to 41.0% shooting — and the Monarchs have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams who hold their opponents to no higher than 42.0% shooting. Old Dominion has also all 6 of their games on a neutral court this season Under the Total. Troy has played 9 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after winning three or more games in a row. The Trojans rank 34th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road — and they are surrendering -8.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. Their interior defense is particularly tough on the road as they rank eighth in the nation by limiting their opponents to just a 45.4% shooting percentage inside the arc. But Troy scores -10.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road than at home. The Trojans have played 13 of their last 15 games on the road Under the Total. Troy does pound the offensive glass — they rank fourth in the nation by pulling down 39.0% of their missed shots and that mark rises to 40.0% in conference play. For that matter, Old Dominion ranks second in the Sun Belt by rebounding 36.6% of their missed shots. Contests between two good offensive rebounding teams help our Under since both teams are likely to extend their possession with second or more scoring chances — and that is a formula for fewer overall possessions in the game.

FINAL TAKE: The Monarchs have played 7 straight games Under the Total when the Total in set in the 130s — and four of these games were played away from home. The Trojans have played 6 straight Unders when playing on the road with the Total set in the 130s. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Old Dominion Monarchs (757) and the Troy Trojans (758). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-07-25 Old Dominion v. Appalachian State UNDER 129 61-56 Win 100 0 h 22 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Old Dominion Monarchs (863) and the Appalachian State Mountaineers (864) in the fourth round of the Sun Belt Conference. THE SITUATION: Old Dominion (14-19) has won three games in a row after their 64-61 upset victory against Texas State as a 6.5-point underdog in the first round of this tournament yesterday. Appalachian State (17-130 has lost three games in a row after their 75-57 loss at Marshall as a 3-point underdog last Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, Florida.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Monarchs held the Bobcats to just 37.1% shooting which was actually the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last three contests. But they only made 35% of their shots yesterday which was the third time in their last five games where they failed to shoot better than 35% from the field. They are only making 36.6% of their shots in their last five games which is resulting in only 65.6 Points-Per-Game. Old Dominion ranks 300th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rank 359th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 44.3%. The Monarchs have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. On the road, they are scoring -2.0 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions — but they are also surrendering -5.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions. Old Dominion has played 5 straight Unders when playing on a neutral court — and they were an underdog or a pick ‘em in four of those contests. Appalachian State only made 36.0% of their shots last Friday against the Thundering Herd — they have a 39.5% field goal percentage in their last five games which has resulted in 63.8 PPG. They rank 270th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The Mountaineers have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road after losing their previous game. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in the last eight days. They only make 41.5% of their shots on the road which is resulting in 62.4 PPG — and that mark is -5.8 fewer PPG than their season average. They are scoring -4.7 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when on the road. But they are also giving up -4.3 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when away from home. Appalachian State is an outstanding defensive team in the half court — they rank 15th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 46.1% They rank 16th in the nation with their opponents making only 29.8% of their shots from behind the arc. The Mountaineers have played 13 of their last 16 games on the road Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight games on the road Under the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when favored on the road — and they have played 7 straight Unders on the road against teams with a losing record. And while Old Dominion is making only 39.9% of their shots this season, Appalachian State has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams who are not making more than 42% of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: The Mountaineers want to avenge a 78-77 upset loss at home against the Monarchs as a 10.5-point favorite back on January 29th. Appalachian State has played 4 straight Unders when playing with revenge. 8* CBB Friday Daily O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Old Dominion Monarchs (863) and the Appalachian State Mountaineers (864). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-07-25 Murray State v. Bradley OVER 131.5 62-70 Win 100 0 h 15 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Murray State Racers (849) and the Bradley Braves (850) in the Quarterfinals of the Missouri Valley Conference tournament. THE SITUATION: Murray State (16-16) has won two of their last three games after their 74-53 win against Evansville as a 5.5-point favorite in their opening round game in this tournament yesterday. Bradley (24-7) has won three games in a row and six of their last seven contests after their 73-56 win against Northern Iowa as a 4.5-point favorite on Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Enterprise Center in Saint Louis, Missouri.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Murray State held the Purple Aces to just a 34.7% shooting percentage last night in what was the best defensive effort in their last six contests. But the Racers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after playing a game where they did not allow more than 55 points. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Over the Total after beating a Missouri Valley Conference opponent. This is a team that ranks 19th in the nation in getting to the free throw line — and I do like investing in Overs when dealing with a team that scores baskets with the clock stopped. The 73.0 Points-Per-Game they are scoring on the road is above their season average — and they are scoring +3.7 more adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. Murray State has played 13 of their last 19 games on the road Over the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road as an underdog or pick ‘em. They have also played 9 of their last 10 games on the road Over the Total with the Total set in the 130s. And in their last 14 games against teams winning 60-80% of their games, they have played 10 of these games Over the Total. Bradley held the Panthers to just 37.5% shooting on Sunday which was the worst defensive effort in their last six contests. The Braves have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total on the road after a straight-up win. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games on the road Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row. This team leads the nation by nailing 40.9% of their shots from behind the arc — and they make 40.4% of their 3s when playing away from home which ranks fifth in the nation. They also rank sixth in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 57.2% — and they remain sixth in the nation in that metric when playing on the road. They are scoring +2.6 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when on the road — but they are also surrendering +4.1 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing away from home. Bradley has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games on the road Over the Total when favored. Furthermore, they have played all 4 of their games on a neutral court Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Racers want to avenge an 85-83 loss at Bradley as a 7-point underdog back on February 22nd — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Friday Night O/U Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Murray State Racers (849) and the Bradley Braves (850). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-06-25 Long Beach State v. UC San Diego OVER 136.5 Top 63-70 Loss -125 1 h 31 m Show

At 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Long Beach State 49ers (785) and the UC-San Diego Tritons (786). THE SITUATION: Long Beach State (7-23) has lost 13 games in a row after their 70-60 loss at UC-Irvine as a 16.5-point underdog on Saturday. UC-San Diego (26-4) has won 11 games in a row after their 100-55 victory against CS-Fullerton as a 27-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Tritons made 52.9% of their shots on Saturday — they are shooting 49.0% from the field in their last five games which is resulting in 85.2 Points-Per-Game. UC-San Diego has played 5 of their last 8 games at home Over the Total after a win against a fellow Big West rival. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row. Additionally, they have played 6 straight Overs after playing a game where they did not allow more than 55 points. The Tritons lead the conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They also rank third in the nation by forcing turnovers in 23.5% of their opponent’s possessions — and Long Beach State ranks 350th in the nation by turning the ball all over in 21.8% of their possessions. That should lead to many easy-scoring opportunities for the Tritons. They are scoring +2.1 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home. They rank second in the Big West by both making 57.5% of their shots inside the arc and by nailing 38.1% of their shots from behind the arc. Overall, they are shooting 47.5% from the field when playing at home which is resulting in 85.0 Points-Per-Game. They are also given up +1.7 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home — so UC-San Diego is not a team that seems a dramatic drop-off in their opponent's scoring when they are playing on their home court. The Tritons have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total at home — and they have 4 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, they have played 6 of their last 9 home games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite. And while the 49ers are getting outscored by -6.7 PPG, UC-San Diego has played 6 straight games Over the Total against teams who are getting outscored by -6.0 or more PPG. Long Beach State has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a loss to a Big West rival — and they have played 17 of their last 24 games on the road Over the Total after a loss to a fellow conference opponent. They rank 321st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are giving up +2.0 more points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. Their opponents are making 47.5% of their shots when they are on the road resulting in 76.1 PPG. One of their problems is that they rank 327th in the nation on the road with their opponents making 37.6% of their shots from behind the arc. They also rank 360th in the nation on the road with their opponents rebounding 39.5% of their missed shots. The 49ers are also scoring +2.0 more points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. Long Beach State has played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total on the road. The Tritons make 47.0% of their shots and hold their opponents to 40.5% shooting — and the 49ers have played 6 of their last 9 games on the road Over the Total against teams who make 45% of their shots and hold their opponents to no higher than 42% from the field.

FINAL TAKE: Long Beach State wants to avenge an 80-54 loss at home against the Tritons on January 16th — and they have played 6 of their last opportunities for revenge Over the Total. 25* CBB Big West Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Long Beach State 49ers (785) and the UC-San Diego Tritons (786). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-06-25 Sacred Heart v. Manhattan OVER 155 Top 74-90 Win 100 0 h 28 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Sacred Heart Pioneers (719) and the Manhattan Jaspers (720). THE SITUATION: Sacred Heart (14-15) has won three of their last four games after their 83-62 win against Fairfield as a 6-point favorite on Sunday. Manhattan (15-12) has won two games in a row after their 85-79 win against Niagara as a 1.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pioneers have played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a straight-up win against a Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference rival. They have also played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a win by 15 or more points — and they have played 5 straight Overs after a victory on their home court by 20 or more points. Sacred Heart plays at one of the fastest paces in the nation. They rank 45th in the nation by averaging only 16.3 seconds per possession — and they rank 46th in the nation by averaging 70.4 possessions per game. In conference play, they rank second in both those categories. The Pioneers rank second in the conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they also rank 295th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. On the road, they drop to 345th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are allowing +11.2 more points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. Their opponents are making 46.6% of their shots when they are playing on the road which is resulting in 79.5 Points-Per-Game — and they rank 327th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 55.8% in their games away from home. But they also rank 25th in the nation by making 37.7% of their shots from behind the arc when playing on the road. Sacred Heart has played 9 of their last 14 games on the road Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog or as a pick ‘em. Additionally, the Pioneers have played 8 of their last 10 games on the road Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Manhattan has played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. They have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. The Jaspers lead the MAAC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they also rank 324th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They stay at home where they drop to 350th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — but they also lead the conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency on their home court. Manhattan is surrendering +4.1 more points per 100 possessions when at home as opposed to being on the road. The Jaspers have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: The Jaspars look to avenge a 74-72 loss at Sacred Heart on February 2nd — and they have played 9 of their last 13 opportunities for revenge Over the Total. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Sacred Heart Pioneers (719) and the Manhattan Jaspers (720). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-05-25 Le Moyne v. Central Connecticut State OVER 143.5 Top 67-86 Win 100 1 h 5 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Le Moyne Dolphins (306567) and the Central Connecticut Blue Devils (306568) in the Quarterfinals of the Northeast Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Le Moyne (9-22) has lost four games in a row after their 85-79 loss at Stone Hill as a 5.5-point underdog on Saturday. Central Connecticut (23-6) has won 12 games in a row after a 55-48 victory at Wagner as a 7-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blue Devils are the top seed in this conference riding the nation’s longest active winning streak — and this bestowed them the right to host all of their games as long as they advance in this tournament. They only made 37.8% of their shots last Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last 12 contests. But Central Connecticut has played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of those 8 games following a victory Over the Total when playing at home. They have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a win against a fellow Northeast Conference rival — and they have played 5 of these 6 games Over the Total when playing at home following a win against a conference opponent. Furthermore, they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total following a win on the road. They return home where they are making 49.8% of their shots which is resulting in 78.3 Points-Per-Game. They are scoring +5.6 more PPG when playing at home — and they lead the Northeast Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They are scoring +2.5 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home — but they are also surrendering +5.7 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. The Blue Devils have played 6 of their last 9 home games Over the Total when favored or listed as a pick ‘em. They have played 6 of their last 8 games at home Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Additionally, they have played 6 straight Overs as a double-digit favorite. Le Moyne has played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after losing two games in a row — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after losing three games in a row. They have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a loss to a conference rival — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total on the road after a loss to a Northeast Conference rival. And while they have played nine straight Overs, they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row. The Dolphins rank 359th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — but they are a solid offensive team that has made 48.1% of their shots in their last five games. Le Moyne leads the conference in both getting to the free throw line and their 54.2% effective field goal percentage. The Dolphins have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total as an underdog. They have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games on the road Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s.

FINAL TAKE: Le Moyne wants to avenge an 84-75 loss at Central Connecticut as a 12.5-point underdog on February 27th — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with same-season revenge. 25* CBB Northeast Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Le Moyne Dolphins (306567) and the Central Connecticut Blue Devils (306568). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-04-25 San Jose State v. Colorado State OVER 142 56-83 Loss -110 1 h 60 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (643) and the Colorado State Rams (644). THE SITUATION: San Jose State (13-17) has lost five of their last six games after their 77-71 loss to UNLV as a 2.5-point underdog last Tuesday. Colorado State (20-9) has won five straight games after their 93-66 victory against Utah State as a 2-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Spartans rank ninth in the Mountain West Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have allowed their last five opponents to make 49.8% of their shots which has resulted in 79.4 Points-Per-Game. San Jose State has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Now they go back on the road where they rank 272nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are surrendering +6.6 more points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. They rank 283rd in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 54.5%. They are allowing their opponents to make 47.7% of their shots when playing on the road which is resulting in 75.7 PPG. The Spartans do score +4.6 more points per 100 possessions when playing on the road — and they rank 41st in the nation by nailing 36.7% of their shots from behind the arc when on the road. San Jose State has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Over the Total as an underdog getting 12.5 to 18 points. They have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total as an underdog overall. Furthermore, they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. Colorado State has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a win against a Mountain West Conference rival — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games at home Over the  Total after a victory against a conference rival. They have also played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a win by 15 or more points — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home after a win by 20 or more points. They rank second in the Mountain West Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are making 53.4% of their shots in their last five contests. They stay at home where they rank 51st in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring +10.1 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. They are making 49.9% of their shots on their home court which is resulting in 80.3 PPG. The Rams have played 10 of their last 15 games at home Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Additionally, they have played 6 of their last 8 games at home Over the Total as a double-digit favorite.

FINAL TAKE: San Jose State looks to avenge a 72-50 loss at home against Colorado State back on December 31st — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. They have also played 4 straight Overs when avenging a loss of 20 or more points. 10* CBB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (643) and the Colorado State Rams (644). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-03-25 Kansas v. Houston UNDER 132.5 59-65 Win 100 0 h 25 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas Jayhawks (865) and the Houston Cougars (866). THE SITUATION: Kansas (19-10) saw their two-game winning snapped in a 78-73 upset loss against Texas Tech as a 4-point favorite on Saturday. Houston (25-4) has won eight games in a row after their 73-64 win against Cincinnati as a 13.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jayhawks allowed the Red Raiders to make 45.2% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last three games and second worst defensive effort in their last six contests. Kansas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss. Now they go back on the road where they rank third in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are giving up -4.7 fewer points per 100 possessions on the road than they are at home. But the Jayhawks are also scoring a whopping -14.9 points per 100 possessions when away from home. They are only making 43.5% of their shots away from home which is resulting in 69.5 Points-Per-Game which is -6.3 PPG below their overall scoring average. This squad lacks a reliable second-scoring option after big man Hunter Dickinson — and it does not help that they rank 359th in the nation in getting to the free throw line. Kansas has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road. They have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who are winning 80% or more of their games. Houston leads the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are holding their opponents to just 38.2% shooting which is resulting in a mere 58.0 PPG. The Jayhawks have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams who are not allowing their opponents to make more than 42% of their shots — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams who are not giving up more than 64 PPG. Houston enjoyed their second-best shooting performance of the entire season going back to their first year game of the year back in November by nailing 53.6% of their shots against the Bearcats. They also saw Cincinnati make 44.1% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. The Cougars have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total at home after a straight-up win at home. They stay at home where they also lead the nation with the lowest Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when assessing home court play. They are surrendering -5.1 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing at home — and their guests are shooting just 36.9% from the field resulting in 52.9 PPG. Houston ranks seventh in the nation by forcing turnovers in 24.4% of their opponent’s possessions. Like Kansas, the Cougars do not get the free throw line — they rank 338th in free throw rate. They also only make 51.9% of their shots inside the arc when playing at home which ranks 208th in the nation. They do thrive at home by hitting their 3s at a 42.4% clip which is the second-highest clip in the nation — but the Jayhawks hold their opponents to just a 31.1% shooting percentage behind the arc when they are playing on the road. Houston has played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total at home. They have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games — and they have played 6 of those 9 games Under the Total when at home. They have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. The Jayhawks hold their opponents to just 39.2% shooting — and the Cougars have 6 of their last 9 games at home Under the Total against teams who hold their opponents to no better than 42% shooting.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas wants to avenge a 92-86 loss in double overtime at home to Houston on January 25th — and they have played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Kansas-Houston ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas Jayhawks (865) and the Houston Cougars (866). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-02-25 Rice v. Texas-San Antonio OVER 151 Top 56-84 Loss -108 4 h 25 m Show

At 6:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Rice Owls (847) and the UTSA Roadrunners (848). THE SITUATION: Rice (13-16) has lost five of their last six games after their 84-72 loss at Memphis as a 12-point underdog on Wednesday. UTSA (10-17) has lost six games in a row after their 96-89 loss at East Carolina as a 7.5-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Owls only made 41.4% of their shots against the Tigers which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. Rice has played 6 straight Overs after losing on the road in their last game. They have also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after losing to a fellow American Athletic Conference rival in their last contest. The Owls are 10th in the nation in getting to the free throw line — and now they face a Roadrunners team that ranks 355th in the nation in opponent free throw rate so Rice should get the charity stripe plenty of times in this one. Points being scored when the clock is stopped is a great formula for the Over. The Owls stay on the road where they actually lead the nation in getting to the free -hrow line. They rank second in the American Athletic Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing on the road. They also lead the conference by making 38.5% of their shots from behind the arc. But Rice also ranks 11th in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. One of their biggest problems on defense is they rarely force turnovers which means their opponents are usually getting shots off against them. They rank 339th in the nation by forcing turnovers in just 14.1% of their opponent’s possessions — and they are only forcing turnovers in 11.9% of their opponent’s possessions in conference play. The Owls have played 6 of their last 9 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. They have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total as an underdog of up to six points. Additionally, they have played 4 straight Overs against teams with a winning percentage in the 20-40% range — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. UTSA allowed the Pirates to make 52.6% of their shots last Sunday. The Roadrunners’ last five opponents are making 47.8% of their shots against them which is resulting in 80.6 Points-Per-Game. They rank 10th in the American Athletic Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. UTSA has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total at home after a straight-up loss. They have also played  8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after losing two games in a row — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after losing three games in a row. Furthermore, they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in eight days. The Roadrunners return home where they are scoring 80.3 PPG fueled by nailing 39.2% of their shots from behind the arc in conference play which is the second-best mark in the conference. But UTSA also ranks 327th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 54.3%. Additionally, they rank 352nd in the nation by allowing their opponents to pull down 35.2% of their missed shots. Rice is a good offensive rebounding team that ranks 60th in the nation by rebounding 33.8% of their missed shots. The Roadrunners have played 16 of their last 25 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total when favored by up to six points or listed as a pick ‘em. They have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. And in their last 10 games against teams winning 40-49% of their games, UTSA has played 7 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Rice is avenging a 90-84 upset loss at home against the Roadrunners on January 14th as a 4-point favorite — and they have 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with same-season revenge. 25* CBB American Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Rice Owls (847) and the UTSA Roadrunners (848). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-27-25 Delaware v. College of Charleston OVER 158 Top 84-94 Win 100 4 h 40 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Delaware Blue Hens (767) and the College of Charleston Cougars (768). THE SITUATION: Delaware (12-17) has lost four straight games and nine of their last ten contests after their 78-65 upset loss at home against Hofstra as a 2-point favorite on Saturday. Charleston (21-8) had their two-game winning streak end in a 64-55 upset loss at Drexel as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blue Hens made 47.2% of their shots in what was their third straight upset loss on Saturday — and that was the worst shooting effort in their last three games. They are making 47.0% of their shots on the season which is resulting in 76.7 Points-Per-Game. They also allowed the Pride to make 52.6% of their shots although that was the best defensive performance in their last three contests. Their last five opponents are making 50.2% of their shots against them. Delaware ranks 343rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Blue Hens have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss at home. They have also played 4 straight Overs after suffering an upset loss. They go back on the road where they are allowing their opponents to make 46.4% of their shots resulting in 80.0 PPG. They drop to 354th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are giving up +6.9 more adjusted points per 100 possessions on the road rather than at home. But Delaware is one of the better offensive teams in the country. They rank 52nd in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 54.4% — and that clip rises to 54.9% in conference play. They also rank 36th in the nation by making 37.2% of their shots from behind the arc. They are scoring +8.1 more adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing on the road than when at home. The Blue Hens have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when on the road. They have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. And in their last 9 games with the Total set in the 150s, Delaware has played 6 of these games Over the Total. Charleston only made 37.0% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last 11 games. The Cougars have (somehow) only played 4 games at home in the last three seasons following a loss — and they have played 3 of these games Over the Total. They return home where are making 46.7% of their shots resulting in 82.9 PPG. They rank seventh in the nation by making 41.2% of their shots from behind the arc — and they are scoring +7.0 more adjusted points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. But they are also giving up +2.5 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. Charleston has played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total — and they have played 18 of their last 26 home games Over the Total when favored or a pick ‘em. They have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points — and they have played 9 of their last 14 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. They have also played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total against teams who are making 45% or more of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams play at a fast pace. Charleston ranks 79th in the nation by averring only 16.7 seconds per possession — and the 70.5 adjusted possessions per game that they average ranks 45th most in the country. Delaware ranks 41st in the nation by averaging 16.2 seconds per possession — and the 70.7 adjusted possessions per game mark ranks 37th in the nation. When two teams meet who like to play fast, the pace often gets even quicker as they look to out-run each other. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Delaware Blue Hens (767) and the College of Charleston Cougars (768). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-25-25 New Mexico v. San Diego State UNDER 145 65-73 Win 100 3 h 59 m Show

At 11:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (665) and the San Diego State Aztecs (666). THE SITUATION: New Mexico (22-5) had their eight-game winning streak snapped in an 86-78 loss at Boise State as a 4.5-point underdog last Wednesday. San Diego State (18-7) saw their three-game winning streak end in a 79-71 loss at Utah State as a 5.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lobos nailed 50.9% of their shots against the Broncos last week which was the best shooting effort in their last four games. They also allowed Boise State to make 48.1% of their shots which was the second-worst defensive effort in their last 17 contests. New Mexico has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on the road after a straight-up loss to a Mountain West Conference opponent. They are a very good defensive team that ranks 26th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. On the road, they rise to 16th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency where they are giving up -2.3 fewer points per 100 possessions than at home. They are also scoring -2.9 fewer Points-Per-Game on the road than at home. The Lobos have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as an underdog. The Aztecs are outscoring their opponents by +8.2 PPG — and New Mexico has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +8.0 or more PPG. And while San Diego State is holding their opponents to 37.3% shooting which is resulting in 63.1 PPG, the Lobos have played 4 straight Unders against teams who are not allowing more than 64.0 PPG. The Aztecs rank 10th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But they also rank 119th in the country and sixth in the Mountain West Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They return home where they drop to 217th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring -5.8 fewer points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. They are also surrendering -1.3 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing at home. San Diego State has played 8 of their last 12 games at home Under the Total. They have also played 7 of their last 10 games at home Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s including all four of those games this season. Furthermore, the Aztecs have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: San Diego State leads the Mountain West Conference in offensive rebounding rate — but New Mexico ranks 24th in the nation by limiting their opponents to pulling down just 25.8% of their missed shots. And while the Lobos outrebound their opponents by +5.0 Rebounds-Per-Game, the Aztecs have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams who outrebound their opponents by +4.0 or more RPG. 10* CBB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico Lobos (665) and the San Diego State Aztecs (666). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-24-25 Morgan State v. Norfolk State OVER 156.5 60-69 Loss -110 0 h 26 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Morgan State Bears (306527) and the Norfolk State Spartans (306528). THE SITUATION: Morgan State (11-15) has lost three of their last four games after their 87-81 loss at home to Howard as a 1-point underdog on Saturday. Norfolk State (19-8) has won seven straight games after their 79-63 victory at Coppin State as a 13-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bears have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after alloying 85 or more points in their last contest. They have also played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. They go back on the road where they are allowing their opponents to make 51.9% of their shots which is resulting in 92.2 Points-Per-Game. They rank 362nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are surrendering +9.3 more points per 100 possessions when on the road versus when playing at home. Morgan State has played 8 of their last 13 road games Over the Total as an underdog or as a pick ‘em. Norfolk State has played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games at home Over the Total after winning their last game. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row. And in their 8 games this season played with one day of rest, they have played 5 of these games Over the Total. They return home where they are making 53.5% of their shots which is resulting in 87.6 PPG — and they are scoring +1.6 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. But they are also surrendering +7.1 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. Norfolk State has played 5 of their last 7 games at home Over the Total when favored or listed as a pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: The Spartans are making 49.0% of their shots this season — and the Bears have played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total against teams who are making 45% or more of their shots from the field. 8* CBB Monday Night O/U Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Morgan State Bears (306527) and the Norfolk State Spartans (306528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-22-25 Idaho v. Northern Colorado OVER 157 Top 74-92 Win 100 2 h 32 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Idaho Vandals (761) and the Northern Colorado Bears (762). THE SITUATION: Idaho (12-15) has won two of their last three games after their 83-78 upset victory at home against Northern Arizona as a 3-point underdog on Thursday. Northern Colorado (20-8) has won three of their last four games after their 95-76 victory against Eastern Washington as an 8.5-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Vandals held Northern Arizona to just 40.9% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 13 contests. But Idaho still ranks 349th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after an upset victory. They stay on the road tonight — and they have played 12 of their last 14 road games Over the Total after playing their previous game on the road. They rank 348th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing away from home where they are surrendering +4.5 more points per 100 possessions than at home. They are allowing their opponents to make 47.5% of their shots when on the road which is resulting in 77.6 Points-Per-Game. But the Vandals are a good offensive team that ranks third in the Big Sky in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They rank 95th in the nation in effective field goal percentage — and they rains 3-point attempts by ranking 18th in the nation by taking 48.0% of their shots from behind the arc. On the road, they rank 66th in the country by making 35.6% of their shots from downtown. Idaho has played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 10 of their 15 games away from home this season Over the Total. Northern Colorado nailed 66.7% of their shots on Thursday — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after making 55% or more of their shots in their last game. They have also played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after scoring at least 85 points including five of their six games this season. Furthermore, the Bears have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win on their home court. Northern Colorado is a dynamic scoring machine that leads the Big Sky in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They rank 14th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.6% based on them making 58.5% of their shots inside the arc which is the ninth-highest mark in the country. At home, they are making 54.5% of their shots which is resulting in 86.1 PPG — and they score +5.8 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. They lead the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 60.3% with them ranking 10th by nailing 40.6% of their 3-pointers and ranking eighth by making 61.5% of their shots inside the arc. But the Bears may get lackadaisical on defense when playing at home where they rank 320th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They give up +11.2 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. Their guests make 55.9% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 340th in the nation. More importantly against this Vandals team, they allow their visitors to make 36.3% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 301st in the nation. Northern Colorado has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. They have played 22 of their last 33 games Over the Total when favored — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points. Idaho has allowed their last five opponents to make 48.4% of their shots which has resulted in 78.4 PPG — and they allow their opponents to make 46.6% of their shots for the season. The Bears have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total against teams who allow their opponents to make 45% or more of their shots including six overs in those eight games this season. The Vandals have played 13 of their last 20 games on the road Over the Total against teams who make 45% or more of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: Northern Colorado is avenging a 77-76 loss at Idaho as a 4-point favorite back on January 23rd. The Bears have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Big Sky Total of the Month is with Over the Total in the game between the Idaho Vandals (761) and the Northern Colorado Bears (762). Best of luck for us — Frank. 

02-19-25 San Jose State v. Utah State OVER 149 Top 57-105 Win 100 3 h 52 m Show

At 9:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (737) and the Utah State Aggies (738). THE SITUATION: San Jose State (12-15) has lost three games in a row after their 73-58 victory as a 7.5-point underdog last Friday. Utah State (22-4) saw their three-game winning streak snapped in an 82-79 loss at New Mexico as a 4.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Spartans only made 38.8% of their shots last Friday which was the second-worst shooting effort in their last 12 contests. San Jose State has played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Over the Total after losing their last game. And while this is their second game since last Tuesday, they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in the last eight days. San Jose State struggles on the defensive end of the court where they rank 210th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and ninth in the Mountain West Conference. On the road, they are allowing their opponents to make 46.9% of their shots which is resulting in 73.8 Points-Per-Game — and they drop to 256th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when on the road by surrendering +5.1 more points per 100 possessions than when they are playing at home. On the road, they are also scoring +5.7 more points per 100 possessions than at home — and while they rank just 195th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency at home, they improve to 70th in that metric when playing on the road. They are nailing 37.7% of their shots from behind the arc when on the road, ranking 23rd in the nation — and the Aggies struggle in defending the perimeter when playing at home as will be shown below. The Spartans have played 7 of their last 9 road games Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em. Additionally, they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 130s. Utah State has allowed their last five opponents to make 46.5% of their shots which has resulted in 79.4 PPG. They rank 117th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But they also rank 18th in the nation and tops in the Mountain West Conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. At home, they improve to 10th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency where they score +5.6 more points per 100 possessions than on the road. They are making 51.1% of their shots at home resulting in 87.9 PPG. The Aggies thrive inside the arc where they rank seventh in the nation by making 58.8% of their shots -- and they make 60.2% of their 2-pointers when playing at home. They also lead the Mountain West Conference by making 37.5% of their shots from behind the arc in conference play. But Utah State allows their guests to make 54.6% of their shots from inside the arc and 35.9% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 328th and 289th in the nation respectively. Their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency drops to 190th in the nation when playing at home where they give up +7.2 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home than on the road. The Aggies have played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing at home — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Over the Total when the Total is set in the 140s. They have played 5 straight Overs against teams with a losing record — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total when favored by double-digits. And while the Spartans allow their opponents to make 45.1% of their shots, Utah State has played 5 straight Overs against teams who allow their opponents to make 45.0% or more of their shots from the field.  

FINAL TAKE: San Jose State wants to avenge an 85-78 loss at home to the Aggies as a 9.5-point underdog back on January 7th — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total when playing with revenge on their minds. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (737) and the Utah State Aggies (738). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-18-25 Central Arkansas v. Queens NC OVER 142.5 Top 72-89 Win 100 2 h 16 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Central Arkansas Bears (306547) and the Queens University-Charlotte Royals (306548). THE SITUATION: Central Arkansas (7-20) snapped a four-game losing streak with an 84-83 upset win in overtime at home against North Florida as a 9-point underdog on Saturday. Queens University-Charlotte (16-11) has lost two of their last three games after their 86-80 loss in overtime at Eastern Kentucky as a 2.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bears held North Florida to 37.3% shooting which was their second-best defensive effort in their last 24 contests. Central Arkansas has played 4 straight Overs on the road after pulling off an upset victory. They have also played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home. The Bears are one of the worst defensive teams in the nation that ranks 323rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and 12th in the Atlantic Sun Conference in that metric. Now they go back on the road where they are allowing their opponents to make 49.5% of their shots which is resulting in 82.4 Points-Per-Game which is +5.0 more points per 100 possessions than what they are allowing at home. In conference play, they are allowing their home hosts to make 42.9% of their 3s and 62.6% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 11th and 12th in the Atlantic Sun. They are also scoring +8.7 more points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. While they do not shoot the ball well, they do rank third in the conference by pulling down 34.6% of their missed shots. Central Arkansas has played 19 of their last 29 games on the road Over the Total including eight of their last 13 games this season. They have played 18 of their last 29 road games Over the Total as an underdog or as a pick ‘em — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games on the road Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Queens University has scored 80 or more points in four of their last five games — and while two of those games went into overtime, they scored at least 72 points in regulation time in those two games. In their last five games, they are making 50.4% of their shots which has resulted in 80.6 PPG. The Royals have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss including seven of their last 10 games Over the Total this season. They have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games at home Over the Total after a loss on the road. They have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a loss in conference play — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss on the road to an Atlantic Sun rival. And while Queens has played three straight Overs, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row. They return home where they are making 45.8% of their shots resulting in 82.3 PPG which is +5.5 more PPG than their season average. They rank third in the conference in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency at home against Atlantic Sun rivals. But they also rank eighth in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency against conference opponents — and they are giving up +4.3 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home. The Royals have played 15 of their last 22 games at home Over the Total including seven of their last 10 games. They have played 8 of their last 12 home games Over the Total when favored or a pick ‘em — and they have played 4 straight Overs at home with the Total set in the 140s. Central Arkansas surrenders 77.4 PPG this season — and Queens has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams who give up 77 or more PPG. They have played 8 straight games at home Over the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: The Bears want to avenge a 64-47 loss at home to Queens back on February 5th in an outlier low-scoring game for both teams. The Royals’ lone game in their last five where they did not score at least 72 points in regulation or 80 points overall was that contest. And those 47 points were the fewest that Central Arkansas scored all season — they only made one of their 21 shots from behind the arc in that game. The Bears score 70.0 PPG this season — and they should make more 3s tonight against this Queens' team that ranks 10th in the Atlantic Sun by allowing their guests to make 39.8% of their shots from behind the arc. The Bears have played 9 of their last 13 games on the road Over the Total when avenging a loss — and they have played 5 straight Overs when avenging a same-season loss. 25* CBB Atlantic Sun Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Central Arkansas Bears (306547) and the Queens University-Charlotte Royals (306548). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-17-25 Delaware State v. Norfolk State OVER 148 Top 84-96 Win 100 1 h 3 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Delaware State Hornets (306529) and the Norfolk State Spartans (306530). THE SITUATION: Delaware State (13-10) has won five games in a row after their 90-69 victory against Howard as a 1-point favorite on Saturday. Norfolk State (17-8) has won five games in a row and eight of their last nine contests after their 75-63 victory at Maryland-Eastern Shore as a 13-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Delaware State has made 48.5% of their shots in their last five games which has resulted in 91.4 Points-Per-Game during that stretch. Now they go back on the road where they are allowing their opponents to make 46.7% of their shots which is resulting in 78.3 PPG which is +6.9 more points than their season average. They rank 309th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road — and they are surrendering +8.9 more points per 100 possessions on the road than at home. They are also scoring +2.8 more points per 100 possessions when playing on the road than at home. The Hornets have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. They have also played 8 of their last 12 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Part of Delaware State’s problems on defense is that commits too many fouls. They rank 319th in the nation in opponent free throw rate. They should get plenty of second-chance scoring opportunities tonight. The Hornets pull down 35.9% of their missed shots in conference play — and the Spartans rank 344th in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 34.6% of their missed shots. Norfolk State has played 5 of their last 6 games at home Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 20 of their last 30 games Over the Total after a win on the road against a fellow Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference rival. They lead the MEAC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and in their last five games, they are making 51.1% of their shots which has resulted in 84.0 PPG. At home, the Spartans are making 53.4% of their shots which has resulted in 86.8 PPG. They are scoring +2.4 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home. They rank 312th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing at home — and they are surrendering +7.9 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home versus on the road. Norfolk State has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total at home. And while they have an opponent’s field goal percentage of 41.1%, the Hornets have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total against teams who are not allowing their opponents to make more than 42% of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: Delaware State wants to avenge a 73-64 loss at home against Norfolk State on January 6th. The Hornets have played 5 of their last 7 revenge opportunities Over the Total — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total when avenging a loss at home. 25* CBB Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Delaware State Hornets (306529) and the Norfolk State Spartans (306530). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-15-25 Troy State v. Arkansas State UNDER 146 Top 71-70 Win 100 8 h 56 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (679) and the Arkansas State Red Wolves (680). THE SITUATION: Troy (16-9) snapped their two-game losing streak with a 74-56 victory at UL-Lafayette as a 10-point favorite on Thursday. Arkansas State (19-7) ended their two-game losing streak with a 101-67 victory against Southern Mississippi as a 15-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trojans have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total on the road after winning their last game. They have also played 5 of their last 6 gamers Under the Total after a win of 15 or more points. Troy ranks third in the Sun Belt Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they stay on the road where they rank 37th in the nation in that metric. They are holding their opponents to -5.9 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. They rank 18th in the nation by holding their opponents to 46.2% shooting inside the arc when playing on the road. They are holding their opponents to 41.3% shooting on the road which is resulting in just 63.7 Points-Per-Game. But they are only making 40.6% of their shots on the road which is resulting in 64.8 PPG. They only make 27.3% of their shots from behind the arc on the road, ranking 350th in the nation — and their effective field goal percentage of 46.8% on the road ranks 288th. The Trojans have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 straight Unders on the road as an underdog or as a pick ‘em. Troy does lead the nation by pulling down 41.1% of their missed shots when playing on the road — and that serves to slow the game down since they extend their possession with a reset shot clock more than two times per five possessions. Arkansas State has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win against a Sun Belt Conference rival — and they have played 5 straight games at home Under the total after beating a conference opponent. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by 15 or more points. They rank fourth in the Sun Belt in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they also rank 40th in the nation in that metric when playing at home. They are holding their guests to just 38.2% shooting when playing at home which is resulting in 63.8 PPG — and they are giving up -7.3 fewer points per 100 possessions when at home versus playing on the road. The Red Wolves rank 18th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 45.8% — and that mark improves to a 43.2% percentage when they are playing on their home court, ranking 11th in the nation. They hold their visitors to just a 25.6% shooting percentage from behind the arc when playing at home, ranking fifth lowest in the nation. But this team possesses just a 49.9% effective field goal percentage on offense this season which ranks 276th in the nation. Arkansas State has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing at home — and they have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total when favored.  

FINAL TAKE: These two played on January 11th when the Red Wolves made 9 of their 23 shots from behind the arc and the Trojans nailed 10 of their 25 shots from 3-point range in Arkansas State’s 84-78 victory. Look for the Regression Gods to appear with both teams not shooting as well from distance tonight. The Trojans have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams who are winning 60-80% of their games. And while the Red Wolves are outscoring their opponents by +9.5 PPG, Troy has played 5 straight Unders against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +8.0 or more PPG. Arkansas State has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-80% range. 25* CBB Saturday ESPN2 Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (679) and the Arkansas State Red Wolves (680). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-14-25 Marist v. Siena OVER 128.5 Top 65-64 Win 100 1 h 57 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Marist Red Foxes (221) and the Siena Saints (222). THE SITUATION: Marist (16-5) has lost two games in a row after their 75-71 upset loss against Iona as a 4-point favorite last Saturday. Siena (11-13) saw their two-game winning streak snapped in a 61-59 upset loss at Rider on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Saints have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road against a fellow Metro Atlanta Athletic Conference rival — and they have played 4 straight Overs at home after a loss to a conference foe. Siena returns home where they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and they have played 5 straight home games Over the Total when favored or listed as a pick ‘em. The Saints rank 254th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are surrendering 73.0 Points-Per-Game when playing at home — and they are giving up +2.4 more points per 100 possessions at home as opposed to on the road. They are scoring 77.6 PPG when playing at home — and they are scoring +5.2 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home versus on the road. They lead the MAAC in getting to the free throw line — and that dynamic should extend the length of this game since the Red Foxes rank ninth in the conference in defensive free throw rate. Siena has played 5 straight games Over the Total when playing at home and is listed in the +/- 3-point range. Marist has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Red Foxes rank 188th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But they also rank 40th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 53.4% when playing on the road based on the strength of their 3-point shooting. They rank 23rd in the nation by nailing 37.7% of their shots from behind the arc when playing on the road. Marist has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: The Saints are attempting to avenge a 72-67 loss at Marist back on January 31st — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Marist Red Foxes (221) and the Siena Saints (222). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-12-25 Dayton v. Fordham OVER 145.5 Top 93-76 Win 100 2 h 34 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dayton Flyers (703) and the Fordham Rams (704). THE SITUATION: Dayton (16-8) saw their two-game losing streak snapped in a 73-68 loss to VCU at home as a 1-point underdog on Friday. Fordham (11-12) has won three of their last four games after their 80-79 upset win against Rhode Island as a 1.5-point underdog last Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Flyers held the Rams to 36.2% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 11 games and tied for their best defensive performance in their last 20 contests. They also only made 37.3% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last nine games. Dayton has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their 7 games after a loss this season Over the Total. They have played 5 of their last 7 games on the road Over the Total after a straight-up loss. They go back on they go back on the road where they are giving up 74.7 Points-Per-Game which is +5.7 more PPG than their season average. While they rank 145th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency overall this season, they fall to 174th in that metric when playing away from home. They are surrendering +3.8 more points per 100 possessions on the road — and they are also scoring +4.3 more points per 100 possessions when on the road. The Flyers rank 53rd in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency overall this season — and they improve to ranking 27th in that metric when playing away from home. They lead the Atlantic 10 Conference by making 36.0% of their shots from behind the arc — and they rank 20th in the nation by making 38.2% of their 3-pointers when away from home. The Rams struggle with their perimeter defense when playing at home where they rank 327th in the nation by allowing their guests to nail 37.9% of their shots from behind the arc. Fordham also ranks 13th in the Atlantic 10 in defensive free throw rate — and Dayton ranks third in the Atlantic 10 in getting to the free throw line. The Flyers have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when favored. They have also played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing away from home — and they have played 5 of their last 8 road games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total played in February. Fordham only made 43.5% of their shots last week which was the worst shooting effort in their last three games. The Rams have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight Overs after an upset victory. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games at home Over the Total after a straight-up victory. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with five or six days of rest — and they have played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in eight days. Fordham stays at home where they are scoring 81.9 PPG which is +6.1 more PPG than their season average. They are scoring +3.4 more points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. And while the Rams rank 14th in the Atlantic 10 and 225th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, they fall to 243rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on their home court. They are giving up +2.3 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home as opposed to on the road. Fordham has played 20 of their last 28 games at home Over the Total including 9 of their last 11 games at home Over the Total this season — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games at home Over the Total against teams with a losing record. In conference play, the Rams are allowing their opponents to make 47.6% of their shots which is resulting in 79.9 PPG. While the national average for possession length is 17.6 seconds, Fordham ranks 27th in the nation with their opponents averaging only 16.7 seconds per possession — a hidden metric that helps explain why they have played three straight Overs. The Rams have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing three or more Overs in a row.

FINAL TAKE: Fordham has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Dayton has played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. 25* CBB Atlantic 10 Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Dayton Flyers (703) and the Fordham Rams (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-11-25 Georgia v. Texas A&M UNDER 139 53-69 Win 100 1 h 50 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (655) and the Texas A&M Aggies (656). THE SITUATION: Georgia (16-8) has lost six of their last eight games after their 76-75 upset loss against Mississippi State as a 1-point favorite on Saturday. Texas A&M (18-5) has won five of their last six games after their 67-64 upset victory as a 4-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs allowed Mississippi State to make 55.2% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort of the season. Georgia has played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road after a straight-up loss.  They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss on their home court. They go back on the road where they are only making 40.9% of their shots which is resulting in 65.0 Points-Per-Game which is -11.0 fewer PPG than their season average. They are scoring -8.7 fewer points per 100 possessions on the road as opposed to on their home court. The Bulldogs turn the ball over in 19.2% of their possessions ranking 296th in the nation. Now they face an Aggies team that ranks 33rd in the nation by forcing turnovers in 20.8% of their opponent’s possessions. Texas A&M nailed 45.3% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last nine contests. This is the Aggies' second game since February 1st — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in eight or more days. They return home where they rank 11th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on their home court. They surrender -2.1 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing at home.

FINAL TAKE: Texas A&M has played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total as a favorite or pick ‘em — and Georgia has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total as an underdog. 8* CBB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (655) and the Texas A&M Aggies (656). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-05-25 Troy State v. James Madison UNDER 136 61-64 Win 100 0 h 23 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (701) and the James Madison Dukes (702). THE SITUATION: Troy (15-7) has won four games in a row after their 87-50 victory against UL-Monroe as a 16-point favorite on Saturday. James Madison (14-9) has won four games in a row after their 68-54 victory against Old Dominion as a 10.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Dukes have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win on their home court. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home against fellow Sun Belt Conference rivals. They stay at home where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total — and they have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total at home when favored or listed as a pick ‘em. James Madison is scoring -1.1 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing at home — and they are holding their guests to -10.4 fewer points per 100 possessions on their home court. Furthermore, the Dukes have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. Troy has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games on the road Under the Total after a straight-up victory. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by 15 or more points. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after beating a fellow Sun Belt Conference rival in their last contest. They go back on the road where they are scoring -4.1 fewer points per 100 possessions than at home — but they are also holding their opponents to -2.0 fewer points per 100 possessions when on the road. The Trojans have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total — and they have played 5 straight road games Under the Total as an underdog or a pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: The Trojans have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on the road when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and the Dukes have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 8* CBB Wednesday Daily O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (701) and the James Madison Dukes (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-04-25 Kentucky v. Ole Miss UNDER 159.5 Top 84-98 Loss -108 1 h 41 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kentucky Wildcats (627) and the Mississippi Rebels (628). THE SITUATION: Kentucky (15-6) has lost three of their last four games after their 89-79 upset loss to Arkansas as an 8-point favorite on Saturday. Mississippi (16-6) has lost four of their last five games after their 92-82 loss at home against Auburn as a 5.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats allowed the Razorbacks to make 55.2% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last nine games. Head coach Mark Pope should get his team to tighten things up on the defensive end of the court tonight. Kentucky has played 6 straight Unders after allowing 85 or more points this season — and those six opponents averaged only 71.8 Points-Per-Game with four of those teams shooting no better than 41.8% from the field and only one shooting better than 43.9%. Going back to his previous tenure at Utah, Pope’s teams have played 8 of their 10 games in his coaching career Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make at least 55% of their shots. Pope’s focus is mostly on the offensive end of the court — but he does have this Kentucky team playing good perimeter defense. The Wildcats rank 22nd in the nation by holding their opponents to 29.7% shooting from behind the arc — and they are even better on the road where they are holding their opponents to 27.6% shooting from behind the arc which is the tenth-best mark in the country. Kentucky does not have a proven true point guard healthy for this showdown tonight with LaMont Butler doubtful with an injury — he is scoring 13.2 Points-Per-Game and adding 4.8 Assists-Per-Game. Kerr Kriisa would be the backup point guard but the former West Virginia and Arizona transfer is also out with an injury. The Wildcats are shooting 48.5% from the field this season which is resulting in 87.2 PPG — but those numbers drop to 43.0% shooting on the road which is resulting in 76.1 PPG. They score -8.4 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing away from home — but they do at least give up -1.4 fewer points per 100 possessions on the road. Kentucky has played 7 of their 11 games this season Under the Total with the Total set in the 150s — and this includes all 4 games on the road Under the Total with the Total set in the 150-159.5 point range. In Pope’s 21 games on the road in his coaching career with the Total set in the 150s, 14 of those games finished Under the Total. Ole Miss allowed the Tigers to make 48.4% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst defensive effort in their last 15 contests. The Rebels have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Ole Miss ranks 12th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they stay at home where they are holding their guests to 39.8% shooting which is resulting in 64.4 PPG. They are giving up -2.2 fewer points per 100 possessions at home than on the road. They are also scoring -13.7 fewer points per 100 possessions at home than on the road — and they may be undermanned tonight as well. Senior guard Matthew Murrell is questionable with an injury — he is their second-leading scorer with his 11.2 Points-Per-Game clip. As it is, the Rebels rank just tenth in the SEC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Mississippi has played 8 of their 10 games at home this season Under the Total when favored or listed as a pick ‘em. Additionally, they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Ole Miss’ Chris Beard is known as a defensive guru in his nine seasons as a head coach — and this is just his ninth game in his career when the Total was set in the 150s in a home game. In those 8 home games with the Total set from 150 to 159.5, 5 of them finished Under the Total. 25* CBB Tuesday ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Kentucky Wildcats (627) and the Mississippi Rebels (628). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-02-25 North Dakota State v. St. Thomas OVER 153 Top 62-79 Loss -110 3 h 24 m Show

At 4:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota State Bison (853) and the St. Thomas Tommies (854). THE SITUATION: North Dakota State (16-7) had their five-game winning streak snapped in a 72-63 upset loss to South Dakota State as a 2.5-point favorite on Thursday. St. Thomas (17-6) has won two games in a row and seven of their last eight contests after their 86-71 victory against Oral Roberts as a 13-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bison only made 37.7% of their shots on Thursday which was the worst shooting effort in their last 18 contests. That performance was truly an outlier for a team that tanks second in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 58.4%. North Dakota State leads the nation by nailing 39.8% of their shots from behind the arc — and they are no slouches inside the arc where they rank 24th by making 56.8% of their shots. But on the other end of the court, they rank just 280th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Bison have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after an upset loss. They have paled 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss on their home court — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total on the road after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in eight days. On the road, they are making 48.0% of their shots — including 42.5% of their 3-pointers which also leads the nation — resulting in 81.5 Points-Per-Game. More importantly, they are scoring +6.9 more points per 100 possessions on the road than they are at home. They are also allowing their opponents to make 45.1% of their shots when playing on the road which is resulting in 75.1 PPG. They are surrendering +3.8 more points per 100 possessions when playing on the road. North Dakota State has played 17 of their last 25 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. They have also played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total on the road as an underdog or pick ‘em — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Furthermore, they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. St. Thomas made 57.1% of their shots last Wednesday which was the 12th time this season when they made at least 50% of their shots. The Tommies rank third in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 58.4%. They are making 39.0% of their shots from behind at the arc and 56.3% of their shots inside the arc, ranking eighth and ninth in the nation. But like their opponents this afternoon, they are a below-average defensive team that ranks 251st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. St. Thomas has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by 15 or more points. They have also played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last contest. They stay at home where they are making 51.3% of their shots resulting in 91.3 PPG. They rank second in the country by making 43.4% of their shots from behind the arc. They are scoring +4.6 more points per 100 possessions on the road than they are at home — but they are also surrendering +9.0 more points per 100 possessions in their home games. Their guests are nailing 38.0% of their shots from behind the arc which is the 330th worst mark when assessing home court splits. The Tommies have played 17 of their last 28 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total in February. They have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: In their last 22 games against teams who shoot at least 45% from the field, St. Thomas has played 15 of these games Over the Total — and they have played seven of their last nine games Over the Total under these circumstances. 25* CBB Sunday CBS Sports Network Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota State Bison (853) and the St. Thomas Tommies (854). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-01-25 South Alabama v. UL - Lafayette UNDER 135.5 Top 62-58 Win 100 9 h 2 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (773) and the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (774). THE SITUATION: South Alabama (14-8) has lost three games in a row after their 62-58 upset loss at home against UL-Monroe as a 15.5-point favorite on Thursday. UL-Lafayette (6-15) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 70-61 upset victory at Texas State as an 11.5-point underdog on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jaguars got upset by the Warhawks in two straight games despite being a double-digit favorite in both contests. Dissecting what happened in those losses is straightforward. Head coach Richie Riley has two main ways for his team to generate offense: fast break opportunities coming off turnovers and 3-point shooting. South Alabama leads the Sun Belt Conference by forcing turnovers in 20.8% of their opponent’s possessions — and they maintain that clip for all their games which is the 38th-best mark in the nation. The Jaguars matched that 20.8% mark in their first meeting with UL-Monroe last Monday which resulted in 14 turnovers — but they only made 10 of their 39 (25.6%) shots from behind the arc in a 77-66 loss. In the rematch, South Alabama made 40.4% of their shots overall which was the best shooting effort in their last three contests — but they still only made 5 of their 25 (20%) shots from 3-point range. Perhaps even worse, they only forced eight turnovers from just 12.9% of the Warhawks’ possessions in scoring just 58 points. The Jaguars have not scored more than 66 points in four straight games. But they do play good half-court defense when not forcing turnovers. UL-Monroe shot 38.3% from the field in Thursday’s game which was the best shooting effort against South Alabama in their last six games. The Jaguars rank 20th in the nation by holding their opponents to 45.3% shooting inside the arc. They lead the Sun Belt Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are second in the conference by holding their opponents to just 28.5% shooting from behind the arc. South Alabama has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. They go back on the road where they are holding their home hosts to just 37.2% shooting which results in 62.3 Points-Per-Game. In terms of adjusted efficiency, they are giving up -6.8 fewer points per 100 possessions when away from home than at home. But they are only making 40.4% of their shots on the road which is generating only 66.0 PPG. Furthermore, they are scoring -2.6 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions when away from home. They rank eighth in the nation by attempting 50.1% of their shots from behind the arc this season — but on the road, they are only converting on 31.0% of these shots which ranks 252nd in the nation. The Jaguars have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total away from home — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in hostile environments this season. They have played 8 of their last 12 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Additionally, South Alabama has played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams winning 20-40% of their gamers. They have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total in February. UL-Lafayette made 43.4% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last eight contests. The Ragin’ Cajuns have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games at home Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Like UL-Monroe, UL-Lafayette should limit the Jaguars' scoring opportunities on the fast break. They rank second in the Sun Belt by only turning the ball over in 13.7% of their possessions in conference play. They also do a good job of defending the perimeter. When playing at home, their guests make only 31.2% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 122nd, but they do an even better job of getting their opponents off the 3-point line. They rank 35th in the nation by limiting their visitors to taking just 33.1% of their shots from behind the arc when playing at home. South Alabama is vulnerable against good outside shooting teams — they allow their opponents to take 59.2% of their shots from behind the arc which is the third-highest mark in the nation. But the Ragin’ Cajuns only make 31.5% of their shots from behind the arc when playing at home which ranks 276th in the nation. In their 12 games at home, they are making just 39.3% of their shots resulting in 64.6 PPG. UL-Lafeyette has played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total on their home court including eight of their 11 games this season. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total at home as an underdog or pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: This game should be played at a slow pace which should contribute to what shapes up as a rock fight. South Alabama’s games average 63.2 adjusted possessions per game which ranks 345th in the nation. Their half-court defense makes it tough on their opponents who are averaging 18.9 seconds per possession which is the sixth-highest rate in the country. The Ragin’ Cajuns rank 204th in the nation with their games seeing 66.6 adjusted possessions — and their opponents are averaging 18.2 seconds per possession which ranks 327th. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (773) and the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (774). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-29-25 Longwood v. Gardner-Webb OVER 148.5 Top 87-92 Win 100 1 h 50 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Longwood Lancers (306563) and the Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs (306564). THE SITUATION:  Longwood (16-6) has won three games in a row after their 80-54 win against USC Upstate as an 11-point favorite last Saturday. Gardner-Webb (8-12) has lost three of their last four games after a 61-53 upset loss against UNC-Asheville as a 1-point favorite last Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Longwood played their best defensive game in their last nine contests by holding USC Upstate to just 37.0% shooting — and the 54 points they surrendered were the fewest of the season. But the Lancers had given up at least 74 points in five straight games before that performance. Longwood has played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a victory by 15 or more points. The Lancers are scoring 78.6 Points-Per-Game — and they have scored at least 77 points in six straight contests. Now they go back on the road where they are allowing their home hosts to nail 50.8% of their shots which is resulting in 76.2 PPG which is +5.5 PPG above their season average. They are also scoring 107.0 Points Per 100 Possessions away from home which is +5.9 Points Per 100 Possessions above their scoring rate at home. Longwood has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total away from home. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total in January. The Lancers scoring attack is at their best when they are getting to the free throw line — they rank fifth in the nation in free throw rate. The Runnin’ Bulldogs pressure the basketball — they rank 21st in the nation by forcing turnovers in 21.7% of their opponents’ possessions. But the flip side of this aggressiveness is that they rank 254th in defensive free throw rate. When these styles of teams clash the result is either a turnover or a foul over 50% of the time — and that means plenty of scoring opportunities either on the fast break or at the charity stripe (when the clock is stopped). Gardner-Webb only made 32.0% of their shots last week which was the worst shooting effort of the season. They also held UNC-Asheville to 36.4% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 13 contests. The Runnin’ Bulldogs have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in the last eight days. They stay at home where they are making 47.7% of their shots resulting in 77.4 PPG. They are also scoring +5.7 more Points Per 100 Possessions when playing at home as opposed to playing on the road. Gardner-Webb has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total as an underdog. And while they are making 46.2% of their shots on the season, the Lancers have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total against teams who are making 45% or more of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: Longwood has played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total in games with the Total set in the 140s — and Gardner-Webb has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. 25* CBB Big South Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Longwood Lancers (306563) and the Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs (306564). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-24-25 Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 140 Top 79-59 Win 100 11 h 25 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Panthers (877) and the Northern Kentucky Norse (878). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (14-7) has won three of their last four games after their 95-79 upset win against Wright State as a 2-point underdog on Wednesday. Northern Kentucky (9-11) has lost four games in a row after their 78-70 upset loss at home against Wright State as a 1.5-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Panthers allowed the Raiders to make 50.0% of their shots which was the worst defensive performance in their last 19 contests. Milwaukee still ranks third in the Horizon League in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they are holding their opponents to 44.7% shooting when playing on the road in hostile environments. The Panthers have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after an upset win on the road as an underdog. They stay on the road where they are holding their opponents to -4.6 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions than they are giving up when they are playing at home. But they are scoring -8.6 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions in hostile environments than at home. They are scoring 74.5 Points-Per-Game on the road which is -4.6 fewer PPG than their overall scoring average. Milwaukee has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games when favored or a pick ‘em including all four of those games this season. They have also played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in January. The Panthers lead the Horizon League by pulling down 42.5% of their missed shots in conference play — and second-chance opportunities contribute to lower-scoring games since both teams end up with fewer overall possessions. Milwaukee also leads the conference in getting to the free throw line — but the Norse lead the Horizon League in defensive free throw rate so the Panthers are not likely to reach the 24 shots per game from the charity stripe they average. Northern Kentucky has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite to a Horizon League rival. This is their second game since last Wednesday — and they have played 4 straight home games Under the Total when playing for the second time in eight days. They stay at home where they are holding their guests to just 41.4% shooting which results in 65.7 PPG. They give up -5.2 fewer adjusted points per 100 possessions at home versus on the road in hostile environments. The Norse has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total at home. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total with the Total set from 130 to 139.5. But scoring is an issue for this Northern Kentucky team that makes only 42.2% of their shots resulting in 69.3 PPG — and they are only scoring 71.7 PPG when playing at home. They rank ninth in the Horizon League in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in conference play.

FINAL TAKE: The Panthers are only making 30.6% of their shots from behind the arc this season — and the Norse have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who are not making more than 31% of their 3-pointers. 25* CBB Horizon League Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Panthers (877) and the Northern Kentucky Norse (878). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-22-25 Texas A&M v. Ole Miss UNDER 141.5 63-62 Win 100 0 h 20 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (737) and the Mississippi Rebels (738). THE SITUATION: Texas A&M (14-4) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 68-57 victory as a 10.5-point favorite on Saturday. Mississippi (13-3) saw their four-game winning streak end in an 84-81 loss in overtime at Mississippi State as a 5.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Aggies made only 42.6% of their shots against the Tigers — but that was still their best shooting effort in their last three games after only making 39.0% and 38.9% of their shots in their previous two contests. They did get Wade Taylor back on Saturday — he joins Zhuric Phelps in a dynamic one-two scoring punch. But Texas A&M’s offense can stagnate after that with no other players averaging double-digits in points. The Aggies get much of their scoring from crashing the glass — they lead the nation by pulling down 42.9% of their missed shots. Extending offensive possessions with offensive rebounding tends to lead to lower-scoring games since both teams end up with fewer overall possessions. On the road, Texas A&M only makes 39.3% of their shots which results in 72.5 Points-Per-Game which is -3.9 fewer PPG than their season average. They rank 56th in the nation with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 113.6 when playing away from home — and that represents a drop of -2.6 points per 100 possessions versus their 116.2 overall Adjusted Offensive Clip. Head coach Buzz Williams’ team plays outstanding defense. They rank 11th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they hold their opponents to just 39.0% shooting. On the road, they rank 19th in the nation with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 94.3. This is the Aggies second game since last Tuesday — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in the last eight days. They have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total in January. Mississippi allowed the Bulldogs to 44.6% shooting which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games. The Rebels rank 12th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they hold their opponents to 40.5% shooting. Ole Miss has played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss on the road. They return home where they are holding their opponents to just 38.7% which is resulting in 60.5 PPG. But while the Rebels rank 12th in the nation with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 122.6, they drop to 188th in the nation when playing at home with an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency of 106.0. Ole Miss has played 6 of their 8 games at home Under the Total this season -- and they have played 5 of their last 6 games at home Under the Total when favored or a pick ‘em. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when favored. Furthermore, they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total with the Total set from 140 to 149.5.

FINAL TAKE: The Rebels have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams who do not allow their opponents to make more than 42% of their shots — and the Aggies have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams who do not allow their opponents to make more than 42% of their shots. 10* CBB Texas A&M-Ole Miss ESPN2 O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (737) and the Mississippi Rebels (738). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-17-25 Providence v. Villanova OVER 140 Top 73-75 Win 100 1 h 15 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Providence Friars (879) and the Villanova Wildcats (880). THE SITUATION: Providence (9-9) had won two games in a row before their 84-64 loss at Creighton as a 9-point underdog on Tuesday. Villanova (11-7) has lost two games in a row after a 69-63 loss at Xavier as a 3-point underdog on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats made only 43.1% of their shots against the Musketeers — and their 63 points were the second-fewest that they have scored all season. Now after playing their last two games on the road, they return home again for the first time since January 8th. They are making 51.2% of their shots on their home court which is resulting in 81.2 Points-Per-Game. They are also nailing 43.1% of their shots from behind the arc at home. Villanova lives by-the-3 and dies by-the-3 — and things shape up for them very well tonight to score a pile of points. They rank fourth in the nation by making 41.1% of their 3-pointers — and now they host a Friars team who ranks 320th in the nation away from home with their opponents making 38.1% of their shots behind the arc. The Wildcats have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total as a favorite or pick ‘em. They have also played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total after playing their last two games on the road. Furthermore, they have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total when favored. Villanova ranks 11th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they are only 169th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Providence ranks 106th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — so they are not likely to slow the Wildcats down tonight. They allowed the Bluejays to make 51.6% of their shots which was the second bad defensive game they have played in their last four games after UConn made 56.3% of their shots against them less than two weeks ago. But the Friars only made 38.2% of their shots against Creighton which was the worst shooting effort in their last four contests. Providence has played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a loss on the road to a Big East rival. They have also played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss by 15 or more points. The Friars should score their share of points by crashing the glass tonight. They rank 39th in the nation by pulling down 35.2% of their missed shots — and this is an area of vulnerability for the Wildcats. Villanova ranks 117th in the nation by allowing their opponents to rebound 28.6% of their missed shots — and their Big 12 opponents have pulled down 29.2% of their misses. Providence has played 10 of their last 15 games away from home Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total as a dog this season. Additionally, they have played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. And in their last 12 games in January, they have played 9 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Friars are holding their opponents to 41.5% shooting this season — but Villanova has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams who are holding their opponents to no higher than 42% shooting from the field. 25* CBB Big East Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Providence Friars (879) and the Villanova Wildcats (880). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-08-24 Purdue v. Connecticut UNDER 146 Top 60-75 Win 100 5 h 1 m Show

At 9:20 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Purdue Boilermakers (675) and the Connecticut Huskies (676) in the National Championship Game. THE SITUATION: Purdue (34-4) has won 11 of their last 12 games after their 63-50 victory against North Carolina State as a 9.5-point favorite on Saturday. Connecticut (36-3) has won 12 games in a row after their 86-72 victory against Alabama as a 10-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Both of these teams are outstanding on the offensive end of the court — but I suspect the strength of their play on defense will dictate the flow of this game. Purdue ranks fourth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing away from home. In their 12 games played on a neutral court, they are allowing -5.0 fewer points per adjusted possessions. They only made 40.0% of their shots on Saturday — but it was their defense that carried the day as they held the Wolfpack to just 36.8% shooting in their 13-point victory. The Boilermakers have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing a game where neither team scored more than 65 points. They have covered the point spread in all five of their games in the Big Dance — and they have played 21 of their last 30 games Under the Total after winning and covering the point spread in three or more games in a row. UConn ranks second in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on a neutral court. They are giving up -10.7 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions in their 11 games played on a neutral court. The Huskies have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total on the road after a win by 10 or more points. They have also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total on the road after a straight-up win — and they have played 22 of their last 34 road games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while UConn has made at least 50% of their shots in their last two games, they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after making 50% or more of their shots in two or more games in a row. Furthermore, the Huskies have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: The Boilermakers have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total in the NCAA Tournament — and the Huskies have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total in the Big Dance. 25* CBB Total of the Year is with Under the Total in the game between the Purdue Boilermakers (675) and the Connecticut Huskies (676). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-06-24 Alabama v. Connecticut UNDER 161.5 72-86 Win 100 1 h 10 m Show

At 8:49 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (671) and the Connecticut Huskies (672) in the Final Four Semifinals of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Alabama (25-11) has won four games in a row with their 89-82 victory against Clemson as a 3-point favorite in their Elite Eight game last Saturday. Connecticut (35-3) has won 11 games in a row after their 77-52 victory against Illinois as an 8-point favorite in their Elite Eight contest last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: UConn has won all four of their games in the Big Dance by 17 or more points. The Huskies have then played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after winning two games in a row by double-digits — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after winning three or more games in a row by 10 or more points. And while they have covered the point spread in five straight games, they have then played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after winning and covering the point spread in two or more games in a row. Illinois made the decision to attack the rim and not let the presence of 7’2 Donovan Clingan change how they want to play on offense. In hindsight, that decision was a mistake since the Illini made only of their 38 shots in the 22 minutes that Clingan was on the court for a mere 14 points overall during that span. Alabama players and head coach Nate Oats have indicated they will not make that mistake — but that means they will rely on 3-point shooting or midrange shots which is out of character for this Crimson Tide team. The Huskies rank second in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when they are playing on a neutral court (ten games). UConn allows -12.0 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing at a neutral site. Their four NCAA Tournament opponents have made only 18 of their 80 shots (22.5%) from behind the arc — and Northwestern shot the best against them with a 26.7% clip from 3-point range but making only four of their 15 shots. Good defensive teams can slow down this Alabama fast-paced attack. They only scored 74 points against Tennessee in the SEC Tournament — and they only put up 72 points in their victory against Grand Canyon in the Round of 32. The Crimson Tide have played 26 of their last 36 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 10 or more points. And while the Huskies average 19 Assists-Per-Game, Alabama has played 44 of their last 71 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams who dish out 16 or more Assists-Per-Game.

FINAL TAKE: UConn has played 12 of their last 16 games after 15 games into the season Under the Total when facing a team winning 60-80% of their games — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. 10* CBB Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (671) and the Connecticut Huskies (672). Best of luck for us — Frank. 

04-06-24 NC State v. Purdue UNDER 146.5 50-63 Win 100 0 h 10 m Show

At 6:09 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (673) and the Purdue Boilermakers (674) in the Final Four Semifinals of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: North Carolina State (26-14) has won nine straight games after their 76-64 upset victory against Duke as a 7-point underdog in their Elite Eight game on Sunday. Purdue (33-4) has won 10 of their last 11 games after their 72-66 victory against Tennessee as a 3-point favorite in their Elite Eight game last Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: NC State held the Blue Devils to just 32.2% shooting last Sunday which was the best defensive effort of their season. Getting Kyle Filipowski into foul trouble helped — and Duke made only five of their 20 shots (25%) of their shots from behind the arc. The Wolfpack have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a double-digit win against an ACC rival. And while they only scored 21 points in the first half of that game, they have then played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 25 points in the first half of their last contest. Head coach Kevin Keatts will want to slow this game down — not only because they are a big underdog but to also protect D.J. Burns from not getting into foul trouble. Look for Keatts to full-court pressure against the Boilermakers as well — not necessarily to force turnovers but simply to slow Purdue’s offensive attack down and get them out of rhythm. The Boilermakers score 83.5 Points-Per-Game — and NC State has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams who score 77 or more PPG. Purdue has played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing with five or six days of rest between contests. And while they have covered all four of their NCAA Tournament games, they have then played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning and covering the point spread in three or more games in a row. They have not turned the ball over more than ten times in their four NCAA Tournament games — and they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not turning the ball over more than 11 times in four or more games in a row.

FINAL TAKE: Purdue is outscoring their opponents by +14.1 Points-Per-Game — and the Wolfpack have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +12.0 or more PPG. The Boilermakers have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the Big Dance. 10* CBB Saturday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina State Wolfpack (673) and the Purdue Boilermakers (674). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-04-24 Indiana State v. Seton Hall UNDER 159.5 77-79 Win 100 0 h 8 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana State Sycamores (681) and the Seton Hall Pirates (682) in the Championship Game of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Indiana State (32-6) reached the finals of this tournament with their 100-90 victory against Utah as a 4.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Seton Hall (24-12) advanced from their semifinal contest in an 84-67 victory against Georgia as a 5.5-point favorite on Tuesday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Indiana State allowed the Utes to make 52.3% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 33 games. But they won the game comfortably because they nailed 56.9% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last five contests. This victory came on the heels of their 85-81 victory at home against Cincinnati back on March 26th — and they have played 4 straight Unders after playing two or more games in a row where 165 or more combined points were scored. The Sycamores have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after playing two games in a row where 75 or more points were scored by both teams. And in their last 8 games after allowing 80 or more points in two or more games in a row, Indiana State has played 6 of those games Under the Total. Seton Hall made 47% of their shots on Tuesday which was the worst shooting effort in their last three games — but they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after making at least 47% of their shots in three or more games in a row. This victory came on the heels of their 91-68 victory against UNLV in the quarterfinals last Wednesday — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning and covering the point spread in two or more games in a row. They have also played 6 straight Unders after winning two games in a row by 15 or more points — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring 75 or more points in two or more games in a row. The Pirates have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 5 games with the Total set in the 150s, they have played 4 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Pirates have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 80% or higher. 10* CBB Thursday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana State Sycamores (681) and the Seton Hall Pirates (682). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-02-24 Georgia v. Seton Hall UNDER 145.5 Top 67-84 Loss -109 5 h 36 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (663) and the Seton Hall Pirates (664) in the Semifinals of the National Invitational Tournament. THE SITUATION: Georgia (20-16) has won four of their last five games after their 79-77 upset victory at Ohio State as a 9-point underdog last Tuesday. Seton Hall (23-12) has won five of their last six games after their 91-68 victory against UNLV as a 6-point favorite last Wednesday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs shot 47.8% from the field against the Buckeyes which was the best shooting effort in their last ten games. Georgia ranked just tenth in the SEC and currently ranks 105th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. In their five games played on a neutral court, the Bulldogs are scoring -12.2 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions. Georgia has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after playing a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. Their game with Ohio State finished Over the 150-point Total — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when coming off a game that finished Over the Total. They have also played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row. And in their last 12 games with the Total set in the 140s, the Buckeyes have palled 8 of these games Under the Total. Seton Hall made 56.5% of their shots against the Runnin’ Rebels which was the best shooting effort in their last 19 contests. But the Pirates have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after making 55% or more of their shots in their last game. They have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after playing a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points on their home court. Seton Hall beat North Texas by a 72-58 score in their previous game in the NIT — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after winning two straight games at home by double-digits. They have played 7 straight games Under the Total after winning two games in a row where they covered as the favorite. Additionally, they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with five or six days of rest. On the road, the Pirates score -9.7 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions.            

FINAL TAKE: Seton Hall has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when listed as the favorite or a pick ‘em. Georgia has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on a neutral court with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games in tournament settings. 25* CBB NIT Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Bulldogs (663) and the Seton Hall Pirates (664). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-31-24 NC State v. Duke UNDER 143.5 76-64 Win 100 1 h 16 m Show

At 5:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina State (657) and the Duke Blue Devils (658) in the Elite Eight round of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: North Carolina State (25-14) has won eight games in a row after their 67-58 upset win against Marquette as a 7.5-point underdog on Friday. Duke (27-8) has won six of their last eight games after their 54-51 upset win against Houston as a 4-point underdog on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the American Airlines Arena in Dallas, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The second half of Duke’s game with Houston was the second slowest second half in terms of tempo of the entire season in Division I college basketball. There is a clear trend of the Blue Devils’ head coach Job Scheyer to slow down his offense — especially when Duke has the lead. Not coincidentally, the slowest team on offense in the Mike Krzyzewski era as the Blue Devils head coach was in the 2009-10 campaign when Scheyer was the starting point guard for that team. After Duke’s final two losses in the regular season and the ACC Tournament to this Wolfpack team saw 71 and 70 possessions, their three games in the Big Dance have seen 60, 64, and 56 possessions. The Blue Devils averaged 66.5 adjusted possessions in the regular season — but that number has dropped to 63.7 adjusted possessions in their last ten games, ranking 344th in the nation. Duke has played 21 of their last 29 road games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 19 of their last 25 road games Under the Total after winning two games in a row. They have not allowed more than 55 points in this tournament — and they have then played 6 straight road games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in two or more games in a row. Head coach Job Scheyer has his team playing their best defense of the entire season right now. They have not allowed an opponent to generate an effective field goal percentage higher than 43.3%. Their three opponents in the Big Dance have an Adjusted Offensive Efficiency no higher than 85.2 — and Duke only had two better defensive games than that in terms of Adjusted Defensive Efficiency before this tournament started. Scheyer benefits from having faced the Wolfpack for the third time since March 4th — the two previous games against him should help inform how they should scheme against him. The Blue Devils have played 17 of their last 24 road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished under the Total. Duke has played 20 of their last 32 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total on a neutral court. NC State is also playing at a slower pace. After four of their five games in the ACC Tournament had at least 70 possessions (the exception being their game against Virginia who perennially play at one of the slowest paces in the nation), the Wolfpack have not played a game in the Big Dance with more than 69 possessions including their overtime win against Oakland. In their 12 games played on a neutral court, NC State is holding their opponents to -3.7 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions than what they give up at home. The Blue Devils make 48.0% of their shots this season — but the Wolfpack have played 5 straight Unders against teams who make at least 48.0% of their shots.  

FINAL TAKE: Duke has played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning record. And while the Blue Devils are outscoring their opponents by +13.0 PPG, the Volunteers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams outscoring their opponents by +12 or more PPG. 10* CBB NC State-Duke CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina State (657) and the Duke Blue Devils (658). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-30-24 Illinois v. Connecticut OVER 155 Top 52-77 Loss -110 1 h 49 m Show

At 6:09 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (651) and the Connecticut Huskies (652) in the Elite Eight round of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Illinois (29-8) has won seven straight games after their 72-69 upset victory against Iowa State as a 1.5-point underdog on Thursday. Connecticut (34-3) has won ten games in a row with their 82-52 victory against San Diego State as a 12-point favorite on Thursday. This game is being played on a neutral court at TD Garden Arena in Boston, Massachusetts.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Fighting Illini played their best game on defense in their last five contests by holding the Cyclones to just 39.7% shooting from the field. But defense is not a staple for this Illinois team that ranks 98th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. When playing away from home, they are still allowing +5.4 more points per 100 adjusted possessions — and that is the 316th worst drop in efficiency when compared to a team’s defensive efficiency when playing at home. They rank 129th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their 19 games away from home — and that is not simply a function of playing in hostile environments since they also rank 172nd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their eight games played on a neutral court. To make matters worse for head coach Brad Underwood, it is very difficult to prepare for Huskies’ head coach Dan Hurley’s complex offensive sets — especially with only one day to prepare. The Illini only made 42.1% of their shots against the tough Iowa State defense — and that was the worst shooting effort in their last five contests. The Fighting Illini are a powerhouse on that end of the court. They lead the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in their last ten games — and they also lead the nation in that metric when playing away from home. They score +12.3 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home which is the biggest jump in the nation. They make 47.6% of their shots including 36.4% of their 3-pointers resulting in 85.6 Points-Per-Game on the road which is +1.4 more PPG than their season average. But they allow their opponents to make 45.0% of their shots including 36.1% of their 3s resulting in 78.1 PPG which is +4.9 PPG above their season average. Illinois has played 22 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 17 of their last 23 games Over the Total after a point spread win. They have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral court. UConn made 46.2% of their shots on Thursday which was the worst shooting effort in their last three games. The Huskies are scoring 82.7 PPG in this Big Dance despite only making 30.6% of their 3-pointers. They make 36.2% of their 3s on the season while ranking number in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. When playing on the road, they fall to second in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, just behind the Illini. They outrebounded the Aztecs by a 50-29 margin — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after outrebounding their previous opponent by +20 or more boards. But the Huskies have played four straight Unders on the strength of their defense and they have not allowed more than 58 points in those four games. A few things about this Under trend. UConn has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in two or more games in a row — and they have played 14 of their last 22 games Over the Total after playing two or more Unders in a row. They have won all four of those games by at least 16 points — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after winning four or more games in a row by double-digits. They have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams who score 84 or more PPG. On the road, they are also giving up +5.4 more points per 100 adjusted possessions than when they are at home. The Huskies have a great roster but they probably lack the player who can slow down the Illini’s Terrence Shannon.

FINAL TAKE: UConn attempts 24 shots from behind the arc per game — and Illinois has played 13 of their last 14 games Over the Total against teams who take at least 21 shots from 3-point range per game. The Fighting Illini have played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total against winning teams — and they have played 15 of their last 19 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB Elite Eight Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (651) and the Connecticut Huskies (652). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-29-24 Creighton v. Tennessee UNDER 146.5 Top 75-82 Loss -110 2 h 55 m Show

At 10:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Blue Jays (641) and the Tennessee Volunteers (642) in the Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Creighton (25-9) has won five of their last six games after their 86-73 victory in double-overtime against Oregon as a 4-point favorite last Saturday. Tennessee (26-8) has won nine of their last 11 games after their 62-58 win against Texas as a 6.5-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played at the Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bluejays only made 38.7% of their shots against the Ducks last weekend — but they did convert on 15 of their 39 shots (38.5%) of their shots from 3-point range (many of them in the second double overtime period to ruin our Oregon play). Creighton lives and dies by their 3-point shooting — they rank seventh in the nation by taking 48.7% of their shots from behind the arc. Their reliance on 3s could spell trouble when facing this stout Volunteers defense that ranks 28th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 30.9% of their 3-pointers. The Bluejays score -10.7 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home — that discrepancy is the 352nd worst split in the nation. The problem for Creighton is they lack a Plan B if their 3s are not falling. They are dead last in the nation by forcing turnovers in 11.1% of their opponent’s possessions. They only rebound 26.2% of their missed shots, ranking 273rd in the nation. They are the only team left in the Big Dance that has a negative Shot Volume mark relative to what they surrender. But head coach Greg McDermott’s squad is a good defensive team that ranks 23rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Sacrificing offensive rebounding allows the Bluejays to get back on defense — and not going for turnovers limits the fouls they commit. They have the best defensive foul rate in the nation. They play great half-court defense by ranking 10th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 46.2%. The focus on defense is to get their opponent off the 3-point line — they rank sixth in the nation with their opponents only taking  27.6% of their shots from behind the arc. Made 3s consist of only 25.1% of their opponent’s points which is the 336th lowest mark. Creighton has played 12 of their last 15 games on the road Under the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game. They have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Tennessee has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up victory where they did not cover the point spread. This Volunteers team was supposed to be different and not offensively challenged given the emergence of Dalton Knecht. But Knecht and Zakai Zeigler combined to miss 14 of their 16 shots from behind the arc. These primary scorers may be feeling the pressure to compensate for the massive funk that Santiago Vescovi is mired in right now. After scoring 12.9 Points-Per-Game and making 39% of his 3-pointers in the previous two seasons, he limped into this tournament with a 3.3 PPG scoring average in his last seven games while making only 23% of their shots including just 4 of 22 (18.1%) of his shots from behind the arc. In his two NCAA Tournament games, Vescovi has only scored eight combined points with a 33.3% shooting percentage with only two made 3s in his seven attempts. His struggles are impacting the flow of the offense — not only did Tennessee only make 33.8% of their shots against the Longhorns, but they had more turnovers than assists. Creighton will give the Vols the midrange — but Knecht only connects on 39% of his midrange jumpers. Tennessee will rely on its defense that held Texas without a 3-pointer for 24 straight minutes on Saturday. The Volunteers rank third in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Their 44.1% opponent’s effective field goal percentage ranks fourth in the nation — and they hold their opponents to 44.1% shooting inside the arc. Tennessee has played 30 of their last 44 road games Under the Total when playing with five or six days of rest.

FINAL TAKE: Tennessee has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s including all four of their games played on a neutral court. 25* CBB Sweet 16 Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Blue Jays (641) and the Tennessee Volunteers (642). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-28-24 Illinois v. Iowa State OVER 145.5 72-69 Loss -115 1 h 15 m Show

At 10:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (631) and the Iowa State Cyclones (632) in the Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Illinois (28-8) has won six straight games and nine of their last ten contests after their 89-63 victory against Duquesne as a 10-point favorite on Saturday. Iowa State (29-7) has won five games in a row and nine of their last ten games after their 67-56 victory against Washington State as a 6.5-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cyclones outlasted the Cougars on Saturday despite only making 40.4% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. Despite that underwhelming performance, Iowa State is still making 47.8% of their shots in their last five games -- and they rank 40th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. And while the Cyclones rank second in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, they allow +7.5 more points per 100 adjusted possessions which is the 341st worst drop in that metric when compared to their home court split stats. Illinois has played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a straight-up win by ten or more points — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total after winning two or more games in a row. The Fighting Illini have played 18 of their last 23 games Over the Total after scoring 80 or more points. And in their last 22 games when playing for just the second time in seven days, they have played 18 of these games Over the Total. Furthermore, Illinois has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total on a neutral court with the Total set in the 140s.

FINAL TAKE: The Fighting Illini have played 21 of their 28 games this season Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 15 of their last 18 games after 15 games into this season Over the Total against teams with a winning record. 8* CBB Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout withOver the Total in the game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (631) and the Iowa State Cyclones (632). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-23-24 Washington State v. Iowa State UNDER 129 56-67 Win 100 1 h 35 m Show

At 6:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (799) and the Iowa State Cyclones (800) in the Round of 32 of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Washington State (25-9) has won two of their last three games after their 66-61 upset victory as a 1-point underdog on Thursday in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Iowa State (28-7) has won four straight games as well as eight of their last nine contests after their 82-65 victory against South Dakota State as a 15-point favorite on Thursday in their opening game in the Big Dance. This game is being played on a neutral court at the CHI Health Center in Omaha, Nebraska.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Washington State has now played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total on the road against teams outside the Pac-12 after their game with the Duquesne finished below the 138-point total. The Cougars have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in the last three days. They have also played 10 of their last 12 road games Under the Total when playing for the second time in seven days. They have also played 24 of their last 33 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. Washington State ranks 11th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. Iowa State is likely to get a visit from the Regression Gods after making 57.9% of their shots on Thursday which was the best shooting effort in their last 24 contests. The Cyclones have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. And while they have covered the point spread in four straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five games.

FINAL TAKE: Washington State has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and Iowa State has played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. 8* CBB Saturday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (799) and the Iowa State Cyclones (800). Best of luck for us — Frank.      

03-22-24 Texas A&M v. Nebraska OVER 146.5 98-83 Win 100 1 h 13 m Show

At 6:50 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (779) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (780) in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Texas A&M (20-14) was on a five-game winning streak before their 95-90 loss to Florida as a 2.5-point underdog in the Semifinals of the SEC Tournament on Saturday. Nebraska (23-10) had their three-game winning streak snapped in a 98-87 loss to Illinois as a 5-point underdog in the Semifinals of the Big Ten Tournament on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tennessee.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Texas A&M leads the nation in offensive rebounding by pulling down 42.0% of their missed shots. Crashing the glass travels — the Aggies score +5.8 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home. Texas A&M has played 8 straight Overs after scoring 85 or more points in their last game — and they have played 6 straight Overs after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest. They have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing a game where 165 or more combined points were scored. They have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. The Aggies have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total on the road against teams outside the SEC — and they have played 7 straight Overs when playing on a neutral court. Additionally, they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total as an underdog. Nebraska has played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss to a Big Ten rival. They have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest. Additionally, they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in seven days. And while the Cornhuskers have covered the point spread in seven of their last nine games, they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games.

FINAL TAKE: Nebraska has played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and Texas A&M has played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-80% range. 8* CBB Friday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (779) and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (780). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-21-24 Drake v. Washington State UNDER 138.5 Top 61-66 Win 100 2 h 11 m Show

At 10:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Drake Bulldogs (745) and the Washington State Cougars (746) in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Drake (28-6) has won five straight games as well as 10 of their last 11 contests after upsetting Indiana State in the Missouri Valley Conference Championship Game as a 3-point underdog on March 10th. Washington State (24-9) has lost two of their last three games after their 58-52 loss to Colorado as a 2-point underdog in the Semifinals of the Pac-12 Tournament on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the CHI Health Center in Omaha, Nebraska.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs nailed 51.7% of their shots in their upset victory against the Sycamores 11 days ago which was the best shooting effort in their last six games. With the extended layoff between games, their shooting may be rusty tonight — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game. They also allowed Indiana State to make 52.5% of their shots in that game which was the worst defensive effort in their last five contests — so head coach Darian DeVries will likely have his team tighten up on that end of the court. Drake struggled on the defensive end of the court in hostile environments where they had an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 103.9 — but their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in their seven games on neutral courts of 97.8 this season was in line with their 98.5 defensive efficiency clip when playing on their home court. The Bulldogs have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. And while they have played their last two games Over the Total, they have then played 5 straight Unders after playing two or more Overs in a row. Furthermore, Drake has covered the point spread in four straight games — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after playing two straight Unders and 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three or more games in a row. Drake scores -2.7 fewer Points-Per-Game when playing away from home — and they do not engage the things to increase their scoring opportunities if their shots are not falling. They only pull down 24.1% of their missed shots, ranking 314th in the nation. They force turnovers in just 17.4% of their opponent’s possessions, ranking 142nd. They rank 186th in getting to the free-throw line. The Bulldogs have not gotten great point guard play from sophomore Conor Enright or freshman Coby Colby who split time — it is why DeVries has resorted to deploying his son, Tucker, as a point forward. But that may not be effective against the outstanding half-court defense of the Cougars. Drake can’t get mired into being too reliant on outside shooting where they do make 35.8% of their shots from behind the arc when on the road. Washington State ranks 51st in the nation by holding their opponents to a 31.6% shooting clip from behind the arc when playing away from home — and they rank 16th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing away from home. Myles Rice is their only player who has the skills to create Despite their loss to the Buffaloes last week, they held them to just 43.1% shooting. They surrender -3.1 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home. But they also only score 69.7 PPG on the road which is -4.7 fewer PPG than their season average — and the -8.7 points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing on the road represents the 342nd worst drop in scoring efficiency when compared to their home numbers. Head coach Kyle Smith is going to slow this game to a crawl — the Cougars rank 315th in the nation with only 64.9 adjusted possessions per game. Washington State has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road after a point spread loss. And while the Bulldogs make 47.9% of their shots, the Cougars have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total against teams who make at least 45% of their shots.                                                                                            

FINAL TAKE: This game shapes up to be a rock fight given the lack of scoring options for both teams. Washington State has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 straight Unders against teams winning 80% or more of their games. The Cougars are outscoring their opponents by +7.4 Points-Per-Game — and Drake has played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +4.0 or more PPG. 25* CBB NCAA Tournament Round of 64 Total of the Year is with Under the Total in the game between the Drake Bulldogs (745) and the Washington State Cougars (746). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-19-24 Colorado State v. Virginia UNDER 121 Top 67-42 Win 100 5 h 2 m Show

At 9:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado State Rams (671) and the Virginia Cavaliers (672) in the First Four Round of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Colorado State (24-10) had their four-game winning streak snapped in a 74-61 loss to New Mexico as a 2.5-point underdog in the semifinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament on Saturday. Virginia (23-10) had won two games in a row before their 73-65 upset loss in overtime to North Carolina State as a 2.5-point favorite in the semifinals of the ACC Tournament on Friday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the University of Dayton Arena in Dayton, Ohio.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers tend to get into rock fight contests — especially against teams unfamiliar with their brand of the pack line defense. Virginia ranks seventh in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They also like to slow the pace of the game to a crawl. They rank 352nd in the nation by averaging 19.7 seconds per possession — and they rank 362nd in the nation by averaging 59.9 adjusted possessions per game. Head coach Tony Bennett has had his team slow things down even more lately. In the Cav’s last three games, they have averaged 21.0, 21.5, and 22.6 seconds per possession. For some context, Air Force was the slowest team in the nation averaging 20.5 seconds per possession — so Bennett has his team going even slower than that. Virginia has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. And while this is their third game since Thursday, they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing for the third time in the last seven days. On the road, the Cavaliers only make 40.5% of their shots resulting in 60.4 Points-Per-Game — and those marks are -2.9 % and -3.2 PPG below their season averages. Their lack of secondary scoring threats will present a problem for them tonight. They rank 225th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring -4.8 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions. Virginia has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams outside the ACC. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning record. Colorado State has played 8 straight Unders after winning four of their last five games. And while the Rams have only covered the point spread once in their last seven games, they have then played 4 straight Unders after failing to cover the point spread in four or more of their last five games. Colorado State is a good defensive team that ranked 38th in the nation and third in the Mountain West Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They hold their opponents to 42.9% shooting away from home resulting in 69.7 PPG — and they give up -1.4 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing on the road. But the Rams’ 46.4% shooting percentage and 72.4 PPG scoring mark away from home are 2.4% and -4.4 PPG below their season averages. They score -4.6 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions away from home. They rank 241st in the nation by making only 31.8% of their shots from behind the arc away from home — and their inability to make 3s will make solving the Virginia pack line defense very difficult. They are led by point guard Isaiah Stevens — but he has a difficult challenge tonight when he will be guarded by Reece Beekman who is a glove defensively. Colorado State has played 26 of their last 39 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 15 of their last 20 road games Under the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Colorado State has played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total when on a neutral court — and Virginia has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on a neutral court with the Total set no higher than 129.5. 25* CBB First Four NCAA Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado State Rams (671) and the Virginia Cavaliers (672). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-16-24 UTEP v. Western Kentucky UNDER 145 Top 71-78 Loss -110 0 h 22 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas-El Paso Miners (631) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (632) in the Championship Game of the Conference USA Tournament. THE SITUATION: UTEP (18-15) has won five straight games after their 65-63 upset win against Sam Houston State as a 5-point underdog yesterday afternoon. Western Kentucky (21-11) has won two games in a row after their 85-54 victory against Middle Tennessee as a 6-point favorite in their semifinal contest yesterday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Von Braun Center in Huntsville, Alabama.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: UTEP only made 43.7% of their shots yesterday — but they held the Bearkats to just 41.2% shooting while holding them to just 53 points. The Miners have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win against a Conference USA opponent — and they have played 3 of their 4 games Under the Total after a win by six points or less this season. They have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point-spread victory. And in their last 9 games played with one day or less of rest, they have played 6 of these games Under the Total. UTEP only makes 41.3% of their shots on the road resulting in just 65.5 Points-Per-Game — and those numbers are -3.7% and -7.2 PPG below their season averages. They rank 324th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency on the road — and they are scoring -4.1 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions on the road which is the 262nd worst drop in the country. But the Miners also rank 27th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road — and they are giving up -1.6 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home. A key dynamic for this contest is that UTEP leads the nation by forcing turnovers in 26.5% of their opponent’s possessions when playing on the road. The Hilltoppers play at the fastest pace in the nation — but the pressure the Miners present will slow down their attack. Western Kentucky ranks 262nd in the nation by turning the ball over in 18.2% of their possessions. UTEP has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total as an underdog. They have also played 4 of their last games Under the Total as an underdog of six points or less on a neutral court — and they have played 5 of their last 6 tournament games Under the Total. Western Kentucky wants to build off their strong defensive effort yesterday after limiting the Blue Raiders to just 31.0% shooting in their 31-point victory. The Hilltoppers have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a win by double-digits. And while they made 11 of their 22 shots from behind the arc yesterday, they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after making 50% or more of their 3-pointers. They have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game. Western Kentucky has scored 85 or more points in their two tournament games this week — but they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring 80 or more points in two or more games in a row. They have scored at least 79 points in five straight games — but they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring 75 or more points in four or more games in a row. The Hilltoppers’ fast pace makes Overs tempting when considering them but they only make 45.4% of their shots on the road resulting in 77.7 PPG — and those numbers are -1.4% and -3.0 PPG below their season averages. They are scoring -3.6 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing on the road. They are also giving up -4.9 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home. Western Kentucky has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total on a neutral court — and they have played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total on a neutral court as a favorite of up to six points.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular-season contests after Western Kentucky won on their home court by a 90-80 score on February 15th. The Miners have played 5 of their 6 opportunities to avenge an earlier loss this season Under the Total. They have also played 36 of their last 55 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss on the road. 25* CBB Conference USA Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Texas-El Paso Miners (631) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (632). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-15-24 Alabama A&M v. Texas Southern UNDER 136 Top 65-72 Loss -112 1 h 29 m Show

At 9:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Alabama A&M Bulldogs (306503) and the Texas Southern Tigers (306504) in the Semifinals of the Southwest Athletic Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Alabama A&M (12-21) has won three of their last four games after their 75-63 upset victory against Alcorn State as a 3-point underdog in the Quarterfinals of this tournament on Wednesday. Texas Southern (15-15) has won six of their last seven contests after their 72-62 victory as a 3-point favorite yesterday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Bartow Arena in Birmingham, Alabama.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Alabama A&M has pulled off two straight upsets relying on their defense. After holding Southern University to 37.2% shooting last Saturday in their 66-56 victory, they limited Alcorn State to just a 37.0% field goal percentage in their upset victory on Wednesday. The Bulldogs rank fourth in the SWAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they lead the conference with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 44.7%. Alabama A&M has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two or more games in a row. They have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games — and they have played 6 straight road games Under the Total after winning two of their last three contest. But the Bulldogs rank only 356th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing away from home. Granted, we are talking about a SWAC team in what is not one of the strongest conferences in the nation. But they rank just 10th in the SWAC on Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they fall to 11th in that metric when playing on the road. They are making only 40.6% of their shots on the road including just 25.8% of their 3-pointers resulting in only 66.4 Points-Per-Game. They are scoring -7.2 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home. But back to their defense which has held their last five opponents to 64.4 PPG from 39.7% shooting from the field — and those marks are -11.0 PPG and -2.7% below their season averages. They lead the SWAC by limiting their opponents to making only 41.7% of their shots inside the arc. SWAC opponents are making only 38.5% of their shots against them overall — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total in conference play. Furthermore, Alabama A&M has played 42 of their last 69 games Under the Total as an underdog. Texas Southern comes off their best defensive game of the season after limiting Jackson State to a 32.3% shooting percentage yesterday. While I often think that is a mark screaming out for the Regression Gods, in this instance I suspect it is reflective of the tough defense this team has embraced under head coach Johnny Jones as they enter the postseason. That game finished Under the 140.5-point total — and the Tigers have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after playing an Under in their previous game. Texas Southern is second in the SWAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they lead the conference in that metric when playing on the road. They also rank a very respectable 60th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 48.2%. The Tigers have played 12 of their last 15 road games Under the Total after a win against a conference rival — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a double-digit win. They have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games — and they have played 14 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after winning two of their last three. On the road, Texas Southern holds their opponents to -7.7 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions. But unfortunately for them, they also score -4.8 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions. They only make 39.3% of their shots including 29.1% of their 3-pointers away from home resulting in just 65.8 PPG — and those marks are -2.1% and -4.4 PPG below their season averages. Their last five-game scoring numbers are up — but that comes from three games on their home court where they scored at least 79 points in each game while generating 84.0 PPG. But in their last three games away from home, they have not scored more than 77 points. The Tigers have played 24 of their last 35 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 23 of their last 34 road games Under the Total in conference play.      

FINAL TAKE: Texas Southern won the only previous meeting between these teams this season in an 85-69 victory at home. The Bulldogs have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. 25* CBB Southwest Athletic Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Alabama A&M Bulldogs (306503) and the Texas Southern Tigers (306504). Best of luck for us — Frank. 

03-13-24 Fresno State v. Wyoming UNDER 138.5 77-73 Loss -110 0 h 8 m Show

At 2:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Fresno State Bulldogs (665) and the Wyoming Cowboys (666) in the first round of the Mountain West Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Fresno State (11-20) has lost seven games in a row after their 86-47 upset loss to this Wyoming team as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. Wyoming (15-16) snapped a four-game losing streak with that victory. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs allowed the Cowboys to make 57.4% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games and second-worst of their entire season. After losing by 39 points just four days ago, head coach Justin Hutson will make sure his team plays harder in this rematch. Fresno State has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make 55% or more of their shots. But Hutson may not be able to do much to help the Bulldogs improve on their dreadful 28.6% shooting in that game (other than pray to the Regression Gods). They rank 279th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they have scored only 95 combined points in their last two games. Fresno State has played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 60 points in their last game — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 60 points in two or more games in a row. The Bulldogs have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss to a Mountain West Conference rival — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss by 15 or more points. Wyoming certainly overachieved in the shooting department in that contest — it was their best shooting mark in their last 30 games going back to their season opener. Now playing away from Laramie, they only make 43.6% of their shots when on the road. Head coach Jeff Linder loved the defensive performance from his team — and the Cowboys have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing their previous opponent to make more than 33% of their shots.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams may need to knock some of the cobwebs loose with this being a local tip-off time at 11 AM PT. Wyoming has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total on a neutral court. Fresno State has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the neutral court as an underdog or pick ‘em. Wyoming has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total on a neutral court. The Bulldogs have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they gave up 75 or more points. 10* CBB Wednesday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Fresno State Bulldogs (665) and the Wyoming Cowboys (666). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-12-24 New Hampshire v. Vermont UNDER 137.5 59-66 Win 100 0 h 14 m Show

At 5:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Hampshire Wildcats (306527) and the Vermont Catamounts (306528) in the Semifinals of the America East Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: New Hampshire (16-14) snapped their four-game losing streak with a 77-64 victory against Binghamton as a 3.5-point favorite in the Quarterfinals of this event on Saturday. Vermont (26-6) has won eight straight games after their 75-72 victory against Albany as a 16-point favorite in their Quarterfinals contest in this tournament on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats made 44.4% of their shots on Saturday which was the best shooting mark in their last five contests. But New Hampshire has then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread win. They have played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total on the road after a win on their home court. And in their last 17 games after losing four of their last five games, they have played 14 of those games Under the Total. Now they go back on the road where they are making only 40.4% of their shots including just 32.8% of their 3-pointers resulting in 72.1 Points-Per-Game (due their fast pace). They do hold their home hosts to 44.6% shooting and a 29.9% clip from behind the arc. New Hampshire has played 11 of their last 17 games on the road Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. Now they face a Catamounts team that leads the America East in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Vermont ranks 35th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 45.6% when playing at home. They also rank 13th in the nation on their home court by limiting their opponents to pulling down 22.6% of their missed shots — and they rank fifth in the nation in putting their opponents on the free throw line on their home court. Albany made 46.6% of their shots against them on Saturday which was the Catamounts' worst defensive performance in their last four games. Vermont has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home against a conference rival. They have also played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in seven days. They stay at home where they are holding their opponents to just 39.3% shooting including a 31.3% mark from behind the arc resulting in just 58.5 PPG. And while they do score +1.4 more PPG when playing at home, that is nullified by the -4.7 fewer PPG they give up when it comes to this Under play. The Catamounts have played 7 of their last 8  home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s.

FINAL TAKE: New Hampshire plays at the 18th fastest rate in the country — but they have seen -0.6 fewer adjusted possessions per game in their last ten contests. But now they play this Vermont team that loves to slow games down to a crawl. The Catamounts rank 326th in the nation by averaging 18.9 seconds per possession — and they rank 350th in the nation by averaging 63.4 adjusted possessions per game. Vermont has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 10* CBB Tuesday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New Hampshire Wildcats (306527) and the Vermont Catamounts (306528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-11-24 San Francisco v. Gonzaga UNDER 150.5 Top 77-89 Loss -109 4 h 38 m Show

At 11:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Dons (873) and the Gonzaga Bulldogs (874) in the Semifinals of the West Coast Conference. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (23-9) snapped their two-game losing streak with a 72-51 victory against Portland as a 16-point favorite in the Quarterfinals of this tournament on Saturday. Gonzaga (24-6) has won eight straight games after their 70-57 upset victory at Saint Mary’s as a 3.5-point underdog on March 2nd. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Dons made 52.8% of their shots on Saturday which was the best shooting effort in their last three games. They stepped up their play on defense by holding the Pilots to just 32.7% shooting — and they have played 21 of their last 27 road games Under the Total after not allowing more than 55% of their shots in their last contest. Additionally, San Francisco has played 11 of their last 12 road games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points against a West Coast Conference rival. They have played 12 of their last 15 road games Under the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. And they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. They are making 45.7% of their shots on the road resulting in 71.5 Points-Per-Game — and those numbers are -3.3% and -8.4 PPG below their season averages. They are scoring -4.9 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing in those road games. But on the other end of the court, they are holding their opponents to just 42.2% shooting with a 32.2% clip from behind the arc resulting in 66.9 PPG. The Dons rank 33rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they improve to the eighth-best defense in the nation in that metric when playing away from home. They have an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 42.2% on the road ranking 21st in the nation — and they are giving up -8.0 fewer points per 100 adjusted possessions on the road. San Francisco has played 23 of their last 33 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Gonzaga made 51.7% of their shots against the Gaels which was the worst shooting effort in their alt three games — but they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after making at least 50% of their shots in two or more games in a row. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. They have won six straight games by 13 or more points — and they have then played 6 straight road games Under the Total after winning two or more games in a row by 10 or more points. And in their last 13 games on the road after winning four or more games in a row, they have then played 11 of these games Under the Total. The Bulldogs are scoring 80.3 PPG away from home with a 49.6% field goal percentage — but those numbers are still -5.3 PPG and -2.3% below their season averages. They hold their opponents to 42.7% shooting and 69.9 PPG on the road — and they are giving up -3.9 fewer points per 100 possessions on the road. They rank 19th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on the road. Interestingly, head coach Mark Few has his team playing at a slower pace lately — they are averaging 1.3 fewer possessions per game in their last ten games. The Dons are outscoring their opponents by +12.3 PPG — and Gonzaga has played 7 straight Unders against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +12.0 more PPG.

FINAL TAKE: San Francisco has played 16 of their last 20 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games on a neutral court with the Total set in the 150s. Gonzaga has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on a neutral court with the Total set in the 150s. 25* CBB West Coast Conference Tournament Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Dons (873) and the Gonzaga Bulldogs (874). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-09-24 Arizona v. USC OVER 161.5 Top 65-78 Loss -110 2 h 45 m Show

At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Arizona Wildcats (727) and the USC Trojans (728). THE SITUATION: Arizona (88-65) has won four games in a row as well as 10 of their last 11 contests after their 88-65 victory as a 9.5-point favorite as a 9.5-point favorite on Thursday. USC (13-17) has won two games in a row after their 81-73 victory as a 9.5-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats made 51.9% of their shots against the Bruins which was actually the worst shooting effort in their last three games. They are making 51.8% of their shots in their last five contests. Arizona ranks sixth in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring 90.3 Points-Per-Game. They have scored 85 or more points in four straight games as well as nine of their last 11 contests. But they have also allowed 75 or more points in five of their last eight contests as well. They play at a very fast pace — they average only 15.1 seconds per possession which is the eighth quickest mark in the nation. The Wildcats have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road after a straight-up win against a Pac-12 rival — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit win on the road. They have also played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after a win on the road where they scored 85 or more points. Furthermore, they have played 14 of their last 19 road games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. And while this is just their second game since February 28th, they have then played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in seven days. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with just one day of rest. Arizona stays on the road where they rank third in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are scoring +4.0 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing away from home. But they are also giving up 80.6 PPG on the road — and the +8.6 points per 100 adjusted possessions they are giving up away from home represents the 342nd biggest jump in the nation. The Wildcats have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 19 of their last 28 road games when favored or a pick ‘em. They have also played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. USC has played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. The Trojans have scored 163 combined points in their last two games — and they are making 48.6% of their shots in their last five contests resulting in 77.8 PPG. But they have allowed three of their last five opponents to make at least 50% of their shots after the Sun Devils enjoyed a 50% shooting clip against them on Thursday. USC has played 23 of their last 34 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a victory against a Pac-12 rival. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games.  They stay at home where they are scoring +3.4 more points per 100 adjusted possessions. But the Trojans rank 10th in the Pac-12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have played 9 of their last 14 home games Over the Total on their home court. USC has also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as a dog or as a pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: Arizona won the first meeting on January 17th by an 82-67 score as a 20.5-point favorite — and the Trojans have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when avenging a same-season loss on the road. 25* CBB Pac-12 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Arizona Wildcats (727) and the USC Trojans (728). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-09-24 Rhode Island v. Fordham OVER 146.5 Top 58-50 Loss -110 2 h 43 m Show

At 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Rhode Island Rams (613) and the Fordham Rams (614). THE SITUATION: Rhode Island (11-19) has lost seven games in a row after their 69-57 loss at home to George Mason as a 4-point underdog on Wednesday. Fordham (12-18) has lost two games in a row as well as six of their last eight contests after a 66-64 loss at Massachusetts as a 9.5-point underdog on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Rhode Island made only 29.4% of their shots on Wednesday in what was the worst shooting performance of their season. That game finished well Under the 142.5-point total — but these Rams have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after losing five or more games in a row. And while they have not covered the point spread in six straight games, they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not covering the point spread in three or more games in a row. Rhode Island has let their last five opponents make 50.5% of their shots resulting in 84.0 Points-Per-Game. They go back on the road where they rank 337th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are allowing their opponents to make 48.8% of their shots and 37.3% of their 3-pointers when on the road resulting in 81.9 PPG. They are surrendering +5.6 more points per 100 adjusted possessions on the road — but they are also scoring +1.2 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when away from home as well. They rank 35th in the nation by making 37.6% of their 3-pointers when away from home — and Fordham allows their guests to make 40.7% of their shots from behind the arc when playing at home, ranking 359th in the nation. Rhode Island has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. They have also played 5 straight road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Rhode Island should also get plenty of points from the charity stripe as they lead the Atlantic 10 in free throw rate — and Fordham is last in the conference in putting their opponent on the line. Fordham has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. And while they have covered the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. Their loss against the Minutemen on Wednesday finished Under the 143-point Total — but they have then played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. Fordham ranks 10th in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they return home where they rank 222nd in the nation in that metric. They allow their opponents to guests to make 46.0% of their shots resulting in 73.7 PPG — and they are giving up +9.5 more points per 100 adjusted possessions on their home court. They are also scoring +3.6 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing at home. The hosting Rams have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total when favored. Furthermore, they have played 4 straight Overs at home when playing 6.5 to 12 points.

FINAL TAKE: Fordham won the first meeting between these two teams by a 71-68 score as a 2.5-point underdog on January 24th — and Rhode Island has played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 25* CBB Atlantic 10 Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Rhode Island Rams (613) and the Fordham Rams (614). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-08-24 Pepperdine v. San Diego OVER 153.5 52-57 Loss -110 0 h 15 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pepperdine Wave (891) and the San Diego Toreros (892) in the second round of the West Coast Conference Tournament. THE SITUATION: Pepperdine (13-19) snapped their two-game losing streak in a 102-43 thrashing of Pacific as a 10-point favorite yesterday. San Diego (17-14) ended their three-game losing streak with an 81-69 victory as a 10.5-point favorite last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wave held the Tigers to just 25.0% shooting yesterday which was the best defensive effort all season. Pepperdine has played 6 straight road games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road after losing two of their last three games. That final score finished below the 151-point total — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total on the road after playing an Under in their last contest. They have also played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last contest. The Wave is nailing 51.8% of their shots in their last five games resulting in 81.4 Points-Per-Game. They stay on the road where they are scoring +3.7 more points per 100 adjusted possessions. But Pepperdine is also allowing their opponents to score +6.0 points per 100 adjusted possessions on the road. They are giving up 52.2% shooting including a 45.8% mark from behind on the arc say from home resulting in 82.1 Points-Per-Game. Those marks represent +7.5 and +3.6% higher marks than their season average. The Wave have played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. San Diego held the Tigers to 44.0% shooting last week which was the best defensive effort in their last four contest. The Toreros have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. They have also played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. They go back on the road where they are scoring +2.3 more points per 100 adjusted possessions. On the other end of the court, they are giving up +1.6 more points per 100 adjusted possessions away from home. They are allowing these opponents to make 49.5% of their shots including 37.2% of their shots from behind the arc resulting in 82.3 PPG. Those marks are +5.1 and +3.7% higher than their season average. San Diego has played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: The Toreros won the last meeting between these two teams by a 69-67 score as a 7.5-point underdog on January 27th — and the Wave have played 23 of their last 33 games Over the Total when avenging a loss by three points or less. 10* CBB Friday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Pepperdine Wave (891) and the San Diego Toreros (892). Best of luck for us — Frank. 

03-07-24 Navy v. Boston University OVER 132.5 61-70 Loss -115 0 h 5 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Navy Midshipmen (306575) and the Boston University Terriers (306576) in the Quarterfinals of the Patriot League Tournament. THE SITUATION: Navy (13-17) has won five games in a row after their 64-48 victory against Loyola-Maryland as a 6.5-point favorite in the first round of this tournament on Tuesday. Boston University (15-16) has won five games in a row as well after their 94-84 victory against Holy Cross as a 9-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Midshipmen held the Greyhounds to just 27.0% shooting from the field on Tuesday which was the best defensive effort in their last 27 games. But Navy has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing no more than 60 points in their last game — and they have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing a game where no more than 125 combined points were scored. They have also played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after holding their previous opponent to no better than 33% shooting. They have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. Now the Midshipmen hit the road against where they are allowing their opponents to make 46.5% of their shots resulting in 71.9 Points-Per-Game — and those numbers are +3.2% and +5.3 PPG above their season averages. They are allowing +6.7 points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing in hostile environments, the 308th worst drop in the nation. They are also scoring +1.1 points per 100 adjusted possessions in true road games. Navy has played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total as an underdog. Boston has played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a win in conference play — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a double-digit win at home. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning four or more games in a row. The Terriers stay at home where they rank 343rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are giving up +15.0 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing at home — the 362nd worst decline in the nation. Boston’s guests are scoring 69.9 PPG which is +3.7 more PPG than what they give up overall. They are also scoring +12.0 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing at home. The 72.3 PPG they score at home is +6.3 more PPG than their season average. The Terriers have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 130s.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two regular season games but the Terriers won the last meeting by a 74-65 score as a 3.5-point home favorite on February 17th. Navy has played 5 of their 8 opportunities for revenge this season Over the Total. 10* CBB Thursday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between Navy Midshipmen (306575) and the Boston University Terriers (306576). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-06-24 Utah State v. San Jose State OVER 144.5 Top 90-70 Win 100 2 h 25 m Show

At 9:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Utah State Aggies (713) and the San Jose State Spartans (714). THE SITUATION: Utah State (24-5) has won three games in a row and five of their last six after their 72-60 victory against Air Force as a 17.5-point favorite on Friday. San Jose State (9-21) has lost five games in a row after their 68-50 loss at UNLV as a 13.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Aggies rank 11th in the nation by making 57.5% of their shots inside the arc — and they lead the Mountain West Conference with an effective field goal percentage of 54.8%. Utah State has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a win in conference play — and they have played 22 of their last 33 games Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 8 straight Overs after a win at home by 10 or more points. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after allowing 60 or more points in their last game. They go back on the road where they are scoring 76.4 Points-Per-Game while giving up 72.5 PPG. They rank second in the MWC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency but sit just eighth in the conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road. They are scoring +2.6 points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing on the road — and they are giving up +8.5 points per 100 adjusted possessions when on the road in hostile environments. The Aggies have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 14 of their last 16 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. They have also played 6 straight Overs on the road as the favorite or as a pick ‘em. San Jose State has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss on the road. They have also played 4 straight Overs after a loss where they did not score more than 60 points — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after failing to score more than 55 points in their last game. And while their loss to the Runnin’ Rebels finished Under the 138.5-point total, they have then played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. The Spartans return home where they are nailing 47.8% of their shots resulting in 76.1 PPG — and those marks represent a +6.2 PPG and a +3.1% bump over their season averages. But they are also allowing their guests to make 47.4% of their shots including 39.4% of their 3-pointers resulting in 76.9 PPG which is +2.2 PPG higher than their season defensive average. San Jose State scores +8.1 points per 100 adjusted possessions when at home which ranks 29th in the nation in the biggest jump. They also allow +4.6 more points per 100 adjusted possessions when playing at home, ranking 307th worst in the country. The Spartans have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when at home — and they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as an underdog or as a pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: San Jose State is one of the worst defensive teams in the nation as they rank 281st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They also rank 331st in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 53.8% which does not bode well against a great shooting team like the Aggies. Utah State made 60% of their shots including a 6 of 12 mark from behind the arc en route to their 82-61 victory against the Spartans at home on January 30th — and San Jose State has played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. 25* CBB Mountain West Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Utah State Aggies (713) and the San Jose State Spartans (714). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-05-24 Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State OVER 145.5 75-58 Loss -110 0 h 8 m Show

At 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (635) and the Oklahoma State Cowboys (636). THE SITUATION: Texas Tech (20-9) snapped their two-game winning streak with an 81-70 victory as a 2.5-point favorite on Sunday. Oklahoma State (12-17) has lost three games in a row with their 81-65 loss at Texas as a 10-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Red Raiders rank 20th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they are 12th in the Big 12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have played 23 of their last 35 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total after a point spread win. And while their game with the Mountaineers finished just Under the 151.5-point total, Texas Tech has played 10 straight Over on the road after playing an Under in their last game. They stay on the road where they are making 46.2% of their shots including 39.1% of their 3-pointers resulting in 74.5 Points-Per-Game. But the Red Raiders are allowing their opponents to make 46.1% of their shots including 38.6% of their 3-pointers resulting in 76.0 PPG. Texas Tech has covered the point spread in 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Oklahoma State (12-17) has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last game. They return home where they are making 47.3% of their shots including 37.1% of their 3-pointers resulting in 76.9 PPG. They are scoring +5.1 PPG and making +2.7% of their shots at home. The Cowboys have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total on their home court. They have also played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma State wants to avenge a 90-73 loss to the Red Raiders as a 7.5-point underdog on January 9th — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Tuesday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (635) and the Oklahoma State Cowboys (636). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-03-24 Iona v. Marist UNDER 133 71-64 Loss -110 0 h 16 m Show

At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Iona Gaels (833) and the Marist Red Foxes (834). THE SITUATION: Iona (13-15) has lost four games in a row after their 82-64 upset loss to Quinnipiac as a 3.5-point favorite on Thursday. Marist (16-10) won for the sixth time in their last seven games in a 58-55 upset victory against Fairfield as a 1.5-point underdog on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Gaels are only making 38.6% of their shots in their last five games resulting in 66.0 Points-Per-Game — and those marks are -4.4% and 6.6 PPG below their season average. This slumping Iona team has not scored more than 65 points in three of their last four games. The Gaels have played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total on the road after a loss by double-digits to a Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference rival. And while they have suffered upset losses in two straight games, they have then played 29 of their last 44 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row to a conference opponent. They have not covered the point spread in six straight games — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. They go back on the road where they rank 242nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing in hostile environments. But Iona does play better on the other end of the court when playing in true road games. They rank 86th in the nation in the Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing in hostile environments — and the adjusted -7.3 points per 100 possessions they give up in hostile environments represents the 16th improvement in the nation. The Gaels have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. Marist has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. The Red Foxes made 40.4% of their shots on Thursday which was the best shooting mark in their last three games. Marist has not scored more than 60 points in three straight games — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 60 points in two or more games in a row. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total at home after not scoring more than 60 points in their last game. But the Red Foxes are playing outstanding defense right now. They have held five of their last seven opponents to no more than 55 points — and their last five opponents are only making 37.0% of their shots resulting in 58.2 PPG. They held the Stags to just 28.3% shooting on Thursday — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 60 points in their last game. Additionally, Marist has played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up victory on their home court. The Red Foxes lead the MAAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they stay at home this afternoon where they hold their guests to just 37.3% shooting and a 30.1% clip from behind the arc resulting in 57.6 PPG. They are only scoring 65.5 PPG from a 44.4% shooting percentage when playing at home. Marist has played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total when favored by 3.5 to 6 points.

FINAL TAKE: Marist won the first meeting between these two teams by a 68-64 score back on November 29th despite being a 7.5-point underdog. Iona has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with revenge. 10* CBB Sunday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Iona Gaels (833) and the Marist Red Foxes (834). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-02-24 Texas Tech v. West Virginia OVER 151 81-70 Push 0 0 h 29 m Show

At 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (721) and the West Virginia Mountaineers (722). THE SITUATION: Texas Tech (19-9) has lost three of their last four games after their 81-69 upset loss at home against Texas as a 3.5-point favorite on Tuesday. West Virginia (9-19) has lost six of their last seven contests after their 94-90 loss in overtime at Kansas State as a 9.5-point underdog on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Red Raiders only made 35.6% of their shots against the Longhorns which was the worst shooting effort of their season. Texas Tech has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss to a Big 12 rival. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last game. And in their last 22 games when playing for just the second time in seven days, they have played 16 of those games Over the Total. The Red Raiders go back on the road where they rank 22nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency in true road games. They are making 46.1% of their shots in hostile environments resulting in 74.0 Points-Per-Game — and they rank fifth in the nation by making 41.0% of their shots in true road games. Their effective field goal percentage of 56.6% in hostile environments ranks fourth best in the nation. But Texas Tech’s play on defense is faltering. They rank 77th in the nation and 12th in the Big 12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have allowed their last five opponents to score 73.8 PPG which is +4.4 PPG above their season average. On the road, they are allowing their home hosts to make 45.8% of their shots including 41.4% of their 3-pointers, ranking 355th worst in the nation. Overall, the Red Raiders are giving up 76.5 PPG in true road games — and they rank 215th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in hostile environments. West Virginia made only 39.0% of their shots against the Wildcats which was the worst shooting effort in their last four contests. The Mountaineers have then played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a loss to a Big 12 rival — and they have played 26 of their last 38 games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. This team also struggles on the defensive end of the court. They are last in the Big 12 and 131st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are allowing 81.4 PPG in their last five games which is +6.3 PPG above their season average. But they are also scoring 75.4 PPG in those previous five games — and that mark is +6.0 PPG above their season average. West Virginia returns home where they have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total. They have also played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total at home as an underdog or as a pick ‘em. The Mountaineers rank 40th in the nation in getting to the free throw line when playing at home — and the 72.2 PPG they are scoring at home is +2.8 PPG above their season average.

FINAL TAKE: West Virginia has played 11 of their last 14 home games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning record. Texas Tech has played 25 of their last 36 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 10* CBB Saturday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (721) and the West Virginia Mountaineers (722). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-02-24 North Carolina-Asheville v. Radford OVER 147.5 Top 71-62 Loss -109 4 h 52 m Show

At 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Asheville Bulldogs (306581) and the Radford Highlanders (306582). THE SITUATION: UNC-Asheville (19-11) saw their five-game winning streak snapped in a 78-77 upset loss at home against Gardner-Webb as a 5.5-point favorite last Saturday. Radford (15-15) had their two-game winning streak end in a 58-57 upset loss at Charleston Southern as a 5.5-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs made 50% of their shots in their loss last week which was actually the worst shooting effort in their last three games. UNC-Asheville has played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss at home. They have also played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after an upset loss — and they have played 5 straight Overs after an upset loss to a Big South rival. And while that game with Gardner-Webb finished Over the 1553.5-point total, they have then played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after playing an Over in their last contest. The Bulldogs lead the Big South with an effective field goal percentage of 55.9% — and they rank 22nd in the nation by making 37.5% of their 3-pointers. They also rank 11th in the nation in getting to the free throw line. Now they go back on the road where they are scoring 75.9 Points-Per-Game -- fueled by the sixth-best free throw rate when playing in hostile environments. They also rank 47th in the nation by making 37.0% of their shots from behind the arc when on the road. But UNC-Asheville ranks 208th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they plummet to 307th in that nation in that metric when playing on the road in hostile environments. The adjusted +8.3 points per 100 possessions they allow in hostile environments represents the 339th worst spike in the country. They are giving up 78.8 PPG in those games. The Bulldogs have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total as an underdog or a pick ‘em. The Highlanders make 46.5% of their shots — and UNC-Asheville has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams making 45% or more of their shots. Radford made only 41.8% of their shots on Wednesday in what was the worst shooting effort in their last seven contests. They still rank third in the Big South in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are still making 49.3% of their shots in their last five games. More surprisingly, they held Charleston Southern to 35.9% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last eight contests. The Highlanders rank 312th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while ranking last in the Big South in that category. Radford has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss by three points or less — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road. They have only covered the point spread twice in their last eight games — and they have played 8 straight Overs after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight games. They return home where they are scoring 76.2 PPG on 49.5% shooting — and those marks are +3.4 PPG and +3.0% above their season average. The Highlanders rank 14th in the nation by making 41.2% of their shots from behind the arc when playing on their home court. But they also rank 323rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing at home — and the +5.4 adjusted points per 100 possessions they allow represents the 318th biggest jump when assessing home court play. Radford has played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as a favorite of three points or less or as a pick ‘em. They have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And while the Bulldogs average eight made 3s per game, the Highlanders have played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total against teams who make eight or more 3s per game.

FINAL TAKE: Radford has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. They have also played 6 straight Overs when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. UNC-Asheville has played 10 of their last 15 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. They have also played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total on the road with the Total set in the 140s. 25* CBB Big South Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Asheville Bulldogs (306581) and the Radford Highlanders (306582). Best of luck for us — Frank.

03-01-24 Old Dominion v. Georgia Southern OVER 152.5 Top 75-92 Win 100 1 h 41 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Old Dominion Monarchs (861) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (862). THE SITUATION: Old Dominion (7-23) has lost seven of their last eight games after their 89-64 loss at Appalachian State as a 14.5-point underdog on  Wednesday. Georgia Southern (7-23) has won two of their last three games after their 87-73 victory as a 1.5-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Old Dominion plays at a fast pace — they rank 57th in the nation in Adjusted Possessions per Game while ranking 46th in their Average Possession Length. They have been playing even quicker in conference play as they lead the Sun Belt with 72.5 Adjusted Possessions per Game while averaging 16.2 Seconds per Possession. The Monarchs have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road. They have also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games on the road Over the Total after a point spread loss. They stay on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em. Old Dominion ranks 214th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they drop to ranking 312th in the nation in that metric when playing in hostile environments. Furthermore, they rank 233rd in the nation in their drop in Adjusted Net Defensive Efficiency when playing in hostile environments. They are allowing their home hosts to make 46.3% of their shots resulting in 82.5 Points-Per-Game — and they are scoring 73.2 PPG in those road games. The Monarchs’ Adjusted Offensive Efficiency rises by 5.5 points when they are playing in hostile environments — and that bump ranks as the 38th biggest jump in the nation. Old Dominion has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams winning 20-40% of their games. Georgia Southern played their best defensive game in their last nine contests by holding the Thundering Herd to 73 points. The Eagles rank 342nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But by making 56.9% of their shots in that game on Wednesday, they made at least 50.9% of their shots for the third time in their last four games. Georgia Southern has scored at least 80 points in three of their last four games. They are making 48.2% of their shots in their last five contests resulting in 80.0 PPG. They have played 35 of their last 54 home games Over the Total after scoring at least 85 points in their last game. They have played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total after a win against a Sun Belt Conference rival — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games over the Total after a victory by ten or more points. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. They stay at home where they are making 47.1% of their shots including 41.0% of their 3-pointers resulting in 76.5 PPG. They are scoring +11.2 more points per 100 possessions when playing at home — and that rise in efficiency is the sixth largest for home courts in the nation. Georgia Southern has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total on their home court — and they have played 10 of their last 14 home games Over the Total as a favorite of up to six points or as a pick ‘em.   

FINAL TAKE: Old Dominion only makes 41.9% of their shots but they average 62 shot attempts per game. The Eagles have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams who average at least 62 shots per game — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams who are not making more than 42% of their shots. 25* CBB Sun Belt Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Old Dominion Monarchs (861) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (862). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-29-24 Towson v. North Carolina A&T UNDER 132.5 Top 84-58 Loss -110 0 h 28 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Towson Tigers (779) and the North Carolina A&T Aggies (780). THE SITUATION: Towson (17-12) has lost two of their last three games after their 72-56 loss to the College of Charleston as a 1.5-point underdog on Saturday. North Carolina A&T (7-22) has lost seven straight games after their 83-67 loss at Monmouth as an 11-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Tigers allowed the Cougars to nail 54.3% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last five games — and the 72 points they gave up was the most they had allowed in five straight contests. Towson still leads the Colonial Athletic Association in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have still held their last five opponents to just 40.2% shooting from the field resulting in only 61.4 Points-Per-Game. The Tigers should tighten things up on defense tonight — they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a loss by double-digits and they have played 4 straight Unders after a loss by 15 or more points. But Towson can struggle to score points. They rank 227th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they are just eighth in the conference in that category. They go back on the road where they are only making 38.4% of their shots resulting in just 62.3 PPG. The Tigers have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total when favored by double-digits. UNC A&T only made 28.3% of their shots on Saturday — but that was only their second-lowest field goal percentage in their last five games in a span where they have not shot better than 38.2% from the field. In their last five games, the Aggies are making only 32.4% of their shots resulting in just 57.6 PPG. They are last in the Colonial Athletic Association and 323rd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. The 67 points they scored was their highest total in their last nine contests. UNC A&T has then played 10 of their last 11 home games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. They have also played 10 of their last 12 games at home Under the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after losing six or seven of their last eight contests. They return home where they are holding their opponents to 45.1% shooting resulting in 68.5 PPG — and those marks are -3.2% and -9.7 PPG lower than their season averages. The Aggies have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: Neither of these teams can shoot the basketball. Towson ranks 314th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage (eFG) of 46.7% and UNC A&T ranks 355th with an eFG of 44.2%. The Tigers have played 16 of their last 22 road games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s — and the Aggies have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. 25* CBB Colonial Athletic Association Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Towson Tigers (779) and the North Carolina A&T Aggies (780). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-27-24 Pittsburgh v. Clemson OVER 141 Top 62-69 Loss -110 3 h 32 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Panthers (631) and the Clemson Tigers (632). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (18-9) has won six of their last seven games after their 79-64 victory at Virginia Tech as a 3-point favorite on Saturday. Clemson (19-8) has won five of their last six games with their 74-63 win against Florida State as a 10-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Panthers held the Hokies to just 40.7% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last five games. But Pittsburgh is vulnerable on the defensive end of the court — especially in the interior where they rank 13th in the ACC by allowing their opponents to make 53.3% of their 2-point shots. And in their true road games, they allow their home hosts to make 56.3% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 329th in the nation.  The Tigers' big man P.J. Hall should have a big night — he is scoring 18.7 Points-Per-Game while making more than 68% of his shots in the paint. Clemson ranks 38th in the nation by making 54.4% of their shots inside the arc. The Panthers have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a double-digit win at home. They have also played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a win by 15 or more points on their home court. Additionally, while Pitt has covered the point spread in five of their last six games, they have then played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. And while they have won eight of their last ten games, they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after winning at least eight of their last ten games. The Panthers rank just eighth in the ACC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have allowed their last five opponents to make 48.3% of their shots. But Pitt can put up points as they take advantage of most of their possessions and launch tons of 3s. They rank 18th in the nation by turning the ball over in just 14.2% of their possessions. They also rank 25th in the nation by taking 45.0% of their shots from behind the arc. On the road, they are scoring 72.9 PPG — and they rank 14th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing in hostile environments. They are scoring +9.1 more points per 100 possessions when playing on the road when compared to their Adjusted Offensive Efficiency when playing at home. The Panthers have played 6 of their last 9 games on the road Over the Total. And while the Tigers hold their opponents to 41.4% shooting, Pitt has played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total against teams who hold their opponents to no higher than 42% shooting from the field. Clemson held the Seminoles to just 36.9% shooting on Saturday on the heels of limiting Georgia Tech to a 30.2% field goal percentage last Wednesday — but they have then played 6 straight Overs after holding their last two opponents to no higher than 37% shooting. They only made 44.0% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last five contests. But the Tigers are still making 49.8% of their shots in their also five games — and they rank 18th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Clemson has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 7 straight Overs after a double-digit win at home. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. And while they have played two straight games Under the Total, they have then played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after playing two or more Unders in a row. They return home where they are allowing +1.9 more points per possession per 100 possessions in adjusted numbers — and that number ranks 245th in the largest home/road discrepancy. They are scoring 80.3 PPG at home — and they have played 12 of their last 19 home games over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Additionally, Clemson has played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total in February. And while the Panthers are outscoring their opponents by +6.0 PPG, the Tigers have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams outscoring their opponents by +4.0 or more PPG.

FINAL TAKE: Pittsburgh looks to avenge a 79-70 upset loss at home to Clemson as a 4.5-point underdog back on December 3rd — and they have played 5 of their last 6 opportunities for revenge Over the Total. The Panthers have also played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home to their opponent. 25* CBB ACC Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Panthers (631) and the Clemson Tigers (632). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-26-24 NC-Wilmington v. Campbell OVER 143 100-105 Win 100 1 h 49 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (887) and the Campbell Camels (888). THE SITUATION: UNC-Wilmington (20-7)  has won six of their last seven games after their 81-65 victory at William & Mary as an 11-point favorite on Thursday. Campbell (12-16) has lost three games in a row and five of their last six contests after their 72-68 upset loss against Hampton as a 9.5-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Seahawks made 49.1% of their shots against the Tribe which was the fifth straight game where they nailed at least 47.5% of their shots. They are making 51.4% of their shots in their last five games which is up 4.9% over their season average. UNC-Wilmington has played 4 straight Overs after making 47% or more of their shots in three or more games in a row. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by 15 or more points. And in their last 9 games after scoring 80 or more points, they have played 6 of those games Over the Total. This is just their second game since last Saturday — and they have played 16 of their last 23 road games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in the last seven days. The Seahawks usually get the most out of each possession as they rank third in the country by turning the ball over in just 12.7% of their possessions. They are second in the Colonial Athletic Association in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They stay on the road where they are scoring 77.0 Points-Per-Game. They average 67.2 adjusted possessions per game which is +3.1 more possessions than what they average when playing at home with that slower pace. UNC-Wilmington has played 22 of their last 29 road games Over the Total with the Total set from 145 to 149.5. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road as a favorite in the 6.5-12 point range. Campbell only made 37.5% of their shots last Thursday which was the worst shooting effort in their last nine contests. And by holding the Pirates to 41.0% shooting, they played their best defensive game in their last eight contests. That final score flew Under the 148.5-point total — but the Camels have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss to a conference rival. Despite that good effort against Hampton, Campbell has allowed their last five opponents to make 45.8% of their shots resulting in 80.8 PPG — and those marks are +2.5% and +10.8 PPG above their season averages. The Camels stay at home where they have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games as an underdog or a pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: Campbell wants to avenge a 77-74 loss at UNC-Wilmington back on February 3rd — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. They have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road. 10* CBB Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Wilmington Seahawks (887) and the Campbell Camels (888). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-26-24 Coppin State v. Howard UNDER 139.5 Top 69-78 Loss -110 3 h 35 m Show

At 7:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Coppin State Eagles (306639) and the Howard Bison (306640). THE SITUATION: Coppin State (2-22) has lost eight games in a row after their 68-66 loss to Norfolk State as a 12-point underdog on Saturday. Howard (12-15) has won three of their last four games after their 78-72 victory against Morgan State as a 10.5-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Eagles are far away from being one of the best teams in college basketball — and it starts with their offense where they rank last in Division I in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They rank third to the bottom in Division I with their effective field goal percentage of 40.3. They only made 32.7% of their shots on Saturday in their narrow loss — and while I like to fade outlier shooting efforts like that in a team’s next game, that shooting performance was only tied for their sixth-lowest mark of the season. Coppin State has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss at home. They only scored 24 points in the first half on Saturday — and they have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 25 points in the first half of their last game. They have also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row. They go back on the road where the adjusted efficiency numbers project them to score -10.5 fewer points per 100 possessions than they do when playing at home. They are only making 36.0% of their shots away from home including 26.0% of their shots from behind the arc resulting in only 53.3 Points-Per-Game. Coppin State has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total on the road. Additionally, they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total as a double-digit underdog — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total on the road as an underdog getting 12.5 to 18 points. If there is one thing that the Eagles do well, it is force turnovers — they rank 16th in the nation by forcing turnovers in 21.9% of their opponent’s possessions. The Bison are vulnerable in this area since they turn the ball over in 21.3% of their possessions, ranking 350th in the nation. Taking away Howard’s scoring opportunities should keep the score of this game down. Coppin State also plays at a slow pace — their games average 66.4 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 264th in the nation. The Eagles have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range. Howard has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. And while they have played their last two games Under the Total, they have then played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after playing two or more Unders in a row. They stay at home where they hold their opponents to just 42.9% shooting including a 31.4% clip from behind the arc. And while the Bison are a good shooting team at home, they are going to lose possessions to this Eagles team because they turn the ball over in 22.4% of their possessions when playing at home, ranking 359th in the nation. Howard has played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total when favored or a pick ‘em. They have been favored by double-digits three previous times this season — and all three games finished Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Howard won the first meeting between these two teams on January 29th by an 81-66 score — but Coppin State has played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing with revenge. The Eagles have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they gave up 75 or more points. 25* CBB Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Coppin State Eagles (306639) and the Howard Bison (306640). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-25-24 Wright State v. Oakland OVER 159.5 Top 96-75 Win 100 3 h 56 m Show

At 3:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Wright State Raiders (841) and the Oakland Grizzlies (842). THE SITUATION: Wright State (16-12) has won two games in a row as well as four of their last five contests after their 93-78 victory at Detroit Mercy as a 10.5-point favorite on Thursday.  Oakland (19-10) has won four games in a row as well as seven of their last eight contests after their 63-43 win at Robert Morris as a 4.5-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Raiders nailed 53.3% of their shots on Thursday which was the fifth time in their last six games where they shot 50% or better from the field — and they have scored 85 or more points in four of their last five games. But they allowed the Titans to make 51.7% of their shots which was the third time in their last four games where their opponents made at least 50% of their shots. Wright State is an Over Machine because they shoot great and play at a fast pace but can’t stop anybody on the other end. The Raiders rank second in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 58.6% — and they rank in the top 11 in the nation in both 3-point and 2-point shooting. But they also rank 353rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and their opponents post a 56.6% effective field goal percentage against them, ranking 354th in the nation. Wright State ranks 28th in the nation by averaging only 15.9 seconds per possession — and they rank 31st in the nation by averaging 71.0 adjusted possessions per game. The Raiders have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a double-digit win. They have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning two of their last three contests. While this is their second game since last Saturday, they have also played 11 straight Overs when playing for the second time in eight days. They stay on the road where they average slightly more 73.2 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 17th in the nation. They make 51.8% of their shots on the road along with 41.0% of their 3-pointers (which leads the nation) resulting in 85.1 Points-Per-Game. But they allow their opponents to make 48.6% of their shots away from home resulting in 84.0 PPG. Wright State has played 11 of their last 12 road games Over the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total on the road as an underdog of six points or less or as a pick ‘em. Oakland only made 34.5% of their shots on Thursday which was their worst shooting of the season — but they also held the Colonials to just 28.3% shooting in what was the best defensive effort of their campaign. While that final score flew Under the 147-point total, the Grizzlies have then played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They have played 11 of their last 14 home games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total after a win by 15 or more points. They have played 15 of their last 18 home games Over the Total after winning four games in a row — and they have played 6 straight Overs at home after winning six or seven of their last eight games. They return home where they made 47.6% of their shots including 39.6% of their shots from behind the arc resulting in 82.2 PPG. They also average 69.2 adjusted possessions per game at home which is +1.9 possessions above their season average. But the Grizzlies defense takes a step back when they are playing at home. While Oakland ranks 146th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and second in Horizon League play, those numbers drop to 253rd in the nation and eighth in the conference when they are playing at home. The collapse comes from their interior defense as they allow their guests to make 52.5% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 308th in the nation — and Wright State ranks ninth in the nation by making 56.4% of their 2-pointers when playing away from home. Oakland has played 16 of their last 23 home games Over the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total in February.

FINAL TAKE: The Raiders want to avenge a 74-60 upset loss at home to Oakland back on February 10th in their worst shooting game of the season where they made only 33.8% of their shots including just 5 of their 28 (17.9%) shots from behind the arc. Wright State has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 25* CBB Horizon League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Wright State Raiders (841) and the Oakland Grizzlies (842). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-24-24 Pepperdine v. San Francisco OVER 149 Top 68-92 Win 100 14 h 45 m Show

At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pepperdine Waves (799) and the San Francisco Dons (800). THE SITUATION: Pepperdine (12-17) has won two games in a row after their 89-70 victory at Pacific as a 7.5-point favorite on Wednesday. San Francisco (21-7) had their six-game winning streak snapped in a 70-66 loss at Saint Mary’s as a 7.5-point underdog on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Waves held Pacific to just 41.9% shooting on Wednesday which was the second-best defensive effort in their last eight games. But Pepperdine continues to struggle with their half-court defense as they rank 350th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 55.2% — and they allow their opponents to make 54.1% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 327th. The Wave have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. They have also played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last contest. They have averaged a whopping 90 points in their last two games with both those contests combining for 160 points — and they have played 7 straight Overs after playing two games in a row where 155 or more combined points were scored. They stay on the road where they allow their opponents to make 53.6% of their shots resulting in 84.4 Points-Per-Game. Pepperdine allows their opponents to nail 48.1% of their shots from behind the arc when playing away from home, ranking 362nd in the nation. Their opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 60.4% away from home ranks 362nd in the country. The Wave have played 17 of their last 22 road games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 15 road games Over the Total as a double-digit underdog. They should be able to generate offense against the Dons tonight by getting to the free-throw line. Pepperdine ranks second in the West Coast Conference in getting to the charity stripe — and San Francisco ranks 295th in the nation and ninth in the West Coast Conference in putting their opponents on the line. The Wave have played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games — and they have played 7 straight road games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a winning record. San Francisco has played 6 straight Overs at home after a loss by six points or less — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread win. They have also played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Dons are one of the best shooting teams in the nation — they rank 19th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 55.5%. Led by 6’9 Jonathan Mogbo, they should have their way inside against the weak interior defense of the Wave as they rank eighth in the nation by making 57.9% of their shots inside the arc. After playing their last two games on the road, San Francisco returns home where they make 52.1% of their shots resulting in 84.7 PPG. They also rank 50th in the nation by nailing a healthy 38.8% of their shots from behind the arc. The Dons have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total on their home court — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a losing record — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite.

FINAL TAKE: San Francisco won the first meeting between these two teams by an 80-74 score as a 9.5-point favorite on February 8th. Pepperdine has played 21 of their opportunities for revenge Over the Total — and they have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed 75 or more points. 25* CBB West Coast Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Pepperdine Waves (799) and the San Francisco Dons (800). Best of luck for us — Frank.  

02-22-24 Oregon v. Stanford OVER 150 78-65 Loss -110 1 h 36 m Show

At 11:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oregon Ducks (835) and the Stanford Cardinal (836). THE SITUATION: Oregon (17-8) has won two of their last three games after their 60-58 victory at Oregon State as a 7-point favorite on Saturday. Stanford (12-13) has lost two games in a row and four of their last five contests after their 72-59 loss at Washington State as a 7.5-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Ducks held the Beavers to just 41.8% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 16 games. But Oregon only ranks 107th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win by three points or less — and they have played 20 of their last 30 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Ducks have failed to cover the point spread in four straight games — and they have played 23 of their last 33 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Now they go back on the road where they have played 20 of their last 30 games Over the Total. Stanford has played 7 straight Overs at home after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Cardinal has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. They return home where they have played 12 of their 13 games Over the Total this season — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. They are making 51.5% of their shots on their home court resulting in 85.5 Points-Per-Game — and they host a Ducks team that allows 76.4 PPG when playing on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Stanford has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and Oregon has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as an underdog. 8* CBB Thursday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Oregon Ducks (835) and the Stanford Cardinal (836). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-18-24 Texas-San Antonio v. Temple OVER 154 77-83 Win 100 1 h 37 m Show

At 2:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the University of Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners (837) and the Temple Owls (838). THE SITUATION: UTSA (8-17) has lost five games in a row after their 79-70 loss at Charlotte as a 13-point underdog on Thursday. Temple (8-17) has lost ten games in a row after their 80-68 loss at Florida Atlantic as a 19.5-point underdog on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: There are 362 college basketball teams in Division I — and the Roadrunners rank 356th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They have allowed at least 79 points in eight straight games — and they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in their last game. They have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in three or more games in a row — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in five or more games in a row. UTSA combines their porous defense with a fast pace — their games average 70.6 adjusted possessions per game, ranking 50th in the nation. They only made 35.8% of their shots on Thursday which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. The Roadrunners have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total after losing two games in a row. Furthermore, they have played 6 straight Overs after losing or more games in a row. They stay on the road where they are scoring 77.7 Points-Per-Game — but they are allowing their opponents to nail 47.2% of their shots resulting in 88.2 PPG when they are away from home. UTSA has played 25 of their last 37 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 18 of their last 25 road games Over the Total as an underdog or as a pick ‘em. Additionally, they have played 8 of their last 10 games over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. The Roadrunners launch tons of 3s — they rank second in the American Athletic Conference by taking 45.1% of their shots from 3-point range. Temple ranks third in the conference by launching 44.5% of their shots from behind the arc — and they average 28 shots downtown per game. UTSA has played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total against teams who average 21 or more 3-point attempts per game. The Owls have played 8 straight home games Over the Total after losing five or more games in a row — and they have played 17 of their last 23 games Over the Total after losing eight or more of their last ten games. Temple returns home where they are scoring 76.1 PPG which is +5.4 PPG above their season average. The Owls have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total on their home court. Their play on defense has taken a step back lately as they have allowed their last five opponents to make 46.0% of their shots resulting in 79.8 PPG which is +5.8 PPG above their season average. And while the Roadrunners score 78.9 PPG, Temple has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams who score 77 or more PPG.  

FINAL TAKE: The Owls have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total in February — and the Roadrunners have played 19 of their last 11 games Over the Total in February. 10* CBB Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the University of Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners (837) and the Temple Owls (838). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-17-24 Santa Clara v. San Diego OVER 152 82-69 Loss -109 3 h 4 m Show

At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Santa Clara Broncos (809) and the San Diego Toreros (810). THE SITUATION: Santa Clara (16-10) snapped their three-game losing streak with their 79-53 win against Pacific as a 16-point favorite on Thursday. San Diego (16-11) has won four games in a row after their 71-66 victory against Portland as a 6-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Broncos held the Tigers to just 32.2% shooting which was their best defensive effort of the season. But Santa Clara has played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total on the road after a game that finished Under the Total. They have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a double-digit win against a West Coast Conference rival — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a win by 20 or more points. They go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. San Diego only made 40.0% of their shots on Thursday which was the worst shooting effort in their last seven contests. But the Toreros have then played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a narrow win by six points or less. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win at home against a conference opponent. They had covered the point spread in six straight games before that contest — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with one day of rest. They stay at home where they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: San Diego won the first meeting between these two teams by a 70-59 score back on February 3rd as a 12.5-point road underdog. The Broncos have played 24 of their last 34 games Over the Total when avenging an upset loss as a home favorite. 8* CBB Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Santa Clara Broncos (809) and the San Diego Toreros (810). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-17-24 NC-Greensboro v. Wofford OVER 139 Top 58-47 Loss -110 4 h 37 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Greensboro Spartans (747) and the Wofford Terriers (748). THE SITUATION: UNC-Greensboro (18-8) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 76-61 win at The Citadel as a 6-point favorite on Wednesday. Wofford (15-11) has won two in a row and three of their last four contests after their 73-60 upset win at Mercer as a 2-point underdog on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Spartans held the Bulldogs to just 39.1% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last six games. But UNC-Greensboro remains a below-average defensive team — they rank seventh in the Southern Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But what this team does well is shoot 3s — they rank eighth in the nation by making 39.0% of their shots from behind the arc. Even better, in their last ten contests, they are nailing 42.3% of their 3-pointers, ranking third in the country. The Spartans have played 15 of their last 18 games on the road Over the Total after a double-digit win on the road. They have also played 26 of their last 39 games on the road Over the Total after a win on the road. And while they have covered the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in two of their last three contests. Their game against The Citadel finished Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total in their last contest. They stay on the road where they are making 37.9% of their 3-pointers to help them score 72.1 Points-Per-Game. UNC-Greensboro has played 28 of their last 42 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. They have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total when favored. Wofford has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a win on the road against a conference rival — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win by double-digits. They have also played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a point-spread victory. Furthermore, the Terriers have played 8 of their last 9 games at home Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. Wofford converted 10 of their 24 (41.7%) of their shots from behind the arc against the Bears on the heels of nailing 11 of their 26 (42.3%) — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after hitting 10 or more shots from behind the arc in two or more games in a row. And while the Terriers have not allowed more than 64 points in three straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 65 points in three or more games in a row. Despite these recent results, Wofford is not a great defensive team — they rank eighth in the Southern Conference in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Even worse for this matchup, they rank 329th in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 36.5% of their 3-pointers — and conference rivals are nailing 37.5% of their 3s. UNC-Greensboro makes 10 shots from distance per game from 25 shots from behind the arc on average. The Terriers have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams who attempt 21 or more 3s per game — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total against opponents who make eight or more shots from behind the arc per game. Wofford is a good shooting team as well — they rank 38th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 54.1%. They return home where they are making 50.1% of their shots including 37.9% of their 3s resulting in 82.5 PPG. The Terriers have played 15 of their last 20 games at home Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games at home Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Furthermore, they have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: The Spartans won the first meeting between these two teams by an 82-59 score as a 6-point home favorite back on January 20th — and Wofford has played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road to their opponent. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when attempting to avenge a loss on the road where they did not score more than 60 points. 25* CBB Southern Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the UNC-Greensboro Spartans (747) and the Wofford Terriers (748). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-16-24 Siena v. St. Peter's UNDER 128.5 Top 53-75 Win 100 3 h 45 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Siena Saints (875) and the Saint Peter’s Peacocks (876). THE SITUATION: Siena (4-20) snapped their seven-game losing streak in a 68-63 victory at Manhattan as a 4.5-point underdog last Saturday. Saint Peter’s (11-11) has lost four games in a row after their 64-62 loss to Fairfield as a 3-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Saints only made 41.5% of their shots against the Jaspers — but it was still their best shooting effort in their last four games. They had not scored more than 61 points in their previous six games — and they only topped 52 points in five of those six contests. Siena is one of the worst-scoring teams in the country. They rank 359th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rank 353rd of the 362 teams in Division I with an effective field goal percentage of 44.4%. To make matters worse, they turn the ball over in 24.4% of their possessions, ranking second to last in the nation — so they do not even get a shot off in one of every four possessions. The Saints have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while their game with Manhattan finished far below the 139.5 point total, they have then played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing an Under in their last game. Additionally, they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after losing three of their last four games. Siena stays on the road where they are only making 41.9% of their shots and 21.9% of their shots from behind the arc resulting in just 60.0 Points-Per-Game. The Saints have played 21 of their last 29 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 9 points including five of these last six circumstances. Saint Peter’s made 41.8% of their shots against the Stags last week which was their best shooting performance in their last six contests — they had not made more than 38.3% of their shots in their previous five games. The Peacocks rank 323rd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — and they rank 355th with an effective field goal percentage of 44.1%. But this team can play defense — they rank 98th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency while ranking second in that metric in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. Critical in this matchup, they rank 24th in the nation by forcing turnovers in 21.4% of their opponents’ possessions — so Siena is likely to struggle to score much more than even 50 points in this one. Saint Peter’s has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss to a conference opponent. Furthermore, they have outshot their last two opponents by 11 and 14 attempts — and they played 19 of their last 21 games Under the Total after attempting at least 10 more shots from the field than their opponent in two straight games. They have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row — and they have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total in their last game. Uncharacteristically, they have allowed their last two opponents to make at least 50% of their shots from the field — but now they stay at home where they rank 28th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency on their home court while limiting their guests to only 63.7 PPG. But the Peacocks’ offense is even worse at home where they rank 359th in the nation in both Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and with their 42.0% effective field goal percentage. Saint Peter’s makes only 37.1% of their shots including 29.9% of their 3-pointers when playing at home resulting in just 65.2 PPG. The Peacocks have played 7 of their last 8 games at home Under the Total — and they have played 29 of their last 44 home games Under the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams play at a slow pace. The Saints average 67.0 adjusted possessions per game which is below the 67.7 national average — and the 18.6 seconds per possession that average ranks 307th in the nation. The Peacocks rank 341st in the nation in both their 63.8 adjusted possessions per game and the 19.4 seconds per possession they average. These two teams played on January 28th when Saint Peter’s won by a 63-52 score as a 10-point favorite — and Siena has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a loss. 25* CBB Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Siena Saints (875) and the Saint Peter’s Peacocks (876). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-15-24 Idaho State v. Eastern Washington OVER 144.5 Top 82-88 Win 100 2 h 43 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Idaho State Bengals (795) and the Eastern Washington Eagles (796). THE SITUATION: Idaho State (11-14) has won three games in a row after their 68-65 victory as a 4-point favorite on Saturday. Eastern Washington (16-8) has won three in a row and 12 of their last 13 contests after their 87-79 loss to Idaho as a 14.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Eagles are one of the best shooting teams in the country. They rank 10th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.4% — and they rank 19th in both 2-point and 3-point shooting. They should pour on the points tonight against a Bengals defense that ranks 273rd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and their opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 53.7% ranks 332nd in the nation. Eastern Washington has scored 78 or more points in three straight games along with 177 combined points in their last two contests. The Eagles have then played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after scoring 75 or more points in two straight games. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a win at home against a Big Sky rival — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing a game at home where both teams scored 75 or more points. Furthermore, they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after winning two or more games in a row — and they have played 7 straight home games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. They stay at home where they make 55.0% of their shots including 39.7% of their shots from behind the arc resulting in 89.7 Points-Per-Game. Eastern Washington has played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total on their home court — and they have played 10 of their last 13 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Idaho State has played 21 of their last 27 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in their last game. The Bengals had covered the point spread in their four previous contests — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. Idaho State goes back on the road where they have played 22 of their last 28 games Over the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 13 road games Over the Total in February. They have also played 21 of their last 27 road games Over the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em — and they have played 11 of their last 14 road games as an underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. They have played 12 of their last 15 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. The Bengals have also played 14 of their last 21 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s — and they have played four of their five games this season.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of Eastern Washington’s 79-67 win on the road as a 5.5-point favorite on January 20th — and Idaho State has played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total when attempting to avenge a loss on the road. 25* CBB Big Sky Total of the Month is with Over the Total in the game between the Idaho State Bengals (795) and the Eastern Washington Eagles (796). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-10-24 Idaho v. Eastern Washington OVER 147.5 79-87 Win 100 0 h 16 m Show

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Idaho Vandals (791) and the Eastern Washington Eagles (792). THE SITUATION: Idaho (9-14) is on a two-game winning streak after their 61-45 upset victory at Sacramento State as a 5.5-point underdog on Monday. Eastern Washington (15-8) has won two games in a row as well as 11 of their last 12 contests after their 90-77 victory at Portland State as a 5.5-point favorite on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Vandals had lost eight games in a row before pulling off two straight upset victories. They made 53.7% of their shots on Monday which was the third straight game where they made at least 50.9% of their shots. But the outlier performance in that game was holding Sacramento State to just 32.6% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last 20 contests. Idaho has still allowed their last five opponents to shoot 49.4% from the field. They rank 317th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Vandals have played 32 of their last 48 games Over the Total after winning two games in a row against conference rivals. They have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a game that did not see more than 125 combined points. And while that game finished below the 132-point total, they have then played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. They stay on the road where they are allowing their opponents to make 48.7% of their shots including 36.4% of their 3-pointers resulting in 74.3 Points-Per-Game. The Vandals have played 7 of their last 9 road games Over the Total. They have played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total as a double-digit underdog including all five of those circumstances this season. They have also played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total against teams winning 60-80% of their games. Eastern Washington has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams winning 20-40% of their games. They only made 43.1% of their shots on Monday which was the worst shooting effort in their last 12 contests. They did still convert 13 of their 30 shots from behind the arc — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after making 13 or more shots from 3-point range in their last game. The Eagles rank 14th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.1% — and they rank in the top 22 in the nation in both 3-point and 2-point shooting. They face a Vandals team that ranks 332nd in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 53.4%. Eastern Washington also leads the Big Sky Conference in Adjusted Possessions per game and Average Possession Length in conference play. They have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a straight-up win in conference play — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, they have played 6 straight home games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. They return home where they are making 54.7% of their shots and 40.1% of their 3-pointers resulting in 90.1 Points-Per-Game. The Eagles have played 18 of their last 26 games at home Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s.

FINAL TAKE: Idaho wants to avenge a 79-58 loss at home to Eastern Washington as a 7-point home underdog on January 13th — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss at home. 10* CBB Saturday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Idaho Vandals (791) and the Eastern Washington Eagles (792). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-10-24 Kennesaw State v. Lipscomb OVER 169.5 Top 95-101 Win 100 3 h 17 m Show

At 5:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Kennesaw State Owls (306605) and the Lipscomb Bisons (306606). THE SITUATION: Kennesaw State (13-11) has lost five games in a row after their 85-69 loss at Austin Peay as a 1-point favorite on Thursday. Lipscomb (15-10) has won two games in a row after their 90-88 win against Queens University as a 7.5-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Owls scored their fewest points in 22 contests in their loss on Thursday. Kennesaw State has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after an upset loss against an Atlantic Sun rival — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. They have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. The Owls rank 320th in the Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have given up at least 85 points in five straight games. Kennesaw State has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last game. Additionally, they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in two or more games in a row — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in three straight games. They stay on the road where they are scoring 81.5 Points-Per-Game — but they are allowing their opponents to make 48.0% of their shots including 36.8% of their 3-pointers away from home which is resulting in 86.1 Points-Per-Game. Kennesaw State has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as an underdog. Lipscomb has scored 81 or more points in seven of their last nine games after nailing 52.2% of their shots on Thursday — and that was the fifth time in their last seven games that have shot 51.7% or better from the field. But the Bisons allowed the Royals to shoot 50% from the field as well which was the fifth time in their last seven games where their opponent shot 50% or better. In their last five games, their opponents are making 50.3% of their shots resulting in 81.4 PPG. Lipscomb has played 7 straight Overs after allowing 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played 5 straight Overs after playing at home where both teams scored at least 75 points. They have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. They have played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total after a game where 165 or more combined points were scored. On their home court, the Bisons are making 54.8% of their shots and 42.4% of their shots from behind the arc resulting in 91.9 PPG. But they are giving up 77.1 PPG when playing at home where they rank 358th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Furthermore, Lipscomb has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: The Total is approaching the 170 mark for good reasons — both of these teams struggled to play defense while Kennesaw State plays at one of the fastest paces in the nation. The Owls lead the nation by only averaging 14.0 seconds per possession. They rank sixth in the nation with 73.9 adjusted average possessions per game — and that mark rises to 76.3 adjusted possessions per game when away from home, ranking second in the nation. Lipscomb plays at above-average pace as well — so they will be happy to accommodate the fast pace given how good they are on offense. The Bisons rank 62nd in the nation by averaging 16.4 seconds per possession. They rank 108th in the nation with 69.0 adjusted possessions per game — and that mark rises to 70.6 adjusted possessions per game when they are playing at home. 25* CBB Atlantic Sun Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Kennesaw State Owls (306605) and the Lipscomb Bisons (306606). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-09-24 Dayton v. VCU UNDER 135.5 47-49 Win 100 0 h 16 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dayton Flyers (885) and the VCU Rams (886). THE SITUATION: Dayton (19-3) has won three straight games as well as 16 of their last 17 contests after their 94-79 victory at Saint Joseph’s as a 2-point favorite on Tuesday. VCU (15-8) has won two straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests after their 75-60 win at Fordham as a 4-point favorite on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Flyers nailed 56.9% of their shots on Tuesday in what was their best shooting effort of the season. But Dayton has then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring 85 or more points in their last game. They also allowed the Hawks to make 48.4% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 18 contests. The Flyers still rank second in the Atlantic 10 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in conference play — and they have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit win. Now they stay on the road where they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when favored by up to six points or as a pick ‘em. VCU made 51.0% of their shots on Tuesday which was the best shooting performance in their last 16 contests. And despite holding the Rams to just 38.3% shooting, that was the worst defensive effort in their last four contests. VCU has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning on the road in their last game. They have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after winning two straight games against A-10 rivals. And while they have covered the point spread in two straight games they have then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in two or more games in a row.

FINAL TAKE: The Flyers have played 4 straight Unders on the road with the Total set in the 130s — and the Rams have played 24 of their last 37 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s. 8* CBB Friday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between Dayton Flyers (885) and the VCU Rams (886). Best of luck for us — Frank.

02-03-24 North Dakota State v. North Dakota OVER 147 58-60 Loss -110 0 h 15 m Show

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota State Bison (709) and the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (710). THE SITUATION: North Dakota State (10-12) has won two of their last three games after their 74-73 upset win in overtime at South Dakota State as a 9.5-point underdog on Thursday. North Dakota (13-10) has won five games in a row after their 95-81 win at South Dakota as a 2.5-point favorite on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bison rank 16th in the nation by making 38.4% of their shots from behind the arc. North Dakota State has played 4 straight road games Over the Total when playing for the second time in the last three days. They stay on the road where they are allowing their home hosts to make 48.3% of their shots resulting in 80.5 Points-Per-Game. The Bison have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. They have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog. North Dakota has played 10 of their last 12 games at home Over the Total after beating a Summit League rival on the road. They have also played 27 of their last 39 games Over the Total after a win by double-digits against a conference rival. Additionally, the Fighting Hawks have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing on the road in a contest where both teams scored 75 or more points. They have covered the point spread in five straight games — and they have then played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six games. They have also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing with one day or less of rest. They return home where they are making 46.9% of their shots resulting in 81.7 PPG. North Dakota has played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total when favored or a pick ‘em — and they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. The Fighting Hawks have cranked up their scoring lately as they are making 47.7% of their shots in their last five games resulting in 86.0 PPG in those contests — and that is +10.6 PPG and +4.0% above their season averages. But North Dakota’s defense has slipped in those games as they have allowed their last five opponents to make 46.7% of their shots which is +1.9% above their season opponent’s field goal percentage of 44.8%. The Fighting Hawks have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest.

FINAL TAKE: Both these teams struggle on defense — North Dakota and North Dakota State rank 303rd and 313th respectively in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The Fighting Hawks have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after 15 games into the season against teams with a losing record. 10* CBB Saturday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the North Dakota State Bison (709) and the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-26-24 Ohio v. Kent State OVER 146.5 Top 71-64 Loss -116 2 h 6 m Show

At 6:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ohio Bobcats (877) and the Kent State Golden Flashes (878). THE SITUATION: Ohio (9-10) had their two-game losing streak snapped in a 67-58 loss at Akron as an 8-point underdog on Tuesday. Kent State (10-9) has won two of their last three games after their 90-84 upset win at Bowling Green in overtime as a 1.5-point underdog on Tuesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bobcats only made 38.9% of their shots on Tuesday which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. Ohio still leads the Mid-American Conference with an effective field goal percentage of 54.4% in conference play — so they should shoot better tonight. The Bobcats have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total on the road after failing to cover the point spread. And while they have covered the point spread in two of their last three games, they have then played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Toal after covering the point spread in two of their last three games. It is usually the other end of the court where Ohio struggles — they rank 265th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. In conference play, their opponents are nailing 40.5% of their shots from behind the arc which is the worst mark in the Mid-American Conference. Now they face a Golden Flashes squad that ranks 30th in the nation by making 37.6% of their 3-pointers — and they lead the MAC by nailing 41.0% of their shots from behind the arc in conference play. Kent State takes 22 shots from 3-point land per game — and Ohio has played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total against teams who average 21 or more shots from behind the arc per game. The Bobcats allow their opponents to make 45.3% of their shots resulting in 77.8 Points-Per-Game which is +6.5 PPG above their season average. Ohio has played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total when playing on the road. Kent State held the Falcons to just 43.3% shooting which was the best defensive effort in their last six games. The Golden Flashes have allowed at least 76 points in five straight games — and they have then played 16 of their last 22 home games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in two or more games in a row. They have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last contest. Furthermore, while Kent State has only covered the point spread twice in their last six games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing for just the second time in the last seven days. They return home where they are making 48.4% of their shots resulting in 84.2 PPG which is +5.7 PPG above their season average. The Golden Flashes have played 7 straight Overs when playing on their home court. They do allow their guests to make 47.4% of their shots resulting in 72.4 PPG which is +2.8 PPG above their season average. Kent State ranks 313th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 53.4% — and that mark has risen to a 55.6% clip in conference play. The Golden Flashes have allowed their last five opponents to make 50.9% of their shots resulting in 80.6 PPG. Ohio shoots 45.7% from the field while taking 24 shots from behind the arc per game. Kent State has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams who make 45% or more of their shots — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams who attempt 21 or more shots from behind the arc per game.

FINAL TAKE: Ohio has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and the Golden Flashes have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. 25* CBB Mid-American Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Ohio Bobcats (877) and the Kent State Golden Flashes (878). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-25-24 Northern Colorado v. Eastern Washington OVER 161.5 Top 74-77 Loss -110 2 h 1 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Northern Colorado Bears (813) and the Eastern Washington Eagles (814). THE SITUATION: Northern Colorado (11-7) has won two straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests after their 90-61 win against Portland State as a 6.5-point favorite on Sunday. Eastern Washington (11-7) has won seven straight games after their 79-67 victory as a 5.5-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bears have scored 77 or more points in eight straight games — and they have scored 83 or more points five times during that stretch. Northern Colorado has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total after scoring 75 or more points in two or more games in a row. Additionally, the Bears have played 6 straight Overs after a win on the road against a Big Sky rival — and they have played 7 straight Overs after a win on the road after a victory on their home court. They have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. And while their victory against the Vikings finished Under the 158.5-point total, they have then played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game. The Bears can score points — but they struggle on the other end of the court as they rank 302nd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They go back on the road where they rank 338th in the nation by allowing their opponents to nail 39.2% of their shots from behind the arc. Northern Colorado allows their opponents to make 39.2% of their shots when away from home resulting in 84.5 Points-Per-Game. They do rank 18th in the nation by making 56.5% of their shots inside the arc — and they have a 48.1% field goal percentage on the road resulting in 81.5 PPG. The Bears have played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 9 points. Eastern Washington has scored at least 79 points in each of their seven-game winning streak. The Eagles have played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a win against a Big Sky rival — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a double-digit win. They have also played 18 of their last 23 games Over the Total after winning two or more games in a row against conference foes. They have covered the point spread in nine straight games — and they have then played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three or more games in a row. Eastern Washington ranks seventh in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.8%. They rank tenth in the nation by making 39.9% of their 3-pointers — and that mark rises to an incredible 54.5% clip behind the arc when playing at home which is the highest mark in the nation for home-court 3-point shooting. The Eagles make 56.8% of their shots at home resulting in 93.8 PPG. Eastern Washington has played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total when favored by 6.5 to 12 points. Northern Colorado averages eight made 3s per game — and the Eagles have played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total against teams who make eight or more 3s per game. Eastern Washington averages nine made 3s per game — and the Bears have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total against teams who make eight or more 3s per game.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams play at a fast pace. The Eagles rank 61st in the nation by averaging 16.3 seconds per possession — and they rank 76th in the country with 70.1 adjusted possessions per game. Northern Colorado is even quicker as they rank 30th in the nation by averaging 15.7 seconds per possession — and they rank 52nd in the country by averaging 71.0 adjusted possessions per game. The Bears have played 29 of their last 43 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. 25* CBB Big Sky Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Northern Colorado Bears (813) and the Eastern Washington Eagles (814). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-24-24 Chattanooga v. Wofford OVER 147.5 Top 79-65 Loss -110 2 h 5 m Show

At 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chattanooga Mocs (695) and the Wofford Terriers (696). THE SITUATION: Chattanooga (12-7) has won two straight games as well as four of their last five after their 81-74 win at East Tennessee State as a pick ‘em on Sunday. Wofford (11-8) had their three-game winning streak snapped in an 82-59 loss at UNC-Greensboro as a 6-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mocs scored at least 80 points for the eighth time this season with their victory over the weekend. Chattanooga has played 19 of their 27 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games — and they have played 21 of their last 28 games on the road Over the Total when playing for the second time in seven days. This is a game against two teams who love to launch 3s — and both squads average 10 made 3s per game. The Mocs rank third in the nation by taking 50.7% of their shots from behind the arc. They are making 48.2% of their shots in their last five contests. They rank 82nd in the nation by making 35.2% of their 3-pointers away from home — they are scoring 77.2 Points-Per-Game overall on the road. But Chattanooga’s defense falters on the road — they are allowing their opponents to nail 45.4% of their shots away from home resulting in 80.1 PPG which is +9.6 PPG above their season average. The Mocs have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when favored on the road up to six points. They have also played 7 of their last 11 road games Over the Total with the Total set from 145 to 149.5. Wofford has played 16 of their last 20 games Over the Total against opponents who make at least 8 3-pointers per game. The Terriers have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road to a Southern Conference rival — and they have played 7 straight Overs after a point spread loss. They have played 14 of their last 17 home games Over the Total after a double-digit loss on the road — and they have played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total after a loss by 20 or more points. Additionally, they have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after allowing 80 or more points — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in the last seven days. Wofford ranks 31st in the nation by taking 44.6% of their shots from behind the arc — and the Mocs have played 19 of their last 28 games Over the Total on the road against teams who average at least 8 or more 3s per game. The Terriers only made 37.7% of their shots on Saturday which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games and tied for the lowest shooting performance in their last 14 contests. They return home where they rank 41st in the nation by nailing 40.2% of their 3-pointers. They are nailing 49.2% of their shots at home resulting in 85.7 PPG which is +8.1 PPG above their season average. Wofford has played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 8 straight home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Defense is an issue for the Terriers who have allowed their last five opponents to make 48.2% of their shots. They also rank 330th in the nation by allowing their opponents to make 36.9% of their 3-pointers — and their guests are nailing 37.3% of their shots from behind the arc when playing at home.

FINAL TAKE: Wofford has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total as an underdog. 25* CBB Southern Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Chattanooga Mocs (695) and the Wofford Terriers (696). Best of luck for us — Frank.

01-13-24 Pepperdine v. San Diego OVER 150.5 Top 83-77 Win 100 3 h 54 m Show

At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pepperdine Wave (793) and the San Diego Toreros (794). THE SITUATION: Pepperdine (8-10) snapped their two-game with a 93-78 victory against Pacific as a 12.5-point favorite on Thursday. San Diego (10-8) has lost three games in a row after their 83-63 loss at home to San Francisco as a 10-point underdog on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Wave was never a good defensive team this season — and they are getting crushed on that end of the court now that conference play has started. Pepperdine has allowed at least 78 points in each of their last three games in conference action — and West Coast Conference opponents are nailing 51.5% of their shots resulting in 80.7 Points-Per-Game. The Wave ranks 252nd in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rank 333rd in the nation with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 54.2%. Their biggest weakness is defending the perimeter as their opponents are making 37.1% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 336th in the nation. Pepperdine has played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after allowing 75 or more points in their last game — and they have played 32 of their last 49 games Over the Total on the road after allowing 75 or more points in three straight contests. The Wave have also played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home where they scored 85 or more points. Pepperdine can score with points — Michael Ajayi leads the WCC in scoring while Houston Mallet has potential NBA talent. The Wave is making 45.6% of their shots in conference play resulting in a respectable 75.6 PPG. But now they go back on the road where their home hosts make 54.6% of their shots including 36.4% of their 3-pointers resulting in 85.3 PPG. Pepperdine has played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total on the road. They have also played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total in conference play. San Diego has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a loss at home to a conference rival — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a loss at home by double-digits. The Toreros have allowed their last three opponents to make 51.7% or more of their shots — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing two straight opponents to make 50% or more of their shots. San Diego is not a great defensive team either — they rank 169th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and they are perhaps now getting exposed in conference play. In their first three games against West Coast Conference rivals, they are allowing them to make 53.9% of their shots resulting in 88.3 PPG. The Toreros play in high-possession games as well — they rank 41st in the nation with 72.1 adjusted possessions per game. Their opponents only average 16.1 seconds per possession with the ball which is the sixth quickest in the nation. San Diego is scoring 73.4 PPG at home — and they should be able to make 3-pointers against this Waves perimeter defense since they rank 112th in the nation by making 35.1% of their shots from behind the arc. The Toreros have played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 11 of their last 17 home games Over the Total as a dog.

FINAL TAKE: San Diego won both meetings last season with both games seeing 165 and 181 combined points scored. Pepperdine has played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total with the Total set in the 150s. 25* CBB West Coast Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Pepperdine Wave (793) and the San Diego Toreros (794). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-29-23 Washington State v. Utah UNDER 144.5 Top 58-80 Win 100 1 h 50 m Show

At 8:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (871) and the Utah Utes (872). THE SITUATION: Washington State (9-2) has won seven of their last eight games after their 66-61 victory against Boise State as a 2.5-point favorite on December 21st. Utah (9-2) has won six games in a row with their 85-43 win against Bellarmine as a 20.5-point favorite on December 20th.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cougars have played 18 of their last 22 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. They play stout defense for head coach Kyle Smith — they are holding their opponents to 37.3% shooting resulting in 62.5 Points-Per-Game. Washington State will slow this game down — they average 17.3 seconds per possession, ranking 179th in Adjusted Pace while their opponents take 18.0 seconds per possession, ranking 302nd in Adjusted Pace. The Cougars rank fifth in the nation in Opponent’s Effective Field Goal Percentage of 42.5% — and they rank in the top-19 in the country in opponent 3-point shooting and 2-point shooting. They also rank 21st in the nation by holding their opponents to pulling down only 23.7% of their missed shots. And their block rate of 15.5% of their opponent’s shot attempts ranks 12th in the country. Washington State has been a bit unlucky with their opponents’ free throws as well — their opponents have made 76.5% of their shots at the charity stripe, ranking 342nd in the nation. The Utes only make 71.3% of their free throws, so the Cougars should get some points back in that area tonight. Overall, Washington State ranks 35th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they rise to 24th in the nation in that metric when playing away from home with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency mark of 93.8. But while the Cougars rank 89th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, they drop to 197th in that category when away from home with a 101.6 efficiency mark. The 67.2 PPG they score away from home is a -10.2 net PPG drop from their overall average. Washington State has played 16 of their last 20 games Under the Total in December — and they have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 140s. Utah has played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a win at home. They have also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a double-digit win at home — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a win by 15 or more points. They rank 22nd in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency — but they drop by -1.6 adjusted points per 100 possessions when playing at home where they rank 56th in the nation. But the Utes are holding their opponents to 37.8% shooting resulting in 63.2 PPG with their Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranking 38th in the nation — and that ranking improving to 20th in the country with that mark lowering to 89.8. Utah ranks eighth in the nation in Opponent’s Free Throw Rate. The Utes have held their last three opponents to no better than 37.5% shooting — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing three straight opponents to shoot better than 40%.

FINAL TAKE: Utah has played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and Washington State has played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams winning 75% or more of their games. 25* CBB Pac-12 Total of the Month is with Under the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (871) and the Utah Utes (872). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-19-23 New Mexico State v. Stephen F Austin OVER 144.5 72-75 Win 100 1 h 37 m Show

At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Mexico State Aggies (625) and the Stephen F. Austin (626). THE SITUATION: New Mexico State (5-7) has lost two of their last three games with their 73-72 loss to New Mexico as a 14.5-point underdog on Friday. Stephen F. Austin (5-5) has lost four of their last five games after their 78-70 upset loss at Wyoming as a 2-point favorite on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Aggies have been one of the worst defensive teams in the nation so far this season. They rank 289th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They rank 318th in the nation with an opponent’s effective field goal percentage of 54.5% — and their perimeter defense has been the biggest issue with their opponents nailing 39.4% of their shots from 3-point range, ranking 351st in the nation. New Mexico State also ranks 318th in defensive foul rate with their opponents sporting a 54.5% free throw attempt to field goal attempt ratio. The Aggies go back on the road where they are allowing their opponents to 49.1% shooting resulting in 89.2 Points-Per-Game. They have played 3 of their last 4 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 145-149.5 point range. On the other end of the court, New Mexico State has been playing better as they are making 50.7% of their shots resulting in 75.6 PPG. The best thing the Aggies do on offense is get to the free throw line — they rank 47th in the nation with a free throw attempt rate to field goal attempt rate of 39.7%. Now they play a Lumberjacks team that ranks 355th in the nation with a defensive free rate ratio of 50.6%. New Mexico State has played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss where they covered the point spread as an underdog. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog. Stephen F. Austin has played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after an upset loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss on the road. The Lumberjacks have also played 18 of their last 23 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 22 of their last 31 games Over the Total after a point-spread loss. Furthermore, Stephen F. Austin has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after losing two games in a row — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after losing three of their last four games. The Lumberjacks are struggling on offense — but they should get plenty of second-chance scoring opportunities tonight. They rank 70th in the nation by pulling down 33.8% of their missed shots — and now they face an Aggies team that allows their opponents to rebound 30.9% of their missed shots, ranking 217th in the nation. Stephen F. Austin returns home where they have played 6 straight Overs against teams with a losing record — and they have played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite. They have also played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite in all situations.

FINAL TAKE: The Lumberjacks have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. And while Stephen F. Austin is outscoring their opponents by +4.1 PPG, the Aggies have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +4.0 or more PPG. 10* CBB Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the New Mexico State Aggies (625) and the Stephen F. Austin (626). Best of luck for us — Frank.

12-10-23 Michigan v. Iowa OVER 158 Top 90-80 Win 100 1 h 37 m Show

At 4:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Michigan Wolverines (855) and the Iowa Hawkeyes (856). THE SITUATION: Michigan (4-5) has lost three straight games as well as five of their last six contests after a 78-75 upset loss at home to Indiana as a 6.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Iowa (5-4) has lost two games in a row after their 90-65 loss at Iowa State as an 8-point underdog on Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: After opening the season by playing good team defense, the play on that end of the court has fallen apart for the Wolverines. After the Hoosiers made 51.7 of their shots against them, Michigan has allowed four of their last six opponents to make at least 50.0% of their shots. Their last five opponents are making 48.0% of their shots which is resulting in 77.2 Points-Per-Game. The Wolverines rank 131st in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. The weakest link has been their perimeter defense as their opponents are nailing 39.2% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 349th in the nation. Michigan has remained competitive in most of their games because of their balanced offensive attack. They rank 26th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency based on their balanced scoring attack — they rank 18th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage of 56.7%. They are making 49.1% of their shots including 37.0% of their shots from behind the arc to generate 81.2 PPG. The Wolverines have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after losing two or more games in a row. They have failed to cover the point spread in three straight games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not covering the point spread in three or more games in a row. And while this is Michigan’s second game since last Saturday, they have played 28 of their latest 39 games Over the Total when playing for the second time in seven days. Iowa only made 38.6% of their shots against the Cyclones — and that was on the heels of their 38.5% shooting effort at Purdue in their previous game. The Cyclones have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. And while Iowa State has not covered the point spread in three straight games, they have then played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two or more games in a row. They return home where they are making 51.1% of their shots including 39.2% of their 3-pointers which is resulting in 99.7 PPG. Facing the porous Wolverines' defense may be just what the doctor ordered for this Hawkeyes team that ranks 18th in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. But Iowa struggles on the other end of the court where they rank 147th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency — and they have allowed their last five opponents to make 46.7% of their shots which has resulted in those five opponents to average 81.2 PPG. The Hawkeyes have played 16 of their last 21 home games Over the Total after a game where 155 or more combined points were scored. They have also played 16 of their last 21 home games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Iowa has played 9 of their last 10 home games Over the Total in Big Ten play — and Michigan has played 30 of their last 42 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 6 points. 25* CBB Big Ten Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Michigan Wolverines (855) and the Iowa Hawkeyes (856). Best of luck for us — Frank.

11-17-23 San Diego State v. St. Mary's UNDER 131 79-54 Loss -110 0 h 12 m Show

At 9:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (877) and the Saint Mary’s Gaels (878). THE SITUATION: San Diego State (2-1) rebounded from their loss to BYU with an 88-76 victory against Long Beach State as a 13.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Saint Mary’s (2-1) lost their first game of the season in a 61-57 loss to Weber State as a 15.5-point favorite on Sunday. This game is being played on a neutral court at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas for the Continental Tires Main Event.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Aztecs beat the Beach despite allowing them to make 50.0% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage they have allowed so far this season. This team consistently is one of the best defensive teams in the nation under head coach Brian Dutcher. They currently rank 15th in the Adjusted Defensive Efficiency even after that game on Tuesday. San Diego State has played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 33 of their last 48 games Under the Total after a win at home where they scored 85 or more points. They have also played 10 of the last 12 games Under the Total as an underdog. Saint Mary’s offense stalled against the Wildcats on Sunday as they scored only eight points in the final ten minutes of that game. After ranking 44th in the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency last season, the Gaels rank only 77th in that metric so far this season. But this team will continue to play tough defense for head coach Randy Bennett — they rank 27th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Their ability to stop their opponents starts with their size in the middle with seven-footer Harry Wessels and 6’10 Mitchell Saxen who will contend for the West Coast Conference Defensive Player of the Year award. Saint Mary’s has played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite. They did outrebound Weber State by a 41-26 margin — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after outrebounding their last opponent by +15 or more boards. They have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing for just the second time in the last eight days. As always under Bennett, this team plays at a slow pace — the Gaels rank 330th in the nation with adjusted tempo of just 66.9 possessions per game.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams played on a neutral court last December 10th with the Gaels winning by a 68-61 score with the Total set at 126.5.  The Aztecs are replacing their leading scorer from last season Matt Bradley who led them with 13 points in that game. San Diego State has played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130s — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court with the Total set from 130 to 139.5. 10* CBB Friday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (877) and the Saint Mary’s Gaels (878). Best of luck for us — Frank.

11-14-23 Kentucky v. Kansas UNDER 149 84-89 Loss -110 1 h 44 m Show

At 9:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kentucky Wildcats (663) and the Kansas Jayhawks (664). THE SITUATION: Kentucky (2-0) has won their opening two games of the season after their 81-61 victory against Texas A&M Commerce as a 29-point favorite on Friday. Kansas (2-0) has won their first two games of the season with their 99-61 victory at home against Manhattan as a 36-point favorite on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Wildcats have a young team with an average age of 19 years old. After two warmups against New Mexico State by an 86-46 score before their triumph on Friday, the challenge gets much stronger tonight against a national championship contender. Kentucky has played 23 of their last 33 games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points at home. Furthermore, the Wildcats have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread as the favorite — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up win at home where they did not cover the point spread as the favorite. Additionally, Kentucky has played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring 80 or more points in two straight contests. The Wildcats' lack of size may cause some trouble for them when trying to score against this veteran Jayhawks team that ranks fourth in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Head coach John Calipari brought in the top-ranked freshman class this year which includes two intriguing point guards in D.J. Wagner and Rob Dillingham — but this contest will test their cohesion since they are both shoot-first guards who are used to having the ball in their hands. Calipari does have his young team playing good defense — they rank 27th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They are only taking 39.4% of their shots from behind the arc, ranking 137th in the nation — and now they face a Kansas team that ranks 12th in the nation by limiting their opponents to 38.2% shooting inside the arc. The Jayhawks have looked sharp on offense so far this season — and they have made 10 and 13 shots from behind the arc in their opening two games. Jayhawks nation is excited about Hunter Dickinson transferring over from Michigan — but they may be overrating the seven-footers shooting ability from behind the arc. Head coach Bill Self has to figure out how to best deploy Dickinson either inside or outside — and this game may present some growing pains in that learning curve. Kansas did struggle with their offense in the preseason against Illinois and Fort Hays. They have played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total after nailing 10 or more 3-pointers in two straight games. And while the Jayhawks have seen 155 or more combined points in two straight games, they have then played 40 of their last 63 games Under the Total after playing two games in a row where 155 or more combined points were scored.

FINAL TAKE: Calipari does not have his young team running and gunning as they rank 263rd in the nation in adjusted possessions per game. The Wildcats' defense is holding their opponents to averaging 20.3 seconds per possession which is the 355th slowest opponent tempo in the nation. The Jayhawks’ opponents are averaging 18.9 seconds per possession which ranks 315th slowest in the nation. These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total after Kansas’ 77-68 upset victory as a 2.5-point underdog on January 28th. 10* CBB Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Kentucky Wildcats (663) and the Kansas Jayhawks (664). Best of luck for us — Frank.

11-10-23 Tennessee v. Wisconsin UNDER 133 80-70 Loss -106 3 h 59 m Show

At 9:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Volunteers (861) and the Wisconsin Badgers (862). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (1-0) opened their season with an 80-42 win against Tennessee Tech as a 32.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Wisconsin (1-0) tipped off their season with a 105-76 victory against Arkansas State as a 14-point favorite on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Both of these teams come off big offensive efforts recently — but these remain two teams who typically play at slow paces. Wisconsin averaged 19.7 seconds per possession last year, ranking 349th slowest in the nation last season. On defense, their opponents averaged 18.3 seconds per possession, ranking 322nd slowest in the nation. Overall, the Badgers ranked 337th in Adjusted Tempo last year. Tennessee ranked 288th in Adjusted Tempo last season with their offense ranking 247th on offense and 279th on defense. The Volunteers made some waves with their high-scoring 89-89 exhibition victory at Michigan State back on September 10th — and their offense was on display with their victory on Wednesday. But Tennessee has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring 80 or more points in their last game — and they have played a decisive 54 of their last 86 games Under the Total after a win at home by 20 or more points. And while the Volunteers raced out to a 41-12 halftime lead, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after taking a 20 or more point lead at halftime in their last contest. Don’t overlook the defensive effort of Tennessee on Wednesday as they held the Golden Eagles to just 27.5% shooting. The Volunteers have become one of the best defensive teams in the nation under head coach Rich Barnes. After ranking fifth and then third in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in 2020-21 and 2021-22, Tennessee led the nation in that metric last season. Defense travels — and the Volunteers have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total on the road when favored or as a pick ‘em. They have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total when favored by six points or less or as a pick ‘em. Wisconsin reached the century mark in points for the first time since December 13th, 2018 with their victory against the Red Wolves on Wednesday. The Badgers had not even reached 90 points since November 27th, 2020. Their scoring outburst may have more to do with Arkansas State’s frenetic style of play under new head coach Bryan Hodgson who previously served as an assistant under Alabama head coach Nate Oaks who pushes the pace. The Red Wolves' defense was reckless at times in that game as well — they are a team that needs to work some things out on that end of the court. Wisconsin nailed 6 of their 12 shots from behind the arc in that game — but they have played 51 of their last 82 games Under the Total after a game where they made 50% or more of their 3-pointers. And while they took a 56-41 lead into halftime, the Badgers have then played 5 straight Unders after holding a 15 or more-point lead at halftime of their last game. They have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored 75 or more points. Wisconsin is a strong defensive team as well under head coach Greg Guard — they ranked 14th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency last season. They stay at home where they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 130 to 134.5 point range — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as an underdog or pick ‘em.

FINAL TAKE: Tennessee is known for getting into rock fights against quality non-conference opponents — they beat Maryland by a 56-53 score last December and lost in overtime to Texas Tech by a 57-52 score two years ago. The Volunteers have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and the Badgers have played 6 of their last 9 home games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 10* CBB Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Volunteers (861) and the Wisconsin Badgers (862). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-03-23 San Diego State v. Connecticut UNDER 133.5 59-76 Loss -100 2 h 18 m Show

At 9:20 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (711) and the Connecticut Huskies (712) in the National Championship Game of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: San Diego State (32-6) has won nine games in a row after their 72-71 win against Florida Atlantic as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. UConn (30-8) has won five games in a row — and 11 of their last 12 — after their 72-59 victory against Miami (FL) as a 6-point favorite on Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at NRG Stadium.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Diego State saw FAU make 9 of their 22 shots from 3-point range and 44.2% overall on Saturday. That was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in the Aztecs’ last seven games. San Diego State still ranks third in the nation by holding their opponents to 28.1% shooting from 3-point range. Creighton missed 15 of their 17 shots from behind the arc against them in the Elite Eight after Alabama missed 24 of their 27 shots from 3-point land. The Aztecs have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. San Diego State is susceptible to scoring droughts. They have not scored more than 75 points in ten straight games — and they have scored 64 or fewer points in six of those contests. They are only making 33.3% of their 3-pointers in this tournament — so a hot shooting night from outside the arc is unlikely. The Aztecs take many of their shots from the midrange — and now they play a UConn team that ranks sixth in the nation by holding their last ten opponents on the road to 42.9% shooting inside the arc. The Huskies held the Hurricanes to just 32% shooting and below 60 points despite them ranking sixth in the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. They stymied Gonzaga to just 54 points despite the Bulldogs leading the nation in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. UConn has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory.

FINAL TAKE: UConn has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. San Diego State has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams winning 60% or more of their games — and they have played 27 of their last 36 games Under the Total played on a neutral court. 10* CBB San Diego State-UConn CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the San Diego State Aztecs (711) and the Connecticut Huskies (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.

04-01-23 Miami-FL v. Connecticut UNDER 149.5 59-72 Win 100 3 h 44 m Show

At 8:49 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (703) and the Connecticut Huskies (704) in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament. THE SITUATION: Miami (FL) (29-7) has won six of their last seven games after their 88-81 upset victory against Texas a 3.5-point underdog on Sunday. UConn (29-8) has won 10 of their last 11 games after their 82-54 win against Gonzaga as a 2.5-point favorite last Saturday. This game is being played on a neutral court at NRG Stadium in Houston.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes nailed 59.2% of their shots against the Longhorns in what was the best shooting effort in their last 20 games. Miami (FL) has pulled off three straight upsets against Indiana, Houston, and then Texas while scoring at least 85 points and making at least 48.6% of their shots in each of those games. But the Hurricanes only make 46.6% of their shots away from home which generates 76.2 Points-Per-Game — so I am expecting a visit from the Regression Gods for this team. Miami (FL) has played 6 straight Unders after scoring 75 or more points in three straight games. They also allowed the Longhorns to shoot 50% from the field which was the worst defensive effort in their last four games. They have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road after allowing 80 or more points in their last contest. The Hurricanes have been playing better defense on the road this season. They are holding their opponents to a decisive -11.2 fewer points per 100 possessions when playing away from home. And when playing away from home, the Hurricanes score -2.9 fewer points per 100 possessions. UConn has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. They have also played 18 of their last 26 games on the road Under the Total after a double-digit victory. And while the Huskies have covered the point spread in four straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three straight games. UConn should slow down the Hurricanes' offensive attack since they rank 8th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road — and they rank 8th in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency when playing on the road in their last ten games.

FINAL TAKE: Miami (FL) has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. UConn has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on a neutral court. 10* CBB Miami (FL)-UConn CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (703) and the Connecticut Huskies (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.

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