At 8:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Houston Astros (914) versus the Washington Nationals (913) listing both starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Max Scherzer. THE SITUATION: Washington (104-74) forced a climactic seventh game of the World Series tonight with their 7-2 victory over the Astros. Houston (117-62) gets to host the final game of the 2019 MLB season.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ASTROS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Houston has won 4 of their last 5 games after a loss — and they have won 8 straight games after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. The Astros have also won 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Despite losing all three games at home this season, Houston has won 38 of their last 52 games at home in Minute Maid Park. It would be the Gambler’s Fallacy to think that the home team is “due” to win at least once in this World Series — but, on the other hand, it remains reasonable to conclude that the Astros retain the advantage when they are playing in front of their home crowd while getting to hit last per inning. They give the ball to Greinke who was 18-5 with a 2.93 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP in thirty-three regular-season starts. The right-hander did his best pitching at night where he had a 2.78 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP in twenty regular-season starts. Greinke had a good outing in Game Three of the World Series on Friday where he allowed only one earned run in 4 2/3 innings for work. His teams have won 5 of their last 7 games with Greinke pitching with four days of rest — and they have also won 23 of their last 30 games with Greinke looking to stop a losing streak. Additionally, Greinke’s teams have won 8 of their last 10 games at home with him starting with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. Houston has won 7 of their last 9 playoff games when the series is tied — and they have won 4 of their last 5 playoff games when facing elimination. Washington has lost 7 of their last 9 playoff games when the series is tied — and they have lost 4 of their last 6 opportunities to close out a playoff series with a victory. Scherzer has declared himself ready to pitch tonight after needing to be scratched just three days ago after waking up to severe neck pain Sunday morning. I have read some of the commentary from the medical community regarding how quick someone can achieve full health again after experiencing an injury like this: some doctors have claimed that quick turnarounds from what Scherzer experienced are possible. But “possible” is not the same thing as probable. I am not going to be surprised if Scherzer is not at full strength — especially given the back issues he has experienced for the last few months. The phenom had an 11-7 record in the regular season with a 2.92 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in twenty-seven starts. Scherzer was not as effective in night games during the regular season — he had a 0.75 ERA with a 0.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .194 in day games but those numbers rose to a 3.04 ERA with a 1.04 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .239 in seventeen starts at night during the regular season. Additionally, Washington has lost 4 of their last 5 playoff games with Scherzer on the mound when they are facing elimination.

FINAL TAKE: The Astros have won 17 of their last 25 games when looking to avenge an upset loss as a home favorite. With all hands of deck — including Gerrit Cole on two days rest from his win on Sunday — Houston has a few more great players which should make the difference in this single elimination final game. 25* MLB World Series Game of the Year with money-line on the Houston Astros (914) versus the Washington Nationals (913) listing both starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Max Scherzer. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (913) and the Houston Astros (914) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Zack Greinke. THE SITUATION: Washington (104-74) forced a climactic seventh game of the World Series tonight with their 7-2 victory over the Astros. Houston (117-62) gets to host the final game of the 2019 MLB season.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nationals have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win — and the Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Washington has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing no more than two runs in their last game. And while Stephen Strasburg pitching into the 9th inning last night, the Nationals have then played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a game where their bullpen did not pitch more than one earned run. Moving forward, the Over is 8-1-1 in the Nationals’ last 10 games in Interleague play against teams with a winning record. Washington has also played 13 of their last 21 games Over the Total as a money-line underdog priced in the +125 to +175 price range — and they have played 7 of their last 8 playoff games Over the Total when the series is tied. Scherzer has declared himself ready to pitch tonight after needing to be scratched just three days ago after waking up to severe neck pain Sunday morning. I have read some of the commentary from the medical community regarding how quick someone can achieve full health again after experiencing an injury like this: some doctors have claimed that quick turnarounds from what Scherzer experienced are possible. But “possible” is not the same thing as probable. I am not going to be surprised if Scherzer is not at full strength — especially given the back issues he has experienced for the last few months. The phenom had an 11-7 record in the regular season with a 2.92 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in twenty-seven starts. Scherzer was not as effective in night games during the regular season — he had a 0.75 ERA with a 0.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .194 in day games but those numbers rose to a 3.04 ERA with a 1.04 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .239 in seventeen starts at night during the regular season. He takes the mound for the first time since last Tuesday — and the Nationals have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when Scherzer is pitching with at least seven days between starts. The Over is 18-7-2 in Houston’s last 27 home games against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Over is also 10-3-1 in the Astros’ last 14 games after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. Furthermore, Houston has played 11 of their last 13 home games Over the Total in Interleague play against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 straight games at home Over the Total. They counter with Greinke who was 18-5 in thirty-three regular-season starts with a 2.93 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. He saw his ERA rise to a 3.27 ERA with a 1.04 WHIP in his fifteen starts at home in the regular season. His teams have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total with Greinke pitching with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. Greinke faces a Nationals team that has seen the Over go 6-1-1 in their last 8 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Over go 5-1-1 in their last 7 meetings — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total when playing in Houston. 25* MLB World Series Game Seven O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (913) and the Houston Astros (914) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Zack Greinke. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Washington Nationals (911) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Houston Astros (912) listing both starting pitchers Stephen Strasburg and Justin Verlander. THE SITUATION: Houston (117-61) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Sunday with their 7-1 victory in Game Five of the World Series. Washington (103-74) will try to become the first team in Major League Baseball history to win a World Series without winning a game at home.

REASONS TO TAKE THE NATIONALS PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: It was just five days ago that Washington was being coronated as the inevitable champions after winning the first two games of the World Series on the road in Houston. The Nationals have won 6 straight games on the road in the playoffs. Since May 24th, Washington has an 84-43 record which is very close to Houston’s 84-41 record since that time. The Nationals have bounced-back to win 6 of their last 8 games after a loss — and they have won 11 of their last 16 games after a loss by at least six runs. Washington needs to get their bats going after scoring only one run in three straight games. The Nationals hit only .175 in their three games at home — but they have then won 35 of their last 52 games after failing to hit better than .200 in their last three games. Washington has also won 10 of their last 15 games after failing to score more than four runs in their last three games. The Nationals have also won 5 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. Momentum lasts only as long as the next day’s starting pitcher — and no one has been better this month than Strasburg who is 4-0 with a 1.93 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP in 28 innings. The right-hander has a remarkable 40 strikeouts over that span with just two bases-on-balls. Furthermore, in his career 47 playoff innings, Strasburg has a 0.96 WHIP along with a 1.34 ERA that is the third-best in MLB history for pitchers who have pitched at least 40 innings of postseason baseball. Washington has won 45 of their last 60 games with Strasburg pitching on the road. The Nationals have also won 41 of their last 58 games with Strasburg facing a team with a winning record. Houston has lost 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than one run in three straight games. The Astros have lost 4 of their last 5 home games in Interleague play against teams with a winning record. Houston has also lost 5 of their last 7 World Series games at home. They counter with Verlander who may be showing the wear of a 36-year old who has logged-in 253 1/3 innings already this season. Over his last four starts, Verlander is 0-3 with a 5.41 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP. And while Verlander has enjoyed some spectacular moments in the playoffs throughout his career, he has struggled in the World Series with an 0-5 record along with a 5.73 ERA in six career starts. The Astros have lost 4 of their last 5 games in Interleague play with Verlander on the mound. He will be facing a Nationals team that has won 6 of their last 7 games when avenging a loss at home by at least six runs.

FINAL TAKE: Because the Astros average 1.75 Home Runs per game, they fall into a historical “play-against” angle specific to the Run-Line that has been 54% effective since 1997. American League teams that average at least 1.5 Home Runs per game that are using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.10 or lower have failed to cover the -1.5 Run-Line in 87 of these last 160 situations (when priced at +135 to -190 range). 5* MLB Playoff Run-Line of the Year with the Washington Nationals (911) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Houston Astros (912) listing both starting pitchers Stephen Strasburg and Justin Verlander. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (909) and the Washington Nationals (910) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Joe Ross. THE SITUATION: Houston (116-61) evened the World Series at 2-2 last night with their 8-1 victory. Washington (103-73) had planned on using Max Scherzer tonight in a rematch of the pitching matchup in Game One of this series but his nagging neck issues have compelled manager Dave Martinez to scratch him tonight for Ross.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nationals managed only four base hits last night but they have played 16 of their last 21 home games Over the Total after not managing more than four base hits in their last game. Washington has also played 14 of their last 18 home games Over the Total after failing to score more than once in their last game — and the Over is 16-7-4 in their last 27 games after failing to score more than twice in their last contest. Additionally, the Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total in Interleague play against teams with a winning record. Ross presents a problem given his 5.48 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 64 innings during the regular season. He particularly struggled at home where he had a 7.63 ERA in 30 2/3 innings of work with a 2.02 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .346. Martinez has trusted Ross to pitch only two innings in this postseason before tonight. Washington has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with Ross making the start against an American League opponent — and they have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total with Ross pitching after a game where they allowed at least five runs. Martinez will have to lean on his bullpen tonight — and that group has a 5.64 ERA with a 1.55 WHIP at home this year. Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games in the playoffs Over the Total — and the Over is 12-5-1 in their last 18 games against an opponent that allowed at least five runs in their last contest. Cole was hit hard in Game One of the World Series as he allowed five runs in 7 innings of work. Was it nerves? The toll of 242 innings of work for the season? The extended seven days between starts? Two of those reasons are not good signs for him tonight. Houston has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total with Cole pitching after a game where they scored at least five runs. The Nationals have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing in Washington. 25* MLB World Series Game Five O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (909) and the Washington Nationals (910) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Joe Ross. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (905) and the Washington Nationals (906) listing both starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Anibal Sanchez. THE SITUATION: Washington (103-71) took a 2-0 lead in the World Series on Wednesday with their 12-3 victory over the Astros. The Nationals have won eight straight games as well as eighteen of their last twenty contests. Houston (114-61) has lost three of their last four games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Washington has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a win — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after an off day. Additionally, the Nationals have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning at least five straight games, Furthermore, Washington has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and the Over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games when facing an opponent that allowed at least five runs in their last game. And while the Nationals have not allowed more than four runs in eight straight games, they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after not allowing more than four runs in four straight games. Washington returns home where they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 4 straight games in Interleague play Over the Total at home. And in their last 24 home games when listed in the +/- 125 range, the Nationals have played 17 of these games Over the Total. They give the ball to Sanchez who was 11-8 with a 3.85 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in thirty regular-season starts. The right-hander was not as effective at home where he had a 4.24 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP in fifteen regular-season starts. And while Sanchez comes off 7 2/3 innings of shutout ball in his last start way back on October 11th at St. Louis, Washington has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Sanchez looking to follow up a Quality Start. He faces an Astros team that has played 4 straight games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Houston is hitting only .203 over their last five games — but they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after hitting no better than .225 over their last five games. The Astros’ bullpen surrendered eight runs (five earned) on Wednesday — and they have played 22 of their last 33 games Over the Total when their bullpen allowed at least five earned runs in their last game. Additionally, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They counter with Greinke who was 18-5 in the regular season with a 2.93 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP in thirty-three starts. But the right-hander has struggled in this postseason where he has an 0-2 record with a 6.43 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP in 14 innings of work. Greinke’s teams have played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total in the playoffs. He faces a Nationals team that is scoring 6.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .277 batting average along with a .338 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .808 during that span. Washington has played 4 straight games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing in Washington. The Nationals have also played 5 of their last 6 playoff games Over the Total when leading in the playoff series. 25* MLB Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (905) and the Washington Nationals (906) listing both starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Anibal Sanchez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (901) and the Houston Astros (902) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Gerrit Cole. THE SITUATION: Washington (101-71) takes the field again after completing their four-game sweep of St. Louis with their 7-4 win on October 15th. Houston (114-59) has won four of their last five games after their 6-4 win over the Yankees on Saturday in the sixth game of the ALCS. The Astros host the first two games of the World Series.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 6-2-2 in the Nationals’ last 10 opening games to a new series — and they have also played 6 of their last 7 opening games to a new playoff series. Washington has played two straight games that finished Over the Total — but they have then played 21 of their last 33 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders. Additionally, the Nationals have played 5 of their last 6 games on the road Under the Total — and the Under is 39-14-4 in their last 57 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Washington has also played 25 of their last 37 road games Under the Total as a money-line underdog priced in the +125 to +175 price range. They give the ball to Scherzer who was 11-7 in the regular season with a 2.92 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in twenty-seven regular-season starts. Scherzer was bothered by a sore back that kept him on the disabled list through the month of August but he has found his elite form again in this postseason. In 20 innings of work in these playoffs, Scherzer has a 1.80 ERA with a 0.85 WHIP while striking out 27 batters and walking just eight. He comes off 7 shutout innings in his last start against the Cardinals back on October 12th — and the Under is 5-1-1 in the Nationals’ last 7 games with Scherzer looking to follow up a Quality Start. Scherzer was also more effective on the road during the regular season with a 2.64 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP in twelve starts. The Under is 3-1-1 in Washington’s last 5 road starts with Scherzer facing a team with a winning record. Houston is struggling with their bats as they are scoring only 4.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .189 batting average along with a .279 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .618. The Astros have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total at home against teams from the National League. The Under is also 3-1-1 in Houston’s last 5 home games against teams with a winning record — and the Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Cole who is 20-5 with a 2.50 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP in thirty-three starts in the regular season. The right-hander was more effective at home where he had a 0.79 WHIP and .175 opponent’s batting average in seventeen starts as opposed to his 1.02 WHIP and .199 opponent’s batting average on the road. Cole has a 0.40 ERA with a 0.79 WHIP in three starts in this postseason over a span of 22 2/3 innings of work. Cole has struck out 32 batters while walking eight in those three starts. He comes off seven shutout innings himself in his last start last Tuesday — and the Under is 4-1-1 in the Astros’ last 6 games with Scherzer following up a Quality Start.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing in Houston. Expect a pitcher’s duel tonight. 25* MLB World Series Game One O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (901) and the Houston Astros (902) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Gerrit Cole. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (921) and the New York Yankees (922) listing both starting pitchers Justin Verlander and James Paxton. THE SITUATION: Houston (113-58) took a 3-1 lead in the American League Championship Series last night with their 8-3 victory. New York (107-62) has lost three straight games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is now 4-1-1 in the Astros’ last 6 games in the playoffs. Additionally, Houston has seen the Under go 11-5-1 in their last 17 games on the road. They give the ball to Verlander who was 21-6 with a 2.58 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP in thirty-three starts. The right-hander was more effective on the road during the regular season where he had a 0.76 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .164 in seventeen starts as compared to his 0.84 WHIP and .180 opponent’s batting average at home. Verlander had one bad outing in this postseason when he was pitching on three days of rest — he still has a 3.11 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP with 19 strikeouts in 17 1/3 innings in these playoffs. And in his career in the playoffs, Verlander has a 3.34 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP in 161 2/3 innings of work. He comes off a strong outing in Game Two of this series where he allowed only two runs in 6 2/3 innings — and the Astros have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total with Verlander looking to follow up a Quality Start. Houston has played 7 of their last 9 road games with Verlander facing a team with a winning record — and they have played 19 of their last 24 games Under the Total with Verlander pitching at night. The Astros have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Verlander facing the Yankees. New York has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. Additionally, the Yankees have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the playoffs — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against a team that scored at least five runs in their last game. They counter with Paxton who was 15-6 with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP in twenty-nine regular-season starts. The left-hander was much better at home in Yankee Stadium where he had a 3.35 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .211 in fifteen starts as compared to his 4.33 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and .274 opponent’s batting average on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams are not swinging hot bats right now (a de-juiced baseball?). Houston is scoring only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .196 batting average, .265 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .618 over that span. The Yankees are hitting only .241 over their last seven games with a .760 OPS. 25* MLB American League Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (921) and the New York Yankees (922) listing both starting pitchers Justin Verlander and James Paxton. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Yankees (920) versus the Houston Astros (919) listing both starting pitchers Masahiro Tanaka and Zack Greinke. THE SITUATION: New York (107-61) has lost two games in a row after their 4-1 loss to the Astros on Tuesday. Game Four of the World Series was rained out yesterday. Houston (112-58) is up 2-1 in the series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE YANKEES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: New York has bounced-back to win 22 of their last 26 games at home after a loss — and they have won 22 of their last 27 home games after losing two in a row. And while both these losses finished Under the Total, the Yankees have then won 30 of their last 40 games after playing two straight Unders. New York has still won 19 of their last 23 home games when priced as a favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. The Yankees have also won 9 of their last 12 playoff games at home. And in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, New York has won 8 of these games. They give the ball to Tanaka who had an 11-9 with a 4.45 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP during the regular season. The right-hander was much better when pitching at home in Yankee Stadium where he had a 3.10 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .238 in sixteen starts. Tanaka is pitching on his normal four days of rest with last night’s rainout — he comes off an outstanding outing last Saturday in the opening game of the ALCS where he allowed only one hit and zero runs in 6 innings of work. The Yankees have won 6 of their last 8 games with Tanaka pitching after a Quality Start in his last outing. New York has also won 8 of their last 10 games with Tanaka facing a team with a winning record — and they have won 19 of their last 26 home games with him facing a team with a winning record. The Yankees have also won 4 of their last 5 games against the Astros with Tanaka on the hill. He faces an Astros lineup that is scoring only 2.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .209 batting average along with a .272 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .633 over that span. Houston has lost 16 of their last 25 playoff games when leading in the series — and they have lost 9 of their last 23 games in the ALCS on the road. The Astros have also lost 7 of their last 8 games as an underdog — and they have lost 12 of their last 17 road games when priced in the +/- 125 range. They counter with Greinke who was 18-5 with a 2.93 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP in thirty-three regular-season starts. Greinke has not enjoyed a ton of success in the playoffs in his career given his 3-6 record along with a 4.32 ERA in twelve postseason starts. He allowed three runs in 6 innings of work in Game One of this series as he was out-dueled by Tanaka — and he has a rough 8.38 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP in his two playoff starts this year. Houston has lost 4 of their last 5 games with Greinke facing a team with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: The Yankees have won 42 of their last 55 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. And I usually find that postponed games work to the benefit of the home team rather than the visitors who stayed clamped up on the road. 25* MLB Game of the Year with the money-line on the New York Yankees (920) versus the Houston Astros (919) listing both starting pitchers Masahiro Tanaka and Zack Greinke. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (913) and the Washington Nationals (914) listing both starting pitchers Dakota Hudson and Patrick Corbin. THE SITUATION: Washington (100-71) took a 3-0 lead in the National League Championship Series last night with their 8-1 victory over the Cardinals. St. Louis (94-76) has lost five of their last seven games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 5-2-1 in the Nationals’ last 8 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game — and they have played a decisive 31 of their last 48 home games after not allowing more than two runs in their last contest. Additionally, the Over is 6-1-1 in Washington’s last 8 games against an opponent that did not score more than two runs in their last game — and the Over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games against an opponent that allowed at least five runs in their last game. The Nationals’ bullpen did not allow an earned run last night but they have then played 16 of their last 23 home games Over the Total after a game where their bullpen did not allow a run in their last game. But this Washington bullpen has a 5.72 ERA along with a 1.55 WHIP at home this season along with a 7.07 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP this postseason. The Over is also 5-2-1 in the Nationals’ last 8 games at home. They give the ball to Corbin who was 14-7 with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in thirty-three starts. The left-hander has struggled in this postseason with a 7.56 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP in 8 1/3 innings which has included a couple of bullpen appearances. Corbin also sees his WHIP rise to a 1.24 mark in night games as compare to his 1.05 WHIP in nine day starts. Washington has played 4 of their last 6 home games Over the Total with Corbin pitching with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. He faces a Cardinals team that is scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers. St. Louis has seen the Over go 43-20-4 in their last 67 games against left-handed starting pitchers — and the Over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 road games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Cardinals have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss. And while St. Louis has scored only two runs in this series, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after failing to score more than one run in two straight games. Furthermore, the Cardinals have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road — and the Over is 19-7-1 in their last 27 road games in the playoffs. They counter with Hudson who is 16-7 with a 3.35 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in thirty-three regular-season appearances. Hudson struggled in his last start back on March 7th in the Game Four of the NLDS where he allowed four runs (one earned) in 4 2/3 innings of work at home while allowing five hits and two walks. The right-hander now goes on the road where he has been less effective with a 4.13 ERA with a 1.61 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .271 in sixteen games (fifteen starts). St. Louis has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with Hudson facing a team with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: The Nationals score 5.6 Runs-Per-Game at home — and they have scored 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. With the Cardinals desperate to stave off elimination, expect a big scoring game. 25* MLB National League Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (913) and the Washington Nationals (914) listing both starting pitchers Dakota Hudson and Patrick Corbin. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:38 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (909) and the Washington Nationals (910) listing both starting pitchers Jack Flaherty and Stephen Strasburg. THE SITUATION: Washington (99-71) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Saturday with their 3-1 win over the Cardinals. St. Louis (94-75) has lost four of their last six games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cardinals lost the opening game of this series by a 2-0 score. And while they have managed just four hits so far in this series, St. Louis has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing two straight games where three or fewer runs were scored by both teams. The Cardinals have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss. And while they stranded only three runners on Saturday, they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after stranding three runners or less in their last game. Now the Cardinals go back on the road — and they have played 18 of their last 25 road games Over the Total after playing their last two games at home. The Over is also 18-7-1 in their last 26 road games in the playoffs. They give the ball to Flaherty who is 11-8 with a 2.75 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP in thirty-three regular-season starts. But while the right-hander sees his ERA rise to a 3.13 mark in seventeen starts on the road along with a 1.15 WHIP. St. Louis has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with Flaherty pitching with the Total no higher than 7.5. Flaherty also sees his ERA rise to a 3.50 mark when pitching at night this year. He faces a Nationals team that has played 4 of their last 5 games at home Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Washington scores 5.6 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .273 batting average along with a .346 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .830. The Nationals have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have also played a decisive 53 of their last 80 home games Over the Total in night games. The Over is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against an opponent who did not score more than two runs in their last game. They counter with Strasburg who was 18-6 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in thirty-three starts. The right-hander sees his ERA rise to a 3.67 mark when pitching at night. The Over is also a decisive 41-16-3 in the Nationals’ last 60 home games with Strasburg on the mound — and the Over is 21-7-1 in their last 28 home games with Strasburg faces a team with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: I was surprised (and overjoyed) to see the Total drop to 6.5s in many spots for this game. The Cardinals have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total with the Total set at 7 or less — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Over the Total with the number set at 7 or lower. The Nationals have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total with the number set at 7 or lower. 25* MLB Monday Night O/U Special Feature with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Cardinals (909) and the Washington Nationals (910) listing both starting pitchers Jack Flaherty and Stephen Strasburg. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Houston Astros (904) versus the New York Yankees (903) listing both starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Masahiro Tanaka. Houston (110-57) defeated Tampa Bay in the fifth game of their ALDS on Thursday with their 6-1 victory. New York (106-59) has won three straight games after they completed their three-game sweep of the Twins in their ALDS with their 5-1 win back last Monday. They host the first two games of this best-of-seven American League Championship Series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ASTROS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Houston has won 35 of their last 51 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Astros have also won 38 of their last 52 games after an off day. They stay at home where they have won 40 of their last 52 games — and they have also won 9 of their last 13 games at home in the ALCS. They give the ball to Greinke who was 18-5 with a 2.93 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP in thirty-three regular-season starts. The right-hander thrived under the lights where he had a 2.78 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP in twenty starts at night. Houston has won 4 of their last 5 home games with Greinke on the mound. He faces a Yankees team that has lost 5 of their last 6 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. New York has not been as good on the road as they are at home in Yankee Stadium. They have lost 5 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have also lost 10 of their last 13 road games in the playoffs. Additionally, New York has lost 12 of their last 15 road games in the ALCS. They counter with Tanaka who is 11-9 with a 4.45 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in thirty-one starts (thirty-two games). The right-hander struggles on the road where his ERA skyrockets to a 6.05 mark with a 1.42 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .287 in fifteen starts (sixteen games). Tanaka also has a 5.44 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and .279 opponent’s batting average in eighteen starts at night. The Yankees have lost 6 of their last 7 games with Tanaka pitching as an underdog priced in the +100 to +150 price range.

FINAL TAKE: New York has lost 10 of their last 13 games when playing against the Astros on the road in Minute Maid Park. Houston opened as a money-line favorite in the -155 range which is beyond my -150 price threshold — but with the price dropping to the -145 to -150 range, let’s attack. 25* MLB Saturday Night Special Feature with the money-line on the Houston Astros (904) versus the New York Yankees (903) listing both starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Masahiro Tanaka. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (902) versus the Washington Nationals (901) listing both starting pitchers Miles Mikolas and Anibal Sanchez. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (94-73) enters the NLCS with tons of momentum after winning Games Four and Five of the NLDS with the Braves that was finalized with their dominant 13-1 victory in Atlanta on Wednesday. Washington (97-71) comes off a dramatic 7-3 come-from-behind victory in Los Angeles against the Dodgers in Game Five of that series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CARDINALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: St. Louis should build off their momentum as they have won 7 of their last 9 games are a win — and they have won 16 of their last 22 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Cardinals have also won 21 of their last 30 games at home — and they have won 25 of their last 36 games after being priced as a favorite in the -110 to -150 range. They give the ball to Mikolas who was 9-14 in the regular season with a 4.16 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in thirty-two starts. The right-hander does his better pitching at home where he owns a 3.01 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .247 in fifteen starts. St. Louis has won 16 of their last 23 home games with Mikolas on the mound — and they have won 15 of their last 21 games with Mikolas facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Nationals team that is scoring 4.7 Runs-Per-Game with a .247 batting average along with a .316 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .704 with all those numbers being below their season average. Washington may be due for an emotional letdown after removing the jinx their franchise has endured from failing to advance out of the NLDS. The Nationals have lost 4 of their last 6 opening games to a new playoff series. They counter with Sanchez who is 11-8 with a 3.85 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in thirty starts. But this will be the Nationals’ third straight game on the road — and they have lost 11 of their last 16 road games with Sanchez pitching as a road underdog priced in the +100 to +150 price range. Sanchez’s teams have also lost 6 of their last 8 games when he is making the starting the playoffs. The Cardinals are scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .247 batting average along with a .331 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .724 over that span with all those numbers better than their season average. St. Louis has won 16 of their last 22 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Cardinals have won 7 of their last 9 games against the Nationals — and they have won a decisive 37 of their last 42 games at home when hosting St. Louis. Look for the Cardinals to take a 1-0 lead in this best-of-seven series. 25* MLB Friday Night Special Feature with the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (902) versus the Washington Nationals (901) listing both starting pitchers Miles Mikolas and Anibal Sanchez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:02 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (913) versus the Atlanta Braves (914) listing both starting pitchers Jack Flaherty and Mike Foltynewicz. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (93-73) forced a decisive fifth game of this series on Monday with their 5-4 victory in 10 innings over the Braves. Atlanta (99-67) returns home to host this climactic game.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CARDINALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Atlanta was winning that game by a 4-3 score with two outs in the 8th inning before they allowed St. Louis to tie the game. The Braves earned the right to host Game Five with their better record than St. Louis — but home has been a house of horrors for this team in the playoffs as of late. Atlanta has lost 18 of their last 26 playoff games at home — and they have lost 9 of their last 10 playoff games at home when facing elimination. While their fans will be hopeful, they have also been conditioned to expect disappointment. That is a bad environment for a young team that has yet to learn how to win while having a superstar in Ronald Acuna who continues to make mental mistakes by running out base hits. The Braves have lost 5 straight fifth games in a series. Additionally, Atlanta has lost 4 of their last 5 games after an off day. And the Braves have lost 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Foltynewicz who is 8-6 with a 4.54 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in twenty-one regular-season starts this season. The right-hander was a mess for most of the season before finally being sent down to the minors. He returned to the big leagues in August with improved velocity which helped him produce a 4-1 record with a 1.73 ERA. But he still has a rough 4.58 ERA along with a 1.31 WHIP in ten regular-season starts at home. Foltynewicz pitched 7 shutout innings in Game Two of this series on Friday — but Atlanta has still lost 12 of the last 17 home games with Foltynewicz on the mound facing a team with a winning record. The Cardinals will benefit from that recent experience against Foltynewicz in this rematch. St. Louis has won 6 of their last 8 games after a win — and they have won 15 of their last 21 games are scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Cardinals have also won 10 of their last 12 games on the road after a victory by just one run. Furthermore, St. Louis has won 7 of their last 10 games on the road — and they have won 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They counter with Flaherty who is 11-8 with a 2.75 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP in thirty-three regular-season starts. The right-hander may have been the best pitcher in baseball over the second half of the regular season where he enjoyed a 0.93 ERA with 130 strikeouts in 106 1/3 innings of work. Flaherty was solid but not spectacular in Game Two where he allowed three runs in 7 innings of work. The Cardinals have won 7 of their last 10 games with Flaherty pitching with four days of rest. He faces a slumping Braves lineup that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .230 batting average along with a .299 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .664. Atlanta has lost 5 of their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: St. Louis has won 10 of their last 14 games played in Atlanta. Look for the Cardinals to find a way to win this game — or the Braves to find a way to lose it. 25* MLB NLDS Game of the Year with the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (913) versus the Atlanta Braves (914) listing both starting pitchers Jack Flaherty and Mike Foltynewicz. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (907) and the Minnesota Twins (908) listing both starting pitchers Luis Severino and Jake Odorizzi. THE SITUATION: New York (105-59) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Saturday with their 8-2 victory over the Twins. Minnesota (101-63) has lost three games in a row as they look to stave off elimination.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Yankees have scored eighteen runs in this series with their 10-4 victory in the opening game of this series. New York has then played 16 of their last 22 road games Over the Total after scoring at least seven runs in two straight games. The Yankees have also had their bullpen pitch 4 innings in three straight games totaling 15 1/2 innings overall — and they have then played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total when their bullpen has pitched at least 4 innings in three straight contests. Now New York goes back on the road where they have played 27 of their last 41 road games Over the Total as a money-line favorite priced at least at -125. The Yankees have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Over is 5-2-1 in New York’s last 8 games in the ALDS — and the Over is 21-5-1 in the Yankees’ last 27 games against teams from the AL Central. They give the ball to Severino who is 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in 12 innings of work this year after coming back from a right-shoulder and lat injury from last season. Looking at the right-hander's numbers from last season, Severino was not as effective on the road where he had a 3.99 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average .257 as compared to his 2.74 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and .217 opponent’s batting average when pitching at home. The Yankees have played 7 straight games Over the Total on the road with Severino on the mound — and they have also played 32 of their last 49 games Over the Total with Severino pitching at night. Furthermore, New York has played 5 straight games Over the Total with Severino pitching against a team with a winning record. Minnesota has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total against teams that did not allow more than two runs in their last game. The Twins return home for the first time since September 22nd — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total after being on the road for at least seven days. The Over is also 7-1-2 in Minnesota’s last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. They counter with Odorizzi who is 15-7 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in thirty starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he owns a 1.25 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .244 in fifteen starts as compared to his 1.17 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .223 when on the road. Odorizzi also has a 4.01 ERA in night games with a 1.28 WHIP. The Twins have played 4 straight games Over the Total with Odorizzi facing a team from the AL East.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total — and the Over is 18-7-2 in the last 27 meetings between these two teams when playing in Minnesota. 25* MLB ALDS Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (907) and the Minnesota Twins (908) listing both starting pitchers Luis Severino and Jake Odorizzi. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:45 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (955) and the Washington Nationals (956) listing both starting pitchers Hyun-Jin Ryu and Anibal Sanchez. THE SITUATION: Washington (95-70) evened this best-of-five series at 1 game apiece on Friday with their 4-2 victory over the Dodgers. The Nationals used Max Scherzer for an inning of relief in that game — so his planned start for Game Three will be pushed back until tomorrow with Sanchez taking the start instead. Los Angeles had won eight straight games before that loss.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 3-0-1 in the Nationals’ last 4 games against an opponent that did not score more than two runs in their last game. They return home where they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Washington has also played 4 of their last 5 games in the playoffs Over the Total with the series tied. Sanchez is 11-8 with a 3.85 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in thirty starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he owns a 4.24 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .250 in fifteen starts. The Over is 5-2-1 in the Dodgers’ last 8 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Over is also 5-2-1 in Los Angeles’ last 8 games after an off day. Additionally, the Over is 21-9-1 in the Dodgers’ last 31 road games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 26 road games with the Total set at 8 to 8.5, Los Angeles has played 18 of these games Over the Total. They counter with Ryu who is 14-5 with a 2.32 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP in twenty-nine starts this year. But while the left-hander was nearly unhittable at home this year with a 1.93 ERA along with a 0.94 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .21 in fourteen starts, those numbers rose to a 2.72 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP and a very pedestrian opponent’s batting average of .253 in his fifteen stars on the road. Ryu also sees his ERA rise to a 3.11 mark during night games with a 1.13 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .252 in twenty starts. Ryu does not have a glowing postseason history either givens 5.40 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 26 2/3 innings in the playoffs. The Dodgers have played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total with Ryu facing a team with a winning record. He faces a hot-hitting Nationals team that is scoring 5.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .273 batting average and an On-Base Percentage of .343 over that span.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Over the Total when playing in Washington. Expect a higher scoring game with at least one of these offenses breaking out for a big game. 25* MLB NLDS Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (955) and the Washington Nationals (956) listing both starting pitchers Hyun-Jin Ryu and Anibal Sanchez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (958) versus the Atlanta Braves (957) listing both starting pitchers Adam Wainwright and Mike Soroka. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (98-66) evened this series at 1-1 with their 3-0 win against the Cardinals on Friday. St. Louis (92-72) had won two in a row before that loss.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CARDINALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: St. Louis has rebounded to win 12 of their last 17 games after a loss. They return home to Busch Stadium where they have won 20 of their last 28 home games — and they have won 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the Cardinals have won 9 of their last 13 home games in the playoffs. They give the ball to Wainwright who is 14-10 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP in thirty-one starts. The right-hander does his best pitching at home where his ERA drops to a 2.56 mark along with a 1.29 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .253 in sixteen starts. Wainwright has also been nasty during day games where he owns a 1.61 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .210 in eight starts. The veteran also has 89 innings of postseason experience where he has posted a 3.03 ERA along with a 1.09 WHIP. St. Louis has won 15 of their last 21 home games with Wainwright pitching against a team with a winning record. The Cardinals have also won 4 of their last 5 games with Wainwright looking to stop a losing streak. And in their last 14 games against the Braves with Wainwright on the mound, St. Louis has won 10 of these games. He should have success against this Atlanta team that has lost 4 of their last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Braves have lost 4 straight games after an off day — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 games after allowing no more than two runs in their last game. Additionally, Atlanta has lost 5 of their last 6 games on the road — and they have lost 4 straight games on the road against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Braves have lost 4 straight playoff games on the road — and they have lost 12 of their last 16 games in the NLDS. They counter with the rookie Soroka who has a 13-4 record with a 2.68 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in twenty-nine starts. The right-hander sees his ERA rise to a 3.14 mark with a 1.15 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .247 in nine starts during the day. Atlanta has lost 4 of their last 5 road games with Soroka on the hill.

FINAL TAKE: The Cardinals have won 20 of their last 28 home games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 5 straight games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Look for St. Louis to take a 2-1 lead in this series. 25* MLB Sunday Afternoon Special Feature with the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (958) versus the Atlanta Braves (957) listing both starting pitchers Adam Wainwright and Mike Soroka. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Houston Astros (954) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Tampa  Bay Rays (953) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Blake Snell. THE SITUATION: Houston (108-55) won the opening game of this best-of-five series yesterday afternoon with their 6-2 victory. The Astros have won four straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests. Tampa Bay (97-67) has lost three of their last four games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ASTROS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Houston should build off the momentum from their victory yesterday. The Astros have won 35 of their last 52 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have won 41 of their last 53 games after allowing two runs or less in their last contest. Additionally, Houston has won 11 of their last 15 home games in the playoffs — and they have won 16 of their last 23 home games this season against teams with a winning record on the road. They give the ball to Cole who is 20-5 with a 2.50 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP in thirty-three starts this season. The right-hander has been pitching his best as of late — he is 5-0 over his last five starts with a 1.00 ERA along with 60 strikeouts and just 5 bases-on-balls over those 36 innings. Cole has registered 326 punch-outs this season. The Astros have won 26 of their last 30 home games with Cole on the mound — and they have also won 11 of their last 12 games with Cole facing a team with a winning record. He faces a slumping Rays lineup that is scoring only 3.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .212 batting average along with a .276 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .675 over that span. Tampa Bay has lost 6 of their last 7 games as a money-line underdog priced at +150 or higher. The Rays have also lost 7 of their last 10 games in the playoffs — and they have lost 4 straight games on the road in the ALDS. They counter with Snell who is 6-8 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in twenty-three starts. The 2018 AL Cy Young Award winner has taken a step or two back this year in a season marred with a toe and then shoulder injuries with the latter requiring surgery. The left-hander has struggled on the road where he owns a 5.82 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .270 in twelve starts. Tampa Bay has lost 6 of their last 8 road games with Snell pitching with the Total set at 7 to 8.5. He faces a healthy Astros lineup that scores 6.0 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .284 batting average along with a .359 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .875. Houston has won 22 of their last 28 home games against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The team trends referenced above do not take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we will be laying in this game — but because Snell is averaging only 4.7 innings per start, the Astros are supported by empirical angle specific to the Run-Line that has been 68% effective over the last five seasons. Houston has a bullpen WHIP of 1.21 this season — and teams with a bullpen WHIP of 1.25 or lower now facing a starting pitcher who does not average at least 5 innings per start have then covered the -1.5 Run-Line (priced at +100 to -190) in 90 of these last 132 situations where these conditions applied. 25* MLB ALDS Run-Line of the Year with the Houston Astros (954) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Tampa  Bay Rays (953) listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Blake Snell. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the New York Yankees (924) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Minnesota Twins (923) listing both starting pitchers James Paxton and Jose Berrios. THE SITUATION: New York (103-59) enters the postseason having lost two straight games as well as four of their last five games after their 6-1 loss in Texas to the Rangers on Sunday. Minnesota (101-61) saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 5-4 loss in Kansas City.

REASONS TO TAKE THE YANKEES MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: New York has bounced-back to win 21 of their last 24 games at home after a loss. The Yankees have also won 24 of their last 31 games after failing to score at least two runs in their last game. They return home where they have won 52 of their last 69 games — and they have also won 7 of their last 9 home games in the playoffs. They give the ball to Paxton who is 15-6 with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP in twenty-nine starts this season. The left-hander left after just one inning of work in his last start with tightness in his glute — but he looks too good to go tonight after that precautionary measure. Paxton has been sensational since the start of August where he is 10-0 with a 2.36 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP in 61 innings with 69 strikeouts over that span. Paxton has also been more effective at home where he owns a 3.35 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .211 in fifteen starts. The Yankees have won 5 straight games with Paxton pitching at home — and they have also won 5 of their last 6 home games with Paxton facing a team with a winning record. Minnesota has not had success in the playoffs in recent memory. They have lost 22 of their last 27 games in the playoffs while also losing 6 straight playoff games on the road. Additionally, the Twins have lost 17 of their last 24 games in the ALDS. And in their last 32 road games, as an underdog priced in the +175 to +250 price range, Minnesota has lost 24 of these games. They counter with Berrios who is 14-8 with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in thirty-two starts. The right-hander sees his ERA rise to a 3.84 mark on the road — and he has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .262 when pitching at night. The Twins have lost 7 of their last 8 games with Berrios facing a team with a winning record — and they have lost 19 of their last 24 road games with Berrios facing a team with a winning record. Furthermore, Minnesota has lost 7 straight road games with Berrios pitching as a money-line underdog priced in the +150 to +200 price range. He does face a Bronx Bombers lineup that is hitting just .209 over their last five games — but the Yankees have won 17 of their last 18 games after not hitting better than .225 over their last five games.

FINAL TAKE: New York owns the Twins in the postseason as they have won ten straight games against them in the playoffs along with thirteen of their last fifteen encounters in the playoffs. Lastly, while none of the team trends referenced above take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we will be laying in this game, the Yankees are supported by an empirical angle specific to the Run-Line that has been 63% effective over the last five seasons. American League teams using a starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or lower who have not hit better than .225 over their last five games have then covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 46 of these last 73 situations where these conditions applied. 25* MLB Network Run-Line of the Year with the New York Yankees (924) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Minnesota Twins (923) listing both starting pitchers James Paxton and Jose Berrios. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:09 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Oakland A’s (914) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (913) listing both starting pitchers Sean Manaea and Charlie Morton. THE SITUATION: Oakland (97-65) enters the postseason having lost two of their last three games after their 3-1 loss in Seattle on Sunday. Tampa Bay (96-66) has lost two straight games after their 8-3 loss in Toronto to the Blue Jays as a money-line favorite priced in the -220 range.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MONEY-LINE ON THE A’S: Oakland has bounced-back to win 26 of their last 32 games after a loss — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. Additionally, the A’s have won 10 of their last 13 games after an off day. Now this team returns home where they have won a decisive 45 of their last 76 games — and they have won 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Oakland has also won 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. Manager Bob Melvin has tapped Sean Manaea to be his starting pitcher tonight after the talented left-hander returned from a twelve-month hiatus after recovering from a torn labrum to produce a 4-0 record with a 1.21 ERA and a 0.78 WHIP in five starts last month. Before his injury last year, Manaea had a 12-9 record with a 3.59 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP. The A’s have won 10 of their last 14 home games with Manaea pitching as a favorite priced at -110 to higher. He will then likely give way to Mike Fiers who had a 15-4 record this season with a 3.90 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in thirty-three starts. I like Fiers coming into this game since he had a 2.90 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .217 in his seventeen starts at home. The Rays enter this single-elimination game swinging cold bats as they are scoring only 3.9 Runs-Per-Game with a .233 batting average along with a .298 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .735. Tampa Bay has lost 16 of their last 24 games after a loss by at least four runs. This is also a team that has lost a decisive 66 of their last 97 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Rays have also lost 6 of their last 8 games in the playoffs. They give the ball to their ace in Morton who is 16-6 with a 3.05 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in thirty-three starts this season. The right-hander has done his best pitching at home where he has a 2.59 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .194 — but those numbers all rise to a 3.59 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .238 in his sixteen starts on the road. Even worse, over his last five starts on the road, Morton has a rough 7.52 ERA. Tampa Bay has lost 4 of their last 5 road games with Morton making the start against a team with a winning record — and they have also lost 5 of their last 6 road games with Morton pitching with the Total set at 7 to 7.5.

FINAL TAKE: The A’s have won 7 of their last 8 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Oakland has also won 20 of their last 28 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB ESPN Game of the Year with the money-line on the Oakland A’s (914) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (913) listing both starting pitchers Sean Manaea and Charlie Morton. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (911) and the Washington Nationals (912) listing both starting pitchers Brandon Woodruff and Max Scherzer. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (89-73) plays in this single-elimination game having lost three straight games over the weekend in Colorado that culminated in a 4-3 loss to the Rockies on Sunday. Washington (93-69) has won eight in a row after their 8-2 victory at home over Cleveland on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nationals have been crushing the baseball during this winning streak — they have scored at least eight runs in their last three games. Over their last seven games, Washington is scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game with a .302 batting average along with a .378 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .891. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Nationals’ last 4 games after a victory —and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, Washington has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total. They stay at home to host this playoff game where the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games — and they have played 6 of their last 9 home games Over the Total with the number set at 7 to 7.5. The Over is also 7-3-1 in the Nats’ last 11 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. They give the ball to Scherzer who is 11-7 with a 2.92 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in twenty-seven starts this season. But the ace right-hander has not been the same since coming off the disabled list with a back injury. In his seven starts since his return, Scherzer has a 4.74 ERA over 38 innings of work. Scherzer also has a surprising 4.00 ERA in his 27 innings of work at home in playoff games with a 1.22 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .243 which are all numbers much higher than what he usually produces. Washington has played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total with Scherzer on the hill — and they have also played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total with Scherzer pitching at night. Milwaukee has played 5 of their last 7 opening games to a new series Over the Total. They counter with Woodruff who is 11-3 with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in twenty-two starts. The right-hander was out for two months with an oblique injury and has only pitched twice in two two-inning stints since his return from the disabled list. Woodruff has done his best pitching at home where he owns a 3.06 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and .227 opponent’s batting average — but those numbers rise to a 4.41 ERA along with a 1.27 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .258 in his nine starts on the road. The Brewers have played 4 straight games Over the Total with Woodruff on the mound when facing a team with a winning record. Woodruff will not likely pitch more than a couple of innings before giving way to Jordan Lyles. He has a 12-8 record this season with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP in twenty-eight starts — but his ERA rises to a 4.36 mark in his fourteen starts on the road.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on August 18th in Washington where the Nationals won by a 16-8 score. Milwaukee has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when avenging a road loss by at least eight runs. These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 encounters Over the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing in Washington. 25* MLB Wildcard Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (911) and the Washington Nationals (912) listing both starting pitchers Brandon Woodruff and Max Scherzer. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:45 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Colorado Rockies (961) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the San Francisco Giants (962) listing both starting pitchers Tim Melville and Jeff Samardzija. THE SITUATION: Colorado (68-89) has won two of their last three games after defeating the Giants in the opening game of this series last night by an 8-5 score. San Francisco (75-82) has lost four of their last five games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROCKIES PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: Colorado has won 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have also won 15 of their last 24 games after scoring at least eight runs in their last contest. The Rockies have also won 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. Additionally, Colorado has won 4 straight games against teams with a losing record — and they have won 5 of their last 7 games against NL West foes. They give the ball to Melville who is 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP in six starts this season. The journeyman right-hander has been much better in his two starts on the road with a 2.13 ERA along with a 0.87 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .159. He faces a slumping Giants team that is hitting just .223 over their last seven games with a .283 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .614 during that span. San Francisco has lost 4 of their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Giants have also lost 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. San Francisco has struggled at home where they have lost 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a losing record — and they have lost 17 of their last 23 home games with the Total set at 8.5 to 10. The Giants have also lost 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a losing record. They counter with Samardzija who is 11-12 with a 3.64 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in thirty-one starts. The sabermetrics are bearish on the right-hander with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.94 and 5.05 moving forward. The former Notre Dame tight end has not been as effective at home either where he owns a 3.81 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP in fifteen starts. San Francisco has lost 10 of their last 12 home games with Samardzija on the hill — and they have lost 4 straight home games with Samardzija facing a team with a losing record. The Giants have also lost 5 of their last 7 home games with Samardzija facing the Rockies.

FINAL TAKE: None of the team trends identified above take into the account the +1.5 Run-Line we are taking in this game. Because the Rockies’ bullpen has pitched a combined 16 2/3 innings over their last two games, they are supported by an empirical angle specific to the Run-Line that has been 73% effective over the last five seasons. National League teams with a starting pitcher with an ERA in the 4.70 to 5.20 range along with a bullpen that has pitched at least 9 combined innings over their last two games have then covered the +1.5 Run-Line in 85 of these last 117 situations (when priced in the -190 to +165 range). 25* MLB National League West Run-Line Underdog of the Year with the Colorado Rockies (961) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the San Francisco Giants (962) listing both starting pitchers Tim Melville and Jeff Samardzija. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:07 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (967) and the Toronto Blue Jays (968) listing both starting pitchers Gabriel Ynoa and Jacob Waguespack. THE SITUATION: Baltimore (52-106) won the second game of this series last night by an 11-4 score. Toronto (64-94) has lost three of their last four games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Orioles have played 20 of their last 30 games Over the Total after a game where at least 15 combined runs were scored. Baltimore has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total after scoring at least 10 runs in their last contest. Additionally, the Orioles have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total again teams with a losing record — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams from the AL East. They give the ball to Ynoa who is 1-9 with a 5.65 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP in 106 2/3 innings this season. The right-hander particularly struggled on the road with a 6.34 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .284 in 49 2/3 innings of work in seventeen appearances which include six starts. Baltimore has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with Ynoa on the mound. And while their bullpen has thrown 13 1/3 innings of work over their last two games, they have then played a decisive 35 of their last 51 games Over the Total after their bullpen pitched at least 9 combined innings over their last two games. Ynoa has surrendered 27 gopher balls this season — and he faces a Blue Jays team that has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Over is also 9-1-1 in Toronto’s last 11 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Blue Jays’ bullpen has pitched a whopping 11 and 8 innings apiece in their last two games — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total when they have pitched at least 5 innings in two straight games. Furthermore, the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a win — and the Over is 7-0-1 in their last 8 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. Additionally, the Over is 5-0-1 in Toronto’s last 6 games at home — and the Over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. They counter with Waguespack who is 4-5 with a 4.75 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in twelve starts (fifteen games). The right-hander has struggled at home where he owns a 5.96 ERA along with a 1.71 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .308 in four starts (six games). The Over is 3-0-1 in the Blue Jays’ last 4 games with Waguespack pitching on astroturf. He faces a Baltimore team that has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Orioles have scored 26 combined runs over their last two games — and they are scoring 6.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games. Toronto is averaging 6.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games themselves. 25* MLB American League East Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (967) and the Toronto Blue Jays (968) listing both starting pitchers Gabriel Ynoa and Jacob Waguespack. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (907) and the Washington Nationals (908) listing both starting pitchers Aaron Nola and Max Scherzer. THE SITUATION: Washington (87-69) won the opening game of their doubleheader today with the Phillies by a 4-1 score. The Nationals have now won four of their last five games while Philadelphia (79-76) has five of their last six games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 3-1-1 in the Phillies’ last 5 games on the road — and the Over is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Nola who is 12-6 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in thirty-three starts. The sabermetrics indicate that Nola is overachieving this season with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.14 and 3.83 respectively moving forward. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has a 4.99 ERA along with a 1.32 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .252 in fourteen starts as compared to his 2.91 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and .219 opponent’s batting average at home. The Phillies have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total with Nola facing a team with a winning record. Washington has seen the Over go 5-2-2 in their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record. The Nationals have also played 17 of their last 23 home games Over the Total in the month of September. They counter with Scherzer who is 10-7 with a 2.81 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in twenty-six starts this season. Scherzer does not seem to be 100% right now as he has a 4.50 ERA since coming off the disabled list back on August 25th. The right-hander has been not quite as good at home as well where he has a 2.97 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and .225 opponent’s batting average in fourteen starts as opposed to his 2.64 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and .218 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Over is 17-6-1 in Washington’s last 24 games with Scherzer pitching against fellow NL East opponents. The Nationals have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total with Scherzer pitching against the Phillies.

FINAL TAKE: Philadelphia has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total when facing a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. 25* MLB National League East Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (907) and the Washington Nationals (908) listing both starting pitchers Aaron Nola and Max Scherzer. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Rangers (927) and the Oakland A’s (928) listing both starting pitchers Mike Minor and Mike Fiers. Texas (74-79) has lost five straight games after their 3-2 loss in Houston yesterday. Oakland (92-61) has won two straight games as well as eight of their last nine contests with their 1-0 win over Kansas City on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rangers have played 6 straight games Under the Total after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. The Under is also 16-5-1 in their last 22 games after a victory — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after an off day. Texas goes back on the road where the Under is 33-16-2 in their last 51 games — and they have played 24 of their last 35 road games Under the Total in the second half of the season. The Rangers have also played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 28 games against teams with a winning record overall, Texas has played 19 of these games Under the Total. They give the ball to Minor who is 13-9 with a 3.33 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in thirty starts. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 2.63 ERA with a 1.06 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .218 in sixteen starts as compared to his 4.22 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and .264 opponent’s batting average at home. The Under is 19-6-1 in the Rangers’ last 26 road games with Minor on the mound — and they have played 10 of their last 11 road games with Minor pitching as an underdog. He faces an A’s lineup that is hitting just .235 over their last seven games with a meager .310 On-Base Percentage during that span. The Under is 3-1-1 in Oakland’s last 5 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. The A’s have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game — and they have also played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a game where neither team scored more than four runs. Oakland defeated the Royals by a 2-1 score on Tuesday — and they have then played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning two straight games just one run. The A’s have also played 16 of their last 22 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 8 or 8.5. They counter with Fiers who is 14-4 with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP in thirty-one starts. The right-hander has been at his best at home where he owns a 3.15 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .227 in sixteen starts. Oakland has played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total with Fiers pitching with the Total set at 8 to 8.5. They also have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total with Fiers pitching as a big favorite priced at -175 to -250. He faces a Rangers’ team that is hitting just .246 over their last seven games with a .307 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .697 during that span. The Under is 26-8-1 in Texas’ last 35 road games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The A’s have won the last five meetings between these two teams — and the Rangers have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when looking to avenge at least four straight losses. 25* MLB American League West Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Texas Rangers (927) and the Oakland A’s (928) listing both starting pitchers Mike Minor and Mike Fiers. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Mets (903) versus the Colorado Rockies (904) listing both starting pitchers Noah Syndergaard and Jeff Hoffman. THE SITUATION: New York (78-73) snapped a two-game losing streak yesterday with their 6-1 victory over the Rockies. Colorado (66-86) saw their four-game winning streak end with that defeat.

REASONS TO TAKE THE METS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: New York should build off their momentum as they have won 22 of their last 31 games after a loss — and they have also won 17 of their last 24 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Mets have also won 17 of their last 24 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. New York remains motivated to keep winning as they are still alive in the National League playoff race — they are four games out of the second wild-card spot with eleven games left in the season. The Mets have won 19 of their last 26 games against teams with a losing record — and they have also won 8 of their last 11 road games against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, New York has won 33 of their last 51 road games when priced at least at -125 as the favorite. They give the ball to Syndergaard who is 10-8 with a 4.15 ERA and a  1.19 WHIP in twenty-nine starts. Thor should be happy this afternoon as he got his wish to not have Wilson Ramos serve as his backstop — he has a 5.20 ERA in his sixteen starts with Ramos calling his pitches. Syndergaard prefers Rene Rivera or Tomas Nido as his battery mate — and the proof is in the pudding as he owns a 2.20 ERA in his eleven combined starts with one of those catchers. The right-hander has been more effective during day games where he enjoys a 2.59 ERA with a 0.81 WHIP and a nasty opponent’s batting average of just .184. Syndergaard has also been better on the road where he owns a 3.20 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .239 in thirteen starts as compared to his 4.99 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and .255 opponent’s batting average at home. The Mets have won 6 of their last 7 road games with Syndergaard when priced as a favorite in the -100 to -150 range. The faces a Rockies team that has lost 11 of their last 16 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Colorado has lost 12 of their last 16 games after a loss — and they have lost 14 of their last 20 games after failing to score more than one run in their last game. The Rockies have lost 11 of their last 15 games against teams with a winning record — and they have also lost 11 of their last 16 home games as a money-line underdog priced in the +125 to +175 range. They counter with Hoffman who is 2-6 with a 7.03 ERA with a 1.67 WHIP in twelve starts. The right-hander has been crushed in afternoon affairs where he has a 1.96 WHIP along with an opponent’s batting average of .329 in four starts. Hoffman also struggles at Coors Field where he has a 7.24 ERA along with a 1.73 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .328 in seven home starts. Colorado has lost 6 of their last 7 home games with Hoffman pitching as the underdog priced in the +125 to +175 range. He faces a Mets team that is scoring 5.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .504 Slugging Percentage and an OPS of .804.

FINAL TAKE: The Mets have lost 14 of their last 20 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they did not score more than one run. With the Rockies not making the playoffs this season, look for Syndergaard to pitch well against an overmatched Hoffman. 25* MLB Getaway Game of the Year with the money-line on the New York Mets (903) versus the Colorado Rockies (904) listing both starting pitchers Noah Syndergaard and Jeff Hoffman. Best of luck for us — Frank (and follow Frank on Twitter at @FrankSawyer_HS where he has posted his Wednesday Worries which identifies two NFL side situations this weekend of which he is staying far, far away).

At 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Milwaukee Brewers (954) versus the San Diego Padres (953) listing both starting pitchers Brandon Woodruff and Chris Paddack. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (81-69) has won thirteen of their last sixteen games with their 5-1 win over the Padres in the opening game of this series. San Diego (68-82) has lost five games in a row.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BREWERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Milwaukee has won 8 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win — and they have won 19 of their last 24 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, the Brewers have won 10 of their last 11 games against teams with a losing record — and they have won 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to Woodruff who is coming off the disabled list after dealing with an oblique injury. The right-hander has an 11-3 record this season with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in twenty starts. Woodruff had been enjoying a breakout season this year with increased velocity and spin on his fastball which saw him strikeout 28.3% of the batters he faced. Woodruff has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.24 ERA with a 1.10 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .236 in eleven starts. Milwaukee has won 12 of their last 13 home games with Woodruff on the hill — and they have won 10 straight home games with Woodruff pitching with the Total set at 8.5 to 10. Woodruff will be on a pitch count tonight with his first start off the DL — he will be followed up by Gio Gonzalez who is 2-2 with a 4.01 ERA in sixteen starts this year. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 1.25 WHIP with an opponent’s batting average of .209 in seven starts as opposed to his 1.44 WHIP and .269 opponent’s batting average when on the road. San Diego has lost 8 of their last 10 games after not scoring more than two runs in their last game. The Padres have also lost 8 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 7 straight road games against teams with a winning record at home. They counter with Paddack who will be making his last start of the season before San Diego shuts him down for the year. The rookie right-hander has a 9-7 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in twenty-five starts this season. He comes off a great start where he did not allow an earned run in 6 innings of work at home against the Cubs — but the Padres have then lost 5 of their last 6 games with Paddack looking to follow up a Quality Start. Despite that nice effort, Paddack has shown signs of tiring out this summer. After posting a sparkling 2.84 ERA with a 0.92 WHIP in the first half of the regular season, he saw those numbers decline to a 4.22 ERA and 1.13 WHIP since the All-Star break. He has already pitched 45 2/3 more innings than he did last year between Class-A and Double-A. Paddack has also been more effective at home in spacious Petco Park where he enjoys a 3.06 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .188 — but in his fourteen starts on the road, those numbers increase to a 3.65 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .226. San Diego has lost 4 of their last 5 road games with Paddack on the mound.

FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee has won 8 of their last 9 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. 25* MLB National League Game of the Year with the money-line on the Milwaukee Brewers (954) versus the San Diego Padres (953) listing both starting pitchers Brandon Woodruff and Chris Paddack. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:45 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the St. Louis Cardinals (904) plus the points versus the Washington Nationals (903) listing both starting pitchers Dakota Hudson and Stephen Strasburg. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (83-66) has lost their last two games after their 7-6 loss to Milwaukee. Washington (82-66) snapped a two-game losing streak yesterday with a 7-0 win at home over Atlanta.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CARDINALS PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: St. Louis stranded only three runners yesterday while scoring six runs — and they have won 28 of their last 40 games after not leaving more than three runners on base in their last game. They have also bounced back to win 9 of their last 11 games after a loss. The Cardinals have also won 9 of their last 12 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. St. Louis stays at home where they have won 23 of their last 32 games — and they have also won 11 of their last 16 home games as the money-line underdog. They give the ball to Hudson who is 15-7 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in twenty-nine starts (30 appearances). The ground ball pitcher has been outstanding as of late with a 5-1 record over his last six starts along with a 1.41 ERA spanning those 38 1/3 innings where he has surrendered a mere 16 base hits. Hudson was saddled with a 1.56 WHIP in the first half of the season but he has a 1.25 WHIP after the All-Star break along with a 0.84 WHIP over those last six starts. Hudson has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.92 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .231 in fifteen starts as compared to his 3.93 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and .270 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Cardinals have won 5 straight home games with Hudson on the mound. And while he comes off a strong start where he allowed only two earned runs on the road at Coors Field against the Rockies in 6 innings of work — and St. Louis has won 11 of their last 14 games with Hudson following up a Quality Start. He faces a Nationals team that has lost 5 of their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Washington has lost 4 of their last 5 games after a win — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. This team has also lost 4 straight opening games to a new season. They counter with Strasburg who is 17-6 with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in thirty starts. But while the right-hander has a 3.33 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .202 at home in thirteen starts, those numbers rise to a 3.61 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .223 on the road. He faces a Cardinals team that has won 20 of their last 27  home games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Nationals have also lost 5 of their last 6 games against St. Louis.

FINAL TAKE: I considered taking the Cardinals as the underdog but I remain concerned a bit in going against Strasburg who has a 2.25 ERA over his last three starts. But Washington’s bullpen has an ERA of 5.87 this season which helps to place the Nationals into an empirical “play-against” angle specific to the Run-Line that has 57% effective over the last five seasons. Teams with a bullpen ERA of 5.50 or higher using a starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.50 or lower over his last three starts have then failed to cover the -1.5 Run-Line in 74 of these last 131 situations where these conditions applied. With the price of the +1.5 Run-Line below my -150 price threshold, let's invest in the insurance of getting +1.5 Runs with this very live dog. 25* MLB Run-Line Underdog of the Month with the St. Louis Cardinals (904) plus the points versus the Washington Nationals (903) listing both starting pitchers Dakota Hudson and Stephen Strasburg. Best of luck for us — Frank (follow on Twitter @FrankSawyer_HS where today he posts his Monday Morning Handicapper where he looks back to explain why he fortunately passed on a tempting CFB situation on Saturday that perhaps looked too good to be true).

At 5:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (929) and the Detroit Tigers (930) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Spencer Turnbull. THE SITUATION: Detroit (43-100) has won three of their last five games after their 12-11 win over the Yankees in the opening game of this series on Tuesday. New York (95-51) saw their three-game winning streak snapped with that loss. Yesterday’s game was postponed due to weather so this pitching matchup represents the second game of their afternoon double-header.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is now a decisive 51-25-3 in the Yankees’ last 79 games on the road — and they have played 14 of their last 19 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home. Additionally, New York has played 14 of their last 18 road games Over the Total when priced at least at -175 as the favorite. The Bronx Bombers have also played 35 of their last 56 games Over the Total with the number set at 10 or higher. They give the ball to Sabathia who comes off the disabled list to make this start — he is 5-8 with a 4.93 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in twenty starts this year. The veteran left-hander has struggled in the second-half of the season with a 7.77 ERA in his six starts since the All-Star break. He has been particularly ineffective on the road where he sees his ERA rise to a 6.75 mark along with a 1.62 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .312. New York has played 4 straight games Over the Total with Sabathia pitching on the road. He will be followed up by Domingo German with manager Aaron Boone looking to limit the innings of both pitchers going into the postseason. The right-hander has a 17-4 record with a 4.21 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP this season — and he has struggled on the road with a 5.73 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .257 as opposed to his 2.35 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and .197 opponent’s batting average when pitching at home. They face a hot-hitting Tigers team that is scoring 5.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .282 batting average along with a .320 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .720 over that span (which all compare favorably to their 3.7/.240/291/.680 splits for the entire season). Detroit has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total at home. And in their last 7 second games of a double-header, the Tigers have played 5 of these games Over the Total. They counter with Turnbull who is 3-14 with a 4.68 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP in twenty-six starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 4.92 ERA with a 1.52 WHIP with an opponent’s batting average of .281 in fourteen starts. Turnbull also has a 5.07 ERA in his twelve starts during the day with a 1.56 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .296. The Over is 3-0-2 in Detroit’s last 5 games with Turnbull facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Yankees team that is scoring 6.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .264 batting average along with a .330 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .907.

FINAL TAKE: The Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams entering the opening game of this afternoon’s doubleheader. With bullpens strained a bit today (especially after last night’s scoring fest), except a high scoring second game in this double-header. 25* MLB American League Getaway Game Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (929) and the Detroit Tigers (930) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Spencer Turnbull. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (979) and the Seattle Mariners (980) listing both starting pitchers Sonny Gray and Marco Gonzales. THE SITUATION: Seattle (59-86) snapped a six-game losing streak last night with their 4-3 win over the Reds. Cincinnati (67-78) has lost three of their last four games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Reds have played 5 of the last 7 games Under the Total after a loss. And while Cincinnati has not scored more than four runs in each of their last three games, they have then played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total after failing to score more than four runs in at least three straight games — and they have played 11 of their last 13 games on the road Under the Total after failing to score more than four runs in three straight contests. The Reds have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and the Under is a decisive 34-16-1 in their last 51 road games against teams with a losing record at home. They give the ball to Gray who is 10-6 with a 2.95 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in twenty-eight starts. The veteran right-hander has allowed only 12 combined earned runs over his last twelve starts. Gray has only allowed one earned run over his last two starts — and Cincinnati has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total with Gray pitching after not allowing more than one earned run in two straight starts. Gray has also been more effective on the road where he has a 2.58 ERA with an opponent’s batting average of .189 in thirteen starts as opposed to his 2.90 ERA with a .212 opponent’s batting average at home. The Reds have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total when his team is pitching as a favorite priced in the -100 to -150 range. He should thrive against this slumping Mariners lineup that is scoring only 3.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games along with a .172 batting average, .241 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .564 over that span. Seattle has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Mariners are hitting just .161 over their last five games — and they have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not hitting better than .200 over their last five games. Furthermore, Seattle has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 4 games in Interleague play, the Mariners have played all 4 games Under the Total. They counter with Gonzales who is 14-11 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP in thirty starts. The left-hander has been a bit better at home where he owns a 4.32 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .267 in fourteen starts as compared to his 4.42 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .282 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Mariners have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total with Gonzales on the hill. He faces a Reds team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .234 batting average in those contests. Cincinnati has played 20 of their last 28 road games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 5 of the last 6 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 9 of their last 11 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing at Seattle. Expect another lower scoring game. 25* MLB Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds (979) and the Seattle Mariners (980) listing both starting pitchers Sonny Gray and Marco Gonzales. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:45 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (909) and the San Francisco Giants (910) listing both starting pitchers Mitch Keller and Johnny Cueto. THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (63-81) snapped a two-game losing streak yesterday with their 6-4 victory over the Giants in the opening game of this series. They scored four runs in the top of the 9th inning to pull out that win. San Francisco (69-75) has no lost two straight games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pirates have seen the Over go 8-2-1 in their last 11 games after a win — and the Over is a decisive 41-18-4 in their last 63 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. Pittsburgh has also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. They give the ball to Keller who is 1-3 with an 8.18 ERA and a 1.88 WHIP in eight starts this season. The 23-year old right-hander has shuttled back and forth between the majors and minors this season but the Pirates want to use these September games as an opportunity to audition for next year. He has done his best pitching at home in the pitcher-friendly PNC Park where he owns a 4.76 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .262 — but those numbers skyrocket in his four starts on the road where he has an 11.81 ERA with a 2.56 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .423. The Over is 3-0-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 4 games on the road with Keller on the hill. He faces a Giants team that has seen the Over go 4-1-1 in their last 6 home games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Over is 5-2-1 in San Francisco’s last 8 games after a loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Giants are slumping with their bats as of late as they have not scored more than those four runs last night in three straight games. San Francisco is also hitting just .193 over their last five games — but they have then played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total after hitting no better than .200 in their last five games. The Giants have also played 22 of their last 33 games Over the Total after failing to score more than four runs in three straight contests. Additionally, the Over is 3-1-1 in San Francisco’s last 5 games at home — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. They counter with Cueto who is making his season debut after recovering from Tommy John surgery which has kept him on the shelf for thirteen months. The 33-year old right-hander was 3-2 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in nine starts last year before suffering his elbow injury. The sabermetrics were not encouraging with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.47 and 4.52 from his peripheral numbers. Cueto was not as effective at home either where he had a 5.19 ERA with a 1.69 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .333 in five starts as compared to his 1.33 ERA, 0.56 WHIP and .125 opponent’s batting average on the road. Those disparate home/road splits were consistent with his numbers two years ago with a deeper sample size as he had a 4.60 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and .288 opponent’s batting average at home in twelve starts as compared to his 4.44 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and .267 opponent’s batting average in thirteen starts on the road. The Over is 19-5-2 in the Giants’ last 26 home games with Cueto on the hill. The Pirates have played 5 of their last 7 road games against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Over is 14-6-2 in their last 22 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: The Over is 9-3-3 in the last 15 games between these two teams played in San Francisco’s AT&T Park. Expect a higher-scoring game tonight. 25* MLB National League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (909) and the San Francisco Giants (910) listing both starting pitchers Mitch Keller and Johnny Cueto. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Arizona Diamondbacks (910) versus the San Diego Padres (909) listing both starting pitchers Zac Gallen and Chris Paddack. THE SITUATION: Arizona (72-67) has won the first two games of this series — as well as eight of their last nine games — with their 2-1 victory over the Padres last night. San Diego (64-74) has lost five of their last eight games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DIAMONDBACKS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Arizona remains alive in the National League playoff picture as they are just 3 1/2 games behind the Cubs for the second NL playoff wildcard spot. The Diamondbacks should build off their momentum as they have won 6 of their last 7 games after a win. They also have won 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. Arizona has now won 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they are 11-6-1 in their last 18 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to Gallen who is 2-4 with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP in twelve starts this season. Since being traded from Miami, the 24-year old right-hander has a 2.88 ERA in his five starts in a Diamondbacks uniform. Gallen has been more effective when pitching at home this year where he owns a 1.30 WHIP along with a .200 opponent’s batting average in six starts. His teams have won 4 of his last 5 starts including the last three when they were favored at a -110 or better price with him on the mound making the start. San Diego has lost 4 straight games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. The Padres have also lost 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Paddack who is 8-7 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP in thirteen starts. The rookie left-hander had endured a 6.17 ERA in seven starts since the All-Star break but found a glimpse of his first-half form in his last start at San Francisco where he allowed only one run in 7 innings of work. The sabermetrics have been calling for regression for months with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.99 and 4.22 respectively for Paddack moving forward. Paddack has not been as effective on the road either where he has a 3.93 ERA along with 1.12 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .228 as compared to his 3.40 ERA along with a sterling 0.88 WHIP and .192 opponent’s batting average in his ten starts in the spacious pitcher-friendly Petco Park. San Diego has lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road with Paddack on the mound. He faces a hot-hitting Diamondbacks lineup that is scoring 6.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .285 batting average along with a .336 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .856 over that span.

FINAL TAKE: Arizona has won 6 of their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 4 straight games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. 25* MLB National League West Game of the Year with the money-line on the Arizona Diamondbacks (910) versus the San Diego Padres (909) listing both starting pitchers Zac Gallen and Chris Paddack. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Oakland A’s (974) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Los Angeles Angels (973) listing both starting pitchers Mike Fiers and Jaime Barria. THE SITUATION: Oakland (78-58) has lost two straight games after blowing two late leads against the Yankees over the weekend culminating in a 5-4 loss in New York on Sunday. Los Angeles (65-73) has lost three of their last four games — as well as eight of their last ten contests — with their 4-3 loss to Boston on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE A’S MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Oakland has won 22 of the last 28 games after a loss — and they have won 20 of their last 26 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The A’s have also won 8 of their last 10 games after an off day. Oakland returns home where they have won 19 of their last 26 games — and they have won a decisive 45 of their last 62 home games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Fiers who is 13-3 with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in twenty-eight starts. The right-hander is unbeaten in his last twenty starts with his last loss occurring way back on May 1st. Fiers has done his best pitching at home where he owns a 2.92 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .219 in fifteen starts. The A’s have won 26 of their last 32 home games with Fiers making the start. He faces a slumping Angels lineup that is scoring only 4.0 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .211 batting average along with a .315 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .675 over that span. Los Angeles has also lost 6 of their last 8 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Angels have lost 5 of their last 7 games after a loss — and they have also lost 4 of their last 5 games after an off day. And while the LA bullpen did not allow an earned run on Sunday, they have then lost 15 of their last 21 games after a game where their bullpen did not surrender an earned run. They counter with Barria who is 4-7 with a 6.10 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP in 62 innings of work. The left-hander has been a disaster when pitching on the road where he has an 8.24 ERA with a 1.75 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .309 in 39 1/3 innings consisting of nine games which include seven starts. The Angels have lost 4 straight games on the road with Barria on the hill. He faces an A’s team that is scoring 7.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .283 batting average along with a .369 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .857. Oakland has won 22 of their last 30 home games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 25 of their last 34 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The A’s have won the last three games in this series after the last meeting at the end of June — and the Angels have lost 28 of their last 32 games when playing with at least double-revenge. Lastly, because Oakland has a slugging percentage of .447 this season, the Angels fall into an empirical “play-against” angle specific to the Run-Line that has been 51% effective over the last five seasons. LA is hitting .252 this season — and American League road underdogs with a batting average no better than .260 now facing an American League team with a slugging percentage of .440 or higher have then failed to ver the +1.5 Run-Line in 103 of the last 201 situations (priced in the -160 to +115 range). 25* MLB American League West Run-Line of the Year with the Oakland A’s (974) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Los Angeles Angels (973) listing both starting pitchers Mike Fiers and Jaime Barria. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:15 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (963) and the San Francisco Giants (964) listing both starting pitchers Dinelson Lamet and Madison Bumgarner. THE SITUATION: San Diego (62-71) won the opening game of this series last night by a 5-3 score. San Francisco (65-68) has lost three straight games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Padres have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win. Additionally, the Under is 4-0-1 in San Diego’s last 5 games on the road against teams with a losing record. And in their last 25 road games in the season half of the season, the Padres have played 19 of these games Under the Total. They give the ball to Lamet who is 2-2 with a 4.30 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP in nine starts. The right-hander has seen the velocity on his fastball approach 96 miles per hour which has helped him generate swinging strikes in 13.8% of his pitches. The sabermetrics are bullish with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.01 and 3.84 moving forward based off his deeper peripheral numbers. Over his last seven starts, Lamet has a 2-0 record with a 3.75 ERA. He also has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.12 ERA along with a 1.19 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .214 in five starts. San Diego has played 3 of their last 4 road games Under the Total with Lamet pitching with the Total set in the 7 to 7.5 range. He faces a Giants team that scores only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .228 batting average along with a .289 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .651. The Under is 7-2-1 in the Giants’ last 10 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Under is also 13-5-1 in San Francisco’s last 19 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Furthermore, the Under is 13-3-2 in the Giants’ last 18 games after a loss. The Under is also 15-6-3 in San Fran’s last 24 home games against teams with a losing record. And in the Giants’ last 10 games when favored in the -125 to -175 price range, they have played 7 of these games Under the Total. They counter with Bumgarner who is 8-8 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in twenty-eight starts. The lefty has been on fire over his last twelve starts as he enjoys a 5-1 record with a 2.96 ERA over that span. The veteran also loves facing the Padres against which he sports a 3.47 ERA in 35 games (34 starts). Bumgarner has been much better at home where he owns a 2.95 ERA with a 0.93 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .215 in fifteen starts. The Under is 5-1-2 in San Francisco’s last 8 home games with Bumgarner facing a team with a losing record. The Giants have also played 12 of their last 14 home games with Bumgarner facing a fellow NL West foe. The Padres are scoring only 2.9 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .185 batting average along with a .255 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .573.

FINAL TAKE: San Diego has played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB National League West Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (963) and the San Francisco Giants (964) listing both starting pitchers Dinelson Lamet and Madison Bumgarner. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Philadelphia Phillies (954) versus the New York Mets (953) listing both starting pitchers Aaron Nola and Zack Wheeler. THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (69-63) has won five of their last eight games with their 12-3 victory over Pittsburgh on Wednesday. New York (67-66) has lost six straight games after their 4-1 loss to the Cubs yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PHILLIES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Philadelphia has won a decisive 42 of their last 65 games after scoring at least eight runs in their last game. They also have won 9 of their last 10 games after scoring at least twelve runs in their last contest — and they have won 18 of their last 24 games after a game where at least 15 combined runs were scored. Furthermore, the Phillies have won 4 of their last 5 games at home against teams with a winning record — and they have won 6 straight games against teams with a winning record overall. They give the ball to Nola who is 12-4 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in twenty-eight starts. The right-hander endured a slow start of the season but he has been in top form this summer. Since the start of July, Nola has a 6-2 record with a 2.61 ERA along with a 1.02 WHIP in 72 1/3 innings of work while striking out 74 batters. Nola comes off a solid start where he allowed three runs in 7 innings of work at Miami — and the Phillies have won 28 of their last 39 games with Nola looking to follow up a Quality Start. Nola has done his best pitching at home where he owns a 2.94 ERA along with a 1.21 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .222 in sixteen starts. Philadelphia has won 30 of their last 41 home games with Nola on the hill. The Phillies have also won 4 of their last 5 home games with Nola facing a team with a winning record. And in their last 9 games with Nola pitching with the Total set at 9 or 9.5, Philadelphia has won all 9 games. He should pitch another great game against this slumping Mets team that is scoring only 2.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .220 batting average along with a .265 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .625 over that span. New York has lost 4 straight games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. The Mets have also lost 25 of their last 37 games after losing at least three in a row. Now after playing their last nine games at home, New York goes back on the road where they have lost 21 of their last 30 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, New York has lost 8 of their last 10 games after playing at least seven straight games at home. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Mets have lost all 6 games. They counter with Wheeler who is 9-7 with a 4.46 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in twenty-five stats. The right-hander is struggling as of late with a 6.75 ERA along with a 1.75 WHIP over his last three starts. Wheeler has not been as effective on the road either as he owns a 4.58 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .277 in thirteen road starts. New York has lost 6 of their last 7 road games with Wheeler facing a team with a winning record. He faces a hot-hitting Phillies team that is scoring 7.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games along with a .282 batting average, .373 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .887. Philadelphia has won 4 of their last 5 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Phillies have won 5 of their last 6 home games with Nola facing a team the Mets. New York has lost their last 6 games in Philadelphia against the Phillies. 25* MLB Game of the Month with the money-line on the Philadelphia Phillies (954) versus the New York Mets (953) listing both starting pitchers Aaron Nola and Zack Wheeler. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:07 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Atlanta Braves (975) versus the Toronto Blue Jays (976) listing both starting pitchers Mike Foltynewicz and Jacob Waguespack. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (80-54) has lost two straight games with their 3-1 loss to the Blue Jays in the opening game of this series. Toronto (54-80) has won two of their last three games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRAVES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Atlanta has bounced-back to win 17 of their last 25 games after a loss — and they have won 19 of their last 27 road games after a loss by two runs or less in their last contest. The Braves have also won 17 of their last 26 games after losing two in the row. Additionally, Atlanta has won 12 of their last 16 games after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. The Braves have still won 20 of their last 28 road games against teams with a losing record at home — and they have won 13 of their last 15 road games as a favorite priced in the -125 to -175 price range. They give the ball to Foltynewicz who is coming off his best start of the season where he allowed only one run in 7 innings of work where he allowed only two hits on the road against the Mets. For the season, the right-hander has a 4-5 record with a 5.68 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in fifteen starts this season. Folty dealt with elbow soreness in the spring which impacted his velocity — and he endured a disastrous first half of the season that eventually prompted the Braves to send him down to the minors. In his four starts since being promoted back to the big leagues, Foltynewicz’s velocity has improved — and he has a 3.91 ERA with 26 strikeouts in 23 innings of work. Foltynewicz has been more effective on the road this year where he has a 1.29 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .253 in seven starts as opposed to his 1.50 WHIP and .278 opponent’s batting average in eight starts at home. Atlanta has won 4 straight road games with Foltynewicz on the hill. The Braves have also won 4 of their last 5 games with Foltynewicz looking to follow up a Quality Start. He should have success against this Blue Jays team that is scoring only 3.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .223 batting average along with a .296 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .676. Toronto has lost 27 of their last 43 home games against teams with a right-handed starting pitcher. The Blue Jays have lost 40 of their last 58 games after a win — and they have lost 18 of their last 23 games after a victory by two runs or less. And while the Toronto bullpen pitched 7 innings last night, they have then lost 22 of their last 28 games after a game where their bullpen logged in at least 7 innings of work in their last game. The Blue Jays have still lost 16 of their last 21 games in Interleague play — and they have lost eight of their last ten games at home against teams from the National League. Toronto has also lost 39 of their last 58 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Waguespack who is 4-1 with a 3.63 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in 52 innings of work. The sabermetrics are not encouraging for the right-hander with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.74 and 4.91 moving forward. Waguespack has not been as effective at home either where he owns a 5.21 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP as compared to his 2.73 ERA, 1.03 WHIP.

FINAL TAKE: The Braves have won 5 of their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Road Warrior of the Month with the money-line on the Atlanta Braves (975) versus the Toronto Blue Jays (976) listing both starting pitchers Mike Foltynewicz and Jacob Waguespack. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Royals (915) and the Cleveland Indians (916) listing both starting pitchers Jakob Junis and Zach Plesac. THE SITUATION: Kansas City (45-83) has lost two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 8-1 loss in Baltimore against the Orioles. Cleveland (74-54) has won three straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 2-0 loss in New York to the Mets.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Royals have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss. Additionally, Kansas City has lost 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 16 of their last 25 games Under the Total after allowing at least eight runs in their last contest. The Royals have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring no more than two runs in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after an off day. And in their last 7 games on the road, Kansas City has played 5 of these games Under the Total. They give the ball to Junis who is 8-11 with a 4.78 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in twenty-six starts. The right-hander will be looking to complete at least 6 innings of work for the ninth straight start tonight. Junis has been more effective on the road where he has a 3.89 ERA along with a 1.33 WHIP and .260 opponent’s batting average in twelve starts as opposed to his 5.53 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and .275 opponent’s batting average when pitching at home. The Royals have played 4 straight road games Under the Total with Junis pitching against teams with a winning record. Kansas City has also played 22 of their last 33 games with Junis pitching with the Total set in the 8.5 to 10 range. He faces an Indians team that is scoring only 4.4 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers with a .244 batting average along with a .310 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .728. Cleveland has played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a loss by two runs or less — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing no more than two runs in their last game. The Indians return home to Progressive Field for the first time since August 14th — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total after being on the road for at least seven days. Cleveland has also played 19 of their last 25 home games Under the Total when favored in the -125 to -175 price range. They counter with Plesac who is 6-4 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in fifteen starts. The right-hander has done his best pitching at home where he has a 3.25 ERA along with a 1.17 WHIP in eight starts as compared to his 3.86 ERA and 1.26 WHIP on the road. The Indians have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total with Plesac pitching as a money-line favorite priced in the -110 to -150 range. He should have success facing this Royals team that is scoring only 3.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games along with a .214 batting average along with a .264 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .550 during that span. Kansas City has also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: This is the first meeting between these two teams since July 28th when the Royals upset the Indians at home by a 9-6 score despite being a +160 priced underdog. Cleveland has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from an upset loss as a home favorite. These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing in Cleveland. 25* MLB American League Central Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Royals (915) and the Cleveland Indians (916) listing both starting pitchers Jakob Junis and Zach Plesac. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:20 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (907) and the Atlanta Braves (908) listing both starting pitchers Caleb Smith and Julio Teheran. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (75-62) has won three straight games with their 5-1 victory over the Marlins last night. Miami (45-79) has lost four straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Braves have played 20 of their last 30 games Over the Total after a victory by at least four runs. The Over is also 6-2-2 in their last 10 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And while Atlanta has not allowed more than three runs in three straight games, they have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after not allowing more than three runs in their last game. Furthermore, while the Braves have played three straight games Over the Total, they have then played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight Unders. They give the ball to Teheran who is 7-8 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP in twenty-six starts this season. The sabermetrics are screaming that Teheran is high on the list of regression candidates for the rest of the season relative to those baseline numbers. Opposing hitters are generating a Hard-Hit Rate of 38.9% which is the highest in his career. The right-hander then adds to many walks to this volatile situation — he issues a base-on-balls to 11.0% of the batters he faces while averaging 4.29 walks per 9 innings of work. Unfortunately for Teheran, he is not much of a strikeout pitcher to help him get out of jams — he only strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces. He also does not induce ground balls as only 39.8% of the batted balls he allows into play are grounders. Both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 5.13 and 5.27 moving forward based on his peripheral numbers like this. Teheran is not quite as effective a home either where he has a 1.45 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .248 in twelve starts as compared to his 1.26 WHIP and .221 opponent’s batting average when pitching on the road. Atlanta has played 9 of their last 13 home games Over the Total with Teheran on the hill — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with Teheran facing a team with a losing record. The Braves have also played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with Teheran facing the Marlins. The Over is 10-3-2 in Miami’s last 15 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Over is also 10-3-2 in the Marlins’ last 15 games after a loss — and they have played 8 of their last 13 games after a loss to a divisional rival where they scored just one run. The Over is also 6-0-2 in Miami’s last 8 games after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. Additionally, the Marlins have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total in the month of August — and the Over is 6-1-2 in Miami’s last 9 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Smith who is 8-6 with a 3.63 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in twenty starts. The lefty has a concerning Hard-Hit rate of 41.7% that is a bit more manageable when pitching in the spacious Marlins Park for his home games. Smith has a 3.32 ERA in ten starts at home — but those numbers rise to a 3.95 ERA when he is on the road. His SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.08 and 4.34 moving forward. Miami has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Smith pitching on five days of rest — and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 5 games with Smith facing a team with a winning record. After throwing 106 pitches in his last game (which only got him through 5 innings), the Marlins will be keeping a short lease on their young hurler as they build for the future. Expect the Miami bullpen to get plenty of action in this game with their 5.15 ERA and 1.46 WHIP this season — and that group has a 12.34 ERA with a 2.49 WHIP in their last seven games. Atlanta hits left-handed pitching hard — they average 5.6 Runs-Per-Game with a .812 OPS against left-handed starting pitchers. The Braves have also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: The Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Expect another higher-scoring game tonight. 25* MLB National League East Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (907) and the Atlanta Braves (908) listing both starting pitchers Caleb Smith and Julio Teheran. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Minnesota Twins (970) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago White Sox (969) listing both starting pitchers Michael Pineda and Reynaldo Lopez. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (76-49) saw their four-game winning streak snapped last night with their 6-4 loss to the White Sox in the opening game of this series. Chicago (56-68) had lost three of their last four games before pulling the upset last night.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TWINS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Minnesota has bounced-back to win 36 of their last 52 games after a loss — and they have won 37 of their last 53 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, the Twins have won 42 of their last 59 games against teams with a losing record — and they have won 38 of their last 56 games against fellow AL Central opponents. Minnesota has also still won 48 of their last 71 home games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Pineda who is 8-5 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in twenty-two starts this season. This will be his second start since a stint on the disabled list dealing with a triceps injury in his throwing arm. Pineda struggled earlier in the season as he returned to the mound after missing last season after undergoing Tommy John surgery. The right-hander has allowed more than three earned runs just once in his last fifteen starts. Over his last ten starts, Pineda has a 2.95 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP in 58 innings of work where he struck out 56 batters. Pineda has also been more effective at home where he owns a 1.14 WHIP with an opponent’s batting average of .249 in eleven starts. The Twins have won 4 of their last 5 home games with Pineda on the hill. He should pitch well against this White Sox team that has lost 19 of their last 26 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. Chicago is scoring just 3.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .243 batting average along with a .291 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .639 over that span. The White Sox have lost 5 of their last 6 games after a win — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Chicago has also lost 7 of their last 11 games after pulling off an upset win over a divisional rival. They counter with Lopez who is 7-10 with a 5.29 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in twenty-five starts. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he owns a 5.57 ERA with a 1.55 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .294 in twelve starts. The White Sox have lost 4 of their last 5 road games with Lopez on the mound when priced in the +125 to +175 price range. Lopez is also 0-2 in his three career starts on the road in Minnesota’s Target Field with a 5.40 ERA. He faces a hot-hitting Twins’ team that is scoring 7.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .302 batting average along with a .323 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .900 over that span. The Twins have won a decisive 42 of their last 57 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The White Sox have lost 11 of their last 15 games against the Twins — and they have also lost 7 of their last 8 games in Minnesota. The Twins have been money-line favorites priced above the -150 threshold forty-one times this season. Only four times have then won the game by just one run — they have won 22 of those games by more than one run while losing outright in 15 of those games. I don’t love the losses (but I feel good with Pineda on the hill) — but I would much rather lower the price on Minnesota than risk the big money-line loss. 25* MLB American League Central Run-Line of the Month with the Minnesota Twins (970) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago White Sox (969) listing both starting pitchers Michael Pineda and Reynaldo Lopez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Oakland A’s (920) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Houston Astros (919) listing both starting pitchers Chris Bassitt and Rogelio Armenteros. THE SITUATION: Oakland (70-52) has won three straight games after winning the second game of this series last night by a 3-2 score. Houston (78-45) has lost four straight games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE A’S PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: Oakland pulled off the upset last night as a +170 priced underdog since they were battling Justin Verlander — and they have won 11 of their last 16 games after an upset victory as a home underdog against a fellow AL West rival. The A’s have also won 10 of their last 12 third games of a series. Oakland has been dominant when playing at home in the Coliseum — they have won 71 of their last 105 games at home going back to last season. The A’s have also won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 9 of their last 10 home games with the Total set at 10 or higher. They give the ball to Bassitt who is 8-5 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in twenty starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.06 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .207 in eight starts. Oakland has won 5 of their last 7 home games with Bassitt pitching with the Total set in the 8.5 to 10 range. Bassitt also thrives in day games where he has a 2.81 ERA with a 0.94 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .198. He faces an Astros team that has lost 4 of their last 5 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. Houston has lost 8 of their last 11 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. The Astros have also lost 4 straight games on the road. And while this is Houston’s ninth game on their ten-game road trip — they have lost 11 of their last 17 road games when it is at least their sixth game in a row. Given a hamstring injury that has caused Gerrit Cole to miss a start, the Astros recalled Armenteros from Round Rock in Triple-A to make this start. The 25-year old right-hander has struggled in the minors where he has a 5-6 record along with a 5.06 ERA. He has pitched 14 innings in the majors this season where he sports a 1-0 record with a 1.93 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP — but regression is highly likely in this start on the road. The sabermetrics for those 14 innings of work project that Armenteros will likely see the runs he allows double moving forward given his SIERA and xFIP that project an ERA of 3.80 and 4.07. Oakland has won 20 of their last 27 home games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The A’s won the opening game of this series on Thursday by a 7-6 score. Houston has lost 7 of their last 9 opportunities to avenge two straight losses by just one run to their opponent. While the A’s as a money-line underdog is intriguing, with the price of them getting the valuable +1.5 Run-Line being under my -150 threshold, I prefer investing in the Run-Line for this situation. 25* MLB FS1-TV Run-Line of the Year with the Oakland A’s (920) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Houston Astros (919) listing both starting pitchers Chris Bassitt and Rogelio Armenteros. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Cleveland Indians (962) versus the Boston Red Sox (961) listing both starting pitchers Zach Plesac and Eduardo Rodriguez. THE SITUATION: Cleveland (70-47) has won five of their last six games as well — as nine of their last twelve contests — with their 7-3 victory in Minnesota against the Twins. Boston (62-57) has lost two straight games — as well as eleven of their last fourteen contests — after their 5-4 loss in 10 innings against the Angels yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE INDIANS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Cleveland has quietly been one of the best teams in baseball since the All-Star break — they have won twenty-six of their last thirty-five games. The Indians return home where they have won 5 of their last 6 games — and they have won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, Cleveland has won 8 straight games at home with the Total set in the 10 to 10.5 range. They give the ball to Plesac who is 6-3 with a 3.13 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in thirteen starts. The right-hander comes off a strong outing where he did not allow an earned run in 6 innings of work while striking out seven batters against the Rangers. Please has been his most effective at home where he owns a 2.97 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .215 in seven starts. The Indians have won 5 straight home games with Plesac on the mound. Please has also thrived at night where he has a 2.10 ERA along with a 1.08 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .198 in six starts. Cleveland has won 6 straight night games with Plesac making the start. While Plesac was not a highly touted prospect in the minor leagues, his increased velocity has helped him exceed expectations at the major league level. He should pitch another good game against this slumping Red Sox team that has lost 6 of their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Boston has lost 8 of their last 10 games after a loss — and they have lost 9 of their last 11 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Furthermore, this reeling Red Sox team has lost 8 straight games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, Boston has lost 5 straight games on the road — and they have lost 4 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Red Sox have also lost 21 of their last 31 games when listed in the +/- 125 price range. They counter with Rodriguez who is 13-5 with a 4.17 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP in twenty-four starts this season. The left-hander has done his best pitching at home in Fenway Park where he owns a 3.89 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .241 in twelve starts — but those numbers rise to a 4.46 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .266 in his twelve starts on the road. He faces an Indians team that has won 22 of their last 29 games against left-handed starting pitchers — and this includes them winning thirteen of their last sixteen games at home against left-handed starting pitchers. Cleveland has also won 35 of their last 51 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Indians have won 4 of their 5 encounters with the Red Sox — and they have also won 13 of their last 18 opportunities to host Boston in Progressive Field. 25* MLB Monday ESPN Game of the Year with the money-line on the Cleveland Indians (962) versus the Boston Red Sox (961) listing both starting pitchers Zach Plesac and Eduardo Rodriguez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (908) versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (907) listing both starting pitchers Dakota Hudson and Chris Archer. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (58-55) lost all five games on their recent road trip that ended on Wednesday with their 2-1 loss in Los Angeles to the Angels. Pittsburgh (48-66) has lost five straight games — as well as fifteen of their last seventeen contests — after their 8-3 loss to Milwaukee on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CARDINALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Pirates have been reeling since the All-Star Break as they have lost twenty-one of their last twenty-five games since the Midseason Classic. Pittsburgh has lost 17 of their last 22 games after a loss — and they have lost 8 of their last 9 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Pirates have also lost 6 of their last 8 games after an off day. Additionally, Pittsburgh has lost 19 of their last 24 games after losing at least three straight games — and they have lost 24 of their last 34 games after losing six or seven of their last eight games. Now the Pirates go back on the road where they have lost 21 of their last 28 games — and they have lost 7 of their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record. Pittsburgh has also lost 23  of their last 31 games against fellow NL Central opponents. They give the ball to Archer who is 3-8 with a 5.35 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP in twenty starts. The right-hander comes off a nice start where he allowed only one run at home against the Mets in 6 innings of work — but the Pirates have then lost 6 straight games with Archer looking to follow up a Quality Start. Archer pitches much better at home where he owns a 3.98 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and .237 opponent’s batting average — but those numbers skyrocket to a 7.14 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP and .254 opponent’s batting average in nine starts on the road. The Pirates have lost 11 of their last 14 road games with Archer on the mound. He faces a Cardinals team that has won 16 of their last 21 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. St. Louis has bounce-back to win 25 of their last 38 games after a loss by just one run. The Cardinals have also won 30 of their last 44 games after losing at least three in a row. St. Louis is struggling on offense as they have not scored more than three runs in five straight games. But the Cardinals have then won 27 of their last 40 games after failing to score more than four runs in their last three games — and they have also won 42 of their last 59 home games after failing to score more than three runs in three straight contests. Returning home again will help — St. Louis has won 33 of their last 45 games when favored up to a -150 price. The Cardinals have also won 5 straight games against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, St. Louis has won 7 of their last 8 games against NL Central rivals — and they have won 5 of their last 7 opening games to a new series. They counter with Hudson who is 10-6 with a 3.99 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP in twenty-two starts (twenty-three games). The right-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 3.54 ERA. The Cardinals have won 4 of their last 5 home games with Hudson on the hill. St. Louis has also won 8 straight games with Hudson facing a team with a losing record. He faces a slumping Pirates lineup that is hitting just .230 batting average over their last seven games along with a .296 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .666 during that span. Pittsburgh has also lost 8 of their last 10 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher — and they have lost 19 of their last 26 road games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: St. Louis has won 20 of their last 28 meetings between these two teams — and this includes them winning five straight against the Pirates after completing a three-game sweep in Pittsburgh last month. The Pirates have lost 11 of their last 13 games when attempting to avenge at least two straight losses at home to their opponent. 25* MLB National League Central Game of the Month with the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (908) versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (907) listing both starting pitchers Dakota Hudson and Chris Archer. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Cincinnati Reds (974) versus the Los Angeles Angels (973) listing both starting pitchers Anthony DeSclafani and Jose Suarez. THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (53-58) has won two straight games as well as seven of their last ten contests with their 7-4 victory over the Angels in the opening game of this series. Los Angeles (56-58) has lost five straight games as well as nine of their last eleven contests.

REASONS TO TAKE THE REDS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Cincinnati may be five games under .500 but they are also just five games out of the second wild-card spot in the National League playoff race given their good play as of late. The Reds have won 5 of their last 6 games at home in the Great American Ballpark — and they have won 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to DeSclafani who is 6-6 with a 4.07 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP in twenty-one starts. The right-hander had a 2.94 ERA over a nine-start span before giving up three runs in 5 innings of work in his last start against Atlanta. He still has not allowed more than three earned runs in six straight starts. DeSclafani has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.40 ERA along with a 1.28 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .251 in ten starts as compared to his 4.72 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and .267 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts on the road. Cincinnati has won 7 of their last 10 home games with DeSclafani pitching against a team with a losing record. The Reds have also won 5 of their last 7 games with DeSclafani facing an American League opponent. He faces a cold Angels lineup that struck out seventeen times last night. Los Angeles is scoring only 2.9 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests with a .204 batting average along with a .275 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .631 during that span. The Angels have also lost 4 straight road games against right-handed starting pitchers. Additionally, Los Angeles has lost 4 straight games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Angels are just 27-32 on the road this season — and they have lost a decisive 46 of their last 66 road games against teams with a winning record a home. Furthermore, Los Angeles has lost 13 of their last 20 road games as an underdog priced in the +100 to +150 price range — and they have lost 8 of their last 12 road games with the Total set at 10 to 10.5. They counter with Suarez who is 2-2 with a 5.66 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP in nine starts. The left-handed rookie is not developing at the major league level as he was saddled with a 5.75 ERA in his five starts last month. Suarez has not been as effective on the road either where he has a 5.70 ERA in five starts along with a 1.56 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .280. The Angels have lost 4 of their last 5 games with Suarez facing a team with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: The Reds have won 5 of their last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. 25* MLB Interleague Game of the Year with the money-line on the Cincinnati Reds (974) versus the Los Angeles Angels (973) listing both starting pitchers Anthony DeSclafani and Jose Suarez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (973) and the New York Yankees (974) listing both starting pitchers David Price and J.A. Happ. New York (71-39) has won four straight games after taking Game Three of their AL East series with the Red Sox by a 6-4 score in the second game of their double-header yesterday. Boston (59-54) has now lost seven straight games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Red Sox have played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after losing six or seven of their last eight contests. Additionally, Boston has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. And while the Red Sox have not scored more than four runs in four straight games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not scoring more than four runs in four straight games. Additionally, Boston has played 12 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have also played 29 of their last 43 road games Over the Total when priced as the favorite of at least -110. They give the ball to Price who is 7-4 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in twenty starts this season. The left-hander has allowed fewer runs at home in Fenway this year where he has a 3.46 ERA as opposed to his 4.13 ERA when he is pitching on the road. Price returns from paternity leave for this critical contest for the reeling Sox — but he has been part of the problem given his 6.52 ERA over his last four starts. And Yankee Stadium has been a house of horrors for Price — in his seven regular-season starts here since the start of the 2016 campaign, he has been saddled with an 8.59 ERA along with a 1.96 WHIP. Boston has played 5 straight games Over the Total with Price pitching in New York against the Yankees. He faces a hot-hitting Bronx Bombers team (despite being a M*A*S*H unit with their hitters) who are scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .274 batting average along with a .349 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .836 during that span. New York has played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a win by two runs or less — and they have also played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after winning at least four in a row. The Yankees have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And while the New York bullpen logged in 8 innings of work yesterday with them using reliever Chad Green as their opener, they have then played 15 of their last 19 games Over the Total when their bullpen pitched at least 7 innings in their last game. Additionally, the Yankees have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 23 of their last 34 games Over the Total when priced in the +/- 125 price range. They counter with Happ who is 8-6 with a 5.19 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP in twenty-one starts. The left-hander is also returning from paternity leave but he has struggled in Yankee Stadium as well where he has a 5.64 ERA along with a 1.47 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .305 in twelve starts as compared to his 4.62 ERA along with a nice 1.19 WHIP and .238 opponent’s batting average on the road. New York has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total with Happ facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Red Sox team that has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers — and the Over is 21-10-1 in their last 32 games against starting pitchers. And while Boston has played 29 of their last 43 games Over the Total with the number set at 10 or higher, the Yanks have played 21 of their last 33 games Over the Total with the total set at 10 or more.

FINAL TAKE: New York has won the last four games of this series going back all the way to the idyllic last few days in July last Sunday night. Boston has played 29 of their last 46 games Over the Total when playing with at least double-revenge — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when having lost at least four straight games against their opponent. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (973) and the New York Yankees (974) listing both starting pitchers David Price and J.A. Happ. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (915) and the Baltimore Orioles (916) listing both starting pitchers Thomas Pannone and Dylan Bundy. THE SITUATION: Toronto (45-67) has won five straight games after winning the first two games of this series with their 5-2 victory over the Orioles last night. Baltimore (36-73) has lost four of their last five games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blue Jays have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after winning two straight games on the road against an AL East rival. And while Toronto has not allowed more than three runs in five straight games, they have then played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after not allowing more than four runs in five straight games. The Blue Jays stay on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home — and they have also played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 10 to 10.5 range. Additionally, Toronto has played 21 of their last 30 games on the road Over the Total in the month of August. They give the ball to Pannone who is 2-4 with a 5.98 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP in 49 2/3 innings of work this season. The left-hander is getting the first shot to take over in the Blue Jays rotation for the recently traded Marcus Stroman. But while Pannone has a 4.50 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .229 at home, those numbers skyrocket to a 7.89 ERA along with a 1.57 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .273 in 21 2/3 innings of work on the road. Toronto has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total with Pannone on the hill. They have also played 4 of their last 5 games at night Over the Total with Pannone making the start. He faces an Orioles team that has played 5 straight games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher — and the Over is 5-1-2 in their last 8 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. Baltimore has seen the Over go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a loss — and they have played 30 of their last 44 games Over the Total after losing two in a row. The Over is also 8-3-2 in the Orioles’ last 13 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game — and the Over is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after allowing at least five runs. Additionally, the Over is 11-5-2 in Baltimore’s last 18 home games against teams with a losing record on the road — and they have played 17 of their last 26 home games Over the Total against fellow AL East opponents. The Orioles have also played 38 of their last 62 games Over the Total when playing at night. They counter with Bundy who is 5-11 with a 5.24 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in twenty starts. The right-hander is a gopher ball machine as he is allowing 2.1 Home Runs per 9 innings of work. Bundy has surrendered multiple home runs in seven of his starts this season. He also has fared worse at home in Camden Yards where he has a 6.16 ERA with a 1.49 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .299 in ten starts. Baltimore has played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total with Bundy facing a team with a losing record — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total with Bundy pitching with the Total set at 10 or higher. He faces a hot-hitting Blue Jays lineup that is scoring 7.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .292 batting average along with a .366 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .943 during that span. Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Orioles have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Bundy starting against the Blue Jays.

FINAL TAKE: Baltimore has now lost their last three meetings with the Blue Jays this season. The Orioles have played 24 of their last 36 games Over the Total when playing with double-revenge — and they have played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total when playing with triple revenge on their mind. 25* MLB American League East Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (915) and the Baltimore Orioles (916) listing both starting pitchers Thomas Pannone and Dylan Bundy. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Cleveland Indians (968) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Los Angeles Angels (967) listing just starting pitcher Mike Clevinger. THE SITUATION: Cleveland (63-45) has lost three of their last four games with their 7-1 loss to Houston yesterday. Los Angeles (56-54) has lost five of their last seven games after their 9-1 loss to Detroit on Wednesday. The Angels had originally announced Dillon Peters as the starter but have decided to use Taylor Cole as the opener before turning to Peters who will still serve as the bulk pitcher tonight. I love the Indians behind Clevinger tonight — so don’t list the Angels opener since, one way or another, Peters is getting the bulk of the action (and I don’t want to risk a last-minute change back to Peters — but if you mist list the Angels pitcher, list Cole).

REASONS TO TAKE THE INDIANS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Cleveland has bounced-back to win 13 of their last 16 games after a loss — and they have won 11 of their last 16 games after losing three of their last four contests. The Indians have also won 25 of their last 35 games after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. And in their last 14 games after allowing at least five runs, Cleveland has then won 10 of these games. The Indians stay at home at Progressive Field where they have still won 8 of their last 11 games. They have also won a decisive 16 of their last 20 games when priced as a favorite of at least -200. They give the ball to Clevinger who is 5-2 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in nine starts this season. The left-hander started the year strong in April before hitting disabled list for a few months — but he picked up right where he left off when returning to the  starting rotation as he was 4-0 with a 1.74 ERA with 41 strikeouts in 31 innings of work. The sabermetrics are bullish with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 2.96 and 2.39 moving forward. Clevinger comes off a strong effort where he allowed only one earned run in 7 innings of work at Kansas City — and the Indians have won 5 of their last 7 games with Clevinger following up a Quality Start. Clevinger has been more effective at home where he enjoys a 0.78 ERA with a 0.83 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .152 in four starts as opposed to his 5.47 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .260 opponent’s batting average on the road. Cleveland has won 9 of their last 11 games at home with Clevinger on the hill — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games with him facing the Angels. They also have won 6 of their last 7 games with Clevinger priced as a favorite above -150. He faces an Angels team that is hitting only .220 over their last seven games with  a .299 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .719. Los Angeles has lost 4 of their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Angels have lost 12 of their last 15 games after loss by at least 8 runs. Los Angeles has also lost 5 of their last 7 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. The Angels go back on the road where they have lost 39 of their last 56 road games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Cole to open this game with his 1-1 record along with a 2.94 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 33 2/3 innings of work. Those numbers overrate the right-hander given the sabermetrics with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.32 and 3.97 moving forward. The bulk pitcher will be Peters who is 2-0 with a 3.06 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP in 17 2/3 innings of work which includes two starts in four appearances since being called up from Triple-A last month. The sabermetrics scream regression as well with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 5.09 and 5.44 moving forward. Peters was 2-2 with a 7.16 ERA and a 1.77 WHIP in 27 2/3 innings of work which includes five starts for Miami last year. The left-hander has pitched well at home where he has a 2.77 ERA along with a 1.23 WHIP and .271 opponent’s batting average in 13 innings but those numbers skyrocket to an 11.05 ERA along with a .2.25 WHIP and .333 opponent’s batting average on the road in 14 2/3 innings which includes three starts. In his career 34 2/3 innings of work on the road which includes seven starts, Peters has been saddled with an 8.83 ERA along with a 2.11 WHIP. His teams have lost 6 of their last 7 games with him pitching with the Total set at 8.5 to 10. He faces a hot-hitting Indians lineup that has scored 5.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .265 batting average along with a .327 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .802. Cleveland has won 21 of their last 27 games against left-handed starting pitchers which includes them winning fourteen of their last seventeen games at home against lefty starters. The Indians have also won 20 of their last 27 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: While the team trends mentioned above do not take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we are laying for this play, because the Indians have a bullpen WHIP of 1.23, the Angels fall into a historical “play-against” angle that is specific to the Run-Line that has been 62% effective since 1997. Los Angeles has a slugging percentage of .442 this season — and American League underdogs with a slugging percentage of .440 or higher with a bullpen WHIP in the 1.35 to 1.45 range (Angels bullpen: 1.38 WHIP) have then failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line (when priced in the -135 to +165 range) in 76 of these last 123 situations where these conditions applied. With Cleveland priced above my -150 price threshold, lower the investment cost by taking the Indians minus the -1.5 Run-Line. The Indians have won and covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 15 of their last 24 games while losing six of those games outright and winning just three of those games by one run (and the +300 units from those three wins is overwhelmed by the six money-line losses priced at -210, -175, -250, -170, -170, -170). 25* MLB American League Run-Line of the Year with the Cleveland Indians (968) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Los Angeles Angels (967) listing just starting pitcher Mike Clevinger. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (960) versus the Chicago Cubs (959) listing both starting pitchers Miles Mikolas and Kyle Hendricks. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (57-49) has won seven of their last nine games with their 2-1 victory over the Cubs. Chicago (56-50) has lost three of their last four contests.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CARDINALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: St. Louis has won 5 of their last 6 games after a win — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than two runs in their last contest. And while the Cardinals have only scored three runs in each of their last three games, they have then won 10 straight home games after failing to score more than three runs in three straight games. Furthermore, not only has St. Louis won 15 of their last 20 games in expected close contests where they were priced in the +/- 125 price range, they have also won 10 of their last 14 home games at Cardinals Busch Stadium when playing as the underdog. The Cardinals have also won 6 straight games against NL Central foes. They give the ball to Mikolas who is 7-10 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in twenty-one starts this season. The right-hander has been outstanding in his three starts since the All-Star break as he has posted a 2.57 ERA in those 21 innings while striking out 12 batters and only walking three. Mikolas has also been much more effective at home where he owns a 2.15 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .226 in ten starts as compared to his 6.75 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and .326 opponent’s batting average on the road. St. Louis has won 13 of their last 18 home games with Mikolas on the mound — and they have won 8 of their last 10 home games with Mikolas facing a team with a winning record. Mikolas loves to face Chicago against whom he has a 3-1 record along with a 1.88 ERA in eight games which includes six starts. He faces a cold Cubs lineup that is scoring only 4.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .196 batting average along with a .256 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .616 during that span. Chicago has lost 16 of their last 23 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Cubs have also lost 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than two runs in their last game — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games after allowing no more than two runs in their last contest. Furthermore, Chicago has lost 19 of their last 26 games on the road — and they have lost 10 of their last 14 road games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 20 road games against NL Central rivals, the Cubs have lost 15 of these games. They counter with Hendricks who is 7-8 with a 3.26 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in nineteen starts. But the sabermetrics are calling for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.39 and 4.34 moving forward. And the right-hander does his best pitching at home where he has a 1.89 ERA with a 0.89 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .206 — but those numbers rise to a 4.91 ERA along with a 1.42 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .228 in his ten starts on the road. Chicago has lost 4 straight road games with Hendricks on the mound. He faces a Cardinals team that is scoring 5.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games based on the strength of an OPS of .807 over that span.

FINAL TAKE: St. Louis has won 13 of their last 16 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and this includes them winning six of their last eight home games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Cardinals have also won their last 4 opportunities to host the Cubs. 25* MLB ESPN Game of the Month with the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (960) versus the Chicago Cubs (959) listing both starting pitchers Miles Mikolas and Kyle Hendricks. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Boston Red Sox (914) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (913) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Charlie Morton. THE SITUATION: Boston (59-48) won the first three games in their weekend series with the Yankees — outscoring the Bronx Bombers by a 38-13 score in those games — before losing Game Four Sunday night by a 9-6 score despite being a money-line favorite priced in the -170 range. Tampa Bay (60-48) has won three of their last four games after their 10-9 win in Toronto on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RED SOX WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Boston has won 5 straight games after a loss — and they have 8 of their last 10 games after suffering an upset loss where they were a home favorite priced at least at -150. The Red Sox have also won 4 of their last 5 games after an off day — and they have won 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Boston stays at home where they have won 5 of their last 6 games. They give then all to Price who is 7-4 with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in nineteen starts. The left-hander is averaging 10.43 strikeouts per 9 innings while striking out 28% of the batters he has faced — both of those numbers are careers highs. Price comes off a solid effort where he allowed three earned runs in 6 innings of work at Tampa Bay — and the Red Sox have won a decisive 41 of their last 56 games with Price following up a Quality Start. Price has also been much more effective at home where he owns a 2.89 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .225 in seven starts as compared to his 4.13 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and .248 opponent’s batting average on the road. Boston has won 20 of their last 24 games at home with Price pitching when favored at a -110 or higher price. He faces a Rays team that has lost 4 of their last 5 games against left-handed starting pitchers. Tampa Bay has lost 5 of their last 7 games are allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Rays have also lost 5 of their last 7 games after an off day — and they have lost 15 of their last 19 games on the road after a day off. They stay on the road where they have lost 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning record at home — and they have also lost 10 of their last 12 road games with the Total set at 10 or higher. Tampa Bay has also lost 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Morton who is 12-3 with a 2.60 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in twenty-two starts. The sabermetrics do call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.52 and 3.23 moving forward based off his peripheral numbers. The right-hander has been a bit more effective at home where he owns a 0.97 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .191 as opposed to his 1.11 WHIP and .203 opponent’s batting average in twelve starts at home. The Rays have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road with Morton on the mound.

FINAL TAKE: Morton faces a Red Sox team that is scoring 8.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .337 batting average, .373 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of 1.005 during that span. Look for Price to outpitch Morton at home in Fenway Park where he has been remarkably productive as of late. 25* MLB American League East Game of the Month with the money-line on the Boston Red Sox (914) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (913) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Charlie Morton. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Kansas City Royals (960) versus the Toronto Blue Jays (959) listing both starting pitchers Brad Keller and Thomas Pannone. THE SITUATION: Kansas City (40-67) snapped a three-game losing streak yesterday with their 9-6 win at Cleveland yesterday. Toronto (40-67) has lost three of their last four games with their 10-9 loss to Tampa Bay yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROYALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Kansas City has won 7 of their last 8 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have won 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Royals return home where they have won 4 straight home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 42 home games when favored in the -125 to -175 price range, Kansas City has won 26 of these contests. They give the ball to Keller who is 7-9 with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in twenty-two starts this season. The 23-year-old right-hander has found his groove with a 1.33 ERA along with a 1.15 WHIP over his last four starts. Keller does not strike out many batters — but his nasty sinker induces ground balls in 52.8% of the batted balls he allows into play. Opposing hitters are also generating fly balls in just 25.7% of the batted balls he allows into play which is why he is giving up only 0.68 Home Runs per 9 innings of work. Keller has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.29 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .204 in eight starts as compared to his 4.39 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and .272 opponent’s batting average of .272 when on the road. The Royals have won 7 of their last 8 home games with Keller facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Blue Jays team that is hitting just .211 over their last seven games along with a .279 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .684 in those games. Toronto has lost 34 of their last 50 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Blue Jays have lost 13 of their last 16 games after a loss by just one run. Toronto has also lost a decisive 35 of their last 52 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have lost 24 of their last 29 games after scoring at least nine runs in their last game. The Blue Jays bullpen has logged-in 13 1/3 innings of work over their last two games — and they have lost 37 of their last 45 games after their bullpen has pitched at least 9 combined innings in their last two games. Toronto goes back on the road after a six-game homestand — and they have lost 19 of their last 26 games after playing at least their last four games at home. The Blue Jays have also lost 14 of their last 21 road games with the Total set at least at 10. They counter with Pannone who is 2-4 with a 6.39 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP in 43 2/3 innings of work this season. The left-hander has particularly struggled on the road where he has been saddled with a 9.77 ERA along with a 1.85 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .303 in 15 2/3 innings of work. Toronto has lost 4 of their last 5 games when Pannone is making the start on the road on grass away from the artificial turf at the Rogers Centre. He faces a Royals team that has won 4 of their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Pannone has made three starts this season as an opener — he has pitched 2 2/3, 2 1/3 and 4 1/3 innings in those appearances so the Blue Jays’ bullpen will likely be asked to pitch at least half this game tonight. Toronto’s pen has a 4.40 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP over their last seven games.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas City will be looking to avenge an 11-4 loss to the Blue Jays back on July 1st — and they have won 14 of their last 23 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 10 runs. The Royals have also won 10 of their last 14 opportunities to host Toronto in Kauffman Stadium. 25* MLB American League Game of the Month with the money-line on the Kansas City Royals (960) versus the Toronto Blue Jays (959) listing both starting pitchers Brad Keller and Thomas Pannone. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (967) and the Boston Red Sox (968) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Eduardo Rodriguez. THE SITUATION: Boston won the third game of this series on Saturday with their 9-5 victory. New York has lost the first three games of this series — and they have lost four of their last six contests.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Yankees have now surrendered 59 runs in their last seven games. The Over is now 23-8-1 in their last 30 games after allowing at least five runs. Additionally, the Bronx Bombers have seen the Over go 42-13-2 of their last 57 games Over the Total on the road — and the Over is 25-5-1 in their last 29 road games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to German who is 12-2 with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in sixteen starts (seventeen games) this season. The right-hander has done his best work at home in Yankee Stadium where he owns a 2.13 ERA with a 1.02 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .195 — but those numbers rise to a 5.66 mark on the road with a 1.22 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .253 in nine starts. The Over is 8-2-1 in New York’s last 11 road games with German on the hill — and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games with German facing a team with a winning record. He faces a red hot Red Sox lineup that has scored 7.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .315 batting average along with a .391 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .957 during that span. Boston has played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers which includes them playing four of their last five games Over the Total when facing a right-handed starting pitcher at home in Fenway Park. The Red Sox have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against starting pitcher with a WHIP no higher than 1.15. Boston has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 5 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Red Sox have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. They counter with Sale who is 5-9 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in twenty-one starts. The left-hander has not been as effective at home with the Green Monster in left-field where he has a 4.26 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .224 in ten starts as compared to his 3.78 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and .217 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Over is 10-4-2 in Boston’s last 16 home games with Sale on the mound. Sales faces a New York team that is scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .316 batting average along with a .371 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .937 over that span. The Yankees have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played their last 6 meetings Over the Total — and the Over is also 12-3-2 in the last 17 meetings between these two teams when playing in Fenway Park. Expect another high scoring game between these two teams. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (967) and the Boston Red Sox (968) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Eduardo Rodriguez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Milwaukee Brewers (960) versus the Chicago Cubs (959) listing both starting pitchers Chase Anderson and Jon Lester. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (59-50) has won two straight games — as well as seven of their last ten contests — with their 3-2 comeback victory over the Cubs last night. Chicago (55-48) has lost four of their last five games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BREWERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Milwaukee has won 7 of their last 9 games after a one-run victory over a fellow NL Central rival. This victory came on the heels of their 5-4 victory over the Reds on Thursday — and not only have then won 21 of their last 25 games after winning their last two games by no more than two runs but they have also won 8 straight games after winning their last two games by just one run. The Brewers have also won 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. And while Milwaukee managed only four hits last night, they have then won 13 of their last 16 games at home after having no more than four hits in their last game. The Brewers will be playing their fifth straight game at home tonight — and they have won 20 of their last 27 games after playing their last four games at home. Milwaukee has also won 4 of their last 5 games at home against teams with a winning record — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Anderson who is 5-2 with a 3.90 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in fifteen starts (eighteen games). The right-hander has not lost since June 21st — and he has not surrendered more than two runs in six straight starts. Anderson has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.81 ERA with a 1.04 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .211 in nine starts (twelve games). The Brewers have won 26 of their last 43 home games with Anderson pitching as a favorite priced at least at -110. He faces a Cubs team that is scoring only 3.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .223 batting average along with a .266 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .650 during that span. Chicago has lost 14 of their last 20 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. And while their bullpen blew a save last night by allowing two runs in the bottom of the eighth inning, they have then lost 11 of their last 12 games after blowing a save in their last game. The Cubs have lost 19 of their last 26 games on the road — and they have lost 13 of their last 17 road games against NL Central foes. Chicago has also lost 8 of their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 16 of their last 21 road games as an underdog. They counter with Lester who is 9-6 with a 3.87 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP in nineteen starts. The left-hander has struggled as of late having allowed at least four runs in six of his last twelve starts. Lester once had an ERA of 1.16 but his slide has corresponded with his sabermetrics with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.15 and 4.11 moving forward based off his peripheral numbers. Lester has done his best pitching at home where he owns a 2.95 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP — but he sees those numbers rise to a 5.09 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP in eight starts on the road. Chicago has lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road with Lester on the hill — and they have lost 11 of their last 16 road games with Lester pitching as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Milwaukee is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests — and they have won 8 of their last 10 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Brewers have also won 7 of their last 9 opportunities to host the Cubs in Miller Park. 25* MLB National League Central Game of the Year with the money-line on the Milwaukee Brewers (960) versus the Chicago Cubs (959) listing both starting pitchers Chase Anderson and Jon Lester. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (927) and the Seattle Mariners (928) listing both starting pitchers Daniel Norris and Yusei Kikuchi. THE SITUATION: Seattle (43-63) has won two straight games after winning the opening game of this series by a 10-2 score. Detroit (30-68) has lost their last three games as well as nine of their last ten contests.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 24-9-3 in the Mariners’ last 36 games after a win — and they have played 13 of their last 15 games Over the Total after winning at least two in a row. Furthermore, the Over is 33-16-2 in Seattle’s last 51 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and the Over is 13-5-1 in their last 19 games after allowing two runs or less in their last contest. Additionally, the Over is 27-13-3 in the Mariners’ last 43 games at home — and the Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They give the ball to Kikuchi who is 4-7 with a 5.37 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP in twenty-one starts. The left-hander has seen his numbers decline significantly in the grind of his first MLB season after coming over from Japan — and he has not been able to adapt to the book that teams have quickly written about his stuff. Over his last ten starts, Kikuchi is 1-6 with a 7.85 ERA. He also sees his ERA rise to a 5.79 mark in his ten starts at home. The Over is 8-1-1 in Seattle’s last 10 home games with Kikuchi on the hill — and they have played 5 straight home games Over the Total with Kikuchi facing a team with a losing record. He faces a Tigers team that loves to face left-handed pitching. Detroit scores only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game this season with a .232 batting average along with a .286 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .667 — but those hitting splits rise to a .259 batting average along with a .378 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .774  against left-handed starting pitchers which translates into them scoring a healthy 5.4 Runs-Per-Game against those lefties. The Over is 12-4-1 in the Tigers’ last 17 road games against left-handed starting pitchers. Detroit has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss. Additionally, the Tigers have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after failing to score more than two runs in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. And while Detroit has only scored four combined runs in their last three games, they have then played 31 of their last 46 games Over the Total after failing to score more than three runs in three straight games. The Over is also 10-2-1 in the Tigers’ last 13 games against teams with a losing record — and the Over is 8-1-1 in their last 10 road games against teams with a losing record. They counter with Norris who is 2-8 with a 5.02 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP in seventeen starts (twenty games). The left-hander comes off a rain-shortened start where he allowed only one run at home against Toronto — but Detroit has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when Norris is following up a start where he allowed only one earned run. Norris has a 4.62 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and .280 opponent’s batting average at home — yet those numbers rise significantly to a 5.28 ERA with a 1.52 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .305 in his ten starts (twelve games) on the road. The Tigers have played 7 of their last 8 road games Over the Total with Norris on the hill.

FINAL TAKE: Seattle is swinging hot bats right now as they are scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games while hitting .277 with a .345 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .791 over that span. The Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams when playing in Safeco Park. 25* MLB American League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (927) and the Seattle Mariners (928) listing both starting pitchers Daniel Norris and Yusei Kikuchi. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Chicago White Sox (960) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Minnesota Twins (959) listing both starting pitchers Lucas Giolito and Jose Berrios. THE SITUATION: Chicago (45-54) begins this series having lost two straight games after their 2-0 loss to Miami yesterday. Minnesota (61-40) has lost two straight games — as well as seven of their last ten contests — with their 10-7 loss at home to the New York Yankees on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WHITE SOX PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: The Twins have lost 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. Minnesota has been playing a number of high scoring games as of late — they have scored and allowed at least six runs in each of their last four games. The Twins have then lost 8 of their last 11 games after scoring and allowing at least six runs in their last three games — and they have lost 23 of their last 29 games after seeing at least 12 combined runs scored in four straight contests. Now after completing a disappointing nine-game homestand, Minnesota goes back on the road — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 games after playing at least five straight games at home. They give the ball to Berrios who is 8-5 with a 2.96 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in twenty starts. The sabermetrics are calling for regression for the right-hander with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.38 and 4.46 moving forward based on his peripheral numbers. The right-hander has done his best pitching at home in Target Field where he enjoys a 2.10 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in nine starts. But in his eleven starts on the road, Berrios owns a 3.72 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Berrios had a 3.03 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP at home but a 4.85 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on the road. The Twins have lost 25 of their last 37 road games with Berrios making the start. Berrios has also been not quite as successful under the lights given his 3.03 ERA and 1.22 WHIP instigated by opposing hitters owning a .259 batting average against him as opposed to his .210 opposing batting average during day games. Berrios may be also starting to tire in the grind of being in the regular rotation — he has not pitched more than 5 2/3 innings in three straight starts. He also comes off 113 pitches in his last effort at home against the A’s which was his highest pitch count of the season. Tellingly, Berrios carried a 4.15 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and .240 opponent’s batting average in the second half of the season after boasting a 3.68 ERA with a 1.01 WHIP and .212 opponent’s batting average in the first half. Minnesota has also lost 17 of their last 20 games on the road with Berrios pitching in the second half of the season. Chicago has bounced-back to won 16 of their last 26 games after losing three of the last four games. The White Sox have just a .221 On-Base Percentage over their last three games — but they have won 7 of their last 8 games after enduring a stretch where they did not have an On-Base Percentage higher than .260. The White Sox stay at home where they have won a decisive 15 of their last 20 home games against AL Central rivals. Chicago has also won 19 of their last 30 games with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range. They counter with Giolito who is 11-4 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in nineteen starts. After losing his previous two starts, the right-hander showed better command with his fastball in his last effort at Tampa Bay where he allowed only one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. The White Sox have won 7 of their last 8 games with Giolito following up a Quality Start. Giolito owns an exceptional 3.4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his breakout season this year. A shortened arm action in his delivery has helped him throw more strikes this season. Chicago has also won 6 of their last 7 games at home with Giolito on the hill.

FINAL TAKE: The White Sox bullpen has been on fire as of late — they have not allowed an earned run in their last five games spanning 11 1/3 innings of work. That helps place Chicago into a historical angle specific to the Run-Line that has been 70% effective since 1997. Giolito averages 7.1 strikeouts per start — and home underdogs using a starting pitcher who averages at least 5.0 strikeouts per start while having a bullpen that has an ERA of 1.50 or lower in their last five games have then covered the +1.5 Run-Line in 59 of these last 84 situations (when priced in the +215 to -130 money-line range). 25* MLB American League Central Run-Line Underdog of the Year with the Chicago White Sox (960) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Minnesota Twins (959) listing both starting pitchers Lucas Giolito and Jose Berrios. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:07 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Cleveland Indians (917) versus the Toronto Blue Jays (918) listing both starting pitchers Shane Bieber and Marcus Stroman. THE SITUATION: Cleveland (58-41) had won eight of their last nine games before losing the second game of this series last night in 10 innings by a 2-1 score against the Blue Jays. Toronto (38-64) snapped a two-game losing streak.

REASONS TO TAKE THE INDIANS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Cleveland has bounced-back to win 11 of their last 13 games after a loss — and they have won 25 of their last 32 games after a defeat by just one run. The Indians have also won 21 of their last 27 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last contest. They stay on the road where they have still won 7 of their last 8 games as road warriors. They give the ball to Bieber who is 9-3 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in twenty starts (twenty-one games). The sabermetrics indicate that he should be seeing even better results with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.32 and 3.14 moving forward. Bieber is enjoying a breakout season because he is relying on his outstanding command to throw more pitches outside the strike zone. Bieber threw 48% of his pitches in the strike zone last year — and that mark has lowered to just 38.4% of pitches in the zone this season. Yet Bieber strike rate in 67.3% of his pitches last year has only lowered to a 65.2% mark this year as he has successfully coaxed opposing hitters to reach for these pitches outside the zone. Bieber is walking only 5.6% of the batters he has faced — and he owns an outstanding K%-BB% of 25.5%. The right-hander has been at his best on the road where he owns a 3.19 ERA with a 0.84 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .189 in nine starts (ten games) as compared to his 4.19 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .246 opponent’s batting average at home. The Indians have won 12 of their last 15 road games with Bieber on the hill — and they have also won 7 of their last 8 road games with Bieber facing a team with a losing record. He faces a slumping Blue Jays lineup that is hitting only .220 over their last seven games with a .292 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .674 over that span. Toronto has lost 13 of their last 18 home games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have lost 37 of their last 55 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Blue Jays have also lost 8 of their last 10 games after allowing no more than two runs in their last game. Furthermore, Toronto has lost 30 of their last 42 games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 7 of their last 9 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And while the Jays’ bullpen has logged in 9 1/3 innings of work in their last two games, they have then lost a decisive 35 of their last 43 games when their bullpen pitched at least 9 combined innings in their last two games. They counter with Stroman who is 6-10 with a 3.06 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in twenty starts. The sabermetrics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.41 and 4.07 moving forward. Stroman is not a strikeout pitcher — he has struck out only 19.1% of the batters he has faced this season. Instead, the right-hander induces ground balls in 57.1% of the batted balls he allows into play. That is problematic with this Blue Jays’ infield which is at the bottom rung in fielding metrics — and playing on astroturf at home does not help matters. Perhaps that is why Stroman sees his ERA rise to a 3.47 ERA along with a 1.30 WHIP in eleven starts at home as compared to his 2.60 ERA and 1.19 WHIP on the road — and perhaps this is also why playoff contenders are eager to trade for him. Toronto has lost 16 of their last 24 home games at night with Stroman on the mound. He faces an Indians lineup that is scoring 5.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .281 batting average along with a .342 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .798. Cleveland has also won 5 of their last 6 road games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Blue Jays have lost 5 of their last 7 games with Stroman pitching against the Indians. Cleveland has still won 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams — and they have won 44 of the last 69 meetings between these two teams when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent. 25* MLB American League Road Warrior of the Year with the money-line on the Cleveland Indians (917) versus the Toronto Blue Jays (918) listing both starting pitchers Shane Bieber and Marcus Stroman. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the New York Mets (956) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the San Diego Padres (955) listing both starting pitchers Jason Vargas and Chris Paddack. THE SITUATION: New York (45-54) has lost three of their last four games after suffering a 12-inning 3-2 loss in San Francisco on Sunday. San Diego (47-52) snapped a three-game losing streak on Sunday with their 5-1 win in Chicago against the Cubs.

REASONS TO TAKE THE METS PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: The Padres have lost 7 of their last 9 games after a win by at least four runs — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. San Diego has also lost 5 straight opening games t a new series. They also have lost 13 of their last 16 games against teams with a losing record. The Padres stay on the road where they have lost 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a losing record. San Diego has also lost 5 of their last 6 road games when priced as a favorite in the -125 to -175 range. This is also a team that has lost a decisive 31 of their last 41 games in the month of July. They give the ball to Paddack who is 6-4 with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP in sixteen starts. The sabermetrics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.77 and 3.89 moving forward based off his peripheral numbers. Paddack’s great numbers this season are due in large measure to his pitching in the spacious Petco Park for his home games where he enjoys a 2.36 ERA, 0.71 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .166. But in his nine starts on the road, the right-hander sees his numbers rise to a 3.00 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP in nine starts. There are worrisome signs — most notably Paddack’s hard-hit rate of 44.6% for the balls he is allowing into play. That helps explain why he has allowed thirteen gopher balls while allowing 1.30 home runs per 9 innings of work. The Mets are averaging 5.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers. New York has won 8 of their last 13 games after a game where neither team scored more than three runs. The Mets return home where they have under-the-radar won 11 of their last 13 games against teams with a losing record — and they have won 8 of their last 11 home games with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range. They counter with Vargas who is 4-5 with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP this season in sixteen games (seventeen starts). The left-hander has been tough at home where he owns a 3.15 ERA along with a 1.22 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .222 in six starts (seven games) as opposed to his 5.03 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and .246 opponent’s batting average of .246 on the road. New York has won 4 straight home games with Vargas facing a team with a losing record. And while Vargas comes off a solid start where he allowed three earned runs in 6 innings of work, the Mets have won 6 of their last 8 games with Vargas following up a Quality Start. He faces a Padres team that struggles against left-handed pitching. San Diego is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starters with a .231 batting average along with a .305 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .709 — and they have lost a decisive 42 of their last 57 road games against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: These team trends do not take into account the +1.5 Run-Line we are taking for this play. Because the Padres’ bullpen has an ERA of 4.82 this season, they fall into a historical “play-against” angle specific to the Run-Line that has been 75% effective since 1997. National League road favorites with a bullpen ERA of 4.50 or higher with an On-Base Percentage below .310 for the season (San Diego: .304 On-base Percentage) have then failed to cover the -1.5 Run-Line in 63 of their last 84 situations (priced in the +115 to +160 range) where these conditions applied. The Mets have lost their last three games by just one run — so taking the +1.5 Run-Line is my preferred play with that price below my -150 threshold. 25* MLB National League Run-Line Underdog of the Year with the New York Mets (956) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the San Diego Padres (955) listing both starting pitchers Jason Vargas and Chris Paddack. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (911) and the Tampa Bay Rays (912) listing both starting pitchers Eduardo Rodriguez and Jalen Beeks. THE SITUATION: Boston (54-46) has lost two of their last three games with their 5-0 loss at Baltimore yesterday. Tampa Bay (57-45) snapped a five-game losing streak yesterday with their 4-2 win against the Chicago White Sox.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Red Sox were shut out for the first time in eighty-one games — and they had bashed at least one home run in eleven straight games before yesterday. Boston has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Red Sox stay on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have played 23 of their last 35 road games Over the Total when priced as the favorite at -125 or higher. The Over is also 13-3-1 in Boston’s last 17 games when playing on artificial turf. And in their last 51 opening games to a new series, the Over is 34-15-2. They give the ball to Rodriguez who is 11-4 with a 4.34 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP in twenty starts. The left-hander has pitched his best at home where he owns a 3.84 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .226 — but those numbers skyrocket to a 4.91 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and .288 opponent’s batting average in ten starts on the road. Rodriguez also has a 7.11 ERA in four career starts at Tropicana Field. The Red Sox have lady 11 of their last 12 road games Over the Total with Rodriguez on the hill. And while Rodriguez comes off a strong effort where he allowed only two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work at home against Toronto, Boston has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total with Rodriguez following up a Quality Start in his last effort. Furthermore, the Red Sox have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total with Rodriguez pitching at night. Tampa Bay has seen the Over go 8-2-3 in their last 13 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Over is also 3-0-2 in the Rays’ last 5 opening games to a new series. They counter with Beeks who is 5-0 with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been used exclusively as a bulk inning pitcher out of the bullpen — but he will be making his first official start in this game tonight. I am not sure I buy into the “opener” craze that teams like Tampa Bay have embraced (while conceding the opener can mess with the opposing team’s starting lineup when a pitcher throwing with the other hand comes in to pitch in the 2nd inning). That said, there is a reason that the Rays’ coaching staff has been reluctant to have Beeks open games until now. The sabermetrics call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.42 and 4.65 moving forward given his peripheral numbers. Because Beeks does not have much of a fastball, he needs all four of his pitches working to be effective. Beeks has not been as successful when pitching at home where he owns a 3.77 ERA along with a 1.42 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .273 in 31 innings of work as opposed to his 1.87 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and .215 opponent’s batting average in 33 2/3 innings on the road. He faces a Red Sox lineup that has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Boston will be looking to avenge a 6-1 loss at home to Tampa Bay back on June 9th. The Red Sox have played 26 of their last 36 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they scored only one run. These two teams have also played 5 of their last 7 meetings Over the Total when facing off in Tampa Bay. 25* MLB Monday ESPN Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (911) and the Tampa Bay Rays (912) listing both starting pitchers Eduardo Rodriguez and Jalen Beeks. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (979) and the New York Yankees (980) listing both starting pitchers German Marquez and James Paxton. THE SITUATION: New York (64-33) has won five straight games with their 11-5 victory over the Rockies yesterday. Colorado (46-52) has lost six straight games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Yankees have played 13 of their last 17 games at home Under the Total after a win by at least four runs — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a victory. New York has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, the Under is 6-2-1 in the Bronx Bombers last 9 games at home in Yankee Stadium — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. The New York bullpen is getting it done as of late after not surrendering an earned run again last night. The Yanks’ bullpen has a sparkling 0.43 ERA over their last five games with a 0.76 WHIP while giving up just one earned run over that span consisting of 21 innings of work. New York has played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a game where their bullpen did not allow an earned run — and they have played 40 of their last 58 games Under the Total when their bullpen has an ERA of 2.00 or better over their last five games. They give the ball to Paxton who is 5-4 with a 3.94 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP in sixteen starts this season. The left-hander has allowed only five earned runs in three starts this month for a nifty 2.50 ERA. Paxton has also been more effective at home where he enjoys a 3.22 ERA along with a 1.28 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .229 in nine starts. Paxton’s teams have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total with him taking the mound in the month of July. He should fare well against this Rockies team that is scoring only 4.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .243 batting average along with a .281 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .697. Colorado has played 6 straight games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Rockies have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 19 of their last 25 games Under the Total on the road after a loss. Colorado has also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after losing at least four straight games. The Rockies stay on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Additionally, Colorado has played 22 of their last 30 road games Under the Total as an underdog priced in the +150 to +200 range. And the Under is 28-11-3 in their last 42 games in Interleague play against teams with a winning record. They counter with Marquez who is 8-5 with a 5.12 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP in twenty-one starts. The right-hander looks to redeem himself from a bad outing in his last start against the Giants where he allowed 11 earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work at home. That start was at home in Coors Field where he is saddled with a 7.07 ERA along with a 1.70 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .336 — but he has been much better at home where enjoys a 3.33 ERA along with a 0.90 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .205 in ten starts. The Under is 7-3-1 in Colorado’s last 11 road games with Marquez facing a team with a winning record. The sabermetrics are encouraging for Marquez with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.92 and 3.63 moving forward. The Rockies have also played 16 of their last 21 road games Under the Total with Marquez pitching after a loss.

FINAL TAKE: The Colorado bullpen has logged in 9 2/3 innings of work over the last two days in the Bronx — but they have then played 13 of their last 15 games Under the Total when their bullpen has pitched at least 9 innings in their last two games. 25* MLB TBS-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (979) and the New York Yankees (980) listing both starting pitchers German Marquez and James Paxton. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (909) and the Atlanta Braves (910) listing both starting pitchers Anibal Sanchez and Mike Soroka. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (59-40) snapped a three-game losing streak last night with their 4-3 victory over the Nationals. Washington (51-45) has now lost two of their last three games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Braves were a small money-line underdog yesterday with Julio Teheran facing off against Patrick Corbin — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after delivering an upset victory as a home underdog. The Under is also now 6-2-1 in Atlanta’s last 9 games at home — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against NL East opponents. The Braves have also played 9 of their last 13 games in the month of July Under the Total. They give the ball to Soroka who is 10-1 with a 2.24 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in sixteen starts. The rookie phenom has given up more than two runs only four times in those sixteen starts. The right-hander’s formula for success has been to limit gopher balls which is a tantalizing quality in this current home run obsessed era of launch angles. Soroka has given up only four home runs this year for a microscopic 0.38 Home Runs Allowed per 9 inning rate. Atlanta has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total with Soroka facing a team with a winning record — and they have also played 6 straight games Under the Total with him starting as the favorite priced in the -100 to -150 price range. He faces a Nationals team that has played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Under is also 7-1-1 in their last 9 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Washington has seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a loss. The Nationals have also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the month of July — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against fellow NL East opponents. This is Washington’s seventh straight game on the road — and they have played 12 of their last 15 road games after playing their previous four games Under the Total. The Nationals have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road overall. They counter with Sanchez who is 5-6 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP in seventeen starts this season. The veteran right-hander has not allowed more than three earned runs in fourteen of those starts — and he is 5-0 with a 2.40 ERA in his last five starts. The former Brave has a 3.00 ERA in two starts against Atlanta this year. And Sanchez has been a bit more effective on the road where he owns a 3.67 ERA with a .236 batting average in nine starts as opposed to his 3.76 ERA and .239 opponent’s batting average at home. Washington has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total with Sanchez facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Braves lineup that has cooled off significantly this month — they are scoring only 4.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .244 batting average along with a .319 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of 693 in those contests.

FINAL TAKE: Atlanta has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Braves were interesting with Overs last month — but it is time to zig from that zag. 25* MLB FS1-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (909) and the Atlanta Braves (910) listing both starting pitchers Anibal Sanchez and Mike Soroka. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:45 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the San Francisco Giants (912) versus the New York Mets (911) listing both starting pitchers Madison Bumgarner and Noah Syndergaard. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (47-49) has won five straight games — as well as twelve of their last fourteen contests — with their 11-8 victory at Colorado yesterday. New York (44-51) has won four games in a row themselves with their 14-4 win at Minnesota on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE GIANTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: San Francisco has won 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have won 13 of their last 19 games after scoring at least eight runs in their last contest. The Giants have also won 7 of their last 8 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. This team is crushing the baseball as of late having scored 115 runs over their last fourteen games (8.2 Runs-Per-Game) while scoring in double-digits in six of those contests. Now after playing their last seven games on the road, San Francisco returns home to begin this series — and they have won 9 of their last 12 opening games to a new series. The Giants have also won 4 straight games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Bumgarner who is 5-7 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in twenty starts. The left-hander has been outstanding as of late as he is 2-0 over his last four starts with a 1.86 ERA with 28 strikeouts over 20 innings of work. He also loves facing this Mets team — Bumgarner has a 5-0 record in his last five starts against New York with a 1.26 ERA in those starts. Bumgarner has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.62 ERA with a 1.10 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .245 in eleven starts as compared to his 4.15 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and .283 opponent’s batting average on the road. San Francisco has won 4 straight games at home with Bumgarner on the hill. He faces a Mets team that has lost 9 of their last 13 road games against left-handed starting pitchers. New York has lost 14 of their last 17 games after a game where at least seventeen combined runs were scored. The Mets have also lost 10 of their last 12 opening games to a new series. This is the sixth straight game on the road for New York — and they have lost 11 of their last 17 games after playing their last five games on the road. The Mets have also lost 8 of their last 11 road games against teams with a losing record. They counter with Syndergaard who is 7-4 with a 4.55 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in eighteen starts. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he owns a 4.68 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .278 in eight starts. New York has lost 6 of their last 9 road games with Syndergaard pitching with the Mets’ priced in the +/- 125 range. The Giants have won 5 straight games against right-handed starting pitchers — and over their last seven games, they are scoring 8.9 Runs-Per-Game with a .321 batting average along with a .376 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .937.

FINAL TAKE: San Francisco has lost the last two games between these team teams in their last series in June. The Giants have won 18 of their last 26 games when playing with at least double revenge. 25* MLB Thursday Night Special Feature with the money-line on the San Francisco Giants (912) versus the New York Mets (911) listing both starting pitchers Madison Bumgarner and Noah Syndergaard. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (965) and the New York Yankees (966) listing both starting pitchers Yonny Chirinos and Domingo German. THE SITUATION: New York (60-33) has won two of their last three games with their 8-3 victory over the Rays in the second game of this series. Tampa Bay (56-41) had won three straight games before last night’s loss.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Yankees clubbed two home runs en route to a six-run 8th inning to break open that game last night while ruining our Under that looked pretty good with the 3-2 score entering the bottom half of the 8th. New York had scored only 17 combined runs in their previous six games while not plating more than four runs in any of those games before last night. The Yankees bullpen did not surrender an earned run last night to help keep them in the game — and they have then played 16 of their last 22 home games Under the Total after a game where their bullpen did not allow at least one earned run. The Under is also 3-1-1 in New York’s last 5 games at home in Yankee Stadium — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games against fellow AL East opponents. They give the ball to German who is 11-2 with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in fourteen starts (fifteen games). The right-hander went on the disabled list with a hip injury but is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA in his two starts since his return. German has been much better at home where he owns a 1.98 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .194 in six starts (seven games) as opposed to his 4.53 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and .229 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Yankees have played 6 straight games Under the Total with German pitching at home. Tampa Bay did not commit an error for the third straight game — they have committed only two errors in their last ten games. The Rays have then played 22 of their last 35 games Under the Total after not committing an error for at least two straight games. Tampa Bay has also played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total as a road dog priced at least at +150. They counter with Chirinos who is 8-4 with a 3.11 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP in nineteen appearances. The right-hander had been used as a bulk inning middle reliever — but his ability to throw strikes has elevated him to a regular starter in the Rays’ rotation. Chirinos is walking only 5.3% of the batters he faces which combined with Tampa Bay’s outstanding defense to help suppress base runners when he is on the mound. He has made nine straight starts for his team with a 3.04 ERA in those efforts. Chirinos has also been a bit better on the road where he owns a 0.94 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .205 in nine appearances as compared to his 0.98 WHIP and .212 opponent’s batting average at home. The Rays have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total with Chirinos on the hill. He faces this cold Yankee lineup that is scoring only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .250 batting average along with a .321 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .769 over that span.

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings between these two teams after last night’s late Over result. Expect a return to a lower scoring game today. 25* MLB Wednesday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays (965) and the New York Yankees (966) listing both starting pitchers Yonny Chirinos and Domingo German. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Minnesota Twins (930) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the New York Mets (929) listing both starting pitchers Michael Pineda and Steven Matz. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (58-34) had won four of their last five games before suffering a 4-3 loss at Cleveland on Sunday. New York (42-51) has won their last two games after they defeated the Marlins in Miami on Sunday by a 6-2 score.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TWINS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Minnesota has bounced-back to win 38 of their last 56 games after a loss. The Twins have also won 9 of their last 12 games after an off-day. Minnesota returns home where they have won 36 of their last 52 games — and they have also won 42 of their last 59 games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Pineda who is 6-4 with a 4.56 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in seventeen starts. The right-hander entered the season returning from Tommy John surgery — so the first half of the season was expected to be a work in progress. Hitting the disabled list in late May for knee tendinitis did not help matters. Over his last five starts, Pineda has a 2.83 ERA with a 1.01 WHIP — and he is 2-0 with a 1.50 and a 0.92 WHIP while striking out 17 batters in 12 innings of work in his last two outings as things seem to be coming together for the 30-year-old. Remember, Pineda combined a 24.8% strikeout rate for the batters he faced from 2015 through 2017 before his elbow injury while inducing ground balls in 49.2% of the batted balls he allowed into play and walking only 5.2% of the batters he faced over that three-year period. Pineda’s velocity on his fastball has finally returned to what it was before his Tommy John surgery — so don’t be surprised if Pineda is dominant during the second half of this season for this powerful Twins lineup. He has done his best work at home this season where he enjoys a 4.28 ERA with a 1.10 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .251 in nine starts as compared to his 4.87 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and .272 opponent’s batting average on the road. Minnesota has won 5 of their last 6 games with Pineda facing a team with a losing record. He faces a Mets’ team that is scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .238 batting average along with a .295 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .691 over that span. New York has lost 9 of their last 112 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Additionally, the Mets have lost 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last contest. New York has also lost 17 of their last 22 opening games to a new series. They stay on the road where they have lost 27 of their last 37 games — and they have lost 9 of their last 13 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Mets have also lost 24 of their last 35 games as a money-line underdog priced from +100 to +150. They counter with Matz who is 5-6 with a 4.89 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP in sixteen starts (eighteen games). The knuckle-balling lefty has been effective at home in Citi Field where he sports a 2.59 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .248 — but he sees those numbers skyrocket to a 7.07 ERA with a 1.74 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .306 in nine starts on the road. New York has lost 6 of their last 7 games on the road with Matz on the mound. And this Matz’s first appearance since coming out of the bullpen back on July 6th — and the Mets have lost 7 of their last 10 games with Matz making the start for the first time in at least nine days. He faces a hot-hitting Twins’ lineup that is scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .288 batting average .337 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .831 over that span. Minnesota crushes left-handed pitching as well as they score 6.6 Runs-Per-Game over the left-handed starting pitchers with a .297 batting average, .356 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .866. The Twins have won 7 of their last 9 games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have also won a decisive 50 of their last 67 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: While these team trends do not take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we are laying for this play, because Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .495 this season, they are supported by a historical angle specific to the Run-Line that has been 64% effective since 1997. The Mets are hitting only .254 as a team this season — and and National League road underdogs with a team batting average below .250 facing an American League team with a slugging percentage of at least .450 have then failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line (when priced in the -190 to +165 range) in 67 of the last 105 situations where these conditions applied. Minnesota was priced in the -140 range last night — but I suspected that overnight line would rise above my -150 price threshold in the morning. This is still a great situation — but lets lower the investment cost by laying the Run-Line. The Twins have had 25 games this season where they were priced higher than -150 — and they have won 14 of those games by more than one run. Only in two of those games has Minnesota won the game by just one-run — and bettors with the Twins straight-up with the money-line ate the big investment cost with the loss nine times. If (and when) Minnesota wins this game tonight, it will be highly likely to be by more than one run. 25* MLB Interleague Run-Line of the Year with the Minnesota Twins (930) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the New York Mets (929) listing both starting pitchers Michael Pineda and Steven Matz. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Chicago Cubs (954) versus the Cincinnati Reds (953) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Luis Castillo. THE SITUATION: Chicago (50-43) has won three straight games — as well as five of their last six games — with their 8-3 victory over Pittsburgh yesterday. Cincinnati (42-48) has lost four of their last five games with their 10-9 loss in Colorado yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CUBS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Manager Joe Maddon has mentioned that his team looks refreshed after taking some days off for the All-Star Break. Chicago has scored eighteen runs in their last two games — and they have won 42 of their last 56 home games after scoring at least eight runs in their last two games. The Cubs have also won 13 of their last 16 home games after winning five or six of their last seven games. Chicago stays at home in Wrigley Park where they have won 4 straight games — and they have won 18 of their last 24 home games when priced in the -100 to -150 price range. The Cubbies have also won 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Hendricks who is 7-7 with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in sixteen starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 1.65 ERA with a 0.88 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .215 in seven starts as opposed to his 5.44 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and .291 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Cubs have won 5 of their last 6 home games with Hendricks on the hill — and they have won 16 of their last 18 home games with Hendricks pitching as a favorite priced in the -100 to -150 range. He faces a Reds’ team that has just a .233 batting average on the road away from the Great American Ballpark along with a .291 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .695. Cincinnati has lost 4 straight games against right-handed starting pitchers. Hendricks loves pitching against the Reds as he owns a 6-2 lifetime record against them with a 3.31 ERA in fifteen career starts. Hendricks is also 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA in his last three starts against Cincinnati. The Reds have also lost 6 of their last 8 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. Cincy won their game on Saturday in Colorado by a 17-9 score — but they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least nine runs in their last two games and they have lost 13 of their last 17 games after allowing at least eight runs in two straight contests. The Reds stay on the road where they have lost 6 of their last 7 games — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 opening games to a new series. They counter with Castillo who is 8-3 with a 2.29 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP in eighteen starts. The sabermetrics call for significant regression given his SIERA and xFIP which projects an ERA of 4.23 and 3.79 moving forward given his deeper peripheral numbers. The biggest flaw on the 23-year-old right-hander is his penchant to issue walks — especially on the road. Castillo has issued 28 bases-on-balls in 42 innings away from home which translates into a troubling 6.0 walks per 9 innings rate. Castillo has a 1.40 WHIP in eight starts on the road which has led to his ERA rising to a 3.21 mark as opposed to his outstanding 1.69 ERA with a 0.88 WHIP in his ten starts at home. Cincinnati has lost their last 3 road games with Castillo pitching as the underdog priced in the +100 to +150 price range. And while Castillo did not allow an earned run in his last start back on July 4th where he pitched 7 2/3 scoreless innings at home against Milwaukee, the Reds have then lost 6 of their last 7 games with Castillo following up a start where he did not allow an earned run. He faces a Cubs’ lineup that is scoring 6.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .294 batting average along with a .378 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .941 over that span. Chicago has won 5 of their last 6 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 28 of their last 40 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Chicago has won 19 of their last 26 opportunities to host the Reds at Wrigley Field. 25* MLB Monday Night Special Feature with the money-line on the Chicago Cubs (954) versus the Cincinnati Reds (953) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Luis Castillo. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Cleveland Indians (966) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Detroit Tigers (965) listing both starting pitchers Adam Plutko and Daniel Norris. THE SITUATION: Cleveland (51-40) has won six of their last eight games after they defeated Minnesota yesterday by a 4-3 score. Detroit (29-59) snapped a five-game losing streak yesterday with their 12-8 win at Kansas City.

REASONS TO TAKE THE INDIANS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: The Tigers’ offensive explosion yesterday does not bode well for them tonight. Detroit has lost an incredible 43 of their last 51 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest — and they have lost 19 of their last 23 games after scoring at least nine runs in their last contest. Furthermore, not only have the Tigers lost 13 of their last 15 games after a game where at least seventeen combined runs were scored but they have lost 28 of their last 33 games after a game where at least fifteen combined runs were scored. Additionally, Detroit has lost 38 of their last 51 games on the road against teams with a winning record. The Tigers have also lost 13 of their last 16 games against fellow AL Central opponents — and they have lost 6 straight opening games to a new series. They give the ball to Norris who is 2-8 with a 4.96 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP in fifteen starts (eighteen appearances). The left-hander has not been as effective on the road where he owns a 5.01 ERA with a 1.49 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .302 in nine starts (eleven games) as compared to his 4.89 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and .279 opponent’s batting average at home. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Norris suffered a 7.32 ERA on the road as compared to his more modest 4.38 ERA at home. Detroit has lost 9 of their last 12 road games with Norris on the hill — and they have also lost 5 of their last 6 road games with Norris facing a team with a winning record. The Indians have found their bats with their lineup finally getting healthy — they have scored 5.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .280 batting average along with a .351 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .891. Cleveland has won 9 of their last 11 games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have also won their last six games at home against left-handed starting pitchers. The Indians have also won 9 of their last 11 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Cleveland has won 5 of their last 6 games after a win. They stay at home where they have won a decisive 41 of their last 59 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. The Indians have also won 12 of their last 15 games against AL Central rivals — and they have won 8 of their last 11 opening games to a new series. They counter with Plutko who has been moved back into the starting rotation after spending some time in the bullpen. The right-hander has a 3-1 record with a 4.95 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in 36 1/3 innings this season. The problem for Plutko mostly stems on the road where he has a 5.40 ERA with a 1.53 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .323. But in his 21 1/3 innings at home at Progressive Field Plutko has a 0.89 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .221. Plutko had a 1.15 WHIP and .250 opponent’s batting average pitching at home last year as opposed to his 1.53 WHIP and .323 opponent’s batting average on the road. Cleveland has won 4 of their last 5 home games with Plutko on the mound. This is a great opportunity to face a Tigers team that scores only 3.2 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers with a .229 batting average, .280 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .646. The Indians have Detroit’s number with seven straight victories in this series. The Tigers have lost 7 of their last 9 games when having lost at least five straight games to their opponent. Detroit has also lost 24 of their last 31 games against the Indians played in Cleveland.

FINAL TAKE: The team trends identified above do not take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we are laying for this play. Because the Tigers are scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game, Detroit falls into a historical “play-against” angle specific to the Run-Line that has been 65% effective since 1997. American League teams coming off a game where at least fifteen combined runs were scored who do not score more than 4.2 Runs-Per-Game and who are using a starting pitcher with an ERA in the 4.20 to 4.70 range have then lost 42 of the last 64 situations where these conditions applied. With Cleveland priced above my -150 price threshold, lower the investment cost by taking the Indians minus the -1.5 Run-Line. The Indians have won and covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 8 of their last 13 games while losing three of those games outright and winning just two of those games by one run (and the +200 units from those wins is overwhelmed by the three money-line losses priced at -210, -175, and -250). 25* MLB American League Central Run-Line of the Year with the Cleveland Indians (966) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Detroit Tigers (965) listing both starting pitchers Adam Plutko and Daniel Norris. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Atlanta Braves (913) versus the San Diego Padres (914) listing both starting pitchers Mike Soroka and Cal Quantrill. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (55-37) has won three straight games — as well as six of their last seven contests — with their 7-5 win in 10 innings over the Padres yesterday. San Diego (45-46) has lost the first two games of this series since the All-Star break.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRAVES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Atlanta has won 4 of their last 5 games after a win. Additionally, the Braves have won 26 of their last 36 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have won 18 of their last 24 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. Atlanta has won 20 of their last 28 games on the road — and they have won 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Soroka who is 9-1 with a 2.42 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in fifteen starts. The right-hander has a filthy two-seamer that drops on hitters to help induce a ground ball rate of 57% on the balls he allows into play. Soroka has been more effective on the road where he owns a nasty 1.29 ERA with a 0.84 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .171 in eight starts. The Braves have won 9 of their last 11 games on the road with Soroka on the hill. Atlanta has also won 12 straight games with Soroka facing a team with a losing record. He faces a slumping Padres lineup that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .225 batting average along with a .263 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .649 during that span. San Diego has lost 5 of their last 6 games after a loss — and they have also lost 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. They counter with Quantrill who is 2-2 with a 4.83 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP in 41 innings of work. The 24-year-old right-hander has not been as effective at home in Petco Park where he owns a 4.98 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP along with a .295 opponent’s batting average in 21 2/3 innings consisting of four starts and six overall appearances as compared to his 4.66 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and .236 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Padres have lost 4 straight games at home with Quantrill on the mound.

FINAL TAKE: Atlanta has won 20 of their last 26 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and this includes them winning nine of their last twelve games on the road against right-handed starting pitchers. The Braves have now won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams. 25* MLB Road Warrior of the Year with the money-line on the Atlanta Braves (913) versus the San Diego Padres (914) listing both starting pitchers Mike Soroka and Cal Quantrill. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Texas Rangers (978) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Houston Astros (977) listing both starting pitchers Mike Minor and Wade Miley. THE SITUATION: Texas (50-42) has won the first two games of this series after their 9-8 victory over the Astros last night. Houston (57-35) has lost two straight games after the All-Star break going into the break having won seven of their last eight contests.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RANGERS PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: Texas has won 7 of their last 9 games after a win — and they have won 7 of their last 9 games after an upset victory over a fellow AL West rival. The Rangers have also won 13 of their last 18 games at home after winning at least three of their last four games. Texas has won 8 of their last 9 home games — and they have won 17 of their last 27 home games as the underdog. They give the ball to Minor who is 8-4 with a 2.54 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in eighteen starts this season. The veteran left-hander has enjoyed a career renaissance over the last twelve months or so by throwing fewer fastballs in lieu of more breaking balls and off-speed pitches. Throwing more junk has diminished the exit velocity from the batted balls from opposing hitters which is a big help when pitching in the hitter-friendly Global Life Park. Minor has a 2.34 ERA in nine starts at home as compared to his 2.73 ERA when pitching on the road. The Rangers have won 16 of their last 21 games with Minor on the mound after they have won at least three games. Minor’s teams have also won 32 of their last 56 games when is pitching as the underdog. Houston has lost 8 of their last 11 games after a loss — and they have lost 7 of their last 11 games after allowing at least nine runs in their last contest. Furthermore, while the Astros lost as a -200 money-line favorite yesterday with Gerrit Cole on the mound, they have then lost 10 of their last 16 games after suffering an upset loss against a divisional rival despite being a money-line favorite priced at least at -200. Houston has also lost 8 of their last 11 games on the road — and they have lost 9 of their last 13 third games to a new series. They counter with Miley who is 7-4 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in eighteen starts. The sabermetrics for the left-hander call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.54 and 4.34 respectively moving forward. Miley thrives when pitching at home in the friendly pitcher’s environment that is Minute Maid Park — he enjoys a 1.86 ERA with a 0.99 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .199 in eight starts. But in his ten starts on the road, Miley sees those numbers rise to a 4.56 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .250. His pitching in Global Life Field tonight could get ugly. He allows 1.24 Home Runs per 9 innings of work while allowing opposing batters to establish hard contact in 36.9% of the batted balls he allows. Furthermore, Miley does not miss many bats — he only strikes out 7.6 batters per 9 innings. Miley is also taking the mound for the first time since July 3rd given the All-Star Break — and his teams have lost 4 of their last 5 games when he pitching with at least seven days between starts. He faces a Rangers team that scores 5.7 Runs-Per-Game at home — and they are scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games. Texas has won 8 of their last 10 home games against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The team trends identified above do not take into account the +1.5 Run-Line we are taking for this play. Because the Rangers are scoring 5.4 Runs-Per-Game, they are supported by an empirical angle that has been 66% effective over the last five seasons. Miley has an 0.89 WHIP over his last three starts — and teams who score at least 5.1 Runs-Per-Game using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.00 or lower over his last three starts now facing an American League opponent with a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or lower have then covered the +1.5 Run-Line in 61 of the last 93 situations where these conditions applied. While taking the Rangers as a money-line underdog is tempting, I prefer talking the underdog with the valuable +1.5 Run-Line when that proposition is priced below the -150 threshold. 25* MLB American League West Run-Line Underdog of the Year with the Texas Rangers (978) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Houston Astros (977) listing both starting pitchers Mike Minor and Wade Miley. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Rockies (912) versus the Cincinnati Reds (911) listing both starting pitchers Jon Gray and Sonny Gray. THE SITUATION: Colorado (44-45) limped into the All-Star Break having lost six straight games after their 5-3 loss in Arizona on Sunday. Cincinnati (41-46) returns from the break on a two-game losing streak after they lost to Cleveland by an 11-1 score.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROCKIES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Colorado returns home which will help them get back to their winning ways tonight. The Rockies have won 15 of their last 20 home games against teams with a losing record. Colorado has also won 16 of their last 20 home games with the number set in the 12 to 12.5 range. They give the ball to Jon Gray who is 9-6 with a 3.92 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in eighteen starts (nineteen games). The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.35 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP in seven starts (eight games) as compared to his 4.29 ERA and 1.40 WHIP when pitching on the road. The Rockies have won 4 straight home games with Gray facing a team with a losing record. Colorado has also won 4 straight games with Gray pitching against the Reds. He will face a slumping Cincinnati team that was scoring only 3.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests going into the All-Star Break with a .234 batting average, .275 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .651 in those games. The Reds have lost 35 of their last 51 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. Cincy has also lost 31 of their last 46 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Reds have lost 5 of their last 6 games after an off day. Cincinnati has also lost 8 of their last 11 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game — and they have lost 22 of their last 29 road games after failing to score more than one run in their last game. Furthermore, the Reds have lost 4 straight games on the road — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. They counter with Sonny Gray who is 5-5 with a 3.59 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in seventeen starts. The right-hander has done his best pitching at home where he sports a 3.44 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP in ten starts — but those numbers rise to a 3.79 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP when he is pitching on the road. Cincinnati has lost 14 of their last 18 games on the road with Gray on the mound — and they have also lost 5 of their last 6 games with Gray facing a team with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Sonny Gray faces a Rockies that crushes pitching at home in Coors Field — they are scoring 6.6 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .314 batting average along with a .376 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .911. Colorado has also won a decisive 35 of their last 52 games at home against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Friday Night Special Feature with the money-line on the Colorado Rockies (912) versus the Cincinnati Reds (911) listing both starting pitchers Jon Gray and Sonny Gray. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (967) and the Tampa Bay Rays (968) listing both starting pitchers James Paxton and Charlie Morton. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (51-39) has won five of their last eight games after they defeated the Yankees in the third game of this series yesterday by a 4-3 score. New York (57-30) saw their three-game winning streak snapped in the loss on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Yankees have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss. They close out the first half of the regular season with the Over going a decisive 36-13-2 in their last 51 games on the road — and the Over is also 19-6-1 in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Bronx Bombers have played 15 of their last 20 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 7 to 8.5 range — and they have played 11 of their last 14 road games Over the Total when priced in the +125 to -125 price range. Additionally, New York has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 22 of their last 33 games played in the day Over the Total. They give the ball to Paxton who is 5-3 with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP in fourteen starts. The left-hander has seen his productivity decline this year. His bases-on-balls are up — he is walking 9.9% of the batters he is facing as compared to his 6.5% walk rate last season. And his strikeouts are down — he is punching out 27.6% of the batters he has faced as compared to his elite 32.3% strikeout rate last season. Paxton has also struggled on the road where his ERA rise to a 5.12 mark along with a 1.71 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .320 in six starts. The Yankees have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total with Paxton on the hill. He faces a Rays team that is scoring 5.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests — and the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. Tampa Bay has seen their bullpen blow saves in the last two games of this series — and they have played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total after suffering two blown saves in a row. The Rays’ bullpen has a 6.82 ERA with a 1.52 WHIP over their last seven games. Tampa Bay has also played 21 of their last 31 home games Over the Total after playing a fellow AL East rival in their last three games. And the Over is 7-1-2 in the Rays’ last 10 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. They counter with Morton who is 9-2 with a 2.63 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in eighteen starts. The sabermetrics predict regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.51 and 3.22 moving forward given his peripheral numbers. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he sees his ERA rise to a 2.94 mark. The Rays have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Morton facing a team with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total with Morton pitching with the Total set in the 8 to 8.5 range. He faces a hot-hitting Yankees team that is scoring 7.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .293 batting average along with a .369 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .892 over that span. The Over is 35-12-2 in New York’s last 49 road games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 4 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers overall. The Yankees have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams when playing on the artificial turf featured at Tropicana Field. Despite the profile of these two starting pitchers, expect a higher scoring game. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break TBS-TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (967) and the Tampa Bay Rays (968) listing both starting pitchers James Paxton and Charlie Morton. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (919) and the Detroit Tigers (920) listing both starting pitchers Rick Porcello and Jordan Zimmermann. THE SITUATION: Boston (47-41) has won two straight games after winning the opening game of this series last night by a 9-6 score. Detroit (28-55) has lost four of their last five games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Boston has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 6-1-1 in the Red Sox’s last 8 road games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home. They give the ball to Porcello who is 5-7 with a 5.07 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in seventeen starts. The right-hander suffered through a terrible June where he had a 6.46 ERA. Over his last two starts which includes his disastrous 1/3 inning of work in London against the Yankees last Saturday, Porcello has a 15.71 ERA along with a 2.77 WHIP in 6 1/3 innings of work. Perhaps the warning signs regarding regression for the 30-year old were in the second half of last season where he had an ERA of 4.54. Gopher balls have always been a problem for Porcello. He allowed 1.27 home runs per 9 innings last year — and this year he is allowing 1.24 homers per 9 innings. But while Porcello struck out 8.9 batters per 9 innings last year, that number has dropped to 7.28 strikeouts per 9 innings. Porcello struck out 23.5% of the batters he faced last year but that number has dropped to 18.3% this season. Porcello has also seen his walk rate rise from 5.9% of the batters he faced last year to 7.2% of the batters he has faced this season. Overall, his K%-BB% mark of 11.1% is his lowest in a Red Sox uniform and a far cry from his career high mark of 17.6% from last year. Porcello has particularly struggled on the road (and his disaster in London was officially listed as a home game) where he has a 5.15 ERA along with a 1.45 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .289 in seven starts. Boston has played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total with Porcello on the mound — and they have played 5 straight road games Over the Total with Porcello facing a team with a losing record. Porcello also struggles in day games where his ERA rises to a 6.23 mark along with a 1.68 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .296. He faces a Tigers team that is scoring 5.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games (as compared to their 3.6 Runs-Per-Game scoring average) along with an improved .257 batting average along with a .311 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .718 over that span. Detroit has played 4 straight Overs this month — and the Over is also 10-3-2 in their last 15 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They counter with Zimmermann who is 0-5 with a 5.36 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP in nine starts. The right-hander has not been as effective when pitching at home in Comerica Park where his ERA rises to a 5.40 mark along with a 1.48 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .277 in four starts this season which included a long stint on the disabled list. Zimmermann does come off a nice performance where he allowed only one earned run in 6 innings of work against Washington — but the Tigers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with Zimmermann following up a Quality Start. Detroit has also played 17 of their last 24 day games Over the Total with Zimmermann on the mound. He faces a red-hot Red Sox team that is scoring 8.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .338 batting average along with a .383 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .965 during that span.

FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Over is 19-7-1 in their last 27 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. These two teams have now played 5 of their last 6 meetings Over the Total. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (919) and the Detroit Tigers (920) listing both starting pitchers Rick Porcello and Jordan Zimmermann. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Chicago White Sox (930) versus the Chicago Cubs (929) listing both starting pitchers Lucas Giolito and Jon Lester. THE SITUATION: The White Sox (41-43) look to bounce-back from their 11-5 loss to Detroit on Thursday after getting yesterday off. The Cubs (46-42) snapped a four-game losing streak on Thursday with their 11-3 win at Pittsburgh.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WHITE SOX WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The White Sox have still won five of their last seven games — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Southsiders have also won 5 straight games after an off day. This improving White Sox team has won 13 of their last 19 games at home in Guaranteed Rate Field — and they have won 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They give the ball to Giolito who is 11-2 with a 2.72 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in sixteen starts. The right-hander comes off a strong outing where he did not allow an earned run in 5 innings of work at home against Minnesota — and the White Sox have won 6 of their last 7 games with Giolito looking to follow up a start where he did not allow more than one earned run. Giolito has been the beneficiary of the White Sox’s great pitching coach Don Cooper who shortened the arm action of the former top prospect which has helped him throw more strikes. Giolito has three effective pitches that he is comfortable to mix around with his four-seam fastball, his slider, and his changeup. Giolito has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.70 ERA with a 0.99 WHIP in eight starts. The White Sox have won 6 straight games at home with Giolito on the hill. The White Sox have also won 6 of their last 8 games at night with Giolito on the hill. The Cubs have lost 4 of their last 5 games after a win — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Furthermore, the Cubbies have lost 7 of their last 9 games after scoring at least 10 runs in their last contest. The Cubs stay on the road where they are just 17-26 this season. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games — and they have lost 13 of their last 18 games on the road against teams with a winning record at home. They give the ball to Lester who is 7-6 with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP in sixteen starts. Lester does hit best pitching in Wrigleyville where he owns a 2.42 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .269 in nine home starts — but those numbers rise significantly to a 5.67 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .274 in seven starts on the road. The Cubs have lost 4 straight games on the road with Lester on the mound. He faces a hot-hitting White Sox team that is scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last five contests with a .293 batting average along with a .323 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .821 over that span.

FINAL TAKE: The White Sox have won 7 of their last 9 home games when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The Cubs remain overvalued relative to their play on the field this year — while bettors have been slow to catch up to the improving play of this White Sox team. There is nice value with the home team as a small underdog in this one. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Saturday Fox-TV Game of the Year with the money-line on the Chicago White Sox (930) versus the Chicago Cubs (929) listing both starting pitchers Lucas Giolito and Jon Lester. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Oakland A’s (973) versus the Seattle Mariners (974) listing both starting pitchers Brett Anderson and Yusei Kikuchi. THE SITUATION: Oakland (47-40) has won five of their last six games with their 7-2 win over Minnesota yesterday. Seattle (38-52) has lost two straight as well as six of their last seven contests after their 5-4 loss to St. Louis yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE A’S WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Oakland should build off their momentum tonight as they have won 16 of their last 21 games after a victory by at least four runs — and they have won 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The A’s go back on the road where they are 22-22 this after winning 16 of their last 21 games away from home. Oakland has also won 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a losing record at home. They give the ball to Anderson who is 8-5 with a 3.92 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP in seventeen starts. The left-hander has been more effective on the road where he enjoys a 3.46 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .239 in nine starts. The A’s have won 4 straight road games with Anderson on the hill. The veteran also sports a 2.74 ERA at night with a 1.07 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .215 in ten starts this year. Oakland has won 8 of their last 10 games at night with Anderson on the hill. He faces a cold-hitting Mariners team that is scoring only 2.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .199 batting average along with a .275 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .625 over that span. Seattle has lost 15 of their last 20 games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Mariners have also lost 4 of their last 5 games after a loss — and they have lost 27 of their last 39 games after losing five or six of their last seven contests. They stay at home where they have lost 21 of their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. Seattle has left five runners on base in their last two games — and they have lost 6 straight games after not leaving more than five baserunners in two straight games. The Mariners have also played two straight Unders — and they have then lost 7 of their last 8 games after playing at least two games that finished Under the Total. They counter with Kikuchi who is 4-5 with a 5.12 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP in eighteen starts this season. The left-hander is beginning to really struggle in his first year pitching in the United States after being signed from Japan in the offseason. Over his last three starts, Kikuchi has a 6.75 ERA with a 1.88 WHIP spanning 16 innings of work. Kikuchi has also been less effective at home where his ERA rises to a 5.49 mark in eight starts. Seattle has lost 5 of their last 7 games with Kikuchi facing a team with a winning record. He faces an underrated A’s lineup that has scored 6.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games — and they are scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Oakland has won 6 of their last 7 road games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break American League West Game of the Year with the money-line on the Oakland A’s (973) versus the Seattle Mariners (974) listing both starting pitchers Brett Anderson and Yusei Kikuchi. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (907) and the Atlanta Braves (908) listing both starting pitchers Zach Elfin and Mike Soroka. Atlanta (51-36) snapped their two-game losing streak yesterday with their 9-2 win over the Phillies. Philadelphia (45-41) has lost three of their last five games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Braves have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a victory by at least six runs — and they have also played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. Additionally, the Over is 14-5-1 in Atlanta’s last 20 games are scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Braves have been an offensive juggernaut when playing at home in SunTrust Park where they are scoring 5.8 Runs-Per-Game with a .276 batting average along with a .348 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .840. The Over is 15-5-1 in Atlanta’s last 21 games at home — and the Over is also 11-3-1 in their last 15 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to Soroka who is 9-1 with a 2.13 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP in fourteen starts. The sabermetrics are calling for regression for the rookie right-hander with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.04 and 3.75 respectively moving forward given his peripheral numbers. Soroka has not been as effective at home where he owns a 3.28 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .252 in six home starts as compared to his 1.29 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and .171 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Over is 4-1-1 in Soroka’s last 6 starts — and the Braves have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Soroka facing a fellow NL East opponent. He faces a Phillies team that has seen the Over go 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. Philadelphia has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. And while the first two games of this series have finished Under the Total, the Phillies have played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight Unders. They give the ball to Eflin who is 7-7 with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP in sixteen starts. The sabermetrics are calling for regression — and this may be well underway already — with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.64 and 4.75 moving forward. Elfin had a 4.02 ERA in his last five starts in the month of June — and he has surrendered 19 base hits in his last two starts spanning only 11 innings. Eflin has not been as effective on the road where he has an ERA of 3.62 along with a 1.35 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .265 in nine starts. The Over is 3-1-1 in Philadelphia’s last 5 road games with Eflin facing a team with a winning record — and Philly has played 11 of their last 14 Over the Total on the road as an underdog priced in the +125 to +175 price range with Eflin on the hill.

FINAL TAKE: The Over is 11-2-1 in Atlanta’s last 14 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. Expect a high scoring game. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break ESPN Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Phillies (907) and the Atlanta Braves (908) listing both starting pitchers Zach Elfin and Mike Soroka. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Chicago White Sox (14) versus the Detroit Tigers (913) listing both starting pitchers Reynaldo Lopez and Matthew Boyd. THE SITUATION: Chicago (41-42) has won five of their last six games after sweeping yesterday’s doubleheader with the Tigers by 7-5 and 9-6 scores. Detroit (27-54) has now lost three straight games as well as eleven of their last twelve contests. Lopez was scheduled to pitch against Boyd in the opening game of this series on Tuesday but rain postponed that game and both managers decided to push back the starters an extra day after both warmed up to take the mound.

REASONS TO TAKE THE WHITE SOX WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Chicago has won 4 straight games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The White Sox are now 24-18 at home in Guaranteed Rate Park — and they have won 13 of their last 18 games at home. Additionally, Chicago has also won 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. They give the ball to Lopez who is 4-7 with a 6.12 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP in seventeen starts this season. Those are unappealing numbers but the worst of it for Lopez has been when he has been on the road where he has been saddled with a 6.59 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP in eight starts. Lopez has been pitching better at home as of late after enduring a terrible start to the season. Over his last four starts at home at Guaranteed Rate Field, Lopez has a respectable 4.27 ERA along with a 1.26 WHIP covering 25 1/3 innings of work. Lopez was very good at home last year where he enjoyed a 3.63 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .211 as compared to his 4.20 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .257 opponent’s batting average on the road. Chicago has won 4 of their last 5 home games with Lopez pitching when priced in the +125 to -125 range. He has a great opportunity to pick up his fifth win of the season against this Tigers team that is scoring 3.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests while hitting just .231 over that span with a .293 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .634. Detroit has lost a decisive 42 of their last 55 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Tigers have also lost 26 of their last 33 games after a loss — and they have lost 20 of their last 27 games after dropping the first two games in a series. Furthermore, Detroit has lost 54 of their last 72 road games against teams with a winning record at home. They have also lost 15 of their last 20 games against teams with a losing record. Detroit was a small favorite in this matchup because of Boyd who has a 3.72 ERA and a 1.09 WHP in seventeen starts which has resulted in a 5-6 record — but (unfortunately) the two-game sweep yesterday helped to alert bettors to the relative value offered by this improved White Sox team. Boyd has thrived at home where he owns a 3.36 ERA with a 1.01 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .231 in nine starts. But the left-hander sees those numbers rise to a 4.17 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and .237 opponent’s batting average on the road. Last year, Boyd endured a 5.89 ERA along with a 1.31 WHIP on the road. And while Boyd is pitching better this year after simplifying his approach to relying mostly on his fastball and slider, he remains a fly ball pitcher who is vulnerable to giving up gopher balls. Boyd surrendered a whopping ten home runs last month in five starts after only surrendering seven home runs in his first twelve starts of the season — so pitching in Guaranteed Rate Park will be a challenge since they allow the fifth-most home runs in MLB this season. Detroit has lost 21 of their last 29 road games with Boyd on the bump — and they have lost 7 straight games with Boyd pitching in Chicago against the White Sox.

FINAL TAKE: Chicago surge as of late in large part because they are hitting the ball better. Over their last seven games, the White Sox are scoring 5.7 Runs-Per-Game with a .283 batting average. Chicago has won 7 of their last 8 home games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break American League Central Game of the Year with the money-line on the Chicago White Sox (914) versus the Detroit Tigers (913) listing both starting pitchers Reynaldo Lopez and Matthew Boyd. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Seattle Mariners (980) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the St. Louis Cardinals (979) listing both starting pitchers Mike Leake and Adam Wainwright. THE SITUATION: Seattle (38-51) snapped their four-game losing streak in the opening game of this series with their 5-4 victory over the Cardinals. St. Louis (41-42) has lost six of their last seven games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE MARINERS PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: The Seattle bullpen blew a 4-1 lead last night before the Mariners scored the winning run in the bottom of the 8th inning — and they have won 9 of their last 14 games after a game where they blew a save. Seattle has won 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Leake who is 7-7 with a 4.63 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP in seventeen starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 4.00 ERA in seven starts as opposed to his 5.08 ERA on the road. Surrounding gopher balls has been the biggest problem for Leake this season as he allowed a league-leading 23 home runs this year. But 19 of those home runs came on the road — Leake has given up only four home runs at home in the spacious T-Mobile Park. The Mariners have won 8 of their last 9 home games with Leake facing a team with a losing record. Seattle has also won 28 of their last 38 home games with Leake pitching with the Total set in the 9 to 9.5 range. He should find success against the slumping Cardinals who are scoring only 2.7 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven contests with a .229 batting average along with a .278 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .636 over that span. St. Louis has lost 4 straight games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Cardinals have lost 4 of their last 5 games after a loss — and they have lost 13 of their last 20 games after losing five or six of their last seven contests. Additionally, St. Louis has lost 4 straight games in Interleague play. They counter with Wainwright who is 5-7 with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in fifteen starts. The right-hander has been effective at home where he owns a 2.68 ERA along with a 1.28 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .244 in eight starts — but he sees those numbers skyrocket to a 6.56 ERA with a 1.51 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .288 when on the road. The Cardinals have lost 4 straight road games with Wainwright on the hill — and they have also lost 5 of their last 7 games with Wainwright pitching in Interleague play. Furthermore, Wainwright has a 5.22 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .287 in eleven starts — and St. Louis has lost 8 of their last 10 games at night with Wainwright on the mound. He faces a Mariners team that has won 5 of their last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The team trends referenced in this Report do not take into account the +1.5 Run-Line we will be taking in this contest. Because the Mariners average 1.71 Home Runs per game, they are supported by a Run-Line specific angle that has been 61% effective since 1997. Seattle has a bullpen WHIP of 1.45 — and home teams who average at least 1.5 Home Runs per game whose bullpen has a WHIP in the 1.45 to 1.55 range have then covered the +1.5 Run-Line in 114 of these last 187 situations. 25* MLB Run-Line Underdog of the Month with the Seattle Mariners (980) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the St. Louis Cardinals (979) listing both starting pitchers Mike Leake and Adam Wainwright. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (913) and the Toronto Blue Jays (914) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Trent Thornton. THE SITUATION: Boston (44-40) returns stateside after getting swept in their two-game series in London against the Yankees where they followed up a 17-13 loss on Saturday with a 12-8 loss on Sunday. Toronto (32-53) has won three of their last four games with their 11-4 win over Kansas City yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Red Sox have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. Additionally, Boston has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after allowing at least 10 runs in their last game to a fellow AL East rival — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after surrendering at least 10 runs in two straight games. Furthermore, while the Red Sox bullpen surrendered ten runs on Sunday, they have then played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a game where their bullpen gave up at least four runs. The Over is also a decisive 41-16-2 in Boston’s last 59 games after an off day. They stay on the road where the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against teams who are not winning more than 40% of their games at home. They have also played 28 of their last 43 games when priced at -150 or higher. They give the ball to Price who is 5-2 with a 3.36 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP in fourteen starts. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.06 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .230 in six starts — but those numbers climb to a 3.60 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .250 on the road. And while Price comes off a solid outing where he allowed only two earned runs in 6 innings of work at home against the White Sox, the Red Sox have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Price looking to follow up a Quality Start. He faces a Blue Jays team that is scoring 6.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .307 batting average along with a .365 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .930 over that span — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Toronto has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Blue Jays stay at home where the Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games — and the Over is 10-2-1 in their last 13 home games against teams with a winning record. Toronto has also played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total as a money-line underdog priced in the +125 to +175 price range. They counter with Thornton who is 2-5 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP in seventeen starts. The right-hander has not been as effective a home where his ERA rises to a 6.39 mark with a 1.58 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .272 in seven starts. The Blue Jays have played 4 straight games Over the Total at home with Thornton on the hill — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total at home with Thornton facing a team with a winning record. He faces a Red Sox team that is scoring 6.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .328 batting average along with a .382 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .924 in those games. Boston has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings between two teams when playing in Toronto. 20* MLB Tuesday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (913) and the Toronto Blue Jays (914) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Trent Thornton. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (951) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (952) listing both starting pitchers Adbert Alzaolay and Trevor Williams. THE SITUATION: Chicago (45-39) has lost four of their last six games after their 8-6 loss in Cincinnati yesterday. Pittsburgh (39-43) has lost two in a row after their 2-1 loss in Milwaukee yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cubs have played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a loss by two runs or less in their last game. Chicago has also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when facing an opponent that did not score more than two runs in their last game. Additionally, the Cubs have played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road — and they have played 15 of their last 22 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 8.5 to 10 range. They give the ball to Alzolay who is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in his 8 2/3 innings of pitching this year after being called up from Triple-A. Obviously, we are dealing with a very small sample size — but there are some things to be worried about with the rookie. First, Alzolay has already issued six bases-on-balls in those 8 1/3 innings of work. Second, this will be his first time pitching in a hostile ballpark in his career at the major league level. His SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 5.30 and 5.44 based on his peripheral numbers — so I do not put much stock in his current ERA. Alzolay faces a hot-hitting Pirates team that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .298 batting average along with a .351 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .849 over that span. The Over is 15-5-1 in the Pirates’ last 21 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Over is also 9-3-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 13 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Pirates have played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 18 of their last 24 games at home Over the Total after a loss by just one run. Additionally, the Over is 7-1-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 9 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. The Pirates have only scored two runs in their last three games — but they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after failing to score more than three runs in two straight contests. Pittsburgh returns home here the Over is 19-6-2 in their last 27 games. Additionally, the Pirates have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total with the number set in the 9 to 9.5 range — and they have played 13 of their last 16 home games Over the Total with the Total set in the 8.5 to 10 range. They counter with Williams who is 2-2 with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in eleven starts this season. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he has struggled with a 6.00 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .283 opponent’s batting average in four starts. Pittsburgh has played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total with Williams pitching at home. He faces a Cubs’ team that is scoring 5.3 Runs-Per-Game on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The last meeting between these two teams ended with the Cubs pulling a 2-0 loss in Wrigley Field back on April 11th. The Pirates have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they did not score more than one run. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Monday ESPN Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (951) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (952) listing both starting pitchers Adbert Alzaolay and Trevor Williams. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (913) and the New York Mets (914) listing both starting pitchers Max Fried and Noah Syndergaard. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (50-34) has won six of their last eight games after they won Game Two of this series last night by a 5-4 score. New York (37-47) has lost seven straight games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Braves have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a victory by one run over a fellow NL East rival. The Over is also 10-3-1 in Atlanta’s last 14 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 20 road games with the Total set at 7 to 8.5, the Braves have played 13 of these games Over the Total. They give the ball to Fried who is 9-3 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP in sixteen starts (eighteen appearances). The left-hander has not been as effective on the road where he sees his ERA rise to a 4.50 mark along with a 1.52 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .280 in eight starts (ten games). Atlanta has played 9 of their last 12 games on the road Over the Total with Fried on the hill. Fried comes off a good effort where he allowed only two earned runs in 6 innings of work in Chicago against the Cubs (but his troubling walk rate as of late continued as he issued five bases on balls) — and the Over is 6-1-1 in the Braves’ last 8 games when Fried is looking to follow up a Quality Start. New York has played 16 of their last 24 games in the month of June Over the Total. The Mets have also played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total when favored in the -100 to -150 price range — and this includes them playing nine of their last thirteen games at home Over the Total when favored up to the -150 price. New York has also played 34 of their last 50 games Over the Total when playing at night

At 4:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the San Diego Padres (912) versus the St. Louis Cardinals (911) listing both starting pitchers Joey Lucchesi and Miles Mikolas. THE SITUATION: San Diego (41-40) has won four straight games after their 12-2 win over the Cardinals yesterday in the second game of this series. St. Louis (40-40) has lost five straight contests.

REASONS TO TAKE THE PADRES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: San Diego is on fire with their bats right now. They have scored 33 runs during their four-game winning streak with 42 base hits which includes a whopping 16 more runs over that span. The Padres have won 6 of their last 7 games after a win — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. San Diego has also won 7 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. They give the ball to Lucchesi who is 6-4 with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in fifteen starts this season. The rookie has been pitching his best ball of the season as he owns a 3-1 record with a 3.38 ERA along with a 0.95 WHIP over his last five starts. The left-hander has done his best pitching at home where he owns a 2.70 ERA with a 1.01 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .195 in nine starts. The Padres have won 7 of their last 10 games at home with Lucchesi making the start — and they have also won 4 of their last 5 home games with Lucchesi facing a team with a losing record. Lucchesi has had an extra couple days of rest to prepare for this start with his last effort being last Sunday — and San Diego has won 6 of their last 7 games with Lucchesi pitching with six days of rest. He faces a cold Cardinals lineup that is scoring only 2.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .219 batting average along with a .277 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .598 over that span. St. Louis has lost 5 of their last 7 road games when facing left-handed starting pitchers. That cause was made even worse for the Cards with Marcell Ozuna hitting the disabled list after suffering a broken right hand. Ozuna is the team’s best hitter with six more home runs and 26 more RBIs than any of his teammates. St. Louis has five of their last seven games — and they have then lost 12 of their last 18 games after losing five or six of their last seven contests. The Cardinals have also lost 17 of their last 25 games on the road — and they have lost 16 of their last 21 road games against teams with a winning record. St. Louis has also lost 6 straight games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Mikolas who is 5-8 with a 4.33 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in sixteen starts. The right-hander has been very tough when pitching at home in Busch Stadium where he owns a 2.48 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .223 — but those numbers explode to a 7.76 ERA with a 1.76 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .346 in seven starts on the road. The Cardinals have lost 4 of their last 6 road games with Mikolas on the mound. And while Mikolas allowed only one run in his last start which was at home against the Angels, St. Louis has lost 3 of their last 4 games when Mikolas is following up a start where he allowed only one earned run. The Padres are scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .275 batting average along with a .351 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .902 in those games. San Diego has also won 5 straight home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Cardinals have lost 16 of their last 24 games when playing with at least double-revenge. St. Louis has also lost 6 of their last 7 meetings with the Padres which includes them losing four straight games in San Diego’s Petco Park. 25* Major League Baseball Game of the Month with the money-line on the San Diego Padres (912) versus the St. Louis Cardinals (911) listing both starting pitchers Joey Lucchesi and Miles Mikolas. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Rangers (921) and the Tampa Bay Rays (922) listing both starting pitchers Jesse Chavez and Blake Snell. THE SITUATION: Texas (46-37) saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 5-2 loss to the Rays. Tampa Bay (47-36) has won two of their last three games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rangers have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Texas has also played 15 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after winning at least four of their last five contests. Additionally, the Texas bullpen has pitched only five combined innings in their last three games — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when their bullpen has not logged more than 5 combined innings in their last three contests. The Rangers have played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total in the month of June. They also have played 5 straight games Under the Total on the road. Jesse Chavez takes the mound with his 3-2 record along with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP across 51 2/3 innings of work. The veteran right-hander is making his first start of the season because he has allowed only one earned run in his last 14 1/3 innings of work while striking out 14 batters and walking just one over that span. Working mostly in long relief this season, Chavez has been more effective on the road where he owns a 1.37 ERA with an opponent’s batting average of .222 in 26 1/3 innings of work as compared to his 4.26 ERA along with a .271 opponent’s batting average at home. Chavez’s teams have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total when he is making a start with the Total set in the 7 to 8.5 range. He faces a slumping Rays’ team that is scoring only 4.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .202 batting average along with a .260 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .622 over that span. Tampa Bay has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Under is 6-1-1 in the Rays’ last 8 games after a win — and the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. Tampa Bay has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing no more than two runs in their last game. Furthermore, the Under is 6-2-1 in the Rays’ last 9 games at home — and the Under is 7-2-2 in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. They counter with Snell who is 4-7 with a 5.01 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP in sixteen starts. The left-hander has really struggled as of late having not completed four complete innings in three straight starts. He is struggling with his curveball which has allowed hitters to sit on his fastball. But his velocity on his fastball is still good at 96 MPH and he has an effective changeup as a counter to it. His last two starts have been on the road against two of the best offenses in baseball against the Yankees and Twins — so maybe just returning home will help cure what ails him. Snell has gotten pounded on the road where he has a 6.48 ERA with a 1.54 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .287 — but he has been very good at home with a 3.38 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and .218 opponent’s batting average in seven starts. The deeper sabermetrics are encouraging with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.57 and 3.20 moving forward. Tampa Bay has played 21 of their last 35 games Under the Total with Snell on the hill after a win. He should find success against this Rangers team that is hitting only .228 against left-handed starting pitchers with a .307 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .693. Texas has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.  The Rangers have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total. 25* MLB American League Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Texas Rangers (921) and the Tampa Bay Rays (922) listing both starting pitchers Jesse Chavez and Blake Snell. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Cincinnati Reds (956) versus the Chicago Cubs (955) listing both starting pitchers Luis Castillo and Jose Quintana. THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (36-42) snapped a four-game losing streak last night by defeating the Cubs in the opening game of this series by a 6-3 score. Chicago (44-37) has now lost three of their last four games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE REDS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Cincinnati has won 5 of their last 6 games after a victory — and they have also won 6 of their last 8 games after losing four of their last five games. Additionally, the Reds have won 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 5 straight games at home. They give the ball to Castillo who is 7-2 record with a 2.56 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in sixteen starts. The right-hander has added a change-up this year which has helped him become more effective against left-handed hitters. Castillo has a deadly combination of attributes in that he is striking out 28.9% of the batters he is facing while inducing ground balls in 55.3% of the balls he is allowing into play. Castillo’s biggest flaw is that he is walking too many batters at a 13.0% clip of all the batters he faces. He issued five bases-on-balls in his last start on the road against Milwaukee. Castillo has a 1.40 WHIP when pitching on the road. But he has better control at home where his WHIP drops to a 0.97 mark which correlates with a 2.01 ERA and a .164 opponent’s batting average in eight starts. Cincinnati has won 14 of their last 20 home games with Castillo on the hill — and they have won 4 of their last 5 home games with Castillo facing a team with a winning record. The Reds have also won 5 of their last 7 games with Castillo facing the Cubs. Chicago has lost 8 of their last 10 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Cubs have also lost 9 of their last 11 games away from home overall — and they have lost 16 of their last 21 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 19 road games, as an underdog priced at least at +100, Chicago has lost 15 of these contests. They counter with Quintana who is 4-7 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in sixteen games (fifteen starts). The lefty is mired in a big slump over his last nine starts where he has a 0-6 record with a 5.40 ERA. Quintana’s velocity is down to just 91.7 MPH on his fastball which is the lowest mark since his rookie season back in the idyllic days of 2012. The result has been that Quintana has not struck out more than six batters in eleven straight starts. Quintana has also been less effective on the road where he sees his ERA rise to a 4.93 mark along with a 1.57 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .288 on seven starts (eight games). The Cubs have lost 4 straight road games with Quintana on the mound. Quintana has also been rocked with a 6.29 ERA along with a 1.49 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .302 in six day starts.

FINAL TAKE: Chicago has lost 4 of their last 5 games with Quintana facing the Reds. Cincy is currently scoring a healthy 5.1 Runs-Per-Game. 25* MLB National League Central Game of the Month with the money-line on the Cincinnati Reds (956) versus the Chicago Cubs (955) listing both starting pitchers Luis Castillo and Jose Quintana. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (965) and the Boston Red Sox (966) listing both starting pitchers Masahiro Tanaka and Rick Porcello. THE SITUATION: New York (52-28) begins this series having won three straight games — as well as eleven of their last twelve contest — after their 8-7 victory over Toronto on Thursday. Boston (44-38) has lost three of their last five games after their 8-7 loss to the Chicago White Sox on Thursday. While the Red Sox are the technical home team who will bat last in this series, this game is being played on a neutral field at London Stadium in England.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Yankees have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a win by just one run. New York has also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs. Additionally, the Over is a decisive 35-14-2 in the Bronx Bombers’ last 51 games on the road. They give the ball to Tanaka who is 5-5 with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in sixteen starts. The deeper sabermetrics for the right-hander calls for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.18 and 3.96 moving forward. Tanaka has not been as effective away from Yankee Stadium as he owns a 3.89 ERA on the road in six starts as compared to his 2.84 ERA at home. And while Tanaka comes off a nice outing where he allowed only two runs in 6 innings of work against the Astros — but the Over is 4-1-1 in the Yankees’ last 6 games when Tanaka is on the hill looking to follow up a Quality Start. The Over is also 3-1-1 in New York’s last 5 games with Tanaka facing the Red Sox. Boston has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitching. The Red Sox are swinging hot bats right now as they are scoring 6.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .310 batting average along with a .378 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .868 over that span. Additionally, the Over is 40-16-2 in Boston’s last 58 games after an off day — and the Over is 29-14-2 in their last 45 opening games to a new series. The Red Sox have also played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a game where at least 15 combined runs were scored — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total in contests with the Total set at 11 or higher. The Over is also 4-1-1 in Boston’s last 6 games against fellow AL East opponents. They counter with Porcello who is 5-7 with a 4.52 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP in sixteen starts. The sabermetrics are not encouraging for the right-hander either with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.89 and 5.02 respectively moving forward given his peripheral numbers. Porcello has struggled away from Fenway Park where he has a 5.15 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .289 in seven starts as opposed to his 4.11 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and .242 opponent’s batting average when pitching in Fenway. The Red Sox have played 3 of their last 4 games with Porcello pitching with the Total set at 11 or higher. He faces a powerful Yankee lineup that is scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .304 batting average along with a .365 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .935.

FINAL TAKE: The Yankees have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Expect a high scoring game between these two teams swinging hot bats. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Fox-TV Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (965) and the Boston Red Sox (966) listing both starting pitchers Masahiro Tanaka and Rick Porcello. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Washington Nationals (927) versus the Detroit Tigers (928) listing both starting pitchers Anibal Sanchez and Daniel Norris. THE SITUATION: Washington (40-40) has won three straight games — as well as eight of their last ten contests — with their 8-5 win at Miami yesterday. Detroit (26-50) has lost seven straight games — as well as eleven of their last twelve contests — after their 3-1 loss to Texas yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE NATIONALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: This red-hot Washington team has won 6 of their last 7 games after a win — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Nationals have also won 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Washington stays on the road where they have won 6 of their last 7 games — and they have won 7 of their last 9 road games with the Total set at 10 to 10.5. Additionally, the Nationals have won 7 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Washington sends out Sanchez who is 3-6 with a 4.02 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP in fourteen starts. The 35-year old has reinvented himself late in his career by adding a cutter into his arsenal to compensate for his declining velocity — and this has lowered his hard-hit rate by opposing batters. Sanchez has been outstanding as of late with a 3-0 record over his last five starts with a 2.45 ERA over that span. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.84 ERA with a .233 opponent’s batting average in seven starts as compared to his 4.15 ERA and .244 opponent’s batting average at home. The Nationals have won 4 of their last 5 games with Sanchez pitching as a favorite priced at least at -110. He faces a cold Tigers lineup that is scoring only 3.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last five games. Detroit has lost 10 of their last 14 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or lower. The Tigers have also lost 22 of their last 27 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. Detroit has lost 12 of their last 14 home games after being on at least a three-game losing streak. The Tigers have also lost 23 of their last 29 games after a loss — and they have lost 10 of their last 13 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Detroit has been a disaster when playing at home in Comerica Park where they have dropped 20 of their last 22 games. The Tigers have also lost 26 of their last 33 home games against teams with a losing record on the road — and they have lost 20 of their last 25 home games as the underdog. They counter with Norris who is 2-6 with a 4.69 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP in thirteen starts (sixteen appearances). The left-hander has not been as effective at home where he owns a 5.10 ERA as compared to his more modest 4.44 ERA on the road. Detroit has lost 16 of their last 21 home games with Norris on the hill. He faces a hot-hitting Nationals team that has scored 6.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .268 batting average along with a .332 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .809 over that span.

FINAL TAKE: Washington has won 9 of their last 13 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or lower. With the price on the Nationals below my -150 price threshold, let’s attack. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Road Warrior of the Year with the money-line on the Washington Nationals (927) versus the Detroit Tigers (928) listing both starting pitchers Anibal Sanchez and Daniel Norris. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:45 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Rockies (903) versus the San Francisco Giants (904) listing both starting pitchers German Marquez and Jeff Samardzija. THE SITUATION: Colorado (41-38) looks to bounce-back from losing the second game of this series by a 4-2 score. San Francisco (34-44) snapped a two-game losing streak with the victory behind the efforts of starting pitcher Madison Bumgarner — but they have still lost five of their last eight games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROCKIES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Despite the loss on Tuesday, Colorado has won 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Rockies have also won 15 of their last 21 road games when priced in the -125 to -175 range as the favorite. They give the ball to Marquez who is 7-3 with a 4.32 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in seventeen starts this season. The right-hander with the devastating curveball should be seeing better results according to the sabermetrics. Both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.70 and 3.44 moving forward based off his peripheral numbers. Marquez also struggles at home in Coors Field where he has been saddled with a 5.70 ERA along with a 1.60 WHIP. But in his eight starts on the road, Marquez has a nice 3.02 ERA with a 0.79 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .186. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Marquez had a 4.74 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .284 at home but saw all those numbers significantly improve when getting away from Coors Field on the road where he had a 2.95 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .203. Marquez comes off a strong start on the road in Los Angeles against the Dodgers on Friday when he allowed just two runs (one earned) in 8 innings of work. Colorado has won 11 of their last 13 games with Marquez pitching with four days of rest. The Rockies have also won 6 straight games with Marquez on the mound against teams with a losing record. Marquez also thrives in day games given his 3.06 ERA in day games with a 0.96 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .198 in five starts. Colorado has won 5 straight games with Marquez pitching in an afternoon game. He should pitch well against this slumping Giants’ lineup that is hitting only .204 over their last seven games with a .261 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .635. San Francisco has lost 29 of their last 39 third games of a series. The Giants are playing their ninth straight game against a fellow NL West opponent — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games after playing at least six games in a row against division foes. San Francisco is just 16-22 at home this year — and they have lost 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Giants have also lost a decisive 44 of their last 61 games against teams with a losing record. They counter with Samardzija who is 4-6 with a 4.23 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP in fifteen starts. The sabermetrics are not encouraging for the former Notre Dame wide receiver with both his SIERA and xFIP calling for a rise in ERA to respective 4.84 and 5.11 marks moving forward. The right-hander has seen his numbers decline over the last few seasons. He has lost three miles-per-hour on his fastball than what he was clocking back in 2017. Samardzija has not been as effective during day games where he has a 4.35 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .264 in six starts as compared to his more modest 4.15 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .250 opponent’s batting average at night. Last year, Samardzija had an 8.10 ERA with a 2.10 WHIP in day games. Additionally, San Francisco has lost 4 straight games with Samardzija pitching at home in AT&T Park — and they have lost 7 of their last 9 games at home with Samardzija facing a team with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: The Giants have lost 6 of their last 8 games with Samardzija pitching against the Rockies. Look for Marquez have the upper hand this afternoon. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Getaway Game of the Year with the money-line on the Colorado Rockies (903) versus the San Francisco Giants (904) listing both starting pitchers German Marquez and Jeff Samardzija. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Minnesota Twins (970) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (969) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Gibson and Blake Snell. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (50-27) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 6-1 loss at Kansas City. Tampa Bay (45-33) has won two of their last three games after they defeated the A’s in Oakland by an 8-2 score.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TWINS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Minnesota has bounced-back to win 22 of their last 28 games after a loss — and they have won 10 of their last 11 games after failing to score more than one run against a fellow AL Central opponent. The Twins have also won 20 of their last 28 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 11 games after an off day, Minnesota has won 9 of these contests. They return home where they have won 9 of their last 13 home games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Gibson who is 7-4 with a 4.18 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in fourteen starts. The deeper sabermetrics for the veteran right-hander are encouraging with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.97 and 3.62 moving forward. Gibson has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.62 ERA with a 1.02 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .265 in six starts as compared to his 4.68 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .291 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Twins have won 4 of their last 5 games at home with Gibson on the hill — and they have also won 6 straight games with Gibson pitching with five days of rest. He should pitch well against this Rays team that has scored only 3.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .219 batting average along with a .272 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .602 during that span. Tampa Bay has lost 4 straight games after a win — and they have lost 4 straight games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. The Rays’ bullpen pitched 8 innings on Sunday as they used Ryne Stanek as their opener. Tampa Bay has then lost 16 of their last 22 games when their bullpen logged in at least seven innings in their last game. The Rays have lost 5 of their last 7 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, Tampa Bay has lost 5 of these contests. They counter with Snell who is 4-6 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in fifteen starts. The left-hander comes off a disastrous outing where he only registered one out in Yankee Stadium while allowing six earned runs before being pulled. From suffering a freak accident which broke his toe to his allowing 2.2 Home Runs per 9 innings, this has been a down year for the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner. Snell has been effective at home where he has a 3.28 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .218. But in his eight starts on the road, Snell sees those numbers explode to a 5.40 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .257. The Rays have lost 5 of their last 7 games on the road with Snell on the hill. He faces another tough test against this Twins team that is scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers with a .292 batting average along with a .351 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .852 in those games. Minnesota has won 8 of their last 9 games against left-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Rays have lost 4 of their last 5 meetings against the Twins. Look for Minnesota to continue their recent dominance against Tampa Bay. 25* MLB Tuesday Night Special Feature with the money-line with the money-line on the Minnesota Twins (970) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (969) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Gibson and Blake Snell. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the New York Yankees (910) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Toronto Blue Jays (909) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Aaron Sanchez. THE SITUATION: New York (49-28) saw their eight-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 9-4 loss to Houston. Toronto (29-49) has won three of their last four games with their 6-1 win at Boston yesterday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE YANKEES MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: New York had been crushing teams as they had outscored their previous six opponents by a whopping 60 to 23 mark while clubbing 17 home runs in those contests. The Yankees did extend their streak of hitting at least one home run to 26 games yesterday in their loss. The Bronx Bombers have bounced back to win 8 straight games after a loss by at least four runs — and they have won 27 of their last 33 games after allowing at least nine runs in their last contest. New York stays at home where they have won 7 of their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to Sabathia who is 4-4 with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP in twelve starts. The left-hander has been outstanding at home in Yankee Stadium where he owns a 2.18 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .207 in six starts. The Yankees have won 29 of their last 39 home games with Sabathia on the hill. New York has also won 5 of their last 6 games with Sabathia facing a team with a losing record. He faces a Blue Jays team that has lost 27 of their last 36 road games against teams using a left-handed starting pitcher. Toronto has also lost 18 of their last 26 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Blue Jays have lost 12 of their last 15 games after a win — and they have lost 5 straight games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. But the Toronto bullpen has logged in 10 2/3 innings of work — and they have lost 26 of their last 32 games when their bullpen has pitched at least 9 combined innings in their last two games. The Blue Jays have also lost 10 of their last 11 opening games to a new series. They counter with Sanchez who is 3-9 with a 5.49 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP in sixteen stats. The right-hander has really struggled after suffering a finger injury that required him to leave early in a start on May 27th. Since that outing, Sanchez has allowed 23 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings of work for an 11.09 ERA along with a 2.04 WHIP. He has struck out only nine batters during that span after failing to strike out a single batter in his last effort against the Angels. Sanchez has particularly struggled on the road where he has a 6.08 ERA with a 1.80 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .296 in nine starts. Toronto has lost 9 of their last 10 games on the road with Sanchez on the hill. He faces a hot-hitting Yankees lineup that has scored 6.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .270 batting average along with a .335 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .844 in those games. The Blue Jays have lost 6 of their last 8 games when playing the Yankees in New York. They also have lost 4 of their last 5 games with Sanchez pitching against the Yankees.

FINAL TAKE: While none of these team trends take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we are laying in this game, because Sanchez averages 4.9 innings per start, the Blue Jays fall into an empirical “play-against” angle specific to the Run-Line that has been 71% effective since 1997. Toronto is hitting .260 this season — and road underdogs who are not hitting above .260 using a starting pitcher who does not average at least 5 innings per start now facing an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or lower have then failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line (when priced at last at +100) in 45 of these last 56 situations where these conditions applied. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break American League East Run-Line of the Year with the New York Yankees (910) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Toronto Blue Jays (909) listing both starting pitchers C.C. Sabathia and Aaron Sanchez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (980) versus the Los Angeles Angeles (979) listing both starting pitchers Miles Mikolas and Tyler Skaggs. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (40-36) has won the opening two games of this series with their 4-2 victory over the Angels on Saturday. The Cardinals have won five of their last seven games as well as seven of their last ten contests. Los Angeles (38-40) has lost three straight games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CARDINALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: St. Louis may be just 16-21 on the road this season but they play much better at home in Busch Stadium where they have now won 7 of their last 10 games. The Cardinals have also won 13 of their last 17 home games with the Total set in the 9 to 9.5 range — and they have won 7 of their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road.
Furthermore, St. Louis has won 22 of their last 28 games when favored in the -110 to -150 price range. They give the ball to Mikolas who is 5-7 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in fifteen starts this season. The right-hander comes off an impressive effort in his last start where he pitches 6 scoreless innings against at home against a Miami team that had just seen his stuff in his previous outing. The Cardinals have won 12 of their last 17 games with Mikolas looking to follow up a Quality Start. Mikolas has been a much better pitcher at home this season where he enjoys a 2.55 ERA with a 0.80 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .211 in eight starts. His disparate home/road splits are consistent with last year where he had a 2.17 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average at home as opposed to his 3.53 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .264 when on the road. St. Louis has won 12 of their last 16 home games with Mikolas on the mound. They also have won 9 straight games with Mikolas pitching with the Total set in the 9 to 9.5 range. And with the Cardinals using a six-man starting rotation right now, Mikolas is pitching with five days of rest for this start — and St. Louis has won a decisive 16 of their last 20 games when he is pitching with five days of rest. Los Angeles has lost 13 of their last 16 games after dropping the first two games of a series. The Angels are now just 19-24 on the road this year — and they have lost 22 of their last 29 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Los Angeles has also lost 5 of their last 6 road games in Interleague play. They counter with Skaggs who is 6-6 with a 4.61 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in thirteen starts. The left-hander comes off an encouraging outing where he allowed only one earned run in 7 1/3 innings of work in Toronto. That was his first Quality Start in his last eight starts — and the Angels have lost 4 of their last 5 games with Skaggs looking to follow up a Quality Start. Skaggs stays on the road for this start where he will not have the luxury of facing that light-hitting Blue Jays’ lineup. Skaggs has been much worse on the road where he has a 5.27 ERA along with a .261 batting average in eight starts as compared to his more modest 3.58 ERA along with a .233 opponent’s batting average when pitching at home.

FINAL TAKE: The Angels have lost 5 straight games against the Cardinals — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games against them playing in St. Louis. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Sunday ESPN Game of the Year with the money-line on the St. Louis Cardinals (980) versus the Los Angeles Angeles (979) listing both starting pitchers Miles Mikolas and Tyler Skaggs. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (913) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (914) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Beede and Zack Godley. THE SITUATION: San Francisco (32-43) snapped a three-game losing streak last night with their 11-5 win over the Diamondbacks. Arizona (38-39) has lost five straight games.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Giants played their fourth straight game Over the Total last night — and they have played 13 of their last 20 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. Additionally, the Over is 3-1-1 in San Fran’s last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have now played 4 straight games Over the Total against fellow NL East opponents. Furthermore, the Giants have played 4 straight games Over the Total on the road — and the Over is 14-6-2 in their last 22 road games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 17 road games as a money-line underdog priced in the +125 to +175 price range, San Francisco has played 11 of these games Over the Total. They give the ball to Beede who is 1-2 with a 6.67 ERA with a 1.91 WHIP in 28 1/3 innings of work. The former first-round pick picked up his first win in MLB on Monday in Los Angeles against the Dodgers — but he still has a troubling 6.75 ERA when pitching on the road. Beede has also struggled in night games where he has a 7.97 ERA with a 1.97 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .282. The rookie has an uninspiring 32:22 strikeout-to-walk ratio this season. The Giants have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Beede on the mound as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. He faces a Diamondbacks team that has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Arizona has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after allowing at least eight runs in their last game. Additionally, the Diamondbacks have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Arizona has also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss by at least five runs. This team has also played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. They counter with Godley who is 3-4 with a 6.52 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP in fifteen appearances which include eleven starts. The right-hander has been clobbered when pitching at home in Chase Field where he has a 7.09 ERA in eight games which includes five starts. Godley also is saddled with a 7.33 ERA with a 1.65 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .288 in six starts (eleven appearances) at night. The seeds in Godley’s decline were evident last year where his Ground Ball rate declined by 6.5% while his walk rate of 4.09 Bases-on-Balls per 9 innings was over 1.0 Walk higher per 9 innings than in 2017. Godley will not pitch deep into this game — especially when considering that he had an ugly 9.20 ERA when going through the batting order for the third time last year. But the Arizona bullpen has struggled with a 7.22 ERA with a 1.56 WHIP in their last seven games. The Diamondbacks have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with Godley facing a team with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Arizona has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss where they allowed at least 10 runs. These two teams have played 4 straight games Over the Total. Expect another higher-scoring game. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break National League West Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (913) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (914) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Beede and Zack Godley. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (957) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (958) listing both starting pitchers Eric Lauer and Joe Musgrove. THE SITUATION: San Diego (38-37) comes off a four-game sweep of the Brewers after their 8-7 victory on Wednesday. Pittsburgh (33-40) has won two of their last three games with their 8-7 win over Detroit on Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 11-4-1 in the Padres’ last 16 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and the Over is 8-2-2 in their last 12 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Over is also 5-0-2 in San Diego’s last 7 games after an off day. The Padres have played 13 of their last 17 road games Over the Total after a win. And while the San Diego bullpen did not allow a run in their last game against the Brewers, they have then played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a game where their bullpen did not allow an earned run. The Padres stay on the road where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Lauer who is 5-6 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in fourteen starts. The left-hander has thrived in the spacious confirms of Petco Park where he has a 2.70 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .244 — but those numbers skyrocket to a 7.81 ERA with a 1.66 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .310 in his six starts on the road. The Over is 5-0-2 in San Diego’s last 7 games on the road with Lauer on the hill. He faces a hot-hitting Pirates team that is scoring 6.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .301 batting average along with a .349 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .855 over that span. The Over is 15-5-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 21 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Additionally, the Over is 14-4-2 in the Pirates’ last 20 games after a victory. Furthermore, the Over is 21-5-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 28 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and the Over is 19-7-1 in their last 27 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Pirates have played 8 straight home games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games — and the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after an off day. Pittsburgh stays at home where the Over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They counter with Musgrove who is 4-7 with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in fourteen starts (fifteen appearances) this year. The left-hander has particularly struggled at home where he has a 5.71 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .284 in six starts. The Pirates have played 5 straight home games Over the Total with Musgrove on the hill. He also faces a hot-hitting team right now with the Padres scoring 8.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven contests with a .331 batting average along with a .391 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .961 in those games. San Diego has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played in mid-May with the Pirates winning the last three games on the road despite being the underdog. The Padres have played 23 of their last 31 road games Over the Total when playing with at least double revenge after being upset as a home favorite in their last two games with their current opponent. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break National League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (957) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (958) listing both starting pitchers Eric Lauer and Joe Musgrove. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago White Sox (979) and the Chicago Cubs (980) listing both starting pitchers Lucas Giolito and Jon Lester. THE SITUATION: The White Sox (35-36) won the opening game of this series last night with their 3-1 victory. The White Sox have won four of their last six games while the Cubs (39-33) has lost four of their last five contests.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The White Sox have played 21 of their last 31 games Under the Total after not allowing more than one run in their last game. And while the White Sox have not committed an error in three straight games, they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total on the road after not committing an error in two straight contests. This team has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road — and the Under is a decisive 46-21-3 in their last 70 games on the road against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Giolito who is 10-1 with a 2.22 ERA and a WHIP of 0.95 in thirteen starts. The young phenom has allowed only one earned run over his last three starts for a minuscule 0.43 ERA along with a 0.76 WHIP over 21 innings. The right-hander has been particularly effective on the road where he owns a 1.48 ERA with a 0.82 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .156 in six starts. The White Sox have played 16 of their last 22 road games Under the Total with Giolito on the hill — and this includes them playing their last 4 road games Under the Total with him on the hill. The White Sox have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total with Giolito looking to follow up a Quality Start. He faces a Cubs team that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a low .223 batting average along with a .270 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .635.

At 7:20 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Atlanta Braves (904) versus the New York Mets (903) listing both starting pitchers Julio Teheran and Jacob DeGrom. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (43-30) has won ten of their last eleven games with their 12-3 win over the Mets yesterday in the opening game of this series. New York (34-38) has lost two straight as well as four of their last five games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRAVES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Atlanta is a very intriguing money-line underdog as they are currently the hottest team in baseball. They are dogs in this game because they are facing the reigning National League Cy Young Award winner — but the Braves have scored at least five runs in ten of their last eleven games while outscoring their last two opponents by a whopping 27 to 4 margin. Atlanta has won 8 of their last 9 games after a win — and they have won 21 of their last 27 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Braves have been very tough to beat at home in SunTrust Park where they have won 9 of their last 10 games — and they have won 9 of their last 12 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They give the ball to Teheran who is 5-4 with a 2.92 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in fifteen starts. Over his last eight starts, the veteran right-hander has an outstanding 0.81 ERA — and he has not allowed a home run since April 30th. Teheran has been great at home where he owns a 1.85 ERA in six starts. Atlanta has won 6 straight home games with Teheran on the hill — and they have won 5 straight home games with Teheran facing a team with a losing record. Additionally, the Braves have pulled the upset in a whopping 14 of their last 16 games with Teheran pitching as the underdog — and this includes six straight wins with him pitching as a home dog. He faces a Mets team that has lost 5 of their last 6 games against right-handed starting pitchers. New York has lost 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least ten runs in their last game. The Mets have also lost 21 of their last 27 games on the road — and they have lost 10 of their last 12 road games against teams with a winning record at home. They counter with DeGrom who is 3-6 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in fourteen starts. The right-hander has been not quite as effective on the road in seven starts where opponents are hitting .238 against him as opposed to his .227 opponent’s batting average at home. But his teammates rarely seem to provide him much run support as the Mets have lost 5 straight games on the road. New York has also lost 8 of their last 10 games with DeGrom pitching as the favorite. He does come off a strong outing where he allowed only two runs in 7 innings of work against the Cardinals — but the Mets have lost 4 straight games with DeGrom looking to follow up a Quality Start. He faces a hot-hitting Braves team that is scoring 8.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .350 batting average along with a .414 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of 1.042 over that span. Atlanta is also scoring a robust 5.9 Runs-Per-Game at home this season with a .281 batting average along with a .355 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .853. The Braves have won 10 of their last 11 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: The Mets have lost 6 of their last 7 games with DeGrom making the start against the Braves — and this includes them losing four straight games on the road in Atlanta. New York has also lost 5 of their last 7 games in SunTrust Park against the Braves. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break National League East Underdog of the Year with the money-line on the Atlanta Braves (904) versus the New York Mets (903) listing both starting pitchers Julio Teheran and Jacob DeGrom. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:20 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (953) and the Atlanta Braves (954) listing both starting pitchers Zack Wheeler and Mike Soroka. THE SITUATION: New York (34-37) has lost three of their last four games with their 4-3 loss to St. Louis yesterday. Atlanta (42-30) has won nine of their last ten games after they crushed Philadelphia yesterday by a 15-1 score on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Over is 10-1-1 in the Braves’ last 12 games after a win — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Atlanta’s bullpen has pitched 9 1/3 combined innings over their last two games — and they have played 15 of their last 18 games Over the Total when their bullpen has logged in at least 9 combined innings in their last two games. The Over is also 12-3-1 in the Braves’ last 16 home games against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Soroka who is 7-1 with a 1.92 ERA along with a 0.97 WHIP in eleven starts. The deeper sabermetrics are not bullish on the rookie right-hander with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.93 and 3.59 moving forward. Soroka opened the season with an unsustainable low Batting Average for the Balls he Allowed Into Play (BABIP) and Home Run to Fly Ball rate — and the that he is still leaving 77.6% of the runners left on base when retiring the side is well above the league average. But the right-hander has seen the Regression Gods already visit him a few times this month as he has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP over his last three starts while striking out only 14 batters in 19 2/3 innings of work. Soroka has not been as effective at home where he sees his ERA rise to a 3.03 mark along with a 1.18 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .248 in five starts as compared to his filthy 1.11 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and .154 opponent’s batting average on the road. Atlanta has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Soroka facing a team with a losing record. He faces a Mets team that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games. New York has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Mets’ last 4 games after a loss. Additionally, New York has played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 28 of their last 42 games Over the Total in night games. They counter with Wheeler who is 5-4 with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in fourteen starts. The right-hander has particularly struggled on the road where he has a 5.48 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .287 in seven starts. The Over is 7-3-2 in the Mets’ last 12 road games with Wheeler on the mound. The Over is also 6-0-2 in New York’s last 8 games with Wheeler pitching on five days of rest. He faces a hot-hitting Braves team that is scoring 9.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .342 batting average along with a .402 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of 1.056 over that span. Atlanta is scoring 5.8 Runs-Per-Game at home — and the Over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: The Braves have scored at least nine runs twelve times this season. They face a pitcher in Wheeler who has already surrendered 13 home runs this season. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break National League East Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (953) and the Atlanta Braves (954) listing both starting pitchers Zack Wheeler and Mike Soroka. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Dodgers (914) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago Cubs (913) listing both starting pitchers Hyun-Jin Ryu and Jose Quintana. THE SITUATION: Chicago (39-31) had lost four of their last five games before they eked out the third game of this series yesterday with their 2-1 victory over Los Angeles. The Dodgers (47-24) won the first two games of this series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: The Cubs did not commit an error for the fourth straight game yesterday — but they have then lost 10 of their last 15 games after not committing an error in at least two straight games. Chicago remains a troubling 15-20 on the road this season. The Cubs have lost 7 of their last 9 games on the road — and they have lost 9 of their last 13 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Additionally, Chicago has lost 8 of their last 10 road games when an underdog priced at least at +150. They give the ball to Quintana who is 4-6 with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP this season in thirteen games (fourteen appearances). The deeper sabermetrics are troubling for the left-hander. For starters, his hard-hit rate stands at 37.8% of the batted-balls he is allowing into play which is the highest of his career after last year’s high of 33.5%. Quintana has been at his best when he is not walking batters while inducing lightly hit fly balls. But he walked four batters in 4 2/3 innings of work in his last start. Quintana’s fly ball rate to his lowest since 2015 while his decision to trust his infield has led to a ground ball rate of the balls he is allowing into play of 47.3% which is the highest in his career. His strikeout rate of 20.8% of the batters he faces is also his lowest since 2015. The lefty is throwing first ball strikes while increasing the use of his sinker — but both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.41 and 4.14 moving forward based off his peripheral numbers. Quintana has done his best pitching at home in Wrigley Field where he enjoys a 2.98 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .238 in seven starts — but those numbers skyrocket to a 5.13 ERA with a 1.53 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .281 when he is on the road. The Cubs have lost 9 of their last 12 road games with Quintana on the hill. He faces a Dodgers team that is scoring 5.6 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .280 batting average along with a .353 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .856. Los Angeles has won 5 of their last 6 games against left-handed starting pitchers. The Dodgers have also won 13 of their last 16 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Los Angeles has won 9 of their last 11 games after a game where no more than four combined runs were scored. Furthermore, the Dodgers have won 51 of their last 76 games after a loss — and they have won 37 of their last 51 games after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. LA has also still won an incredible 21 of their last 26 games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 18 of their last 22 games after playing their last three games at home. While the fact that the Dodgers have won 23 of their last 28 home games when priced at least at -150 might compel most bettors to take their chances investing in the higher price, that would be the less profitable path this season. Los Angeles has been a home favorite priced above my -150 threshold 29 times this season — and they have won 21 of those games by more than one run to produce a much better yield overall. They count on Ryu tonight who is enjoying a sensational season with his 9-1 record along with a 1.36 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in thirteen starts. The issue for the left-hander has been more about durability than overall talent. Ryu enters this game with an eye-popping 77:5 strikeout to walk ratio in 80 innings of work. Led by one of the best changeups in baseball, Ryu has been nearly unhittable at home where he has a 1.01 ERA with a 0.65 WHIP and .172 opponent’s batting average in six starts. We have to expect some regression is inevitable with gaudy numbers like that — but remember that Ryu had a 1.97 ERA last year overall with 1.15 ERA at home along with a 0.90 WHIP and .212 opponent’s batting average so his spectacular 2019 did not come out of nowhere. The Dodgers have won 39 of their last 55 home games with Ryu on the hill including all six this season. LA has also won 5 straight home games with Ryu facing a team with a winning record. And in his last 26 starts when priced as a favorite at -150 or higher, the Dodgers have won 21 of those games. He faces a Cubs team that has lost 5 of their last 7 road games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have also lost 7 of their last 9 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles has won 8 of their last 10 games when avenging an upset loss as a home favorite to their opponent. The Cubs have still lost 9 of their last 12 games in Dodger Stadium against the men in blue. Rather than paying the higher price on LA, the recent history makes it clear that the better investment is to lower the price by laying the -1.5 Run-Line. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Sunday ESPN Run-Line of the Year with the Los Angeles Dodgers (914) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago Cubs (913) listing both starting pitchers Hyun-Jin Ryu and Jose Quintana. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Texas Rangers (929) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Cincinnati Reds (930) listing both starting pitchers Ariel Jurado and Sonny Gray. THE SITUATION: Texas (38-32) has won the first two games of this series — as well as six of their last nine contests — after taking Game Two of this series yesterday by a 4-3 score. Cincinnati (30-38) has now lost six of their last eight games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RANGERS PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: Texas has now won 6 of their last 8 games on the road — and they have won 4 straight road games against teams with a losing record. Additionally, the Rangers have now won 4 straight games against teams with a losing record — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games in Interleague play. This team is big money-line underdogs due to the betting public’s lack of faith in Jurado despite his 4-2 record along with a 3.02 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in 41 2/3 innings in fourteen appearances including five starts this season. The 23-year-old right-hander has rattled off four straight Quality Starts due in large part because he is inducing ground balls in 50.8% of the batted balls he is allowing into play. While not a phenom, Jurado has always been an intriguing prospect given his career 53% ground ball rate in the minor leagues allow with a sub-2.0 walks per 9 innings rate. Improved velocity this season has helped improve the effectiveness of his sinker. Jurado has also been more effective on the road where he has a 2.95 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .244 in 21 1/3 innings which includes two starts as opposed to his 3.10 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and .263 opponent’s batting average at home. Jurado comes off a solid start in Boston where he allowed three runs on just five hits in 6 innings of work. The Rangers have won 4 of their last 5 games with Jurado looking to follow up a Quality Start. He faces a slumping Reds lineup that is scoring only 2.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .199 batting average along with a .275 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .625 over that span. Cincinnati has lost 7 of their last 9 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Reds have also lost 7 of their last 10 third games in a series after losing the first two games. Additionally, Cincinnati has lost 4 straight games at home as well as 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 30 games played in the day, the Reds have lost 21 of these games. They counter with Gray who is 2-5 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in thirteen starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where his ERA rises to a 4.09 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .252 in seven starts in the Great American Ballpark as compared to his 3.21 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and .198 opponent’s batting average on the road. Gray also sees his ERA rise to a 3.81 mark in his six starts during the day — and the Cincy has lost 4 of their last 6 day games with Gray on the hill.

FINAL TAKE: The Rangers’ bats should keep them competitive in this game as they are scoring 6.0 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers with a .270 batting average along with a .338 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .817. Texas has won 13 of their last 18 games against right-handed starting pitchers. With the Reds being a money-line favorite priced in the -170 range, that lowers the price on the Rangers getting the valuable +1.5 Run-Line below my -150 price threshold. Let’s attack! 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Run-Line Underdog of the Year with the Texas Rangers (929) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Cincinnati Reds (930) listing both starting pitchers Ariel Jurado and Sonny Gray. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (977) and the Oakland A’s (978) listing both starting pitchers Gerson Bautista and Frankie Montas. THE SITUATION: Seattle (30-43) won the opening game of this series last night by a 9-2 score over Oakland (35-35) in Oakland Alameda County Coliseum.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mariners have played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a win — and the Over is also 10-2-1 in their last 13 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. They stay on the road where the Over is a decisive 34-16-1 in their last 51 games — and the Over is also 11-3-1 in Seattle’s last 15 road games against teams with a losing record. And while the A’s are 18-14 at home this year, the Mariners have played 4 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, Seattle has played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total in the month of June — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against fellow AL West foes. They will be using an opening tonight with Bautista taking the hill with his 5.40 ERA and 2.40 WHIP in just 3 1/3 innings of work. Bautista had a 12.46 ERA with a 3.00 WHIP in 4 1/3 innings of work last season. Let’s put it this way: although Bautista has appeared in only eight games in his major league career since debuting last year, he has allowed at least one run in six of those contests. So when Wade LeBlanc enters this game in the second inning, there is a good chance that the A’s will already have runs on the board. The left-hander has a 3-2 record this year with a 5.31 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP in six starts/eight appearances this season. LeBlanc was not quite as effective on the road last year where he had a 1.24 WHIP with a .255 opponent’s batting average as opposed to his 1.12 WHIP and .247 opponent’s batting average at home. LeBlanc has struggled under the lights this year with a 6.30 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and .284 opponent’s batting average in three starts/four appearances at night. Bautista and then LeBlanc will be facing an A’s team that has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Seattle bullpen will not offer much support either was LeBlanc is pulled. The Mariners’ pen has a 6.32 ERA with a 1.66 WHIP on the road — and they have a 7.63 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in their last seven games. Oakland has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total at home — and they have played 4 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. The A’s have also played 18 of their last 26 home games Over the Total with the number in the 9 to 9.5 range. Oakland has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against AL West foes. They counter with Montas who is 8-2 with a 2.84 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in thirteen starts. The 26-year old is enjoying a breakout season — but the sabermetrics are calling for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.78 and 3.55 respectively moving forward based off his deeper peripheral numbers. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 3.54 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and .255 opponent’s batting average in five starts as compared to his 2.44 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last year where he had a 4.35 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and .291 opponent’s batting average at home as opposed to his 3.44 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and .289 opponent’s batting average on the road. The A’s have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with Montas pitching with the Total set at 9 to 9.5. Montas last pitched on June 9th — and Oakland has played 7 straight games Over the Total when he is starting with five days of rest. He faces a hot-hitting Mariners lineup that is scoring 6.6 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .265 batting average, .337 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .850 over that span. The Over is also 33-16-2 in Seattle’s last 51 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 10 of their last 14 contests Over the Total. Expect another higher scoring game between these two clubs. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break AL West Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (977) and the Oakland A’s (978) listing both starting pitchers Gerson Bautista and Frankie Montas. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:20 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Atlanta Braves (908) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (907) listing both starting pitchers Max Fried and Nick Pivetta. THE SITUATION: Atlanta (40-29) has won seven straight games after their 6-5 win over Pittsburgh last night. Philadelphia (38-30) has lost three of their last four games after losing at home to Arizona on Wednesday by a 2-0 score.

REASONS TO TAKE THE BRAVES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: This streaking Atlanta team has won 23 of their last 31 games after a victory. The Braves have also won 5 straight games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. They stay at home where they have won 6 straight games — and they have won 6 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Fried who is 7-3 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in thirteen starts (fifteen appearances). The left-hander has been most effective when pitching at home in Suntrust Park where he owns a 2.75 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .226 in six starts as opposed to his 4.75 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and .301 opponent’s batting average in seven starts (and nine appearances) on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last year where Fried’s late-season call-up resulted in a 2.40 ERA, 1.27 WHOP and .200 opponent’s batting average in 15 innings at home but a 3.38 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and .242 opponent’s batting average in 18 2/3 innings on the road. Fried’s improvement this season has in part come from his addition of a slider that has given him a third effective pitch. He is also inducing ground balls in 54.8% of the batted balls he is allowing into play. Bases-on-balls has been Fried’s biggest Achilles’ heel in the minor leagues but he has seen an improvement in his control this season. He has issued two walks or less in eight of his last nine starts this year. Atlanta has won 4 of their last 5 games with Fried facing a team with a winning record. He should have success facing this Phillies team that has lost 5 of their last 6 road games against left-handed starting pitchers. Philadelphia has lost 5 of their last 7 games after a loss — and they have lost 9 of their last 10 games after a game where no more than two combined runs were scored. The Phillies managed only three hits on Wednesday against the Diamondbacks — and they have lost 19 of their last 26 road games after not generating more than four base hits in their last game. They go on the road where they have lost 5 of their last 7 games — and they have also lost 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, Philly has lost 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Pivetta who is 4-1 with a 4.93 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in seven starts. The right-hander entered the season with high expectations but he struggled with an 8.35 ERA in his first five starts which prompted him to be demoted to the minors. While Pivetta started striking out more batters in Triple-A which was enough for the Phillies to recall him to the majors again, control remains an issue as he walked 20 Triple-A batters in 37 innings. Pivetta has allowed only one run in his two starts back in the bigs — but he is making only his second start away from home this season. Pivetta struggled on the road last year where he had a 5.33 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .276 as compared to his 4.34 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and .249 opponent’s batting average at home in Citizen’s Bank Park. Pivetta also issued 3.34 Walks per 9 innings on the road last year. Philadelphia has lost 5 straight games on the road with Pivetta on the mound. He faces a hot-hitting Braves team that is scoring 6.3 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .279 batting average along with a .363 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .894 over that span. Atlanta has won 7 straight games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Braves have also won 13 of their last 16 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: Atlanta begins this NL East weekend showdown one game ahead of the Phillies in first place in the division. Philadelphia has lost 5 straight games against the Braves in Suntrust Park. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break NL East Game of the Year with the money-line on the Atlanta Braves (908) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (907) listing both starting pitchers Max Fried and Nick Pivetta. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (961) and the Baltimore Orioles (962) listing both starting pitchers Trent Thornton and John Means. THE SITUATION: Toronto (23-42) begins this series having lost four straight games after their 8-2 loss on Sunday to Arizona. Baltimore (20-45) has lost four of their last five games with their 4-0 loss in Houston on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blue Jays’ offense is struggling after getting shutout once and plating only four runners in their three-game series with the Diamondbacks over the weekend. They generated only one base-hit in their sixteen at-bats with Runners In Scoring Position over those three games — and they are hitting just .161 over their last 112 at-bats with RISP. Toronto goes on the road where the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games — and they have played 6 of their last 9 road games Under the Total with the number set at 9 to 9.5. The Blue Jays have also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total as a money-line underdog priced in the +100 to +150 range. Additionally, Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. They give the ball to Thornton who is 1-4 with a 4.73 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in thirteen starts this season. The rookie is striking out 24.8% of the batters he has faced — and he is averaging a robust 9.8 batters per 9 innings of work. Walks have been his biggest weakness — but the right-hander has been much better on the road where he has a 3.21 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .192 in six starts as compared to his 6.39 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and .272 opponent’s batting average in seven starts at home. The Blue Jays have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total with Thornton on the hill. Thornton should pitch well against this Orioles lineup that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games while hitting .217 over that span with a .264 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .638. Baltimore has played 4 straight games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. Baltimore has played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a game where no more than four combined runs were scored. Furthermore, the Orioles have played five straight games where neither team scored more than four runs — and they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games where neither team scored more than four runs. Baltimore returns home to Charm City where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. The Orioles have also played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. They counter with Means who is 5-4 with a 2.67 ERA and a 1.07 WHP in ten starts (fourteen appearances). The right-hander has maintained a 2.77 ERA in his last ten appearances since April 14th. The left-hander has been remarkably consistent as he has not allowed more than three earned runs in nine of his ten starts including his last six starts. Means has also been more effective at home where he enjoys a 1.53 ERA with a 0.82 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .173 in five starts (seven appearances) as compared to his 3.73 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and .261 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Orioles have played 4 straight home games Under the Total with Means on the mound — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total with Means pitching with the Total set in the 8.5 to 10 range. He faces a Blue Jays team that is scoring only 3.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games while hitting only 3.1 Runs-Per-Game over that span with a .214 batting average, .271 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .642 over that span. The Under is 3-1-1 in Toronto’s last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Under go 35-15-1 in their last 51 meetings — and this includes the Under going 14-6-1 in the last 21 contests between these AL East rivals when playing in Camden Yards. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break AL East Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (961) and the Baltimore Orioles (962) listing both starting pitchers Trent Thornton and John Means. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Minnesota Twins (921) versus the Cleveland Indians (922) listing both starting pitchers Jose Berrios and Trevor Bauer. THE SITUATION: Cleveland (31-30) have won three of their last four games after taking the first two games of this series after they rallied from a four-run deficit to defeat Minnesota (40-20) by a 9-7 score last night.

REASONS TO TAKE THE TWINS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Indians have then lost 3 of their last 4 games after scoring at least nine runs in their last game. Cleveland has also lost 8 of their last 13 games after winning three of their last four games. And while the Indians’ bullpen pitched 7 2/3 innings yesterday with Tyler Clippard serving as the opening in a bullpen game after Carlos Carrasco was scratched with the news of his health condition, they have then lost 4 straight games after a game where their bullpen pitched at least 6 innings in their last game. They give the ball to Bauer who is 4-5 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in thirteen starts. The deeper sabermetrics are not encouraging for the right-hander who is 0-4 in his last six starts. His SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.25 and 4.50 moving forward based on his peripheral numbers. The right-hander has not been as effective at home either where he has a 5.60 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in six starts as opposed to his 2.42 ERA and 1.12 WHIP on the road. Cleveland has lost 4 of their last 5 home games with Bauer on the mound. He faces a strong Twins lineup that is scoring 6.7 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .287 batting average, .337 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .873 in those games. Minnesota has won 37 of their last 51 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and this includes them winning nine of their last twelve games on the road against right-handed starting pitchers. The Twins have bounced-back to win 21 of their last 28 games after a loss. They also have won 9 of their last 13 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. This team has won 12 of their last 16 games on the road. Minnesota has also won 15 of their last 21 games in expected close contests where they are priced in the +/- 125 range. They counter with Berrios who is 7-2 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in twelve starts this season. The right-hander has been a bit better on the road where he has a 1.10 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .229 in six starts on the road as compared to his 1.16 WHIP and .263 opponent’s batting average at home. The Twins have won 4 straight road games with Berrios on the mound. He comes off a strong outing where he allowed three runs in 6 2/3 innings of work at Tampa Bay — and Minnesota has won 5 of their last 6 games with Berrios following up a Quality Start. The Twins have also won 4 of their last 5 games with Berrios facing the Indians. He faces a Cleveland team scoring only 3.9 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers while sporting a .227 batting average, .304 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .664 in those games. The Indians have lost 7 of their last 9 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Minnesota may have lost the first two games of this series but they have then won 7 of their last 8 games when motivated by at least double revenge. 25* MLB American League Central Underdog of the Month with the money-line on the Minnesota Twins (921) versus the Cleveland Indians (922) listing both starting pitchers Jose Berrios and Trevor Bauer. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Angels (923) and the Seattle Mariners (924) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Skaggs and Mike Leake. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (27-29) has won three straight games as well as five of their last six contests after winning the opening game of this series last night by a 9-3 score. Seattle (24-35) has lost three straight games as well as nine of their last ten contests.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Angels have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Los Angeles has also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. The Angels have played 5 straight games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 9 of their last 12 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 9 to 9.5 range. They give the ball to Skaggs who is 4-4 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP in nine starts. The left-hander does his best pitching at home where he sports a 2.28 ERA with a 1.10 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .209 — but he sees those numbers rise to a 6.56 ERA with a 1.59 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .295 in five starts. He will be supported by a bullpen that has been rocked with a 5.25 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP over their last seven games. Los Angeles has played 5 straight games Over the Total with Skaggs facing the Mariners — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total with Skaggs facing this team in Seattle. Skaggs faces a Mariners team that has played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. Seattle has also seen the Over go 19-6-2 in their last 27 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Over is 29-14-1 in the Mariners’ last 44 games against an opponent that scored at least five runs in their last game. Seattle has also played 31 of their last 43 games Over the Total with the number set in the 8.5 to 10 range. Additionally, the Over is 12-3-1 in the Mariners’ last 16 games at home — and the Over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, the Over is 15-5-1 in Seattle’s last 21 games against teams with a losing record. They counter with Leake who is 3-6 with a 4.93 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP in eleven starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he owns a 1.44 WHIP with an opponent’s batting average of .300 in four starts at T-Mobile Park as opposed to his 1.36 WHIP and .278 opponent’s batting average on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Leake had a 4.55 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and .287 opponent’s batting average at home as compared to his 4.20 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and .274 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Mariners have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Leake facing a team with a losing record. Seattle has also played 5 straight games Over the Total with Leake facing the Angels. Leake will be supported by a tired bullpen that has logged in 9 2/3 innings of work over their last two games. The Mariners have played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total when their bullpen has pitched at least 9 innings over their last two games. This bullpen has a 4.86 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP when pitching at home. The Angels are scoring a robust 6.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .299 batting average along with a .390 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .820 over that span. Additionally, LA has played 5 straight games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: Seattle has played 12 of their last 13 games Over the Total when avenging a loss at home by at least six runs. These two teams have also played 4 of their last 5 meetings Over the Total. 25* MLB Bailout Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Angels (923) and the Seattle Mariners (924) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Skaggs and Mike Leake. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (919) and the Chicago White Sox (920) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Bauer and Dylan Covey. THE SITUATION: Chicago (26-29) ha won four straight games after winning the opening game of this series last night by a 10-4 score. Cleveland (28-27) has lost four of their last six games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Indians have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss. Cleveland has now played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. They give the ball to Bauer who is 4-4 with a 3.99 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in twelve starts. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 2.40 ERA with a 1.06 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .181 in six starts. The Under is a decisive 45-11-7 in the Indians’ last 63 road games with Bauer on the hill. The Under is also 3-0-1 in Cleveland’s last 4 road games in Chicago facing the White Sox. Bauer will be supported by an elite Indians’ bullpen that has a 3.15 ERA on the road with a 1.21 WHIP. Bauer faces a White Sox lineup that is scoring only 4.2 Runs-Per-Game against right-handed starting pitchers this season while posting a .249 batting average along with a .302 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .694 in those games. Chicago has played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Under is 15-7-1 in the White Sox’s last 23 games after a win — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a win by at least six runs over an AL Central rival. Chicago has also played 5 of their last 7 Games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played a decisive 38 of their last 55 games Over the Total after scoring at least 8 runs in their last contest. The White Sox have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They counter with Covey who is 0-4 with a 5.47 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP in five starts and seven appearances this season. The right-hander has been effective when pitching at home where he sees is ERA and WHIP plummet to 2.61 and 1.16 marks — and his opponents are hitting just .189 when he pitching at home in Guaranteed Rate Field. Chicago has played 5 straight games Under the Total with Covey pitching on four days of rest between starts — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Covey making the start against the Indians. Covey’s bullpen enters this game with a 2.37 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP in night games this season. Cleveland is scoring only 4.1 Runs-Per-Game on the road with a .224 batting average along with a .302 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .668. The Indians have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers — and the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 road games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: With Bauer struggling this month and bettors not giving much respect to Covey, the Total has been set in the 10 range for this contest. Bauer has allowed at least four runs in his last three starts — but all those efforts were at home where he has a history of not always being as effective. Bauer has still amassed 88 strikeouts in 76 innings of work — and he is facing a White Sox team that strikes out 30% of the time against elite starting pitchers like Bauer with similar profiles. Covey is not a strikeout pitcher and gets into trouble when issuing too many bases-on-balls — but the ground ball pitcher has better control when pitching at home. 10s or higher is too high for this matchup especially with two of the weaker lineups in the league. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break AL Central Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (919) and the Chicago White Sox (920) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Bauer and Dylan Covey. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Dodgers (970) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the New York Mets (969) listing both starting pitchers Hyun-Jin Ryu and Jason Vargas. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (37-19) has won five of their last six games after winning the third game of this series last night by a 9-8 score. New York (27-28) has lost two of their last three games as they close out this series.

REASONS TO TAKE THE DODGERS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Los Angeles has won 6 of their last 7 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Dodgers have been dominant at home where they have won 39 of their last 53 games — and they have won 5 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. LA has also won 18 of their last 22 after playing their last two games at home. The Dodgers have won 24 of their last 29 games when favored by at least a -150 price. They give the ball to Ryu who is 7-1 with a 1.65 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP in ten starts. The left-hander has been almost unhittable at home where he owns a 1.22 ERA with a 0.65 WHIP and .177 opponent’s batting average in five starts. His disparate home-road splits are consistent with last season where he had a 1.15 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP and .212 opponent’s batting average at home as compared to his 3.58 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and .240 opponent’s batting average on the road. Los Angeles has won 22 of their last 28 home games with Ryu pitching against teams with a losing record. The Dodgers have also won 5 of their last 6 games against the Mets with Ryu on the hill. New York has lost 15 of their last 21 road games after being on the road for at least their previous two games. The Mets have lost 18 of their last 23 games on the road — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Furthermore, New York has lost 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Vargas who is 1-2 with a 5.22 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP in seven starts (eight games). The left-hander has been solid at home where he owns a 3.94 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .246 — but he sees those numbers explode to a 6.75 ERA with a 1.73 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .294 when he is pitching on the road. The Mets have lost 7 of their last 10 games with Vargas pitching with four days of rest. Vargas faces a hot-hitting Dodgers team that is scoring 7.1 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .325 batting average along with a .399 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .967 over that span. LA is also scoring 5.8 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .281 batting average along with a .355 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .852. The Dodgers have also won 6 of their last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Mets have now lost 8 of their last 11 games in LA against the Dodgers. With the Dodgers priced in the high -200s for this game, the straight-up side play is well beyond my -150 price threshold. And while the team trends mentioned in this Report do not take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we will be laying, the Run-Line is supported by a historical angle that has been 71% effective since 1997. The Mets average 1.33 Home Runs per game — but road underdogs who average at least 1.25 Home Runs per game coming off a game where at least 17 combined runs were scored have then failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 50 of these last 71 situations (when priced in the +110 to +155 price range). 25* MLB National League Run-Line of the Month with the Los Angeles Dodgers (970) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the New York Mets (969) listing both starting pitchers Hyun-Jin Ryu and Jason Vargas. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Houston Astros (928) versus the Chicago Cubs (927) listing both starting pitchers Wade Miley and Kyle Hendricks. THE SITUATION: Houston (37-19) has won the first two games of this series — as well as four of their last five games — with their 9-6 win over the Cubs yesterday. Chicago (30-23) has lost three straight games as well as five of their last six contests.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ASTROS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Houston has won a decisive 48 of their last 68 games after a win. Additionally, the Astros have won 7 of their last 9 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. Houston has also won 18 of their last 20 games after a game where at least 15 combined runs were scored. The Astros are tough at home where they are 22-7 this season — and they have won 36 of their last 51 home games in Minute Maid Park. Houston has also won 6 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 5 of their last 6 home games when priced in the +/- 125 range. They give the ball to Miley who is 5-2 with a 3.32 ERA, and a 1.16 WHIP in eleven starts this season. The left-hander comes off a strong start at home where he held the Red Sox to just one run in 6 innings of work while punching out eight batters. The Astros have won 5 straight games with Miley pitching after a Quality Start in his last outing. Miley has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.15 ERA with a 0.95 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .183 in five starts as opposed to his 4.36 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and .281 opponent’s batting average on the road. Houston has won five straight games with Miley on the mound. Say this about Miley: he is remarkably consistent about keeping his team competitive in his starts. He did not allow more than three earned runs in any of 16 starts with Milwaukee last year and he has only allowed more than three runs just once in his eleven starts for Houston this season. Miley has also been very tough under the lights as he owns a 2.15 ERA with a 0.95 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .183 in five starts. His teams have won 18 of their last 23 night games with Miley making the start. Chicago has lost 6 of their last 7 games after a game where at least 15 combined runs were scored. Additionally, the Cubs have lost 7 of their last 8 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. Chicago has lost 5 of their last 7 games on the road — and they have lost 6 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They counter with Hendricks who is 4-4 with a 4.34 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in ten starts. The deeper sabermetrics are not bullish for the right-hander with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.08 and 3.84 moving forward. Hendricks has thrived at home in Wrigley Field where he owns a 1.29 ERA with 0.80 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .194 — but those numbers rise to a 6.00 ERA with a 1.67 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average in five starts on the road. The Cubs have lost 5 of their last 7 road games with Hendricks pitching with the Total set in the 9 to 9.5 range. Chicago has also lost 6 of their last 9 games with Hendricks pitching against an American League team. He faces an Astros team that is scoring 5.4 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .289 batting average along with a .364 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .818.

FINAL TAKE: The Cubs have lost 9 of their last 13 games when playing the Astros in Houston. 25* MLB ESPN Game of the Month with the money-line on the Houston Astros (928) versus the Chicago Cubs (927) listing both starting pitchers Wade Miley and Kyle Hendricks. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (901) and the Cincinnati Reds (902) listing both starting pitchers Steven Brault and Anthony DeSclafani. THE SITUATION: Cincinnati (26-29) has won three of their last four games after winning the third game of this series last night by an 11-6 score. Pittsburgh (26-27) has lost two straight games as well as five of their last six contests. The Reds host this Getaway Game this afternoon to close out this four-game series.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pirates have played 7 straight games Over the Total after a loss — and the Over is 7-0-1 in their last 8 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Pittsburgh has also seen the Over go 16-5-1 in their last 22 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And the Over is now 5-0-1 in their last 6 games on the road. They give the ball to Brault who will serve as the opener this afternoon with his 1-1 record along with a 7.11 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP in 25 1/3 innings of work. The left-hander has been even less effective on the road where he has a 9.00 ERA with  2.17 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .353 in 12 innings — and he has an 11.88 ERA with a 2.40 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .378 during the day this season. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Pirates’ last 4 road games with Brault on the hill. He faces a hot-hitting Reds lineup that is scoring 7.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .340 batting average along with a .399 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .988 over that span. The Over is also 3-0-1 in Cincy’s last 4 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Pirates’ bullpen will be called on to log in plenty of innings after Brault this afternoon — but that group has an ERA of 5.85 over their last seven games with a WHIP of 1.67. Cincinnati has played 5 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and the Over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. The Over is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Reds have played 4 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. They counter with DeSclafani who is 2-2- with a 4.99 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP in ten starts. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he owns a 5.68 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP in four starts as compared to his 4.55 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP on the road. Tony Disco had a 5.02 ERA at home in the Great American Ballpark last year as competed to his more modest 4.78 ERA when on the road. The Over is 4-0-2 in Cincinnati’s last 6 home games with DeSclafani on the hill — and the Reds have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with him facing the Pirates. He will be supported by a bullpen that has a 6.58 ERA over their last seven games. Pittsburgh is also swinging hot bats as they are scoring 5.7 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .292 batting average with a .332 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .820. The Pirates have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher — and the Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have seen the Over go 4-0-1 in their last 5 meetings. Expect another high-scoring game between these two teams in this afternoon Getaway Game. 25* MLB National League Central Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (901) and the Cincinnati Reds (902) listing both starting pitchers Steven Brault and Anthony DeSclafani. Best of luck for us — Frank.