04-29-19 |
76ers v. Raptors OVER 219.5 |
|
94-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (501) and the Toronto Raptors (502). THE SITUATION: Toronto (63-25) won the opening game of this series on Saturday with their 108-95 victory over Philadelphia (55-33) as a 6-point favorite. The Raptors host Game Two of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Toronto has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a win at home over a divisional rival. The Raptors have won five straight games while covering the point spread in four of those contests. Toronto has played 17 of their last 23 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five games. The Raptors have also played 26 of their last 41 games Over the Total after winning two straight games — and they have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total after winning three games in a row. Furthermore, Toronto has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning their last two games at home. The Raptors stay at home where they have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a victory. And in their last 12 games in the Eastern Conference Semifinals, Toronto has played 9 of these games Over the Total. Philadelphia has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight up loss. The 76ers have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Philadelphia should shoot better tonight as they shot just 39.3% from the field which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last eleven games. The Sixers did out-rebound the Raptors by a 56 to 50 margin on Saturday. That was the sixth straight game where Philadelphia out-rebounded their opponent by at least 6 boards — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after out-rebounding their last five opponents by at least +5.0 RPG.
FINAL TAKE: Expect the second game of this series to be a higher-scoring contest. 10* NBA Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (501) and the Toronto Raptors (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-27-19 |
Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 210.5 |
|
86-90 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (541) and the Denver Nuggets (542). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (51-37) forced a climactic seventh game of this series on Thursday with their 120-103 win over Denver (57-31) as a 3-point favorite. The Nuggets host the final game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Denver should step up their work efforts on the defensive end of the court after allowing the Spurs to make 57.1% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 45 games. The Nuggets have played 38 of their last 55 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to make at least 55% of their shots in their last game. Denver has also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing at least 120 points in their last game. The Nuggets have also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Denver returns home where they hold their opponents to just 44.9% shooting from the field. The Nuggets have played 12 of their last 15 home games Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of no better than 40% on the road. Denver has also played 24 of their last 38 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points. San Antonio enjoyed the best shooting mark in their last 39 games — so they are not likely to come close to replicating that 57.1% shooting mark. The Spurs have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Now San Antonio goes back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total. The Spurs have also played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. With the pressure of a Game Seven impacting the nerves of both teams, expect a lower scoring game. 25* NBA Bailout Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (541) and the Denver Nuggets (542). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-27-19 |
76ers v. Raptors OVER 222.5 |
Top |
95-108 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between the Philadelphia 76ers (553) and the Toronto Raptors (554). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (55-32) has won four straight games after they disposed of Brooklyn in five games culminating in a 122-100 victory at home on Tuesday as a 9.5-point favorite. Toronto (62-35) has won four straight games as well after taking care of Orlando in five games after their 115-96 victory at home over the Magic on Tuesday as an 11-point favorite. The Raptors host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The 76ers have played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a victory by at least 20 points over a fellow Atlantic Division rival — and they have played 23 of their last 32 games Over the Total after winning their last two games against divisional foes. Philadelphia has covered the point spread in four straight games — and they have played 15 of their last 20 road games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five contests. The Sixers held the Nets to just 38.7% shooting from the field which was the best defensive effort in their last twenty games. Philadelphia did not let Brooklyn shoot better than 41.1% from the field in the last three games of that series — but they have then played a decisive 46 of their last 72 games Over the Total after not allowing their last three opponents to shoot better than 42% from the field. Furthermore, the Sixers controlled the boards in their series against the Nets as they out-rebounded them by at least 7 rebounds per game in all five games of that series. Philly has then played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after out-rebounding their last five opponents by at least 5.0 RPG. Moving forward, the 76ers have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when playing their second game in seven days. Toronto has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. The Raptors have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games after covering the point spread as a double-digit favorite. Toronto has also played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after winning at least three straight games — and they have played 30 of their last 45 home games Over the Total after scoring at least 115 points in their last game. The Raptors also played very good defense in their opening series as well — they have not allowed their last seven opponents to shoot better than 42% from the field. But Toronto has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after not allowing at least three straight opponents to make more than 42% of their shots.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 10 of their last 14 meetings Over the Total — and this includes them playing 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing in Toronto. Expect these team trends to continue tonight in this opening game of this Eastern Conference Semifinals series. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the match between the Philadelphia 76ers (553) and the Toronto Raptors (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-19 |
Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 233 |
|
129-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (533) and the Los Angeles Clippers (534). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (50-37) extended this series to a sixth game on Wednesday with their 129-121 upset victory in Golden State as a 15-point underdog. This series moves back to the Staples Center in Los Angeles with the Clippers looking to force a climactic seventh game.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Golden State should play better on defense after allowing the Clippers to score 129 points on 54.1% shooting from the field. The Warriors have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after an upset loss. Additionally, Golden State has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and the Under is 24-9-1 in their last 34 games after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last contest. Now Golden State goes back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and the Warriors have played 8 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, Golden State has played 36 of their last 54 road games Under the Total with the Total set at least at 230. Los Angeles has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after an upset win on the road as an underdog. The Clippers have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing on a Friday night. Now Los Angeles returns home to the Staples Center where they have played 33 of their last 50 home games in the second half of the season Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +6.0 PPG (Golden State: +6.5 net PPG). Furthermore, these team trends are complemented by a historical angle the has been 64% effective since 1996. In the month of April with the Total set at 220 or higher, when one of the teams comes off a win on the road, these games finished Under the Total in 54 of these last 84 situations.
FINAL TAKE: The Warriors have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total when motivated to avenge an upset loss as a home favorite. 10* NBA Golden State-LA Clippers ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (533) and the Los Angeles Clippers (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-25-19 |
Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 208.5 |
|
103-120 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (525) and the San Antonio Spurs (526). THE SITUATION: Denver (57-30) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 108-90 victory over the Spurs (50-37) as a 5.5-point favorite. This series returns to San Antonio tonight for Game Six.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while that game on Tuesday finished Under the Total, Denver has then played 30 of their last 48 games Under the Total after a game that finished below the Total. Furthermore, the Nuggets have won and covered the point spread in three of their last four games — and they have then played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games while also playing eighteen of their last twenty-five games after winning three of tiger last four contests. Denver goes on the road where they are the underdog — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. San Antonio has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Spurs are playing their sixth game over the last fourteen days — and they have played 17 of their 25 games Under the Total when playing no more than their sixth game in the last fourteen days. San Antonio has also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total with the Spurs hosting the game. San Antonio has also played 23 of their last 35 home games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 100 points. 10* NBA Denver-San Antonio TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (525) and the San Antonio Spurs (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-24-19 |
Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 232.5 |
Top |
129-121 |
Loss |
-101 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (515) and the Golden State Warriors (516). THE SITUATION: Golden State (60-26) took a commanding 3-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 113-105 victory over the Clippers (49-37). The Warriors look to close out this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Golden State has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 11 of 15 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Warriors took 13 fewer free throws on Monday after attempting 16 fewer free throws than the Clippers in Game Three — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after attempting at least ten fewer free throws than their opponent in two straight games. Now Golden State returns home to the Oracle Center where they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing their last two games at home. The Clippers go back on the road where they have played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total. And in their last 23 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court, Los Angeles has played 16 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Clippers have played 13 of their last 14 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home their opponent. 25* NBA Pacific Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (515) and the Golden State Warriors (516). Best luck for us — Frank.
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04-24-19 |
Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 214 |
|
93-100 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (517) and the Houston Rockets (518). THE SITUATION: Utah (51-35) staved off elimination on Monday with their 107-91 upset win at home as a 2-point underdog against the Rockets (56-30). This series returns home to Houston for Game Five with the Rockets have another opportunity to close out this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jazz have found success in this series by amping up their physicality on the defensive end of the court. Despite losing a heartbreaker on their home court last Saturday, Utah held the Rockets to just 38.4% shooting in Game Three before limiting them to only a 35.4% field goal percentage on Monday. The Jazz have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after an upset victory as a home underdog. Utah has also played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total after a win on their home court. Furthermore, the Jazz have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 19 games against Western Conference opponents, Utah has played 13 of these games Under the Total. Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 10 points on the road. The Under is also 6-0-1 in the Rockets’ last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now Houston returns home where the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games — and the Under is also 4-1-1 in the Rockets’ last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Houston has played 16 of their last 21 playoff games Under the Total when attempting to close out a series.
FINAL TAKE: The Rockets have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. These two teams have now played 6 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (517) and the Houston Rockets (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-23-19 |
Thunder v. Blazers UNDER 221.5 |
Top |
115-118 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (503) and the Portland Trail Blazers (504). THE SITUATION: Portland (56-30) took a 3-1 lead in this series on Sunday with their 111-98 upset victory in Oklahoma City against the Thunder (50-36). The Trail Blazers return home with the opportunity to close out this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Oklahoma City offense has stalled in their three losses where they have failed to score even 100 points. Paul George is showing signs of being less than 100% with injuries to both his shoulders. He is making only 37% of his shots in this series while shooting just 30.8% from behind the arc — he is simply not close to his outstanding form in February prior to the All-Star Break when he was making a case to being the league’s Most Valuable Player. Russell Westbrook is also struggling as he is making only 36.3% of his shots in this series while shooting only 30.4% from behind the arc. The Thunder have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Additionally, the Under is 4-1-1 in OKC’s last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Thunder have played 16 of their last 19 games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 74 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Under is 50-23-1. Portland has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games after a win over a Northwest Division rival. The Trail Blazers have also played 5 of their last games Under the Total after a point spread win. Portland certainly deserves much of the credit for the strong defense they are playing in this series. The Blazers have held the Thunder to just 41.3% shooting percentage from the field along with a low 30.8% mark from behind the arc. The Trail Blazers have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Oklahoma City has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent. 25* NBA First Round Northwest Division Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (503) and the Portland Trail Blazers (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-22-19 |
Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 215 |
Top |
91-107 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (575) and the Utah Jazz (576). THE SITUATION: Houston (50-35) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday night with their 104-101 upset win in Utah (50-35) as a 2-point underdog. The Jazz host Game Four looking to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a pulling off an upset victory — and they have played 23 of their last 34 games after a victory by 6 points or less. That game finished below the 214.5 point Total — and Houston has played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. The Rockets are playing their best defense of the season. They have held their last five opponents to just a 41.7% shooting percentage. Houston has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after holding their last five opponents to no higher than a 42% field goal percentage. Now the Rockets go on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, Houston has played an incredible 36 of their last 44 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and this includes them playing eleven of their last fourteen games Under the Total in that situation. Additionally, the Rockets have played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total when attempting to close out a playoff series. Utah has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Over their last five games, this team is shooting only 43.3% from the field. The Jazz stay at home where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Utah has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with at least triple revenge. These two teams have also played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total. 25* NBA Round One Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (575) and the Utah Jazz (576). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-20-19 |
Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 217 |
Top |
119-103 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (561) and the Detroit Pistons (562). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (62-22) took a commanding 2-0 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 120-99 victory over Detroit (41-43) as a 15.5-point favorite. The Pistons host Games Three and Four tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Detroit has not been able to put up much of a fight without their best offensive option in Blake Griffin who is likely to miss the third game in this series. The Pistons made only 37.4% of their shots on Wednesday. Over their last five games, Detroit is scoring only 99.2 PPG while shooting 39.9% from the field as opposed to their 106.7 PPG scoring average for the season on 43.8% shooting. The Pistons have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and the Under is 34-15-2 in their last 51 games after a double-digit loss. Detroit was also not competitive in the first game of this series which they lost by a 121-86 score. The Pistons have played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total after losing their last two games by double-digits — and this includes them playing their last six games Under the Total after losing their last two games on the road by at least 10 points. Detroit should play better on defense back at home tonight after allowing the Bucks to make 52.2% of their shots which was the highest opponent’s shooting mark in their last seven contests. The Pistons hold their guests to just 46.0% shooting — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total on their home court. Additionally, the Under is 9-4-1 in Detroit’s last 14 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. Milwaukee has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by at least 10 points. Now the Bucks go on the road where they have played 48 of their last 77 games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Milwaukee has also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range overall. And in their last 16 games against fellow Central Division opponents, the Bucks have played 12 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Pistons have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (561) and the Detroit Pistons (562). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-20-19 |
Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 209.5 |
|
117-103 |
Loss |
-115 |
0 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 5:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (559) and the San Antonio (560). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (50-35) seized a 2-1 lead in this series on Thursday with their 118-108 victory over Denver (55-30) as a 4.5-point favorite. The Spurs host Game Four before this series returns to Denver for Game Five.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Antonio was led by Derrick White who scored 36 points on Thursday. But his effort on the offensive end of the court obscured the great work he did on defense on Jamal Murray who only scored 6 points. The Spurs have stepped up their level of play on defense as of late. They have held their last five opponents to just 100.4 PPG on 44.5% shooting from the field as compared to the 109.0 PPG they allow for the season along with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 46.7%. San Antonio has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Spurs have also played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, San Antonio has played 32 of their last 52 games Under the Total with the 200 to 209.5 point range. Denver has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. They are scoring 105.0 PPG over their last five games which is 5.5 PPG below their season average.
FINAL TAKE: The Nuggets have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total on the road when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent. These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 24 of their last 34 games when playing in San Antonio. 10* NBA Denver-San Antonio TNT-TV Special with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (559) and the San Antonio (560). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-19-19 |
Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 221.5 |
|
108-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 9:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (555) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (556). THE SITUATION: Portland (55-29) has won five straight games after they won Game Two of this series by a 114-94 score over the Thunder (49-35) on Tuesday. The Thunder return home for the third and fourth game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Oklahoma City has seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they have seen the Under go 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread loss. The Thunder have been struggling to make their 3-pointers as they made just 5 of their 28 shots from downtown on Tuesday. OKC has made only 10 of their 61 3-point shots for an ugly 16.4% clip in the first two games of this series. Now the Thunder return home where they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total — and they have also played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, OKC has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total in the Western Conference Quarterfinals. Portland has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. The Under is also 6-2-1 in the Trail Blazers’ last 9 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now Portland goes on the road where the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Blazers have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: The Thunder have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least 20 points. These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total — and the Under is 25-10-2 in the last 37 games between these two teams played in OKC. 10* NBA Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (555) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-19-19 |
Raptors v. Magic UNDER 211.5 |
Top |
98-93 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (551) and the Orlando Magic (552). THE SITUATION: Toronto (59-25) evened this series at 1-1 on Tuesday with their 111-82 victory over the Magic (43-41) as a 10.5-point favorite. Game Three and Four of this series move to Orlando.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Raptors tightened up their 3-point defense — or the Regression Gods paid a visit to Toronto in Game Two as the Magic made only 9 of their 34 (26.5%) shots from behind the arc after nailing 14 of their 29 (48.3%) 3-pointers in their upset win in Game One. The deeper concern for Orlando is that their most reliable scorer, Nikola Vucevic, has been bottlenecked down low by the Toronto combination of Marc Gasol and Serge Ibaka. Vucevic is averaging only 8.5 PPG in this series while shooting just 6 of 21 (28.6%) from the field. The Raptors are an outstanding defensive team that ranked 5th during the regular season in Defensive Rating. Toronto has held their last five opponents to just 101.6 PPG on 41.4% shooting from the field — as compared to the 108.0 PPG they are allowing for the season on 44.8% shooting. The Under is 3-0-1 in the Raptors’ last 4 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 3-0-1 in Toronto’s last 4 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, while the Raptors have covered the point spread in seven of their last nine games, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Furthermore, the Under is 3-1-1 in Toronto’s last 5 games on the road — and they have now played 5 straight games Under the Total in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. Orlando has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. The Magic have all played 35 of their last 52 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 36 of the last 52 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Head coach Steve Clifford will focus his team’s bounce-back from Game Two on the defensive end of the court where they ranked 8th in the NBA in Defensive Rating. Orlando has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 19 of their last 26 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total — and in their last 6 games played on Orlando, the game finished Under the Total all 6 times. 25* NBA First Round ESPN Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (551) and the Orlando Magic (552). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-18-19 |
Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 210.5 |
|
108-118 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (545) and the San Antonio Spurs (546). THE SITUATION: Denver (55-29) evened this series at 1-1 on Tuesday with their 114-106 victory over the Spurs (49-35). This series moves to San Antonio for Games Three and Four.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They rallied to win that game by making 48.3% of their shots which was the best shooting effort in their last five games. Denver now goes on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total — and they have also played 10 of their last 14 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Additionally, the Nuggets have played of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Furthermore, Denver has played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents. San Antonio has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total against Western Conference foes. The Spurs have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team returns home where they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and they have paled 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. San Antonio has been playing better defense as they are allowing only 101.2 PPG over their last five games on 43.8% shooting from the field by their opponents — as compared to their 109.9 PPG and opponent’s field goal percentage of 46.3% for the season.
FINAL TAKE: The Spurs have played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 100 points. These two teams have played 24 of their last 33 games Under the Total when playing in San Antonio. 10* NBA Denver-San Antonio NBA-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (545) and the San Antonio Spurs (546). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-17-19 |
Pistons v. Bucks UNDER 215.5 |
|
99-120 |
Loss |
-106 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (539) and the Milwaukee Bucks (540). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (61-22) took a 1-0 lead in this series on Sunday with their dominant 121-86 victory over Detroit (41-42). The Bucks host the second game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pistons have seen the Under go a decisive 38-16-2 in their last 56 games after a double-digit loss. The Under is also 7-3-1 in Detroit’s last 11 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 33-16-3 in their last 52 games after a point spread loss. And while the Pistons have lost five of their last seven games, they have then played 23 of their last 33 games after losing at least four of their last five games. This team is not likely to have the services of Blake Griffin who has missed five of his last seven games with a left knee injury. Word has spread that he will not be able to play in this series although head coach Dwane Casey is officially claiming he remains day-to-day. Without Griffin, the Pistons lack a reliable first-scoring option. Detroit is making only 41.1% of their shots over their last five games which explains why they are scoring only 100.4 PPG over that span which is over 6 PPG below their season average. The Pistons have played 5 of their last 7 games in the month of April. The Under is also 32-15-4 in Detroit’s last 51 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court — and they have played 11 of their last 16 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 12.5 to 18 points. The Pistons should play better on defense knowing that they cannot get into a track meet with the Bucks without the services of Griffin. They allowed them to shoot 48.9% from the field on Sunday which was the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last six games. Milwaukee has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after covering the point spread as a double-digit favorite — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 30 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo only played in 23:38 minutes of Game One with that result easily in hand — don’t be surprised if head coach Mike Budenholzer calls off the dogs early in this game to rest his starters for what he hopes will be a long postseason. The Bucks have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing no more than their fourth game in ten days. Milwaukee has also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Furthermore, the Bucks play their best defense against familiar Central Division opponents who are making only 41.7% of their shots against them. This translates into only 101.3 PPG from Central Division foes which is far below their 109 PPG scoring average for the season. Milwaukee has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total against Central Division rivals.
FINAL TAKE: The Pistons have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a loss where their opponent scored at least 110 points. And in the last 9 meetings between these two teams, the Under is 6-2-1. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (539) and the Milwaukee Bucks (540). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-16-19 |
Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 210 |
Top |
105-114 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (533) and the Denver Nuggets (534). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (49-34) won the opening game of this series on Saturday with their 101-96 upset win over the Nuggets in the opening game of this series. Denver (54-29) hosts Game Two before the Spurs host Games Three and Four.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Antonio has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while the Spurs have won four straight games, they have then played 23 of their last 32 games Under the Total after winning at least three in a row. San Antonio found success by double-teaming Nikola Jokic in the post and forcing him to pass to open teammates who more often than not missed their open shot — the Nuggets made only 42% of their shots from the field. But the Spurs had their own difficulties on offense with their two leading scorers, LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan combining to score only 33 points on 12 of 36 combined shooting. San Antonio has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, the Spurs have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents, San Antonio has played 10 of these games Under the Total. Denver has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 14 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while the Nuggets have lost three of their last four games, they have then played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after losing three of their last four. Denver should have better success containing the Spurs scorers who — outside of DeRozan and Aldridge — converted 28 of their 47 shots for a sizzling 60% shooting clip. The Nuggets hold their opponents to just a 44.9% shooting percentage on their home court. Denver has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 6 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Nuggets have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 straight games Under the Total. Expect these trends to continue tonight in Game Two of this series. 25* NBA-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (533) and the Denver Nuggets (534). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-13-19 |
Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 211.5 |
|
101-96 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
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At 10:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (507) and the Denver Nuggets (508). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (48-34) enters the playoffs having won three straight games after their 105-94 win over Dallas on Wednesday as a 14-point favorite. Denver (54-28) snapped a two-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 99-95 win over Minnesota as a 12.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Spurs have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. They also have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now, this veteran team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. San Antonio has also played 9 straight games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. And while the Spurs are shooting 47.8% from the field this season, the Nuggets have played 26 of their last 40 games Under the Total against teams who make at least 46% of their shots. Denver has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total against Western Conference foes. The Nuggets have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Denver has also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Nuggets stay at home where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the total on their home court — and they have also played 5 straight games Under the Total at home against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played their last 4 encounters Under the Total. Look for them to make it five straight Unders tonight. 20* NBA Saturday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (507) and the Denver Nuggets (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-05-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 216.5 |
Top |
110-119 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (555) and the Denver Nuggets (556). THE SITUATION: Portland (50-28) enters this game coming off a 116-89 win over Memphis on Wednesday as a 9.5-point favorite. Denver (52-26) comes off a 113-85 win over San Antonio on Wednesday as a 5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trail Blazers have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. The Under is also 3-0-1 in Portland’s last 4 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Trail Blazers are playing tough on the defensive end of the court as of late as they have held their last five opponents to just a 43.0% field goal percentage. Portland needs to lean on their defense given the injuries to C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Turkic who takes away a big-time scoring and a beast on the offensive glass for them. The Blazers go back on the road where the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Denver (52-26) has played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Nuggets have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Denver is struggling to score points as of late. They are scoring just 101.0 PPG over their last five games on 44.3% shooting from the field which is far below their 110.8 PPG scoring average for the season allowing with a 46.6% field goal percentage. The Nuggets stay at home where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total. Denver has also played 22 of their last 34 games Under the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 points. Furthermore, the Nuggets have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents — and in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, Denver has played all 6 games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Portland has lost their last five encounters with the Nuggets with the last result being a 116-113 loss in Denver back on January 13th. The previous result was a narrow 113-112 loss at home back on November 30th — and the Trail Blazers have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total when looking to avenge to straight losses that were decided by 3 points or less. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (555) and the Denver Nuggets (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-30-19 |
Magic v. Pacers UNDER 206 |
Top |
121-116 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (537) and the Indiana Pacers (538). THE SITUATION: Orlando (37-39) saw their six-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with their 115-98 loss in Detroit as a 3.5-point underdog. Indiana (45-31) has lost two straight games as well as six of their last seven contests with their 114-112 loss in Boston last night as a 7.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pacers allowed the Celtics to make 51.2% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last sixteen games. Indiana has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss by 6 points or less — and they have played a decisive 39 of their last 56 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Indiana has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after losing three of their last four games. Now this team returns home where they play outstanding defense — their visitors are scoring only 99.9 PPG on low 42.8% shooting from the field. The Pacers have covered the point spread in 35 of their last 51 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 22 of their last 30 home games when favored. Furthermore, Indiana has played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Additionally, the Pacers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Eastern Conference opponents. The Magic average 106.2 PPG — and Indiana has played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total against teams that score at least 106.0 PPG. Orlando should also play harder on the defensive end of the court after they allowed the Pistons to make 53.5% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last twelve games. The Magic have played 37 of their last 53 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 41 of their last 58 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Orlando has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss on the road. The Magic stay on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And while the Pacers shoot 47.4% from the field, Orlando has played 23 of their last 31 games Under the Total against teams who are making at least 46% of their shots.
FINAL TAKE: Indiana will be looking to avenge a 117-112 loss at home to the Magic back on March 2nd. The Pacers will be looking to bear down on defense after allowing Orlando to make 50.5% of their shots in that game. Indiana has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 100 points. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (537) and the Indiana Pacers (538). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-27-19 |
Pacers v. Thunder UNDER 217.5 |
Top |
99-107 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (575) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (576). THE SITUATION: Indiana (45-29) snapped their four-game losing streak last night with their 124-88 upset win over Denver as a 1.5-point underdog on Sunday. Oklahoma City (43-31) has lost five of their last six games after their 115-103 upset loss at Memphis on Monday as a 7.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pacers have played 22 of their last 30 games Under the Total after an upset loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, Indiana has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played a decisive 38 of their last 55 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And in their last 15 games after losing three of their last four games, they have then played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total. The Pacers made 56.1% of their shots on Sunday which was the best shooting effort in their last fourteen contests. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total — and the Under is 23-7-1 in their last 31 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The struggling Thunder returns home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Oklahoma City’s struggles as of late can be attributed to a steep decline on offense: they are last in the NBA in Offensive Efficiency since the All-Star Break. Over their last five games, the Thunder are shooting just 40.4% from the field which has translated into 105.6 PPG with both those numbers far below their 114.3 PPG scoring average for the season on 45.3% shooting from the field. And while their defensive play has also declined since the break, they still are a respectable 9th in the NBA in Defensive Efficiency over their last fifteen games. Moving forward, the Under is 36-16-1 in the Thunder’s last 53 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight meetings Under the Total. With Oklahoma City struggling with their baskets, expect a lower-scoring game against this Pacers’ team that plays hard for their head coach Nate McMillan. 25* NBA Wednesday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (575) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (576). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-16-19 |
Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 230 |
Top |
110-88 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (507) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (508). THE SITUATION: Golden State (46-21) has won two of their last three games with their upset 106-104 win in Houston on Wednesday as a 4-point underdog. Oklahoma City (42-27) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Thursday with their 108-106 upset loss in Indiana as a 1-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a narrow win by 3 points or less. This team travels to Oklahoma City likely without the benefit of Kevin Durant who has been downgraded to doubtful for tonight’s game with an ankle injury — and that takes away a big piece of the Golden State offensive attack. As it is, the Warriors have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 34 of their last 51 games Under the Total on the road with the Total set at 230 or higher. Furthermore, Golden State has played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have also played 4 straight games Under the Total in their last four contests against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, the Warriors have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 19 games in the month of March where this team starts to get in playoff mode on the defensive end of the court, Golden State has played 15 of these games Under the Total. Oklahoma City has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. This team is playing lower scoring games on both ends of the court as of late. Over their last five games, they are averaging 110.2 PPG on 41.5% shooting from the field while allowing 106.4 PPG on 41.5% shooting — those numbers are all lower than their 114.9 PPG with a 45.7% shooting mark on offense and their 110.9 PPG and 45.8% opponent’s field goal mark on defense for the season. The Thunder return home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. And in their last 18 games in expected close games when listed in the +/- 3-point range, OKC has played 15 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Golden State is looking to avenge an embarrassing 123-95 loss at home to Oklahoma City back on November 21st — and they have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss at home. These two teams have played 17 of their last 22 meetings Under the Total which includes 5 of 6 Unders when playing in Oklahoma City. 25* NBA Saturday Prime-Time ABC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (507) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-08-19 |
Nuggets v. Warriors UNDER 236 |
Top |
105-122 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (565) and the Golden State Warriors (566). THE SITUATION: Denver (43-21) snapped their three-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 115-99 win in Los Angeles over the Lakers as a 5-point favorite. Golden State (44-20) looks to bounce-back from their 128-95 loss to Boston on Tuesday as a 6.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Nuggets made 45.9% of their shots against the Lakers which was the best shooting mark in their last four games. Denver has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Nuggets have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after losing three of their last four games. Denver stays on the road where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total — and they have played 5 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Nuggets have launched at least 92 shots in four straight games — but they have then played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games. Moving forward, Denver has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Nuggets have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 230s. Golden State saw the Celtics make 51% of their shots (along with 41.2% of their 3-pointers) which was the worst opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 29 games. The Warriors should use that disappointing effort to make some adjustments on the defensive end of the court including choosing a better way for DeMarcus Cousins to position himself against opponent’s 3-point shooting. Golden State has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. This is the time of the season where the Warriors start getting more serious about their defense as they have played 25 of their last 31 games Under the Total in the month of March. Additionally, Golden State has seen the Under go 19-7-1 in their last 27 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in four straight games — and they have played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four straight games. And while Golden State shoots 48.8% from the field, Denver has played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total against teams that are making at least 46% of their shots.
FINAL TAKE: The Nuggets should be focused on playing better defense against the Warriors after surrendering a whopping 142 points in their 31-point loss to them at home in the Pepsi Center back on January 15th. With this game playing a big role in which of these two teams will finish as the top seed in the Western Conference — and with the home court advantage in the playoffs that this position earns — expect this to be a hard fought game on the defensive end of the court. 25* NBA Friday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (565) and the Golden State Warriors (566). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-03-19 |
Wolves v. Wizards OVER 238 |
Top |
121-135 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 6:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (585) and the Washington Wizards (586). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (29-33) has lost two straight games with their 122-115 loss at Indiana as a 3.5-point underdog on Thursday. Washington (25-37) has lost five of their last six games with their 107-96 loss at Boston as a 9.5-point underdog on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Timberwolves have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Minnesota is shooting 47.2% from the field over their last five games which has translated into 118.6 PPG — but they are also allowing 120.4 PPG over these last five games as well. The T-Wolves have played a decisive 33 of their last 49 games Over the Total with the Total set at least at 220. Now Minnesota goes back on the road where they have played of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have played 10 of their last 12 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. They are 9-23 overall on the road where they are allowing 115.1 PPG — but they are scoring 111.1 PPG away from home. Defending the arc has been a problem for the T-Wolves when playing on the road as their home hosts are shooting 38.9% from behind the arc. Furthermore, Minnesota has played 22 of their last 30 games Over the Total against Eastern Conference opponents. Washington has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams from the Western Conference. The Over is a decisive 43-21-1 in their last 65 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. The Over is also 45-20-1 in the Wizards’ last 66 games after a point spread loss. Washington is playing at a blistering pace as of late — they are averaging 105.0 possessions per 48 minutes over their last ten games which is the third fastest pace in the league. Over their last five games, the Wizards are allowing their opponents to make 48.8% of their shots which has resulted in 118.8 PPG allowed. Washington returns home where they are 16-12 while making 48.5% of their shots this season which has resulted in 117.6 PPG. But the Wizards are also allowing their visitors to 114.5 PPG. Washington has played 4 straight games Over the Total at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 home games Over the Total as an underdog. Furthermore, the Wizards have played 16 of their last 21 home games Over the Total with the number set at least at 220.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 straight games Over the Total when playing with Washington. While the Over/Under is set in the high-230s to low-240s, expect this game to topple that number between two teams that play at a fast pace while privileging offense over defense. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (585) and the Washington Wizards (586). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-23-19 |
Nets v. Hornets OVER 227 |
Top |
117-115 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Brooklyn Nets (537) and the Charlotte Hornets (538). THE SITUATION: Brooklyn (30-30) has lost three of their last four games with their 113-99 loss to Portland on Thursday as a 3-point underdog. Charlotte (28-30) returned from the All-Star break last night with a 123-110 win over Washington as a 5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nets have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. That game also finished far below the 231.5 point total — and Brooklyn has then played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. The Nets made only 39.1% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last five games. Brooklyn should see an uptick in their offensive productivity with Caris LeVert back in the mix — this will be his fifth game since returning to the court after suffering that gruesome leg injury. The Trail Blazers were also dealing with rust in their shooting as they shot just 43.8% from the field which was the lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in the Nets’ last five contests. Brooklyn has still allowed their last five opponents to shoot 49.1% from the field. The Nets now go on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total — and they have also played 22 of their last 29 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. And while the Hornets allow 111.3 PPG, Brooklyn has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams that allow at least 106 PPG. Charlotte’s five starters logged in 166:56 combined minutes last night — and they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after playing the previous day where their five starters combined to play at least 160 minutes. Head coach James Borrego made an intriguing change in the lineup last night by moving Jeremy Lamb to the second unit to make room for their first-round draft pick Miles Bridges at forward with Nicolas Batum shifting to the shooting guard spot. The early results were very encouraging with Batum scoring 20 points and Bridges adding another 14 points. Lamb will be asked for instant offense leading the second unit alongside their veteran point guard Tony Parker — Lamb pitched in another 16 points last night off the bench. Overall, they shot a solid 47.9% from the field as a team while holding a cold shooting Wizards team to just a 43.3% field goal percentage which was the best defensive effort in their last four games and far below their opponent’s field goal percentage of 47.9% for the season. The Hornets stay at home where they have played 18 of their last 23 home games Over the Total when playing just their second game in eight days. Additionally, Charlotte has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against fellow Eastern Conference opponents. The Hornets have also played 17 of their last 24 games Over the Total with the number set in the 220s. This team plays at a blistering pace which has helped them launch at least 90 shots in three straight games with them attempting 94 and 96 shots in their last two contests. Charlotte has played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games. The Nets play at a fast pace as well which translates into 90 shot attempts per game — and the Hornets have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against opponents that laugh at least 88 shots per game. Brooklyn allows their opponents to score 112.7 PPG — and Charlotte has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against opponents who allow at least 110 PPG.
FINAL TAKE: Brooklyn has averaged 104.8 possessions per 48 minutes over their last ten games which leads the NBA over that span. With the Hornets happy to engage in that up-tempo style, expect a high scoring game between these two teams that tend to struggle on the defensive end of the court. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Brooklyn Nets (537) and the Charlotte Hornets (538). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-13-19 |
Heat v. Mavs UNDER 208 |
|
112-101 |
Loss |
-109 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Toal in the game between the Miami Heat (513) and the Dallas Mavericks (514). THE SITUATION: Miami (25-30) has lost three straight games as well as six of their last seven contests with their 103-87 loss at Denver on Monday as a 9.5-point underdog. Dallas (26-30) has lost two of their last three games with their 120-104 loss at Houston as an 11-point underdog on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Heat have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. They also have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after losing at least four of their last five games. This is Miami’s fifth game in a row on the road — and it is their fourth game over the last seven days. The Heat have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total when playing their fourth game in seven days — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after playing at least three previous games on the road. The scoring output for this team has declined a bit as of late as they are averaging 101.4 PPG over their last five games which is -3.5 PPG lower than their 104.9 PPG season average. Miami stays on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Heat have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Dallas has played 12 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Furthermore, the Mavericks have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. This team is playing lower scoring games since their blockbuster Kristaps Porzingis trade. Dallas dealt away Dennis Smith, Jr. along with Wesley Matthews and DeAndre Jordan while getting back Tim Hardaway, Jr., Trey Burke and Porzingis who is out the season with his torn ACL. The Mavericks are scoring only 104.6 PPG on 43.4% shooting over their last five games which are both below their 108.8 PPG scoring average on 44.9% shooting for the season. But Dallas is giving up only 106.8 PPG over these last five games which is almost 2 points lower than their 108.7 PPG season average. The Mavericks return home where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total. Dallas has also played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against Eastern Conference opponents — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 8 encounters Under the Total — and this includes them playing four straight Unders when the game is played in Dallas. Expect another lower scoring game. 20* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Toal in the game between the Miami Heat (513) and the Dallas Mavericks (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-08-19 |
Wolves v. Pelicans OVER 230.5 |
|
117-122 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 9:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (513) and the New Orleans Pelicans (514). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (25-29) has lost three straight games as well as five of their six contests with their 122-112 loss at Orlando as a 4-point underdog last night. New Orleans (24-31) looks to build off a 125-120 win at Chicago on Wednesday as a 1.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Timberwolves have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Minnesota has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. And while the T-Wolves have failed to cover the point spread in five straight games, they have then played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in at least four straight games. Minnesota has also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after losing three of their last four games. Now the Timberwolves stay on the road where they allow 114.4 PPG while seeing their home hosts make 47.7% of their shots. Minnesota has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total on the road. New Orleans has played a decisive 36 of their last 60 games Over the Total after allowing at least 115 points in their last game. The Pelicans have also played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a game where at least 245 combined points were scored. The team traded away big man Nikola Mirotic — so this team will likely play even more small ball now which means they will continue to push the pace. New Orleans has also made the questionable decision to put a healthy Anthony Davis back on the court despite his proclamation that he will not choose to resign with the team when his contract expires. In the short run, while the Pelicans pray he does not get himself seriously injured and ruin his trade value, he offers the team a massive offensive weapon. New Orleans has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 64 of their last 89 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Pelicans return home to the Big Easy where they score 117.2 PPG on 48.1% shooting while allowing their visitors to score 113.0 PPG on 46.6% shooting.
FINAL TAKE: New Orleans look to avenge a 110-106 loss at Minnesota back on January 12th — and they have played 27 of their last 38 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. 10* NBA Minnesota-New Orleans ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (513) and the New Orleans Pelicans (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-07-19 |
Spurs v. Blazers OVER 225.5 |
Top |
118-127 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (583) and the Portland Trail Blazers (584). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (32-24) saw their five-game winning streak snapped last night with their ugly 141-102 loss at Golden State as a 15.5-point underdog. Portland (32-21) had their three-game winning streak end on Tuesday with their 118-108 upset loss to Miami as a 7.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Spurs rested LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan in that game which contributed to them making only 43.2% of their shots against the Warriors. Both players will be back on the court tonight in this more winnable game than against the defending NBA champions. San Antonio has played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total when playing without rest. The Spurs have also seen the Over go 11-4-1 in their last 16 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Toal after a double-digit setback. Furthermore, the Over is 10-0-1 in San Antonio’s last 11 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last contest. The Spurs will likely be without starting point guard Derrick White who is dealing with a right foot injury. San Antonio will miss his versatile play on defense. The Spurs have allowed three of their last five opponents to make at least 55.6% of their shots after the Warriors nailed 57.9% of their field goal attempts. Overall, San Antonio has allowed their last five opponents to make 52.9% of their shots from the field. The Spurs stay on the road where they are scoring 110.9 PPG but surrendering 115.1 PPG. Home hosts are making 48.3% of their shots against San Antonio. The Over is 24-9-2 in their last 35 road games — and the Spurs have seen the Over go 21-5-1 in their 27 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Portland has played 21 of their last 29 games over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. The Trail Blazers made only 45.2% of their shots against the Heat which was the worst shooting effort in their last eight games. Portland stays at home where they are making 47.6% of their shots which translates into 115.9 PPG. Over tier last five games, the Blazers are still making 48% of their shots — but they are also allowing these opponents to shoot 47.1% from the field which is a bit worse than their 45.7% opponent’s field goal percentage for the year. The Over is 6-0-1 in Portland’s last 7 games on their home court — and the Over is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Additionally, while the Blazers have scored at least 105 points in nineteen straight games, they have then played 21 of their last 29 games Over the Total after scoring at least 105 points in at least five straight games.
FINAL TAKE: Portland will be playing with revenge on their minds after suffering a 131-118 loss to the Spurs back on December 2nd where they made 52.3% of their shots while allowing San Antonio to shoot 60.2% from the field. These two teams have played 22 of their last 30 meetings Over the Total — and this includes them playing twelve of their last sixteen games Over the Total when playing in Portland. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Thursday TNT Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (583) and the Portland Trail Blazers (584). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-06-19 |
Hornets v. Mavs UNDER 216 |
Top |
93-99 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (565) and the Dallas Mavericks (566). THE SITUATION: Charlotte (26-26) has won three of their last four games with their 125-118 win over Chicago on Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite. Dallas (24-28) has won four of their last six games with their 111-98 upset win at Cleveland as a 5.5-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit victory — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. This team is playing very good defense right now as they have held their last five opponents to just a 41% field goal percentage which has resulted in only 101.1 PPG which is more than 7 points below their 108.7 PPG defensive scoring average. Dallas made a blockbuster trade this week by trading Dennis Smith, Jr. along with Wesley Matthews and DeAndre Jordan to the Knicks for Kristaps Porzingis along with Tim Hardaway and Trey Burke. Losing Jordan along with Matthews will impact the Mavericks’ defensive presence — but integrating Hardaway and Burke into their offensive rotation will take some time. Of course, it has been announced that Porzingis will not take the court this season as he looks to fully recover from his ACL injury from last year. Dallas returns home where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, the Mavericks have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total against teams from the Eastern Conference — and they have played 36 of their last 59 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. Charlotte has seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is also 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Hornets made 52.4% of their shots in their win over the Bulls on Saturday which was the best offensive effort in their last five games. But this remains a team that is scoring 107.0 PPG over their last five games which is more than 4 points below their 111.6 PPG season average. Charlotte is also making only 43.8% of their shots when playing on the road. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Hornets’ last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home.
FINAL TAKE: Charlotte will be looking to avenge an embarrassing 122-84 loss at home to Dallas back on January 2nd — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home to their opponent. While the Mavericks are probably not as strong as a defensive team after their trade with the Knicks, I do expect them to struggle on offense as they incorporate Hardaway and Burke into the mix. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break Non-Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (565) and the Dallas Mavericks (566). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-30-19 |
Nuggets v. Pelicans OVER 224.5 |
Top |
105-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (561) and the New Orleans Pelicans (562). THE SITUATION: Denver (34-15) has won three straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 95-92 win at Memphis as a 5.5-point favorite on Monday. New Orleans (23-28) snapped a three-game losing streak last night with their surprising 121-116 upset win at Houston as a big 13.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pelicans have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after an upset win by at least 10 points — and this includes them playing three of their four games Over the Total when that double-digit upset win was over a Southwest Divisional rival. New Orleans has also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing without a day of rest. This team is a M*A*S*H unit right now with Anthony Davis out (and perhaps never to wear a Pelicans’ jersey again given his declaration that he will not resign with the team when his contract expires and Nikola Mirotic, Julius Randle, Elfrid Payton, E’Twaun Moore all dealing with injuries. The latter three are listed as questionable for tonight as of this writing. This leaves the team with only Jrue Holiday as the only regular starter available for the Pelicans — but he starred alongside Jahil Okafor and a slew of bench players last night. This group buys-in to head coach Alvin Gentry’s aggressive defensive schemes and fast-tempo. The Pelicans made 51.1% of their shots against the Rockets last night — and their 48.9% field goal percentage in their last five games since Davis suffered his injury is higher than the 48.1% mark they have overall for the season. I am not sure how well New Orleans will play on defense tonight — but they should continue to score plenty of baskets back at home where they are averaging 118.4 PPG on 48.4% shooting. The Pelicans have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as a dog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, New Orleans has played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents. Where the Pelicans really miss Davis is with their interior defense. Through his injury on January 19th, opponents were taking 39.5% of their shots at the rim when Davis was not on the court — that would translate into the second-highest mark if extended to the entire season. The lack of credible rim protector without Davis requires the Pelicans to help on defense — and that opens things up for these opponents on the perimeter again. Opponents were making 46.7% of their corner 3s against New Orleans with Davis off the court before his injury. While Houston lacks a credible inside scoring threat (especially with Clint Capela injured), the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic should have a field day against the Pelicans inside tonight. Denver has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after both a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Nuggets were sluggish for most of that game with the Grizzlies as they made only 43.5% of their shots which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last eight games. Denver rallied from a 25-point third quarter deficit as well as a 17-point margin in the fourth quarter to pull out that win. They should shoot much better tonight — they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total in the month of January. The Nuggets have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.
FINAL TAKE: New Orleans averages 103.2 possessions per game which is the 5th quickest pace in the NBA. Their injuries require them to play small-ball — and that should facilitate both teams flying up and down the court like the Pelicans’ game with the Rockets last night. Even in a losing effort, Houston scored 116 points while making just 39.6% of their shots. We took that Over last night — and I think we have another big advantage versus the number tonight. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Denver Nuggets (561) and the New Orleans Pelicans (562). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-29-19 |
Pelicans v. Rockets OVER 233 |
Top |
121-116 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (547) and the Houston Rockets (548). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (22-28) has lost three straight games with their 126-114 loss to San Antonio on Saturday as a 4.5-point underdog. Houston (29-20) has won three straight games with their 103-98 win over Orlando on Sunday as an 8.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Pelicans have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. And while New Orleans has lost five of their last six games, New Orleans has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after losing five or six of their last seven contests. This team is mired with injuries with Anthony Davis out with a hand injury and fellow big man Nikola Mirotic also out with a calf injury. With Julius Randle questionable with an ankle injury as well, this leaves head coach Alvin Gentry pretty thin with options on his frontline. Smaller lineups from Gentry will likely see the Pelicans push the pace even faster than the 103.19 possessions per game average they already average which is 6th fastest in the NBA. New Orleans goes back on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total. The Pelicans have also played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. And in their last 5 games against fellow Western Conference opponents, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. Houston has played 21 of their last 31 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The Rockets have won four of their last five games — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning four of their last five contests. The team did see Chris Paul III return to the court on Sunday with his minutes being limited until he gets himself back into shape. The Rockets stay at home where they are averaging 116.7 PPG. Houston has played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as a favorite laying 6.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, while their win over the Magic fell well below the 221.5 point Total, they have played 11 of their last 14 home games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the number. Houston held Orlando to just a 40.2% field goal percentage which was the best defensive effort in their last eighteen games. Yet the Rockets have still allowed their last five opponents to score 116.4 PPG. Houston has played 4 straight games Over the Total as a double-digit favorite.
FINAL TAKE: The Pelicans will be looking to avenge a 108-104 loss at home to the Rockets back on December 29th — and they have played a decisive 40 of their last 64 games Over the Total when playing with revenge. With New Orleans’ injuries, it will be Small Ball City in this contest which should facilitate a blazing pace and a high scoring game. 25* NBA TNT Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (547) and the Houston Rockets (548). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-25-19 |
Pistons v. Mavs UNDER 208 |
|
101-106 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (577) and the Dallas Mavericks (578). Detroit (21-26) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 98-94 upset win in New Orleans on Wednesday as a 5-point underdog. Dallas (21-26) snapped a four-game losing streak with their 106-98 win against the Los Angeles Clippers.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pistons are playing their third game since Monday — and they have played 13 straight games Under the Total when playing their third game in five days. Detroit has also played 13 of their last 14 road games Under the Total after playing at least their two previous games on the road. The Pistons are playing lower scoring games as of late. They are scoring 100.8 PPG over their last five games while allowing 101.2 PPG over that span — as compared to their 106.0 PPG scoring average and the 108.6 PPG they are allowing for the season. Detroit stays on the road where they have played 7 straight games Under the Total. The Under is also 22-5-3 in their last 30 road games against teams with a winning record on their home court. Furthermore, the Pistons have played 15 of their last 20 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. Detroit is shooting just 42.6% from the field when playing away from home. Additionally, the Pistons have played 31 of their last 45 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Detroit has also played 6 straight games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. Dallas has played 7 straight games Under the Total against Eastern Conference opponents. The Mavericks have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Dallas stays at home where they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total — and they have also played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings in Dallas. Expect another lower scoring game between these two teams. 20* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (577) and the Dallas Mavericks (578). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-23-19 |
Hornets v. Grizzlies UNDER 210 |
Top |
118-107 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (553) and Memphis Grizzlies (554). THE SITUATION: Charlotte (22-24) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 120-95 loss at Indiana as an 8-point underdog. Memphis (19-28) has lost six straight games as well as twelve of their last thirteen games with their ugly 105-85 upset loss at home to New Orleans on Monday as a 3-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Grizzlies have played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total after an upset loss to a fellow Southwest Division rival. Memphis has also played 6 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points to a divisional rival. Furthermore, not only has this team played 31 of their last 45 games Under the Total after losing three straight games but they have also played 7 straight games Under the Total after dropping four straight games. Look for the Grizzlies embarrassment lead to a better effort on the defensive end of the court. The Pelicans — without an injured Anthony Davis — made 52.7% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort for Memphis in their last seven contests. The Grizzlies have also allowed their last six opponents to score at least 105 points — but they have then played 9 straight home games Under the Total after allowing at least 105 points in three straight games. Led by remaining holdovers from the Grit-n-Grind days of yore in Mike Conley and Marc Gasol, this team still plays good defense — they currently rank 8th in the NBA in Defensive Rating. But their play on offense has been a disaster. They made only 37.5% of their shots on Monday while scoring a mere 35 points in the second-half. Over their last nine games, the Grizzlies are last in the NBA by scoring only 97.0 PPG — and they are second-to-last over that span with a 43.6% field goal percentage. Gasol’s skills seem to be in decline. He is scoring only 13 PPG while making less than 40% of his shots since December. The team also misses Kyle Anderson’s scoring punch as he is out two to four weeks with an injury. Memphis stays at home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Grizzlies have also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and they have played 8 straight games at home Under the Total priced in that +/- 3-point range. Charlotte has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points on the road. The Under is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. This team is playing well on the defensive end of the court as of late. Over their last five games, they have held those opponents to just a 44.7% field goal percentage as compared to their 46.5% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. The Hornets have a Defensive Rating that ranks 7th in the NBA over that span which is well above their 20th rating for the season. But Charlotte struggles to score on the road where the role players to rising superstar Kemba Walker fail to offer support. The Hornets make only 43.6% of their shots on the road as compared to their 45.2% field goal percentage for the season. The Under is 3-0-1 in Charlotte’s last 4 games on the road — and the Under is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against Western Conference opponents.
FINAL TAKE: Both these teams come off bad losses — which should ensure a much better work rate from both teams tonight. While effort does not always translate into scoring, it should produce better defensive performances. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (553) and Memphis Grizzlies (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-02-19 |
Magic v. Bulls UNDER 199.5 |
Top |
112-84 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (513) and the Chicago Bulls (514). Orlando (16-20) has lost five of their last seven games with their 125-100 loss at Charlotte as an 8.5-point underdog on Monday. Chicago (10-27) has lost two of their last three games with their 95-89 loss at Toronto as a 10.5-point underdog on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Magic have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Orlando has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss where at least 225 combined points were scored. Furthermore, the Magic have played 28 of their last 41 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and this includes them playing six of their last eight games Under the Total after a loss away from home. This team is dealing with a host on injuries with the worst being at point guard where starter D.J. Augustin and backup Jonathan Simmons dealing with ankle injuries. Not all injuries disproportionally impact one end of the court but Orlando really misses Augustin’s 11.5 PPG along with a 4.9 Assists-Per-Game average along with his 43.8% shooting from behind the arc. The Magic have resorted to using Jerian Grant primary point guard but his lack of penetration skills to the paint limits their offense. Grant started in their last loss to the Hornets where Orlando shot just 41.3% from the field which was the worst shooting effort in their last five games. The Magic may also be without center Nikola Vucevic who is questionable with a calf injury. Now Orlando goes on the road where they score 100.6 PPG with a 43.1% field goal percentage while allowing 103.1 PPG with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 44.1% — and all those numbers are below their 103.4 PPG/44.4% offensive and 107.5 PPG/45.9% defensive numbers for the season. The Magic have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road - — and they have played 12 of their last 13 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Orlando has also played 10 of their last 13 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. The Magic will have revenge on their minds from a 90-80 loss at Chicago back on December 21st — and they have played 30 of their last 47 games Under the Total when avenging a road loss with seven of those last ten circumstances finishing Under the Total. Chicago has seen the Under go 19-6-1 in their last 26 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. The Bulls have also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. Chicago is last in the NBA by scoring just 100.4 PPG. Interim head coach Jim Boylen is preaching to his players to embrace a slowed-down grinding style on offense perhaps as a contrarian philosophy to all the teams that have gone up-tempo this season. The Bulls are scoring only 97.2 PPG over their last five games — and being without their injured point guard Bobby Portis who is dealing with an ankle injury of his own does not help. But Chicago is playing better defense with this approach as they have held their last five opponents to just 95.6 PPG along with a low opponent’s field goal percentage of 40.9%. Those defensive numbers are a far cry from the 109.3 PPG and 45.3% field goal percentage they sport for the season — so perhaps Boyle is on to something for this team. The Bulls return home where they have played 13 of their last 18 home games Under the Total — and this includes them playing four of their last five home games Under the Total. The Under is also 7-2-1 in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in the last 46 games when Chicago was favored, they have played 30 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing in Chicago. With the injuries with Orlando and the new emphasis on defense with the Bulls, expect a lower-scoring game. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (513) and the Chicago Bulls (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-02-19 |
Mavs v. Hornets OVER 221.5 |
|
122-84 |
Loss |
-108 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (505) and the Charlotte Hornets (506). THE SITUATION: Dallas (17-19) has lost two of their last three games with their 122-102 loss at Oklahoma City on Monday as a 7.5-point underdog. Charlotte (18-18) has won two of their last three games with their 125-100 win over Orlando as a 8.5-point favorite on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Over their last five games, Dallas is scoring 111.8 PPG while allowing 115.8 PPG which over 4 PPG above their season defensive average. Now they go on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total — and they have also played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Furthermore, the Mavs have played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total with the Total in the 220 to 229.5 point range. Charlotte has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a win over a divisional rival — and this includes them playing five straight Overs in that situation. The Hornets have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team stays at home where they are scoring 114.1 PPG while hitting 47% of their shots. They have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total with the number set in the 220 to 229.5 point range — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with the number set in that range. Over their last five games, Charlotte has scored 117.2 PPG while allowing 114.0 PPG. And in their last 7 games with the point spread in the +/- 3-point range, the Hornets have played 5 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Expect a higher scoring game between these two teams. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (505) and the Charlotte Hornets (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-28-18 |
Mavs v. Pelicans OVER 228.5 |
Top |
112-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (521) and the New Orleans Pelicans (522). THE SITUATION: Dallas (16-17) snapped a six-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 122-119 win at home over New Orleans (15-20) as a 2.5-point favorite. These two teams now travel to the Big Easy to play the back-end of this home-and-home series.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks have played 5 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. Dallas should have both Dennis Smith and rookie phenom Luka Doncic on the court tonight as they both are listed as probable despite their nagging injuries. Over their last five games, the Mavericks are scoring 119.0 PPG which is eight points higher than their season average. But Dallas is also allowing their last five opponents to score 122.2 PPG on 50.1% shooting which are both much higher than the 110.2 PPG they are allowing this season on 46.7% shooting. Now the Mavs go on the road where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total — and they have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Dallas has also played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total with the number set in the 220 to 229.5 point range — and this includes them playing 6 of their last 7 games on the road Over the Total with the over/under number in that range. The Mavericks have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against fellow Southwest Division opponents. New Orleans has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against Southwest Division rivals. They return home where they have played 20 of their last 29 home games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Pelicans are scoring 120.0 PPG on 48.3% shooting when playing on their home court with both those numbers far above their 116.4 PPG scoring average an 47.6% field goal percentage overall this season. New Orleans has played 30 of their last 46 home games Over the Total as the favorite. And in their last 33 opportunities to avenge a loss on the road, the Pelicans have played 23 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played 5 straight meetings Over the Total. The Over is also 19-7-1 in the last 27 encounters between these two teams in New Orleans. Even with the high total, with the fast pace that the Pelicans like to play, expect a very high-scoring game. 25* NBA Southwest Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (521) and the New Orleans Pelicans (522). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-28-18 |
Pistons v. Pacers UNDER 206.5 |
|
88-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (513) and the Indiana Pacers (514). THE SITUATION: Detroit (16-16) snapped their two-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 106-95 win over Washington as a 4-point favorite. Indiana (23-12) has won three games in a row with their 129-121 win at Atlanta as a 6.5-point favorite on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pistons have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Detroit has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The Pistons average 108.3 PPG while allowing 109.1 PPG this season — but over their last five games, Detroit is scoring 104.2 PPG while allowing 104.2 PPG for nine combined lower PPG over that span. Additionally, the Under is 19-5-3 in the Pistons’ last 27 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Indiana has played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Pacers have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. Indiana made 55.4% of their shots in that game which was the highest field goal percentage they have enjoyed in their last fifteen contests. The Pacers also allowed the Hawks to make 50.6% from the field as well — and that is the highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last seventeen contests. Indiana returns home where they are shooting 45.9% from the field while holding their visitors to scoring just 96.9 PPG while shooting 42.0% from the field — and all three of those numbers are below their 47.6% field goal percentage for the season along with the 101.2 PPG they are allowing on 43.7% shooting from their opponents. Lastly, the Pacers have played 35 of their last 51 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 5 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Indiana played an outlier game on Wednesday with the 250 combined points that were scored in that contest. Expect a lower-scoring game tonight. 20* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Pistons (513) and the Indiana Pacers (514). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-26-18 |
Raptors v. Heat UNDER 207.5 |
|
106-104 |
Loss |
-106 |
1 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (573) and the Miami Heat (573). THE SITUATION: Toronto (25-10) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Saturday with their 126-101 loss at Philadelphia as a 7.5-point underdog. Miami (16-16) has won five games in a row with their 115-91 win at Orlando as a 2.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Raptors have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss by double-digits. Furthermore, Toronto has played a decisive 18 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a loss to an Atlantic Division rival. This Toronto offense will be without two key pieces with both Kyle Lowry and Jonas Valanciunas out with injuries — but their defense will be helped with the Serge Ibaka upgraded to probable for tonight’s game. The Raptors have played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. Toronto is struggling to score baskets after they shot 38.9% from the field which was the worst offensive effort of the season. Over their last five games, the Raptors are scoring 106.8 PPG whole making 45.3% of their shots which is far below their 114.3 PPG scoring average for the season along with a 48.1% field goal percentage. Miami is without their best scoring threat in Goran Dragic who is dealing with a knee injury. They have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. The Heat’s upset victory has actually been their fifth straight upset win this month. Miami has played 31 of their last 46 games Under the Total after an upset victory — and they have played 12 of their last 13 games Under the Total after pulling off two straight upset victories. Furthermore, the Heat have played 9 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Over their last five games, they are scoring 102.4 PPG while making just 42.5% of their shots — and both those marks are a bit below their 106.5 PPG scoring average along with a 43.2% field goal percentage. But Miami is getting it done because of their defense as of late. They have held their last five opponents to just 94.0 PPG along with an opponent’s field goal percentage of 39.1% — and those numbers represent a vast improvement over the 106.3 PPG they are allowing this season on 43.9% shooting from the field. Furthermore, the Heat have played 5 straight games at home Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: With some of the key offensive players on both teams out for this game — and with both these teams playing better on defense, expect a lower-scoring game. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (573) and the Miami Heat (573). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-25-18 |
Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 221 |
Top |
109-113 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (559) and the Houston Rockets (560). THE SITUATION: Oklahoma City (21-11) saw their four-game winning streak on Sunday with a 114-112 loss at home to Minnesota despite being 6-point favorites in that game. Houston (17-15) has won six of their last seven games with their 108-101 win over San Antonio as a 4.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Thunder have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss against a divisional rival as a home favorite. Oklahoma City allowed the Timberwolves to make 49.4% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last four games. The Thunder have been playing outstanding defense even without their star defender Andre Roberson on the shelf with a knee injury. Oklahoma City leads the NBA in Points-Per-Possession allowed along with forced turnovers. They have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a game where at least 225 combined points were scored. Now the Thunder go back on the road where they have played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total — and they have played 39 of their last 55 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. OKC has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 9 straight games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Houston (17-15) has played 30 of their last 48 home games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and the Rockets have played 32 of their last 45 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. Houston has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. This team will once again be without Chris Paul for two to four weeks after he suffered a hamstring strain a few days ago. His loss is critical since he was the best complementary scoring option to James Harden this season. The Rockets stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Houston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and the Under is 40-18-1 in their last 59 games when facing a team with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. The Rockets will revenge on their home from a 98-80 upset loss to the Thunder back on November 8th as a 5-point favorite. Houston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a double-digit loss to their opponent.
FINAL TAKE: The absence of Paul makes the Rockets easier to defend since their opponents can focus on slowing down Russell Westbrook. As it is, these two teams have played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total. Expect that trend to continue this afternoon. 25* NBA Pre-All Star Break ABC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (559) and the Houston Rockets (560). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-21-18 |
Magic v. Bulls UNDER 203 |
|
80-90 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (511) and the Chicago Bulls (512). THE SITUATION: Orlando (14-16) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 129-90 loss at home to San Antonio as a 3-point underdog. Chicago (7-25) has lost five of their last six games with their 96-93 loss to Brooklyn as a 1.5-point underdog on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Magic played the worst defensive game of the season as they allowed the Spurs to make 64.9% of their shots in that game. Expect a focused defensive effort tonight. Orlando has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. The Magic have also played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 10 points. Now this team goes back on the road where they limit their home hosts to just a 43.7% field goal percentage. Orlando has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and they also played 11 of their last 12 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on their home court. The Magic are struggling to make shots after limping out of that game with the Spurs with a 38.2% field goal percentage. Over their last five games, Orlando is making only 40.4% of their shots. Chicago has seen the Under go 22-8-1 in their last 31 games after a straight-up loss. The Bulls are missing two important pieces of their offensive attack with both Zach Levine and Bobby Portis out with injuries. Chicago stays at home where the Under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games — and the Under is also 6-1-1 in their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Bulls have also played 13 of their last 16 home games Under the Total against fellow Eastern Conference opponents.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing in Chicago. Expect another lower-scoring game between these two teams. 10* NBA Friday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (511) and the Chicago Bulls (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-19-18 |
Spurs v. Magic UNDER 210.5 |
|
129-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (555) and the Orlando Magic (556). THE SITUATION: San Antonio (16-15) has won five of their last six games with their 123-96 win over Philadelphia as a 1-point favorite on Monday. Orlando (14-15) has won two straight games after their 96-89 upset win over Utah as a 6-point underdog on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Spurs have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, San Antonio has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. The Spurs made 56.3% of their shots against the Sixers — but they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after making at least 55% of their shots in their last game. But now this team goes back on the road where they are making only 45.7% of their shots which is a bit lower than their 46.9% field goal percentage for the season. San Antonio has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing on the road as the favorite. This team is playing their best defense of the season right now as they have held their last five opponents to just a 40.7% field goal percentage while not allowing any of these last five opponents to make more than 43.5% of their shots. Orlando played their best defensive game of the season on Saturday by holding the Jazz to just a 31.5% field goal percentage. The Magic have held their last five opponents to just a 44.6% field goal percentage which compares favorably to their opponent’s field goal percentage of 45.7% for the season. But Orlando is only making 42.4% of their shots over their last five games (resulting in just 95.4 PPG) which is far below their 44.9% field goal percentage for the year. They take the court again after a nice break— and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. Additionally, the Magic have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, Orlando has played 28 of their last 41 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range including six Unders in these last eight situations. The Magic have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 22 of their last 32 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference opponents.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total — and this includes playing four straight Unders when the game is played in Orlando. Expect another low-scoring game. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (555) and the Orlando Magic (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-19-18 |
Knicks v. 76ers OVER 228 |
Top |
109-131 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (553) and the Philadelphia 76ers (554). THE SITUATION: New York (9-23) has lost two straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests with their 128-110 loss to Phoenix on Monday as a 1.5-point underdog. Philadelphia (20-12) has lost three of their last four games with their 123-96 loss in San Antonio on Monday as a 1-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Knicks have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, New York has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 10 points. Furthermore, while the Knicks have allowed at least 110 points in eleven straight games, they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 110 points in four straight contests. New York has also failed to cover the point spread in six of their last eight games — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after only covering the point spread once or twice in their last six games. This is an injured group right now with Allonzo Trier, Mitchell Robinson, and Damyean Dotson all out for this game and Tim Hardway listed as questionable with a heel injury. These absences probably hurt the Knicks defense more than it does their offense. Over their last five games, New York is scoring 109.6 PPG but they are giving up 118.8 PPG to their opponents while playing at a fast pace. Now they go on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total. They have also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total as a double-digit underdog. And while they will be looking to avenge a 117-91 loss to the Sixers back on November 28th, the Knicks have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total when motivated by revenge from a loss by at least 20 points. New York made only 40.4% of their shots in their last game which was the lowest field goal percentage in their last six games — but Philadelphia comes off a game where they made just 40.8% of their shots which was the lowest field goal percentage they have endured all season. The 76ers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Furthermore, Philly has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. And while they have allowed at least 105 points in seven straight games, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after allowing at least 105 points in their last game. The Sixers return home where they are scoring 116.1 PPG while allowing 108.8 PPG to their opponents. Over their last five games, they are allowing their opponents to make 49.3% of their shots. This is their sixth game in ten days — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing at least their sixth game in the last ten days.
FINAL TAKE: Both these teams are likely to shoot much better from the field after poor shooting efforts in their last game. Defense will likely be hard to come by given injuries and fatigue — and that means plenty of scoring from two teams very happy to push the pace. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (553) and the Philadelphia 76ers (554). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-18-18 |
Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 208 |
Top |
92-91 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (545) and the Indiana Pacers (546). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (7-23) has lost two straight games with their 128-105 loss to Philadelphia on Sunday as a 9-point underdog. Indiana (20-10) has won seven straight games with their 110-99 win over New York as a 12-point favorite on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Pacers have raised their level of play on the defensive end of the court. During their seven-game winning streak, Indiana is allowing their opponents to score just 97.4 points per 100 possessions. Their last five opponents are shooting just 41.6% from the field. The Under is 35-16-1 in the Pacers’ last 52 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. This team stays at home where they are scoring 105.2 PPG while holding their opponents to just 97.7 PPG — and both those numbers are below their 106.7 PPG scoring average along with their 101.2 PPG defensive average overall this season. Indiana has played 39 of their last 58 games Under the Total on their home court — and this includes them playing twelve of their last fifteen home games Under the Total. The Pacers have also played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total as the favorite — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Indiana has played ten straight games Under the Total — and while that might perk the interests of some contrarian bettors, the Pacers have played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total when on an Under streak of at least four games which includes them playing eight of their last nine Under the Total if they have played at least four straight Unders before that game. Furthermore, Indiana has played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% — and the Under is 19-6-1 in their last 27 games against fellow NBA Central opponents. Cleveland has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against Central Division rivals. They have lost two straight games by double-digits with their loss to the 76ers preceded by a 114-102 loss to Milwaukee — and the Cavaliers have plated 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing two straight games by double-digits. This team is ravaged with injuries with Tristan Thompson joining Kevin Love being on the shelf — and they are not playing their outside shooting threat in J.R. Smith so he can be kept healthy so that he retains some trade value. Head coach Larry Drew will want his team to play harder on defense after allowing the Sixers to make 56% of their shots which was the second worst defensive effort of the season. Now the Cavs go on the road where they score 100.7 PPG which is -2.7 PPG below their overall season average. Cleveland has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road. They also have played 8 of the last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
FINAL TAKE: The Cavaliers are looking to avenge a 119-107 loss at home to the Pacers back on October 27th — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the total when playing with same-season revenge. The Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 games between these two teams — and these two teams have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when meeting at Indiana. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (545) and the Indiana Pacers (546). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-16-18 |
Heat v. Pelicans UNDER 222.5 |
|
102-96 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (525) and the New Orleans Pelicans (526). THE SITUATION: Miami (12-16) looks to build off their 100-97 win at Memphis on Friday as a 4-point underdog. New Orleans (15-15) also comes off an upset victory with their 118-114 win over Oklahoma City as a 4-point underdog on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Heat have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Miami has played 6 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The Heat will be without their most reliable go-to scoring option in Goran Dragic who is out with a knee injury. Miami is playing lower-scoring games as of late. They have allowed 102.4 PPG over their last five contests which is almost 6 points lower than the 108.1 PPG they are allowing for the season. The Heat have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. New Orleans has played 5 straight games Under the Total against Eastern Conference foes. The Pelicans have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, New Orleans has played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. The Pelicans will also be without a key piece on offense with Nikola Mirotic out indefinitely with an ankle injury. New Orleans is scoring 113.8 PPG over their last five games while allowing 109.6 PPG — and both those marks are a bit below the 117.4 PPG they are scoring and the 115.5 PPG they are allowing this season. Together, these team trends produce our specific 37-1 combined angle for this situation.
FINAL TAKE: With both teams being without one of their top scorers, expect a lower scoring game even if played at a fast pace. 10* NBA Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (525) and the New Orleans Pelicans (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-06-18 |
Rockets v. Jazz OVER 215 |
Top |
91-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (705) and the Utah Jazz (706). THE SITUATION: Houston (11-12) saw their two-game winning streak end on Monday with their 103-91 loss at Minnesota despite being a 2.5-point favorite in that game. Utah (12-13) has won three of their last four games with their dominant 139-105 win over San Antonio on Tuesday as a 7.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Jazz may have had a breakthrough on the offensive end of the court. They shot a season-high 60.7% from the field — but the encouraging aspect of that game was that all thirteen players registered at least one assist in that game. Looking for the extra pass creates better scoring opportunities — and twelve of the Utah players made at least 50% of their shots in that game with seven players scoring in double-digits. The Jazz also made 20 shots from behind the arc while making a whopping 60.6% of their 3-point shots. The Over is 8-1-1 in Utah’s last 10 games after a game where they scored at least 125 points in their last game. The Jazz have also played 6 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit victory — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Defense remains a concern for this team, however, as they are allowing visiting teams to make 49.6% of their shots on their home court which has translated into 112.4 PPG. Utah has played 7 straight games Over the Total on their home court. Houston has played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Rockets have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Houston has a healthy Chris Paul back into the mix again but they made only 43.2% of their shots on Monday which was the worst shooting effort in their last six games. Even with that poor performance, the Rockets are scoring a robust 117.4 PPG on 47.5% shooting with Paul back on the court over their last five games with that field goal percentage far above their 44.9% mark for the season. Houston also held the Timberwolves to just a 43.9% field goal percentage which was their lowest opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. Unfortunately, that effort was likely an aberration for a team that has allowed their last nine opponents to score 116.1 PPG which has contributed to them drop to 25th in the league in Defensive Rating. Even after Monday, the Rockets have allowed their last five opponents to make 49% of their shots with this team still not finding answers on the defensive end of the court after not resigning Trevor Ariza and Luc Mbah a Moute in the offseason. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 4 of the last 5 games Over the Total — and they have played 21 of their last 32 games Over the Total in the month of December.
FINAL TAKE: With this Total set in the high 210s, expect both teams to reach the 110 point threshold in what shapes up to be a barn burner. 25* NBA Thursday TNT Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (705) and the Utah Jazz (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-05-18 |
Hornets v. Wolves UNDER 221.5 |
Top |
104-121 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (509) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (510). THE SITUATION: Charlotte (11-12) has lost two straight games with their 119-109 loss to New Orleans on Sunday as a 3-point favorite. Minnesota (12-12) has won five of their last six games with their 103-91 win over Houston on Monday as a 2.5-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: One of the results of the Jimmy Butler trade for the Timberwolves was an improvement of their play on the defensive end of the court. Adding Robert Covington and Dario Saric gives the team two players who are strong defenders. Over their last five games, Minnesota is holding their opponents to just 42.3% shooting which is significantly better than their 45.5% opponent’s field goal percentage for the season. Save for the Celtics scoring 117 points against them, the T-Wolves have held their other four opponents to no more than 95 points. Their victory over the Rockets on Monday fell well below the 223 point total — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Minnesota has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, the Timberwolves have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. And in their last 8 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents, Minnesota has played 6 of these games Under the Total. Charlotte has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. The Hornets have suffered two straight upset losses at home as they enter this game — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after losing two straight games Under the Total after suffering two straight losses at home as the favorite. Additionally, Charlotte has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after playing a game where at least 225 combined point were scored. They go back on the road where they are making only 42.8% of their shots which is a bit lower than their 46% field goal percentage for the season. The Hornets have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home.
FINAL TAKE: The team trends strongly indicate that both teams tend to play lower than expected scoring games in situations like this. 25* NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Charlotte Hornets (509) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-04-18 |
Magic v. Heat UNDER 207 |
Top |
105-90 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (703) and the Miami Heat (704). THE SITUATION: Orlando (11-12) snapped their two-game losing streak on Friday with their 99-85 win at Phoenix as a 4-point favorite. Miami (9-13) has won two straight games after their 102-100 upset at Utah as a 4-point underdog on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Heat’s win was their second straight upset victory after they stunned New Orleans as a 3-point underdog on Friday. Miami has then played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after pulling off an upset win as a home underdog. The Heat have also played 9 straight games Under the Total after pulling off two straight upset victories. Furthermore, Miami has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. This is a team riddled with injuries right now. Dion Waiters and Goran Dragic are both out indefinitely and Rodney McGruder is questionable with the ankle injury he suffered in that game with the Jazz. The Heat pulled off that upset win despite making only 39.6% of their shots — and this team is still without their best offensive pieces. They stay at home where they are shooting only 43.1% from the field. Miami has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing at home. Orlando has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. They go back on the road where they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. The Magic have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Orlando has covered the point spread in four straight games — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four straight games. And in their last 5 games against fellow Eastern Conference opponents, the game finished Under the Total 4 times.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams played on opening night this season with the Magic pulling the 104-101 upset with that final score finishing just below the 207.5 point total. Expect another Under tonight. 25* NBA Southeast Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Orlando Magic (703) and the Miami Heat (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-21-18 |
Knicks v. Celtics OVER 216 |
Top |
117-109 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (507) and the Boston Celtics (508). THE SITUATION: New York (4-14) has lost six straight games after their 118-114 loss to Portland last night as a 7.5-point underdog. Boston (9-8) has lost two straight games after their 117-112 loss in Charlotte on Monday as a 3.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Knicks have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. New York has also played 21 of their last 31 games Over the Total when playing without a day of rest. Now the Knicks go back on the road where they are allowing their home hosts to score 117.8 PPG while shooting 48.9% from the field. Over their last five games, New York is seeing their opponents make 50.1% of their shots. The Knicks have played 4 straight games Over the Total on the road — and they have also played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Boston has suffered two straight upset loss as their upset loss against the Hornets was preceded by a 98-86 loss at home to Utah as a 4-point favorite on Saturday. The Celtics have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss — and they have also played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after an upset loss as a road favorite. Furthermore, Boston has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after enduring two straight upset losses. Now the Celtics return home where they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Boston is a heavy favorite tonight being asked to lay 14 or so points. The Celtics should play well tonight — expect a high scoring game. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the New York Knicks (507) and the Boston Celtics (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-14-18 |
Blazers v. Lakers UNDER 223 |
Top |
117-126 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (721) and the Los Angeles Lakers (722). THE SITUATION: Portland (10-3) has won four straight games with their 100-94 win over Boston on Sunday as a 4-point favorite. Los Angeles (7-6) has won three straight games as well as five of their last six games with their 107-106 victory over Atlanta on Sunday as an 11-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lakers improved play can be tied to improved play on the defensive end of the court. Los Angeles has not allowed their last nine opponents to shoot better than 50% from the field while holding their last five opponents to just a 43.1% field goal percentage. The Lakers have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and the Under is also 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after a straight-up win. Los Angeles has also played 6 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Lakers stay at home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total on their home court — and they have also seen the Under go 5-0-1 in their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. LA has also played 4 straight games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents while the Trail Blazers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Western Conference foes. Portland is also playing hard on the defensive end of the court as they have held their last five opponents to just a 42.2% field goal percentage — and they are holding their home hosts to just a 42.1% shooting percentage. The Trail Blazers have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Portland has also played 5 straight games Under the Total. This team has also played 9 of their last 13 road games Under the Total against a team with a winning record — and they have also played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.
FINAL TAKE: This is already the third meeting between these two teams after the Lakers pulled the upset over the Trail Blazers back on November 3rd by a 114-110 score as a 3.5-point favorite that finished well below the 236 point total. This third clash probably favors the respective defenses who can continue to fine-tune their defensive approaches against a familiar opponent. As it is, these two teams have played 7 straight games Under the Total when playing in LA. 25* NBA Wednesday ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (721) and the Los Angeles Lakers (722). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-12-18 |
Mavs v. Bulls UNDER 216 |
Top |
103-98 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (707) and the Chicago Bulls (708). THE SITUATION: Dallas (4-8) has won of their last three games with their 111-96 win against Oklahoma City on Saturday as a 1.5-point favorite. Chicago (4-9) has won two of their last three games as well with their 99-98 win over Cleveland as a 4.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks enjoyed their best offensive performance of the season in their win over the Thunder as they shot 55.8% of their shots from the floor. Dallas also limited OKC to just a 39.2% shooting percentage — and that defensive effort should travel on the road tonight. The Mavs have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They will be a short one or two of their key contributors tonight with Wesley Matthews doubtful with a hamstring injury while rookie Luka Doncic is questionable with a knee. Dallas goes on the road where they have played 17 of their last 26 road games Under the Total with the number in the 210 to 219.5 point range. The Mavericks have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Chicago is also undermanned with Bobby Portis, Kris Dunn and Lauri Markkanen all out with injuries. But this team is still playing hard on the defensive end of the court. They limited the Cavaliers to just a 42.9% shooting percentage on Saturday — and that is exactly the same opponent’s field goal percentage that their last five opponents have averaged. The Bulls have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They stay at home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total — and they have also played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams played back on October 22nd with the Mavericks winning that game in Dallas by a 115-109 score. That game fell well below the 229 point total — expect this game to also finish below the number given the injuries both teams have now experienced. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (707) and the Chicago Bulls (708). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-08-18 |
Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 215.5 |
Top |
108-85 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (507) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (508). THE SITUATION: Golden State (73-29) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 110-102 win in Cleveland (62-41) as a closing 3.5-point favorite. They have the opportunity to win back-to-back NBA Championships Friday night.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors shot 51.9% from the field after making 57.3% of their shots in Game Two — but they have then played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after making at least 50% of their shots in two straight games. Golden State has also played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after winning at least four straight games — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The Warriors have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, Golden State has now played 20 of their last 28 road games Under the Total which includes them playing seven of their last eight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 4 opportunities to close-out a playoff series, the Warriors have played all 4 games Under the Total. Cleveland has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. They also have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing no more than their fifth game over the last fourteen days. Furthermore, the Cavaliers had 92 shots attempts in Game Three after taking 90 shots in Game Two — and they have then played 25 of their last 36 games Under the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games and this includes playing their last four games below the number in that situation. And in their last 17 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, Cleveland has played 12 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: This is the first game in this series that will be played with just one day of rest. I look for a slower-paced game than the first three games of the series with perhaps both offenses taking a step back without the extra rest. 25* NBA Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (507) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-06-18 |
Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 217.5 |
|
110-102 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (505) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (506). THE SITUATION: Golden State(72-29) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Sunday with their 122-103 win over the Cavaliers as an 11.5-point favorite. This series travels to Cleveland (62-40) for Games Three and Four.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Warriors were on fire with their shooting in their two games at the Oracle Center. They made 65% of their shots inside the arc in those two games while nailing 28 of their 72 (38.9%) of their shots from 3-point land. Golden State made 57.3% of their shots overall on Sunday (after making 51.1% of their shots in Game One) which was not only their best field goal percentage in their 42 games but was also the best shooting mark in the playoffs for them in the Steve Kerr coaching era. The Warriors have played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after shooting at least 50% from the field in two straight games. Additionally, Golden State has played 11 of their last 17 games after a point spread as a double-digit favorite. The Warriors have also played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after winning at least four straight games. Furthermore, Golden State has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road. Cleveland (62-40) has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total aft losing two straight games on the road. Now the Cavaliers return home where they have played 11 of their last 16 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 6 games when not playing more than their third game in ten days, Cleveland has played all 6 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Total is rising after the first two games of this series finished Over the Total. The value is with the Under. 10* NBA Wednesday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (505) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-03-18 |
Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 216 |
Top |
103-122 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (503) and the Golden State Warriors (504). THE SITUATION: Golden State (71-29) won the opening game of this series with their 124-114 win in overtime on Thursday over the Cavaliers as a 12.5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: These two teams had their offensive clicking in the first-half with the halftime score being a 56-56 tie. But things slowed down in the second-half — and that game only needed a flurry of baskets in the final two minutes of the game to reach 214 combined points (before overtime allowed for all Over tickets to be redeemed). Cleveland (62-29) has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while the Cavs have covered the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five games. The extended schedule should help Cleveland’s effort on defense as they Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 games when playing with two days of rest — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing just their second game in seven days. The Cavs have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. Golden State shot 51.1% from the field which was their best shooting effort in their last five games. The Warriors have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and the Under is 20-7-1 in their last 28 games after a point spread loss. The Under is also 19-6-1 in Golden State’s last 26 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Warriors were out-rebounded by a 53 to 38 margin — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after being out-rebounded by at least 15 boards. Golden State has also played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 40 of their last 65 home games Under the Total when laying 6.5 to 12 points.
FINAL TAKE: Look for Game Two to resemble the second-half on Thursday. 25* NBA Sunday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (503) and the Golden State Warriors (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-31-18 |
Cavs v. Warriors OVER 214 |
Top |
114-124 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (501) and the Golden State Warriors (502). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (62-38) reached the NBA Finals with their 87-79 upset win in Boston on Sunday as a 3.5-point underdog. Golden State (70-29) sealed their fate to make this the fourth straight meeting between these two teams in the NBA Finals with their 101-92 win in Houston on Monday as a 6-point favorite. The first two games of this series are at the Warriors’ Oracle Center.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers held the Celtics to a season-low opponent’s field goal percentage of 34.1% on Sunday — but anyone watching that game will attest that Boston’s pathetic shooting deserves most of the credit for those numbers. Cleveland has then played 12 of the last 18 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 85 points in their last game — and they have played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total after not allowing their last opponent to shoot better than 35% from the field. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 31 of their last 45 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. And while the last meeting between these two teams back on January 15th resulted in a 118-108 victory for the Warriors in Cleveland, the Cavs have then played 13 of their last 21 games Over the Total when avenging a double-digit loss. Golden State closed out their series with the Rockets by playing five straight games Under the Total. The Warriors have then played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total after playing four straight Unders. Golden State has also played a decisive 42 of their last 69 home games Over the Total when favored in the 12.5 to 18 points favorites — and this includes playing nine of their last fourteen Over the Total in that situation.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams played four straight Overs to close out the NBA Finals last year with the Total ranging from 222 in Game Two to 231 in the final Game Five. While both these are not as potent offensive units as they were last year at this time, they both should play at a fast pace once again that both teams prefer. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (501) and the Golden State Warriors (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-28-18 |
Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 209 |
|
101-92 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (511) and the Houston Rockets (512). THE SITUATION: Golden State (69-29) forced a decisive seventh game in this series on Saturday with their 115-86 victory over the Rockets. This series returns to Houston (76-22) for the climactic seventh game.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Golden State found their stroke in the second-half on Saturday en route to their 64 points scored in those final 24 minutes. The Warriors shot 49.4% from the field in that game which was the best offensive effort in their last three contests. But Golden State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, the Warriors have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when on the road. And in their last 9 games in the playoffs with the series tied at 1-1, 2-2 or 3-3, Golden State has played 7 of these games Under the Total. Houston only scored 29 points in the second-half to make the Boston Celtics’ second-half performance last night look like an offensive juggernaut — this team’s ability to score points without Chris Paul on the court is in serious question. And yet their 40.3% field goal percentage was the best offensive effort in their last four games. The Rockets have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Houston has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally. the Rockets have played 16 of their last 23 home games Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total as an underdog. Lastly, Houston has played 14 of their last 19 potential closeout games in the playoffs Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Game Seven offers a Total that is way below the mid-220s that were offered in the opening games of this series. Yet this is a battle that has seen the respective defenses of both teams have more consistent success than the offenses. 10* NBA Monday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (511) and the Houston Rockets (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-27-18 |
Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 200 |
Top |
87-79 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET own Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between Cleveland Cavaliers (711) and the Boston Celtics (712). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (61-38) forced a climactic seventh game of this series on Friday with their 109-99 win over the Celtics. This series returns to TD Garden in Boston (66-34) tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Cleveland was carried by LeBron James who scored 46 points on 17 of 33 shooting from the field who led his team to victory. George Hill added another 20 points on 7 of 12 shooting — but he is scoring only 5 PPG on 31% shooting when playing on the road in this series. Who will step up to help James with the scoring tonight? The Cavaliers have played 16 of their last 27 road games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Additionally, Cleveland has played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when tied in a playoff series. Boston made 51.4% of their shots on Friday which was their best offensive effort in their last eleven games. But they should tighten up on offense in this climactic seventh game. They have played 33 of their last 52 games Under the Total in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range — and this includes them playing 12 of their last 15 home games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.
FINAL TAKE: With the pressure of this climactic seventh game, the unreliable Cavs supporting cast combined with this young Celtics roster will likely result in a lower scoring game. 25* NBA Sunday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between Cleveland Cavaliers (711) and the Boston Celtics (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-26-18 |
Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 214 |
Top |
86-115 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (509) and the Golden State Warriors (510). THE SITUATION: Houston (76-21) seized a 3-2 lead in this series on Thursday with their 98-94 upset win over the Warriors as a 1-point underdog. This series returns to the Oracle Center with Golden State (68-29) looking to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets will be without Chris Paul in this contest who suffered a hamstring injury late in Thursday’s game. Paul was essential in that contest as he was his team’s best offensive player. James Harden is in a massive slump: he has missed 20 straight 3-pointers while making only 36.8% of his shots since the first game of this series. Houston will have to rely on their defense that has held the Warriors to under 100 points in two straight games with a series of sophisticated switching techniques that has frustrated this Golden State team. The Rockets have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games after an upset win as a home underdog. Houston has also played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a win by 6 points or less. And while the last three games in this series have gone Under the Total, the Rockets have then played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight Unders. Additionally, Houston has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road as an underdog. Golden State has been lulled into exacerbating some of the bad habits they have picked on offense this year. They are attempting to execute isolation plays at triple the rate they were during the regular season which is not the egalitarian pass-oriented offense that Steve Kerr wants from this team. The Warriors clearly miss Andre Iguodala who remains listed as questionable for tonight’s game. The Warriors have seen the Under go 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games after a point spread loss. Golden State returns home where they have played 13 of their last 20 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 20 games when playing with same-season revenge, the Warriors have played 13 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Houston is missing a key piece of their offense while Golden State is out-of-synch on offense. Yet both these teams with Top-Ten defenses during the regular season in terms of efficiency will lean on their defensive efforts in this contest. 25* NBA Saturday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (509) and the Golden State Warriors (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-25-18 |
Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 202.5 |
|
99-109 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (709) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (710). THE SITUATION: Boston (66-33) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 96-83 victory as a 1.5-point favorite. The series returns to Cleveland tonight with the Cavaliers (60-38) looking to stave off elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Brad Stevens has moved Aaron Baynes into his starting lineup for Marcus Morris which has made things more difficult for LeBron James to attack the basket off pick-and-rolls. The Celtics have then played 26 of their last 37 games Under the Total after allowing 90 or fewer points in their last game. Boston has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Celtics have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total as road underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Furthermore, Boston has played 14 of their last 18 Game Sixes in the playoffs Under the Total. Cleveland (60-38) has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a game where no more than 185 combined points were scored. Cleveland returns home where they have played 11 of their last 15 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Cavaliers have also played 25 of their last 39 games Under the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. Lastly, Cleveland has played 4 of their last 5 playoff games Under the Total when trailing in the playoffs.
FINAL TAKE: Boston shot just 36.5% from the floor on Wednesday while Cleveland made only 41.9% of their shots. Rather than those being outlier results, it looks like the adjustments by both coaches have now favored both defenses — and the public has yet to adjust to this new reality with the Total still in the 200s (and climbing as of this writing). 10* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (709) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-24-18 |
Warriors v. Rockets OVER 224 |
Top |
94-98 |
Loss |
-109 |
65 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
05-23-18 |
Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 206.5 |
|
83-96 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (707) and the Boston Celtics (708). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (60-37) held serve at home and evened this series at 2-2 with their 111-102 win over the Celtics as a 7-point favorite. This series moves to Boston (65-33) for Game Five.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Cleveland made 50.6% of their shots on Monday which was their best offensive effort in their last four games — so they will likely see a drop in their field goal per dentate tonight. The Cavaliers have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a point spread win. They also have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing no more than their fourth game in the last ten days. And while the Cavs have won seven of their last nine games, they have then played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. Additionally, Cleveland has played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. Boston allowed the Cavs to generate the highest opponent field goal percentage they have allowed in their last ten games. The Celtics have also played 5 straight games Under the Total when they have scored at least 100 points in their last game. Furthermore, Boston has played 32 of their last 51 games Under the Total in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in the last 13 meetings between these two teams in Boston, the game finished Under the Total 10 times.
FINAL TAKE: This is a likely a must-win game for the Celtics which makes this is a crucial game for both sides — and that will likely make things nervy for both teams. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (707) and the Boston Celtics (708). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-22-18 |
Rockets v. Warriors OVER 224 |
Top |
95-92 |
Loss |
-107 |
17 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (505) and the Golden State Warriors (506). THE SITUATION: Golden State (68-27) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Sunday with their dominating 126-85 victory over the Rockets. They stay at home to host Game Four.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Golden State shot 52.2% from the field while making 13 of their 32 (40.6%) of their shots from behind the arc — and they will likely keep their offense clicking on all cylinders for this game. They have played 34 of their last 41 games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points. They have also played an incredible 97 of their last 113 games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. And while they held Houston (74-21) to just a 39.5% field goal percentage, they have played 28 of their last 30 games(!) Over the Total after not allowing more than 90 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 23 of their last 27 home games Over the Total with the number set at 220 or higher. Golden State has also played 22 of their last 28 home games when favored in the 6.5 to 12 point range. Additionally, the Warriors have played 26 of their last 35 playoff games Over the Total when leading in the series — and they have played 7 of their last 10 Game Fours in the playoffs Over the number. Houston failed to score in triple digits for the first time in these playoffs while that 39.5% field goal percentage was their lowest mark in eleven games. Even worse, their Offensive Rating of 87.9 in that game was their lowest number of the entire season. But the Rockets have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a loss on the road. Houston has also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 10 points — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a loss by at least 15 points. Furthermore, the Rockets have played 29 of their last 38 games Over the Total with the number set at 220 or higher — and this includes them playing thirteen of their last eighteen games on the road with the Total set at 220 or higher. Houston has also played 19 of their last 24 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where their opponent scored at least 100 points. Lastly, in their last 5 Game Fours in the playoffs, the Rockets have played 4 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: Houston should play much better on offense in this game — especially with the Warriors’ Andre Iguodala now listed as doubtful for this game. Iguodala has been the primary defender on James Harden in this series. Golden State should continue to play well on offense at home as well which should result in the highest scoring game so far in this season. 25* NBA Western Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (505) and the Golden State Warriors (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-21-18 |
Celtics v. Cavs OVER 205.5 |
Top |
102-111 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (705) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (706). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (59-37) rebounded from losing the first two games of this series in Boston (65-32) by returning home to win Game Three decisively by a 116-86 score as a 6.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Cavaliers host Game Four.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Cleveland nailed 17 of their 34 shots from behind the arc on Saturday and the evidence is quite strong that this strong play on offense will continue tonight as demonstrated by the established personality of this team. Cleveland has played a decisive 22 of their last 25 home games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Cavaliers have also played 40 of their last 47 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range — including six straight Overs. Furthermore, Cleveland has played 16 of their last 20 home games Over the Total as a favorite laying no more than 6 points. This team has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 28 Game Fours in the playoffs, the Cavs have played 20 of these games Over the Total — including eight of their last ten Game Fours. Boston has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 13-2-1 in their last 16 games after a point spread loss. The Celtics have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss on the road by double-digits. Furthermore, Boston has played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 30 points. They made only 6 of their 22 (27.3%) shots from behind the arc en route to their 39.2% field goal percentage which was the worst offensive effort in their last nine games. The Celtics have played three straight Unders — but they have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after playing at least three straight Unders. Lastly, Boston has played 23 of their last 29 games Over the Total when playing with revenge — and this including them playing eight of their last nine games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The team trends for both these teams strongly suggest that both will have strong offensive efforts. Cleveland will be playing with desperation down 2-1 while the Celtics can still feel loose with home court still in hand even with a loss. 25* NBA Playoff A-List O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (705) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-20-18 |
Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 |
|
85-126 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (503) and the Golden State Warriors (504). THE SITUATION: Houston (74-20) evened this series at 1-1 on Wednesday with their 127-105 victory over the Warriors. The series turns to Golden State (67-27) for Game Three.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rockets shot 51.1% from the field on Wednesday which tied their best offensive field goal percentage over their last sixteen games. But Houston has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. The Rockets have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. The first two games have seen 225 and 232 combined points — but Houston has played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after seeing at least 215 points scored in each of their last two games. Now after playing their last three games on their home court, the Rockets go on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. Houston has also played 7 straight road games Under the Total after playing three straight games at home. Golden State has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 15 points — and the Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after a double-digit loss. Furthermore, the Under is 3-0-1 in the Warriors’ last 4 games after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games after a point spread setback. This team should play better on defense after surrendering their highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last twelve games. Additionally, the Under is 3-1-1 in Golden State’s last 5 games when playing with at least three days of rest. And in their last 16 opportunities to avenge a loss where they allowed at least 100 points, the game finished Under the Total 10 times.
CONCLUSION: Look for this game to be the lowest scoring one so far in this series. 10* NBA Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (503) and the Golden State Warriors (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-19-18 |
Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 207 |
|
86-116 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (703) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (704). THE SITUATION: Boston (65-31) held serve on their home court by winning Game Two of this series on Tuesday with their 107-94 victory as a 1-point favorite. Cleveland (58-37) returns home down 0-2 in this series in what appears to be a must-win situation.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers return home where they have played 6 straight games Under the Total. Cleveland has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss and after a point spread defeat. For their part, Boston has played 4 straight games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss as well as after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Celtics have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points. Now this team goes back on the road for the first time since May 7th where they lost to the 76ers by 11 points while shooting only 41.3% from the field. The Celtics have shot better than 41.4% from the field just once on the road in these playoffs. Boston has played 8 of their last 12 road games Under the Total as an underdog of 6 points or less.
CONCLUSION: The Celtics are not likely to shoot on the road while the Cavaliers typically play Unders after enduring games like they played on Tuesday. 10* NBA Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Boston Celtics (703) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-15-18 |
Cavs v. Celtics OVER 202.5 |
Top |
94-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (701) and the Boston Celtics (702). THE SITUATION: Boston (64-31) was dominant on Sunday as they crushed the Cavaliers in the opening game of the Eastern Conference Finals by a 108-83 score as a 1-point underdog. The Celtics host Game Two.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers were dreadful on offense in this game as they made only 4 of their 26 (15.4%) of their 3-point shots while shooting just 36% from the field. That was their worst field goal percentage in their last 44 games. Cleveland has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, the Cavs have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Furthermore, Cleveland has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when avenging a loss that was by at least 20 points. Boston (64-31) is not likely to play as well on defense in this contest when considering that the Cavs’ 36% field goal percentage was their lowest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 43 contests. The Celtics have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a win by at least 10 points — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win by at least 15 points. And in their last 12 games at home in TD Garden, Boston has played 10 of these games Over the Total.
CONCLUSION: This should be a close game which will drive the combined score over the number. 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (701) and the Boston Celtics (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-14-18 |
Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 225 |
|
119-106 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (731) and the Houston Rockets (732). THE SITUATION: Golden State (66-26) enters the Western Conference Finals having won five of their last six games with their 113-104 win over New Orleans last Tuesday that ended that five-game series. Houston (73-19) also closed out their five-game series with Utah on Tuesday with a 112-102 victory as a 12-point favorite. The Rockets host the first two games in this series as their reward to having the best record in the NBA.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Houston has played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games after a victory where they did not cover the point spread. The Rockets have also played 22 of their last 32 games Under the Total games after winning three of their last four games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Furthermore, Houston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. They have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total on their home court — and they have played 11 of their last 18 home games Under the Total with the number set at 220 or higher. The Rockets have also played 12 of their last 13 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Golden State (66-26) has seen the Under go 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a point spread loss — and the Under is also 21-8-1 in their last 30 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. And while the Warriors have launched at least 91 shots in five straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after attempting at least 90 shots in two straight games. Additionally, Golden State has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when on the road. Furthermore, in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Houston, the game finished Under the Total 5 times.
CONCLUSION: Expect a lower-scoring game between these two teams after five days off. 10* NBA Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (731) and the Houston Rockets (732). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-13-18 |
Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 205 |
|
83-108 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (733) and the Boston Celtics (734). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (58-35) takes the court again after sweeping Toronto in four-games after their 128-93 victory on Monday. Boston (63-31) dispatched of the 76ers in five games with their 114-112 win on Wednesday — they host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Cleveland has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. They made 12 of their 26 shots (46.2%) from behind the arc on Monday en route to them shooting 59.5% from the field which was tied for the best offensive performance in their last twenty-two games so regression is highly likely. The Cavaliers have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit victory — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Furthermore, while Cleveland has won seven of their last eight games, they have then played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. Boston has played a decisive 33 of their last 54 games Under the Total after a win by 6 points or less. They allowed the Sixers to make 48.8% of their shots on Wednesday which was their highest opponent field goal percentage in their last six games. Moving forward, the Celtics have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing at home when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Boston is looking to avenge a 121-99 upset loss at home to the Cavs on February 11th — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss as a home favorite which included three straight Unders when that loss was by double-digits. Lastly, in the last 11 meetings between these two teams in Boston’s TD Garden, the game finished Under the Total 8 times.
CONCLUSION: Expect both teams to be a bit rusty shooting the basketball given the extended time off. 10* NBA Cleveland-Boston ABC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (733) and the Boston Celtics (734). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-09-18 |
76ers v. Celtics UNDER 205 |
|
112-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (711) and the Boston Celtics (712). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (57-34) staved off elimination on Monday by defeating the Celtics by a 103-92 score to make this a 3-1 series. Boston (62-31) returns home to host Game Five at TD Garden with the opportunity to close things out.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Celtics have still won four of their last five games after their loss on Monday — and they have played 16 of their last 25 games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. Boston has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after facing an Atlantic Division rival in their last game. The Celtics have been called for 5 and 6 more personal fouls in each of the last two games in this series — and they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after being called for at least five more personal fouls in each of their last two games. Moving forward, Boston has played 4 of their last 6 playoff games Under the Total with the possibility of closing the series out. The Celtics have also played 30 of their last 48 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range — and this includes playing seven of these last nine situations Under the Total. Philadelphia has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after facing an Atlantic Divisional rival in their previous two games. And while the Sixers have launched 94 and 97 shots in their last two games, they have then played 15 of their last 24 games Under the Total after taking at least 90 shots in their last two contests. Lastly, Philly has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest.
CONCLUSION: The move to insert T.J. McDonnell into the starting lineup made things more difficult for the Celtics’ T.J. Rozier on offense — but it is hard to expect McDonnell to score 19 points again like he did on Monday when now playing in Boston with Brad Stevens making defensive adjustments to McDonnell playing in a smaller lineup along with Ben Simmons. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (711) and the Boston Celtics (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-08-18 |
Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 208.5 |
|
102-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (505) and the Houston Rockets (506). THE SITUATION: THE SITUATION: Houston (72-19) has now won five of their last six games after taking a commanding 3-1 lead in this series on Sunday with their 100-87 victory in Salt Lake City as a 6-point favorite. The Rockets return home looking to close out this series in five games.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Houston has won five of their last six games — and they have then played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total after winning at least three of their last four games. The Rockets have also played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Now, this returns home where they have played 14 of their last 19 games — and they have also played 11 of their last 14 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Houston has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. And in their last 17 opportunities to close out a playoff game, the Rockets have played 13 of these games Under the Total. Utah (53-39) has played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while the Jazz have trailed by 30 and 10 points at halftime of the last two games in this series, they have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after trailing by at least 10 points in each of their last two games. Additionally, Utah has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after failing to score at least 90 points in their last game. Injuries have hit this team with Ricky Rubio and now Dante Exum out for them in their backcourt. Over their last two games, they are shooting just 40% from the field while making only 31% of their 3-pointers which does not bode well for their offensive chances tonight against this Rockets team that is second in these playoffs in Defensive Efficiency. The Jazz have played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 22 playoff games when facing elimination, Utah has played 15 of these contests Under the Total.
CONCLUSION: Utah will need to slow the pace of this game down to stay competitive given their struggles on offense. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (505) and the Houston Rockets (506). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-07-18 |
Raptors v. Cavs OVER 214 |
Top |
93-128 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (503) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (504). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (57-35) has taken a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Saturday with their 105-103 victory as a 4.5-point favorite over the Raptors. They host Game Four with the opportunity to close this series out.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers raced out to a 55-40 lead at halftime on Saturday before holding on for that victory. Cleveland has then played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after leading at halftime by at least 15 points in their last game. The Cavaliers have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Cleveland has won four straight games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in four of their last six games. The Cavs have played 26 of their last 38 home games Over the Total after only covering the point spread once or twice in their last six games. Cleveland has also played 6 of their last 9 playoff games Over the Total when playing with the possibility of closing out the series with a win. Toronto (63-28) has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread win — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss by 3 points or less. Additionally, the Raptors have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total as a road underdog of 6 points or less. Toronto has played has lost five games in a row to the Cavaliers going back to the regular season. The Raptors have then played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total when playing with triple revenge — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when facing an opponent that they have lost to at least four times in a row. Lastly, Toronto has played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total in the playoffs when facing elimination.
CONCLUSION: Expect a high-scoring game with the Raptors playing like they did in the second-half where they scored 63 points with the pressure off after digging a likely insurmountable hole in this series. 25* NBA 2nd Round Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (503) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (504). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-06-18 |
Warriors v. Pelicans OVER 231 |
Top |
118-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 3:35 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (705) and the New Orleans Pelicans (706). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (53-36) made this a series on Friday by crushing the Warriors by a 119-100 score as a 4.5-point underdog. They host Game Four in the Big Easy.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Golden State (64-26) should bounce-back with a much better effort after being pretty lethargic with the comfort of their 2-0 lead in this series. The Warriors shot just 38% from the field which was the worst offensive effort in their last four games — and they made just 9 of their 31 (29.0%) of their 3-point shots. Golden State has played 18 of their last 20 games Over the Total after an upset loss. The Warriors’ 26 free throws in Game Three were 14 more opportunities at the charity stripe — and they have played 24 of their last 33 games Over the Total after attempting at least 10 more free throws than their opponent in their last game. Golden State has also played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. Moving forward, the Warriors have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when not playing more than their fifth game in fourteen days. Golden State has played 27 of their last 41 games Over the Total when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range — and they have also played 31 of their last 47 games Over the Total as a road favorite laying no more than 6 points. Furthermore, the Warriors have played 30 of their last 38 games Over the Total with the number at the lofty 230 or higher point range — and this includes them playing thirteen of their last eighteen games Over the Total when on the road. New Orleans (53-36) has played 4 straight home games Over the Total with the Total set at 230 or higher. They have also played 21 of their last 27 home games Over the Total after a double-digit win. And in the Pelicans’ last 13 games after a win by at least 15 points, they have played 10 of these games Over the Total.
CONCLUSION: New Orleans should continue to feed off the energy of their crowd — which is why I am passing on the side play with the Pelicans being a home dog (though I lean to the Warriors). This is an instance where just taking the Over seems prudent. 25* NBA 2nd Round ABC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (705) and the New Orleans Pelicans (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-18 |
Raptors v. Cavs OVER 216 |
|
103-105 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (703) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (704). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (56-35) returns home after taking a 2-0 lead in this series on Thursday with their 128-110 win over the Raptors as a 7-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers made 11 of their 26 (42.3%) from behind the arc en route to their 59.5% shooting percentage on Thursday — and they should keep up their good offensive mojo returning home. Cleveland has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after shooting at least 55% from the field in their last game. The Cavaliers have also played 4 straight games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, Cleveland has played 13 of their last 21 games Over the Total after scoring at least 120 points in their last game. And in their last 4 games after winning their last two games on the road, the Cavaliers have played 3 of these games Over the Total. Toronto (63-27) has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after an upset loss a home as the favorite — and they have also played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Furthermore, the Raptors have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. Toronto goes on the road where they have played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. And in their last 9 opportunities to avenge a loss at home, the Raptors have played 7 of these games Over the Total. In fact, while Toronto has lost their last eight meetings with the Cavs, they have then played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with at least triple revenge.
CONCLUSION: Expect another high-scoring game between these two teams. 10* NBA Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (703) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-04-18 |
Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 210 |
Top |
113-92 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (515) and the Utah Jazz (516). THE SITUATION: Utah (53-37) evened this series at 1-1 with their 116-108 upset win in Houston as a 10.5-point underdog on Wednesday. The Jazz now return home to Salt Lake City to host Game Three tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Utah has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after pulling off an upset win on the road as a double-digit underdog. The Jazz were on-fire with their shooting on Wednesday as they made 15 of their 32 (46.9%) shots from bind the arc. Their 51.8% field goal percentage in that game was their best shooting performance in their last five games. Utah returns home where they have played 13 of their last 20 home games with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. The Jazz have also played 6 of their last 9 home games as an underdog of 6 points or less. Utah has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Houston (70-19) needs to tighten things up on defense after allowing this Jazz team to make at least 50% of their shots in the first two games of this series — and that came after allowing Minnesota to shoot 50.6% from the field in their close out game with the Timberwolves in their previous playoff series. Utah has played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing their last two opponents to shoot at least 50% of their shots — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing their last three opponents to shoot at least 50% from the field. Additionally, the Rockets have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a double-digit favorite at home. Houston goes back on the road after playing their last three games at home — and they have played 10 of their last 11 road games Under the Total after playing their last three games at home. And while the Rockets have scored at least 105 points in five straight games — and they have then played 11 of their last 14 road games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. Lastly, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when avenging an upset loss as a double-digit home favorite.
CONCLUSION: Expect the third game of this series to be lowest scoring game so far between these two teams in the playoffs. 25* NBA 2nd Round ESPN Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (515) and the Utah Jazz (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-03-18 |
76ers v. Celtics OVER 205.5 |
Top |
103-108 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (509) and the Boston Celtics (510). THE SITUATION: Boston (60-30) won the opening game of this series on Monday with their 117-101 upset win versus Philadelphia (56-32) as a 4.5-point favorite. The Celtics host Game Two.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Boston has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, the Celtics have played 7 straight games Over the Total after an upset win as a home underdog. Boston has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a win on their home court. They held the Sixers to just a 42.2% field goal percentage which was their best defensive effort in their last three games — so that is area that should see some regression. Furthermore, the Celtics have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total on their home court. Philadelphia (56-32) made only 5 of their last 26 (19.2%) shots from behind the arc despite averaging 11 made shots from behind the arc with a 37.4% shooting percentage from 3-point land on the road. Yet despite that poor shooting effort, they still scored 101 points. The 76ers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 17 of their last 23 road games Over the Total as the favorite. Lastly, Philly has played 23 of their last 34 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 200 to 209.5 point range.
CONCLUSION: Expect another higher-scoring game between these two teams with Philly likely to play much better on offense and Boston happy to play at their pace while launching plenty of 3s. 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (509) and the Boston Celtics (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-03-18 |
Cavs v. Raptors OVER 213 |
|
128-110 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 6:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (511) and the Toronto Raptors (512). THE SITUATION: Toronto (63-26) let the Cavaliers off the hook on Tuesday as they missed their last eleven shots in regulation time before losing in overtime by a 113-112 score as a 7-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Cleveland (55-35) won that game despite LeBron James making only 12 of his 30 shots from the field. His teammates picked up the slack as the Cavaliers made 14 of their 35 shots (40%) from behind the arc. Cleveland also played their best defensive game in their last thirteen games by holding the Raptors to just a 42.9% field goal percentage. With the Cavs closing out the Pacers in seven games with their 105-101 win on Sunday, they have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning their last two games by 6 points or less. Cleveland has also played a decisive 41 of their last 69 games Over the Total after a game where at least 225 combined points were scored. And in their last 44 road games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range, the Cavaliers have played 30 of these games Over the Total. Toronto (63-26) has played 10 straight home games Over the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite — and they have also played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a loss at home. Furthermore, the Raptors have played 32 of their last 49 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss where they allowed at least 110 points. Toronto has also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on their home court. And while the Cavs’ 41.2% field goal percentage was the highest mark that the Raptors have allowed in their last three games, Toronto has then played 22 of the last 31 games Over the Total afternoon allowing their last three opponents shoot at least 43% from the field.
CONCLUSION: Overtime was needed to reach the Over on Tuesday but expect a higher scoring game tonight. 10* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (511) and the Toronto Raptors (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-02-18 |
Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 207 |
Top |
116-108 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (507) and the Houston Rockets (508). THE SITUATION: Houston (70-18) won the opening game of this series on Sunday by a 110-96 score as an 11.5-point favorite. The Rockets dominated that game from the jump and held a 27-point lead at one point in the first-half while cruising to an easy victory.
REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Utah (52-37) needs to play much better on the defensive end of the court while making adjustments so that Rudy Gobert is roaming the middle again to protect the rim. Gobert did not block a shot on Saturday while Houston and too many easy shot attempts inside. The Jazz have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. They also have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Utah did make 50% of their shots in Game One which was the best offensive effort in their last four games. Despite being without Ricky Rubio, the Jazz collected 20 team assists that resulted in 38 field goals in that game — and it is difficult seeing them performing much better on offense despite that only producing 96 points with Rubio out indefinitely with a hamstring injury. Utah has played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Houston nailed 17 of their 32 (53.1%) of their 3-pointers on Saturday so they are due for an appearance from the Regression Gods in that aspect of their hame. The Rockets have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a straight up win — and they have played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Furthermore, Houston has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Houston has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. The Rockets have also played 18 of their last 24 home games Under the Total including six of their last seven games against teams with a losing record on the road.
CONCLUSION: The adjustments in Game Two should favor the defensive end of the court for both teams leading to a lower scoring game. 25* NBA 2nd Round Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (507) and the Houston Rockets (508). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-01-18 |
Pelicans v. Warriors OVER 227.5 |
|
116-121 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (709) and the Golden State Warriors (710). THE SITUATION: Golden State (63-25) easily won the opening game of this series on Saturday with their 123-101 win over the Pelicans as a 7.5-point favorite. The Warriors are likely to get Stephen Curry back for Game Two tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: New Orleans (52-35) should rebound with a better scoring performance after shooting just 43.8% from the field which was the worst offensive effort in their last thirteen games. The Pelicans have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. New Orleans has also played 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. Furthermore, the Pelicans have played 21 of their last 31 games Over the Total after allowing at least 115 points in their last game. And in their last 9 games when playing no more than their fifth game in the last fourteen days, New Orleans has played 8 of these games Over the Total. Golden State should get a boost on offense with Curry back on the floor — he has averaged 28.3 PPG in his last three games in his first contest back from an extended time off due to an injury. As it is, the Warriors have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in the Warriors’ last 7 games on their home court. And in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Golden State, the game finished Over the Total 5 times.
CONCLUSION: The Total is posted this high for a reason between these two teams that love to push the pace. 10* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (709) and the Golden State Warriors (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-01-18 |
Cavs v. Raptors OVER 214.5 |
|
113-112 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (557) and the Toronto Raptors (558). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (54-35) takes the court again after surviving their seven-game series with the Pacers on Sunday with their 105-101 victory as a 5.5-point favorite. Toronto (63-25) hosts this game after defeating the Wizards in Washington on Friday in their 102-92 win as a 2-point favorite to close out that six-game series.
THE REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Toronto held the Wizards to just a 40.5% shooting percentage which was the best defensive effort in their last nine games so the Cavaliers are likely to produce a better field goal percentage tonight. The Raptors have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Toronto has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. And in their last 21 games on their home court when playing their second game in five days, they have played 16 of these games Over the Total. Cleveland has played 5 of their last 7 games in the Eastern Conference Semifinals Over the Total. The Cavaliers have also played 29 of their last 43 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. And in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times.
CONCLUSION: Both these teams will engage each other in the up-tempo pace that both prefer to play. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (557) and the Toronto Raptors (558). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-30-18 |
76ers v. Celtics OVER 205 |
Top |
101-117 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (555) and the Boston Celtics (556). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (56-31) gets back to the court for the first time since last Tuesday when they eliminated Miami in five games with their 104-91 victory as a 10-point favorite. Boston (59-30) has a quick turnaround after defeating Milwaukee on Saturday in Game Seven of that series by a 112-96 score as a 5-point favorite.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Philadelphia (56-31) played their best defensive game in terms of opponent field goal percentage in their last game by holding the Heat to just a 38.6% shooting percentage. That defensive effort helped that game finish below the 215.5 point Total — but the 76ers have played 28 of their last 43 road games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Philadelphia has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. And in their last 22 road games as the favorite, the 76ers have played 16 of these games Over the Total. Boston (59-30) should come out smoking in regards to their shooting after making 53.6% of their shots on Saturday. The Celtics have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, Boston has 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit win at home. And in their last 8 games on their home court, the Celtics have played 7 of these games Over the Total.
CONCLUSION: While the Total for this game is dropping after initially being installed at 210, that line movement is going the wrong way. The Celtics will be without Jaylen Brown who is dealing with a hamstring injury — but it is his absence which has led to the line dropping. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (555) and the Boston Celtics (556). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-29-18 |
Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 199 |
Top |
101-105 |
Loss |
-102 |
3 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 1:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (705) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (706). THE SITUATION: Indiana (51-37) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Friday when they destroyed the Cavaliers by a 121-87 score as a 1.5-point favorite. Game Seven returns to Cleveland (53-35).
REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Indiana made 15 of their 30 shots from behind the arc en route to their 56.3% field goal percentage on Friday which was the best shooting performance in their last 58 games. Expect those numbers to decline significantly when playing on the road under the pressure of a Game Seven. As it is, the Pacers shoot only 46.8% with a 36.2% mark from 3-point land when on the road. The Under is 19-6-1 in Indiana’s last 26 games on the road. Indiana has also played 12 of their last 13 games Under the Total after scoring at least 120 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Pacers have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Additionally, Indiana has played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Cleveland has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, the Cavs have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss as well as a point spread loss. Cleveland should play better on defense after enduring their highest opponent’s field goal percentage in their last 35 games. The Cavs have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. But while Cleveland shot just 41.8% from the field on Friday, that was actually a better shooting mark than their 41.3% field goal percentage at home in Game Five. The Cavaliers have played 4 straight home games Under the Total.
CONCLUSION: The Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 games between these two teams — including going 3-0-1 in the last 4 games played in Cleveland. Expect these team trends to continue this afternoon. 25* NBA 1st Round ABC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (705) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-28-18 |
Pelicans v. Warriors OVER 226 |
Top |
101-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (551) and the Golden State Warriors (552). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (52-34) reached the Western Conference Semifinals by sweeping Portland in four games after their 131-123 win last Saturday. Golden State (62-25) defeated San Antonio in five games with their 99-91 win over the Spurs on Tuesday. Stephen Curry took part in practice to prepare for this game but he is officially listed as questionable.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: The Pelicans were unstoppable on offense against the Trail Blazers as they made 57% of their shots in their close out game which was their third straight game where they made at least 51.2% of their shots. New Orleans has played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after shooting at least 50% from the field in two straight games. The Pelicans have also played 20 of their last 31 games Over the Total after allowing at least 115 points in their last game — and they have played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a game where at least 235 combined points were scored. Furthermore, New Orleans has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. The extended break should help the Pelicans offensive flow as well — they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. Golden State (62-25) has played 12 of their last 20 games Over the Total when playing with at least three days of rest. And while the Warriors have not covered the point spread in two straight games, they have then played 16 of their last 27 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. Additionally, the Over is 4-1-1 in Golden State’s last 6 games on their home court. And in their last 7 games in the Western Conference Semifinals, they have played 5 of these games Over the Total.
CONCLUSION: Even if Curry does not play tonight, the Warriors should be quite content to engage the Pelicans in an up-tempo game in which they feel they have the advantage over every team in the league. 25* NBA Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (551) and the Golden State Warriors (552). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-28-18 |
Bucks v. Celtics OVER 196 |
|
96-112 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (701) and the Boston Celtics (702). THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (47-41) forced a climactic seventh game in this series with their 97-86 victory over the Celtics on Thursday as a 4.5-point favorite. Game Seven returns to Boston’s TD Garden.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OVER: Milwaukee (47-41) has consistently proven they can make baskets against the Celtics as their 50.7% field goal percentage on Thursday was the fourth time in their last five games in this series where they shot at least that from the field. The Bucks have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, Milwaukee has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road. The Total has dropped to the mid-190s in this game after the last two games finished Under the Total which is the lowest Total in this series.
|
04-27-18 |
Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 203 |
|
87-121 |
Loss |
-104 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (511) and the Indiana Pacers (512). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (53-34) has the opportunity to close out this series tonight after taking a 3-2 lead on Wednesday with their 98-95 win over the Pacers as a 6.5-point favorite. Both of these teams have played six straight games Under the Total with all five of the games in this series finishing below the number.
REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: It can be dangerous to assume that the Under trend will continue just because the previous games in an NBA Playoff series cashed Under tickets. The oddsmakers are adjusting with Game One listed in the 212.5 point range and this game roughly 9 points lower. But a contrarian Over play can be just as simplistic a conclusion. Indiana (50-37) has played 22 of their last 33 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight Unders — and this is the type of team trend we want to look for to decipher how the specific teams will react to this unique situation. The Pacers shot 47.9% from the field on Wednesday which was their best shooting effort in their last three games. Victor Oladipo is enduring a cold streak as he is scoring only 15.7 PPG over those last three games while making just 24% of his shots. Indiana has played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, the Pacers have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total on their home court. Indiana has also played 18 of their last 23 games Under the Total when avenging a same-season loss. Cleveland has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. LeBron Games was super-human on Wednesday — but he is getting almost no help from his teammates at this point. His championship veterans Kevin Love and J.R. Smith combined to make only 2 of 19 shots in that game and his new trade deadline teammates have failed to step up in these playoffs. The Cavs made only 41.3% of their shots in Game Five despite James scoring 44 points. These two teams have played 5 straight Unders when playing at Indiana.
CONCLUSION: 10* play with the Under. Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-18 |
Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 201 |
Top |
86-97 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (501) and the Milwaukee Bucks (502). THE SITUATION: Boston (58-29) looks to close out this series tonight on the road in perhaps the last game ever to be played in the Bradley Center after taking a 3-2 lead in this series by a 92-87 score as a 4.5-point favorite. The Celtics got Marcus Smart back in that game and not only is one of the team’s best defensive players but he has been described as “kind of like the soul of our team” by fellow veteran Al Horford.” Milwaukee (46-41) returns home as the favorite looking to stave off elimination and force a decisive seventh game of this series. The Celtics and Bucks had played five straight and eight straight Overs respectively before Game Five finished below the Total that closed in the 202.5 range.
THE REASONS TO TAKE THE UNDER: Boston has played 24 of their last 35 games Under the Total after allowing 90 points or less in their last game. The Celtics have also played 15 of their last 19 Game Sixes in the NBA Playoffs Under the Total — so their history suggests a lower scoring defensive struggle. The insertion of Smart into the rotation is very significant as he can defend the Bucks’ Khris Middleton who has been one of Milwaukee’s two consistent offensive players in this series. The other reliable offensive player for the Bucks has been Giannis Antetokounmpo — but Brad Stevens made an interesting switch in Game Five by starting his rookie big man Semi Ojeleye to defend the Greek Freak. Ojeleye played 40 possessions on Antetokounmpo which accounted for half the game while holding him to a series-low 16 points. Ojeleye’s insertion into the lineup is a game-changer for the Celtics as it created smaller lineups with Greg Monroe pushed out the rotation while Stevens avoided playing Aron Bynes along with Al Horford at the same time. These moves gave the Celtics flexibility on defense for the first time in this series as all five players on the court could switch of screens without needing help. Milwaukee had shot at least 52.1% from the field in Games Two through Four in this series but those look like outlier performances to the 109 Points Per 100 Possession scoring rate that ranked 13th in the NBA during the regular season. I expect points to be hard to come by again for this team. The Bucks have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring no more than 90 points in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where no more than 185 combined points were scored. Prunty does have this team playing better defense. The Celtics shot 42% from the floor in their winning effort on Tuesday which was their highest field goal percentage in their last three games.
CONCLUSION: Expect the pressure of a elimination/close out game to negatively impact the shooting of both these teams — and with the Total still in the low 200s, the line has not adjusted to what looks to be the new reality of this series. 25* NBA 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (501) and the Milwaukee Bucks (502). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-24-18 |
Heat v. 76ers OVER 215 |
|
91-104 |
Loss |
-106 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (703) and the Philadelphia 76ers (704). Philadelphia (55-31) returns home with the opportunity to close out this series after their 106-102 win over the Heat on Saturday. The 76ers made only 42.9% of their shots in that win which was their second lowest field goal percentage in their last twenty-two games. The 76ers also only converted 7 of their 31 shots from behind the arc for a low 22.6% mark from 3-point land. Philly should shoot much better from the field tonight. As it is, the 76ers have played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total after a win on the road. Philadelphia has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning their last two games on the road. Furthermore, the Sixers have played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest.
Miami (45-41) shot only 43.6% from the field on Saturday which was their worst offensive effort in their last four games. The Heat have now lost five of their last seven games — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. Miami has also played 10 of their last 14 road games Over the Total. Furthermore, the Heat have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. 10* NBA Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (703) and the Philadelphia 76ers (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-23-18 |
Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 208.5 |
|
96-113 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (511) and the Utah Jazz (512). Oklahoma City (49-36) looks to bounce-back from a 115-102 loss to the Jazz on Saturday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Thunder allowed Utah to make 52.5% of their shots which was their worst defensive effort in their last thirteen games. Oklahoma City should clamp down on defense tonight as they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. The Thunder have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Additionally, OKC has played 8 of the last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last contest. The Thunder stay on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. Oklahoma City has also played 27 of their last 39 road games Under the Total as an underdog.
Utah (50-35) enjoyed their best offensive effort in their last four games by making 52.5% of their shots on Saturday — so some regression is to be expected. Additionally, the Jazz have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams that scored at least 100 points in their last game. Utah has also played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, while the Thunder out-rebound their opponents by +3.4 RPG, the Jazz have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams that out-rebound their opponents by at least +3.0 RPG. Lastly, in the last 9 meetings between these two teams in Salt Lake City, the game finished Under the Total 8 times. 20* NBA Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (511) and the Utah Jazz (512). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-23-18 |
Rockets v. Wolves UNDER 218 |
|
119-100 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (509) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (510). Minnesota (48-37) has won four of their last six games with their 121-105 upset win over the Rockets on Saturday as a 5.5-point favorite. The Timberwolves have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after an upset double-digit victory as a home underdog. Minnesota has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit win. And in their last 6 games after a point spread victory, the Timberwolves have played 5 of these games Under the Total. And in their last 6 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game, Minnesota has played 5 of these games Under the Total.
Houston (67-18) has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit upset loss. The Rockets have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 straight games Under there Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Houston has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. And in their last 28 games after winning two of their last three games, they have played 20 of these games Under the Total. The Rockets stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total. Furthermore, Houston has seen the Under go a decisive 27-13-2 in their last 42 games on the road against teams with a winning record on their home court. 20* NBA Houston-Minnesota O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (509) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (510). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-21-18 |
Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 208.5 |
Top |
102-115 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (723) and the Utah Jazz (724). Utah (49-35) evened this series at one game apiece with their 102-95 upset win in Portland on Wednesday as a 3.5-point underdog. The Jazz return home for this first time since April 10th after playing three straight games on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total after being on the road for at least the last seven days. Utah has also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing their last three games on the road. The Jazz have also played 12 of the last 16 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest — and this includes them playing eight of their last nine games Under the Total when playing on their home court with two days of rest. Additionally, Utah has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 12 of their last 17 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. Furthermore, the Under is 20-8-1 in the Jazz’s last 29 games against fellow Northwest Division opponents.
Oklahoma City (49-35) played their best defensive game in their last ten games by limiting the Jazz to just a 41.7% field goal percentage — and they should continue to play well on the defensive end of the court. The Thunder have then played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite — and this includes playing seven straight Unders off an upset loss as a home favorite to a fellow Northwest Division rival. Oklahoma City has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Additionally, the Thunder have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now OKC goes on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total. The Thunder have also played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total against fellow Northwest Division opponents. And as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points, Oklahoma City has played 23 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, the Thunder have played 13 of their last 17 road games Under the Total when attempting to avenge an upset loss as a road favorite. And in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Utah, the game finished Under the Total all 8 times. 25* NBA Northwest Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder (723) and the Utah Jazz (724). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-21-18 |
76ers v. Heat OVER 212.5 |
|
106-102 |
Loss |
-107 |
1 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 2:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (717) and the Miami Heat (718). Philadelphia (54-31) got 23 surprise points from Joel Embiid on Thursday who finally returned to the court after missing time with his head injury en route to their easy 128-108 victory over the Heat as a 2-point favorite. The 76ers shot 50.6% from the field while nailing 18 of their 34 shots (52.9%) from behind the arc. Philadelphia should keeping rolling with their dynamic offensive prowess as they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a victory by at least 20 points. The 76ers have also played 5 of their last 7 games are a straight-up win — and they have played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a win on the road. Additionally, the Sixers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Philly has stayed on the road for Game Four where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have played 16 of their last 21 road games Over the Total as the favorite.
Miami (45-40) shot 45.2% from the field in this loss despite only getting 21 combined points from their shooting guard trip of Tyler Johnson, Dwyane Wade and Wayne Ellington. The Heat have played 4 straight home games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. The Over is also 13-6-1 in Miami’s last 20 games against an opponent that scored at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, the Heat have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. And in their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, Miami has played 4 of these games Over the Total. 10* NBA Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia 76ers (717) and the Miami Heat (718). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-20-18 |
Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 206 |
|
92-116 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
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At 9:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (715) and the Milwaukee Bucks (716). Boston (57-27) has won three straight games after winning the second game of this series on Tuesday with their 120-106 victory at home as a 1-point underdog. That victory came on the heels of their 113-107 win at home in the first game of this series. The Celtics have then played 3 of the last 4 games Under the Total after seeing at least 215 combined points scored in their last two games. Boston has also played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning their last two games at home — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning their last three games at home. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 22 of their last 33 road games Under the Total in the second-half of the season. And in their last 26 games in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals, the Celtics have played 18 of these games Under the Total. 10* NBA play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank. TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.
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04-20-18 |
Raptors v. Wizards OVER 218 |
|
103-122 |
Win
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100 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
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At 8:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (713) and the Washington Wizards (714). Washington (43-41) has lost three straight games — as well as seven of their last eight games — with their 130-119 loss to the Raptors in the second game of this series as a 7-point underdog. The Wizards have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a double-digit loss. Additionally, the Over is 21-8-1 in Washington’s last 30 games after a point spread loss — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 125 points in their last contest. Head coach Scott Brooks is entertaining take out center Marcin Gortat and replace him with the 6’8 Mike Scott. Gortat has struggled on both ends of the court — and replacing him for Scott to play more small-ball will likely result in higher scoring games. The Wizards return home for their first game since April 10th — and they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total after being on the road for at least seven days. Bradley Beal has made only 11 of 28 shots from the field in this series — he should play better back at Capital One Arena. Washington has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after losing six or seven of their last eight games. Furthermore, the Wizards have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
Toronto (61-23) has now won six of their last seven games — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. The Raptors have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in Toronto’s last 7 games when playing with two days of rest. Now the Raptors go on the road where they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Toronto has also played 9 of their last 14 road games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 10* NBA Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Raptors (713) and the Washington Wizards (714). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-20-18 |
Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 209.5 |
Top |
90-92 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
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At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (711) and the Indiana Pacers (712). Cleveland (51-33) raced out to a 16-1 lead in the opening minutes of Game Two of this series on Wednesday — and they held on to win that game by a 100-97 score as an 8.5-point favorite. The Cavaliers have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Cleveland has also played 11 of their last 15 games after a win on their home court where they failed to cover the point spread as a favorite. The Cavs shot 50.7% from the field while nailing 11 of their 28 (39.3%) shots from behind the arc — yet they scored 10 points below their 110.4 PPG season scoring average. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Over is also 4-0-1 in Cleveland’s last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
Indiana (49-35) has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Pacers have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total when attempting to avenge a loss on the road against their opponent. Furthermore, the Under is 24-7-1 in Indiana’s last 32 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now this team returns home where they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total. And in their last 8 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Pacers have played 7 of these games Under the Total. 25* NBA Central Division Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (711) and the Indiana Pacers (712). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-19-18 |
Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 207 |
Top |
110-97 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
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At 9:35 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (527) and the San Antonio Spurs (528). Golden State (60-24) seized a 2-0 lead in this series on Monday with their 116-101 win as an 8.5-point favorite. The Warriors made 52.6% of their shots in that game after making 54.3% of their shots in Game One of this series fueled by them nailing 15 of their 31 (48.4%) of their shots from behind the arc. Golden State is likely to get a visit from the Regression Gods tonight in regards to their shooting — especially with them playing on the road where they see their 3-point shooting drop to a 37.7% clip as compared to their 39.3% 3-point shooting mark for the season. The Warriors have played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where they made at least 50% of their shots. The Under is also 19-7-1 in Golden State’s last 27 games after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Warriors have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Golden State won the opening game of this series by a 113-92 score — and they have then played 35 of their last 57 games Under the Total after winning their last two games by double-digits. Now the Warriors go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court.
San Antonio (47-37) has now lost three games in a row as well as five of their last seven contests. The Spurs have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after losing five or six of their last seven games. Game Two finished well above the 205.5 point total — and San Antonio has also played 13 of their last 18 games on their home court Under the Total after game that finished Over the Total. Additionally, the Spurs have seen the Under the Total go 12-5-1 in their last 18 games when playing with two days of rest. San Antonio has also played 4 of their last 5 games when avenging two straight double-digit losses to their opponent. Now the Spurs return home where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total. San Antonio has also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 21 home games Under the Total with the Total set in the 200 to 209.5 point range. 25* NBA 1st Round Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (527) and the San Antonio Spurs (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-19-18 |
Blazers v. Pelicans UNDER 215.5 |
|
102-119 |
Loss |
-113 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
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At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (525) and the New Orleans Pelicans (526). New Orleans (50-34) returns home with a commanding 2-0 lead in this series after their 111-102 upset win over the Trail Blazers on Tuesday as a 6.5-point underdog. The Pelicans have been led by guard Jru Holliday who scored 33 points and added 9 assists in that Game Two win — but it has been his play on defense that has really made the difference. Holliday has been suffocating in his defense on Portland’s Damian Lillard. Lillard and his backcourt partner, C.J. McCollum have combined to score only 29 baskets in this series. This shapes up to be another relatively lower-scoring game. New Orleans has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. The Pelicans have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against an opponent that scored at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, while New Orleans has covered the point spread in seven straight games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in at least five straight contests. They return home where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their salt 12 games against teams with a winning record, the Under is 9-2-1.
Portland (49-35) has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Trail Blazers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Now Portland goes back on the road where they have played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Trail Blazers have played all 6 games Under the Total. 10* NBA Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Portland Trail Blazers (525) and the New Orleans Pelicans (526). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-18-18 |
Wolves v. Rockets UNDER 215 |
|
82-102 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
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At 9:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (521) and the Houston Rockets (522). Minnesota (47-36) was able to slow down the Rockets dynamic offense on Sunday in their 104-101 loss in the opening game of this series as an 11.5-point underdog. Houston made just 10 of their 37 shots (27%) from behind the arc in that game. Granted, James Harden scored 44 points with many of those points coming from layups — but head coach Tom Thibodeau has to be pleases with the Rockets only scoring ten fewer points than what they average at home. The Timberwolves have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win. Minnesota has also played 5 straight games Under the Total with two days of rest and preparation. Additionally, while the Timberwolves have covered the point spread in five straight games, they have then played 8 straight games on the road Under the Total after covering then point spread in at least four straight games. Furthermore, Minnesota has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing away from home.
Houston (66-17) has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a win at home where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. The Rockets have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Houston stays at home for the second game of this series where they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total. Lastly, Houston has played 13 of the last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. 20* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (521) and the Houston Rockets (522). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-18-18 |
Pacers v. Cavs OVER 212.5 |
|
97-100 |
Loss |
-107 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
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At 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (517) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (518). Cleveland (50-33) looks to bounce-back from an embarrassing 98-80 upset loss to Indiana despite being a 7-point favorite on Sunday. The Cavaliers have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Cleveland has also played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a double-digit upset loss as a home favorite. Additionally, the Cavaliers have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. And in their last 34 opportunities to avenge a loss, Cleveland has played 22 of those games Over the Total.
Indiana (49-34) has won eight of their last eleven games with their upset win on Sunday. The Pacers have then played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a double-digit win over a Central Division rival. Indiana certainly did not overachieve on the offensive end of the court in that game — they shot only 45.6% from the field which included shooting 11 of 28 (39.3%) of their shots from behind the arc. The Pacers are making 36.9% of their 3-point shots this season so their Sunday performance was propelled by them making just one more 3-pointer than what their averages would suggest. Moving forward, Indiana has played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing just their second game in seven days. And in their last 9 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points, the Pacers have played 6 of these games Over the Total. 10* NBA Indiana-Cleveland TNT O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (517) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-17-18 |
Pelicans v. Blazers OVER 214 |
|
111-102 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
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At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (709) and the Portland Trail Blazers (710). New Orleans (49-34) looks to take a commanding 2-0 lead in this series after their 97-95 upset win over the Trail Blazers on Saturday as a 5-point underdog. The Pelicans have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after an upset victory as a road underdog. New Orleans has now won and covered the point spread in six straight games. The Pelicans have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games — and they have also played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. New Orleans shot 47.7% from the field in Saturday by they made only 8 of their 24 shots (33.3%) from behind the arc.
Portland (49-34) shot only 31.9% of their shots in the first-half on Saturday and went into the locker room with a 45-36 deficit. The Trail Blazers outscored the Pelicans by a 59-52 score in the second-half — and if this game is played at that scoring pace tonight, this game will see a score finish well Over the Total. The Trail Blazers made only 12 of their 39 shots (30.8%) from behind the arc after a terrible first-half where they made only 3 of their 17 shots from 3-point land. Portland has played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Trail Blazers have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Lastly, in games in the month of April with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range, when the home team comes off a loss on their home court, these games finished Over the Total in 46 of the last 66 situations (70%) where these conditions applied. 10* NBA Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Pelicans (709) and the Portland Trail Blazers (710). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-17-18 |
Wizards v. Raptors OVER 213.5 |
|
119-130 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
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At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (705) and the Toronto Raptors (706). Washington (43-40) has lost six of their last seven games with their 114-106 loss to the Raptors on Saturday as a 7.5-point underdog. The Wizards have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Washington has also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after losing six or seven of their last eight games. Now the Wizards stay on the road for their third straight game — and they have played 39 of their last 49 games Over the Total when playing at least their third straight game on the road. Additionally, the Over is 3-1-1 in Washington’s last 5 games on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on their home court. Furthermore, the Wizards have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
Toronto (60-23) has now scored at least 108 points in four straight games after their win on Saturday. The Raptors have then played 18 of their last 29 games Over the Total after scoring at least 105 points in three straight games. Toronto has now covered the point spread in five of their last six games — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four of their last five contests. Additionally, the Raptors have played 10 of their last 11 home games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. And in their last 7 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, Toronto has played 6 of these games Over the Total. 20* NBA Washington-Toronto NBA-TV Special with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (705) and the Toronto Raptors (706). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-16-18 |
Spurs v. Warriors OVER 204 |
|
101-116 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 0 m |
Show
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At 10:35 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (703) and the Golden State Warriors (704). San Antonio (47-36) shot only 40% from the field on Saturday in their 113-92 loss to Golden State as a 7.5-point favorite. The Spurs should shoot much better tonight. They have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 15 points — and they have played 3 of their last 4 games Over the Total after a loss on the road by at least 20 points. Furthermore, the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss while the Over his also 3-1-1 in their last 5 game after a loss by at least 10 points. Additionally, San Antonio has played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total on the road when avenging a loss by at least 20 points. They stay on the road tonight where the Over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games away from home — and the Over is also 5-0-1 in their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home.
Golden State (59-24) has won two of their last three games with their win on Saturday. The Warriors host Game Two again in the Oracle Center — and the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, the Over is 3-1-1 in Golden State’s last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. The Over is also 3-1-1 in the Warriors’ last 5 games in the Western Conference Quarterfinals. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Oakland, the Over is 5-1-1. 20* NBA Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (703) and the Golden State Warriors (704). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-16-18 |
Heat v. 76ers UNDER 217 |
|
113-103 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 2 m |
Show
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At 8:05 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (701) and the Philadelphia 76ers (702). Philadelphia (53-30) has won seventeen straight games after they pulled away in the second-half on Saturday in their 130-103 victory over Miami. The 76ers nailed 18 of 28 (64.3%) of their shots from behind the arc to overwhelm the Heat in that game. But Philadelphia has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. That win came on the heels of the 76ers’ 130-95 victory over the Milwaukee to close out the regular season last Wednesday. The 76ers have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 215 combined points were scored. Additionally, the 76ers have played a decisive 32 of their last 44 games Under the Total at home after covering at least their last two games as the favorite. Furthermore, Philly has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest.
Miami (44-39) has now lost three of their last four games after their Saturday defeat. The Heat have then played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. Additionally, Miami has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against an opponent that allowed at least 100 points in their last game. And while the Heat have failed to cover the point spread in six of their last eight games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in six or seven of their last eight contests. They stay on the road where they have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total with the number set in the 210 to 219.5 point range. And in their last 35 opportunities to avenge a loss when playing on the road, Miami has played 23 of these games Under the Total. 10* NBA Miami-Philadelphia O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Miami Heat (701) and the Philadelphia 76ers (702). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-15-18 |
Wolves v. Rockets OVER 215 |
|
101-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 53 m |
Show
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At 9:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (515) and the Houston Rockets (516). Minnesota (47-35) has won three straight games with their 112-106 win over Denver on Wednesday as a 4-point favorite. The Timberwolves have then played 15 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a game where they scored at least 100 points. Minnesota has also played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total agains teams with a winning record. The Timberwolves will be looking to avenge a 129-120 loss to the Rockets back on March 18th — and they have played 31 of their last 49 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss where their opponent scored at least 110 points. A problem for Minnesota has been trying to defense this Houston team as they have allowed the Rockets to score at a 129.8 Points Per 100 Possession rate in their four meetings this season.
Houston (65-17) has lost two of their last three games with their 96-83 loss in Sacramento as a 2.5-point underdog on Wednesday. The Rockets have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. Additionally, Houston has played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a game where no more than 185 combined points were scored. Furthermore, the Rockets have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Lastly, these two teams have seen 14 of their last 17 meeting finish Over the Total — and in the last 9 encounters between these two teams in Houston, the game finished Over the Total 7 times. 10* NBA Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves (515) and the Houston Rockets (516). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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