06-17-25 |
Oilers v. Panthers -143 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Florida Panthers (22) versus the Edmonton Oilers (21) in Game Six of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Florida (62-36-6) took a 3-2 lead in this best-of-seven series with their 5-2 victory against the Oilers. Edmonton (62-35-6) hopes to keep their season alive by forcing a Game Seven back on their home ice.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Florida took a 3-0 series lead in the Stanley Cup Finals last year before losing the next three games to lead to a climactic Game Seven — and they are just 2-5 in their last seven initial opportunities to close out a playoff series. But they did win in their final chance to play at home by taking Game Seven last year — and I expect them to repeat history tonight in this Game Six. The Panthers are dominating this series. While the Oilers have only held the lead in a game in this series for just 33:51 minutes, Florida has held the lead in 200:25 combined minutes in this series. In winning three of the last four games, they have scored 20 goals and only conceded 12 goals. They have scored at least four goals in each of the last four games in this series. Furthermore, they have successfully thwarted 11 of the last 13 power play opportunities for Edmonton for a sizzling 84.6% power play kill rate. They are winning the physical battle with their aggressive forecheck — and they have been successful in goading the Oilers into making silly mistakes and creating power play opportunities for themselves. Game Five in Edmonton was a must-win game for the Oilers — but Florida dominated the game. They held the Oilers to just 21 shots on net and a mere 1.92 expected Goals. The Panthers have won 9 of their last 14 games after a win on the road by three or more goals. They have won 27 of their last 39 games when playing for just the second time in five days. Additionally, they have won 17 of their last 23 games at home with the Total set at 6 or higher. They have also won 24 of their last 37 games against teams from the Western Conference including 12 of those 17 games played at home. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky has a .924 save percentage in his last four games at home. He leads all goaltenders in the postseason with +11.02 Goals Saved Above Expectation (GSAx). Edmonton is going back to Stuart Skinner between the pipes tonight — but head coach Kris Knoblauch has made a mess of this situation because now both of his goaltenders lack confidence. The old saying in football is if you have two quarterbacks, then you don’t have any can also apply to goaltenders. In his last three games on the road in the playoffs, which account for just over two full games after getting pulled in two of those contests, Skinner has allowed nine goals while posting a 4.37 Goals-Against-Average and a .807 save percentage. The Oilers really miss defenseman Zach Hyman who is one of their most physical players and who offers plenty of help in their scoring attack. Edmonton won three straight elimination games in the Stanley Cup Finals last year — but the difference in this series has been the addition of Brad Marchand who anchors the Panthers’ third-line. The Oilers have lost 11 of their last 18 games on the road against teams from the Eastern Conference. They have also lost 4 of their last 6 road games in the Stanley Cup Finals.
FINAL TAKE: Edmonton has lost 8 of their last 13 games when attempting to avenge an upset loss at home. 10* NHL Edmonton-Florida TNT Special with the money-line on the Florida Panthers (22) versus the Edmonton Oilers (21). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-14-25 |
Panthers +113 v. Oilers |
Top |
5-2 |
Win
|
113 |
17 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Florida Panthers (19) versus the Edmonton Oilers (20) in Game Five of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Florida (61-36-6) had won two games in a row in this series before their 5-4 loss in overtime in Game Four of this best-of-seven series on Thursday. Edmonton (62-34-6) evened this series at 2-2 with the victory.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Florida was in complete control of Game Four after taking a 3-0 lead after the first period. They took their foot off the gas in the second period and got too comfortable dumping and chasing the puck — and those tactics helped the Oilers get back in the game. Losing their second game in this series in overtime should anger the reigning Stanley Cup champions. The Panthers have won 26 of their last 41 games after losing their previous game — and they have won 11 of their last 17 games after a loss on their home ice. Additionally, they have won 6 of their last 7 games in this postseason after losing their previous playoff game with four of those five victories coming on the road. They have also won 13 of their last 20 road games when playing for the second time in five days. Florida goes back on the road where they have been road warriors this postseason with a 9-3 record along with a +27 goal differential. They are scoring 4.7 Goals-Per-Game in these 12 road playoff games while surrendering just 2.3 Goals-Per-Game. Veteran NHL teams often like playing away from home for big games because the off-the-ice distractions are less. And while the home team gets the final line change, the impact of a loud crowd in NHL games tends to be exaggerated since the players on the ice do not often hear it — and the action is so fast that crowd noise is not likely to rattle the players. The Panthers have won 15 of their last 24 road games with the Total set at 6 or higher. They have also won 19 of their last 32 road games against teams with a winning record. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky let in five goals in Game Four — but he still registered a +0.47 Goals Saved Above Expectation (GSAx) mark. He leads all goaltenders in the playoffs with +11.2 GSAx — and he ranks third amongst all goaltenders with at least ten appearances in these playoffs with a +0.508 GSAx clip per 60 minutes. In his last seven playoff games on the road this postseason, “Playoff Bob” has given up only 15 goals and has a .931 save percentage. Florida has won 5 of their last 7 Game Fives in a playoff series including all four of those games played on the road. They have also won 5 straight playoff games on the road when the playoff series is tied. Edmonton head coach Kris Knoblauch is likely to turn to Calvin Pickard as his starting goaltender tonight after he stopped 22 of 23 shots in relief of Stuart Skinner in Game Four. His 7-0 record in this postseason will probably be irresistible — and the only reason why Stuart Skinner got the opportunity to prove himself after getting benched in the opening round against Los Angeles was that Pickard got injured in the section round against Vegas. But Pickard is a career backup — and he has a mediocre 2.69 Goals-Against-Average and a .896 save percentage in these playoffs. He has a -0.1 GSAx mark in his seven playoff games this year which is below Skinner’s +0.1 GSAx clip. Frankly, both these goalies for Edmonton are mediocre. Pickard ranks 15th of the 27 goalies that have been on the ice in the postseason this year with a -0.013 GSAx mark per 60 minutes — and he ranks 13th of 22 playoff goalies who have played at least three games. He has some weaknesses that the Panthers can exploit. Because he is three inches shorter than Skinner at 6’1, he takes a high stance to see the ice which can leave him to quick shots down low. He also tends to drift around the net as he drops behind traffic around. Perhaps the biggest difference between Skinner and him is that he can struggle with his puck handling — and it was off a mistake that allowed Florida to score the game-tying goal with 20 seconds left in the third period to force overtime. Skinner is much more adept at managing and clearing the puck. Pickard had a -9.1 GSAx mark in the regular season. And he was less effective at home in the regular season with a 2.94 GAA and a .884 save percentage in 15 starts as opposed to his 2.54 GAA and a .911 save percentage in 18 starts on the road. The season-ending injury to defenseman Zach Hyman last round makes the reliance on Pickard even more precarious. Florida is outshooting their opponents by +4.5 shots-per-game this season — and the Oilers have lost 5 of their last 7 home games against teams who are outshooting their opponents by +3.0 or more shots-per-game. Edmonton has lost 2 of their last 5 games at home in these playoffs. They have lost 8 of their last 14 playoff games when the series was tied including three of those five losses being on their home ice.
FINAL TAKE: The Panthers have won 24 of their last 38 games when playing with revenge — and they have won 18 of their last 29 games when avenging a loss on the road. 25* NHL Game of the Year is with the money-line on the Florida Panthers (19) versus the Edmonton Oilers (20). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-12-25 |
Oilers v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 |
|
5-4 |
Loss |
-123 |
0 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (17) and the Florida Panthers (18) in Game Four of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Edmonton (61-34-6) has not lost two games in a row after their 6-1 loss on the road against the Panthers in Game Three of this best-of-seven series. Florida (61-36-5) has won three of their last four games while taking a 2-1 series lead.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 32 of the 33 shots he faced in Game Three. he posted a solid +0.83 Goals Saved Above Expectation (GSAx). Bobrobsky posted a +1.37 GSAx in Game Two despite giving up four goals in that 5-4 victory in overtime. And in Game One, he had a +0.65 GSAx mark in a 4-3 loss in overtime. Overall, Bobrovsky has a +2.85 GSAx clip in this series — and he entered this series with +9.45 GSAx in his previous 17 games in this postseason. Bobrovsky ranks third in the playoffs this year for goaltenders who have played at least six games with a +0.56 GSAx per 60 minutes of play. The seven combined goals scored in Game Three were propped by the 17 power plays between both teams. Each team committed four penalties in the first period of that. Florida only generated 3.2 expected goals despite their six goals. This Game Four should be more disciplined by both teams with the stakes rising in each game. The Panthers have played 25 of their last 34 home games Under the Total after winning at home in their previous game. They have played 13 of their last 20 home games Under the Total after a win at home by three or more goals including five of those last seven circumstances this season. They have also played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total after scoring six or more goals in their last game. Edmonton has played 16 of their last 27 games Under the Total after allowing six or more goals in their last contest. They have also played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Stuart Skinner got pulled in Game Three — but his teammates did not offer much help with the Panthers scoring three goals from their whopping 11 power play chances in that game. The Oilers have to clean their game up and not try to out-bully this Florida team. Skinner will be between the pipes tonight — and he has a 6-0 record with a 0.83 Goals-Against-Average and a .970 save percentage with two shutouts in his last six Game Fours in the postseason. Head coach Kris Knoblauch has made some changes to the lineup tonight including inserting Troy Stecher into a defensive pairing with Darnell Nurse who he has plenty of experience playing with in their time with the Dallas Stars.
FINAL TAKE: The Panthers have played 14 of their last 22 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-70% range — and they have played 5 of their last 8 Game Fours at home in a playoff series Under the Total. 8* NHL Edmonton-Florida TNT O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (17) and the Florida Panthers (18). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-06-25 |
Panthers v. Oilers OVER 6.5 |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
109 |
21 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Florida Panthers (13) and the Edmonton Oilers (14) in Game Two of the Stanley Cup finals. THE SITUATION: Florida (59-36-5) has lost two of their last three games after dropping the opening game of the Stanley Cup finals by a 4-3 score in overtime on Wednesday. Edmonton (61-33-5) has won five games in a row and 13 of their last 15 contests.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Five combined goals were scored in the first 23:17 minutes of the game including one goal from a Panthers power play that was triggered by a delay of game penalty resulting from a failed Oilers challenge of the previous Florida goal. I appreciate that only one goal was scored between these two teams from that early moment in the second period through the 19:29 mark in the first overtime session when Leon Draisaitl scored the game-winner on a power play. But I do not think the tone of this series will suddenly embrace the second half of Game One. Both of these teams are rested and full of energy which will help them execute their aggressive forechecking games — and this style of play tends to either generate scoring chances or make themselves vulnerable to counter-attacks the other way. These two teams have played 8 of their last 12 meetings against each other Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games in Edmonton Over the Total. The Oilers are an offensive machine right now. They have scored 20 combined goals in their last four games with at least four goals in each of those contests. They are getting balanced scoring with now 20 players with at least one goal in the postseason after defenseman Mattias Eckholm got in on the action in the third period to tie the score at 3-3. They have eight players with five or more goals. They entered this series leading all teams in the playoffs by scoring 4.06 Goals-Per-Game — and they came off scoring on 38% of their power play chances against the Hurricanes. At home, Edmonton scored 4.71 Goals-Per-Game in the first three rounds of the playoffs while converting on 56.3% of their power play chances. The Oilers have now played 9 of their last 14 home games Over the Total against teams who are winning 51-60% of their games. They have also played 5 straight home games Over the Total in the Stanley Cup Finals going back to last season. But they surrendered 10 combined goals in the Game Twos against Los Angeles and Vegas this postseason before recording a 3-0 win at Dallas in Game Two of the Western Conference finals. Stuart Skinner has been feast or famine in these playoffs — as he was last season. In his last two games, he has a .878 save percentage. He has two shutouts in Edmonton’s last two losses in the postseason — but in his last five starts off a win in these playoffs, he has allowed 13 goals with a .906 save percentage. The season-ending injury to defenseman Zach Hyman certainly does not help matters. The Oilers have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total when playing for no more than the third time in the last ten days. They have also played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row. Florida has now played 13 of their 18 playoff games this postseason Over the Total. The Florida offense is operating at a high level as well — especially on the road where they entered this series scoring 4.80 Goals-Per-Game in their previous ten road games this postseason. They converted on 42.9% of their power play opportunities in those ten road games. The Panthers have 19 different players who have scored goals in these playoffs — and they have 10 players with at least 11 points. Florida has played 11 of their last 15 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-70% range. They have also played 5 straight road games Over the Total in the Stanley Cup finals. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky has been up-and-down in this postseason as well. In his last two games, he has allowed seven goals and has a .899 save percentage in those games. In his last five playoff games this postseason following a loss, he has allowed 16 goals while posting a .886 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: The Panthers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. 25* National Hockey League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Florida Panthers (13) and the Edmonton Oilers (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-04-25 |
Panthers v. Oilers OVER 6 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Florida Panthers (11) and the Edmonton Oilers (12) in Game One of the Stanley Cup finals. THE SITUATION: Florida (59-36-4) has won eight of their last ten games after their 5-3 victory against Carolina that ended the Eastern Conference finals in five games last Wednesday. Edmonton (60-33-5) has won six of their last seven games after their 6-3 victory at Dallas that closed out the Western Conference finals in five games last Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Panthers have played 12 of their 17 playoff games this postseason Over the Total — and they have played all three of their previous Game Ones Over the Total during that span. The Florida offense is clicking — especially on the road where they have scored 4.80 Goals-Per-Game in their ten road games this postseason. They are converting on 42.9% of their power play opportunities in those ten road games. The Panthers have 19 different players who have scored goals in these playoffs — and they have 10 players with at least 11 points. Florida has played 10 of their last 16 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-70% range. They have also played 4 straight road games Over the Total in the Stanley Cup finals. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky has been up-and-down in this postseason. In Game Five last Wednesday, he gave up three goals on the 23 shots he faced on the road in Dallas — and he was slightly underwater with a -0.03 Goals Saved Above Expectation mark. He has a .894 save percentage with nine goals allowed in his three previous Game Ones in this postseason. Edmonton has played 8 of their last 10 games at home Over the Total after a win by three or more goals. They have also played 18 of their last 25 games at home Over the Total after winning on the road in their last game including nine of those 12 games this season. They have played 10 of their last 13 home games Over the Total after scoring six or more goals in their last contest. And in their last 7 games when playing with three or more days of rest, they have played 6 of these games Over the Total. The Oilers are getting balanced scoring as well with 19 players with at least one goal in the postseason. They have eight players with five or more goals. They lead all teams in the playoffs by scoring 4.06 Goals-Per-Game — and they come off concerning on 38% of their power play chances against the Hurricanes. At home, Edmonton is scoring 4.71 Goals-Per-Game in the playoffs and converting on 56.3% of their power play chances. The Oilers have played 8 of their last 13 home games Over the Total against teams who are winning 51-60% of their games. But Edmonton has allowed 14 goals in their three previous Game Ones this postseason. Stuart Skinner has been feast or famine as well in these playoffs — and in his two starts in an opening game of a series, he has been saddled with an .807 save percentage while giving up 11 goals.
FINAL TAKE: Four of the seven games between these two teams in last year’s Stanley Cup finals saw at least six combined goals scored. The Panthers swept the two games between these teams in the regular season with the last meeting on February 27th in a 4-3 victory at home. The Oilers have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road — and they have played eight of those 12 games Over the Total when playing at home in those games. 10* NHL Florida-Edmonton TNT O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Florida Panthers (11) and the Edmonton Oilers (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-29-25 |
Oilers v. Stars -112 |
Top |
6-3 |
Loss |
-112 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (70) versus the Edmonton Oilers (69) in Game Five of the Western Conference finals. THE SITUATION: Dallas (59-34-6) has lost three games in a row to put themselves on the brink of elimination with a 3-1 deficit in this series after their 4-1 loss on the road on Tuesday. Edmonton (59-33-5) has won five of their last six games.
REASONS TO TAKE THE STARS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Dallas needs to stop digging themselves holes in the postseason. They have surrendered the first goal in 14 of their 17 playoff games this year including all four of the games in this series. The Stars only lost the expected Goals battle (xG) by a 3.77 to 3.58 margin in Game Four — and they won the xG battle in Game Three by a 2.97-2.36 margin despite their 6-1 loss on the road in that contest. This series has been closer than the final scores suggest. Dallas has controlled 53.9% of the shots in this series at five-on-five. They also have been in the offensive zone 44.3% of the time as compared to the 39.8% offensive zone rate for the Oilers in this series. The Stars should play better tonight since they have won 16 of their last 21 games at home after a loss. They have also won 10 of their last 12 games at home after a loss on the road. They have won 7 of their last 8 games at home after a loss on the road by three or more goals. And they have won 6 of their last 8 home games after scoring one goal or less. Back at home, they have won 35 of their last 49 games including seven of their nine games in the postseason. They have scored on 12 of their 28 power play chances in the postseason for a 42.9% power play success rate — and they have a power play kill rate of 87.7% in the playoffs. Goalie Jake Oettinger was solid in Game Three by stopping 29 of the 31 shots he faced — the Oilers scored two empty netters late in that game. Oettinger registered a +0.87 Goals Saved Above Expectation in Game Five. He enjoyed a 2.14 Goals-Against-Average and a .920 save percentage in 32 starts at home during the regular season. In his last seven games at home in the playoffs this year, he has a .926 save percentage. Edmonton has lost 11 of their last 18 games after winning three or more games in a row. They have also lost 7 of their last 9 road games when playing for no more than the fifth time in their last two weeks. The Oilers will be without forward Zach Hyman who has been ruled out for the rest of the postseason with an upper-body injury. Goalie Stuart Skinner has been feast-or-famine in the postseason — while he has two shutouts in his last five games on the road, he still has a .881 save percentage in his last five road playoff starts while surrendering five or more goals in three of those five starts.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas has won 18 of their last 23 home games when avenging a loss — and they have won 8 of their last 9 home games when playing with revenge from a loss by three or more goals. 25* NHL Western Conference Game of the Year with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (70) versus the Edmonton Oilers (69). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-26-25 |
Hurricanes v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-0 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (63) and the Florida Panthers (64) in Game Four of the Eastern Conference finals. THE SITUATION: Carolina (55-34-6) has dug themselves a 0-3 hole in this series after their 6-2 loss on the road against the Panthers on Saturday. Florida (58-35-4) has the opportunity to sweep this series tonight having won seven of their last eight games.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have been overmatched physically in this series — and they have only scored four combined goals in the three games in this series. They have been competitive for much of the series before giving up goals that seemed to open up the proverbial floodgates. Game Three was tied going into the third period before The Panthers scored five straight goals to put the game away. Head coach Rob Brind’Amour probably made an ill-advised move by shaking things up by benching goaltender Frederik Andersen for Pyotr Kochetkov for Game Three. Granted, one of the reasons I was high on backing Florida in Game Three was the subpar play they were getting from Andersen in this series. But Kochetkov has shown little to suggest he could succeed in these circumstances — so his surprise start on Saturday was a development that I could even entertain given how juicy it would be. Andersen will certainly be back between the pipes for Game Four. I suspect he plays his best game of the series (and I am not going to be surprised if the Hurricanes break their 14-game losing streak in the Eastern Conference finals. Andersen posted a 1.19 Goals-Against Average with a .937 save percentage in the second round of the playoffs against Washington — and he enjoyed a 1.36 GAA and a .937 save percentage before this series started. The Hurricanes have played 22 of their last 35 games Under the Total after losing three or more games in a row. They have also played 13 of their last 20 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5. Florida has played 11 of their last 15 home games Under the Total at home after a win at home by three or more goals. They have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total after scoring six or more goals in their last game. The Panthers only generated 3.32 expected goals in Game Three — it was Kochetkov’s -2.68 Goals Saved Above Expectation mark mostly coming in that disastrous third period. Sergei Bobrovsky has fully become his alter-ego “Playoff Bob” where he plays at a very high level. In his last six games, he has allowed only seven combined goals with a .950 save percentage. Florida has played 11 of their last 18 games Under the Total in the Eastern Conference finals.
FINAL TAKE: The Hurricanes have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by three or more goals including six of those nine games played at home. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (63) and the Florida Panthers (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-24-25 |
Hurricanes v. Panthers -147 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Florida Panthers (60) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (59) in Game Three of the Eastern Conference finals. THE SITUATION: Florida (57-35-4) has won three games in a row and six of their last seven contests after their 5-0 victory in Game Two of this seven-game series. Carolina (57-35-4) returns home trailing by a 2-0 margin in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Game Two was the contest the Hurricanes had to have. After a 5-2 loss where they outshot Florida by a 31-20 margin and won the expected Goals (xG) battle by a 3.73-2.20 margin, they needed to come out a take it to the defending Stanley Cup champions to prove they were finally ready to compete at the top level of this league in the postseason. Instead, they were utterly dominated and thoroughly humiliated by the Panthers. Florida “only” won the xG battle by a 3.26-1.56 margin — but they scored on both their power plays while hitting bullseyes with their shots on the net. The thing to remember about expected goals is that it measures league averages from shooting positions and angles — so there are, by definition, outliers on the good and bad end of things. Expecting terrible teams to start shooting better because of “regression” is foolish because they perhaps are the worst shooting team in the league that is setting the low-bar. On the other hand, only a fool would think Lionel Messi (the xG concept in soccer works the same way) or Wayne Gretzky cannot continue to exceed league-wide xG expectations since they are the cream of the crop pushing the ceiling for the rest of the world to try to match. Florida’s 10 goals in this series from 5.46 xG is most likely evidence of just how good their goal scorers are. OK, Carolina goaltender Frederik Andersen may not be helping. Always a bridesmaid but never leading a team to a Stanley Cup final, he has -4.37 Goals Saved Above Expectation in the first two games of this series. His save percentage in this series is .750. Now the Hurricanes go on the road having lost 14 straight games in the Eastern Conference finals. They have lost 12 of their last 19 road games after losing their last game — and they have lost 4 straight games on the road after a loss on their home ice. Additionally, they have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road after losing two games in a row. And they have lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road after failing to score more than one goal in their last game. The devastating aspect of the embarrassing Game Two loss at home was that Carolina has been significantly better at home. They entered this series with a perfect 5-0 record at home with 21 goals and just eight goals allowed — and then they got outscored by a 10-2 margin in the first two games at home against the Panthers. With their record at 36-12 at home, they go back on the road where they have lost 27 of their 46 games this season — and they are getting outscored by -0.4 Goals-Per-Game because their scoring production drops by -0.5 Goals-Per-Game on the season to just 2.7 Goals-Per-Game on the road. Carolina has lost 13 of their last 20 games on the road after playing their last game at home. They have lost 8 of their last 11 road games against teams winning 51-60% of their games. Furthermore, they have lost 16 of their last 23 playoff games when trailing in the series including seven of those last nine games. They have also lost 5 of their last 7 Game Threes in a playoff series. The Hurricanes are dealing with injuries with the most significant being defenseman Jalen Chatfield who has yet to play in this series due to a lower-body injury. His absence is devastating as a top-four defenseman since rookie Scott Morrow is a weak-link when inserted into the blue-line rotation. He played 10 minutes on Thursday — and now Panthers’ head coach Paul Maurice controls the final player change on the ice back at home where he can exploit the moments when Morrow has to log in time. Florida is thriving in the physical and aggressive forechecking style that has brought home championships for the recent teams to lift the Stanley Cup. When it works, it overwhelms the opponents who cannot hang. The Hurricanes thought they built a roster to match this style of play — but it has been men versus boys in this showdown. The Panthers have now won 4 of the 5 meetings between these teams in the 2024-25 season. If Florida was going to be complacent, then it would have happened in Game Two. Instead, they played one of their best games in the postseason. I think they lay the hammer tonight, energized by their home crowd. The Panthers have won 16 of their last 27 games after not allowing more than one goal in their last game. They have won 8 of their last 13 after a win on the road by three or more goals. After playing their last three games on the road, they return home for the first time since May 16th where they have won 5 of their last 7 games after playing three or more games away from home. They have won 16 of their last 25 home games when priced as a money-line favorite up to a -150 price. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky is in full “Playoff Bob” mode now after stopping all 17 shots he faced on Thursday and posting a +1.56 GSAx mark. In his last six games, he has given up only six goals for a .958 save percentage and a 1.01 Goals-Against-Average. He has +9.39 GSAx in those last six contests. Florida has won 18 of their last 28 playoff games when leading in the series — and they have won 7 of their last 10 Games Three in a playoff series. They have also won 11 of their last 17 games in the Eastern Conference Finals including five of those seven games played at home.
FINAL TAKE: Don’t be surprised if the Hurricanes come out fast given their desperation — but they will fold. Carolina has lost 9 of their last 13 opportunities for revenge including six of those eight games played on the road. They have also lost 7 straight games when playing with revenge from a loss at home by three or more goals. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Year with the money-line on the Florida Panthers (60) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (59). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-18-25 |
Panthers -128 v. Maple Leafs |
Top |
6-1 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Florida Panthers (27) versus the Toronto Maple Leafs (28) in Game Seven of their Eastern Conference semifinal series. THE SITUATION: Florida (54-35-4) had won three games in a row before their 2-0 loss at home against the Maple Leafs on Friday. Toronto forced a decisive Game Seven with that victory.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Frankly, Florida probably deserved the win on Friday as they generated 2.3 expected goals and held the Maple Leafs to 2.19 expected goals. The Panthers lost the first two games in this series in Toronto before taking control of this series with three straight victories by tightening things up defensively, increasing their forechecking and physicality, and getting great goaltending from Sergei Bobrovsky. While he gave up two goals on 17 shots, he registered a +0.19 Goals Saved Above Expectation. In his last three games, Bobrovsky has registered +4.94 GSAx. Florida has been resilient following losses by winning 23 of their last 38 games after a defeat in their last game. They have also won 9 of their last 15 games after losing at home in their last game. The Panthers have also won 30 of their last 46 games on the road when priced as a money-line favorite up to a -150 price. They have won 7 of their last 9 games on the road in the second round of the playoffs. Furthermore, Florida has won 4 of their last 5 playoff games when the series is tied — and they have won 4 of their last 5 playoff games when facing elimination. The Panthers have a decided edge in playoff experience against this Maple Leafs team who have only won two playoff series in the last 20 seasons. This is a fragile Toronto team that will play in front of a home crowd that may be expecting another letdown. Superstar Auston Matthews is not at full strength playing through a hand injury. Despite scoring the first goal in Game Six, it was only his third goal in the playoffs. Mitch Marner has one foot out the door as the team is not likely to resign him in the offseason. Chemistry remains a big concern despite winning on the road in Game Six. The Maple Leafs remain a team who have lost 7 of their last 11 games in the second round of the playoffs. They have also lost 4 of their last 6 playoff games in close-out situations — and they have lost their last 3 playoff games when the playoff series is tied.
FINAL TAKE: Florida’s Paul Maurice has overseen a 5-0 record in his head coaching career in Game Sevens. The Maple Leafs hope they can win — the Panthers know they can. 25* NHL Atlantic Division Game of the Year is with the money-line on the Florida Panthers (27) versus the Toronto Maple Leafs (28). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-17-25 |
Jets v. Stars -139 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (24) with the money-line versus the Winnipeg Jets (23) in Game Six of their Western Conference semifinal series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (57-31-6) looks to close out this series tonight after losing Game Five by a 4-0 score on the road against the Jets. Winnipeg (62-28-4) snapped a two-game losing streak but still trails by a 3-2 margin.
REASONS TO TAKE THE STARS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: We were on Dallas for Game Three and Game Four — and let’s ride them again with their money-line price still around my -150 price threshold (I don’t consider favorites priced higher than -150 since it requires a 60% win rate to break even — let’s just avoid the temptation and avoiding digging the hole chasing big favorites). Dallas was flat in Game Five after taking a dominant 3-1 series lead. The Stars have won 9 of their 11 home games after losing on the road in their last game. They have also won 6 of their last 7 home games after a loss by three or more goals. Jake Oettinger continued to play well even in a losing effort as he stopped 31 of the 34 shots he faced. He posted a +0.44 Goals Saved Above Expectation mark in that game. In these playoffs, he ranks third of all goaltenders with a +6.2 GSAx mark — and he is fourth amongst goalies who have played at least four games in this postseason by averaging +0.52 GSAx per 60 minutes. He enjoyed a 2.14 Goals-Against-Average and a .920 save percentage in 32 starts at home during the regular season. In his last four games at home in the postseason, Oettinger sports a .938 save percentage. Dallas has won 33 of their last 46 games at home — and they have won 11 of their last 15 home games with the Total set at 5.5. They have also won 13 of their last 19 home games against teams with a winning record. This Winnipeg team is inexperienced when making deeper runs in the playoffs — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 playoff games when trailing in the series. Connor Hellebuyck remains unreliable in the postseason — especially on the road. In Game Four of this series in Dallas, he gave up three goals from 24 shots and posted a -0.76 GSAx mark. He gave up five goals from the 26 shots he faced in Dallas for Game Three. Even worse, he posted a -1.76 GSAx mark in that game. At home in the regular season, he sported a 1.63 GAA and a .938 save percentage. But in his 29 games on the road in the regular season, those numbers declined to a 2.43 GAA and a .911 save percentage. Hellebuyck’s postseason issues are mental — he is too much in his head regarding how much he should deviate from his normal fundamentals given the increased physicality in the postseason especially around the net. It’s volatile — and it seems to be worse when he is playing in a hostile environment. He is last in the NHL in the playoffs with a -6.0 GSAx mark — and he is last in the postseason amongst goaltenders who have played at least four playoff games with a -0.585 GSAx mark per 60 minutes. To translate that number, take the average goaltender in the league — and Hellebuyck is giving up one more goal every two games than that guy in these playoffs. Winnipeg’s head coach Scott Arniel has seen his team lose 43 of their 69 road games as an underdog in his coaching career.
FINAL TAKE: The Stars have won 26 of their last 37 games when playing with revenge including 17 of those 22 games played at home. They have also won 12 of their last 15 games when playing with revenge from a loss by three or more goals including seven of those eight games played at home. 10* NHL Winnipeg-Dallas ABC-TV Special with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (24) with the money-line versus the Winnipeg Jets (23). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-13-25 |
Jets v. Stars -149 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (80) with the money-line versus the Winnipeg Jets (79) in Game Four of their Western Conference semifinal series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (56-30-6) had won three of their last four games after their 5-2 victory against the Jets on Sunday. Winnipeg (61-27-4) now trails in the series by a 2-1 margin.
REASONS TO TAKE THE STARS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: We were on Dallas for Game Three — and let’s ride them again with their money-line price still around my -150 price threshold (I don’t consider favorites priced higher than -150 since it requires a 60% win rate to break even — let’s just avoid the temptation and avoiding digging the hole chasing big favorites). Dallas was flat in Game Two after following up outlasting a very good Colorado team in the first round of the playoffs by then seizing home-ice advantage by taking Game One in Winnipeg. They dominated Game Three by generating 3.95 expected goals (xG) and holding the Jets to 1.75 xG. They should keep it going tonight. The Stars have won 19 of their last 31 games after winning on the home ice in their last game including 11 of those 16 games when they get to stay at home. Jake Oettinger rebounded from a subpar Game Two by stopping 24 of the 26 shots he faced on Sunday. In these playoffs, he ranks fourth of all goaltenders with a +3.8 GSAx mark. He enjoyed a 2.14 Goals-Against-Average and a .920 save percentage in 32 starts at home during the regular season. In his last four games at home in the postseason, Oettinger sports a .924 save percentage. Dallas has won 32 of their last 45 games at home — and they have won 10 of their last 14 home games with the Total set at 5.5. They have also won 12 of their last 18 home games against teams with a winning record. This Winnipeg team is inexperienced when making deeper runs in the playoffs — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 playoff games when trailing in the series. Connor Hellebuyck remains unreliable in the postseason. He gave up five goals from the 26 shots he faced on Sunday. Even worse, he posted a -1.76 GSAx mark in that game. At home in the regular season, he sported a 1.63 GAA and a .938 save percentage. But in his 29 games on the road in the regular season, those numbers declined to a 2.43 GAA and a .911 save percentage. Hellebuyck’s postseason issues are mental — he is too much in his head regarding how much he should deviate from his normal fundamentals given the increased physicality in the postseason especially around the net. It’s volatile. He is last in the NHL in the playoffs with a -9.96 GSAx mark — and after Sunday’s effort, he had dropped to last of the 26 goaltenders in the postseason with a -0.996 GSAx mark per 60 minutes. To translate that number, take the average goaltender in the league — and Hellebuyck is gin up one more goal than that guy in these playoffs. Winnipeg’s head coach Scott Arniel has seen his team lose 42 of their 68 road games as an underdog in his coaching career.
FINAL TAKE: The Stars have won 5 of their 7 Game Fours of a playoff series since Pete DeBoer took over as their head coach. 20* NHL Winnipeg-Dallas ESPN Special with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (79) with the money-line versus the Winnipeg Jets (80). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-11-25 |
Jets v. Stars -138 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 4:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (574) with the money-line versus the Winnipeg Jets (573) in Game Three of their Western Conference semifinal series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (55-30-6) had won two games in a row before their 4-0 loss on the road against the Jets in the second game of this best-of-seven series. Winnipeg (61-26-4) has won two of their last three games.
REASONS TO TAKE THE STARS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Dallas was flat in Game Two after outlasting a very good Colorado team in the first round of the playoffs. They should rebound tonight. The Stars have won 14 of their last 19 games at home after losing their last game. They have also won 5 of their last 6 games at home after a loss on the road by three or more goals. They have won 13 of their last 20 games after a loss on the road including eight of those 10 games played at home. Jake Oettinger did not play his best game on Friday by allowing three goals on 24 shots — but he did generate a +0.15 Goals Saved Above Expectation mark. In these playoffs, he ranks fourth of all goaltenders with a +4.06 GSAx mark. He returns home where he enjoyed a 2.14 Goals-Against-Average and a .920 save percentage in 32 starts. In his last three starts at home in the postseason, Oettinger sports a .924 save percentage. Dallas has won 31 of their last 44 games at home — and they have won 9 of their last 14 home games with the Total set at 5.5. They have also won 11 of their last 17 home games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Stars have won 7 of their last 8 playoff games when tied in the series. This Winnipeg team is inexperienced when making deeper runs in the playoffs. This franchise has lost 8 of their last 11 third games in a playoff series including all three of those games played since 2023 — and they have won only one of their last seven Game 3s on the road. Connor Hellebuyck has played better after his disastrous first period in Game Seven against St. Louis in what was a bad series for him. He comes off a shutout in Game Two when he stopped all 21 shots he faced. At home in the regular season, he sported a 1.63 GAA and a .938 save percentage. But in his 29 games on the road in the regular season, those numbers declined to a 2.43 GAA and a .911 save percentage. Hellebuyck’s postseason issues are mental — he is too much in his head regarding how much he should deviate from his normal fundamentals given the increased physicality in the postseason especially around the net. It’s volatile. He is last in the NHL in the playoffs with a -7.8 GSAx mark. He also ranks 24th of the 26 goaltenders in the postseason with a -0.894 GSAx mark per 60 minutes. Winnipeg’s head coach Scott Arniel has seen his team lose 42 of their 67 road games as an underdog in his coaching career.
FINAL TAKE: The Stars have won 25 of their last 36 games when playing with revenge including 16 of those 21 games played at home. They have also won 11 of their last 14 games when avenging a loss by three or more goals including six of those seven games played at home. 25* NHL 2nd Round Playoff Game of the Year with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (574) with the money-line versus the Winnipeg Jets (573). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-10-25 |
Golden Knights v. Oilers OVER 6.5 |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (69) and the Edmonton Oilers (70) in Game Three of their Western Conference semifinal series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (54-25-11) has lost the first two games of this series after their 5-4 loss in overtime on Thursday. Edmonton (54-31-5) has won six games in a row.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Golden Knights are in this predicament because they are simply not getting good goaltending from Adin Hill. In Game Two, he allowed five goals on 37 shots — and he posted a -1.52 Goals Saved Above Expectation (GSAx) mark. In Game One, he allowed four goals on 28 shots with a substandard -1.52 GSAx clip. He is playing far below what the analytics indicate is mid-tier goaltending. Hill ranks 20th of the 26 goaltenders to appear in a postseason game this year by averaging -0.62 GSAx per 60 minutes. In his eight playoff games this postseason, he has a 3.16 Goals-Against-Average and a .874 save percentage. I simply do not think the form he was in during the Golden Knights Stanley Cup run two years ago is suddenly going to reappear. He was more effective at home during the regular season with a 2.40 GAA and a .910 save percentage in 28 games — but in his 22 games on the road, he had a 2.52 GAA and a .902 save percentage. The Vegas defense takes a hit tonight due to the injury of defenseman Brayden McNabb. But their scoring attack does get their leading scorer, Pavel Dorofeyov, who scored 36 goals in the regular season. Even without Dorofeyov in the last four games, they have scored at least three goals in four of their last five games. They will hit the ice desperate to avoid a 3-0 deficit. The Golden Knights have played 14 of their last 22 road games Over the Total against teams winning 51-60% of their games. Edmonton has played 16 of their last 23 home games Over the Total after winning on the road in their last game including seven of those last 10 occasions. They have not been getting great goaltending either from Calvin Pickard — and he has been declared out due to the injury he suffered late in Game Two. Stuart Skinner will be between the pipes again tonight after getting benched in Game Two of their previous series against the Los Angeles Kings. Frankly, Skinner was a disaster by allowing 11 goals in those first two games. He posted a 6.11 GAA and a .810 save percentage before getting benched — and he had -4.7 GSAx in those two games. He ranks second to last in the postseason with a -2.61 GSAx per 60-minute mark. In the regular season, he was mediocre at best with a 2.81 GAA and a .896 save percentage. Not having defenseman Mattias Ekholm is not helping the Oilers' cause in suppressing goals. But the Edmonton offense is clicking as they have scored at least four goals in five of their last six games. Even better, they are getting production from all four of their lines. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl were only involved in the overtime goal in Game Two. The Oilers have played 13 of their last 21 games at home Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 6 of their last 9 home games Over the Total against teams winning 60-75% of their games.
FINAL TAKE: Edmonton has played 5 straight Overs in the third game of a best-of-seven series. Head coach Bruce Cassidy’s teams in his coaching career have played 13 of their 21 playoff games Over the Total when trailing in the playoff series including three of those four games since taking over the Golden Knights’ job. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (69) and the Edmonton Oilers (70). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-08-25 |
Oilers v. Golden Knights -126 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-126 |
3 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (62) versus the Edmonton Oilers (61) in Game Two of their Western Conference semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (54-25-10) saw their three-game losing streak snapped in a 4-2 loss at home against the Oilers in Game One of this best-of-seven series. Edmonton (53-31-5) has won five games in a row.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The weak-link in this series is Edmonton’s goaltending situation — but Vegas only generated 17 shots on target against him on Tuesday. The Oilers deserve credit for limiting those shots yet this is still a team that allows their opponents to average 27.0 shots-per-game. They blocked 18 shots. But the bigger problem was perhaps some complacency from the Golden Knights after taking an early 2-0 lead in the first nine minutes of the game. They only had one shot on target in the second period while holding a 2-1 lead before Edmonton scored three goals in the third period. Vegas had 58 shots overall but 23 of those shots were simply off-target. More of their shots should be on target tonight — the Golden Knights average 30.2 shots-per-game so they should do better in Game Two. Injuries did not help matters in Game One. Defenseman Alex Pietrangelo was a scratch due to illness. He is a game-time decision but it will be 48 hours later for that bug to get out of his system. Forward Pavel Dorofeyev missed his third straight game with an undisclosed injury but he did take part in the morning skate today. Vegas has won 22 of their last 33 home games after a loss including 10 of their last 15 contests. They have won 8 of their last 12 home games after losing to a fellow Pacific Division rival. And while they have played three straight Unders, they have then won 9 of their last 10 home games after playing three or more Unders in a row. Goalie Adin Hill needs to play better after allowing four goals on 28 shots including the three goals in the third period. He posted a -1.52 Goals Saved Above Expectation mark (GSAx). He was better at home in the regular season with a 2.40 Goals-Against-Average and a .910 save percentage in 28 games as opposed to his 2.55 GAA and a .902 save percentage in 22 starts on the road. He was outstanding in leading the Golden Knights to a Stanley Cup championship two years ago so giving him some benefit of the doubt makes sense. The Golden Knights have won 24 of their last 34 games with the Total set at 6 or higher. They have also won 28 of their last 41 games at home when favored — and they have won 15 of their last 23 home games against teams with a winning record. Edmonton has lost 10 of their last 16 games after winning three or more games in a row. Their goalie, Calvin Pickard, has not earned the same deference that a Stanley Cup-winning goaltender like Adin Hill deserves. Pickard was the backup to Stuart Skinner — but he took over in Game Three against the Kings after Skinner did not play well in the first two games against Los Angeles. Skinner posted a modest +0.07 GSAx in Game One despite only facing 17 shots on target. In the first round against the Los Angeles Kings, Skinner had a -0.203 GSAx per 60 minutes which means he was playing far below the median expectations for an NHL goaltender. The Oilers have lost 4 of their last 5 second games in a seven-game series with three of those four losses occurring on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Golden Knights have won 12 of their last 18 games when playing with revenge on their home ice. 25* NHL Pacific Division Game of the Year is with the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (62) versus the Edmonton Oilers (61). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-06-25 |
Oilers v. Golden Knights -134 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-134 |
1 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (56) versus the Edmonton Oilers (55) in Game One of their Western Conference semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (54-24-10) has won three games in a row after their 3-2 victory at Minnesota to close out that series in six games last Thursday. Edmonton (52-23-5) has won four games in a row after their 6-4 victory against the Los Angeles Kings that ended that series in six games last Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Vegas should benefit from time off since they have won 7 straight games when playing with three or more days of rest. They have also won 20 of their last 28 games at home following a win in their last game. At home, they have won 24 of their last 33 games with the Total set at 6 or higher. They have also won 28 of their last 40 games at home when favored. Goalie Adin Hill struggled in the first round against the Wild — but he did play better in Game Six by stopping 29 of the 31 shots he faced. He was better at home in the regular season with a 2.40 Goals-Against-Average and a .910 save percentage in 28 games as opposed to his 2.55 GAA and a .902 save percentage in 22 starts on the road. He was outstanding in leading the Golden Knights to a Stanley Cup championship two years ago so giving him some benefit of the doubt makes sense. The Oilers’ Calvin Pickard has not earned the same deference. He was the backup to Stuart Skinner — but he took over in Game Three against the Kings after Skinner did not play well in the first two games against Los Angeles. Skinner only stopped 23 of the 27 shots he faced in Game Six — and he posted a -0.29 Goals Saved Above Expectation (GSAx). In that series, Skinner had a -0.203 GSAx per 60 minutes which means he was playing far below the median expectations for an NHL goaltender. Edmonton has lost 6 of their last 9 games on the road when playing with three or more days of rest. They have also lost 10 of their last 15 games after winning their last game by three or more goals. The Oilers have also lost 4 of their last 5 opening games to a new series in the postseason when playing on the road.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their two games in the regular season after Edmonton won in Las Vegas by a 3-2 score on April 1st. The Golden Knights have won 12 of their last 17 home games when playing with revenge. 10* NHL Edmonton-Vegas ESPN Special with the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (56) versus the Edmonton Oilers (55). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-03-25 |
Avalanche v. Stars UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-115 |
0 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (3) and the Dallas Stars (4) in Game Seven of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (52-30-6) forced a decisive seventh game of this series with their 7-4 victory in Game Six on Thursday. Dallas (53-29-6) has lost two of the last three games in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: After a wild Game Six in Ball Arena, look for this game to be a lower-scoring contest played closer to the vest — and the refs are less likely to call penalties and put their thumbs on the scale too much in these Game Sevens. As it is, the Avalanche have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring six or more goals in their last game. They have also played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after winning at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Under the Total after a win at home by three or more goals. Colorado has also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win at home against a fellow Central Division rival. Mackenzie Blackwood has something to prove after giving up four goals on 26 shots and posting a -1.38 Goals Saved Above Expectation mark (GSAx) in that game. He did have a .914 save percentage in 28 games on the road in the regular season. He still has +3.0 GSAx in this series — so he should bounce back. Dallas has played 6 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after a loss on the road by three or more goals. They have also played 12 of their last 20 home games Under the Total versus teams winning 51-60% of their games. Goalie Jake Oettinger should also play better after surrendering five goals on 46 shots and posting a -0.89 GSAx mark in Game Six. He still owns a +2.0 GSAx mark in this series. He thrived at home in the regular season with a 2.14 Goals-Against-Average in 32 starts along with a .920 save percentage. In his two previous games in this series following a loss, Oettinger posted a 2.18 GAA and a .923 save percentage. The Avalanche are outscoring their opponents by +0.5 Goals-Per-Game — and Dallas has played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +0.5 or more Goals-Per-Game.
FINAL TAKE: The Stars have played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when the series was tied including three of those four games played at home. They have also played 8 of their last 13 playoff games in the first round. 20* NHL Colorado-Dallas ABC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (3) and the Dallas Stars (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-02-25 |
Jets v. Blues -112 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the St. Louis Blues (50) with the money-line versus the Winnipeg Jets (49) in Game Six of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (46-33-8) had won the last two games in this series before a 5-3 loss on the road against the Jets on Wednesday. Winnipeg (59-24-4) holds a 3-2 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: St. Louis evened this series at 2-2 by dominating their two games at home by a 12-3 margin. The deeper metrics confirm their control of their two games at home against the Jets as they generated 5.44 expected goals (xG) and surrendered just 3.69 expected Goals Allowed (xGA). The Blues have won 19 of their last 28 games after a loss to a fellow Central Division rival including 11 of their last 15 games at home. They have won 25 of their last 35 games at home after losing their last game They have also won 6 of their last 7 home games after a loss at home to a divisional opponent. Back at home, St. Louis has won 19 of their last 26 games. They have also won 22 of their last 30 home games with the total set at 5.5 — and they have won 15 of their last 21 games at home when favored. Jordan Binnington is their goaltender tonight and is playing better in this series. I’m not saying he is playing great — but he does enjoy a +0.73 Goals Saved Above Expectation mark (GSAx) since Game One. He does have a Stanley Cup championship under his belt. Winnipeg’s Connor Hellebuyck is a mess — and while I was willing to believe his solid play in the 4 Nations Cup in February was a harbinger that he was prepared to play better under bigger pressure, that simply has not played out in these playoffs. After leading the NHL with +39.6 GSAx in the regular season, Hellebuyck is last in the postseason amongst goalies with a -7.1 GSAx. In the regular season, he averaged +0.64 GSAx per 60 minutes but now he is surrendering -1.56 GSAx in this series . This is the narrative on this guy — despite his likely third Vezina Trophy this year, he only has a 2.95 GAA and a .904 save percentage in his 50 starts in the playoffs. The qualitative analysis I have heard to explain this discrepancy details that while his strong fundamentals help him in the regular season, his lack of instinctual and aggressive play is hurting him in the playoff environment. At home in the regular season, he enjoyed a spectacular 1.63 Goals-Against-Average and a .938 save percentage in 33 starts at home — but those numbers declined to a 2.43 GAA and a .919 save percentage in his 29 starts on the road. In his two games on the road in this series, he has an ugly -6.37 GSAx. The narrative seems real. As it is, the Jets have lost 4 straight games on the road in the postseason. They have also lost 6 of their last 7 games on the road in the first round of the playoffs. And in their last 5 playoff games when leading in the series, they have lost 4 of these games.
FINAL TAKE: The Blues have won 6 of their last 7 games when avenging a loss on the road to a Central Division rival. 25* NHL 1st Round Playoff Game of the Year with the St. Louis Blues (50) with the money-line versus the Winnipeg Jets (49). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-01-25 |
Stars v. Avalanche -189 |
|
4-7 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (38) versus the Dallas Stars (37) in Game Six of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (51-30-6) has lost the last three of the last four games in this series after their 6-2 loss on Monday. Dallas (53-28-6) has a 3-2 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AVALANCHE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Colorado should bounce back tonight as they have won 23 of their last 35 games following a loss in their last game. They have won 15 of their last 19 games after losing on the road in their last game. They have also won 7 of their last 10 games after losing on the road to a fellow Central Division rival including five of those seven games played at home. They have also won 10 of their last 12 games after losing on the road by three or more goals. And in their last 18 home games when playing for just the second time in five days, they have won 15 of those contests. The Avalanche stay at home where they have won 17 of their last 25 games. Mackenzie Blackwood has something to prove after only stopping 13 of the 18 shots he faced in Game Five. did play better in Game Three after surrendering four goals on the 39 shots he faced in Game Two on Monday. In his two starts at home in this series, he has a 0.96 Goals-Against-Average and a .961 save percentage. He battles the Stars’ Jake Oettinger who had a 2.58 GAA and a .909 save percentage in the regular season. But while Oettinger enjoys a 2.14 GAA and a .920 save percentage in his 32 regular season starts at home, those numbers rise to a 3.16 GAA and a .896 save percentage in 26 regular season starts on the road. Dallas has lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Stars have lost 13 of their last 20 games on the road against teams with a winning record — and the Avalanche have won 15 of their last 23 home games against teams with a losing record. 8* NHL Thursday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (38) versus the Dallas Stars (37). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-29-25 |
Oilers v. Kings -109 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-109 |
1 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Kings (28) versus the Edmonton Oilers (27) in Game Five of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (50-28-8) has lost two straight games in this series after their 4-3 loss in overtime on the road against the Oilers on Sunday. Edmonton (50-31-5) has evened this series at 2-2.
REASONS TO TAKE THE KINGS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Darcy Kuemper needs to play better between the pipes — and the Los Angeles blue line needs to make things easier on him. While Kuemper gave up four goals on 48 shots, he did register +1.5 Goals Saved Above Expectation (GSAx). In Game Three, Kuemper struggled with a -2.23 GSAx mark — so he did play much better in Game Four. He posted +22.5 GSAx in the regular season which was the sixth most in the NHL. He should play much better back at home at Crypto.com Arena. On the road, Kuemper had a 2.37 Goals-Against-Average along with a .909 save percentage in 25 starts in the regular season — but in 25 starts in the regular season at home, he enjoyed a 20-3-2 record with a 1.67 GAA and a .935 save percentage. Los Angeles has won 7 of their last 8 games at home after losing to a fellow Pacific Division rival in their last game. They have also won 5 of their last 6 games at home after losing two games in a row. The Kings have won 33 of their 43 games at home this season — and they have won 10 of their 11 games at home when favored up to a -150 price. They have 10 of their last 12 games at home with the Total set at 6 or higher. And in their last 19 games at home against teams with a winning record, they have won 17 of these games. The pressure is on the Edmonton scoring attack because of their suspect goaltending situation. Stuart Skinner struggled in the first two games of this series before getting benched for Calvin Pickard. Pickard stopped 38 of the 41 shots he faced on Sunday — but he did post a -0.15 GSAx mark in that contest. Pickard ranked 93rd in the regular season with a rough -9.1 GSAx mark. He has -1.6 GSAx in this series — and he ranks 17th of the 24 goaltenders that have gotten on the ice in this postseason. The Oilers have lost 9 of their last 14 road games against teams who are winning 51-60% of their games.
FINAL TAKE: The Kings have won 16 of their last 21 games at home when avenging a loss. 25* NHL Pacific Division Game of the Month is with the money-line on the Los Angeles Kings (28) versus the Edmonton Oilers (27). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-25 |
Stars v. Avalanche -169 |
|
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (8) versus the Dallas Stars (7) in Game Four of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (50-29-6) has lost the last two games in this series after their 2-1 loss in overtime on Wednesday. Dallas (52-27-6) has a 2-1 series lead after winning two straight games in overtime.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AVALANCHE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Colorado should bounce back tonight as they have won 22 of their last 34 games following a loss in their last game. They have also won 10 of their last 13 games at home after losing two or more games in a row. Additionally, they have won 5 of their last 7 games at home after failing to score more than one goal in their last game. The Avalanche stay at home where they have won 16 of their last 24 games. Mackenzie Blackwood did play better in Game Three after surrendering four goals on the 39 shots he faced in Game Two on Monday. He had a 2.55 Goals-Against-Average and a .912 save percentage in the regular season. He battles the Stars’ Jake Oettinger who had a 2.58 GAA and a .909 save percentage in the regular season. But while Oettinger enjoys a 2.14 GAA and a .920 save percentage in his 32 regular season starts at home, those numbers rise to a 3.16 GAA and a .896 save percentage in 26 regular season starts on the road. Dallas has lost 5 of their last 9 games on the road as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Stars have lost 12 of their last 19 games on the road against teams with a winning record — and the Avalanche have won 14 of their last 22 home games against teams with a losing record. 8* NHL Saturday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (8) versus the Dallas Stars (7). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-26-25 |
Golden Knights -144 v. Wild |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 4:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (3) versus the Minnesota Wild (4) in the Quarterfinals of their Western Conference series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (51-24-10) has lost two games in a row after their 5-2 loss on the road against the Wild on Thursday. Minnesota (47-31-7) has won two games in a row to take a 2-1 lead in this best-of-seven series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Vegas has been outscored by a 10-4 margin in the last two games of this series — but they have won 9 of their last 14 games after losing two games in a row. And while they have played three straight Overs, they have then won 4 games in a row after playing three or more Overs in a row. Goalie Adin Hill allowed four goals on 21 shots on Thursday — but he should steady the ship tonight. In his 22 games in the postseason in his career, he has a 2.31 Goals-Against-Average and a .922 save percentage. The Golden Knights have won 12 of their last 19 road games with the Total set at 5.5 including seven of those 11 games this season. Minnesota has lost 7 of their last 11 games after a win at home by three or more goals. Goalie Filip Gustavsson stopped 30 of the 32 shots he faced in the victory. But Gustavsson entered the playoffs with a 3.11 GAA and a .886 save percentage in his final six regular season games. The Wild have lost 19 of their last 29 games at home as an underdog. They have lost 14 of their last 20 games at home against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range including eight of those 12 games this season. And while the Golden Knights outshoot their opponents by +4.2 shots per game, Minnesota has lost 12 of their last 16 home games against teams who outshoot their opponents by +3.5 or more shots per game.
FINAL TAKE: Vegas has won 31 of their last 43 games when avenging a loss on the road including 15 of those 22 games this season. 25* National Hockey League Game of the Month is with the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (3) versus the Minnesota Wild (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-24-25 |
Panthers v. Lightning -118 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-118 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 6:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (62) versus the Florida Panthers (61) in Game Two of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (47-28-6) has lost two games in a row after dropping the opening game of this series by a 6-2 score on Tuesday. Florida (48-31-4) snapped a two-game losing streak with the victory.
REASONS TO TAKE THE LIGHTNING WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Tampa Bay was flat in this game — and goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy had an uncharacteristically bad game. He only stopped 10 of the 16 shots he faced — and the deeper analytics indicate he posted a rough -24.5 Goals Saved Above Expectation mark (GSAx) which means he played significantly worse than the average NHL goalie in that game. Vasilevskiy should bounce back in what has been another outstanding season for the veteran. He had a 2.18 Goals-Against-Average and a .921 save percentage in the regular season — and he was second in the league with 29.2 GSAx. In his 36 starts at home, he enjoyed a 1.94 GAA and a .932 save percentage — and all six of his shutouts this season took place at home. The Lightning have won 7 of their last 8 games at home after losing at home in their last game. They have also won 6 of their last 7 home games after losing two games in a row. Tampa Bay’s defense did not play terribly on Tuesday — their expected Goals Allowed (xGA) was 3.55. They hold their opponents to 2.4 Goals-Per-Game when playing at home — and they generate 3.9 Goals-Per-Game at home. The Lightning have won 29 of their 42 games at home this season — and they have won 18 of their last 24 games on home ice. They have won 8 of their 10 games at home when favored by up to a -150 money-line price. Additionally, they have won 8 of their last 10 games at home against teams winning 51-60% of their games. Florida got a shot in the arm with the return of forward Matthew Tkachuk who had not played since the 4 Nations Face-Off in February. But the Panthers have lost 4 of their last 5 road games after a win by four or more goals. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 20 of the 22 shots he faced — but he has not been as sharp as he was last season when he helped Florida lift the Stanley Cup. He has a 2.44 GAA and a .906 save percentage this season — but in his 23 starts on the road, those numbers worsen a bit given his 2.55 GAA and a .903 save percentage in those games. More telling, Bobrovsky only ranked 27th in the NHL with a +7.2 GSAx mark. The Panthers surrender 3.0 Goals-Per-Game on the road — and they have lost 13 of their last 21 road games with the Total set at 5.5. They have also lost 5 of their last 6 games on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Lightning have won 17 of their last 21 home games when playing with revenge. 25* NHL Atlantic Division Game of the Month is with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (62) versus the Florida Panthers (61). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-23-25 |
Stars v. Avalanche -165 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-165 |
2 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (56) versus the Dallas Stars (55) in Game Three of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (50-29-5) had won two games in a row before their 4-3 loss in overtime to the Stars on Monday. Dallas (51-27-6) snapped an eight-game losing streak before the victory.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AVALANCHE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Colorado should bounce back tonight as they have won 22 of their last 33 games following a loss in their last game. They have also won 7 of their last 9 games after losing on the road to a fellow Central Division rival including five of those six games played at home. They have won 7 of their last 9 home games after losing on the road in their last game. The Avalanche return home where they have won 16 of their last 23 games. Mackenzie Blackwood should play better tonight after surrendering four goals on the 39 shots he faced on Monday. He has a 2.55 Goals-Against-Average and a .912 save percentage this season. He battles the Stars’ Jake Oettinger who has a 2.58 GAA and a .909 save percentage this season. But while Oettinger enjoys a 2.14 GAA and a .920 save percentage in his 32 starts at home, those numbers rise to a 3.16 GAA and a .896 save percentage in 26 starts on the road. Dallas has lost 5 of their last 8 games on the road as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Stars have lost 12 of their last 18 games on the road against teams with a winning record — and the Avalanche have won 14 of their last 21 home games against teams with a losing record. 8* NHL Wednesday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (56) versus the Dallas Stars (55). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-17-25 |
Flames v. Kings -145 |
|
5-1 |
Loss |
-145 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Kings (14) versus the Calgary Flames (13). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (48-26-7) has won four games in a row as well as eight of their last nine contests after their 6-1 win at Seattle on Tuesday. Calgary (40-27-14) has won three games in a row after their 5-4 victory in a shootout against Vegas on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Kings will be hosting Edmonton in the first round of the playoffs — but they still could use the win tonight to improve their position in the Western Conference seeding. And like Vegas last night, playoff teams want to enter the postseason with momentum and good feelings about themselves. Los Angeles has won 19 of their last 25 home games after winning their last game. They have also won 6 of their last 9 games after scoring six or more goals in their last contests. They return home where they have won 22 of their last 29 home games with the Total set at 5.5. The Kings have also won 24 of their last 32 home games when they are listed as the favorite. Additionally, they have won 14 of their last 21 home games against teams with a losing record. Darcy Kuemper is between the pipes for them tonight. He has a 31-11-7 record this season with a 2.02 Goals-Against-Average and a .922 save percentage. In his 25 starts at home, he enjoys a 1.67 GAA and a .931 save percentage. Calgary has lost 11 of their last 18 road games after winning their last game. They have also lost 5 of their last 8 games after a win at home against a fellow Pacific Division rival. They conclude their season tonight having lost 10 of their last 16 road games when priced as an underdog up to +150. They counter Dustin Wolf as their goalie tonight. He has a 29-16-8 record this season with a 2.64 GAA and a .910 save percentage — but in his 21 starts on the road, he has been saddled with a 3.13 GAA and a .891 save percentage. Calgary has lost 14 of their last 20 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range including seven of the nine games played on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Kings have the added motivation to avenge their 2-1 loss on the road against the Flames on January 11th the last time these two teams played — and they have won 14 of their last 18 home games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. 8* NHL Thursday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Los Angeles Kings (14) versus the Calgary Flames (13). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-16-25 |
Golden Knights +100 v. Canucks |
|
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 10:07 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (81) versus the Vancouver Canucks (82). THE SITUATION: Vegas (49-22-10) had won two games in a row after their 5-4 loss at Calgary last night. Vancouver (38-29-4) has won three of their last four games after their 2-1 win against San Jose on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Vegas has nothing to play for tonight regarding the standings in their last game of the regular season — and head coach Bruce Cassidy may opt to rest some of his best players tonight. But this team will still want to play better tonight to build some momentum for the playoffs starting this weekend. The Golden Knights have won 7 of their last 11 games on the road after losing to a fellow Pacific Division rival. They have also won 8 of their last 12 games when playing for the second time in two days. Goalie Adin Hill could use a good game as well after an underwhelming start to the month. For the season, he has a 32-13-5 record with a 2.47 Goals-Against-Average and a .906 save percentage. He ranks 16th in the NHL with +14.5 Goals Saved Above Expectation (GSAx). In his 14 starts against fellow Pacific Division rivals, he has a 10-3-1 record with a 2.31 GAA and a .915 save percentage — and two of his four shutouts were against these divisional rivals. Vegas has won 11 of their last 17 road games with the Total set at 5.5 including six of those nine games this season. They have also won 19 of their last 27 games against teams winning 40-49% of their games including 10 of those 14 games on the road. Vancouver has lost 13 of their last 17 games at home after winning their last game. They have also lost 10 of their last 11 games at home after winning at home in their last game. They have also lost 5 of their last 6 games at home after not allowing more than one goal in their last game. The Canucks are eliminated from the postseason — so they close out their season tonight. Kevin Lankinen is between the pipes. He has a 2.64 GAA and a .901 save percentage this season. He is a little underwater relative to baseline goaltender performances given his -0.1 GSAx. In his 13 starts against Pacific Division opponents, he has a 2.67 GAA and a .897 save percentage. Vancouver has lost 11 of their last 14 home games when priced as a money-line favorite up to -200 — and they have lost 5 of their 6 games at home when priced from -100 to -150.
FINAL TAKE: The Golden Knights are outscoring their opponents by +0.6 Goals-Per-Game — and the Canucks have lost 15 of their last 21 games against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +0.5 or more Goals-Per-Game. 10* NHL Wednesday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (81) versus the Vancouver Canucks (82). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-14-25 |
Rangers v. Panthers -156 |
|
5-3 |
Loss |
-156 |
0 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Florida Panthers (44) versus the New York Rangers (43). THE SITUATION: Florida (47-29-4) has won three games in a row after their 3-2 win against Buffalo on Saturday. New York (37-36-7) has lost four of their last five games after their 7-3 loss at Carolina on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Florida should continue to roll tonight as they have won 10 of their last 15 games at home after winning their last game on their home ice. They have also won 16 of their last 25 home games after winning their last game. The Panthers have clinched a spot in the playoffs but still can improve (or maintain) their seed in the Eastern Conference. Florida stays at home where they have won 16 of their last 21 games — and they have also won 25 of their last 37 games at home when favored. Sergei Bobrovsky is between the pipes tonight. He has a 33-18-2 record this season with a 2.39 Goals-Against-Average and a .908 save percentage with five shutouts. In his 30 starts at home, he has a 20-8-2 record with a 2.27 GAA and a .911 save percentage — and four of his five shutouts have been at home. New York has lost 5 of their last 7 road games after losing four or more goals in their last game. They have lost 4 of their last 5 road games with the Total set at 5.5. Additionally, they have lost 7 of their last 10 road games as a money-line underdog priced up to +150. Igor Shesterkin is their expected goalie tonight. He has endured a down season given his 26-29-5 record along with a 2.91 GAA and a .903 save percentage. In his last five starts, he has a 3.64 GAA and a .865 save percentage. The Rangers have lost 26 of their 37 games this season against teams with a winning record including 13 of those 18 games played on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Rangers want to avenge a 5-3 loss on the road against the Panthers the last time these two teams played on December 30th — but they have lost 10 of their last 16 games when playing with revenge from a loss to their opponent. 8* NHL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with money-line on the Florida Panthers (44) versus the New York Rangers (43). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-12-25 |
Utah Hockey Club v. Stars -125 |
Top |
5-3 |
Loss |
-125 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (16) versus the Utah Hockey Club (15). THE SITUATION: Dallas (50-23-6) has lost four games in a row after their 4-0 loss at home against Winnipeg on Thursday. Utah (36-30-13) had won two games in a row before their 4-3 loss in a shootout at home against Nashville on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE STARS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Dallas needs to get back to their winning ways after suffering two straight upset losses — including a historic collapse on Tuesday at home against Vancouver when they surrendered three goals in the final minute before losing in overtime. Then they just came out flat two days ago after that loss and got outclassed by the Jets and the best goaltender in the world, Connor Hellebuyck. The Stars have won 18 of their last 28 games after losing their last game including 11 of those 14 games at home. They have won 6 of their last 8 games after losing to a fellow Central Division rival including four of those five games at home. They have also won 7 of their last 9 games after losing two or more games in a row. They stay at home where they have won 28 of their 39 games this season — and they have won 20 of their 27 home games with the Total set at 6 or higher. They should take care of business tonight since they have won 33 of their 44 games against teams with a losing record including 18 of those 24 games played at home. And while the Hockey Club allows 3.0 Goals-Per-Game, Dallas has won 28 of their 41 games this season against teams who are giving up at least 3.0 Goals-Per-Game including 15 of those 21 games played at home. I am seeing conflicted information regarding their expected goaltender tonight — and while I usually hold off before getting confirmation, I am comfortable committing to this situation early because I would be happy with either goaltender. Casey DeSmith is one of the best backups in the league — and he has something to prove after surrendering the three goals against the Canucks on Tuesday. There is plenty of blame to spread around for that collapse including DeSmith but also the five players on the ice that could not hold off Vancouver playing with their goaltender pulled. DeSmith has a 14-7-2 record this season with a 2.53 Goals-Against-Average and a .916 save percentage. He has +14.5 Goals Saved Above Expectation (GSAx) — and he ranks seventh in the NHL in GSAx per 60 minutes. When playing with at least three days of rest, DeSmith has a 2.35 GAA and a .922 save percentage in 21 starts when playing with three or more days of rest. But it might be Jake Oettinger between the pipes tonight who wants to redeem himself from giving up four goals in the loss to Winnipeg. In his 32 starts at home, he has a 2.14 GAA and a .920 save percentage. Utah is likely to turn back to Karel Vejmelka who gave up three goals on 31 shots in the loss to the Predators on Thursday. He has a 25-21-8 record with a 2.51 GAA and a .907 save percentage — but his save percentage drops a bit to .903 in his 21 starts playing with one day of rest. The Hockey Club has lost 25 of their 37 games as an underdog this season — and they have lost 15 of their 23 games on the road as a dog. They have lost 10 of their 14 games against teams using a goaltender with a save percentage of .915 or better including five of those six games on the road. They have also lost 12 of their 18 games this season against teams winning 60-75% of their games including six of those nine games played on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Utah has been eliminated from the playoff race — so they have little to play for tonight. They will have revenge on their mind after losing to the Stars in Dallas in the most recent meeting between these two teams on January 4th by a 3-2 score — but the Hockey Club has lost 9 of their last 13 games when attempting to avenge a loss on the road. 25* NHL Central Division Game of the Year with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (16) versus the Utah Hockey Club (15). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-12-25 |
Rangers v. Hurricanes -183 |
|
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 3:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Carolina Hurricanes (6) versus the New York Rangers (5). THE SITUATION: Carolina (46-27-5) has lost four games in a row after their 5-4 loss at Washington on Thursday. New York (37-35-7) snapped a three-game losing streak with a 9-2 victory on the road against the New York Islanders.
REASONS TO TAKE THE HURRICANES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Carolina should bounce back this afternoon as they have won 20 of their last 31 games after losing their previous game. They have also won 8 of their last 9 games at home after losing on the road in their previous game, Additionally, they have won 6 of their last 7 games after losing to a fellow Metropolitan Division rival in their last contest. After finishing their four-game road trip, they return home where they have won 30 of their 39 games this season. They have also won 22 of their last 27 home games with the Total set at 6 or higher. Furthermore, the Hurricanes have won 18 of their last 22 games at home against teams with a losing record. Pyotr Kochetkov is likely to be between the pipes this afternoon. In his 15 starts against division rivals, he sports a 2.40 Goals-Against-Average and a .907 save percentage. New York has lost 4 of their last 5 road games after beating a fellow Metropolitan Division rival in their last game. They have lost 6 of their last 9 road games after a win by three or more goals. They have also lost 4 of their last 5 games after scoring six or more goals in their last game. Additionally, they have lost 12 of their last 16 road games as an underdog. Igor Shesterkin is back in net for them for this one after stopping 44 of the 46 shots he faced on Thursday. But he has struggled with these matinee weekend games as he has been saddled with a 4.05 GAA and a .877 save percentage in his 11 starts in the daytime. The Rangers have lost 25 of their last 36 games against teams with a winning record including 12 of those 17 games played on the road.
FINAL TAKE: New York wants to avenge a 4-0 loss at home to the Hurricanes on January 28th — but they have lost 14 of their last 23 opportunities to exact some same-season revenge. 8* NHL NY Rangers-Carolina ABC-TV Special with the money-line on the Carolina Hurricanes (6) versus the New York Rangers (5). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-10-25 |
Ducks v. Kings UNDER 5.5 |
|
1-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 10:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (49) and the Los Angeles Kings (50). THE SITUATION: Anaheim (35-35-8) has won two games in a row after their 4-3 victory against Calgary last night. Los Angeles (44-26-7) saw their four-game winning streak snapped with a 2-1 victory against Seattle on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Ducks have played 23 of their last 33 games Under the Total after winning their last game including 13 of those 17 games played on the road. They have also played 6 straight Unders on the road after beating a fellow Pacific Division rival. Furthermore, Anaheim has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in back-to-back days. This is their third game since Monday — and they have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing for the third time in four days including eight of those nine games played on the road. Lukas Dostal is their goalie tonight. He has a 3.05 Goals-Against-Average with a .905 save percentage in 46 starts. He has been at his best against fellow Pacific Division rivals this season against which he sports a 2.73 GAA along with a .915 save percentage in 15 starts. His 18.0 Goals-Saved-Above-Expectations (GSAx) is the tenth-best mark in the NHL. The Ducks have played 20 of their last 31 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record including 10 of those 14 games played on the road. And while the Kings only surrender 2.5 Goals-Per-Game, Anaheim has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams who did not give up more than 2.55 Goals-Per-Game. Los Angeles has only given up six combined goals in their last five contests — and none of those five opponents scored more than two goals in those games. The Kings have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. They stay at home where they are only allowing 1.9 Goals-Per-Game — and they have played 15 of their last 23 home games Under the Total. They have also played 17 of their last 27 games at home Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5. Darcy Kuemper is their expected goaltender tonight. He has a 28-11-7 record this season with a 2.03 GAA and a .922 save percentage. He has been outstanding at home where he has a 1.60 GAA and a .938 save percentage in 23 starts — and four of his five shutouts this season have been at home. His +21.3 GSAx are the fourth-most in the NHL. Anaheim allows their opponents to generate 32.2 Shots-Per-Game — and Los Angeles has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total against teams who surrender at least 29.5 Shots-Per-Game including five of those seven games played at home.
FINAL TAKE: The Kings want to avenge a 2-1 loss in a shootout at home to the Ducks on February 8th. Los Angeles has lady 12 of their last 19 home games Under the Total when playing with revenge. 10* NHL Thursday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (49) and the Los Angeles Kings (50). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-08-25 |
Canucks v. Stars -193 |
|
6-5 |
Loss |
-193 |
0 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (16) versus the Vancouver Canucks (15). THE SITUATION: Dallas (50-22-5) has lost two games in a row after their 3-2 loss at Minnesota on Sunday. Vancouver (35-29-13) has lost four of their last five games after their 3-2 loss to Vegas on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE STARS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Dallas should rebound tonight after previously winning seven games in a row before a disappointing weekend. The Stars have won 18 of their last 26 games after losing their last contest including 11 of those 12 games played at home. They have also won 11 of their last 15 games after losing on the road including all six of those games played back at home. They have also won 7 straight games after losing two games in a row — and they have not suffered a losing streak longer than two games all season. Dallas has won 8 of their 10 games at home this season with the Total set at 5.5 — and they have also won 27 of their last 35 games at home when favored. Casey DeSmith is between the pipes tonight. In his 11 starts against teams from the Western Conference this season, he enjoys an 8-3-0 record with a 2.28 Goals-Against-Average and a .927 save percentage with two shutouts. Vancouver has lost 15 of their 22 games on the road as an underdog — and they have also lost 7 of their last 9 games on the road against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-75% range. They counter with Thatcher Demko in goal tonight. He has a 2.86 GAA and a .891 save percentage in 20 starts this season. He comes off a good start on Saturday when he made 30 saves on 32 shots in a 6-2 victory against Anaheim — but he has a 3.07 GAA and a .882 save percentage in his three previous starts this season when playing with two days of rest. Dallas is outscoring their opponents by +0.8 Goals-Per-Game — and the Canucks have lost 15 of their last 19 games against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +0.5 or more Goals-Per-Game.
FINAL TAKE: The Stars have won 33 of their last 43 games against teams with a losing record including 18 of those 23 games played at home. 8* NHL Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (16) versus the Vancouver Canucks (15). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-28-25 |
Devils v. Jets -181 |
|
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (64) versus the New Jersey Devils (63). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (49-19-4) has won five of their last seven games after their 3-2 victory against Washington on Tuesday. New Jersey (38-28-7) snapped their three-game losing streak with a 5-3 win at Chicago on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE JETS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Look for Winnipeg to build off the momentum of their big win against a Capitals team with the most points in the league. The Jets have won 34 of their last 51 games after winning their last game. They stay at home where they have won 11 of their 16 games this season with the Total set at 5.5. They have won 23 of their last 30 games against teams with a winning record including 11 of those 13 games played at home. They have also won 43 of their last 57 games when favored. Connor Hellebuyck is their goaltender tonight. He has been very tough to beat at home where he enjoys a 1.75 Goals-Against-Average and a .934 save percentage. New Jersey has lost 13 of their last 19 games after a win on the road including seven of those eight games when played on the road. On the road, they have lost 5 of their 8 games priced as an underdog up to +150. Jake Allen is their goaltender tonight. He has a 2.56 GAA and a .913 save percentage this season. In his four starts against teams from the Central Division, he has been saddled with a 2.82 GAA and a .895 save percentage. The Devils score 3.0 Goals-Per-Game — but Winnipeg has won 26 of their last 36 games against teams who are scoring 3.0 or more Goals-Per-Game.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on March 7th in a 6-1 blowout win for the Jets in New Jersey. The Devils have lost 13 of their last 21 attempts to avenge a loss at home. 8* NHL Friday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (64) versus the New Jersey Devils (63). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-25-25 |
Rangers v. Kings -161 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 10:37 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Kings (28) versus the New York Rangers (27). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (39-23-7) has won eight of their last nine games after their 7-2 victory against Boston on Sunday. New York (34-311-6) snapped a three-game losing streak with a 5-3 victory against Vancouver on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE KINGS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Los Angeles should continue to roll since they have won 15 of their last 24 games after winning at home in their last game including winning 11 of those 15 games when they are continuing a home stand in that next game. They have won 16 of their last 21 games at home with the Total set at 5.5 — and they won 11 of their last 17 home games against teams with a losing record. The Kings have also won 12 of their last 14 games at home against teams from the Eastern Conference. Darcy Kuemper is the likely goalie tonight — I don’t like to invest unless the goaltender decision is confirmed, but with less than an hour before the puck drops, the lack of a name change from the morning skate makes me comfortable enough to make the play. Kuemper has been outstanding when playing at home this season with a 1.70 Goals-Against-Average and a .934 save percentage in 18 starts. New York has lost 20 of their last 33 games after winning their last contest. Now they go back on the road where they have lost 10 of their last 13 games as an underdog — and they have lost 6 of their last 8 games on the road when priced as an underdog up to +150. Igor Shesterkin is between the pipes tonight. He is not enjoying one of his better seasons this year with a 2.81 GAA and a .907 save percentage. His problem has been dealing with shots that are on target on the goal as he ranks just 18th for all goaltenders with a .907 save percentage. For comparison's sake, Connor Hellebuyck and Andrea Vasileskiy have save percentages on shots on target of .924 and .919 this season which is why they remain elite goalies in the league.
FINAL TAKE: The Rangers have lost 22 of their last 32 games against teams with a winning record including 10 of those 15 games played on the road. 8* NHL Tuesday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Los Angeles Kings (28) versus the New York Rangers (27). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-17-25 |
Kings v. Wild UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (45) and the Minnesota Wild (46). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (36-22-7) has won five games in a row after their 1-0 victory against Nashville on Saturday. Minnesota (37-25-5) has lost four of their last five games after a 5-1 loss against St. Louis on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings have now shut out two straight opponents — and they have only allowed one goal in their last three games. They are simply playing fantastic defense right now as they have held four of their last five opponents to one goal or less. They have held their last five opponents to 1.4 Goals-Per-Game. Los Angeles has played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total after a win including 12 of those 16 games on the road. They have played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a win at home including 6 of those 8 games on the road. Furthermore, they have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in their last game. They have played 6 of their 8 games this month Under the Total
|
03-16-25 |
Jets -153 v. Seattle Kraken |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 9:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (35) versus the Seattle Kraken (36). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (46-17-4) has won four of their last five games after their 4-1 victory against Dallas on Friday. Seattle (29-34-4) has won three of their last four games after their 4-2 victory against Utah on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE JETS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Winnipeg has won 33 of their last 45 games after winning their previous game including winning 15 of those 22 games played on the road. They have won 8 of their last 10 games after beating a Central Division rival at home in their last game. Additionally, they have won 12 of their last 15 games after a win at home by three or more goals including winning 5 of those 6 games played on the road. And in their last 21 games after not surrendering more than one goal in their last game, they have won 14 of those contests. The Jets go back on the road where they have won 21 of their last 33 games. They have also won 40 of their last 52 games when favored including 17 of their 22 games on the road. Eric Comrie is between the pipes tonight. He has a 7-8-1 record with a 2.46 Goals-Against-Average and a .914 save percentage. His most recent start was on the road at Philadelphia when he stopped 21 of the 22 shots he faced in a victory for Winnipeg. Seattle has lost 11 of their last 16 games at home as a money-line underdog. The Jets are giving up only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game — and the Kraken have lost 6 of their last 7 games against opponents who are not giving up more than 2.5 Goals-Per-Game. Winnipeg is scoring 3.5 Goals-Per-Game — and Seattle has lost 24 of their last 35 games against teams who score 3.0 or more Goals-Per-Game including losing 12 of those 16 games played at home. Joey Daccord is their goalie tonight. He has a 2.68 GAA and a .909 save percentage. In his 23 starts against fellow Western Conference rivals, those numbers decline to a 2.92 GAA and a .898 save percentage. The Kraken have lost 11 of their last 13 games against teams winning 60-80% of their games including losing 6 of those 7 games on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Jets on the last meeting between these two teams with a 2-1 victory on January 16th — and Seattle has lost 27 of their last 40 opportunities for revenge. 8* NHL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (35) versus the Seattle Kraken (36). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-11-25 |
Rangers v. Jets -180 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (22) versus the New York Rangers (21). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (44-17-4) saw their two-game winning streak snapped in a 4-2 loss at Carolina on Sunday. New York (31-27-6) has lost three games in a row after their 7-3 loss at home against Columbus on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE JETS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Winnipeg should play better tonight back at home after completing a four-game road trip. The Jets have won 23 of their last 32 games at home — and they have won 14 of their last 18 games at home with the Total set at 6. Connor Hellebuyk is between the pipes tonight. He has been outstanding at home this season with a 1.80 Goals-Against-Average and a .932 save percentage with a 20-3-3 record in his 26 starts. New York has lost 5 of their last 8 games after a loss by four or more goals. They have also lost 8 of their last 13 games after losing two or more games in a row. Additionally, the Rangers have lost 8 of their last 11 games on the road as an underdog priced up to +200. Igor Shesterkin is their goalie tonight. He is in the middle of a down season for him given his 2.89 GAA and a .905 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: Winnipeg has won 21 of their last 33 games against teams with a losing record — and they have won 12 of their last 19 games at home against teams with a losing record. The Rangers have lost 19 of their last 28 games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 9 of those 13 games when playing on the road. 8* NHL Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (22) versus the New York Rangers (21). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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03-09-25 |
Kings v. Golden Knights -175 |
|
6-5 |
Loss |
-175 |
0 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (72) versus the Los Angeles Kings (71). THE SITUATION: Vegas (38-18-6) has won seven of their last eight games after their 4-0 win against Pittsburgh on Friday. Los Angeles (32-22-7) snapped a five-game losing streak with their 2-1 win against St. Louis yesterday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Vegas should continue to build off their momentum tonight since they have won 16 of their last 23 games after winning on home ice in their last game. They have also won 4 straight games at home after winning by four or more goals in their last contest. They stay at home where they have won 24 of their last 33 games — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games at home with the Total set at 5.5. Adin Hill is their goaltender tonight — and he has thrived when playing at home at T-Mobile Arena. While he has a 2.90 Goals-Against-Average and a .890 save percentage in his 16 starts on the road, those numbers drastically improve when he is playing on the Las Vegas strip where he enjoys a 2.20 GAA and a .919 save percentage. Los Angeles has lost 11 of their last 16 games on the road after winning their last game. They have also lost 16 of their last 22 games on the road with the Total set at 5.5. Additionally, they have lost 11 of their last 15 games on the road as an underdog. David Rittich is their goalie tonight since the Kings used Darcy Kuemper in yesterday’s game. While he has a 2.20 GAA and a .906 save percentage in his 13 starts at home, those numbers decline to a 3.18 GAA and a .871 save percentage in his 12 starts on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Golden Knights look to avenge a 5-2 loss on the road against the Kings back on February 24th — and they have won 10 of their last 13 games at home when playing with revenge. 8* NHL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (72) versus the Los Angeles Kings (71). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-24-25 |
Golden Knights v. Kings UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-103 |
1 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 10:37 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (23) and the Los Angeles Kings (24). THE SITUATION: Vegas (34-17-6) has won three games in a row after their 3-1 win against Vancouver on Saturday. Los Angeles (30-18-6) has won four of their last five games after a 5-3 win against Utah on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Knights have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win against a Pacific Division rival. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after winning three or more games in a row. And in their last 10 games on the road when playing for just the second time in seven days, they have played 7 of these games Under the Total. Vegas has played 12 of their 19 games in the second half of the season Under the Total as they tighten things up on defense — but injuries impacting their scoring attack have also played a role. Center William Karlsson remains out — he has only played 38 games this season with seven goals and 11 assists but he remains a valuable veteran who can anchor the third line. Don’t underestimate the loss of defenseman Shea Theodore to the scoring attack as he has assisted on 41 goals and added seven goals himself. The Golden Knights are scoring only 2.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games — but they have given up only 2.2 goals in those five contests. They also hold their Pacific Division rivals to 2.0 Goals-Per-Game. Adin Hill is their likely goaltender tonight after he stopped 33 of the 34 shots he faced against the Canucks on Saturday. He has a 2.59 Goals-Against-Average and a .903 save percentage this season but is playing his best goaltending right now. In his last two starts in January, he posted a .919 save percentage by stopping 57 of the 62 shots he faced. In his three starts this month, he has a 2.02 Goals-Against-Average and a .922 save percentage. He has +10.5 Goals Saved Above Expectation on the season. Vegas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams who are winning 51-60% of their games. And while the Kings only give up 25.5 Shots-Per-Game, the Golden Knights have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Under the Total against opponents who are not surrendering more than 26.5 Shots-Per-Game. Los Angeles has played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total after winning their last game — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a win on their home ice. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total at home when playing for the second time in five days — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total at home when playing for no more than the fifth time in the last fourteen days. The Kings stay at home where they are only giving up 2.3 Goals-Per-Game. Vegas is outscoring their opponents by +0.6 Goals-Per-Game — and the Kings have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against opponents who are outscoring their opponents by +0.5 or more Goals-Per-Game. Darcy Kuemper is their confirmed goaltender tonight. He has a 2.22 GAA and a .918 save percentage this season — and in his 11 starts at home, he sports a 2.08 GAA and a .924 save percentage. He boasts +11.3 Goals Saved Above Expectation. The Kings are scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game against Pacific Division rivals. They have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams winning 51-60% of their games. And while the Golden Knights generate 30.9 Shots-Per-Game and convert on 27.4% of their Power Plays, Los Angeles has played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total against teams averaging 29.5 or more Shots-Per-Game and converting on 17.5% or more of their Power Play chances. Vegas has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams using a goalie with a .915 or better save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: The Golden Knights want to avenge a 6-3 loss in Los Angeles to the Kings on October 30th — and they have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total when playing with revenge for a loss by three or more goals. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (23) and the Los Angeles Kings (24). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-04-25 |
Senators v. Lightning -165 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (10) versus the Ottawa Senators (9). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (27-20-4) has lost three of their last four games after a 3-2 loss in overtime at home against the New York Islanders on Saturday. Ottawa (28-20-4) has won five games in a row after their 5-2 win at Nashville last night.
REASONS TO TAKE THE LIGHTNING WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Tampa Bay should bounce-back tonight as they have won 7 of their last 8 games at home after losing their last game. They stay at home where they have won 14 of their last 21 games when favored. Andrei Vasilevskiy is their goaltender tonight. He has a 21-15-3 record this season with a 2.28 Goals-Against-Average and a .918 save percentage — but he has been much better at home where he enjoys a 16-5-2 record along with a 1.95 GAA and a .933 save percentage. Ottawa has lost 3 of their last 4 games when playing on the road for the second day in a row this season. And while they have played three straight games that finished Over the Total, they have then lost 3 of their 4 games this season after playing three or more Overs in a row. Linus Ullmark is their goaltender tonight as he makes his first start since December 27th due to injury. He was carrying a 12-7-2 record at the time with a 2.38 GAA and a .915 save percentage. He may be rusty making his first start in over a month. As it is, Ullmark has a 2.87 GAA and a .902 save percentage this season when playing with three or more days between appearances.
FINAL TAKE: The Lightning look to avenge a 5-4 loss on the road against the Senators in a game where they were priced as a -140 money-line favorite — and they have won 9 of their last 13 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss on the road. 8* NHL Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (10) versus the Ottawa Senators (9). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-30-25 |
Kings v. Lightning -145 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (6) versus the Los Angeles Kings (5). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (26-20-3) has lost two games in a row after their 4-1 loss to Chicago on Tuesday. Los Angeles (26-16-6) has lost three games in a row after a 3-0 loss at Florida last night.
REASONS TO TAKE THE LIGHTNING WITH THE MONEY-LINE: I have been waiting on confirmation that Andrei Vasileskiy would be between the pipes to Tampa Bay — and that news was made official at 6:30 PM ET. Vasilevskiy took part in morning practice with the expectation to play but he has been battling an illness which put his start tonight in doubt. He has not played since Saturday. If he was not going to play tonight, the Lightning called up Matt Tomkins from the AHL to make his first appearance of the season — and I was not willing to invest under those circumstances. Vasilevskiy has been outstanding at home where he sports a 2.05 Goals-Against-Average and a .931 save percentage to go along with his 15-5-1 record. He should offer the shot in the arm this team needs given their recent slump. As it is, Tampa Bay has won 6 of their last 9 home games after losing their last game. They have won 13 of their last 19 games at home when favored — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games at home when priced as a money-line favorite up to a -150 price. Los Angeles has lost five of their last six contests during a significant scoring slump where they have not scored more than two goals in five straight games and in ten of their last 11 contests. The Kings have lost 7 of their last 11 road games after losing their previous game on the road. They have also lost 12 of their last 17 games on the road with the Total set at 5.5. Furthermore, Los Angeles has lost 7 of their last 9 road games when priced as an underdog in the +100 to +150 price range. David Rittich is their starting goaltender tonight given the back-to-back schedule the last two days. He has struggled with a 3-8-0 record in 11 starts on the road with a 3.20 GAA and a .860 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: The Lightning look to avenge a 2-1 loss on the road against the Kings back on January 4th — and they have won 4 of their last 5 home games when playing with same-season revenge. 10* NHL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (6) versus the Los Angeles Kings (5). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-23-25 |
Canucks v. Oilers -172 |
|
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 9:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Edmonton Oilers (58) versus the Vancouver Canucks (57). THE SITUATION: Edmonton (29-15-3) has lost two games in a row after their 3-2 loss against Washington on Tuesday. Vancouver (20-16-10) has lost three of their last four games after their 3-2 loss to Buffalo on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OILERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Edmonton should bounce back tonight after previously being on a four-game winning streak before this recent slide. The Oilers have won 19 of their last 28 games after losing two games in a row — and they have won 10 of their last 14 games at home after losing two or more games in a row. They have won 15 of their last 24 games at home this season — and they have won 29 of their last 40 games at home in the second half of the season. Edmonton is playing with Connor McDavid who got suspended for three games — but the Canucks are missing two of their top-six defensemen on their blue line. The Oilers have won 18 of their last 21 games played in January. The Canucks are allowing 3.2 Goals-Per-Game this season — and Edmonton has won 21 of their last 3 games against teams giving up 3.0 or more Goals-Per-Game. The Oilers have also won 15 of their last 21 games against teams with a losing record. Calvin Pickard is their goaltender tonight. He has a 9-2-0 record in his 11 starts against fellow Western Conference opponents this season with a solid 2.54 Goals-Against-Average and a .900 save percentage. Vancouver has lost 7 of their last 9 games on the road as an underdog — and they have lost 6 of their last 9 road games against teams with a winning record. They have lost 14 of their last 19 games as an underdog. Thatcher Demko is between the pipes tonight. He has a 3.23 GAA and an .873 save percentage. He is underwater with a -4.1 Goals-Saved-Above Expectation mark in a very disappointing season.
FINAL TAKE: The Oilers got upset in Vancouver by a 3-2 score as a -175 money-line favorite back on January 8th. Edmonton has won 12 of their last 17 games when playing with revenge — and they have won 8 of their last 11 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss as a road favorite. 8* NHL Thursday Late Show Special Feature with the money-line on the Edmonton Oilers (58) versus the Vancouver Canucks (57). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-14-25 |
Rangers v. Avalanche -142 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 9:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (72) versus the New York Rangers (71). THE SITUATION: Colorado (26-17-1) has lost two of their last three games after their 3-0 upset loss at Winnipeg on Saturday. New York (20-20-2) has won three of their last four games after their 2-1 upset win at Vegas on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AVALANCHE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Colorado struggled out of the gate with a 3-6-1 record but they are playing up to their high expectations now with a 9-3-1 mark in their last 13 games despite losing two of their last three games. Fixing their goaltending problem by acquiring Mackenzie Blackwood and Scott Wedgewood has made a huge difference. Blackwood gets the start tonight. In his 11 games (10 starts) with the Aves, he has an 8-2-1 record with a 1.66 Goals-Against-Average and a .939 save percentage. He is fourth in the league with 15.5 Goals-Saved-Above-Expectation. His .961 save percentage on unblocked shots this season is ninth-best in the league for all goaltenders who have played in at least four games. Colorado should play better tonight as they have won 11 of their last 17 games after a loss. They have won 14 of their last 21 games after a loss on the road by at least three goals including 5 of those 7 times this season. They have also won 6 straight games after failing to score more than one goal. After playing their three games on the road, they return home to Ball Arena where they have won 44 of their last 64 home games when favored. They have won 5 of their last 7 games after playing their last three games on the road. They have won 13 of their 20 games this season against teams with a losing record — and they have won 23 of their last 30 home games against teams with a losing record. They have also won 23 of their last 34 games when favored. New York has been one of the biggest disappointments this season after winning the President’s Trophy last season — and trading away Jacob Trouba earlier in the year ruffled some feathers inside the locker room. The Rangers are playing better lately — but they have lost 12 of their last 19 games after winning their last game. They have also lost 7 of their last 10 games after a win on the road. Igor Shesterkin will be between the pipes tonight. He is having a down season given his 13-15-1 record along with a 2.98 GAA and a .908 save percentage. Against teams from the Western Conference, he has a 4-6-1 record along with a 3.29 GAA and a .905 save percentage. His save percentage on unblocked shots is just .953 which ranks 32nd in the NHL for all goaltenders who have played at least four games this season. The Rangers have lost 10 of their last 14 games as an underdog — and they have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road as a dog.
FINAL TAKE: New York has lost 13 of their last 20 games against teams with a winning record — and the Avalanche have won 23 of their last 26 games against teams winning 40-49% of their games. 25* NHL Game of the Month is with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (72) versus the New York Rangers (71). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-14-25 |
Canucks v. Jets -151 |
|
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (64) versus the Vancouver Canucks (63). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (29-12-3) has won two of their last three games after their 3-0 win against Colorado on Saturday. Vancouver (19-10-3) snapped a four-game losing streak with their 3-0 win at Toronto on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE JETS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Winnipeg should build off their momentum as they have won 19 of their last 28 games after winning their last game — and they have won 10 of their last 14 games at home after a win. They have won 7 of their last 10 games after a win at home by three or more goals. The Jets have won 16 of their 23 games at home this season — and they have won 15 of their last 20 games at home when favored. Furthermore, they have won 5 of their last 6 games at home after not allowing more than one goal in their last game. Connor Hellebuyck got the shutout against the Avalanche — and gets the start between the pipes tonight. In his 34 games this season, he has a 26-6-2 record with a 2.02 Goals-Against-Average and a .928 save percentage. In his 20 starts at home, he enjoys a 1.90 GAA and a .931 save percentage. Vancouver has lost 11 of their last 18 games after winning their last game. They have also lost 5 of their last 7 games after allowing one goal or less in their last game. Kevin Lankinen gets the start tonight. He has a 16-7-6 record with a 2.51 GAA and a .906 save percentage. Against Western Conference opponents, he has a 2.62 GAA and a .898 save percentage in 12 starts. He ranks 37th in the NHL with just a 0.02 save percentage above the expected save percentage for the shots he has faced.
FINAL TAKE: The Canucks have lost 6 of their last 8 games on the road when an underdog up to a +200 price. 8* NHL Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (64) versus the Vancouver Canucks (63). Best of luck for — Frank.
|
01-09-25 |
Islanders v. Golden Knights -169 |
|
4-0 |
Loss |
-169 |
1 h 35 m |
Show
|
At 10:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (48) versus the New York Islanders (47). THE SITUATION: Vegas (28-9-3) has won three games in a row and nine of their last ten contests after their 4-2 win at San Jose on Tuesday. New York (15-18-7) snapped a three-game losing streak with a 5-4 win at Boston on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Vegas should continue to build off their momentum tonight. The Golden Knights have won 9 of their last 13 games after a win against a fellow Pacific Division rival — and they have won 6 of their last 7 home games after beating a divisional opponent. They return home to the Fortress at T-Mobile Arena where they have won 14 of their 18 home games this season with the Total set at 6 or higher. They have also won 7 of their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record. Adin Hill will be between the pipes for Vegas tonight. He has a 2.58 Goals-Against-Average and a .904 save percentage — but he has been better at home where he sports a 2.33 GAA and a .915 save percentage. He ranks tenth in the league with +9.7 Goals Saved Above Expectation. New York has lost 7 straight games after a win on the road. They have also lost 10 of their last 15 road games with the Total set at 6 or higher. They counter with Ilya Sorokin as their goaltender. He has a 2.92 GAA and a .898 save percentage. He is underwater with a -1.8 Goals Saved Above Expectation.
FINAL TAKE: The Islanders have lost 9 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record. 8* NHL Thursday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (48) versus the New York Islanders (47). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-08-25 |
Canucks v. Capitals -171 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 7:37 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Washington Capitals (22) versus the Vancouver Canucks (21). THE SITUATION: Washington (26-10-4) has lost two of their last three games after their 4-3 loss at Buffalo on Monday. Vancouver (18-12-9) has lost four of their last five contests after their 5-4 loss in overtime at Montreal on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE CAPITALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Washington should get back to their winning ways tonight as they have won 11 of their last 13 games after losing their last game. They return home where they have won 13 of their last 20 games on home ice. They have also won 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record. Logan Thompson is their goaltender tonight. He has a 16-2-2 record in his 20 starts this season along with a 2.39 Goals-Against-Average and a .916 save percentage. He ranks fourth in the NHL with +14.1 Goals Saved Above Expectation. In his eight starts against Western Conference opponents, he has a 5-2-1 record with a 1.89 GAA and a .936 save percentage. The former Vegas Golden Knights’ goalie faces his former Pacific Division rival Canucks who are banged up with Elias Petersson and Filip Hronek on injured reserve. Vancouver has lost 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog priced up to +150. They have also lost 17 of their last 26 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-75% range. They turn to Kevin Lankinen between the pipes who has a 2.63 GAA and a .904 save percentage in 27 starts. He is underwater with a -0.9 Goals Saved Above Expectation which ranks 50th in the league. He faces a Washington team that scores 3.7 Goals-Per-Game and outscores their opponents by +1.0 Goals-Per-Game. Vancouver has lost 19 of their last 29 games against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +0.5 or more Goals-Per-Game — and they have lost 8 of their last 12 games on the road against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +0.5 or more Goals-Per-Game.
FINAL TAKE: The Canucks are scoring 3.1 Goals-Per-Game and surrendering 3.2 Goals-Per-Game. The Capitals have won 14 of their last 20 games against teams who are scoring 3.0 or more Goals-Per-Game — and they have won 17 of their last 25 games against teams who are giving up 3.0 or more Goals-Per-Game. 8* NHL Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Washington Capitals (22) versus the Vancouver Canucks (21). Best of luck for us -- Frank.
|
01-07-25 |
Predators v. Jets -135 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (16) versus the Nashville Predators (15). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (27-12-2) has lost three games in a row after their 4-2 loss at home against Detroit on Saturday. Nashville (13-20-7) has won two games in a row after their 4-1 win at Calgary on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE JETS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Winnipeg should get back to their winning ways tonight as they have won 4 of their last 5 games after losing at home in their last game. They have also won 5 straight games when playing with two days of rest between contests. The Jets have won 14 of their last 20 games at home — and they have won 10 of their last 12 games at home when priced as a money-line favorite up to -200. Connor Hellebuyck is between the pipes tonight. He leads the NHL with +23.1 Goals Saves Above Expectation. In his 18 starts at home, he has a 1.99 Goals-Against-Average and a .928 save percentage. Winnipeg has won 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 25-40% range. Nashville has lost 8 of their last 12 games after winning their last game. They stay on the road where they have lost 11 of their last 13 games as an underdog — and they have lost 9 of their last 11 games on the road against teams with a winning record. They counter with Juuse Saros between the pipes tonight. In his 16 starts on the road, he has just a 3-10-3 record with a 2.83 GAA and a .906 save percentage. He ranks just 23rd in the league with only +4.6 Goals Saved Above Expectation.
FINAL TAKE: The Predators want to avenge a 3-0 loss at Winnipeg on December 30th — but they have lost 8 of their last 11 opportunities to revenge. 8* NHL Tuesday Night Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (16) versus the Nashville Predators (15). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-07-25 |
Blue Jackets v. Penguins -145 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-145 |
0 h 3 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Pittsburgh Penguins (4) versus the Columbus Blue Jackets (3). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (17-17-4) has lost three games in a row after their 4-3 loss at Carolina on Sunday. Columbus (17-17-6) has won two of their last three games after their 6-4 win at home against St. Louis on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PENGUINS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Penguins return home after losing all three games on their road trip. Pittsburgh has won 7 of their last 11 games at home after a loss. They have also won 6 of their last 8 games after a loss to a fellow Metropolitan Division rival — and they have won all 4 of those games when playing at home. Additionally, they have won 5 of their last 6 games after a loss on the road to a division foe. Back at home, they have won 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a losing record — and they have won 4 of their last 5 home games when priced as a money-line favorite up to -150. The Penguins have won 9 of their 11 games when favored this season. Tristan Jarry is their goaltender tonight. He has been a disappointment with an 8-6-3 record along with a 3.47 Goals-Against-Average and a .888 save percentage. He did play well in his last start at Florida when he stopped 31 of the 33 shots he faced in a game that eventually they lost in a shootout. He faces a Blue Jackets team that has lost 6 of their last 7 games on the road against teams using a goaltender with a save percentage no better than .895. Columbus has lost 11 of their last 16 games after winning their last game — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games on the road after winning their last game. They have lost 8 of their last 12 games after winning at home in their last contest — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road after winning at home in their last game. Furthermore, they have lost 6 of their last 8 games after scoring six or more goals in their last contest — and they have lost 4 straight games on the road after scoring six or more goals in their last game. They hit the road again where they have lost 15 of their last 19 road games with the Total set at 6 or higher. They have also lost 12 of their last 15 road games as an underdog. And while Pittsburgh is giving up 3.7 Goals-Per-Game, the Blue Jackets have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against teams who are giving up 3.0 or more Goals-Per-Game. Elvis Merzlikins is between the pipes for them tonight. He has a 3.18 Goals-Against-Average along with a .888 save percentage in 26 starts. In two games this month, he has been saddled with a 4.53 GAA and a .847 save percentage. In nine games facing Merzlikins, Sidney Crosby has scored six goals. In his eight starts against Pittsburgh, Merzlikins has lost six times.
FINAL TAKE: The Penguins look to avenge a 6-2 loss at Columbus on November 15th — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games at home when playing with revenge. Pittsburgh has won 18 of their last 20 games at home against the Blue Jackets including fifteen victories in a row. 10* NHL Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Pittsburgh Penguins (4) versus the Columbus Blue Jackets (3). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-02-25 |
Flyers v. Golden Knights -178 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 10:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (22) versus the Philadelphia Flyers (21). THE SITUATION: Vegas (25-9-3) saw their six-game winning streak snapped in a 3-2 loss at home against Montreal on Tuesday. Philadelphia (17-17-4) has won two of their last three games after a 4-0 win at San Jose on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Vegas should rebound tonight as they have won 12 of their last 19 games after a loss at home — and they have won 7 of their last 10 games at home after losing on home ice in their last contest. They have won 37 of their last 55 games at home with the Total set at 6 or higher — and they have won 13 of their last 16 games at home when favored. The Flyers are giving up 3.6 Goals-Per-Game — and the Golden Knights have won 17 of their last 23 games against teams who are giving up 3.0 or more Goals-Per-Game. Ilya Samsonov gets the nod to play between the pipes tonight. He has a 9-3-1 record in his 12 starts with a 2.75 Goals-Against-Average and a .906 save percentage this season. In his seven starts at home, he has a 5-2-0 record with a 2.44 GAA and a .911 save percentage. Philadelphia has lost 10 of their last 16 games after winning their last game — and they have lost 4 straight games after a win by four or more goals. They stay on the road where they have lost 14 of their last 21 games in the second half of the season. Vegas is outscoring their opponents by +0.7 Goals-Per-Game — and the Flyers have lost 6 of their last 8 games against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +0.5 or more Goals-Per-Game. Philly has also lost 11 of their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Aleksei Kolosov who has a 4-7-1 record with 3.39 GAA and a .872 save percentage. In his five starts on the road, he has been saddled with a 3.37 GAA and a .872 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played against each other in Philadelphia on November 25th when the Golden Knights won by a 5-4 score. The Flyers have lost all 5 of their opportunities to avenge a same-season loss this year. 8* NHL Thursday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (22) versus the Philadelphia Flyers (21). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-27-24 |
Avalanche -132 v. Utah Hockey Club |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (73) versus the Utah Hockey Club (74). THE SITUATION: Colorado (21-15-0) has won three straight games as well as four of their last five contests after their 5-2 victory against Seattle on Sunday. Utah (16-12-6) has lost two games in a row after their 3-2 loss at home against Dallas on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AVALANCHE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Colorado has taken their game to the next level as of late by winning seven of their last nine games. They were already playing better defense lately to make things easier on their suspect goaltenders. But they pulled off a coup by trading with San Jose to bring in Mackenzie Blackwood. He has a very respectable +5.9 Goals Saved Above Expectation this season. In his four games since being acquired by the Avalanche, he has a 3-1-0 record with a 2.03 Goals-Against-Average and a .931 save percentage. He could be very good now playing behind a much better blue line in Colorado than he was with San Jose. The Avalanche have been spotty when playing at home this season — but they are taking care of business on the road where they have won 10 of their 11 games when favored this season. They have also won 12 of their 18 games on the road with the Total set at 6 or higher. Furthermore, the Avalanche has won a whopping 38 of their last 53 games against teams with a losing record. Utah has lost 10 of their last 14 home games with the Total set at 6 or higher. They have also lost 5 of their last 6 home games as an underdog priced up to +150. They sent out Karel Vejmelka between the pipes. He has been a pleasant surprise for the Hockey Club with a 2.33 GAA and a .917 save percentage in 18 starts. In his two career starts against Colorado, he has a 3.00 GAA and a .880 save percentage. He has been outstanding on the road where he owns a 1.91 GAA and a .929 save percentage in ten starts. But in his eight starts at home, he has a 2.79 GAA and a .905 save percentage in eight starts this season.
FINAL TAKE: The Avalanche should be highly motivated coming back from the mini-break to avenge a 4-1 loss at home to Utah on December 12th. Colorado has won 37 of their last 55 games when avenging a same-season loss — and they have won 8 of their last 12 games on the road when playing with revenge from a loss at home by three or more goals. 25* NHL Friday ESPN2 Game of the Month with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (73) versus the Utah Hockey Club (74). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-14-24 |
Blues v. Stars UNDER 6 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (75) and the Dallas Stars (76). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (14-14-2) has lost two of their three games after their 4-3 loss against San Jose on Thursday. Dallas (17-11-0) has lost three of their last four games after their 4-1 loss against Nashville on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Stars are underachieving with their scoring attack this season. They have failed to score more than two goals in five of their last six games. They are only scoring 2.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. Their defense and goaltender Jake Oettinger are keeping them competitive in the Western Conference. They had not allowed more than three goals in six straight games before their loss to the Predators. Dallas has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after playing their previous game on home ice — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total after playing their previous game at home. They are only giving up 1.8 Goals-Per-Game on home at the American Airlines Center. The Stars have played 7 of their last 10 games at home Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games at home Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Oettinger has a 14-7-0 record this season with a 2.46 Goals-Against-Average and a .911 save percentage. He has played far better at home where he has a 2.08 GAA and a .925 save percentage in 12 games at home as opposed to his 3.02 GAA and a .889 save percentage in nine starts on the road. Oettinger has a +4.1 Goals Saved Above Expectation mark so far this season. St. Louis has been playing better defensively since Jim Montgomery took over as their head coach on November 24th. In their eight games since, they have given up only 20 goals for a 2.5 Goals Allowed per Game mark. But the Blues are only scoring 2.7 Goals-Per-Game this season. St. Louis has played 34 of their last 49 games Under the Total after losing their last game — and they have played 5 of their 7 games this season Under the Total after losing at home in their last game. Jordan Binnington is between the pipes tonight. He has an 8-11-0 record with a 2.98 GAA and a .896 save percentage — but he has been better away from home this season. While he has a 3.31 GAA and a .882 save percentage in ten starts at home, those numbers improve to a 2.70 GAA and a .907 save percentage in his 11 starts on the road. Binnington has a solid +2.1 Goals Saved Above Expectation mark so far this season. The Blues have played 30 of their last 49 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher — and they have played 16 of their last 24 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Dallas is outscoring their opponents by +0.7 Goals-Per-Game and outshooting them by +3.0 Shots-Per-Game. St. Louis has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +0.5 or more Goals-Per-Game. They have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total against teams who outshoot their opponents by +3.0 or more Shots-Per-Game including four of those five occasions this season — and they have played 9 of their last 10 games on the road Under the Total against teams who outshoot their opponents by +3.0 or more Shots-Per-Game.
FINAL TAKE: This is the first meeting between these Central Division rivals this season — and they have played 9 of their last 11 clashes Under the Total. The Blues are scoring only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game against division opponents this season — and the Stars are only scoring 2.7 Goals-Per-Game against division rivals. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (75) and the Dallas Stars (76). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-10-24 |
Maple Leafs v. Devils -132 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-132 |
1 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the New Jersey Devils (2) versus the Toronto Maple Leafs (1). THE SITUATION: New Jersey (18-10-2) had won two games in a row before their 4-0 loss at home against Colorado on Sunday. Toronto (16-9-2) has lost two games in a row after their 5-2 loss at Pittsburgh on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE DEVILS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: New Jersey is playing good hockey. After enduring a four-game losing streak, they have since gone 13-7-0. Jack Hughes is their star — but he has been joined by Jesper Bratt with both forwards scoring more than a point per game. Defenseman Nico Hischier is an early candidate to win the Selke Trophy this season as well after already reaching double-digits in goals and assists. The Devils have won 8 of their last 11 games after losing their last game — and they have won 8 of their last 11 games after a loss at home by three or more goals. They have also won 13 of their last 19 games after failing to score more than one goal in their last game — and that includes winning all four of their games this season. New Jersey has been shutout out three times this season — but the Devils won all three of their games by multiple goals against stiff competition. The Devils beat the Oilers in Edmonton by a 3-0 score, they beat the Panthers in Florida by a 4-1 score, and they beat Carolina at home by a 4-2 score. Beating the two teams who played in the Stanley Cup Finals plus the perennial cup contender that are the Hurricanes by a combined 11-3 goal margin after getting shutout is impressive. Goaltending has been an issue for this team — and Jacob Markstrom has been a disappointment after being their big acquisition in the offseason. He has a 13-6-1 record with a 2.51 Goals-Against-Average and a .907 save percentage. But there are signs that he is regaining the form that made him a star as he is 2-0 in his starts this month with a 1.50 GAA and a .948 save percentage. Toronto has lost 6 of their last 7 games on the road with the Total set at 6 or higher. They tend to struggle against possession teams like this New Jersey squad as well. The Devils are outshooting their opponents by +3.2 shots-per-game while holding these opponents to only 27.0 shots-per-game. The Maple Leafs have lost 12 of their last 19 games against teams who outshoot their opponents by +3.0 shots-per-game — and they have lost 6 of their last 8 games on the road against these teams. Toronto averages 29.1 shots-per-game while converting on 20.0 of their Power Play opportunities this season. But New Jersey has won 7 of their last 8 games against teams who average at least 29 shots-per-game and convert on 17% or more of their Power Play chances. The Maple Leafs are getting great goaltending from Anthony Stolarz who has demonstrated — so far — that he can handle the grind of being a number one goaltender. He has an 8-5-2 record with a 2.22 GAA and a .924 save percentage. But he has stark home/road splits. In his ten starts at home, he has a 1.82 GAA and a .939 save percentage. But in his five starts on the road, he has a 3.01 GAA and a .893 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: The Devils would love to beat the Leafs for their head coach Sheldon Keefe who previously was the skipper for Toronto. They failed at their first chance this season in a 4-2 loss at home to the Maple Leafs — but they have won 12 of their last 17 games when playing with revenge. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month with the money-line on the New Jersey Devils (2) versus the Toronto Maple Leafs (1). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-03-24 |
Blue Jackets v. Flames -130 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 9:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Calgary Flames (58) versus the Columbus Blue Jackets (57). THE SITUATION: Calgary (12-9-4) has lost four games after their 6-2 loss at Pittsburgh on Saturday. Columbus (11-9-3) has won two games in a row and five of their last six contests after their 6-3 win at Chicago on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE FLAMES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Calgary has been feisty this season despite their current four-game losing streak. All those games were on the road — and the Flames have won 4 of their last 5 games at home after losing their previous game on the road. They have also won 6 straight home games after playing their last game on the road. And in their last 9 games at home after three or more games in a row, they have won 6 of those contests. Calgary has won 9 of their 12 games on home ice this season. Additionally, they have won 4 straight games at home when favored — and they have won 12 of their last 19 home games when priced as a money-line favorite up to -150. Head coach Ryan Huska is getting great play from rookie goaltender Dustin Wolf — but tonight’s goalie Dan Vladar is also playing well. In 12 starts this season, he has a 4-5-3 record with a 2.87 Goals-Against-Average and a .900 save percentage. He has +0.9 Goals Saved Above Expectation which indicates he is playing above the league average overall. He has been quite good at home where he has a 2.23 GAA and a .923 save percentage with a shutout in four starts this year. Columbus has been playing better than expected this season, especially after the tragic death of Johnny Gaudreau. Credit goes to head coach Dean Evason for keeping this team together and working hard on a nightly basis. But this looks like a letdown spot for them after their dominant win against the Blackhawks. The Blue Jackets have lost 28 of their last 36 games after winning their last game. They have also lost 10 of their last 13 games after scoring six or more goals in their last contest. Columbus has lost 38 of their last 51 games on the road with the Total set at 6 or higher including eight of their eleven games at home this season with the Total at 6 or higher. They have lost 33 of their last 42 road games as an underdog including five of those seven occasions this season. They have lost 7 of their last 8 road games when priced as a money-line underdog up to +150. Furthermore, they have lost 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a losing record. The Blue Jackets have lost 8 of their last 12 games against teams from the Western Conference — and they have lost 6 of their last 8 games on the road against Western Conference rivals. Elvis Merzlikins is between the pipes tonight. He has a 8-5-2 record with a 3.07 GAA and a .894 save percentage in 14 starts. He had a good start in October — but in his ten starts since the beginning of November, he has a 3.43 GAA and a .883 save percentage. He has an underwhelming -4.1 Goals Saved Above Expectation this season. In his 21 starts on the road last season, he was saddled with a 3.85 GAA and a .884 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played in Columbus on November 29th with the Blue Jackets winning by a 5-2 score with both teams priced as a -110 money-line favorite — and the Flames have won 5 of their last 7 games when avenging an upset loss as a road favorite. 25* National Hockey League Game of the Month is with the Calgary Flames (58) versus the Columbus Blue Jackets (57). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-27-24 |
Golden Knights v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
0 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 10:07 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (29) and the Colorado Avalanche (30). THE SITUATION: Vegas (14-6-2) has won three games in a row after their 5-4 win at Philadelphia on Monday. Colorado (12-10-0) saw their three-game winning streak snapped in an 8-2 loss at Tampa Bay on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Avalanche have played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total after allowing six or more goals in their last game. They have also played 30 of their last 44 games Over the Total after a loss including playing 7 of their 8 games Over the Total after losing their last game this season. They have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a loss by three or more goals. The Avalanche are scoring 3.4 Goals-Per-Game — but they are surrendering 3.8 Goals-Per-Game as well. They are not getting good goaltending play. Alexandar Georgiev is between the pipes tonight. He has a 3.53 Goals-Against-Average and a .862 save percentage in eight starts at home this season. Vegas has played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win on the road. They have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after winning three or more games in a row. Additionally, they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after playing their last game on the road. They turn to Adin Hill as their goalie tonight who has struggled on the road this season. Hill has a 2.78 GAA and a .893 save percentage in his eight starts on the road. The Golden Knights are giving up 3.1 Goals-Per-Game this season — but they are scoring 3.9 Goals-Per-Game. Vegas has played 28 of their last 45 games Over the Total on the road. They have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams who are scoring 3.0 or more Goals-Per-Game.
FINAL TAKE: The Avalanche want to avenge an 8-4 loss in Las Vegas to Colorado on October 9th. Colorado has played 7 of their 9 opportunities at revenge this season Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games when avenging a loss on the road. 10* NHL Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (29) and the Colorado Avalanche (30). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-21-24 |
Utah Hockey Club v. Bruins -134 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Boston Bruins (8) versus the Utah Hockey Club (7). THE SITUATION: Boston (8-9-3) has lost three games in a row after their 5-1 loss to Columbus on Monday. Utah (7-8-3) has lost three of their last four games after a 6-2 loss to Washington on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BRUINS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Boston fired head coach Jim Montgomery on Tuesday — and I am expecting the proverbial fired head coach bounce tonight under interim head coach Joe Sacco. Perhaps the Bruins have overachieved the last two seasons — but this remains a veteran team with legitimate playoff expectations. David Pastrnak has been playing better after a slow start to the season. Boston has been reliable in situations like this as they have won 7 of their last 9 games after losing three games in a row — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games at home after losing three or more in a row. They have also won 20 of their last 32 games at home with the Total set at 6 or higher. Goalie Jeremy Swayman has been one of the team’s biggest disappointments so far this season — but backup Joonas Korpisalo has done his job and gets the start tonight. He has a 3-2-1 record with a 2.74 Goals-Against-Average and a .901 save percentage — but in his three starts at home, he sports a 2.26 GAA and a .919 save percentage. In his three games this month, he has a 1.92 GAA and a .932 save percentage with a shutout against Philadelphia. Utah started the season on a three-game winning streak in their new digs in Salt Lake City — but they have only won four games in their 15 games since. They have not scored more than two goals in four of their last six games — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last contest. The Hockey Club has given up 10 combined goals in their last two games — and they have given up four or more goals in three of their last four games. Utah has lost 22 of their last 28 games on the road — and they have lost 6 of their 9 games on the road this season with the Total set at 6 or higher. They have lost 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog priced up to +150. Karel Vejmelka is their goaltender tonight. The backup to Connor Ingram has a 1-4-0 record with a 2.58 GAA and a .915 save percentage this season — but he has given up five goals in his last two games with a .872 save percentage. That is a red flag as is his 3.22 GAA and a .901 save percentage in 16 starts on the road last season.
FINAL TAKE: The Bruins lost in Salt Lake City against the Hockey Club by a 2-1 score in overtime back on October 19th. Boston has won 17 of their last 25 home games when playing with revenge — and they have won 13 of their last 18 games when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent. 25* NHL Non-Conference Game of the Month with the money-line on the Boston Bruins (8) versus the Utah Hockey Club (7). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-05-24 |
Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche -170 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 9:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (18) versus the Seattle Kraken (17). THE SITUATION: Colorado (5-7-0) has lost three games in a row after their 5-2 loss at Nashville on Saturday. Seattle (5-7-1) has lost three games in a row as well as six of their last seven contests after their 2-0 loss at Boston on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AVALANCHE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Colorado should rebound with a strong effort tonight. The Avalanche have won 9 of their last 13 home games after a loss on the road — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games on home ice after a loss on the road against a Central Division rival. They have won 17 of their last 26 games at home in the first half of the season. They have won 18 of their last 23 home games against teams with a losing record. Colorado sends out Justus Anuunen as their goalie tonight. He has a 4-2-0 record this season with a 2.58 Goals-Against-Average and a .899 save percentage this season. Last year at home, Anuunen had a 3-1 record with a 1.37 GAA and a .951 save percentage. Seattle has lost 13 of their last 16 games after a loss by three or more goals. They have also lost 19 of their last 26 games after a loss on the road — and they have lost 15 of their last 21 road games after a loss on the road. Additionally, they have lost 20 of their last 30 games after failing to score more than one goal in their last game. Furthermore, the Kraken have lost 37 of their last 54 games as an underdog including seven of their last nine games as a dog this season. They turn to Philipp Grubauer between the pipes tonight. He had a 2.75 GAA and a .903 save percentage on the road last season.
FINAL TAKE: The Avalanche won the previous meetings between these teams this season by a 3-2 score in Seattle on October 22nd. The Kraken have lost 17 of their last 26 games when playing with revenge from a loss on home ice. 8* NHL Tuesday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (18) versus the Seattle Kraken (17). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-02-24 |
Utah Hockey Club v. Golden Knights -159 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 10:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (46) versus the Utah Hockey Club (45). THE SITUATION: Vegas (7-3-1) had their four-game winning streak snapped in a 6-3 loss in Los Angeles against the Kings on Wednesday. Utah (5-4-2) ended their four-game losing streak with their 5-1 win against Calgary on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Vegas should get back to their winning ways tonight as they have won 8 of their last 12 games after losing to a Pacific Division rival in their last game. They have also won 5 of their last 7 games at home after losing by three or more goals in their last game. Adin Hill is their goaltender tonight. In his 20 starts at home last season, he posted a 2.54 Goals-Against-Average and a .913 save percentage. Vegas has won 26 of their last 39 games at home when favored — and they have won all 7 of their games on home ice this season. Additionally, the Golden Knights have won 12 of their last 18 home games against teams with a losing record. Utah has lost 9 of their last 15 games after winning their last game. They have also lost 8 of their last 12 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. They go back on the road where they have lost 19 of their last 27 games going back to their Arizona Coyotes days last season. Connor Ingram is their goalie tonight. He had a 3.23 GAA and a .899 save percentage last season in 25 starts on the road as compared to his 2.57 GAA and a .911 save percentage in 23 starts at home. This season, he has a 4.16 GAA and a .856 save percentage in four starts on the road as opposed to his 2.96 GAA and a .902 save percentage in five starts at home.
FINAL TAKE: The Utah Hockey Club/Arizona Coyotes have lost 9 of their last 10 games in Las Vegas to play the Golden Knights. 8* NHL Saturday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (46) versus the Utah Hockey Club (45). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-01-24 |
Islanders v. Sabres -111 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-111 |
0 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Rangers (18) versus the Ottawa Senators (17). THE SITUATION: New York (6-2-1) has lost two of their last three games after their 5-3 loss at Washington on Tuesday. Ottawa (5-4-0) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 8-1 win against St. Louis on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RANGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: New York should bounce back tonight as they have won 23 of their last 34 games after losing their previous game. They have also won 7 of their last 9 games at home after a loss to a Metropolitan Division rival. They return home where they have won 36 of their last 52 games — and they have won 6 of their last 9 games at home against teams winning 51-60% of their games. Additionally, they have won 25 of their last 32 games at home against teams who are allowing three or more goals per game. Ottawa has lost 6 of their last 7 games after a win by four or more goals. Now they go on the road where they have lost 28 of their last 45 games with the Total set at 6 or higher.
FINAL TAKE: The Senators have lost 14 of their last 17 games against teams winning 60-75% of their games. 8* NHL Blowout Bookie Buster with the money-line on the New York Rangers (18) versus the Ottawa Senators (17). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-01-24 |
Senators v. Rangers -180 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Rangers (18) versus the Ottawa Senators (17). THE SITUATION: New York (6-2-1) has lost two of their last three games after their 5-3 loss at Washington on Tuesday. Ottawa (5-4-0) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 8-1 win against St. Louis on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RANGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: New York should bounce back tonight as they have won 23 of their last 34 games after losing their previous game. They have also won 7 of their last 9 games at home after a loss to a Metropolitan Division rival. They return home where they have won 36 of their last 52 games — and they have won 6 of their last 9 games at home against teams winning 51-60% of their games. Additionally, they have won 25 of their last 32 games at home after allowing three or more goals in their last contest. Ottawa has lost 6 of their last 7 games after a win by four or more goals. Now they go on the road where they have lost 28 of their last 45 games with the Total set at 6 or higher.
FINAL TAKE: The Senators have lost 14 of their last 17 games against teams winning 60-75% of their games. 8* NHL Blowout Bookie Buster with the money-line on the New York Rangers (18) versus the Ottawa Senators (17). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-24-24 |
Oilers v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (23) and the Florida Panthers (24) in Game Seven of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Edmonton (65-35-7) forced this decisive Game Seven with their 5-1 victory on Friday. Florida (67-31-8) had won six games in a row — but they have now dropped three games in a row.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Game Six finished Over the Total after the Oilers scored two empty-netters in a 12 second span after the Panthers pulled their goalie with over four minutes left in the game. Edmonton only had 19 shots on net in that game — and they generated only 2.84 expected goals. Florida had 21 shots on target but only managed 1.94 expected goals. Stuart Skinner has given up only five goals on the 77 shots he has faced in the last three games for a .935 save percentage. The Panthers have been anemic in even generating scoring chances in the power play in this series. The Panthers have scored only once in their 19 opportunities with a man-advantage — and they have failed to score a goal in 22 of their last 23 power plays. Florida has played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after allowing two or more goals in two or more games in a row. They have also played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row by two or more goals. Florida has given up five or more goals in their three straight losses with their 5-3 loss in Game Five being the closest contest. The Panthers have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing four or more goals in two or more games in a row. Edmonton has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after winning their last game. They have played 26 of their last 41 games Under the Total after winning two games in a row — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after winning two games in a row by two more goals. Additionally, the Oilers have played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after winning three games in a row — and they have played 6 straight Unders after winning three games in a row by more than one goal. The last four games in this series have finished Over the Total — but Edmonton has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing four or more Overs in a row. They have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after scoring four or more goals in three straight contests. They go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5.
FINAL TAKE: The Panthers are struggling with the Oilers’ aggressive odd-man rushes — they have been indecisive regarding whether to play conservatively and defend against these potential scoring chances or continue their forechecking approach that has been so successful in the playoffs. I suspect they will commit to defending these odd rushes after giving up 19 of them in the last three games. Florida has played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with triple revenge of their opponent. 10* NHL Monday Daily Discounted U/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (23) and the Florida Panthers (24). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-21-24 |
Panthers v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-5 |
Loss |
-101 |
2 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida Panthers (21) and the Edmonton Oilers (22) in Game Six of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Florida (67-29-8) had won six games in a row — but they have now dropped two games in a row after their 5-3 loss at home to the Oilers. Edmonton (63-35-7) can force a decisive Game Seven with a victory tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Florida has been anemic in even generating scoring chances in the power play in this series. The Panthers have scored only once in their 16 opportunities with a man advantage — and they have failed to score a goal in 19 of their last 20 power plays. But the Panthers' defensive-first approach has still been mostly effective. They have limited the Oilers to just 6.8 High Danger Chances and 17.6 Scoring Chances per game — and those numbers are actually lower than the 8.1 High Danger Chances and 18.0 Scoring Chances they are allowing in the postseason. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky gave up four goals in Game Five — but Florida did hold Edmonton to just 23 shots in that game. He went into that game with a 1.97 Goals-Against-Average and a .914 save percentage following a loss in these playoffs. If not for the short-handed goal by the Oilers early in the third period, Game Five might stay a lower-scoring contest. Instead, Edmonton took a 2-0 lead early in the second period and the game script changed with the Panthers trailing by multiple goals. Still, outside of the scoring fest in Game Four, Florida has only given up four goals at five-on-five in this series. And they have still stopped 18 of the 21 Oilers’ power plays. The Panthers have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a game at home where both teams scored three goals. They have also played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a game where eight or more goals were scored. Florida has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing four or more goals in two games in a row. They have also played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total when playing with two or more days of rest. Edmonton returns home where they generated 9.0 High Danger Chances and 24.0 Scoring Chances per Game — and those numbers were lower than the 13.1 High Danger Chances and 27.9 Scoring Chances per Game they averaged in the regular season. Goalie Stuart Skinner has gained confidence as this series has moved on — as he did against Dallas in the Western Conference Finals. He has stopped 52 of the last 56 shots he has faced in the last two games for a .929 save percentage. The Oilers have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning their last game. They have played 26 of their last 40 games Under the Total after winning two games in a row — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after winning two games in a row by two more goals. Tonight’s game is just the fifth time all season that Edmonton has scored five or more goals in two straight games — and they have played 3 of those 4 previous games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Panthers have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road when playing with revenge. 25* NHL Friday Television Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Florida Panthers (21) and the Edmonton Oilers (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-18-24 |
Oilers v. Panthers -130 |
Top |
5-3 |
Loss |
-130 |
28 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Florida Panthers (20) versus the Edmonton Oilers (19) in Game Five of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Florida (67-28-8) saw their six-game winning streak snapped in an 8-1 loss on the road against the Oilers on Saturday. Edmonton (62-35-7) still looks to stave off elimination trailing 3-1 in this best-of-seven series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: After a frustrating first three games against Florida, almost everything went right for the Oilers in Game Four. Connor McDavid finally scored a goal. Edmonton finally scored on a power play — and they also began the game by scoring a shorthanded goal. The Oilers’ pressure knocked the Panthers’ goalie Sergei Bobrovsky out of the game after scoring five goals against him on 16 shots. Stuart Skinner played his best game in the series — and perhaps the entire postseason — by stopping 32 of the 33 shots he faced. Admittedly, the deeper analytics indicated that the series was closer than the 3-0 margin suggested. Edmonton probably should have won Game One. But there are still some larger issues that are trending in Florida’s favor despite the loss on Saturday. The Oilers had a sense of urgency to avoid being swept and seeing the Panthers lift the cup in their building. And Florida had the confidence that only one of 28 teams in the history of the NHL had rallied back from an 0-3 deficit to win in the Stanley Cup Finals. The Panthers’ forechecking approach is still working to wear down Edmonton — and head coach Paul Maurice has been keeping his players fresher due to Florida’s deeper bench. Now back at home, Maurice has the advantage of the final line change — and he can better take advantage of the Oilers’ defensive pairing of Darnell Nurse and Codi Ceci who have been weak links for them all postseason. Edmonton has still scored on only one power play in their 16 opportunities with the man advantage after going just one of six on Saturday. Maurice blamed the play of the defense rather than Bobrovsky post-game — and the two-time Vezina Trophy winner has a 4-1 record in his last five playoff games following a loss with a 1.97 Goals-Against-Average and a .914 save percentage. He returns home where he has a .973 save percentage in his last three games — and he only gave up one goal on the 51 shots he faced against the Oilers in Games One and Two of this series. Skinner, on the other hand, has a .890 save percentage in his last eight road games this postseason — and he had a .889 save percentage in the first two games of this series in Florida’s building. Edmonton has lost 11 of their last 18 road games against Eastern Conference teams — and they have lost 8 of their last 12 road games when playing for no more than the fifth time in the last 14 days. Florida has won 22 of their last 35 games after losing their previous game — and they have won 11 of their last 17 games after a loss on the road. They have won 8 of their last 11 games after allowing five or more goals in their last game — and they have won 8 of their last 10 games after a game where nine or more goals were scored. They have also won 15 of their last 16 games when playing with two days of rest. Back at home, the Panthers have won 8 of their 11 games in these playoffs — and they have won 11 of their last 16 home games with the total set at 5.5. Florida has also won 15 of their last 20 playoff games when trailing in the series.
FINAL TAKE: The Panthers lost Game Five of the Stanley Cup Finals last year to Vegas by a 9-3 score — and they did not get the chance for revenge for that blowout loss until the next season since the Golden Knights lifted the cup that night. Florida has their chance to redeem themselves from another bad loss tonight while also fulfilling their dream of winning the championship. The Panthers have won 8 of their last 12 games when avenging a loss by three or more goals. 25* NHL Game of the Year with the money-line on the Florida Panthers (20) versus the Edmonton Oilers (19). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-15-24 |
Panthers v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-8 |
Loss |
-116 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida Panthers (17) and the Edmonton Oilers (18) in Game Four of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Florida (67-28-8) has won six games in a row after their 4-3 victory on the road against the Oilers on Thursday. Edmonton (61-35-7) trails by a 0-3 margin and looks to stave off Lord Stanley’s Cup being raised on their home ice tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky did give up two goals in the third period in Game Three — but the Panthers have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing two or more goals in the third period in their last game. Bobrovsky has been sensational in this series with a .953 save percentage and +4.53 Goals Saved Above Expectation. The Florida Power Play Kill Unit has also been elite as they have stopped all ten of the Oilers’ chances with the man advantage. The Panthers have stopped 90.2% of their opponent’s power plays in the postseason which is the second-best mark in the playoffs. Florida has played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a win by one goal — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win on the road by just one goal. They have played 22 of their last 34 games Under the Total after playing a game where seven or more combined goals were scored. In their last 11 games on the road with the total set at 5.5, they have played 7 of these games Under the Total. The Panthers have scored at least three goals in each of the games in this series — but they have then played 26 of their last 38 games Under the Total after scoring three or more goals in three or more games in a row. The Oilers’ goaltender Stuart Skinner has struggled in this series — but Florida is also scoring on an unsustainable 15.7% of their shot attempts that reach the net. Edmonton is at its best when limiting shot attempts to help put Skinner in a better position to succeed. They only had four goals in the final three games of their series against Dallas to rally from a 2-1 deficit to take that series in six games. The Oilers had stopped 34 straight opponent power plays before the Panthers scored with the man advantage in Game Two — but they have still stopped eight of the nine opportunities with the man advantage for Florida in this series. They lead all playoff teams with an opponent Power Play Kill rate of 93.1% in the postseason. But Edmonton is struggling to score against the Panthers' physical style of play that emphasizes forechecking. The Oilers have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring three goals or less in their last game. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after losing three or more games in a row.
FINAL TAKE: The Panthers have played 13 of their last 17 playoff games when leading in the series — and they have played 6 of their last 9 Game Fours in a series Under the Total. 25* NHL Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Florida Panthers (17) and the Edmonton Oilers (18). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-08-24 |
Oilers v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
102 |
1 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (11) and the Florida Panthers (12) in Game One of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Edmonton (61-32-7) has won three straight games and six of their last eight contests after their 2-1 victory at home against Dallas last Sunday to end that series in six games. Florida (64-27-8) has won three games in a row and five of their last seven after their 2-1 win against the New York Rangers last Saturday that ended that series in six games.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Look for the opening game of this series to be a lower-scoring affair. Game Ones tend to be cagey — and with both teams potentially rusty after getting the week off, I suspect both teams will start slow. The Panthers have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with three or more days of rest — and they have played 7 of their last 9 opening games to a new series Under the Total. They have played 16 of their last 25 games Under the Total after a victory by just one goal. They have played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after winning three or more games in a row. Florida leads all teams in the postseason by allowing only 2.29 Goals-Per-Game in the playoffs. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky has not allowed more than two goals in 10 of his last 11 starts. During that span, he has a 1.77 Goals-Against-Average and a .921 save percentage. And in his last five starts against the Oilers, Bobrovsky has a 2.03 GAA and a .936 save percentage. The Panthers have not allowed more than two goals in three straight games. Florida has played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in two straight games — and they have played 23 of their last 35 games at home Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in three straight contests. The Panthers outshot the Rangers by 10 or more shots in those final three games while attempting at least 34 shots in those contests. Florida has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after attempting at least 33 shots in three or more games in a row — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after attempting eight or more shots than their opponent in three straight games. Edmonton has played 20 of their last 32 games Under the Toal after a win at home — and they have played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after winning three or more games in a row. The Oilers play at their best when they are engaging in a defensive-first approach committed to limiting their opponent's shot attempts to help put goalie Stuart Skinner in a better position to succeed. They have not allowed more than two goals in three straight games. Before withstanding a Stars onslaught of 35 shots in Game Six, Edmonton had not allowed more than 25 shots in their previous four games. Skinner stopped 35 of the 36 shots he faced in Game Six — and he has only allowed four goals in his last three games, he sports a .947 save percentage. The Oilers have played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in their last game — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total on the road after not allowing more than one goal in two straight games. Additionally, they have oiled 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last two games — and they have played 15 of their last 17 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in three straight games.
FINAL TAKE: Florida swept the two games between these teams in the regular season after a 5-1 win on the road on December 16th. Edmonton has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by four or more goals. 10* NHL Edmonton-Florida ABC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (11) and the Florida Panthers (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-02-24 |
Stars v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (3) and the Edmonton Oilers (4) in Game Six of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Dallas (62-27-11) has lost the last two games of this series after their 3-1 loss at home to the Oilers on Friday. Edmonton (60-32-7) has won five of their last seven games to take a 3-2 series lead.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Stars have lost their scoring punch in these last two games. After generating 2.92 to 3.68 expected goals (xG) in Games One through Three, they only managed 1.95 xG in Game Four before registering just 1.95 xG in Game Five. They have only scored three combined goals in those two losses. Some of their key players are in slumps right now. Despite his hat trick in Game Three, Jason Robertson has not scored in his other last 13 games — and he has no points since scoring those three goals. Joe Pavelski and Matt Duchene have no points in this series as well. Dallas has played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total on the road after a game where they did not score more than one goal — and they have played 12 of their last 15 road games Under the Total after a loss on their home ice. They have played 20 of their last 26 games on the road after losing two or more games in a row — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in two straight games. The Oiler's strategy of protecting their goalie Stuart Skinner with a smothering defense that is limiting shot attempts has stymied the Stars. They have not generated more than 22 shots in three straight games — and they have played 38 of their last 57 games Under the Total after playing three or more games where they did not put more than 24 shots on net. Edmonton has played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last two games. They have played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in their last game. Additionally, the Oilers have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after winning two games in a row by two or more goals. They have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after winning five or six of their last seven games. Edmonton’s tactics have helped Skinner. In his last seven stars, he has a 1.92 Goals-Against-Average and a solid .908 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: The Oilers have played 7 of their last 11 sixth games in a playoff series Under the Total — and the Stars have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total in Game Six of a playoff series. 25* NHL Western Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (3) and the Edmonton Oilers (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-01-24 |
Rangers v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (1) and the Florida Panthers (2) in Game Six of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: New York (65-28-4) finds themselves on the brink of elimination with two straight losses in this series after their 3-2 setback at home on Thursday. Florida (63-27-8) has won seven of their last ten games while taking a 3-2 series lead.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rangers are simply not generating enough offense in this series. They have not scored more than two goals in four of the five games in this series. They have generated only 23 shots in four of their last six contests. They had been surviving from their potent Power Play that scored on 26.4% of their opportunities in the regular season and in 40.0% of their chances with the man advantage in the first six games in the postseason. But in their last nine games, they have only scored twice in their last 24 Power Play chances for a woeful 8.3% success rate — and they are scoring only one of their 14 chances with the man advantage in this series. At five-on-five even strength in the playoffs, they rank only 12th of the 16 teams in expected Goals-For Percentage. One of the issues is that they simply do not have enough viable goal scorers. They have scored 11 goals in this series with just three players — Alexis Lafreniere, Barclay Woodrow, and Vincent Trocheck — accounting for nine of these goals. The Rangers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a loss. They have also played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game. And while they have surrendered at least three goals in their last three games, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing three or more goals in three straight games. Don’t blame goalie Igor Shesterkin — he has a .934 save percentage in this series after stopping 34 of the 36 shots he faced on Thursday. He leads all postseason goaltenders this season with +12.2 Goals-Saved-Above-Expectation (GSAx). In the last two games, he has stopped 25 of the 28 High-Danger Chances from the Panthers. New York has played 18 of their last 25 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60-75%. Florida has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win by just one goal. They have played 22 of their last 34 games Under the Total after allowing two goals or less in their last two games. Additionally, they have played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after scoring three or more goals in three or more games in a row. The Panthers are dominating the shot attempts battle. They have outshot the Rangers by at least 10 shots in three straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after outshooting their last three opponents by at least eight shots per game. They have generated at least 37 shots in those three games — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after attempting at least 33 shots in three or more games in a row. And despite the help their defense is providing in limiting shots, goalie Sergei Bobrovsky is playing well with a 2.06 Goals-Against-Average and a .913 save percentage in this series. He has not given up more than two goals in 12 of his 16 starts this postseason. The Panthers have played 23 of their last 35 home games Under the Total against teams winning 60-75% of their games.
FINAL TAKE: Florida has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total when leading a playoff series — and the Rangers have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total in the Eastern Conference Finals. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (1) and the Florida Panthers (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-31-24 |
Oilers v. Stars -120 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-120 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (60) versus the Edmonton Oilers (59) in Game Five of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Edmonton (59-32-7) snapped their two-game losing streak in this series with a 5-2 victory on Wednesday. Dallas (62-26-11) returns home with this series tied at 2-2.
REASONS TO TAKE THE STARS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Dallas took an early 2-0 lead in the first period on Wednesday -- but the Oilers scored the final five goals in the game for the decisive win. Defenseman Chis Tanev left the game midway through the second period after taking a puck to the ankle. He is listed as questionable and was in a walking boot yesterday. Head coach Peter DeBoer is "optimistic" he will play tonight -- especially given the stakes involved -- but it will be a game-time decision. Even if the Stars do not have the services of Tanev tonight, expect an inspired effort after the blowout loss. Dallas has won 13 of their last 16 games after a loss by two or more goals — and they have won 10 of their last 11 games after a loss by three or more goals. The Stars have won 44 of their last 62 games after allowing four or more goals in their last game — and they have won 11 of their last 12 games after allowing five or more goals in their last game. And while they have given up eight goals in the last two games, they have then won 35 of their last 50 games after allowing three or more goals in two games in a row. Goalie Jake Oettinger should play better tonight. He has a 2.20 Goals-Against-Average along with a .917 save percentage in his 17 games this postseason. At home in Games One and Two of this series, he stopped 63 of the 67 shots he faced for a .940 save percentage. Edmonton’s goaltender Stuart Skinner is not as good — and while he has played better since his return from getting benched, he still has been very inconsistent all season. In his 14 playoff games this year, he has a 2.71 GAA and a .887 save percentage — and those numbers are right in line with his career 3.12 GAA and .885 save percentage in 26 career playoff games. The Oilers have lost 7 of their last 11 games after winning their previous game. They have also lost 6 of their last 9 games after scoring five or more goals in their last game. Furthermore, Edmonton has lost 11 of their last 19 games on the road. And in their last 8 games in the Western Conference Finals, they have lost 6 of those games. They were in this position on the road in Game Five against Vancouver in a 2-2 series last round — and they lost that game.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas has won all 4 playoff games this season when the series was tied. The Stars have also won 21 of their last 31 games when avenging a loss on the road by two or more goals including five of those six circumstances this season. 25* NHL Western Conference Game of the Year is with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (60) versus the Edmonton Oilers (59). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-30-24 |
Panthers -123 v. Rangers |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Florida Panthers (57) versus the New York Rangers (58) in Game Five of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Florida (62-27-8) has won six of their last nine games after pulling out a 3-2 win at home in overtime on Tuesday. New York (65-27-4) had won Games Two and Three — so this series is tied at 2-2.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Florida has outplayed the Rangers in this series. If not for overtime losses in Games Two and Three, the Panthers could be attempting to wrap this series up tonight — or it could already be over. The most dominant aspect of this series has been Florida’s forechecking which has allowed them to dominate puck possession and shot attempts. In Games Three and Four, the Panthers outshot New York by a 197-87 margin pure shot attempts — and by a 77-46 margin shots on target (that were not blocked by a player). Florida has generated 33 High Danger Chances in the last two games while the Rangers have only 14 High Danger Chances. Overall, the Panthers have produced 7.59 expected Goals (xG) in Games Three and Four — and they have held New York to only 3.88 xG in these two games. Florida’s play on defense has been outstanding throughout the postseason. They lead all teams in the postseason in expected Goals Allowed (xGA) — and they have given up the fewest High Danger Chances. They have also given up the fewest Power Play goals in the playoffs as well. What is encouraging for the Panthers as the series has moved forward has been their Power Play. After going 0-3 in Game One, they have scored in five of their last 12 Power Plays against the Rangers. They rank second in the postseason in Power Play goals. They rank third in High Danger Chances generated and third in the postseason in Corsi-For Percentage. I expect Florida to put their foot on the accelerator in this crucial Game Five. The Panthers have won 40 of their last 61 games after winning their last game. They have also won 23 of their last 30 games after a win at home — and they have won 10 of their last 14 games after a victory at home by one goal. They have scored seven combined goals in their last two games — and they have won 34 of their last 50 games after scoring three or more goals in their last two games. Florida has also been very good when playing away from home. The Panthers have won 21 of their last 29 road games in the second half of the season — and they have won 13 of their last 19 games on the road in the playoffs in the last two years. New York’s underlying metrics in these playoffs are underwhelming. They rank 14th in Corsi-For Percentage, ninth in expected Goals Percentage, and last of the final four teams in expected Goals-For Percentage. They are last of the final four teams in Power Play goals. They are not getting production from some key players — Mike Zibanejad and Chris Kreider have yet to register a point. Adam Fox may be trying to play through an injury — and he was shaky in Game Four. The Rangers have lost 12 of their last 19 games at home after a loss by one goal. They have also lost 8 of their last 11 games at home after losing in overtime in their last game.
FINAL TAKE: New York has lost 5 of their last 8 games when the playoff series is tied — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 fifth games in a playoff series. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Year is with the money-line on the Florida Panthers (57) versus the New York Rangers (58). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-28-24 |
Rangers v. Panthers -158 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Florida Panthers (54) versus the New York Rangers (53) in Game Four of the Eastern Conference Finals. Florida (61-27-8) has lost the last two games in this series after their 5-4 loss in overtime at home to the Rangers on Sunday afternoon. New York (65-27-3) has won three of their last four games while taking a 2-1 lead in this best-of-seven series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Florida outplayed the Rangers on Sunday — they generated an expected Goal Share at five-on-five of 69.19%. They out-shot New York in the third period by a 41-11 margin (including blocked and shots not on target) with their forechecking dominating the tempo. They were also controlling the play in overtime — but Alex Wennberg stunned the Panthers with the winning goal at the 5:35-minute mark. Florida has rebounded to win 21 of their last 34 games after losing their last game. And while they lost Game Two in overtime as well, they have won 8 of their last 12 games after losing two games in a row. The Panthers have also won 8 of their last 12 home games after a game where both teams scored three or more goals — and they have won 7 of their last 9 games after a game where nine or more combined goals were scored. New York has lost 13 of their last 22 games after winning two games in a row in overtime. The Rangers have also lost 4 of their last 6 fourth games in a playoff series.
FINAL TAKE: The Panthers have won 12 of their last 18 games when avenging a loss at home. 8* NHL Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Florida Panthers (54) versus the New York Rangers (53). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-25-24 |
Oilers v. Stars -127 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (48) versus the Edmonton Oilers (47) in Game Two of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Dallas (60-25-11) has lost two of their last three games after losing the opening game of this best-of-seven series in a 3-2 loss in double-overtime on Thursday. Edmonton (58-30-7) has won three games in a row. REASONS TO TAKE THE STARS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Dallas has been resilient throughout this postseason. They rallied from an 0-2 deficit to dethrone the Vegas Golden Knights in the opening round of the playoffs. They rebounded from a Game One loss at home against Colorado and won Game Two by a 5-3 score. The Stars have won 24 of their last 35 games after losing their last game — and they have won 12 of their last 19 games after losing their last game on home ice. Furthermore, Dallas has won 15 of their last 23 games after losing two of their last three games. They have played two straight games that finished Under the Total — and they have won 18 of their last 25 games after playing two or more Unders in a row. The Total has dropped to 5.5 in many locations — and the Stars have won 34 of their last 53 home games with the Total set at 5.5. Edmonton has lost 13 of their last 21 games after winning three of their last four games. They have also still lost 4 of their last 5 games in the Western Conference Finals. They played about as good of a game as they have all postseason in Game One on Thursday — but they still needed double-overtime to survive that game after giving up a late goal in regulation to even that score up. The Oilers give up too many High Danger Chances — they entered this series ranking seventh of the 16 playoff teams in the metric this postseason. And then there is goalie Stuart Skinner who has played three good games in a row after stopping 31 of the 33 shots he faced on Thursday. Skinner still has a 2.70 Goals-Against-Average and a .888 save percentage in his 11 playoff starts this postseason. FINAL TAKE: Dallas expects to see top-line forward Roope Hintz return to the ice tonight after he missed the last three games. The Stars have won 11 of their last 15 games when trailing in a playoff series. 25* NHL Saturday TNT Game of the Year with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (48) versus the Edmonton Oilers (47). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-23-24 |
Oilers v. Stars OVER 6 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-103 |
1 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 8:40 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (43) and the Dallas Stars (44) in Game One of the Western Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: Edmonton (57-30-7) has won three of their last four games after their 3-2 win at Vancouver in the seventh game of that second-round series on Monday. Dallas (60-25-10) has won four of their last five games after their 2-1 win at Colorado in overtime to win that series in six games last Friday. REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Oilers have played 18 of their last 24 games Over the Total after beating a Pacific Division rival by just one goal in their last game. Edmonton is scoring 3.8 Goals-Per-Game in this postseason — and they averaged 3.5 Goals-Per-Game in their four games on the road at Vancouver last round. Dallas has played 16 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a win by one goal — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a win on the road by just one goal. They have also played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a win in overtime in their last game. Additionally, the Stars have played 20 of their last 31 games at home Over the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on April 3rd in Dallas when the Stars shut them out by a 5-0 score. The Oilers have played 15 of their last 20 games on the road Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they did not score more than one goal. 8* NHL Thursday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (43) and the Dallas Stars (44). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-20-24 |
Oilers v. Canucks UNDER 6 |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (35) and the Vancouver Canucks (36) in Game Seven of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Edmonton (56-30-7) has won six of their last nine games after tying this series at 3-3 with their 5-1 win at home against the Canucks on Saturday. Vancouver (57-27-10) has lost two of their last three games.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Oilers have played 11 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a win by four or more goals against a fellow Pacific Division rival. They have also played 18 of their last 30 games Under the Total after winning at home. Vancouver has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after losing to a divisional opponent. The Canucks have also played 16 of their last 25 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games.
FINAL TAKE: Vancouver has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by four or more goals. 8* NHL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Edmonton Oilers (35) and the Vancouver Canucks (36). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-20-24 |
Oilers v. Canucks +144 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vancouver Canucks (36) versus the Edmonton Oilers (35) in Game Seven of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Vancouver (57-27-10) has lost two of their last three games after their 5-1 loss on the road against the Oilers on Saturday. Edmonton (56-30-7) has won six of their last nine games after tying this series at 3-3. REASONS TO TAKE THE CANUCKS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Vancouver has some work to do still — but they put themselves in the driver’s seat in this series by winning Game Five at home by a 3-2 score. They got dominated in Edmonton in Game Six — but that sets them up to rebound with a resilient effort tonight against this inconsistent Oilers team. The Canucks have won 27 of their last 36 games after a loss — and they have won 9 of their last 11 games after losing to a fellow Pacific Division rival. Additionally, they have won 14 of their last 19 games after losing on the road in their previous game — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games after losing by three or more goals to a divisional opponent. Arturs Silovs is the better goaltender tonight. His 2.89 Goals-Against-Average and .898 save percentage in his nine starts this postseason do not inspire a ton of confidence — but he does register +0.6 Goals Saved Above Expected so he is playing above average the midrange goaltenders in the league. In that crucial Game Five, he stopped 23 of the 25 shots he faced. He also has big-game experience after leading Latvia to an unexpected Bronze medal in the 2023 World Championship that culminated in an upset victory against the USA. Getting this game at home will help since it allows head coach Rick Tocchet to ensure that his defenseman Quinn Hughes is on the ice when Edmonton’s star forward Connor McDavid is playing. The Canucks have won two of the three games at home in this series while scoring 11 goals. Vancouver has won 13 of their last 22 home games with the Total set at 5.5. Edmonton remains inconsistent — they have lost 6 of their last 8 games after winning their last game. They have also lost 6 of their last 8 games after scoring five or more goals in their last game. They have also lost 12 of their last 20 games against teams using a goaltender with a regular season save percentage no higher than .895 — so it’s not like they only lose to great goaltenders. And there is the weak link which is their goalie Stuart Skinner. In his nine starts in the playoffs this season, he has a 2.97 GAA and a .881 save percentage. More telling, he has a -2.9 Goals Saved Above Expectation which indicates he has been well below the average goalie in this series. Unfortunately, these postseason struggles are nothing new. In his 21 career playoff starts, he has a 3.36 GAA and a .882 save percentage. His struggles early in the year got head coach Jay Woodcroft fired. He also plays worse when on the road. While he had a 2.49 GAA and a .913 save percentage in 32 regular season starts, those numbers rose to a 2.80 GAA and a .894 save percentage in 27 games on the road this season. In his two starts in Vancouver in this series, he has allowed eight goals with a .814 save percentage. He did look better in Game Six after getting benched the two previous games — but he only faced 15 shots. The Canucks need more activity against him tonight — and they do average 27.7 shots when playing at home. The Oilers are not a great defensive team either to make things easier on Skinner. They rank 10th of the 16 postseason teams in expected Goals Allowed (xGA) and 14th in High Danger Chances Allowed — and both of those stats are independent of Skinner’s subpar play. Furthermore, Edmonton has lost 10 of their last 16 games on the road. FINAL TAKE: The analytics love Edmonton — and those laptops have indicated that Vancouver has overachieved this season. A deeper look at those numbers suggests that the Canucks exceeding expectations was mostly during their hot start — but they were a good team according to the analytics in the second half of the season. They will be without forward Brock Boeser tonight due to an undisclosed injury which is a huge blow and gave me pause — but they still have star talent with Elias Pettersson, J.T. Miller, and Hughes. Most importantly, this team has something the Oilers lack: heart. Even without star goaltender Thatcher Demko, they still find themselves in a Game Seven at home against this Oilers team with the better metrics. Vancouver has won 18 of their last 25 games when playing with revenge. 25* NHL Pacific Division Game of the Year with the money-line on the Vancouver Canucks (36) versus the Edmonton Oilers (35). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-18-24 |
Canucks v. Oilers UNDER 6 |
Top |
1-5 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vancouver Canucks (25) and the Edmonton Oilers (26) in Game Six of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Vancouver (51-26-10) has won two of the last three games to take a 3-2 series lead. Edmonton (55-30-7) returns home looking to stave off elimination and force a Game Seven. REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This is becoming a defensive series with each of the last two games only seeing five combined goals scored. Vancouver goaltender Arturs Silovs has not allowed more than three goals in the last three games in this series as he gets more comfortable between the pipes for this team playing for the injured Thatcher Demko and Casey DeSmith. He has a .918 save percentage in the last three games in this series. The Canucks are doing a good job of limiting the scoring chances of the Oilers. They rank second of the seven remaining NHL teams in the playoffs in High Danger Chances allowed. Vancouver has played 37 of their last 58 road games Under the Total after a win by just one goal. Edmonton has played 3 of their 4 games Under the Total this season when following a loss on the road by just one goal. The Oilers have also played 26 of their last 45 games Under the Total following an Under in their last game. Stuart Skinner returns as Edmonton’s starting goaltender after getting benched in Game Three. He has struggled — but getting the time off should help his physical and mental state. He did play better at home in the regular season where he enjoyed a 2.49 Goals-Against-Average and a .913 save percentage in 32 starts. FINAL TAKE: The Oilers have played 8 of their last 13 games in the playoffs Under the Total when trailing in the series — and the Canucks have played 4 of their last 6 playoff games Under the Total when leading in the series. 25* NHL Pacific Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Vancouver Canucks (25) and the Edmonton Oilers (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-17-24 |
Panthers -137 v. Bruins |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Florida Panthers (17) versus the Boston Bruins (18) in Game Six of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Florida (59-27-6) had their three-game winning streak snapped with their 2-1 loss at home to the Bruins on Tuesday. Boston (53-26-15) still trails in this series by a 3-2 margin. REASONS TO TAKE THE PANTHERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Florida should bounce back and win this series tonight. Despite the loss earlier in the week, they still rank second of all teams in the postseason in Corsi percentage which is what they ranked in the regular season. They also lead all playoff teams in expected Goals Share, High Danger Chances, and expected Goals Allowed. The Panthers have won 9 of their last 10 games after a loss to a fellow Atlantic Division rival. They have also won 10 of their last 13 games after a loss by only one goal — and they have won 8 of their last 12 games after a loss to a divisional rival by just one goal. Florida has not allowed more than two goals in four straight games — and they have won 24 of their last 31 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last two games. They have also won 20 of their last 24 games after not allowing more than two goals in four straight games. Sergei Bobrovsky has been outstanding when playing away from home — he posted a 2.21 Goals-Against-Average and a .920 save percentage in 28 starts on the road in the regular season. The Panthers have won 19 of their last 26 games on the road. They have also won 13 of their last 14 games when playing with two days of rest. Boston hopes to get Brad Marchand back on the ice tonight — but the Bruins have been getting outplayed throughout the postseason even when they have Marchand. They rank just seventh of all 16 playoff teams in Corsi percentage and tenth in expected goals share. On defense, Boston ranks last of all remaining teams in expected Goals Allowed and sixth in the Power Play Kill Unit. Boston has lost 5 of their last 7 games after winning their last game. They have not defended their home ice well either — they have lost 12 of their last 21 home games with the Total set at 5.5. Furthermore, the Bruins have lost 6 of their last 8 games played at home — and they have lost 5 straight games at TDG Garden against the Panthers. FINAL TAKE: Florida has won 11 of their last 17 games when playing with revenge after a loss at home to their current opponent. 25* NHL Atlantic Division Game of the Year with the money-line on the Florida Panthers (17) versus the Boston Bruins (18). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-15-24 |
Avalanche v. Stars UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
5-3 |
Loss |
-124 |
4 h 2 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (9) and the Dallas Stars (10) in Game Five of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (55-29-7) has lost three games in a row in this series after their 5-1 loss at home to the Stars on Monday. Dallas (59-24-10) has won seven of their last nine games while taking a 3-1 series lead. REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Avalanche got shellshocked an hour before the puck dropped on Monday with the news that Vareri Nichushkin got suspended for six months for what appears to be another substance abuse violation for the troubled Russian. He was leading the team with nine goals in the postseason. He missed time for some sketchiness in last year’s playoffs — and this may be the final straw for him with the organization. But his absence leaves Colorado without their fourth-leading scorer in the regular season. The Avalanche was also without top blue-line defenseman Devon Toews who was ill and missed Game Four — he should be back on the ice tonight. Colorado has scored only one goal in each of their last two games — and their recipe for success is likely to be more defensive-minded to protect their embattled goaltender Alexandar Georgiev after giving up nine combined goals in their last two games. The Avalanche have surrendered at least three goals in five straight games — and they have played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total after allowing three or more goals in five or more games in a row. They have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row by two or more goals. They have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row at home. Colorado has also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after losing three or more games in a row. Dallas has not given up more than two goals in seven of their last nine games. They are getting outstanding goaltending from Jake Oettinger who has a .923 save percentage in 11 postseason games — and he has registered +4.8 Goals Saved Above Expectation in those games. The Stars have played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total after winning three or more games in a row — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning three or more games in a row by more than one goal. Dallas has scored at least four in each of their last three victories which have all been by multiple goals — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring four or more goals in three or more games in a row. Furthermore, the Stars have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after winning on the road by two or more goals — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning two or more games on the road by more than one goal. FINAL TAKE: The Avalanche have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home to their opponent. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (9) and the Dallas Stars (10). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-13-24 |
Hurricanes v. Rangers -104 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-104 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Rangers (2) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (1) in Game Five of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (61-25-4) had won nine games in a row before their 4-3 loss at home to the Hurricanes on Saturday. Carolina (57-24-10) staved off elimination with the victory but still trails by a 3-1 margin in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RANGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: New York should end this series tonight. The Rangers have bounced back to win 19 of their last 27 games after losing their previous game. They have also won 24 of their last 36 games after a loss to a Metropolitan Division rival — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games after a loss on the road to a divisional opponent. Additionally, they have won 43 of their last 9 home games after playing a game where seven or more combined goals were scored — and they have won 10 of their last 14 games after playing a game on the road where both teams scored three or more goals. They have still won 27 of their last 38 games after winning two of their last three games. They have scored at least three goals in ten straight contests — and they have won 12 of their last 17 games after scoring three or more goals in four or more games in a row. They return home where they have won 6 games in a row — and they have won 18 of their last 23 home games with the Total set at 5.5. Carolina has lost 6 of their last 9 games after winning their previous game by one goal. The Hurricanes have surrendered at least three goals in six straight contests — and they have lost 4 of their last 6 games after allowing three or more goals in four or more games in a row. They have also lost 7 of their last 9 games on the road after allowing three or more goals in their last game.
FINAL TAKE: The Rangers have won 17 of their last 20 games when avenging a loss where they gave up four or more goals. 8* NHL Carolina-NY Rangers ESPN Special with the money-line on the New York Rangers (2) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (1). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-13-24 |
Hurricanes v. Rangers OVER 5.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-101 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (1) and the New York Rangers (2) in Game Five of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Carolina (57-24-10) staved off elimination on Saturday with their 4-3 victory at home against the Rangers. New York (61-25-4) had won nine games in a row — and they can end this series tonight given their 3-1 series lead. REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have allowed at least three goals in six straight games — but they registered their first power-play goal in this series in the third period when Brady Skejc beat the Rangers’ goaltender Igor Shesterkin to win this game and extend their season. Carolina has played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after winning their previous game. They have also played 8 of their last 13 games Over the Total after allowing three or more goals in two or more games in a row. They have played 3 of their last 4 playoff games Over the Total when facing potential elimination. Frederick Andersen will likely get the nod in goal for the Hurricanes again tonight. After stopping only 22 of the 25 shots he faced on Saturday, he has just a .874 save percentage in this series. In the regular season, he was much better at home where he enjoyed a 1.39 Goals-Against-Average and a .946 save percentage in ten starts. What makes this start ominous for the struggling goaltender is that he had a 2.72 GAA and a .906 save percentage in six starts on the road in the regular season — and he has a .871 save percentage in his two previous games at Madison Square Garden in this series after allowing four goals in both Games One and Two. The Hurricanes have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 51 of their last 82 road games Over the Total after a win at home against a Metropolitan Division rival. New York has scored at least three goals in ten straight games. The Rangers have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring three or more goals in five or more games in a row — and they have played 14 of their last 21 home games Over the Total after scoring three or more goals in two or more games in a row. They have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss by just one goal — and they have played 26 of their last 34 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. Additionally, New York has played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing on the road in a game where both teams scored three or more goals. They return home to MSG where they are averaging 3.5 Goals-Per-Game — and they scored four goals apiece in Games One and Two (as mentioned above). The Rangers have played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total with the Total set at 5.5 or higher. Igor Shesterkin has been great in the playoffs — but his home/road splits have been consistent this season. He had a 2.51 GAA and a .912 save percentage at home in the regular season — and those numbers are in the same range as his 2.66 GAA and .913 save percentage on the road. FINAL TAKE: New York has played 13 of their last 21 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they gave up four or more goals. The Rangers have also played 4 of their last 5 playoff games Over the Total when they potentially could close out the series — and the Hurricanes have played 3 of their last 4 playoff games Over the Total when attempting to avoid elimination. 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (1) and the New York Rangers (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-12-24 |
Canucks v. Oilers OVER 6.5 |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Vancouver Canucks (59) and the Edmonton Oilers (60) in Game Three of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Vancouver (55-25-10) had won four of their last five games before a 4-3 loss at home to the Oilers on Friday. Edmonton (54-28-7) has won four of their last five games to even this series at 1-1. REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Canucks have scored eight goals in the first two games of this series by going after the Oilers’ vulnerable blue line and goaltending. They have scored eight combined goals in the first two games of this series. After ranking just 18th in High Danger Chances in the regular season, they have risen to fourth in generating High Danger Chances in these playoffs. Vancouver has played 27 of their last 45 games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. They have also played 37 of their last 58 road games Over the Total after a game where seven o more combined goals were scored. Edmonton is scoring 4.29 Goals-Per-Game in their last seven games — but they have given up 3.67 Goals-Per-Game in their last three games. They are last of the remaining eight teams in the postseason in expected Goals Allowed. The Oilers have played 24 of their last 36 games Over the Total after playing a game on the road where both teams scored three or more goals. Additionally, Edmonton has played 31 of their last 47 games Over the Total after allowing three or more goals in two or more games in a row. FINAL TAKE: The Canucks have confirmed that they will turn once again to rookie goaltender Arturs Silovs as their goaltender tonight since Thatcher Demko remains out with an injury. In his nine starts this season, Silovs has a .892 save percentage — and the Oilers have played 31 of their last 43 games Over the Total against teams using a starting goaltender with a save percentage no better than .895. 8* NHL Sunday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Vancouver Canucks (59) and the Edmonton Oilers (60). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-11-24 |
Rangers v. Hurricanes -142 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Carolina Hurricanes (54) versus the New York Rangers (53) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Carolina (56-24-10) has lost four of their last five games after their 3-2 loss in overtime at home to the Rangers on Thursday. New York (61-24-4) has won nine games in a row and has a 3-0 lead in this best-of-seven series. REASONS TO TAKE THE HURRICANES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Carolina continues to not catch a break — their last eight losses in the postseason have been by just one goal. Three of their last four losses in this postseason have been in overtime including the last two games of this series. They have out-shot the Rangers in all three games of this series. I expect a visit from the Regression Gods — the underlying numbers indicate this has been an even series. New York holds the edge in expected Goals-For% — but with a narrow 50.7% clip. Carolina is not going to fold in the towel tonight — they have won 10 straight games at home after a loss to a Metropolitan Division rival. They have also won 18 of their last 22 games after a loss to a divisional foe — and they have won 7 of their last 10 games after a loss by one goal to a Metro opponent. Additionally, they have won 4 of their last 5 games after losing two or more games in a row by one goal. They have won 7 of their last 10 games after losing four or five of their last six games. Head coach Rod Brind’amour turned to rookie Pyotr Kochetkov in Game Three after Frederik Andersen logged in 87:24 minutes in the double-overtime loss on Tuesday. Kocketkov stopped 22 of the 25 shots he faced — but he was mediocre with a -0. Goals Saved Above Expectation clip. Andersen was sensational when playing at home in the regular season where he enjoyed a 1.39 Goals-Against-Average and a .946 save percentage in ten starts. Carolina has won 28 of their last 42 home games with the Total set at 5.5. New York has won all seven of their playoff games this year — they look to become the first team in the history of the Stanley Cup playoffs to win and sweep the first two playoff series since those rounds got expanded to seven-game series in 1987. Even the 1994 championship run for the New York Rangers led by Mark Messier did not see them win their first eight contests — that team’s first loss was the fourth game in the second round against Washington after a 7-0 start in that postseason. The Rangers have lost 15 of their last 20 games after winning three or more games in a row by one goal. The difference in this series has been on special teams. New York has scored four power-play goals in their 13 opportunities — and they have stymied the Hurricanes in all 15 of their power plays with the man advantage. The Rangers scored on a short-handed goal on Thursday which turned out to be a critical goal to force overtime where they won for the second straight game. FINAL TAKE: The Hurricanes have won 17 of their last 24 opportunities to avenge a same-season loss. They have also won 7 of their last 11 games when playing with double-revenge from two straight losses where they allowed three or more goals — and they have won 4 of their last 6 games when playing with the dreaded triple-revenge motivation. 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Game of the Year with the money-line on the Carolina Hurricanes (54) versus the New York Rangers (53). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-24 |
Golden Knights v. Stars UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (25) and the Dallas Stars (26) in Game Seven of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (48-31-9) forced a decisive Game Seven with their 2-0 victory at home against the Stars on Friday. Dallas (55-24-9) had won three games in a row in this series before that setback. REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Knights staved off elimination — but they are still struggling to score goals, especially at even strength five-on-five. While Noah Hanifan broke up a scoreless game at the 9:56 minute mark of the third period, the final goal was an empty netter from Mark Stone with 19 seconds left in the game. Vegas has only scored two goals in each of their last four games. The Golden Knights have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring two goals or less in two or more games in a row. But they did get great goaltending from Adin Hill who stopped all 23 shots he faced on Friday. Since taking over between the pipes in Game Five, Hill has a 1.52 Goals-Against-Average along with a .938 save percentage. His 6’6” frame makes him an imposing presence in front of the net. Going back to the Vegas championship run last year, Hill has a 2.09 GAA and a .933 save percentage in 18 games (16 starts). He has three shutouts in the postseason after Game Six — and his two other shutouts were against this Stars team in their playoff series last year. The Golden Knights have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in their last game — and they have played 15 of their last 22 home games Under the Total after a shutout victory. Furthermore, Vegas has played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5. Dallas has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after getting shutout in their last game. They have also played 4 of their 6 games Under the Total this season after a loss on the road by two or more goals. They have still won 15 of their last 20 games — and they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning 15 or more games in their last 20 contests. Don’t blame Jake Oettinger for the Game Six loss since he stopped 28 of the 29 shots he faced. After an inconsistent regular season, Oettinger has been great in this series — he has a 2.10 GAA and a .921 save percentage in the first six games with a +2.0 Goals-Saved-Above-Expectation mark. This will be his third start in a Game Seven — he posted a 1.78 GAA and a .956 save percentage in those prior two games. The Stars have played 3 of their 4 games at home this season Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5. They have also played 4 of their last 5 playoff games Under the Total in potential closeout situations. FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 9 of their last 11 meetings Under the Total. Dallas has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when avenging a shutout loss to their opponent. 25* NHL TBS-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (25) and the Dallas Stars (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-04-24 |
Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (13) and the Boston Bruins (14) in Game Seven of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Toronto (48-30-10) has won three of the last four games in this series after their 2-1 victory at home on Thursday. Boston (50-23-15) has lost the last two games of this series after taking a 3-1 lead after Game Four. REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Maple Leafs have survived because of great goaltending from Joseph Woll. Since taking over last in Game Four, he has stopped 54 of the 56 shots he has faced for a .964 save percentage. In his seven career games in the playoffs, Woll has a 1.78 Goals-Against-Average and a .933 save percentage. But Toronto’s scoring attack is still missing-in-action. They have only scored seven combined goals in their last four games — and they have not scored more than two goals in any of those games. Auston Matthews has not scored since Game Two as he battles an illness. While he should play tonight, he is not close to 100%. The Maple Leafs have scored only one time from their 20 power play opportunities in this series. Toronto has played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in two straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in three straight games. They have played 23 of their last 38 games Under the Total after their last game finished Under the Total. Additionally, they have played 22 of their last 33 road games Under the Total after playing an Atlantic Division rival in their previous game — and they have played 17 of their last 23 road games Under the Total after playing a divisional rival three times in a row. Boston is struggling to score as well — they have only two combined goals in their last two games. The prospect of blowing another 3-1 series lead seems to have impacted this team because they looked tight and skittish on the ice in the last two games. The Bruins blew a 3-1 series lead in the first round last year against Florida. David Pastrnak scored 47 goals and added 63 assists in the regular season — but he has only two goals and two assists in this series. Boston is also getting great goaltending from Jeremy Swayman who has a 1.60 GAA and a .947 save percentage in his five starts. The Bruins have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal to an Atlantic Division rival. They have also played 26 of their last 43 games Under the Total when playing for the third time in five days. FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 of their last 10 meetings Under the Total. 25* NHL 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (13) and the Boston Bruins (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-03-24 |
Stars v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
105 |
1 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (3) and the Vegas Golden Knights (4) in Game Six of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (55-23-9) has won three straight games in this series after their 3-2 victory at home against the Golden Knights on Wednesday. Vegas (47-31-9) looks to avoid elimination tonight trailing 3-2 in this series after winning Games One and Two.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Knights scoring attack has been stymied by the stout Stars defense. They have scored two goals in each of their last three games. Six of their 13 goals have been on the Power Play — there seven goals at even strength five-on-five are the second fewest in the postseason. Vegas is simply finding it difficult to find open spaces to then generate good shots on the Stars’ goaltender Jake Oettinger. The deeper metrics are ugly. The Golden Knights rank 15th of the 16 playoff teams in expected Goals-For (xGF). They are averaging only 6.6 High Danger Chances per game. They are only converting on 6.2% of their shot attempts. The Golden Knights have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in two straight games. They have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after losing on the road by just one goal in their last game. They return home to T-Mobile Arena where they have played 12 of their last 17 home games Under the Total following a game on the road. Vegas did get a good game from Adin Hill between the pipes — he stopped 22 of the 25 shots he faced on Wednesday. He replaced Logan Thompson who was playing fine in this series — especially in Game Three where he almost stole the game single-handedly for the Golden Knights. Head coach Bruce Cassidy commented that he made the change to Hill because of his experience in high-pressure playoff games from the previous Stanley Cup title last year when he was their goaltender. In his 17 career games (15 starts) in the playoffs, Hill has a 2.22 Goals-Against-Average and a .930 save percentage. Dallas has only three goals in each of their three straight victories -- and they have then played 12 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after scoring three or more goals in two or more games in a row. They have won 15 of their last 19 games — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning 15 or more games in their last 20 games. Goalie Jake Oettinger has been outstanding in this series. He stopped 23 of the 25 shots he faced on Wednesday. For the series, he has a 2.31 GAA and a .911 save percentage — and he has been at his best after giving up four goals on 15 shots in Game One. In his last three games, Oettinger has stopped 112 of the 120 shots he has faced for a .933 save percentage. He has also been great in clutch time in this series — he has stopped all 56 shots he has faced in the third period and overtime.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas has played 3 of their last 4 playoff games Under the Total in potential close-out games. Vegas has played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-70% range. 25* NHL 1st Round Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (3) and the Vegas Golden Knights (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-24-24 |
Golden Knights v. Stars OVER 5.5 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-125 |
0 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 9:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (3) and the Dallas Stars (4) in Game Two of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (46-29-8) has won four of their last five games after their 4-3 victory in the opening game of this best-of-seven series. Dallas (52-22-9) had won two games in a row before that loss.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Golden Knights are back at full strength with Mark Stone returning from the injured list. Vegas has played 31 of their last 50 games Over the Total after a win on the road — and they have played 15 of their last 22 games on the road Over the Total after their last game finished Over the Total. Additionally, they have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. They stay on the road where they have played 22 of their last 33 games Over the Total on the road with the Total set at 6 or higher. Logan Thomson is their goaltender tonight after stopping 26 of the 29 shots he faced on Monday. Thompson was much better at home this season where he had a 2.15 Goals-Against-Average and a .922 save percentage in 23 games. But in his 23 games on the road in the regular season, he was saddled with a 3.24 GAA and an .896 save percentage. Dallas has played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a loss by one goal. They have also played 18 of their last 22 home games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. They have played 24 of their last 39 games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. Jake Oettinger did not play well in Game One after giving up four goals on just 15 shots. In his 27 starts at home in the regular season, he had a 2.78 GAA and a .898 save percentage which were worse numbers than his 2.67 GAA and .912 save percentage in his 26 starts on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Stars have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total when attempting to avenge a loss at home to their opponent. 10* NHL Wednesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Vegas Golden Knights (3) and the Dallas Stars (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-23-24 |
Predators v. Canucks OVER 5.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-125 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (77) and the Vancouver Canucks (78) in Game Two of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Nashville (47-31-5) has lost two games in a row after dropping Game One of this series by a 4-2 score on Sunday. Vancouver (51-23-9) has won three of their last four games. REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Predators continue to struggle in slowing down their opponents’ scoring attack as they have conceded at least four goals in three straight games. Goalie Juuse Saros is in a slump after allowing three or more goals in three of his last four starts. In his final six starts in the regular season this month, he was saddled with a 3.18 Goals-Against-Average with a .904 save percentage. Nashville has played 8 of their last 9 games on the road Over the Total after allowing four or more goals in three or more games in a row. The Predators have also played 16 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a loss by more than one goal. And while they ended the regular season with a 4-2 loss at Pittsburgh, Nashville has played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total after losing two or more games in a row by more than one goal. This is their fifth game in the last two weeks — and they have played 6 straight Overs on the road when playing for no more than the fifth time in 14 days — and they have played 24 of their last 37 road games Over the Total with the Total set at 5.5. Vancouver has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning their last game. They have also played 29 of their last 46 games Over the Total after a win by more than one goal. They have played 24 of their last 39 games Over the Total after winning two of their last three games. First-string goaltender Thatcher Demko remains out with an undisclosed injury. Casey DeSmith is between the pipes for the Canucks tonight — but he had a meager 3.14 GAA and a .877 save percentage in his last 14 games in the regular season after the All-Star break. Vancouver has played 3 of their last 4 games at home Over the Total. FINAL TAKE: The Predators have lost five straight games to the Canucks with Vancouver scoring at least four goals in three straight games against them. Nashville has played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total when playing with at least double-revenge against their opponent while giving up at least three goals in both losses — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with triple revenge. 25* NHL Western Conference Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (77) and the Vancouver Canucks (78). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-22-24 |
Kings v. Oilers -163 |
|
4-7 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 10:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Edmonton Oilers (65) versus the Los Angeles Kings (64) in Game One of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Edmonton (49-27-6) has lost four of their last five games after their 5-1 loss at Colorado on Thursday. Los Angeles (43-28-11) has won three of their last four games after a 5-4 victory against Chicago on Thursday. REASONS TO TAKE THE OILERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Edmonton has only won once in their last five games despite good underlying numbers. They have outplayed their last six opponents according to the expected goals-for numbers during a stretch that includes playoff teams Vegas, Vancouver, and Colorado. The Oilers have generated a 61.3% expected goals-for mark in their last six games — and they have eclipsed a 60% expected goals-for number in five of those six games. This team is due for a visit from the Regression Gods. Edmonton has won 19 of their last 31 games after failing to score more than one goal in their last game. They have also won 4 of their last 6 games when playing with three or more days of rest. And while they have only scored three combined goals in their last two games, they have then won 5 of their last 8 games after failing to score more than two goals in two straight games. Both of those games were on the road — they return home for the first two games of this series where they have won 27 of their last 40 games with the Total set at 6 or higher. Los Angeles enjoyed a favorable schedule down the stretch with their last five opponents being teams who failed to make the playoffs — and their last four games were at home. The Kings have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road. And goalie Cam Talbot has been saddled with a .879 save percentage in his last four starts. FINAL TAKE: The Oilers won three of the four regular-season contests between these two teams after a 4-1 victory at home against the Kings on March 28th. Los Angeles has lost 11 of their last 17 opportunities to avenge a loss by two or more goals. 8* NHL Monday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Edmonton Oilers (65) versus the Los Angeles Kings (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-15-24 |
Predators v. Penguins UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-4 |
Push |
0 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (39) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (40). THE SITUATION: Nashville (47-29-5) has won two games in a row after their 6-4 victory against Columbus on Saturday. Pittsburgh (37-31-12) has lost two of their last three games after a 6-4 loss against Boston on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This game involves two teams with similar profiles. Both teams still have something at stake in the playoff races. Both teams were struggling for most of the season before a veteran leader put his teammates on his back to orchestrate a furious late-season postseason push. Both teams have played higher-scoring teams lately — but those recent results may point to a lower-scoring affair tonight. The Predators have clinched one of the final two wildcard spots in the Western Conference. They are three points ahead of Vegas for the seventh seed — but this is Nashville’s final game of the regular season while the Golden Knights have a game in hand so the Predators need some result to help them avoid dropping to the eighth seed. Led by Roman Josi, Nashville has a 20-4-3 mark in their last 27 games. The Predators got their scoring attack going against the lowly Blue Jackets on Saturday — but they have played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total after scoring four or more goals in their last game. They have also played 6 straight Unders after scoring six or more goals in their last game. Additionally, Nashville has played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total after a win by two or more goals — and they have played 24 of their last 35 road games Under the Total after a game where eight or more combined goals were scored. The Predators beat Chicago on the road in their previous game by a 5-1 score — and they have played 11 of their last 13 road games Under the Total after winning two or more games in a row by more than one goal. They have played 20 of their last 32 games Under the Total after scoring three or more goals in two or more games in a row. Juuse Saros will be between the pipes tonight. He has a solid 2.75 Goals-Against-Average and a .910 save percentage in 24 starts on the road — and he enjoys a 2.67 GAA and a .913 save percentage in his 23 starts after the All-Star break. Nashville has played 22 of their last 31 games against teams from the Eastern Conference. Pittsburgh has two games remaining in the regular season this week — and they need points as they currently trail three times that are one point ahead of them in the logjam for the final wildcard slot in the Eastern Conference. Led by Sidney Crosby, the Penguins have a 7-1-3 record in their last 11 games. Pittsburgh has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a loss by two or more goals — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Under the Total after a loss at home. They have also played 24 of their last 36 home games Under the Total after allowing five or more goals in their last game. The Penguins have allowed 11 combined goals in their last two games — but they have then played 18 of their last 26 home games Under the Total after allowing four or more goals in two or more games in a row. Alex Nedeljkovic will be their goalie tonight — he has a 2.71 GAA and a .909 save percentage in his 18 games at home this season. Pittsburgh has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams winning 51-60% of their games — and they have played 23 of their last 32 home games Under the Total against teams winning 51-60% of their contests.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on November 28th with the Predators winning in Nashville by a 3-2 score. The Penguins have played 13 of their last 19 home games Under the Total when playing with revenge. With both teams playing with playoff intensity, expect a lower-scoring game. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (39) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (40). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-13-24 |
Canucks v. Oilers -107 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-107 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 10:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Edmonton Oilers (22) versus the Vancouver Canucks (21). THE SITUATION: Edmonton (48-24-6) had their three-game winning streak snapped in a 3-2 loss in overtime to Arizona last night. Vancouver (48-22-9) has lost five of their last eight games after their 4-3 loss to Arizona on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OILERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Edmonton has still won 24 of their last 32 games played in the month of April despite their upset loss to a feisty Coyotes squad last night. The Oilers have played three straight Unders — and they have won 26 of their last 32 games after playing two or more Unders in a row. This is their third game since Wednesday — and they have won 8 of their last 10 games. On their home ice this season, Edmonton has a 27-8-4 record. The Oilers had Calvin Pickard in goal last night — so Stuart Skinner returns to the ice tonight. He has a 2.52 Goals-Against-Average with a .913 save percentage in his 30 starts at home this season. In his three previous starts this month, he has a 1.98 GAA and a .914 save percentage. Vancouver had won seven straight games against non-playoff teams before Arizona upset them on Wednesday. But the Canucks have struggled against the better teams in the league. Vancouver has lost 20 of their last 26 games against teams winning 60-75% of their games including five these last six games. They have been playing higher-scoring games lately after three straight games where seven or more combined goals were scored. Vancouver ranks 20th in the NHL in allowing High Danger Chances — and that makes the current absence of injured goaltender Thatcher Demko even more precarious. Casey DeSmith gets the start again tonight — but he has a 3.33 GAA and a .887 save percentage in 15 starts on the road. In his two starts earlier this month, he has been saddled with a 6.00 GAA and a .797 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: Vancouver has won the first three meetings between these two teams after a 6-2 victory on November 6th. Those autumn days were back when the Oilers opened the season in a terrible slump that they have since addressed. Edmonton has won 12 of their last 14 opportunities to avenge a loss by three or more goals — and they have won 17 of their last 22 games when motivated by double-revenge. 25* NHL Pacific Division Game of the Month with the money-line on the Edmonton Oilers (22) versus the Vancouver Canucks (21). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-13-24 |
Red Wings v. Maple Leafs -162 |
|
5-4 |
Loss |
-162 |
0 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Toronto Maple Leafs (16) versus the Detroit Red Wings (15). THE SITUATION: Toronto (45-25-9) had their three-game winning streak snapped in a 6-5 loss to New Jersey on Thursday. Detroit (38-33-8) has lost two games in a row and seven of their last nine contests after a 6-5 loss in overtime at Pittsburgh on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE MAPLE LEAFS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Despite the upset loss to the Devils on Thursday, Toronto is playing good hockey as the postseason approaches next week. They have still won six of their last eight games — and they have won the expected goals battle in five of their last six games with a stout 58.6% expected goal-for-share during that span. The Maple Leafs have won 8 of their last 12 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. They have also won 6 of their 7 games this season after alloying six or more goals in their last game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games after losing their previous game at home this season . Toronto ranks top-five in the league in Goals-Per-Game and High Danger Scoring Chances generated. They have won 12 of their last 16 games in the second half of the season against teams with a losing record. Detroit fell on the outside looking in for the playoff race after losing to a Penguins team that is now one point ahead of them for the final slot in the Eastern Conference playoff race. The Red Wings have overachieved their underlying metrics. Despite an actual goal share of 54.5% in the last two weeks, their expected Goals-For is only 45.3% in those games — and they have lost the expected goals battle in four of their last six games. Detroit has lost 32 of their last 43 games on the road after losing their previous game — and they have lost 19 of their last 22 games on the road after a loss by one goal. They have also lost 9 of their last 12 games after playing where both teams score four or more goals.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto wants to avenge a 4-2 loss at home to the Red Wings on January 14th — and they have won 20 of their last 28 home games when playing with revenge for a loss at home by two more goals. 8* NHL Saturday Night Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Toronto Maple Leafs (16) versus the Detroit Red Wings (15). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-13-24 |
Islanders v. Rangers -161 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 12:37 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Rangers (2) versus the New York Islanders (1). THE SITUATION: The New York Rangers (52-24-4) have lost two games in a row after their 4-1 loss at home to Philadelphia on Thursday. The New York Islanders (37-27-5) have won six games in a row after their 3-2 victory against Montreal on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RANGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Rangers still have much to play for as they are trying to hold off Carolina for the top seed in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Despite posting a 3-3-0 record in their last six games, they have won the expected goals battle in five of those contests — and they sport a 58.1% expected Goals-For mark in their last six games. Their luck should change this afternoon. The Rangers have won 18 of their last 26 games after losing their previous game — and they have won 5 of their last 7 games after losing two or more games in a row. They have given up four goals in two straight games — but they have won 10 straight games at home after allowing three or more goals in two or more games in a row. They have won 5 of their last 7 games at home at Madison Square Garden — and they have won 15 of their last 20 games in the second half of the season against losing teams. The Islanders have lost 15 of their last 22 games on the road after winning five or six of their last seven games. They have also lost 19 of their last 27 road games with the Total set at 5.5. Ilya Sorokin is between the pipes for them this afternoon — but he has a 3.31 Goals-Against-Average and a .900 save percentage in his 25 games on the road.
FINAL TAKE: The Islanders upset the Rangers on Tuesday by a 4-2 score — but the Rangers have won 20 of their last 25 games when avenging an upset loss to their opponent. Ilya Shesterkin gave up three goals in the last in that one — and he is back in net to get some sweet revenge after getting Thursday’s game off. 8* NHL NY Islanders-NY Rangers ABC-TV Special with the New York Rangers (2) versus the New York Islanders (1). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-09-24 |
Wild v. Avalanche -190 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (20) versus the Minnesota Wild (19). THE SITUATION: Colorado (48-24-6) has lost two games in a row as well as five of their last seven contests after their 7-4 loss to Dallas on Sunday. Minnesota (37-30-10) snapped their two-game losing streak with a 4-0 victory against Chicago on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AVALANCHE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Wild are due for a letdown tonight since they have lost 8 of their last 12 games after shutting out their previous opponent. Minnesota has lost 13 of their last 19 games on the road after a win against a Central Division rival — and they have lost 16 of their last 24 road games after a loss by three or more goals. Additionally, they have lost 26 of their last 38 games against teams with a winning record. Colorado has won 6 of their last 8 games after losing to a fellow Central Division rival. Additionally, the Avalanche have lost 7 of their last 10 games after losing two or more games in a row — and they have won straight games after losing five or six of their last seven games. Colorado has played three straight Overs with goaltending continuing to be their Achilles’ heel — but they have won 9 of their last 12 games after playing three or more Overs in a row. The Avalanche have won 17 of their last 19 games at home against teams with a losing record. They have also won 16 of their last 17 games against teams winning 40-49% of their games.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams just played last Thursday with the Avalanche winning by a 5-2 score in Minnesota. The Wild have lost 6 of their last 8 games when avenging a loss at home by two or more goals. 8* NHL Tuesday Night Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (20) versus the Minnesota Wild (19). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-03-24 |
Seattle Kraken v. Kings -171 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 16 m |
Show
|
At 9:37 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Kings (74) versus the Seattle Kraken (73). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (37-26-11) has lost three games in a row after their 4-3 loss at Winnipeg on Monday. Seattle (31-30-13) has won three of their last four games after their 4-2 win at San Jose on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE KINGS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Kraken needs a minor miracle to make the playoffs this season. They have had success beating Anaheim twice and the Sharks in their last four games — but they have lost 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range. Seattle has lost 11 of their last 18 games after a win by more than one goal. They have lost 15 of their last 24 games after scoring four or more goals in their last contest. In their last 15 games, they rank 25th in the NHL with just a 2.92 expected goals per 60-minute mark. The Kraken have lost 14 of their last 21 games after winning two of their last three games. They have also lost 24 of their last 38 games on the road with the Total set at 5.5. Los Angeles returns home after finishing a four-game road trip. They still have a 15-10-1 record since the All-Star break and are in position to play in the postseason. The Kings have given up four goals in three straight games — but they have won 16 of their last 22 games after allowing four or more goals in two or more games in a row. They have won 5 of their last 6 games after allowing four or more goals in three straight games. Despite this slump on defense, they are still only giving up 2.50 Goals-Per-Game in their last 15 contests.
FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles wants to avenge a 2-1 loss at home against Seattle back on December 20th — and they have won 11 of their last 18 games when avenging a loss by just one goal. 8* NHL Wednesday Night Discounted Deal with money-line on the Los Angeles Kings (74) versus the Seattle Kraken (73). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-01-24 |
Kings v. Jets UNDER 5.5 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-114 |
0 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 9:07 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (45) and the Winnipeg Jets (46). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (37-25-11) has lost two games in a row after their 4-2 loss at Calgary on Saturday. Winnipeg (44-24-6) has lost six games in a row after their 3-2 loss against Ottawa on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. And while they were on a four-game winning streak before these last two losses, they have then played 24 of their last 30 games Under the Total after winning four or five of their last six games. Their contest with the Flames finished Over the 5.5 Total — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total on the road after a game that finished Over the Total. After not giving up more than three goals in four straight games, they have surrendered four goals in each of their last two games. Los Angeles has played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after allowing four or more goals in two or more games in a row. They have also played 23 of their last 33 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Winnipeg has not scored more than three goals during their six-game losing streak. The Jets have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after losing three or more games in a row — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after losing four or more games in a row. They have played their last two games Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after playing two or more games in a row. They stay at home where they have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5.
FINAL TAKE: The Kings want to avenge a 5-2 loss at home to the Jets on December 13th — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when avenging a loss to their opponent. 8* NHL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (45) and the Winnipeg Jets (46). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-03-24 |
Penguins v. Oilers -189 |
|
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 9:07 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Edmonton Oilers (12) versus the Pittsburgh Penguins (11). THE SITUATION: Edmonton (36-20-2) has won three games in a row after their 2-1 win at Seattle yesterday. Pittsburgh (27-23-8) has lost two games in a row after their 4-3 loss at Calgary on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OILERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: After slumping for most of February after their red-hot start to the new year, Edmonton has not allowed more than two goals in three straight games during their current run. The Oilers have won 27 of their last 25 games after a win or tie in their last game. They have won 5 of their last 6 games after winning on the road against a Pacific Division rival. Additionally, they have won 10 games in a row after playing a game where no more than four combined goals were scored. They have won 6 straight games after winning their last game on the road by just one goal. And in their last 12 games after not allowing more than two goals in two or more games in a row, they have won 11 of those contests. Calvin Pickard is between the pipes for them tonight sporting a solid 2.27 Goals-Against-Average and a .919 save percentage in his four previous starts at home. Pittsburgh has lost 11 of their last 15 games on the road after losing their previous game on the road. They complete their four-game road trip which included a visit to Seattle on Thursday — and they have lost 16 of their last 24 games when playing for the third time in five days. And while the Oilers are a strong possession team that outshoots their opponents by +5.1 shots per game, the Penguins have lost 8 of their last 10 games in the second half of the season against teams who outshoot their opponents by three or more shots per game. With Tristan Jarry having played yesterday, the Pens turn to Alex Nedeljkovic as their goaltender tonight. He has an underwhelming 2.98 GAA and a .907 save percentage in his nine previous games on the road.
FINAL TAKE: Edmonton has won 20 of their last 30 games against teams with a losing record — and they have won 14 of their last 21 games in the second half of the season against teams winning only 40-49% of their games. 8* NHL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Edmonton Oilers (12) versus the Pittsburgh Penguins (11). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-23-24 |
Jets v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 8:37 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (25) and the Chicago Blackhawks (26). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (34-15-5) has won four of their last five games after their 6-3 victory against Minnesota on Tuesday. Chicago (15-39-3) has lost two games in a row as well as 10 of their last 11 contests after a 3-1 loss against Philadelphia on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jets lead the NHL in goals allowed when playing at five-on-five full strength. It all starts with goalie Conner Hellebuyck who is on pace to win another Vezina Trophy. He has a 2.20 Goals-Against-Average and a .925 save percentage in 40 games — and he has a 2.21 GAA and a .927 save percentage in five starts this month. Winnipeg has played 20 of their last 29 games Under the Total after a win or tie in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road after a win by three or more goals. They have also played 22 of their last 32 road games Under the Total after a win where they scored more than five goals. The Jets have scored three or more goals in three straight games — but they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring three or more goals in three or more games in a row. Winnipeg goes back on the road where they have played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5 or lower. They have also played 10 straight Unders against teams winning 25-40% of their games. Furthermore, the Jets hold Central Division rivals to only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game. Chicago is last in the NHL by scoring just 2.07 Goals-Per-Game. They only have two players who have generated 30 or more points — and just four of their players have 20 or more points on the season. In their last five games, they are scoring only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game — and they are scoring just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game against division rivals. The Blackhawks have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a game where no more than four combined goals were scored. They have also played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row. And while they have lost their last two games by multiple goals, they have then played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after losing two or more games in a row by two or more goals. They stay at home where they have played 15 of their last 25 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5 or lower. And while the Jets are outscoring their opponents by +0.7 Goals-Per-Game, Chicago has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams outscoring their opponents by +0.5 or more Goals-Per-Game. Petr Mrazek is their confirmed goaltender tonight — and he has been very good when playing at home where he has a 2.47 GAA and a .925 save percentage in 20 starts.
FINAL TAKE: There have been only ten combined goals in the previous three meetings between these Central Division rivals this season. Winnipeg won the last meeting between these teams by a 2-1 score on January 11th — and the Blackhawks have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with revenge. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (25) and the Chicago Blackhawks (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-17-24 |
Hurricanes v. Golden Knights -108 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 10:37 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vegas Golden Knights (24) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (23). THE SITUATION: Vegas (31-16-6) had won two games in a row before their 5-3 loss to Minnesota on Monday. Carolina (31-17-5) has won three of their last four games after their 5-1 win at Arizona last night.
REASONS TO TAKE THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Vegas has been playing better lately as they had won four of five games before their loss to the Wild to begin the week. Despite being without Shea Theodore and now Jack Eichel, they are still scoring 3.36 Goals-Per-Game in their last 11 contests since Eichel’s injury, ranking ninth in the NHL over that span. The Golden Knights have won 6 of their last 7 games after a loss at home — and they have won 18 of their last 26 games after a loss at home by two or more goals. Additionally, they have won 13 of their last 20 games after winning two of their last three games. Vegas has been tough when playing on home ice at the Fortress — they have a 19-6-2 record at home this season. Adin Hill is expected to be their starting goaltender tonight. He has a 1.86 Goals-Against-Average and a .937 save percentage when playing at home this season. And while the Hurricanes are outscoring their opponents by +0.5 Goals-Per-Game, the Golden Knights have won 12 of their last 16 games against opponents outscoring their opponents by +0.3 or more Goals-Per-Game. Carolina has lost 5 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than one goal in their last game. They have also lost 6 of their last 8 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. And while this is their third game on the road since Tuesday, they have lost 4 of their last 5 games when playing their third game on the road in five days. The Hurricanes are at a situational disadvantage playing this game without rest against a Vegas team that has not played since Monday. Spencer Martin appears to be their goaltender tonight to make his second start for the team after getting acquired from Columbus. In his six games (five starts) on the road, he has been saddled with a 3.95 GAA and a .874 save percentage. The Hurricanes are outstanding at home where they have a 17-6-4 record — but they are just 13-11-1 on the road. The Golden Knights average 31.2 shots per game — and Carolina has lost 26 of their last 42 games on the road in the second half of the season against teams who average 29.5 or more shots per game.
FINAL TAKE: Vegas wants to avenge a 6-3 loss at Carolina on December 19th — and they have won 45 of their last 62 games when playing with revenge. They have also won 22 of their last 31 opportunities for revenge from a loss by two or more goals — and they have lost 12 of their last 15 games when avenging a loss where they gave up five or more goals. 25* NHL Game of the Month with the Vegas Golden Knights (24) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (23). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-30-24 |
Blue Jackets v. Blues OVER 6.5 |
Top |
1-0 |
Loss |
-112 |
2 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Columbus Blue Jackets (61) and the St. Louis Blues (62). THE SITUATION: Columbus (15-24-10) has lost four of their last five games after their 4-2 loss at Seattle on Sunday. St. Louis (26-20-2) has won five games in a row after their 4-3 victory against Los Angeles on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blues have scored four goals in four straight games — but they have also conceded three goals in each of their last four games during their current winning streak. Since Drew Bannister took over for Craig Berube as head coach on December 13th, St, Louis has scored 2.95 Goals-Per-Game in those 19 games which is right at their 2.9 Goals-Per-Game average for the season. But they are surrounding 4.0 Goals-Per-Game since Bannister took over which is well above their 3.2 Goals-Per-Game average for the season. The Blues have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a win at home — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a win by one goal. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win at home where they scored four or more goals. St. Louis has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring four or more goals in two or more games in a row — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after scoring four or more goals in four or more games in a row. Goalie Jordan Binnington has played better lately — but he has still allowed three goals in each of his last two starts. For the season, he still owns a 2.97 Goals-Against-Average and a .907 save percentage. Columbus has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a loss by three or more goals. The Blue Jackets have surrendered nine combined goals in their last two games — but they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after allowing four or more goals in two or more games in a row. They have also played 13 of their last 17 games Over the Total after losing two or more games in a row. Elvis Merkilins will be between the pipes for them tonight — he has a 3.86 Goals-Against-Average and a .867 save percentage in his four starts this month. In his 13 starts on the road, he has a 3.73 GAA and a .889 save percentage. Columbus has played 16 of their last 26 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games against teams from the Western Conference.
FINAL TAKE: The Blues have seen seven or more combined goals scored in five of six and seven of their last nine games — and the Blue Jackets have seen seven or more combined goals in four of their last seven games. Columbus won the last meeting between these two teams on December 8th — and St. Louis has played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Columbus Blue Jackets (61) and the St. Louis Blues (62). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-27-24 |
Maple Leafs v. Jets -122 |
Top |
4-2 |
Loss |
-122 |
0 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (46) versus the Toronto Maple Leafs (45). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (30-11-5) has lost two games in a row after their 1-0 loss at Toronto on Wednesday. Toronto (23-15-8) has won three of their last four games after that shutout win.
REASONS TO TAKE THE JETS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Winnipeg has only scored one goal in their last two games — but they have then won 5 of their last 8 games after not scoring more than one goal in two straight games. They have also won 8 of their last 12 games after a game where no more than four combined goals were scored. But what makes this Winnipeg go in what has been a dominant stretch since the beginning of December has been their defense and goaltending. The Jets have allowed more than three goals just once in their last 36 games — and they have held 15 of their last 16 opponents to two goals or less. Goalie Connor Hellebuyck has been as good as at any time in his career this season. He has a 2.17 Goals-Against-Average and a .925 save percentage in 34 starts this season — and in his eight starts this month, he has a 1.63 GAA along with a .945 save percentage. The Jets have played three straight Unders — and they have won 31 of their last 41 home games after playing two or more Unders in a row. They have also won 22 of their last 27 home games after playing three or more Unders in a row. Now after playing their last three games on the road, they return home where they have a 16-8 record this season while holding their guests to 2.3 Goals-Per-Game. Winnipeg should get their scoring attack cranked up tonight as they are scoring 3.4 Goals-Per-Game on their home ice. The Jets have won 39 of their last 56 home games with the Total set at 6 or higher including 14 of their 19 home games this season with the Totals set at 6 or higher. Toronto scores 3.5 Goals-Per-Game — but Winnipeg has won 18 of their last 27 games against teams who score 3.0 or more Goals-Per-Game. But the Maple Leafs give up 3.2 Goals-Per-Game — so their shutout on Wednesday was a rare occurrence. Ilya Samsonov stopped all 32 shots he faced in that game — but now he goes back on the road where he has a 3.61 GAA and a .867 save percentage in his ten starts away from home. Toronto has lost 6 of their last 9 games after a win at home. They have also lost 7 of their last 9 games after winning three of their last four contests.
FINAL TAKE: The Jets have won 8 of their last 10 games when playing with revenge from a shutout loss. 25* NHL Non-Conference Game of the Month is with the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (46) versus the Toronto Maple Leafs (45). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-16-24 |
Islanders v. Jets -180 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 8:07 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (32) versus the New York Islanders (31). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (28-10-4) had their eight-game winning streak snapped in a 2-0 loss to Philadelphia on Saturday. The New York Islanders (19-14-10) have lost four of their last five games after their 5-0 loss at Minnesota yesterday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE JETS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Winnipeg should bounce back tonight as they have won 13 of their last 17 games after winning two of their last three games. They have also won 9 of their last 11 games when playing with two days of rest between contests. And while the Jets have played three straight Unders, they have then won 21 of their last 26 home games after playing three or more Unders in a row. They stay at home where they have won 13 of their last 18 home games with the Total set at 6 or higher. Connor Hellebuyck is their confirmed starter tonight as he looks to continue his outstanding month after posting a 1.42 Goals-Against-Average and a .955 in his first five starts in January. New York has lost 5 games in a row when playing without a day of rest. This is their third game on the road since Saturday — and they have lost 7 of their last 10 games when playing for the third time in the last four days on the road. The defensive play of this team has collapsed as they have given up 3.64 Goals-Per-Game in the last month — and the underlying metrics are only a little better with them posting a 3.48 expected Goals Allowed (xGA) per 60 minutes in the last month. The Islanders have lost 6 of their last 7 games after a loss on the road by two or more goals. They have lost 7 of their last 8 games after not scoring more than one goal in their last game. And while the Islanders have only scored once in their last two games, they have then lost 7 of their last 10 games after not scoring more than one goal in two straight games.
FINAL TAKE: The Jets will be without Mark Scheifele tonight — but they get Kyle Conner back after he missed several weeks. New York has lost 11 of their last 17 games against teams from the Western Conference. 8* NHL Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (32) versus the New York Islanders (31). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-11-24 |
Maple Leafs v. Islanders OVER 6.5 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 7:07 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (43) and the New York Islanders (44). THE SITUATION: Toronto (20-11-7) has won four games in a row after their 7-1 victory against San Jose on Tuesday. New York (18-12-10) has lost two games in a row and four of their last five after their 5-2 loss to Vancouver on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Maple Leafs have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a win at home — and they have played 17 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a win by four or more goals. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a win by five or more goals. Additionally, Toronto has played 20 of their last 27 games Over the Total after scoring six or more goals in their last game — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Their victory against the Sharks came on the heels of their 4-1 victory in San Jose against the Sharks three days prior. The Maple Leafs have played 17 of their last 23 games Over the Total after winning two or more games in a row by two or more goals — and they have 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning two games in a row by three or more goals. Furthermore, Toronto has played 14 of their last 18 games Over the Total after winning four or more goals in a row. Martin Jones will be between the pipes tonight. And while he has been outstanding for them this season with his .935 save percentage in his 12 games with the Maple Leafs, the Regression Gods will be making an appearance since given his .895 save percentage in the last five years of his declining career. New York has played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a loss — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after losing two of their last three games. They have lost two in a row by identical 5-2 scores — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing two games in a row where seven or more combined goals were scored. Additionally, the Islanders have played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total after allowing three or more goals in two or more games in a row. They have allowed the second most Scoring Chances in the NHL this season — and they have allowed the third most High-Danger Opportunities. Ilya Sorokin is their goaltender tonight — and he has a rough 3.73 Goals-Against-Average and a .879 save percentage in his four appearances this month.
FINAL TAKE: The Maple Leafs have played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range. The Islanders have played 15 of their last 18 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. 10* NHL Toronto-NY Islanders ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (43) and the New York Islanders (44). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-10-24 |
Golden Knights v. Avalanche -133 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 51 m |
Show
|
At 10:07 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (26) versus the Vegas Golden Knights (25). THE SITUATION: Colorado (26-12-3) has won five of their last six games after their 4-3 win against Boston on Monday. Vegas (23-12-5) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 5-2 win against the New York Islanders on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AVALANCHE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Colorado should continue to build on their momentum as they have won 5 of their last 7 games after a win by just one goal in their last game. And while they have scored at least four goals in four straight games, they have then won 15 of their last 21 games after scoring four or more goals in four or more games in a row. The Avalanche stay at home where they have won 17 of their last 22 games with the Total set at 6 or higher. Vegas has lost 9 of their last 14 games after losing two of their last three games. They have also lost 17 of their last 26 games in January. After a 11-0-1 start to the season, the reigning Stanley Cup champions have been basically a .500 team with a 12-12-4 mark. Injuries have played a big role with defenseman Shea Theodore, center William Karlsson, and left wing William Carrier amongst their big names out tonight.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado will be motivated to avenge an embarrassing 7-0 loss to the Golden Knights in Las Vegas on November 4th — and they have won 21 o their last 30 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they gave up five or more goals. The Aves have also won 9 of their last 12 games when avenging a loss by four or more goals. 8* NHL Wednesday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (26) versus the Vegas Golden Knights (25). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-04-24 |
Red Wings v. Kings -168 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-168 |
0 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 10:37 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Kings (24) versus the Detroit Red Wings (23). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (21-10-4) has lost three games in a row after their 3-0 loss to Toronto on Tuesday. Detroit (18-17-3) has won two of their last three games after their 5-3 victory at San Jose on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE KINGS WIT THE MONEY-LINE: Despite the recent losing run, Los Angeles is playing well. They have registered an expected goals-for rating of 59.7% or higher in five of their last eight games with a 58.6% expected goals-for mark overall in those eight contests. And while they have out-chanced six of their last eight opponents in situations classified as quality opportunities, they have had bad shooting luck hold them back. But the Kings have won 7 of their last 10 games after a loss at home. They have also won 7 of their last 11 games after losing two games in a row at home — and they have won 8 of their last 13 games after losing three games in a row. Detroit has won only ten games in their 23 contests — and they rank eighth from the bottom of the league in points during that span. Since November 13th, they have posted a low 45.2% expected goals-for rating. They have seen eight or more goals scored in four straight games — and they have lost 7 of their last 8 games after playing two or more games in a row after playing two or more games in a row where eight or combined goals were scored. The Red Wings have allowed at least three goals in eight straight contests — and they have then lost 7 of their last 11 games after allowing three or more goals in three or more games in a row.
FINAL TAKE: Detroit has lost 34 of their last 43 games against teams winning 51-60% of their games — and the Kings have won 10 of their last 15 games against teams with a losing record. 8* NHL Thursday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Los Angeles Kings (24) versus the Detroit Red Wings (23). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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