Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-26-18 | Minnesota v. Boston College -1 | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Boston College - It's been quite the impressive start to the season for Minnesota, who has started out 5-0 and just took home the Vancouver Showcase title with a win over Washington in the finale. They also have early victories against the likes of Utah and Texas A&M. I believe all that has the Gophers getting a little to much respect here on the road against a talented BC team that off to a strong 4-1 start of their one. They too are coming off an impressive win, as they took down Loyola-Chicago 78-66 as a 4-point dog. I also don't love the spot for Minnesota, who has to be a bit jet-lagged from their recent trip to Vancouver, plus all the distractions with Thanksgiving. Now back on the road in what figures to be a hostile environment for the ACC/Big Ten showdown. Simply put, there's just too much value with the Eagles at basically a pick'em at home. Take Boston College! |
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11-25-18 | Magic +8 v. Lakers | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
4* NBA Vegas ATS Heavy HITTER on Magic + The Lakers are rolling right now, as they have won 9 of their last 11. However, to no surprise, they haven't exactly been a great bet during this hot streak. In fact, LA is just 5-6 ATS during this stretch. The books are simply inflating their lines to where it's really hard for them to cover. That's exactly what I see here. Orlando was responsible for one of those two losses, as they beat LA 130-117 at home back on Nov. 17th. It's been a part of an impressive stretch here for the Magic, as they have gone 6-1-1 ATS last 8. I fully expect Orlando to hang around here and keep this well within the number. Note this is also a huge bounce back spot for the Magic, who lost 112-87 at Denver in their last game. Magic are 12-4-1 ATS last 17 off a loss by more than 10 points. Take Orlando! |
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11-25-18 | Villanova v. Florida State -2 | 66-60 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Florida State
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-24-18 | Pelicans v. Wizards +2 | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Wizards + I love the value here with Washington as a home dog against the Pelicans. It certainly hasn't been the start to the season the Wizards were expecting, as they sit at 6-12 thru their first 18 games. They have won 4 of their last 7 and I still have a lot of confidence in this team getting back on track. The even bigger key here is this being a really tough spot for New Orleans. The Pelicans had to play at New York yesterday and were at Philadelphia on Wednesday, so not only is this a back-to-back road set, but it's their 3rd game away from home in the last 4 days, which I think is only worse given it's come right around Thanksgiving. I think we saw some of the fatigue show in yesterday's loss to the Knicks as a 7.5-point favorite. Pelicans are also just 2-6 ATS last 8 road games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 following a SU loss. Take Washington! |
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11-23-18 | Florida -1 v. Butler | 54-61 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Florida No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-23-18 | Celtics -8.5 v. Hawks | 114-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
3* NBA Big Money PLAY OF THE DAY on Celtics - This just feels like the perfect spot and opponent for Boston to get right against. The Celtics come in having lost 3 straight and are fresh off an ugly 117-109 loss at home to the Knicks as a 14.5-point favorite. Boston is now sitting at 9-9 overall and I just think we get a big time effort here with the possibility of going under .500. The Hawks haven't won a game since they squeaked out a win over the Heat at home back on Nov. 3. They just lost at home to the Raptors by 16 as a similarly priced 8-point dog. Keep in mind Toronto was kind of in the same spot as Boston when they visited Atlanta, as the Raptors had hit a bit of a lull following their hot start. Celtics have gone an impressive 10-1 ATS in their last 11 when failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Take Boston! |
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11-22-18 | Oklahoma State v. Memphis +2.5 | 84-64 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Memphis + I'lll gladly take the points here with Memphis in this neutral site showdown with Oklahoma State. There's a buzz around this Tigers team with Penny Hardaway the new head coach. He's going to turn Memphis into a powerhouse with his ability to recruit and I think they will be showing a lot of value this year. They already went on the road and covered against a very good LSU team, losing by just 9 as a 11.5-point dog. They did so despite a red-hot shooting night for LSU, who hit on 54% of their shots. I think they are the better team here. Oklahoma State also has a road loss, but there's was at Charlotte as a 13-point favorite. This team is going to struggle this year, as they only returned 3 scholarship players. Take Memphis! |
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11-21-18 | Loyola-Chicago -4.5 v. Boston College | 66-78 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Loyola-Chicago - I'll gladly back the Ramblers at this price. Loyola-Chicago should have zero problem here covering the number against the Eagles in this neutral site showdown in Fort Myers, Florida. Ramblers laid an egg out of the gates and lost at home to Furman, but have rolled off 3 straight wins, including a 82-66 victory over Richmond as a 7-point neutral site favorite. The Eagles are headed in the right direction and will surprise some teams in ACC play, but still got a ways to go. We already seen them lose at home to IUPUI as a 16-point favorite. Ramblers are 9-2 ATS last 11 neutral site games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games when playing on 1 or less days of rest. Take Loyola-Chicago! |
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11-21-18 | Blazers v. Bucks -6 | Top | 100-143 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
5* NBA Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Bucks - The Bucks should have no problem here winning and covering the number. Milwaukee's got away with some sloppy starts here of late, but I don't think they will be sleep-walking through the start of this one. That's because the Bucks will be out for revenge from an ugly 15-point loss at Portland earlier this month. Milwaukee is 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS at home, so the books have clearly not given this team enough respect when they take the floor at the Fiserv Forum. Portland is a good team and in normal circumstances might put up a decent fight, but they have to be running on fumes. Blazers are playing their 5th straight game on the road. It's also their 3rd game in the last 4 nights and they just played last night in New York. Not to mention their next game is against the Warriors on Friday, so hard to not look ahead to that one just a little bit. Take Milwaukee! |
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11-21-18 | Wisconsin -7.5 v. Stanford | 62-46 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Wisconsin - I got no problem laying this number with the Badgers against the Cardinal. Wisconsin is a team that I think was highly undervalued coming into the year. While they are starting to get some love (ranked #25), I still think there's a lot of value backing them. Big reason Wisconsin is undervalued is they are coming off a season in which they went just 7-11 in the Big Ten and failed to make the NCAA Tournament fro the first time in 20 years. A big reason for their struggles was injuries. They got all 5 starters back and have already won on the road over Xavier by 9-points. Stanford just lost at UNC by 18 and was lucky to keep it that close. Should be an easy double-digit win here for the Badgers. Take Wisconsin! |
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11-20-18 | Bradley +3 v. SMU | 75-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bradley + I'll take the points with the Braves in this neutral site showdown with the Mustangs. Bradley is a dangerous team in the MVC, as they bring back 4 starters from a 20-win team. They are 3-1 to start the year with the only loss coming to Illinois-Chicago by a mere 1-point. SMU is off a miserable 2017-18 campaign, where injuries derailed what could have been a special season. A lot of people will expect the Mustangs to bounce back, but I'm not so sure that will be the case. They lost another NBA talent in Shake Milton, their third pro in the last two years. Two of their key guys back this year are both questionable to play in Everertt Ray and Jarrey Foster. SMU has already lost by 10 as a 9.5-point home favorite to Southern Miss and by 6 as a 10-point home favorite to Lipscomb. The Braves are better than both of those teams. Take Bradley! |
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11-19-18 | Arizona -1 v. Iowa State | 71-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Arizona - Iowa State is getting way too much love here against the Wildcats. This might not be your typically Arizona team that has the talent to be a serious national title contender, but this is still one of the most talented teams in the country. I like that they are flying under the radar coming into the year, as they should be playing with a chip on their shoulder. Iowa State is going to be a dangerous team come March if they can get healthy, but they are playing without preseason All-Big 12 guard Lindell Wigginton, who is out with a foot injury. On top of that, returning starters Cameron Lard (suspension) and Solomon Young (Groin) are also not playing. I get the Cyclones have looked great so far without those key pieces, but all 3 games for them have come at home, where they have quite the home court edge. This one is being played in Hawaii at the Maui Invitational. Take Arizona! |
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11-19-18 | Suns +12.5 v. 76ers | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Suns + I really like the value here with Phoenix as a double-digit dog against the 76ers. I just think Philadelphia is bit overvalued right now with the recent trade of Jimmy Butler and them having won and covered their last two. The thing is, they could very easily be 0-3 with Butler. They lost his debut at Orlando, beat Utah at home by just 6 points and the Jazz shot 4 of 22 (18.2%) from deep and 56.8% from the free throw line. Then last time out they overcame a 60-point night from Kemba Walker in a 122-119 overtime win at Charlotte. I think that game against the Hornets really took a lot out of this team (all 5 starters played 30+ mins) and this is not as deep a team after the trade. With how bad the Suns have been, I just feel this is one of those games that the 76ers go through the motions and have to scratch out a win late. Take Phoenix! |
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11-19-18 | Akron +14 v. Clemson | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Akron
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-19-18 | South Dakota State v. Tulane +8 | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Tulane
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-18-18 | CS-Fullerton v. Monmouth +7.5 | 87-63 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Monmouth
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-17-18 | SE Missouri State v. Chattanooga +1 | 63-42 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Chattanooga
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-17-18 | William & Mary +13 v. Notre Dame | Top | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on William Mary + Big time value here with the Tribe as a double-digit dog against the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame has really shot the ball poorly to start the season. They are shooting just 38.7% from the field thru three games. Last time out they went 22 of 61 (36.1%) in a 63-60 loss at home to Radford. Irish are a mere 7-17 ATS in their last 24 home games vs a bad team that's won between 20%-40% of their games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 off a game with a combined score of 125 or less. Tribe are 10-2 ATS last 12 road games after allowing previous two opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field and perfect 7-0 ATS last 7 road games after a game where both teams scored 75+ points. Take William & Mary! |
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11-16-18 | Niagara +6.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 72-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
5* NCAAB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Niagara + It's been quite the impressive start for the Purple Eagles. They opened the year with a 80-72 win at home as a dog against St. Bonaventure, then proved it was no fluke with a competitive loss and cover at Loyola-Chicago. I go ahead and take the points for insurance, but I like Niagara to win this game outright. Wyoming has been overvalued in each of their first three, as they haven't covered a spread yet and I think the books just haven't made the proper adjustments on this team. Cowboys are a mere 5-13 ATS last two seasons as a favorite. It's also worth noting that in that closer than expect loss to the Ramblers, the Purple Eagles shot a dreadful 29.2% from the field. Under head coach Chris Casey they are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 after a game where they shot 33% or worse. Take Niagara! |
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11-16-18 | St. John's -2 v. Rutgers | 84-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on St. John’s - The Red Storm should have no problem securing a win on the road against Rutgers. St. John's is a team to watch out for. This is now year three under head coach Chris Mullin and the team showed some promise late last year. They get back arguably the best player in the Big East in junior guard Shamorie Ponds and got a huge boost when Auburn transfer Mustapha Heron was cleared to play. Both are averaging 20+ ppg early on. I like the direction Rutgers is going and they won't go down without a fight a home, but I just think the Red Storm are the far superior team in this one. Rutgers just doesn't have the offensive fire-power to compete with the likes of Ponds and Heron. Take St. John's! |
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11-16-18 | Ball State v. Alabama -3 | 61-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Alabama
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-15-18 | Ohio State -2 v. Creighton | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt Vegas ATS BLOWOUT on Ohio State - The value here is with Ohio State as a short favorite against the Bluejays. The Buckeyes surprised a lot of people last year and I think they are going to do it again, as a lot of people are expecting a step back after they lost their star duo of Keita Bates-Diop and Jae-Sean Tate. Not me. Last year's surprise run came in the first year under former Butler head coach Chris Holtmann, who is known for getting the most out of the talent he has to work with. He had to work extra hard with the talent he was able to get at Butler. Not so much at Ohio State, where they get big time recruits. This year's freshman class, mixed with some talented veterans will be tough to beat. We already seen them go on the road and beat Cincinnati by 8 as a 4.5-point dog and then absolutely annihilate Purdue-Ft Wayne by 46 as a 18.5-point favorite. Creighton is in a very similar spot, having lost their top two scorers and only returning 2 starters, but they don't have the talent that the Buckeyes do. Take Ohio State! |
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11-14-18 | Niagara +14 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Niagara + I really like the value here with the Purple Eagles as a big dog against everyone's favorite Cinderella story from last year in Loyola-Chicago. Last year the Ramblers surprised everyone all the way to the Final Four. With that success comes expectations, as well as a pretty big target on your back. We have already seen them stumble, as they lost their second game of the season to Furman at home as a 8.5-point favorite. Loyola shot just 37% from the field. All Niagara did in their first game is upset a St Bonaventure team at home 80-72 as a 4.5-point dog. A team that you might recall won 26 games last year. The biggest thing for me with the Ramblers is last year's success came in year 7 under head coach Porter Moser, so it's not like he just arrived and flip the script. It tells me last year's success was about the talent on hand and while they got some nice pieces back they lost three seniors who played big roles. I'm not saying they won't win this one, I just don't seem them winning by double-digits. Take Niagara! |
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11-13-18 | Georgetown v. Illinois -6 | Top | 88-80 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Illinois - I love the Illini at this price against the Hoyas. I think this Illinois team might be one of the biggest sleepers in the country. Brad Underwood had a great track record of improving teams in his first year on the job, but Illinois actually got worst in his first go of things last season. Underwood could have had basically the same team back, but instead got rid of the players that didn't fit his system and added in a bunch of talent (6 freshmen, 2 transfers). One of those freshman is 5-star point guard Ayo Dosunmu, who now gives them 3 playmakers in the backcourt with the return of senior Aaron Jordan and sophomore Big Ten All-Freshman guard Trent Frazier. Georgetown had similar struggles in the first year under head coach Patrick Ewing. I don't see the same upside with the Hoyas in year-two. Georgetown is 2-0, but only beat Maryland Eastern Shore by 15 as a 30.5-point favorite then had to hold on for a 7-point win at home against Central Connecticut. Illinois put up 99 in a 36-point win over Evansville as a mere 16-point favorite and that same Evansville team only lost by 6-points the next time out at Xavier. I just don't see Georgetown being able to keep pace offensively with this Illini team, especially on the road. Take Illinois! |
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11-13-18 | Harvard v. Massachusetts -3.5 | 74-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on UMASS - Really like the value here with the Minutemen laying a short number at home against the Crimson. I like the direction this UMass team is headed under Matt McCall. They got a legit scorer in junior Luwane Pipkins (21.2 ppg last year) and a sharp-shooting sophomore guard in Carl Pierre (47% from 3's) to lead the way. They also got a big who can dominate in Rashaan Holloway and a couple of transfers in Curtis Cobb and Jonathan Laurent who are starting. Harvard is a team that has high expectations this year of making the the NCAA Tournament, but we just saw them lose 81-71 at home to Northeastern. Until they get back their two studs from injury in Bryce Aiken and Seth Towns, this team will struggle to win games. Take UMass! |
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11-13-18 | Wisconsin v. Xavier +2 | 77-68 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational Vegas Insider on Xavier + I'm not buying the Badgers being a road favorite over the Musketeers. Xavier was a No. 1 seed in last year's NCAA Tournament, but lost head coach Chris Mack and a trio of playmakers in Trevon Blueitt, J.P. Macura and Kerem Kanter. I just think the assumption here is that the Musketeers will take a big step back this year. I don't think that's the case at all. Mack's assistant Travis Steele is taking over a team that not only returns a lot of talent, but added in some experienced grad transfers and solid freshmen. I get Wisconsin gets everyone back from a team that was decimated by injuries last year, but these are Bo Ryan's Badgers any more. I'm not saying Wisconsin won't be a strong team, I just think they are getting a little too much respect on the road against a Big East power. Take Xavier! |
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11-12-18 | Troy State +6 v. Pittsburgh | 75-84 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Troy + I look for the Trojans to go into Pittsburgh and give the Panthers all they can handle. Pitt has started out 2-0, but there's nothing to be excited about wins over Youngstown State and VMI. There's still a long way for these Panthers to go before they can be taken seriously. Pitt won just 8 games all of last year, going winless (0-18) in ACC play. They fired head coach Kevin Stallings and several key players either graduated or transferred out of the program. The future figures to be bright under Jeff Capel, but this figures to be a long rebuilding season. Troy is one of the top teams out of the Sun Belt and showcased some of their potential in a mere 4-point loss at St Louis as a 12-point dog last time out. Trojans nearly won on the road as a double-digit dog, despite shooting just 38.9% from the field. If they can hit some shots tonight, I definitely could see them winning this outright. Take Troy! |
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11-12-18 | Bowling Green +8.5 v. VCU | 61-72 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Bowling Green + I like the value here with the Falcons as a near double-digit dog against the Rams. Bowling Green comes in at 1-1, but the lone loss is nothing to be ashamed of. The Falcons lost 84-80 at St. John's as a 18.5-point underdog. Bowling Green shot 50% against the Red Storm and if they are hitting their shots they are a very difficult team to beat. VCU is a program that still gets respect nationally from their success under Shaka Smart and last year the Rams missed out on the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2010. While VCU has opened up 2-0, neither win has been all that impressive. They have beat Gardner-Webb and Hampton, each by a final score of 69-57. They failed to cover as a 14-point favorite against Garder Webb and there wasn't even a line against Hampton. Falcons are an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after covering the spread in their last game. Take Bowling Green! |
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11-11-18 | Southern Miss +11 v. SMU | 74-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Southern Miss + I love the value here with the Golden Eagles as a double-digit dog against the Mustangs. Southern Miss is a team you want to look out for early on this season. They are now a few years removed from the NCAA sanctions and will have basically their entire roster back from last year's 16-win team. They are a legit sleeper in C-USA and will be out to make a statement here against a quality program like SMU. The Mustangs won their opener at home against Northwestern State, but it wasn't pretty. SMU only won by 11-points as a massive 25.5-point favorite. They shot just 39% from the field, which is a bit concerning given the level of competition they were playing. SMU did lose their go-to-guy in Shake Milton, who led the team with 18.0 ppg). They will also be without projected starting guard Jarrey Foster. Look for Golden Eagles to hang around and maybe win this game outright. Take Southern Miss! |
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11-10-18 | Northern Iowa -4 v. Texas-Arlington | 65-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on Northern Iowa - Really like the value here with UNI as a short favorite against UT Arlington. Both teams come in off wins against teams they were all but guarantee to beat. I just think this is a complete mismatch in terms of talent. The Mavericks went 21-13 last year, but fired head coach Scott Cross because the AD was upset about not making any NCAA Tournament appears. Cross had won 72 the past 3 seasons. Arlington not only will be adjusting to a new coach (Chris Ogden), but they have to replace all 5 starters, including two of the best players to ever play at the program. UNI went just 16-16 last year and 7-11 in the Missouri Valley. First time since 2002 that they were under .500 in conference play. They were better than their record (KenPom had them rated 3rd best team in the MWC). I like head coach Ben Jacobson and he's got the Panthers flying under the radar in 2018. Take Northern Iowa! |
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11-10-18 | Columbia +4 v. Marist | 76-82 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Vegas Undervalued UNDERDOG on Columbia + I think the books have the wrong team favored in this one. Marist might be one of the better teams in the MAAC, but that's not saying much. The Red Foxes went on the road and lost at Army in their opener, doing so despite shooting 51.9% from the field. Columbia is a team that could surprise in the Ivy League this year. They have 4 starters back, as well as several of their top reserves. Last year a young team struggled to win away from home (1-14), but now they should start beating these teams on the road where they have the edge. Look for the Lions to pull off the minor upset. Take Columbia! |
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11-09-18 | Celtics v. Jazz -3 | Top | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
5* NBA Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Jazz - This is an easy play on Utah as a small home favorite against the Celtics. The Jazz really need to get on track after losing 4 of their last 5. They were able to stop the bleeding and their 4-game skid with a 15 point win over the Mavs last time out. I expect that strong play to carry over to this one. We know we are going to get a big effort here from Utah, as this will be the first time that long-term Jazz star Gordon Hayward returns to Utah in an opposing team's uniform. On top of that, the Jazz are catching Boston at the perfect time. The Celtics are in the midst of a 5-game road trip and playing on zero rest after rallying in the 2nd half to win in OT at Phoenix last night. Boston looked like they were already running on fumes, as they scored just 35 in the 1st half against the Suns. They simply aren't going to have the energy/effort to keep this game competitive. We also now know Kyrie Irving won't play and I could see some other guys minutes restricted, as this game just doesn't mean much in the grand scheme of things for the Celtics. Take Utah! |
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11-09-18 | Cal-Irvine +6 v. Texas A&M | Top | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Cal-Irvine + I fully expect UC Irvine to a be a team people are talking about as a sleeper in the NCAA Tournament. The Anteaters are absolutely loaded in terms of experience and talent for a team of their size. Irvine gets back all 5 starters, their top 3 reserves and talented redshirt freshman Collin Welp. It's why the Anteaters are as short a dog as they are against a Power 5 program in Texas A&M, who has two starters back from last year's Sweet 16 team. The thing with the Aggies is they figure to be down a few notches after losing one of the best frontcourts in the country with Tyler Davis, D.J. Hogg and Robert Williams all gone. In total they lost 4 guys 6-9 or taller who averaged at least 6.7 ppg and 4.4 rpg. I not only think the Anteaters will keep this thing close enough to cover, but I like them to win this one outright. They already won and covered as a 15-point favorite in their season opener (shot 54% from the field). Aggies on the other hand won by just 15 as a 29-point favorite. Take UC-Irvine! |
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11-09-18 | NC-Greensboro v. LSU -10.5 | 91-97 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on LSU - I got a lot of respect for the UNC-Greensboro program. I know they got 3 starters back from a team that gave Gonzaga a scare in the NCAA Tournament, but I just don't see them being able to keep this within 15 points against a very talented LSU team on the Tigers home floor. LSU cruised to a 94-63 win at home over SE Louisiana, easily covering as a 20.5-point favorite. it could have been even worse if the Tigers wanted. They called off the dogs on defense after taking a 45-18 lead at the half. As for the Spartans, they had to rally from a 1st half deficit to beat North Carolina A&T. Winning by a final score of 74-66 as a 16-point favorite. They shot 50% from the field and barely won against an inferior team. That's a bad sign, as they aren't going to be shooting anywhere close to 50% on the road vs LSU. Look for the Tigers to have the cover in the bag early. Take LSU! |
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11-08-18 | Bucks +6.5 v. Warriors | 134-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Bucks No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-08-18 | Celtics v. Suns +10 | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Suns + Most are going to just assume Boston will come out pissed after losing two straight and easily cover this spread against a Suns team that just lost at home to the Nets by 22 points as a 2-point dog. I just don't think it's going to play out like that. As good as the Celtics are, a lot of teams struggle with these long road trips, especially when they are going clear across the country like Boston has. I just think they could struggle to bring the energy here against a bad Suns team and two much bigger games on deck at Utah and Portland. This is also an ideal bounce back spot for Phoenix. Anytime a team gets embarrassed like the Suns did in their last game, they typically bring a little extra next time out. That should be enough for them to hang around and keep this within the number. Take Phoenix! |
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11-08-18 | Rockets -2.5 v. Thunder | 80-98 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
3* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Rockets - Houston has now won 3 straight since their shocking 1-5 start to the season, but it's not from them lighting up the scoreboard like we saw last year. It's been outstanding defense that has got the Rockets back on track. I think because the offense hasn't looked great, they are still flying a bit under the radar. I certainly think they should be favored on the road over OKC. While the Thunder have won 6 straight (covered 5 in a row), they likely won't have Russell Westbrook. Even if he plays, I still would like Houston at this line, as it's only a matter of time before the Rockets start connecting on their shots. There's too much talent on that roster for them to continue to shoot 42.4% from the field. Rockets are 30-18 ATS in their last 48 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 28-14 in their last 42 as a road favorite. Take Houston! |
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11-08-18 | Siena v. George Washington -6.5 | 69-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on George Washington - I like the value here with the Colonials. George Washington was upset in their season opener at home by Stoney Brook. That's not as bad a loss as you might think. As for Siena, they went on the road and lost by just 10 as a 19.5-point dog to Providence. Those results would have most tempted to take the points with the Saints in this one, but I look for the Colonials to bounce back in a big way at home. Georgia Washington really beat themselves in their game against Stoney Brook. They shot 47.3% from the field to Stony Brook's 38.6%. What killed the Colonials is that they went 16 of 34 (47.1%) from the free throw line and turned it over 17 times. Both areas I expect to see major improvement in tonight. Take George Washington! |
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11-07-18 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +4 | 87-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
4* NBA Western Conf PLAY OF THE WEEK on Grizzlies + The betting public is going to see this line and feel great about backing the Nuggets as a short road favorite against a Grizzlies team that is off back-to-back losses. I see this line as a full on trap by the bookmakers. It tells me the books don't expect Denver to perform well in this spot. I agree with them. The Nuggets are coming off a 115-107 win over a Boston team a lot of people expect to be in the Finals. They are now 9-1 and have to be feeling pretty good about themselves. Add in all the Kyrie Irving and Jamal Murray BS that's in the media, and I just don't see them coming out ready to play against a Memphis team that wasn't good last year and so far doesn't look like anything special. Grizzlies didn't have Mike Conley last year and they do now, so this team is going to be better than last year. It will take a few games for them to get the chemistry back. They like the direction they are going. Part of the reason they are 5-4 is they have played 6 of their first 9 games on the road. They are 3-0 at home with all 3 wins coming by double-digits. Big statement game for them and I think they get the victory. Take Memphis! |
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11-07-18 | Marshall v. Eastern Kentucky +9 | 105-77 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
3* CBB No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Eastern Kentucky + I like the value here with Eastern Kentucky as a near double-digit dog at home to Marshall. Many will recall the Thundering Herd upsetting No. 4 seed Wichita State in the opening round of last year's NCAA Tournament. Head coach Dan D'Antoni runs a similar run-and-gun offense to that of the Houston Rockets, where his younger brother coaches. This will be a very public team and I don't think the books will hesitate to inflate the number on them. The Colonels decided it was time for a change and fired head coach Dan McHale. They replaced him with A. W. Hamilton, who actually played at Marshall. This is one of those special games, where you put a little more into getting a win, especially with it being the season opener. Eastern Kentucky will need to find some new guys to compliment their star in Nick Mayo, who might be the best player in the Ohio Valley. I believe they will and this could be a surprise team in the OVC. I think they keep it closer than expected and got a legit shot at winning the game outright. Take Eastern Kentucky! |
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11-06-18 | San Francisco +3 v. UC-Davis | Top | 76-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Opening Night GAME OF THE YEAR on San Fran + I'm shocked the Dons are a dog in this fight, but I'll gladly take some insurance points in a game I see San Francisco winning rather easily. The Dons have won 42 games in the first two seasons under head coach Kyle Smith and made it all the way to the CBI Finals last March. This year's team looks even stronger than the one that went 22-17 and finished 4th in the WCC behind the likes of Gonzaga, St Mary's and BYU. They probably can't challenge Gonzaga for the title, but I could definitely see them surprising and finishing higher in the standings. UC Davis is also off a strong season and et back Big West Player of the Year T.J. Shorts, but lost two key starters, including China Moneke, who nearly averaged a double-double (18.4 ppg, 9.6 rpg). I just don't see them keeping pace with the Dons in this one. Take San Francisco! |
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11-06-18 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. UCLA -12.5 | 71-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on UCLA - The Bruins should have no problem here covering this short humber at home against Purdue Fort Wayne. The Mastadons posted a winning record last year and get back 3x All-Summit 1st Team guard John Konchar, while UCLA never reached their full potential and were knocked out in Dayton in the First Four of the NCAA Tournament. This year there are no distractions and the Bruins are loaded with talent that's ready to make a run at a Pac-12 title. I fully expect them to win here by 20+ and have this line covered by halftime. Take UCLA! |
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11-06-18 | North Carolina v. Wofford +11 | 78-67 | Push | 0 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Wofford + A lot of people are going to think this line is a mistake. The No. 8 ranked Tar Heels are barely a double-digit favorite on the road against Wofford from the Southern Conference. Those that have done their homework will understand this line and the value that comes with the Terriers. Wofford brings back all 5 starters from last year's team that went 21-13, including a 79-75 win at North Carolina last year. I get the Tar Heels will be out for revenge, but it means every bit as much to the Terriors to win again. UNC has the chance to be good, but must work in a lot of new pieces and replace one of the ACC's best point guard is in Joel Berry, as well as one of their best all-around players in Theo Pinson. I expect this one to go right down to the wire and wouldn't be shocked if the Terrior did in fact pull off the upset. Take Wofford! |
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11-05-18 | Rockets +1 v. Pacers | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
3* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Rockets + It's been a roller-coaster start to the season for Houston, who no one thought would be sitting under. 500 (3-5) in November. However, it's a big shocker when you consider Harden has missed 3 games and Paul has missed 2. The only two guys to start all 8 games are Capella and Tucker. No way this team was going to keep playing as poorly as they were. They got their two stars back in the lineup and have won 2 straight. I look for them to make it 3 in a row with a win tonight at Indiana. The Pacers are quality team and are tough to beat at home, but I just think they are a bit outclassed here and in a big letdown spot after defeating Boston 102-101 on a last second 3-pointer by Oladipo. Rockets are a rock solid 58-38 ATS in all road games over the last 3 seasons, 28-14 ATS in their last 42 as a road favorite and 18-7 ATS in their last 25 as road favorite of 6 points or less. Take Houston! |
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11-04-18 | Knicks v. Wizards -6.5 | Top | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
5* NBA Eastern Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Wizards - Last time out the Wizards were booed off their own court in a 134-111 loss at home to the Thunder. Washington is now 1-7 thru their first 8 games and have lost 5 straight. It's not acceptable to go 1-7, but they have played 5 of their first 8 games not the road and their 3 at home were against likely playoff teams in the Heat, Raptors and Thunder. They also have 3 losses by 4-points or less. Simply put, it's not as bad as people are making it. I'm confident this team will get it figured out and I'm willing to bet it happens at home today against the Knicks. New York has played well at times and are off a nice 118-106 win at Dallas, but the Knicks aren't a playoff team. They are 3-6 on the season and I just don't see them being able to match the intensity of a desperate Wizards team that I believe will treat this like a must-win. Take Washington! |
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11-03-18 | Jazz v. Nuggets -4 | 88-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
3* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Nuggets - I love the value here with Denver as a short home favorite against the Jazz tonight. The Nuggets have been one of the big surprises early on, as they have opened up 7-1 and are a perfect 4-0 at home, where they are outscoring teams by 12.2 ppg. Utah is a solid team, but I just don't think they have the good to keep this one close with how well Denver is playing. Especially given that the Jazz are playing on no rest after suiting up last night at home against the Grizzlies. It's also their 3rd game overall in the last 4 days. A situation in which the Jazz have gone a mere 16-29 ATS over the last 3 seasons. Utah is also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when playing on 0 days of rest. Take Denver! |
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11-02-18 | Raptors v. Suns +11 | 107-98 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Suns No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-02-18 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -7.5 | 110-100 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Jazz No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-02-18 | Rockets -3 v. Nets | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rockets - I don't think anyone saw Houston sitting at 1-5 thru their first 6 games. I know they just lost 104-85 at home to the Blazers and aren't expected to have James Harden back until tomorrow's showdown with the Bulls, but I just can't pass up on the Rockets at this price against the Nets. Brooklyn's not a good team. They are coming off a 1-point win at home against the Pistons, but shot just 42.6% from the field. Their other two victories are against the Knicks and Cavs. Houston simply can't continue to shoot as poorly as they have. They were 31 of 96 (32.3%) from the field against the Blazers. Big time bounce back spot for the Rockets off that embarrassing performance and the Nets are just the team to get them back on track. Houston is a solid 27-13 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons and a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games off a blowout loss by 15 or more. Take Houston! |
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10-30-18 | Pistons +9.5 v. Celtics | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
3* NBA Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Pistons + Love this price and spot with Detroit in a big time revenge game against the Celtics. These two teams just played in Detroit on Saturday, which Boston won by 20 (109-89) as a slim 3.5-point road favorite. Now the Celtics are a near double-digit favorite at home in a game that is going to mean a lot more to the Pistons than it is Boston. Detroit simply had an off night shooting against the Celtics on Saturday. They went just 33 of 89 (37.1%) from the field. Easily their worst shooting performance of the season. They are going to have a much better idea of what Boston is trying to do to them defensively and let's not forget the Pistons were 4-0 before that loss. Detroit is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU loss by more than 10 points. Celtics on the other hand are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win. Take Detroit! |
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10-30-18 | Hawks +5 v. Cavs | 114-136 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
3* NBA Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Hawks + Atlanta has already went into Cleveland and had their way with the Cavs 133-111 this season. While the Hawks will be playing on no rest, there's too much value here with Atlanta to pass up. The Cavaliers are a complete mess. They have already fired their head coach and now Kevin Love is out with a foot injury. Cleveland plays no defense, as opponents are shooting 51.2% from the field and 42.2% from long-distance. Offensively they have been dreadful from behind the 3-point line and it's not going to get any better with Love out. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Hawks won by double-digits in Cleveland again. Take Atlanta! |
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10-29-18 | Lakers +1 v. Wolves | 120-124 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
3* NBA Undervalued UNDERDOG on Lakers + I've really liked what I have seen out of this Lakers team and while they come in with a 2-4 record, they could easily be 4-2 and have a much different perception than we see now. With Ingram back from his suspension and the way the LA offense has clicked early, I think they are going to score at will here against the dysfunctional Timberwolves. The Jimmy Butler drama has been a massive distraction for everyone involved in Minnesota. The sooner they make a move and move past this thing the better, but for now they are a team I will look to fade. The Timberwolves just lost at home to the bucks by a final score of 125-95. That really tells you how out of sync this team is. Not only are they not playing defense, the shots aren't falling on offense. Take Los Angeles! |
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10-29-18 | Kings v. Heat -8 | Top | 123-113 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
5* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Heat - Great spot here to fade the Kings on the road. Sacramento is off back-to-back upset wins at home, as they defeated Memphis 97-92 as a 3-point dog and the Wizards 116-112 as a 5-point dog. I think it has the Kings getting a little too much respect here against a Heat team that is off back-to-back impressive wins at home. Miami crushed the Knicks at home 110-87 and then followed that up with a 120-111 win over Portland. Long way for Sacramento to travel to open up their road trip and I look for them to come out a bit flat. That should be more than enough for the Heat to win here by double-digits. Kings are just 19-36 ATS in their last 55 games off 2 straight wins by 6 points or less. Sacramento has also struggled on the boards and the Heat are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 vs a team that is getting out-rebounded by 3+ boards per game. Take Miami! |
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10-27-18 | Magic v. Bucks -8.5 | Top | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
5* NBA Eastern Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Bucks - Milwaukee has started out the 2018-19 season 5-0 and I look for them to stay undefeated with a comfortable win at home against the Magic. Each of the last 4 wins for the Bucks have come by at least 9 points, including a 30-point blowout win at Minnesota last night. I just don't think Orlando has the talent to keep this one close. Not a big deal here that Milwaukee is playing on no rest with how easy the win was last night against the Timberwolves. I would be more concerned about the Magic showing up, as they hit the road for the 3rd time in the last week and are just 1-day of rest. Orlando is a mere 4-14 ATS over the last 3 seasons when playing a top tier offensive team like Milwaukee, who are averaging 110 or more points/game. Magic are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 when playing on 1 day of rest, while the Bucks are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 25 on 0 days of rest. Take Milwaukee! |
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10-24-18 | Lakers v. Suns +5.5 | 131-113 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Suns No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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10-24-18 | Hornets v. Bulls +4 | 110-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
4* NBA Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Bulls + The public will be all over Charlotte here with the Hornets laying a short number against a Bulls team that is 0-3 and just released that starting point guard Kris Dunn is out 4-6 weeks. While that injury hurts, he didn't play in either of the first two, including a 2-point loss at home to the Pistons. They still got a decent 1-2 punch with Zach LaVine and Jabari Parker. LaVine has been outstanding early, as he comes in averaging 32.3 ppg. Chicago is desperate for a win here and I think they get it. Charlotte just lost by 21-points at Toronto and I think they are wearing down from a brutal scheduling start to their season. After opening at home against the Bucks, they are getting ready to play their 4th straight on the road, all in a span of just 6 days. With a home game against these same Bulls on deck, I think it makes it that much harder for the Hornets to get up for this game. It's also worth noting they haven't responded well to blowout losses in the past. They are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 off a loss by more than 10 points. Take Chicago! |
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10-23-18 | Clippers +7 v. Pelicans | 109-116 | Push | 0 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Clippers No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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10-22-18 | Suns +13 v. Warriors | 103-123 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
4* NBA Pacific Division PLAY OF THE WEEK on Suns + Great price and spot to jump on Phoenix as a big double-digit dog against the Warriors. No question we are seeing inflated lines on Golden State to start the year and the Warriors have opened up 0-3 ATS. Not only is Golden State being asked to lay more than they should, but this is also a team that isn't really all that concerned with he regular-season, especially this early on. The only thing that matters to the Warriors is getting that 3-peat. They lost outright last night at Denver, scoring just 98 points. Most will assume they bounce back here against a bad Suns team, but they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and 3rd overall in the last 4 nights. Not to mention Phoenix, along with every other team, is going to give Golden State their very best. Look for the Suns to keep this closer than expected. Note they have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 off a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 on the road. Take Phoenix! |
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10-20-18 | Hornets +5 v. Heat | Top | 113-112 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show |
5* NBA Southeast GAME OF THE MONTH on Hornets + I really like what I have seen from Charlotte to start this new season. The Hornets lost a heartbreaker at home to the Bucks 113-112 on Wednesday, but followed that up with a 120-88 blowout win at Orlando. Charlotte is really pushing the pace this year and are shooting lights out from deep, as they come in averaging 16 made 3-pointers and are shooting 43.4% from long distance. Miami lost to the Magic on the road in their opener Wednesday and squeaked out a win at Washington on Thursday. The Heat are playing short-handed to start the new season, as Wayne Ellington, Justise Winslow, James Johnson and Dion Waiters are all out with injuries. I just don't think Miami will have enough gas in the tank to keep up with Charlotte and all we need is for the Hornets to lose by 4 or less. Hornets are 24-8 in their last 32 road games after playing a game where they led by 15 or more points at the half. Miami has failed to cover 6 of their last 7 at home. Take Charlotte! |
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10-20-18 | Raptors +1 v. Wizards | 117-113 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
3* NBA Undervalued UNDERDOG on Toronto This is too good a price to pass up with the Raptors. All the talk has been about how the Eastern Conference is a race between the 76ers and Celtics after LeBron James went to LA. Toronto is every bit as good as those two with the addition of Khawi Leonard and they showed it last night in their 113-101 win over the Celtics. The fact that the Raptors are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set is definitely keeping this lower than it should be. Washington is a playoff team, but not a real threat to make it out of the east. They lost their home opener to a Miami team playing on no rest and the Heat are missing a bunch of guys to injury. I think Toronto is a team on a mission early and will have no problem winning this one on the road. Raptors are 40-25 ATS in their last 65 off a win by 10 or more and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 when that double-digit win came over a division rival. Take Toronto! |
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10-19-18 | Hawks v. Grizzlies -7.5 | Top | 117-131 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
5* NBA Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Grizzlies - Great spot to jump on the Grizzlies at home off that ugly loss in their season opener on the road to the Pacers. Indiana is one of the top teams in the east and Memphis simply didn't match their intensity. They also shot about as bad as an NBA team can, going just 25 of 84 (29.8%) from the field. I expect the shots to fall at home against a Hawks team that just doesn't have a lot of talent and will certainly struggle on the defensive side of the ball. Atlanta gave up 126 points to the Knicks, who are without their best player in Porzingis. This is a much-improved Memphis team, as they have a healthy Mike Conley at the points and one of the top big men in the game in Marc Gasol. The Hawks are going to be one of the worst teams in the NBA and will simply be no match for the Grizzlies on the road. Take Memphis! |
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10-17-18 | Bucks -2.5 v. Hornets | 113-112 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bucks - This is too good a price to pass up on Milwaukee as a short road favorite against the Hornets. I got high expectations for this Bucks team now that they have a legit head coach in Mike Budenholzer, who did a really good job of making the Hawks relevant. He did that with a few All-Stars and good supporting cast. I can't wait to see what he does with one of the best players in the game in Giannis Antetokounmpo. One of things Budenholzer did so well with Atlanta was floor-spacing and I expect to see that with the Bucks right away. Not only is that going to give more flow to the offense, but it's going to open up the paint even more for Antetokoumpo to attack. Charlotte is a legit playoff threat in the east, but that's largely because of how weak the conference is. They might keep it close early with the game at home, but look for the Bucks to pull away in the 2nd half and cover this one rather easily. Take Milwaukee! |
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10-16-18 | 76ers +5.5 v. Celtics | 87-105 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on 76ers
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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06-08-18 | Warriors v. Cavs +5.5 | Top | 108-85 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 32 m | Show |
5* NBA Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on Cavs + I love the value here with the Cavs as a decently priced home dog in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. While Cleveland's hopes of making this a series likely are long gone with them down 3-0, they aren't just going to roll over and give the title to Golden State. There's a lot of pride in not getting swept and it's not like the Cavs haven't had their chances. Cleveland could just as easily be sitting with a 2-1 lead, as they were right there in both Game 1 and Game 3. Keep in mind last year the Warriors took a 3-0 series lead and a lot of people thought the Cavs were going to get swept. Instead, Cleveland ran away with Game 4 in a 21-point blowout win. I don't know if it will be that lopsided, but I fully expect the Cavs to win this one outright. At the same time, we got some insurance if Cleveland does lose, as we can still cash if the Warriors win by 5 or less. Take Cleveland! |
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06-03-18 | Cavs +11.5 v. Warriors | 103-122 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
3* Cavs/Warriors ATS HEAVY HITTER on Cavs + I like the value here with Cleveland as a double-digit dog against the Warriors in Game 2. The Cavs let one get away in Game 1. I think the perception here is that Cleveland won't be able to bounce from that crushing of a loss and LeBron won't score 50+ again. It would take a huge game from James for the Cavs to win, but all we need is for them to lose by 11 or less. I know the Warriors have the more superstar players, but I think they really miss Iguodala and Thompson is likely to play at less than 100%. Take Cleveland! |
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05-28-18 | Warriors v. Rockets +6.5 | 101-92 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
3* Warriors/Rockets 'Game 7' ATS ANNIHILATOR on Rockets + I like the value here with the Rockets as a decently priced home dog here in Game 7. Houston had Golden State on the ropes in Game 6, as they were up 61-51 at the half. Things fell apart in the final 2 quarters, as they managed just 25 points in the 2nd half and would end up losing by 29. I'm not concerned about the lopsided final. Keep in mind they lost Game 3 by 41 and came back and won Game 4 on the road 95-92. The big concern here is that it seems unlikely that Houston will have Chris Paul, though he is a game-time decision. While Paul's injury definitely hurts them, it's not something they can't overcome. They still have one of the best players in the game in Harden and the role players should be much better at home. Their defense has really given Golden State problems at times and I think they at worst keep this one within the number. Take Houston! |
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05-24-18 | Warriors v. Rockets +1 | 94-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
3* NBA Warriors/Rockets ATS DESTROYER on Rockets + I like the value here with Houston at basically a pick'em at home against the Warriors in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals. The Rockets surprised just about everyone with their 95-92 win over Golden State on the road in Game 4 to tie up the series. Keep in mind that came after Houston was completely destroyed in a 41-point loss at Golden State in Game 3. I was really impressed with how difficult the Rockets made things on the Warriors offense. Houston got Golden State completely out of sync and had the Warriors playing a lot of one-on-one. It definitely helped that the Warriors were without a big piece in Andre Iguodala and there's a chance he won't be back for Game 5. Either way, I think the Rockets defense combined with the home court edge will be enough for them take the 3-2 series lead. Take Houston! |
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05-23-18 | Cavs v. Celtics +1 | 83-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
3* Cavs/Celtics NBA ATS ANNIHILATOR on Celtics I like the value here with the Celtics as a home dog in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Boston lost both games in Cleveland by double-digits and I think the public will be on LeBron James and the Cavs after seeing them win big each of the last two games. What you can't ignore is just how much better the Celtics have been at home compared to on the road. Boston is a perfect 9-0 at home in the postseason, which includes those two convincing wins in Games 1 and 2. A big reason the Celtics are so much better at home is they shoot the ball better and really feed off the energy of the crowd defensively. Boston scored 108 and 107 in Games 1 and 2, while holding the Cavs to just 83 and 94 points. Most will assume Cleveland has their offense figured out after two big outputs in Games 3 and 4, but like the Celtics are not the same team on the road. Take Boston! |
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05-20-18 | Rockets +8 v. Warriors | 85-126 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
4* NBA Rockets/Warriors ATS NO-BRAINER on Rockets + I like the value here with Houston against the spread in Game 3. After an embarrassing 13-point loss at home in Game 1, the Rockets responded with an impressive 127-105 win in Game 2 to even it up at 1-1. Houston looked like a completely different team in Game 2 and I think they can carry over that to Game 3. With that said, this is just too good a price to pass up on an elite team like the Rockets. All we basically need is for Houston to just keep the game within single-digits. The biggest thing I like that the Rockets are doing is attacking Steph Curry on offense. Curry isn't a horrible defender, but it's definitely not his strength. By making him work a little more on defense, it can take him out of his rhythm offensively and that's been the case so far in the series, as he's made just two 3-point shots (13 attempts). If they can continue to keep Curry in check on the road, they not only will have a great shot at covering, but winning this game outright. Take Houston! |
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05-16-18 | Warriors v. Rockets -1 | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
3* Warriors/Rockets NBA Playoffs ATS BLOWOUT on Rockets - I like the value here with Houston at basically a pick'em to take Game 2 and even up the series. This is basically a do or die situation for the Rockets. A loss here and the series is all but over with them down 0-2 (would have to win 4 of the last 5 games). I still think Houston has the talent and pieces in place to not just win a game or two, but take the series. Turnovers really plagued them in Game 1, as well as some missed defensive assignments. Both of those things can be corrected. I also think we could see the Rockets shoot a little better from long-distance in Game 2. If the Warriors don't show up with the same intensity as Houston and are content with the split, this thing could get ugly. Much like Game 3 of the Warriors' previous series against the Pelicans, where they lost by 19 after holding a 2-0 series lead. Either way, I like the Rockets to win this game. Take Houston! |
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05-15-18 | Cavs +1 v. Celtics | 94-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
3* Cavs/Celtics NBA Playoffs ATS ANNIHILATOR on Cavs + It couldn't have went much worse for Cleveland in Game 1. The Cavs dug themselves an early hole and simply couldn't overcome their poor shooting. Cleveland shot just 36% from the field and it was far from the box score we have grown expected to seeing from LeBron James. I expect a much more focused and motivated Cavs team in Game 2. I'm also willing to bet they shoot much better than the 4 for 26 from 3-point distance and James bounces back in a big way from that poor showing in Game 1. James now has a great understanding on how Boston is trying to defend him and will make the proper adjustments. As for the other guys, they got open looks, they just didn't execute. The Cavs are the better team and the value is with them here. Take Cleveland! |
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05-13-18 | Cavs +1 v. Celtics | 83-108 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 49 m | Show | |
3* NBA Playoffs 'Cavs/Celtics' ATS ANNIHILATOR on Cavs + I like the value here with Cleveland at basically a pick'em in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Celtics. I just think we are seeing a big overreaction here to the Celtics and their impressive dismantling of the 76ers, in a series most thought they would lose. I think a lot of that was the inexperience of Philadelphia, as well as great coaching by Brad Stevens. As good as Stevens is, I just don't think there's a gameplan out there to slow down LeBron James right now and with the way the supporting cast is playing it's that much harder to slow this Cavs team down. Keep in mind that James has owned Stevens' led teams in the past and I just have a hard time seeing the Celtics making a series of this. Another thing that strongly suggest an overreaction here with the line. Boston was a 4.5-point home dog in Game 1 of their series with the 76ers. There's no reason the Cavs shouldn't be favored by at least that here. Take Cleveland! |
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05-09-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -1 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
3* NBA Playoffs ATS ANNIHILATOR on Celtics - I like the value here with Boston at basically a pick'em at home against the 76ers in Game 5. Not a big shocker to see Philadelphia avoid getting swept with Game 4 on their home court. As much as the public wants the 76ers to win this series, Boston has proven to be the better team. Too much attention is paid to the Celtics injuries and them not having Irving or Hayward. There's still a ton of talent on this roster and they are deep across the board. The other thing they have that doesn't get the respect it deserves is head coach Brad Stevens. He's the reason Boston is 1-win away from the Eastern Conference Finals despite missing it's two best players. The Celtics are a perfect 6-0 at home in the postseason and I look for them to remain perfect tonight. Take Boston! |
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05-08-18 | Pelicans +11.5 v. Warriors | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NBA Playoffs ATS ANNIHILATOR on Pelicans + I like the value here with New Orleans as a double-digit dog against the Warriors in Game 5 on Tuesday. I'm not expecting the Pelicans to win this game outright on the road, but I do think they are going to give Golden State all they can handle. I wasn't all that surprised to see Game 4 turn out the way it did. You just knew the Warriors were going to come out looking to make a statement after how they were embarrassed in a 19-point loss in Game 3. Part of that lopsided result was the effort of Golden State. The other was the Pelicans couldn't buy a basket. New Orleans shot just 36.4% from the field. I look for a few more shots to fall and that should be more than enough to keep the Pelicans within striking distance. Keep in mind they only lost by 5 at Golden State in Game 2 after after a blowout loss in Game 1. Take New Orleans! |
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05-07-18 | Raptors +6 v. Cavs | 93-128 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Raptors + I like the value here with Toronto to keep this within the number and wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. I think Cleveland has all the confidence that they can win this series no matter the outcome tonight and it wouldn't be a huge shock to see the Cavs suffer a bit of a letdown here. Either way it will be hard for them to match the intensity of the Raptors, who are facing elimination. It's been an incredible series for LeBron James, but I think a lot of people are overlooking just how close this thing is to Toronto leading the series 2-1. They should have won Game 1 at home and who knows what happens if James doesn't hit that buzzer-beater in Game 3. While no one else believes the Raptors have a shot of coming back in this series, I think they are still very confident they can get it done. Either way, I expect them to keep this close. Take Toronto! |
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05-06-18 | Warriors -5.5 v. Pelicans | 118-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
3* NBA Playoffs Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Warriors - I like the value here with Golden State rebounding from that ugly showing in Game 3, where the Pelicans won going away 119-100. That wasn't a big shocker given how well NO had played against the Blazers in Rd 1 and the Warriors in a bit of a letdown spot after taking a 2-0 lead and getting back Curry. This is still the team to beat and I just don't see them playing anywhere close to as poorly as they did in Game 3. In fact, I wouldn't be shocked if the Warriors turned this into a blowout early. Keep in mind they followed up an ugly 13-point loss to the Spurs with a 8-point win and dominant defensive effort, as they held SA to just 37.2% from the field. Pelicans are simply no match when the Warriors are locked in. Take Golden State! |
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05-04-18 | Warriors v. Pelicans +4.5 | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 60 h 51 m | Show | |
3* NBA Playoffs ATS HEAVY HITTER on Pelicans + I like the value here with the Pelicans as a home dog in Game 3 against the Warriors. Most are going to just write-off New Orleans now that Steph Curry is back for Golden State, especially after how well Curry played in his first game back (Game 2), scoring 28 points in 27 minutes. What people are overlooking is just how well the Pelicans played on the road, despite Curry's impressive showing. New Orleans was right there with a chance to win that game in the 4th quarter and ended up losing by just 5. That loss has the Pelicans in a do-or-die scenario. While no one is giving them a real chance to win the series, this is the game they absolutely have to have if they want a chance to pull off the upset. I think New Orleans is going to be the more motivated team and should get a few more foul calls go their way at home. Take New Orleans! |
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04-28-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 53 h 5 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Warriors - I love the value here with the Warriors at this price on their home court in Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals against the Pelicans. Regardless if Steph Curry plays or not (added bonus if he does), I expect Golden State to come out looking to send a message to New Orleans that they have no business being in this series. I know the Pelicans looked great in their sweep of the Blazers, but Portland wasn't playing well down the stretch and that was a great matchup with no one on the Blazers who could contain Anthony Davis and Rondo being able to make things difficult on Lillard. While Davis will be to stop, Portland will have no answer for Durant and the depth of the Warriors. Take Golden State! |
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04-27-18 | Raptors +2.5 v. Wizards | Top | 102-92 | Win | 100 | 37 h 14 m | Show |
5* NBA Vegas NO LIMINT Top Play on Raptors + I love the value here with Toronto getting points in Game 6 at Washington. The Raptors took back control of the series with a 108-98 win in Game 5 at home and are going to do everything in their power to make sure their next home game is in round 2. This series likely would have been over if the Raptors didn't blow a 14-point 2nd half lead in Washington back in Game 4. I don't see them making that same mistake twice. Look for Toronto to take control of this game early and keep their foot on the gas. The Raptors also seem to have figured out the Wizards offense. After allowing Washington to shot 48% or better in each of the first 3 games, they held them to 46% in Game 4 on the road and 41% in Game 5. Raptors are 25-14 in their last 39 off a double-digit home win, while the Wizards are just 11-22 ATS as a home favorite this season. Take Toronto! |
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04-25-18 | Jazz v. Thunder -3 | Top | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 37 h 34 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs 1st Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Thunder - I love the value here with OKC as a short home favorite in Game 5 against the Jazz. The Thunder find themselves facing elimination down 3-1 in the series and I like their chances of getting a win and cover in this one. You have to give Utah credit for how well they have played up to this point, but it's extremely difficult closing out a team on the road in the postseason, especially for a team like the Jazz that don't have a ton of playoff experience to fall back on. One of the biggest problems for the Thunder has been the early foul trouble of Westbrook. They also aren't getting the kind of production they need out of veteran Carmelo Anthony. I look for both of these two to step up big and for the others to have a big game for OKC at home. Even with their win and cover in Game 2 on the road, Utah is just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 trips to Chesepeake Energy Arena. Take Oklahoma City! |
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04-22-18 | Raptors -1 v. Wizards | 98-106 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 46 m | Show | |
4* NBA Playoffs Situational NO-BRAINER on Raptors - I like the value here with Toronto as a short home favorite in Game 4 against the Wizards. After a couple of convincing wins at home in games 1 & 2, the Raptors laid an egg in Game 3 and lost 103-122 to Washington. That was the game the Wizards had to have to avoid falling behind 3-0, so that wasn't a complete shocker. I look for the Raptors to bounce back in a big way here and take a commanding 3-1 series lead going back home for Game 5. Note that the Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games off a SU win and a miserable 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after covering the number in their previous contest. Take Toronto! |
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04-21-18 | Thunder +4.5 v. Jazz | 102-115 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 53 m | Show | |
4* NBA Playoffs Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Thunder +4.5 I like the value here with Thunder catching a decent number on the road in Game 3 against the Jazz. OKC blew a 5-point lead going into the 4th quarter of Game 2 and it was a direct result of their 3 stars underperforming in the clutch. Westbrook, Anthony and George combined didn't make a single field goal in the 4th quarter (0-14) and the Thunder managed just 16 points in the period. That's not going to happen again. I look for these 3, especially Westbrook, to come out with a chip on their shoulder and not only keep this game close, but win it outright. Adding to this is a great system in play favoring the Thunder. Teams off a home division loss against an opponent off a division win are 55-25 (69%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Oklahoma City! |
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04-19-18 | Warriors v. Spurs +4.5 | 110-97 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Spurs + I like the value here with San Antonio as a home dog in Game 3 of their opening round series against the Warriors. The Spurs won't have their head coach Greg Popovich, as he will be away from the team to morn the passing of his wife on Wednesday. A lot of people might see that as a major disadvantage, but I actually think it will have San Antonio playing even more inspired than they already were going to be down 0-2 and the series on the line. After a sluggish start cost them any chance of winning Game 1, the Spurs really played well in the 1st half of Game 2, as they took a 6-point lead going into the final two periods. The Warriors caught fire and put up 69 points in the 2nd half for a 15-point win. Most will see the two blowout losses for the Spurs and jump on laying the small number with Golden State here, but this is a different San Antonio team at home, where they went 33-8 during the regular season. That combined with a huge motivation edge should be enough for the Spurs to keep this close enough to cover and likely win outright. Take San Antonio! |
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04-18-18 | Pacers +8 v. Cavs | 97-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Pacers + I like the value here with the Pacers catching an even bigger number in Game 2 after their impressive 98-80 win in Game 1. As bad as Cleveland looked in the first meeting, the public perspective here is that LeBron James and the Cavs will respond in a big way and avoid falling behind 0-2 in the series. I'm not saying I don't think Cleveland will win, I just don't see them blowing the Pacers out of the gym, which is what this line is calling for. I believe the big key here is the Pacers ability to matchup with the Cavs on the defensive side of the ball. Indiana limited Cleveland to just 38.5% shooting in Game 1. The Cavs simply rely too much on James to carry the load offensively and when the other guys aren't hitting shots, the offense really struggles to score. That's a problem because Cleveland's defense isn't very good. Take Indiana! |
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04-17-18 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 36 h 1 m | Show |
5* NBA Playoffs Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Pelcians + I love the value here with the Pelicans as a decently priced dog in Game 2 of their series with the Blazers. New Orleans avoided a devastating loss in Game 1, as the held on for a 97-95 win after going into the 4th quarter with a 12-point lead. Anthony Davis led the way with 35 points and 14 rebounds, but he wasn't the only big contributor for the Pelicans. Rondo scored just 6 points, but had 17 assists and 8 rebounds. Mirotic added 16 points and 11 rebound, while Holiday dropped 21 points. New Orleans as a team assisted on 26 of their 41 made baskets. In comparison the Blazers only had 17 assists on 37 made field goals. Portland was really fortunate to even be in the game, as they shot 37.8% from the field. What kept them in it was 15 offensive rebounds. I just think that's unlikely to happen again. This is simply too many points for the Pelicans to be catching given they have the best player on the court. Take New Orleans! |
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04-16-18 | Spurs +10 v. Warriors | 101-116 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS B-L-O-W-O-U-T on Spurs + I like the value here with the Spurs as a double-digit dog in Game 2 against the Warriors. Golden State won Game 1 by 21 points as a mere 7.5-point favorite. The books have adjusted this by 2.5-points and I just think it's a mistake. You wouldn't expect it from a Popovich coached team, but San Antonio came out flat in Game 1. They scored just 17-points in the 1st quarter and it was really over from there. I still think this Warriors team is a bit vulnerable without Curry and expect a completely different look here from the Spurs. I don't know if it will be enough to win this game outright, but I think they gave a legit scare to the defending champs. Take San Antonio! |
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04-10-18 | Rockets v. Lakers +8.5 | Top | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Lakers + I love the value here with the Lakers as a big home dog against the Rockets on Tuesday. Houston has absolutely nothing to play for. They have the best record in the league locked up and have made it clear that their primary focus over the last 2 regular season games is to stay healthy. The starters will play, but their minutes will be restricted. Given the circumstances this line should be a lot closer to a pick'em. I think there's a good chance the Lakers win this game and we got plenty of insurance if they end up on the losing end. Take Los Angeles! |
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04-09-18 | Pelicans -6.5 v. Clippers | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
4* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Pelicans - I like the value here with the Pelicans laying what I feel is a short number on the road against the Clippers. New Orleans is currently sitting 5th in the west, but are just 1-game ahead of 9th place Denver and being left out. Simply put, this is essentially a playoff game for the Pelicans. The key here is this game doesn't mean anywhere close to the same to the Clippers, who were just recently eliminated from playoff contention. LA has numerous guys out with injury and it's likely they give some of their younger guys more minutes in the final 2 games. Their last two games have seen them lose by 22 at Utah and by 19 at home to the Nuggets. This has another blowout loss for LA written all over it. Take New Orleans! |
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04-09-18 | Bulls +8.5 v. Nets | Top | 105-114 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
5* NBA Late Season PLAY OF THE MONTH on Bulls + I love the value here with Chicago as a big road dog against the Nets on Monday. I think we are seeing a huge overreaction with this line. Sure Brooklyn just won at Chicago 124-96 on Saturday. The thing is, that makes this game that less interesting for the Nets, who have zero to play for and are likely looking ahead to their finale against the Celtics. The Bulls on the other hand should be motivated here to play better than they did in the last meeting. Chicago had been playing well before laying an egg against the Nets. Chicago had won 3 of 4 and are still 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 overall. Bulls are 23-12 ATS in their last 35 as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points, while Brooklyn is a mere 3-11 ATS in their last 14 at home in the 2nd half of the season. Take Chicago! |
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04-08-18 | Jazz -5.5 v. Lakers | 112-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Jazz - I like the value here with Utah laying what I feel is a short number on the road against the Lakers. The Jazz will be all business when they take the floor on Sunday, as Utah can clinch a playoff spot with a win. The Jazz can also still finish as the No. 3 seed in the west if they win their final 3 games. I look for them to have no problem winning here by double-digits. They have had their way with the Lakers this season and LA comes in having lost 4 of 5 and have zero to play for right now. Last time out the Jazz destroyed the Clippers 117-95 and that's worth noting as they are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games off a win by 10 or more. Take Utah! |
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04-08-18 | Pistons v. Grizzlies +6 | 117-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Grizzlies + I like the value here with Memphis as a decently priced home dog against the Pistons on Sunday. Detroit is simply getting too much respect given the circumstances. While the Pistons have won 8 of 10, they were just recently eliminated from playoff contention and that's going to make it really hard for them to show up for the final 3 games on their schedule. I think they especially have a difficult time here on the road against a bad Memphis team. The Grizzlies have lost 4 straight, but are 4-2 ATS in their last 6, covering each of their last 2 at home. They are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 at home against a team like Detroit that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Memphis! |
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04-06-18 | Hornets -5 v. Magic | 137-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Hornets - I like the value here with the Hornets laying what I feel is a short number on the road against the Magic. I know it's been a struggle for Charlotte of late, as they come in having lost 4 straight, but this is an ideal spot for them to get a win. Orlando has won their last two games, but those victories came against fellow bottom-feeders in the Knicks and Mavs. Even with those two wins they are just 4-11 in their last 15 games. The Magic simply aren't shooting well at all right now. They have shot no better than 45% in 9 straight games and have shot 42% or worse in 6 of the 9. It's also worth pointing out that Orlando is currently tied with the Mavs for the 4th worst record and winning here actually does them more harm than it does good. I wouldn't be shocked at all if they didn't show up at all here and this thing gets ugly in a hurry. Keep in mind that while the Hornets have lost 4 straight, 3 of those losses have come against playoff teams in the Cavs, Wizards and 76ers. Take Charlotte! |
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04-03-18 | Celtics v. Bucks -1 | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Bucks - I like the value here with Milwaukee as a short home favorite against the Celtics on Tuesday. The Bucks are still trying to clinch a playoff spot and I expect an all out effort here after how they lost their most recent game. Milwaukee somehow managed to blow a 18-point lead with under 8 minutes to play in an overtime loss at Denver. Prior to that the Bucks had won 4 of 5 and come in having covered 5 of 6. Boston has won 6 straight, despite Kyrie Irving being sidelined with a knee injury. This is a team that has proven they can win regardless of who is out of the lineup. However, I think this will be a tough spot for the Celtics. They are fresh off a huge win over the Raptors at home on Saturday, which moved them within 2-games of the No. 1 seed in the east. With another big game against the Raptors in Toronto on deck tomorrow, I think we could see Boston having a hard time giving the Bucks their full attention. Take Milwaukee! |
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04-03-18 | Raptors +2 v. Cavs | 106-112 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
4* NBA Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Raptors + I like the value here with Toronto in Tuesday's big showdown at Cleveland. The betting public is going to be all over the Cavs in this one as a short home favorite. Cleveland comes in having won 3 straight and are 8-1 in their last 9 overall. They have gone an impressive 7-2 ATS during this stretch. As for the Raptors, they have failed to cover their last 8 games, including a recent loss at Cleveland back on 3/21, where they lost by 3-points as a 2-point favorite. This not only a big revenge game for Toronto, but one they desperately need if they want to keep hold of the No. 1 seed in the east. As bad as they have been playing, I expect the Raptors to treat this like a playoff game. Cleveland will be without point guard George Hill for this game and that's a big loss. I also think the Cavs are going to really struggle to keep up with Toronto's bench, which is one of the best in the league. Despite their recent strong play, Cleveland is still a miserable 18-37-2 ATS in their last 57 home games and are a mere 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Toronto! |
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04-01-18 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -14.5 | 98-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Portland - I got no problem laying the big number here with the Blazers as they host the Grizzlies on Sunday. Portland is 16-3 over their last 19 games and 23-7 over their last 30. This impressive run has the Blazers sitting in the No. 3 spot in the west and they know this is one they can't afford to lose if they want to secure that spot. What I love is they won't be taking the Grizzlies lightly. These two teams played on Wednesday at Memphis and the Grizzlies blew a 7-point lead with around 5 minutes to play in a 103-108 loss as a 5.5-point favorite. They are going to be out for revenge and this time will make sure to put away Memphis early and keep their foot on the gas. The Grizzlies 2-game winning streak came to an end with 97-107 loss at Utah on Friday and Memphis is a mere 5-15 ATS this season off a double-digit defeat. Blazers are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 at home and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take Portland! |
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04-01-18 | 76ers -2.5 v. Hornets | 119-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sixers - I like the value here with the 76ers laying a short number on the road against the Hornets Sunday. Philadelphia won't have Joel Embiid, but I don't see that being a problem. They won by 17 over the Knicks with Embiid playing just 9 minutes on Wednesday and won by double-digits at Atlanta without him on Friday. The 76ers have now won 9 straight and I don't see them taking their foot off the gas here, as they are fighting to get that No. 3 spot in the east. While Philadelphia is going to be extremely motivated to play well in this contest, I don't think we see the same fight from the Hornets. Charlotte came into the season with the expectations of making the playoffs, but those hopes were recently put to rest, as they have been eliminated from postseason play. I think the Hornets will have a really hard time finding motivation over the final 5 games of the season and should be a bigger dog given the circumstances. Note the 76ers have dominated the series this season, winning each of the first 3 meetings by double-digits, including a 14-point win in their lone game at Charlotte. Take Philadelphia! |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago +5.5 v. Michigan | 57-69 | Loss | -110 | 150 h 57 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB 'Final Four' VEGAS INSIDER on Loyola-Chicago + I like the value here with the Ramblers in their Final Four showdown with Michigan. I think the perception is that Loyola-Chicag's Cinderella run will come to an end against the Wolverines, but I not only think the Ramblers can keep it close enough to cover, but I like their chances of winning this game outright. By now it's no secret that Loyola has gotten to this point because of their defense. I just don't know that people realize how good the Ramblers are on that side of the ball. They have held all 4 of their opponents to this point under 70 points, holding 3 of the 4 to exactly 62 points. It's not just effort, the coaching staff of Loyola has done a tremendous job gameplanning for their opponent. Michigan had one great offensive game against Texas A&M, where they shot 62% from the field. The other 3 weren't all that good. They shot just 35.6% in their last-second win over Houston and a mere 38.8% in their 4-point victory over Florida State. What gets over looked with the Ramblers and that elite defense, is how efficient they are on the offensive side of the ball. Loyola-Chicago's worst shooting performance in the tournament came in their first game against Miami, where they shot just 47.3%. They hit 50% against the Vols, 56% against Nevada and 57.4% vs the Wildcats. Ramblers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 as a dog and 8-1 ATS in their 9 tournament games played this season. Take Loyola! |
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03-30-18 | San Francisco v. North Texas -3.5 | Top | 77-88 | Win | 100 | 32 h 42 m | Show |
5* NCAAB 'CBI' Champ Game VEGAS INSIDER on North Texas - I like the value here with the Mean Green in Friday's CBI Championship Game. Unlike the other postseason tournaments, where it's win or go home, the CBI plays a best of 3 series for the title. These two teams have split the first two games of the series with the home team dominating in each matchup. San Francisco won Game 1 at home 72-62. North Texas responded with a 69-55 win in game 2. The Mean Green were a similar 3.5-point home favorite in Game 2 and I just don't see any reason not to back North Texas in the rubber match at home. San Fran is just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games, while the Mean Green are now 9-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. Take North Texas! |
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03-29-18 | Wizards +1 v. Pistons | 92-103 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Wizards + I like the value here with Washington at basically a pick'em on the road against the Pistons tonight. The Wizards snapped a 3-game skid with a convincing 116-106 win at home over the Spurs on Tuesday. It wasn't even as close as the final score would indicate, as Washington had a 22-point lead going into the 4th quarter. The Wizards are pretty safe in terms of making the playoffs, but have yet to clinch a spot, so I expect them to come out and play extremely hard until they do just that. Detroit has kept their slim playoff hopes alive by winning 4 of their last 5, but there chances of making it are still pretty slim, as they trail 8th place Milwaukee by 5-games with just 8 to play. What is getting overlooked with the Pistons strong play of late is it's come against bad teams. Their 4 wins during their 4-1 stretch have come against the likes of the Kings, Suns, Bulls and Lakers. I just don't trust this team at all against good teams and will gladly take my chances here with the Wizards at this price. Take Washington! |
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03-29-18 | Penn State v. Utah +4.5 | 82-66 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB 'NIT' Championship Game NO-BRAINER on Utah + I like the value here with the Utes as a decently priced dog in Thursday's NIT Championship Game against Penn State. Utah hasn't just caught fire in the NIT, this is a team that really turned a corner in the final month and a half of the regular-season. The Utes went 99-3 over their final 12 games. They would lose their only game in the Pac-12 Tournament, but it could have easily went their way, as they fell 66-68 to Oregon. They picked right up where they left off and have been a force in the NIT. They won by 9 at St Mary's to get to New York and won by 5 as a 2-point dog in the semifinals Tuesday against WKU. Penn State has won 5 of 6, but I just don't see a big enough gap that the Nittany Lions should be favored by nearly 5-points. If anything, this should be closer to a pick'em, making this an easy play for me. Take Utah! |